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2012-13 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Austria Wien

82 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Austria Wien

15.50 points above expected

82 points · 66.50 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Admira Wacker

9.83 points below expected

35 points · 44.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Austria Wien 36 25 7 4 82 84 31 +53 66.50 +15.50
2 Salzburg 36 22 11 3 77 91 39 +52 69.42 +7.58
3 Rapid Wien 36 16 9 11 57 57 39 +18 62.83 -5.83
4 Sturm Graz 36 13 9 14 48 49 56 -7 53.58 -5.58
5 Wolfsberg 36 12 11 13 47 53 56 -3 45.26 +1.74
6 Ried 36 13 7 16 46 60 59 +1 51.30 -5.30
7 Wiener Neustadter 36 9 9 18 36 32 60 -28 31.82 +4.18
8 Wacker Innsbruck 36 11 3 22 36 41 75 -34 34.69 +1.31
9 Admira Wacker 36 9 8 19 35 47 68 -21 44.83 -9.83
10 Mattersburg 36 9 8 19 35 36 67 -31 39.58 -4.58

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Austria Wien 82 66.50 +15.50
2 Salzburg 77 69.42 +7.58
3 Wiener Neustadter 36 31.82 +4.18
4 Wolfsberg 47 45.26 +1.74
5 Wacker Innsbruck 36 34.69 +1.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Admira Wacker 35 44.83 -9.83
2 Rapid Wien 57 62.83 -5.83
3 Sturm Graz 48 53.58 -5.58
4 Ried 46 51.30 -5.30
5 Mattersburg 35 39.58 -4.58

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Wien 6 Aug 5 – Sep 16 1 in 134
2 Wacker Innsbruck 3 Oct 20 – Nov 3 1 in 44
3 Sturm Graz 4 Nov 3 – Nov 24 1 in 33
4 Wiener Neustadter 2 Dec 15 – Feb 16 1 in 28
5 Salzburg 7 Apr 7 – May 18 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Admira Wacker 6 Nov 25 – Feb 23 1 in 276
2 Wacker Innsbruck 7 Aug 18 – Oct 6 1 in 128
3 Rapid Wien 2 Nov 3 – Nov 11 1 in 20
4 Ried 3 Aug 19 – Sep 1 1 in 20
5 Sturm Graz 3 Apr 27 – May 11 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wolfsberg 9 Feb 20 – Apr 6 1 in 268
2 Austria Wien 18 Sep 29 – Mar 31 1 in 117
3 Salzburg 19 Dec 2 – May 26 1 in 88
4 Sturm Graz 9 Oct 7 – Dec 8 1 in 33
5 Wiener Neustadter 4 Sep 22 – Oct 20 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Wien 9 Dec 15 – Apr 6 1 in 846
2 Admira Wacker 11 Oct 20 – Feb 23 1 in 167
3 Mattersburg 11 Sep 2 – Nov 24 1 in 56
4 Sturm Graz 7 Mar 30 – May 11 1 in 41
5 Austria Wien 4 Mar 31 – Apr 21 1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Austria Wien 1801 82 +9 12 10.0 +2.0
Salzburg 1858 77 +33 13 10.8 +2.2
Rapid Wien 1720 57 +14 10 8.9 +1.1
Sturm Graz 1578 48 -57 3 7.7 -4.7
Wolfsberg 1619 47 -43 2 8.4 -6.4
Ried 1627 46 -33 2 6.0 -4.0
Wacker Innsbruck 1536 36 +6 7 4.3 +2.7
Wiener Neustadter 1546 36 +28 7 4.4 +2.6
Mattersburg 1533 35 +20 7 4.7 +2.3
Admira Wacker 1544 35 +22 7 4.5 +2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW AW MAT RW RIE SAL SG WI WN WOL
Admira Wacker —
0-0-4
3.48
3-0-1
6.05
0-2-2
3.61
0-1-3
5.13
0-2-2
3.09
2-0-2
4.53
3-0-1
6.63
1-0-3
6.97
0-3-1
5.34
Austria Wien
4-0-0
7.66
 —
4-0-0
8.45
3-1-0
5.68
4-0-0
7.10
0-2-2
5.48
1-2-1
6.73
4-0-0
8.63
3-1-0
9.00
2-1-1
7.78
Mattersburg
1-0-3
4.99
0-0-4
2.76
 —
1-1-2
3.28
2-1-1
4.30
0-0-4
2.84
1-3-0
4.00
0-0-4
6.15
2-2-0
6.39
2-1-1
4.90
Rapid Wien
2-2-0
7.49
0-1-3
5.38
2-1-1
7.84
 —
3-0-1
6.84
2-1-1
4.50
2-1-1
6.65
3-1-0
8.25
2-1-1
8.57
0-1-3
7.59
Ried
3-1-0
5.92
0-0-4
3.98
1-1-2
6.77
1-0-3
4.22
 —
1-3-0
3.24
0-0-4
5.52
2-0-2
7.46
3-1-0
7.57
2-1-1
6.30
Salzburg
2-2-0
8.08
2-2-0
5.57
4-0-0
8.33
1-1-2
6.56
0-3-1
7.88
 —
3-1-0
6.94
4-0-0
8.88
3-1-0
9.09
3-1-0
8.05
Sturm Graz
2-0-2
6.53
1-2-1
4.33
0-3-1
7.08
1-1-2
4.41
4-0-0
5.52
0-1-3
4.14
 —
3-0-1
7.50
1-1-2
7.86
1-1-2
6.68
Wacker Innsbruck
1-0-3
4.43
0-0-4
2.58
4-0-0
4.89
0-1-3
2.92
2-0-2
3.63
0-0-4
2.37
1-0-3
3.61
 —
2-1-1
5.93
1-1-2
4.18
Wiener Neustadter
3-0-1
4.10
0-1-3
2.27
0-2-2
4.67
1-1-2
2.63
0-1-3
3.53
0-1-3
2.17
2-1-1
3.26
1-1-2
5.12
 —
2-1-1
3.92
Wolfsberg
1-3-0
5.73
1-1-2
3.35
1-1-2
6.16
3-1-0
3.52
1-1-2
4.76
0-1-3
3.09
2-1-1
4.39
2-1-1
6.89
1-1-2
7.15
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.90 +8.4
Allowed 0.86 -11.2
Differential 0.97 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.83%6.39%5.56%2.22%1.11%26.67%
15.83%12.22%5.28%5.56%1.11%0.83%30.83%
26.39%5.28%3.89%2.78%0.28%0.56%19.17%
35.56%5.56%2.78%0.56%0.56%0.28%15.28%
42.22%1.11%0.28%0.56%0.56%0.28%5.00%
5+1.11%0.83%0.56%0.28%0.28%—3.06%
Total26.67%30.83%19.17%15.28%5.00%3.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.14
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%36.11%
15.56%13.89%11.11%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
2—5.56%—2.78%——8.33%
32.78%—————2.78%
42.78%2.78%—2.78%2.78%2.78%13.89%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total16.67%30.56%22.22%16.67%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.89 -0.58
SD 1.49 1.49 2.08
CV 1.14 0.79 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%—2.78%2.78%—16.67%
18.33%11.11%————19.44%
211.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
311.11%13.89%————25.00%
411.11%—2.78%———13.89%
5+—2.78%—2.78%2.78%—8.33%
Total47.22%36.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 0.86 +1.47
SD 1.72 1.13 1.93
CV 0.74 1.31 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%36.11%
18.33%5.56%11.11%5.56%—5.56%36.11%
25.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%22.22%19.44%13.89%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.86 -0.86
SD 0.96 1.81 2.18
CV 0.96 0.97 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
12.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%——25.00%
219.44%2.78%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
311.11%2.78%—2.78%——16.67%
42.78%——2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total41.67%22.22%22.22%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.08 +0.50
SD 1.18 1.11 1.76
CV 0.75 1.02 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%——25.00%
1—11.11%5.56%11.11%—2.78%30.56%
25.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
