Home / Leagues / Scotland / Premiership / 2025-26

2025-26 Premiership Season

228 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Celtic

82 points · 56th Title

Last Title: 2024-25

Relegated

Livingston

Biggest Overachiever

Livingston

16.03 points above expected

21 points · 37.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rangers

73.15 points below expected

72 points · 145.15 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Heart of Midlothian 33 21 7 5 70 59 29 +30 60.25 +9.75
2 Rangers 33 19 12 2 69 66 31 +35 62.08 +6.92
3 Celtic 33 21 4 8 67 59 35 +24 64.89 +2.11
4 Motherwell 33 14 12 7 54 53 30 +23 47.79 +6.21
5 Hibernian 33 13 12 8 51 51 37 +14 51.60 -0.60
6 Falkirk 33 13 7 13 46 45 48 -3 41.14 +4.86
7 Dundee United 33 9 13 11 40 44 53 -9 39.89 +0.11
8 Aberdeen 33 9 6 18 33 33 48 -15 38.00 -5.00
9 Dundee 33 8 9 16 33 34 53 -19 32.86 +0.14
10 St. Mirren 33 7 9 17 30 27 48 -21 37.30 -7.30
11 Kilmarnock 33 6 10 17 28 36 64 -28 35.52 -7.52
12 Livingston 33 1 13 19 16 35 66 -31 31.61 -15.61
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic Champion 38 26 4 8 82 73 41 +32 144.85 -62.85
2 Heart of Midlothian 38 24 8 6 80 68 35 +33 146.80 -66.80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 72 76 43 +33 145.15 -73.15
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 61 60 37 +23 114.07 -53.07
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 57 58 44 +14 107.85 -50.85
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 49 50 62 -12 96.26 -47.26
7 Dundee United 38 10 15 13 45 48 59 -11 88.21 -43.21
8 Dundee 38 11 9 18 42 42 61 -19 73.00 -31.00
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 40 40 55 -15 73.21 -33.21
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 40 49 67 -18 64.61 -24.61
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 34 30 55 -25 64.77 -30.77
12 Livingston Relegated 38 2 15 21 21 40 75 -35 37.03 -16.03

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Partick Thistle 1
St. Mirren 1

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1819 82 64.89 +17.11 64.6% 35 53 60 65 70 76 91
Rangers 1798 72 62.08 +9.92 85.5% 32 50 57 62 67 73 86
Heart of Midlothian 1785 80 60.25 +19.75 92.6% 34 49 56 60 65 72 83
Motherwell 1699 61 47.79 +13.21 83.2% 23 36 43 48 52 59 73
Hibernian 1684 57 51.60 +5.40 49.6% 27 40 47 52 56 63 77
Kilmarnock 1580 40 35.52 +4.48 14.9% 13 25 31 35 40 47 60
Falkirk 1575 49 41.14 +7.86 78.3% 17 30 36 41 46 53 69
Dundee United 1543 45 39.89 +5.11 53.6% 15 29 35 40 45 51 65
Dundee 1523 42 32.86 +9.14 54.8% 9 22 28 33 37 44 61
Aberdeen 1521 40 38.00 +2.00 25.7% 13 27 33 38 43 49 66
St. Mirren 1489 34 37.30 -3.30 16.0% 14 26 33 37 42 49 64
Livingston 1425 21 31.61 -10.61 0.8% 10 21 27 32 36 43 62

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU FAL HOM HIB KIL LIV MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen
0-0-3
2.13
2-0-2
5.91
1-2-1
5.24
0-1-2
4.05
1-0-2
2.28
1-0-2
2.87
3-0-1
6.12
2-2-0
6.30
0-1-2
3.18
0-0-3
1.83
1-1-2
5.87
Celtic
3-0-0
6.15
2-0-1
6.61
1-0-2
6.24
4-0-0
8.28
1-1-2
5.93
2-1-1
7.25
3-0-0
6.35
3-0-0
6.94
3-0-1
7.37
1-2-1
5.62
3-0-0
6.51
Dundee
2-0-2
4.97
1-0-2
1.74
1-1-2
4.83
1-0-2
3.08
0-0-3
1.78
0-1-2
2.73
1-2-1
4.79
2-2-0
6.24
1-1-1
2.93
0-1-2
1.89
2-1-1
4.98
Dundee United
1-2-1
5.66
2-0-1
2.05
2-1-1
6.07
1-1-1
3.80
0-1-2
2.77
0-2-1
2.79
0-2-2
6.23
2-2-0
7.22
0-1-2
3.05
0-2-1
2.18
2-1-1
5.98
Falkirk
2-1-0
4.11
0-0-4
2.77
2-0-1
5.11
1-1-1
4.38
0-0-4
2.87
1-1-2
4.59
3-0-0
4.78
1-1-1
4.65
3-1-0
4.41
0-2-2
3.32
1-0-2
4.71
Heart of Midlothian
2-0-1
6.00
2-1-1
4.96
3-0-0
6.57
2-1-0
5.46
4-0-0
8.16
3-0-1
6.70
1-1-1
5.90
2-1-0
6.16
1-3-0
6.85
3-0-1
5.03
1-1-1
6.17
Hibernian
2-0-1
5.33
1-1-2
3.70
2-1-0
5.50
1-2-0
5.42
2-1-1
6.30
1-0-3
4.20
2-1-0
5.89
1-2-0
5.97
0-2-2
5.85
1-1-2
4.19
2-1-0
5.32
Kilmarnock
1-0-3
4.78
0-0-3
1.95
1-2-1
6.10
2-2-0
4.66
0-0-3
3.40
1-1-1
2.38
0-1-2
2.35
2-2-0
6.30
0-1-2
3.18
0-0-3
2.03
3-1-0
5.21
Livingston
0-2-2
4.59
0-0-3
1.48
0-2-2
4.67
0-2-2
3.73
1-1-1
3.53
0-1-2
2.17
0-2-1
2.31
0-2-2
4.59
0-0-3
2.95
0-1-2
2.02
1-2-1
4.55
Motherwell
2-1-0
5.03
1-0-3
3.61
1-1-1
5.30
2-1-0
5.16
0-1-3
6.50
0-3-1
4.07
2-2-0
5.04
2-1-0
5.03
3-0-0
5.26
1-2-1
3.60
2-1-0
4.80
Rangers
3-0-0
6.52
1-2-1
5.27
2-1-0
6.45
1-2-0
6.11
2-2-0
7.66
1-0-3
5.87
2-1-1
6.73
3-0-0
6.28
2-1-0
6.30
1-2-1
7.35
2-1-0
6.05
St. Mirren
2-1-1
5.05
0-0-3
1.83
1-1-2
5.92
1-1-2
4.91
2-0-1
3.48
1-1-1
2.12
0-1-2
2.89
0-1-3
5.67
1-2-1
6.35
0-1-2
3.41
0-1-2
2.24

