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1943-44 Segunda División Season

182 games

Final

Promoted

Real Gijon

37 pts

Real Murcia · 32 pts

Relegated

Real Valladolid

18 pts

Osasuna · 18 pts

Arenas de Getxo · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Real Gijon

4.60 points above expected

37 points · 32.40 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Valladolid

4.62 points below expected

18 points · 22.62 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Real Gijon Promoted 26 16 5 5 37 50 19 +31 32.40 +4.60
2 Real Murcia Promoted 26 15 2 9 32 62 40 +22 29.24 +2.76
3 Constancia 26 15 1 10 31 49 37 +12 29.40 +1.60
4 Alcoyano 26 12 7 7 31 44 33 +11 26.77 +4.23
5 Real Zaragoza 26 12 5 9 29 56 40 +16 28.68 +0.32
6 Xerez 26 13 3 10 29 49 41 +8 26.08 +2.92
7 Real Betis 26 11 7 8 29 50 44 +6 27.14 +1.86
8 SD Ceuta 26 10 5 11 25 47 45 +2 25.88 -0.88
9 Leonesa 26 11 3 12 25 42 45 -3 27.27 -2.27
10 Hercules 26 9 4 13 22 38 45 -7 25.74 -3.74
11 Arenas de Getxo Relegated 26 7 5 14 19 39 60 -21 21.32 -2.32
12 Baracaldo 26 8 3 15 19 34 61 -27 19.92 -0.92
13 Real Valladolid Relegated 26 6 6 14 18 30 53 -23 22.62 -4.62
14 Osasuna Relegated 26 7 4 15 18 33 60 -27 21.54 -3.54

Phase 1 was played using regional groups. The top teams from each advanced to a final round-robin that started from zero; Phase 1 results did not carry forward. The group tables above are Phase 1 context.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Real Gijon 1688 37 32.40 +4.60 90.7% 17 26 30 32 35 39 46
Real Murcia 1605 32 29.24 +2.76 79.4% 13 23 27 29 32 36 43
Real Zaragoza 1547 29 28.68 +0.32 57.7% 15 22 26 29 31 35 43
Alcoyano 1527 31 26.77 +4.23 88.5% 12 20 24 27 29 33 41
Constancia 1527 31 29.40 +1.60 69.5% 15 23 27 29 32 36 43
Xerez 1521 29 26.08 +2.92 80.8% 12 20 23 26 29 33 39
Real Betis 1489 29 27.14 +1.86 72.1% 11 20 24 27 30 34 41
SD Ceuta 1479 25 25.88 -0.88 46.2% 12 20 23 26 28 32 40
Leonesa 1432 25 27.27 -2.27 32.8% 14 21 25 27 30 34 43
Arenas de Getxo 1412 19 21.32 -2.32 32.4% 6 15 19 21 24 28 37
Hercules 1403 22 25.74 -3.74 20.6% 11 19 23 26 28 32 39
Osasuna 1396 18 21.54 -3.54 21.9% 6 15 19 21 24 28 36
Baracaldo 1389 19 19.92 -0.92 46.3% 6 14 17 20 23 26 37
Real Valladolid 1340 18 22.62 -4.62 14.7% 8 16 20 23 25 29 37

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALC ADG BAR CON HER LEO OSA RB RG RM RV RZ SC XER
Alcoyano —
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.64
1-0-1
3.52
0-2-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.32
1-1-0
2.35
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.79
Arenas de Getxo
1-0-1
2.23
 —
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
1.81
1-1-0
2.40
0-0-2
2.23
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
1.60
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.12
Baracaldo
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.54
 —
1-0-1
1.64
1-0-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
1.97
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.03
0-0-2
2.47
Constancia
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
3.92
 —
2-0-0
2.99
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.65
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.05
Hercules
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.67
0-0-2
2.56
 —
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.56
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.68
Leonesa
0-1-1
2.91
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.55
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.88
 —
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.71
1-1-0
3.13
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.80
Osasuna
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
2.46
1-0-1
1.97
 —
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
1.78
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.20
Real Betis
0-2-0
2.76
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.69
 —
1-0-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.52
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.90
Real Gijon
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.50
 —
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.73
Real Murcia
0-1-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.97
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.47
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.63
 —
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
3.01
Real Valladolid
0-1-1
2.11
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
2.06
 —
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.61
Real Zaragoza
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.89
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.80
1-1-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.30
 —
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.99
SD Ceuta
0-0-2
2.84
1-1-0
3.08
1-1-0
3.52
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
2.60
 —
0-0-2
2.66
Xerez
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.43
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
3.36
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.56
2-0-0
2.90
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +5.5
Allowed 0.87 -4.9
Differential 0.96 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.65%7.42%3.02%3.85%1.92%1.37%19.23%
17.42%10.99%6.59%6.04%4.12%3.57%38.74%
23.02%6.59%2.75%2.20%0.55%—15.11%
33.85%6.04%2.20%0.55%0.55%0.55%13.74%
41.92%4.12%0.55%0.55%0.55%—7.69%
5+1.37%3.57%—0.55%——5.49%
Total19.23%38.74%15.11%13.74%7.69%5.49%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.71 +0.00
SD 1.49 1.49 2.36
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
111.54%15.38%—7.69%3.85%—38.46%
27.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
4———————
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total26.92%42.31%11.54%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.27 +0.42
SD 1.59 1.15 2.04
CV 0.94 0.91 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%23.08%
13.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
23.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
33.85%3.85%——7.69%—15.38%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total19.23%26.92%11.54%11.54%15.38%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.31 -0.81
SD 1.24 1.95 2.67
CV 0.83 0.85 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%15.38%——19.23%
17.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%11.54%11.54%53.85%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%23.08%19.23%19.23%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 2.35 -1.04
SD 1.12 1.85 2.54
CV 0.86 0.79 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
119.23%3.85%11.54%—11.54%3.85%50.00%
23.85%—————3.85%
3—19.23%3.85%———23.08%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total26.92%38.46%19.23%—11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.42 +0.46
SD 1.66 1.42 2.45
CV 0.88 1.00 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
1—11.54%11.54%11.54%——34.62%
27.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%38.46%23.08%19.23%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.73 -0.27
SD 1.07 1.15 1.85
CV 0.73 0.66 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%—11.54%——23.08%
17.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%—3.85%34.62%
2—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
37.69%—3.85%———11.54%
43.85%3.85%—7.69%——15.38%
5+———————
Total19.23%30.77%15.38%30.77%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.73 -0.12
SD 1.39 1.31 2.07
CV 0.86 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———11.54%11.54%7.69%30.77%
13.85%11.54%7.69%11.54%7.69%—42.31%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total15.38%23.08%11.54%23.08%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.31 -1.04
SD 1.34 1.59 2.72
CV 1.06 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%—7.69%—19.23%
17.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%7.69%—38.46%
2—3.85%————3.85%
3—11.54%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
4—7.69%——3.85%—11.54%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total15.38%46.15%11.54%7.69%19.23%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.69 +0.23
SD 1.70 1.38 2.39
CV 0.88 0.81 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%————15.38%
115.38%15.38%—3.85%——34.62%
27.69%3.85%——3.85%—15.38%
315.38%7.69%————23.08%
4———————
5+3.85%7.69%————11.54%
Total46.15%46.15%—3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.73 +1.19
SD 1.52 0.96 1.88
CV 0.79 1.32 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
111.54%——11.54%—3.85%26.92%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%15.38%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total19.23%42.31%15.38%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 1.54 +0.85
SD 1.83 1.30 2.38
CV 0.77 0.85 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
17.69%11.54%15.38%7.69%3.85%11.54%57.69%
2—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%30.77%30.77%11.54%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 2.04 -0.88
SD 0.92 1.56 1.86
CV 0.80 0.77 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%————15.38%
1—11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
2—11.54%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
Total11.54%57.69%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 1.54 +0.62
SD 1.85 1.33 2.40
CV 0.86 0.87 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
13.85%19.23%7.69%——3.85%34.62%
2—19.23%—7.69%——26.92%
3——3.85%——7.69%11.54%
4———————
5+7.69%3.85%————11.54%
Total11.54%50.00%19.23%7.69%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.73 +0.08
SD 1.47 1.54 2.15
CV 0.81 0.89 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
13.85%11.54%—7.69%3.85%3.85%30.77%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
43.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
5+—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
Total19.23%46.15%11.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.58 +0.31
SD 1.66 1.55 2.51
CV 0.88 0.99 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Real Gijon 37 32.40 +4.60
2 Alcoyano 31 26.77 +4.23
3 Xerez 29 26.08 +2.92
4 Real Murcia 32 29.24 +2.76
5 Real Betis 29 27.14 +1.86

