1944-45 Segunda División Season

182 games

Final

Promoted

Alcoyano

34 pts

Hercules · 33 pts

Celta Vigo · via playoff

Relegated

Baracaldo

13 pts

Leonesa · 22 pts

Constancia · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Hercules

5.26 points above expected

33 points · 27.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Baracaldo

8.55 points below expected

13 points · 21.55 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Alcoyano Promoted 26 13 8 5 34 57 35 +22 29.36 +4.64
2 Hercules Promoted 26 15 3 8 33 55 39 +16 27.74 +5.26
3 Celta Vigo Promoted 26 14 4 8 32 65 40 +25 26.78 +5.22
4 Real Sociedad 26 12 7 7 31 56 34 +22 30.34 +0.66
5 Xerez 26 11 7 8 29 52 50 +2 27.82 +1.18
6 Real Santander 26 11 4 11 26 69 57 +12 25.37 +0.63
7 Real Zaragoza 26 12 2 12 26 50 53 -3 26.61 -0.61
8 Real Betis 26 11 4 11 26 45 47 -2 26.02 -0.02
9 SD Ceuta 26 10 4 12 24 40 49 -9 24.26 -0.26
10 Racing Ferrol 26 10 4 12 24 44 68 -24 22.12 +1.88
11 Mallorca 26 9 4 13 22 44 55 -11 24.98 -2.98
12 Constancia Relegated 26 9 4 13 22 42 53 -11 25.02 -3.02
13 Leonesa Relegated 26 10 2 14 22 41 49 -8 26.04 -4.04
14 Baracaldo Relegated 26 5 3 18 13 31 62 -31 21.55 -8.55

Phase 1 was played using regional groups. The top teams from each advanced to a final round-robin that started from zero; Phase 1 results did not carry forward. The group tables above are Phase 1 context.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hercules 33 27.74 +5.26
2 Celta Vigo 32 26.78 +5.22
3 Alcoyano 34 29.36 +4.64
4 Racing Ferrol 24 22.12 +1.88
5 Xerez 29 27.82 +1.18

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Baracaldo 13 21.55 -8.55
2 Leonesa 22 26.04 -4.04
3 Constancia 22 25.02 -3.02
4 Mallorca 22 24.98 -2.98
5 Real Zaragoza 26 26.61 -0.61

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Real Sociedad 5 Sep 24 – Oct 22 1 in 67
2 Alcoyano 3 Nov 19 – Dec 3 1 in 43
3 Racing Ferrol 3 Mar 25 – Apr 15 1 in 31
4 Xerez 3 Nov 19 – Dec 3 1 in 15
5 SD Ceuta 3 Feb 25 – Mar 25 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Real Zaragoza 4 Nov 12 – Dec 3 1 in 121
2 Mallorca 3 Oct 1 – Oct 15 1 in 20
3 Hercules 2 Feb 25 – Mar 18 1 in 14
4 SD Ceuta 4 Apr 8 – May 13 1 in 13
5 Baracaldo 4 Feb 25 – Apr 8 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Xerez 9 Nov 5 – Jan 14 1 in 151
2 SD Ceuta 5 Oct 15 – Nov 12 1 in 48
3 Real Sociedad 8 Dec 10 – Feb 25 1 in 38
4 Alcoyano 7 Sep 24 – Nov 5 1 in 24
5 Real Zaragoza 4 Dec 10 – Jan 14 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alcoyano 6 Oct 8 – Nov 12 1 in 83
2 Real Sociedad 7 Nov 12 – Jan 7 1 in 66
3 Baracaldo 12 Jan 14 – May 20 1 in 64
4 Xerez 5 Dec 10 – Jan 28 1 in 24
5 Real Zaragoza 5 Nov 12 – Dec 10 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Alcoyano 1705 34 +51 8 6.2 +1.8
Hercules 1575 33 -5 6 6.1 -0.1
Celta Vigo 1616 32 +61 9 6.3 +2.7
Real Sociedad 1647 31 +15 6 6.3 -0.3
Xerez 1529 29 -47 3 4.4 -1.4
Real Santander 1603 26 +63 7 6.0 +1.0
Real Betis 1560 26 +12 6 4.8 +1.2
Real Zaragoza 1491 26 -15 4 4.0 -0.0
Racing Ferrol 1484 24 +33 6 4.0 +2.0
SD Ceuta 1472 24 -50 2 3.8 -1.8
Constancia 1524 22 -5 5 4.4 +0.6
Mallorca 1497 22 +9 5 5.0 -0.0
Leonesa 1460 22 -67 2 5.4 -3.4
Baracaldo 1314 13 -55 1 3.1 -2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALC BAR CV CON HER LEO MAL RF RB RS RS RZ SC XER
Alcoyano
2-0-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
3.23
0-1-1
3.33
1-0-1
3.80
0-2-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
2.80
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.08
Baracaldo
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
2.56
0-1-1
2.17
Celta Vigo
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
3.64
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.82
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.65
Constancia
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.77
0-2-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.47
Hercules
0-1-1
2.75
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.13
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.26
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.44
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
2.92
Leonesa
1-1-0
2.40
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
2.90
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
3.35
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.75
Mallorca
1-1-0
2.30
1-0-1
3.12
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.95
0-1-1
2.46
Racing Ferrol
1-0-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.26
2-0-0
2.28
1-1-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.08
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.11
Real Betis
0-2-0
2.53
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
2.71
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.52
Real Santander
0-1-1
2.30
2-0-0
3.47
0-1-1
2.80
0-2-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.34
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.61
Real Sociedad
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.13
0-1-1
3.20
1-0-1
3.28
0-1-1
3.46
1-1-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.43
0-1-1
3.49
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.04
Real Zaragoza
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
2.15
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.68
SD Ceuta
0-0-2
2.44
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
2.80
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.37
Xerez
0-1-1
2.55
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.16
2-0-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.26

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.61 +4.2
Allowed 0.60 -4.4
Differential 0.81 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.20%4.12%5.49%3.30%1.65%1.37%18.13%
14.12%7.69%4.95%6.87%2.47%3.57%29.67%
25.49%4.95%5.49%2.47%2.75%1.37%22.53%
33.30%6.87%2.47%1.10%1.10%0.27%15.11%
41.65%2.47%2.75%1.10%7.97%
5+1.37%3.57%1.37%0.27%6.59%
Total18.13%29.67%22.53%15.11%7.97%6.59%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 1.90 +0.00
SD 1.57 1.57 2.47
CV 0.83 0.83
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
17.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%30.77%
27.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%26.92%
33.85%3.85%7.69%
415.38%15.38%
5+3.85%3.85%7.69%
Total23.08%42.31%19.23%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 1.35 +0.85
SD 1.77 1.16 2.38
CV 0.81 0.86
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%15.38%7.69%38.46%
119.23%3.85%23.08%
23.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%23.08%
37.69%3.85%11.54%
43.85%3.85%
5+
Total3.85%26.92%26.92%30.77%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 2.38 -1.19
SD 1.20 1.53 1.88
CV 1.01 0.64
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%15.38%
17.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
27.69%7.69%3.85%19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%15.38%
411.54%7.69%19.23%
5+3.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
Total26.92%23.08%30.77%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.54 +0.96
SD 1.88 1.30 2.52
CV 0.75 0.85
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%23.08%
13.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%26.92%
27.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%26.92%
37.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
43.85%3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total11.54%30.77%23.08%19.23%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 2.04 -0.42
SD 1.33 1.43 2.16
CV 0.82 0.70
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%19.23%
111.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%26.92%
27.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
33.85%11.54%3.85%19.23%
43.85%3.85%7.69%
5+3.85%7.69%11.54%
Total30.77%26.92%15.38%19.23%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 1.50 +0.62
SD 1.80 1.42 2.59
CV 0.85 0.95
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%26.92%
13.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%30.77%
27.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
311.54%7.69%19.23%
43.85%3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total26.92%11.54%23.08%26.92%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.88 -0.31
SD 1.50 1.48 2.38
CV 0.95 0.78
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%19.23%
111.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%26.92%
27.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%30.77%
315.38%15.38%
43.85%3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total11.54%38.46%15.38%15.38%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 2.12 -0.42
SD 1.29 1.73 2.23
CV 0.76 0.82
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
111.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%38.46%
211.54%3.85%3.85%19.23%
311.54%7.69%19.23%
43.85%3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total34.62%30.77%11.54%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 2.62 -0.92
SD 1.29 1.96 2.70
CV 0.76 0.75
Max 5 8 +3
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%15.38%
17.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%34.62%
27.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%23.08%
37.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
43.85%3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total30.77%19.23%19.23%11.54%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.81 -0.08
SD 1.28 1.79 2.45
CV 0.74 0.99
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
13.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%26.92%
37.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
43.85%3.85%
5+3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%19.23%
Total15.38%26.92%23.08%11.54%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.65 2.19 +0.46
SD 1.92 1.77 2.97
CV 0.72 0.81
Max 8 6 +7
Min 1 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%15.38%
119.23%11.54%30.77%
27.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
311.54%3.85%15.38%
43.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%15.38%
5+7.69%7.69%
Total15.38%53.85%23.08%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 1.31 +0.85
SD 1.76 1.05 1.97
CV 0.82 0.80
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
13.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%30.77%
27.69%7.69%3.85%19.23%
37.69%7.69%15.38%
43.85%3.85%7.69%
5+7.69%7.69%
Total11.54%38.46%15.38%15.38%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 2.04 -0.12
SD 1.72 1.59 2.85
CV 0.89 0.78
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%30.77%
17.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
33.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
43.85%3.85%7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total19.23%26.92%23.08%19.23%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.88 -0.35
SD 1.45 1.61 2.37
CV 0.94 0.85
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%
13.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%38.46%
27.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%30.77%
37.69%3.85%11.54%
47.69%3.85%11.54%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total26.92%15.38%26.92%11.54%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.92 +0.08
SD 1.23 1.70 2.30
CV 0.62 0.88
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Alcoyano 1705 34 29.36 +4.64 91.4% 13 23 27 29 32 36 44
Real Sociedad 1647 31 30.34 +0.66 61.6% 15 24 28 30 33 36 46
Celta Vigo 1616 32 26.78 +5.22 93.4% 13 21 24 27 29 33 41
Real Santander 1603 26 25.37 +0.63 62.1% 11 19 23 25 28 31 39
Hercules 1575 33 27.74 +5.26 93.8% 13 22 25 28 30 34 41
Real Betis 1560 26 26.02 -0.02 55.4% 10 20 23 26 29 32 41
Xerez 1529 29 27.82 +1.18 67.4% 14 22 25 28 30 34 40
Constancia 1524 22 25.02 -3.02 24.8% 10 19 23 25 28 31 40
Mallorca 1497 22 24.98 -2.98 25.2% 11 19 22 25 28 31 38
Real Zaragoza 1491 26 26.61 -0.61 48.8% 12 21 24 27 29 33 41
Racing Ferrol 1484 24 22.12 +1.88 73.3% 6 16 20 22 25 28 35
SD Ceuta 1472 24 24.26 -0.26 52.2% 10 18 22 24 27 30 41
Leonesa 1460 22 26.04 -4.04 16.7% 13 20 24 26 29 32 40
Baracaldo 1314 13 21.55 -8.55 1.6% 7 15 19 22 24 28 35

