Home / Leagues / Austria / Bundesliga / 2005-06

2005-06 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Austria Wien

67 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Salzburg

13.88 points above expected

63 points · 49.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Grazer AK

16.74 points below expected

45 points · 61.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Austria Wien 36 19 10 7 67 51 33 +18 64.71 +2.29
2 Salzburg 36 20 3 13 63 62 42 +20 49.12 +13.88
3 FC Superfund 36 16 10 10 58 43 32 +11 51.16 +6.84
4 Ried 36 13 13 10 52 48 47 +1 48.71 +3.29
5 Rapid Wien 36 13 10 13 49 51 41 +10 57.14 -8.14
6 Grazer AK 36 13 6 17 45 47 48 -1 61.74 -16.74
7 Mattersburg 36 12 8 16 44 40 54 -14 40.73 +3.27
8 Sturm Graz 36 10 12 14 42 44 51 -7 45.32 -3.32
9 Wacker Tirol 36 10 12 14 42 44 55 -11 42.74 -0.74
10 Admira Wacker Modling 36 9 6 21 33 42 69 -27 34.57 -1.57

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Salzburg 63 49.12 +13.88
2 FC Superfund 58 51.16 +6.84
3 Ried 52 48.71 +3.29
4 Mattersburg 44 40.73 +3.27
5 Austria Wien 67 64.71 +2.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grazer AK 45 61.74 -16.74
2 Rapid Wien 49 57.14 -8.14
3 Sturm Graz 42 45.32 -3.32
4 Admira Wacker Modling 33 34.57 -1.57
5 Wacker Tirol 42 42.74 -0.74

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Salzburg 6 Sep 18 – Oct 23 1 in 1,032
2 FC Superfund 5 Mar 18 – Apr 11 1 in 232
3 Mattersburg 3 Aug 6 – Aug 20 1 in 56
4 Admira Wacker Modling 2 Feb 25 – Mar 11 1 in 49
5 Austria Wien 5 Nov 6 – Feb 18 1 in 46

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grazer AK 6 Mar 11 – Apr 2 1 in 1,261
2 Admira Wacker Modling 6 Jul 13 – Aug 14 1 in 75
3 Mattersburg 5 Nov 19 – Feb 18 1 in 28
4 FC Superfund 2 Oct 15 – Oct 22 1 in 15
5 Wacker Tirol 3 Sep 24 – Oct 15 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Superfund 10 Jul 31 – Oct 1 1 in 108
2 Ried 8 Oct 16 – Dec 4 1 in 61
3 Admira Wacker Modling 4 Mar 25 – Apr 8 1 in 31
4 Austria Wien 11 Oct 26 – Mar 15 1 in 28
5 Salzburg 6 Sep 18 – Oct 23 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sturm Graz 10 Oct 23 – Feb 25 1 in 73
2 Rapid Wien 6 Aug 14 – Sep 20 1 in 65
3 Grazer AK 7 Mar 11 – Apr 8 1 in 54
4 Austria Wien 4 Oct 16 – Oct 29 1 in 17
5 Admira Wacker Modling 9 Jul 13 – Sep 10 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Austria Wien 1763 67 +3 10 8.9 +1.1
Salzburg 1702 63 +11 9 8.0 +1.0
FC Superfund 1678 58 +13 8 6.9 +1.1
Ried 1638 52 +1 8 7.1 +0.9
Rapid Wien 1694 49 +20 7 7.2 -0.2
Grazer AK 1659 45 -32 3 7.6 -4.6
Mattersburg 1593 44 +20 11 6.2 +4.8
Wacker Tirol 1584 42 -5 5 5.3 -0.3
Sturm Graz 1600 42 -12 4 6.0 -2.0
Admira Wacker Modling 1530 33 -18 4 5.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AWM AW FS GA MAT RW RIE SAL SG WT
Admira Wacker Modling
0-1-3
2.84
2-0-2
3.70
1-0-3
2.91
0-0-4
4.98
3-1-0
3.16
0-2-2
4.02
1-0-3
3.84
1-1-2
4.37
1-1-2
4.68
Austria Wien
3-1-0
8.33
1-1-2
6.93
2-1-1
5.93
4-0-0
7.77
2-0-2
6.32
2-2-0
7.14
1-1-2
7.43
2-2-0
7.42
2-2-0
7.67
FC Superfund
2-0-2
7.35
2-1-1
4.12
3-1-0
4.26
3-1-0
6.38
2-0-2
4.94
1-2-1
5.83
2-1-1
5.70
1-2-1
6.14
0-2-2
6.37
Grazer AK
3-0-1
8.23
1-1-2
5.05
0-1-3
6.75
2-0-2
7.65
1-1-2
5.72
0-1-3
6.79
2-0-2
6.98
2-1-1
7.08
2-1-1
7.19
Mattersburg
4-0-0
6.01
0-0-4
3.33
0-1-3
4.63
2-0-2
3.44
1-2-1
3.84
2-1-1
4.62
1-0-3
4.77
2-2-0
5.10
0-2-2
5.23
Rapid Wien
0-1-3
7.96
2-0-2
4.69
2-0-2
6.07
2-1-1
5.26
1-2-1
7.22
1-3-0
6.31
1-0-3
6.39
1-2-1
6.69
3-1-0
6.84
Ried
2-2-0
7.01
0-2-2
3.89
1-2-1
5.16
3-1-0
4.23
1-1-2
6.37
0-3-1
4.67
2-0-2
5.47
2-0-2
5.72
2-2-0
5.88
Salzburg
3-0-1
7.19
2-1-1
3.63
1-1-2
5.29
2-0-2
4.06
3-0-1
6.21
3-0-1
4.59
2-0-2
5.52
2-1-1
5.92
2-0-2
6.36
Sturm Graz
2-1-1
6.65
0-2-2
3.66
1-2-1
4.84
1-1-2
3.93
0-2-2
5.89
1-2-1
4.33
2-0-2
5.25
1-1-2
5.08
2-1-1
5.73
Wacker Tirol
2-1-1
6.32
0-2-2
3.42
2-2-0
4.66
1-1-2
3.89
2-2-0
5.75
0-1-3
4.17
0-2-2
5.10
2-0-2
4.62
1-1-2
5.26

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.45 +11.1
Allowed 0.79 -8.5
Differential 0.87 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.22%7.50%7.78%3.89%1.39%0.83%33.61%
17.50%6.11%6.39%4.17%0.56%24.72%
27.78%6.39%6.11%3.61%0.56%0.56%25.00%
33.89%4.17%3.61%0.28%11.94%
41.39%0.56%0.56%0.28%0.56%3.33%
5+0.83%0.56%1.39%
Total33.61%24.72%25.00%11.94%3.33%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.79
CV 0.94 0.94
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%8.33%2.78%30.56%
18.33%8.33%16.67%2.78%2.78%38.89%
25.56%5.56%2.78%8.33%22.22%
32.78%2.78%
42.78%2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total19.44%22.22%25.00%16.67%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.92 -0.75
SD 1.16 1.42 1.93
CV 0.99 0.74
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%8.33%2.78%33.33%
18.33%2.78%2.78%13.89%
211.11%16.67%5.56%33.33%
38.33%5.56%2.78%16.67%
42.78%2.78%
5+
Total44.44%30.56%16.67%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.92 +0.50
SD 1.20 1.05 1.50
CV 0.85 1.15
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%33.33%
111.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%25.00%
213.89%13.89%5.56%2.78%36.11%
32.78%2.78%
4
5+2.78%2.78%
Total41.67%36.11%13.89%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.89 +0.31
SD 1.12 0.95 1.53
CV 0.93 1.07
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%30.56%
18.33%5.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%30.56%
25.56%2.78%2.78%8.33%19.44%
35.56%11.11%16.67%
42.78%2.78%
5+
Total27.78%36.11%19.44%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.33 -0.03
SD 1.17 1.24 1.80
CV 0.89 0.93
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%41.67%
18.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%22.22%
22.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%22.22%
38.33%2.78%11.11%
42.78%2.78%
5+
Total22.22%30.56%27.78%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.50 -0.39
SD 1.17 1.16 1.57
CV 1.05 0.77
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%33.33%
