2004 WNBA Season

221 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Seattle Storm

1st Title

Runner-Up

Connecticut Sun

1st Appearance

Biggest Overachiever

Los Angeles Sparks

5.41 wins above expected

25 wins · 19.59 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

San Antonio Silver Stars

5.12 wins below expected

9 wins · 14.12 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Liberty League	18	16	.529	-	66.2	67.6	-1.3	16.96	+1.04
2	Connecticut Sun Playoffs	18	16	.529	-	68.7	67.8	+0.9	17.31	+0.69
3	Washington Mystics Playoffs	17	17	.500	1	68.4	70.1	-1.7	14.63	+2.37
4	Detroit Shock Playoffs	17	17	.500	1	69.6	70.0	-0.4	18.87	-1.87
5	Charlotte Sting	16	18	.471	2	61.5	63.8	-2.2	16.67	-0.67
6	Indiana Fever	15	19	.441	3	64.6	66.0	-1.4	16.72	-1.72

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Sparks League	25	9	.735	-	73.4	69.4	+3.9	19.59	+5.41
2	Seattle Storm Playoffs	20	14	.588	5	71.7	66.6	+5.1	18.46	+1.54
3	Minnesota Lynx Playoffs	18	16	.529	7	63.7	64.4	-0.7	16.59	+1.41
4	Sacramento Monarchs Playoffs	18	16	.529	7	68.0	65.9	+2.1	17.91	+0.09
5	Phoenix Mercury	17	17	.500	8	67.6	65.7	+1.9	15.10	+1.90
6	Houston Comets	13	21	.382	12	64.0	65.0	-1.0	18.08	-5.08
7	San Antonio Silver Stars	9	25	.265	16	64.4	69.5	-5.1	14.12	-5.12

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

New York Liberty 2

Detroit Shock 1

3 games · Sep 24–Sep 28

Connecticut Sun 2

Washington Mystics 1

3 games · Sep 25–Sep 29

Conference Final

Connecticut Sun 2

New York Liberty 0

2 games · Oct 1–Oct 3

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Sacramento Monarchs 2

Los Angeles Sparks 1

3 games · Sep 24–Sep 28

Seattle Storm 2

Minnesota Lynx 0

2 games · Sep 25–Sep 27

Conference Final

Seattle Storm 2

Sacramento Monarchs 1

3 games · Oct 1–Oct 5

WNBA Finals

Seattle Storm 2

Connecticut Sun 1

3 games · Oct 8–Oct 12

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Los Angeles Sparks	Western	1571	25	19.59	+5.41	98.49%	7	15	18	20	21	24	30
Seattle Storm	Western	1541	20	18.46	+1.54	76.62%	7	14	17	18	20	23	30
Sacramento Monarchs	Western	1536	18	17.91	+0.09	58.27%	6	13	16	18	20	23	29
Detroit Shock	Eastern	1531	17	18.87	-1.87	31.26%	7	14	17	19	21	24	30
Connecticut Sun	Eastern	1512	18	17.31	+0.69	66.09%	5	13	15	17	19	22	30
Houston Comets	Western	1500	13	18.08	-5.08	5.29%	6	13	16	18	20	23	30
Minnesota Lynx	Western	1493	18	16.59	+1.41	74.79%	5	12	15	17	19	21	30
New York Liberty	Eastern	1492	18	16.96	+1.04	70.74%	5	12	15	17	19	22	28
Charlotte Sting	Eastern	1480	16	16.67	-0.67	47.62%	4	12	15	17	19	21	29
Indiana Fever	Eastern	1479	15	16.72	-1.72	33.22%	6	12	15	17	19	21	29
Phoenix Mercury	Western	1476	17	15.10	+1.90	80.20%	4	10	13	15	17	20	27
Washington Mystics	Eastern	1463	17	14.63	+2.37	84.57%	3	10	13	15	17	19	27
San Antonio Silver Stars	Western	1427	9	14.12	-5.12	4.66%	3	10	12	14	16	19	27

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team	Sting	Sun	Shock	Fever	Liberty	Mystics
Charlotte Sting	—	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	0-4 (1.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	0-4 (2.0 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	—	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	4-0 (2.1 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)
Detroit Shock	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	—	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)
Indiana Fever	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)
New York Liberty	4-0 (2.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	—	1-3 (2.2 exp.)
Washington Mystics	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	—

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team	Comets	Sparks	Lynx	Mercury	Monarchs	Stars	Storm
Charlotte Sting	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Detroit Shock	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Indiana Fever	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
New York Liberty	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Washington Mystics	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)

Within Western

Team	Comets	Sparks	Lynx	Mercury	Monarchs	Stars	Storm
Houston Comets	—	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.6 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	3-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	—	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)
Sacramento Monarchs	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	—	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	0-4 (1.3 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-3 (1.1 exp.)
Seattle Storm	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	3-0 (1.9 exp.)	—

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team	Sting	Sun	Shock	Fever	Liberty	Mystics
Houston Comets	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Los Angeles Sparks	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Sacramento Monarchs	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Seattle Storm	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	0.45%	0.68%	1.36%	0.68%	—	—	3.17%
50–59	0.68%	3.62%	8.14%	3.62%	0.90%	—	16.97%
60–69	1.36%	8.14%	16.29%	12.22%	2.71%	0.45%	41.18%
70–79	0.68%	3.62%	12.22%	7.24%	3.62%	0.45%	27.83%
80–89	—	0.90%	2.71%	3.62%	2.71%	—	9.95%
90+	—	—	0.45%	0.45%	—	—	0.90%
Total	3.17%	16.97%	41.18%	27.83%	9.95%	0.90%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	67.07	67.07	+0.00
SD	9.61	9.61	11.76
CV	0.14	0.14	—
Max	97	97	+36
Min	37	37	-36

Games Played: 221

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
50–59	—	8.82%	17.65%	8.82%	2.94%	—	38.24%
60–69	2.94%	14.71%	11.76%	2.94%	8.82%	—	41.18%
70–79	2.94%	—	11.76%	—	2.94%	—	17.65%
80–89	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
90+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.82%	23.53%	41.18%	11.76%	14.71%	—	100%

Charlotte Sting — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	61.53	63.76	-2.24
SD	6.95	11.92	12.17
CV	0.11	0.19	—
Max	74	87	+29
Min	46	37	-32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
50–59	—	—	14.71%	5.88%	—	—	20.59%
60–69	2.94%	5.88%	14.71%	2.94%	2.94%	—	29.41%
70–79	—	—	23.53%	11.76%	2.94%	—	38.24%
80–89	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
90+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	5.88%	58.82%	26.47%	5.88%	—	100%

Connecticut Sun — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	68.68	67.76	+0.91
SD	8.58	7.90	10.30
CV	0.12	0.12	—
Max	83	85	+20
Min	52	43	-16

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
50–59	—	2.94%	8.82%	—	—	—	11.76%
60–69	—	8.82%	11.76%	8.82%	5.88%	2.94%	38.24%
70–79	—	—	14.71%	14.71%	2.94%	—	32.35%
80–89	—	—	2.94%	14.71%	—	—	17.65%
90+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	11.76%	38.24%	38.24%	8.82%	2.94%	100%

Detroit Shock — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	69.59	70.03	-0.44
SD	8.81	9.81	11.67
CV	0.13	0.14	—
Max	88	97	+19
Min	51	53	-36

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
50–59	2.94%	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	20.59%
60–69	—	14.71%	11.76%	26.47%	2.94%	—	55.88%
70–79	—	5.88%	2.94%	5.88%	—	—	14.71%
80–89	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
90+	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	2.94%	29.41%	32.35%	32.35%	2.94%	—	100%

Houston Comets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	64.03	65.03	-1.00
SD	8.92	8.10	12.04
CV	0.14	0.12	—
Max	97	82	+36
Min	48	47	-20

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
50–59	—	5.88%	8.82%	2.94%	2.94%	—	20.59%
60–69	2.94%	2.94%	20.59%	5.88%	5.88%	—	38.24%
70–79	—	5.88%	14.71%	8.82%	2.94%	—	32.35%
80–89	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%
90+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	14.71%	47.06%	20.59%	11.76%	—	100%

Indiana Fever — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	64.65	66.03	-1.38
SD	10.33	9.89	12.16
CV	0.16	0.15	—
Max	85	83	+27
Min	37	42	-31

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
50–59	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
60–69	2.94%	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	2.94%	29.41%
70–79	—	—	11.76%	17.65%	2.94%	—	32.35%
80–89	—	2.94%	8.82%	—	11.76%	—	23.53%
90+	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
Total	2.94%	11.76%	35.29%	32.35%	14.71%	2.94%	100%

Los Angeles Sparks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	73.38	69.44	+3.94
SD	10.12	10.08	11.75
CV	0.14	0.15	—
Max	96	93	+31
Min	51	49	-26

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
50–59	2.94%	8.82%	8.82%	8.82%	—	—	29.41%
60–69	—	11.76%	23.53%	5.88%	2.94%	—	44.12%
70–79	—	—	11.76%	2.94%	—	—	14.71%
80–89	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	5.88%
90+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	23.53%	47.06%	20.59%	5.88%	—	100%

Minnesota Lynx — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	63.68	64.41	-0.74
SD	9.80	8.56	10.01
CV	0.15	0.13	—
Max	85	88	+16
Min	44	47	-23

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	—	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
50–59	—	2.94%	—	5.88%	—	—	8.82%
60–69	—	8.82%	26.47%	11.76%	2.94%	—	50.00%
70–79	—	2.94%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	26.47%
80–89	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
90+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.71%	47.06%	29.41%	8.82%	—	100%

New York Liberty — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	66.24	67.56	-1.32
SD	9.39	8.52	10.97
CV	0.14	0.13	—
Max	80	88	+17
Min	43	52	-26

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%
50–59	—	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	11.76%
60–69	2.94%	11.76%	5.88%	14.71%	2.94%	—	38.24%
70–79	—	11.76%	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	—	41.18%
80–89	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
90+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	29.41%	29.41%	29.41%	8.82%	—	100%

Phoenix Mercury — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	67.65	65.74	+1.91
SD	8.57	8.95	12.56
CV	0.13	0.14	—
Max	87	82	+32
Min	45	46	-27

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
50–59	—	—	8.82%	—	—	—	8.82%
60–69	2.94%	14.71%	17.65%	14.71%	—	—	50.00%
70–79	2.94%	—	14.71%	2.94%	8.82%	—	29.41%
80–89	—	—	—	8.82%	2.94%	—	11.76%
90+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	14.71%	41.18%	26.47%	11.76%	—	100%

Sacramento Monarchs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	68.00	65.91	+2.09
SD	8.12	9.98	10.44
CV	0.12	0.15	—
Max	85	85	+26
Min	50	47	-14

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
50–59	2.94%	2.94%	11.76%	5.88%	2.94%	—	26.47%
60–69	—	2.94%	11.76%	20.59%	—	—	35.29%
70–79	—	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	20.59%
80–89	—	—	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	—	11.76%
90+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.94%	14.71%	35.29%	35.29%	11.76%	—	100%

San Antonio Silver Stars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	64.44	69.53	-5.09
SD	9.71	9.70	11.78
CV	0.15	0.14	—
Max	82	87	+17
Min	47	44	-32

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
50–59	—	2.94%	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	11.76%
60–69	—	—	20.59%	14.71%	—	—	35.29%
70–79	2.94%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	2.94%	—	29.41%
80–89	—	2.94%	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	20.59%
90+	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	2.94%	17.65%	41.18%	20.59%	17.65%	—	100%

Seattle Storm — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	71.68	66.59	+5.09
SD	9.89	9.82	12.67
CV	0.14	0.15	—
Max	93	85	+32
Min	55	45	-25

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	<50	50–59	60–69	70–79	80–89	90+	Total
<50	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
50–59	—	—	—	2.94%	—	—	2.94%
60–69	—	2.94%	23.53%	23.53%	—	—	50.00%
70–79	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	2.94%	5.88%	32.35%
80–89	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	8.82%
90+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.82%	41.18%	38.24%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

