1944-45 Segunda División Season

182 games

Final

Promoted

Alcoyano

34 pts

Hercules · 33 pts

Celta Vigo · via playoff

Relegated

Baracaldo

13 pts

Leonesa · 22 pts

Constancia · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Hercules

5.26 points above expected

33 points · 27.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Baracaldo

8.55 points below expected

13 points · 21.55 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Alcoyano Promoted	26	13	8	5	34	57	35	+22	29.36	+4.64
2	Hercules Promoted	26	15	3	8	33	55	39	+16	27.74	+5.26
3	Celta Vigo Promoted	26	14	4	8	32	65	40	+25	26.78	+5.22
4	Real Sociedad	26	12	7	7	31	56	34	+22	30.34	+0.66
5	Xerez	26	11	7	8	29	52	50	+2	27.82	+1.18
6	Real Santander	26	11	4	11	26	69	57	+12	25.37	+0.63
7	Real Betis	26	11	4	11	26	45	47	-2	26.02	-0.02
8	Real Zaragoza	26	12	2	12	26	50	53	-3	26.61	-0.61
9	SD Ceuta	26	10	4	12	24	40	49	-9	24.26	-0.26
10	Racing Ferrol	26	10	4	12	24	44	68	-24	22.12	+1.88
11	Leonesa Relegated	26	10	2	14	22	41	49	-8	26.04	-4.04
12	Mallorca	26	9	4	13	22	44	55	-11	24.98	-2.98
13	Constancia Relegated	26	9	4	13	22	42	53	-11	25.02	-3.02
14	Baracaldo Relegated	26	5	3	18	13	31	62	-31	21.55	-8.55

Phase 1 was played using regional groups. The top teams from each advanced to a final round-robin that started from zero; Phase 1 results did not carry forward. The group tables above are Phase 1 context.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Alcoyano	1705	34	29.36	+4.64	91.4%	13	23	27	29	32	36	44
Real Sociedad	1647	31	30.34	+0.66	61.6%	15	24	28	30	33	36	46
Celta Vigo	1616	32	26.78	+5.22	93.4%	13	21	24	27	29	33	41
Real Santander	1603	26	25.37	+0.63	62.1%	11	19	23	25	28	31	39
Hercules	1575	33	27.74	+5.26	93.8%	13	22	25	28	30	34	41
Real Betis	1560	26	26.02	-0.02	55.4%	10	20	23	26	29	32	41
Xerez	1529	29	27.82	+1.18	67.4%	14	22	25	28	30	34	40
Constancia	1524	22	25.02	-3.02	24.8%	10	19	23	25	28	31	40
Mallorca	1497	22	24.98	-2.98	25.2%	11	19	22	25	28	31	38
Real Zaragoza	1491	26	26.61	-0.61	48.8%	12	21	24	27	29	33	41
Racing Ferrol	1484	24	22.12	+1.88	73.3%	6	16	20	22	25	28	35
SD Ceuta	1472	24	24.26	-0.26	52.2%	10	18	22	24	27	30	41
Leonesa	1460	22	26.04	-4.04	16.7%	13	20	24	26	29	32	40
Baracaldo	1314	13	21.55	-8.55	1.6%	7	15	19	22	24	28	35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALC	BAR	CV	CON	HER	LEO	MAL	RF	RB	RS	RS	RZ	SC	XER
Alcoyano	—	2-0-0 3.33	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 3.31	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 3.23	0-1-1 3.33	1-0-1 3.80	0-2-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.80	2-0-0 3.20	2-0-0 3.20	1-1-0 3.08
Baracaldo	0-0-2 2.31	—	0-1-1 2.00	0-0-2 2.55	0-0-2 2.13	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.34	0-0-2 2.16	0-1-1 1.93	1-0-1 2.17	0-0-2 2.56	0-1-1 2.17
Celta Vigo	0-1-1 2.56	1-1-0 3.64	—	2-0-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.69	2-0-0 3.11	2-0-0 2.82	1-0-1 3.37	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.39	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 2.65
Constancia	1-0-1 2.32	2-0-0 3.08	0-0-2 2.68	—	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 3.15	0-1-1 2.77	0-2-0 2.66	0-0-2 2.50	1-0-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.47
Hercules	0-1-1 2.75	2-0-0 3.51	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.13	—	2-0-0 2.72	1-0-1 3.26	1-1-0 3.37	1-0-1 2.92	2-0-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.44	2-0-0 2.96	1-0-1 3.32	0-0-2 2.92
Leonesa	1-1-0 2.40	1-0-1 3.30	0-0-2 2.52	1-0-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.90	—	1-0-1 2.92	0-0-2 3.35	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 2.78	2-0-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.75
Mallorca	1-1-0 2.30	1-0-1 3.12	0-0-2 2.82	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.71	—	0-1-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.18	1-0-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.95	0-1-1 2.46
Racing Ferrol	1-0-1 1.84	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.27	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.26	2-0-0 2.28	1-1-0 2.64	—	1-0-1 2.40	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.08	0-0-2 2.40	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.11
Real Betis	0-2-0 2.53	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 2.72	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.24	—	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.41	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.52
Real Santander	0-1-1 2.30	2-0-0 3.47	0-1-1 2.80	0-2-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.68	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.86	—	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.34	2-0-0 2.95	1-0-1 2.61
Real Sociedad	1-0-1 2.83	1-1-0 3.70	1-1-0 3.24	2-0-0 3.13	0-1-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.28	0-1-1 3.46	1-1-0 3.55	2-0-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.43	—	0-1-1 3.49	1-0-1 3.51	1-1-0 3.04
Real Zaragoza	0-0-2 2.44	1-0-1 3.46	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.09	0-0-2 2.68	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.24	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.29	1-1-0 2.15	—	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 2.68
SD Ceuta	0-0-2 2.44	2-0-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.51	1-1-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.32	0-0-2 2.80	2-0-0 2.69	1-1-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.68	1-0-1 2.13	1-0-1 2.73	—	0-1-1 2.37
Xerez	0-1-1 2.55	1-1-0 3.47	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 3.16	2-0-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.88	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.53	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.95	1-1-0 3.26	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.61	+4.2
Allowed	0.60	-4.4
Differential	0.81	+2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.20%	4.12%	5.49%	3.30%	1.65%	1.37%	18.13%
1	4.12%	7.69%	4.95%	6.87%	2.47%	3.57%	29.67%
2	5.49%	4.95%	5.49%	2.47%	2.75%	1.37%	22.53%
3	3.30%	6.87%	2.47%	1.10%	1.10%	0.27%	15.11%
4	1.65%	2.47%	2.75%	1.10%	—	—	7.97%
5+	1.37%	3.57%	1.37%	0.27%	—	—	6.59%
Total	18.13%	29.67%	22.53%	15.11%	7.97%	6.59%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.90	1.90	+0.00
SD	1.57	1.57	2.47
CV	0.83	0.83	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	15.38%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	42.31%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.19	1.35	+0.85
SD	1.77	1.16	2.38
CV	0.81	0.86	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
1	—	—	—	19.23%	—	3.85%	23.08%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.85%	26.92%	26.92%	30.77%	—	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	2.38	-1.19
SD	1.20	1.53	1.88
CV	1.01	0.64	—
Max	4	7	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	23.08%	30.77%	7.69%	11.54%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.50	1.54	+0.96
SD	1.88	1.30	2.52
CV	0.75	0.85	—
Max	7	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	30.77%	23.08%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	2.04	-0.42
SD	1.33	1.43	2.16
CV	0.82	0.70	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	30.77%	26.92%	15.38%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.12	1.50	+0.62
SD	1.80	1.42	2.59
CV	0.85	0.95	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	—	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	11.54%	23.08%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.88	-0.31
SD	1.50	1.48	2.38
CV	0.95	0.78	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	26.92%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
3	—	15.38%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	38.46%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	2.12	-0.42
SD	1.29	1.73	2.23
CV	0.76	0.82	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	38.46%
2	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	—	34.62%	30.77%	11.54%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	2.62	-0.92
SD	1.29	1.96	2.70
CV	0.76	0.75	—
Max	5	8	+3
Min	0	1	-7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	19.23%	19.23%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.81	-0.08
SD	1.28	1.79	2.45
CV	0.74	0.99	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	26.92%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
Total	15.38%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.65	2.19	+0.46
SD	1.92	1.77	2.97
CV	0.72	0.81	—
Max	8	6	+7
Min	1	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	—	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	53.85%	23.08%	3.85%	—	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.15	1.31	+0.85
SD	1.76	1.05	1.97
CV	0.82	0.80	—
Max	7	5	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	3.85%	—	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	38.46%	15.38%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.92	2.04	-0.12
SD	1.72	1.59	2.85
CV	0.89	0.78	—
Max	7	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	30.77%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	23.08%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.54	1.88	-0.35
SD	1.45	1.61	2.37
CV	0.94	0.85	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	38.46%
2	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	15.38%	26.92%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.92	+0.08
SD	1.23	1.70	2.30
CV	0.62	0.88	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hercules	33	27.74	+5.26
2	Celta Vigo	32	26.78	+5.22
3	Alcoyano	34	29.36	+4.64
4	Racing Ferrol	24	22.12	+1.88
5	Xerez	29	27.82	+1.18

