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2004-05 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rapid Wien

71 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rapid Wien

11.02 points above expected

71 points · 59.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz

8.78 points below expected

21 points · 29.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rapid Wien 36 21 8 7 71 67 31 +36 59.98 +11.02
2 Grazer AK 36 21 7 8 70 58 28 +30 66.30 +3.70
3 Austria Wien 36 19 12 5 69 64 24 +40 70.23 -1.23
4 FC Superfund 36 17 9 10 60 53 48 +5 58.87 +1.13
5 Mattersburg 36 12 9 15 45 48 58 -10 40.81 +4.19
6 Wacker Tirol 36 11 11 14 44 48 48 0 43.96 +0.04
7 Sturm Graz 36 10 10 16 40 37 47 -10 40.53 -0.53
8 Admira Wacker Modling 36 10 8 18 38 36 63 -27 41.18 -3.18
9 Austria Salzburg 36 9 9 18 36 37 51 -14 44.08 -8.08
10 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 36 4 9 23 21 30 80 -50 29.78 -8.78

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rapid Wien 71 59.98 +11.02
2 Mattersburg 45 40.81 +4.19
3 Grazer AK 70 66.30 +3.70
4 FC Superfund 60 58.87 +1.13
5 Wacker Tirol 44 43.96 +0.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 21 29.78 -8.78
2 Austria Salzburg 36 44.08 -8.08
3 Admira Wacker Modling 38 41.18 -3.18
4 Austria Wien 69 70.23 -1.23
5 Sturm Graz 40 40.53 -0.53

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Superfund 7 Sep 18 – Oct 30 1 in 335
2 Mattersburg 4 Nov 20 – Dec 7 1 in 206
3 Grazer AK 6 Apr 2 – May 5 1 in 138
4 Austria Wien 7 Aug 22 – Oct 16 1 in 89
5 Rapid Wien 6 Apr 24 – May 14 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Salzburg 5 Nov 20 – Feb 19 1 in 92
2 Austria Wien 2 Dec 7 – Mar 5 1 in 35
3 Grazer AK 3 Aug 28 – Sep 19 1 in 35
4 Rapid Wien 3 May 22 – May 29 1 in 30
5 Wacker Tirol 3 Sep 25 – Oct 16 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wacker Tirol 8 Nov 27 – Mar 19 1 in 70
2 Rapid Wien 10 Sep 11 – Nov 14 1 in 41
3 Sturm Graz 4 May 14 – May 29 1 in 35
4 Admira Wacker Modling 4 Feb 26 – Apr 2 1 in 23
5 Grazer AK 11 Apr 2 – May 29 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Superfund 10 Apr 9 – May 29 1 in 597
2 Austria Salzburg 8 Nov 13 – Mar 12 1 in 33
3 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 16 Dec 8 – May 29 1 in 28
4 Admira Wacker Modling 7 Oct 3 – Nov 13 1 in 26
5 Sturm Graz 10 Aug 6 – Oct 23 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rapid Wien 1788 71 -42 6 8.8 -2.8
Grazer AK 1893 70 +9 11 10.6 +0.4
Austria Wien 1878 69 +30 11 9.7 +1.3
FC Superfund 1700 60 -51 3 7.5 -4.5
Mattersburg 1631 45 -19 5 7.7 -2.7
Wacker Tirol 1661 44 +24 8 6.6 +1.4
Sturm Graz 1651 40 +46 8 4.4 +3.6
Admira Wacker Modling 1560 38 -17 2 4.6 -2.6
Austria Salzburg 1623 36 +46 11 6.6 +4.4
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1458 21 -27 1 3.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AWM AS AW FS GA MAT RW SB SG WT
Admira Wacker Modling —
1-1-2
5.15
0-1-3
2.86
1-1-2
3.52
1-1-2
3.02
2-0-2
5.32
1-0-3
3.22
2-1-1
6.82
0-3-1
5.69
2-0-2
5.48
Austria Salzburg
2-1-1
5.79
 —
0-1-3
2.70
0-2-2
4.05
0-0-4
3.47
1-0-3
6.07
1-1-2
3.47
3-1-0
7.09
2-0-2
5.90
0-3-1
5.39
Austria Wien
3-1-0
8.24
3-1-0
8.40
 —
1-1-2
6.85
1-2-1
5.77
1-2-1
8.51
2-2-0
6.67
3-1-0
9.19
2-1-1
8.65
3-1-0
8.19
FC Superfund
2-1-1
7.49
2-2-0
6.94
2-1-1
4.14
 —
1-0-3
4.90
2-1-1
7.42
1-1-2
5.16
3-1-0
8.51
3-0-1
7.32
1-2-1
6.79
Grazer AK
2-1-1
8.05
4-0-0
7.56
1-2-1
5.20
3-0-1
6.08
 —
2-1-1
8.00
1-1-2
6.26
4-0-0
9.09
2-1-1
8.31
2-1-1
7.78
Mattersburg
2-0-2
5.63
3-0-1
4.90
1-2-1
2.62
1-1-2
3.59
1-1-2
3.06
 —
1-1-2
3.52
1-2-1
7.02
1-1-2
5.48
1-1-2
5.24
Rapid Wien
3-0-1
7.82
2-1-1
7.56
0-2-2
4.29
2-1-1
5.78
2-1-1
4.71
2-1-1
7.49
 —
4-0-0
8.03
3-1-0
7.42
3-1-0
7.06
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz
1-1-2
4.14
0-1-3
3.91
0-1-3
2.07
0-1-3
2.61
0-0-4
2.13
1-2-1
3.98
0-0-4
3.13
 —
1-2-1
4.15
1-1-2
3.81
Sturm Graz
1-3-0
5.26
2-0-2
5.04
1-1-2
2.49
1-0-3
3.68
1-1-2
2.77
2-1-1
5.47
0-1-3
3.61
1-2-1
6.82
 —
1-1-2
5.15
Wacker Tirol
2-0-2
5.47
1-3-0
5.56
0-1-3
2.87
1-2-1
4.18
1-1-2
3.27
2-1-1
5.70
0-1-3
3.92
2-1-1
7.18
2-1-1
5.79
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +13.0
Allowed 0.83 -9.2
Differential 0.93 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.89%5.28%3.89%1.39%1.11%28.89%
18.89%13.89%7.78%3.06%1.39%1.11%36.11%
25.28%7.78%3.33%1.67%0.83%0.56%19.44%
33.89%3.06%1.67%——0.28%8.89%
41.39%1.39%0.83%———3.61%
5+1.11%1.11%0.56%0.28%——3.06%
Total28.89%36.11%19.44%8.89%3.61%3.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.31 1.31 1.98
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%5.56%38.89%
111.11%11.11%5.56%—2.78%2.78%33.33%
25.56%—2.78%—5.56%2.78%16.67%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%25.00%19.44%2.78%11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.75 -0.75
SD 1.01 1.78 2.14
CV 1.01 1.02 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%22.22%5.56%——2.78%38.89%
15.56%16.67%5.56%11.11%——38.89%
25.56%5.56%————11.11%
3—————2.78%2.78%
4—2.78%5.56%———8.33%
5+———————
Total19.44%47.22%16.67%11.11%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.42 -0.39
SD 1.18 1.25 1.57
CV 1.15 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%—2.78%——16.67%
116.67%13.89%8.33%———38.89%
213.89%2.78%8.33%———25.00%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+5.56%2.78%————8.33%
Total55.56%25.00%16.67%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.67 +1.11
SD 1.77 0.86 2.11
CV 1.00 1.29 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%——13.89%2.78%—19.44%
15.56%22.22%11.11%———38.89%
25.56%19.44%————25.00%
32.78%—5.56%———8.33%
45.56%—2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total22.22%41.67%19.44%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.33 +0.14
SD 1.16 1.07 1.91
CV 0.79 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%2.78%———22.22%
119.44%8.33%5.56%2.78%——36.11%
22.78%11.11%2.78%———16.67%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total41.67%41.67%13.89%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.78 +0.83
SD 1.42 0.80 1.59
CV 0.88 1.02 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
15.56%11.11%8.33%8.33%—5.56%38.89%
22.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
Total25.00%27.78%22.22%16.67%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.61 -0.28
