Home / Leagues / WNBA / 2004

2004 WNBA Season

221 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Seattle Storm

1st Title

Runner-Up

Connecticut Sun

1

Biggest Overachiever

Los Angeles Sparks

4.78 wins above expected

25 wins · 20.22 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Houston Comets

4.58 wins below expected

13 wins · 17.58 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 New York Liberty League 18 16 .529 66.2 67.6 -1.3 17.00 +1.00
2 Connecticut Sun Playoffs 18 16 .529 68.7 67.8 +0.9 17.45 +0.55
3 Detroit Shock Playoffs 17 17 .500 1 69.6 70.0 -0.4 18.97 -1.97
4 Washington Mystics Playoffs 17 17 .500 1 68.4 70.1 -1.7 14.23 +2.77
5 Charlotte Sting 16 18 .471 2 61.5 63.8 -2.2 16.35 -0.35
6 Indiana Fever 15 19 .441 3 64.6 66.0 -1.4 16.66 -1.66
# Team W L Pct GB PPG OPP DIFF SimW vsSim
1 Los Angeles Sparks League 25 9 .735 73.4 69.4 +3.9 20.22 +4.78
2 Seattle Storm Playoffs 20 14 .588 5 71.7 66.6 +5.1 19.39 +0.61
3 Sacramento Monarchs Playoffs 18 16 .529 7 68.0 65.9 +2.1 17.96 +0.04
4 Minnesota Lynx Playoffs 18 16 .529 7 63.7 64.4 -0.7 16.64 +1.36
5 Phoenix Mercury 17 17 .500 8 67.6 65.7 +1.9 15.75 +1.25
6 Houston Comets 13 21 .382 12 64.0 65.0 -1.0 17.58 -4.58
7 San Antonio Silver Stars 9 25 .265 16 64.4 69.5 -5.1 12.77 -3.77

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

New York Liberty 2
Detroit Shock 1

3 games · Sep 24–Sep 28

Connecticut Sun 2
Washington Mystics 1

3 games · Sep 25–Sep 29

Conference Final

Connecticut Sun 2
New York Liberty 0

2 games · Oct 1–Oct 3

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Sacramento Monarchs 2
Los Angeles Sparks 1

3 games · Sep 24–Sep 28

Seattle Storm 2
Minnesota Lynx 0

2 games · Sep 25–Sep 27

Conference Final

Seattle Storm 2
Sacramento Monarchs 1

3 games · Oct 1–Oct 5

WNBA Finals

Seattle Storm 2
Connecticut Sun 1

3 games · Oct 8–Oct 12

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Los Angeles Sparks Western 1603 25 20.22 +4.78 97.52% 9 16 18 20 22 25 32
Seattle Storm Western 1563 20 19.39 +0.61 65.85% 9 15 18 19 21 24 29
Sacramento Monarchs Western 1556 18 17.96 +0.04 57.80% 6 13 16 18 20 23 28
Detroit Shock Eastern 1527 17 18.97 -1.97 29.87% 9 14 17 19 21 24 29
Connecticut Sun Eastern 1522 18 17.45 +0.55 64.07% 7 13 16 17 19 22 28
Phoenix Mercury Western 1498 17 15.75 +1.25 73.36% 6 11 14 16 18 20 26
Minnesota Lynx Western 1495 18 16.64 +1.36 74.42% 7 12 15 17 19 21 28
New York Liberty Eastern 1485 18 17.00 +1.00 69.83% 7 12 15 17 19 22 27
Washington Mystics Eastern 1470 17 14.23 +2.77 87.42% 5 10 12 14 16 19 25
Houston Comets Western 1469 13 17.58 -4.58 7.27% 7 13 16 18 19 22 27
Charlotte Sting Eastern 1460 16 16.35 -0.35 51.98% 7 12 14 16 18 21 27
Indiana Fever Eastern 1460 15 16.66 -1.66 34.11% 6 12 15 17 19 21 28
San Antonio Silver Stars Western 1392 9 12.77 -3.77 11.46% 4 8 11 13 15 17 24

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Sting Sun Shock Fever Liberty Mystics
Charlotte Sting
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
0-4
(1.8 exp.)
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
0-4
(2.0 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
Detroit Shock
4-0
(2.2 exp.)
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
Indiana Fever
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
0-4
(1.9 exp.)
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
New York Liberty
4-0
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
3-1
(1.7 exp.)

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Comets Sparks Lynx Mercury Monarchs Stars Storm
Charlotte Sting
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Connecticut Sun
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Detroit Shock
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Indiana Fever
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
New York Liberty
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Washington Mystics
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)

Within Western

Team Comets Sparks Lynx Mercury Monarchs Stars Storm
Houston Comets
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
Sacramento Monarchs
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
Seattle Storm
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
3-0
(2.1 exp.)

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Sting Sun Shock Fever Liberty Mystics
Houston Comets
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
Sacramento Monarchs
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
Seattle Storm
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored
Mean allowed
StdDev scored
StdDev allowed
Correlation (home vs away score)
Sample size (games)

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Los Angeles Sparks 25 20.22 +4.78
2 Washington Mystics 17 14.23 +2.77
3 Minnesota Lynx 18 16.64 +1.36
4 Phoenix Mercury 17 15.75 +1.25
5 New York Liberty 18 17.00 +1.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Houston Comets 13 17.58 -4.58
2 San Antonio Silver Stars 9 12.77 -3.77
3 Detroit Shock 17 18.97 -1.97
4 Indiana Fever 15 16.66 -1.66
5 Charlotte Sting 16 16.35 -0.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 New York Liberty 6 May 23 – Jun 5 1 in 109
2 Minnesota Lynx 6 Jul 9 – Jul 22 1 in 83
3 Seattle Storm 6 Jun 3 – Jun 19 1 in 56
4 Connecticut Sun 6 Jun 20 – Jul 6 1 in 53
5 Washington Mystics 5 Sep 7 – Sep 17 1 in 49

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 New York Liberty 6 Jun 11 – Jun 24 1 in 110
2 Detroit Shock 4 Jun 25 – Jul 3 1 in 37
3 Houston Comets 5 Jun 30 – Jul 14 1 in 29
4 San Antonio Silver Stars 9 Jul 18 – Sep 4 1 in 24
5 Indiana Fever 6 Jul 19 – Jul 31 1 in 21

