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2010-11 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Sturm Graz

66 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ried

10.48 points above expected

58 points · 47.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

LASK Linz

10.79 points below expected

19 points · 29.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sturm Graz 36 19 9 8 66 66 33 +33 59.06 +6.94
2 Salzburg 36 17 12 7 63 53 31 +22 64.37 -1.37
3 Austria Wien 36 17 10 9 61 65 37 +28 63.18 -2.18
4 Ried 36 16 10 10 58 51 38 +13 47.52 +10.48
5 Rapid Wien 36 14 11 11 53 52 42 +10 61.90 -8.90
6 Wacker Innsbruck 36 13 11 12 50 43 42 +1 51.68 -1.68
7 Magna Wiener Neustadt 36 14 8 14 50 44 52 -8 45.92 +4.08
8 Kapfenberger 36 9 11 16 38 42 61 -19 36.92 +1.08
9 Mattersburg 36 7 10 19 31 29 56 -27 31.41 -0.41
10 LASK Linz 36 3 10 23 19 22 75 -53 29.79 -10.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ried 58 47.52 +10.48
2 Sturm Graz 66 59.06 +6.94
3 Magna Wiener Neustadt 50 45.92 +4.08
4 Kapfenberger 38 36.92 +1.08
5 Mattersburg 31 31.41 -0.41

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 LASK Linz 19 29.79 -10.79
2 Rapid Wien 53 61.90 -8.90
3 Austria Wien 61 63.18 -2.18
4 Wacker Innsbruck 50 51.68 -1.68
5 Salzburg 63 64.37 -1.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ried 5 Jul 24 – Aug 28 1 in 430
2 Wacker Innsbruck 5 Aug 7 – Sep 22 1 in 54
3 Salzburg 4 May 1 – May 15 1 in 13
4 Rapid Wien 3 Aug 1 – Aug 22 1 in 11
5 Magna Wiener Neustadt 2 Jul 17 – Jul 25 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Wien 3 Aug 29 – Sep 22 1 in 86
2 LASK Linz 5 Jul 17 – Aug 21 1 in 55
3 Mattersburg 5 Jul 18 – Aug 22 1 in 32
4 Magna Wiener Neustadt 3 Aug 7 – Aug 29 1 in 17
5 Wacker Innsbruck 3 Oct 24 – Oct 30 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ried 10 Apr 2 – May 25 1 in 86
2 LASK Linz 3 Mar 19 – Apr 9 1 in 52
3 Rapid Wien 11 Sep 25 – Dec 11 1 in 27
4 Mattersburg 4 Apr 2 – Apr 23 1 in 22
5 Wacker Innsbruck 8 Jul 18 – Sep 25 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Salzburg 4 Mar 12 – Apr 9 1 in 40
2 Rapid Wien 5 May 1 – May 22 1 in 35
3 Ried 7 Feb 27 – Apr 9 1 in 30
4 LASK Linz 16 Oct 23 – Apr 3 1 in 21
5 Austria Wien 4 Aug 1 – Aug 29 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sturm Graz 1765 66 +12 11 9.0 +2.0
Salzburg 1800 63 +30 13 9.6 +3.4
Austria Wien 1778 61 +21 10 8.4 +1.6
Ried 1671 58 +18 9 6.1 +2.9
Rapid Wien 1728 53 -29 5 9.5 -4.5
Magna Wiener Neustadt 1608 50 -14 5 6.8 -1.8
Wacker Innsbruck 1637 50 -14 4 7.0 -3.0
Kapfenberger 1545 38 -12 4 5.1 -1.1
Mattersburg 1509 31 +4 5 4.2 +0.8
LASK Linz 1440 19 -16 1 2.9 -1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW KAP LL MWN MAT RW RIE SAL SG WI
Austria Wien —
2-2-0
8.11
4-0-0
8.69
1-2-1
7.16
3-0-1
8.59
2-0-2
5.57
1-1-2
7.16
0-3-1
5.26
1-2-1
5.80
3-0-1
6.80
Kapfenberger
0-2-2
2.92
 —
3-1-0
6.37
0-1-3
4.50
3-1-0
6.06
0-2-2
2.99
1-1-2
4.05
1-1-2
2.78
0-0-4
3.50
1-2-1
3.77
LASK Linz
0-0-4
2.46
0-1-3
4.47
 —
1-1-2
3.64
0-2-2
5.43
1-1-2
2.34
0-1-3
3.69
1-2-1
2.22
0-1-3
2.54
0-1-3
3.09
Magna Wiener Neustadt
1-2-1
3.74
3-1-0
6.33
2-1-1
7.27
 —
3-1-0
7.19
2-1-1
3.80
0-0-4
5.51
2-0-2
3.62
0-0-4
4.00
1-2-1
4.65
Mattersburg
1-0-3
2.53
0-1-3
4.76
2-2-0
5.39
0-1-3
3.71
 —
1-2-1
2.45
1-2-1
3.89
1-0-3
2.33
0-2-2
2.71
1-0-3
3.30
Rapid Wien
2-0-2
5.25
2-2-0
8.02
2-1-1
8.84
1-1-2
7.09
1-2-1
8.69
 —
2-0-2
6.84
1-2-1
5.06
2-1-1
5.80
1-2-1
6.72
Ried
2-1-1
3.74
2-1-1
6.81
3-1-0
7.24
4-0-0
5.31
1-2-1
7.03
2-0-2
4.02
 —
0-2-2
3.76
1-1-2
4.15
1-2-1
5.17
Salzburg
1-3-0
5.54
2-1-1
8.28
1-2-1
8.99
2-0-2
7.28
3-0-1
8.84
1-2-1
5.76
2-2-0
7.14
 —
3-1-0
5.82
2-1-1
6.57
Sturm Graz
1-2-1
5.01
4-0-0
7.42
3-1-0
8.60
4-0-0
6.87
2-2-0
8.36
1-1-2
5.01
2-1-1
6.70
0-1-3
4.99
 —
2-1-1
6.41
Wacker Innsbruck
1-0-3
4.07
1-2-1
7.12
3-1-0
7.90
1-2-1
6.18
3-0-1
7.66
1-2-1
4.14
1-2-1
5.65
1-1-2
4.30
1-1-2
4.44
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +10.2
Allowed 0.92 -10.4
Differential 0.97 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.22%10.56%6.67%3.61%2.22%1.67%31.94%
110.56%13.33%5.28%1.39%1.11%0.28%31.94%
26.67%5.28%5.00%1.11%1.67%—19.72%
33.61%1.39%1.11%2.78%0.28%—9.17%
42.22%1.11%1.67%0.28%——5.28%
5+1.67%0.28%————1.94%
Total31.94%31.94%19.72%9.17%5.28%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.90
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%—2.78%——19.44%
111.11%16.67%2.78%———30.56%
28.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%—22.22%
38.33%——2.78%——11.11%
45.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total41.67%36.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.03 +0.78
SD 1.47 1.21 1.91
CV 0.81 1.17 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%38.89%
15.56%13.89%2.78%——2.78%25.00%
22.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%—19.44%
32.78%5.56%—5.56%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%19.44%11.11%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.69 -0.53
SD 1.18 1.43 1.87
CV 1.01 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%8.33%5.56%5.56%11.11%58.33%
15.56%11.11%5.56%—5.56%—27.78%
2—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
3———2.78%2.78%—5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%30.56%16.67%11.11%13.89%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 2.08 -1.47
SD 0.87 1.65 1.81
CV 1.43 0.79 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%33.33%
113.89%11.11%5.56%—2.78%—33.33%
22.78%8.33%2.78%—5.56%—19.44%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%27.78%19.44%2.78%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.44 -0.22
SD 1.24 1.48 2.10
CV 1.02 1.03 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%16.67%5.56%2.78%—38.89%
113.89%16.67%11.11%2.78%2.78%—47.22%
2—2.78%5.56%———8.33%
3—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%33.33%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.56 -0.75
SD 0.82 1.08 1.40
CV 1.02 0.69 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
15.56%13.89%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
211.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
35.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%33.33%19.44%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.17 +0.28
SD 1.30 1.11 1.83
CV 0.90 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%2.78%5.56%——22.22%
116.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%——36.11%
211.11%5.56%11.11%———27.78%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%33.33%19.44%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.06 +0.36
SD 1.18 1.01 1.68
CV 0.83 0.96 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
113.89%16.67%2.78%———33.33%
25.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
32.78%—————2.78%
45.56%—8.33%———13.89%
5+———————
Total38.89%38.89%19.44%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 0.86 +0.61
SD 1.30 0.83 1.38
CV 0.88 0.97 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
15.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
216.67%5.56%5.56%———27.78%
35.56%—2.78%2.78%——11.11%
48.33%—2.78%———11.11%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total47.22%22.22%22.22%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 0.92 +0.92
SD 1.48 1.02 2.05
CV 0.81 1.12 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
113.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
28.33%2.78%8.33%———19.44%
32.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total36.11%27.78%22.22%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.17 +0.03
SD 1.17 1.13 1.66
CV 0.98 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Salzburg 1800 63 64.37 -1.37 46.1% 44 52 59 64 70 77 94
Austria Wien 1778 61 63.18 -2.18 39.8% 41 51 58 63 68 75 87
Sturm Graz 1765 66 59.06 +6.94 83.7% 35 47 54 59 64 72 82
Rapid Wien 1728 53 61.90 -8.90 12.2% 41 50 57 62 67 73 87
Ried 1671 58 47.52 +10.48 94.0% 25 36 43 48 53 59 68
Wacker Innsbruck 1637 50 51.68 -1.68 43.5% 31 39 46 51 56 64 80
Magna Wiener Neustadt 1608 50 45.92 +4.08 73.9% 23 34 41 46 51 59 67
Kapfenberger 1545 38 36.92 +1.08 59.2% 16 25 32 37 42 49 58
Mattersburg 1509 31 31.41 -0.41 51.8% 13 21 27 31 36 43 57
LASK Linz 1440 19 29.79 -10.79 5.4% 9 19 25 30 34 41 58

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.33%
Slight Edge
40.00%28.33%31.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.
