2009-10 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Salzburg

76 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Austria Wien

15.13 points above expected

75 points · 59.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ried

14.59 points below expected

38 points · 52.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Salzburg	36	22	10	4	76	68	27	+41	67.27	+8.73
2	Austria Wien	36	23	6	7	75	60	34	+26	59.87	+15.13
3	Rapid Wien	36	21	10	5	73	80	38	+42	69.54	+3.46
4	Sturm Graz	36	16	10	10	58	50	36	+14	61.51	-3.51
5	Magna Wiener Neustadt	36	13	8	15	47	54	58	-4	45.72	+1.28
6	Mattersburg	36	12	5	19	41	45	71	-26	38.81	+2.19
7	LASK Linz	36	9	13	14	40	59	70	-11	41.05	-1.05
8	Ried	36	10	8	18	38	39	47	-8	52.59	-14.59
9	Kapfenberger	36	8	9	19	33	44	67	-23	33.65	-0.65
10	SK Austria Karnten	36	2	9	25	15	29	80	-51	27.16	-12.16

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Austria Wien	75	59.87	+15.13
2	Salzburg	76	67.27	+8.73
3	Rapid Wien	73	69.54	+3.46
4	Mattersburg	41	38.81	+2.19
5	Magna Wiener Neustadt	47	45.72	+1.28

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ried	38	52.59	-14.59
2	SK Austria Karnten	15	27.16	-12.16
3	Sturm Graz	58	61.51	-3.51
4	LASK Linz	40	41.05	-1.05
5	Kapfenberger	33	33.65	-0.65

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Austria Wien	6	Apr 17 – May 13	1 in 67
2	Mattersburg	3	Aug 23 – Sep 12	1 in 20
3	Kapfenberger	2	Oct 28 – Nov 1	1 in 15
4	Magna Wiener Neustadt	2	Dec 4 – Dec 12	1 in 8
5	Sturm Graz	4	Feb 14 – Mar 6	1 in 8

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Salzburg	2	May 4 – May 9	1 in 50
2	Austria Wien	2	Oct 28 – Oct 31	1 in 21
3	Ried	3	Dec 6 – Feb 13	1 in 19
4	Sturm Graz	3	Nov 8 – Nov 25	1 in 19
5	Magna Wiener Neustadt	2	Aug 30 – Sep 12	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	LASK Linz	7	Mar 24 – Apr 24	1 in 221
2	Salzburg	22	Oct 25 – May 1	1 in 158
3	Austria Wien	12	Mar 21 – May 13	1 in 50
4	Magna Wiener Neustadt	6	Feb 19 – Mar 24	1 in 45
5	SK Austria Karnten	3	Apr 24 – May 5	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	SK Austria Karnten	17	Sep 23 – Mar 12	1 in 61
2	Ried	7	Nov 27 – Mar 6	1 in 58
3	LASK Linz	11	Sep 27 – Dec 12	1 in 33
4	Rapid Wien	4	Feb 12 – Mar 7	1 in 31
5	Sturm Graz	6	Nov 8 – Dec 13	1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Salzburg	1851	76	-33	7	9.7	-2.7
Austria Wien	1833	75	+57	15	8.8	+6.2
Rapid Wien	1875	73	+17	10	8.9	+1.1
Sturm Graz	1709	58	-46	6	8.0	-2.0
Magna Wiener Neustadt	1646	47	+12	7	7.1	-0.1
Mattersburg	1525	41	-22	4	5.7	-1.7
LASK Linz	1584	40	+1	7	6.6	+0.4
Ried	1552	38	-42	3	5.7	-2.7
Kapfenberger	1544	33	+52	7	4.9	+2.1
SK Austria Karnten	1385	15	+4	4	3.6	+0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AW	KAP	LL	MWN	MAT	RW	RIE	SAK	SAL	SG
Austria Wien	—	2-1-1 8.41	3-0-1 7.40	3-0-1 6.96	3-1-0 7.72	1-1-2 4.58	3-1-0 6.46	3-0-1 8.99	2-1-1 4.68	3-1-0 5.25
Kapfenberger	1-1-2 2.67	—	2-1-1 4.66	2-0-2 4.08	0-1-3 5.20	0-1-3 2.20	0-1-3 3.56	2-2-0 6.22	1-0-3 2.18	0-2-2 2.63
LASK Linz	1-0-3 3.65	1-1-2 6.32	—	1-1-2 4.88	2-0-2 5.72	1-2-1 2.34	1-2-1 4.59	1-3-0 7.46	0-2-2 2.84	1-2-1 3.11
Magna Wiener Neustadt	1-0-3 4.04	2-0-2 6.94	2-1-1 6.11	—	3-0-1 5.80	0-1-3 3.17	3-0-1 4.69	2-2-0 7.60	0-2-2 3.41	0-2-2 3.88
Mattersburg	0-1-3 3.34	3-1-0 5.78	2-0-2 5.27	1-0-3 5.20	—	1-0-3 2.47	2-1-1 4.25	3-1-0 7.04	0-0-4 2.65	0-1-3 3.12
Rapid Wien	2-1-1 6.42	3-1-0 8.98	1-2-1 8.77	3-1-0 7.89	3-0-1 8.65	—	3-1-0 7.26	4-0-0 9.33	0-3-1 5.80	2-1-1 6.68
Ried	0-1-3 4.59	3-1-0 7.47	1-2-1 6.39	1-0-3 6.32	1-1-2 6.76	0-1-3 3.78	—	2-1-1 8.32	1-1-2 4.34	1-0-3 4.37
SK Austria Karnten	1-0-3 2.18	0-2-2 4.78	0-3-1 3.57	0-2-2 3.45	0-1-3 3.97	0-0-4 1.88	1-1-2 2.76	—	0-0-4 1.99	0-0-4 2.43
Salzburg	1-1-2 6.30	3-0-1 8.97	2-2-0 8.24	2-2-0 7.66	4-0-0 8.47	1-3-0 5.19	2-1-1 6.72	4-0-0 9.21	—	3-1-0 6.26
Sturm Graz	0-1-3 5.74	2-2-0 8.48	1-2-1 7.93	2-2-0 7.12	3-1-0 7.92	1-1-2 4.33	3-0-1 6.63	4-0-0 8.73	0-1-3 4.72	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.74	+11.9
Allowed	0.81	-9.8
Differential	0.94	+6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.78%	9.17%	4.72%	4.44%	2.22%	—	28.33%
1	9.17%	10.00%	4.44%	4.17%	1.94%	1.11%	30.83%
2	4.72%	4.44%	5.56%	2.22%	1.67%	0.56%	19.17%
3	4.44%	4.17%	2.22%	1.11%	0.56%	0.28%	12.78%
4	2.22%	1.94%	1.67%	0.56%	—	0.28%	6.67%
5+	—	1.11%	0.56%	0.28%	0.28%	—	2.22%
Total	28.33%	30.83%	19.17%	12.78%	6.67%	2.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.47	+0.00
SD	1.37	1.37	1.94
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
1	33.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	55.56%
2	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
Total	47.22%	30.56%	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	0.94	+0.72
SD	1.29	1.22	1.45
CV	0.77	1.29	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	36.11%
1	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	16.67%	30.56%	19.44%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.86	-0.64
SD	1.44	1.38	1.87
CV	1.18	0.74	—
Max	7	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	25.00%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	13.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	13.89%	25.00%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.94	-0.31
SD	1.36	1.74	2.08
CV	0.83	0.89	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	30.56%
1	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
2	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	38.89%	11.11%	22.22%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.61	-0.11
SD	1.30	1.27	1.86
CV	0.87	0.79	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	—	38.89%
1	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	—	5.56%	27.78%
2	—	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	25.00%	25.00%	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.97	-0.72
SD	1.34	1.48	2.30
CV	1.07	0.75	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	50.00%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.22	1.06	+1.17
SD	1.48	0.95	1.59
CV	0.66	0.90	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
1	8.33%	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	30.56%	33.33%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.31	-0.22
SD	1.18	0.98	1.68
CV	1.09	0.75	—
Max	5	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	41.67%
2	—	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	19.44%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	25.00%	16.67%	25.00%	13.89%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	2.22	-1.42
SD	0.75	1.61	1.50
CV	0.93	0.72	—
Max	2	7	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
2	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	44.44%	36.11%	19.44%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	0.75	+1.14
SD	1.67	0.77	1.66
CV	0.88	1.03	—
Max	7	2	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	27.78%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.00	+0.39
SD	1.27	1.17	1.76
CV	0.92	1.17	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rapid Wien	1875	73	69.54	+3.46	69.2%	48	58	64	70	75	82	90
Salzburg	1851	76	67.27	+8.73	88.4%	44	55	62	67	72	80	89
Austria Wien	1833	75	59.87	+15.13	98.5%	37	48	55	60	65	72	84
Sturm Graz	1709	58	61.51	-3.51	33.4%	38	49	56	62	66	73	84
Magna Wiener Neustadt	1646	47	45.72	+1.28	61.0%	26	34	41	46	51	58	68
LASK Linz	1584	40	41.05	-1.05	48.0%	19	30	36	41	46	53	60
Ried	1552	38	52.59	-14.59	3.2%	30	40	48	53	58	65	73
Kapfenberger	1544	33	33.65	-0.65	52.9%	13	23	29	33	38	45	61
Mattersburg	1525	41	38.81	+2.19	65.4%	16	27	34	39	44	50	65
SK Austria Karnten	1385	15	27.16	-12.16	2.7%	9	17	23	27	31	37	48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+26.67%