SD 1.31 1.40 1.89
CV 0.98 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%————16.67%
111.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
28.33%16.67%5.56%———30.56%
35.56%—————5.56%
4—8.33%————8.33%
5+5.56%2.78%————8.33%
Total36.11%50.00%8.33%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.86 +1.00
SD 1.53 0.90 1.90
CV 0.82 1.04 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%13.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%41.67%
12.78%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%36.11%
2—5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%19.44%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%30.56%27.78%16.67%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 2.22 -1.39
SD 0.85 1.74 1.92
CV 1.01 0.78 —
Max 3 9 +1
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%—38.89%
18.33%13.89%11.11%—2.78%—36.11%
22.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
32.78%13.89%————16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%38.89%22.22%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.31 -0.28
SD 1.08 1.12 1.67
CV 1.05 0.86 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
12.78%13.89%11.11%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
25.56%8.33%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total25.00%33.33%27.78%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.07 1.69
CV 0.91 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Grazer AK 1893 70 66.30 +3.70 73.1% 41 55 62 66 71 79 87
Austria Wien 1878 69 70.23 -1.23 46.3% 43 58 65 70 75 82 91
Rapid Wien 1788 71 59.98 +11.02 95.2% 38 48 55 60 65 71 84
FC Superfund 1700 60 58.87 +1.13 59.6% 37 47 54 59 64 70 82
Wacker Tirol 1661 44 43.96 +0.04 55.5% 23 33 39 44 49 56 71
Sturm Graz 1651 40 40.53 -0.53 50.2% 21 29 36 40 45 52 69
Mattersburg 1631 45 40.81 +4.19 75.2% 17 30 36 41 45 53 61
Austria Salzburg 1623 36 44.08 -8.08 15.3% 23 32 39 44 49 56 77
Admira Wacker Modling 1560 38 41.18 -3.18 35.4% 19 29 36 41 46 53 75
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1458 21 29.78 -8.78 10.4% 9 19 25 30 34 41 54

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.33%
Clear Edge
48.89%25.56%25.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge
185 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
082.59500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.50 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
8%
Rapid Wien, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.71 * Some Luck: 5.71 to 8.56 * Lucky: 8.56 to 11.41 * Wild Swing: 11.41 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.94 * Close: 0.94 to 1.4 * Off: 1.4 to 1.87 * Way Off: 1.87 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.55 points
As Expected
07.1318
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Close
01.172.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.20%
Rapid Wien
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
10.40%
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.90
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
92%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.62
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.44
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.94
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.15
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rapid Wien8.20%19.80%31.90%28.80%7.40%2.70%0.90%0.20%0.10%—
Grazer AK28.30%36.90%22.20%10.50%1.40%0.30%0.30%0.10%——
Austria Wien56.50%24.70%12.50%4.90%0.70%0.50%0.20%———
FC Superfund6.50%15.70%28.10%32.90%11.40%2.30%2.40%0.60%0.10%—
Mattersburg—0.10%0.90%4.00%12.10%16.50%18.60%20.20%20.70%6.90%
Wacker Tirol0.10%0.70%1.30%5.70%22.40%21.60%18.40%16.00%11.20%2.60%
Sturm Graz—0.30%1.10%3.10%12.80%14.80%18.70%20.10%20.80%8.30%
Admira Wacker Modling0.10%0.30%0.90%2.50%10.40%18.60%21.60%18.40%18.30%8.90%
Austria Salzburg0.30%1.50%1.00%7.60%20.50%20.90%15.50%16.00%11.90%4.80%
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz——0.10%—0.90%1.80%3.40%8.40%16.90%68.50%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Austria Wien 100% —
FC Superfund 100% —
Grazer AK 100% —
Rapid Wien 100% —
Wacker Tirol 97.40% 2.60%
Austria Salzburg 95.20% 4.80%
Mattersburg 93.10% 6.90%
Sturm Graz 91.70% 8.30%
Admira Wacker Modling 91.10% 8.90%
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 31.50% 68.50%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2004-07-13 Grazer AK W 1-065.0 1635 1816 24.20% 26.16% 49.64%-0.53 +12.0 3
2004-07-13 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-165.0 1816 1635 49.64% 26.16% 24.20%+0.53 -12.0 0
2004-07-14 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-158.9 1769 1643 61.95% 23.15% 14.90%+1.13 +4.1 3
2004-07-14 @ Austria Wien L 1-258.9 1643 1769 14.90% 23.15% 61.95%-1.13 -4.1 0
2004-07-14 FC Superfund D 1-171.5 1674 1759 36.12% 27.10% 36.78%-0.01 +0.0 1
2004-07-14 @ Austria Salzburg D 1-171.5 1759 1674 36.78% 27.10% 36.12%+0.01 -0.0 1
2004-07-14 Mattersburg W 3-157.4 1639 1607 51.74% 25.81% 22.45%+0.62 +10.4 3
2004-07-14 @ Sturm Graz L 1-357.4 1607 1639 22.45% 25.81% 51.74%-0.62 -10.4 0
2004-07-14 Rapid Wien L 1-561.2 1642 1659 45.48% 26.68% 27.84%+0.35 -33.2 0
2004-07-14 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 5-161.2 1659 1642 27.84% 26.68% 45.48%-0.35 +33.2 3
2004-07-20 Sturm Graz W 3-049.2 1759 1649 60.34% 23.68% 15.98%+1.04 +12.8 4
2004-07-20 @ FC Superfund L 0-349.2 1649 1759 15.98% 23.68% 60.34%-1.04 -12.8 3
2004-07-21 Austria Wien D 0-066.7 1596 1774 24.50% 26.22% 49.28%-0.51 +1.4 1
2004-07-21 @ Mattersburg D 0-066.7 1774 1596 49.28% 26.22% 24.50%+0.51 -1.5 4
2004-07-21 Austria Salzburg W 1-053.7 1804 1675 62.25% 23.05% 14.70%+1.14 +4.3 3
2004-07-21 @ Grazer AK L 0-153.7 1675 1804 14.70% 23.05% 62.25%-1.14 -4.3 1
2004-07-21 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-050.0 1639 1609 51.55% 25.85% 22.60%+0.61 +17.6 3
2004-07-21 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-350.0 1609 1639 22.60% 25.85% 51.55%-0.61 -17.6 0
2004-07-21 Wacker Tirol W 4-155.7 1692 1647 53.25% 25.52% 21.23%+0.69 +14.1 6
2004-07-21 @ Rapid Wien L 1-455.7 1647 1692 21.23% 25.52% 53.25%-0.69 -14.1 3
2004-07-31 Admira Wacker Modling W 1-057.4 1637 1657 45.07% 26.72% 28.21%+0.34 +7.7 6
2004-07-31 @ Sturm Graz L 0-157.4 1657 1637 28.21% 26.72% 45.07%-0.34 -7.7 3
