Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2005

2005 WNBA Season

221 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Sacramento Monarchs

1st Title

Runner-Up

Connecticut Sun

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 2004

Biggest Overachiever

Connecticut Sun

3.91 wins above expected

26 wins · 22.09 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

San Antonio Silver Stars

5.01 wins below expected

7 wins · 12.01 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Connecticut Sun League 26 8 .765 - 72.8 66.0 +6.8 22.09 +3.91
2 Indiana Fever Playoffs 21 13 .618 5 63.8 62.7 +1.1 17.72 +3.28
3 New York Liberty Playoffs 18 16 .529 8 68.1 67.2 +0.9 17.57 +0.43
4 Detroit Shock Playoffs 16 18 .471 10 66.1 67.3 -1.2 17.08 -1.08
5 Washington Mystics 16 18 .471 10 66.6 67.8 -1.2 15.91 +0.09
6 Charlotte Sting 6 28 .176 20 61.6 68.7 -7.1 10.62 -4.62
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Sacramento Monarchs League 25 9 .735 - 68.5 61.6 +6.9 21.59 +3.41
2 Seattle Storm Playoffs 20 14 .588 5 73.5 70.8 +2.7 18.68 +1.32
3 Houston Comets Playoffs 19 15 .559 6 67.9 66.6 +1.4 17.69 +1.31
4 Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs 17 17 .500 8 68.4 69.0 -0.6 18.08 -1.08
5 Phoenix Mercury 16 18 .471 9 69.4 69.2 +0.2 15.91 +0.09
6 Minnesota Lynx 14 20 .412 11 65.0 67.3 -2.3 16.04 -2.04
7 San Antonio Silver Stars 7 27 .206 18 63.0 70.6 -7.6 12.01 -5.01

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Indiana Fever 2
New York Liberty 0

2 games · Aug 30–Sep 1

Connecticut Sun 2
Detroit Shock 0

2 games · Aug 31–Sep 2

Conference Final

Connecticut Sun 2
Indiana Fever 0

2 games · Sep 8–Sep 10

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Houston Comets 2
Seattle Storm 1

3 games · Aug 30–Sep 3

Sacramento Monarchs 2
Los Angeles Sparks 0

2 games · Aug 31–Sep 2

Conference Final

Sacramento Monarchs 2
Houston Comets 0

2 games · Sep 8–Sep 10

WNBA Finals

Sacramento Monarchs 3
Connecticut Sun 1

4 games · Sep 14–Sep 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1657 26 22.09 +3.91 95.92% 11 18 20 22 24 26 33
Sacramento Monarchs Western 1646 25 21.59 +3.41 93.26% 8 17 20 22 23 26 32
Seattle Storm Western 1582 20 18.68 +1.32 74.37% 7 14 17 19 21 23 29
Indiana Fever Eastern 1557 21 17.72 +3.28 91.46% 6 13 16 18 20 22 28
Houston Comets Western 1539 19 17.69 +1.31 74.53% 6 13 16 18 20 22 30
New York Liberty Eastern 1519 18 17.57 +0.43 63.55% 6 13 16 18 19 22 29
Phoenix Mercury Western 1497 16 15.91 +0.09 58.95% 5 11 14 16 18 20 28
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1492 17 18.08 -1.08 41.51% 7 14 16 18 20 23 30
Detroit Shock Eastern 1481 16 17.08 -1.08 41.56% 6 13 15 17 19 22 28
Washington Mystics Eastern 1471 16 15.91 +0.09 58.77% 4 12 14 16 18 20 27
Minnesota Lynx Western 1419 14 16.04 -2.04 28.68% 5 12 14 16 18 20 28
Charlotte Sting Eastern 1337 6 10.62 -4.62 4.52% 1 7 9 11 12 15 22
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1304 7 12.01 -5.01 3.93% 2 8 10 12 14 16 24

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Sting Sun Shock Fever Liberty Mystics
Charlotte Sting
0-4
(0.6 exp.)
2-2
(1.2 exp.)
0-4
(1.3 exp.)
2-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
4-0
(3.4 exp.)
1-3
(2.5 exp.)
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
4-0
(2.6 exp.)
Detroit Shock
2-2
(2.8 exp.)
3-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
Indiana Fever
4-0
(2.7 exp.)
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
New York Liberty
2-2
(3.0 exp.)
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
Washington Mystics
4-0
(2.5 exp.)
0-4
(1.4 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.7 exp.)

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Comets Sparks Lynx Mercury Monarchs Stars Storm
Charlotte Sting
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Detroit Shock
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
Indiana Fever
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
New York Liberty
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)

Within Western

Team Comets Sparks Lynx Mercury Monarchs Stars Storm
Houston Comets
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
1-2
(1.0 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
1-2
(2.0 exp.)
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
3-0
(1.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
0-4
(1.4 exp.)
2-1
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.0 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
4-0
(2.3 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
Sacramento Monarchs
2-1
(2.0 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
4-0
(2.6 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.8 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
1-3
(1.6 exp.)
0-3
(1.1 exp.)
1-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-4
(1.7 exp.)
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
Seattle Storm
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.7 exp.)

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Sting Sun Shock Fever Liberty Mystics
Houston Comets
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Sacramento Monarchs
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Seattle Storm
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<500.90%1.36%0.23%2.49%
50–590.90%3.17%10.63%3.39%0.23%0.45%18.78%
60–691.36%10.63%9.50%14.93%2.71%39.14%
70–793.39%14.93%7.24%4.30%0.45%30.32%
80–890.23%0.23%2.71%4.30%0.45%0.23%8.14%
90+0.45%0.45%0.23%1.13%
Total2.49%18.78%39.14%30.32%8.14%1.13%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 67.29 67.29 +0.00
SD 9.50 9.50 11.88
CV 0.14 0.14
Max 95 95 +40
Min 40 40 -40

Games Played: 221

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<508.82%8.82%
50–592.94%26.47%5.88%35.29%
60–692.94%14.71%20.59%2.94%41.18%
70–792.94%5.88%8.82%
80–895.88%5.88%
90+
Total2.94%2.94%52.94%32.35%8.82%100%

Charlotte Sting — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 61.62 68.68 -7.06
SD 9.38 7.68 8.52
CV 0.15 0.11
Max 84 84 +12
Min 42 49 -20

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<50
50–598.82%8.82%
60–6911.76%5.88%5.88%23.53%
70–798.82%26.47%2.94%2.94%41.18%
80–892.94%11.76%5.88%2.94%23.53%
90+2.94%2.94%
Total2.94%20.59%52.94%17.65%2.94%2.94%100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 72.76 66.00 +6.76
SD 8.79 9.98 10.69
CV 0.12 0.15
Max 90 95 +34
Min 53 47 -11

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<502.94%2.94%
50–592.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%17.65%
60–6911.76%8.82%20.59%2.94%44.12%
70–7920.59%8.82%5.88%35.29%
80–89
90+
Total2.94%20.59%35.29%29.41%8.82%2.94%100%

Detroit Shock — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 66.09 67.26 -1.18
SD 8.39 10.07 11.43
CV 0.13 0.15
Max 79 91 +15
Min 49 40 -40

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<502.94%2.94%
50–598.82%5.88%2.94%17.65%
60–692.94%2.94%11.76%17.65%2.94%38.24%
70–792.94%20.59%5.88%2.94%32.35%
80–892.94%5.88%8.82%
90+
Total2.94%17.65%41.18%32.35%5.88%100%

Houston Comets — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 67.91 66.56 +1.35
SD 9.30 8.79 10.38
CV 0.14 0.13
Max 86 83 +26
Min 45 44 -20

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<502.94%2.94%5.88%
50–598.82%14.71%23.53%
60–692.94%32.35%11.76%2.94%50.00%
70–792.94%2.94%8.82%14.71%
80–895.88%5.88%
90+
Total2.94%47.06%32.35%8.82%8.82%100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 63.82 62.74 +1.09
SD 9.93 10.38 10.28
CV 0.16 0.17
Max 84 88 +25
Min 40 46 -21

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<50
50–592.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%17.65%
60–6914.71%8.82%11.76%35.29%
70–792.94%11.76%11.76%2.94%2.94%32.35%
80–895.88%8.82%14.71%
90+
Total20.59%32.35%38.24%5.88%2.94%100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 68.41 68.97 -0.56
SD 9.21 9.47 12.97
CV 0.13 0.14
Max 86 90 +23
Min 51 50 -28

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<502.94%2.94%
50–592.94%14.71%5.88%23.53%
60–692.94%5.88%11.76%17.65%2.94%41.18%
70–792.94%11.76%14.71%29.41%
80–892.94%2.94%
90+
Total2.94%14.71%38.24%38.24%5.88%100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 65.03 67.29 -2.26
SD 8.91 8.26 10.69
CV 0.14 0.12
Max 86 83 +21
Min 47 45 -19

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<50
50–592.94%11.76%2.94%17.65%
60–6914.71%11.76%11.76%2.94%41.18%
70–792.94%20.59%5.88%2.94%32.35%
80–898.82%8.82%
90+
Total2.94%17.65%44.12%29.41%5.88%100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 68.12 67.21 +0.91
SD 8.73 8.66 9.89
CV 0.13 0.13
Max 89 87 +18
Min 50 47 -25

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<50
50–595.88%5.88%5.88%17.65%
60–692.94%2.94%8.82%11.76%5.88%32.35%
70–7920.59%5.88%11.76%38.24%
80–895.88%2.94%8.82%
90+2.94%2.94%
Total2.94%11.76%41.18%26.47%17.65%100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 69.44 69.24 +0.21
SD 8.61 9.93 13.26
CV 0.12 0.14
Max 91 86 +34
Min 54 49 -23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<50
50–592.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
60–6926.47%5.88%14.71%47.06%
70–798.82%17.65%5.88%2.94%35.29%
80–892.94%2.94%5.88%
90+2.94%2.94%
Total2.94%44.12%29.41%20.59%2.94%100%

Sacramento Monarchs — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 68.50 61.56 +6.94
SD 8.53 8.85 11.63
CV 0.12 0.14
Max 91 81 +40
Min 50 45 -14

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<505.88%5.88%
50–592.94%14.71%11.76%2.94%32.35%
60–692.94%2.94%8.82%23.53%2.94%41.18%
70–792.94%8.82%2.94%2.94%17.65%
80–892.94%2.94%
90+
Total2.94%5.88%35.29%44.12%5.88%5.88%100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 62.97 70.62 -7.65
SD 8.71 9.35 11.59
CV 0.14 0.13
Max 81 92 +15
Min 44 49 -34

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<50
50–595.88%5.88%
60–692.94%17.65%5.88%26.47%
70–795.88%26.47%17.65%50.00%
80–898.82%2.94%11.76%
90+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total5.88%35.29%47.06%11.76%100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 73.47 70.79 +2.68
SD 9.66 8.38 11.98
CV 0.13 0.12
Max 95 86 +28
Min 50 51 -18

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →<5050–5960–6970–7980–8990+Total
<502.94%2.94%
50–5914.71%2.94%17.65%
60–692.94%8.82%11.76%17.65%5.88%47.06%
70–795.88%8.82%5.88%5.88%26.47%
80–892.94%2.94%5.88%
90+
Total2.94%14.71%38.24%29.41%14.71%100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 66.56 67.79 -1.24
SD 8.77 10.11 12.53
CV 0.13 0.15
Max 88 84 +21
Min 47 42 -34