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+57.14%
Strong Edge
70.33%16.48%13.19%
Elo Value
Home Edge
156 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0225.71400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.49 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.9
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
21%
Alcoyano, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.99 * Some Luck: 2.99 to 4.48 * Lucky: 4.48 to 5.97 * Wild Swing: 5.97 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.46 * Close: 2.46 to 3.69 * Off: 3.69 to 4.91 * Way Off: 4.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.85 * A Surprise: 1.85 to 2.96 * Several Surprises: 2.96 to 4.07 * Many Surprises: 4.07 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.68 points
Some Luck
03.739
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Pinpoint
03.078
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
93.79%
Hercules
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
1.59%
Baracaldo
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.93

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.10
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
42%
Frequent
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.45
Highly Predictable
00.492
Matchup Imbalance
0.63
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.96
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.19
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.17 * Well Above Noise: 0.17 and up.
Probability calibration
0.52
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.031
Well Within Noise
00.0860.2

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Alcoyano20.88%17.11%12.61%11.17%8.38%6.63%6.07%4.98%3.99%3.06%2.15%1.51%1.00%0.46%
Hercules10.18%11.71%11.32%10.64%9.60%8.55%8.21%6.61%6.28%5.30%4.25%3.55%2.45%1.35%
Celta Vigo7.43%9.29%9.21%9.43%9.19%8.92%8.57%7.97%7.07%6.65%6.01%4.49%3.66%2.11%
Real Sociedad30.70%17.88%12.91%9.66%7.29%5.50%4.73%3.26%3.02%1.82%1.50%1.03%0.48%0.22%
Xerez9.13%10.85%11.42%10.46%10.22%8.94%7.86%7.26%6.45%5.48%4.41%3.67%2.53%1.32%
Real Santander2.97%4.70%5.89%6.73%7.58%9.20%9.10%8.46%8.24%8.91%8.73%7.85%6.66%4.98%
Real Zaragoza5.32%6.42%8.63%8.49%8.97%8.90%8.94%8.45%8.30%7.12%6.69%6.23%4.85%2.69%
Real Betis4.07%5.80%6.86%7.74%7.91%8.50%8.45%9.11%8.99%8.20%8.22%7.05%5.53%3.57%
SD Ceuta1.28%2.47%3.35%4.18%5.73%6.36%7.04%8.22%8.82%10.24%10.58%11.60%11.63%8.50%
Racing Ferrol0.29%0.74%1.31%1.76%2.23%3.11%4.07%5.21%5.95%8.16%9.68%13.40%18.78%25.31%
Mallorca2.10%3.45%4.53%5.75%6.26%7.25%7.50%8.62%8.83%9.77%9.98%9.90%9.37%6.69%
Constancia2.06%3.35%4.47%5.39%6.55%7.15%7.85%8.87%9.27%9.60%10.08%9.60%8.80%6.96%
Leonesa3.43%5.67%6.64%7.26%8.26%8.58%8.52%8.87%9.26%8.67%8.33%7.16%5.57%3.78%
Baracaldo0.16%0.56%0.85%1.34%1.83%2.41%3.09%4.11%5.53%7.02%9.39%12.96%18.69%32.06%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Real Sociedad 48.58% 12.91% 36.78% 1.03% 0.70%
Alcoyano 37.99% 12.61% 46.43% 1.51% 1.46%
Hercules 21.89% 11.32% 59.44% 3.55% 3.80%
Xerez 19.98% 11.42% 61.08% 3.67% 3.85%
Real Zaragoza 11.74% 8.63% 65.86% 6.23% 7.54%
Real Betis 9.87% 6.86% 67.12% 7.05% 9.10%
Celta Vigo 100%
Leonesa 9.10% 6.64% 67.75% 7.16% 9.35%
Real Santander 7.67% 5.89% 66.95% 7.85% 11.64%
Constancia 5.41% 4.47% 64.76% 9.60% 15.76%
Mallorca 5.55% 4.53% 63.96% 9.90% 16.06%
SD Ceuta 3.75% 3.35% 61.17% 11.60% 20.13%
Racing Ferrol 1.03% 1.31% 40.17% 13.40% 44.09%
Baracaldo 0.72% 0.85% 34.72% 12.96% 50.75%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1944-09-24 Constancia W 3-149.7 1569 1569 67.85% 18.39% 13.76%+1.44 +9.0 2
1944-09-24 @ Alcoyano L 1-349.7 1569 1569 13.76% 18.39% 67.85%-1.44 -9.0 0
1944-09-24 Real Betis W 4-358.9 1498 1547 63.87% 18.52% 17.60%+1.12 +6.0 2
1944-09-24 @ Hercules L 3-458.9 1547 1498 17.60% 18.52% 63.87%-1.12 -6.0 0
1944-09-24 Baracaldo W 2-040.5 1554 1490 71.94% 18.15% 9.90%+1.85 +7.6 2
1944-09-24 @ Mallorca L 0-240.5 1490 1554 9.90% 18.15% 71.94%-1.85 -7.6 0
1944-09-24 Celta Vigo D 2-267.7 1497 1478 69.18% 18.33% 12.49%+1.56 -3.5 1
1944-09-24 @ Real Santander D 2-267.7 1478 1497 12.49% 18.33% 69.18%-1.56 +3.5 1
1944-09-24 Racing Ferrol W 7-140.5 1579 1492 73.15% 18.05% 8.79%+2.00 +15.6 2
1944-09-24 @ Real Sociedad L 1-740.5 1492 1579 8.79% 18.05% 73.15%-2.00 -15.6 0
1944-09-24 Xerez W 3-256.9 1581 1566 68.90% 18.34% 12.76%+1.54 +4.6 2
1944-09-24 @ Real Zaragoza L 2-356.9 1566 1581 12.76% 18.34% 68.90%-1.54 -4.6 0
1944-09-24 Leonesa L 0-356.4 1542 1515 69.72% 18.30% 11.98%+1.62 -63.8 0
1944-09-24 @ SD Ceuta W 3-056.4 1515 1542 11.98% 18.30% 69.72%-1.62 +63.8 2
1944-10-01 Alcoyano L 0-159.0 1482 1578 59.47% 18.61% 21.92%+0.83 -19.8 0
1944-10-01 @ Baracaldo W 1-059.0 1578 1482 21.92% 18.61% 59.47%-0.83 +19.8 4
1944-10-01 Hercules W 5-036.1 1482 1504 66.19% 18.46% 15.36%+1.30 +26.8 3
1944-10-01 @ Celta Vigo L 0-536.1 1504 1482 15.36% 18.46% 66.19%-1.30 -26.8 2
1944-10-01 Real Sociedad L 0-260.8 1560 1595 65.17% 18.49% 16.34%+1.22 -40.9 0
1944-10-01 @ Constancia W 2-060.8 1595 1560 16.34% 18.49% 65.17%-1.22 +40.9 4
1944-10-01 Real Santander W 6-244.8 1578 1494 73.03% 18.06% 8.91%+1.98 +9.2 4
1944-10-01 @ Leonesa L 2-644.8 1494 1578 8.91% 18.06% 73.03%-1.98 -9.2 1
1944-10-01 Real Zaragoza L 0-255.7 1477 1586 58.12% 18.62% 23.26%+0.75 -36.5 0
1944-10-01 @ Racing Ferrol W 2-055.7 1586 1477 23.26% 18.62% 58.12%-0.75 +36.5 4
1944-10-01 Mallorca W 1-047.2 1541 1562 66.33% 18.45% 15.22%+1.31 +6.0 2
1944-10-01 @ Real Betis L 0-147.2 1562 1541 15.22% 18.45% 66.33%-1.31 -6.0 2
1944-10-01 SD Ceuta W 3-037.5 1561 1478 72.97% 18.07% 8.96%+1.98 +10.1 2