Strong Edge

51.11%24.44%24.44%

Elo Value

Home Edge

182 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

094.94500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.68 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.52+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.8

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

34%

Salzburg, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.03/gm

Photo Finish

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.72 * Some Luck: 5.72 to 8.58 * Lucky: 8.58 to 11.44 * Wild Swing: 11.44 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.75 * Close: 0.75 to 1.12 * Off: 1.12 to 1.49 * Way Off: 1.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.35 points

Some Luck

07.1518

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

Off

00.932

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

98.50%

Austria Wien

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

2.70%

SK Austria Karnten

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

2.27

Wide Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

81%

Wide Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

94%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Very Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.53

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.46

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.37

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.54

Some Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Chalky

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

13%

Solid Favorites

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.40

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.18

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.080

Well Within Noise

00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Salzburg	33.90%	32.30%	17.40%	11.20%	4.10%	1.00%	0.10%	—	—	—
Austria Wien	8.20%	15.30%	26.30%	27.70%	15.20%	5.60%	1.30%	0.40%	—	—
Rapid Wien	47.00%	28.00%	15.30%	7.10%	2.20%	0.40%	—	—	—	—
Sturm Graz	10.10%	20.20%	29.10%	22.30%	12.70%	4.30%	1.00%	0.30%	—	—
Magna Wiener Neustadt	0.10%	0.40%	2.20%	6.60%	18.50%	32.50%	21.50%	12.10%	5.30%	0.80%
Mattersburg	—	0.10%	0.20%	1.30%	5.00%	13.10%	23.80%	29.80%	19.30%	7.40%
LASK Linz	—	—	0.30%	3.50%	7.10%	19.80%	28.30%	24.70%	11.70%	4.60%
Ried	0.70%	3.60%	9.10%	20.10%	34.00%	19.10%	8.70%	3.40%	1.20%	0.10%
Kapfenberger	—	0.10%	0.10%	0.20%	1.00%	3.50%	12.50%	23.10%	39.80%	19.70%
SK Austria Karnten	—	—	—	—	0.20%	0.70%	2.80%	6.20%	22.70%	67.40%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Austria Wien	100%	—
Rapid Wien	100%	—
Salzburg	100%	—
Sturm Graz	100%	—
Ried	99.90%	0.10%
Magna Wiener Neustadt	99.20%	0.80%
LASK Linz	95.40%	4.60%
Mattersburg	92.60%	7.40%
Kapfenberger	80.30%	19.70%
SK Austria Karnten	32.60%	67.40%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2009-07-17	SK Austria Karnten	W 3-1	54.8	1641	1587	55.90%	24.61%	19.49%	+0.82	+13.2	3
2009-07-17	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 1-3	54.8	1587	1641	19.49%	24.61%	55.90%	-0.82	-13.2	0
2009-07-18	Mattersburg	W 4-0	47.1	1572	1584	48.26%	25.51%	26.24%	+0.46	+37.1	3
2009-07-18	@ LASK Linz	L 0-4	47.1	1584	1572	26.24%	25.51%	48.26%	-0.46	-37.0	0
2009-07-18	Ried	L 0-1	58.1	1573	1710	31.28%	25.81%	42.91%	-0.23	-11.9	0
2009-07-18	@ Kapfenberger	W 1-0	58.1	1710	1573	42.91%	25.81%	31.28%	+0.23	+11.9	3
2009-07-19	Austria Wien	W 2-1	60.8	1708	1675	53.65%	24.94%	21.41%	+0.71	+8.2	3
2009-07-19	@ Salzburg	L 1-2	60.8	1675	1708	21.41%	24.94%	53.65%	-0.71	-8.2	0
2009-07-24	Austria Wien	L 4-5	75.2	1609	1666	42.38%	25.83%	31.79%	+0.21	-12.9	3
2009-07-24	@ LASK Linz	W 5-4	75.2	1666	1609	31.79%	25.83%	42.38%	-0.21	+12.9	3
2009-07-25	Salzburg	W 1-0	57.3	1722	1716	50.42%	25.31%	24.26%	+0.55	+9.7	6
2009-07-25	@ Ried	L 0-1	57.3	1716	1722	24.26%	25.31%	50.42%	-0.55	-9.7	3
2009-07-26	Rapid Wien	W 2-1	69.0	1547	1751	23.40%	25.21%	51.39%	-0.60	+16.6	3
2009-07-26	@ Mattersburg	L 1-2	69.0	1751	1547	51.39%	25.21%	23.40%	+0.60	-16.6	0
2009-07-26	SK Austria Karnten	W 3-2	63.0	1561	1574	48.18%	25.51%	26.31%	+0.45	+9.3	3
2009-07-26	@ Kapfenberger	L 2-3	63.0	1574	1561	26.31%	25.51%	48.18%	-0.45	-9.3	0
2009-07-26	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 3-0	49.2	1703	1654	55.37%	24.69%	19.94%	+0.79	+22.5	3
2009-07-26	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-3	49.2	1654	1703	19.94%	24.69%	55.37%	-0.79	-22.5	3
2009-07-31	Ried	W 2-1	65.9	1632	1732	36.34%	25.92%	37.74%	-0.03	+12.9	6
2009-07-31	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 1-2	65.9	1732	1632	37.74%	25.92%	36.34%	+0.03	-12.9	6
2009-08-01	LASK Linz	W 3-2	62.4	1706	1596	61.43%	23.51%	15.05%	+1.13	+5.7	6
2009-08-01	@ Salzburg	L 2-3	62.4	1596	1706	15.05%	23.51%	61.43%	-1.13	-5.7	3
2009-08-02	Kapfenberger	W 3-0	46.0	1679	1570	61.32%	23.54%	15.14%	+1.12	+17.5	6
2009-08-02	@ Austria Wien	L 0-3	46.0	1570	1679	15.14%	23.54%	61.32%	-1.12	-17.5	3
2009-08-02	Mattersburg	W 2-0	47.7	1726	1564	65.89%	22.27%	11.83%	+1.41	+9.5	6
2009-08-02	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	47.7	1564	1726	11.83%	22.27%	65.89%	-1.41	-9.5	3
2009-08-02	SK Austria Karnten	W 5-1	48.3	1734	1565	66.53%	22.07%	11.41%	+1.46	+14.4	3
2009-08-02	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-5	48.3	1565	1734	11.41%	22.07%	66.53%	-1.46	-14.4	0
2009-08-07	Kapfenberger	W 4-0	45.0	1591	1553	54.14%	24.87%	20.99%	+0.73	+30.7	6
2009-08-07	@ LASK Linz	L 0-4	45.0	1553	1591	20.99%	24.87%	54.14%	-0.73	-30.7	3
2009-08-08	Salzburg	L 2-3	66.6	1554	1712	28.63%	25.68%	45.68%	-0.35	-9.9	3
2009-08-08	@ Mattersburg	W 3-2	66.6	1712	1554	45.68%	25.68%	28.63%	+0.35	+9.9	9
2009-08-09	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	72.2	1719	1749	45.95%	25.67%	28.39%	+0.36	-1.3	7
