Home / Leagues / Scotland / Premiership / 2018-19

2018-19 Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

87 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St. Mirren

15.95 points above expected

32 points · 47.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celtic

77.18 points below expected

87 points · 164.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 33 24 5 4 77 71 17 +54 72.79 +4.21
2 Rangers 33 19 9 5 66 73 24 +49 61.74 +4.26
3 Kilmarnock 33 16 10 7 58 46 28 +18 51.90 +6.10
4 Aberdeen 33 17 7 9 58 52 37 +15 56.83 +1.17
5 Hibernian 33 14 10 9 52 49 34 +15 55.11 -3.11
6 Heart of Midlothian 33 15 5 13 50 38 41 -3 49.60 +0.40
7 St. Johnstone 33 13 5 15 44 32 44 -12 42.31 +1.69
8 Motherwell 33 13 4 16 43 37 47 -10 38.84 +4.16
9 Livingston 33 11 9 13 42 35 33 +2 38.68 +3.32
10 Hamilton Academical 33 7 4 22 25 21 69 -48 28.31 -3.31
11 St. Mirren 33 5 6 22 21 24 61 -37 31.30 -10.30
12 Dundee 33 4 6 23 18 25 68 -43 27.33 -9.33
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 38 27 6 5 87 77 20 +57 164.18 -77.18
2 Rangers 38 23 9 6 78 82 27 +55 140.59 -62.59
3 Kilmarnock 38 19 10 9 67 50 31 +19 122.13 -55.13
4 Aberdeen 38 20 7 11 67 57 44 +13 122.28 -55.28
5 Hibernian 38 14 12 12 54 51 39 +12 110.33 -56.33
6 Heart of Midlothian 38 15 6 17 51 42 50 -8 104.40 -53.40
7 St. Johnstone 38 15 7 16 52 38 48 -10 96.27 -44.27
8 Motherwell 38 15 6 17 51 46 56 -10 94.75 -43.75
9 Livingston 38 11 11 16 44 42 44 -2 92.41 -48.41
10 Hamilton Academical 38 9 6 23 33 28 75 -47 55.26 -22.26
11 St. Mirren 38 8 8 22 32 34 66 -32 47.95 -15.95
12 Dundee 38 5 6 27 21 31 78 -47 41.19 -20.19

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1882 87 72.79 +14.21 75.2% 48 62 68 73 77 84 95
Rangers 1825 78 61.74 +16.26 74.0% 36 50 57 62 67 73 86
Kilmarnock 1701 67 51.90 +15.10 82.2% 24 40 47 52 57 64 78
Aberdeen 1698 67 56.83 +10.17 59.3% 26 45 52 57 62 69 83
Hibernian 1686 54 55.11 -1.11 35.9% 29 43 50 55 60 67 79
Heart of Midlothian 1590 51 49.60 +1.40 54.9% 24 38 45 50 54 62 77
Motherwell 1574 51 38.84 +12.16 74.0% 12 27 34 39 44 51 65
St. Johnstone 1560 52 42.31 +9.69 62.1% 17 31 37 42 47 54 68
Livingston 1535 44 38.68 +5.32 70.6% 14 27 34 39 43 50 64
St. Mirren 1489 32 31.30 +0.70 7.1% 7 20 27 31 36 43 60
Hamilton Academical 1442 33 28.31 +4.69 35.3% 6 18 24 28 33 40 55
Dundee 1413 21 27.33 -6.33 8.2% 5 17 23 27 32 38 56

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN HA HOM HIB KIL LIV MOT RAN SJ SM
Aberdeen
0-1-3
3.30
3-0-0
6.45
2-0-1
6.83
2-0-2
6.66
3-1-0
5.41
2-1-1
6.16
2-1-0
5.69
2-0-1
5.87
1-1-2
4.72
1-1-1
5.25
2-1-0
6.52
Celtic
3-1-0
7.91
3-0-0
7.54
3-0-0
7.49
3-0-1
8.55
2-1-1
8.00
3-0-1
8.20
1-2-0
7.15
2-1-0
7.09
2-0-2
7.02
3-0-0
6.55
2-1-0
7.28
Dundee
0-0-3
1.99
0-0-3
1.06
2-1-1
5.26
1-0-2
2.33
0-1-2
2.02
0-1-2
2.19
2-1-1
3.52
0-0-4
4.05
0-1-2
1.52
0-0-4
3.44
0-1-3
4.88
Hamilton Academical
1-0-2
1.66
0-0-3
1.10
1-1-2
5.88
1-0-2
2.61
0-0-3
1.88
0-2-1
1.92
1-1-2
4.13
1-1-2
3.92
0-0-3
1.62
2-0-2
3.97
2-1-1
5.01
Heart of Midlothian
2-0-2
4.49
1-0-3
2.72
2-0-1
6.09
2-0-1
5.78
1-2-1
4.44
2-0-2
5.15
0-2-1
5.47
2-0-1
5.04
0-0-4
3.72
2-1-0
4.84
1-1-1
6.09
Hibernian
0-1-3
5.72
1-1-2
3.20
2-1-0
6.42
3-0-0
6.58
1-2-1
6.71
1-1-2
5.97
1-1-1
5.57
2-0-1
5.72
0-3-1
4.28
1-1-1
5.35
2-1-0
6.15
Kilmarnock
1-1-2
4.99
1-0-3
3.03
2-1-0
6.24
1-2-0
6.54
2-0-2
5.99
2-1-1
5.16
1-1-1
5.43
2-1-0
5.60
2-2-0
4.02
2-1-0
5.18
3-0-0
6.06
Livingston
0-1-2
2.70
0-2-1
1.38
1-1-2
7.66
2-1-1
7.02
1-2-0
2.91
1-1-1
2.81
1-1-1
2.94
1-1-2
5.19
1-0-2
2.41
1-1-2
5.24
2-0-2
6.50
Motherwell
1-0-2
2.52
0-1-2
1.43
4-0-0
7.12
2-1-1
7.25
1-0-2
3.32
1-0-2
2.67
0-1-2
2.77
2-1-1
5.94
0-1-2
2.36
2-0-2
5.34
2-1-1
6.90
Rangers
2-1-1
6.43
2-0-2
4.14
2-1-0
6.99
3-0-0
6.88
4-0-0
7.47
1-3-0
6.87
0-2-2
7.14
2-0-1
6.00
2-1-0
6.05
2-1-0
5.98
3-0-0
6.62
St. Johnstone
1-1-1
3.11
0-0-3
1.91
4-0-0
7.75
2-0-2
7.20
0-1-2
3.52
1-1-1
3.02
0-1-2
3.19
2-1-1
5.90
2-0-2
5.80
0-1-2
2.42
3-1-0
7.10
St. Mirren
0-1-2
1.94
0-1-2
1.28
3-1-0
6.26
1-1-2
6.12
1-1-1
2.32
0-1-2
2.27
0-0-3
2.35
2-0-2
4.66
1-1-2
4.26
0-0-3
1.85
0-1-3
4.06

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.84 +10.5
Allowed 0.88 -10.0
Differential 0.93 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.02%10.31%7.68%4.39%1.54%1.54%32.46%
110.31%10.53%7.68%2.63%1.10%0.88%33.11%
27.68%7.68%2.19%0.88%0.66%19.08%
34.39%2.63%0.88%0.88%0.44%9.21%
41.54%1.10%0.66%0.44%3.73%
5+1.54%0.88%2.41%
Total32.46%33.11%19.08%9.21%3.73%2.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 2.00
CV 1.00 1.00
