2006-07 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Salzburg

75 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sturm Graz

20.62 points above expected

54 points · 33.38 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Wacker Tirol

10.26 points below expected

34 points · 44.26 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Salzburg	36	22	9	5	75	72	25	+47	69.08	+5.92
2	Ried	36	15	11	10	56	47	42	+5	47.93	+8.07
3	Mattersburg	36	16	7	13	55	61	58	+3	47.03	+7.97
4	Sturm Graz	36	16	6	14	54	40	40	0	33.38	+20.62
5	Rapid Wien	36	14	10	12	52	55	49	+6	50.41	+1.59
6	FC Superfund	36	14	10	12	52	47	41	+6	52.68	-0.68
7	Austria Wien	36	11	12	13	45	43	43	0	53.36	-8.36
8	SCR Altach	36	11	5	20	38	45	64	-19	38.96	-0.96
9	Grazer AK	36	8	10	18	34	43	67	-24	17.24	+16.76
10	Wacker Tirol	36	8	10	18	34	40	64	-24	44.26	-10.26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sturm Graz	54	33.38	+20.62
2	Grazer AK	34	17.24	+16.76
3	Ried	56	47.93	+8.07
4	Mattersburg	55	47.03	+7.97
5	Salzburg	75	69.08	+5.92

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Wacker Tirol	34	44.26	-10.26
2	Austria Wien	45	53.36	-8.36
3	SCR Altach	38	38.96	-0.96
4	FC Superfund	52	52.68	-0.68
5	Rapid Wien	52	50.41	+1.59

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FC Superfund	4	Apr 28 – May 12	1 in 118
2	Wacker Tirol	3	Jul 19 – Jul 30	1 in 55
3	Ried	5	May 5 – May 20	1 in 50
4	Austria Wien	4	Mar 4 – Apr 1	1 in 31
5	Rapid Wien	3	Dec 2 – Feb 24	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Wacker Tirol	6	Mar 17 – Apr 21	1 in 142
2	SCR Altach	6	Feb 24 – Apr 7	1 in 97
3	Grazer AK	5	Sep 23 – Oct 29	1 in 70
4	Mattersburg	3	Apr 28 – May 9	1 in 18
5	Austria Wien	3	May 8 – May 17	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ried	12	Aug 27 – Nov 18	1 in 1,948
2	Mattersburg	7	Mar 10 – Apr 21	1 in 75
3	FC Superfund	10	Aug 12 – Oct 28	1 in 69
4	Grazer AK	7	Nov 4 – Dec 9	1 in 38
5	Salzburg	15	Nov 19 – May 5	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Wacker Tirol	15	Nov 18 – May 5	1 in 443
2	Grazer AK	10	Aug 26 – Nov 8	1 in 136
3	Austria Wien	8	Jul 18 – Sep 9	1 in 107
4	Salzburg	4	Apr 28 – May 12	1 in 58
5	Rapid Wien	8	Oct 15 – Nov 25	1 in 27

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Salzburg	1794	75	-14	7	10.3	-3.3
Ried	1622	56	+48	15	8.2	+6.8
Mattersburg	1593	55	-6	6	7.2	-1.2
Sturm Graz	1616	54	+16	10	7.2	+2.8
FC Superfund	1619	52	+26	10	6.3	+3.7
Rapid Wien	1651	52	+33	9	7.1	+1.9
Austria Wien	1601	45	-20	6	8.1	-2.1
SCR Altach	1464	38	-16	6	5.3	+0.7
Wacker Tirol	1459	34	-17	3	4.2	-1.2
Grazer AK	1457	34	-50	1	4.8	-3.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AW	FS	GA	MAT	RW	RIE	SA	SAL	SG	WT
Austria Wien	—	1-1-2 5.73	1-2-1 6.26	1-1-2 6.18	1-2-1 5.87	1-1-2 5.97	3-0-1 7.05	0-2-2 4.15	1-1-2 6.14	2-2-0 6.38
FC Superfund	2-1-1 5.25	—	2-0-2 6.26	3-0-1 6.02	1-1-2 5.76	1-2-1 6.08	2-1-1 6.76	1-1-2 3.91	1-2-1 5.97	1-2-1 6.46
Grazer AK	1-2-1 4.73	2-0-2 4.73	—	0-1-3 5.46	1-1-2 4.67	0-2-2 4.96	1-1-2 6.50	0-1-3 3.01	1-1-2 5.23	2-1-1 5.72
Mattersburg	2-1-1 4.81	1-0-3 4.97	3-1-0 5.54	—	2-1-1 5.18	0-1-3 5.50	3-0-1 6.26	2-1-1 2.96	1-1-2 5.79	2-1-1 5.82
Rapid Wien	1-2-1 5.10	2-1-1 5.22	2-1-1 6.31	1-1-2 5.79	—	2-1-1 5.91	2-0-2 6.67	0-2-2 3.53	2-0-2 5.87	2-2-0 6.16
Ried	2-1-1 5.03	1-2-1 4.90	2-2-0 6.01	3-1-0 5.49	1-1-2 5.07	—	2-1-1 6.36	0-1-3 3.85	2-1-1 5.38	2-1-1 5.63
SCR Altach	1-0-3 3.96	1-1-2 4.25	2-1-1 4.49	1-0-3 4.73	2-0-2 4.34	1-1-2 4.63	—	0-1-3 2.91	1-0-3 4.80	2-1-1 4.87
Salzburg	2-2-0 6.89	2-1-1 7.14	3-1-0 8.06	1-1-2 8.12	2-2-0 7.52	3-1-0 7.23	3-1-0 8.21	—	3-0-1 7.85	3-0-1 8.14
Sturm Graz	2-1-1 4.84	1-2-1 5.02	2-1-1 5.82	2-1-1 5.20	2-0-2 5.11	1-1-2 5.59	3-0-1 6.20	1-0-3 3.22	—	2-0-2 5.57
Wacker Tirol	0-2-2 4.64	1-2-1 4.57	1-1-2 5.26	1-1-2 5.18	0-2-2 4.83	1-1-2 5.38	1-1-2 6.10	1-0-3 2.95	2-0-2 5.40	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.62	+9.5
Allowed	0.76	-8.0
Differential	0.94	+5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	7.50%	8.06%	2.22%	0.83%	—	25.28%
1	7.50%	13.33%	7.78%	3.61%	2.78%	0.83%	35.83%
2	8.06%	7.78%	4.44%	2.50%	0.56%	0.56%	23.89%
3	2.22%	3.61%	2.50%	0.56%	—	0.28%	9.17%
4	0.83%	2.78%	0.56%	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	0.83%	0.56%	0.28%	—	—	1.67%
Total	25.28%	35.83%	23.89%	9.17%	4.17%	1.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.37	+0.00
SD	1.20	1.20	1.74
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	52.78%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.19	+0.00
SD	1.17	0.92	1.62
CV	0.98	0.77	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	16.67%	13.89%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	30.56%	33.33%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.14	+0.17
SD	1.19	0.93	1.42
CV	0.91	0.82	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
1	—	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	36.11%
2	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	36.11%	25.00%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.86	-0.67
SD	1.12	1.31	1.72
CV	0.93	0.71	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	30.56%
3	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
Total	22.22%	36.11%	16.67%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	1.61	+0.08
SD	1.49	1.44	1.98
CV	0.88	0.89	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	19.44%	41.67%	27.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.36	+0.17
SD	1.28	1.05	1.72
CV	0.84	0.77	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	30.56%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	41.67%	22.22%	5.56%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.17	+0.14
SD	1.19	1.08	1.42
CV	0.91	0.93	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	19.44%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	2.78%	5.56%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	13.89%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	36.11%	30.56%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.78	-0.53
SD	1.25	1.27	1.73
CV	1.00	0.71	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
1	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	25.00%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
3	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	52.78%	27.78%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	0.69	+1.31
SD	1.04	0.86	1.55
CV	0.52	1.23	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
1	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	13.89%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	30.56%	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.11	+0.00
SD	1.01	1.19	1.67
CV	0.91	1.07	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	44.44%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	19.44%	25.00%	30.56%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.78	-0.67
SD	1.04	1.40	1.79
CV	0.93	0.79	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Salzburg	1794	75	69.08	+5.92	79.1%	44	56	64	69	74	81	91
Rapid Wien	1651	52	50.41	+1.59	59.4%	24	38	45	51	56	62	73
Ried	1622	56	47.93	+8.07	87.4%	21	35	43	48	53	60	76
FC Superfund	1619	52	52.68	-0.68	48.1%	28	40	47	53	58	65	76
Sturm Graz	1616	54	33.38	+20.62	88.0%	13	22	28	33	38	45	56
Austria Wien	1601	45	53.36	-8.36	14.7%	29	42	48	54	58	66	81
Mattersburg	1593	55	47.03	+7.97	87.2%	25	34	42	47	52	59	75
SCR Altach	1464	38	38.96	-0.96	49.3%	19	28	34	39	43	51	63
Wacker Tirol	1459	34	44.26	-10.26	8.4%	24	33	39	44	49	56	70
Grazer AK	1457	34	17.24	+16.76	7.2%	-6	5	12	17	22	29	43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+29.44%

Strong Edge

52.22%25.00%22.78%

Elo Value

Home Edge

179 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0105.42500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.61 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.59+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.4

