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2008-09 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Salzburg

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ried

8.91 points above expected

60 points · 51.09 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mattersburg

7.14 points below expected

33 points · 40.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Salzburg 36 23 5 8 74 86 50 +36 65.87 +8.13
2 Rapid Wien 36 21 7 8 70 89 43 +46 67.42 +2.58
3 Austria Wien 36 17 11 8 62 59 46 +13 58.43 +3.57
4 Sturm Graz 36 17 9 10 60 68 45 +23 60.51 -0.51
5 Ried 36 17 9 10 60 58 38 +20 51.09 +8.91
6 SK Austria Karnten 36 11 8 17 41 47 57 -10 47.31 -6.31
7 LASK Linz 36 11 4 21 37 35 67 -32 41.56 -4.56
8 Kapfenberger 36 10 6 20 36 48 81 -33 38.38 -2.38
9 Mattersburg 36 8 9 19 33 42 71 -29 40.14 -7.14
10 SCR Altach 36 8 6 22 30 56 90 -34 32.99 -2.99

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ried 60 51.09 +8.91
2 Salzburg 74 65.87 +8.13
3 Austria Wien 62 58.43 +3.57
4 Rapid Wien 70 67.42 +2.58
5 Sturm Graz 60 60.51 -0.51

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mattersburg 33 40.14 -7.14
2 SK Austria Karnten 41 47.31 -6.31
3 LASK Linz 37 41.56 -4.56
4 SCR Altach 30 32.99 -2.99
5 Kapfenberger 36 38.38 -2.38

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sturm Graz 7 Oct 4 – Nov 15 1 in 90
2 SK Austria Karnten 5 Aug 9 – Sep 24 1 in 90
3 Salzburg 7 Sep 24 – Nov 7 1 in 72
4 Mattersburg 3 May 16 – May 31 1 in 62
5 Rapid Wien 6 Jul 19 – Aug 30 1 in 52

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 LASK Linz 9 Oct 5 – Nov 29 1 in 1,572
2 SK Austria Karnten 6 Apr 25 – May 31 1 in 338
3 SCR Altach 7 Aug 1 – Sep 27 1 in 110
4 Rapid Wien 2 May 17 – May 21 1 in 40
5 Sturm Graz 3 Feb 28 – Mar 10 1 in 39

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Salzburg 10 Sep 21 – Nov 16 1 in 28
2 Ried 7 Mar 7 – Apr 24 1 in 23
3 Sturm Graz 9 Mar 21 – May 21 1 in 23
4 SCR Altach 3 Apr 18 – May 2 1 in 19
5 Austria Wien 6 Jul 9 – Aug 10 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mattersburg 21 Aug 31 – Apr 4 1 in 996
2 SK Austria Karnten 10 Mar 21 – May 31 1 in 137
3 LASK Linz 9 Oct 5 – Nov 29 1 in 40
4 Sturm Graz 5 Feb 28 – Mar 18 1 in 27
5 Kapfenberger 7 Jul 9 – Aug 23 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Salzburg 1641 74 -44 6 9.4 -3.4
Rapid Wien 1707 70 -3 9 9.9 -0.9
Austria Wien 1587 62 -31 8 9.7 -1.7
Ried 1643 60 +38 12 8.8 +3.2
Sturm Graz 1632 60 +7 6 7.7 -1.7
SK Austria Karnten 1436 41 -60 0 5.3 -5.3
LASK Linz 1428 37 +36 6 4.7 +1.3
Kapfenberger 1422 36 -9 7 5.2 +1.8
Mattersburg 1435 33 +26 10 4.7 +5.3
SCR Altach 1467 30 +41 7 4.6 +2.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW KAP LL MAT RW RIE SA SAK SAL SG
Austria Wien —
2-2-0
7.55
3-0-1
7.11
2-2-0
7.62
1-1-2
4.43
2-1-1
6.48
3-0-1
8.32
2-2-0
6.68
1-1-2
4.80
1-2-1
5.41
Kapfenberger
0-2-2
3.66
 —
1-1-2
5.29
2-0-2
5.37
0-0-4
2.77
2-0-2
3.94
1-1-2
6.36
2-0-2
4.33
1-1-2
2.92
1-1-2
3.35
LASK Linz
1-0-3
4.08
2-1-1
5.89
 —
2-1-1
5.91
0-1-3
2.94
1-0-3
4.73
2-1-1
6.33
2-0-2
5.15
0-0-4
3.30
1-0-3
3.29
Mattersburg
0-2-2
3.58
2-0-2
5.78
1-1-2
5.24
 —
1-0-3
3.11
1-2-1
4.35
2-1-1
6.33
1-2-1
4.98
0-0-4
3.40
0-1-3
3.55
Rapid Wien
2-1-1
6.73
4-0-0
8.46
3-1-0
8.31
3-0-1
8.14
 —
1-1-2
7.45
3-1-0
8.80
3-1-0
7.55
1-1-2
5.78
1-1-2
6.32
Ried
1-1-2
4.68
2-0-2
7.22
3-0-1
6.45
1-2-1
6.84
2-1-1
3.74
 —
3-1-0
7.43
2-2-0
6.38
1-1-2
3.89
2-1-1
4.58
SCR Altach
1-0-3
2.91
2-1-1
4.81
1-1-2
4.84
1-1-2
4.82
0-1-3
2.48
0-1-3
3.74
 —
1-0-3
4.03
1-0-3
2.59
1-1-2
3.05
SK Austria Karnten
0-2-2
4.50
2-0-2
6.82
2-0-2
6.04
1-2-1
6.19
0-1-3
3.64
0-2-2
4.78
3-0-1
7.17
 —
2-0-2
3.62
1-1-2
4.46
Salzburg
2-1-1
6.37
2-1-1
8.34
4-0-0
7.92
4-0-0
7.82
2-1-1
5.37
2-1-1
7.30
3-0-1
8.66
2-0-2
7.59
 —
2-1-1
6.05
Sturm Graz
1-2-1
5.74
2-1-1
7.89
3-0-1
7.92
3-1-0
7.64
2-1-1
4.85
1-1-2
6.59
2-1-1
8.19
2-1-1
6.71
1-1-2
5.10
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +7.9
Allowed 0.74 -8.1
Differential 0.95 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%5.56%6.39%4.72%1.11%1.94%26.39%
15.56%7.22%6.11%4.72%2.50%1.11%27.22%
26.39%6.11%5.56%2.22%1.11%1.11%22.50%
34.72%4.72%2.22%1.11%0.28%0.28%13.33%
41.11%2.50%1.11%0.28%—0.28%5.28%
5+1.94%1.11%1.11%0.28%0.28%0.56%5.28%
Total26.39%27.22%22.50%13.33%5.28%5.28%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.63 +0.00
SD 1.52 1.52 2.27
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%——2.78%2.78%—19.44%
18.33%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%30.56%
28.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%30.56%13.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.28 +0.36
SD 1.29 1.37 2.02
CV 0.79 1.07 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%5.56%33.33%
1—5.56%11.11%8.33%—2.78%27.78%
25.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%—2.78%13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total8.33%25.00%36.11%16.67%2.78%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 2.25 -0.92
SD 1.31 1.65 2.29
CV 0.98 0.73 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%13.89%11.11%2.78%5.56%47.22%
18.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
25.56%5.56%2.78%——2.78%16.67%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%27.78%22.22%16.67%5.56%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.86 -0.89
SD 1.18 1.50 2.19
CV 1.22 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%8.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%47.22%
1——11.11%2.78%5.56%—19.44%
2—5.56%5.56%—2.78%—13.89%
3—8.33%5.56%———13.89%
4———————
5+————2.78%2.78%5.56%
Total19.44%22.22%30.56%8.33%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.97 -0.81
SD 1.44 1.61 1.77
CV 1.24 0.82 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
111.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