35.56%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—22.22%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total13.89%38.89%27.78%13.89%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.64 +0.03
SD 1.51 1.25 2.09
CV 0.91 0.76 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—5.56%———8.33%
12.78%16.67%—2.78%——22.22%
28.33%5.56%5.56%———19.44%
38.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
42.78%2.78%——2.78%—8.33%
5+8.33%—2.78%———11.11%
Total33.33%36.11%22.22%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.53 1.08 +1.44
SD 1.68 1.02 2.06
CV 0.67 0.95 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%2.78%13.89%——25.00%
15.56%16.67%5.56%11.11%——38.89%
2—8.33%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
35.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%38.89%16.67%27.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.56 -0.19
SD 1.15 1.08 1.80
CV 0.85 0.69 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.78%11.11%13.89%8.33%—36.11%
18.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
25.56%11.11%5.56%11.11%——33.33%
3—2.78%2.78%—2.78%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%19.44%25.00%27.78%13.89%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.08 -0.94
SD 1.02 1.27 1.84
CV 0.89 0.61 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%44.44%
15.56%11.11%2.78%11.11%——30.56%
22.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%30.56%16.67%19.44%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.67 -0.78
SD 0.98 1.57 2.04
CV 1.10 0.94 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
111.11%22.22%2.78%5.56%5.56%—47.22%
25.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%—5.56%19.44%
32.78%2.78%2.78%——2.78%11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total30.56%33.33%13.89%8.33%5.56%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.56 -0.08
SD 1.25 1.70 2.08
CV 0.85 1.09 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Salzburg 1858 77 69.42 +7.58 86.3% 41 57 65 69 75 81 98
Austria Wien 1801 82 66.50 +15.50 98.3% 43 54 62 66 71 79 89
Rapid Wien 1720 57 62.83 -5.83 22.9% 42 51 58 62 68 75 86
Ried 1627 46 51.30 -5.30 26.1% 30 39 46 52 57 63 76
Wolfsberg 1619 47 45.26 +1.74 62.6% 19 33 40 45 50 57 67
Sturm Graz 1578 48 53.58 -5.58 25.3% 26 40 48 54 59 66 79
Wiener Neustadter 1546 36 31.82 +4.18 75.9% 12 20 27 32 36 44 72
Admira Wacker 1544 35 44.83 -9.83 10.0% 21 33 40 45 50 57 67
Wacker Innsbruck 1536 36 34.69 +1.31 61.8% 16 23 30 35 39 47 61
Mattersburg 1533 35 39.58 -4.58 28.2% 16 28 35 39 44 51 64

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.67%
Slight Edge
44.44%22.78%32.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
148 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
040.72400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
34%
Austria Wien, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Photo Finish
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.89 * Some Luck: 5.89 to 8.84 * Lucky: 8.84 to 11.79 * Wild Swing: 11.79 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.86 * Close: 0.86 to 1.29 * Off: 1.29 to 1.72 * Way Off: 1.72 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.28 points
Some Luck
07.3718
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.082.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
98.30%
Austria Wien
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
10.00%
Admira Wacker
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.91
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Very Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.98
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.00
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.076
Well Within Noise
00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Austria Wien33.90%32.30%21.30%8.00%3.00%1.20%0.10%0.20%——
Salzburg48.80%29.90%15.70%3.40%1.60%0.50%0.10%———
Rapid Wien13.00%27.30%34.00%15.30%7.90%1.70%0.80%———
Sturm Graz2.10%5.70%14.40%27.60%22.80%14.60%6.70%4.20%0.90%1.00%
Wolfsberg0.30%1.30%2.40%7.80%18.40%21.90%22.30%15.30%7.60%2.70%
Ried1.50%2.60%9.60%25.30%23.90%18.00%10.90%5.30%1.60%1.30%
Wiener Neustadter0.10%——0.40%1.30%2.20%7.00%13.70%26.80%48.50%
Wacker Innsbruck—0.10%0.10%1.30%1.70%4.50%10.00%18.80%31.40%32.10%
Admira Wacker0.20%0.70%2.00%8.30%14.50%23.30%23.20%15.10%9.50%3.20%
Mattersburg0.10%0.10%0.50%2.60%4.90%12.10%18.90%27.40%22.20%11.20%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Austria Wien 100% —
Rapid Wien 100% —
Salzburg 100% —
Sturm Graz 99.00% 1.00%
Ried 98.70% 1.30%
Wolfsberg 97.30% 2.70%
Admira Wacker 96.80% 3.20%
Mattersburg 88.80% 11.20%
Wacker Innsbruck 67.90% 32.10%
Wiener Neustadter 51.50% 48.50%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-07-21 Salzburg L 0-256.4 1658 1729 33.58% 24.07% 42.34%-0.21 -12.5 0
2012-07-21 @ Sturm Graz W 2-056.4 1729 1658 42.34% 24.07% 33.58%+0.21 +12.5 3
2012-07-21 Wacker Innsbruck W 4-048.1 1704 1597 57.08% 22.28% 20.65%+0.99 +15.7 3
2012-07-21 @ Rapid Wien L 0-448.1 1597 1704 20.65% 22.28% 57.08%-0.99 -15.6 0
2012-07-21 Wiener Neustadter W 2-050.8 1600 1560 49.06% 23.57% 27.37%+0.55 +10.6 3
2012-07-21 @ Mattersburg L 0-250.8 1560 1600 27.37% 23.57% 49.06%-0.55 -10.6 0
2012-07-22 Ried L 0-258.5 1644 1642 44.02% 23.99% 31.98%+0.29 -15.4 0
2012-07-22 @ Admira Wacker W 2-058.5 1642 1644 31.98% 23.99% 44.02%-0.29 +15.4 3
2012-07-25 Austria Wien L 0-156.1 1562 1667 29.29% 23.78% 46.92%-0.44 -5.9 0
2012-07-25 @ Wolfsberg W 1-056.1 1667 1562 46.92% 23.78% 29.29%+0.44 +5.9 3
2012-07-28 Mattersburg W 3-264.0 1742 1610 59.85% 21.63% 18.53%+1.16 +3.5 6
2012-07-28 @ Salzburg L 2-364.0 1610 1742 18.53% 21.63% 59.85%-1.16 -3.5 3
2012-07-28 Rapid Wien L 0-154.4 1549 1719 22.28% 22.68% 55.03%-0.87 -4.7 0
2012-07-28 @ Wiener Neustadter W 1-054.4 1719 1549 55.03% 22.68% 22.28%+0.87 +4.7 6
2012-07-28 Sturm Graz L 0-162.9 1673 1645 47.45% 23.73% 28.81%+0.46 -8.7 3
2012-07-28 @ Austria Wien W 1-062.9 1645 1673 28.81% 23.73% 47.45%-0.46 +8.7 3