One-Team Race

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

84%

Salzburg, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.53/gm

Comfortable

00.290.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.92 * Some Luck: 5.92 to 8.88 * Lucky: 8.88 to 11.84 * Wild Swing: 11.84 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.96 * Close: 0.96 to 1.44 * Off: 1.44 to 1.92 * Way Off: 1.92 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.26 points

Some Luck

07.4019

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.40

Way Off

01.203

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

88.00%

Sturm Graz

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

7.20%

Grazer AK

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Even

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.38

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

67%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Strong Edge

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Very Frequent

0%61%100%

Blowouts

Expected

15%

Frequent

0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.39

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.21

Weak Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Chalky

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.77

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.01

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.060

Well Within Noise

00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Salzburg	83.60%	10.70%	3.70%	1.30%	0.60%	—	0.10%	—	—	—
Ried	1.20%	10.50%	13.20%	16.60%	17.80%	15.80%	13.80%	7.20%	3.70%	0.20%
Mattersburg	1.70%	7.30%	11.40%	15.90%	20.30%	16.10%	13.40%	9.70%	4.00%	0.20%
Sturm Graz	—	0.20%	0.40%	1.30%	2.70%	5.00%	10.80%	23.80%	50.10%	5.70%
Rapid Wien	2.20%	16.60%	21.30%	16.50%	13.50%	13.80%	9.50%	4.50%	1.90%	0.20%
FC Superfund	4.10%	26.00%	20.40%	17.20%	11.80%	8.60%	7.30%	3.70%	0.90%	—
Austria Wien	6.50%	25.20%	20.30%	15.80%	13.00%	10.20%	5.70%	2.60%	0.70%	—
SCR Altach	0.10%	0.60%	3.00%	3.80%	5.80%	12.30%	17.50%	32.00%	23.70%	1.20%
Grazer AK	—	—	—	—	0.10%	0.40%	0.20%	1.00%	6.10%	92.20%
Wacker Tirol	0.60%	2.90%	6.30%	11.60%	14.40%	17.80%	21.70%	15.50%	8.90%	0.30%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Austria Wien	100%	—
FC Superfund	100%	—
Salzburg	100%	—
Mattersburg	99.80%	0.20%
Rapid Wien	99.80%	0.20%
Ried	99.80%	0.20%
Wacker Tirol	99.70%	0.30%
SCR Altach	98.80%	1.20%
Sturm Graz	94.30%	5.70%
Grazer AK	7.80%	92.20%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2006-07-18	Grazer AK	D 0-0	66.4	1650	1597	57.26%	24.31%	18.42%	+0.89	-2.5	1
2006-07-18	@ Austria Wien	D 0-0	66.4	1597	1650	18.42%	24.31%	57.26%	-0.89	+2.5	1
2006-07-19	FC Superfund	L 2-3	67.9	1525	1607	40.53%	26.44%	33.03%	+0.13	-9.6	0
2006-07-19	@ SCR Altach	W 3-2	67.9	1607	1525	33.03%	26.44%	40.53%	-0.13	+9.6	3
2006-07-19	Rapid Wien	W 1-0	55.3	1559	1619	43.47%	26.30%	30.22%	+0.25	+8.6	3
2006-07-19	@ Mattersburg	L 0-1	55.3	1619	1559	30.22%	26.30%	43.47%	-0.25	-8.6	0
2006-07-19	Salzburg	L 0-3	54.5	1584	1619	46.76%	26.04%	27.20%	+0.39	-32.9	0
2006-07-19	@ Ried	W 3-0	54.5	1619	1584	27.20%	26.04%	46.76%	-0.39	+32.9	3
2006-07-19	Wacker Tirol	L 2-3	70.6	1563	1554	52.27%	25.32%	22.41%	+0.64	-11.8	0
2006-07-19	@ Sturm Graz	W 3-2	70.6	1554	1563	22.41%	25.32%	52.27%	-0.64	+11.8	3
2006-07-22	Austria Wien	W 2-0	51.8	1616	1648	47.25%	25.99%	26.76%	+0.41	+14.7	6
2006-07-22	@ FC Superfund	L 0-2	51.8	1648	1616	26.76%	25.99%	47.25%	-0.41	-14.7	1
2006-07-22	Mattersburg	L 0-2	57.9	1599	1567	54.91%	24.83%	20.26%	+0.77	-25.9	1
2006-07-22	@ Grazer AK	W 2-0	57.9	1567	1599	20.26%	24.83%	54.91%	-0.77	+25.9	6
2006-07-22	Salzburg	L 0-2	51.8	1516	1652	32.86%	26.44%	40.70%	-0.17	-17.2	0
2006-07-22	@ SCR Altach	W 2-0	51.8	1652	1516	40.70%	26.44%	32.86%	+0.17	+17.2	6
2006-07-23	Sturm Graz	W 4-1	49.4	1610	1551	57.88%	24.16%	17.95%	+0.92	+12.7	3
2006-07-23	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-4	49.4	1551	1610	17.95%	24.16%	57.88%	-0.92	-12.7	0
2006-07-26	Wacker Tirol	L 0-1	59.1	1551	1566	49.35%	25.75%	24.90%	+0.51	-12.5	0
2006-07-26	@ Ried	W 1-0	59.1	1566	1551	24.90%	25.75%	49.35%	-0.51	+12.6	6
2006-07-29	FC Superfund	W 2-1	61.4	1574	1631	43.83%	26.28%	29.89%	+0.27	+8.0	4
2006-07-29	@ Grazer AK	L 1-2	61.4	1631	1574	29.89%	26.28%	43.83%	-0.27	-8.0	6
2006-07-29	Rapid Wien	W 1-0	55.9	1538	1623	40.06%	26.46%	33.48%	+0.11	+9.3	3
2006-07-29	@ Ried	L 0-1	55.9	1623	1538	33.48%	26.46%	40.06%	-0.11	-9.3	3
2006-07-29	Salzburg	D 1-1	71.3	1633	1669	46.69%	26.05%	27.26%	+0.39	-1.1	2
2006-07-29	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	71.3	1669	1633	27.26%	26.05%	46.69%	-0.39	+1.1	7
2006-07-29	Sturm Graz	L 1-4	60.5	1593	1538	57.42%	24.28%	18.30%	+0.90	-33.0	6
2006-07-29	@ Mattersburg	W 4-1	60.5	1538	1593	18.30%	24.28%	57.42%	-0.90	+33.0	3
2006-07-30	Wacker Tirol	L 0-1	55.4	1498	1578	40.77%	26.44%	32.79%	+0.14	-10.8	0
2006-07-30	@ SCR Altach	W 1-0	55.4	1578	1498	32.79%	26.44%	40.77%	-0.14	+10.8	9
2006-08-05	Austria Wien	D 1-1	69.9	1589	1632	45.73%	26.14%	28.13%	+0.35	-1.0	10
2006-08-05	@ Wacker Tirol	D 1-1	69.9	1632	1589	28.13%	26.14%	45.73%	-0.35	+1.0	3
2006-08-05	Grazer AK	W 4-1	50.5	1670	1582	60.89%	23.34%	15.77%	+1.08	+11.2	10
2006-08-05	@ Salzburg	L 1-4	50.5	1582	1670	15.77%	23.34%	60.89%	-1.08	-11.2	4
2006-08-05	Mattersburg	L 1-2	68.7	1623	1560	58.24%	24.07%	17.68%	+0.94	-13.7	6
2006-08-05	@ FC Superfund	W 2-1	68.7	1560	1623	17.68%	24.07%	58.24%	-0.94	+13.6	9
2006-08-05	Ried	W 1-0	50.5	1571	1547	54.00%	25.01%	20.99%	+0.72	+6.3	6
2006-08-05	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-1	50.5	1547	1571	20.99%	25.01%	54.00%	-0.72	-6.3	3