2009-08-09	@ Ried	D 1-1	72.2	1749	1719	28.39%	25.67%	45.95%	-0.36	+1.3	4
2009-08-09	Sturm Graz	L 1-3	57.8	1550	1735	25.41%	25.43%	49.16%	-0.50	-16.5	0
2009-08-09	@ SK Austria Karnten	W 3-1	57.8	1735	1550	49.16%	25.43%	25.41%	+0.50	+16.5	9
2009-08-09	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 2-1	59.8	1697	1645	55.69%	24.64%	19.67%	+0.81	+7.7	9
2009-08-09	@ Austria Wien	L 1-2	59.8	1645	1697	19.67%	24.64%	55.69%	-0.81	-7.7	6
2009-08-21	Ried	D 0-0	66.2	1534	1717	25.57%	25.45%	48.98%	-0.49	+2.0	1
2009-08-21	@ SK Austria Karnten	D 0-0	66.2	1717	1534	48.98%	25.45%	25.57%	+0.49	-1.9	8
2009-08-22	Salzburg	D 1-1	71.5	1637	1722	38.45%	25.92%	35.64%	+0.05	-0.2	7
2009-08-22	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	D 1-1	71.5	1722	1637	35.64%	25.92%	38.45%	-0.05	+0.2	10
2009-08-23	Austria Wien	L 0-1	66.5	1752	1704	55.18%	24.72%	20.10%	+0.78	-18.8	9
2009-08-23	@ Sturm Graz	W 1-0	66.5	1704	1752	20.10%	24.72%	55.18%	-0.78	+18.8	12
2009-08-23	LASK Linz	W 4-1	51.7	1750	1622	63.09%	23.09%	13.81%	+1.23	+13.5	7
2009-08-23	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-4	51.7	1622	1750	13.81%	23.09%	63.09%	-1.23	-13.5	6
2009-08-23	Mattersburg	L 0-1	57.4	1522	1545	46.96%	25.60%	27.44%	+0.40	-16.3	3
2009-08-23	@ Kapfenberger	W 1-0	57.4	1545	1522	27.44%	25.60%	46.96%	-0.40	+16.3	6
2009-08-28	SK Austria Karnten	W 4-1	49.5	1561	1536	52.72%	25.06%	22.22%	+0.66	+20.8	9
2009-08-28	@ Mattersburg	L 1-4	49.5	1536	1561	22.22%	25.06%	52.72%	-0.66	-20.8	1
2009-08-29	Kapfenberger	W 4-0	42.2	1722	1506	70.02%	20.79%	9.19%	+1.71	+13.8	13
2009-08-29	@ Salzburg	L 0-4	42.2	1506	1722	9.19%	20.79%	70.02%	-1.71	-13.8	3
2009-08-30	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	72.3	1723	1764	44.60%	25.74%	29.66%	+0.30	-1.1	13
2009-08-30	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	72.3	1764	1723	29.66%	25.74%	44.60%	-0.30	+1.1	8
2009-08-30	Sturm Graz	L 1-2	69.3	1715	1733	47.56%	25.56%	26.88%	+0.43	-15.5	8
2009-08-30	@ Ried	W 2-1	69.3	1733	1715	26.88%	25.56%	47.56%	-0.43	+15.5	12
2009-08-30	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 4-2	62.0	1608	1637	46.12%	25.66%	28.22%	+0.36	+16.0	9
2009-08-30	@ LASK Linz	L 2-4	62.0	1637	1608	28.22%	25.66%	46.12%	-0.36	-16.0	7
2009-09-12	Austria Wien	W 2-1	68.2	1515	1722	23.02%	25.17%	51.81%	-0.62	+16.7	4
2009-09-12	@ SK Austria Karnten	L 1-2	68.2	1722	1515	51.81%	25.17%	23.02%	+0.62	-16.7	13
2009-09-12	Kapfenberger	L 2-3	72.6	1621	1492	63.11%	23.09%	13.80%	+1.23	-19.0	7
2009-09-12	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 3-2	72.6	1492	1621	13.80%	23.09%	63.11%	-1.23	+19.0	6
2009-09-12	LASK Linz	D 3-3	81.5	1749	1624	62.74%	23.19%	14.08%	+1.21	-2.4	13
2009-09-12	@ Sturm Graz	D 3-3	81.5	1624	1749	14.08%	23.19%	62.74%	-1.21	+2.4	10
2009-09-12	Ried	W 3-0	54.8	1582	1700	33.78%	25.89%	40.33%	-0.13	+39.5	12
2009-09-12	@ Mattersburg	L 0-3	54.8	1700	1582	40.33%	25.89%	33.78%	+0.13	-39.5	8
2009-09-13	Salzburg	D 2-2	77.7	1765	1736	53.10%	25.01%	21.89%	+0.68	-1.8	9
2009-09-13	@ Rapid Wien	D 2-2	77.7	1736	1765	21.89%	25.01%	53.10%	-0.68	+1.8	14
2009-09-22	Mattersburg	W 3-0	49.7	1602	1621	47.33%	25.58%	27.09%	+0.42	+29.1	10
2009-09-22	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 0-3	49.7	1621	1602	27.09%	25.58%	47.33%	-0.42	-29.1	12
2009-09-23	Rapid Wien	L 0-1	53.9	1511	1763	18.80%	24.47%	56.73%	-0.86	-7.8	6
2009-09-23	@ Kapfenberger	W 1-0	53.9	1763	1511	56.73%	24.47%	18.80%	+0.86	+7.8	12
2009-09-23	Ried	D 1-1	71.9	1705	1660	54.93%	24.76%	20.31%	+0.77	-2.7	14
2009-09-23	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	71.9	1660	1705	20.31%	24.76%	54.93%	-0.77	+2.7	9
2009-09-23	SK Austria Karnten	W 3-1	52.0	1626	1532	60.02%	23.83%	16.14%	+1.05	+11.1	13
2009-09-23	@ LASK Linz	L 1-3	52.0	1532	1626	16.14%	23.83%	60.02%	-1.05	-11.1	4
2009-09-23	Sturm Graz	W 4-2	63.4	1738	1746	48.73%	25.47%	25.80%	+0.48	+14.9	17
2009-09-23	@ Salzburg	L 2-4	63.4	1746	1738	25.80%	25.47%	48.73%	-0.48	-14.9	13
2009-09-26	Austria Wien	L 1-3	60.9	1592	1703	34.82%	25.91%	39.27%	-0.09	-21.1	12
2009-09-26	@ Mattersburg	W 3-1	60.9	1703	1592	39.27%	25.91%	34.82%	+0.09	+21.1	17
2009-09-26	Salzburg	L 1-2	59.3	1520	1753	20.55%	24.80%	54.65%	-0.76	-8.0	4
2009-09-26	@ SK Austria Karnten	W 2-1	59.3	1753	1520	54.65%	24.80%	20.55%	+0.76	+8.0	20
2009-09-26	Sturm Graz	L 0-1	54.0	1503	1731	20.97%	24.87%	54.16%	-0.73	-8.6	6
2009-09-26	@ Kapfenberger	W 1-0	54.0	1731	1503	54.16%	24.87%	20.97%	+0.73	+8.6	16
2009-09-26	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 3-1	54.5	1771	1631	64.07%	22.82%	13.11%	+1.29	+9.1	15
2009-09-26	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-3	54.5	1631	1771	13.11%	22.82%	64.07%	-1.29	-9.1	10
2009-09-27	LASK Linz	W 5-2	57.0	1663	1638	52.74%	25.06%	22.20%	+0.66	+18.0	12
2009-09-27	@ Ried	L 2-5	57.0	1638	1663	22.20%	25.06%	52.74%	-0.66	-18.0	13
2009-10-03	Ried	D 2-2	76.0	1620	1681	41.75%	25.85%	32.40%	+0.18	-0.5	14
2009-10-03	@ LASK Linz	D 2-2	76.0	1681	1620	32.40%	25.85%	41.75%	-0.18	+0.5	13
2009-10-04	Kapfenberger	D 0-0	67.5	1740	1495	71.99%	19.96%	8.05%	+1.87	-5.9	17
2009-10-04	@ Sturm Graz	D 0-0	67.5	1495	1740	8.05%	19.96%	71.99%	-1.87	+5.9	7
2009-10-04	Mattersburg	W 1-0	51.6	1724	1571	65.15%	22.50%	12.34%	+1.36	+5.2	20
2009-10-04	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	51.6	1571	1724	12.34%	22.50%	65.15%	-1.36	-5.2	12
2009-10-04	Rapid Wien	L 0-4	51.6	1622	1780	28.61%	25.68%	45.71%	-0.35	-39.7	10
2009-10-04	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 4-0	51.6	1780	1622	45.71%	25.68%	28.61%	+0.35	+39.7	18
2009-10-04	SK Austria Karnten	W 7-1	45.5	1761	1512	72.21%	19.87%	7.93%	+1.89	+14.2	23
2009-10-04	@ Salzburg	L 1-7	45.5	1512	1761	7.93%	19.87%	72.21%	-1.89	-14.2	4
2009-10-17	Kapfenberger	W 3-0	42.8	1682	1501	67.40%	21.77%	10.83%	+1.52	+12.6	16