1944-10-01 @ Xerez L 0-337.5 1478 1561 8.96% 18.07% 72.97%-1.98 -10.1 0
1944-10-08 Real Betis D 2-273.6 1598 1548 71.16% 18.21% 10.63%+1.77 -3.8 5
1944-10-08 @ Alcoyano D 2-273.6 1548 1598 10.63% 18.21% 71.16%-1.77 +3.8 3
1944-10-08 Leonesa W 3-043.0 1477 1588 57.92% 18.62% 23.45%+0.73 +24.3 4
1944-10-08 @ Hercules L 0-343.0 1588 1477 23.45% 18.62% 57.92%-0.73 -24.3 4
1944-10-08 Celta Vigo L 0-162.5 1556 1509 70.95% 18.22% 10.82%+1.74 -23.7 2
1944-10-08 @ Mallorca W 1-062.5 1509 1556 10.82% 18.22% 70.95%-1.74 +23.7 5
1944-10-08 Baracaldo W 5-141.7 1636 1462 76.85% 17.59% 5.57%+2.55 +6.9 6
1944-10-08 @ Real Sociedad L 1-541.7 1462 1636 5.57% 17.59% 76.85%-2.55 -6.9 0
1944-10-08 Constancia W 5-144.0 1622 1519 73.93% 17.98% 8.10%+2.10 +10.0 6
1944-10-08 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-544.0 1519 1622 8.10% 17.98% 73.93%-2.10 -10.0 0
1944-10-08 Real Santander L 0-157.1 1468 1485 66.60% 18.44% 14.96%+1.34 -22.2 0
1944-10-08 @ SD Ceuta W 1-057.1 1485 1468 14.96% 18.44% 66.60%-1.34 +22.2 3
1944-10-08 Racing Ferrol W 5-034.4 1571 1440 75.21% 17.83% 6.96%+2.28 +12.7 4
1944-10-08 @ Xerez L 0-534.4 1440 1571 6.96% 17.83% 75.21%-2.28 -12.7 0
1944-10-15 Real Zaragoza W 3-153.4 1456 1632 50.17% 18.65% 31.18%+0.31 +18.5 2
1944-10-15 @ Baracaldo L 1-353.4 1632 1456 31.18% 18.65% 50.17%-0.31 -18.5 6
1944-10-15 Alcoyano D 2-272.9 1532 1594 62.78% 18.55% 18.67%+1.05 -2.6 6
1944-10-15 @ Celta Vigo D 2-272.9 1594 1532 18.67% 18.55% 62.78%-1.05 +2.6 6
1944-10-15 Xerez W 2-152.4 1509 1584 61.58% 18.57% 19.85%+0.96 +7.2 2
1944-10-15 @ Constancia L 1-252.4 1584 1509 19.85% 18.57% 61.58%-0.96 -7.2 4
1944-10-15 Mallorca W 3-147.7 1563 1532 69.99% 18.28% 11.73%+1.64 +7.8 6
1944-10-15 @ Leonesa L 1-347.7 1532 1563 11.73% 18.28% 69.99%-1.64 -7.8 2
1944-10-15 SD Ceuta D 2-264.1 1427 1446 66.47% 18.45% 15.08%+1.33 -3.1 1
1944-10-15 @ Racing Ferrol D 2-264.1 1446 1427 15.08% 18.45% 66.47%-1.33 +3.1 1
1944-10-15 Hercules L 1-459.3 1507 1501 68.26% 18.37% 13.37%+1.48 -52.6 3
1944-10-15 @ Real Santander W 4-159.3 1501 1507 13.37% 18.37% 68.26%-1.48 +52.6 6
1944-10-15 Real Sociedad L 1-365.1 1551 1643 59.95% 18.60% 21.45%+0.86 -32.6 3
1944-10-15 @ Real Betis W 3-165.1 1643 1551 21.45% 18.60% 59.95%-0.86 +32.6 8
1944-10-22 Leonesa D 0-066.1 1597 1571 69.62% 18.31% 12.07%+1.61 -5.3 7
1944-10-22 @ Alcoyano D 0-066.1 1571 1597 12.07% 18.31% 69.62%-1.61 +5.3 7
1944-10-22 Real Santander W 5-244.3 1524 1454 72.25% 18.13% 9.62%+1.89 +7.9 4
1944-10-22 @ Mallorca L 2-544.3 1454 1524 9.62% 18.13% 72.25%-1.89 -7.9 3
1944-10-22 Constancia W 3-252.4 1424 1517 59.86% 18.60% 21.54%+0.85 +7.4 3
1944-10-22 @ Racing Ferrol L 2-352.4 1517 1424 21.54% 18.60% 59.86%-0.85 -7.4 2
1944-10-22 Celta Vigo W 4-360.1 1675 1530 75.79% 17.75% 6.46%+2.37 +2.3 10
1944-10-22 @ Real Sociedad L 3-460.1 1530 1675 6.46% 17.75% 75.79%-2.37 -2.3 6
1944-10-22 Real Betis W 7-142.4 1614 1519 73.55% 18.01% 8.44%+2.05 +15.0 8
1944-10-22 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-742.4 1519 1614 8.44% 18.01% 73.55%-2.05 -15.0 3
1944-10-22 Hercules W 4-252.4 1449 1554 58.55% 18.62% 22.84%+0.77 +12.7 3
1944-10-22 @ SD Ceuta L 2-452.4 1554 1449 22.84% 18.62% 58.55%-0.77 -12.6 6
1944-10-22 Baracaldo W 2-040.1 1577 1474 73.94% 17.97% 8.09%+2.10 +6.3 6
1944-10-22 @ Xerez L 0-240.1 1474 1577 8.09% 17.97% 73.94%-2.10 -6.3 2
1944-10-29 Racing Ferrol W 2-142.9 1468 1432 70.28% 18.27% 11.46%+1.67 +4.4 4
1944-10-29 @ Baracaldo L 1-242.9 1432 1468 11.46% 18.27% 70.28%-1.67 -4.4 3
1944-10-29 Real Zaragoza W 3-152.9 1527 1629 58.94% 18.61% 22.44%+0.80 +13.9 8
1944-10-29 @ Celta Vigo L 1-352.9 1629 1527 22.44% 18.61% 58.94%-0.80 -13.9 8
1944-10-29 SD Ceuta D 3-372.1 1509 1462 70.99% 18.22% 10.79%+1.75 -3.1 3
1944-10-29 @ Constancia D 3-372.1 1462 1509 10.79% 18.22% 70.99%-1.75 +3.1 4
1944-10-29 Mallorca W 6-142.4 1541 1532 68.50% 18.36% 13.14%+1.50 +19.2 8
1944-10-29 @ Hercules L 1-642.4 1532 1541 13.14% 18.36% 68.50%-1.50 -19.2 4
1944-10-29 Real Sociedad W 2-050.1 1576 1678 58.95% 18.61% 22.44%+0.80 +16.1 9
1944-10-29 @ Leonesa L 0-250.1 1678 1576 22.44% 18.61% 58.95%-0.80 -16.1 10
1944-10-29 Alcoyano D 1-165.0 1446 1592 54.02% 18.65% 27.33%+0.51 -2.1 4
1944-10-29 @ Real Santander D 1-165.0 1592 1446 27.33% 18.65% 54.02%-0.51 +2.1 8
1944-10-29 Xerez W 5-146.1 1504 1583 61.12% 18.58% 20.29%+0.93 +23.3 5
1944-10-29 @ Real Betis L 1-546.1 1583 1504 20.29% 18.58% 61.12%-0.93 -23.3 6
1944-11-05 Hercules D 2-273.8 1594 1560 70.10% 18.28% 11.62%+1.66 -3.6 9
1944-11-05 @ Alcoyano D 2-273.8 1560 1594 11.62% 18.28% 70.10%-1.66 +3.6 9
1944-11-05 Baracaldo W 1-041.5 1506 1472 70.15% 18.27% 11.57%+1.66 +4.7 5
1944-11-05 @ Constancia L 0-141.5 1472 1506 11.57% 18.27% 70.15%-1.66 -4.7 4
1944-11-05 Real Betis W 2-148.1 1427 1527 59.10% 18.61% 22.29%+0.81 +8.0 5
1944-11-05 @ Racing Ferrol L 1-248.1 1527 1427 22.29% 18.61% 59.10%-0.81 -8.0 5
1944-11-05 Real Santander W 4-250.2 1661 1444 78.29% 17.31% 4.40%+2.83 +2.7 12
1944-11-05 @ Real Sociedad L 2-450.2 1444 1661 4.40% 17.31% 78.29%-2.83 -2.7 4
1944-11-05 Leonesa W 4-042.4 1615 1593 69.38% 18.32% 12.31%+1.58 +17.8 10
1944-11-05 @ Real Zaragoza L 0-442.4 1593 1615 12.31% 18.32% 69.38%-1.58 -17.8 9
1944-11-05 Mallorca W 5-141.2 1465 1513 64.02% 18.52% 17.46%+1.13 +20.4 6
1944-11-05 @ SD Ceuta L 1-541.2 1513 1465 17.46% 18.52% 64.02%-1.13 -20.4 4
1944-11-05 Celta Vigo W 4-252.8 1560 1541 69.15% 18.33% 12.52%+1.56 +7.4 8
1944-11-05 @ Xerez L 2-452.8 1541 1560 12.52% 18.33% 69.15%-1.56 -7.4 8
1944-11-12 SD Ceuta L 0-157.1 1467 1485 66.53% 18.44% 15.03%+1.33 -22.2 4
