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2007-08 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rapid Wien

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rapid Wien

11.72 points above expected

69 points · 57.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ried

10.08 points below expected

38 points · 48.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rapid Wien 36 21 6 9 69 69 36 +33 57.28 +11.72
2 Salzburg 36 18 9 9 63 63 42 +21 65.08 -2.08
3 Austria Wien 36 15 13 8 58 46 33 +13 53.34 +4.66
4 Sturm Graz 36 15 11 10 56 60 41 +19 55.74 +0.26
5 Mattersburg 36 13 14 9 53 55 43 +12 52.86 +0.14
6 LASK Linz 36 14 11 11 53 54 47 +7 49.16 +3.84
7 Ried 36 10 8 18 38 38 53 -15 48.08 -10.08
8 SCR Altach 36 8 12 16 36 37 64 -27 38.23 -2.23
9 SK Austria Karnten 36 8 9 19 33 26 58 -32 35.42 -2.42
10 Wacker Innsbruck 36 6 11 19 29 32 63 -31 36.08 -7.08

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rapid Wien 69 57.28 +11.72
2 Austria Wien 58 53.34 +4.66
3 LASK Linz 53 49.16 +3.84
4 Sturm Graz 56 55.74 +0.26
5 Mattersburg 53 52.86 +0.14

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ried 38 48.08 -10.08
2 Wacker Innsbruck 29 36.08 -7.08
3 SK Austria Karnten 33 35.42 -2.42
4 SCR Altach 36 38.23 -2.23
5 Salzburg 63 65.08 -2.08

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Wien 7 Mar 18 – Apr 26 1 in 112
2 SK Austria Karnten 2 Mar 8 – Mar 15 1 in 37
3 LASK Linz 3 Aug 5 – Aug 18 1 in 20
4 Austria Wien 4 Aug 10 – Sep 2 1 in 17
5 Wacker Innsbruck 2 Nov 24 – Nov 30 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Wien 3 Mar 8 – Mar 18 1 in 37
2 Salzburg 2 Sep 30 – Oct 7 1 in 21
3 SK Austria Karnten 4 Sep 22 – Oct 7 1 in 21
4 Ried 3 Jul 27 – Aug 11 1 in 20
5 Wacker Innsbruck 4 Aug 10 – Sep 2 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wacker Innsbruck 7 Nov 3 – Feb 16 1 in 108
2 SK Austria Karnten 6 Mar 8 – Apr 4 1 in 77
3 Austria Wien 9 Jul 11 – Sep 2 1 in 54
4 SCR Altach 7 Sep 29 – Nov 10 1 in 45
5 Sturm Graz 8 Oct 27 – Dec 15 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wacker Innsbruck 15 Jul 11 – Oct 24 1 in 99
2 Mattersburg 8 Oct 31 – Feb 15 1 in 60
3 Ried 9 Mar 8 – Apr 26 1 in 23
4 Austria Wien 5 Nov 25 – Feb 16 1 in 16
5 SCR Altach 6 Nov 10 – Feb 16 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rapid Wien 1742 69 +21 15 10.7 +4.3
Salzburg 1673 63 +20 10 8.2 +1.8
Austria Wien 1628 58 +26 10 7.3 +2.7
Sturm Graz 1635 56 -5 9 8.3 +0.7
Mattersburg 1619 53 +29 10 6.9 +3.1
LASK Linz 1577 53 -26 1 6.5 -5.5
Ried 1515 38 -18 2 6.1 -4.1
SCR Altach 1460 36 -12 5 5.0 +0.0
SK Austria Karnten 1442 33 +2 5 5.1 -0.1
Wacker Innsbruck 1441 29 -37 3 4.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW LL MAT RW RIE SA SAK SAL SG WI
Austria Wien —
0-3-1
5.75
1-3-0
5.55
0-3-1
5.29
3-1-0
5.83
2-1-1
7.09
2-0-2
7.37
2-1-1
4.21
2-1-1
5.11
3-0-1
7.53
LASK Linz
1-3-0
5.10
 —
1-1-2
5.19
1-1-2
4.49
2-1-1
5.60
2-2-0
6.56
3-0-1
6.81
1-1-2
3.99
1-1-2
4.87
2-1-1
7.07
Mattersburg
0-3-1
5.31
2-1-1
5.69
 —
2-0-2
5.07
2-2-0
5.78
1-2-1
7.02
2-1-1
7.45
1-1-2
4.14
0-3-1
5.04
3-1-0
6.94
Rapid Wien
1-3-0
5.61
2-1-1
6.34
2-0-2
5.75
 —
4-0-0
6.58
2-0-2
7.58
4-0-0
7.67
2-0-2
4.50
2-0-2
5.84
2-2-0
7.50
Ried
0-1-3
5.06
1-1-2
5.22
0-2-2
5.10
0-0-4
4.30
 —
3-0-1
6.48
3-1-0
6.60
1-0-3
3.94
1-1-2
4.83
1-2-1
6.64
SCR Altach
1-1-2
3.84
0-2-2
4.35
1-2-1
3.90
2-0-2
3.45
1-0-3
4.40
 —
1-2-1
5.80
0-2-2
2.79
0-1-3
3.73
2-2-0
5.80
SK Austria Karnten
2-0-2
3.61
1-0-3
4.10
1-1-2
3.54
0-0-4
3.36
0-1-3
4.32
1-2-1
5.05
 —
1-2-1
2.65
1-1-2
3.18
1-2-1
5.39
Salzburg
1-1-2
6.67
2-1-1
6.95
2-1-1
6.76
2-0-2
6.38
3-0-1
6.98
2-2-0
8.29
1-2-1
8.46
 —
2-2-0
6.19
3-0-1
8.45
Sturm Graz
1-1-2
5.74
2-1-1
6.00
1-3-0
5.81
2-0-2
5.03
2-1-1
6.03
3-1-0
7.22
2-1-1
7.82
0-2-2
4.67
 —
2-1-1
7.33
Wacker Innsbruck
1-0-3
3.45
1-1-2
3.87
0-1-3
3.99
0-2-2
3.50
1-2-1
4.28
0-2-2
5.06
1-2-1
5.48
1-0-3
2.66
1-1-2
3.64
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +9.0
Allowed 0.85 -11.6
Differential 0.97 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.56%7.50%6.11%2.78%2.50%1.11%30.56%
17.50%12.22%7.50%3.33%1.94%1.11%33.61%
26.11%7.50%4.44%1.11%—0.28%19.44%
32.78%3.33%1.11%1.11%—0.28%8.61%
42.50%1.94%——0.56%—5.00%
5+1.11%1.11%0.28%0.28%——2.78%
Total30.56%33.61%19.44%8.61%5.00%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 1.99
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%8.33%———25.00%
119.44%13.89%8.33%———41.67%
22.78%11.11%11.11%———25.00%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total36.11%36.11%27.78%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 0.92 +0.36
SD 1.23 0.81 1.44
CV 0.97 0.88 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%—27.78%
18.33%11.11%11.11%———30.56%
25.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
42.78%5.56%——2.78%—11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total30.56%30.56%25.00%5.56%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.31 +0.19
SD 1.40 1.21 2.00
CV 0.94 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%2.78%—2.78%—27.78%
18.33%13.89%8.33%2.78%——33.33%
22.78%5.56%8.33%———16.67%
3—2.78%5.56%2.78%——11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
Total27.78%36.11%27.78%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.19 +0.33
SD 1.50 1.01 1.69
CV 0.98 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
111.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
211.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
48.33%2.78%——2.78%—13.89%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total44.44%30.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.00 +0.92
SD 1.54 1.24 2.13
CV 0.80 1.24 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%11.11%2.78%5.56%2.78%50.00%
12.78%8.33%8.33%——2.78%22.22%
22.78%——2.78%——5.56%
311.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
4———————
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total30.56%27.78%22.22%8.33%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.47 -0.42
