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2011-12 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Salzburg

68 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Trenkwalder Admira

8.94 points above expected

55 points · 46.06 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kapfenberger

8.17 points below expected

23 points · 31.17 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Salzburg 36 19 11 6 68 60 30 +30 61.55 +6.45
2 Rapid Wien 36 16 14 6 62 52 30 +22 57.06 +4.94
3 Trenkwalder Admira 36 15 10 11 55 59 52 +7 46.06 +8.94
4 Austria Wien 36 14 12 10 54 52 44 +8 58.59 -4.59
5 Sturm Graz 36 12 15 9 51 47 41 +6 54.37 -3.37
6 Ried 36 11 15 10 48 44 38 +6 52.23 -4.23
7 Wacker Innsbruck 36 10 15 11 45 36 45 -9 42.88 +2.12
8 Mattersburg 36 9 11 16 38 41 43 -2 37.97 +0.03
9 Wiener Neustadter 36 6 15 15 33 26 51 -25 38.33 -5.33
10 Kapfenberger 36 5 8 23 23 21 64 -43 31.17 -8.17

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Trenkwalder Admira 55 46.06 +8.94
2 Salzburg 68 61.55 +6.45
3 Rapid Wien 62 57.06 +4.94
4 Wacker Innsbruck 45 42.88 +2.12
5 Mattersburg 38 37.97 +0.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kapfenberger 23 31.17 -8.17
2 Wiener Neustadter 33 38.33 -5.33
3 Austria Wien 54 58.59 -4.59
4 Ried 48 52.23 -4.23
5 Sturm Graz 51 54.37 -3.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Trenkwalder Admira 4 Apr 21 – May 10 1 in 240
2 Mattersburg 3 Feb 18 – Mar 3 1 in 167
3 Salzburg 6 Apr 21 – May 17 1 in 68
4 Ried 3 Aug 21 – Sep 10 1 in 24
5 Austria Wien 3 Sep 18 – Oct 2 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ried 4 Feb 11 – Mar 3 1 in 75
2 Kapfenberger 5 Aug 13 – Sep 17 1 in 56
3 Mattersburg 4 Apr 8 – Apr 28 1 in 54
4 Trenkwalder Admira 4 Dec 11 – Feb 25 1 in 50
5 Sturm Graz 2 Mar 10 – Mar 18 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Trenkwalder Admira 13 Jul 23 – Nov 5 1 in 141
2 Rapid Wien 13 Oct 15 – Mar 3 1 in 47
3 Salzburg 14 Mar 7 – May 17 1 in 29
4 Sturm Graz 8 Mar 21 – May 5 1 in 15
5 Ried 9 Oct 15 – Dec 17 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wiener Neustadter 13 Mar 14 – May 17 1 in 45
2 Salzburg 7 Sep 25 – Nov 20 1 in 40
3 Trenkwalder Admira 9 Oct 29 – Feb 25 1 in 25
4 Ried 6 Apr 21 – May 17 1 in 20
5 Wacker Innsbruck 8 Jul 24 – Sep 24 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Salzburg 1843 68 +38 15 9.3 +5.7
Rapid Wien 1798 62 +18 12 8.5 +3.5
Trenkwalder Admira 1707 55 +47 10 5.8 +4.2
Austria Wien 1742 54 +4 9 8.5 +0.5
Sturm Graz 1726 51 -16 8 8.5 -0.5
Ried 1700 48 -11 4 7.9 -3.9
Wacker Innsbruck 1631 45 -38 2 5.3 -3.3
Mattersburg 1636 38 +11 6 5.6 +0.4
Wiener Neustadter 1567 33 -35 2 4.4 -2.4
Kapfenberger 1503 23 -19 1 3.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW KAP MAT RW RIE SAL SG TA WI WN
Austria Wien —
1-1-2
8.05
2-1-1
7.44
1-3-0
5.44
3-0-1
5.81
1-1-2
5.05
1-1-2
5.94
2-0-2
6.55
2-2-0
6.68
1-3-0
7.49
Kapfenberger
2-1-1
2.83
 —
1-1-2
4.19
0-1-3
2.74
0-1-3
3.29
0-0-4
2.61
1-1-2
3.06
0-2-2
3.82
0-0-4
4.21
1-1-2
4.43
Mattersburg
1-1-2
3.33
2-1-1
6.47
 —
0-2-2
3.52
1-0-3
3.86
2-1-1
3.03
0-2-2
3.68
1-1-2
4.42
1-2-1
4.78
1-1-2
5.11
Rapid Wien
0-3-1
5.13
3-1-0
8.17
2-2-0
7.19
 —
2-2-0
5.98
1-1-2
4.92
1-2-1
5.54
3-0-1
6.28
2-1-1
6.98
2-2-0
7.01
Ried
1-0-3
4.76
3-1-0
7.46
3-0-1
6.81
0-2-2
4.63
 —
0-1-3
4.30
0-3-1
5.06
1-3-0
5.75
2-2-0
6.16
1-3-0
6.96
Salzburg
2-1-1
5.51
4-0-0
8.36
1-1-2
7.79
2-1-1
5.68
3-1-0
6.31
 —
0-3-1
6.04
2-1-1
6.86
2-2-0
7.11
3-1-0
7.77
Sturm Graz
2-1-1
4.63
2-1-1
7.79
2-2-0
7.05
1-2-1
5.03
1-3-0
5.50
1-3-0
4.55
 —
1-0-3
6.15
1-2-1
6.58
1-1-2
7.13
Trenkwalder Admira
2-0-2
4.11
2-2-0
6.82
2-1-1
6.18
1-0-3
4.34
0-3-1
4.84
1-1-2
3.80
3-0-1
4.44
 —
1-2-1
5.59
3-1-0
5.96
Wacker Innsbruck
0-2-2
3.99
4-0-0
6.43
1-2-1
5.80
1-1-2
3.73
0-2-2
4.49
0-2-2
3.62
1-2-1
4.06
1-2-1
5.01
 —
2-2-0
5.68
Wiener Neustadter
0-3-1
3.29
2-1-1
6.20
2-1-1
5.46
0-2-2
3.71
0-3-1
3.74
0-1-3
3.06
2-1-1
3.56
0-1-3
4.59
0-2-2
4.89
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +9.7
Allowed 0.67 -10.8
Differential 0.93 +6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.44%7.78%6.67%3.33%0.28%1.11%33.61%
17.78%15.00%5.28%2.78%0.56%0.83%32.22%
26.67%5.28%5.00%2.22%1.11%—20.28%
33.33%2.78%2.22%0.56%0.28%0.28%9.44%
40.28%0.56%1.11%0.28%——2.22%
5+1.11%0.83%—0.28%——2.22%
Total33.61%32.22%20.28%9.44%2.22%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.70
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
18.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
22.78%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
38.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%27.78%22.22%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.22 +0.22
SD 1.27 1.27 1.81
CV 0.88 1.04 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%19.44%5.56%—5.56%55.56%
111.11%5.56%2.78%11.11%—2.78%33.33%
2——2.78%5.56%——8.33%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%16.67%25.00%22.22%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 1.78 -1.19
SD 0.77 1.57 1.75
CV 1.32 0.88 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%19.44%8.33%———38.89%
15.56%13.89%11.11%———30.56%
28.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total27.78%38.89%22.22%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.19 -0.06
SD 1.33 1.04 1.41
CV 1.17 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%—2.78%——30.56%
15.56%16.67%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
211.11%8.33%————19.44%
35.56%—5.56%—2.78%—13.89%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total47.22%33.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.83 +0.61
SD 1.36 1.03 1.52
CV 0.94 1.23 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
15.56%25.00%2.78%2.78%2.78%—38.89%
28.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total30.56%44.44%16.67%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.06 +0.17
SD 1.12 0.98 1.52
CV 0.92 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%—2.78%——16.67%
113.89%13.89%5.56%———33.33%