Washington Mystics — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	68.38	70.12	-1.74
SD	9.40	9.68	12.22
CV	0.14	0.14	—
Max	84	96	+20
Min	41	54	-29

Games Played: 34

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.51	+7.7
Allowed	0.01	+1.5
Differential	0.65	+10.9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Los Angeles Sparks	25	19.59	+5.41
2	Washington Mystics	17	14.63	+2.37
3	Phoenix Mercury	17	15.10	+1.90
4	Seattle Storm	20	18.46	+1.54
5	Minnesota Lynx	18	16.59	+1.41

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	San Antonio Silver Stars	9	14.12	-5.12
2	Houston Comets	13	18.08	-5.08
3	Detroit Shock	17	18.87	-1.87
4	Indiana Fever	15	16.72	-1.72
5	Charlotte Sting	16	16.67	-0.67

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Liberty	6	May 23 – Jun 5	1 in 124
2	Minnesota Lynx	6	Jul 9 – Jul 22	1 in 75
3	Seattle Storm	6	Jun 3 – Jun 19	1 in 71
4	Connecticut Sun	6	Jun 20 – Jul 6	1 in 49
5	Washington Mystics	5	Sep 7 – Sep 17	1 in 45

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Liberty	6	Jun 11 – Jun 24	1 in 88
2	San Antonio Silver Stars	9	Jul 18 – Sep 4	1 in 57
3	Houston Comets	5	Jun 30 – Jul 14	1 in 33
4	Detroit Shock	4	Jun 25 – Jul 3	1 in 31
5	Indiana Fever	6	Jul 19 – Jul 31	1 in 24

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Detroit Shock	36.72%	22.84%	16.16%	11.70%	8.15%	4.43%
Connecticut Sun	17.98%	19.53%	18.65%	17.41%	15.19%	11.24%
New York Liberty	15.16%	17.54%	18.33%	18.35%	17.07%	13.55%
Indiana Fever	13.29%	16.51%	18.13%	18.68%	18.21%	15.18%
Charlotte Sting	12.85%	16.60%	17.92%	18.45%	18.50%	15.69%
Washington Mystics	4.00%	6.99%	10.81%	15.42%	22.87%	39.92%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Los Angeles Sparks	34.45%	22.78%	16.56%	11.70%	7.94%	4.62%	1.96%
Seattle Storm	20.84%	20.07%	18.34%	15.62%	12.28%	8.38%	4.46%
Houston Comets	17.21%	18.85%	17.88%	16.63%	13.63%	10.02%	5.76%
Sacramento Monarchs	15.71%	17.94%	17.87%	17.12%	14.70%	10.69%	5.97%
Minnesota Lynx	7.42%	11.40%	14.67%	17.03%	18.63%	17.51%	13.34%
Phoenix Mercury	2.95%	5.74%	8.93%	12.68%	17.92%	24.38%	27.40%
San Antonio Silver Stars	1.41%	3.23%	5.75%	9.22%	14.89%	24.39%	41.11%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Los Angeles Sparks	23.00%	16.14%	12.79%	10.34%	8.78%	7.05%	5.88%	4.81%	3.89%	2.99%	2.18%	1.41%	0.74%
Detroit Shock	15.96%	13.79%	12.11%	10.79%	9.34%	8.01%	7.13%	6.21%	5.11%	4.33%	3.42%	2.42%	1.39%
Seattle Storm	13.17%	12.06%	11.22%	10.44%	9.61%	8.53%	7.68%	6.88%	6.13%	5.13%	4.04%	3.14%	1.96%
Houston Comets	10.48%	10.72%	10.53%	9.96%	9.37%	8.92%	8.29%	7.48%	6.77%	6.00%	5.00%	3.93%	2.55%
Sacramento Monarchs	9.42%	10.18%	9.94%	9.62%	9.55%	9.15%	8.52%	7.89%	7.19%	6.31%	5.22%	4.24%	2.78%
Connecticut Sun	6.64%	7.80%	8.42%	8.75%	8.88%	9.03%	8.70%	8.73%	8.23%	7.61%	6.95%	5.97%	4.28%
New York Liberty	5.38%	6.67%	7.34%	7.87%	8.47%	8.76%	8.95%	9.09%	8.69%	8.35%	8.03%	6.97%	5.42%
Indiana Fever	4.42%	5.89%	6.85%	7.59%	8.06%	8.52%	9.01%	9.13%	9.07%	8.98%	8.50%	7.76%	6.23%
Charlotte Sting	4.34%	5.74%	6.78%	7.59%	8.02%	8.47%	8.77%	8.93%	9.12%	9.14%	8.73%	7.87%	6.50%
Minnesota Lynx	4.13%	5.62%	6.49%	7.22%	7.81%	8.45%	8.77%	9.07%	9.16%	9.21%	8.91%	8.19%	6.97%
Phoenix Mercury	1.44%	2.43%	3.26%	4.06%	4.96%	5.97%	6.83%	8.03%	9.45%	10.86%	12.70%	14.20%	15.81%
Washington Mystics	0.98%	1.78%	2.52%	3.26%	3.96%	5.12%	6.21%	7.28%	8.89%	10.81%	12.98%	16.23%	19.97%
San Antonio Silver Stars	0.62%	1.19%	1.76%	2.51%	3.21%	4.03%	5.24%	6.46%	8.29%	10.28%	13.35%	17.68%	25.40%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Detroit Shock	36.72%	22.84%	16.16%	11.70%	12.58%
Connecticut Sun	17.98%	19.53%	18.65%	17.41%	26.43%
New York Liberty	15.16%	17.54%	18.33%	18.35%	30.62%
Indiana Fever	13.29%	16.51%	18.13%	18.68%	33.39%
Charlotte Sting	12.85%	16.60%	17.92%	18.45%	34.19%
Washington Mystics	4.00%	6.99%	10.81%	15.42%	62.78%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Los Angeles Sparks	34.45%	22.78%	16.56%	11.70%	14.52%
Seattle Storm	20.84%	20.07%	18.34%	15.62%	25.13%
Houston Comets	17.21%	18.85%	17.88%	16.63%	29.42%
Sacramento Monarchs	15.71%	17.94%	17.87%	17.12%	31.35%
Minnesota Lynx	7.42%	11.40%	14.67%	17.03%	49.48%
Phoenix Mercury	2.95%	5.74%	8.93%	12.68%	69.70%
San Antonio Silver Stars	1.41%	3.23%	5.75%	9.22%	80.39%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+21.27%

Fortress

60.63%39.37%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 75.03 Elo pts.

25 Elo

0.040 points per Elo point

080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+3.22 points

Home-Tilted

-8+3.03+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 7th · Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

8.3

Wide Open

124811

Champion Preseason Odds

12%

Seattle Storm, 3rd of 13

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

22.3%

Favored

012.50%30%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 2.26 · As Expected: 2.26 to 3.11 · Elevated: 3.11 to 4.24 · High Variance: 4.24 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 2.53 · Close: 2.53 to 3.42 · Off Target: 3.42 to 4.46 · Well Off Target: 4.46 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 13 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 13 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.65 · As Expected: 0.65 to 1.56 · Several Outliers: 1.56 to 2.86 · Many Outliers: 2.86 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 1.53 · As Expected: 1.53 to 2.54 · More Than Expected: 2.54 to 4.07 · Far More Than Expected: 4.07 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.82 wins

As Expected

02.837

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.77

02.976

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.15%

98.49%

Los Angeles Sparks

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.85%

4.66%

San Antonio Silver Stars

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 13

Several Outliers

01.36

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 8

As Expected

02.08

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 15 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.11

Balanced

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.56

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

57%

Even

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

70%

Clear Edge

50%68%100%

Close Games

Expected

19%

Mostly Decisive

0%20%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Occasional

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.24

Hard to Predict

00.231

Matchup Imbalance

0.22

Slight Separation

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.00

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.32

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

38%

As Expected

0%39%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

37%

Shaky Favorites

0%35%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.04 · Within Noise: 0.04 to 0.08 · Above Noise: 0.08 to 0.16 · Well Above Noise: 0.16 and up.