25.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
35.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
42.78%—5.56%———8.33%
5+5.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
Total30.56%30.56%27.78%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.47 1.19 +1.28
SD 2.02 1.01 2.31
CV 0.82 0.84 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
18.33%11.11%11.11%5.56%——36.11%
22.78%5.56%5.56%———13.89%
316.67%2.78%5.56%———25.00%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%25.00%27.78%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.06 +0.56
SD 1.23 1.01 1.80
CV 0.76 0.96 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%2.78%8.33%—2.78%19.44%
12.78%13.89%8.33%8.33%2.78%5.56%41.67%
2—2.78%2.78%5.56%—5.56%16.67%
35.56%2.78%——2.78%—11.11%
4—5.56%———2.78%8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total8.33%33.33%13.89%22.22%5.56%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 2.50 -0.94
SD 1.32 1.96 2.52
CV 0.85 0.79 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%8.33%5.56%—2.78%36.11%
15.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%—27.78%
211.11%2.78%—5.56%2.78%—22.22%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total33.33%19.44%19.44%16.67%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.58 -0.28
SD 1.47 1.54 2.22
CV 1.13 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.78%5.56%2.78%——11.11%
15.56%5.56%——2.78%—13.89%
211.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%44.44%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
4—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
5+5.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
Total27.78%36.11%16.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.39 1.39 +1.00
SD 1.69 1.32 2.26
CV 0.71 0.95 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
15.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
213.89%—8.33%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
311.11%11.11%—2.78%——25.00%
4———————
5+2.78%————2.78%5.56%
Total41.67%22.22%16.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.25 +0.64
SD 1.45 1.40 1.90
CV 0.77 1.12 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rapid Wien 1707 70 67.42 +2.58 66.9% 45 55 62 68 72 79 89
Ried 1643 60 51.09 +8.91 88.9% 29 39 46 51 56 63 73
Salzburg 1641 74 65.87 +8.13 88.3% 42 53 61 66 71 79 85
Sturm Graz 1632 60 60.51 -0.51 49.5% 33 47 55 61 66 73 87
Austria Wien 1587 62 58.43 +3.57 70.4% 36 46 53 58 63 71 83
SCR Altach 1467 30 32.99 -2.99 36.9% 16 23 28 33 37 44 56
SK Austria Karnten 1436 41 47.31 -6.31 21.8% 25 35 42 47 52 61 70
Mattersburg 1435 33 40.14 -7.14 17.0% 20 28 35 40 45 52 67
LASK Linz 1428 37 41.56 -4.56 27.3% 15 30 37 41 46 54 64
Kapfenberger 1422 36 38.38 -2.38 40.3% 14 27 33 38 43 50 63

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+30.56%
Strong Edge
55.00%20.56%24.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge
161 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0109.66500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.74 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.68+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
34%
Salzburg, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Photo Finish
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.88 * Some Luck: 5.88 to 8.82 * Lucky: 8.82 to 11.76 * Wild Swing: 11.76 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.92 * Close: 0.92 to 1.39 * Off: 1.39 to 1.85 * Way Off: 1.85 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.40 points
As Expected
07.3518
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
01.162.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
88.90%
Ried
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
17.00%
Mattersburg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.83
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Very Frequent
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Very Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.54
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.72
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.32
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.095
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Salzburg33.50%29.60%20.10%9.80%5.00%1.80%—0.20%——
Rapid Wien44.90%26.80%18.20%6.30%2.50%0.90%0.40%———
Austria Wien8.10%15.80%21.00%27.30%16.70%7.60%2.00%1.20%0.30%—
Sturm Graz11.90%21.30%24.10%22.60%12.60%4.90%1.90%0.40%0.30%—
Ried1.30%4.00%10.00%18.00%26.10%21.00%10.90%4.90%2.60%1.20%
SK Austria Karnten0.20%1.80%4.80%9.60%17.90%25.20%19.70%12.20%6.30%2.30%
LASK Linz—0.30%1.00%3.40%8.00%14.40%22.30%24.30%15.60%10.70%
Kapfenberger—0.10%0.30%1.00%5.10%9.60%15.30%21.10%28.20%19.30%
Mattersburg0.10%0.30%0.30%1.90%5.40%11.70%20.70%23.40%22.60%13.60%
SCR Altach——0.20%0.10%0.70%2.90%6.80%12.30%24.10%52.90%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Austria Wien 100% —
Rapid Wien 100% —
Salzburg 100% —
Sturm Graz 100% —
Ried 98.80% 1.20%
SK Austria Karnten 97.70% 2.30%
LASK Linz 89.30% 10.70%
Mattersburg 86.40% 13.60%
Kapfenberger 80.70% 19.30%
SCR Altach 47.10% 52.90%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-07-08 Rapid Wien W 3-157.4 1570 1620 47.34% 21.61% 31.05%+0.37 +12.1 3
2008-07-08 @ Sturm Graz L 1-357.4 1620 1570 31.05% 21.61% 47.34%-0.37 -12.1 0
2008-07-09 LASK Linz L 0-155.6 1493 1539 47.96% 21.58% 30.46%+0.40 -10.6 0
2008-07-09 @ Kapfenberger W 1-055.6 1539 1493 30.46% 21.58% 47.96%-0.40 +10.6 3
2008-07-09 Mattersburg W 6-045.5 1586 1561 56.59% 20.84% 22.58%+0.84 +29.6 3
2008-07-09 @ Salzburg L 0-645.5 1561 1586 22.58% 20.84% 56.59%-0.84 -29.6 0
2008-07-09 SCR Altach W 3-040.8 1509 1482 56.75% 20.82% 22.43%+0.84 +15.4 3
2008-07-09 @ Ried L 0-340.8 1482 1509 22.43% 20.82% 56.75%-0.84 -15.4 0
2008-07-09 SK Austria Karnten D 1-165.4 1565 1472 63.66% 19.70% 16.65%+1.26 -2.4 1