213.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total47.22%33.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.83 +0.83
SD 1.33 1.03 1.70
CV 0.80 1.23 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%2.78%5.56%——27.78%
113.89%19.44%2.78%2.78%——38.89%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
3—5.56%—2.78%——8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total33.33%38.89%11.11%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.14 +0.17
SD 1.28 1.13 1.63
CV 0.98 0.99 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
1—13.89%13.89%2.78%——30.56%
25.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
35.56%2.78%8.33%———16.67%
4—2.78%5.56%2.78%——11.11%
5+———————
Total19.44%30.56%38.89%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.44 +0.19
SD 1.31 1.00 1.65
CV 0.80 0.69 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%5.56%5.56%—2.78%38.89%
18.33%22.22%————30.56%
28.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
3—2.78%2.78%——2.78%8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%41.67%13.89%8.33%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.25 -0.25
SD 0.99 1.38 1.56
CV 0.99 1.10 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%2.78%13.89%5.56%—2.78%50.00%
15.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
25.56%2.78%8.33%———16.67%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.11%16.67%30.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.72 1.42 -0.69
SD 0.85 1.42 1.64
CV 1.18 1.00 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Salzburg 1843 68 61.55 +6.45 83.2% 37 50 56 62 66 73 81
Rapid Wien 1798 62 57.06 +4.94 78.3% 34 45 52 57 62 69 81
Austria Wien 1742 54 58.59 -4.59 29.8% 36 46 53 59 63 70 84
Sturm Graz 1726 51 54.37 -3.37 36.9% 33 43 49 54 59 67 81
Trenkwalder Admira 1707 55 46.06 +8.94 91.6% 26 35 41 46 51 58 71
Ried 1700 48 52.23 -4.23 28.5% 27 40 48 52 57 64 78
Mattersburg 1636 38 37.97 +0.03 51.8% 18 27 33 38 42 49 59
Wacker Innsbruck 1631 45 42.88 +2.12 65.9% 23 31 38 43 47 54 63
Wiener Neustadter 1567 33 38.33 -5.33 23.6% 19 27 34 39 43 49 59
Kapfenberger 1503 23 31.17 -8.17 12.7% 14 20 27 31 36 42 56

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.44%
Clear Edge
42.22%35.00%22.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
193 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
068.43500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.39 goals
Neutral
-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.7
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Salzburg, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.62 * Some Luck: 5.62 to 8.42 * Lucky: 8.42 to 11.23 * Wild Swing: 11.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.54 * Off: 1.54 to 2.05 * Way Off: 2.05 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.43 points
As Expected
07.0218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.283
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
91.60%
Trenkwalder Admira
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
12.70%
Kapfenberger
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.50
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Occasional
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.62
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.71
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.97
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.16
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.088
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Salzburg42.10%24.30%15.60%9.10%5.10%2.40%1.20%0.10%0.10%—
Rapid Wien17.80%22.20%23.20%14.70%10.60%6.50%2.80%1.80%0.40%—
Trenkwalder Admira1.00%3.30%5.30%10.90%16.90%21.90%19.60%12.00%6.60%2.50%
Austria Wien22.30%23.40%20.90%16.80%9.30%4.70%1.90%0.50%0.20%—
Sturm Graz10.10%14.60%17.60%18.40%18.00%13.20%5.00%2.20%0.90%—
Ried6.30%10.80%13.40%20.70%21.20%14.20%6.70%4.20%1.90%0.60%
Wacker Innsbruck0.40%1.00%1.90%5.60%11.50%17.90%23.40%18.90%13.20%6.20%
Mattersburg—0.20%1.40%1.80%2.60%8.20%19.10%24.30%27.70%14.70%
Wiener Neustadter—0.20%0.40%1.80%4.20%9.30%16.20%26.60%26.20%15.10%
Kapfenberger——0.30%0.20%0.60%1.70%4.10%9.40%22.80%60.90%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Austria Wien 100% —
Rapid Wien 100% —
Salzburg 100% —
Sturm Graz 100% —
Ried 99.40% 0.60%
Trenkwalder Admira 97.50% 2.50%
Wacker Innsbruck 93.80% 6.20%
Mattersburg 85.30% 14.70%
Wiener Neustadter 84.90% 15.10%
Kapfenberger 39.10% 60.90%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-07-16 Trenkwalder Admira W 2-052.4 1720 1646 50.89% 32.14% 16.97%+0.74 +9.3 3
2011-07-16 @ Rapid Wien L 0-252.4 1646 1720 16.97% 32.14% 50.89%-0.74 -9.3 0
2011-07-16 Sturm Graz D 1-168.7 1687 1741 33.61% 37.05% 29.34%+0.08 -0.2 1
2011-07-16 @ Ried D 1-168.7 1741 1687 29.34% 37.05% 33.61%-0.08 +0.2 1
2011-07-16 Wacker Innsbruck L 2-371.9 1622 1669 34.46% 36.99% 28.55%+0.11 -7.6 0
2011-07-16 @ Kapfenberger W 3-271.9 1669 1622 28.55% 36.99% 34.46%-0.11 +7.6 3
2011-07-16 Wiener Neustadter L 1-266.6 1604 1653 34.20% 37.01% 28.78%+0.10 -8.0 0
2011-07-16 @ Mattersburg W 2-166.6 1653 1604 28.78% 37.01% 34.20%-0.10 +8.0 3
2011-07-17 Austria Wien W 2-055.7 1761 1749 42.72% 35.42% 21.86%+0.42 +11.7 3
2011-07-17 @ Salzburg L 0-255.7 1749 1761 21.86% 35.42% 42.72%-0.42 -11.7 0
2011-07-23 Kapfenberger D 1-167.5 1637 1614 44.21% 34.95% 20.85%+0.47 -1.1 1
2011-07-23 @ Trenkwalder Admira D 1-167.5 1614 1637 20.85% 34.95% 44.21%-0.47 +1.1 1
2011-07-23 Mattersburg D 2-276.5 1741 1596 59.81% 27.04% 13.15%+1.11 -1.7 2
2011-07-23 @ Sturm Graz D 2-276.5 1596 1741 13.15% 27.04% 59.81%-1.11 +1.7 1
2011-07-23 Rapid Wien L 0-258.5 1661 1729 31.44% 37.11% 31.45%+0.00 -15.2 3
2011-07-23 @ Wiener Neustadter W 2-058.5 1729 1661 31.45% 37.11% 31.44%+0.00 +15.2 6
2011-07-24 Ried W 2-162.6 1737 1687 47.85% 33.55% 18.61%+0.61 +5.1 3
2011-07-24 @ Austria Wien L 1-262.6 1687 1737 18.61% 33.55% 47.85%-0.61 -5.1 1
2011-07-24 Salzburg L 0-161.0 1677 1773 27.76% 36.91% 35.33%-0.14 -7.4 3
2011-07-24 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 1-061.0 1773 1677 35.33% 36.91% 27.76%+0.14 +7.4 6