2006-08-06	SCR Altach	W 3-2	57.5	1614	1488	64.48%	22.17%	13.35%	+1.29	+3.7	6
2006-08-06	@ Rapid Wien	L 2-3	57.5	1488	1614	13.35%	22.17%	64.48%	-1.29	-3.7	0
2006-08-12	Rapid Wien	D 0-0	66.1	1633	1617	53.03%	25.19%	21.78%	+0.68	-2.0	4
2006-08-12	@ Austria Wien	D 0-0	66.1	1617	1633	21.78%	25.19%	53.03%	-0.68	+2.0	7
2006-08-12	Salzburg	D 1-1	71.0	1609	1681	41.86%	26.39%	31.74%	+0.19	-0.5	7
2006-08-12	@ FC Superfund	D 1-1	71.0	1681	1609	31.74%	26.39%	41.86%	-0.19	+0.5	11
2006-08-12	Sturm Graz	W 4-1	52.0	1484	1578	38.80%	26.49%	34.71%	+0.06	+22.0	3
2006-08-12	@ SCR Altach	L 1-4	52.0	1578	1484	34.71%	26.49%	38.80%	-0.06	-22.0	6
2006-08-13	Ried	D 0-0	63.0	1574	1541	55.01%	24.81%	20.18%	+0.77	-2.2	10
2006-08-13	@ Mattersburg	D 0-0	63.0	1541	1574	20.18%	24.81%	55.01%	-0.77	+2.2	4
2006-08-19	FC Superfund	D 0-0	64.9	1588	1609	48.61%	25.84%	25.55%	+0.47	-1.4	11
2006-08-19	@ Wacker Tirol	D 0-0	64.9	1609	1588	25.55%	25.84%	48.61%	-0.47	+1.4	8
2006-08-19	Austria Wien	W 1-0	56.1	1556	1631	41.39%	26.41%	32.19%	+0.17	+9.0	9
2006-08-19	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-1	56.1	1631	1556	32.19%	26.41%	41.39%	-0.17	-9.0	4
2006-08-19	Mattersburg	W 2-0	46.9	1682	1572	62.97%	22.69%	14.34%	+1.20	+8.3	14
2006-08-19	@ Salzburg	L 0-2	46.9	1572	1682	14.34%	22.69%	62.97%	-1.20	-8.3	10
2006-08-19	SCR Altach	L 1-2	64.0	1543	1506	55.50%	24.71%	19.79%	+0.80	-13.1	4
2006-08-19	@ Ried	W 2-1	64.0	1506	1543	19.79%	24.71%	55.50%	-0.80	+13.1	6
2006-08-20	Grazer AK	L 1-4	61.8	1619	1570	56.80%	24.42%	18.78%	+0.86	-32.7	7
2006-08-20	@ Rapid Wien	W 4-1	61.8	1570	1619	18.78%	24.42%	56.80%	-0.86	+32.7	7
2006-08-23	Wacker Tirol	W 2-1	58.2	1603	1587	53.13%	25.17%	21.70%	+0.68	+6.2	10
2006-08-23	@ Grazer AK	L 1-2	58.2	1587	1603	21.70%	25.17%	53.13%	-0.68	-6.1	11
2006-08-26	Rapid Wien	W 1-0	52.6	1610	1587	53.94%	25.02%	21.03%	+0.72	+6.3	11
2006-08-26	@ FC Superfund	L 0-1	52.6	1587	1610	21.03%	25.02%	53.94%	-0.72	-6.3	7
2006-08-26	Sturm Graz	D 0-0	64.7	1609	1565	56.28%	24.54%	19.18%	+0.84	-2.4	11
2006-08-26	@ Grazer AK	D 0-0	64.7	1565	1609	19.18%	24.54%	56.28%	-0.84	+2.4	10
2006-08-26	Wacker Tirol	W 4-0	44.9	1690	1580	62.94%	22.70%	14.36%	+1.20	+15.8	17
2006-08-26	@ Salzburg	L 0-4	44.9	1580	1690	14.36%	22.70%	62.94%	-1.20	-15.8	11
2006-08-27	Ried	D 1-1	69.1	1622	1530	61.22%	23.24%	15.54%	+1.10	-2.7	5
2006-08-27	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	69.1	1530	1622	15.54%	23.24%	61.22%	-1.10	+2.7	5
2006-08-27	SCR Altach	W 6-3	51.1	1563	1519	56.28%	24.54%	19.18%	+0.84	+10.8	13
2006-08-27	@ Mattersburg	L 3-6	51.1	1519	1563	19.18%	24.54%	56.28%	-0.84	-10.8	6
2006-09-09	FC Superfund	D 0-0	64.5	1567	1617	44.91%	26.20%	28.89%	+0.31	-1.0	11
2006-09-09	@ Sturm Graz	D 0-0	64.5	1617	1567	28.89%	26.20%	44.91%	-0.31	+1.0	12
2006-09-09	Austria Wien	W 1-0	56.0	1508	1619	36.32%	26.51%	37.17%	-0.03	+10.0	9
2006-09-09	@ SCR Altach	L 0-1	56.0	1619	1508	37.17%	26.51%	36.32%	+0.03	-10.0	5
2006-09-09	Grazer AK	D 1-1	67.8	1533	1607	41.59%	26.40%	32.01%	+0.18	-0.5	6
2006-09-09	@ Ried	D 1-1	67.8	1607	1533	32.01%	26.40%	41.59%	-0.18	+0.5	12
2006-09-09	Mattersburg	W 2-1	57.9	1565	1574	50.00%	25.66%	24.34%	+0.54	+6.8	14
2006-09-09	@ Wacker Tirol	L 1-2	57.9	1574	1565	24.34%	25.66%	50.00%	-0.54	-6.8	13
2006-09-10	Salzburg	D 1-1	70.9	1580	1706	34.30%	26.48%	39.22%	-0.11	+0.2	8
2006-09-10	@ Rapid Wien	D 1-1	70.9	1706	1580	39.22%	26.48%	34.30%	+0.11	-0.2	18
2006-09-16	Rapid Wien	D 2-2	74.2	1571	1581	50.05%	25.66%	24.29%	+0.54	-1.1	15
2006-09-16	@ Wacker Tirol	D 2-2	74.2	1581	1571	24.29%	25.66%	50.05%	-0.54	+1.1	9
2006-09-17	Mattersburg	W 3-1	53.3	1609	1567	56.01%	24.60%	19.39%	+0.82	+9.6	8
2006-09-17	@ Austria Wien	L 1-3	53.3	1567	1609	19.39%	24.60%	56.01%	-0.82	-9.6	13
2006-09-17	Ried	D 0-0	64.4	1618	1532	60.55%	23.44%	16.01%	+1.07	-2.9	13
2006-09-17	@ FC Superfund	D 0-0	64.4	1532	1618	16.01%	23.44%	60.55%	-1.07	+2.9	7
2006-09-17	SCR Altach	D 1-1	68.3	1607	1518	60.94%	23.33%	15.73%	+1.09	-2.6	13
2006-09-17	@ Grazer AK	D 1-1	68.3	1518	1607	15.73%	23.33%	60.94%	-1.09	+2.6	10
2006-09-17	Sturm Graz	W 2-0	46.4	1706	1566	65.68%	21.72%	12.59%	+1.37	+7.3	21
2006-09-17	@ Salzburg	L 0-2	46.4	1566	1706	12.59%	21.72%	65.68%	-1.37	-7.3	11
2006-09-23	FC Superfund	D 1-1	68.1	1535	1615	40.84%	26.43%	32.73%	+0.15	-0.4	8
2006-09-23	@ Ried	D 1-1	68.1	1615	1535	32.73%	26.43%	40.84%	-0.15	+0.4	14
2006-09-23	Grazer AK	W 4-1	53.7	1521	1605	40.22%	26.45%	33.33%	+0.12	+21.3	13
2006-09-23	@ SCR Altach	L 1-4	53.7	1605	1521	33.33%	26.45%	40.22%	-0.12	-21.4	13
2006-09-23	Salzburg	W 2-1	66.6	1559	1713	30.52%	26.32%	43.16%	-0.27	+10.6	14
2006-09-23	@ Sturm Graz	L 1-2	66.6	1713	1559	43.16%	26.32%	30.52%	+0.27	-10.6	21
2006-09-23	Wacker Tirol	D 1-1	68.5	1582	1570	52.53%	25.28%	22.19%	+0.65	-1.7	10
2006-09-23	@ Rapid Wien	D 1-1	68.5	1570	1582	22.19%	25.28%	52.53%	-0.65	+1.7	16
2006-09-24	Austria Wien	W 1-0	55.3	1558	1619	43.33%	26.31%	30.36%	+0.25	+8.6	16
2006-09-24	@ Mattersburg	L 0-1	55.3	1619	1558	30.36%	26.31%	43.33%	-0.25	-8.6	8
2006-09-30	Mattersburg	W 4-1	50.5	1580	1566	52.79%	25.23%	21.98%	+0.67	+15.2	13
2006-09-30	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-4	50.5	1566	1580	21.98%	25.23%	52.79%	-0.67	-15.2	16
2006-10-01	Austria Wien	L 1-3	62.6	1583	1610	47.81%	25.93%	26.25%	+0.44	-20.0	13
2006-10-01	@ Grazer AK	W 3-1	62.6	1610	1583	26.25%	25.93%	47.81%	-0.44	+20.0	11
2006-10-01	Ried	D 1-1	71.8	1702	1535	68.11%	20.75%	11.14%	+1.53	-3.4	22
2006-10-01	@ Salzburg	D 1-1	71.8	1535	1702	11.14%	20.75%	68.11%	-1.53	+3.4	9
2006-10-01	SCR Altach	W 4-2	55.7	1615	1542	59.29%	23.80%	16.91%	+1.00	+7.6	17
2006-10-01	@ FC Superfund	L 2-4	55.7	1542	1615	16.91%	23.80%	59.29%	-1.00	-7.6	13
