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2002-03 First League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Mattersburg

12.98 points above expected

70 points · 57.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

BSV Bad Bleiberg

7.75 points below expected

44 points · 51.75 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Mattersburg 36 21 7 8 70 55 33 +22 57.02 +12.98
2 Leoben 36 17 6 13 57 69 57 +12 49.54 +7.46
3 Austria Lustenau 36 15 8 13 53 41 40 +1 59.46 -6.46
4 SC Interwetten.com 36 16 4 16 52 59 58 +1 54.99 -2.99
5 LASK Linz 36 14 7 15 49 47 47 0 46.22 +2.78
6 Kapfenberger 36 13 9 14 48 50 49 +1 44.70 +3.30
7 Lustenau 36 13 7 16 46 53 53 0 41.63 +4.37
8 SV Worgl 36 14 3 19 45 44 58 -14 40.95 +4.05
9 BSV Bad Bleiberg 36 11 11 14 44 49 57 -8 51.75 -7.75
10 Wiener Sportklub 36 12 6 18 42 56 71 -15 45.30 -3.30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mattersburg 70 57.02 +12.98
2 Leoben 57 49.54 +7.46
3 Lustenau 46 41.63 +4.37
4 SV Worgl 45 40.95 +4.05
5 Kapfenberger 48 44.70 +3.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 BSV Bad Bleiberg 44 51.75 -7.75
2 Austria Lustenau 53 59.46 -6.46
3 Wiener Sportklub 42 45.30 -3.30
4 SC Interwetten.com 52 54.99 -2.99
5 LASK Linz 49 46.22 +2.78

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kapfenberger 4 Oct 4 – Oct 29 1 in 129
2 SV Worgl 3 May 3 – May 16 1 in 100
3 LASK Linz 4 May 9 – May 23 1 in 61
4 Mattersburg 5 Oct 29 – Nov 22 1 in 54
5 Wiener Sportklub 3 Nov 15 – Mar 7 1 in 48

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Lustenau 4 May 3 – May 20 1 in 300
2 SC Interwetten.com 4 May 2 – May 20 1 in 194
3 Wiener Sportklub 5 Apr 4 – Apr 26 1 in 139
4 SV Worgl 4 Oct 4 – Oct 29 1 in 43
5 Leoben 3 Mar 14 – Apr 4 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mattersburg 14 Aug 30 – Nov 22 1 in 211
2 Leoben 9 Aug 24 – Oct 19 1 in 49
3 Wiener Sportklub 6 May 2 – May 30 1 in 42
4 Lustenau 6 Apr 22 – May 20 1 in 38
5 Austria Lustenau 9 Nov 23 – Apr 25 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 BSV Bad Bleiberg 8 Apr 22 – May 30 1 in 62
2 Austria Lustenau 5 Apr 25 – May 20 1 in 29
3 Wiener Sportklub 7 Aug 10 – Sep 18 1 in 25
4 SC Interwetten.com 4 Aug 30 – Sep 17 1 in 13
5 Kapfenberger 7 Aug 24 – Sep 27 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Mattersburg 1524 67 -31 5 8.0 -3.0
Leoben 1480 57 +6 7 7.1 -0.1
Austria Lustenau 1495 53 -37 3 7.6 -4.6
SC Interwetten.com 1490 52 -16 6 7.7 -1.7
LASK Linz 1491 49 +56 13 6.8 +6.2
Kapfenberger 1473 48 +12 7 6.5 +0.5
Lustenau 1436 46 +4 8 6.4 +1.6
SV Worgl 1403 45 -1 7 5.6 +1.4
BSV Bad Bleiberg 1460 44 -27 2 7.0 -5.0
Wiener Sportklub 1445 42 +34 11 5.4 +5.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL BBB KAP LL LEO LUS MAT SI SW WS
Austria Lustenau —
1-2-1
6.06
1-3-0
6.85
1-2-1
6.86
3-0-1
6.27
2-1-1
7.28
1-0-3
5.82
2-0-2
5.98
1-0-3
7.51
3-0-1
6.81
BSV Bad Bleiberg
1-2-1
4.83
 —
2-1-1
6.30
2-1-1
6.23
0-2-2
5.78
1-2-1
6.59
0-2-2
5.28
1-0-3
5.13
3-0-1
6.67
1-1-2
6.46
Kapfenberger
0-3-1
4.11
1-1-2
4.61
 —
3-1-0
5.26
1-0-3
5.00
2-1-1
5.77
2-0-2
4.49
2-0-2
4.20
1-1-2
5.80
1-2-1
5.35
LASK Linz
1-2-1
4.10
1-1-2
4.67
0-1-3
5.62
 —
2-1-1
5.30
1-0-3
6.10
1-1-2
4.50
3-0-1
4.56
3-0-1
6.00
2-1-1
5.32
Leoben
1-0-3
4.64
2-2-0
5.10
3-0-1
5.88
1-1-2
5.59
 —
3-1-0
6.29
1-0-3
5.02
0-2-2
4.96
3-0-1
6.20
3-0-1
5.97
Lustenau
1-1-2
3.72
1-2-1
4.35
1-1-2
5.12
3-0-1
4.82
0-1-3
4.62
 —
1-0-3
4.20
2-0-2
4.17
1-1-2
5.46
3-1-0
5.03
Mattersburg
3-0-1
5.08
2-2-0
5.63
2-0-2
6.44
2-1-1
6.43
3-0-1
5.88
3-0-1
6.76
 —
2-2-0
5.44
2-1-1
6.91
2-1-1
6.29
SC Interwetten.com
2-0-2
4.91
3-0-1
5.76
2-0-2
6.73
1-0-3
6.34
2-2-0
5.93
2-0-2
6.78
0-2-2
5.44
 —
2-0-2
6.87
2-0-2
6.63
SV Worgl
3-0-1
3.52
1-0-3
4.26
2-1-1
5.11
1-0-3
4.91
1-0-3
4.71
2-1-1
5.43
1-1-2
4.04
2-0-2
4.08
 —
1-0-3
5.01
Wiener Sportklub
1-0-3
4.12
2-1-1
4.47
1-2-1
5.54
1-1-2
5.57
1-0-3
4.94
0-1-3
5.86
1-1-2
4.66
2-0-2
4.29
3-0-1
5.90
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.10 +3.2
Allowed 0.54 -5.6
Differential 0.87 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%8.61%7.50%4.44%1.11%0.28%26.94%
18.61%7.78%6.67%3.61%1.94%1.11%29.72%
27.50%6.67%3.33%2.50%1.94%0.28%22.22%
34.44%3.61%2.50%2.22%0.28%—13.06%
41.11%1.94%1.94%0.28%0.56%—5.83%
5+0.28%1.11%0.28%——0.56%2.22%
Total26.94%29.72%22.22%13.06%5.83%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.45 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.87
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%11.11%2.78%——33.33%
116.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%——36.11%
25.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%30.56%27.78%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.11 +0.03
SD 1.10 0.98 1.42
CV 0.97 0.88 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—16.67%8.33%——30.56%
15.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+——2.78%——2.78%5.56%
Total16.67%27.78%30.56%19.44%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.56 -0.22
SD 1.37 1.16 1.76
CV 1.03 0.74 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%11.11%——33.33%
15.56%16.67%5.56%——2.78%30.56%
22.78%5.56%2.78%—2.78%—13.89%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
45.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
5+———————
Total25.00%38.89%19.44%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.36 +0.03
SD 1.40 1.22 2.06
CV 1.01 0.90 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%—41.67%
15.56%2.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%—22.22%
28.33%2.78%————11.11%
35.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total36.11%22.22%22.22%13.89%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.26 2.07
CV 1.13 0.97 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%2.78%—2.78%—13.89%
111.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
28.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%—22.22%
311.11%5.56%—5.56%——22.22%
4—2.78%2.78%—2.78%—8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%27.78%13.89%11.11%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.58 +0.33
SD 1.38 1.52 2.12
CV 0.72 0.96 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%8.33%———27.78%