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall WNBA view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team123456
Detroit Shock38.36%23.04%16.00%11.45%7.32%3.83%
Connecticut Sun19.06%21.03%18.87%17.04%14.75%9.25%
New York Liberty15.67%18.80%18.48%18.29%16.86%11.90%
Indiana Fever12.99%16.51%18.69%18.88%18.71%14.22%
Charlotte Sting11.01%14.45%17.96%20.25%19.80%16.53%
Washington Mystics2.91%6.17%10.00%14.09%22.56%44.27%
Team1234567
Los Angeles Sparks38.73%24.01%16.19%10.69%6.07%3.30%1.01%
Seattle Storm26.91%24.04%18.36%13.51%9.77%5.81%1.60%
Sacramento Monarchs13.31%17.36%19.65%18.16%15.80%11.33%4.39%
Houston Comets10.88%15.72%17.74%19.01%16.87%13.83%5.95%
Minnesota Lynx6.16%11.19%14.33%18.12%20.39%19.20%10.61%
Phoenix Mercury3.68%6.68%11.01%15.60%20.79%25.54%16.70%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.33%1.00%2.72%4.91%10.31%20.99%59.74%
Team12345678910111213
Los Angeles Sparks27.95%17.78%13.33%9.92%8.37%6.37%5.03%3.80%2.82%1.90%1.54%0.72%0.47%
Seattle Storm18.84%15.31%12.74%11.53%9.25%7.62%6.78%5.26%4.39%3.73%2.40%1.52%0.63%
Detroit Shock14.47%14.33%12.77%10.97%9.82%8.63%7.20%6.30%5.19%4.14%3.00%2.14%1.04%
Sacramento Monarchs8.37%9.77%10.21%9.91%10.15%9.54%9.77%7.58%7.08%6.52%5.56%3.70%1.84%
Houston Comets6.94%8.37%9.19%9.33%9.55%9.39%8.53%8.71%8.56%7.35%6.61%4.59%2.88%
Connecticut Sun5.82%8.25%8.55%9.45%9.49%9.57%8.99%9.08%8.26%7.38%6.92%5.30%2.94%
New York Liberty4.39%6.73%7.56%8.48%8.65%8.95%9.20%9.24%9.64%8.71%7.57%6.60%4.28%
Indiana Fever3.87%5.12%6.71%7.47%8.27%8.38%9.09%9.72%9.63%9.83%8.83%7.94%5.14%
Minnesota Lynx3.79%5.01%6.74%7.50%8.01%8.78%9.09%9.71%9.10%9.73%9.59%7.44%5.51%
Charlotte Sting2.86%4.43%5.40%6.92%7.46%8.38%9.26%9.92%9.91%10.60%9.70%9.31%5.85%
Phoenix Mercury2.00%3.39%4.20%4.70%6.13%7.75%8.59%9.40%10.40%11.00%12.19%11.05%9.20%
Washington Mystics0.52%1.16%1.94%2.64%3.57%4.43%5.66%7.16%8.97%10.57%13.96%18.89%20.53%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.18%0.35%0.66%1.18%1.28%2.21%2.81%4.12%6.05%8.54%12.13%20.80%39.69%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Detroit Shock38.36%23.04%16.00%11.45%11.15%
Connecticut Sun19.06%21.03%18.87%17.04%24.00%
New York Liberty15.67%18.80%18.48%18.29%28.76%
Indiana Fever12.99%16.51%18.69%18.88%32.93%
Charlotte Sting11.01%14.45%17.96%20.25%36.33%
Washington Mystics2.91%6.17%10.00%14.09%66.83%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Los Angeles Sparks38.73%24.01%16.19%10.69%10.38%
Seattle Storm26.91%24.04%18.36%13.51%17.18%
Sacramento Monarchs13.31%17.36%19.65%18.16%31.52%
Houston Comets10.88%15.72%17.74%19.01%36.65%
Minnesota Lynx6.16%11.19%14.33%18.12%50.20%
Phoenix Mercury3.68%6.68%11.01%15.60%63.03%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.33%1.00%2.72%4.91%91.04%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals
Los Angeles Sparks 89.62% 61.62% 39.74% 28.16%
Seattle Storm 82.82% 47.27% 24.23% 15.47%
Detroit Shock 88.85% 53.45% 31.20% 12.88%
Sacramento Monarchs 68.48% 36.31% 17.56% 10.74%
Connecticut Sun 76.00% 44.56% 24.84% 9.70%
New York Liberty 71.24% 34.54% 15.91% 5.37%
Charlotte Sting 63.67% 26.18% 11.27% 3.58%
Indiana Fever 67.07% 27.56% 11.22% 3.58%
Minnesota Lynx 49.80% 18.21% 6.41% 3.22%
Houston Comets 63.35% 20.96% 6.66% 2.91%
Phoenix Mercury 36.97% 13.88% 5.10% 2.53%
Washington Mystics 33.17% 13.71% 5.56% 1.75%
San Antonio Silver Stars 8.96% 1.75% 0.30% 0.11%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Charlotte StingConnecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Charlotte Sting5.13%6.91%6.10%5.94%2.10%
Connecticut Sun9.26%10.27%10.60%10.08%4.35%
Detroit Shock12.55%10.59%12.17%11.54%6.60%
Indiana Fever5.92%5.84%6.62%6.42%2.76%
New York Liberty7.41%7.46%7.88%8.14%3.65%
Washington Mystics2.35%2.42%3.72%2.50%2.72%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Houston Comets4.58%3.44%2.24%4.24%0.73%5.73%
Los Angeles Sparks14.29%11.82%8.49%12.34%2.63%12.05%
Minnesota Lynx3.92%4.00%1.97%3.26%0.39%4.67%
Phoenix Mercury3.15%2.94%1.92%2.22%0.27%3.38%
Sacramento Monarchs8.47%7.78%5.71%3.89%1.24%9.22%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.33%0.30%0.14%0.18%0.30%0.50%
Seattle Storm12.23%8.40%8.56%6.32%9.81%1.95%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Charlotte StingConnecticut SunDetroit ShockIndiana FeverNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Charlotte Sting2.71%3.63%1.88%2.17%0.88%
Connecticut Sun4.24%8.43%4.69%5.11%2.37%
Detroit Shock5.43%8.74%5.97%8.09%2.97%
Indiana Fever1.99%2.72%3.57%2.19%0.75%
New York Liberty2.43%4.26%5.21%2.83%1.18%
Washington Mystics0.82%1.29%1.41%0.97%1.07%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Houston CometsLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxPhoenix MercurySacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle Storm
Houston Comets2.17%0.84%0.72%1.20%0.07%1.66%
Los Angeles Sparks6.29%5.10%3.87%10.15%0.64%13.69%
Minnesota Lynx1.04%1.98%0.52%1.09%0.09%1.69%
Phoenix Mercury0.76%1.54%0.40%1.03%0.13%1.24%
Sacramento Monarchs2.43%6.50%2.23%1.51%0.18%4.71%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.05%0.11%0.03%0.04%0.02%0.05%
Seattle Storm3.73%9.58%3.20%2.12%5.26%0.34%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Charlotte StingConnecticut SunDetroit ShockHouston CometsIndiana FeverLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertyPhoenix MercurySacramento MonarchsSan Antonio Silver StarsSeattle StormWashington Mystics
Charlotte Sting0.35%1.22%0.33%0.27%0.56%0.03%0.82%
Connecticut Sun0.84%3.08%0.90%0.70%1.76%0.04%2.38%
Detroit Shock1.48%3.91%1.12%0.92%2.43%0.05%2.97%
Houston Comets0.27%0.66%0.83%0.41%0.55%0.19%
Indiana Fever0.34%1.06%0.27%0.21%0.77%0.02%0.91%
Los Angeles Sparks3.42%6.66%8.58%3.27%4.54%1.69%
Minnesota Lynx0.33%0.72%0.98%0.47%0.56%0.16%
New York Liberty0.55%1.76%0.41%0.35%1.03%0.02%1.25%
Phoenix Mercury0.26%0.66%0.59%0.41%0.43%0.18%
Sacramento Monarchs1.37%2.38%3.23%1.39%1.74%0.63%
San Antonio Silver Stars0.01%0.04%0.03%0.02%0.01%
Seattle Storm2.03%4.02%4.08%1.69%2.70%0.95%
Washington Mystics0.19%0.55%0.16%0.12%0.27%0.03%0.43%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Advanced to Finals Won Finals Actual Outcome
Seattle Storm 68.25% 29.50% 19.10% Won Finals
Connecticut Sun 53.36% 31.08% 11.19% Eliminated in Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Connecticut SunDetroit ShockNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Connecticut Sun53.36%
Detroit Shock46.64%
New York Liberty58.14%
Washington Mystics41.86%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxSacramento MonarchsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks64.47%
Minnesota Lynx31.75%
Sacramento Monarchs35.53%
Seattle Storm68.25%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Connecticut SunDetroit ShockNew York LibertyWashington Mystics
Connecticut Sun16.14%14.94%
Detroit Shock14.81%12.64%
New York Liberty14.58%12.61%
Washington Mystics7.70%6.58%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Los Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxSacramento MonarchsSeattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks15.31%27.82%
Minnesota Lynx5.55%4.95%
Sacramento Monarchs5.94%10.93%
Seattle Storm15.79%13.71%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Connecticut SunDetroit ShockLos Angeles SparksMinnesota LynxNew York LibertySacramento MonarchsSeattle StormWashington Mystics
Connecticut Sun3.93%1.77%2.12%3.37%
Detroit Shock3.84%1.23%1.75%3.39%
Los Angeles Sparks9.89%8.06%8.63%4.58%
Minnesota Lynx1.59%1.39%1.58%0.94%
New York Liberty2.77%1.44%1.49%2.33%
Sacramento Monarchs3.02%2.89%3.11%1.76%
Seattle Storm5.39%4.90%5.84%2.97%
Washington Mystics1.43%0.56%0.73%1.31%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Los Angeles Sparks 31.16% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Sacramento Monarchs
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
64.47%
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
64.50%
Win Prob
63.79%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
31.74%
Win Prob
71.56%
Seattle Storm 19.10% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Minnesota Lynx
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
68.25%
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
53.53%
Win Prob
36.21%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
30.58%
Win Prob
71.48%
Connecticut Sun 11.19% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Detroit Shock
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
53.36%
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
51.93%
Win Prob
52.54%
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
35.12%
Win Prob
28.44%
Sacramento Monarchs 10.78% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
35.53%
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
64.79%
Win Prob
44.36%
Finals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
28.85%
Win Prob
67.61%
Detroit Shock 10.21% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
46.64%
Semifinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
53.95%
Win Prob
54.01%
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
37.61%
Win Prob
32.27%
New York Liberty 8.03% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Mystics
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
