Home / Leagues / Austria / First League / 2011-12

2011-12 First League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

WAC St. Andra

9.69 points above expected

68 points · 58.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hartberg

5.46 points below expected

27 points · 32.46 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 WAC St. Andra 36 19 11 6 68 71 49 +22 58.31 +9.69
2 SCR Altach 36 18 8 10 62 62 39 +23 66.26 -4.26
3 LASK Linz 36 16 13 7 61 55 40 +15 52.18 +8.82
4 Austria Lustenau 36 16 10 10 58 59 47 +12 50.99 +7.01
5 SKN St. Polten 36 14 9 13 51 45 45 0 45.85 +5.15
6 Blau-Weiss Linz 36 13 10 13 49 49 52 -3 52.83 -3.83
7 Grodig 36 11 9 16 42 46 52 -6 43.24 -1.24
8 First Vienna 36 9 10 17 37 44 56 -12 38.49 -1.49
9 Lustenau 36 9 10 17 37 51 66 -15 39.57 -2.57
10 Hartberg 36 7 6 23 27 38 74 -36 32.46 -5.46

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 WAC St. Andra 68 58.31 +9.69
2 LASK Linz 61 52.18 +8.82
3 Austria Lustenau 58 50.99 +7.01
4 SKN St. Polten 51 45.85 +5.15
5 Grodig 42 43.24 -1.24

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hartberg 27 32.46 -5.46
2 SCR Altach 62 66.26 -4.26
3 Blau-Weiss Linz 49 52.83 -3.83
4 Lustenau 37 39.57 -2.57
5 First Vienna 37 38.49 -1.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 WAC St. Andra 5 Jul 12 – Jul 29 1 in 372
2 Austria Lustenau 4 Mar 9 – Mar 26 1 in 113
3 Grodig 4 Nov 29 – Mar 16 1 in 67
4 LASK Linz 4 Apr 20 – May 7 1 in 54
5 SCR Altach 4 Aug 26 – Sep 23 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hartberg 6 Jul 12 – Aug 2 1 in 191
2 First Vienna 5 Oct 28 – Nov 29 1 in 127
3 Lustenau 4 Jul 15 – Jul 29 1 in 59
4 Blau-Weiss Linz 3 Jul 22 – Aug 2 1 in 57
5 SCR Altach 3 Apr 17 – Apr 27 1 in 45

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Lustenau 10 Nov 29 – Apr 17 1 in 50
2 WAC St. Andra 11 Aug 19 – Nov 4 1 in 24
3 Lustenau 5 Apr 20 – May 11 1 in 20
4 LASK Linz 8 Oct 29 – Mar 16 1 in 17
5 First Vienna 4 Mar 23 – Apr 3 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Lustenau 8 Aug 1 – Sep 23 1 in 27
2 First Vienna 10 Oct 28 – Mar 27 1 in 15
3 Hartberg 12 Mar 2 – May 4 1 in 12
4 Blau-Weiss Linz 5 Jul 15 – Aug 2 1 in 12
5 SCR Altach 3 Nov 29 – Mar 9 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
WAC St. Andra 1573 68 -8 10 8.2 +1.8
SCR Altach 1605 62 +13 10 8.3 +1.7
LASK Linz 1542 61 +7 10 8.3 +1.7
Austria Lustenau 1540 58 -29 4 8.5 -4.5
SKN St. Polten 1485 51 +21 9 6.8 +2.2
Blau-Weiss Linz 1490 49 -13 5 6.8 -1.8
Grodig 1431 42 -18 3 5.9 -2.9
Lustenau 1410 37 -19 6 5.6 +0.4
First Vienna 1436 37 +5 5 5.2 -0.2
Hartberg 1340 27 +41 6 3.3 +2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL BL FV GRO HAR LL LUS SA SSP WSA
Austria Lustenau
2-0-2
4.97
1-1-2
6.71
3-1-0
5.98
4-0-0
7.09
2-1-1
5.09
2-0-2
6.80
1-2-1
3.88
0-2-2
6.12
1-3-0
4.47
Blau-Weiss Linz
2-0-2
5.59
1-2-1
6.78
3-1-0
5.89
2-2-0
7.41
1-3-0
5.43
0-1-3
7.04
2-0-2
3.76
1-0-3
6.08
1-1-2
4.71
First Vienna
2-1-1
3.94
1-2-1
3.86
0-2-2
4.68
1-1-2
6.00
0-0-4
4.00
1-0-3
5.25
1-1-2
2.87
3-1-0
4.29
0-2-2
3.47
Grodig
0-1-3
4.61
0-1-3
4.67
2-2-0
5.92
3-0-1
6.20
0-2-2
4.36
3-1-0
5.76
2-0-2
3.02
1-1-2
4.93
0-1-3
3.81
Hartberg
0-0-4
3.66
0-2-2
3.33
2-1-1
4.58
1-0-3
4.44
0-1-3
3.15
2-1-1
4.36
0-0-4
2.63
0-1-3
3.88
2-0-2
2.74
LASK Linz
1-1-2
5.51
0-3-1
5.18
4-0-0
6.68
2-2-0
6.29
3-1-0
7.64
1-3-0
6.54
2-0-2
3.79
2-2-0
5.95
1-1-2
4.78
Lustenau
2-0-2
3.86
3-1-0
3.65
3-0-1
5.30
0-1-3
4.81
1-1-2
6.30
0-3-1
4.14
0-3-1
2.84
0-1-3
4.58
0-0-4
3.65
SCR Altach
1-2-1
6.83
2-0-2
6.92
2-1-1
8.02
2-0-2
7.80
4-0-0
8.36
2-0-2
6.87
1-3-0
8.07
4-0-0
7.29
0-2-2
6.13
SKN St. Polten
2-2-0
4.47
3-0-1
4.52
0-1-3
6.31
2-1-1
5.63
3-1-0
6.78
0-2-2
4.61
3-1-0
5.99
0-0-4
3.44
1-1-2
4.30
WAC St. Andra
0-3-1
6.14
2-1-1
5.86
2-2-0
7.29
3-1-0
6.86
2-0-2
8.20
2-1-1
5.80
4-0-0
7.08
2-2-0
4.49
2-1-1
6.36

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.77 +11.8
Allowed 0.74 -10.3
Differential 0.96 +7.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.11%7.78%3.61%1.39%0.28%22.50%
16.11%15.00%7.50%3.33%1.67%0.28%33.89%
27.78%7.50%7.22%2.78%1.39%0.28%26.94%
33.61%3.33%2.78%1.11%0.28%11.11%
41.39%1.67%1.39%0.28%4.72%
5+0.28%0.28%0.28%0.83%
Total22.50%33.89%26.94%11.11%4.72%0.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.44 +0.00
SD 1.15 1.15 1.75
CV 0.80 0.80
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%2.78%11.11%
12.78%16.67%11.11%11.11%41.67%
28.33%13.89%2.78%25.00%
38.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%16.67%
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%36.11%19.44%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.31 +0.33
SD 1.07 1.19 1.85
CV 0.65 0.91
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%13.89%2.78%27.78%
15.56%16.67%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
25.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%25.00%
32.78%8.33%11.11%
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+
Total16.67%44.44%27.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.44 -0.08
SD 1.17 1.21 1.81
CV 0.86 0.83
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%2.78%5.56%30.56%
12.78%8.33%11.11%2.78%5.56%30.56%
211.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%27.78%
32.78%5.56%8.33%
42.78%2.78%
5+
Total27.78%25.00%25.00%8.33%13.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.56 -0.33
SD 1.07 1.36 1.74
CV 0.88 0.88
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%5.56%8.33%27.78%
18.33%13.89%11.11%5.56%38.89%
22.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%16.67%
32.78%5.56%2.78%11.11%
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+
Total22.22%33.33%22.22%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.44 -0.17
SD 1.16 1.08 1.66
CV 0.91 0.75
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%11.11%8.33%44.44%
113.89%5.56%2.78%22.22%
25.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%8.33%22.22%
32.78%2.78%5.56%
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+
Total8.33%30.56%25.00%19.44%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 2.06 -1.00
SD 1.19 1.24 1.85
CV 1.13 0.60
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%2.78%11.11%
15.56%30.56%5.56%41.67%
25.56%22.22%5.56%2.78%36.11%
32.78%2.78%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total19.44%55.56%19.44%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.11 +0.42
SD 0.97 0.78 1.46
CV 0.64 0.71
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%8.33%22.22%
15.56%16.67%8.33%5.56%2.78%38.89%
22.78%2.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%25.00%
32.78%2.78%2.78%8.33%
42.78%2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total11.11%30.56%33.33%16.67%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.83 -0.42
SD 1.27 1.18 1.90
CV 0.90 0.65
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%16.67%
111.11%11.11%8.33%2.78%33.33%
213.89%5.56%8.33%2.78%30.56%
32.78%2.78%
42.78%5.56%5.56%13.89%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total33.33%33.33%27.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.08 +0.64
SD 1.34 1.00 1.74
CV 0.78 0.92
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%13.89%2.78%27.78%
18.33%13.89%5.56%5.56%33.33%
28.33%8.33%8.33%25.00%
35.56%2.78%5.56%13.89%
4
5+
Total25.00%33.33%33.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.25 +0.00
SD 1.02 0.94 1.55
CV 0.82 0.75
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%5.56%
111.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%27.78%
213.89%5.56%13.89%2.78%36.11%
35.56%2.78%11.11%5.56%2.78%27.78%
4
5+2.78%2.78%
Total33.33%16.67%36.11%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.36 +0.61
SD 1.03 1.20 1.36
CV 0.52 0.88
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
SCR Altach 1605 62 66.26 -4.26 28.7% 34 54 62 66 71 78 89
WAC St. Andra 1573 68 58.31 +9.69 92.3% 37 47 53 58 63 70 88
LASK Linz 1542 61 52.18 +8.82 91.3% 32 41 47 52 57 63 71
Austria Lustenau 1540 58 50.99 +7.01 85.9% 28 39 46 51 56 63 73
Blau-Weiss Linz 1490 49 52.83 -3.83 32.6% 32 41 48 53 58 64 76
SKN St. Polten 1485 51 45.85 +5.15 77.5% 22 34 41 46 51 58 69
First Vienna 1436 37 38.49 -1.49 46.0% 10 28 34 38 43 50 62
Grodig 1431 42 43.24 -1.24 46.0% 23 32 38 43 48 54 65
Lustenau 1410 37 39.57 -2.57 39.2% 21 29 35 39 44 51 62
Hartberg 1340 27 32.46 -5.46 21.7% 14 22 28 32 37 43 59

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.11%
Slight Edge
42.22%26.67%31.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 38.76 Elo pts.
