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1939-40 Gauliga Season

56 games

Final

Champion

Rapid Wien

20 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rapid Wien

3.80 points above expected

20 points · 16.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Austria Wien

3.33 points below expected

12 points · 15.33 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rapid Wien 14 9 2 3 20 50 24 +26 16.20 +3.80
2 Wacker Wien 14 8 1 5 17 43 31 +12 16.02 +0.98
3 Wiener Sport-Club 14 6 4 4 16 36 23 +13 15.23 +0.77
4 First Vienna 14 7 2 5 16 36 35 +1 13.13 +2.87
5 Admira Wien 14 6 3 5 15 33 36 -3 16.98 -1.98
6 Austria Wien 14 6 0 8 12 37 42 -5 15.33 -3.33
7 FC Wien 14 4 1 9 9 24 43 -19 10.36 -1.36
8 SV Amateure Fiat 14 3 1 10 7 36 61 -25 8.74 -1.74

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rapid Wien 20 16.20 +3.80
2 First Vienna 16 13.13 +2.87
3 Wacker Wien 17 16.02 +0.98
4 Wiener Sport-Club 16 15.23 +0.77
5 FC Wien 9 10.36 -1.36

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Austria Wien 12 15.33 -3.33
2 Admira Wien 15 16.98 -1.98
3 SV Amateure Fiat 7 8.74 -1.74
4 FC Wien 9 10.36 -1.36
5 Wiener Sport-Club 16 15.23 +0.77

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Wien 3 Oct 15 – Nov 5 1 in 17
2 First Vienna 3 Mar 31 – Apr 27 1 in 16
3 FC Wien 2 Mar 30 – Apr 6 1 in 9
4 Wacker Wien 3 Mar 17 – Apr 21 1 in 9
5 Austria Wien 2 Oct 15 – Oct 29 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Wien 3 Dec 25 – Mar 10 1 in 19
2 Wiener Sport-Club 2 Mar 24 – Apr 13 1 in 10
3 FC Wien 4 Nov 5 – Dec 25 1 in 9
4 First Vienna 3 Nov 12 – Jan 14 1 in 7
5 Rapid Wien 2 Mar 17 – Apr 21 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Wien 9 Oct 15 – Mar 10 1 in 59
2 Wiener Sport-Club 5 Nov 5 – Feb 4 1 in 19
3 Admira Wien 6 Nov 26 – Mar 17 1 in 10
4 FC Wien 3 Mar 23 – Apr 6 1 in 10
5 First Vienna 4 Mar 23 – Apr 27 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wiener Sport-Club 4 Nov 26 – Mar 10 1 in 11
2 Austria Wien 3 Dec 25 – Mar 10 1 in 8
3 Admira Wien 3 Oct 29 – Nov 12 1 in 7
4 SV Amateure Fiat 6 Jan 7 – Apr 6 1 in 5
5 First Vienna 4 Nov 12 – Feb 11 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rapid Wien 1650 20 +6 6 6.0 -0.0
Wacker Wien 1631 17 +3 6 5.7 +0.3
First Vienna 1570 16 +16 7 4.9 +2.1
Wiener Sport-Club 1612 16 +12 6 5.6 +0.4
Admira Wien 1628 15 -18 5 6.3 -1.3
Austria Wien 1592 12 -3 4 5.8 -1.8
FC Wien 1471 9 +2 5 3.7 +1.3
SV Amateure Fiat 1432 7 -1 3 3.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW AW FW FV RW SAF WW WS
Admira Wien —
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
4.32
1-0-1
3.12
0-2-0
3.14
Austria Wien
1-0-1
2.54
 —
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.33
0-0-2
2.80
1-0-1
4.15
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.96
FC Wien
1-0-1
1.63
0-0-2
1.93
 —
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
1.68
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
1.81
1-0-1
1.88
First Vienna
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
3.41
 —
1-1-0
2.25
2-0-0
3.74
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.38
Rapid Wien
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
2.93
2-0-0
4.07
0-1-1
3.49
 —
2-0-0
4.29
2-0-0
2.71
0-1-1
3.14
SV Amateure Fiat
0-1-1
1.42
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
1.46
 —
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
1.69
Wacker Wien
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.93
2-0-0
3.49
0-0-2
3.03
2-0-0
4.17
 —
1-1-0
2.98
Wiener Sport-Club
0-2-0
2.60
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.86
1-0-1
3.36
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
4.05
0-1-1
2.76
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.49 +4.1
Allowed 0.82 -3.2
Differential 0.93 +2.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—1.79%0.89%2.68%1.79%2.68%9.82%
