2004-05 First League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ried

15.77 points above expected

77 points · 61.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gratkorn

15.03 points below expected

32 points · 47.03 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Ried	36	24	5	7	77	79	38	+41	61.23	+15.77
2	Kapfenberger	36	21	8	7	71	64	37	+27	61.15	+9.85
3	FC Karnten	36	17	7	12	58	68	41	+27	64.09	-6.09
4	Austria Lustenau	36	14	14	8	56	55	43	+12	59.55	-3.55
5	Leoben	36	12	11	13	47	43	49	-6	50.62	-3.62
6	SC Rheindorf Altach	36	9	14	13	41	37	45	-8	47.58	-6.58
7	LASK Linz	36	8	15	13	39	38	64	-26	34.25	+4.75
8	SC Untersiebenbrunn	36	9	7	20	34	45	66	-21	37.85	-3.85
9	Gratkorn	36	6	14	16	32	43	58	-15	47.03	-15.03
10	SV Worgl	36	7	11	18	32	32	63	-31	31.94	+0.06

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ried	77	61.23	+15.77
2	Kapfenberger	71	61.15	+9.85
3	LASK Linz	39	34.25	+4.75
4	SV Worgl	32	31.94	+0.06
5	Austria Lustenau	56	59.55	-3.55

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Gratkorn	32	47.03	-15.03
2	SC Rheindorf Altach	41	47.58	-6.58
3	FC Karnten	58	64.09	-6.09
4	SC Untersiebenbrunn	34	37.85	-3.85
5	Leoben	47	50.62	-3.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kapfenberger	7	Apr 29 – May 24	1 in 91
2	LASK Linz	3	Sep 24 – Oct 19	1 in 81
3	Leoben	4	Aug 3 – Aug 20	1 in 67
4	SC Untersiebenbrunn	3	May 3 – May 10	1 in 50
5	SV Worgl	2	Oct 29 – Nov 5	1 in 33

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Leoben	6	Apr 26 – May 13	1 in 379
2	SC Untersiebenbrunn	4	Jul 23 – Aug 6	1 in 77
3	Kapfenberger	3	Sep 17 – Oct 1	1 in 73
4	FC Karnten	3	Apr 29 – May 6	1 in 45
5	SC Rheindorf Altach	3	Sep 24 – Oct 19	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	LASK Linz	10	Mar 4 – May 6	1 in 2,275
2	SC Rheindorf Altach	9	Nov 19 – Apr 15	1 in 110
3	Ried	16	Dec 3 – May 27	1 in 75
4	SC Untersiebenbrunn	6	May 3 – May 24	1 in 43
5	Kapfenberger	8	Jul 23 – Sep 10	1 in 30

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gratkorn	15	Mar 4 – May 27	1 in 445
2	Austria Lustenau	9	Mar 11 – May 3	1 in 285
3	SC Rheindorf Altach	8	Dec 3 – Apr 22	1 in 38
4	SC Untersiebenbrunn	9	Jul 23 – Sep 17	1 in 29
5	FC Karnten	4	Mar 18 – Apr 8	1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Ried	1669	77	+25	13	9.8	+3.2
Kapfenberger	1626	71	+5	12	10.2	+1.8
FC Karnten	1578	58	-1	5	9.6	-4.6
Austria Lustenau	1544	56	-1	8	8.7	-0.7
Leoben	1424	47	-22	5	4.5	+0.5
SC Rheindorf Altach	1463	41	+3	6	7.0	-1.0
LASK Linz	1392	39	+8	7	5.2	+1.8
SC Untersiebenbrunn	1440	34	+51	10	6.0	+4.0
SV Worgl	1326	32	-8	3	3.9	-0.9
Gratkorn	1381	32	-48	2	5.7	-3.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AL	FK	GRA	KAP	LL	LEO	RIE	SRA	SU	SW
Austria Lustenau	—	1-2-1 4.66	0-3-1 6.93	0-2-2 5.51	2-2-0 8.13	2-1-1 6.81	2-1-1 5.06	2-1-1 6.63	3-1-0 7.63	2-1-1 8.30
FC Karnten	1-2-1 6.30	—	3-0-1 7.11	0-0-4 5.94	3-0-1 8.30	2-1-1 7.09	2-2-0 5.64	1-2-1 7.28	2-0-2 7.72	3-0-1 8.69
Gratkorn	1-3-0 4.05	1-0-3 3.86	—	1-2-1 4.34	0-2-2 7.10	0-2-2 5.17	0-0-4 4.24	1-3-0 5.39	1-1-2 6.19	1-1-2 6.98
Kapfenberger	2-2-0 5.44	4-0-0 5.01	1-2-1 6.67	—	2-2-0 7.95	3-0-1 6.76	0-0-4 5.72	3-1-0 6.72	3-1-0 8.15	3-0-1 8.53
LASK Linz	0-2-2 2.95	1-0-3 2.82	2-2-0 3.88	0-2-2 3.11	—	0-3-1 3.58	0-1-3 2.82	1-1-2 4.31	3-1-0 4.95	1-3-0 6.02
Leoben	1-1-2 4.17	1-1-2 3.92	2-2-0 5.77	1-0-3 4.21	1-3-0 7.44	—	2-0-2 4.10	1-2-1 5.78	1-0-3 7.04	2-2-0 7.56
Ried	1-1-2 5.88	0-2-2 5.29	4-0-0 6.79	4-0-0 5.23	3-1-0 8.26	2-0-2 6.92	—	3-0-1 6.95	3-1-0 7.87	4-0-0 8.18
SC Rheindorf Altach	1-1-2 4.33	1-2-1 3.71	0-3-1 5.56	0-1-3 4.25	2-1-1 6.65	1-2-1 5.16	1-0-3 4.05	—	2-1-1 6.67	1-3-0 7.10
SC Untersiebenbrunn	0-1-3 3.40	2-0-2 3.37	2-1-1 4.75	0-1-3 2.93	0-1-3 5.99	3-0-1 3.93	0-1-3 3.20	1-1-2 4.31	—	1-1-2 6.12
SV Worgl	1-1-2 2.79	1-0-3 2.46	2-1-1 4.01	1-0-3 2.59	0-3-1 4.93	0-2-2 3.46	0-0-4 2.94	0-3-1 3.89	2-1-1 4.85	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.83	+9.6
Allowed	0.77	-12.5
Differential	0.91	+6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.89%	5.56%	6.39%	3.61%	2.22%	1.11%	27.78%
1	5.56%	12.22%	9.17%	2.50%	0.83%	0.28%	30.56%
2	6.39%	9.17%	6.11%	1.94%	0.83%	0.56%	25.00%
3	3.61%	2.50%	1.94%	2.22%	0.28%	—	10.56%
4	2.22%	0.83%	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	4.17%
5+	1.11%	0.28%	0.56%	—	—	—	1.94%
Total	27.78%	30.56%	25.00%	10.56%	4.17%	1.94%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.40	1.40	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.27	1.92
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	38.89%	19.44%	2.78%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.19	+0.33
SD	1.18	1.17	1.71
CV	0.77	0.98	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	30.56%
2	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	44.44%	16.67%	27.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	1.14	+0.75
SD	1.63	1.29	2.35
CV	0.87	1.13	—
Max	8	5	+8
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	2.78%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	13.89%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	25.00%	33.33%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.61	-0.42
SD	1.39	1.32	1.86
CV	1.16	0.82	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
2	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
3	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	38.89%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.03	+0.75
SD	1.22	1.06	1.68
CV	0.69	1.03	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	38.89%
1	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	—	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	—	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	30.56%	25.00%	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.78	-0.72
SD	1.09	1.62	1.97
CV	1.04	0.91	—
Max	4	8	+2
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
2	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	36.11%
3	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	22.22%	27.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.36	-0.17
SD	0.92	1.29	1.56
CV	0.77	0.95	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	8.33%
1	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	36.11%	33.33%	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.19	1.06	+1.14
SD	1.47	1.04	2.09
CV	0.67	0.99	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	36.11%
1	5.56%	19.44%	11.11%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	—	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	47.22%	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.25	-0.22
SD	1.03	1.02	1.44
CV	1.00	0.82	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	27.78%
1	—	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	30.56%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	11.11%	33.33%	27.78%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.83	-0.58
SD	1.11	1.21	1.71
CV	0.88	0.66	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	44.44%
1	8.33%	5.56%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	19.44%	36.11%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.75	-0.86
SD	0.98	1.40	1.76
CV	1.10	0.80	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Ried	1669	77	61.23	+15.77	99.1%	36	49	56	61	66	73	80
Kapfenberger	1626	71	61.15	+9.85	91.9%	40	49	56	61	66	73	88
FC Karnten	1578	58	64.09	-6.09	21.8%	39	52	59	64	69	76	86
Austria Lustenau	1544	56	59.55	-3.55	33.0%	34	47	55	60	64	71	86
SC Rheindorf Altach	1463	41	47.58	-6.58	21.2%	27	35	43	47	53	59	72
SC Untersiebenbrunn	1440	34	37.85	-3.85	31.4%	16	26	33	38	42	50	62
Leoben	1424	47	50.62	-3.62	31.8%	28	39	46	51	55	63	70
LASK Linz	1392	39	34.25	+4.75	76.7%	12	22	29	34	39	46	59
Gratkorn	1381	32	47.03	-15.03	1.5%	27	36	42	47	52	59	73
SV Worgl	1326	32	31.94	+0.06	54.0%	14	21	27	32	37	44	61