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.85 +12.1
Allowed 0.77 -13.0
Differential 0.94 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.02%7.68%7.24%3.95%1.54%0.22%27.63%
17.68%10.09%6.36%4.17%0.66%0.44%29.39%
27.24%6.36%7.89%2.85%0.66%0.44%25.44%
33.95%4.17%2.85%1.75%0.22%0.22%13.16%
41.54%0.66%0.66%0.22%3.07%
5+0.22%0.44%0.44%0.22%1.32%
Total27.63%29.39%25.44%13.16%3.07%1.32%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.74
CV 0.86 0.86
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%26.32%2.63%42.11%
113.16%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%31.58%
25.26%2.63%2.63%5.26%15.79%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total26.32%21.05%36.84%13.16%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.45 -0.39
SD 1.31 1.11 1.75
CV 1.25 0.77
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%13.16%
113.16%7.89%5.26%26.32%
25.26%15.79%5.26%26.32%
32.63%13.16%7.89%23.68%
47.89%2.63%10.53%
5+
Total34.21%28.95%31.58%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.08 +0.84
SD 1.22 0.94 1.64
CV 0.63 0.87
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%5.26%7.89%5.26%39.47%
17.89%5.26%7.89%5.26%26.32%
22.63%5.26%10.53%18.42%
32.63%2.63%7.89%2.63%15.79%
4
5+
Total18.42%28.95%31.58%15.79%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.61 -0.50
SD 1.11 1.13 1.64
CV 1.00 0.70
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%2.63%13.16%7.89%2.63%36.84%
115.79%15.79%
27.89%5.26%10.53%5.26%2.63%31.58%
32.63%5.26%5.26%2.63%15.79%
4
5+
Total21.05%28.95%28.95%15.79%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.55 -0.29
SD 1.13 1.16 1.64
CV 0.90 0.74
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%5.26%7.89%2.63%28.95%
113.16%7.89%5.26%7.89%34.21%
22.63%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%21.05%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total23.68%31.58%18.42%18.42%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.63 -0.32
SD 1.23 1.46 1.90
CV 0.94 0.89
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%
118.42%10.53%2.63%31.58%
210.53%13.16%7.89%2.63%2.63%36.84%
310.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%21.05%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total42.11%36.84%10.53%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 0.92 +0.87
SD 0.96 1.05 1.40
CV 0.54 1.14
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%13.16%5.26%28.95%
17.89%7.89%2.63%18.42%
27.89%10.53%7.89%26.32%
37.89%5.26%5.26%5.26%23.68%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total28.95%36.84%26.32%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.16 +0.37
SD 1.22 1.00 1.55
CV 0.80 0.86
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%7.89%5.26%28.95%
12.63%7.89%7.89%10.53%5.26%34.21%
27.89%10.53%2.63%21.05%
37.89%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%5.26%
5+
Total26.32%21.05%18.42%23.68%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.76 -0.47
SD 1.16 1.48 2.08
CV 0.90 0.84
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%5.26%7.89%2.63%31.58%
113.16%15.79%2.63%2.63%34.21%
22.63%18.42%5.26%2.63%2.63%31.58%
32.63%2.63%
4
5+
Total10.53%23.68%39.47%15.79%7.89%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.97 -0.92
SD 0.87 1.26 1.38
CV 0.82 0.64
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%15.79%
15.26%18.42%5.26%5.26%34.21%
221.05%2.63%2.63%7.89%34.21%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total44.74%28.95%10.53%15.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.97 +0.61
SD 1.13 1.10 1.57
CV 0.72 1.13
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%2.63%10.53%
110.53%13.16%7.89%2.63%34.21%
25.26%7.89%10.53%2.63%26.32%
37.89%5.26%13.16%
42.63%5.26%7.89%
5+2.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
Total31.58%31.58%28.95%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.13 +0.87
SD 1.47 0.96 1.51
CV 0.74 0.85
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%15.79%15.79%5.26%2.63%47.37%
17.89%13.16%5.26%5.26%31.58%
27.89%5.26%2.63%15.79%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
4
5+
Total23.68%34.21%23.68%13.16%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.45 -0.66
SD 0.91 1.22 1.51
CV 1.15 0.85
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Livingston 21 37.03 -16.03
2 Kilmarnock 40 64.61 -24.61
3 St. Mirren 34 64.77 -30.77
4 Dundee 42 73.00 -31.00
5 Aberdeen 40 73.21 -33.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 72 145.15 -73.15
2 Heart of Midlothian 80 146.80 -66.80
3 Celtic 82 144.85 -62.85
4 Motherwell 61 114.07 -53.07
5 Hibernian 57 107.85 -50.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 6 Aug 30 – Oct 26 1 in 229
2 Celtic 7 Apr 5 – May 16 1 in 115
3 Kilmarnock 4 May 2 – May 17 1 in 45
4 Rangers 6 Dec 27 – Jan 25 1 in 38
5 Dundee 3 Dec 27 – Jan 3 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 4 Apr 26 – May 13 1 in 252
2 Kilmarnock 6 Oct 18 – Nov 22 1 in 174
3 Hibernian 3 Apr 11 – May 3 1 in 30
4 Celtic 2 Oct 19 – Oct 26 1 in 22
5 Dundee United 4 Jan 3 – Feb 4 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 10 Oct 25 – Dec 20 1 in 63
2 Livingston 4 Feb 14 – Mar 14 1 in 40
3 Heart of Midlothian 12 Aug 4 – Nov 9 1 in 39
4 Rangers 16 Dec 27 – Apr 12 1 in 27
5 Aberdeen 7 Oct 29 – Dec 14 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Livingston 31 Aug 23 – Apr 11 1 in 4,077
2 Kilmarnock 16 Oct 18 – Jan 24 1 in 147
3 Heart of Midlothian 4 Nov 9 – Dec 3 1 in 32
4 Rangers 5 Aug 2 – Sep 13 1 in 30
5 Hibernian 6 Aug 10 – Oct 4 1 in 22

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic45.61%29.12%16.97%6.11%1.64%0.38%0.09%0.04%0.04%
Heart of Midlothian20.46%27.87%30.37%13.67%4.90%1.81%0.46%0.27%0.16%0.02%0.01%
Rangers30.32%31.68%23.41%9.98%3.31%0.83%0.25%0.15%0.04%0.03%
Motherwell0.79%3.08%8.75%21.55%26.37%16.84%9.76%6.07%3.47%1.99%1.10%0.23%
Hibernian2.67%7.07%15.99%31.27%21.53%10.67%5.24%3.03%1.39%0.70%0.36%0.08%
Falkirk0.10%0.50%1.64%6.02%12.66%18.39%17.36%14.26%11.62%8.31%5.81%3.33%
Dundee United0.03%0.28%1.17%4.48%9.75%15.79%17.54%15.13%12.93%10.42%7.72%4.76%
Dundee0.02%0.19%0.62%1.85%3.97%7.10%10.02%12.92%16.76%21.56%24.99%
Aberdeen0.17%0.63%2.53%6.92%11.58%14.36%15.50%15.66%13.57%11.29%7.79%
Kilmarnock0.09%0.22%1.23%3.92%7.09%9.99%13.18%15.14%17.28%16.31%15.55%
St. Mirren0.02%0.10%0.59%2.24%6.01%9.78%12.94%14.92%15.73%15.06%12.85%9.76%
Livingston0.02%0.07%0.30%1.14%2.87%4.91%7.43%10.90%15.86%22.99%33.51%
Team123456789101112
Celtic49.63%30.50%19.87%
Heart of Midlothian30.07%36.50%33.43%
Rangers20.30%33.00%46.70%
Motherwell78.26%21.13%0.61%
Hibernian21.21%73.24%5.55%
Falkirk0.53%5.63%93.84%
Dundee United93.05%6.02%0.88%0.05%
Dundee3.18%42.46%33.18%16.26%4.92%
Aberdeen3.40%39.77%35.96%15.96%4.91%
Kilmarnock0.28%8.51%20.40%42.43%28.38%
St. Mirren0.09%3.24%9.58%25.30%61.74%0.05%
Livingston0.05%99.95%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.23%
Clear Edge
44.74%26.75%28.51%
Elo Value
Home Edge
178 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
056.89500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.39 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.49 * Some Luck: 5.49 to 8.23 * Lucky: 8.23 to 10.98 * Wild Swing: 10.98 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.19 * Close: 1.19 to 1.79 * Off: 1.79 to 2.39 * Way Off: 2.39 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.61 * A Surprise: 0.61 to 0.98 * Several Surprises: 0.98 to 1.35 * Many Surprises: 1.35 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.99 points
Some Luck
06.8617
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.493
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
92.63%
Heart of Midlothian
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.84%
Livingston
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 1
As Expected
00.61