1944-11-12 @ Baracaldo W 1-057.1 1485 1467 15.03% 18.44% 66.53%-1.33 +22.2 8
1944-11-12 Racing Ferrol W 4-246.6 1534 1435 73.73% 18.00% 8.27%+2.07 +5.0 10
1944-11-12 @ Celta Vigo L 2-446.6 1435 1534 8.27% 18.00% 73.73%-2.07 -5.0 5
1944-11-12 Real Sociedad W 1-052.6 1564 1664 59.05% 18.61% 22.34%+0.80 +8.5 11
1944-11-12 @ Hercules L 0-152.6 1664 1564 22.34% 18.61% 59.05%-0.80 -8.5 12
1944-11-12 Xerez D 2-273.4 1575 1567 68.38% 18.37% 13.25%+1.49 -3.4 10
1944-11-12 @ Leonesa D 2-273.4 1567 1575 13.25% 18.37% 68.38%-1.49 +3.4 9
1944-11-12 Alcoyano W 3-150.5 1492 1590 59.31% 18.61% 22.08%+0.82 +13.7 6
1944-11-12 @ Mallorca L 1-350.5 1590 1492 22.08% 18.61% 59.31%-0.82 -13.7 9
1944-11-12 Real Zaragoza W 6-045.3 1442 1632 48.32% 18.64% 33.04%+0.22 +62.1 6
1944-11-12 @ Real Santander L 0-645.3 1632 1442 33.04% 18.64% 48.32%-0.22 -62.1 10
1944-11-12 Constancia W 2-041.0 1519 1511 68.43% 18.37% 13.20%+1.49 +10.0 7
1944-11-12 @ Real Betis L 0-241.0 1511 1519 13.20% 18.37% 68.43%-1.49 -10.0 5
1944-11-19 Real Betis W 3-146.1 1445 1529 60.71% 18.59% 20.70%+0.91 +13.0 6
1944-11-19 @ Baracaldo L 1-346.1 1529 1445 20.70% 18.59% 60.71%-0.91 -13.0 7
1944-11-19 Celta Vigo L 0-159.9 1501 1539 64.88% 18.50% 16.63%+1.20 -21.6 5
1944-11-19 @ Constancia W 1-059.9 1539 1501 16.63% 18.50% 64.88%-1.20 +21.6 12
1944-11-19 Leonesa W 3-149.0 1430 1571 54.51% 18.65% 26.85%+0.54 +16.3 7
1944-11-19 @ Racing Ferrol L 1-349.0 1571 1430 26.85% 18.65% 54.51%-0.54 -16.3 10
1944-11-19 Mallorca D 1-169.3 1656 1506 75.95% 17.73% 6.32%+2.40 -5.9 13
1944-11-19 @ Real Sociedad D 1-169.3 1506 1656 6.32% 17.73% 75.95%-2.40 +5.9 7
1944-11-19 Hercules L 0-164.1 1570 1572 67.68% 18.40% 13.92%+1.43 -22.6 10
1944-11-19 @ Real Zaragoza W 1-064.1 1572 1570 13.92% 18.40% 67.68%-1.43 +22.6 13
1944-11-19 Alcoyano L 2-369.8 1507 1576 62.12% 18.56% 19.32%+1.00 -18.5 8
1944-11-19 @ SD Ceuta W 3-269.8 1576 1507 19.32% 18.56% 62.12%-1.00 +18.5 11
1944-11-19 Real Santander W 4-357.5 1571 1504 72.09% 18.14% 9.77%+1.87 +3.5 11
1944-11-19 @ Xerez L 3-457.5 1504 1571 9.77% 18.14% 72.09%-1.87 -3.5 6
1944-11-26 Real Sociedad W 2-155.8 1595 1650 63.42% 18.54% 18.05%+1.09 +6.6 13
1944-11-26 @ Alcoyano L 1-255.8 1650 1595 18.05% 18.54% 63.42%-1.09 -6.6 13
1944-11-26 Baracaldo W 7-240.8 1560 1458 73.91% 17.98% 8.11%+2.10 +10.2 14
1944-11-26 @ Celta Vigo L 2-740.8 1458 1560 8.11% 17.98% 73.91%-2.10 -10.2 6
1944-11-26 Xerez L 1-269.4 1595 1574 69.30% 18.32% 12.38%+1.58 -21.8 13
1944-11-26 @ Hercules W 2-169.4 1574 1595 12.38% 18.32% 69.30%-1.58 +21.8 13
1944-11-26 Constancia W 4-355.9 1555 1479 72.58% 18.10% 9.32%+1.93 +3.3 12
1944-11-26 @ Leonesa L 3-455.9 1479 1555 9.32% 18.10% 72.58%-1.93 -3.3 5
1944-11-26 Real Zaragoza W 3-148.0 1512 1548 65.08% 18.49% 16.42%+1.21 +10.5 9
1944-11-26 @ Mallorca L 1-348.0 1548 1512 16.42% 18.49% 65.08%-1.21 -10.6 10
1944-11-26 Racing Ferrol W 8-136.4 1500 1447 71.34% 18.20% 10.46%+1.79 +21.2 8
1944-11-26 @ Real Santander L 1-836.4 1447 1500 10.46% 18.20% 71.34%-1.79 -21.2 7
1944-11-26 SD Ceuta D 0-060.7 1516 1489 69.72% 18.30% 11.98%+1.62 -5.3 8
1944-11-26 @ Real Betis D 0-060.7 1489 1516 11.98% 18.30% 69.72%-1.62 +5.3 9
1944-12-03 Leonesa W 2-043.3 1448 1558 57.95% 18.62% 23.43%+0.74 +16.7 8
1944-12-03 @ Baracaldo L 0-243.3 1558 1448 23.43% 18.62% 57.95%-0.74 -16.7 12
1944-12-03 Real Santander D 2-268.4 1476 1522 64.23% 18.52% 17.25%+1.15 -2.8 6
1944-12-03 @ Constancia D 2-268.4 1522 1476 17.25% 18.52% 64.23%-1.15 +2.8 9
1944-12-03 Hercules D 1-163.6 1425 1573 53.70% 18.65% 27.65%+0.50 -2.0 8
1944-12-03 @ Racing Ferrol D 1-163.6 1573 1425 27.65% 18.65% 53.70%-0.50 +2.0 14
1944-12-03 Celta Vigo W 4-040.7 1511 1571 62.96% 18.55% 18.50%+1.06 +25.7 10
1944-12-03 @ Real Betis L 0-440.7 1571 1511 18.50% 18.55% 62.96%-1.06 -25.7 14
1944-12-03 Alcoyano L 1-462.1 1537 1601 62.56% 18.55% 18.88%+1.03 -48.1 10
1944-12-03 @ Real Zaragoza W 4-162.1 1601 1537 18.88% 18.55% 62.56%-1.03 +48.1 15
1944-12-03 Real Sociedad W 1-052.1 1494 1643 53.56% 18.65% 27.79%+0.49 +10.2 11
1944-12-03 @ SD Ceuta L 0-152.1 1643 1494 27.79% 18.65% 53.56%-0.49 -10.3 13
1944-12-03 Mallorca W 2-042.9 1596 1523 72.44% 18.11% 9.44%+1.91 +7.3 15
1944-12-03 @ Xerez L 0-242.9 1523 1596 9.44% 18.11% 72.44%-1.91 -7.3 9
1944-12-10 Xerez D 1-171.1 1650 1603 70.90% 18.23% 10.87%+1.74 -5.0 16
1944-12-10 @ Alcoyano D 1-171.1 1603 1650 10.87% 18.23% 70.90%-1.74 +5.0 16
1944-12-10 Constancia W 5-036.1 1575 1473 73.90% 17.98% 8.12%+2.10 +14.8 16
1944-12-10 @ Hercules L 0-536.1 1473 1575 8.12% 17.98% 73.90%-2.10 -14.8 6
1944-12-10 Real Betis W 2-042.8 1542 1536 68.24% 18.37% 13.39%+1.48 +10.1 14
1944-12-10 @ Leonesa L 0-242.8 1536 1542 13.39% 18.37% 68.24%-1.48 -10.1 10
1944-12-10 Racing Ferrol D 1-161.5 1515 1423 73.41% 18.03% 8.57%+2.03 -5.5 10
1944-12-10 @ Mallorca D 1-161.5 1423 1515 8.57% 18.03% 73.41%-2.03 +5.4 9
1944-12-10 Baracaldo W 3-143.4 1524 1465 71.69% 18.17% 10.14%+1.82 +6.8 11
1944-12-10 @ Real Santander L 1-343.4 1465 1524 10.14% 18.17% 71.69%-1.82 -6.8 8
1944-12-10 Real Zaragoza D 1-168.2 1633 1489 75.73% 17.76% 6.51%+2.36 -5.9 14
1944-12-10 @ Real Sociedad D 1-168.2 1489 1633 6.51% 17.76% 75.73%-2.36 +5.9 11
1944-12-10 Celta Vigo W 2-150.0 1504 1545 64.65% 18.50% 16.84%+1.18 +6.2 13
1944-12-10 @ SD Ceuta L 1-250.0 1545 1504 16.84% 18.50% 64.65%-1.18 -6.2 14
1944-12-17 Hercules L 1-359.3 1458 1590 55.55% 18.64% 25.80%+0.60 -30.2 8
1944-12-17 @ Baracaldo W 3-159.3 1590 1458 25.80% 18.64% 55.55%-0.60 +30.2 18
1944-12-17 Leonesa W 3-041.2 1539 1552 66.87% 18.43% 14.70%+1.36 +16.0 16
1944-12-17 @ Celta Vigo L 0-341.2 1552 1539 14.70% 18.43% 66.87%-1.36 -16.0 14
