2013-14 First League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hartberg

8.62 points above expected

44 points · 35.38 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mattersburg

8.40 points below expected

44 points · 52.40 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	SCR Altach	36	21	10	5	73	79	41	+38	65.52	+7.48
2	Austria Lustenau	36	16	11	9	59	57	36	+21	56.47	+2.53
3	Liefering	36	16	9	11	57	72	48	+24	56.18	+0.82
4	SKN St. Polten	36	15	8	13	53	52	48	+4	49.27	+3.73
5	Kapfenberger	36	16	4	16	52	55	48	+7	55.54	-3.54
6	Mattersburg	36	11	11	14	44	53	67	-14	52.40	-8.40
7	Horn	36	12	8	16	44	52	70	-18	44.10	-0.10
8	Hartberg	36	11	11	14	44	41	60	-19	35.38	+8.62
9	SC-ESV Parndorf	36	11	6	19	39	41	59	-18	36.24	+2.76
10	First Vienna	36	9	6	21	33	36	61	-25	27.54	+5.46

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hartberg	44	35.38	+8.62
2	SCR Altach	73	65.52	+7.48
3	First Vienna	33	27.54	+5.46
4	SKN St. Polten	53	49.27	+3.73
5	SC-ESV Parndorf	39	36.24	+2.76

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Mattersburg	44	52.40	-8.40
2	Kapfenberger	52	55.54	-3.54
3	Horn	44	44.10	-0.10
4	Liefering	57	56.18	+0.82
5	Austria Lustenau	59	56.47	+2.53

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kapfenberger	6	Oct 4 – Nov 8	1 in 196
2	SKN St. Polten	4	Oct 25 – Nov 22	1 in 55
3	Liefering	5	Apr 29 – May 23	1 in 50
4	Horn	3	Apr 22 – Apr 29	1 in 45
5	First Vienna	2	Aug 9 – Aug 16	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	SKN St. Polten	7	Aug 6 – Sep 20	1 in 1,598
2	Kapfenberger	4	Mar 28 – Apr 11	1 in 99
3	Mattersburg	4	Sep 27 – Oct 22	1 in 97
4	Liefering	3	Feb 28 – Mar 11	1 in 67
5	First Vienna	4	Oct 25 – Nov 22	1 in 55

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Horn	7	Mar 28 – Apr 29	1 in 81
2	Austria Lustenau	11	Aug 6 – Oct 21	1 in 61
3	Kapfenberger	11	Aug 23 – Nov 8	1 in 61
4	SKN St. Polten	8	Oct 25 – Mar 10	1 in 38
5	SCR Altach	13	Oct 18 – Mar 24	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	First Vienna	14	Oct 25 – Apr 7	1 in 177
2	Liefering	6	Oct 4 – Nov 8	1 in 40
3	SKN St. Polten	7	Aug 6 – Sep 20	1 in 24
4	Mattersburg	6	Sep 27 – Nov 1	1 in 20
5	Kapfenberger	6	Mar 28 – Apr 25	1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
SCR Altach	1606	73	-24	7	9.6	-2.6
Austria Lustenau	1558	59	+13	7	8.9	-1.9
Liefering	1559	57	+39	15	8.3	+6.7
SKN St. Polten	1479	53	-18	5	7.2	-2.2
Kapfenberger	1506	52	-3	6	8.2	-2.2
Hartberg	1378	44	+10	8	5.0	+3.0
Mattersburg	1468	44	-5	7	6.6	+0.4
Horn	1428	44	-10	6	5.3	+0.7
SC-ESV Parndorf	1388	39	-4	4	4.6	-0.6
First Vienna	1393	33	+2	6	4.9	+1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AL	FV	HAR	HOR	KAP	LIE	MAT	SP	SA	SSP
Austria Lustenau	—	3-1-0 7.13	1-1-2 7.58	2-0-2 6.85	3-0-1 5.62	2-2-0 5.49	2-1-1 5.98	2-2-0 7.60	1-2-1 4.32	0-2-2 6.23
First Vienna	0-1-3 3.83	—	2-0-2 5.96	0-2-2 5.11	1-0-3 3.99	2-1-1 3.92	1-1-2 4.21	2-0-2 6.04	0-1-3 3.23	1-0-3 4.56
Hartberg	2-1-1 3.43	2-0-2 4.90	—	2-1-1 4.51	1-1-2 3.57	1-2-1 3.40	0-3-1 3.70	2-0-2 5.41	0-1-3 2.74	1-2-1 3.93
Horn	2-0-2 4.08	2-2-0 5.75	1-1-2 6.39	—	1-0-3 4.18	0-1-3 4.44	1-2-1 4.62	2-1-1 6.31	1-1-2 3.47	2-0-2 4.86
Kapfenberger	1-0-3 5.24	3-0-1 6.95	2-1-1 7.40	3-0-1 6.71	—	1-0-3 5.42	1-1-2 5.87	3-1-0 7.36	1-0-3 4.44	1-1-2 6.35
Liefering	0-2-2 5.36	1-1-2 7.03	1-2-1 7.62	3-1-0 6.46	3-0-1 5.48	—	3-0-1 5.58	1-1-2 7.53	1-2-1 4.54	3-0-1 6.23
Mattersburg	1-1-2 4.88	2-1-1 6.70	1-3-0 7.27	1-2-1 6.26	2-1-1 5.02	1-0-3 5.29	—	1-0-3 7.07	1-2-1 3.96	1-1-2 5.79
SC-ESV Parndorf	0-2-2 3.42	2-0-2 4.84	2-0-2 5.45	1-1-2 4.58	0-1-3 3.62	2-1-1 3.46	3-0-1 3.88	—	0-0-4 2.70	1-1-2 3.95
SCR Altach	1-2-1 6.58	3-1-0 7.82	3-1-0 8.42	2-1-1 7.55	3-0-1 6.44	1-2-1 6.34	1-2-1 6.99	4-0-0 8.46	—	3-1-0 7.04
SKN St. Polten	2-2-0 4.66	3-0-1 6.35	1-2-1 7.02	2-0-2 6.01	2-1-1 4.54	1-0-3 4.64	2-1-1 5.07	2-1-1 6.99	0-1-3 3.91	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.83	+7.8
Allowed	0.62	-8.1
Differential	0.92	+5.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.11%	7.78%	6.11%	4.17%	1.94%	0.83%	26.94%
1	7.78%	8.33%	6.11%	3.61%	2.78%	0.56%	29.17%
2	6.11%	6.11%	7.22%	1.67%	1.94%	0.28%	23.33%
3	4.17%	3.61%	1.67%	1.11%	0.28%	—	10.83%
4	1.94%	2.78%	1.94%	0.28%	0.56%	0.28%	7.78%
5+	0.83%	0.56%	0.28%	—	0.28%	—	1.94%
Total	26.94%	29.17%	23.33%	10.83%	7.78%	1.94%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.49	1.49	+0.00
SD	1.32	1.32	1.96
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	38.89%	30.56%	25.00%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.00	+0.58
SD	1.44	1.01	1.79
CV	0.91	1.01	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	8.33%	—	52.78%
2	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	19.44%	36.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.69	-0.69
SD	0.86	1.26	1.64
CV	0.86	0.74	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	—	38.89%
1	8.33%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	22.22%
2	5.56%	11.11%	13.89%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	30.56%	19.44%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.67	-0.53
SD	1.15	1.37	1.81
CV	1.01	0.82	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	22.22%
1	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	36.11%
3	—	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	25.00%	25.00%	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.94	-0.50
SD	1.05	1.57	1.89
CV	0.73	0.81	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	36.11%	22.22%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.33	+0.19
SD	1.30	1.10	1.92
CV	0.85	0.82	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	13.89%
3	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	41.67%	25.00%	2.78%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.33	+0.67
SD	1.57	1.12	2.06
CV	0.78	0.84	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	—	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	25.00%
1	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	30.56%	19.44%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.86	-0.39
SD	1.18	1.38	1.90
CV	0.80	0.74	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
1	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	27.78%	22.22%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.64	-0.50
SD	1.20	1.42	1.78
CV	1.05	0.86	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	13.89%
1	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	22.22%
2	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	16.67%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
4	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	25.00%	22.22%	5.56%	—	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.19	1.14	+1.06
SD	1.39	1.33	2.12
CV	0.63	1.17	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	30.56%
1	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
Total	36.11%	25.00%	16.67%	13.89%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.33	+0.11
SD	1.52	1.33	2.00
CV	1.05	1.00	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
SCR Altach	1606	73	65.52	+7.48	86.3%	43	53	60	66	70	78	90
Liefering	1559	57	56.18	+0.82	58.6%	33	44	51	56	61	69	78
Austria Lustenau	1558	59	56.47	+2.53	64.2%	35	43	51	57	62	69	80
Kapfenberger	1506	52	55.54	-3.54	35.4%	30	43	50	55	61	68	84
SKN St. Polten	1479	53	49.27	+3.73	71.7%	22	37	44	49	54	62	74
Mattersburg	1468	44	52.40	-8.40	14.4%	30	40	47	53	57	65	74
Horn	1428	44	44.10	-0.10	51.9%	21	32	39	44	50	57	67
First Vienna	1393	33	27.54	+5.46	17.6%	6	15	22	27	33	40	52
SC-ESV Parndorf	1388	39	36.24	+2.76	69.4%	13	24	32	36	41	48	63
Hartberg	1378	44	35.38	+8.62	89.5%	16	24	31	35	40	47	60

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.33%

Slight Edge

45.00%23.33%31.67%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 46.60 Elo pts.