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.04
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
91%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.04
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.091
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Celtic 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Rangers 100%
Hibernian 99.75% 0.20% 0.05%
Motherwell 99.34% 0.52% 0.14%
Falkirk 93.08% 4.62% 2.30%
Dundee United 88.49% 7.39% 4.12%
Aberdeen 80.93% 11.61% 7.46%
St. Mirren 76.22% 13.85% 9.93%
Kilmarnock 68.76% 16.84% 14.40%
Dundee 55.18% 21.90% 22.92%
Livingston 38.25% 23.07% 38.68%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 95.09% 4.91%
Dundee 95.08% 4.92%
Kilmarnock 71.62% 28.38%
St. Mirren 38.21% 61.74% 0.05%
Livingston 0.05% 99.95%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2025-08-02 Livingston D 2-2 1582 1562 46.6% 27.7% 25.7% -0.8 1
2025-08-02 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1562 1582 25.7% 27.7% 46.6% +0.8 1
2025-08-02 Rangers D 1-1 1567 1729 23.1% 27.1% 49.8% +1.3 1
2025-08-02 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1729 1567 49.8% 27.1% 23.1% -1.3 1
2025-08-03 St. Mirren W 1-0 1790 1607 64.8% 22.4% 12.8% +3.6 3
2025-08-03 @ Celtic L 0-1 1607 1790 12.8% 22.4% 64.8% -3.6 0
2025-08-03 Hibernian L 1-2 1556 1646 31.5% 28.3% 40.3% -7.8 0
2025-08-03 @ Dundee W 2-1 1646 1556 40.3% 28.3% 31.5% +7.8 3
2025-08-03 Dundee United D 2-2 1567 1594 40.2% 28.3% 31.5% -0.3 1
2025-08-03 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1594 1567 31.5% 28.3% 40.2% +0.3 1
2025-08-04 Aberdeen W 2-0 1648 1581 52.4% 26.6% 21.0% +11.2 3
2025-08-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1581 1648 21.0% 26.6% 52.4% -11.2 0
2025-08-09 Falkirk W 3-1 1563 1567 43.5% 28.0% 28.5% +12.5 4
2025-08-09 @ Livingston L 1-3 1567 1563 28.5% 28.0% 43.5% -12.5 1
2025-08-09 Dundee D 1-1 1728 1548 64.5% 22.5% 13.0% -2.8 2
2025-08-09 @ Rangers D 1-1 1548 1728 13.0% 22.5% 64.5% +2.8 1
2025-08-09 Motherwell D 0-0 1604 1569 48.6% 27.4% 24.1% -1.4 1
2025-08-09 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1569 1604 24.1% 27.4% 48.6% +1.4 2
2025-08-10 Celtic L 0-2 1570 1794 17.6% 25.3% 57.0% -9.5 0
2025-08-10 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1794 1570 57.0% 25.3% 17.6% +9.5 6
2025-08-10 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1595 1659 35.0% 28.4% 36.6% -8.0 1
2025-08-10 @ Dundee United W 3-2 1659 1595 36.6% 28.4% 35.0% +8.0 6
2025-08-10 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1654 1581 53.2% 26.4% 20.4% -1.3 4
2025-08-10 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1581 1654 20.4% 26.4% 53.2% +1.3 2
2025-08-23 Livingston W 3-0 1803 1575 69.0% 20.4% 10.6% +8.0 9
2025-08-23 @ Celtic L 0-3 1575 1803 10.6% 20.4% 69.0% -8.0 4
2025-08-23 Motherwell D 3-3 1667 1570 55.9% 25.7% 18.4% -1.2 7
2025-08-23 @ Heart of Midlothian D 3-3 1570 1667 18.4% 25.7% 55.9% +1.2 3
2025-08-23 Dundee D 0-0 1583 1551 48.1% 27.4% 24.5% -1.3 3
2025-08-23 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1551 1583 24.5% 27.4% 48.1% +1.3 2
2025-08-24 Rangers D 1-1 1602 1725 27.4% 27.9% 44.7% +0.9 2
2025-08-24 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1725 1602 44.7% 27.9% 27.4% -0.8 3
2025-08-30 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1567 1665 30.4% 28.2% 41.4% -7.6 4
2025-08-30 @ Livingston W 2-1 1665 1567 41.4% 28.2% 30.4% +7.6 10
2025-08-30 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1571 1581 42.6% 28.1% 29.3% -0.5 4
2025-08-30 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1581 1571 29.3% 28.1% 42.6% +0.5 4
2025-08-31 Falkirk L 0-1 1560 1554 44.8% 27.9% 27.3% -10.7 0
2025-08-31 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1554 1560 27.3% 27.9% 44.8% +10.7 4
2025-08-31 Dundee United L 0-2 1553 1587 39.3% 28.3% 32.4% -18.3 2
2025-08-31 @ Dundee W 2-0 1587 1553 32.4% 28.3% 39.3% +18.3 4
2025-08-31 St. Mirren D 1-1 1653 1603 50.4% 27.0% 22.6% -1.4 5
2025-08-31 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1603 1653 22.6% 27.0% 50.4% +1.4 3
2025-08-31 Celtic D 0-0 1724 1811 31.9% 28.3% 39.8% +0.4 4
2025-08-31 @ Rangers D 0-0 1811 1724 39.8% 28.3% 31.9% -0.4 10
2025-09-13 Livingston D 0-0 1549 1560 42.6% 28.1% 29.3% -0.7 1
2025-09-13 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1560 1549 29.3% 28.1% 42.6% +0.7 5
2025-09-13 Motherwell D 1-1 1534 1571 39.0% 28.3% 32.7% -0.3 3
2025-09-13 @ Dundee D 1-1 1571 1534 32.7% 28.3% 39.0% +0.3 5
2025-09-13 St. Mirren L 1-2 1565 1604 38.5% 28.3% 33.1% -9.0 4
2025-09-13 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1604 1565 33.1% 28.3% 38.5% +9.0 6
2025-09-13 Dundee United D 3-3 1652 1605 50.0% 27.1% 22.9% -0.9 6
2025-09-13 @ Hibernian D 3-3 1605 1652 22.9% 27.1% 50.0% +0.8 5
2025-09-13 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1725 1673 50.6% 27.0% 22.4% -22.3 4
2025-09-13 @ Rangers W 2-0 1673 1725 22.4% 27.0% 50.6% +22.3 13
2025-09-14 Celtic L 1-2 1582 1811 17.3% 25.2% 57.6% -4.7 4
2025-09-14 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1811 1582 57.6% 25.2% 17.3% +4.7 13
2025-09-20 Livingston W 3-2 1534 1561 40.4% 28.2% 31.4% +7.4 6
2025-09-20 @ Dundee L 2-3 1561 1534 31.4% 28.2% 40.4% -7.3 5
2025-09-23 Aberdeen W 2-0 1606 1549 51.3% 26.8% 21.9% +11.6 8
2025-09-23 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1549 1606 21.9% 26.8% 51.3% -11.6 1
2025-09-23 Hibernian D 2-2 1556 1651 30.9% 28.2% 40.9% +0.4 5
2025-09-23 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1651 1556 40.9% 28.2% 30.9% -0.4 7
2025-09-27 Hibernian D 0-0 1816 1650 63.1% 23.1% 13.8% -3.0 14
2025-09-27 @ Celtic D 0-0 1650 1816 13.8% 23.1% 63.1% +3.0 8
2025-09-27 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1617 1577 49.2% 27.2% 23.5% -21.8 8
2025-09-27 @ Dundee United W 2-0 1577 1617 23.5% 27.2% 49.2% +21.8 7
2025-09-27 Falkirk W 3-0 1695 1556 60.5% 24.1% 15.4% +12.0 16
2025-09-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1556 1695 15.4% 24.1% 60.5% -12.0 5
2025-09-27 Aberdeen W 2-0 1571 1537 48.4% 27.4% 24.2% +12.6 8
2025-09-27 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1537 1571 24.2% 27.4% 48.4% -12.6 1
2025-09-27 Dundee W 1-0 1613 1541 53.1% 26.4% 20.5% +5.8 9
2025-09-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1541 1613 20.5% 26.4% 53.1% -5.8 6
2025-09-28 Rangers L 1-2 1553 1702 24.4% 27.4% 48.1% -6.4 5
2025-09-28 @ Livingston W 2-1 1702 1553 48.1% 27.4% 24.4% +6.4 7
2025-10-04 Livingston D 1-1 1596 1547 50.2% 27.0% 22.7% -1.4 9
2025-10-04 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1547 1596 22.7% 27.0% 50.2% +1.4 6
2025-10-04 Hibernian W 1-0 1707 1653 50.9% 26.9% 22.2% +6.2 19
2025-10-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1653 1707 22.2% 26.9% 50.9% -6.2 8
2025-10-04 St. Mirren W 2-0 1599 1619 41.2% 28.2% 30.6% +15.2 10
2025-10-04 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1619 1599 30.6% 28.2% 41.2% -15.2 9
2025-10-05 Dundee W 4-0 1524 1536 42.5% 28.1% 29.4% +28.0 4
2025-10-05 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1536 1524 29.4% 28.1% 42.5% -28.0 6
2025-10-05 Motherwell W 3-2 1813 1584 69.1% 20.4% 10.5% +2.6 17
2025-10-05 @ Celtic L 2-3 1584 1813 10.5% 20.4% 69.1% -2.6 8
2025-10-05 Rangers D 1-1 1544 1709 22.9% 27.1% 50.1% +1.4 6
2025-10-05 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1709 1544 50.1% 27.1% 22.9% -1.4 8
2025-10-18 Livingston W 4-0 1647 1548 56.1% 25.6% 18.3% +18.6 11
2025-10-18 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1548 1647 18.3% 25.6% 56.1% -18.7 6
2025-10-18 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1614 1714 30.2% 28.2% 41.6% -21.9 10
2025-10-18 @ Kilmarnock W 3-0 1714 1614 41.6% 28.2% 30.2% +21.9 22
2025-10-18 Falkirk L 1-2 1581 1546 48.6% 27.3% 24.1% -10.8 8