58.14%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
53.62%
Win Prob
47.46%
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
34.50%
Win Prob
24.30%
Minnesota Lynx 5.50% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. Seattle Storm
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
31.75%
Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
52.86%
Win Prob
26.61%
Finals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
28.91%
Win Prob
47.32%
Washington Mystics 4.03% chance to win
Quarterfinals
vs. New York Liberty
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
41.86%
Semifinals
vs. Connecticut Sun
Matchup
53.92%
Win Prob
34.01%
Finals
vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Matchup
35.48%
Win Prob
23.79%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2004-05-21 Houston Comets L 53-60 1494.71 1521.69 56.87% 43.13% -8.77 0-1
2004-05-22 @ Washington Mystics W 71-68 1485.94 1454.48 43.76% 56.24% +5.68 1-1
2004-05-28 Indiana Fever W 63-41 1491.62 1490.16 60.83% 39.17% +10.71 2-1
2004-06-01 New York Liberty L 53-63 1502.33 1513.09 59.14% 40.86% -10.91 2-2
2004-06-03 @ Connecticut Sun L 62-71 1491.42 1493.53 39.08% 60.92% -6.83 2-3
2004-06-05 @ Indiana Fever L 57-70 1484.59 1494.79 37.97% 62.03% -7.98 2-4
2004-06-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 68-82 1476.61 1525.15 32.93% 67.07% -7.19 2-5
2004-06-11 @ Phoenix Mercury W 59-51 1469.42 1465.24 39.94% 60.06% +9.91 3-5
2004-06-15 San Antonio Silver Stars W 59-57 1479.33 1439.04 66.01% 33.99% +2.80 4-5
2004-06-18 @ Connecticut Sun W 63-58 1482.13 1497.84 37.23% 62.77% +8.18 5-5
2004-06-20 Los Angeles Sparks W 68-63 1490.31 1546.80 52.67% 47.33% +6.17 6-5
2004-06-23 Detroit Shock L 60-65 1496.48 1558.40 51.89% 48.11% -6.76 6-6
2004-06-26 Indiana Fever W 46-37 1489.72 1510.99 57.67% 42.33% +7.40 7-6
2004-07-01 Phoenix Mercury L 59-71 1497.12 1468.62 64.47% 35.53% -13.02 7-7
2004-07-03 @ Houston Comets W 62-55 1484.10 1518.85 34.71% 65.29% +10.07 8-7
2004-07-08 Seattle Storm W 70-67 1494.17 1560.70 51.22% 48.78% +4.93 9-7
2004-07-10 Washington Mystics W 67-65 1499.10 1460.47 65.80% 34.20% +2.82 10-7
2004-07-15 @ Washington Mystics L 54-68 1501.92 1457.65 45.58% 54.42% -9.95 10-8
2004-07-18 @ New York Liberty L 58-75 1491.97 1470.91 42.30% 57.70% -10.16 10-9
2004-07-20 New York Liberty L 74-80 1481.81 1481.08 60.73% 39.27% -8.68 10-10
2004-07-23 @ Detroit Shock L 53-63 1473.13 1507.28 34.79% 65.21% -6.41 10-11
2004-07-24 Washington Mystics W 70-41 1466.72 1458.79 61.72% 38.28% +12.02 11-11
2004-07-28 @ Indiana Fever W 63-53 1478.74 1481.32 39.01% 60.99% +11.24 12-11
2004-07-31 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 61-62 1489.98 1530.99 33.89% 66.11% -1.97 12-12
2004-08-01 @ Seattle Storm L 55-87 1488.01 1569.67 28.86% 71.14% -9.52 12-13
2004-09-01 Connecticut Sun W 62-55 1478.49 1484.14 59.85% 40.15% +6.19 13-13
2004-09-02 @ New York Liberty L 52-56 1484.68 1499.40 37.36% 62.64% -4.36 13-14
2004-09-04 Detroit Shock L 58-66 1480.32 1509.10 56.62% 43.38% -9.33 13-15
2004-09-08 @ Minnesota Lynx W 72-68 1470.99 1503.21 35.04% 64.96% +7.57 14-15
2004-09-09 Sacramento Monarchs W 74-69 1478.56 1545.64 51.14% 48.86% +6.37 15-15
2004-09-11 Minnesota Lynx W 60-50 1484.93 1500.63 58.46% 41.54% +7.66 16-15
2004-09-15 Connecticut Sun L 67-81 1492.59 1507.58 58.55% 41.45% -12.77 16-16
2004-09-17 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 65-82 1479.82 1379.25 53.67% 46.33% -12.90 16-17
2004-09-19 @ Detroit Shock L 54-68 1466.92 1519.77 32.38% 67.62% -7.07 16-18
2004-05-22 Phoenix Mercury L 58-65 1506.98 1441.77 69.15% 30.85% -10.66 0-1
2004-05-25 Houston Comets L 57-68 1496.32 1524.03 56.77% 43.23% -10.98 0-2
2004-05-27 Los Angeles Sparks W 82-73 1485.34 1538.51 53.14% 46.86% +8.19 1-2
2004-06-03 Charlotte Sting W 71-62 1493.53 1491.42 60.92% 39.08% +6.84 2-2
2004-06-04 @ Washington Mystics W 72-63 1500.37 1440.77 47.78% 52.22% +9.13 3-2
2004-06-06 Detroit Shock L 73-74 1509.50 1536.42 56.88% 43.12% -3.31 3-3
2004-06-09 @ Phoenix Mercury L 59-75 1506.19 1454.36 46.67% 53.33% -10.89 3-4
2004-06-11 @ Seattle Storm L 63-68 1495.30 1532.58 34.38% 65.62% -4.48 3-5
2004-06-12 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 83-76 1490.82 1513.49 36.30% 63.70% +9.83 4-5
2004-06-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 74-76 1500.65 1540.02 34.11% 65.89% -2.81 4-6
2004-06-18 Charlotte Sting L 58-63 1497.84 1482.13 62.77% 37.23% -8.19 4-7
2004-06-20 Washington Mystics W 75-65 1489.65 1436.01 67.72% 32.28% +5.96 5-7
2004-06-22 @ Indiana Fever W 63-58 1495.61 1513.84 36.89% 63.11% +8.22 6-7
2004-06-25 Detroit Shock W 71-67 1503.83 1565.16 51.97% 48.03% +5.60 7-7
2004-06-27 @ Detroit Shock W 74-72 1509.43 1559.56 32.73% 67.27% +5.55 8-7
2004-06-30 Washington Mystics W 78-69 1514.98 1437.36 70.66% 29.34% +5.13 9-7
2004-07-06 Indiana Fever W 79-77 1520.11 1503.13 62.94% 37.06% +3.06 10-7
2004-07-09 Sacramento Monarchs L 70-85 1523.17 1504.59 63.15% 36.85% -14.26 10-8
2004-07-11 @ Indiana Fever W 65-61 1508.91 1503.02 40.18% 59.82% +6.97 11-8
2004-07-14 @ Minnesota Lynx L 63-66 1515.88 1481.64 44.16% 55.84% -4.46 11-9
2004-07-15 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 67-78 1511.42 1406.67 54.27% 45.73% -10.49 11-10
2004-07-17 @ Houston Comets L 56-72 1500.93 1504.69 38.85% 61.15% -9.06 11-11
2004-07-21 @ Detroit Shock W 78-68 1491.87 1519.14 35.69% 64.31% +11.86 12-11
2004-07-22 Minnesota Lynx L 52-68 1503.73 1497.87 61.43% 38.57% -14.33 12-12
2004-07-24 San Antonio Silver Stars W 69-55 1489.40 1402.43 71.76% 28.24% +6.16 13-12
2004-07-30 @ Washington Mystics L 68-69 1495.56 1438.16 47.47% 52.53% -2.77 13-13
2004-07-31 @ New York Liberty L 66-80 1492.79 1490.75 39.65% 60.35% -8.65 13-14
2004-09-01 @ Charlotte Sting L 55-62 1484.14 1478.49 40.15% 59.85% -6.19 13-15
2004-09-03 New York Liberty W 61-43 1477.95 1503.76 57.04% 42.96% +10.63 14-15
2004-09-10 @ New York Liberty W 77-66 1488.58 1483.55 40.06% 59.94% +11.59 15-15
2004-09-12 Seattle Storm W 71-64 1500.17 1561.87 51.92% 48.08% +7.41 16-15
2004-09-15 @ Charlotte Sting W 81-67 1507.58 1492.59 41.45% 58.55% +12.78 17-15
2004-09-17 New York Liberty L 66-69 1520.36 1473.49 66.86% 33.14% -6.75 17-16
2004-09-19 Indiana Fever W 80-60 1513.61 1468.34 66.65% 33.35% +8.69 18-16
2004-05-22 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 73-60 1548.19 1470.80 50.34% 49.66% +10.44 1-0
2004-05-26 @ New York Liberty L 52-64 1558.63 1496.44 48.15% 51.85% -9.72 1-1
2004-05-29 Los Angeles Sparks L 60-63 1548.91 1530.31 63.16% 36.84% -6.38 1-2
2004-06-02 Washington Mystics L 63-65 1542.53 1434.65 74.13% 25.87% -6.11 1-3
2004-06-06 @ Connecticut Sun W 74-73 1536.42 1509.50 43.12% 56.88% +3.31 2-3
2004-06-09 @ Indiana Fever W 83-79 1539.73 1502.77 44.54% 55.46% +6.47 3-3
2004-06-11 @ Washington Mystics W 74-60 1546.20 1431.63 55.67% 44.33% +9.67 4-3
2004-06-12 Indiana Fever W 72-68 1555.87 1504.07 67.48% 32.52% +3.79 5-3
2004-06-19 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 84-74 1559.66 1506.44 46.87% 53.13% +9.80 6-3
2004-06-22 Washington Mystics L 72-78 1569.46 1430.06 77.46% 22.54% -11.06 6-4
2004-06-23 @ Charlotte Sting W 65-60 1558.40 1496.48 48.11% 51.89% +6.76 7-4
2004-06-25 @ Connecticut Sun L 67-71 1565.16 1503.83 48.03% 51.97% -5.60 7-5
2004-06-27 Connecticut Sun L 72-74 1559.56 1509.43 67.27% 32.73% -5.55 7-6
2004-06-29 Indiana Fever L 68-69 1554.01 1503.59 67.31% 32.69% -3.92 7-7
2004-07-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 70-78 1550.09 1464.32 51.55% 48.45% -8.50 7-8
2004-07-06 Houston Comets W 82-63 1541.59 1508.78 65.04% 34.96% +8.88 8-8
2004-07-10 Seattle Storm W 70-65 1550.47 1555.77 59.90% 40.10% +5.23 9-8
2004-07-12 Sacramento Monarchs L 51-67 1555.70 1510.41 66.66% 33.34% -15.54 9-9
2004-07-15 @ Houston Comets L 61-97 1540.16 1488.37 46.66% 53.34% -16.32 9-10
2004-07-16 @ Indiana Fever L 73-85 1523.84 1502.51 42.33% 57.67% -8.55 9-11
2004-07-18 San Antonio Silver Stars W 77-71 1515.29 1417.16 73.04% 26.96% +3.85 10-11
2004-07-21 Connecticut Sun L 68-78 1519.14 1491.87 64.31% 35.69% -11.86 10-12
2004-07-23 Charlotte Sting W 63-53 1507.28 1473.13 65.21% 34.79% +6.41 11-12
2004-07-24 @ New York Liberty L 69-78 1513.69 1489.75 42.70% 57.30% -7.47 11-13
2004-07-28 @ Washington Mystics W 73-65 1506.22 1446.77 47.76% 52.24% +8.62 12-13
2004-07-30 New York Liberty W 88-79 1514.84 1497.22 63.03% 36.97% +6.47 13-13
2004-08-01 Minnesota Lynx L 58-59 1521.31 1499.77 63.55% 36.45% -3.71 13-14
2004-09-01 Phoenix Mercury L 58-63 1517.60 1483.47 65.21% 34.79% -8.50 13-15
2004-09-04 @ Charlotte Sting W 66-58 1509.10 1480.32 43.38% 56.62% +9.34 14-15
2004-09-08 @ Seattle Storm L 67-86 1518.44 1558.21 34.05% 65.95% -8.66 14-16
2004-09-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 63-81 1509.78 1593.54 28.62% 71.38% -7.08 14-17
2004-09-11 @ Phoenix Mercury W 80-72 1502.70 1523.17 36.59% 63.41% +10.46 15-17
2004-09-14 New York Liberty W 82-71 1513.16 1474.35 65.82% 34.18% +6.61 16-17
2004-09-19 Charlotte Sting W 68-54 1519.77 1466.92 67.62% 32.38% +7.06 17-17
2004-05-20 San Antonio Silver Stars L 55-64 1534.00 1458.49 70.40% 29.60% -12.31 0-1
2004-05-21 @ Charlotte Sting W 60-53 1521.69 1494.71 43.13% 56.87% +8.77 1-1
