1947-48 1st Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

KB Copenhagen

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KB Copenhagen

13.42 points above expected

33 points · 19.58 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fremad Amager

11.56 points below expected

5 points · 16.56 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KB Copenhagen	18	16	1	1	33	48	13	+35	19.6	+13.42
2	Frem	18	14	1	3	29	59	30	+29	18.5	+10.50
3	AB Gladsaxe	18	11	2	5	24	57	47	+10	18.6	+5.45
4	Aarhus GF	18	8	4	6	20	38	38	0	17.6	+2.45
5	B 1903	18	6	4	8	16	34	38	-4	17.3	-1.26
6	Osterbros	18	7	1	10	15	46	35	+11	19.0	-4.02
7	Koge BK	18	5	4	9	14	39	59	-20	17.3	-3.28
8	Odense	18	4	4	10	12	38	49	-11	18.5	-6.47
9	B.93	18	4	4	10	12	27	41	-14	17.2	-5.23
10	Fremad Amager	18	1	3	14	5	19	55	-36	16.6	-11.56

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KB Copenhagen	1667	33	19.58	+13.42	100.0%	6	13	17	20	22	26	32
Frem	1643	29	18.50	+10.50	99.9%	4	12	16	19	21	25	31
Osterbros	1642	15	19.02	-4.02	17.4%	6	13	17	19	22	25	33
AB Gladsaxe	1629	24	18.55	+5.45	94.2%	4	12	16	19	21	25	31
Odense	1618	12	18.47	-6.47	5.7%	5	12	16	18	21	25	32
Aarhus GF	1612	20	17.55	+2.45	78.7%	5	11	15	18	20	24	31
B 1903	1600	16	17.26	-1.26	41.9%	4	11	15	17	20	23	31
B.93	1594	12	17.23	-5.23	10.2%	5	11	15	17	20	23	30
Koge BK	1588	14	17.28	-3.28	23.2%	2	11	15	17	20	23	32
Fremad Amager	1568	5	16.56	-11.56	0.1%	2	10	14	17	19	23	31

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AG	AG	B1	B.9	FRE	FA	KC	KB	ODE	OST
AB Gladsaxe	—	0-1-1 3.01	2-0-0 2.97	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 3.16	0-0-2 2.63	2-0-0 3.05	2-0-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.76
Aarhus GF	1-1-0 2.59	—	0-1-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.63	1-1-0 3.00	0-0-2 2.54	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 2.58
B 1903	0-0-2 2.64	1-1-0 2.69	—	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.62	1-1-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.44	0-1-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.60	2-0-0 2.50
B.93	0-0-2 2.60	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.78	—	0-0-2 2.64	2-0-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.34	0-2-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.52
Frem	1-0-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.97	2-0-0 2.98	2-0-0 2.97	—	2-0-0 3.10	1-0-1 2.61	2-0-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.80	2-0-0 2.75
Fremad Amager	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.68	0-0-2 2.50	—	0-0-2 2.46	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.41
KB Copenhagen	2-0-0 2.97	2-0-0 3.06	2-0-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.27	1-0-1 2.99	2-0-0 3.15	—	2-0-0 3.17	2-0-0 2.99	2-0-0 2.89
Koge BK	0-0-2 2.55	0-0-2 2.79	1-1-0 2.78	0-2-0 2.82	0-0-2 2.66	2-0-0 2.86	0-0-2 2.44	—	1-1-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.61
Odense	0-0-2 2.86	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 3.14	0-0-2 2.62	0-1-1 2.99	—	0-1-1 2.69
Osterbros	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 3.02	0-0-2 3.11	2-0-0 3.09	0-0-2 2.85	2-0-0 3.20	0-0-2 2.71	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 2.91	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.44%	4.44%	2.22%	1.11%	3.33%	15.56%
1	4.44%	5.56%	4.44%	1.67%	2.78%	2.78%	21.67%
2	4.44%	4.44%	5.56%	5.00%	3.89%	2.22%	25.56%
3	2.22%	1.67%	5.00%	4.44%	1.11%	1.67%	16.11%
4	1.11%	2.78%	3.89%	1.11%	—	1.11%	10.00%
5+	3.33%	2.78%	2.22%	1.67%	1.11%	—	11.11%
Total	15.56%	21.67%	25.56%	16.11%	10.00%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.25
Mean allowed	2.25
StdDev scored	1.77
StdDev allowed	1.77
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.182
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
1	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	11.11%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
4	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
Total	11.11%	22.22%	27.78%	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	100%