Probability calibration

0.11

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.93

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.031

Well Within Noise

00.0810.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
Los Angeles Sparks	85.48%	54.77%	33.77%	21.96%
Detroit Shock	87.42%	53.16%	31.33%	15.05%
Seattle Storm	74.87%	41.00%	21.15%	12.48%
Sacramento Monarchs	68.65%	35.95%	18.20%	10.33%
Connecticut Sun	73.57%	39.56%	20.69%	9.06%
Houston Comets	70.58%	31.09%	13.13%	6.78%
New York Liberty	69.38%	33.41%	15.70%	6.29%
Charlotte Sting	65.81%	29.42%	13.20%	4.92%
Indiana Fever	66.61%	29.71%	13.10%	4.83%
Minnesota Lynx	50.52%	20.66%	8.23%	4.01%
Washington Mystics	37.22%	14.75%	5.98%	1.97%
Phoenix Mercury	30.29%	11.05%	3.99%	1.80%
San Antonio Silver Stars	19.61%	5.48%	1.52%	0.52%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Charlotte Sting	Connecticut Sun	Detroit Shock	Indiana Fever	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Charlotte Sting		42.5%15.02%	37.5%18.44%	49.9%12.65%	47.7%13.69%	54.5%6.02%
Connecticut Sun	57.5%15.02%		44.6%19.96%	57.1%15.24%	54.4%15.92%	62.4%7.44%
Detroit Shock	62.5%18.44%	55.4%19.96%		62.5%18.72%	59.9%19.25%	66.5%11.05%
Indiana Fever	50.1%12.65%	42.9%15.24%	37.5%18.72%		46.3%13.90%	55.7%6.09%
New York Liberty	52.3%13.69%	45.6%15.92%	40.1%19.25%	53.7%13.90%		57.5%6.62%
Washington Mystics	45.5%6.02%	37.6%7.44%	33.5%11.05%	44.3%6.09%	42.5%6.62%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Houston Comets	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Sacramento Monarchs	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm
Houston Comets		34.5%18.91%	52.3%10.10%	56.2%5.67%	43.1%15.25%	66.3%3.64%	41.7%17.00%
Los Angeles Sparks	65.5%18.91%		67.7%14.37%	72.2%8.64%	59.2%18.48%	78.5%5.66%	56.9%19.41%
Minnesota Lynx	47.7%10.10%	32.3%14.37%		54.8%3.17%	39.6%9.65%	63.9%1.85%	39.2%11.38%
Phoenix Mercury	43.8%5.67%	27.8%8.64%	45.2%3.17%		35.6%5.44%	60.3%0.87%	34.9%6.49%
Sacramento Monarchs	56.9%15.25%	40.8%18.48%	60.4%9.65%	64.4%5.44%		72.5%3.41%	48.2%16.42%
San Antonio Silver Stars	33.7%3.64%	21.5%5.66%	36.1%1.85%	39.7%0.87%	27.5%3.41%		26.1%4.18%
Seattle Storm	58.3%17.00%	43.1%19.41%	60.8%11.38%	65.1%6.49%	51.8%16.42%	73.9%4.18%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Charlotte Sting	Connecticut Sun	Detroit Shock	Indiana Fever	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Charlotte Sting		43.6%6.68%	39.3%10.48%	50.5%4.72%	47.9%5.35%	55.8%2.19%
Connecticut Sun	56.4%6.68%		45.7%15.02%	57.8%6.86%	53.5%7.92%	60.6%3.07%
Detroit Shock	60.7%10.48%	54.3%15.02%		61.1%10.56%	58.9%12.28%	64.9%4.81%
Indiana Fever	49.5%4.72%	42.2%6.86%	38.9%10.56%		48.2%5.37%	53.2%2.19%
New York Liberty	52.1%5.35%	46.5%7.92%	41.1%12.28%	51.8%5.37%		56.0%2.48%
Washington Mystics	44.2%2.19%	39.4%3.07%	35.1%4.81%	46.8%2.19%	44.0%2.48%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Houston Comets	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Sacramento Monarchs	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm
Houston Comets		35.1%11.85%	52.3%3.29%	57.0%1.72%	44.3%6.18%	63.0%0.80%	41.8%7.26%
Los Angeles Sparks	64.9%11.85%		66.9%7.18%	71.0%3.62%	57.5%13.87%	77.1%1.76%	56.8%16.49%
Minnesota Lynx	47.7%3.29%	33.1%7.18%		51.5%1.02%	39.7%3.92%	66.2%0.47%	39.6%4.78%
Phoenix Mercury	43.0%1.72%	29.0%3.62%	48.5%1.02%		35.4%2.07%	62.4%0.24%	34.5%2.39%
Sacramento Monarchs	55.7%6.18%	42.5%13.87%	60.3%3.92%	64.6%2.07%		74.3%1.02%	49.7%8.89%
San Antonio Silver Stars	37.0%0.80%	22.9%1.76%	33.8%0.47%	37.6%0.24%	25.7%1.02%		25.7%1.20%
Seattle Storm	58.2%7.26%	43.2%16.49%	60.4%4.78%	65.5%2.39%	50.3%8.89%	74.3%1.20%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Houston Comets	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Sacramento Monarchs	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm	Charlotte Sting	Connecticut Sun	Detroit Shock	Indiana Fever	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Charlotte Sting	43.3%1.78%	30.5%4.47%	46.0%1.07%	50.1%0.57%	37.5%2.35%	64.7%0.21%	35.9%2.75%
Connecticut Sun	49.6%2.69%	36.7%6.97%	54.0%1.73%	58.4%0.81%	44.3%3.74%	64.7%0.32%	42.9%4.43%
Detroit Shock	54.3%4.12%	40.9%10.54%	57.1%2.54%	60.4%1.24%	48.8%5.78%	71.5%0.49%	47.2%6.62%
Indiana Fever	42.7%1.71%	29.6%4.44%	46.1%1.14%	47.5%0.52%	39.5%2.35%	59.8%0.20%	35.4%2.74%
New York Liberty	48.1%2.06%	32.2%5.35%	49.3%1.28%	57.4%0.60%	41.1%2.83%	62.7%0.23%	38.6%3.33%
Washington Mystics	36.8%0.77%	27.1%2.00%	40.9%0.47%	35.5%0.25%	36.3%1.15%	65.7%0.07%	31.6%1.28%
Houston Comets								56.7%1.78%	50.4%2.69%	45.7%4.12%	57.3%1.71%	51.9%2.06%	63.2%0.77%
Los Angeles Sparks								69.5%4.47%	63.3%6.97%	59.1%10.54%	70.4%4.44%	67.8%5.35%	72.9%2.00%
Minnesota Lynx								54.0%1.07%	46.0%1.73%	42.9%2.54%	53.9%1.14%	50.7%1.28%	59.1%0.47%
Phoenix Mercury								49.9%0.57%	41.6%0.81%	39.6%1.24%	52.5%0.52%	42.6%0.60%	64.5%0.25%
Sacramento Monarchs								62.5%2.35%	55.7%3.74%	51.2%5.78%	60.5%2.35%	58.9%2.83%	63.7%1.15%
San Antonio Silver Stars								35.3%0.21%	35.3%0.32%	28.5%0.49%	40.2%0.20%	37.3%0.23%	34.3%0.07%
Seattle Storm								64.1%2.75%	57.1%4.43%	52.8%6.62%	64.6%2.74%	61.4%3.33%	68.4%1.28%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
Seattle Storm	64.94%	29.26%	18.23%	Won Finals
Connecticut Sun	51.56%	28.47%	11.28%	Eliminated in Finals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Connecticut Sun	Detroit Shock	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Connecticut Sun		51.6%100.00%
Detroit Shock	48.4%100.00%
New York Liberty				61.3%100.00%
Washington Mystics			38.7%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Sacramento Monarchs	Seattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks			62.4%100.00%
Minnesota Lynx				35.1%100.00%
Sacramento Monarchs	37.6%100.00%
Seattle Storm		64.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Connecticut Sun	Detroit Shock	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Connecticut Sun			49.2%31.55%	64.8%20.00%
Detroit Shock			52.9%29.77%	68.5%18.67%
New York Liberty	50.8%31.55%	47.1%29.77%
Washington Mystics	35.2%20.00%	31.5%18.67%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Sacramento Monarchs	Seattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks		70.0%21.85%		61.5%40.56%
Minnesota Lynx	30.0%21.85%		46.4%13.22%
Sacramento Monarchs		53.6%13.22%		44.1%24.38%
Seattle Storm	38.5%40.56%		55.9%24.38%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Sacramento Monarchs	Seattle Storm	Connecticut Sun	Detroit Shock	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Connecticut Sun	33.9%11.49%	52.4%3.66%	44.8%5.02%	38.7%8.30%
Detroit Shock	37.3%11.51%	52.0%3.54%	43.1%5.04%	43.1%8.45%
New York Liberty	29.9%12.05%	48.5%3.87%	39.1%5.43%	35.1%8.73%
Washington Mystics	24.7%5.19%	41.0%1.62%	29.5%2.34%	29.5%3.78%
Los Angeles Sparks					66.1%11.49%	62.7%11.51%	70.1%12.05%	75.3%5.19%
Minnesota Lynx					47.6%3.66%	48.0%3.54%	51.5%3.87%	59.0%1.62%
Sacramento Monarchs					55.2%5.02%	56.9%5.04%	60.9%5.43%	70.5%2.34%
Seattle Storm					61.3%8.30%	56.9%8.45%	64.9%8.73%	70.5%3.78%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Los Angeles Sparks 27.16% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Sacramento Monarchs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

62.40%

→

Semifinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

61.99%

Win Prob

61.49%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

31.10%

Win Prob

70.08%

Seattle Storm 18.23% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

64.94%

→

Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

53.38%

Win Prob

38.51%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

31.09%

Win Prob

64.91%

Detroit Shock 11.94% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.44%

→

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

55.15%

Win Prob

52.85%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

35.94%

Win Prob

37.30%

Connecticut Sun 11.28% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Detroit Shock

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.56%

→

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

54.51%

Win Prob

49.17%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

34.57%

Win Prob

33.94%

New York Liberty 10.67% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

61.33%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

53.33%

Win Prob

50.83%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

33.80%

Win Prob

29.92%

Sacramento Monarchs 10.59% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.60%

→

Semifinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

60.25%

Win Prob

44.05%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

31.19%

Win Prob

60.86%

Minnesota Lynx 6.39% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Seattle Storm

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.06%

→

Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

51.67%

Win Prob

30.00%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

31.20%

Win Prob

51.54%

Washington Mystics 3.75% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.67%