11.79%5.36%3.57%2.68%8.04%2.68%24.11%
20.89%3.57%1.79%5.36%2.68%2.68%16.96%
32.68%2.68%5.36%3.57%3.57%—17.86%
41.79%8.04%2.68%3.57%—1.79%17.86%
5+2.68%2.68%2.68%—1.79%3.57%13.39%
Total9.82%24.11%16.96%17.86%17.86%13.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.63 2.63 +0.00
SD 1.89 1.89 2.91
CV 0.72 0.72 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%——7.14%7.14%21.43%
1—7.14%——7.14%—14.29%
2—7.14%7.14%7.14%——21.43%
3——14.29%7.14%——21.43%
4—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
5+—————7.14%7.14%
Total—28.57%28.57%14.29%14.29%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 2.57 -0.21
SD 2.13 1.45 2.42
CV 0.91 0.56 —
Max 8 5 +3
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%———7.14%
1———7.14%14.29%—21.43%
2———14.29%—14.29%28.57%
3—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
4———————
5+7.14%14.29%——7.14%—28.57%
Total7.14%21.43%14.29%21.43%21.43%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 3.00 -0.36
SD 1.74 2.25 3.37
CV 0.66 0.75 —
Max 5 9 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%—7.14%14.29%
17.14%—7.14%—21.43%7.14%42.86%
2————7.14%—7.14%
3——14.29%7.14%7.14%—28.57%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total7.14%7.14%21.43%14.29%35.71%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 3.07 -1.36
SD 1.27 1.49 2.31
CV 0.74 0.49 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————7.14%—7.14%
1——7.14%7.14%7.14%—21.43%
2—14.29%—7.14%——21.43%
37.14%—7.14%7.14%——21.43%
47.14%——7.14%——14.29%
5+————7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total14.29%14.29%14.29%28.57%21.43%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.57 2.50 +0.07
SD 1.55 1.56 2.16
CV 0.60 0.62 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%——7.14%
1—7.14%14.29%———21.43%
2———————
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4—28.57%—7.14%——35.71%
5+—7.14%7.14%——7.14%21.43%
Total7.14%50.00%21.43%14.29%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.57 1.71 +1.86
SD 2.44 1.27 2.74
CV 0.68 0.74 —
Max 9 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————7.14%7.14%
17.14%——7.14%—7.14%21.43%
2——7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
3————7.14%—7.14%
4——7.14%——14.29%21.43%
5+——7.14%——7.14%14.29%
Total7.14%—21.43%14.29%14.29%42.86%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.57 4.36 -1.79
SD 1.60 2.59 3.12
CV 0.62 0.59 —
Max 5 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—7.14%——7.14%7.14%21.43%
27.14%7.14%—7.14%7.14%—28.57%
3————7.14%—7.14%
4—14.29%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
5+7.14%—7.14%———14.29%
Total14.29%28.57%14.29%14.29%21.43%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.07 2.21 +0.86
SD 1.94 1.63 2.91
CV 0.63 0.73 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 1 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
1—21.43%——7.14%—28.57%
2———————
37.14%7.14%—7.14%7.14%—28.57%
47.14%7.14%—7.14%——21.43%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total21.43%42.86%—21.43%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.57 1.64 +0.93
SD 2.14 1.45 2.92
CV 0.83 0.88 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rapid Wien 1650 20 16.20 +3.80 88.8% 5 11 14 16 18 22 26
Wacker Wien 1631 17 16.02 +0.98 65.5% 5 10 14 16 18 21 27
Admira Wien 1628 15 16.98 -1.98 32.3% 6 11 15 17 19 22 28
Wiener Sport-Club 1612 16 15.23 +0.77 65.0% 5 10 13 15 18 21 26
Austria Wien 1592 12 15.33 -3.33 21.4% 5 10 13 16 18 21 27
First Vienna 1570 16 13.13 +2.87 84.7% 2 8 11 13 16 18 24
FC Wien 1471 9 10.36 -1.36 38.7% 1 5 8 10 12 16 21
SV Amateure Fiat 1432 7 8.74 -1.74 34.5% 1 4 7 9 11 14 19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-16.07%
No Edge
35.71%12.50%51.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -56.33 Elo pts.
