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2003-04 First League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Wacker Tirol

12.36 points above expected

72 points · 59.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lustenau

9.09 points below expected

31 points · 40.09 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Wacker Tirol 36 22 6 8 72 65 44 +21 59.64 +12.36
2 Austria Lustenau 36 18 11 7 65 55 36 +19 59.94 +5.06
3 Kapfenberger 36 18 6 12 60 68 55 +13 53.77 +6.23
4 SC Interwetten.com 36 18 6 12 60 61 48 +13 56.34 +3.66
5 Ried 36 16 8 12 56 60 43 +17 57.17 -1.17
6 Leoben 36 11 13 12 46 44 44 0 48.87 -2.87
7 LASK Linz 36 12 8 16 44 46 55 -9 41.71 +2.29
8 SV Worgl 36 9 10 17 37 48 66 -18 42.09 -5.09
9 Lustenau 36 6 13 17 31 40 58 -18 40.09 -9.09
10 BSV Villach Juniors 36 5 9 22 24 31 69 -38 32.78 -8.78

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Wacker Tirol 72 59.64 +12.36
2 Kapfenberger 60 53.77 +6.23
3 Austria Lustenau 65 59.94 +5.06
4 SC Interwetten.com 60 56.34 +3.66
5 LASK Linz 44 41.71 +2.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lustenau 31 40.09 -9.09
2 BSV Villach Juniors 24 32.78 -8.78
3 SV Worgl 37 42.09 -5.09
4 Leoben 46 48.87 -2.87
5 Ried 56 57.17 -1.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SC Interwetten.com 6 Aug 29 – Oct 3 1 in 338
2 LASK Linz 4 Jul 15 – Aug 2 1 in 71
3 Wacker Tirol 5 Mar 26 – Apr 16 1 in 46
4 Kapfenberger 3 Aug 5 – Aug 22 1 in 15
5 Austria Lustenau 3 Aug 22 – Sep 9 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leoben 4 Sep 19 – Oct 14 1 in 51
2 Ried 3 Mar 13 – Mar 19 1 in 41
3 Wacker Tirol 3 Aug 29 – Sep 13 1 in 24
4 SV Worgl 4 Apr 20 – May 7 1 in 22
5 Lustenau 3 Sep 9 – Sep 20 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SC Interwetten.com 12 Aug 29 – Nov 7 1 in 110
2 Austria Lustenau 10 Jul 15 – Sep 13 1 in 39
3 Lustenau 5 Mar 6 – Mar 26 1 in 22
4 Wacker Tirol 11 Mar 26 – May 14 1 in 12
5 Kapfenberger 6 Sep 12 – Oct 18 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ried 6 Jul 22 – Aug 22 1 in 50
2 LASK Linz 10 Oct 4 – Mar 12 1 in 36
3 Lustenau 8 Sep 9 – Oct 25 1 in 22
4 BSV Villach Juniors 13 Oct 14 – Apr 6 1 in 12
5 Leoben 5 Sep 19 – Oct 17 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Wacker Tirol 1555 72 -38 8 10.4 -2.4
Austria Lustenau 1538 65 +24 10 8.4 +1.6
Kapfenberger 1492 60 +34 10 8.4 +1.6
SC Interwetten.com 1477 60 +0 6 8.2 -2.2
Ried 1528 56 +13 10 8.4 +1.6
Leoben 1423 46 +22 8 5.4 +2.6
LASK Linz 1407 44 +63 10 5.0 +5.0
SV Worgl 1297 37 -33 1 4.1 -3.1
Lustenau 1330 31 -45 4 6.0 -2.0
BSV Villach Juniors 1201 24 -42 3 4.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL BVJ KAP LL LEO LUS RIE SI SW WT
Austria Lustenau —
2-2-0
8.32
2-0-2
6.15
3-1-0
7.44
4-0-0
6.28
1-3-0
7.12
2-0-2
5.75
1-2-1
5.94
2-2-0
7.21
1-1-2
5.77
BSV Villach Juniors
0-2-2
2.78
 —
0-0-4
3.64
0-0-4
4.52
2-1-1
3.46
2-2-0
4.37
0-1-3
2.96
0-1-3
3.49
1-1-2
4.56
0-1-3
2.90
Kapfenberger
2-0-2
4.75
4-0-0
7.32
 —
1-0-3
6.71
1-2-1
6.06
3-1-0
6.83
1-1-2
5.20
2-1-1
4.94
3-0-1
6.76
1-1-2
5.00
LASK Linz
0-1-3
3.55
4-0-0
6.39
3-0-1
4.23
 —
0-2-2
4.63
1-2-1
5.64
1-3-0
4.11
1-0-3
3.49
1-0-3
5.44
1-0-3
3.93
Leoben
0-0-4
4.64
1-1-2
7.50
1-2-1
4.86
2-2-0
6.27
 —
0-2-2
6.68
2-1-1
4.28
3-0-1
5.01
0-4-0
5.93
2-1-1
4.18
Lustenau
0-3-1
3.85
0-2-2
6.57
0-1-3
4.10
1-2-1
5.26
2-2-0
4.26
 —
0-1-3
3.88
0-0-4
4.21
2-1-1
4.89
1-1-2
3.31
Ried
2-0-2
5.16
3-1-0
8.07
2-1-1
5.72
0-3-1
6.87
1-1-2
6.64
3-1-0
7.08
 —
2-1-1
5.65
2-0-2
7.30
1-0-3
4.99
SC Interwetten.com
1-2-1
4.97
3-1-0
7.56
1-1-2
5.98
3-0-1
7.47
1-0-3
5.90
4-0-0
6.74
1-1-2
5.27
 —
3-1-0
6.90
1-0-3
5.37
SV Worgl
0-2-2
3.78
2-1-1
6.38
1-0-3
4.15
3-0-1
5.47
0-4-0
4.98
1-1-2
6.03
2-0-2
3.66
0-1-3
4.04
 —
0-1-3
3.69
Wacker Tirol
2-1-1
5.13
3-1-0
8.17
2-1-1
5.93
3-0-1
7.08
1-1-2
6.77
2-1-1
7.69
3-0-1
5.92
3-0-1
5.53
3-1-0
7.28
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +11.9
Allowed 0.65 -11.8
Differential 0.94 +7.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.22%8.06%6.67%1.67%2.50%0.28%26.39%
18.06%11.67%7.22%4.72%0.83%0.56%33.06%
26.67%7.22%5.00%0.83%1.67%0.83%22.22%
31.67%4.72%0.83%0.56%1.39%0.28%9.44%
42.50%0.83%1.67%1.39%0.56%—6.94%
5+0.28%0.56%0.83%0.28%——1.94%
Total26.39%33.06%22.22%9.44%6.94%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.44 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.80
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
113.89%16.67%—8.33%——38.89%
213.89%—2.78%———16.67%
32.78%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—19.44%
4——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total41.67%33.33%11.11%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.00 +0.53
SD 1.18 1.12 1.36
CV 0.77 1.12 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%11.11%—8.33%2.78%47.22%
12.78%5.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
2—8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
3—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%30.56%27.78%8.33%16.67%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.92 -1.06
SD 0.96 1.38 1.58
CV 1.12 0.72 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—13.89%2.78%——22.22%
12.78%8.33%11.11%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
22.78%8.33%————11.11%
32.78%16.67%2.78%———22.22%
42.78%—5.56%2.78%2.78%—13.89%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total16.67%36.11%33.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.53 +0.36
SD 1.56 1.13 2.00
CV 0.83 0.74 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%13.89%5.56%——27.78%
111.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
211.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
3———2.78%——2.78%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total22.22%27.78%30.56%13.89%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.53 -0.25
SD 1.26 1.16 1.70
CV 0.98 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
111.11%16.67%5.56%8.33%——41.67%
25.56%5.56%5.56%—2.78%—19.44%
3———2.78%——2.78%
42.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
5+———————
Total30.56%36.11%16.67%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.15 1.12 1.41
CV 0.94 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%—2.78%2.78%—30.56%
12.78%13.89%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%41.67%
25.56%2.78%8.33%—2.78%—19.44%
3—————2.78%2.78%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%22.22%8.33%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.61 -0.50
SD 1.06 1.55 1.83
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
15.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
25.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
35.56%5.56%——2.78%—13.89%
42.78%—5.56%———8.33%
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total27.78%38.89%22.22%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.19 +0.47
SD 1.51 1.04 1.76
CV 0.91 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
15.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
28.33%19.44%2.78%—2.78%—33.33%
3—5.56%——2.78%—8.33%
42.78%5.56%——2.78%—11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total25.00%44.44%13.89%5.56%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.33 +0.36
SD 1.39 1.24 1.93
CV 0.82 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%—8.33%—25.00%
12.78%13.89%13.89%2.78%——33.33%
25.56%5.56%11.11%——5.56%27.78%
35.56%—2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%27.78%33.33%5.56%11.11%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.83 -0.50
SD 1.07 1.40 1.76
CV 0.80 0.77 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
122.22%11.11%2.78%5.56%——41.67%
28.33%8.33%2.78%—2.78%2.78%25.00%
3—5.56%————5.56%
48.33%——2.78%——11.11%
5+——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
Total41.67%27.78%11.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.22 +0.58
SD 1.37 1.48 1.93
CV 0.76 1.21 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Wacker Tirol 1555 72 59.64 +12.36 96.4% 36 48 55 60 64 71 84
Austria Lustenau 1538 65 59.94 +5.06 76.9% 38 47 55 60 65 72 84
Ried 1528 56 57.17 -1.17 46.4% 34 45 52 57 62 69 83
Kapfenberger 1492 60 53.77 +6.23 80.9% 34 42 49 54 59 66 73
SC Interwetten.com 1477 60 56.34 +3.66 72.9% 30 44 52 56 61 68 82
Leoben 1423 46 48.87 -2.87 38.8% 26 37 44 49 54 62 72
LASK Linz 1407 44 41.71 +2.29 65.0% 21 30 37 42 47 53 62
Lustenau 1330 31 40.09 -9.09 11.7% 19 29 35 40 45 52 69
SV Worgl 1297 37 42.09 -5.09 25.9% 20 31 37 42 47 53 66
BSV Villach Juniors 1201 24 32.78 -8.78 10.6% 16 23 28 32 37 44 51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.00%
Clear Edge
45.00%25.00%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 52.51 Elo pts.