AB Gladsaxe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.17
Mean allowed	2.61
StdDev scored	1.98
StdDev allowed	2.50
Mean total goals/game	5.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.391
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	44.44%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	33.33%	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Aarhus GF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.11
Mean allowed	2.11
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.78
Mean total goals/game	4.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.316
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%	—	16.67%
2	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	22.22%	33.33%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

B 1903 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	2.11
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.180
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
1	—	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	5.56%	33.33%
2	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	11.11%	38.89%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	100%

B.93 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.28
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	3.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.232
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
1	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	16.67%	—	11.11%	—	—	27.78%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	5.56%	—	100%

Frem — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.28
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.99
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	4.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.141
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	38.89%
1	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	11.11%	33.33%
2	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	11.11%	33.33%	16.67%	22.22%	16.67%	100%

Fremad Amager — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.06
Mean allowed	3.06
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	4.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.037
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	5.56%	27.78%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	55.56%	33.33%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	100%

KB Copenhagen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.67
Mean allowed	0.72
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.260
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	22.22%
1	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
2	—	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	33.33%
3	—	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
Total	5.56%	—	33.33%	27.78%	5.56%	27.78%	100%

Koge BK — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.17
Mean allowed	3.28
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	5.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.193
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	22.22%
1	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
2	11.11%	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	22.22%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	11.11%	22.22%	11.11%	22.22%	16.67%	16.67%	100%

Odense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.11
Mean allowed	2.72
StdDev scored	1.81
StdDev allowed	1.90
Mean total goals/game	4.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.144
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	—	—	11.11%	—	—	—	11.11%
2	—	11.11%	—	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	38.89%
3	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Osterbros — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.56
Mean allowed	1.94
StdDev scored	2.53
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.323
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KB Copenhagen	33	19.6	+13.42
2	Frem	29	18.5	+10.50
3	AB Gladsaxe	24	18.6	+5.45
4	Aarhus GF	20	17.6	+2.45
5	B 1903	16	17.3	-1.26

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fremad Amager	5	16.6	-11.56
2	Odense	12	18.5	-6.47
3	B.93	12	17.2	-5.23
4	Osterbros	15	19.0	-4.02
5	Koge BK	14	17.3	-3.28

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Frem	7	Nov 23 – Apr 10	1 in 344
2	KB Copenhagen	6	Aug 17 – Sep 28	1 in 181
3	Aarhus GF	4	Mar 26 – Apr 11	1 in 39
4	AB Gladsaxe	4	Apr 11 – Apr 28	1 in 29
5	Osterbros	3	Oct 26 – Nov 30	1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fremad Amager	6	Aug 16 – Nov 2	1 in 147
2	Osterbros	5	Aug 19 – Sep 28	1 in 87
3	Koge BK	4	Nov 23 – Mar 25	1 in 29
4	B.93	4	Mar 21 – Apr 4	1 in 22
5	Odense	3	Mar 25 – Apr 11	1 in 18

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KB Copenhagen	11	Nov 16 – May 10	1 in 117
2	AB Gladsaxe	8	Aug 31 – Mar 21	1 in 51
3	Aarhus GF	7	Mar 26 – May 2	1 in 47
4	Frem	8	Nov 23 – Apr 18	1 in 35
5	B 1903	5	Oct 12 – Mar 25	1 in 16