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Baracaldo	13	21.55	-8.55
2	Leonesa	22	26.04	-4.04
3	Constancia	22	25.02	-3.02
4	Mallorca	22	24.98	-2.98
5	Real Zaragoza	26	26.61	-0.61

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Sociedad	5	Sep 24 – Oct 22	1 in 67
2	Alcoyano	3	Nov 19 – Dec 3	1 in 43
3	Racing Ferrol	3	Mar 25 – Apr 15	1 in 31
4	Xerez	3	Nov 19 – Dec 3	1 in 15
5	SD Ceuta	3	Feb 25 – Mar 25	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Zaragoza	4	Nov 12 – Dec 3	1 in 121
2	Mallorca	3	Oct 1 – Oct 15	1 in 20
3	Hercules	2	Feb 25 – Mar 18	1 in 14
4	SD Ceuta	4	Apr 8 – May 13	1 in 13
5	Baracaldo	4	Feb 25 – Apr 8	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Xerez	9	Nov 5 – Jan 14	1 in 151
2	SD Ceuta	5	Oct 15 – Nov 12	1 in 48
3	Real Sociedad	8	Dec 10 – Feb 25	1 in 38
4	Alcoyano	7	Sep 24 – Nov 5	1 in 24
5	Real Zaragoza	4	Dec 10 – Jan 14	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Alcoyano	6	Oct 8 – Nov 12	1 in 83
2	Real Sociedad	7	Nov 12 – Jan 7	1 in 66
3	Baracaldo	12	Jan 14 – May 20	1 in 64
4	Xerez	5	Dec 10 – Jan 28	1 in 24
5	Real Zaragoza	5	Nov 12 – Dec 10	1 in 16

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Alcoyano	20.88%	17.11%	12.61%	11.17%	8.38%	6.63%	6.07%	4.98%	3.99%	3.06%	2.15%	1.51%	1.00%	0.46%
Hercules	10.18%	11.71%	11.32%	10.64%	9.60%	8.55%	8.21%	6.61%	6.28%	5.30%	4.25%	3.55%	2.45%	1.35%
Celta Vigo	7.43%	9.29%	9.21%	9.43%	9.19%	8.92%	8.57%	7.97%	7.07%	6.65%	6.01%	4.49%	3.66%	2.11%
Real Sociedad	30.70%	17.88%	12.91%	9.66%	7.29%	5.50%	4.73%	3.26%	3.02%	1.82%	1.50%	1.03%	0.48%	0.22%
Xerez	9.13%	10.85%	11.42%	10.46%	10.22%	8.94%	7.86%	7.26%	6.45%	5.48%	4.41%	3.67%	2.53%	1.32%
Real Santander	2.97%	4.70%	5.89%	6.73%	7.58%	9.20%	9.10%	8.46%	8.24%	8.91%	8.73%	7.85%	6.66%	4.98%
Real Betis	4.07%	5.80%	6.86%	7.74%	7.91%	8.50%	8.45%	9.11%	8.99%	8.20%	8.22%	7.05%	5.53%	3.57%
Real Zaragoza	5.32%	6.42%	8.63%	8.49%	8.97%	8.90%	8.94%	8.45%	8.30%	7.12%	6.69%	6.23%	4.85%	2.69%
SD Ceuta	1.28%	2.47%	3.35%	4.18%	5.73%	6.36%	7.04%	8.22%	8.82%	10.24%	10.58%	11.60%	11.63%	8.50%
Racing Ferrol	0.29%	0.74%	1.31%	1.76%	2.23%	3.11%	4.07%	5.21%	5.95%	8.16%	9.68%	13.40%	18.78%	25.31%
Leonesa	3.43%	5.67%	6.64%	7.26%	8.26%	8.58%	8.52%	8.87%	9.26%	8.67%	8.33%	7.16%	5.57%	3.78%
Mallorca	2.10%	3.45%	4.53%	5.75%	6.26%	7.25%	7.50%	8.62%	8.83%	9.77%	9.98%	9.90%	9.37%	6.69%
Constancia	2.06%	3.35%	4.47%	5.39%	6.55%	7.15%	7.85%	8.87%	9.27%	9.60%	10.08%	9.60%	8.80%	6.96%
Baracaldo	0.16%	0.56%	0.85%	1.34%	1.83%	2.41%	3.09%	4.11%	5.53%	7.02%	9.39%	12.96%	18.69%	32.06%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+57.14%

Strong Edge

70.33%16.48%13.19%

Elo Value

Home Edge

156 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0225.71400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.49 goals

Strong Home

-2+1.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.9

Open

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

21%

Alcoyano, 2nd of 14

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.04/gm

Photo Finish

00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.99 * Some Luck: 2.99 to 4.48 * Lucky: 4.48 to 5.97 * Wild Swing: 5.97 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.45 * Close: 2.45 to 3.68 * Off: 3.68 to 4.91 * Way Off: 4.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.85 * A Surprise: 1.85 to 2.96 * Several Surprises: 2.96 to 4.07 * Many Surprises: 4.07 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.68 points

Some Luck

03.739

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.14

Pinpoint

03.078

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

93.79%

Hercules

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

1.59%

Baracaldo

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 14

Minimal Outliers

01.47

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

2 of 3

A Surprise

01.93

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.11

Balanced

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.10

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

65%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

Strong Edge

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

42%

Frequent

0%44%100%

Blowouts

Expected

27%

Very Frequent

0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.45

Highly Predictable

00.492

Matchup Imbalance

0.63

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.19

Weak Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

13%

Chalky

0%15%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

14%

Solid Favorites

0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.17 * Well Above Noise: 0.17 and up.

