2005-06 First League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

LASK Linz

17.06 points above expected

66 points · 48.94 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kufstein

17.69 points below expected

16 points · 33.69 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	SCR Altach	36	20	8	8	68	61	35	+26	53.94	+14.06
2	LASK Linz	36	19	9	8	66	51	30	+21	48.94	+17.06
3	Austria Lustenau	36	17	11	8	62	54	32	+22	57.76	+4.24
4	Austria Wien (A)	36	16	10	10	58	58	40	+18	57.43	+0.57
5	Gratkorn	36	14	12	10	54	47	40	+7	44.80	+9.20
6	Leoben	36	14	9	13	51	59	49	+10	45.62	+5.38
7	FC Karnten	36	15	6	15	51	57	50	+7	57.02	-6.02
8	Kapfenberger	36	10	9	17	39	51	69	-18	51.18	-12.18
9	Schwanenstadt 08	36	9	6	21	33	33	57	-24	45.07	-12.07
10	Kufstein	36	4	4	28	16	23	92	-69	33.69	-17.69

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	LASK Linz	66	48.94	+17.06
2	SCR Altach	68	53.94	+14.06
3	Gratkorn	54	44.80	+9.20
4	Leoben	51	45.62	+5.38
5	Austria Lustenau	62	57.76	+4.24

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kufstein	16	33.69	-17.69
2	Kapfenberger	39	51.18	-12.18
3	Schwanenstadt 08	33	45.07	-12.07
4	FC Karnten	51	57.02	-6.02
5	Austria Wien (A)	58	57.43	+0.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Leoben	4	Mar 21 – Mar 31	1 in 71
2	LASK Linz	3	Aug 26 – Sep 16	1 in 40
3	Gratkorn	3	Oct 21 – Nov 4	1 in 26
4	SCR Altach	4	Apr 21 – May 9	1 in 17
5	Austria Wien (A)	3	Jul 8 – Jul 22	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Schwanenstadt 08	8	Nov 18 – Apr 7	1 in 1,351
2	Leoben	6	Aug 5 – Sep 16	1 in 174
3	Kufstein	10	Apr 11 – May 26	1 in 168
4	Austria Wien (A)	4	Mar 31 – Apr 14	1 in 160
5	Kapfenberger	5	Oct 21 – Nov 25	1 in 147

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gratkorn	13	Oct 14 – Apr 11	1 in 1,700
2	SCR Altach	13	Mar 28 – May 26	1 in 150
3	Leoben	8	Apr 21 – May 26	1 in 57
4	LASK Linz	6	Aug 12 – Sep 20	1 in 28
5	Austria Lustenau	8	Sep 16 – Nov 4	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Austria Wien (A)	5	Oct 21 – Nov 25	1 in 36
2	FC Karnten	6	Apr 7 – May 5	1 in 33
3	Schwanenstadt 08	9	Nov 4 – Apr 7	1 in 32
4	Kapfenberger	6	Oct 14 – Nov 25	1 in 24
5	SCR Altach	5	Sep 30 – Nov 4	1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
SCR Altach	1531	68	+24	9	8.1	+0.9
LASK Linz	1505	66	+20	13	8.6	+4.4
Austria Lustenau	1538	62	+20	10	9.3	+0.7
Austria Wien (A)	1489	58	-22	5	8.1	-3.1
Gratkorn	1438	54	+8	7	6.4	+0.6
Leoben	1478	51	+47	13	7.6	+5.4
FC Karnten	1467	51	-18	6	7.6	-1.6
Kapfenberger	1418	39	-25	4	5.6	-1.6
Schwanenstadt 08	1354	33	-22	1	5.0	-4.0
Kufstein	1223	16	-39	0	3.1	-3.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AL	AW(	FK	GRA	KAP	KUF	LL	LEO	SA	S0
Austria Lustenau	—	2-1-1 5.51	1-1-2 5.65	2-1-1 6.90	1-3-0 6.32	4-0-0 7.95	2-2-0 6.27	2-1-1 6.71	1-1-2 5.93	2-1-1 6.83
Austria Wien (A)	1-1-2 5.47	—	3-0-1 5.49	2-2-0 6.69	0-2-2 6.18	3-1-0 7.73	1-1-2 6.44	1-1-2 6.62	2-1-1 5.64	3-1-0 6.83
FC Karnten	2-1-1 5.34	1-0-3 5.50	—	1-1-2 6.84	2-0-2 6.24	3-0-1 7.96	2-0-2 6.10	1-2-1 6.69	1-2-1 5.83	2-0-2 6.46
Gratkorn	1-1-2 4.12	0-2-2 4.33	2-1-1 4.16	—	3-1-0 4.90	3-1-0 6.78	1-1-2 4.91	1-2-1 5.38	1-2-1 4.46	2-1-1 5.58
Kapfenberger	0-3-1 4.70	2-2-0 4.83	2-0-2 4.75	0-1-3 6.08	—	2-1-1 7.25	0-0-4 6.10	1-1-2 5.95	0-0-4 5.28	3-1-0 5.83
Kufstein	0-0-4 3.16	0-1-3 3.34	1-0-3 3.15	0-1-3 4.27	1-1-2 3.80	—	0-1-3 3.83	0-0-4 4.45	0-0-4 3.89	2-0-2 4.40
LASK Linz	0-2-2 4.73	2-1-1 4.56	2-0-2 4.91	2-1-1 6.08	4-0-0 4.88	3-1-0 7.29	—	3-1-0 5.68	1-1-2 4.93	2-2-0 5.81
Leoben	1-1-2 4.31	2-1-1 4.39	1-2-1 4.31	1-2-1 5.60	2-1-1 5.04	4-0-0 6.60	0-1-3 5.31	—	1-1-2 4.66	2-0-2 5.79
SCR Altach	2-1-1 5.06	1-1-2 5.35	1-2-1 5.15	1-2-1 6.53	4-0-0 5.74	4-0-0 7.13	2-1-1 6.07	2-1-1 6.32	—	3-0-1 6.44
Schwanenstadt 08	1-1-2 4.22	0-1-3 4.21	2-0-2 4.57	1-1-2 5.40	0-1-3 5.17	2-0-2 6.63	0-2-2 5.17	2-0-2 5.18	1-0-3 4.54	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.72	+11.2
Allowed	0.91	-8.1
Differential	0.96	+5.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.78%	8.89%	5.28%	3.06%	3.06%	0.56%	28.61%
1	8.89%	10.00%	8.06%	3.89%	2.50%	0.83%	34.17%
2	5.28%	8.06%	2.78%	1.39%	0.56%	0.28%	18.33%
3	3.06%	3.89%	1.39%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	3.06%	2.50%	0.56%	—	—	—	6.11%
5+	0.56%	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	—	1.67%
Total	28.61%	34.17%	18.33%	11.11%	6.11%	1.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.37	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.27	1.95
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	—	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	38.89%	41.67%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	0.89	+0.61
SD	1.34	0.95	1.50
CV	0.89	1.07	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	30.56%
1	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
2	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	38.89%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.11	+0.50
SD	1.34	1.09	1.81
CV	0.83	0.98	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	13.89%	—	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	19.44%	47.22%	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.39	+0.19
SD	1.52	1.13	1.94
CV	0.96	0.81	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	19.44%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	—	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	52.78%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.11	+0.19
SD	1.14	1.01	1.62
CV	0.87	0.91	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	—	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	19.44%
1	2.78%	13.89%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	47.22%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	—	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.92	-0.50
SD	1.16	1.46	2.06
CV	0.82	0.76	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	50.00%
1	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	38.89%
2	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	16.67%	19.44%	19.44%	25.00%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.64	2.56	-1.92
SD	0.76	1.52	1.75
CV	1.19	0.59	—
Max	3	5	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	16.67%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	50.00%	25.00%	19.44%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	0.83	+0.58
SD	1.27	1.03	1.66
CV	0.90	1.23	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	5.56%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	8.33%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	19.44%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	36.11%	16.67%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.36	+0.28
SD	1.31	1.27	2.05
CV	0.80	0.93	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	13.89%
1	19.44%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
2	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	41.67%	33.33%	11.11%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	0.97	+0.72
SD	1.39	1.06	1.97
CV	0.82	1.09	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
1	8.33%	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	22.22%	38.89%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.58	-0.67
SD	1.08	1.18	1.62
CV	1.18	0.75	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Austria Lustenau	1538	62	57.76	+4.24	74.0%	38	46	52	58	63	71	83
SCR Altach	1531	68	53.94	+14.06	97.5%	31	42	49	54	58	66	79
LASK Linz	1505	66	48.94	+17.06	98.4%	25	36	44	49	54	62	75
Austria Wien (A)	1489	58	57.43	+0.57	54.9%	32	45	53	57	62	70	83
Leoben	1478	51	45.62	+5.38	79.8%	25	33	41	46	50	58	72
FC Karnten	1467	51	57.02	-6.02	23.3%	31	44	52	57	62	70	86
Gratkorn	1438	54	44.80	+9.20	89.9%	20	33	40	45	50	57	74
Kapfenberger	1418	39	51.18	-12.18	6.8%	29	38	46	51	56	64	73
Schwanenstadt 08	1354	33	45.07	-12.07	7.0%	22	32	40	45	50	58	67
Kufstein	1223	16	33.69	-17.69	0.5%	12	22	29	34	39	45	60

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+22.22%

Clear Edge

49.44%23.33%27.22%

Elo Value

Home Edge

118 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

078.52300

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.64 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.66+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.0