252 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.4
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
Wacker Tirol, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.76 * Some Luck: 5.76 to 8.64 * Lucky: 8.64 to 11.52 * Wild Swing: 11.52 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.15 * Close: 1.15 to 1.72 * Off: 1.72 to 2.29 * Way Off: 2.29 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.56 points
Some Luck
07.2018
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.433
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.40%
Wacker Tirol
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
10.60%
BSV Villach Juniors
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.74
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.85
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.46
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.075
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Wacker Tirol29.60%21.60%18.40%13.80%7.70%5.90%1.90%0.80%0.30%—
Austria Lustenau30.40%20.60%17.40%12.20%8.90%5.90%3.30%1.10%0.20%—
Kapfenberger7.90%12.20%16.20%18.80%16.50%13.90%8.80%4.30%1.10%0.30%
SC Interwetten.com12.80%18.40%19.20%16.70%16.60%8.90%3.70%2.80%0.60%0.30%
Ried16.30%20.00%18.10%17.70%13.90%7.80%3.90%1.90%0.40%—
Leoben2.40%5.50%6.50%12.00%16.10%20.20%17.90%11.80%5.80%1.80%
LASK Linz0.30%0.30%1.20%3.60%8.00%12.30%18.90%23.80%20.40%11.20%
SV Worgl0.20%1.10%1.80%3.00%6.10%13.30%22.60%20.40%21.20%10.30%
Lustenau0.10%0.30%1.20%2.20%5.50%9.40%15.60%22.60%27.30%15.80%
BSV Villach Juniors————0.70%2.40%3.40%10.50%22.70%60.30%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Austria Lustenau 30.40% 69.40% 0.20% —
Wacker Tirol 29.60% 70.10% 0.30% —
Ried 16.30% 83.30% 0.40% —
SC Interwetten.com 12.80% 86.30% 0.60% 0.30%
Kapfenberger 7.90% 90.70% 1.10% 0.30%
Leoben 2.40% 90.00% 5.80% 1.80%
SV Worgl 0.20% 68.30% 21.20% 10.30%
LASK Linz 0.30% 68.10% 20.40% 11.20%
Lustenau 0.10% 56.80% 27.30% 15.80%
BSV Villach Juniors — 17.00% 22.70% 60.30%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2003-07-15 BSV Villach Juniors W 4-247.1 1417 1408 50.23% 27.23% 22.55%+0.24 +11.7 3
2003-07-15 @ Kapfenberger L 2-447.1 1408 1417 22.55% 27.23% 50.23%-0.24 -11.7 0
2003-07-15 LASK Linz L 0-147.1 1368 1430 41.11% 28.16% 30.72%-0.04 -12.7 0
2003-07-15 @ SV Worgl W 1-047.1 1430 1368 30.72% 28.16% 41.11%+0.04 +12.7 3
2003-07-15 Lustenau W 2-145.6 1507 1392 61.62% 24.38% 14.00%+0.67 +4.9 3
2003-07-15 @ Ried L 1-245.6 1392 1507 14.00% 24.38% 61.62%-0.67 -4.9 0
2003-07-15 Wacker Tirol D 0-053.7 1433 1440 48.26% 27.52% 24.22%+0.18 -1.7 1
2003-07-15 @ Austria Lustenau D 0-053.7 1440 1433 24.22% 27.52% 48.26%-0.18 +1.7 1
2003-07-20 BSV Villach Juniors W 1-040.9 1443 1396 54.53% 26.40% 19.06%+0.39 +7.0 6
2003-07-20 @ LASK Linz L 0-140.9 1396 1443 19.06% 26.40% 54.53%-0.39 -7.0 0
2003-07-22 Austria Lustenau L 0-148.2 1387 1431 43.42% 28.02% 28.56%+0.03 -13.3 0
2003-07-22 @ Lustenau W 1-048.2 1431 1387 28.56% 28.02% 43.42%-0.03 +13.3 4
2003-07-22 Kapfenberger L 1-352.8 1442 1429 50.70% 27.15% 22.15%+0.26 -24.7 1
2003-07-22 @ Wacker Tirol W 3-152.8 1429 1442 22.15% 27.15% 50.70%-0.26 +24.6 6
2003-07-22 Ried D 0-055.5 1422 1512 37.17% 28.29% 34.54%-0.15 -0.2 1
2003-07-22 @ Leoben D 0-055.5 1512 1422 34.54% 28.29% 37.17%+0.15 +0.2 4
2003-07-22 SV Worgl D 2-261.5 1430 1356 57.47% 25.67% 16.86%+0.50 -2.0 1
2003-07-22 @ SC Interwetten.com D 2-261.5 1356 1430 16.86% 25.67% 57.47%-0.50 +2.0 1
2003-07-25 Leoben L 0-150.7 1428 1422 49.79% 27.30% 22.91%+0.23 -14.9 1
2003-07-25 @ SC Interwetten.com W 1-050.7 1422 1428 22.91% 27.30% 49.79%-0.23 +14.9 4
2003-07-29 LASK Linz L 0-248.3 1454 1450 49.59% 27.33% 23.08%+0.22 -27.9 6
2003-07-29 @ Kapfenberger W 2-048.3 1450 1454 23.08% 27.33% 49.59%-0.22 +27.9 9
2003-07-29 Leoben W 3-144.8 1445 1437 50.07% 27.25% 22.68%+0.24 +13.2 7
2003-07-29 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-344.8 1437 1445 22.68% 27.25% 50.07%-0.24 -13.2 4
2003-07-29 Lustenau D 0-051.2 1390 1373 51.06% 27.09% 21.85%+0.27 -2.1 1
2003-07-29 @ BSV Villach Juniors D 0-051.2 1373 1390 21.85% 27.09% 51.06%-0.27 +2.1 1
2003-07-29 SC Interwetten.com D 1-160.4 1512 1413 60.07% 24.90% 15.03%+0.60 -3.1 5
2003-07-29 @ Ried D 1-160.4 1413 1512 15.03% 24.90% 60.07%-0.60 +3.1 2
2003-07-29 Wacker Tirol L 1-348.0 1358 1417 41.41% 28.15% 30.44%-0.03 -20.9 1
2003-07-29 @ SV Worgl W 3-148.0 1417 1358 30.44% 28.15% 41.41%+0.03 +20.9 4
2003-08-01 BSV Villach Juniors W 1-040.4 1438 1387 55.02% 26.29% 18.69%+0.41 +6.8 7
2003-08-01 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-140.4 1387 1438 18.69% 26.29% 55.02%-0.41 -6.8 1
2003-08-01 Kapfenberger D 1-157.2 1424 1426 48.91% 27.43% 23.66%+0.20 -1.6 5
2003-08-01 @ Leoben D 1-157.2 1426 1424 23.66% 27.43% 48.91%-0.20 +1.6 7
2003-08-01 SV Worgl L 0-347.8 1509 1337 66.71% 22.38% 10.91%+0.89 -52.1 5
2003-08-01 @ Ried W 3-047.8 1337 1509 10.91% 22.38% 66.71%-0.89 +52.1 4
2003-08-02 Austria Lustenau D 0-053.6 1416 1458 43.76% 27.99% 28.25%+0.04 -1.1 3
2003-08-02 @ SC Interwetten.com D 0-053.6 1458 1416 28.25% 27.99% 43.76%-0.04 +1.1 8
2003-08-02 LASK Linz L 1-251.8 1376 1478 35.40% 28.29% 36.30%-0.20 -10.8 1
2003-08-02 @ Lustenau W 2-151.8 1478 1376 36.30% 28.29% 35.40%+0.20 +10.8 12
2003-08-05 Leoben D 1-156.1 1389 1422 44.93% 27.89% 27.18%+0.08 -1.1 5
2003-08-05 @ SV Worgl D 1-156.1 1422 1389 27.18% 27.89% 44.93%-0.08 +1.1 6
2003-08-05 Lustenau W 4-244.5 1427 1365 56.27% 25.99% 17.75%+0.46 +9.5 10
2003-08-05 @ Kapfenberger L 2-444.5 1365 1427 17.75% 25.99% 56.27%-0.46 -9.5 1
2003-08-05 Ried W 2-040.8 1459 1457 49.35% 27.36% 23.29%+0.22 +15.6 11