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Real Valladolid 18 22.62 -4.62
2 Hercules 22 25.74 -3.74
3 Osasuna 18 21.54 -3.54
4 Arenas de Getxo 19 21.32 -2.32
5 Leonesa 25 27.27 -2.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alcoyano 4 Nov 14 – Dec 5 1 in 127
2 Constancia 5 Oct 3 – Nov 7 1 in 89
3 SD Ceuta 3 Jan 16 – Jan 30 1 in 30
4 Leonesa 3 Nov 21 – Dec 5 1 in 16
5 Real Zaragoza 3 Oct 17 – Nov 7 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Real Valladolid 5 Nov 21 – Dec 19 1 in 66
2 Constancia 3 Jan 16 – Jan 30 1 in 63
3 Arenas de Getxo 4 Sep 26 – Oct 17 1 in 34
4 Osasuna 3 Oct 10 – Oct 24 1 in 14
5 SD Ceuta 3 Oct 3 – Oct 17 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Real Betis 11 Nov 28 – Feb 13 1 in 88
2 Alcoyano 6 Nov 14 – Dec 19 1 in 31
3 Baracaldo 3 Jan 30 – Feb 13 1 in 14
4 SD Ceuta 4 Nov 28 – Dec 19 1 in 9
5 Constancia 5 Oct 3 – Nov 7 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Real Zaragoza 5 Jan 9 – Feb 6 1 in 34
2 Real Valladolid 7 Nov 7 – Dec 19 1 in 17
3 Hercules 3 Dec 12 – Jan 2 1 in 15
4 Osasuna 6 Nov 14 – Dec 19 1 in 12
5 Constancia 3 Jan 16 – Jan 30 1 in 8

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Real Gijon42.44%20.14%11.90%8.29%5.78%4.02%2.75%1.87%1.17%0.78%0.48%0.23%0.11%0.04%
Real Murcia13.39%15.80%14.27%11.94%10.28%8.54%6.83%5.85%4.57%3.44%2.31%1.61%0.84%0.33%
Constancia13.28%14.55%13.74%12.67%10.01%9.23%6.99%6.08%4.86%3.48%2.57%1.42%0.80%0.32%
Alcoyano3.81%7.00%8.53%9.47%9.79%10.27%10.15%9.56%8.85%7.33%6.12%4.50%3.29%1.33%
Real Zaragoza9.97%13.40%12.61%11.84%10.49%9.48%8.44%6.69%6.03%4.43%3.13%1.89%1.10%0.50%
Xerez2.82%4.71%7.07%7.56%9.13%8.80%10.31%10.78%9.99%9.46%7.75%5.91%3.94%1.77%
Real Betis4.79%7.52%9.11%10.07%10.22%10.16%9.42%8.72%8.06%7.38%6.06%4.33%2.77%1.39%
SD Ceuta2.28%4.17%5.59%7.38%8.10%9.61%10.52%10.50%10.35%9.83%8.54%6.68%4.23%2.22%
Leonesa4.58%7.40%8.73%9.36%10.05%10.28%9.82%10.00%8.54%7.51%5.98%4.12%2.60%1.03%
Hercules1.93%3.66%5.20%6.59%8.24%9.12%9.90%9.89%10.67%10.67%9.12%7.46%5.01%2.54%
Arenas de Getxo0.15%0.33%0.69%1.22%1.84%2.54%3.41%4.95%7.14%8.74%12.49%16.70%19.28%20.52%
Baracaldo0.06%0.22%0.36%0.50%0.82%1.44%2.05%3.21%4.24%6.61%9.95%14.44%21.24%34.86%
Real Valladolid0.31%0.74%1.30%1.87%3.19%3.77%5.57%6.86%8.74%11.40%13.37%14.88%15.18%12.82%
Osasuna0.19%0.36%0.90%1.24%2.06%2.74%3.84%5.04%6.79%8.94%12.13%15.83%19.61%20.33%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+57.14%
Strong Edge
70.33%16.48%13.19%
Elo Value
Home Edge
166 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0225.71500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.40 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Real Gijon, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Tight Race
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.14 * Some Luck: 3.14 to 4.71 * Lucky: 4.71 to 6.28 * Wild Swing: 6.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.08 * Close: 2.08 to 3.13 * Off: 3.13 to 4.17 * Way Off: 4.17 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.64 * A Surprise: 1.64 to 2.63 * Several Surprises: 2.63 to 3.61 * Many Surprises: 3.61 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.94 points
As Expected
03.9310
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.57
Pinpoint
02.606
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
90.73%
Real Gijon
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
14.72%
Real Valladolid
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.63