2012-07-29 Admira Wacker L 1-263.1 1581 1629 36.95% 24.16% 38.89%-0.05 -6.7 0
2012-07-29 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-163.1 1629 1581 38.89% 24.16% 36.95%+0.05 +6.7 3
2012-07-29 Wolfsberg L 0-260.5 1657 1556 56.51% 22.40% 21.09%+0.96 -19.1 3
2012-07-29 @ Ried W 2-060.5 1556 1657 21.09% 22.40% 56.51%-0.96 +19.1 3
2012-08-04 Salzburg L 0-252.0 1575 1746 22.23% 22.67% 55.10%-0.88 -8.8 3
2012-08-04 @ Wolfsberg W 2-052.0 1746 1575 55.10% 22.67% 22.23%+0.88 +8.8 9
2012-08-04 Sturm Graz W 3-162.0 1607 1654 37.05% 24.16% 38.79%-0.04 +12.1 6
2012-08-04 @ Mattersburg L 1-362.0 1654 1607 38.79% 24.16% 37.05%+0.04 -12.1 3
2012-08-05 Austria Wien L 0-359.4 1724 1664 51.48% 23.26% 25.26%+0.68 -25.5 6
2012-08-05 @ Rapid Wien W 3-059.4 1664 1724 25.26% 23.26% 51.48%-0.68 +25.5 6
2012-08-05 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-051.2 1638 1575 51.98% 23.19% 24.83%+0.70 +9.7 6
2012-08-05 @ Ried L 0-251.2 1575 1638 24.83% 23.19% 51.98%-0.70 -9.7 0
2012-08-05 Wiener Neustadter W 4-046.4 1636 1544 55.34% 22.63% 22.03%+0.89 +16.6 6
2012-08-05 @ Admira Wacker L 0-446.4 1544 1636 22.03% 22.63% 55.34%-0.89 -16.6 0
2012-08-11 Mattersburg W 2-163.4 1565 1619 36.02% 24.15% 39.83%-0.09 +7.1 3
2012-08-11 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-263.4 1619 1565 39.83% 24.15% 36.02%+0.09 -7.1 6
2012-08-11 Wolfsberg W 4-153.5 1642 1566 53.48% 22.96% 23.57%+0.79 +11.4 6
2012-08-11 @ Sturm Graz L 1-453.5 1566 1642 23.57% 22.96% 53.48%-0.79 -11.4 3
2012-08-12 Admira Wacker W 1-057.2 1690 1652 48.71% 23.61% 27.68%+0.53 +5.7 9
2012-08-12 @ Austria Wien L 0-157.2 1652 1690 27.68% 23.61% 48.71%-0.53 -5.7 6
2012-08-12 Rapid Wien L 0-261.8 1754 1698 51.06% 23.32% 25.62%+0.65 -17.5 9
2012-08-12 @ Salzburg W 2-061.8 1698 1754 25.62% 23.32% 51.06%-0.65 +17.5 9
2012-08-12 Ried L 2-364.4 1528 1648 27.56% 23.59% 48.85%-0.54 -5.1 0
2012-08-12 @ Wiener Neustadter W 3-264.4 1648 1528 48.85% 23.59% 27.56%+0.54 +5.1 9
2012-08-18 Mattersburg L 0-156.7 1555 1612 35.57% 24.14% 40.30%-0.11 -6.9 3
2012-08-18 @ Wolfsberg W 1-056.7 1612 1555 40.30% 24.14% 35.57%+0.11 +6.9 9
2012-08-18 Salzburg D 4-483.5 1647 1737 31.19% 23.94% 44.87%-0.33 +0.3 7
2012-08-18 @ Admira Wacker D 4-483.5 1737 1647 44.87% 23.94% 31.19%+0.33 -0.3 10
2012-08-18 Sturm Graz W 3-051.2 1716 1653 51.89% 23.21% 24.91%+0.70 +14.2 12
2012-08-18 @ Rapid Wien L 0-351.2 1653 1716 24.91% 23.21% 51.89%-0.70 -14.2 6
2012-08-18 Wiener Neustadter L 2-368.8 1572 1523 50.23% 23.43% 26.34%+0.61 -8.2 3
2012-08-18 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-268.8 1523 1572 26.34% 23.43% 50.23%-0.61 +8.2 3
2012-08-19 Austria Wien L 0-160.4 1653 1696 37.63% 24.16% 38.21%-0.01 -7.2 9
2012-08-19 @ Ried W 1-060.4 1696 1653 38.21% 24.16% 37.63%+0.01 +7.2 12
2012-08-25 Admira Wacker W 3-268.4 1639 1647 42.55% 24.07% 33.38%+0.22 +5.9 9
2012-08-25 @ Sturm Graz L 2-368.4 1647 1639 33.38% 24.07% 42.55%-0.22 -5.9 7
2012-08-25 Ried W 2-163.8 1619 1646 39.91% 24.15% 35.94%+0.09 +6.6 12
2012-08-25 @ Mattersburg L 1-263.8 1646 1619 35.94% 24.15% 39.91%-0.09 -6.6 9
2012-08-25 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-049.6 1703 1564 60.64% 21.42% 17.93%+1.21 +7.2 15
2012-08-25 @ Austria Wien L 0-249.6 1564 1703 17.93% 21.42% 60.64%-1.21 -7.2 3
2012-08-25 Wiener Neustadter D 1-172.0 1737 1531 67.25% 19.34% 13.41%+1.66 -2.3 11
2012-08-25 @ Salzburg D 1-172.0 1531 1737 13.41% 19.34% 67.25%-1.66 +2.3 4
2012-08-26 Rapid Wien W 1-064.7 1548 1730 21.15% 22.41% 56.44%-0.96 +10.1 6
2012-08-26 @ Wolfsberg L 0-164.7 1730 1548 56.44% 22.41% 21.15%+0.96 -10.1 12
2012-09-01 Austria Wien L 0-250.7 1533 1710 21.64% 22.53% 55.83%-0.92 -8.6 4
2012-09-01 @ Wiener Neustadter W 2-050.7 1710 1533 55.83% 22.53% 21.64%+0.92 +8.6 18
2012-09-01 Salzburg L 0-448.3 1557 1734 21.59% 22.52% 55.89%-0.92 -16.3 3
2012-09-01 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 4-048.3 1734 1557 55.89% 22.52% 21.59%+0.92 +16.3 14
2012-09-01 Sturm Graz L 0-161.2 1639 1645 42.88% 24.05% 33.07%+0.24 -8.0 9
2012-09-01 @ Ried W 1-061.2 1645 1639 33.07% 24.05% 42.88%-0.24 +8.0 12
2012-09-01 Wolfsberg D 1-169.6 1641 1558 54.38% 22.80% 22.81%+0.84 -1.3 8
2012-09-01 @ Admira Wacker D 1-169.6 1558 1641 22.81% 22.80% 54.38%-0.84 +1.3 7
2012-09-02 Mattersburg W 3-049.9 1720 1625 55.69% 22.56% 21.75%+0.91 +12.6 15
2012-09-02 @ Rapid Wien L 0-349.9 1625 1720 21.75% 22.56% 55.69%-0.91 -12.6 12
2012-09-15 Admira Wacker D 0-068.2 1732 1640 55.50% 22.60% 21.91%+0.90 -1.5 16
2012-09-15 @ Rapid Wien D 0-068.2 1640 1732 21.91% 22.60% 55.50%-0.90 +1.5 9
2012-09-15 Ried D 1-172.5 1751 1631 58.54% 21.95% 19.51%+1.08 -1.6 15
2012-09-15 @ Salzburg D 1-172.5 1631 1751 19.51% 21.95% 58.54%-1.08 +1.6 10
2012-09-15 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-046.8 1653 1540 57.75% 22.13% 20.12%+1.03 +11.7 15
2012-09-15 @ Sturm Graz L 0-346.8 1540 1653 20.12% 22.13% 57.75%-1.03 -11.7 3
2012-09-15 Wiener Neustadter W 6-046.5 1559 1524 48.31% 23.65% 28.04%+0.51 +30.0 10
2012-09-15 @ Wolfsberg L 0-646.5 1524 1559 28.04% 23.65% 48.31%-0.51 -30.0 4
2012-09-16 Austria Wien L 2-464.1 1613 1719 29.26% 23.78% 46.96%-0.44 -8.7 12
2012-09-16 @ Mattersburg W 4-264.1 1719 1613 46.96% 23.78% 29.26%+0.44 +8.7 21
2012-09-22 Mattersburg W 5-154.0 1641 1604 48.62% 23.62% 27.76%+0.52 +17.0 12
2012-09-22 @ Admira Wacker L 1-554.0 1604 1641 27.76% 23.62% 48.62%-0.52 -17.0 12
2012-09-22 Salzburg L 0-162.1 1727 1749 40.65% 24.13% 35.22%+0.13 -7.7 21
2012-09-22 @ Austria Wien W 1-062.1 1749 1727 35.22% 24.13% 40.65%-0.13 +7.7 18
2012-09-22 Sturm Graz D 1-168.7 1494 1664 22.30% 22.69% 55.02%-0.87 +1.3 5
2012-09-22 @ Wiener Neustadter D 1-168.7 1664 1494 55.02% 22.69% 22.30%+0.87 -1.3 16
2012-09-22 Wolfsberg L 0-155.2 1529 1589 35.16% 24.13% 40.72%-0.13 -6.9 3
2012-09-22 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 1-055.2 1589 1529 40.72% 24.13% 35.16%+0.13 +6.9 13
2012-09-23 Rapid Wien L 0-255.2 1633 1731 30.19% 23.86% 45.94%-0.39 -11.5 10