2006-10-01	Sturm Graz	W 2-0	47.9	1572	1570	51.48%	25.45%	23.08%	+0.60	+13.0	19
2006-10-01	@ Wacker Tirol	L 0-2	47.9	1570	1572	23.08%	25.45%	51.48%	-0.60	-13.0	14
2006-10-14	FC Superfund	D 1-1	70.7	1630	1623	52.10%	25.35%	22.55%	+0.63	-1.7	12
2006-10-14	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	70.7	1623	1630	22.55%	25.35%	52.10%	-0.63	+1.6	18
2006-10-14	Grazer AK	W 2-1	57.2	1551	1563	49.69%	25.70%	24.60%	+0.52	+6.8	19
2006-10-14	@ Mattersburg	L 1-2	57.2	1563	1551	24.60%	25.70%	49.69%	-0.52	-6.8	13
2006-10-14	Ried	L 1-2	66.7	1585	1538	56.54%	24.48%	18.98%	+0.85	-13.3	19
2006-10-14	@ Wacker Tirol	W 2-1	66.7	1538	1585	18.98%	24.48%	56.54%	-0.85	+13.3	12
2006-10-14	SCR Altach	W 3-0	42.9	1699	1535	67.84%	20.87%	11.29%	+1.51	+9.4	25
2006-10-14	@ Salzburg	L 0-3	42.9	1535	1699	11.29%	20.87%	67.84%	-1.51	-9.4	13
2006-10-15	Rapid Wien	W 2-0	49.7	1557	1595	46.33%	26.08%	27.59%	+0.37	+15.0	17
2006-10-15	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	49.7	1595	1557	27.59%	26.08%	46.33%	-0.37	-15.0	13
2006-10-21	Grazer AK	W 1-0	50.7	1624	1557	58.78%	23.93%	17.29%	+0.97	+5.3	21
2006-10-21	@ FC Superfund	L 0-1	50.7	1557	1624	17.29%	23.93%	58.78%	-0.97	-5.3	13
2006-10-21	Mattersburg	D 0-0	63.3	1572	1558	52.79%	25.23%	21.98%	+0.67	-1.9	18
2006-10-21	@ Sturm Graz	D 0-0	63.3	1558	1572	21.98%	25.23%	52.79%	-0.67	+1.9	20
2006-10-21	Ried	D 2-2	73.9	1580	1552	54.52%	24.91%	20.57%	+0.75	-1.4	14
2006-10-21	@ Rapid Wien	D 2-2	73.9	1552	1580	20.57%	24.91%	54.52%	-0.75	+1.4	13
2006-10-21	SCR Altach	L 0-1	60.3	1572	1525	56.50%	24.49%	19.01%	+0.85	-14.1	19
2006-10-21	@ Wacker Tirol	W 1-0	60.3	1525	1572	19.01%	24.49%	56.50%	-0.85	+14.1	16
2006-10-22	Austria Wien	W 4-0	46.6	1708	1629	59.99%	23.60%	16.41%	+1.03	+18.0	28
2006-10-22	@ Salzburg	L 0-4	46.6	1629	1708	16.41%	23.60%	59.99%	-1.03	-18.0	12
2006-10-28	FC Superfund	L 0-2	55.1	1560	1630	42.18%	26.38%	31.44%	+0.20	-20.8	20
2006-10-28	@ Mattersburg	W 2-0	55.1	1630	1560	31.44%	26.38%	42.18%	-0.20	+20.8	24
2006-10-28	Rapid Wien	W 3-1	54.5	1539	1579	46.24%	26.09%	27.67%	+0.37	+13.1	19
2006-10-28	@ SCR Altach	L 1-3	54.5	1579	1539	27.67%	26.09%	46.24%	-0.37	-13.1	14
2006-10-28	Sturm Graz	W 2-1	57.6	1553	1570	49.13%	25.78%	25.09%	+0.50	+7.0	16
2006-10-28	@ Ried	L 1-2	57.6	1570	1553	25.09%	25.78%	49.13%	-0.50	-7.0	18
2006-10-28	Wacker Tirol	W 4-1	49.8	1611	1558	57.23%	24.32%	18.45%	+0.89	+13.0	15
2006-10-28	@ Austria Wien	L 1-4	49.8	1558	1611	18.45%	24.32%	57.23%	-0.89	-13.0	19
2006-10-29	Salzburg	L 0-2	52.4	1551	1726	27.90%	26.11%	45.99%	-0.39	-15.2	13
2006-10-29	@ Grazer AK	W 2-0	52.4	1726	1551	45.99%	26.11%	27.90%	+0.39	+15.2	31
2006-11-04	FC Superfund	W 3-0	46.9	1742	1650	61.14%	23.27%	15.59%	+1.10	+13.1	34
2006-11-04	@ Salzburg	L 0-3	46.9	1650	1742	15.59%	23.27%	61.14%	-1.10	-13.1	24
2006-11-04	Grazer AK	D 1-1	66.3	1545	1536	52.20%	25.33%	22.47%	+0.64	-1.7	20
2006-11-04	@ Wacker Tirol	D 1-1	66.3	1536	1545	22.47%	25.33%	52.20%	-0.64	+1.7	14
2006-11-04	Mattersburg	W 6-2	49.1	1560	1539	53.63%	25.08%	21.29%	+0.71	+16.2	19
2006-11-04	@ Ried	L 2-6	49.1	1539	1560	21.29%	25.08%	53.63%	-0.71	-16.2	20
2006-11-04	SCR Altach	W 2-0	46.8	1563	1552	52.40%	25.30%	22.30%	+0.65	+12.6	21
2006-11-04	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	46.8	1552	1563	22.30%	25.30%	52.40%	-0.65	-12.6	19
2006-11-05	Austria Wien	D 1-1	69.2	1566	1624	43.75%	26.29%	29.96%	+0.26	-0.7	15
2006-11-05	@ Rapid Wien	D 1-1	69.2	1624	1566	29.96%	26.29%	43.75%	-0.26	+0.7	16
2006-11-07	Salzburg	W 2-1	69.3	1523	1755	21.81%	25.20%	53.00%	-0.71	+12.6	23
2006-11-07	@ Mattersburg	L 1-2	69.3	1755	1523	53.00%	25.20%	21.81%	+0.71	-12.6	34
2006-11-08	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	66.8	1538	1565	47.80%	25.93%	26.27%	+0.44	-1.2	15
2006-11-08	@ Grazer AK	D 1-1	66.8	1565	1538	26.27%	25.93%	47.80%	-0.44	+1.2	16
2006-11-08	Ried	D 0-0	62.6	1540	1576	46.63%	26.05%	27.32%	+0.39	-1.2	20
2006-11-08	@ SCR Altach	D 0-0	62.6	1576	1540	27.32%	26.05%	46.63%	-0.39	+1.2	20
2006-11-08	Sturm Graz	D 1-1	70.0	1624	1575	56.80%	24.42%	18.78%	+0.86	-2.2	17
2006-11-08	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	70.0	1575	1624	18.78%	24.42%	56.80%	-0.86	+2.2	22
2006-11-08	Wacker Tirol	L 0-2	59.7	1637	1543	61.46%	23.17%	15.37%	+1.12	-28.6	24
2006-11-08	@ FC Superfund	W 2-0	59.7	1543	1637	15.37%	23.17%	61.46%	-1.12	+28.6	23
2006-11-11	FC Superfund	D 1-1	68.9	1566	1609	45.81%	26.13%	28.06%	+0.35	-1.0	17
2006-11-11	@ Rapid Wien	D 1-1	68.9	1609	1566	28.06%	26.13%	45.81%	-0.35	+1.0	25
2006-11-11	Austria Wien	W 1-0	55.2	1577	1622	45.51%	26.15%	28.34%	+0.34	+8.2	23
2006-11-11	@ Ried	L 0-1	55.2	1622	1577	28.34%	26.15%	45.51%	-0.34	-8.2	17
2006-11-11	Grazer AK	L 0-2	56.6	1578	1537	55.91%	24.62%	19.47%	+0.82	-26.3	22
2006-11-11	@ Sturm Graz	W 2-0	56.6	1537	1578	19.47%	24.62%	55.91%	-0.82	+26.3	18
2006-11-11	Mattersburg	L 0-2	54.2	1539	1536	51.56%	25.43%	23.01%	+0.61	-24.6	20
2006-11-11	@ SCR Altach	W 2-0	54.2	1536	1539	23.01%	25.43%	51.56%	-0.61	+24.6	26
2006-11-12	Salzburg	W 2-1	67.8	1572	1742	28.45%	26.16%	45.38%	-0.36	+11.0	26
2006-11-12	@ Wacker Tirol	L 1-2	67.8	1742	1572	45.38%	26.16%	28.45%	+0.36	-11.0	34
2006-11-18	Ried	D 2-2	74.1	1563	1586	48.38%	25.87%	25.75%	+0.46	-0.9	19
2006-11-18	@ Grazer AK	D 2-2	74.1	1586	1563	25.75%	25.87%	48.38%	-0.46	+0.9	24
2006-11-18	SCR Altach	W 2-0	44.3	1614	1514	62.01%	23.00%	14.99%	+1.15	+8.7	20
2006-11-18	@ Austria Wien	L 0-2	44.3	1514	1614	14.99%	23.00%	62.01%	-1.15	-8.7	20
2006-11-18	Sturm Graz	W 1-0	50.5	1610	1551	57.80%	24.18%	18.01%	+0.92	+5.5	28
2006-11-18	@ FC Superfund	L 0-1	50.5	1551	1610	18.01%	24.18%	57.80%	-0.92	-5.5	22