15.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
28.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%33.33%
35.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total25.00%36.11%19.44%8.33%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.34 1.80
CV 0.85 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%25.00%
113.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
213.89%5.56%5.56%———25.00%
311.11%—2.78%———13.89%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+—2.78%———2.78%5.56%
Total50.00%19.44%19.44%2.78%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.89 +0.61
SD 1.38 1.28 2.16
CV 0.92 1.44 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
18.33%5.56%19.44%2.78%2.78%—38.89%
25.56%11.11%——2.78%—19.44%
3—8.33%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
4—5.56%—2.78%2.78%—11.11%
5+———————
Total13.89%38.89%27.78%11.11%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.61 +0.03
SD 1.25 1.13 1.61
CV 0.76 0.70 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%5.56%5.56%——30.56%
18.33%—5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%27.78%
211.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
3—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%33.33%19.44%16.67%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.61 -0.39
SD 1.05 1.40 1.76
CV 0.86 0.87 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%—16.67%
15.56%8.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%36.11%
28.33%5.56%2.78%11.11%2.78%—30.56%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4—2.78%5.56%———8.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%22.22%22.22%27.78%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.97 -0.42
SD 1.13 1.34 1.84
CV 0.73 0.68 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Mattersburg 1524 70 57.02 +12.98 95.7% 34 44 52 57 62 70 84
Austria Lustenau 1495 53 59.46 -6.46 21.1% 37 46 54 59 65 72 86
LASK Linz 1491 49 46.22 +2.78 68.6% 24 35 41 46 51 59 74
SC Interwetten.com 1490 52 54.99 -2.99 37.5% 31 43 50 55 60 68 81
Leoben 1480 57 49.54 +7.46 85.5% 26 37 44 49 54 62 74
Kapfenberger 1473 48 44.70 +3.30 67.8% 24 31 39 45 50 57 70
BSV Bad Bleiberg 1460 44 51.75 -7.75 16.6% 30 39 46 52 57 64 79
Wiener Sportklub 1445 42 45.30 -3.30 34.5% 24 33 40 46 50 58 71
Lustenau 1436 46 41.63 +4.37 72.9% 21 29 37 41 47 54 64
SV Worgl 1403 45 40.95 +4.05 75.0% 19 29 36 41 45 54 65

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.78%
Strong Edge
54.44%18.89%26.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
254 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0101.21800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.57 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
Mattersburg, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.08 * Some Luck: 6.08 to 9.12 * Lucky: 9.12 to 12.16 * Wild Swing: 12.16 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.5 * Close: 1.5 to 2.26 * Off: 2.26 to 3.01 * Way Off: 3.01 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.16 points
Some Luck
07.6019
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.20
Close
01.884
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.70%
Mattersburg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
16.60%
BSV Bad Bleiberg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.08
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
0.91
Coin-Flip Parity
01.003
Interquartile Edge
56%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
67%
Even
50%66%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.23
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.67
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.02
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
32%
As Expected
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Shaky Favorites
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.04
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.06
Overconfident
01.002.22358
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.140
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1060.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Mattersburg26.90%21.60%17.20%12.40%8.20%4.90%3.50%2.60%1.70%1.00%
Leoben6.30%7.90%11.50%13.90%13.50%13.70%11.80%10.60%7.20%3.60%
Austria Lustenau35.20%24.30%16.30%10.10%4.70%3.40%3.20%1.80%0.80%0.20%
SC Interwetten.com16.60%18.70%17.40%15.10%12.10%6.90%6.20%4.30%1.90%0.80%
LASK Linz2.80%4.10%6.80%8.30%12.20%15.10%14.80%14.30%12.50%9.10%
Kapfenberger1.20%4.20%6.10%8.70%10.20%11.70%15.20%12.50%15.70%14.50%
Lustenau0.60%2.00%2.70%3.80%8.30%10.70%10.90%16.90%20.20%23.90%
SV Worgl0.30%1.40%2.80%4.20%5.30%7.60%13.40%14.50%20.80%29.70%
BSV Bad Bleiberg8.70%11.60%14.40%14.50%14.10%11.70%9.20%7.20%5.70%2.90%
Wiener Sportklub1.40%4.20%4.80%9.00%11.40%14.30%11.80%15.30%13.50%14.30%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Austria Lustenau 35.20% 63.80% 0.80% 0.20%
Mattersburg 26.90% 70.40% 1.70% 1.00%
SC Interwetten.com 16.60% 80.70% 1.90% 0.80%
BSV Bad Bleiberg 8.70% 82.70% 5.70% 2.90%
Leoben 6.30% 82.90% 7.20% 3.60%
LASK Linz 2.80% 75.60% 12.50% 9.10%
Wiener Sportklub 1.40% 70.80% 13.50% 14.30%
Kapfenberger 1.20% 68.60% 15.70% 14.50%
Lustenau 0.60% 55.30% 20.20% 23.90%
SV Worgl 0.30% 49.20% 20.80% 29.70%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-07-09 Austria Lustenau L 0-343.4 1448 1531 30.94% 28.02% 41.04%+0.07 -12.8 0
2002-07-09 @ Kapfenberger W 3-043.4 1531 1448 41.04% 28.02% 30.94%-0.07 +12.8 3
2002-07-09 BSV Bad Bleiberg W 2-048.2 1479 1521 36.47% 28.29% 35.24%+0.23 +9.7 3
2002-07-09 @ LASK Linz L 0-248.2 1521 1479 35.24% 28.29% 36.47%-0.23 -9.7 0
2002-07-09 Leoben L 0-148.9 1420 1433 40.64% 28.06% 31.30%+0.35 -5.7 0
2002-07-09 @ SV Worgl W 1-048.9 1433 1420 31.30% 28.06% 40.64%-0.35 +5.7 3
2002-07-09 SC Interwetten.com L 0-146.1 1395 1514 26.70% 27.24% 46.06%-0.07 -4.1 0
2002-07-09 @ Lustenau W 1-046.1 1514 1395 46.06% 27.24% 26.70%+0.07 +4.1 3
2002-07-10 Mattersburg L 0-346.9 1491 1464 46.19% 27.21% 26.59%+0.50 -17.2 0
2002-07-10 @ Wiener Sportklub W 3-046.9 1464 1491 26.59% 27.21% 46.19%-0.50 +17.2 3
2002-07-16 LASK Linz W 3-151.0 1518 1488 46.57% 27.13% 26.30%+0.51 +6.7 6