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%10.53%5.26%23.68%
113.16%10.53%5.26%28.95%
27.89%15.79%2.63%2.63%28.95%
35.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%13.16%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total31.58%36.84%21.05%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.16 +0.34
SD 1.22 1.10 1.71
CV 0.82 0.95
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%5.26%5.26%23.68%
115.79%2.63%2.63%21.05%
210.53%7.89%18.42%
313.16%2.63%15.79%
42.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%
5+7.89%2.63%10.53%
Total63.16%23.68%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.53 +1.50
SD 1.72 0.80 1.89
CV 0.85 1.51
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%18.42%10.53%7.89%7.89%2.63%50.00%
12.63%7.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%26.32%
22.63%5.26%5.26%2.63%2.63%18.42%
32.63%2.63%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total10.53%31.58%23.68%15.79%13.16%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.05 -1.24
SD 1.01 1.39 1.81
CV 1.24 0.68
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%13.16%13.16%5.26%7.89%50.00%
110.53%13.16%5.26%5.26%34.21%
25.26%2.63%7.89%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%
4
5+
Total18.42%28.95%18.42%15.79%10.53%7.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.74 1.97 -1.24
SD 0.92 1.60 2.17
CV 1.25 0.81
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%5.26%28.95%
115.79%5.26%18.42%5.26%44.74%
25.26%10.53%2.63%18.42%
32.63%2.63%
45.26%5.26%
5+
Total31.58%28.95%26.32%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.32 -0.21
SD 1.03 1.30 1.86
CV 0.94 0.99
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%15.79%2.63%2.63%31.58%
15.26%15.79%7.89%28.95%
27.89%7.89%5.26%2.63%23.68%
35.26%2.63%2.63%10.53%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total31.58%42.11%21.05%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.03 +0.32
SD 1.34 0.94 1.66
CV 1.00 0.92
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%13.16%26.32%
113.16%10.53%5.26%2.63%31.58%
210.53%15.79%2.63%2.63%31.58%
32.63%5.26%7.89%
4
5+2.63%2.63%
Total42.11%44.74%7.89%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 0.82 +0.50
SD 1.12 1.01 1.50
CV 0.85 1.24
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%13.16%2.63%7.89%39.47%
17.89%10.53%7.89%5.26%31.58%
27.89%2.63%5.26%15.79%
35.26%2.63%7.89%
42.63%2.63%
5+2.63%2.63%
Total36.84%31.58%10.53%21.05%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.16 -0.05
SD 1.25 1.15 1.75
CV 1.13 0.99
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%18.42%7.89%7.89%36.84%
17.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%28.95%
22.63%10.53%13.16%
310.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%18.42%
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total23.68%42.11%10.53%18.42%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.47 -0.26
SD 1.21 1.45 2.01
CV 1.00 0.98
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%13.16%
17.89%15.79%7.89%31.58%
210.53%5.26%15.79%
310.53%5.26%2.63%18.42%
47.89%2.63%2.63%13.16%
5+2.63%5.26%7.89%
Total44.74%42.11%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.16 0.71 +1.45
SD 1.65 0.77 1.87
CV 0.77 1.08
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%18.42%2.63%2.63%28.95%
118.42%10.53%13.16%2.63%2.63%47.37%
215.79%2.63%2.63%21.05%
3
42.63%2.63%
5+
Total42.11%13.16%34.21%5.26%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.26 -0.26
SD 0.87 1.43 1.97
CV 0.87 1.13
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%10.53%15.79%2.63%5.26%36.84%
15.26%13.16%10.53%7.89%5.26%42.11%
25.26%5.26%5.26%15.79%
32.63%2.63%5.26%
4
5+
Total13.16%31.58%34.21%10.53%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.74 -0.84
SD 0.86 1.16 1.59
CV 0.96 0.67
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Mirren 32 47.95 -15.95
2 Dundee 21 41.19 -20.19
3 Hamilton Academical 33 55.26 -22.26
4 Motherwell 51 94.75 -43.75
5 St. Johnstone 52 96.27 -44.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 87 164.18 -77.18
2 Rangers 78 140.59 -62.59
3 Hibernian 54 110.33 -56.33
4 Aberdeen 67 122.28 -55.28
5 Kilmarnock 67 122.13 -55.13

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 6 Dec 29 – Feb 17 1 in 221
2 St. Johnstone 5 Oct 20 – Nov 10 1 in 144
3 Heart of Midlothian 5 Aug 4 – Sep 15 1 in 78
4 Rangers 6 Apr 3 – May 12 1 in 37
5 Livingston 3 Aug 25 – Sep 15 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee 10 Feb 22 – May 4 1 in 182