2008-07-09 @ Austria Wien D 1-165.4 1472 1565 16.65% 19.70% 63.66%-1.26 +2.4 1
2008-07-12 LASK Linz L 1-355.5 1467 1549 43.01% 21.76% 35.23%+0.17 -15.8 0
2008-07-12 @ SCR Altach W 3-155.5 1549 1467 35.23% 21.76% 43.01%-0.17 +15.8 6
2008-07-12 Ried W 2-153.7 1532 1524 54.62% 21.06% 24.32%+0.73 +5.7 3
2008-07-12 @ Mattersburg L 1-253.7 1524 1532 24.32% 21.06% 54.62%-0.73 -5.7 3
2008-07-12 Salzburg D 2-275.3 1608 1615 52.82% 21.23% 25.94%+0.64 -1.0 1
2008-07-12 @ Rapid Wien D 2-275.3 1615 1608 25.94% 21.23% 52.82%-0.64 +1.0 4
2008-07-13 Austria Wien D 2-270.0 1482 1563 43.28% 21.75% 34.97%+0.18 -0.3 1
2008-07-13 @ Kapfenberger D 2-270.0 1563 1482 34.97% 21.75% 43.28%-0.18 +0.3 2
2008-07-18 Kapfenberger W 2-150.7 1518 1482 57.88% 20.67% 21.45%+0.91 +5.1 6
2008-07-18 @ Ried L 1-250.7 1482 1518 21.45% 20.67% 57.88%-0.91 -5.1 1
2008-07-19 SK Austria Karnten W 1-046.4 1607 1475 67.25% 18.87% 13.88%+1.51 +3.6 4
2008-07-19 @ Rapid Wien L 0-146.4 1475 1607 13.88% 18.87% 67.25%-1.51 -3.6 1
2008-07-20 Austria Wien L 0-160.6 1565 1563 53.97% 21.13% 24.91%+0.70 -11.7 6
2008-07-20 @ LASK Linz W 1-060.6 1563 1565 24.91% 21.13% 53.97%-0.70 +11.7 5
2008-07-20 SCR Altach W 3-039.7 1616 1451 69.95% 18.12% 11.92%+1.71 +8.4 7
2008-07-20 @ Salzburg L 0-339.7 1451 1616 11.92% 18.12% 69.95%-1.71 -8.4 0
2008-07-23 Mattersburg W 3-044.8 1582 1537 58.81% 20.54% 20.65%+0.96 +14.3 6
2008-07-23 @ Sturm Graz L 0-344.8 1537 1582 20.65% 20.54% 58.81%-0.96 -14.3 3
2008-07-25 SK Austria Karnten W 3-254.9 1553 1471 62.63% 19.90% 17.47%+1.19 +4.0 9
2008-07-25 @ LASK Linz L 2-354.9 1471 1553 17.47% 19.90% 62.63%-1.19 -4.0 1
2008-07-26 Rapid Wien L 0-157.4 1523 1611 42.23% 21.77% 36.00%+0.14 -9.5 3
2008-07-26 @ Mattersburg W 1-057.4 1611 1523 36.00% 21.77% 42.23%-0.14 +9.5 7
2008-07-26 Ried W 3-151.1 1575 1523 59.49% 20.44% 20.07%+1.00 +8.3 8
2008-07-26 @ Austria Wien L 1-351.1 1523 1575 20.07% 20.44% 59.49%-1.00 -8.3 6
2008-07-27 Salzburg D 1-167.1 1477 1625 33.79% 21.72% 44.49%-0.24 +0.5 2
2008-07-27 @ Kapfenberger D 1-167.1 1625 1477 44.49% 21.72% 33.79%+0.24 -0.5 8
2008-07-29 Sturm Graz W 1-055.1 1443 1596 33.06% 21.70% 45.25%-0.27 +10.1 3
2008-07-29 @ SCR Altach L 0-155.1 1596 1443 45.25% 21.70% 33.06%+0.27 -10.1 6
2008-08-01 SCR Altach W 3-146.0 1514 1453 60.47% 20.28% 19.25%+1.06 +8.0 6
2008-08-01 @ Mattersburg L 1-346.0 1453 1514 19.25% 20.28% 60.47%-1.06 -8.0 3
2008-08-02 Kapfenberger W 3-148.5 1620 1477 68.13% 18.64% 13.23%+1.57 +5.5 10
2008-08-02 @ Rapid Wien L 1-348.5 1477 1620 13.23% 18.64% 68.13%-1.57 -5.5 2
2008-08-03 Austria Wien D 0-065.6 1586 1583 54.12% 21.11% 24.76%+0.70 -1.6 7
2008-08-03 @ Sturm Graz D 0-065.6 1583 1586 24.76% 21.11% 54.12%-0.70 +1.6 9
2008-08-03 LASK Linz W 1-051.2 1624 1557 61.15% 20.17% 18.68%+1.10 +4.8 11
2008-08-03 @ Salzburg L 0-151.2 1557 1624 18.68% 20.17% 61.15%-1.10 -4.8 9
2008-08-03 SK Austria Karnten D 0-059.5 1515 1467 59.14% 20.49% 20.37%+0.98 -2.2 7
2008-08-03 @ Ried D 0-059.5 1467 1515 20.37% 20.49% 59.14%-0.98 +2.2 2
2008-08-06 Sturm Graz L 0-250.6 1469 1585 38.30% 21.80% 39.90%-0.03 -16.6 2
2008-08-06 @ SK Austria Karnten W 2-050.6 1585 1469 39.90% 21.80% 38.30%+0.03 +16.6 10
2008-08-08 Ried W 2-153.0 1552 1513 58.24% 20.62% 21.14%+0.93 +5.0 12
2008-08-08 @ LASK Linz L 1-253.0 1513 1552 21.14% 20.62% 58.24%-0.93 -5.0 7
2008-08-09 Mattersburg W 2-046.2 1453 1521 44.87% 21.71% 33.42%+0.26 +14.9 5
2008-08-09 @ SK Austria Karnten L 0-246.2 1521 1453 33.42% 21.71% 44.87%-0.26 -14.9 6
2008-08-09 Rapid Wien L 2-749.7 1445 1626 29.59% 21.52% 48.89%-0.44 -21.8 3
2008-08-09 @ SCR Altach W 7-249.7 1626 1445 48.89% 21.52% 29.59%+0.44 +21.8 13
2008-08-09 Sturm Graz L 1-355.5 1472 1601 36.31% 21.78% 41.91%-0.12 -13.8 2
2008-08-09 @ Kapfenberger W 3-155.5 1601 1472 41.91% 21.78% 36.31%+0.12 +13.8 13
2008-08-10 Salzburg W 3-265.0 1584 1629 48.10% 21.57% 30.33%+0.40 +6.5 12
2008-08-10 @ Austria Wien L 2-365.0 1629 1584 30.33% 21.57% 48.10%-0.40 -6.5 11
2008-08-23 Kapfenberger W 2-149.0 1507 1458 59.20% 20.48% 20.31%+0.98 +4.9 9
2008-08-23 @ Mattersburg L 1-249.0 1458 1507 20.31% 20.48% 59.20%-0.98 -4.8 2
2008-08-23 LASK Linz W 2-048.2 1615 1557 60.17% 20.33% 19.50%+1.04 +9.3 16
2008-08-23 @ Sturm Graz L 0-248.2 1557 1615 19.50% 20.33% 60.17%-1.04 -9.3 12
2008-08-23 Ried W 2-152.9 1623 1508 65.70% 19.25% 15.05%+1.40 +3.6 14
2008-08-23 @ Salzburg L 1-252.9 1508 1623 15.05% 19.25% 65.70%-1.40 -3.6 7
2008-08-23 SK Austria Karnten L 0-345.2 1423 1468 48.11% 21.57% 30.32%+0.41 -29.1 3
2008-08-23 @ SCR Altach W 3-045.2 1468 1423 30.32% 21.57% 48.11%-0.41 +29.1 8
2008-08-24 Austria Wien W 3-047.3 1648 1591 60.06% 20.35% 19.59%+1.03 +13.6 16
2008-08-24 @ Rapid Wien L 0-347.3 1591 1648 19.59% 20.35% 60.06%-1.03 -13.6 12
2008-08-29 SCR Altach W 3-249.5 1453 1394 60.33% 20.31% 19.36%+1.05 +4.4 5
2008-08-29 @ Kapfenberger L 2-349.5 1394 1453 19.36% 20.31% 60.33%-1.05 -4.4 3
2008-08-30 Rapid Wien L 2-560.8 1548 1661 38.61% 21.80% 39.59%-0.02 -17.7 12
2008-08-30 @ LASK Linz W 5-260.8 1661 1548 39.59% 21.80% 38.61%+0.02 +17.7 19
2008-08-31 Mattersburg W 2-152.9 1577 1511 61.03% 20.19% 18.78%+1.09 +4.5 15
2008-08-31 @ Austria Wien L 1-252.9 1511 1577 18.78% 20.19% 61.03%-1.09 -4.5 9
2008-08-31 Salzburg W 1-057.0 1497 1626 36.30% 21.78% 41.92%-0.12 +9.5 11
2008-08-31 @ SK Austria Karnten L 0-157.0 1626 1497 41.92% 21.78% 36.30%+0.12 -9.5 14
2008-08-31 Sturm Graz W 4-156.1 1504 1624 37.60% 21.79% 40.61%-0.07 +21.3 10
2008-08-31 @ Ried L 1-456.1 1624 1504 40.61% 21.79% 37.60%+0.07 -21.3 16
2008-09-19 Ried D 1-170.9 1679 1526 69.01% 18.40% 12.59%+1.64 -3.0 20
2008-09-19 @ Rapid Wien D 1-170.9 1526 1679 12.59% 18.40% 69.01%-1.64 +3.0 11
2008-09-20 Mattersburg W 2-152.5 1530 1507 56.45% 20.85% 22.69%+0.83 +5.4 15
2008-09-20 @ LASK Linz L 1-252.5 1507 1530 22.69% 20.85% 56.45%-0.83 -5.4 9