2012-09-23 @ Ried W 2-055.2 1731 1633 45.94% 23.86% 30.19%+0.39 +11.5 19
2012-09-29 Admira Wacker D 1-170.7 1621 1658 38.45% 24.16% 37.38%+0.03 -0.0 11
2012-09-29 @ Ried D 1-170.7 1658 1621 37.38% 24.16% 38.45%-0.03 +0.0 13
2012-09-29 Mattersburg D 0-061.9 1496 1587 31.03% 23.93% 45.04%-0.34 +0.6 6
2012-09-29 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-061.9 1587 1496 45.04% 23.93% 31.03%+0.34 -0.6 13
2012-09-29 Rapid Wien L 0-249.6 1522 1742 17.93% 21.42% 60.65%-1.21 -7.2 3
2012-09-29 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 2-049.6 1742 1522 60.65% 21.42% 17.93%+1.21 +7.2 22
2012-09-29 Wolfsberg D 1-171.9 1720 1596 59.01% 21.84% 19.16%+1.11 -1.7 22
2012-09-29 @ Austria Wien D 1-171.9 1596 1720 19.16% 21.84% 59.01%-1.11 +1.7 14
2012-09-30 Sturm Graz W 3-265.8 1757 1663 55.59% 22.58% 21.83%+0.91 +4.1 21
2012-09-30 @ Salzburg L 2-365.8 1663 1757 21.83% 22.58% 55.59%-0.91 -4.1 16
2012-10-06 Ried L 2-562.2 1598 1621 40.37% 24.14% 35.50%+0.12 -15.3 14
2012-10-06 @ Wolfsberg W 5-262.2 1621 1598 35.50% 24.14% 40.37%-0.12 +15.3 14
2012-10-06 Salzburg L 1-357.5 1587 1761 21.91% 22.60% 55.49%-0.90 -7.5 13
2012-10-06 @ Mattersburg W 3-157.5 1761 1587 55.49% 22.60% 21.91%+0.90 +7.5 24
2012-10-06 Wacker Innsbruck W 4-150.4 1658 1515 61.13% 21.29% 17.58%+1.24 +8.6 16
2012-10-06 @ Admira Wacker L 1-450.4 1515 1658 17.58% 21.29% 61.13%-1.24 -8.7 3
2012-10-07 Austria Wien D 1-171.8 1659 1718 35.34% 24.13% 40.53%-0.12 +0.2 17
2012-10-07 @ Sturm Graz D 1-171.8 1718 1659 40.53% 24.13% 35.34%+0.12 -0.2 23
2012-10-07 Wiener Neustadter D 1-172.1 1750 1496 71.41% 17.68% 10.91%+1.98 -2.6 23
2012-10-07 @ Rapid Wien D 1-172.1 1496 1750 10.91% 17.68% 71.41%-1.98 +2.6 7
2012-10-20 Admira Wacker W 2-167.0 1499 1667 22.50% 22.74% 54.76%-0.86 +9.3 10
2012-10-20 @ Wiener Neustadter L 1-267.0 1667 1499 54.76% 22.74% 22.50%+0.86 -9.3 16
2012-10-20 Mattersburg D 0-066.4 1659 1579 54.00% 22.87% 23.13%+0.82 -1.4 18
2012-10-20 @ Sturm Graz D 0-066.4 1579 1659 23.13% 22.87% 54.00%-0.82 +1.4 14
2012-10-20 Ried W 1-060.2 1506 1636 26.39% 23.44% 50.17%-0.61 +9.1 6
2012-10-20 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-160.2 1636 1506 50.17% 23.44% 26.39%+0.61 -9.1 14
2012-10-20 Wolfsberg W 4-152.1 1768 1582 65.39% 19.99% 14.62%+1.53 +7.2 27
2012-10-20 @ Salzburg L 1-452.1 1582 1768 14.62% 19.99% 65.39%-1.53 -7.2 14
2012-10-21 Rapid Wien W 2-057.7 1718 1747 39.58% 24.15% 36.27%+0.08 +13.3 26
2012-10-21 @ Austria Wien L 0-257.7 1747 1718 36.27% 24.15% 39.58%-0.08 -13.3 23
2012-10-27 Austria Wien L 4-668.8 1658 1731 33.37% 24.06% 42.57%-0.22 -8.8 16
2012-10-27 @ Admira Wacker W 6-468.8 1731 1658 42.57% 24.06% 33.37%+0.22 +8.8 29
2012-10-27 Wacker Innsbruck L 1-264.3 1581 1515 52.22% 23.16% 24.62%+0.72 -8.9 14
2012-10-27 @ Mattersburg W 2-164.3 1515 1581 24.62% 23.16% 52.22%-0.72 +8.9 9
2012-10-27 Wiener Neustadter W 3-152.7 1627 1508 58.49% 21.96% 19.55%+1.08 +6.8 17
2012-10-27 @ Ried L 1-352.7 1508 1627 19.55% 21.96% 58.49%-1.08 -6.8 10
2012-10-28 Salzburg W 2-058.4 1734 1775 37.76% 24.16% 38.07%-0.01 +13.8 26
2012-10-28 @ Rapid Wien L 0-258.4 1775 1734 38.07% 24.16% 37.76%+0.01 -13.8 27
2012-11-03 Admira Wacker W 5-049.1 1762 1649 57.81% 22.12% 20.08%+1.04 +18.8 30
2012-11-03 @ Salzburg L 0-549.1 1649 1762 20.08% 22.12% 57.81%-1.04 -18.8 16
2012-11-03 Rapid Wien W 2-167.9 1658 1747 31.27% 23.94% 44.79%-0.33 +7.8 21
2012-11-03 @ Sturm Graz L 1-267.9 1747 1658 44.79% 23.94% 31.27%+0.33 -7.8 26
2012-11-03 Wacker Innsbruck L 0-153.6 1501 1524 40.51% 24.13% 35.35%+0.12 -7.7 10
2012-11-03 @ Wiener Neustadter W 1-053.6 1524 1501 35.35% 24.13% 40.51%-0.12 +7.7 12
2012-11-03 Wolfsberg D 1-167.9 1572 1575 43.18% 24.04% 32.78%+0.25 -0.4 15
2012-11-03 @ Mattersburg D 1-167.9 1575 1572 32.78% 24.04% 43.18%-0.25 +0.4 15
2012-11-04 Ried W 6-152.1 1740 1634 57.01% 22.29% 20.70%+0.99 +16.0 32
2012-11-04 @ Austria Wien L 1-652.1 1634 1740 20.70% 22.29% 57.01%-0.99 -16.0 17
2012-11-10 Austria Wien L 0-347.6 1532 1756 17.64% 21.31% 61.05%-1.24 -10.3 12
2012-11-10 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-047.6 1756 1532 61.05% 21.31% 17.64%+1.24 +10.3 35
2012-11-10 Mattersburg W 6-151.5 1618 1571 49.89% 23.47% 26.64%+0.59 +20.0 20
2012-11-10 @ Ried L 1-651.5 1571 1618 26.64% 23.47% 49.89%-0.59 -20.0 15
2012-11-10 Sturm Graz L 1-265.1 1630 1666 38.65% 24.16% 37.19%+0.03 -7.0 16
2012-11-10 @ Admira Wacker W 2-165.1 1666 1630 37.19% 24.16% 38.65%-0.03 +7.0 24
2012-11-11 Salzburg L 0-345.5 1494 1780 13.45% 19.35% 67.20%-1.66 -7.8 10
2012-11-11 @ Wiener Neustadter W 3-045.5 1780 1494 67.20% 19.35% 13.45%+1.66 +7.8 33
2012-11-11 Wolfsberg L 0-263.6 1740 1576 63.24% 20.68% 16.08%+1.38 -21.0 26
2012-11-11 @ Rapid Wien W 2-063.6 1576 1740 16.08% 20.68% 63.24%-1.38 +21.0 18
2012-11-17 Admira Wacker D 1-169.7 1597 1623 39.95% 24.15% 35.90%+0.10 -0.2 19
2012-11-17 @ Wolfsberg D 1-169.7 1623 1597 35.90% 24.15% 39.95%-0.10 +0.2 17
2012-11-17 Rapid Wien L 0-349.2 1551 1719 22.55% 22.75% 54.71%-0.86 -13.0 15
2012-11-17 @ Mattersburg W 3-049.2 1719 1551 54.71% 22.75% 22.55%+0.86 +13.0 29
2012-11-17 Ried W 3-159.3 1673 1638 48.29% 23.65% 28.05%+0.51 +9.4 27
2012-11-17 @ Sturm Graz L 1-359.3 1638 1673 28.05% 23.65% 48.29%-0.51 -9.4 20
2012-11-17 Wiener Neustadter W 3-043.3 1766 1486 73.60% 16.71% 9.69%+2.17 +5.4 38
2012-11-17 @ Austria Wien L 0-343.3 1486 1766 9.69% 16.71% 73.60%-2.17 -5.4 10
2012-11-18 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-046.6 1788 1521 72.54% 17.19% 10.27%+2.08 +4.0 36
2012-11-18 @ Salzburg L 0-246.6 1521 1788 10.27% 17.19% 72.54%-2.08 -4.0 12
2012-11-24 Mattersburg W 3-152.9 1772 1538 69.73% 18.38% 11.89%+1.85 +4.1 41
2012-11-24 @ Austria Wien L 1-352.9 1538 1772 11.89% 18.38% 69.73%-1.85 -4.1 15
2012-11-24 Salzburg W 3-167.9 1629 1792 22.93% 22.83% 54.24%-0.83 +15.9 23
2012-11-24 @ Ried L 1-367.9 1792 1629 54.24% 22.83% 22.93%+0.83 -15.9 36
2012-11-24 Sturm Graz L 0-348.0 1517 1682 22.82% 22.81% 54.37%-0.84 -13.1 12