1944-12-17 Mallorca W 2-147.2 1458 1510 63.72% 18.53% 17.76%+1.11 +6.5 8
1944-12-17 @ Constancia L 1-247.2 1510 1458 17.76% 18.53% 63.72%-1.11 -6.5 10
1944-12-17 Alcoyano W 2-156.7 1429 1645 44.93% 18.62% 36.44%+0.06 +12.1 11
1944-12-17 @ Racing Ferrol L 1-256.7 1645 1429 36.44% 18.62% 44.93%-0.06 -12.1 16
1944-12-17 Real Santander W 3-254.5 1526 1531 67.49% 18.41% 14.10%+1.41 +5.0 12
1944-12-17 @ Real Betis L 2-354.5 1531 1526 14.10% 18.41% 67.49%-1.41 -5.0 11
1944-12-17 SD Ceuta W 4-143.2 1495 1510 66.68% 18.44% 14.88%+1.34 +13.6 13
1944-12-17 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-443.2 1510 1495 14.88% 18.44% 66.68%-1.34 -13.7 13
1944-12-17 Real Sociedad D 1-170.7 1608 1627 66.44% 18.45% 15.11%+1.32 -4.2 17
1944-12-17 @ Xerez D 1-170.7 1627 1608 15.11% 18.45% 66.44%-1.32 +4.2 15
1945-01-07 Mallorca W 4-248.9 1428 1503 61.50% 18.58% 19.93%+0.96 +11.2 10
1945-01-07 @ Baracaldo L 2-448.9 1503 1428 19.93% 18.58% 61.50%-0.96 -11.2 10
1945-01-07 Real Santander W 2-149.5 1555 1526 69.81% 18.29% 11.90%+1.63 +4.5 18
1945-01-07 @ Celta Vigo L 1-249.5 1526 1555 11.90% 18.29% 69.81%-1.63 -4.5 11
1945-01-07 Alcoyano W 4-258.0 1465 1632 51.29% 18.65% 30.06%+0.37 +16.0 10
1945-01-07 @ Constancia L 2-458.0 1632 1465 30.06% 18.65% 51.29%-0.37 -16.0 16
1945-01-07 SD Ceuta W 3-145.4 1536 1497 70.47% 18.26% 11.28%+1.69 +7.5 16
1945-01-07 @ Leonesa L 1-345.4 1497 1536 11.28% 18.26% 70.47%-1.69 -7.5 13
1945-01-07 Real Sociedad D 1-166.3 1441 1631 48.37% 18.64% 32.98%+0.23 -1.2 12
1945-01-07 @ Racing Ferrol D 1-166.3 1631 1441 32.98% 18.64% 48.37%-0.23 +1.2 16
1945-01-07 Hercules W 3-045.0 1531 1620 60.19% 18.60% 21.21%+0.87 +22.2 14
1945-01-07 @ Real Betis L 0-345.0 1620 1531 21.21% 18.60% 60.19%-0.87 -22.2 18
1945-01-07 Real Zaragoza D 2-272.6 1604 1509 73.58% 18.01% 8.41%+2.05 -4.1 18
1945-01-07 @ Xerez D 2-272.6 1509 1604 8.41% 18.01% 73.58%-2.05 +4.1 14
1945-01-14 Baracaldo W 2-039.4 1616 1439 77.00% 17.56% 5.44%+2.58 +4.3 18
1945-01-14 @ Alcoyano L 0-239.4 1439 1616 5.44% 17.56% 77.00%-2.58 -4.3 10
1945-01-14 Celta Vigo W 2-044.6 1598 1559 70.44% 18.26% 11.30%+1.69 +8.6 20
1945-01-14 @ Hercules L 0-244.6 1559 1598 11.30% 18.26% 70.44%-1.69 -8.6 18
1945-01-14 Real Betis W 4-252.7 1492 1554 62.83% 18.55% 18.62%+1.05 +10.6 12
1945-01-14 @ Mallorca L 2-452.7 1554 1492 18.62% 18.55% 62.83%-1.05 -10.6 14
1945-01-14 Leonesa W 5-143.8 1522 1543 66.20% 18.46% 15.35%+1.30 +18.1 13
1945-01-14 @ Real Santander L 1-543.8 1543 1522 15.35% 18.46% 66.20%-1.30 -18.1 16
1945-01-14 Constancia W 3-146.5 1632 1481 76.03% 17.72% 6.26%+2.41 +4.2 18
1945-01-14 @ Real Sociedad L 1-346.5 1481 1632 6.26% 17.72% 76.03%-2.41 -4.2 10
1945-01-14 Racing Ferrol W 3-141.8 1513 1440 72.42% 18.12% 9.47%+1.91 +6.3 16
1945-01-14 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-341.8 1440 1513 9.47% 18.12% 72.42%-1.91 -6.3 12
1945-01-14 Xerez D 1-166.9 1489 1600 57.94% 18.62% 23.44%+0.74 -2.7 14
1945-01-14 @ SD Ceuta D 1-166.9 1600 1489 23.44% 18.62% 57.94%-0.74 +2.7 19
1945-01-28 Real Sociedad D 2-271.1 1435 1637 46.82% 18.64% 34.55%+0.15 -0.7 11
1945-01-28 @ Baracaldo D 2-271.1 1637 1435 34.55% 18.64% 46.82%-0.15 +0.7 19
1945-01-28 Mallorca W 4-037.3 1551 1503 71.01% 18.22% 10.77%+1.75 +15.7 20
1945-01-28 @ Celta Vigo L 0-437.3 1503 1551 10.77% 18.22% 71.01%-1.75 -15.7 12
1945-01-28 Real Zaragoza W 5-141.8 1477 1519 64.52% 18.51% 16.98%+1.17 +19.9 12
1945-01-28 @ Constancia L 1-541.8 1519 1477 16.98% 18.51% 64.52%-1.17 -19.9 16
1945-01-28 Hercules L 2-371.0 1525 1607 60.94% 18.58% 20.47%+0.92 -18.1 16
1945-01-28 @ Leonesa W 3-271.0 1607 1525 20.47% 18.58% 60.94%-0.92 +18.1 22
1945-01-28 Xerez W 4-255.9 1433 1603 51.07% 18.65% 30.27%+0.36 +16.1 14
1945-01-28 @ Racing Ferrol L 2-455.9 1603 1433 30.27% 18.65% 51.07%-0.36 -16.1 19
1945-01-28 SD Ceuta W 2-147.1 1540 1487 71.30% 18.20% 10.50%+1.78 +4.0 15
1945-01-28 @ Real Santander L 1-247.1 1487 1540 10.50% 18.20% 71.30%-1.78 -4.0 14
1945-01-28 Alcoyano D 1-169.1 1543 1621 61.30% 18.58% 20.12%+0.95 -3.3 15
1945-01-28 @ Real Betis D 1-169.1 1621 1543 20.12% 18.58% 61.30%-0.95 +3.3 19
1945-02-04 Celta Vigo W 1-048.1 1624 1566 71.57% 18.18% 10.25%+1.81 +4.2 21
1945-02-04 @ Alcoyano L 0-148.1 1566 1624 10.25% 18.18% 71.57%-1.81 -4.2 20
1945-02-04 Real Santander W 3-149.0 1625 1544 72.85% 18.08% 9.07%+1.96 +6.1 24
1945-02-04 @ Hercules L 1-349.0 1544 1625 9.07% 18.08% 72.85%-1.96 -6.1 15
1945-02-04 Leonesa W 3-145.2 1487 1507 66.33% 18.45% 15.22%+1.31 +9.8 14
1945-02-04 @ Mallorca L 1-345.2 1507 1487 15.22% 18.45% 66.33%-1.31 -9.8 16
1945-02-04 Real Betis W 2-151.2 1637 1540 73.68% 18.00% 8.32%+2.07 +3.2 21
1945-02-04 @ Real Sociedad L 1-251.2 1540 1637 8.32% 18.00% 73.68%-2.07 -3.2 15
1945-02-04 Baracaldo W 3-141.2 1499 1434 71.99% 18.15% 9.86%+1.86 +6.6 18
1945-02-04 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-341.2 1434 1499 9.86% 18.15% 71.99%-1.86 -6.6 11
1945-02-04 Racing Ferrol W 2-036.9 1483 1450 70.09% 18.28% 11.63%+1.65 +8.9 16
1945-02-04 @ SD Ceuta L 0-236.9 1450 1483 11.63% 18.28% 70.09%-1.65 -8.9 14
1945-02-04 Constancia W 3-253.6 1587 1496 73.31% 18.04% 8.65%+2.02 +3.2 21
1945-02-04 @ Xerez L 2-353.6 1496 1587 8.65% 18.04% 73.31%-2.02 -3.2 12
1945-02-18 Xerez D 2-269.1 1427 1590 51.93% 18.65% 29.42%+0.40 -1.3 12
1945-02-18 @ Baracaldo D 2-269.1 1590 1427 29.42% 18.65% 51.93%-0.40 +1.3 22
1945-02-18 Real Sociedad D 1-170.0 1562 1640 61.24% 18.58% 20.18%+0.94 -3.3 21
1945-02-18 @ Celta Vigo D 1-170.0 1640 1562 20.18% 18.58% 61.24%-0.94 +3.3 22
1945-02-18 Racing Ferrol W 3-141.5 1493 1441 71.28% 18.20% 10.52%+1.78 +7.0 14
