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2015-16 First League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

SKN St. Polten

25.10 points above expected

80 points · 54.90 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Floridsdorfer

15.79 points below expected

17 points · 32.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 SKN St. Polten 36 26 2 8 80 68 34 +34 54.90 +25.10
2 LASK Linz 36 22 6 8 72 65 35 +30 57.36 +14.64
3 Wacker Innsbruck 36 17 8 11 59 61 47 +14 56.29 +2.71
4 Liefering 36 17 6 13 57 65 49 +16 54.54 +2.46
5 Austria Lustenau 36 16 9 11 57 56 40 +16 50.23 +6.77
6 Kapfenberger 36 14 8 14 50 63 62 +1 50.76 -0.76
7 Wiener Neustadter 36 12 9 15 45 39 49 -10 47.52 -2.52
8 Austria Klagenfurt 36 8 10 18 34 43 62 -19 47.73 -13.73
9 SV Austria Salzburg 36 7 11 18 32 45 73 -28 37.25 -5.25
10 Floridsdorfer 36 4 5 27 17 23 77 -54 32.79 -15.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 SKN St. Polten 80 54.90 +25.10
2 LASK Linz 72 57.36 +14.64
3 Austria Lustenau 57 50.23 +6.77
4 Wacker Innsbruck 59 56.29 +2.71
5 Liefering 57 54.54 +2.46

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Floridsdorfer 17 32.79 -15.79
2 Austria Klagenfurt 34 47.73 -13.73
3 SV Austria Salzburg 32 37.25 -5.25
4 Wiener Neustadter 45 47.52 -2.52
5 Kapfenberger 50 50.76 -0.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wacker Innsbruck 7 Aug 7 – Sep 18 1 in 1,001
2 SKN St. Polten 7 Apr 26 – May 25 1 in 143
3 LASK Linz 6 Mar 11 – Apr 12 1 in 109
4 Liefering 4 Aug 28 – Sep 18 1 in 71
5 SV Austria Salzburg 2 Apr 22 – Apr 26 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Klagenfurt 9 Mar 4 – Apr 22 1 in 10,577
2 Floridsdorfer 10 Jul 24 – Sep 18 1 in 2,493
3 Austria Lustenau 3 Aug 21 – Sep 11 1 in 25
4 SV Austria Salzburg 3 Nov 24 – Feb 26 1 in 14
5 Wiener Neustadter 3 Aug 4 – Aug 14 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wacker Innsbruck 9 Aug 7 – Oct 2 1 in 51
2 LASK Linz 11 Mar 4 – Apr 29 1 in 40
3 Wiener Neustadter 6 Sep 25 – Nov 3 1 in 22
4 Floridsdorfer 3 Mar 4 – Mar 15 1 in 13
5 Austria Lustenau 6 Nov 6 – Mar 11 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Floridsdorfer 14 Jul 24 – Oct 20 1 in 88
2 Austria Klagenfurt 9 Mar 4 – Apr 22 1 in 83
3 SV Austria Salzburg 8 Sep 15 – Nov 6 1 in 42
4 Wiener Neustadter 7 Apr 8 – May 6 1 in 27
5 Kapfenberger 6 Oct 23 – Feb 26 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
SKN St. Polten 1545 80 +33 15 9.4 +5.6
LASK Linz 1534 72 +0 7 8.0 -1.0
Wacker Innsbruck 1443 59 -30 4 7.8 -3.8
Austria Lustenau 1472 57 +36 11 7.1 +3.9
Liefering 1471 57 -21 4 8.4 -4.4
Kapfenberger 1441 50 +1 6 8.0 -2.0
Wiener Neustadter 1400 45 +12 10 6.8 +3.2
Austria Klagenfurt 1338 34 +3 5 4.4 +0.6
SV Austria Salzburg 1329 32 -9 3 4.9 -1.9
Floridsdorfer 1229 17 -25 3 4.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AK AL FLO KAP LL LIE SSP SAS WI WN
Austria Klagenfurt —
0-1-3
5.15
3-0-1
7.14
1-2-1
5.15
0-1-3
4.64
1-1-2
5.02
0-1-3
4.71
1-2-1
6.06
1-0-3
4.55
1-2-1
5.66
Austria Lustenau
3-1-0
5.87
 —
2-2-0
7.24
1-1-2
5.47
2-0-2
4.73
0-2-2
5.20
2-0-2
5.06
2-1-1
6.31
2-0-2
4.83
2-2-0
5.56
Floridsdorfer
1-0-3
3.91
0-2-2
3.83
 —
1-0-3
3.74
0-1-3
3.36
0-0-4
3.27
0-0-4
3.14
2-1-1
4.25
0-1-3
3.58
0-0-4
3.86
Kapfenberger
1-2-1
5.85
2-1-1
5.50
3-0-1
7.32
 —
0-1-3
4.71
2-0-2
5.08
1-0-3
5.10
2-1-1
6.24
0-3-1
5.07
3-0-1
5.77
LASK Linz
3-1-0
6.34
2-0-2
6.28
3-1-0
7.73
3-1-0
6.29
 —
2-0-2
5.97
2-0-2
5.76
4-0-0
6.96
2-1-1
5.52
1-2-1
6.41
Liefering
2-1-1
5.98
2-2-0
5.77
4-0-0
7.83
2-0-2
5.90
2-0-2
5.01
 —
2-0-2
5.48
2-2-0
6.54
1-0-3
5.38
0-1-3
6.28
SKN St. Polten
3-1-0
6.29
2-0-2
5.93
4-0-0
8.03
3-0-1
5.91
2-0-2
5.21
2-0-2
5.50
 —
3-1-0
6.36
3-0-1
5.30
4-0-0
6.28
SV Austria Salzburg
1-2-1
4.92
1-1-2
4.68
1-1-2
6.75
1-1-2
4.77
0-0-4
4.06
0-2-2
4.45
0-1-3
4.64
 —
1-2-1
4.19
2-1-1
5.09
Wacker Innsbruck
3-0-1
6.44
2-0-2
6.14
3-1-0
7.55
1-3-0
5.90
1-1-2
5.45
3-0-1
5.60
1-0-3
5.68
1-2-1
6.85
 —
2-1-1
6.41
Wiener Neustadter
1-2-1
5.33
0-2-2
5.40
4-0-0
7.17
1-0-3
5.21
1-2-1
4.62
3-1-0
4.70
0-0-4
4.69
1-1-2
5.89
1-1-2
4.59
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +11.6
Allowed 0.87 -11.7
Differential 0.97 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%9.17%6.11%3.33%1.39%0.28%23.61%
19.17%10.00%8.61%3.06%2.22%1.67%34.72%
26.11%8.61%6.67%1.11%1.39%0.83%24.72%
33.33%3.06%1.11%0.56%0.28%0.28%8.61%
41.39%2.22%1.39%0.28%——5.28%
5+0.28%1.67%0.83%0.28%——3.06%
Total23.61%34.72%24.72%8.61%5.28%3.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.89
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%16.67%2.78%—2.78%30.56%
15.56%16.67%11.11%5.56%5.56%—44.44%
22.78%2.78%5.56%—2.78%—13.89%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total16.67%27.78%36.11%8.33%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.72 -0.53
SD 1.31 1.26 1.96
CV 1.09 0.73 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
15.56%19.44%11.11%———36.11%
211.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
4—2.78%5.56%———8.33%
5+———————
Total22.22%47.22%27.78%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.11 +0.44
SD 1.21 0.78 1.56
CV 0.78 0.71 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.44%8.33%16.67%2.78%—47.22%
15.56%8.33%8.33%8.33%5.56%5.56%41.67%
2—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total5.56%33.33%22.22%25.00%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 2.14 -1.50
SD 0.68 1.29 1.48
CV 1.07 0.60 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%————13.89%
15.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%8.33%33.33%
25.56%8.33%11.11%2.78%5.56%—33.33%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
42.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total19.44%36.11%22.22%5.56%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.72 +0.03
SD 1.27 1.50 2.06
CV 0.73 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%—2.78%—16.67%
18.33%5.56%8.33%———22.22%
216.67%19.44%5.56%2.78%——44.44%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total36.11%38.89%19.44%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 0.97 +0.83
SD 1.33 0.97 1.76
CV 0.73 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%19.44%——2.78%—27.78%
12.78%5.56%5.56%—5.56%—19.44%
2—16.67%5.56%——2.78%25.00%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
45.56%5.56%————11.11%
5+—5.56%—2.78%——8.33%
Total16.67%58.33%11.11%2.78%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.36 +0.44
SD 1.62 1.22 2.10
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
122.22%2.78%8.33%———33.33%
211.11%8.33%2.78%—2.78%—25.00%
311.11%5.56%8.33%———25.00%
4———————
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total44.44%25.00%25.00%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 0.94 +0.94
SD 1.33 1.04 1.66
CV 0.70 1.10 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%11.11%—5.56%—25.00%
12.78%13.89%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%36.11%
25.56%5.56%13.89%——2.78%27.78%
32.78%—2.78%—2.78%2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%25.00%36.11%5.56%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 2.03 -0.78
SD 0.97 1.52 1.74
CV 0.77 0.75 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
116.67%8.33%11.11%2.78%——38.89%
22.78%5.56%8.33%——2.78%19.44%
35.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
4—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total27.78%33.33%25.00%11.11%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.31 +0.39
SD 1.35 1.17 1.69
CV 0.80 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%11.11%5.56%——27.78%
116.67%11.11%8.33%5.56%——41.67%
25.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%22.22%22.22%19.44%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.36 -0.28
SD 0.87 1.22 1.47
CV 0.81 0.90 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
SKN St. Polten 1545 80 54.90 +25.10 99.9% 30 43 50 55 60 67 83
LASK Linz 1534 72 57.36 +14.64 97.4% 29 45 52 57 63 70 83
Austria Lustenau 1472 57 50.23 +6.77 83.5% 28 38 45 50 55 63 78
Liefering 1471 57 54.54 +2.46 63.2% 29 41 49 55 60 68 79
Wacker Innsbruck 1443 59 56.29 +2.71 64.3% 30 43 51 56 61 69 84
Kapfenberger 1441 50 50.76 -0.76 48.9% 29 38 45 51 56 63 79
Wiener Neustadter 1400 45 47.52 -2.52 39.4% 23 35 42 48 53 60 75
Austria Klagenfurt 1338 34 47.73 -13.73 4.2% 26 36 43 48 53 61 73
SV Austria Salzburg 1329 32 37.25 -5.25 8.6% 11 24 32 37 42 51 61
Floridsdorfer 1229 17 32.79 -15.79 0.7% 13 21 28 33 37 44 62

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-0.56%
No Edge
39.44%20.56%40.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -1.93 Elo pts.
