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1947 AAFC Season

56 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Cleveland Browns

2nd Title

Last Title: 1946

Runner-Up

New York Yankees

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1946

Biggest Overachiever

Cleveland Browns

4.07 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.43 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Chicago Rockets

5.40 wins below expected

1 wins · 6.40 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 New York Yankees Division 11 2 1 .821 — 378 239 +139 7.67 +3.83
2 Buffalo Bills (1st) 8 4 2 .643 2.5 320 288 +32 6.77 +2.23
3 Brooklyn Dodgers 3 10 1 .250 8 181 340 -159 6.12 -2.62
4 Baltimore Colts (1st) 2 11 1 .179 9 167 377 -210 5.93 -3.43
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Cleveland Browns Division 12 1 1 .893 — 410 185 +225 8.43 +4.07
2 San Francisco 49ers 8 4 2 .643 3.5 327 264 +63 7.58 +1.42
3 Los Angeles Dons 7 7 0 .500 5.5 328 256 +72 7.11 -0.11
4 Chicago Rockets 1 13 0 .071 11.5 263 425 -162 6.40 -5.40

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

AAFC Championship Game

Cleveland Browns 14
New York Yankees 3

Dec 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cleveland Browns West 1594 12.5 8.43 +4.07 99.99% 1 5 7 8 9 11 14
New York Yankees East 1556 11.5 7.67 +3.83 99.92% 1 4 6 7 8 10 13
San Francisco 49ers West 1538 9 7.58 +1.42 97.24% 0 4 6 7 8 10 13
Los Angeles Dons West 1509 7 7.11 -0.11 70.49% 1 3 5 6 8 9 13
Buffalo Bills (1st) East 1498 9 6.77 +2.23 99.23% 0 3 5 6 7 9 12
Brooklyn Dodgers East 1444 3.5 6.12 -2.62 29.31% 0 3 4 5 7 9 13
Chicago Rockets West 1438 1 6.40 -5.40 0.68% 0 3 5 6 7 9 13
Baltimore Colts (1st) East 1423 2.5 5.93 -3.43 15.79% 0 2 4 5 7 8 12

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team (1st) Dodgers (1st) Yankees
Baltimore Colts (1st) —
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
Brooklyn Dodgers
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
 —
0-1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
Buffalo Bills (1st)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-0-1
(1.0 exp.)
 —
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
New York Yankees
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
 —

East vs. Outside Teams

Team Rockets Browns Dons 49ers
Baltimore Colts (1st)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-1-1
(0.7 exp.)
Brooklyn Dodgers
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
Buffalo Bills (1st)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-1-1
(0.8 exp.)
New York Yankees
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
0-1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)

Within West

Team Rockets Browns Dons 49ers
Chicago Rockets —
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
Cleveland Browns
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
 —
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Dons
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
 —
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
 —

West vs. Outside Teams

Team (1st) Dodgers (1st) Yankees
Chicago Rockets
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
Cleveland Browns
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-0-1
(1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Dons
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
1-0-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-0-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored—
Mean allowed—
StdDev scored—
StdDev allowed—
Correlation (home vs away score)—
Sample size (games)—

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Cleveland Browns 12.5 8.43 +4.07
2 New York Yankees 11.5 7.67 +3.83
3 Buffalo Bills (1st) 9 6.77 +2.23
4 San Francisco 49ers 9 7.58 +1.42
5 Los Angeles Dons 7 7.11 -0.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Chicago Rockets 1 6.40 -5.40
2 Baltimore Colts (1st) 2.5 5.93 -3.43
3 Brooklyn Dodgers 3.5 6.12 -2.62
4 Los Angeles Dons 7 7.11 -0.11
5 San Francisco 49ers 9 7.58 +1.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cleveland Browns 5 Sep 5 – Oct 5 1 in 19
2 New York Yankees 5 Oct 12 – Nov 16 1 in 18
3 Los Angeles Dons 3 Oct 12 – Oct 26 1 in 11
4 San Francisco 49ers 3 Aug 31 – Sep 14 1 in 6
5 Buffalo Bills (1st) 2 Sep 14 – Sep 19 1 in 5

