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2014-15 First League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Mattersburg

14.00 points above expected

71 points · 57.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Austria Lustenau

8.20 points below expected

42 points · 50.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Mattersburg 36 21 8 7 71 69 36 +33 57.00 +14.00
2 Liefering 36 20 5 11 65 70 55 +15 59.93 +5.07
3 LASK Linz 36 15 11 10 56 45 36 +9 57.70 -1.70
4 Kapfenberger 36 12 13 11 49 52 45 +7 52.15 -3.15
5 SKN St. Polten 36 13 10 13 49 39 41 -2 46.10 +2.90
6 Wacker Innsbruck 36 11 10 15 43 32 43 -11 50.32 -7.32
7 Austria Lustenau 36 11 9 16 42 49 56 -7 50.20 -8.20
8 Floridsdorfer 36 9 14 13 41 40 49 -9 46.07 -5.07
9 Horn 36 10 8 18 38 34 50 -16 39.96 -1.96
10 Hartberg 36 10 8 18 38 46 65 -19 35.87 +2.13

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mattersburg 71 57.00 +14.00
2 Liefering 65 59.93 +5.07
3 SKN St. Polten 49 46.10 +2.90
4 Hartberg 38 35.87 +2.13
5 LASK Linz 56 57.70 -1.70

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Austria Lustenau 42 50.20 -8.20
2 Wacker Innsbruck 43 50.32 -7.32
3 Floridsdorfer 41 46.07 -5.07
4 Kapfenberger 49 52.15 -3.15
5 Horn 38 39.96 -1.96

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wacker Innsbruck 5 Aug 8 – Sep 12 1 in 58
2 Hartberg 2 Sep 12 – Sep 16 1 in 38
3 Liefering 5 Mar 20 – Apr 21 1 in 37
4 Mattersburg 5 Nov 21 – Mar 13 1 in 34
5 LASK Linz 4 Sep 26 – Oct 21 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wacker Innsbruck 6 Sep 26 – Nov 3 1 in 983
2 LASK Linz 5 Mar 20 – Apr 21 1 in 420
3 Hartberg 6 Aug 1 – Aug 29 1 in 47
4 Austria Lustenau 3 Feb 27 – Mar 13 1 in 23
5 Liefering 2 May 8 – May 12 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Floridsdorfer 10 Sep 15 – Nov 21 1 in 233
2 Kapfenberger 8 Nov 7 – Mar 20 1 in 35
3 Horn 5 Feb 27 – Mar 20 1 in 24
4 Hartberg 5 Mar 6 – Apr 3 1 in 23
5 Wacker Innsbruck 7 Aug 8 – Sep 19 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wacker Innsbruck 8 Sep 16 – Nov 3 1 in 89
2 LASK Linz 7 Mar 13 – Apr 21 1 in 73
3 Liefering 5 Apr 24 – May 15 1 in 37
4 Austria Lustenau 6 Aug 15 – Sep 19 1 in 25
5 Kapfenberger 6 Jul 18 – Aug 15 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Mattersburg 1570 71 +39 11 8.0 +3.0
Liefering 1483 65 -43 4 7.8 -3.8
LASK Linz 1469 56 -7 6 7.5 -1.5
SKN St. Polten 1440 49 +41 13 6.6 +6.4
Kapfenberger 1487 49 +19 9 7.6 +1.4
Wacker Innsbruck 1427 43 +4 6 7.3 -1.3
Austria Lustenau 1426 42 -19 5 6.9 -1.9
Floridsdorfer 1408 41 -7 5 5.9 -0.9
Hartberg 1375 38 -15 4 6.1 -2.1
Horn 1363 38 -12 4 5.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL FLO HAR HOR KAP LL LIE MAT SSP WI
Austria Lustenau —
1-2-1
5.98
3-0-1
7.09
0-2-2
6.63
1-1-2
5.25
0-0-4
4.98
2-0-2
4.55
1-2-1
4.61
1-1-2
5.95
2-1-1
5.36
Floridsdorfer
1-2-1
5.01
 —
2-1-1
6.55
2-0-2
6.27
1-2-1
4.81
1-2-1
4.24
0-2-2
4.11
0-2-2
4.16
1-1-2
5.60
1-2-1
5.26
Hartberg
1-0-3
3.95
1-1-2
4.47
 —
2-1-1
4.99
1-1-2
3.77
1-3-0
3.35
2-0-2
3.15
0-0-4
3.66
1-0-3
4.36
1-2-1
4.20
Horn
2-2-0
4.38
2-0-2
4.72
1-1-2
5.99
 —
1-2-1
4.10
1-1-2
3.78
1-0-3
3.62
0-1-3
3.97
2-1-1
4.75
0-0-4
4.63
Kapfenberger
2-1-1
5.73
1-2-1
6.18
2-1-1
7.27
1-2-1
6.91
 —
1-2-1
4.86
2-0-2
4.67
0-1-3
4.77
0-3-1
6.01
3-1-0
5.48
LASK Linz
4-0-0
6.03
1-2-1
6.77
0-3-1
7.72
2-1-1
7.27
1-2-1
6.13
 —
1-1-2
5.30
2-1-1
5.39
2-1-1
6.63
2-0-2
6.53
Liefering
2-0-2
6.47
2-2-0
6.90
2-0-2
7.98
3-0-1
7.44
2-0-2
6.33
2-1-1
5.67
 —
3-0-1
5.49
1-1-2
7.10
3-1-0
6.51
Mattersburg
1-2-1
6.39
2-2-0
6.85
4-0-0
7.41
3-1-0
7.06
3-1-0
6.22
1-1-2
5.58
1-0-3
5.48
 —
4-0-0
6.62
2-1-1
5.76
SKN St. Polten
2-1-1
5.04
2-1-1
5.38
3-0-1
6.65
1-1-2
6.24
1-3-0
4.97
1-1-2
4.39
2-1-1
3.93
0-0-4
4.38
 —
1-2-1
5.26
Wacker Innsbruck
1-1-2
5.61
1-2-1
5.73
1-2-1
6.83
4-0-0
6.36
0-1-3
5.51
2-0-2
4.47
0-1-3
4.49
1-1-2
5.23
1-2-1
5.72
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +7.2
Allowed 0.25 -6.2
Differential 0.94 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.44%10.56%5.83%3.61%1.67%0.28%31.39%
110.56%9.44%4.17%4.44%1.67%0.28%30.56%
25.83%4.17%6.67%2.22%0.83%0.56%20.28%
33.61%4.44%2.22%1.11%—0.56%11.94%
41.67%1.67%0.83%———4.17%
5+0.28%0.28%0.56%0.56%——1.67%
Total31.39%30.56%20.28%11.94%4.17%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.77
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
15.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
2—8.33%—2.78%2.78%—13.89%
3—5.56%2.78%5.56%——13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total19.44%36.11%19.44%19.44%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.56 -0.19
SD 1.46 1.18 1.91
CV 1.07 0.76 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%2.78%———30.56%
15.56%11.11%5.56%11.11%—2.78%36.11%
28.33%5.56%8.33%——2.78%25.00%
32.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%27.78%19.44%13.89%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.36 -0.25
SD 0.95 1.38 1.46
CV 0.85 1.01 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%2.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%30.56%
111.11%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
22.78%—11.11%5.56%2.78%—22.22%
32.78%8.33%———2.78%13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%27.78%16.67%19.44%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.81 -0.53
SD 1.14 1.49 1.99
CV 0.89 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%16.67%8.33%——47.22%
111.11%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
22.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total27.78%27.78%25.00%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.39 -0.44
SD 1.24 1.15 1.75
CV 1.31 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%2.78%———27.78%
18.33%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—25.00%
2—2.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
38.33%5.56%5.56%———19.44%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%30.56%27.78%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.25 +0.19
SD 1.18 1.13 1.45
CV 0.82 0.90 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%8.33%2.78%——38.89%
18.33%8.33%—2.78%——19.44%
28.33%11.11%8.33%———27.78%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%44.44%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.00 +0.25
SD 1.30 0.86 1.52
CV 1.04 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%—13.89%
111.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
28.33%—2.78%2.78%—2.78%16.67%
35.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
4—8.33%2.78%———11.11%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total25.00%33.33%19.44%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.53 +0.42
SD 1.43 1.36 2.12
CV 0.74 0.89 —
Max 6 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
111.11%8.33%—5.56%——25.00%
219.44%5.56%8.33%———33.33%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%—2.78%11.11%
411.11%—5.56%———16.67%
5+———————
Total47.22%25.00%16.67%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.00 +0.92
SD 1.27 1.31 1.79
CV 0.66 1.31 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%2.78%—5.56%—36.11%
119.44%8.33%8.33%———36.11%
22.78%2.78%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total36.11%30.56%22.22%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.14 -0.06
SD 1.16 1.15 1.47
CV 1.07 1.01 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%8.33%8.33%——38.89%
113.89%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%—41.67%
25.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
38.33%—————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total41.67%22.22%16.67%13.89%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.19 -0.31
SD 0.92 1.28 1.75
CV 1.03 1.07 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Mattersburg 1570 71 57.00 +14.00 97.5% 32 44 52 57 63 69 81
Kapfenberger 1487 49 52.15 -3.15 36.7% 29 39 47 52 58 65 77
Liefering 1483 65 59.93 +5.07 75.2% 27 47 55 60 65 73 84
LASK Linz 1469 56 57.70 -1.70 45.1% 35 45 52 58 63 71 81
SKN St. Polten 1440 49 46.10 +2.90 68.5% 22 34 41 46 51 59 73
Wacker Innsbruck 1427 43 50.32 -7.32 19.2% 30 38 45 50 55 63 73
Austria Lustenau 1426 42 50.20 -8.20 16.2% 24 38 45 50 55 63 79
Floridsdorfer 1408 41 46.07 -5.07 27.8% 26 33 41 46 51 59 67
Hartberg 1375 38 35.87 +2.13 65.0% 14 24 31 36 41 48 57
Horn 1363 38 39.96 -1.96 43.6% 19 28 35 39 45 53 67

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.00%
Slight Edge
41.67%26.67%31.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 34.86 Elo pts.