2003-08-05 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-240.8 1457 1459 23.29% 27.36% 49.35%-0.22 -15.6 5
2003-08-05 SC Interwetten.com L 0-441.1 1381 1415 44.81% 27.90% 27.28%+0.07 -48.8 1
2003-08-05 @ BSV Villach Juniors W 4-041.1 1415 1381 27.28% 27.90% 44.81%-0.07 +48.8 6
2003-08-05 Wacker Tirol L 0-250.4 1489 1445 54.21% 26.47% 19.32%+0.38 -30.1 12
2003-08-05 @ LASK Linz W 2-050.4 1445 1489 19.32% 26.47% 54.21%-0.38 +30.1 10
2003-08-15 Austria Lustenau D 1-157.4 1388 1475 37.62% 28.28% 34.10%-0.14 -0.2 6
2003-08-15 @ SV Worgl D 1-157.4 1475 1388 34.10% 28.28% 37.62%+0.14 +0.2 12
2003-08-15 BSV Villach Juniors D 0-052.1 1442 1332 61.06% 24.57% 14.37%+0.64 -3.6 6
2003-08-15 @ Ried D 0-052.1 1332 1442 14.37% 24.57% 61.06%-0.64 +3.6 2
2003-08-15 Kapfenberger L 0-248.9 1463 1437 52.30% 26.86% 20.83%+0.31 -29.2 6
2003-08-15 @ SC Interwetten.com W 2-048.9 1437 1463 20.83% 26.86% 52.30%-0.31 +29.2 13
2003-08-15 LASK Linz W 4-143.5 1423 1458 44.69% 27.91% 27.40%+0.07 +21.7 9
2003-08-15 @ Leoben L 1-443.5 1458 1423 27.40% 27.91% 44.69%-0.07 -21.7 12
2003-08-16 Wacker Tirol D 2-261.8 1355 1475 32.94% 28.25% 38.81%-0.27 +0.3 2
2003-08-16 @ Lustenau D 2-261.8 1475 1355 38.81% 28.25% 32.94%+0.27 -0.3 11
2003-08-22 Austria Lustenau L 3-456.8 1335 1475 30.34% 28.14% 41.52%-0.35 -8.9 2
2003-08-22 @ BSV Villach Juniors W 4-356.8 1475 1335 41.52% 28.14% 30.34%+0.35 +8.9 15
2003-08-22 Ried D 1-158.0 1437 1438 48.97% 27.42% 23.61%+0.20 -1.6 13
2003-08-22 @ LASK Linz D 1-158.0 1438 1437 23.61% 27.42% 48.97%-0.20 +1.6 7
2003-08-22 SC Interwetten.com W 1-043.2 1475 1434 53.89% 26.54% 19.57%+0.37 +7.1 14
2003-08-22 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-143.2 1434 1475 19.57% 26.54% 53.89%-0.37 -7.1 6
2003-08-22 SV Worgl W 2-145.3 1466 1388 57.94% 25.54% 16.52%+0.52 +5.7 16
2003-08-22 @ Kapfenberger L 1-245.3 1388 1466 16.52% 25.54% 57.94%-0.52 -5.7 6
2003-08-23 Leoben D 0-051.6 1356 1445 37.23% 28.29% 34.48%-0.15 -0.2 3
2003-08-23 @ Lustenau D 0-051.6 1445 1356 34.48% 28.29% 37.23%+0.15 +0.2 10
2003-08-29 LASK Linz W 3-144.8 1427 1435 48.16% 27.53% 24.31%+0.18 +14.0 9
2003-08-29 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-344.8 1435 1427 24.31% 27.53% 48.16%-0.18 -14.0 13
2003-08-29 Lustenau L 0-442.0 1382 1355 52.28% 26.87% 20.85%+0.31 -55.4 6
2003-08-29 @ SV Worgl W 4-042.0 1355 1382 20.85% 26.87% 52.28%-0.31 +55.4 6
2003-08-29 Wacker Tirol W 4-251.9 1440 1482 43.73% 27.99% 28.27%+0.04 +14.1 10
2003-08-29 @ Ried L 2-451.9 1482 1440 28.27% 27.99% 43.73%-0.04 -14.1 14
2003-08-30 BSV Villach Juniors L 1-256.6 1445 1326 61.91% 24.28% 13.81%+0.68 -16.9 10
2003-08-30 @ Leoben W 2-156.6 1326 1445 13.81% 24.28% 61.91%-0.68 +16.9 5
2003-08-30 Kapfenberger W 3-039.4 1484 1472 50.57% 27.17% 22.26%+0.26 +21.8 18
2003-08-30 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-339.4 1472 1484 22.26% 27.17% 50.57%-0.26 -21.8 16
2003-09-09 Austria Lustenau L 2-455.1 1421 1505 37.96% 28.27% 33.76%-0.13 -17.5 13
2003-09-09 @ LASK Linz W 4-255.1 1505 1421 33.76% 28.27% 37.96%+0.13 +17.5 21
2003-09-09 Leoben L 0-153.1 1468 1428 53.77% 26.57% 19.66%+0.37 -15.9 14
2003-09-09 @ Wacker Tirol W 1-053.1 1428 1468 19.66% 26.57% 53.77%-0.37 +15.9 13
2003-09-09 Ried L 1-257.1 1450 1454 48.67% 27.46% 23.87%+0.19 -13.8 16
2003-09-09 @ Kapfenberger W 2-157.1 1454 1450 23.87% 27.46% 48.67%-0.19 +13.8 13
2003-09-09 SC Interwetten.com L 1-254.6 1411 1441 45.32% 27.86% 26.83%+0.09 -13.0 6
2003-09-09 @ Lustenau W 2-154.6 1441 1411 26.83% 27.86% 45.32%-0.09 +13.0 12
2003-09-09 SV Worgl D 2-259.3 1343 1326 51.16% 27.07% 21.77%+0.28 -1.4 6
2003-09-09 @ BSV Villach Juniors D 2-259.3 1326 1343 21.77% 27.07% 51.16%-0.28 +1.4 7
2003-09-12 BSV Villach Juniors W 2-036.0 1328 1342 47.39% 27.63% 24.98%+0.15 +16.5 10
2003-09-12 @ SV Worgl L 0-236.0 1342 1328 24.98% 27.63% 47.39%-0.15 -16.5 6
2003-09-12 Kapfenberger L 2-363.0 1468 1436 52.83% 26.76% 20.41%+0.33 -14.0 13
2003-09-12 @ Ried W 3-263.0 1436 1468 20.41% 26.76% 52.83%-0.33 +14.0 19
2003-09-13 LASK Linz D 1-160.6 1523 1404 61.96% 24.26% 13.77%+0.68 -3.3 22
2003-09-13 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-160.6 1404 1523 13.77% 24.26% 61.96%-0.68 +3.3 14
2003-09-13 Lustenau W 4-139.4 1454 1398 55.60% 26.15% 18.25%+0.43 +15.4 15
2003-09-13 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-439.4 1398 1454 18.25% 26.15% 55.60%-0.43 -15.4 6
2003-09-13 Wacker Tirol W 4-037.6 1444 1452 48.17% 27.53% 24.30%+0.18 +30.6 16
2003-09-13 @ Leoben L 0-437.6 1452 1444 24.30% 27.53% 48.17%-0.18 -30.6 14
2003-09-19 Austria Lustenau W 4-362.4 1422 1520 35.99% 28.29% 35.71%-0.18 +10.0 17
2003-09-19 @ Wacker Tirol L 3-462.4 1520 1422 35.71% 28.29% 35.99%+0.18 -10.0 22
2003-09-19 Kapfenberger L 1-249.0 1325 1450 32.27% 28.23% 39.50%-0.29 -10.0 6
2003-09-19 @ BSV Villach Juniors W 2-149.0 1450 1325 39.50% 28.23% 32.27%+0.29 +10.0 22
2003-09-19 SC Interwetten.com L 1-258.7 1475 1470 49.78% 27.30% 22.92%+0.23 -14.0 16
2003-09-19 @ Leoben W 2-158.7 1470 1475 22.92% 27.30% 49.78%-0.23 +14.0 18
2003-09-19 SV Worgl L 0-343.6 1407 1344 56.28% 25.98% 17.74%+0.46 -45.2 14
2003-09-19 @ LASK Linz W 3-043.6 1344 1407 17.74% 25.98% 56.28%-0.46 +45.2 13
2003-09-20 Ried L 0-147.6 1382 1454 39.82% 28.22% 31.96%-0.07 -12.4 6
2003-09-20 @ Lustenau W 1-047.6 1454 1382 31.96% 28.22% 39.82%+0.07 +12.4 16
2003-09-26 LASK Linz L 0-241.7 1315 1362 43.20% 28.03% 28.76%+0.02 -25.0 6
2003-09-26 @ BSV Villach Juniors W 2-041.7 1362 1315 28.76% 28.03% 43.20%-0.02 +25.0 17
2003-09-26 Lustenau D 0-055.1 1510 1370 63.83% 23.57% 12.60%+0.76 -4.0 23