Probability calibration

0.52

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.06

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.031

Well Within Noise

00.0860.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Lost promotion playoff	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Real Sociedad	48.58%	12.91%	36.78%	1.03%	0.70%
Alcoyano	37.99%	12.61%	46.43%	1.51%	1.46%
Hercules	21.89%	11.32%	59.44%	3.55%	3.80%
Xerez	19.98%	11.42%	61.08%	3.67%	3.85%
Real Zaragoza	11.74%	8.63%	65.86%	6.23%	7.54%
Real Betis	9.87%	6.86%	67.12%	7.05%	9.10%
Celta Vigo	—	100%	—	—	—
Leonesa	9.10%	6.64%	67.75%	7.16%	9.35%
Real Santander	7.67%	5.89%	66.95%	7.85%	11.64%
Constancia	5.41%	4.47%	64.76%	9.60%	15.76%
Mallorca	5.55%	4.53%	63.96%	9.90%	16.06%
SD Ceuta	3.75%	3.35%	61.17%	11.60%	20.13%
Racing Ferrol	1.03%	1.31%	40.17%	13.40%	44.09%
Baracaldo	0.72%	0.85%	34.72%	12.96%	50.75%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1944-09-24	Constancia	W 3-1	1569	1569	67.8%	18.4%	13.8%	+9.0	2
1944-09-24	@ Alcoyano	L 1-3	1569	1569	13.8%	18.4%	67.8%	-9.0	0
1944-09-24	Real Betis	W 4-3	1498	1547	63.9%	18.5%	17.6%	+6.0	2
1944-09-24	@ Hercules	L 3-4	1547	1498	17.6%	18.5%	63.9%	-6.0	0
1944-09-24	Baracaldo	W 2-0	1554	1490	71.9%	18.1%	9.9%	+7.6	2
1944-09-24	@ Mallorca	L 0-2	1490	1554	9.9%	18.1%	71.9%	-7.6	0
1944-09-24	Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1497	1478	69.2%	18.3%	12.5%	-3.5	1
1944-09-24	@ Real Santander	D 2-2	1478	1497	12.5%	18.3%	69.2%	+3.5	1
1944-09-24	Racing Ferrol	W 7-1	1579	1492	73.2%	18.1%	8.8%	+15.6	2
1944-09-24	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-7	1492	1579	8.8%	18.1%	73.2%	-15.6	0
1944-09-24	Xerez	W 3-2	1581	1566	68.9%	18.3%	12.8%	+4.6	2
1944-09-24	@ Real Zaragoza	L 2-3	1566	1581	12.8%	18.3%	68.9%	-4.6	0
1944-09-24	Leonesa	L 0-3	1542	1515	69.7%	18.3%	12.0%	-63.8	0
1944-09-24	@ SD Ceuta	W 3-0	1515	1542	12.0%	18.3%	69.7%	+63.8	2
1944-10-01	Alcoyano	L 0-1	1482	1578	59.5%	18.6%	21.9%	-19.8	0
1944-10-01	@ Baracaldo	W 1-0	1578	1482	21.9%	18.6%	59.5%	+19.8	4
1944-10-01	Hercules	W 5-0	1482	1504	66.2%	18.5%	15.4%	+26.8	3
1944-10-01	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-5	1504	1482	15.4%	18.5%	66.2%	-26.8	2
1944-10-01	Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1560	1595	65.2%	18.5%	16.3%	-40.9	0
1944-10-01	@ Constancia	W 2-0	1595	1560	16.3%	18.5%	65.2%	+40.9	4
1944-10-01	Real Santander	W 6-2	1578	1494	73.0%	18.1%	8.9%	+9.2	4
1944-10-01	@ Leonesa	L 2-6	1494	1578	8.9%	18.1%	73.0%	-9.2	1
1944-10-01	Real Zaragoza	L 0-2	1477	1586	58.1%	18.6%	23.3%	-36.5	0
1944-10-01	@ Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1586	1477	23.3%	18.6%	58.1%	+36.5	4
1944-10-01	Mallorca	W 1-0	1541	1562	66.3%	18.4%	15.2%	+6.0	2
1944-10-01	@ Real Betis	L 0-1	1562	1541	15.2%	18.4%	66.3%	-6.0	2
1944-10-01	SD Ceuta	W 3-0	1561	1478	73.0%	18.1%	9.0%	+10.1	2
1944-10-01	@ Xerez	L 0-3	1478	1561	9.0%	18.1%	73.0%	-10.1	0
1944-10-08	Real Betis	D 2-2	1598	1548	71.2%	18.2%	10.6%	-3.8	5
1944-10-08	@ Alcoyano	D 2-2	1548	1598	10.6%	18.2%	71.2%	+3.8	3
1944-10-08	Leonesa	W 3-0	1477	1588	57.9%	18.6%	23.4%	+24.3	4
1944-10-08	@ Hercules	L 0-3	1588	1477	23.4%	18.6%	57.9%	-24.3	4
1944-10-08	Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1556	1509	71.0%	18.2%	10.8%	-23.7	2
1944-10-08	@ Mallorca	W 1-0	1509	1556	10.8%	18.2%	71.0%	+23.7	5
1944-10-08	Baracaldo	W 5-1	1636	1462	76.8%	17.6%	5.6%	+6.9	6
1944-10-08	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-5	1462	1636	5.6%	17.6%	76.8%	-6.9	0
1944-10-08	Constancia	W 5-1	1622	1519	73.9%	18.0%	8.1%	+10.0	6
1944-10-08	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-5	1519	1622	8.1%	18.0%	73.9%	-10.0	0
1944-10-08	Real Santander	L 0-1	1468	1485	66.6%	18.4%	15.0%	-22.2	0
1944-10-08	@ SD Ceuta	W 1-0	1485	1468	15.0%	18.4%	66.6%	+22.2	3
1944-10-08	Racing Ferrol	W 5-0	1571	1440	75.2%	17.8%	7.0%	+12.7	4
1944-10-08	@ Xerez	L 0-5	1440	1571	7.0%	17.8%	75.2%	-12.7	0
1944-10-15	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1456	1632	50.2%	18.6%	31.2%	+18.5	2
1944-10-15	@ Baracaldo	L 1-3	1632	1456	31.2%	18.6%	50.2%	-18.5	6
1944-10-15	Alcoyano	D 2-2	1532	1594	62.8%	18.6%	18.7%	-2.6	6
1944-10-15	@ Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1594	1532	18.7%	18.6%	62.8%	+2.6	6
1944-10-15	Xerez	W 2-1	1509	1584	61.6%	18.6%	19.9%	+7.2	2
1944-10-15	@ Constancia	L 1-2	1584	1509	19.9%	18.6%	61.6%	-7.2	4
1944-10-15	Mallorca	W 3-1	1563	1532	70.0%	18.3%	11.7%	+7.8	6
1944-10-15	@ Leonesa	L 1-3	1532	1563	11.7%	18.3%	70.0%	-7.8	2
1944-10-15	SD Ceuta	D 2-2	1427	1446	66.5%	18.4%	15.1%	-3.1	1
1944-10-15	@ Racing Ferrol	D 2-2	1446	1427	15.1%	18.4%	66.5%	+3.1	1
1944-10-15	Hercules	L 1-4	1507	1501	68.3%	18.4%	13.4%	-52.6	3
1944-10-15	@ Real Santander	W 4-1	1501	1507	13.4%	18.4%	68.3%	+52.6	6
1944-10-15	Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1551	1643	60.0%	18.6%	21.4%	-32.6	3
1944-10-15	@ Real Betis	W 3-1	1643	1551	21.4%	18.6%	60.0%	+32.6	8
1944-10-22	Leonesa	D 0-0	1597	1571	69.6%	18.3%	12.1%	-5.3	7
1944-10-22	@ Alcoyano	D 0-0	1571	1597	12.1%	18.3%	69.6%	+5.3	7
1944-10-22	Real Santander	W 5-2	1524	1454	72.2%	18.1%	9.6%	+7.9	4