268 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.17 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
18%
WAC St. Andra, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.57 * Some Luck: 5.57 to 8.36 * Lucky: 8.36 to 11.14 * Wild Swing: 11.14 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.55 * Off: 1.55 to 2.06 * Way Off: 2.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.54 points
As Expected
06.9717
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.293
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
92.30%
WAC St. Andra
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
21.70%
Hartberg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.47
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Strong Edge
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.66
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.20
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.75
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
WAC St. Andra17.80%35.50%18.40%13.20%8.40%4.30%1.80%0.60%
SCR Altach68.40%19.00%7.50%2.50%1.60%0.90%0.10%
LASK Linz4.20%14.20%21.20%18.80%18.00%11.20%7.00%3.80%1.00%0.60%
Austria Lustenau3.30%10.00%19.40%18.00%17.60%15.20%9.20%4.80%1.80%0.70%
SKN St. Polten0.90%3.90%8.40%11.30%15.40%17.40%18.10%12.70%8.50%3.40%
Blau-Weiss Linz4.90%15.30%19.60%21.60%15.10%11.40%7.00%3.50%1.30%0.30%
Grodig0.40%1.50%3.50%8.00%11.20%16.50%20.40%20.20%12.50%5.80%
First Vienna0.40%0.60%3.50%6.30%9.30%13.60%21.10%27.30%17.90%
Lustenau0.10%0.20%1.20%2.70%5.80%11.90%18.40%22.20%23.10%14.40%
Hartberg0.20%0.40%0.60%1.90%4.50%11.10%24.40%56.90%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
SCR Altach 68.40% 31.50% 0.10%
WAC St. Andra 17.80% 82.20%
Blau-Weiss Linz 4.90% 93.50% 1.30% 0.30%
LASK Linz 4.20% 94.20% 1.00% 0.60%
Austria Lustenau 3.30% 94.20% 1.80% 0.70%
SKN St. Polten 0.90% 87.20% 8.50% 3.40%
Grodig 0.40% 81.30% 12.50% 5.80%
Lustenau 0.10% 62.40% 23.10% 14.40%
First Vienna 54.80% 27.30% 17.90%
Hartberg 18.70% 24.40% 56.90%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-07-11 First Vienna D 1-162.9 1587 1432 60.95% 26.31% 12.74%+0.72 -2.4 1
2011-07-11 @ SCR Altach D 1-162.9 1432 1587 12.74% 26.31% 60.95%-0.72 +2.4 1
2011-07-12 Austria Lustenau L 1-257.0 1449 1480 36.68% 36.75% 26.57%+0.03 -8.4 0
2011-07-12 @ Grodig W 2-157.0 1480 1449 26.57% 36.75% 36.68%-0.03 +8.4 3
2011-07-12 Hartberg W 2-150.8 1545 1443 54.41% 30.28% 15.31%+0.52 +4.2 3
2011-07-12 @ Blau-Weiss Linz L 1-250.8 1443 1545 15.31% 30.28% 54.41%-0.52 -4.2 0
2011-07-12 LASK Linz D 1-156.3 1448 1478 36.86% 36.72% 26.42%+0.03 -0.5 1
2011-07-12 @ Lustenau D 1-156.3 1478 1448 26.42% 36.72% 36.86%-0.03 +0.5 1
2011-07-12 WAC St. Andra L 0-250.5 1494 1497 40.70% 35.97% 23.33%+0.13 -18.0 0
2011-07-12 @ SKN St. Polten W 2-050.5 1497 1494 23.33% 35.97% 40.70%-0.13 +18.0 3
2011-07-15 Blau-Weiss Linz W 1-053.2 1489 1549 32.61% 37.09% 30.30%-0.08 +7.8 6
2011-07-15 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-153.2 1549 1489 30.30% 37.09% 32.61%+0.08 -7.9 3
2011-07-15 Grodig W 1-044.6 1515 1440 51.00% 32.08% 16.92%+0.42 +4.9 6
2011-07-15 @ WAC St. Andra L 0-144.6 1440 1515 16.92% 32.08% 51.00%-0.42 -4.9 0
2011-07-15 Lustenau W 4-252.5 1435 1447 39.36% 36.28% 24.36%+0.10 +9.9 4
2011-07-15 @ First Vienna L 2-452.5 1447 1435 24.36% 36.28% 39.36%-0.10 -9.9 1
2011-07-15 SCR Altach L 0-444.4 1439 1585 22.16% 35.55% 42.29%-0.40 -22.5 0
2011-07-15 @ Hartberg W 4-044.4 1585 1439 42.29% 35.55% 22.16%+0.40 +22.5 4
2011-07-15 SKN St. Polten W 2-043.7 1479 1476 41.54% 35.76% 22.70%+0.16 +12.1 4
2011-07-15 @ LASK Linz L 0-243.7 1476 1479 22.70% 35.76% 41.54%-0.16 -12.1 0
2011-07-18 LASK Linz D 1-161.2 1541 1491 47.86% 33.54% 18.60%+0.33 -1.4 4
2011-07-18 @ Blau-Weiss Linz D 1-161.2 1491 1541 18.60% 33.54% 47.86%-0.33 +1.4 5
2011-07-19 Austria Lustenau D 1-164.9 1607 1496 55.59% 29.60% 14.81%+0.56 -2.0 5
2011-07-19 @ SCR Altach D 1-164.9 1496 1607 14.81% 29.60% 55.59%-0.56 +2.0 7
2011-07-19 Hartberg W 1-043.4 1445 1417 44.88% 34.71% 20.41%+0.25 +5.9 7
2011-07-19 @ First Vienna L 0-143.4 1417 1445 20.41% 34.71% 44.88%-0.25 -5.9 0
2011-07-19 SKN St. Polten D 2-261.9 1435 1464 37.16% 36.68% 26.16%+0.04 -0.4 1
2011-07-19 @ Grodig D 2-261.9 1464 1435 26.16% 36.68% 37.16%-0.04 +0.4 1
2011-07-19 WAC St. Andra L 2-552.8 1438 1520 29.55% 37.06% 33.39%-0.16 -15.5 1
2011-07-19 @ Lustenau W 5-252.8 1520 1438 33.39% 37.06% 29.55%+0.16 +15.5 9
2011-07-22 Blau-Weiss Linz W 3-263.9 1535 1540 40.45% 36.03% 23.52%+0.13 +5.9 12
2011-07-22 @ WAC St. Andra L 2-363.9 1540 1535 23.52% 36.03% 40.45%-0.13 -5.9 4
2011-07-22 First Vienna W 2-151.4 1498 1450 47.56% 33.67% 18.77%+0.32 +5.1 10
2011-07-22 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-251.4 1450 1498 18.77% 33.67% 47.56%-0.32 -5.1 7
2011-07-22 Grodig L 2-455.6 1411 1435 37.79% 36.58% 25.64%+0.06 -13.2 0
2011-07-22 @ Hartberg W 4-255.6 1435 1411 25.64% 36.58% 37.79%-0.06 +13.2 4
2011-07-22 Lustenau W 3-037.9 1464 1422 46.76% 34.00% 19.24%+0.30 +15.3 4
2011-07-22 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-337.9 1422 1464 19.24% 34.00% 46.76%-0.30 -15.2 1
2011-07-22 SCR Altach L 0-250.0 1492 1605 25.62% 36.58% 37.80%-0.28 -13.2 5
2011-07-22 @ LASK Linz W 2-050.0 1605 1492 37.80% 36.58% 25.62%+0.28 +13.2 8
2011-07-29 Austria Lustenau L 2-358.7 1398 1504 26.48% 36.73% 36.79%-0.25 -6.4 0
2011-07-29 @ Hartberg W 3-258.7 1504 1398 36.79% 36.73% 26.48%+0.25 +6.4 13
2011-07-29 Grodig L 1-351.0 1407 1448 35.33% 36.91% 27.76%-0.01 -14.1 1