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.19
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Very Frequent
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.48
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.57
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.04
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.79
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.095
Well Within Noise
00.0990.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Real Gijon 62.58% 20.19% 16.37% 0.71% 0.15%
Real Murcia 29.19% 26.21% 39.51% 3.92% 1.17%
Real Zaragoza 23.37% 24.45% 45.56% 5.02% 1.60%
Leonesa 11.98% 18.09% 56.20% 10.10% 3.63%
Real Betis 12.31% 19.18% 53.96% 10.39% 4.16%
Xerez 7.53% 14.63% 58.47% 13.66% 5.71%
Alcoyano — 100% — — —
Constancia — 100% — — —
SD Ceuta 6.45% 12.97% 58.91% 15.22% 6.45%
Hercules 5.59% 11.79% 58.49% 16.58% 7.55%
Real Valladolid 1.05% 3.17% 39.53% 28.25% 28.00%
Arenas de Getxo 0.48% 1.91% 28.62% 29.19% 39.80%
Osasuna 0.55% 2.14% 29.41% 27.96% 39.94%
Baracaldo 0.28% 0.86% 18.37% 24.39% 56.10%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1943-09-26 Constancia W 2-1 1452 1510 53.6% 22.7% 23.7% +10.1 2
1943-09-26 @ Alcoyano L 1-2 1510 1452 23.7% 22.7% 53.6% -10.1 0
1943-09-26 Real Murcia L 0-1 1438 1499 53.3% 22.7% 24.0% -20.9 0
1943-09-26 @ Arenas de Getxo W 1-0 1499 1438 24.0% 22.7% 53.3% +20.9 2
1943-09-26 Xerez L 1-2 1473 1469 59.9% 22.5% 17.6% -22.1 0
1943-09-26 @ Baracaldo W 2-1 1469 1473 17.6% 22.5% 59.9% +22.1 2
1943-09-26 Real Valladolid D 2-2 1490 1521 56.6% 22.6% 20.8% -2.4 1
1943-09-26 @ Hercules D 2-2 1521 1490 20.8% 22.6% 56.6% +2.4 1
1943-09-26 Real Zaragoza W 2-1 1505 1469 62.7% 22.4% 14.9% +6.8 2
1943-09-26 @ Leonesa L 1-2 1469 1505 14.9% 22.4% 62.7% -6.8 0
1943-09-26 Real Betis W 2-1 1494 1460 62.5% 22.4% 15.2% +6.9 2
1943-09-26 @ SD Ceuta L 1-2 1460 1494 15.2% 22.4% 62.5% -6.9 0
1943-09-26 Osasuna W 3-0 1504 1474 62.2% 22.4% 15.4% +20.4 2
1943-09-26 @ Real Gijon L 0-3 1474 1504 15.4% 22.4% 62.2% -20.4 0
1943-10-03 Real Gijon W 1-0 1500 1524 57.3% 22.6% 20.1% +9.4 2
1943-10-03 @ Constancia L 0-1 1524 1500 20.1% 22.6% 57.3% -9.4 2
1943-10-03 SD Ceuta W 5-1 1453 1501 54.9% 22.7% 22.5% +30.7 2
1943-10-03 @ Osasuna L 1-5 1501 1453 22.5% 22.7% 54.9% -30.7 2
1943-10-03 Baracaldo W 4-1 1453 1451 59.8% 22.5% 17.7% +19.4 2
1943-10-03 @ Real Betis L 1-4 1451 1453 17.7% 22.5% 59.8% -19.4 0
1943-10-03 Leonesa W 3-1 1520 1512 60.3% 22.5% 17.2% +13.4 4
1943-10-03 @ Real Murcia L 1-3 1512 1520 17.2% 22.5% 60.3% -13.4 2
1943-10-03 Arenas de Getxo W 3-2 1523 1417 67.6% 22.0% 10.5% +4.7 3
1943-10-03 @ Real Valladolid L 2-3 1417 1523 10.5% 22.0% 67.6% -4.7 0
1943-10-03 Alcoyano W 4-1 1462 1462 59.6% 22.5% 17.9% +19.6 2
1943-10-03 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-4 1462 1462 17.9% 22.5% 59.6% -19.6 2
1943-10-03 Hercules W 4-2 1491 1487 59.9% 22.5% 17.6% +12.2 4
1943-10-03 @ Xerez L 2-4 1487 1491 17.6% 22.5% 59.9% -12.2 1
1943-10-10 Real Murcia W 3-2 1442 1534 49.8% 22.7% 27.4% +10.8 4
1943-10-10 @ Alcoyano L 2-3 1534 1442 27.4% 22.7% 49.8% -10.9 4
1943-10-10 Leonesa L 3-4 1412 1499 50.4% 22.7% 26.9% -17.3 0
1943-10-10 @ Arenas de Getxo W 4-3 1499 1412 26.9% 22.7% 50.4% +17.3 4
1943-10-10 Osasuna W 4-1 1431 1484 54.3% 22.7% 23.0% +24.3 2
1943-10-10 @ Baracaldo L 1-4 1484 1431 23.0% 22.7% 54.3% -24.3 2
1943-10-10 Real Betis W 2-0 1475 1473 59.8% 22.5% 17.7% +15.8 3
1943-10-10 @ Hercules L 0-2 1473 1475 17.7% 22.5% 59.8% -15.8 2
1943-10-10 Xerez W 1-0 1528 1503 61.7% 22.4% 15.8% +7.6 5
1943-10-10 @ Real Valladolid L 0-1 1503 1528 15.8% 22.4% 61.7% -7.6 4
1943-10-10 Constancia L 2-3 1470 1510 55.7% 22.6% 21.7% -19.5 2
1943-10-10 @ SD Ceuta W 3-2 1510 1470 21.7% 22.6% 55.7% +19.5 4
1943-10-10 Real Zaragoza W 1-0 1515 1482 62.4% 22.4% 15.2% +7.4 4
1943-10-10 @ Real Gijon L 0-1 1482 1515 15.2% 22.4% 62.4% -7.4 2
1943-10-17 Baracaldo W 5-1 1529 1455 65.5% 22.2% 12.4% +18.2 6
1943-10-17 @ Constancia L 1-5 1455 1529 12.4% 22.2% 65.5% -18.2 2
1943-10-17 Alcoyano D 1-1 1516 1453 64.7% 22.2% 13.1% -4.9 5
1943-10-17 @ Leonesa D 1-1 1453 1516 13.1% 22.2% 64.7% +4.9 5
1943-10-17 Hercules L 1-2 1460 1491 56.5% 22.6% 20.8% -20.8 2
1943-10-17 @ Osasuna W 2-1 1491 1460 20.8% 22.6% 56.5% +20.9 5
1943-10-17 Real Valladolid W 6-1 1457 1535 51.4% 22.7% 25.9% +42.3 4
1943-10-17 @ Real Betis L 1-6 1535 1457 25.9% 22.7% 51.4% -42.3 5
1943-10-17 Real Gijon W 4-2 1523 1522 59.6% 22.5% 17.8% +12.4 6
1943-10-17 @ Real Murcia L 2-4 1522 1523 17.8% 22.5% 59.6% -12.4 4
1943-10-17 SD Ceuta W 6-3 1474 1450 61.7% 22.4% 15.9% +14.2 4
1943-10-17 @ Real Zaragoza L 3-6 1450 1474 15.9% 22.4% 61.7% -14.2 2
1943-10-17 Arenas de Getxo W 4-0 1495 1395 67.2% 22.0% 10.8% +19.3 6
1943-10-17 @ Xerez L 0-4 1395 1495 10.8% 22.0% 67.2% -19.3 0