2 St. Mirren 7 Sep 22 – Nov 3 1 in 94
3 Heart of Midlothian 4 Nov 3 – Dec 2 1 in 49
4 St. Johnstone 4 Jan 26 – Feb 6 1 in 22
5 Livingston 4 Dec 29 – Feb 2 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Livingston 8 Aug 11 – Oct 20 1 in 167
2 St. Johnstone 8 Oct 20 – Dec 8 1 in 93
3 Hibernian 10 Feb 16 – Apr 28 1 in 45
4 St. Mirren 6 Apr 6 – May 18 1 in 39
5 Dundee 4 Nov 10 – Dec 9 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 7 Oct 20 – Dec 5 1 in 139
2 Kilmarnock 6 Jan 26 – Mar 2 1 in 52
3 St. Mirren 12 Aug 12 – Nov 10 1 in 51
4 Livingston 8 Dec 22 – Feb 16 1 in 35
5 Aberdeen 4 Feb 27 – Mar 30 1 in 23

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Celtic79.98%14.85%3.68%1.08%0.34%0.07%
Rangers12.16%41.01%22.49%12.80%7.00%2.99%1.06%0.41%0.07%0.01%
Kilmarnock1.09%7.01%14.52%20.33%21.54%17.55%10.25%4.81%1.97%0.71%0.17%0.05%
Aberdeen3.78%18.46%26.17%21.09%15.16%9.17%3.97%1.62%0.42%0.14%0.01%0.01%
Hibernian2.39%13.57%21.72%22.78%18.01%12.65%5.52%2.24%0.83%0.24%0.05%
Heart of Midlothian0.50%4.25%8.58%14.12%21.00%22.57%14.89%8.56%3.74%1.31%0.41%0.07%
St. Johnstone0.08%0.54%1.70%4.21%7.87%14.63%22.73%20.56%15.55%7.85%3.33%0.95%
Motherwell0.17%0.49%1.60%4.20%9.24%16.53%22.11%21.87%13.62%7.01%3.16%
Livingston0.02%0.12%0.60%1.68%4.14%8.88%17.43%22.53%21.22%13.37%7.20%2.81%
Hamilton Academical0.01%0.07%0.11%0.43%2.11%4.54%9.85%19.21%28.71%34.96%
St. Mirren0.02%0.04%0.19%0.50%1.51%4.12%9.15%15.80%26.40%24.30%17.97%
Dundee0.05%0.13%0.31%1.39%3.47%8.68%17.14%28.81%40.02%
Team123456789101112
Celtic99.91%0.09%
Rangers0.09%97.73%2.09%0.09%
Kilmarnock1.09%50.04%40.84%7.68%0.35%
Aberdeen1.09%44.90%45.97%7.65%0.39%
Hibernian2.74%11.53%68.27%17.46%
Heart of Midlothian0.23%1.57%16.40%81.80%
St. Johnstone46.39%32.18%21.43%
Motherwell35.35%36.75%27.90%
Livingston18.26%31.07%50.67%
Hamilton Academical75.82%21.82%2.36%
St. Mirren20.91%61.68%17.41%
Dundee3.27%16.50%80.23%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.84%
Slight Edge
45.61%20.61%33.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge
149 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
041.34400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.40 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.5
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
80%
Celtic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.24/gm
Tight Race
00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.62 * Some Luck: 5.62 to 8.43 * Lucky: 8.43 to 11.24 * Wild Swing: 11.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.95 * Close: 0.95 to 1.42 * Off: 1.42 to 1.89 * Way Off: 1.89 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.16 points
As Expected
07.0318
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.50
Pinpoint
01.182.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
82.18%
Kilmarnock
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.13%
St. Mirren
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.10
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.57
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.92
Near-Lock
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.37
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.25
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.053
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 99.98% 0.02%
Celtic 100%
Hibernian 100%
Rangers 100%
Kilmarnock 99.92% 0.07% 0.01%
Heart of Midlothian 99.69% 0.25% 0.06%
St. Johnstone 96.27% 3.02% 0.71%
Motherwell 92.06% 5.83% 2.11%
Livingston 91.94% 5.82% 2.24%
St. Mirren 56.55% 25.36% 18.09%
Hamilton Academical 34.59% 30.27% 35.14%
Dundee 29.00% 29.36% 41.64%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Kilmarnock 100%
Livingston 100%
Motherwell 100%
Rangers 100%
St. Johnstone 100%
Hamilton Academical 75.82% 21.82% 2.36%
St. Mirren 20.91% 61.68% 17.41%
Dundee 3.27% 16.50% 80.23%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2018-08-04 Dundee W 2-1 1556 1501 52.1% 21.2% 26.7% +4.4 3
2018-08-04 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1501 1556 26.7% 21.2% 52.1% -4.4 0
2018-08-04 Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1510 1636 28.1% 21.3% 50.6% -11.3 0
2018-08-04 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-1 1636 1510 50.6% 21.3% 28.1% +11.3 3
2018-08-04 Livingston W 3-1 1817 1518 76.0% 14.9% 9.1% +2.6 3
2018-08-04 @ Celtic L 1-3 1518 1817 9.1% 14.9% 76.0% -2.6 0
2018-08-04 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1623 1583 50.3% 21.3% 28.4% +9.3 3