2011-07-30 Sturm Graz W 3-058.5 1616 1739 24.41% 36.29% 39.30%-0.29 +25.5 4
2011-07-30 @ Kapfenberger L 0-358.5 1739 1616 39.30% 36.29% 24.41%+0.29 -25.5 2
2011-07-30 Wiener Neustadter W 3-053.0 1636 1646 39.78% 36.19% 24.03%+0.30 +18.3 4
2011-07-30 @ Trenkwalder Admira L 0-353.0 1646 1636 24.03% 36.19% 39.78%-0.30 -18.3 3
2011-07-31 Austria Wien D 0-063.8 1670 1743 30.82% 37.11% 32.08%-0.02 +0.0 4
2011-07-31 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 0-063.8 1743 1670 32.08% 37.11% 30.82%+0.02 -0.1 4
2011-07-31 Mattersburg D 0-067.4 1780 1597 64.23% 24.16% 11.61%+1.30 -2.9 7
2011-07-31 @ Salzburg D 0-067.4 1597 1780 11.61% 24.16% 64.23%-1.30 +2.9 2
2011-07-31 Ried D 0-065.2 1745 1682 49.44% 32.83% 17.73%+0.68 -1.7 7
2011-07-31 @ Rapid Wien D 0-065.2 1682 1745 17.73% 32.83% 49.44%-0.68 +1.7 2
2011-08-13 Kapfenberger W 5-050.1 1742 1641 54.42% 30.27% 15.31%+0.88 +19.4 7
2011-08-13 @ Austria Wien L 0-550.1 1641 1742 15.31% 30.27% 54.42%-0.88 -19.4 4
2011-08-13 Mattersburg W 2-160.7 1654 1600 48.38% 33.32% 18.31%+0.63 +5.0 7
2011-08-13 @ Trenkwalder Admira L 1-260.7 1600 1654 18.31% 33.32% 48.38%-0.63 -5.0 2
2011-08-13 Rapid Wien W 1-060.5 1714 1743 37.06% 36.69% 26.25%+0.20 +7.1 5
2011-08-13 @ Sturm Graz L 0-160.5 1743 1714 26.25% 36.69% 37.06%-0.20 -7.1 7
2011-08-13 Wacker Innsbruck D 0-062.8 1627 1670 35.18% 36.93% 27.89%+0.14 -0.3 4
2011-08-13 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-062.8 1670 1627 27.89% 36.93% 35.18%-0.14 +0.3 5
2011-08-14 Salzburg L 1-363.3 1684 1777 28.04% 36.94% 35.02%-0.13 -12.2 2
2011-08-14 @ Ried W 3-163.3 1777 1684 35.02% 36.94% 28.04%+0.13 +12.2 10
2011-08-20 Trenkwalder Admira D 2-273.9 1670 1659 42.56% 35.47% 21.97%+0.41 -0.7 6
2011-08-20 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 2-273.9 1659 1670 21.97% 35.47% 42.56%-0.41 +0.7 8
2011-08-20 Wiener Neustadter L 0-259.2 1622 1627 40.36% 36.06% 23.58%+0.33 -17.9 4
2011-08-20 @ Kapfenberger W 2-059.2 1627 1622 23.58% 36.06% 40.36%-0.33 +17.9 7
2011-08-21 Austria Wien L 0-358.9 1736 1762 37.48% 36.63% 25.89%+0.22 -24.7 7
2011-08-21 @ Rapid Wien W 3-058.9 1762 1736 25.89% 36.63% 37.48%-0.22 +24.7 10
2011-08-21 Ried L 2-370.3 1595 1672 30.32% 37.09% 32.59%-0.04 -7.0 2
2011-08-21 @ Mattersburg W 3-270.3 1672 1595 32.59% 37.09% 30.32%+0.04 +7.0 5
2011-08-21 Sturm Graz D 1-170.4 1789 1721 50.23% 32.46% 17.31%+0.71 -1.6 11
2011-08-21 @ Salzburg D 1-170.4 1721 1789 17.31% 32.46% 50.23%-0.71 +1.6 6
2011-08-27 Wacker Innsbruck D 1-166.9 1588 1669 29.66% 37.07% 33.28%-0.07 +0.2 3
2011-08-27 @ Mattersburg D 1-166.9 1669 1588 33.28% 37.07% 29.66%+0.07 -0.2 7
2011-08-27 Wiener Neustadter W 5-050.9 1722 1645 51.40% 31.88% 16.72%+0.76 +21.4 9
2011-08-27 @ Sturm Graz L 0-550.9 1645 1722 16.72% 31.88% 51.40%-0.76 -21.4 7
2011-08-28 Trenkwalder Admira L 2-473.0 1787 1660 57.51% 28.47% 14.02%+1.01 -17.7 10
2011-08-28 @ Austria Wien W 4-273.0 1660 1787 14.02% 28.47% 57.51%-1.01 +17.7 11
2011-08-28 Kapfenberger W 1-054.8 1679 1604 51.06% 32.05% 16.88%+0.74 +4.9 8
2011-08-28 @ Ried L 0-154.8 1604 1679 16.88% 32.05% 51.06%-0.74 -4.9 4
2011-08-28 Rapid Wien D 0-065.7 1788 1711 51.30% 31.93% 16.77%+0.75 -1.8 12
2011-08-28 @ Salzburg D 0-065.7 1711 1788 16.77% 31.93% 51.30%-0.75 +1.8 8
2011-09-10 Mattersburg D 1-170.1 1713 1588 57.28% 28.60% 14.11%+1.00 -2.1 9
2011-09-10 @ Rapid Wien D 1-170.1 1588 1713 14.11% 28.60% 57.28%-1.00 +2.1 4
2011-09-10 Ried L 0-558.8 1669 1684 39.13% 36.33% 24.55%+0.28 -40.9 7
2011-09-10 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 5-058.8 1684 1669 24.55% 36.33% 39.13%-0.28 +40.9 11
2011-09-10 Salzburg L 1-359.0 1599 1786 18.60% 33.54% 47.87%-0.61 -8.8 4
2011-09-10 @ Kapfenberger W 3-159.0 1786 1599 47.87% 33.54% 18.60%+0.61 +8.8 15
2011-09-10 Sturm Graz W 4-267.5 1678 1744 31.80% 37.11% 31.09%+0.01 +11.7 14
2011-09-10 @ Trenkwalder Admira L 2-467.5 1744 1678 31.09% 37.11% 31.80%-0.01 -11.7 9
2011-09-11 Austria Wien D 1-168.9 1624 1769 22.18% 35.56% 42.26%-0.40 +0.9 8
2011-09-11 @ Wiener Neustadter D 1-168.9 1769 1624 42.26% 35.56% 22.18%+0.40 -0.9 11
2011-09-17 Trenkwalder Admira D 1-169.4 1725 1690 45.84% 34.36% 19.80%+0.54 -1.2 12
2011-09-17 @ Ried D 1-169.4 1690 1725 19.80% 34.36% 45.84%-0.54 +1.2 15
2011-09-17 Kapfenberger W 5-151.5 1711 1590 56.82% 28.88% 14.30%+0.98 +12.1 12
2011-09-17 @ Rapid Wien L 1-551.5 1590 1711 14.30% 28.88% 56.82%-0.98 -12.1 4
2011-09-18 Austria Wien L 2-462.6 1590 1768 19.35% 34.07% 46.58%-0.56 -8.2 4
2011-09-18 @ Mattersburg W 4-262.6 1768 1590 46.58% 34.07% 19.35%+0.56 +8.2 14
2011-09-18 Wacker Innsbruck D 1-170.3 1732 1628 54.73% 30.10% 15.17%+0.89 -1.9 10
2011-09-18 @ Sturm Graz D 1-170.3 1628 1732 15.17% 30.10% 54.73%-0.89 +1.9 8
2011-09-18 Wiener Neustadter W 3-047.4 1795 1624 62.79% 25.12% 12.10%+1.24 +8.9 18
2011-09-18 @ Salzburg L 0-347.4 1624 1795 12.10% 25.12% 62.79%-1.24 -8.9 8
2011-09-24 Mattersburg W 1-055.5 1578 1582 40.51% 36.02% 23.47%+0.33 +6.6 7
2011-09-24 @ Kapfenberger L 0-155.5 1582 1578 23.47% 36.02% 40.51%-0.33 -6.6 4
2011-09-24 Rapid Wien L 0-355.3 1630 1723 28.14% 36.95% 34.91%-0.13 -20.5 8
2011-09-24 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-055.3 1723 1630 34.91% 36.95% 28.14%+0.13 +20.5 15
2011-09-24 Ried D 2-273.6 1616 1723 26.25% 36.70% 37.05%-0.20 +0.4 9
2011-09-24 @ Wiener Neustadter D 2-273.6 1723 1616 37.05% 36.70% 26.25%+0.20 -0.3 13
2011-09-24 Sturm Graz W 2-163.2 1776 1730 47.27% 33.79% 18.94%+0.59 +5.2 17
2011-09-24 @ Austria Wien L 1-263.2 1730 1776 18.94% 33.79% 47.27%-0.59 -5.2 10
2011-09-25 Salzburg W 2-169.6 1691 1804 25.63% 36.58% 37.79%-0.23 +8.5 18
2011-09-25 @ Trenkwalder Admira L 1-269.6 1804 1691 37.79% 36.58% 25.63%+0.23 -8.5 18
2011-10-01 Kapfenberger W 3-157.2 1610 1585 44.53% 34.83% 20.63%+0.48 +9.7 11
2011-10-01 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-357.2 1585 1610 20.63% 34.83% 44.53%-0.48 -9.7 7
2011-10-01 Mattersburg L 1-268.1 1616 1576 46.53% 34.09% 19.38%+0.56 -9.9 9
2011-10-01 @ Wiener Neustadter W 2-168.1 1576 1616 19.38% 34.09% 46.53%-0.56 +9.9 7