2025-10-18 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1546 1581 24.1% 27.3% 48.6% +10.8 9
2025-10-18 Dundee United D 2-2 1707 1594 57.7% 25.1% 17.2% -1.6 9
2025-10-18 @ Rangers D 2-2 1594 1707 17.2% 25.1% 57.7% +1.6 10
2025-10-18 Aberdeen L 0-1 1604 1552 50.6% 27.0% 22.4% -11.8 9
2025-10-18 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1552 1604 22.4% 27.0% 50.6% +11.8 7
2025-10-19 Celtic W 2-0 1508 1815 12.4% 22.1% 65.5% +27.6 9
2025-10-19 @ Dundee L 0-2 1815 1508 65.5% 22.1% 12.4% -27.6 17
2025-10-25 St. Mirren W 3-1 1596 1592 44.5% 27.9% 27.6% +12.2 13
2025-10-25 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1592 1596 27.6% 27.9% 44.5% -12.2 9
2025-10-25 Dundee W 2-1 1556 1535 46.8% 27.6% 25.6% +6.6 12
2025-10-25 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1535 1556 25.6% 27.6% 46.8% -6.6 9
2025-10-25 Motherwell L 1-2 1530 1570 38.4% 28.3% 33.3% -9.0 6
2025-10-25 @ Livingston W 2-1 1570 1530 33.3% 28.3% 38.4% +9.0 11
2025-10-26 Hibernian L 1-2 1564 1666 30.0% 28.2% 41.8% -7.5 7
2025-10-26 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1666 1564 41.8% 28.2% 30.0% +7.5 14
2025-10-26 Celtic W 3-1 1736 1788 36.8% 28.4% 34.9% +14.5 25
2025-10-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1788 1736 34.9% 28.4% 36.8% -14.5 17
2025-10-26 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1706 1592 57.8% 25.1% 17.2% +8.0 12
2025-10-26 @ Rangers L 1-3 1592 1706 17.2% 25.1% 57.8% -8.0 10
2025-10-29 Falkirk W 4-0 1773 1563 67.4% 21.2% 11.4% +11.4 20
2025-10-29 @ Celtic L 0-4 1563 1773 11.4% 21.2% 67.4% -11.4 12
2025-10-29 Rangers L 0-1 1673 1714 38.4% 28.3% 33.3% -9.5 14
2025-10-29 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1714 1673 33.3% 28.3% 38.4% +9.5 15
2025-10-29 Aberdeen L 0-1 1584 1557 47.6% 27.5% 24.9% -11.2 10
2025-10-29 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1557 1584 24.9% 27.5% 47.6% +11.3 10
2025-10-29 Dundee United W 2-0 1579 1608 40.1% 28.3% 31.7% +15.6 14
2025-10-29 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1608 1579 31.7% 28.3% 40.1% -15.6 13
2025-10-29 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1580 1750 22.3% 26.9% 50.7% +1.1 10
2025-10-29 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1750 1580 50.7% 26.9% 22.3% -1.1 26
2025-11-01 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1552 1573 41.1% 28.2% 30.7% +13.2 15
2025-11-01 @ Falkirk L 1-3 1573 1552 30.7% 28.2% 41.1% -13.2 10
2025-11-01 Dundee W 4-0 1749 1528 68.3% 20.8% 10.9% +10.8 29
2025-11-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1528 1749 10.9% 20.8% 68.3% -10.8 9
2025-11-01 Hibernian D 2-2 1521 1664 25.1% 27.5% 47.3% +0.8 7
2025-11-01 @ Livingston D 2-2 1664 1521 47.3% 27.5% 25.1% -0.8 15
2025-11-08 Livingston D 1-1 1565 1521 49.6% 27.2% 23.2% -1.3 16
2025-11-08 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1521 1565 23.2% 27.2% 49.6% +1.3 8
2025-11-08 Hibernian L 0-3 1581 1663 32.6% 28.3% 39.1% -23.2 10
2025-11-08 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1663 1581 39.1% 28.3% 32.6% +23.2 18
2025-11-09 Motherwell D 1-1 1568 1595 40.3% 28.2% 31.4% -0.4 11
2025-11-09 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1595 1568 31.4% 28.2% 40.3% +0.4 15
2025-11-09 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1784 1560 68.7% 20.6% 10.7% +10.6 23
2025-11-09 @ Celtic L 0-4 1560 1784 10.7% 20.6% 68.7% -10.6 10
2025-11-09 Rangers L 0-3 1518 1723 19.1% 25.9% 54.9% -14.9 9
2025-11-09 @ Dundee W 3-0 1723 1518 54.9% 25.9% 19.1% +14.9 18
2025-11-09 Dundee United D 1-1 1760 1592 63.3% 23.0% 13.6% -2.7 30
2025-11-09 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1592 1760 13.6% 23.0% 63.3% +2.7 14
2025-11-22 Falkirk L 0-3 1595 1563 48.1% 27.4% 24.5% -31.1 14
2025-11-22 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1563 1595 24.5% 27.4% 48.1% +31.1 19
2025-11-22 Dundee W 2-0 1686 1503 64.9% 22.4% 12.8% +6.8 21
2025-11-22 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1503 1686 12.8% 22.4% 64.9% -6.8 9
2025-11-22 Motherwell L 1-3 1549 1595 37.6% 28.4% 34.0% -15.3 10
2025-11-22 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1595 1549 34.0% 28.4% 37.6% +15.3 18
2025-11-22 Livingston W 2-1 1738 1523 67.9% 21.0% 11.2% +2.9 21
2025-11-22 @ Rangers L 1-2 1523 1738 11.2% 21.0% 67.9% -2.9 8
2025-11-22 Celtic L 0-1 1558 1795 16.7% 24.9% 58.4% -4.8 10
2025-11-22 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1795 1558 58.4% 24.9% 16.7% +4.8 26
2025-11-23 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1568 1757 20.5% 26.4% 53.1% +12.3 14
2025-11-23 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1757 1568 53.1% 26.4% 20.5% -12.3 30
2025-11-25 Hibernian W 2-0 1611 1693 32.5% 28.3% 39.2% +18.2 21
2025-11-25 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1693 1611 39.2% 28.3% 32.5% -18.2 21
2025-11-29 St. Mirren W 3-1 1496 1553 36.0% 28.4% 35.6% +14.7 12
2025-11-29 @ Dundee L 1-3 1553 1496 35.6% 28.4% 36.0% -14.7 10
2025-11-29 Dundee United D 0-0 1534 1564 39.9% 28.3% 31.9% -0.4 11
2025-11-29 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1564 1534 31.9% 28.3% 39.9% +0.4 15
2025-11-29 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1629 1745 28.2% 28.0% 43.8% +0.8 22
2025-11-29 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1745 1629 43.8% 28.0% 28.2% -0.8 31
2025-11-30 Celtic L 1-2 1675 1800 27.1% 27.9% 45.0% -6.9 21
2025-11-30 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1800 1675 45.0% 27.9% 27.1% +6.9 29
2025-11-30 Aberdeen L 0-1 1520 1580 35.6% 28.4% 36.0% -9.0 8
2025-11-30 @ Livingston W 1-0 1580 1520 36.0% 28.4% 35.6% +9.0 17
2025-11-30 Falkirk D 0-0 1741 1595 61.2% 23.9% 14.9% -2.8 22
2025-11-30 @ Rangers D 0-0 1595 1741 14.9% 23.9% 61.2% +2.8 20
2025-12-03 St. Mirren D 3-3 1589 1538 50.5% 27.0% 22.6% -0.9 18
2025-12-03 @ Aberdeen D 3-3 1538 1589 22.6% 27.0% 50.5% +0.9 11
2025-12-03 Dundee W 1-0 1807 1511 74.7% 17.4% 8.0% +2.1 32
2025-12-03 @ Celtic L 0-1 1511 1807 8.0% 17.4% 74.7% -2.1 12
2025-12-03 Rangers D 2-2 1564 1738 21.9% 26.8% 51.2% +1.1 16
2025-12-03 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1738 1564 51.2% 26.8% 21.9% -1.1 23
2025-12-03 Motherwell D 0-0 1597 1630 39.6% 28.3% 32.1% -0.4 21
2025-12-03 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1630 1597 32.1% 28.3% 39.6% +0.4 23
2025-12-03 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1744 1533 67.4% 21.2% 11.4% -3.0 32
2025-12-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1533 1744 11.4% 21.2% 67.4% +3.0 12
2025-12-06 Aberdeen L 1-3 1509 1588 32.9% 28.3% 38.8% -13.9 12
2025-12-06 @ Dundee W 3-1 1588 1509 38.8% 28.3% 32.9% +13.9 21
2025-12-06 Falkirk W 3-0 1668 1597 52.9% 26.5% 20.6% +16.0 24
2025-12-06 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1597 1668 20.6% 26.5% 52.9% -16.0 21
2025-12-06 Rangers L 0-3 1536 1737 19.5% 26.1% 54.4% -15.2 12
2025-12-06 @ Kilmarnock W 3-0 1737 1536 54.4% 26.1% 19.5% +15.2 26
2025-12-06 Livingston W 3-0 1630 1511 58.4% 24.9% 16.8% +13.1 26
2025-12-06 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1511 1630 16.8% 24.9% 58.4% -13.1 8
2025-12-06 Dundee United W 2-0 1539 1565 40.4% 28.2% 31.3% +15.5 14
2025-12-06 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1565 1539 31.3% 28.2% 40.4% -15.5 16
2025-12-07 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1809 1741 52.6% 26.5% 20.9% -11.5 32
2025-12-07 @ Celtic W 2-1 1741 1809 20.9% 26.5% 52.6% +11.5 35
2025-12-13 Motherwell D 0-0 1550 1643 31.1% 28.2% 40.7% +0.5 17
2025-12-13 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1643 1550 40.7% 28.2% 31.1% -0.5 27
2025-12-13 Dundee D 2-2 1498 1495 44.4% 27.9% 27.7% -0.6 9
2025-12-13 @ Livingston D 2-2 1495 1498 27.7% 27.9% 44.4% +0.6 13
2025-12-13 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1581 1752 22.2% 26.9% 50.9% -11.7 21