172 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.33 goals

Neutral

-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.5

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

60%

SCR Altach, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.39/gm

Tight Race

00.180.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.02 * Some Luck: 6.02 to 9.02 * Lucky: 9.02 to 12.03 * Wild Swing: 12.03 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1 * Close: 1 to 1.49 * Off: 1.49 to 1.99 * Way Off: 1.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.43 points

As Expected

07.5219

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.60

Pinpoint

01.252.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

89.50%

Hartberg

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

14.40%

Mattersburg

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.12

Even

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.28

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

70%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

79%

Clear Edge

50%82%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Very Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.54

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.66

Strong Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

As Expected

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.58

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.72

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.038

Well Within Noise

00.1200.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
SCR Altach	60.40%	19.60%	8.90%	6.80%	2.70%	1.10%	0.40%	0.10%	—	—
Austria Lustenau	13.80%	20.50%	21.10%	16.30%	12.40%	7.90%	5.60%	1.70%	0.70%	—
Liefering	10.50%	20.10%	21.00%	18.00%	15.00%	9.50%	4.00%	1.60%	0.30%	—
SKN St. Polten	2.20%	6.20%	9.80%	14.90%	17.40%	22.50%	17.40%	6.90%	2.00%	0.70%
Kapfenberger	9.20%	20.10%	17.90%	17.10%	17.30%	10.50%	5.00%	1.90%	0.70%	0.30%
Mattersburg	3.60%	11.10%	16.40%	17.00%	19.50%	17.20%	9.70%	3.70%	1.80%	—
Horn	0.20%	2.10%	3.90%	7.60%	9.80%	20.00%	26.20%	17.30%	9.80%	3.10%
Hartberg	0.10%	0.10%	0.40%	0.80%	2.10%	4.40%	14.10%	27.40%	31.70%	18.90%
SC-ESV Parndorf	—	0.20%	0.60%	1.50%	3.10%	6.20%	13.90%	30.40%	31.00%	13.10%
First Vienna	—	—	—	—	0.70%	0.70%	3.70%	9.00%	22.00%	63.90%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
SCR Altach	65.00%	35.00%	—	—
Austria Lustenau	15.70%	83.60%	0.70%	—
Kapfenberger	10.90%	88.10%	0.70%	0.30%
Mattersburg	4.70%	93.50%	1.80%	—
SKN St. Polten	3.00%	94.30%	2.00%	0.70%
Liefering	—	100%	—	—
Horn	0.50%	86.60%	9.80%	3.10%
SC-ESV Parndorf	—	55.90%	31.00%	13.10%
Hartberg	0.20%	49.20%	31.70%	18.90%
First Vienna	—	14.10%	22.00%	63.90%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2013-07-19	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	53.9	1391	1499	26.96%	27.93%	45.11%	-0.36	+0.5	1
2013-07-19	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	D 0-0	53.9	1499	1391	45.11%	27.93%	26.96%	+0.36	-0.5	1
2013-07-19	First Vienna	W 4-1	47.0	1393	1452	32.96%	28.79%	38.25%	-0.07	+11.7	3
2013-07-19	@ Hartberg	L 1-4	47.0	1452	1393	38.25%	28.79%	32.96%	+0.07	-11.7	0
2013-07-19	Horn	W 3-2	58.3	1548	1470	52.04%	26.07%	21.88%	+0.73	+2.9	3
2013-07-19	@ SCR Altach	L 2-3	58.3	1470	1548	21.88%	26.07%	52.04%	-0.73	-2.9	0
2013-07-19	Kapfenberger	W 4-0	45.4	1464	1515	34.09%	28.84%	37.06%	-0.03	+17.7	3
2013-07-19	@ SKN St. Polten	L 0-4	45.4	1515	1464	37.06%	28.84%	34.09%	+0.03	-17.7	0
2013-07-19	Mattersburg	W 3-0	47.5	1496	1536	35.62%	28.87%	35.51%	+0.04	+13.1	3
2013-07-19	@ Liefering	L 0-3	47.5	1536	1496	35.51%	28.87%	35.62%	-0.04	-13.1	0
2013-07-26	Hartberg	L 0-1	53.3	1499	1405	54.09%	25.35%	20.57%	+0.82	-6.6	1
2013-07-26	@ Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	53.3	1405	1499	20.57%	25.35%	54.09%	-0.82	+6.6	6
2013-07-26	Liefering	L 2-4	57.4	1467	1509	35.33%	28.87%	35.80%	+0.02	-7.0	0
2013-07-26	@ Horn	W 4-2	57.4	1509	1467	35.80%	28.87%	35.33%	-0.02	+7.0	6
2013-07-26	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 2-0	38.7	1497	1392	55.52%	24.79%	19.69%	+0.89	+5.5	3
2013-07-26	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-2	38.7	1392	1497	19.69%	24.79%	55.52%	-0.89	-5.5	1
2013-07-26	SCR Altach	L 1-4	48.2	1441	1551	26.73%	27.87%	45.40%	-0.37	-8.9	0
2013-07-26	@ First Vienna	W 4-1	48.2	1551	1441	45.40%	27.87%	26.73%	+0.37	+8.9	6
2013-07-26	SKN St. Polten	L 0-1	55.5	1523	1481	47.18%	27.48%	25.35%	+0.52	-5.9	0
2013-07-26	@ Mattersburg	W 1-0	55.5	1481	1523	25.35%	27.48%	47.18%	-0.52	+5.9	6
2013-08-02	Austria Lustenau	W 2-0	46.4	1487	1492	40.68%	28.60%	30.72%	+0.24	+8.1	9
2013-08-02	@ SKN St. Polten	L 0-2	46.4	1492	1487	30.72%	28.60%	40.68%	-0.24	-8.1	1
2013-08-02	First Vienna	W 3-0	39.2	1517	1432	52.97%	25.75%	21.28%	+0.77	+8.6	3
2013-08-02	@ Mattersburg	L 0-3	39.2	1432	1517	21.28%	25.75%	52.97%	-0.77	-8.6	0
2013-08-02	Horn	D 2-2	62.8	1411	1460	34.45%	28.85%	36.70%	-0.01	+0.0	7
2013-08-02	@ Hartberg	D 2-2	62.8	1460	1411	36.70%	28.85%	34.45%	+0.01	-0.0	1
2013-08-02	Kapfenberger	W 1-0	50.4	1560	1503	49.25%	26.93%	23.81%	+0.61	+3.5	9
2013-08-02	@ SCR Altach	L 0-1	50.4	1503	1560	23.81%	26.93%	49.25%	-0.61	-3.5	3
2013-08-02	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 4-1	41.1	1516	1386	58.56%	23.51%	17.93%	+1.03	+6.0	9
2013-08-02	@ Liefering	L 1-4	41.1	1386	1516	17.93%	23.51%	58.56%	-1.03	-6.0	1
2013-08-05	Hartberg	D 0-0	55.3	1499	1411	53.27%	25.64%	21.08%	+0.78	-1.0	4
2013-08-05	@ Kapfenberger	D 0-0	55.3	1411	1499	21.08%	25.64%	53.27%	-0.78	+1.0	8
2013-08-06	First Vienna	D 0-0	54.8	1484	1423	49.74%	26.79%	23.46%	+0.63	-0.8	2
2013-08-06	@ Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	54.8	1423	1484	23.46%	26.79%	49.74%	-0.63	+0.8	1
2013-08-06	Mattersburg	L 3-4	63.9	1460	1526	32.07%	28.73%	39.20%	-0.11	-3.9	1
2013-08-06	@ Horn	W 4-3	63.9	1526	1460	39.20%	28.73%	32.07%	+0.11	+3.9	6
2013-08-06	SCR Altach	W 5-1	53.0	1522	1563	35.50%	28.87%	35.63%	+0.03	+14.3	12
2013-08-06	@ Liefering	L 1-5	53.0	1563	1522	35.63%	28.87%	35.50%	-0.03	-14.3	9