2008-09-21 Austria Wien L 0-147.4 1390 1582 28.21% 21.43% 50.36%-0.51 -6.9 3
2008-09-21 @ SCR Altach W 1-047.4 1582 1390 50.36% 21.43% 28.21%+0.51 +6.9 18
2008-09-21 Kapfenberger W 6-038.3 1506 1458 59.21% 20.48% 20.31%+0.98 +26.9 14
2008-09-21 @ SK Austria Karnten L 0-638.3 1458 1506 20.31% 20.48% 59.21%-0.98 -26.9 5
2008-09-21 Salzburg D 2-275.2 1603 1617 52.05% 21.30% 26.65%+0.60 -0.9 17
2008-09-21 @ Sturm Graz D 2-275.2 1617 1603 26.65% 21.30% 52.05%-0.60 +0.9 15
2008-09-23 Rapid Wien W 1-059.9 1528 1676 33.84% 21.72% 44.44%-0.24 +9.9 14
2008-09-23 @ Ried L 0-159.9 1676 1528 44.44% 21.72% 33.84%+0.24 -9.9 20
2008-09-24 LASK Linz L 1-455.6 1502 1536 49.46% 21.49% 29.05%+0.47 -25.1 9
2008-09-24 @ Mattersburg W 4-155.6 1536 1502 29.05% 21.49% 49.46%-0.47 +25.1 18
2008-09-24 SCR Altach W 2-145.1 1589 1383 73.01% 17.13% 9.86%+1.96 +2.4 21
2008-09-24 @ Austria Wien L 1-245.1 1383 1589 9.86% 17.13% 73.01%-1.96 -2.4 3
2008-09-24 SK Austria Karnten L 0-247.8 1431 1533 40.15% 21.80% 38.05%+0.05 -17.2 5
2008-09-24 @ Kapfenberger W 2-047.8 1533 1431 38.05% 21.80% 40.15%-0.05 +17.2 17
2008-09-24 Sturm Graz W 3-155.5 1618 1602 55.54% 20.96% 23.50%+0.78 +9.6 18
2008-09-24 @ Salzburg L 1-355.5 1602 1618 23.50% 20.96% 55.54%-0.78 -9.6 17
2008-09-27 Austria Wien L 0-159.5 1550 1591 48.60% 21.54% 29.85%+0.43 -10.7 17
2008-09-27 @ SK Austria Karnten W 1-059.5 1591 1550 29.85% 21.54% 48.60%-0.43 +10.7 24
2008-09-27 Kapfenberger W 2-039.1 1561 1414 68.51% 18.54% 12.95%+1.60 +6.3 21
2008-09-27 @ LASK Linz L 0-239.1 1414 1561 12.95% 18.54% 68.51%-1.60 -6.3 5
2008-09-27 Ried L 0-146.9 1381 1538 32.47% 21.67% 45.85%-0.30 -7.7 3
2008-09-27 @ SCR Altach W 1-046.9 1538 1381 45.85% 21.67% 32.47%+0.30 +7.7 17
2008-09-27 Salzburg L 1-258.3 1476 1627 33.41% 21.71% 44.88%-0.26 -7.5 9
2008-09-27 @ Mattersburg W 2-158.3 1627 1476 44.88% 21.71% 33.41%+0.26 +7.4 21
2008-09-28 Sturm Graz W 2-157.0 1666 1593 61.79% 20.06% 18.16%+1.14 +4.4 23
2008-09-28 @ Rapid Wien L 1-257.0 1593 1666 18.16% 20.06% 61.79%-1.14 -4.4 17
2008-10-03 Mattersburg D 0-060.9 1546 1469 62.15% 19.99% 17.86%+1.16 -2.5 18
2008-10-03 @ Ried D 0-060.9 1469 1546 17.86% 19.99% 62.15%-1.16 +2.5 10
2008-10-04 SK Austria Karnten W 3-044.9 1588 1540 59.22% 20.48% 20.30%+0.98 +14.1 20
2008-10-04 @ Sturm Graz L 0-344.9 1540 1588 20.30% 20.48% 59.22%-0.98 -14.1 17
2008-10-05 Kapfenberger D 0-061.4 1602 1407 72.19% 17.41% 10.40%+1.89 -3.6 25
2008-10-05 @ Austria Wien D 0-061.4 1407 1602 10.40% 17.41% 72.19%-1.89 +3.6 6
2008-10-05 Rapid Wien W 1-057.0 1635 1670 49.26% 21.50% 29.24%+0.46 +7.1 24
2008-10-05 @ Salzburg L 0-157.0 1670 1635 29.24% 21.50% 49.26%-0.46 -7.1 23
2008-10-05 SCR Altach L 1-360.1 1567 1373 72.17% 17.42% 10.41%+1.89 -24.9 21
2008-10-05 @ LASK Linz W 3-160.1 1373 1567 10.41% 17.42% 72.17%-1.89 +24.9 6
2008-10-18 LASK Linz W 5-043.8 1598 1542 60.00% 20.36% 19.64%+1.03 +22.0 28
2008-10-18 @ Austria Wien L 0-543.8 1542 1598 19.64% 20.36% 60.00%-1.03 -22.0 21
2008-10-18 Ried W 2-048.1 1411 1544 35.86% 21.77% 42.37%-0.14 +18.0 9
2008-10-18 @ Kapfenberger L 0-248.1 1544 1411 42.37% 21.77% 35.86%+0.14 -18.0 18
2008-10-18 Sturm Graz L 5-668.4 1472 1602 36.12% 21.78% 42.10%-0.13 -7.2 10
2008-10-18 @ Mattersburg W 6-568.4 1602 1472 42.10% 21.78% 36.12%+0.13 +7.2 23
2008-10-19 Salzburg L 3-460.5 1398 1642 22.57% 20.84% 56.60%-0.84 -4.9 6
2008-10-19 @ SCR Altach W 4-360.5 1642 1398 56.60% 20.84% 22.57%+0.84 +4.9 27
2008-10-24 Kapfenberger W 7-345.1 1647 1429 73.84% 16.83% 9.33%+2.04 +5.5 30
2008-10-24 @ Salzburg L 3-745.1 1429 1647 9.33% 16.83% 73.84%-2.04 -5.5 9
2008-10-25 Austria Wien W 3-158.0 1526 1620 41.26% 21.79% 36.96%+0.09 +14.0 21
2008-10-25 @ Ried L 1-358.0 1620 1526 36.96% 21.79% 41.26%-0.09 -14.0 28
2008-10-25 Mattersburg W 1-046.3 1663 1464 72.51% 17.30% 10.19%+1.92 +2.6 26
2008-10-25 @ Rapid Wien L 0-146.3 1464 1663 10.19% 17.30% 72.51%-1.92 -2.6 10
2008-10-25 SCR Altach W 6-035.4 1609 1393 73.77% 16.85% 9.38%+2.03 +12.4 26
2008-10-25 @ Sturm Graz L 0-635.4 1393 1609 9.38% 16.85% 73.77%-2.03 -12.4 6
2008-10-26 LASK Linz W 1-049.0 1526 1520 54.35% 21.09% 24.56%+0.72 +6.1 20
2008-10-26 @ SK Austria Karnten L 0-149.0 1520 1526 24.56% 21.09% 54.35%-0.72 -6.1 21
2008-10-31 Rapid Wien L 0-246.9 1423 1666 22.73% 20.86% 56.42%-0.83 -10.7 9
2008-10-31 @ Kapfenberger W 2-046.9 1666 1423 56.42% 20.86% 22.73%+0.83 +10.7 29
2008-11-01 Mattersburg D 2-263.0 1380 1462 43.10% 21.76% 35.14%+0.18 -0.3 7
2008-11-01 @ SCR Altach D 2-263.0 1462 1380 35.14% 21.76% 43.10%-0.18 +0.3 11
2008-11-01 Ried D 1-166.2 1532 1540 52.76% 21.24% 26.00%+0.63 -1.3 21
2008-11-01 @ SK Austria Karnten D 1-166.2 1540 1532 26.00% 21.24% 52.76%-0.63 +1.3 22
2008-11-01 Salzburg L 0-253.2 1514 1652 35.13% 21.76% 43.12%-0.18 -15.5 21
2008-11-01 @ LASK Linz W 2-053.2 1652 1514 43.12% 21.76% 35.13%+0.18 +15.5 33
2008-11-02 Sturm Graz L 1-364.3 1606 1622 51.79% 21.32% 26.88%+0.58 -18.5 28
2008-11-02 @ Austria Wien W 3-164.3 1622 1606 26.88% 21.32% 51.79%-0.58 +18.5 29
2008-11-04 Rapid Wien D 3-378.9 1530 1677 34.01% 21.73% 44.27%-0.23 +0.3 22
2008-11-04 @ SK Austria Karnten D 3-378.9 1677 1530 44.27% 21.73% 34.01%+0.23 -0.3 30
2008-11-07 Austria Wien W 5-149.8 1668 1588 62.43% 19.94% 17.63%+1.18 +13.4 36
2008-11-07 @ Salzburg L 1-549.8 1588 1668 17.63% 19.94% 62.43%-1.18 -13.4 28
2008-11-08 Kapfenberger W 2-040.2 1640 1413 74.52% 16.57% 8.91%+2.10 +4.2 32
2008-11-08 @ Sturm Graz L 0-240.2 1413 1640 8.91% 16.57% 74.52%-2.10 -4.2 9
2008-11-08 SCR Altach W 5-139.6 1676 1380 78.80% 14.77% 6.44%+2.53 +4.7 33
2008-11-08 @ Rapid Wien L 1-539.6 1380 1676 6.44% 14.77% 78.80%-2.53 -4.7 7
2008-11-08 SK Austria Karnten D 0-059.5 1462 1531 44.88% 21.71% 33.41%+0.26 -0.6 12
2008-11-08 @ Mattersburg D 0-059.5 1531 1462 33.41% 21.71% 44.88%-0.26 +0.6 23
2008-11-09 LASK Linz W 3-042.1 1541 1499 58.54% 20.58% 20.88%+0.95 +14.4 25