2004-07-31 FC Superfund W 3-059.6 1598 1772 24.81% 26.27% 48.92%-0.50 +32.4 4
2004-07-31 @ Mattersburg L 0-359.6 1772 1598 48.92% 26.27% 24.81%+0.50 -32.4 4
2004-07-31 Grazer AK L 1-358.5 1591 1808 20.62% 25.36% 54.01%-0.73 -9.7 0
2004-07-31 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-158.5 1808 1591 54.01% 25.36% 20.62%+0.73 +9.7 6
2004-07-31 Wacker Tirol D 0-066.2 1670 1633 52.30% 25.71% 21.99%+0.65 -1.8 2
2004-07-31 @ Austria Salzburg D 0-066.2 1633 1670 21.99% 25.71% 52.30%-0.65 +1.8 4
2004-08-01 Rapid Wien D 1-172.3 1772 1706 55.61% 25.00% 19.39%+0.80 -1.9 5
2004-08-01 @ Austria Wien D 1-172.3 1706 1772 19.39% 25.00% 55.61%-0.80 +1.9 7
2004-08-06 Sturm Graz W 1-052.3 1818 1644 66.41% 21.45% 12.14%+1.38 +3.5 9
2004-08-06 @ Grazer AK L 0-152.3 1644 1818 12.14% 21.45% 66.41%-1.38 -3.5 6
2004-08-07 Austria Wien W 2-164.8 1740 1770 43.74% 26.83% 29.43%+0.28 +7.5 7
2004-08-07 @ FC Superfund L 1-264.8 1770 1740 29.43% 26.83% 43.74%-0.28 -7.5 5
2004-08-07 Mattersburg W 3-158.4 1649 1630 50.16% 26.08% 23.76%+0.55 +11.0 6
2004-08-07 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 1-358.4 1630 1649 23.76% 26.08% 50.16%-0.55 -11.0 4
2004-08-07 Austria Salzburg D 0-066.9 1708 1668 52.64% 25.65% 21.72%+0.66 -1.8 8
2004-08-07 @ Rapid Wien D 0-066.9 1668 1708 21.72% 25.65% 52.64%-0.66 +1.8 3
2004-08-08 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-169.5 1635 1581 54.24% 25.32% 20.45%+0.74 -1.8 5
2004-08-08 @ Wacker Tirol D 1-169.5 1581 1635 20.45% 25.32% 54.24%-0.74 +1.8 1
2004-08-14 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-362.0 1747 1660 57.94% 24.40% 17.66%+0.92 -37.3 7
2004-08-14 @ FC Superfund W 3-062.0 1660 1747 17.66% 24.40% 57.94%-0.92 +37.3 9
2004-08-14 Grazer AK L 0-156.5 1619 1821 22.00% 25.71% 52.29%-0.65 -6.3 4
2004-08-14 @ Mattersburg W 1-056.5 1821 1619 52.29% 25.71% 22.00%+0.65 +6.3 12
2004-08-14 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 4-259.5 1670 1583 57.95% 24.40% 17.65%+0.92 +7.5 6
2004-08-14 @ Austria Salzburg L 2-459.5 1583 1670 17.65% 24.40% 57.95%-0.92 -7.5 1
2004-08-15 Rapid Wien L 0-161.3 1641 1706 38.86% 27.07% 34.07%+0.09 -9.8 6
2004-08-15 @ Sturm Graz W 1-061.3 1706 1641 34.07% 27.07% 38.86%-0.09 +9.8 11
2004-08-15 Wacker Tirol D 2-278.1 1763 1633 62.29% 23.03% 14.68%+1.15 -2.0 6
2004-08-15 @ Austria Wien D 2-278.1 1633 1763 14.68% 23.03% 62.29%-1.15 +2.0 6
2004-08-21 Admira Wacker Modling W 4-264.8 1678 1698 45.16% 26.71% 28.13%+0.34 +11.3 9
2004-08-21 @ Austria Salzburg L 2-464.8 1698 1678 28.13% 26.71% 45.16%-0.34 -11.3 9
2004-08-21 FC Superfund W 2-159.7 1827 1710 61.09% 23.44% 15.47%+1.08 +4.2 15
2004-08-21 @ Grazer AK L 1-259.7 1710 1827 15.47% 23.44% 61.09%-1.08 -4.2 7
2004-08-21 Mattersburg W 3-048.7 1716 1613 59.69% 23.89% 16.42%+1.01 +13.1 14
2004-08-21 @ Rapid Wien L 0-348.7 1613 1716 16.42% 23.89% 59.69%-1.01 -13.1 4
2004-08-21 Sturm Graz W 2-161.5 1635 1631 48.27% 26.36% 25.38%+0.47 +6.7 9
2004-08-21 @ Wacker Tirol L 1-261.5 1631 1635 25.38% 26.36% 48.27%-0.47 -6.7 6
2004-08-22 Austria Wien L 0-953.1 1576 1761 23.71% 26.07% 50.22%-0.55 -51.6 1
2004-08-22 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 9-053.1 1761 1576 50.22% 26.07% 23.71%+0.55 +51.6 9
2004-08-28 Grazer AK W 2-061.2 1686 1832 28.15% 26.71% 45.14%-0.34 +20.9 12
2004-08-28 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-261.2 1832 1686 45.14% 26.71% 28.15%+0.34 -20.9 15
2004-08-28 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 0-063.6 1624 1524 59.33% 24.00% 16.67%+0.99 -2.6 7
2004-08-28 @ Sturm Graz D 0-063.6 1524 1624 16.67% 24.00% 59.33%-0.99 +2.6 2
2004-08-28 Wacker Tirol W 2-162.9 1600 1642 42.13% 26.94% 30.93%+0.22 +7.8 7
2004-08-28 @ Mattersburg L 1-262.9 1642 1600 30.93% 26.94% 42.13%-0.22 -7.8 9
2004-08-29 Rapid Wien W 2-164.3 1706 1729 44.63% 26.76% 28.62%+0.32 +7.4 10
2004-08-29 @ FC Superfund L 1-264.3 1729 1706 28.62% 26.76% 44.63%-0.32 -7.4 14
2004-08-29 Austria Salzburg W 2-051.1 1812 1689 61.68% 23.24% 15.08%+1.11 +8.3 12
2004-08-29 @ Austria Wien L 0-251.1 1689 1812 15.08% 23.24% 61.68%-1.11 -8.3 9
2004-09-11 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-162.7 1722 1707 49.61% 26.17% 24.22%+0.53 +6.4 17
2004-09-11 @ Rapid Wien L 1-262.7 1707 1722 24.22% 26.17% 49.61%-0.53 -6.4 12
2004-09-11 FC Superfund W 2-165.9 1634 1713 36.96% 27.10% 35.94%+0.02 +8.8 12
2004-09-11 @ Wacker Tirol L 1-265.9 1713 1634 35.94% 27.10% 36.96%-0.02 -8.8 10
2004-09-11 Mattersburg W 2-162.0 1527 1607 36.71% 27.10% 36.19%+0.01 +8.8 5
2004-09-11 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-262.0 1607 1527 36.19% 27.10% 36.71%-0.01 -8.8 7
2004-09-11 Sturm Graz W 1-054.5 1681 1622 54.86% 25.18% 19.96%+0.77 +5.8 12
2004-09-11 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-154.5 1622 1681 19.96% 25.18% 54.86%-0.77 -5.8 7
2004-09-12 Austria Wien L 0-164.6 1811 1821 46.46% 26.58% 26.96%+0.39 -11.3 15
2004-09-12 @ Grazer AK W 1-064.6 1821 1811 26.96% 26.58% 46.46%-0.39 +11.3 15
2004-09-18 Austria Salzburg W 5-368.3 1599 1686 35.69% 27.10% 37.21%-0.03 +13.2 10
2004-09-18 @ Mattersburg L 3-568.3 1686 1599 37.21% 27.10% 35.69%+0.03 -13.2 12
2004-09-18 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 4-045.0 1704 1535 66.01% 21.61% 12.38%+1.36 +12.8 13
2004-09-18 @ FC Superfund L 0-445.0 1535 1704 12.38% 21.61% 66.01%-1.36 -12.8 5
2004-09-18 Wacker Tirol L 0-262.6 1701 1643 54.74% 25.20% 20.06%+0.76 -24.5 12
2004-09-18 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-062.6 1643 1701 20.06% 25.20% 54.74%-0.76 +24.5 15
2004-09-19 Austria Wien L 0-253.2 1616 1832 20.70% 25.38% 53.92%-0.72 -11.2 7
2004-09-19 @ Sturm Graz W 2-053.2 1832 1616 53.92% 25.38% 20.70%+0.72 +11.2 18
2004-09-19 Grazer AK W 2-166.6 1729 1799 38.12% 27.09% 34.79%+0.06 +8.5 20
2004-09-19 @ Rapid Wien L 1-266.6 1799 1729 34.79% 27.09% 38.12%-0.06 -8.6 15
2004-09-25 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-260.5 1667 1676 46.57% 26.56% 26.86%+0.40 -21.4 15
2004-09-25 @ Wacker Tirol W 2-060.5 1676 1667 26.86% 26.56% 46.57%-0.40 +21.4 15
2004-09-25 Mattersburg W 2-051.4 1673 1612 55.14% 25.11% 19.75%+0.78 +10.8 15
2004-09-25 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-251.4 1612 1673 19.75% 25.11% 55.14%-0.78 -10.8 10
2004-09-25 Rapid Wien D 2-278.0 1791 1737 54.25% 25.31% 20.43%+0.74 -1.3 16