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.53 +12.1
Allowed 0.39 -13.4
Differential 0.97 +13.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Connecticut Sun 26 22.09 +3.91
2 Sacramento Monarchs 25 21.59 +3.41
3 Indiana Fever 21 17.72 +3.28
4 Seattle Storm 20 18.68 +1.32
5 Houston Comets 19 17.69 +1.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 San Antonio Silver Stars 7 12.01 -5.01
2 Charlotte Sting 6 10.62 -4.62
3 Minnesota Lynx 14 16.04 -2.04
4 Los Angeles Sparks 17 18.08 -1.08
5 Detroit Shock 16 17.08 -1.08

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Connecticut Sun 8 May 22 – Jun 20 1 in 147
2 Houston Comets 6 Jun 18 – Jul 7 1 in 41
3 Minnesota Lynx 4 Jun 4 – Jun 15 1 in 24
4 Charlotte Sting 2 Aug 23 – Aug 25 1 in 24
5 Indiana Fever 4 Aug 14 – Aug 23 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 San Antonio Silver Stars 9 Aug 2 – Aug 26 1 in 38
2 Minnesota Lynx 5 Jul 24 – Aug 3 1 in 29
3 Houston Comets 4 Jun 7 – Jun 15 1 in 16
4 Charlotte Sting 10 Jul 12 – Aug 4 1 in 14
5 Detroit Shock 4 Jun 12 – Jun 24 1 in 13

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team123456
Connecticut Sun71.96%17.66%6.73%2.70%0.89%0.05%
Indiana Fever9.79%25.97%24.92%21.16%15.62%2.53%
New York Liberty8.62%24.15%25.08%22.93%16.95%2.26%
Detroit Shock6.59%20.19%23.76%24.67%21.12%3.67%
Washington Mystics3.00%11.79%18.54%25.36%33.86%7.45%
Charlotte Sting0.03%0.23%0.97%3.17%11.56%84.04%
Team1234567
Sacramento Monarchs58.13%21.96%10.59%5.35%2.70%1.10%0.17%
Seattle Storm15.54%24.25%21.21%16.85%12.35%7.52%2.27%
Los Angeles Sparks11.61%19.97%21.49%18.98%14.99%9.98%2.98%
Houston Comets8.64%17.74%20.35%20.10%16.89%12.15%4.12%
Minnesota Lynx3.15%8.02%12.77%17.87%22.80%25.25%10.14%
Phoenix Mercury2.83%7.51%12.15%17.53%22.68%25.67%11.63%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.09%0.54%1.45%3.32%7.59%18.32%68.69%
Team12345678910111213
Connecticut Sun40.57%24.40%13.47%8.11%5.15%3.22%2.17%1.34%0.82%0.44%0.23%0.06%<0.01%
Sacramento Monarchs32.16%25.05%15.12%9.52%6.39%4.37%2.93%1.96%1.25%0.78%0.37%0.10%0.01%
Seattle Storm7.05%10.94%13.16%12.93%11.37%10.54%9.12%7.83%6.51%5.03%3.49%1.64%0.39%
Los Angeles Sparks4.76%8.29%10.89%11.69%11.57%11.18%10.12%9.28%8.16%6.46%4.78%2.17%0.65%
Indiana Fever3.71%6.94%9.39%10.69%11.19%11.00%10.64%10.01%8.91%7.73%5.99%2.90%0.92%
Houston Comets3.50%6.68%9.62%10.79%11.12%10.87%10.72%10.04%9.17%7.68%5.98%2.97%0.85%
New York Liberty3.13%6.04%8.75%10.26%11.16%11.05%11.10%10.45%9.57%8.25%6.43%3.03%0.78%
Detroit Shock2.29%4.69%7.17%8.76%9.75%10.63%11.04%10.90%10.76%10.06%8.17%4.35%1.42%
Minnesota Lynx1.03%2.47%4.30%5.68%7.34%8.84%10.00%11.19%12.54%13.30%12.85%7.55%2.89%
Phoenix Mercury0.90%2.24%3.92%5.58%6.96%8.37%9.69%11.18%12.57%13.55%13.43%8.37%3.24%
Washington Mystics0.89%2.18%3.95%5.44%7.05%8.32%9.81%11.39%12.37%13.73%13.50%8.17%3.20%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.01%0.07%0.22%0.42%0.77%1.24%1.93%3.16%5.02%8.48%15.20%32.62%30.87%
Charlotte Sting<0.01%0.01%0.03%0.10%0.18%0.37%0.74%1.28%2.35%4.52%9.57%26.08%54.77%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Connecticut Sun71.96%17.66%6.73%2.70%0.94%
Indiana Fever9.79%25.97%24.92%21.16%18.15%
New York Liberty8.62%24.15%25.08%22.93%19.21%
Detroit Shock6.59%20.19%23.76%24.67%24.79%
Washington Mystics3.00%11.79%18.54%25.36%41.30%
Charlotte Sting0.03%0.23%0.97%3.17%95.60%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Sacramento Monarchs58.13%21.96%10.59%5.35%3.97%
Seattle Storm15.54%24.25%21.21%16.85%22.15%
Los Angeles Sparks11.61%19.97%21.49%18.98%27.95%
Houston Comets8.64%17.74%20.35%20.10%33.16%
Minnesota Lynx3.15%8.02%12.77%17.87%58.19%
Phoenix Mercury2.83%7.51%12.15%17.53%59.98%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.09%0.54%1.45%3.32%94.60%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeAway
+29.41%
Fortress
64.71%35.29%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 105.30 Elo pts.
29 Elo
0.035 points per Elo point
080
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+3.71 points
Home-Tilted
-8+3.69+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 7th · Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Run Odds
Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.1
Open Race
124810
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
Sacramento Monarchs, 2nd of 13
LongshotFavorite
Title Run Odds
Coin-flip
26.0%
Heavy Favorite
012.50%40%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.15 · As Expected: 2.15 to 2.95 · Elevated: 2.95 to 4.03 · High Variance: 4.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.84 · Close: 1.84 to 2.49 · Off Target: 2.49 to 3.25 · Well Off Target: 3.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 13 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 13 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.65 · As Expected: 0.65 to 1.56 · Several Outliers: 1.56 to 2.86 · Many Outliers: 2.86 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 1.13 · As Expected: 1.13 to 1.88 · More Than Expected: 1.88 to 3.01 · Far More Than Expected: 3.01 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.69 wins
As Expected
02.697
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.08
Pinpoint
02.175
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.15%
95.92%
Connecticut Sun
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.85%
3.93%
San Antonio Silver Stars
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 13
Many Outliers
01.36
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected
0 of 8
Fewer Than Expected
01.58