118 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.01 goals
Neutral
-2-0.02+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.7
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
16%
SKN St. Polten, 4th of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.22/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.13 * Some Luck: 6.13 to 9.2 * Lucky: 9.2 to 12.27 * Wild Swing: 12.27 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.42 * Close: 1.42 to 2.13 * Off: 2.13 to 2.84 * Way Off: 2.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
12.12 points
Lucky
07.6719
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.774
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.90%
SKN St. Polten
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.70%
Floridsdorfer
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.11
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Strong Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.60
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.12
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
33%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.05
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.65
Very Underconfident
0.1581091.001.84189
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.121
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
SKN St. Polten16.20%17.50%15.80%14.00%12.10%11.30%6.70%4.10%1.90%0.40%
LASK Linz26.70%19.00%15.70%13.50%9.10%7.60%4.90%2.00%1.10%0.40%
Wacker Innsbruck20.20%20.10%16.10%11.80%10.90%8.10%7.70%3.30%1.30%0.50%
Liefering16.70%16.30%14.70%13.90%11.40%9.30%8.70%5.70%2.20%1.10%
Austria Lustenau5.70%8.50%11.10%13.40%14.00%15.00%13.40%11.60%5.80%1.50%
Kapfenberger7.00%7.90%12.40%12.40%13.80%13.70%14.10%12.80%4.60%1.30%
Wiener Neustadter3.40%4.90%7.10%9.80%12.00%15.70%15.90%17.40%10.40%3.40%
Austria Klagenfurt3.80%5.30%5.90%9.20%13.40%13.70%16.60%18.70%10.50%2.90%
SV Austria Salzburg0.30%0.30%1.00%1.90%2.70%4.90%8.50%15.20%36.00%29.20%
Floridsdorfer—0.20%0.20%0.10%0.60%0.70%3.50%9.20%26.20%59.30%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
LASK Linz 30.90% 67.60% 1.50%
Wacker Innsbruck 25.40% 72.80% 1.80%
SKN St. Polten 19.20% 78.50% 2.30%
Kapfenberger 8.00% 86.10% 5.90%
Austria Lustenau 7.20% 85.50% 7.30%
Liefering — 96.70% 3.30%
Austria Klagenfurt 4.60% 82.00% 13.40%
Wiener Neustadter 4.30% 81.90% 13.80%
SV Austria Salzburg 0.30% 34.50% 65.20%
Floridsdorfer 0.10% 14.40% 85.50%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2015-07-24 SV Austria Salzburg D 2-263.2 1409 1430 43.88% 26.13% 29.99%-0.19 -0.3 1
2015-07-24 @ SKN St. Polten D 2-263.2 1430 1409 29.99% 26.13% 43.88%+0.19 +0.3 1
2015-07-24 Floridsdorfer W 2-146.8 1427 1389 51.58% 24.83% 23.59%+0.30 +3.9 3
2015-07-24 @ LASK Linz L 1-246.8 1389 1427 23.59% 24.83% 51.58%-0.30 -3.9 0
2015-07-24 Kapfenberger D 0-053.1 1401 1438 41.54% 26.34% 32.12%-0.33 -0.3 1
2015-07-24 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 0-053.1 1438 1401 32.12% 26.34% 41.54%+0.33 +0.3 1
2015-07-24 Liefering W 4-037.8 1430 1436 45.82% 25.90% 28.29%-0.07 +17.4 3
2015-07-24 @ Austria Klagenfurt L 0-437.8 1436 1430 28.29% 25.90% 45.82%+0.07 -17.4 0
2015-07-24 Wiener Neustadter W 2-041.4 1400 1442 40.95% 26.38% 32.67%-0.37 +10.3 3
2015-07-24 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-241.4 1442 1400 32.67% 26.38% 40.95%+0.37 -10.3 0
2015-07-31 Austria Klagenfurt D 1-158.5 1430 1447 44.33% 26.08% 29.59%-0.16 -0.5 2
2015-07-31 @ SV Austria Salzburg D 1-158.5 1447 1430 29.59% 26.08% 44.33%+0.16 +0.5 4
2015-07-31 Austria Lustenau W 1-042.6 1438 1411 50.31% 25.11% 24.58%+0.22 +4.3 4
2015-07-31 @ Kapfenberger L 0-142.6 1411 1438 24.58% 25.11% 50.31%-0.22 -4.3 3
2015-07-31 LASK Linz D 0-053.9 1431 1431 46.68% 25.77% 27.55%-0.01 -0.7 1
2015-07-31 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-053.9 1431 1431 27.55% 25.77% 46.68%+0.01 +0.7 4
2015-07-31 SKN St. Polten W 2-148.1 1418 1409 47.91% 25.57% 26.52%+0.06 +4.3 3
2015-07-31 @ Liefering L 1-248.1 1409 1418 26.52% 25.57% 47.91%-0.06 -4.3 1
2015-07-31 Wacker Innsbruck L 1-544.9 1386 1401 44.61% 26.05% 29.34%-0.14 -20.6 0
2015-07-31 @ Floridsdorfer W 5-144.9 1401 1386 29.34% 26.05% 44.61%+0.14 +20.6 4
2015-08-03 LASK Linz L 1-254.6 1421 1432 45.21% 25.98% 28.82%-0.11 -6.6 4
2015-08-03 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-154.6 1432 1421 28.82% 25.98% 45.21%+0.11 +6.6 7
2015-08-04 Floridsdorfer W 1-039.6 1447 1365 57.09% 23.30% 19.61%+0.68 +3.5 7
2015-08-04 @ Austria Klagenfurt L 0-139.6 1365 1447 19.61% 23.30% 57.09%-0.68 -3.5 0
2015-08-04 Liefering W 5-245.3 1443 1423 49.29% 25.32% 25.39%+0.15 +8.9 7
2015-08-04 @ Kapfenberger L 2-545.3 1423 1443 25.39% 25.32% 49.29%-0.15 -8.9 3
2015-08-04 SKN St. Polten L 0-148.5 1406 1405 46.86% 25.74% 27.39%+0.00 -7.2 3
2015-08-04 @ Austria Lustenau W 1-048.5 1405 1406 27.39% 25.74% 46.86%+0.00 +7.2 4
2015-08-04 Wiener Neustadter W 3-037.9 1429 1431 46.49% 25.80% 27.71%-0.03 +13.1 5
2015-08-04 @ SV Austria Salzburg L 0-337.9 1431 1429 27.71% 25.80% 46.49%+0.03 -13.1 1
2015-08-07 Austria Klagenfurt W 2-041.6 1438 1451 44.94% 26.01% 29.05%-0.12 +9.4 10
2015-08-07 @ LASK Linz L 0-241.6 1451 1438 29.05% 26.01% 44.94%+0.12 -9.4 7
2015-08-07 Austria Lustenau L 1-348.0 1361 1399 41.47% 26.34% 32.18%-0.33 -10.6 0
2015-08-07 @ Floridsdorfer W 3-148.0 1399 1361 32.18% 26.34% 41.47%+0.33 +10.7 6
2015-08-07 SV Austria Salzburg W 5-353.0 1414 1443 42.72% 26.25% 31.03%-0.26 +7.2 6
2015-08-07 @ Liefering L 3-553.0 1443 1414 31.03% 26.25% 42.72%+0.26 -7.2 5
2015-08-07 Kapfenberger L 0-244.9 1418 1452 41.98% 26.31% 31.71%-0.30 -12.4 1
2015-08-07 @ Wiener Neustadter W 2-044.9 1452 1418 31.71% 26.31% 41.98%+0.30 +12.4 10
2015-08-07 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-342.5 1412 1415 46.28% 25.83% 27.89%-0.04 -19.5 4
2015-08-07 @ SKN St. Polten W 3-042.5 1415 1412 27.89% 25.83% 46.28%+0.04 +19.5 7
2015-08-14 Floridsdorfer W 2-144.4 1435 1351 57.32% 23.22% 19.46%+0.70 +3.3 8
2015-08-14 @ SV Austria Salzburg L 1-244.4 1351 1435 19.46% 23.22% 57.32%-0.70 -3.3 0