1943-10-24 Alcoyano W 1-0 1375 1458 50.9% 22.7% 26.4% +11.8 2
1943-10-24 @ Arenas de Getxo L 0-1 1458 1375 26.4% 22.7% 50.9% -11.8 5
1943-10-24 Real Zaragoza L 0-3 1437 1488 54.4% 22.7% 22.9% -58.4 2
1943-10-24 @ Baracaldo W 3-0 1488 1437 22.9% 22.7% 54.4% +58.4 6
1943-10-24 Constancia L 0-1 1512 1547 56.1% 22.6% 21.2% -22.0 5
1943-10-24 @ Hercules W 1-0 1547 1512 21.2% 22.6% 56.1% +22.0 8
1943-10-24 Osasuna W 2-1 1493 1439 64.1% 22.3% 13.7% +6.3 7
1943-10-24 @ Real Valladolid L 1-2 1439 1493 13.7% 22.3% 64.1% -6.3 2
1943-10-24 Real Murcia W 5-1 1436 1535 48.9% 22.7% 28.4% +37.1 4
1943-10-24 @ SD Ceuta L 1-5 1535 1436 28.4% 22.7% 48.9% -37.1 6
1943-10-24 Leonesa W 3-0 1510 1511 59.5% 22.5% 18.0% +23.4 6
1943-10-24 @ Real Gijon L 0-3 1511 1510 18.0% 22.5% 59.5% -23.4 5
1943-10-24 Real Betis W 4-1 1515 1499 61.0% 22.5% 16.6% +18.3 8
1943-10-24 @ Xerez L 1-4 1499 1515 16.6% 22.5% 61.0% -18.3 4
1943-11-07 Real Gijon L 0-3 1446 1533 50.4% 22.7% 26.9% -54.3 5
1943-11-07 @ Alcoyano W 3-0 1533 1446 26.9% 22.7% 50.4% +54.3 8
1943-11-07 Real Valladolid W 3-1 1569 1499 65.2% 22.2% 12.6% +10.2 10
1943-11-07 @ Constancia L 1-3 1499 1569 12.6% 22.2% 65.2% -10.2 7
1943-11-07 SD Ceuta W 3-2 1488 1473 60.9% 22.5% 16.7% +7.1 7
1943-11-07 @ Leonesa L 2-3 1473 1488 16.7% 22.5% 60.9% -7.1 4
1943-11-07 Xerez W 1-0 1432 1533 48.7% 22.7% 28.6% +12.5 4
1943-11-07 @ Osasuna L 0-1 1533 1432 28.6% 22.7% 48.7% -12.5 8
1943-11-07 Arenas de Getxo W 3-2 1481 1387 66.8% 22.1% 11.2% +5.0 6
1943-11-07 @ Real Betis L 2-3 1387 1481 11.2% 22.1% 66.8% -5.0 2
1943-11-07 Baracaldo W 7-1 1498 1379 68.3% 21.9% 9.8% +21.3 8
1943-11-07 @ Real Murcia L 1-7 1379 1498 9.8% 21.9% 68.3% -21.3 2
1943-11-07 Hercules W 3-1 1547 1490 64.3% 22.3% 13.5% +10.8 8
1943-11-07 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-3 1490 1547 13.5% 22.3% 64.3% -10.8 5
1943-11-14 Real Gijon D 1-1 1382 1588 34.4% 22.6% 42.9% +0.7 3
1943-11-14 @ Arenas de Getxo D 1-1 1588 1382 42.9% 22.6% 34.4% -0.7 9
1943-11-14 Leonesa W 1-0 1357 1495 43.9% 22.7% 33.4% +14.2 4
1943-11-14 @ Baracaldo L 0-1 1495 1357 33.4% 22.7% 43.9% -14.2 7
1943-11-14 Real Murcia W 2-0 1479 1519 55.6% 22.6% 21.7% +18.9 7
1943-11-14 @ Hercules L 0-2 1519 1479 21.7% 22.6% 55.6% -18.9 8
1943-11-14 Osasuna W 5-0 1486 1445 63.0% 22.4% 14.6% +31.4 8
1943-11-14 @ Real Betis L 0-5 1445 1486 14.6% 22.4% 63.0% -31.4 4
1943-11-14 Real Zaragoza D 1-1 1489 1558 52.5% 22.7% 24.8% -2.4 8
1943-11-14 @ Real Valladolid D 1-1 1558 1489 24.8% 22.7% 52.5% +2.4 9
1943-11-14 Alcoyano L 0-2 1466 1392 65.5% 22.2% 12.3% -48.4 4
1943-11-14 @ SD Ceuta W 2-0 1392 1466 12.3% 22.2% 65.5% +48.4 7
1943-11-14 Constancia W 2-0 1520 1580 53.6% 22.7% 23.7% +20.3 10
1943-11-14 @ Xerez L 0-2 1580 1520 23.7% 22.7% 53.6% -20.3 10
1943-11-21 Baracaldo W 6-1 1440 1372 65.1% 22.2% 12.7% +22.9 9
1943-11-21 @ Alcoyano L 1-6 1372 1440 12.7% 22.2% 65.1% -22.9 4
1943-11-21 Real Betis W 4-1 1559 1517 63.1% 22.3% 14.5% +16.3 12
1943-11-21 @ Constancia L 1-4 1517 1559 14.5% 22.3% 63.1% -16.3 8
1943-11-21 Hercules W 2-1 1481 1498 58.0% 22.6% 19.5% +8.6 9
1943-11-21 @ Leonesa L 1-2 1498 1481 19.5% 22.6% 58.0% -8.6 7
1943-11-21 Arenas de Getxo D 2-2 1414 1383 62.2% 22.4% 15.4% -3.2 5
1943-11-21 @ Osasuna D 2-2 1383 1414 15.4% 22.4% 62.2% +3.2 4
1943-11-21 Real Valladolid W 1-0 1500 1487 60.8% 22.5% 16.7% +8.0 10
1943-11-21 @ Real Murcia L 0-1 1487 1500 16.7% 22.5% 60.8% -8.0 8
1943-11-21 Xerez W 7-1 1560 1541 61.3% 22.4% 16.3% +33.8 11
1943-11-21 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-7 1541 1560 16.3% 22.4% 61.3% -33.8 10
1943-11-21 SD Ceuta W 1-0 1587 1418 71.0% 21.5% 7.5% +3.9 11
1943-11-21 @ Real Gijon L 0-1 1418 1587 7.5% 21.5% 71.0% -3.8 4
1943-11-28 SD Ceuta D 1-1 1386 1414 56.9% 22.6% 20.5% -3.3 5
1943-11-28 @ Arenas de Getxo D 1-1 1414 1386 20.5% 22.6% 56.9% +3.3 5
1943-11-28 Real Gijon L 0-3 1349 1591 29.7% 22.5% 47.8% -35.3 4
1943-11-28 @ Baracaldo W 3-0 1591 1349 47.8% 22.5% 29.7% +35.3 13
1943-11-28 Alcoyano L 0-1 1489 1463 61.9% 22.4% 15.7% -24.2 7
1943-11-28 @ Hercules W 1-0 1463 1489 15.7% 22.4% 61.9% +24.2 11
1943-11-28 Constancia D 1-1 1410 1576 40.1% 22.7% 37.2% -0.2 6
1943-11-28 @ Osasuna D 1-1 1576 1410 37.2% 22.7% 40.1% +0.2 13
1943-11-28 Real Zaragoza W 1-0 1501 1594 49.6% 22.7% 27.7% +12.2 10
1943-11-28 @ Real Betis L 0-1 1594 1501 27.7% 22.7% 49.6% -12.2 11
1943-11-28 Leonesa L 0-1 1479 1489 58.6% 22.6% 18.9% -22.9 8
1943-11-28 @ Real Valladolid W 1-0 1489 1479 18.9% 22.6% 58.6% +22.9 11
1943-11-28 Real Murcia W 3-1 1507 1508 59.4% 22.5% 18.0% +14.0 12
1943-11-28 @ Xerez L 1-3 1508 1507 18.0% 22.5% 59.4% -14.0 10
1943-12-05 Real Valladolid W 2-0 1487 1456 62.3% 22.4% 15.3% +14.0 13
1943-12-05 @ Alcoyano L 0-2 1456 1487 15.3% 22.4% 62.3% -14.0 8