2008-11-09 @ Ried L 0-342.1 1499 1541 20.88% 20.58% 58.54%-0.95 -14.4 21
2008-11-11 Rapid Wien W 2-056.2 1574 1681 39.51% 21.80% 38.69%+0.02 +16.7 31
2008-11-11 @ Austria Wien L 0-256.2 1681 1574 38.69% 21.80% 39.51%-0.02 -16.7 33
2008-11-12 Mattersburg W 2-149.4 1409 1461 46.99% 21.62% 31.38%+0.35 +7.1 12
2008-11-12 @ Kapfenberger L 1-249.4 1461 1409 31.38% 21.62% 46.99%-0.35 -7.1 12
2008-11-12 Salzburg D 2-275.4 1555 1681 36.82% 21.79% 41.40%-0.10 +0.2 26
2008-11-12 @ Ried D 2-275.4 1681 1555 41.40% 21.79% 36.82%+0.10 -0.2 37
2008-11-12 SCR Altach W 2-143.9 1531 1375 69.21% 18.34% 12.45%+1.65 +3.0 26
2008-11-12 @ SK Austria Karnten L 1-243.9 1375 1531 12.45% 18.34% 69.21%-1.65 -3.0 7
2008-11-12 Sturm Graz L 0-348.8 1484 1645 32.15% 21.66% 46.19%-0.32 -21.0 21
2008-11-12 @ LASK Linz W 3-048.8 1645 1484 46.19% 21.66% 32.15%+0.32 +21.0 35
2008-11-15 Austria Wien D 0-061.5 1454 1591 35.31% 21.76% 42.93%-0.17 +0.4 13
2008-11-15 @ Mattersburg D 0-061.5 1591 1454 42.93% 21.76% 35.31%+0.17 -0.4 32
2008-11-15 Kapfenberger W 3-037.1 1372 1416 48.28% 21.56% 30.16%+0.41 +19.9 10
2008-11-15 @ SCR Altach L 0-337.1 1416 1372 30.16% 21.56% 48.28%-0.41 -19.9 12
2008-11-15 LASK Linz W 5-039.6 1664 1463 72.66% 17.25% 10.09%+1.93 +11.3 36
2008-11-15 @ Rapid Wien L 0-539.6 1463 1664 10.09% 17.25% 72.66%-1.93 -11.3 21
2008-11-15 Ried W 3-045.4 1666 1555 65.28% 19.35% 15.37%+1.37 +10.8 38
2008-11-15 @ Sturm Graz L 0-345.4 1555 1666 15.37% 19.35% 65.28%-1.37 -10.8 26
2008-11-16 SK Austria Karnten W 4-149.1 1681 1534 68.45% 18.55% 12.99%+1.59 +7.7 40
2008-11-16 @ Salzburg L 1-449.1 1534 1681 12.99% 18.55% 68.45%-1.59 -7.7 26
2008-11-22 Kapfenberger L 2-567.2 1689 1396 78.60% 14.86% 6.54%+2.50 -32.6 40
2008-11-22 @ Salzburg W 5-267.2 1396 1689 6.54% 14.86% 78.60%-2.50 +32.6 15
2008-11-22 Mattersburg W 4-144.0 1392 1455 45.70% 21.68% 32.62%+0.29 +17.9 13
2008-11-22 @ SCR Altach L 1-444.0 1455 1392 32.62% 21.68% 45.70%-0.29 -17.9 13
2008-11-22 Ried W 3-152.4 1591 1545 58.93% 20.52% 20.54%+0.97 +8.5 35
2008-11-22 @ Austria Wien L 1-352.4 1545 1591 20.54% 20.52% 58.93%-0.97 -8.5 26
2008-11-22 SK Austria Karnten L 0-249.5 1452 1527 44.04% 21.73% 34.22%+0.22 -18.6 21
2008-11-22 @ LASK Linz W 2-049.5 1527 1452 34.22% 21.73% 44.04%-0.22 +18.6 29
2008-11-23 Rapid Wien D 2-277.1 1676 1676 53.80% 21.14% 25.05%+0.69 -1.1 39
2008-11-23 @ Sturm Graz D 2-277.1 1676 1676 25.05% 21.14% 53.80%-0.69 +1.1 37
2008-11-29 Austria Wien L 1-254.8 1428 1599 30.82% 21.60% 47.58%-0.38 -7.0 15
2008-11-29 @ Kapfenberger W 2-154.8 1599 1428 47.58% 21.60% 30.82%+0.38 +7.0 38
2008-11-29 LASK Linz W 1-043.1 1536 1433 64.62% 19.49% 15.89%+1.32 +4.1 29
2008-11-29 @ Ried L 0-143.1 1433 1536 15.89% 19.49% 64.62%-1.32 -4.1 21
2008-11-29 SCR Altach W 8-139.7 1677 1410 77.03% 15.56% 7.42%+2.34 +9.2 40
2008-11-29 @ Rapid Wien L 1-839.7 1410 1677 7.42% 15.56% 77.03%-2.34 -9.2 13
2008-11-30 Salzburg L 2-456.8 1437 1656 25.16% 21.15% 53.69%-0.68 -9.1 13
2008-11-30 @ Mattersburg W 4-256.8 1656 1437 53.69% 21.15% 25.16%+0.68 +9.1 43
2008-12-05 Sturm Graz W 1-060.6 1429 1675 22.37% 20.81% 56.82%-0.85 +12.3 24
2008-12-05 @ LASK Linz L 0-160.6 1675 1429 56.82% 20.81% 22.37%+0.85 -12.3 39
2008-12-06 Mattersburg W 3-144.4 1421 1428 52.93% 21.23% 25.85%+0.64 +10.4 18
2008-12-06 @ Kapfenberger L 1-344.4 1428 1421 25.85% 21.23% 52.93%-0.64 -10.4 13
2008-12-06 Ried W 2-047.1 1665 1540 66.60% 19.04% 14.37%+1.46 +7.0 46
2008-12-06 @ Salzburg L 0-247.1 1540 1665 14.37% 19.04% 66.60%-1.46 -7.0 29
2008-12-06 SK Austria Karnten L 2-551.0 1401 1545 34.28% 21.73% 43.99%-0.22 -16.1 13
2008-12-06 @ SCR Altach W 5-251.0 1545 1401 43.99% 21.73% 34.28%+0.22 +16.1 32
2008-12-07 Rapid Wien D 2-276.3 1606 1686 43.33% 21.75% 34.92%+0.19 -0.3 39
2008-12-07 @ Austria Wien D 2-276.3 1686 1606 34.92% 21.75% 43.33%-0.19 +0.3 41
2008-12-13 Austria Wien L 0-246.5 1417 1606 28.67% 21.46% 49.87%-0.49 -13.1 13
2008-12-13 @ Mattersburg W 2-046.5 1606 1417 49.87% 21.46% 28.67%+0.49 +13.1 42
2008-12-13 Kapfenberger W 3-037.5 1533 1432 64.50% 19.52% 15.98%+1.31 +11.2 32
2008-12-13 @ Ried L 0-337.5 1432 1533 15.98% 19.52% 64.50%-1.31 -11.2 18
2008-12-13 SCR Altach W 3-143.9 1663 1385 77.74% 15.25% 7.02%+2.41 +2.8 42
2008-12-13 @ Sturm Graz L 1-343.9 1385 1663 7.02% 15.25% 77.74%-2.41 -2.8 13
2008-12-14 LASK Linz D 1-169.6 1686 1442 75.64% 16.13% 8.23%+2.20 -3.6 42
2008-12-14 @ Rapid Wien D 1-169.6 1442 1686 8.23% 16.13% 75.64%-2.20 +3.6 25
2009-02-20 Ried D 2-266.4 1404 1545 34.82% 21.75% 43.43%-0.19 +0.3 14
2009-02-20 @ Mattersburg D 2-266.4 1545 1404 43.43% 21.75% 34.82%+0.19 -0.3 33
2009-02-21 SK Austria Karnten W 2-156.9 1421 1561 34.75% 21.75% 43.51%-0.19 +9.2 21
2009-02-21 @ Kapfenberger L 1-256.9 1561 1421 43.51% 21.75% 34.75%+0.19 -9.2 32
2009-02-22 Rapid Wien W 2-161.0 1672 1683 52.43% 21.27% 26.30%+0.62 +6.1 49
2009-02-22 @ Salzburg L 1-261.0 1683 1672 26.30% 21.27% 52.43%-0.62 -6.1 42
2009-02-27 Austria Wien W 2-161.1 1382 1619 23.28% 20.93% 55.78%-0.79 +11.4 16
2009-02-27 @ SCR Altach L 1-261.1 1619 1382 55.78% 20.93% 23.28%+0.79 -11.4 42
2009-02-28 Kapfenberger L 1-366.3 1666 1430 75.09% 16.35% 8.56%+2.15 -25.7 42
2009-02-28 @ Sturm Graz W 3-166.3 1430 1666 8.56% 16.35% 75.09%-2.15 +25.7 24
2009-02-28 Mattersburg D 0-059.1 1552 1405 68.53% 18.53% 12.94%+1.60 -3.2 33
2009-02-28 @ SK Austria Karnten D 0-059.1 1405 1552 12.94% 18.53% 68.53%-1.60 +3.2 15
2009-02-28 Ried W 1-050.2 1677 1544 67.24% 18.87% 13.88%+1.51 +3.6 45
2009-02-28 @ Rapid Wien L 0-150.2 1544 1677 13.88% 18.87% 67.24%-1.51 -3.6 33
2009-03-01 Salzburg L 0-345.9 1445 1678 23.69% 20.98% 55.33%-0.77 -16.2 25
2009-03-01 @ LASK Linz W 3-045.9 1678 1445 55.33% 20.98% 23.69%+0.77 +16.2 52
2009-03-04 Salzburg W 2-057.6 1549 1694 34.12% 21.73% 44.15%-0.22 +18.6 36
2009-03-04 @ SK Austria Karnten L 0-257.6 1694 1549 44.15% 21.73% 34.12%+0.22 -18.6 52