2011-10-01 Rapid Wien W 4-373.6 1699 1743 34.94% 36.95% 28.11%+0.13 +6.5 21
2011-10-01 @ Trenkwalder Admira L 3-473.6 1743 1699 28.11% 36.95% 34.94%-0.13 -6.5 15
2011-10-02 Ried W 1-059.2 1725 1723 41.41% 35.79% 22.80%+0.37 +6.4 13
2011-10-02 @ Sturm Graz L 0-159.2 1723 1725 22.80% 35.79% 41.41%-0.37 -6.4 13
2011-10-02 Salzburg W 3-270.4 1781 1795 39.19% 36.32% 24.50%+0.28 +6.1 20
2011-10-02 @ Austria Wien L 2-370.4 1795 1781 24.50% 36.32% 39.19%-0.28 -6.1 18
2011-10-15 Trenkwalder Admira D 0-062.8 1575 1706 23.64% 36.07% 40.29%-0.32 +0.8 8
2011-10-15 @ Kapfenberger D 0-062.8 1706 1575 40.29% 36.07% 23.64%+0.32 -0.8 22
2011-10-15 Austria Wien W 2-168.0 1717 1787 31.11% 37.11% 31.78%-0.01 +7.6 16
2011-10-15 @ Ried L 1-268.0 1787 1717 31.78% 37.11% 31.11%+0.01 -7.6 20
2011-10-15 Wacker Innsbruck D 1-172.1 1789 1619 62.71% 25.17% 12.12%+1.23 -2.5 19
2011-10-15 @ Salzburg D 1-172.1 1619 1789 12.12% 25.17% 62.71%-1.23 +2.5 12
2011-10-15 Wiener Neustadter D 1-170.7 1737 1606 58.05% 28.14% 13.81%+1.03 -2.1 16
2011-10-15 @ Rapid Wien D 1-170.7 1606 1737 13.81% 28.14% 58.05%-1.03 +2.2 10
2011-10-16 Sturm Graz D 3-377.2 1586 1732 22.12% 35.53% 42.35%-0.40 +0.6 8
2011-10-16 @ Mattersburg D 3-377.2 1732 1586 42.35% 35.53% 22.12%+0.40 -0.6 14
2011-10-22 Kapfenberger W 2-051.2 1608 1576 45.51% 34.48% 20.01%+0.52 +10.9 13
2011-10-22 @ Wiener Neustadter L 0-251.2 1576 1608 20.01% 34.48% 45.51%-0.52 -10.9 8
2011-10-22 Mattersburg W 2-049.5 1724 1586 58.93% 27.59% 13.48%+1.07 +7.1 19
2011-10-22 @ Ried L 0-249.5 1586 1724 13.48% 27.59% 58.93%-1.07 -7.1 8
2011-10-22 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-265.2 1705 1622 52.11% 31.52% 16.37%+0.78 +4.2 25
2011-10-22 @ Trenkwalder Admira L 2-365.2 1622 1705 16.37% 31.52% 52.11%-0.78 -4.2 12
2011-10-23 Rapid Wien D 1-170.0 1780 1735 47.17% 33.83% 19.00%+0.59 -1.3 21
2011-10-23 @ Austria Wien D 1-170.0 1735 1780 19.00% 33.83% 47.17%-0.59 +1.3 17
2011-10-23 Salzburg W 2-167.4 1731 1787 33.28% 37.07% 29.65%+0.07 +7.3 17
2011-10-23 @ Sturm Graz L 1-267.4 1787 1731 29.65% 37.07% 33.28%-0.07 -7.3 19
2011-10-29 Trenkwalder Admira D 0-062.9 1579 1709 23.72% 36.10% 40.18%-0.32 +0.8 9
2011-10-29 @ Mattersburg D 0-062.9 1709 1579 40.18% 36.10% 23.72%+0.32 -0.8 26
2011-10-29 Ried D 1-170.1 1779 1731 47.57% 33.66% 18.76%+0.60 -1.3 20
2011-10-29 @ Salzburg D 1-170.1 1731 1779 18.76% 33.66% 47.57%-0.60 +1.3 20
2011-10-29 Sturm Graz W 3-269.7 1736 1738 40.79% 35.95% 23.26%+0.34 +5.8 20
2011-10-29 @ Rapid Wien L 2-369.7 1738 1736 23.26% 35.95% 40.79%-0.34 -5.8 17
2011-10-29 Wiener Neustadter W 2-053.7 1618 1619 40.91% 35.92% 23.17%+0.35 +12.3 15
2011-10-29 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-253.7 1619 1618 23.17% 35.92% 40.91%-0.35 -12.3 13
2011-10-30 Austria Wien D 2-275.1 1565 1778 16.77% 31.94% 51.29%-0.75 +1.2 9
2011-10-30 @ Kapfenberger D 2-275.1 1778 1565 51.29% 31.94% 16.77%+0.75 -1.2 22
2011-11-05 Trenkwalder Admira D 0-063.0 1607 1708 27.00% 36.81% 36.19%-0.17 +0.4 14
2011-11-05 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-063.0 1708 1607 36.19% 36.81% 27.00%+0.17 -0.5 27
2011-11-05 Rapid Wien D 1-169.2 1733 1742 39.84% 36.18% 23.99%+0.31 -0.7 21
2011-11-05 @ Ried D 1-169.2 1742 1733 23.99% 36.18% 39.84%-0.31 +0.7 21
2011-11-06 Kapfenberger W 1-051.6 1732 1566 62.33% 25.42% 12.25%+1.22 +3.3 20
2011-11-06 @ Sturm Graz L 0-151.6 1566 1732 12.25% 25.42% 62.33%-1.22 -3.3 9
2011-11-06 Salzburg W 3-060.5 1580 1778 17.81% 32.90% 49.29%-0.67 +29.9 12
2011-11-06 @ Mattersburg L 0-360.5 1778 1580 49.29% 32.90% 17.81%+0.67 -29.9 20
2011-11-06 Wacker Innsbruck D 2-277.1 1777 1630 60.05% 26.89% 13.06%+1.12 -1.7 23
2011-11-06 @ Austria Wien D 2-277.1 1630 1777 13.06% 26.89% 60.05%-1.12 +1.7 16
2011-11-19 Austria Wien L 0-357.2 1708 1775 31.58% 37.11% 31.31%+0.00 -22.1 27
2011-11-19 @ Trenkwalder Admira W 3-057.2 1775 1708 31.31% 37.11% 31.58%+0.00 +22.1 26
2011-11-19 Mattersburg D 1-167.3 1632 1610 44.08% 34.99% 20.93%+0.47 -1.1 17
2011-11-19 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-167.3 1610 1632 20.93% 34.99% 44.08%-0.47 +1.1 13
2011-11-19 Ried L 1-358.8 1563 1732 20.02% 34.49% 45.49%-0.52 -9.4 9
2011-11-19 @ Kapfenberger W 3-158.8 1732 1563 45.49% 34.49% 20.02%+0.52 +9.4 24
2011-11-19 Sturm Graz W 3-165.8 1607 1736 23.89% 36.15% 39.96%-0.31 +15.4 17
2011-11-19 @ Wiener Neustadter L 1-365.8 1736 1607 39.96% 36.15% 23.89%+0.31 -15.4 20
2011-11-20 Salzburg W 4-265.3 1743 1748 40.34% 36.06% 23.60%+0.33 +9.6 24
2011-11-20 @ Rapid Wien L 2-465.3 1748 1743 23.60% 36.06% 40.34%-0.33 -9.6 20
2011-11-26 Kapfenberger W 6-046.9 1738 1553 64.51% 23.97% 11.52%+1.31 +15.9 23
2011-11-26 @ Salzburg L 0-646.9 1553 1738 11.52% 23.97% 64.51%-1.31 -15.9 9
2011-11-26 Rapid Wien L 1-264.0 1611 1752 22.57% 35.71% 41.72%-0.38 -6.0 13
2011-11-26 @ Mattersburg W 2-164.0 1752 1611 41.72% 35.71% 22.57%+0.38 +6.0 27
2011-11-26 Wacker Innsbruck W 1-054.4 1741 1631 55.58% 29.61% 14.81%+0.93 +4.2 27
2011-11-26 @ Ried L 0-154.4 1631 1741 14.81% 29.61% 55.58%-0.93 -4.2 17
2011-11-26 Wiener Neustadter D 2-277.8 1798 1623 63.32% 24.76% 11.91%+1.26 -1.9 27
2011-11-26 @ Austria Wien D 2-277.8 1623 1798 11.91% 24.76% 63.32%-1.26 +1.9 18
2011-11-27 Trenkwalder Admira W 3-159.7 1720 1686 45.78% 34.38% 19.84%+0.53 +9.3 23
2011-11-27 @ Sturm Graz L 1-359.7 1686 1720 19.84% 34.38% 45.78%-0.53 -9.4 27
2011-12-03 Mattersburg D 0-067.8 1796 1605 65.16% 23.53% 11.30%+1.34 -2.9 28
2011-12-03 @ Austria Wien D 0-067.8 1605 1796 11.30% 23.53% 65.16%-1.34 +2.9 14
2011-12-03 Rapid Wien D 0-064.4 1537 1758 16.32% 31.47% 52.21%-0.79 +1.9 10
2011-12-03 @ Kapfenberger D 0-064.4 1758 1537 52.21% 31.47% 16.32%+0.79 -1.9 28
2011-12-03 Ried D 1-168.6 1677 1746 31.36% 37.11% 31.53%+0.00 +0.0 28
2011-12-03 @ Trenkwalder Admira D 1-168.6 1746 1677 31.53% 37.11% 31.36%+0.00 -0.0 28
2011-12-04 Salzburg D 0-063.9 1624 1754 23.75% 36.11% 40.14%-0.32 +0.8 19
2011-12-04 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-063.9 1754 1624 40.14% 36.11% 23.75%+0.32 -0.8 24