2011-07-29 @ Lustenau W 3-151.0 1448 1407 27.76% 36.91% 35.33%+0.01 +14.2 7
2011-07-29 LASK Linz L 0-150.8 1445 1479 36.41% 36.79% 26.81%+0.02 -8.8 7
2011-07-29 @ First Vienna W 1-050.8 1479 1445 26.81% 36.79% 36.41%-0.02 +8.8 8
2011-07-29 SKN St. Polten L 1-262.6 1534 1479 48.44% 33.29% 18.27%+0.35 -10.2 4
2011-07-29 @ Blau-Weiss Linz W 2-162.6 1479 1534 18.27% 33.29% 48.44%-0.35 +10.2 7
2011-07-29 WAC St. Andra L 1-267.9 1619 1541 51.42% 31.88% 16.71%+0.43 -10.6 8
2011-07-29 @ SCR Altach W 2-167.9 1541 1619 16.71% 31.88% 51.42%-0.43 +10.6 15
2011-08-01 Austria Lustenau D 3-372.8 1551 1510 46.70% 34.02% 19.28%+0.30 -0.8 16
2011-08-01 @ WAC St. Andra D 3-372.8 1510 1551 19.28% 34.02% 46.70%-0.30 +0.8 14
2011-08-02 Blau-Weiss Linz W 1-051.5 1393 1524 23.62% 36.07% 40.31%-0.34 +9.5 4
2011-08-02 @ Lustenau L 0-151.5 1524 1393 40.31% 36.07% 23.62%+0.34 -9.5 4
2011-08-02 First Vienna W 4-039.1 1462 1436 44.61% 34.81% 20.58%+0.24 +21.2 10
2011-08-02 @ Grodig L 0-439.1 1436 1462 20.58% 34.81% 44.61%-0.24 -21.2 7
2011-08-02 Hartberg W 4-035.8 1488 1391 53.81% 30.61% 15.58%+0.50 +16.1 11
2011-08-02 @ LASK Linz L 0-435.8 1391 1488 15.58% 30.61% 53.81%-0.50 -16.0 0
2011-08-02 SCR Altach L 1-259.5 1489 1608 24.99% 36.44% 38.58%-0.30 -6.5 7
2011-08-02 @ SKN St. Polten W 2-159.5 1608 1489 38.58% 36.44% 24.99%+0.30 +6.5 11
2011-08-12 Grodig W 3-042.3 1514 1483 45.29% 34.56% 20.15%+0.26 +15.9 7
2011-08-12 @ Blau-Weiss Linz L 0-342.3 1483 1514 20.15% 34.56% 45.29%-0.26 -15.9 10
2011-08-12 LASK Linz D 1-159.9 1511 1504 42.05% 35.61% 22.33%+0.17 -0.9 15
2011-08-12 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-159.9 1504 1511 22.33% 35.61% 42.05%-0.17 +0.9 12
2011-08-12 Lustenau W 4-142.0 1614 1402 67.59% 21.89% 10.52%+0.94 +6.2 14
2011-08-12 @ SCR Altach L 1-442.0 1402 1614 10.52% 21.89% 67.59%-0.94 -6.2 4
2011-08-12 SKN St. Polten W 3-151.1 1415 1483 31.58% 37.11% 31.31%-0.11 +13.1 10
2011-08-12 @ First Vienna L 1-351.1 1483 1415 31.31% 37.11% 31.58%+0.11 -13.1 7
2011-08-12 WAC St. Andra W 4-367.4 1375 1551 19.51% 34.17% 46.31%-0.51 +9.1 3
2011-08-12 @ Hartberg L 3-467.4 1551 1375 46.31% 34.17% 19.51%+0.51 -9.1 16
2011-08-19 Austria Lustenau W 3-153.2 1396 1510 25.52% 36.56% 37.92%-0.28 +14.8 7
2011-08-19 @ Lustenau L 1-353.2 1510 1396 37.92% 36.56% 25.52%+0.28 -14.8 15
2011-08-19 First Vienna D 2-266.5 1542 1428 55.88% 29.44% 14.69%+0.57 -1.5 17
2011-08-19 @ WAC St. Andra D 2-266.5 1428 1542 14.69% 29.44% 55.88%-0.57 +1.5 11
2011-08-19 Hartberg W 1-040.9 1470 1384 52.40% 31.37% 16.23%+0.46 +4.7 10
2011-08-19 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-140.9 1384 1470 16.23% 31.37% 52.40%-0.46 -4.7 3
2011-08-19 LASK Linz L 0-346.8 1468 1505 35.90% 36.85% 27.25%+0.01 -24.0 10
2011-08-19 @ Grodig W 3-046.8 1505 1468 27.25% 36.85% 35.90%-0.01 +24.0 15
2011-08-19 SCR Altach W 2-054.4 1530 1621 28.42% 36.98% 34.60%-0.19 +16.1 10
2011-08-19 @ Blau-Weiss Linz L 0-254.4 1621 1530 34.60% 36.98% 28.42%+0.19 -16.1 14
2011-08-22 WAC St. Andra L 2-368.5 1529 1540 39.55% 36.24% 24.21%+0.10 -8.4 15
2011-08-22 @ LASK Linz W 3-268.5 1540 1529 24.21% 36.24% 39.55%-0.10 +8.4 20
2011-08-23 Blau-Weiss Linz D 0-053.6 1430 1546 25.24% 36.50% 38.26%-0.29 +0.6 12
2011-08-23 @ First Vienna D 0-053.6 1546 1430 38.26% 36.50% 25.24%+0.29 -0.6 11
2011-08-23 Grodig L 1-265.6 1604 1444 61.68% 25.84% 12.48%+0.75 -12.0 14
2011-08-23 @ SCR Altach W 2-165.6 1444 1604 12.48% 25.84% 61.68%-0.75 +12.0 13
2011-08-23 Lustenau W 2-040.2 1380 1411 36.77% 36.74% 26.50%+0.03 +13.5 6
2011-08-23 @ Hartberg L 0-240.2 1411 1380 26.50% 36.74% 36.77%-0.03 -13.5 7
2011-08-23 SKN St. Polten D 1-158.4 1495 1474 43.92% 35.04% 21.04%+0.22 -1.0 16
2011-08-23 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-158.4 1474 1495 21.04% 35.04% 43.92%-0.22 +1.0 11
2011-08-26 Blau-Weiss Linz D 1-157.2 1393 1546 21.51% 35.26% 43.23%-0.42 +1.0 7
2011-08-26 @ Hartberg D 1-157.2 1546 1393 43.23% 35.26% 21.51%+0.42 -1.0 12
2011-08-26 Grodig D 0-053.4 1494 1456 46.31% 34.17% 19.51%+0.29 -1.4 17
2011-08-26 @ Austria Lustenau D 0-053.4 1456 1494 19.51% 34.17% 46.31%-0.29 +1.4 14
2011-08-26 Lustenau W 2-147.4 1520 1397 57.12% 28.70% 14.18%+0.60 +3.8 18
2011-08-26 @ LASK Linz L 1-247.4 1397 1520 14.18% 28.70% 57.12%-0.60 -3.8 7
2011-08-26 SCR Altach L 0-149.1 1431 1593 20.64% 34.84% 44.52%-0.46 -5.9 12
2011-08-26 @ First Vienna W 1-049.1 1593 1431 44.52% 34.84% 20.64%+0.46 +5.9 17
2011-08-26 SKN St. Polten D 1-161.3 1548 1476 50.80% 32.18% 17.02%+0.42 -1.6 21
2011-08-26 @ WAC St. Andra D 1-161.3 1476 1548 17.02% 32.18% 50.80%-0.42 +1.6 12
2011-09-09 Austria Lustenau W 2-154.5 1545 1493 48.09% 33.44% 18.47%+0.34 +5.1 15
2011-09-09 @ Blau-Weiss Linz L 1-254.5 1493 1545 18.47% 33.44% 48.09%-0.34 -5.1 17
2011-09-09 First Vienna W 4-144.7 1394 1425 36.77% 36.74% 26.49%+0.03 +16.6 10
2011-09-09 @ Lustenau L 1-444.7 1425 1394 26.49% 36.74% 36.77%-0.03 -16.6 12
2011-09-09 Hartberg W 4-248.2 1598 1394 66.68% 22.51% 10.81%+0.91 +4.0 20
2011-09-09 @ SCR Altach L 2-448.2 1394 1598 10.81% 22.51% 66.68%-0.91 -4.0 7
2011-09-09 LASK Linz D 2-265.4 1477 1524 34.50% 36.99% 28.51%-0.03 -0.2 13
2011-09-09 @ SKN St. Polten D 2-265.4 1524 1477 28.51% 36.99% 34.50%+0.03 +0.2 19
2011-09-09 WAC St. Andra D 3-369.8 1457 1547 28.49% 36.99% 34.53%-0.19 +0.2 15
2011-09-09 @ Grodig D 3-369.8 1547 1457 34.53% 36.99% 28.49%+0.19 -0.2 22
2011-09-16 Blau-Weiss Linz D 1-161.8 1524 1550 37.59% 36.61% 25.80%+0.05 -0.5 20
2011-09-16 @ LASK Linz D 1-161.8 1550 1524 25.80% 36.61% 37.59%-0.05 +0.5 16
2011-09-16 First Vienna W 2-039.8 1390 1408 38.63% 36.43% 24.94%+0.08 +13.0 10