2013-08-06	SKN St. Polten	W 2-0	47.1	1380	1495	26.20%	27.73%	46.08%	-0.40	+11.0	4
2013-08-06	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	L 0-2	47.1	1495	1380	46.08%	27.73%	26.20%	+0.40	-11.0	9
2013-08-09	Horn	W 3-0	41.2	1483	1456	45.21%	27.91%	26.88%	+0.43	+10.6	5
2013-08-09	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-3	41.2	1456	1483	26.88%	27.91%	45.21%	-0.43	-10.6	1
2013-08-09	Kapfenberger	W 1-0	50.2	1530	1498	45.78%	27.79%	26.43%	+0.46	+3.8	9
2013-08-09	@ Mattersburg	L 0-1	50.2	1498	1530	26.43%	27.79%	45.78%	-0.46	-3.8	4
2013-08-09	Liefering	W 1-0	53.5	1424	1536	26.49%	27.81%	45.71%	-0.38	+5.8	4
2013-08-09	@ First Vienna	L 0-1	53.5	1536	1424	45.71%	27.81%	26.49%	+0.38	-5.8	12
2013-08-09	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 3-2	53.6	1412	1391	44.32%	28.08%	27.60%	+0.39	+3.5	11
2013-08-09	@ Hartberg	L 2-3	53.6	1391	1412	27.60%	28.08%	44.32%	-0.39	-3.5	4
2013-08-09	SCR Altach	L 0-1	52.5	1484	1549	32.27%	28.75%	38.98%	-0.10	-4.5	9
2013-08-09	@ SKN St. Polten	W 1-0	52.5	1549	1484	38.98%	28.75%	32.27%	+0.10	+4.5	12
2013-08-16	Austria Lustenau	L 1-3	55.4	1494	1494	41.43%	28.51%	30.05%	+0.27	-8.8	4
2013-08-16	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-1	55.4	1494	1494	30.05%	28.51%	41.43%	-0.27	+8.8	8
2013-08-16	First Vienna	L 1-2	57.5	1480	1430	48.31%	27.19%	24.50%	+0.56	-5.7	9
2013-08-16	@ SKN St. Polten	W 2-1	57.5	1430	1480	24.50%	27.19%	48.31%	-0.56	+5.7	7
2013-08-16	Hartberg	W 3-0	38.0	1531	1416	56.72%	24.30%	18.98%	+0.94	+7.6	15
2013-08-16	@ Liefering	L 0-3	38.0	1416	1531	18.98%	24.30%	56.72%	-0.94	-7.6	11
2013-08-16	Horn	L 1-4	45.2	1388	1445	33.20%	28.81%	38.00%	-0.06	-10.5	4
2013-08-16	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	W 4-1	45.2	1445	1388	38.00%	28.81%	33.20%	+0.06	+10.5	4
2013-08-16	Mattersburg	W 3-0	46.9	1553	1534	44.16%	28.11%	27.73%	+0.39	+10.9	15
2013-08-16	@ SCR Altach	L 0-3	46.9	1534	1553	27.73%	28.11%	44.16%	-0.39	-10.9	9
2013-08-23	Kapfenberger	L 1-2	54.1	1435	1486	34.24%	28.85%	36.91%	-0.02	-4.4	7
2013-08-23	@ First Vienna	W 2-1	54.1	1486	1435	36.91%	28.85%	34.24%	+0.02	+4.4	7
2013-08-23	Liefering	D 3-3	73.0	1503	1538	36.30%	28.86%	34.84%	+0.06	-0.0	9
2013-08-23	@ Austria Lustenau	D 3-3	73.0	1538	1503	34.84%	28.86%	36.30%	-0.06	+0.0	16
2013-08-23	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 3-0	35.3	1523	1377	60.47%	22.63%	16.90%	+1.12	+6.7	12
2013-08-23	@ Mattersburg	L 0-3	35.3	1377	1523	16.90%	22.63%	60.47%	-1.12	-6.7	4
2013-08-23	SCR Altach	L 0-4	39.9	1408	1564	22.20%	26.23%	51.57%	-0.64	-11.7	11
2013-08-23	@ Hartberg	W 4-0	39.9	1564	1408	51.57%	26.23%	22.20%	+0.64	+11.7	18
2013-08-23	SKN St. Polten	W 3-1	50.7	1456	1474	38.76%	28.76%	32.48%	+0.16	+7.3	7
2013-08-23	@ Horn	L 1-3	50.7	1474	1456	32.48%	28.76%	38.76%	-0.16	-7.3	9
2013-08-30	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	61.2	1576	1503	51.38%	26.29%	22.33%	+0.70	-0.9	19
2013-08-30	@ SCR Altach	D 0-0	61.2	1503	1576	22.33%	26.29%	51.38%	-0.70	+0.9	10
2013-08-30	Hartberg	D 4-4	72.3	1529	1396	58.94%	23.34%	17.73%	+1.05	-0.6	13
2013-08-30	@ Mattersburg	D 4-4	72.3	1396	1529	17.73%	23.34%	58.94%	-1.05	+0.6	12
2013-08-30	Horn	W 3-1	49.6	1490	1463	45.12%	27.93%	26.96%	+0.43	+6.3	10
2013-08-30	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-3	49.6	1463	1490	26.96%	27.93%	45.12%	-0.43	-6.3	7
2013-08-30	Liefering	L 1-4	50.4	1467	1538	31.37%	28.67%	39.96%	-0.14	-10.1	9
2013-08-30	@ SKN St. Polten	W 4-1	50.4	1538	1467	39.96%	28.67%	31.37%	+0.14	+10.1	19
2013-08-30	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 1-0	41.7	1431	1370	49.71%	26.80%	23.49%	+0.63	+3.4	10
2013-08-30	@ First Vienna	L 0-1	41.7	1370	1431	23.49%	26.80%	49.71%	-0.63	-3.4	4
2013-09-13	First Vienna	W 3-1	47.7	1457	1434	44.50%	28.04%	27.45%	+0.40	+6.4	10
2013-09-13	@ Horn	L 1-3	47.7	1434	1457	27.45%	28.04%	44.50%	-0.40	-6.4	10
2013-09-13	Kapfenberger	L 0-2	53.7	1548	1496	48.57%	27.12%	24.30%	+0.58	-11.4	19
2013-09-13	@ Liefering	W 2-0	53.7	1496	1548	24.30%	27.12%	48.57%	-0.58	+11.4	13
2013-09-13	Mattersburg	W 4-0	46.3	1504	1529	37.79%	28.82%	33.39%	+0.12	+16.4	13
2013-09-13	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-4	46.3	1529	1504	33.39%	28.82%	37.79%	-0.12	-16.4	13
2013-09-13	SCR Altach	L 0-2	39.8	1367	1575	18.14%	23.68%	58.18%	-0.94	-5.0	4
2013-09-13	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	W 2-0	39.8	1575	1367	58.18%	23.68%	18.14%	+0.94	+5.0	22
2013-09-13	SKN St. Polten	W 1-0	48.0	1397	1457	32.91%	28.79%	38.30%	-0.08	+5.1	15
2013-09-13	@ Hartberg	L 0-1	48.0	1457	1397	38.30%	28.79%	32.91%	+0.08	-5.1	9
2013-09-20	Hartberg	W 3-0	37.9	1428	1402	44.99%	27.95%	27.05%	+0.42	+10.7	13
2013-09-20	@ First Vienna	L 0-3	37.9	1402	1428	27.05%	27.95%	44.99%	-0.42	-10.7	15
2013-09-20	Liefering	W 2-0	49.8	1512	1537	37.87%	28.81%	33.32%	+0.13	+8.6	16
2013-09-20	@ Mattersburg	L 0-2	49.8	1537	1512	33.32%	28.81%	37.87%	-0.13	-8.6	19
2013-09-20	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 2-1	45.3	1520	1362	61.96%	21.91%	16.13%	+1.19	+2.2	16
2013-09-20	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	45.3	1362	1520	16.13%	21.91%	61.96%	-1.19	-2.2	4
2013-09-20	SCR Altach	D 0-0	59.5	1463	1580	26.02%	27.68%	46.30%	-0.41	+0.6	11
2013-09-20	@ Horn	D 0-0	59.5	1580	1463	46.30%	27.68%	26.02%	+0.41	-0.6	23
2013-09-20	SKN St. Polten	W 1-0	46.7	1508	1452	49.08%	26.98%	23.94%	+0.60	+3.5	16
2013-09-20	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-1	46.7	1452	1508	23.94%	26.98%	49.08%	-0.60	-3.5	9
2013-09-27	Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	45.3	1391	1522	24.60%	27.23%	48.17%	-0.49	-3.6	15
2013-09-27	@ Hartberg	W 1-0	45.3	1522	1391	48.17%	27.23%	24.60%	+0.49	+3.6	19
2013-09-27	First Vienna	W 4-1	44.9	1580	1439	59.90%	22.90%	17.20%	+1.09	+5.8	26
2013-09-27	@ SCR Altach	L 1-4	44.9	1439	1580	17.20%	22.90%	59.90%	-1.09	-5.8	13
2013-09-27	Horn	W 4-2	53.7	1528	1464	50.23%	26.65%	23.12%	+0.65	+4.9	22
2013-09-27	@ Liefering	L 2-4	53.7	1464	1528	23.12%	26.65%	50.23%	-0.65	-4.9	11