2011-12-04 Sturm Graz W 1-062.9 1626 1730 26.78% 36.78% 36.44%-0.18 +8.8 20
2011-12-04 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-162.9 1730 1626 36.44% 36.78% 26.78%+0.18 -8.8 23
2011-12-10 Austria Wien W 5-160.7 1721 1793 30.96% 37.11% 31.94%-0.02 +24.2 26
2011-12-10 @ Sturm Graz L 1-560.7 1793 1721 31.94% 37.11% 30.96%+0.02 -24.2 28
2011-12-10 Kapfenberger W 2-048.9 1608 1539 50.22% 32.46% 17.31%+0.71 +9.5 17
2011-12-10 @ Mattersburg L 0-248.9 1539 1608 17.31% 32.46% 50.22%-0.71 -9.5 10
2011-12-10 Wacker Innsbruck D 0-066.1 1756 1635 56.86% 28.86% 14.28%+0.98 -2.3 29
2011-12-10 @ Rapid Wien D 0-066.1 1635 1756 14.28% 28.86% 56.86%-0.98 +2.3 21
2011-12-10 Wiener Neustadter W 2-050.7 1746 1625 56.76% 28.92% 14.32%+0.98 +7.7 31
2011-12-10 @ Ried L 0-250.7 1625 1746 14.32% 28.92% 56.76%-0.98 -7.6 19
2011-12-11 Trenkwalder Admira W 2-161.6 1754 1677 51.32% 31.92% 16.75%+0.75 +4.6 27
2011-12-11 @ Salzburg L 1-261.6 1677 1754 16.75% 31.92% 51.32%-0.75 -4.6 28
2011-12-17 Trenkwalder Admira W 2-161.4 1754 1672 51.96% 31.60% 16.44%+0.78 +4.5 32
2011-12-17 @ Rapid Wien L 1-261.4 1672 1754 16.44% 31.60% 51.96%-0.78 -4.5 28
2011-12-17 Sturm Graz D 1-169.5 1753 1745 42.22% 35.57% 22.21%+0.40 -0.9 32
2011-12-17 @ Ried D 1-169.5 1745 1753 22.21% 35.57% 42.22%-0.40 +0.9 27
2011-12-17 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-156.7 1530 1638 26.27% 36.70% 37.04%-0.20 -7.1 10
2011-12-17 @ Kapfenberger W 1-056.7 1638 1530 37.04% 36.70% 26.27%+0.20 +7.1 24
2011-12-17 Wiener Neustadter L 0-162.4 1617 1618 41.05% 35.88% 23.06%+0.35 -9.6 17
2011-12-17 @ Mattersburg W 1-062.4 1618 1617 23.06% 35.88% 41.05%-0.35 +9.6 22
2011-12-18 Austria Wien W 3-054.8 1758 1769 39.67% 36.21% 24.12%+0.30 +18.4 30
2011-12-18 @ Salzburg L 0-354.8 1769 1758 24.12% 36.21% 39.67%-0.30 -18.4 28
2012-02-11 Mattersburg W 1-053.3 1746 1608 58.97% 27.57% 13.46%+1.07 +3.8 30
2012-02-11 @ Sturm Graz L 0-153.3 1608 1746 13.46% 27.57% 58.97%-1.07 -3.8 17
2012-02-11 Ried W 2-056.2 1750 1752 40.81% 35.94% 23.24%+0.34 +12.3 31
2012-02-11 @ Austria Wien L 0-256.2 1752 1750 23.24% 35.94% 40.81%-0.34 -12.3 32
2012-02-12 Rapid Wien D 0-063.9 1627 1758 23.61% 36.06% 40.33%-0.33 +0.8 23
2012-02-12 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-063.9 1758 1627 40.33% 36.06% 23.61%+0.33 -0.8 33
2012-02-18 Trenkwalder Admira W 2-164.6 1645 1667 37.94% 36.55% 25.51%+0.24 +6.6 27
2012-02-18 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-264.6 1667 1645 25.51% 36.55% 37.94%-0.24 -6.6 28
2012-02-18 Austria Wien D 0-064.6 1758 1762 40.44% 36.04% 23.52%+0.33 -0.8 34
2012-02-18 @ Rapid Wien D 0-064.6 1762 1758 23.52% 36.04% 40.44%-0.33 +0.8 32
2012-02-18 Ried W 4-163.4 1604 1740 23.10% 35.90% 41.00%-0.35 +22.1 20
2012-02-18 @ Mattersburg L 1-463.4 1740 1604 41.00% 35.90% 23.10%+0.35 -22.1 32
2012-02-19 Sturm Graz D 0-065.0 1776 1750 44.74% 34.76% 20.50%+0.49 -1.2 31
2012-02-19 @ Salzburg D 0-065.0 1750 1776 20.50% 34.76% 44.74%-0.49 +1.2 31
2012-02-25 Kapfenberger L 0-167.3 1763 1523 70.66% 19.79% 9.56%+1.60 -13.8 32
2012-02-25 @ Austria Wien W 1-067.3 1523 1763 9.56% 19.79% 70.66%-1.60 +13.8 13
2012-02-25 Mattersburg L 0-164.2 1661 1626 45.83% 34.36% 19.81%+0.53 -10.4 28
2012-02-25 @ Trenkwalder Admira W 1-064.2 1626 1661 19.81% 34.36% 45.83%-0.53 +10.4 23
2012-02-25 Rapid Wien D 0-064.5 1751 1757 40.31% 36.07% 23.62%+0.32 -0.8 32
2012-02-25 @ Sturm Graz D 0-064.5 1757 1751 23.62% 36.07% 40.31%-0.32 +0.8 35
2012-02-25 Wacker Innsbruck D 0-062.6 1628 1651 37.89% 36.56% 25.55%+0.23 -0.6 24
2012-02-25 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-062.6 1651 1628 25.55% 36.56% 37.89%-0.23 +0.6 28
2012-02-26 Salzburg L 0-162.8 1718 1775 33.03% 37.08% 29.89%+0.06 -8.3 32
2012-02-26 @ Ried W 1-062.8 1775 1718 29.89% 37.08% 33.03%-0.06 +8.3 34
2012-03-03 Austria Wien L 0-160.6 1652 1750 27.49% 36.88% 35.63%-0.15 -7.4 28
2012-03-03 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 1-060.6 1750 1652 35.63% 36.88% 27.49%+0.15 +7.4 35
2012-03-03 Mattersburg L 0-167.5 1784 1636 60.03% 26.90% 13.07%+1.12 -12.5 34
2012-03-03 @ Salzburg W 1-067.5 1636 1784 13.07% 26.90% 60.03%-1.12 +12.5 26
2012-03-03 Ried W 1-057.4 1758 1710 47.57% 33.66% 18.77%+0.60 +5.4 38
2012-03-03 @ Rapid Wien L 0-157.4 1710 1758 18.77% 33.66% 47.57%-0.60 -5.4 32
2012-03-03 Wiener Neustadter W 2-053.4 1651 1627 44.25% 34.93% 20.82%+0.47 +11.2 31
2012-03-03 @ Trenkwalder Admira L 0-253.4 1627 1651 20.82% 34.93% 44.25%-0.47 -11.2 24
2012-03-04 Sturm Graz D 0-064.1 1536 1750 16.77% 31.93% 51.30%-0.75 +1.8 14
2012-03-04 @ Kapfenberger D 0-064.1 1750 1536 51.30% 31.93% 16.77%+0.75 -1.8 33
2012-03-07 Kapfenberger W 3-153.6 1662 1538 57.15% 28.68% 14.17%+0.99 +6.5 34
2012-03-07 @ Trenkwalder Admira L 1-353.6 1538 1662 14.17% 28.68% 57.15%-0.99 -6.5 14
2012-03-07 Salzburg D 1-168.9 1644 1771 24.10% 36.21% 39.69%-0.30 +0.7 29
2012-03-07 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-168.9 1771 1644 39.69% 36.21% 24.10%+0.30 -0.7 35
2012-03-10 Kapfenberger W 3-045.3 1704 1532 63.02% 24.96% 12.02%+1.25 +8.8 35
2012-03-10 @ Ried L 0-345.3 1532 1704 12.02% 24.96% 63.02%-1.25 -8.8 14
2012-03-10 Rapid Wien W 3-161.4 1770 1763 42.11% 35.60% 22.29%+0.39 +10.3 38
2012-03-10 @ Salzburg L 1-361.4 1763 1770 22.29% 35.60% 42.11%-0.39 -10.3 38
2012-03-10 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-163.5 1649 1645 41.62% 35.73% 22.65%+0.37 -9.7 26
2012-03-10 @ Mattersburg W 1-063.5 1645 1649 22.65% 35.73% 41.62%-0.37 +9.7 32
2012-03-10 Wiener Neustadter L 0-166.9 1748 1616 58.21% 28.04% 13.75%+1.04 -12.2 33
2012-03-10 @ Sturm Graz W 1-066.9 1616 1748 13.75% 28.04% 58.21%-1.04 +12.2 27
2012-03-11 Trenkwalder Admira W 2-161.2 1757 1668 52.80% 31.16% 16.04%+0.81 +4.4 38
2012-03-11 @ Austria Wien L 1-261.2 1668 1757 16.04% 31.16% 52.80%-0.81 -4.4 34
2012-03-14 Wiener Neustadter W 1-059.4 1523 1628 26.53% 36.74% 36.73%-0.19 +8.9 17
2012-03-14 @ Kapfenberger L 0-159.4 1628 1523 36.73% 36.74% 26.53%+0.19 -8.9 27
2012-03-17 Austria Wien D 0-064.0 1620 1761 22.53% 35.69% 41.78%-0.38 +1.0 28
