2012-13 First League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Grodig

17.41 points above expected

75 points · 57.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Blau-Weiss Linz

15.15 points below expected

26 points · 41.15 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Grodig	36	23	6	7	75	71	30	+41	57.59	+17.41
2	SCR Altach	36	19	8	9	65	57	39	+18	61.51	+3.49
3	Austria Lustenau	36	18	7	11	61	60	39	+21	64.53	-3.53
4	SKN St. Polten	36	14	12	10	54	65	60	+5	53.67	+0.33
5	Kapfenberger	36	14	11	11	53	56	50	+6	50.41	+2.59
6	Horn	36	13	7	16	46	50	55	-5	47.54	-1.54
7	First Vienna	36	13	7	16	46	48	64	-16	41.89	+4.11
8	Lustenau	36	10	8	18	38	44	66	-22	44.00	-6.00
9	Hartberg	36	8	9	19	33	35	54	-19	36.37	-3.37
10	Blau-Weiss Linz	36	5	11	20	26	38	67	-29	41.15	-15.15

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Grodig	75	57.59	+17.41
2	First Vienna	46	41.89	+4.11
3	SCR Altach	65	61.51	+3.49
4	Kapfenberger	53	50.41	+2.59
5	SKN St. Polten	54	53.67	+0.33

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Blau-Weiss Linz	26	41.15	-15.15
2	Lustenau	38	44.00	-6.00
3	Austria Lustenau	61	64.53	-3.53
4	Hartberg	33	36.37	-3.37
5	Horn	46	47.54	-1.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kapfenberger	6	Mar 1 – Apr 5	1 in 321
2	Grodig	5	Nov 23 – Mar 15	1 in 50
3	Austria Lustenau	4	Jul 20 – Aug 7	1 in 22
4	SCR Altach	5	May 3 – May 24	1 in 17
5	SKN St. Polten	3	Aug 3 – Aug 10	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Austria Lustenau	6	Apr 12 – May 10	1 in 785
2	Lustenau	6	Apr 30 – May 24	1 in 74
3	Grodig	3	Nov 2 – Nov 16	1 in 42
4	Kapfenberger	3	Oct 26 – Nov 9	1 in 39
5	Hartberg	6	May 3 – May 24	1 in 38

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kapfenberger	13	Mar 1 – May 3	1 in 156
2	Austria Lustenau	13	Jul 20 – Oct 19	1 in 40
3	First Vienna	7	Mar 18 – Apr 26	1 in 38
4	SCR Altach	11	Oct 26 – Mar 18	1 in 31
5	Hartberg	5	Apr 9 – Apr 30	1 in 30

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Blau-Weiss Linz	9	Jul 20 – Sep 14	1 in 81
2	Austria Lustenau	7	Apr 9 – May 10	1 in 57
3	SKN St. Polten	7	Nov 30 – Apr 1	1 in 47
4	Kapfenberger	7	Jul 20 – Aug 24	1 in 30
5	First Vienna	6	Jul 20 – Aug 17	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Grodig	1583	75	+22	11	9.7	+1.3
SCR Altach	1550	65	+29	15	9.6	+5.4
Austria Lustenau	1480	61	+11	9	7.7	+1.3
SKN St. Polten	1428	54	-9	7	7.0	+0.0
Kapfenberger	1502	53	-9	7	8.2	-1.2
First Vienna	1411	46	+14	9	5.7	+3.3
Horn	1437	46	+21	9	8.1	+0.9
Lustenau	1310	38	-47	0	4.9	-4.9
Hartberg	1325	33	-40	0	4.7	-4.7
Blau-Weiss Linz	1336	26	-2	6	4.3	+1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AL	BL	FV	GRO	HAR	HOR	KAP	LUS	SA	SSP
Austria Lustenau	—	3-0-1 7.88	3-1-0 7.61	0-1-3 6.22	2-1-1 8.25	2-0-2 7.52	2-1-1 7.03	3-1-0 7.57	2-1-1 6.00	1-1-2 6.69
Blau-Weiss Linz	1-0-3 3.25	—	0-2-2 5.61	0-0-4 3.81	1-2-1 6.09	2-1-1 4.51	0-2-2 4.51	0-1-3 5.35	0-2-2 3.59	1-1-2 4.25
First Vienna	0-1-3 3.50	2-2-0 5.44	—	0-0-4 4.08	2-1-1 5.99	3-0-1 4.83	2-1-1 4.38	2-0-2 5.22	2-0-2 3.47	0-2-2 4.40
Grodig	3-1-0 4.86	4-0-0 7.30	4-0-0 7.02	—	2-1-1 7.81	2-1-1 6.52	0-1-3 6.48	3-1-0 6.52	3-0-1 4.95	2-1-1 6.10
Hartberg	1-1-2 2.92	1-2-1 4.96	1-1-2 5.06	1-1-2 3.31	—	0-1-3 4.60	1-1-2 4.13	2-0-2 4.63	0-1-3 3.17	1-1-2 3.81
Horn	2-0-2 3.59	1-1-2 6.54	1-0-3 6.22	1-1-2 4.54	3-1-0 6.45	—	1-1-2 4.91	2-2-0 5.96	0-0-4 4.13	2-1-1 4.82
Kapfenberger	1-1-2 4.07	2-2-0 6.55	1-1-2 6.68	3-1-0 4.57	2-1-1 6.95	2-1-1 6.15	—	2-0-2 6.31	0-2-2 4.53	1-2-1 5.06
Lustenau	0-1-3 3.54	3-1-0 5.70	2-0-2 5.82	0-1-3 4.53	2-0-2 6.42	0-2-2 5.09	2-0-2 4.76	—	0-1-3 3.81	1-2-1 4.33
SCR Altach	1-1-2 5.05	2-2-0 7.53	2-0-2 7.63	1-0-3 6.10	3-1-0 7.97	4-0-0 6.94	2-2-0 6.53	3-1-0 7.27	—	1-1-2 6.41
SKN St. Polten	2-1-1 4.37	2-1-1 6.80	2-2-0 6.67	1-1-2 4.97	2-1-1 7.28	1-1-2 6.22	1-2-1 6.00	1-2-1 6.73	2-1-1 4.64	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.86	+12.0
Allowed	0.74	-10.1
Differential	0.94	+6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	6.94%	5.28%	6.39%	0.56%	1.39%	26.11%
1	6.94%	10.00%	8.33%	3.61%	1.94%	0.83%	31.67%
2	5.28%	8.33%	7.22%	0.83%	0.83%	0.28%	22.78%
3	6.39%	3.61%	0.83%	1.11%	0.83%	—	12.78%
4	0.56%	1.94%	0.83%	0.83%	—	—	4.17%
5+	1.39%	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	—	2.50%
Total	26.11%	31.67%	22.78%	12.78%	4.17%	2.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.46	1.46	+0.00
SD	1.29	1.29	1.99
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	22.22%
1	13.89%	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	41.67%	22.22%	27.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.08	+0.58
SD	1.45	1.18	2.10
CV	0.87	1.09	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	36.11%
1	2.78%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	—	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	36.11%	25.00%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.86	-0.81
SD	1.01	1.29	1.72
CV	0.96	0.69	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	11.11%	—	2.78%	30.56%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	25.00%
2	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	25.00%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	19.44%	19.44%	2.78%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.78	-0.44
SD	1.12	1.49	2.01
CV	0.84	0.84	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	19.44%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	30.56%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	41.67%	41.67%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.97	0.83	+1.14
SD	1.38	0.94	1.88
CV	0.70	1.13	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
1	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	25.00%	30.56%	13.89%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.50	-0.53
SD	1.25	1.18	1.78
CV	1.29	0.79	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	16.67%	—	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	30.56%	22.22%	16.67%	25.00%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.53	-0.14
SD	1.20	1.32	2.09
CV	0.87	0.86	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	22.22%
1	8.33%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	30.56%	25.00%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.39	+0.17
SD	1.40	1.25	2.04
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	7	5	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	30.56%
1	5.56%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	41.67%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	2.78%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	36.11%	25.00%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.83	-0.61
SD	1.24	1.44	2.02
CV	1.02	0.79	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
3	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	36.11%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.08	+0.50
SD	1.08	1.11	1.61
CV	0.68	1.02	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
1	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	30.56%
2	—	13.89%	16.67%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	38.89%	33.33%	13.89%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	1.67	+0.14
SD	1.41	1.26	1.99
CV	0.78	0.76	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Grodig	1583	75	57.59	+17.41	99.2%	32	45	52	58	63	70	81
SCR Altach	1550	65	61.51	+3.49	68.4%	38	49	56	61	67	74	85
Kapfenberger	1502	53	50.41	+2.59	63.6%	24	38	45	50	56	63	79
Austria Lustenau	1480	61	64.53	-3.53	35.3%	37	52	59	64	70	77	90
Horn	1437	46	47.54	-1.54	46.0%	25	36	42	47	52	60	71
SKN St. Polten	1428	54	53.67	+0.33	54.6%	31	41	48	54	59	66	79
First Vienna	1411	46	41.89	+4.11	73.4%	15	29	37	42	47	55	66
Blau-Weiss Linz	1336	26	41.15	-15.15	2.0%	21	29	36	41	46	53	69
Hartberg	1325	33	36.37	-3.37	34.5%	15	25	32	36	41	48	57
Lustenau	1310	38	44.00	-6.00	25.3%	20	31	38	44	49	57	66