2006-11-18	Wacker Tirol	D 1-1	68.1	1560	1583	48.40%	25.86%	25.73%	+0.46	-1.2	27
2006-11-18	@ Mattersburg	D 1-1	68.1	1583	1560	25.73%	25.86%	48.40%	-0.46	+1.2	27
2006-11-19	Rapid Wien	W 4-0	43.7	1731	1565	67.98%	20.81%	11.21%	+1.52	+12.2	37
2006-11-19	@ Salzburg	L 0-4	43.7	1565	1731	11.21%	20.81%	67.98%	-1.52	-12.2	17
2006-11-25	FC Superfund	W 3-2	66.5	1505	1615	36.53%	26.51%	36.96%	-0.02	+8.9	23
2006-11-25	@ SCR Altach	L 2-3	66.5	1615	1505	36.96%	26.51%	36.53%	+0.02	-8.9	28
2006-11-25	Grazer AK	D 2-2	75.5	1623	1562	58.06%	24.12%	17.82%	+0.93	-1.7	21
2006-11-25	@ Austria Wien	D 2-2	75.5	1562	1623	17.82%	24.12%	58.06%	-0.93	+1.7	20
2006-11-25	Rapid Wien	W 1-0	50.9	1559	1553	51.88%	25.38%	22.73%	+0.62	+6.8	30
2006-11-25	@ Mattersburg	L 0-1	50.9	1553	1559	22.73%	25.38%	51.88%	-0.62	-6.8	17
2006-11-25	Wacker Tirol	W 2-0	49.0	1546	1584	46.39%	26.08%	27.54%	+0.38	+15.0	25
2006-11-25	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	49.0	1584	1546	27.54%	26.08%	46.39%	-0.38	-15.0	27
2006-11-26	Salzburg	L 0-1	57.9	1586	1743	30.16%	26.30%	43.54%	-0.29	-8.6	24
2006-11-26	@ Ried	W 1-0	57.9	1743	1586	43.54%	26.30%	30.16%	+0.29	+8.6	40
2006-12-02	Mattersburg	D 3-3	77.5	1564	1566	50.94%	25.53%	23.53%	+0.58	-1.0	21
2006-12-02	@ Grazer AK	D 3-3	77.5	1566	1564	23.53%	25.53%	50.94%	-0.58	+0.9	31
2006-12-02	Ried	D 0-0	63.7	1569	1578	50.07%	25.65%	24.28%	+0.54	-1.6	28
2006-12-02	@ Wacker Tirol	D 0-0	63.7	1578	1569	24.28%	25.65%	50.07%	-0.54	+1.6	25
2006-12-02	SCR Altach	D 1-1	73.1	1752	1514	73.63%	18.19%	8.18%	+1.92	-3.9	41
2006-12-02	@ Salzburg	D 1-1	73.1	1514	1752	8.18%	18.19%	73.63%	-1.92	+3.9	24
2006-12-02	Sturm Graz	W 3-0	45.2	1546	1561	49.40%	25.74%	24.86%	+0.51	+20.1	20
2006-12-02	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-3	45.2	1561	1546	24.86%	25.74%	49.40%	-0.51	-20.1	25
2006-12-03	Austria Wien	W 2-1	60.2	1606	1621	49.36%	25.75%	24.90%	+0.51	+6.9	31
2006-12-03	@ FC Superfund	L 1-2	60.2	1621	1606	24.90%	25.75%	49.36%	-0.51	-6.9	21
2006-12-09	FC Superfund	W 2-1	60.4	1563	1613	44.77%	26.21%	29.01%	+0.31	+7.8	24
2006-12-09	@ Grazer AK	L 1-2	60.4	1613	1563	29.01%	26.21%	44.77%	-0.31	-7.8	31
2006-12-09	Rapid Wien	L 1-2	66.5	1579	1566	52.75%	25.24%	22.01%	+0.66	-12.5	25
2006-12-09	@ Ried	W 2-1	66.5	1566	1579	22.01%	25.24%	52.75%	-0.66	+12.5	23
2006-12-09	Salzburg	L 0-2	55.1	1614	1748	33.18%	26.45%	40.37%	-0.16	-17.4	21
2006-12-09	@ Austria Wien	W 2-0	55.1	1748	1614	40.37%	26.45%	33.18%	+0.16	+17.4	44
2006-12-09	Sturm Graz	W 1-0	50.0	1567	1541	54.23%	24.97%	20.80%	+0.73	+6.3	34
2006-12-09	@ Mattersburg	L 0-1	50.0	1541	1567	20.80%	24.97%	54.23%	-0.73	-6.3	25
2006-12-10	Wacker Tirol	W 2-0	48.0	1518	1567	44.98%	26.20%	28.83%	+0.32	+15.6	27
2006-12-10	@ SCR Altach	L 0-2	48.0	1567	1518	28.83%	26.20%	44.98%	-0.32	-15.6	28
2007-02-24	Grazer AK	W 2-1	55.5	1765	1571	70.35%	19.77%	9.88%	+1.68	+2.8	47
2007-02-24	@ Salzburg	L 1-2	55.5	1571	1765	9.88%	19.77%	70.35%	-1.68	-2.8	24
2007-02-24	Mattersburg	W 2-0	47.8	1605	1573	54.96%	24.82%	20.22%	+0.77	+11.5	34
2007-02-24	@ FC Superfund	L 0-2	47.8	1573	1605	20.22%	24.82%	54.96%	-0.77	-11.6	34
2007-02-24	Ried	D 1-1	66.8	1534	1567	47.11%	26.01%	26.89%	+0.41	-1.1	26
2007-02-24	@ Sturm Graz	D 1-1	66.8	1567	1534	26.89%	26.01%	47.11%	-0.41	+1.1	26
2007-02-24	SCR Altach	W 2-1	55.2	1579	1534	56.34%	24.53%	19.13%	+0.84	+5.5	26
2007-02-24	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-2	55.2	1534	1579	19.13%	24.53%	56.34%	-0.84	-5.5	27
2007-02-25	Austria Wien	D 2-2	74.0	1552	1597	45.47%	26.16%	28.37%	+0.34	-0.7	29
2007-02-25	@ Wacker Tirol	D 2-2	74.0	1597	1552	28.37%	26.16%	45.47%	-0.34	+0.7	22
2007-03-03	Ried	L 1-2	65.4	1561	1568	50.36%	25.61%	24.03%	+0.55	-12.0	34
2007-03-03	@ Mattersburg	W 2-1	65.4	1568	1561	24.03%	25.61%	50.36%	-0.55	+12.0	29
2007-03-03	Salzburg	L 0-1	58.6	1617	1768	30.87%	26.34%	42.78%	-0.26	-8.7	34
2007-03-03	@ FC Superfund	W 1-0	58.6	1768	1617	42.78%	26.34%	30.87%	+0.26	+8.7	50
2007-03-03	Sturm Graz	L 1-3	59.4	1528	1533	50.59%	25.58%	23.83%	+0.56	-20.9	27
2007-03-03	@ SCR Altach	W 3-1	59.4	1533	1528	23.83%	25.58%	50.59%	-0.56	+20.9	29
2007-03-03	Wacker Tirol	W 3-2	61.4	1568	1551	53.17%	25.16%	21.66%	+0.68	+5.8	27
2007-03-03	@ Grazer AK	L 2-3	61.4	1551	1568	21.66%	25.16%	53.17%	-0.68	-5.8	29
2007-03-04	Rapid Wien	W 2-1	58.2	1597	1584	52.75%	25.24%	22.01%	+0.66	+6.2	25
2007-03-04	@ Austria Wien	L 1-2	58.2	1584	1597	22.01%	25.24%	52.75%	-0.66	-6.2	26
2007-03-10	FC Superfund	D 0-0	63.6	1545	1608	43.08%	26.33%	30.60%	+0.24	-0.7	30
2007-03-10	@ Wacker Tirol	D 0-0	63.6	1608	1545	30.60%	26.33%	43.08%	-0.24	+0.7	35
2007-03-10	Austria Wien	L 0-1	59.1	1554	1604	44.89%	26.20%	28.90%	+0.31	-11.6	29
2007-03-10	@ Sturm Graz	W 1-0	59.1	1604	1554	28.90%	26.20%	44.89%	-0.31	+11.6	28
2007-03-10	Mattersburg	D 1-1	73.8	1777	1549	72.89%	18.56%	8.55%	+1.86	-3.8	51
2007-03-10	@ Salzburg	D 1-1	73.8	1549	1777	8.55%	18.56%	72.89%	-1.86	+3.8	35
2007-03-10	SCR Altach	W 2-0	43.8	1580	1507	59.28%	23.80%	16.92%	+1.00	+9.8	32
2007-03-10	@ Ried	L 0-2	43.8	1507	1580	16.92%	23.80%	59.28%	-1.00	-9.8	27
2007-03-11	Grazer AK	W 1-0	52.1	1578	1574	51.71%	25.41%	22.88%	+0.61	+6.8	29
2007-03-11	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-1	52.1	1574	1578	22.88%	25.41%	51.71%	-0.61	-6.8	27
2007-03-17	Rapid Wien	L 0-1	62.4	1609	1585	54.00%	25.01%	20.99%	+0.72	-13.6	35
2007-03-17	@ FC Superfund	W 1-0	62.4	1585	1609	20.99%	25.01%	54.00%	-0.72	+13.6	32
2007-03-17	Ried	W 2-1	58.3	1615	1590	54.16%	24.98%	20.86%	+0.73	+5.9	31
2007-03-17	@ Austria Wien	L 1-2	58.3	1590	1615	20.86%	24.98%	54.16%	-0.73	-5.9	32
2007-03-17	SCR Altach	W 2-1	52.7	1553	1498	57.48%	24.26%	18.26%	+0.90	+5.3	38