2003-09-26 @ Austria Lustenau D 0-055.1 1370 1510 12.60% 23.57% 63.83%-0.76 +4.0 7
2003-09-26 SC Interwetten.com L 1-252.7 1390 1484 36.59% 28.29% 35.12%-0.16 -11.0 13
2003-09-26 @ SV Worgl W 2-152.7 1484 1390 35.12% 28.29% 36.59%+0.16 +11.0 21
2003-09-26 Wacker Tirol D 1-158.7 1460 1432 52.54% 26.82% 20.64%+0.32 -2.1 23
2003-09-26 @ Kapfenberger D 1-158.7 1432 1460 20.64% 26.82% 52.54%-0.32 +2.1 18
2003-09-27 Leoben W 4-250.3 1466 1461 49.76% 27.30% 22.94%+0.23 +11.9 19
2003-09-27 @ Ried L 2-450.3 1461 1466 22.94% 27.30% 49.76%-0.23 -11.9 16
2003-10-03 Austria Lustenau L 0-248.0 1449 1506 41.80% 28.13% 30.08%-0.02 -24.3 16
2003-10-03 @ Leoben W 2-048.0 1506 1449 30.08% 28.13% 41.80%+0.02 +24.3 26
2003-10-03 Ried W 2-151.3 1495 1478 51.13% 27.08% 21.79%+0.27 +7.4 24
2003-10-03 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-251.3 1478 1495 21.79% 27.08% 51.13%-0.27 -7.4 19
2003-10-03 SV Worgl W 1-039.9 1434 1379 55.47% 26.18% 18.35%+0.43 +6.7 21
2003-10-03 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-139.9 1379 1434 18.35% 26.18% 55.47%-0.43 -6.7 13
2003-10-04 BSV Villach Juniors L 0-149.3 1374 1290 58.46% 25.39% 16.15%+0.54 -17.1 7
2003-10-04 @ Lustenau W 1-049.3 1290 1374 16.15% 25.39% 58.46%-0.54 +17.0 9
2003-10-04 Kapfenberger L 0-341.4 1387 1458 39.76% 28.22% 32.01%-0.08 -34.0 17
2003-10-04 @ LASK Linz W 3-041.4 1458 1387 32.01% 28.22% 39.76%+0.08 +34.0 26
2003-10-14 Leoben W 1-042.6 1492 1425 56.81% 25.85% 17.34%+0.48 +6.4 29
2003-10-14 @ Kapfenberger L 0-142.6 1425 1492 17.34% 25.85% 56.81%-0.48 -6.4 16
2003-10-14 Lustenau D 1-154.4 1353 1357 48.61% 27.47% 23.92%+0.19 -1.6 18
2003-10-14 @ LASK Linz D 1-154.4 1357 1353 23.92% 27.47% 48.61%-0.19 +1.6 8
2003-10-14 Ried W 4-359.3 1372 1471 35.91% 28.29% 35.79%-0.18 +10.0 16
2003-10-14 @ SV Worgl L 3-459.3 1471 1372 35.79% 28.29% 35.91%+0.18 -10.0 19
2003-10-14 SC Interwetten.com D 1-163.7 1530 1502 52.47% 26.83% 20.70%+0.32 -2.1 27
2003-10-14 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-163.7 1502 1530 20.70% 26.83% 52.47%-0.32 +2.1 25
2003-10-14 Wacker Tirol L 0-436.2 1307 1440 31.20% 28.19% 40.61%-0.32 -37.2 9
2003-10-14 @ BSV Villach Juniors W 4-036.2 1440 1307 40.61% 28.19% 31.20%+0.32 +37.2 24
2003-10-17 SV Worgl D 2-261.5 1418 1382 53.40% 26.65% 19.95%+0.35 -1.6 17
2003-10-17 @ Leoben D 2-261.5 1382 1418 19.95% 26.65% 53.40%-0.35 +1.7 17
2003-10-18 BSV Villach Juniors D 0-053.5 1504 1270 71.62% 20.03% 8.35%+1.14 -4.9 26
2003-10-18 @ SC Interwetten.com D 0-053.5 1270 1504 8.35% 20.03% 71.62%-1.14 +4.9 10
2003-10-18 Kapfenberger L 1-346.6 1358 1499 30.26% 28.14% 41.61%-0.35 -16.6 8
2003-10-18 @ Lustenau W 3-146.6 1499 1358 41.61% 28.14% 30.26%+0.35 +16.6 32
2003-10-18 LASK Linz W 1-038.2 1478 1351 62.63% 24.02% 13.35%+0.71 +4.9 27
2003-10-18 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-138.2 1351 1478 13.35% 24.02% 62.63%-0.71 -4.9 18
2003-10-19 Austria Lustenau W 1-050.1 1460 1528 40.33% 28.20% 31.47%-0.06 +10.5 22
2003-10-19 @ Ried L 0-150.1 1528 1460 31.47% 28.20% 40.33%+0.06 -10.5 27
2003-10-24 Leoben L 0-146.0 1346 1417 39.91% 28.22% 31.87%-0.07 -12.5 18
2003-10-24 @ LASK Linz W 1-046.0 1417 1346 31.87% 28.22% 39.91%+0.07 +12.5 20
2003-10-24 Ried L 1-341.9 1275 1471 23.73% 27.44% 48.83%-0.57 -13.7 10
2003-10-24 @ BSV Villach Juniors W 3-141.9 1471 1275 48.83% 27.44% 23.73%+0.57 +13.7 25
2003-10-24 SC Interwetten.com L 0-252.7 1515 1499 51.07% 27.09% 21.84%+0.27 -28.6 32
2003-10-24 @ Kapfenberger W 2-052.7 1499 1515 21.84% 27.09% 51.07%-0.27 +28.6 29
2003-10-25 Lustenau W 4-030.8 1482 1342 63.92% 23.54% 12.55%+0.77 +16.5 30
2003-10-25 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-430.8 1342 1482 12.55% 23.54% 63.92%-0.77 -16.6 8
2003-10-25 SV Worgl W 1-040.1 1517 1384 63.32% 23.77% 12.92%+0.74 +4.8 30
2003-10-25 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-140.1 1384 1517 12.92% 23.77% 63.32%-0.74 -4.8 17
2003-10-28 BSV Villach Juniors D 1-158.2 1522 1262 73.62% 18.96% 7.42%+1.24 -4.6 31
2003-10-28 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-158.2 1262 1522 7.42% 18.96% 73.62%-1.24 +4.6 11
2003-10-28 Kapfenberger W 2-043.6 1379 1487 34.62% 28.29% 37.09%-0.22 +22.2 20
2003-10-28 @ SV Worgl L 0-243.6 1487 1379 37.09% 28.29% 34.62%+0.22 -22.2 32
2003-10-28 LASK Linz D 2-263.0 1485 1334 64.85% 23.17% 11.98%+0.81 -2.7 26
2003-10-28 @ Ried D 2-263.0 1334 1485 11.98% 23.17% 64.85%-0.81 +2.7 19
2003-10-28 Lustenau L 0-151.0 1429 1325 60.46% 24.77% 14.77%+0.62 -17.5 20
2003-10-28 @ Leoben W 1-051.0 1325 1429 14.77% 24.77% 60.46%-0.62 +17.6 11
2003-10-28 Wacker Tirol W 2-043.9 1528 1499 52.53% 26.82% 20.65%+0.32 +14.1 32
2003-10-28 @ SC Interwetten.com L 0-243.9 1499 1528 20.65% 26.82% 52.53%-0.32 -14.1 30
2003-10-31 Austria Lustenau W 3-150.6 1464 1518 42.26% 28.10% 29.64%+0.00 +16.3 35
2003-10-31 @ Kapfenberger L 1-350.6 1518 1464 29.64% 28.10% 42.26%+0.00 -16.3 31
2003-10-31 Leoben D 2-259.1 1266 1411 29.59% 28.09% 42.32%-0.37 +0.6 12
2003-10-31 @ BSV Villach Juniors D 2-259.1 1411 1266 42.32% 28.09% 29.59%+0.37 -0.6 21
2003-10-31 Ried W 1-046.6 1485 1482 49.50% 27.34% 23.16%+0.22 +8.2 33
2003-10-31 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-146.6 1482 1485 23.16% 27.34% 49.50%-0.22 -8.2 26
2003-10-31 SC Interwetten.com L 1-248.4 1336 1542 22.74% 27.26% 49.99%-0.61 -7.6 19
2003-10-31 @ LASK Linz W 2-148.4 1542 1336 49.99% 27.26% 22.74%+0.61 +7.6 35
2003-10-31 SV Worgl D 2-260.0 1343 1401 41.62% 28.14% 30.25%-0.02 -0.5 12
2003-10-31 @ Lustenau D 2-260.0 1401 1343 30.25% 28.14% 41.62%+0.02 +0.5 21
2003-11-07 Kapfenberger D 4-475.1 1549 1481 56.93% 25.81% 17.25%+0.48 -1.4 36