Open

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

12%

SCR Altach, 4th of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.06/gm

Photo Finish

00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.98 * Some Luck: 5.98 to 8.97 * Lucky: 8.97 to 11.96 * Wild Swing: 11.96 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.41 * Close: 1.41 to 2.12 * Off: 2.12 to 2.82 * Way Off: 2.82 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

11.24 points

Lucky

07.4819

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.40

Off

01.764

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

98.40%

LASK Linz

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

0.50%

Kufstein

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Even

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.80

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

61%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Strong Edge

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Very Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

2.32

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

-0.22

Weak Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

As Expected

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.28

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.19

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.064

Well Within Noise

00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
SCR Altach	12.30%	14.30%	16.40%	16.50%	13.10%	11.30%	7.90%	5.40%	2.20%	0.60%
LASK Linz	4.80%	6.10%	8.40%	11.70%	14.40%	14.90%	13.40%	12.30%	10.70%	3.30%
Austria Lustenau	25.70%	21.10%	16.50%	12.50%	10.20%	5.40%	4.40%	3.10%	1.10%	—
Austria Wien (A)	24.50%	20.70%	16.50%	14.70%	8.10%	6.30%	5.30%	2.60%	0.90%	0.40%
Gratkorn	1.50%	3.00%	4.60%	7.20%	8.30%	10.60%	15.20%	18.70%	21.20%	9.70%
Leoben	1.60%	3.00%	4.80%	6.80%	9.40%	14.70%	16.40%	19.70%	17.50%	6.10%
FC Karnten	22.60%	18.30%	17.20%	14.10%	9.40%	6.90%	4.90%	4.20%	1.80%	0.60%
Kapfenberger	6.50%	10.00%	10.90%	11.10%	14.70%	15.30%	12.70%	9.10%	7.40%	2.30%
Schwanenstadt 08	0.50%	3.50%	4.10%	5.30%	11.90%	12.70%	16.30%	17.10%	18.40%	10.20%
Kufstein	—	—	0.60%	0.10%	0.50%	1.90%	3.50%	7.80%	18.80%	66.80%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Austria Lustenau	33.90%	66.10%	—
FC Karnten	28.80%	70.60%	0.60%
SCR Altach	16.00%	83.40%	0.60%
Kapfenberger	8.80%	88.90%	2.30%
LASK Linz	6.40%	90.30%	3.30%
Austria Wien (A)	—	99.60%	0.40%
Leoben	2.40%	91.50%	6.10%
Gratkorn	2.40%	87.90%	9.70%
Schwanenstadt 08	1.30%	88.50%	10.20%
Kufstein	—	33.20%	66.80%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2005-07-08	Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	48.8	1411	1475	39.78%	26.44%	33.78%	+0.13	-6.6	0
2005-07-08	@ Leoben	W 1-0	48.8	1475	1411	33.78%	26.44%	39.78%	-0.13	+6.6	3
2005-07-08	FC Karnten	L 1-2	57.3	1452	1493	42.91%	26.24%	30.85%	+0.32	-6.6	0
2005-07-08	@ Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-1	57.3	1493	1452	30.85%	26.24%	42.91%	-0.32	+6.6	3
2005-07-08	Gratkorn	W 2-0	37.4	1452	1388	56.39%	23.63%	19.98%	+1.20	+7.0	3
2005-07-08	@ Austria Wien (A)	L 0-2	37.4	1388	1452	19.98%	23.63%	56.39%	-1.20	-7.0	0
2005-07-08	Kapfenberger	W 3-0	45.1	1394	1518	31.39%	26.29%	42.31%	-0.38	+19.0	3
2005-07-08	@ LASK Linz	L 0-3	45.1	1518	1394	42.31%	26.29%	31.39%	+0.38	-19.0	0
2005-07-08	Kufstein	W 3-0	38.0	1432	1425	49.38%	25.35%	25.27%	+0.72	+12.7	3
2005-07-08	@ SCR Altach	L 0-3	38.0	1425	1432	25.27%	25.35%	49.38%	-0.72	-12.7	0
2005-07-15	Austria Wien (A)	L 1-2	60.4	1500	1459	53.63%	24.40%	21.97%	+1.01	-7.9	3
2005-07-15	@ FC Karnten	W 2-1	60.4	1459	1500	21.97%	24.40%	53.63%	-1.01	+7.9	6
2005-07-15	LASK Linz	W 1-0	42.1	1481	1413	56.92%	23.46%	19.61%	+1.24	+3.7	6
2005-07-15	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	42.1	1413	1481	19.61%	23.46%	56.92%	-1.24	-3.7	3
2005-07-15	Leoben	W 3-1	45.3	1381	1405	45.32%	25.99%	28.69%	+0.47	+8.4	3
2005-07-15	@ Gratkorn	L 1-3	45.3	1405	1381	28.69%	25.99%	45.32%	-0.47	-8.4	0
2005-07-15	Schwanenstadt 08	W 1-0	44.8	1412	1445	44.05%	26.13%	29.82%	+0.39	+5.3	3
2005-07-15	@ Kufstein	L 0-1	44.8	1445	1412	29.82%	26.13%	44.05%	-0.39	-5.3	0
2005-07-15	SCR Altach	L 0-1	54.6	1499	1445	55.30%	23.95%	20.75%	+1.12	-8.6	0
2005-07-15	@ Kapfenberger	W 1-0	54.6	1445	1499	20.75%	23.95%	55.30%	-1.12	+8.6	6
2005-07-22	FC Karnten	D 1-1	58.7	1396	1492	35.24%	26.49%	38.27%	-0.14	+0.1	1
2005-07-22	@ Leoben	D 1-1	58.7	1492	1396	38.27%	26.49%	35.24%	+0.14	-0.1	4
2005-07-22	Gratkorn	W 2-1	46.2	1485	1390	60.07%	22.40%	17.53%	+1.47	+3.1	9
2005-07-22	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	46.2	1390	1485	17.53%	22.40%	60.07%	-1.47	-3.1	3
2005-07-22	Kapfenberger	D 0-0	55.6	1440	1491	41.57%	26.35%	32.09%	+0.24	-0.3	1
2005-07-22	@ Schwanenstadt 08	D 0-0	55.6	1491	1440	32.09%	26.35%	41.57%	-0.24	+0.4	1
2005-07-22	Kufstein	W 4-0	36.8	1467	1418	54.66%	24.13%	21.21%	+1.08	+14.2	9
2005-07-22	@ Austria Wien (A)	L 0-4	36.8	1418	1467	21.21%	24.13%	54.66%	-1.08	-14.2	3
2005-07-22	SCR Altach	D 0-0	53.5	1410	1453	42.54%	26.27%	31.18%	+0.29	-0.4	4
2005-07-22	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	53.5	1453	1410	31.18%	26.27%	42.54%	-0.29	+0.4	7
2005-07-26	Austria Lustenau	W 4-2	54.1	1491	1488	48.89%	25.44%	25.67%	+0.69	+6.9	7
2005-07-26	@ FC Karnten	L 2-4	54.1	1488	1491	25.67%	25.44%	48.89%	-0.69	-6.9	9
2005-07-26	Austria Wien (A)	W 3-1	49.6	1491	1481	49.75%	25.28%	24.97%	+0.75	+7.5	4
2005-07-26	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-3	49.6	1481	1491	24.97%	25.28%	49.75%	-0.75	-7.5	9