2025-12-13 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1752 1581 50.9% 26.9% 22.2% +11.7 38
2025-12-14 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1602 1521 54.1% 26.2% 19.8% +5.3 24
2025-12-14 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1521 1602 19.8% 26.2% 54.1% -5.3 12
2025-12-15 Hibernian W 1-0 1752 1684 52.7% 26.5% 20.8% +5.9 29
2025-12-15 @ Rangers L 0-1 1684 1752 20.8% 26.5% 52.7% -5.9 24
2025-12-17 Celtic W 2-1 1550 1797 16.0% 24.5% 59.5% +12.8 20
2025-12-17 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1797 1550 59.5% 24.5% 16.0% -12.8 32
2025-12-20 Hibernian D 1-1 1563 1678 28.4% 28.0% 43.6% +0.7 21
2025-12-20 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1678 1563 43.6% 28.0% 28.4% -0.8 25
2025-12-20 Falkirk L 0-1 1516 1569 36.6% 28.4% 35.0% -9.2 12
2025-12-20 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1569 1516 35.0% 28.4% 36.6% +9.2 24
2025-12-20 Dundee W 1-0 1642 1495 61.3% 23.8% 14.9% +4.2 30
2025-12-20 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1495 1642 14.9% 23.8% 61.3% -4.2 13
2025-12-20 Livingston W 1-0 1555 1497 51.3% 26.8% 21.8% +6.1 17
2025-12-20 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1497 1555 21.8% 26.8% 51.3% -6.1 9
2025-12-21 Aberdeen W 3-1 1785 1607 64.3% 22.6% 13.1% +6.0 35
2025-12-21 @ Celtic L 1-3 1607 1785 13.1% 22.6% 64.3% -6.0 24
2025-12-21 Rangers W 2-1 1764 1758 44.8% 27.9% 27.3% +7.0 41
2025-12-21 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1758 1764 27.3% 27.9% 44.8% -7.0 29
2025-12-27 Dundee United D 1-1 1601 1564 48.8% 27.3% 23.9% -1.3 25
2025-12-27 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1564 1601 23.9% 27.3% 48.8% +1.3 22
2025-12-27 Falkirk W 1-0 1491 1578 31.9% 28.3% 39.9% +9.8 16
2025-12-27 @ Dundee L 0-1 1578 1491 39.9% 28.3% 31.9% -9.8 24
2025-12-27 Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1677 1771 30.9% 28.2% 40.8% +8.9 28
2025-12-27 @ Hibernian L 2-3 1771 1677 40.8% 28.2% 30.9% -8.9 41
2025-12-27 Celtic L 2-4 1491 1791 12.8% 22.4% 64.8% -5.3 9
2025-12-27 @ Livingston W 4-2 1791 1491 64.8% 22.4% 12.8% +5.3 38
2025-12-27 Motherwell W 1-0 1751 1647 56.8% 25.4% 17.8% +5.1 32
2025-12-27 @ Rangers L 0-1 1647 1751 17.8% 25.4% 56.8% -5.1 30
2025-12-27 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1561 1507 50.9% 26.9% 22.2% -1.7 18
2025-12-27 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1507 1561 22.2% 26.9% 50.9% +1.6 13
2025-12-30 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1501 1508 43.0% 28.1% 28.9% +7.3 19
2025-12-30 @ Dundee L 1-2 1508 1501 28.9% 28.1% 43.0% -7.3 13
2025-12-30 Aberdeen W 2-0 1686 1600 54.7% 26.0% 19.3% +10.3 31
2025-12-30 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1600 1686 19.3% 26.0% 54.7% -10.4 25
2025-12-30 Dundee United L 1-3 1486 1565 32.9% 28.3% 38.8% -13.9 9
2025-12-30 @ Livingston W 3-1 1565 1486 38.8% 28.3% 32.9% +13.9 25
2025-12-30 Celtic W 2-0 1642 1796 23.9% 27.3% 48.8% +21.6 33
2025-12-30 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1796 1642 48.8% 27.3% 23.9% -21.7 38
2025-12-30 St. Mirren W 2-1 1756 1559 66.2% 21.8% 12.0% +3.2 35
2025-12-30 @ Rangers L 1-2 1559 1756 12.0% 21.8% 66.2% -3.2 18
2026-01-03 Rangers L 1-3 1774 1760 45.9% 27.7% 26.3% -17.9 38
2026-01-03 @ Celtic W 3-1 1760 1774 26.3% 27.7% 45.9% +17.9 38
2026-01-03 Dundee L 0-1 1579 1508 52.9% 26.5% 20.6% -12.3 25
2026-01-03 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1508 1579 20.6% 26.5% 52.9% +12.3 22
2026-01-03 Aberdeen W 1-0 1569 1590 41.1% 28.2% 30.6% +8.1 27
2026-01-03 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1590 1569 30.6% 28.2% 41.1% -8.1 25
2026-01-03 Livingston W 1-0 1762 1472 74.2% 17.6% 8.1% +2.1 44
2026-01-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1472 1762 8.1% 17.6% 74.2% -2.1 9
2026-01-03 Hibernian L 1-3 1501 1696 20.0% 26.2% 53.7% -9.3 13
2026-01-03 @ Kilmarnock W 3-1 1696 1501 53.7% 26.2% 20.0% +9.3 34
2026-01-03 St. Mirren W 2-0 1663 1556 57.0% 25.3% 17.6% +9.5 36
2026-01-03 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1556 1663 17.6% 25.3% 57.0% -9.5 18
2026-01-06 Aberdeen W 2-0 1777 1581 66.1% 21.8% 12.1% +6.4 41
2026-01-06 @ Rangers L 0-2 1581 1777 12.1% 21.8% 66.1% -6.4 25
2026-01-10 Dundee United W 4-0 1756 1567 65.5% 22.1% 12.4% +12.5 41
2026-01-10 @ Celtic L 0-4 1567 1756 12.4% 22.1% 65.5% -12.5 25
2026-01-10 Motherwell D 1-1 1706 1673 48.3% 27.4% 24.3% -1.2 35
2026-01-10 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1673 1706 24.3% 27.4% 48.3% +1.2 37
2026-01-10 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1470 1492 41.0% 28.2% 30.8% -0.5 10
2026-01-10 @ Livingston D 1-1 1492 1470 30.8% 28.2% 41.0% +0.5 14
2026-01-10 Falkirk L 0-2 1547 1577 39.9% 28.3% 31.8% -18.5 18
2026-01-10 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1577 1547 31.8% 28.3% 39.9% +18.5 30
2026-01-11 Rangers L 0-2 1575 1784 18.9% 25.8% 55.3% -10.1 25
2026-01-11 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1784 1575 55.3% 25.8% 18.9% +10.1 44
2026-01-11 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1520 1764 16.2% 24.6% 59.2% -4.6 22
2026-01-11 @ Dundee W 1-0 1764 1520 59.2% 24.6% 16.2% +4.6 47
2026-01-14 Celtic L 0-1 1595 1769 22.0% 26.9% 51.2% -6.2 30
2026-01-14 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1769 1595 51.2% 26.9% 22.0% +6.2 44
2026-01-14 St. Mirren W 2-0 1769 1528 70.1% 19.9% 10.0% +5.2 50
2026-01-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1528 1769 10.0% 19.9% 70.1% -5.2 18
2026-01-21 St. Mirren D 1-1 1469 1523 36.5% 28.4% 35.1% -0.1 11
2026-01-21 @ Livingston D 1-1 1523 1469 35.1% 28.4% 36.5% +0.1 19
2026-01-24 Livingston W 6-2 1565 1469 55.8% 25.7% 18.5% +13.3 28
2026-01-24 @ Aberdeen L 2-6 1469 1565 18.5% 25.7% 55.8% -13.3 11
2026-01-24 Hibernian W 4-1 1589 1704 28.3% 28.0% 43.7% +24.3 33
2026-01-24 @ Falkirk L 1-4 1704 1589 43.7% 28.0% 28.3% -24.3 35
2026-01-24 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1674 1492 64.7% 22.4% 12.8% +13.0 40
2026-01-24 @ Motherwell L 0-4 1492 1674 12.8% 22.4% 64.7% -13.0 14
2026-01-25 Celtic D 2-2 1774 1775 43.9% 28.0% 28.1% -0.6 51
2026-01-25 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1775 1774 28.1% 28.0% 43.9% +0.6 45
2026-01-25 Dundee W 3-0 1794 1516 73.2% 18.2% 8.6% +6.2 47
2026-01-25 @ Rangers L 0-3 1516 1794 8.6% 18.2% 73.2% -6.2 22
2026-01-31 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1554 1774 18.0% 25.5% 56.5% -14.1 25
2026-01-31 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1774 1554 56.5% 25.5% 18.0% +14.1 54
2026-01-31 Aberdeen W 3-0 1479 1578 30.3% 28.2% 41.5% +27.7 17
2026-01-31 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1578 1479 41.5% 28.2% 30.3% -27.7 28
2026-01-31 Motherwell L 0-2 1456 1687 17.1% 25.1% 57.8% -9.2 11
2026-01-31 @ Livingston W 2-0 1687 1456 57.8% 25.1% 17.1% +9.2 43
2026-01-31 Dundee D 0-0 1523 1510 45.8% 27.8% 26.5% -1.1 20
2026-01-31 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1510 1523 26.5% 27.8% 45.8% +1.1 23
2026-02-01 Falkirk W 2-0 1776 1613 62.8% 23.2% 13.9% +7.5 48
2026-02-01 @ Celtic L 0-2 1613 1776 13.9% 23.2% 62.8% -7.5 33
2026-02-01 Rangers D 0-0 1680 1800 27.7% 27.9% 44.4% +0.9 36
2026-02-01 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1800 1680 44.4% 27.9% 27.7% -0.9 48
2026-02-03 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1522 1788 14.8% 23.8% 61.4% +13.9 23
2026-02-03 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1788 1522 61.4% 23.8% 14.8% -13.9 54
2026-02-04 Dundee United W 3-2 1681 1540 60.6% 24.1% 15.3% +3.9 39
2026-02-04 @ Hibernian L 2-3 1540 1681 15.3% 24.1% 60.6% -3.9 25
2026-02-04 Falkirk L 1-2 1447 1606 23.4% 27.2% 49.4% -6.1 11
2026-02-04 @ Livingston W 2-1 1606 1447 49.4% 27.2% 23.4% +6.1 36