2012-11-24 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-048.0 1682 1517 54.37% 22.81% 22.82%+0.84 +13.1 30
2012-11-24 Wolfsberg W 2-162.6 1481 1596 28.07% 23.65% 48.28%-0.51 +8.3 13
2012-11-24 @ Wiener Neustadter L 1-262.6 1596 1481 48.28% 23.65% 28.07%+0.51 -8.3 19
2012-11-25 Rapid Wien L 0-254.7 1623 1732 28.95% 23.75% 47.31%-0.46 -11.1 17
2012-11-25 @ Admira Wacker W 2-054.7 1732 1623 47.31% 23.75% 28.95%+0.46 +11.1 32
2012-11-27 Sturm Graz D 1-170.9 1588 1695 29.11% 23.76% 47.13%-0.45 +0.7 20
2012-11-27 @ Wolfsberg D 1-170.9 1695 1588 47.13% 23.76% 29.11%+0.45 -0.7 31
2012-12-01 Admira Wacker W 3-053.1 1534 1612 32.78% 24.04% 43.18%-0.25 +22.1 18
2012-12-01 @ Mattersburg L 0-353.1 1612 1534 43.18% 24.04% 32.78%+0.25 -22.1 17
2012-12-01 Ried W 4-368.5 1743 1645 56.11% 22.48% 21.41%+0.94 +4.0 35
2012-12-01 @ Rapid Wien L 3-468.5 1645 1743 21.41% 22.48% 56.11%-0.94 -3.9 23
2012-12-01 Wacker Innsbruck D 2-272.0 1589 1504 54.53% 22.78% 22.69%+0.85 -1.0 21
2012-12-01 @ Wolfsberg D 2-272.0 1504 1589 22.69% 22.78% 54.53%-0.85 +1.0 13
2012-12-01 Wiener Neustadter W 3-151.4 1694 1489 67.22% 19.35% 13.43%+1.66 +4.6 34
2012-12-01 @ Sturm Graz L 1-351.4 1489 1694 13.43% 19.35% 67.22%-1.66 -4.6 13
2012-12-02 Austria Wien D 0-068.6 1776 1776 43.75% 24.01% 32.24%+0.28 -0.5 37
2012-12-02 @ Salzburg D 0-068.6 1776 1776 32.24% 24.01% 43.75%-0.28 +0.5 42
2012-12-08 Austria Wien L 3-659.0 1588 1776 20.60% 22.26% 57.14%-1.00 -8.1 21
2012-12-08 @ Wolfsberg W 6-359.0 1776 1588 57.14% 22.26% 20.60%+1.00 +8.1 45
2012-12-08 Ried L 0-353.1 1590 1641 36.49% 24.15% 39.36%-0.07 -19.4 17
2012-12-08 @ Admira Wacker W 3-053.1 1641 1590 39.36% 24.15% 36.49%+0.07 +19.4 26
2012-12-08 Salzburg D 1-172.4 1699 1776 32.93% 24.04% 43.02%-0.24 +0.4 35
2012-12-08 @ Sturm Graz D 1-172.4 1776 1699 43.02% 24.04% 32.93%+0.24 -0.4 38
2012-12-08 Wiener Neustadter W 1-048.8 1556 1484 53.02% 23.03% 23.94%+0.76 +5.0 21
2012-12-08 @ Mattersburg L 0-148.8 1484 1556 23.94% 23.03% 53.02%-0.76 -5.0 13
2012-12-09 Wacker Innsbruck W 2-154.5 1747 1505 70.41% 18.10% 11.48%+1.90 +2.3 38
2012-12-09 @ Rapid Wien L 1-254.5 1505 1747 11.48% 18.10% 70.41%-1.90 -2.3 13
2012-12-15 Admira Wacker W 3-158.0 1503 1571 34.15% 24.10% 41.75%-0.18 +12.8 16
2012-12-15 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-358.0 1571 1503 41.75% 24.10% 34.15%+0.18 -12.8 17
2012-12-15 Mattersburg W 7-046.7 1775 1561 68.02% 19.05% 12.93%+1.72 +16.5 41
2012-12-15 @ Salzburg L 0-746.7 1561 1775 12.93% 19.05% 68.02%-1.72 -16.5 21
2012-12-15 Rapid Wien W 1-065.8 1479 1749 14.48% 19.92% 65.60%-1.55 +11.5 16
2012-12-15 @ Wiener Neustadter L 0-165.8 1749 1479 65.60% 19.92% 14.48%+1.55 -11.5 38
2012-12-16 Sturm Graz W 3-158.7 1784 1699 54.58% 22.77% 22.66%+0.85 +7.8 48
2012-12-16 @ Austria Wien L 1-358.7 1699 1784 22.66% 22.77% 54.58%-0.85 -7.8 35
2013-02-16 Sturm Graz D 0-066.2 1545 1692 24.61% 23.15% 52.24%-0.72 +1.2 22
2013-02-16 @ Mattersburg D 0-066.2 1692 1545 52.24% 23.15% 24.61%+0.72 -1.2 36
2013-02-16 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-045.4 1660 1516 61.21% 21.27% 17.52%+1.25 +10.2 29
2013-02-16 @ Ried L 0-345.4 1516 1660 17.52% 21.27% 61.21%-1.25 -10.2 16
2013-02-16 Wiener Neustadter L 1-262.7 1558 1491 52.42% 23.13% 24.45%+0.73 -8.9 17
2013-02-16 @ Admira Wacker W 2-162.7 1491 1558 24.45% 23.13% 52.42%-0.73 +8.9 19
2013-02-17 Austria Wien L 1-265.9 1737 1792 35.94% 24.15% 39.91%-0.09 -6.6 38
2013-02-17 @ Rapid Wien W 2-165.9 1792 1737 39.91% 24.15% 35.94%+0.09 +6.6 51
2013-02-20 Wolfsberg D 1-170.7 1670 1580 55.26% 22.64% 22.10%+0.89 -1.4 30
2013-02-20 @ Ried D 1-170.7 1580 1670 22.10% 22.64% 55.26%-0.89 +1.4 22
2013-02-23 Admira Wacker W 4-044.4 1799 1549 71.12% 17.80% 11.07%+1.96 +8.2 54
2013-02-23 @ Austria Wien L 0-444.4 1549 1799 11.07% 17.80% 71.12%-1.96 -8.2 17
2013-02-23 Mattersburg W 2-050.7 1506 1546 37.97% 24.16% 37.87%+0.00 +13.7 19
2013-02-23 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-250.7 1546 1506 37.87% 24.16% 37.97%+0.00 -13.7 22
2013-02-23 Ried D 0-064.9 1500 1669 22.37% 22.70% 54.93%-0.87 +1.5 20
2013-02-23 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-064.9 1669 1500 54.93% 22.70% 22.37%+0.87 -1.5 31
2013-02-23 Wolfsberg L 1-367.1 1690 1581 57.40% 22.21% 20.39%+1.01 -16.7 36
2013-02-23 @ Sturm Graz W 3-167.1 1581 1690 20.39% 22.21% 57.40%-1.01 +16.7 25
2013-02-24 Rapid Wien D 3-382.3 1792 1731 51.70% 23.23% 25.07%+0.69 -0.7 42
2013-02-24 @ Salzburg D 3-382.3 1731 1792 25.07% 23.23% 51.70%-0.69 +0.7 39
2013-02-27 Austria Wien L 1-359.6 1668 1807 25.41% 23.29% 51.30%-0.67 -8.6 31
2013-02-27 @ Ried W 3-159.6 1807 1668 51.30% 23.29% 25.41%+0.67 +8.6 57
2013-02-27 Sturm Graz D 1-172.2 1731 1674 51.28% 23.29% 25.43%+0.67 -1.0 40
2013-02-27 @ Rapid Wien D 1-172.2 1674 1731 25.43% 23.29% 51.28%-0.67 +1.0 37
2013-02-27 Wiener Neustadter W 1-050.2 1519 1501 46.13% 23.85% 30.03%+0.40 +6.1 22
2013-02-27 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-150.2 1501 1519 30.03% 23.85% 46.13%-0.40 -6.1 20
2013-03-02 Admira Wacker L 1-269.4 1675 1541 60.12% 21.56% 18.32%+1.18 -10.1 37
2013-03-02 @ Sturm Graz W 2-169.4 1541 1675 18.32% 21.56% 60.12%-1.18 +10.1 20
2013-03-02 Ried W 1-061.4 1532 1659 26.81% 23.50% 49.69%-0.58 +9.1 25
2013-03-02 @ Mattersburg L 0-161.4 1659 1532 49.69% 23.50% 26.81%+0.58 -9.1 31
2013-03-02 Wacker Innsbruck W 4-043.4 1816 1525 74.38% 16.35% 9.27%+2.23 +6.8 60
2013-03-02 @ Austria Wien L 0-443.4 1525 1816 9.27% 16.35% 74.38%-2.23 -6.8 22
2013-03-02 Wiener Neustadter W 3-151.0 1791 1495 74.85% 16.13% 9.02%+2.27 +3.0 45
2013-03-02 @ Salzburg L 1-351.0 1495 1791 9.02% 16.13% 74.85%-2.27 -3.0 20
2013-03-03 Rapid Wien W 2-168.8 1598 1730 26.15% 23.40% 50.44%-0.62 +8.7 28
2013-03-03 @ Wolfsberg L 1-268.8 1730 1598 50.44% 23.40% 26.15%+0.62 -8.6 40
2013-03-06 Salzburg D 1-172.5 1606 1794 20.65% 22.28% 57.08%-0.99 +1.5 29
2013-03-06 @ Wolfsberg D 1-172.5 1794 1606 57.08% 22.28% 20.65%+0.99 -1.5 46