15.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
216.67%2.78%8.33%5.56%33.33%
32.78%8.33%2.78%13.89%
4
5+2.78%2.78%
Total36.11%27.78%22.22%13.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.14 +0.28
SD 1.34 1.07 1.80
CV 0.95 0.94
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%2.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%36.11%
15.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%16.67%
25.56%11.11%13.89%30.56%
35.56%2.78%2.78%11.11%
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+
Total38.89%19.44%25.00%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.31 +0.03
SD 1.24 1.41 1.93
CV 0.93 1.08
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%25.00%
113.89%8.33%5.56%27.78%
28.33%2.78%2.78%13.89%
311.11%2.78%8.33%22.22%
45.56%5.56%
5+2.78%2.78%5.56%
Total47.22%8.33%27.78%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.17 +0.56
SD 1.49 1.25 2.21
CV 0.86 1.07
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%2.78%13.89%2.78%36.11%
12.78%11.11%5.56%8.33%27.78%
25.56%2.78%5.56%5.56%19.44%
32.78%8.33%11.11%
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%19.44%36.11%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.42 -0.19
SD 1.22 1.08 1.53
CV 1.00 0.76
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%11.11%5.56%36.11%
18.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%27.78%
22.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%19.44%
32.78%8.33%11.11%
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+
Total30.56%16.67%36.11%8.33%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.53 -0.31
SD 1.22 1.38 1.69
CV 1.00 0.91
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Austria Wien 1763 67 64.71 +2.29 63.6% 40 52 60 65 70 77 88
Salzburg 1702 63 49.12 +13.88 97.0% 21 37 44 49 54 62 72
Rapid Wien 1694 49 57.14 -8.14 15.1% 35 44 52 57 63 69 81
FC Superfund 1678 58 51.16 +6.84 84.3% 27 39 46 51 56 63 74
Grazer AK 1659 45 61.74 -16.74 1.1% 39 50 57 62 67 74 82
Ried 1638 52 48.71 +3.29 69.6% 27 36 43 49 54 61 77
Sturm Graz 1600 42 45.32 -3.32 36.8% 21 33 40 45 51 58 67
Mattersburg 1593 44 40.73 +3.27 71.0% 21 29 36 40 46 52 64
Wacker Tirol 1584 42 42.74 -0.74 49.1% 20 31 37 43 48 55 71
Admira Wacker Modling 1530 33 34.57 -1.57 45.5% 13 23 30 34 39 47 63

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.89%
Clear Edge
49.44%25.00%25.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge
215 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
084.63600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.39+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
51%
Austria Wien, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Photo Finish
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.94 * Some Luck: 5.94 to 8.9 * Lucky: 8.9 to 11.87 * Wild Swing: 11.87 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.28 * Way Off: 2.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.92 points
Some Luck
07.4219
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.60
Close
01.433
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.00%
Salzburg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.10%
Grazer AK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.17
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Clear Edge
50%79%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.16
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.45
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.49
Overconfident
0.3378781.001.66212
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Austria Wien51.10%26.10%12.00%5.40%3.30%1.20%0.70%0.20%
Salzburg2.70%6.40%10.20%15.80%16.80%15.60%13.80%10.20%6.50%2.00%
FC Superfund2.80%8.30%13.90%20.70%16.60%14.30%10.20%8.10%3.80%1.30%
Ried1.70%5.40%9.60%14.50%16.50%17.30%14.20%10.10%6.90%3.80%
Rapid Wien13.10%21.30%23.20%15.50%11.30%7.20%3.60%2.60%1.80%0.40%
Grazer AK27.80%29.80%21.10%10.10%6.40%3.20%0.80%0.40%0.40%
Mattersburg0.20%0.40%1.70%3.80%6.50%9.00%15.80%18.80%24.20%19.60%
Sturm Graz0.30%1.20%5.90%8.90%12.60%16.20%15.90%19.60%14.60%4.80%
Wacker Tirol0.10%1.00%2.20%4.70%8.90%12.60%18.40%18.40%20.80%12.90%
Admira Wacker Modling0.20%0.10%0.20%0.60%1.10%3.40%6.60%11.60%21.00%55.20%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Austria Wien 100%
Grazer AK 100%
Rapid Wien 99.60% 0.40%
FC Superfund 98.70% 1.30%
Salzburg 98.00% 2.00%
Ried 96.20% 3.80%
Sturm Graz 95.20% 4.80%
Wacker Tirol 87.10% 12.90%
Mattersburg 80.40% 19.60%
Admira Wacker Modling 44.80% 55.20%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-07-12 Salzburg W 3-153.7 1746 1599 65.58% 20.19% 14.24%+1.08 +4.3 3
2005-07-12 @ Grazer AK L 1-353.7 1599 1746 14.24% 20.19% 65.58%-1.08 -4.3 0
2005-07-13 FC Superfund D 0-065.8 1603 1639 43.66% 26.17% 30.17%+0.23 -0.5 1
2005-07-13 @ Mattersburg D 0-065.8 1639 1603 30.17% 26.17% 43.66%-0.23 +0.5 1
2005-07-13 Austria Wien L 1-261.7 1566 1745 24.97% 25.28% 49.75%-0.44 -4.3 0
2005-07-13 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-161.7 1745 1566 49.75% 25.28% 24.97%+0.44 +4.3 3
2005-07-13 Sturm Graz L 2-375.7 1688 1614 57.70% 23.22% 19.08%+0.74 -8.0 0
2005-07-13 @ Rapid Wien W 3-275.7 1614 1688 19.08% 23.22% 57.70%-0.74 +8.0 3
2005-07-13 Wacker Tirol D 0-066.0 1623 1618 49.17% 25.39% 25.44%+0.42 -0.9 1
2005-07-13 @ Ried D 0-066.0 1618 1623 25.44% 25.39% 49.17%-0.42 +0.9 1
2005-07-19 Rapid Wien L 0-355.0 1619 1680 40.02% 26.43% 33.55%+0.11 -18.2 1
2005-07-19 @ Wacker Tirol W 3-055.0 1680 1619 33.55% 26.43% 40.02%-0.11 +18.2 3
2005-07-20 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-157.5 1622 1561 56.01% 23.74% 20.24%+0.68 +3.6 6
2005-07-20 @ Sturm Graz L 1-257.5 1561 1622 20.24% 23.74% 56.01%-0.68 -3.6 0
2005-07-20 Grazer AK W 3-268.4 1749 1750 48.36% 25.54% 26.10%+0.39 +4.3 6
2005-07-20 @ Austria Wien L 2-368.4 1750 1749 26.10% 25.54% 48.36%-0.39 -4.3 3
2005-07-20 Mattersburg W 4-048.7 1595 1603 47.45% 25.69% 26.86%+0.36 +17.5 3