190 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.17 goals
Neutral
-2+0.15+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
15%
Sturm Graz, 4th of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.72 * Some Luck: 5.72 to 8.58 * Lucky: 8.58 to 11.44 * Wild Swing: 11.44 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.88 * Close: 0.88 to 1.32 * Off: 1.32 to 1.76 * Way Off: 1.76 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.17 points
Some Luck
07.1518
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.102.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
Ried
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.40%
LASK Linz
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.69
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.77
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.67
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Sturm Graz14.70%18.30%19.90%22.10%14.20%8.10%2.50%0.20%——
Salzburg34.70%23.60%19.80%12.60%5.90%2.60%0.70%0.10%——
Austria Wien26.80%27.20%21.60%12.80%7.30%3.50%0.80%———
Ried0.60%1.40%3.90%12.00%18.00%26.40%24.20%9.50%3.10%0.90%
Rapid Wien20.90%22.70%23.30%18.80%9.20%4.20%0.90%———
Wacker Innsbruck2.00%5.00%8.80%15.70%27.70%20.70%13.80%4.90%1.40%—
Magna Wiener Neustadt0.30%1.80%2.50%5.40%14.20%24.30%32.10%13.80%4.20%1.40%
Kapfenberger——0.10%0.50%2.50%7.60%15.40%38.40%23.80%11.70%
Mattersburg——0.10%—0.50%1.90%5.90%18.80%37.70%35.10%
LASK Linz———0.10%0.50%0.70%3.70%14.30%29.80%50.90%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Austria Wien 100% —
Rapid Wien 100% —
Salzburg 100% —
Sturm Graz 100% —
Wacker Innsbruck 100% —
Ried 99.10% 0.90%
Magna Wiener Neustadt 98.60% 1.40%
Kapfenberger 88.30% 11.70%
Mattersburg 64.90% 35.10%
LASK Linz 49.10% 50.90%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2010-07-17 LASK Linz W 5-051.6 1627 1592 43.93% 29.31% 26.76%+0.33 +25.4 3
2010-07-17 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt L 0-551.6 1592 1627 26.76% 29.31% 43.93%-0.33 -25.4 0
2010-07-17 Salzburg D 0-066.4 1569 1756 18.10% 25.88% 56.02%-0.83 +1.7 1
2010-07-17 @ Kapfenberger D 0-066.4 1756 1569 56.02% 25.88% 18.10%+0.83 -1.7 1
2010-07-17 Sturm Graz L 0-352.0 1575 1666 26.87% 29.33% 43.80%-0.33 -15.8 0
2010-07-17 @ Ried W 3-052.0 1666 1575 43.80% 29.33% 26.87%+0.33 +15.8 3
2010-07-18 Mattersburg W 2-049.0 1736 1553 62.30% 23.07% 14.63%+1.12 +6.0 3
2010-07-18 @ Austria Wien L 0-249.0 1553 1736 14.63% 23.07% 62.30%-1.12 -6.0 0
2010-07-18 Rapid Wien W 4-059.8 1638 1769 22.76% 28.21% 49.04%-0.54 +32.3 3
2010-07-18 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-459.8 1769 1638 49.04% 28.21% 22.76%+0.54 -32.3 0
2010-07-24 Kapfenberger W 2-050.9 1682 1570 53.92% 26.68% 19.40%+0.74 +8.1 6
2010-07-24 @ Sturm Graz L 0-250.9 1570 1682 19.40% 26.68% 53.92%-0.74 -8.1 1
2010-07-24 Ried L 1-456.9 1547 1559 37.40% 29.99% 32.61%+0.09 -17.0 0
2010-07-24 @ Mattersburg W 4-156.9 1559 1547 32.61% 29.99% 37.40%-0.09 +17.0 3
2010-07-25 Austria Wien L 3-467.7 1567 1742 18.95% 26.42% 54.63%-0.77 -3.7 0
2010-07-25 @ LASK Linz W 4-367.7 1742 1567 54.63% 26.42% 18.95%+0.77 +3.7 6
2010-07-25 Magna Wiener Neustadt L 1-270.9 1736 1652 50.48% 27.80% 21.72%+0.60 -8.7 0
2010-07-25 @ Rapid Wien W 2-170.9 1652 1736 21.72% 27.80% 50.48%-0.60 +8.7 6
2010-07-31 LASK Linz W 1-055.2 1576 1563 40.94% 29.72% 29.34%+0.22 +6.2 6
2010-07-31 @ Ried L 0-155.2 1563 1576 29.34% 29.72% 40.94%-0.22 -6.2 0
2010-07-31 Mattersburg W 3-155.8 1562 1530 43.62% 29.36% 27.02%+0.32 +9.5 4
2010-07-31 @ Kapfenberger L 1-355.8 1530 1562 27.02% 29.36% 43.62%-0.32 -9.5 0
2010-08-01 Austria Wien D 0-066.0 1661 1746 27.62% 29.47% 42.91%-0.30 +0.7 7
2010-08-01 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt D 0-066.0 1746 1661 42.91% 29.47% 27.62%+0.30 -0.7 7
2010-08-01 Salzburg W 2-167.3 1728 1754 35.37% 30.04% 34.59%+0.01 +6.6 3
2010-08-01 @ Rapid Wien L 1-267.3 1754 1728 34.59% 30.04% 35.37%-0.01 -6.6 1
2010-08-01 Sturm Graz D 2-276.1 1670 1690 36.20% 30.03% 33.77%+0.04 -0.1 4
2010-08-01 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 2-276.1 1690 1670 33.77% 30.03% 36.20%-0.04 +0.1 7
2010-08-07 Kapfenberger L 0-157.3 1557 1572 37.01% 30.00% 32.99%+0.07 -7.3 0
2010-08-07 @ LASK Linz W 1-057.3 1572 1557 32.99% 30.00% 37.01%-0.07 +7.3 7
2010-08-07 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-250.4 1520 1670 21.09% 27.53% 51.38%-0.63 -8.8 0
2010-08-07 @ Mattersburg W 2-050.4 1670 1520 51.38% 27.53% 21.09%+0.63 +8.8 7
2010-08-07 Magna Wiener Neustadt W 4-263.2 1747 1661 50.70% 27.74% 21.56%+0.60 +7.0 4
2010-08-07 @ Salzburg L 2-463.2 1661 1747 21.56% 27.74% 50.70%-0.60 -7.0 7
2010-08-08 Rapid Wien L 0-257.8 1690 1734 32.89% 30.00% 37.11%-0.08 -12.7 7
2010-08-08 @ Sturm Graz W 2-057.8 1734 1690 37.11% 30.00% 32.89%+0.08 +12.7 6
2010-08-08 Ried L 0-166.4 1745 1582 60.02% 24.16% 15.82%+1.01 -10.5 7
2010-08-08 @ Austria Wien W 1-066.4 1582 1745 15.82% 24.16% 60.02%-1.01 +10.6 9
2010-08-21 Austria Wien D 1-170.6 1579 1735 20.55% 27.27% 52.18%-0.67 +1.3 8
2010-08-21 @ Kapfenberger D 1-170.6 1735 1579 52.18% 27.27% 20.55%+0.67 -1.3 8
2010-08-21 LASK Linz W 2-049.9 1679 1549 56.02% 25.88% 18.10%+0.83 +7.6 10
2010-08-21 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-249.9 1549 1679 18.10% 25.88% 56.02%-0.83 -7.6 0
2010-08-21 Ried L 0-558.1 1654 1593 47.56% 28.58% 23.86%+0.48 -38.9 7
2010-08-21 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt W 5-058.1 1593 1654 23.86% 28.58% 47.56%-0.48 +38.9 12
2010-08-22 Mattersburg W 2-046.8 1747 1511 67.87% 20.14% 11.98%+1.39 +4.7 9
2010-08-22 @ Rapid Wien L 0-246.8 1511 1747 11.98% 20.14% 67.87%-1.39 -4.8 0
2010-08-28 Kapfenberger W 1-055.5 1632 1580 46.17% 28.89% 24.94%+0.42 +5.4 15