257 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.4
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Mattersburg, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.1 * Some Luck: 6.1 to 9.14 * Lucky: 9.14 to 12.19 * Wild Swing: 12.19 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.36 * Close: 1.36 to 2.04 * Off: 2.04 to 2.72 * Way Off: 2.72 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.30 points
Some Luck
07.6219
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.704
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.50%
Mattersburg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
16.20%
Austria Lustenau
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.27
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
77%
Clear Edge
50%76%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.66
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.42
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
As Expected
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.62
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.083
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Mattersburg23.00%21.10%16.30%12.50%10.10%7.80%4.20%3.60%0.70%0.70%
Liefering32.90%23.00%16.20%12.20%7.10%3.20%3.20%1.70%0.30%0.20%
LASK Linz23.40%22.30%15.60%12.20%11.40%6.80%3.70%2.60%1.40%0.60%
Kapfenberger7.80%11.90%15.00%13.50%15.40%13.10%10.20%7.60%3.80%1.70%
SKN St. Polten1.70%3.50%6.60%7.40%12.40%14.70%16.90%17.30%12.70%6.80%
Wacker Innsbruck4.70%6.30%12.30%15.40%12.30%14.00%14.10%10.70%7.90%2.30%
Austria Lustenau5.30%7.80%9.40%14.80%14.80%14.80%12.20%9.80%7.90%3.20%
Floridsdorfer0.90%3.70%6.60%8.30%9.50%16.10%16.00%17.40%14.00%7.50%
Horn0.30%0.30%1.60%2.70%5.00%6.70%11.00%17.70%28.60%26.10%
Hartberg—0.10%0.40%1.00%2.00%2.80%8.50%11.60%22.70%50.90%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
LASK Linz 35.10% 62.90% 2.00%
Mattersburg 32.20% 66.40% 1.40%
Kapfenberger 12.40% 82.10% 5.50%
Liefering — 99.50% 0.50%
Austria Lustenau 8.40% 80.50% 11.10%
Wacker Innsbruck 6.90% 82.90% 10.20%
SKN St. Polten 2.70% 77.80% 19.50%
Floridsdorfer 2.00% 76.50% 21.50%
Horn 0.30% 45.00% 54.70%
Hartberg — 26.40% 73.60%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2014-07-18 Floridsdorfer D 0-056.2 1488 1427 52.62% 24.36% 23.02%+0.37 -1.3 1
2014-07-18 @ Austria Lustenau D 0-056.2 1427 1488 23.02% 24.36% 52.62%-0.37 +1.3 1
2014-07-18 Kapfenberger W 2-151.3 1472 1452 47.26% 25.27% 27.47%+0.21 +5.1 3
2014-07-18 @ LASK Linz L 1-251.3 1452 1472 27.47% 25.27% 47.26%-0.21 -5.1 0
2014-07-18 Liefering L 0-337.8 1366 1489 28.09% 25.36% 46.55%-0.34 -15.0 0
2014-07-18 @ Hartberg W 3-037.8 1489 1366 46.55% 25.36% 28.09%+0.34 +15.0 3
2014-07-18 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-045.4 1427 1492 35.54% 25.91% 38.55%-0.12 +13.2 3
2014-07-18 @ Mattersburg L 0-245.4 1492 1427 38.55% 25.91% 35.54%+0.12 -13.2 0
2014-07-21 Horn W 3-036.4 1434 1400 49.23% 24.98% 25.78%+0.27 +13.9 3
2014-07-21 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-336.4 1400 1434 25.78% 24.98% 49.23%-0.27 -13.9 0
2014-07-25 Austria Lustenau L 1-257.8 1479 1487 43.58% 25.66% 30.75%+0.10 -7.2 0
2014-07-25 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-157.8 1487 1479 30.75% 25.66% 43.58%-0.10 +7.2 4
2014-07-25 Floridsdorfer D 1-161.5 1504 1428 54.36% 23.97% 21.67%+0.43 -1.2 4
2014-07-25 @ Liefering D 1-161.5 1428 1504 21.67% 23.97% 54.36%-0.43 +1.2 2
2014-07-25 Hartberg D 0-054.2 1477 1351 60.12% 22.34% 17.55%+0.62 -1.9 4
2014-07-25 @ LASK Linz D 0-054.2 1351 1477 17.55% 22.34% 60.12%-0.62 +1.9 1
2014-07-25 Mattersburg D 0-053.1 1386 1440 37.06% 25.92% 37.02%-0.08 +0.0 1
2014-07-25 @ Horn D 0-053.1 1440 1386 37.02% 25.92% 37.06%+0.08 +0.0 4
2014-07-28 SKN St. Polten D 2-265.2 1447 1448 44.59% 25.57% 29.84%+0.13 -0.4 1
2014-07-28 @ Kapfenberger D 2-265.2 1448 1447 29.84% 25.57% 44.59%-0.13 +0.4 4
2014-08-01 Austria Lustenau W 2-045.1 1503 1494 45.81% 25.45% 28.74%+0.17 +10.5 7
2014-08-01 @ Liefering L 0-245.1 1494 1503 28.74% 25.45% 45.81%-0.17 -10.5 4
2014-08-01 Horn W 2-147.1 1430 1386 50.44% 24.78% 24.78%+0.31 +4.6 5
2014-08-01 @ Floridsdorfer L 1-247.1 1386 1430 24.78% 24.78% 50.44%-0.31 -4.6 1
2014-08-01 Mattersburg L 0-437.3 1353 1440 32.51% 25.79% 41.70%-0.20 -22.0 1
2014-08-01 @ Hartberg W 4-037.3 1440 1353 41.70% 25.79% 32.51%+0.20 +22.0 7
2014-08-01 Wacker Innsbruck D 0-055.9 1447 1472 41.28% 25.81% 32.91%+0.04 -0.3 2
2014-08-01 @ Kapfenberger D 0-055.9 1472 1447 32.91% 25.81% 41.28%-0.04 +0.3 1
2014-08-04 SKN St. Polten W 4-039.1 1462 1448 46.54% 25.36% 28.10%+0.19 +19.6 10
2014-08-04 @ Mattersburg L 0-439.1 1448 1462 28.10% 25.36% 46.54%-0.19 -19.6 4
2014-08-05 Hartberg W 3-033.4 1381 1331 51.27% 24.63% 24.10%+0.33 +13.1 4
2014-08-05 @ Horn L 0-333.4 1331 1381 24.10% 24.63% 51.27%-0.33 -13.1 1
2014-08-05 Kapfenberger D 2-264.7 1434 1447 42.99% 25.71% 31.31%+0.09 -0.3 6
2014-08-05 @ Floridsdorfer D 2-264.7 1447 1434 31.31% 25.71% 42.99%-0.09 +0.3 3
2014-08-05 LASK Linz L 1-258.1 1484 1475 45.89% 25.44% 28.67%+0.17 -7.5 4
2014-08-05 @ Austria Lustenau W 2-158.1 1475 1484 28.67% 25.44% 45.89%-0.17 +7.6 7
2014-08-05 Liefering L 0-151.8 1472 1513 38.96% 25.90% 35.14%-0.02 -7.0 1
2014-08-05 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 1-051.8 1513 1472 35.14% 25.90% 38.96%+0.02 +7.1 10
2014-08-08 Floridsdorfer W 2-150.0 1465 1434 48.81% 25.05% 26.14%+0.26 +4.8 4
2014-08-08 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-250.0 1434 1465 26.14% 25.05% 48.81%-0.26 -4.9 6
2014-08-08 Hartberg W 5-031.4 1476 1318 63.60% 21.10% 15.30%+0.75 +13.6 7
2014-08-08 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-531.4 1318 1476 15.30% 21.10% 63.60%-0.75 -13.6 1