2005-07-20 @ Salzburg L 0-448.7 1603 1595 26.86% 25.69% 47.45%-0.36 -17.5 1
2005-07-20 Ried D 0-066.4 1639 1622 50.65% 25.10% 24.25%+0.47 -1.0 2
2005-07-20 @ FC Superfund D 0-066.4 1622 1639 24.25% 25.10% 50.65%-0.47 +1.0 2
2005-07-23 FC Superfund W 2-050.8 1699 1638 56.02% 23.74% 20.24%+0.68 +7.1 6
2005-07-23 @ Rapid Wien L 0-250.8 1638 1699 20.24% 23.74% 56.02%-0.68 -7.1 2
2005-07-23 Austria Wien L 1-262.4 1585 1754 26.12% 25.54% 48.34%-0.39 -4.5 1
2005-07-23 @ Mattersburg W 2-162.4 1754 1585 48.34% 25.54% 26.12%+0.39 +4.5 9
2005-07-23 Grazer AK L 1-261.3 1558 1746 24.08% 25.05% 50.87%-0.48 -4.2 0
2005-07-23 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-161.3 1746 1558 50.87% 25.05% 24.08%+0.48 +4.2 6
2005-07-23 Wacker Tirol D 0-065.8 1625 1600 51.66% 24.88% 23.46%+0.51 -1.1 7
2005-07-23 @ Sturm Graz D 0-065.8 1600 1625 23.46% 24.88% 51.66%-0.51 +1.1 2
2005-07-24 Salzburg W 3-049.1 1623 1612 49.86% 25.26% 24.88%+0.44 +12.5 5
2005-07-24 @ Ried L 0-349.1 1612 1623 24.88% 25.26% 49.86%-0.44 -12.5 3
2005-07-30 Admira Wacker Modling W 1-051.7 1602 1554 54.52% 24.17% 21.31%+0.62 +4.0 5
2005-07-30 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-151.7 1554 1602 21.31% 24.17% 54.52%-0.62 -4.0 0
2005-07-30 Mattersburg W 1-050.9 1750 1581 67.89% 19.13% 12.98%+1.18 +2.4 9
2005-07-30 @ Grazer AK L 0-150.9 1581 1750 12.98% 19.13% 67.89%-1.18 -2.4 1
2005-07-30 Rapid Wien L 0-255.3 1600 1706 33.78% 26.44% 39.78%-0.10 -11.1 3
2005-07-30 @ Salzburg W 2-055.3 1706 1600 39.78% 26.44% 33.78%+0.10 +11.1 9
2005-07-30 Ried W 2-049.2 1758 1636 63.02% 21.27% 15.71%+0.96 +5.5 12
2005-07-30 @ Austria Wien L 0-249.2 1636 1758 15.71% 21.27% 63.02%-0.96 -5.5 5
2005-07-31 Sturm Graz D 2-276.6 1631 1624 49.36% 25.36% 25.29%+0.43 -0.6 3
2005-07-31 @ FC Superfund D 2-276.6 1624 1631 25.29% 25.36% 49.36%-0.43 +0.6 8
2005-08-06 FC Superfund D 2-276.0 1606 1630 45.12% 26.01% 28.87%+0.28 -0.4 6
2005-08-06 @ Wacker Tirol D 2-276.0 1630 1606 28.87% 26.01% 45.12%-0.28 +0.4 4
2005-08-06 Austria Wien W 3-161.6 1717 1764 42.14% 26.30% 31.56%+0.18 +9.1 12
2005-08-06 @ Rapid Wien L 1-361.6 1764 1717 31.56% 26.30% 42.14%-0.18 -9.1 12
2005-08-06 Grazer AK W 2-167.8 1630 1752 31.65% 26.31% 42.04%-0.17 +6.5 8
2005-08-06 @ Ried L 1-267.8 1752 1630 42.04% 26.31% 31.65%+0.17 -6.5 9
2005-08-06 Mattersburg L 1-264.1 1550 1578 44.62% 26.07% 29.31%+0.26 -6.8 0
2005-08-06 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-164.1 1578 1550 29.31% 26.07% 44.62%-0.26 +6.8 4
2005-08-07 Salzburg D 0-065.7 1625 1589 53.04% 24.55% 22.41%+0.56 -1.2 9
2005-08-07 @ Sturm Graz D 0-065.7 1589 1625 22.41% 24.55% 53.04%-0.56 +1.2 4
2005-08-13 Wacker Tirol W 2-051.4 1590 1605 46.47% 25.83% 27.70%+0.32 +9.5 7
2005-08-13 @ Salzburg L 0-251.4 1605 1590 27.70% 25.83% 46.47%-0.32 -9.5 6
2005-08-14 Admira Wacker Modling W 5-045.2 1631 1543 59.25% 22.70% 18.06%+0.80 +14.9 7
2005-08-14 @ FC Superfund L 0-545.2 1543 1631 18.06% 22.70% 59.25%-0.80 -14.9 0
2005-08-14 Rapid Wien D 1-173.0 1746 1726 51.01% 25.02% 23.97%+0.49 -0.9 10
2005-08-14 @ Grazer AK D 1-173.0 1726 1746 23.97% 25.02% 51.01%-0.49 +0.9 13
2005-08-14 Ried W 4-370.3 1585 1637 41.42% 26.36% 32.22%+0.15 +4.9 7
2005-08-14 @ Mattersburg L 3-470.3 1637 1585 32.22% 26.36% 41.42%-0.15 -4.9 8
2005-08-14 Sturm Graz W 2-158.1 1754 1624 63.94% 20.89% 15.17%+1.00 +2.6 15
2005-08-14 @ Austria Wien L 1-258.1 1624 1754 15.17% 20.89% 63.94%-1.00 -2.6 9
2005-08-20 Austria Wien D 2-277.7 1596 1757 26.89% 25.69% 47.42%-0.36 +0.5 7
2005-08-20 @ Wacker Tirol D 2-277.7 1757 1596 47.42% 25.69% 26.89%+0.36 -0.5 16
2005-08-20 Mattersburg L 1-272.3 1727 1590 64.58% 20.62% 14.80%+1.03 -9.2 13
2005-08-20 @ Rapid Wien W 2-172.3 1590 1727 14.80% 20.62% 64.58%-1.03 +9.2 10
2005-08-20 Ried D 2-274.2 1528 1632 34.02% 26.45% 39.52%-0.09 +0.1 1
2005-08-20 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 2-274.2 1632 1528 39.52% 26.45% 34.02%+0.09 -0.1 9
2005-08-20 Salzburg W 1-053.8 1646 1600 54.31% 24.23% 21.47%+0.61 +4.0 10
2005-08-20 @ FC Superfund L 0-153.8 1600 1646 21.47% 24.23% 54.31%-0.61 -4.0 7
2005-08-22 Grazer AK L 0-255.2 1621 1745 31.40% 26.29% 42.30%-0.18 -10.5 9
2005-08-22 @ Sturm Graz W 2-055.2 1745 1621 42.30% 26.29% 31.40%+0.18 +10.5 13
2005-08-27 Admira Wacker Modling W 3-260.6 1596 1528 56.86% 23.48% 19.65%+0.71 +3.3 10
2005-08-27 @ Salzburg L 2-360.6 1528 1596 19.65% 23.48% 56.86%-0.71 -3.3 1
2005-08-27 Rapid Wien D 2-277.4 1632 1718 36.56% 26.51% 36.93%-0.01 +0.0 10
2005-08-27 @ Ried D 2-277.4 1718 1632 36.93% 26.51% 36.56%+0.01 -0.0 14
2005-08-27 Sturm Graz D 1-169.9 1599 1610 46.97% 25.76% 27.27%+0.34 -0.7 11
2005-08-27 @ Mattersburg D 1-169.9 1610 1599 27.27% 25.76% 46.97%-0.34 +0.7 10
2005-08-28 FC Superfund L 0-263.2 1757 1650 61.34% 21.93% 16.73%+0.89 -17.7 16
2005-08-28 @ Austria Wien W 2-063.2 1650 1757 16.73% 21.93% 61.34%-0.89 +17.7 13
2005-08-28 Wacker Tirol D 1-173.9 1755 1596 66.87% 19.61% 13.52%+1.13 -2.0 14
2005-08-28 @ Grazer AK D 1-173.9 1596 1755 13.52% 19.61% 66.87%-1.13 +2.0 8
2005-09-10 Grazer AK W 1-061.0 1667 1753 36.58% 26.51% 36.92%-0.01 +6.3 16
2005-09-10 @ FC Superfund L 0-161.0 1753 1667 36.92% 26.51% 36.58%+0.01 -6.3 14
2005-09-10 Mattersburg W 4-260.3 1598 1599 48.39% 25.53% 26.08%+0.39 +7.0 11
2005-09-10 @ Wacker Tirol L 2-460.3 1599 1598 26.08% 25.53% 48.39%-0.39 -7.0 11
2005-09-10 Rapid Wien D 1-170.8 1525 1718 23.58% 24.91% 51.51%-0.50 +1.0 2
2005-09-10 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 1-170.8 1718 1525 51.51% 24.91% 23.58%+0.50 -1.0 15
2005-09-10 Ried W 3-158.3 1611 1632 45.71% 25.94% 28.36%+0.30 +8.3 13
2005-09-10 @ Sturm Graz L 1-358.3 1632 1611 28.36% 25.94% 45.71%-0.30 -8.3 10
2005-09-11 Salzburg W 2-048.2 1739 1599 64.91% 20.48% 14.61%+1.05 +5.1 19
2005-09-11 @ Austria Wien L 0-248.2 1599 1739 14.61% 20.48% 64.91%-1.05 -5.1 10
2005-09-17 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-166.5 1717 1526 70.01% 18.11% 11.88%+1.28 -10.4 15