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fremad Amager	17	Aug 16 – May 1	1 in 2,043
2	Koge BK	7	Sep 28 – Mar 25	1 in 31
3	B 1903	6	Mar 29 – Apr 28	1 in 19
4	B.93	6	Mar 21 – Apr 19	1 in 13
5	Odense	5	Oct 12 – Nov 30	1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
KB Copenhagen	20.71%	15.40%	12.94%	11.11%	9.38%	7.97%	7.57%	6.27%	5.18%	3.47%
Frem	13.42%	12.18%	11.81%	11.28%	10.80%	9.67%	8.95%	8.10%	7.61%	6.18%
AB Gladsaxe	11.95%	11.91%	11.88%	10.84%	11.18%	10.00%	8.88%	9.20%	7.34%	6.82%
Aarhus GF	7.27%	8.57%	9.81%	10.01%	10.14%	10.94%	11.16%	10.75%	11.06%	10.29%
B 1903	6.69%	7.48%	8.21%	9.55%	10.46%	10.88%	10.80%	10.99%	12.47%	12.47%
Osterbros	14.22%	14.15%	12.36%	11.59%	9.93%	9.46%	9.07%	7.43%	6.55%	5.24%
Koge BK	5.87%	7.15%	7.52%	8.81%	9.90%	10.38%	11.22%	12.49%	12.48%	14.18%
Odense	10.26%	10.90%	11.01%	10.29%	10.53%	10.28%	10.28%	9.65%	8.84%	7.96%
B.93	5.51%	6.99%	8.30%	9.30%	9.36%	10.52%	11.30%	12.19%	13.24%	13.29%
Fremad Amager	4.10%	5.27%	6.16%	7.22%	8.32%	9.90%	10.77%	12.93%	15.23%	20.10%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
KB Copenhagen	96.5%	3.5%
Osterbros	94.8%	5.2%
Frem	93.8%	6.2%
AB Gladsaxe	93.2%	6.8%
Odense	92.0%	8.0%
Aarhus GF	89.7%	10.3%
B 1903	87.5%	12.5%
B.93	86.7%	13.3%
Koge BK	85.8%	14.2%
Fremad Amager	79.9%	20.1%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1947-08-16	B 1903	L 0-2	1609	1605	45.4%	20.0%	34.5%	-3.3	0
1947-08-16	@ B.93	W 2-0	1605	1609	34.5%	20.0%	45.4%	+3.3	3
1947-08-16	Odense	W 4-3	1609	1634	41.3%	20.2%	38.5%	+1.3	3
1947-08-16	@ Frem	L 3-4	1634	1609	38.5%	20.2%	41.3%	-1.3	0
1947-08-16	Fremad Amager	W 1-0	1611	1608	45.3%	20.0%	34.6%	+1.4	3
1947-08-16	@ Koge BK	L 0-1	1608	1611	34.6%	20.0%	45.3%	-1.4	0
1947-08-17	Aarhus GF	W 3-1	1625	1610	46.9%	19.9%	33.1%	+2.2	3
1947-08-17	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1610	1625	33.1%	19.9%	46.9%	-2.2	0
1947-08-19	Osterbros	W 3-2	1619	1632	43.1%	20.2%	36.8%	+1.3	3
1947-08-19	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 2-3	1632	1619	36.8%	20.2%	43.1%	-1.3	0
1947-08-20	KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	1607	1627	42.0%	20.2%	37.8%	-3.1	0
1947-08-20	@ Fremad Amager	W 2-0	1627	1607	37.8%	20.2%	42.0%	+3.1	6
1947-08-21	Frem	L 1-2	1605	1610	44.2%	20.1%	35.7%	-1.6	0
1947-08-21	@ B.93	W 2-1	1610	1605	35.7%	20.1%	44.2%	+1.6	6
1947-08-24	Koge BK	L 3-5	1632	1613	47.6%	19.8%	32.6%	-2.5	0
1947-08-24	@ Odense	W 5-3	1613	1632	32.6%	19.8%	47.6%	+2.5	6
1947-08-27	KB Copenhagen	L 1-5	1621	1630	43.5%	20.1%	36.3%	-5.0	3
1947-08-27	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 5-1	1630	1621	36.3%	20.1%	43.5%	+5.0	9
1947-08-28	B 1903	L 1-2	1631	1608	48.0%	19.8%	32.2%	-1.7	0
1947-08-28	@ Osterbros	W 2-1	1608	1631	32.2%	19.8%	48.0%	+1.7	6