2011-09-16 @ Hartberg L 0-239.8 1408 1390 24.94% 36.43% 38.63%-0.08 -13.0 12
2011-09-16 Grodig W 2-042.2 1477 1457 43.82% 35.08% 21.11%+0.22 +11.4 16
2011-09-16 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-242.2 1457 1477 21.11% 35.08% 43.82%-0.22 -11.4 15
2011-09-16 Lustenau W 2-038.6 1547 1410 58.76% 27.70% 13.54%+0.65 +7.1 25
2011-09-16 @ WAC St. Andra L 0-238.6 1410 1547 13.54% 27.70% 58.76%-0.65 -7.1 10
2011-09-16 SCR Altach L 0-549.0 1488 1602 25.41% 36.53% 38.06%-0.28 -30.8 17
2011-09-16 @ Austria Lustenau W 5-049.0 1602 1488 38.06% 36.53% 25.41%+0.28 +30.8 23
2011-09-23 Austria Lustenau W 2-043.1 1395 1457 32.40% 37.10% 30.50%-0.09 +14.9 15
2011-09-23 @ First Vienna L 0-243.1 1457 1395 30.50% 37.10% 32.40%+0.09 -14.9 17
2011-09-23 Hartberg L 2-362.4 1446 1403 46.84% 33.96% 19.19%+0.30 -9.4 15
2011-09-23 @ Grodig W 3-262.4 1403 1446 19.19% 33.96% 46.84%-0.30 +9.4 13
2011-09-23 LASK Linz W 2-046.5 1633 1524 55.41% 29.71% 14.88%+0.55 +8.0 26
2011-09-23 @ SCR Altach L 0-246.5 1524 1633 14.88% 29.71% 55.41%-0.55 -8.0 20
2011-09-23 SKN St. Polten L 1-253.5 1403 1488 29.09% 37.03% 33.87%-0.17 -7.2 10
2011-09-23 @ Lustenau W 2-153.5 1488 1403 33.87% 37.03% 29.09%+0.17 +7.2 19
2011-09-23 WAC St. Andra D 2-269.4 1550 1554 40.62% 35.99% 23.39%+0.13 -0.6 17
2011-09-23 @ Blau-Weiss Linz D 2-269.4 1554 1550 23.39% 35.99% 40.62%-0.13 +0.6 26
2011-09-30 Blau-Weiss Linz L 0-154.5 1496 1550 33.50% 37.06% 29.44%-0.06 -8.4 19
2011-09-30 @ SKN St. Polten W 1-054.5 1550 1496 29.44% 37.06% 33.50%+0.06 +8.4 20
2011-09-30 First Vienna W 4-036.9 1516 1410 54.98% 29.95% 15.06%+0.54 +15.4 23
2011-09-30 @ LASK Linz L 0-436.9 1410 1516 15.06% 29.95% 54.98%-0.54 -15.4 15
2011-09-30 Hartberg W 4-037.6 1442 1413 45.10% 34.63% 20.27%+0.25 +20.9 20
2011-09-30 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-437.6 1413 1442 20.27% 34.63% 45.10%-0.25 -20.9 13
2011-09-30 Lustenau W 1-042.1 1436 1396 46.58% 34.07% 19.35%+0.30 +5.6 18
2011-09-30 @ Grodig L 0-142.1 1396 1436 19.35% 34.07% 46.58%-0.30 -5.6 10
2011-09-30 SCR Altach D 2-271.6 1554 1641 28.89% 37.02% 34.09%-0.18 +0.2 27
2011-09-30 @ WAC St. Andra D 2-271.6 1641 1554 34.09% 37.02% 28.89%+0.18 -0.2 27
2011-10-14 Grodig D 1-153.5 1395 1442 34.47% 36.99% 28.54%-0.03 -0.2 16
2011-10-14 @ First Vienna D 1-153.5 1442 1395 28.54% 36.99% 34.47%+0.03 +0.2 19
2011-10-14 LASK Linz L 0-242.6 1392 1531 22.74% 35.77% 41.49%-0.38 -12.1 13
2011-10-14 @ Hartberg W 2-042.6 1531 1392 41.49% 35.77% 22.74%+0.38 +12.1 26
2011-10-14 Lustenau L 1-654.3 1558 1390 62.50% 25.31% 12.20%+0.77 -46.7 20
2011-10-14 @ Blau-Weiss Linz W 6-154.3 1390 1558 12.20% 25.31% 62.50%-0.77 +46.7 13
2011-10-14 SKN St. Polten W 1-047.8 1641 1487 60.85% 26.38% 12.77%+0.72 +3.5 30
2011-10-14 @ SCR Altach L 0-147.8 1487 1641 12.77% 26.38% 60.85%-0.72 -3.5 19
2011-10-14 WAC St. Andra D 1-159.6 1463 1555 28.26% 36.96% 34.77%-0.20 +0.3 21
2011-10-14 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-159.6 1555 1463 34.77% 36.96% 28.26%+0.20 -0.3 28
2011-10-21 Austria Lustenau L 0-351.2 1543 1463 51.75% 31.71% 16.55%+0.44 -30.9 26
2011-10-21 @ LASK Linz W 3-051.2 1463 1543 16.55% 31.71% 51.75%-0.44 +30.9 24
2011-10-21 Blau-Weiss Linz L 1-353.1 1442 1511 31.34% 37.11% 31.55%-0.11 -13.1 19
2011-10-21 @ Grodig W 3-153.1 1511 1442 31.55% 37.11% 31.34%+0.11 +13.1 23
2011-10-21 First Vienna L 0-346.9 1484 1394 52.90% 31.10% 15.99%+0.48 -31.4 19
2011-10-21 @ SKN St. Polten W 3-046.9 1394 1484 15.99% 31.10% 52.90%-0.48 +31.4 19
2011-10-21 Hartberg W 3-034.5 1554 1380 63.29% 24.78% 11.92%+0.80 +8.7 31
2011-10-21 @ WAC St. Andra L 0-334.5 1380 1554 11.92% 24.78% 63.29%-0.80 -8.7 13
2011-10-21 SCR Altach D 2-269.8 1437 1645 17.15% 32.31% 50.54%-0.63 +1.2 14
2011-10-21 @ Lustenau D 2-269.8 1645 1437 50.54% 32.31% 17.15%+0.63 -1.2 31
2011-10-28 Blau-Weiss Linz W 2-046.4 1643 1524 56.61% 29.01% 14.38%+0.59 +7.7 34
2011-10-28 @ SCR Altach L 0-246.4 1524 1643 14.38% 29.01% 56.61%-0.59 -7.7 23
2011-10-28 Lustenau W 2-040.7 1494 1438 48.61% 33.21% 18.18%+0.35 +10.0 27
2011-10-28 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-240.7 1438 1494 18.18% 33.21% 48.61%-0.35 -10.0 14
2011-10-28 SKN St. Polten D 1-153.1 1371 1452 29.63% 37.07% 33.31%-0.16 +0.2 14
2011-10-28 @ Hartberg D 1-153.1 1452 1371 33.31% 37.07% 29.63%+0.16 -0.2 20
2011-10-28 WAC St. Andra L 2-360.5 1426 1563 22.97% 35.85% 41.17%-0.37 -5.8 19
2011-10-28 @ First Vienna W 3-260.5 1563 1426 41.17% 35.85% 22.97%+0.37 +5.8 34
2011-10-29 Grodig W 2-149.8 1512 1429 52.16% 31.50% 16.35%+0.46 +4.5 29
2011-10-29 @ LASK Linz L 1-249.8 1429 1512 16.35% 31.50% 52.16%-0.46 -4.5 19
2011-11-04 Austria Lustenau W 2-155.8 1452 1504 33.82% 37.04% 29.14%-0.05 +7.2 23
2011-11-04 @ SKN St. Polten L 1-255.8 1504 1452 29.14% 37.04% 33.82%+0.05 -7.2 27
2011-11-04 First Vienna W 4-143.2 1517 1420 53.84% 30.59% 15.57%+0.51 +10.3 26
2011-11-04 @ Blau-Weiss Linz L 1-443.2 1420 1517 15.57% 30.59% 53.84%-0.51 -10.3 19
2011-11-04 Hartberg D 2-260.2 1428 1371 48.75% 33.15% 18.10%+0.36 -1.1 15
2011-11-04 @ Lustenau D 2-260.2 1371 1428 18.10% 33.15% 48.75%-0.36 +1.1 15
2011-11-04 LASK Linz D 1-163.1 1569 1517 48.06% 33.45% 18.48%+0.34 -1.4 35
2011-11-04 @ WAC St. Andra D 1-163.1 1517 1569 18.48% 33.45% 48.06%-0.34 +1.4 30
2011-11-04 SCR Altach W 2-165.5 1425 1651 15.98% 31.08% 52.94%-0.70 +10.8 22
2011-11-04 @ Grodig L 1-265.5 1651 1425 52.94% 31.08% 15.98%+0.70 -10.8 34
2011-11-18 Austria Lustenau L 1-255.9 1435 1497 32.45% 37.10% 30.45%-0.08 -7.7 22