2002-07-16 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-351.0 1488 1518 26.30% 27.13% 46.57%-0.51 -6.7 3
2002-07-16 Lustenau W 1-042.9 1439 1391 49.16% 26.50% 24.34%+0.59 +3.8 6
2002-07-16 @ Leoben L 0-142.9 1391 1439 24.34% 26.50% 49.16%-0.59 -3.8 0
2002-07-16 SV Worgl L 1-258.0 1482 1415 51.61% 25.79% 22.61%+0.66 -6.5 3
2002-07-16 @ Mattersburg W 2-158.0 1415 1482 22.61% 25.79% 51.61%-0.66 +6.5 3
2002-07-17 Kapfenberger W 1-045.5 1511 1436 52.76% 25.41% 21.83%+0.70 +3.4 3
2002-07-17 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg L 0-145.5 1436 1511 21.83% 25.41% 52.76%-0.70 -3.4 0
2002-07-17 Wiener Sportklub W 3-258.7 1544 1474 52.03% 25.65% 22.31%+0.68 +3.2 6
2002-07-17 @ Austria Lustenau L 2-358.7 1474 1544 22.31% 25.65% 52.03%-0.68 -3.1 0
2002-07-21 Lustenau W 1-041.9 1547 1387 63.20% 21.01% 15.79%+1.03 +2.4 9
2002-07-21 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-141.9 1387 1547 15.79% 21.01% 63.20%-1.03 -2.4 0
2002-07-23 BSV Bad Bleiberg L 2-362.5 1471 1515 36.20% 28.29% 35.50%+0.22 -4.7 0
2002-07-23 @ Wiener Sportklub W 3-262.5 1515 1471 35.50% 28.29% 36.20%-0.22 +4.7 6
2002-07-23 Leoben W 3-256.6 1482 1443 47.85% 26.84% 25.31%+0.55 +3.5 6
2002-07-23 @ LASK Linz L 2-356.6 1443 1482 25.31% 26.84% 47.85%-0.55 -3.5 6
2002-07-23 Mattersburg W 4-041.7 1432 1475 36.38% 28.29% 35.33%+0.23 +18.4 3
2002-07-23 @ Kapfenberger L 0-441.7 1475 1432 35.33% 28.29% 36.38%-0.23 -18.4 3
2002-07-24 SC Interwetten.com W 2-158.0 1421 1524 28.44% 27.64% 43.92%-0.01 +5.7 6
2002-07-24 @ SV Worgl L 1-258.0 1524 1421 43.92% 27.64% 28.44%+0.01 -5.7 6
2002-07-30 Kapfenberger W 3-040.3 1439 1451 40.92% 28.04% 31.04%+0.35 +12.8 9
2002-07-30 @ Leoben L 0-340.3 1451 1439 31.04% 28.04% 40.92%-0.35 -12.8 3
2002-07-30 LASK Linz W 2-045.5 1457 1485 38.44% 28.23% 33.33%+0.29 +9.3 6
2002-07-30 @ Mattersburg L 0-245.5 1485 1457 33.33% 28.23% 38.44%-0.29 -9.3 6
2002-07-30 SV Worgl W 3-147.7 1384 1427 36.46% 28.29% 35.25%+0.23 +8.4 3
2002-07-30 @ Lustenau L 1-347.7 1427 1384 35.25% 28.29% 36.46%-0.23 -8.4 6
2002-07-30 Wiener Sportklub W 2-153.0 1519 1466 49.73% 26.35% 23.92%+0.61 +3.5 9
2002-07-30 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-253.0 1466 1519 23.92% 26.35% 49.73%-0.61 -3.5 0
2002-07-31 Austria Lustenau W 2-159.6 1520 1550 38.22% 28.24% 33.54%+0.28 +4.7 9
2002-07-31 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg L 1-259.6 1550 1520 33.54% 28.24% 38.22%-0.28 -4.7 9
2002-08-02 Leoben W 4-252.6 1462 1452 43.92% 27.64% 28.44%+0.44 +6.4 3
2002-08-02 @ Wiener Sportklub L 2-452.6 1452 1462 28.44% 27.64% 43.92%-0.44 -6.4 9
2002-08-02 Lustenau L 0-248.2 1476 1393 53.71% 25.08% 21.21%+0.73 -13.3 6
2002-08-02 @ LASK Linz W 2-048.2 1393 1476 21.21% 25.08% 53.71%-0.73 +13.3 6
2002-08-03 Mattersburg FL56.6 1524 1466 50.45% 26.14% 23.41%+0.63 +0.0 9
2002-08-03 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg FW56.6 1466 1524 23.41% 26.14% 50.45%-0.63 +0.0 9
2002-08-03 SC Interwetten.com L 0-157.6 1545 1522 45.64% 27.33% 27.03%+0.49 -6.2 9
2002-08-03 @ Austria Lustenau W 1-057.6 1522 1545 27.03% 27.33% 45.64%-0.49 +6.2 12
2002-08-03 SV Worgl D 0-053.7 1438 1418 45.20% 27.41% 27.39%+0.48 -0.6 4
2002-08-03 @ Kapfenberger D 0-053.7 1418 1438 27.39% 27.41% 45.20%-0.48 +0.6 7
2002-08-09 Austria Lustenau W 1-053.8 1466 1539 32.25% 28.15% 39.59%+0.11 +5.6 12
2002-08-09 @ Mattersburg L 0-153.8 1539 1466 39.59% 28.15% 32.25%-0.11 -5.6 9
2002-08-09 BSV Bad Bleiberg W 2-048.6 1446 1524 31.52% 28.09% 40.39%+0.09 +10.7 12
2002-08-09 @ Leoben L 0-248.6 1524 1446 40.39% 28.09% 31.52%-0.09 -10.7 9
2002-08-09 Kapfenberger W 2-150.8 1529 1437 54.76% 24.70% 20.54%+0.76 +3.0 15
2002-08-09 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-250.8 1437 1529 20.54% 24.70% 54.76%-0.76 -3.1 4
2002-08-09 LASK Linz L 0-148.4 1419 1463 36.27% 28.29% 35.44%+0.23 -5.2 7
2002-08-09 @ SV Worgl W 1-048.4 1463 1419 35.44% 28.29% 36.27%-0.23 +5.2 9
2002-08-10 Wiener Sportklub W 2-154.1 1406 1469 33.60% 28.24% 38.16%+0.15 +5.1 9
2002-08-10 @ Lustenau L 1-254.1 1469 1406 38.16% 28.24% 33.60%-0.15 -5.1 3
2002-08-16 LASK Linz W 1-048.4 1434 1468 37.70% 28.26% 34.04%+0.27 +5.0 7
2002-08-16 @ Kapfenberger L 0-148.4 1468 1434 34.04% 28.26% 37.70%-0.27 -5.0 9
2002-08-16 Leoben W 1-047.0 1533 1457 52.86% 25.38% 21.77%+0.70 +3.4 12
2002-08-16 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-147.0 1457 1533 21.77% 25.38% 52.86%-0.70 -3.4 12
2002-08-16 SV Worgl L 1-257.0 1464 1414 49.35% 26.45% 24.20%+0.60 -6.2 3
2002-08-16 @ Wiener Sportklub W 2-157.0 1414 1464 24.20% 26.45% 49.35%-0.60 +6.2 10
2002-08-17 Lustenau W 5-245.0 1514 1411 56.14% 24.17% 19.69%+0.80 +6.2 12
2002-08-17 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg L 2-545.0 1411 1514 19.69% 24.17% 56.14%-0.80 -6.2 9
2002-08-17 SC Interwetten.com W 2-049.1 1472 1532 33.97% 28.26% 37.78%+0.16 +10.2 15
2002-08-17 @ Mattersburg L 0-249.1 1532 1472 37.78% 28.26% 33.97%-0.16 -10.2 15
2002-08-23 Austria Lustenau W 1-053.5 1420 1537 26.95% 27.30% 45.75%-0.06 +6.2 13
2002-08-23 @ SV Worgl L 0-153.5 1537 1420 45.75% 27.30% 26.95%+0.06 -6.2 12
2002-08-23 BSV Bad Bleiberg W 2-047.8 1521 1520 42.74% 27.82% 29.45%+0.41 +8.5 18
2002-08-23 @ SC Interwetten.com L 0-247.8 1520 1521 29.45% 27.82% 42.74%-0.41 -8.5 12
2002-08-23 Wiener Sportklub D 0-055.6 1463 1457 43.26% 27.74% 29.00%+0.42 -0.5 10
2002-08-23 @ LASK Linz D 0-055.6 1457 1463 29.00% 27.74% 43.26%-0.42 +0.4 4
2002-08-24 Kapfenberger W 3-039.9 1405 1439 37.65% 28.26% 34.09%+0.26 +13.7 12
2002-08-24 @ Lustenau L 0-339.9 1439 1405 34.09% 28.26% 37.65%-0.26 -13.8 7
2002-08-24 Mattersburg W 3-042.6 1453 1482 38.43% 28.23% 33.34%+0.29 +13.5 15
2002-08-24 @ Leoben L 0-342.6 1482 1453 33.34% 28.23% 38.43%-0.29 -13.5 15
2002-08-30 Leoben D 3-373.0 1530 1467 51.11% 25.94% 22.95%+0.65 -0.5 19
2002-08-30 @ SC Interwetten.com D 3-373.0 1467 1530 22.95% 25.94% 51.11%-0.65 +0.5 16
2002-08-30 Lustenau W 1-044.5 1468 1419 49.29% 26.47% 24.24%+0.59 +3.8 18
2002-08-30 @ Mattersburg L 0-144.5 1419 1468 24.24% 26.47% 49.29%-0.59 -3.8 12
2002-08-30 Wiener Sportklub D 1-158.6 1425 1458 37.89% 28.25% 33.86%+0.27 -0.1 8