1944-10-22	@ Mallorca	L 2-5	1454	1524	9.6%	18.1%	72.2%	-7.9	3
1944-10-22	Constancia	W 3-2	1424	1517	59.9%	18.6%	21.5%	+7.4	3
1944-10-22	@ Racing Ferrol	L 2-3	1517	1424	21.5%	18.6%	59.9%	-7.4	2
1944-10-22	Celta Vigo	W 4-3	1675	1530	75.8%	17.8%	6.5%	+2.3	10
1944-10-22	@ Real Sociedad	L 3-4	1530	1675	6.5%	17.8%	75.8%	-2.3	6
1944-10-22	Real Betis	W 7-1	1614	1519	73.6%	18.0%	8.4%	+15.0	8
1944-10-22	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-7	1519	1614	8.4%	18.0%	73.6%	-15.0	3
1944-10-22	Hercules	W 4-2	1449	1554	58.6%	18.6%	22.8%	+12.7	3
1944-10-22	@ SD Ceuta	L 2-4	1554	1449	22.8%	18.6%	58.6%	-12.6	6
1944-10-22	Baracaldo	W 2-0	1577	1474	73.9%	18.0%	8.1%	+6.3	6
1944-10-22	@ Xerez	L 0-2	1474	1577	8.1%	18.0%	73.9%	-6.3	2
1944-10-29	Racing Ferrol	W 2-1	1468	1432	70.3%	18.3%	11.5%	+4.4	4
1944-10-29	@ Baracaldo	L 1-2	1432	1468	11.5%	18.3%	70.3%	-4.4	3
1944-10-29	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1527	1629	58.9%	18.6%	22.4%	+13.9	8
1944-10-29	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-3	1629	1527	22.4%	18.6%	58.9%	-13.9	8
1944-10-29	SD Ceuta	D 3-3	1509	1462	71.0%	18.2%	10.8%	-3.1	3
1944-10-29	@ Constancia	D 3-3	1462	1509	10.8%	18.2%	71.0%	+3.1	4
1944-10-29	Mallorca	W 6-1	1541	1532	68.5%	18.4%	13.1%	+19.2	8
1944-10-29	@ Hercules	L 1-6	1532	1541	13.1%	18.4%	68.5%	-19.2	4
1944-10-29	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1576	1678	59.0%	18.6%	22.4%	+16.1	9
1944-10-29	@ Leonesa	L 0-2	1678	1576	22.4%	18.6%	59.0%	-16.1	10
1944-10-29	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1446	1592	54.0%	18.6%	27.3%	-2.1	4
1944-10-29	@ Real Santander	D 1-1	1592	1446	27.3%	18.6%	54.0%	+2.1	8
1944-10-29	Xerez	W 5-1	1504	1583	61.1%	18.6%	20.3%	+23.3	5
1944-10-29	@ Real Betis	L 1-5	1583	1504	20.3%	18.6%	61.1%	-23.3	6
1944-11-05	Hercules	D 2-2	1594	1560	70.1%	18.3%	11.6%	-3.6	9
1944-11-05	@ Alcoyano	D 2-2	1560	1594	11.6%	18.3%	70.1%	+3.6	9
1944-11-05	Baracaldo	W 1-0	1506	1472	70.2%	18.3%	11.6%	+4.7	5
1944-11-05	@ Constancia	L 0-1	1472	1506	11.6%	18.3%	70.2%	-4.7	4
1944-11-05	Real Betis	W 2-1	1427	1527	59.1%	18.6%	22.3%	+8.0	5
1944-11-05	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1527	1427	22.3%	18.6%	59.1%	-8.0	5
1944-11-05	Real Santander	W 4-2	1661	1444	78.3%	17.3%	4.4%	+2.7	12
1944-11-05	@ Real Sociedad	L 2-4	1444	1661	4.4%	17.3%	78.3%	-2.7	4
1944-11-05	Leonesa	W 4-0	1615	1593	69.4%	18.3%	12.3%	+17.8	10
1944-11-05	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-4	1593	1615	12.3%	18.3%	69.4%	-17.8	9
1944-11-05	Mallorca	W 5-1	1465	1513	64.0%	18.5%	17.5%	+20.4	6
1944-11-05	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-5	1513	1465	17.5%	18.5%	64.0%	-20.4	4
1944-11-05	Celta Vigo	W 4-2	1560	1541	69.2%	18.3%	12.5%	+7.4	8
1944-11-05	@ Xerez	L 2-4	1541	1560	12.5%	18.3%	69.2%	-7.4	8
1944-11-12	SD Ceuta	L 0-1	1467	1485	66.5%	18.4%	15.0%	-22.2	4
1944-11-12	@ Baracaldo	W 1-0	1485	1467	15.0%	18.4%	66.5%	+22.2	8
1944-11-12	Racing Ferrol	W 4-2	1534	1435	73.7%	18.0%	8.3%	+5.0	10
1944-11-12	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1435	1534	8.3%	18.0%	73.7%	-5.0	5
1944-11-12	Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1564	1664	59.1%	18.6%	22.3%	+8.5	11
1944-11-12	@ Hercules	L 0-1	1664	1564	22.3%	18.6%	59.1%	-8.5	12
1944-11-12	Xerez	D 2-2	1575	1567	68.4%	18.4%	13.2%	-3.4	10
1944-11-12	@ Leonesa	D 2-2	1567	1575	13.2%	18.4%	68.4%	+3.4	9
1944-11-12	Alcoyano	W 3-1	1492	1590	59.3%	18.6%	22.1%	+13.7	6
1944-11-12	@ Mallorca	L 1-3	1590	1492	22.1%	18.6%	59.3%	-13.7	9
1944-11-12	Real Zaragoza	W 6-0	1442	1632	48.3%	18.6%	33.0%	+62.1	6
1944-11-12	@ Real Santander	L 0-6	1632	1442	33.0%	18.6%	48.3%	-62.1	10
1944-11-12	Constancia	W 2-0	1519	1511	68.4%	18.4%	13.2%	+10.0	7
1944-11-12	@ Real Betis	L 0-2	1511	1519	13.2%	18.4%	68.4%	-10.0	5
1944-11-19	Real Betis	W 3-1	1445	1529	60.7%	18.6%	20.7%	+13.0	6
1944-11-19	@ Baracaldo	L 1-3	1529	1445	20.7%	18.6%	60.7%	-13.0	7
1944-11-19	Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1501	1539	64.9%	18.5%	16.6%	-21.6	5
1944-11-19	@ Constancia	W 1-0	1539	1501	16.6%	18.5%	64.9%	+21.6	12
1944-11-19	Leonesa	W 3-1	1430	1571	54.5%	18.6%	26.9%	+16.3	7
1944-11-19	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1571	1430	26.9%	18.6%	54.5%	-16.3	10
1944-11-19	Mallorca	D 1-1	1656	1506	75.9%	17.7%	6.3%	-5.9	13
1944-11-19	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1506	1656	6.3%	17.7%	75.9%	+5.9	7
1944-11-19	Hercules	L 0-1	1570	1572	67.7%	18.4%	13.9%	-22.6	10
1944-11-19	@ Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1572	1570	13.9%	18.4%	67.7%	+22.6	13
1944-11-19	Alcoyano	L 2-3	1507	1576	62.1%	18.6%	19.3%	-18.5	8
1944-11-19	@ SD Ceuta	W 3-2	1576	1507	19.3%	18.6%	62.1%	+18.5	11
1944-11-19	Real Santander	W 4-3	1571	1504	72.1%	18.1%	9.8%	+3.5	11
1944-11-19	@ Xerez	L 3-4	1504	1571	9.8%	18.1%	72.1%	-3.5	6
1944-11-26	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1595	1650	63.4%	18.5%	18.1%	+6.6	13
1944-11-26	@ Alcoyano	L 1-2	1650	1595	18.1%	18.5%	63.4%	-6.6	13
1944-11-26	Baracaldo	W 7-2	1560	1458	73.9%	18.0%	8.1%	+10.2	14
1944-11-26	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-7	1458	1560	8.1%	18.0%	73.9%	-10.2	6
1944-11-26	Xerez	L 1-2	1595	1574	69.3%	18.3%	12.4%	-21.8	13