2004-05-23 @ New York Liberty L 62-68 1530.46 1490.01 45.04% 54.96% -6.43 1-2
2004-05-25 @ Connecticut Sun W 68-57 1524.03 1496.32 43.23% 56.77% +10.98 2-2
2004-05-30 Sacramento Monarchs W 63-57 1535.01 1513.02 63.61% 36.39% +5.19 3-2
2004-06-01 @ Phoenix Mercury L 63-73 1540.20 1460.74 50.64% 49.36% -9.33 3-3
2004-06-03 New York Liberty L 62-71 1530.87 1523.99 61.57% 38.43% -10.77 3-4
2004-06-05 Los Angeles Sparks W 75-71 1520.10 1529.90 59.28% 40.72% +4.75 4-4
2004-06-09 San Antonio Silver Stars W 59-47 1524.85 1449.91 70.33% 29.67% +5.99 5-4
2004-06-12 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 69-66 1530.84 1443.92 51.71% 48.29% +4.87 6-4
2004-06-18 Seattle Storm L 63-69 1535.71 1554.06 58.09% 41.91% -8.29 6-5
2004-06-19 @ Minnesota Lynx L 58-66 1527.42 1482.69 45.65% 54.35% -7.53 6-6
2004-06-22 @ Seattle Storm W 63-57 1519.89 1571.05 32.60% 67.40% +9.63 7-6
2004-06-25 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 55-61 1529.52 1496.64 43.96% 56.04% -6.28 7-7
2004-06-27 Washington Mystics W 72-67 1523.24 1441.12 71.19% 28.81% +3.75 8-7
2004-06-30 @ Minnesota Lynx L 50-58 1526.99 1456.17 49.39% 50.61% -8.14 8-8
2004-07-03 Charlotte Sting L 55-62 1518.85 1484.10 65.29% 34.71% -10.07 8-9
2004-07-06 @ Detroit Shock L 63-82 1508.78 1541.59 34.96% 65.04% -8.89 8-10
2004-07-10 Los Angeles Sparks L 56-59 1499.89 1574.19 50.10% 49.90% -5.06 8-11
2004-07-14 @ Indiana Fever L 62-70 1494.83 1496.05 39.20% 60.80% -6.46 8-12
2004-07-15 Detroit Shock W 97-61 1488.37 1540.16 53.34% 46.66% +16.32 9-12
2004-07-17 Connecticut Sun W 72-56 1504.69 1500.93 61.15% 38.85% +9.06 10-12
2004-07-23 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 67-70 1513.75 1584.12 30.22% 69.78% -3.05 10-13
2004-07-24 @ Seattle Storm L 63-67 1510.70 1567.84 31.85% 68.15% -3.71 10-14
2004-07-27 Seattle Storm W 80-55 1506.99 1571.55 51.51% 48.49% +14.13 11-14
2004-07-31 Indiana Fever W 62-54 1521.12 1470.08 67.39% 32.61% +5.38 12-14
2004-09-01 Minnesota Lynx L 64-72 1526.50 1503.47 63.75% 36.25% -10.51 12-15
2004-09-03 Phoenix Mercury L 60-70 1515.99 1491.97 63.88% 36.12% -11.78 12-16
2004-09-09 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-77 1504.21 1365.58 59.05% 40.95% -7.70 12-17
2004-09-12 @ Washington Mystics L 63-75 1496.51 1445.33 46.57% 53.43% -9.40 12-18
2004-09-14 Minnesota Lynx W 70-59 1487.11 1492.97 59.82% 40.18% +7.77 13-18
2004-09-16 Sacramento Monarchs L 62-71 1494.88 1532.69 55.34% 44.66% -9.68 13-19
2004-09-18 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 48-68 1485.20 1542.37 31.84% 68.16% -8.30 13-20
2004-09-19 @ Phoenix Mercury L 64-78 1476.90 1489.63 37.63% 62.37% -8.21 13-21
2004-05-21 New York Liberty W 69-67 1490.77 1493.29 60.29% 39.71% +3.27 1-0
2004-05-23 Washington Mystics L 67-68 1494.04 1448.80 66.65% 33.35% -3.88 1-1
2004-05-28 @ Charlotte Sting L 41-63 1490.16 1491.62 39.17% 60.83% -10.71 1-2
2004-06-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 79-60 1479.45 1477.58 39.62% 60.38% +15.34 2-2
2004-06-05 Charlotte Sting W 70-57 1494.79 1484.59 62.03% 37.97% +7.98 3-2
2004-06-09 Detroit Shock L 79-83 1502.77 1539.73 55.46% 44.54% -6.47 3-3
2004-06-11 @ New York Liberty W 72-68 1496.30 1541.22 33.39% 66.61% +7.77 4-3
2004-06-12 @ Detroit Shock L 68-72 1504.07 1555.87 32.52% 67.48% -3.79 4-4
2004-06-16 Sacramento Monarchs W 63-50 1500.28 1503.67 60.17% 39.83% +8.37 5-4
2004-06-19 New York Liberty W 70-65 1508.65 1511.90 60.19% 39.81% +5.19 6-4
2004-06-22 Connecticut Sun L 58-63 1513.84 1495.61 63.11% 36.89% -8.22 6-5
2004-06-25 Los Angeles Sparks W 71-67 1505.62 1553.67 53.87% 46.13% +5.37 7-5
2004-06-26 @ Charlotte Sting L 37-46 1510.99 1489.72 42.33% 57.67% -7.40 7-6
2004-06-29 @ Detroit Shock W 69-68 1503.59 1554.01 32.69% 67.31% +3.93 8-6
2004-07-01 @ Washington Mystics L 64-69 1507.52 1432.23 50.04% 49.96% -6.53 8-7
2004-07-03 Phoenix Mercury W 61-60 1500.99 1481.64 63.26% 36.74% +2.14 9-7
2004-07-06 @ Connecticut Sun L 77-79 1503.13 1520.11 37.06% 62.94% -3.05 9-8
2004-07-08 Minnesota Lynx W 58-56 1500.08 1472.82 64.31% 35.69% +2.94 10-8
2004-07-11 Connecticut Sun L 61-65 1503.02 1508.91 59.82% 40.18% -6.97 10-9
2004-07-14 Houston Comets W 70-62 1496.05 1494.83 60.80% 39.20% +6.46 11-9
2004-07-16 Detroit Shock W 85-73 1502.51 1523.84 57.67% 42.33% +8.55 12-9
2004-07-19 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 51-82 1511.06 1567.29 31.96% 68.04% -10.37 12-10
2004-07-22 @ Seattle Storm L 54-59 1500.69 1563.78 31.11% 68.89% -4.06 12-11
2004-07-24 @ Phoenix Mercury L 56-71 1496.63 1478.08 41.94% 58.06% -9.47 12-12
2004-07-25 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 62-71 1487.16 1532.16 33.38% 66.62% -5.84 12-13
2004-07-28 Charlotte Sting L 53-63 1481.32 1478.74 60.99% 39.01% -11.24 12-14
2004-07-31 @ Houston Comets L 54-62 1470.08 1521.12 32.61% 67.39% -5.38 12-15
2004-09-01 @ Washington Mystics W 75-58 1464.70 1453.20 40.96% 59.04% +14.19 13-15
2004-09-03 @ Minnesota Lynx W 69-61 1478.89 1513.98 34.66% 65.34% +10.78 14-15
2004-09-04 Washington Mystics W 69-42 1489.67 1439.01 67.34% 32.66% +9.89 15-15
2004-09-10 San Antonio Silver Stars L 65-82 1499.56 1373.27 76.11% 23.89% -18.30 15-16
2004-09-13 Seattle Storm L 70-76 1481.26 1554.45 50.27% 49.73% -7.17 15-17
2004-09-16 @ New York Liberty L 71-77 1474.09 1467.74 40.24% 59.76% -5.75 15-18
2004-09-19 @ Connecticut Sun L 60-80 1468.34 1513.61 33.35% 66.65% -8.69 15-19
2004-05-22 @ Seattle Storm L 67-93 1539.45 1517.11 42.47% 57.53% -12.63 0-1
2004-05-25 @ Washington Mystics W 95-79 1526.82 1452.69 49.87% 50.13% +11.69 1-1
2004-05-27 @ Connecticut Sun L 73-82 1538.51 1485.34 46.86% 53.14% -8.20 1-2
2004-05-29 @ Detroit Shock W 63-60 1530.31 1548.91 36.84% 63.16% +6.38 2-2
2004-06-01 Seattle Storm W 73-70 1536.69 1521.44 62.71% 37.29% +3.77 3-2
2004-06-03 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 51-68 1540.46 1507.83 43.93% 56.07% -10.56 3-3
2004-06-05 @ Houston Comets L 71-75 1529.90 1520.10 40.72% 59.28% -4.75 3-4
2004-06-09 Charlotte Sting W 82-68 1525.15 1476.61 67.07% 32.93% +7.18 4-4
2004-06-11 Minnesota Lynx W 69-55 1532.33 1501.52 64.78% 35.22% +7.69 5-4
2004-06-14 Connecticut Sun W 76-74 1540.02 1500.65 65.89% 34.11% +2.81 6-4
2004-06-18 @ Phoenix Mercury W 76-74 1542.83 1455.34 51.79% 48.21% +3.97 7-4
2004-06-20 @ Charlotte Sting L 63-68 1546.80 1490.31 47.33% 52.67% -6.17 7-5
2004-06-22 @ New York Liberty W 65-49 1540.63 1506.71 44.11% 55.89% +13.04 8-5
2004-06-25 @ Indiana Fever L 67-71 1553.67 1505.62 46.13% 53.87% -5.38 8-6
2004-06-27 @ Minnesota Lynx W 83-67 1548.29 1467.65 50.81% 49.19% +11.47 9-6
2004-06-29 New York Liberty W 69-65 1559.76 1494.08 69.21% 30.79% +3.59 10-6
2004-07-02 San Antonio Silver Stars W 87-80 1563.35 1420.46 77.81% 22.19% +3.42 11-6
2004-07-07 Phoenix Mercury W 73-71 1566.77 1479.50 71.79% 28.21% +2.33 12-6
2004-07-09 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-61 1569.10 1417.04 60.91% 39.09% +5.09 13-6
2004-07-10 @ Houston Comets W 59-56 1574.19 1499.89 49.90% 50.10% +5.06 14-6
2004-07-17 Sacramento Monarchs L 70-79 1579.25 1520.25 68.39% 31.61% -11.96 14-7
2004-07-19 Indiana Fever W 82-51 1567.29 1511.06 68.04% 31.96% +10.38 15-7
2004-07-21 Washington Mystics W 96-76 1577.67 1459.69 75.23% 24.77% +6.45 16-7
2004-07-23 Houston Comets W 70-67 1584.12 1513.75 69.78% 30.22% +3.06 17-7
2004-07-29 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 85-80 1587.18 1538.00 46.29% 53.71% +7.00 18-7
2004-07-31 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 79-67 1594.18 1382.69 68.69% 31.31% +6.32 19-7
2004-09-01 San Antonio Silver Stars W 77-69 1600.50 1376.37 84.84% 15.16% +2.50 20-7
2004-09-03 Seattle Storm W 82-81 1603.00 1568.17 65.30% 34.70% +2.02 21-7
2004-09-08 @ Phoenix Mercury L 58-72 1605.02 1511.69 52.63% 47.37% -11.48 21-8
2004-09-09 Detroit Shock W 81-63 1593.54 1509.78 71.38% 28.62% +7.08 22-8
2004-09-12 Sacramento Monarchs W 65-52 1600.62 1539.27 68.68% 31.32% +6.59 23-8
2004-09-14 Phoenix Mercury W 73-60 1607.21 1512.72 72.63% 27.37% +5.75 24-8
2004-09-17 Minnesota Lynx L 66-78 1612.96 1485.20 76.27% 23.73% -15.40 24-9
2004-09-18 @ Seattle Storm W 83-80 1597.56 1568.89 43.37% 56.63% +5.72 25-9
2004-05-20 @ Seattle Storm L 85-88 1492.31 1513.43 36.51% 63.49% -3.69 0-1
2004-05-22 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 69-61 1488.62 1532.14 33.57% 66.43% +10.96 1-1
2004-05-26 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 44-56 1499.58 1460.36 44.86% 55.14% -9.06 1-2
2004-05-28 Washington Mystics W 73-62 1490.52 1441.00 67.19% 32.81% +6.34 2-2
2004-05-30 New York Liberty L 64-68 1496.86 1506.17 59.35% 40.65% -6.92 2-3
2004-06-03 San Antonio Silver Stars W 55-47 1489.94 1462.24 64.37% 35.63% +5.88 3-3
2004-06-05 Phoenix Mercury W 76-68 1495.82 1460.06 65.42% 34.58% +5.70 4-3
2004-06-11 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 55-69 1501.52 1532.33 35.22% 64.78% -7.69 4-4
2004-06-17 Sacramento Monarchs L 50-60 1493.83 1495.29 60.43% 39.57% -11.14 4-5
2004-06-19 Houston Comets W 66-58 1482.69 1527.42 54.35% 45.65% +7.53 5-5
2004-06-22 @ Phoenix Mercury L 46-69 1490.22 1451.36 44.81% 55.19% -12.53 5-6
2004-06-24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 57-70 1477.69 1418.05 47.79% 52.21% -10.04 5-7