2010-08-28 @ Ried L 0-155.5 1580 1632 24.94% 28.89% 46.17%-0.42 -5.4 8
2010-08-28 Salzburg W 1-065.9 1507 1754 14.28% 22.73% 62.99%-1.15 +11.0 3
2010-08-28 @ Mattersburg L 0-165.9 1754 1507 62.99% 22.73% 14.28%+1.15 -10.9 4
2010-08-29 Rapid Wien W 1-065.7 1542 1752 16.54% 24.76% 58.70%-0.95 +10.4 3
2010-08-29 @ LASK Linz L 0-165.7 1752 1542 58.70% 24.76% 16.54%+0.95 -10.4 9
2010-08-29 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-359.5 1734 1686 45.63% 29.00% 25.37%+0.40 -23.4 8
2010-08-29 @ Austria Wien W 3-059.5 1686 1734 25.37% 29.00% 45.63%-0.40 +23.4 13
2010-08-29 Magna Wiener Neustadt W 4-263.0 1678 1616 47.61% 28.56% 23.82%+0.48 +7.6 10
2010-08-29 @ Sturm Graz L 2-463.0 1616 1678 23.82% 28.56% 47.61%-0.48 -7.6 7
2010-09-11 Kapfenberger W 3-050.8 1608 1575 43.72% 29.34% 26.94%+0.33 +15.8 10
2010-09-11 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt L 0-350.8 1575 1608 26.94% 29.34% 43.72%-0.33 -15.8 8
2010-09-11 LASK Linz D 0-067.0 1744 1552 63.16% 22.64% 14.20%+1.16 -2.3 5
2010-09-11 @ Salzburg D 0-067.0 1552 1744 14.20% 22.64% 63.16%-1.16 +2.3 4
2010-09-11 Mattersburg W 2-048.0 1685 1518 60.52% 23.93% 15.55%+1.03 +6.5 13
2010-09-11 @ Sturm Graz L 0-248.0 1518 1685 15.55% 23.93% 60.52%-1.03 -6.5 3
2010-09-11 Ried W 1-056.6 1710 1637 48.98% 28.22% 22.80%+0.53 +5.0 16
2010-09-11 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-156.6 1637 1710 22.80% 28.22% 48.98%-0.53 -5.0 15
2010-09-12 Austria Wien L 0-163.9 1741 1710 43.45% 29.39% 27.16%+0.32 -8.2 9
2010-09-12 @ Rapid Wien W 1-063.9 1710 1741 27.16% 29.39% 43.45%-0.32 +8.2 11
2010-09-21 Sturm Graz L 0-449.9 1554 1692 22.18% 27.99% 49.83%-0.57 -17.5 4
2010-09-21 @ LASK Linz W 4-049.9 1692 1554 49.83% 27.99% 22.18%+0.57 +17.5 16
2010-09-22 Rapid Wien W 3-166.6 1632 1733 25.82% 29.11% 45.08%-0.38 +13.8 18
2010-09-22 @ Ried L 1-366.6 1733 1632 45.08% 29.11% 25.82%+0.38 -13.8 9
2010-09-22 Salzburg D 0-066.1 1718 1741 35.86% 30.03% 34.10%+0.03 -0.1 12
2010-09-22 @ Austria Wien D 0-066.1 1741 1718 34.10% 30.03% 35.86%-0.03 +0.1 6
2010-09-22 Wacker Innsbruck L 2-461.3 1559 1715 20.56% 27.28% 52.16%-0.67 -6.7 8
2010-09-22 @ Kapfenberger W 4-261.3 1715 1559 52.16% 27.28% 20.56%+0.67 +6.7 19
2010-09-22 Magna Wiener Neustadt L 0-348.6 1511 1624 24.61% 28.80% 46.59%-0.44 -14.7 3
2010-09-22 @ Mattersburg W 3-048.6 1624 1511 46.59% 28.80% 24.61%+0.44 +14.7 13
2010-09-25 Kapfenberger W 3-263.0 1719 1552 60.44% 23.97% 15.59%+1.03 +3.1 12
2010-09-25 @ Rapid Wien L 2-363.0 1552 1719 15.59% 23.97% 60.44%-1.03 -3.1 8
2010-09-25 LASK Linz D 3-372.3 1496 1537 33.36% 30.02% 36.62%-0.06 +0.1 4
2010-09-25 @ Mattersburg D 3-372.3 1537 1496 36.62% 30.02% 33.36%+0.06 -0.1 5
2010-09-25 Ried W 1-056.1 1741 1646 51.90% 27.36% 20.74%+0.65 +4.6 9
2010-09-25 @ Salzburg L 0-156.1 1646 1741 20.74% 27.36% 51.90%-0.65 -4.6 18
2010-09-25 Magna Wiener Neustadt D 0-066.1 1721 1638 50.29% 27.86% 21.85%+0.59 -1.3 20
2010-09-25 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 0-066.1 1638 1721 21.85% 27.86% 50.29%-0.59 +1.3 14
2010-09-26 Austria Wien L 0-259.3 1709 1718 37.86% 29.97% 32.18%+0.11 -14.0 16
2010-09-26 @ Sturm Graz W 2-059.3 1718 1709 32.18% 29.97% 37.86%-0.11 +14.0 15
2010-10-02 Mattersburg L 0-156.1 1537 1497 44.69% 29.18% 26.13%+0.36 -8.4 5
2010-10-02 @ LASK Linz W 1-056.1 1497 1537 26.13% 29.18% 44.69%-0.36 +8.4 7
2010-10-02 Sturm Graz L 2-374.7 1732 1695 44.24% 29.26% 26.51%+0.35 -7.5 15
2010-10-02 @ Austria Wien W 3-274.7 1695 1732 26.51% 29.26% 44.24%-0.35 +7.5 19
2010-10-02 Wacker Innsbruck W 1-063.0 1640 1720 28.20% 29.56% 42.24%-0.27 +8.0 17
2010-10-02 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt L 0-163.0 1720 1640 42.24% 29.56% 28.20%+0.27 -8.1 20
2010-10-03 Rapid Wien D 0-065.5 1549 1722 19.15% 26.53% 54.32%-0.76 +1.6 9
2010-10-03 @ Kapfenberger D 0-065.5 1722 1549 54.32% 26.53% 19.15%+0.76 -1.6 13
2010-10-03 Salzburg L 1-263.7 1641 1746 25.43% 29.01% 45.56%-0.40 -5.2 18
2010-10-03 @ Ried W 2-163.7 1746 1641 45.56% 29.01% 25.43%+0.40 +5.2 12
2010-10-16 Kapfenberger L 0-263.7 1751 1551 64.15% 22.14% 13.71%+1.21 -20.9 12
2010-10-16 @ Salzburg W 2-063.7 1551 1751 13.71% 22.14% 64.15%-1.21 +20.9 12
2010-10-16 Ried L 0-164.2 1703 1636 48.23% 28.41% 23.36%+0.50 -8.9 19
2010-10-16 @ Sturm Graz W 1-064.2 1636 1703 23.36% 28.41% 48.23%-0.50 +8.9 21
2010-10-16 Wacker Innsbruck D 1-170.8 1721 1712 40.35% 29.78% 29.87%+0.20 -0.4 14
2010-10-16 @ Rapid Wien D 1-170.8 1712 1721 29.87% 29.78% 40.35%-0.20 +0.4 21
2010-10-16 Magna Wiener Neustadt W 2-167.0 1528 1648 23.92% 28.60% 47.48%-0.47 +8.3 8
2010-10-16 @ LASK Linz L 1-267.0 1648 1528 47.48% 28.60% 23.92%+0.47 -8.3 17
2010-10-17 Austria Wien L 0-347.0 1505 1725 15.91% 24.24% 59.85%-1.00 -9.6 7
2010-10-17 @ Mattersburg W 3-047.0 1725 1505 59.85% 24.24% 15.91%+1.00 +9.6 18
2010-10-23 LASK Linz W 4-151.5 1734 1537 63.86% 22.29% 13.85%+1.19 +6.9 21
2010-10-23 @ Austria Wien L 1-451.5 1537 1734 13.85% 22.29% 63.86%-1.19 -6.9 8
2010-10-23 Mattersburg L 1-365.3 1645 1495 58.42% 24.88% 16.70%+0.94 -16.9 21
2010-10-23 @ Ried W 3-165.3 1495 1645 16.70% 24.88% 58.42%-0.94 +16.9 10
2010-10-23 Sturm Graz L 0-450.8 1572 1694 23.63% 28.50% 47.87%-0.49 -18.5 12
2010-10-23 @ Kapfenberger W 4-050.8 1694 1572 47.87% 28.50% 23.63%+0.49 +18.5 22
2010-10-24 Rapid Wien D 1-170.4 1639 1720 28.13% 29.55% 42.31%-0.27 +0.5 18
2010-10-24 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt D 1-170.4 1720 1639 42.31% 29.55% 28.13%+0.27 -0.5 15
2010-10-24 Salzburg L 0-162.0 1712 1730 36.59% 30.02% 33.39%+0.06 -7.2 21
2010-10-24 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 1-062.0 1730 1712 33.39% 30.02% 36.59%-0.06 +7.2 15
2010-10-27 Wacker Innsbruck W 4-053.8 1737 1705 43.61% 29.36% 27.03%+0.32 +20.7 18