→

Semifinals

vs. Connecticut Sun

Matchup

54.55%

Win Prob

35.25%

→

Finals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

34.12%

Win Prob

24.66%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2004-05-21	Houston Comets	L 53-60	1496.94	1526.83	56.46%	43.54%	-3.68	0-1
2004-05-22	@ Washington Mystics	W 71-68	1493.26	1458.85	44.18%	55.82%	+2.38	1-1
2004-05-28	Indiana Fever	W 63-41	1495.64	1492.26	61.10%	38.90%	+4.49	2-1
2004-06-01	New York Liberty	L 53-63	1500.13	1503.19	60.21%	39.79%	-4.68	2-2
2004-06-03	@ Connecticut Sun	L 62-71	1495.45	1498.52	38.95%	61.05%	-2.88	2-3
2004-06-05	@ Indiana Fever	L 57-70	1492.57	1494.05	39.16%	60.84%	-3.47	2-4
2004-06-09	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-82	1489.10	1532.93	33.53%	66.47%	-3.09	2-5
2004-06-11	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 59-51	1486.01	1457.08	43.40%	56.60%	+3.94	3-5
2004-06-15	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 59-57	1489.95	1456.16	65.17%	34.83%	+1.21	4-5
2004-06-18	@ Connecticut Sun	W 63-58	1491.16	1500.31	38.12%	61.88%	+3.41	5-5
2004-06-20	Los Angeles Sparks	W 68-63	1494.57	1542.02	53.96%	46.04%	+2.53	6-5
2004-06-23	Detroit Shock	L 60-65	1497.10	1544.58	53.96%	46.04%	-2.97	6-6
2004-06-26	Indiana Fever	W 46-37	1494.13	1501.07	59.68%	40.32%	+2.98	7-6
2004-07-01	Phoenix Mercury	L 59-71	1497.11	1459.53	65.66%	34.34%	-5.60	7-7
2004-07-03	@ Houston Comets	W 62-55	1491.51	1525.60	34.79%	65.21%	+4.25	8-7
2004-07-08	Seattle Storm	W 70-67	1495.76	1535.85	55.01%	44.99%	+1.91	9-7
2004-07-10	Washington Mystics	W 67-65	1497.67	1459.51	65.74%	34.26%	+1.19	10-7
2004-07-15	@ Washington Mystics	L 54-68	1498.86	1458.31	45.05%	54.95%	-4.14	10-8
2004-07-18	@ New York Liberty	L 58-75	1494.72	1485.65	40.62%	59.38%	-4.12	10-9
2004-07-20	New York Liberty	L 74-80	1490.60	1489.77	60.75%	39.25%	-3.66	10-10
2004-07-23	@ Detroit Shock	L 53-63	1486.94	1524.35	34.36%	65.64%	-2.68	10-11
2004-07-24	Washington Mystics	W 70-41	1484.26	1458.26	64.14%	35.86%	+4.75	11-11
2004-07-28	@ Indiana Fever	W 63-53	1489.01	1488.68	39.41%	60.59%	+4.72	12-11
2004-07-31	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 61-62	1493.73	1522.99	35.43%	64.57%	-0.87	12-12
2004-08-01	@ Seattle Storm	L 55-87	1492.86	1541.85	32.87%	67.13%	-4.58	12-13
2004-09-01	Connecticut Sun	W 62-55	1488.28	1495.76	59.60%	40.40%	+2.63	13-13
2004-09-02	@ New York Liberty	L 52-56	1490.91	1497.78	38.43%	61.57%	-1.89	13-14
2004-09-04	Detroit Shock	L 58-66	1489.02	1524.52	55.66%	44.34%	-3.87	13-15
2004-09-08	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 72-68	1485.15	1496.93	37.76%	62.24%	+3.06	14-15
2004-09-09	Sacramento Monarchs	W 74-69	1488.21	1530.16	54.75%	45.25%	+2.49	15-15
2004-09-11	Minnesota Lynx	W 60-50	1490.70	1495.83	59.93%	40.07%	+3.12	16-15
2004-09-15	Connecticut Sun	L 67-81	1493.82	1505.12	59.07%	40.93%	-5.44	16-16
2004-09-17	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 65-82	1488.38	1421.61	48.81%	51.19%	-4.95	16-17
2004-09-19	@ Detroit Shock	L 54-68	1483.43	1527.46	33.51%	66.49%	-3.09	16-18
2004-05-22	Phoenix Mercury	L 58-65	1504.23	1447.17	68.14%	31.86%	-4.44	0-1
2004-05-25	Houston Comets	L 57-68	1499.79	1527.83	56.72%	43.28%	-4.63	0-2
2004-05-27	Los Angeles Sparks	W 82-73	1495.16	1538.45	54.56%	45.44%	+3.36	1-2
2004-06-03	Charlotte Sting	W 71-62	1498.52	1495.45	61.05%	38.95%	+2.87	2-2
2004-06-04	@ Washington Mystics	W 72-63	1501.39	1452.87	46.19%	53.81%	+3.97	3-2
2004-06-06	Detroit Shock	L 73-74	1505.36	1534.46	56.57%	43.43%	-1.39	3-3
2004-06-09	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 59-75	1503.97	1452.50	46.62%	53.38%	-4.59	3-4
2004-06-11	@ Seattle Storm	L 63-68	1499.38	1521.46	36.38%	63.62%	-2.00	3-5
2004-06-12	@ Sacramento Monarchs	W 83-76	1497.38	1517.22	36.68%	63.32%	+4.13	4-5
2004-06-14	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 74-76	1501.51	1539.15	34.33%	65.67%	-1.20	4-6
2004-06-18	Charlotte Sting	L 58-63	1500.31	1491.16	61.88%	38.12%	-3.40	4-7
2004-06-20	Washington Mystics	W 75-65	1496.91	1450.18	66.84%	33.16%	+2.58	5-7
2004-06-22	@ Indiana Fever	W 63-58	1499.49	1502.17	39.00%	61.00%	+3.35	6-7
2004-06-25	Detroit Shock	W 71-67	1502.84	1547.55	54.35%	45.65%	+2.25	7-7
2004-06-27	@ Detroit Shock	W 74-72	1505.09	1545.31	34.00%	66.00%	+2.29	8-7
2004-06-30	Washington Mystics	W 78-69	1507.38	1450.40	68.13%	31.87%	+2.36	9-7
2004-07-06	Indiana Fever	W 79-77	1509.74	1498.03	62.23%	37.77%	+1.31	10-7
2004-07-09	Sacramento Monarchs	L 70-85	1511.05	1512.41	60.45%	39.55%	-5.76	10-8
2004-07-11	@ Indiana Fever	W 65-61	1505.29	1498.03	40.37%	59.63%	+2.93	11-8
2004-07-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 63-66	1508.22	1487.09	42.31%	57.69%	-1.80	11-9
2004-07-15	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 67-78	1506.42	1439.31	48.86%	51.14%	-3.98	11-10
2004-07-17	@ Houston Comets	L 56-72	1502.44	1518.42	37.19%	62.81%	-3.66	11-11
2004-07-21	@ Detroit Shock	W 78-68	1498.78	1529.39	35.25%	64.75%	+5.03	12-11
2004-07-22	Minnesota Lynx	L 52-68	1503.81	1493.86	61.99%	38.01%	-6.10	12-12
2004-07-24	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 69-55	1497.71	1436.39	68.67%	31.33%	+2.89	13-12
2004-07-30	@ Washington Mystics	L 68-69	1500.60	1449.99	46.49%	53.51%	-1.15	13-13
2004-07-31	@ New York Liberty	L 66-80	1499.45	1494.09	40.11%	59.89%	-3.69	13-14
2004-09-01	@ Charlotte Sting	L 55-62	1495.76	1488.28	40.40%	59.60%	-2.63	13-15
2004-09-03	New York Liberty	W 61-43	1493.13	1499.67	59.73%	40.27%	+4.20	14-15
2004-09-10	@ New York Liberty	W 77-66	1497.33	1491.54	40.17%	59.83%	+4.89	15-15
2004-09-12	Seattle Storm	W 71-64	1502.22	1539.87	55.36%	44.64%	+2.90	16-15
2004-09-15	@ Charlotte Sting	W 81-67	1505.12	1493.82	40.93%	59.07%	+5.44	17-15
2004-09-17	New York Liberty	L 66-69	1510.56	1487.33	63.78%	36.22%	-2.72	17-16
2004-09-19	Indiana Fever	W 80-60	1507.84	1483.29	63.95%	36.05%	+3.97	18-16
2004-05-22	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 73-60	1538.97	1470.02	49.13%	50.87%	+4.52	1-0
2004-05-26	@ New York Liberty	L 52-64	1543.49	1496.33	46.00%	54.00%	-3.92	1-1
2004-05-29	Los Angeles Sparks	L 60-63	1539.57	1535.09	61.25%	38.75%	-2.61	1-2
2004-06-02	Washington Mystics	L 63-65	1536.96	1450.37	71.71%	28.29%	-2.50	1-3
2004-06-06	@ Connecticut Sun	W 74-73	1534.46	1505.36	43.43%	56.57%	+1.39	2-3
2004-06-09	@ Indiana Fever	W 83-79	1535.85	1497.52	44.74%	55.26%	+2.72	3-3
2004-06-11	@ Washington Mystics	W 74-60	1538.57	1448.90	52.11%	47.89%	+4.41	4-3
2004-06-12	Indiana Fever	W 72-68	1542.98	1497.92	66.63%	33.37%	+1.64	5-3
2004-06-19	@ Sacramento Monarchs	W 84-74	1544.62	1513.94	43.65%	56.35%	+4.39	6-3
2004-06-22	Washington Mystics	L 72-78	1549.01	1447.60	73.41%	26.59%	-4.43	6-4
2004-06-23	@ Charlotte Sting	W 65-60	1544.58	1497.10	46.04%	53.96%	+2.97	7-4
2004-06-25	@ Connecticut Sun	L 67-71	1547.55	1502.84	45.65%	54.35%	-2.24	7-5
2004-06-27	Connecticut Sun	L 72-74	1545.31	1505.09	66.00%	34.00%	-2.30	7-6
2004-06-29	Indiana Fever	L 68-69	1543.01	1498.10	66.61%	33.39%	-1.64	7-7
2004-07-03	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 70-78	1541.37	1480.34	47.99%	52.01%	-3.34	7-8
2004-07-06	Houston Comets	W 82-63	1538.03	1521.36	62.90%	37.10%	+3.98	8-8
2004-07-10	Seattle Storm	W 70-65	1542.01	1533.94	61.74%	38.26%	+2.10	9-8
2004-07-12	Sacramento Monarchs	L 51-67	1544.11	1514.73	64.59%	35.41%	-6.35	9-9
2004-07-15	@ Houston Comets	L 61-97	1537.76	1512.08	42.94%	57.06%	-6.34	9-10
2004-07-16	@ Indiana Fever	L 73-85	1531.42	1498.02	44.04%	55.96%	-3.75	9-11
2004-07-18	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 77-71	1527.67	1443.30	71.46%	28.54%	+1.72	10-11
2004-07-21	Connecticut Sun	L 68-78	1529.39	1498.78	64.75%	35.25%	-5.04	10-12
2004-07-23	Charlotte Sting	W 63-53	1524.35	1486.94	65.64%	34.36%	+2.67	11-12
2004-07-24	@ New York Liberty	L 69-78	1527.02	1493.44	44.06%	55.94%	-3.25	11-13
2004-07-28	@ Washington Mystics	W 73-65	1523.77	1453.51	49.31%	50.69%	+3.53	12-13
2004-07-30	New York Liberty	W 88-79	1527.30	1496.69	64.75%	35.25%	+2.60	13-13
2004-08-01	Minnesota Lynx	L 58-59	1529.90	1495.17	65.29%	34.71%	-1.61	13-14
2004-09-01	Phoenix Mercury	L 58-63	1528.29	1468.25	68.52%	31.48%	-3.77	13-15
2004-09-04	@ Charlotte Sting	W 66-58	1524.52	1489.02	44.34%	55.66%	+3.88	14-15
2004-09-08	@ Seattle Storm	L 67-86	1528.40	1537.75	38.09%	61.91%	-4.09	14-16
2004-09-09	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 63-81	1524.31	1565.21	33.91%	66.09%	-3.54	14-17
2004-09-11	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 80-72	1520.77	1485.41	44.32%	55.68%	+3.88	15-17
2004-09-14	New York Liberty	W 82-71	1524.65	1487.76	65.57%	34.43%	+2.81	16-17
2004-09-19	Charlotte Sting	W 68-54	1527.46	1483.43	66.49%	33.51%	+3.08	17-17
2004-05-20	San Antonio Silver Stars	L 55-64	1531.95	1464.90	69.38%	30.62%	-5.12	0-1
2004-05-21	@ Charlotte Sting	W 60-53	1526.83	1496.94	43.54%	56.46%	+3.68	1-1
2004-05-23	@ New York Liberty	L 62-68	1530.51	1493.65	44.53%	55.47%	-2.68	1-2
2004-05-25	@ Connecticut Sun	W 68-57	1527.83	1499.79	43.28%	56.72%	+4.62	2-2
2004-05-30	Sacramento Monarchs	W 63-57	1532.45	1517.24	62.70%	37.30%	+2.25	3-2
2004-06-01	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 63-73	1534.70	1455.02	50.67%	49.33%	-3.94	3-3
2004-06-03	New York Liberty	L 62-71	1530.76	1507.88	63.73%	36.27%	-4.70	3-4
2004-06-05	Los Angeles Sparks	W 75-71	1526.06	1534.93	59.41%	40.59%	+1.99	4-4
2004-06-09	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 59-47	1528.05	1460.92	69.39%	30.61%	+2.61	5-4
2004-06-12	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 69-66	1530.66	1458.31	49.62%	50.38%	+2.15	6-4
2004-06-18	Seattle Storm	L 63-69	1532.81	1530.56	60.94%	39.06%	-3.67	6-5
2004-06-19	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 58-66	1529.14	1488.37	45.08%	54.92%	-3.14	6-6
2004-06-22	@ Seattle Storm	W 63-57	1526.00	1538.56	37.66%	62.34%	+3.76	7-6
2004-06-25	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 55-61	1529.76	1509.55	42.17%	57.83%	-2.54	7-7
2004-06-27	Washington Mystics	W 72-67	1527.22	1452.03	70.36%	29.64%	+1.63	8-7
2004-06-30	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 50-58	1528.85	1477.09	46.66%	53.34%	-3.25	8-8
2004-07-03	Charlotte Sting	L 55-62	1525.60	1491.51	65.21%	34.79%	-4.24	8-9
2004-07-06	@ Detroit Shock	L 63-82	1521.36	1538.03	37.10%	62.90%	-3.98	8-10
2004-07-10	Los Angeles Sparks	L 56-59	1517.38	1554.59	55.42%	44.58%	-2.36	8-11
2004-07-14	@ Indiana Fever	L 62-70	1515.02	1495.09	42.14%	57.86%	-2.94	8-12
2004-07-15	Detroit Shock	W 97-61	1512.08	1537.76	57.06%	42.94%	+6.34	9-12
2004-07-17	Connecticut Sun	W 72-56	1518.42	1502.44	62.81%	37.19%	+3.66	10-12
2004-07-23	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 67-70	1522.08	1559.55	34.35%	65.65%	-1.46	10-13
2004-07-24	@ Seattle Storm	L 63-67	1520.62	1539.98	36.74%	63.26%	-1.81	10-14
2004-07-27	Seattle Storm	W 80-55	1518.81	1541.79	57.44%	42.56%	+5.24	11-14
2004-07-31	Indiana Fever	W 62-54	1524.05	1483.97	65.98%	34.02%	+2.36	12-14
2004-09-01	Minnesota Lynx	L 64-72	1526.41	1496.78	64.62%	35.38%	-4.49	12-15
2004-09-03	Phoenix Mercury	L 60-70	1521.92	1472.02	67.24%	32.76%	-5.23	12-16
2004-09-09	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 72-77	1516.69	1417.22	53.51%	46.49%	-2.95	12-17
2004-09-12	@ Washington Mystics	L 63-75	1513.74	1452.16	48.07%	51.93%	-4.09	12-18
2004-09-14	Minnesota Lynx	W 70-59	1509.65	1492.71	62.93%	37.07%	+3.02	13-18
2004-09-16	Sacramento Monarchs	L 62-71	1512.67	1524.67	58.97%	41.03%	-4.35	13-19
2004-09-18	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 48-68	1508.32	1529.02	36.56%	63.44%	-4.02	13-20
2004-09-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 64-78	1504.30	1472.00	43.88%	56.12%	-4.04	13-21
2004-05-21	New York Liberty	W 69-67	1492.49	1495.03	60.28%	39.72%	+1.38	1-0
2004-05-23	Washington Mystics	L 67-68	1493.87	1456.47	65.64%	34.36%	-1.61	1-1
2004-05-28	@ Charlotte Sting	L 41-63	1492.26	1495.64	38.90%	61.10%	-4.49	1-2
2004-06-01	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 79-60	1487.77	1472.66	41.46%	58.54%	+6.28	2-2
2004-06-05	Charlotte Sting	W 70-57	1494.05	1492.57	60.84%	39.16%	+3.47	3-2
2004-06-09	Detroit Shock	L 79-83	1497.52	1535.85	55.26%	44.74%	-2.72	3-3
2004-06-11	@ New York Liberty	W 72-68	1494.80	1515.54	36.56%	63.44%	+3.12	4-3
2004-06-12	@ Detroit Shock	L 68-72	1497.92	1542.98	33.37%	66.63%	-1.64	4-4
2004-06-16	Sacramento Monarchs	W 63-50	1496.28	1513.10	58.30%	41.70%	+3.70	5-4
2004-06-19	New York Liberty	W 70-65	1499.98	1503.62	60.13%	39.87%	+2.19	6-4
2004-06-22	Connecticut Sun	L 58-63	1502.17	1499.49	61.00%	39.00%	-3.35	6-5