2004-06-27 Los Angeles Sparks L 67-83 1467.65 1548.29 49.19% 50.81% -11.48 5-8
2004-06-30 Houston Comets W 58-50 1456.17 1526.99 50.61% 49.39% +8.15 6-8
2004-07-03 Detroit Shock W 78-70 1464.32 1550.09 48.45% 51.55% +8.50 7-8
2004-07-08 @ Indiana Fever L 56-58 1472.82 1500.08 35.69% 64.31% -2.94 7-9
2004-07-09 Phoenix Mercury W 61-59 1469.88 1477.17 59.63% 40.37% +3.32 8-9
2004-07-11 Sacramento Monarchs W 83-73 1473.20 1518.85 54.22% 45.78% +8.44 9-9
2004-07-14 Connecticut Sun W 66-63 1481.64 1515.88 55.84% 44.16% +4.46 10-9
2004-07-15 @ New York Liberty W 69-66 1486.10 1476.91 40.64% 59.36% +6.00 11-9
2004-07-18 @ Phoenix Mercury W 63-60 1492.10 1467.27 42.83% 57.17% +5.77 12-9
2004-07-22 @ Connecticut Sun W 68-52 1497.87 1503.73 38.57% 61.43% +14.33 13-9
2004-07-23 @ Washington Mystics L 61-65 1512.20 1453.23 47.69% 52.31% -5.56 13-10
2004-07-28 San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-53 1506.64 1396.27 74.41% 25.59% +5.38 14-10
2004-07-30 Seattle Storm L 55-70 1512.02 1557.41 54.25% 45.75% -12.25 14-11
2004-08-01 @ Detroit Shock W 59-58 1499.77 1521.31 36.45% 63.55% +3.70 15-11
2004-09-01 @ Houston Comets W 72-64 1503.47 1526.50 36.25% 63.75% +10.51 16-11
2004-09-03 Indiana Fever L 61-69 1513.98 1478.89 65.34% 34.66% -10.77 16-12
2004-09-08 Charlotte Sting L 68-72 1503.21 1470.99 64.96% 35.04% -7.58 16-13
2004-09-10 Seattle Storm W 64-61 1495.63 1566.86 50.55% 49.45% +5.00 17-13
2004-09-11 @ Charlotte Sting L 50-60 1500.63 1484.93 41.54% 58.46% -7.66 17-14
2004-09-14 @ Houston Comets L 59-70 1492.97 1487.11 40.18% 59.82% -7.77 17-15
2004-09-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 78-66 1485.20 1612.96 23.73% 76.27% +15.40 18-15
2004-09-19 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 63-72 1500.60 1550.67 32.74% 67.26% -5.72 18-16
2004-05-21 @ Indiana Fever L 67-69 1493.29 1490.77 39.71% 60.29% -3.28 0-1
2004-05-23 Houston Comets W 68-62 1490.01 1530.46 54.96% 45.04% +6.43 1-1
2004-05-26 Detroit Shock W 64-52 1496.44 1558.63 51.85% 48.15% +9.73 2-1
2004-05-30 @ Minnesota Lynx W 68-64 1506.17 1496.86 40.65% 59.35% +6.92 3-1
2004-06-01 @ Charlotte Sting W 63-53 1513.09 1502.33 40.86% 59.14% +10.90 4-1
2004-06-03 @ Houston Comets W 71-62 1523.99 1530.87 38.43% 61.57% +10.77 5-1
2004-06-05 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 62-57 1534.76 1456.36 50.48% 49.52% +6.46 6-1
2004-06-11 Indiana Fever L 68-72 1541.22 1496.30 66.61% 33.39% -7.77 6-2
2004-06-13 @ Washington Mystics L 60-62 1533.45 1421.96 55.23% 44.77% -4.55 6-3
2004-06-15 Seattle Storm L 62-86 1528.90 1537.06 59.51% 40.49% -17.00 6-4
2004-06-19 @ Indiana Fever L 65-70 1511.90 1508.65 39.81% 60.19% -5.19 6-5
2004-06-22 Los Angeles Sparks L 49-65 1506.71 1540.63 55.89% 44.11% -13.03 6-6
2004-06-24 @ Phoenix Mercury L 60-72 1493.68 1463.89 43.53% 56.47% -8.79 6-7
2004-06-26 @ Seattle Storm W 67-62 1484.89 1561.42 29.47% 70.53% +9.19 7-7
2004-06-29 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 65-69 1494.08 1559.76 30.79% 69.21% -3.59 7-8
2004-07-01 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 47-73 1490.49 1507.76 37.02% 62.98% -11.00 7-9
2004-07-06 Sacramento Monarchs W 73-66 1479.49 1511.35 56.18% 43.82% +6.76 8-9
2004-07-08 Washington Mystics L 54-71 1486.25 1444.56 66.19% 33.81% -15.92 8-10
2004-07-11 Phoenix Mercury W 77-69 1470.33 1473.84 60.15% 39.85% +6.58 9-10
2004-07-15 Minnesota Lynx L 66-69 1476.91 1486.10 59.36% 40.64% -6.00 9-11
2004-07-18 Charlotte Sting W 75-58 1470.91 1491.97 57.70% 42.30% +10.17 10-11
2004-07-20 @ Charlotte Sting W 80-74 1481.08 1481.81 39.27% 60.73% +8.67 11-11
2004-07-24 Detroit Shock W 78-69 1489.75 1513.69 57.30% 42.70% +7.47 12-11
2004-07-30 @ Detroit Shock L 79-88 1497.22 1514.84 36.97% 63.03% -6.47 12-12
2004-07-31 Connecticut Sun W 80-66 1490.75 1492.79 60.35% 39.65% +8.65 13-12
2004-09-02 Charlotte Sting W 56-52 1499.40 1484.68 62.64% 37.36% +4.36 14-12
2004-09-03 @ Connecticut Sun L 43-61 1503.76 1477.95 42.96% 57.04% -10.63 14-13
2004-09-09 @ Washington Mystics L 59-71 1493.13 1435.75 47.46% 52.54% -9.58 14-14
2004-09-10 Connecticut Sun L 66-77 1483.55 1488.58 59.94% 40.06% -11.59 14-15
2004-09-12 San Antonio Silver Stars W 64-62 1471.96 1391.57 70.98% 29.02% +2.39 15-15
2004-09-14 @ Detroit Shock L 71-82 1474.35 1513.16 34.18% 65.82% -6.61 15-16
2004-09-16 Indiana Fever W 77-71 1467.74 1474.09 59.76% 40.24% +5.75 16-16
2004-09-17 @ Connecticut Sun W 69-66 1473.49 1520.36 33.14% 66.86% +6.75 17-16
2004-09-19 Washington Mystics W 79-75 1480.24 1474.75 61.38% 38.62% +4.50 18-16
2004-05-20 Sacramento Monarchs L 66-72 1448.89 1525.02 49.84% 50.16% -7.12 0-1
2004-05-22 @ Connecticut Sun W 65-58 1441.77 1506.98 30.85% 69.15% +10.67 1-1
2004-05-28 Seattle Storm W 84-76 1452.44 1529.74 49.67% 50.33% +8.30 2-1
2004-06-01 Houston Comets W 73-63 1460.74 1540.20 49.36% 50.64% +9.33 3-1
2004-06-03 @ Seattle Storm L 45-72 1470.07 1517.67 33.05% 66.95% -10.01 3-2
2004-06-05 @ Minnesota Lynx L 68-76 1460.06 1495.82 34.58% 65.42% -5.70 3-3
2004-06-09 Connecticut Sun W 75-59 1454.36 1506.19 53.33% 46.67% +10.88 4-3
2004-06-11 Charlotte Sting L 51-59 1465.24 1469.42 60.06% 39.94% -9.90 4-4
2004-06-18 Los Angeles Sparks L 74-76 1455.34 1542.83 48.21% 51.79% -3.98 4-5
2004-06-22 Minnesota Lynx W 69-46 1451.36 1490.22 55.19% 44.81% +12.53 5-5
2004-06-24 New York Liberty W 72-60 1463.89 1493.68 56.47% 43.53% +8.79 6-5
2004-06-26 San Antonio Silver Stars L 72-80 1472.68 1428.10 66.57% 33.43% -10.97 6-6
2004-06-27 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 57-63 1461.71 1502.92 33.87% 66.13% -4.84 6-7
2004-06-29 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 77-65 1456.87 1439.07 41.84% 58.16% +11.75 7-7
2004-07-01 @ Charlotte Sting W 71-59 1468.62 1497.12 35.53% 64.47% +13.02 8-7
2004-07-03 @ Indiana Fever L 60-61 1481.64 1500.99 36.74% 63.26% -2.14 8-8
2004-07-07 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 71-73 1479.50 1566.77 28.21% 71.79% -2.33 8-9
2004-07-09 @ Minnesota Lynx L 59-61 1477.17 1469.88 40.37% 59.63% -3.33 8-10
2004-07-11 @ New York Liberty L 69-77 1473.84 1470.33 39.85% 60.15% -6.57 8-11
2004-07-18 Minnesota Lynx L 60-63 1467.27 1492.10 57.17% 42.83% -5.77 8-12
2004-07-21 San Antonio Silver Stars W 87-55 1461.50 1413.31 67.02% 32.98% +10.87 9-12
2004-07-22 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 71-69 1472.37 1537.86 30.81% 69.19% +5.71 10-12
2004-07-24 Indiana Fever W 71-56 1478.08 1496.63 58.06% 41.94% +9.47 11-12
2004-07-30 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 68-59 1487.55 1390.89 53.11% 46.89% +8.20 12-12
2004-08-01 @ Washington Mystics L 62-82 1495.75 1440.92 47.10% 52.90% -12.28 12-13
2004-09-01 @ Detroit Shock W 63-58 1483.47 1517.60 34.79% 65.21% +8.50 13-13
2004-09-03 @ Houston Comets W 70-60 1491.97 1515.99 36.12% 63.88% +11.78 14-13
2004-09-04 Seattle Storm W 63-55 1503.75 1566.15 51.82% 48.18% +7.94 15-13
2004-09-08 Los Angeles Sparks W 72-58 1511.69 1605.02 47.37% 52.63% +11.48 16-13
2004-09-11 Detroit Shock L 72-80 1523.17 1502.70 63.41% 36.59% -10.45 16-14
2004-09-14 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 60-73 1512.72 1607.21 27.37% 72.63% -5.76 16-15
2004-09-15 @ Seattle Storm L 58-73 1506.96 1561.63 32.16% 67.84% -7.26 16-16
2004-09-17 Washington Mystics L 67-74 1499.70 1464.67 65.33% 34.67% -10.07 16-17
2004-09-19 Houston Comets W 78-64 1489.63 1476.90 62.37% 37.63% +8.21 17-17
2004-05-20 @ Phoenix Mercury W 72-66 1525.02 1448.89 50.16% 49.84% +7.12 1-0
2004-05-22 Minnesota Lynx L 61-69 1532.14 1488.62 66.43% 33.57% -10.96 1-1
2004-05-28 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 63-72 1521.18 1469.42 46.66% 53.34% -8.16 1-2
2004-05-30 @ Houston Comets L 57-63 1513.02 1535.01 36.39% 63.61% -5.19 1-3
2004-06-03 Los Angeles Sparks W 68-51 1507.83 1540.46 56.07% 43.93% +10.56 2-3
2004-06-05 Seattle Storm L 63-65 1518.39 1527.69 59.35% 40.65% -4.90 2-4
2004-06-12 Connecticut Sun L 76-83 1513.49 1490.82 63.70% 36.30% -9.82 2-5
2004-06-16 @ Indiana Fever L 50-63 1503.67 1500.28 39.83% 60.17% -8.38 2-6
2004-06-17 @ Minnesota Lynx W 60-50 1495.29 1493.83 39.57% 60.43% +11.15 3-6
2004-06-19 Detroit Shock L 74-84 1506.44 1559.66 53.13% 46.87% -9.80 3-7
2004-06-25 Houston Comets W 61-55 1496.64 1529.52 56.04% 43.96% +6.28 4-7
2004-06-27 Phoenix Mercury W 63-57 1502.92 1461.71 66.13% 33.87% +4.84 5-7
2004-07-01 New York Liberty W 73-47 1507.76 1490.49 62.98% 37.02% +11.00 6-7
2004-07-03 @ Seattle Storm L 61-75 1518.76 1559.09 33.98% 66.02% -7.41 6-8
2004-07-06 @ New York Liberty L 66-73 1511.35 1479.49 43.82% 56.18% -6.76 6-9
2004-07-09 @ Connecticut Sun W 85-70 1504.59 1523.17 36.85% 63.15% +14.26 7-9
2004-07-11 @ Minnesota Lynx L 73-83 1518.85 1473.20 45.78% 54.22% -8.44 7-10
2004-07-12 @ Detroit Shock W 67-51 1510.41 1555.70 33.34% 66.66% +15.54 8-10
2004-07-15 Seattle Storm L 63-66 1525.95 1555.82 56.46% 43.54% -5.70 8-11
2004-07-17 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 79-70 1520.25 1579.25 31.61% 68.39% +11.96 9-11
2004-07-18 Washington Mystics W 81-71 1532.21 1465.33 69.36% 30.64% +5.65 10-11
2004-07-22 Phoenix Mercury L 69-71 1537.86 1472.37 69.19% 30.81% -5.70 10-12
2004-07-25 Indiana Fever W 71-62 1532.16 1487.16 66.62% 33.38% +5.84 11-12