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.09
Coin-Flip Spread
01.003
Interquartile Edge
62%
Competitive
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
No Contest
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
14%
Mostly Decisive
0%20%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.20
Predictable
00.211
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Wide Gaps
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.05
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Weak Alignment
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
33%
As Expected
0%33%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
28%
As Expected
0%29%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.96
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Within Noise
00.0970.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Connecticut Sun 99.06% 79.77% 60.58% 36.75%
Sacramento Monarchs 96.03% 74.10% 52.88% 30.35%
Seattle Storm 77.85% 45.53% 21.17% 9.83%
Indiana Fever 81.85% 43.08% 16.66% 6.98%
Houston Comets 66.83% 30.41% 11.51% 4.49%
New York Liberty 80.78% 34.12% 11.22% 4.03%
Los Angeles Sparks 72.05% 26.49% 8.17% 2.49%
Detroit Shock 75.21% 25.44% 7.07% 2.12%
Phoenix Mercury 40.02% 13.64% 4.24% 1.29%
Washington Mystics 58.70% 17.17% 4.42% 1.19%
Minnesota Lynx 41.81% 9.29% 1.99% 0.46%
San Antonio Silver Stars 5.40% 0.53% 0.04% <0.01%
Charlotte Sting 4.40% 0.41% 0.05% <0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Charlotte StingConnecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Charlotte Sting5.2%2.58%18.4%0.42%11.4%0.59%14.8%0.59%21.2%0.23%
Connecticut Sun94.8%2.58%83.1%25.10%73.0%23.27%79.0%24.65%85.2%23.46%
Detroit Shock81.6%0.42%16.9%25.10%35.3%20.59%43.3%19.11%53.3%9.99%
Indiana Fever88.6%0.59%27.0%23.27%64.7%20.59%57.5%24.41%68.5%13.00%
New York Liberty85.2%0.59%21.0%24.65%56.7%19.11%42.5%24.41%60.3%12.02%
Washington Mystics78.8%0.23%14.8%23.46%46.7%9.99%31.5%13.00%39.7%12.02%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Houston Comets58.6%14.88%72.5%6.51%59.9%5.91%26.1%21.00%88.5%0.62%41.4%17.93%
Los Angeles Sparks41.4%14.88%65.1%7.44%51.9%7.18%20.6%21.72%83.6%0.81%32.9%20.02%
Minnesota Lynx27.5%6.51%34.9%7.44%33.9%2.71%12.0%15.43%72.4%0.29%20.4%9.43%
Phoenix Mercury40.1%5.91%48.1%7.18%66.1%2.71%19.8%14.98%81.4%0.23%31.9%9.01%
Sacramento Monarchs73.9%21.00%79.4%21.72%88.0%15.43%80.2%14.98%95.3%2.45%65.6%20.45%
San Antonio Silver Stars11.5%0.62%16.4%0.81%27.6%0.29%18.6%0.23%4.7%2.45%9.3%1.01%
Seattle Storm58.6%17.93%67.1%20.02%79.6%9.43%68.1%9.01%34.4%20.45%90.7%1.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Charlotte StingConnecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Charlotte Sting6.5%0.22%17.9%0.03%18.4%0.08%12.9%0.07%28.6%0.02%
Connecticut Sun93.5%0.22%80.5%16.32%71.0%29.86%75.9%22.88%82.6%10.50%
Detroit Shock82.1%0.03%19.5%16.32%37.4%4.38%44.2%3.12%53.4%1.59%
Indiana Fever81.6%0.08%29.0%29.86%62.6%4.38%56.5%5.87%65.2%2.89%
New York Liberty87.1%0.07%24.1%22.88%55.8%3.12%43.5%5.87%61.7%2.18%
Washington Mystics71.4%0.02%17.4%10.50%46.6%1.59%34.8%2.89%38.3%2.18%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Houston Comets59.6%3.34%69.9%1.09%57.4%1.65%28.3%17.72%90.2%0.06%41.9%6.55%
Los Angeles Sparks40.4%3.34%63.7%0.92%52.5%1.50%23.1%15.20%75.0%0.06%34.7%5.46%
Minnesota Lynx30.1%1.09%36.3%0.92%33.9%0.45%14.7%5.00%76.0%0.03%23.4%1.80%
Phoenix Mercury42.6%1.65%47.5%1.50%66.1%0.45%21.7%7.16%81.8%0.02%33.3%2.85%
Sacramento Monarchs71.7%17.72%76.9%15.20%85.3%5.00%78.3%7.16%96.4%0.25%63.8%28.77%
San Antonio Silver Stars9.8%0.06%25.0%0.06%24.0%0.03%18.2%0.02%3.6%0.25%2.6%0.12%
Seattle Storm58.1%6.55%65.3%5.46%76.6%1.80%66.7%2.85%36.2%28.77%97.4%0.12%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormCharlotte StingConnecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Charlotte Sting33.3%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%4.3%0.02%6.7%0.01%
Connecticut Sun70.8%6.94%79.3%4.98%85.3%1.19%78.9%2.60%52.0%32.00%92.9%0.03%63.5%12.84%
Detroit Shock40.3%0.80%48.3%0.56%53.6%0.15%48.0%0.30%21.9%3.73%66.7%<0.01%31.7%1.52%
Indiana Fever52.3%1.94%59.3%1.40%72.0%0.33%62.6%0.68%33.2%8.83%66.7%<0.01%44.2%3.47%
New York Liberty44.9%1.31%55.6%0.92%62.4%0.21%53.1%0.48%27.9%5.94%75.0%<0.01%37.6%2.37%
Washington Mystics35.0%0.52%39.0%0.32%62.5%0.10%43.5%0.18%19.8%2.35%100.0%<0.01%29.3%0.96%
Houston Comets66.7%<0.01%29.2%6.94%59.7%0.80%47.7%1.94%55.1%1.31%65.0%0.52%
Los Angeles Sparks20.7%4.98%51.7%0.56%40.7%1.40%44.4%0.92%61.0%0.32%
Minnesota Lynx100.0%<0.01%14.7%1.19%46.4%0.15%28.0%0.33%37.6%0.21%37.5%0.10%
Phoenix Mercury100.0%<0.01%21.1%2.60%52.0%0.30%37.4%0.68%46.9%0.48%56.5%0.18%
Sacramento Monarchs95.7%0.02%48.0%32.00%78.1%3.73%66.8%8.83%72.1%5.94%80.2%2.35%
San Antonio Silver Stars7.1%0.03%33.3%<0.01%33.3%<0.01%25.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%
Seattle Storm93.3%0.01%36.5%12.84%68.3%1.52%55.8%3.47%62.4%2.37%70.7%0.96%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Connecticut Sun 84.46% 62.86% 38.70% Eliminated in Finals
Sacramento Monarchs 82.03% 56.89% 30.69% Won Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Connecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Connecticut Sun84.5%100.00%
Detroit Shock15.5%100.00%
Indiana Fever64.2%100.00%
New York Liberty35.8%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksSacramento MonarchsSeattle Storm
Houston Comets34.9%100.00%
Los Angeles Sparks18.0%100.00%
Sacramento Monarchs82.0%100.00%
Seattle Storm65.1%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Connecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Connecticut Sun73.0%54.21%77.0%30.25%
Detroit Shock34.0%10.00%36.6%5.54%
Indiana Fever27.0%54.21%66.0%10.00%
New York Liberty23.0%30.25%63.4%5.54%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksSacramento MonarchsSeattle Storm
Houston Comets64.3%6.28%27.5%28.60%
Los Angeles Sparks35.7%6.28%30.6%11.70%
Sacramento Monarchs72.5%28.60%67.7%53.42%
Seattle Storm69.4%11.70%32.3%53.42%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksSacramento MonarchsSeattle StormConnecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York Liberty
Connecticut Sun70.7%7.57%76.8%3.62%56.2%35.72%65.8%15.96%
Detroit Shock35.7%0.58%42.4%0.33%22.5%3.14%31.5%1.38%
Indiana Fever55.0%2.48%64.6%1.28%31.4%12.04%51.3%5.42%
New York Liberty41.8%1.27%58.1%0.59%27.5%6.00%37.3%2.62%
Houston Comets29.3%7.57%64.3%0.58%45.0%2.48%58.2%1.27%
Los Angeles Sparks23.2%3.62%57.6%0.33%35.4%1.28%41.9%0.59%
Sacramento Monarchs43.8%35.72%77.5%3.14%68.6%12.04%72.5%6.00%
Seattle Storm34.2%15.96%68.5%1.38%48.7%5.42%62.7%2.62%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Connecticut Sun 38.70% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Detroit Shock
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
84.46%
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
62.97%
Win Prob
73.01%
Finals
vs. Sacramento Monarchs
Matchup
51.87%
Win Prob
56.21%
Sacramento Monarchs 30.69% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
82.03%
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
63.56%
Win Prob
67.69%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
50.96%
Win Prob
43.79%
Seattle Storm 10.68% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Houston Comets
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
65.12%
Semifinals
vs. Sacramento Monarchs
Matchup
68.02%
Win Prob
32.31%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
51.07%
Win Prob
34.19%
Indiana Fever 8.75% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
64.21%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
68.92%
Win Prob
26.99%
Finals
vs. Sacramento Monarchs
Matchup
43.17%
Win Prob
31.38%
Houston Comets 4.45% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
34.88%
Semifinals
vs. Sacramento Monarchs
Matchup
66.09%
Win Prob
27.51%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
49.89%
Win Prob
29.33%
New York Liberty 3.50% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
35.79%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
66.48%
Win Prob
23.04%
Finals
vs. Sacramento Monarchs
Matchup
47.07%
Win Prob
27.46%
Los Angeles Sparks 1.73% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Sacramento Monarchs
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
17.97%
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
61.54%
Win Prob
30.62%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
48.53%
Win Prob
23.24%
Detroit Shock 1.49% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
15.54%
Semifinals
vs. Indiana Fever
Matchup
62.62%
Win Prob
33.99%
Finals
vs. Sacramento Monarchs
Matchup
47.34%
Win Prob
22.46%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2005-05-21 Washington Mystics L 42-60 1488.42 1476.38 66.27% 33.73% -28.29 0-1
2005-05-22 @ Indiana Fever L 58-68 1460.13 1488.45 31.67% 68.33% -10.07 0-2
2005-05-26 Phoenix Mercury L 58-68 1450.06 1465.16 62.70% 37.30% -19.95 0-3
2005-05-28 Los Angeles Sparks W 84-75 1430.11 1568.68 45.23% 54.77% +16.54 1-3
2005-06-02 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 62-69 1446.65 1407.36 40.61% 59.39% -10.81 1-4
2005-06-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 67-73 1435.84 1475.38 30.28% 69.72% -7.47 1-5
2005-06-10 @ Detroit Shock L 55-69 1428.37 1528.18 23.49% 76.51% -8.84 1-6
2005-06-12 Seattle Storm L 60-62 1419.53 1551.47 46.17% 53.83% -6.57 1-7
2005-06-16 Indiana Fever L 57-60 1412.96 1514.15 50.59% 49.41% -8.81 1-8
2005-06-23 San Antonio Silver Stars L 49-64 1404.15 1375.57 68.37% 31.63% -26.64 1-9
2005-06-25 New York Liberty W 67-61 1377.51 1504.69 46.86% 53.14% +13.09 2-9
2005-06-28 Washington Mystics L 61-66 1390.60 1494.41 50.21% 49.79% -11.29 2-10
2005-06-30 @ Washington Mystics L 50-65 1379.31 1505.71 20.85% 79.15% -8.13 2-11
2005-07-02 @ Houston Comets L 65-75 1371.18 1503.09 20.33% 79.67% -6.47 2-12
2005-07-07 Minnesota Lynx W 66-58 1364.71 1514.42 43.64% 56.36% +16.04 3-12
2005-07-12 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 59-71 1380.75 1530.07 18.76% 81.24% -6.54 3-13
2005-07-13 @ Phoenix Mercury L 62-82 1374.21 1442.34 26.93% 73.07% -12.11 3-14
2005-07-17 Houston Comets L 55-67 1362.10 1519.51 42.56% 57.44% -14.83 3-15
2005-07-19 Connecticut Sun L 55-64 1347.27 1641.82 25.17% 74.83% -7.60 3-16
2005-07-22 @ Connecticut Sun L 63-73 1339.67 1630.79 9.26% 90.74% -2.95 3-17
2005-07-23 Indiana Fever L 46-63 1336.72 1515.02 39.65% 60.35% -16.44 3-18
2005-07-26 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 54-64 1320.28 1596.83 9.99% 90.01% -3.18 3-19
2005-07-29 @ Seattle Storm L 68-79 1317.10 1533.74 13.55% 86.45% -4.52 3-20
2005-08-02 @ Washington Mystics L 63-65 1312.58 1489.23 16.48% 83.52% -2.34 3-21
2005-08-04 Sacramento Monarchs L 58-76 1310.24 1627.91 22.75% 77.25% -9.71 3-22
2005-08-06 Detroit Shock W 82-73 1300.53 1489.21 38.22% 61.78% +18.64 4-22
2005-08-09 @ Detroit Shock L 64-71 1319.17 1481.10 17.68% 82.32% -4.71 4-23
2005-08-12 New York Liberty L 74-82 1314.46 1549.25 32.18% 67.82% -9.15 4-24
2005-08-14 @ New York Liberty L 65-73 1305.31 1558.41 11.27% 88.73% -3.21 4-25
2005-08-18 @ Connecticut Sun L 70-84 1302.10 1676.17 5.96% 94.04% -2.24 4-26
2005-08-20 @ Indiana Fever L 53-62 1299.86 1534.32 12.39% 87.61% -3.74 4-27
2005-08-23 Detroit Shock W 56-49 1296.12 1491.94 37.26% 62.74% +16.70 5-27