134 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.05 goals
Neutral
-2-0.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.1
Open
12468
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Rapid Wien, 2nd of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Tight Race
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.68 * Some Luck: 2.68 to 4.02 * Lucky: 4.02 to 5.36 * Wild Swing: 5.36 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.22 * Close: 1.22 to 1.83 * Off: 1.83 to 2.44 * Way Off: 2.44 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.35 points
As Expected
03.358
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.534
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
88.80%
Rapid Wien
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
21.40%
Austria Wien
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.16
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
78%
Clear Edge
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Frequent
0%39%100%
Blowouts
Expected
43%
Very Frequent
0%39%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.49
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.40
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
34%
Upset-Prone
0%32%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.19 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.19 to 0.29 * Above Noise: 0.29 to 0.39 * Well Above Noise: 0.39 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.136
Well Within Noise
00.1930.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Rapid Wien23.40%18.40%18.70%15.20%10.50%8.50%3.60%1.70%
Wacker Wien18.60%21.40%15.00%16.20%12.60%10.00%4.70%1.50%
Wiener Sport-Club15.00%15.30%17.40%14.70%14.90%13.20%6.80%2.70%
First Vienna4.50%7.30%9.40%16.10%19.30%20.90%15.30%7.20%
Admira Wien26.30%19.30%17.20%13.50%12.50%6.60%3.10%1.50%
Austria Wien11.90%15.90%16.10%17.50%14.60%14.00%7.00%3.00%
FC Wien0.30%2.00%4.50%4.90%9.40%18.00%32.20%28.70%
SV Amateure Fiat—0.40%1.70%1.90%6.20%8.80%27.30%53.70%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Admira Wien 98.50% 1.50%
Wacker Wien 98.50% 1.50%
Rapid Wien 98.30% 1.70%
Wiener Sport-Club 97.30% 2.70%
Austria Wien 97.00% 3.00%
First Vienna 92.80% 7.20%
FC Wien 71.30% 28.70%
SV Amateure Fiat 46.30% 53.70%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1939-09-24 Wacker Wien L 0-551.8 1663 1610 50.81% 13.22% 35.97%-0.02 -19.8 0
1939-09-24 @ Admira Wien W 5-051.8 1610 1663 35.97% 13.22% 50.81%+0.02 +19.8 2
1939-09-24 Wiener Sport-Club L 1-456.1 1616 1586 47.57% 13.25% 39.18%-0.20 -9.8 0
1939-09-24 @ Austria Wien W 4-156.1 1586 1616 39.18% 13.25% 47.57%+0.20 +9.8 2
1939-09-24 First Vienna L 1-259.8 1600 1553 49.94% 13.23% 36.83%-0.07 -4.2 0
1939-09-24 @ Rapid Wien W 2-159.8 1553 1600 36.83% 13.23% 49.94%+0.07 +4.2 2
1939-09-24 FC Wien W 4-254.7 1459 1499 37.73% 13.24% 49.03%-0.72 +6.3 2
1939-09-24 @ SV Amateure Fiat L 2-454.7 1499 1459 49.03% 13.24% 37.73%+0.72 -6.3 0
1939-10-15 Admira Wien L 1-447.3 1493 1643 24.23% 12.98% 62.79%-1.54 -5.3 0
1939-10-15 @ FC Wien W 4-147.3 1643 1493 62.79% 12.98% 24.23%+1.54 +5.3 2
1939-10-15 Austria Wien L 1-353.9 1558 1606 36.58% 13.23% 50.19%-0.78 -5.5 2