2018-08-04 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1583 1623 28.4% 21.3% 50.3% -9.3 0
2018-08-05 Motherwell W 3-0 1683 1560 60.1% 19.9% 20.0% +9.8 3
2018-08-05 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1560 1683 20.0% 19.9% 60.1% -9.8 0
2018-08-05 Rangers D 1-1 1706 1702 45.5% 21.7% 32.8% -0.4 1
2018-08-05 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1702 1706 32.8% 21.7% 45.5% +0.4 1
2018-08-11 Aberdeen L 0-1 1497 1706 19.7% 19.8% 60.5% -3.5 0
2018-08-11 @ Dundee W 1-0 1706 1497 60.5% 19.8% 19.7% +3.5 4
2018-08-11 Celtic W 1-0 1647 1820 23.0% 20.6% 56.4% +8.7 6
2018-08-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1820 1647 56.4% 20.6% 23.0% -8.7 3
2018-08-11 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1550 1499 51.7% 21.2% 27.1% -8.1 0
2018-08-11 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1499 1550 27.1% 21.2% 51.7% +8.1 3
2018-08-11 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1516 1632 29.1% 21.4% 49.4% +0.8 1
2018-08-11 @ Livingston D 0-0 1632 1516 49.4% 21.4% 29.1% -0.8 4
2018-08-12 Hibernian D 1-1 1573 1693 28.8% 21.4% 49.8% +0.7 1
2018-08-12 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1693 1573 49.8% 21.4% 28.8% -0.7 4
2018-08-12 St. Mirren W 2-0 1703 1560 62.2% 19.4% 18.3% +6.2 4
2018-08-12 @ Rangers L 0-2 1560 1703 18.3% 19.4% 62.2% -6.2 3
2018-08-25 Aberdeen D 1-1 1692 1709 42.4% 21.8% 35.7% -0.2 5
2018-08-25 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1709 1692 35.7% 21.8% 42.4% +0.2 5
2018-08-25 Dundee W 1-0 1574 1493 55.3% 20.8% 24.0% +4.2 4
2018-08-25 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1493 1574 24.0% 20.8% 55.3% -4.2 0
2018-08-25 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1631 1656 41.4% 21.8% 36.7% -6.7 4
2018-08-25 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1656 1631 36.7% 21.8% 41.4% +6.7 9
2018-08-25 Livingston L 0-2 1554 1516 49.9% 21.4% 28.7% -14.8 3
2018-08-25 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1516 1554 28.7% 21.4% 49.9% +14.8 4
2018-08-26 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1811 1507 76.4% 14.7% 8.9% +1.5 6
2018-08-26 @ Celtic L 0-1 1507 1811 8.9% 14.7% 76.4% -1.5 3
2018-08-26 Rangers D 3-3 1542 1709 23.6% 20.7% 55.7% +0.7 1
2018-08-26 @ Motherwell D 3-3 1709 1542 55.7% 20.7% 23.6% -0.7 5
2018-09-01 Hibernian W 2-1 1531 1692 24.2% 20.8% 55.0% +8.0 7
2018-09-01 @ Livingston L 1-2 1692 1531 55.0% 20.8% 24.2% -8.0 5
2018-09-01 Kilmarnock L 0-2 1710 1625 55.9% 20.7% 23.5% -16.3 5
2018-09-01 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1625 1710 23.5% 20.7% 55.9% +16.3 7
2018-09-01 Motherwell L 1-3 1489 1543 37.3% 21.9% 40.9% -10.1 0
2018-09-01 @ Dundee W 3-1 1543 1489 40.9% 21.9% 37.3% +10.1 4
2018-09-01 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1506 1578 34.7% 21.8% 43.5% -5.5 3
2018-09-01 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1578 1506 43.5% 21.8% 34.7% +5.5 7
2018-09-01 St. Mirren W 4-1 1663 1539 60.2% 19.9% 19.9% +8.3 12
2018-09-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1539 1663 19.9% 19.9% 60.2% -8.3 3
2018-09-02 Rangers W 1-0 1813 1708 58.1% 20.3% 21.6% +3.9 9
2018-09-02 @ Celtic L 0-1 1708 1813 21.6% 20.3% 58.1% -3.9 5
2018-09-14 Celtic D 0-0 1531 1817 14.1% 17.8% 68.1% +2.2 4
2018-09-14 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1817 1531 68.1% 17.8% 14.1% -2.2 10
2018-09-15 Aberdeen D 1-1 1584 1693 29.9% 21.5% 48.6% +0.6 8
2018-09-15 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1693 1584 48.6% 21.5% 29.9% -0.6 6
2018-09-15 Dundee W 4-0 1704 1479 70.1% 17.2% 12.7% +8.1 8
2018-09-15 @ Rangers L 0-4 1479 1704 12.7% 17.2% 70.1% -8.1 0
2018-09-15 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1539 1500 50.1% 21.4% 28.5% +5.0 10
2018-09-15 @ Livingston L 0-1 1500 1539 28.5% 21.4% 50.1% -5.0 3
2018-09-15 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1553 1671 29.0% 21.4% 49.6% -5.0 4
2018-09-15 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1671 1553 49.6% 21.4% 29.0% +5.0 15
2018-09-15 Kilmarnock W 3-2 1684 1641 50.6% 21.3% 28.1% +4.4 8
2018-09-15 @ Hibernian L 2-3 1641 1684 28.1% 21.3% 50.6% -4.4 7
2018-09-22 Hibernian L 0-3 1471 1688 19.0% 19.6% 61.4% -9.4 0
2018-09-22 @ Dundee W 3-0 1688 1471 61.4% 19.6% 19.0% +9.4 11
2018-09-22 Livingston D 0-0 1676 1544 61.1% 19.7% 19.2% -1.7 16
2018-09-22 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1544 1676 19.2% 19.7% 61.1% +1.7 11
2018-09-22 Motherwell W 1-0 1693 1548 62.5% 19.4% 18.2% +3.3 9
2018-09-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1548 1693 18.2% 19.4% 62.5% -3.3 4