2005-08-25 @ New York Liberty W 78-66 1312.82 1567.07 11.21% 88.79% +30.94 6-27
2005-08-27 Connecticut Sun L 69-78 1343.76 1649.83 23.94% 76.06% -7.23 6-28
2005-05-21 @ Detroit Shock L 67-78 1510.48 1515.38 34.65% 65.35% -11.57 0-1
2005-05-22 @ Washington Mystics W 69-67 1498.91 1504.67 34.54% 65.46% +9.32 1-1
2005-05-28 Phoenix Mercury W 85-68 1508.23 1485.11 67.68% 32.32% +13.40 2-1
2005-06-04 San Antonio Silver Stars W 80-69 1521.63 1418.17 76.88% 23.12% +7.71 3-1
2005-06-07 Seattle Storm W 81-69 1529.34 1557.74 60.89% 39.11% +13.63 4-1
2005-06-10 @ Houston Comets W 77-57 1542.97 1516.73 38.81% 61.19% +27.53 5-1
2005-06-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-69 1570.50 1423.09 56.03% 43.97% +13.27 6-1
2005-06-18 Detroit Shock W 73-63 1583.77 1520.77 72.49% 27.51% +8.75 7-1
2005-06-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 90-70 1592.52 1561.19 39.51% 60.49% +27.22 8-1
2005-06-22 @ Seattle Storm L 86-95 1619.74 1542.14 46.02% 53.98% -13.89 8-2
2005-06-24 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 61-50 1605.85 1591.57 37.19% 62.81% +20.95 9-2
2005-06-25 @ Phoenix Mercury W 77-69 1626.80 1428.14 63.12% 36.88% +10.50 10-2
2005-06-28 Sacramento Monarchs W 70-66 1637.30 1583.20 71.45% 28.55% +5.74 11-2
2005-06-30 Minnesota Lynx W 71-56 1643.04 1522.77 78.56% 21.44% +8.35 12-2
2005-07-07 @ New York Liberty L 79-89 1651.39 1484.93 58.71% 41.29% -18.68 12-3
2005-07-13 @ Indiana Fever L 53-64 1632.71 1494.23 54.76% 45.24% -18.27 12-4
2005-07-15 Houston Comets W 70-66 1614.44 1524.44 75.48% 24.52% +4.94 13-4
2005-07-17 @ Minnesota Lynx W 72-53 1619.38 1522.23 48.83% 51.17% +22.44 14-4
2005-07-19 @ Charlotte Sting W 64-55 1641.82 1347.27 74.83% 25.17% +7.59 15-4
2005-07-20 @ Detroit Shock L 57-66 1649.41 1461.30 61.70% 38.30% -18.62 15-5
2005-07-22 Charlotte Sting W 73-63 1630.79 1339.67 90.74% 9.26% +2.95 16-5
2005-07-26 Indiana Fever W 68-55 1633.74 1531.47 76.76% 23.24% +8.43 17-5
2005-07-28 New York Liberty W 73-70 1642.17 1548.19 75.90% 24.10% +4.20 18-5
2005-07-30 Detroit Shock L 66-75 1646.37 1460.39 84.25% 15.75% -25.43 18-6
2005-08-02 @ New York Liberty W 72-65 1620.94 1556.56 44.14% 55.86% +14.87 19-6
2005-08-06 @ Indiana Fever W 74-65 1635.81 1529.28 50.18% 49.82% +15.04 20-6
2005-08-09 Los Angeles Sparks W 64-51 1650.85 1486.87 82.49% 17.51% +6.35 21-6
2005-08-11 @ Washington Mystics W 80-65 1657.20 1495.43 58.06% 41.94% +16.34 22-6
2005-08-14 Washington Mystics W 80-77 1673.54 1479.08 84.88% 15.12% +2.63 23-6
2005-08-18 Charlotte Sting W 84-70 1676.17 1302.10 94.04% 5.96% +2.25 24-6
2005-08-20 New York Liberty L 58-64 1678.42 1567.78 77.61% 22.39% -19.13 24-7
2005-08-23 Indiana Fever L 63-69 1659.29 1538.06 78.65% 21.35% -19.38 24-8
2005-08-26 Washington Mystics W 81-47 1639.91 1468.68 83.09% 16.91% +9.92 25-8
2005-08-27 @ Charlotte Sting W 78-69 1649.83 1343.76 76.06% 23.94% +7.23 26-8
2005-05-21 Connecticut Sun W 78-67 1515.38 1510.48 65.35% 34.65% +11.56 1-0
2005-05-22 @ New York Liberty W 78-71 1526.94 1493.24 39.84% 60.16% +16.02 2-0
2005-05-24 San Antonio Silver Stars W 74-65 1542.96 1444.33 76.38% 23.62% +7.12 3-0
2005-06-03 New York Liberty W 68-66 1550.08 1480.20 73.27% 26.73% +3.81 4-0
2005-06-08 Seattle Storm L 61-76 1553.89 1544.11 65.98% 34.02% -25.71 4-1
2005-06-10 Charlotte Sting W 69-55 1528.18 1428.37 76.51% 23.49% +8.84 5-1
2005-06-12 @ New York Liberty L 69-72 1537.02 1476.52 43.59% 56.41% -7.59 5-2
2005-06-15 @ Indiana Fever L 79-84 1529.43 1505.49 38.50% 61.50% -8.66 5-3
2005-06-18 @ Connecticut Sun L 63-73 1520.77 1583.77 27.51% 72.49% -8.76 5-4
2005-06-24 Washington Mystics L 55-69 1512.01 1481.16 68.65% 31.35% -25.84 5-5
2005-06-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-73 1486.17 1546.73 56.40% 43.60% +10.75 6-5
2005-07-01 Sacramento Monarchs L 63-80 1496.92 1595.07 51.03% 48.97% -21.17 6-6
2005-07-05 Houston Comets L 66-75 1475.75 1509.56 60.15% 39.85% -18.15 6-7
2005-07-07 @ Washington Mystics W 76-62 1457.60 1513.83 28.30% 71.70% +26.99 7-7
2005-07-13 @ Minnesota Lynx L 61-71 1484.59 1498.38 33.50% 66.50% -10.66 7-8
2005-07-15 @ Indiana Fever L 57-62 1473.93 1512.50 30.40% 69.60% -6.84 7-9
2005-07-17 Indiana Fever L 58-59 1467.09 1519.34 57.58% 42.42% -5.79 7-10
2005-07-20 Connecticut Sun W 66-57 1461.30 1649.41 38.30% 61.70% +18.62 8-10
2005-07-23 @ Seattle Storm L 71-74 1479.92 1528.65 29.18% 70.82% -5.08 8-11
2005-07-24 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 51-91 1474.84 1582.38 22.70% 77.30% -14.45 8-12
2005-07-30 @ Connecticut Sun W 75-66 1460.39 1646.37 15.75% 84.25% +25.43 9-12
2005-07-31 Phoenix Mercury W 66-63 1485.82 1501.99 62.55% 37.45% +6.52 10-12
2005-08-02 @ Houston Comets L 61-62 1492.34 1525.04 31.12% 68.88% -3.13 10-13
2005-08-06 @ Charlotte Sting L 73-82 1489.21 1300.53 61.78% 38.22% -18.64 10-14
2005-08-07 New York Liberty W 72-67 1470.57 1553.57 53.20% 46.80% +10.53 11-14
2005-08-09 Charlotte Sting W 71-64 1481.10 1319.17 82.32% 17.68% +4.70 12-14
2005-08-11 Minnesota Lynx W 72-66 1485.80 1466.75 67.17% 32.83% +8.09 13-14
2005-08-13 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 60-59 1493.89 1345.43 56.18% 43.82% +4.41 14-14
2005-08-16 @ Phoenix Mercury L 51-58 1498.30 1515.40 33.08% 66.92% -8.81 14-15
2005-08-19 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 67-74 1489.49 1473.87 37.37% 62.63% -9.94 14-16
2005-08-21 Washington Mystics W 66-52 1479.55 1461.23 67.08% 32.92% +12.39 15-16
2005-08-23 @ Charlotte Sting L 49-56 1491.94 1296.12 62.74% 37.26% -16.70 15-17
2005-08-25 Indiana Fever W 55-40 1475.24 1557.44 53.32% 46.68% +18.19 16-17
2005-08-27 @ Washington Mystics L 67-76 1493.43 1458.76 39.97% 60.03% -12.07 16-18
2005-05-21 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-70 1500.15 1461.24 40.56% 59.44% +16.91 1-0
2005-05-22 Minnesota Lynx W 79-65 1517.06 1491.80 67.95% 32.05% +12.07 2-0
2005-05-27 @ Seattle Storm L 69-79 1529.13 1505.98 38.39% 61.61% -12.22 2-1
2005-05-29 Indiana Fever W 86-78 1516.91 1524.34 63.72% 36.28% +10.33 3-1
2005-06-04 Phoenix Mercury W 59-57 1527.24 1452.83 73.78% 26.22% +3.73 4-1
2005-06-07 Minnesota Lynx L 58-62 1530.97 1482.85 70.75% 29.25% -14.24 4-2
2005-06-10 Connecticut Sun L 57-77 1516.73 1542.97 61.19% 38.81% -27.52 4-3
2005-06-13 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 68-74 1489.21 1573.50 25.14% 74.86% -6.20 4-4
2005-06-15 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 64-83 1483.01 1537.53 28.50% 71.50% -12.49 4-5
2005-06-18 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 75-69 1470.52 1398.66 45.20% 54.80% +13.50 5-5
2005-06-25 San Antonio Silver Stars W 62-44 1484.02 1402.21 74.59% 25.41% +10.84 6-5
2005-06-28 Seattle Storm W 71-67 1494.86 1536.32 59.09% 40.91% +8.23 7-5
2005-07-02 Charlotte Sting W 75-65 1503.09 1371.18 79.67% 20.33% +6.47 8-5
2005-07-05 @ Detroit Shock W 75-66 1509.56 1475.75 39.85% 60.15% +18.16 9-5
2005-07-07 @ Indiana Fever W 65-63 1527.72 1502.96 38.61% 61.39% +8.73 10-5
2005-07-12 New York Liberty L 65-68 1536.45 1503.61 68.89% 31.11% -12.01 10-6
2005-07-15 @ Connecticut Sun L 66-70 1524.44 1614.44 24.52% 75.48% -4.93 10-7
2005-07-17 @ Charlotte Sting W 67-55 1519.51 1362.10 57.44% 42.56% +14.83 11-7
2005-07-19 Sacramento Monarchs W 58-54 1534.34 1615.92 53.41% 46.59% +9.38 12-7
2005-07-21 Washington Mystics L 65-70 1543.72 1499.47 70.28% 29.72% -15.82 12-8
2005-07-23 Los Angeles Sparks L 59-69 1527.90 1499.81 68.31% 31.69% -21.73 12-9
2005-07-26 @ Washington Mystics W 83-65 1506.17 1515.28 34.11% 65.89% +28.13 13-9
2005-07-27 @ New York Liberty W 71-69 1534.30 1557.82 32.27% 67.73% +9.64 14-9
2005-07-30 San Antonio Silver Stars L 63-68 1543.94 1361.28 83.99% 16.01% -18.90 14-10
2005-08-02 Detroit Shock W 62-61 1525.04 1492.34 68.88% 31.12% +3.13 15-10
2005-08-05 @ Phoenix Mercury L 75-80 1528.17 1503.09 38.66% 61.34% -8.69 15-11
2005-08-07 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 45-55 1519.48 1637.62 21.65% 78.35% -6.89 15-12
2005-08-09 @ Seattle Storm L 68-71 1512.59 1520.61 34.25% 65.75% -5.97 15-13
2005-08-14 Seattle Storm W 75-72 1506.62 1540.22 60.17% 39.83% +6.94 16-13
2005-08-16 @ Minnesota Lynx L 62-73 1513.56 1445.01 44.73% 55.27% -14.92 16-14
2005-08-18 Phoenix Mercury W 77-66 1498.64 1524.20 61.28% 38.72% +12.92 17-14
2005-08-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 50-55 1511.56 1483.82 39.02% 60.98% -8.78 17-15
2005-08-25 @ Phoenix Mercury W 80-72 1502.78 1525.75 32.34% 67.66% +19.25 18-15
2005-08-27 Los Angeles Sparks W 77-51 1522.03 1508.74 66.43% 33.57% +17.22 19-15
2005-05-22 Charlotte Sting W 68-58 1488.45 1460.13 68.33% 31.67% +10.07 1-0
2005-05-24 Phoenix Mercury W 83-76 1498.52 1473.70 67.90% 32.10% +8.55 2-0
2005-05-26 @ New York Liberty W 67-59 1507.07 1477.23 39.31% 60.69% +17.27 3-0
2005-05-29 @ Houston Comets L 78-86 1524.34 1516.91 36.28% 63.72% -10.32 3-1
2005-06-01 Sacramento Monarchs W 61-60 1514.02 1551.21 59.68% 40.32% +4.05 4-1
2005-06-04 @ Seattle Storm L 77-83 1518.07 1550.05 31.21% 68.79% -7.69 4-2
2005-06-07 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 51-65 1510.38 1566.76 28.28% 71.72% -10.64 4-3
2005-06-10 New York Liberty W 62-59 1499.74 1482.28 66.97% 33.03% +5.75 5-3
2005-06-15 Detroit Shock W 84-79 1505.49 1529.43 61.50% 38.50% +8.66 6-3
2005-06-16 @ Charlotte Sting W 60-57 1514.15 1412.96 49.41% 50.59% +8.82 7-3
2005-06-18 @ Washington Mystics L 78-88 1522.97 1451.16 45.19% 54.81% -14.38 7-4
2005-06-24 Minnesota Lynx W 57-55 1508.59 1514.26 63.96% 36.04% +5.13 8-4
2005-06-28 Los Angeles Sparks L 58-61 1513.72 1535.99 61.73% 38.27% -10.76 8-5
2005-07-07 Houston Comets L 63-65 1502.96 1527.72 61.39% 38.61% -8.73 8-6
2005-07-13 Connecticut Sun W 64-53 1494.23 1632.71 45.24% 54.76% +18.27 9-6
2005-07-15 Detroit Shock W 62-57 1512.50 1473.93 69.60% 30.40% +6.84 10-6
2005-07-17 @ Detroit Shock W 59-58 1519.34 1467.09 42.42% 57.58% +5.79 11-6
2005-07-19 @ Minnesota Lynx L 45-66 1525.13 1499.79 38.69% 61.31% -17.84 11-7
2005-07-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-53 1507.29 1385.58 78.70% 21.30% +7.73 12-7
2005-07-23 @ Charlotte Sting W 63-46 1515.02 1336.72 60.35% 39.65% +16.45 13-7
2005-07-26 @ Connecticut Sun L 55-68 1531.47 1633.74 23.24% 76.76% -8.43 13-8
2005-07-29 Washington Mystics W 62-58 1523.04 1495.62 68.22% 31.78% +6.39 14-8
2005-07-31 @ New York Liberty L 53-67 1529.43 1543.99 33.40% 66.60% -12.57 14-9
2005-08-04 Seattle Storm W 78-68 1516.86 1544.92 60.94% 39.06% +12.42 15-9
2005-08-06 Connecticut Sun L 65-74 1529.28 1635.81 49.82% 50.18% -15.03 15-10
2005-08-07 @ Washington Mystics L 60-61 1514.25 1491.57 38.33% 61.67% -3.86 15-11
2005-08-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 57-50 1510.39 1356.91 56.89% 43.11% +11.48 16-11
2005-08-13 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 59-69 1521.87 1474.32 41.76% 58.24% -13.29 16-12
2005-08-14 @ Phoenix Mercury W 62-56 1508.58 1532.09 32.27% 67.73% +16.69 17-12
2005-08-18 Washington Mystics W 67-57 1525.27 1470.28 71.56% 28.44% +9.05 18-12
2005-08-20 Charlotte Sting W 62-53 1534.32 1299.86 87.61% 12.39% +3.74 19-12
2005-08-23 @ Connecticut Sun W 69-63 1538.06 1659.29 21.35% 78.65% +19.38 20-12
2005-08-25 @ Detroit Shock L 40-55 1557.44 1475.24 46.68% 53.32% -18.19 20-13
2005-08-27 New York Liberty W 75-50 1539.25 1536.12 65.12% 34.88% +17.55 21-13
2005-05-21 @ Seattle Storm W 68-50 1531.82 1533.71 35.05% 64.95% +27.72 1-0