2004-06-25	Los Angeles Sparks	W 71-67	1498.82	1544.93	54.15%	45.85%	+2.25	7-5
2004-06-26	@ Charlotte Sting	L 37-46	1501.07	1494.13	40.32%	59.68%	-2.97	7-6
2004-06-29	@ Detroit Shock	W 69-68	1498.10	1543.01	33.39%	66.61%	+1.64	8-6
2004-07-01	@ Washington Mystics	L 64-69	1499.74	1448.05	46.65%	53.35%	-2.57	8-7
2004-07-03	Phoenix Mercury	W 61-60	1497.17	1465.12	64.94%	35.06%	+0.86	9-7
2004-07-06	@ Connecticut Sun	L 77-79	1498.03	1509.74	37.77%	62.23%	-1.31	9-8
2004-07-08	Minnesota Lynx	W 58-56	1496.72	1483.68	62.41%	37.59%	+1.31	10-8
2004-07-11	Connecticut Sun	L 61-65	1498.03	1505.29	59.63%	40.37%	-2.94	10-9
2004-07-14	Houston Comets	W 70-62	1495.09	1515.02	57.86%	42.14%	+2.93	11-9
2004-07-16	Detroit Shock	W 85-73	1498.02	1531.42	55.96%	44.04%	+3.76	12-9
2004-07-19	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 51-82	1501.78	1552.10	32.70%	67.30%	-4.48	12-10
2004-07-22	@ Seattle Storm	L 54-59	1497.30	1538.12	33.92%	66.08%	-1.87	12-11
2004-07-24	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 56-71	1495.43	1464.67	43.66%	56.34%	-4.16	12-12
2004-07-25	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 62-71	1491.27	1523.47	35.04%	64.96%	-2.59	12-13
2004-07-28	Charlotte Sting	L 53-63	1488.68	1489.01	60.59%	39.41%	-4.71	12-14
2004-07-31	@ Houston Comets	L 54-62	1483.97	1524.05	34.02%	65.98%	-2.37	12-15
2004-09-01	@ Washington Mystics	W 75-58	1481.60	1455.80	42.96%	57.04%	+5.79	13-15
2004-09-03	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 69-61	1487.39	1501.28	37.48%	62.52%	+4.35	14-15
2004-09-04	Washington Mystics	W 69-42	1491.74	1450.01	66.20%	33.80%	+4.32	15-15
2004-09-10	San Antonio Silver Stars	L 65-82	1496.06	1420.16	70.45%	29.55%	-7.14	15-16
2004-09-13	Seattle Storm	L 70-76	1488.92	1536.96	53.88%	46.12%	-3.25	15-17
2004-09-16	@ New York Liberty	L 71-77	1485.67	1484.95	39.47%	60.53%	-2.38	15-18
2004-09-19	@ Connecticut Sun	L 60-80	1483.29	1507.84	36.05%	63.95%	-3.96	15-19
2004-05-22	@ Seattle Storm	L 67-93	1538.89	1514.88	42.71%	57.29%	-5.36	0-1
2004-05-25	@ Washington Mystics	W 95-79	1533.53	1458.08	50.06%	49.94%	+4.92	1-1
2004-05-27	@ Connecticut Sun	L 73-82	1538.45	1495.16	45.44%	54.56%	-3.36	1-2
2004-05-29	@ Detroit Shock	W 63-60	1535.09	1539.57	38.75%	61.25%	+2.61	2-2
2004-06-01	Seattle Storm	W 73-70	1537.70	1516.83	63.46%	36.54%	+1.56	3-2
2004-06-03	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 51-68	1539.26	1514.99	42.75%	57.25%	-4.33	3-3
2004-06-05	@ Houston Comets	L 71-75	1534.93	1526.06	40.59%	59.41%	-2.00	3-4
2004-06-09	Charlotte Sting	W 82-68	1532.93	1489.10	66.47%	33.53%	+3.08	4-4
2004-06-11	Minnesota Lynx	W 69-55	1536.01	1496.04	65.97%	34.03%	+3.14	5-4
2004-06-14	Connecticut Sun	W 76-74	1539.15	1501.51	65.67%	34.33%	+1.19	6-4
2004-06-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 76-74	1540.34	1453.15	51.75%	48.25%	+1.68	7-4
2004-06-20	@ Charlotte Sting	L 63-68	1542.02	1494.57	46.04%	53.96%	-2.53	7-5
2004-06-22	@ New York Liberty	W 65-49	1539.49	1501.43	44.70%	55.30%	+5.44	8-5
2004-06-25	@ Indiana Fever	L 67-71	1544.93	1498.82	45.85%	54.15%	-2.26	8-6
2004-06-27	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 83-67	1542.67	1482.22	47.90%	52.10%	+5.13	9-6
2004-06-29	New York Liberty	W 69-65	1547.80	1495.81	67.51%	32.49%	+1.60	10-6
2004-07-02	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 87-80	1549.40	1446.27	73.61%	26.39%	+1.72	11-6
2004-07-07	Phoenix Mercury	W 73-71	1551.12	1464.26	71.75%	28.25%	+0.98	12-6
2004-07-09	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 66-61	1552.10	1444.55	54.67%	45.33%	+2.49	13-6
2004-07-10	@ Houston Comets	W 59-56	1554.59	1517.38	44.58%	55.42%	+2.36	14-6
2004-07-17	Sacramento Monarchs	L 70-79	1556.95	1518.58	65.76%	34.24%	-4.85	14-7
2004-07-19	Indiana Fever	W 82-51	1552.10	1501.78	67.30%	32.70%	+4.48	15-7
2004-07-21	Washington Mystics	W 96-76	1556.58	1459.00	72.98%	27.02%	+2.97	16-7
2004-07-23	Houston Comets	W 70-67	1559.55	1522.08	65.65%	34.35%	+1.47	17-7
2004-07-29	@ Sacramento Monarchs	W 85-80	1561.02	1526.05	44.26%	55.74%	+3.06	18-7
2004-07-31	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 79-67	1564.08	1426.68	58.88%	41.12%	+3.51	19-7
2004-09-01	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 77-69	1567.59	1423.18	77.96%	22.04%	+1.53	20-7
2004-09-03	Seattle Storm	W 82-81	1569.12	1541.99	64.29%	35.71%	+0.88	21-7
2004-09-08	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 58-72	1570.00	1480.62	52.06%	47.94%	-4.79	21-8
2004-09-09	Detroit Shock	W 81-63	1565.21	1524.31	66.09%	33.91%	+3.54	22-8
2004-09-12	Sacramento Monarchs	W 65-52	1568.75	1527.68	66.11%	33.89%	+3.00	23-8
2004-09-14	Phoenix Mercury	W 73-60	1571.75	1481.53	72.14%	27.86%	+2.47	24-8
2004-09-17	Minnesota Lynx	L 66-78	1574.22	1489.69	71.47%	28.53%	-6.09	24-9
2004-09-18	@ Seattle Storm	W 83-80	1568.13	1543.19	42.84%	57.16%	+2.44	25-9
2004-05-20	@ Seattle Storm	L 85-88	1492.02	1513.33	36.48%	63.52%	-1.55	0-1
2004-05-22	@ Sacramento Monarchs	W 69-61	1490.47	1525.22	34.71%	65.29%	+4.54	1-1
2004-05-26	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 44-56	1495.01	1465.51	43.48%	56.52%	-3.71	1-2
2004-05-28	Washington Mystics	W 73-62	1491.30	1453.17	65.73%	34.27%	+2.80	2-2
2004-05-30	New York Liberty	L 64-68	1494.10	1500.25	59.78%	40.22%	-2.94	2-3
2004-06-03	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 55-47	1491.16	1466.38	63.98%	36.02%	+2.51	3-3
2004-06-05	Phoenix Mercury	W 76-68	1493.67	1454.88	65.82%	34.18%	+2.37	4-3
2004-06-11	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 55-69	1496.04	1536.01	34.03%	65.97%	-3.13	4-4
2004-06-17	Sacramento Monarchs	L 50-60	1492.91	1509.40	58.35%	41.65%	-4.54	4-5
2004-06-19	Houston Comets	W 66-58	1488.37	1529.14	54.92%	45.08%	+3.14	5-5
2004-06-22	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 46-69	1491.51	1451.47	44.98%	55.02%	-5.31	5-6
2004-06-24	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 57-70	1486.20	1446.63	44.92%	55.08%	-3.98	5-7
2004-06-27	Los Angeles Sparks	L 67-83	1482.22	1542.67	52.10%	47.90%	-5.13	5-8
2004-06-30	Houston Comets	W 58-50	1477.09	1528.85	53.34%	46.66%	+3.25	6-8
2004-07-03	Detroit Shock	W 78-70	1480.34	1541.37	52.01%	47.99%	+3.34	7-8
2004-07-08	@ Indiana Fever	L 56-58	1483.68	1496.72	37.59%	62.41%	-1.31	7-9
2004-07-09	Phoenix Mercury	W 61-59	1482.37	1463.28	63.22%	36.78%	+1.28	8-9
2004-07-11	Sacramento Monarchs	W 83-73	1483.65	1518.17	55.80%	44.20%	+3.44	9-9
2004-07-14	Connecticut Sun	W 66-63	1487.09	1508.22	57.69%	42.31%	+1.80	10-9
2004-07-15	@ New York Liberty	W 69-66	1488.89	1488.23	39.46%	60.54%	+2.58	11-9
2004-07-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 63-60	1491.47	1459.48	43.84%	56.16%	+2.39	12-9
2004-07-22	@ Connecticut Sun	W 68-52	1493.86	1503.81	38.01%	61.99%	+6.10	13-9
2004-07-23	@ Washington Mystics	L 61-65	1499.96	1456.02	45.54%	54.46%	-2.24	13-10
2004-07-28	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 66-53	1497.72	1433.51	69.03%	30.97%	+2.75	14-10
2004-07-30	Seattle Storm	L 55-70	1500.47	1536.55	55.58%	44.42%	-5.30	14-11
2004-08-01	@ Detroit Shock	W 59-58	1495.17	1529.90	34.71%	65.29%	+1.61	15-11
2004-09-01	@ Houston Comets	W 72-64	1496.78	1526.41	35.38%	64.62%	+4.50	16-11
2004-09-03	Indiana Fever	L 61-69	1501.28	1487.39	62.52%	37.48%	-4.35	16-12
2004-09-08	Charlotte Sting	L 68-72	1496.93	1485.15	62.24%	37.76%	-3.07	16-13
2004-09-10	Seattle Storm	W 64-61	1493.86	1541.83	53.89%	46.11%	+1.97	17-13
2004-09-11	@ Charlotte Sting	L 50-60	1495.83	1490.70	40.07%	59.93%	-3.12	17-14
2004-09-14	@ Houston Comets	L 59-70	1492.71	1509.65	37.07%	62.93%	-3.02	17-15
2004-09-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 78-66	1489.69	1574.22	28.53%	71.47%	+6.09	18-15
2004-09-19	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 63-72	1495.78	1533.04	34.38%	65.62%	-2.54	18-16
2004-05-21	@ Indiana Fever	L 67-69	1495.03	1492.49	39.72%	60.28%	-1.38	0-1
2004-05-23	Houston Comets	W 68-62	1493.65	1530.51	55.47%	44.53%	+2.68	1-1
2004-05-26	Detroit Shock	W 64-52	1496.33	1543.49	54.00%	46.00%	+3.92	2-1
2004-05-30	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 68-64	1500.25	1494.10	40.22%	59.78%	+2.94	3-1
2004-06-01	@ Charlotte Sting	W 63-53	1503.19	1500.13	39.79%	60.21%	+4.69	4-1
2004-06-03	@ Houston Comets	W 71-62	1507.88	1530.76	36.27%	63.73%	+4.70	5-1
2004-06-05	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 62-57	1512.58	1463.87	46.22%	53.78%	+2.96	6-1
2004-06-11	Indiana Fever	L 68-72	1515.54	1494.80	63.44%	36.56%	-3.12	6-2
2004-06-13	@ Washington Mystics	L 60-62	1512.42	1444.49	48.98%	51.02%	-1.71	6-3
2004-06-15	Seattle Storm	L 62-86	1510.71	1523.46	58.87%	41.13%	-7.09	6-4
2004-06-19	@ Indiana Fever	L 65-70	1503.62	1499.98	39.87%	60.13%	-2.19	6-5
2004-06-22	Los Angeles Sparks	L 49-65	1501.43	1539.49	55.30%	44.70%	-5.44	6-6
2004-06-24	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 60-72	1495.99	1456.77	44.86%	55.14%	-3.83	6-7
2004-06-26	@ Seattle Storm	W 67-62	1492.16	1534.80	33.68%	66.32%	+3.65	7-7
2004-06-29	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 65-69	1495.81	1547.80	32.49%	67.51%	-1.60	7-8
2004-07-01	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 47-73	1494.21	1514.02	36.68%	63.32%	-4.60	7-9
2004-07-06	Sacramento Monarchs	W 73-66	1489.61	1515.20	57.07%	42.93%	+2.79	8-9
2004-07-08	Washington Mystics	L 54-71	1492.40	1452.82	65.92%	34.08%	-6.68	8-10
2004-07-11	Phoenix Mercury	W 77-69	1485.72	1462.00	63.84%	36.16%	+2.51	9-10
2004-07-15	Minnesota Lynx	L 66-69	1488.23	1488.89	60.54%	39.46%	-2.58	9-11
2004-07-18	Charlotte Sting	W 75-58	1485.65	1494.72	59.38%	40.62%	+4.12	10-11
2004-07-20	@ Charlotte Sting	W 80-74	1489.77	1490.60	39.25%	60.75%	+3.67	11-11
2004-07-24	Detroit Shock	W 78-69	1493.44	1527.02	55.94%	44.06%	+3.25	12-11
2004-07-30	@ Detroit Shock	L 79-88	1496.69	1527.30	35.25%	64.75%	-2.60	12-12
2004-07-31	Connecticut Sun	W 80-66	1494.09	1499.45	59.89%	40.11%	+3.69	13-12
2004-09-02	Charlotte Sting	W 56-52	1497.78	1490.91	61.57%	38.43%	+1.89	14-12
2004-09-03	@ Connecticut Sun	L 43-61	1499.67	1493.13	40.27%	59.73%	-4.20	14-13
2004-09-09	@ Washington Mystics	L 59-71	1495.47	1448.23	46.01%	53.99%	-3.93	14-14
2004-09-10	Connecticut Sun	L 66-77	1491.54	1497.33	59.83%	40.17%	-4.88	14-15
2004-09-12	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 64-62	1486.66	1427.31	68.43%	31.57%	+1.10	15-15
2004-09-14	@ Detroit Shock	L 71-82	1487.76	1524.65	34.43%	65.57%	-2.81	15-16
2004-09-16	Indiana Fever	W 77-71	1484.95	1485.67	60.53%	39.47%	+2.38	16-16
2004-09-17	@ Connecticut Sun	W 69-66	1487.33	1510.56	36.22%	63.78%	+2.72	17-16
2004-09-19	Washington Mystics	W 79-75	1490.05	1464.94	64.03%	35.97%	+1.77	18-16
2004-05-20	Sacramento Monarchs	L 66-72	1450.21	1522.18	50.44%	49.56%	-3.04	0-1
2004-05-22	@ Connecticut Sun	W 65-58	1447.17	1504.23	31.86%	68.14%	+4.43	1-1
2004-05-28	Seattle Storm	W 84-76	1451.60	1520.24	50.92%	49.08%	+3.42	2-1
2004-06-01	Houston Comets	W 73-63	1455.02	1534.70	49.33%	50.67%	+3.94	3-1
2004-06-03	@ Seattle Storm	L 45-72	1458.96	1515.27	31.95%	68.05%	-4.08	3-2
2004-06-05	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 68-76	1454.88	1493.67	34.18%	65.82%	-2.38	3-3
2004-06-09	Connecticut Sun	W 75-59	1452.50	1503.97	53.38%	46.62%	+4.58	4-3
2004-06-11	Charlotte Sting	L 51-59	1457.08	1486.01	56.60%	43.40%	-3.93	4-4
2004-06-18	Los Angeles Sparks	L 74-76	1453.15	1540.34	48.25%	51.75%	-1.68	4-5
2004-06-22	Minnesota Lynx	W 69-46	1451.47	1491.51	55.02%	44.98%	+5.30	5-5
2004-06-24	New York Liberty	W 72-60	1456.77	1495.99	55.14%	44.86%	+3.83	6-5
2004-06-26	San Antonio Silver Stars	L 72-80	1460.60	1450.61	62.00%	38.00%	-4.32	6-6
2004-06-27	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 57-63	1456.28	1512.10	32.01%	67.99%	-1.93	6-7
2004-06-29	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 77-65	1454.35	1454.92	39.29%	60.71%	+5.18	7-7
2004-07-01	@ Charlotte Sting	W 71-59	1459.53	1497.11	34.34%	65.66%	+5.59	8-7
2004-07-03	@ Indiana Fever	L 60-61	1465.12	1497.17	35.06%	64.94%	-0.86	8-8
2004-07-07	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 71-73	1464.26	1551.12	28.25%	71.75%	-0.98	8-9
2004-07-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 59-61	1463.28	1482.37	36.78%	63.22%	-1.28	8-10
2004-07-11	@ New York Liberty	L 69-77	1462.00	1485.72	36.16%	63.84%	-2.52	8-11
2004-07-18	Minnesota Lynx	L 60-63	1459.48	1491.47	56.16%	43.84%	-2.39	8-12
2004-07-21	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 87-55	1457.09	1441.58	62.74%	37.26%	+5.18	9-12
2004-07-22	@ Sacramento Monarchs	W 71-69	1462.27	1525.86	31.05%	68.95%	+2.40	10-12