1944-11-26	@ Hercules	W 2-1	1574	1595	12.4%	18.3%	69.3%	+21.8	13
1944-11-26	Constancia	W 4-3	1555	1479	72.6%	18.1%	9.3%	+3.3	12
1944-11-26	@ Leonesa	L 3-4	1479	1555	9.3%	18.1%	72.6%	-3.3	5
1944-11-26	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1512	1548	65.1%	18.5%	16.4%	+10.5	9
1944-11-26	@ Mallorca	L 1-3	1548	1512	16.4%	18.5%	65.1%	-10.6	10
1944-11-26	Racing Ferrol	W 8-1	1500	1447	71.3%	18.2%	10.5%	+21.2	8
1944-11-26	@ Real Santander	L 1-8	1447	1500	10.5%	18.2%	71.3%	-21.2	7
1944-11-26	SD Ceuta	D 0-0	1516	1489	69.7%	18.3%	12.0%	-5.3	8
1944-11-26	@ Real Betis	D 0-0	1489	1516	12.0%	18.3%	69.7%	+5.3	9
1944-12-03	Leonesa	W 2-0	1448	1558	58.0%	18.6%	23.4%	+16.7	8
1944-12-03	@ Baracaldo	L 0-2	1558	1448	23.4%	18.6%	58.0%	-16.7	12
1944-12-03	Real Santander	D 2-2	1476	1522	64.2%	18.5%	17.2%	-2.8	6
1944-12-03	@ Constancia	D 2-2	1522	1476	17.2%	18.5%	64.2%	+2.8	9
1944-12-03	Hercules	D 1-1	1425	1573	53.7%	18.6%	27.7%	-2.0	8
1944-12-03	@ Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1573	1425	27.7%	18.6%	53.7%	+2.0	14
1944-12-03	Celta Vigo	W 4-0	1511	1571	63.0%	18.6%	18.5%	+25.7	10
1944-12-03	@ Real Betis	L 0-4	1571	1511	18.5%	18.6%	63.0%	-25.7	14
1944-12-03	Alcoyano	L 1-4	1537	1601	62.6%	18.6%	18.9%	-48.1	10
1944-12-03	@ Real Zaragoza	W 4-1	1601	1537	18.9%	18.6%	62.6%	+48.1	15
1944-12-03	Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1494	1643	53.6%	18.6%	27.8%	+10.2	11
1944-12-03	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-1	1643	1494	27.8%	18.6%	53.6%	-10.3	13
1944-12-03	Mallorca	W 2-0	1596	1523	72.4%	18.1%	9.4%	+7.3	15
1944-12-03	@ Xerez	L 0-2	1523	1596	9.4%	18.1%	72.4%	-7.3	9
1944-12-10	Xerez	D 1-1	1650	1603	70.9%	18.2%	10.9%	-5.0	16
1944-12-10	@ Alcoyano	D 1-1	1603	1650	10.9%	18.2%	70.9%	+5.0	16
1944-12-10	Constancia	W 5-0	1575	1473	73.9%	18.0%	8.1%	+14.8	16
1944-12-10	@ Hercules	L 0-5	1473	1575	8.1%	18.0%	73.9%	-14.8	6
1944-12-10	Real Betis	W 2-0	1542	1536	68.2%	18.4%	13.4%	+10.1	14
1944-12-10	@ Leonesa	L 0-2	1536	1542	13.4%	18.4%	68.2%	-10.1	10
1944-12-10	Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1515	1423	73.4%	18.0%	8.6%	-5.5	10
1944-12-10	@ Mallorca	D 1-1	1423	1515	8.6%	18.0%	73.4%	+5.4	9
1944-12-10	Baracaldo	W 3-1	1524	1465	71.7%	18.2%	10.1%	+6.8	11
1944-12-10	@ Real Santander	L 1-3	1465	1524	10.1%	18.2%	71.7%	-6.8	8
1944-12-10	Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1633	1489	75.7%	17.8%	6.5%	-5.9	14
1944-12-10	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1489	1633	6.5%	17.8%	75.7%	+5.9	11
1944-12-10	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1504	1545	64.6%	18.5%	16.8%	+6.2	13
1944-12-10	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1545	1504	16.8%	18.5%	64.6%	-6.2	14
1944-12-17	Hercules	L 1-3	1458	1590	55.5%	18.6%	25.8%	-30.2	8
1944-12-17	@ Baracaldo	W 3-1	1590	1458	25.8%	18.6%	55.5%	+30.2	18
1944-12-17	Leonesa	W 3-0	1539	1552	66.9%	18.4%	14.7%	+16.0	16
1944-12-17	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-3	1552	1539	14.7%	18.4%	66.9%	-16.0	14
1944-12-17	Mallorca	W 2-1	1458	1510	63.7%	18.5%	17.8%	+6.5	8
1944-12-17	@ Constancia	L 1-2	1510	1458	17.8%	18.5%	63.7%	-6.5	10
1944-12-17	Alcoyano	W 2-1	1429	1645	44.9%	18.6%	36.4%	+12.1	11
1944-12-17	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1645	1429	36.4%	18.6%	44.9%	-12.1	16
1944-12-17	Real Santander	W 3-2	1526	1531	67.5%	18.4%	14.1%	+5.0	12
1944-12-17	@ Real Betis	L 2-3	1531	1526	14.1%	18.4%	67.5%	-5.0	11
1944-12-17	SD Ceuta	W 4-1	1495	1510	66.7%	18.4%	14.9%	+13.6	13
1944-12-17	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-4	1510	1495	14.9%	18.4%	66.7%	-13.7	13
1944-12-17	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1608	1627	66.4%	18.4%	15.1%	-4.2	17
1944-12-17	@ Xerez	D 1-1	1627	1608	15.1%	18.4%	66.4%	+4.2	15
1945-01-07	Mallorca	W 4-2	1428	1503	61.5%	18.6%	19.9%	+11.2	10
1945-01-07	@ Baracaldo	L 2-4	1503	1428	19.9%	18.6%	61.5%	-11.2	10
1945-01-07	Real Santander	W 2-1	1555	1526	69.8%	18.3%	11.9%	+4.5	18
1945-01-07	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1526	1555	11.9%	18.3%	69.8%	-4.5	11
1945-01-07	Alcoyano	W 4-2	1465	1632	51.3%	18.6%	30.1%	+16.0	10
1945-01-07	@ Constancia	L 2-4	1632	1465	30.1%	18.6%	51.3%	-16.0	16
1945-01-07	SD Ceuta	W 3-1	1536	1497	70.5%	18.3%	11.3%	+7.5	16
1945-01-07	@ Leonesa	L 1-3	1497	1536	11.3%	18.3%	70.5%	-7.5	13
1945-01-07	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1441	1631	48.4%	18.6%	33.0%	-1.2	12
1945-01-07	@ Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1631	1441	33.0%	18.6%	48.4%	+1.2	16
1945-01-07	Hercules	W 3-0	1531	1620	60.2%	18.6%	21.2%	+22.2	14
1945-01-07	@ Real Betis	L 0-3	1620	1531	21.2%	18.6%	60.2%	-22.2	18
1945-01-07	Real Zaragoza	D 2-2	1604	1509	73.6%	18.0%	8.4%	-4.1	18
1945-01-07	@ Xerez	D 2-2	1509	1604	8.4%	18.0%	73.6%	+4.1	14
1945-01-14	Baracaldo	W 2-0	1616	1439	77.0%	17.6%	5.4%	+4.3	18
1945-01-14	@ Alcoyano	L 0-2	1439	1616	5.4%	17.6%	77.0%	-4.3	10
1945-01-14	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1598	1559	70.4%	18.3%	11.3%	+8.6	20
1945-01-14	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1559	1598	11.3%	18.3%	70.4%	-8.6	18