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chicago Rockets 10 Aug 29 – Oct 31 1 in 1,094
2 Baltimore Colts (1st) 7 Oct 12 – Nov 23 1 in 74
3 Brooklyn Dodgers 4 Aug 31 – Sep 19 1 in 13
4 Los Angeles Dons 3 Nov 2 – Nov 16 1 in 9
5 San Francisco 49ers 2 Nov 9 – Nov 16 1 in 3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall AAFC view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team1234
New York Yankees46.39%26.78%17.24%9.59%
Buffalo Bills (1st)25.53%29.00%25.11%20.36%
Brooklyn Dodgers14.82%23.53%29.43%32.22%
Baltimore Colts (1st)13.26%20.69%28.22%37.83%
Team1234
Cleveland Browns45.38%27.86%17.68%9.08%
San Francisco 49ers26.52%28.25%25.76%19.47%
Los Angeles Dons18.13%25.41%28.84%27.62%
Chicago Rockets9.97%18.48%27.72%43.83%
Team12345678
Cleveland Browns30.95%20.68%15.65%11.45%8.53%6.40%4.07%2.27%
New York Yankees18.13%17.11%15.80%14.05%11.52%10.06%7.84%5.49%
San Francisco 49ers17.33%15.95%14.79%14.34%12.18%10.57%9.02%5.82%
Los Angeles Dons11.08%13.89%13.66%13.73%13.38%12.91%11.84%9.51%
Buffalo Bills (1st)8.30%11.44%11.57%13.80%14.44%13.92%13.59%12.94%
Chicago Rockets6.03%8.27%10.97%11.78%13.98%15.27%16.14%17.56%
Brooklyn Dodgers4.51%6.70%9.06%10.85%13.74%15.86%18.27%21.01%
Baltimore Colts (1st)3.67%5.96%8.50%10.00%12.23%15.01%19.23%25.40%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
New York Yankees46.39%53.61%
Buffalo Bills (1st)25.53%74.47%
Brooklyn Dodgers14.82%85.18%
Baltimore Colts (1st)13.26%86.74%
Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns45.38%54.62%
San Francisco 49ers26.52%73.48%
Los Angeles Dons18.13%81.87%
Chicago Rockets9.97%90.03%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Won Championship Game
Cleveland Browns 45.38% 28.93%
New York Yankees 46.39% 23.01%
San Francisco 49ers 26.52% 15.12%
Buffalo Bills (1st) 25.53% 10.44%
Los Angeles Dons 18.13% 9.17%
Brooklyn Dodgers 14.82% 4.95%
Chicago Rockets 9.97% 4.31%
Baltimore Colts (1st) 13.26% 4.07%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Baltimore Colts (1st)Brooklyn DodgersBuffalo Bills (1st)Chicago RocketsCleveland BrownsLos Angeles DonsNew York YankeesSan Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Colts (1st)0.53%1.50%0.92%1.12%
Brooklyn Dodgers0.63%1.87%1.16%1.29%
Buffalo Bills (1st)1.37%4.11%2.26%2.70%
Chicago Rockets0.70%0.82%1.15%1.64%
Cleveland Browns4.58%5.05%7.54%11.76%
Los Angeles Dons1.57%1.56%2.39%3.65%
New York Yankees3.13%8.97%4.62%6.29%
San Francisco 49ers2.34%2.44%4.01%6.33%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Won Championship Game Actual Outcome
Cleveland Browns 60.85% Won Championship Game
New York Yankees 39.15% Eliminated in Championship Game
Loser →
↓ Winner
Cleveland BrownsNew York Yankees
Cleveland Browns60.85%
New York Yankees39.15%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Cleveland Browns 60.85% chance to win
Championship Game
vs. New York Yankees
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
60.85%
New York Yankees 39.15% chance to win
Championship Game
vs. Cleveland Browns
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