2015-08-14 LASK Linz W 2-150.9 1410 1448 41.42% 26.35% 32.23%-0.34 +5.1 9
2015-08-14 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-250.9 1448 1410 32.23% 26.35% 41.42%+0.34 -5.1 10
2015-08-14 Liefering W 4-142.4 1434 1421 48.36% 25.49% 26.14%+0.09 +10.5 10
2015-08-14 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-442.4 1421 1434 26.14% 25.49% 48.36%-0.09 -10.5 6
2015-08-14 SKN St. Polten L 1-353.7 1464 1392 55.78% 23.71% 20.51%+0.59 -13.5 10
2015-08-14 @ Kapfenberger W 3-153.7 1392 1464 20.51% 23.71% 55.78%-0.59 +13.5 7
2015-08-14 Wiener Neustadter W 1-042.2 1442 1405 51.42% 24.87% 23.71%+0.29 +4.2 10
2015-08-14 @ Austria Klagenfurt L 0-142.2 1405 1442 23.71% 24.87% 51.42%-0.29 -4.2 1
2015-08-21 Austria Klagenfurt D 1-157.7 1406 1446 41.15% 26.37% 32.48%-0.35 -0.3 8
2015-08-21 @ SKN St. Polten D 1-157.7 1446 1406 32.48% 26.37% 41.15%+0.35 +0.3 11
2015-08-21 Austria Lustenau W 1-042.8 1444 1415 50.55% 25.06% 24.39%+0.23 +4.3 13
2015-08-21 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-142.8 1415 1444 24.39% 25.06% 50.55%-0.23 -4.3 9
2015-08-21 SV Austria Salzburg W 2-040.7 1443 1439 47.19% 25.69% 27.12%+0.02 +8.8 13
2015-08-21 @ LASK Linz L 0-240.7 1439 1443 27.12% 25.69% 47.19%-0.02 -8.8 8
2015-08-21 Kapfenberger L 0-337.8 1348 1450 32.33% 26.36% 41.31%-0.89 -14.8 0
2015-08-21 @ Floridsdorfer W 3-037.8 1450 1348 41.31% 26.36% 32.33%+0.89 +14.8 13
2015-08-21 Wiener Neustadter L 0-148.8 1411 1401 47.93% 25.57% 26.50%+0.07 -7.3 6
2015-08-21 @ Liefering W 1-048.8 1401 1411 26.50% 25.57% 47.93%-0.07 +7.3 4
2015-08-28 Floridsdorfer W 1-038.5 1408 1333 56.25% 23.56% 20.18%+0.62 +3.6 7
2015-08-28 @ Wiener Neustadter L 0-138.5 1333 1408 20.18% 23.56% 56.25%-0.62 -3.6 0
2015-08-28 Kapfenberger W 5-143.9 1446 1465 44.03% 26.12% 29.85%-0.18 +15.1 14
2015-08-28 @ Austria Klagenfurt L 1-543.9 1465 1446 29.85% 26.12% 44.03%+0.18 -15.1 13
2015-08-28 Liefering L 1-254.2 1411 1403 47.61% 25.62% 26.77%+0.04 -6.8 9
2015-08-28 @ Austria Lustenau W 2-154.2 1403 1411 26.77% 25.62% 47.61%-0.04 +6.9 9
2015-08-28 SKN St. Polten W 1-042.2 1451 1406 52.61% 24.58% 22.81%+0.37 +4.0 16
2015-08-28 @ LASK Linz L 0-142.2 1406 1451 22.81% 24.58% 52.61%-0.37 -4.0 8
2015-08-28 Wacker Innsbruck L 3-463.2 1430 1449 44.06% 26.11% 29.83%-0.18 -6.0 8
2015-08-28 @ SV Austria Salzburg W 4-363.2 1449 1430 29.83% 26.11% 44.06%+0.18 +6.0 16
2015-09-11 Austria Klagenfurt W 4-252.1 1455 1461 45.78% 25.90% 28.32%-0.07 +7.1 19
2015-09-11 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 2-452.1 1461 1455 28.32% 25.90% 45.78%+0.07 -7.1 14
2015-09-11 SV Austria Salzburg L 0-244.3 1404 1424 43.91% 26.13% 29.96%-0.19 -12.9 9
2015-09-11 @ Austria Lustenau W 2-044.3 1424 1404 29.96% 26.13% 43.91%+0.19 +12.8 11
2015-09-11 Floridsdorfer W 4-137.3 1410 1329 56.90% 23.36% 19.74%+0.67 +8.1 12
2015-09-11 @ Liefering L 1-437.3 1329 1410 19.74% 23.36% 56.90%-0.67 -8.1 0
2015-09-11 LASK Linz L 1-548.5 1450 1455 45.92% 25.88% 28.19%-0.06 -21.0 13
2015-09-11 @ Kapfenberger W 5-148.5 1455 1450 28.19% 25.88% 45.92%+0.06 +21.0 19
2015-09-11 Wiener Neustadter W 2-039.4 1402 1412 45.25% 25.97% 28.78%-0.10 +9.3 11
2015-09-11 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-239.4 1412 1402 28.78% 25.97% 45.25%+0.10 -9.3 7
2015-09-14 SKN St. Polten L 0-143.4 1321 1411 34.09% 26.45% 39.45%-0.77 -5.6 0
2015-09-14 @ Floridsdorfer W 1-043.4 1411 1321 39.45% 26.45% 34.09%+0.77 +5.6 14
2015-09-15 Austria Lustenau D 1-158.2 1454 1391 54.77% 24.01% 21.23%+0.52 -1.1 15
2015-09-15 @ Austria Klagenfurt D 1-158.2 1391 1454 21.23% 24.01% 54.77%-0.52 +1.1 10
2015-09-15 Kapfenberger L 0-246.3 1437 1429 47.66% 25.61% 26.73%+0.05 -13.7 11
2015-09-15 @ SV Austria Salzburg W 2-046.3 1429 1437 26.73% 25.61% 47.66%-0.05 +13.7 16
2015-09-15 Liefering L 1-258.0 1477 1418 54.16% 24.18% 21.67%+0.48 -7.6 19
2015-09-15 @ LASK Linz W 2-158.0 1418 1477 21.67% 24.18% 54.16%-0.48 +7.6 15
2015-09-15 Wacker Innsbruck L 1-253.0 1403 1462 38.41% 26.49% 35.11%-0.52 -5.8 7
2015-09-15 @ Wiener Neustadter W 2-153.0 1462 1403 35.11% 26.49% 38.41%+0.52 +5.8 22
2015-09-18 Austria Klagenfurt W 4-144.7 1426 1453 42.95% 26.23% 30.83%-0.25 +12.0 18
2015-09-18 @ Liefering L 1-444.7 1453 1426 30.83% 26.23% 42.95%+0.25 -12.0 15
2015-09-18 Austria Lustenau L 1-350.1 1397 1392 47.29% 25.67% 27.03%+0.02 -11.8 7
2015-09-18 @ Wiener Neustadter W 3-150.1 1392 1397 27.03% 25.67% 47.29%-0.02 +11.8 13
2015-09-18 LASK Linz L 0-237.9 1315 1469 26.26% 25.52% 48.22%-1.31 -8.6 0
2015-09-18 @ Floridsdorfer W 2-037.9 1469 1315 48.22% 25.52% 26.26%+1.31 +8.6 22
2015-09-18 SKN St. Polten L 1-546.9 1423 1416 47.51% 25.64% 26.85%+0.04 -21.6 11
2015-09-18 @ SV Austria Salzburg W 5-146.9 1416 1423 26.85% 25.64% 47.51%-0.04 +21.6 17
2015-09-18 Wacker Innsbruck L 1-449.5 1443 1468 43.26% 26.20% 30.55%-0.23 -15.5 16
2015-09-18 @ Kapfenberger W 4-149.5 1468 1443 30.55% 26.20% 43.26%+0.23 +15.5 25
2015-09-25 SV Austria Salzburg D 1-157.9 1441 1401 51.82% 24.77% 23.40%+0.32 -1.0 16
2015-09-25 @ Austria Klagenfurt D 1-157.9 1401 1441 23.40% 24.77% 51.82%-0.32 +0.9 12
2015-09-25 Floridsdorfer D 1-158.4 1483 1307 67.42% 19.16% 13.42%+1.47 -1.9 26
2015-09-25 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-158.4 1307 1483 13.42% 19.16% 67.42%-1.47 +1.9 1
2015-09-25 Kapfenberger L 1-253.5 1404 1427 43.45% 26.18% 30.38%-0.21 -6.4 13
2015-09-25 @ Austria Lustenau W 2-153.5 1427 1404 30.38% 26.18% 43.45%+0.21 +6.4 19
2015-09-25 Liefering W 1-044.5 1438 1438 46.68% 25.77% 27.55%-0.01 +4.8 20
2015-09-25 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-144.5 1438 1438 27.55% 25.77% 46.68%+0.01 -4.8 18
2015-09-25 Wiener Neustadter D 0-054.8 1478 1385 58.27% 22.90% 18.83%+0.77 -1.5 23
2015-09-25 @ LASK Linz D 0-054.8 1385 1478 18.83% 22.90% 58.27%-0.77 +1.5 8
2015-10-02 Austria Klagenfurt L 1-343.8 1309 1440 28.79% 25.97% 45.23%-1.12 -8.0 1
2015-10-02 @ Floridsdorfer W 3-143.8 1440 1309 45.23% 25.97% 28.79%+1.12 +8.0 19
2015-10-02 Austria Lustenau L 0-150.6 1443 1397 52.56% 24.59% 22.84%+0.37 -7.9 20