2010-10-27 @ Salzburg L 0-453.8 1705 1737 27.03% 29.36% 43.61%-0.32 -20.7 21
2010-10-30 Kapfenberger L 0-154.1 1512 1553 33.30% 30.01% 36.68%-0.06 -6.8 10
2010-10-30 @ Mattersburg W 1-054.1 1553 1512 36.68% 30.01% 33.30%+0.06 +6.8 15
2010-10-30 Ried L 0-349.9 1530 1628 26.16% 29.18% 44.66%-0.36 -15.5 8
2010-10-30 @ LASK Linz W 3-049.9 1628 1530 44.66% 29.18% 26.16%+0.36 +15.5 24
2010-10-30 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-055.9 1712 1684 43.02% 29.45% 27.53%+0.30 +11.1 25
2010-10-30 @ Sturm Graz L 0-255.9 1684 1712 27.53% 29.45% 43.02%-0.30 -11.1 21
2010-10-30 Magna Wiener Neustadt D 1-171.3 1741 1640 52.63% 27.13% 20.25%+0.69 -1.3 22
2010-10-30 @ Austria Wien D 1-171.3 1640 1741 20.25% 27.13% 52.63%-0.69 +1.3 19
2010-10-31 Rapid Wien D 1-171.2 1758 1720 44.43% 29.22% 26.35%+0.35 -0.7 19
2010-10-31 @ Salzburg D 1-171.2 1720 1758 26.35% 29.22% 44.43%-0.35 +0.7 16
2010-11-06 Austria Wien W 2-169.5 1643 1740 26.32% 29.22% 44.47%-0.36 +7.9 27
2010-11-06 @ Ried L 1-269.5 1740 1643 44.47% 29.22% 26.32%+0.36 -7.9 22
2010-11-06 LASK Linz W 4-152.0 1560 1514 45.40% 29.04% 25.56%+0.39 +12.8 18
2010-11-06 @ Kapfenberger L 1-452.0 1514 1560 25.56% 29.04% 45.40%-0.39 -12.8 8
2010-11-06 Mattersburg W 2-156.1 1673 1505 60.54% 23.92% 15.54%+1.03 +3.2 24
2010-11-06 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-256.1 1505 1673 15.54% 23.92% 60.54%-1.03 -3.2 10
2010-11-07 Salzburg W 1-064.5 1641 1758 24.23% 28.69% 47.08%-0.46 +8.8 22
2010-11-07 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt L 0-164.5 1758 1641 47.08% 28.69% 24.23%+0.46 -8.8 19
2010-11-07 Sturm Graz W 3-163.2 1721 1724 38.69% 29.92% 31.39%+0.14 +10.6 19
2010-11-07 @ Rapid Wien L 1-363.2 1724 1721 31.39% 29.92% 38.69%-0.14 -10.6 25
2010-11-13 Kapfenberger W 5-151.6 1732 1573 59.58% 24.37% 16.06%+0.99 +10.6 25
2010-11-13 @ Austria Wien L 1-551.6 1573 1732 16.06% 24.37% 59.58%-0.99 -10.6 18
2010-11-13 Rapid Wien D 2-276.2 1502 1731 15.36% 23.76% 60.88%-1.05 +1.4 11
2010-11-13 @ Mattersburg D 2-276.2 1731 1502 60.88% 23.76% 15.36%+1.05 -1.4 20
2010-11-13 Wacker Innsbruck D 0-063.6 1502 1677 19.01% 26.45% 54.54%-0.77 +1.6 9
2010-11-13 @ LASK Linz D 0-063.6 1677 1502 54.54% 26.45% 19.01%+0.77 -1.6 25
2010-11-13 Magna Wiener Neustadt W 2-056.0 1651 1650 39.30% 29.87% 30.83%+0.16 +12.1 30
2010-11-13 @ Ried L 0-256.0 1650 1651 30.83% 29.87% 39.30%-0.16 -12.1 22
2010-11-14 Salzburg D 0-066.1 1713 1749 34.01% 30.03% 35.96%-0.04 +0.1 26
2010-11-14 @ Sturm Graz D 0-066.1 1749 1713 35.96% 30.03% 34.01%+0.04 -0.1 20
2010-11-20 LASK Linz W 5-044.9 1730 1503 66.94% 20.66% 12.40%+1.34 +11.6 23
2010-11-20 @ Rapid Wien L 0-544.9 1503 1730 12.40% 20.66% 66.94%-1.34 -11.6 9
2010-11-20 Mattersburg W 1-049.4 1749 1504 68.85% 19.60% 11.55%+1.44 +2.4 23
2010-11-20 @ Salzburg L 0-149.4 1504 1749 11.55% 19.60% 68.85%-1.44 -2.4 11
2010-11-20 Ried D 3-378.2 1562 1663 25.81% 29.10% 45.08%-0.38 +0.5 19
2010-11-20 @ Kapfenberger D 3-378.2 1663 1562 45.08% 29.10% 25.81%+0.38 -0.5 31
2010-11-20 Sturm Graz L 0-354.1 1638 1713 28.84% 29.66% 41.50%-0.24 -16.7 22
2010-11-20 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt W 3-054.1 1713 1638 41.50% 29.66% 28.84%+0.24 +16.7 29
2010-11-21 Austria Wien L 0-159.7 1675 1743 29.74% 29.77% 40.49%-0.20 -6.2 25
2010-11-21 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 1-059.7 1743 1675 40.49% 29.77% 29.74%+0.20 +6.2 28
2010-11-24 Sturm Graz W 2-056.6 1751 1730 42.10% 29.58% 28.32%+0.26 +11.3 26
2010-11-24 @ Salzburg L 0-256.6 1730 1751 28.32% 29.58% 42.10%-0.26 -11.3 29
2010-11-27 Salzburg L 1-256.2 1492 1762 13.08% 21.44% 65.48%-1.27 -2.6 9
2010-11-27 @ LASK Linz W 2-156.2 1762 1492 65.48% 21.44% 13.08%+1.27 +2.6 29
2010-11-27 Sturm Graz D 1-170.0 1501 1718 16.08% 24.38% 59.53%-0.99 +1.8 12
2010-11-27 @ Mattersburg D 1-170.0 1718 1501 59.53% 24.38% 16.08%+0.99 -1.8 30
2010-11-27 Wacker Innsbruck W 1-059.7 1663 1669 38.30% 29.94% 31.75%+0.12 +6.6 34
2010-11-27 @ Ried L 0-159.7 1669 1663 31.75% 29.94% 38.30%-0.12 -6.5 25
2010-11-27 Magna Wiener Neustadt L 1-262.6 1563 1621 30.92% 29.88% 39.20%-0.16 -6.1 19
2010-11-27 @ Kapfenberger W 2-162.6 1621 1563 39.20% 29.88% 30.92%+0.16 +6.1 25
2010-11-28 Rapid Wien L 0-163.2 1749 1741 40.20% 29.80% 30.00%+0.19 -7.8 28
2010-11-28 @ Austria Wien W 1-063.2 1741 1749 30.00% 29.80% 40.20%-0.19 +7.8 26
2010-12-04 Austria Wien D 1-171.2 1765 1741 42.44% 29.53% 28.02%+0.28 -0.5 30
2010-12-04 @ Salzburg D 1-171.2 1741 1765 28.02% 29.53% 42.44%-0.28 +0.5 29
2010-12-04 Kapfenberger L 1-366.3 1662 1557 53.15% 26.95% 19.90%+0.71 -15.7 25
2010-12-04 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-166.3 1557 1662 19.90% 26.95% 53.15%-0.71 +15.7 22
2010-12-04 LASK Linz W 5-044.3 1717 1489 67.05% 20.60% 12.35%+1.35 +11.5 33
2010-12-04 @ Sturm Graz L 0-544.3 1489 1717 12.35% 20.60% 67.05%-1.35 -11.5 9
2010-12-04 Mattersburg W 1-050.6 1627 1503 55.43% 26.11% 18.46%+0.81 +4.1 28
2010-12-04 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt L 0-150.6 1503 1627 18.46% 26.11% 55.43%-0.81 -4.1 12
2010-12-05 Ried W 3-052.2 1749 1669 49.87% 27.98% 22.15%+0.57 +13.4 29
2010-12-05 @ Rapid Wien L 0-352.2 1669 1749 22.15% 27.98% 49.87%-0.57 -13.4 34
2010-12-11 Austria Wien L 1-256.9 1499 1742 14.55% 23.00% 62.44%-1.12 -3.0 12
2010-12-11 @ Mattersburg W 2-156.9 1742 1499 62.44% 23.00% 14.55%+1.12 +3.0 32
2010-12-11 LASK Linz D 2-269.9 1572 1478 51.80% 27.40% 20.81%+0.65 -0.9 23
2010-12-11 @ Kapfenberger D 2-269.9 1478 1572 20.81% 27.40% 51.80%-0.65 +0.9 10
2010-12-11 Wacker Innsbruck D 3-381.2 1762 1646 54.43% 26.49% 19.08%+0.76 -0.9 30
2010-12-11 @ Rapid Wien D 3-381.2 1646 1762 19.08% 26.49% 54.43%-0.76 +0.9 26