2012-03-17 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-064.0 1761 1620 41.78% 35.69% 22.53%+0.38 -1.0 39
2012-03-17 Mattersburg D 1-170.8 1753 1639 55.93% 29.41% 14.66%+0.94 -2.0 39
2012-03-17 @ Rapid Wien D 1-170.8 1639 1753 14.66% 29.41% 55.93%-0.94 +2.0 27
2012-03-17 Ried D 0-063.5 1655 1713 32.93% 37.08% 29.99%+0.05 -0.1 33
2012-03-17 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 0-063.5 1713 1655 29.99% 37.08% 32.93%-0.05 +0.1 36
2012-03-17 Salzburg L 0-153.8 1532 1781 14.75% 29.52% 55.73%-0.93 -4.2 17
2012-03-17 @ Kapfenberger W 1-053.8 1781 1532 55.73% 29.52% 14.75%+0.93 +4.2 41
2012-03-18 Sturm Graz W 2-058.7 1664 1736 30.91% 37.11% 31.98%-0.02 +15.3 37
2012-03-18 @ Trenkwalder Admira L 0-258.7 1736 1664 31.98% 37.11% 30.91%+0.02 -15.3 33
2012-03-20 Austria Wien W 2-060.5 1641 1760 24.93% 36.42% 38.65%-0.26 +17.4 30
2012-03-20 @ Mattersburg L 0-260.5 1760 1641 38.65% 36.42% 24.93%+0.26 -17.4 39
2012-03-21 Trenkwalder Admira W 2-163.1 1713 1679 45.68% 34.42% 19.90%+0.53 +5.4 39
2012-03-21 @ Ried L 1-263.1 1679 1713 19.90% 34.42% 45.68%-0.53 -5.4 37
2012-03-21 Kapfenberger W 3-044.3 1751 1528 68.77% 21.08% 10.14%+1.51 +6.9 42
2012-03-21 @ Rapid Wien L 0-344.3 1528 1751 10.14% 21.08% 68.77%-1.51 -6.9 17
2012-03-21 Wacker Innsbruck W 1-056.2 1721 1655 49.92% 32.61% 17.47%+0.70 +5.1 36
2012-03-21 @ Sturm Graz L 0-156.2 1655 1721 17.47% 32.61% 49.92%-0.70 -5.1 33
2012-03-21 Wiener Neustadter W 2-158.2 1785 1621 62.09% 25.58% 12.34%+1.21 +3.1 44
2012-03-21 @ Salzburg L 1-258.2 1621 1785 12.34% 25.58% 62.09%-1.21 -3.1 28
2012-03-24 Mattersburg D 1-165.7 1521 1659 22.92% 35.84% 41.24%-0.36 +0.8 18
2012-03-24 @ Kapfenberger D 1-165.7 1659 1521 41.24% 35.84% 22.92%+0.36 -0.8 31
2012-03-24 Ried D 1-168.1 1617 1718 27.06% 36.82% 36.12%-0.17 +0.4 29
2012-03-24 @ Wiener Neustadter D 1-168.1 1718 1617 36.12% 36.82% 27.06%+0.17 -0.4 40
2012-03-24 Salzburg D 2-274.5 1674 1788 25.49% 36.55% 37.96%-0.24 +0.4 38
2012-03-24 @ Trenkwalder Admira D 2-274.5 1788 1674 37.96% 36.55% 25.49%+0.24 -0.4 45
2012-03-24 Sturm Graz D 1-169.5 1743 1726 43.44% 35.20% 21.36%+0.44 -1.0 40
2012-03-24 @ Austria Wien D 1-169.5 1726 1743 21.36% 35.20% 43.44%-0.44 +1.0 37
2012-03-25 Rapid Wien W 2-169.0 1650 1758 26.22% 36.69% 37.09%-0.21 +8.4 36
2012-03-25 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-269.0 1758 1650 37.09% 36.69% 26.22%+0.21 -8.4 42
2012-03-31 Kapfenberger W 2-047.2 1658 1522 58.75% 27.71% 13.55%+1.06 +7.1 39
2012-03-31 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-247.2 1522 1658 13.55% 27.71% 58.75%-1.06 -7.1 18
2012-03-31 Mattersburg D 0-062.5 1618 1658 35.52% 36.89% 27.59%+0.15 -0.4 30
2012-03-31 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-062.5 1658 1618 27.59% 36.89% 35.52%-0.15 +0.4 32
2012-03-31 Rapid Wien L 0-456.4 1674 1749 30.52% 37.10% 32.38%-0.03 -28.2 38
2012-03-31 @ Trenkwalder Admira W 4-056.4 1749 1674 32.38% 37.10% 30.52%+0.03 +28.2 45
2012-03-31 Ried D 0-064.4 1727 1718 42.31% 35.54% 22.15%+0.40 -1.0 38
2012-03-31 @ Sturm Graz D 0-064.4 1718 1727 22.15% 35.54% 42.31%-0.40 +1.0 41
2012-04-01 Salzburg D 1-169.1 1742 1788 34.70% 36.97% 28.33%+0.12 -0.3 41
2012-04-01 @ Austria Wien D 1-169.1 1788 1742 28.33% 36.97% 34.70%-0.12 +0.3 46
2012-04-07 Trenkwalder Admira L 2-365.7 1514 1646 23.56% 36.05% 40.39%-0.33 -5.9 18
2012-04-07 @ Kapfenberger W 3-265.7 1646 1514 40.39% 36.05% 23.56%+0.33 +5.9 41
2012-04-07 Austria Wien L 0-164.0 1719 1742 37.97% 36.55% 25.48%+0.24 -9.1 41
2012-04-07 @ Ried W 1-064.0 1742 1719 25.48% 36.55% 37.97%-0.24 +9.1 44
2012-04-07 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-051.1 1788 1665 57.06% 28.74% 14.20%+0.99 +7.6 49
2012-04-07 @ Salzburg L 0-251.1 1665 1788 14.20% 28.74% 57.06%-0.99 -7.6 39
2012-04-07 Wiener Neustadter W 2-158.3 1777 1617 61.58% 25.91% 12.52%+1.18 +3.2 48
2012-04-07 @ Rapid Wien L 1-258.3 1617 1777 12.52% 25.91% 61.58%-1.18 -3.2 30
2012-04-08 Sturm Graz L 0-258.4 1658 1726 31.55% 37.11% 31.34%+0.00 -15.2 32
2012-04-08 @ Mattersburg W 2-058.4 1726 1658 31.34% 37.11% 31.55%+0.00 +15.2 41
2012-04-14 Kapfenberger D 0-061.1 1614 1509 54.95% 29.97% 15.08%+0.90 -2.2 31
2012-04-14 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-061.1 1509 1614 15.08% 29.97% 54.95%-0.90 +2.2 19
2012-04-14 Mattersburg W 2-052.6 1710 1643 50.05% 32.55% 17.40%+0.70 +9.5 44
2012-04-14 @ Ried L 0-252.6 1643 1710 17.40% 32.55% 50.05%-0.70 -9.5 32
2012-04-14 Salzburg D 2-274.6 1741 1795 33.45% 37.06% 29.49%+0.07 -0.1 42
2012-04-14 @ Sturm Graz D 2-274.6 1795 1741 29.49% 37.06% 33.45%-0.07 +0.1 50
2012-04-14 Wacker Innsbruck D 1-168.0 1652 1658 40.32% 36.06% 23.61%+0.32 -0.7 42
2012-04-14 @ Trenkwalder Admira D 1-168.0 1658 1652 23.61% 36.06% 40.32%-0.32 +0.7 40
2012-04-15 Rapid Wien D 0-064.4 1751 1781 36.94% 36.71% 26.35%+0.20 -0.5 45
2012-04-15 @ Austria Wien D 0-064.4 1781 1751 26.35% 36.71% 36.94%-0.20 +0.5 49
2012-04-21 Trenkwalder Admira L 1-268.2 1633 1651 38.64% 36.43% 24.94%+0.26 -8.7 32
2012-04-21 @ Mattersburg W 2-168.2 1651 1633 24.94% 36.43% 38.64%-0.26 +8.7 45
2012-04-21 Austria Wien W 1-065.2 1511 1750 15.24% 30.18% 54.58%-0.89 +11.7 22
2012-04-21 @ Kapfenberger L 0-165.2 1750 1511 54.58% 30.18% 15.24%+0.89 -11.7 45
2012-04-21 Ried W 2-053.1 1796 1720 51.21% 31.98% 16.81%+0.75 +9.2 53
2012-04-21 @ Salzburg L 0-253.1 1720 1796 16.81% 31.98% 51.21%-0.75 -9.2 44
2012-04-21 Wiener Neustadter W 2-052.4 1658 1612 47.35% 33.76% 18.90%+0.59 +10.3 43
2012-04-21 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-252.4 1612 1658 18.90% 33.76% 47.35%-0.59 -10.3 31
2012-04-22 Sturm Graz D 1-170.0 1781 1741 46.55% 34.08% 19.37%+0.56 -1.3 50
2012-04-22 @ Rapid Wien D 1-170.0 1741 1781 19.37% 34.08% 46.55%-0.56 +1.3 43
2012-04-28 Trenkwalder Admira L 1-460.3 1602 1660 32.92% 37.08% 30.00%+0.05 -19.1 31
2012-04-28 @ Wiener Neustadter W 4-160.3 1660 1602 30.00% 37.08% 32.92%-0.05 +19.1 48
2012-04-28 Kapfenberger W 2-154.8 1742 1522 68.41% 21.33% 10.26%+1.49 +2.4 46
2012-04-28 @ Sturm Graz L 1-254.8 1522 1742 10.26% 21.33% 68.41%-1.49 -2.4 22