2014-08-08 Horn D 0-053.9 1447 1394 51.55% 24.57% 23.87%+0.34 -1.2 4
2014-08-08 @ Kapfenberger D 0-053.9 1394 1447 23.87% 24.57% 51.55%-0.34 +1.2 5
2014-08-08 Mattersburg W 1-048.1 1482 1482 44.76% 25.56% 29.68%+0.14 +5.7 10
2014-08-08 @ LASK Linz L 0-148.1 1482 1482 29.68% 25.56% 44.76%-0.14 -5.7 10
2014-08-11 LASK Linz W 1-049.0 1429 1488 36.37% 25.92% 37.71%-0.09 +6.9 7
2014-08-11 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-149.0 1488 1429 37.71% 25.92% 36.37%+0.09 -6.9 10
2014-08-15 Austria Lustenau W 2-044.9 1476 1490 42.81% 25.72% 31.47%+0.08 +11.3 13
2014-08-15 @ Mattersburg L 0-244.9 1490 1476 31.47% 25.72% 42.81%-0.08 -11.3 7
2014-08-15 Kapfenberger W 3-255.5 1520 1446 54.22% 24.00% 21.78%+0.42 +3.9 13
2014-08-15 @ Liefering L 2-355.5 1446 1520 21.78% 24.00% 54.22%-0.42 -3.9 4
2014-08-15 LASK Linz L 0-242.2 1396 1481 32.73% 25.80% 41.46%-0.20 -11.6 5
2014-08-15 @ Horn W 2-042.2 1481 1396 41.46% 25.80% 32.73%+0.20 +11.6 13
2014-08-15 SKN St. Polten L 0-149.1 1429 1436 43.77% 25.65% 30.58%+0.11 -7.7 6
2014-08-15 @ Floridsdorfer W 1-049.1 1436 1429 30.58% 25.65% 43.77%-0.11 +7.7 10
2014-08-15 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-334.2 1304 1470 23.47% 24.47% 52.06%-0.51 -12.8 1
2014-08-15 @ Hartberg W 3-034.2 1470 1304 52.06% 24.47% 23.47%+0.51 +12.8 7
2014-08-18 Liefering L 2-359.6 1444 1524 33.41% 25.84% 40.75%-0.18 -5.6 10
2014-08-18 @ SKN St. Polten W 3-259.6 1524 1444 40.75% 25.84% 33.41%+0.18 +5.6 16
2014-08-22 Floridsdorfer W 2-039.7 1487 1421 53.22% 24.23% 22.55%+0.39 +8.5 16
2014-08-22 @ Mattersburg L 0-239.7 1421 1487 22.55% 24.23% 53.22%-0.39 -8.5 6
2014-08-22 Horn L 0-152.2 1478 1384 56.61% 23.39% 20.00%+0.50 -9.5 7
2014-08-22 @ Austria Lustenau W 1-052.2 1384 1478 20.00% 23.39% 56.61%-0.50 +9.5 8
2014-08-22 Kapfenberger L 1-341.8 1291 1442 25.01% 24.83% 50.16%-0.45 -8.1 1
2014-08-22 @ Hartberg W 3-141.8 1442 1291 50.16% 24.83% 25.01%+0.45 +8.1 7
2014-08-22 Liefering W 2-048.0 1493 1530 39.57% 25.88% 34.55%-0.01 +12.2 16
2014-08-22 @ LASK Linz L 0-248.0 1530 1493 34.55% 25.88% 39.57%+0.01 -12.1 16
2014-08-22 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-149.3 1438 1483 38.43% 25.91% 35.65%-0.04 -7.0 10
2014-08-22 @ SKN St. Polten W 1-049.3 1483 1438 35.65% 25.91% 38.43%+0.04 +7.0 10
2014-08-29 Austria Lustenau D 1-159.8 1431 1469 39.39% 25.89% 34.72%-0.01 -0.2 11
2014-08-29 @ SKN St. Polten D 1-159.8 1469 1431 34.72% 25.89% 39.39%+0.01 +0.2 8
2014-08-29 Hartberg W 3-246.8 1413 1283 60.55% 22.19% 17.26%+0.64 +3.1 9
2014-08-29 @ Floridsdorfer L 2-346.8 1283 1413 17.26% 22.19% 60.55%-0.64 -3.1 1
2014-08-29 Horn W 4-140.3 1518 1393 59.95% 22.39% 17.66%+0.62 +8.3 19
2014-08-29 @ Liefering L 1-440.3 1393 1518 17.66% 22.39% 59.95%-0.62 -8.3 8
2014-08-29 LASK Linz W 1-049.9 1490 1505 42.57% 25.74% 31.69%+0.08 +6.0 13
2014-08-29 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-149.9 1505 1490 31.69% 25.74% 42.57%-0.08 -6.0 16
2014-08-29 Mattersburg D 2-266.8 1450 1496 38.27% 25.91% 35.82%-0.04 -0.1 8
2014-08-29 @ Kapfenberger D 2-266.8 1496 1450 35.82% 25.91% 38.27%+0.04 +0.1 17
2014-09-12 Floridsdorfer W 5-140.4 1499 1416 55.26% 23.75% 20.99%+0.46 +12.6 19
2014-09-12 @ LASK Linz L 1-540.4 1416 1499 20.99% 23.75% 55.26%-0.46 -12.6 9
2014-09-12 Kapfenberger L 1-353.3 1469 1450 47.26% 25.27% 27.47%+0.21 -13.4 8
2014-09-12 @ Austria Lustenau W 3-153.3 1450 1469 27.47% 25.27% 47.26%-0.21 +13.4 11
2014-09-12 Liefering L 3-655.9 1496 1526 40.56% 25.85% 33.59%+0.02 -13.5 17
2014-09-12 @ Mattersburg W 6-355.9 1526 1496 33.59% 25.85% 40.56%-0.02 +13.5 22
2014-09-12 SKN St. Polten W 1-047.5 1280 1431 25.00% 24.83% 50.17%-0.45 +8.6 4
2014-09-12 @ Hartberg L 0-147.5 1431 1280 50.17% 24.83% 25.00%+0.45 -8.6 11
2014-09-12 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-339.0 1385 1496 29.57% 25.54% 44.89%-0.29 -15.6 8
2014-09-12 @ Horn W 3-039.0 1496 1385 44.89% 25.54% 29.57%+0.29 +15.6 16
2014-09-15 Austria Lustenau D 3-367.7 1403 1456 37.35% 25.92% 36.73%-0.07 -0.0 10
2014-09-15 @ Floridsdorfer D 3-367.7 1456 1403 36.73% 25.92% 37.35%+0.07 +0.0 9
2014-09-16 Hartberg L 0-347.9 1539 1289 72.37% 17.22% 10.41%+1.11 -31.7 22
2014-09-16 @ Liefering W 3-047.9 1289 1539 10.41% 17.22% 72.37%-1.11 +31.7 7
2014-09-16 LASK Linz D 1-162.4 1463 1512 37.93% 25.92% 36.15%-0.05 -0.1 12
2014-09-16 @ Kapfenberger D 1-162.4 1512 1463 36.15% 25.92% 37.93%+0.05 +0.1 20
2014-09-16 Mattersburg D 1-163.4 1511 1483 48.51% 25.10% 26.39%+0.25 -0.8 17
2014-09-16 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-163.4 1483 1511 26.39% 25.10% 48.51%-0.25 +0.8 18
2014-09-16 SKN St. Polten W 1-045.2 1370 1422 37.32% 25.92% 36.76%-0.07 +6.8 11
2014-09-16 @ Horn L 0-145.2 1422 1370 36.76% 25.92% 37.32%+0.07 -6.7 11
2014-09-19 Horn W 2-036.8 1483 1376 58.04% 22.98% 18.97%+0.55 +7.2 21
2014-09-19 @ Mattersburg L 0-236.8 1376 1483 18.97% 22.98% 58.04%-0.55 -7.2 11
2014-09-19 Kapfenberger W 1-047.2 1415 1463 37.99% 25.92% 36.09%-0.05 +6.6 14
2014-09-19 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-147.2 1463 1415 36.09% 25.92% 37.99%+0.05 -6.7 12
2014-09-19 LASK Linz D 2-263.9 1320 1512 21.07% 23.77% 55.16%-0.61 +1.0 8
2014-09-19 @ Hartberg D 2-263.9 1512 1320 55.16% 23.77% 21.07%+0.61 -1.0 21
2014-09-19 Liefering D 2-265.7 1403 1508 30.34% 25.62% 44.04%-0.27 +0.4 11
2014-09-19 @ Floridsdorfer D 2-265.7 1508 1403 44.04% 25.62% 30.34%+0.27 -0.4 23
2014-09-19 Wacker Innsbruck D 1-162.1 1456 1510 37.01% 25.92% 37.07%-0.08 +0.0 10
2014-09-19 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-162.1 1510 1456 37.07% 25.92% 37.01%+0.08 +0.0 18
2014-09-26 Floridsdorfer L 0-241.8 1369 1404 39.88% 25.87% 34.25%+0.00 -13.5 11
2014-09-26 @ Horn W 2-041.8 1404 1369 34.25% 25.87% 39.88%+0.00 +13.5 14