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+17.22%

Clear Edge

46.67%23.89%29.44%

Elo Value

Home Edge

176 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

060.44500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.39 goals

Neutral

-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.1

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

14%

Grodig, 3rd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.28/gm

Tight Race

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.08 * Some Luck: 6.08 to 9.13 * Lucky: 9.13 to 12.17 * Wild Swing: 12.17 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.16 * Close: 1.16 to 1.75 * Off: 1.75 to 2.33 * Way Off: 2.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.94 points

Some Luck

07.6019

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

Pinpoint

01.453

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

99.20%

Grodig

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

2.00%

Blau-Weiss Linz

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.67

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

69%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

83%

Strong Edge

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Very Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Very Frequent

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.29

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.12

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.43

Some Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

As Expected

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.98

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.12

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.069

Well Within Noise

00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Grodig	14.40%	21.00%	23.60%	16.70%	11.60%	5.20%	4.20%	2.20%	0.70%	0.40%
SCR Altach	28.10%	28.40%	19.90%	11.30%	6.50%	3.70%	1.30%	0.30%	0.40%	0.10%
Austria Lustenau	46.30%	24.40%	13.90%	8.20%	3.90%	1.90%	0.70%	0.60%	0.10%	—
SKN St. Polten	6.40%	11.00%	16.20%	21.50%	17.40%	12.50%	8.10%	3.80%	2.70%	0.40%
Kapfenberger	2.90%	7.20%	12.80%	16.10%	16.60%	13.80%	12.80%	9.30%	6.40%	2.10%
Horn	0.90%	4.20%	6.30%	11.80%	16.20%	17.10%	16.50%	13.20%	9.30%	4.50%
First Vienna	0.40%	0.90%	1.80%	4.90%	7.80%	12.50%	17.40%	18.40%	18.60%	17.30%
Lustenau	0.40%	2.30%	3.80%	5.60%	11.10%	15.40%	15.70%	17.30%	16.70%	11.70%
Hartberg	—	—	0.30%	1.30%	2.30%	5.60%	9.00%	14.90%	23.00%	43.60%
Blau-Weiss Linz	0.20%	0.60%	1.40%	2.60%	6.60%	12.30%	14.30%	20.00%	22.10%	19.90%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Austria Lustenau	46.30%	53.60%	0.10%	—
SCR Altach	28.10%	71.40%	0.40%	0.10%
Grodig	14.40%	84.50%	0.70%	0.40%
SKN St. Polten	6.40%	90.50%	2.70%	0.40%
Kapfenberger	2.90%	88.60%	6.40%	2.10%
Horn	0.90%	85.30%	9.30%	4.50%
Lustenau	0.40%	71.20%	16.70%	11.70%
First Vienna	0.40%	63.70%	18.60%	17.30%
Blau-Weiss Linz	0.20%	57.80%	22.10%	19.90%
Hartberg	—	33.40%	23.00%	43.60%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-07-20	First Vienna	W 5-2	46.6	1444	1414	47.70%	23.71%	28.59%	+0.51	+11.6	3
2012-07-20	@ SKN St. Polten	L 2-5	46.6	1414	1444	28.59%	23.71%	47.70%	-0.51	-11.7	0
2012-07-20	Hartberg	D 2-2	63.0	1447	1356	55.31%	22.63%	22.05%	+0.86	-1.0	1
2012-07-20	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	D 2-2	63.0	1356	1447	22.05%	22.63%	55.31%	-0.86	+1.0	1
2012-07-20	Kapfenberger	W 5-0	41.2	1478	1457	46.53%	23.82%	29.66%	+0.46	+26.5	3
2012-07-20	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-5	41.2	1457	1478	29.66%	23.82%	46.53%	-0.46	-26.5	0
2012-07-20	Lustenau	W 3-0	37.8	1411	1398	45.39%	23.90%	30.71%	+0.42	+16.9	3
2012-07-20	@ Grodig	L 0-3	37.8	1398	1411	30.71%	23.90%	45.39%	-0.42	-16.9	0
2012-07-20	SCR Altach	L 3-4	61.8	1439	1517	32.71%	24.03%	43.26%	-0.10	-5.7	0
2012-07-20	@ Horn	W 4-3	61.8	1517	1439	43.26%	24.03%	32.71%	+0.10	+5.7	3
2012-07-27	Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	42.2	1357	1504	24.57%	23.15%	52.28%	-0.49	-5.1	1
2012-07-27	@ Hartberg	W 1-0	42.2	1504	1357	52.28%	23.15%	24.57%	+0.49	+5.1	6
2012-07-27	Blau-Weiss Linz	D 0-0	53.3	1403	1446	37.56%	24.16%	38.28%	+0.10	+0.0	1
2012-07-27	@ First Vienna	D 0-0	53.3	1446	1403	38.28%	24.16%	37.56%	-0.10	-0.0	2
2012-07-27	Grodig	L 0-1	54.3	1523	1428	55.78%	22.54%	21.68%	+0.89	-10.0	3
2012-07-27	@ SCR Altach	W 1-0	54.3	1428	1523	21.68%	22.54%	55.78%	-0.89	+10.0	6
2012-07-27	Horn	D 3-3	68.4	1430	1433	43.23%	24.03%	32.73%	+0.33	-0.2	1
2012-07-27	@ Kapfenberger	D 3-3	68.4	1433	1430	32.73%	24.03%	43.23%	-0.33	+0.2	1
2012-07-27	SKN St. Polten	D 1-1	57.5	1382	1456	33.24%	24.06%	42.70%	-0.08	+0.4	1
2012-07-27	@ Lustenau	D 1-1	57.5	1456	1382	42.70%	24.06%	33.24%	+0.08	-0.4	4
2012-08-03	First Vienna	W 1-0	44.4	1352	1403	36.45%	24.15%	39.40%	+0.05	+7.5	4
2012-08-03	@ Hartberg	L 0-1	44.4	1403	1352	39.40%	24.15%	36.45%	-0.05	-7.5	1
2012-08-03	Horn	L 0-2	45.5	1438	1434	44.27%	23.98%	31.75%	+0.37	-15.5	6
2012-08-03	@ Grodig	W 2-0	45.5	1434	1438	31.75%	23.98%	44.27%	-0.37	+15.5	4
2012-08-03	Kapfenberger	W 3-0	39.3	1456	1430	47.14%	23.76%	29.09%	+0.49	+16.2	7
2012-08-03	@ SKN St. Polten	L 0-3	39.3	1430	1456	29.09%	23.76%	47.14%	-0.49	-16.2	1
2012-08-03	Lustenau	L 0-1	49.5	1446	1382	52.06%	23.18%	24.76%	+0.71	-9.4	2
2012-08-03	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	W 1-0	49.5	1382	1446	24.76%	23.18%	52.06%	-0.71	+9.4	4
2012-08-03	SCR Altach	W 2-0	47.4	1509	1513	43.14%	24.04%	32.82%	+0.32	+12.3	9
2012-08-03	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	47.4	1513	1509	32.82%	24.04%	43.14%	-0.32	-12.3	3
2012-08-06	Blau-Weiss Linz	D 2-2	63.8	1414	1437	40.48%	24.13%	35.39%	+0.21	-0.2	2
2012-08-06	@ Kapfenberger	D 2-2	63.8	1437	1414	35.39%	24.13%	40.48%	-0.21	+0.2	3
2012-08-07	Austria Lustenau	L 0-3	43.7	1449	1522	33.49%	24.07%	42.44%	-0.07	-18.1	4
2012-08-07	@ Horn	W 3-0	43.7	1522	1449	42.44%	24.07%	33.49%	+0.07	+18.1	12
2012-08-07	Grodig	L 1-3	48.7	1395	1422	39.86%	24.15%	35.99%	+0.19	-12.4	1
2012-08-07	@ First Vienna	W 3-1	48.7	1422	1395	35.99%	24.15%	39.86%	-0.19	+12.4	9