1947-08-30	Fremad Amager	W 3-2	1612	1604	46.0%	20.0%	34.0%	+1.2	9
1947-08-30	@ Frem	L 2-3	1604	1612	34.0%	20.0%	46.0%	-1.2	0
1947-08-31	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-4	1610	1616	44.0%	20.1%	35.9%	-3.9	6
1947-08-31	@ B 1903	W 4-1	1616	1610	35.9%	20.1%	44.0%	+3.9	6
1947-08-31	Osterbros	W 1-0	1635	1629	45.7%	20.0%	34.3%	+1.4	12
1947-08-31	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	1629	1635	34.3%	20.0%	45.7%	-1.4	0
1947-08-31	B.93	D 2-2	1615	1604	46.5%	20.0%	33.6%	-0.1	7
1947-08-31	@ Koge BK	D 2-2	1604	1615	33.6%	20.0%	46.5%	+0.1	1
1947-09-14	Aarhus GF	W 3-2	1604	1608	44.3%	20.1%	35.6%	+1.3	4
1947-09-14	@ B.93	L 2-3	1608	1604	35.6%	20.1%	44.3%	-1.3	0
1947-09-14	B 1903	W 3-0	1636	1606	49.1%	19.7%	31.2%	+3.5	15
1947-09-14	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-3	1606	1636	31.2%	19.7%	49.1%	-3.5	6
1947-09-14	Osterbros	W 4-2	1615	1627	43.1%	20.2%	36.7%	+2.1	10
1947-09-14	@ Koge BK	L 2-4	1627	1615	36.7%	20.2%	43.1%	-2.1	0
1947-09-14	Fremad Amager	W 5-1	1630	1602	48.7%	19.7%	31.6%	+3.8	3
1947-09-14	@ Odense	L 1-5	1602	1630	31.6%	19.7%	48.7%	-3.8	0
1947-09-28	Osterbros	W 3-2	1606	1625	42.2%	20.2%	37.7%	+1.3	3
1947-09-28	@ Aarhus GF	L 2-3	1625	1606	37.7%	20.2%	42.2%	-1.3	0
1947-09-28	B.93	W 2-1	1620	1605	46.9%	19.9%	33.2%	+1.3	9
1947-09-28	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1605	1620	33.2%	19.9%	46.9%	-1.3	4
1947-09-28	Frem	L 0-1	1602	1613	43.3%	20.1%	36.5%	-1.7	6
1947-09-28	@ B 1903	W 1-0	1613	1602	36.5%	20.1%	43.3%	+1.7	12
1947-09-28	KB Copenhagen	L 2-6	1617	1640	41.7%	20.2%	38.1%	-4.1	10
1947-09-28	@ Koge BK	W 6-2	1640	1617	38.1%	20.2%	41.7%	+4.1	18
1947-10-12	Frem	L 1-4	1608	1615	43.9%	20.1%	36.0%	-3.9	3
1947-10-12	@ Aarhus GF	W 4-1	1615	1608	36.0%	20.1%	43.9%	+3.9	15
1947-10-12	Odense	W 5-0	1621	1634	43.0%	20.2%	36.8%	+6.5	12
1947-10-12	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-5	1634	1621	36.8%	20.2%	43.0%	-6.5	3
1947-10-12	Fremad Amager	W 2-0	1600	1599	45.1%	20.1%	34.8%	+2.6	9
1947-10-12	@ B 1903	L 0-2	1599	1600	34.8%	20.1%	45.1%	-2.6	0
1947-10-26	Koge BK	W 5-0	1604	1613	43.5%	20.1%	36.4%	+6.4	6
1947-10-26	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-5	1613	1604	36.4%	20.1%	43.5%	-6.4	10
1947-10-26	Osterbros	L 2-4	1604	1624	42.0%	20.2%	37.8%	-2.4	4
1947-10-26	@ B.93	W 4-2	1624	1604	37.8%	20.2%	42.0%	+2.4	3
1947-10-26	Odense	D 2-2	1603	1627	41.4%	20.2%	38.4%	-0.0	10
1947-10-26	@ B 1903	D 2-2	1627	1603	38.4%	20.2%	41.4%	+0.0	4
1947-11-02	AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	1610	1627	42.4%	20.2%	37.4%	-0.0	7
1947-11-02	@ Aarhus GF	D 2-2	1627	1610	37.4%	20.2%	42.4%	+0.0	13
1947-11-02	Osterbros	L 1-2	1596	1626	40.6%	20.2%	39.3%	-1.5	0
1947-11-02	@ Fremad Amager	W 2-1	1626	1596	39.3%	20.2%	40.6%	+1.5	6