2003-11-07 @ SC Interwetten.com D 4-475.1 1481 1549 17.25% 25.81% 56.93%-0.48 +1.5 36
2003-11-07 LASK Linz D 3-364.7 1411 1329 58.31% 25.43% 16.25%+0.53 -1.8 22
2003-11-07 @ Leoben D 3-364.7 1329 1411 16.25% 25.43% 58.31%-0.53 +1.8 20
2003-11-07 Lustenau W 3-031.3 1474 1342 63.08% 23.86% 13.07%+0.73 +13.2 29
2003-11-07 @ Ried L 0-331.3 1342 1474 13.07% 23.86% 63.08%-0.73 -13.2 12
2003-11-08 BSV Villach Juniors W 1-035.2 1402 1267 63.39% 23.74% 12.87%+0.74 +4.8 24
2003-11-08 @ SV Worgl L 0-135.2 1267 1402 12.87% 23.74% 63.39%-0.74 -4.8 12
2003-11-08 Wacker Tirol W 3-148.7 1501 1493 50.12% 27.25% 22.64%+0.24 +13.2 34
2003-11-08 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-348.7 1493 1501 22.64% 27.25% 50.12%-0.24 -13.2 33
2003-11-21 Austria Lustenau D 2-261.2 1262 1514 18.41% 26.20% 55.38%-0.79 +1.8 13
2003-11-21 @ BSV Villach Juniors D 2-261.2 1514 1262 55.38% 26.20% 18.41%+0.79 -1.8 35
2003-11-21 Ried D 0-057.0 1482 1487 48.54% 27.48% 23.99%+0.19 -1.8 37
2003-11-21 @ Kapfenberger D 0-057.0 1487 1482 23.99% 27.48% 48.54%-0.19 +1.8 30
2003-11-21 SV Worgl L 2-355.2 1331 1406 39.18% 28.24% 32.58%-0.09 -11.0 20
2003-11-21 @ LASK Linz W 3-255.2 1406 1331 32.58% 28.24% 39.18%+0.09 +11.0 27
2003-11-22 Leoben W 2-039.6 1329 1409 38.58% 28.26% 33.16%-0.11 +20.5 15
2003-11-22 @ Lustenau L 0-239.6 1409 1329 33.16% 28.26% 38.58%+0.11 -20.5 22
2003-11-22 SC Interwetten.com W 4-044.7 1480 1548 40.26% 28.20% 31.54%-0.06 +37.5 36
2003-11-22 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-444.7 1548 1480 31.54% 28.20% 40.26%+0.06 -37.5 36
2003-11-28 BSV Villach Juniors W 2-140.3 1389 1264 62.47% 24.08% 13.45%+0.70 +4.7 25
2003-11-28 @ Leoben L 1-240.3 1264 1389 13.45% 24.08% 62.47%-0.70 -4.7 13
2003-11-28 LASK Linz W 2-032.6 1510 1320 68.25% 21.69% 10.07%+0.97 +6.9 39
2003-11-28 @ SC Interwetten.com L 0-232.6 1320 1510 10.07% 21.69% 68.25%-0.97 -6.9 20
2003-11-28 Wacker Tirol L 1-356.2 1489 1517 45.51% 27.84% 26.65%+0.09 -22.5 30
2003-11-28 @ Ried W 3-156.2 1517 1489 26.65% 27.84% 45.51%-0.09 +22.5 39
2003-11-29 Kapfenberger W 3-147.8 1513 1480 52.95% 26.74% 20.31%+0.34 +12.0 38
2003-11-29 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-347.8 1480 1513 20.31% 26.74% 52.95%-0.34 -12.0 37
2003-11-29 Lustenau W 2-143.6 1417 1350 56.81% 25.85% 17.35%+0.48 +6.0 30
2003-11-29 @ SV Worgl L 1-243.6 1350 1417 17.35% 25.85% 56.81%-0.48 -6.0 15
2004-03-06 Austria Lustenau D 1-157.7 1344 1525 25.34% 27.68% 46.99%-0.51 +1.4 16
2004-03-06 @ Lustenau D 1-157.7 1525 1344 46.99% 27.68% 25.34%+0.51 -1.4 39
2004-03-07 Leoben W 1-040.9 1540 1393 64.47% 23.32% 12.21%+0.79 +4.5 42
2004-03-07 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-140.9 1393 1540 12.21% 23.32% 64.47%-0.79 -4.5 25
2004-03-07 SC Interwetten.com W 3-042.9 1466 1517 42.55% 28.08% 29.37%+0.01 +27.2 33
2004-03-07 @ Ried L 0-342.9 1517 1466 29.37% 28.08% 42.55%-0.01 -27.2 39
2004-03-07 SV Worgl W 4-035.6 1468 1423 54.38% 26.44% 19.19%+0.39 +25.0 40
2004-03-07 @ Kapfenberger L 0-435.6 1423 1468 19.19% 26.44% 54.38%-0.39 -25.0 30
2004-03-12 Lustenau D 2-258.9 1313 1345 45.05% 27.88% 27.07%+0.08 -0.8 21
2004-03-12 @ LASK Linz D 2-258.9 1345 1313 27.07% 27.88% 45.05%-0.08 +0.8 17
2004-03-13 Ried W 1-047.5 1523 1493 52.67% 26.79% 20.54%+0.33 +7.4 42
2004-03-13 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-147.5 1493 1523 20.54% 26.79% 52.67%-0.33 -7.4 33
2004-03-16 Austria Lustenau W 1-050.2 1490 1531 43.97% 27.98% 28.05%+0.05 +9.6 42
2004-03-16 @ SC Interwetten.com L 0-150.2 1531 1490 28.05% 27.98% 43.97%-0.05 -9.6 42
2004-03-16 BSV Villach Juniors D 0-049.8 1346 1259 58.78% 25.29% 15.92%+0.55 -3.2 18
2004-03-16 @ Lustenau D 0-049.8 1259 1346 15.92% 25.29% 58.78%-0.55 +3.2 14
2004-03-16 LASK Linz L 1-258.3 1493 1312 67.47% 22.04% 10.49%+0.93 -18.1 40
2004-03-16 @ Kapfenberger W 2-158.3 1312 1493 10.49% 22.04% 67.47%-0.93 +18.1 24
2004-03-16 Leoben L 1-258.7 1486 1389 59.82% 24.98% 15.20%+0.59 -16.4 33
2004-03-16 @ Ried W 2-158.7 1389 1486 15.20% 24.98% 59.82%-0.59 +16.4 28
2004-03-16 SV Worgl W 5-242.5 1545 1398 64.43% 23.33% 12.23%+0.79 +9.0 45
2004-03-16 @ Wacker Tirol L 2-542.5 1398 1545 12.23% 23.33% 64.43%-0.79 -9.0 30
2004-03-19 Austria Lustenau D 1-158.9 1389 1521 31.33% 28.19% 40.48%-0.32 +0.5 31
2004-03-19 @ SV Worgl D 1-158.9 1521 1389 40.48% 28.19% 31.33%+0.32 -0.6 43
2004-03-19 Kapfenberger L 1-244.9 1262 1475 21.99% 27.12% 50.89%-0.64 -7.4 14
2004-03-19 @ BSV Villach Juniors W 2-144.9 1475 1262 50.89% 27.12% 21.99%+0.64 +7.4 43
2004-03-19 Ried W 1-047.2 1330 1470 30.32% 28.14% 41.54%-0.35 +12.8 27
2004-03-19 @ LASK Linz L 0-147.2 1470 1330 41.54% 28.14% 30.32%+0.35 -12.8 33
2004-03-19 SC Interwetten.com W 1-048.3 1405 1500 36.51% 28.29% 35.19%-0.17 +11.3 31
2004-03-19 @ Leoben L 0-148.3 1500 1405 35.19% 28.29% 36.51%+0.17 -11.4 42
2004-03-19 Wacker Tirol W 2-157.3 1343 1554 22.18% 27.16% 50.66%-0.63 +14.2 21
2004-03-19 @ Lustenau L 1-257.3 1554 1343 50.66% 27.16% 22.18%+0.63 -14.2 45
2004-03-26 LASK Linz W 2-033.9 1539 1343 68.71% 21.47% 9.82%+0.99 +6.7 48
2004-03-26 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-233.9 1343 1539 9.82% 21.47% 68.71%-0.99 -6.7 27
2004-03-26 Lustenau D 1-158.0 1483 1357 62.56% 24.05% 13.39%+0.71 -3.4 44
2004-03-26 @ Kapfenberger D 1-158.0 1357 1483 13.39% 24.05% 62.56%-0.71 +3.4 22
2004-03-27 BSV Villach Juniors W 4-132.2 1488 1255 71.60% 20.04% 8.36%+1.14 +6.8 45
2004-03-27 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-432.2 1255 1488 8.36% 20.04% 71.60%-1.14 -6.8 14
2004-03-27 Leoben W 1-042.2 1521 1417 60.49% 24.76% 14.75%+0.62 +5.5 46