2005-07-26	LASK Linz	W 3-1	45.5	1387	1409	45.43%	25.97%	28.60%	+0.47	+8.4	6
2005-07-26	@ Gratkorn	L 1-3	45.5	1409	1387	28.60%	25.97%	45.43%	-0.47	-8.4	4
2005-07-26	Leoben	L 1-3	51.7	1404	1396	49.38%	25.35%	25.27%	+0.72	-12.8	3
2005-07-26	@ Kufstein	W 3-1	51.7	1396	1404	25.27%	25.35%	49.38%	-0.72	+12.8	4
2005-07-26	Schwanenstadt 08	W 4-1	44.0	1454	1439	50.32%	25.17%	24.51%	+0.79	+10.4	10
2005-07-26	@ SCR Altach	L 1-4	44.0	1439	1454	24.51%	25.17%	50.32%	-0.79	-10.4	1
2005-07-29	FC Karnten	W 1-0	48.9	1395	1498	34.12%	26.46%	39.42%	-0.21	+6.6	9
2005-07-29	@ Gratkorn	L 0-1	48.9	1498	1395	39.42%	26.46%	34.12%	+0.21	-6.6	7
2005-07-29	Kapfenberger	W 4-0	43.1	1409	1498	36.10%	26.50%	37.39%	-0.09	+22.7	7
2005-07-29	@ Leoben	L 0-4	43.1	1498	1409	37.39%	26.50%	36.10%	+0.09	-22.7	4
2005-07-29	Kufstein	W 5-0	35.4	1481	1391	59.53%	22.60%	17.87%	+1.43	+14.7	12
2005-07-29	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-5	35.4	1391	1481	17.87%	22.60%	59.53%	-1.43	-14.7	3
2005-07-29	Schwanenstadt 08	D 0-0	52.6	1401	1429	44.68%	26.06%	29.25%	+0.43	-0.6	5
2005-07-29	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	52.6	1429	1401	29.25%	26.06%	44.68%	-0.43	+0.6	2
2005-07-29	SCR Altach	W 3-1	48.4	1473	1464	49.65%	25.30%	25.05%	+0.74	+7.5	12
2005-07-29	@ Austria Wien (A)	L 1-3	48.4	1464	1473	25.05%	25.30%	49.65%	-0.74	-7.5	10
2005-08-05	Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	61.8	1476	1496	45.75%	25.93%	28.32%	+0.49	-0.6	5
2005-08-05	@ Kapfenberger	D 1-1	61.8	1496	1476	28.32%	25.93%	45.75%	-0.49	+0.6	13
2005-08-05	Austria Wien (A)	L 0-2	46.8	1430	1481	41.48%	26.35%	32.17%	+0.23	-12.9	2
2005-08-05	@ Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-0	46.8	1481	1430	32.17%	26.35%	41.48%	-0.23	+12.9	15
2005-08-05	Gratkorn	D 3-3	65.8	1376	1402	45.03%	26.02%	28.95%	+0.45	-0.3	4
2005-08-05	@ Kufstein	D 3-3	65.8	1402	1376	28.95%	26.02%	45.03%	-0.45	+0.3	10
2005-08-05	LASK Linz	W 4-0	35.5	1492	1400	59.63%	22.56%	17.81%	+1.44	+11.9	10
2005-08-05	@ FC Karnten	L 0-4	35.5	1400	1492	17.81%	22.56%	59.63%	-1.44	-11.9	5
2005-08-05	Leoben	W 2-0	40.3	1457	1432	51.66%	24.88%	23.46%	+0.87	+8.2	13
2005-08-05	@ SCR Altach	L 0-2	40.3	1432	1457	23.46%	24.88%	51.66%	-0.87	-8.2	7
2005-08-12	Austria Wien (A)	W 1-0	48.6	1388	1494	33.83%	26.45%	39.73%	-0.23	+6.6	8
2005-08-12	@ LASK Linz	L 0-1	48.6	1494	1388	39.73%	26.45%	33.83%	+0.23	-6.6	15
2005-08-12	Kapfenberger	W 3-0	41.9	1402	1475	38.38%	26.49%	35.13%	+0.04	+16.6	13
2005-08-12	@ Gratkorn	L 0-3	41.9	1475	1402	35.13%	26.49%	38.38%	-0.04	-16.6	5
2005-08-12	Kufstein	W 2-1	45.2	1504	1376	63.65%	21.01%	15.34%	+1.75	+2.7	13
2005-08-12	@ FC Karnten	L 1-2	45.2	1376	1504	15.34%	21.01%	63.65%	-1.75	-2.7	4
2005-08-12	Schwanenstadt 08	L 2-5	52.6	1424	1417	49.37%	25.35%	25.28%	+0.72	-15.7	7
2005-08-12	@ Leoben	W 5-2	52.6	1417	1424	25.28%	25.35%	49.37%	-0.72	+15.7	5
2005-08-12	SCR Altach	L 0-1	54.7	1497	1465	52.51%	24.68%	22.81%	+0.93	-8.3	13
2005-08-12	@ Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	54.7	1465	1497	22.81%	24.68%	52.51%	-0.93	+8.3	16
2005-08-19	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	53.4	1432	1488	40.84%	26.39%	32.77%	+0.19	+5.4	8
2005-08-19	@ Schwanenstadt 08	L 1-2	53.4	1488	1432	32.77%	26.39%	40.84%	-0.19	-5.4	13
2005-08-19	FC Karnten	W 3-1	51.7	1459	1506	41.98%	26.32%	31.70%	+0.26	+9.1	8
2005-08-19	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-3	51.7	1506	1459	31.70%	26.32%	41.98%	-0.26	-9.1	13
2005-08-19	Gratkorn	W 4-0	36.8	1473	1418	55.34%	23.94%	20.72%	+1.13	+13.8	19
2005-08-19	@ SCR Altach	L 0-4	36.8	1418	1473	20.72%	23.94%	55.34%	-1.13	-13.8	13
2005-08-19	LASK Linz	D 0-0	51.3	1373	1395	45.51%	25.96%	28.53%	+0.48	-0.6	5
2005-08-19	@ Kufstein	D 0-0	51.3	1395	1373	28.53%	25.96%	45.51%	-0.48	+0.6	9
2005-08-19	Leoben	W 4-1	41.7	1487	1408	58.23%	23.04%	18.73%	+1.33	+8.1	18
2005-08-19	@ Austria Wien (A)	L 1-4	41.7	1408	1487	18.73%	23.04%	58.23%	-1.33	-8.1	7
2005-08-26	Austria Wien (A)	D 1-1	62.1	1483	1495	46.82%	25.78%	27.40%	+0.56	-0.7	14
2005-08-26	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	62.1	1495	1483	27.40%	25.78%	46.82%	-0.56	+0.7	19
2005-08-26	Leoben	W 3-2	52.9	1396	1400	47.90%	25.61%	26.49%	+0.63	+4.3	12
2005-08-26	@ LASK Linz	L 2-3	52.9	1400	1396	26.49%	25.61%	47.90%	-0.63	-4.3	7
2005-08-26	Schwanenstadt 08	D 1-1	57.5	1405	1438	44.00%	26.14%	29.87%	+0.38	-0.5	14
2005-08-26	@ Gratkorn	D 1-1	57.5	1438	1405	29.87%	26.14%	44.00%	-0.38	+0.5	9
2005-08-26	SCR Altach	W 1-0	47.4	1497	1487	49.78%	25.28%	24.95%	+0.75	+4.6	16
2005-08-26	@ FC Karnten	L 0-1	47.4	1487	1497	24.95%	25.28%	49.78%	-0.75	-4.6	19
2005-08-30	Kufstein	W 4-0	33.8	1468	1372	60.08%	22.40%	17.52%	+1.47	+11.7	11
2005-08-30	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-4	33.8	1372	1468	17.52%	22.40%	60.08%	-1.47	-11.7	5
2005-09-09	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	52.7	1496	1482	50.24%	25.19%	24.58%	+0.78	+4.3	22
2005-09-09	@ Austria Wien (A)	L 1-2	52.7	1482	1496	24.58%	25.19%	50.24%	-0.78	-4.3	14
2005-09-09	FC Karnten	D 1-1	62.3	1482	1502	45.89%	25.91%	28.20%	+0.50	-0.6	20
2005-09-09	@ SCR Altach	D 1-1	62.3	1502	1482	28.20%	25.91%	45.89%	-0.50	+0.6	17
2005-09-09	Gratkorn	L 1-2	56.5	1438	1404	52.82%	24.61%	22.57%	+0.95	-7.8	9
2005-09-09	@ Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-1	56.5	1404	1438	22.57%	24.61%	52.82%	-0.95	+7.8	17
2005-09-09	Kapfenberger	W 2-1	53.6	1361	1479	32.05%	26.34%	41.61%	-0.34	+6.5	8
2005-09-09	@ Kufstein	L 1-2	53.6	1479	1361	41.61%	26.34%	32.05%	+0.34	-6.5	11
2005-09-09	LASK Linz	L 1-2	54.2	1396	1400	47.88%	25.62%	26.51%	+0.63	-7.2	7