2010-12-11 Magna Wiener Neustadt W 1-057.9 1656 1631 42.56% 29.52% 27.92%+0.28 +5.9 37
2010-12-11 @ Ried L 0-157.9 1631 1656 27.92% 29.52% 42.56%-0.28 -5.9 28
2010-12-12 Sturm Graz W 2-164.7 1765 1728 44.17% 29.27% 26.57%+0.34 +5.4 33
2010-12-12 @ Salzburg L 1-264.7 1728 1765 26.57% 29.27% 44.17%-0.34 -5.4 33
2011-02-12 Kapfenberger W 2-050.1 1723 1571 58.64% 24.78% 16.57%+0.95 +6.9 36
2011-02-12 @ Sturm Graz L 0-250.1 1571 1723 16.57% 24.78% 58.64%-0.95 -6.9 23
2011-02-12 Mattersburg L 0-151.7 1478 1496 36.63% 30.02% 33.35%+0.06 -7.3 10
2011-02-12 @ LASK Linz W 1-051.7 1496 1478 33.35% 30.02% 36.63%-0.06 +7.2 15
2011-02-12 Rapid Wien W 2-062.0 1625 1762 22.29% 28.03% 49.68%-0.56 +17.2 31
2011-02-12 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt L 0-262.0 1762 1625 49.68% 28.03% 22.29%+0.56 -17.2 30
2011-02-12 Ried W 1-056.7 1745 1662 50.27% 27.86% 21.86%+0.59 +4.8 35
2011-02-12 @ Austria Wien L 0-156.7 1662 1745 21.86% 27.86% 50.27%-0.59 -4.8 37
2011-02-13 Salzburg D 1-171.1 1647 1770 23.59% 28.49% 47.92%-0.49 +1.0 27
2011-02-13 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-171.1 1770 1647 47.92% 28.49% 23.59%+0.49 -1.0 34
2011-02-19 LASK Linz W 2-045.4 1657 1471 62.58% 22.94% 14.49%+1.13 +6.0 40
2011-02-19 @ Ried L 0-245.4 1471 1657 14.49% 22.94% 62.58%-1.13 -6.0 10
2011-02-19 Sturm Graz D 1-170.4 1503 1730 15.51% 23.89% 60.60%-1.04 +1.9 16
2011-02-19 @ Mattersburg D 1-170.4 1730 1503 60.60% 23.89% 15.51%+1.04 -1.9 37
2011-02-19 Magna Wiener Neustadt W 4-050.6 1750 1643 53.32% 26.89% 19.79%+0.71 +15.8 38
2011-02-19 @ Austria Wien L 0-450.6 1643 1750 19.79% 26.89% 53.32%-0.71 -15.8 31
2011-02-20 Rapid Wien D 1-171.2 1769 1744 42.54% 29.52% 27.94%+0.28 -0.6 35
2011-02-20 @ Salzburg D 1-171.2 1744 1769 27.94% 29.52% 42.54%-0.28 +0.6 31
2011-02-26 Austria Wien L 0-444.0 1465 1765 11.68% 19.76% 68.55%-1.43 -8.7 10
2011-02-26 @ LASK Linz W 4-044.0 1765 1465 68.55% 19.76% 11.68%+1.43 +8.7 41
2011-02-26 Kapfenberger W 2-049.3 1745 1564 61.97% 23.24% 14.80%+1.10 +6.1 34
2011-02-26 @ Rapid Wien L 0-249.3 1564 1745 14.80% 23.24% 61.97%-1.10 -6.1 23
2011-02-26 Mattersburg W 2-047.6 1648 1505 57.69% 25.20% 17.11%+0.91 +7.2 30
2011-02-26 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-247.6 1505 1648 17.11% 25.20% 57.69%-0.91 -7.2 16
2011-02-26 Salzburg W 1-065.2 1627 1768 21.80% 27.84% 50.36%-0.59 +9.2 34
2011-02-26 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt L 0-165.2 1768 1627 50.36% 27.84% 21.80%+0.59 -9.2 35
2011-02-27 Ried W 1-057.3 1728 1663 47.93% 28.49% 23.58%+0.49 +5.2 40
2011-02-27 @ Sturm Graz L 0-157.3 1663 1728 23.58% 28.49% 47.93%-0.49 -5.2 40
2011-03-01 Rapid Wien W 1-065.8 1498 1751 13.99% 22.43% 63.58%-1.18 +11.0 19
2011-03-01 @ Mattersburg L 0-165.8 1751 1498 63.58% 22.43% 13.99%+1.18 -11.0 34
2011-03-02 Salzburg L 0-153.7 1558 1759 17.14% 25.22% 57.64%-0.90 -3.8 23
2011-03-02 @ Kapfenberger W 1-053.7 1759 1558 57.64% 25.22% 17.14%+0.90 +3.8 38
2011-03-02 Sturm Graz D 2-277.1 1774 1733 44.81% 29.16% 26.04%+0.37 -0.5 42
2011-03-02 @ Austria Wien D 2-277.1 1733 1774 26.04% 29.16% 44.81%-0.37 +0.5 41
2011-03-02 Wacker Innsbruck D 2-275.6 1658 1655 39.47% 29.86% 30.67%+0.17 -0.2 41
2011-03-02 @ Ried D 2-275.6 1655 1658 30.67% 29.86% 39.47%-0.17 +0.2 31
2011-03-02 Magna Wiener Neustadt L 2-360.2 1456 1636 18.66% 26.24% 55.11%-0.79 -3.7 10
2011-03-02 @ LASK Linz W 3-260.2 1636 1456 55.11% 26.24% 18.66%+0.79 +3.7 37
2011-03-05 Austria Wien L 0-353.0 1656 1774 24.06% 28.64% 47.30%-0.47 -14.4 31
2011-03-05 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-053.0 1774 1656 47.30% 28.64% 24.06%+0.47 +14.4 45
2011-03-05 Kapfenberger D 1-168.4 1640 1554 50.60% 27.77% 21.63%+0.60 -1.1 38
2011-03-05 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt D 1-168.4 1554 1640 21.63% 27.77% 50.60%-0.60 +1.2 24
2011-03-05 LASK Linz D 1-171.3 1733 1453 72.36% 17.58% 10.06%+1.63 -2.6 42
2011-03-05 @ Sturm Graz D 1-171.3 1453 1733 10.06% 17.58% 72.36%-1.63 +2.6 11
2011-03-05 Mattersburg W 2-046.5 1763 1509 69.76% 19.08% 11.16%+1.49 +4.3 41
2011-03-05 @ Salzburg L 0-246.5 1509 1763 11.16% 19.08% 69.76%-1.49 -4.3 19
2011-03-06 Ried W 2-053.7 1740 1658 50.22% 27.88% 21.90%+0.59 +9.1 37
2011-03-06 @ Rapid Wien L 0-253.7 1658 1740 21.90% 27.88% 50.22%-0.59 -9.1 41
2011-03-09 Wacker Innsbruck D 0-063.2 1556 1641 27.58% 29.46% 42.96%-0.30 +0.7 25
2011-03-09 @ Kapfenberger D 0-063.2 1641 1556 42.96% 29.46% 27.58%+0.30 -0.7 32
2011-03-12 Kapfenberger D 1-163.8 1505 1556 31.82% 29.95% 38.23%-0.12 +0.2 20
2011-03-12 @ Mattersburg D 1-163.8 1556 1505 38.23% 29.95% 31.82%+0.12 -0.2 26
2011-03-12 Salzburg D 2-276.9 1649 1767 23.97% 28.61% 47.41%-0.47 +0.7 42
2011-03-12 @ Ried D 2-276.9 1767 1649 47.41% 28.61% 23.97%+0.47 -0.7 42
2011-03-12 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-149.4 1455 1641 18.24% 25.97% 55.79%-0.82 -4.1 11
2011-03-12 @ LASK Linz W 1-049.4 1641 1455 55.79% 25.97% 18.24%+0.82 +4.1 35
2011-03-12 Magna Wiener Neustadt W 1-056.1 1731 1639 51.47% 27.50% 21.03%+0.64 +4.7 45
2011-03-12 @ Sturm Graz L 0-156.1 1639 1731 21.03% 27.50% 51.47%-0.64 -4.7 38
2011-03-13 Rapid Wien L 0-164.5 1788 1749 44.49% 29.21% 26.30%+0.36 -8.4 45
2011-03-13 @ Austria Wien W 1-064.5 1749 1788 26.30% 29.21% 44.49%-0.36 +8.4 40
2011-03-19 LASK Linz D 0-067.4 1758 1451 74.74% 16.17% 9.10%+1.76 -3.0 41
2011-03-19 @ Rapid Wien D 0-067.4 1451 1758 9.10% 16.17% 74.74%-1.76 +3.0 12
2011-03-19 Mattersburg W 2-156.4 1634 1505 56.03% 25.88% 18.09%+0.83 +3.8 41
2011-03-19 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt L 1-256.4 1505 1634 18.09% 25.88% 56.03%-0.83 -3.8 20
2011-03-19 Ried W 2-166.9 1556 1649 26.71% 29.30% 43.99%-0.34 +7.8 29