2011-11-18 @ Grodig W 2-155.9 1497 1435 30.45% 37.10% 32.45%+0.08 +7.7 30
2011-11-18 First Vienna W 4-249.4 1640 1410 69.61% 20.51% 9.88%+1.01 +3.6 37
2011-11-18 @ SCR Altach L 2-449.4 1410 1640 9.88% 20.51% 69.61%-1.01 -3.6 19
2011-11-18 Hartberg D 1-158.6 1527 1372 60.97% 26.30% 12.73%+0.72 -2.3 27
2011-11-18 @ Blau-Weiss Linz D 1-158.6 1372 1527 12.73% 26.30% 60.97%-0.72 +2.4 16
2011-11-18 LASK Linz D 1-157.0 1427 1518 28.31% 36.97% 34.72%-0.20 +0.3 16
2011-11-18 @ Lustenau D 1-157.0 1518 1427 34.72% 36.97% 28.31%+0.20 -0.3 31
2011-11-18 WAC St. Andra W 3-266.4 1459 1567 26.22% 36.69% 37.09%-0.26 +8.0 26
2011-11-18 @ SKN St. Polten L 2-366.4 1567 1459 37.09% 36.69% 26.22%+0.26 -8.0 35
2011-11-25 Blau-Weiss Linz L 1-357.8 1505 1525 38.31% 36.49% 25.20%+0.07 -15.0 30
2011-11-25 @ Austria Lustenau W 3-157.8 1525 1505 25.20% 36.49% 38.31%-0.07 +14.9 30
2011-11-25 Grodig W 3-255.3 1559 1428 58.17% 28.06% 13.77%+0.64 +3.5 38
2011-11-25 @ WAC St. Andra L 2-355.3 1428 1559 13.77% 28.06% 58.17%-0.64 -3.5 22
2011-11-25 Lustenau L 2-360.1 1406 1427 38.15% 36.52% 25.34%+0.07 -8.2 19
2011-11-25 @ First Vienna W 3-260.1 1427 1406 25.34% 36.52% 38.15%-0.07 +8.2 19
2011-11-25 SCR Altach L 0-241.0 1374 1644 13.73% 28.00% 58.27%-0.86 -7.2 16
2011-11-25 @ Hartberg W 2-041.0 1644 1374 58.27% 28.00% 13.73%+0.86 +7.2 40
2011-11-25 SKN St. Polten W 2-152.6 1518 1467 47.92% 33.51% 18.56%+0.33 +5.1 34
2011-11-25 @ LASK Linz L 1-252.6 1467 1518 18.56% 33.51% 47.92%-0.33 -5.1 26
2011-11-28 LASK Linz D 2-268.2 1540 1523 43.36% 35.22% 21.42%+0.21 -0.7 31
2011-11-28 @ Blau-Weiss Linz D 2-268.2 1523 1540 21.42% 35.22% 43.36%-0.21 +0.7 35
2011-11-29 Austria Lustenau D 1-167.2 1651 1490 61.75% 25.80% 12.45%+0.75 -2.4 41
2011-11-29 @ SCR Altach D 1-167.2 1490 1651 12.45% 25.80% 61.75%-0.75 +2.4 31
2011-11-29 Hartberg L 1-254.4 1398 1367 45.26% 34.57% 20.17%+0.26 -9.7 19
2011-11-29 @ First Vienna W 2-154.4 1367 1398 20.17% 34.57% 45.26%-0.26 +9.7 19
2011-11-29 SKN St. Polten W 2-043.1 1424 1462 35.78% 36.86% 27.35%+0.00 +13.8 25
2011-11-29 @ Grodig L 0-243.1 1462 1424 27.35% 36.86% 35.78%+0.00 -13.8 26
2011-11-29 WAC St. Andra L 0-245.8 1435 1563 24.02% 36.19% 39.79%-0.33 -12.6 19
2011-11-29 @ Lustenau W 2-045.8 1563 1435 39.79% 36.19% 24.02%+0.33 +12.6 41
2012-03-02 Blau-Weiss Linz W 2-048.0 1575 1539 46.05% 34.28% 19.67%+0.28 +10.7 44
2012-03-02 @ WAC St. Andra L 0-248.0 1539 1575 19.67% 34.28% 46.05%-0.28 -10.7 31
2012-03-02 First Vienna D 0-052.2 1492 1388 54.72% 30.10% 15.18%+0.53 -2.1 32
2012-03-02 @ Austria Lustenau D 0-052.2 1388 1492 15.18% 30.10% 54.72%-0.53 +2.1 20
2012-03-02 Grodig L 0-146.5 1377 1438 32.49% 37.10% 30.41%-0.08 -8.2 19
2012-03-02 @ Hartberg W 1-046.5 1438 1377 30.41% 37.10% 32.49%+0.08 +8.2 28
2012-03-02 Lustenau W 3-255.4 1448 1423 44.58% 34.82% 20.60%+0.24 +5.3 29
2012-03-02 @ SKN St. Polten L 2-355.4 1423 1448 20.60% 34.82% 44.58%-0.24 -5.3 19
2012-03-02 SCR Altach W 3-271.7 1524 1649 24.30% 36.26% 39.44%-0.32 +8.3 38
2012-03-02 @ LASK Linz L 2-371.7 1649 1524 39.44% 36.26% 24.30%+0.32 -8.4 41
2012-03-09 Austria Lustenau L 0-241.3 1369 1490 24.70% 36.37% 38.94%-0.31 -12.9 19
2012-03-09 @ Hartberg W 2-041.3 1490 1369 38.94% 36.37% 24.70%+0.31 +12.9 35
2012-03-09 Grodig L 0-343.4 1418 1446 37.12% 36.69% 26.20%+0.04 -24.5 19
2012-03-09 @ Lustenau W 3-043.4 1446 1418 26.20% 36.69% 37.12%-0.04 +24.5 31
2012-03-09 LASK Linz L 1-252.2 1390 1532 22.51% 35.68% 41.81%-0.39 -6.0 20
2012-03-09 @ First Vienna W 2-152.2 1532 1390 41.81% 35.68% 22.51%+0.39 +6.0 41
2012-03-09 SKN St. Polten L 0-155.9 1528 1454 51.00% 32.08% 16.92%+0.42 -11.2 31
2012-03-09 @ Blau-Weiss Linz W 1-055.9 1454 1528 16.92% 32.08% 51.00%-0.42 +11.2 32
2012-03-09 WAC St. Andra D 0-062.4 1640 1586 48.38% 33.32% 18.31%+0.35 -1.6 42
2012-03-09 @ SCR Altach D 0-062.4 1586 1640 18.31% 33.32% 48.38%-0.35 +1.6 45
2012-03-16 Austria Lustenau L 1-266.0 1588 1503 52.35% 31.40% 16.26%+0.46 -10.7 45
2012-03-16 @ WAC St. Andra W 2-166.0 1503 1588 16.26% 31.40% 52.35%-0.46 +10.7 38
2012-03-16 Blau-Weiss Linz W 2-047.2 1393 1517 24.39% 36.29% 39.32%-0.32 +17.6 22
2012-03-16 @ Lustenau L 0-247.2 1517 1393 39.32% 36.29% 24.39%+0.32 -17.6 31
2012-03-16 First Vienna W 1-040.9 1471 1384 52.54% 31.30% 16.17%+0.47 +4.7 34
2012-03-16 @ Grodig L 0-140.9 1384 1471 16.17% 31.30% 52.54%-0.47 -4.7 20
2012-03-16 Hartberg D 1-159.0 1538 1356 64.20% 24.18% 11.62%+0.83 -2.6 42
2012-03-16 @ LASK Linz D 1-159.0 1356 1538 11.62% 24.18% 64.20%-0.83 +2.6 20
2012-03-16 SCR Altach L 1-354.1 1465 1639 19.63% 34.25% 46.11%-0.50 -9.3 32
2012-03-16 @ SKN St. Polten W 3-154.1 1639 1465 46.11% 34.25% 19.63%+0.50 +9.3 45
2012-03-23 Grodig D 1-158.7 1499 1475 44.38% 34.89% 20.74%+0.23 -1.1 32
2012-03-23 @ Blau-Weiss Linz D 1-158.7 1475 1499 20.74% 34.89% 44.38%-0.23 +1.1 35
2012-03-23 LASK Linz W 2-158.0 1513 1536 38.02% 36.54% 25.44%+0.06 +6.6 41
2012-03-23 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-258.0 1536 1513 25.44% 36.54% 38.02%-0.06 -6.6 42
2012-03-23 Lustenau D 1-166.2 1648 1411 70.32% 20.02% 9.66%+1.03 -2.9 46
2012-03-23 @ SCR Altach D 1-166.2 1411 1648 9.66% 20.02% 70.32%-1.03 +2.9 23
2012-03-23 SKN St. Polten D 0-048.9 1380 1456 30.37% 37.10% 32.54%-0.14 +0.1 21
2012-03-23 @ First Vienna D 0-048.9 1456 1380 32.54% 37.10% 30.37%+0.14 -0.1 33
2012-03-23 WAC St. Andra L 0-338.0 1358 1577 16.45% 31.61% 51.94%-0.67 -13.0 20
2012-03-23 @ Hartberg W 3-038.0 1577 1358 51.94% 31.61% 16.45%+0.67 +13.0 48
2012-03-26 Austria Lustenau L 1-350.7 1414 1520 26.40% 36.72% 36.88%-0.25 -11.7 23