2013-09-27	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	58.0	1360	1511	22.63%	26.43%	50.95%	-0.61	+0.8	5
2013-09-27	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	D 1-1	58.0	1511	1360	50.95%	26.43%	22.63%	+0.61	-0.8	17
2013-09-27	Mattersburg	W 1-0	52.4	1448	1521	31.21%	28.65%	40.14%	-0.15	+5.2	12
2013-09-27	@ SKN St. Polten	L 0-1	52.4	1521	1448	40.14%	28.65%	31.21%	+0.15	-5.2	16
2013-10-04	Hartberg	L 1-2	56.1	1459	1388	51.08%	26.39%	22.54%	+0.69	-5.9	11
2013-10-04	@ Horn	W 2-1	56.1	1388	1459	22.54%	26.39%	51.08%	-0.69	+5.9	18
2013-10-04	Liefering	D 0-0	54.8	1361	1533	20.79%	25.48%	53.73%	-0.74	+1.0	6
2013-10-04	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	D 0-0	54.8	1533	1361	53.73%	25.48%	20.79%	+0.74	-1.0	23
2013-10-04	Mattersburg	W 3-1	54.0	1433	1516	29.93%	28.50%	41.57%	-0.21	+8.8	16
2013-10-04	@ First Vienna	L 1-3	54.0	1516	1433	41.57%	28.50%	29.93%	+0.21	-8.8	16
2013-10-04	SCR Altach	W 3-0	51.2	1510	1585	30.93%	28.62%	40.45%	-0.16	+14.4	20
2013-10-04	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-3	51.2	1585	1510	40.45%	28.62%	30.93%	+0.16	-14.4	26
2013-10-04	SKN St. Polten	D 1-1	61.7	1526	1454	51.24%	26.34%	22.43%	+0.69	-0.8	20
2013-10-04	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	61.7	1454	1526	22.43%	26.34%	51.24%	-0.69	+0.8	13
2013-10-18	Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	45.6	1442	1525	29.88%	28.49%	41.63%	-0.21	-8.0	16
2013-10-18	@ First Vienna	W 2-0	45.6	1525	1442	41.63%	28.49%	29.88%	+0.21	+8.0	23
2013-10-18	Horn	L 0-1	54.2	1507	1453	48.82%	27.06%	24.13%	+0.59	-6.1	16
2013-10-18	@ Mattersburg	W 1-0	54.2	1453	1507	24.13%	27.06%	48.82%	-0.59	+6.1	14
2013-10-18	Kapfenberger	L 0-2	41.9	1394	1525	24.56%	27.21%	48.22%	-0.49	-6.8	18
2013-10-18	@ Hartberg	W 2-0	41.9	1525	1394	48.22%	27.21%	24.56%	+0.49	+6.8	23
2013-10-18	Liefering	W 4-2	58.7	1571	1532	46.72%	27.58%	25.69%	+0.50	+5.4	29
2013-10-18	@ SCR Altach	L 2-4	58.7	1532	1571	25.69%	27.58%	46.72%	-0.50	-5.4	23
2013-10-18	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 2-0	37.2	1454	1362	53.91%	25.41%	20.68%	+0.81	+5.7	16
2013-10-18	@ SKN St. Polten	L 0-2	37.2	1362	1454	20.68%	25.41%	53.91%	-0.81	-5.7	6
2013-10-21	Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	47.0	1459	1533	31.06%	28.64%	40.31%	-0.16	-8.2	14
2013-10-21	@ Horn	W 2-0	47.0	1533	1459	40.31%	28.64%	31.06%	+0.16	+8.2	26
2013-10-22	First Vienna	L 0-2	51.7	1527	1434	53.95%	25.40%	20.65%	+0.81	-12.4	23
2013-10-22	@ Liefering	W 2-0	51.7	1434	1527	20.65%	25.40%	53.95%	-0.81	+12.4	19
2013-10-22	Hartberg	W 4-0	37.8	1356	1387	36.92%	28.85%	34.23%	+0.09	+16.7	9
2013-10-22	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	L 0-4	37.8	1387	1356	34.23%	28.85%	36.92%	-0.09	-16.7	18
2013-10-22	Mattersburg	W 3-1	52.4	1532	1501	45.66%	27.82%	26.52%	+0.45	+6.2	26
2013-10-22	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-3	52.4	1501	1532	26.52%	27.82%	45.66%	-0.45	-6.2	16
2013-10-22	SKN St. Polten	W 3-0	41.3	1576	1460	56.88%	24.24%	18.88%	+0.95	+7.6	32
2013-10-22	@ SCR Altach	L 0-3	41.3	1460	1576	18.88%	24.24%	56.88%	-0.95	-7.6	16
2013-10-25	Kapfenberger	L 2-4	63.0	1541	1538	41.83%	28.46%	29.70%	+0.29	-7.9	26
2013-10-25	@ Austria Lustenau	W 4-2	63.0	1538	1541	29.70%	28.46%	41.83%	-0.29	+7.9	29
2013-10-25	Liefering	D 2-2	63.9	1370	1515	23.30%	26.72%	49.98%	-0.57	+0.5	19
2013-10-25	@ Hartberg	D 2-2	63.9	1515	1370	49.98%	26.72%	23.30%	+0.57	-0.5	24
2013-10-25	SC-ESV Parndorf	D 2-2	62.3	1451	1372	52.04%	26.07%	21.89%	+0.73	-0.6	15
2013-10-25	@ Horn	D 2-2	62.3	1372	1451	21.89%	26.07%	52.04%	-0.73	+0.6	10
2013-10-25	SCR Altach	D 3-3	74.4	1495	1584	29.15%	28.38%	42.48%	-0.25	+0.2	17
2013-10-25	@ Mattersburg	D 3-3	74.4	1584	1495	42.48%	28.38%	29.15%	+0.25	-0.2	33
2013-10-25	SKN St. Polten	L 1-2	55.2	1446	1452	40.49%	28.62%	30.89%	+0.23	-5.0	19
2013-10-25	@ First Vienna	W 2-1	55.2	1452	1446	30.89%	28.62%	40.49%	-0.23	+5.0	19
2013-11-01	Hartberg	W 3-0	34.9	1584	1371	68.19%	18.65%	13.15%	+1.51	+5.0	36
2013-11-01	@ SCR Altach	L 0-3	34.9	1371	1584	13.15%	18.65%	68.19%	-1.51	-5.0	19
2013-11-01	Horn	W 5-2	49.1	1457	1450	42.39%	28.39%	29.22%	+0.31	+8.3	22
2013-11-01	@ SKN St. Polten	L 2-5	49.1	1450	1457	29.22%	28.39%	42.39%	-0.31	-8.3	15
2013-11-01	Mattersburg	W 2-1	55.8	1373	1495	25.51%	27.53%	46.97%	-0.44	+5.6	13
2013-11-01	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	L 1-2	55.8	1495	1373	46.97%	27.53%	25.51%	+0.44	-5.6	17
2013-11-02	First Vienna	W 3-0	39.9	1546	1441	55.41%	24.84%	19.75%	+0.88	+8.0	32
2013-11-02	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-3	39.9	1441	1546	19.75%	24.84%	55.41%	-0.88	-8.0	19
2013-11-04	Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	63.5	1514	1533	38.65%	28.77%	32.58%	+0.16	-0.2	25
2013-11-04	@ Liefering	D 1-1	63.5	1533	1514	32.58%	28.77%	38.65%	-0.16	+0.1	27
2013-11-08	First Vienna	W 2-0	43.2	1379	1433	33.62%	28.83%	37.55%	-0.05	+9.4	16
2013-11-08	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	L 0-2	43.2	1433	1379	37.55%	28.83%	33.62%	+0.05	-9.4	19
2013-11-08	Kapfenberger	L 0-2	45.5	1442	1554	26.57%	27.83%	45.60%	-0.38	-7.2	15
2013-11-08	@ Horn	W 2-0	45.5	1554	1442	45.60%	27.83%	26.57%	+0.38	+7.2	35
2013-11-08	Mattersburg	L 1-3	45.8	1366	1489	25.34%	27.47%	47.18%	-0.45	-6.0	19
2013-11-08	@ Hartberg	W 3-1	45.8	1489	1366	47.18%	27.47%	25.34%	+0.45	+6.0	20
2013-11-08	SCR Altach	D 1-1	66.0	1533	1589	33.52%	28.82%	37.66%	-0.05	+0.1	28
2013-11-08	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	66.0	1589	1533	37.66%	28.82%	33.52%	+0.05	-0.1	37
2013-11-08	SKN St. Polten	L 0-1	54.7	1514	1466	48.03%	27.26%	24.71%	+0.55	-6.0	25
2013-11-08	@ Liefering	W 1-0	54.7	1466	1514	24.71%	27.26%	48.03%	-0.55	+6.0	25
2013-11-22	Austria Lustenau	D 2-2	68.3	1495	1533	35.93%	28.87%	35.20%	+0.05	-0.0	21
2013-11-22	@ Mattersburg	D 2-2	68.3	1533	1495	35.20%	28.87%	35.93%	-0.05	+0.0	29
2013-11-22	Hartberg	W 1-0	40.4	1472	1360	56.32%	24.47%	19.21%	+0.92	+2.8	28
2013-11-22	@ SKN St. Polten	L 0-1	40.4	1360	1472	19.21%	24.47%	56.32%	-0.92	-2.8	19
2013-11-22	Horn	L 1-2	53.8	1424	1435	39.83%	28.68%	31.49%	+0.21	-4.9	19