2012-08-07	Hartberg	L 0-1	46.8	1391	1359	47.98%	23.68%	28.34%	+0.53	-8.8	4
2012-08-07	@ Lustenau	W 1-0	46.8	1359	1391	28.34%	23.68%	47.98%	-0.53	+8.8	7
2012-08-07	SKN St. Polten	L 1-4	53.3	1501	1472	47.57%	23.72%	28.70%	+0.51	-20.2	3
2012-08-07	@ SCR Altach	W 4-1	53.3	1472	1501	28.70%	23.72%	47.57%	-0.51	+20.2	10
2012-08-10	Grodig	D 2-2	68.5	1540	1435	56.91%	22.31%	20.78%	+0.94	-1.1	13
2012-08-10	@ Austria Lustenau	D 2-2	68.5	1435	1540	20.78%	22.31%	56.91%	-0.94	+1.1	10
2012-08-10	Horn	W 2-1	49.9	1492	1431	51.69%	23.23%	25.08%	+0.69	+4.9	13
2012-08-10	@ SKN St. Polten	L 1-2	49.9	1431	1492	25.08%	23.23%	51.69%	-0.69	-4.9	4
2012-08-10	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	56.1	1368	1414	37.23%	24.16%	38.61%	+0.08	+0.0	8
2012-08-10	@ Hartberg	D 1-1	56.1	1414	1368	38.61%	24.16%	37.23%	-0.08	-0.0	3
2012-08-10	Lustenau	L 2-4	52.9	1383	1383	43.72%	24.01%	32.27%	+0.35	-11.9	1
2012-08-10	@ First Vienna	W 4-2	52.9	1383	1383	32.27%	24.01%	43.72%	-0.35	+11.9	7
2012-08-10	SCR Altach	L 0-2	44.9	1437	1481	37.45%	24.16%	38.39%	+0.09	-13.6	3
2012-08-10	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	W 2-0	44.9	1481	1437	38.39%	24.16%	37.45%	-0.09	+13.6	6
2012-08-17	Blau-Weiss Linz	D 1-1	57.8	1426	1423	44.07%	23.99%	31.94%	+0.36	-0.5	5
2012-08-17	@ Horn	D 1-1	57.8	1423	1426	31.94%	23.99%	44.07%	-0.36	+0.5	4
2012-08-17	First Vienna	D 3-3	66.5	1414	1371	49.33%	23.54%	27.13%	+0.59	-0.5	4
2012-08-17	@ Kapfenberger	D 3-3	66.5	1371	1414	27.13%	23.54%	49.33%	-0.59	+0.5	2
2012-08-17	Hartberg	D 0-0	52.5	1436	1368	52.52%	23.11%	24.37%	+0.73	-1.3	11
2012-08-17	@ Grodig	D 0-0	52.5	1368	1436	24.37%	23.11%	52.52%	-0.73	+1.3	9
2012-08-17	Lustenau	W 3-0	36.7	1494	1394	56.33%	22.43%	21.24%	+0.91	+12.3	9
2012-08-17	@ SCR Altach	L 0-3	36.7	1394	1494	21.24%	22.43%	56.33%	-0.91	-12.3	7
2012-08-17	SKN St. Polten	W 3-0	44.1	1539	1497	49.24%	23.55%	27.22%	+0.58	+15.3	16
2012-08-17	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-3	44.1	1497	1539	27.22%	23.55%	49.24%	-0.58	-15.3	13
2012-08-24	Austria Lustenau	L 2-4	53.7	1424	1554	26.40%	23.44%	50.16%	-0.40	-8.0	4
2012-08-24	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	W 4-2	53.7	1554	1424	50.16%	23.44%	26.40%	+0.40	+8.0	19
2012-08-24	Grodig	L 0-3	46.5	1482	1435	49.91%	23.47%	26.62%	+0.61	-24.9	13
2012-08-24	@ SKN St. Polten	W 3-0	46.5	1435	1482	26.62%	23.47%	49.91%	-0.61	+24.9	14
2012-08-24	Horn	L 0-2	41.0	1369	1426	35.73%	24.14%	40.13%	+0.02	-13.1	9
2012-08-24	@ Hartberg	W 2-0	41.0	1426	1369	40.13%	24.14%	35.73%	-0.02	+13.1	8
2012-08-24	Kapfenberger	W 2-0	41.2	1382	1413	39.33%	24.15%	36.52%	+0.17	+13.4	10
2012-08-24	@ Lustenau	L 0-2	41.2	1413	1382	36.52%	24.15%	39.33%	-0.17	-13.3	4
2012-08-24	SCR Altach	W 2-1	56.1	1372	1507	25.89%	23.36%	50.74%	-0.42	+8.7	5
2012-08-24	@ First Vienna	L 1-2	56.1	1507	1372	50.74%	23.36%	25.89%	+0.42	-8.7	9
2012-08-31	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 4-1	43.7	1457	1416	49.16%	23.56%	27.28%	+0.58	+12.9	16
2012-08-31	@ SKN St. Polten	L 1-4	43.7	1416	1457	27.28%	23.56%	49.16%	-0.58	-12.9	4
2012-08-31	First Vienna	W 1-0	41.3	1439	1380	51.35%	23.28%	25.37%	+0.68	+5.3	11
2012-08-31	@ Horn	L 0-1	41.3	1380	1439	25.37%	23.28%	51.35%	-0.68	-5.3	5
2012-08-31	Hartberg	W 4-1	39.6	1498	1356	60.93%	21.35%	17.73%	+1.15	+8.7	12
2012-08-31	@ SCR Altach	L 1-4	39.6	1356	1498	17.73%	21.35%	60.93%	-1.15	-8.7	9
2012-08-31	Kapfenberger	L 0-1	50.2	1460	1400	51.54%	23.26%	25.21%	+0.69	-9.3	14
2012-08-31	@ Grodig	W 1-0	50.2	1400	1460	25.21%	23.26%	51.54%	-0.69	+9.3	7
2012-08-31	Lustenau	D 1-1	62.4	1562	1395	63.47%	20.61%	15.92%	+1.29	-2.0	20
2012-08-31	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	62.4	1395	1562	15.92%	20.61%	63.47%	-1.29	+2.0	11
2012-09-14	Austria Lustenau	L 0-5	38.2	1375	1560	20.91%	22.35%	56.74%	-0.71	-19.5	5
2012-09-14	@ First Vienna	W 5-0	38.2	1560	1375	56.74%	22.35%	20.91%	+0.71	+19.5	23
2012-09-14	Grodig	L 1-3	48.8	1403	1450	36.94%	24.16%	38.90%	+0.07	-11.7	4
2012-09-14	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	W 3-1	48.8	1450	1403	38.90%	24.16%	36.94%	-0.07	+11.7	17
2012-09-14	Horn	L 1-2	51.2	1397	1444	37.10%	24.16%	38.74%	+0.08	-6.8	11
2012-09-14	@ Lustenau	W 2-1	51.2	1444	1397	38.74%	24.16%	37.10%	-0.08	+6.8	14
2012-09-14	SCR Altach	D 1-1	59.9	1409	1507	30.26%	23.87%	45.87%	-0.21	+0.6	8
2012-09-14	@ Kapfenberger	D 1-1	59.9	1507	1409	45.87%	23.87%	30.26%	+0.21	-0.6	13
2012-09-14	SKN St. Polten	W 3-1	51.3	1348	1470	27.33%	23.56%	49.10%	-0.35	+14.6	12
2012-09-14	@ Hartberg	L 1-3	51.3	1470	1348	49.10%	23.56%	27.33%	+0.35	-14.6	16
2012-09-21	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	58.5	1410	1579	22.32%	22.69%	54.99%	-0.62	+1.5	9
2012-09-21	@ Kapfenberger	D 0-0	58.5	1579	1410	54.99%	22.69%	22.32%	+0.62	-1.5	24
2012-09-21	Blau-Weiss Linz	L 1-3	47.3	1362	1391	39.62%	24.15%	36.23%	+0.18	-12.3	12
2012-09-21	@ Hartberg	W 3-1	47.3	1391	1362	36.23%	24.15%	39.62%	-0.18	+12.3	7
2012-09-21	Grodig	D 1-1	57.9	1391	1462	33.69%	24.08%	42.24%	-0.06	+0.3	12
2012-09-21	@ Lustenau	D 1-1	57.9	1462	1391	42.24%	24.08%	33.69%	+0.06	-0.3	18
2012-09-21	Horn	W 3-0	40.6	1506	1451	50.97%	23.33%	25.70%	+0.66	+14.6	16
2012-09-21	@ SCR Altach	L 0-3	40.6	1451	1506	25.70%	23.33%	50.97%	-0.66	-14.6	14
2012-09-21	SKN St. Polten	L 1-5	41.3	1356	1455	30.03%	23.85%	46.12%	-0.22	-18.1	5
2012-09-21	@ First Vienna	W 5-1	41.3	1455	1356	46.12%	23.85%	30.03%	+0.22	+18.1	19
2012-09-28	First Vienna	L 0-1	47.8	1403	1337	52.28%	23.15%	24.57%	+0.72	-9.5	7
2012-09-28	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	W 1-0	47.8	1337	1403	24.57%	23.15%	52.28%	-0.72	+9.5	8
2012-09-28	Hartberg	W 3-1	42.0	1578	1350	69.26%	18.57%	12.17%	+1.64	+4.2	27
2012-09-28	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-3	42.0	1350	1578	12.17%	18.57%	69.26%	-1.64	-4.2	12
2012-09-28	Kapfenberger	W 2-0	40.2	1436	1411	47.05%	23.77%	29.18%	+0.49	+11.2	17
2012-09-28	@ Horn	L 0-2	40.2	1411	1436	29.18%	23.77%	47.05%	-0.49	-11.2	9
2012-09-28	Lustenau	W 2-1	47.2	1473	1391	54.24%	22.83%	22.93%	+0.81	+4.5	22