2015-10-02 @ SKN St. Polten W 1-050.6 1397 1443 22.84% 24.59% 52.56%-0.37 +7.9 16
2015-10-02 SV Austria Salzburg W 2-039.1 1386 1402 44.51% 26.06% 29.43%-0.15 +9.5 11
2015-10-02 @ Wiener Neustadter L 0-239.1 1402 1386 29.43% 26.06% 44.51%+0.15 -9.5 12
2015-10-02 Kapfenberger W 5-141.7 1433 1434 46.58% 25.79% 27.63%-0.02 +14.2 21
2015-10-02 @ Liefering L 1-541.7 1434 1433 27.63% 25.79% 46.58%+0.02 -14.2 19
2015-10-02 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-152.8 1476 1481 45.93% 25.88% 28.19%-0.06 -7.1 23
2015-10-02 @ LASK Linz W 1-052.8 1481 1476 28.19% 25.88% 45.93%+0.06 +7.1 29
2015-10-16 Floridsdorfer W 1-036.9 1405 1301 59.66% 22.41% 17.93%+0.87 +3.2 19
2015-10-16 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-136.9 1301 1405 17.93% 22.41% 59.66%-0.87 -3.2 1
2015-10-16 LASK Linz D 2-265.6 1448 1469 43.79% 26.14% 30.06%-0.19 -0.3 20
2015-10-16 @ Austria Klagenfurt D 2-265.6 1469 1448 30.06% 26.14% 43.79%+0.19 +0.3 24
2015-10-16 Liefering D 2-263.1 1393 1447 39.08% 26.47% 34.45%-0.48 -0.1 13
2015-10-16 @ SV Austria Salzburg D 2-263.1 1447 1393 34.45% 26.47% 39.08%+0.48 +0.1 22
2015-10-16 SKN St. Polten L 1-355.3 1488 1435 53.55% 24.34% 22.11%+0.43 -13.0 29
2015-10-16 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-155.3 1435 1488 22.11% 24.34% 53.55%-0.43 +13.0 23
2015-10-16 Wiener Neustadter L 0-149.3 1419 1396 49.75% 25.23% 25.02%+0.18 -7.5 19
2015-10-16 @ Kapfenberger W 1-049.3 1396 1419 25.02% 25.23% 49.75%-0.18 +7.5 14
2015-10-19 Kapfenberger L 1-256.3 1448 1412 51.38% 24.88% 23.74%+0.29 -7.3 23
2015-10-19 @ SKN St. Polten W 2-156.3 1412 1448 23.74% 24.88% 51.38%-0.29 +7.3 22
2015-10-20 Austria Klagenfurt D 1-157.7 1403 1448 40.55% 26.40% 33.05%-0.39 -0.2 15
2015-10-20 @ Wiener Neustadter D 1-157.7 1448 1403 33.05% 26.40% 40.55%+0.39 +0.2 21
2015-10-20 Austria Lustenau W 2-147.6 1469 1408 54.47% 24.09% 21.44%+0.50 +3.6 27
2015-10-20 @ LASK Linz L 1-247.6 1408 1469 21.44% 24.09% 54.47%-0.50 -3.6 19
2015-10-20 SV Austria Salzburg D 2-260.3 1297 1393 33.36% 26.42% 40.22%-0.82 +0.2 2
2015-10-20 @ Floridsdorfer D 2-260.3 1393 1297 40.22% 26.42% 33.36%+0.82 -0.2 14
2015-10-20 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-150.7 1447 1475 42.83% 26.24% 30.93%-0.25 -6.7 22
2015-10-20 @ Liefering W 1-050.7 1475 1447 30.93% 26.24% 42.83%+0.25 +6.7 32
2015-10-23 Floridsdorfer L 0-150.0 1419 1298 61.57% 21.69% 16.74%+1.01 -8.9 22
2015-10-23 @ Kapfenberger W 1-050.0 1298 1419 16.74% 21.69% 61.57%-1.01 +8.9 5
2015-10-23 Liefering W 1-045.1 1403 1441 41.49% 26.34% 32.17%-0.33 +5.4 18
2015-10-23 @ Wiener Neustadter L 0-145.1 1441 1403 32.17% 26.34% 41.49%+0.33 -5.4 22
2015-10-23 SKN St. Polten L 1-256.2 1448 1441 47.61% 25.62% 26.77%+0.04 -6.9 21
2015-10-23 @ Austria Klagenfurt W 2-156.2 1441 1448 26.77% 25.62% 47.61%-0.04 +6.8 26
2015-10-23 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-153.5 1405 1482 35.85% 26.50% 37.65%-0.67 +5.7 22
2015-10-23 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-253.5 1482 1405 37.65% 26.50% 35.85%+0.67 -5.7 32
2015-11-02 SV Austria Salzburg D 1-159.1 1476 1392 57.24% 23.25% 19.51%+0.69 -1.3 33
2015-11-02 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-159.1 1392 1476 19.51% 23.25% 57.24%-0.69 +1.3 15
2015-11-03 Austria Klagenfurt D 1-157.7 1410 1441 42.42% 26.27% 31.31%-0.28 -0.4 23
2015-11-03 @ Kapfenberger D 1-157.7 1441 1410 31.31% 26.27% 42.42%+0.28 +0.4 22
2015-11-03 Austria Lustenau W 2-148.0 1435 1411 49.92% 25.19% 24.89%+0.19 +4.1 25
2015-11-03 @ Liefering L 1-248.0 1411 1435 24.89% 25.19% 49.92%-0.19 -4.1 22
2015-11-03 LASK Linz W 1-047.0 1448 1473 43.20% 26.20% 30.60%-0.23 +5.2 29
2015-11-03 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-147.0 1473 1448 30.60% 26.20% 43.20%+0.23 -5.2 27
2015-11-03 Wiener Neustadter L 1-248.0 1307 1409 32.45% 26.36% 41.19%-0.88 -5.1 5
2015-11-03 @ Floridsdorfer W 2-148.0 1409 1307 41.19% 26.36% 32.45%+0.88 +5.1 21
2015-11-06 Austria Lustenau L 1-349.7 1394 1406 44.93% 26.01% 29.06%-0.12 -11.3 15
2015-11-06 @ SV Austria Salzburg W 3-149.7 1406 1394 29.06% 26.01% 44.93%+0.12 +11.3 25
2015-11-06 Kapfenberger W 4-248.4 1468 1410 54.10% 24.19% 21.71%+0.47 +5.6 30
2015-11-06 @ LASK Linz L 2-448.4 1410 1468 21.71% 24.19% 54.10%-0.47 -5.6 23
2015-11-06 Liefering L 1-539.0 1301 1439 28.00% 25.85% 46.15%-1.18 -14.4 5
2015-11-06 @ Floridsdorfer W 5-139.0 1439 1301 46.15% 25.85% 28.00%+1.18 +14.4 28
2015-11-06 SKN St. Polten L 2-359.1 1414 1453 41.27% 26.36% 32.37%-0.35 -5.8 21
2015-11-06 @ Wiener Neustadter W 3-259.1 1453 1414 32.37% 26.36% 41.27%+0.35 +5.8 32
2015-11-06 Wacker Innsbruck L 1-255.7 1441 1475 42.04% 26.30% 31.66%-0.30 -6.2 22
2015-11-06 @ Austria Klagenfurt W 2-155.7 1475 1441 31.66% 26.30% 42.04%+0.30 +6.2 36
2015-11-20 Austria Klagenfurt W 3-038.3 1418 1435 44.28% 26.09% 29.63%-0.16 +13.8 28
2015-11-20 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-338.3 1435 1418 29.63% 26.09% 44.28%+0.16 -13.8 22
2015-11-20 SV Austria Salzburg L 2-359.3 1404 1382 49.53% 25.27% 25.20%+0.17 -6.7 23
2015-11-20 @ Kapfenberger W 3-259.3 1382 1404 25.20% 25.27% 49.53%-0.17 +6.7 18
2015-11-20 Floridsdorfer W 2-031.5 1459 1287 66.92% 19.39% 13.69%+1.43 +4.5 35
2015-11-20 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-231.5 1287 1459 13.69% 19.39% 66.92%-1.43 -4.4 5
2015-11-20 LASK Linz W 4-040.3 1454 1473 44.00% 26.12% 29.88%-0.18 +18.2 31
2015-11-20 @ Liefering L 0-440.3 1473 1454 29.88% 26.12% 44.00%+0.18 -18.2 30
2015-11-20 Wiener Neustadter D 3-369.6 1481 1408 55.99% 23.64% 20.37%+0.60 -0.8 37
2015-11-20 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 3-369.6 1408 1481 20.37% 23.64% 55.99%-0.60 +0.8 22
2015-11-24 LASK Linz L 0-242.9 1389 1455 37.45% 26.50% 36.05%-0.57 -11.4 18
2015-11-24 @ SV Austria Salzburg W 2-042.9 1455 1389 36.05% 26.50% 37.45%+0.57 +11.4 33
2015-11-27 SV Austria Salzburg W 6-239.6 1463 1378 57.41% 23.19% 19.40%+0.70 +8.7 38
2015-11-27 @ SKN St. Polten L 2-639.6 1378 1463 19.40% 23.19% 57.41%-0.70 -8.7 18