2005-05-25 @ Minnesota Lynx L 65-68 1559.54 1479.74 46.34% 53.66% -8.07 1-1
2005-05-26 @ Washington Mystics W 84-75 1551.47 1495.35 42.97% 57.03% +17.21 2-1
2005-05-28 @ Charlotte Sting L 75-84 1568.68 1430.11 54.77% 45.23% -16.53 2-2
2005-05-31 San Antonio Silver Stars W 81-70 1552.15 1413.95 80.25% 19.75% +6.59 3-2
2005-06-04 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 53-81 1558.74 1547.15 36.83% 63.17% -19.60 3-3
2005-06-08 Phoenix Mercury L 63-66 1539.14 1449.10 75.48% 24.52% -13.16 3-4
2005-06-11 Sacramento Monarchs W 81-74 1525.98 1585.05 56.62% 43.38% +11.55 4-4
2005-06-15 Houston Comets W 83-64 1537.53 1483.01 71.50% 28.50% +12.50 5-4
2005-06-18 Minnesota Lynx W 69-56 1550.03 1514.40 69.24% 30.76% +11.16 6-4
2005-06-20 Connecticut Sun L 70-90 1561.19 1592.52 60.49% 39.51% -27.22 6-5
2005-06-24 Seattle Storm W 76-65 1533.97 1556.03 61.76% 38.24% +12.76 7-5
2005-06-26 @ Detroit Shock L 73-79 1546.73 1486.17 43.60% 56.40% -10.74 7-6
2005-06-28 @ Indiana Fever W 61-58 1535.99 1513.72 38.27% 61.73% +10.76 8-6
2005-07-02 Phoenix Mercury W 86-63 1546.75 1417.64 79.40% 20.60% +9.93 9-6
2005-07-05 New York Liberty L 55-67 1556.68 1458.32 76.36% 23.64% -26.61 9-7
2005-07-12 Charlotte Sting W 71-59 1530.07 1380.75 81.24% 18.76% +6.54 10-7
2005-07-16 Seattle Storm L 70-78 1536.61 1498.86 69.50% 30.50% -19.77 10-8
2005-07-19 Washington Mystics L 68-74 1516.84 1482.45 69.09% 30.91% -17.03 10-9
2005-07-23 @ Houston Comets W 69-59 1499.81 1527.90 31.69% 68.31% +21.73 11-9
2005-07-26 @ Phoenix Mercury L 60-77 1521.54 1471.72 42.08% 57.92% -17.45 11-10
2005-07-29 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 59-79 1504.09 1600.01 23.90% 76.10% -10.75 11-11
2005-07-31 @ Seattle Storm L 72-77 1493.34 1538.26 29.63% 70.37% -6.67 11-12
2005-08-05 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-63 1486.67 1370.05 51.63% 48.37% +8.43 12-12
2005-08-07 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-76 1495.10 1453.80 40.89% 59.11% -8.23 12-13
2005-08-09 @ Connecticut Sun L 51-64 1486.87 1650.85 17.51% 82.49% -6.35 12-14
2005-08-10 @ New York Liberty L 69-74 1480.52 1543.05 27.57% 72.43% -6.20 12-15
2005-08-13 Indiana Fever W 69-59 1474.32 1521.87 58.24% 41.76% +13.29 13-15
2005-08-16 Sacramento Monarchs L 63-72 1487.61 1624.21 45.51% 54.49% -13.74 13-16
2005-08-19 Detroit Shock W 74-67 1473.87 1489.49 62.63% 37.37% +9.95 14-16
2005-08-21 Houston Comets W 55-50 1483.82 1511.56 60.98% 39.02% +8.78 15-16
2005-08-23 Minnesota Lynx W 74-63 1492.60 1439.36 71.35% 28.65% +9.55 16-16
2005-08-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 70-67 1502.15 1310.12 62.23% 37.77% +6.59 17-16
2005-08-27 @ Houston Comets L 51-77 1508.74 1522.03 33.57% 66.43% -17.22 17-17
2005-05-22 @ Houston Comets L 65-79 1491.80 1517.06 32.05% 67.95% -12.06 0-1
2005-05-25 Los Angeles Sparks W 68-65 1479.74 1559.54 53.66% 46.34% +8.07 1-1
2005-05-29 Sacramento Monarchs L 66-67 1487.81 1545.49 56.81% 43.19% -5.71 1-2
2005-06-03 @ Washington Mystics L 71-74 1482.10 1457.90 38.54% 61.46% -6.72 1-3
2005-06-04 Charlotte Sting W 73-67 1475.38 1435.84 69.72% 30.28% +7.47 2-3
2005-06-07 @ Houston Comets W 62-58 1482.85 1530.97 29.25% 70.75% +14.23 3-3
2005-06-11 Washington Mystics W 78-60 1497.08 1464.45 68.87% 31.13% +13.29 4-3
2005-06-15 @ Seattle Storm W 86-81 1510.37 1558.04 29.31% 70.69% +15.90 5-3
2005-06-17 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 50-67 1526.27 1579.69 28.62% 71.38% -11.87 5-4
2005-06-18 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 56-69 1514.40 1550.03 30.76% 69.24% -11.16 5-5
2005-06-22 Phoenix Mercury W 75-59 1503.24 1439.16 72.61% 27.39% +11.02 6-5
2005-06-24 @ Indiana Fever L 55-57 1514.26 1508.59 36.04% 63.96% -5.13 6-6
2005-06-26 Seattle Storm W 73-70 1509.13 1543.27 60.10% 39.90% +6.95 7-6
2005-06-28 San Antonio Silver Stars W 63-53 1516.08 1391.36 78.99% 21.01% +6.69 8-6
2005-06-30 @ Connecticut Sun L 56-71 1522.77 1643.04 21.44% 78.56% -8.35 8-7
2005-07-07 @ Charlotte Sting L 58-66 1514.42 1364.71 56.36% 43.64% -16.04 8-8
2005-07-13 Detroit Shock W 71-61 1498.38 1484.59 66.50% 33.50% +10.66 9-8
2005-07-15 @ New York Liberty W 64-60 1509.04 1515.61 34.43% 65.57% +13.19 10-8
2005-07-17 Connecticut Sun L 53-72 1522.23 1619.38 51.17% 48.83% -22.44 10-9
2005-07-19 Indiana Fever W 66-45 1499.79 1525.13 61.31% 38.69% +17.84 11-9
2005-07-24 New York Liberty L 47-59 1517.63 1536.13 62.24% 37.76% -21.69 11-10
2005-07-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 71-78 1495.94 1355.08 55.10% 44.90% -14.67 11-11
2005-07-29 Phoenix Mercury L 65-69 1481.27 1489.18 63.66% 36.34% -12.81 11-12
2005-07-31 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 54-67 1468.46 1610.76 19.38% 80.62% -7.03 11-13
2005-08-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 64-70 1461.43 1495.46 30.96% 69.04% -7.63 11-14
2005-08-07 Los Angeles Sparks W 76-72 1453.80 1495.10 59.11% 40.89% +8.23 12-14
2005-08-09 San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-72 1462.03 1361.62 76.57% 23.43% +4.72 13-14
2005-08-11 @ Detroit Shock L 66-72 1466.75 1485.80 32.83% 67.17% -8.09 13-15
2005-08-12 Seattle Storm L 66-72 1458.66 1526.58 55.36% 44.64% -13.65 13-16
2005-08-16 Houston Comets W 73-62 1445.01 1513.56 55.27% 44.73% +14.93 14-16
2005-08-18 @ Seattle Storm L 60-76 1459.94 1533.28 26.34% 73.66% -10.60 14-17
2005-08-21 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69-83 1449.34 1521.14 26.51% 73.49% -9.98 14-18
2005-08-23 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 63-74 1439.36 1492.60 28.65% 71.35% -9.56 14-19
2005-08-27 Sacramento Monarchs L 52-61 1429.80 1635.51 35.94% 64.06% -10.84 14-20
2005-05-22 Detroit Shock L 71-78 1493.24 1526.94 60.16% 39.84% -16.01 0-1
2005-05-26 Indiana Fever L 59-67 1477.23 1507.07 60.69% 39.31% -17.27 0-2
2005-06-01 @ Washington Mystics W 77-68 1459.96 1478.14 32.94% 67.06% +20.24 1-2
2005-06-03 @ Detroit Shock L 66-68 1480.20 1550.08 26.73% 73.27% -3.80 1-3
2005-06-05 Washington Mystics W 61-58 1476.40 1464.62 66.24% 33.76% +5.88 2-3
2005-06-10 @ Indiana Fever L 59-62 1482.28 1499.74 33.03% 66.97% -5.76 2-4
2005-06-12 Detroit Shock W 72-69 1476.52 1537.02 56.41% 43.59% +7.60 3-4
2005-06-18 Phoenix Mercury W 65-54 1484.12 1465.77 67.08% 32.92% +10.98 4-4
2005-06-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 77-59 1495.10 1385.16 77.54% 22.46% +9.59 5-4
2005-06-25 @ Charlotte Sting L 61-67 1504.69 1377.51 53.14% 46.86% -13.10 5-5
2005-06-30 Sacramento Monarchs L 50-61 1491.59 1577.46 52.79% 47.21% -17.61 5-6
2005-07-02 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 57-69 1473.98 1404.01 44.93% 55.07% -15.66 5-7
2005-07-05 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 67-55 1458.32 1556.68 23.64% 76.36% +26.61 6-7
2005-07-07 Connecticut Sun W 89-79 1484.93 1651.39 41.29% 58.71% +18.68 7-7
2005-07-12 @ Houston Comets W 68-65 1503.61 1536.45 31.11% 68.89% +12.00 8-7
2005-07-15 Minnesota Lynx L 60-64 1515.61 1509.04 65.57% 34.43% -13.19 8-8
2005-07-19 @ Seattle Storm L 78-87 1502.42 1518.63 33.19% 66.81% -10.02 8-9
2005-07-21 @ Phoenix Mercury W 80-70 1492.40 1468.52 38.49% 61.51% +19.57 9-9
2005-07-22 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 73-63 1511.97 1606.55 24.04% 75.96% +24.16 10-9
2005-07-24 @ Minnesota Lynx W 59-47 1536.13 1517.63 37.76% 62.24% +21.69 11-9
2005-07-27 Houston Comets L 69-71 1557.82 1534.30 67.73% 32.27% -9.63 11-10
2005-07-28 @ Connecticut Sun L 70-73 1548.19 1642.17 24.10% 75.90% -4.20 11-11
2005-07-31 Indiana Fever W 67-53 1543.99 1529.43 66.60% 33.40% +12.57 12-11
2005-08-02 Connecticut Sun L 65-72 1556.56 1620.94 55.86% 44.14% -14.87 12-12
2005-08-06 Seattle Storm W 79-67 1541.69 1532.50 65.91% 34.09% +11.88 13-12
2005-08-07 @ Detroit Shock L 67-72 1553.57 1470.57 46.80% 53.20% -10.52 13-13
2005-08-10 Los Angeles Sparks W 74-69 1543.05 1480.52 72.43% 27.57% +6.20 14-13
2005-08-12 @ Charlotte Sting W 82-74 1549.25 1314.46 67.82% 32.18% +9.16 15-13
2005-08-14 Charlotte Sting W 73-65 1558.41 1305.31 88.73% 11.27% +3.20 16-13
2005-08-16 Washington Mystics W 72-66 1561.61 1476.45 74.96% 25.04% +6.17 17-13
2005-08-20 @ Connecticut Sun W 64-58 1567.78 1678.42 22.39% 77.61% +19.13 18-13
2005-08-23 @ Washington Mystics L 69-82 1586.91 1448.84 54.70% 45.30% -19.84 18-14
2005-08-25 Charlotte Sting L 66-78 1567.07 1312.82 88.79% 11.21% -30.95 18-15
2005-08-27 @ Indiana Fever L 50-75 1536.12 1539.25 34.88% 65.12% -17.54 18-16
2005-05-21 Sacramento Monarchs L 72-77 1487.21 1521.71 60.05% 39.95% -13.51 0-1
2005-05-24 @ Indiana Fever L 76-83 1473.70 1498.52 32.10% 67.90% -8.54 0-2
2005-05-26 @ Charlotte Sting W 68-58 1465.16 1450.06 37.30% 62.70% +19.95 1-2
2005-05-28 @ Connecticut Sun L 68-85 1485.11 1508.23 32.32% 67.68% -13.41 1-3
2005-06-02 Seattle Storm L 67-78 1471.70 1531.18 56.56% 43.44% -18.87 1-4
2005-06-04 @ Houston Comets L 57-59 1452.83 1527.24 26.22% 73.78% -3.73 1-5
2005-06-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 66-63 1449.10 1539.14 24.52% 75.48% +13.15 2-5
2005-06-10 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 61-73 1462.25 1577.40 21.94% 78.06% -7.64 2-6
2005-06-15 San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-62 1454.61 1409.82 70.35% 29.65% +11.16 3-6
2005-06-18 @ New York Liberty L 54-65 1465.77 1484.12 32.92% 67.08% -10.99 3-7
2005-06-21 @ Washington Mystics L 56-77 1454.78 1465.54 33.89% 66.11% -15.62 3-8
2005-06-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 59-75 1439.16 1503.24 27.39% 72.61% -11.02 3-9
2005-06-25 Connecticut Sun L 69-77 1428.14 1626.80 36.88% 63.12% -10.50 3-10
2005-07-02 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 63-86 1417.64 1546.75 20.60% 79.40% -9.93 3-11
2005-07-05 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-69 1407.71 1419.67 33.74% 66.26% +17.63 4-11
2005-07-06 Seattle Storm W 73-61 1425.34 1522.15 51.22% 48.78% +17.00 5-11
2005-07-13 Charlotte Sting W 82-62 1442.34 1374.21 73.07% 26.93% +12.12 6-11
2005-07-15 Washington Mystics W 77-66 1454.46 1504.70 57.86% 42.14% +14.06 7-11
2005-07-21 New York Liberty L 70-80 1468.52 1492.40 61.51% 38.49% -19.57 7-12
2005-07-23 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-49 1448.95 1377.85 45.09% 54.91% +22.77 8-12
2005-07-26 Los Angeles Sparks W 77-60 1471.72 1521.54 57.92% 42.08% +17.46 9-12
2005-07-29 @ Minnesota Lynx W 69-65 1489.18 1481.27 36.34% 63.66% +12.81 10-12
2005-07-31 @ Detroit Shock L 63-66 1501.99 1485.82 37.45% 62.55% -6.53 10-13
2005-08-03 Minnesota Lynx W 70-64 1495.46 1461.43 69.04% 30.96% +7.63 11-13
2005-08-05 Houston Comets W 80-75 1503.09 1528.17 61.34% 38.66% +8.70 12-13
2005-08-12 Sacramento Monarchs W 76-62 1511.79 1644.51 46.06% 53.94% +20.30 13-13
2005-08-14 Indiana Fever L 56-62 1532.09 1508.58 67.73% 32.27% -16.69 13-14
2005-08-16 Detroit Shock W 58-51 1515.40 1498.30 66.92% 33.08% +8.80 14-14
2005-08-18 @ Houston Comets L 66-77 1524.20 1498.64 38.72% 61.28% -12.92 14-15
2005-08-19 San Antonio Silver Stars W 91-57 1511.28 1338.63 83.20% 16.80% +9.86 15-15
2005-08-21 Minnesota Lynx W 83-69 1521.14 1449.34 73.49% 26.51% +9.98 16-15
2005-08-23 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 70-76 1531.12 1647.92 21.78% 78.22% -5.37 16-16
2005-08-25 Houston Comets L 72-80 1525.75 1502.78 67.66% 32.34% -19.25 16-17
2005-08-27 @ Seattle Storm L 74-85 1506.50 1572.73 27.14% 72.86% -9.06 16-18