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+18.33%

Clear Edge

44.44%29.44%26.11%

Elo Value

Home Edge

197 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

064.42500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.41 goals

Neutral

-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.9

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

25%

Ried, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.17/gm

Tight Race

00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.74 * Some Luck: 5.74 to 8.61 * Lucky: 8.61 to 11.48 * Wild Swing: 11.48 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.96 * Close: 0.96 to 1.45 * Off: 1.45 to 1.93 * Way Off: 1.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.42 points

Some Luck

07.1718

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

Pinpoint

01.202.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

99.10%

Ried

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

1.50%

Gratkorn

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Even

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.80

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

73%

Clear Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Strong Edge

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

63%

Very Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Frequent

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Hard to Predict

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.39

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.57

Some Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Chalky

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.46

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.85

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.049

Well Within Noise

00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Ried	24.70%	22.10%	22.00%	16.30%	8.90%	4.00%	1.80%	0.20%	—	—
Kapfenberger	21.10%	23.60%	20.90%	20.00%	8.20%	3.60%	2.20%	0.40%	—	—
FC Karnten	36.00%	28.60%	16.60%	11.30%	4.60%	2.20%	0.60%	0.10%	—	—
Austria Lustenau	15.30%	18.40%	22.60%	20.70%	12.50%	6.80%	2.80%	0.50%	0.40%	—
Leoben	1.80%	3.60%	9.40%	12.80%	26.00%	21.30%	16.10%	5.40%	3.00%	0.60%
SC Rheindorf Altach	0.50%	1.90%	4.50%	9.90%	18.90%	24.10%	21.50%	12.10%	4.80%	1.80%
LASK Linz	—	—	0.10%	0.40%	1.50%	4.40%	8.70%	21.40%	30.20%	33.30%
SC Untersiebenbrunn	—	—	0.10%	0.70%	2.80%	7.30%	14.90%	33.20%	25.90%	15.10%
Gratkorn	0.60%	1.80%	3.70%	7.80%	16.10%	24.30%	26.10%	12.80%	5.90%	0.90%
SV Worgl	—	—	0.10%	0.10%	0.50%	2.00%	5.30%	13.90%	29.80%	48.30%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
FC Karnten	36.00%	64.00%	—
Ried	24.70%	75.30%	—
Kapfenberger	21.10%	78.90%	—
Austria Lustenau	15.30%	84.70%	—
Leoben	1.80%	97.60%	0.60%
Gratkorn	0.60%	98.50%	0.90%
SC Rheindorf Altach	0.50%	97.70%	1.80%
SC Untersiebenbrunn	—	84.90%	15.10%
LASK Linz	—	66.70%	33.30%
SV Worgl	—	51.70%	48.30%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2004-07-23	Austria Lustenau	L 1-4	56.6	1523	1529	46.92%	26.52%	26.55%	+0.29	-26.4	0
2004-07-23	@ Ried	W 4-1	56.6	1529	1523	26.55%	26.52%	46.92%	-0.29	+26.4	3
2004-07-23	FC Karnten	W 2-0	46.3	1456	1517	39.54%	27.05%	33.41%	+0.02	+16.6	3
2004-07-23	@ Leoben	L 0-2	46.3	1517	1456	33.41%	27.05%	39.54%	-0.02	-16.6	0
2004-07-23	Kapfenberger	D 0-0	57.5	1506	1500	48.53%	26.32%	25.15%	+0.36	-1.4	1
2004-07-23	@ Gratkorn	D 0-0	57.5	1500	1506	25.15%	26.32%	48.53%	-0.36	+1.3	1
2004-07-23	LASK Linz	W 2-1	49.3	1500	1446	54.32%	25.30%	20.39%	+0.60	+5.5	3
2004-07-23	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	L 1-2	49.3	1446	1500	20.39%	25.30%	54.32%	-0.60	-5.5	0
2004-07-23	SV Worgl	L 0-2	49.9	1490	1376	60.77%	23.54%	15.68%	+0.91	-26.8	0
2004-07-23	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 2-0	49.9	1376	1490	15.68%	23.54%	60.77%	-0.91	+26.8	3
2004-07-27	Gratkorn	W 4-0	43.2	1501	1505	47.19%	26.49%	26.32%	+0.30	+26.1	3
2004-07-27	@ FC Karnten	L 0-4	43.2	1505	1501	26.32%	26.49%	47.19%	-0.30	-26.1	1
2004-07-27	Leoben	W 2-1	51.4	1556	1473	57.49%	24.52%	17.99%	+0.75	+4.9	6
2004-07-27	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	51.4	1473	1556	17.99%	24.52%	57.49%	-0.75	-4.9	3
2004-07-27	Ried	L 1-4	47.6	1403	1497	34.83%	27.09%	38.08%	-0.15	-21.0	3
2004-07-27	@ SV Worgl	W 4-1	47.6	1497	1403	38.08%	27.09%	34.83%	+0.15	+21.0	3
2004-07-27	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 1-0	45.2	1440	1463	44.69%	26.75%	28.56%	+0.21	+7.8	3
2004-07-27	@ LASK Linz	L 0-1	45.2	1463	1440	28.56%	26.75%	44.69%	-0.21	-7.8	0
2004-07-27	SC Rheindorf Altach	W 3-0	43.6	1501	1506	47.20%	26.49%	26.31%	+0.31	+20.0	4
2004-07-27	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-3	43.6	1506	1501	26.31%	26.49%	47.20%	-0.31	-20.0	3
2004-08-03	Austria Lustenau	W 4-2	59.5	1479	1561	36.54%	27.10%	36.36%	-0.09	+13.7	4
2004-08-03	@ Gratkorn	L 2-4	59.5	1561	1479	36.36%	27.10%	36.54%	+0.09	-13.7	6
2004-08-03	FC Karnten	L 0-2	48.1	1456	1527	38.10%	27.09%	34.81%	-0.03	-18.3	0
2004-08-03	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 2-0	48.1	1527	1456	34.81%	27.09%	38.10%	+0.03	+18.3	6
2004-08-03	LASK Linz	W 2-0	41.1	1521	1448	56.46%	24.79%	18.75%	+0.70	+10.2	7
2004-08-03	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-2	41.1	1448	1521	18.75%	24.79%	56.46%	-0.70	-10.2	3
2004-08-03	Leoben	L 1-2	60.8	1518	1468	53.79%	25.41%	20.80%	+0.58	-12.1	3
2004-08-03	@ Ried	W 2-1	60.8	1468	1518	20.80%	25.41%	53.79%	-0.58	+12.1	6
2004-08-03	SV Worgl	D 1-1	57.9	1486	1382	59.70%	23.89%	16.42%	+0.85	-2.4	4
2004-08-03	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	D 1-1	57.9	1382	1486	16.42%	23.89%	59.70%	-0.85	+2.4	4
2004-08-06	Gratkorn	W 2-0	44.3	1506	1492	49.40%	26.20%	24.40%	+0.39	+12.9	6
2004-08-06	@ Ried	L 0-2	44.3	1492	1506	24.40%	26.20%	49.40%	-0.39	-12.9	4
2004-08-06	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	64.7	1547	1532	49.68%	26.16%	24.17%	+0.40	-1.3	7
2004-08-06	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	64.7	1532	1547	24.17%	26.16%	49.68%	-0.40	+1.3	8
2004-08-06	LASK Linz	D 2-2	61.5	1384	1438	40.57%	27.02%	32.41%	+0.06	-0.3	5
2004-08-06	@ SV Worgl	D 2-2	61.5	1438	1384	32.41%	27.02%	40.57%	-0.06	+0.3	4