2009-10-17	@ Ried	L 0-3	42.8	1501	1682	10.83%	21.77%	67.40%	-1.52	-12.6	7
2009-10-17	LASK Linz	W 3-2	65.9	1566	1619	42.88%	25.82%	31.31%	+0.23	+10.7	15
2009-10-17	@ Mattersburg	L 2-3	65.9	1619	1566	31.31%	25.82%	42.88%	-0.23	-10.6	14
2009-10-17	Salzburg	W 1-0	59.6	1729	1775	43.86%	25.78%	30.37%	+0.27	+11.6	23
2009-10-17	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	59.6	1775	1729	30.37%	25.78%	43.86%	-0.27	-11.6	23
2009-10-17	Magna Wiener Neustadt	D 0-0	61.6	1498	1582	38.62%	25.91%	35.46%	+0.06	-0.2	5
2009-10-17	@ SK Austria Karnten	D 0-0	61.6	1582	1498	35.46%	25.91%	38.62%	-0.06	+0.2	11
2009-10-18	Rapid Wien	W 1-0	61.3	1734	1819	38.38%	25.92%	35.71%	+0.05	+13.2	20
2009-10-18	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-1	61.3	1819	1734	35.71%	25.92%	38.38%	-0.05	-13.2	18
2009-10-24	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	62.4	1498	1488	50.95%	25.26%	23.79%	+0.58	-2.0	6
2009-10-24	@ SK Austria Karnten	D 1-1	62.4	1488	1498	23.79%	25.26%	50.95%	-0.58	+2.0	8
2009-10-25	LASK Linz	W 3-0	46.7	1741	1608	63.42%	23.00%	13.58%	+1.25	+15.8	26
2009-10-25	@ Austria Wien	L 0-3	46.7	1608	1741	13.58%	23.00%	63.42%	-1.25	-15.8	14
2009-10-25	Mattersburg	W 4-0	43.9	1806	1576	70.96%	20.40%	8.63%	+1.79	+12.9	21
2009-10-25	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-4	43.9	1576	1806	8.63%	20.40%	70.96%	-1.79	-12.9	15
2009-10-25	Ried	D 1-1	72.6	1763	1694	57.49%	24.34%	18.17%	+0.90	-3.1	24
2009-10-25	@ Salzburg	D 1-1	72.6	1694	1763	18.17%	24.34%	57.49%	-0.90	+3.1	17
2009-10-25	Sturm Graz	D 0-0	67.2	1582	1747	27.79%	25.63%	46.58%	-0.38	+1.5	12
2009-10-25	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	D 0-0	67.2	1747	1582	46.58%	25.63%	27.79%	+0.38	-1.5	21
2009-10-28	Austria Wien	W 1-0	65.2	1490	1756	17.58%	24.20%	58.22%	-0.94	+19.7	11
2009-10-28	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-1	65.2	1756	1490	58.22%	24.20%	17.58%	+0.94	-19.7	26
2009-10-28	Rapid Wien	L 1-3	53.9	1496	1819	13.51%	22.98%	63.52%	-1.26	-9.4	6
2009-10-28	@ SK Austria Karnten	W 3-1	53.9	1819	1496	63.52%	22.98%	13.51%	+1.26	+9.3	24
2009-10-28	Salzburg	D 0-0	67.5	1593	1760	27.43%	25.60%	46.97%	-0.40	+1.6	15
2009-10-28	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	67.5	1760	1593	46.97%	25.60%	27.43%	+0.40	-1.6	25
2009-10-28	Sturm Graz	L 0-2	53.1	1563	1745	25.76%	25.46%	48.77%	-0.48	-19.2	15
2009-10-28	@ Mattersburg	W 2-0	53.1	1745	1563	48.77%	25.46%	25.76%	+0.48	+19.2	24
2009-10-28	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 3-0	46.4	1697	1584	61.73%	23.44%	14.83%	+1.15	+17.2	20
2009-10-28	@ Ried	L 0-3	46.4	1584	1697	14.83%	23.44%	61.73%	-1.15	-17.2	12
2009-10-31	Austria Wien	W 4-3	75.7	1567	1737	27.16%	25.58%	47.26%	-0.41	+14.3	15
2009-10-31	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 3-4	75.7	1737	1567	47.26%	25.58%	27.16%	+0.41	-14.3	26
2009-10-31	Mattersburg	W 2-0	46.7	1759	1544	69.88%	20.85%	9.27%	+1.70	+7.3	28
2009-10-31	@ Salzburg	L 0-2	46.7	1544	1759	9.27%	20.85%	69.88%	-1.70	-7.3	15
2009-10-31	Ried	W 1-0	54.3	1829	1714	61.82%	23.42%	14.76%	+1.15	+6.2	27
2009-10-31	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-1	54.3	1714	1829	14.76%	23.42%	61.82%	-1.15	-6.2	20
2009-10-31	SK Austria Karnten	W 4-0	41.4	1765	1487	74.12%	18.97%	6.90%	+2.05	+10.1	27
2009-10-31	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-4	41.4	1487	1765	6.90%	18.97%	74.12%	-2.05	-10.1	6
2009-11-01	LASK Linz	W 7-2	53.1	1510	1594	38.53%	25.92%	35.55%	+0.06	+40.1	14
2009-11-01	@ Kapfenberger	L 2-7	53.1	1594	1510	35.55%	25.92%	38.53%	-0.06	-40.1	15
2009-11-07	Kapfenberger	W 4-1	50.5	1537	1550	48.15%	25.51%	26.34%	+0.45	+24.0	18
2009-11-07	@ Mattersburg	L 1-4	50.5	1550	1537	26.34%	25.51%	48.15%	-0.45	-24.0	14
2009-11-08	Rapid Wien	D 3-3	81.4	1554	1835	16.46%	23.92%	59.62%	-1.02	+2.1	16
2009-11-08	@ LASK Linz	D 3-3	81.4	1835	1554	59.62%	23.92%	16.46%	+1.02	-2.1	28
2009-11-08	Salzburg	L 2-3	66.6	1581	1766	25.43%	25.43%	49.14%	-0.50	-9.0	15
2009-11-08	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 3-2	66.6	1766	1581	49.14%	25.43%	25.43%	+0.50	+9.0	31
2009-11-08	SK Austria Karnten	W 1-0	47.8	1708	1476	71.08%	20.35%	8.57%	+1.80	+3.6	23
2009-11-08	@ Ried	L 0-1	47.8	1476	1708	8.57%	20.35%	71.08%	-1.80	-3.6	6
2009-11-08	Sturm Graz	W 1-0	59.8	1722	1775	42.98%	25.81%	31.20%	+0.23	+11.9	29
2009-11-08	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	59.8	1775	1722	31.20%	25.81%	42.98%	-0.23	-11.9	27
2009-11-21	Mattersburg	L 0-3	47.5	1473	1561	38.04%	25.92%	36.04%	+0.04	-37.8	6
2009-11-21	@ SK Austria Karnten	W 3-0	47.5	1561	1473	36.04%	25.92%	38.04%	-0.04	+37.8	21
2009-11-21	Ried	L 0-2	63.1	1763	1712	55.61%	24.66%	19.74%	+0.81	-35.6	27
2009-11-21	@ Sturm Graz	W 2-0	63.1	1712	1763	19.74%	24.66%	55.61%	-0.81	+35.6	26
2009-11-21	Salzburg	L 0-2	50.7	1526	1775	19.02%	24.52%	56.46%	-0.85	-14.9	14
2009-11-21	@ Kapfenberger	W 2-0	50.7	1775	1526	56.46%	24.52%	19.02%	+0.85	+14.9	34
2009-11-22	Austria Wien	W 4-1	53.4	1833	1734	60.36%	23.76%	15.88%	+1.06	+15.4	31
2009-11-22	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-4	53.4	1734	1833	15.88%	23.76%	60.36%	-1.06	-15.4	29
2009-11-25	LASK Linz	W 4-1	50.8	1572	1556	51.62%	25.19%	23.19%	+0.61	+21.6	18
2009-11-25	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 1-4	50.8	1556	1572	23.19%	25.19%	51.62%	-0.61	-21.6	16
2009-11-25	Sturm Graz	W 2-1	59.0	1848	1727	62.41%	23.27%	14.32%	+1.19	+5.7	34
2009-11-25	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-2	59.0	1727	1848	14.32%	23.27%	62.41%	-1.19	-5.7	27
2009-11-27	Mattersburg	D 0-0	68.3	1747	1599	64.81%	22.60%	12.58%	+1.34	-4.7	27
2009-11-27	@ Ried	D 0-0	68.3	1599	1747	12.58%	22.60%	64.81%	-1.34	+4.7	22
2009-11-28	SK Austria Karnten	W 1-0	46.0	1719	1435	74.47%	18.81%	6.73%	+2.08	+2.8	32