2004-03-27 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-142.2 1417 1521 14.75% 24.76% 60.49%-0.62 -5.5 31
2004-03-28 SV Worgl W 5-241.8 1457 1390 56.74% 25.87% 17.40%+0.47 +12.8 36
2004-03-28 @ Ried L 2-541.8 1390 1457 17.40% 25.87% 56.74%-0.47 -12.8 31
2004-04-02 Leoben D 1-155.6 1377 1411 44.82% 27.90% 27.28%+0.07 -1.1 32
2004-04-02 @ SV Worgl D 1-155.6 1411 1377 27.28% 27.90% 44.82%-0.07 +1.1 32
2004-04-02 Ried L 0-432.4 1248 1469 21.17% 26.94% 51.89%-0.67 -27.3 14
2004-04-02 @ BSV Villach Juniors W 4-032.4 1469 1248 51.89% 26.94% 21.17%+0.67 +27.3 39
2004-04-02 SC Interwetten.com L 1-346.7 1360 1495 30.92% 28.17% 40.90%-0.33 -16.9 22
2004-04-02 @ Lustenau W 3-146.7 1495 1360 40.90% 28.17% 30.92%+0.33 +16.9 48
2004-04-02 Wacker Tirol L 1-259.2 1479 1546 40.42% 28.20% 31.38%-0.06 -11.9 44
2004-04-02 @ Kapfenberger W 2-159.2 1546 1479 31.38% 28.20% 40.42%+0.06 +11.9 51
2004-04-03 Austria Lustenau L 0-239.5 1336 1526 24.36% 27.54% 48.11%-0.55 -16.1 27
2004-04-03 @ LASK Linz W 2-039.5 1526 1336 48.11% 27.54% 24.36%+0.55 +16.2 49
2004-04-06 BSV Villach Juniors W 2-028.4 1497 1221 74.69% 18.36% 6.95%+1.30 +4.5 42
2004-04-06 @ Ried L 0-228.4 1221 1497 6.95% 18.36% 74.69%-1.30 -4.5 14
2004-04-06 Kapfenberger W 2-150.9 1558 1467 59.16% 25.18% 15.66%+0.57 +5.5 54
2004-04-06 @ Wacker Tirol L 1-250.9 1467 1558 15.66% 25.18% 59.16%-0.57 -5.4 44
2004-04-06 LASK Linz W 1-036.7 1542 1320 70.74% 20.48% 8.78%+1.09 +3.1 52
2004-04-06 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-136.7 1320 1542 8.78% 20.48% 70.74%-1.09 -3.1 27
2004-04-06 Lustenau W 1-037.8 1512 1343 66.39% 22.52% 11.09%+0.88 +4.0 51
2004-04-06 @ SC Interwetten.com L 0-137.8 1343 1512 11.09% 22.52% 66.39%-0.88 -4.0 22
2004-04-06 SV Worgl D 0-051.8 1412 1376 53.40% 26.65% 19.95%+0.35 -2.5 33
2004-04-06 @ Leoben D 0-051.8 1376 1412 19.95% 26.65% 53.40%-0.35 +2.5 33
2004-04-09 Kapfenberger W 2-041.5 1410 1462 42.42% 28.09% 29.50%+0.00 +18.8 36
2004-04-09 @ Leoben L 0-241.5 1462 1410 29.50% 28.09% 42.42%+0.00 -18.8 44
2004-04-13 Austria Lustenau W 2-047.2 1563 1545 51.30% 27.05% 21.66%+0.28 +14.7 57
2004-04-13 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-247.2 1545 1563 21.66% 27.05% 51.30%-0.28 -14.6 52
2004-04-13 Leoben D 1-154.7 1317 1429 34.07% 28.28% 37.65%-0.24 +0.2 28
2004-04-13 @ LASK Linz D 1-154.7 1429 1317 37.65% 28.28% 34.07%+0.24 -0.2 37
2004-04-13 Ried D 1-156.8 1339 1501 27.54% 27.93% 44.53%-0.43 +1.1 23
2004-04-13 @ Lustenau D 1-156.8 1501 1339 44.53% 27.93% 27.54%+0.43 -1.1 43
2004-04-13 SC Interwetten.com W 3-150.6 1443 1516 39.56% 28.23% 32.21%-0.08 +17.4 47
2004-04-13 @ Kapfenberger L 1-350.6 1516 1443 32.21% 28.23% 39.56%+0.08 -17.4 51
2004-04-13 SV Worgl W 2-150.3 1216 1378 27.53% 27.93% 44.54%-0.43 +12.8 17
2004-04-13 @ BSV Villach Juniors L 1-250.3 1378 1216 44.54% 27.93% 27.53%+0.43 -12.8 33
2004-04-16 Kapfenberger W 5-142.1 1500 1461 53.77% 26.57% 19.66%+0.37 +21.3 46
2004-04-16 @ Ried L 1-542.1 1461 1500 19.66% 26.57% 53.77%-0.37 -21.3 47
2004-04-16 LASK Linz W 2-142.9 1366 1317 54.76% 26.35% 18.89%+0.40 +6.5 36
2004-04-16 @ SV Worgl L 1-242.9 1317 1366 18.89% 26.35% 54.76%-0.40 -6.5 28
2004-04-16 Lustenau D 1-156.0 1428 1340 58.90% 25.26% 15.84%+0.56 -2.9 38
2004-04-16 @ Leoben D 1-156.0 1340 1428 15.84% 25.26% 58.90%-0.56 +2.9 24
2004-04-16 Wacker Tirol L 1-260.6 1499 1578 38.68% 28.26% 33.06%-0.11 -11.5 51
2004-04-16 @ SC Interwetten.com W 2-160.6 1578 1499 33.06% 28.26% 38.68%+0.11 +11.5 60
2004-04-17 BSV Villach Juniors W 3-242.4 1531 1229 76.45% 17.35% 6.20%+1.41 +1.9 55
2004-04-17 @ Austria Lustenau L 2-342.4 1229 1531 6.20% 17.35% 76.45%-1.41 -1.9 17
2004-04-20 SC Interwetten.com L 1-251.4 1372 1487 33.58% 28.27% 38.15%-0.25 -10.3 36
2004-04-20 @ SV Worgl W 2-151.4 1487 1372 38.15% 28.27% 33.58%+0.25 +10.3 54
2004-04-20 Wacker Tirol D 1-157.8 1227 1589 11.32% 22.70% 65.98%-1.23 +3.8 18
2004-04-20 @ BSV Villach Juniors D 1-157.8 1589 1227 65.98% 22.70% 11.32%+1.23 -3.8 61
2004-04-23 Austria Lustenau W 3-151.9 1439 1532 36.69% 28.29% 35.02%-0.16 +18.5 50
2004-04-23 @ Kapfenberger L 1-351.9 1532 1439 35.02% 28.29% 36.69%+0.16 -18.5 55
2004-04-23 Leoben W 3-148.2 1231 1425 23.89% 27.46% 48.65%-0.56 +23.8 21
2004-04-23 @ BSV Villach Juniors L 1-348.2 1425 1231 48.65% 27.46% 23.89%+0.56 -23.8 38
2004-04-23 Ried W 1-049.5 1586 1521 56.45% 25.94% 17.61%+0.46 +6.5 64
2004-04-23 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-149.5 1521 1586 17.61% 25.94% 56.45%-0.46 -6.5 46
2004-04-23 SC Interwetten.com W 4-254.3 1311 1498 24.66% 27.58% 47.76%-0.53 +21.0 31
2004-04-23 @ LASK Linz L 2-454.3 1498 1311 47.76% 27.58% 24.66%+0.53 -21.0 54
2004-04-23 SV Worgl W 4-033.7 1343 1362 46.84% 27.69% 25.47%+0.14 +31.8 27
2004-04-23 @ Lustenau L 0-433.7 1362 1343 25.47% 27.69% 46.84%-0.14 -31.8 36
2004-04-30 BSV Villach Juniors W 2-032.2 1332 1255 57.75% 25.59% 16.66%+0.51 +11.6 34
2004-04-30 @ LASK Linz L 0-232.2 1255 1332 16.66% 25.59% 57.75%-0.51 -11.6 21
2004-04-30 Kapfenberger L 3-456.8 1330 1458 31.88% 28.22% 39.91%-0.30 -9.2 36
2004-04-30 @ SV Worgl W 4-356.8 1458 1330 39.91% 28.22% 31.88%+0.30 +9.2 53
2004-04-30 Ried L 1-259.0 1477 1515 44.26% 27.95% 27.79%+0.06 -12.7 54
2004-04-30 @ SC Interwetten.com W 2-159.0 1515 1477 27.79% 27.95% 44.26%-0.06 +12.7 49
2004-04-30 Wacker Tirol D 1-162.1 1402 1592 24.29% 27.53% 48.18%-0.55 +1.5 39
2004-04-30 @ Leoben D 1-162.1 1592 1402 48.18% 27.53% 24.29%+0.55 -1.5 65
2004-05-01 Lustenau D 0-055.4 1514 1375 63.77% 23.59% 12.64%+0.76 -4.0 56
2004-05-01 @ Austria Lustenau D 0-055.4 1375 1514 12.64% 23.59% 63.77%-0.76 +4.0 28
2004-05-04 LASK Linz L 0-142.7 1243 1343 35.76% 28.29% 35.94%-0.19 -11.5 21