2026-02-04 Kilmarnock W 5-1 1799 1507 74.4% 17.5% 8.1% +6.3 51
2026-02-04 @ Rangers L 1-5 1507 1799 8.1% 17.5% 74.4% -6.3 17
2026-02-10 Hibernian W 1-0 1774 1685 55.0% 25.9% 19.1% +5.4 57
2026-02-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1685 1774 19.1% 25.9% 55.0% -5.4 39
2026-02-11 Livingston W 2-1 1783 1440 78.2% 15.3% 6.5% +1.5 51
2026-02-11 @ Celtic L 1-2 1440 1783 6.5% 15.3% 78.2% -1.5 11
2026-02-11 Dundee W 1-0 1612 1511 56.4% 25.5% 18.1% +5.2 39
2026-02-11 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1511 1612 18.1% 25.5% 56.4% -5.2 23
2026-02-11 St. Mirren W 4-3 1501 1536 39.1% 28.3% 32.5% +7.4 20
2026-02-11 @ Kilmarnock L 3-4 1536 1501 32.5% 28.3% 39.1% -7.4 23
2026-02-11 Rangers D 1-1 1696 1806 29.0% 28.1% 42.9% +0.7 44
2026-02-11 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1806 1696 42.9% 28.1% 29.0% -0.7 52
2026-02-14 Livingston D 2-2 1505 1439 52.4% 26.6% 21.0% -1.2 24
2026-02-14 @ Dundee D 2-2 1439 1505 21.0% 26.6% 52.4% +1.2 12
2026-02-14 Dundee United L 2-3 1617 1536 54.1% 26.2% 19.8% -11.2 39
2026-02-14 @ Falkirk W 3-2 1536 1617 19.8% 26.2% 54.1% +11.2 28
2026-02-14 St. Mirren W 2-0 1679 1529 61.7% 23.7% 14.6% +7.9 42
2026-02-14 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1529 1679 14.6% 23.7% 61.7% -7.9 23
2026-02-15 Celtic L 2-3 1508 1785 14.1% 23.4% 62.5% -3.6 20
2026-02-15 @ Kilmarnock W 3-2 1785 1508 62.5% 23.4% 14.1% +3.6 54
2026-02-15 Aberdeen W 2-0 1697 1551 61.2% 23.9% 14.9% +8.0 47
2026-02-15 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1551 1697 14.9% 23.9% 61.2% -8.0 28
2026-02-15 Heart of Midlothian W 4-2 1805 1779 47.4% 27.5% 25.1% +10.1 55
2026-02-15 @ Rangers L 2-4 1779 1805 25.1% 27.5% 47.4% -10.1 57
2026-02-21 Dundee L 2-3 1543 1504 49.0% 27.3% 23.8% -10.3 28
2026-02-21 @ Aberdeen W 3-2 1504 1543 23.8% 27.3% 49.0% +10.3 27
2026-02-21 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1548 1504 49.6% 27.2% 23.3% -1.3 29
2026-02-21 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1504 1548 23.3% 27.2% 49.6% +1.3 21
2026-02-21 Falkirk W 1-0 1769 1606 62.9% 23.2% 13.9% +3.9 60
2026-02-21 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1606 1769 13.9% 23.2% 62.9% -4.0 39
2026-02-21 Motherwell L 0-5 1521 1705 21.0% 26.6% 52.4% -26.1 23
2026-02-21 @ St. Mirren W 5-0 1705 1521 52.4% 26.6% 21.0% +26.1 50
2026-02-22 Hibernian L 1-2 1788 1687 56.4% 25.5% 18.1% -12.2 54
2026-02-22 @ Celtic W 2-1 1687 1788 18.1% 25.5% 56.4% +12.2 45
2026-02-22 Rangers D 2-2 1440 1815 9.3% 19.1% 71.5% +2.5 13
2026-02-22 @ Livingston D 2-2 1815 1440 71.5% 19.1% 9.3% -2.5 56
2026-02-24 Aberdeen D 0-0 1546 1532 45.8% 27.8% 26.4% -1.1 30
2026-02-24 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1532 1546 26.4% 27.8% 45.8% +1.1 29
2026-02-28 Hibernian D 3-3 1515 1699 20.9% 26.6% 52.5% +1.0 28
2026-02-28 @ Dundee D 3-3 1699 1515 52.5% 26.6% 20.9% -1.0 46
2026-02-28 Kilmarnock W 5-1 1602 1506 55.8% 25.7% 18.5% +15.7 42
2026-02-28 @ Falkirk L 1-5 1506 1602 18.5% 25.7% 55.8% -15.7 21
2026-02-28 Aberdeen W 1-0 1773 1533 70.0% 19.9% 10.1% +2.8 63
2026-02-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1533 1773 10.1% 19.9% 70.0% -2.8 29
2026-02-28 St. Mirren D 1-1 1443 1495 36.8% 28.4% 34.8% -0.1 14
2026-02-28 @ Livingston D 1-1 1495 1443 34.8% 28.4% 36.8% +0.1 24
2026-02-28 Dundee United W 2-0 1731 1545 65.1% 22.3% 12.6% +6.7 53
2026-02-28 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1545 1731 12.6% 22.3% 65.1% -6.7 30
2026-03-01 Celtic D 2-2 1812 1776 48.7% 27.3% 23.9% -0.9 57
2026-03-01 @ Rangers D 2-2 1776 1812 23.9% 27.3% 48.7% +0.9 55
2026-03-03 St. Mirren W 2-1 1538 1495 49.6% 27.2% 23.2% +6.1 33
2026-03-03 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1495 1538 23.2% 27.2% 49.6% -6.1 24
2026-03-04 Celtic L 1-2 1531 1777 16.1% 24.5% 59.4% -4.3 29
2026-03-04 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1777 1531 59.4% 24.5% 16.1% +4.3 58
2026-03-07 Motherwell W 2-1 1516 1738 17.8% 25.4% 56.8% +12.3 31
2026-03-07 @ Dundee L 1-2 1738 1516 56.8% 25.4% 17.8% -12.3 53
2026-03-14 Falkirk D 1-1 1526 1618 31.3% 28.2% 40.5% +0.4 30
2026-03-14 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1618 1526 40.5% 28.2% 31.3% -0.4 43
2026-03-14 Motherwell W 3-1 1781 1725 51.1% 26.9% 22.0% +10.1 61
2026-03-14 @ Celtic L 1-3 1725 1781 22.0% 26.9% 51.1% -10.1 53
2026-03-14 Livingston D 0-0 1698 1442 71.4% 19.2% 9.4% -3.8 47
2026-03-14 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1442 1698 9.4% 19.2% 71.4% +3.8 15
2026-03-14 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1490 1776 13.6% 23.0% 63.4% +14.3 24
2026-03-14 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1776 1490 63.4% 23.0% 13.6% -14.3 63
2026-03-15 Dundee United D 2-2 1528 1544 41.7% 28.2% 30.1% -0.4 32
2026-03-15 @ Dundee D 2-2 1544 1528 30.1% 28.2% 41.7% +0.4 34
2026-03-15 Rangers L 0-1 1489 1812 11.6% 21.4% 67.0% -3.2 24
2026-03-15 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1812 1489 67.0% 21.4% 11.6% +3.2 60
2026-03-21 St. Mirren L 1-2 1617 1485 59.7% 24.4% 15.8% -12.8 43
2026-03-21 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1485 1617 15.8% 24.4% 59.7% +12.8 27
2026-03-21 Dundee W 1-0 1762 1527 69.5% 20.2% 10.3% +2.8 66
2026-03-21 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1527 1762 10.3% 20.2% 69.5% -2.8 32
2026-03-21 Livingston W 2-0 1504 1446 51.4% 26.8% 21.8% +11.5 27
2026-03-21 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1446 1504 21.8% 26.8% 51.4% -11.5 15
2026-03-21 Hibernian D 0-0 1715 1695 46.7% 27.6% 25.7% -1.2 54
2026-03-21 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1695 1715 25.7% 27.6% 46.7% +1.2 48
2026-03-21 Aberdeen W 4-1 1815 1527 74.0% 17.7% 8.2% +5.0 63
2026-03-21 @ Rangers L 1-4 1527 1815 8.2% 17.7% 74.0% -5.0 30
2026-03-22 Celtic W 2-0 1545 1791 16.1% 24.5% 59.4% +25.5 37
2026-03-22 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1791 1545 59.4% 24.5% 16.1% -25.5 61
2026-04-04 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1696 1516 64.5% 22.5% 12.9% +10.0 51
2026-04-04 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1516 1696 12.9% 22.5% 64.5% -10.0 27
2026-04-04 Falkirk L 2-3 1714 1604 57.3% 25.2% 17.4% -11.8 54
2026-04-04 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1604 1714 17.4% 25.2% 57.3% +11.7 46
2026-04-04 Dundee United W 4-2 1820 1570 70.9% 19.5% 9.7% +3.8 66
2026-04-04 @ Rangers L 2-4 1570 1820 9.7% 19.5% 70.9% -3.8 37
2026-04-04 Aberdeen W 2-0 1498 1522 40.8% 28.2% 31.0% +15.4 30
2026-04-04 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1522 1498 31.0% 28.2% 40.8% -15.4 30
2026-04-05 Celtic L 1-2 1525 1766 16.4% 24.7% 58.9% -4.4 32
2026-04-05 @ Dundee W 2-1 1766 1525 58.9% 24.7% 16.4% +4.4 64
2026-04-05 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1435 1764 11.3% 21.1% 67.6% +2.3 16
2026-04-05 @ Livingston D 2-2 1764 1435 67.6% 21.1% 11.3% -2.3 67
2026-04-11 Hibernian W 2-0 1506 1706 19.6% 26.1% 54.2% +23.6 33
2026-04-11 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1706 1506 54.2% 26.1% 19.6% -23.6 51
2026-04-11 St. Mirren W 1-0 1770 1513 71.5% 19.1% 9.4% +2.5 67
2026-04-11 @ Celtic L 0-1 1513 1770 9.4% 19.1% 71.5% -2.5 30
2026-04-11 Livingston W 3-2 1567 1437 59.5% 24.5% 16.0% +4.1 40
2026-04-11 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1437 1567 16.0% 24.5% 59.5% -4.1 16
2026-04-11 Motherwell W 3-1 1762 1702 51.6% 26.8% 21.6% +9.9 70
2026-04-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1702 1762 21.6% 26.8% 51.6% -9.9 54
2026-04-11 Dundee D 2-2 1506 1520 42.0% 28.1% 29.8% -0.4 28
2026-04-11 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1520 1506 29.8% 28.1% 42.0% +0.4 33
2026-04-12 Rangers L 3-6 1616 1824 19.0% 25.9% 55.1% -10.0 46
2026-04-12 @ Falkirk W 6-3 1824 1616 55.1% 25.9% 19.0% +10.0 69