SD 1.35 1.44 2.10
CV 1.28 0.98 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%2.78%8.33%5.56%—33.33%
15.56%19.44%2.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%41.67%
25.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
3——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%11.11%19.44%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.78 -0.75
SD 1.00 1.49 1.86
CV 0.97 0.84 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%8.33%8.33%5.56%—44.44%
111.11%13.89%5.56%5.56%5.56%—41.67%
22.78%5.56%———2.78%11.11%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%33.33%13.89%13.89%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.72 1.61 -0.89
SD 0.78 1.44 1.67
CV 1.08 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%2.78%——2.78%19.44%
1—16.67%—5.56%2.78%—25.00%
211.11%13.89%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
48.33%5.56%————13.89%
5+———————
Total30.56%50.00%5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.17 +0.58
SD 1.30 1.40 2.23
CV 0.74 1.20 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
12.78%5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
28.33%11.11%8.33%———27.78%
32.78%5.56%———2.78%11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%5.56%————8.33%
Total36.11%33.33%19.44%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.14 +0.53
SD 1.57 1.22 2.01
CV 0.94 1.07 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%8.33%2.78%—5.56%33.33%
15.56%13.89%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%50.00%
28.33%—2.78%———11.11%
3—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%22.22%27.78%13.89%2.78%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.75 -0.86
SD 0.82 1.56 1.82
CV 0.92 0.89 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rapid Wien 1742 69 57.28 +11.72 95.1% 31 45 52 57 62 69 80
Salzburg 1673 63 65.08 -2.08 39.5% 42 53 61 65 70 77 85
Sturm Graz 1635 56 55.74 +0.26 55.6% 34 44 51 55 61 69 82
Austria Wien 1628 58 53.34 +4.66 75.2% 30 41 48 53 58 65 75
Mattersburg 1619 53 52.86 +0.14 55.0% 30 41 48 53 57 65 79
LASK Linz 1577 53 49.16 +3.84 72.6% 30 37 44 49 54 61 72
Ried 1515 38 48.08 -10.08 10.4% 27 36 43 48 53 60 71
SCR Altach 1460 36 38.23 -2.23 40.4% 20 26 33 38 43 50 66
SK Austria Karnten 1442 33 35.42 -2.42 39.6% 18 24 30 35 40 47 57
Wacker Innsbruck 1441 29 36.08 -7.08 16.0% 14 25 31 36 40 48 57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.89%
Strong Edge
50.00%28.89%21.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge
160 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0103.31500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.68 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.64+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
17%
Rapid Wien, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.71 * Some Luck: 5.71 to 8.57 * Lucky: 8.57 to 11.42 * Wild Swing: 11.42 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.11 * Close: 1.11 to 1.67 * Off: 1.67 to 2.23 * Way Off: 2.23 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.83 points
Some Luck
07.1418
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
01.393
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.10%
Rapid Wien
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
10.40%
Ried
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.53
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.65
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.84
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.41
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.92
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rapid Wien17.30%23.40%18.60%14.50%11.80%7.40%4.80%1.90%0.20%0.10%
Salzburg58.80%20.90%10.70%4.70%2.90%1.10%0.50%0.40%——
Austria Wien5.30%13.10%18.10%18.20%16.20%13.50%8.80%4.80%1.40%0.60%
Sturm Graz11.50%19.20%20.10%15.80%12.80%11.30%6.00%2.40%0.60%0.30%
Mattersburg3.50%12.50%14.30%19.90%16.80%15.90%11.20%4.20%1.40%0.30%
LASK Linz1.90%5.70%9.90%12.20%18.00%17.60%19.10%10.00%4.10%1.50%
Ried1.70%4.80%7.70%11.40%15.00%19.00%19.00%12.60%6.90%1.90%
SCR Altach—0.30%0.10%1.80%3.20%6.10%14.80%24.40%25.60%23.70%
SK Austria Karnten——0.30%0.40%1.60%3.90%7.60%19.20%27.60%39.40%
Wacker Innsbruck—0.10%0.20%1.10%1.70%4.20%8.20%20.10%32.20%32.20%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Salzburg 100% —
Rapid Wien 99.90% 0.10%
Mattersburg 99.70% 0.30%
Sturm Graz 99.70% 0.30%
Austria Wien 99.40% 0.60%
LASK Linz 98.50% 1.50%
Ried 98.10% 1.90%
SCR Altach 76.30% 23.70%
Wacker Innsbruck 67.80% 32.20%
SK Austria Karnten 60.60% 39.40%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-07-10 SK Austria Karnten W 1-049.5 1557 1518 53.81% 27.10% 19.10%+0.89 +4.4 3
2007-07-10 @ LASK Linz L 0-149.5 1518 1557 19.10% 27.10% 53.81%-0.89 -4.4 0
2007-07-11 Austria Wien D 2-273.0 1591 1581 50.13% 28.34% 21.53%+0.70 -0.9 1
2007-07-11 @ Sturm Graz D 2-273.0 1581 1591 21.53% 28.34% 50.13%-0.70 +0.9 1
2007-07-11 Mattersburg L 1-267.6 1593 1576 51.10% 28.04% 20.86%+0.75 -9.0 0
2007-07-11 @ Ried W 2-167.6 1576 1593 20.86% 28.04% 51.10%-0.75 +9.0 3
2007-07-11 SCR Altach W 4-148.1 1708 1502 72.16% 17.81% 10.03%+1.93 +4.8 3
2007-07-11 @ Salzburg L 1-448.1 1502 1708 10.03% 17.81% 72.16%-1.93 -4.8 0
2007-07-11 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-150.8 1611 1498 62.41% 23.26% 14.33%+1.34 +5.3 3
2007-07-11 @ Rapid Wien L 1-350.8 1498 1611 14.33% 23.26% 62.41%-1.34 -5.3 0
2007-07-14 LASK Linz D 1-166.8 1582 1562 51.51% 27.90% 20.59%+0.77 -1.3 2
2007-07-14 @ Austria Wien D 1-166.8 1562 1582 20.59% 27.90% 51.51%-0.77 +1.3 4
2007-07-14 Ried L 2-366.5 1497 1584 37.05% 30.59% 32.36%+0.10 -6.7 0
2007-07-14 @ SCR Altach W 3-266.5 1584 1497 32.36% 30.59% 37.05%-0.10 +6.7 3
2007-07-14 Sturm Graz D 0-059.5 1493 1590 35.63% 30.63% 33.73%+0.04 -0.1 1
2007-07-14 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 0-059.5 1590 1493 33.73% 30.63% 35.63%-0.04 +0.1 2