2009-11-28	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	46.0	1435	1719	6.73%	18.81%	74.47%	-2.08	-2.8	6
2009-11-28	Sturm Graz	D 2-2	75.5	1535	1722	25.21%	25.41%	49.38%	-0.51	+1.3	17
2009-11-28	@ LASK Linz	D 2-2	75.5	1722	1535	49.38%	25.41%	25.21%	+0.51	-1.3	28
2009-11-28	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 3-1	56.7	1511	1594	38.79%	25.91%	35.30%	+0.07	+21.3	17
2009-11-28	@ Kapfenberger	L 1-3	56.7	1594	1511	35.30%	25.91%	38.79%	-0.07	-21.3	18
2009-11-29	Rapid Wien	D 0-0	68.6	1790	1854	41.42%	25.86%	32.72%	+0.17	-0.7	35
2009-11-29	@ Salzburg	D 0-0	68.6	1854	1790	32.72%	25.86%	41.42%	-0.17	+0.7	35
2009-12-04	Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 1-3	63.9	1603	1572	53.38%	24.97%	21.65%	+0.69	-29.8	22
2009-12-04	@ Mattersburg	W 3-1	63.9	1572	1603	21.65%	24.97%	53.38%	-0.69	+29.8	21
2009-12-05	Kapfenberger	W 3-1	50.6	1855	1532	76.75%	17.63%	5.62%	+2.30	+3.7	38
2009-12-05	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-3	50.6	1532	1855	5.62%	17.63%	76.75%	-2.30	-3.7	17
2009-12-06	Austria Wien	L 0-2	62.2	1743	1722	52.24%	25.12%	22.65%	+0.64	-33.7	27
2009-12-06	@ Ried	W 2-0	62.2	1722	1743	22.65%	25.12%	52.24%	-0.64	+33.7	35
2009-12-06	LASK Linz	D 1-1	61.6	1432	1536	35.80%	25.92%	38.28%	-0.05	+0.2	7
2009-12-06	@ SK Austria Karnten	D 1-1	61.6	1536	1432	38.28%	25.92%	35.80%	+0.05	-0.2	18
2009-12-06	Salzburg	D 0-0	68.3	1720	1789	40.72%	25.88%	33.40%	+0.14	-0.6	29
2009-12-06	@ Sturm Graz	D 0-0	68.3	1789	1720	33.40%	25.88%	40.72%	-0.14	+0.6	36
2009-12-11	SK Austria Karnten	W 1-0	46.4	1790	1433	78.67%	16.56%	4.77%	+2.49	+1.9	39
2009-12-11	@ Salzburg	L 0-1	46.4	1433	1790	4.77%	16.56%	78.67%	-2.49	-1.9	7
2009-12-12	LASK Linz	W 4-0	43.9	1602	1536	57.18%	24.40%	18.43%	+0.89	+27.4	24
2009-12-12	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 0-4	43.9	1536	1602	18.43%	24.40%	57.18%	-0.89	-27.4	18
2009-12-12	Mattersburg	D 2-2	71.6	1529	1574	43.98%	25.77%	30.25%	+0.27	-0.7	18
2009-12-12	@ Kapfenberger	D 2-2	71.6	1574	1529	30.25%	25.77%	43.98%	-0.27	+0.7	23
2009-12-12	Ried	W 2-1	58.2	1858	1709	64.87%	22.59%	12.54%	+1.35	+5.0	41
2009-12-12	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-2	58.2	1709	1858	12.54%	22.59%	64.87%	-1.35	-5.0	27
2009-12-13	Austria Wien	D 2-2	77.4	1720	1755	45.24%	25.71%	29.05%	+0.33	-0.9	30
2009-12-13	@ Sturm Graz	D 2-2	77.4	1755	1720	29.05%	25.71%	45.24%	-0.33	+0.9	36
2010-02-12	Rapid Wien	W 4-2	73.9	1508	1863	11.67%	22.19%	66.14%	-1.43	+32.3	21
2010-02-12	@ LASK Linz	L 2-4	73.9	1863	1508	66.14%	22.19%	11.67%	+1.43	-32.3	41
2010-02-13	Kapfenberger	W 4-3	62.3	1756	1528	70.85%	20.45%	8.70%	+1.78	+3.2	39
2010-02-13	@ Austria Wien	L 3-4	62.3	1528	1756	8.70%	20.45%	70.85%	-1.78	-3.2	18
2010-02-13	Salzburg	L 1-2	66.7	1704	1792	38.06%	25.92%	36.02%	+0.04	-13.0	27
2010-02-13	@ Ried	W 2-1	66.7	1792	1704	36.02%	25.92%	38.06%	-0.04	+13.0	42
2010-02-13	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 1-0	56.8	1574	1630	42.62%	25.83%	31.55%	+0.22	+12.0	26
2010-02-13	@ Mattersburg	L 0-1	56.8	1630	1574	31.55%	25.83%	42.62%	-0.22	-12.0	24
2010-02-14	Sturm Graz	L 0-3	44.0	1431	1719	15.90%	23.77%	60.34%	-1.06	-18.3	7
2010-02-14	@ SK Austria Karnten	W 3-0	44.0	1719	1431	60.34%	23.77%	15.90%	+1.06	+18.3	33
2010-02-19	Rapid Wien	D 2-2	77.4	1618	1831	22.39%	25.08%	52.53%	-0.65	+1.7	25
2010-02-19	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	D 2-2	77.4	1831	1618	52.53%	25.08%	22.39%	+0.65	-1.7	42
2010-02-20	Mattersburg	W 4-0	45.2	1737	1586	64.99%	22.55%	12.46%	+1.35	+18.9	36
2010-02-20	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-4	45.2	1586	1737	12.46%	22.55%	64.99%	-1.35	-18.9	26
2010-02-20	Ried	D 1-1	69.5	1525	1691	27.60%	25.61%	46.78%	-0.39	+1.4	19
2010-02-20	@ Kapfenberger	D 1-1	69.5	1691	1525	46.78%	25.61%	27.60%	+0.39	-1.4	28
2010-02-20	SK Austria Karnten	W 4-1	44.1	1759	1412	78.12%	16.87%	5.01%	+2.43	+4.5	42
2010-02-20	@ Austria Wien	L 1-4	44.1	1412	1759	5.01%	16.87%	78.12%	-2.43	-4.5	7
2010-02-21	LASK Linz	W 3-0	43.7	1805	1541	73.23%	19.40%	7.37%	+1.98	+8.3	45
2010-02-21	@ Salzburg	L 0-3	43.7	1541	1805	7.37%	19.40%	73.23%	-1.98	-8.3	21
2010-02-26	Austria Wien	D 1-1	71.4	1567	1764	24.17%	25.30%	50.53%	-0.56	+2.0	27
2010-02-26	@ Mattersburg	D 1-1	71.4	1764	1567	50.53%	25.30%	24.17%	+0.56	-2.0	43
2010-02-27	Kapfenberger	L 0-1	48.6	1408	1526	33.76%	25.89%	40.35%	-0.13	-12.6	7
2010-02-27	@ SK Austria Karnten	W 1-0	48.6	1526	1408	40.35%	25.89%	33.76%	+0.13	+12.6	22
2010-02-27	Sturm Graz	L 1-2	59.8	1532	1756	21.38%	24.93%	53.69%	-0.71	-8.2	21
2010-02-27	@ LASK Linz	W 2-1	59.8	1756	1532	53.69%	24.93%	21.38%	+0.71	+8.2	39
2010-02-27	Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 0-1	65.9	1689	1619	57.58%	24.32%	18.10%	+0.91	-19.5	28
2010-02-27	@ Ried	W 1-0	65.9	1619	1689	18.10%	24.32%	57.58%	-0.91	+19.5	28
2010-02-28	Salzburg	L 0-1	66.1	1829	1813	51.68%	25.18%	23.14%	+0.61	-17.7	42
2010-02-28	@ Rapid Wien	W 1-0	66.1	1813	1829	23.14%	25.18%	51.68%	-0.61	+17.7	48
2010-03-06	LASK Linz	L 0-1	68.6	1762	1524	71.50%	20.18%	8.33%	+1.83	-23.6	43
2010-03-06	@ Austria Wien	W 1-0	68.6	1524	1762	8.33%	20.18%	71.50%	-1.83	+23.6	24
2010-03-06	Mattersburg	L 2-4	52.9	1395	1569	26.66%	25.54%	47.80%	-0.44	-15.3	7
2010-03-06	@ SK Austria Karnten	W 4-2	52.9	1569	1395	47.80%	25.54%	26.66%	+0.44	+15.3	30
2010-03-06	Ried	W 1-0	54.4	1764	1670	59.97%	23.85%	16.19%	+1.04	+6.8	42
2010-03-06	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-1	54.4	1670	1764	16.19%	23.85%	59.97%	-1.04	-6.8	28
2010-03-06	Magna Wiener Neustadt	D 1-1	73.5	1831	1639	68.24%	21.47%	10.29%	+1.58	-4.7	49
2010-03-06	@ Salzburg	D 1-1	73.5	1639	1831	10.29%	21.47%	68.24%	-1.58	+4.7	29
2010-03-07	Rapid Wien	D 2-2	77.1	1539	1812	17.06%	24.08%	58.86%	-0.98	+2.5	23