2013-11-22	@ First Vienna	W 2-1	53.8	1435	1424	31.49%	28.68%	39.83%	-0.21	+4.9	18
2013-11-22	Liefering	L 0-1	58.2	1561	1508	48.70%	27.09%	24.22%	+0.58	-6.1	35
2013-11-22	@ Kapfenberger	W 1-0	58.2	1508	1561	24.22%	27.09%	48.70%	-0.58	+6.1	28
2013-11-22	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 4-1	41.2	1589	1388	66.84%	19.39%	13.77%	+1.44	+4.4	40
2013-11-22	@ SCR Altach	L 1-4	41.2	1388	1589	13.77%	19.39%	66.84%	-1.44	-4.4	16
2013-11-29	First Vienna	D 0-0	52.9	1440	1419	44.28%	28.08%	27.63%	+0.39	-0.5	19
2013-11-29	@ Horn	D 0-0	52.9	1419	1440	27.63%	28.08%	44.28%	-0.39	+0.5	20
2013-11-29	Hartberg	W 1-0	41.9	1384	1357	45.08%	27.93%	26.98%	+0.43	+3.9	19
2013-11-29	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	L 0-1	41.9	1357	1384	26.98%	27.93%	45.08%	-0.43	-3.9	19
2013-11-29	Mattersburg	W 4-0	43.5	1533	1495	46.68%	27.59%	25.73%	+0.49	+13.3	32
2013-11-29	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-4	43.5	1495	1533	25.73%	27.59%	46.68%	-0.49	-13.3	21
2013-11-29	SCR Altach	D 1-1	65.6	1514	1593	30.40%	28.56%	41.04%	-0.19	+0.3	29
2013-11-29	@ Liefering	D 1-1	65.6	1593	1514	41.04%	28.56%	30.40%	+0.19	-0.3	41
2013-11-29	SKN St. Polten	D 2-2	69.2	1555	1475	52.30%	25.98%	21.72%	+0.74	-0.6	36
2013-11-29	@ Kapfenberger	D 2-2	69.2	1475	1555	21.72%	25.98%	52.30%	-0.74	+0.6	29
2014-02-28	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	58.4	1475	1547	31.34%	28.67%	39.99%	-0.15	+0.2	30
2014-02-28	@ SKN St. Polten	D 0-0	58.4	1547	1475	39.99%	28.67%	31.34%	+0.15	-0.2	33
2014-02-28	Horn	D 2-2	64.8	1482	1439	47.30%	27.45%	25.25%	+0.52	-0.4	22
2014-02-28	@ Mattersburg	D 2-2	64.8	1439	1482	25.25%	27.45%	47.30%	-0.52	+0.4	20
2014-02-28	Kapfenberger	W 2-0	50.3	1593	1554	46.71%	27.59%	25.70%	+0.50	+7.0	44
2014-02-28	@ SCR Altach	L 0-2	50.3	1554	1593	25.70%	27.59%	46.71%	-0.50	-7.0	36
2014-02-28	Liefering	W 2-1	56.9	1353	1514	21.79%	26.02%	52.19%	-0.67	+6.0	22
2014-02-28	@ Hartberg	L 1-2	56.9	1514	1353	52.19%	26.02%	21.79%	+0.67	-6.0	29
2014-02-28	SC-ESV Parndorf	L 0-1	48.8	1419	1388	45.81%	27.78%	26.40%	+0.46	-5.8	20
2014-02-28	@ First Vienna	W 1-0	48.8	1388	1419	26.40%	27.78%	45.81%	-0.46	+5.8	22
2014-03-07	Austria Lustenau	L 2-4	60.5	1508	1547	35.90%	28.87%	35.24%	+0.05	-7.1	29
2014-03-07	@ Liefering	W 4-2	60.5	1547	1508	35.24%	28.87%	35.90%	-0.05	+7.1	36
2014-03-07	First Vienna	D 2-2	70.4	1600	1414	65.22%	20.25%	14.53%	+1.36	-1.1	45
2014-03-07	@ SCR Altach	D 2-2	70.4	1414	1600	14.53%	20.25%	65.22%	-1.36	+1.1	21
2014-03-07	Hartberg	L 0-2	46.5	1440	1359	52.30%	25.99%	21.72%	+0.74	-12.1	20
2014-03-07	@ Horn	W 2-0	46.5	1359	1440	21.72%	25.99%	52.30%	-0.74	+12.1	25
2014-03-07	Mattersburg	L 0-2	53.5	1547	1481	50.38%	26.60%	23.02%	+0.65	-11.7	36
2014-03-07	@ Kapfenberger	W 2-0	53.5	1481	1547	23.02%	26.60%	50.38%	-0.65	+11.7	25
2014-03-07	SKN St. Polten	D 0-0	53.1	1393	1475	30.02%	28.51%	41.47%	-0.21	+0.3	23
2014-03-07	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	D 0-0	53.1	1475	1393	41.47%	28.51%	30.02%	+0.21	-0.3	31
2014-03-10	Horn	W 6-0	39.9	1475	1428	47.95%	27.28%	24.76%	+0.55	+18.9	34
2014-03-10	@ SKN St. Polten	L 0-6	39.9	1428	1475	24.76%	27.28%	47.95%	-0.55	-18.9	20
2014-03-11	First Vienna	D 1-1	59.2	1493	1415	52.07%	26.06%	21.87%	+0.73	-0.8	26
2014-03-11	@ Mattersburg	D 1-1	59.2	1415	1493	21.87%	26.06%	52.07%	-0.73	+0.8	22
2014-03-11	Kapfenberger	W 2-0	49.4	1554	1535	43.92%	28.15%	27.93%	+0.38	+7.5	39
2014-03-11	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	49.4	1535	1554	27.93%	28.15%	43.92%	-0.38	-7.5	36
2014-03-11	SC-ESV Parndorf	L 0-1	53.3	1501	1394	55.77%	24.69%	19.54%	+0.90	-6.7	29
2014-03-11	@ Liefering	W 1-0	53.3	1394	1501	19.54%	24.69%	55.77%	-0.90	+6.7	26
2014-03-11	SCR Altach	D 2-2	68.0	1371	1599	16.88%	22.61%	60.50%	-1.05	+0.9	26
2014-03-11	@ Hartberg	D 2-2	68.0	1599	1371	60.50%	22.61%	16.88%	+1.05	-0.9	46
2014-03-14	Austria Lustenau	W 2-0	51.5	1409	1561	22.53%	26.38%	51.09%	-0.62	+11.9	23
2014-03-14	@ Horn	L 0-2	51.5	1561	1409	51.09%	26.38%	22.53%	+0.62	-11.9	39
2014-03-14	Hartberg	D 2-2	64.0	1492	1372	57.36%	24.03%	18.61%	+0.97	-0.8	27
2014-03-14	@ Mattersburg	D 2-2	64.0	1372	1492	18.61%	24.03%	57.36%	-0.97	+0.8	27
2014-03-14	Liefering	D 1-1	58.6	1415	1494	30.42%	28.56%	41.02%	-0.19	+0.3	23
2014-03-14	@ First Vienna	D 1-1	58.6	1494	1415	41.02%	28.56%	30.42%	+0.19	-0.3	30
2014-03-14	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 2-1	48.0	1528	1400	58.28%	23.63%	18.09%	+1.01	+2.5	39
2014-03-14	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-2	48.0	1400	1528	18.09%	23.63%	58.28%	-1.01	-2.5	26
2014-03-14	SKN St. Polten	W 3-2	59.9	1598	1494	55.31%	24.88%	19.81%	+0.88	+2.6	49
2014-03-14	@ SCR Altach	L 2-3	59.9	1494	1598	19.81%	24.88%	55.31%	-0.88	-2.6	34
2014-03-21	First Vienna	W 3-1	45.9	1530	1416	56.68%	24.32%	19.00%	+0.94	+4.5	42
2014-03-21	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-3	45.9	1416	1530	19.00%	24.32%	56.68%	-0.94	-4.5	23
2014-03-21	Hartberg	D 1-1	61.3	1549	1373	64.09%	20.84%	15.07%	+1.30	-1.4	40
2014-03-21	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	61.3	1373	1549	15.07%	20.84%	64.09%	-1.30	+1.4	28
2014-03-21	Horn	D 1-1	59.4	1494	1420	51.42%	26.28%	22.30%	+0.70	-0.8	31
2014-03-21	@ Liefering	D 1-1	59.4	1420	1494	22.30%	26.28%	51.42%	-0.70	+0.8	24
2014-03-21	Mattersburg	D 2-2	66.7	1491	1492	41.34%	28.52%	30.13%	+0.27	-0.2	35
2014-03-21	@ SKN St. Polten	D 2-2	66.7	1492	1491	30.13%	28.52%	41.34%	-0.27	+0.2	28
2014-03-21	SCR Altach	L 0-3	39.7	1398	1600	18.55%	23.99%	57.47%	-0.91	-7.4	26
2014-03-21	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	W 3-0	39.7	1600	1398	57.47%	23.99%	18.55%	+0.91	+7.4	52
2014-03-24	Austria Lustenau	W 2-0	49.7	1608	1548	49.60%	26.83%	23.56%	+0.62	+6.5	55
2014-03-24	@ SCR Altach	L 0-2	49.7	1548	1608	23.56%	26.83%	49.60%	-0.62	-6.5	40
2014-03-25	Kapfenberger	L 1-5	41.6	1374	1535	21.82%	26.04%	52.14%	-0.66	-9.6	28
2014-03-25	@ Hartberg	W 5-1	41.6	1535	1374	52.14%	26.04%	21.82%	+0.66	+9.6	45
2014-03-25	Liefering	L 0-5	47.3	1492	1493	41.17%	28.54%	30.28%	+0.26	-23.5	28