2005-09-09	@ Leoben	W 2-1	54.2	1400	1396	26.51%	25.62%	47.88%	-0.63	+7.2	15
2005-09-16	Austria Wien (A)	L 0-2	45.4	1412	1500	36.23%	26.51%	37.27%	-0.08	-11.7	17
2005-09-16	@ Gratkorn	W 2-0	45.4	1500	1412	37.27%	26.51%	36.23%	+0.08	+11.7	25
2005-09-16	LASK Linz	L 2-3	63.6	1473	1407	56.65%	23.55%	19.80%	+1.22	-7.9	11
2005-09-16	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-2	63.6	1407	1473	19.80%	23.55%	56.65%	-1.22	+7.9	18
2005-09-16	Leoben	W 2-1	46.1	1478	1388	59.42%	22.63%	17.94%	+1.42	+3.2	17
2005-09-16	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	46.1	1388	1478	17.94%	22.63%	59.42%	-1.42	-3.2	7
2005-09-16	Schwanenstadt 08	L 1-3	57.3	1502	1430	57.38%	23.32%	19.30%	+1.27	-14.5	17
2005-09-16	@ FC Karnten	W 3-1	57.3	1430	1502	19.30%	23.32%	57.38%	-1.27	+14.5	12
2005-09-16	SCR Altach	L 0-2	42.3	1367	1482	32.57%	26.38%	41.05%	-0.31	-10.8	8
2005-09-16	@ Kufstein	W 2-0	42.3	1482	1367	41.05%	26.38%	32.57%	+0.31	+10.8	23
2005-09-20	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	54.4	1415	1481	39.40%	26.46%	34.14%	+0.11	-0.2	19
2005-09-20	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	54.4	1481	1415	34.14%	26.46%	39.40%	-0.11	+0.2	18
2005-09-20	FC Karnten	W 2-0	44.2	1512	1488	51.55%	24.90%	23.54%	+0.87	+8.2	28
2005-09-20	@ Austria Wien (A)	L 0-2	44.2	1488	1512	23.54%	24.90%	51.55%	-0.87	-8.2	17
2005-09-20	Gratkorn	W 4-1	42.3	1385	1400	46.45%	25.84%	27.72%	+0.54	+11.6	10
2005-09-20	@ Leoben	L 1-4	42.3	1400	1385	27.72%	25.84%	46.45%	-0.54	-11.6	17
2005-09-20	Kapfenberger	W 3-1	48.4	1493	1465	52.00%	24.80%	23.20%	+0.90	+7.0	26
2005-09-20	@ SCR Altach	L 1-3	48.4	1465	1493	23.20%	24.80%	52.00%	-0.90	-7.0	11
2005-09-20	Kufstein	W 2-1	44.5	1445	1356	59.32%	22.67%	18.01%	+1.41	+3.2	15
2005-09-20	@ Schwanenstadt 08	L 1-2	44.5	1356	1445	18.01%	22.67%	59.32%	-1.41	-3.2	8
2005-09-23	Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	47.1	1389	1481	35.61%	26.50%	37.89%	-0.12	-6.1	17
2005-09-23	@ Gratkorn	W 1-0	47.1	1481	1389	37.89%	26.50%	35.61%	+0.12	+6.1	21
2005-09-23	Austria Wien (A)	D 2-2	64.5	1353	1520	26.26%	25.57%	48.17%	-0.75	+0.6	9
2005-09-23	@ Kufstein	D 2-2	64.5	1520	1353	48.17%	25.57%	26.26%	+0.75	-0.6	29
2005-09-23	LASK Linz	W 2-1	47.8	1500	1415	58.87%	22.83%	18.30%	+1.38	+3.2	29
2005-09-23	@ SCR Altach	L 1-2	47.8	1415	1500	18.30%	22.83%	58.87%	-1.38	-3.2	19
2005-09-23	Leoben	W 2-0	37.8	1480	1397	58.65%	22.90%	18.45%	+1.37	+6.5	20
2005-09-23	@ FC Karnten	L 0-2	37.8	1397	1480	18.45%	22.90%	58.65%	-1.37	-6.5	10
2005-09-23	Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-1	50.3	1458	1448	49.74%	25.28%	24.98%	+0.75	+4.3	14
2005-09-23	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-2	50.3	1448	1458	24.98%	25.28%	49.74%	-0.75	-4.3	15
2005-09-30	FC Karnten	D 0-0	57.4	1487	1486	48.63%	25.49%	25.88%	+0.68	-0.9	22
2005-09-30	@ Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	57.4	1486	1487	25.88%	25.49%	48.63%	-0.68	+0.9	21
2005-09-30	Gratkorn	W 1-0	40.8	1412	1383	52.18%	24.76%	23.06%	+0.91	+4.3	22
2005-09-30	@ LASK Linz	L 0-1	40.8	1383	1412	23.06%	24.76%	52.18%	-0.91	-4.3	17
2005-09-30	Kapfenberger	L 0-1	56.1	1520	1462	55.64%	23.85%	20.51%	+1.15	-8.7	29
2005-09-30	@ Austria Wien (A)	W 1-0	56.1	1462	1520	20.51%	23.85%	55.64%	-1.15	+8.7	17
2005-09-30	Kufstein	W 4-1	39.5	1390	1354	53.13%	24.53%	22.34%	+0.97	+9.6	13
2005-09-30	@ Leoben	L 1-4	39.5	1354	1390	22.34%	24.53%	53.13%	-0.97	-9.6	9
2005-09-30	SCR Altach	W 2-0	45.6	1444	1503	40.40%	26.42%	33.19%	+0.16	+10.9	18
2005-09-30	@ Schwanenstadt 08	L 0-2	45.6	1503	1444	33.19%	26.42%	40.40%	-0.16	-10.9	29
2005-10-14	Austria Lustenau	L 1-4	43.8	1344	1487	29.08%	26.04%	44.88%	-0.54	-12.1	9
2005-10-14	@ Kufstein	W 4-1	43.8	1487	1344	44.88%	26.04%	29.08%	+0.54	+12.1	25
2005-10-14	Austria Wien (A)	L 1-2	60.2	1492	1511	45.94%	25.91%	28.16%	+0.50	-7.0	29
2005-10-14	@ SCR Altach	W 2-1	60.2	1511	1492	28.16%	25.91%	45.94%	-0.50	+7.0	32
2005-10-14	Gratkorn	D 0-0	54.8	1487	1378	61.55%	21.85%	16.60%	+1.58	-1.8	22
2005-10-14	@ FC Karnten	D 0-0	54.8	1378	1487	16.60%	21.85%	61.55%	-1.58	+1.8	18
2005-10-14	LASK Linz	L 1-3	54.5	1455	1416	53.40%	24.46%	22.13%	+0.99	-13.7	18
2005-10-14	@ Schwanenstadt 08	W 3-1	54.5	1416	1455	22.13%	24.46%	53.40%	-0.99	+13.7	25
2005-10-14	Leoben	D 1-1	59.2	1471	1400	57.29%	23.35%	19.36%	+1.27	-1.4	18
2005-10-14	@ Kapfenberger	D 1-1	59.2	1400	1471	19.36%	23.35%	57.29%	-1.27	+1.4	14
2005-10-21	FC Karnten	L 1-2	55.7	1430	1485	40.88%	26.39%	32.73%	+0.19	-6.4	25
2005-10-21	@ LASK Linz	W 2-1	55.7	1485	1430	32.73%	26.39%	40.88%	-0.19	+6.4	25
2005-10-21	Kapfenberger	W 2-1	51.7	1499	1470	52.17%	24.76%	23.06%	+0.91	+4.0	28
2005-10-21	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	51.7	1470	1499	23.06%	24.76%	52.17%	-0.91	-4.0	18
2005-10-21	Kufstein	W 2-1	44.3	1380	1332	54.55%	24.16%	21.29%	+1.07	+3.8	21
2005-10-21	@ Gratkorn	L 1-2	44.3	1332	1380	21.29%	24.16%	54.55%	-1.07	-3.7	9
2005-10-21	Schwanenstadt 08	D 2-2	68.1	1518	1441	57.95%	23.14%	18.91%	+1.31	-1.0	33
2005-10-21	@ Austria Wien (A)	D 2-2	68.1	1441	1518	18.91%	23.14%	57.95%	-1.31	+1.0	19
2005-10-21	SCR Altach	W 3-0	42.6	1401	1485	36.87%	26.51%	36.62%	-0.04	+17.1	17
2005-10-21	@ Leoben	L 0-3	42.6	1485	1401	36.62%	26.51%	36.87%	+0.04	-17.1	29
2005-10-28	Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	61.7	1468	1503	43.78%	26.16%	30.06%	+0.37	-0.5	30
2005-10-28	@ SCR Altach	D 1-1	61.7	1503	1468	30.06%	26.16%	43.78%	-0.37	+0.5	29
2005-10-28	FC Karnten	W 1-0	49.1	1328	1492	26.67%	25.65%	47.68%	-0.72	+7.6	12
2005-10-28	@ Kufstein	L 0-1	49.1	1492	1328	47.68%	25.65%	26.67%	+0.72	-7.6	25