1943-12-05 Arenas de Getxo W 7-0 1576 1383 72.1% 21.3% 6.6% +20.7 15
1943-12-05 @ Constancia L 0-7 1383 1576 6.6% 21.3% 72.1% -20.7 5
1943-12-05 Xerez W 3-0 1512 1521 58.8% 22.6% 18.7% +24.1 13
1943-12-05 @ Leonesa L 0-3 1521 1512 18.7% 22.6% 58.8% -24.1 12
1943-12-05 Real Betis D 4-4 1494 1513 57.8% 22.6% 19.6% -1.9 11
1943-12-05 @ Real Murcia D 4-4 1513 1494 19.6% 22.6% 57.8% +1.9 11
1943-12-05 Osasuna W 4-0 1582 1410 71.1% 21.5% 7.4% +13.6 13
1943-12-05 @ Real Zaragoza L 0-4 1410 1582 7.4% 21.5% 71.1% -13.6 6
1943-12-05 Baracaldo W 2-1 1417 1313 67.4% 22.0% 10.6% +5.0 7
1943-12-05 @ SD Ceuta L 1-2 1313 1417 10.6% 22.0% 67.4% -5.0 4
1943-12-05 Hercules L 1-3 1626 1465 70.6% 21.6% 7.9% -45.3 13
1943-12-05 @ Real Gijon W 3-1 1465 1626 7.9% 21.6% 70.6% +45.3 9
1943-12-12 Baracaldo W 3-1 1362 1308 64.0% 22.3% 13.7% +11.0 7
1943-12-12 @ Arenas de Getxo L 1-3 1308 1362 13.7% 22.3% 64.0% -11.0 4
1943-12-12 Real Zaragoza W 3-1 1596 1595 59.7% 22.5% 17.8% +13.8 17
1943-12-12 @ Constancia L 1-3 1595 1596 17.8% 22.5% 59.7% -13.8 13
1943-12-12 SD Ceuta D 1-1 1511 1422 66.5% 22.1% 11.5% -5.2 10
1943-12-12 @ Hercules D 1-1 1422 1511 11.5% 22.1% 66.5% +5.2 8
1943-12-12 Real Murcia L 1-3 1396 1493 49.3% 22.7% 28.0% -31.8 6
1943-12-12 @ Osasuna W 3-1 1493 1396 28.0% 22.7% 49.3% +31.8 13
1943-12-12 Leonesa W 2-1 1515 1536 57.5% 22.6% 19.9% +8.8 13
1943-12-12 @ Real Betis L 1-2 1536 1515 19.9% 22.6% 57.5% -8.8 13
1943-12-12 Real Gijon L 1-5 1442 1581 43.7% 22.7% 33.5% -52.3 8
1943-12-12 @ Real Valladolid W 5-1 1581 1442 33.5% 22.7% 43.7% +52.3 15
1943-12-12 Alcoyano D 1-1 1497 1501 59.2% 22.5% 18.3% -3.7 13
1943-12-12 @ Xerez D 1-1 1501 1497 18.3% 22.5% 59.2% +3.7 14
1943-12-19 Real Betis D 0-0 1505 1524 57.8% 22.6% 19.6% -3.9 15
1943-12-19 @ Alcoyano D 0-0 1524 1505 19.6% 22.6% 57.8% +3.9 14
1943-12-19 Real Zaragoza W 2-1 1373 1581 34.1% 22.6% 43.3% +16.4 9
1943-12-19 @ Arenas de Getxo L 1-2 1581 1373 43.3% 22.6% 34.1% -16.4 13
1943-12-19 Hercules W 3-0 1297 1505 34.1% 22.6% 43.3% +47.6 6
1943-12-19 @ Baracaldo L 0-3 1505 1297 43.3% 22.6% 34.1% -47.6 10
1943-12-19 Osasuna W 4-1 1528 1365 70.7% 21.6% 7.8% +9.2 15
1943-12-19 @ Leonesa L 1-4 1365 1528 7.8% 21.6% 70.7% -9.2 6
1943-12-19 Constancia W 4-1 1524 1610 50.5% 22.7% 26.8% +27.5 15
1943-12-19 @ Real Murcia L 1-4 1610 1524 26.8% 22.7% 50.5% -27.5 17
1943-12-19 Real Valladolid W 2-1 1427 1389 62.8% 22.4% 14.8% +6.8 10
1943-12-19 @ SD Ceuta L 1-2 1389 1427 14.8% 22.4% 62.8% -6.8 8
1943-12-19 Xerez W 3-1 1633 1493 69.5% 21.7% 8.8% +7.3 17
1943-12-19 @ Real Gijon L 1-3 1493 1633 8.8% 21.7% 69.5% -7.3 13
1944-01-02 Leonesa W 1-0 1583 1537 63.4% 22.3% 14.2% +7.0 19
1944-01-02 @ Constancia L 0-1 1537 1583 14.2% 22.3% 63.4% -6.9 15
1944-01-02 Arenas de Getxo D 1-1 1458 1390 65.1% 22.2% 12.7% -5.0 11
1944-01-02 @ Hercules D 1-1 1390 1458 12.7% 22.2% 65.1% +5.0 10
1944-01-02 Alcoyano W 3-1 1356 1501 42.8% 22.7% 34.5% +23.7 8
1944-01-02 @ Osasuna L 1-3 1501 1356 34.5% 22.7% 42.8% -23.7 15
1944-01-02 Real Gijon W 1-0 1527 1640 47.2% 22.7% 30.1% +13.1 16
1944-01-02 @ Real Betis L 0-1 1640 1527 30.1% 22.7% 47.2% -13.1 17
1944-01-02 Baracaldo W 4-1 1383 1345 62.8% 22.4% 14.8% +16.7 10
1944-01-02 @ Real Valladolid L 1-4 1345 1383 14.8% 22.4% 62.8% -16.7 6
1944-01-02 Real Murcia W 3-1 1565 1552 60.8% 22.5% 16.8% +13.1 15
1944-01-02 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-3 1552 1565 16.8% 22.5% 60.8% -13.1 15
1944-01-02 SD Ceuta W 5-3 1486 1434 63.9% 22.3% 13.8% +9.4 15
1944-01-02 @ Xerez L 3-5 1434 1486 13.8% 22.3% 63.9% -9.3 10
1944-01-09 Alcoyano W 1-0 1590 1477 67.9% 21.9% 10.1% +5.1 21
1944-01-09 @ Constancia L 0-1 1477 1590 10.1% 21.9% 67.9% -5.1 15
1944-01-09 Real Gijon D 1-1 1379 1627 28.9% 22.5% 48.6% +1.7 9
1944-01-09 @ Osasuna D 1-1 1627 1379 48.6% 22.5% 28.9% -1.7 18
1944-01-09 SD Ceuta D 1-1 1540 1425 68.1% 21.9% 10.0% -5.6 17
1944-01-09 @ Real Betis D 1-1 1425 1540 10.0% 21.9% 68.1% +5.6 11
1944-01-09 Arenas de Getxo W 5-1 1539 1394 69.7% 21.7% 8.6% +13.0 17
1944-01-09 @ Real Murcia L 1-5 1394 1539 8.6% 21.7% 69.7% -13.0 10
1944-01-09 Hercules L 1-2 1399 1453 54.2% 22.7% 23.1% -20.0 10
1944-01-09 @ Real Valladolid W 2-1 1453 1399 23.1% 22.7% 54.2% +20.0 13
1944-01-09 Leonesa D 1-1 1578 1530 63.6% 22.3% 14.1% -4.7 16
1944-01-09 @ Real Zaragoza D 1-1 1530 1578 14.1% 22.3% 63.6% +4.6 16
1944-01-09 Baracaldo W 4-1 1495 1328 70.9% 21.5% 7.6% +9.0 17
1944-01-09 @ Xerez L 1-4 1328 1495 7.6% 21.5% 70.9% -9.0 6
1944-01-16 Real Zaragoza W 6-1 1472 1574 48.6% 22.7% 28.6% +45.8 17
1944-01-16 @ Alcoyano L 1-6 1574 1472 28.6% 22.7% 48.6% -45.8 16
1944-01-16 Real Valladolid D 0-0 1382 1379 59.8% 22.5% 17.7% -4.3 11
1944-01-16 @ Arenas de Getxo D 0-0 1379 1382 17.7% 22.5% 59.8% +4.3 11
1944-01-16 Real Betis D 1-1 1319 1535 33.1% 22.6% 44.3% +0.9 7