2012-04-28 Salzburg L 0-157.4 1625 1805 19.14% 33.93% 46.94%-0.58 -5.5 32
2012-04-28 @ Mattersburg W 1-057.4 1805 1625 46.94% 33.93% 19.14%+0.58 +5.5 56
2012-04-28 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-051.1 1739 1669 50.41% 32.37% 17.22%+0.72 +13.7 48
2012-04-28 @ Austria Wien L 0-351.1 1669 1739 17.22% 32.37% 50.41%-0.72 -13.7 43
2012-04-29 Rapid Wien L 2-372.5 1710 1780 31.28% 37.11% 31.61%-0.01 -7.2 44
2012-04-29 @ Ried W 3-272.5 1780 1710 31.61% 37.11% 31.28%+0.01 +7.2 53
2012-05-05 Austria Wien W 3-272.5 1679 1752 30.76% 37.10% 32.14%-0.02 +7.3 51
2012-05-05 @ Trenkwalder Admira L 2-372.5 1752 1679 32.14% 37.10% 30.76%+0.02 -7.3 48
2012-05-05 Mattersburg L 3-666.9 1655 1619 45.96% 34.31% 19.73%+0.54 -19.2 43
2012-05-05 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 6-366.9 1619 1655 19.73% 34.31% 45.96%-0.54 +19.2 35
2012-05-05 Ried D 0-062.5 1520 1703 18.90% 33.76% 47.35%-0.59 +1.5 23
2012-05-05 @ Kapfenberger D 0-062.5 1703 1520 47.35% 33.76% 18.90%+0.59 -1.5 45
2012-05-05 Sturm Graz D 0-063.8 1583 1745 20.64% 34.84% 44.53%-0.48 +1.2 32
2012-05-05 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-063.8 1745 1583 44.53% 34.84% 20.64%+0.48 -1.2 47
2012-05-06 Salzburg L 0-164.4 1787 1810 37.88% 36.56% 25.56%+0.23 -9.1 53
2012-05-06 @ Rapid Wien W 1-064.4 1810 1787 25.56% 36.56% 37.88%-0.23 +9.1 59
2012-05-10 Trenkwalder Admira L 0-360.9 1743 1686 48.75% 33.15% 18.10%+0.65 -29.6 47
2012-05-10 @ Sturm Graz W 3-060.9 1686 1743 18.10% 33.15% 48.75%-0.65 +29.7 54
2012-05-10 Kapfenberger W 2-044.6 1819 1521 76.41% 15.82% 7.77%+1.90 +3.3 62
2012-05-10 @ Salzburg L 0-244.6 1521 1819 7.77% 15.82% 76.41%-1.90 -3.3 23
2012-05-10 Rapid Wien L 0-159.0 1638 1778 22.74% 35.77% 41.49%-0.37 -6.4 35
2012-05-10 @ Mattersburg W 1-059.0 1778 1638 41.49% 35.77% 22.74%+0.37 +6.4 56
2012-05-10 Wacker Innsbruck D 1-169.3 1702 1636 49.90% 32.62% 17.48%+0.70 -1.5 46
2012-05-10 @ Ried D 1-169.3 1636 1702 17.48% 32.62% 49.90%-0.70 +1.5 44
2012-05-10 Wiener Neustadter W 3-154.3 1745 1584 61.70% 25.83% 12.47%+1.19 +5.5 51
2012-05-10 @ Austria Wien L 1-354.3 1584 1745 12.47% 25.83% 61.70%-1.19 -5.5 32
2012-05-13 Mattersburg W 1-054.2 1750 1632 56.54% 29.04% 14.41%+0.97 +4.1 54
2012-05-13 @ Austria Wien L 0-154.2 1632 1750 14.41% 29.04% 56.54%-0.97 -4.1 35
2012-05-13 Rapid Wien L 0-249.7 1518 1784 13.88% 28.24% 57.88%-1.02 -7.4 23
2012-05-13 @ Kapfenberger W 2-049.7 1784 1518 57.88% 28.24% 13.88%+1.02 +7.3 59
2012-05-13 Ried D 1-169.2 1716 1700 43.26% 35.25% 21.48%+0.44 -1.0 55
2012-05-13 @ Trenkwalder Admira D 1-169.2 1700 1716 21.48% 35.25% 43.26%-0.44 +1.0 47
2012-05-13 Salzburg L 1-552.9 1578 1823 14.98% 29.84% 55.19%-0.91 -12.8 32
2012-05-13 @ Wiener Neustadter W 5-152.9 1823 1578 55.19% 29.84% 14.98%+0.91 +12.8 65
2012-05-13 Sturm Graz D 1-168.1 1637 1714 30.32% 37.09% 32.59%-0.04 +0.1 45
2012-05-13 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-168.1 1714 1637 32.59% 37.09% 30.32%+0.04 -0.1 48
2012-05-17 Trenkwalder Admira W 2-051.6 1835 1715 56.79% 28.90% 14.31%+0.98 +7.6 68
2012-05-17 @ Salzburg L 0-251.6 1715 1835 14.31% 28.90% 56.79%-0.98 -7.6 55
2012-05-17 Austria Wien W 3-163.2 1714 1755 35.38% 36.91% 27.71%+0.14 +12.1 51
2012-05-17 @ Sturm Graz L 1-363.2 1755 1714 27.71% 36.91% 35.38%-0.14 -12.1 54
2012-05-17 Kapfenberger W 2-046.8 1628 1511 56.37% 29.15% 14.48%+0.96 +7.8 38
2012-05-17 @ Mattersburg L 0-246.8 1511 1628 14.48% 29.15% 56.37%-0.96 -7.8 23
2012-05-17 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-049.9 1792 1637 60.90% 26.35% 12.76%+1.15 +6.6 62
2012-05-17 @ Rapid Wien L 0-249.9 1637 1792 12.76% 26.35% 60.90%-1.15 -6.6 45
2012-05-17 Wiener Neustadter D 2-275.3 1701 1566 58.64% 27.77% 13.59%+1.06 -1.6 48
2012-05-17 @ Ried D 2-275.3 1566 1701 13.59% 27.77% 58.64%-1.06 +1.6 33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-02-25 9.56% Kapfenberger 1523 1 @ Austria Wien 1763 0
2 2012-03-03 13.07% Mattersburg 1636 1 @ Salzburg 1784 0
3 2012-03-10 13.75% Wiener Neustadter 1616 1 @ Sturm Graz 1748 0
4 2011-08-28 14.02% Trenkwalder Admira 1660 4 @ Austria Wien 1787 2
5 2012-04-21 15.24% @ Kapfenberger 1511 1 Austria Wien 1750 0
6 2011-11-06 17.81% @ Mattersburg 1580 3 Salzburg 1778 0
7 2012-05-10 18.10% Trenkwalder Admira 1686 3 @ Sturm Graz 1743 0
8 2011-10-01 19.38% Mattersburg 1576 2 @ Wiener Neustadter 1616 1
9 2012-05-05 19.73% Mattersburg 1619 6 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1655 3
10 2012-02-25 19.81% Mattersburg 1626 1 @ Trenkwalder Admira 1661 0
11 2012-03-10 22.65% Wacker Innsbruck 1645 1 @ Mattersburg 1649 0
12 2011-12-17 23.06% Wiener Neustadter 1618 1 @ Mattersburg 1617 0
13 2012-02-18 23.10% @ Mattersburg 1604 4 Ried 1740 1
14 2011-08-20 23.58% Wiener Neustadter 1627 2 @ Kapfenberger 1622 0
15 2011-11-19 23.89% @ Wiener Neustadter 1607 3 Sturm Graz 1736 1
16 2011-07-30 24.41% @ Kapfenberger 1616 3 Sturm Graz 1739 0
17 2011-09-10 24.55% Ried 1684 5 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1669 0
18 2012-03-20 24.93% @ Mattersburg 1641 2 Austria Wien 1760 0
19 2012-04-21 24.94% Trenkwalder Admira 1651 2 @ Mattersburg 1633 1
20 2012-04-07 25.48% Austria Wien 1742 1 @ Ried 1719 0
21 2012-05-06 25.56% Salzburg 1810 1 @ Rapid Wien 1787 0
22 2011-09-25 25.63% @ Trenkwalder Admira 1691 2 Salzburg 1804 1
23 2011-08-21 25.89% Austria Wien 1762 3 @ Rapid Wien 1736 0
24 2012-03-25 26.22% @ Wacker Innsbruck 1650 2 Rapid Wien 1758 1
25 2012-03-14 26.53% @ Kapfenberger 1523 1 Wiener Neustadter 1628 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-09-10 40.93 Ried 5 1684 24.55% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1669 39.13% 36.33%
2 2011-11-06 29.88 @ Mattersburg 3 1580 17.81% Salzburg 0 1778 49.29% 32.90%
3 2012-05-10 29.65 Trenkwalder Admira 3 1686 18.10% @ Sturm Graz 0 1743 48.75% 33.15%
4 2012-03-31 28.23 Rapid Wien 4 1749 32.38% @ Trenkwalder Admira 0 1674 30.52% 37.10%
5 2011-07-30 25.50 @ Kapfenberger 3 1616 24.41% Sturm Graz 0 1739 39.30% 36.29%
6 2011-08-21 24.69 Austria Wien 3 1762 25.89% @ Rapid Wien 0 1736 37.48% 36.63%