2005-09-17 @ Rapid Wien W 1-066.5 1526 1717 11.88% 18.11% 70.01%-1.28 +10.4 5
2005-09-17 Sturm Graz W 2-160.9 1623 1620 48.97% 25.43% 25.60%+0.41 +4.4 13
2005-09-17 @ Ried L 1-260.9 1620 1623 25.60% 25.43% 48.97%-0.41 -4.4 13
2005-09-17 Wacker Tirol D 0-065.0 1592 1605 46.67% 25.80% 27.52%+0.33 -0.7 12
2005-09-17 @ Mattersburg D 0-065.0 1605 1592 27.52% 25.80% 46.67%-0.33 +0.7 12
2005-09-18 FC Superfund D 0-068.6 1747 1674 57.53% 23.27% 19.19%+0.74 -1.5 15
2005-09-18 @ Grazer AK D 0-068.6 1674 1747 19.19% 23.27% 57.53%-0.74 +1.5 17
2005-09-18 Austria Wien W 1-062.9 1594 1744 28.18% 25.91% 45.91%-0.30 +7.4 13
2005-09-18 @ Salzburg L 0-162.9 1744 1594 45.91% 25.91% 28.18%+0.30 -7.4 19
2005-09-20 Rapid Wien D 2-277.2 1615 1706 35.80% 26.50% 37.70%-0.03 +0.0 14
2005-09-20 @ Sturm Graz D 2-277.2 1706 1615 37.70% 26.50% 35.80%+0.03 -0.0 16
2005-09-21 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-154.8 1736 1536 70.90% 17.67% 11.43%+1.33 +1.9 22
2005-09-21 @ Austria Wien L 1-254.8 1536 1736 11.43% 17.67% 70.90%-1.33 -1.9 5
2005-09-21 Grazer AK W 1-062.8 1601 1745 28.87% 26.01% 45.12%-0.28 +7.3 16
2005-09-21 @ Salzburg L 0-162.8 1745 1601 45.12% 26.01% 28.87%+0.28 -7.3 15
2005-09-21 Mattersburg W 2-049.1 1675 1591 58.82% 22.84% 18.34%+0.79 +6.5 20
2005-09-21 @ FC Superfund L 0-249.1 1591 1675 18.34% 22.84% 58.82%-0.79 -6.5 12
2005-09-21 Ried D 1-170.3 1606 1628 45.52% 25.96% 28.52%+0.29 -0.6 13
2005-09-21 @ Wacker Tirol D 1-170.3 1628 1606 28.52% 25.96% 45.52%-0.29 +0.6 14
2005-09-24 Austria Wien W 1-057.8 1738 1738 48.42% 25.53% 26.05%+0.39 +4.8 18
2005-09-24 @ Grazer AK L 0-157.8 1738 1738 26.05% 25.53% 48.42%-0.39 -4.8 22
2005-09-24 Salzburg L 0-160.4 1584 1608 45.24% 26.00% 28.76%+0.28 -7.3 12
2005-09-24 @ Mattersburg W 1-060.4 1608 1584 28.76% 26.00% 45.24%-0.28 +7.3 19
2005-09-24 Sturm Graz L 2-367.5 1534 1615 37.27% 26.51% 36.22%+0.02 -5.7 5
2005-09-24 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 3-267.5 1615 1534 36.22% 26.51% 37.27%-0.02 +5.6 17
2005-09-24 Wacker Tirol W 2-049.1 1706 1605 60.70% 22.17% 17.12%+0.86 +6.0 19
2005-09-24 @ Rapid Wien L 0-249.1 1605 1706 17.12% 22.17% 60.70%-0.86 -6.0 13
2005-09-25 FC Superfund D 0-066.7 1628 1682 41.20% 26.37% 32.43%+0.15 -0.3 15
2005-09-25 @ Ried D 0-066.7 1682 1628 32.43% 26.37% 41.20%-0.15 +0.3 21
2005-10-01 Rapid Wien W 2-054.8 1682 1712 44.40% 26.09% 29.50%+0.25 +10.0 24
2005-10-01 @ FC Superfund L 0-254.8 1712 1682 29.50% 26.09% 44.40%-0.25 -10.0 19
2005-10-01 Ried W 2-052.3 1616 1628 46.83% 25.78% 27.39%+0.34 +9.4 22
2005-10-01 @ Salzburg L 0-252.3 1628 1616 27.39% 25.78% 46.83%-0.34 -9.4 15
2005-10-01 Sturm Graz L 0-257.4 1599 1621 45.58% 25.95% 28.47%+0.29 -13.9 13
2005-10-01 @ Wacker Tirol W 2-057.4 1621 1599 28.47% 25.95% 45.58%-0.29 +13.9 20
2005-10-02 Admira Wacker Modling W 4-147.9 1743 1529 72.20% 17.01% 10.79%+1.39 +4.4 21
2005-10-02 @ Grazer AK L 1-447.9 1529 1743 10.79% 17.01% 72.20%-1.39 -4.4 5
2005-10-02 Mattersburg W 3-045.2 1734 1577 66.61% 19.72% 13.66%+1.12 +6.8 25
2005-10-02 @ Austria Wien L 0-345.2 1577 1734 13.66% 19.72% 66.61%-1.12 -6.8 12
2005-10-15 FC Superfund W 2-055.3 1635 1692 40.64% 26.40% 32.96%+0.13 +10.9 23
2005-10-15 @ Sturm Graz L 0-255.3 1692 1635 32.96% 26.40% 40.64%-0.13 -10.9 24
2005-10-15 Grazer AK W 3-165.5 1570 1747 25.19% 25.34% 49.47%-0.43 +12.9 15
2005-10-15 @ Mattersburg L 1-365.5 1747 1570 49.47% 25.34% 25.19%+0.43 -12.9 21
2005-10-15 Salzburg L 2-376.1 1702 1625 57.99% 23.12% 18.89%+0.75 -8.0 19
2005-10-15 @ Rapid Wien W 3-276.1 1625 1702 18.89% 23.12% 57.99%-0.75 +8.0 25
2005-10-15 Wacker Tirol W 5-256.3 1524 1585 40.10% 26.43% 33.47%+0.11 +11.7 8
2005-10-15 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 2-556.3 1585 1524 33.47% 26.43% 40.10%-0.11 -11.7 13
2005-10-16 Austria Wien D 0-067.3 1619 1740 31.67% 26.31% 42.01%-0.17 +0.4 16
2005-10-16 @ Ried D 0-067.3 1740 1619 42.01% 26.31% 31.67%+0.17 -0.4 26
2005-10-22 Admira Wacker Modling W 3-152.6 1583 1536 54.44% 24.19% 21.37%+0.61 +6.5 18
2005-10-22 @ Mattersburg L 1-352.6 1536 1583 21.37% 24.19% 54.44%-0.61 -6.5 8
2005-10-22 Rapid Wien L 0-261.9 1740 1694 54.25% 24.24% 21.51%+0.61 -16.0 26
2005-10-22 @ Austria Wien W 2-061.9 1694 1740 21.51% 24.24% 54.25%-0.61 +16.0 22
2005-10-22 Ried D 2-279.0 1734 1619 62.27% 21.57% 16.16%+0.93 -1.2 22
2005-10-22 @ Grazer AK D 2-279.0 1619 1734 16.16% 21.57% 62.27%-0.93 +1.2 17
2005-10-22 Wacker Tirol L 2-375.8 1681 1574 61.42% 21.90% 16.68%+0.89 -8.4 24
2005-10-22 @ FC Superfund W 3-275.8 1574 1681 16.68% 21.90% 61.42%-0.89 +8.4 16
2005-10-23 Sturm Graz W 3-050.7 1633 1646 46.82% 25.78% 27.40%+0.34 +13.6 28
2005-10-23 @ Salzburg L 0-350.7 1646 1633 27.40% 25.78% 46.82%-0.34 -13.6 23
2005-10-25 Grazer AK W 3-269.0 1710 1733 45.41% 25.97% 28.62%+0.29 +4.6 25
2005-10-25 @ Rapid Wien L 2-369.0 1733 1710 28.62% 25.97% 45.41%-0.29 -4.6 22
2005-10-26 FC Superfund L 1-261.3 1529 1673 28.97% 26.02% 45.01%-0.27 -4.9 8
2005-10-26 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-161.3 1673 1529 45.01% 26.02% 28.97%+0.27 +4.9 27
2005-10-26 Austria Wien D 0-067.2 1632 1724 35.68% 26.50% 37.82%-0.03 +0.1 24
2005-10-26 @ Sturm Graz D 0-067.2 1724 1632 37.82% 26.50% 35.68%+0.03 -0.1 27
2005-10-26 Mattersburg W 3-264.2 1620 1590 52.40% 24.71% 22.89%+0.54 +3.8 20
2005-10-26 @ Ried L 2-364.2 1590 1620 22.89% 24.71% 52.40%-0.54 -3.8 18
2005-10-26 Salzburg W 3-052.0 1582 1647 39.58% 26.45% 33.96%+0.09 +16.2 19
2005-10-26 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-352.0 1647 1582 33.96% 26.45% 39.58%-0.09 -16.1 28
2005-10-29 Admira Wacker Modling W 4-043.5 1624 1524 60.56% 22.22% 17.21%+0.86 +11.5 23
2005-10-29 @ Ried L 0-443.5 1524 1624 17.21% 22.22% 60.56%-0.86 -11.5 8
2005-10-29 FC Superfund W 1-058.4 1631 1678 42.09% 26.31% 31.60%+0.18 +5.6 31
2005-10-29 @ Salzburg L 0-158.4 1678 1631 31.60% 26.31% 42.09%-0.18 -5.6 27
2005-10-29 Rapid Wien D 0-066.6 1586 1715 30.73% 26.23% 43.04%-0.21 +0.5 19