2005-10-28	Gratkorn	L 1-2	57.9	1466	1384	58.52%	22.95%	18.54%	+1.36	-8.5	18
2005-10-28	@ Kapfenberger	W 2-1	57.9	1384	1466	18.54%	22.95%	58.52%	-1.36	+8.5	24
2005-10-28	LASK Linz	D 0-0	57.1	1517	1423	59.87%	22.47%	17.65%	+1.46	-1.7	34
2005-10-28	@ Austria Wien (A)	D 0-0	57.1	1423	1517	17.65%	22.47%	59.87%	-1.46	+1.7	26
2005-10-28	Leoben	W 2-0	39.4	1442	1418	51.53%	24.91%	23.56%	+0.87	+8.2	22
2005-10-28	@ Schwanenstadt 08	L 0-2	39.4	1418	1442	23.56%	24.91%	51.53%	-0.87	-8.2	17
2005-11-04	Austria Wien (A)	D 0-0	55.4	1410	1515	33.88%	26.45%	39.67%	-0.22	+0.2	18
2005-11-04	@ Leoben	D 0-0	55.4	1515	1410	39.67%	26.45%	33.88%	+0.22	-0.2	35
2005-11-04	Kapfenberger	W 4-1	45.1	1484	1457	51.90%	24.82%	23.27%	+0.89	+10.0	28
2005-11-04	@ FC Karnten	L 1-4	45.1	1457	1484	23.27%	24.82%	51.90%	-0.89	-10.0	18
2005-11-04	Kufstein	W 2-0	34.8	1425	1336	59.35%	22.66%	17.99%	+1.42	+6.3	29
2005-11-04	@ LASK Linz	L 0-2	34.8	1336	1425	17.99%	22.66%	59.35%	-1.42	-6.3	12
2005-11-04	Schwanenstadt 08	D 0-0	57.1	1503	1450	55.11%	24.01%	20.89%	+1.11	-1.4	30
2005-11-04	@ Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	57.1	1450	1503	20.89%	24.01%	55.11%	-1.11	+1.4	23
2005-11-04	SCR Altach	W 3-1	49.3	1392	1467	38.13%	26.49%	35.38%	+0.03	+9.9	27
2005-11-04	@ Gratkorn	L 1-3	49.3	1467	1392	35.38%	26.49%	38.13%	-0.03	-9.9	30
2005-11-18	Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	49.0	1410	1502	35.76%	26.50%	37.73%	-0.11	+6.4	21
2005-11-18	@ Leoben	L 0-1	49.0	1502	1410	37.73%	26.50%	35.76%	+0.11	-6.4	30
2005-11-18	FC Karnten	L 1-2	57.3	1452	1494	42.75%	26.25%	30.99%	+0.31	-6.6	23
2005-11-18	@ Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-1	57.3	1494	1452	30.99%	26.25%	42.75%	-0.31	+6.6	31
2005-11-18	Gratkorn	D 2-2	67.0	1515	1402	61.98%	21.69%	16.34%	+1.62	-1.2	36
2005-11-18	@ Austria Wien (A)	D 2-2	67.0	1402	1515	16.34%	21.69%	61.98%	-1.62	+1.2	28
2005-11-18	Kapfenberger	W 5-1	43.0	1431	1447	46.35%	25.85%	27.80%	+0.53	+15.0	32
2005-11-18	@ LASK Linz	L 1-5	43.0	1447	1431	27.80%	25.85%	46.35%	-0.53	-15.0	18
2005-11-18	Kufstein	W 1-0	37.2	1458	1330	63.64%	21.02%	15.35%	+1.75	+2.8	33
2005-11-18	@ SCR Altach	L 0-1	37.2	1330	1458	15.35%	21.02%	63.64%	-1.75	-2.8	12
2005-11-25	Austria Wien (A)	W 3-0	44.2	1501	1514	46.71%	25.80%	27.49%	+0.55	+13.7	34
2005-11-25	@ FC Karnten	L 0-3	44.2	1514	1501	27.49%	25.80%	46.71%	-0.55	-13.7	36
2005-11-25	LASK Linz	W 2-0	41.2	1495	1446	54.66%	24.13%	21.21%	+1.08	+7.5	33
2005-11-25	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	41.2	1446	1495	21.21%	24.13%	54.66%	-1.08	-7.5	32
2005-11-25	Leoben	D 1-1	57.0	1404	1417	46.73%	25.80%	27.48%	+0.55	-0.7	29
2005-11-25	@ Gratkorn	D 1-1	57.0	1417	1404	27.48%	25.80%	46.73%	-0.55	+0.7	22
2005-11-25	SCR Altach	L 1-2	56.0	1432	1460	44.68%	26.06%	29.25%	+0.43	-6.8	18
2005-11-25	@ Kapfenberger	W 2-1	56.0	1460	1432	29.25%	26.06%	44.68%	-0.43	+6.9	36
2005-11-29	Gratkorn	D 0-0	56.0	1503	1403	60.58%	22.22%	17.20%	+1.51	-1.8	34
2005-11-29	@ Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	56.0	1403	1503	17.20%	22.22%	60.58%	-1.51	+1.8	30
2005-11-29	Kapfenberger	L 0-2	48.0	1445	1425	51.01%	25.02%	23.97%	+0.83	-15.2	23
2005-11-29	@ Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-0	48.0	1425	1445	23.97%	25.02%	51.01%	-0.83	+15.2	21
2005-11-29	Kufstein	W 4-0	31.0	1500	1327	68.29%	18.94%	12.76%	+2.13	+8.3	39
2005-11-29	@ Austria Wien (A)	L 0-4	31.0	1327	1500	12.76%	18.94%	68.29%	-2.13	-8.3	12
2005-11-29	SCR Altach	W 3-0	40.9	1439	1467	44.66%	26.07%	29.28%	+0.42	+14.4	35
2005-11-29	@ LASK Linz	L 0-3	40.9	1467	1439	29.28%	26.07%	44.66%	-0.42	-14.4	36
2006-03-14	FC Karnten	W 1-0	50.0	1405	1514	33.29%	26.42%	40.29%	-0.26	+6.7	33
2006-03-14	@ Gratkorn	L 0-1	50.0	1514	1405	40.29%	26.42%	33.29%	+0.26	-6.7	34
2006-03-14	Kufstein	W 3-2	47.1	1501	1318	69.21%	18.51%	12.29%	+2.21	+2.0	37
2006-03-14	@ Austria Lustenau	L 2-3	47.1	1318	1501	12.29%	18.51%	69.21%	-2.21	-2.0	12
2006-03-14	Schwanenstadt 08	W 3-0	38.1	1453	1430	51.46%	24.92%	23.61%	+0.86	+12.0	38
2006-03-14	@ LASK Linz	L 0-3	38.1	1430	1453	23.61%	24.92%	51.46%	-0.86	-12.0	23
2006-03-17	Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	60.7	1441	1503	39.90%	26.44%	33.66%	+0.14	-0.2	22
2006-03-17	@ Kapfenberger	D 1-1	60.7	1503	1441	33.66%	26.44%	39.90%	-0.14	+0.2	38
2006-03-17	LASK Linz	L 1-2	61.0	1507	1465	53.83%	24.35%	21.82%	+1.02	-8.0	34
2006-03-17	@ FC Karnten	W 2-1	61.0	1465	1507	21.82%	24.35%	53.83%	-1.02	+7.9	41
2006-03-17	Leoben	W 2-0	39.3	1453	1417	52.99%	24.57%	22.44%	+0.96	+7.9	39
2006-03-17	@ SCR Altach	L 0-2	39.3	1417	1453	22.44%	24.57%	52.99%	-0.96	-7.9	22
2006-03-21	FC Karnten	W 2-0	45.6	1409	1500	35.97%	26.50%	37.53%	-0.10	+12.0	25
2006-03-21	@ Leoben	L 0-2	45.6	1500	1409	37.53%	26.50%	35.97%	+0.10	-12.0	34
2006-03-24	Austria Wien (A)	L 1-2	58.9	1473	1508	43.72%	26.17%	30.11%	+0.37	-6.7	41
2006-03-24	@ LASK Linz	W 2-1	58.9	1508	1473	30.11%	26.17%	43.72%	-0.37	+6.7	42
2006-03-24	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	57.8	1411	1440	44.58%	26.07%	29.35%	+0.42	-0.5	34
2006-03-24	@ Gratkorn	D 1-1	57.8	1440	1411	29.35%	26.07%	44.58%	-0.42	+0.5	23
2006-03-24	Kufstein	W 5-1	34.5	1488	1316	68.07%	19.05%	12.88%	+2.11	+7.0	37
2006-03-24	@ FC Karnten	L 1-5	34.5	1316	1488	12.88%	19.05%	68.07%	-2.11	-7.0	12
2006-03-24	Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-0	39.6	1421	1418	48.92%	25.44%	25.65%	+0.69	+8.9	28
2006-03-24	@ Leoben	L 0-2	39.6	1418	1421	25.65%	25.44%	48.92%	-0.69	-8.9	23
2006-03-24	SCR Altach	W 2-1	51.1	1503	1461	53.87%	24.34%	21.79%	+1.02	+3.8	41