2010-03-07	@ Kapfenberger	D 2-2	77.1	1812	1539	58.86%	24.08%	17.06%	+0.98	-2.5	43
2010-03-12	SK Austria Karnten	D 0-0	57.2	1548	1380	66.37%	22.12%	11.51%	+1.45	-5.0	25
2010-03-12	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	57.2	1380	1548	11.51%	22.12%	66.37%	-1.45	+5.0	8
2010-03-13	Kapfenberger	W 1-0	49.6	1826	1541	74.54%	18.77%	6.69%	+2.09	+2.7	52
2010-03-13	@ Salzburg	L 0-1	49.6	1541	1826	6.69%	18.77%	74.54%	-2.09	-2.7	23
2010-03-13	Mattersburg	W 3-0	46.8	1663	1585	58.41%	24.17%	17.42%	+0.95	+19.9	31
2010-03-13	@ Ried	L 0-3	46.8	1585	1663	17.42%	24.17%	58.41%	-0.95	-20.0	30
2010-03-13	Sturm Graz	D 0-0	67.9	1643	1771	32.50%	25.86%	41.65%	-0.18	+0.7	30
2010-03-13	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	D 0-0	67.9	1771	1643	41.65%	25.86%	32.50%	+0.18	-0.7	43
2010-03-14	Austria Wien	W 2-0	51.9	1809	1738	57.64%	24.31%	18.05%	+0.91	+14.2	46
2010-03-14	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-2	51.9	1738	1809	18.05%	24.31%	57.64%	-0.91	-14.2	43
2010-03-19	Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 2-3	67.1	1538	1644	35.49%	25.91%	38.59%	-0.06	-11.7	23
2010-03-19	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-2	67.1	1644	1538	38.59%	25.91%	35.49%	+0.06	+11.7	33
2010-03-20	LASK Linz	W 2-1	56.1	1565	1543	52.36%	25.10%	22.54%	+0.64	+8.6	33
2010-03-20	@ Mattersburg	L 1-2	56.1	1543	1565	22.54%	25.10%	52.36%	-0.64	-8.6	25
2010-03-20	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	72.6	1770	1823	42.92%	25.81%	31.26%	+0.23	-0.8	44
2010-03-20	@ Sturm Graz	D 1-1	72.6	1823	1770	31.26%	25.81%	42.92%	-0.23	+0.8	47
2010-03-20	Ried	W 1-0	61.1	1385	1683	15.17%	23.55%	61.28%	-1.12	+20.6	11
2010-03-20	@ SK Austria Karnten	L 0-1	61.1	1683	1385	61.28%	23.55%	15.17%	+1.12	-20.6	31
2010-03-21	Salzburg	D 1-1	72.4	1724	1829	35.66%	25.92%	38.42%	-0.05	+0.2	44
2010-03-21	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	72.4	1829	1724	38.42%	25.92%	35.66%	+0.05	-0.2	53
2010-03-23	Mattersburg	W 3-0	44.4	1824	1573	72.37%	19.79%	7.84%	+1.90	+8.9	50
2010-03-23	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-3	44.4	1573	1824	7.84%	19.79%	72.37%	-1.90	-8.9	33
2010-03-24	Austria Wien	L 0-1	62.4	1662	1724	41.70%	25.86%	32.45%	+0.18	-14.8	31
2010-03-24	@ Ried	W 1-0	62.4	1724	1662	32.45%	25.86%	41.70%	-0.18	+14.8	47
2010-03-24	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	65.2	1534	1527	50.64%	25.29%	24.07%	+0.56	-2.0	26
2010-03-24	@ LASK Linz	D 1-1	65.2	1527	1534	24.07%	25.29%	50.64%	-0.56	+2.0	24
2010-03-24	SK Austria Karnten	W 2-1	48.5	1656	1406	72.35%	19.80%	7.85%	+1.90	+3.1	36
2010-03-24	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 1-2	48.5	1406	1656	7.85%	19.80%	72.35%	-1.90	-3.1	11
2010-03-24	Sturm Graz	W 3-0	49.9	1829	1770	56.42%	24.52%	19.05%	+0.85	+21.6	56
2010-03-24	@ Salzburg	L 0-3	49.9	1770	1829	19.05%	24.52%	56.42%	-0.85	-21.6	44
2010-03-27	Rapid Wien	L 2-4	54.1	1402	1833	8.21%	20.09%	71.70%	-1.85	-5.0	11
2010-03-27	@ SK Austria Karnten	W 4-2	54.1	1833	1402	71.70%	20.09%	8.21%	+1.85	+5.0	53
2010-03-27	Salzburg	L 1-6	50.7	1564	1850	16.08%	23.82%	60.10%	-1.05	-24.7	33
2010-03-27	@ Mattersburg	W 6-1	50.7	1850	1564	60.10%	23.82%	16.08%	+1.05	+24.7	59
2010-03-27	Sturm Graz	L 0-3	48.9	1529	1748	21.81%	25.00%	53.19%	-0.68	-24.3	24
2010-03-27	@ Kapfenberger	W 3-0	48.9	1748	1529	53.19%	25.00%	21.81%	+0.68	+24.3	47
2010-03-27	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 1-0	54.6	1739	1659	58.58%	24.13%	17.29%	+0.96	+7.2	50
2010-03-27	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	54.6	1659	1739	17.29%	24.13%	58.58%	-0.96	-7.2	36
2010-03-28	Ried	W 3-0	52.7	1532	1648	34.14%	25.90%	39.97%	-0.11	+39.2	29
2010-03-28	@ LASK Linz	L 0-3	52.7	1648	1532	39.97%	25.90%	34.14%	+0.11	-39.2	31
2010-04-02	Mattersburg	W 2-0	45.4	1875	1540	77.47%	17.24%	5.29%	+2.37	+4.0	62
2010-04-02	@ Salzburg	L 0-2	45.4	1540	1875	5.29%	17.24%	77.47%	-2.37	-4.0	33
2010-04-03	Kapfenberger	D 1-1	72.5	1772	1504	73.48%	19.28%	7.24%	+2.00	-5.5	48
2010-04-03	@ Sturm Graz	D 1-1	72.5	1504	1772	7.24%	19.28%	73.48%	-2.00	+5.4	25
2010-04-03	LASK Linz	D 2-2	74.0	1608	1571	54.06%	24.88%	21.06%	+0.73	-1.9	32
2010-04-03	@ Ried	D 2-2	74.0	1571	1608	21.06%	24.88%	54.06%	-0.73	+1.9	30
2010-04-03	SK Austria Karnten	W 1-0	45.4	1838	1397	82.74%	14.06%	3.20%	+2.95	+1.2	56
2010-04-03	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-1	45.4	1397	1838	3.20%	14.06%	82.74%	-2.95	-1.2	11
2010-04-04	Austria Wien	L 0-1	61.1	1652	1746	37.09%	25.92%	36.99%	+0.00	-13.5	36
2010-04-04	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 1-0	61.1	1746	1652	36.99%	25.92%	37.09%	+0.00	+13.5	53
2010-04-09	Rapid Wien	L 1-3	57.6	1607	1839	20.52%	24.80%	54.69%	-0.76	-13.8	32
2010-04-09	@ Ried	W 3-1	57.6	1839	1607	54.69%	24.80%	20.52%	+0.76	+13.8	59
2010-04-10	Kapfenberger	W 3-1	50.5	1536	1510	52.81%	25.05%	22.14%	+0.67	+14.7	36
2010-04-10	@ Mattersburg	L 1-3	50.5	1510	1536	22.14%	25.05%	52.81%	-0.67	-14.7	25
2010-04-10	Salzburg	L 0-2	44.8	1396	1879	6.45%	18.53%	75.01%	-2.13	-5.0	11
2010-04-10	@ SK Austria Karnten	W 2-0	44.8	1879	1396	75.01%	18.53%	6.45%	+2.13	+4.9	65
2010-04-10	Magna Wiener Neustadt	D 1-1	69.4	1573	1638	41.27%	25.87%	32.86%	+0.16	-0.6	31
2010-04-10	@ LASK Linz	D 1-1	69.4	1638	1573	32.86%	25.87%	41.27%	-0.16	+0.6	37
2010-04-11	Sturm Graz	W 1-0	58.1	1760	1767	48.90%	25.45%	25.65%	+0.48	+10.2	56
2010-04-11	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	58.1	1767	1760	25.65%	25.45%	48.90%	-0.48	-10.2	48
2010-04-13	LASK Linz	D 0-0	70.0	1853	1573	74.26%	18.91%	6.83%	+2.07	-6.2	60
2010-04-13	@ Rapid Wien	D 0-0	70.0	1573	1853	6.83%	18.91%	74.26%	-2.07	+6.2	32
2010-04-14	Austria Wien	D 1-1	70.9	1495	1770	16.90%	24.04%	59.07%	-0.99	+3.3	26
2010-04-14	@ Kapfenberger	D 1-1	70.9	1770	1495	59.07%	24.04%	16.90%	+0.99	-3.3	57