2005-10-29 @ Mattersburg D 0-066.6 1715 1586 43.04% 26.23% 30.73%+0.21 -0.5 26
2005-10-29 Wacker Tirol D 0-068.4 1724 1598 63.41% 21.11% 15.48%+0.98 -2.0 28
2005-10-29 @ Austria Wien D 0-068.4 1598 1724 15.48% 21.11% 63.41%-0.98 +2.0 20
2005-10-30 Sturm Graz W 2-049.8 1729 1632 60.20% 22.36% 17.44%+0.84 +6.1 25
2005-10-30 @ Grazer AK L 0-249.8 1632 1729 17.44% 22.36% 60.20%-0.84 -6.1 24
2005-11-05 Grazer AK L 0-158.2 1600 1735 30.05% 26.16% 43.79%-0.23 -5.4 20
2005-11-05 @ Wacker Tirol W 1-058.2 1735 1600 43.79% 26.16% 30.05%+0.23 +5.4 28
2005-11-05 Mattersburg L 0-259.1 1626 1586 53.49% 24.44% 22.07%+0.58 -15.8 24
2005-11-05 @ Sturm Graz W 2-059.1 1586 1626 22.07% 24.44% 53.49%-0.58 +15.8 22
2005-11-05 Ried D 2-278.5 1714 1636 58.18% 23.06% 18.76%+0.76 -1.0 27
2005-11-05 @ Rapid Wien D 2-278.5 1636 1714 18.76% 23.06% 58.18%-0.76 +1.1 24
2005-11-05 Salzburg L 0-449.0 1513 1636 31.46% 26.30% 42.24%-0.18 -19.9 8
2005-11-05 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 4-049.0 1636 1513 42.24% 26.30% 31.46%+0.18 +19.9 34
2005-11-06 Austria Wien L 0-162.3 1672 1722 41.67% 26.34% 31.99%+0.16 -6.9 27
2005-11-06 @ FC Superfund W 1-062.3 1722 1672 31.99% 26.34% 41.67%-0.16 +6.9 31
2005-11-19 FC Superfund L 1-265.9 1602 1665 39.82% 26.44% 33.73%+0.10 -6.3 22
2005-11-19 @ Mattersburg W 2-165.9 1665 1602 33.73% 26.44% 39.82%-0.10 +6.3 30
2005-11-19 Austria Wien L 0-152.6 1493 1729 19.72% 23.52% 56.76%-0.70 -3.7 8
2005-11-19 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 1-052.6 1729 1493 56.76% 23.52% 19.72%+0.70 +3.7 34
2005-11-19 Sturm Graz W 3-154.9 1713 1610 60.97% 22.07% 16.96%+0.88 +5.2 30
2005-11-19 @ Rapid Wien L 1-354.9 1610 1713 16.96% 22.07% 60.97%-0.88 -5.2 24
2005-11-19 Wacker Tirol W 3-047.8 1637 1595 53.79% 24.36% 21.85%+0.59 +11.1 27
2005-11-19 @ Ried L 0-347.8 1595 1637 21.85% 24.36% 53.79%-0.59 -11.1 20
2005-11-20 Salzburg W 3-156.2 1740 1656 58.77% 22.86% 18.37%+0.78 +5.6 31
2005-11-20 @ Grazer AK L 1-356.2 1656 1740 18.37% 22.86% 58.77%-0.78 -5.6 34
2005-11-26 Admira Wacker Modling D 1-168.0 1605 1489 62.30% 21.56% 16.14%+0.93 -1.7 25
2005-11-26 @ Sturm Graz D 1-168.0 1489 1605 16.14% 21.56% 62.30%-0.93 +1.7 9
2005-11-26 Mattersburg W 3-155.5 1651 1596 55.33% 23.94% 20.73%+0.65 +6.3 37
2005-11-26 @ Salzburg L 1-355.5 1596 1651 20.73% 23.94% 55.33%-0.65 -6.3 22
2005-11-26 Rapid Wien D 0-066.7 1584 1719 30.00% 26.15% 43.85%-0.23 +0.5 21
2005-11-26 @ Wacker Tirol D 0-066.7 1719 1584 43.85% 26.15% 30.00%+0.23 -0.5 31
2005-11-26 Ried L 0-164.1 1671 1648 51.50% 24.92% 23.59%+0.50 -8.1 30
2005-11-26 @ FC Superfund W 1-064.1 1648 1671 23.59% 24.92% 51.50%-0.50 +8.1 30
2005-12-03 FC Superfund W 3-157.1 1718 1663 55.34% 23.94% 20.72%+0.65 +6.3 34
2005-12-03 @ Rapid Wien L 1-357.1 1663 1718 20.72% 23.94% 55.34%-0.65 -6.3 30
2005-12-03 Austria Wien L 0-254.0 1590 1733 29.01% 26.03% 44.96%-0.27 -9.8 22
2005-12-03 @ Mattersburg W 2-054.0 1733 1590 44.96% 26.03% 29.01%+0.27 +9.8 37
2005-12-03 Grazer AK W 2-060.7 1491 1746 18.26% 22.80% 58.94%-0.79 +17.1 12
2005-12-03 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-260.7 1746 1491 58.94% 22.80% 18.26%+0.79 -17.1 31
2005-12-03 Wacker Tirol L 2-372.2 1603 1584 50.92% 25.04% 24.04%+0.48 -7.2 25
2005-12-03 @ Sturm Graz W 3-272.2 1584 1603 24.04% 25.04% 50.92%-0.48 +7.2 24
2005-12-04 Salzburg W 2-162.1 1656 1657 48.35% 25.54% 26.11%+0.39 +4.5 33
2005-12-04 @ Ried L 1-262.1 1657 1656 26.11% 25.54% 48.35%-0.39 -4.5 37
2005-12-08 Admira Wacker Modling W 4-042.6 1591 1508 58.69% 22.89% 18.42%+0.78 +12.3 27
2005-12-08 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-442.6 1508 1591 18.42% 22.89% 58.69%-0.78 -12.3 12
2005-12-08 Mattersburg W 3-045.4 1729 1580 65.83% 20.08% 14.10%+1.09 +7.1 34
2005-12-08 @ Grazer AK L 0-345.4 1580 1729 14.10% 20.08% 65.83%-1.09 -7.1 22
2005-12-08 Ried W 3-048.5 1742 1661 58.54% 22.94% 18.52%+0.78 +9.5 40
2005-12-08 @ Austria Wien L 0-348.5 1661 1742 18.52% 22.94% 58.54%-0.78 -9.5 33
2005-12-08 Sturm Graz W 3-155.3 1657 1596 56.09% 23.72% 20.19%+0.68 +6.2 33
2005-12-08 @ FC Superfund L 1-355.3 1596 1657 20.19% 23.72% 56.09%-0.68 -6.2 25
2005-12-10 Rapid Wien W 2-056.4 1652 1724 38.55% 26.49% 34.97%+0.06 +11.4 40
2005-12-10 @ Salzburg L 0-256.4 1724 1652 34.97% 26.49% 38.55%-0.06 -11.4 34
2006-02-18 Austria Wien L 0-254.1 1604 1752 28.40% 25.94% 45.65%-0.30 -9.7 27
2006-02-18 @ Wacker Tirol W 2-054.1 1752 1604 45.65% 25.94% 28.40%+0.30 +9.6 43
2006-02-18 Grazer AK D 0-067.0 1590 1736 28.69% 25.98% 45.33%-0.28 +0.6 26
2006-02-18 @ Sturm Graz D 0-067.0 1736 1590 45.33% 25.98% 28.69%+0.28 -0.6 35
2006-02-18 Mattersburg W 2-047.5 1713 1573 64.95% 20.46% 14.59%+1.05 +5.1 37
2006-02-18 @ Rapid Wien L 0-247.5 1573 1713 14.59% 20.46% 64.95%-1.05 -5.1 22
2006-02-19 Salzburg D 0-067.2 1663 1664 48.39% 25.53% 26.08%+0.39 -0.9 34
2006-02-19 @ FC Superfund D 0-067.2 1664 1663 26.08% 25.53% 48.39%-0.39 +0.8 41
2006-02-25 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-358.3 1662 1496 67.62% 19.26% 13.12%+1.17 -27.7 34
2006-02-25 @ FC Superfund W 3-058.3 1496 1662 13.12% 19.26% 67.62%-1.17 +27.7 15
2006-02-25 Rapid Wien W 3-158.9 1735 1718 50.64% 25.10% 24.25%+0.47 +7.3 38
2006-02-25 @ Grazer AK L 1-358.9 1718 1735 24.25% 25.10% 50.64%-0.47 -7.3 37
2006-02-25 Ried W 3-160.5 1568 1651 36.91% 26.51% 36.58%+0.01 +10.2 25
2006-02-25 @ Mattersburg L 1-360.5 1651 1568 36.58% 26.51% 36.91%-0.01 -10.2 33
2006-02-25 Sturm Graz D 0-069.4 1762 1590 68.08% 19.05% 12.88%+1.19 -2.3 44
2006-02-25 @ Austria Wien D 0-069.4 1590 1762 12.88% 19.05% 68.08%-1.19 +2.3 27
2006-02-26 Wacker Tirol W 5-254.7 1665 1594 57.22% 23.37% 19.41%+0.72 +7.3 44
2006-02-26 @ Salzburg L 2-554.7 1594 1665 19.41% 23.37% 57.22%-0.72 -7.3 27
2006-03-04 FC Superfund W 1-057.1 1587 1635 41.97% 26.32% 31.71%+0.17 +5.6 30
2006-03-04 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-157.1 1635 1587 31.71% 26.32% 41.97%-0.17 -5.6 34
2006-03-04 Salzburg W 4-052.9 1593 1672 37.54% 26.50% 35.96%+0.03 +22.0 30