1944-01-16 @ Baracaldo D 1-1 1535 1319 44.3% 22.6% 33.1% -0.9 18
1944-01-16 Xerez W 3-1 1473 1504 56.5% 22.6% 20.8% +15.8 15
1944-01-16 @ Hercules L 1-3 1504 1473 20.8% 22.6% 56.5% -15.8 17
1944-01-16 Real Murcia L 0-1 1535 1552 58.0% 22.6% 19.5% -22.7 16
1944-01-16 @ Leonesa W 1-0 1552 1535 19.5% 22.6% 58.0% +22.7 19
1944-01-16 Osasuna W 5-0 1430 1381 63.7% 22.3% 14.0% +30.2 13
1944-01-16 @ SD Ceuta L 0-5 1381 1430 14.0% 22.3% 63.7% -30.2 9
1944-01-16 Constancia W 2-1 1625 1595 62.2% 22.4% 15.4% +7.0 20
1944-01-16 @ Real Gijon L 1-2 1595 1625 15.4% 22.4% 62.2% -7.0 21
1944-01-23 SD Ceuta L 0-1 1588 1461 68.8% 21.8% 9.4% -27.0 21
1944-01-23 @ Constancia W 1-0 1461 1588 9.4% 21.8% 68.8% +27.0 15
1944-01-23 Arenas de Getxo W 4-3 1512 1377 69.2% 21.8% 9.0% +4.0 18
1944-01-23 @ Leonesa L 3-4 1377 1512 9.0% 21.8% 69.2% -4.0 11
1944-01-23 Baracaldo W 3-0 1351 1320 62.2% 22.4% 15.4% +20.4 11
1944-01-23 @ Osasuna L 0-3 1320 1351 15.4% 22.4% 62.2% -20.4 7
1944-01-23 Hercules W 3-1 1534 1489 63.4% 22.3% 14.3% +11.4 20
1944-01-23 @ Real Betis L 1-3 1489 1534 14.3% 22.3% 63.4% -11.4 15
1944-01-23 Alcoyano D 2-2 1574 1518 64.2% 22.3% 13.5% -3.6 20
1944-01-23 @ Real Murcia D 2-2 1518 1574 13.5% 22.3% 64.2% +3.6 18
1944-01-23 Real Gijon D 0-0 1528 1632 48.2% 22.7% 29.1% -1.8 17
1944-01-23 @ Real Zaragoza D 0-0 1632 1528 29.1% 22.7% 48.2% +1.8 21
1944-01-23 Real Valladolid W 3-0 1488 1384 67.5% 22.0% 10.5% +14.5 19
1944-01-23 @ Xerez L 0-3 1384 1488 10.5% 22.0% 67.5% -14.5 11
1944-01-30 Leonesa W 3-0 1522 1516 60.1% 22.5% 17.4% +22.7 20
1944-01-30 @ Alcoyano L 0-3 1516 1522 17.4% 22.5% 60.1% -22.7 18
1944-01-30 Xerez W 2-0 1373 1503 45.0% 22.7% 32.3% +26.1 13
1944-01-30 @ Arenas de Getxo L 0-2 1503 1373 32.3% 22.7% 45.0% -26.1 19
1944-01-30 Constancia W 2-1 1300 1561 27.4% 22.4% 50.2% +18.6 9
1944-01-30 @ Baracaldo L 1-2 1561 1300 50.2% 22.4% 27.4% -18.6 21
1944-01-30 Osasuna W 4-0 1477 1371 67.6% 22.0% 10.5% +18.8 17
1944-01-30 @ Hercules L 0-4 1371 1477 10.5% 22.0% 67.6% -18.8 11
1944-01-30 Real Betis D 1-1 1369 1545 38.5% 22.7% 38.8% +0.0 12
1944-01-30 @ Real Valladolid D 1-1 1545 1369 38.8% 22.7% 38.5% -0.0 21
1944-01-30 Real Zaragoza W 3-2 1488 1526 55.9% 22.6% 21.5% +8.9 17
1944-01-30 @ SD Ceuta L 2-3 1526 1488 21.5% 22.6% 55.9% -8.9 17
1944-01-30 Real Murcia W 1-0 1634 1571 64.7% 22.2% 13.0% +6.4 23
1944-01-30 @ Real Gijon L 0-1 1571 1634 13.0% 22.2% 64.7% -6.4 20
1944-02-06 Arenas de Getxo W 2-1 1544 1399 69.8% 21.7% 8.5% +4.1 22
1944-02-06 @ Alcoyano L 1-2 1399 1544 8.5% 21.7% 69.8% -4.1 13
1944-02-06 Hercules W 3-1 1542 1496 63.4% 22.3% 14.2% +11.3 23
1944-02-06 @ Constancia L 1-3 1496 1542 14.2% 22.3% 63.4% -11.3 17
1944-02-06 Real Gijon W 1-0 1493 1641 42.5% 22.7% 34.7% +14.6 20
1944-02-06 @ Leonesa L 0-1 1641 1493 34.7% 22.7% 42.5% -14.6 23
1944-02-06 Real Valladolid W 2-1 1352 1369 58.0% 22.6% 19.4% +8.6 13
1944-02-06 @ Osasuna L 1-2 1369 1352 19.4% 22.6% 58.0% -8.6 12
1944-02-06 Xerez D 1-1 1545 1477 65.1% 22.2% 12.7% -5.0 22
1944-02-06 @ Real Betis D 1-1 1477 1545 12.7% 22.2% 65.1% +5.0 20
1944-02-06 SD Ceuta W 2-0 1564 1497 65.0% 22.2% 12.7% +11.9 22
1944-02-06 @ Real Murcia L 0-2 1497 1564 12.7% 22.2% 65.0% -11.9 17
1944-02-06 Baracaldo D 2-2 1517 1319 72.3% 21.2% 6.5% -4.8 18
1944-02-06 @ Real Zaragoza D 2-2 1319 1517 6.5% 21.2% 72.3% +4.8 10
1944-02-13 Real Betis L 1-3 1395 1540 42.9% 22.7% 34.4% -28.2 13
1944-02-13 @ Arenas de Getxo W 3-1 1540 1395 34.4% 22.7% 42.9% +28.2 24
1944-02-13 Real Murcia W 1-0 1323 1576 28.3% 22.4% 49.2% +19.4 12
1944-02-13 @ Baracaldo L 0-1 1576 1323 49.2% 22.4% 28.3% -19.4 22
1944-02-13 Real Zaragoza L 1-2 1485 1512 57.0% 22.6% 20.4% -21.0 17
1944-02-13 @ Hercules W 2-1 1512 1485 20.4% 22.6% 57.0% +21.0 20
1944-02-13 Constancia W 1-0 1361 1554 36.2% 22.6% 41.2% +16.7 14
1944-02-13 @ Real Valladolid L 0-1 1554 1361 41.2% 22.6% 36.2% -16.7 23
1944-02-13 Leonesa W 2-1 1485 1508 57.4% 22.6% 20.0% +8.8 19
1944-02-13 @ SD Ceuta L 1-2 1508 1485 20.0% 22.6% 57.4% -8.8 20
1944-02-13 Alcoyano W 3-1 1626 1549 65.7% 22.1% 12.1% +9.8 25
1944-02-13 @ Real Gijon L 1-3 1549 1626 12.1% 22.1% 65.7% -9.8 22
1944-02-13 Osasuna W 3-0 1482 1361 68.4% 21.9% 9.7% +13.4 22
1944-02-13 @ Xerez L 0-3 1361 1482 9.7% 21.9% 68.4% -13.4 13
1944-02-20 SD Ceuta W 1-0 1539 1494 63.4% 22.3% 14.3% +7.0 24
1944-02-20 @ Alcoyano L 0-1 1494 1539 14.3% 22.3% 63.4% -7.0 19
1944-02-20 Xerez W 2-0 1537 1495 63.1% 22.3% 14.5% +13.4 25
1944-02-20 @ Constancia L 0-2 1495 1537 14.5% 22.3% 63.1% -13.4 22
1944-02-20 Baracaldo W 3-0 1499 1343 70.3% 21.6% 8.1% +11.2 22
1944-02-20 @ Leonesa L 0-3 1343 1499 8.1% 21.6% 70.3% -11.2 12
1944-02-20 Real Betis W 4-0 1348 1569 32.4% 22.6% 45.1% +64.3 15
1944-02-20 @ Osasuna L 0-4 1569 1348 45.1% 22.6% 32.4% -64.3 24