2014-03-25	@ Mattersburg	W 5-0	47.3	1493	1492	30.28%	28.54%	41.17%	-0.26	+23.5	34
2014-03-25	SC-ESV Parndorf	L 1-3	50.9	1421	1390	45.67%	27.81%	26.51%	+0.45	-9.4	24
2014-03-25	@ Horn	W 3-1	50.9	1390	1421	26.51%	27.81%	45.67%	-0.45	+9.4	29
2014-03-25	SKN St. Polten	L 1-2	52.2	1411	1491	30.29%	28.54%	41.17%	-0.19	-4.0	23
2014-03-25	@ First Vienna	W 2-1	52.2	1491	1411	41.17%	28.54%	30.29%	+0.19	+4.0	38
2014-03-28	Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	46.4	1407	1541	24.25%	27.10%	48.66%	-0.51	-3.5	23
2014-03-28	@ First Vienna	W 1-0	46.4	1541	1407	48.66%	27.10%	24.25%	+0.51	+3.5	43
2014-03-28	Hartberg	D 1-1	58.5	1495	1365	58.61%	23.48%	17.90%	+1.03	-1.1	39
2014-03-28	@ SKN St. Polten	D 1-1	58.5	1365	1495	17.90%	23.48%	58.61%	-1.03	+1.1	29
2014-03-28	Horn	L 0-1	59.8	1614	1412	67.06%	19.27%	13.67%	+1.45	-7.7	55
2014-03-28	@ SCR Altach	W 1-0	59.8	1412	1614	13.67%	19.27%	67.06%	-1.45	+7.7	27
2014-03-28	Liefering	L 1-3	59.1	1545	1517	45.24%	27.90%	26.86%	+0.43	-9.4	45
2014-03-28	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-1	59.1	1517	1545	26.86%	27.90%	45.24%	-0.43	+9.4	37
2014-03-28	Mattersburg	W 2-1	54.0	1400	1468	31.76%	28.71%	39.53%	-0.13	+4.9	32
2014-03-28	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	L 1-2	54.0	1468	1400	39.53%	28.71%	31.76%	+0.13	-4.9	28
2014-04-04	First Vienna	W 2-1	50.3	1366	1404	36.01%	28.87%	35.12%	+0.05	+4.5	32
2014-04-04	@ Hartberg	L 1-2	50.3	1404	1366	35.12%	28.87%	36.01%	-0.05	-4.5	23
2014-04-04	Kapfenberger	W 2-1	58.5	1420	1535	26.15%	27.72%	46.14%	-0.40	+5.5	30
2014-04-04	@ Horn	L 1-2	58.5	1535	1420	46.14%	27.72%	26.15%	+0.40	-5.5	45
2014-04-04	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 1-0	43.1	1545	1405	59.82%	22.93%	17.25%	+1.09	+2.5	46
2014-04-04	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	43.1	1405	1545	17.25%	22.93%	59.82%	-1.09	-2.5	32
2014-04-04	SCR Altach	D 1-1	64.9	1463	1607	23.39%	26.76%	49.85%	-0.56	+0.7	29
2014-04-04	@ Mattersburg	D 1-1	64.9	1607	1463	49.85%	26.76%	23.39%	+0.56	-0.7	56
2014-04-04	SKN St. Polten	W 3-0	44.0	1526	1494	45.86%	27.77%	26.37%	+0.46	+10.4	40
2014-04-04	@ Liefering	L 0-3	44.0	1494	1526	26.37%	27.77%	45.86%	-0.46	-10.4	39
2014-04-07	Horn	D 2-2	61.5	1399	1425	37.70%	28.82%	33.48%	+0.12	-0.1	24
2014-04-07	@ First Vienna	D 2-2	61.5	1425	1399	33.48%	28.82%	37.70%	-0.12	+0.1	31
2014-04-08	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	59.5	1464	1547	29.86%	28.49%	41.65%	-0.21	+5.1	32
2014-04-08	@ Mattersburg	L 1-2	59.5	1547	1464	41.65%	28.49%	29.86%	+0.21	-5.1	46
2014-04-08	Kapfenberger	W 2-1	58.1	1484	1530	34.80%	28.86%	36.34%	+0.00	+4.6	42
2014-04-08	@ SKN St. Polten	L 1-2	58.1	1530	1484	36.34%	28.86%	34.80%	+0.00	-4.6	45
2014-04-08	Liefering	D 1-1	67.3	1606	1537	50.84%	26.46%	22.70%	+0.67	-0.8	57
2014-04-08	@ SCR Altach	D 1-1	67.3	1537	1606	22.70%	26.46%	50.84%	-0.67	+0.8	41
2014-04-08	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 2-0	41.4	1370	1402	36.85%	28.85%	34.30%	+0.09	+8.8	35
2014-04-08	@ Hartberg	L 0-2	41.4	1402	1370	34.30%	28.85%	36.85%	-0.09	-8.8	32
2014-04-11	First Vienna	L 0-1	47.1	1393	1399	40.58%	28.61%	30.81%	+0.24	-5.3	32
2014-04-11	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	W 1-0	47.1	1399	1393	30.81%	28.61%	40.58%	-0.24	+5.3	27
2014-04-11	Hartberg	D 2-2	66.3	1537	1379	61.97%	21.91%	16.12%	+1.19	-1.0	42
2014-04-11	@ Liefering	D 2-2	66.3	1379	1537	16.12%	21.91%	61.97%	-1.19	+1.0	36
2014-04-11	Mattersburg	D 1-1	58.0	1425	1469	35.09%	28.86%	36.05%	+0.01	+0.0	32
2014-04-11	@ Horn	D 1-1	58.0	1469	1425	36.05%	28.86%	35.09%	-0.01	-0.0	33
2014-04-11	SCR Altach	L 0-3	49.2	1525	1605	30.28%	28.54%	41.18%	-0.19	-11.7	45
2014-04-11	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-0	49.2	1605	1525	41.18%	28.54%	30.28%	+0.19	+11.7	60
2014-04-11	SKN St. Polten	L 0-2	53.3	1542	1488	48.84%	27.05%	24.11%	+0.59	-11.5	46
2014-04-11	@ Austria Lustenau	W 2-0	53.3	1488	1542	24.11%	27.05%	48.84%	-0.59	+11.5	45
2014-04-21	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	61.1	1469	1513	35.06%	28.86%	36.08%	+0.01	+0.0	34
2014-04-21	@ Mattersburg	D 1-1	61.1	1513	1469	36.08%	28.86%	35.06%	-0.01	-0.0	46
2014-04-22	Horn	L 1-3	47.8	1380	1425	34.97%	28.86%	36.16%	+0.01	-7.8	36
2014-04-22	@ Hartberg	W 3-1	47.8	1425	1380	36.16%	28.86%	34.97%	-0.01	+7.8	35
2014-04-22	Liefering	W 4-1	52.4	1531	1536	40.60%	28.61%	30.80%	+0.24	+10.0	49
2014-04-22	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-4	52.4	1536	1531	30.80%	28.61%	40.60%	-0.24	-10.0	42
2014-04-22	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 5-4	56.5	1500	1388	56.28%	24.48%	19.23%	+0.92	+2.4	48
2014-04-22	@ SKN St. Polten	L 4-5	56.5	1388	1500	19.23%	24.48%	56.28%	-0.92	-2.4	32
2014-04-22	SCR Altach	L 0-4	39.6	1404	1617	17.86%	23.45%	58.70%	-0.97	-9.3	27
2014-04-22	@ First Vienna	W 4-0	39.6	1617	1404	58.70%	23.45%	17.86%	+0.97	+9.3	63
2014-04-25	Austria Lustenau	L 2-3	65.1	1513	1541	37.47%	28.83%	33.70%	+0.11	-4.5	46
2014-04-25	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-2	65.1	1541	1513	33.70%	28.83%	37.47%	-0.11	+4.5	52
2014-04-25	Hartberg	W 3-0	35.2	1626	1373	72.50%	16.24%	11.27%	+1.75	+4.1	66
2014-04-25	@ SCR Altach	L 0-3	35.2	1373	1626	11.27%	16.24%	72.50%	-1.75	-4.1	36
2014-04-25	Liefering	W 2-1	57.8	1386	1526	23.62%	26.86%	49.53%	-0.55	+5.8	35
2014-04-25	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	L 1-2	57.8	1526	1386	49.53%	26.86%	23.62%	+0.55	-5.8	42
2014-04-25	Mattersburg	L 1-2	51.3	1395	1469	31.02%	28.63%	40.35%	-0.16	-4.1	27
2014-04-25	@ First Vienna	W 2-1	51.3	1469	1395	40.35%	28.63%	31.02%	+0.16	+4.1	37
2014-04-25	SKN St. Polten	W 1-0	51.0	1433	1502	31.66%	28.70%	39.65%	-0.13	+5.2	38
2014-04-25	@ Horn	L 0-1	51.0	1502	1433	39.65%	28.70%	31.66%	+0.13	-5.2	48
2014-04-28	SCR Altach	D 2-2	72.2	1497	1630	24.34%	27.13%	48.53%	-0.51	+0.5	49
2014-04-28	@ SKN St. Polten	D 2-2	72.2	1630	1497	48.53%	27.13%	24.34%	+0.51	-0.5	67
2014-04-29	First Vienna	W 2-1	47.3	1521	1391	58.55%	23.51%	17.94%	+1.03	+2.5	45
2014-04-29	@ Liefering	L 1-2	47.3	1391	1521	17.94%	23.51%	58.55%	-1.03	-2.5	27