2006-03-24	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	51.1	1461	1503	21.79%	24.34%	53.87%	-1.02	-3.8	39
2006-03-28	Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	49.0	1495	1507	46.79%	25.79%	27.43%	+0.56	+5.0	40
2006-03-28	@ FC Karnten	L 0-1	49.0	1507	1495	27.43%	25.79%	46.79%	-0.56	-5.0	41
2006-03-28	Austria Wien (A)	D 0-0	56.5	1441	1515	38.25%	26.49%	35.26%	+0.04	-0.1	24
2006-03-28	@ Kapfenberger	D 0-0	56.5	1515	1441	35.26%	26.49%	38.25%	-0.04	+0.1	43
2006-03-28	LASK Linz	D 1-1	58.4	1411	1466	40.90%	26.39%	32.72%	+0.19	-0.3	35
2006-03-28	@ Gratkorn	D 1-1	58.4	1466	1411	32.72%	26.39%	40.90%	-0.19	+0.3	42
2006-03-28	Leoben	L 0-2	39.6	1310	1430	31.80%	26.32%	41.88%	-0.36	-10.6	12
2006-03-28	@ Kufstein	W 2-0	39.6	1430	1310	41.88%	26.32%	31.80%	+0.36	+10.6	31
2006-03-28	Schwanenstadt 08	W 4-1	41.9	1457	1409	54.50%	24.17%	21.32%	+1.07	+9.2	42
2006-03-28	@ SCR Altach	L 1-4	41.9	1409	1457	21.32%	24.17%	54.50%	-1.07	-9.2	23
2006-03-31	Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	44.4	1400	1502	34.26%	26.46%	39.27%	-0.20	-11.2	23
2006-03-31	@ Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-0	44.4	1502	1400	39.27%	26.46%	34.26%	+0.20	+11.2	44
2006-03-31	FC Karnten	L 1-3	53.4	1441	1499	40.44%	26.41%	33.15%	+0.17	-11.0	24
2006-03-31	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-1	53.4	1499	1441	33.15%	26.41%	40.44%	-0.17	+11.0	43
2006-03-31	Gratkorn	D 1-1	59.2	1466	1411	55.42%	23.91%	20.66%	+1.13	-1.2	43
2006-03-31	@ SCR Altach	D 1-1	59.2	1411	1466	20.66%	23.91%	55.42%	-1.13	+1.2	36
2006-03-31	LASK Linz	L 0-1	41.4	1299	1467	26.19%	25.55%	48.25%	-0.75	-4.8	12
2006-03-31	@ Kufstein	W 1-0	41.4	1467	1299	48.25%	25.55%	26.19%	+0.75	+4.8	45
2006-03-31	Leoben	L 0-1	55.6	1515	1441	57.66%	23.23%	19.11%	+1.29	-8.9	43
2006-03-31	@ Austria Wien (A)	W 1-0	55.6	1441	1515	19.11%	23.23%	57.66%	-1.29	+8.9	34
2006-04-04	Schwanenstadt 08	W 1-0	44.0	1294	1389	35.34%	26.49%	38.16%	-0.14	+6.4	15
2006-04-04	@ Kufstein	L 0-1	44.0	1389	1294	38.16%	26.49%	35.34%	+0.14	-6.4	23
2006-04-07	Austria Wien (A)	W 3-2	59.7	1513	1506	49.38%	25.35%	25.26%	+0.72	+4.2	47
2006-04-07	@ Austria Lustenau	L 2-3	59.7	1506	1513	25.26%	25.35%	49.38%	-0.72	-4.2	43
2006-04-07	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	55.1	1301	1430	30.72%	26.23%	43.05%	-0.43	+0.4	16
2006-04-07	@ Kufstein	D 1-1	55.1	1430	1301	43.05%	26.23%	30.72%	+0.43	-0.4	25
2006-04-07	LASK Linz	D 1-1	60.0	1450	1471	45.57%	25.95%	28.48%	+0.48	-0.6	35
2006-04-07	@ Leoben	D 1-1	60.0	1471	1450	28.48%	25.95%	45.57%	-0.48	+0.6	46
2006-04-07	Schwanenstadt 08	W 3-0	35.5	1412	1382	52.26%	24.74%	23.00%	+0.91	+11.7	39
2006-04-07	@ Gratkorn	L 0-3	35.5	1382	1412	23.00%	24.74%	52.26%	-0.91	-11.7	23
2006-04-07	SCR Altach	L 0-1	55.6	1510	1465	54.24%	24.24%	21.52%	+1.05	-8.5	43
2006-04-07	@ FC Karnten	W 1-0	55.6	1465	1510	21.52%	24.24%	54.24%	-1.05	+8.5	46
2006-04-11	Gratkorn	L 0-1	42.5	1301	1424	31.57%	26.31%	42.13%	-0.37	-5.6	16
2006-04-11	@ Kufstein	W 1-0	42.5	1424	1301	42.13%	26.31%	31.57%	+0.37	+5.6	42
2006-04-11	Kapfenberger	L 2-3	62.3	1449	1429	51.02%	25.02%	23.96%	+0.83	-7.2	35
2006-04-11	@ Leoben	W 3-2	62.3	1429	1449	23.96%	25.02%	51.02%	-0.83	+7.2	28
2006-04-11	SCR Altach	L 1-2	60.7	1502	1473	52.15%	24.77%	23.08%	+0.91	-7.8	43
2006-04-11	@ Austria Wien (A)	W 2-1	60.7	1473	1502	23.08%	24.77%	52.15%	-0.91	+7.8	49
2006-04-14	Austria Lustenau	L 0-1	54.8	1494	1517	45.37%	25.98%	28.65%	+0.47	-7.3	43
2006-04-14	@ Austria Wien (A)	W 1-0	54.8	1517	1494	28.65%	25.98%	45.37%	-0.47	+7.3	50
2006-04-14	FC Karnten	D 3-3	72.1	1481	1502	45.67%	25.94%	28.39%	+0.49	-0.4	50
2006-04-14	@ SCR Altach	D 3-3	72.1	1502	1481	28.39%	25.94%	45.67%	-0.49	+0.4	44
2006-04-14	Gratkorn	W 1-0	44.4	1371	1429	40.46%	26.41%	33.12%	+0.17	+5.8	26
2006-04-14	@ Schwanenstadt 08	L 0-1	44.4	1429	1371	33.12%	26.41%	40.46%	-0.17	-5.8	42
2006-04-14	Kufstein	W 3-1	38.4	1437	1295	65.03%	20.43%	14.54%	+1.86	+4.4	31
2006-04-14	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-3	38.4	1295	1437	14.54%	20.43%	65.03%	-1.86	-4.4	16
2006-04-14	Leoben	W 3-0	38.9	1472	1442	52.31%	24.73%	22.96%	+0.92	+11.7	49
2006-04-14	@ LASK Linz	L 0-3	38.9	1442	1472	22.96%	24.73%	52.31%	-0.92	-11.7	35
2006-04-18	Austria Wien (A)	L 0-1	46.1	1376	1487	33.13%	26.41%	40.46%	-0.27	-5.8	26
2006-04-18	@ Schwanenstadt 08	W 1-0	46.1	1487	1376	40.46%	26.41%	33.13%	+0.27	+5.8	46
2006-04-21	Austria Wien (A)	D 0-0	55.1	1423	1493	38.92%	26.48%	34.60%	+0.08	-0.2	43
2006-04-21	@ Gratkorn	D 0-0	55.1	1493	1423	34.60%	26.48%	38.92%	-0.08	+0.2	47
2006-04-21	LASK Linz	L 1-2	56.5	1441	1484	42.68%	26.26%	31.06%	+0.30	-6.6	31
2006-04-21	@ Kapfenberger	W 2-1	56.5	1484	1441	31.06%	26.26%	42.68%	-0.30	+6.6	52
2006-04-21	Leoben	D 1-1	62.3	1525	1430	59.97%	22.44%	17.59%	+1.46	-1.5	51
2006-04-21	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	62.3	1430	1525	17.59%	22.44%	59.97%	-1.46	+1.5	36
2006-04-21	Schwanenstadt 08	L 0-1	54.0	1502	1371	64.04%	20.85%	15.11%	+1.78	-9.7	44
2006-04-21	@ FC Karnten	W 1-0	54.0	1371	1502	15.11%	20.85%	64.04%	-1.78	+9.7	29
2006-04-21	SCR Altach	L 0-4	35.0	1291	1481	23.90%	25.01%	51.09%	-0.94	-15.8	16
2006-04-21	@ Kufstein	W 4-0	35.0	1481	1291	51.09%	25.01%	23.90%	+0.94	+15.8	53
2006-04-28	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	58.7	1490	1523	44.02%	26.13%	29.84%	+0.38	-0.5	53
2006-04-28	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	58.7	1523	1490	29.84%	26.13%	44.02%	-0.38	+0.5	52
2006-04-28	FC Karnten	W 3-1	50.5	1493	1493	48.50%	25.51%	25.99%	+0.67	+7.8	50
2006-04-28	@ Austria Wien (A)	L 1-3	50.5	1493	1493	25.99%	25.51%	48.50%	-0.67	-7.8	44