1945-02-18 @ Constancia L 1-341.5 1441 1493 10.52% 18.20% 71.28%-1.78 -7.0 14
1945-02-18 SD Ceuta W 1-045.0 1631 1492 75.54% 17.78% 6.67%+2.33 +2.8 26
1945-02-18 @ Hercules L 0-145.0 1492 1631 6.67% 17.78% 75.54%-2.33 -2.8 16
1945-02-18 Alcoyano W 3-045.6 1497 1628 55.70% 18.64% 25.66%+0.61 +26.2 18
1945-02-18 @ Leonesa L 0-345.6 1628 1497 25.66% 18.64% 55.70%-0.61 -26.2 21
1945-02-18 Mallorca W 6-244.2 1538 1497 70.57% 18.25% 11.18%+1.70 +11.5 17
1945-02-18 @ Real Santander L 2-644.2 1497 1538 11.18% 18.25% 70.57%-1.70 -11.5 14
1945-02-18 Real Zaragoza W 1-044.0 1536 1506 69.95% 18.29% 11.77%+1.64 +4.8 17
1945-02-18 @ Real Betis L 0-144.0 1506 1536 11.77% 18.29% 69.95%-1.64 -4.8 18
1945-02-25 Real Santander W 6-144.0 1602 1549 71.29% 18.20% 10.51%+1.78 +15.6 23
1945-02-25 @ Alcoyano L 1-644.0 1549 1602 10.51% 18.20% 71.29%-1.78 -15.6 17
1945-02-25 Hercules W 3-153.4 1485 1634 53.66% 18.65% 27.69%+0.50 +16.7 16
1945-02-25 @ Mallorca L 1-353.4 1634 1485 27.69% 18.65% 53.66%-0.50 -16.7 26
1945-02-25 Baracaldo W 5-241.4 1434 1426 68.39% 18.37% 13.24%+1.49 +10.6 16
1945-02-25 @ Racing Ferrol L 2-541.4 1426 1434 13.24% 18.37% 68.39%-1.49 -10.6 12
1945-02-25 Leonesa W 4-146.1 1644 1524 74.73% 17.89% 7.38%+2.21 +7.0 24
1945-02-25 @ Real Sociedad L 1-446.1 1524 1644 7.38% 17.89% 74.73%-2.21 -7.0 18
1945-02-25 Celta Vigo W 2-043.7 1501 1559 63.15% 18.54% 18.31%+1.07 +13.4 20
1945-02-25 @ Real Zaragoza L 0-243.7 1559 1501 18.31% 18.54% 63.15%-1.07 -13.4 21
1945-02-25 Constancia W 2-147.0 1489 1500 67.00% 18.43% 14.58%+1.37 +5.5 18
1945-02-25 @ SD Ceuta L 1-247.0 1500 1489 14.58% 18.43% 67.00%-1.37 -5.5 14
1945-02-25 Real Betis W 4-253.2 1591 1541 71.12% 18.21% 10.67%+1.76 +6.3 24
1945-02-25 @ Xerez L 2-453.2 1541 1591 10.67% 18.21% 71.12%-1.76 -6.3 17
1945-03-18 Constancia L 0-251.1 1415 1495 61.14% 18.58% 20.27%+0.94 -38.4 12
1945-03-18 @ Baracaldo W 2-051.1 1495 1415 20.27% 18.58% 61.14%-0.94 +38.4 16
1945-03-18 Xerez W 6-146.1 1545 1597 63.68% 18.53% 17.79%+1.11 +25.4 23
1945-03-18 @ Celta Vigo L 1-646.1 1597 1545 17.79% 18.53% 63.68%-1.11 -25.4 24
1945-03-18 Alcoyano L 0-263.3 1617 1618 67.81% 18.39% 13.80%+1.44 -42.7 26
1945-03-18 @ Hercules W 2-063.3 1618 1617 13.80% 18.39% 67.81%-1.44 +42.7 25
1945-03-18 Real Zaragoza W 3-038.7 1516 1514 68.00% 18.39% 13.61%+1.46 +14.9 20
1945-03-18 @ Leonesa L 0-338.7 1514 1516 13.61% 18.39% 68.00%-1.46 -14.9 20
1945-03-18 SD Ceuta L 2-368.5 1502 1494 68.41% 18.37% 13.23%+1.49 -20.4 16
1945-03-18 @ Mallorca W 3-268.5 1494 1502 13.23% 18.37% 68.41%-1.49 +20.4 20
1945-03-18 Real Sociedad W 5-361.5 1533 1651 57.22% 18.63% 24.15%+0.69 +12.5 19
1945-03-18 @ Real Santander L 3-561.5 1651 1533 24.15% 18.63% 57.22%-0.69 -12.5 24
1945-03-18 Racing Ferrol W 3-035.2 1535 1444 73.34% 18.03% 8.63%+2.02 +9.7 19
1945-03-18 @ Real Betis L 0-335.2 1444 1535 8.63% 18.03% 73.34%-2.02 -9.7 16
1945-03-25 Mallorca D 1-168.8 1660 1482 77.03% 17.55% 5.41%+2.58 -6.1 26
1945-03-25 @ Alcoyano D 1-168.8 1482 1660 5.41% 17.55% 77.03%-2.58 +6.1 17
1945-03-25 Real Betis D 1-166.5 1533 1545 67.00% 18.43% 14.57%+1.37 -4.3 17
1945-03-25 @ Constancia D 1-166.5 1545 1533 14.57% 18.43% 67.00%-1.37 +4.3 20
1945-03-25 Celta Vigo W 3-149.0 1435 1571 55.07% 18.64% 26.28%+0.57 +16.0 18
1945-03-25 @ Racing Ferrol L 1-349.0 1571 1435 26.28% 18.64% 55.07%-0.57 -16.0 23
1945-03-25 Hercules D 0-067.2 1638 1574 71.93% 18.15% 9.92%+1.85 -5.8 25
1945-03-25 @ Real Sociedad D 0-067.2 1574 1638 9.92% 18.15% 71.93%-1.85 +5.8 27
1945-03-25 Real Santander W 2-150.0 1499 1546 64.15% 18.52% 17.33%+1.14 +6.4 22
1945-03-25 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-250.0 1546 1499 17.33% 18.52% 64.15%-1.14 -6.4 19
1945-03-25 Baracaldo W 3-031.5 1515 1377 75.47% 17.79% 6.74%+2.32 +7.6 22
1945-03-25 @ SD Ceuta L 0-331.5 1377 1515 6.74% 17.79% 75.47%-2.32 -7.6 12
1945-03-25 Leonesa W 1-045.9 1572 1531 70.56% 18.25% 11.19%+1.70 +4.5 26
1945-03-25 @ Xerez L 0-145.9 1531 1572 11.19% 18.25% 70.56%-1.70 -4.5 20
1945-04-08 SD Ceuta W 7-041.0 1654 1522 75.23% 17.83% 6.95%+2.28 +17.4 28
1945-04-08 @ Alcoyano L 0-741.0 1522 1654 6.95% 17.83% 75.23%-2.28 -17.4 22
1945-04-08 Constancia W 4-038.8 1555 1529 69.63% 18.30% 12.06%+1.61 +17.4 25
1945-04-08 @ Celta Vigo L 0-438.8 1529 1555 12.06% 18.30% 69.63%-1.61 -17.4 17
1945-04-08 Real Zaragoza W 2-041.8 1580 1506 72.49% 18.11% 9.40%+1.92 +7.3 29
1945-04-08 @ Hercules L 0-241.8 1506 1580 9.40% 18.11% 72.49%-1.92 -7.3 22
1945-04-08 Racing Ferrol L 1-361.6 1527 1451 72.60% 18.10% 9.30%+1.93 -39.7 20
1945-04-08 @ Leonesa W 3-161.6 1451 1527 9.30% 18.10% 72.60%-1.93 +39.7 20
1945-04-08 Real Sociedad W 2-155.5 1488 1632 54.09% 18.65% 27.27%+0.52 +9.5 19
1945-04-08 @ Mallorca L 1-255.5 1632 1488 27.27% 18.65% 54.09%-0.52 -9.5 25
1945-04-08 Xerez W 4-147.6 1540 1577 64.97% 18.49% 16.53%+1.21 +15.0 21
1945-04-08 @ Real Santander L 1-447.6 1577 1540 16.53% 18.49% 64.97%-1.21 -15.0 26
1945-04-08 Baracaldo W 3-139.2 1549 1369 77.06% 17.55% 5.39%+2.59 +3.7 22
1945-04-08 @ Real Betis L 1-339.2 1369 1549 5.39% 17.55% 77.06%-2.59 -3.7 12
1945-04-15 Celta Vigo D 3-370.8 1366 1572 46.21% 18.63% 35.16%+0.12 -0.5 13
1945-04-15 @ Baracaldo D 3-370.8 1572 1366 35.16% 18.63% 46.21%-0.12 +0.5 26
1945-04-15 Leonesa W 2-039.5 1511 1487 69.53% 18.31% 12.16%+1.60 +9.2 19
1945-04-15 @ Constancia L 0-239.5 1487 1511 12.16% 18.31% 69.53%-1.60 -9.2 20
1945-04-15 Real Santander W 2-150.4 1490 1555 62.56% 18.55% 18.88%+1.03 +6.9 22
1945-04-15 @ Racing Ferrol L 1-250.4 1555 1490 18.88% 18.55% 62.56%-1.03 -6.9 21
1945-04-15 Alcoyano W 4-045.5 1623 1672 63.98% 18.52% 17.50%+1.13 +24.5 27