2014-04-29	Horn	L 1-2	61.6	1545	1438	55.75%	24.70%	19.55%	+0.90	-6.3	52
2014-04-29	@ Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	61.6	1438	1545	19.55%	24.70%	55.75%	-0.90	+6.3	41
2014-04-29	Kapfenberger	L 1-3	47.4	1392	1509	25.96%	27.66%	46.38%	-0.41	-6.1	35
2014-04-29	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	W 3-1	47.4	1509	1392	46.38%	27.66%	25.96%	+0.41	+6.1	49
2014-04-29	Mattersburg	D 0-0	52.5	1368	1473	27.33%	28.02%	44.65%	-0.34	+0.5	37
2014-04-29	@ Hartberg	D 0-0	52.5	1473	1368	44.65%	28.02%	27.33%	+0.34	-0.5	38
2014-05-02	Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	53.3	1369	1539	21.02%	25.61%	53.37%	-0.72	+6.5	40
2014-05-02	@ Hartberg	L 0-1	53.3	1539	1369	53.37%	25.61%	21.02%	+0.72	-6.5	52
2014-05-02	Kapfenberger	W 3-2	62.2	1388	1515	25.01%	27.37%	47.63%	-0.47	+5.3	30
2014-05-02	@ First Vienna	L 2-3	62.2	1515	1388	47.63%	27.37%	25.01%	+0.47	-5.3	49
2014-05-02	Liefering	L 1-4	48.6	1444	1523	30.44%	28.56%	41.00%	-0.19	-9.9	41
2014-05-02	@ Horn	W 4-1	48.6	1523	1444	41.00%	28.56%	30.44%	+0.19	+9.9	48
2014-05-02	SC-ESV Parndorf	W 4-1	41.2	1630	1385	71.55%	16.78%	11.67%	+1.70	+3.6	70
2014-05-02	@ SCR Altach	L 1-4	41.2	1385	1630	11.67%	16.78%	71.55%	-1.70	-3.6	35
2014-05-02	SKN St. Polten	W 3-2	60.7	1473	1497	37.88%	28.81%	33.31%	+0.13	+4.1	41
2014-05-02	@ Mattersburg	L 2-3	60.7	1497	1473	33.31%	28.81%	37.88%	-0.13	-4.1	49
2014-05-09	SCR Altach	W 5-0	54.1	1532	1633	27.79%	28.12%	44.09%	-0.32	+24.8	55
2014-05-09	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-5	54.1	1633	1532	44.09%	28.12%	27.79%	+0.32	-24.8	70
2014-05-10	First Vienna	W 1-0	42.5	1493	1394	54.76%	25.09%	20.15%	+0.85	+3.0	52
2014-05-10	@ SKN St. Polten	L 0-1	42.5	1394	1493	20.15%	25.09%	54.76%	-0.85	-3.0	30
2014-05-10	Hartberg	L 1-2	58.7	1510	1375	59.11%	23.26%	17.63%	+1.05	-6.6	49
2014-05-10	@ Kapfenberger	W 2-1	58.7	1375	1510	17.63%	23.26%	59.11%	-1.05	+6.6	43
2014-05-10	Horn	L 0-1	45.7	1382	1435	33.87%	28.84%	37.30%	-0.04	-4.6	35
2014-05-10	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	W 1-0	45.7	1435	1382	37.30%	28.84%	33.87%	+0.04	+4.6	44
2014-05-10	Mattersburg	W 3-1	50.5	1533	1477	49.11%	26.97%	23.92%	+0.60	+5.7	51
2014-05-10	@ Liefering	L 1-3	50.5	1477	1533	23.92%	26.97%	49.11%	-0.60	-5.7	41
2014-05-13	First Vienna	W 2-1	47.3	1557	1391	62.95%	21.42%	15.63%	+1.24	+2.1	58
2014-05-13	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	47.3	1391	1557	15.63%	21.42%	62.95%	-1.24	-2.1	30
2014-05-13	Kapfenberger	W 1-0	50.6	1539	1503	46.33%	27.67%	26.00%	+0.48	+3.8	54
2014-05-13	@ Liefering	L 0-1	50.6	1503	1539	26.00%	27.67%	46.33%	-0.48	-3.8	49
2014-05-13	SC-ESV Parndorf	L 2-4	57.7	1471	1377	54.06%	25.35%	20.58%	+0.82	-9.6	41
2014-05-13	@ Mattersburg	W 4-2	57.7	1377	1471	20.58%	25.35%	54.06%	-0.82	+9.6	38
2014-05-13	SCR Altach	L 2-4	54.8	1439	1608	21.08%	25.64%	53.28%	-0.72	-4.5	44
2014-05-13	@ Horn	W 4-2	54.8	1608	1439	53.28%	25.64%	21.08%	+0.72	+4.5	73
2014-05-13	SKN St. Polten	D 0-0	53.6	1382	1496	26.31%	27.76%	45.93%	-0.39	+0.6	44
2014-05-13	@ Hartberg	D 0-0	53.6	1496	1382	45.93%	27.76%	26.31%	+0.39	-0.6	53
2014-05-23	Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	60.7	1387	1559	20.81%	25.49%	53.70%	-0.73	+0.9	39
2014-05-23	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	D 1-1	60.7	1559	1387	53.70%	25.49%	20.81%	+0.73	-0.9	59
2014-05-23	Hartberg	W 1-0	43.3	1389	1383	42.23%	28.41%	29.36%	+0.31	+4.2	33
2014-05-23	@ First Vienna	L 0-1	43.3	1383	1389	29.36%	28.41%	42.23%	-0.31	-4.2	44
2014-05-23	Horn	W 2-0	41.8	1499	1435	50.25%	26.64%	23.11%	+0.65	+6.4	52
2014-05-23	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-2	41.8	1435	1499	23.11%	26.64%	50.25%	-0.65	-6.4	44
2014-05-23	Liefering	L 0-4	46.9	1496	1542	34.69%	28.86%	36.45%	+0.00	-16.9	53
2014-05-23	@ SKN St. Polten	W 4-0	46.9	1542	1496	36.45%	28.86%	34.69%	+0.00	+16.9	57
2014-05-23	Mattersburg	L 1-2	65.8	1613	1462	61.18%	22.29%	16.53%	+1.15	-6.8	73
2014-05-23	@ SCR Altach	W 2-1	65.8	1462	1613	16.53%	22.29%	61.18%	-1.15	+6.8	44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-03-28	13.67%	Horn	1412	1	@ SCR Altach	1614	0
2	2014-05-23	16.53%	Mattersburg	1462	2	@ SCR Altach	1613	1
3	2014-05-10	17.63%	Hartberg	1375	2	@ Kapfenberger	1510	1
4	2014-03-11	19.54%	SC-ESV Parndorf	1394	1	@ Liefering	1501	0
5	2014-04-29	19.55%	Horn	1438	2	@ Austria Lustenau	1545	1
6	2013-07-26	20.57%	Hartberg	1405	1	@ Austria Lustenau	1499	0
7	2014-05-13	20.58%	SC-ESV Parndorf	1377	4	@ Mattersburg	1471	2
8	2013-10-22	20.65%	First Vienna	1434	2	@ Liefering	1527	0
9	2014-05-02	21.02%	@ Hartberg	1369	1	Austria Lustenau	1539	0
10	2014-03-07	21.72%	Hartberg	1359	2	@ Horn	1440	0
11	2014-02-28	21.79%	@ Hartberg	1353	2	Liefering	1514	1
12	2014-03-14	22.53%	@ Horn	1409	2	Austria Lustenau	1561	0
13	2013-10-04	22.54%	Hartberg	1388	2	@ Horn	1459	1
14	2014-03-07	23.02%	Mattersburg	1481	2	@ Kapfenberger	1547	0
15	2014-04-25	23.62%	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	1386	2	Liefering	1526	1
16	2014-04-11	24.11%	SKN St. Polten	1488	2	@ Austria Lustenau	1542	0
17	2013-10-18	24.13%	Horn	1453	1	@ Mattersburg	1507	0
18	2013-11-22	24.22%	Liefering	1508	1	@ Kapfenberger	1561	0
19	2013-09-13	24.30%	Kapfenberger	1496	2	@ Liefering	1548	0
20	2013-08-16	24.50%	First Vienna	1430	2	@ SKN St. Polten	1480	1
21	2013-11-08	24.71%	SKN St. Polten	1466	1	@ Liefering	1514	0
22	2014-05-02	25.01%	@ First Vienna	1388	3	Kapfenberger	1515	2
23	2013-07-26	25.35%	SKN St. Polten	1481	1	@ Mattersburg	1523	0
24	2013-11-01	25.51%	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	1373	2	Mattersburg	1495	1
25	2014-04-04	26.15%	@ Horn	1420	2	Kapfenberger	1535	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-05-09	24.80	@ Austria Lustenau	5	1532	27.79%	SCR Altach	0	1633	44.09%	28.12%
2	2014-03-25	23.55	Liefering	5	1493	30.28%	@ Mattersburg	0	1492	41.17%	28.54%
3	2014-03-10	18.89	@ SKN St. Polten	6	1475	47.95%	Horn	0	1428	24.76%	27.28%
4	2013-07-19	17.70	@ SKN St. Polten	4	1464	34.09%	Kapfenberger	0	1515	37.06%	28.84%