2007-03-17	@ Mattersburg	L 1-2	52.7	1498	1553	18.26%	24.26%	57.48%	-0.90	-5.3	27
2007-03-17	Wacker Tirol	W 3-0	42.6	1773	1544	72.97%	18.52%	8.51%	+1.87	+6.8	54
2007-03-17	@ Salzburg	L 0-3	42.6	1544	1773	8.51%	18.52%	72.97%	-1.87	-6.8	30
2007-03-18	Sturm Graz	L 0-2	56.0	1567	1543	54.02%	25.01%	20.97%	+0.72	-25.6	27
2007-03-18	@ Grazer AK	W 2-0	56.0	1543	1567	20.97%	25.01%	54.02%	-0.72	+25.6	32
2007-03-31	FC Superfund	W 2-1	59.2	1568	1595	47.80%	25.93%	26.27%	+0.44	+7.2	35
2007-03-31	@ Sturm Graz	L 1-2	59.2	1595	1568	26.27%	25.93%	47.80%	-0.44	-7.2	35
2007-03-31	Grazer AK	W 3-1	51.8	1584	1541	56.10%	24.58%	19.32%	+0.83	+9.6	35
2007-03-31	@ Ried	L 1-3	51.8	1541	1584	19.32%	24.58%	56.10%	-0.83	-9.6	27
2007-03-31	Mattersburg	L 1-3	60.0	1538	1558	48.60%	25.84%	25.56%	+0.47	-20.2	30
2007-03-31	@ Wacker Tirol	W 3-1	60.0	1558	1538	25.56%	25.84%	48.60%	-0.47	+20.2	41
2007-03-31	Salzburg	D 2-2	77.8	1598	1780	27.17%	26.04%	46.80%	-0.42	+0.8	33
2007-03-31	@ Rapid Wien	D 2-2	77.8	1780	1598	46.80%	26.04%	27.17%	+0.42	-0.8	55
2007-04-01	Austria Wien	L 0-1	54.6	1492	1621	33.84%	26.47%	39.69%	-0.13	-9.4	27
2007-04-01	@ SCR Altach	W 1-0	54.6	1621	1492	39.69%	26.47%	33.84%	+0.13	+9.3	34
2007-04-07	Mattersburg	D 1-1	70.2	1631	1579	57.11%	24.35%	18.54%	+0.88	-2.2	35
2007-04-07	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	70.2	1579	1631	18.54%	24.35%	57.11%	-0.88	+2.2	42
2007-04-07	Rapid Wien	L 2-3	67.4	1517	1599	40.47%	26.45%	33.08%	+0.13	-9.6	30
2007-04-07	@ Wacker Tirol	W 3-2	67.4	1599	1517	33.08%	26.45%	40.47%	-0.13	+9.6	36
2007-04-07	Ried	W 3-1	55.0	1588	1594	50.52%	25.59%	23.89%	+0.56	+11.6	38
2007-04-07	@ FC Superfund	L 1-3	55.0	1594	1588	23.89%	25.59%	50.52%	-0.56	-11.6	35
2007-04-07	SCR Altach	W 4-1	44.9	1532	1483	56.74%	24.44%	18.83%	+0.86	+13.3	30
2007-04-07	@ Grazer AK	L 1-4	44.9	1483	1532	18.83%	24.44%	56.74%	-0.86	-13.3	27
2007-04-08	Sturm Graz	W 3-1	51.6	1779	1575	71.06%	19.44%	9.50%	+1.73	+4.6	58
2007-04-08	@ Salzburg	L 1-3	51.6	1575	1779	9.50%	19.44%	71.06%	-1.73	-4.6	35
2007-04-14	Austria Wien	W 3-1	57.3	1581	1628	45.15%	26.18%	28.66%	+0.32	+13.4	45
2007-04-14	@ Mattersburg	L 1-3	57.3	1628	1581	28.66%	26.18%	45.15%	-0.32	-13.4	35
2007-04-14	Grazer AK	W 3-1	52.4	1470	1545	41.43%	26.41%	32.16%	+0.17	+14.7	30
2007-04-14	@ SCR Altach	L 1-3	52.4	1545	1470	32.16%	26.41%	41.43%	-0.17	-14.7	30
2007-04-14	Salzburg	L 0-2	51.9	1571	1784	23.69%	25.56%	50.76%	-0.60	-13.3	35
2007-04-14	@ Sturm Graz	W 2-0	51.9	1784	1571	50.76%	25.56%	23.69%	+0.60	+13.3	61
2007-04-14	Wacker Tirol	W 2-1	53.5	1609	1508	62.12%	22.96%	14.92%	+1.15	+4.3	39
2007-04-14	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-2	53.5	1508	1609	14.92%	22.96%	62.12%	-1.15	-4.3	30
2007-04-15	FC Superfund	W 2-1	59.3	1582	1600	49.00%	25.79%	25.21%	+0.49	+7.0	38
2007-04-15	@ Ried	L 1-2	59.3	1600	1582	25.21%	25.79%	49.00%	-0.49	-7.0	38
2007-04-17	Mattersburg	D 2-2	75.7	1613	1594	53.41%	25.12%	21.47%	+0.69	-1.3	40
2007-04-17	@ Rapid Wien	D 2-2	75.7	1594	1613	21.47%	25.12%	53.41%	-0.69	+1.3	46
2007-04-18	Austria Wien	W 2-1	61.0	1530	1615	40.07%	26.46%	33.47%	+0.12	+8.8	33
2007-04-18	@ Grazer AK	L 1-2	61.0	1615	1530	33.47%	26.46%	40.07%	-0.12	-8.7	35
2007-04-18	Ried	W 2-0	46.0	1797	1589	71.40%	19.28%	9.32%	+1.75	+5.2	64
2007-04-18	@ Salzburg	L 0-2	46.0	1589	1797	9.32%	19.28%	71.40%	-1.75	-5.2	38
2007-04-18	SCR Altach	D 1-1	66.9	1593	1484	62.80%	22.74%	14.45%	+1.19	-2.8	39
2007-04-18	@ FC Superfund	D 1-1	66.9	1484	1593	14.45%	22.74%	62.80%	-1.19	+2.8	31
2007-04-18	Sturm Graz	L 0-2	51.8	1503	1557	44.29%	26.25%	29.47%	+0.29	-21.7	30
2007-04-18	@ Wacker Tirol	W 2-0	51.8	1557	1503	29.47%	26.25%	44.29%	-0.29	+21.6	38
2007-04-21	FC Superfund	W 2-0	48.8	1606	1590	53.12%	25.17%	21.71%	+0.68	+12.3	38
2007-04-21	@ Austria Wien	L 0-2	48.8	1590	1606	21.71%	25.17%	53.12%	-0.68	-12.3	39
2007-04-21	Grazer AK	W 5-1	47.4	1596	1539	57.61%	24.23%	18.16%	+0.91	+16.5	49
2007-04-21	@ Mattersburg	L 1-5	47.4	1539	1596	18.16%	24.23%	57.61%	-0.91	-16.6	33
2007-04-21	Salzburg	L 0-2	47.8	1487	1802	15.09%	23.05%	61.86%	-1.17	-8.8	31
2007-04-21	@ SCR Altach	W 2-0	47.8	1802	1487	61.86%	23.05%	15.09%	+1.17	+8.8	67
2007-04-21	Wacker Tirol	W 2-1	51.8	1584	1482	62.21%	22.94%	14.86%	+1.16	+4.3	41
2007-04-21	@ Ried	L 1-2	51.8	1482	1584	14.86%	22.94%	62.21%	-1.16	-4.3	30
2007-04-22	Rapid Wien	W 1-0	54.5	1579	1612	47.10%	26.01%	26.89%	+0.41	+7.8	41
2007-04-22	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-1	54.5	1612	1579	26.89%	26.01%	47.10%	-0.41	-7.8	40
2007-04-28	Austria Wien	D 2-2	80.0	1811	1619	70.16%	19.86%	9.98%	+1.67	-2.7	68
2007-04-28	@ Salzburg	D 2-2	80.0	1619	1811	9.98%	19.86%	70.16%	-1.67	+2.7	39
2007-04-28	Grazer AK	W 3-0	42.6	1578	1522	57.45%	24.27%	18.28%	+0.90	+15.3	42
2007-04-28	@ FC Superfund	L 0-3	42.6	1522	1578	18.28%	24.27%	57.45%	-0.90	-15.3	33
2007-04-28	Mattersburg	W 3-1	56.2	1587	1612	48.05%	25.90%	26.04%	+0.45	+12.4	44
2007-04-28	@ Sturm Graz	L 1-3	56.2	1612	1587	26.04%	25.90%	48.05%	-0.45	-12.4	49
2007-04-28	SCR Altach	D 1-1	61.7	1477	1479	51.04%	25.51%	23.45%	+0.58	-1.5	31
2007-04-28	@ Wacker Tirol	D 1-1	61.7	1479	1477	23.45%	25.51%	51.04%	-0.58	+1.5	32
2007-04-29	Ried	W 5-2	54.3	1604	1588	53.07%	25.18%	21.75%	+0.68	+13.1	43
2007-04-29	@ Rapid Wien	L 2-5	54.3	1588	1604	21.75%	25.18%	53.07%	-0.68	-13.1	41
2007-05-05	Rapid Wien	W 2-1	61.7	1480	1617	32.75%	26.43%	40.82%	-0.18	+10.2	35
2007-05-05	@ SCR Altach	L 1-2	61.7	1617	1480	40.82%	26.43%	32.75%	+0.18	-10.2	43
2007-05-05	Salzburg	D 0-0	67.6	1507	1808	16.03%	23.45%	60.51%	-1.09	+2.9	34
2007-05-05	@ Grazer AK	D 0-0	67.6	1808	1507	60.51%	23.45%	16.03%	+1.09	-2.9	69
2007-05-05	Sturm Graz	W 2-1	59.4	1575	1599	48.16%	25.89%	25.95%	+0.45	+7.2	44