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2026-04-25 Falkirk W 3-1 1773 1606 63.2% 23.1% 13.7% +6.4 3
2026-04-25 @ Celtic L 1-3 1606 1773 13.7% 23.1% 63.2% -6.4 0
2026-04-25 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1530 1505 47.2% 27.6% 25.2% +6.9 3
2026-04-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1505 1530 25.2% 27.6% 47.2% -6.9 0
2026-04-25 Livingston L 0-2 1511 1433 53.8% 26.2% 20.0% -23.5 0
2026-04-25 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1433 1511 20.0% 26.2% 53.8% +23.5 3
2026-04-26 Motherwell L 2-3 1834 1693 60.7% 24.1% 15.2% -12.3 0
2026-04-26 @ Rangers W 3-2 1693 1834 15.2% 24.1% 60.7% +12.3 3
2026-04-26 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1682 1772 31.5% 28.3% 40.2% -7.8 0
2026-04-26 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1772 1682 40.2% 28.3% 31.5% +7.8 3
2026-04-26 Dundee W 3-0 1571 1521 50.4% 27.0% 22.6% +17.3 3
2026-04-26 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1521 1571 22.6% 27.0% 50.4% -17.3 0
2026-05-01 Aberdeen D 2-2 1456 1537 32.8% 28.3% 38.9% +0.2 4
2026-05-01 @ Livingston D 2-2 1537 1456 38.9% 28.3% 32.8% -0.2 4
2026-05-02 Motherwell W 1-0 1600 1705 29.6% 28.1% 42.3% +10.2 3
2026-05-02 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1705 1600 42.3% 28.1% 29.6% -10.3 3
2026-05-02 St. Mirren W 1-0 1503 1487 46.1% 27.7% 26.2% +7.1 3
2026-05-02 @ Dundee L 0-1 1487 1503 26.2% 27.7% 46.1% -7.1 0
2026-05-02 Dundee United W 3-0 1498 1588 31.6% 28.3% 40.2% +27.0 3
2026-05-02 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1588 1498 40.2% 28.3% 31.6% -27.0 3
2026-05-03 Celtic L 1-2 1674 1779 29.6% 28.1% 42.3% -7.4 0
2026-05-03 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1779 1674 42.3% 28.1% 29.6% +7.4 6
2026-05-04 Rangers W 2-1 1780 1821 38.3% 28.3% 33.4% +8.1 6
2026-05-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1821 1780 33.4% 28.3% 38.3% -8.1 0
2026-05-09 Hibernian L 1-3 1610 1667 36.1% 28.4% 35.6% -14.9 3
2026-05-09 @ Falkirk W 3-1 1667 1610 35.6% 28.4% 36.1% +14.9 3
2026-05-09 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1695 1788 31.0% 28.2% 40.7% +0.5 4
2026-05-09 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1788 1695 40.7% 28.2% 31.0% -0.5 7
2026-05-09 Livingston W 3-0 1510 1457 50.9% 26.9% 22.2% +17.0 6
2026-05-09 @ Dundee L 0-3 1457 1510 22.2% 26.9% 50.9% -17.0 4
2026-05-09 Dundee United W 2-0 1537 1561 40.7% 28.2% 31.1% +15.4 7
2026-05-09 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1561 1537 31.1% 28.2% 40.7% -15.4 3
2026-05-09 Kilmarnock L 0-3 1480 1525 37.8% 28.3% 33.9% -25.8 0
2026-05-09 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1525 1480 33.9% 28.3% 37.8% +25.8 6
2026-05-10 Rangers W 3-1 1787 1813 40.4% 28.2% 31.4% +13.4 9
2026-05-10 @ Celtic L 1-3 1813 1787 31.4% 28.2% 40.4% -13.4 0
2026-05-12 Livingston D 0-0 1546 1440 56.9% 25.4% 17.7% -2.3 4
2026-05-12 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1440 1546 17.7% 25.4% 56.9% +2.3 5
2026-05-12 St. Mirren L 0-2 1552 1455 56.0% 25.6% 18.4% -24.3 7
2026-05-12 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1455 1552 18.4% 25.6% 56.0% +24.3 3
2026-05-12 Dundee W 3-1 1551 1528 47.1% 27.6% 25.3% +11.3 9
2026-05-12 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1528 1551 25.3% 27.6% 47.1% -11.3 6
2026-05-13 Hibernian L 1-2 1800 1682 58.2% 24.9% 16.8% -12.5 0
2026-05-13 @ Rangers W 2-1 1682 1800 16.8% 24.9% 58.2% +12.5 6
2026-05-13 Falkirk W 3-0 1788 1595 65.7% 22.0% 12.3% +9.5 10
2026-05-13 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1595 1788 12.3% 22.0% 65.7% -9.5 3
2026-05-13 Celtic L 2-3 1695 1800 29.6% 28.1% 42.3% -7.0 4
2026-05-13 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1800 1695 42.3% 28.1% 29.6% +7.0 12
2026-05-16 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1807 1797 45.3% 27.8% 26.9% +11.9 15
2026-05-16 @ Celtic L 1-3 1797 1807 26.9% 27.8% 45.3% -11.9 10
2026-05-16 Rangers L 2-5 1586 1787 19.5% 26.1% 54.5% -11.1 3
2026-05-16 @ Falkirk W 5-2 1787 1586 54.5% 26.1% 19.5% +11.1 3
2026-05-16 Motherwell L 0-1 1694 1688 44.9% 27.9% 27.3% -10.7 6
2026-05-16 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1688 1694 27.3% 27.9% 44.9% +10.7 7
2026-05-17 Aberdeen W 3-2 1516 1528 42.4% 28.1% 29.5% +7.0 9
2026-05-17 @ Dundee L 2-3 1528 1516 29.5% 28.1% 42.4% -7.0 7
2026-05-17 Dundee United D 1-1 1479 1543 35.0% 28.4% 36.6% +0.1 4
2026-05-17 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1543 1479 36.6% 28.4% 35.0% -0.1 5
2026-05-17 Kilmarnock L 1-4 1442 1563 27.6% 27.9% 44.4% -17.2 5
2026-05-17 @ Livingston W 4-1 1563 1442 44.4% 27.9% 27.6% +17.2 12