39.15%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1947-09-07 Brooklyn Dodgers W 16-7 1469.89 1476.98 49.93% 41.30% +4.15 1-0
1947-09-14 @ San Francisco 49ers L 7-14 1474.04 1525.41 33.48% 57.94% -3.00 1-1
1947-09-21 @ Cleveland Browns L 0-28 1471.04 1553.37 29.68% 61.91% -5.36 1-2
1947-09-28 New York Yankees L 7-21 1465.68 1526.30 42.29% 48.93% -5.29 1-3
1947-10-05 San Francisco 49ers T 28-28 1460.39 1530.91 40.90% 50.33% +0.07 1-3
1947-10-12 @ Buffalo Bills (1st) L 15-20 1460.46 1486.68 36.75% 54.57% -2.77 1-4
1947-10-19 Los Angeles Dons L 10-38 1457.69 1503.97 44.32% 46.88% -7.82 1-5
1947-10-26 @ Los Angeles Dons L 0-56 1449.87 1511.78 32.16% 59.32% -8.18 1-6
1947-11-02 @ New York Yankees L 21-35 1441.69 1539.41 27.90% 63.80% -3.57 1-7
1947-11-07 @ Chicago Rockets L 21-27 1438.12 1450.17 38.66% 52.61% -3.18 1-8
1947-11-16 @ Brooklyn Dodgers L 14-21 1434.94 1450.75 38.15% 53.13% -3.40 1-9
1947-11-23 Buffalo Bills (1st) L 14-33 1431.54 1496.95 41.61% 49.61% -6.08 1-10
1947-11-30 Chicago Rockets W 14-7 1425.46 1446.56 47.94% 43.27% +3.83 2-10
1947-12-07 Cleveland Browns L 0-42 1429.29 1587.42 29.56% 62.04% -6.54 2-11
1947-08-31 @ San Francisco 49ers L 7-23 1481.76 1518.41 35.37% 55.98% -4.78 0-1
1947-09-07 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) L 7-16 1476.98 1469.89 41.30% 49.93% -4.15 0-2
1947-09-12 Cleveland Browns L 7-55 1472.83 1543.89 40.82% 50.41% -9.49 0-3
1947-09-19 @ Los Angeles Dons L 21-48 1463.34 1496.78 35.80% 55.55% -6.28 0-4
1947-10-03 @ Chicago Rockets W 35-31 1457.06 1468.21 38.78% 52.49% +3.45 1-4
1947-10-12 @ New York Yankees L 7-31 1460.51 1527.95 31.47% 60.03% -5.25 1-5
1947-10-17 Buffalo Bills (1st) T 14-14 1455.26 1489.45 46.06% 45.14% -0.01 1-5
1947-10-26 @ Buffalo Bills (1st) L 7-35 1455.25 1489.46 35.69% 55.65% -6.39 1-6
1947-10-31 Chicago Rockets W 7-3 1448.86 1452.91 50.36% 40.88% +2.74 2-6
1947-11-09 @ Cleveland Browns L 12-13 1451.60 1576.72 24.91% 67.00% -0.85 2-7
1947-11-16 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 21-14 1450.75 1434.94 53.13% 38.15% +3.40 3-7
1947-11-23 Los Angeles Dons L 12-16 1454.15 1505.45 43.61% 47.60% -2.91 3-8
1947-11-27 San Francisco 49ers L 7-21 1451.24 1533.44 39.28% 51.97% -4.94 3-9
1947-12-07 New York Yankees L 17-20 1446.30 1554.21 35.83% 55.51% -2.10 3-10
1947-08-31 New York Yankees W 28-24 1481.24 1513.03 46.40% 44.80% +2.98 1-0
1947-09-05 @ Cleveland Browns L 14-30 1484.22 1539.41 33.00% 58.44% -4.48 1-1
1947-09-14 Chicago Rockets W 28-20 1479.74 1484.82 50.21% 41.02% +3.89 2-1
1947-09-19 @ Chicago Rockets W 31-14 1483.63 1480.94 40.69% 50.55% +6.87 3-1
1947-09-28 San Francisco 49ers L 24-41 1490.50 1524.61 46.07% 45.13% -6.31 3-2
1947-10-05 @ Los Angeles Dons W 27-25 1484.19 1503.07 37.73% 53.56% +2.49 4-2
1947-10-12 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 20-15 1486.68 1460.46 54.57% 36.75% +2.77 5-2
1947-10-17 @ Brooklyn Dodgers T 14-14 1489.45 1455.26 45.14% 46.06% +0.01 5-2
1947-10-26 Brooklyn Dodgers W 35-7 1489.46 1455.25 55.65% 35.69% +6.39 6-2
1947-11-02 Cleveland Browns L 7-28 1495.85 1570.52 40.32% 50.92% -6.20 6-3