2002-08-30 @ Kapfenberger D 1-158.6 1458 1425 33.86% 28.25% 37.89%-0.27 +0.1 5
2002-08-31 LASK Linz D 0-058.9 1530 1462 51.72% 25.75% 22.53%+0.67 -1.0 13
2002-08-31 @ Austria Lustenau D 0-058.9 1462 1530 22.53% 25.75% 51.72%-0.67 +1.0 11
2002-08-31 SV Worgl W 3-146.3 1511 1426 53.96% 24.99% 21.05%+0.73 +5.4 15
2002-08-31 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg L 1-346.3 1426 1511 21.05% 24.99% 53.96%-0.73 -5.4 13
2002-09-10 Austria Lustenau L 0-247.3 1463 1529 33.15% 28.22% 38.63%+0.14 -9.3 11
2002-09-10 @ LASK Linz W 2-047.3 1529 1463 38.63% 28.22% 33.15%-0.14 +9.3 16
2002-09-10 BSV Bad Bleiberg W 2-048.0 1421 1517 29.33% 27.80% 42.87%+0.02 +11.2 16
2002-09-10 @ SV Worgl L 0-248.0 1517 1421 42.87% 27.80% 29.33%-0.02 -11.2 15
2002-09-10 Kapfenberger D 1-158.9 1458 1425 47.01% 27.03% 25.95%+0.53 -0.6 6
2002-09-10 @ Wiener Sportklub D 1-158.9 1425 1458 25.95% 27.03% 47.01%-0.53 +0.6 9
2002-09-10 Mattersburg L 2-358.5 1415 1472 34.37% 28.27% 37.36%+0.17 -4.5 12
2002-09-10 @ Lustenau W 3-258.5 1472 1415 37.36% 28.27% 34.37%-0.17 +4.5 21
2002-09-10 SC Interwetten.com D 4-474.1 1467 1529 33.67% 28.24% 38.09%+0.15 +0.1 17
2002-09-10 @ Leoben D 4-474.1 1529 1467 38.09% 28.24% 33.67%-0.15 -0.1 20
2002-09-13 Lustenau L 1-260.8 1529 1411 58.21% 23.32% 18.48%+0.87 -7.1 20
2002-09-13 @ SC Interwetten.com W 2-160.8 1411 1529 18.48% 23.32% 58.21%-0.87 +7.1 15
2002-09-13 SV Worgl W 2-041.3 1467 1432 47.37% 26.95% 25.67%+0.54 +7.5 20
2002-09-13 @ Leoben L 0-241.3 1432 1467 25.67% 26.95% 47.37%-0.54 -7.5 16
2002-09-13 Wiener Sportklub W 4-040.0 1477 1457 45.17% 27.42% 27.41%+0.47 +15.1 24
2002-09-13 @ Mattersburg L 0-440.0 1457 1477 27.41% 27.42% 45.17%-0.47 -15.1 6
2002-09-14 Kapfenberger D 1-162.7 1539 1426 57.45% 23.64% 18.91%+0.84 -1.2 17
2002-09-14 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-162.7 1426 1539 18.91% 23.64% 57.45%-0.84 +1.1 10
2002-09-14 LASK Linz W 1-046.9 1505 1454 49.53% 26.40% 24.07%+0.60 +3.8 18
2002-09-14 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg L 0-146.9 1454 1505 24.07% 26.40% 49.53%-0.60 -3.8 11
2002-09-17 BSV Bad Bleiberg L 0-244.5 1427 1509 31.03% 28.03% 40.93%+0.08 -8.8 10
2002-09-17 @ Kapfenberger W 2-044.5 1509 1427 40.93% 28.03% 31.03%-0.08 +8.8 21
2002-09-17 Leoben D 1-158.8 1418 1475 34.35% 28.27% 37.38%+0.17 +0.1 16
2002-09-17 @ Lustenau D 1-158.8 1475 1418 37.38% 28.27% 34.35%-0.17 -0.1 21
2002-09-17 Mattersburg D 2-265.3 1424 1492 32.97% 28.21% 38.83%+0.13 +0.1 17
2002-09-17 @ SV Worgl D 2-265.3 1492 1424 38.83% 28.21% 32.97%-0.13 -0.1 25
2002-09-17 SC Interwetten.com W 3-154.0 1450 1522 32.37% 28.16% 39.47%+0.12 +9.1 14
2002-09-17 @ LASK Linz L 1-354.0 1522 1450 39.47% 28.16% 32.37%-0.12 -9.1 20
2002-09-18 Austria Lustenau L 2-455.3 1442 1537 29.41% 27.81% 42.78%+0.02 -6.5 6
2002-09-18 @ Wiener Sportklub W 4-255.3 1537 1442 42.78% 27.81% 29.41%-0.02 +6.5 20
2002-09-20 Kapfenberger W 5-141.1 1492 1418 52.44% 25.52% 22.04%+0.69 +10.4 28
2002-09-20 @ Mattersburg L 1-541.1 1418 1492 22.04% 25.52% 52.44%-0.69 -10.4 10
2002-09-20 LASK Linz W 1-047.4 1475 1460 44.62% 27.52% 27.86%+0.46 +4.3 24
2002-09-20 @ Leoben L 0-147.4 1460 1475 27.86% 27.52% 44.62%-0.46 -4.3 14
2002-09-20 SV Worgl W 3-255.1 1513 1425 54.41% 24.83% 20.76%+0.75 +2.9 23
2002-09-20 @ SC Interwetten.com L 2-355.1 1425 1513 20.76% 24.83% 54.41%-0.75 -2.9 17
2002-09-21 Austria Lustenau L 0-147.7 1418 1544 25.90% 27.02% 47.08%-0.10 -4.0 16
2002-09-21 @ Lustenau W 1-047.7 1544 1418 47.08% 27.02% 25.90%+0.10 +4.0 23
2002-09-21 Wiener Sportklub L 0-251.0 1518 1436 53.61% 25.12% 21.28%+0.72 -13.3 21
2002-09-21 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg W 2-051.0 1436 1518 21.28% 25.12% 53.61%-0.72 +13.3 9
2002-09-27 Leoben L 0-243.3 1408 1479 32.47% 28.17% 39.36%+0.12 -9.1 10
2002-09-27 @ Kapfenberger W 2-043.3 1479 1408 39.36% 28.17% 32.47%-0.12 +9.1 27
2002-09-27 Mattersburg D 0-056.8 1455 1502 35.83% 28.29% 35.88%+0.21 +0.0 15
2002-09-27 @ LASK Linz D 0-056.8 1502 1455 35.88% 28.29% 35.83%-0.21 +0.0 29
2002-09-27 SC Interwetten.com L 0-150.3 1449 1516 33.01% 28.21% 38.78%+0.13 -4.9 9
2002-09-27 @ Wiener Sportklub W 1-050.3 1516 1449 38.78% 28.21% 33.01%-0.13 +4.9 26
2002-09-28 BSV Bad Bleiberg D 2-270.7 1548 1505 48.46% 26.69% 24.85%+0.57 -0.5 24
2002-09-28 @ Austria Lustenau D 2-270.7 1505 1548 24.85% 26.69% 48.46%-0.57 +0.5 22
2002-09-28 Lustenau W 2-040.6 1422 1414 43.61% 27.69% 28.70%+0.43 +8.3 20
2002-09-28 @ SV Worgl L 0-240.6 1414 1422 28.70% 27.69% 43.61%-0.43 -8.3 16
2002-10-04 Austria Lustenau L 1-261.1 1521 1548 38.72% 28.21% 33.07%+0.29 -5.2 26
2002-10-04 @ SC Interwetten.com W 2-161.1 1548 1521 33.07% 28.21% 38.72%-0.29 +5.2 27
2002-10-04 BSV Bad Bleiberg D 0-058.8 1502 1505 42.03% 27.91% 30.06%+0.39 -0.4 30
2002-10-04 @ Mattersburg D 0-058.8 1505 1502 30.06% 27.91% 42.03%-0.39 +0.4 23
2002-10-04 Kapfenberger L 0-149.7 1430 1399 46.80% 27.08% 26.12%+0.52 -6.4 20
2002-10-04 @ SV Worgl W 1-049.7 1399 1430 26.12% 27.08% 46.80%-0.52 +6.4 13
2002-10-04 Wiener Sportklub W 4-144.6 1488 1444 48.55% 26.66% 24.78%+0.57 +8.9 30
2002-10-04 @ Leoben L 1-444.6 1444 1488 24.78% 26.66% 48.55%-0.57 -9.0 9
2002-10-05 LASK Linz W 4-146.2 1405 1455 35.39% 28.29% 36.32%+0.20 +12.1 19
2002-10-05 @ Lustenau L 1-446.2 1455 1405 36.32% 28.29% 35.39%-0.20 -12.1 15
2002-10-18 Lustenau D 1-157.9 1435 1417 44.96% 27.46% 27.58%+0.47 -0.5 10
2002-10-18 @ Wiener Sportklub D 1-157.9 1417 1435 27.58% 27.46% 44.96%-0.47 +0.5 20
2002-10-18 SC Interwetten.com W 2-157.4 1405 1516 27.62% 27.46% 44.92%-0.04 +5.8 16
2002-10-18 @ Kapfenberger L 1-257.4 1516 1405 44.92% 27.46% 27.62%+0.04 -5.8 26
2002-10-18 SV Worgl W 2-040.9 1443 1424 45.21% 27.41% 27.38%+0.48 +8.0 18
2002-10-18 @ LASK Linz L 0-240.9 1424 1443 27.38% 27.41% 45.21%-0.48 -8.0 20
2002-10-19 Leoben L 0-348.0 1506 1497 43.69% 27.67% 28.63%+0.43 -16.5 23
2002-10-19 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg W 3-048.0 1497 1506 28.63% 27.67% 43.69%-0.43 +16.5 33
2002-10-19 Mattersburg L 0-158.0 1553 1502 49.51% 26.41% 24.08%+0.60 -6.6 27
2002-10-19 @ Austria Lustenau W 1-058.0 1502 1553 24.08% 26.41% 49.51%-0.60 +6.6 33