2012-03-26 @ Lustenau W 3-150.7 1520 1414 36.88% 36.72% 26.40%+0.25 +11.7 44
2012-03-27 First Vienna D 2-268.8 1590 1380 67.37% 22.04% 10.59%+0.93 -2.1 49
2012-03-27 @ WAC St. Andra D 2-268.8 1380 1590 10.59% 22.04% 67.37%-0.93 +2.1 22
2012-03-27 Hartberg W 2-034.8 1456 1345 55.52% 29.65% 14.84%+0.56 +8.0 36
2012-03-27 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-234.8 1345 1456 14.84% 29.65% 55.52%-0.56 -8.0 20
2012-03-27 LASK Linz D 1-159.2 1476 1529 33.72% 37.04% 29.24%-0.05 -0.2 36
2012-03-27 @ Grodig D 1-159.2 1529 1476 29.24% 37.04% 33.72%+0.05 +0.2 43
2012-03-27 SCR Altach W 1-059.9 1498 1645 22.04% 35.50% 42.46%-0.40 +9.8 35
2012-03-27 @ Blau-Weiss Linz L 0-159.9 1645 1498 42.46% 35.50% 22.04%+0.40 -9.8 46
2012-03-30 Blau-Weiss Linz W 2-046.7 1382 1508 24.12% 36.21% 39.67%-0.33 +17.7 25
2012-03-30 @ First Vienna L 0-246.7 1508 1382 39.67% 36.21% 24.12%+0.33 -17.7 35
2012-03-30 Grodig W 2-043.3 1635 1476 61.45% 25.99% 12.56%+0.74 +6.5 49
2012-03-30 @ SCR Altach L 0-243.3 1476 1635 12.56% 25.99% 61.45%-0.74 -6.5 36
2012-03-30 Lustenau L 0-339.2 1337 1402 32.01% 37.11% 30.89%-0.10 -22.3 20
2012-03-30 @ Hartberg W 3-039.2 1402 1337 30.89% 37.11% 32.01%+0.10 +22.3 26
2012-03-30 SKN St. Polten D 1-160.1 1532 1464 50.20% 32.48% 17.33%+0.40 -1.5 45
2012-03-30 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-160.1 1464 1532 17.33% 32.48% 50.20%-0.40 +1.6 37
2012-03-30 WAC St. Andra W 2-161.8 1529 1588 32.84% 37.09% 30.07%-0.07 +7.4 46
2012-03-30 @ LASK Linz L 1-261.8 1588 1529 30.07% 37.09% 32.84%+0.07 -7.4 49
2012-04-02 SKN St. Polten W 2-042.7 1581 1465 56.18% 29.26% 14.56%+0.58 +7.8 52
2012-04-02 @ WAC St. Andra L 0-242.7 1465 1581 14.56% 29.26% 56.18%-0.58 -7.8 37
2012-04-03 Blau-Weiss Linz L 2-448.4 1315 1490 19.51% 34.17% 46.32%-0.51 -8.2 20
2012-04-03 @ Hartberg W 4-248.4 1490 1315 46.32% 34.17% 19.51%+0.51 +8.2 38
2012-04-03 Grodig W 3-041.2 1530 1470 49.17% 32.96% 17.87%+0.37 +14.2 48
2012-04-03 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-341.2 1470 1530 17.87% 32.96% 49.17%-0.37 -14.2 36
2012-04-03 Lustenau D 1-159.8 1537 1424 55.81% 29.48% 14.71%+0.56 -2.0 47
2012-04-03 @ LASK Linz D 1-159.8 1424 1537 14.71% 29.48% 55.81%-0.56 +2.0 27
2012-04-03 SCR Altach W 2-054.8 1399 1642 15.09% 29.99% 54.93%-0.76 +22.2 28
2012-04-03 @ First Vienna L 0-254.8 1642 1399 54.93% 29.99% 15.09%+0.76 -22.2 49
2012-04-13 Austria Lustenau L 0-349.1 1499 1544 34.71% 36.97% 28.32%-0.03 -23.5 38
2012-04-13 @ Blau-Weiss Linz W 3-049.1 1544 1499 28.32% 36.97% 34.71%+0.03 +23.5 51
2012-04-13 First Vienna W 1-043.9 1426 1422 41.73% 35.71% 22.57%+0.16 +6.4 30
2012-04-13 @ Lustenau L 0-143.9 1422 1426 22.57% 35.71% 41.73%-0.16 -6.4 28
2012-04-13 LASK Linz D 1-158.6 1457 1535 30.18% 37.09% 32.73%-0.14 +0.1 38
2012-04-13 @ SKN St. Polten D 1-158.6 1535 1457 32.73% 37.09% 30.18%+0.14 -0.1 48
2012-04-13 WAC St. Andra L 0-151.1 1456 1588 23.44% 36.01% 40.55%-0.35 -6.6 36
2012-04-13 @ Grodig W 1-051.1 1588 1456 40.55% 36.01% 23.44%+0.35 +6.6 55
2012-04-14 Hartberg W 1-035.6 1620 1307 77.78% 14.88% 7.34%+1.31 +1.6 52
2012-04-14 @ SCR Altach L 0-135.6 1307 1620 7.34% 14.88% 77.78%-1.31 -1.6 20
2012-04-16 Blau-Weiss Linz L 1-262.6 1535 1475 49.04% 33.02% 17.94%+0.37 -10.2 48
2012-04-16 @ LASK Linz W 2-162.6 1475 1535 17.94% 33.02% 49.04%-0.37 +10.2 41
2012-04-17 First Vienna D 1-151.3 1305 1415 25.98% 36.65% 37.37%-0.27 +0.5 21
2012-04-17 @ Hartberg D 1-151.3 1415 1305 37.37% 36.65% 25.98%+0.27 -0.5 29
2012-04-17 Grodig W 1-045.6 1457 1449 42.24% 35.56% 22.20%+0.18 +6.3 41
2012-04-17 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-145.6 1449 1457 22.20% 35.56% 42.24%-0.18 -6.3 36
2012-04-17 Lustenau W 2-150.0 1595 1432 61.87% 25.72% 12.41%+0.75 +3.2 58
2012-04-17 @ WAC St. Andra L 1-250.0 1432 1595 12.41% 25.72% 61.87%-0.75 -3.2 30
2012-04-17 SCR Altach W 4-157.7 1568 1621 33.61% 37.05% 29.34%-0.05 +17.8 54
2012-04-17 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-457.7 1621 1568 29.34% 37.05% 33.61%+0.05 -17.8 52
2012-04-20 Austria Lustenau W 3-158.3 1415 1586 19.88% 34.40% 45.72%-0.49 +16.9 32
2012-04-20 @ First Vienna L 1-358.3 1586 1415 45.72% 34.40% 19.88%+0.49 -16.9 54
2012-04-20 Hartberg W 3-139.2 1443 1306 58.82% 27.66% 13.52%+0.66 +6.2 39
2012-04-20 @ Grodig L 1-339.2 1306 1443 13.52% 27.66% 58.82%-0.66 -6.2 21
2012-04-20 LASK Linz L 0-161.1 1603 1524 51.60% 31.78% 16.62%+0.44 -11.3 52
2012-04-20 @ SCR Altach W 1-061.1 1524 1603 16.62% 31.78% 51.60%-0.44 +11.3 51
2012-04-20 SKN St. Polten D 2-261.6 1429 1464 36.31% 36.80% 26.89%+0.02 -0.3 31
2012-04-20 @ Lustenau D 2-261.6 1464 1429 26.89% 36.80% 36.31%-0.02 +0.3 42
2012-04-20 WAC St. Andra W 2-053.2 1486 1598 25.67% 36.59% 37.74%-0.28 +17.1 44
2012-04-20 @ Blau-Weiss Linz L 0-253.2 1598 1486 37.74% 36.59% 25.67%+0.28 -17.1 58
2012-04-27 Blau-Weiss Linz W 2-045.9 1464 1503 35.70% 36.87% 27.42%+0.00 +13.9 45
2012-04-27 @ SKN St. Polten L 0-245.9 1503 1464 27.42% 36.87% 35.70%+0.00 -13.9 44
2012-04-27 First Vienna W 2-149.9 1536 1432 54.74% 30.09% 15.17%+0.53 +4.1 54
2012-04-27 @ LASK Linz L 1-249.9 1432 1536 15.17% 30.09% 54.74%-0.53 -4.1 32
2012-04-27 Hartberg W 2-031.2 1569 1300 73.61% 17.75% 8.64%+1.15 +3.8 57
2012-04-27 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-231.2 1300 1569 8.64% 17.75% 73.61%-1.15 -3.8 21
2012-04-27 Lustenau D 1-155.3 1449 1429 43.83% 35.07% 21.10%+0.22 -1.0 40
2012-04-27 @ Grodig D 1-155.3 1429 1449 21.10% 35.07% 43.83%-0.22 +1.0 32
2012-04-27 SCR Altach W 1-055.5 1581 1592 39.58% 36.23% 24.19%+0.10 +6.7 61