1947-11-02	Frem	L 3-5	1644	1619	48.4%	19.8%	31.9%	-2.5	18
1947-11-02	@ KB Copenhagen	W 5-3	1619	1644	31.9%	19.8%	48.4%	+2.5	18
1947-11-02	B 1903	D 3-3	1607	1603	45.4%	20.0%	34.6%	-0.1	11
1947-11-02	@ Koge BK	D 3-3	1603	1607	34.6%	20.0%	45.4%	+0.1	11
1947-11-02	B.93	D 1-1	1627	1601	48.5%	19.7%	31.8%	-0.1	5
1947-11-02	@ Odense	D 1-1	1601	1627	31.8%	19.7%	48.5%	+0.1	5
1947-11-16	AB Gladsaxe	L 2-3	1621	1627	44.0%	20.1%	35.9%	-1.5	18
1947-11-16	@ Frem	W 3-2	1627	1621	35.9%	20.1%	44.0%	+1.5	16
1947-11-16	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1595	1610	42.7%	20.2%	37.2%	-0.0	1
1947-11-16	@ Fremad Amager	D 1-1	1610	1595	37.2%	20.2%	42.7%	+0.0	8
1947-11-16	KB Copenhagen	L 0-3	1627	1641	42.9%	20.2%	37.0%	-4.5	5
1947-11-16	@ Odense	W 3-0	1641	1627	37.0%	20.2%	42.9%	+4.5	21
1947-11-23	B 1903	D 1-1	1610	1603	45.8%	20.0%	34.2%	-0.1	9
1947-11-23	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1603	1610	34.2%	20.0%	45.8%	+0.1	12
1947-11-23	Fremad Amager	W 6-1	1629	1594	49.6%	19.6%	30.8%	+4.6	19
1947-11-23	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-6	1594	1629	30.8%	19.6%	49.6%	-4.6	1
1947-11-23	Koge BK	W 5-4	1620	1607	46.6%	19.9%	33.4%	+1.2	21
1947-11-23	@ Frem	L 4-5	1607	1620	33.4%	19.9%	46.6%	-1.2	11
1947-11-30	B.93	W 5-0	1646	1602	51.0%	19.4%	29.6%	+5.3	24
1947-11-30	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-5	1602	1646	29.6%	19.4%	51.0%	-5.3	5
1947-11-30	AB Gladsaxe	L 2-5	1606	1633	40.9%	20.2%	38.9%	-3.2	11
1947-11-30	@ Koge BK	W 5-2	1633	1606	38.9%	20.2%	40.9%	+3.2	22
1947-11-30	Odense	W 4-0	1628	1623	45.6%	20.0%	34.4%	+5.0	9
1947-11-30	@ Osterbros	L 0-4	1623	1628	34.4%	20.0%	45.6%	-4.9	5
1947-12-07	B.93	L 0-3	1590	1596	44.0%	20.1%	35.9%	-4.6	1
1947-12-07	@ Fremad Amager	W 3-0	1596	1590	35.9%	20.1%	44.0%	+4.6	8
1947-12-07	Aarhus GF	W 7-1	1618	1610	45.9%	20.0%	34.1%	+5.9	8
1947-12-07	@ Odense	L 1-7	1610	1618	34.1%	20.0%	45.9%	-5.9	9
1947-12-07	Frem	L 2-5	1633	1621	46.5%	20.0%	33.5%	-3.5	9
1947-12-07	@ Osterbros	W 5-2	1621	1633	33.5%	20.0%	46.5%	+3.5	24
1948-03-21	KB Copenhagen	L 1-2	1604	1651	38.2%	20.1%	41.7%	-1.4	9
1948-03-21	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1651	1604	41.7%	20.1%	38.2%	+1.4	27
1948-03-21	Odense	L 0-2	1601	1624	41.6%	20.2%	38.2%	-3.0	8
1948-03-21	@ B.93	W 2-0	1624	1601	38.2%	20.2%	41.6%	+3.0	11
1948-03-21	AB Gladsaxe	D 3-3	1585	1637	37.6%	20.0%	42.3%	+0.0	2
1948-03-21	@ Fremad Amager	D 3-3	1637	1585	42.3%	20.0%	37.6%	-0.0	23
1948-03-21	Frem	L 0-7	1603	1624	41.8%	20.2%	38.1%	-9.8	11
1948-03-21	@ Koge BK	W 7-0	1624	1603	38.1%	20.2%	41.8%	+9.8	27
1948-03-25	Fremad Amager	W 4-0	1653	1585	54.1%	18.8%	27.1%	+4.0	30
1948-03-25	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-4	1585	1653	27.1%	18.8%	54.1%	-4.0	2
1948-03-25	B 1903	L 2-3	1627	1603	48.1%	19.8%	32.1%	-1.6	11