2015-11-27 Floridsdorfer W 4-028.4 1467 1283 68.18% 18.80% 13.03%+1.54 +8.0 36
2015-11-27 @ LASK Linz L 0-428.4 1283 1467 13.03% 18.80% 68.18%-1.54 -8.0 5
2015-11-27 Kapfenberger D 2-265.2 1480 1398 57.14% 23.28% 19.58%+0.68 -1.0 38
2015-11-27 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 2-265.2 1398 1480 19.58% 23.28% 57.14%-0.68 +1.0 24
2015-11-27 Liefering D 0-054.6 1421 1472 39.64% 26.45% 33.91%-0.44 -0.2 23
2015-11-27 @ Austria Klagenfurt D 0-054.6 1472 1421 33.91% 26.45% 39.64%+0.44 +0.2 32
2015-11-27 Wiener Neustadter D 1-157.7 1432 1409 49.68% 25.24% 25.08%+0.18 -0.8 29
2015-11-27 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-157.7 1409 1432 25.08% 25.24% 49.68%-0.18 +0.8 23
2016-02-26 Austria Klagenfurt L 1-251.4 1369 1421 39.43% 26.46% 34.12%-0.46 -5.9 18
2016-02-26 @ SV Austria Salzburg W 2-151.4 1421 1369 34.12% 26.46% 39.43%+0.46 +5.9 26
2016-02-26 Austria Lustenau L 2-453.8 1398 1431 42.22% 26.29% 31.49%-0.29 -9.7 24
2016-02-26 @ Kapfenberger W 4-253.8 1431 1398 31.49% 26.29% 42.22%+0.29 +9.7 32
2016-02-26 LASK Linz W 2-152.8 1409 1474 37.58% 26.50% 35.92%-0.57 +5.5 26
2016-02-26 @ Wiener Neustadter L 1-252.8 1474 1409 35.92% 26.50% 37.58%+0.57 -5.5 36
2016-02-26 SKN St. Polten L 1-257.9 1472 1472 46.71% 25.77% 27.53%-0.01 -6.8 32
2016-02-26 @ Liefering W 2-157.9 1472 1472 27.53% 25.77% 46.71%+0.01 +6.8 41
2016-02-26 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-139.1 1275 1480 21.24% 24.01% 54.75%-1.75 -3.8 5
2016-02-26 @ Floridsdorfer W 1-039.1 1480 1275 54.75% 24.01% 21.24%+1.75 +3.8 41
2016-03-04 Floridsdorfer L 1-255.7 1427 1271 65.33% 20.11% 14.56%+1.30 -8.8 26
2016-03-04 @ Austria Klagenfurt W 2-155.7 1271 1427 14.56% 20.11% 65.33%-1.30 +8.8 8
2016-03-04 LASK Linz D 1-161.3 1483 1469 48.55% 25.46% 25.99%+0.10 -0.7 42
2016-03-04 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-161.3 1469 1483 25.99% 25.46% 48.55%-0.10 +0.7 37
2016-03-04 Liefering W 2-152.5 1389 1465 35.92% 26.50% 37.58%-0.66 +5.7 27
2016-03-04 @ Kapfenberger L 1-252.5 1465 1389 37.58% 26.50% 35.92%+0.66 -5.7 32
2016-03-04 SKN St. Polten W 4-253.5 1440 1478 41.41% 26.35% 32.24%-0.34 +7.9 35
2016-03-04 @ Austria Lustenau L 2-453.5 1478 1440 32.24% 26.35% 41.41%+0.34 -7.9 41
2016-03-04 Wiener Neustadter D 2-261.7 1363 1415 39.47% 26.45% 34.08%-0.45 -0.1 19
2016-03-04 @ SV Austria Salzburg D 2-261.7 1415 1363 34.08% 26.45% 39.47%+0.45 +0.1 27
2016-03-11 Austria Klagenfurt W 2-148.3 1470 1418 53.31% 24.40% 22.29%+0.42 +3.7 40
2016-03-11 @ LASK Linz L 1-248.3 1418 1470 22.29% 24.40% 53.31%-0.42 -3.7 26
2016-03-11 Austria Lustenau D 1-155.4 1280 1448 24.67% 25.14% 50.19%-1.44 +0.8 9
2016-03-11 @ Floridsdorfer D 1-155.4 1448 1280 50.19% 25.14% 24.67%+1.44 -0.8 36
2016-03-11 SV Austria Salzburg W 4-032.7 1460 1363 58.75% 22.74% 18.51%+0.80 +11.8 35
2016-03-11 @ Liefering L 0-432.7 1363 1460 18.51% 22.74% 58.75%-0.80 -11.8 19
2016-03-11 Kapfenberger L 1-351.0 1415 1395 49.37% 25.30% 25.32%+0.16 -12.2 27
2016-03-11 @ Wiener Neustadter W 3-151.0 1395 1415 25.32% 25.30% 49.37%-0.16 +12.2 30
2016-03-11 Wacker Innsbruck W 1-047.6 1471 1483 45.03% 26.00% 28.97%-0.12 +5.0 44
2016-03-11 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-147.6 1483 1471 28.97% 26.00% 45.03%+0.12 -5.0 42
2016-03-14 LASK Linz L 0-246.9 1447 1473 43.10% 26.21% 30.69%-0.24 -12.7 36
2016-03-14 @ Austria Lustenau W 2-046.9 1473 1447 30.69% 26.21% 43.10%+0.24 +12.7 43
2016-03-15 Floridsdorfer L 0-147.9 1351 1281 55.67% 23.74% 20.59%+0.58 -8.2 19
2016-03-15 @ SV Austria Salzburg W 1-047.9 1281 1351 20.59% 23.74% 55.67%-0.58 +8.2 12
2016-03-15 Liefering L 1-258.3 1478 1471 47.46% 25.65% 26.89%+0.04 -6.8 42
2016-03-15 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-158.3 1471 1478 26.89% 25.65% 47.46%-0.04 +6.8 38
2016-03-15 SKN St. Polten L 0-147.8 1407 1476 37.04% 26.51% 36.46%-0.60 -6.0 30
2016-03-15 @ Kapfenberger W 1-047.8 1476 1407 36.46% 26.51% 37.04%+0.60 +6.0 47
2016-03-15 Wiener Neustadter L 0-245.2 1415 1403 48.20% 25.52% 26.28%+0.08 -13.8 26
2016-03-15 @ Austria Klagenfurt W 2-045.2 1403 1415 26.28% 25.52% 48.20%-0.08 +13.8 30
2016-03-18 Austria Klagenfurt W 1-041.6 1482 1401 56.89% 23.36% 19.75%+0.67 +3.5 50
2016-03-18 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-141.6 1401 1482 19.75% 23.36% 56.89%-0.67 -3.5 26
2016-03-18 Austria Lustenau W 1-044.0 1471 1435 51.35% 24.88% 23.76%+0.29 +4.2 45
2016-03-18 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-144.0 1435 1471 23.76% 24.88% 51.35%-0.29 -4.2 36
2016-03-18 SV Austria Salzburg W 2-143.4 1486 1343 63.93% 20.72% 15.35%+1.19 +2.5 46
2016-03-18 @ LASK Linz L 1-243.4 1343 1486 15.35% 20.72% 63.93%-1.19 -2.5 19
2016-03-18 Kapfenberger L 0-141.8 1289 1401 31.17% 26.26% 42.57%-0.96 -5.2 12
2016-03-18 @ Floridsdorfer W 1-041.8 1401 1289 42.57% 26.26% 31.17%+0.96 +5.2 33
2016-03-18 Wiener Neustadter D 1-159.7 1478 1417 54.56% 24.06% 21.37%+0.50 -1.1 39
2016-03-18 @ Liefering D 1-159.7 1417 1478 21.37% 24.06% 54.56%-0.50 +1.1 31
2016-04-01 Floridsdorfer W 1-035.9 1418 1284 62.98% 21.12% 15.90%+1.12 +2.8 34
2016-04-01 @ Wiener Neustadter L 0-135.9 1284 1418 15.90% 21.12% 62.98%-1.12 -2.8 12
2016-04-01 Kapfenberger L 1-447.0 1397 1406 45.46% 25.94% 28.60%-0.09 -16.2 26
2016-04-01 @ Austria Klagenfurt W 4-147.0 1406 1397 28.60% 25.94% 45.46%+0.09 +16.2 36
2016-04-01 Liefering D 1-159.4 1431 1477 40.21% 26.42% 33.37%-0.41 -0.2 37
2016-04-01 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-159.4 1477 1431 33.37% 26.42% 40.21%+0.41 +0.2 40
2016-04-01 SKN St. Polten W 2-043.9 1489 1485 47.13% 25.70% 27.17%+0.01 +8.9 49
2016-04-01 @ LASK Linz L 0-243.9 1485 1489 27.17% 25.70% 47.13%-0.01 -8.8 50
2016-04-01 Wacker Innsbruck W 1-048.3 1340 1475 28.42% 25.92% 45.67%-1.15 +7.0 22
2016-04-01 @ SV Austria Salzburg L 0-148.3 1475 1340 45.67% 25.92% 28.42%+1.15 -7.0 45
2016-04-08 Austria Klagenfurt W 3-142.4 1468 1381 57.60% 23.13% 19.27%+0.72 +5.6 48
2016-04-08 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-342.4 1381 1468 19.27% 23.13% 57.60%-0.72 -5.6 26