2012-04-27 @ WAC St. Andra L 0-155.5 1592 1581 24.19% 36.23% 39.58%-0.10 -6.7 52
2012-05-04 Grodig D 0-050.2 1428 1448 38.28% 36.49% 25.23%+0.07 -0.6 33
2012-05-04 @ First Vienna D 0-050.2 1448 1428 25.23% 36.49% 38.28%-0.07 +0.6 41
2012-05-04 LASK Linz L 1-245.5 1296 1540 15.00% 29.87% 55.13%-0.77 -4.0 21
2012-05-04 @ Hartberg W 2-145.5 1540 1296 55.13% 29.87% 15.00%+0.77 +4.0 57
2012-05-04 Lustenau D 1-157.2 1489 1430 48.97% 33.05% 17.98%+0.36 -1.5 45
2012-05-04 @ Blau-Weiss Linz D 1-157.2 1430 1489 17.98% 33.05% 48.97%-0.36 +1.5 33
2012-05-04 SKN St. Polten W 1-047.4 1585 1478 55.19% 29.83% 14.97%+0.55 +4.3 55
2012-05-04 @ SCR Altach L 0-147.4 1478 1585 14.97% 29.83% 55.19%-0.55 -4.3 45
2012-05-04 WAC St. Andra D 2-271.0 1573 1588 38.99% 36.36% 24.65%+0.09 -0.5 58
2012-05-04 @ Austria Lustenau D 2-271.0 1588 1573 24.65% 36.36% 38.99%-0.09 +0.5 62
2012-05-07 Austria Lustenau W 2-160.5 1544 1572 37.16% 36.68% 26.16%+0.04 +6.7 60
2012-05-07 @ LASK Linz L 1-260.5 1572 1544 26.16% 36.68% 37.16%-0.04 -6.7 58
2012-05-08 Blau-Weiss Linz L 1-353.7 1449 1487 35.69% 36.87% 27.43%+0.00 -14.2 41
2012-05-08 @ Grodig W 3-153.7 1487 1449 27.43% 36.87% 35.69%+0.00 +14.2 48
2012-05-08 First Vienna L 0-248.6 1474 1427 47.39% 33.74% 18.87%+0.32 -20.0 45
2012-05-08 @ SKN St. Polten W 2-048.6 1427 1474 18.87% 33.74% 47.39%-0.32 +20.0 36
2012-05-08 Hartberg L 1-455.1 1588 1292 76.28% 15.91% 7.81%+1.25 -33.1 62
2012-05-08 @ WAC St. Andra W 4-155.1 1292 1588 7.81% 15.91% 76.28%-1.25 +33.1 24
2012-05-08 SCR Altach D 2-266.8 1431 1590 20.97% 35.01% 44.02%-0.45 +0.8 34
2012-05-08 @ Lustenau D 2-266.8 1590 1431 44.02% 35.01% 20.97%+0.45 -0.8 56
2012-05-11 Blau-Weiss Linz W 4-149.1 1589 1502 52.65% 31.24% 16.11%+0.47 +10.8 59
2012-05-11 @ SCR Altach L 1-449.1 1502 1589 16.11% 31.24% 52.65%-0.47 -10.8 48
2012-05-11 Grodig D 1-160.7 1550 1434 56.25% 29.22% 14.53%+0.58 -2.0 61
2012-05-11 @ LASK Linz D 1-160.7 1434 1550 14.53% 29.22% 56.25%-0.58 +2.0 42
2012-05-11 Lustenau L 1-263.4 1565 1432 58.33% 27.96% 13.71%+0.64 -11.5 58
2012-05-11 @ Austria Lustenau W 2-163.4 1432 1565 13.71% 27.96% 58.33%-0.64 +11.5 37
2012-05-11 SKN St. Polten L 0-337.1 1325 1454 23.87% 36.14% 39.99%-0.34 -18.2 24
2012-05-11 @ Hartberg W 3-037.1 1454 1325 39.99% 36.14% 23.87%+0.34 +18.2 48
2012-05-11 WAC St. Andra L 1-353.2 1447 1555 26.18% 36.68% 37.13%-0.26 -11.6 36
2012-05-11 @ First Vienna W 3-153.2 1555 1447 37.13% 36.68% 26.18%+0.26 +11.6 65
2012-05-18 Austria Lustenau W 3-156.3 1472 1554 29.54% 37.06% 33.40%-0.16 +13.6 51
2012-05-18 @ SKN St. Polten L 1-356.3 1554 1472 33.40% 37.06% 29.54%+0.16 -13.6 58
2012-05-18 First Vienna D 2-263.8 1491 1435 48.55% 33.24% 18.21%+0.35 -1.1 49
2012-05-18 @ Blau-Weiss Linz D 2-263.8 1435 1491 18.21% 33.24% 48.55%-0.35 +1.1 37
2012-05-18 Hartberg L 0-344.6 1444 1307 58.84% 27.65% 13.51%+0.66 -33.7 37
2012-05-18 @ Lustenau W 3-044.6 1307 1444 13.51% 27.65% 58.84%-0.66 +33.7 27
2012-05-18 LASK Linz W 1-052.6 1567 1548 43.62% 35.14% 21.24%+0.21 +6.1 68
2012-05-18 @ WAC St. Andra L 0-152.6 1548 1567 21.24% 35.14% 43.62%-0.21 -6.1 61
2012-05-18 SCR Altach L 1-255.5 1436 1600 20.52% 34.77% 44.71%-0.46 -5.5 42
2012-05-18 @ Grodig W 2-155.5 1600 1436 44.71% 34.77% 20.52%+0.46 +5.6 62

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-05-08 7.81% Hartberg 1292 4 @ WAC St. Andra 1588 1
2 2011-10-14 12.20% Lustenau 1390 6 @ Blau-Weiss Linz 1558 1
3 2011-08-23 12.48% Grodig 1444 2 @ SCR Altach 1604 1
4 2012-05-18 13.51% Hartberg 1307 3 @ Lustenau 1444 0
5 2012-05-11 13.71% Lustenau 1432 2 @ Austria Lustenau 1565 1
6 2012-04-03 15.09% @ First Vienna 1399 2 SCR Altach 1642 0
7 2011-11-04 15.98% @ Grodig 1425 2 SCR Altach 1651 1
8 2011-10-21 15.99% First Vienna 1394 3 @ SKN St. Polten 1484 0
9 2012-03-16 16.26% Austria Lustenau 1503 2 @ WAC St. Andra 1588 1
10 2011-10-21 16.55% Austria Lustenau 1463 3 @ LASK Linz 1543 0
11 2012-04-20 16.62% LASK Linz 1524 1 @ SCR Altach 1603 0
12 2011-07-29 16.71% WAC St. Andra 1541 2 @ SCR Altach 1619 1
13 2012-03-09 16.92% SKN St. Polten 1454 1 @ Blau-Weiss Linz 1528 0
14 2012-04-16 17.94% Blau-Weiss Linz 1475 2 @ LASK Linz 1535 1
15 2011-07-29 18.27% SKN St. Polten 1479 2 @ Blau-Weiss Linz 1534 1
16 2012-05-08 18.87% First Vienna 1427 2 @ SKN St. Polten 1474 0
17 2011-09-23 19.19% Hartberg 1403 3 @ Grodig 1446 2
18 2011-08-12 19.51% @ Hartberg 1375 4 WAC St. Andra 1551 3
19 2012-04-20 19.88% @ First Vienna 1415 3 Austria Lustenau 1586 1
20 2011-11-29 20.17% Hartberg 1367 2 @ First Vienna 1398 1
21 2012-03-27 22.04% @ Blau-Weiss Linz 1498 1 SCR Altach 1645 0
22 2011-07-12 23.33% WAC St. Andra 1497 2 @ SKN St. Polten 1494 0
23 2011-08-02 23.62% @ Lustenau 1393 1 Blau-Weiss Linz 1524 0
24 2012-03-30 24.12% @ First Vienna 1382 2 Blau-Weiss Linz 1508 0
25 2011-08-22 24.21% WAC St. Andra 1540 3 @ LASK Linz 1529 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-10-14 46.73 Lustenau 6 1390 12.20% @ Blau-Weiss Linz 1 1558 62.50% 25.31%
2 2012-05-18 33.72 Hartberg 3 1307 13.51% @ Lustenau 0 1444 58.84% 27.65%
3 2012-05-08 33.09 Hartberg 4 1292 7.81% @ WAC St. Andra 1 1588 76.28% 15.91%
4 2011-10-21 31.39 First Vienna 3 1394 15.99% @ SKN St. Polten 0 1484 52.90% 31.10%
5 2011-10-21 30.91 Austria Lustenau 3 1463 16.55% @ LASK Linz 0 1543 51.75% 31.71%
6 2011-09-16 30.75 SCR Altach 5 1602 38.06% @ Austria Lustenau 0 1488 25.41% 36.53%
7 2012-03-09 24.53 Grodig 3 1446 26.20% @ Lustenau 0 1418 37.12% 36.69%
8 2011-08-19 23.99 LASK Linz 3 1505 27.25% @ Grodig 0 1468 35.90% 36.85%