2005-05-21 @ Phoenix Mercury W 77-72 1521.71 1487.21 39.95% 60.05% +13.51 1-0
2005-05-27 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 71-67 1535.22 1437.20 48.95% 51.05% +10.27 2-0
2005-05-29 @ Minnesota Lynx W 67-66 1545.49 1487.81 43.19% 56.81% +5.72 3-0
2005-06-01 @ Indiana Fever L 60-61 1551.21 1514.02 40.32% 59.68% -4.06 3-1
2005-06-04 Los Angeles Sparks W 81-53 1547.15 1558.74 63.17% 36.83% +19.61 4-1
2005-06-07 Indiana Fever W 65-51 1566.76 1510.38 71.72% 28.28% +10.64 5-1
2005-06-10 Phoenix Mercury W 73-61 1577.40 1462.25 78.06% 21.94% +7.65 6-1
2005-06-11 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 74-81 1585.05 1525.98 43.38% 56.62% -11.55 6-2
2005-06-13 Houston Comets W 74-68 1573.50 1489.21 74.86% 25.14% +6.19 7-2
2005-06-17 Minnesota Lynx W 67-50 1579.69 1526.27 71.38% 28.62% +11.88 8-2
2005-06-24 Connecticut Sun L 50-61 1591.57 1605.85 62.81% 37.19% -20.96 8-3
2005-06-26 @ Washington Mystics W 62-57 1570.61 1507.00 44.03% 55.97% +12.59 9-3
2005-06-28 @ Connecticut Sun L 66-70 1583.20 1637.30 28.55% 71.45% -5.74 9-4
2005-06-30 @ New York Liberty W 61-50 1577.46 1491.59 47.21% 52.79% +17.61 10-4
2005-07-01 @ Detroit Shock W 80-63 1595.07 1496.92 48.97% 51.03% +21.17 11-4
2005-07-03 @ Seattle Storm L 67-74 1616.24 1508.76 50.31% 49.69% -13.39 11-5
2005-07-14 San Antonio Silver Stars W 72-61 1602.85 1402.03 85.35% 14.65% +4.89 12-5
2005-07-16 Washington Mystics W 73-59 1607.74 1490.63 78.25% 21.75% +8.18 13-5
2005-07-19 @ Houston Comets L 54-58 1615.92 1534.34 46.59% 53.41% -9.37 13-6
2005-07-22 New York Liberty L 63-73 1606.55 1511.97 75.96% 24.04% -24.17 13-7
2005-07-24 Detroit Shock W 91-51 1582.38 1474.84 77.30% 22.70% +14.45 14-7
2005-07-26 Charlotte Sting W 64-54 1596.83 1320.28 90.01% 9.99% +3.18 15-7
2005-07-29 Los Angeles Sparks W 79-59 1600.01 1504.09 76.10% 23.90% +10.75 16-7
2005-07-31 Minnesota Lynx W 67-54 1610.76 1468.46 80.62% 19.38% +7.03 17-7
2005-08-02 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 67-57 1617.79 1380.17 68.17% 31.83% +10.12 18-7
2005-08-04 @ Charlotte Sting W 76-58 1627.91 1310.24 77.25% 22.75% +9.71 19-7
2005-08-07 Houston Comets W 55-45 1637.62 1519.48 78.35% 21.65% +6.89 20-7
2005-08-12 @ Phoenix Mercury L 62-76 1644.51 1511.79 53.94% 46.06% -20.30 20-8
2005-08-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 72-63 1624.21 1487.61 54.49% 45.51% +13.73 21-8
2005-08-18 San Antonio Silver Stars W 64-57 1637.94 1341.02 91.01% 8.99% +2.39 22-8
2005-08-20 Seattle Storm W 75-65 1640.33 1543.88 76.16% 23.84% +7.59 23-8
2005-08-23 Phoenix Mercury W 76-70 1647.92 1531.12 78.22% 21.78% +5.36 24-8
2005-08-25 @ Seattle Storm L 63-76 1653.28 1554.96 49.00% 51.00% -17.77 24-9
2005-08-27 @ Minnesota Lynx W 61-52 1635.51 1429.80 64.06% 35.94% +10.85 25-9
2005-05-21 Houston Comets L 70-78 1461.24 1500.15 59.44% 40.56% -16.91 0-1
2005-05-24 @ Detroit Shock L 65-74 1444.33 1542.96 23.62% 76.38% -7.13 0-2
2005-05-27 Sacramento Monarchs L 67-71 1437.20 1535.22 51.05% 48.95% -10.27 0-3
2005-05-29 @ Seattle Storm L 51-79 1426.93 1518.20 24.39% 75.61% -12.98 0-4
2005-05-31 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 70-81 1413.95 1552.15 19.75% 80.25% -6.59 0-5
2005-06-02 Charlotte Sting W 69-62 1407.36 1446.65 59.39% 40.61% +10.81 1-5
2005-06-04 @ Connecticut Sun L 69-80 1418.17 1521.63 23.12% 76.88% -7.71 1-6
2005-06-07 Washington Mystics W 71-62 1410.46 1458.74 58.13% 41.87% +12.63 2-6
2005-06-11 Connecticut Sun L 69-78 1423.09 1570.50 43.97% 56.03% -13.27 2-7
2005-06-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 62-76 1409.82 1454.61 29.65% 70.35% -11.16 2-8
2005-06-18 Houston Comets L 69-75 1398.66 1470.52 54.80% 45.20% -13.50 2-9
2005-06-21 @ New York Liberty L 59-77 1385.16 1495.10 22.46% 77.54% -9.59 2-10
2005-06-23 @ Charlotte Sting W 64-49 1375.57 1404.15 31.63% 68.37% +26.64 3-10
2005-06-25 @ Houston Comets L 44-62 1402.21 1484.02 25.41% 74.59% -10.85 3-11
2005-06-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 53-63 1391.36 1516.08 21.01% 78.99% -6.68 3-12
2005-06-30 Seattle Storm W 81-69 1384.68 1528.08 44.54% 55.46% +19.33 4-12
2005-07-02 New York Liberty W 69-57 1404.01 1473.98 55.07% 44.93% +15.66 5-12
2005-07-05 Phoenix Mercury L 69-76 1419.67 1407.71 66.26% 33.74% -17.64 5-13
2005-07-14 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 61-72 1402.03 1602.85 14.65% 85.35% -4.89 5-14
2005-07-15 @ Seattle Storm L 70-92 1397.14 1487.30 24.51% 75.49% -11.56 5-15
2005-07-21 @ Indiana Fever L 53-66 1385.58 1507.29 21.30% 78.70% -7.73 5-16
2005-07-23 Phoenix Mercury L 49-66 1377.85 1448.95 54.91% 45.09% -22.77 5-17
2005-07-26 Minnesota Lynx W 78-71 1355.08 1495.94 44.90% 55.10% +14.66 6-17
2005-07-28 @ Washington Mystics L 58-73 1369.74 1487.16 21.72% 78.28% -8.46 6-18
2005-07-30 @ Houston Comets W 68-63 1361.28 1543.94 16.01% 83.99% +18.89 7-18
2005-08-02 Sacramento Monarchs L 57-67 1380.17 1617.79 31.83% 68.17% -10.12 7-19
2005-08-05 Los Angeles Sparks L 63-66 1370.05 1486.67 48.37% 51.63% -8.43 7-20
2005-08-09 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72-76 1361.62 1462.03 23.43% 76.57% -4.71 7-21
2005-08-11 Indiana Fever L 50-57 1356.91 1510.39 43.11% 56.89% -11.48 7-22
2005-08-13 Detroit Shock L 59-60 1345.43 1493.89 43.82% 56.18% -4.41 7-23
2005-08-18 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 57-64 1341.02 1637.94 8.99% 91.01% -2.39 7-24
2005-08-19 @ Phoenix Mercury L 57-91 1338.63 1511.28 16.80% 83.20% -9.85 7-25
2005-08-23 Seattle Storm L 51-78 1328.78 1536.30 35.70% 64.30% -18.66 7-26
2005-08-26 Los Angeles Sparks L 67-70 1310.12 1502.15 37.77% 62.23% -6.59 7-27
2005-05-21 Los Angeles Sparks L 50-68 1533.71 1531.82 64.95% 35.05% -27.73 0-1
2005-05-27 Houston Comets W 79-69 1505.98 1529.13 61.61% 38.39% +12.22 1-1
2005-05-29 San Antonio Silver Stars W 79-51 1518.20 1426.93 75.61% 24.39% +12.98 2-1
2005-06-02 @ Phoenix Mercury W 78-67 1531.18 1471.70 43.44% 56.56% +18.87 3-1
2005-06-04 Indiana Fever W 83-77 1550.05 1518.07 68.79% 31.21% +7.69 4-1
2005-06-07 @ Connecticut Sun L 69-81 1557.74 1529.34 39.11% 60.89% -13.63 4-2
2005-06-08 @ Detroit Shock W 76-61 1544.11 1553.89 34.02% 65.98% +25.71 5-2
2005-06-10 @ Washington Mystics L 52-64 1569.82 1446.10 52.65% 47.35% -18.35 5-3
2005-06-12 @ Charlotte Sting W 62-60 1551.47 1419.53 53.83% 46.17% +6.57 6-3
2005-06-15 Minnesota Lynx L 81-86 1558.04 1510.37 70.69% 29.31% -15.90 6-4
2005-06-22 Connecticut Sun W 95-86 1542.14 1619.74 53.98% 46.02% +13.89 7-4
2005-06-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 65-76 1556.03 1533.97 38.24% 61.76% -12.76 7-5
2005-06-26 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-73 1543.27 1509.13 39.90% 60.10% -6.95 7-6
2005-06-28 @ Houston Comets L 67-71 1536.32 1494.86 40.91% 59.09% -8.24 7-7
2005-06-30 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 69-81 1528.08 1384.68 55.46% 44.54% -19.32 7-8
2005-07-03 Sacramento Monarchs W 74-67 1508.76 1616.24 49.69% 50.31% +13.39 8-8
2005-07-06 @ Phoenix Mercury L 61-73 1522.15 1425.34 48.78% 51.22% -17.00 8-9
2005-07-13 Washington Mystics L 71-78 1505.15 1486.84 67.07% 32.93% -17.85 8-10
2005-07-15 San Antonio Silver Stars W 92-70 1487.30 1397.14 75.49% 24.51% +11.56 9-10
2005-07-16 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 78-70 1498.86 1536.61 30.50% 69.50% +19.77 10-10
2005-07-19 New York Liberty W 87-78 1518.63 1502.42 66.81% 33.19% +10.02 11-10
2005-07-23 Detroit Shock W 74-71 1528.65 1479.92 70.82% 29.18% +5.09 12-10
2005-07-29 Charlotte Sting W 79-68 1533.74 1317.10 86.45% 13.55% +4.52 13-10
2005-07-31 Los Angeles Sparks W 77-72 1538.26 1493.34 70.37% 29.63% +6.66 14-10
2005-08-04 @ Indiana Fever L 68-78 1544.92 1516.86 39.06% 60.94% -12.42 14-11
2005-08-06 @ New York Liberty L 67-79 1532.50 1541.69 34.09% 65.91% -11.89 14-12
2005-08-09 Houston Comets W 71-68 1520.61 1512.59 65.75% 34.25% +5.97 15-12
2005-08-12 @ Minnesota Lynx W 72-66 1526.58 1458.66 44.64% 55.36% +13.64 16-12
2005-08-14 @ Houston Comets L 72-75 1540.22 1506.62 39.83% 60.17% -6.94 16-13
2005-08-18 Minnesota Lynx W 76-60 1533.28 1459.94 73.66% 26.34% +10.60 17-13
2005-08-20 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 65-75 1543.88 1640.33 23.84% 76.16% -7.58 17-14
2005-08-23 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 78-51 1536.30 1328.78 64.30% 35.70% +18.66 18-14
2005-08-25 Sacramento Monarchs W 76-63 1554.96 1653.28 51.00% 49.00% +17.77 19-14
2005-08-27 Phoenix Mercury W 85-74 1572.73 1506.50 72.86% 27.14% +9.06 20-14
2005-05-21 @ Charlotte Sting W 60-42 1476.38 1488.42 33.73% 66.27% +28.29 1-0
2005-05-22 Connecticut Sun L 67-69 1504.67 1498.91 65.46% 34.54% -9.32 1-1
2005-05-26 Los Angeles Sparks L 75-84 1495.35 1551.47 57.03% 42.97% -17.21 1-2
2005-06-01 New York Liberty L 68-77 1478.14 1459.96 67.06% 32.94% -20.24 1-3
2005-06-03 Minnesota Lynx W 74-71 1457.90 1482.10 61.46% 38.54% +6.72 2-3
2005-06-05 @ New York Liberty L 58-61 1464.62 1476.40 33.76% 66.24% -5.88 2-4
2005-06-07 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 62-71 1458.74 1410.46 41.87% 58.13% -12.64 2-5
2005-06-10 Seattle Storm W 64-52 1446.10 1569.82 47.35% 52.65% +18.35 3-5
2005-06-11 @ Minnesota Lynx L 60-78 1464.45 1497.08 31.13% 68.87% -13.29 3-6
2005-06-18 Indiana Fever W 88-78 1451.16 1522.97 54.81% 45.19% +14.38 4-6
2005-06-21 Phoenix Mercury W 77-56 1465.54 1454.78 66.11% 33.89% +15.62 5-6
2005-06-24 @ Detroit Shock W 69-55 1481.16 1512.01 31.35% 68.65% +25.84 6-6
2005-06-26 Sacramento Monarchs L 57-62 1507.00 1570.61 55.97% 44.03% -12.59 6-7
2005-06-28 @ Charlotte Sting W 66-61 1494.41 1390.60 49.79% 50.21% +11.30 7-7
2005-06-30 Charlotte Sting W 65-50 1505.71 1379.31 79.15% 20.85% +8.12 8-7
2005-07-07 Detroit Shock L 62-76 1513.83 1457.60 71.70% 28.30% -26.99 8-8
2005-07-13 @ Seattle Storm W 78-71 1486.84 1505.15 32.93% 67.07% +17.86 9-8
2005-07-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 66-77 1504.70 1454.46 42.14% 57.86% -14.07 9-9
2005-07-16 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 59-73 1490.63 1607.74 21.75% 78.25% -8.18 9-10
2005-07-19 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 74-68 1482.45 1516.84 30.91% 69.09% +17.02 10-10
2005-07-21 @ Houston Comets W 70-65 1499.47 1543.72 29.72% 70.28% +15.81 11-10
2005-07-26 Houston Comets L 65-83 1515.28 1506.17 65.89% 34.11% -28.12 11-11
2005-07-28 San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-58 1487.16 1369.74 78.28% 21.72% +8.46 12-11
2005-07-29 @ Indiana Fever L 58-62 1495.62 1523.04 31.78% 68.22% -6.39 12-12
2005-08-02 Charlotte Sting W 65-63 1489.23 1312.58 83.52% 16.48% +2.34 13-12
2005-08-07 Indiana Fever W 61-60 1491.57 1514.25 61.67% 38.33% +3.86 14-12
2005-08-11 Connecticut Sun L 65-80 1495.43 1657.20 41.94% 58.06% -16.35 14-13
2005-08-14 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-80 1479.08 1673.54 15.12% 84.88% -2.63 14-14
2005-08-16 @ New York Liberty L 66-72 1476.45 1561.61 25.04% 74.96% -6.17 14-15
2005-08-18 @ Indiana Fever L 57-67 1470.28 1525.27 28.44% 71.56% -9.05 14-16
2005-08-21 @ Detroit Shock L 52-66 1461.23 1479.55 32.92% 67.08% -12.39 14-17
2005-08-23 New York Liberty W 82-69 1448.84 1586.91 45.30% 54.70% +19.84 15-17
2005-08-26 @ Connecticut Sun L 47-81 1468.68 1639.91 16.91% 83.09% -9.92 15-18
2005-08-27 Detroit Shock W 76-67 1458.76 1493.43 60.03% 39.97% +12.06 16-18