2004-07-29 Los Angeles Sparks L 80-85 1538.00 1587.18 53.71% 46.29% -7.01 11-13
2004-07-31 Charlotte Sting W 62-61 1530.99 1489.98 66.11% 33.89% +1.98 12-13
2004-09-01 @ Seattle Storm W 73-65 1532.97 1579.18 33.23% 66.77% +11.01 13-13
2004-09-02 San Antonio Silver Stars W 66-64 1543.98 1373.87 80.39% 19.61% +1.62 14-13
2004-09-04 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 80-70 1545.60 1372.25 63.78% 36.22% +6.67 15-13
2004-09-07 @ Washington Mystics L 63-67 1552.27 1429.11 56.88% 43.12% -6.63 15-14
2004-09-09 @ Charlotte Sting L 69-74 1545.64 1478.56 48.86% 51.14% -6.37 15-15
2004-09-12 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 52-65 1539.27 1600.62 31.32% 68.68% -6.58 15-16
2004-09-16 @ Houston Comets W 71-62 1532.69 1494.88 44.66% 55.34% +9.68 16-16
2004-09-18 Houston Comets W 68-48 1542.37 1485.20 68.16% 31.84% +8.30 17-16
2004-09-19 Minnesota Lynx W 72-63 1550.67 1500.60 67.26% 32.74% +5.72 18-16
2004-05-20 @ Houston Comets W 64-55 1458.49 1534.00 29.60% 70.40% +12.31 1-0
2004-05-22 Detroit Shock L 60-73 1470.80 1548.19 49.66% 50.34% -10.44 1-1
2004-05-26 Minnesota Lynx W 56-44 1460.36 1499.58 55.14% 44.86% +9.06 2-1
2004-05-28 Sacramento Monarchs W 72-63 1469.42 1521.18 53.34% 46.66% +8.16 3-1
2004-06-01 Indiana Fever L 60-79 1477.58 1479.45 60.38% 39.62% -15.34 3-2
2004-06-03 @ Minnesota Lynx L 47-55 1462.24 1489.94 35.63% 64.37% -5.88 3-3
2004-06-05 New York Liberty L 57-62 1456.36 1534.76 49.52% 50.48% -6.45 3-4
2004-06-09 @ Houston Comets L 47-59 1449.91 1524.85 29.67% 70.33% -5.99 3-5
2004-06-12 Houston Comets L 66-69 1443.92 1530.84 48.29% 51.71% -4.88 3-6
2004-06-15 @ Charlotte Sting L 57-59 1439.04 1479.33 33.99% 66.01% -2.80 3-7
2004-06-17 @ Washington Mystics L 60-76 1436.24 1426.51 40.71% 59.29% -9.49 3-8
2004-06-19 Seattle Storm L 61-74 1426.75 1562.35 41.37% 58.63% -8.70 3-9
2004-06-24 Minnesota Lynx W 70-57 1418.05 1477.69 52.21% 47.79% +10.05 4-9
2004-06-26 @ Phoenix Mercury W 80-72 1428.10 1472.68 33.43% 66.57% +10.97 5-9
2004-06-29 Phoenix Mercury L 65-77 1439.07 1456.87 58.16% 41.84% -11.74 5-10
2004-07-01 @ Seattle Storm L 52-76 1427.33 1552.23 24.03% 75.97% -6.87 5-11
2004-07-02 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 80-87 1420.46 1563.35 22.19% 77.81% -3.42 5-12
2004-07-09 Los Angeles Sparks L 61-66 1417.04 1569.10 39.09% 60.91% -5.10 5-13
2004-07-12 @ Seattle Storm L 59-75 1411.94 1550.54 22.62% 77.38% -5.27 5-14
2004-07-15 Connecticut Sun W 78-67 1406.67 1511.42 45.73% 54.27% +10.49 6-14
2004-07-18 @ Detroit Shock L 71-77 1417.16 1515.29 26.96% 73.04% -3.85 6-15
2004-07-21 @ Phoenix Mercury L 55-87 1413.31 1461.50 32.98% 67.02% -10.88 6-16
2004-07-24 @ Connecticut Sun L 55-69 1402.43 1489.40 28.24% 71.76% -6.16 6-17
2004-07-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 53-66 1396.27 1506.64 25.59% 74.41% -5.38 6-18
2004-07-30 Phoenix Mercury L 59-68 1390.89 1487.55 46.89% 53.11% -8.20 6-19
2004-07-31 Los Angeles Sparks L 67-79 1382.69 1594.18 31.31% 68.69% -6.32 6-20
2004-09-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 69-77 1376.37 1600.50 15.16% 84.84% -2.50 6-21
2004-09-02 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 64-66 1373.87 1543.98 19.61% 80.39% -1.62 6-22
2004-09-04 Sacramento Monarchs L 70-80 1372.25 1545.60 36.22% 63.78% -6.67 6-23
2004-09-09 Houston Comets W 77-72 1365.58 1504.21 40.95% 59.05% +7.69 7-23
2004-09-10 @ Indiana Fever W 82-65 1373.27 1499.56 23.89% 76.11% +18.30 8-23
2004-09-12 @ New York Liberty L 62-64 1391.57 1471.96 29.02% 70.98% -2.39 8-24
2004-09-15 Washington Mystics L 73-84 1389.18 1454.74 51.36% 48.64% -9.93 8-25
2004-09-17 Charlotte Sting W 82-65 1379.25 1479.82 46.33% 53.67% +12.90 9-25
2004-05-20 Minnesota Lynx W 88-85 1513.43 1492.31 63.49% 36.51% +3.68 1-0
2004-05-22 Los Angeles Sparks W 93-67 1517.11 1539.45 57.53% 42.47% +12.63 2-0
2004-05-28 @ Phoenix Mercury L 76-84 1529.74 1452.44 50.33% 49.67% -8.30 2-1
2004-06-01 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 70-73 1521.44 1536.69 37.29% 62.71% -3.77 2-2
2004-06-03 Phoenix Mercury W 72-45 1517.67 1470.07 66.95% 33.05% +10.02 3-2
2004-06-05 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 65-63 1527.69 1518.39 40.65% 59.35% +4.89 4-2
2004-06-11 Connecticut Sun W 68-63 1532.58 1495.30 65.62% 34.38% +4.48 5-2
2004-06-15 @ New York Liberty W 86-62 1537.06 1528.90 40.49% 59.51% +17.00 6-2
2004-06-18 @ Houston Comets W 69-63 1554.06 1535.71 41.91% 58.09% +8.29 7-2
2004-06-19 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 74-61 1562.35 1426.75 58.63% 41.37% +8.70 8-2
2004-06-22 Houston Comets L 57-63 1571.05 1519.89 67.40% 32.60% -9.63 8-3
2004-06-26 New York Liberty L 62-67 1561.42 1484.89 70.53% 29.47% -9.19 8-4
2004-07-01 San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-52 1552.23 1427.33 75.97% 24.03% +6.86 9-4
2004-07-03 Sacramento Monarchs W 75-61 1559.09 1518.76 66.02% 33.98% +7.42 10-4
2004-07-07 @ Washington Mystics L 69-72 1566.51 1438.75 57.53% 42.47% -5.81 10-5
2004-07-08 @ Charlotte Sting L 67-70 1560.70 1494.17 48.78% 51.22% -4.93 10-6
2004-07-10 @ Detroit Shock L 65-70 1555.77 1550.47 40.10% 59.90% -5.23 10-7
2004-07-12 San Antonio Silver Stars W 75-59 1550.54 1411.94 77.38% 22.62% +5.28 11-7
2004-07-15 @ Sacramento Monarchs W 66-63 1555.82 1525.95 43.54% 56.46% +5.70 12-7
2004-07-17 Washington Mystics W 85-83 1561.52 1467.60 72.56% 27.44% +2.26 13-7
2004-07-22 Indiana Fever W 59-54 1563.78 1500.69 68.89% 31.11% +4.06 14-7
2004-07-24 Houston Comets W 67-63 1567.84 1510.70 68.15% 31.85% +3.71 15-7
2004-07-27 @ Houston Comets L 55-80 1571.55 1506.99 48.49% 51.51% -14.14 15-8
2004-07-30 @ Minnesota Lynx W 70-55 1557.41 1512.02 45.75% 54.25% +12.26 16-8
2004-08-01 Charlotte Sting W 87-55 1569.67 1488.01 71.14% 28.86% +9.51 17-8
2004-09-01 Sacramento Monarchs L 65-73 1579.18 1532.97 66.77% 33.23% -11.01 17-9
2004-09-03 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 81-82 1568.17 1603.00 34.70% 65.30% -2.02 17-10
2004-09-04 @ Phoenix Mercury L 55-63 1566.15 1503.75 48.18% 51.82% -7.94 17-11
2004-09-08 Detroit Shock W 86-67 1558.21 1518.44 65.95% 34.05% +8.65 18-11
2004-09-10 @ Minnesota Lynx L 61-64 1566.86 1495.63 49.45% 50.55% -4.99 18-12
2004-09-12 @ Connecticut Sun L 64-71 1561.87 1500.17 48.08% 51.92% -7.42 18-13
2004-09-13 @ Indiana Fever W 76-70 1554.45 1481.26 49.73% 50.27% +7.18 19-13
2004-09-15 Phoenix Mercury W 73-58 1561.63 1506.96 67.84% 32.16% +7.26 20-13
2004-09-18 Los Angeles Sparks L 80-83 1568.89 1597.56 56.63% 43.37% -5.72 20-14
2004-05-22 Charlotte Sting L 68-71 1454.48 1485.94 56.24% 43.76% -5.68 0-1
2004-05-23 @ Indiana Fever W 68-67 1448.80 1494.04 33.35% 66.65% +3.89 1-1
2004-05-25 Los Angeles Sparks L 79-95 1452.69 1526.82 50.13% 49.87% -11.69 1-2
2004-05-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 62-73 1441.00 1490.52 32.81% 67.19% -6.35 1-3
2004-06-02 @ Detroit Shock W 65-63 1434.65 1542.53 25.87% 74.13% +6.12 2-3
2004-06-04 Connecticut Sun L 63-72 1440.77 1500.37 52.22% 47.78% -9.14 2-4
2004-06-11 Detroit Shock L 60-74 1431.63 1546.20 44.33% 55.67% -9.67 2-5
2004-06-13 New York Liberty W 62-60 1421.96 1533.45 44.77% 55.23% +4.55 3-5
2004-06-17 San Antonio Silver Stars W 76-60 1426.51 1436.24 59.29% 40.71% +9.50 4-5
2004-06-20 @ Connecticut Sun L 65-75 1436.01 1489.65 32.28% 67.72% -5.95 4-6
2004-06-22 @ Detroit Shock W 78-72 1430.06 1569.46 22.54% 77.46% +11.06 5-6
2004-06-27 @ Houston Comets L 67-72 1441.12 1523.24 28.81% 71.19% -3.76 5-7
2004-06-30 @ Connecticut Sun L 69-78 1437.36 1514.98 29.34% 70.66% -5.13 5-8
2004-07-01 Indiana Fever W 69-64 1432.23 1507.52 49.96% 50.04% +6.52 6-8
2004-07-07 Seattle Storm W 72-69 1438.75 1566.51 42.47% 57.53% +5.81 7-8
2004-07-08 @ New York Liberty W 71-54 1444.56 1486.25 33.81% 66.19% +15.91 8-8
2004-07-10 @ Charlotte Sting L 65-67 1460.47 1499.10 34.20% 65.80% -2.82 8-9
2004-07-15 Charlotte Sting W 68-54 1457.65 1501.92 54.42% 45.58% +9.95 9-9
2004-07-17 @ Seattle Storm L 83-85 1467.60 1561.52 27.44% 72.56% -2.27 9-10
2004-07-18 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 71-81 1465.33 1532.21 30.64% 69.36% -5.64 9-11
2004-07-21 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 76-96 1459.69 1577.67 24.77% 75.23% -6.46 9-12
2004-07-23 Minnesota Lynx W 65-61 1453.23 1512.20 52.31% 47.69% +5.56 10-12
2004-07-24 @ Charlotte Sting L 41-70 1458.79 1466.72 38.28% 61.72% -12.02 10-13
2004-07-28 Detroit Shock L 65-73 1446.77 1506.22 52.24% 47.76% -8.61 10-14
2004-07-30 Connecticut Sun W 69-68 1438.16 1495.56 52.53% 47.47% +2.76 11-14
2004-08-01 Phoenix Mercury W 82-62 1440.92 1495.75 52.90% 47.10% +12.28 12-14
2004-09-01 Indiana Fever L 58-75 1453.20 1464.70 59.04% 40.96% -14.19 12-15
2004-09-04 @ Indiana Fever L 42-69 1439.01 1489.67 32.66% 67.34% -9.90 12-16
2004-09-07 Sacramento Monarchs W 67-63 1429.11 1552.27 43.12% 56.88% +6.64 13-16
2004-09-09 New York Liberty W 71-59 1435.75 1493.13 52.54% 47.46% +9.58 14-16
2004-09-12 Houston Comets W 75-63 1445.33 1496.51 53.43% 46.57% +9.41 15-16
2004-09-15 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 84-73 1454.74 1389.18 48.64% 51.36% +9.93 16-16
2004-09-17 @ Phoenix Mercury W 74-67 1464.67 1499.70 34.67% 65.33% +10.08 17-16
2004-09-19 @ New York Liberty L 75-79 1474.75 1480.24 38.62% 61.38% -4.51 17-17