2010-04-14	Mattersburg	W 2-1	56.3	1639	1551	59.38%	23.97%	16.64%	+1.01	+6.6	40
2010-04-14	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 1-2	56.3	1551	1639	16.64%	23.97%	59.38%	-1.01	-6.6	36
2010-04-14	Ried	W 2-0	46.5	1884	1593	74.91%	18.59%	6.50%	+2.12	+5.0	68
2010-04-14	@ Salzburg	L 0-2	46.5	1593	1884	6.50%	18.59%	74.91%	-2.12	-5.0	32
2010-04-14	SK Austria Karnten	W 3-2	54.0	1757	1391	79.10%	16.31%	4.59%	+2.53	+1.6	51
2010-04-14	@ Sturm Graz	L 2-3	54.0	1391	1757	4.59%	16.31%	79.10%	-2.53	-1.6	11
2010-04-17	Austria Wien	L 0-2	44.5	1390	1767	10.52%	21.60%	67.87%	-1.55	-8.4	11
2010-04-17	@ SK Austria Karnten	W 2-0	44.5	1767	1390	67.87%	21.60%	10.52%	+1.55	+8.4	60
2010-04-17	Kapfenberger	W 2-1	53.3	1588	1498	59.48%	23.95%	16.57%	+1.01	+6.6	35
2010-04-17	@ Ried	L 1-2	53.3	1498	1588	16.57%	23.95%	59.48%	-1.01	-6.5	26
2010-04-17	Sturm Graz	D 0-0	67.1	1544	1758	22.31%	25.07%	52.62%	-0.66	+2.6	37
2010-04-17	@ Mattersburg	D 0-0	67.1	1758	1544	52.62%	25.07%	22.31%	+0.66	-2.6	52
2010-04-17	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 3-0	45.9	1847	1645	68.93%	21.21%	9.85%	+1.63	+11.4	63
2010-04-17	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-3	45.9	1645	1847	9.85%	21.21%	68.93%	-1.63	-11.4	40
2010-04-18	Salzburg	D 0-0	68.9	1579	1889	14.37%	23.29%	62.34%	-1.18	+4.3	33
2010-04-18	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	68.9	1889	1579	62.34%	23.29%	14.37%	+1.18	-4.3	69
2010-04-23	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	72.9	1884	1858	52.84%	25.04%	22.12%	+0.67	-2.4	70
2010-04-23	@ Salzburg	D 1-1	72.9	1858	1884	22.12%	25.04%	52.84%	-0.67	+2.3	64
2010-04-24	LASK Linz	L 0-1	68.3	1756	1583	66.74%	21.99%	11.26%	+1.47	-22.3	52
2010-04-24	@ Sturm Graz	W 1-0	68.3	1583	1756	11.26%	21.99%	66.74%	-1.47	+22.3	36
2010-04-24	Ried	W 2-0	50.2	1634	1594	54.34%	24.84%	20.81%	+0.74	+16.1	43
2010-04-24	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 0-2	50.2	1594	1634	20.81%	24.84%	54.34%	-0.74	-16.1	35
2010-04-24	SK Austria Karnten	D 0-0	55.0	1492	1381	61.49%	23.50%	15.01%	+1.13	-4.2	27
2010-04-24	@ Kapfenberger	D 0-0	55.0	1381	1492	15.01%	23.50%	61.49%	-1.13	+4.1	12
2010-04-25	Mattersburg	W 5-1	47.3	1775	1547	70.88%	20.44%	8.68%	+1.78	+10.8	63
2010-04-25	@ Austria Wien	L 1-5	47.3	1547	1775	8.68%	20.44%	70.88%	-1.78	-10.8	37
2010-04-30	Kapfenberger	W 5-3	55.4	1860	1488	79.48%	16.08%	4.43%	+2.58	+2.4	67
2010-04-30	@ Rapid Wien	L 3-5	55.4	1488	1860	4.43%	16.08%	79.48%	-2.58	-2.4	27
2010-05-01	SK Austria Karnten	D 1-1	60.9	1536	1385	64.94%	22.57%	12.49%	+1.35	-4.2	38
2010-05-01	@ Mattersburg	D 1-1	60.9	1385	1536	12.49%	22.57%	64.94%	-1.35	+4.2	13
2010-05-01	Sturm Graz	L 1-2	62.6	1578	1733	28.95%	25.70%	45.34%	-0.33	-10.6	35
2010-05-01	@ Ried	W 2-1	62.6	1733	1578	45.34%	25.70%	28.95%	+0.33	+10.6	55
2010-05-01	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 4-2	56.9	1882	1650	71.11%	20.34%	8.55%	+1.80	+5.2	73
2010-05-01	@ Salzburg	L 2-4	56.9	1650	1882	8.55%	20.34%	71.11%	-1.80	-5.2	43
2010-05-02	Austria Wien	L 0-1	57.6	1605	1786	25.92%	25.48%	48.60%	-0.47	-10.2	36
2010-05-02	@ LASK Linz	W 1-0	57.6	1786	1605	48.60%	25.48%	25.92%	+0.47	+10.3	66
2010-05-04	Salzburg	W 2-0	65.6	1485	1887	9.38%	20.91%	69.71%	-1.69	+43.6	30
2010-05-04	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-2	65.6	1887	1485	69.71%	20.91%	9.38%	+1.69	-43.5	73
2010-05-05	LASK Linz	D 2-2	67.5	1390	1595	23.21%	25.19%	51.60%	-0.61	+1.6	14
2010-05-05	@ SK Austria Karnten	D 2-2	67.5	1595	1390	51.60%	25.19%	23.21%	+0.61	-1.6	37
2010-05-05	Rapid Wien	W 1-0	60.7	1796	1863	41.04%	25.87%	33.09%	+0.16	+12.4	69
2010-05-05	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	60.7	1863	1796	33.09%	25.87%	41.04%	-0.16	-12.4	67
2010-05-05	Ried	W 3-1	54.7	1531	1568	45.15%	25.71%	29.14%	+0.32	+18.4	41
2010-05-05	@ Mattersburg	L 1-3	54.7	1568	1531	29.14%	25.71%	45.15%	-0.32	-18.4	35
2010-05-05	Magna Wiener Neustadt	W 1-0	54.0	1744	1645	60.41%	23.75%	15.84%	+1.07	+6.7	58
2010-05-05	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-1	54.0	1645	1744	15.84%	23.75%	60.41%	-1.07	-6.7	43
2010-05-09	Austria Wien	L 0-1	66.6	1844	1809	53.84%	24.91%	21.25%	+0.72	-18.4	73
2010-05-09	@ Salzburg	W 1-0	66.6	1809	1844	21.25%	24.91%	53.84%	-0.72	+18.4	72
2010-05-09	Kapfenberger	W 3-1	51.8	1638	1529	61.37%	23.53%	15.10%	+1.12	+10.4	46
2010-05-09	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	L 1-3	51.8	1529	1638	15.10%	23.53%	61.37%	-1.12	-10.4	30
2010-05-09	Mattersburg	W 2-0	48.0	1594	1550	54.79%	24.78%	20.43%	+0.76	+15.8	40
2010-05-09	@ LASK Linz	L 0-2	48.0	1550	1594	20.43%	24.78%	54.79%	-0.76	-15.8	41
2010-05-09	SK Austria Karnten	W 3-1	42.8	1549	1391	65.58%	22.37%	12.05%	+1.39	+8.4	38
2010-05-09	@ Ried	L 1-3	42.8	1391	1549	12.05%	22.37%	65.58%	-1.39	-8.3	14
2010-05-09	Sturm Graz	W 4-1	53.4	1850	1751	60.49%	23.73%	15.78%	+1.07	+15.3	70
2010-05-09	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-4	53.4	1751	1850	15.78%	23.73%	60.49%	-1.07	-15.3	58
2010-05-13	LASK Linz	W 2-0	52.7	1519	1609	37.63%	25.92%	36.45%	+0.02	+25.2	33
2010-05-13	@ Kapfenberger	L 0-2	52.7	1609	1519	36.45%	25.92%	37.63%	-0.02	-25.2	40
2010-05-13	Rapid Wien	L 1-3	54.4	1534	1866	12.98%	22.77%	64.25%	-1.30	-9.0	41
2010-05-13	@ Mattersburg	W 3-1	54.4	1866	1534	64.25%	22.77%	12.98%	+1.30	+9.0	73
2010-05-13	Ried	W 2-0	46.4	1827	1558	73.57%	19.24%	7.19%	+2.01	+5.6	75
2010-05-13	@ Austria Wien	L 0-2	46.4	1558	1827	7.19%	19.24%	73.57%	-2.01	-5.6	38
2010-05-13	Salzburg	L 0-2	58.3	1735	1825	37.73%	25.92%	36.35%	+0.03	-25.8	58
2010-05-13	@ Sturm Graz	W 2-0	58.3	1825	1735	36.35%	25.92%	37.73%	-0.03	+25.8	76
2010-05-13	Magna Wiener Neustadt	D 2-2	69.5	1383	1649	17.63%	24.22%	58.15%	-0.94	+2.4	15
2010-05-13	@ SK Austria Karnten	D 2-2	69.5	1649	1383	58.15%	24.22%	17.63%	+0.94	-2.4	47