2004-08-06	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 2-0	40.3	1480	1437	52.97%	25.58%	21.45%	+0.54	+11.6	9
2004-08-06	@ Leoben	L 0-2	40.3	1437	1480	21.45%	25.58%	52.97%	-0.54	-11.6	0
2004-08-06	SC Rheindorf Altach	W 4-0	41.7	1545	1483	55.17%	25.10%	19.72%	+0.64	+20.4	9
2004-08-06	@ FC Karnten	L 0-4	41.7	1483	1545	19.72%	25.10%	55.17%	-0.64	-20.4	4
2004-08-13	Austria Lustenau	W 4-0	46.6	1463	1546	36.40%	27.10%	36.50%	-0.09	+33.6	7
2004-08-13	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	L 0-4	46.6	1546	1463	36.50%	27.10%	36.40%	+0.09	-33.6	7
2004-08-13	FC Karnten	L 0-8	46.7	1438	1565	30.36%	26.90%	42.74%	-0.32	-56.3	4
2004-08-13	@ LASK Linz	W 8-0	46.7	1565	1438	42.74%	26.90%	30.36%	+0.32	+56.3	12
2004-08-13	Leoben	L 0-2	49.9	1479	1492	46.16%	26.61%	27.23%	+0.26	-21.2	4
2004-08-13	@ Gratkorn	W 2-0	49.9	1492	1479	27.23%	26.61%	46.16%	-0.26	+21.2	12
2004-08-13	Ried	D 1-1	59.5	1426	1519	35.00%	27.09%	37.91%	-0.14	+0.2	1
2004-08-13	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	D 1-1	59.5	1519	1426	37.91%	27.09%	35.00%	+0.14	-0.1	7
2004-08-13	SV Worgl	W 3-0	35.2	1533	1384	64.18%	22.34%	13.48%	+1.08	+10.7	11
2004-08-13	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-3	35.2	1384	1533	13.48%	22.34%	64.18%	-1.08	-10.7	5
2004-08-20	Gratkorn	D 3-3	65.7	1373	1458	36.09%	27.10%	36.81%	-0.10	+0.0	6
2004-08-20	@ SV Worgl	D 3-3	65.7	1458	1373	36.81%	27.10%	36.09%	+0.10	-0.0	5
2004-08-20	Kapfenberger	L 1-3	65.0	1622	1544	56.97%	24.66%	18.37%	+0.72	-22.0	12
2004-08-20	@ FC Karnten	W 3-1	65.0	1544	1622	18.37%	24.66%	56.97%	-0.72	+21.9	14
2004-08-20	LASK Linz	W 5-0	35.2	1518	1382	63.00%	22.78%	14.22%	+1.02	+18.2	10
2004-08-20	@ Ried	L 0-5	35.2	1382	1518	14.22%	22.78%	63.00%	-1.02	-18.2	4
2004-08-20	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 2-1	48.0	1512	1426	57.84%	24.43%	17.73%	+0.76	+4.9	10
2004-08-20	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	48.0	1426	1512	17.73%	24.43%	57.84%	-0.76	-4.9	1
2004-08-20	SC Rheindorf Altach	W 2-0	44.6	1513	1496	49.81%	26.14%	24.06%	+0.41	+12.8	15
2004-08-20	@ Leoben	L 0-2	44.6	1496	1513	24.06%	26.14%	49.81%	-0.41	-12.8	7
2004-08-27	Austria Lustenau	L 0-3	39.4	1363	1517	27.17%	26.60%	46.23%	-0.45	-20.5	4
2004-08-27	@ LASK Linz	W 3-0	39.4	1517	1363	46.23%	26.60%	27.17%	+0.45	+20.5	13
2004-08-27	Leoben	W 2-0	46.7	1566	1526	52.64%	25.64%	21.71%	+0.53	+11.7	17
2004-08-27	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-2	46.7	1526	1566	21.71%	25.64%	52.64%	-0.53	-11.7	15
2004-08-27	Ried	L 1-2	58.7	1484	1537	40.63%	27.01%	32.35%	+0.06	-9.6	7
2004-08-27	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	W 2-1	58.7	1537	1484	32.35%	27.01%	40.63%	-0.06	+9.6	13
2004-08-27	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 3-1	45.1	1458	1421	52.31%	25.71%	21.98%	+0.51	+10.2	8
2004-08-27	@ Gratkorn	L 1-3	45.1	1421	1458	21.98%	25.71%	52.31%	-0.51	-10.2	1
2004-08-27	SV Worgl	W 2-0	36.9	1600	1373	70.99%	19.36%	9.65%	+1.48	+5.1	15
2004-08-27	@ FC Karnten	L 0-2	36.9	1373	1600	9.65%	19.36%	70.99%	-1.48	-5.1	6
2004-09-10	FC Karnten	L 0-2	54.4	1546	1605	39.86%	27.04%	33.10%	+0.03	-18.9	13
2004-09-10	@ Ried	W 2-0	54.4	1605	1546	33.10%	27.04%	39.86%	-0.03	+18.9	18
2004-09-10	Kapfenberger	L 1-3	50.2	1411	1577	25.69%	26.41%	47.90%	-0.52	-11.7	1
2004-09-10	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 3-1	50.2	1577	1411	47.90%	26.41%	25.69%	+0.52	+11.7	20
2004-09-10	LASK Linz	D 1-1	58.3	1514	1343	66.21%	21.53%	12.26%	+1.19	-3.0	16
2004-09-10	@ Leoben	D 1-1	58.3	1343	1514	12.26%	21.53%	66.21%	-1.19	+3.0	5
2004-09-10	SC Rheindorf Altach	D 1-1	59.6	1468	1474	47.02%	26.51%	26.47%	+0.30	-1.1	9
2004-09-10	@ Gratkorn	D 1-1	59.6	1474	1468	26.47%	26.51%	47.02%	-0.30	+1.0	8
2004-09-10	SV Worgl	W 2-0	36.0	1537	1368	66.06%	21.59%	12.35%	+1.19	+6.7	16
2004-09-10	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	36.0	1368	1537	12.35%	21.59%	66.06%	-1.19	-6.7	6
2004-09-17	Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	67.9	1624	1544	57.14%	24.61%	18.24%	+0.73	-2.1	19
2004-09-17	@ FC Karnten	D 1-1	67.9	1544	1624	18.24%	24.61%	57.14%	-0.73	+2.1	17
2004-09-17	Gratkorn	D 1-1	55.5	1346	1467	31.12%	26.95%	41.93%	-0.29	+0.5	6
2004-09-17	@ LASK Linz	D 1-1	55.5	1467	1346	41.93%	26.95%	31.12%	+0.29	-0.5	10
2004-09-17	Leoben	L 0-2	41.0	1361	1511	27.63%	26.65%	45.72%	-0.43	-14.3	6
2004-09-17	@ SV Worgl	W 2-0	41.0	1511	1361	45.72%	26.65%	27.63%	+0.43	+14.3	19
2004-09-17	Ried	L 1-2	65.8	1589	1527	55.15%	25.11%	19.74%	+0.64	-12.3	20
2004-09-17	@ Kapfenberger	W 2-1	65.8	1527	1589	19.74%	25.11%	55.15%	-0.64	+12.3	16
2004-09-17	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 2-1	46.2	1475	1399	56.74%	24.72%	18.54%	+0.71	+5.1	11
2004-09-17	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	L 1-2	46.2	1399	1475	18.54%	24.72%	56.74%	-0.71	-5.1	1
2004-09-24	FC Karnten	D 2-2	72.9	1546	1622	37.48%	27.10%	35.42%	-0.06	-0.1	18
2004-09-24	@ Austria Lustenau	D 2-2	72.9	1622	1546	35.42%	27.10%	37.48%	+0.06	+0.1	20
2004-09-24	Kapfenberger	W 2-0	50.4	1540	1577	42.85%	26.89%	30.26%	+0.14	+15.4	19
2004-09-24	@ Ried	L 0-2	50.4	1577	1540	30.26%	26.89%	42.85%	-0.14	-15.4	20
2004-09-24	LASK Linz	L 1-2	57.0	1467	1346	61.39%	23.34%	15.27%	+0.94	-13.5	10
2004-09-24	@ Gratkorn	W 2-1	57.0	1346	1467	15.27%	23.34%	61.39%	-0.94	+13.5	9
2004-09-24	SC Rheindorf Altach	W 2-1	52.4	1394	1480	35.95%	27.10%	36.95%	-0.11	+8.9	4
2004-09-24	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	L 1-2	52.4	1480	1394	36.95%	27.10%	35.95%	+0.11	-8.9	11
2004-09-24	SV Worgl	D 0-0	54.3	1525	1347	66.86%	21.26%	11.88%	+1.23	-3.4	20
2004-09-24	@ Leoben	D 0-0	54.3	1347	1525	11.88%	21.26%	66.86%	-1.23	+3.4	7
2004-10-01	Gratkorn	L 0-3	53.2	1561	1453	60.13%	23.75%	16.12%	+0.87	-38.5	20
2004-10-01	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-0	53.2	1453	1561	16.12%	23.75%	60.13%	-0.87	+38.5	13
2004-10-01	Leoben	W 2-1	54.7	1622	1522	59.31%	24.00%	16.69%	+0.83	+4.6	23
2004-10-01	@ FC Karnten	L 1-2	54.7	1522	1622	16.69%	24.00%	59.31%	-0.83	-4.6	20
2004-10-01	Ried	W 3-0	47.1	1546	1555	46.59%	26.56%	26.85%	+0.28	+20.3	21