1947-11-09 Los Angeles Dons W 25-0 1489.65 1514.81 47.35% 43.85% +7.30 7-3
1947-11-23 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) W 33-14 1496.95 1431.54 49.61% 41.61% +6.08 8-3
1947-11-30 @ New York Yankees L 13-35 1503.03 1548.77 34.20% 57.20% -5.44 8-4
1947-12-07 @ San Francisco 49ers T 21-21 1497.59 1538.38 34.83% 56.54% +0.17 8-4
1947-08-29 Los Angeles Dons L 21-24 1493.62 1502.64 49.65% 41.57% -2.84 0-1
1947-09-05 @ New York Yankees L 26-48 1490.78 1510.05 37.68% 53.61% -5.96 0-2
1947-09-14 @ Buffalo Bills (1st) L 20-28 1484.82 1479.74 41.02% 50.21% -3.88 0-3
1947-09-19 Buffalo Bills (1st) L 14-31 1480.94 1483.63 50.55% 40.69% -6.87 0-4
1947-09-26 Cleveland Browns L 21-41 1474.07 1558.73 38.95% 52.32% -5.86 0-5
1947-10-03 Brooklyn Dodgers L 31-35 1468.21 1457.06 52.49% 38.78% -3.45 0-6
1947-10-12 @ San Francisco 49ers L 28-42 1464.76 1530.84 31.64% 59.86% -4.03 0-7
1947-10-19 @ Cleveland Browns L 28-31 1460.73 1564.83 27.19% 64.56% -1.61 0-8
1947-10-24 New York Yankees L 7-28 1459.12 1533.20 40.40% 50.83% -6.21 0-9
1947-10-31 @ Brooklyn Dodgers L 3-7 1452.91 1448.86 40.88% 50.36% -2.74 0-10
1947-11-07 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 27-21 1450.17 1438.12 52.61% 38.66% +3.18 1-10
1947-11-21 San Francisco 49ers L 16-41 1453.35 1526.64 40.51% 50.72% -6.79 1-11
1947-11-30 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) L 7-14 1446.56 1425.46 43.27% 47.94% -3.82 1-12
1947-12-07 @ Los Angeles Dons L 14-34 1442.74 1504.08 32.23% 59.24% -4.90 1-13
1947-09-05 Buffalo Bills (1st) W 30-14 1539.41 1484.22 58.44% 33.00% +4.48 1-0
1947-09-12 @ Brooklyn Dodgers W 55-7 1543.89 1472.83 50.41% 40.82% +9.48 2-0
1947-09-21 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 28-0 1553.37 1471.04 61.91% 29.68% +5.36 3-0
1947-09-26 @ Chicago Rockets W 41-21 1558.73 1474.07 52.32% 38.95% +5.86 4-0
1947-10-05 New York Yankees W 26-17 1564.59 1531.59 55.49% 35.85% +3.63 5-0
1947-10-12 Los Angeles Dons L 10-13 1568.22 1500.58 60.06% 31.45% -3.39 5-1
1947-10-19 Chicago Rockets W 31-28 1564.83 1460.73 64.56% 27.19% +1.61 6-1
1947-10-26 @ San Francisco 49ers W 14-7 1566.44 1534.87 44.77% 46.43% +4.08 7-1
1947-11-02 @ Buffalo Bills (1st) W 28-7 1570.52 1495.85 50.92% 40.32% +6.20 8-1
1947-11-09 Brooklyn Dodgers W 13-12 1576.72 1451.60 67.00% 24.91% +0.85 9-1
1947-11-16 San Francisco 49ers W 37-14 1577.57 1532.21 57.15% 34.25% +5.57 10-1
1947-11-23 @ New York Yankees T 28-28 1583.14 1548.78 45.17% 46.03% +0.00 10-1
1947-11-27 @ Los Angeles Dons W 27-17 1583.14 1508.36 50.93% 40.31% +4.28 11-1
1947-12-07 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) W 42-0 1587.42 1429.29 62.04% 29.56% +6.54 12-1
1947-08-29 @ Chicago Rockets W 24-21 1502.64 1493.62 41.57% 49.65% +2.84 1-0
1947-09-07 @ San Francisco 49ers L 14-17 1505.48 1523.20 37.89% 53.40% -2.21 1-1
1947-09-12 New York Yankees L 14-30 1503.27 1516.00 49.13% 42.09% -6.49 1-2
1947-09-19 Brooklyn Dodgers W 48-21 1496.78 1463.34 55.55% 35.80% +6.29 2-2
1947-10-05 Buffalo Bills (1st) L 25-27 1503.07 1484.19 53.56% 37.73% -2.49 2-3