9 2012-04-13 23.47 Austria Lustenau 3 1544 28.32% @ Blau-Weiss Linz 0 1499 34.71% 36.97%
10 2011-07-15 22.49 SCR Altach 4 1585 42.29% @ Hartberg 0 1439 22.16% 35.55%
11 2012-03-30 22.27 Lustenau 3 1402 30.89% @ Hartberg 0 1337 32.01% 37.11%
12 2012-04-03 22.17 @ First Vienna 2 1399 15.09% SCR Altach 0 1642 54.93% 29.99%
13 2011-08-02 21.16 @ Grodig 4 1462 44.61% First Vienna 0 1436 20.58% 34.81%
14 2011-09-30 20.87 @ Austria Lustenau 4 1442 45.10% Hartberg 0 1413 20.27% 34.63%
15 2012-05-08 20.01 First Vienna 2 1427 18.87% @ SKN St. Polten 0 1474 47.39% 33.74%
16 2012-05-11 18.24 SKN St. Polten 3 1454 39.99% @ Hartberg 0 1325 23.87% 36.14%
17 2011-07-12 17.99 WAC St. Andra 2 1497 23.33% @ SKN St. Polten 0 1494 40.70% 35.97%
18 2012-04-17 17.76 @ Austria Lustenau 4 1568 33.61% SCR Altach 1 1621 29.34% 37.05%
19 2012-03-30 17.67 @ First Vienna 2 1382 24.12% Blau-Weiss Linz 0 1508 39.67% 36.21%
20 2012-03-16 17.56 @ Lustenau 2 1393 24.39% Blau-Weiss Linz 0 1517 39.32% 36.29%
21 2012-04-20 17.08 @ Blau-Weiss Linz 2 1486 25.67% WAC St. Andra 0 1598 37.74% 36.59%
22 2012-04-20 16.90 @ First Vienna 3 1415 19.88% Austria Lustenau 1 1586 45.72% 34.40%
23 2011-09-09 16.58 @ Lustenau 4 1394 36.77% First Vienna 1 1425 26.49% 36.74%
24 2011-08-19 16.12 @ Blau-Weiss Linz 2 1530 28.42% SCR Altach 0 1621 34.60% 36.98%
25 2011-08-02 16.05 @ LASK Linz 4 1488 53.81% Hartberg 0 1391 15.58% 30.61%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-08-01 72.8 @ WAC St. Andra 3 1551 46.70% Austria Lustenau 3 1510 19.28% 34.02%
2 2012-03-02 71.7 @ LASK Linz 3 1524 24.30% SCR Altach 2 1649 39.44% 36.26%
3 2011-09-30 71.6 @ WAC St. Andra 2 1554 28.89% SCR Altach 2 1641 34.09% 37.02%
4 2012-05-04 71.0 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1573 38.99% WAC St. Andra 2 1588 24.65% 36.36%
5 2011-09-09 69.8 @ Grodig 3 1457 28.49% WAC St. Andra 3 1547 34.53% 36.99%
6 2011-10-21 69.8 @ Lustenau 2 1437 17.15% SCR Altach 2 1645 50.54% 32.31%
7 2011-09-23 69.4 @ Blau-Weiss Linz 2 1550 40.62% WAC St. Andra 2 1554 23.39% 35.99%
8 2012-03-27 68.8 @ WAC St. Andra 2 1590 67.37% First Vienna 2 1380 10.59% 22.04%
9 2011-08-22 68.5 WAC St. Andra 3 1540 24.21% @ LASK Linz 2 1529 39.55% 36.24%
10 2011-11-28 68.2 @ Blau-Weiss Linz 2 1540 43.36% LASK Linz 2 1523 21.42% 35.22%
11 2011-07-29 67.9 WAC St. Andra 2 1541 16.71% @ SCR Altach 1 1619 51.42% 31.88%
12 2011-08-12 67.4 @ Hartberg 4 1375 19.51% WAC St. Andra 3 1551 46.31% 34.17%
13 2011-11-29 67.2 @ SCR Altach 1 1651 61.75% Austria Lustenau 1 1490 12.45% 25.80%
14 2012-05-08 66.8 @ Lustenau 2 1431 20.97% SCR Altach 2 1590 44.02% 35.01%
15 2011-08-19 66.5 @ WAC St. Andra 2 1542 55.88% First Vienna 2 1428 14.69% 29.44%
16 2011-11-18 66.4 @ SKN St. Polten 3 1459 26.22% WAC St. Andra 2 1567 37.09% 36.69%
17 2012-03-23 66.2 @ SCR Altach 1 1648 70.32% Lustenau 1 1411 9.66% 20.02%
18 2012-03-16 66.0 Austria Lustenau 2 1503 16.26% @ WAC St. Andra 1 1588 52.35% 31.40%
19 2011-08-23 65.6 Grodig 2 1444 12.48% @ SCR Altach 1 1604 61.68% 25.84%
20 2011-11-04 65.5 @ Grodig 2 1425 15.98% SCR Altach 1 1651 52.94% 31.08%
21 2011-09-09 65.4 @ SKN St. Polten 2 1477 34.50% LASK Linz 2 1524 28.51% 36.99%
22 2011-07-19 64.9 @ SCR Altach 1 1607 55.59% Austria Lustenau 1 1496 14.81% 29.60%
23 2011-07-22 63.9 @ WAC St. Andra 3 1535 40.45% Blau-Weiss Linz 2 1540 23.52% 36.03%
24 2012-05-18 63.8 @ Blau-Weiss Linz 2 1491 48.55% First Vienna 2 1435 18.21% 33.24%
25 2012-05-11 63.4 Lustenau 2 1432 13.71% @ Austria Lustenau 1 1565 58.33% 27.96%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-04-27 31.2 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1569 73.61% Hartberg 0 1300 8.64% 17.75%
2 2011-10-21 34.5 @ WAC St. Andra 3 1554 63.29% Hartberg 0 1380 11.92% 24.78%
3 2012-03-27 34.8 @ SKN St. Polten 2 1456 55.52% Hartberg 0 1345 14.84% 29.65%
4 2012-04-14 35.6 @ SCR Altach 1 1620 77.78% Hartberg 0 1307 7.34% 14.88%
5 2011-08-02 35.8 @ LASK Linz 4 1488 53.81% Hartberg 0 1391 15.58% 30.61%
6 2011-09-30 36.9 @ LASK Linz 4 1516 54.98% First Vienna 0 1410 15.06% 29.95%
7 2012-05-11 37.1 SKN St. Polten 3 1454 39.99% @ Hartberg 0 1325 23.87% 36.14%
8 2011-09-30 37.6 @ Austria Lustenau 4 1442 45.10% Hartberg 0 1413 20.27% 34.63%
9 2011-07-22 37.9 @ SKN St. Polten 3 1464 46.76% Lustenau 0 1422 19.24% 34.00%
10 2012-03-23 38.0 WAC St. Andra 3 1577 51.94% @ Hartberg 0 1358 16.45% 31.61%
11 2011-09-16 38.6 @ WAC St. Andra 2 1547 58.76% Lustenau 0 1410 13.54% 27.70%
12 2011-08-02 39.1 @ Grodig 4 1462 44.61% First Vienna 0 1436 20.58% 34.81%
13 2012-03-30 39.2 Lustenau 3 1402 30.89% @ Hartberg 0 1337 32.01% 37.11%
14 2012-04-20 39.2 @ Grodig 3 1443 58.82% Hartberg 1 1306 13.52% 27.66%
15 2011-09-16 39.8 @ Hartberg 2 1390 38.63% First Vienna 0 1408 24.94% 36.43%
16 2011-08-23 40.2 @ Hartberg 2 1380 36.77% Lustenau 0 1411 26.50% 36.74%
17 2011-10-28 40.7 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1494 48.61% Lustenau 0 1438 18.18% 33.21%
18 2011-08-19 40.9 @ SKN St. Polten 1 1470 52.40% Hartberg 0 1384 16.23% 31.37%
19 2012-03-16 40.9 @ Grodig 1 1471 52.54% First Vienna 0 1384 16.17% 31.30%
20 2011-11-25 41.0 SCR Altach 2 1644 58.27% @ Hartberg 0 1374 13.73% 28.00%
21 2012-04-03 41.2 @ Austria Lustenau 3 1530 49.17% Grodig 0 1470 17.87% 32.96%
22 2012-03-09 41.3 Austria Lustenau 2 1490 38.94% @ Hartberg 0 1369 24.70% 36.37%
23 2011-08-12 42.0 @ SCR Altach 4 1614 67.59% Lustenau 1 1402 10.52% 21.89%
24 2011-09-30 42.1 @ Grodig 1 1436 46.58% Lustenau 0 1396 19.35% 34.07%
25 2011-09-16 42.2 @ SKN St. Polten 2 1477 43.82% Grodig 0 1457 21.11% 35.08%