2012-09-28	@ SKN St. Polten	L 1-2	47.2	1391	1473	22.93%	22.83%	54.24%	-0.81	-4.5	12
2012-09-28	SCR Altach	W 1-0	51.4	1462	1521	35.33%	24.13%	40.54%	+0.01	+7.7	21
2012-09-28	@ Grodig	L 0-1	51.4	1521	1462	40.54%	24.13%	35.33%	-0.01	-7.7	16
2012-10-05	Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	59.0	1513	1582	33.95%	24.09%	41.96%	-0.05	-6.3	16
2012-10-05	@ SCR Altach	W 2-1	59.0	1582	1513	41.96%	24.09%	33.95%	+0.05	+6.3	30
2012-10-05	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 4-0	37.5	1387	1394	42.65%	24.06%	33.29%	+0.30	+23.6	15
2012-10-05	@ Lustenau	L 0-4	37.5	1394	1387	33.29%	24.06%	42.65%	-0.30	-23.6	7
2012-10-05	Grodig	L 0-3	43.9	1447	1469	40.60%	24.13%	35.27%	+0.22	-21.0	17
2012-10-05	@ Horn	W 3-0	43.9	1469	1447	35.27%	24.13%	40.60%	-0.22	+21.0	24
2012-10-05	Hartberg	W 2-0	38.1	1347	1346	43.83%	24.00%	32.17%	+0.35	+12.1	11
2012-10-05	@ First Vienna	L 0-2	38.1	1346	1347	32.17%	24.00%	43.83%	-0.35	-12.1	12
2012-10-05	SKN St. Polten	D 0-0	54.2	1400	1478	32.81%	24.04%	43.15%	-0.10	+0.4	10
2012-10-05	@ Kapfenberger	D 0-0	54.2	1478	1400	43.15%	24.04%	32.81%	+0.10	-0.5	23
2012-10-19	First Vienna	W 2-0	36.4	1490	1359	59.82%	21.63%	18.54%	+1.09	+7.4	27
2012-10-19	@ Grodig	L 0-2	36.4	1359	1490	18.54%	21.63%	59.82%	-1.09	-7.5	11
2012-10-19	Horn	W 4-1	44.5	1588	1426	63.04%	20.74%	16.22%	+1.27	+8.0	33
2012-10-19	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-4	44.5	1426	1588	16.22%	20.74%	63.04%	-1.27	-8.0	17
2012-10-19	Kapfenberger	L 0-3	39.6	1370	1400	39.44%	24.15%	36.41%	+0.17	-20.6	7
2012-10-19	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	W 3-0	39.6	1400	1370	36.41%	24.15%	39.44%	-0.17	+20.6	13
2012-10-19	Lustenau	L 1-2	47.8	1334	1410	32.97%	24.05%	42.98%	-0.09	-6.2	12
2012-10-19	@ Hartberg	W 2-1	47.8	1410	1334	42.98%	24.05%	32.97%	+0.09	+6.2	18
2012-10-19	SCR Altach	W 3-2	61.1	1477	1507	39.54%	24.15%	36.31%	+0.18	+6.3	26
2012-10-19	@ SKN St. Polten	L 2-3	61.1	1507	1477	36.31%	24.15%	39.54%	-0.18	-6.3	16
2012-10-26	Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	57.0	1498	1596	30.13%	23.86%	46.01%	-0.22	+8.5	30
2012-10-26	@ Grodig	L 0-1	57.0	1596	1498	46.01%	23.86%	30.13%	+0.22	-8.5	33
2012-10-26	Blau-Weiss Linz	D 1-1	58.7	1500	1350	61.86%	21.09%	17.05%	+1.20	-1.9	17
2012-10-26	@ SCR Altach	D 1-1	58.7	1350	1500	17.05%	21.09%	61.86%	-1.20	+1.9	8
2012-10-26	First Vienna	W 2-1	45.5	1416	1352	52.14%	23.17%	24.69%	+0.71	+4.8	21
2012-10-26	@ Lustenau	L 1-2	45.5	1352	1416	24.69%	23.17%	52.14%	-0.71	-4.8	11
2012-10-26	Hartberg	L 1-2	54.3	1421	1327	55.59%	22.58%	21.83%	+0.88	-9.4	13
2012-10-26	@ Kapfenberger	W 2-1	54.3	1327	1421	21.83%	22.58%	55.59%	-0.88	+9.4	15
2012-10-26	SKN St. Polten	W 2-1	54.3	1418	1484	34.48%	24.11%	41.41%	-0.03	+7.4	20
2012-10-26	@ Horn	L 1-2	54.3	1484	1418	41.41%	24.11%	34.48%	+0.03	-7.4	26
2012-11-02	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	62.0	1476	1588	28.55%	23.71%	47.75%	-0.29	+8.3	29
2012-11-02	@ SKN St. Polten	L 1-2	62.0	1588	1476	47.75%	23.71%	28.55%	+0.29	-8.2	33
2012-11-02	Grodig	W 3-0	45.5	1337	1506	22.36%	22.70%	54.94%	-0.62	+27.0	18
2012-11-02	@ Hartberg	L 0-3	45.5	1506	1337	54.94%	22.70%	22.36%	+0.62	-27.0	30
2012-11-02	Horn	W 3-0	40.7	1352	1426	33.30%	24.06%	42.64%	-0.08	+21.9	11
2012-11-02	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	L 0-3	40.7	1426	1352	42.64%	24.06%	33.30%	+0.08	-21.9	20
2012-11-02	Kapfenberger	W 3-1	47.9	1347	1412	34.54%	24.11%	41.35%	-0.03	+12.7	14
2012-11-02	@ First Vienna	L 1-3	47.9	1412	1347	41.35%	24.11%	34.54%	+0.03	-12.7	13
2012-11-03	SCR Altach	L 0-1	46.8	1421	1498	32.86%	24.04%	43.09%	-0.10	-6.5	21
2012-11-03	@ Lustenau	W 1-0	46.8	1498	1421	43.09%	24.04%	32.86%	+0.10	+6.5	20
2012-11-09	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 2-1	46.3	1580	1373	67.29%	19.32%	13.39%	+1.52	+2.7	36
2012-11-09	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	46.3	1373	1580	13.39%	19.32%	67.29%	-1.52	-2.7	11
2012-11-09	First Vienna	W 3-0	34.4	1505	1359	61.34%	21.23%	17.43%	+1.17	+10.2	23
2012-11-09	@ SCR Altach	L 0-3	34.4	1359	1505	17.43%	21.23%	61.34%	-1.17	-10.2	14
2012-11-09	Hartberg	D 0-0	51.6	1404	1364	49.00%	23.58%	27.43%	+0.57	-1.0	21
2012-11-09	@ Horn	D 0-0	51.6	1364	1404	27.43%	23.58%	49.00%	-0.57	+1.0	19
2012-11-09	Lustenau	L 2-4	53.3	1399	1415	41.47%	24.11%	34.42%	+0.25	-11.4	13
2012-11-09	@ Kapfenberger	W 4-2	53.3	1415	1399	34.42%	24.11%	41.47%	-0.25	+11.4	24
2012-11-09	SKN St. Polten	L 3-4	65.2	1479	1484	42.94%	24.05%	33.01%	+0.31	-7.0	30
2012-11-09	@ Grodig	W 4-3	65.2	1484	1479	33.01%	24.05%	42.94%	-0.31	+7.0	32
2012-11-16	Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	46.9	1426	1582	23.65%	22.97%	53.38%	-0.55	-5.0	24
2012-11-16	@ Lustenau	W 1-0	46.9	1582	1426	53.38%	22.97%	23.65%	+0.55	+5.0	39
2012-11-16	Grodig	W 2-0	45.1	1387	1472	31.89%	23.99%	44.12%	-0.14	+15.5	16
2012-11-16	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-2	45.1	1472	1387	44.12%	23.99%	31.89%	+0.14	-15.5	30
2012-11-16	Horn	W 3-0	39.4	1349	1403	36.09%	24.15%	39.76%	+0.04	+20.7	17
2012-11-16	@ First Vienna	L 0-3	39.4	1403	1349	39.76%	24.15%	36.09%	-0.04	-20.7	21
2012-11-16	SCR Altach	D 0-0	54.6	1365	1515	24.26%	23.09%	52.65%	-0.51	+1.3	20
2012-11-16	@ Hartberg	D 0-0	54.6	1515	1365	52.65%	23.09%	24.26%	+0.51	-1.3	24
2012-11-16	SKN St. Polten	D 2-2	64.3	1371	1491	27.51%	23.59%	48.91%	-0.34	+0.6	12
2012-11-16	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	D 2-2	64.3	1491	1371	48.91%	23.59%	27.51%	+0.34	-0.6	33
2012-11-23	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 3-0	35.4	1457	1371	54.62%	22.76%	22.62%	+0.83	+13.0	33
2012-11-23	@ Grodig	L 0-3	35.4	1371	1457	22.62%	22.76%	54.62%	-0.83	-13.0	12
2012-11-23	First Vienna	W 3-0	35.4	1587	1370	68.30%	18.94%	12.76%	+1.58	+7.4	42
2012-11-23	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-3	35.4	1370	1587	12.76%	18.94%	68.30%	-1.58	-7.4	17
2012-11-23	Hartberg	W 4-1	40.3	1491	1366	59.11%	21.81%	19.08%	+1.05	+9.4	36
2012-11-23	@ SKN St. Polten	L 1-4	40.3	1366	1491	19.08%	21.81%	59.11%	-1.05	-9.4	20