2002-10-25 Austria Lustenau L 1-356.8 1514 1546 37.87% 28.25% 33.87%+0.27 -8.8 33
2002-10-25 @ Leoben W 3-156.8 1546 1514 33.87% 28.25% 37.87%-0.27 +8.9 30
2002-10-25 Kapfenberger L 0-443.7 1451 1411 48.03% 26.80% 25.18%+0.56 -23.2 18
2002-10-25 @ LASK Linz W 4-043.7 1411 1451 25.18% 26.80% 48.03%-0.56 +23.2 19
2002-10-25 Mattersburg D 1-163.5 1510 1508 42.73% 27.82% 29.45%+0.41 -0.4 27
2002-10-25 @ SC Interwetten.com D 1-163.5 1508 1510 29.45% 27.82% 42.73%-0.41 +0.4 34
2002-10-25 Wiener Sportklub L 0-148.5 1416 1435 39.79% 28.14% 32.07%+0.32 -5.6 20
2002-10-25 @ SV Worgl W 1-048.5 1435 1416 32.07% 28.14% 39.79%-0.32 +5.6 13
2002-10-26 BSV Bad Bleiberg W 3-043.4 1418 1489 32.46% 28.17% 39.37%+0.12 +15.3 23
2002-10-26 @ Lustenau L 0-343.4 1489 1418 39.37% 28.17% 32.46%-0.12 -15.3 23
2002-10-29 LASK Linz W 2-150.7 1440 1428 44.23% 27.59% 28.19%+0.45 +4.1 16
2002-10-29 @ Wiener Sportklub L 1-250.7 1428 1440 28.19% 27.59% 44.23%-0.45 -4.1 18
2002-10-29 Leoben W 1-050.8 1509 1505 43.04% 27.77% 29.19%+0.41 +4.5 37
2002-10-29 @ Mattersburg L 0-150.8 1505 1509 29.19% 27.77% 43.04%-0.41 -4.5 33
2002-10-29 Lustenau W 4-144.3 1434 1433 42.62% 27.83% 29.55%+0.40 +10.4 22
2002-10-29 @ Kapfenberger L 1-444.3 1433 1434 29.55% 27.83% 42.62%-0.40 -10.4 23
2002-10-29 SC Interwetten.com W 4-149.8 1474 1510 37.42% 28.27% 34.31%+0.26 +11.6 26
2002-10-29 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg L 1-449.8 1510 1474 34.31% 28.27% 37.42%-0.26 -11.6 27
2002-10-29 SV Worgl W 1-043.5 1555 1410 61.39% 21.88% 16.73%+0.97 +2.6 33
2002-10-29 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-143.5 1410 1555 16.73% 21.88% 61.39%-0.97 -2.6 20
2002-11-01 Austria Lustenau W 2-051.0 1498 1558 34.02% 28.26% 37.72%+0.16 +10.2 30
2002-11-01 @ SC Interwetten.com L 0-251.0 1558 1498 37.72% 28.26% 34.02%-0.16 -10.2 33
2002-11-01 BSV Bad Bleiberg L 1-350.1 1424 1486 33.73% 28.25% 38.03%+0.16 -8.1 18
2002-11-01 @ LASK Linz W 3-150.1 1486 1424 38.03% 28.25% 33.73%-0.16 +8.1 29
2002-11-01 Kapfenberger W 1-047.0 1407 1445 37.21% 28.28% 34.51%+0.25 +5.1 23
2002-11-01 @ SV Worgl L 0-147.0 1445 1407 34.51% 28.28% 37.21%-0.25 -5.1 22
2002-11-02 Mattersburg L 1-253.5 1423 1513 30.02% 27.90% 42.08%+0.04 -4.3 23
2002-11-02 @ Lustenau W 2-153.5 1513 1423 42.08% 27.90% 30.02%-0.04 +4.3 40
2002-11-02 Wiener Sportklub W 3-147.7 1500 1444 50.15% 26.23% 23.62%+0.62 +6.1 36
2002-11-02 @ Leoben L 1-347.7 1444 1500 23.62% 26.23% 50.15%-0.62 -6.1 16
2002-11-08 Lustenau L 0-246.0 1438 1419 45.24% 27.40% 27.35%+0.48 -11.7 16
2002-11-08 @ Wiener Sportklub W 2-046.0 1419 1438 27.35% 27.40% 45.24%-0.48 +11.7 26
2002-11-08 SC Interwetten.com W 4-257.1 1439 1508 32.79% 28.19% 39.02%+0.13 +8.1 25
2002-11-08 @ Kapfenberger L 2-457.1 1508 1439 39.02% 28.19% 32.79%-0.13 -8.1 30
2002-11-08 SV Worgl W 1-043.7 1517 1412 56.48% 24.03% 19.48%+0.81 +3.1 43
2002-11-08 @ Mattersburg L 0-143.7 1412 1517 19.48% 24.03% 56.48%-0.81 -3.1 23
2002-11-09 LASK Linz L 2-367.0 1547 1416 59.79% 22.62% 17.59%+0.92 -6.8 33
2002-11-09 @ Austria Lustenau W 3-267.0 1416 1547 17.59% 22.62% 59.79%-0.92 +6.9 21
2002-11-09 Leoben D 1-162.7 1494 1506 40.70% 28.06% 31.24%+0.35 -0.3 30
2002-11-09 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg D 1-162.7 1506 1494 31.24% 28.06% 40.70%-0.35 +0.3 37
2002-11-15 Kapfenberger D 0-053.9 1423 1448 38.95% 28.20% 32.85%+0.30 -0.2 22
2002-11-15 @ LASK Linz D 0-053.9 1448 1423 32.85% 28.20% 38.95%-0.30 +0.2 26
2002-11-15 Mattersburg L 0-447.6 1507 1520 40.54% 28.07% 31.39%+0.34 -20.4 37
2002-11-15 @ Leoben W 4-047.6 1520 1507 31.39% 28.07% 40.54%-0.34 +20.4 46
2002-11-15 Wiener Sportklub L 0-154.0 1500 1427 52.45% 25.51% 22.04%+0.69 -6.9 30
2002-11-15 @ SC Interwetten.com W 1-054.0 1427 1500 22.04% 25.51% 52.45%-0.69 +6.9 19
2002-11-16 Austria Lustenau W 3-155.3 1409 1541 25.40% 26.87% 47.73%-0.12 +10.5 26
2002-11-16 @ SV Worgl L 1-355.3 1541 1409 47.73% 26.87% 25.40%+0.12 -10.5 33
2002-11-16 BSV Bad Bleiberg D 3-369.6 1430 1493 33.53% 28.24% 38.23%+0.15 +0.1 27
2002-11-16 @ Lustenau D 3-369.6 1493 1430 38.23% 28.24% 33.53%-0.15 -0.1 31
2002-11-22 BSV Bad Bleiberg W 3-260.8 1434 1493 34.00% 28.26% 37.74%+0.16 +4.8 22
2002-11-22 @ Wiener Sportklub L 2-360.8 1493 1434 37.74% 28.26% 34.00%-0.16 -4.8 31
2002-11-22 LASK Linz W 3-037.7 1541 1422 58.17% 23.33% 18.50%+0.87 +8.0 49
2002-11-22 @ Mattersburg L 0-337.7 1422 1541 18.50% 23.33% 58.17%-0.87 -7.9 22
2002-11-22 Lustenau W 4-251.1 1448 1430 44.92% 27.46% 27.61%+0.47 +6.2 29
2002-11-22 @ Kapfenberger L 2-451.1 1430 1448 27.61% 27.46% 44.92%-0.47 -6.2 27
2002-11-23 Leoben W 1-049.3 1530 1486 48.52% 26.67% 24.81%+0.57 +3.9 36
2002-11-23 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-149.3 1486 1530 24.81% 26.67% 48.52%-0.57 -3.9 37
2002-11-23 SC Interwetten.com L 3-461.5 1420 1493 32.19% 28.15% 39.67%+0.11 -4.2 26
2002-11-23 @ SV Worgl W 4-361.5 1493 1420 39.67% 28.15% 32.19%-0.11 +4.2 33
2003-03-07 Kapfenberger D 1-160.9 1488 1454 47.27% 26.98% 25.75%+0.53 -0.6 32
2003-03-07 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg D 1-160.9 1454 1488 25.75% 26.98% 47.27%-0.53 +0.6 30
2003-03-07 Mattersburg W 2-050.4 1438 1549 27.64% 27.47% 44.89%-0.04 +11.6 25
2003-03-07 @ Wiener Sportklub L 0-250.4 1549 1438 44.89% 27.47% 27.64%+0.04 -11.6 49
2003-03-07 SV Worgl W 6-140.4 1482 1416 51.57% 25.80% 22.63%+0.66 +13.0 40
2003-03-07 @ Leoben L 1-640.4 1416 1482 22.63% 25.80% 51.57%-0.66 -13.0 26
2003-03-08 SC Interwetten.com W 1-050.8 1414 1497 30.93% 28.02% 41.04%+0.07 +5.8 25
2003-03-08 @ LASK Linz L 0-150.8 1497 1414 41.04% 28.02% 30.93%-0.07 -5.8 33
2003-03-09 Austria Lustenau D 0-057.1 1424 1534 27.71% 27.48% 44.81%-0.03 +0.5 28
2003-03-09 @ Lustenau D 0-057.1 1534 1424 44.81% 27.48% 27.71%+0.03 -0.5 37
2003-03-14 BSV Bad Bleiberg W 2-045.3 1537 1488 49.27% 26.47% 24.26%+0.59 +7.2 52
2003-03-14 @ Mattersburg L 0-245.3 1488 1537 24.26% 26.47% 49.27%-0.59 -7.2 32
2003-03-14 LASK Linz W 2-150.7 1403 1420 40.03% 28.12% 31.85%+0.33 +4.5 29
2003-03-14 @ SV Worgl L 1-250.7 1420 1403 31.85% 28.12% 40.03%-0.33 -4.5 25
2003-03-14 Leoben W 2-155.7 1455 1495 36.68% 28.29% 35.03%+0.24 +4.8 33
2003-03-14 @ Kapfenberger L 1-255.7 1495 1455 35.03% 28.29% 36.68%-0.24 -4.8 40