1945-01-14	Real Betis	W 4-2	1492	1554	62.8%	18.6%	18.6%	+10.6	12
1945-01-14	@ Mallorca	L 2-4	1554	1492	18.6%	18.6%	62.8%	-10.6	14
1945-01-14	Leonesa	W 5-1	1522	1543	66.2%	18.5%	15.3%	+18.1	13
1945-01-14	@ Real Santander	L 1-5	1543	1522	15.3%	18.5%	66.2%	-18.1	16
1945-01-14	Constancia	W 3-1	1632	1481	76.0%	17.7%	6.3%	+4.2	18
1945-01-14	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1481	1632	6.3%	17.7%	76.0%	-4.2	10
1945-01-14	Racing Ferrol	W 3-1	1513	1440	72.4%	18.1%	9.5%	+6.3	16
1945-01-14	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-3	1440	1513	9.5%	18.1%	72.4%	-6.3	12
1945-01-14	Xerez	D 1-1	1489	1600	57.9%	18.6%	23.4%	-2.7	14
1945-01-14	@ SD Ceuta	D 1-1	1600	1489	23.4%	18.6%	57.9%	+2.7	19
1945-01-28	Real Sociedad	D 2-2	1435	1637	46.8%	18.6%	34.5%	-0.7	11
1945-01-28	@ Baracaldo	D 2-2	1637	1435	34.5%	18.6%	46.8%	+0.7	19
1945-01-28	Mallorca	W 4-0	1551	1503	71.0%	18.2%	10.8%	+15.7	20
1945-01-28	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1503	1551	10.8%	18.2%	71.0%	-15.7	12
1945-01-28	Real Zaragoza	W 5-1	1477	1519	64.5%	18.5%	17.0%	+19.9	12
1945-01-28	@ Constancia	L 1-5	1519	1477	17.0%	18.5%	64.5%	-19.9	16
1945-01-28	Hercules	L 2-3	1525	1607	60.9%	18.6%	20.5%	-18.1	16
1945-01-28	@ Leonesa	W 3-2	1607	1525	20.5%	18.6%	60.9%	+18.1	22
1945-01-28	Xerez	W 4-2	1433	1603	51.1%	18.6%	30.3%	+16.1	14
1945-01-28	@ Racing Ferrol	L 2-4	1603	1433	30.3%	18.6%	51.1%	-16.1	19
1945-01-28	SD Ceuta	W 2-1	1540	1487	71.3%	18.2%	10.5%	+4.0	15
1945-01-28	@ Real Santander	L 1-2	1487	1540	10.5%	18.2%	71.3%	-4.0	14
1945-01-28	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1543	1621	61.3%	18.6%	20.1%	-3.3	15
1945-01-28	@ Real Betis	D 1-1	1621	1543	20.1%	18.6%	61.3%	+3.3	19
1945-02-04	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1624	1566	71.6%	18.2%	10.2%	+4.2	21
1945-02-04	@ Alcoyano	L 0-1	1566	1624	10.2%	18.2%	71.6%	-4.2	20
1945-02-04	Real Santander	W 3-1	1625	1544	72.9%	18.1%	9.1%	+6.1	24
1945-02-04	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1544	1625	9.1%	18.1%	72.9%	-6.1	15
1945-02-04	Leonesa	W 3-1	1487	1507	66.3%	18.4%	15.2%	+9.8	14
1945-02-04	@ Mallorca	L 1-3	1507	1487	15.2%	18.4%	66.3%	-9.8	16
1945-02-04	Real Betis	W 2-1	1637	1540	73.7%	18.0%	8.3%	+3.2	21
1945-02-04	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1540	1637	8.3%	18.0%	73.7%	-3.2	15
1945-02-04	Baracaldo	W 3-1	1499	1434	72.0%	18.1%	9.9%	+6.6	18
1945-02-04	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-3	1434	1499	9.9%	18.1%	72.0%	-6.6	11
1945-02-04	Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1483	1450	70.1%	18.3%	11.6%	+8.9	16
1945-02-04	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-2	1450	1483	11.6%	18.3%	70.1%	-8.9	14
1945-02-04	Constancia	W 3-2	1587	1496	73.3%	18.0%	8.6%	+3.2	21
1945-02-04	@ Xerez	L 2-3	1496	1587	8.6%	18.0%	73.3%	-3.2	12
1945-02-18	Xerez	D 2-2	1427	1590	51.9%	18.6%	29.4%	-1.3	12
1945-02-18	@ Baracaldo	D 2-2	1590	1427	29.4%	18.6%	51.9%	+1.3	22
1945-02-18	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1562	1640	61.2%	18.6%	20.2%	-3.3	21
1945-02-18	@ Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1640	1562	20.2%	18.6%	61.2%	+3.3	22
1945-02-18	Racing Ferrol	W 3-1	1493	1441	71.3%	18.2%	10.5%	+7.0	14
1945-02-18	@ Constancia	L 1-3	1441	1493	10.5%	18.2%	71.3%	-7.0	14
1945-02-18	SD Ceuta	W 1-0	1631	1492	75.5%	17.8%	6.7%	+2.8	26
1945-02-18	@ Hercules	L 0-1	1492	1631	6.7%	17.8%	75.5%	-2.8	16
1945-02-18	Alcoyano	W 3-0	1497	1628	55.7%	18.6%	25.7%	+26.2	18
1945-02-18	@ Leonesa	L 0-3	1628	1497	25.7%	18.6%	55.7%	-26.2	21
1945-02-18	Mallorca	W 6-2	1538	1497	70.6%	18.2%	11.2%	+11.5	17
1945-02-18	@ Real Santander	L 2-6	1497	1538	11.2%	18.2%	70.6%	-11.5	14
1945-02-18	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1536	1506	70.0%	18.3%	11.8%	+4.8	17
1945-02-18	@ Real Betis	L 0-1	1506	1536	11.8%	18.3%	70.0%	-4.8	18
1945-02-25	Real Santander	W 6-1	1602	1549	71.3%	18.2%	10.5%	+15.6	23
1945-02-25	@ Alcoyano	L 1-6	1549	1602	10.5%	18.2%	71.3%	-15.6	17
1945-02-25	Hercules	W 3-1	1485	1634	53.7%	18.6%	27.7%	+16.7	16
1945-02-25	@ Mallorca	L 1-3	1634	1485	27.7%	18.6%	53.7%	-16.7	26
1945-02-25	Baracaldo	W 5-2	1434	1426	68.4%	18.4%	13.2%	+10.6	16
1945-02-25	@ Racing Ferrol	L 2-5	1426	1434	13.2%	18.4%	68.4%	-10.6	12
1945-02-25	Leonesa	W 4-1	1644	1524	74.7%	17.9%	7.4%	+7.0	24
1945-02-25	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-4	1524	1644	7.4%	17.9%	74.7%	-7.0	18
1945-02-25	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1501	1559	63.1%	18.5%	18.3%	+13.4	20
1945-02-25	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-2	1559	1501	18.3%	18.5%	63.1%	-13.4	21
1945-02-25	Constancia	W 2-1	1489	1500	67.0%	18.4%	14.6%	+5.5	18
1945-02-25	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1500	1489	14.6%	18.4%	67.0%	-5.5	14
1945-02-25	Real Betis	W 4-2	1591	1541	71.1%	18.2%	10.7%	+6.3	24
1945-02-25	@ Xerez	L 2-4	1541	1591	10.7%	18.2%	71.1%	-6.3	17
1945-03-18	Constancia	L 0-2	1415	1495	61.1%	18.6%	20.3%	-38.4	12
1945-03-18	@ Baracaldo	W 2-0	1495	1415	20.3%	18.6%	61.1%	+38.4	16
1945-03-18	Xerez	W 6-1	1545	1597	63.7%	18.5%	17.8%	+25.4	23
1945-03-18	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-6	1597	1545	17.8%	18.5%	63.7%	-25.4	24