1939-10-15 @ First Vienna W 3-153.9 1606 1558 50.19% 13.23% 36.58%+0.78 +5.5 2
1939-10-15 Rapid Wien L 3-468.8 1630 1596 48.14% 13.24% 38.62%-0.17 -3.7 2
1939-10-15 @ Wacker Wien W 4-368.8 1596 1630 38.62% 13.24% 48.14%+0.17 +3.7 2
1939-10-15 SV Amateure Fiat W 8-040.4 1596 1466 60.58% 13.05% 26.38%+0.55 +17.2 4
1939-10-15 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 0-840.4 1466 1596 26.38% 13.05% 60.58%-0.55 -17.2 2
1939-10-29 Rapid Wien L 1-457.8 1648 1600 50.22% 13.23% 36.55%-0.06 -10.2 2
1939-10-29 @ Admira Wien W 4-157.8 1600 1648 36.55% 13.23% 50.22%+0.06 +10.2 4
1939-10-29 Wacker Wien W 5-154.5 1611 1626 41.33% 13.26% 45.42%-0.53 +12.1 4
1939-10-29 @ Austria Wien L 1-554.5 1626 1611 45.42% 13.26% 41.33%+0.53 -12.1 2
1939-10-29 Wiener Sport-Club W 4-157.0 1488 1613 26.92% 13.06% 60.02%-1.36 +12.1 2
1939-10-29 @ FC Wien L 1-457.0 1613 1488 60.02% 13.06% 26.92%+1.36 -12.1 4
1939-10-29 First Vienna L 3-456.3 1448 1552 29.49% 13.12% 57.39%-1.20 -2.4 2
1939-10-29 @ SV Amateure Fiat W 4-356.3 1552 1448 57.39% 13.12% 29.49%+1.20 +2.4 4
1939-11-05 FC Wien W 2-152.4 1554 1500 51.06% 13.22% 35.72%-0.01 +3.1 6
1939-11-05 @ First Vienna L 1-252.4 1500 1554 35.72% 13.22% 51.06%+0.01 -3.1 2
1939-11-05 Austria Wien W 9-255.0 1610 1624 41.41% 13.26% 45.33%-0.52 +16.6 6
1939-11-05 @ Rapid Wien L 2-955.0 1624 1610 45.33% 13.26% 41.41%+0.52 -16.6 4
1939-11-05 SV Amateure Fiat W 4-250.4 1614 1446 64.68% 12.91% 22.41%+0.83 +3.1 4
1939-11-05 @ Wacker Wien L 2-450.4 1446 1614 22.41% 12.91% 64.68%-0.83 -3.1 2
1939-11-05 Admira Wien D 1-170.6 1601 1638 38.15% 13.24% 48.61%-0.70 +0.2 5
1939-11-05 @ Wiener Sport-Club D 1-170.6 1638 1601 48.61% 13.24% 38.15%+0.70 -0.2 3
1939-11-12 Austria Wien L 2-365.1 1638 1607 47.76% 13.25% 39.00%-0.19 -3.8 3
1939-11-12 @ Admira Wien W 3-265.1 1607 1638 39.00% 13.25% 47.76%+0.19 +3.8 6
1939-11-12 Wacker Wien L 1-447.6 1497 1617 27.54% 13.08% 59.39%-1.32 -6.0 2
1939-11-12 @ FC Wien W 4-147.6 1617 1497 59.39% 13.08% 27.54%+1.32 +6.0 6
1939-11-12 First Vienna W 4-046.2 1601 1558 49.53% 13.23% 37.23%-0.09 +12.2 7
1939-11-12 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 0-446.2 1558 1601 37.23% 13.23% 49.53%+0.09 -12.2 6
1939-11-26 Admira Wien L 2-358.7 1545 1634 31.34% 13.16% 55.50%-1.08 -2.6 6
1939-11-26 @ First Vienna W 3-258.7 1634 1545 55.50% 13.16% 31.34%+1.08 +2.6 5
1939-11-26 Wiener Sport-Club D 1-170.6 1623 1613 44.71% 13.26% 42.03%-0.35 -0.0 7
1939-11-26 @ Wacker Wien D 1-170.6 1613 1623 42.03% 13.26% 44.71%+0.35 +0.0 8
1939-12-17 Austria Wien L 1-545.6 1491 1611 27.54% 13.08% 59.38%-1.32 -7.8 2
1939-12-17 @ FC Wien W 5-145.6 1611 1491 59.38% 13.08% 27.54%+1.32 +7.8 8
1939-12-17 Rapid Wien D 1-170.6 1614 1626 41.52% 13.26% 45.22%-0.52 +0.1 9
1939-12-17 @ Wiener Sport-Club D 1-170.6 1626 1614 45.22% 13.26% 41.52%+0.52 -0.1 7
1939-12-25 SV Amateure Fiat L 2-561.2 1619 1443 65.50% 12.88% 21.63%+0.89 -11.4 8
1939-12-25 @ Austria Wien W 5-261.2 1443 1619 21.63% 12.88% 65.50%-0.89 +11.4 4
1939-12-25 FC Wien W 3-042.9 1626 1483 62.07% 13.00% 24.93%+0.65 +6.5 9
1939-12-25 @ Rapid Wien L 0-342.9 1483 1626 24.93% 13.00% 62.07%-0.65 -6.5 2