2004-10-01	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-3	47.1	1555	1546	26.85%	26.56%	46.59%	-0.28	-20.3	19
2004-10-01	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 3-1	45.5	1350	1403	40.71%	27.01%	32.28%	+0.06	+14.0	10
2004-10-01	@ SV Worgl	L 1-3	45.5	1403	1350	32.28%	27.01%	40.71%	-0.06	-14.0	4
2004-10-15	Austria Lustenau	L 1-3	58.5	1517	1567	41.15%	26.99%	31.85%	+0.08	-16.8	20
2004-10-15	@ Leoben	W 3-1	58.5	1567	1517	31.85%	26.99%	41.15%	-0.08	+16.8	24
2004-10-15	FC Karnten	W 3-2	68.1	1492	1626	29.47%	26.83%	43.70%	-0.36	+9.6	16
2004-10-15	@ Gratkorn	L 2-3	68.1	1626	1492	43.70%	26.83%	29.47%	+0.36	-9.6	23
2004-10-15	Kapfenberger	L 0-1	52.2	1471	1523	40.85%	27.01%	32.15%	+0.07	-10.2	11
2004-10-15	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	W 1-0	52.2	1523	1471	32.15%	27.01%	40.85%	-0.07	+10.2	23
2004-10-15	LASK Linz	L 1-2	53.4	1389	1360	51.34%	25.88%	22.77%	+0.47	-11.6	4
2004-10-15	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 2-1	53.4	1360	1389	22.77%	25.88%	51.34%	-0.47	+11.6	12
2004-10-15	SV Worgl	W 3-0	34.0	1535	1364	66.14%	21.56%	12.30%	+1.19	+9.7	22
2004-10-15	@ Ried	L 0-3	34.0	1364	1535	12.30%	21.56%	66.14%	-1.19	-9.7	10
2004-10-19	SC Rheindorf Altach	W 3-2	56.6	1372	1461	35.47%	27.10%	37.43%	-0.13	+8.6	15
2004-10-19	@ LASK Linz	L 2-3	56.6	1461	1372	37.43%	27.10%	35.47%	+0.13	-8.6	11
2004-10-22	Gratkorn	D 2-2	71.2	1583	1502	57.38%	24.55%	18.07%	+0.74	-1.6	25
2004-10-22	@ Austria Lustenau	D 2-2	71.2	1502	1583	18.07%	24.55%	57.38%	-0.74	+1.6	17
2004-10-22	Kapfenberger	D 0-0	54.0	1380	1533	27.25%	26.61%	46.14%	-0.45	+1.1	16
2004-10-22	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	54.0	1533	1380	46.14%	26.61%	27.25%	+0.45	-1.1	24
2004-10-22	Ried	W 2-1	56.7	1500	1544	41.88%	26.95%	31.16%	+0.10	+7.9	23
2004-10-22	@ Leoben	L 1-2	56.7	1544	1500	31.16%	26.95%	41.88%	-0.10	-7.9	22
2004-10-22	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 4-2	47.2	1617	1377	72.01%	18.86%	9.13%	+1.54	+3.7	26
2004-10-22	@ FC Karnten	L 2-4	47.2	1377	1617	9.13%	18.86%	72.01%	-1.54	-3.7	4
2004-10-22	SC Rheindorf Altach	L 0-1	44.3	1355	1452	34.32%	27.08%	38.61%	-0.17	-9.0	10
2004-10-22	@ SV Worgl	W 1-0	44.3	1452	1355	38.61%	27.08%	34.32%	+0.17	+9.0	14
2004-10-26	Austria Lustenau	W 4-0	48.9	1532	1582	41.08%	26.99%	31.93%	+0.07	+30.4	27
2004-10-26	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-4	48.9	1582	1532	31.93%	26.99%	41.08%	-0.07	-30.4	25
2004-10-26	FC Karnten	W 2-1	62.6	1461	1620	26.53%	26.52%	46.95%	-0.48	+10.8	17
2004-10-26	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	L 1-2	62.6	1620	1461	46.95%	26.52%	26.53%	+0.48	-10.8	26
2004-10-26	Leoben	W 5-2	52.4	1374	1508	29.45%	26.83%	43.72%	-0.36	+21.6	7
2004-10-26	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	L 2-5	52.4	1508	1374	43.72%	26.83%	29.45%	+0.36	-21.6	23
2004-10-26	Ried	L 1-3	57.5	1503	1537	43.33%	26.86%	29.81%	+0.16	-17.5	17
2004-10-26	@ Gratkorn	W 3-1	57.5	1537	1503	29.81%	26.86%	43.33%	-0.16	+17.5	25
2004-10-26	SV Worgl	D 3-3	64.0	1381	1346	52.11%	25.75%	22.14%	+0.51	-1.0	17
2004-10-26	@ LASK Linz	D 3-3	64.0	1346	1381	22.14%	25.75%	52.11%	-0.51	+1.0	11
2004-10-29	Gratkorn	D 1-1	60.7	1487	1486	47.87%	26.41%	25.72%	+0.33	-1.1	24
2004-10-29	@ Leoben	D 1-1	60.7	1486	1487	25.72%	26.41%	47.87%	-0.33	+1.1	18
2004-10-29	Kapfenberger	W 1-0	52.6	1347	1562	20.74%	25.40%	53.87%	-0.77	+12.8	14
2004-10-29	@ SV Worgl	L 0-1	52.6	1562	1347	53.87%	25.40%	20.74%	+0.77	-12.8	27
2004-10-29	LASK Linz	W 3-0	35.7	1610	1380	71.22%	19.25%	9.53%	+1.49	+7.3	29
2004-10-29	@ FC Karnten	L 0-3	35.7	1380	1610	9.53%	19.25%	71.22%	-1.49	-7.3	17
2004-10-29	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 3-0	36.1	1554	1395	65.09%	21.98%	12.92%	+1.13	+10.3	28
2004-10-29	@ Ried	L 0-3	36.1	1395	1554	12.92%	21.98%	65.09%	-1.13	-10.3	7
2004-10-29	SC Rheindorf Altach	W 1-0	45.8	1551	1472	57.09%	24.63%	18.28%	+0.73	+5.3	28
2004-10-29	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	45.8	1472	1551	18.28%	24.63%	57.09%	-0.73	-5.3	17
2004-11-05	Austria Lustenau	L 1-3	48.3	1385	1557	25.13%	26.32%	48.56%	-0.54	-11.5	7
2004-11-05	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 3-1	48.3	1557	1385	48.56%	26.32%	25.13%	+0.54	+11.5	31
2004-11-05	FC Karnten	W 5-1	55.1	1549	1617	38.61%	27.08%	34.31%	-0.02	+26.8	30
2004-11-05	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-5	55.1	1617	1549	34.31%	27.08%	38.61%	+0.02	-26.8	29
2004-11-05	Leoben	D 3-3	69.7	1467	1486	45.30%	26.70%	28.01%	+0.23	-0.5	18
2004-11-05	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	D 3-3	69.7	1486	1467	28.01%	26.70%	45.30%	-0.23	+0.5	25
2004-11-05	Ried	L 0-1	44.5	1373	1564	23.05%	25.94%	51.01%	-0.64	-6.5	17
2004-11-05	@ LASK Linz	W 1-0	44.5	1564	1373	51.01%	25.94%	23.05%	+0.64	+6.5	31
2004-11-05	SV Worgl	L 1-2	58.0	1487	1360	62.07%	23.11%	14.82%	+0.97	-13.6	18
2004-11-05	@ Gratkorn	W 2-1	58.0	1360	1487	14.82%	23.11%	62.07%	-0.97	+13.6	17
2004-11-09	Gratkorn	D 1-1	56.3	1373	1473	34.04%	27.07%	38.89%	-0.18	+0.2	8
2004-11-09	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	D 1-1	56.3	1473	1373	38.89%	27.07%	34.04%	+0.18	-0.2	19
2004-11-09	Kapfenberger	L 0-1	53.1	1486	1576	35.37%	27.10%	37.53%	-0.13	-9.2	25
2004-11-09	@ Leoben	W 1-0	53.1	1576	1486	37.53%	27.10%	35.37%	+0.13	+9.2	33
2004-11-09	LASK Linz	W 4-0	34.1	1568	1366	68.91%	20.35%	10.74%	+1.35	+10.9	34
2004-11-09	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-4	34.1	1366	1568	10.74%	20.35%	68.91%	-1.35	-10.9	17
2004-11-09	SC Rheindorf Altach	W 3-0	40.9	1571	1466	59.78%	23.86%	16.36%	+0.86	+13.1	34
2004-11-09	@ Ried	L 0-3	40.9	1466	1571	16.36%	23.86%	59.78%	-0.86	-13.1	18
2004-11-12	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	55.7	1373	1579	21.64%	25.63%	52.73%	-0.72	+1.8	18
2004-11-12	@ SV Worgl	D 0-0	55.7	1579	1373	52.73%	25.63%	21.64%	+0.72	-1.8	35
2004-11-12	Gratkorn	L 0-1	51.0	1453	1473	45.17%	26.71%	28.12%	+0.23	-11.1	18
2004-11-12	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	W 1-0	51.0	1473	1453	28.12%	26.71%	45.17%	-0.23	+11.1	22
2004-11-12	Leoben	L 2-3	54.7	1355	1477	31.11%	26.95%	41.94%	-0.29	-7.5	17
2004-11-12	@ LASK Linz	W 3-2	54.7	1477	1355	41.94%	26.95%	31.11%	+0.29	+7.5	28