2013-03-09 Austria Wien D 0-069.0 1492 1822 11.12% 17.84% 71.03%-1.95 +2.9 21
2013-03-09 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-069.0 1822 1492 71.03% 17.84% 11.12%+1.95 -2.9 61
2013-03-09 Mattersburg D 2-277.0 1722 1541 64.86% 20.17% 14.97%+1.49 -1.6 41
2013-03-09 @ Rapid Wien D 2-277.0 1541 1722 14.97% 20.17% 64.86%-1.49 +1.6 26
2013-03-09 Sturm Graz L 1-266.2 1650 1665 41.61% 24.10% 34.29%+0.18 -7.4 31
2013-03-09 @ Ried W 2-166.2 1665 1650 34.29% 24.10% 41.61%-0.18 +7.4 40
2013-03-09 Wolfsberg L 0-156.5 1551 1608 35.58% 24.14% 40.28%-0.11 -6.9 20
2013-03-09 @ Admira Wacker W 1-056.5 1608 1551 40.28% 24.14% 35.58%+0.11 +6.9 32
2013-03-10 Salzburg L 2-361.7 1519 1793 14.20% 19.77% 66.03%-1.58 -2.7 22
2013-03-10 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-261.7 1793 1519 66.03% 19.77% 14.20%+1.58 +2.7 49
2013-03-13 Mattersburg W 1-052.6 1615 1543 53.04% 23.03% 23.93%+0.76 +5.0 35
2013-03-13 @ Wolfsberg L 0-152.6 1543 1615 23.93% 23.03% 53.04%-0.76 -5.0 26
2013-03-13 Salzburg D 1-172.5 1544 1796 15.65% 20.49% 63.86%-1.42 +2.0 21
2013-03-13 @ Admira Wacker D 1-172.5 1796 1544 63.86% 20.49% 15.65%+1.42 -2.0 50
2013-03-16 Admira Wacker D 1-171.6 1720 1546 64.26% 20.36% 15.38%+1.45 -2.1 42
2013-03-16 @ Rapid Wien D 1-171.6 1546 1720 15.38% 20.36% 64.26%-1.45 +2.1 22
2013-03-16 Ried D 2-278.5 1793 1642 61.90% 21.08% 17.02%+1.29 -1.4 51
2013-03-16 @ Salzburg D 2-278.5 1642 1793 17.02% 21.08% 61.90%-1.29 +1.4 32
2013-03-16 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-260.6 1672 1516 62.43% 20.92% 16.65%+1.33 +3.2 43
2013-03-16 @ Sturm Graz L 2-360.6 1516 1672 16.65% 20.92% 62.43%-1.33 -3.2 22
2013-03-16 Wiener Neustadter D 1-167.7 1620 1495 59.13% 21.81% 19.06%+1.12 -1.7 36
2013-03-16 @ Wolfsberg D 1-167.7 1495 1620 19.06% 21.81% 59.13%-1.12 +1.7 22
2013-03-17 Austria Wien L 0-445.8 1538 1819 13.75% 19.53% 66.73%-1.63 -10.4 26
2013-03-17 @ Mattersburg W 4-045.8 1819 1538 66.73% 19.53% 13.75%+1.63 +10.4 64
2013-03-30 Mattersburg W 1-052.1 1548 1527 46.44% 23.82% 29.74%+0.41 +6.0 25
2013-03-30 @ Admira Wacker L 0-152.1 1527 1548 29.74% 23.82% 46.44%-0.41 -6.0 26
2013-03-30 Rapid Wien W 3-272.1 1644 1718 33.27% 24.06% 42.67%-0.23 +7.1 35
2013-03-30 @ Ried L 2-372.1 1718 1644 42.67% 24.06% 33.27%+0.23 -7.2 42
2013-03-30 Sturm Graz W 1-062.5 1497 1675 21.50% 22.50% 56.01%-0.93 +10.0 25
2013-03-30 @ Wiener Neustadter L 0-162.5 1675 1497 56.01% 22.50% 21.50%+0.93 -10.0 43
2013-03-30 Wolfsberg L 2-363.8 1513 1618 29.30% 23.78% 46.92%-0.44 -5.3 22
2013-03-30 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-263.8 1618 1513 46.92% 23.78% 29.30%+0.44 +5.3 39
2013-03-31 Salzburg D 1-172.9 1830 1792 48.72% 23.61% 27.67%+0.53 -0.8 65
2013-03-31 @ Austria Wien D 1-172.9 1792 1830 27.67% 23.61% 48.72%-0.53 +0.8 52
2013-04-06 Admira Wacker W 4-152.7 1651 1554 56.01% 22.50% 21.49%+0.93 +10.5 38
2013-04-06 @ Ried L 1-452.7 1554 1651 21.49% 22.50% 56.01%-0.93 -10.5 25
2013-04-06 Mattersburg D 0-059.9 1507 1521 41.62% 24.10% 34.28%+0.18 -0.3 26
2013-04-06 @ Wiener Neustadter D 0-059.9 1521 1507 34.28% 24.10% 41.62%-0.18 +0.3 27
2013-04-06 Rapid Wien D 1-170.3 1507 1711 19.29% 21.88% 58.83%-1.10 +1.6 23
2013-04-06 @ Wacker Innsbruck D 1-170.3 1711 1507 58.83% 21.88% 19.29%+1.10 -1.7 43
2013-04-06 Wolfsberg L 0-462.4 1829 1624 67.22% 19.35% 13.43%+1.66 -42.0 65
2013-04-06 @ Austria Wien W 4-062.4 1624 1829 13.43% 19.35% 67.22%-1.66 +42.0 42
2013-04-07 Sturm Graz W 3-049.5 1793 1665 59.44% 21.73% 18.83%+1.14 +11.0 55
2013-04-07 @ Salzburg L 0-349.5 1665 1793 18.83% 21.73% 59.44%-1.14 -11.0 43
2013-04-13 Ried L 1-364.4 1666 1662 44.21% 23.98% 31.80%+0.30 -13.4 42
2013-04-13 @ Wolfsberg W 3-164.4 1662 1666 31.80% 23.98% 44.21%-0.30 +13.4 41
2013-04-13 Salzburg L 1-256.6 1522 1804 13.71% 19.51% 66.78%-1.63 -2.7 27
2013-04-13 @ Mattersburg W 2-156.6 1804 1522 66.78% 19.51% 13.71%+1.63 +2.7 58
2013-04-13 Wacker Innsbruck W 4-363.8 1543 1509 48.28% 23.65% 28.07%+0.51 +5.0 28
2013-04-13 @ Admira Wacker L 3-463.8 1509 1543 28.07% 23.65% 48.28%-0.51 -5.0 23
2013-04-13 Wiener Neustadter W 2-046.8 1709 1506 66.99% 19.43% 13.58%+1.65 +5.4 46
2013-04-13 @ Rapid Wien L 0-246.8 1506 1709 13.58% 19.43% 66.99%-1.65 -5.4 26
2013-04-14 Austria Wien D 1-172.4 1654 1787 26.13% 23.40% 50.47%-0.62 +1.0 44
2013-04-14 @ Sturm Graz D 1-172.4 1787 1654 50.47% 23.40% 26.13%+0.62 -1.0 66
2013-04-20 Admira Wacker W 3-048.7 1501 1548 36.96% 24.16% 38.88%-0.05 +20.3 29
2013-04-20 @ Wiener Neustadter L 0-348.7 1548 1501 38.88% 24.16% 36.96%+0.05 -20.3 28
2013-04-20 Mattersburg D 2-274.8 1655 1519 60.35% 21.50% 18.15%+1.19 -1.3 45
2013-04-20 @ Sturm Graz D 2-274.8 1519 1655 18.15% 21.50% 60.35%-1.19 +1.3 28
2013-04-20 Ried W 2-059.4 1504 1675 22.22% 22.67% 55.11%-0.88 +18.7 26
2013-04-20 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 0-259.4 1675 1504 55.11% 22.67% 22.22%+0.88 -18.7 41
2013-04-20 Wolfsberg W 6-254.0 1807 1652 62.27% 20.97% 16.76%+1.32 +9.0 61
2013-04-20 @ Salzburg L 2-654.0 1652 1807 16.76% 20.97% 62.27%-1.32 -9.0 42
2013-04-21 Rapid Wien D 2-278.2 1786 1715 52.94% 23.05% 24.01%+0.76 -0.9 67
2013-04-21 @ Austria Wien D 2-278.2 1715 1786 24.01% 23.05% 52.94%-0.76 +0.9 47
2013-04-27 Salzburg L 1-361.3 1716 1816 29.97% 23.84% 46.19%-0.40 -9.9 47
2013-04-27 @ Rapid Wien W 3-161.3 1816 1716 46.19% 23.84% 29.97%+0.40 +9.9 64
2013-04-27 Sturm Graz W 3-053.4 1643 1654 42.17% 24.08% 33.75%+0.20 +18.2 45
2013-04-27 @ Wolfsberg L 0-353.4 1654 1643 33.75% 24.08% 42.17%-0.20 -18.2 45
2013-04-27 Wacker Innsbruck L 1-260.0 1520 1523 43.33% 24.03% 32.64%+0.26 -7.6 28
2013-04-27 @ Mattersburg W 2-160.0 1523 1520 32.64% 24.03% 43.33%-0.26 +7.6 29
2013-04-27 Wiener Neustadter W 2-156.0 1656 1521 60.22% 21.53% 18.25%+1.19 +3.7 44
2013-04-27 @ Ried L 1-256.0 1521 1656 18.25% 21.53% 60.22%-1.19 -3.7 29
2013-04-28 Austria Wien L 0-249.1 1528 1785 15.29% 20.32% 64.39%-1.46 -6.1 28
2013-04-28 @ Admira Wacker W 2-049.1 1785 1528 64.39% 20.32% 15.29%+1.46 +6.1 70