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2004-09-25 @ Washington Mystics L 59-67 1522.30 1470.24 46.70% 53.30% -7.70 0-1
2004-09-27 Washington Mystics W 80-70 1514.60 1477.94 65.54% 34.46% +6.35 1-1
2004-09-29 Washington Mystics W 76-56 1520.95 1471.59 67.17% 32.83% +8.56 2-1
2004-10-01 @ New York Liberty W 61-51 1529.51 1491.51 44.69% 55.31% +10.20 3-1
2004-10-03 New York Liberty W 60-57 1539.71 1481.31 68.31% 31.69% +3.20 4-1
2004-10-08 Seattle Storm W 68-64 1542.91 1593.20 53.55% 46.45% +5.41 5-1
2004-10-10 @ Seattle Storm L 65-67 1548.32 1587.78 34.10% 65.90% -2.81 5-2
2004-10-12 @ Seattle Storm L 60-74 1545.51 1590.59 33.37% 66.63% -7.28 5-3
2004-09-24 New York Liberty L 62-75 1526.83 1484.74 66.24% 33.76% -13.92 0-1
2004-09-26 @ New York Liberty W 76-66 1512.91 1498.66 41.34% 58.66% +10.81 1-1
2004-09-28 @ New York Liberty L 64-66 1523.72 1487.85 44.39% 55.61% -3.66 1-2
2004-09-24 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 52-72 1603.28 1556.39 45.96% 54.04% -11.99 0-1
2004-09-26 Sacramento Monarchs W 71-57 1591.29 1568.38 63.73% 36.27% +7.91 1-1
2004-09-28 Sacramento Monarchs L 58-73 1599.20 1560.47 65.81% 34.19% -14.86 1-2
2004-09-25 Seattle Storm L 58-70 1494.88 1563.17 50.97% 49.03% -10.30 0-1
2004-09-27 @ Seattle Storm L 54-64 1484.58 1573.46 28.02% 71.98% -5.16 0-2
2004-09-24 @ Detroit Shock W 75-62 1484.74 1526.83 33.76% 66.24% +13.92 1-0
2004-09-26 Detroit Shock L 66-76 1498.66 1512.91 58.66% 41.34% -10.81 1-1
2004-09-28 Detroit Shock W 66-64 1487.85 1523.72 55.61% 44.39% +3.66 2-1
2004-10-01 Connecticut Sun L 51-61 1491.51 1529.51 55.31% 44.69% -10.20 2-2
2004-10-03 @ Connecticut Sun L 57-60 1481.31 1539.71 31.69% 68.31% -3.20 2-3
2004-09-24 Los Angeles Sparks W 72-52 1556.39 1603.28 54.04% 45.96% +11.99 1-0
2004-09-26 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 57-71 1568.38 1591.29 36.27% 63.73% -7.91 1-1
2004-09-28 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 73-58 1560.47 1599.20 34.19% 65.81% +14.86 2-1
2004-10-01 Seattle Storm W 74-72 1575.33 1578.63 60.18% 39.82% +3.28 3-1
2004-10-03 @ Seattle Storm L 54-66 1578.61 1575.35 39.82% 60.18% -8.04 3-2
2004-10-05 @ Seattle Storm L 62-82 1570.57 1583.39 37.62% 62.38% -9.81 3-3
2004-09-25 @ Minnesota Lynx W 70-58 1563.17 1494.88 49.03% 50.97% +10.29 1-0
2004-09-27 Minnesota Lynx W 64-54 1573.46 1484.58 71.98% 28.02% +5.17 2-0
2004-10-01 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 72-74 1578.63 1575.33 39.82% 60.18% -3.28 2-1
2004-10-03 Sacramento Monarchs W 66-54 1575.35 1578.61 60.18% 39.82% +8.04 3-1
2004-10-05 Sacramento Monarchs W 82-62 1583.39 1570.57 62.38% 37.62% +9.81 4-1
2004-10-08 @ Connecticut Sun L 64-68 1593.20 1542.91 46.45% 53.55% -5.42 4-2
2004-10-10 Connecticut Sun W 67-65 1587.78 1548.32 65.90% 34.10% +2.81 5-2
2004-10-12 Connecticut Sun W 74-60 1590.59 1545.51 66.63% 33.37% +7.28 6-2
2004-09-25 Connecticut Sun W 67-59 1470.24 1522.30 53.30% 46.70% +7.70 1-0
2004-09-27 @ Connecticut Sun L 70-80 1477.94 1514.60 34.46% 65.54% -6.35 1-1
2004-09-29 @ Connecticut Sun L 56-76 1471.59 1520.95 32.83% 67.17% -8.56 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-06-22 22.54% Washington Mystics 1430.06 78 @ Detroit Shock 1569.46 72
2 2004-09-17 23.73% Minnesota Lynx 1485.20 78 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1612.96 66
3 2004-09-10 23.89% San Antonio Silver Stars 1373.27 82 @ Indiana Fever 1499.56 65
4 2004-06-02 25.87% Washington Mystics 1434.65 65 @ Detroit Shock 1542.53 63
5 2004-06-26 29.47% New York Liberty 1484.89 67 @ Seattle Storm 1561.42 62
6 2004-05-20 29.60% San Antonio Silver Stars 1458.49 64 @ Houston Comets 1534.00 55
7 2004-07-22 30.81% Phoenix Mercury 1472.37 71 @ Sacramento Monarchs 1537.86 69
8 2004-05-22 30.85% Phoenix Mercury 1441.77 65 @ Connecticut Sun 1506.98 58
9 2004-07-17 31.61% Sacramento Monarchs 1520.25 79 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1579.25 70
10 2004-06-22 32.60% Houston Comets 1519.89 63 @ Seattle Storm 1571.05 57
11 2004-06-29 32.69% Indiana Fever 1503.59 69 @ Detroit Shock 1554.01 68
12 2004-06-27 32.73% Connecticut Sun 1509.43 74 @ Detroit Shock 1559.56 72
13 2004-09-17 33.14% New York Liberty 1473.49 69 @ Connecticut Sun 1520.36 66
14 2004-09-01 33.23% Sacramento Monarchs 1532.97 73 @ Seattle Storm 1579.18 65
15 2004-07-12 33.34% Sacramento Monarchs 1510.41 67 @ Detroit Shock 1555.70 51
16 2004-05-23 33.35% Washington Mystics 1448.80 68 @ Indiana Fever 1494.04 67
17 2004-06-11 33.39% Indiana Fever 1496.30 72 @ New York Liberty 1541.22 68
18 2004-06-26 33.43% San Antonio Silver Stars 1428.10 80 @ Phoenix Mercury 1472.68 72
19 2004-05-22 33.57% Minnesota Lynx 1488.62 69 @ Sacramento Monarchs 1532.14 61
20 2004-09-24 * 33.76% New York Liberty 1484.74 75 @ Detroit Shock 1526.83 62
21 2004-07-08 33.81% Washington Mystics 1444.56 71 @ New York Liberty 1486.25 54
22 2004-09-28 * 34.19% Sacramento Monarchs 1560.47 73 @ Los Angeles Sparks 1599.20 58
23 2004-09-03 34.66% Indiana Fever 1478.89 69 @ Minnesota Lynx 1513.98 61
24 2004-09-17 34.67% Washington Mystics 1464.67 74 @ Phoenix Mercury 1499.70 67
25 2004-07-03 34.71% Charlotte Sting 1484.10 62 @ Houston Comets 1518.85 55