2004-11-12	SC Untersiebenbrunn	D 2-2	67.9	1585	1374	69.75%	19.96%	10.29%	+1.40	-2.5	34
2004-11-12	@ Kapfenberger	D 2-2	67.9	1374	1585	10.29%	19.96%	69.75%	-1.40	+2.5	9
2004-11-16	FC Karnten	L 0-2	41.7	1375	1590	20.77%	25.41%	53.82%	-0.76	-11.3	18
2004-11-16	@ SV Worgl	W 2-0	41.7	1590	1375	53.82%	25.41%	20.77%	+0.76	+11.2	32
2004-11-19	FC Karnten	W 1-0	54.6	1577	1601	44.56%	26.76%	28.67%	+0.20	+7.8	38
2004-11-19	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	54.6	1601	1577	28.67%	26.76%	44.56%	-0.20	-7.8	32
2004-11-19	Kapfenberger	L 0-2	50.0	1484	1583	34.14%	27.08%	38.79%	-0.18	-16.9	22
2004-11-19	@ Gratkorn	W 2-0	50.0	1583	1484	38.79%	27.08%	34.14%	+0.18	+16.9	37
2004-11-19	LASK Linz	W 2-0	35.2	1584	1348	71.74%	18.99%	9.27%	+1.52	+4.9	37
2004-11-19	@ Ried	L 0-2	35.2	1348	1584	9.27%	18.99%	71.74%	-1.52	-4.9	17
2004-11-19	SC Rheindorf Altach	L 0-1	45.9	1376	1442	38.83%	27.07%	34.10%	-0.01	-9.8	9
2004-11-19	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 1-0	45.9	1442	1376	34.10%	27.07%	38.83%	+0.01	+9.8	21
2004-11-19	SV Worgl	D 2-2	63.3	1484	1364	61.42%	23.33%	15.25%	+0.94	-1.9	29
2004-11-19	@ Leoben	D 2-2	63.3	1364	1484	15.25%	23.33%	61.42%	-0.94	+1.9	19
2004-11-23	Ried	W 3-0	48.9	1594	1589	48.35%	26.35%	25.30%	+0.35	+19.4	35
2004-11-23	@ FC Karnten	L 0-3	48.9	1589	1594	25.30%	26.35%	48.35%	-0.35	-19.4	37
2004-11-26	Austria Lustenau	D 3-3	69.4	1343	1585	18.47%	24.70%	56.83%	-0.90	+1.3	18
2004-11-26	@ LASK Linz	D 3-3	69.4	1585	1343	56.83%	24.70%	18.47%	+0.90	-1.3	39
2004-11-26	Gratkorn	W 1-0	45.9	1613	1467	63.88%	22.46%	13.67%	+1.07	+4.0	38
2004-11-26	@ FC Karnten	L 0-1	45.9	1467	1613	13.67%	22.46%	63.88%	-1.07	-4.0	22
2004-11-26	Leoben	W 1-0	46.8	1600	1483	61.08%	23.44%	15.47%	+0.92	+4.5	40
2004-11-26	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-1	46.8	1483	1600	15.47%	23.44%	61.08%	-0.92	-4.5	29
2004-11-26	Ried	W 2-1	58.9	1452	1569	31.65%	26.98%	41.37%	-0.27	+9.7	24
2004-11-26	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	L 1-2	58.9	1569	1452	41.37%	26.98%	31.65%	+0.27	-9.7	37
2004-11-26	SC Untersiebenbrunn	L 1-2	52.2	1366	1366	47.64%	26.44%	25.92%	+0.32	-10.9	19
2004-11-26	@ SV Worgl	W 2-1	52.2	1366	1366	25.92%	26.44%	47.64%	-0.32	+10.9	12
2004-12-03	Kapfenberger	D 2-2	73.5	1584	1604	45.05%	26.72%	28.23%	+0.22	-0.6	40
2004-12-03	@ Austria Lustenau	D 2-2	73.5	1604	1584	28.23%	26.72%	45.05%	-0.22	+0.6	41
2004-12-03	LASK Linz	W 2-0	35.4	1617	1344	74.58%	17.52%	7.90%	+1.71	+4.1	41
2004-12-03	@ FC Karnten	L 0-2	35.4	1344	1617	7.90%	17.52%	74.58%	-1.71	-4.0	18
2004-12-03	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 5-0	35.2	1560	1377	67.23%	21.10%	11.67%	+1.25	+14.8	40
2004-12-03	@ Ried	L 0-5	35.2	1377	1560	11.67%	21.10%	67.23%	-1.25	-14.8	12
2004-12-03	SC Rheindorf Altach	D 0-0	55.1	1478	1462	49.78%	26.14%	24.08%	+0.41	-1.5	30
2004-12-03	@ Leoben	D 0-0	55.1	1462	1478	24.08%	26.14%	49.78%	-0.41	+1.5	25
2004-12-03	SV Worgl	W 6-0	34.4	1463	1355	60.17%	23.74%	16.09%	+0.88	+24.6	25
2004-12-03	@ Gratkorn	L 0-6	34.4	1355	1463	16.09%	23.74%	60.17%	-0.88	-24.6	19
2005-03-04	Gratkorn	W 2-1	53.6	1340	1488	27.89%	26.68%	45.43%	-0.42	+10.5	21
2005-03-04	@ LASK Linz	L 1-2	53.6	1488	1340	45.43%	26.68%	27.89%	+0.42	-10.5	25
2005-03-08	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	60.7	1351	1605	17.51%	24.34%	58.15%	-0.96	+2.2	22
2005-03-08	@ LASK Linz	D 1-1	60.7	1605	1351	58.15%	24.34%	17.51%	+0.96	-2.2	42
2005-03-08	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 3-2	49.6	1583	1362	70.49%	19.60%	9.90%	+1.44	+2.5	43
2005-03-08	@ Austria Lustenau	L 2-3	49.6	1362	1583	9.90%	19.60%	70.49%	-1.44	-2.5	12
2005-03-08	SC Rheindorf Altach	D 0-0	55.1	1477	1463	49.50%	26.18%	24.32%	+0.40	-1.5	26
2005-03-08	@ Gratkorn	D 0-0	55.1	1463	1477	24.32%	26.18%	49.50%	-0.40	+1.5	26
2005-03-08	SV Worgl	W 4-0	32.6	1621	1330	75.91%	16.79%	7.30%	+1.80	+7.0	44
2005-03-08	@ FC Karnten	L 0-4	32.6	1330	1621	7.30%	16.79%	75.91%	-1.80	-7.0	19
2005-03-11	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	59.1	1574	1586	46.30%	26.59%	27.11%	+0.27	+7.0	43
2005-03-11	@ Ried	L 1-2	59.1	1586	1574	27.11%	26.59%	46.30%	-0.27	-7.0	43
2005-03-18	Leoben	D 0-0	60.0	1579	1476	59.52%	23.94%	16.54%	+0.84	-2.6	44
2005-03-18	@ Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	60.0	1476	1579	16.54%	23.94%	59.52%	-0.84	+2.6	31
2005-03-18	Ried	L 2-6	53.1	1476	1582	33.20%	27.05%	39.75%	-0.21	-22.2	26
2005-03-18	@ Gratkorn	W 6-2	53.1	1582	1476	39.75%	27.05%	33.20%	+0.21	+22.2	46
2005-03-18	SC Untersiebenbrunn	L 1-2	64.8	1628	1360	74.24%	17.70%	8.06%	+1.69	-15.6	44
2005-03-18	@ FC Karnten	W 2-1	64.8	1360	1628	8.06%	17.70%	74.24%	-1.69	+15.6	15
2005-03-18	SC Rheindorf Altach	D 2-2	71.1	1603	1465	63.12%	22.73%	14.14%	+1.03	-2.0	43
2005-03-18	@ Kapfenberger	D 2-2	71.1	1465	1603	14.14%	22.73%	63.12%	-1.03	+2.0	27
2005-03-18	SV Worgl	D 0-0	49.0	1353	1323	51.44%	25.87%	22.70%	+0.48	-1.7	23
2005-03-18	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	49.0	1323	1353	22.70%	25.87%	51.44%	-0.48	+1.7	20
2005-04-01	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	58.7	1325	1576	17.75%	24.43%	57.81%	-0.95	+12.8	23
2005-04-01	@ SV Worgl	L 1-2	58.7	1576	1325	57.81%	24.43%	17.75%	+0.95	-12.8	44
2005-04-01	FC Karnten	D 0-0	60.0	1467	1612	28.10%	26.70%	45.20%	-0.41	+1.0	28
2005-04-01	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	D 0-0	60.0	1612	1467	45.20%	26.70%	28.10%	+0.41	-1.0	45
2005-04-01	Gratkorn	W 2-0	41.4	1479	1454	50.92%	25.96%	23.12%	+0.46	+12.4	34
2005-04-01	@ Leoben	L 0-2	41.4	1454	1479	23.12%	25.96%	50.92%	-0.46	-12.4	26
2005-04-01	Kapfenberger	W 4-1	54.7	1604	1601	48.11%	26.38%	25.51%	+0.34	+16.4	49
2005-04-01	@ Ried	L 1-4	54.7	1601	1604	25.51%	26.38%	48.11%	-0.34	-16.5	43
2005-04-01	LASK Linz	D 0-0	49.6	1376	1351	50.77%	25.98%	23.25%	+0.45	-1.6	16
2005-04-01	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	D 0-0	49.6	1351	1376	23.25%	25.98%	50.77%	-0.45	+1.6	24
2005-04-05	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	57.2	1441	1563	31.07%	26.95%	41.98%	-0.29	+0.6	27
2005-04-05	@ Gratkorn	D 0-0	57.2	1563	1441	41.98%	26.95%	31.07%	+0.29	-0.6	45
2005-04-05	Leoben	D 1-1	56.4	1353	1491	28.96%	26.79%	44.25%	-0.38	+0.8	25