1940-01-07 Admira Wien L 5-854.7 1454 1637 20.98% 12.85% 66.17%-1.79 -3.4 4
1940-01-07 @ SV Amateure Fiat W 8-554.7 1637 1454 66.17% 12.85% 20.98%+1.79 +3.4 7
1940-01-14 Wacker Wien L 1-254.9 1543 1623 32.44% 13.18% 54.39%-1.02 -2.8 6
1940-01-14 @ First Vienna W 2-154.9 1623 1543 54.39% 13.18% 32.44%+1.02 +2.8 9
1940-01-14 Rapid Wien L 1-346.7 1451 1633 21.02% 12.85% 66.14%-1.78 -3.3 4
1940-01-14 @ SV Amateure Fiat W 3-146.7 1633 1451 66.14% 12.85% 21.02%+1.78 +3.3 11
1940-02-04 Wiener Sport-Club D 3-378.3 1640 1614 47.15% 13.25% 39.60%-0.22 -0.1 8
1940-02-04 @ Admira Wien D 3-378.3 1614 1640 39.60% 13.25% 47.15%+0.22 +0.1 10
1940-02-04 Rapid Wien L 1-454.4 1607 1636 39.25% 13.25% 47.50%-0.64 -8.2 8
1940-02-04 @ Austria Wien W 4-154.4 1636 1607 47.50% 13.25% 39.25%+0.64 +8.2 13
1940-02-04 Wacker Wien L 2-843.9 1447 1626 21.39% 12.87% 65.74%-1.75 -7.4 4
1940-02-04 @ SV Amateure Fiat W 8-243.9 1626 1447 65.74% 12.87% 21.39%+1.75 +7.4 11
1940-02-11 Rapid Wien D 5-582.9 1540 1644 29.40% 13.12% 57.48%-1.20 +0.3 7
1940-02-11 @ First Vienna D 5-582.9 1644 1540 57.48% 13.12% 29.40%+1.20 -0.3 14
1940-02-11 Admira Wien L 2-462.0 1633 1640 42.36% 13.26% 44.38%-0.47 -5.6 11
1940-02-11 @ Wacker Wien W 4-262.0 1640 1633 44.38% 13.26% 42.36%+0.47 +5.6 10
1940-03-10 Admira Wien L 2-361.8 1599 1646 36.82% 13.23% 49.95%-0.77 -3.0 8
1940-03-10 @ Austria Wien W 3-261.8 1646 1599 49.95% 13.23% 36.82%+0.77 +3.0 12
1940-03-10 Wiener Sport-Club W 3-052.8 1540 1614 33.27% 13.19% 53.54%-0.97 +12.9 9
1940-03-10 @ First Vienna L 0-352.8 1614 1540 53.54% 13.19% 33.27%+0.97 -12.9 10
1940-03-10 SV Amateure Fiat W 7-141.1 1644 1440 68.25% 12.75% 19.01%+1.11 +7.9 16
1940-03-10 @ Rapid Wien L 1-741.1 1440 1644 19.01% 12.75% 68.25%-1.11 -7.9 4
1940-03-10 FC Wien L 2-366.0 1627 1476 62.90% 12.97% 24.13%+0.71 -4.9 11
1940-03-10 @ Wacker Wien W 3-266.0 1476 1627 24.13% 12.97% 62.90%-0.71 +4.9 4
1940-03-17 SV Amateure Fiat D 2-269.9 1649 1432 69.38% 12.68% 17.94%+1.20 -0.8 13
1940-03-17 @ Admira Wien D 2-269.9 1432 1649 17.94% 12.68% 69.38%-1.20 +0.8 5
1940-03-17 FC Wien W 5-040.1 1596 1481 58.71% 13.09% 28.19%+0.44 +11.7 10
1940-03-17 @ Austria Wien L 0-540.1 1481 1596 28.19% 13.09% 58.71%-0.44 -11.7 4
1940-03-17 Wiener Sport-Club L 0-354.1 1652 1601 50.57% 13.23% 36.20%-0.04 -12.2 16
1940-03-17 @ Rapid Wien W 3-054.1 1601 1652 36.20% 13.23% 50.57%+0.04 +12.2 12
1940-03-17 First Vienna W 4-151.3 1622 1553 53.00% 13.20% 33.80%+0.10 +7.2 13
1940-03-17 @ Wacker Wien L 1-451.3 1553 1622 33.80% 13.20% 53.00%-0.10 -7.2 9
1940-03-23 First Vienna D 3-371.5 1470 1546 32.90% 13.18% 53.92%-0.99 +0.3 5
1940-03-23 @ FC Wien D 3-371.5 1546 1470 53.92% 13.18% 32.90%+0.99 -0.3 10
1940-03-24 Wacker Wien L 3-467.0 1613 1630 40.99% 13.25% 45.76%-0.55 -3.2 12
1940-03-24 @ Wiener Sport-Club W 4-367.0 1630 1613 45.76% 13.25% 40.99%+0.55 +3.2 15
1940-03-30 FC Wien L 0-160.7 1648 1470 65.72% 12.87% 21.41%+0.91 -5.7 13
1940-03-30 @ Admira Wien W 1-060.7 1470 1648 21.41% 12.87% 65.72%-0.91 +5.7 7
1940-03-31 First Vienna L 2-364.3 1608 1546 52.01% 13.21% 34.78%+0.04 -4.1 10
1940-03-31 @ Austria Wien W 3-264.3 1546 1608 34.78% 13.21% 52.01%-0.04 +4.1 12