2016-04-08 SV Austria Salzburg W 4-137.9 1430 1348 57.13% 23.28% 19.58%+0.68 +8.0 40
2016-04-08 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-437.9 1348 1430 19.58% 23.28% 57.13%-0.68 -8.0 22
2016-04-08 Floridsdorfer W 3-136.7 1477 1281 69.45% 18.18% 12.37%+1.64 +3.4 43
2016-04-08 @ Liefering L 1-336.7 1281 1477 12.37% 18.18% 69.45%-1.64 -3.4 12
2016-04-08 LASK Linz L 1-254.1 1422 1497 36.11% 26.50% 37.39%-0.65 -5.5 36
2016-04-08 @ Kapfenberger W 2-154.1 1497 1422 37.39% 26.50% 36.11%+0.65 +5.5 52
2016-04-08 Wiener Neustadter W 3-253.6 1476 1421 53.82% 24.27% 21.91%+0.45 +3.5 53
2016-04-08 @ SKN St. Polten L 2-353.6 1421 1476 21.91% 24.27% 53.82%-0.45 -3.5 34
2016-04-11 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-244.7 1417 1473 38.83% 26.48% 34.69%-0.49 -11.7 34
2016-04-11 @ Wiener Neustadter W 2-044.7 1473 1417 34.69% 26.48% 38.83%+0.49 +11.7 51
2016-04-12 Austria Lustenau L 0-242.3 1375 1438 37.87% 26.50% 35.63%-0.55 -11.5 26
2016-04-12 @ Austria Klagenfurt W 2-042.3 1438 1375 35.63% 26.50% 37.87%+0.55 +11.5 43
2016-04-12 Kapfenberger L 0-437.7 1339 1417 35.84% 26.50% 37.66%-0.67 -20.9 22
2016-04-12 @ SV Austria Salzburg W 4-037.7 1417 1339 37.66% 26.50% 35.84%+0.67 +20.9 39
2016-04-12 Liefering W 1-047.4 1503 1481 49.58% 25.26% 25.16%+0.17 +4.4 55
2016-04-12 @ LASK Linz L 0-147.4 1481 1503 25.16% 25.26% 49.58%-0.17 -4.4 43
2016-04-12 SKN St. Polten L 0-333.1 1277 1480 21.46% 24.10% 54.45%-1.73 -10.4 12
2016-04-12 @ Floridsdorfer W 3-033.1 1480 1277 54.45% 24.10% 21.46%+1.73 +10.4 56
2016-04-15 Austria Klagenfurt W 3-141.2 1476 1364 60.56% 22.08% 17.36%+0.93 +5.0 46
2016-04-15 @ Liefering L 1-341.2 1364 1476 17.36% 22.08% 60.56%-0.93 -5.0 26
2016-04-15 Austria Lustenau D 1-157.8 1405 1450 40.51% 26.40% 33.08%-0.39 -0.2 35
2016-04-15 @ Wiener Neustadter D 1-157.8 1450 1405 33.08% 26.40% 40.51%+0.39 +0.2 44
2016-04-15 LASK Linz D 2-262.8 1267 1507 18.36% 22.65% 58.99%-2.05 +1.0 13
2016-04-15 @ Floridsdorfer D 2-262.8 1507 1267 58.99% 22.65% 18.36%+2.05 -1.0 56
2016-04-15 SKN St. Polten L 0-141.5 1319 1490 24.37% 25.06% 50.57%-1.47 -4.3 22
2016-04-15 @ SV Austria Salzburg W 1-041.5 1490 1319 50.57% 25.06% 24.37%+1.47 +4.3 59
2016-04-15 Wacker Innsbruck D 2-265.7 1438 1485 40.06% 26.43% 33.51%-0.42 -0.1 40
2016-04-15 @ Kapfenberger D 2-265.7 1485 1438 33.51% 26.43% 40.06%+0.42 +0.1 52
2016-04-22 SV Austria Salzburg L 0-243.7 1359 1314 52.46% 24.62% 22.92%+0.36 -14.8 26
2016-04-22 @ Austria Klagenfurt W 2-043.7 1314 1359 22.92% 24.62% 52.46%-0.36 +14.8 25
2016-04-22 Floridsdorfer W 3-027.9 1485 1268 71.44% 17.18% 11.37%+1.82 +5.2 55
2016-04-22 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-327.9 1268 1485 11.37% 17.18% 71.44%-1.82 -5.2 13
2016-04-22 Kapfenberger D 2-264.8 1450 1437 48.34% 25.50% 26.16%+0.09 -0.5 45
2016-04-22 @ Austria Lustenau D 2-264.8 1437 1450 26.16% 25.50% 48.34%-0.09 +0.5 41
2016-04-22 Liefering L 1-259.5 1494 1481 48.36% 25.49% 26.15%+0.09 -6.9 59
2016-04-22 @ SKN St. Polten W 2-159.5 1481 1494 26.15% 25.49% 48.36%-0.09 +6.9 49
2016-04-22 Wiener Neustadter W 2-147.2 1506 1405 59.26% 22.56% 18.18%+0.84 +3.0 59
2016-04-22 @ LASK Linz L 1-247.2 1405 1506 18.18% 22.56% 59.26%-0.84 -3.0 35
2016-04-25 Wacker Innsbruck W 1-048.1 1509 1491 49.15% 25.35% 25.50%+0.14 +4.5 62
2016-04-25 @ LASK Linz L 0-148.1 1491 1509 25.50% 25.35% 49.15%-0.14 -4.5 55
2016-04-26 Austria Klagenfurt L 0-238.5 1263 1344 35.25% 26.49% 38.25%-0.70 -10.9 13
2016-04-26 @ Floridsdorfer W 2-038.5 1344 1263 38.25% 26.49% 35.25%+0.70 +10.9 29
2016-04-26 Austria Lustenau W 3-038.8 1487 1450 51.59% 24.83% 23.58%+0.30 +11.4 62
2016-04-26 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-338.8 1450 1487 23.58% 24.83% 51.59%-0.30 -11.4 45
2016-04-26 SV Austria Salzburg L 1-254.5 1402 1329 55.96% 23.65% 20.39%+0.60 -7.8 35
2016-04-26 @ Wiener Neustadter W 2-154.5 1329 1402 20.39% 23.65% 55.96%-0.60 +7.8 28
2016-04-26 Kapfenberger W 1-044.2 1488 1438 53.19% 24.44% 22.38%+0.41 +3.9 52
2016-04-26 @ Liefering L 0-144.2 1438 1488 22.38% 24.44% 53.19%-0.41 -4.0 41
2016-04-29 Floridsdorfer D 1-156.9 1438 1252 68.43% 18.68% 12.89%+1.56 -1.9 46
2016-04-29 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-156.9 1252 1438 12.89% 18.68% 68.43%-1.56 +1.9 14
2016-04-29 LASK Linz L 0-537.6 1355 1514 25.68% 25.39% 48.93%-1.36 -19.7 29
2016-04-29 @ Austria Klagenfurt W 5-037.6 1514 1355 48.93% 25.39% 25.68%+1.36 +19.7 65
2016-04-29 Liefering D 0-053.1 1337 1492 26.05% 25.47% 48.48%-1.33 +0.8 29
2016-04-29 @ SV Austria Salzburg D 0-053.1 1492 1337 48.48% 25.47% 26.05%+1.33 -0.8 53
2016-04-29 SKN St. Polten L 0-249.7 1486 1499 44.93% 26.01% 29.06%-0.12 -13.1 55
2016-04-29 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-049.7 1499 1486 29.06% 26.01% 44.93%+0.12 +13.1 65
2016-04-29 Wiener Neustadter W 4-247.7 1434 1394 51.82% 24.77% 23.41%+0.32 +6.0 44
2016-04-29 @ Kapfenberger L 2-447.7 1394 1434 23.41% 24.77% 51.82%-0.32 -6.0 35
2016-05-06 Austria Klagenfurt D 0-051.3 1388 1335 53.52% 24.35% 22.14%+0.43 -1.2 36
2016-05-06 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-051.3 1335 1388 22.14% 24.35% 53.52%-0.43 +1.2 30
2016-05-06 Austria Lustenau L 0-252.3 1534 1436 58.82% 22.71% 18.47%+0.81 -16.3 65
2016-05-06 @ LASK Linz W 2-052.3 1436 1534 18.47% 22.71% 58.82%-0.81 +16.3 49
2016-05-06 SV Austria Salzburg W 2-148.6 1254 1338 34.89% 26.48% 38.62%-0.73 +5.8 17
2016-05-06 @ Floridsdorfer L 1-248.6 1338 1254 38.62% 26.48% 34.89%+0.73 -5.8 29
2016-05-06 Kapfenberger W 2-149.7 1512 1440 55.81% 23.70% 20.49%+0.59 +3.4 68
2016-05-06 @ SKN St. Polten L 1-249.7 1440 1512 20.49% 23.70% 55.81%-0.59 -3.4 44
2016-05-06 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-153.9 1492 1473 49.11% 25.35% 25.54%+0.14 -7.5 53
2016-05-06 @ Liefering W 1-053.9 1473 1492 25.54% 25.35% 49.11%-0.14 +7.5 58
2016-05-09 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-041.3 1453 1480 42.84% 26.24% 30.93%-0.25 +14.3 52
2016-05-09 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-341.3 1480 1453 30.93% 26.24% 42.84%+0.25 -14.3 58