2011-03-19 @ Kapfenberger L 1-266.9 1649 1556 43.99% 29.30% 26.71%+0.34 -7.8 42
2011-03-19 Sturm Graz W 1-063.5 1645 1736 26.97% 29.35% 43.68%-0.33 +8.3 38
2011-03-19 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-163.5 1736 1645 43.68% 29.35% 26.97%+0.33 -8.3 45
2011-03-20 Austria Wien D 1-171.2 1767 1780 37.28% 29.99% 32.73%+0.08 -0.2 43
2011-03-20 @ Salzburg D 1-171.2 1780 1767 32.73% 29.99% 37.28%-0.08 +0.2 46
2011-04-02 Kapfenberger W 2-048.6 1780 1564 65.82% 21.26% 12.92%+1.29 +5.2 49
2011-04-02 @ Austria Wien L 0-248.6 1564 1780 12.92% 21.26% 65.82%-1.29 -5.2 29
2011-04-02 Mattersburg D 1-167.8 1641 1501 57.36% 25.34% 17.30%+0.89 -1.6 43
2011-04-02 @ Ried D 1-167.8 1501 1641 17.30% 25.34% 57.36%-0.89 +1.6 21
2011-04-02 Rapid Wien D 3-380.5 1727 1755 35.24% 30.04% 34.72%+0.01 -0.0 46
2011-04-02 @ Sturm Graz D 3-380.5 1755 1727 34.72% 30.04% 35.24%-0.01 +0.0 42
2011-04-02 Wacker Innsbruck D 2-275.3 1638 1653 36.97% 30.01% 33.02%+0.07 -0.1 42
2011-04-02 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt D 2-275.3 1653 1638 33.02% 30.01% 36.97%-0.07 +0.1 39
2011-04-03 Salzburg D 1-171.6 1454 1766 11.16% 19.08% 69.76%-1.49 +2.4 13
2011-04-03 @ LASK Linz D 1-171.6 1766 1454 69.76% 19.08% 11.16%+1.49 -2.4 44
2011-04-09 LASK Linz L 0-166.8 1764 1457 74.83% 16.11% 9.06%+1.77 -12.3 44
2011-04-09 @ Salzburg W 1-066.8 1457 1764 9.06% 16.11% 74.83%-1.77 +12.3 16
2011-04-09 Ried D 2-272.8 1503 1640 22.20% 28.00% 49.81%-0.57 +0.8 22
2011-04-09 @ Mattersburg D 2-272.8 1640 1503 49.81% 28.00% 22.20%+0.57 -0.8 44
2011-04-09 Sturm Graz L 0-260.9 1755 1727 42.91% 29.47% 27.62%+0.30 -15.4 42
2011-04-09 @ Rapid Wien W 2-060.9 1727 1755 27.62% 29.47% 42.91%-0.30 +15.4 49
2011-04-09 Magna Wiener Neustadt W 1-058.3 1653 1638 41.27% 29.68% 29.05%+0.23 +6.1 42
2011-04-09 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-158.3 1638 1653 29.05% 29.68% 41.27%-0.23 -6.1 42
2011-04-10 Austria Wien D 3-381.5 1559 1785 15.52% 23.90% 60.58%-1.04 +1.2 30
2011-04-10 @ Kapfenberger D 3-381.5 1785 1559 60.58% 23.90% 15.52%+1.04 -1.2 50
2011-04-16 Kapfenberger L 0-345.9 1469 1560 26.98% 29.35% 43.67%-0.32 -15.8 16
2011-04-16 @ LASK Linz W 3-045.9 1560 1469 43.67% 29.35% 26.98%+0.32 +15.9 33
2011-04-16 Mattersburg L 0-167.6 1784 1503 72.33% 17.60% 10.08%+1.63 -12.0 50
2011-04-16 @ Austria Wien W 1-067.6 1503 1784 10.08% 17.60% 72.33%-1.63 +12.0 25
2011-04-16 Rapid Wien L 0-354.3 1659 1739 28.25% 29.57% 42.18%-0.27 -16.4 42
2011-04-16 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-054.3 1739 1659 42.18% 29.57% 28.25%+0.27 +16.4 45
2011-04-16 Salzburg L 0-357.8 1743 1752 37.83% 29.97% 32.20%+0.10 -20.3 49
2011-04-16 @ Sturm Graz W 3-057.8 1752 1743 32.20% 29.97% 37.83%-0.10 +20.3 47
2011-04-17 Ried L 0-257.8 1632 1639 38.07% 29.96% 31.97%+0.11 -14.1 42
2011-04-17 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt W 2-057.8 1639 1632 31.97% 29.96% 38.07%-0.11 +14.1 47
2011-04-23 LASK Linz D 1-160.8 1515 1453 47.62% 28.56% 23.81%+0.48 -0.9 26
2011-04-23 @ Mattersburg D 1-160.8 1453 1515 23.81% 28.56% 47.62%-0.48 +0.9 17
2011-04-23 Sturm Graz L 0-550.7 1576 1722 21.34% 27.64% 51.02%-0.62 -20.9 33
2011-04-23 @ Kapfenberger W 5-050.7 1722 1576 51.02% 27.64% 21.34%+0.62 +20.9 52
2011-04-23 Wacker Innsbruck L 2-377.1 1772 1643 56.04% 25.87% 18.08%+0.83 -9.0 47
2011-04-23 @ Salzburg W 3-277.1 1643 1772 18.08% 25.87% 56.04%-0.83 +9.0 45
2011-04-23 Magna Wiener Neustadt W 4-154.7 1756 1618 57.08% 25.45% 17.47%+0.88 +9.0 48
2011-04-23 @ Rapid Wien L 1-454.7 1618 1756 17.47% 25.45% 57.08%-0.88 -9.0 42
2011-04-24 Austria Wien D 1-171.1 1653 1772 23.97% 28.61% 47.42%-0.47 +0.9 48
2011-04-24 @ Ried D 1-171.1 1772 1653 47.42% 28.61% 23.97%+0.47 -0.9 51
2011-04-30 Austria Wien W 4-272.2 1609 1771 20.01% 27.00% 52.99%-0.70 +14.0 45
2011-04-30 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt L 2-472.2 1771 1609 52.99% 27.00% 20.01%+0.70 -14.0 51
2011-04-30 Kapfenberger D 1-168.8 1652 1555 52.06% 27.31% 20.63%+0.66 -1.3 46
2011-04-30 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-168.8 1555 1652 20.63% 27.31% 52.06%-0.66 +1.3 34
2011-04-30 Mattersburg W 4-044.9 1743 1515 67.16% 20.53% 12.30%+1.35 +9.3 55
2011-04-30 @ Sturm Graz L 0-444.9 1515 1743 12.30% 20.53% 67.16%-1.35 -9.3 26
2011-04-30 Ried D 1-166.8 1454 1654 17.21% 25.27% 57.52%-0.90 +1.7 18
2011-04-30 @ LASK Linz D 1-166.8 1654 1454 57.52% 25.27% 17.21%+0.90 -1.7 49
2011-05-01 Salzburg L 1-268.8 1765 1763 39.32% 29.87% 30.81%+0.16 -7.2 48
2011-05-01 @ Rapid Wien W 2-168.8 1763 1765 30.81% 29.87% 39.32%-0.16 +7.2 50
2011-05-07 LASK Linz W 5-042.3 1757 1456 74.27% 16.45% 9.28%+1.73 +8.1 54
2011-05-07 @ Austria Wien L 0-542.3 1456 1757 9.28% 16.45% 74.27%-1.73 -8.1 18
2011-05-07 Rapid Wien D 1-171.2 1556 1757 17.11% 25.20% 57.69%-0.91 +1.7 35
2011-05-07 @ Kapfenberger D 1-171.2 1757 1556 57.69% 25.20% 17.11%+0.91 -1.7 49
2011-05-07 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-167.2 1505 1650 21.47% 27.70% 50.84%-0.61 +8.8 29
2011-05-07 @ Mattersburg L 1-267.2 1650 1505 50.84% 27.70% 21.47%+0.61 -8.8 46
2011-05-07 Magna Wiener Neustadt W 4-049.1 1770 1623 58.22% 24.97% 16.81%+0.93 +13.3 53
2011-05-07 @ Salzburg L 0-449.1 1623 1770 16.81% 24.97% 58.22%-0.93 -13.3 45
2011-05-08 Sturm Graz D 0-066.1 1652 1752 25.93% 29.13% 44.94%-0.37 +0.8 50
2011-05-08 @ Ried D 0-066.1 1752 1652 44.94% 29.13% 25.93%+0.37 -0.8 56
2011-05-10 Kapfenberger W 4-257.8 1784 1558 66.88% 20.69% 12.43%+1.34 +3.8 56
2011-05-10 @ Salzburg L 2-457.8 1558 1784 12.43% 20.69% 66.88%-1.34 -3.8 35
2011-05-11 Austria Wien D 1-171.1 1752 1765 37.24% 30.00% 32.77%+0.08 -0.2 57
2011-05-11 @ Sturm Graz D 1-171.1 1765 1752 32.77% 30.00% 37.24%-0.08 +0.2 55