1945-03-18	Alcoyano	L 0-2	1617	1618	67.8%	18.4%	13.8%	-42.7	26
1945-03-18	@ Hercules	W 2-0	1618	1617	13.8%	18.4%	67.8%	+42.7	25
1945-03-18	Real Zaragoza	W 3-0	1516	1514	68.0%	18.4%	13.6%	+14.9	20
1945-03-18	@ Leonesa	L 0-3	1514	1516	13.6%	18.4%	68.0%	-14.9	20
1945-03-18	SD Ceuta	L 2-3	1502	1494	68.4%	18.4%	13.2%	-20.4	16
1945-03-18	@ Mallorca	W 3-2	1494	1502	13.2%	18.4%	68.4%	+20.4	20
1945-03-18	Real Sociedad	W 5-3	1533	1651	57.2%	18.6%	24.1%	+12.5	19
1945-03-18	@ Real Santander	L 3-5	1651	1533	24.1%	18.6%	57.2%	-12.5	24
1945-03-18	Racing Ferrol	W 3-0	1535	1444	73.3%	18.0%	8.6%	+9.7	19
1945-03-18	@ Real Betis	L 0-3	1444	1535	8.6%	18.0%	73.3%	-9.7	16
1945-03-25	Mallorca	D 1-1	1660	1482	77.0%	17.5%	5.4%	-6.1	26
1945-03-25	@ Alcoyano	D 1-1	1482	1660	5.4%	17.5%	77.0%	+6.1	17
1945-03-25	Real Betis	D 1-1	1533	1545	67.0%	18.4%	14.6%	-4.3	17
1945-03-25	@ Constancia	D 1-1	1545	1533	14.6%	18.4%	67.0%	+4.3	20
1945-03-25	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1435	1571	55.1%	18.6%	26.3%	+16.0	18
1945-03-25	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1571	1435	26.3%	18.6%	55.1%	-16.0	23
1945-03-25	Hercules	D 0-0	1638	1574	71.9%	18.1%	9.9%	-5.8	25
1945-03-25	@ Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1574	1638	9.9%	18.1%	71.9%	+5.8	27
1945-03-25	Real Santander	W 2-1	1499	1546	64.1%	18.5%	17.3%	+6.4	22
1945-03-25	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1546	1499	17.3%	18.5%	64.1%	-6.4	19
1945-03-25	Baracaldo	W 3-0	1515	1377	75.5%	17.8%	6.7%	+7.6	22
1945-03-25	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-3	1377	1515	6.7%	17.8%	75.5%	-7.6	12
1945-03-25	Leonesa	W 1-0	1572	1531	70.6%	18.2%	11.2%	+4.5	26
1945-03-25	@ Xerez	L 0-1	1531	1572	11.2%	18.2%	70.6%	-4.5	20
1945-04-08	SD Ceuta	W 7-0	1654	1522	75.2%	17.8%	7.0%	+17.4	28
1945-04-08	@ Alcoyano	L 0-7	1522	1654	7.0%	17.8%	75.2%	-17.4	22
1945-04-08	Constancia	W 4-0	1555	1529	69.6%	18.3%	12.1%	+17.4	25
1945-04-08	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1529	1555	12.1%	18.3%	69.6%	-17.4	17
1945-04-08	Real Zaragoza	W 2-0	1580	1506	72.5%	18.1%	9.4%	+7.3	29
1945-04-08	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1506	1580	9.4%	18.1%	72.5%	-7.3	22
1945-04-08	Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1527	1451	72.6%	18.1%	9.3%	-39.7	20
1945-04-08	@ Leonesa	W 3-1	1451	1527	9.3%	18.1%	72.6%	+39.7	20
1945-04-08	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1488	1632	54.1%	18.6%	27.3%	+9.5	19
1945-04-08	@ Mallorca	L 1-2	1632	1488	27.3%	18.6%	54.1%	-9.5	25
1945-04-08	Xerez	W 4-1	1540	1577	65.0%	18.5%	16.5%	+15.0	21
1945-04-08	@ Real Santander	L 1-4	1577	1540	16.5%	18.5%	65.0%	-15.0	26
1945-04-08	Baracaldo	W 3-1	1549	1369	77.1%	17.5%	5.4%	+3.7	22
1945-04-08	@ Real Betis	L 1-3	1369	1549	5.4%	17.5%	77.1%	-3.7	12
1945-04-15	Celta Vigo	D 3-3	1366	1572	46.2%	18.6%	35.2%	-0.5	13
1945-04-15	@ Baracaldo	D 3-3	1572	1366	35.2%	18.6%	46.2%	+0.5	26
1945-04-15	Leonesa	W 2-0	1511	1487	69.5%	18.3%	12.2%	+9.2	19
1945-04-15	@ Constancia	L 0-2	1487	1511	12.2%	18.3%	69.5%	-9.2	20
1945-04-15	Real Santander	W 2-1	1490	1555	62.6%	18.6%	18.9%	+6.9	22
1945-04-15	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1555	1490	18.9%	18.6%	62.6%	-6.9	21
1945-04-15	Alcoyano	W 4-0	1623	1672	64.0%	18.5%	17.5%	+24.5	27
1945-04-15	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-4	1672	1623	17.5%	18.5%	64.0%	-24.5	28
1945-04-15	Mallorca	W 3-2	1499	1497	67.9%	18.4%	13.7%	+4.9	24
1945-04-15	@ Real Zaragoza	L 2-3	1497	1499	13.7%	18.4%	67.9%	-4.9	19
1945-04-15	Real Betis	L 0-2	1505	1553	64.1%	18.5%	17.4%	-40.2	22
1945-04-15	@ SD Ceuta	W 2-0	1553	1505	17.4%	18.5%	64.1%	+40.2	24
1945-04-15	Hercules	W 3-0	1562	1587	65.9%	18.5%	15.7%	+16.9	28
1945-04-15	@ Xerez	L 0-3	1587	1562	15.7%	18.5%	65.9%	-16.9	29
1945-04-22	Real Zaragoza	W 4-1	1647	1503	75.7%	17.8%	6.5%	+6.2	30
1945-04-22	@ Alcoyano	L 1-4	1503	1647	6.5%	17.8%	75.7%	-6.2	24
1945-04-22	Real Betis	W 4-0	1573	1593	66.3%	18.4%	15.2%	+21.6	28
1945-04-22	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1593	1573	15.2%	18.4%	66.3%	-21.6	24
1945-04-22	Racing Ferrol	W 6-1	1570	1497	72.4%	18.1%	9.4%	+14.1	31
1945-04-22	@ Hercules	L 1-6	1497	1570	9.4%	18.1%	72.4%	-14.1	22
1945-04-22	Baracaldo	W 1-0	1478	1365	74.4%	17.9%	7.7%	+3.2	22
1945-04-22	@ Leonesa	L 0-1	1365	1478	7.7%	17.9%	74.4%	-3.2	13
1945-04-22	Xerez	D 0-0	1492	1578	60.5%	18.6%	20.9%	-3.5	20
1945-04-22	@ Mallorca	D 0-0	1578	1492	20.9%	18.6%	60.5%	+3.5	29
1945-04-22	Constancia	D 1-1	1548	1521	69.7%	18.3%	12.0%	-4.8	22
1945-04-22	@ Real Santander	D 1-1	1521	1548	12.0%	18.3%	69.7%	+4.8	20
1945-04-22	SD Ceuta	W 2-0	1647	1465	77.2%	17.5%	5.3%	+4.1	29
1945-04-22	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1465	1647	5.3%	17.5%	77.2%	-4.2	22
1945-05-13	Real Santander	L 0-3	1362	1543	49.6%	18.6%	31.8%	-45.7	13
1945-05-13	@ Baracaldo	W 3-0	1543	1362	31.8%	18.6%	49.6%	+45.7	24
1945-05-13	SD Ceuta	W 4-2	1594	1460	75.3%	17.8%	6.9%	+4.2	30
1945-05-13	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1460	1594	6.9%	17.8%	75.3%	-4.2	22
1945-05-13	Hercules	W 3-1	1525	1584	63.0%	18.5%	18.4%	+11.7	22