2018-09-22 St. Mirren W 3-0 1495 1533 39.6% 21.9% 38.6% +17.4 6
2018-09-22 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1533 1495 38.6% 21.9% 39.6% -17.4 4
2018-09-23 Celtic W 2-1 1636 1814 22.5% 20.5% 57.0% +8.3 10
2018-09-23 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1814 1636 57.0% 20.5% 22.5% -8.3 10
2018-09-23 St. Johnstone W 5-1 1712 1584 60.7% 19.8% 19.5% +10.5 11
2018-09-23 @ Rangers L 1-5 1584 1712 19.5% 19.8% 60.7% -10.5 8
2018-09-29 Aberdeen W 1-0 1806 1696 58.7% 20.2% 21.1% +3.8 13
2018-09-29 @ Celtic L 0-1 1696 1806 21.1% 20.2% 58.7% -3.8 9
2018-09-29 Dundee L 0-2 1513 1462 51.7% 21.2% 27.1% -15.2 6
2018-09-29 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1462 1513 27.1% 21.2% 51.7% +15.2 3
2018-09-29 Hibernian L 0-1 1516 1697 22.1% 20.4% 57.5% -4.0 4
2018-09-29 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1697 1516 57.5% 20.4% 22.1% +4.0 14
2018-09-29 Motherwell W 3-1 1645 1545 57.6% 20.4% 22.0% +6.4 13
2018-09-29 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1545 1645 22.0% 20.4% 57.6% -6.4 4
2018-09-29 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1674 1574 57.6% 20.4% 22.0% +3.7 19
2018-09-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1574 1674 22.0% 20.4% 57.6% -3.7 8
2018-09-30 Rangers W 1-0 1546 1723 22.6% 20.5% 56.9% +8.8 14
2018-09-30 @ Livingston L 0-1 1723 1546 56.9% 20.5% 22.6% -8.8 11
2018-10-06 Hamilton Academical W 6-0 1701 1497 68.2% 17.8% 14.0% +13.2 17
2018-10-06 @ Hibernian L 0-6 1497 1701 14.0% 17.8% 68.2% -13.2 6
2018-10-06 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1477 1651 22.8% 20.5% 56.6% -3.8 3
2018-10-06 @ Dundee W 2-1 1651 1477 56.6% 20.5% 22.8% +3.8 16
2018-10-06 Livingston D 1-1 1538 1555 42.6% 21.8% 35.6% -0.2 5
2018-10-06 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1555 1538 35.6% 21.8% 42.6% +0.2 15
2018-10-06 St. Mirren W 4-1 1692 1512 66.0% 18.5% 15.5% +6.5 12
2018-10-06 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1512 1692 15.5% 18.5% 66.0% -6.5 4
2018-10-07 Celtic L 0-6 1570 1810 17.2% 19.1% 63.7% -16.2 8
2018-10-07 @ St. Johnstone W 6-0 1810 1570 63.7% 19.1% 17.2% +16.2 16
2018-10-07 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1714 1678 49.8% 21.4% 28.8% +8.2 14
2018-10-07 @ Rangers L 1-3 1678 1714 28.8% 21.4% 49.8% -8.2 19
2018-10-20 Aberdeen W 2-1 1670 1699 40.9% 21.9% 37.3% +5.8 22
2018-10-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1699 1670 37.3% 21.9% 40.9% -5.8 12
2018-10-20 Dundee W 4-0 1555 1473 55.5% 20.7% 23.8% +15.1 18
2018-10-20 @ Livingston L 0-4 1473 1555 23.8% 20.7% 55.5% -15.1 3
2018-10-20 Hibernian W 4-2 1826 1714 58.9% 20.1% 21.0% +5.5 19
2018-10-20 @ Celtic L 2-4 1714 1826 21.0% 20.1% 58.9% -5.5 17
2018-10-20 Kilmarnock L 1-2 1505 1655 25.4% 21.0% 53.6% -4.2 4
2018-10-20 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1655 1505 53.6% 21.0% 25.4% +4.2 19
2018-10-20 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1538 1554 42.7% 21.8% 35.5% -6.9 5
2018-10-20 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1554 1538 35.5% 21.8% 42.7% +6.9 11
2018-10-21 Rangers L 1-4 1484 1722 17.3% 19.1% 63.6% -7.2 6
2018-10-21 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-1 1722 1484 63.6% 19.1% 17.3% +7.2 17
2018-10-23 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1458 1676 18.9% 19.6% 61.5% -9.3 3
2018-10-23 @ Dundee W 3-0 1676 1458 61.5% 19.6% 18.9% +9.3 25
2018-10-27 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1659 1477 66.2% 18.4% 15.4% -1.9 20
2018-10-27 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1477 1659 15.4% 18.4% 66.2% +1.9 7
2018-10-27 St. Mirren W 2-0 1561 1501 52.7% 21.1% 26.2% +8.7 14
2018-10-27 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1501 1561 26.2% 21.1% 52.7% -8.7 4
2018-10-31 Celtic L 0-5 1449 1832 9.1% 14.8% 76.1% -6.9 3
2018-10-31 @ Dundee W 5-0 1832 1449 76.1% 14.8% 9.1% +6.9 22
2018-10-31 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1693 1479 69.1% 17.5% 13.4% +6.6 15
2018-10-31 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1479 1693 13.4% 17.5% 69.1% -6.6 7
2018-10-31 Hibernian D 0-0 1685 1709 41.5% 21.8% 36.6% -0.2 26
2018-10-31 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1709 1685 36.6% 21.8% 41.5% +0.2 18
2018-10-31 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1730 1657 54.3% 20.9% 24.8% -1.0 18
2018-10-31 @ Rangers D 1-1 1657 1730 24.8% 20.9% 54.3% +1.0 21
2018-10-31 Motherwell L 0-2 1493 1531 39.4% 21.9% 38.7% -12.2 4