2013-05-04 Admira Wacker W 2-154.2 1826 1522 75.41% 15.86% 8.73%+2.32 +1.7 67
2013-05-04 @ Salzburg L 1-254.2 1522 1826 8.73% 15.86% 75.41%-2.32 -1.7 28
2013-05-04 Ried W 3-157.0 1791 1660 59.83% 21.63% 18.53%+1.16 +6.4 73
2013-05-04 @ Austria Wien L 1-357.0 1660 1791 18.53% 21.63% 59.83%-1.16 -6.4 44
2013-05-04 Wacker Innsbruck D 2-270.1 1518 1530 41.90% 24.09% 34.01%+0.19 -0.2 30
2013-05-04 @ Wiener Neustadter D 2-270.1 1530 1518 34.01% 24.09% 41.90%-0.19 +0.2 30
2013-05-04 Wolfsberg W 3-164.0 1513 1661 24.44% 23.12% 52.44%-0.73 +15.5 31
2013-05-04 @ Mattersburg L 1-364.0 1661 1513 52.44% 23.12% 24.44%+0.73 -15.5 45
2013-05-05 Rapid Wien L 1-361.5 1636 1706 33.82% 24.08% 42.10%-0.20 -10.9 45
2013-05-05 @ Sturm Graz W 3-161.5 1706 1636 42.10% 24.08% 33.82%+0.20 +10.9 50
2013-05-11 Austria Wien L 0-346.8 1531 1798 14.64% 20.00% 65.37%-1.53 -8.5 30
2013-05-11 @ Wacker Innsbruck W 3-046.8 1798 1531 65.37% 20.00% 14.64%+1.53 +8.5 76
2013-05-11 Mattersburg D 1-169.5 1653 1528 59.18% 21.79% 19.02%+1.12 -1.7 45
2013-05-11 @ Ried D 1-169.5 1528 1653 19.02% 21.79% 59.18%-1.12 +1.7 32
2013-05-11 Sturm Graz W 3-054.1 1520 1625 29.42% 23.79% 46.78%-0.43 +23.6 31
2013-05-11 @ Admira Wacker L 0-354.1 1625 1520 46.78% 23.79% 29.42%+0.43 -23.6 45
2013-05-11 Wolfsberg D 0-067.9 1717 1646 52.89% 23.05% 24.06%+0.75 -1.3 51
2013-05-11 @ Rapid Wien D 0-067.9 1646 1717 24.06% 23.05% 52.89%-0.75 +1.3 46
2013-05-12 Salzburg L 0-645.7 1517 1827 12.16% 18.56% 69.28%-1.82 -13.4 30
2013-05-12 @ Wiener Neustadter W 6-045.7 1827 1517 69.28% 18.56% 12.16%+1.82 +13.4 70
2013-05-18 Admira Wacker D 0-065.5 1647 1544 56.72% 22.35% 20.93%+0.97 -1.6 47
2013-05-18 @ Wolfsberg D 0-065.5 1544 1647 20.93% 22.35% 56.72%-0.97 +1.7 32
2013-05-18 Rapid Wien W 2-061.2 1530 1715 20.86% 22.33% 56.81%-0.98 +19.2 35
2013-05-18 @ Mattersburg L 0-261.2 1715 1530 56.81% 22.33% 20.86%+0.98 -19.2 51
2013-05-18 Wacker Innsbruck W 3-151.4 1841 1522 76.51% 15.32% 8.17%+2.43 +2.7 73
2013-05-18 @ Salzburg L 1-351.4 1522 1841 8.17% 15.32% 76.51%-2.43 -2.7 30
2013-05-18 Wiener Neustadter W 3-151.2 1806 1504 75.30% 15.91% 8.79%+2.32 +2.9 79
2013-05-18 @ Austria Wien L 1-351.2 1504 1806 8.79% 15.91% 75.30%-2.32 -2.9 30
2013-05-19 Ried W 3-162.0 1601 1652 36.50% 24.15% 39.35%-0.07 +12.2 48
2013-05-19 @ Sturm Graz L 1-362.0 1652 1601 39.35% 24.15% 36.50%+0.07 -12.2 45
2013-05-22 Mattersburg W 4-044.2 1809 1549 71.99% 17.43% 10.58%+2.03 +7.8 82
2013-05-22 @ Austria Wien L 0-444.2 1549 1809 10.58% 17.43% 71.99%-2.03 -7.8 35
2013-05-22 Rapid Wien L 0-251.6 1545 1696 24.22% 23.08% 52.69%-0.74 -9.5 32
2013-05-22 @ Admira Wacker W 2-051.6 1696 1545 52.69% 23.08% 24.22%+0.74 +9.5 54
2013-05-22 Salzburg D 2-278.4 1640 1843 19.28% 21.88% 58.84%-1.10 +1.2 46
2013-05-22 @ Ried D 2-278.4 1843 1640 58.84% 21.88% 19.28%+1.10 -1.2 74
2013-05-22 Sturm Graz W 2-163.6 1519 1613 30.72% 23.90% 45.38%-0.36 +7.9 33
2013-05-22 @ Wacker Innsbruck L 1-263.6 1613 1519 45.38% 23.90% 30.72%+0.36 -7.9 48
2013-05-22 Wolfsberg W 2-057.7 1501 1645 24.89% 23.20% 51.91%-0.70 +17.7 33
2013-05-22 @ Wiener Neustadter L 0-257.7 1645 1501 51.91% 23.20% 24.89%+0.70 -17.7 47
2013-05-26 Admira Wacker L 0-156.6 1541 1536 44.37% 23.97% 31.65%+0.31 -8.2 35
2013-05-26 @ Mattersburg W 1-056.6 1536 1541 31.65% 23.97% 44.37%-0.31 +8.2 35
2013-05-26 Austria Wien W 3-053.7 1842 1817 47.05% 23.77% 29.18%+0.44 +16.2 77
2013-05-26 @ Salzburg L 0-353.7 1817 1842 29.18% 23.77% 47.05%-0.44 -16.2 82
2013-05-26 Ried W 3-050.9 1706 1641 52.16% 23.17% 24.67%+0.71 +14.1 57
2013-05-26 @ Rapid Wien L 0-350.9 1641 1706 24.67% 23.17% 52.16%-0.71 -14.1 46
2013-05-26 Wacker Innsbruck L 2-372.2 1628 1527 56.39% 22.42% 21.19%+0.95 -9.0 47
2013-05-26 @ Wolfsberg W 3-272.2 1527 1628 21.19% 22.42% 56.39%-0.95 +9.0 36
2013-05-26 Wiener Neustadter L 0-355.6 1605 1519 54.78% 22.73% 22.49%+0.86 -27.0 48
2013-05-26 @ Sturm Graz W 3-055.6 1519 1605 22.49% 22.73% 54.78%-0.86 +27.0 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2013-04-06 13.43% Wolfsberg 1624 4 @ Austria Wien 1829 0
2 2012-12-15 14.48% @ Wiener Neustadter 1479 1 Rapid Wien 1749 0
3 2012-11-11 16.08% Wolfsberg 1576 2 @ Rapid Wien 1740 0
4 2013-03-02 18.32% Admira Wacker 1541 2 @ Sturm Graz 1675 1
5 2013-02-23 20.39% Wolfsberg 1581 3 @ Sturm Graz 1690 1
6 2013-05-18 20.86% @ Mattersburg 1530 2 Rapid Wien 1715 0
7 2012-07-29 21.09% Wolfsberg 1556 2 @ Ried 1657 0
8 2012-08-26 21.15% @ Wolfsberg 1548 1 Rapid Wien 1730 0
9 2013-05-26 21.19% Wacker Innsbruck 1527 3 @ Wolfsberg 1628 2
10 2013-03-30 21.50% @ Wiener Neustadter 1497 1 Sturm Graz 1675 0
11 2013-04-20 22.22% @ Wacker Innsbruck 1504 2 Ried 1675 0
12 2013-05-26 22.49% Wiener Neustadter 1519 3 @ Sturm Graz 1605 0
13 2012-10-20 22.50% @ Wiener Neustadter 1499 2 Admira Wacker 1667 1
14 2012-11-24 22.93% @ Ried 1629 3 Salzburg 1792 1
15 2013-05-04 24.44% @ Mattersburg 1513 3 Wolfsberg 1661 1
16 2013-02-16 24.45% Wiener Neustadter 1491 2 @ Admira Wacker 1558 1
17 2012-10-27 24.62% Wacker Innsbruck 1515 2 @ Mattersburg 1581 1
18 2013-05-22 24.89% @ Wiener Neustadter 1501 2 Wolfsberg 1645 0
19 2012-08-05 25.26% Austria Wien 1664 3 @ Rapid Wien 1724 0
20 2012-08-12 25.62% Rapid Wien 1698 2 @ Salzburg 1754 0
21 2013-03-03 26.15% @ Wolfsberg 1598 2 Rapid Wien 1730 1
22 2012-08-18 26.34% Wiener Neustadter 1523 3 @ Wacker Innsbruck 1572 2
23 2012-10-20 26.39% @ Wacker Innsbruck 1506 1 Ried 1636 0
24 2013-03-02 26.81% @ Mattersburg 1532 1 Ried 1659 0
25 2012-11-24 28.07% @ Wiener Neustadter 1481 2 Wolfsberg 1596 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-04-06 41.97 Wolfsberg 4 1624 13.43% @ Austria Wien 0 1829 67.22% 19.35%
2 2012-09-15 30.02 @ Wolfsberg 6 1559 48.31% Wiener Neustadter 0 1524 28.04% 23.65%
3 2013-05-26 26.96 Wiener Neustadter 3 1519 22.49% @ Sturm Graz 0 1605 54.78% 22.73%
4 2012-08-05 25.55 Austria Wien 3 1664 25.26% @ Rapid Wien 0 1724 51.48% 23.26%
5 2013-05-11 23.58 @ Admira Wacker 3 1520 29.42% Sturm Graz 0 1625 46.78% 23.79%