2014-09-26 Hartberg W 1-037.4 1491 1321 64.71% 20.67% 14.63%+0.79 +2.9 24
2014-09-26 @ Mattersburg L 0-137.4 1321 1491 14.63% 20.67% 64.71%-0.79 -2.9 8
2014-09-26 Kapfenberger L 0-348.4 1510 1457 51.71% 24.54% 23.74%+0.35 -24.2 18
2014-09-26 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-048.4 1457 1510 23.74% 24.54% 51.71%-0.35 +24.2 15
2014-09-26 Liefering W 5-251.5 1456 1507 37.48% 25.92% 36.60%-0.06 +13.5 13
2014-09-26 @ Austria Lustenau L 2-551.5 1507 1456 36.60% 25.92% 37.48%+0.06 -13.5 23
2014-09-26 SKN St. Polten W 2-149.0 1511 1422 55.92% 23.58% 20.50%+0.48 +3.9 24
2014-09-26 @ LASK Linz L 1-249.0 1422 1511 20.50% 23.58% 55.92%-0.48 -3.9 14
2014-10-03 Austria Lustenau W 3-148.7 1515 1469 50.65% 24.74% 24.60%+0.31 +8.0 27
2014-10-03 @ LASK Linz L 1-348.7 1469 1515 24.60% 24.74% 50.65%-0.31 -8.0 13
2014-10-03 Floridsdorfer D 0-055.7 1481 1417 52.91% 24.29% 22.79%+0.38 -1.3 16
2014-10-03 @ Kapfenberger D 0-055.7 1417 1481 22.79% 24.29% 52.91%-0.38 +1.3 15
2014-10-03 Horn W 3-144.2 1319 1356 39.53% 25.89% 34.58%-0.01 +10.5 11
2014-10-03 @ Hartberg L 1-344.2 1356 1319 34.58% 25.89% 39.53%+0.01 -10.5 11
2014-10-03 Mattersburg L 0-243.8 1418 1494 34.11% 25.87% 40.02%-0.16 -12.0 14
2014-10-03 @ SKN St. Polten W 2-043.8 1494 1418 40.02% 25.87% 34.11%+0.16 +12.0 27
2014-10-03 Wacker Innsbruck W 4-147.1 1494 1486 45.70% 25.46% 28.84%+0.16 +12.9 26
2014-10-03 @ Liefering L 1-447.1 1486 1494 28.84% 25.46% 45.70%-0.16 -12.9 18
2014-10-17 Austria Lustenau L 0-142.0 1329 1461 27.02% 25.20% 47.78%-0.38 -5.3 11
2014-10-17 @ Hartberg W 1-042.0 1461 1329 47.78% 25.20% 27.02%+0.38 +5.3 16
2014-10-17 Kapfenberger W 4-147.7 1345 1480 26.76% 25.16% 48.09%-0.39 +19.2 14
2014-10-17 @ Horn L 1-447.7 1480 1345 48.09% 25.16% 26.76%+0.39 -19.2 16
2014-10-17 LASK Linz L 0-154.4 1506 1523 42.35% 25.75% 31.90%+0.07 -7.5 27
2014-10-17 @ Mattersburg W 1-054.4 1523 1506 31.90% 25.75% 42.35%-0.07 +7.5 30
2014-10-17 SKN St. Polten L 1-259.2 1507 1406 57.30% 23.20% 19.50%+0.53 -9.1 26
2014-10-17 @ Liefering W 2-159.2 1406 1507 19.50% 23.20% 57.30%-0.53 +9.1 17
2014-10-17 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-044.1 1419 1473 36.99% 25.92% 37.09%-0.08 +12.8 18
2014-10-17 @ Floridsdorfer L 0-244.1 1473 1419 37.09% 25.92% 36.99%+0.08 -12.8 18
2014-10-20 Hartberg L 0-247.3 1461 1324 61.33% 21.93% 16.74%+0.67 -19.2 18
2014-10-20 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-047.3 1324 1461 16.74% 21.93% 61.33%-0.67 +19.2 14
2014-10-21 Floridsdorfer D 1-158.2 1415 1431 42.47% 25.74% 31.79%+0.07 -0.4 18
2014-10-21 @ SKN St. Polten D 1-158.2 1431 1415 31.79% 25.74% 42.47%-0.07 +0.4 19
2014-10-21 Horn W 2-035.9 1530 1364 64.37% 20.80% 14.83%+0.78 +5.6 33
2014-10-21 @ LASK Linz L 0-235.9 1364 1530 14.83% 20.80% 64.37%-0.78 -5.6 14
2014-10-21 Liefering L 0-150.9 1460 1498 39.50% 25.89% 34.61%-0.01 -7.1 16
2014-10-21 @ Kapfenberger W 1-050.9 1498 1460 34.61% 25.89% 39.50%+0.01 +7.1 29
2014-10-21 Mattersburg D 3-371.3 1466 1498 40.31% 25.86% 33.83%+0.01 -0.2 17
2014-10-21 @ Austria Lustenau D 3-371.3 1498 1466 33.83% 25.86% 40.31%-0.01 +0.2 28
2014-10-24 Austria Lustenau W 1-048.2 1359 1466 29.91% 25.58% 44.51%-0.28 +7.8 17
2014-10-24 @ Horn L 0-148.2 1466 1359 44.51% 25.58% 29.91%+0.28 -7.8 17
2014-10-24 Hartberg W 1-038.9 1453 1343 58.40% 22.88% 18.72%+0.56 +3.8 19
2014-10-24 @ Kapfenberger L 0-138.9 1343 1453 18.72% 22.88% 58.40%-0.56 -3.8 14
2014-10-24 LASK Linz W 1-052.3 1505 1536 40.39% 25.86% 33.76%+0.01 +6.3 32
2014-10-24 @ Liefering L 0-152.3 1536 1505 33.76% 25.86% 40.39%-0.01 -6.3 33
2014-10-24 Mattersburg D 2-266.3 1432 1498 35.34% 25.90% 38.76%-0.12 +0.1 20
2014-10-24 @ Floridsdorfer D 2-266.3 1498 1432 38.76% 25.90% 35.34%+0.12 -0.1 29
2014-10-24 SKN St. Polten L 0-150.0 1441 1415 48.22% 25.14% 26.64%+0.24 -8.3 18
2014-10-24 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 1-050.0 1415 1441 26.64% 25.14% 48.22%-0.24 +8.3 21
2014-11-03 Wacker Innsbruck W 4-143.1 1529 1433 56.83% 23.33% 19.84%+0.51 +9.3 36
2014-11-03 @ LASK Linz L 1-443.1 1433 1529 19.84% 23.33% 56.83%-0.51 -9.3 18
2014-11-04 Floridsdorfer D 1-156.4 1339 1432 31.82% 25.75% 42.44%-0.22 +0.4 15
2014-11-04 @ Hartberg D 1-156.4 1432 1339 42.44% 25.75% 31.82%+0.22 -0.4 21
2014-11-04 Kapfenberger W 4-251.5 1498 1457 50.11% 24.84% 25.05%+0.30 +7.2 32
2014-11-04 @ Mattersburg L 2-451.5 1457 1498 25.05% 24.84% 50.11%-0.30 -7.2 19
2014-11-04 Liefering W 2-156.3 1366 1511 25.65% 24.96% 49.40%-0.43 +8.0 20
2014-11-04 @ Horn L 1-256.3 1511 1366 49.40% 24.96% 25.65%+0.43 -8.0 32
2014-11-04 SKN St. Polten W 2-149.3 1459 1423 49.37% 24.96% 25.67%+0.27 +4.8 20
2014-11-04 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-249.3 1423 1459 25.67% 24.96% 49.37%-0.27 -4.8 21
2014-11-07 Austria Lustenau D 1-160.3 1450 1463 42.82% 25.72% 31.46%+0.08 -0.4 20
2014-11-07 @ Kapfenberger D 1-160.3 1463 1450 31.46% 25.72% 42.82%-0.08 +0.4 21
2014-11-07 Hartberg W 1-039.3 1418 1340 54.76% 23.87% 21.37%+0.44 +4.3 24
2014-11-07 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-139.3 1340 1418 21.37% 23.87% 54.76%-0.44 -4.3 15
2014-11-07 Horn W 2-037.3 1424 1374 51.14% 24.65% 24.21%+0.33 +9.1 21
2014-11-07 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-237.3 1374 1424 24.21% 24.65% 51.14%-0.33 -9.1 20
2014-11-07 LASK Linz D 0-057.8 1431 1539 29.97% 25.59% 44.45%-0.28 +0.6 22
2014-11-07 @ Floridsdorfer D 0-057.8 1539 1431 44.45% 25.59% 29.97%+0.28 -0.6 37
2014-11-07 Mattersburg W 3-151.5 1503 1505 44.37% 25.59% 30.04%+0.13 +9.4 35
2014-11-07 @ Liefering L 1-351.5 1505 1503 30.04% 25.59% 44.37%-0.13 -9.4 32
2014-11-21 Floridsdorfer L 0-345.2 1464 1432 48.90% 25.04% 26.06%+0.26 -23.1 21