1947-10-12 @ Cleveland Browns W 13-10 1500.58 1568.22 31.45% 60.06% +3.39 3-3
1947-10-19 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) W 38-10 1503.97 1457.69 46.88% 44.32% +7.81 4-3
1947-10-26 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 56-0 1511.78 1449.87 59.32% 32.16% +8.19 5-3
1947-11-02 San Francisco 49ers L 16-26 1519.97 1530.80 49.40% 41.82% -5.16 5-4
1947-11-09 @ Buffalo Bills (1st) L 0-25 1514.81 1489.65 43.85% 47.35% -7.31 5-5
1947-11-16 @ New York Yankees L 13-16 1507.50 1546.72 35.04% 56.33% -2.05 5-6
1947-11-23 @ Brooklyn Dodgers W 16-12 1505.45 1454.15 47.60% 43.61% +2.91 6-6
1947-11-27 Cleveland Browns L 17-27 1508.36 1583.14 40.31% 50.93% -4.28 6-7
1947-12-07 Chicago Rockets W 34-14 1504.08 1442.74 59.24% 32.23% +4.90 7-7
1947-08-31 @ Buffalo Bills (1st) L 24-28 1513.03 1481.24 44.80% 46.40% -2.98 0-1
1947-09-05 Chicago Rockets W 48-26 1510.05 1490.78 53.61% 37.68% +5.95 1-1
1947-09-12 @ Los Angeles Dons W 30-14 1516.00 1503.27 42.09% 49.13% +6.49 2-1
1947-09-21 @ San Francisco 49ers W 21-16 1522.49 1528.42 39.50% 51.76% +3.81 3-1
1947-09-28 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) W 21-7 1526.30 1465.68 48.93% 42.29% +5.29 4-1
1947-10-05 @ Cleveland Browns L 17-26 1531.59 1564.59 35.85% 55.49% -3.64 4-2
1947-10-12 Brooklyn Dodgers W 31-7 1527.95 1460.51 60.03% 31.47% +5.25 5-2
1947-10-24 @ Chicago Rockets W 28-7 1533.20 1459.12 50.83% 40.40% +6.21 6-2
1947-11-02 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 35-21 1539.41 1441.69 63.80% 27.90% +3.57 7-2
1947-11-09 San Francisco 49ers W 24-16 1542.98 1535.95 51.91% 39.34% +3.74 8-2
1947-11-16 Los Angeles Dons W 16-13 1546.72 1507.50 56.33% 35.04% +2.06 9-2
1947-11-23 Cleveland Browns T 28-28 1548.78 1583.14 46.03% 45.17% -0.01 9-2
1947-11-30 Buffalo Bills (1st) W 35-13 1548.77 1503.03 57.20% 34.20% +5.44 10-2
1947-12-07 @ Brooklyn Dodgers W 20-17 1554.21 1446.30 55.51% 35.83% +2.10 11-2
1947-08-31 Brooklyn Dodgers W 23-7 1518.41 1481.76 55.98% 35.37% +4.79 1-0
1947-09-07 Los Angeles Dons W 17-14 1523.20 1505.48 53.40% 37.89% +2.21 2-0
1947-09-14 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 14-7 1525.41 1474.04 57.94% 33.48% +3.01 3-0
1947-09-21 New York Yankees L 16-21 1528.42 1522.49 51.76% 39.50% -3.81 3-1
1947-09-28 @ Buffalo Bills (1st) W 41-24 1524.61 1490.50 45.13% 46.07% +6.30 4-1
1947-10-05 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) T 28-28 1530.91 1460.39 50.33% 40.90% -0.07 4-1
1947-10-12 Chicago Rockets W 42-28 1530.84 1464.76 59.86% 31.64% +4.03 5-1
1947-10-26 Cleveland Browns L 7-14 1534.87 1566.44 46.43% 44.77% -4.07 5-2
1947-11-02 @ Los Angeles Dons W 26-16 1530.80 1519.97 41.82% 49.40% +5.15 6-2
1947-11-09 @ New York Yankees L 16-24 1535.95 1542.98 39.34% 51.91% -3.74 6-3
1947-11-16 @ Cleveland Browns L 14-37 1532.21 1577.57 34.25% 57.15% -5.57 6-4
1947-11-21 @ Chicago Rockets W 41-16 1526.64 1453.35 50.72% 40.51% +6.80 7-4
1947-11-27 @ Brooklyn Dodgers W 21-7 1533.44 1451.24 51.97% 39.28% +4.94 8-4
1947-12-07 Buffalo Bills (1st) T 21-21 1538.38 1497.59 56.54% 34.83% -0.17 8-4