1945-04-15 @ Real Sociedad L 0-445.5 1672 1623 17.50% 18.52% 63.98%-1.13 -24.5 28
1945-04-15 Mallorca W 3-252.0 1499 1497 67.94% 18.39% 13.67%+1.45 +4.9 24
1945-04-15 @ Real Zaragoza L 2-352.0 1497 1499 13.67% 18.39% 67.94%-1.45 -4.9 19
1945-04-15 Real Betis L 0-257.3 1505 1553 64.06% 18.52% 17.42%+1.14 -40.2 22
1945-04-15 @ SD Ceuta W 2-057.3 1553 1505 17.42% 18.52% 64.06%-1.14 +40.2 24
1945-04-15 Hercules W 3-043.3 1562 1587 65.89% 18.47% 15.65%+1.28 +16.9 28
1945-04-15 @ Xerez L 0-343.3 1587 1562 15.65% 18.47% 65.89%-1.28 -16.9 29
1945-04-22 Real Zaragoza W 4-145.4 1647 1503 75.72% 17.76% 6.52%+2.36 +6.2 30
1945-04-22 @ Alcoyano L 1-445.4 1503 1647 6.52% 17.76% 75.72%-2.36 -6.2 24
1945-04-22 Real Betis W 4-042.3 1573 1593 66.34% 18.45% 15.21%+1.31 +21.6 28
1945-04-22 @ Celta Vigo L 0-442.3 1593 1573 15.21% 18.45% 66.34%-1.31 -21.6 24
1945-04-22 Racing Ferrol W 6-141.0 1570 1497 72.43% 18.11% 9.45%+1.91 +14.1 31
1945-04-22 @ Hercules L 1-641.0 1497 1570 9.45% 18.11% 72.43%-1.91 -14.1 22
1945-04-22 Baracaldo W 1-035.8 1478 1365 74.39% 17.93% 7.69%+2.16 +3.2 22
1945-04-22 @ Leonesa L 0-135.8 1365 1478 7.69% 17.93% 74.39%-2.16 -3.2 13
1945-04-22 Xerez D 0-063.0 1492 1578 60.48% 18.59% 20.93%+0.89 -3.5 20
1945-04-22 @ Mallorca D 0-063.0 1578 1492 20.93% 18.59% 60.48%-0.89 +3.5 29
1945-04-22 Constancia D 1-166.2 1548 1521 69.70% 18.30% 12.00%+1.62 -4.8 22
1945-04-22 @ Real Santander D 1-166.2 1521 1548 12.00% 18.30% 69.70%-1.62 +4.8 20
1945-04-22 SD Ceuta W 2-041.2 1647 1465 77.18% 17.53% 5.29%+2.61 +4.1 29
1945-04-22 @ Real Sociedad L 0-241.2 1465 1647 5.29% 17.53% 77.18%-2.61 -4.2 22
1945-05-13 Real Santander L 0-345.0 1362 1543 49.60% 18.65% 31.75%+0.29 -45.7 13
1945-05-13 @ Baracaldo W 3-045.0 1543 1362 31.75% 18.65% 49.60%-0.29 +45.7 24
1945-05-13 SD Ceuta W 4-249.3 1594 1460 75.32% 17.81% 6.87%+2.30 +4.2 30
1945-05-13 @ Celta Vigo L 2-449.3 1460 1594 6.87% 17.81% 75.32%-2.30 -4.2 22
1945-05-13 Hercules W 3-150.3 1525 1584 63.05% 18.54% 18.40%+1.07 +11.7 22
1945-05-13 @ Constancia L 1-350.3 1584 1525 18.40% 18.54% 63.05%-1.07 -11.7 31
1945-05-13 Mallorca W 3-251.3 1483 1489 67.42% 18.41% 14.17%+1.41 +5.1 24
1945-05-13 @ Racing Ferrol L 2-351.3 1489 1483 14.17% 18.41% 67.42%-1.41 -5.0 20
1945-05-13 Leonesa W 2-147.5 1571 1481 73.31% 18.04% 8.65%+2.02 +3.3 26
1945-05-13 @ Real Betis L 1-247.5 1481 1571 8.65% 18.04% 73.31%-2.02 -3.4 22
1945-05-13 Real Sociedad W 2-156.7 1497 1652 52.93% 18.65% 28.42%+0.46 +9.8 26
1945-05-13 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-256.7 1652 1497 28.42% 18.65% 52.93%-0.46 -9.8 29
1945-05-13 Alcoyano L 1-464.2 1582 1653 61.92% 18.57% 19.51%+0.99 -47.6 29
1945-05-13 @ Xerez W 4-164.2 1653 1582 19.51% 18.57% 61.92%-0.99 +47.6 32
1945-05-20 Racing Ferrol W 4-145.6 1701 1488 78.16% 17.34% 4.51%+2.80 +4.3 34
1945-05-20 @ Alcoyano L 1-445.6 1488 1701 4.51% 17.34% 78.16%-2.80 -4.3 24
1945-05-20 Baracaldo W 3-137.5 1573 1316 79.40% 17.03% 3.56%+3.08 +2.4 33
1945-05-20 @ Hercules L 1-337.5 1316 1573 3.56% 17.03% 79.40%-3.08 -2.4 13
1945-05-20 Celta Vigo L 1-263.0 1478 1598 56.83% 18.63% 24.54%+0.67 -17.8 22
1945-05-20 @ Leonesa W 2-163.0 1598 1478 24.54% 18.63% 56.83%-0.67 +17.8 32
1945-05-20 Constancia W 2-042.1 1484 1537 63.56% 18.53% 17.91%+1.10 +13.2 22
1945-05-20 @ Mallorca L 0-242.1 1537 1484 17.91% 18.53% 63.56%-1.10 -13.2 22
1945-05-20 Real Betis W 3-042.8 1589 1575 68.84% 18.35% 12.81%+1.53 +14.1 26
1945-05-20 @ Real Santander L 0-342.8 1575 1589 12.81% 18.35% 68.84%-1.53 -14.1 26
1945-05-20 Xerez W 3-148.8 1642 1534 74.14% 17.95% 7.91%+2.13 +5.3 31
1945-05-20 @ Real Sociedad L 1-348.8 1534 1642 7.91% 17.95% 74.14%-2.13 -5.3 29
1945-05-20 Real Zaragoza W 4-142.5 1456 1507 63.79% 18.53% 17.68%+1.12 +16.0 24
1945-05-20 @ SD Ceuta L 1-442.5 1507 1456 17.68% 18.53% 63.79%-1.12 -16.0 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1945-04-08 9.30% Racing Ferrol 1451 3 @ Leonesa 1527 1
2 1944-10-08 10.82% Celta Vigo 1509 1 @ Mallorca 1556 0
3 1944-09-24 11.98% Leonesa 1515 3 @ SD Ceuta 1542 0
4 1944-11-26 12.38% Xerez 1574 2 @ Hercules 1595 1
5 1945-03-18 13.23% SD Ceuta 1494 3 @ Mallorca 1502 2
6 1944-10-15 13.37% Hercules 1501 4 @ Real Santander 1507 1
7 1945-03-18 13.80% Alcoyano 1618 2 @ Hercules 1617 0
8 1944-11-19 13.92% Hercules 1572 1 @ Real Zaragoza 1570 0
9 1944-10-08 14.96% Real Santander 1485 1 @ SD Ceuta 1468 0
10 1944-11-12 15.03% SD Ceuta 1485 1 @ Baracaldo 1467 0
11 1944-10-01 16.34% Real Sociedad 1595 2 @ Constancia 1560 0
12 1944-11-19 16.63% Celta Vigo 1539 1 @ Constancia 1501 0
13 1945-04-15 17.42% Real Betis 1553 2 @ SD Ceuta 1505 0
14 1944-12-03 18.88% Alcoyano 1601 4 @ Real Zaragoza 1537 1
15 1944-11-19 19.32% Alcoyano 1576 3 @ SD Ceuta 1507 2
16 1945-05-13 19.51% Alcoyano 1653 4 @ Xerez 1582 1
17 1945-03-18 20.27% Constancia 1495 2 @ Baracaldo 1415 0
18 1945-01-28 20.47% Hercules 1607 3 @ Leonesa 1525 2
19 1944-10-15 21.45% Real Sociedad 1643 3 @ Real Betis 1551 1
20 1944-10-01 21.92% Alcoyano 1578 1 @ Baracaldo 1482 0
21 1944-10-01 23.26% Real Zaragoza 1586 2 @ Racing Ferrol 1477 0
22 1945-05-20 24.54% Celta Vigo 1598 2 @ Leonesa 1478 1
23 1944-12-17 25.80% Hercules 1590 3 @ Baracaldo 1458 1
24 1945-05-13 31.75% Real Santander 1543 3 @ Baracaldo 1362 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1944-09-24 63.83 Leonesa 3 1515 11.98% @ SD Ceuta 0 1542 69.72% 18.30%
2 1944-11-12 62.10 @ Real Santander 6 1442 48.32% Real Zaragoza 0 1632 33.04% 18.64%
3 1944-10-15 52.63 Hercules 4 1501 13.37% @ Real Santander 1 1507 68.26% 18.37%