2014-11-21 @ Austria Lustenau W 3-045.2 1432 1464 26.06% 25.04% 48.90%-0.26 +23.1 25
2014-11-21 Kapfenberger D 0-059.0 1538 1449 55.94% 23.57% 20.49%+0.48 -1.5 38
2014-11-21 @ LASK Linz D 0-059.0 1449 1538 20.49% 23.57% 55.94%-0.48 +1.5 21
2014-11-21 Liefering W 3-152.6 1335 1512 22.35% 24.17% 53.48%-0.55 +14.8 18
2014-11-21 @ Hartberg L 1-352.6 1512 1335 53.48% 24.17% 22.35%+0.55 -14.8 35
2014-11-21 SKN St. Polten W 1-045.3 1365 1423 36.64% 25.92% 37.44%-0.09 +6.8 23
2014-11-21 @ Horn L 0-145.3 1423 1365 37.44% 25.92% 36.64%+0.09 -6.8 24
2014-11-21 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-146.0 1496 1433 52.86% 24.31% 22.83%+0.38 +7.5 35
2014-11-21 @ Mattersburg L 1-346.0 1433 1496 22.83% 24.31% 52.86%-0.38 -7.5 21
2014-11-28 Austria Lustenau L 1-254.1 1425 1441 42.59% 25.74% 31.67%+0.08 -7.1 21
2014-11-28 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-154.1 1441 1425 31.67% 25.74% 42.59%-0.08 +7.1 24
2014-11-28 Floridsdorfer W 3-147.6 1498 1455 50.28% 24.81% 24.91%+0.30 +8.1 38
2014-11-28 @ Liefering L 1-347.6 1455 1498 24.91% 24.81% 50.28%-0.30 -8.1 25
2014-11-28 Kapfenberger D 2-264.2 1416 1451 39.82% 25.88% 34.30%+0.00 -0.1 25
2014-11-28 @ SKN St. Polten D 2-264.2 1451 1416 34.30% 25.88% 39.82%+0.00 +0.2 22
2014-11-28 LASK Linz D 2-265.4 1350 1537 21.49% 23.91% 54.60%-0.59 +1.0 19
2014-11-28 @ Hartberg D 2-265.4 1537 1350 54.60% 23.91% 21.49%+0.59 -1.0 39
2014-11-28 Mattersburg L 0-144.3 1372 1503 27.13% 25.22% 47.65%-0.37 -5.3 23
2014-11-28 @ Horn W 1-044.3 1503 1372 47.65% 25.22% 27.13%+0.37 +5.3 38
2015-02-27 Hartberg W 2-035.1 1509 1351 63.53% 21.13% 15.34%+0.75 +5.8 41
2015-02-27 @ Mattersburg L 0-235.1 1351 1509 15.34% 21.13% 63.53%-0.75 -5.8 19
2015-02-27 Horn L 2-551.7 1447 1367 54.92% 23.83% 21.25%+0.45 -18.6 25
2015-02-27 @ Floridsdorfer W 5-251.7 1367 1447 21.25% 23.83% 54.92%-0.45 +18.6 26
2015-02-27 Liefering L 2-455.2 1448 1506 36.55% 25.92% 37.53%-0.09 -9.8 24
2015-02-27 @ Austria Lustenau W 4-255.2 1506 1448 37.53% 25.92% 36.55%+0.09 +9.8 41
2015-02-27 SKN St. Polten D 0-058.0 1536 1416 59.49% 22.54% 17.97%+0.60 -1.8 40
2015-02-27 @ LASK Linz D 0-058.0 1416 1536 17.97% 22.54% 59.49%-0.60 +1.8 26
2015-02-27 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-037.4 1451 1418 49.03% 25.02% 25.95%+0.26 +14.0 25
2015-02-27 @ Kapfenberger L 0-337.4 1418 1451 25.95% 25.02% 49.03%-0.26 -14.0 21
2015-03-06 Austria Lustenau W 3-255.0 1534 1438 56.76% 23.35% 19.89%+0.51 +3.6 43
2015-03-06 @ LASK Linz L 2-355.0 1438 1534 19.89% 23.35% 56.76%-0.51 -3.6 24
2015-03-06 Floridsdorfer W 2-149.6 1465 1428 49.52% 24.94% 25.54%+0.28 +4.8 28
2015-03-06 @ Kapfenberger L 1-249.6 1428 1465 25.54% 24.94% 49.52%-0.28 -4.8 25
2015-03-06 Horn D 1-155.7 1345 1386 39.07% 25.90% 35.03%-0.02 -0.1 20
2015-03-06 @ Hartberg D 1-155.7 1386 1345 35.03% 25.90% 39.07%+0.02 +0.1 27
2015-03-06 Liefering L 0-340.3 1404 1515 29.47% 25.53% 44.99%-0.30 -15.6 21
2015-03-06 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-040.3 1515 1404 44.99% 25.53% 29.47%+0.30 +15.6 44
2015-03-06 Mattersburg L 1-252.8 1418 1515 31.25% 25.70% 43.05%-0.24 -5.6 26
2015-03-06 @ SKN St. Polten W 2-152.8 1515 1418 43.05% 25.70% 31.25%+0.24 +5.6 44
2015-03-13 Hartberg L 0-443.4 1434 1345 56.00% 23.56% 20.45%+0.48 -33.8 24
2015-03-13 @ Austria Lustenau W 4-043.4 1345 1434 20.45% 23.56% 56.00%-0.48 +33.8 23
2015-03-13 Kapfenberger D 1-158.4 1386 1470 32.94% 25.82% 41.25%-0.19 +0.3 28
2015-03-13 @ Horn D 1-158.4 1470 1386 41.25% 25.82% 32.94%+0.19 -0.3 29
2015-03-13 LASK Linz W 3-046.1 1520 1537 42.32% 25.75% 31.93%+0.07 +16.6 47
2015-03-13 @ Mattersburg L 0-346.1 1537 1520 31.93% 25.75% 42.32%-0.07 -16.6 43
2015-03-13 SKN St. Polten D 1-162.3 1531 1412 59.40% 22.57% 18.03%+0.60 -1.6 45
2015-03-13 @ Liefering D 1-162.3 1412 1531 18.03% 22.57% 59.40%-0.60 +1.6 27
2015-03-13 Wacker Innsbruck D 0-053.0 1424 1389 49.33% 24.97% 25.70%+0.27 -1.0 26
2015-03-13 @ Floridsdorfer D 0-053.0 1389 1424 25.70% 24.97% 49.33%-0.27 +1.0 22
2015-03-16 Hartberg D 1-156.5 1390 1379 46.14% 25.41% 28.45%+0.18 -0.7 23
2015-03-16 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-156.5 1379 1390 28.45% 25.41% 46.14%-0.18 +0.7 24
2015-03-17 Horn D 1-161.2 1521 1386 61.12% 22.00% 16.88%+0.66 -1.7 44
2015-03-17 @ LASK Linz D 1-161.2 1386 1521 16.88% 22.00% 61.12%-0.66 +1.7 29
2015-03-17 Liefering W 3-262.2 1469 1529 36.26% 25.92% 37.83%-0.10 +6.2 32
2015-03-17 @ Kapfenberger L 2-362.2 1529 1469 37.83% 25.92% 36.26%+0.10 -6.2 45
2015-03-17 Mattersburg W 3-154.2 1401 1537 26.56% 25.13% 48.31%-0.39 +13.6 27
2015-03-17 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-354.2 1537 1401 48.31% 25.13% 26.56%+0.39 -13.6 47
2015-03-17 SKN St. Polten W 1-043.6 1423 1414 45.93% 25.43% 28.64%+0.17 +5.6 29
2015-03-17 @ Floridsdorfer L 0-143.6 1414 1423 28.64% 25.43% 45.93%-0.17 -5.5 27
2015-03-20 Austria Lustenau D 0-052.5 1388 1414 41.02% 25.83% 33.15%+0.03 -0.3 30
2015-03-20 @ Horn D 0-052.5 1414 1388 33.15% 25.83% 41.02%-0.03 +0.3 28
2015-03-20 Floridsdorfer D 1-162.3 1523 1428 56.65% 23.38% 19.97%+0.50 -1.4 48
2015-03-20 @ Mattersburg D 1-162.3 1428 1523 19.97% 23.38% 56.65%-0.50 +1.4 30
2015-03-20 Kapfenberger D 2-263.9 1380 1476 31.37% 25.71% 42.92%-0.24 +0.3 25
2015-03-20 @ Hartberg D 2-263.9 1476 1380 42.92% 25.71% 31.37%+0.24 -0.3 33
2015-03-20 LASK Linz W 3-152.5 1523 1519 45.26% 25.51% 29.23%+0.15 +9.2 48
2015-03-20 @ Liefering L 1-352.5 1519 1523 29.23% 25.51% 45.26%-0.15 -9.2 44
2015-03-20 Wacker Innsbruck D 0-052.6 1408 1389 47.23% 25.28% 27.49%+0.21 -0.8 28
2015-03-20 @ SKN St. Polten D 0-052.6 1389 1408 27.49% 25.28% 47.23%-0.21 +0.8 24
2015-04-03 Austria Lustenau W 1-044.0 1407 1415 43.68% 25.65% 30.67%+0.11 +5.9 31