2011-05-11 LASK Linz D 0-060.6 1609 1448 59.81% 24.26% 15.93%+1.00 -2.0 46
2011-05-11 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt D 0-060.6 1448 1609 15.93% 24.26% 59.81%-1.00 +2.0 19
2011-05-11 Mattersburg D 0-067.5 1756 1514 68.51% 19.79% 11.70%+1.42 -2.6 50
2011-05-11 @ Rapid Wien D 0-067.5 1514 1756 11.70% 19.79% 68.51%-1.42 +2.7 30
2011-05-11 Ried D 1-169.5 1642 1653 37.50% 29.98% 32.52%+0.09 -0.2 47
2011-05-11 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-169.5 1653 1642 32.52% 29.98% 37.50%-0.09 +0.2 51
2011-05-14 Rapid Wien W 2-169.7 1653 1753 25.98% 29.14% 44.88%-0.37 +8.0 54
2011-05-14 @ Ried L 1-269.7 1753 1653 44.88% 29.14% 25.98%+0.37 -8.0 50
2011-05-14 Sturm Graz L 0-245.5 1450 1752 11.61% 19.67% 68.72%-1.43 -4.6 19
2011-05-14 @ LASK Linz W 2-045.5 1752 1450 68.72% 19.67% 11.61%+1.43 +4.6 60
2011-05-14 Wacker Innsbruck W 1-055.2 1765 1642 55.35% 26.15% 18.51%+0.80 +4.1 58
2011-05-14 @ Austria Wien L 0-155.2 1642 1765 18.51% 26.15% 55.35%-0.80 -4.1 47
2011-05-14 Magna Wiener Neustadt L 0-156.6 1554 1607 31.62% 29.93% 38.44%-0.13 -6.5 35
2011-05-14 @ Kapfenberger W 1-056.6 1607 1554 38.44% 29.93% 31.62%+0.13 +6.5 49
2011-05-15 Salzburg L 0-151.2 1517 1788 13.07% 21.43% 65.49%-1.27 -2.8 30
2011-05-15 @ Mattersburg W 1-051.2 1788 1517 65.49% 21.43% 13.07%+1.27 +2.8 59
2011-05-22 Austria Wien L 0-357.2 1745 1769 35.69% 30.04% 34.28%+0.03 -19.5 50
2011-05-22 @ Rapid Wien W 3-057.2 1769 1745 34.28% 30.04% 35.69%-0.03 +19.5 61
2011-05-22 LASK Linz W 1-046.7 1637 1445 63.26% 22.59% 14.15%+1.16 +3.1 50
2011-05-22 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-146.7 1445 1637 14.15% 22.59% 63.26%-1.16 -3.1 19
2011-05-22 Mattersburg W 2-157.5 1547 1514 43.77% 29.33% 26.89%+0.33 +5.4 38
2011-05-22 @ Kapfenberger L 1-257.5 1514 1547 26.89% 29.33% 43.77%-0.33 -5.4 30
2011-05-22 Ried D 2-277.9 1790 1661 56.01% 25.89% 18.11%+0.83 -1.1 60
2011-05-22 @ Salzburg D 2-277.9 1661 1790 18.11% 25.89% 56.01%-0.83 +1.2 55
2011-05-22 Sturm Graz L 1-262.1 1614 1756 21.72% 27.80% 50.47%-0.60 -4.5 49
2011-05-22 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt W 2-162.1 1756 1614 50.47% 27.80% 21.72%+0.60 +4.5 63
2011-05-25 Kapfenberger W 2-050.3 1662 1553 53.64% 26.78% 19.58%+0.73 +8.2 58
2011-05-25 @ Ried L 0-250.3 1553 1662 19.58% 26.78% 53.64%-0.73 -8.2 38
2011-05-25 Rapid Wien L 1-253.9 1442 1726 12.45% 20.72% 66.83%-1.34 -2.5 19
2011-05-25 @ LASK Linz W 2-153.9 1726 1442 66.83% 20.72% 12.45%+1.34 +2.5 53
2011-05-25 Salzburg L 2-469.7 1789 1789 39.06% 29.89% 31.05%+0.15 -11.1 61
2011-05-25 @ Austria Wien W 4-269.7 1789 1789 31.05% 29.89% 39.06%-0.15 +11.1 63
2011-05-25 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-161.0 1761 1640 54.93% 26.30% 18.76%+0.78 +3.9 66
2011-05-25 @ Sturm Graz L 1-261.0 1640 1761 18.76% 26.30% 54.93%-0.78 -3.9 50
2011-05-25 Magna Wiener Neustadt D 1-165.9 1508 1609 25.86% 29.12% 45.02%-0.38 +0.7 31
2011-05-25 @ Mattersburg D 1-165.9 1609 1508 45.02% 29.12% 25.86%+0.38 -0.7 50

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-04-09 9.06% LASK Linz 1457 1 @ Salzburg 1764 0
2 2011-04-16 10.08% Mattersburg 1503 1 @ Austria Wien 1784 0
3 2010-10-16 13.71% Kapfenberger 1551 2 @ Salzburg 1751 0
4 2011-03-01 13.99% @ Mattersburg 1498 1 Rapid Wien 1751 0
5 2010-08-28 14.28% @ Mattersburg 1507 1 Salzburg 1754 0
6 2010-08-08 15.82% Ried 1582 1 @ Austria Wien 1745 0
7 2010-08-29 16.54% @ LASK Linz 1542 1 Rapid Wien 1752 0
8 2010-10-23 16.70% Mattersburg 1495 3 @ Ried 1645 1
9 2011-04-23 18.08% Wacker Innsbruck 1643 3 @ Salzburg 1772 2
10 2010-12-04 19.90% Kapfenberger 1557 3 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1662 1
11 2011-04-30 20.01% @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 1609 4 Austria Wien 1771 2
12 2011-05-07 21.47% @ Mattersburg 1505 2 Wacker Innsbruck 1650 1
13 2010-07-25 21.72% Magna Wiener Neustadt 1652 2 @ Rapid Wien 1736 1
14 2011-02-26 21.80% @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 1627 1 Salzburg 1768 0
15 2011-02-12 22.29% @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 1625 2 Rapid Wien 1762 0
16 2010-07-18 22.76% @ Wacker Innsbruck 1638 4 Rapid Wien 1769 0
17 2010-10-16 23.36% Ried 1636 1 @ Sturm Graz 1703 0
18 2010-08-21 23.86% Ried 1593 5 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 1654 0
19 2010-10-16 23.92% @ LASK Linz 1528 2 Magna Wiener Neustadt 1648 1
20 2010-11-07 24.23% @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 1641 1 Salzburg 1758 0
21 2010-08-29 25.37% Wacker Innsbruck 1686 3 @ Austria Wien 1734 0
22 2010-09-22 25.82% @ Ried 1632 3 Rapid Wien 1733 1
23 2011-05-14 25.98% @ Ried 1653 2 Rapid Wien 1753 1
24 2010-10-02 26.13% Mattersburg 1497 1 @ LASK Linz 1537 0
25 2011-03-13 26.30% Rapid Wien 1749 1 @ Austria Wien 1788 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-08-21 38.89 Ried 5 1593 23.86% @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 0 1654 47.56% 28.58%
2 2010-07-18 32.31 @ Wacker Innsbruck 4 1638 22.76% Rapid Wien 0 1769 49.04% 28.21%
3 2010-07-17 25.36 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 5 1627 43.93% LASK Linz 0 1592 26.76% 29.31%
4 2010-08-29 23.40 Wacker Innsbruck 3 1686 25.37% @ Austria Wien 0 1734 45.63% 29.00%
5 2010-10-16 20.90 Kapfenberger 2 1551 13.71% @ Salzburg 0 1751 64.15% 22.14%
6 2011-04-23 20.87 Sturm Graz 5 1722 51.02% @ Kapfenberger 0 1576 21.34% 27.64%
7 2010-10-27 20.74 @ Salzburg 4 1737 43.61% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1705 27.03% 29.36%
8 2011-04-16 20.34 Salzburg 3 1752 32.20% @ Sturm Graz 0 1743 37.83% 29.97%
9 2011-05-22 19.51 Austria Wien 3 1769 34.28% @ Rapid Wien 0 1745 35.69% 30.04%
10 2010-10-23 18.55 Sturm Graz 4 1694 47.87% @ Kapfenberger 0 1572 23.63% 28.50%