2006-03-04 @ Sturm Graz L 0-452.9 1672 1593 35.96% 26.50% 37.54%-0.03 -22.0 44
2006-03-05 Austria Wien L 0-356.8 1711 1759 41.88% 26.32% 31.80%+0.17 -18.9 37
2006-03-05 @ Rapid Wien W 3-056.8 1759 1711 31.80% 26.32% 41.88%-0.17 +18.9 47
2006-03-11 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-163.9 1650 1524 63.46% 21.09% 15.45%+0.98 -9.6 44
2006-03-11 @ Salzburg W 1-063.9 1524 1650 15.45% 21.09% 63.46%-0.98 +9.6 18
2006-03-11 FC Superfund D 1-174.2 1778 1629 65.86% 20.06% 14.08%+1.09 -1.9 48
2006-03-11 @ Austria Wien D 1-174.2 1629 1778 14.08% 20.06% 65.86%-1.09 +1.9 35
2006-03-11 Sturm Graz D 1-169.4 1578 1615 43.48% 26.19% 30.33%+0.22 -0.4 26
2006-03-11 @ Mattersburg D 1-169.4 1615 1578 30.33% 26.19% 43.48%-0.22 +0.4 31
2006-03-11 Wacker Tirol L 0-167.1 1742 1592 65.94% 20.03% 14.04%+1.09 -9.9 38
2006-03-11 @ Grazer AK W 1-067.1 1592 1742 14.04% 20.03% 65.94%-1.09 +9.9 33
2006-03-12 Rapid Wien D 0-067.0 1641 1692 41.52% 26.35% 32.13%+0.16 -0.3 34
2006-03-12 @ Ried D 0-067.0 1692 1641 32.13% 26.35% 41.52%-0.16 +0.3 38
2006-03-15 Grazer AK W 2-161.8 1776 1732 54.03% 24.30% 21.67%+0.60 +3.8 51
2006-03-15 @ Austria Wien L 1-261.8 1732 1776 21.67% 24.30% 54.03%-0.60 -3.8 38
2006-03-15 Ried D 0-064.2 1533 1641 33.57% 26.43% 39.99%-0.11 +0.2 19
2006-03-15 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 0-064.2 1641 1533 39.99% 26.43% 33.57%+0.11 -0.2 35
2006-03-18 Grazer AK W 1-061.1 1631 1729 34.90% 26.48% 38.61%-0.06 +6.5 38
2006-03-18 @ FC Superfund L 0-161.1 1729 1631 38.61% 26.48% 34.90%+0.06 -6.5 38
2006-03-18 Mattersburg W 2-049.5 1602 1577 51.67% 24.88% 23.45%+0.51 +8.2 36
2006-03-18 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-249.5 1577 1602 23.45% 24.88% 51.67%-0.51 -8.2 26
2006-03-18 Ried W 1-056.7 1615 1640 45.10% 26.01% 28.88%+0.28 +5.2 34
2006-03-18 @ Sturm Graz L 0-156.7 1640 1615 28.88% 26.01% 45.10%-0.28 -5.2 35
2006-03-19 Austria Wien W 3-057.3 1640 1780 29.39% 26.08% 44.53%-0.26 +19.8 47
2006-03-19 @ Salzburg L 0-357.3 1780 1640 44.53% 26.08% 29.39%+0.26 -19.8 51
2006-03-22 Mattersburg L 0-157.5 1533 1569 43.65% 26.17% 30.18%+0.23 -7.1 19
2006-03-22 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 1-057.5 1569 1533 30.18% 26.17% 43.65%-0.23 +7.1 29
2006-03-25 FC Superfund L 1-271.6 1722 1637 58.86% 22.83% 18.31%+0.79 -8.6 38
2006-03-25 @ Grazer AK W 2-171.6 1637 1722 18.31% 22.83% 58.86%-0.79 +8.6 41
2006-03-25 Rapid Wien W 2-167.2 1526 1692 26.38% 25.59% 48.03%-0.38 +7.2 22
2006-03-25 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 1-267.2 1692 1526 48.03% 25.59% 26.38%+0.38 -7.2 38
2006-03-25 Sturm Graz W 2-051.4 1635 1620 50.37% 25.16% 24.48%+0.46 +8.5 38
2006-03-25 @ Ried L 0-251.4 1620 1635 24.48% 25.16% 50.37%-0.46 -8.5 34
2006-03-25 Wacker Tirol D 2-274.9 1576 1610 43.85% 26.15% 30.00%+0.23 -0.3 30
2006-03-25 @ Mattersburg D 2-274.9 1610 1576 30.00% 26.15% 43.85%-0.23 +0.3 37
2006-03-26 Salzburg D 2-279.3 1760 1660 60.62% 22.20% 17.18%+0.86 -1.2 52
2006-03-26 @ Austria Wien D 2-279.3 1660 1760 17.18% 22.20% 60.62%-0.86 +1.2 48
2006-03-29 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-165.4 1685 1534 66.10% 19.96% 13.95%+1.10 -10.0 38
2006-03-29 @ Rapid Wien W 1-065.4 1534 1685 13.95% 19.96% 66.10%-1.10 +10.0 25
2006-03-29 Grazer AK W 2-165.5 1644 1714 38.85% 26.48% 34.67%+0.07 +5.6 41
2006-03-29 @ Ried L 1-265.5 1714 1644 34.67% 26.48% 38.85%-0.07 -5.6 38
2006-04-01 Admira Wacker Modling D 4-485.1 1759 1543 72.31% 16.95% 10.74%+1.40 -1.2 53
2006-04-01 @ Austria Wien D 4-485.1 1543 1759 10.74% 16.95% 72.31%-1.40 +1.2 26
2006-04-01 Mattersburg W 2-048.8 1646 1576 57.16% 23.39% 19.45%+0.72 +6.9 44
2006-04-01 @ FC Superfund L 0-248.8 1576 1646 19.45% 23.39% 57.16%-0.72 -6.9 30
2006-04-01 Rapid Wien D 0-066.4 1612 1675 39.81% 26.44% 33.75%+0.10 -0.2 35
2006-04-01 @ Sturm Graz D 0-066.4 1675 1612 33.75% 26.44% 39.81%-0.10 +0.2 39
2006-04-01 Ried L 0-161.2 1611 1649 43.28% 26.21% 30.51%+0.22 -7.1 37
2006-04-01 @ Wacker Tirol W 1-061.2 1649 1611 30.51% 26.21% 43.28%-0.22 +7.1 44
2006-04-02 Grazer AK W 5-053.5 1661 1708 42.13% 26.31% 31.57%+0.18 +24.6 51
2006-04-02 @ Salzburg L 0-553.5 1708 1661 31.57% 26.31% 42.13%-0.18 -24.6 38
2006-04-08 FC Superfund L 1-268.9 1656 1653 48.91% 25.44% 25.65%+0.41 -7.3 44
2006-04-08 @ Ried W 2-168.9 1653 1656 25.65% 25.44% 48.91%-0.41 +7.4 47
2006-04-08 Austria Wien D 0-067.8 1683 1758 38.19% 26.49% 35.32%+0.05 -0.1 39
2006-04-08 @ Grazer AK D 0-067.8 1758 1683 35.32% 26.49% 38.19%-0.05 +0.1 54
2006-04-08 Sturm Graz W 2-052.6 1545 1612 39.28% 26.46% 34.26%+0.08 +11.2 29
2006-04-08 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-252.6 1612 1545 34.26% 26.46% 39.28%-0.08 -11.2 35
2006-04-08 Wacker Tirol W 2-159.0 1675 1604 57.33% 23.34% 19.33%+0.73 +3.4 42
2006-04-08 @ Rapid Wien L 1-259.0 1604 1675 19.33% 23.34% 57.33%-0.73 -3.4 37
2006-04-09 Salzburg W 2-166.1 1569 1686 32.33% 26.36% 41.31%-0.15 +6.4 33
2006-04-09 @ Mattersburg L 1-266.1 1686 1569 41.31% 26.36% 32.33%+0.15 -6.4 51
2006-04-11 Rapid Wien W 1-057.6 1660 1679 45.99% 25.90% 28.11%+0.31 +5.1 50
2006-04-11 @ FC Superfund L 0-157.6 1679 1660 28.11% 25.90% 45.99%-0.31 -5.1 42
2006-04-12 Admira Wacker Modling W 3-045.0 1683 1556 63.57% 21.04% 15.39%+0.99 +7.8 42
2006-04-12 @ Grazer AK L 0-345.0 1556 1683 15.39% 21.04% 63.57%-0.99 -7.8 29
2006-04-12 Mattersburg W 1-050.6 1758 1575 69.19% 18.51% 12.29%+1.24 +2.2 57
2006-04-12 @ Austria Wien L 0-150.6 1575 1758 12.29% 18.51% 69.19%-1.24 -2.2 33
2006-04-12 Ried W 3-049.7 1679 1649 52.35% 24.72% 22.93%+0.54 +11.7 54
2006-04-12 @ Salzburg L 0-349.7 1649 1679 22.93% 24.72% 52.35%-0.54 -11.7 44
2006-04-12 Sturm Graz L 2-467.1 1600 1600 48.44% 25.52% 26.03%+0.39 -11.3 37
2006-04-12 @ Wacker Tirol W 4-267.1 1600 1600 26.03% 25.52% 48.44%-0.39 +11.3 38
2006-04-15 FC Superfund D 1-170.9 1612 1665 41.18% 26.37% 32.45%+0.14 -0.3 39
2006-04-15 @ Sturm Graz D 1-170.9 1665 1612 32.45% 26.37% 41.18%-0.14 +0.3 51