2007-07-15 Salzburg W 1-062.8 1514 1713 23.16% 28.97% 47.87%-0.59 +9.1 3
2007-07-15 @ SK Austria Karnten L 0-162.8 1713 1514 47.87% 28.97% 23.16%+0.59 -9.1 3
2007-07-20 LASK Linz W 4-047.2 1590 1563 52.34% 27.62% 20.03%+0.81 +16.5 5
2007-07-20 @ Sturm Graz L 0-447.2 1563 1590 20.03% 27.62% 52.34%-0.81 -16.5 4
2007-07-22 Mattersburg D 2-269.5 1493 1585 36.36% 30.61% 33.03%+0.07 -0.1 2
2007-07-22 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 2-269.5 1585 1493 33.03% 30.61% 36.36%-0.07 +0.1 4
2007-07-22 Ried L 0-353.3 1523 1591 39.77% 30.40% 29.84%+0.22 -21.7 3
2007-07-22 @ SK Austria Karnten W 3-053.3 1591 1523 29.84% 30.40% 39.77%-0.22 +21.7 6
2007-07-22 Salzburg D 2-274.6 1581 1703 31.97% 30.57% 37.46%-0.12 +0.1 3
2007-07-22 @ Austria Wien D 2-274.6 1703 1581 37.46% 30.57% 31.97%+0.12 -0.2 4
2007-07-25 Rapid Wien W 3-266.2 1585 1616 44.77% 29.67% 25.55%+0.45 +5.1 7
2007-07-25 @ Mattersburg L 2-366.2 1616 1585 25.55% 29.67% 44.77%-0.45 -5.1 3
2007-07-27 Austria Wien L 0-163.2 1612 1581 52.88% 27.44% 19.69%+0.84 -9.8 6
2007-07-27 @ Ried W 1-063.2 1581 1612 19.69% 27.44% 52.88%-0.84 +9.8 6
2007-07-28 LASK Linz W 2-155.5 1703 1546 67.24% 20.67% 12.10%+1.62 +2.5 7
2007-07-28 @ Salzburg L 1-255.5 1546 1703 12.10% 20.67% 67.24%-1.62 -2.5 4
2007-07-28 Sturm Graz D 2-273.3 1590 1606 46.74% 29.25% 24.01%+0.54 -0.7 8
2007-07-28 @ Mattersburg D 2-273.3 1606 1590 24.01% 29.25% 46.74%-0.54 +0.7 6
2007-07-29 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-153.1 1490 1493 48.55% 28.79% 22.65%+0.63 +4.9 3
2007-07-29 @ SCR Altach L 1-253.1 1493 1490 22.65% 28.79% 48.55%-0.63 -4.9 2
2007-08-01 Rapid Wien L 0-155.7 1495 1611 32.93% 30.61% 36.45%-0.08 -6.9 3
2007-08-01 @ SCR Altach W 1-055.7 1611 1495 36.45% 30.61% 32.93%+0.08 +6.9 6
2007-08-03 SK Austria Karnten D 1-161.1 1488 1501 47.18% 29.15% 23.67%+0.56 -0.9 3
2007-08-03 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-161.1 1501 1488 23.67% 29.15% 47.18%-0.56 +0.9 4
2007-08-04 Salzburg D 0-064.8 1607 1706 35.34% 30.64% 34.02%+0.03 -0.1 7
2007-08-04 @ Sturm Graz D 0-064.8 1706 1607 34.02% 30.64% 35.34%-0.03 +0.0 8
2007-08-05 Austria Wien D 0-064.0 1618 1591 52.35% 27.62% 20.03%+0.81 -1.5 7
2007-08-05 @ Rapid Wien D 0-064.0 1591 1618 20.03% 27.62% 52.35%-0.81 +1.5 7
2007-08-05 Ried W 1-055.6 1544 1602 41.02% 30.26% 28.71%+0.28 +6.3 7
2007-08-05 @ LASK Linz L 0-155.6 1602 1544 28.71% 30.26% 41.02%-0.28 -6.3 6
2007-08-05 SCR Altach W 4-147.6 1589 1488 61.13% 23.90% 14.97%+1.27 +7.8 11
2007-08-05 @ Mattersburg L 1-447.6 1488 1589 14.97% 23.90% 61.13%-1.27 -7.8 3
2007-08-08 SK Austria Karnten W 4-043.1 1616 1502 62.61% 23.16% 14.23%+1.36 +11.5 10
2007-08-08 @ Rapid Wien L 0-443.1 1502 1616 14.23% 23.16% 62.61%-1.36 -11.4 4
2007-08-10 Wacker Innsbruck W 6-145.0 1592 1487 61.59% 23.67% 14.73%+1.30 +12.2 10
2007-08-10 @ Austria Wien L 1-645.0 1487 1592 14.73% 23.67% 61.59%-1.30 -12.2 3
2007-08-11 Mattersburg D 1-164.3 1491 1597 34.25% 30.64% 35.11%-0.02 +0.0 5
2007-08-11 @ SK Austria Karnten D 1-164.3 1597 1491 35.11% 30.64% 34.25%+0.02 -0.0 12
2007-08-11 Ried W 2-049.5 1706 1596 62.12% 23.41% 14.47%+1.33 +6.2 11
2007-08-11 @ Salzburg L 0-249.5 1596 1706 14.47% 23.41% 62.12%-1.33 -6.2 6
2007-08-11 SCR Altach W 3-149.6 1607 1480 63.99% 22.44% 13.57%+1.43 +4.9 10
2007-08-11 @ Sturm Graz L 1-349.6 1480 1607 13.57% 22.44% 63.99%-1.43 -4.9 3
2007-08-12 Rapid Wien W 2-054.4 1550 1628 38.34% 30.52% 31.14%+0.16 +12.6 10
2007-08-12 @ LASK Linz L 0-254.4 1628 1550 31.14% 30.52% 38.34%-0.16 -12.6 10
2007-08-17 SK Austria Karnten W 4-147.8 1475 1491 46.90% 29.21% 23.89%+0.55 +12.5 6
2007-08-17 @ SCR Altach L 1-447.8 1491 1475 23.89% 29.21% 46.90%-0.55 -12.5 5
2007-08-18 LASK Linz L 1-260.0 1475 1563 36.93% 30.59% 32.48%+0.10 -7.1 3
2007-08-18 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-160.0 1563 1475 32.48% 30.59% 36.93%-0.10 +7.1 13
2007-08-19 Austria Wien L 0-162.3 1597 1604 47.94% 28.95% 23.10%+0.60 -9.1 12
2007-08-19 @ Mattersburg W 1-062.3 1604 1597 23.10% 28.95% 47.94%-0.60 +9.1 13
2007-08-19 Salzburg W 1-060.6 1615 1712 35.62% 30.63% 33.75%+0.04 +7.0 13
2007-08-19 @ Rapid Wien L 0-160.6 1712 1615 33.75% 30.63% 35.62%-0.04 -7.0 11
2007-08-19 Sturm Graz W 5-363.7 1590 1612 46.01% 29.42% 24.57%+0.51 +7.6 9
2007-08-19 @ Ried L 3-563.7 1612 1590 24.57% 29.42% 46.01%-0.51 -7.6 10
2007-08-25 Mattersburg L 0-258.1 1570 1588 46.52% 29.30% 24.18%+0.53 -16.8 13
2007-08-25 @ LASK Linz W 2-058.1 1588 1570 24.18% 29.30% 46.52%-0.53 +16.8 15
2007-08-25 Rapid Wien L 0-357.6 1598 1622 45.66% 29.49% 24.85%+0.49 -24.1 9
2007-08-25 @ Ried W 3-057.6 1622 1598 24.85% 29.49% 45.66%-0.49 +24.1 16
2007-08-25 SCR Altach W 1-047.3 1613 1488 63.87% 22.50% 13.63%+1.43 +3.0 16
2007-08-25 @ Austria Wien L 0-147.3 1488 1613 13.63% 22.50% 63.87%-1.43 -3.0 6
2007-08-25 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-148.8 1705 1468 75.06% 16.06% 8.88%+2.12 +2.9 14
2007-08-25 @ Salzburg L 1-348.8 1468 1705 8.88% 16.06% 75.06%-2.12 -2.9 3
2007-08-26 SK Austria Karnten L 1-364.5 1604 1478 63.92% 22.48% 13.60%+1.43 -18.5 10
2007-08-26 @ Sturm Graz W 3-164.5 1478 1604 13.60% 22.48% 63.92%-1.43 +18.5 8
2007-08-31 LASK Linz D 2-268.1 1485 1553 39.71% 30.40% 29.89%+0.22 -0.3 7
2007-08-31 @ SCR Altach D 2-268.1 1553 1485 29.89% 30.40% 39.71%-0.22 +0.3 14
2007-09-02 Rapid Wien W 1-057.7 1586 1646 40.75% 30.30% 28.96%+0.27 +6.3 13
2007-09-02 @ Sturm Graz L 0-157.7 1646 1586 28.96% 30.30% 40.75%-0.27 -6.3 16
2007-09-02 Ried L 0-153.7 1465 1574 33.94% 30.64% 35.43%-0.03 -7.1 3
2007-09-02 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 1-053.7 1574 1465 35.43% 30.64% 33.94%+0.03 +7.1 12
2007-09-02 Salzburg D 1-169.3 1605 1708 34.71% 30.64% 34.65%+0.00 -0.0 16
2007-09-02 @ Mattersburg D 1-169.3 1708 1605 34.65% 30.64% 34.71%+0.00 +0.0 15
2007-09-02 SK Austria Karnten W 1-047.9 1617 1497 63.23% 22.84% 13.93%+1.39 +3.1 19
2007-09-02 @ Austria Wien L 0-147.9 1497 1617 13.93% 22.84% 63.23%-1.39 -3.1 8