2004-09-25 @ Grazer AK D 2-278.0 1737 1791 20.43% 25.31% 54.25%-0.74 +1.4 21
2004-09-26 FC Superfund L 2-365.1 1523 1717 22.75% 25.88% 51.36%-0.60 -5.8 5
2004-09-26 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-265.1 1717 1523 51.36% 25.88% 22.75%+0.60 +5.8 16
2004-09-26 Sturm Graz W 3-045.9 1843 1605 71.94% 18.89% 9.17%+1.74 +7.0 21
2004-09-26 @ Austria Wien L 0-345.9 1605 1843 9.17% 18.89% 71.94%-1.74 -7.0 7
2004-10-02 Sturm Graz D 1-168.8 1601 1598 48.16% 26.37% 25.47%+0.46 -1.2 11
2004-10-02 @ Mattersburg D 1-168.8 1598 1601 25.47% 26.37% 48.16%-0.46 +1.2 8
2004-10-03 Austria Wien L 0-553.8 1698 1850 27.29% 26.62% 46.09%-0.38 -33.2 15
2004-10-03 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 5-053.8 1850 1698 46.09% 26.62% 27.29%+0.38 +33.2 24
2004-10-03 Austria Salzburg W 2-161.7 1723 1684 52.50% 25.67% 21.83%+0.66 +5.9 19
2004-10-03 @ FC Superfund L 1-261.7 1684 1723 21.83% 25.67% 52.50%-0.66 -5.9 15
2004-10-03 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-154.6 1738 1517 70.57% 19.57% 9.86%+1.64 +2.6 24
2004-10-03 @ Rapid Wien L 1-254.6 1517 1738 9.86% 19.57% 70.57%-1.64 -2.6 5
2004-10-03 Wacker Tirol W 2-158.5 1790 1646 63.66% 22.54% 13.80%+1.22 +3.8 19
2004-10-03 @ Grazer AK L 1-258.5 1646 1790 13.80% 22.54% 63.66%-1.22 -3.8 15
2004-10-16 Admira Wacker Modling D 1-168.2 1514 1664 27.56% 26.65% 45.80%-0.37 +0.9 6
2004-10-16 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-168.2 1664 1514 45.80% 26.65% 27.56%+0.37 -0.9 16
2004-10-16 FC Superfund L 1-263.9 1599 1729 30.04% 26.88% 43.08%-0.26 -7.6 8
2004-10-16 @ Sturm Graz W 2-163.9 1729 1599 43.08% 26.88% 30.04%+0.26 +7.6 22
2004-10-16 Mattersburg W 2-046.9 1883 1600 75.38% 17.08% 7.54%+1.98 +3.8 27
2004-10-16 @ Austria Wien L 0-246.9 1600 1883 7.54% 17.08% 75.38%-1.98 -3.8 11
2004-10-16 Rapid Wien L 0-257.3 1642 1741 34.14% 27.08% 38.79%-0.09 -16.9 15
2004-10-16 @ Wacker Tirol W 2-057.3 1741 1642 38.79% 27.08% 34.14%+0.09 +16.9 27
2004-10-17 Grazer AK L 0-160.0 1678 1793 31.96% 27.00% 41.05%-0.18 -8.5 15
2004-10-17 @ Austria Salzburg W 1-060.0 1793 1678 41.05% 27.00% 31.96%+0.18 +8.5 22
2004-10-23 Mattersburg W 4-047.2 1736 1596 63.35% 22.65% 14.00%+1.21 +14.6 25
2004-10-23 @ FC Superfund L 0-447.2 1596 1736 14.00% 22.65% 63.35%-1.21 -14.6 11
2004-10-23 Austria Salzburg W 3-161.1 1625 1670 41.82% 26.96% 31.22%+0.21 +13.6 18
2004-10-23 @ Wacker Tirol L 1-361.1 1670 1625 31.22% 26.96% 41.82%-0.21 -13.7 15
2004-10-23 Sturm Graz D 0-065.7 1664 1591 56.34% 24.82% 18.84%+0.84 -2.3 17
2004-10-23 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 0-065.7 1591 1664 18.84% 24.82% 56.34%-0.84 +2.3 9
2004-10-24 Austria Wien D 1-172.1 1758 1887 30.12% 26.88% 42.99%-0.25 +0.6 28
2004-10-24 @ Rapid Wien D 1-172.1 1887 1758 42.99% 26.88% 30.12%+0.25 -0.7 28
2004-10-24 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-043.8 1802 1515 75.61% 16.96% 7.43%+2.00 +5.5 25
2004-10-24 @ Grazer AK L 0-343.8 1515 1802 7.43% 16.96% 75.61%-2.00 -5.5 6
2004-10-26 Admira Wacker Modling W 3-054.4 1581 1661 36.84% 27.10% 36.06%+0.01 +25.5 14
2004-10-26 @ Mattersburg L 0-354.4 1661 1581 36.06% 27.10% 36.84%-0.01 -25.5 17
2004-10-27 FC Superfund L 1-273.9 1886 1751 62.88% 22.82% 14.30%+1.18 -13.8 28
2004-10-27 @ Austria Wien W 2-173.9 1751 1886 14.30% 22.82% 62.88%-1.18 +13.8 28
2004-10-27 Grazer AK W 1-065.7 1593 1807 20.90% 25.44% 53.66%-0.71 +12.8 12
2004-10-27 @ Sturm Graz L 0-165.7 1807 1593 53.66% 25.44% 20.90%+0.71 -12.8 25
2004-10-27 Rapid Wien L 0-160.2 1656 1759 33.65% 27.06% 39.29%-0.11 -8.8 15
2004-10-27 @ Austria Salzburg W 1-060.2 1759 1656 39.29% 27.06% 33.65%+0.11 +8.9 31
2004-10-27 Wacker Tirol W 3-269.3 1510 1639 30.13% 26.88% 42.98%-0.25 +9.5 9
2004-10-27 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 2-369.3 1639 1510 42.98% 26.88% 30.13%+0.25 -9.5 18
2004-10-30 FC Superfund L 2-465.6 1636 1765 30.16% 26.89% 42.95%-0.25 -11.9 17
2004-10-30 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 4-265.6 1765 1636 42.95% 26.89% 30.16%+0.25 +11.9 31
2004-10-30 Austria Wien L 0-252.5 1629 1873 18.36% 24.66% 56.98%-0.87 -10.0 18
2004-10-30 @ Wacker Tirol W 2-052.5 1873 1629 56.98% 24.66% 18.36%+0.87 +10.0 31
2004-10-30 Mattersburg D 1-173.1 1795 1607 67.68% 20.90% 11.42%+1.46 -3.2 26
2004-10-30 @ Grazer AK D 1-173.1 1607 1795 11.42% 20.90% 67.68%-1.46 +3.2 15
2004-10-30 Austria Salzburg D 1-167.8 1519 1647 30.28% 26.90% 42.82%-0.25 +0.6 10
2004-10-30 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-167.8 1647 1519 42.82% 26.90% 30.28%+0.25 -0.6 16
2004-10-31 Sturm Graz W 2-049.3 1767 1606 65.31% 21.90% 12.79%+1.32 +7.0 34
2004-10-31 @ Rapid Wien L 0-249.3 1606 1767 12.79% 21.90% 65.31%-1.32 -7.0 12
2004-11-06 Rapid Wien D 0-066.7 1610 1774 25.94% 26.44% 47.62%-0.44 +1.2 16
2004-11-06 @ Mattersburg D 0-066.7 1774 1610 47.62% 26.44% 25.94%+0.44 -1.2 35
2004-11-06 Austria Salzburg L 0-259.1 1624 1647 44.77% 26.74% 28.48%+0.32 -20.7 17
2004-11-06 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-059.1 1647 1624 28.48% 26.74% 44.77%-0.32 +20.7 19
2004-11-06 Wacker Tirol W 3-158.9 1599 1619 45.13% 26.71% 28.16%+0.34 +12.6 15
2004-11-06 @ Sturm Graz L 1-358.9 1619 1599 28.16% 26.71% 45.13%-0.34 -12.6 18
2004-11-07 Grazer AK L 1-269.8 1777 1791 45.83% 26.64% 27.53%+0.37 -10.5 31
2004-11-07 @ FC Superfund W 2-169.8 1791 1777 27.53% 26.64% 45.83%-0.37 +10.6 29
2004-11-07 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-044.9 1883 1520 80.73% 13.99% 5.29%+2.41 +2.5 34
2004-11-07 @ Austria Wien L 0-244.9 1520 1883 5.29% 13.99% 80.73%-2.41 -2.5 10
2004-11-13 Admira Wacker Modling D 0-068.7 1802 1603 68.65% 20.47% 10.88%+1.52 -3.6 30
2004-11-13 @ Grazer AK D 0-068.7 1603 1802 10.88% 20.47% 68.65%-1.52 +3.6 18
2004-11-13 Austria Wien D 1-172.4 1667 1885 20.52% 25.34% 54.14%-0.73 +1.8 20
2004-11-13 @ Austria Salzburg D 1-172.4 1885 1667 54.14% 25.34% 20.52%+0.73 -1.8 35
2004-11-13 Mattersburg W 5-154.1 1607 1611 47.14% 26.50% 26.36%+0.42 +21.8 21
2004-11-13 @ Wacker Tirol L 1-554.1 1611 1607 26.36% 26.50% 47.14%-0.42 -21.8 16
2004-11-13 Sturm Graz W 2-162.4 1517 1612 34.75% 27.09% 38.16%-0.06 +9.2 13
2004-11-13 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-262.4 1612 1517 38.16% 27.09% 34.75%+0.06 -9.2 15
2004-11-14 FC Superfund W 3-053.3 1773 1766 48.63% 26.31% 25.06%+0.48 +19.2 38