6 2012-12-01 22.09 @ Mattersburg 3 1534 32.78% Admira Wacker 0 1612 43.18% 24.04%
7 2012-11-11 21.02 Wolfsberg 2 1576 16.08% @ Rapid Wien 0 1740 63.24% 20.68%
8 2013-04-20 20.34 @ Wiener Neustadter 3 1501 36.96% Admira Wacker 0 1548 38.88% 24.16%
9 2012-11-10 20.04 @ Ried 6 1618 49.89% Mattersburg 1 1571 26.64% 23.47%
10 2012-12-08 19.38 Ried 3 1641 39.36% @ Admira Wacker 0 1590 36.49% 24.15%
11 2013-05-18 19.16 @ Mattersburg 2 1530 20.86% Rapid Wien 0 1715 56.81% 22.33%
12 2012-07-29 19.07 Wolfsberg 2 1556 21.09% @ Ried 0 1657 56.51% 22.40%
13 2012-11-03 18.79 @ Salzburg 5 1762 57.81% Admira Wacker 0 1649 20.08% 22.12%
14 2013-04-20 18.67 @ Wacker Innsbruck 2 1504 22.22% Ried 0 1675 55.11% 22.67%
15 2013-04-27 18.25 @ Wolfsberg 3 1643 42.17% Sturm Graz 0 1654 33.75% 24.08%
16 2013-05-22 17.72 @ Wiener Neustadter 2 1501 24.89% Wolfsberg 0 1645 51.91% 23.20%
17 2012-08-12 17.48 Rapid Wien 2 1698 25.62% @ Salzburg 0 1754 51.06% 23.32%
18 2012-09-22 16.95 @ Admira Wacker 5 1641 48.62% Mattersburg 1 1604 27.76% 23.62%
19 2013-02-23 16.74 Wolfsberg 3 1581 20.39% @ Sturm Graz 1 1690 57.40% 22.21%
20 2012-08-05 16.61 @ Admira Wacker 4 1636 55.34% Wiener Neustadter 0 1544 22.03% 22.63%
21 2012-12-15 16.55 @ Salzburg 7 1775 68.02% Mattersburg 0 1561 12.93% 19.05%
22 2012-09-01 16.30 Salzburg 4 1734 55.89% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1557 21.59% 22.52%
23 2013-05-26 16.23 @ Salzburg 3 1842 47.05% Austria Wien 0 1817 29.18% 23.77%
24 2012-11-04 16.01 @ Austria Wien 6 1740 57.01% Ried 1 1634 20.70% 22.29%
25 2012-11-24 15.94 @ Ried 3 1629 22.93% Salzburg 1 1792 54.24% 22.83%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-08-18 83.5 @ Admira Wacker 4 1647 31.19% Salzburg 4 1737 44.87% 23.94%
2 2013-02-24 82.3 @ Salzburg 3 1792 51.70% Rapid Wien 3 1731 25.07% 23.23%
3 2013-03-16 78.5 @ Salzburg 2 1793 61.90% Ried 2 1642 17.02% 21.08%
4 2013-05-22 78.4 @ Ried 2 1640 19.28% Salzburg 2 1843 58.84% 21.88%
5 2013-04-21 78.2 @ Austria Wien 2 1786 52.94% Rapid Wien 2 1715 24.01% 23.05%
6 2013-03-09 77.0 @ Rapid Wien 2 1722 64.86% Mattersburg 2 1541 14.97% 20.17%
7 2013-04-20 74.8 @ Sturm Graz 2 1655 60.35% Mattersburg 2 1519 18.15% 21.50%
8 2013-03-31 72.9 @ Austria Wien 1 1830 48.72% Salzburg 1 1792 27.67% 23.61%
9 2012-09-15 72.5 @ Salzburg 1 1751 58.54% Ried 1 1631 19.51% 21.95%
10 2013-03-06 72.5 @ Wolfsberg 1 1606 20.65% Salzburg 1 1794 57.08% 22.28%
11 2013-03-13 72.5 @ Admira Wacker 1 1544 15.65% Salzburg 1 1796 63.86% 20.49%
12 2012-12-08 72.4 @ Sturm Graz 1 1699 32.93% Salzburg 1 1776 43.02% 24.04%
13 2013-04-14 72.4 @ Sturm Graz 1 1654 26.13% Austria Wien 1 1787 50.47% 23.40%
14 2013-02-27 72.2 @ Rapid Wien 1 1731 51.28% Sturm Graz 1 1674 25.43% 23.29%
15 2013-05-26 72.2 Wacker Innsbruck 3 1527 21.19% @ Wolfsberg 2 1628 56.39% 22.42%
16 2012-10-07 72.1 @ Rapid Wien 1 1750 71.41% Wiener Neustadter 1 1496 10.91% 17.68%
17 2013-03-30 72.1 @ Ried 3 1644 33.27% Rapid Wien 2 1718 42.67% 24.06%
18 2012-08-25 72.0 @ Salzburg 1 1737 67.25% Wiener Neustadter 1 1531 13.41% 19.34%
19 2012-12-01 72.0 @ Wolfsberg 2 1589 54.53% Wacker Innsbruck 2 1504 22.69% 22.78%
20 2012-09-29 71.9 @ Austria Wien 1 1720 59.01% Wolfsberg 1 1596 19.16% 21.84%
21 2012-10-07 71.8 @ Sturm Graz 1 1659 35.34% Austria Wien 1 1718 40.53% 24.13%
22 2013-03-16 71.6 @ Rapid Wien 1 1720 64.26% Admira Wacker 1 1546 15.38% 20.36%
23 2012-11-27 70.9 @ Wolfsberg 1 1588 29.11% Sturm Graz 1 1695 47.13% 23.76%
24 2012-09-29 70.7 @ Ried 1 1621 38.45% Admira Wacker 1 1658 37.38% 24.16%
25 2013-02-20 70.7 @ Ried 1 1670 55.26% Wolfsberg 1 1580 22.10% 22.64%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-11-17 43.3 @ Austria Wien 3 1766 73.60% Wiener Neustadter 0 1486 9.69% 16.71%
2 2013-03-02 43.4 @ Austria Wien 4 1816 74.38% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1525 9.27% 16.35%
3 2013-05-22 44.2 @ Austria Wien 4 1809 71.99% Mattersburg 0 1549 10.58% 17.43%
4 2013-02-23 44.4 @ Austria Wien 4 1799 71.12% Admira Wacker 0 1549 11.07% 17.80%
5 2013-02-16 45.4 @ Ried 3 1660 61.21% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1516 17.52% 21.27%
6 2012-11-11 45.5 Salzburg 3 1780 67.20% @ Wiener Neustadter 0 1494 13.45% 19.35%
7 2013-05-12 45.7 Salzburg 6 1827 69.28% @ Wiener Neustadter 0 1517 12.16% 18.56%
8 2013-03-17 45.8 Austria Wien 4 1819 66.73% @ Mattersburg 0 1538 13.75% 19.53%
9 2012-08-05 46.4 @ Admira Wacker 4 1636 55.34% Wiener Neustadter 0 1544 22.03% 22.63%
10 2012-09-15 46.5 @ Wolfsberg 6 1559 48.31% Wiener Neustadter 0 1524 28.04% 23.65%
11 2012-11-18 46.6 @ Salzburg 2 1788 72.54% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1521 10.27% 17.19%
12 2012-12-15 46.7 @ Salzburg 7 1775 68.02% Mattersburg 0 1561 12.93% 19.05%
13 2012-09-15 46.8 @ Sturm Graz 3 1653 57.75% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1540 20.12% 22.13%
14 2013-04-13 46.8 @ Rapid Wien 2 1709 66.99% Wiener Neustadter 0 1506 13.58% 19.43%
15 2013-05-11 46.8 Austria Wien 3 1798 65.37% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1531 14.64% 20.00%
16 2012-11-10 47.6 Austria Wien 3 1756 61.05% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1532 17.64% 21.31%
17 2012-11-24 48.0 Sturm Graz 3 1682 54.37% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1517 22.82% 22.81%
18 2012-07-21 48.1 @ Rapid Wien 4 1704 57.08% Wacker Innsbruck 0 1597 20.65% 22.28%
19 2012-09-01 48.3 Salzburg 4 1734 55.89% @ Wacker Innsbruck 0 1557 21.59% 22.52%
20 2013-04-20 48.7 @ Wiener Neustadter 3 1501 36.96% Admira Wacker 0 1548 38.88% 24.16%
21 2012-12-08 48.8 @ Mattersburg 1 1556 53.02% Wiener Neustadter 0 1484 23.94% 23.03%
22 2012-11-03 49.1 @ Salzburg 5 1762 57.81% Admira Wacker 0 1649 20.08% 22.12%
23 2013-04-28 49.1 Austria Wien 2 1785 64.39% @ Admira Wacker 0 1528 15.29% 20.32%
24 2012-11-17 49.2 Rapid Wien 3 1719 54.71% @ Mattersburg 0 1551 22.55% 22.75%
25 2013-04-07 49.5 @ Salzburg 3 1793 59.44% Sturm Graz 0 1665 18.83% 21.73%