2004-05-04 @ BSV Villach Juniors W 1-042.7 1343 1243 35.94% 28.29% 35.76%+0.19 +11.5 37
2004-05-07 Austria Lustenau W 3-150.0 1528 1510 51.25% 27.06% 21.69%+0.28 +12.7 52
2004-05-07 @ Ried L 1-350.0 1510 1528 21.69% 27.06% 51.25%-0.28 -12.7 56
2004-05-07 BSV Villach Juniors W 1-032.8 1591 1232 80.06% 15.15% 4.80%+1.63 +1.5 68
2004-05-07 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-132.8 1232 1591 4.80% 15.15% 80.06%-1.63 -1.5 21
2004-05-07 LASK Linz W 2-035.5 1379 1355 52.05% 26.91% 21.04%+0.31 +14.3 31
2004-05-07 @ Lustenau L 0-235.5 1355 1379 21.04% 26.91% 52.05%-0.31 -14.3 37
2004-05-07 Leoben D 0-054.1 1467 1403 56.41% 25.95% 17.64%+0.46 -2.9 54
2004-05-07 @ Kapfenberger D 0-054.1 1403 1467 17.64% 25.95% 56.41%-0.46 +2.9 40
2004-05-07 SV Worgl W 2-141.7 1464 1321 64.15% 23.44% 12.40%+0.78 +4.3 57
2004-05-07 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-241.7 1321 1464 12.40% 23.44% 64.15%-0.78 -4.3 36
2004-05-11 Kapfenberger W 2-042.7 1340 1464 32.41% 28.24% 39.35%-0.28 +23.2 40
2004-05-11 @ LASK Linz L 0-242.7 1464 1340 39.35% 28.24% 32.41%+0.28 -23.2 54
2004-05-11 Lustenau W 2-150.6 1230 1393 27.41% 27.92% 44.67%-0.44 +12.8 24
2004-05-11 @ BSV Villach Juniors L 1-250.6 1393 1230 44.67% 27.92% 27.41%+0.44 -12.8 31
2004-05-11 Ried W 2-047.4 1406 1540 30.99% 28.18% 40.83%-0.33 +23.9 43
2004-05-11 @ Leoben L 0-247.4 1540 1406 40.83% 28.18% 30.99%+0.33 -23.9 52
2004-05-11 SC Interwetten.com W 2-041.6 1497 1468 52.58% 26.81% 20.61%+0.32 +14.0 59
2004-05-11 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-241.6 1468 1497 20.61% 26.81% 52.58%-0.32 -14.0 57
2004-05-11 Wacker Tirol D 1-159.6 1316 1592 16.60% 25.57% 57.84%-0.89 +2.8 37
2004-05-11 @ SV Worgl D 1-159.6 1592 1316 57.84% 25.57% 16.60%+0.89 -2.8 69
2004-05-14 BSV Villach Juniors W 3-135.0 1441 1243 68.80% 21.43% 9.77%+0.99 +5.8 57
2004-05-14 @ Kapfenberger L 1-335.0 1243 1441 9.77% 21.43% 68.80%-0.99 -5.8 24
2004-05-14 LASK Linz D 1-159.4 1517 1364 65.03% 23.09% 11.88%+0.82 -3.7 53
2004-05-14 @ Ried D 1-159.4 1364 1517 11.88% 23.09% 65.03%-0.82 +3.7 41
2004-05-14 Leoben L 3-465.0 1454 1430 52.02% 26.92% 21.06%+0.30 -13.5 57
2004-05-14 @ SC Interwetten.com W 4-365.0 1430 1454 21.06% 26.92% 52.02%-0.30 +13.5 46
2004-05-14 Lustenau W 5-347.8 1589 1380 69.69% 21.00% 9.31%+1.04 +4.6 72
2004-05-14 @ Wacker Tirol L 3-547.8 1380 1589 9.31% 21.00% 69.69%-1.04 -4.6 31
2004-05-14 SV Worgl W 2-032.6 1511 1319 68.35% 21.64% 10.01%+0.97 +6.8 62
2004-05-14 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-232.6 1319 1511 10.01% 21.64% 68.35%-0.97 -6.8 37
2004-05-21 Austria Lustenau L 1-352.8 1443 1518 39.30% 28.24% 32.46%-0.09 -20.1 46
2004-05-21 @ Leoben W 3-152.8 1518 1443 32.46% 28.24% 39.30%+0.09 +20.1 65
2004-05-21 Kapfenberger L 1-643.9 1376 1447 39.88% 28.22% 31.90%-0.07 -45.5 31
2004-05-21 @ Lustenau W 6-143.9 1447 1376 31.90% 28.22% 39.88%+0.07 +45.5 60
2004-05-21 Ried L 0-238.1 1312 1513 23.24% 27.35% 49.41%-0.59 -15.5 37
2004-05-21 @ SV Worgl W 2-038.1 1513 1312 49.41% 27.35% 23.24%+0.59 +15.5 56
2004-05-21 SC Interwetten.com L 0-533.2 1237 1441 22.94% 27.30% 49.76%-0.60 -35.9 24
2004-05-21 @ BSV Villach Juniors W 5-033.2 1441 1237 49.76% 27.30% 22.94%+0.60 +36.0 60
2004-05-21 Wacker Tirol W 6-254.0 1367 1594 20.66% 26.82% 52.51%-0.69 +39.3 44
2004-05-21 @ LASK Linz L 2-654.0 1594 1367 52.51% 26.82% 20.66%+0.69 -39.3 72

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-03-16 10.49% LASK Linz 1312 2 @ Kapfenberger 1493 1
2 2003-08-01 10.91% SV Worgl 1337 3 @ Ried 1509 0
3 2003-08-30 13.81% BSV Villach Juniors 1326 2 @ Leoben 1445 1
4 2003-10-28 14.77% Lustenau 1325 1 @ Leoben 1429 0
5 2004-03-16 15.20% Leoben 1389 2 @ Ried 1486 1
6 2003-10-04 16.15% BSV Villach Juniors 1290 1 @ Lustenau 1374 0
7 2003-09-19 17.74% SV Worgl 1344 3 @ LASK Linz 1407 0
8 2003-08-05 19.32% Wacker Tirol 1445 2 @ LASK Linz 1489 0
9 2003-09-09 19.66% Leoben 1428 1 @ Wacker Tirol 1468 0
10 2003-09-12 20.41% Kapfenberger 1436 3 @ Ried 1468 2
11 2004-05-21 20.66% @ LASK Linz 1367 6 Wacker Tirol 1594 2
12 2003-08-15 20.83% Kapfenberger 1437 2 @ SC Interwetten.com 1463 0
13 2003-08-29 20.85% Lustenau 1355 4 @ SV Worgl 1382 0
14 2004-05-14 21.06% Leoben 1430 4 @ SC Interwetten.com 1454 3
15 2003-10-24 21.84% SC Interwetten.com 1499 2 @ Kapfenberger 1515 0
16 2003-07-22 22.15% Kapfenberger 1429 3 @ Wacker Tirol 1442 1
17 2004-03-19 22.18% @ Lustenau 1343 2 Wacker Tirol 1554 1
18 2003-07-25 22.91% Leoben 1422 1 @ SC Interwetten.com 1428 0
19 2003-09-19 22.92% SC Interwetten.com 1470 2 @ Leoben 1475 1
20 2003-07-29 23.08% LASK Linz 1450 2 @ Kapfenberger 1454 0
21 2003-09-09 23.87% Ried 1454 2 @ Kapfenberger 1450 1
22 2004-04-23 23.89% @ BSV Villach Juniors 1231 3 Leoben 1425 1
23 2004-04-23 24.66% @ LASK Linz 1311 4 SC Interwetten.com 1498 2
24 2003-11-28 26.65% Wacker Tirol 1517 3 @ Ried 1489 1
25 2003-09-09 26.83% SC Interwetten.com 1441 2 @ Lustenau 1411 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-08-29 55.43 Lustenau 4 1355 20.85% @ SV Worgl 0 1382 52.28% 26.87%
2 2003-08-01 52.11 SV Worgl 3 1337 10.91% @ Ried 0 1509 66.71% 22.38%
3 2003-08-05 48.78 SC Interwetten.com 4 1415 27.28% @ BSV Villach Juniors 0 1381 44.81% 27.90%
4 2004-05-21 45.45 Kapfenberger 6 1447 31.90% @ Lustenau 1 1376 39.88% 28.22%
5 2003-09-19 45.20 SV Worgl 3 1344 17.74% @ LASK Linz 0 1407 56.28% 25.98%
6 2004-05-21 39.35 @ LASK Linz 6 1367 20.66% Wacker Tirol 2 1594 52.51% 26.82%
7 2003-11-22 37.48 @ Wacker Tirol 4 1480 40.26% SC Interwetten.com 0 1548 31.54% 28.20%
8 2003-10-14 37.18 Wacker Tirol 4 1440 40.61% @ BSV Villach Juniors 0 1307 31.20% 28.19%