2016-05-10 Floridsdorfer W 4-133.5 1437 1260 67.48% 19.13% 13.39%+1.48 +5.3 47
2016-05-10 @ Kapfenberger L 1-433.5 1260 1437 13.39% 19.13% 67.48%-1.48 -5.3 17
2016-05-10 LASK Linz L 1-344.0 1332 1517 23.01% 24.65% 52.34%-1.58 -6.6 29
2016-05-10 @ SV Austria Salzburg W 3-144.0 1517 1332 52.34% 24.65% 23.01%+1.58 +6.6 68
2016-05-10 Liefering W 1-048.4 1387 1484 33.13% 26.41% 40.47%-0.83 +6.4 39
2016-05-10 @ Wiener Neustadter L 0-148.4 1484 1387 40.47% 26.41% 33.13%+0.83 -6.4 53
2016-05-10 SKN St. Polten L 0-238.5 1336 1515 23.64% 24.85% 51.51%-1.53 -7.8 30
2016-05-10 @ Austria Klagenfurt W 2-038.5 1515 1336 51.51% 24.85% 23.64%+1.53 +7.8 71
2016-05-13 Austria Klagenfurt D 2-262.9 1442 1329 60.65% 22.04% 17.31%+0.94 -1.1 48
2016-05-13 @ Kapfenberger D 2-262.9 1329 1442 17.31% 22.04% 60.65%-0.94 +1.1 31
2016-05-13 Austria Lustenau D 2-266.7 1478 1467 48.09% 25.54% 26.37%+0.08 -0.5 54
2016-05-13 @ Liefering D 2-266.7 1467 1478 26.37% 25.54% 48.09%-0.08 +0.5 53
2016-05-13 SV Austria Salzburg D 2-263.7 1466 1325 63.69% 20.82% 15.48%+1.17 -1.2 59
2016-05-13 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 2-263.7 1325 1466 15.48% 20.82% 63.69%-1.17 +1.2 30
2016-05-13 LASK Linz W 3-261.3 1523 1524 46.54% 25.79% 27.67%-0.02 +4.3 74
2016-05-13 @ SKN St. Polten L 2-361.3 1524 1523 27.67% 25.79% 46.54%+0.02 -4.3 68
2016-05-13 Wiener Neustadter L 0-334.1 1254 1394 27.85% 25.82% 46.32%-1.19 -13.1 17
2016-05-13 @ Floridsdorfer W 3-034.1 1394 1254 46.32% 25.82% 27.85%+1.19 +13.1 42
2016-05-20 Austria Lustenau D 1-156.5 1327 1467 27.67% 25.79% 46.54%-1.21 +0.6 31
2016-05-20 @ SV Austria Salzburg D 1-156.5 1467 1327 46.54% 25.79% 27.67%+1.21 -0.6 54
2016-05-20 Kapfenberger D 1-162.2 1520 1441 56.66% 23.44% 19.91%+0.65 -1.2 69
2016-05-20 @ LASK Linz D 1-162.2 1441 1520 19.91% 23.44% 56.66%-0.65 +1.2 49
2016-05-20 Liefering L 0-331.2 1241 1477 18.69% 22.83% 58.47%-2.01 -9.1 17
2016-05-20 @ Floridsdorfer W 3-031.2 1477 1241 58.47% 22.83% 18.69%+2.01 +9.1 57
2016-05-20 SKN St. Polten L 0-341.1 1407 1527 30.07% 26.14% 43.79%-1.04 -14.0 42
2016-05-20 @ Wiener Neustadter W 3-041.1 1527 1407 43.79% 26.14% 30.07%+1.04 +14.0 77
2016-05-20 Wacker Innsbruck W 5-249.8 1330 1465 28.33% 25.90% 45.77%-1.16 +14.1 34
2016-05-20 @ Austria Klagenfurt L 2-549.8 1465 1330 45.77% 25.90% 28.33%+1.16 -14.1 59
2016-05-25 Austria Klagenfurt W 2-034.4 1467 1344 61.74% 21.62% 16.64%+1.02 +5.5 57
2016-05-25 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-234.4 1344 1467 16.64% 21.62% 61.74%-1.02 -5.5 34
2016-05-25 SV Austria Salzburg D 1-157.1 1442 1327 60.83% 21.98% 17.20%+0.95 -1.5 50
2016-05-25 @ Kapfenberger D 1-157.1 1327 1442 17.20% 21.98% 60.83%-0.95 +1.5 32
2016-05-25 Floridsdorfer W 3-025.9 1541 1232 79.35% 12.90% 7.74%+2.60 +3.3 80
2016-05-25 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-325.9 1232 1541 7.74% 12.90% 79.35%-2.60 -3.3 17
2016-05-25 LASK Linz L 1-452.6 1486 1518 42.23% 26.29% 31.48%-0.29 -15.3 57
2016-05-25 @ Liefering W 4-152.6 1518 1486 31.48% 26.29% 42.23%+0.29 +15.3 72
2016-05-25 Wiener Neustadter L 1-256.4 1451 1393 54.13% 24.18% 21.69%+0.47 -7.6 59
2016-05-25 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-156.4 1393 1451 21.69% 24.18% 54.13%-0.47 +7.6 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-03-04 14.56% Floridsdorfer 1271 2 @ Austria Klagenfurt 1427 1
2 2015-10-23 16.74% Floridsdorfer 1298 1 @ Kapfenberger 1419 0
3 2016-05-06 18.47% Austria Lustenau 1436 2 @ LASK Linz 1534 0
4 2016-04-26 20.39% SV Austria Salzburg 1329 2 @ Wiener Neustadter 1402 1
5 2015-08-14 20.51% SKN St. Polten 1392 3 @ Kapfenberger 1464 1
6 2016-03-15 20.59% Floridsdorfer 1281 1 @ SV Austria Salzburg 1351 0
7 2015-09-15 21.67% Liefering 1418 2 @ LASK Linz 1477 1
8 2016-05-25 21.69% Wiener Neustadter 1393 2 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1451 1
9 2015-10-16 22.11% SKN St. Polten 1435 3 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1488 1
10 2015-10-02 22.84% Austria Lustenau 1397 1 @ SKN St. Polten 1443 0
11 2016-04-22 22.92% SV Austria Salzburg 1314 2 @ Austria Klagenfurt 1359 0
12 2015-10-19 23.74% Kapfenberger 1412 2 @ SKN St. Polten 1448 1
13 2015-10-16 25.02% Wiener Neustadter 1396 1 @ Kapfenberger 1419 0
14 2015-11-20 25.20% SV Austria Salzburg 1382 3 @ Kapfenberger 1404 2
15 2016-03-11 25.32% Kapfenberger 1395 3 @ Wiener Neustadter 1415 1
16 2016-05-06 25.54% Wacker Innsbruck 1473 1 @ Liefering 1492 0
17 2016-04-22 26.15% Liefering 1481 2 @ SKN St. Polten 1494 1
18 2016-03-15 26.28% Wiener Neustadter 1403 2 @ Austria Klagenfurt 1415 0
19 2015-08-21 26.50% Wiener Neustadter 1401 1 @ Liefering 1411 0
20 2015-09-15 26.73% Kapfenberger 1429 2 @ SV Austria Salzburg 1437 0
21 2015-08-28 26.77% Liefering 1403 2 @ Austria Lustenau 1411 1
22 2015-10-23 26.77% SKN St. Polten 1441 2 @ Austria Klagenfurt 1448 1
23 2015-09-18 26.85% SKN St. Polten 1416 5 @ SV Austria Salzburg 1423 1
24 2016-03-15 26.89% Liefering 1471 2 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1478 1
25 2015-09-18 27.03% Austria Lustenau 1392 3 @ Wiener Neustadter 1397 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-09-18 21.63 SKN St. Polten 5 1416 26.85% @ SV Austria Salzburg 1 1423 47.51% 25.64%
2 2015-09-11 21.05 LASK Linz 5 1455 28.19% @ Kapfenberger 1 1450 45.92% 25.88%
3 2016-04-12 20.91 Kapfenberger 4 1417 37.66% @ SV Austria Salzburg 0 1339 35.84% 26.50%
4 2015-07-31 20.57 Wacker Innsbruck 5 1401 29.34% @ Floridsdorfer 1 1386 44.61% 26.05%
5 2016-04-29 19.74 LASK Linz 5 1514 48.93% @ Austria Klagenfurt 0 1355 25.68% 25.39%
6 2015-08-07 19.46 Wacker Innsbruck 3 1415 27.89% @ SKN St. Polten 0 1412 46.28% 25.83%
7 2015-11-20 18.17 @ Liefering 4 1454 44.00% LASK Linz 0 1473 29.88% 26.12%
8 2015-07-24 17.38 @ Austria Klagenfurt 4 1430 45.82% Liefering 0 1436 28.29% 25.90%
9 2016-05-06 16.27 Austria Lustenau 2 1436 18.47% @ LASK Linz 0 1534 58.82% 22.71%
10 2016-04-01 16.17 Kapfenberger 4 1406 28.60% @ Austria Klagenfurt 1 1397 45.46% 25.94%