2015-04-03 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-144.0 1415 1407 30.67% 25.65% 43.68%-0.11 -5.9 28
2015-04-03 Hartberg L 1-351.1 1430 1380 51.22% 24.64% 24.15%+0.33 -14.3 30
2015-04-03 @ Floridsdorfer W 3-151.1 1380 1430 24.15% 24.64% 51.22%-0.33 +14.3 28
2015-04-03 Horn W 3-142.9 1532 1387 62.22% 21.61% 16.17%+0.70 +5.3 51
2015-04-03 @ Liefering L 1-342.9 1387 1532 16.17% 21.61% 62.22%-0.70 -5.3 30
2015-04-03 LASK Linz W 2-046.9 1390 1510 28.42% 25.41% 46.17%-0.33 +15.2 27
2015-04-03 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-246.9 1510 1390 46.17% 25.41% 28.42%+0.33 -15.2 44
2015-04-03 Mattersburg L 1-257.4 1475 1522 38.20% 25.91% 35.88%-0.04 -6.5 33
2015-04-03 @ Kapfenberger W 2-157.4 1522 1475 35.88% 25.91% 38.20%+0.04 +6.5 51
2015-04-10 Floridsdorfer L 0-249.4 1495 1415 54.81% 23.86% 21.33%+0.44 -17.5 44
2015-04-10 @ LASK Linz W 2-049.4 1415 1495 21.33% 23.86% 54.81%-0.44 +17.5 33
2015-04-10 Kapfenberger W 3-257.9 1409 1469 36.23% 25.92% 37.85%-0.10 +6.2 31
2015-04-10 @ Austria Lustenau L 2-357.9 1469 1409 37.85% 25.92% 36.23%+0.10 -6.2 33
2015-04-10 Liefering L 0-252.1 1528 1538 43.38% 25.68% 30.95%+0.10 -14.4 51
2015-04-10 @ Mattersburg W 2-052.1 1538 1528 30.95% 25.68% 43.38%-0.10 +14.4 54
2015-04-10 SKN St. Polten L 2-357.2 1394 1413 42.09% 25.77% 32.14%+0.06 -6.7 28
2015-04-10 @ Hartberg W 3-257.2 1413 1394 32.14% 25.77% 42.09%-0.06 +6.7 34
2015-04-10 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-146.5 1382 1405 41.52% 25.80% 32.68%+0.05 -7.4 30
2015-04-10 @ Horn W 1-046.5 1405 1382 32.68% 25.80% 41.52%-0.05 +7.4 30
2015-04-17 Austria Lustenau L 0-149.5 1433 1415 47.11% 25.29% 27.60%+0.21 -8.2 33
2015-04-17 @ Floridsdorfer W 1-049.5 1415 1433 27.60% 25.29% 47.11%-0.21 +8.2 34
2015-04-17 Hartberg W 4-140.0 1552 1387 64.27% 20.84% 14.89%+0.78 +6.9 57
2015-04-17 @ Liefering L 1-440.0 1387 1552 14.89% 20.84% 64.27%-0.78 -6.9 28
2015-04-17 Horn D 2-262.7 1420 1375 50.61% 24.75% 24.64%+0.31 -0.7 35
2015-04-17 @ SKN St. Polten D 2-262.7 1375 1420 24.64% 24.75% 50.61%-0.31 +0.7 31
2015-04-17 LASK Linz W 1-047.9 1463 1477 42.69% 25.73% 31.58%+0.08 +6.0 36
2015-04-17 @ Kapfenberger L 0-147.9 1477 1463 31.58% 25.73% 42.69%-0.08 -6.0 44
2015-04-17 Mattersburg W 1-051.0 1412 1514 30.69% 25.66% 43.65%-0.26 +7.7 33
2015-04-17 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-151.0 1514 1412 43.65% 25.66% 30.69%+0.26 -7.7 51
2015-04-20 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-148.8 1423 1420 45.08% 25.52% 29.39%+0.15 -7.9 34
2015-04-20 @ Austria Lustenau W 1-048.8 1420 1423 29.39% 25.52% 45.08%-0.15 +7.9 36
2015-04-21 Hartberg L 0-151.7 1471 1381 56.15% 23.52% 20.33%+0.49 -9.5 44
2015-04-21 @ LASK Linz W 1-051.7 1381 1471 20.33% 23.52% 56.15%-0.49 +9.5 31
2015-04-21 Horn W 1-040.5 1506 1375 60.68% 22.15% 17.17%+0.64 +3.5 54
2015-04-21 @ Mattersburg L 0-140.5 1375 1506 17.17% 22.15% 60.68%-0.64 -3.5 31
2015-04-21 Liefering L 0-147.9 1425 1559 26.75% 25.16% 48.09%-0.39 -5.2 33
2015-04-21 @ Floridsdorfer W 1-047.9 1559 1425 48.09% 25.16% 26.75%+0.39 +5.2 60
2015-04-21 SKN St. Polten D 0-055.2 1469 1419 51.19% 24.64% 24.17%+0.33 -1.1 37
2015-04-21 @ Kapfenberger D 0-055.2 1419 1469 24.17% 24.64% 51.19%-0.33 +1.1 36
2015-04-24 Austria Lustenau L 0-450.8 1564 1415 62.66% 21.45% 15.89%+0.72 -37.1 60
2015-04-24 @ Liefering W 4-050.8 1415 1564 15.89% 21.45% 62.66%-0.72 +37.1 37
2015-04-24 Floridsdorfer W 3-146.5 1372 1419 38.04% 25.92% 36.05%-0.05 +10.9 34
2015-04-24 @ Horn L 1-346.5 1419 1372 36.05% 25.92% 38.04%+0.05 -10.9 33
2015-04-24 Kapfenberger L 0-148.7 1428 1467 39.19% 25.89% 34.92%-0.02 -7.1 36
2015-04-24 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 1-048.7 1467 1428 34.92% 25.89% 39.19%+0.02 +7.1 40
2015-04-24 LASK Linz L 0-148.2 1420 1462 38.89% 25.90% 35.20%-0.03 -7.0 36
2015-04-24 @ SKN St. Polten W 1-048.2 1462 1420 35.20% 25.90% 38.89%+0.03 +7.0 47
2015-04-24 Mattersburg L 2-450.8 1390 1510 28.47% 25.41% 46.12%-0.33 -8.1 31
2015-04-24 @ Hartberg W 4-250.8 1510 1390 46.12% 25.41% 28.47%+0.33 +8.1 57
2015-05-01 Hartberg L 0-146.9 1383 1382 44.80% 25.55% 29.65%+0.14 -7.9 34
2015-05-01 @ Horn W 1-046.9 1382 1383 29.65% 25.55% 44.80%-0.14 +7.9 34
2015-05-01 Kapfenberger W 1-048.2 1409 1475 35.41% 25.91% 38.68%-0.12 +7.0 36
2015-05-01 @ Floridsdorfer L 0-148.2 1475 1409 38.68% 25.91% 35.41%+0.12 -7.0 40
2015-05-01 LASK Linz L 1-255.8 1452 1469 42.42% 25.75% 31.84%+0.07 -7.1 37
2015-05-01 @ Austria Lustenau W 2-155.8 1469 1452 31.84% 25.75% 42.42%-0.07 +7.1 50
2015-05-01 SKN St. Polten W 4-036.5 1518 1413 57.77% 23.07% 19.17%+0.54 +13.9 60
2015-05-01 @ Mattersburg L 0-436.5 1413 1518 19.17% 23.07% 57.77%-0.54 -13.9 36
2015-05-01 Wacker Innsbruck D 1-162.3 1527 1421 57.98% 23.00% 19.02%+0.55 -1.5 61
2015-05-01 @ Liefering D 1-162.3 1421 1527 19.02% 23.00% 57.98%-0.55 +1.5 37
2015-05-08 Austria Lustenau L 1-347.8 1390 1445 36.92% 25.92% 37.15%-0.08 -11.1 34
2015-05-08 @ Hartberg W 3-147.8 1445 1390 37.15% 25.92% 36.92%+0.08 +11.1 40
2015-05-08 Floridsdorfer D 0-053.5 1422 1416 45.61% 25.47% 28.92%+0.16 -0.7 38
2015-05-08 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 0-053.5 1416 1422 28.92% 25.47% 45.61%-0.16 +0.7 37
2015-05-08 Horn W 3-250.9 1468 1375 56.39% 23.45% 20.16%+0.50 +3.6 43
2015-05-08 @ Kapfenberger L 2-350.9 1375 1468 20.16% 23.45% 56.39%-0.50 -3.6 34
2015-05-08 Liefering W 1-051.9 1399 1526 27.65% 25.30% 47.06%-0.36 +8.2 39
2015-05-08 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-151.9 1526 1399 47.06% 25.30% 27.65%+0.36 -8.2 61
2015-05-08 Mattersburg D 2-269.1 1476 1532 36.86% 25.92% 37.22%-0.08 +0.0 51
2015-05-08 @ LASK Linz D 2-269.1 1532 1476 37.22% 25.92% 36.86%+0.08 -0.0 61
2015-05-11 Wacker Innsbruck D 2-262.5 1379 1422 38.69% 25.91% 35.41%-0.03 -0.1 35