1948-03-25	@ Odense	W 3-2	1603	1627	32.1%	19.8%	48.1%	+1.6	15
1948-03-25	Koge BK	W 3-2	1629	1593	50.0%	19.5%	30.5%	+1.1	12
1948-03-25	@ Osterbros	L 2-3	1593	1629	30.5%	19.5%	50.0%	-1.1	11
1948-03-26	Aarhus GF	L 0-1	1637	1603	49.6%	19.6%	30.8%	-1.9	23
1948-03-26	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 1-0	1603	1637	30.8%	19.6%	49.6%	+1.9	12
1948-03-26	B.93	W 6-1	1634	1598	49.9%	19.5%	30.5%	+4.5	30
1948-03-26	@ Frem	L 1-6	1598	1634	30.5%	19.5%	49.9%	-4.5	8
1948-03-28	Koge BK	L 2-4	1581	1592	43.4%	20.1%	36.5%	-2.4	2
1948-03-28	@ Fremad Amager	W 4-2	1592	1581	36.5%	20.1%	43.4%	+2.4	14
1948-03-28	Odense	W 1-0	1657	1625	49.3%	19.6%	31.1%	+1.3	33
1948-03-28	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	1625	1657	31.1%	19.6%	49.3%	-1.3	11
1948-03-29	B.93	W 3-2	1605	1593	46.4%	20.0%	33.6%	+1.2	15
1948-03-29	@ Aarhus GF	L 2-3	1593	1605	33.6%	20.0%	46.4%	-1.2	8
1948-03-29	B 1903	W 4-1	1639	1605	49.6%	19.6%	30.8%	+2.9	33
1948-03-29	@ Frem	L 1-4	1605	1639	30.8%	19.6%	49.6%	-2.9	15
1948-03-29	AB Gladsaxe	W 11-0	1630	1635	44.2%	20.1%	35.6%	+13.3	15
1948-03-29	@ Osterbros	L 0-11	1635	1630	35.6%	20.1%	44.2%	-13.3	23
1948-04-03	KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	1602	1658	37.0%	20.0%	43.0%	-1.5	15
1948-04-03	@ B 1903	W 1-0	1658	1602	43.0%	20.0%	37.0%	+1.5	36
1948-04-04	Frem	L 1-4	1579	1642	36.1%	19.9%	44.0%	-3.3	2
1948-04-04	@ Fremad Amager	W 4-1	1642	1579	44.0%	19.9%	36.1%	+3.3	36
1948-04-04	Aarhus GF	L 2-4	1594	1606	43.2%	20.2%	36.6%	-2.4	14
1948-04-04	@ Koge BK	W 4-2	1606	1594	36.6%	20.2%	43.2%	+2.4	18
1948-04-04	B.93	W 2-1	1644	1592	52.0%	19.2%	28.8%	+1.1	18
1948-04-04	@ Osterbros	L 1-2	1592	1644	28.8%	19.2%	52.0%	-1.1	8
1948-04-10	Osterbros	W 1-0	1645	1645	44.9%	20.1%	35.1%	+1.4	39
1948-04-10	@ Frem	L 0-1	1645	1645	35.1%	20.1%	44.9%	-1.4	18
1948-04-11	Fremad Amager	W 4-1	1608	1576	49.4%	19.6%	31.0%	+2.9	21
1948-04-11	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-4	1576	1608	31.0%	19.6%	49.4%	-2.9	2
1948-04-11	KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1591	1659	35.4%	19.8%	44.8%	+0.1	9
1948-04-11	@ B.93	D 1-1	1659	1591	44.8%	19.8%	35.4%	-0.1	37
1948-04-11	Koge BK	L 2-3	1600	1592	46.1%	20.0%	33.9%	-1.6	15
1948-04-11	@ B 1903	W 3-2	1592	1600	33.9%	20.0%	46.1%	+1.6	17
1948-04-11	AB Gladsaxe	L 3-7	1624	1621	45.2%	20.1%	34.8%	-4.0	11
1948-04-11	@ Odense	W 7-3	1621	1624	34.8%	20.1%	45.2%	+4.0	26
1948-04-17	KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	1643	1659	42.6%	20.2%	37.2%	-1.6	18
1948-04-17	@ Osterbros	W 1-0	1659	1643	37.2%	20.2%	42.6%	+1.6	40
1948-04-18	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1646	1611	49.8%	19.6%	30.7%	-0.2	40
1948-04-18	@ Frem	D 1-1	1611	1646	30.7%	19.6%	49.8%	+0.2	22