2006-04-28	Gratkorn	D 1-1	58.1	1432	1423	49.59%	25.31%	25.10%	+0.74	-0.8	37
2006-04-28	@ Leoben	D 1-1	58.1	1423	1432	25.10%	25.31%	49.59%	-0.74	+0.8	44
2006-04-28	Kufstein	W 1-0	36.0	1380	1275	61.14%	22.01%	16.85%	+1.55	+3.2	32
2006-04-28	@ Schwanenstadt 08	L 0-1	36.0	1275	1380	16.85%	22.01%	61.14%	-1.55	-3.1	16
2006-05-02	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	56.3	1424	1524	34.60%	26.48%	38.92%	-0.18	+6.2	47
2006-05-02	@ Gratkorn	L 1-2	56.3	1524	1424	38.92%	26.48%	34.60%	+0.18	-6.2	52
2006-05-02	Austria Wien (A)	L 0-3	34.0	1272	1501	20.33%	23.78%	55.89%	-1.27	-10.4	16
2006-05-02	@ Kufstein	W 3-0	34.0	1501	1272	55.89%	23.78%	20.33%	+1.27	+10.4	53
2006-05-02	LASK Linz	W 1-0	47.6	1496	1490	49.34%	25.36%	25.30%	+0.72	+4.7	56
2006-05-02	@ SCR Altach	L 0-1	47.6	1490	1496	25.30%	25.36%	49.34%	-0.72	-4.7	53
2006-05-02	Leoben	D 3-3	70.2	1485	1431	55.23%	23.97%	20.80%	+1.12	-0.8	45
2006-05-02	@ FC Karnten	D 3-3	70.2	1431	1485	20.80%	23.97%	55.23%	-1.12	+0.8	38
2006-05-02	Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-0	37.3	1434	1383	54.89%	24.07%	21.05%	+1.10	+7.4	34
2006-05-02	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-2	37.3	1383	1434	21.05%	24.07%	54.89%	-1.10	-7.4	32
2006-05-05	FC Karnten	W 4-0	41.5	1518	1484	52.75%	24.62%	22.62%	+0.95	+15.0	55
2006-05-05	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-4	41.5	1484	1518	22.62%	24.62%	52.75%	-0.95	-15.0	45
2006-05-05	Gratkorn	W 1-0	43.3	1485	1430	55.36%	23.93%	20.70%	+1.13	+3.9	56
2006-05-05	@ LASK Linz	L 0-1	43.3	1430	1485	20.70%	23.93%	55.36%	-1.13	-3.9	47
2006-05-05	Kapfenberger	D 3-3	71.7	1511	1442	57.07%	23.42%	19.51%	+1.25	-0.8	54
2006-05-05	@ Austria Wien (A)	D 3-3	71.7	1442	1511	19.51%	23.42%	57.07%	-1.25	+0.8	35
2006-05-05	Kufstein	W 4-0	28.7	1432	1262	67.97%	19.10%	12.94%	+2.10	+8.4	41
2006-05-05	@ Leoben	L 0-4	28.7	1262	1432	12.94%	19.10%	67.97%	-2.10	-8.4	16
2006-05-05	SCR Altach	L 0-1	45.9	1376	1501	31.23%	26.28%	42.49%	-0.39	-5.5	32
2006-05-05	@ Schwanenstadt 08	W 1-0	45.9	1501	1376	42.49%	26.28%	31.23%	+0.39	+5.5	59
2006-05-09	Kapfenberger	W 6-0	39.6	1507	1443	56.45%	23.61%	19.94%	+1.21	+19.5	62
2006-05-09	@ SCR Altach	L 0-6	39.6	1443	1507	19.94%	23.61%	56.45%	-1.21	-19.5	35
2006-05-12	Austria Lustenau	L 1-4	37.7	1253	1533	16.50%	21.79%	61.71%	-1.70	-7.1	16
2006-05-12	@ Kufstein	W 4-1	37.7	1533	1253	61.71%	21.79%	16.50%	+1.70	+7.1	58
2006-05-12	Austria Wien (A)	D 2-2	70.4	1526	1510	50.52%	25.13%	24.35%	+0.80	-0.7	63
2006-05-12	@ SCR Altach	D 2-2	70.4	1510	1526	24.35%	25.13%	50.52%	-0.80	+0.7	55
2006-05-12	Gratkorn	W 2-1	48.7	1469	1426	53.88%	24.34%	21.78%	+1.03	+3.8	48
2006-05-12	@ FC Karnten	L 1-2	48.7	1426	1469	21.78%	24.34%	53.88%	-1.03	-3.8	47
2006-05-12	LASK Linz	D 2-2	63.8	1370	1489	32.09%	26.35%	41.56%	-0.34	+0.2	33
2006-05-12	@ Schwanenstadt 08	D 2-2	63.8	1489	1370	41.56%	26.35%	32.09%	+0.34	-0.2	57
2006-05-12	Leoben	L 1-3	52.5	1423	1440	46.19%	25.87%	27.94%	+0.52	-12.2	35
2006-05-12	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-1	52.5	1440	1423	27.94%	25.87%	46.19%	-0.52	+12.2	44
2006-05-16	FC Karnten	W 1-0	46.4	1489	1473	50.51%	25.13%	24.36%	+0.80	+4.5	60
2006-05-16	@ LASK Linz	L 0-1	46.4	1473	1489	24.36%	25.13%	50.51%	-0.80	-4.5	48
2006-05-16	Kapfenberger	D 3-3	72.4	1540	1411	63.74%	20.97%	15.29%	+1.75	-1.1	59
2006-05-16	@ Austria Lustenau	D 3-3	72.4	1411	1540	15.29%	20.97%	63.74%	-1.75	+1.1	36
2006-05-16	Kufstein	W 4-0	28.2	1422	1246	68.58%	18.81%	12.61%	+2.15	+8.1	50
2006-05-16	@ Gratkorn	L 0-4	28.2	1246	1422	12.61%	18.81%	68.58%	-2.15	-8.2	16
2006-05-16	Schwanenstadt 08	W 4-1	39.2	1511	1371	64.93%	20.47%	14.60%	+1.85	+6.2	58
2006-05-16	@ Austria Wien (A)	L 1-4	39.2	1371	1511	14.60%	20.47%	64.93%	-1.85	-6.2	33
2006-05-16	SCR Altach	D 1-1	61.9	1452	1526	38.38%	26.49%	35.13%	+0.04	-0.1	45
2006-05-16	@ Leoben	D 1-1	61.9	1526	1452	35.13%	26.49%	38.38%	-0.04	+0.1	64
2006-05-19	Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	51.3	1526	1539	46.72%	25.80%	27.48%	+0.55	+5.0	67
2006-05-19	@ SCR Altach	L 0-1	51.3	1539	1526	27.48%	25.80%	46.72%	-0.55	-5.0	59
2006-05-19	FC Karnten	L 1-5	36.3	1238	1468	20.19%	23.72%	56.10%	-1.28	-11.2	16
2006-05-19	@ Kufstein	W 5-1	36.3	1468	1238	56.10%	23.72%	20.19%	+1.28	+11.3	51
2006-05-19	Gratkorn	L 1-2	54.8	1412	1431	45.98%	25.90%	28.12%	+0.51	-7.0	36
2006-05-19	@ Kapfenberger	W 2-1	54.8	1431	1412	28.12%	25.90%	45.98%	-0.51	+7.0	53
2006-05-19	LASK Linz	L 0-1	56.3	1517	1493	51.54%	24.91%	23.56%	+0.87	-8.2	58
2006-05-19	@ Austria Wien (A)	W 1-0	56.3	1493	1517	23.56%	24.91%	51.54%	-0.87	+8.1	63
2006-05-19	Leoben	L 1-2	51.5	1364	1452	36.30%	26.51%	37.19%	-0.08	-5.8	33
2006-05-19	@ Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-1	51.5	1452	1364	37.19%	26.51%	36.30%	+0.08	+5.8	48
2006-05-26	Austria Wien (A)	W 4-0	43.5	1458	1509	41.53%	26.35%	32.12%	+0.23	+20.2	51
2006-05-26	@ Leoben	L 0-4	43.5	1509	1458	32.12%	26.35%	41.53%	-0.23	-20.2	58
2006-05-26	Kapfenberger	L 2-4	59.7	1480	1405	57.69%	23.22%	19.09%	+1.30	-13.1	51
2006-05-26	@ FC Karnten	W 4-2	59.7	1405	1480	19.09%	23.22%	57.69%	-1.30	+13.0	39
2006-05-26	Kufstein	W 3-0	26.8	1501	1227	77.38%	14.23%	8.39%	+2.99	+3.8	66
2006-05-26	@ LASK Linz	L 0-3	26.8	1227	1501	8.39%	14.23%	77.38%	-2.99	-3.8	16
2006-05-26	Schwanenstadt 08	W 2-0	35.3	1534	1359	68.47%	18.86%	12.67%	+2.14	+4.3	62
2006-05-26	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	35.3	1359	1534	12.67%	18.86%	68.47%	-2.14	-4.3	33
2006-05-26	SCR Altach	D 1-1	61.5	1438	1531	35.56%	26.50%	37.95%	-0.12	+0.1	54
2006-05-26	@ Gratkorn	D 1-1	61.5	1531	1438	37.95%	26.50%	35.56%	+0.12	-0.1	68