2012-11-23	Kapfenberger	W 2-1	47.9	1514	1403	57.59%	22.17%	20.25%	+0.98	+4.0	27
2012-11-23	@ SCR Altach	L 1-2	47.9	1403	1514	20.25%	22.17%	57.59%	-0.98	-4.0	16
2012-11-23	Lustenau	D 2-2	62.6	1382	1421	38.17%	24.16%	37.66%	+0.12	-0.0	22
2012-11-23	@ Horn	D 2-2	62.6	1421	1382	37.66%	24.16%	38.17%	-0.12	+0.0	25
2012-11-30	First Vienna	D 2-2	64.9	1500	1363	60.50%	21.46%	18.04%	+1.13	-1.3	37
2012-11-30	@ SKN St. Polten	D 2-2	64.9	1363	1500	18.04%	21.46%	60.50%	-1.13	+1.3	18
2012-11-30	Hartberg	L 0-1	45.1	1358	1357	43.89%	24.00%	32.11%	+0.35	-8.2	12
2012-11-30	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	W 1-0	45.1	1357	1358	32.11%	24.00%	43.89%	-0.35	+8.2	23
2012-11-30	Kapfenberger	W 2-0	39.3	1595	1399	66.32%	19.67%	14.01%	+1.46	+5.6	45
2012-11-30	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	39.3	1399	1595	14.01%	19.67%	66.32%	-1.46	-5.6	16
2012-11-30	Lustenau	W 4-1	44.0	1470	1421	50.12%	23.44%	26.44%	+0.62	+12.6	36
2012-11-30	@ Grodig	L 1-4	44.0	1421	1470	26.44%	23.44%	50.12%	-0.62	-12.6	25
2012-11-30	SCR Altach	L 0-1	43.8	1382	1518	25.81%	23.35%	50.84%	-0.43	-5.3	22
2012-11-30	@ Horn	W 1-0	43.8	1518	1382	50.84%	23.35%	25.81%	+0.43	+5.3	30
2013-02-26	SKN St. Polten	W 3-1	52.8	1408	1499	31.17%	23.94%	44.89%	-0.17	+13.6	28
2013-02-26	@ Lustenau	L 1-3	52.8	1499	1408	44.89%	23.94%	31.17%	+0.17	-13.6	37
2013-03-01	First Vienna	L 0-2	42.1	1365	1364	43.80%	24.00%	32.19%	+0.35	-15.4	23
2013-03-01	@ Hartberg	W 2-0	42.1	1364	1365	32.19%	24.00%	43.80%	-0.35	+15.4	21
2013-03-01	Kapfenberger	L 1-7	49.2	1485	1393	55.42%	22.61%	21.97%	+0.87	-43.0	37
2013-03-01	@ SKN St. Polten	W 7-1	49.2	1393	1485	21.97%	22.61%	55.42%	-0.87	+43.0	19
2013-03-01	Lustenau	D 1-1	56.0	1350	1422	33.59%	24.07%	42.33%	-0.06	+0.3	13
2013-03-01	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	D 1-1	56.0	1422	1350	42.33%	24.07%	33.59%	+0.06	-0.3	29
2013-03-01	SCR Altach	D 2-2	73.6	1600	1523	53.64%	22.93%	23.43%	+0.78	-0.9	46
2013-03-01	@ Austria Lustenau	D 2-2	73.6	1523	1600	23.43%	22.93%	53.64%	-0.78	+0.9	31
2013-03-08	Austria Lustenau	W 5-0	51.4	1377	1599	17.77%	21.36%	60.87%	-0.92	+47.6	25
2013-03-08	@ Horn	L 0-5	51.4	1599	1377	60.87%	21.36%	17.77%	+0.92	-47.6	46
2013-03-08	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 1-0	39.6	1436	1351	54.66%	22.75%	22.58%	+0.83	+4.8	22
2013-03-08	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-1	39.6	1351	1436	22.58%	22.75%	54.66%	-0.83	-4.7	13
2013-03-08	Grodig	L 1-2	49.4	1379	1482	29.60%	23.81%	46.59%	-0.24	-5.7	21
2013-03-08	@ First Vienna	W 2-1	49.4	1482	1379	46.59%	23.81%	29.60%	+0.24	+5.7	39
2013-03-08	Hartberg	W 1-0	39.8	1422	1350	53.05%	23.03%	23.92%	+0.76	+5.0	32
2013-03-08	@ Lustenau	L 0-1	39.8	1350	1422	23.92%	23.03%	53.05%	-0.76	-5.0	23
2013-03-08	SKN St. Polten	W 2-1	50.7	1524	1442	54.22%	22.83%	22.95%	+0.81	+4.5	34
2013-03-08	@ SCR Altach	L 1-2	50.7	1442	1524	22.95%	22.83%	54.22%	-0.81	-4.5	37
2013-03-11	Kapfenberger	L 1-3	45.1	1345	1441	30.41%	23.88%	45.71%	-0.20	-10.0	23
2013-03-11	@ Hartberg	W 3-1	45.1	1441	1345	45.71%	23.88%	30.41%	+0.20	+10.0	25
2013-03-12	Grodig	L 1-2	62.2	1552	1488	52.02%	23.19%	24.79%	+0.71	-8.9	46
2013-03-12	@ Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	62.2	1488	1552	24.79%	23.19%	52.02%	-0.71	+8.9	42
2013-03-12	Horn	D 1-1	58.2	1438	1424	45.50%	23.90%	30.61%	+0.42	-0.6	38
2013-03-12	@ SKN St. Polten	D 1-1	58.2	1424	1438	30.61%	23.90%	45.50%	-0.42	+0.6	26
2013-03-12	Lustenau	W 1-0	45.4	1374	1427	36.16%	24.15%	39.69%	+0.04	+7.5	24
2013-03-12	@ First Vienna	L 0-1	45.4	1427	1374	39.69%	24.15%	36.16%	-0.04	-7.5	32
2013-03-12	SCR Altach	D 1-1	59.0	1346	1529	21.10%	22.40%	56.51%	-0.70	+1.5	14
2013-03-12	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	D 1-1	59.0	1529	1346	56.51%	22.40%	21.10%	+0.70	-1.5	35
2013-03-15	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 2-0	36.4	1425	1347	53.71%	22.92%	23.37%	+0.79	+9.2	29
2013-03-15	@ Horn	L 0-2	36.4	1347	1425	23.37%	22.92%	53.71%	-0.79	-9.2	14
2013-03-15	First Vienna	W 3-0	36.1	1451	1381	52.76%	23.07%	24.17%	+0.74	+13.8	28
2013-03-15	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-3	36.1	1381	1451	24.17%	23.07%	52.76%	-0.74	-13.8	24
2013-03-15	Hartberg	W 3-0	33.0	1497	1334	63.06%	20.74%	16.21%	+1.27	+9.5	45
2013-03-15	@ Grodig	L 0-3	33.0	1334	1497	16.21%	20.74%	63.06%	-1.27	-9.5	23
2013-03-15	Lustenau	D 0-0	57.1	1527	1419	57.26%	22.24%	20.50%	+0.96	-1.7	36
2013-03-15	@ SCR Altach	D 0-0	57.1	1419	1527	20.50%	22.24%	57.26%	-0.96	+1.7	33
2013-03-15	SKN St. Polten	D 2-2	68.7	1543	1437	57.00%	22.29%	20.71%	+0.95	-1.1	47
2013-03-15	@ Austria Lustenau	D 2-2	68.7	1437	1543	20.71%	22.29%	57.00%	-0.95	+1.1	39
2013-03-18	Blau-Weiss Linz	D 1-1	55.0	1367	1338	47.62%	23.72%	28.67%	+0.51	-0.8	25
2013-03-18	@ First Vienna	D 1-1	55.0	1338	1367	28.67%	23.72%	47.62%	-0.51	+0.8	15
2013-03-18	Grodig	W 1-0	49.9	1526	1506	46.28%	23.84%	29.89%	+0.45	+6.0	39
2013-03-18	@ SCR Altach	L 0-1	49.9	1506	1526	29.89%	23.84%	46.28%	-0.45	-6.0	45
2013-03-28	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	54.6	1325	1542	18.22%	21.52%	60.25%	-0.89	+2.0	24
2013-03-28	@ Hartberg	D 0-0	54.6	1542	1325	60.25%	21.52%	18.22%	+0.89	-2.0	48
2013-03-29	Horn	W 2-1	50.1	1500	1434	52.31%	23.14%	24.55%	+0.72	+4.8	48
2013-03-29	@ Grodig	L 1-2	50.1	1434	1500	24.55%	23.14%	52.31%	-0.72	-4.8	29
2013-04-01	Grodig	L 1-2	53.6	1438	1505	34.27%	24.10%	41.63%	-0.04	-6.3	39
2013-04-01	@ SKN St. Polten	W 2-1	53.6	1505	1438	41.63%	24.10%	34.27%	+0.04	+6.4	51
2013-04-02	Austria Lustenau	W 3-0	47.4	1339	1540	19.51%	21.95%	58.55%	-0.80	+28.6	18
2013-04-02	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	L 0-3	47.4	1540	1339	58.55%	21.95%	19.51%	+0.80	-28.6	48
2013-04-02	Kapfenberger	L 1-3	49.9	1421	1465	37.46%	24.16%	38.37%	+0.09	-11.8	33
2013-04-02	@ Lustenau	W 3-1	49.9	1465	1421	38.37%	24.16%	37.46%	-0.09	+11.8	31
2013-04-02	SCR Altach	W 3-0	47.0	1367	1532	22.79%	22.80%	54.42%	-0.60	+26.8	28
2013-04-02	@ First Vienna	L 0-3	47.0	1532	1367	54.42%	22.80%	22.79%	+0.60	-26.8	39