1944-02-20 Hercules W 3-2 1557 1464 66.8% 22.1% 11.2% +5.0 24
1944-02-20 @ Real Murcia L 2-3 1464 1557 11.2% 22.1% 66.8% -5.0 17
1944-02-20 Real Valladolid W 2-1 1533 1377 70.3% 21.6% 8.1% +3.9 22
1944-02-20 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-2 1377 1533 8.1% 21.6% 70.3% -3.9 14
1944-02-20 Arenas de Getxo W 5-0 1636 1367 75.0% 20.6% 4.5% +10.1 27
1944-02-20 @ Real Gijon L 0-5 1367 1636 4.5% 20.6% 75.0% -10.1 13
1944-03-05 Osasuna W 3-0 1357 1412 54.1% 22.7% 23.3% +29.0 15
1944-03-05 @ Arenas de Getxo L 0-3 1412 1357 23.3% 22.7% 54.1% -29.0 15
1944-03-05 Alcoyano W 2-0 1332 1546 33.3% 22.6% 44.1% +33.3 14
1944-03-05 @ Baracaldo L 0-2 1546 1332 44.1% 22.6% 33.3% -33.3 24
1944-03-05 Leonesa W 3-2 1459 1510 54.4% 22.7% 22.9% +9.3 19
1944-03-05 @ Hercules L 2-3 1510 1459 22.9% 22.7% 54.4% -9.3 22
1944-03-05 Constancia W 4-1 1504 1550 55.0% 22.7% 22.3% +23.6 26
1944-03-05 @ Real Betis L 1-4 1550 1504 22.3% 22.7% 55.0% -23.6 25
1944-03-05 Real Murcia L 1-4 1373 1562 36.8% 22.7% 40.6% -35.3 14
1944-03-05 @ Real Valladolid W 4-1 1562 1373 40.6% 22.7% 36.8% +35.3 26
1944-03-05 Real Gijon D 1-1 1487 1646 40.9% 22.7% 36.4% -0.4 20
1944-03-05 @ SD Ceuta D 1-1 1646 1487 36.4% 22.7% 40.9% +0.4 28
1944-03-05 Real Zaragoza W 1-0 1482 1537 54.0% 22.7% 23.3% +10.6 24
1944-03-05 @ Xerez L 0-1 1537 1482 23.3% 22.7% 54.0% -10.6 22
1944-03-12 Hercules D 1-1 1512 1468 63.3% 22.3% 14.4% -4.6 25
1944-03-12 @ Alcoyano D 1-1 1468 1512 14.4% 22.3% 63.3% +4.6 20
1944-03-12 Osasuna W 3-1 1527 1383 69.7% 21.7% 8.6% +7.1 27
1944-03-12 @ Constancia L 1-3 1383 1527 8.6% 21.7% 69.7% -7.1 15
1944-03-12 Real Valladolid D 2-2 1501 1338 70.7% 21.6% 7.8% -4.6 23
1944-03-12 @ Leonesa D 2-2 1338 1501 7.8% 21.6% 70.7% +4.6 15
1944-03-12 Xerez W 4-1 1597 1492 67.5% 22.0% 10.5% +12.2 28
1944-03-12 @ Real Murcia L 1-4 1492 1597 10.5% 22.0% 67.5% -12.2 24
1944-03-12 Real Betis W 3-1 1526 1528 59.5% 22.5% 18.0% +14.0 24
1944-03-12 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-3 1528 1526 18.0% 22.5% 59.5% -13.9 26
1944-03-12 Arenas de Getxo W 5-0 1486 1386 67.2% 22.0% 10.8% +23.8 22
1944-03-12 @ SD Ceuta L 0-5 1386 1486 10.8% 22.0% 67.2% -23.8 15
1944-03-12 Baracaldo W 2-0 1646 1365 75.4% 20.4% 4.2% +4.0 30
1944-03-12 @ Real Gijon L 0-2 1365 1646 4.2% 20.4% 75.4% -4.0 14
1944-03-19 Constancia W 4-1 1362 1534 39.2% 22.7% 38.1% +36.3 17
1944-03-19 @ Arenas de Getxo L 1-4 1534 1362 38.1% 22.7% 39.2% -36.3 27
1944-03-19 SD Ceuta D 1-1 1361 1510 42.3% 22.7% 35.0% -0.6 15
1944-03-19 @ Baracaldo D 1-1 1510 1361 35.0% 22.7% 42.3% +0.6 23
1944-03-19 Real Gijon L 0-2 1473 1650 38.3% 22.7% 39.0% -29.7 20
1944-03-19 @ Hercules W 2-0 1650 1473 39.0% 22.7% 38.3% +29.8 32
1944-03-19 Real Zaragoza D 1-1 1376 1540 40.2% 22.7% 37.1% -0.2 16
1944-03-19 @ Osasuna D 1-1 1540 1376 37.1% 22.7% 40.2% +0.2 25
1944-03-19 Real Murcia W 3-1 1514 1609 49.3% 22.7% 27.9% +20.1 28
1944-03-19 @ Real Betis L 1-3 1609 1514 27.9% 22.7% 49.3% -20.1 28
1944-03-19 Alcoyano D 1-1 1343 1508 40.1% 22.7% 37.2% -0.2 16
1944-03-19 @ Real Valladolid D 1-1 1508 1343 37.2% 22.7% 40.1% +0.2 26
1944-03-19 Leonesa W 5-1 1480 1496 58.1% 22.6% 19.4% +27.1 26
1944-03-19 @ Xerez L 1-5 1496 1480 19.4% 22.6% 58.1% -27.1 23
1944-03-26 Xerez W 1-0 1508 1507 59.7% 22.5% 17.8% +8.5 28
1944-03-26 @ Alcoyano L 0-1 1507 1508 17.8% 22.5% 59.7% -8.5 26
1944-03-26 Arenas de Getxo W 4-1 1360 1398 55.9% 22.6% 21.5% +22.9 17
1944-03-26 @ Baracaldo L 1-4 1398 1360 21.5% 22.6% 55.9% -22.9 17
1944-03-26 Real Betis W 4-0 1469 1534 53.0% 22.7% 24.3% +39.4 25
1944-03-26 @ Leonesa L 0-4 1534 1469 24.3% 22.7% 53.0% -39.4 28
1944-03-26 Osasuna W 4-0 1589 1375 72.9% 21.1% 5.9% +10.9 30
1944-03-26 @ Real Murcia L 0-4 1375 1589 5.9% 21.1% 72.9% -10.9 16
1944-03-26 Constancia W 5-1 1541 1497 63.2% 22.3% 14.4% +21.0 27
1944-03-26 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-5 1497 1541 14.4% 22.3% 63.2% -21.0 27
1944-03-26 Hercules W 2-1 1511 1443 65.0% 22.2% 12.8% +5.9 25
1944-03-26 @ SD Ceuta L 1-2 1443 1511 12.8% 22.2% 65.0% -5.9 20
1944-03-26 Real Valladolid W 5-1 1680 1342 77.1% 19.8% 3.1% +4.7 34
1944-03-26 @ Real Gijon L 1-5 1342 1680 3.1% 19.8% 77.1% -4.7 16
1944-04-02 Real Murcia W 1-0 1476 1600 45.7% 22.7% 31.5% +13.6 29
1944-04-02 @ Constancia L 0-1 1600 1476 31.5% 22.7% 45.7% -13.6 30
1944-04-02 Baracaldo W 2-1 1437 1383 64.0% 22.3% 13.7% +6.3 22
1944-04-02 @ Hercules L 1-2 1383 1437 13.7% 22.3% 64.0% -6.3 17
1944-04-02 Leonesa W 3-0 1365 1509 43.0% 22.7% 34.3% +39.6 18
1944-04-02 @ Osasuna L 0-3 1509 1365 34.3% 22.7% 43.0% -39.6 25
1944-04-02 Alcoyano D 3-3 1495 1516 57.5% 22.6% 19.9% -2.1 29
1944-04-02 @ Real Betis D 3-3 1516 1495 19.9% 22.6% 57.5% +2.1 29
1944-04-02 SD Ceuta W 2-1 1338 1517 38.2% 22.7% 39.2% +15.1 18