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2005-08-31 @ Detroit Shock W 73-62 1657.06 1481.36 59.99% 40.01% +13.35 1-0
2005-09-02 Detroit Shock W 75-67 1670.41 1468.02 85.46% 14.54% +4.13 2-0
2005-09-08 @ Indiana Fever W 73-68 1674.54 1584.84 47.76% 52.24% +11.76 3-0
2005-09-10 Indiana Fever W 77-67 1686.30 1573.09 77.87% 22.13% +7.04 4-0
2005-09-14 Sacramento Monarchs L 65-69 1693.34 1678.00 66.70% 33.30% -13.42 4-1
2005-09-15 Sacramento Monarchs W 77-70 1679.92 1691.42 63.18% 36.82% +9.80 5-1
2005-09-18 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 55-66 1689.72 1681.62 36.37% 63.63% -12.14 5-2
2005-09-20 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 59-62 1677.58 1693.75 33.20% 66.80% -5.78 5-3
2005-08-31 Connecticut Sun L 62-73 1481.36 1657.06 40.01% 59.99% -13.34 0-1
2005-09-02 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-75 1468.02 1670.41 14.54% 85.46% -4.14 0-2
2005-08-30 Seattle Storm L 67-75 1539.25 1581.79 58.94% 41.06% -16.77 0-1
2005-09-01 @ Seattle Storm W 67-64 1522.48 1598.56 26.04% 73.96% +12.89 1-1
2005-09-03 @ Seattle Storm W 75-58 1535.37 1585.67 28.99% 71.01% +29.45 2-1
2005-09-08 Sacramento Monarchs L 69-73 1564.82 1661.11 51.30% 48.70% -10.32 2-2
2005-09-10 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 65-74 1554.50 1671.43 21.77% 78.23% -6.57 2-3
2005-08-30 @ New York Liberty W 63-51 1556.80 1518.58 40.46% 59.54% +20.74 1-0
2005-09-01 New York Liberty W 58-50 1577.54 1497.83 74.37% 25.63% +7.30 2-0
2005-09-08 Connecticut Sun L 68-73 1584.84 1674.54 52.24% 47.76% -11.75 2-1
2005-09-10 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-77 1573.09 1686.30 22.13% 77.87% -7.04 2-2
2005-08-31 Sacramento Monarchs L 72-75 1491.52 1646.36 42.92% 57.08% -7.48 0-1
2005-09-02 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 63-81 1484.04 1653.84 17.03% 82.97% -7.27 0-2
2005-08-30 Indiana Fever L 51-63 1518.58 1556.80 59.54% 40.46% -20.75 0-1
2005-09-01 @ Indiana Fever L 50-58 1497.83 1577.54 25.63% 74.37% -7.29 0-2
2005-08-31 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 75-72 1646.36 1491.52 57.08% 42.92% +7.48 1-0
2005-09-02 Los Angeles Sparks W 81-63 1653.84 1484.04 82.97% 17.03% +7.27 2-0
2005-09-08 @ Houston Comets W 73-69 1661.11 1564.82 48.70% 51.30% +10.32 3-0
2005-09-10 Houston Comets W 74-65 1671.43 1554.50 78.23% 21.77% +6.57 4-0
2005-09-14 @ Connecticut Sun W 69-65 1678.00 1693.34 33.30% 66.70% +13.42 5-0
2005-09-15 @ Connecticut Sun L 70-77 1691.42 1679.92 36.82% 63.18% -9.80 5-1
2005-09-18 Connecticut Sun W 66-55 1681.62 1689.72 63.63% 36.37% +12.13 6-1
2005-09-20 Connecticut Sun W 62-59 1693.75 1677.58 66.80% 33.20% +5.78 7-1
2005-08-30 @ Houston Comets W 75-67 1581.79 1539.25 41.06% 58.94% +16.77 1-0
2005-09-01 Houston Comets L 64-67 1598.56 1522.48 73.96% 26.04% -12.89 1-1
2005-09-03 Houston Comets L 58-75 1585.67 1535.37 71.01% 28.99% -29.45 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-08-25 11.21% Charlotte Sting 1312.82 78 @ New York Liberty 1567.07 66
2 2005-07-30 15.75% Detroit Shock 1460.39 75 @ Connecticut Sun 1646.37 66
3 2005-07-30 16.01% San Antonio Silver Stars 1361.28 68 @ Houston Comets 1543.94 63
4 2005-08-23 21.35% Indiana Fever 1538.06 69 @ Connecticut Sun 1659.29 63
5 2005-08-20 22.39% New York Liberty 1567.78 64 @ Connecticut Sun 1678.42 58
6 2005-07-05 23.64% New York Liberty 1458.32 67 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1556.68 55
7 2005-07-22 24.04% New York Liberty 1511.97 73 @ Sacramento Monarchs 1606.55 63
8 2005-06-08 24.52% Phoenix Mercury 1449.10 66 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1539.14 63
9 2005-09-01 * 26.04% Houston Comets 1522.48 67 @ Seattle Storm 1598.56 64
10 2005-07-07 28.30% Detroit Shock 1457.60 76 @ Washington Mystics 1513.83 62
11 2005-09-03 * 28.99% Houston Comets 1535.37 75 @ Seattle Storm 1585.67 58
12 2005-06-07 29.25% Minnesota Lynx 1482.85 62 @ Houston Comets 1530.97 58
13 2005-06-15 29.31% Minnesota Lynx 1510.37 86 @ Seattle Storm 1558.04 81
14 2005-07-21 29.72% Washington Mystics 1499.47 70 @ Houston Comets 1543.72 65
15 2005-07-16 30.50% Seattle Storm 1498.86 78 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1536.61 70
16 2005-07-19 30.91% Washington Mystics 1482.45 74 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1516.84 68
17 2005-07-12 31.11% New York Liberty 1503.61 68 @ Houston Comets 1536.45 65
18 2005-06-24 31.35% Washington Mystics 1481.16 69 @ Detroit Shock 1512.01 55
19 2005-06-23 31.63% San Antonio Silver Stars 1375.57 64 @ Charlotte Sting 1404.15 49
20 2005-07-23 31.69% Los Angeles Sparks 1499.81 69 @ Houston Comets 1527.90 59
21 2005-07-27 32.27% Houston Comets 1534.30 71 @ New York Liberty 1557.82 69
22 2005-08-14 32.27% Indiana Fever 1508.58 62 @ Phoenix Mercury 1532.09 56
23 2005-08-25 32.34% Houston Comets 1502.78 80 @ Phoenix Mercury 1525.75 72
24 2005-07-13 32.93% Washington Mystics 1486.84 78 @ Seattle Storm 1505.15 71
25 2005-06-01 32.94% New York Liberty 1459.96 77 @ Washington Mystics 1478.14 68