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1947-12-14 @ New York Yankees W 14-3 1593.96 1556.31 50.04% 49.96% +5.02 1-0
1947-12-14 Cleveland Browns L 3-14 1556.31 1593.96 49.96% 50.04% -5.02 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1947-10-12 31.45% Los Angeles Dons 1500.58 13 @ Cleveland Browns 1568.22 10
2 1947-10-05 37.73% Buffalo Bills (1st) 1484.19 27 @ Los Angeles Dons 1503.07 25
3 1947-10-03 38.78% Brooklyn Dodgers 1457.06 35 @ Chicago Rockets 1468.21 31
4 1947-09-21 39.50% New York Yankees 1522.49 21 @ San Francisco 49ers 1528.42 16
5 1947-09-19 40.69% Buffalo Bills (1st) 1483.63 31 @ Chicago Rockets 1480.94 14
6 1947-08-29 41.57% Los Angeles Dons 1502.64 24 @ Chicago Rockets 1493.62 21
7 1947-11-02 41.82% San Francisco 49ers 1530.80 26 @ Los Angeles Dons 1519.97 16
8 1947-09-12 42.09% New York Yankees 1516.00 30 @ Los Angeles Dons 1503.27 14
9 1947-10-26 44.77% Cleveland Browns 1566.44 14 @ San Francisco 49ers 1534.87 7
10 1947-09-28 45.13% San Francisco 49ers 1524.61 41 @ Buffalo Bills (1st) 1490.50 24