4 1944-12-03 48.08 Alcoyano 4 1601 18.88% @ Real Zaragoza 1 1537 62.56% 18.55%
5 1945-05-13 47.58 Alcoyano 4 1653 19.51% @ Xerez 1 1582 61.92% 18.57%
6 1945-05-13 45.67 Real Santander 3 1543 31.75% @ Baracaldo 0 1362 49.60% 18.65%
7 1945-03-18 42.67 Alcoyano 2 1618 13.80% @ Hercules 0 1617 67.81% 18.39%
8 1944-10-01 40.94 Real Sociedad 2 1595 16.34% @ Constancia 0 1560 65.17% 18.49%
9 1945-04-15 40.22 Real Betis 2 1553 17.42% @ SD Ceuta 0 1505 64.06% 18.52%
10 1945-04-08 39.74 Racing Ferrol 3 1451 9.30% @ Leonesa 1 1527 72.60% 18.10%
11 1945-03-18 38.36 Constancia 2 1495 20.27% @ Baracaldo 0 1415 61.14% 18.58%
12 1944-10-01 36.48 Real Zaragoza 2 1586 23.26% @ Racing Ferrol 0 1477 58.12% 18.62%
13 1944-10-15 32.58 Real Sociedad 3 1643 21.45% @ Real Betis 1 1551 59.95% 18.60%
14 1944-12-17 30.25 Hercules 3 1590 25.80% @ Baracaldo 1 1458 55.55% 18.64%
15 1944-10-01 26.82 @ Celta Vigo 5 1482 66.19% Hercules 0 1504 15.36% 18.46%
16 1945-02-18 26.23 @ Leonesa 3 1497 55.70% Alcoyano 0 1628 25.66% 18.64%
17 1944-12-03 25.74 @ Real Betis 4 1511 62.96% Celta Vigo 0 1571 18.50% 18.55%
18 1945-03-18 25.36 @ Celta Vigo 6 1545 63.68% Xerez 1 1597 17.79% 18.53%
19 1945-04-15 24.49 @ Real Sociedad 4 1623 63.98% Alcoyano 0 1672 17.50% 18.52%
20 1944-10-08 24.27 @ Hercules 3 1477 57.92% Leonesa 0 1588 23.45% 18.62%
21 1944-10-08 23.74 Celta Vigo 1 1509 10.82% @ Mallorca 0 1556 70.95% 18.22%
22 1944-10-29 23.28 @ Real Betis 5 1504 61.12% Xerez 1 1583 20.29% 18.58%
23 1944-11-19 22.59 Hercules 1 1572 13.92% @ Real Zaragoza 0 1570 67.68% 18.40%
24 1945-01-07 22.23 @ Real Betis 3 1531 60.19% Hercules 0 1620 21.21% 18.60%
25 1944-10-08 22.20 Real Santander 1 1485 14.96% @ SD Ceuta 0 1468 66.60% 18.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1944-11-05 73.8 @ Alcoyano 2 1594 70.10% Hercules 2 1560 11.62% 18.28%
2 1944-10-08 73.6 @ Alcoyano 2 1598 71.16% Real Betis 2 1548 10.63% 18.21%
3 1944-11-12 73.4 @ Leonesa 2 1575 68.38% Xerez 2 1567 13.25% 18.37%
4 1944-10-15 72.9 @ Celta Vigo 2 1532 62.78% Alcoyano 2 1594 18.67% 18.55%
5 1945-01-07 72.6 @ Xerez 2 1604 73.58% Real Zaragoza 2 1509 8.41% 18.01%
6 1944-10-29 72.1 @ Constancia 3 1509 70.99% SD Ceuta 3 1462 10.79% 18.22%
7 1944-12-10 71.1 @ Alcoyano 1 1650 70.90% Xerez 1 1603 10.87% 18.23%
8 1945-01-28 71.1 @ Baracaldo 2 1435 46.82% Real Sociedad 2 1637 34.55% 18.64%
9 1945-01-28 71.0 Hercules 3 1607 20.47% @ Leonesa 2 1525 60.94% 18.58%
10 1945-04-15 70.8 @ Baracaldo 3 1366 46.21% Celta Vigo 3 1572 35.16% 18.63%
11 1944-12-17 70.7 @ Xerez 1 1608 66.44% Real Sociedad 1 1627 15.11% 18.45%
12 1945-02-18 70.0 @ Celta Vigo 1 1562 61.24% Real Sociedad 1 1640 20.18% 18.58%
13 1944-11-19 69.8 Alcoyano 3 1576 19.32% @ SD Ceuta 2 1507 62.12% 18.56%
14 1944-11-26 69.4 Xerez 2 1574 12.38% @ Hercules 1 1595 69.30% 18.32%
15 1944-11-19 69.3 @ Real Sociedad 1 1656 75.95% Mallorca 1 1506 6.32% 17.73%
16 1945-01-28 69.1 @ Real Betis 1 1543 61.30% Alcoyano 1 1621 20.12% 18.58%
17 1945-02-18 69.1 @ Baracaldo 2 1427 51.93% Xerez 2 1590 29.42% 18.65%
18 1945-03-25 68.8 @ Alcoyano 1 1660 77.03% Mallorca 1 1482 5.41% 17.55%
19 1945-03-18 68.5 SD Ceuta 3 1494 13.23% @ Mallorca 2 1502 68.41% 18.37%
20 1944-12-03 68.4 @ Constancia 2 1476 64.23% Real Santander 2 1522 17.25% 18.52%
21 1944-12-10 68.2 @ Real Sociedad 1 1633 75.73% Real Zaragoza 1 1489 6.51% 17.76%
22 1944-09-24 67.7 @ Real Santander 2 1497 69.18% Celta Vigo 2 1478 12.49% 18.33%
23 1945-03-25 67.2 @ Real Sociedad 0 1638 71.93% Hercules 0 1574 9.92% 18.15%
24 1945-01-14 66.9 @ SD Ceuta 1 1489 57.94% Xerez 1 1600 23.44% 18.62%
25 1945-03-25 66.5 @ Constancia 1 1533 67.00% Real Betis 1 1545 14.57% 18.43%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1945-03-25 31.5 @ SD Ceuta 3 1515 75.47% Baracaldo 0 1377 6.74% 17.79%
2 1944-10-08 34.4 @ Xerez 5 1571 75.21% Racing Ferrol 0 1440 6.96% 17.83%
3 1945-03-18 35.2 @ Real Betis 3 1535 73.34% Racing Ferrol 0 1444 8.63% 18.03%
4 1945-04-22 35.8 @ Leonesa 1 1478 74.39% Baracaldo 0 1365 7.69% 17.93%
5 1944-10-01 36.1 @ Celta Vigo 5 1482 66.19% Hercules 0 1504 15.36% 18.46%
6 1944-12-10 36.1 @ Hercules 5 1575 73.90% Constancia 0 1473 8.12% 17.98%
7 1944-11-26 36.4 @ Real Santander 8 1500 71.34% Racing Ferrol 1 1447 10.46% 18.20%
8 1945-02-04 36.9 @ SD Ceuta 2 1483 70.09% Racing Ferrol 0 1450 11.63% 18.28%
9 1945-01-28 37.3 @ Celta Vigo 4 1551 71.01% Mallorca 0 1503 10.77% 18.22%
10 1944-10-01 37.5 @ Xerez 3 1561 72.97% SD Ceuta 0 1478 8.96% 18.07%
11 1945-05-20 37.5 @ Hercules 3 1573 79.40% Baracaldo 1 1316 3.56% 17.03%
12 1945-03-18 38.7 @ Leonesa 3 1516 68.00% Real Zaragoza 0 1514 13.61% 18.39%
13 1945-04-08 38.8 @ Celta Vigo 4 1555 69.63% Constancia 0 1529 12.06% 18.30%
14 1945-04-08 39.2 @ Real Betis 3 1549 77.06% Baracaldo 1 1369 5.39% 17.55%
15 1945-01-14 39.4 @ Alcoyano 2 1616 77.00% Baracaldo 0 1439 5.44% 17.56%
16 1945-04-15 39.5 @ Constancia 2 1511 69.53% Leonesa 0 1487 12.16% 18.31%
17 1944-10-22 40.1 @ Xerez 2 1577 73.94% Baracaldo 0 1474 8.09% 17.97%
18 1944-09-24 40.5 @ Mallorca 2 1554 71.94% Baracaldo 0 1490 9.90% 18.15%
19 1944-09-24 40.5 @ Real Sociedad 7 1579 73.15% Racing Ferrol 1 1492 8.79% 18.05%
20 1944-12-03 40.7 @ Real Betis 4 1511 62.96% Celta Vigo 0 1571 18.50% 18.55%
21 1944-11-26 40.8 @ Celta Vigo 7 1560 73.91% Baracaldo 2 1458 8.11% 17.98%
22 1944-11-12 41.0 @ Real Betis 2 1519 68.43% Constancia 0 1511 13.20% 18.37%
23 1945-04-08 41.0 @ Alcoyano 7 1654 75.23% SD Ceuta 0 1522 6.95% 17.83%
24 1945-04-22 41.0 @ Hercules 6 1570 72.43% Racing Ferrol 1 1497 9.45% 18.11%
25 1944-11-05 41.2 @ SD Ceuta 5 1465 64.02% Mallorca 1 1513 17.46% 18.52%