2013-04-05	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 2-1	46.2	1432	1367	52.12%	23.17%	24.71%	+0.71	+4.8	42
2013-04-05	@ SKN St. Polten	L 1-2	46.2	1367	1432	24.71%	23.17%	52.12%	-0.71	-4.8	18
2013-04-05	First Vienna	L 2-3	59.4	1429	1393	48.48%	23.63%	27.89%	+0.55	-7.9	29
2013-04-05	@ Horn	W 3-2	59.4	1393	1429	27.89%	23.63%	48.48%	-0.55	+7.9	31
2013-04-05	Hartberg	W 2-0	34.5	1505	1327	64.59%	20.26%	15.15%	+1.36	+6.1	42
2013-04-05	@ SCR Altach	L 0-2	34.5	1327	1505	15.15%	20.26%	64.59%	-1.36	-6.1	24
2013-04-05	Kapfenberger	L 0-1	53.8	1511	1477	48.35%	23.65%	28.01%	+0.54	-8.9	51
2013-04-05	@ Grodig	W 1-0	53.8	1477	1511	28.01%	23.65%	48.35%	-0.54	+8.9	34
2013-04-05	Lustenau	W 1-0	42.7	1511	1409	56.59%	22.38%	21.03%	+0.93	+4.5	51
2013-04-05	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	42.7	1409	1511	21.03%	22.38%	56.59%	-0.93	-4.5	33
2013-04-08	SCR Altach	D 2-2	68.7	1485	1511	40.10%	24.14%	35.76%	+0.20	-0.1	35
2013-04-08	@ Kapfenberger	D 2-2	68.7	1511	1485	35.76%	24.14%	40.10%	-0.20	+0.1	43
2013-04-09	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	55.6	1401	1516	28.24%	23.67%	48.09%	-0.31	+0.9	32
2013-04-09	@ First Vienna	D 0-0	55.6	1516	1401	48.09%	23.67%	28.24%	+0.31	-0.9	52
2013-04-09	Grodig	L 0-3	37.4	1362	1503	25.34%	23.28%	51.38%	-0.45	-14.4	18
2013-04-09	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	W 3-0	37.4	1503	1362	51.38%	23.28%	25.34%	+0.45	+14.4	54
2013-04-09	Horn	D 1-1	57.2	1405	1421	41.33%	24.11%	34.56%	+0.25	-0.3	34
2013-04-09	@ Lustenau	D 1-1	57.2	1421	1405	34.56%	24.11%	41.33%	-0.25	+0.3	30
2013-04-09	SKN St. Polten	D 0-0	51.4	1321	1437	28.06%	23.65%	48.28%	-0.32	+0.9	25
2013-04-09	@ Hartberg	D 0-0	51.4	1437	1321	48.28%	23.65%	28.06%	+0.32	-0.9	43
2013-04-12	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	56.3	1485	1515	39.52%	24.15%	36.33%	+0.18	+6.7	38
2013-04-12	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-2	56.3	1515	1485	36.33%	24.15%	39.52%	-0.18	-6.6	52
2013-04-12	Grodig	L 0-5	40.4	1404	1517	28.45%	23.69%	47.86%	-0.30	-25.6	34
2013-04-12	@ Lustenau	W 5-0	40.4	1517	1404	47.86%	23.69%	28.45%	+0.30	+25.6	57
2013-04-12	Horn	W 2-0	40.5	1511	1422	55.10%	22.67%	22.23%	+0.85	+8.8	46
2013-04-12	@ SCR Altach	L 0-2	40.5	1422	1511	22.23%	22.67%	55.10%	-0.85	-8.8	30
2013-04-12	SKN St. Polten	D 2-2	63.4	1402	1436	38.93%	24.16%	36.91%	+0.15	-0.1	33
2013-04-12	@ First Vienna	D 2-2	63.4	1436	1402	36.91%	24.16%	38.93%	-0.15	+0.1	44
2013-04-15	Blau-Weiss Linz	D 2-2	60.4	1322	1348	39.98%	24.14%	35.87%	+0.19	-0.1	26
2013-04-15	@ Hartberg	D 2-2	60.4	1348	1322	35.87%	24.14%	39.98%	-0.19	+0.1	19
2013-04-19	First Vienna	L 2-3	54.3	1348	1402	36.04%	24.15%	39.81%	+0.04	-6.3	19
2013-04-19	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	W 3-2	54.3	1402	1348	39.81%	24.15%	36.04%	-0.04	+6.3	36
2013-04-19	Hartberg	L 1-3	55.4	1508	1322	65.43%	19.98%	14.59%	+1.41	-18.7	52
2013-04-19	@ Austria Lustenau	W 3-1	55.4	1322	1508	14.59%	19.98%	65.43%	-1.41	+18.7	29
2013-04-19	Kapfenberger	L 0-3	41.1	1413	1492	32.63%	24.03%	43.34%	-0.11	-17.8	30
2013-04-19	@ Horn	W 3-0	41.1	1492	1413	43.34%	24.03%	32.63%	+0.11	+17.8	41
2013-04-19	Lustenau	D 2-2	63.1	1436	1379	51.19%	23.30%	25.50%	+0.67	-0.8	45
2013-04-19	@ SKN St. Polten	D 2-2	63.1	1379	1436	25.50%	23.30%	51.19%	-0.67	+0.8	35
2013-04-19	SCR Altach	W 3-1	53.7	1543	1520	46.75%	23.80%	29.46%	+0.47	+9.8	60
2013-04-19	@ Grodig	L 1-3	53.7	1520	1543	29.46%	23.80%	46.75%	-0.47	-9.8	46
2013-04-23	Horn	W 2-1	47.4	1510	1395	58.00%	22.07%	19.93%	+1.00	+4.0	44
2013-04-23	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-2	47.4	1395	1510	19.93%	22.07%	58.00%	-1.00	-4.0	30
2013-04-26	Austria Lustenau	W 2-0	45.5	1510	1489	46.46%	23.82%	29.72%	+0.46	+11.3	49
2013-04-26	@ SCR Altach	L 0-2	45.5	1489	1510	29.72%	23.82%	46.46%	-0.46	-11.3	52
2013-04-26	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 4-3	54.0	1380	1342	48.70%	23.61%	27.69%	+0.56	+5.0	38
2013-04-26	@ Lustenau	L 3-4	54.0	1342	1380	27.69%	23.61%	48.70%	-0.56	-5.0	19
2013-04-26	Grodig	D 1-1	61.2	1391	1552	23.15%	22.88%	53.97%	-0.57	+1.2	31
2013-04-26	@ Horn	D 1-1	61.2	1552	1391	53.97%	22.88%	23.15%	+0.57	-1.3	61
2013-04-26	Hartberg	D 1-1	55.8	1408	1340	52.54%	23.11%	24.35%	+0.73	-1.1	37
2013-04-26	@ First Vienna	D 1-1	55.8	1340	1408	24.35%	23.11%	52.54%	-0.73	+1.1	30
2013-04-26	SKN St. Polten	D 1-1	61.4	1514	1435	53.81%	22.90%	23.28%	+0.79	-1.2	45
2013-04-26	@ Kapfenberger	D 1-1	61.4	1435	1514	23.28%	22.90%	53.81%	-0.79	+1.2	46
2013-04-29	Horn	L 0-1	51.3	1478	1392	54.68%	22.75%	22.57%	+0.83	-9.8	52
2013-04-29	@ Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	51.3	1392	1478	22.57%	22.75%	54.68%	-0.83	+9.8	34
2013-04-30	First Vienna	W 3-0	37.6	1551	1407	61.15%	21.29%	17.57%	+1.16	+10.3	64
2013-04-30	@ Grodig	L 0-3	37.6	1407	1551	17.57%	21.29%	61.15%	-1.16	-10.3	37
2013-04-30	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	58.2	1337	1512	21.79%	22.57%	55.65%	-0.65	+1.4	20
2013-04-30	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	D 1-1	58.2	1512	1337	55.65%	22.57%	21.79%	+0.65	-1.4	46
2013-04-30	Lustenau	W 6-1	41.4	1342	1385	37.60%	24.16%	38.24%	+0.10	+26.8	33
2013-04-30	@ Hartberg	L 1-6	41.4	1385	1342	38.24%	24.16%	37.60%	-0.10	-26.8	38
2013-04-30	SCR Altach	D 1-1	61.4	1436	1521	31.86%	23.98%	44.15%	-0.14	+0.5	47
2013-04-30	@ SKN St. Polten	D 1-1	61.4	1521	1436	44.15%	23.98%	31.86%	+0.14	-0.5	50
2013-05-03	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	52.6	1561	1468	55.54%	22.59%	21.87%	+0.87	+4.4	67
2013-05-03	@ Grodig	L 1-2	52.6	1468	1561	21.87%	22.59%	55.54%	-0.87	-4.3	52
2013-05-03	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 2-1	43.8	1521	1338	65.05%	20.10%	14.84%	+1.38	+3.0	53
2013-05-03	@ SCR Altach	L 1-2	43.8	1338	1521	14.84%	20.10%	65.05%	-1.38	-3.0	20
2013-05-03	First Vienna	L 1-2	49.6	1358	1397	38.12%	24.16%	37.71%	+0.12	-6.9	38
2013-05-03	@ Lustenau	W 2-1	49.6	1397	1358	37.71%	24.16%	38.12%	-0.12	+6.9	40
2013-05-03	Hartberg	W 2-1	45.6	1511	1368	61.04%	21.32%	17.65%	+1.16	+3.5	49
2013-05-03	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-2	45.6	1368	1511	17.65%	21.32%	61.04%	-1.16	-3.5	33