2007-09-15 Mattersburg W 2-158.1 1708 1605 61.38% 23.78% 14.84%+1.29 +3.2 18
2007-09-15 @ Salzburg L 1-258.1 1605 1708 14.84% 23.78% 61.38%-1.29 -3.2 16
2007-09-15 SCR Altach W 2-044.2 1553 1485 57.38% 25.65% 16.97%+1.07 +7.3 17
2007-09-15 @ LASK Linz L 0-244.2 1485 1553 16.97% 25.65% 57.38%-1.07 -7.4 7
2007-09-15 Sturm Graz L 1-563.0 1640 1592 54.91% 26.67% 18.42%+0.94 -30.2 16
2007-09-15 @ Rapid Wien W 5-163.0 1592 1640 18.42% 26.67% 54.91%-0.94 +30.2 16
2007-09-15 Wacker Innsbruck D 0-060.3 1581 1458 63.56% 22.67% 13.77%+1.41 -2.4 13
2007-09-15 @ Ried D 0-060.3 1458 1581 13.77% 22.67% 63.56%-1.41 +2.4 4
2007-09-16 Austria Wien W 2-162.9 1494 1620 31.54% 30.54% 37.91%-0.14 +7.2 11
2007-09-16 @ SK Austria Karnten L 1-262.9 1620 1494 37.91% 30.54% 31.54%+0.14 -7.2 19
2007-09-21 Ried W 5-151.8 1602 1578 51.87% 27.79% 20.35%+0.79 +14.0 19
2007-09-21 @ Mattersburg L 1-551.8 1578 1602 20.35% 27.79% 51.87%-0.79 -14.0 13
2007-09-22 LASK Linz L 1-456.8 1501 1561 40.88% 30.28% 28.84%+0.27 -18.7 11
2007-09-22 @ SK Austria Karnten W 4-156.8 1561 1501 28.84% 30.28% 40.88%-0.27 +18.7 20
2007-09-23 Rapid Wien D 1-163.8 1460 1610 28.54% 30.24% 41.22%-0.29 +0.5 5
2007-09-23 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-163.8 1610 1460 41.22% 30.24% 28.54%+0.29 -0.5 17
2007-09-23 Salzburg D 1-168.1 1477 1711 20.04% 27.62% 52.34%-0.81 +1.3 8
2007-09-23 @ SCR Altach D 1-168.1 1711 1477 52.34% 27.62% 20.04%+0.81 -1.3 19
2007-09-23 Sturm Graz W 1-055.6 1612 1622 47.61% 29.04% 23.35%+0.58 +5.3 22
2007-09-23 @ Austria Wien L 0-155.6 1622 1612 23.35% 29.04% 47.61%-0.58 -5.3 16
2007-09-26 Austria Wien D 1-167.6 1579 1618 43.79% 29.86% 26.36%+0.40 -0.7 21
2007-09-26 @ LASK Linz D 1-167.6 1618 1579 26.36% 29.86% 43.79%-0.40 +0.7 23
2007-09-26 Mattersburg W 1-055.3 1609 1615 48.09% 28.91% 22.99%+0.61 +5.2 20
2007-09-26 @ Rapid Wien L 0-155.3 1615 1609 22.99% 28.91% 48.09%-0.61 -5.2 19
2007-09-26 SCR Altach W 3-042.0 1564 1479 59.38% 24.74% 15.87%+1.18 +9.9 16
2007-09-26 @ Ried L 0-342.0 1479 1564 15.87% 24.74% 59.38%-1.18 -9.9 8
2007-09-26 SK Austria Karnten W 3-042.1 1710 1482 74.18% 16.59% 9.22%+2.06 +5.1 22
2007-09-26 @ Salzburg L 0-342.1 1482 1710 9.22% 16.59% 74.18%-2.06 -5.1 11
2007-09-26 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-040.9 1617 1461 67.15% 20.71% 12.13%+1.62 +7.2 19
2007-09-26 @ Sturm Graz L 0-340.9 1461 1617 12.13% 20.71% 67.15%-1.62 -7.2 5
2007-09-29 SCR Altach L 0-259.3 1615 1469 66.06% 21.32% 12.62%+1.55 -21.9 20
2007-09-29 @ Rapid Wien W 2-059.3 1469 1615 12.62% 21.32% 66.06%-1.55 +21.9 11
2007-09-29 SK Austria Karnten W 3-149.3 1574 1477 60.69% 24.12% 15.19%+1.25 +5.6 19
2007-09-29 @ Ried L 1-349.3 1477 1574 15.19% 24.12% 60.69%-1.25 -5.6 11
2007-09-29 Sturm Graz D 2-273.3 1579 1624 42.80% 30.02% 27.18%+0.36 -0.5 22
2007-09-29 @ LASK Linz D 2-273.3 1624 1579 27.18% 30.02% 42.80%-0.36 +0.5 20
2007-09-29 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-147.8 1610 1454 67.20% 20.69% 12.11%+1.62 +4.3 22
2007-09-29 @ Mattersburg L 1-347.8 1454 1610 12.11% 20.69% 67.20%-1.62 -4.3 5
2007-09-30 Austria Wien L 0-166.8 1715 1618 60.61% 24.16% 15.23%+1.24 -10.9 22
2007-09-30 @ Salzburg W 1-066.8 1618 1715 15.23% 24.16% 60.61%-1.24 +10.9 26
2007-10-05 Mattersburg D 0-064.4 1625 1615 50.20% 28.32% 21.48%+0.71 -1.3 21
2007-10-05 @ Sturm Graz D 0-064.4 1615 1625 21.48% 28.32% 50.20%-0.71 +1.3 23
2007-10-07 Rapid Wien L 1-259.5 1472 1593 32.19% 30.58% 37.23%-0.11 -6.4 11
2007-10-07 @ SK Austria Karnten W 2-159.5 1593 1472 37.23% 30.58% 32.19%+0.11 +6.4 23
2007-10-07 Ried W 2-158.3 1629 1580 55.10% 26.60% 18.30%+0.95 +4.0 29
2007-10-07 @ Austria Wien L 1-258.3 1580 1629 18.30% 26.60% 55.10%-0.95 -4.0 19
2007-10-07 Salzburg W 4-161.5 1578 1704 31.57% 30.55% 37.89%-0.14 +17.7 25
2007-10-07 @ LASK Linz L 1-461.5 1704 1578 37.89% 30.55% 31.57%+0.14 -17.7 22
2007-10-20 LASK Linz W 3-050.0 1576 1596 46.29% 29.35% 24.36%+0.52 +15.0 22
2007-10-20 @ Ried L 0-350.0 1596 1576 24.36% 29.35% 46.29%-0.52 -15.0 25
2007-10-20 Mattersburg D 0-060.3 1491 1616 31.63% 30.55% 37.82%-0.14 +0.3 12
2007-10-20 @ SCR Altach D 0-060.3 1616 1491 37.82% 30.55% 31.63%+0.14 -0.3 24
2007-10-20 Sturm Graz W 4-154.4 1686 1623 56.70% 25.94% 17.36%+1.04 +9.2 25
2007-10-20 @ Salzburg L 1-454.4 1623 1686 17.36% 25.94% 56.70%-1.04 -9.2 21
2007-10-20 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-041.7 1465 1449 50.92% 28.10% 20.98%+0.74 +9.1 14
2007-10-20 @ SK Austria Karnten L 0-241.7 1449 1465 20.98% 28.10% 50.92%-0.74 -9.1 5
2007-10-21 Rapid Wien D 2-274.7 1633 1599 53.23% 27.31% 19.46%+0.86 -1.0 30
2007-10-21 @ Austria Wien D 2-274.7 1599 1633 19.46% 27.31% 53.23%-0.86 +1.0 24
2007-10-24 SCR Altach L 0-152.0 1440 1491 42.12% 30.12% 27.76%+0.33 -8.3 5
2007-10-24 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 1-052.0 1491 1440 27.76% 30.12% 42.12%-0.33 +8.3 15
2007-10-26 LASK Linz D 4-478.8 1600 1581 51.38% 27.95% 20.67%+0.77 -0.7 25
2007-10-26 @ Rapid Wien D 4-478.8 1581 1600 20.67% 27.95% 51.38%-0.77 +0.7 26
2007-10-27 Salzburg W 2-057.6 1591 1695 34.51% 30.64% 34.84%-0.01 +13.6 25
2007-10-27 @ Ried L 0-257.6 1695 1591 34.84% 30.64% 34.51%+0.01 -13.6 25
2007-10-27 SK Austria Karnten W 5-249.3 1616 1474 65.59% 21.58% 12.83%+1.53 +5.7 27
2007-10-27 @ Mattersburg L 2-549.3 1474 1616 12.83% 21.58% 65.59%-1.53 -5.7 14
2007-10-27 Sturm Graz D 0-060.5 1499 1614 33.03% 30.61% 36.36%-0.07 +0.1 16
2007-10-27 @ SCR Altach D 0-060.5 1614 1499 36.36% 30.61% 33.03%+0.07 -0.1 22
2007-10-28 Austria Wien W 2-055.5 1432 1632 23.00% 28.92% 48.08%-0.60 +17.2 8
2007-10-28 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-255.5 1632 1432 48.08% 28.92% 23.00%+0.60 -17.2 30
2007-10-30 Rapid Wien W 2-158.4 1682 1599 59.00% 24.92% 16.08%+1.16 +3.5 28
2007-10-30 @ Salzburg L 1-258.4 1599 1682 16.08% 24.92% 59.00%-1.16 -3.5 25
2007-10-31 Mattersburg D 2-274.3 1615 1621 48.09% 28.92% 23.00%+0.61 -0.8 31
2007-10-31 @ Austria Wien D 2-274.3 1621 1615 23.00% 28.92% 48.09%-0.61 +0.8 28