2004-11-14 @ Rapid Wien L 0-353.3 1766 1773 25.06% 26.31% 48.63%-0.48 -19.2 31
2004-11-20 Grazer AK D 0-068.3 1883 1798 57.74% 24.45% 17.80%+0.91 -2.4 36
2004-11-20 @ Austria Wien D 0-068.3 1798 1883 17.80% 24.45% 57.74%-0.91 +2.4 31
2004-11-20 Austria Salzburg W 3-161.7 1603 1669 38.76% 27.08% 34.16%+0.09 +14.6 18
2004-11-20 @ Sturm Graz L 1-361.7 1669 1603 34.16% 27.08% 38.76%-0.09 -14.6 20
2004-11-20 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 5-253.2 1590 1526 55.31% 25.07% 19.62%+0.79 +11.3 19
2004-11-20 @ Mattersburg L 2-553.2 1526 1590 19.62% 25.07% 55.31%-0.79 -11.3 13
2004-11-20 Wacker Tirol W 3-263.8 1747 1628 61.18% 23.41% 15.41%+1.09 +4.0 34
2004-11-20 @ FC Superfund L 2-363.8 1628 1747 15.41% 23.41% 61.18%-1.09 -4.0 21
2004-11-21 Rapid Wien W 1-064.8 1607 1792 23.65% 26.06% 50.29%-0.56 +12.1 21
2004-11-21 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-164.8 1792 1607 50.29% 26.06% 23.65%+0.56 -12.1 38
2004-11-27 Admira Wacker Modling W 4-050.4 1624 1619 48.45% 26.33% 25.22%+0.48 +25.2 24
2004-11-27 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-450.4 1619 1624 25.22% 26.33% 48.45%-0.48 -25.2 21
2004-11-27 Mattersburg L 1-269.7 1654 1601 54.24% 25.32% 20.45%+0.74 -12.2 20
2004-11-27 @ Austria Salzburg W 2-169.7 1601 1654 20.45% 25.32% 54.24%-0.74 +12.2 22
2004-11-27 Sturm Graz W 4-152.5 1780 1617 65.47% 21.83% 12.70%+1.33 +8.5 41
2004-11-27 @ Rapid Wien L 1-452.5 1617 1780 12.70% 21.83% 65.47%-1.33 -8.5 18
2004-11-28 FC Superfund L 1-271.8 1801 1751 53.80% 25.41% 20.79%+0.72 -12.1 31
2004-11-28 @ Grazer AK W 2-171.8 1751 1801 20.79% 25.41% 53.80%-0.72 +12.1 37
2004-11-28 Austria Wien L 0-151.3 1515 1881 10.79% 20.39% 68.82%-1.53 -3.1 13
2004-11-28 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 1-051.3 1881 1515 68.82% 20.39% 10.79%+1.53 +3.1 39
2004-12-04 Grazer AK W 3-167.3 1613 1789 24.69% 26.25% 49.06%-0.50 +19.3 25
2004-12-04 @ Mattersburg L 1-367.3 1789 1613 49.06% 26.25% 24.69%+0.50 -19.3 31
2004-12-04 Austria Salzburg W 3-153.6 1884 1642 72.21% 18.76% 9.03%+1.75 +4.1 42
2004-12-04 @ Austria Wien L 1-353.6 1642 1884 9.03% 18.76% 72.21%-1.75 -4.1 20
2004-12-04 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-161.2 1594 1512 57.35% 24.56% 18.09%+0.89 -13.5 21
2004-12-04 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 1-061.2 1512 1594 18.09% 24.56% 57.35%-0.89 +13.5 16
2004-12-04 Wacker Tirol D 0-065.1 1609 1650 42.32% 26.93% 30.76%+0.23 -0.6 19
2004-12-04 @ Sturm Graz D 0-065.1 1650 1609 30.76% 26.93% 42.32%-0.23 +0.6 25
2004-12-05 Rapid Wien D 1-172.0 1763 1789 44.36% 26.78% 28.86%+0.31 -0.8 38
2004-12-05 @ FC Superfund D 1-172.0 1789 1763 28.86% 26.78% 44.36%-0.31 +0.8 42
2004-12-07 Austria Wien W 2-172.8 1632 1888 17.38% 24.29% 58.33%-0.94 +12.9 28
2004-12-07 @ Mattersburg L 1-272.8 1888 1632 58.33% 24.29% 17.38%+0.94 -12.9 42
2004-12-08 Admira Wacker Modling W 5-254.0 1769 1580 67.82% 20.84% 11.34%+1.47 +6.5 34
2004-12-08 @ Grazer AK L 2-554.0 1580 1769 11.34% 20.84% 67.82%-1.47 -6.5 21
2004-12-08 FC Superfund L 0-159.2 1638 1762 30.80% 26.93% 42.27%-0.22 -8.3 20
2004-12-08 @ Austria Salzburg W 1-059.2 1762 1638 42.27% 26.93% 30.80%+0.22 +8.3 41
2004-12-08 Sturm Graz D 1-166.9 1526 1608 36.45% 27.10% 36.45%+0.00 +0.0 17
2004-12-08 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-166.9 1608 1526 36.45% 27.10% 36.45%+0.00 +0.0 20
2004-12-08 Wacker Tirol D 2-278.5 1790 1650 63.23% 22.70% 14.07%+1.20 -2.0 43
2004-12-08 @ Rapid Wien D 2-278.5 1650 1790 14.07% 22.70% 63.23%-1.20 +2.0 26
2005-02-19 Austria Salzburg W 3-159.3 1608 1630 44.90% 26.73% 28.37%+0.33 +12.7 23
2005-02-19 @ Sturm Graz L 1-359.3 1630 1608 28.37% 26.73% 44.90%-0.33 -12.7 20
2005-02-19 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-260.6 1652 1526 62.03% 23.12% 14.85%+1.13 +3.9 29
2005-02-19 @ Wacker Tirol L 2-360.6 1526 1652 14.85% 23.12% 62.03%-1.13 -3.9 17
2005-02-26 Admira Wacker Modling L 2-374.4 1645 1574 56.27% 24.84% 18.89%+0.83 -11.9 28
2005-02-26 @ Mattersburg W 3-274.4 1574 1645 18.89% 24.84% 56.27%-0.83 +11.9 24
2005-02-26 Wacker Tirol D 1-170.0 1617 1656 42.57% 26.91% 30.51%+0.24 -0.6 21
2005-02-26 @ Austria Salzburg D 1-170.0 1656 1617 30.51% 26.91% 42.57%-0.24 +0.6 30
2005-02-27 Sturm Graz W 4-047.3 1776 1621 64.73% 22.13% 13.14%+1.28 +13.6 37
2005-02-27 @ Grazer AK L 0-447.3 1621 1776 13.14% 22.13% 64.73%-1.28 -13.6 23
2005-03-05 Austria Wien W 1-067.4 1607 1875 16.48% 23.91% 59.61%-1.00 +14.0 26
2005-03-05 @ Sturm Graz L 0-167.4 1875 1607 59.61% 23.91% 16.48%+1.00 -14.0 42
2005-03-05 Grazer AK D 1-171.6 1657 1789 29.71% 26.85% 43.44%-0.27 +0.7 31
2005-03-05 @ Wacker Tirol D 1-171.6 1789 1657 43.44% 26.85% 29.71%+0.27 -0.7 38
2005-03-05 Mattersburg D 0-062.9 1522 1633 32.41% 27.02% 40.57%-0.16 +0.5 18
2005-03-05 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 0-062.9 1633 1522 40.57% 27.02% 32.41%+0.16 -0.5 29
2005-03-09 Mattersburg W 1-053.0 1770 1633 63.07% 22.75% 14.18%+1.19 +4.1 44
2005-03-09 @ FC Superfund L 0-153.0 1633 1770 14.18% 22.75% 63.07%-1.19 -4.1 29
2005-03-12 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-162.5 1617 1586 51.60% 25.84% 22.56%+0.62 -12.4 21
2005-03-12 @ Austria Salzburg W 1-062.5 1586 1617 22.56% 25.84% 51.60%-0.62 +12.3 27
2005-03-12 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-046.0 1789 1522 74.12% 17.76% 8.11%+1.89 +4.2 41
2005-03-12 @ Grazer AK L 0-246.0 1522 1789 8.11% 17.76% 74.12%-1.89 -4.2 18
2005-03-12 Sturm Graz W 2-158.0 1775 1621 64.58% 22.19% 13.23%+1.28 +3.6 47
2005-03-12 @ FC Superfund L 1-258.0 1621 1775 13.23% 22.19% 64.58%-1.28 -3.6 26
2005-03-12 Wacker Tirol D 1-170.2 1629 1658 43.96% 26.81% 29.23%+0.29 -0.7 30
2005-03-12 @ Mattersburg D 1-170.2 1658 1629 29.23% 26.81% 43.96%-0.29 +0.8 32
2005-03-13 Rapid Wien W 1-055.8 1861 1787 56.51% 24.78% 18.71%+0.85 +5.4 45
2005-03-13 @ Austria Wien L 0-155.8 1787 1861 18.71% 24.78% 56.51%-0.85 -5.4 43
2005-03-19 FC Superfund D 0-066.9 1658 1778 31.33% 26.96% 41.71%-0.20 +0.6 33
2005-03-19 @ Wacker Tirol D 0-066.9 1778 1658 41.71% 26.96% 31.33%+0.20 -0.6 48
2005-03-19 Grazer AK W 1-058.7 1782 1793 46.33% 26.59% 27.08%+0.39 +7.5 46
2005-03-19 @ Rapid Wien L 0-158.7 1793 1782 27.08% 26.59% 46.33%-0.39 -7.5 41
2005-03-19 Mattersburg L 2-372.5 1618 1628 46.38% 26.59% 27.03%+0.39 -10.1 26
2005-03-19 @ Sturm Graz W 3-272.5 1628 1618 27.03% 26.59% 46.38%-0.39 +10.1 33