2015-05-11 @ Hartberg D 2-262.5 1422 1379 35.41% 25.91% 38.69%+0.03 +0.1 39
2015-05-12 Austria Lustenau D 1-163.5 1532 1456 54.35% 23.97% 21.68%+0.43 -1.2 62
2015-05-12 @ Mattersburg D 1-163.5 1456 1532 21.68% 23.97% 54.35%-0.43 +1.2 41
2015-05-12 Floridsdorfer W 3-145.6 1407 1416 43.47% 25.67% 30.86%+0.10 +9.6 42
2015-05-12 @ SKN St. Polten L 1-345.6 1416 1407 30.86% 25.67% 43.47%-0.10 -9.6 37
2015-05-12 Kapfenberger L 1-453.8 1518 1471 50.79% 24.72% 24.49%+0.32 -20.1 61
2015-05-12 @ Liefering W 4-153.8 1471 1518 24.49% 24.72% 50.79%-0.32 +20.1 46
2015-05-12 LASK Linz W 2-044.7 1371 1476 30.30% 25.62% 44.08%-0.27 +14.6 37
2015-05-12 @ Horn L 0-244.7 1476 1371 44.08% 25.62% 30.30%+0.27 -14.6 51
2015-05-15 Hartberg L 0-152.8 1491 1379 58.68% 22.79% 18.53%+0.57 -9.8 46
2015-05-15 @ Kapfenberger W 1-052.8 1379 1491 18.53% 22.79% 58.68%-0.57 +9.8 38
2015-05-15 Horn D 0-054.1 1457 1386 53.88% 24.08% 22.04%+0.41 -1.4 42
2015-05-15 @ Austria Lustenau D 0-054.1 1386 1457 22.04% 24.08% 53.88%-0.41 +1.4 38
2015-05-15 Liefering D 1-161.8 1461 1498 39.63% 25.88% 34.49%-0.01 -0.2 52
2015-05-15 @ LASK Linz D 1-161.8 1498 1461 34.49% 25.88% 39.63%+0.01 +0.2 62
2015-05-15 Mattersburg L 0-146.6 1407 1530 28.00% 25.35% 46.66%-0.35 -5.5 37
2015-05-15 @ Floridsdorfer W 1-046.6 1530 1407 46.66% 25.35% 28.00%+0.35 +5.5 65
2015-05-15 SKN St. Polten D 0-053.5 1422 1417 45.34% 25.50% 29.16%+0.15 -0.7 40
2015-05-15 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 0-053.5 1417 1422 29.16% 25.50% 45.34%-0.15 +0.7 43
2015-05-22 Floridsdorfer L 1-252.3 1388 1401 42.94% 25.71% 31.35%+0.09 -7.2 38
2015-05-22 @ Hartberg W 2-152.3 1401 1388 31.35% 25.71% 42.94%-0.09 +7.2 40
2015-05-22 Kapfenberger W 2-044.1 1536 1481 51.77% 24.53% 23.70%+0.35 +8.9 68
2015-05-22 @ Mattersburg L 0-244.1 1481 1536 23.70% 24.53% 51.77%-0.35 -8.9 46
2015-05-22 Liefering L 0-241.5 1387 1498 29.57% 25.54% 44.89%-0.29 -10.8 38
2015-05-22 @ Horn W 2-041.5 1498 1387 44.89% 25.54% 29.57%+0.29 +10.8 65
2015-05-22 SKN St. Polten L 0-247.0 1456 1418 49.75% 24.90% 25.35%+0.28 -16.1 42
2015-05-22 @ Austria Lustenau W 2-047.0 1418 1456 25.35% 24.90% 49.75%-0.28 +16.1 46
2015-05-22 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-145.3 1461 1421 49.94% 24.87% 25.19%+0.29 +8.1 55
2015-05-22 @ LASK Linz L 1-345.3 1421 1461 25.19% 24.87% 49.94%-0.29 -8.1 40
2015-05-29 Austria Lustenau W 3-038.8 1473 1440 49.02% 25.02% 25.96%+0.26 +14.0 49
2015-05-29 @ Kapfenberger L 0-338.8 1440 1473 25.96% 25.02% 49.02%-0.26 -14.0 42
2015-05-29 Hartberg W 5-348.4 1434 1381 51.55% 24.57% 23.88%+0.34 +6.6 49
2015-05-29 @ SKN St. Polten L 3-548.4 1381 1434 23.88% 24.57% 51.55%-0.34 -6.6 38
2015-05-29 Horn W 3-035.3 1413 1376 49.52% 24.94% 25.54%+0.28 +13.8 43
2015-05-29 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-335.3 1376 1413 25.54% 24.94% 49.52%-0.28 -13.8 38
2015-05-29 LASK Linz D 0-054.5 1408 1469 36.14% 25.92% 37.94%-0.10 +0.1 41
2015-05-29 @ Floridsdorfer D 0-054.5 1469 1408 37.94% 25.92% 36.14%+0.10 -0.1 56
2015-05-29 Mattersburg L 0-448.0 1508 1545 39.66% 25.88% 34.46%-0.01 -25.6 65
2015-05-29 @ Liefering W 4-048.0 1545 1508 34.46% 25.88% 39.66%+0.01 +25.5 71

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-09-16 10.41% Hartberg 1289 3 @ Liefering 1539 0
2 2015-04-24 15.89% Austria Lustenau 1415 4 @ Liefering 1564 0
3 2014-10-20 16.74% Hartberg 1324 2 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1461 0
4 2015-05-15 18.53% Hartberg 1379 1 @ Kapfenberger 1491 0
5 2014-10-17 19.50% SKN St. Polten 1406 2 @ Liefering 1507 1
6 2014-08-22 20.00% Horn 1384 1 @ Austria Lustenau 1478 0
7 2015-04-21 20.33% Hartberg 1381 1 @ LASK Linz 1471 0
8 2015-03-13 20.45% Hartberg 1345 4 @ Austria Lustenau 1434 0
9 2015-02-27 21.25% Horn 1367 5 @ Floridsdorfer 1447 2
10 2015-04-10 21.33% Floridsdorfer 1415 2 @ LASK Linz 1495 0
11 2014-11-21 22.35% @ Hartberg 1335 3 Liefering 1512 1
12 2014-09-26 23.74% Kapfenberger 1457 3 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1510 0
13 2015-04-03 24.15% Hartberg 1380 3 @ Floridsdorfer 1430 1
14 2015-05-12 24.49% Kapfenberger 1471 4 @ Liefering 1518 1
15 2014-09-12 25.00% @ Hartberg 1280 1 SKN St. Polten 1431 0
16 2015-05-22 25.35% SKN St. Polten 1418 2 @ Austria Lustenau 1456 0
17 2014-11-04 25.65% @ Horn 1366 2 Liefering 1511 1
18 2014-11-21 26.06% Floridsdorfer 1432 3 @ Austria Lustenau 1464 0
19 2015-03-17 26.56% @ Austria Lustenau 1401 3 Mattersburg 1537 1
20 2014-10-24 26.64% SKN St. Polten 1415 1 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1441 0
21 2014-10-17 26.76% @ Horn 1345 4 Kapfenberger 1480 1
22 2014-09-12 27.47% Kapfenberger 1450 3 @ Austria Lustenau 1469 1
23 2015-04-17 27.60% Austria Lustenau 1415 1 @ Floridsdorfer 1433 0
24 2015-05-08 27.65% @ SKN St. Polten 1399 1 Liefering 1526 0
25 2015-04-03 28.42% @ Wacker Innsbruck 1390 2 LASK Linz 1510 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-04-24 37.08 Austria Lustenau 4 1415 15.89% @ Liefering 0 1564 62.66% 21.45%
2 2015-03-13 33.79 Hartberg 4 1345 20.45% @ Austria Lustenau 0 1434 56.00% 23.56%
3 2014-09-16 31.69 Hartberg 3 1289 10.41% @ Liefering 0 1539 72.37% 17.22%
4 2015-05-29 25.56 Mattersburg 4 1545 34.46% @ Liefering 0 1508 39.66% 25.88%
5 2014-09-26 24.20 Kapfenberger 3 1457 23.74% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1510 51.71% 24.54%
6 2014-11-21 23.10 Floridsdorfer 3 1432 26.06% @ Austria Lustenau 0 1464 48.90% 25.04%
7 2014-08-01 21.99 Mattersburg 4 1440 41.70% @ Hartberg 0 1353 32.51% 25.79%
8 2015-05-12 20.10 Kapfenberger 4 1471 24.49% @ Liefering 1 1518 50.79% 24.72%
9 2014-08-04 19.56 @ Mattersburg 4 1462 46.54% SKN St. Polten 0 1448 28.10% 25.36%