2005-04-05	@ LASK Linz	D 1-1	56.4	1491	1353	44.25%	26.79%	28.96%	+0.38	-0.8	35
2005-04-05	Ried	D 1-1	68.7	1611	1620	46.61%	26.56%	26.83%	+0.28	-1.0	46
2005-04-05	@ FC Karnten	D 1-1	68.7	1620	1611	26.83%	26.56%	46.61%	-0.28	+1.0	50
2005-04-05	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 4-3	53.1	1584	1374	69.63%	20.01%	10.35%	+1.39	+2.6	46
2005-04-05	@ Kapfenberger	L 3-4	53.1	1374	1584	10.35%	20.01%	69.63%	-1.39	-2.6	16
2005-04-05	SV Worgl	D 1-1	56.5	1468	1338	62.34%	23.01%	14.64%	+0.99	-2.7	29
2005-04-05	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	D 1-1	56.5	1338	1468	14.64%	23.01%	62.34%	-0.99	+2.6	24
2005-04-08	FC Karnten	D 1-1	68.8	1621	1610	49.09%	26.24%	24.66%	+0.38	-1.3	51
2005-04-08	@ Ried	D 1-1	68.8	1610	1621	24.66%	26.24%	49.09%	-0.38	+1.3	47
2005-04-08	Gratkorn	D 0-0	58.3	1562	1442	61.41%	23.33%	15.25%	+0.94	-2.9	46
2005-04-08	@ Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	58.3	1442	1562	15.25%	23.33%	61.41%	-0.94	+2.9	28
2005-04-08	Kapfenberger	L 0-3	39.8	1371	1587	20.76%	25.40%	53.84%	-0.77	-16.3	16
2005-04-08	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 3-0	39.8	1587	1371	53.84%	25.40%	20.76%	+0.77	+16.3	49
2005-04-08	LASK Linz	D 0-0	53.1	1491	1354	63.03%	22.77%	14.20%	+1.02	-3.0	36
2005-04-08	@ Leoben	D 0-0	53.1	1354	1491	14.20%	22.77%	63.03%	-1.02	+3.0	26
2005-04-08	SC Rheindorf Altach	D 0-0	50.8	1340	1465	30.70%	26.92%	42.37%	-0.31	+0.7	25
2005-04-08	@ SV Worgl	D 0-0	50.8	1465	1340	42.37%	26.92%	30.70%	+0.31	-0.6	30
2005-04-15	Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	51.5	1612	1560	54.06%	25.35%	20.59%	+0.59	+5.9	50
2005-04-15	@ FC Karnten	L 0-1	51.5	1560	1612	20.59%	25.35%	54.06%	-0.59	-5.9	46
2005-04-15	Gratkorn	D 1-1	64.8	1603	1445	65.06%	22.00%	12.94%	+1.13	-2.9	50
2005-04-15	@ Kapfenberger	D 1-1	64.8	1445	1603	12.94%	22.00%	65.06%	-1.13	+2.9	29
2005-04-15	Leoben	L 1-2	48.4	1341	1488	27.98%	26.69%	45.33%	-0.42	-7.2	25
2005-04-15	@ SV Worgl	W 2-1	48.4	1488	1341	45.33%	26.69%	27.98%	+0.42	+7.2	39
2005-04-15	Ried	D 2-2	67.4	1357	1620	16.83%	24.07%	59.10%	-1.01	+1.7	27
2005-04-15	@ LASK Linz	D 2-2	67.4	1620	1357	59.10%	24.07%	16.83%	+1.01	-1.7	52
2005-04-15	SC Untersiebenbrunn	D 1-1	56.6	1464	1355	60.27%	23.71%	16.02%	+0.88	-2.4	31
2005-04-15	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	D 1-1	56.6	1355	1464	16.02%	23.71%	60.27%	-0.88	+2.4	17
2005-04-22	FC Karnten	L 2-3	60.7	1448	1618	25.30%	26.35%	48.35%	-0.54	-6.3	29
2005-04-22	@ Gratkorn	W 3-2	60.7	1618	1448	48.35%	26.35%	25.30%	+0.54	+6.3	53
2005-04-22	Kapfenberger	W 1-0	55.5	1495	1600	33.26%	27.05%	39.69%	-0.21	+10.0	42
2005-04-22	@ Leoben	L 0-1	55.5	1600	1495	39.69%	27.05%	33.26%	+0.21	-10.0	50
2005-04-22	LASK Linz	D 1-1	60.3	1554	1358	68.35%	20.60%	11.05%	+1.32	-3.2	47
2005-04-22	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	60.3	1358	1554	11.05%	20.60%	68.35%	-1.32	+3.2	28
2005-04-22	SC Rheindorf Altach	W 1-0	45.6	1618	1462	64.85%	22.08%	13.07%	+1.12	+3.8	55
2005-04-22	@ Ried	L 0-1	45.6	1462	1618	13.07%	22.08%	64.85%	-1.12	-3.8	31
2005-04-22	SV Worgl	D 2-2	59.5	1358	1334	50.70%	25.99%	23.30%	+0.45	-1.1	18
2005-04-22	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	D 2-2	59.5	1334	1358	23.30%	25.99%	50.70%	-0.45	+1.1	26
2005-04-26	Ried	L 1-3	57.0	1505	1622	31.70%	26.98%	41.32%	-0.27	-13.8	42
2005-04-26	@ Leoben	W 3-1	57.0	1622	1505	41.32%	26.98%	31.70%	+0.27	+13.8	58
2005-04-29	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	56.7	1590	1550	52.63%	25.65%	21.73%	+0.53	+5.9	53
2005-04-29	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-2	56.7	1550	1590	21.73%	25.65%	52.63%	-0.53	-5.9	47
2005-04-29	FC Karnten	W 4-2	63.4	1362	1624	16.90%	24.09%	59.01%	-1.00	+20.2	31
2005-04-29	@ LASK Linz	L 2-4	63.4	1624	1362	59.01%	24.09%	16.90%	+1.00	-20.2	53
2005-04-29	Gratkorn	W 1-0	45.3	1335	1441	33.12%	27.04%	39.84%	-0.21	+10.0	29
2005-04-29	@ SV Worgl	L 0-1	45.3	1441	1335	39.84%	27.04%	33.12%	+0.21	-10.0	29
2005-04-29	Leoben	W 2-1	52.7	1458	1491	43.40%	26.86%	29.74%	+0.16	+7.6	34
2005-04-29	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	L 1-2	52.7	1491	1458	29.74%	26.86%	43.40%	-0.16	-7.6	42
2005-04-29	Ried	L 0-1	43.6	1356	1636	15.69%	23.55%	60.76%	-1.09	-4.6	18
2005-04-29	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 1-0	43.6	1636	1356	60.76%	23.55%	15.69%	+1.09	+4.6	61
2005-05-03	Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	61.9	1466	1545	36.99%	27.10%	35.91%	-0.07	-0.0	35
2005-05-03	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	D 1-1	61.9	1545	1466	35.91%	27.10%	36.99%	+0.07	+0.1	48
2005-05-03	FC Karnten	W 2-0	51.5	1596	1604	46.76%	26.54%	26.70%	+0.29	+13.9	56
2005-05-03	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-2	51.5	1604	1596	26.70%	26.54%	46.76%	-0.29	-13.9	53
2005-05-03	Leoben	W 2-1	53.2	1352	1484	29.82%	26.86%	43.32%	-0.34	+10.1	21
2005-05-03	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	L 1-2	53.2	1484	1352	43.32%	26.86%	29.82%	+0.34	-10.1	42
2005-05-03	Ried	L 1-2	48.4	1345	1640	14.62%	23.00%	62.37%	-1.17	-4.0	29
2005-05-03	@ SV Worgl	W 2-1	48.4	1640	1345	62.37%	23.00%	14.62%	+1.17	+4.0	64
2005-05-06	Kapfenberger	L 1-2	65.5	1590	1610	45.09%	26.71%	28.19%	+0.22	-10.4	53
2005-05-06	@ FC Karnten	W 2-1	65.5	1610	1590	28.19%	26.71%	45.09%	-0.22	+10.4	59
2005-05-06	LASK Linz	D 0-0	51.5	1431	1382	53.74%	25.42%	20.83%	+0.58	-2.0	30
2005-05-06	@ Gratkorn	D 0-0	51.5	1382	1431	20.83%	25.42%	53.74%	-0.58	+2.0	32
2005-05-06	SC Untersiebenbrunn	L 0-2	48.9	1473	1362	60.49%	23.64%	15.88%	+0.89	-26.7	42
2005-05-06	@ Leoben	W 2-0	48.9	1362	1473	15.88%	23.64%	60.49%	-0.89	+26.7	24
2005-05-06	SC Rheindorf Altach	W 2-1	50.9	1545	1466	57.07%	24.63%	18.30%	+0.73	+5.0	51
2005-05-06	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	50.9	1466	1545	18.30%	24.63%	57.07%	-0.73	-5.0	35
2005-05-06	SV Worgl	W 4-0	33.6	1644	1341	76.81%	16.28%	6.90%	+1.87	+6.6	67
2005-05-06	@ Ried	L 0-4	33.6	1341	1644	6.90%	16.28%	76.81%	-1.87	-6.6	29
2005-05-10	FC Karnten	L 0-4	45.1	1447	1579	29.70%	26.85%	43.45%	-0.35	-28.8	42
2005-05-10	@ Leoben	W 4-0	45.1	1579	1447	43.45%	26.85%	29.70%	+0.35	+28.8	56