1948-04-18	B 1903	D 2-2	1573	1599	41.1%	20.2%	38.7%	-0.0	3
1948-04-18	@ Fremad Amager	D 2-2	1599	1573	38.7%	20.2%	41.1%	+0.0	16
1948-04-18	Odense	D 2-2	1593	1620	41.1%	20.2%	38.8%	-0.0	18
1948-04-18	@ Koge BK	D 2-2	1620	1593	38.8%	20.2%	41.1%	+0.0	12
1948-04-19	AB Gladsaxe	L 2-4	1591	1625	40.0%	20.2%	39.9%	-2.3	9
1948-04-19	@ B.93	W 4-2	1625	1591	39.9%	20.2%	40.0%	+2.3	29
1948-04-21	Fremad Amager	W 5-0	1642	1573	54.4%	18.7%	26.9%	+4.9	21
1948-04-21	@ Osterbros	L 0-5	1573	1642	26.9%	18.7%	54.4%	-4.9	3
1948-04-23	Koge BK	W 3-0	1628	1593	49.7%	19.6%	30.8%	+3.4	32
1948-04-23	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-3	1593	1628	30.8%	19.6%	49.7%	-3.4	18
1948-04-23	B.93	L 0-2	1599	1589	46.3%	20.0%	33.7%	-3.3	16
1948-04-23	@ B 1903	W 2-0	1589	1599	33.7%	20.0%	46.3%	+3.3	12
1948-04-25	Frem	W 2-0	1620	1646	41.1%	20.2%	38.7%	+2.9	15
1948-04-25	@ Odense	L 0-2	1646	1620	38.7%	20.2%	41.1%	-2.9	40
1948-04-25	Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1647	1611	49.8%	19.6%	30.6%	-1.8	21
1948-04-25	@ Osterbros	W 2-1	1611	1647	30.6%	19.6%	49.8%	+1.8	25
1948-04-27	Koge BK	W 2-0	1661	1590	54.7%	18.6%	26.7%	+2.1	43
1948-04-27	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	1590	1661	26.7%	18.6%	54.7%	-2.1	18
1948-04-28	B 1903	W 5-4	1631	1596	49.8%	19.6%	30.6%	+1.1	35
1948-04-28	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 4-5	1596	1631	30.6%	19.6%	49.8%	-1.1	16
1948-05-01	Fremad Amager	W 2-0	1592	1568	48.3%	19.8%	32.0%	+2.5	15
1948-05-01	@ B.93	L 0-2	1568	1592	32.0%	19.8%	48.3%	-2.5	3
1948-05-02	Odense	W 3-1	1613	1623	43.5%	20.1%	36.4%	+2.4	28
1948-05-02	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-3	1623	1613	36.4%	20.1%	43.5%	-2.4	15
1948-05-02	Frem	L 3-4	1632	1643	43.3%	20.1%	36.6%	-1.5	35
1948-05-02	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 4-3	1643	1632	36.6%	20.1%	43.3%	+1.5	43
1948-05-02	Osterbros	W 4-2	1595	1645	37.8%	20.0%	42.2%	+2.4	19
1948-05-02	@ B 1903	L 2-4	1645	1595	42.2%	20.0%	37.8%	-2.4	21
1948-05-06	Aarhus GF	W 5-2	1597	1615	42.2%	20.2%	37.6%	+3.0	22
1948-05-06	@ B 1903	L 2-5	1615	1597	37.6%	20.2%	42.2%	-3.0	28
1948-05-06	AB Gladsaxe	W 3-1	1663	1631	49.4%	19.6%	31.0%	+2.1	46
1948-05-06	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1631	1663	31.0%	19.6%	49.4%	-2.1	35
1948-05-06	Osterbros	D 3-3	1620	1642	41.7%	20.2%	38.1%	-0.0	16
1948-05-06	@ Odense	D 3-3	1642	1620	38.1%	20.2%	41.7%	+0.0	22
1948-05-08	Koge BK	D 3-3	1594	1588	45.8%	20.0%	34.2%	-0.1	16
1948-05-08	@ B.93	D 3-3	1588	1594	34.2%	20.0%	45.8%	+0.1	19
1948-05-09	Odense	W 4-2	1565	1620	37.1%	20.0%	42.9%	+2.4	6
1948-05-09	@ Fremad Amager	L 2-4	1620	1565	42.9%	20.0%	37.1%	-2.4	16
1948-05-10	KB Copenhagen	L 1-2	1645	1665	42.0%	20.2%	37.8%	-1.5	43
1948-05-10	@ Frem	W 2-1	1665	1645	37.8%	20.2%	42.0%	+1.5	49