1945-05-13	@ Constancia	L 1-3	1584	1525	18.4%	18.5%	63.0%	-11.7	31
1945-05-13	Mallorca	W 3-2	1483	1489	67.4%	18.4%	14.2%	+5.1	24
1945-05-13	@ Racing Ferrol	L 2-3	1489	1483	14.2%	18.4%	67.4%	-5.0	20
1945-05-13	Leonesa	W 2-1	1571	1481	73.3%	18.0%	8.6%	+3.3	26
1945-05-13	@ Real Betis	L 1-2	1481	1571	8.6%	18.0%	73.3%	-3.4	22
1945-05-13	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1497	1652	52.9%	18.6%	28.4%	+9.8	26
1945-05-13	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1652	1497	28.4%	18.6%	52.9%	-9.8	29
1945-05-13	Alcoyano	L 1-4	1582	1653	61.9%	18.6%	19.5%	-47.6	29
1945-05-13	@ Xerez	W 4-1	1653	1582	19.5%	18.6%	61.9%	+47.6	32
1945-05-20	Racing Ferrol	W 4-1	1701	1488	78.2%	17.3%	4.5%	+4.3	34
1945-05-20	@ Alcoyano	L 1-4	1488	1701	4.5%	17.3%	78.2%	-4.3	24
1945-05-20	Baracaldo	W 3-1	1573	1316	79.4%	17.0%	3.6%	+2.4	33
1945-05-20	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1316	1573	3.6%	17.0%	79.4%	-2.4	13
1945-05-20	Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1478	1598	56.8%	18.6%	24.5%	-17.8	22
1945-05-20	@ Leonesa	W 2-1	1598	1478	24.5%	18.6%	56.8%	+17.8	32
1945-05-20	Constancia	W 2-0	1484	1537	63.6%	18.5%	17.9%	+13.2	22
1945-05-20	@ Mallorca	L 0-2	1537	1484	17.9%	18.5%	63.6%	-13.2	22
1945-05-20	Real Betis	W 3-0	1589	1575	68.8%	18.4%	12.8%	+14.1	26
1945-05-20	@ Real Santander	L 0-3	1575	1589	12.8%	18.4%	68.8%	-14.1	26
1945-05-20	Xerez	W 3-1	1642	1534	74.1%	17.9%	7.9%	+5.3	31
1945-05-20	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1534	1642	7.9%	17.9%	74.1%	-5.3	29
1945-05-20	Real Zaragoza	W 4-1	1456	1507	63.8%	18.5%	17.7%	+16.0	24
1945-05-20	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-4	1507	1456	17.7%	18.5%	63.8%	-16.0	26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1945-04-08	9.30%	Racing Ferrol	1451	3	@ Leonesa	1527	1
2	1944-10-08	10.82%	Celta Vigo	1509	1	@ Mallorca	1556	0
3	1944-09-24	11.98%	Leonesa	1515	3	@ SD Ceuta	1542	0
4	1944-11-26	12.38%	Xerez	1574	2	@ Hercules	1595	1
5	1945-03-18	13.23%	SD Ceuta	1494	3	@ Mallorca	1502	2
6	1944-10-15	13.37%	Hercules	1501	4	@ Real Santander	1507	1
7	1945-03-18	13.80%	Alcoyano	1618	2	@ Hercules	1617	0
8	1944-11-19	13.92%	Hercules	1572	1	@ Real Zaragoza	1570	0
9	1944-10-08	14.96%	Real Santander	1485	1	@ SD Ceuta	1468	0
10	1944-11-12	15.03%	SD Ceuta	1485	1	@ Baracaldo	1467	0
11	1944-10-01	16.34%	Real Sociedad	1595	2	@ Constancia	1560	0
12	1944-11-19	16.63%	Celta Vigo	1539	1	@ Constancia	1501	0
13	1945-04-15	17.42%	Real Betis	1553	2	@ SD Ceuta	1505	0
14	1944-12-03	18.88%	Alcoyano	1601	4	@ Real Zaragoza	1537	1
15	1944-11-19	19.32%	Alcoyano	1576	3	@ SD Ceuta	1507	2
16	1945-05-13	19.51%	Alcoyano	1653	4	@ Xerez	1582	1
17	1945-03-18	20.27%	Constancia	1495	2	@ Baracaldo	1415	0
18	1945-01-28	20.47%	Hercules	1607	3	@ Leonesa	1525	2
19	1944-10-15	21.45%	Real Sociedad	1643	3	@ Real Betis	1551	1
20	1944-10-01	21.92%	Alcoyano	1578	1	@ Baracaldo	1482	0
21	1944-10-01	23.26%	Real Zaragoza	1586	2	@ Racing Ferrol	1477	0
22	1945-05-20	24.54%	Celta Vigo	1598	2	@ Leonesa	1478	1
23	1944-12-17	25.80%	Hercules	1590	3	@ Baracaldo	1458	1
24	1945-05-13	31.75%	Real Santander	1543	3	@ Baracaldo	1362	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1944-09-24	63.83	Leonesa	3	1515	11.98%	@ SD Ceuta	0	1542	69.72%	18.30%
2	1944-11-12	62.10	@ Real Santander	6	1442	48.32%	Real Zaragoza	0	1632	33.04%	18.64%
3	1944-10-15	52.63	Hercules	4	1501	13.37%	@ Real Santander	1	1507	68.26%	18.37%
4	1944-12-03	48.08	Alcoyano	4	1601	18.88%	@ Real Zaragoza	1	1537	62.56%	18.55%
5	1945-05-13	47.58	Alcoyano	4	1653	19.51%	@ Xerez	1	1582	61.92%	18.57%
6	1945-05-13	45.67	Real Santander	3	1543	31.75%	@ Baracaldo	0	1362	49.60%	18.65%
7	1945-03-18	42.67	Alcoyano	2	1618	13.80%	@ Hercules	0	1617	67.81%	18.39%
8	1944-10-01	40.94	Real Sociedad	2	1595	16.34%	@ Constancia	0	1560	65.17%	18.49%
9	1945-04-15	40.22	Real Betis	2	1553	17.42%	@ SD Ceuta	0	1505	64.06%	18.52%
10	1945-04-08	39.74	Racing Ferrol	3	1451	9.30%	@ Leonesa	1	1527	72.60%	18.10%
11	1945-03-18	38.36	Constancia	2	1495	20.27%	@ Baracaldo	0	1415	61.14%	18.58%
12	1944-10-01	36.48	Real Zaragoza	2	1586	23.26%	@ Racing Ferrol	0	1477	58.12%	18.62%
13	1944-10-15	32.58	Real Sociedad	3	1643	21.45%	@ Real Betis	1	1551	59.95%	18.60%
14	1944-12-17	30.25	Hercules	3	1590	25.80%	@ Baracaldo	1	1458	55.55%	18.64%
15	1944-10-01	26.82	@ Celta Vigo	5	1482	66.19%	Hercules	0	1504	15.36%	18.46%
16	1945-02-18	26.23	@ Leonesa	3	1497	55.70%	Alcoyano	0	1628	25.66%	18.64%
17	1944-12-03	25.74	@ Real Betis	4	1511	62.96%	Celta Vigo	0	1571	18.50%	18.55%
18	1945-03-18	25.36	@ Celta Vigo	6	1545	63.68%	Xerez	1	1597	17.79%	18.53%
19	1945-04-15	24.49	@ Real Sociedad	4	1623	63.98%	Alcoyano	0	1672	17.50%	18.52%
20	1944-10-08	24.27	@ Hercules	3	1477	57.92%	Leonesa	0	1588	23.45%	18.62%
21	1944-10-08	23.74	Celta Vigo	1	1509	10.82%	@ Mallorca	0	1556	70.95%	18.22%
22	1944-10-29	23.28	@ Real Betis	5	1504	61.12%	Xerez	1	1583	20.29%	18.58%
23	1944-11-19	22.59	Hercules	1	1572	13.92%	@ Real Zaragoza	0	1570	67.68%	18.40%
24	1945-01-07	22.23	@ Real Betis	3	1531	60.19%	Hercules	0	1620	21.21%	18.60%
25	1944-10-08	22.20	Real Santander	1	1485	14.96%	@ SD Ceuta	0	1468	66.60%	18.44%