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2026-05-21 St. Mirren D 1-1 1534 1479 51.0% 26.9% 22.1% -1.5 0-0-1
2026-05-21 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1479 1534 22.1% 26.9% 51.0% +1.5 0-0-1
2026-05-25 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1480 1532 36.8% 28.4% 34.8% +8.9 1-0-1
2026-05-25 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1532 1480 34.8% 28.4% 36.8% -8.9 0-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-10-19 12.39% @ Dundee 1508 2 Celtic 1815 0
2 2026-03-14 13.59% @ Kilmarnock 1490 1 Heart of Midlothian 1776 0
3 2026-02-03 14.79% @ St. Mirren 1522 1 Heart of Midlothian 1788 0
4 2026-04-26 15.25% Motherwell 1693 3 @ Rangers 1834 2
5 2026-03-21 15.85% St. Mirren 1485 2 @ Falkirk 1617 1
6 2025-12-17 16.02% @ Dundee United 1550 2 Celtic 1797 1
7 2026-03-22 16.05% @ Dundee United 1545 2 Celtic 1791 0
8 2026-05-13 16.84% Hibernian 1682 2 @ Rangers 1800 1
9 2026-04-04 17.43% Falkirk 1604 3 @ Motherwell 1714 2
10 2026-03-07 17.82% @ Dundee 1516 2 Motherwell 1738 1
11 2026-02-22 18.11% Hibernian 1687 2 @ Celtic 1788 1
12 2026-05-12 18.38% St. Mirren 1455 2 @ Aberdeen 1552 0
13 2026-04-11 19.64% @ Aberdeen 1506 2 Hibernian 1706 0
14 2026-02-14 19.76% Dundee United 1536 3 @ Falkirk 1617 2
15 2026-04-25 19.99% Livingston 1433 2 @ St. Mirren 1511 0
16 2025-11-23 20.51% @ Aberdeen 1568 1 Heart of Midlothian 1757 0
17 2026-01-03 20.62% Dundee 1508 1 @ Dundee United 1579 0
18 2025-12-07 20.90% Heart of Midlothian 1741 2 @ Celtic 1809 1
19 2025-10-18 22.42% Aberdeen 1552 1 @ St. Mirren 1604 0
20 2025-09-13 22.43% Heart of Midlothian 1673 2 @ Rangers 1725 0
21 2025-09-27 23.55% Kilmarnock 1577 2 @ Dundee United 1617 0
22 2026-02-21 23.76% Dundee 1504 3 @ Aberdeen 1543 2
23 2025-12-30 23.92% @ Motherwell 1642 2 Celtic 1796 0
24 2025-10-18 24.06% Falkirk 1546 2 @ Motherwell 1581 1
25 2025-11-22 24.47% Falkirk 1563 3 @ Dundee United 1595 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-11-22 31.11 Falkirk 3 1563 24.47% @ Dundee United 0 1595 48.11% 27.42%
2 2025-10-05 28.00 @ Aberdeen 4 1524 42.49% Dundee 0 1536 29.40% 28.10%
3 2026-01-31 27.67 @ Kilmarnock 3 1479 30.33% Aberdeen 0 1578 41.49% 28.18%
4 2025-10-19 27.58 @ Dundee 2 1508 12.39% Celtic 0 1815 65.53% 22.07%
5 2026-05-02 27.00 @ Kilmarnock 3 1498 31.56% Dundee United 0 1588 40.18% 28.26%
6 2026-02-21 26.10 Motherwell 5 1705 52.45% @ St. Mirren 0 1521 20.99% 26.57%
7 2026-05-09 25.77 Kilmarnock 3 1525 33.89% @ St. Mirren 0 1480 37.75% 28.35%
8 2026-03-22 25.50 @ Dundee United 2 1545 16.05% Celtic 0 1791 59.41% 24.54%
9 2026-01-24 24.30 @ Falkirk 4 1589 28.30% Hibernian 1 1704 43.71% 27.99%
10 2026-05-12 24.28 St. Mirren 2 1455 18.38% @ Aberdeen 0 1552 55.99% 25.64%
11 2026-04-11 23.64 @ Aberdeen 2 1506 19.64% Hibernian 0 1706 54.23% 26.12%
12 2026-04-25 23.48 Livingston 2 1433 19.99% @ St. Mirren 0 1511 53.76% 26.25%
13 2025-11-08 23.17 Hibernian 3 1663 39.08% @ St. Mirren 0 1581 32.61% 28.31%
14 2025-09-13 22.33 Heart of Midlothian 2 1673 22.43% @ Rangers 0 1725 50.61% 26.96%
15 2025-10-18 21.90 Heart of Midlothian 3 1714 41.58% @ Kilmarnock 0 1614 30.25% 28.17%
16 2025-09-27 21.82 Kilmarnock 2 1577 23.55% @ Dundee United 0 1617 49.22% 27.23%
17 2025-12-30 21.66 @ Motherwell 2 1642 23.92% Celtic 0 1796 48.78% 27.31%
18 2025-10-18 18.65 @ Hibernian 4 1647 56.13% Livingston 0 1548 18.28% 25.60%
19 2026-01-10 18.49 Falkirk 2 1577 31.84% @ St. Mirren 0 1547 39.88% 28.28%
20 2025-08-31 18.29 Dundee United 2 1587 32.39% @ Dundee 0 1553 39.31% 28.30%
21 2025-11-25 18.23 @ Motherwell 2 1611 32.53% Hibernian 0 1693 39.17% 28.31%
22 2026-01-03 17.87 Rangers 3 1760 26.33% @ Celtic 1 1774 45.94% 27.74%
23 2026-04-26 17.29 @ Dundee United 3 1571 50.41% Dundee 0 1521 22.58% 27.00%
24 2026-05-17 17.22 Kilmarnock 4 1563 44.44% @ Livingston 1 1442 27.64% 27.92%
25 2026-05-09 17.03 @ Dundee 3 1510 50.89% Livingston 0 1457 22.20% 26.91%