2007-10-31 Ried W 5-049.7 1614 1605 50.12% 28.34% 21.54%+0.70 +21.8 25
2007-10-31 @ Sturm Graz L 0-549.7 1605 1614 21.54% 28.34% 50.12%-0.70 -21.8 25
2007-10-31 SCR Altach D 1-160.2 1469 1499 44.83% 29.66% 25.51%+0.45 -0.8 15
2007-10-31 @ SK Austria Karnten D 1-160.2 1499 1469 25.51% 29.66% 44.83%-0.45 +0.8 17
2007-10-31 Wacker Innsbruck W 5-039.7 1581 1449 64.60% 22.12% 13.29%+1.47 +13.0 29
2007-10-31 @ LASK Linz L 0-539.7 1449 1581 13.29% 22.12% 64.60%-1.47 -13.0 8
2007-11-03 Austria Wien W 1-057.0 1500 1614 33.14% 30.62% 36.24%-0.07 +7.4 20
2007-11-03 @ SCR Altach L 0-157.0 1614 1500 36.24% 30.62% 33.14%+0.07 -7.4 31
2007-11-03 Ried W 4-048.4 1596 1583 50.59% 28.20% 21.21%+0.73 +17.4 28
2007-11-03 @ Rapid Wien L 0-448.4 1583 1596 21.21% 28.20% 50.59%-0.73 -17.4 25
2007-11-03 Salzburg W 3-164.2 1436 1685 18.82% 26.93% 54.24%-0.91 +16.4 11
2007-11-03 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-364.2 1685 1436 54.24% 26.93% 18.82%+0.91 -16.4 28
2007-11-03 Sturm Graz D 0-060.4 1468 1636 26.37% 29.86% 43.77%-0.40 +0.8 16
2007-11-03 @ SK Austria Karnten D 0-060.4 1636 1468 43.77% 29.86% 26.37%+0.40 -0.8 26
2007-11-04 LASK Linz D 0-064.1 1622 1594 52.41% 27.60% 19.99%+0.82 -1.5 29
2007-11-04 @ Mattersburg D 0-064.1 1594 1622 19.99% 27.60% 52.41%-0.82 +1.5 30
2007-11-09 Salzburg D 1-168.7 1596 1669 39.01% 30.47% 30.53%+0.19 -0.3 31
2007-11-09 @ LASK Linz D 1-168.7 1669 1596 30.53% 30.47% 39.01%-0.19 +0.3 29
2007-11-10 Mattersburg W 3-158.3 1613 1620 47.97% 28.95% 23.08%+0.60 +8.6 31
2007-11-10 @ Rapid Wien L 1-358.3 1620 1613 23.08% 28.95% 47.97%-0.60 -8.6 29
2007-11-10 Sturm Graz D 0-062.9 1565 1635 39.48% 30.43% 30.10%+0.21 -0.4 26
2007-11-10 @ Ried D 0-062.9 1635 1565 30.10% 30.43% 39.48%-0.21 +0.4 27
2007-11-10 Wacker Innsbruck D 1-160.9 1507 1453 55.75% 26.34% 17.91%+0.99 -1.6 21
2007-11-10 @ SCR Altach D 1-160.9 1453 1507 17.91% 26.34% 55.75%-0.99 +1.6 12
2007-11-11 Austria Wien L 0-153.7 1469 1607 29.93% 30.41% 39.66%-0.22 -6.5 16
2007-11-11 @ SK Austria Karnten W 1-053.7 1607 1469 39.66% 30.41% 29.93%+0.22 +6.5 34
2007-11-24 LASK Linz W 2-053.0 1454 1596 29.54% 30.37% 40.09%-0.24 +15.0 15
2007-11-24 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-253.0 1596 1454 40.09% 30.37% 29.54%+0.24 -15.0 31
2007-11-24 Ried D 1-168.1 1612 1565 54.79% 26.72% 18.49%+0.94 -1.5 30
2007-11-24 @ Mattersburg D 1-168.1 1565 1612 18.49% 26.72% 54.79%-0.94 +1.5 27
2007-11-24 SCR Altach W 6-146.1 1635 1506 64.31% 22.27% 13.42%+1.45 +10.9 30
2007-11-24 @ Sturm Graz L 1-646.1 1506 1635 13.42% 22.27% 64.31%-1.45 -10.9 21
2007-11-24 SK Austria Karnten D 1-169.5 1669 1462 72.27% 17.74% 9.98%+1.94 -2.6 30
2007-11-24 @ Salzburg D 1-169.5 1462 1669 9.98% 17.74% 72.27%-1.94 +2.7 17
2007-11-25 Rapid Wien D 0-064.1 1613 1622 47.77% 29.00% 23.23%+0.59 -1.1 35
2007-11-25 @ Austria Wien D 0-064.1 1622 1613 23.23% 29.00% 47.77%-0.59 +1.1 32
2007-11-30 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-250.8 1465 1469 48.31% 28.86% 22.83%+0.62 -17.3 17
2007-11-30 @ SK Austria Karnten W 2-050.8 1469 1465 22.83% 28.86% 48.31%-0.62 +17.3 18
2007-12-01 LASK Linz D 0-059.3 1495 1581 37.22% 30.58% 32.19%+0.11 -0.2 22
2007-12-01 @ SCR Altach D 0-059.3 1581 1495 32.19% 30.58% 37.22%-0.11 +0.2 32
2007-12-01 Mattersburg W 2-159.7 1646 1610 53.44% 27.23% 19.33%+0.87 +4.2 33
2007-12-01 @ Sturm Graz L 1-259.7 1610 1646 19.33% 27.23% 53.44%-0.87 -4.2 30
2007-12-01 Salzburg L 1-365.5 1623 1667 43.10% 29.97% 26.93%+0.37 -13.7 32
2007-12-01 @ Rapid Wien W 3-165.5 1667 1623 26.93% 29.97% 43.10%-0.37 +13.7 33
2007-12-02 Austria Wien D 1-167.1 1566 1612 42.80% 30.02% 27.18%+0.36 -0.6 28
2007-12-02 @ Ried D 1-167.1 1612 1566 27.18% 30.02% 42.80%-0.36 +0.6 36
2007-12-07 Ried W 2-048.5 1680 1566 62.64% 23.14% 14.22%+1.36 +6.0 36
2007-12-07 @ Salzburg L 0-248.5 1566 1680 14.22% 23.14% 62.64%-1.36 -6.0 28
2007-12-08 Rapid Wien D 1-164.6 1487 1609 31.96% 30.57% 37.47%-0.12 +0.2 19
2007-12-08 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-164.6 1609 1487 37.47% 30.57% 31.96%+0.12 -0.2 33
2007-12-08 SCR Altach D 3-376.3 1606 1495 62.31% 23.31% 14.38%+1.34 -1.3 31
2007-12-08 @ Mattersburg D 3-376.3 1495 1606 14.38% 23.31% 62.31%-1.34 +1.3 23
2007-12-08 SK Austria Karnten W 4-039.3 1581 1447 64.72% 22.05% 13.23%+1.48 +10.5 35
2007-12-08 @ LASK Linz L 0-439.3 1447 1581 13.23% 22.05% 64.72%-1.48 -10.5 17
2007-12-09 Sturm Graz L 1-268.0 1613 1650 43.90% 29.84% 26.27%+0.41 -8.0 36
2007-12-09 @ Austria Wien W 2-168.0 1650 1613 26.27% 29.84% 43.90%-0.41 +8.0 36
2007-12-14 Austria Wien D 1-168.2 1605 1605 48.92% 28.69% 22.39%+0.65 -1.1 32
2007-12-14 @ Mattersburg D 1-168.2 1605 1605 22.39% 28.69% 48.92%-0.65 +1.1 37
2007-12-15 Salzburg D 1-170.0 1659 1686 45.24% 29.58% 25.18%+0.47 -0.8 37
2007-12-15 @ Sturm Graz D 1-170.0 1686 1659 25.18% 29.58% 45.24%-0.47 +0.8 37
2007-12-15 SK Austria Karnten L 0-155.1 1496 1437 56.26% 26.13% 17.61%+1.01 -10.3 23
2007-12-15 @ SCR Altach W 1-055.1 1437 1496 17.61% 26.13% 56.26%-1.01 +10.3 20
2007-12-15 Wacker Innsbruck D 0-059.8 1560 1487 57.92% 25.41% 16.67%+1.10 -1.9 29
2007-12-15 @ Ried D 0-059.8 1487 1560 16.67% 25.41% 57.92%-1.10 +2.0 20
2007-12-16 LASK Linz W 2-051.0 1609 1591 51.19% 28.01% 20.80%+0.76 +9.0 36
2007-12-16 @ Rapid Wien L 0-251.0 1591 1609 20.80% 28.01% 51.19%-0.76 -9.0 35
2008-02-15 Mattersburg W 4-047.9 1687 1604 59.10% 24.87% 16.03%+1.16 +13.1 40
2008-02-15 @ Salzburg L 0-447.9 1604 1687 16.03% 24.87% 59.10%-1.16 -13.1 32
2008-02-16 Rapid Wien L 0-249.2 1447 1618 26.05% 29.79% 44.16%-0.42 -11.0 20
2008-02-16 @ SK Austria Karnten W 2-049.2 1618 1447 44.16% 29.79% 26.05%+0.42 +11.0 39
2008-02-16 SCR Altach D 1-166.7 1606 1486 63.28% 22.81% 13.91%+1.39 -2.1 38
2008-02-16 @ Austria Wien D 1-166.7 1486 1606 13.91% 22.81% 63.28%-1.39 +2.1 24
2008-02-16 Sturm Graz W 1-060.0 1489 1658 26.25% 29.83% 43.91%-0.41 +8.5 23
2008-02-16 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-160.0 1658 1489 43.91% 29.83% 26.25%+0.41 -8.5 37