7 2011-12-10 24.21 @ Sturm Graz 5 1721 30.96% Austria Wien 1 1793 31.94% 37.11%
8 2012-02-18 22.14 @ Mattersburg 4 1604 23.10% Ried 1 1740 41.00% 35.90%
9 2011-11-19 22.08 Austria Wien 3 1775 31.31% @ Trenkwalder Admira 0 1708 31.58% 37.11%
10 2011-08-27 21.38 @ Sturm Graz 5 1722 51.40% Wiener Neustadter 0 1645 16.72% 31.88%
11 2011-09-24 20.49 Rapid Wien 3 1723 34.91% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1630 28.14% 36.95%
12 2011-08-13 19.38 @ Austria Wien 5 1742 54.42% Kapfenberger 0 1641 15.31% 30.27%
13 2012-05-05 19.23 Mattersburg 6 1619 19.73% @ Wacker Innsbruck 3 1655 45.96% 34.31%
14 2012-04-28 19.12 Trenkwalder Admira 4 1660 30.00% @ Wiener Neustadter 1 1602 32.92% 37.08%
15 2011-12-18 18.38 @ Salzburg 3 1758 39.67% Austria Wien 0 1769 24.12% 36.21%
16 2011-07-30 18.33 @ Trenkwalder Admira 3 1636 39.78% Wiener Neustadter 0 1646 24.03% 36.19%
17 2011-08-20 17.88 Wiener Neustadter 2 1627 23.58% @ Kapfenberger 0 1622 40.36% 36.06%
18 2011-08-28 17.72 Trenkwalder Admira 4 1660 14.02% @ Austria Wien 2 1787 57.51% 28.47%
19 2012-03-20 17.36 @ Mattersburg 2 1641 24.93% Austria Wien 0 1760 38.65% 36.42%
20 2011-11-26 15.88 @ Salzburg 6 1738 64.51% Kapfenberger 0 1553 11.52% 23.97%
21 2011-11-19 15.38 @ Wiener Neustadter 3 1607 23.89% Sturm Graz 1 1736 39.96% 36.15%
22 2012-03-18 15.32 @ Trenkwalder Admira 2 1664 30.91% Sturm Graz 0 1736 31.98% 37.11%
23 2012-04-08 15.19 Sturm Graz 2 1726 31.34% @ Mattersburg 0 1658 31.55% 37.11%
24 2011-07-23 15.16 Rapid Wien 2 1729 31.45% @ Wiener Neustadter 0 1661 31.44% 37.11%
25 2012-02-25 13.76 Kapfenberger 1 1523 9.56% @ Austria Wien 0 1763 70.66% 19.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-11-26 77.8 @ Austria Wien 2 1798 63.32% Wiener Neustadter 2 1623 11.91% 24.76%
2 2011-10-16 77.2 @ Mattersburg 3 1586 22.12% Sturm Graz 3 1732 42.35% 35.53%
3 2011-11-06 77.1 @ Austria Wien 2 1777 60.05% Wacker Innsbruck 2 1630 13.06% 26.89%
4 2011-07-23 76.5 @ Sturm Graz 2 1741 59.81% Mattersburg 2 1596 13.15% 27.04%
5 2012-05-17 75.3 @ Ried 2 1701 58.64% Wiener Neustadter 2 1566 13.59% 27.77%
6 2011-10-30 75.1 @ Kapfenberger 2 1565 16.77% Austria Wien 2 1778 51.29% 31.94%
7 2012-04-14 74.6 @ Sturm Graz 2 1741 33.45% Salzburg 2 1795 29.49% 37.06%
8 2012-03-24 74.5 @ Trenkwalder Admira 2 1674 25.49% Salzburg 2 1788 37.96% 36.55%
9 2011-08-20 73.9 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1670 42.56% Trenkwalder Admira 2 1659 21.97% 35.47%
10 2011-09-24 73.6 @ Wiener Neustadter 2 1616 26.25% Ried 2 1723 37.05% 36.70%
11 2011-10-01 73.6 @ Trenkwalder Admira 4 1699 34.94% Rapid Wien 3 1743 28.11% 36.95%
12 2011-08-28 73.0 Trenkwalder Admira 4 1660 14.02% @ Austria Wien 2 1787 57.51% 28.47%
13 2012-04-29 72.5 Rapid Wien 3 1780 31.61% @ Ried 2 1710 31.28% 37.11%
14 2012-05-05 72.5 @ Trenkwalder Admira 3 1679 30.76% Austria Wien 2 1752 32.14% 37.10%
15 2011-10-15 72.1 @ Salzburg 1 1789 62.71% Wacker Innsbruck 1 1619 12.12% 25.17%
16 2011-07-16 71.9 Wacker Innsbruck 3 1669 28.55% @ Kapfenberger 2 1622 34.46% 36.99%
17 2012-03-17 70.8 @ Rapid Wien 1 1753 55.93% Mattersburg 1 1639 14.66% 29.41%
18 2011-10-15 70.7 @ Rapid Wien 1 1737 58.05% Wiener Neustadter 1 1606 13.81% 28.14%
19 2011-08-21 70.4 @ Salzburg 1 1789 50.23% Sturm Graz 1 1721 17.31% 32.46%
20 2011-10-02 70.4 @ Austria Wien 3 1781 39.19% Salzburg 2 1795 24.50% 36.32%
21 2011-08-21 70.3 Ried 3 1672 32.59% @ Mattersburg 2 1595 30.32% 37.09%
22 2011-09-18 70.3 @ Sturm Graz 1 1732 54.73% Wacker Innsbruck 1 1628 15.17% 30.10%
23 2011-09-10 70.1 @ Rapid Wien 1 1713 57.28% Mattersburg 1 1588 14.11% 28.60%
24 2011-10-29 70.1 @ Salzburg 1 1779 47.57% Ried 1 1731 18.76% 33.66%
25 2011-10-23 70.0 @ Austria Wien 1 1780 47.17% Rapid Wien 1 1735 19.00% 33.83%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-03-21 44.3 @ Rapid Wien 3 1751 68.77% Kapfenberger 0 1528 10.14% 21.08%
2 2012-05-10 44.6 @ Salzburg 2 1819 76.41% Kapfenberger 0 1521 7.77% 15.82%
3 2012-03-10 45.3 @ Ried 3 1704 63.02% Kapfenberger 0 1532 12.02% 24.96%
4 2012-05-17 46.8 @ Mattersburg 2 1628 56.37% Kapfenberger 0 1511 14.48% 29.15%
5 2011-11-26 46.9 @ Salzburg 6 1738 64.51% Kapfenberger 0 1553 11.52% 23.97%
6 2012-03-31 47.2 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1658 58.75% Kapfenberger 0 1522 13.55% 27.71%
7 2011-09-18 47.4 @ Salzburg 3 1795 62.79% Wiener Neustadter 0 1624 12.10% 25.12%
8 2011-12-10 48.9 @ Mattersburg 2 1608 50.22% Kapfenberger 0 1539 17.31% 32.46%
9 2011-10-22 49.5 @ Ried 2 1724 58.93% Mattersburg 0 1586 13.48% 27.59%
10 2012-05-13 49.7 Rapid Wien 2 1784 57.88% @ Kapfenberger 0 1518 13.88% 28.24%
11 2012-05-17 49.9 @ Rapid Wien 2 1792 60.90% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1637 12.76% 26.35%
12 2011-08-13 50.1 @ Austria Wien 5 1742 54.42% Kapfenberger 0 1641 15.31% 30.27%
13 2011-12-10 50.7 @ Ried 2 1746 56.76% Wiener Neustadter 0 1625 14.32% 28.92%
14 2011-08-27 50.9 @ Sturm Graz 5 1722 51.40% Wiener Neustadter 0 1645 16.72% 31.88%
15 2012-04-07 51.1 @ Salzburg 2 1788 57.06% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1665 14.20% 28.74%
16 2012-04-28 51.1 @ Austria Wien 3 1739 50.41% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1669 17.22% 32.37%
17 2011-10-22 51.2 @ Wiener Neustadter 2 1608 45.51% Kapfenberger 0 1576 20.01% 34.48%
18 2011-09-17 51.5 @ Rapid Wien 5 1711 56.82% Kapfenberger 1 1590 14.30% 28.88%
19 2011-11-06 51.6 @ Sturm Graz 1 1732 62.33% Kapfenberger 0 1566 12.25% 25.42%
20 2012-05-17 51.6 @ Salzburg 2 1835 56.79% Trenkwalder Admira 0 1715 14.31% 28.90%
21 2011-07-16 52.4 @ Rapid Wien 2 1720 50.89% Trenkwalder Admira 0 1646 16.97% 32.14%
22 2012-04-21 52.4 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1658 47.35% Wiener Neustadter 0 1612 18.90% 33.76%
23 2012-04-14 52.6 @ Ried 2 1710 50.05% Mattersburg 0 1643 17.40% 32.55%
24 2012-05-13 52.9 Salzburg 5 1823 55.19% @ Wiener Neustadter 1 1578 14.98% 29.84%
25 2011-07-30 53.0 @ Trenkwalder Admira 3 1636 39.78% Wiener Neustadter 0 1646 24.03% 36.19%