2005-05-10	Gratkorn	W 2-0	40.6	1389	1429	42.35%	26.93%	30.72%	+0.12	+15.6	27
2005-05-10	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	L 0-2	40.6	1429	1389	30.72%	26.93%	42.35%	-0.12	-15.6	30
2005-05-10	Kapfenberger	L 1-2	47.5	1334	1620	15.23%	23.32%	61.45%	-1.12	-4.2	29
2005-05-10	@ SV Worgl	W 2-1	47.5	1620	1334	61.45%	23.32%	15.23%	+1.12	+4.2	62
2005-05-10	LASK Linz	W 3-1	42.7	1461	1384	56.84%	24.69%	18.47%	+0.72	+8.8	38
2005-05-10	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	L 1-3	42.7	1384	1461	18.47%	24.69%	56.84%	-0.72	-8.8	32
2005-05-13	Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	59.9	1404	1550	28.13%	26.71%	45.17%	-0.41	+0.9	28
2005-05-13	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	D 1-1	59.9	1550	1404	45.17%	26.71%	28.13%	+0.41	-0.9	52
2005-05-13	FC Karnten	W 1-0	55.1	1330	1608	15.78%	23.59%	60.63%	-1.08	+14.2	32
2005-05-13	@ SV Worgl	L 0-1	55.1	1608	1330	60.63%	23.59%	15.78%	+1.08	-14.2	56
2005-05-13	Gratkorn	D 1-1	58.0	1469	1414	54.48%	25.26%	20.26%	+0.61	-1.8	39
2005-05-13	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	D 1-1	58.0	1414	1469	20.26%	25.26%	54.48%	-0.61	+1.8	31
2005-05-13	LASK Linz	W 2-1	45.8	1625	1375	72.82%	18.45%	8.74%	+1.59	+2.3	65
2005-05-13	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-2	45.8	1375	1625	8.74%	18.45%	72.82%	-1.59	-2.3	32
2005-05-13	Leoben	W 3-0	38.6	1651	1418	71.50%	19.11%	9.39%	+1.51	+7.2	70
2005-05-13	@ Ried	L 0-3	38.6	1418	1651	9.39%	19.11%	71.50%	-1.51	-7.2	42
2005-05-20	Ried	D 1-1	68.0	1549	1658	32.73%	27.03%	40.24%	-0.23	+0.4	53
2005-05-20	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	68.0	1658	1549	40.24%	27.03%	32.73%	+0.23	-0.4	71
2005-05-20	SC Untersiebenbrunn	L 0-3	44.2	1416	1405	49.05%	26.25%	24.70%	+0.38	-32.4	31
2005-05-20	@ Gratkorn	W 3-0	44.2	1405	1416	24.70%	26.25%	49.05%	-0.38	+32.4	31
2005-05-20	SC Rheindorf Altach	D 1-1	56.2	1373	1468	34.72%	27.09%	38.20%	-0.15	+0.2	33
2005-05-20	@ LASK Linz	D 1-1	56.2	1468	1373	38.20%	27.09%	34.72%	+0.15	-0.2	40
2005-05-20	SV Worgl	W 2-1	44.0	1627	1344	75.32%	17.12%	7.56%	+1.76	+1.9	68
2005-05-20	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-2	44.0	1344	1627	7.56%	17.12%	75.32%	-1.76	-1.9	32
2005-05-21	Leoben	D 2-2	69.3	1594	1411	67.30%	21.07%	11.63%	+1.26	-2.3	57
2005-05-21	@ FC Karnten	D 2-2	69.3	1411	1594	11.63%	21.07%	67.30%	-1.26	+2.3	43
2005-05-24	Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	51.9	1413	1549	29.27%	26.82%	43.92%	-0.36	+10.8	46
2005-05-24	@ Leoben	L 0-1	51.9	1549	1413	43.92%	26.82%	29.27%	+0.36	-10.8	53
2005-05-24	FC Karnten	W 2-1	60.6	1438	1592	27.10%	26.59%	46.31%	-0.45	+10.7	34
2005-05-24	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	L 1-2	60.6	1592	1438	46.31%	26.59%	27.10%	+0.45	-10.6	57
2005-05-24	Gratkorn	W 3-2	51.9	1658	1383	74.73%	17.44%	7.83%	+1.72	+1.9	74
2005-05-24	@ Ried	L 2-3	51.9	1383	1658	7.83%	17.44%	74.73%	-1.72	-1.9	31
2005-05-24	Kapfenberger	L 1-2	56.9	1467	1629	26.26%	26.49%	47.25%	-0.49	-6.9	40
2005-05-24	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	W 2-1	56.9	1629	1467	47.25%	26.49%	26.26%	+0.49	+6.9	71
2005-05-24	LASK Linz	L 0-1	45.4	1342	1373	43.71%	26.83%	29.46%	+0.17	-10.8	32
2005-05-24	@ SV Worgl	W 1-0	45.4	1373	1342	29.46%	26.83%	43.71%	-0.17	+10.8	36
2005-05-27	Leoben	D 2-2	61.1	1381	1424	42.07%	26.94%	30.99%	+0.11	-0.4	32
2005-05-27	@ Gratkorn	D 2-2	61.1	1424	1381	30.99%	26.94%	42.07%	-0.11	+0.4	47
2005-05-27	Ried	L 2-3	72.2	1636	1660	44.61%	26.76%	28.63%	+0.21	-9.8	71
2005-05-27	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-2	72.2	1660	1636	28.63%	26.76%	44.61%	-0.21	+9.8	77
2005-05-27	SC Untersiebenbrunn	W 2-1	50.3	1384	1448	39.04%	27.07%	33.89%	+0.00	+8.4	39
2005-05-27	@ LASK Linz	L 1-2	50.3	1448	1384	33.89%	27.07%	39.04%	+0.00	-8.4	34
2005-05-27	SC Rheindorf Altach	D 0-0	59.7	1581	1461	61.39%	23.34%	15.27%	+0.94	-2.8	58
2005-05-27	@ FC Karnten	D 0-0	59.7	1461	1581	15.27%	23.34%	61.39%	-0.94	+2.9	41
2005-05-27	SV Worgl	W 2-0	33.9	1538	1332	69.34%	20.15%	10.51%	+1.37	+5.6	56
2005-05-27	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	33.9	1332	1538	10.51%	20.15%	69.34%	-1.37	-5.6	32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2005-03-18	8.06%	SC Untersiebenbrunn	1360	2	@ FC Karnten	1628	1
2	2004-11-05	14.82%	SV Worgl	1360	2	@ Gratkorn	1487	1
3	2004-09-24	15.27%	LASK Linz	1346	2	@ Gratkorn	1467	1
4	2004-07-23	15.68%	SV Worgl	1376	2	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	1490	0
5	2005-05-13	15.78%	@ SV Worgl	1330	1	FC Karnten	1608	0
6	2005-05-06	15.88%	SC Untersiebenbrunn	1362	2	@ Leoben	1473	0
7	2004-10-01	16.12%	Gratkorn	1453	3	@ Kapfenberger	1561	0
8	2005-04-29	16.90%	@ LASK Linz	1362	4	FC Karnten	1624	2
9	2005-04-01	17.75%	@ SV Worgl	1325	2	Austria Lustenau	1576	1
10	2004-08-20	18.37%	Kapfenberger	1544	3	@ FC Karnten	1622	1
11	2004-09-17	19.74%	Ried	1527	2	@ Kapfenberger	1589	1
12	2004-10-29	20.74%	@ SV Worgl	1347	1	Kapfenberger	1562	0
13	2004-08-03	20.80%	Leoben	1468	2	@ Ried	1518	1
14	2004-10-15	22.77%	LASK Linz	1360	2	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	1389	1
15	2005-05-20	24.70%	SC Untersiebenbrunn	1405	3	@ Gratkorn	1416	0
16	2004-11-26	25.92%	SC Untersiebenbrunn	1366	2	@ SV Worgl	1366	1
17	2004-10-26	26.53%	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	1461	2	FC Karnten	1620	1
18	2004-07-23	26.55%	Austria Lustenau	1529	4	@ Ried	1523	1
19	2005-05-24	27.10%	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	1438	2	FC Karnten	1592	1
20	2004-08-13	27.23%	Leoben	1492	2	@ Gratkorn	1479	0
21	2005-03-04	27.89%	@ LASK Linz	1340	2	Gratkorn	1488	1
22	2004-11-12	28.12%	Gratkorn	1473	1	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	1453	0
23	2005-05-06	28.19%	Kapfenberger	1610	2	@ FC Karnten	1590	1
24	2005-05-27	28.63%	Ried	1660	3	@ Kapfenberger	1636	2
25	2005-05-24	29.27%	@ Leoben	1413	1	Austria Lustenau	1549	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-08-13	56.35	FC Karnten	8	1565	42.74%	@ LASK Linz	0	1438	30.36%	26.90%
2	2004-10-01	38.55	Gratkorn	3	1453	16.12%	@ Kapfenberger	0	1561	60.13%	23.75%
3	2004-08-13	33.62	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	4	1463	36.40%	Austria Lustenau	0	1546	36.50%	27.10%