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2006-04-21	15.11%	Schwanenstadt 08	1371	1	@ FC Karnten	1502	0
2	2005-10-28	18.54%	Gratkorn	1384	2	@ Kapfenberger	1466	1
3	2006-05-26	19.09%	Kapfenberger	1405	4	@ FC Karnten	1480	2
4	2006-03-31	19.11%	Leoben	1441	1	@ Austria Wien (A)	1515	0
5	2005-09-16	19.30%	Schwanenstadt 08	1430	3	@ FC Karnten	1502	1
6	2005-09-16	19.80%	LASK Linz	1407	3	@ Kapfenberger	1473	2
7	2005-09-30	20.51%	Kapfenberger	1462	1	@ Austria Wien (A)	1520	0
8	2005-07-15	20.75%	SCR Altach	1445	1	@ Kapfenberger	1499	0
9	2006-04-07	21.52%	SCR Altach	1465	1	@ FC Karnten	1510	0
10	2006-03-17	21.82%	LASK Linz	1465	2	@ FC Karnten	1507	1
11	2005-07-15	21.97%	Austria Wien (A)	1459	2	@ FC Karnten	1500	1
12	2005-10-14	22.13%	LASK Linz	1416	3	@ Schwanenstadt 08	1455	1
13	2005-09-09	22.57%	Gratkorn	1404	2	@ Schwanenstadt 08	1438	1
14	2005-08-12	22.81%	SCR Altach	1465	1	@ Austria Lustenau	1497	0
15	2006-04-11	23.08%	SCR Altach	1473	2	@ Austria Wien (A)	1502	1
16	2006-05-19	23.56%	LASK Linz	1493	1	@ Austria Wien (A)	1517	0
17	2006-04-11	23.96%	Kapfenberger	1429	3	@ Leoben	1449	2
18	2005-11-29	23.97%	Kapfenberger	1425	2	@ Schwanenstadt 08	1445	0
19	2005-07-26	25.27%	Leoben	1396	3	@ Kufstein	1404	1
20	2005-08-12	25.28%	Schwanenstadt 08	1417	5	@ Leoben	1424	2
21	2005-09-09	26.51%	LASK Linz	1400	2	@ Leoben	1396	1
22	2005-10-28	26.67%	@ Kufstein	1328	1	FC Karnten	1492	0
23	2006-05-12	27.94%	Leoben	1440	3	@ Kapfenberger	1423	1
24	2006-05-19	28.12%	Gratkorn	1431	2	@ Kapfenberger	1412	1
25	2005-10-14	28.16%	Austria Wien (A)	1511	2	@ SCR Altach	1492	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-07-29	22.66	@ Leoben	4	1409	36.10%	Kapfenberger	0	1498	37.39%	26.50%
2	2006-05-26	20.21	@ Leoben	4	1458	41.53%	Austria Wien (A)	0	1509	32.12%	26.35%
3	2006-05-09	19.53	@ SCR Altach	6	1507	56.45%	Kapfenberger	0	1443	19.94%	23.61%
4	2005-07-08	19.05	@ LASK Linz	3	1394	31.39%	Kapfenberger	0	1518	42.31%	26.29%
5	2005-10-21	17.08	@ Leoben	3	1401	36.87%	SCR Altach	0	1485	36.62%	26.51%
6	2005-08-12	16.56	@ Gratkorn	3	1402	38.38%	Kapfenberger	0	1475	35.13%	26.49%
7	2006-04-21	15.81	SCR Altach	4	1481	51.09%	@ Kufstein	0	1291	23.90%	25.01%
8	2005-08-12	15.73	Schwanenstadt 08	5	1417	25.28%	@ Leoben	2	1424	49.37%	25.35%
9	2005-11-29	15.23	Kapfenberger	2	1425	23.97%	@ Schwanenstadt 08	0	1445	51.01%	25.02%
10	2006-05-05	15.04	@ Austria Lustenau	4	1518	52.75%	FC Karnten	0	1484	22.62%	24.62%
11	2005-11-18	15.00	@ LASK Linz	5	1431	46.35%	Kapfenberger	1	1447	27.80%	25.85%
12	2005-07-29	14.74	@ Austria Lustenau	5	1481	59.53%	Kufstein	0	1391	17.87%	22.60%
13	2005-09-16	14.52	Schwanenstadt 08	3	1430	19.30%	@ FC Karnten	1	1502	57.38%	23.32%
14	2005-11-29	14.38	@ LASK Linz	3	1439	44.66%	SCR Altach	0	1467	29.28%	26.07%
15	2005-07-22	14.16	@ Austria Wien (A)	4	1467	54.66%	Kufstein	0	1418	21.21%	24.13%
16	2005-08-19	13.85	@ SCR Altach	4	1473	55.34%	Gratkorn	0	1418	20.72%	23.94%
17	2005-10-14	13.70	LASK Linz	3	1416	22.13%	@ Schwanenstadt 08	1	1455	53.40%	24.46%
18	2005-11-25	13.65	@ FC Karnten	3	1501	46.71%	Austria Wien (A)	0	1514	27.49%	25.80%
19	2006-05-26	13.05	Kapfenberger	4	1405	19.09%	@ FC Karnten	2	1480	57.69%	23.22%
20	2005-08-05	12.92	Austria Wien (A)	2	1481	32.17%	@ Schwanenstadt 08	0	1430	41.48%	26.35%
21	2005-07-26	12.84	Leoben	3	1396	25.27%	@ Kufstein	1	1404	49.38%	25.35%
22	2005-07-08	12.71	@ SCR Altach	3	1432	49.38%	Kufstein	0	1425	25.27%	25.35%
23	2006-05-12	12.18	Leoben	3	1440	27.94%	@ Kapfenberger	1	1423	46.19%	25.87%
24	2005-10-14	12.06	Austria Lustenau	4	1487	44.88%	@ Kufstein	1	1344	29.08%	26.04%
25	2006-03-14	11.97	@ LASK Linz	3	1453	51.46%	Schwanenstadt 08	0	1430	23.61%	24.92%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-05-16	72.4	@ Austria Lustenau	3	1540	63.74%	Kapfenberger	3	1411	15.29%	20.97%
2	2006-04-14	72.1	@ SCR Altach	3	1481	45.67%	FC Karnten	3	1502	28.39%	25.94%
3	2006-05-05	71.7	@ Austria Wien (A)	3	1511	57.07%	Kapfenberger	3	1442	19.51%	23.42%
4	2006-05-12	70.4	@ SCR Altach	2	1526	50.52%	Austria Wien (A)	2	1510	24.35%	25.13%
5	2006-05-02	70.2	@ FC Karnten	3	1485	55.23%	Leoben	3	1431	20.80%	23.97%
6	2005-10-21	68.1	@ Austria Wien (A)	2	1518	57.95%	Schwanenstadt 08	2	1441	18.91%	23.14%
7	2005-11-18	67.0	@ Austria Wien (A)	2	1515	61.98%	Gratkorn	2	1402	16.34%	21.69%
8	2005-08-05	65.8	@ Kufstein	3	1376	45.03%	Gratkorn	3	1402	28.95%	26.02%
9	2005-09-23	64.5	@ Kufstein	2	1353	26.26%	Austria Wien (A)	2	1520	48.17%	25.57%
10	2006-05-12	63.8	@ Schwanenstadt 08	2	1370	32.09%	LASK Linz	2	1489	41.56%	26.35%
11	2005-09-16	63.6	LASK Linz	3	1407	19.80%	@ Kapfenberger	2	1473	56.65%	23.55%
12	2005-09-09	62.3	@ SCR Altach	1	1482	45.89%	FC Karnten	1	1502	28.20%	25.91%
13	2006-04-11	62.3	Kapfenberger	3	1429	23.96%	@ Leoben	2	1449	51.02%	25.02%
14	2006-04-21	62.3	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1525	59.97%	Leoben	1	1430	17.59%	22.44%
15	2005-08-26	62.1	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1483	46.82%	Austria Wien (A)	1	1495	27.40%	25.78%
16	2006-05-16	61.9	@ Leoben	1	1452	38.38%	SCR Altach	1	1526	35.13%	26.49%
17	2005-08-05	61.8	@ Kapfenberger	1	1476	45.75%	Austria Lustenau	1	1496	28.32%	25.93%
18	2005-10-28	61.7	@ SCR Altach	1	1468	43.78%	Austria Lustenau	1	1503	30.06%	26.16%
19	2006-05-26	61.5	@ Gratkorn	1	1438	35.56%	SCR Altach	1	1531	37.95%	26.50%
20	2006-03-17	61.0	LASK Linz	2	1465	21.82%	@ FC Karnten	1	1507	53.83%	24.35%
21	2006-03-17	60.7	@ Kapfenberger	1	1441	39.90%	Austria Lustenau	1	1503	33.66%	26.44%
22	2006-04-11	60.7	SCR Altach	2	1473	23.08%	@ Austria Wien (A)	1	1502	52.15%	24.77%
23	2005-07-15	60.4	Austria Wien (A)	2	1459	21.97%	@ FC Karnten	1	1500	53.63%	24.40%
24	2005-10-14	60.2	Austria Wien (A)	2	1511	28.16%	@ SCR Altach	1	1492	45.94%	25.91%
25	2006-04-07	60.0	@ Leoben	1	1450	45.57%	LASK Linz	1	1471	28.48%	25.95%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-05-26	26.8	@ LASK Linz	3	1501	77.38%	Kufstein	0	1227	8.39%	14.23%
2	2006-05-16	28.2	@ Gratkorn	4	1422	68.58%	Kufstein	0	1246	12.61%	18.81%
3	2006-05-05	28.7	@ Leoben	4	1432	67.97%	Kufstein	0	1262	12.94%	19.10%
4	2005-11-29	31.0	@ Austria Wien (A)	4	1500	68.29%	Kufstein	0	1327	12.76%	18.94%
5	2005-08-30	33.8	@ Kapfenberger	4	1468	60.08%	Kufstein	0	1372	17.52%	22.40%
6	2006-05-02	34.0	Austria Wien (A)	3	1501	55.89%	@ Kufstein	0	1272	20.33%	23.78%
7	2006-03-24	34.5	@ FC Karnten	5	1488	68.07%	Kufstein	1	1316	12.88%	19.05%
8	2005-11-04	34.8	@ LASK Linz	2	1425	59.35%	Kufstein	0	1336	17.99%	22.66%
9	2006-04-21	35.0	SCR Altach	4	1481	51.09%	@ Kufstein	0	1291	23.90%	25.01%
10	2006-05-26	35.3	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1534	68.47%	Schwanenstadt 08	0	1359	12.67%	18.86%
11	2005-07-29	35.4	@ Austria Lustenau	5	1481	59.53%	Kufstein	0	1391	17.87%	22.60%
12	2005-08-05	35.5	@ FC Karnten	4	1492	59.63%	LASK Linz	0	1400	17.81%	22.56%
13	2006-04-07	35.5	@ Gratkorn	3	1412	52.26%	Schwanenstadt 08	0	1382	23.00%	24.74%
14	2006-04-28	36.0	@ Schwanenstadt 08	1	1380	61.14%	Kufstein	0	1275	16.85%	22.01%
15	2006-05-19	36.3	FC Karnten	5	1468	56.10%	@ Kufstein	1	1238	20.19%	23.72%
16	2005-07-22	36.8	@ Austria Wien (A)	4	1467	54.66%	Kufstein	0	1418	21.21%	24.13%
17	2005-08-19	36.8	@ SCR Altach	4	1473	55.34%	Gratkorn	0	1418	20.72%	23.94%
18	2005-11-18	37.2	@ SCR Altach	1	1458	63.64%	Kufstein	0	1330	15.35%	21.02%
19	2006-05-02	37.3	@ Kapfenberger	2	1434	54.89%	Schwanenstadt 08	0	1383	21.05%	24.07%
20	2005-07-08	37.4	@ Austria Wien (A)	2	1452	56.39%	Gratkorn	0	1388	19.98%	23.63%
21	2006-05-12	37.7	Austria Lustenau	4	1533	61.71%	@ Kufstein	1	1253	16.50%	21.79%
22	2005-09-23	37.8	@ FC Karnten	2	1480	58.65%	Leoben	0	1397	18.45%	22.90%
23	2005-07-08	38.0	@ SCR Altach	3	1432	49.38%	Kufstein	0	1425	25.27%	25.35%
24	2006-03-14	38.1	@ LASK Linz	3	1453	51.46%	Schwanenstadt 08	0	1430	23.61%	24.92%
25	2006-04-14	38.4	@ Kapfenberger	3	1437	65.03%	Kufstein	1	1295	14.54%	20.43%