1940-04-06 SV Amateure Fiat W 3-251.4 1476 1433 49.37% 13.24% 37.39%-0.10 +3.1 9
1940-04-06 @ FC Wien L 2-351.4 1433 1476 37.39% 13.24% 49.37%+0.10 -3.1 5
1940-04-13 Wiener Sport-Club W 1-058.1 1430 1610 21.23% 12.86% 65.91%-1.77 +5.8 7
1940-04-13 @ SV Amateure Fiat L 0-158.1 1610 1430 65.91% 12.86% 21.23%+1.77 -5.7 12
1940-04-20 SV Amateure Fiat W 5-458.4 1550 1436 58.64% 13.10% 28.26%+0.43 +2.3 14
1940-04-20 @ First Vienna L 4-558.4 1436 1550 28.26% 13.10% 58.64%-0.43 -2.3 7
1940-04-20 FC Wien W 4-358.5 1604 1479 60.00% 13.06% 26.94%+0.52 +2.2 14
1940-04-20 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 3-458.5 1479 1604 26.94% 13.06% 60.00%-0.52 -2.2 9
1940-04-21 Admira Wien L 1-260.4 1640 1642 43.05% 13.26% 43.69%-0.44 -3.6 16
1940-04-21 @ Rapid Wien W 2-160.4 1642 1640 43.69% 13.26% 43.05%+0.44 +3.7 15
1940-04-21 Austria Wien W 2-053.0 1633 1603 47.56% 13.25% 39.19%-0.20 +6.7 17
1940-04-21 @ Wacker Wien L 0-253.0 1603 1633 39.19% 13.25% 47.56%+0.20 -6.7 10
1940-04-27 First Vienna L 0-452.8 1646 1552 56.14% 13.15% 30.71%+0.28 -17.6 15
1940-04-27 @ Admira Wien W 4-052.8 1552 1646 30.71% 13.15% 56.14%-0.28 +17.6 16
1940-04-27 Austria Wien L 4-558.4 1433 1597 22.86% 12.93% 64.21%-1.64 -1.9 7
1940-04-27 @ SV Amateure Fiat W 5-458.4 1597 1433 64.21% 12.93% 22.86%+1.64 +1.9 12
1940-04-28 Wacker Wien W 4-156.3 1636 1640 42.87% 13.26% 43.87%-0.45 +9.1 18
1940-04-28 @ Rapid Wien L 1-456.3 1640 1636 43.87% 13.26% 42.87%+0.45 -9.1 17
1940-05-01 Austria Wien W 3-156.7 1606 1599 44.47% 13.26% 42.27%-0.36 +6.2 16
1940-05-01 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 1-356.7 1599 1606 42.27% 13.26% 44.47%+0.36 -6.2 12
1940-05-01 Rapid Wien L 1-446.3 1476 1645 22.30% 12.90% 64.80%-1.69 -4.9 9
1940-05-01 @ FC Wien W 4-146.3 1645 1476 64.80% 12.90% 22.30%+1.69 +4.9 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1940-04-13 21.23% @ SV Amateure Fiat 1430 1 Wiener Sport-Club 1610 0
2 1940-03-30 21.41% FC Wien 1470 1 @ Admira Wien 1648 0
3 1939-12-25 21.63% SV Amateure Fiat 1443 5 @ Austria Wien 1619 2
4 1940-03-10 24.13% FC Wien 1476 3 @ Wacker Wien 1627 2
5 1939-10-29 26.92% @ FC Wien 1488 4 Wiener Sport-Club 1613 1
6 1940-04-27 30.71% First Vienna 1552 4 @ Admira Wien 1646 0
7 1940-03-10 33.27% @ First Vienna 1540 3 Wiener Sport-Club 1614 0
8 1940-03-31 34.78% First Vienna 1546 3 @ Austria Wien 1608 2
9 1939-09-24 35.97% Wacker Wien 1610 5 @ Admira Wien 1663 0
10 1940-03-17 36.20% Wiener Sport-Club 1601 3 @ Rapid Wien 1652 0
11 1939-10-29 36.55% Rapid Wien 1600 4 @ Admira Wien 1648 1
12 1939-09-24 36.83% First Vienna 1553 2 @ Rapid Wien 1600 1
13 1939-09-24 37.73% @ SV Amateure Fiat 1459 4 FC Wien 1499 2
14 1939-10-15 38.62% Rapid Wien 1596 4 @ Wacker Wien 1630 3
15 1939-11-12 39.00% Austria Wien 1607 3 @ Admira Wien 1638 2
16 1939-09-24 39.18% Wiener Sport-Club 1586 4 @ Austria Wien 1616 1
17 1939-10-29 41.33% @ Austria Wien 1611 5 Wacker Wien 1626 1
18 1939-11-05 41.41% @ Rapid Wien 1610 9 Austria Wien 1624 2
19 1940-04-28 42.87% @ Rapid Wien 1636 4 Wacker Wien 1640 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1939-09-24 19.78 Wacker Wien 5 1610 35.97% @ Admira Wien 0 1663 50.81% 13.22%