2004-07-24	Indiana Fever	W 71-56	1464.67	1495.43	56.34%	43.66%	+4.16	11-12
2004-07-30	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 68-59	1468.83	1430.76	44.70%	55.30%	+4.08	12-12
2004-08-01	@ Washington Mystics	L 62-82	1472.91	1451.13	42.40%	57.60%	-4.66	12-13
2004-09-01	@ Detroit Shock	W 63-58	1468.25	1528.29	31.48%	68.52%	+3.77	13-13
2004-09-03	@ Houston Comets	W 70-60	1472.02	1521.92	32.76%	67.24%	+5.23	14-13
2004-09-04	Seattle Storm	W 63-55	1477.25	1541.11	51.61%	48.39%	+3.37	15-13
2004-09-08	Los Angeles Sparks	W 72-58	1480.62	1570.00	47.94%	52.06%	+4.79	16-13
2004-09-11	Detroit Shock	L 72-80	1485.41	1520.77	55.68%	44.32%	-3.88	16-14
2004-09-14	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 60-73	1481.53	1571.75	27.86%	72.14%	-2.47	16-15
2004-09-15	@ Seattle Storm	L 58-73	1479.06	1540.21	31.35%	68.65%	-2.98	16-16
2004-09-17	Washington Mystics	L 67-74	1476.08	1460.86	62.70%	37.30%	-4.08	16-17
2004-09-19	Houston Comets	W 78-64	1472.00	1504.30	56.12%	43.88%	+4.03	17-17
2004-05-20	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 72-66	1522.18	1450.21	49.56%	50.44%	+3.04	1-0
2004-05-22	Minnesota Lynx	L 61-69	1525.22	1490.47	65.29%	34.71%	-4.54	1-1
2004-05-28	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 63-72	1520.68	1469.22	46.61%	53.39%	-3.44	1-2
2004-05-30	@ Houston Comets	L 57-63	1517.24	1532.45	37.30%	62.70%	-2.25	1-3
2004-06-03	Los Angeles Sparks	W 68-51	1514.99	1539.26	57.25%	42.75%	+4.34	2-3
2004-06-05	Seattle Storm	L 63-65	1519.33	1519.35	60.63%	39.37%	-2.11	2-4
2004-06-12	Connecticut Sun	L 76-83	1517.22	1497.38	63.32%	36.68%	-4.12	2-5
2004-06-16	@ Indiana Fever	L 50-63	1513.10	1496.28	41.70%	58.30%	-3.70	2-6
2004-06-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 60-50	1509.40	1492.91	41.65%	58.35%	+4.54	3-6
2004-06-19	Detroit Shock	L 74-84	1513.94	1544.62	56.35%	43.65%	-4.39	3-7
2004-06-25	Houston Comets	W 61-55	1509.55	1529.76	57.83%	42.17%	+2.55	4-7
2004-06-27	Phoenix Mercury	W 63-57	1512.10	1456.28	67.99%	32.01%	+1.92	5-7
2004-07-01	New York Liberty	W 73-47	1514.02	1494.21	63.32%	36.68%	+4.61	6-7
2004-07-03	@ Seattle Storm	L 61-75	1518.63	1534.64	37.19%	62.81%	-3.43	6-8
2004-07-06	@ New York Liberty	L 66-73	1515.20	1489.61	42.93%	57.07%	-2.79	6-9
2004-07-09	@ Connecticut Sun	W 85-70	1512.41	1511.05	39.55%	60.45%	+5.76	7-9
2004-07-11	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 73-83	1518.17	1483.65	44.20%	55.80%	-3.44	7-10
2004-07-12	@ Detroit Shock	W 67-51	1514.73	1544.11	35.41%	64.59%	+6.35	8-10
2004-07-15	Seattle Storm	L 63-66	1521.08	1534.58	58.76%	41.24%	-2.50	8-11
2004-07-17	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-70	1518.58	1556.95	34.24%	65.76%	+4.85	9-11
2004-07-18	Washington Mystics	W 81-71	1523.43	1461.43	68.76%	31.24%	+2.43	10-11
2004-07-22	Phoenix Mercury	L 69-71	1525.86	1462.27	68.95%	31.05%	-2.39	10-12
2004-07-25	Indiana Fever	W 71-62	1523.47	1491.27	64.96%	35.04%	+2.58	11-12
2004-07-29	Los Angeles Sparks	L 80-85	1526.05	1561.02	55.74%	44.26%	-3.06	11-13
2004-07-31	Charlotte Sting	W 62-61	1522.99	1493.73	64.57%	35.43%	+0.87	12-13
2004-09-01	@ Seattle Storm	W 73-65	1523.86	1546.42	36.31%	63.69%	+4.43	13-13
2004-09-02	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 66-64	1528.29	1421.64	74.00%	26.00%	+0.90	14-13
2004-09-04	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 80-70	1529.19	1420.74	54.80%	45.20%	+3.52	15-13
2004-09-07	@ Washington Mystics	L 63-67	1532.71	1445.69	51.72%	48.28%	-2.55	15-14
2004-09-09	@ Charlotte Sting	L 69-74	1530.16	1488.21	45.25%	54.75%	-2.48	15-15
2004-09-12	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 52-65	1527.68	1568.75	33.89%	66.11%	-3.01	15-16
2004-09-16	@ Houston Comets	W 71-62	1524.67	1512.67	41.03%	58.97%	+4.35	16-16
2004-09-18	Houston Comets	W 68-48	1529.02	1508.32	63.44%	36.56%	+4.02	17-16
2004-09-19	Minnesota Lynx	W 72-63	1533.04	1495.78	65.62%	34.38%	+2.54	18-16
2004-05-20	@ Houston Comets	W 64-55	1464.90	1531.95	30.62%	69.38%	+5.12	1-0
2004-05-22	Detroit Shock	L 60-73	1470.02	1538.97	50.87%	49.13%	-4.51	1-1
2004-05-26	Minnesota Lynx	W 56-44	1465.51	1495.01	56.52%	43.48%	+3.71	2-1
2004-05-28	Sacramento Monarchs	W 72-63	1469.22	1520.68	53.39%	46.61%	+3.44	3-1
2004-06-01	Indiana Fever	L 60-79	1472.66	1487.77	58.54%	41.46%	-6.28	3-2
2004-06-03	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 47-55	1466.38	1491.16	36.02%	63.98%	-2.51	3-3
2004-06-05	New York Liberty	L 57-62	1463.87	1512.58	53.78%	46.22%	-2.95	3-4
2004-06-09	@ Houston Comets	L 47-59	1460.92	1528.05	30.61%	69.39%	-2.61	3-5
2004-06-12	Houston Comets	L 66-69	1458.31	1530.66	50.38%	49.62%	-2.15	3-6
2004-06-15	@ Charlotte Sting	L 57-59	1456.16	1489.95	34.83%	65.17%	-1.21	3-7
2004-06-17	@ Washington Mystics	L 60-76	1454.95	1446.19	40.58%	59.42%	-3.99	3-8
2004-06-19	Seattle Storm	L 61-74	1450.96	1534.23	48.81%	51.19%	-4.33	3-9
2004-06-24	Minnesota Lynx	W 70-57	1446.63	1486.20	55.08%	44.92%	+3.98	4-9
2004-06-26	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 80-72	1450.61	1460.60	38.00%	62.00%	+4.31	5-9
2004-06-29	Phoenix Mercury	L 65-77	1454.92	1454.35	60.71%	39.29%	-5.17	5-10
2004-07-01	@ Seattle Storm	L 52-76	1449.75	1531.16	28.89%	71.11%	-3.48	5-11
2004-07-02	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 80-87	1446.27	1549.40	26.39%	73.61%	-1.72	5-12
2004-07-09	Los Angeles Sparks	L 61-66	1444.55	1552.10	45.33%	54.67%	-2.49	5-13
2004-07-12	@ Seattle Storm	L 59-75	1442.06	1531.83	27.91%	72.09%	-2.75	5-14
2004-07-15	Connecticut Sun	W 78-67	1439.31	1506.42	51.14%	48.86%	+3.99	6-14
2004-07-18	@ Detroit Shock	L 71-77	1443.30	1527.67	28.54%	71.46%	-1.72	6-15
2004-07-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 55-87	1441.58	1457.09	37.26%	62.74%	-5.19	6-16
2004-07-24	@ Connecticut Sun	L 55-69	1436.39	1497.71	31.33%	68.67%	-2.88	6-17
2004-07-28	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 53-66	1433.51	1497.72	30.97%	69.03%	-2.75	6-18
2004-07-30	Phoenix Mercury	L 59-68	1430.76	1468.83	55.30%	44.70%	-4.08	6-19
2004-07-31	Los Angeles Sparks	L 67-79	1426.68	1564.08	41.12%	58.88%	-3.50	6-20
2004-09-01	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 69-77	1423.18	1567.59	22.04%	77.96%	-1.54	6-21
2004-09-02	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 64-66	1421.64	1528.29	26.00%	74.00%	-0.90	6-22
2004-09-04	Sacramento Monarchs	L 70-80	1420.74	1529.19	45.20%	54.80%	-3.52	6-23
2004-09-09	Houston Comets	W 77-72	1417.22	1516.69	46.49%	53.51%	+2.94	7-23
2004-09-10	@ Indiana Fever	W 82-65	1420.16	1496.06	29.55%	70.45%	+7.15	8-23
2004-09-12	@ New York Liberty	L 62-64	1427.31	1486.66	31.57%	68.43%	-1.10	8-24
2004-09-15	Washington Mystics	L 73-84	1426.21	1456.25	56.44%	43.56%	-4.60	8-25
2004-09-17	Charlotte Sting	W 82-65	1421.61	1488.38	51.19%	48.81%	+4.95	9-25
2004-05-20	Minnesota Lynx	W 88-85	1513.33	1492.02	63.52%	36.48%	+1.55	1-0
2004-05-22	Los Angeles Sparks	W 93-67	1514.88	1538.89	57.29%	42.71%	+5.36	2-0
2004-05-28	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 76-84	1520.24	1451.60	49.08%	50.92%	-3.41	2-1
2004-06-01	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 70-73	1516.83	1537.70	36.54%	63.46%	-1.56	2-2
2004-06-03	Phoenix Mercury	W 72-45	1515.27	1458.96	68.05%	31.95%	+4.08	3-2
2004-06-05	@ Sacramento Monarchs	W 65-63	1519.35	1519.33	39.37%	60.63%	+2.11	4-2
2004-06-11	Connecticut Sun	W 68-63	1521.46	1499.38	63.62%	36.38%	+2.00	5-2
2004-06-15	@ New York Liberty	W 86-62	1523.46	1510.71	41.13%	58.87%	+7.10	6-2
2004-06-18	@ Houston Comets	W 69-63	1530.56	1532.81	39.06%	60.94%	+3.67	7-2
2004-06-19	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 74-61	1534.23	1450.96	51.19%	48.81%	+4.33	8-2
2004-06-22	Houston Comets	L 57-63	1538.56	1526.00	62.34%	37.66%	-3.76	8-3
2004-06-26	New York Liberty	L 62-67	1534.80	1492.16	66.32%	33.68%	-3.64	8-4
2004-07-01	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 76-52	1531.16	1449.75	71.11%	28.89%	+3.48	9-4
2004-07-03	Sacramento Monarchs	W 75-61	1534.64	1518.63	62.81%	37.19%	+3.42	10-4
2004-07-07	@ Washington Mystics	L 69-72	1538.06	1450.61	51.79%	48.21%	-2.21	10-5
2004-07-08	@ Charlotte Sting	L 67-70	1535.85	1495.76	44.99%	55.01%	-1.91	10-6
2004-07-10	@ Detroit Shock	L 65-70	1533.94	1542.01	38.26%	61.74%	-2.11	10-7
2004-07-12	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 75-59	1531.83	1442.06	72.09%	27.91%	+2.75	11-7
2004-07-15	@ Sacramento Monarchs	W 66-63	1534.58	1521.08	41.24%	58.76%	+2.50	12-7
2004-07-17	Washington Mystics	W 85-83	1537.08	1462.46	70.30%	29.70%	+1.04	13-7
2004-07-22	Indiana Fever	W 59-54	1538.12	1497.30	66.08%	33.92%	+1.86	14-7
2004-07-24	Houston Comets	W 67-63	1539.98	1520.62	63.26%	36.74%	+1.81	15-7
2004-07-27	@ Houston Comets	L 55-80	1541.79	1518.81	42.56%	57.44%	-5.24	15-8
2004-07-30	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 70-55	1536.55	1500.47	44.42%	55.58%	+5.30	16-8
2004-08-01	Charlotte Sting	W 87-55	1541.85	1492.86	67.13%	32.87%	+4.57	17-8
2004-09-01	Sacramento Monarchs	L 65-73	1546.42	1523.86	63.69%	36.31%	-4.43	17-9
2004-09-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 81-82	1541.99	1569.12	35.71%	64.29%	-0.88	17-10
2004-09-04	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 55-63	1541.11	1477.25	48.39%	51.61%	-3.36	17-11
2004-09-08	Detroit Shock	W 86-67	1537.75	1528.40	61.91%	38.09%	+4.08	18-11
2004-09-10	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 61-64	1541.83	1493.86	46.11%	53.89%	-1.96	18-12
2004-09-12	@ Connecticut Sun	L 64-71	1539.87	1502.22	44.64%	55.36%	-2.91	18-13
2004-09-13	@ Indiana Fever	W 76-70	1536.96	1488.92	46.12%	53.88%	+3.25	19-13
2004-09-15	Phoenix Mercury	W 73-58	1540.21	1479.06	68.65%	31.35%	+2.98	20-13
2004-09-18	Los Angeles Sparks	L 80-83	1543.19	1568.13	57.16%	42.84%	-2.43	20-14
2004-05-22	Charlotte Sting	L 68-71	1458.85	1493.26	55.82%	44.18%	-2.38	0-1
2004-05-23	@ Indiana Fever	W 68-67	1456.47	1493.87	34.36%	65.64%	+1.61	1-1
2004-05-25	Los Angeles Sparks	L 79-95	1458.08	1533.53	49.94%	50.06%	-4.91	1-2
2004-05-28	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 62-73	1453.17	1491.30	34.27%	65.73%	-2.80	1-3
2004-06-02	@ Detroit Shock	W 65-63	1450.37	1536.96	28.29%	71.71%	+2.50	2-3
2004-06-04	Connecticut Sun	L 63-72	1452.87	1501.39	53.81%	46.19%	-3.97	2-4
2004-06-11	Detroit Shock	L 60-74	1448.90	1538.57	47.89%	52.11%	-4.41	2-5
2004-06-13	New York Liberty	W 62-60	1444.49	1512.42	51.02%	48.98%	+1.70	3-5
2004-06-17	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 76-60	1446.19	1454.95	59.42%	40.58%	+3.99	4-5
2004-06-20	@ Connecticut Sun	L 65-75	1450.18	1496.91	33.16%	66.84%	-2.58	4-6
2004-06-22	@ Detroit Shock	W 78-72	1447.60	1549.01	26.59%	73.41%	+4.43	5-6
2004-06-27	@ Houston Comets	L 67-72	1452.03	1527.22	29.64%	70.36%	-1.63	5-7
2004-06-30	@ Connecticut Sun	L 69-78	1450.40	1507.38	31.87%	68.13%	-2.35	5-8
2004-07-01	Indiana Fever	W 69-64	1448.05	1499.74	53.35%	46.65%	+2.56	6-8
2004-07-07	Seattle Storm	W 72-69	1450.61	1538.06	48.21%	51.79%	+2.21	7-8
2004-07-08	@ New York Liberty	W 71-54	1452.82	1492.40	34.08%	65.92%	+6.69	8-8
2004-07-10	@ Charlotte Sting	L 65-67	1459.51	1497.67	34.26%	65.74%	-1.20	8-9
2004-07-15	Charlotte Sting	W 68-54	1458.31	1498.86	54.95%	45.05%	+4.15	9-9
2004-07-17	@ Seattle Storm	L 83-85	1462.46	1537.08	29.70%	70.30%	-1.03	9-10
2004-07-18	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 71-81	1461.43	1523.43	31.24%	68.76%	-2.43	9-11
2004-07-21	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 76-96	1459.00	1556.58	27.02%	72.98%	-2.98	9-12
2004-07-23	Minnesota Lynx	W 65-61	1456.02	1499.96	54.46%	45.54%	+2.24	10-12
2004-07-24	@ Charlotte Sting	L 41-70	1458.26	1484.26	35.86%	64.14%	-4.75	10-13
2004-07-28	Detroit Shock	L 65-73	1453.51	1523.77	50.69%	49.31%	-3.52	10-14
2004-07-30	Connecticut Sun	W 69-68	1449.99	1500.60	53.51%	46.49%	+1.14	11-14
2004-08-01	Phoenix Mercury	W 82-62	1451.13	1472.91	57.60%	42.40%	+4.67	12-14
2004-09-01	Indiana Fever	L 58-75	1455.80	1481.60	57.04%	42.96%	-5.79	12-15
2004-09-04	@ Indiana Fever	L 42-69	1450.01	1491.74	33.80%	66.20%	-4.32	12-16
2004-09-07	Sacramento Monarchs	W 67-63	1445.69	1532.71	48.28%	51.72%	+2.54	13-16
2004-09-09	New York Liberty	W 71-59	1448.23	1495.47	53.99%	46.01%	+3.93	14-16
2004-09-12	Houston Comets	W 75-63	1452.16	1513.74	51.93%	48.07%	+4.09	15-16
2004-09-15	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 84-73	1456.25	1426.21	43.56%	56.44%	+4.61	16-16
2004-09-17	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 74-67	1460.86	1476.08	37.30%	62.70%	+4.08	17-16
2004-09-19	@ New York Liberty	L 75-79	1464.94	1490.05	35.97%	64.03%	-1.77	17-17