2018-10-31 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1531 1493 38.7% 21.9% 39.4% +12.2 8
2018-10-31 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1570 1569 45.0% 21.7% 33.3% -7.2 18
2018-10-31 @ Livingston W 1-0 1569 1570 33.3% 21.7% 45.0% +7.2 17
2018-11-03 Dundee W 1-0 1543 1442 57.8% 20.3% 21.9% +3.9 11
2018-11-03 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1442 1543 21.9% 20.3% 57.8% -3.9 3
2018-11-03 Heart of Midlothian W 5-0 1839 1685 63.4% 19.2% 17.4% +13.9 25
2018-11-03 @ Celtic L 0-5 1685 1839 17.4% 19.2% 63.4% -13.9 26
2018-11-03 Livingston W 1-0 1472 1563 32.3% 21.7% 46.0% +7.3 10
2018-11-03 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1563 1472 46.0% 21.7% 32.3% -7.3 18
2018-11-03 Rangers L 0-2 1480 1728 16.6% 18.9% 64.6% -5.6 4
2018-11-03 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1728 1480 64.6% 18.9% 16.6% +5.6 21
2018-11-03 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1709 1577 61.2% 19.7% 19.1% -9.4 18
2018-11-03 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1577 1709 19.1% 19.7% 61.2% +9.4 20
2018-11-04 Aberdeen L 1-2 1658 1699 39.1% 21.9% 39.0% -6.1 21
2018-11-04 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1699 1658 39.0% 21.9% 39.1% +6.0 18
2018-11-09 Hibernian W 1-0 1705 1700 45.7% 21.7% 32.6% +5.5 21
2018-11-09 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1700 1705 32.6% 21.7% 45.7% -5.5 18
2018-11-10 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1586 1480 58.3% 20.2% 21.4% +13.7 23
2018-11-10 @ St. Johnstone L 0-4 1480 1586 21.4% 20.2% 58.3% -13.7 10
2018-11-10 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1671 1652 47.4% 21.6% 31.0% -7.5 26
2018-11-10 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1652 1671 31.0% 21.6% 47.4% +7.5 24
2018-11-10 St. Mirren D 1-1 1438 1475 39.7% 21.9% 38.5% -0.0 4
2018-11-10 @ Dundee D 1-1 1475 1438 38.5% 21.9% 39.7% +0.0 5
2018-11-11 Celtic D 0-0 1556 1852 13.4% 17.5% 69.1% +2.3 19
2018-11-11 @ Livingston D 0-0 1852 1556 69.1% 17.5% 13.4% -2.3 26
2018-11-11 Motherwell W 7-1 1734 1547 66.6% 18.3% 15.1% +11.7 24
2018-11-11 @ Rangers L 1-7 1547 1734 15.1% 18.3% 66.6% -11.7 11
2018-11-24 Aberdeen W 3-0 1536 1711 22.7% 20.5% 56.7% +24.0 14
2018-11-24 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1711 1536 56.7% 20.5% 22.7% -24.0 21
2018-11-24 Celtic L 0-3 1466 1850 9.0% 14.8% 76.2% -4.3 10
2018-11-24 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1850 1466 76.2% 14.8% 9.0% +4.3 29
2018-11-24 Dundee D 2-2 1694 1438 72.7% 16.2% 11.1% -1.7 19
2018-11-24 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1438 1694 11.1% 16.2% 72.7% +1.7 5
2018-11-24 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1475 1663 21.5% 20.3% 58.3% +16.9 8
2018-11-24 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1663 1475 58.3% 20.3% 21.5% -16.9 26
2018-11-24 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1600 1660 36.4% 21.8% 41.8% +0.2 24
2018-11-24 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1660 1600 41.8% 21.8% 36.4% -0.2 25
2018-11-24 Livingston W 3-0 1746 1558 66.7% 18.2% 15.0% +7.4 27
2018-11-24 @ Rangers L 0-3 1558 1746 15.0% 18.2% 66.7% -7.4 19
2018-12-01 Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1492 1462 49.0% 21.5% 29.6% -12.6 8
2018-12-01 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1462 1492 29.6% 21.5% 49.0% +12.6 13
2018-12-01 Hibernian W 3-0 1660 1693 40.3% 21.9% 37.9% +17.1 28
2018-12-01 @ Kilmarnock L 0-3 1693 1660 37.9% 21.9% 40.3% -17.1 19
2018-12-01 Motherwell W 2-0 1551 1560 43.6% 21.8% 34.6% +11.0 22
2018-12-01 @ Livingston L 0-2 1560 1551 34.6% 21.8% 43.6% -11.0 14
2018-12-02 Rangers L 1-2 1647 1753 30.3% 21.5% 48.2% -4.9 26
2018-12-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1753 1647 48.2% 21.5% 30.3% +4.9 30
2018-12-05 Aberdeen L 0-1 1758 1687 54.2% 20.9% 24.9% -8.4 30
2018-12-05 @ Rangers W 1-0 1687 1758 24.9% 20.9% 54.2% +8.4 24
2018-12-05 Celtic D 1-1 1549 1854 12.8% 17.2% 69.9% +2.1 15
2018-12-05 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1854 1549 69.9% 17.2% 12.8% -2.1 30
2018-12-05 Hamilton Academical W 4-0 1439 1474 40.0% 21.9% 38.1% +22.5 8
2018-12-05 @ Dundee L 0-4 1474 1439 38.1% 21.9% 40.0% -22.5 13
2018-12-05 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1600 1642 39.0% 21.9% 39.1% +0.0 25
2018-12-05 @ St. Johnstone D 2-2 1642 1600 39.1% 21.9% 39.0% +0.0 27
2018-12-05 Livingston W 2-0 1677 1562 59.3% 20.1% 20.6% +7.0 31
2018-12-05 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1562 1677 20.6% 20.1% 59.3% -7.0 22