2 1940-04-27 17.60 First Vienna 4 1552 30.71% @ Admira Wien 0 1646 56.14% 13.15%
3 1939-10-15 17.19 @ Wiener Sport-Club 8 1596 60.58% SV Amateure Fiat 0 1466 26.38% 13.05%
4 1939-11-05 16.59 @ Rapid Wien 9 1610 41.41% Austria Wien 2 1624 45.33% 13.26%
5 1940-03-10 12.89 @ First Vienna 3 1540 33.27% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1614 53.54% 13.19%
6 1940-03-17 12.23 Wiener Sport-Club 3 1601 36.20% @ Rapid Wien 0 1652 50.57% 13.23%
7 1939-11-12 12.20 @ Wiener Sport-Club 4 1601 49.53% First Vienna 0 1558 37.23% 13.23%
8 1939-10-29 12.11 @ FC Wien 4 1488 26.92% Wiener Sport-Club 1 1613 60.02% 13.06%
9 1939-10-29 12.09 @ Austria Wien 5 1611 41.33% Wacker Wien 1 1626 45.42% 13.26%
10 1940-03-17 11.71 @ Austria Wien 5 1596 58.71% FC Wien 0 1481 28.19% 13.09%
11 1939-12-25 11.43 SV Amateure Fiat 5 1443 21.63% @ Austria Wien 2 1619 65.50% 12.88%
12 1939-10-29 10.25 Rapid Wien 4 1600 36.55% @ Admira Wien 1 1648 50.22% 13.23%
13 1939-09-24 9.76 Wiener Sport-Club 4 1586 39.18% @ Austria Wien 1 1616 47.57% 13.25%
14 1940-04-28 9.09 @ Rapid Wien 4 1636 42.87% Wacker Wien 1 1640 43.87% 13.26%
15 1940-02-04 8.24 Rapid Wien 4 1636 47.50% @ Austria Wien 1 1607 39.25% 13.25%
16 1940-03-10 7.94 @ Rapid Wien 7 1644 68.25% SV Amateure Fiat 1 1440 19.01% 12.75%
17 1939-12-17 7.75 Austria Wien 5 1611 59.38% @ FC Wien 1 1491 27.54% 13.08%
18 1940-02-04 7.36 Wacker Wien 8 1626 65.74% @ SV Amateure Fiat 2 1447 21.39% 12.87%
19 1940-03-17 7.22 @ Wacker Wien 4 1622 53.00% First Vienna 1 1553 33.80% 13.20%
20 1940-04-21 6.72 @ Wacker Wien 2 1633 47.56% Austria Wien 0 1603 39.19% 13.25%
21 1939-12-25 6.49 @ Rapid Wien 3 1626 62.07% FC Wien 0 1483 24.93% 13.00%
22 1939-09-24 6.34 @ SV Amateure Fiat 4 1459 37.73% FC Wien 2 1499 49.03% 13.24%
23 1940-05-01 6.22 @ Wiener Sport-Club 3 1606 44.47% Austria Wien 1 1599 42.27% 13.26%
24 1939-11-12 6.00 Wacker Wien 4 1617 59.39% @ FC Wien 1 1497 27.54% 13.08%
25 1940-04-13 5.75 @ SV Amateure Fiat 1 1430 21.23% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1610 65.91% 12.86%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-02-11 82.9 @ First Vienna 5 1540 29.40% Rapid Wien 5 1644 57.48% 13.12%
2 1940-02-04 78.3 @ Admira Wien 3 1640 47.15% Wiener Sport-Club 3 1614 39.60% 13.25%
3 1940-03-23 71.5 @ FC Wien 3 1470 32.90% First Vienna 3 1546 53.92% 13.18%
4 1939-11-05 70.6 @ Wiener Sport-Club 1 1601 38.15% Admira Wien 1 1638 48.61% 13.24%
5 1939-11-26 70.6 @ Wacker Wien 1 1623 44.71% Wiener Sport-Club 1 1613 42.03% 13.26%
6 1939-12-17 70.6 @ Wiener Sport-Club 1 1614 41.52% Rapid Wien 1 1626 45.22% 13.26%
7 1940-03-17 69.9 @ Admira Wien 2 1649 69.38% SV Amateure Fiat 2 1432 17.94% 12.68%
8 1939-10-15 68.8 Rapid Wien 4 1596 38.62% @ Wacker Wien 3 1630 48.14% 13.24%
9 1940-03-24 67.0 Wacker Wien 4 1630 45.76% @ Wiener Sport-Club 3 1613 40.99% 13.25%
10 1940-03-10 66.0 FC Wien 3 1476 24.13% @ Wacker Wien 2 1627 62.90% 12.97%
11 1939-11-12 65.1 Austria Wien 3 1607 39.00% @ Admira Wien 2 1638 47.76% 13.25%
12 1940-03-31 64.3 First Vienna 3 1546 34.78% @ Austria Wien 2 1608 52.01% 13.21%
13 1940-02-11 62.0 Admira Wien 4 1640 44.38% @ Wacker Wien 2 1633 42.36% 13.26%