2005-03-19 Austria Salzburg L 1-261.6 1518 1604 35.91% 27.10% 36.99%-0.02 -8.8 18
2005-03-19 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-161.6 1604 1518 36.99% 27.10% 35.91%+0.02 +8.8 24
2005-03-20 Austria Wien D 2-278.2 1598 1867 16.42% 23.89% 59.69%-1.01 +1.8 28
2005-03-20 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 2-278.2 1867 1598 59.69% 23.89% 16.42%+1.01 -1.8 46
2005-04-02 Admira Wacker Modling D 0-064.4 1607 1600 48.73% 26.30% 24.98%+0.49 -1.4 27
2005-04-02 @ Sturm Graz D 0-064.4 1600 1607 24.98% 26.30% 48.73%-0.49 +1.4 29
2005-04-02 Grazer AK L 0-157.3 1613 1785 25.05% 26.31% 48.65%-0.49 -7.0 24
2005-04-02 @ Austria Salzburg W 1-057.3 1785 1613 48.65% 26.31% 25.05%+0.49 +7.0 44
2005-04-02 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-045.7 1778 1509 74.26% 17.69% 8.05%+1.90 +4.1 51
2005-04-02 @ FC Superfund L 0-245.7 1509 1778 8.05% 17.69% 74.26%-1.90 -4.1 18
2005-04-02 Wacker Tirol W 1-051.7 1865 1659 69.28% 20.18% 10.54%+1.56 +3.0 49
2005-04-02 @ Austria Wien L 0-151.7 1659 1865 10.54% 20.18% 69.28%-1.56 -3.0 33
2005-04-03 Rapid Wien W 1-063.9 1638 1790 27.42% 26.63% 45.95%-0.37 +11.2 36
2005-04-03 @ Mattersburg L 0-163.9 1790 1638 45.95% 26.63% 27.42%+0.37 -11.2 46
2005-04-06 FC Superfund L 0-254.0 1601 1782 24.15% 26.15% 49.69%-0.53 -12.8 29
2005-04-06 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-054.0 1782 1601 49.69% 26.15% 24.15%+0.53 +12.8 54
2005-04-06 Rapid Wien L 0-249.8 1505 1778 16.11% 23.75% 60.14%-1.03 -8.9 18
2005-04-06 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-049.8 1778 1505 60.14% 23.75% 16.11%+1.03 +8.9 49
2005-04-09 FC Superfund D 1-171.5 1496 1795 14.44% 22.91% 62.65%-1.17 +2.7 19
2005-04-09 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-171.5 1795 1496 62.65% 22.91% 14.44%+1.17 -2.7 55
2005-04-09 Mattersburg W 2-158.7 1787 1649 63.10% 22.74% 14.16%+1.19 +3.9 52
2005-04-09 @ Rapid Wien L 1-258.7 1649 1787 14.16% 22.74% 63.10%-1.19 -3.9 36
2005-04-09 Austria Salzburg W 1-051.6 1792 1606 67.58% 20.95% 11.47%+1.45 +3.3 47
2005-04-09 @ Grazer AK L 0-151.6 1606 1792 11.47% 20.95% 67.58%-1.45 -3.3 24
2005-04-09 Sturm Graz D 1-168.6 1588 1606 45.41% 26.68% 27.90%+0.35 -0.9 30
2005-04-09 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 1-168.6 1606 1588 27.90% 26.68% 45.41%-0.35 +0.9 28
2005-04-10 Austria Wien L 0-351.8 1656 1868 21.06% 25.48% 53.46%-0.70 -16.6 33
2005-04-10 @ Wacker Tirol W 3-051.8 1868 1656 53.46% 25.48% 21.06%+0.70 +16.5 52
2005-04-16 Grazer AK L 0-360.1 1792 1796 47.24% 26.49% 26.27%+0.43 -31.4 55
2005-04-16 @ FC Superfund W 3-060.1 1796 1792 26.27% 26.49% 47.24%-0.43 +31.4 50
2005-04-16 Rapid Wien D 1-171.6 1607 1791 23.80% 26.09% 50.11%-0.55 +1.4 29
2005-04-16 @ Sturm Graz D 1-171.6 1791 1607 50.11% 26.09% 23.80%+0.55 -1.4 53
2005-04-16 Austria Salzburg W 2-051.4 1646 1603 52.97% 25.58% 21.45%+0.68 +11.6 39
2005-04-16 @ Mattersburg L 0-251.4 1603 1646 21.45% 25.58% 52.97%-0.68 -11.6 24
2005-04-16 Wacker Tirol W 1-057.6 1587 1639 40.77% 27.01% 32.22%+0.17 +8.6 33
2005-04-16 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-157.6 1639 1587 32.22% 27.01% 40.77%-0.17 -8.6 33
2005-04-17 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-175.3 1885 1499 82.09% 13.15% 4.77%+2.53 -4.2 53
2005-04-17 @ Austria Wien D 1-175.3 1499 1885 4.77% 13.15% 82.09%-2.53 +4.2 20
2005-04-23 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-155.1 1503 1596 35.01% 27.09% 37.90%-0.05 -9.1 20
2005-04-23 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 1-055.1 1596 1503 37.90% 27.09% 35.01%+0.05 +9.1 36
2005-04-23 Austria Wien L 0-153.8 1591 1880 15.03% 23.22% 61.74%-1.12 -4.4 24
2005-04-23 @ Austria Salzburg W 1-053.8 1880 1591 61.74% 23.22% 15.03%+1.12 +4.4 56
2005-04-23 Mattersburg W 5-151.1 1827 1657 66.12% 21.57% 12.31%+1.37 +10.6 53
2005-04-23 @ Grazer AK L 1-551.1 1657 1827 12.31% 21.57% 66.12%-1.37 -10.6 39
2005-04-23 Sturm Graz W 2-052.0 1631 1608 50.54% 26.02% 23.44%+0.57 +12.5 36
2005-04-23 @ Wacker Tirol L 0-252.0 1608 1631 23.44% 26.02% 50.54%-0.57 -12.5 29
2005-04-24 FC Superfund W 2-162.6 1790 1760 51.37% 25.88% 22.75%+0.60 +6.1 56
2005-04-24 @ Rapid Wien L 1-262.6 1760 1790 22.75% 25.88% 51.37%-0.60 -6.1 55
2005-04-29 Rapid Wien L 1-263.8 1643 1796 27.29% 26.62% 46.09%-0.38 -7.1 36
2005-04-29 @ Wacker Tirol W 2-163.8 1796 1643 46.09% 26.62% 27.29%+0.38 +7.1 59
2005-04-30 Grazer AK L 1-455.7 1605 1838 19.23% 24.95% 55.82%-0.81 -12.9 36
2005-04-30 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 4-155.7 1838 1605 55.82% 24.95% 19.23%+0.81 +12.9 56
2005-04-30 Mattersburg D 0-069.7 1885 1646 71.92% 18.90% 9.18%+1.73 -3.9 57
2005-04-30 @ Austria Wien D 0-069.7 1646 1885 9.18% 18.90% 71.92%-1.73 +3.9 40
2005-04-30 Austria Salzburg D 1-172.4 1754 1587 65.89% 21.66% 12.45%+1.35 -3.0 56
2005-04-30 @ FC Superfund D 1-172.4 1587 1754 12.45% 21.66% 65.89%-1.35 +3.0 25
2005-04-30 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-045.4 1596 1494 59.50% 23.95% 16.56%+1.00 +9.1 32
2005-04-30 @ Sturm Graz L 0-245.4 1494 1596 16.56% 23.95% 59.50%-1.00 -9.1 20
2005-05-04 Austria Salzburg W 5-046.0 1803 1590 69.87% 19.90% 10.23%+1.60 +12.8 62
2005-05-04 @ Rapid Wien L 0-546.0 1590 1803 10.23% 19.90% 69.87%-1.60 -12.8 25
2005-05-05 Grazer AK L 0-361.3 1881 1851 51.47% 25.86% 22.67%+0.61 -33.8 57
2005-05-05 @ Austria Wien W 3-061.3 1851 1881 22.67% 25.86% 51.47%-0.61 +33.8 59
2005-05-07 Admira Wacker Modling W 6-046.4 1816 1592 70.73% 19.49% 9.78%+1.66 +14.4 65
2005-05-07 @ Rapid Wien L 0-646.4 1592 1816 9.78% 19.49% 70.73%-1.66 -14.4 36
2005-05-07 FC Superfund D 1-171.3 1650 1751 33.87% 27.07% 39.07%-0.10 +0.3 41
2005-05-07 @ Mattersburg D 1-171.3 1751 1650 39.07% 27.07% 33.87%+0.10 -0.2 57
2005-05-07 Sturm Graz W 1-055.6 1577 1605 44.08% 26.80% 29.12%+0.30 +7.9 28
2005-05-07 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-155.6 1605 1577 29.12% 26.80% 44.08%-0.30 -7.9 32
2005-05-07 Wacker Tirol L 0-348.7 1485 1636 27.43% 26.63% 45.94%-0.37 -20.7 20
2005-05-07 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-048.7 1636 1485 45.94% 26.63% 27.43%+0.37 +20.7 39
2005-05-08 Austria Wien D 0-067.9 1884 1847 52.35% 25.70% 21.95%+0.65 -1.8 60
2005-05-08 @ Grazer AK D 0-067.9 1847 1884 21.95% 25.70% 52.35%-0.65 +1.8 58
2005-05-11 FC Superfund W 4-049.7 1849 1751 59.06% 24.08% 16.86%+0.97 +17.6 61