2018-12-05 St. Mirren D 2-2 1675 1479 67.5% 18.0% 14.5% -1.5 20
2018-12-05 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1479 1675 14.5% 18.0% 67.5% +1.5 9
2018-12-08 Hibernian L 0-1 1452 1674 18.6% 19.5% 61.9% -3.3 13
2018-12-08 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1674 1452 61.9% 19.5% 18.6% +3.3 23
2018-12-08 Kilmarnock W 5-1 1852 1684 64.9% 18.8% 16.4% +8.8 33
2018-12-08 @ Celtic L 1-5 1684 1852 16.4% 18.8% 64.9% -8.8 31
2018-12-08 Motherwell W 1-0 1642 1551 56.5% 20.6% 22.9% +4.1 30
2018-12-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1551 1642 22.9% 20.6% 56.5% -4.1 15
2018-12-08 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1695 1600 57.1% 20.5% 22.5% -16.6 24
2018-12-08 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1600 1695 22.5% 20.5% 57.1% +16.6 28
2018-12-08 St. Mirren W 3-1 1555 1481 54.5% 20.9% 24.6% +7.1 25
2018-12-08 @ Livingston L 1-3 1481 1555 24.6% 20.9% 54.5% -7.1 9
2018-12-09 Rangers D 1-1 1462 1750 13.9% 17.8% 68.3% +2.0 9
2018-12-09 @ Dundee D 1-1 1750 1462 68.3% 17.8% 13.9% -2.0 31
2018-12-11 Livingston W 3-2 1679 1562 59.5% 20.0% 20.5% +3.3 27
2018-12-11 @ Aberdeen L 2-3 1562 1679 20.5% 20.0% 59.5% -3.3 25
2018-12-14 Heart of Midlothian W 5-0 1558 1646 32.8% 21.7% 45.5% +32.0 28
2018-12-14 @ Livingston L 0-5 1646 1558 45.5% 21.7% 32.8% -32.0 30
2018-12-15 Aberdeen L 1-2 1473 1682 19.7% 19.8% 60.5% -3.3 9
2018-12-15 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1682 1473 60.5% 19.8% 19.7% +3.3 30
2018-12-15 Dundee W 3-1 1675 1464 68.9% 17.6% 13.6% +4.0 34
2018-12-15 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1464 1675 13.6% 17.6% 68.9% -4.0 9
2018-12-15 Motherwell L 1-2 1617 1547 54.0% 20.9% 25.1% -7.9 28
2018-12-15 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1547 1617 25.1% 20.9% 54.0% +7.9 18
2018-12-16 Celtic W 2-0 1677 1861 21.9% 20.4% 57.7% +16.8 26
2018-12-16 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1861 1677 57.7% 20.4% 21.9% -16.8 33
2018-12-16 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1748 1448 76.0% 14.9% 9.1% +1.6 34
2018-12-16 @ Rangers L 0-1 1448 1748 9.1% 14.9% 76.0% -1.6 13
2018-12-18 Dundee W 5-1 1685 1460 70.1% 17.2% 12.7% +6.8 33
2018-12-18 @ Aberdeen L 1-5 1460 1685 12.7% 17.2% 70.1% -6.8 9
2018-12-19 Motherwell W 3-0 1844 1555 75.3% 15.2% 9.5% +4.5 36
2018-12-19 @ Celtic L 0-3 1555 1844 9.5% 15.2% 75.3% -4.6 18
2018-12-19 Rangers D 0-0 1694 1749 37.1% 21.8% 41.1% +0.2 27
2018-12-19 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1749 1694 41.1% 21.8% 37.1% -0.1 35
2018-12-22 Dundee W 3-0 1849 1453 82.3% 11.9% 5.8% +2.6 39
2018-12-22 @ Celtic L 0-3 1453 1849 5.8% 11.9% 82.3% -2.6 9
2018-12-22 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1692 1614 55.1% 20.8% 24.2% +8.1 36
2018-12-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1614 1692 24.2% 20.8% 55.1% -8.1 30
2018-12-22 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1447 1679 17.8% 19.3% 63.0% +1.7 14
2018-12-22 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1679 1447 63.0% 19.3% 17.8% -1.7 35
2018-12-22 Livingston D 1-1 1694 1590 58.0% 20.3% 21.7% -1.3 28
2018-12-22 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1590 1694 21.7% 20.3% 58.0% +1.3 29
2018-12-22 St. Mirren L 0-1 1550 1470 55.2% 20.8% 24.0% -8.6 18
2018-12-22 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1470 1550 24.0% 20.8% 55.2% +8.6 12
2018-12-23 Rangers L 1-2 1609 1749 26.4% 21.1% 52.5% -4.4 28
2018-12-23 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1749 1609 52.5% 21.1% 26.4% +4.4 38
2018-12-26 Celtic L 3-4 1700 1851 25.2% 20.9% 53.8% -3.9 36
2018-12-26 @ Aberdeen W 4-3 1851 1700 53.8% 20.9% 25.2% +3.9 42
2018-12-26 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1606 1448 63.7% 19.1% 17.2% +5.8 33
2018-12-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1448 1606 17.2% 19.1% 63.7% -5.8 14
2018-12-26 Hibernian D 1-1 1754 1693 52.9% 21.1% 26.1% -1.0 39
2018-12-26 @ Rangers D 1-1 1693 1754 26.1% 21.1% 52.9% +0.9 29
2018-12-26 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1542 1677 26.9% 21.2% 51.9% -4.7 18
2018-12-26 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1677 1542 51.9% 21.2% 26.9% +4.7 38
2018-12-26 Livingston D 0-0 1451 1592 26.3% 21.1% 52.6% +1.0 10
2018-12-26 @ Dundee D 0-0 1592 1451 52.6% 21.1% 26.3% -1.0 30
2018-12-26 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1479 1604 28.0% 21.3% 50.6% -4.9 12