2003-03-14 Lustenau W 3-146.2 1492 1425 51.60% 25.79% 22.61%+0.66 +5.8 36
2003-03-14 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-346.2 1425 1492 22.61% 25.79% 51.60%-0.66 -5.8 28
2003-03-15 Wiener Sportklub W 3-256.9 1533 1450 53.73% 25.07% 21.19%+0.73 +3.0 40
2003-03-15 @ Austria Lustenau L 2-356.9 1450 1533 21.19% 25.07% 53.73%-0.73 -3.0 25
2003-03-21 Kapfenberger W 3-040.5 1544 1459 53.94% 25.00% 21.06%+0.73 +9.1 55
2003-03-21 @ Mattersburg L 0-340.5 1459 1544 21.06% 25.00% 53.94%-0.73 -9.1 33
2003-03-21 SC Interwetten.com L 1-452.0 1491 1497 41.53% 27.97% 30.50%+0.37 -13.4 40
2003-03-21 @ Leoben W 4-152.0 1497 1491 30.50% 27.97% 41.53%-0.37 +13.4 39
2003-03-21 SV Worgl W 3-145.4 1447 1407 47.99% 26.80% 25.21%+0.56 +6.4 28
2003-03-21 @ Wiener Sportklub L 1-345.4 1407 1447 25.21% 26.80% 47.99%-0.56 -6.4 29
2003-03-22 Austria Lustenau D 1-163.3 1481 1536 34.57% 28.28% 37.15%+0.18 +0.1 33
2003-03-22 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg D 1-163.3 1536 1481 37.15% 28.28% 34.57%-0.18 -0.1 41
2003-03-22 LASK Linz W 1-044.8 1419 1416 42.94% 27.79% 29.27%+0.41 +4.5 31
2003-03-22 @ Lustenau L 0-144.8 1416 1419 29.27% 27.79% 42.94%-0.41 -4.5 25
2003-04-04 BSV Bad Bleiberg W 4-147.3 1511 1481 46.65% 27.12% 26.23%+0.52 +9.4 42
2003-04-04 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-447.3 1481 1511 26.23% 27.12% 46.65%-0.52 -9.4 33
2003-04-04 Leoben W 5-146.2 1411 1477 33.15% 28.22% 38.64%+0.14 +16.4 28
2003-04-04 @ LASK Linz L 1-546.2 1477 1411 38.64% 28.22% 33.15%-0.14 -16.4 40
2003-04-04 Lustenau W 2-041.6 1401 1423 39.30% 28.17% 32.52%+0.31 +9.1 32
2003-04-04 @ SV Worgl L 0-241.6 1423 1401 32.52% 28.17% 39.30%-0.31 -9.1 31
2003-04-04 Wiener Sportklub W 3-148.7 1450 1453 42.05% 27.91% 30.04%+0.39 +7.4 36
2003-04-04 @ Kapfenberger L 1-348.7 1453 1450 30.04% 27.91% 42.05%-0.39 -7.4 28
2003-04-05 Mattersburg W 1-054.5 1536 1553 40.06% 28.12% 31.82%+0.33 +4.8 44
2003-04-05 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-154.5 1553 1536 31.82% 28.12% 40.06%-0.33 -4.8 55
2003-04-11 Austria Lustenau D 1-162.7 1458 1541 30.89% 28.02% 41.10%+0.07 +0.3 37
2003-04-11 @ Kapfenberger D 1-162.7 1541 1458 41.10% 28.02% 30.89%-0.07 -0.3 45
2003-04-11 LASK Linz L 2-361.0 1446 1428 45.06% 27.44% 27.50%+0.47 -5.5 28
2003-04-11 @ Wiener Sportklub W 3-261.0 1428 1446 27.50% 27.44% 45.06%-0.47 +5.5 31
2003-04-12 Leoben L 2-453.7 1414 1461 35.85% 28.29% 35.86%+0.21 -7.6 31
2003-04-12 @ Lustenau W 4-253.7 1461 1414 35.86% 28.29% 35.85%-0.21 +7.6 43
2003-04-12 SC Interwetten.com W 2-157.1 1549 1520 46.45% 27.16% 26.39%+0.51 +3.9 58
2003-04-12 @ Mattersburg L 1-257.1 1520 1549 26.39% 27.16% 46.45%-0.51 -3.9 42
2003-04-12 SV Worgl W 2-149.1 1471 1410 50.88% 26.01% 23.11%+0.64 +3.4 36
2003-04-12 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg L 1-249.1 1410 1471 23.11% 26.01% 50.88%-0.64 -3.4 32
2003-04-15 BSV Bad Bleiberg L 0-340.6 1406 1475 32.83% 28.20% 38.97%+0.13 -13.4 32
2003-04-15 @ SV Worgl W 3-040.6 1475 1406 38.97% 28.20% 32.83%-0.13 +13.4 39
2003-04-15 Kapfenberger D 1-163.6 1541 1458 53.66% 25.10% 21.24%+0.72 -1.0 46
2003-04-15 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-163.6 1458 1541 21.24% 25.10% 53.66%-0.72 +1.0 38
2003-04-15 Wiener Sportklub W 3-039.6 1433 1440 41.45% 27.98% 30.57%+0.37 +12.7 34
2003-04-15 @ LASK Linz L 0-339.6 1440 1433 30.57% 27.98% 41.45%-0.37 -12.7 28
2003-04-16 Lustenau W 2-148.9 1468 1407 50.93% 26.00% 23.07%+0.64 +3.4 46
2003-04-16 @ Leoben L 1-248.9 1407 1468 23.07% 26.00% 50.93%-0.64 -3.4 31
2003-04-16 Mattersburg D 1-165.2 1516 1553 37.34% 28.27% 34.39%+0.26 -0.1 43
2003-04-16 @ SC Interwetten.com D 1-165.2 1553 1516 34.39% 28.27% 37.34%-0.26 +0.1 59
2003-04-22 LASK Linz D 1-160.7 1488 1446 48.34% 26.72% 24.94%+0.57 -0.7 40
2003-04-22 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg D 1-160.7 1446 1488 24.94% 26.72% 48.34%-0.57 +0.7 35
2003-04-22 Leoben L 1-350.5 1428 1472 36.23% 28.29% 35.48%+0.23 -8.6 28
2003-04-22 @ Wiener Sportklub W 3-150.5 1472 1428 35.48% 28.29% 36.23%-0.23 +8.6 49
2003-04-22 Lustenau L 0-252.6 1553 1403 61.92% 21.63% 16.45%+0.99 -14.8 59
2003-04-22 @ Mattersburg W 2-052.6 1403 1553 16.45% 21.63% 61.92%-0.99 +14.8 34
2003-04-22 SC Interwetten.com W 2-047.5 1540 1516 45.77% 27.30% 26.93%+0.49 +7.9 49
2003-04-22 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-247.5 1516 1540 26.93% 27.30% 45.77%-0.49 -7.9 43
2003-04-22 SV Worgl L 0-151.4 1459 1393 51.46% 25.83% 22.70%+0.66 -6.8 38
2003-04-22 @ Kapfenberger W 1-051.4 1393 1459 22.70% 25.83% 51.46%-0.66 +6.8 35
2003-04-25 Austria Lustenau D 0-058.3 1446 1548 28.70% 27.69% 43.62%+0.00 +0.5 36
2003-04-25 @ LASK Linz D 0-058.3 1548 1446 43.62% 27.69% 28.70%+0.00 -0.5 50
2003-04-25 BSV Bad Bleiberg D 2-267.2 1480 1487 41.49% 27.97% 30.53%+0.37 -0.2 50
2003-04-25 @ Leoben D 2-267.2 1487 1480 30.53% 27.97% 41.49%-0.37 +0.2 41
2003-04-25 Kapfenberger W 2-152.0 1508 1452 50.19% 26.22% 23.59%+0.62 +3.5 46
2003-04-25 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-252.0 1452 1508 23.59% 26.22% 50.19%-0.62 -3.5 38
2003-04-25 Mattersburg L 0-339.6 1400 1538 24.72% 26.64% 48.64%-0.14 -10.6 35
2003-04-25 @ SV Worgl W 3-039.6 1538 1400 48.64% 26.64% 24.72%+0.14 +10.6 62
2003-04-26 Wiener Sportklub W 5-141.9 1418 1419 42.31% 27.87% 29.82%+0.39 +13.5 37
2003-04-26 @ Lustenau L 1-541.9 1419 1418 29.82% 27.87% 42.31%-0.39 -13.5 28
2003-05-02 LASK Linz W 3-039.9 1449 1447 42.74% 27.82% 29.44%+0.41 +12.3 41
2003-05-02 @ Kapfenberger L 0-339.9 1447 1449 29.44% 27.82% 42.74%-0.41 -12.3 36
2003-05-02 Leoben W 2-044.7 1548 1480 51.77% 25.73% 22.49%+0.67 +6.7 65
2003-05-02 @ Mattersburg L 0-244.7 1480 1548 22.49% 25.73% 51.77%-0.67 -6.7 50
2003-05-02 SC Interwetten.com W 2-157.1 1406 1512 28.13% 27.57% 44.30%-0.02 +5.7 31
2003-05-02 @ Wiener Sportklub L 1-257.1 1512 1406 44.30% 27.57% 28.13%+0.02 -5.7 46
2003-05-03 Lustenau D 0-056.1 1488 1431 50.19% 26.22% 23.59%+0.62 -0.9 42
2003-05-03 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg D 0-056.1 1431 1488 23.59% 26.22% 50.19%-0.62 +0.9 38
2003-05-03 SV Worgl L 0-252.0 1547 1389 62.91% 21.15% 15.94%+1.02 -15.0 50