1944-04-02 @ Real Valladolid L 1-2 1517 1338 39.2% 22.7% 38.2% -15.1 25
1944-04-02 Arenas de Getxo W 2-1 1562 1375 71.8% 21.4% 6.9% +3.3 29
1944-04-02 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-2 1375 1562 6.9% 21.4% 71.8% -3.3 17
1944-04-02 Real Gijon D 1-1 1499 1685 37.1% 22.7% 40.2% +0.2 27
1944-04-02 @ Xerez D 1-1 1685 1499 40.2% 22.7% 37.1% -0.2 35
1944-04-09 Osasuna W 3-1 1519 1404 68.1% 21.9% 10.0% +8.2 31
1944-04-09 @ Alcoyano L 1-3 1404 1519 10.0% 21.9% 68.1% -8.2 18
1944-04-09 Hercules W 4-0 1372 1443 52.2% 22.7% 25.1% +40.3 19
1944-04-09 @ Arenas de Getxo L 0-4 1443 1372 25.1% 22.7% 52.2% -40.3 22
1944-04-09 Real Valladolid W 3-1 1377 1353 61.7% 22.4% 15.9% +12.5 19
1944-04-09 @ Baracaldo L 1-3 1353 1377 15.9% 22.4% 61.7% -12.5 18
1944-04-09 Constancia L 1-3 1469 1490 57.6% 22.6% 19.8% -36.8 25
1944-04-09 @ Leonesa W 3-1 1490 1469 19.8% 22.6% 57.6% +36.8 31
1944-04-09 Real Zaragoza W 4-1 1587 1565 61.5% 22.4% 16.1% +17.9 32
1944-04-09 @ Real Murcia L 1-4 1565 1587 16.1% 22.4% 61.5% -17.9 29
1944-04-09 Xerez L 1-2 1501 1499 59.8% 22.5% 17.7% -22.0 25
1944-04-09 @ SD Ceuta W 2-1 1499 1501 17.7% 22.5% 59.8% +22.0 29
1944-04-09 Real Betis W 1-0 1685 1493 72.0% 21.3% 6.7% +3.4 37
1944-04-09 @ Real Gijon L 0-1 1493 1685 6.7% 21.3% 72.0% -3.4 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1943-12-05 7.87% Hercules 1465 3 @ Real Gijon 1626 1
2 1944-01-23 9.38% SD Ceuta 1461 1 @ Constancia 1588 0
3 1943-11-14 12.33% Alcoyano 1392 2 @ SD Ceuta 1466 0
4 1943-11-28 15.72% Alcoyano 1463 1 @ Hercules 1489 0
5 1943-09-26 17.56% Xerez 1469 2 @ Baracaldo 1473 1
6 1944-04-09 17.70% Xerez 1499 2 @ SD Ceuta 1501 1
7 1943-11-28 18.86% Leonesa 1489 1 @ Real Valladolid 1479 0
8 1944-01-16 19.46% Real Murcia 1552 1 @ Leonesa 1535 0
9 1944-04-09 19.82% Constancia 1490 3 @ Leonesa 1469 1
10 1944-02-13 20.45% Real Zaragoza 1512 2 @ Hercules 1485 1
11 1943-10-17 20.85% Hercules 1491 2 @ Osasuna 1460 1
12 1943-10-24 21.24% Constancia 1547 1 @ Hercules 1512 0
13 1943-10-10 21.68% Constancia 1510 3 @ SD Ceuta 1470 2
14 1943-10-24 22.88% Real Zaragoza 1488 3 @ Baracaldo 1437 0
15 1944-01-09 23.10% Hercules 1453 2 @ Real Valladolid 1399 1
16 1943-09-26 24.01% Real Murcia 1499 1 @ Arenas de Getxo 1438 0
17 1943-10-10 26.89% Leonesa 1499 4 @ Arenas de Getxo 1412 3
18 1943-11-07 26.91% Real Gijon 1533 3 @ Alcoyano 1446 0
19 1944-01-30 27.38% @ Baracaldo 1300 2 Constancia 1561 1
20 1943-12-12 28.02% Real Murcia 1493 3 @ Osasuna 1396 1
21 1944-02-13 28.33% @ Baracaldo 1323 1 Real Murcia 1576 0
22 1944-02-20 32.38% @ Osasuna 1348 4 Real Betis 1569 0
23 1944-03-05 33.28% @ Baracaldo 1332 2 Alcoyano 1546 0
24 1943-12-12 33.53% Real Gijon 1581 5 @ Real Valladolid 1442 1
25 1943-12-19 34.05% @ Arenas de Getxo 1373 2 Real Zaragoza 1581 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1944-02-20 64.29 @ Osasuna 4 1348 32.38% Real Betis 0 1569 45.06% 22.56%
2 1943-10-24 58.42 Real Zaragoza 3 1488 22.88% @ Baracaldo 0 1437 54.45% 22.66%
3 1943-11-07 54.34 Real Gijon 3 1533 26.91% @ Alcoyano 0 1446 50.37% 22.72%
4 1943-12-12 52.33 Real Gijon 5 1581 33.53% @ Real Valladolid 1 1442 43.74% 22.72%
5 1943-11-14 48.42 Alcoyano 2 1392 12.33% @ SD Ceuta 0 1466 65.50% 22.17%
6 1943-12-19 47.59 @ Baracaldo 3 1297 34.12% Hercules 0 1505 43.27% 22.60%
7 1944-01-16 45.84 @ Alcoyano 6 1472 48.64% Real Zaragoza 1 1574 28.64% 22.73%
8 1943-12-05 45.34 Hercules 3 1465 7.87% @ Real Gijon 1 1626 70.56% 21.57%
9 1943-10-17 42.28 @ Real Betis 6 1457 51.37% Real Valladolid 1 1535 25.92% 22.71%
10 1944-04-09 40.31 @ Arenas de Getxo 4 1372 52.24% Hercules 0 1443 25.06% 22.70%
11 1944-04-02 39.62 @ Osasuna 3 1365 43.02% Leonesa 0 1509 34.26% 22.72%
12 1944-03-26 39.36 @ Leonesa 4 1469 52.97% Real Betis 0 1534 24.34% 22.69%
13 1943-10-24 37.14 @ SD Ceuta 5 1436 48.90% Real Murcia 1 1535 28.37% 22.73%
14 1944-04-09 36.77 Constancia 3 1490 19.82% @ Leonesa 1 1469 57.59% 22.59%
15 1944-03-19 36.31 @ Arenas de Getxo 4 1362 39.19% Constancia 1 1534 38.13% 22.69%
16 1944-03-05 35.31 Real Murcia 4 1562 40.56% @ Real Valladolid 1 1373 36.79% 22.65%
17 1943-11-28 35.26 Real Gijon 3 1591 47.84% @ Baracaldo 0 1349 29.68% 22.49%
18 1943-11-21 33.77 @ Real Zaragoza 7 1560 61.29% Xerez 1 1541 16.27% 22.44%
19 1944-03-05 33.30 @ Baracaldo 2 1332 33.28% Alcoyano 0 1546 44.14% 22.58%
20 1943-12-12 31.76 Real Murcia 3 1493 28.02% @ Osasuna 1 1396 49.26% 22.73%
21 1943-11-14 31.37 @ Real Betis 5 1486 63.03% Osasuna 0 1445 14.62% 22.35%
22 1943-10-03 30.69 @ Osasuna 5 1453 54.88% SD Ceuta 1 1501 22.47% 22.66%
23 1944-01-16 30.15 @ SD Ceuta 5 1430 63.71% Osasuna 0 1381 13.98% 22.31%
24 1944-03-19 29.75 Real Gijon 2 1650 39.03% @ Hercules 0 1473 38.30% 22.67%
25 1944-03-05 29.03 @ Arenas de Getxo 3 1357 54.06% Osasuna 0 1412 23.27% 22.67%