2013-05-03	SKN St. Polten	W 2-0	42.4	1402	1437	38.78%	24.16%	37.06%	+0.15	+13.5	37
2013-05-03	@ Horn	L 0-2	42.4	1437	1402	37.06%	24.16%	38.78%	-0.15	-13.5	47
2013-05-06	Horn	L 0-3	38.9	1365	1416	36.48%	24.15%	39.37%	+0.05	-19.4	33
2013-05-06	@ Hartberg	W 3-0	38.9	1416	1365	39.37%	24.15%	36.48%	-0.05	+19.4	40
2013-05-10	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	52.8	1423	1464	37.94%	24.16%	37.89%	+0.11	+6.9	50
2013-05-10	@ SKN St. Polten	L 1-2	52.8	1464	1423	37.89%	24.16%	37.94%	-0.11	-6.9	52
2013-05-10	Grodig	L 0-2	38.1	1345	1566	17.95%	21.43%	60.62%	-0.91	-7.2	33
2013-05-10	@ Hartberg	W 2-0	38.1	1566	1345	60.62%	21.43%	17.95%	+0.91	+7.2	70
2013-05-10	Horn	W 2-1	52.2	1335	1435	30.02%	23.85%	46.14%	-0.22	+8.0	23
2013-05-10	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	L 1-2	52.2	1435	1335	46.14%	23.85%	30.02%	+0.22	-8.0	40
2013-05-10	Kapfenberger	W 2-1	56.6	1404	1515	28.68%	23.72%	47.60%	-0.29	+8.2	43
2013-05-10	@ First Vienna	L 1-2	56.6	1515	1404	47.60%	23.72%	28.68%	+0.29	-8.2	49
2013-05-10	SCR Altach	L 1-2	47.2	1351	1524	22.01%	22.62%	55.37%	-0.64	-4.4	38
2013-05-10	@ Lustenau	W 2-1	47.2	1524	1351	55.37%	22.62%	22.01%	+0.64	+4.4	56
2013-05-17	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 1-0	38.9	1457	1343	57.88%	22.10%	20.02%	+0.99	+4.2	55
2013-05-17	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	38.9	1343	1457	20.02%	22.10%	57.88%	-0.99	-4.2	23
2013-05-17	First Vienna	W 3-1	45.8	1528	1412	58.16%	22.04%	19.80%	+1.01	+6.9	59
2013-05-17	@ SCR Altach	L 1-3	45.8	1412	1528	19.80%	22.04%	58.16%	-1.01	-6.9	43
2013-05-17	Hartberg	W 2-1	44.6	1427	1338	55.04%	22.68%	22.28%	+0.85	+4.4	43
2013-05-17	@ Horn	L 1-2	44.6	1338	1427	22.28%	22.68%	55.04%	-0.85	-4.4	33
2013-05-17	Lustenau	W 2-0	35.6	1506	1346	62.81%	20.81%	16.38%	+1.25	+6.6	52
2013-05-17	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-2	35.6	1346	1506	16.38%	20.81%	62.81%	-1.25	-6.6	38
2013-05-17	SKN St. Polten	D 2-2	69.8	1573	1430	61.03%	21.32%	17.65%	+1.16	-1.4	71
2013-05-17	@ Grodig	D 2-2	69.8	1430	1573	17.65%	21.32%	61.03%	-1.16	+1.4	51
2013-05-21	Austria Lustenau	L 1-4	41.9	1340	1461	27.42%	23.57%	49.01%	-0.35	-13.0	38
2013-05-21	@ Lustenau	W 4-1	41.9	1461	1340	49.01%	23.57%	27.42%	+0.35	+13.0	58
2013-05-21	Grodig	D 1-1	66.0	1513	1572	35.40%	24.13%	40.47%	+0.01	+0.2	53
2013-05-21	@ Kapfenberger	D 1-1	66.0	1572	1513	40.47%	24.13%	35.40%	-0.01	-0.2	72
2013-05-21	SCR Altach	L 1-2	46.1	1334	1535	19.48%	21.94%	58.58%	-0.80	-3.9	33
2013-05-21	@ Hartberg	W 2-1	46.1	1535	1334	58.58%	21.94%	19.48%	+0.80	+3.9	62
2013-05-21	SKN St. Polten	W 1-0	46.4	1339	1432	30.92%	23.92%	45.16%	-0.18	+8.4	26
2013-05-21	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	L 0-1	46.4	1432	1339	45.16%	23.92%	30.92%	+0.18	-8.4	51
2013-05-22	Horn	W 3-1	48.0	1405	1431	40.01%	24.14%	35.85%	+0.20	+11.4	46
2013-05-22	@ First Vienna	L 1-3	48.0	1431	1405	35.85%	24.14%	40.01%	-0.20	-11.4	43
2013-05-24	Blau-Weiss Linz	W 5-0	34.0	1571	1348	68.87%	18.72%	12.40%	+1.62	+11.5	75
2013-05-24	@ Grodig	L 0-5	34.0	1348	1571	12.40%	18.72%	68.87%	-1.62	-11.5	26
2013-05-24	First Vienna	W 1-0	43.4	1474	1417	51.25%	23.30%	25.46%	+0.67	+5.3	61
2013-05-24	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	43.4	1417	1474	25.46%	23.30%	51.25%	-0.67	-5.3	46
2013-05-24	Hartberg	W 1-0	38.7	1423	1330	55.57%	22.58%	21.85%	+0.88	+4.6	54
2013-05-24	@ SKN St. Polten	L 0-1	38.7	1330	1423	21.85%	22.58%	55.57%	-0.88	-4.6	33
2013-05-24	Kapfenberger	W 2-0	47.2	1539	1513	47.17%	23.76%	29.07%	+0.49	+11.1	65
2013-05-24	@ SCR Altach	L 0-2	47.2	1513	1539	29.07%	23.76%	47.17%	-0.49	-11.1	53
2013-05-24	Lustenau	W 4-0	33.0	1420	1327	55.55%	22.59%	21.87%	+0.87	+16.5	46
2013-05-24	@ Horn	L 0-4	33.0	1327	1420	21.87%	22.59%	55.55%	-0.87	-16.5	38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2013-04-19	14.59%	Hartberg	1322	3	@ Austria Lustenau	1508	1
2	2013-03-08	17.77%	@ Horn	1377	5	Austria Lustenau	1599	0
3	2013-04-02	19.51%	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	1339	3	Austria Lustenau	1540	0
4	2012-07-27	21.68%	Grodig	1428	1	@ SCR Altach	1523	0
5	2012-10-26	21.83%	Hartberg	1327	2	@ Kapfenberger	1421	1
6	2013-03-01	21.97%	Kapfenberger	1393	7	@ SKN St. Polten	1485	1
7	2012-11-02	22.36%	@ Hartberg	1337	3	Grodig	1506	0
8	2013-04-29	22.57%	Horn	1392	1	@ Austria Lustenau	1478	0
9	2013-04-02	22.79%	@ First Vienna	1367	3	SCR Altach	1532	0
10	2012-09-28	24.57%	First Vienna	1337	1	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	1403	0
11	2012-08-03	24.76%	Lustenau	1382	1	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	1446	0
12	2013-03-12	24.79%	Grodig	1488	2	@ Austria Lustenau	1552	1
13	2012-08-31	25.21%	Kapfenberger	1400	1	@ Grodig	1460	0
14	2012-08-24	25.89%	@ First Vienna	1372	2	SCR Altach	1507	1
15	2012-08-24	26.62%	Grodig	1435	3	@ SKN St. Polten	1482	0
16	2012-09-14	27.33%	@ Hartberg	1348	3	SKN St. Polten	1470	1
17	2013-04-05	27.89%	First Vienna	1393	3	@ Horn	1429	2
18	2013-04-05	28.01%	Kapfenberger	1477	1	@ Grodig	1511	0
19	2012-08-07	28.34%	Hartberg	1359	1	@ Lustenau	1391	0
20	2012-11-02	28.55%	@ SKN St. Polten	1476	2	Austria Lustenau	1588	1
21	2013-05-10	28.68%	@ First Vienna	1404	2	Kapfenberger	1515	1
22	2012-08-07	28.70%	SKN St. Polten	1472	4	@ SCR Altach	1501	1
23	2013-05-10	30.02%	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	1335	2	Horn	1435	1
24	2012-10-26	30.13%	@ Grodig	1498	1	Austria Lustenau	1596	0
25	2013-05-21	30.92%	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	1339	1	SKN St. Polten	1432	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-03-08	47.57	@ Horn	5	1377	17.77%	Austria Lustenau	0	1599	60.87%	21.36%
2	2013-03-01	42.96	Kapfenberger	7	1393	21.97%	@ SKN St. Polten	1	1485	55.42%	22.61%
3	2013-04-02	28.56	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	3	1339	19.51%	Austria Lustenau	0	1540	58.55%	21.95%
4	2012-11-02	27.03	@ Hartberg	3	1337	22.36%	Grodig	0	1506	54.94%	22.70%
5	2013-04-02	26.81	@ First Vienna	3	1367	22.79%	SCR Altach	0	1532	54.42%	22.80%