9 2004-05-21 35.96 SC Interwetten.com 5 1441 49.76% @ BSV Villach Juniors 0 1237 22.94% 27.30%
10 2003-10-04 34.01 Kapfenberger 3 1458 32.01% @ LASK Linz 0 1387 39.76% 28.22%
11 2004-04-23 31.78 @ Lustenau 4 1343 46.84% SV Worgl 0 1362 25.47% 27.69%
12 2003-09-13 30.60 @ Leoben 4 1444 48.17% Wacker Tirol 0 1452 24.30% 27.53%
13 2003-08-05 30.13 Wacker Tirol 2 1445 19.32% @ LASK Linz 0 1489 54.21% 26.47%
14 2003-08-15 29.23 Kapfenberger 2 1437 20.83% @ SC Interwetten.com 0 1463 52.30% 26.86%
15 2003-10-24 28.64 SC Interwetten.com 2 1499 21.84% @ Kapfenberger 0 1515 51.07% 27.09%
16 2003-07-29 27.94 LASK Linz 2 1450 23.08% @ Kapfenberger 0 1454 49.59% 27.33%
17 2004-04-02 27.26 Ried 4 1469 51.89% @ BSV Villach Juniors 0 1248 21.17% 26.94%
18 2004-03-07 27.20 @ Ried 3 1466 42.55% SC Interwetten.com 0 1517 29.37% 28.08%
19 2004-03-07 25.00 @ Kapfenberger 4 1468 54.38% SV Worgl 0 1423 19.19% 26.44%
20 2003-09-26 24.97 LASK Linz 2 1362 28.76% @ BSV Villach Juniors 0 1315 43.20% 28.03%
21 2003-07-22 24.65 Kapfenberger 3 1429 22.15% @ Wacker Tirol 1 1442 50.70% 27.15%
22 2003-10-03 24.33 Austria Lustenau 2 1506 30.08% @ Leoben 0 1449 41.80% 28.13%
23 2004-05-11 23.89 @ Leoben 2 1406 30.99% Ried 0 1540 40.83% 28.18%
24 2004-04-23 23.82 @ BSV Villach Juniors 3 1231 23.89% Leoben 1 1425 48.65% 27.46%
25 2004-05-11 23.23 @ LASK Linz 2 1340 32.41% Kapfenberger 0 1464 39.35% 28.24%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-11-07 75.1 @ SC Interwetten.com 4 1549 56.93% Kapfenberger 4 1481 17.25% 25.81%
2 2004-05-14 65.0 Leoben 4 1430 21.06% @ SC Interwetten.com 3 1454 52.02% 26.92%
3 2003-11-07 64.7 @ Leoben 3 1411 58.31% LASK Linz 3 1329 16.25% 25.43%
4 2003-10-14 63.7 @ Austria Lustenau 1 1530 52.47% SC Interwetten.com 1 1502 20.70% 26.83%
5 2003-09-12 63.0 Kapfenberger 3 1436 20.41% @ Ried 2 1468 52.83% 26.76%
6 2003-10-28 63.0 @ Ried 2 1485 64.85% LASK Linz 2 1334 11.98% 23.17%
7 2003-09-19 62.4 @ Wacker Tirol 4 1422 35.99% Austria Lustenau 3 1520 35.71% 28.29%
8 2004-04-30 62.1 @ Leoben 1 1402 24.29% Wacker Tirol 1 1592 48.18% 27.53%
9 2003-08-16 61.8 @ Lustenau 2 1355 32.94% Wacker Tirol 2 1475 38.81% 28.25%
10 2003-07-22 61.5 @ SC Interwetten.com 2 1430 57.47% SV Worgl 2 1356 16.86% 25.67%
11 2003-10-17 61.5 @ Leoben 2 1418 53.40% SV Worgl 2 1382 19.95% 26.65%
12 2003-11-21 61.2 @ BSV Villach Juniors 2 1262 18.41% Austria Lustenau 2 1514 55.38% 26.20%
13 2003-09-13 60.6 @ Austria Lustenau 1 1523 61.96% LASK Linz 1 1404 13.77% 24.26%
14 2004-04-16 60.6 Wacker Tirol 2 1578 33.06% @ SC Interwetten.com 1 1499 38.68% 28.26%
15 2003-07-29 60.4 @ Ried 1 1512 60.07% SC Interwetten.com 1 1413 15.03% 24.90%
16 2003-10-31 60.0 @ Lustenau 2 1343 41.62% SV Worgl 2 1401 30.25% 28.14%
17 2004-05-11 59.6 @ SV Worgl 1 1316 16.60% Wacker Tirol 1 1592 57.84% 25.57%
18 2004-05-14 59.4 @ Ried 1 1517 65.03% LASK Linz 1 1364 11.88% 23.09%
19 2003-09-09 59.3 @ BSV Villach Juniors 2 1343 51.16% SV Worgl 2 1326 21.77% 27.07%
20 2003-10-14 59.3 @ SV Worgl 4 1372 35.91% Ried 3 1471 35.79% 28.29%
21 2004-04-02 59.2 Wacker Tirol 2 1546 31.38% @ Kapfenberger 1 1479 40.42% 28.20%
22 2003-10-31 59.1 @ BSV Villach Juniors 2 1266 29.59% Leoben 2 1411 42.32% 28.09%
23 2004-04-30 59.0 Ried 2 1515 27.79% @ SC Interwetten.com 1 1477 44.26% 27.95%
24 2004-03-12 58.9 @ LASK Linz 2 1313 45.05% Lustenau 2 1345 27.07% 27.88%
25 2004-03-19 58.9 @ SV Worgl 1 1389 31.33% Austria Lustenau 1 1521 40.48% 28.19%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-04-06 28.4 @ Ried 2 1497 74.69% BSV Villach Juniors 0 1221 6.95% 18.36%
2 2003-10-25 30.8 @ Wacker Tirol 4 1482 63.92% Lustenau 0 1342 12.55% 23.54%
3 2003-11-07 31.3 @ Ried 3 1474 63.08% Lustenau 0 1342 13.07% 23.86%
4 2004-03-27 32.2 @ SC Interwetten.com 4 1488 71.60% BSV Villach Juniors 1 1255 8.36% 20.04%
5 2004-04-30 32.2 @ LASK Linz 2 1332 57.75% BSV Villach Juniors 0 1255 16.66% 25.59%
6 2004-04-02 32.4 Ried 4 1469 51.89% @ BSV Villach Juniors 0 1248 21.17% 26.94%
7 2003-11-28 32.6 @ SC Interwetten.com 2 1510 68.25% LASK Linz 0 1320 10.07% 21.69%
8 2004-05-14 32.6 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1511 68.35% SV Worgl 0 1319 10.01% 21.64%
9 2004-05-07 32.8 @ Wacker Tirol 1 1591 80.06% BSV Villach Juniors 0 1232 4.80% 15.15%
10 2004-05-21 33.2 SC Interwetten.com 5 1441 49.76% @ BSV Villach Juniors 0 1237 22.94% 27.30%
11 2004-04-23 33.7 @ Lustenau 4 1343 46.84% SV Worgl 0 1362 25.47% 27.69%
12 2004-03-26 33.9 @ Wacker Tirol 2 1539 68.71% LASK Linz 0 1343 9.82% 21.47%
13 2004-05-14 35.0 @ Kapfenberger 3 1441 68.80% BSV Villach Juniors 1 1243 9.77% 21.43%
14 2003-11-08 35.2 @ SV Worgl 1 1402 63.39% BSV Villach Juniors 0 1267 12.87% 23.74%
15 2004-05-07 35.5 @ Lustenau 2 1379 52.05% LASK Linz 0 1355 21.04% 26.91%
16 2004-03-07 35.6 @ Kapfenberger 4 1468 54.38% SV Worgl 0 1423 19.19% 26.44%
17 2003-09-12 36.0 @ SV Worgl 2 1328 47.39% BSV Villach Juniors 0 1342 24.98% 27.63%
18 2003-10-14 36.2 Wacker Tirol 4 1440 40.61% @ BSV Villach Juniors 0 1307 31.20% 28.19%
19 2004-04-06 36.7 @ Austria Lustenau 1 1542 70.74% LASK Linz 0 1320 8.78% 20.48%
20 2003-09-13 37.6 @ Leoben 4 1444 48.17% Wacker Tirol 0 1452 24.30% 27.53%
21 2004-04-06 37.8 @ SC Interwetten.com 1 1512 66.39% Lustenau 0 1343 11.09% 22.52%
22 2004-05-21 38.1 Ried 2 1513 49.41% @ SV Worgl 0 1312 23.24% 27.35%
23 2003-10-18 38.2 @ Wacker Tirol 1 1478 62.63% LASK Linz 0 1351 13.35% 24.02%
24 2003-08-30 39.4 @ Austria Lustenau 3 1484 50.57% Kapfenberger 0 1472 22.26% 27.17%
25 2003-09-13 39.4 @ SC Interwetten.com 4 1454 55.60% Lustenau 1 1398 18.25% 26.15%