2005-05-11 @ Austria Wien L 0-449.7 1751 1849 16.86% 24.08% 59.06%-0.97 -17.6 57
2005-05-11 Rapid Wien L 0-154.6 1578 1830 17.65% 24.39% 57.95%-0.92 -5.1 36
2005-05-11 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 1-054.6 1830 1578 57.95% 24.39% 17.65%+0.92 +5.1 68
2005-05-14 Grazer AK D 1-172.8 1597 1883 15.27% 23.34% 61.39%-1.10 +2.5 33
2005-05-14 @ Sturm Graz D 1-172.8 1883 1597 61.39% 23.34% 15.27%+1.10 -2.5 61
2005-05-14 Mattersburg L 0-159.0 1573 1651 37.09% 27.10% 35.81%+0.02 -9.5 36
2005-05-14 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 1-059.0 1651 1573 35.81% 27.10% 37.09%-0.02 +9.5 44
2005-05-14 Austria Salzburg D 0-065.5 1657 1585 56.30% 24.83% 18.87%+0.84 -2.3 40
2005-05-14 @ Wacker Tirol D 0-065.5 1585 1657 18.87% 24.83% 56.30%-0.84 +2.3 29
2005-05-14 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 4-146.9 1835 1464 81.22% 13.69% 5.10%+2.45 +3.0 71
2005-05-14 @ Rapid Wien L 1-446.9 1464 1835 5.10% 13.69% 81.22%-2.45 -3.0 20
2005-05-15 Austria Wien D 1-172.1 1734 1866 29.67% 26.85% 43.48%-0.27 +0.7 58
2005-05-15 @ FC Superfund D 1-172.1 1866 1734 43.48% 26.85% 29.67%+0.27 -0.7 62
2005-05-21 Admira Wacker Modling D 1-172.0 1734 1563 66.22% 21.53% 12.25%+1.37 -3.0 59
2005-05-21 @ FC Superfund D 1-172.0 1563 1734 12.25% 21.53% 66.22%-1.37 +3.0 37
2005-05-21 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 2-274.1 1660 1461 68.67% 20.46% 10.87%+1.52 -2.4 45
2005-05-21 @ Mattersburg D 2-274.1 1461 1660 10.87% 20.46% 68.67%-1.52 +2.4 21
2005-05-21 Sturm Graz D 2-280.1 1866 1600 74.09% 17.78% 8.13%+1.89 -2.8 63
2005-05-21 @ Austria Wien D 2-280.1 1600 1866 8.13% 17.78% 74.09%-1.89 +2.8 34
2005-05-21 Wacker Tirol W 2-156.8 1880 1655 70.89% 19.41% 9.70%+1.67 +2.6 64
2005-05-21 @ Grazer AK L 1-256.8 1655 1880 9.70% 19.41% 70.89%-1.67 -2.6 40
2005-05-22 Rapid Wien W 4-167.0 1587 1838 17.76% 24.44% 57.80%-0.91 +31.4 32
2005-05-22 @ Austria Salzburg L 1-467.0 1838 1587 57.80% 24.44% 17.76%+0.91 -31.4 71
2005-05-26 FC Superfund W 3-057.6 1602 1731 30.17% 26.89% 42.95%-0.25 +29.1 37
2005-05-26 @ Sturm Graz L 0-357.6 1731 1602 42.95% 26.89% 30.17%+0.25 -29.1 59
2005-05-26 Austria Wien L 0-162.9 1807 1863 40.20% 27.03% 32.77%+0.14 -10.1 71
2005-05-26 @ Rapid Wien W 1-062.9 1863 1807 32.77% 27.03% 40.20%-0.14 +10.1 66
2005-05-26 Grazer AK L 0-149.5 1464 1883 8.58% 18.28% 73.14%-1.82 -2.4 21
2005-05-26 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 1-049.5 1883 1464 73.14% 18.28% 8.58%+1.82 +2.4 67
2005-05-26 Mattersburg W 2-162.5 1652 1658 47.00% 26.52% 26.48%+0.42 +6.9 43
2005-05-26 @ Wacker Tirol L 1-262.5 1658 1652 26.48% 26.52% 47.00%-0.42 -6.9 45
2005-05-26 Austria Salzburg D 1-168.3 1566 1619 40.71% 27.01% 32.28%+0.16 -0.4 38
2005-05-26 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 1-168.3 1619 1566 32.28% 27.01% 40.71%-0.16 +0.4 33
2005-05-29 Admira Wacker Modling W 5-147.6 1873 1566 77.08% 16.13% 6.79%+2.11 +5.4 69
2005-05-29 @ Austria Wien L 1-547.6 1566 1873 6.79% 16.13% 77.08%-2.11 -5.4 38
2005-05-29 Rapid Wien W 3-158.1 1885 1797 58.08% 24.36% 17.56%+0.92 +8.3 70
2005-05-29 @ Grazer AK L 1-358.1 1797 1885 17.56% 24.36% 58.08%-0.92 -8.3 71
2005-05-29 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-151.8 1619 1461 64.99% 22.03% 12.98%+1.30 +3.5 36
2005-05-29 @ Austria Salzburg L 1-251.8 1461 1619 12.98% 22.03% 64.99%-1.30 -3.5 21
2005-05-29 Sturm Graz L 1-366.4 1651 1631 50.17% 26.08% 23.75%+0.55 -19.7 45
2005-05-29 @ Mattersburg W 3-166.4 1631 1651 23.75% 26.08% 50.17%-0.55 +19.7 40
2005-05-29 Wacker Tirol D 1-171.4 1702 1659 53.02% 25.57% 21.41%+0.68 -1.7 60
2005-05-29 @ FC Superfund D 1-171.4 1659 1702 21.41% 25.57% 53.02%-0.68 +1.7 44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-10-27 14.30% FC Superfund 1751 2 @ Austria Wien 1886 1
2 2005-03-05 16.48% @ Sturm Graz 1607 1 Austria Wien 1875 0
3 2004-12-07 17.38% @ Mattersburg 1632 2 Austria Wien 1888 1
4 2004-08-14 17.66% Admira Wacker Modling 1660 3 @ FC Superfund 1747 0
5 2005-05-22 17.76% @ Austria Salzburg 1587 4 Rapid Wien 1838 1
6 2004-12-04 18.09% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1512 1 @ Admira Wacker Modling 1594 0
7 2005-02-26 18.89% Admira Wacker Modling 1574 3 @ Mattersburg 1645 2
8 2004-09-18 20.06% Wacker Tirol 1643 2 @ Admira Wacker Modling 1701 0
9 2004-11-27 20.45% Mattersburg 1601 2 @ Austria Salzburg 1654 1
10 2004-11-28 20.79% FC Superfund 1751 2 @ Grazer AK 1801 1
11 2004-10-27 20.90% @ Sturm Graz 1593 1 Grazer AK 1807 0
12 2005-03-12 22.56% Admira Wacker Modling 1586 1 @ Austria Salzburg 1617 0
13 2005-05-05 22.67% Grazer AK 1851 3 @ Austria Wien 1881 0
14 2004-11-21 23.65% @ Admira Wacker Modling 1607 1 Rapid Wien 1792 0
15 2005-05-29 23.75% Sturm Graz 1631 3 @ Mattersburg 1651 1
16 2004-07-13 24.20% @ Wacker Tirol 1635 1 Grazer AK 1816 0
17 2004-12-04 24.69% @ Mattersburg 1613 3 Grazer AK 1789 1
18 2004-07-31 24.81% @ Mattersburg 1598 3 FC Superfund 1772 0
19 2005-04-16 26.27% Grazer AK 1796 3 @ FC Superfund 1792 0
20 2004-09-25 26.86% Admira Wacker Modling 1676 2 @ Wacker Tirol 1667 0
21 2004-09-12 26.96% Austria Wien 1821 1 @ Grazer AK 1811 0
22 2005-03-19 27.03% Mattersburg 1628 3 @ Sturm Graz 1618 2
23 2005-04-03 27.42% @ Mattersburg 1638 1 Rapid Wien 1790 0
24 2004-11-07 27.53% Grazer AK 1791 2 @ FC Superfund 1777 1
25 2004-07-14 27.84% Rapid Wien 1659 5 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1642 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-08-22 51.62 Austria Wien 9 1761 50.22% @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1576 23.71% 26.07%
2 2004-08-14 37.35 Admira Wacker Modling 3 1660 17.66% @ FC Superfund 0 1747 57.94% 24.40%
3 2005-05-05 33.77 Grazer AK 3 1851 22.67% @ Austria Wien 0 1881 51.47% 25.86%
4 2004-07-14 33.19 Rapid Wien 5 1659 27.84% @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1642 45.48% 26.68%
5 2004-10-03 33.18 Austria Wien 5 1850 46.09% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1698 27.29% 26.62%
6 2004-07-31 32.36 @ Mattersburg 3 1598 24.81% FC Superfund 0 1772 48.92% 26.27%
7 2005-04-16 31.44 Grazer AK 3 1796 26.27% @ FC Superfund 0 1792 47.24% 26.49%
8 2005-05-22 31.44 @ Austria Salzburg 4 1587 17.76% Rapid Wien 1 1838 57.80% 24.44%
9 2005-05-26 29.12 @ Sturm Graz 3 1602 30.17% FC Superfund 0 1731 42.95% 26.89%