2008-02-17 Ried W 1-052.1 1582 1558 52.00% 27.74% 20.26%+0.80 +4.7 38
2008-02-17 @ LASK Linz L 0-152.1 1558 1582 20.26% 27.74% 52.00%-0.80 -4.7 29
2008-02-22 LASK Linz L 1-270.2 1649 1587 56.64% 25.96% 17.39%+1.03 -9.8 37
2008-02-22 @ Sturm Graz W 2-170.2 1587 1649 17.39% 25.96% 56.64%-1.03 +9.8 41
2008-02-23 Salzburg W 3-163.1 1604 1700 35.66% 30.63% 33.70%+0.04 +11.5 41
2008-02-23 @ Austria Wien L 1-363.1 1700 1604 33.70% 30.63% 35.66%-0.04 -11.5 40
2008-02-23 SK Austria Karnten W 3-039.0 1553 1436 62.93% 23.00% 14.08%+1.37 +8.6 32
2008-02-23 @ Ried L 0-339.0 1436 1553 14.08% 23.00% 62.93%-1.37 -8.6 20
2008-02-23 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-153.4 1591 1497 60.29% 24.31% 15.40%+1.23 +3.3 35
2008-02-23 @ Mattersburg L 1-253.4 1497 1591 15.40% 24.31% 60.29%-1.23 -3.3 23
2008-02-24 Rapid Wien W 2-163.6 1488 1629 29.56% 30.37% 40.07%-0.24 +7.5 27
2008-02-24 @ SCR Altach L 1-263.6 1629 1488 40.07% 30.37% 29.56%+0.24 -7.5 39
2008-02-26 Sturm Graz L 0-247.6 1428 1639 21.93% 28.51% 49.57%-0.68 -9.5 20
2008-02-26 @ SK Austria Karnten W 2-047.6 1639 1428 49.57% 28.51% 21.93%+0.68 +9.5 40
2008-02-27 Austria Wien L 1-261.0 1494 1615 32.16% 30.58% 37.26%-0.11 -6.4 23
2008-02-27 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-161.0 1615 1494 37.26% 30.58% 32.16%+0.11 +6.4 44
2008-02-27 Mattersburg W 2-159.7 1597 1594 49.23% 28.60% 22.16%+0.66 +4.8 44
2008-02-27 @ LASK Linz L 1-259.7 1594 1597 22.16% 28.60% 49.23%-0.66 -4.8 35
2008-02-27 Ried W 4-046.8 1622 1562 56.32% 26.10% 17.58%+1.02 +14.5 42
2008-02-27 @ Rapid Wien L 0-446.8 1562 1622 17.58% 26.10% 56.32%-1.02 -14.5 32
2008-02-27 SCR Altach W 4-042.4 1689 1495 70.93% 18.54% 10.53%+1.85 +7.9 43
2008-02-27 @ Salzburg L 0-442.4 1495 1689 10.53% 18.54% 70.93%-1.85 -7.9 27
2008-03-01 SCR Altach W 3-150.0 1547 1487 56.36% 26.08% 17.55%+1.02 +6.6 35
2008-03-01 @ Ried L 1-350.0 1487 1547 17.55% 26.08% 56.36%-1.02 -6.6 27
2008-03-01 SK Austria Karnten W 1-042.5 1589 1418 68.70% 19.84% 11.46%+1.71 +2.5 38
2008-03-01 @ Mattersburg L 0-142.5 1418 1589 11.46% 19.84% 68.70%-1.71 -2.5 20
2008-03-02 Rapid Wien L 0-261.6 1649 1636 50.55% 28.21% 21.24%+0.72 -17.9 40
2008-03-02 @ Sturm Graz W 2-061.6 1636 1649 21.24% 28.21% 50.55%-0.72 +17.9 45
2008-03-05 LASK Linz D 0-064.2 1622 1601 51.48% 27.91% 20.60%+0.77 -1.4 45
2008-03-05 @ Austria Wien D 0-064.2 1601 1622 20.60% 27.91% 51.48%-0.77 +1.4 45
2008-03-05 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-044.3 1697 1487 72.46% 17.63% 9.91%+1.95 +3.9 46
2008-03-05 @ Salzburg L 0-244.3 1487 1697 9.91% 17.63% 72.46%-1.95 -3.9 23
2008-03-07 Sturm Graz W 2-160.6 1654 1631 51.83% 27.80% 20.37%+0.79 +4.4 48
2008-03-07 @ Rapid Wien L 1-260.6 1631 1654 20.37% 27.80% 51.83%-0.79 -4.4 40
2008-03-08 Austria Wien W 2-161.2 1603 1620 46.62% 29.28% 24.10%+0.54 +5.1 48
2008-03-08 @ LASK Linz L 1-261.2 1620 1603 24.10% 29.28% 46.62%-0.54 -5.1 45
2008-03-08 Mattersburg W 1-055.5 1416 1592 25.49% 29.66% 44.86%-0.45 +8.7 23
2008-03-08 @ SK Austria Karnten L 0-155.5 1592 1416 44.86% 29.66% 25.49%+0.45 -8.7 38
2008-03-08 Ried W 3-262.8 1481 1554 38.98% 30.47% 30.55%+0.19 +5.9 30
2008-03-08 @ SCR Altach L 2-362.8 1554 1481 30.55% 30.47% 38.98%-0.19 -5.9 35
2008-03-09 Salzburg L 1-259.2 1484 1700 21.47% 28.32% 50.21%-0.71 -4.6 23
2008-03-09 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-159.2 1700 1484 50.21% 28.32% 21.47%+0.71 +4.6 49
2008-03-14 Rapid Wien W 1-058.5 1583 1658 38.68% 30.49% 30.83%+0.17 +6.6 41
2008-03-14 @ Mattersburg L 0-158.5 1658 1583 30.83% 30.49% 38.68%-0.17 -6.6 48
2008-03-15 Ried W 2-048.2 1627 1548 58.54% 25.13% 16.33%+1.13 +7.0 43
2008-03-15 @ Sturm Graz L 0-248.2 1548 1627 16.33% 25.13% 58.54%-1.13 -7.1 35
2008-03-15 SCR Altach D 1-160.3 1479 1487 47.89% 28.97% 23.14%+0.60 -1.0 24
2008-03-15 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-160.3 1487 1479 23.14% 28.97% 47.89%-0.60 +1.0 31
2008-03-15 SK Austria Karnten L 0-161.1 1615 1424 70.67% 18.69% 10.64%+1.83 -12.1 45
2008-03-15 @ Austria Wien W 1-061.1 1424 1615 10.64% 18.69% 70.67%-1.83 +12.1 26
2008-03-16 LASK Linz W 4-047.7 1705 1608 60.69% 24.12% 15.19%+1.25 +12.3 52
2008-03-16 @ Salzburg L 0-447.7 1608 1705 15.19% 24.12% 60.69%-1.25 -12.3 48
2008-03-18 Austria Wien W 2-051.0 1652 1603 55.01% 26.63% 18.35%+0.95 +8.0 51
2008-03-18 @ Rapid Wien L 0-251.0 1603 1652 18.35% 26.63% 55.01%-0.95 -8.0 45
2008-03-19 Mattersburg D 0-061.2 1541 1590 42.40% 30.08% 27.52%+0.34 -0.6 36
2008-03-19 @ Ried D 0-061.2 1590 1541 27.52% 30.08% 42.40%-0.34 +0.6 42
2008-03-19 Salzburg D 0-063.3 1437 1717 16.59% 25.35% 58.05%-1.11 +2.0 27
2008-03-19 @ SK Austria Karnten D 0-063.3 1717 1437 58.05% 25.35% 16.59%+1.11 -2.0 53
2008-03-19 Sturm Graz L 1-260.3 1488 1634 28.98% 30.30% 40.72%-0.27 -6.0 31
2008-03-19 @ SCR Altach W 2-160.3 1634 1488 40.72% 30.30% 28.98%+0.27 +6.0 46
2008-03-19 Wacker Innsbruck D 3-375.4 1596 1478 63.00% 22.96% 14.04%+1.38 -1.3 49
2008-03-19 @ LASK Linz D 3-375.4 1478 1596 14.04% 22.96% 63.00%-1.38 +1.3 25
2008-03-22 Ried W 2-048.0 1595 1540 55.71% 26.35% 17.93%+0.98 +7.8 48
2008-03-22 @ Austria Wien L 0-248.0 1540 1595 17.93% 26.35% 55.71%-0.98 -7.8 36
2008-03-22 SCR Altach W 3-042.3 1594 1482 62.44% 23.25% 14.31%+1.35 +8.8 52
2008-03-22 @ LASK Linz L 0-342.3 1482 1594 14.31% 23.25% 62.44%-1.35 -8.8 31
2008-03-22 SK Austria Karnten D 0-054.6 1479 1438 54.04% 27.01% 18.95%+0.90 -1.6 26
2008-03-22 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 0-054.6 1438 1479 18.95% 27.01% 54.04%-0.90 +1.6 28
2008-03-22 Sturm Graz D 1-168.2 1590 1640 42.32% 30.09% 27.59%+0.34 -0.6 43
2008-03-22 @ Mattersburg D 1-168.2 1640 1590 27.59% 30.09% 42.32%-0.34 +0.6 47
2008-03-23 Rapid Wien L 0-762.5 1715 1660 55.85% 26.29% 17.85%+0.99 -62.2 53
2008-03-23 @ Salzburg W 7-062.5 1660 1715 17.85% 26.29% 55.85%-0.99 +62.2 54
2008-03-29 Austria Wien L 1-269.8 1640 1603 53.61% 27.17% 19.22%+0.88 -9.4 47