4	2005-05-20	32.43	SC Untersiebenbrunn	3	1405	24.70%	@ Gratkorn	0	1416	49.05%	26.25%
5	2004-10-26	30.44	@ Kapfenberger	4	1532	41.08%	Austria Lustenau	0	1582	31.93%	26.99%
6	2005-05-10	28.79	FC Karnten	4	1579	43.45%	@ Leoben	0	1447	29.70%	26.85%
7	2004-07-23	26.78	SV Worgl	2	1376	15.68%	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	0	1490	60.77%	23.54%
8	2004-11-05	26.77	@ Kapfenberger	5	1549	38.61%	FC Karnten	1	1617	34.31%	27.08%
9	2005-05-06	26.68	SC Untersiebenbrunn	2	1362	15.88%	@ Leoben	0	1473	60.49%	23.64%
10	2004-07-23	26.37	Austria Lustenau	4	1529	26.55%	@ Ried	1	1523	46.92%	26.52%
11	2004-07-27	26.14	@ FC Karnten	4	1501	47.19%	Gratkorn	0	1505	26.32%	26.49%
12	2004-12-03	24.57	@ Gratkorn	6	1463	60.17%	SV Worgl	0	1355	16.09%	23.74%
13	2005-03-18	22.17	Ried	6	1582	39.75%	@ Gratkorn	2	1476	33.20%	27.05%
14	2004-08-20	21.96	Kapfenberger	3	1544	18.37%	@ FC Karnten	1	1622	56.97%	24.66%
15	2004-10-26	21.57	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	5	1374	29.45%	Leoben	2	1508	43.72%	26.83%
16	2004-08-13	21.24	Leoben	2	1492	27.23%	@ Gratkorn	0	1479	46.16%	26.61%
17	2004-07-27	20.97	Ried	4	1497	38.08%	@ SV Worgl	1	1403	34.83%	27.09%
18	2004-08-27	20.53	Austria Lustenau	3	1517	46.23%	@ LASK Linz	0	1363	27.17%	26.60%
19	2004-08-06	20.38	@ FC Karnten	4	1545	55.17%	SC Rheindorf Altach	0	1483	19.72%	25.10%
20	2004-10-01	20.34	@ Austria Lustenau	3	1546	46.59%	Ried	0	1555	26.85%	26.56%
21	2005-04-29	20.23	@ LASK Linz	4	1362	16.90%	FC Karnten	2	1624	59.01%	24.09%
22	2004-07-27	20.01	@ Kapfenberger	3	1501	47.20%	SC Rheindorf Altach	0	1506	26.31%	26.49%
23	2004-11-23	19.37	@ FC Karnten	3	1594	48.35%	Ried	0	1589	25.30%	26.35%
24	2004-09-10	18.92	FC Karnten	2	1605	33.10%	@ Ried	0	1546	39.86%	27.04%
25	2004-08-03	18.28	FC Karnten	2	1527	34.81%	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	0	1456	38.10%	27.09%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-12-03	73.5	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1584	45.05%	Kapfenberger	2	1604	28.23%	26.72%
2	2004-09-24	72.9	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1546	37.48%	FC Karnten	2	1622	35.42%	27.10%
3	2005-05-27	72.2	Ried	3	1660	28.63%	@ Kapfenberger	2	1636	44.61%	26.76%
4	2004-10-22	71.2	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1583	57.38%	Gratkorn	2	1502	18.07%	24.55%
5	2005-03-18	71.1	@ Kapfenberger	2	1603	63.12%	SC Rheindorf Altach	2	1465	14.14%	22.73%
6	2004-11-05	69.7	@ SC Rheindorf Altach	3	1467	45.30%	Leoben	3	1486	28.01%	26.70%
7	2004-11-26	69.4	@ LASK Linz	3	1343	18.47%	Austria Lustenau	3	1585	56.83%	24.70%
8	2005-05-21	69.3	@ FC Karnten	2	1594	67.30%	Leoben	2	1411	11.63%	21.07%
9	2005-04-08	68.8	@ Ried	1	1621	49.09%	FC Karnten	1	1610	24.66%	26.24%
10	2005-04-05	68.7	@ FC Karnten	1	1611	46.61%	Ried	1	1620	26.83%	26.56%
11	2004-10-15	68.1	@ Gratkorn	3	1492	29.47%	FC Karnten	2	1626	43.70%	26.83%
12	2005-05-20	68.0	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1549	32.73%	Ried	1	1658	40.24%	27.03%
13	2004-09-17	67.9	@ FC Karnten	1	1624	57.14%	Austria Lustenau	1	1544	18.24%	24.61%
14	2004-11-12	67.9	@ Kapfenberger	2	1585	69.75%	SC Untersiebenbrunn	2	1374	10.29%	19.96%
15	2005-04-15	67.4	@ LASK Linz	2	1357	16.83%	Ried	2	1620	59.10%	24.07%
16	2004-09-17	65.8	Ried	2	1527	19.74%	@ Kapfenberger	1	1589	55.15%	25.11%
17	2004-08-20	65.7	@ SV Worgl	3	1373	36.09%	Gratkorn	3	1458	36.81%	27.10%
18	2005-05-06	65.5	Kapfenberger	2	1610	28.19%	@ FC Karnten	1	1590	45.09%	26.71%
19	2004-08-20	65.0	Kapfenberger	3	1544	18.37%	@ FC Karnten	1	1622	56.97%	24.66%
20	2005-03-18	64.8	SC Untersiebenbrunn	2	1360	8.06%	@ FC Karnten	1	1628	74.24%	17.70%
21	2005-04-15	64.8	@ Kapfenberger	1	1603	65.06%	Gratkorn	1	1445	12.94%	22.00%
22	2004-08-06	64.7	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1547	49.68%	Kapfenberger	1	1532	24.17%	26.16%
23	2004-10-26	64.0	@ LASK Linz	3	1381	52.11%	SV Worgl	3	1346	22.14%	25.75%
24	2005-04-29	63.4	@ LASK Linz	4	1362	16.90%	FC Karnten	2	1624	59.01%	24.09%
25	2004-11-19	63.3	@ Leoben	2	1484	61.42%	SV Worgl	2	1364	15.25%	23.33%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-03-08	32.6	@ FC Karnten	4	1621	75.91%	SV Worgl	0	1330	7.30%	16.79%
2	2005-05-06	33.6	@ Ried	4	1644	76.81%	SV Worgl	0	1341	6.90%	16.28%
3	2005-05-27	33.9	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1538	69.34%	SV Worgl	0	1332	10.51%	20.15%
4	2004-10-15	34.0	@ Ried	3	1535	66.14%	SV Worgl	0	1364	12.30%	21.56%
5	2004-11-09	34.1	@ Austria Lustenau	4	1568	68.91%	LASK Linz	0	1366	10.74%	20.35%
6	2004-12-03	34.4	@ Gratkorn	6	1463	60.17%	SV Worgl	0	1355	16.09%	23.74%
7	2004-08-13	35.2	@ Kapfenberger	3	1533	64.18%	SV Worgl	0	1384	13.48%	22.34%
8	2004-08-20	35.2	@ Ried	5	1518	63.00%	LASK Linz	0	1382	14.22%	22.78%
9	2004-11-19	35.2	@ Ried	2	1584	71.74%	LASK Linz	0	1348	9.27%	18.99%
10	2004-12-03	35.2	@ Ried	5	1560	67.23%	SC Untersiebenbrunn	0	1377	11.67%	21.10%
11	2004-12-03	35.4	@ FC Karnten	2	1617	74.58%	LASK Linz	0	1344	7.90%	17.52%
12	2004-10-29	35.7	@ FC Karnten	3	1610	71.22%	LASK Linz	0	1380	9.53%	19.25%
13	2004-09-10	36.0	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1537	66.06%	SV Worgl	0	1368	12.35%	21.59%
14	2004-10-29	36.1	@ Ried	3	1554	65.09%	SC Untersiebenbrunn	0	1395	12.92%	21.98%
15	2004-08-27	36.9	@ FC Karnten	2	1600	70.99%	SV Worgl	0	1373	9.65%	19.36%
16	2005-05-13	38.6	@ Ried	3	1651	71.50%	Leoben	0	1418	9.39%	19.11%
17	2004-08-27	39.4	Austria Lustenau	3	1517	46.23%	@ LASK Linz	0	1363	27.17%	26.60%
18	2005-04-08	39.8	Kapfenberger	3	1587	53.84%	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	0	1371	20.76%	25.40%
19	2004-08-06	40.3	@ Leoben	2	1480	52.97%	SC Untersiebenbrunn	0	1437	21.45%	25.58%
20	2005-05-10	40.6	@ SC Untersiebenbrunn	2	1389	42.35%	Gratkorn	0	1429	30.72%	26.93%
21	2004-11-09	40.9	@ Ried	3	1571	59.78%	SC Rheindorf Altach	0	1466	16.36%	23.86%
22	2004-09-17	41.0	Leoben	2	1511	45.72%	@ SV Worgl	0	1361	27.63%	26.65%
23	2004-08-03	41.1	@ Kapfenberger	2	1521	56.46%	LASK Linz	0	1448	18.75%	24.79%
24	2005-04-01	41.4	@ Leoben	2	1479	50.92%	Gratkorn	0	1454	23.12%	25.96%
25	2004-08-06	41.7	@ FC Karnten	4	1545	55.17%	SC Rheindorf Altach	0	1483	19.72%	25.10%