11 2015-09-18 15.55 Wacker Innsbruck 4 1468 30.55% @ Kapfenberger 1 1443 43.26% 26.20%
12 2016-05-25 15.27 LASK Linz 4 1518 31.48% @ Liefering 1 1486 42.23% 26.29%
13 2015-08-28 15.13 @ Austria Klagenfurt 5 1446 44.03% Kapfenberger 1 1465 29.85% 26.12%
14 2016-04-22 14.83 SV Austria Salzburg 2 1314 22.92% @ Austria Klagenfurt 0 1359 52.46% 24.62%
15 2015-08-21 14.80 Kapfenberger 3 1450 41.31% @ Floridsdorfer 0 1348 32.33% 26.36%
16 2015-11-06 14.36 Liefering 5 1439 46.15% @ Floridsdorfer 1 1301 28.00% 25.85%
17 2016-05-09 14.30 @ Austria Lustenau 3 1453 42.84% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1480 30.93% 26.24%
18 2015-10-02 14.20 @ Liefering 5 1433 46.58% Kapfenberger 1 1434 27.63% 25.79%
19 2016-05-20 14.09 @ Austria Klagenfurt 5 1330 28.33% Wacker Innsbruck 2 1465 45.77% 25.90%
20 2016-05-20 13.98 SKN St. Polten 3 1527 43.79% @ Wiener Neustadter 0 1407 30.07% 26.14%
21 2016-03-15 13.84 Wiener Neustadter 2 1403 26.28% @ Austria Klagenfurt 0 1415 48.20% 25.52%
22 2015-11-20 13.82 @ Austria Lustenau 3 1418 44.28% Austria Klagenfurt 0 1435 29.63% 26.09%
23 2015-09-15 13.71 Kapfenberger 2 1429 26.73% @ SV Austria Salzburg 0 1437 47.66% 25.61%
24 2015-08-14 13.50 SKN St. Polten 3 1392 20.51% @ Kapfenberger 1 1464 55.78% 23.71%
25 2016-05-13 13.13 Wiener Neustadter 3 1394 46.32% @ Floridsdorfer 0 1254 27.85% 25.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-11-20 69.6 @ Wacker Innsbruck 3 1481 55.99% Wiener Neustadter 3 1408 20.37% 23.64%
2 2016-05-13 66.7 @ Liefering 2 1478 48.09% Austria Lustenau 2 1467 26.37% 25.54%
3 2016-04-15 65.7 @ Kapfenberger 2 1438 40.06% Wacker Innsbruck 2 1485 33.51% 26.43%
4 2015-10-16 65.6 @ Austria Klagenfurt 2 1448 43.79% LASK Linz 2 1469 30.06% 26.14%
5 2015-11-27 65.2 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1480 57.14% Kapfenberger 2 1398 19.58% 23.28%
6 2016-04-22 64.8 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1450 48.34% Kapfenberger 2 1437 26.16% 25.50%
7 2016-05-13 63.7 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1466 63.69% SV Austria Salzburg 2 1325 15.48% 20.82%
8 2015-07-24 63.2 @ SKN St. Polten 2 1409 43.88% SV Austria Salzburg 2 1430 29.99% 26.13%
9 2015-08-28 63.2 Wacker Innsbruck 4 1449 29.83% @ SV Austria Salzburg 3 1430 44.06% 26.11%
10 2015-10-16 63.1 @ SV Austria Salzburg 2 1393 39.08% Liefering 2 1447 34.45% 26.47%
11 2016-05-13 62.9 @ Kapfenberger 2 1442 60.65% Austria Klagenfurt 2 1329 17.31% 22.04%
12 2016-04-15 62.8 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1267 18.36% LASK Linz 2 1507 58.99% 22.65%
13 2016-05-20 62.2 @ LASK Linz 1 1520 56.66% Kapfenberger 1 1441 19.91% 23.44%
14 2016-03-04 61.7 @ SV Austria Salzburg 2 1363 39.47% Wiener Neustadter 2 1415 34.08% 26.45%
15 2016-03-04 61.3 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1 1483 48.55% LASK Linz 1 1469 25.99% 25.46%
16 2016-05-13 61.3 @ SKN St. Polten 3 1523 46.54% LASK Linz 2 1524 27.67% 25.79%
17 2015-10-20 60.3 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1297 33.36% SV Austria Salzburg 2 1393 40.22% 26.42%
18 2016-03-18 59.7 @ Liefering 1 1478 54.56% Wiener Neustadter 1 1417 21.37% 24.06%
19 2016-04-22 59.5 Liefering 2 1481 26.15% @ SKN St. Polten 1 1494 48.36% 25.49%
20 2016-04-01 59.4 @ Austria Lustenau 1 1431 40.21% Liefering 1 1477 33.37% 26.42%
21 2015-11-20 59.3 SV Austria Salzburg 3 1382 25.20% @ Kapfenberger 2 1404 49.53% 25.27%
22 2015-11-02 59.1 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1 1476 57.24% SV Austria Salzburg 1 1392 19.51% 23.25%
23 2015-11-06 59.1 SKN St. Polten 3 1453 32.37% @ Wiener Neustadter 2 1414 41.27% 26.36%
24 2015-07-31 58.5 @ SV Austria Salzburg 1 1430 44.33% Austria Klagenfurt 1 1447 29.59% 26.08%
25 2015-09-25 58.4 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1 1483 67.42% Floridsdorfer 1 1307 13.42% 19.16%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-05-25 25.9 @ SKN St. Polten 3 1541 79.35% Floridsdorfer 0 1232 7.74% 12.90%
2 2016-04-22 27.9 @ Wacker Innsbruck 3 1485 71.44% Floridsdorfer 0 1268 11.37% 17.18%
3 2015-11-27 28.4 @ LASK Linz 4 1467 68.18% Floridsdorfer 0 1283 13.03% 18.80%
4 2016-05-20 31.2 Liefering 3 1477 58.47% @ Floridsdorfer 0 1241 18.69% 22.83%
5 2015-11-20 31.5 @ SKN St. Polten 2 1459 66.92% Floridsdorfer 0 1287 13.69% 19.39%
6 2016-03-11 32.7 @ Liefering 4 1460 58.75% SV Austria Salzburg 0 1363 18.51% 22.74%
7 2016-04-12 33.1 SKN St. Polten 3 1480 54.45% @ Floridsdorfer 0 1277 21.46% 24.10%
8 2016-05-10 33.5 @ Kapfenberger 4 1437 67.48% Floridsdorfer 1 1260 13.39% 19.13%
9 2016-05-13 34.1 Wiener Neustadter 3 1394 46.32% @ Floridsdorfer 0 1254 27.85% 25.82%
10 2016-05-25 34.4 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1467 61.74% Austria Klagenfurt 0 1344 16.64% 21.62%
11 2016-04-01 35.9 @ Wiener Neustadter 1 1418 62.98% Floridsdorfer 0 1284 15.90% 21.12%
12 2016-04-08 36.7 @ Liefering 3 1477 69.45% Floridsdorfer 1 1281 12.37% 18.18%
13 2015-10-16 36.9 @ Austria Lustenau 1 1405 59.66% Floridsdorfer 0 1301 17.93% 22.41%
14 2015-09-11 37.3 @ Liefering 4 1410 56.90% Floridsdorfer 1 1329 19.74% 23.36%
15 2016-04-29 37.6 LASK Linz 5 1514 48.93% @ Austria Klagenfurt 0 1355 25.68% 25.39%
16 2016-04-12 37.7 Kapfenberger 4 1417 37.66% @ SV Austria Salzburg 0 1339 35.84% 26.50%
17 2015-07-24 37.8 @ Austria Klagenfurt 4 1430 45.82% Liefering 0 1436 28.29% 25.90%
18 2015-08-21 37.8 Kapfenberger 3 1450 41.31% @ Floridsdorfer 0 1348 32.33% 26.36%
19 2015-08-04 37.9 @ SV Austria Salzburg 3 1429 46.49% Wiener Neustadter 0 1431 27.71% 25.80%
20 2015-09-18 37.9 LASK Linz 2 1469 48.22% @ Floridsdorfer 0 1315 26.26% 25.52%
21 2016-04-08 37.9 @ Austria Lustenau 4 1430 57.13% SV Austria Salzburg 1 1348 19.58% 23.28%
22 2015-11-20 38.3 @ Austria Lustenau 3 1418 44.28% Austria Klagenfurt 0 1435 29.63% 26.09%
23 2015-08-28 38.5 @ Wiener Neustadter 1 1408 56.25% Floridsdorfer 0 1333 20.18% 23.56%
24 2016-04-26 38.5 Austria Klagenfurt 2 1344 38.25% @ Floridsdorfer 0 1263 35.25% 26.49%
25 2016-05-10 38.5 SKN St. Polten 2 1515 51.51% @ Austria Klagenfurt 0 1336 23.64% 24.85%