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2004-09-25	@ Washington Mystics	L 59-67	1511.81	1463.17	46.21%	53.79%	-3.22	0-1
2004-09-27	Washington Mystics	W 80-70	1508.59	1466.38	66.26%	33.74%	+2.63	1-1
2004-09-29	Washington Mystics	W 76-56	1511.22	1463.76	66.93%	33.07%	+3.63	2-1
2004-10-01	@ New York Liberty	W 61-51	1514.85	1494.78	42.16%	57.84%	+4.50	3-1
2004-10-03	New York Liberty	W 60-57	1519.35	1490.28	64.55%	35.45%	+1.51	4-1
2004-10-08	Seattle Storm	W 68-64	1520.86	1553.99	56.00%	44.00%	+2.17	5-1
2004-10-10	@ Seattle Storm	L 65-67	1523.03	1551.82	35.49%	64.51%	-1.23	5-2
2004-10-12	@ Seattle Storm	L 60-74	1521.80	1553.06	35.16%	64.84%	-3.24	5-3
2004-09-24	New York Liberty	L 62-75	1530.54	1491.82	65.81%	34.19%	-5.84	0-1
2004-09-26	@ New York Liberty	W 76-66	1524.70	1497.65	43.14%	56.86%	+4.43	1-1
2004-09-28	@ New York Liberty	L 64-66	1529.13	1493.23	44.39%	55.61%	-1.55	1-2
2004-09-24	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 52-72	1570.57	1535.58	44.26%	55.74%	-4.87	0-1
2004-09-26	Sacramento Monarchs	W 71-57	1565.70	1540.45	64.04%	35.96%	+3.31	1-1
2004-09-28	Sacramento Monarchs	L 58-73	1569.01	1537.14	64.92%	35.08%	-6.19	1-2
2004-09-25	Seattle Storm	L 58-70	1493.24	1540.76	53.95%	46.05%	-4.60	0-1
2004-09-27	@ Seattle Storm	L 54-64	1488.64	1545.36	31.90%	68.10%	-2.48	0-2
2004-09-24	@ Detroit Shock	W 75-62	1491.82	1530.54	34.19%	65.81%	+5.83	1-0
2004-09-26	Detroit Shock	L 66-76	1497.65	1524.70	56.86%	43.14%	-4.42	1-1
2004-09-28	Detroit Shock	W 66-64	1493.23	1529.13	55.61%	44.39%	+1.55	2-1
2004-10-01	Connecticut Sun	L 51-61	1494.78	1514.85	57.84%	42.16%	-4.50	2-2
2004-10-03	@ Connecticut Sun	L 57-60	1490.28	1519.35	35.45%	64.55%	-1.51	2-3
2004-09-24	Los Angeles Sparks	W 72-52	1535.58	1570.57	55.74%	44.26%	+4.87	1-0
2004-09-26	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 57-71	1540.45	1565.70	35.96%	64.04%	-3.31	1-1
2004-09-28	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 73-58	1537.14	1569.01	35.08%	64.92%	+6.19	2-1
2004-10-01	Seattle Storm	W 74-72	1543.33	1547.84	60.01%	39.99%	+1.39	3-1
2004-10-03	@ Seattle Storm	L 54-66	1544.72	1546.45	39.13%	60.87%	-3.34	3-2
2004-10-05	@ Seattle Storm	L 62-82	1541.38	1549.78	38.22%	61.78%	-4.20	3-3
2004-09-25	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 70-58	1540.76	1493.24	46.05%	53.95%	+4.60	1-0
2004-09-27	Minnesota Lynx	W 64-54	1545.36	1488.64	68.10%	31.90%	+2.48	2-0
2004-10-01	@ Sacramento Monarchs	L 72-74	1547.84	1543.33	39.99%	60.01%	-1.39	2-1
2004-10-03	Sacramento Monarchs	W 66-54	1546.45	1544.72	60.87%	39.13%	+3.33	3-1
2004-10-05	Sacramento Monarchs	W 82-62	1549.78	1541.38	61.78%	38.22%	+4.21	4-1
2004-10-08	@ Connecticut Sun	L 64-68	1553.99	1520.86	44.00%	56.00%	-2.17	4-2
2004-10-10	Connecticut Sun	W 67-65	1551.82	1523.03	64.51%	35.49%	+1.24	5-2
2004-10-12	Connecticut Sun	W 74-60	1553.06	1521.80	64.84%	35.16%	+3.23	6-2
2004-09-25	Connecticut Sun	W 67-59	1463.17	1511.81	53.79%	46.21%	+3.21	1-0
2004-09-27	@ Connecticut Sun	L 70-80	1466.38	1508.59	33.74%	66.26%	-2.62	1-1
2004-09-29	@ Connecticut Sun	L 56-76	1463.76	1511.22	33.07%	66.93%	-3.64	1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2004-06-22	26.59%	Washington Mystics	1447.60	78	@ Detroit Shock	1549.01	72
2	2004-06-02	28.29%	Washington Mystics	1450.37	65	@ Detroit Shock	1536.96	63
3	2004-09-17	28.53%	Minnesota Lynx	1489.69	78	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1574.22	66
4	2004-09-10	29.55%	San Antonio Silver Stars	1420.16	82	@ Indiana Fever	1496.06	65
5	2004-05-20	30.62%	San Antonio Silver Stars	1464.90	64	@ Houston Comets	1531.95	55
6	2004-07-22	31.05%	Phoenix Mercury	1462.27	71	@ Sacramento Monarchs	1525.86	69
7	2004-09-01	31.48%	Phoenix Mercury	1468.25	63	@ Detroit Shock	1528.29	58
8	2004-05-22	31.86%	Phoenix Mercury	1447.17	65	@ Connecticut Sun	1504.23	58
9	2004-09-03	32.76%	Phoenix Mercury	1472.02	70	@ Houston Comets	1521.92	60
10	2004-06-29	33.39%	Indiana Fever	1498.10	69	@ Detroit Shock	1543.01	68
11	2004-06-26	33.68%	New York Liberty	1492.16	67	@ Seattle Storm	1534.80	62
12	2004-06-27	34.00%	Connecticut Sun	1505.09	74	@ Detroit Shock	1545.31	72
13	2004-07-08	34.08%	Washington Mystics	1452.82	71	@ New York Liberty	1492.40	54
14	2004-09-24 *	34.19%	New York Liberty	1491.82	75	@ Detroit Shock	1530.54	62
15	2004-07-17	34.24%	Sacramento Monarchs	1518.58	79	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1556.95	70
16	2004-07-01	34.34%	Phoenix Mercury	1459.53	71	@ Charlotte Sting	1497.11	59
17	2004-05-23	34.36%	Washington Mystics	1456.47	68	@ Indiana Fever	1493.87	67
18	2004-05-22	34.71%	Minnesota Lynx	1490.47	69	@ Sacramento Monarchs	1525.22	61
19	2004-08-01	34.71%	Minnesota Lynx	1495.17	59	@ Detroit Shock	1529.90	58
20	2004-07-03	34.79%	Charlotte Sting	1491.51	62	@ Houston Comets	1525.60	55
21	2004-09-28 *	35.08%	Sacramento Monarchs	1537.14	73	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1569.01	58
22	2004-07-21	35.25%	Connecticut Sun	1498.78	78	@ Detroit Shock	1529.39	68
23	2004-09-01	35.38%	Minnesota Lynx	1496.78	72	@ Houston Comets	1526.41	64
24	2004-07-12	35.41%	Sacramento Monarchs	1514.73	67	@ Detroit Shock	1544.11	51
25	2004-09-17	36.22%	New York Liberty	1487.33	69	@ Connecticut Sun	1510.56	66