10 2014-10-17 19.21 @ Horn 4 1345 26.76% Kapfenberger 1 1480 48.09% 25.16%
11 2014-10-20 19.20 Hartberg 2 1324 16.74% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1461 61.33% 21.93%
12 2015-02-27 18.58 Horn 5 1367 21.25% @ Floridsdorfer 2 1447 54.92% 23.83%
13 2015-04-10 17.49 Floridsdorfer 2 1415 21.33% @ LASK Linz 0 1495 54.81% 23.86%
14 2015-03-13 16.60 @ Mattersburg 3 1520 42.32% LASK Linz 0 1537 31.93% 25.75%
15 2015-05-22 16.14 SKN St. Polten 2 1418 25.35% @ Austria Lustenau 0 1456 49.75% 24.90%
16 2014-09-12 15.62 Wacker Innsbruck 3 1496 44.89% @ Horn 0 1385 29.57% 25.54%
17 2015-03-06 15.58 Liefering 3 1515 44.99% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1404 29.47% 25.53%
18 2015-04-03 15.17 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1390 28.42% LASK Linz 0 1510 46.17% 25.41%
19 2014-07-18 14.98 Liefering 3 1489 46.55% @ Hartberg 0 1366 28.09% 25.36%
20 2014-11-21 14.84 @ Hartberg 3 1335 22.35% Liefering 1 1512 53.48% 24.17%
21 2015-05-12 14.62 @ Horn 2 1371 30.30% LASK Linz 0 1476 44.08% 25.62%
22 2015-04-10 14.44 Liefering 2 1538 30.95% @ Mattersburg 0 1528 43.38% 25.68%
23 2015-04-03 14.31 Hartberg 3 1380 24.15% @ Floridsdorfer 1 1430 51.22% 24.64%
24 2015-05-29 14.02 @ Kapfenberger 3 1473 49.02% Austria Lustenau 0 1440 25.96% 25.02%
25 2015-02-27 14.01 @ Kapfenberger 3 1451 49.03% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1418 25.95% 25.02%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-10-21 71.3 @ Austria Lustenau 3 1466 40.31% Mattersburg 3 1498 33.83% 25.86%
2 2015-05-08 69.1 @ LASK Linz 2 1476 36.86% Mattersburg 2 1532 37.22% 25.92%
3 2014-09-15 67.7 @ Floridsdorfer 3 1403 37.35% Austria Lustenau 3 1456 36.73% 25.92%
4 2014-08-29 66.8 @ Kapfenberger 2 1450 38.27% Mattersburg 2 1496 35.82% 25.91%
5 2014-10-24 66.3 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1432 35.34% Mattersburg 2 1498 38.76% 25.90%
6 2014-09-19 65.7 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1403 30.34% Liefering 2 1508 44.04% 25.62%
7 2014-11-28 65.4 @ Hartberg 2 1350 21.49% LASK Linz 2 1537 54.60% 23.91%
8 2014-07-28 65.2 @ Kapfenberger 2 1447 44.59% SKN St. Polten 2 1448 29.84% 25.57%
9 2014-08-05 64.7 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1434 42.99% Kapfenberger 2 1447 31.31% 25.71%
10 2014-11-28 64.2 @ SKN St. Polten 2 1416 39.82% Kapfenberger 2 1451 34.30% 25.88%
11 2014-09-19 63.9 @ Hartberg 2 1320 21.07% LASK Linz 2 1512 55.16% 23.77%
12 2015-03-20 63.9 @ Hartberg 2 1380 31.37% Kapfenberger 2 1476 42.92% 25.71%
13 2015-05-12 63.5 @ Mattersburg 1 1532 54.35% Austria Lustenau 1 1456 21.68% 23.97%
14 2014-09-16 63.4 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1 1511 48.51% Mattersburg 1 1483 26.39% 25.10%
15 2015-04-17 62.7 @ SKN St. Polten 2 1420 50.61% Horn 2 1375 24.64% 24.75%
16 2015-05-11 62.5 @ Hartberg 2 1379 38.69% Wacker Innsbruck 2 1422 35.41% 25.91%
17 2014-09-16 62.4 @ Kapfenberger 1 1463 37.93% LASK Linz 1 1512 36.15% 25.92%
18 2015-03-13 62.3 @ Liefering 1 1531 59.40% SKN St. Polten 1 1412 18.03% 22.57%
19 2015-03-20 62.3 @ Mattersburg 1 1523 56.65% Floridsdorfer 1 1428 19.97% 23.38%
20 2015-05-01 62.3 @ Liefering 1 1527 57.98% Wacker Innsbruck 1 1421 19.02% 23.00%
21 2015-03-17 62.2 @ Kapfenberger 3 1469 36.26% Liefering 2 1529 37.83% 25.92%
22 2014-09-19 62.1 @ Austria Lustenau 1 1456 37.01% Wacker Innsbruck 1 1510 37.07% 25.92%
23 2015-05-15 61.8 @ LASK Linz 1 1461 39.63% Liefering 1 1498 34.49% 25.88%
24 2014-07-25 61.5 @ Liefering 1 1504 54.36% Floridsdorfer 1 1428 21.67% 23.97%
25 2015-03-17 61.2 @ LASK Linz 1 1521 61.12% Horn 1 1386 16.88% 22.00%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-08-08 31.4 @ Austria Lustenau 5 1476 63.60% Hartberg 0 1318 15.30% 21.10%
2 2014-08-05 33.4 @ Horn 3 1381 51.27% Hartberg 0 1331 24.10% 24.63%
3 2014-08-15 34.2 Wacker Innsbruck 3 1470 52.06% @ Hartberg 0 1304 23.47% 24.47%
4 2015-02-27 35.1 @ Mattersburg 2 1509 63.53% Hartberg 0 1351 15.34% 21.13%
5 2015-05-29 35.3 @ Wacker Innsbruck 3 1413 49.52% Horn 0 1376 25.54% 24.94%
6 2014-10-21 35.9 @ LASK Linz 2 1530 64.37% Horn 0 1364 14.83% 20.80%
7 2014-07-21 36.4 @ SKN St. Polten 3 1434 49.23% Horn 0 1400 25.78% 24.98%
8 2015-05-01 36.5 @ Mattersburg 4 1518 57.77% SKN St. Polten 0 1413 19.17% 23.07%
9 2014-09-19 36.8 @ Mattersburg 2 1483 58.04% Horn 0 1376 18.97% 22.98%
10 2014-08-01 37.3 Mattersburg 4 1440 41.70% @ Hartberg 0 1353 32.51% 25.79%
11 2014-11-07 37.3 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1424 51.14% Horn 0 1374 24.21% 24.65%
12 2014-09-26 37.4 @ Mattersburg 1 1491 64.71% Hartberg 0 1321 14.63% 20.67%
13 2015-02-27 37.4 @ Kapfenberger 3 1451 49.03% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1418 25.95% 25.02%
14 2014-07-18 37.8 Liefering 3 1489 46.55% @ Hartberg 0 1366 28.09% 25.36%
15 2015-05-29 38.8 @ Kapfenberger 3 1473 49.02% Austria Lustenau 0 1440 25.96% 25.02%
16 2014-10-24 38.9 @ Kapfenberger 1 1453 58.40% Hartberg 0 1343 18.72% 22.88%
17 2014-09-12 39.0 Wacker Innsbruck 3 1496 44.89% @ Horn 0 1385 29.57% 25.54%
18 2014-08-04 39.1 @ Mattersburg 4 1462 46.54% SKN St. Polten 0 1448 28.10% 25.36%
19 2014-11-07 39.3 @ SKN St. Polten 1 1418 54.76% Hartberg 0 1340 21.37% 23.87%
20 2014-08-22 39.7 @ Mattersburg 2 1487 53.22% Floridsdorfer 0 1421 22.55% 24.23%
21 2015-04-17 40.0 @ Liefering 4 1552 64.27% Hartberg 1 1387 14.89% 20.84%
22 2014-08-29 40.3 @ Liefering 4 1518 59.95% Horn 1 1393 17.66% 22.39%
23 2015-03-06 40.3 Liefering 3 1515 44.99% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1404 29.47% 25.53%
24 2014-09-12 40.4 @ LASK Linz 5 1499 55.26% Floridsdorfer 1 1416 20.99% 23.75%
25 2015-04-21 40.5 @ Mattersburg 1 1506 60.68% Horn 0 1375 17.17% 22.15%