2007-05-05	@ Ried	L 1-2	59.4	1599	1575	25.95%	25.89%	48.16%	-0.45	-7.2	44
2007-05-05	Wacker Tirol	W 4-1	45.0	1621	1476	66.20%	21.52%	12.27%	+1.40	+8.7	42
2007-05-05	@ Austria Wien	L 1-4	45.0	1476	1621	12.27%	21.52%	66.20%	-1.40	-8.7	31
2007-05-06	FC Superfund	L 2-4	67.6	1600	1593	52.00%	25.36%	22.63%	+0.63	-19.2	49
2007-05-06	@ Mattersburg	W 4-2	67.6	1593	1600	22.63%	25.36%	52.00%	-0.63	+19.2	45
2007-05-08	Austria Wien	W 3-0	48.8	1607	1630	48.34%	25.87%	25.79%	+0.46	+20.7	46
2007-05-08	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-3	48.8	1630	1607	25.79%	25.87%	48.34%	-0.46	-20.7	42
2007-05-09	FC Superfund	L 2-3	79.4	1805	1612	70.24%	19.82%	9.94%	+1.67	-15.1	69
2007-05-09	@ Salzburg	W 3-2	79.4	1612	1805	9.94%	19.82%	70.24%	-1.67	+15.1	48
2007-05-09	Grazer AK	W 5-1	45.4	1467	1510	45.79%	26.13%	28.08%	+0.35	+24.1	34
2007-05-09	@ Wacker Tirol	L 1-5	45.4	1510	1467	28.08%	26.13%	45.79%	-0.35	-24.1	34
2007-05-09	Mattersburg	W 1-0	52.5	1582	1581	51.37%	25.46%	23.17%	+0.60	+6.9	47
2007-05-09	@ Ried	L 0-1	52.5	1581	1582	23.17%	25.46%	51.37%	-0.60	-6.9	49
2007-05-09	SCR Altach	W 1-0	46.8	1592	1490	62.20%	22.94%	14.86%	+1.16	+4.6	47
2007-05-09	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-1	46.8	1490	1592	14.86%	22.94%	62.20%	-1.16	-4.6	35
2007-05-12	Ried	L 0-2	50.4	1486	1589	37.44%	26.51%	36.05%	+0.01	-19.0	35
2007-05-12	@ SCR Altach	W 2-0	50.4	1589	1486	36.05%	26.51%	37.44%	-0.01	+19.0	50
2007-05-12	Salzburg	W 2-1	69.9	1574	1790	23.31%	25.49%	51.20%	-0.62	+12.2	52
2007-05-12	@ Mattersburg	L 1-2	69.9	1790	1574	51.20%	25.49%	23.31%	+0.62	-12.2	69
2007-05-12	Sturm Graz	L 0-1	62.3	1609	1597	52.65%	25.26%	22.09%	+0.66	-13.3	42
2007-05-12	@ Austria Wien	W 1-0	62.3	1597	1609	22.09%	25.26%	52.65%	-0.66	+13.3	50
2007-05-12	Wacker Tirol	W 3-1	48.8	1627	1491	65.36%	21.85%	12.80%	+1.35	+6.4	51
2007-05-12	@ FC Superfund	L 1-3	48.8	1491	1627	12.80%	21.85%	65.36%	-1.35	-6.4	34
2007-05-13	Rapid Wien	L 0-2	50.0	1486	1628	32.10%	26.41%	41.49%	-0.20	-17.0	34
2007-05-13	@ Grazer AK	W 2-0	50.0	1628	1486	41.49%	26.41%	32.10%	+0.20	+17.0	49
2007-05-17	FC Superfund	W 2-0	50.5	1645	1634	52.49%	25.28%	22.23%	+0.65	+12.6	52
2007-05-17	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-2	50.5	1634	1645	22.23%	25.28%	52.49%	-0.65	-12.6	51
2007-05-17	Austria Wien	W 1-0	53.1	1608	1596	52.62%	25.26%	22.12%	+0.66	+6.6	53
2007-05-17	@ Ried	L 0-1	53.1	1596	1608	22.12%	25.26%	52.62%	-0.66	-6.6	42
2007-05-17	Grazer AK	W 1-0	45.6	1610	1469	65.84%	21.66%	12.50%	+1.38	+3.8	53
2007-05-17	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-1	45.6	1469	1610	12.50%	21.66%	65.84%	-1.38	-3.8	34
2007-05-17	Mattersburg	W 3-2	64.6	1467	1586	35.18%	26.50%	38.32%	-0.08	+9.2	38
2007-05-17	@ SCR Altach	L 2-3	64.6	1586	1467	38.32%	26.50%	35.18%	+0.08	-9.2	52
2007-05-17	Salzburg	L 0-2	48.1	1485	1778	16.62%	23.69%	59.69%	-1.05	-9.6	34
2007-05-17	@ Wacker Tirol	W 2-0	48.1	1778	1485	59.69%	23.69%	16.62%	+1.05	+9.6	72
2007-05-20	Rapid Wien	W 3-1	54.1	1788	1657	64.88%	22.02%	13.10%	+1.32	+6.6	75
2007-05-20	@ Salzburg	L 1-3	54.1	1657	1788	13.10%	22.02%	64.88%	-1.32	-6.6	52
2007-05-20	Ried	L 2-3	63.3	1465	1615	31.07%	26.36%	42.57%	-0.25	-7.8	34
2007-05-20	@ Grazer AK	W 3-2	63.3	1615	1465	42.57%	26.36%	31.07%	+0.25	+7.8	56
2007-05-20	SCR Altach	W 3-0	39.6	1589	1476	63.30%	22.58%	14.12%	+1.22	+11.9	45
2007-05-20	@ Austria Wien	L 0-3	39.6	1476	1589	14.12%	22.58%	63.30%	-1.22	-11.9	38
2007-05-20	Sturm Graz	D 1-1	70.4	1621	1614	52.03%	25.36%	22.61%	+0.63	-1.6	52
2007-05-20	@ FC Superfund	D 1-1	70.4	1614	1621	22.61%	25.36%	52.03%	-0.63	+1.6	54
2007-05-20	Wacker Tirol	W 6-1	42.9	1577	1475	62.15%	22.96%	14.90%	+1.16	+16.7	55
2007-05-20	@ Mattersburg	L 1-6	42.9	1475	1577	14.90%	22.96%	62.15%	-1.16	-16.7	34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2007-05-09	9.94%	FC Superfund	1612	3	@ Salzburg	1805	2
2	2006-11-08	15.37%	Wacker Tirol	1543	2	@ FC Superfund	1637	0
3	2006-08-05	17.68%	Mattersburg	1560	2	@ FC Superfund	1623	1
4	2006-07-29	18.30%	Sturm Graz	1538	4	@ Mattersburg	1593	1
5	2006-08-20	18.78%	Grazer AK	1570	4	@ Rapid Wien	1619	1
6	2006-10-14	18.98%	Ried	1538	2	@ Wacker Tirol	1585	1
7	2006-10-21	19.01%	SCR Altach	1525	1	@ Wacker Tirol	1572	0
8	2006-11-11	19.47%	Grazer AK	1537	2	@ Sturm Graz	1578	0
9	2006-08-19	19.79%	SCR Altach	1506	2	@ Ried	1543	1
10	2006-07-22	20.26%	Mattersburg	1567	2	@ Grazer AK	1599	0
11	2007-03-18	20.97%	Sturm Graz	1543	2	@ Grazer AK	1567	0
12	2007-03-17	20.99%	Rapid Wien	1585	1	@ FC Superfund	1609	0
13	2006-11-07	21.81%	@ Mattersburg	1523	2	Salzburg	1755	1
14	2006-12-09	22.01%	Rapid Wien	1566	2	@ Ried	1579	1
15	2007-05-12	22.09%	Sturm Graz	1597	1	@ Austria Wien	1609	0
16	2006-07-19	22.41%	Wacker Tirol	1554	3	@ Sturm Graz	1563	2
17	2007-05-06	22.63%	FC Superfund	1593	4	@ Mattersburg	1600	2
18	2006-11-11	23.01%	Mattersburg	1536	2	@ SCR Altach	1539	0
19	2007-05-12	23.31%	@ Mattersburg	1574	2	Salzburg	1790	1
20	2007-03-03	23.83%	Sturm Graz	1533	3	@ SCR Altach	1528	1
21	2007-03-03	24.03%	Ried	1568	2	@ Mattersburg	1561	1
22	2006-07-26	24.90%	Wacker Tirol	1566	1	@ Ried	1551	0
23	2007-03-31	25.56%	Mattersburg	1558	3	@ Wacker Tirol	1538	1
24	2006-10-01	26.25%	Austria Wien	1610	3	@ Grazer AK	1583	1
25	2006-07-19	27.20%	Salzburg	1619	3	@ Ried	1584	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-07-29	33.02	Sturm Graz	4	1538	18.30%	@ Mattersburg	1	1593	57.42%	24.28%
2	2006-07-19	32.87	Salzburg	3	1619	27.20%	@ Ried	0	1584	46.76%	26.04%
3	2006-08-20	32.71	Grazer AK	4	1570	18.78%	@ Rapid Wien	1	1619	56.80%	24.42%
4	2006-11-08	28.59	Wacker Tirol	2	1543	15.37%	@ FC Superfund	0	1637	61.46%	23.17%