2008-03-29 @ Sturm Graz W 2-169.8 1603 1640 19.22% 27.17% 53.61%-0.88 +9.4 51
2008-03-29 LASK Linz W 2-161.8 1440 1603 26.93% 29.97% 43.09%-0.37 +7.9 31
2008-03-29 @ SK Austria Karnten L 1-261.8 1603 1440 43.09% 29.97% 26.93%+0.37 -7.9 52
2008-03-29 Mattersburg W 2-052.5 1473 1590 32.78% 30.61% 36.62%-0.08 +14.1 34
2008-03-29 @ SCR Altach L 0-252.5 1590 1473 36.62% 30.61% 32.78%+0.08 -14.1 43
2008-03-29 Wacker Innsbruck W 4-146.8 1722 1478 75.72% 15.66% 8.62%+2.17 +4.0 57
2008-03-29 @ Rapid Wien L 1-446.8 1478 1722 8.62% 15.66% 75.72%-2.17 -4.0 26
2008-03-30 Salzburg L 1-263.2 1533 1653 32.27% 30.58% 37.15%-0.11 -6.4 36
2008-03-30 @ Ried W 2-163.2 1653 1533 37.15% 30.58% 32.27%+0.11 +6.4 56
2008-04-04 SCR Altach D 1-158.9 1448 1487 43.72% 29.87% 26.41%+0.40 -0.7 32
2008-04-04 @ SK Austria Karnten D 1-158.9 1487 1448 26.41% 29.87% 43.72%-0.40 +0.7 35
2008-04-05 Mattersburg D 0-063.6 1612 1576 53.51% 27.21% 19.28%+0.87 -1.6 52
2008-04-05 @ Austria Wien D 0-063.6 1576 1612 19.28% 27.21% 53.51%-0.87 +1.6 44
2008-04-05 Ried W 1-050.3 1474 1526 41.86% 30.16% 27.98%+0.32 +6.1 29
2008-04-05 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-150.3 1526 1474 27.98% 30.16% 41.86%-0.32 -6.2 36
2008-04-05 Sturm Graz W 3-050.4 1660 1631 52.57% 27.54% 19.88%+0.82 +12.5 59
2008-04-05 @ Salzburg L 0-350.4 1631 1660 19.88% 27.54% 52.57%-0.82 -12.5 47
2008-04-06 Rapid Wien L 1-265.1 1595 1726 30.91% 30.50% 38.59%-0.17 -6.2 52
2008-04-06 @ LASK Linz W 2-165.1 1726 1595 38.59% 30.50% 30.91%+0.17 +6.2 60
2008-04-11 SK Austria Karnten W 2-150.4 1732 1447 79.16% 13.53% 7.31%+2.42 +1.3 63
2008-04-11 @ Rapid Wien L 1-250.4 1447 1732 7.31% 13.53% 79.16%-2.42 -1.3 32
2008-04-12 LASK Linz D 1-165.0 1520 1589 39.58% 30.42% 30.01%+0.21 -0.4 37
2008-04-12 @ Ried D 1-165.0 1589 1520 30.01% 30.42% 39.58%-0.21 +0.4 53
2008-04-12 Salzburg W 3-269.8 1577 1672 35.89% 30.63% 33.49%+0.05 +6.3 47
2008-04-12 @ Mattersburg L 2-369.8 1672 1577 33.49% 30.63% 35.89%-0.05 -6.3 59
2008-04-12 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-044.0 1618 1480 65.26% 21.76% 12.98%+1.51 +5.4 50
2008-04-12 @ Sturm Graz L 0-244.0 1480 1618 12.98% 21.76% 65.26%-1.51 -5.4 29
2008-04-13 Austria Wien L 0-450.0 1488 1611 31.95% 30.57% 37.48%-0.12 -24.3 35
2008-04-13 @ SCR Altach W 4-050.0 1611 1488 37.48% 30.57% 31.95%+0.12 +24.3 55
2008-04-20 Austria Wien W 2-052.3 1666 1635 52.84% 27.45% 19.71%+0.84 +8.6 62
2008-04-20 @ Salzburg L 0-252.3 1635 1666 19.71% 27.45% 52.84%-0.84 -8.6 55
2008-04-20 Mattersburg L 0-549.5 1474 1584 33.85% 30.63% 35.51%-0.04 -31.2 29
2008-04-20 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 5-049.5 1584 1474 35.51% 30.63% 33.85%+0.04 +31.2 50
2008-04-20 Ried D 0-055.3 1446 1520 38.91% 30.47% 30.62%+0.18 -0.4 33
2008-04-20 @ SK Austria Karnten D 0-055.3 1520 1446 30.62% 30.47% 38.91%-0.18 +0.4 38
2008-04-20 SCR Altach W 3-041.1 1733 1463 77.94% 14.29% 7.77%+2.33 +4.1 66
2008-04-20 @ Rapid Wien L 0-341.1 1463 1733 7.77% 14.29% 77.94%-2.33 -4.1 35
2008-04-20 Sturm Graz L 1-267.2 1589 1624 44.36% 29.75% 25.89%+0.43 -8.1 53
2008-04-20 @ LASK Linz W 2-167.2 1624 1589 25.89% 29.75% 44.36%-0.43 +8.1 53
2008-04-26 LASK Linz W 1-053.2 1615 1581 53.14% 27.34% 19.52%+0.85 +4.5 53
2008-04-26 @ Mattersburg L 0-153.2 1581 1615 19.52% 27.34% 53.14%-0.85 -4.5 53
2008-04-26 Rapid Wien L 0-155.2 1520 1738 21.41% 28.29% 50.30%-0.71 -4.9 38
2008-04-26 @ Ried W 1-055.2 1738 1520 50.30% 28.29% 21.41%+0.71 +4.9 69
2008-04-26 Salzburg D 1-166.4 1459 1674 21.62% 28.38% 50.00%-0.70 +1.2 36
2008-04-26 @ SCR Altach D 1-166.4 1674 1459 50.00% 28.38% 21.62%+0.70 -1.2 63
2008-04-26 SK Austria Karnten W 3-147.4 1632 1446 70.20% 18.97% 10.83%+1.80 +3.7 56
2008-04-26 @ Sturm Graz L 1-347.4 1446 1632 10.83% 18.97% 70.20%-1.80 -3.7 33
2008-04-26 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-149.9 1626 1443 69.91% 19.14% 10.95%+1.79 +2.2 58
2008-04-26 @ Austria Wien L 1-249.9 1443 1626 10.95% 19.14% 69.91%-1.79 -2.2 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-03-15 10.64% SK Austria Karnten 1424 1 @ Austria Wien 1615 0
2 2007-09-29 12.62% SCR Altach 1469 2 @ Rapid Wien 1615 0
3 2007-08-26 13.60% SK Austria Karnten 1478 3 @ Sturm Graz 1604 1
4 2007-09-30 15.23% Austria Wien 1618 1 @ Salzburg 1715 0
5 2008-02-22 17.39% LASK Linz 1587 2 @ Sturm Graz 1649 1
6 2007-12-15 17.61% SK Austria Karnten 1437 1 @ SCR Altach 1496 0
7 2008-03-23 17.85% Rapid Wien 1660 7 @ Salzburg 1715 0
8 2007-09-15 18.42% Sturm Graz 1592 5 @ Rapid Wien 1640 1
9 2007-11-03 18.82% @ Wacker Innsbruck 1436 3 Salzburg 1685 1
10 2008-03-29 19.22% Austria Wien 1603 2 @ Sturm Graz 1640 1
11 2007-07-27 19.69% Austria Wien 1581 1 @ Ried 1612 0
12 2007-07-11 20.86% Mattersburg 1576 2 @ Ried 1593 1
13 2008-03-02 21.24% Rapid Wien 1636 2 @ Sturm Graz 1649 0
14 2007-11-30 22.83% Wacker Innsbruck 1469 2 @ SK Austria Karnten 1465 0
15 2007-10-28 23.00% @ Wacker Innsbruck 1432 2 Austria Wien 1632 0
16 2007-08-19 23.10% Austria Wien 1604 1 @ Mattersburg 1597 0
17 2007-07-15 23.16% @ SK Austria Karnten 1514 1 Salzburg 1713 0
18 2007-08-25 24.18% Mattersburg 1588 2 @ LASK Linz 1570 0
19 2007-08-25 24.85% Rapid Wien 1622 3 @ Ried 1598 0
20 2008-03-08 25.49% @ SK Austria Karnten 1416 1 Mattersburg 1592 0
21 2008-04-20 25.89% Sturm Graz 1624 2 @ LASK Linz 1589 1
22 2008-02-16 26.25% @ Wacker Innsbruck 1489 1 Sturm Graz 1658 0
23 2007-12-09 26.27% Sturm Graz 1650 2 @ Austria Wien 1613 1
24 2007-12-01 26.93% Salzburg 1667 3 @ Rapid Wien 1623 1
25 2008-03-29 26.93% @ SK Austria Karnten 1440 2 LASK Linz 1603 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-03-23 62.25 Rapid Wien 7 1660 17.85% @ Salzburg 0 1715 55.85% 26.29%
2 2008-04-20 31.17 Mattersburg 5 1584 35.51% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1474 33.85% 30.63%
3 2007-09-15 30.22 Sturm Graz 5 1592 18.42% @ Rapid Wien 1 1640 54.91% 26.67%
4 2008-04-13 24.27 Austria Wien 4 1611 37.48% @ SCR Altach 0 1488 31.95% 30.57%
5 2007-08-25 24.08 Rapid Wien 3 1622 24.85% @ Ried 0 1598 45.66% 29.49%