5	2014-05-23	16.88	Liefering	4	1542	36.45%	@ SKN St. Polten	0	1496	34.69%	28.86%
6	2013-10-22	16.71	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	4	1356	36.92%	Hartberg	0	1387	34.23%	28.85%
7	2013-09-13	16.41	@ Austria Lustenau	4	1504	37.79%	Mattersburg	0	1529	33.39%	28.82%
8	2013-10-04	14.43	@ Kapfenberger	3	1510	30.93%	SCR Altach	0	1585	40.45%	28.62%
9	2013-08-06	14.34	@ Liefering	5	1522	35.50%	SCR Altach	1	1563	35.63%	28.87%
10	2013-11-29	13.34	@ Austria Lustenau	4	1533	46.68%	Mattersburg	0	1495	25.73%	27.59%
11	2013-07-19	13.13	@ Liefering	3	1496	35.62%	Mattersburg	0	1536	35.51%	28.87%
12	2013-10-22	12.38	First Vienna	2	1434	20.65%	@ Liefering	0	1527	53.95%	25.40%
13	2014-03-07	12.09	Hartberg	2	1359	21.72%	@ Horn	0	1440	52.30%	25.99%
14	2014-03-14	11.87	@ Horn	2	1409	22.53%	Austria Lustenau	0	1561	51.09%	26.38%
15	2014-03-07	11.74	Mattersburg	2	1481	23.02%	@ Kapfenberger	0	1547	50.38%	26.60%
16	2013-07-19	11.68	@ Hartberg	4	1393	32.96%	First Vienna	1	1452	38.25%	28.79%
17	2013-08-23	11.67	SCR Altach	4	1564	51.57%	@ Hartberg	0	1408	22.20%	26.23%
18	2014-04-11	11.67	SCR Altach	3	1605	41.18%	@ Kapfenberger	0	1525	30.28%	28.54%
19	2014-04-11	11.47	SKN St. Polten	2	1488	24.11%	@ Austria Lustenau	0	1542	48.84%	27.05%
20	2013-09-13	11.42	Kapfenberger	2	1496	24.30%	@ Liefering	0	1548	48.57%	27.12%
21	2013-08-06	10.96	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	2	1380	26.20%	SKN St. Polten	0	1495	46.08%	27.73%
22	2013-08-16	10.88	@ SCR Altach	3	1553	44.16%	Mattersburg	0	1534	27.73%	28.11%
23	2013-09-20	10.66	@ First Vienna	3	1428	44.99%	Hartberg	0	1402	27.05%	27.95%
24	2013-08-09	10.60	@ Austria Lustenau	3	1483	45.21%	Horn	0	1456	26.88%	27.91%
25	2013-08-16	10.55	Horn	4	1445	38.00%	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	1	1388	33.20%	28.81%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-10-25	74.4	@ Mattersburg	3	1495	29.15%	SCR Altach	3	1584	42.48%	28.38%
2	2013-08-23	73.0	@ Austria Lustenau	3	1503	36.30%	Liefering	3	1538	34.84%	28.86%
3	2013-08-30	72.3	@ Mattersburg	4	1529	58.94%	Hartberg	4	1396	17.73%	23.34%
4	2014-04-28	72.2	@ SKN St. Polten	2	1497	24.34%	SCR Altach	2	1630	48.53%	27.13%
5	2014-03-07	70.4	@ SCR Altach	2	1600	65.22%	First Vienna	2	1414	14.53%	20.25%
6	2013-11-29	69.2	@ Kapfenberger	2	1555	52.30%	SKN St. Polten	2	1475	21.72%	25.98%
7	2013-11-22	68.3	@ Mattersburg	2	1495	35.93%	Austria Lustenau	2	1533	35.20%	28.87%
8	2014-03-11	68.0	@ Hartberg	2	1371	16.88%	SCR Altach	2	1599	60.50%	22.61%
9	2014-04-08	67.3	@ SCR Altach	1	1606	50.84%	Liefering	1	1537	22.70%	26.46%
10	2014-03-21	66.7	@ SKN St. Polten	2	1491	41.34%	Mattersburg	2	1492	30.13%	28.52%
11	2014-04-11	66.3	@ Liefering	2	1537	61.97%	Hartberg	2	1379	16.12%	21.91%
12	2013-11-08	66.0	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1533	33.52%	SCR Altach	1	1589	37.66%	28.82%
13	2014-05-23	65.8	Mattersburg	2	1462	16.53%	@ SCR Altach	1	1613	61.18%	22.29%
14	2013-11-29	65.6	@ Liefering	1	1514	30.40%	SCR Altach	1	1593	41.04%	28.56%
15	2014-04-25	65.1	Austria Lustenau	3	1541	33.70%	@ Kapfenberger	2	1513	37.47%	28.83%
16	2014-04-04	64.9	@ Mattersburg	1	1463	23.39%	SCR Altach	1	1607	49.85%	26.76%
17	2014-02-28	64.8	@ Mattersburg	2	1482	47.30%	Horn	2	1439	25.25%	27.45%
18	2014-03-14	64.0	@ Mattersburg	2	1492	57.36%	Hartberg	2	1372	18.61%	24.03%
19	2013-08-06	63.9	Mattersburg	4	1526	39.20%	@ Horn	3	1460	32.07%	28.73%
20	2013-10-25	63.9	@ Hartberg	2	1370	23.30%	Liefering	2	1515	49.98%	26.72%
21	2013-11-04	63.5	@ Liefering	1	1514	38.65%	Austria Lustenau	1	1533	32.58%	28.77%
22	2013-10-25	63.0	Kapfenberger	4	1538	29.70%	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1541	41.83%	28.46%
23	2013-08-02	62.8	@ Hartberg	2	1411	34.45%	Horn	2	1460	36.70%	28.85%
24	2013-10-25	62.3	@ Horn	2	1451	52.04%	SC-ESV Parndorf	2	1372	21.89%	26.07%
25	2014-05-02	62.2	@ First Vienna	3	1388	25.01%	Kapfenberger	2	1515	47.63%	27.37%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-11-01	34.9	@ SCR Altach	3	1584	68.19%	Hartberg	0	1371	13.15%	18.65%
2	2014-04-25	35.2	@ SCR Altach	3	1626	72.50%	Hartberg	0	1373	11.27%	16.24%
3	2013-08-23	35.3	@ Mattersburg	3	1523	60.47%	SC-ESV Parndorf	0	1377	16.90%	22.63%
4	2013-10-18	37.2	@ SKN St. Polten	2	1454	53.91%	SC-ESV Parndorf	0	1362	20.68%	25.41%
5	2013-10-22	37.8	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	4	1356	36.92%	Hartberg	0	1387	34.23%	28.85%
6	2013-09-20	37.9	@ First Vienna	3	1428	44.99%	Hartberg	0	1402	27.05%	27.95%
7	2013-08-16	38.0	@ Liefering	3	1531	56.72%	Hartberg	0	1416	18.98%	24.30%
8	2013-07-26	38.7	@ Kapfenberger	2	1497	55.52%	SC-ESV Parndorf	0	1392	19.69%	24.79%
9	2013-08-02	39.2	@ Mattersburg	3	1517	52.97%	First Vienna	0	1432	21.28%	25.75%
10	2014-04-22	39.6	SCR Altach	4	1617	58.70%	@ First Vienna	0	1404	17.86%	23.45%
11	2014-03-21	39.7	SCR Altach	3	1600	57.47%	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	0	1398	18.55%	23.99%
12	2013-09-13	39.8	SCR Altach	2	1575	58.18%	@ SC-ESV Parndorf	0	1367	18.14%	23.68%
13	2013-08-23	39.9	SCR Altach	4	1564	51.57%	@ Hartberg	0	1408	22.20%	26.23%
14	2013-11-02	39.9	@ Kapfenberger	3	1546	55.41%	First Vienna	0	1441	19.75%	24.84%
15	2014-03-10	39.9	@ SKN St. Polten	6	1475	47.95%	Horn	0	1428	24.76%	27.28%
16	2013-11-22	40.4	@ SKN St. Polten	1	1472	56.32%	Hartberg	0	1360	19.21%	24.47%
17	2013-08-02	41.1	@ Liefering	4	1516	58.56%	SC-ESV Parndorf	1	1386	17.93%	23.51%
18	2013-08-09	41.2	@ Austria Lustenau	3	1483	45.21%	Horn	0	1456	26.88%	27.91%
19	2013-11-22	41.2	@ SCR Altach	4	1589	66.84%	SC-ESV Parndorf	1	1388	13.77%	19.39%
20	2014-05-02	41.2	@ SCR Altach	4	1630	71.55%	SC-ESV Parndorf	1	1385	11.67%	16.78%
21	2013-10-22	41.3	@ SCR Altach	3	1576	56.88%	SKN St. Polten	0	1460	18.88%	24.24%
22	2014-04-08	41.4	@ Hartberg	2	1370	36.85%	SC-ESV Parndorf	0	1402	34.30%	28.85%
23	2014-03-25	41.6	Kapfenberger	5	1535	52.14%	@ Hartberg	1	1374	21.82%	26.04%
24	2013-08-30	41.7	@ First Vienna	1	1431	49.71%	SC-ESV Parndorf	0	1370	23.49%	26.80%
25	2014-05-23	41.8	@ Kapfenberger	2	1499	50.25%	Horn	0	1435	23.11%	26.64%