2003-05-03 @ Austria Lustenau W 2-052.0 1389 1547 15.94% 21.15% 62.91%-1.02 +15.0 38
2003-05-09 Austria Lustenau W 3-046.5 1473 1532 34.14% 28.26% 37.59%+0.17 +14.8 53
2003-05-09 @ Leoben L 0-346.5 1532 1473 37.59% 28.26% 34.14%-0.17 -14.8 50
2003-05-09 Mattersburg W 5-048.3 1435 1555 26.52% 27.19% 46.28%-0.08 +27.8 39
2003-05-09 @ LASK Linz L 0-548.3 1555 1435 46.28% 27.19% 26.52%+0.08 -27.8 65
2003-05-09 SV Worgl L 1-259.4 1506 1404 56.09% 24.19% 19.72%+0.80 -6.9 46
2003-05-09 @ SC Interwetten.com W 2-159.4 1404 1506 19.72% 24.19% 56.09%-0.80 +6.9 41
2003-05-10 Kapfenberger D 2-264.5 1432 1461 38.44% 28.23% 33.34%+0.29 -0.1 39
2003-05-10 @ Lustenau D 2-264.5 1461 1432 33.34% 28.23% 38.44%-0.29 +0.1 42
2003-05-10 Wiener Sportklub D 3-369.6 1487 1412 52.70% 25.43% 21.87%+0.70 -0.6 43
2003-05-10 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg D 3-369.6 1412 1487 21.87% 25.43% 52.70%-0.70 +0.6 32
2003-05-16 BSV Bad Bleiberg W 3-042.9 1461 1486 38.92% 28.20% 32.88%+0.30 +13.4 45
2003-05-16 @ Kapfenberger L 0-342.9 1486 1461 32.88% 28.20% 38.92%-0.30 -13.4 43
2003-05-16 LASK Linz L 0-347.4 1499 1462 47.59% 26.90% 25.51%+0.54 -17.6 46
2003-05-16 @ SC Interwetten.com W 3-047.4 1462 1499 25.51% 26.90% 47.59%-0.54 +17.6 42
2003-05-16 Leoben W 4-255.7 1411 1488 31.69% 28.10% 40.20%+0.10 +8.3 44
2003-05-16 @ SV Worgl L 2-455.7 1488 1411 40.20% 28.10% 31.69%-0.10 -8.3 53
2003-05-16 Lustenau L 1-260.3 1517 1432 53.97% 24.99% 21.04%+0.73 -6.7 50
2003-05-16 @ Austria Lustenau W 2-160.3 1432 1517 21.04% 24.99% 53.97%-0.73 +6.7 42
2003-05-16 Wiener Sportklub D 2-267.5 1527 1412 57.77% 23.50% 18.73%+0.85 -0.9 66
2003-05-16 @ Mattersburg D 2-267.5 1412 1527 18.73% 23.50% 57.77%-0.85 +0.9 33
2003-05-20 Austria Lustenau W 2-047.6 1413 1511 29.10% 27.76% 43.14%+0.01 +11.2 36
2003-05-20 @ Wiener Sportklub L 0-247.6 1511 1413 43.14% 27.76% 29.10%-0.01 -11.2 50
2003-05-20 Kapfenberger W 1-048.6 1480 1474 43.27% 27.74% 28.99%+0.42 +4.4 56
2003-05-20 @ Leoben L 0-148.6 1474 1480 28.99% 27.74% 43.27%-0.42 -4.4 45
2003-05-20 Mattersburg D 1-162.6 1473 1526 34.86% 28.28% 36.85%+0.19 +0.0 44
2003-05-20 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg D 1-162.6 1526 1473 36.85% 28.28% 34.86%-0.19 -0.1 67
2003-05-20 SC Interwetten.com W 1-049.4 1439 1482 36.41% 28.29% 35.30%+0.23 +5.1 45
2003-05-20 @ Lustenau L 0-149.4 1482 1439 35.30% 28.29% 36.41%-0.23 -5.1 46
2003-05-20 SV Worgl W 2-149.7 1480 1419 50.75% 26.05% 23.20%+0.64 +3.4 45
2003-05-20 @ LASK Linz L 1-249.7 1419 1480 23.20% 26.05% 50.75%-0.64 -3.4 44
2003-05-23 BSV Bad Bleiberg W 2-153.6 1499 1473 46.18% 27.22% 26.61%+0.50 +3.9 53
2003-05-23 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-253.6 1473 1499 26.61% 27.22% 46.18%-0.50 -3.9 44
2003-05-23 Leoben W 2-154.7 1476 1484 41.38% 27.99% 30.63%+0.37 +4.4 49
2003-05-23 @ SC Interwetten.com L 1-254.7 1484 1476 30.63% 27.99% 41.38%-0.37 -4.4 56
2003-05-23 Lustenau W 2-042.1 1483 1444 47.93% 26.82% 25.25%+0.55 +7.4 48
2003-05-23 @ LASK Linz L 0-242.1 1444 1483 25.25% 26.82% 47.93%-0.55 -7.4 45
2003-05-23 Mattersburg W 2-048.7 1470 1526 34.46% 28.27% 37.26%+0.18 +10.1 48
2003-05-23 @ Kapfenberger L 0-248.7 1526 1470 37.26% 28.27% 34.46%-0.18 -10.1 67
2003-05-23 Wiener Sportklub L 1-447.1 1416 1424 41.35% 27.99% 30.66%+0.37 -13.3 44
2003-05-23 @ SV Worgl W 4-147.1 1424 1416 30.66% 27.99% 41.35%-0.37 +13.3 39
2003-05-30 Austria Lustenau W 2-046.6 1516 1503 44.30% 27.57% 28.13%+0.45 +8.2 70
2003-05-30 @ Mattersburg L 0-246.6 1503 1516 28.13% 27.57% 44.30%-0.45 -8.1 53
2003-05-30 Kapfenberger W 4-254.9 1438 1480 36.44% 28.29% 35.27%+0.23 +7.5 42
2003-05-30 @ Wiener Sportklub L 2-454.9 1480 1438 35.27% 28.29% 36.44%-0.23 -7.5 48
2003-05-30 LASK Linz D 3-371.4 1480 1491 40.97% 28.03% 31.00%+0.36 -0.2 57
2003-05-30 @ Leoben D 3-371.4 1491 1480 31.00% 28.03% 40.97%-0.36 +0.2 49
2003-05-30 SC Interwetten.com L 1-353.6 1469 1481 40.83% 28.04% 31.12%+0.35 -9.3 44
2003-05-30 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg W 3-153.6 1481 1469 31.12% 28.04% 40.83%-0.35 +9.4 52
2003-05-30 SV Worgl D 2-263.3 1437 1403 47.19% 27.00% 25.82%+0.53 -0.4 46
2003-05-30 @ Lustenau D 2-263.3 1403 1437 25.82% 27.00% 47.19%-0.53 +0.5 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2003-05-03 15.94% SV Worgl 1389 2 @ Austria Lustenau 1547 0
2 2003-04-22 16.45% Lustenau 1403 2 @ Mattersburg 1553 0
3 2002-11-09 17.59% LASK Linz 1416 3 @ Austria Lustenau 1547 2
4 2002-09-13 18.48% Lustenau 1411 2 @ SC Interwetten.com 1529 1
5 2003-05-09 19.72% SV Worgl 1404 2 @ SC Interwetten.com 1506 1
6 2003-05-16 21.04% Lustenau 1432 2 @ Austria Lustenau 1517 1
7 2002-08-02 21.21% Lustenau 1393 2 @ LASK Linz 1476 0
8 2002-09-21 21.28% Wiener Sportklub 1436 2 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg 1518 0
9 2002-11-15 22.04% Wiener Sportklub 1427 1 @ SC Interwetten.com 1500 0
10 2002-07-16 22.61% SV Worgl 1415 2 @ Mattersburg 1482 1
11 2003-04-22 22.70% SV Worgl 1393 1 @ Kapfenberger 1459 0
12 2002-10-19 24.08% Mattersburg 1502 1 @ Austria Lustenau 1553 0
13 2002-08-16 24.20% SV Worgl 1414 2 @ Wiener Sportklub 1464 1
14 2002-10-25 25.18% Kapfenberger 1411 4 @ LASK Linz 1451 0
15 2002-11-16 25.40% @ SV Worgl 1409 3 Austria Lustenau 1541 1
16 2003-05-16 25.51% LASK Linz 1462 3 @ SC Interwetten.com 1499 0
17 2002-10-04 26.12% Kapfenberger 1399 1 @ SV Worgl 1430 0
18 2003-05-09 26.52% @ LASK Linz 1435 5 Mattersburg 1555 0
19 2002-07-10 26.59% Mattersburg 1464 3 @ Wiener Sportklub 1491 0
20 2002-08-23 26.95% @ SV Worgl 1420 1 Austria Lustenau 1537 0
21 2002-08-03 27.03% SC Interwetten.com 1522 1 @ Austria Lustenau 1545 0
22 2002-11-08 27.35% Lustenau 1419 2 @ Wiener Sportklub 1438 0
23 2003-04-11 27.50% LASK Linz 1428 3 @ Wiener Sportklub 1446 2
24 2002-10-18 27.62% @ Kapfenberger 1405 2 SC Interwetten.com 1516 1
25 2003-03-07 27.64% @ Wiener Sportklub 1438 2 Mattersburg 1549 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-05-09 27.77 @ LASK Linz 5 1435 26.52% Mattersburg 0 1555 46.28% 27.19%
2 2002-10-25 23.18 Kapfenberger 4 1411 25.18% @ LASK Linz 0 1451 48.03% 26.80%
3 2002-11-15 20.37 Mattersburg 4 1520 31.39% @ Leoben 0 1507 40.54% 28.07%