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-08-25 30.95 Charlotte Sting 78 1312.82 11.21% @ New York Liberty 66 1567.07 88.79%
2 2005-09-03 * 29.45 Houston Comets 75 1535.37 28.99% @ Seattle Storm 58 1585.67 71.01%
3 2005-05-21 28.29 Washington Mystics 60 1476.38 33.73% @ Charlotte Sting 42 1488.42 66.27%
4 2005-07-26 28.13 Houston Comets 83 1506.17 34.11% @ Washington Mystics 65 1515.28 65.89%
5 2005-05-21 27.73 Los Angeles Sparks 68 1531.82 35.05% @ Seattle Storm 50 1533.71 64.95%
6 2005-06-10 27.53 Connecticut Sun 77 1542.97 38.81% @ Houston Comets 57 1516.73 61.19%
7 2005-06-20 27.22 Connecticut Sun 90 1592.52 39.51% @ Los Angeles Sparks 70 1561.19 60.49%
8 2005-07-07 26.99 Detroit Shock 76 1457.60 28.30% @ Washington Mystics 62 1513.83 71.70%
9 2005-06-23 26.64 San Antonio Silver Stars 64 1375.57 31.63% @ Charlotte Sting 49 1404.15 68.37%
10 2005-07-05 26.61 New York Liberty 67 1458.32 23.64% @ Los Angeles Sparks 55 1556.68 76.36%
11 2005-06-24 25.84 Washington Mystics 69 1481.16 31.35% @ Detroit Shock 55 1512.01 68.65%
12 2005-06-08 25.71 Seattle Storm 76 1544.11 34.02% @ Detroit Shock 61 1553.89 65.98%
13 2005-07-30 25.43 Detroit Shock 75 1460.39 15.75% @ Connecticut Sun 66 1646.37 84.25%
14 2005-07-22 24.17 New York Liberty 73 1511.97 24.04% @ Sacramento Monarchs 63 1606.55 75.96%
15 2005-07-23 22.77 Phoenix Mercury 66 1448.95 45.09% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 49 1377.85 54.91%
16 2005-07-17 22.44 Connecticut Sun 72 1619.38 48.83% @ Minnesota Lynx 53 1522.23 51.17%
17 2005-07-23 21.73 Los Angeles Sparks 69 1499.81 31.69% @ Houston Comets 59 1527.90 68.31%
18 2005-07-24 21.69 New York Liberty 59 1536.13 37.76% @ Minnesota Lynx 47 1517.63 62.24%
19 2005-07-01 21.17 Sacramento Monarchs 80 1595.07 48.97% @ Detroit Shock 63 1496.92 51.03%
20 2005-06-24 20.96 Connecticut Sun 61 1605.85 37.19% @ Sacramento Monarchs 50 1591.57 62.81%
21 2005-08-30 * 20.75 Indiana Fever 63 1556.80 40.46% @ New York Liberty 51 1518.58 59.54%
22 2005-08-12 20.30 @ Phoenix Mercury 76 1511.79 46.06% Sacramento Monarchs 62 1644.51 53.94%
23 2005-06-01 20.24 New York Liberty 77 1459.96 32.94% @ Washington Mystics 68 1478.14 67.06%
24 2005-05-26 19.95 Phoenix Mercury 68 1465.16 37.30% @ Charlotte Sting 58 1450.06 62.70%
25 2005-08-23 19.84 @ Washington Mystics 82 1448.84 45.30% New York Liberty 69 1586.91 54.70%