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-09-10 18.30 San Antonio Silver Stars 82 1373.27 23.89% @ Indiana Fever 65 1499.56 76.11%
2 2004-06-15 17.00 Seattle Storm 86 1537.06 40.49% @ New York Liberty 62 1528.90 59.51%
3 2004-07-15 16.32 @ Houston Comets 97 1488.37 53.34% Detroit Shock 61 1540.16 46.66%
4 2004-07-08 15.92 Washington Mystics 71 1444.56 33.81% @ New York Liberty 54 1486.25 66.19%
5 2004-07-12 15.54 Sacramento Monarchs 67 1510.41 33.34% @ Detroit Shock 51 1555.70 66.66%
6 2004-09-17 15.40 Minnesota Lynx 78 1485.20 23.73% @ Los Angeles Sparks 66 1612.96 76.27%
7 2004-06-01 15.34 Indiana Fever 79 1479.45 39.62% @ San Antonio Silver Stars 60 1477.58 60.38%
8 2004-09-28 * 14.86 Sacramento Monarchs 73 1560.47 34.19% @ Los Angeles Sparks 58 1599.20 65.81%
9 2004-07-22 14.33 Minnesota Lynx 68 1497.87 38.57% @ Connecticut Sun 52 1503.73 61.43%
10 2004-07-09 14.26 Sacramento Monarchs 85 1504.59 36.85% @ Connecticut Sun 70 1523.17 63.15%
11 2004-09-01 14.19 Indiana Fever 75 1464.70 40.96% @ Washington Mystics 58 1453.20 59.04%
12 2004-07-27 14.14 @ Houston Comets 80 1506.99 51.51% Seattle Storm 55 1571.55 48.49%
13 2004-09-24 * 13.92 New York Liberty 75 1484.74 33.76% @ Detroit Shock 62 1526.83 66.24%
14 2004-06-22 13.04 Los Angeles Sparks 65 1540.63 44.11% @ New York Liberty 49 1506.71 55.89%
15 2004-07-01 13.02 Phoenix Mercury 71 1468.62 35.53% @ Charlotte Sting 59 1497.12 64.47%
16 2004-09-17 12.90 @ San Antonio Silver Stars 82 1379.25 46.33% Charlotte Sting 65 1479.82 53.67%
17 2004-09-15 12.78 Connecticut Sun 81 1507.58 41.45% @ Charlotte Sting 67 1492.59 58.55%
18 2004-05-22 12.63 @ Seattle Storm 93 1517.11 57.53% Los Angeles Sparks 67 1539.45 42.47%
19 2004-06-22 12.53 @ Phoenix Mercury 69 1451.36 55.19% Minnesota Lynx 46 1490.22 44.81%
20 2004-05-20 12.31 San Antonio Silver Stars 64 1458.49 29.60% @ Houston Comets 55 1534.00 70.40%
21 2004-08-01 12.28 @ Washington Mystics 82 1440.92 52.90% Phoenix Mercury 62 1495.75 47.10%
22 2004-07-30 12.26 Seattle Storm 70 1557.41 45.75% @ Minnesota Lynx 55 1512.02 54.25%
23 2004-07-24 12.02 @ Charlotte Sting 70 1466.72 61.72% Washington Mystics 41 1458.79 38.28%
24 2004-09-24 * 11.99 @ Sacramento Monarchs 72 1556.39 54.04% Los Angeles Sparks 52 1603.28 45.96%
25 2004-07-17 11.96 Sacramento Monarchs 79 1520.25 31.61% @ Los Angeles Sparks 70 1579.25 68.39%