2006-04-15 Grazer AK W 1-060.8 1573 1691 32.19% 26.35% 41.46%-0.15 +6.8 36
2006-04-15 @ Mattersburg L 0-160.8 1691 1573 41.46% 26.35% 32.19%+0.15 -6.8 42
2006-04-15 Salzburg L 0-163.2 1674 1691 46.15% 25.88% 27.97%+0.31 -7.4 42
2006-04-15 @ Rapid Wien W 1-063.2 1691 1674 27.97% 25.88% 46.15%-0.31 +7.5 57
2006-04-15 Wacker Tirol D 1-167.9 1548 1589 42.93% 26.24% 30.83%+0.20 -0.4 30
2006-04-15 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 1-167.9 1589 1548 30.83% 26.24% 42.93%-0.20 +0.4 38
2006-04-16 Austria Wien D 0-067.6 1637 1760 31.52% 26.30% 42.18%-0.18 +0.4 45
2006-04-16 @ Ried D 0-067.6 1760 1637 42.18% 26.30% 31.52%+0.18 -0.4 58
2006-04-22 Admira Wacker Modling W 3-262.0 1580 1548 52.61% 24.66% 22.73%+0.54 +3.8 39
2006-04-22 @ Mattersburg L 2-362.0 1548 1580 22.73% 24.66% 52.61%-0.54 -3.8 30
2006-04-22 Ried L 1-463.8 1684 1638 54.34% 24.22% 21.44%+0.61 -19.7 42
2006-04-22 @ Grazer AK W 4-163.8 1638 1684 21.44% 24.22% 54.34%-0.61 +19.6 48
2006-04-22 Sturm Graz W 3-263.8 1698 1611 59.11% 22.74% 18.14%+0.80 +3.0 60
2006-04-22 @ Salzburg L 2-363.8 1611 1698 18.14% 22.74% 59.11%-0.80 -3.0 39
2006-04-22 Wacker Tirol D 1-171.6 1666 1589 57.87% 23.16% 18.97%+0.75 -1.4 52
2006-04-22 @ FC Superfund D 1-171.6 1589 1666 18.97% 23.16% 57.87%-0.75 +1.4 39
2006-04-23 Rapid Wien W 3-156.0 1760 1666 59.88% 22.47% 17.65%+0.83 +5.4 61
2006-04-23 @ Austria Wien L 1-356.0 1666 1760 17.65% 22.47% 59.88%-0.83 -5.4 42
2006-04-29 FC Superfund W 2-165.4 1544 1664 31.86% 26.33% 41.81%-0.17 +6.5 33
2006-04-29 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 1-265.4 1664 1544 41.81% 26.33% 31.86%+0.17 -6.5 52
2006-04-29 Grazer AK W 2-053.1 1661 1665 47.96% 25.60% 26.43%+0.38 +9.1 45
2006-04-29 @ Rapid Wien L 0-253.1 1665 1661 26.43% 25.60% 47.96%-0.38 -9.1 42
2006-04-29 Mattersburg D 2-277.0 1657 1584 57.56% 23.26% 19.18%+0.74 -1.0 49
2006-04-29 @ Ried D 2-277.0 1584 1657 19.18% 23.26% 57.56%-0.74 +1.0 40
2006-04-29 Salzburg W 3-271.4 1591 1701 33.13% 26.41% 40.45%-0.12 +6.0 42
2006-04-29 @ Wacker Tirol L 2-371.4 1701 1591 40.45% 26.41% 33.13%+0.12 -6.0 60
2006-04-30 Austria Wien L 1-359.6 1608 1765 27.41% 25.78% 46.80%-0.34 -8.1 39
2006-04-30 @ Sturm Graz W 3-159.6 1765 1608 46.80% 25.78% 27.41%+0.34 +8.1 64
2006-05-06 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-047.2 1656 1550 61.25% 21.97% 16.79%+0.89 +5.9 52
2006-05-06 @ Ried L 0-247.2 1550 1656 16.79% 21.97% 61.25%-0.89 -5.9 33
2006-05-06 FC Superfund L 1-270.4 1695 1658 53.27% 24.50% 22.23%+0.57 -7.9 60
2006-05-06 @ Salzburg W 2-170.4 1658 1695 22.23% 24.50% 53.27%-0.57 +7.9 55
2006-05-06 Rapid Wien D 0-065.9 1585 1670 36.70% 26.51% 36.79%+0.00 +0.0 41
2006-05-06 @ Mattersburg D 0-065.9 1670 1585 36.79% 26.51% 36.70%+0.00 +0.0 46
2006-05-06 Sturm Graz L 2-374.6 1655 1600 55.39% 23.93% 20.69%+0.65 -7.7 42
2006-05-06 @ Grazer AK W 3-274.6 1600 1655 20.69% 23.93% 55.39%-0.65 +7.7 42
2006-05-06 Wacker Tirol W 2-156.6 1773 1597 68.60% 18.80% 12.60%+1.22 +2.2 67
2006-05-06 @ Austria Wien L 1-256.6 1597 1773 12.60% 18.80% 68.60%-1.22 -2.1 42
2006-05-13 Austria Wien W 2-058.4 1666 1775 33.23% 26.42% 40.36%-0.12 +12.7 58
2006-05-13 @ FC Superfund L 0-258.4 1775 1666 40.36% 26.42% 33.23%+0.12 -12.7 67
2006-05-13 Grazer AK L 1-362.3 1595 1648 41.25% 26.37% 32.39%+0.15 -11.1 42
2006-05-13 @ Wacker Tirol W 3-162.3 1648 1595 32.39% 26.37% 41.25%-0.15 +11.1 45
2006-05-13 Mattersburg L 0-161.9 1608 1585 51.44% 24.93% 23.63%+0.50 -8.1 42
2006-05-13 @ Sturm Graz W 1-061.9 1585 1608 23.63% 24.93% 51.44%-0.50 +8.1 44
2006-05-13 Ried W 6-051.8 1670 1662 49.45% 25.34% 25.21%+0.43 +24.2 49
2006-05-13 @ Rapid Wien L 0-651.8 1662 1670 25.21% 25.34% 49.45%-0.43 -24.2 52
2006-05-13 Salzburg L 0-350.5 1544 1688 29.02% 26.03% 44.95%-0.27 -14.3 33
2006-05-13 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 3-050.5 1688 1544 44.95% 26.03% 29.02%+0.27 +14.3 63

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-09-17 11.88% Admira Wacker Modling 1526 1 @ Rapid Wien 1717 0
2 2006-02-25 13.12% Admira Wacker Modling 1496 3 @ FC Superfund 1662 0
3 2006-03-29 13.95% Admira Wacker Modling 1534 1 @ Rapid Wien 1685 0
4 2006-03-11 14.04% Wacker Tirol 1592 1 @ Grazer AK 1742 0
5 2005-08-20 14.80% Mattersburg 1590 2 @ Rapid Wien 1727 1
6 2006-03-11 15.45% Admira Wacker Modling 1524 1 @ Salzburg 1650 0
7 2005-10-22 16.68% Wacker Tirol 1574 3 @ FC Superfund 1681 2
8 2005-08-28 16.73% FC Superfund 1650 2 @ Austria Wien 1757 0
9 2005-12-03 18.26% @ Admira Wacker Modling 1491 2 Grazer AK 1746 0
10 2006-03-25 18.31% FC Superfund 1637 2 @ Grazer AK 1722 1
11 2005-10-15 18.89% Salzburg 1625 3 @ Rapid Wien 1702 2
12 2005-07-13 19.08% Sturm Graz 1614 3 @ Rapid Wien 1688 2
13 2006-05-06 20.69% Sturm Graz 1600 3 @ Grazer AK 1655 2
14 2006-04-22 21.44% Ried 1638 4 @ Grazer AK 1684 1
15 2005-10-22 21.51% Rapid Wien 1694 2 @ Austria Wien 1740 0
16 2005-11-05 22.07% Mattersburg 1586 2 @ Sturm Graz 1626 0
17 2006-05-06 22.23% FC Superfund 1658 2 @ Salzburg 1695 1
18 2005-11-26 23.59% Ried 1648 1 @ FC Superfund 1671 0
19 2006-05-13 23.63% Mattersburg 1585 1 @ Sturm Graz 1608 0
20 2005-12-03 24.04% Wacker Tirol 1584 3 @ Sturm Graz 1603 2
21 2005-10-15 25.19% @ Mattersburg 1570 3 Grazer AK 1747 1
22 2006-04-08 25.65% FC Superfund 1653 2 @ Ried 1656 1
23 2006-04-12 26.03% Sturm Graz 1600 4 @ Wacker Tirol 1600 2
24 2006-03-25 26.38% @ Admira Wacker Modling 1526 2 Rapid Wien 1692 1
25 2006-04-15 27.97% Salzburg 1691 1 @ Rapid Wien 1674 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-02-25 27.72 Admira Wacker Modling 3 1496 13.12% @ FC Superfund 0 1662 67.62% 19.26%
2 2006-04-02 24.58 @ Salzburg 5 1661 42.13% Grazer AK 0 1708 31.57% 26.31%
3 2006-05-13 24.25 @ Rapid Wien 6 1670 49.45% Ried 0 1662 25.21% 25.34%
4 2006-03-04 22.02 @ Sturm Graz 4 1593 37.54% Salzburg 0 1672 35.96% 26.50%
5 2005-11-05 19.88 Salzburg 4 1636 42.24% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1513 31.46% 26.30%