4 2002-07-23 18.43 @ Kapfenberger 4 1432 36.38% Mattersburg 0 1475 35.33% 28.29%
5 2003-05-16 17.62 LASK Linz 3 1462 25.51% @ SC Interwetten.com 0 1499 47.59% 26.90%
6 2002-07-10 17.22 Mattersburg 3 1464 26.59% @ Wiener Sportklub 0 1491 46.19% 27.21%
7 2002-10-19 16.50 Leoben 3 1497 28.63% @ BSV Bad Bleiberg 0 1506 43.69% 27.67%
8 2003-04-04 16.38 @ LASK Linz 5 1411 33.15% Leoben 1 1477 38.64% 28.22%
9 2002-10-26 15.26 @ Lustenau 3 1418 32.46% BSV Bad Bleiberg 0 1489 39.37% 28.17%
10 2002-09-13 15.14 @ Mattersburg 4 1477 45.17% Wiener Sportklub 0 1457 27.41% 27.42%
11 2003-05-03 15.01 SV Worgl 2 1389 15.94% @ Austria Lustenau 0 1547 62.91% 21.15%
12 2003-04-22 14.84 Lustenau 2 1403 16.45% @ Mattersburg 0 1553 61.92% 21.63%
13 2003-05-09 14.75 @ Leoben 3 1473 34.14% Austria Lustenau 0 1532 37.59% 28.26%
14 2002-08-24 13.75 @ Lustenau 3 1405 37.65% Kapfenberger 0 1439 34.09% 28.26%
15 2002-08-24 13.52 @ Leoben 3 1453 38.43% Mattersburg 0 1482 33.34% 28.23%
16 2003-04-26 13.50 @ Lustenau 5 1418 42.31% Wiener Sportklub 1 1419 29.82% 27.87%
17 2003-03-21 13.39 SC Interwetten.com 4 1497 30.50% @ Leoben 1 1491 41.53% 27.97%
18 2003-05-16 13.38 @ Kapfenberger 3 1461 38.92% BSV Bad Bleiberg 0 1486 32.88% 28.20%
19 2003-04-15 13.36 BSV Bad Bleiberg 3 1475 38.97% @ SV Worgl 0 1406 32.83% 28.20%
20 2003-05-23 13.35 Wiener Sportklub 4 1424 30.66% @ SV Worgl 1 1416 41.35% 27.99%
21 2002-08-02 13.32 Lustenau 2 1393 21.21% @ LASK Linz 0 1476 53.71% 25.08%
22 2002-09-21 13.30 Wiener Sportklub 2 1436 21.28% @ BSV Bad Bleiberg 0 1518 53.61% 25.12%
23 2003-03-07 13.02 @ Leoben 6 1482 51.57% SV Worgl 1 1416 22.63% 25.80%
24 2002-07-30 12.81 @ Leoben 3 1439 40.92% Kapfenberger 0 1451 31.04% 28.04%
25 2002-07-09 12.78 Austria Lustenau 3 1531 41.04% @ Kapfenberger 0 1448 30.94% 28.02%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-09-10 74.1 @ Leoben 4 1467 33.67% SC Interwetten.com 4 1529 38.09% 28.24%
2 2002-08-30 73.0 @ SC Interwetten.com 3 1530 51.11% Leoben 3 1467 22.95% 25.94%
3 2003-05-30 71.4 @ Leoben 3 1480 40.97% LASK Linz 3 1491 31.00% 28.03%
4 2002-09-28 70.7 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1548 48.46% BSV Bad Bleiberg 2 1505 24.85% 26.69%
5 2002-11-16 69.6 @ Lustenau 3 1430 33.53% BSV Bad Bleiberg 3 1493 38.23% 28.24%
6 2003-05-10 69.6 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg 3 1487 52.70% Wiener Sportklub 3 1412 21.87% 25.43%
7 2003-05-16 67.5 @ Mattersburg 2 1527 57.77% Wiener Sportklub 2 1412 18.73% 23.50%
8 2003-04-25 67.2 @ Leoben 2 1480 41.49% BSV Bad Bleiberg 2 1487 30.53% 27.97%
9 2002-11-09 67.0 LASK Linz 3 1416 17.59% @ Austria Lustenau 2 1547 59.79% 22.62%
10 2002-09-17 65.3 @ SV Worgl 2 1424 32.97% Mattersburg 2 1492 38.83% 28.21%
11 2003-04-16 65.2 @ SC Interwetten.com 1 1516 37.34% Mattersburg 1 1553 34.39% 28.27%
12 2003-05-10 64.5 @ Lustenau 2 1432 38.44% Kapfenberger 2 1461 33.34% 28.23%
13 2003-04-15 63.6 @ Austria Lustenau 1 1541 53.66% Kapfenberger 1 1458 21.24% 25.10%
14 2002-10-25 63.5 @ SC Interwetten.com 1 1510 42.73% Mattersburg 1 1508 29.45% 27.82%
15 2003-03-22 63.3 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg 1 1481 34.57% Austria Lustenau 1 1536 37.15% 28.28%
16 2003-05-30 63.3 @ Lustenau 2 1437 47.19% SV Worgl 2 1403 25.82% 27.00%
17 2002-09-14 62.7 @ Austria Lustenau 1 1539 57.45% Kapfenberger 1 1426 18.91% 23.64%
18 2002-11-09 62.7 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg 1 1494 40.70% Leoben 1 1506 31.24% 28.06%
19 2003-04-11 62.7 @ Kapfenberger 1 1458 30.89% Austria Lustenau 1 1541 41.10% 28.02%
20 2003-05-20 62.6 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg 1 1473 34.86% Mattersburg 1 1526 36.85% 28.28%
21 2002-07-23 62.5 BSV Bad Bleiberg 3 1515 35.50% @ Wiener Sportklub 2 1471 36.20% 28.29%
22 2002-11-23 61.5 SC Interwetten.com 4 1493 39.67% @ SV Worgl 3 1420 32.19% 28.15%
23 2002-10-04 61.1 Austria Lustenau 2 1548 33.07% @ SC Interwetten.com 1 1521 38.72% 28.21%
24 2003-04-11 61.0 LASK Linz 3 1428 27.50% @ Wiener Sportklub 2 1446 45.06% 27.44%
25 2003-03-07 60.9 @ BSV Bad Bleiberg 1 1488 47.27% Kapfenberger 1 1454 25.75% 26.98%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-11-22 37.7 @ Mattersburg 3 1541 58.17% LASK Linz 0 1422 18.50% 23.33%
2 2003-04-15 39.6 @ LASK Linz 3 1433 41.45% Wiener Sportklub 0 1440 30.57% 27.98%
3 2003-04-25 39.6 Mattersburg 3 1538 48.64% @ SV Worgl 0 1400 24.72% 26.64%
4 2002-08-24 39.9 @ Lustenau 3 1405 37.65% Kapfenberger 0 1439 34.09% 28.26%
5 2003-05-02 39.9 @ Kapfenberger 3 1449 42.74% LASK Linz 0 1447 29.44% 27.82%
6 2002-09-13 40.0 @ Mattersburg 4 1477 45.17% Wiener Sportklub 0 1457 27.41% 27.42%
7 2002-07-30 40.3 @ Leoben 3 1439 40.92% Kapfenberger 0 1451 31.04% 28.04%
8 2003-03-07 40.4 @ Leoben 6 1482 51.57% SV Worgl 1 1416 22.63% 25.80%
9 2003-03-21 40.5 @ Mattersburg 3 1544 53.94% Kapfenberger 0 1459 21.06% 25.00%
10 2002-09-28 40.6 @ SV Worgl 2 1422 43.61% Lustenau 0 1414 28.70% 27.69%
11 2003-04-15 40.6 BSV Bad Bleiberg 3 1475 38.97% @ SV Worgl 0 1406 32.83% 28.20%
12 2002-10-18 40.9 @ LASK Linz 2 1443 45.21% SV Worgl 0 1424 27.38% 27.41%
13 2002-09-20 41.1 @ Mattersburg 5 1492 52.44% Kapfenberger 1 1418 22.04% 25.52%
14 2002-09-13 41.3 @ Leoben 2 1467 47.37% SV Worgl 0 1432 25.67% 26.95%
15 2003-04-04 41.6 @ SV Worgl 2 1401 39.30% Lustenau 0 1423 32.52% 28.17%
16 2002-07-23 41.7 @ Kapfenberger 4 1432 36.38% Mattersburg 0 1475 35.33% 28.29%
17 2002-07-21 41.9 @ Austria Lustenau 1 1547 63.20% Lustenau 0 1387 15.79% 21.01%
18 2003-04-26 41.9 @ Lustenau 5 1418 42.31% Wiener Sportklub 1 1419 29.82% 27.87%
19 2003-05-23 42.1 @ LASK Linz 2 1483 47.93% Lustenau 0 1444 25.25% 26.82%
20 2002-08-24 42.6 @ Leoben 3 1453 38.43% Mattersburg 0 1482 33.34% 28.23%
21 2002-07-16 42.9 @ Leoben 1 1439 49.16% Lustenau 0 1391 24.34% 26.50%
22 2003-05-16 42.9 @ Kapfenberger 3 1461 38.92% BSV Bad Bleiberg 0 1486 32.88% 28.20%
23 2002-09-27 43.3 Leoben 2 1479 39.36% @ Kapfenberger 0 1408 32.47% 28.17%
24 2002-07-09 43.4 Austria Lustenau 3 1531 41.04% @ Kapfenberger 0 1448 30.94% 28.02%
25 2002-10-26 43.4 @ Lustenau 3 1418 32.46% BSV Bad Bleiberg 0 1489 39.37% 28.17%