10 2004-10-26 25.51 @ Mattersburg 3 1581 36.84% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1661 36.06% 27.10%
11 2004-11-27 25.24 @ Wacker Tirol 4 1624 48.45% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1619 25.22% 26.33%
12 2004-09-18 24.49 Wacker Tirol 2 1643 20.06% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1701 54.74% 25.20%
13 2004-11-13 21.81 @ Wacker Tirol 5 1607 47.14% Mattersburg 1 1611 26.36% 26.50%
14 2004-09-25 21.39 Admira Wacker Modling 2 1676 26.86% @ Wacker Tirol 0 1667 46.57% 26.56%
15 2004-08-28 20.87 @ Admira Wacker Modling 2 1686 28.15% Grazer AK 0 1832 45.14% 26.71%
16 2004-11-06 20.73 Austria Salzburg 2 1647 28.48% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1624 44.77% 26.74%
17 2005-05-07 20.69 Wacker Tirol 3 1636 45.94% @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1485 27.43% 26.63%
18 2005-05-29 19.71 Sturm Graz 3 1631 23.75% @ Mattersburg 1 1651 50.17% 26.08%
19 2004-12-04 19.34 @ Mattersburg 3 1613 24.69% Grazer AK 1 1789 49.06% 26.25%
20 2004-11-14 19.22 @ Rapid Wien 3 1773 48.63% FC Superfund 0 1766 25.06% 26.31%
21 2004-07-21 17.60 @ Admira Wacker Modling 3 1639 51.55% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1609 22.60% 25.85%
22 2005-05-11 17.57 @ Austria Wien 4 1849 59.06% FC Superfund 0 1751 16.86% 24.08%
23 2004-10-16 16.86 Rapid Wien 2 1741 38.79% @ Wacker Tirol 0 1642 34.14% 27.08%
24 2005-04-10 16.55 Austria Wien 3 1868 53.46% @ Wacker Tirol 0 1656 21.06% 25.48%
25 2004-11-20 14.62 @ Sturm Graz 3 1603 38.76% Austria Salzburg 1 1669 34.16% 27.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-05-21 80.1 @ Austria Wien 2 1866 74.09% Sturm Graz 2 1600 8.13% 17.78%
2 2004-12-08 78.5 @ Rapid Wien 2 1790 63.23% Wacker Tirol 2 1650 14.07% 22.70%
3 2005-03-20 78.2 @ Admira Wacker Modling 2 1598 16.42% Austria Wien 2 1867 59.69% 23.89%
4 2004-08-15 78.1 @ Austria Wien 2 1763 62.29% Wacker Tirol 2 1633 14.68% 23.03%
5 2004-09-25 78.0 @ Grazer AK 2 1791 54.25% Rapid Wien 2 1737 20.43% 25.31%
6 2005-04-17 75.3 @ Austria Wien 1 1885 82.09% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1499 4.77% 13.15%
7 2005-02-26 74.4 Admira Wacker Modling 3 1574 18.89% @ Mattersburg 2 1645 56.27% 24.84%
8 2005-05-21 74.1 @ Mattersburg 2 1660 68.67% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1461 10.87% 20.46%
9 2004-10-27 73.9 FC Superfund 2 1751 14.30% @ Austria Wien 1 1886 62.88% 22.82%
10 2004-10-30 73.1 @ Grazer AK 1 1795 67.68% Mattersburg 1 1607 11.42% 20.90%
11 2004-12-07 72.8 @ Mattersburg 2 1632 17.38% Austria Wien 1 1888 58.33% 24.29%
12 2005-05-14 72.8 @ Sturm Graz 1 1597 15.27% Grazer AK 1 1883 61.39% 23.34%
13 2005-03-19 72.5 Mattersburg 3 1628 27.03% @ Sturm Graz 2 1618 46.38% 26.59%
14 2004-11-13 72.4 @ Austria Salzburg 1 1667 20.52% Austria Wien 1 1885 54.14% 25.34%
15 2005-04-30 72.4 @ FC Superfund 1 1754 65.89% Austria Salzburg 1 1587 12.45% 21.66%
16 2004-08-01 72.3 @ Austria Wien 1 1772 55.61% Rapid Wien 1 1706 19.39% 25.00%
17 2004-10-24 72.1 @ Rapid Wien 1 1758 30.12% Austria Wien 1 1887 42.99% 26.88%
18 2005-05-15 72.1 @ FC Superfund 1 1734 29.67% Austria Wien 1 1866 43.48% 26.85%
19 2004-12-05 72.0 @ FC Superfund 1 1763 44.36% Rapid Wien 1 1789 28.86% 26.78%
20 2005-05-21 72.0 @ FC Superfund 1 1734 66.22% Admira Wacker Modling 1 1563 12.25% 21.53%
21 2004-11-28 71.8 FC Superfund 2 1751 20.79% @ Grazer AK 1 1801 53.80% 25.41%
22 2005-03-05 71.6 @ Wacker Tirol 1 1657 29.71% Grazer AK 1 1789 43.44% 26.85%
23 2005-04-16 71.6 @ Sturm Graz 1 1607 23.80% Rapid Wien 1 1791 50.11% 26.09%
24 2004-07-14 71.5 @ Austria Salzburg 1 1674 36.12% FC Superfund 1 1759 36.78% 27.10%
25 2005-04-09 71.5 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1496 14.44% FC Superfund 1 1795 62.65% 22.91%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-10-24 43.8 @ Grazer AK 3 1802 75.61% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1515 7.43% 16.96%
2 2004-11-07 44.9 @ Austria Wien 2 1883 80.73% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1520 5.29% 13.99%
3 2004-09-18 45.0 @ FC Superfund 4 1704 66.01% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1535 12.38% 21.61%
4 2005-04-30 45.4 @ Sturm Graz 2 1596 59.50% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1494 16.56% 23.95%
5 2005-04-02 45.7 @ FC Superfund 2 1778 74.26% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1509 8.05% 17.69%
6 2004-09-26 45.9 @ Austria Wien 3 1843 71.94% Sturm Graz 0 1605 9.17% 18.89%
7 2005-03-12 46.0 @ Grazer AK 2 1789 74.12% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1522 8.11% 17.76%
8 2005-05-04 46.0 @ Rapid Wien 5 1803 69.87% Austria Salzburg 0 1590 10.23% 19.90%
9 2005-05-07 46.4 @ Rapid Wien 6 1816 70.73% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1592 9.78% 19.49%
10 2004-10-16 46.9 @ Austria Wien 2 1883 75.38% Mattersburg 0 1600 7.54% 17.08%
11 2005-05-14 46.9 @ Rapid Wien 4 1835 81.22% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1464 5.10% 13.69%
12 2004-10-23 47.2 @ FC Superfund 4 1736 63.35% Mattersburg 0 1596 14.00% 22.65%
13 2005-02-27 47.3 @ Grazer AK 4 1776 64.73% Sturm Graz 0 1621 13.14% 22.13%
14 2005-05-29 47.6 @ Austria Wien 5 1873 77.08% Admira Wacker Modling 1 1566 6.79% 16.13%
15 2004-08-21 48.7 @ Rapid Wien 3 1716 59.69% Mattersburg 0 1613 16.42% 23.89%
16 2005-05-07 48.7 Wacker Tirol 3 1636 45.94% @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1485 27.43% 26.63%
17 2004-07-20 49.2 @ FC Superfund 3 1759 60.34% Sturm Graz 0 1649 15.98% 23.68%
18 2004-10-31 49.3 @ Rapid Wien 2 1767 65.31% Sturm Graz 0 1606 12.79% 21.90%
19 2005-05-26 49.5 Grazer AK 1 1883 73.14% @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1464 8.58% 18.28%
20 2005-05-11 49.7 @ Austria Wien 4 1849 59.06% FC Superfund 0 1751 16.86% 24.08%
21 2005-04-06 49.8 Rapid Wien 2 1778 60.14% @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1505 16.11% 23.75%
22 2004-07-21 50.0 @ Admira Wacker Modling 3 1639 51.55% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1609 22.60% 25.85%
23 2004-11-27 50.4 @ Wacker Tirol 4 1624 48.45% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1619 25.22% 26.33%
24 2004-08-29 51.1 @ Austria Wien 2 1812 61.68% Austria Salzburg 0 1689 15.08% 23.24%
25 2005-04-23 51.1 @ Grazer AK 5 1827 66.12% Mattersburg 1 1657 12.31% 21.57%