6 2006-03-19 19.83 @ Salzburg 3 1640 29.39% Austria Wien 0 1780 44.53% 26.08%
7 2006-04-22 19.65 Ried 4 1638 21.44% @ Grazer AK 1 1684 54.34% 24.22%
8 2006-03-05 18.90 Austria Wien 3 1759 31.80% @ Rapid Wien 0 1711 41.88% 26.32%
9 2005-07-19 18.25 Rapid Wien 3 1680 33.55% @ Wacker Tirol 0 1619 40.02% 26.43%
10 2005-08-28 17.70 FC Superfund 2 1650 16.73% @ Austria Wien 0 1757 61.34% 21.93%
11 2005-07-20 17.49 @ Salzburg 4 1595 47.45% Mattersburg 0 1603 26.86% 25.69%
12 2005-12-03 17.14 @ Admira Wacker Modling 2 1491 18.26% Grazer AK 0 1746 58.94% 22.80%
13 2005-10-26 16.15 @ Wacker Tirol 3 1582 39.58% Salzburg 0 1647 33.96% 26.45%
14 2005-10-22 16.02 Rapid Wien 2 1694 21.51% @ Austria Wien 0 1740 54.25% 24.24%
15 2005-11-05 15.84 Mattersburg 2 1586 22.07% @ Sturm Graz 0 1626 53.49% 24.44%
16 2005-08-14 14.89 @ FC Superfund 5 1631 59.25% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1543 18.06% 22.70%
17 2006-05-13 14.27 Salzburg 3 1688 44.95% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1544 29.02% 26.03%
18 2005-10-01 13.91 Sturm Graz 2 1621 28.47% @ Wacker Tirol 0 1599 45.58% 25.95%
19 2005-10-23 13.61 @ Salzburg 3 1633 46.82% Sturm Graz 0 1646 27.40% 25.78%
20 2005-10-15 12.86 @ Mattersburg 3 1570 25.19% Grazer AK 1 1747 49.47% 25.34%
21 2006-05-13 12.65 @ FC Superfund 2 1666 33.23% Austria Wien 0 1775 40.36% 26.42%
22 2005-07-24 12.53 @ Ried 3 1623 49.86% Salzburg 0 1612 24.88% 25.26%
23 2005-12-08 12.33 @ Wacker Tirol 4 1591 58.69% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1508 18.42% 22.89%
24 2006-04-12 11.66 @ Salzburg 3 1679 52.35% Ried 0 1649 22.93% 24.72%
25 2005-10-15 11.66 @ Admira Wacker Modling 5 1524 40.10% Wacker Tirol 2 1585 33.47% 26.43%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-04-01 85.1 @ Austria Wien 4 1759 72.31% Admira Wacker Modling 4 1543 10.74% 16.95%
2 2006-03-26 79.3 @ Austria Wien 2 1760 60.62% Salzburg 2 1660 17.18% 22.20%
3 2005-10-22 79.0 @ Grazer AK 2 1734 62.27% Ried 2 1619 16.16% 21.57%
4 2005-11-05 78.5 @ Rapid Wien 2 1714 58.18% Ried 2 1636 18.76% 23.06%
5 2005-08-20 77.7 @ Wacker Tirol 2 1596 26.89% Austria Wien 2 1757 47.42% 25.69%
6 2005-08-27 77.4 @ Ried 2 1632 36.56% Rapid Wien 2 1718 36.93% 26.51%
7 2005-09-20 77.2 @ Sturm Graz 2 1615 35.80% Rapid Wien 2 1706 37.70% 26.50%
8 2006-04-29 77.0 @ Ried 2 1657 57.56% Mattersburg 2 1584 19.18% 23.26%
9 2005-07-31 76.6 @ FC Superfund 2 1631 49.36% Sturm Graz 2 1624 25.29% 25.36%
10 2005-10-15 76.1 Salzburg 3 1625 18.89% @ Rapid Wien 2 1702 57.99% 23.12%
11 2005-08-06 76.0 @ Wacker Tirol 2 1606 45.12% FC Superfund 2 1630 28.87% 26.01%
12 2005-10-22 75.8 Wacker Tirol 3 1574 16.68% @ FC Superfund 2 1681 61.42% 21.90%
13 2005-07-13 75.7 Sturm Graz 3 1614 19.08% @ Rapid Wien 2 1688 57.70% 23.22%
14 2006-03-25 74.9 @ Mattersburg 2 1576 43.85% Wacker Tirol 2 1610 30.00% 26.15%
15 2006-05-06 74.6 Sturm Graz 3 1600 20.69% @ Grazer AK 2 1655 55.39% 23.93%
16 2005-08-20 74.2 @ Admira Wacker Modling 2 1528 34.02% Ried 2 1632 39.52% 26.45%
17 2006-03-11 74.2 @ Austria Wien 1 1778 65.86% FC Superfund 1 1629 14.08% 20.06%
18 2005-08-28 73.9 @ Grazer AK 1 1755 66.87% Wacker Tirol 1 1596 13.52% 19.61%
19 2005-08-14 73.0 @ Grazer AK 1 1746 51.01% Rapid Wien 1 1726 23.97% 25.02%
20 2005-08-20 72.3 Mattersburg 2 1590 14.80% @ Rapid Wien 1 1727 64.58% 20.62%
21 2005-12-03 72.2 Wacker Tirol 3 1584 24.04% @ Sturm Graz 2 1603 50.92% 25.04%
22 2006-03-25 71.6 FC Superfund 2 1637 18.31% @ Grazer AK 1 1722 58.86% 22.83%
23 2006-04-22 71.6 @ FC Superfund 1 1666 57.87% Wacker Tirol 1 1589 18.97% 23.16%
24 2006-04-29 71.4 @ Wacker Tirol 3 1591 33.13% Salzburg 2 1701 40.45% 26.41%
25 2006-04-15 70.9 @ Sturm Graz 1 1612 41.18% FC Superfund 1 1665 32.45% 26.37%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-12-08 42.6 @ Wacker Tirol 4 1591 58.69% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1508 18.42% 22.89%
2 2005-10-29 43.5 @ Ried 4 1624 60.56% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1524 17.21% 22.22%
3 2006-04-12 45.0 @ Grazer AK 3 1683 63.57% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1556 15.39% 21.04%
4 2005-08-14 45.2 @ FC Superfund 5 1631 59.25% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1543 18.06% 22.70%
5 2005-10-02 45.2 @ Austria Wien 3 1734 66.61% Mattersburg 0 1577 13.66% 19.72%
6 2005-12-08 45.4 @ Grazer AK 3 1729 65.83% Mattersburg 0 1580 14.10% 20.08%
7 2006-05-06 47.2 @ Ried 2 1656 61.25% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1550 16.79% 21.97%
8 2006-02-18 47.5 @ Rapid Wien 2 1713 64.95% Mattersburg 0 1573 14.59% 20.46%
9 2005-11-19 47.8 @ Ried 3 1637 53.79% Wacker Tirol 0 1595 21.85% 24.36%
10 2005-10-02 47.9 @ Grazer AK 4 1743 72.20% Admira Wacker Modling 1 1529 10.79% 17.01%
11 2005-09-11 48.2 @ Austria Wien 2 1739 64.91% Salzburg 0 1599 14.61% 20.48%
12 2005-12-08 48.5 @ Austria Wien 3 1742 58.54% Ried 0 1661 18.52% 22.94%
13 2005-07-20 48.7 @ Salzburg 4 1595 47.45% Mattersburg 0 1603 26.86% 25.69%
14 2006-04-01 48.8 @ FC Superfund 2 1646 57.16% Mattersburg 0 1576 19.45% 23.39%
15 2005-11-05 49.0 Salzburg 4 1636 42.24% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1513 31.46% 26.30%
16 2005-07-24 49.1 @ Ried 3 1623 49.86% Salzburg 0 1612 24.88% 25.26%
17 2005-09-21 49.1 @ FC Superfund 2 1675 58.82% Mattersburg 0 1591 18.34% 22.84%
18 2005-09-24 49.1 @ Rapid Wien 2 1706 60.70% Wacker Tirol 0 1605 17.12% 22.17%
19 2005-07-30 49.2 @ Austria Wien 2 1758 63.02% Ried 0 1636 15.71% 21.27%
20 2006-03-18 49.5 @ Wacker Tirol 2 1602 51.67% Mattersburg 0 1577 23.45% 24.88%
21 2006-04-12 49.7 @ Salzburg 3 1679 52.35% Ried 0 1649 22.93% 24.72%
22 2005-10-30 49.8 @ Grazer AK 2 1729 60.20% Sturm Graz 0 1632 17.44% 22.36%
23 2006-05-13 50.5 Salzburg 3 1688 44.95% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1544 29.02% 26.03%
24 2006-04-12 50.6 @ Austria Wien 1 1758 69.19% Mattersburg 0 1575 12.29% 18.51%
25 2005-10-23 50.7 @ Salzburg 3 1633 46.82% Sturm Graz 0 1646 27.40% 25.78%