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2010-03-06	8.33%	LASK Linz	1524	1	@ Austria Wien	1762	0
2	2010-05-04	9.38%	@ Kapfenberger	1485	2	Salzburg	1887	0
3	2010-04-24	11.26%	LASK Linz	1583	1	@ Sturm Graz	1756	0
4	2010-02-12	11.67%	@ LASK Linz	1508	4	Rapid Wien	1863	2
5	2009-09-12	13.80%	Kapfenberger	1492	3	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	1621	2
6	2010-03-20	15.17%	@ SK Austria Karnten	1385	1	Ried	1683	0
7	2009-10-28	17.58%	@ Kapfenberger	1490	1	Austria Wien	1756	0
8	2010-02-27	18.10%	Magna Wiener Neustadt	1619	1	@ Ried	1689	0
9	2009-11-21	19.74%	Ried	1712	2	@ Sturm Graz	1763	0
10	2009-08-23	20.10%	Austria Wien	1704	1	@ Sturm Graz	1752	0
11	2010-05-09	21.25%	Austria Wien	1809	1	@ Salzburg	1844	0
12	2009-12-04	21.65%	Magna Wiener Neustadt	1572	3	@ Mattersburg	1603	1
13	2009-12-06	22.65%	Austria Wien	1722	2	@ Ried	1743	0
14	2009-09-12	23.02%	@ SK Austria Karnten	1515	2	Austria Wien	1722	1
15	2010-02-28	23.14%	Salzburg	1813	1	@ Rapid Wien	1829	0
16	2009-07-26	23.40%	@ Mattersburg	1547	2	Rapid Wien	1751	1
17	2009-08-30	26.88%	Sturm Graz	1733	2	@ Ried	1715	1
18	2009-10-31	27.16%	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	1567	4	Austria Wien	1737	3
19	2009-08-23	27.44%	Mattersburg	1545	1	@ Kapfenberger	1522	0
20	2009-07-24	31.79%	Austria Wien	1666	5	@ LASK Linz	1609	4
21	2010-03-24	32.45%	Austria Wien	1724	1	@ Ried	1662	0
22	2009-09-12	33.78%	@ Mattersburg	1582	3	Ried	1700	0
23	2010-03-28	34.14%	@ LASK Linz	1532	3	Ried	1648	0
24	2010-02-13	36.02%	Salzburg	1792	2	@ Ried	1704	1
25	2009-11-21	36.04%	Mattersburg	1561	3	@ SK Austria Karnten	1473	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-05-04	43.56	@ Kapfenberger	2	1485	9.38%	Salzburg	0	1887	69.71%	20.91%
2	2009-11-01	40.07	@ Kapfenberger	7	1510	38.53%	LASK Linz	2	1594	35.55%	25.92%
3	2009-10-04	39.70	Rapid Wien	4	1780	45.71%	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	0	1622	28.61%	25.68%
4	2009-09-12	39.50	@ Mattersburg	3	1582	33.78%	Ried	0	1700	40.33%	25.89%
5	2010-03-28	39.22	@ LASK Linz	3	1532	34.14%	Ried	0	1648	39.97%	25.90%
6	2009-11-21	37.77	Mattersburg	3	1561	36.04%	@ SK Austria Karnten	0	1473	38.04%	25.92%
7	2009-07-18	37.05	@ LASK Linz	4	1572	48.26%	Mattersburg	0	1584	26.24%	25.51%
8	2009-11-21	35.64	Ried	2	1712	19.74%	@ Sturm Graz	0	1763	55.61%	24.66%
9	2009-12-06	33.70	Austria Wien	2	1722	22.65%	@ Ried	0	1743	52.24%	25.12%
10	2010-02-12	32.27	@ LASK Linz	4	1508	11.67%	Rapid Wien	2	1863	66.14%	22.19%
11	2009-08-07	30.74	@ LASK Linz	4	1591	54.14%	Kapfenberger	0	1553	20.99%	24.87%
12	2009-12-04	29.75	Magna Wiener Neustadt	3	1572	21.65%	@ Mattersburg	1	1603	53.38%	24.97%
13	2009-09-22	29.10	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	3	1602	47.33%	Mattersburg	0	1621	27.09%	25.58%
14	2009-12-12	27.41	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	4	1602	57.18%	LASK Linz	0	1536	18.43%	24.40%
15	2010-05-13	25.85	Salzburg	2	1825	36.35%	@ Sturm Graz	0	1735	37.73%	25.92%
16	2010-05-13	25.20	@ Kapfenberger	2	1519	37.63%	LASK Linz	0	1609	36.45%	25.92%
17	2010-03-27	24.70	Salzburg	6	1850	60.10%	@ Mattersburg	1	1564	16.08%	23.82%
18	2010-03-27	24.33	Sturm Graz	3	1748	53.19%	@ Kapfenberger	0	1529	21.81%	25.00%
19	2009-11-07	23.99	@ Mattersburg	4	1537	48.15%	Kapfenberger	1	1550	26.34%	25.51%
20	2010-03-06	23.57	LASK Linz	1	1524	8.33%	@ Austria Wien	0	1762	71.50%	20.18%
21	2009-07-26	22.51	@ Sturm Graz	3	1703	55.37%	Magna Wiener Neustadt	0	1654	19.94%	24.69%
22	2010-04-24	22.26	LASK Linz	1	1583	11.26%	@ Sturm Graz	0	1756	66.74%	21.99%
23	2010-03-24	21.62	@ Salzburg	3	1829	56.42%	Sturm Graz	0	1770	19.05%	24.52%
24	2009-11-25	21.60	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	4	1572	51.62%	LASK Linz	1	1556	23.19%	25.19%
25	2009-11-28	21.30	@ Kapfenberger	3	1511	38.79%	Magna Wiener Neustadt	1	1594	35.30%	25.91%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-09-12	81.5	@ Sturm Graz	3	1749	62.74%	LASK Linz	3	1624	14.08%	23.19%
2	2009-11-08	81.4	@ LASK Linz	3	1554	16.46%	Rapid Wien	3	1835	59.62%	23.92%
3	2009-09-13	77.7	@ Rapid Wien	2	1765	53.10%	Salzburg	2	1736	21.89%	25.01%
4	2009-12-13	77.4	@ Sturm Graz	2	1720	45.24%	Austria Wien	2	1755	29.05%	25.71%
5	2010-02-19	77.4	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	2	1618	22.39%	Rapid Wien	2	1831	52.53%	25.08%
6	2010-03-07	77.1	@ Kapfenberger	2	1539	17.06%	Rapid Wien	2	1812	58.86%	24.08%
7	2009-10-03	76.0	@ LASK Linz	2	1620	41.75%	Ried	2	1681	32.40%	25.85%
8	2009-10-31	75.7	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	4	1567	27.16%	Austria Wien	3	1737	47.26%	25.58%
9	2009-11-28	75.5	@ LASK Linz	2	1535	25.21%	Sturm Graz	2	1722	49.38%	25.41%
10	2009-07-24	75.2	Austria Wien	5	1666	31.79%	@ LASK Linz	4	1609	42.38%	25.83%
11	2010-04-03	74.0	@ Ried	2	1608	54.06%	LASK Linz	2	1571	21.06%	24.88%
12	2010-02-12	73.9	@ LASK Linz	4	1508	11.67%	Rapid Wien	2	1863	66.14%	22.19%
13	2010-03-06	73.5	@ Salzburg	1	1831	68.24%	Magna Wiener Neustadt	1	1639	10.29%	21.47%
14	2010-04-23	72.9	@ Salzburg	1	1884	52.84%	Rapid Wien	1	1858	22.12%	25.04%
15	2009-09-12	72.6	Kapfenberger	3	1492	13.80%	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	2	1621	63.11%	23.09%
16	2009-10-25	72.6	@ Salzburg	1	1763	57.49%	Ried	1	1694	18.17%	24.34%
17	2010-03-20	72.6	@ Sturm Graz	1	1770	42.92%	Rapid Wien	1	1823	31.26%	25.81%
18	2010-04-03	72.5	@ Sturm Graz	1	1772	73.48%	Kapfenberger	1	1504	7.24%	19.28%
19	2010-03-21	72.4	@ Austria Wien	1	1724	35.66%	Salzburg	1	1829	38.42%	25.92%
20	2009-08-30	72.3	@ Austria Wien	1	1723	44.60%	Rapid Wien	1	1764	29.66%	25.74%
21	2009-08-09	72.2	@ Ried	1	1719	45.95%	Rapid Wien	1	1749	28.39%	25.67%
22	2009-09-23	71.9	@ Austria Wien	1	1705	54.93%	Ried	1	1660	20.31%	24.76%
23	2009-12-12	71.6	@ Kapfenberger	2	1529	43.98%	Mattersburg	2	1574	30.25%	25.77%
24	2009-08-22	71.5	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	1	1637	38.45%	Salzburg	1	1722	35.64%	25.92%
25	2010-02-26	71.4	@ Mattersburg	1	1567	24.17%	Austria Wien	1	1764	50.53%	25.30%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-10-31	41.4	@ Sturm Graz	4	1765	74.12%	SK Austria Karnten	0	1487	6.90%	18.97%
2	2009-08-29	42.2	@ Salzburg	4	1722	70.02%	Kapfenberger	0	1506	9.19%	20.79%
3	2009-10-17	42.8	@ Ried	3	1682	67.40%	Kapfenberger	0	1501	10.83%	21.77%
4	2010-05-09	42.8	@ Ried	3	1549	65.58%	SK Austria Karnten	1	1391	12.05%	22.37%
5	2010-02-21	43.7	@ Salzburg	3	1805	73.23%	LASK Linz	0	1541	7.37%	19.40%
6	2009-10-25	43.9	@ Rapid Wien	4	1806	70.96%	Mattersburg	0	1576	8.63%	20.40%
7	2009-12-12	43.9	@ Magna Wiener Neustadt	4	1602	57.18%	LASK Linz	0	1536	18.43%	24.40%
8	2010-02-14	44.0	Sturm Graz	3	1719	60.34%	@ SK Austria Karnten	0	1431	15.90%	23.77%
9	2010-02-20	44.1	@ Austria Wien	4	1759	78.12%	SK Austria Karnten	1	1412	5.01%	16.87%
10	2010-03-23	44.4	@ Rapid Wien	3	1824	72.37%	Mattersburg	0	1573	7.84%	19.79%
11	2010-04-17	44.5	Austria Wien	2	1767	67.87%	@ SK Austria Karnten	0	1390	10.52%	21.60%
12	2010-04-10	44.8	Salzburg	2	1879	75.01%	@ SK Austria Karnten	0	1396	6.45%	18.53%
13	2009-08-07	45.0	@ LASK Linz	4	1591	54.14%	Kapfenberger	0	1553	20.99%	24.87%
14	2010-02-20	45.2	@ Sturm Graz	4	1737	64.99%	Mattersburg	0	1586	12.46%	22.55%
15	2010-04-02	45.4	@ Salzburg	2	1875	77.47%	Mattersburg	0	1540	5.29%	17.24%
16	2010-04-03	45.4	@ Rapid Wien	1	1838	82.74%	SK Austria Karnten	0	1397	3.20%	14.06%
17	2009-10-04	45.5	@ Salzburg	7	1761	72.21%	SK Austria Karnten	1	1512	7.93%	19.87%
18	2010-04-17	45.9	@ Rapid Wien	3	1847	68.93%	Magna Wiener Neustadt	0	1645	9.85%	21.21%
19	2009-08-02	46.0	@ Austria Wien	3	1679	61.32%	Kapfenberger	0	1570	15.14%	23.54%
20	2009-11-28	46.0	@ Austria Wien	1	1719	74.47%	SK Austria Karnten	0	1435	6.73%	18.81%
21	2009-10-28	46.4	@ Ried	3	1697	61.73%	Magna Wiener Neustadt	0	1584	14.83%	23.44%
22	2009-12-11	46.4	@ Salzburg	1	1790	78.67%	SK Austria Karnten	0	1433	4.77%	16.56%
23	2010-05-13	46.4	@ Austria Wien	2	1827	73.57%	Ried	0	1558	7.19%	19.24%
24	2010-04-14	46.5	@ Salzburg	2	1884	74.91%	Ried	0	1593	6.50%	18.59%
25	2009-10-25	46.7	@ Austria Wien	3	1741	63.42%	LASK Linz	0	1608	13.58%	23.00%