5	2006-11-11	26.34	Grazer AK	2	1537	19.47%	@ Sturm Graz	0	1578	55.91%	24.62%
6	2006-07-22	25.94	Mattersburg	2	1567	20.26%	@ Grazer AK	0	1599	54.91%	24.83%
7	2007-03-18	25.57	Sturm Graz	2	1543	20.97%	@ Grazer AK	0	1567	54.02%	25.01%
8	2006-11-11	24.57	Mattersburg	2	1536	23.01%	@ SCR Altach	0	1539	51.56%	25.43%
9	2007-05-09	24.13	@ Wacker Tirol	5	1467	45.79%	Grazer AK	1	1510	28.08%	26.13%
10	2006-08-12	22.02	@ SCR Altach	4	1484	38.80%	Sturm Graz	1	1578	34.71%	26.49%
11	2007-04-18	21.65	Sturm Graz	2	1557	29.47%	@ Wacker Tirol	0	1503	44.29%	26.25%
12	2006-09-23	21.36	@ SCR Altach	4	1521	40.22%	Grazer AK	1	1605	33.33%	26.45%
13	2007-03-03	20.93	Sturm Graz	3	1533	23.83%	@ SCR Altach	1	1528	50.59%	25.58%
14	2006-10-28	20.83	FC Superfund	2	1630	31.44%	@ Mattersburg	0	1560	42.18%	26.38%
15	2007-05-08	20.69	@ Rapid Wien	3	1607	48.34%	Austria Wien	0	1630	25.79%	25.87%
16	2007-03-31	20.24	Mattersburg	3	1558	25.56%	@ Wacker Tirol	1	1538	48.60%	25.84%
17	2006-12-02	20.07	@ Rapid Wien	3	1546	49.40%	Sturm Graz	0	1561	24.86%	25.74%
18	2006-10-01	19.96	Austria Wien	3	1610	26.25%	@ Grazer AK	1	1583	47.81%	25.93%
19	2007-05-06	19.17	FC Superfund	4	1593	22.63%	@ Mattersburg	2	1600	52.00%	25.36%
20	2007-05-12	19.02	Ried	2	1589	36.05%	@ SCR Altach	0	1486	37.44%	26.51%
21	2006-10-22	18.03	@ Salzburg	4	1708	59.99%	Austria Wien	0	1629	16.41%	23.60%
22	2006-12-09	17.38	Salzburg	2	1748	40.37%	@ Austria Wien	0	1614	33.18%	26.45%
23	2006-07-22	17.25	Salzburg	2	1652	40.70%	@ SCR Altach	0	1516	32.86%	26.44%
24	2007-05-13	16.95	Rapid Wien	2	1628	41.49%	@ Grazer AK	0	1486	32.10%	26.41%
25	2007-05-20	16.73	@ Mattersburg	6	1577	62.15%	Wacker Tirol	1	1475	14.90%	22.96%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-04-28	80.0	@ Salzburg	2	1811	70.16%	Austria Wien	2	1619	9.98%	19.86%
2	2007-05-09	79.4	FC Superfund	3	1612	9.94%	@ Salzburg	2	1805	70.24%	19.82%
3	2007-03-31	77.8	@ Rapid Wien	2	1598	27.17%	Salzburg	2	1780	46.80%	26.04%
4	2006-12-02	77.5	@ Grazer AK	3	1564	50.94%	Mattersburg	3	1566	23.53%	25.53%
5	2007-04-17	75.7	@ Rapid Wien	2	1613	53.41%	Mattersburg	2	1594	21.47%	25.12%
6	2006-11-25	75.5	@ Austria Wien	2	1623	58.06%	Grazer AK	2	1562	17.82%	24.12%
7	2006-09-16	74.2	@ Wacker Tirol	2	1571	50.05%	Rapid Wien	2	1581	24.29%	25.66%
8	2006-11-18	74.1	@ Grazer AK	2	1563	48.38%	Ried	2	1586	25.75%	25.87%
9	2007-02-25	74.0	@ Wacker Tirol	2	1552	45.47%	Austria Wien	2	1597	28.37%	26.16%
10	2006-10-21	73.9	@ Rapid Wien	2	1580	54.52%	Ried	2	1552	20.57%	24.91%
11	2007-03-10	73.8	@ Salzburg	1	1777	72.89%	Mattersburg	1	1549	8.55%	18.56%
12	2006-12-02	73.1	@ Salzburg	1	1752	73.63%	SCR Altach	1	1514	8.18%	18.19%
13	2006-10-01	71.8	@ Salzburg	1	1702	68.11%	Ried	1	1535	11.14%	20.75%
14	2006-07-29	71.3	@ Austria Wien	1	1633	46.69%	Salzburg	1	1669	27.26%	26.05%
15	2006-08-12	71.0	@ FC Superfund	1	1609	41.86%	Salzburg	1	1681	31.74%	26.39%
16	2006-09-10	70.9	@ Rapid Wien	1	1580	34.30%	Salzburg	1	1706	39.22%	26.48%
17	2006-10-14	70.7	@ Austria Wien	1	1630	52.10%	FC Superfund	1	1623	22.55%	25.35%
18	2006-07-19	70.6	Wacker Tirol	3	1554	22.41%	@ Sturm Graz	2	1563	52.27%	25.32%
19	2007-05-20	70.4	@ FC Superfund	1	1621	52.03%	Sturm Graz	1	1614	22.61%	25.36%
20	2007-04-07	70.2	@ Austria Wien	1	1631	57.11%	Mattersburg	1	1579	18.54%	24.35%
21	2006-11-08	70.0	@ Austria Wien	1	1624	56.80%	Sturm Graz	1	1575	18.78%	24.42%
22	2006-08-05	69.9	@ Wacker Tirol	1	1589	45.73%	Austria Wien	1	1632	28.13%	26.14%
23	2007-05-12	69.9	@ Mattersburg	2	1574	23.31%	Salzburg	1	1790	51.20%	25.49%
24	2006-11-07	69.3	@ Mattersburg	2	1523	21.81%	Salzburg	1	1755	53.00%	25.20%
25	2006-11-05	69.2	@ Rapid Wien	1	1566	43.75%	Austria Wien	1	1624	29.96%	26.29%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-05-20	39.6	@ Austria Wien	3	1589	63.30%	SCR Altach	0	1476	14.12%	22.58%
2	2007-03-17	42.6	@ Salzburg	3	1773	72.97%	Wacker Tirol	0	1544	8.51%	18.52%
3	2007-04-28	42.6	@ FC Superfund	3	1578	57.45%	Grazer AK	0	1522	18.28%	24.27%
4	2006-10-14	42.9	@ Salzburg	3	1699	67.84%	SCR Altach	0	1535	11.29%	20.87%
5	2007-05-20	42.9	@ Mattersburg	6	1577	62.15%	Wacker Tirol	1	1475	14.90%	22.96%
6	2006-11-19	43.7	@ Salzburg	4	1731	67.98%	Rapid Wien	0	1565	11.21%	20.81%
7	2007-03-10	43.8	@ Ried	2	1580	59.28%	SCR Altach	0	1507	16.92%	23.80%
8	2006-11-18	44.3	@ Austria Wien	2	1614	62.01%	SCR Altach	0	1514	14.99%	23.00%
9	2006-08-26	44.9	@ Salzburg	4	1690	62.94%	Wacker Tirol	0	1580	14.36%	22.70%
10	2007-04-07	44.9	@ Grazer AK	4	1532	56.74%	SCR Altach	1	1483	18.83%	24.44%
11	2007-05-05	45.0	@ Austria Wien	4	1621	66.20%	Wacker Tirol	1	1476	12.27%	21.52%
12	2006-12-02	45.2	@ Rapid Wien	3	1546	49.40%	Sturm Graz	0	1561	24.86%	25.74%
13	2007-05-09	45.4	@ Wacker Tirol	5	1467	45.79%	Grazer AK	1	1510	28.08%	26.13%
14	2007-05-17	45.6	@ Sturm Graz	1	1610	65.84%	Grazer AK	0	1469	12.50%	21.66%
15	2007-04-18	46.0	@ Salzburg	2	1797	71.40%	Ried	0	1589	9.32%	19.28%
16	2006-09-17	46.4	@ Salzburg	2	1706	65.68%	Sturm Graz	0	1566	12.59%	21.72%
17	2006-10-22	46.6	@ Salzburg	4	1708	59.99%	Austria Wien	0	1629	16.41%	23.60%
18	2006-11-04	46.8	@ Sturm Graz	2	1563	52.40%	SCR Altach	0	1552	22.30%	25.30%
19	2007-05-09	46.8	@ Sturm Graz	1	1592	62.20%	SCR Altach	0	1490	14.86%	22.94%
20	2006-08-19	46.9	@ Salzburg	2	1682	62.97%	Mattersburg	0	1572	14.34%	22.69%
21	2006-11-04	46.9	@ Salzburg	3	1742	61.14%	FC Superfund	0	1650	15.59%	23.27%
22	2007-04-21	47.4	@ Mattersburg	5	1596	57.61%	Grazer AK	1	1539	18.16%	24.23%
23	2007-02-24	47.8	@ FC Superfund	2	1605	54.96%	Mattersburg	0	1573	20.22%	24.82%
24	2007-04-21	47.8	Salzburg	2	1802	61.86%	@ SCR Altach	0	1487	15.09%	23.05%
25	2006-10-01	47.9	@ Wacker Tirol	2	1572	51.48%	Sturm Graz	0	1570	23.08%	25.45%