11 2010-09-21 17.54 Sturm Graz 4 1692 49.83% @ LASK Linz 0 1554 22.18% 27.99%
12 2011-02-12 17.20 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 2 1625 22.29% Rapid Wien 0 1762 49.68% 28.03%
13 2010-07-24 17.01 Ried 4 1559 32.61% @ Mattersburg 1 1547 37.40% 29.99%
14 2010-10-23 16.90 Mattersburg 3 1495 16.70% @ Ried 1 1645 58.42% 24.88%
15 2010-11-20 16.70 Sturm Graz 3 1713 41.50% @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 0 1638 28.84% 29.66%
16 2011-04-16 16.44 Rapid Wien 3 1739 42.18% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1659 28.25% 29.57%
17 2011-04-16 15.85 Kapfenberger 3 1560 43.67% @ LASK Linz 0 1469 26.98% 29.35%
18 2010-09-11 15.84 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 3 1608 43.72% Kapfenberger 0 1575 26.94% 29.34%
19 2010-07-17 15.80 Sturm Graz 3 1666 43.80% @ Ried 0 1575 26.87% 29.33%
20 2011-02-19 15.77 @ Austria Wien 4 1750 53.32% Magna Wiener Neustadt 0 1643 19.79% 26.89%
21 2010-12-04 15.71 Kapfenberger 3 1557 19.90% @ Wacker Innsbruck 1 1662 53.15% 26.95%
22 2010-10-30 15.46 Ried 3 1628 44.66% @ LASK Linz 0 1530 26.16% 29.18%
23 2011-04-09 15.37 Sturm Graz 2 1727 27.62% @ Rapid Wien 0 1755 42.91% 29.47%
24 2010-09-22 14.70 Magna Wiener Neustadt 3 1624 46.59% @ Mattersburg 0 1511 24.61% 28.80%
25 2011-03-05 14.42 Austria Wien 3 1774 47.30% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1656 24.06% 28.64%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-04-10 81.5 @ Kapfenberger 3 1559 15.52% Austria Wien 3 1785 60.58% 23.90%
2 2010-12-11 81.2 @ Rapid Wien 3 1762 54.43% Wacker Innsbruck 3 1646 19.08% 26.49%
3 2011-04-02 80.5 @ Sturm Graz 3 1727 35.24% Rapid Wien 3 1755 34.72% 30.04%
4 2010-11-20 78.2 @ Kapfenberger 3 1562 25.81% Ried 3 1663 45.08% 29.10%
5 2011-05-22 77.9 @ Salzburg 2 1790 56.01% Ried 2 1661 18.11% 25.89%
6 2011-03-02 77.1 @ Austria Wien 2 1774 44.81% Sturm Graz 2 1733 26.04% 29.16%
7 2011-04-23 77.1 Wacker Innsbruck 3 1643 18.08% @ Salzburg 2 1772 56.04% 25.87%
8 2011-03-12 76.9 @ Ried 2 1649 23.97% Salzburg 2 1767 47.41% 28.61%
9 2010-11-13 76.2 @ Mattersburg 2 1502 15.36% Rapid Wien 2 1731 60.88% 23.76%
10 2010-08-01 76.1 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1670 36.20% Sturm Graz 2 1690 33.77% 30.03%
11 2011-03-02 75.6 @ Ried 2 1658 39.47% Wacker Innsbruck 2 1655 30.67% 29.86%
12 2011-04-02 75.3 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 2 1638 36.97% Wacker Innsbruck 2 1653 33.02% 30.01%
13 2010-10-02 74.7 Sturm Graz 3 1695 26.51% @ Austria Wien 2 1732 44.24% 29.26%
14 2011-04-09 72.8 @ Mattersburg 2 1503 22.20% Ried 2 1640 49.81% 28.00%
15 2010-09-25 72.3 @ Mattersburg 3 1496 33.36% LASK Linz 3 1537 36.62% 30.02%
16 2011-04-30 72.2 @ Magna Wiener Neustadt 4 1609 20.01% Austria Wien 2 1771 52.99% 27.00%
17 2011-04-03 71.6 @ LASK Linz 1 1454 11.16% Salzburg 1 1766 69.76% 19.08%
18 2010-10-30 71.3 @ Austria Wien 1 1741 52.63% Magna Wiener Neustadt 1 1640 20.25% 27.13%
19 2011-03-05 71.3 @ Sturm Graz 1 1733 72.36% LASK Linz 1 1453 10.06% 17.58%
20 2010-10-31 71.2 @ Salzburg 1 1758 44.43% Rapid Wien 1 1720 26.35% 29.22%
21 2010-12-04 71.2 @ Salzburg 1 1765 42.44% Austria Wien 1 1741 28.02% 29.53%
22 2011-02-20 71.2 @ Salzburg 1 1769 42.54% Rapid Wien 1 1744 27.94% 29.52%
23 2011-03-20 71.2 @ Salzburg 1 1767 37.28% Austria Wien 1 1780 32.73% 29.99%
24 2011-05-07 71.2 @ Kapfenberger 1 1556 17.11% Rapid Wien 1 1757 57.69% 25.20%
25 2011-02-13 71.1 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1 1647 23.59% Salzburg 1 1770 47.92% 28.49%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-05-07 42.3 @ Austria Wien 5 1757 74.27% LASK Linz 0 1456 9.28% 16.45%
2 2011-02-26 44.0 Austria Wien 4 1765 68.55% @ LASK Linz 0 1465 11.68% 19.76%
3 2010-12-04 44.3 @ Sturm Graz 5 1717 67.05% LASK Linz 0 1489 12.35% 20.60%
4 2010-11-20 44.9 @ Rapid Wien 5 1730 66.94% LASK Linz 0 1503 12.40% 20.66%
5 2011-04-30 44.9 @ Sturm Graz 4 1743 67.16% Mattersburg 0 1515 12.30% 20.53%
6 2011-02-19 45.4 @ Ried 2 1657 62.58% LASK Linz 0 1471 14.49% 22.94%
7 2011-05-14 45.5 Sturm Graz 2 1752 68.72% @ LASK Linz 0 1450 11.61% 19.67%
8 2011-04-16 45.9 Kapfenberger 3 1560 43.67% @ LASK Linz 0 1469 26.98% 29.35%
9 2011-03-05 46.5 @ Salzburg 2 1763 69.76% Mattersburg 0 1509 11.16% 19.08%
10 2011-05-22 46.7 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1 1637 63.26% LASK Linz 0 1445 14.15% 22.59%
11 2010-08-22 46.8 @ Rapid Wien 2 1747 67.87% Mattersburg 0 1511 11.98% 20.14%
12 2010-10-17 47.0 Austria Wien 3 1725 59.85% @ Mattersburg 0 1505 15.91% 24.24%
13 2011-02-26 47.6 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1648 57.69% Mattersburg 0 1505 17.11% 25.20%
14 2010-09-11 48.0 @ Sturm Graz 2 1685 60.52% Mattersburg 0 1518 15.55% 23.93%
15 2010-09-22 48.6 Magna Wiener Neustadt 3 1624 46.59% @ Mattersburg 0 1511 24.61% 28.80%
16 2011-04-02 48.6 @ Austria Wien 2 1780 65.82% Kapfenberger 0 1564 12.92% 21.26%
17 2010-07-18 49.0 @ Austria Wien 2 1736 62.30% Mattersburg 0 1553 14.63% 23.07%
18 2011-05-07 49.1 @ Salzburg 4 1770 58.22% Magna Wiener Neustadt 0 1623 16.81% 24.97%
19 2011-02-26 49.3 @ Rapid Wien 2 1745 61.97% Kapfenberger 0 1564 14.80% 23.24%
20 2010-11-20 49.4 @ Salzburg 1 1749 68.85% Mattersburg 0 1504 11.55% 19.60%
21 2011-03-12 49.4 Wacker Innsbruck 1 1641 55.79% @ LASK Linz 0 1455 18.24% 25.97%
22 2010-08-21 49.9 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1679 56.02% LASK Linz 0 1549 18.10% 25.88%
23 2010-09-21 49.9 Sturm Graz 4 1692 49.83% @ LASK Linz 0 1554 22.18% 27.99%
24 2010-10-30 49.9 Ried 3 1628 44.66% @ LASK Linz 0 1530 26.16% 29.18%
25 2011-02-12 50.1 @ Sturm Graz 2 1723 58.64% Kapfenberger 0 1571 16.57% 24.78%