6 2007-09-29 21.90 SCR Altach 2 1469 12.62% @ Rapid Wien 0 1615 66.06% 21.32%
7 2007-10-31 21.76 @ Sturm Graz 5 1614 50.12% Ried 0 1605 21.54% 28.34%
8 2007-07-22 21.71 Ried 3 1591 29.84% @ SK Austria Karnten 0 1523 39.77% 30.40%
9 2007-09-22 18.68 LASK Linz 4 1561 28.84% @ SK Austria Karnten 1 1501 40.88% 30.28%
10 2007-08-26 18.53 SK Austria Karnten 3 1478 13.60% @ Sturm Graz 1 1604 63.92% 22.48%
11 2008-03-02 17.93 Rapid Wien 2 1636 21.24% @ Sturm Graz 0 1649 50.55% 28.21%
12 2007-10-07 17.68 @ LASK Linz 4 1578 31.57% Salzburg 1 1704 37.89% 30.55%
13 2007-11-03 17.41 @ Rapid Wien 4 1596 50.59% Ried 0 1583 21.21% 28.20%
14 2007-11-30 17.31 Wacker Innsbruck 2 1469 22.83% @ SK Austria Karnten 0 1465 48.31% 28.86%
15 2007-10-28 17.25 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1432 23.00% Austria Wien 0 1632 48.08% 28.92%
16 2007-08-25 16.82 Mattersburg 2 1588 24.18% @ LASK Linz 0 1570 46.52% 29.30%
17 2007-07-20 16.50 @ Sturm Graz 4 1590 52.34% LASK Linz 0 1563 20.03% 27.62%
18 2007-11-03 16.40 @ Wacker Innsbruck 3 1436 18.82% Salzburg 1 1685 54.24% 26.93%
19 2007-10-20 15.05 @ Ried 3 1576 46.29% LASK Linz 0 1596 24.36% 29.35%
20 2007-11-24 15.04 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1454 29.54% LASK Linz 0 1596 40.09% 30.37%
21 2008-02-27 14.47 @ Rapid Wien 4 1622 56.32% Ried 0 1562 17.58% 26.10%
22 2008-03-29 14.09 @ SCR Altach 2 1473 32.78% Mattersburg 0 1590 36.62% 30.61%
23 2007-09-21 13.96 @ Mattersburg 5 1602 51.87% Ried 1 1578 20.35% 27.79%
24 2007-12-01 13.74 Salzburg 3 1667 26.93% @ Rapid Wien 1 1623 43.10% 29.97%
25 2007-10-27 13.60 @ Ried 2 1591 34.51% Salzburg 0 1695 34.84% 30.64%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-10-26 78.8 @ Rapid Wien 4 1600 51.38% LASK Linz 4 1581 20.67% 27.95%
2 2007-12-08 76.3 @ Mattersburg 3 1606 62.31% SCR Altach 3 1495 14.38% 23.31%
3 2008-03-19 75.4 @ LASK Linz 3 1596 63.00% Wacker Innsbruck 3 1478 14.04% 22.96%
4 2007-10-21 74.7 @ Austria Wien 2 1633 53.23% Rapid Wien 2 1599 19.46% 27.31%
5 2007-07-22 74.6 @ Austria Wien 2 1581 31.97% Salzburg 2 1703 37.46% 30.57%
6 2007-10-31 74.3 @ Austria Wien 2 1615 48.09% Mattersburg 2 1621 23.00% 28.92%
7 2007-07-28 73.3 @ Mattersburg 2 1590 46.74% Sturm Graz 2 1606 24.01% 29.25%
8 2007-09-29 73.3 @ LASK Linz 2 1579 42.80% Sturm Graz 2 1624 27.18% 30.02%
9 2007-07-11 73.0 @ Sturm Graz 2 1591 50.13% Austria Wien 2 1581 21.53% 28.34%
10 2008-02-22 70.2 LASK Linz 2 1587 17.39% @ Sturm Graz 1 1649 56.64% 25.96%
11 2007-12-15 70.0 @ Sturm Graz 1 1659 45.24% Salzburg 1 1686 25.18% 29.58%
12 2008-03-29 69.8 Austria Wien 2 1603 19.22% @ Sturm Graz 1 1640 53.61% 27.17%
13 2008-04-12 69.8 @ Mattersburg 3 1577 35.89% Salzburg 2 1672 33.49% 30.63%
14 2007-07-22 69.5 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1493 36.36% Mattersburg 2 1585 33.03% 30.61%
15 2007-11-24 69.5 @ Salzburg 1 1669 72.27% SK Austria Karnten 1 1462 9.98% 17.74%
16 2007-09-02 69.3 @ Mattersburg 1 1605 34.71% Salzburg 1 1708 34.65% 30.64%
17 2007-11-09 68.7 @ LASK Linz 1 1596 39.01% Salzburg 1 1669 30.53% 30.47%
18 2007-12-14 68.2 @ Mattersburg 1 1605 48.92% Austria Wien 1 1605 22.39% 28.69%
19 2008-03-22 68.2 @ Mattersburg 1 1590 42.32% Sturm Graz 1 1640 27.59% 30.09%
20 2007-08-31 68.1 @ SCR Altach 2 1485 39.71% LASK Linz 2 1553 29.89% 30.40%
21 2007-09-23 68.1 @ SCR Altach 1 1477 20.04% Salzburg 1 1711 52.34% 27.62%
22 2007-11-24 68.1 @ Mattersburg 1 1612 54.79% Ried 1 1565 18.49% 26.72%
23 2007-12-09 68.0 Sturm Graz 2 1650 26.27% @ Austria Wien 1 1613 43.90% 29.84%
24 2007-07-11 67.6 Mattersburg 2 1576 20.86% @ Ried 1 1593 51.10% 28.04%
25 2007-09-26 67.6 @ LASK Linz 1 1579 43.79% Austria Wien 1 1618 26.36% 29.86%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-02-23 39.0 @ Ried 3 1553 62.93% SK Austria Karnten 0 1436 14.08% 23.00%
2 2007-12-08 39.3 @ LASK Linz 4 1581 64.72% SK Austria Karnten 0 1447 13.23% 22.05%
3 2007-10-31 39.7 @ LASK Linz 5 1581 64.60% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1449 13.29% 22.12%
4 2007-09-26 40.9 @ Sturm Graz 3 1617 67.15% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1461 12.13% 20.71%
5 2008-04-20 41.1 @ Rapid Wien 3 1733 77.94% SCR Altach 0 1463 7.77% 14.29%
6 2007-10-20 41.7 @ SK Austria Karnten 2 1465 50.92% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1449 20.98% 28.10%
7 2007-09-26 42.0 @ Ried 3 1564 59.38% SCR Altach 0 1479 15.87% 24.74%
8 2007-09-26 42.1 @ Salzburg 3 1710 74.18% SK Austria Karnten 0 1482 9.22% 16.59%
9 2008-03-22 42.3 @ LASK Linz 3 1594 62.44% SCR Altach 0 1482 14.31% 23.25%
10 2008-02-27 42.4 @ Salzburg 4 1689 70.93% SCR Altach 0 1495 10.53% 18.54%
11 2008-03-01 42.5 @ Mattersburg 1 1589 68.70% SK Austria Karnten 0 1418 11.46% 19.84%
12 2007-08-08 43.1 @ Rapid Wien 4 1616 62.61% SK Austria Karnten 0 1502 14.23% 23.16%
13 2008-04-12 44.0 @ Sturm Graz 2 1618 65.26% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1480 12.98% 21.76%
14 2007-09-15 44.2 @ LASK Linz 2 1553 57.38% SCR Altach 0 1485 16.97% 25.65%
15 2008-03-05 44.3 @ Salzburg 2 1697 72.46% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1487 9.91% 17.63%
16 2007-08-10 45.0 @ Austria Wien 6 1592 61.59% Wacker Innsbruck 1 1487 14.73% 23.67%
17 2007-11-24 46.1 @ Sturm Graz 6 1635 64.31% SCR Altach 1 1506 13.42% 22.27%
18 2008-02-27 46.8 @ Rapid Wien 4 1622 56.32% Ried 0 1562 17.58% 26.10%
19 2008-03-29 46.8 @ Rapid Wien 4 1722 75.72% Wacker Innsbruck 1 1478 8.62% 15.66%
20 2007-07-20 47.2 @ Sturm Graz 4 1590 52.34% LASK Linz 0 1563 20.03% 27.62%
21 2007-08-25 47.3 @ Austria Wien 1 1613 63.87% SCR Altach 0 1488 13.63% 22.50%
22 2008-04-26 47.4 @ Sturm Graz 3 1632 70.20% SK Austria Karnten 1 1446 10.83% 18.97%
23 2007-08-05 47.6 @ Mattersburg 4 1589 61.13% SCR Altach 1 1488 14.97% 23.90%
24 2008-02-26 47.6 Sturm Graz 2 1639 49.57% @ SK Austria Karnten 0 1428 21.93% 28.51%
25 2008-03-16 47.7 @ Salzburg 4 1705 60.69% LASK Linz 0 1608 15.19% 24.12%