2009-03-07 LASK Linz W 4-037.1 1607 1429 70.99% 17.80% 11.21%+1.79 +10.2 45
2009-03-07 @ Austria Wien L 0-437.1 1429 1607 11.21% 17.80% 70.99%-1.79 -10.2 25
2009-03-07 SK Austria Karnten W 2-049.3 1541 1567 50.40% 21.43% 28.17%+0.52 +12.9 36
2009-03-07 @ Ried L 0-249.3 1567 1541 28.17% 21.43% 50.40%-0.52 -12.9 36
2009-03-07 Sturm Graz W 2-159.0 1676 1640 57.81% 20.68% 21.51%+0.90 +5.1 55
2009-03-07 @ Salzburg L 1-259.0 1640 1676 21.51% 20.68% 57.81%-0.90 -5.1 42
2009-03-08 Rapid Wien L 0-343.5 1408 1680 19.91% 20.41% 59.68%-1.01 -13.8 15
2009-03-08 @ Mattersburg W 3-043.5 1680 1408 59.68% 20.41% 19.91%+1.01 +13.8 48
2009-03-10 LASK Linz D 1-157.5 1393 1419 50.59% 21.41% 28.00%+0.52 -1.1 17
2009-03-10 @ SCR Altach D 1-157.5 1419 1393 28.00% 21.41% 50.59%-0.52 +1.1 26
2009-03-10 Sturm Graz W 2-052.5 1618 1635 51.60% 21.34% 27.06%+0.57 +12.5 48
2009-03-10 @ Austria Wien L 0-252.5 1635 1618 27.06% 21.34% 51.60%-0.57 -12.5 42
2009-03-13 Ried D 1-169.7 1623 1554 61.33% 20.14% 18.53%+1.11 -2.2 43
2009-03-13 @ Sturm Graz D 1-169.7 1554 1623 18.53% 20.14% 61.33%-1.11 +2.2 37
2009-03-14 Austria Wien D 1-169.4 1555 1630 43.90% 21.74% 34.36%+0.21 -0.5 37
2009-03-14 @ SK Austria Karnten D 1-169.4 1630 1555 34.36% 21.74% 43.90%-0.21 +0.5 49
2009-03-14 Kapfenberger W 6-039.9 1694 1455 75.24% 16.29% 8.47%+2.17 +11.1 51
2009-03-14 @ Rapid Wien L 0-639.9 1455 1694 8.47% 16.29% 75.24%-2.17 -11.1 24
2009-03-14 Mattersburg D 0-054.0 1420 1394 56.72% 20.82% 22.46%+0.84 -1.9 27
2009-03-14 @ LASK Linz D 0-054.0 1394 1420 22.46% 20.82% 56.72%-0.84 +1.9 16
2009-03-15 Salzburg L 1-252.3 1392 1681 18.51% 20.13% 61.36%-1.11 -4.4 17
2009-03-15 @ SCR Altach W 2-152.3 1681 1392 61.36% 20.13% 18.51%+1.11 +4.4 58
2009-03-18 Sturm Graz W 4-261.7 1554 1620 45.20% 21.70% 33.10%+0.27 +11.5 40
2009-03-18 @ SK Austria Karnten L 2-461.7 1620 1554 33.10% 21.70% 45.20%-0.27 -11.4 43
2009-03-20 LASK Linz W 4-141.1 1444 1418 56.78% 20.81% 22.40%+0.85 +13.0 27
2009-03-20 @ Kapfenberger L 1-441.1 1418 1444 22.40% 20.81% 56.78%-0.85 -13.0 27
2009-03-21 Mattersburg W 1-041.7 1609 1396 73.50% 16.95% 9.55%+2.01 +2.4 46
2009-03-21 @ Sturm Graz L 0-141.7 1396 1609 9.55% 16.95% 73.50%-2.01 -2.4 16
2009-03-21 Rapid Wien L 1-360.1 1566 1705 34.92% 21.75% 43.33%-0.19 -13.4 40
2009-03-21 @ SK Austria Karnten W 3-160.1 1705 1566 43.33% 21.75% 34.92%+0.19 +13.4 54
2009-03-21 SCR Altach W 3-249.6 1556 1388 70.17% 18.06% 11.77%+1.73 +2.7 40
2009-03-21 @ Ried L 2-349.6 1388 1556 11.77% 18.06% 70.17%-1.73 -2.7 17
2009-03-22 Salzburg D 1-171.8 1631 1685 46.78% 21.63% 31.59%+0.34 -0.7 50
2009-03-22 @ Austria Wien D 1-171.8 1685 1631 31.59% 21.63% 46.78%-0.34 +0.7 59
2009-03-25 SCR Altach D 1-158.6 1457 1385 61.65% 20.08% 18.27%+1.13 -2.2 28
2009-03-25 @ Kapfenberger D 1-158.6 1385 1457 18.27% 20.08% 61.65%-1.13 +2.2 18
2009-04-04 Austria Wien W 4-153.2 1686 1630 60.00% 20.36% 19.64%+1.03 +11.5 62
2009-04-04 @ Salzburg L 1-453.2 1630 1686 19.64% 20.36% 60.00%-1.03 -11.5 50
2009-04-04 Kapfenberger D 2-263.5 1405 1455 47.37% 21.61% 31.02%+0.37 -0.6 28
2009-04-04 @ LASK Linz D 2-263.5 1455 1405 31.02% 21.61% 47.37%-0.37 +0.6 29
2009-04-04 Ried D 1-161.5 1387 1558 30.78% 21.59% 47.63%-0.38 +0.8 19
2009-04-04 @ SCR Altach D 1-161.5 1558 1387 47.63% 21.59% 30.78%+0.38 -0.8 41
2009-04-04 Sturm Graz D 0-060.1 1394 1611 25.30% 21.17% 53.53%-0.67 +1.6 17
2009-04-04 @ Mattersburg D 0-060.1 1611 1394 53.53% 21.17% 25.30%+0.67 -1.5 47
2009-04-05 SK Austria Karnten W 4-256.2 1718 1552 70.04% 18.10% 11.87%+1.72 +4.4 57
2009-04-05 @ Rapid Wien L 2-456.2 1552 1718 11.87% 18.10% 70.04%-1.72 -4.4 40
2009-04-10 SCR Altach W 5-454.5 1395 1388 54.54% 21.07% 24.39%+0.73 +5.2 20
2009-04-10 @ Mattersburg L 4-554.5 1388 1395 24.39% 21.07% 54.54%-0.73 -5.2 19
2009-04-11 Austria Wien D 0-065.6 1558 1618 45.94% 21.67% 32.39%+0.30 -0.7 42
2009-04-11 @ Ried D 0-065.6 1618 1558 32.39% 21.67% 45.94%-0.30 +0.7 51
2009-04-11 LASK Linz L 0-157.9 1548 1404 68.18% 18.63% 13.19%+1.57 -14.5 40
2009-04-11 @ SK Austria Karnten W 1-057.9 1404 1548 13.19% 18.63% 68.18%-1.57 +14.5 31
2009-04-11 Salzburg L 0-248.9 1456 1697 22.79% 20.87% 56.35%-0.82 -10.8 29
2009-04-11 @ Kapfenberger W 2-048.9 1697 1456 56.35% 20.87% 22.79%+0.82 +10.8 65
2009-04-12 Sturm Graz L 0-167.5 1723 1610 65.56% 19.28% 15.16%+1.39 -14.0 57
2009-04-12 @ Rapid Wien W 1-067.5 1610 1723 15.16% 19.28% 65.56%-1.39 +14.0 50
2009-04-17 Ried L 0-344.4 1419 1557 35.12% 21.76% 43.13%-0.18 -22.5 31
2009-04-17 @ LASK Linz W 3-044.4 1557 1419 43.13% 21.76% 35.12%+0.18 +22.5 45
2009-04-18 Kapfenberger W 2-149.2 1619 1445 70.66% 17.91% 11.43%+1.77 +2.8 54
2009-04-18 @ Austria Wien L 1-249.2 1445 1619 11.43% 17.91% 70.66%-1.77 -2.8 29
2009-04-18 Mattersburg W 2-040.6 1708 1400 79.45% 14.46% 6.09%+2.60 +2.8 68
2009-04-18 @ Salzburg L 0-240.6 1400 1708 6.09% 14.46% 79.45%-2.60 -2.8 20
2009-04-18 Rapid Wien D 1-167.4 1383 1709 15.62% 19.42% 64.96%-1.35 +2.5 20
2009-04-18 @ SCR Altach D 1-167.4 1709 1383 64.96% 19.42% 15.62%+1.35 -2.5 58
2009-04-19 SK Austria Karnten D 0-065.7 1624 1533 63.46% 19.74% 16.80%+1.25 -2.7 51
2009-04-19 @ Sturm Graz D 0-065.7 1533 1624 16.80% 19.74% 63.46%-1.25 +2.7 41
2009-04-24 Salzburg W 3-055.4 1579 1711 36.01% 21.77% 42.22%-0.14 +26.1 48
2009-04-24 @ Ried L 0-355.4 1711 1579 42.22% 21.77% 36.01%+0.14 -26.1 68
2009-04-25 Kapfenberger W 3-145.6 1398 1442 48.10% 21.57% 30.33%+0.40 +11.9 23
2009-04-25 @ Mattersburg L 1-345.6 1442 1398 30.33% 21.57% 48.10%-0.40 -11.9 29
2009-04-25 LASK Linz W 2-038.9 1621 1396 74.32% 16.65% 9.03%+2.08 +4.3 54
2009-04-25 @ Sturm Graz L 0-238.9 1396 1621 9.03% 16.65% 74.32%-2.08 -4.3 31
2009-04-25 SCR Altach L 0-351.5 1536 1386 68.76% 18.47% 12.77%+1.62 -40.1 41
2009-04-25 @ SK Austria Karnten W 3-051.5 1386 1536 12.77% 18.47% 68.76%-1.62 +40.1 23