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2004-09-10	7.15	San Antonio Silver Stars	82	1420.16	29.55%	@ Indiana Fever	65	1496.06	70.45%
2	2004-06-15	7.10	Seattle Storm	86	1523.46	41.13%	@ New York Liberty	62	1510.71	58.87%
3	2004-07-08	6.69	Washington Mystics	71	1452.82	34.08%	@ New York Liberty	54	1492.40	65.92%
4	2004-07-12	6.35	Sacramento Monarchs	67	1514.73	35.41%	@ Detroit Shock	51	1544.11	64.59%
5	2004-07-15	6.34	@ Houston Comets	97	1512.08	57.06%	Detroit Shock	61	1537.76	42.94%
6	2004-06-01	6.28	Indiana Fever	79	1487.77	41.46%	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	60	1472.66	58.54%
7	2004-09-28 *	6.19	Sacramento Monarchs	73	1537.14	35.08%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	58	1569.01	64.92%
8	2004-07-22	6.10	Minnesota Lynx	68	1493.86	38.01%	@ Connecticut Sun	52	1503.81	61.99%
9	2004-09-17	6.09	Minnesota Lynx	78	1489.69	28.53%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	66	1574.22	71.47%
10	2004-09-24 *	5.84	New York Liberty	75	1491.82	34.19%	@ Detroit Shock	62	1530.54	65.81%
11	2004-09-01	5.79	Indiana Fever	75	1481.60	42.96%	@ Washington Mystics	58	1455.80	57.04%
12	2004-07-09	5.76	Sacramento Monarchs	85	1512.41	39.55%	@ Connecticut Sun	70	1511.05	60.45%
13	2004-07-01	5.60	Phoenix Mercury	71	1459.53	34.34%	@ Charlotte Sting	59	1497.11	65.66%
14	2004-06-22	5.44	Los Angeles Sparks	65	1539.49	44.70%	@ New York Liberty	49	1501.43	55.30%
15	2004-09-15	5.44	Connecticut Sun	81	1505.12	40.93%	@ Charlotte Sting	67	1493.82	59.07%
16	2004-05-22	5.36	@ Seattle Storm	93	1514.88	57.29%	Los Angeles Sparks	67	1538.89	42.71%
17	2004-06-22	5.31	@ Phoenix Mercury	69	1451.47	55.02%	Minnesota Lynx	46	1491.51	44.98%
18	2004-07-30	5.30	Seattle Storm	70	1536.55	44.42%	@ Minnesota Lynx	55	1500.47	55.58%
19	2004-07-27	5.24	@ Houston Comets	80	1518.81	57.44%	Seattle Storm	55	1541.79	42.56%
20	2004-09-03	5.23	Phoenix Mercury	70	1472.02	32.76%	@ Houston Comets	60	1521.92	67.24%
21	2004-07-21	5.19	@ Phoenix Mercury	87	1457.09	62.74%	San Antonio Silver Stars	55	1441.58	37.26%
22	2004-06-29	5.18	Phoenix Mercury	77	1454.35	39.29%	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	65	1454.92	60.71%
23	2004-06-27	5.13	Los Angeles Sparks	83	1542.67	47.90%	@ Minnesota Lynx	67	1482.22	52.10%
24	2004-05-20	5.12	San Antonio Silver Stars	64	1464.90	30.62%	@ Houston Comets	55	1531.95	69.38%
25	2004-07-21	5.04	Connecticut Sun	78	1498.78	35.25%	@ Detroit Shock	68	1529.39	64.75%