6	2013-04-30	26.78	@ Hartberg	6	1342	37.60%	Lustenau	1	1385	38.24%	24.16%
7	2012-07-20	26.48	@ Austria Lustenau	5	1478	46.53%	Kapfenberger	0	1457	29.66%	23.82%
8	2013-04-12	25.58	Grodig	5	1517	47.86%	@ Lustenau	0	1404	28.45%	23.69%
9	2012-08-24	24.89	Grodig	3	1435	26.62%	@ SKN St. Polten	0	1482	49.91%	23.47%
10	2012-10-05	23.57	@ Lustenau	4	1387	42.65%	Blau-Weiss Linz	0	1394	33.29%	24.06%
11	2012-11-02	21.87	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	3	1352	33.30%	Horn	0	1426	42.64%	24.06%
12	2012-10-05	21.04	Grodig	3	1469	35.27%	@ Horn	0	1447	40.60%	24.13%
13	2012-11-16	20.70	@ First Vienna	3	1349	36.09%	Horn	0	1403	39.76%	24.15%
14	2012-10-19	20.57	Kapfenberger	3	1400	36.41%	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	0	1370	39.44%	24.15%
15	2012-08-07	20.16	SKN St. Polten	4	1472	28.70%	@ SCR Altach	1	1501	47.57%	23.72%
16	2012-09-14	19.52	Austria Lustenau	5	1560	56.74%	@ First Vienna	0	1375	20.91%	22.35%
17	2013-05-06	19.37	Horn	3	1416	39.37%	@ Hartberg	0	1365	36.48%	24.15%
18	2013-04-19	18.73	Hartberg	3	1322	14.59%	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1508	65.43%	19.98%
19	2012-08-07	18.13	Austria Lustenau	3	1522	42.44%	@ Horn	0	1449	33.49%	24.07%
20	2012-09-21	18.08	SKN St. Polten	5	1455	46.12%	@ First Vienna	1	1356	30.03%	23.85%
21	2013-04-19	17.76	Kapfenberger	3	1492	43.34%	@ Horn	0	1413	32.63%	24.03%
22	2012-07-20	16.92	@ Grodig	3	1411	45.39%	Lustenau	0	1398	30.71%	23.90%
23	2013-05-24	16.50	@ Horn	4	1420	55.55%	Lustenau	0	1327	21.87%	22.59%
24	2012-08-03	16.18	@ SKN St. Polten	3	1456	47.14%	Kapfenberger	0	1430	29.09%	23.76%
25	2012-08-03	15.52	Horn	2	1434	31.75%	@ Grodig	0	1438	44.27%	23.98%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-03-01	73.6	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1600	53.64%	SCR Altach	2	1523	23.43%	22.93%
2	2013-05-17	69.8	@ Grodig	2	1573	61.03%	SKN St. Polten	2	1430	17.65%	21.32%
3	2013-03-15	68.7	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1543	57.00%	SKN St. Polten	2	1437	20.71%	22.29%
4	2013-04-08	68.7	@ Kapfenberger	2	1485	40.10%	SCR Altach	2	1511	35.76%	24.14%
5	2012-08-10	68.5	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1540	56.91%	Grodig	2	1435	20.78%	22.31%
6	2012-07-27	68.4	@ Kapfenberger	3	1430	43.23%	Horn	3	1433	32.73%	24.03%
7	2012-08-17	66.5	@ Kapfenberger	3	1414	49.33%	First Vienna	3	1371	27.13%	23.54%
8	2013-05-21	66.0	@ Kapfenberger	1	1513	35.40%	Grodig	1	1572	40.47%	24.13%
9	2012-11-09	65.2	SKN St. Polten	4	1484	33.01%	@ Grodig	3	1479	42.94%	24.05%
10	2012-11-30	64.9	@ SKN St. Polten	2	1500	60.50%	First Vienna	2	1363	18.04%	21.46%
11	2012-11-16	64.3	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	2	1371	27.51%	SKN St. Polten	2	1491	48.91%	23.59%
12	2012-08-06	63.8	@ Kapfenberger	2	1414	40.48%	Blau-Weiss Linz	2	1437	35.39%	24.13%
13	2013-04-12	63.4	@ First Vienna	2	1402	38.93%	SKN St. Polten	2	1436	36.91%	24.16%
14	2013-04-19	63.1	@ SKN St. Polten	2	1436	51.19%	Lustenau	2	1379	25.50%	23.30%
15	2012-07-20	63.0	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	2	1447	55.31%	Hartberg	2	1356	22.05%	22.63%
16	2012-11-23	62.6	@ Horn	2	1382	38.17%	Lustenau	2	1421	37.66%	24.16%
17	2012-08-31	62.4	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1562	63.47%	Lustenau	1	1395	15.92%	20.61%
18	2013-03-12	62.2	Grodig	2	1488	24.79%	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1552	52.02%	23.19%
19	2012-11-02	62.0	@ SKN St. Polten	2	1476	28.55%	Austria Lustenau	1	1588	47.75%	23.71%
20	2012-07-20	61.8	SCR Altach	4	1517	43.26%	@ Horn	3	1439	32.71%	24.03%
21	2013-04-26	61.4	@ Kapfenberger	1	1514	53.81%	SKN St. Polten	1	1435	23.28%	22.90%
22	2013-04-30	61.4	@ SKN St. Polten	1	1436	31.86%	SCR Altach	1	1521	44.15%	23.98%
23	2013-04-26	61.2	@ Horn	1	1391	23.15%	Grodig	1	1552	53.97%	22.88%
24	2012-10-19	61.1	@ SKN St. Polten	3	1477	39.54%	SCR Altach	2	1507	36.31%	24.15%
25	2013-04-15	60.4	@ Hartberg	2	1322	39.98%	Blau-Weiss Linz	2	1348	35.87%	24.14%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-03-15	33.0	@ Grodig	3	1497	63.06%	Hartberg	0	1334	16.21%	20.74%
2	2013-05-24	33.0	@ Horn	4	1420	55.55%	Lustenau	0	1327	21.87%	22.59%
3	2013-05-24	34.0	@ Grodig	5	1571	68.87%	Blau-Weiss Linz	0	1348	12.40%	18.72%
4	2012-11-09	34.4	@ SCR Altach	3	1505	61.34%	First Vienna	0	1359	17.43%	21.23%
5	2013-04-05	34.5	@ SCR Altach	2	1505	64.59%	Hartberg	0	1327	15.15%	20.26%
6	2012-11-23	35.4	@ Grodig	3	1457	54.62%	Blau-Weiss Linz	0	1371	22.62%	22.76%
7	2012-11-23	35.4	@ Austria Lustenau	3	1587	68.30%	First Vienna	0	1370	12.76%	18.94%
8	2013-05-17	35.6	@ Kapfenberger	2	1506	62.81%	Lustenau	0	1346	16.38%	20.81%
9	2013-03-15	36.1	@ Kapfenberger	3	1451	52.76%	First Vienna	0	1381	24.17%	23.07%
10	2012-10-19	36.4	@ Grodig	2	1490	59.82%	First Vienna	0	1359	18.54%	21.63%
11	2013-03-15	36.4	@ Horn	2	1425	53.71%	Blau-Weiss Linz	0	1347	23.37%	22.92%
12	2012-08-17	36.7	@ SCR Altach	3	1494	56.33%	Lustenau	0	1394	21.24%	22.43%
13	2013-04-09	37.4	Grodig	3	1503	51.38%	@ Blau-Weiss Linz	0	1362	25.34%	23.28%
14	2012-10-05	37.5	@ Lustenau	4	1387	42.65%	Blau-Weiss Linz	0	1394	33.29%	24.06%
15	2013-04-30	37.6	@ Grodig	3	1551	61.15%	First Vienna	0	1407	17.57%	21.29%
16	2012-07-20	37.8	@ Grodig	3	1411	45.39%	Lustenau	0	1398	30.71%	23.90%
17	2012-10-05	38.1	@ First Vienna	2	1347	43.83%	Hartberg	0	1346	32.17%	24.00%
18	2013-05-10	38.1	Grodig	2	1566	60.62%	@ Hartberg	0	1345	17.95%	21.43%
19	2012-09-14	38.2	Austria Lustenau	5	1560	56.74%	@ First Vienna	0	1375	20.91%	22.35%
20	2013-05-24	38.7	@ SKN St. Polten	1	1423	55.57%	Hartberg	0	1330	21.85%	22.58%
21	2013-05-06	38.9	Horn	3	1416	39.37%	@ Hartberg	0	1365	36.48%	24.15%
22	2013-05-17	38.9	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1457	57.88%	Blau-Weiss Linz	0	1343	20.02%	22.10%
23	2012-08-03	39.3	@ SKN St. Polten	3	1456	47.14%	Kapfenberger	0	1430	29.09%	23.76%
24	2012-11-30	39.3	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1595	66.32%	Kapfenberger	0	1399	14.01%	19.67%
25	2012-11-16	39.4	@ First Vienna	3	1349	36.09%	Horn	0	1403	39.76%	24.15%