2009-04-26 Austria Wien W 3-262.3 1706 1622 62.86% 19.86% 17.28%+1.21 +4.0 61
2009-04-26 @ Rapid Wien L 2-362.3 1622 1706 17.28% 19.86% 62.86%-1.21 -4.0 54
2009-05-01 Mattersburg D 0-062.2 1618 1409 73.20% 17.06% 9.74%+1.98 -3.7 55
2009-05-01 @ Austria Wien D 0-062.2 1409 1618 9.74% 17.06% 73.20%-1.98 +3.8 24
2009-05-02 Rapid Wien L 0-245.0 1392 1710 16.18% 19.58% 64.24%-1.30 -7.8 31
2009-05-02 @ LASK Linz W 2-045.0 1710 1392 64.24% 19.58% 16.18%+1.30 +7.8 64
2009-05-02 Ried W 2-160.3 1430 1606 30.25% 21.56% 48.18%-0.41 +10.0 32
2009-05-02 @ Kapfenberger L 1-260.3 1606 1430 48.18% 21.56% 30.25%+0.41 -10.0 48
2009-05-02 Sturm Graz D 1-165.4 1426 1625 27.32% 21.36% 51.32%-0.56 +1.2 24
2009-05-02 @ SCR Altach D 1-165.4 1625 1426 51.32% 21.36% 27.32%+0.56 -1.2 55
2009-05-03 SK Austria Karnten W 6-041.8 1685 1496 71.79% 17.55% 10.67%+1.86 +14.2 71
2009-05-03 @ Salzburg L 0-641.8 1496 1685 10.67% 17.55% 71.79%-1.86 -14.2 41
2009-05-08 SCR Altach W 2-040.0 1384 1427 48.38% 21.55% 30.07%+0.42 +13.7 34
2009-05-08 @ LASK Linz L 0-240.0 1427 1384 30.07% 21.55% 48.38%-0.42 -13.7 24
2009-05-09 Austria Wien D 2-275.6 1624 1614 54.89% 21.03% 24.07%+0.74 -1.1 56
2009-05-09 @ Sturm Graz D 2-275.6 1614 1624 24.07% 21.03% 54.89%-0.74 +1.1 56
2009-05-09 Kapfenberger L 0-251.4 1482 1440 58.44% 20.59% 20.97%+0.94 -23.8 41
2009-05-09 @ SK Austria Karnten W 2-051.4 1440 1482 20.97% 20.59% 58.44%-0.94 +23.8 35
2009-05-09 Mattersburg W 4-036.0 1596 1413 71.28% 17.71% 11.01%+1.82 +10.0 51
2009-05-09 @ Ried L 0-436.0 1413 1596 11.01% 17.71% 71.28%-1.82 -10.1 24
2009-05-10 Salzburg W 4-261.9 1718 1699 55.92% 20.92% 23.16%+0.80 +8.5 67
2009-05-10 @ Rapid Wien L 2-461.9 1699 1718 23.16% 20.92% 55.92%-0.80 -8.5 71
2009-05-15 Sturm Graz D 3-375.6 1464 1623 32.32% 21.67% 46.01%-0.31 +0.4 36
2009-05-15 @ Kapfenberger D 3-375.6 1623 1464 46.01% 21.67% 32.32%+0.31 -0.4 57
2009-05-16 LASK Linz W 2-147.7 1691 1398 78.60% 14.86% 6.55%+2.50 +1.5 74
2009-05-16 @ Salzburg L 1-247.7 1398 1691 6.55% 14.86% 78.60%-2.50 -1.5 34
2009-05-16 SCR Altach W 4-142.2 1615 1413 72.75% 17.22% 10.03%+1.94 +5.9 59
2009-05-16 @ Austria Wien L 1-442.2 1413 1615 10.03% 17.22% 72.75%-1.94 -5.9 24
2009-05-16 SK Austria Karnten W 3-253.9 1403 1458 46.76% 21.63% 31.60%+0.34 +6.8 27
2009-05-16 @ Mattersburg L 2-353.9 1458 1403 31.60% 21.63% 46.76%-0.34 -6.8 41
2009-05-17 Rapid Wien W 3-055.4 1606 1726 37.50% 21.79% 40.71%-0.07 +25.3 54
2009-05-17 @ Ried L 0-355.4 1726 1606 40.71% 21.79% 37.50%+0.07 -25.3 67
2009-05-21 Austria Wien W 4-050.3 1396 1621 24.54% 21.09% 54.38%-0.72 +42.3 37
2009-05-21 @ LASK Linz L 0-450.3 1621 1396 54.38% 21.09% 24.54%+0.72 -42.3 59
2009-05-21 Kapfenberger W 5-142.7 1407 1464 46.42% 21.65% 31.93%+0.33 +22.7 27
2009-05-21 @ SCR Altach L 1-542.7 1464 1407 31.93% 21.65% 46.42%-0.33 -22.7 36
2009-05-21 Mattersburg L 2-374.7 1701 1410 78.51% 14.90% 6.59%+2.49 -14.6 67
2009-05-21 @ Rapid Wien W 3-274.7 1410 1701 6.59% 14.90% 78.51%-2.49 +14.6 30
2009-05-21 Ried L 1-256.4 1451 1631 29.70% 21.53% 48.77%-0.44 -6.8 41
2009-05-21 @ SK Austria Karnten W 2-156.4 1631 1451 48.77% 21.53% 29.70%+0.44 +6.8 57
2009-05-21 Salzburg W 2-055.4 1623 1692 44.74% 21.71% 33.55%+0.25 +14.9 60
2009-05-21 @ Sturm Graz L 0-255.4 1692 1623 33.55% 21.71% 44.74%-0.25 -15.0 74
2009-05-31 LASK Linz W 3-145.1 1424 1439 51.98% 21.31% 26.72%+0.59 +10.7 33
2009-05-31 @ Mattersburg L 1-345.1 1439 1424 26.72% 21.31% 51.98%-0.59 -10.7 37
2009-05-31 Rapid Wien L 0-444.5 1442 1687 22.49% 20.83% 56.69%-0.84 -20.2 36
2009-05-31 @ Kapfenberger W 4-044.5 1687 1442 56.69% 20.83% 22.49%+0.84 +20.2 70
2009-05-31 SCR Altach L 1-464.3 1677 1430 75.82% 16.06% 8.12%+2.22 -36.6 74
2009-05-31 @ Salzburg W 4-164.3 1430 1677 8.12% 16.06% 75.82%-2.22 +36.7 30
2009-05-31 SK Austria Karnten W 4-143.5 1579 1444 67.45% 18.82% 13.73%+1.52 +8.1 62
2009-05-31 @ Austria Wien L 1-443.5 1444 1579 13.73% 18.82% 67.45%-1.52 -8.1 41
2009-05-31 Sturm Graz W 3-264.4 1638 1638 53.72% 21.15% 25.13%+0.68 +5.6 60
2009-05-31 @ Ried L 2-364.4 1638 1638 25.13% 21.15% 53.72%-0.68 -5.6 60

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-11-22 6.54% Kapfenberger 1396 5 @ Salzburg 1689 2
2 2009-05-21 6.59% Mattersburg 1410 3 @ Rapid Wien 1701 2
3 2009-05-31 8.12% SCR Altach 1430 4 @ Salzburg 1677 1
4 2009-02-28 8.56% Kapfenberger 1430 3 @ Sturm Graz 1666 1
5 2008-10-05 10.41% SCR Altach 1373 3 @ LASK Linz 1567 1
6 2009-04-25 12.77% SCR Altach 1386 3 @ SK Austria Karnten 1536 0
7 2009-04-11 13.19% LASK Linz 1404 1 @ SK Austria Karnten 1548 0
8 2009-04-12 15.16% Sturm Graz 1610 1 @ Rapid Wien 1723 0
9 2009-05-09 20.97% Kapfenberger 1440 2 @ SK Austria Karnten 1482 0
10 2008-12-05 22.37% @ LASK Linz 1429 1 Sturm Graz 1675 0
11 2009-02-27 23.28% @ SCR Altach 1382 2 Austria Wien 1619 1
12 2009-05-21 24.54% @ LASK Linz 1396 4 Austria Wien 1621 0
13 2008-07-20 24.91% Austria Wien 1563 1 @ LASK Linz 1565 0
14 2008-11-02 26.88% Sturm Graz 1622 3 @ Austria Wien 1606 1
15 2008-09-24 29.05% LASK Linz 1536 4 @ Mattersburg 1502 1
16 2008-09-27 29.85% Austria Wien 1591 1 @ SK Austria Karnten 1550 0
17 2009-05-02 30.25% @ Kapfenberger 1430 2 Ried 1606 1
18 2008-08-23 30.32% SK Austria Karnten 1468 3 @ SCR Altach 1423 0
19 2008-07-09 30.46% LASK Linz 1539 1 @ Kapfenberger 1493 0
20 2008-07-29 33.06% @ SCR Altach 1443 1 Sturm Graz 1596 0
21 2008-09-23 33.84% @ Ried 1528 1 Rapid Wien 1676 0
22 2009-03-04 34.12% @ SK Austria Karnten 1549 2 Salzburg 1694 0
23 2008-11-22 34.22% SK Austria Karnten 1527 2 @ LASK Linz 1452 0
24 2009-02-21 34.75% @ Kapfenberger 1421 2 SK Austria Karnten 1561 1
25 2008-07-12 35.23% LASK Linz 1549 3 @ SCR Altach 1467 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-05-21 42.28 @ LASK Linz 4 1396 24.54% Austria Wien 0 1621 54.38% 21.09%
2 2009-04-25 40.07 SCR Altach 3 1386 12.77% @ SK Austria Karnten 0 1536 68.76% 18.47%