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1947-09-12 9.49 Cleveland Browns 55 1543.89 50.41% @ Brooklyn Dodgers 7 1472.83 40.82%
2 1947-10-26 8.19 @ Los Angeles Dons 56 1511.78 59.32% Baltimore Colts (1st) 0 1449.87 32.16%
3 1947-10-19 7.82 Los Angeles Dons 38 1503.97 46.88% @ Baltimore Colts (1st) 10 1457.69 44.32%
4 1947-11-09 7.31 @ Buffalo Bills (1st) 25 1489.65 47.35% Los Angeles Dons 0 1514.81 43.85%
5 1947-09-19 6.87 Buffalo Bills (1st) 31 1483.63 40.69% @ Chicago Rockets 14 1480.94 50.55%
6 1947-11-21 6.80 San Francisco 49ers 41 1526.64 50.72% @ Chicago Rockets 16 1453.35 40.51%
7 1947-12-07 6.54 Cleveland Browns 42 1587.42 62.04% @ Baltimore Colts (1st) 0 1429.29 29.56%
8 1947-09-12 6.49 New York Yankees 30 1516.00 42.09% @ Los Angeles Dons 14 1503.27 49.13%
9 1947-10-26 6.39 @ Buffalo Bills (1st) 35 1489.46 55.65% Brooklyn Dodgers 7 1455.25 35.69%
10 1947-09-28 6.31 San Francisco 49ers 41 1524.61 45.13% @ Buffalo Bills (1st) 24 1490.50 46.07%
11 1947-09-19 6.29 @ Los Angeles Dons 48 1496.78 55.55% Brooklyn Dodgers 21 1463.34 35.80%
12 1947-10-24 6.21 New York Yankees 28 1533.20 50.83% @ Chicago Rockets 7 1459.12 40.40%
13 1947-11-02 6.20 Cleveland Browns 28 1570.52 50.92% @ Buffalo Bills (1st) 7 1495.85 40.32%
14 1947-11-23 6.08 Buffalo Bills (1st) 33 1496.95 49.61% @ Baltimore Colts (1st) 14 1431.54 41.61%
15 1947-09-05 5.96 @ New York Yankees 48 1510.05 53.61% Chicago Rockets 26 1490.78 37.68%
16 1947-09-26 5.86 Cleveland Browns 41 1558.73 52.32% @ Chicago Rockets 21 1474.07 38.95%
17 1947-11-16 5.57 @ Cleveland Browns 37 1577.57 57.15% San Francisco 49ers 14 1532.21 34.25%
18 1947-11-30 5.44 @ New York Yankees 35 1548.77 57.20% Buffalo Bills (1st) 13 1503.03 34.20%
19 1947-09-21 5.36 @ Cleveland Browns 28 1553.37 61.91% Baltimore Colts (1st) 0 1471.04 29.68%
20 1947-09-28 5.29 New York Yankees 21 1526.30 48.93% @ Baltimore Colts (1st) 7 1465.68 42.29%
21 1947-10-12 5.25 @ New York Yankees 31 1527.95 60.03% Brooklyn Dodgers 7 1460.51 31.47%
22 1947-11-02 5.16 San Francisco 49ers 26 1530.80 41.82% @ Los Angeles Dons 16 1519.97 49.40%
23 1947-12-14 * 5.02 Cleveland Browns 14 1593.96 50.04% @ New York Yankees 3 1556.31 49.96%
24 1947-11-27 4.94 San Francisco 49ers 21 1533.44 51.97% @ Brooklyn Dodgers 7 1451.24 39.28%
25 1947-12-07 4.90 @ Los Angeles Dons 34 1504.08 59.24% Chicago Rockets 14 1442.74 32.23%