14 1940-03-10 61.8 Admira Wien 3 1646 49.95% @ Austria Wien 2 1599 36.82% 13.23%
15 1939-12-25 61.2 SV Amateure Fiat 5 1443 21.63% @ Austria Wien 2 1619 65.50% 12.88%
16 1940-03-30 60.7 FC Wien 1 1470 21.41% @ Admira Wien 0 1648 65.72% 12.87%
17 1940-04-21 60.4 Admira Wien 2 1642 43.69% @ Rapid Wien 1 1640 43.05% 13.26%
18 1939-09-24 59.8 First Vienna 2 1553 36.83% @ Rapid Wien 1 1600 49.94% 13.23%
19 1939-11-26 58.7 Admira Wien 3 1634 55.50% @ First Vienna 2 1545 31.34% 13.16%
20 1940-04-20 58.5 @ Wiener Sport-Club 4 1604 60.00% FC Wien 3 1479 26.94% 13.06%
21 1940-04-20 58.4 @ First Vienna 5 1550 58.64% SV Amateure Fiat 4 1436 28.26% 13.10%
22 1940-04-27 58.4 Austria Wien 5 1597 64.21% @ SV Amateure Fiat 4 1433 22.86% 12.93%
23 1940-04-13 58.1 @ SV Amateure Fiat 1 1430 21.23% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1610 65.91% 12.86%
24 1939-10-29 57.8 Rapid Wien 4 1600 36.55% @ Admira Wien 1 1648 50.22% 13.23%
25 1939-10-29 57.0 @ FC Wien 4 1488 26.92% Wiener Sport-Club 1 1613 60.02% 13.06%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-03-17 40.1 @ Austria Wien 5 1596 58.71% FC Wien 0 1481 28.19% 13.09%
2 1939-10-15 40.4 @ Wiener Sport-Club 8 1596 60.58% SV Amateure Fiat 0 1466 26.38% 13.05%
3 1940-03-10 41.1 @ Rapid Wien 7 1644 68.25% SV Amateure Fiat 1 1440 19.01% 12.75%
4 1939-12-25 42.9 @ Rapid Wien 3 1626 62.07% FC Wien 0 1483 24.93% 13.00%
5 1940-02-04 43.9 Wacker Wien 8 1626 65.74% @ SV Amateure Fiat 2 1447 21.39% 12.87%
6 1939-12-17 45.6 Austria Wien 5 1611 59.38% @ FC Wien 1 1491 27.54% 13.08%
7 1939-11-12 46.2 @ Wiener Sport-Club 4 1601 49.53% First Vienna 0 1558 37.23% 13.23%
8 1940-05-01 46.3 Rapid Wien 4 1645 64.80% @ FC Wien 1 1476 22.30% 12.90%
9 1940-01-14 46.7 Rapid Wien 3 1633 66.14% @ SV Amateure Fiat 1 1451 21.02% 12.85%
10 1939-10-15 47.3 Admira Wien 4 1643 62.79% @ FC Wien 1 1493 24.23% 12.98%
11 1939-11-12 47.6 Wacker Wien 4 1617 59.39% @ FC Wien 1 1497 27.54% 13.08%
12 1939-11-05 50.4 @ Wacker Wien 4 1614 64.68% SV Amateure Fiat 2 1446 22.41% 12.91%
13 1940-03-17 51.3 @ Wacker Wien 4 1622 53.00% First Vienna 1 1553 33.80% 13.20%
14 1940-04-06 51.4 @ FC Wien 3 1476 49.37% SV Amateure Fiat 2 1433 37.39% 13.24%
15 1939-09-24 51.8 Wacker Wien 5 1610 35.97% @ Admira Wien 0 1663 50.81% 13.22%
16 1939-11-05 52.4 @ First Vienna 2 1554 51.06% FC Wien 1 1500 35.72% 13.22%
17 1940-03-10 52.8 @ First Vienna 3 1540 33.27% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1614 53.54% 13.19%
18 1940-04-27 52.8 First Vienna 4 1552 30.71% @ Admira Wien 0 1646 56.14% 13.15%
19 1940-04-21 53.0 @ Wacker Wien 2 1633 47.56% Austria Wien 0 1603 39.19% 13.25%
20 1939-10-15 53.9 Austria Wien 3 1606 50.19% @ First Vienna 1 1558 36.58% 13.23%
21 1940-03-17 54.1 Wiener Sport-Club 3 1601 36.20% @ Rapid Wien 0 1652 50.57% 13.23%
22 1940-02-04 54.4 Rapid Wien 4 1636 47.50% @ Austria Wien 1 1607 39.25% 13.25%
23 1939-10-29 54.5 @ Austria Wien 5 1611 41.33% Wacker Wien 1 1626 45.42% 13.26%
24 1939-09-24 54.7 @ SV Amateure Fiat 4 1459 37.73% FC Wien 2 1499 49.03% 13.24%
25 1940-01-07 54.7 Admira Wien 8 1637 66.17% @ SV Amateure Fiat 5 1454 20.98% 12.85%