3 2009-05-31 36.66 SCR Altach 4 1430 8.12% @ Salzburg 1 1677 75.82% 16.06%
4 2008-11-22 32.60 Kapfenberger 5 1396 6.54% @ Salzburg 2 1689 78.60% 14.86%
5 2008-07-09 29.61 @ Salzburg 6 1586 56.59% Mattersburg 0 1561 22.58% 20.84%
6 2008-08-23 29.07 SK Austria Karnten 3 1468 30.32% @ SCR Altach 0 1423 48.11% 21.57%
7 2008-09-21 26.90 @ SK Austria Karnten 6 1506 59.21% Kapfenberger 0 1458 20.31% 20.48%
8 2009-04-24 26.06 @ Ried 3 1579 36.01% Salzburg 0 1711 42.22% 21.77%
9 2009-02-28 25.73 Kapfenberger 3 1430 8.56% @ Sturm Graz 1 1666 75.09% 16.35%
10 2009-05-17 25.32 @ Ried 3 1606 37.50% Rapid Wien 0 1726 40.71% 21.79%
11 2008-09-24 25.10 LASK Linz 4 1536 29.05% @ Mattersburg 1 1502 49.46% 21.49%
12 2008-10-05 24.91 SCR Altach 3 1373 10.41% @ LASK Linz 1 1567 72.17% 17.42%
13 2009-05-09 23.79 Kapfenberger 2 1440 20.97% @ SK Austria Karnten 0 1482 58.44% 20.59%
14 2009-05-21 22.69 @ SCR Altach 5 1407 46.42% Kapfenberger 1 1464 31.93% 21.65%
15 2009-04-17 22.52 Ried 3 1557 43.13% @ LASK Linz 0 1419 35.12% 21.76%
16 2008-10-18 21.96 @ Austria Wien 5 1598 60.00% LASK Linz 0 1542 19.64% 20.36%
17 2008-08-09 21.84 Rapid Wien 7 1626 48.89% @ SCR Altach 2 1445 29.59% 21.52%
18 2008-08-31 21.31 @ Ried 4 1504 37.60% Sturm Graz 1 1624 40.61% 21.79%
19 2008-11-12 20.96 Sturm Graz 3 1645 46.19% @ LASK Linz 0 1484 32.15% 21.66%
20 2009-05-31 20.16 Rapid Wien 4 1687 56.69% @ Kapfenberger 0 1442 22.49% 20.83%
21 2008-11-15 19.89 @ SCR Altach 3 1372 48.28% Kapfenberger 0 1416 30.16% 21.56%
22 2009-03-04 18.62 @ SK Austria Karnten 2 1549 34.12% Salzburg 0 1694 44.15% 21.73%
23 2008-11-22 18.58 SK Austria Karnten 2 1527 34.22% @ LASK Linz 0 1452 44.04% 21.73%
24 2008-11-02 18.48 Sturm Graz 3 1622 26.88% @ Austria Wien 1 1606 51.79% 21.32%
25 2008-10-18 18.00 @ Kapfenberger 2 1411 35.86% Ried 0 1544 42.37% 21.77%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-11-04 78.9 @ SK Austria Karnten 3 1530 34.01% Rapid Wien 3 1677 44.27% 21.73%
2 2008-11-23 77.1 @ Sturm Graz 2 1676 53.80% Rapid Wien 2 1676 25.05% 21.14%
3 2008-12-07 76.3 @ Austria Wien 2 1606 43.33% Rapid Wien 2 1686 34.92% 21.75%
4 2009-05-09 75.6 @ Sturm Graz 2 1624 54.89% Austria Wien 2 1614 24.07% 21.03%
5 2009-05-15 75.6 @ Kapfenberger 3 1464 32.32% Sturm Graz 3 1623 46.01% 21.67%
6 2008-11-12 75.4 @ Ried 2 1555 36.82% Salzburg 2 1681 41.40% 21.79%
7 2008-07-12 75.3 @ Rapid Wien 2 1608 52.82% Salzburg 2 1615 25.94% 21.23%
8 2008-09-21 75.2 @ Sturm Graz 2 1603 52.05% Salzburg 2 1617 26.65% 21.30%
9 2009-05-21 74.7 Mattersburg 3 1410 6.59% @ Rapid Wien 2 1701 78.51% 14.90%
10 2009-03-22 71.8 @ Austria Wien 1 1631 46.78% Salzburg 1 1685 31.59% 21.63%
11 2008-09-19 70.9 @ Rapid Wien 1 1679 69.01% Ried 1 1526 12.59% 18.40%
12 2008-07-13 70.0 @ Kapfenberger 2 1482 43.28% Austria Wien 2 1563 34.97% 21.75%
13 2009-03-13 69.7 @ Sturm Graz 1 1623 61.33% Ried 1 1554 18.53% 20.14%
14 2008-12-14 69.6 @ Rapid Wien 1 1686 75.64% LASK Linz 1 1442 8.23% 16.13%
15 2009-03-14 69.4 @ SK Austria Karnten 1 1555 43.90% Austria Wien 1 1630 34.36% 21.74%
16 2008-10-18 68.4 Sturm Graz 6 1602 42.10% @ Mattersburg 5 1472 36.12% 21.78%
17 2009-04-12 67.5 Sturm Graz 1 1610 15.16% @ Rapid Wien 0 1723 65.56% 19.28%
18 2009-04-18 67.4 @ SCR Altach 1 1383 15.62% Rapid Wien 1 1709 64.96% 19.42%
19 2008-11-22 67.2 Kapfenberger 5 1396 6.54% @ Salzburg 2 1689 78.60% 14.86%
20 2008-07-27 67.1 @ Kapfenberger 1 1477 33.79% Salzburg 1 1625 44.49% 21.72%
21 2009-02-20 66.4 @ Mattersburg 2 1404 34.82% Ried 2 1545 43.43% 21.75%
22 2009-02-28 66.3 Kapfenberger 3 1430 8.56% @ Sturm Graz 1 1666 75.09% 16.35%
23 2008-11-01 66.2 @ SK Austria Karnten 1 1532 52.76% Ried 1 1540 26.00% 21.24%
24 2009-04-19 65.7 @ Sturm Graz 0 1624 63.46% SK Austria Karnten 0 1533 16.80% 19.74%
25 2008-08-03 65.6 @ Sturm Graz 0 1586 54.12% Austria Wien 0 1583 24.76% 21.11%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-10-25 35.4 @ Sturm Graz 6 1609 73.77% SCR Altach 0 1393 9.38% 16.85%
2 2009-05-09 36.0 @ Ried 4 1596 71.28% Mattersburg 0 1413 11.01% 17.71%
3 2008-11-15 37.1 @ SCR Altach 3 1372 48.28% Kapfenberger 0 1416 30.16% 21.56%
4 2009-03-07 37.1 @ Austria Wien 4 1607 70.99% LASK Linz 0 1429 11.21% 17.80%
5 2008-12-13 37.5 @ Ried 3 1533 64.50% Kapfenberger 0 1432 15.98% 19.52%
6 2008-09-21 38.3 @ SK Austria Karnten 6 1506 59.21% Kapfenberger 0 1458 20.31% 20.48%
7 2009-04-25 38.9 @ Sturm Graz 2 1621 74.32% LASK Linz 0 1396 9.03% 16.65%
8 2008-09-27 39.1 @ LASK Linz 2 1561 68.51% Kapfenberger 0 1414 12.95% 18.54%
9 2008-11-08 39.6 @ Rapid Wien 5 1676 78.80% SCR Altach 1 1380 6.44% 14.77%
10 2008-11-15 39.6 @ Rapid Wien 5 1664 72.66% LASK Linz 0 1463 10.09% 17.25%
11 2008-07-20 39.7 @ Salzburg 3 1616 69.95% SCR Altach 0 1451 11.92% 18.12%
12 2008-11-29 39.7 @ Rapid Wien 8 1677 77.03% SCR Altach 1 1410 7.42% 15.56%
13 2009-03-14 39.9 @ Rapid Wien 6 1694 75.24% Kapfenberger 0 1455 8.47% 16.29%
14 2009-05-08 40.0 @ LASK Linz 2 1384 48.38% SCR Altach 0 1427 30.07% 21.55%
15 2008-11-08 40.2 @ Sturm Graz 2 1640 74.52% Kapfenberger 0 1413 8.91% 16.57%
16 2009-04-18 40.6 @ Salzburg 2 1708 79.45% Mattersburg 0 1400 6.09% 14.46%
17 2008-07-09 40.8 @ Ried 3 1509 56.75% SCR Altach 0 1482 22.43% 20.82%
18 2009-03-20 41.1 @ Kapfenberger 4 1444 56.78% LASK Linz 1 1418 22.40% 20.81%
19 2009-03-21 41.7 @ Sturm Graz 1 1609 73.50% Mattersburg 0 1396 9.55% 16.95%
20 2009-05-03 41.8 @ Salzburg 6 1685 71.79% SK Austria Karnten 0 1496 10.67% 17.55%
21 2008-11-09 42.1 @ Ried 3 1541 58.54% LASK Linz 0 1499 20.88% 20.58%
22 2009-05-16 42.2 @ Austria Wien 4 1615 72.75% SCR Altach 1 1413 10.03% 17.22%
23 2009-05-21 42.7 @ SCR Altach 5 1407 46.42% Kapfenberger 1 1464 31.93% 21.65%
24 2008-11-29 43.1 @ Ried 1 1536 64.62% LASK Linz 0 1433 15.89% 19.49%
25 2009-03-08 43.5 Rapid Wien 3 1680 59.68% @ Mattersburg 0 1408 19.91% 20.41%