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1948-04-25	30.64%	Aarhus GF	1611	2	@ Osterbros	1647	1
2	1948-03-26	30.82%	Aarhus GF	1603	1	@ AB Gladsaxe	1637	0
3	1947-11-02	31.86%	Frem	1619	5	@ KB Copenhagen	1644	3
4	1948-03-25	32.08%	B 1903	1603	3	@ Odense	1627	2
5	1947-08-28	32.17%	B 1903	1608	2	@ Osterbros	1631	1
6	1947-08-24	32.56%	Koge BK	1613	5	@ Odense	1632	3
7	1947-12-07	33.51%	Frem	1621	5	@ Osterbros	1633	2
8	1948-04-23	33.74%	B.93	1589	2	@ B 1903	1599	0
9	1948-04-11	33.91%	Koge BK	1592	3	@ B 1903	1600	2
10	1947-08-16	34.54%	B 1903	1605	2	@ B.93	1609	0
11	1948-04-11	34.75%	AB Gladsaxe	1621	7	@ Odense	1624	3
12	1947-08-21	35.73%	Frem	1610	2	@ B.93	1605	1
13	1947-08-31	35.89%	AB Gladsaxe	1616	4	@ B 1903	1610	1
14	1947-11-16	35.90%	AB Gladsaxe	1627	3	@ Frem	1621	2
15	1947-12-07	35.92%	B.93	1596	3	@ Fremad Amager	1590	0
16	1947-10-12	36.02%	Frem	1615	4	@ Aarhus GF	1608	1
17	1947-08-27	36.31%	KB Copenhagen	1630	5	@ AB Gladsaxe	1621	1
18	1948-03-28	36.46%	Koge BK	1592	4	@ Fremad Amager	1581	2
19	1947-09-28	36.54%	Frem	1613	1	@ B 1903	1602	0
20	1948-05-02	36.58%	Frem	1643	4	@ AB Gladsaxe	1632	3
21	1948-04-04	36.65%	Aarhus GF	1606	4	@ Koge BK	1594	2
22	1947-11-16	36.98%	KB Copenhagen	1641	3	@ Odense	1627	0
23	1948-05-09	37.13%	@ Fremad Amager	1565	4	Odense	1620	2
24	1948-04-17	37.22%	KB Copenhagen	1659	1	@ Osterbros	1643	0
25	1948-05-02	37.77%	@ B 1903	1595	4	Osterbros	1645	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1948-03-29	13.32	@ Osterbros	11	1630	44.25%	AB Gladsaxe	0	1635	35.65%
2	1948-03-21	9.82	Frem	7	1624	38.06%	@ Koge BK	0	1603	41.77%
3	1947-10-12	6.46	@ AB Gladsaxe	5	1621	43.02%	Odense	0	1634	36.83%
4	1947-10-26	6.39	@ Aarhus GF	5	1604	43.50%	Koge BK	0	1613	36.37%
5	1947-12-07	5.93	@ Odense	7	1618	45.94%	Aarhus GF	1	1610	34.06%
6	1947-11-30	5.35	@ KB Copenhagen	5	1646	51.01%	B.93	0	1602	29.62%
7	1947-08-27	5.00	KB Copenhagen	5	1630	36.31%	@ AB Gladsaxe	1	1621	43.55%
8	1947-11-30	4.95	@ Osterbros	4	1628	45.58%	Odense	0	1623	34.39%
9	1948-04-21	4.88	@ Osterbros	5	1642	54.39%	Fremad Amager	0	1573	26.92%
10	1947-12-07	4.63	B.93	3	1596	35.92%	@ Fremad Amager	0	1590	43.96%
11	1947-11-23	4.58	@ AB Gladsaxe	6	1629	49.65%	Fremad Amager	1	1594	30.77%
12	1948-03-26	4.55	@ Frem	6	1634	49.93%	B.93	1	1598	30.53%
13	1947-11-16	4.53	KB Copenhagen	3	1641	36.98%	@ Odense	0	1627	42.87%
14	1947-09-28	4.09	KB Copenhagen	6	1640	38.13%	@ Koge BK	2	1617	41.70%
15	1948-03-25	4.00	@ KB Copenhagen	4	1653	54.14%	Fremad Amager	0	1585	27.11%
16	1948-04-11	3.99	AB Gladsaxe	7	1621	34.75%	@ Odense	3	1624	45.20%
17	1947-08-31	3.91	AB Gladsaxe	4	1616	35.89%	@ B 1903	1	1610	43.99%
18	1947-10-12	3.90	Frem	4	1615	36.02%	@ Aarhus GF	1	1608	43.85%
19	1947-09-14	3.83	@ Odense	5	1630	48.70%	Fremad Amager	1	1602	31.59%
20	1947-12-07	3.54	Frem	5	1621	33.51%	@ Osterbros	2	1633	46.54%
21	1947-09-14	3.48	@ KB Copenhagen	3	1636	49.13%	B 1903	0	1606	31.21%
22	1948-04-23	3.44	@ AB Gladsaxe	3	1628	49.67%	Koge BK	0	1593	30.75%
23	1948-04-23	3.32	B.93	2	1589	33.74%	@ B 1903	0	1599	46.29%
24	1948-04-04	3.32	Frem	4	1642	44.00%	@ Fremad Amager	1	1579	36.11%
25	1947-08-16	3.27	B 1903	2	1605	34.54%	@ B.93	0	1609	45.43%