2018-12-26 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1604 1479 50.6% 21.3% 28.0% +4.9 31
2018-12-29 Aberdeen L 1-2 1591 1696 30.4% 21.5% 48.0% -4.9 30
2018-12-29 @ Livingston W 2-1 1696 1591 48.0% 21.5% 30.4% +4.9 39
2018-12-29 Celtic W 1-0 1753 1855 30.8% 21.6% 47.6% +7.5 42
2018-12-29 @ Rangers L 0-1 1855 1753 47.6% 21.6% 30.8% -7.5 42
2018-12-29 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1694 1611 55.5% 20.7% 23.8% -8.6 29
2018-12-29 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1611 1694 23.8% 20.7% 55.5% +8.6 36
2018-12-29 Motherwell L 1-2 1443 1537 31.9% 21.6% 46.5% -5.1 14
2018-12-29 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1537 1443 46.5% 21.6% 31.9% +5.1 21
2018-12-29 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1452 1609 24.5% 20.8% 54.6% -8.2 10
2018-12-29 @ Dundee W 2-0 1609 1452 54.6% 20.8% 24.5% +8.2 34
2018-12-29 St. Mirren W 2-1 1682 1474 68.6% 17.7% 13.7% +2.3 41
2018-12-29 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1474 1682 13.7% 17.7% 68.6% -2.3 12
2019-01-23 Aberdeen L 0-3 1437 1701 15.5% 18.4% 66.1% -7.6 14
2019-01-23 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1701 1437 66.1% 18.4% 15.5% +7.6 42
2019-01-23 Dundee L 1-2 1620 1443 65.7% 18.6% 15.8% -9.4 36
2019-01-23 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1443 1620 15.8% 18.6% 65.7% +9.4 13
2019-01-23 Hibernian W 1-0 1542 1685 26.1% 21.1% 52.9% +8.2 24
2019-01-23 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1685 1542 52.9% 21.1% 26.1% -8.2 29
2019-01-23 Livingston W 1-0 1617 1586 49.2% 21.4% 29.4% +5.1 37
2019-01-23 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1586 1617 29.4% 21.4% 49.2% -5.1 30
2019-01-23 Rangers W 2-1 1684 1760 34.3% 21.8% 44.0% +6.6 44
2019-01-23 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1760 1684 44.0% 21.8% 34.3% -6.7 42
2019-01-23 St. Mirren W 4-0 1848 1471 81.2% 12.4% 6.4% +3.8 45
2019-01-23 @ Celtic L 0-4 1471 1848 6.4% 12.4% 81.2% -3.8 12
2019-01-26 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1852 1430 83.8% 11.1% 5.1% +2.3 48
2019-01-26 @ Celtic L 0-3 1430 1852 5.1% 11.1% 83.8% -2.3 14
2019-01-26 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1709 1691 47.3% 21.6% 31.1% -0.6 43
2019-01-26 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1691 1709 31.1% 21.6% 47.3% +0.6 45
2019-01-26 Motherwell L 0-1 1453 1550 31.5% 21.6% 46.9% -5.4 13
2019-01-26 @ Dundee W 1-0 1550 1453 46.9% 21.6% 31.5% +5.4 27
2019-01-26 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1611 1622 43.3% 21.8% 34.9% +11.1 39
2019-01-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1622 1611 34.9% 21.8% 43.3% -11.1 37
2019-01-27 Hibernian L 1-3 1468 1677 19.6% 19.8% 60.6% -5.8 12
2019-01-27 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1677 1468 60.6% 19.8% 19.6% +5.8 32
2019-01-27 Rangers L 0-3 1581 1753 23.0% 20.6% 56.4% -11.2 30
2019-01-27 @ Livingston W 3-0 1753 1581 56.4% 20.6% 23.0% +11.2 45
2019-01-30 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1854 1611 71.6% 16.6% 11.8% +3.9 51
2019-01-30 @ Celtic L 0-2 1611 1854 11.8% 16.6% 71.6% -4.0 37
2019-02-01 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1692 1622 54.0% 20.9% 25.1% -7.9 45
2019-02-01 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 1622 1692 25.1% 20.9% 54.0% +7.9 42
2019-02-02 Aberdeen L 1-2 1683 1708 41.3% 21.8% 36.8% -6.3 32
2019-02-02 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1708 1683 36.8% 21.8% 41.3% +6.3 46
2019-02-02 Dundee D 1-1 1428 1447 42.1% 21.8% 36.0% -0.2 15
2019-02-02 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1447 1428 36.0% 21.8% 42.1% +0.2 14
2019-02-02 Livingston W 3-0 1556 1569 43.0% 21.8% 35.2% +16.2 30
2019-02-02 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1569 1556 35.2% 21.8% 43.0% -16.2 30
2019-02-02 St. Mirren W 4-0 1765 1462 76.3% 14.8% 9.0% +5.6 48
2019-02-02 @ Rangers L 0-4 1462 1765 9.0% 14.8% 76.3% -5.6 12
2019-02-03 Celtic L 0-2 1607 1858 16.4% 18.8% 64.8% -5.6 37
2019-02-03 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1858 1607 64.8% 18.8% 16.4% +5.6 54
2019-02-06 Hibernian W 2-0 1863 1676 66.6% 18.3% 15.1% +5.1 57
2019-02-06 @ Celtic L 0-2 1676 1863 15.1% 18.3% 66.6% -5.1 32
2019-02-06 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1448 1684 17.5% 19.2% 63.4% +1.2 15
2019-02-06 @ Dundee D 2-2 1684 1448 63.4% 19.2% 17.5% -1.2 46
2019-02-06 Livingston D 0-0 1630 1553 54.8% 20.8% 24.4% -1.2 43
2019-02-06 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1553 1630 24.4% 20.8% 54.8% +1.2 31
2019-02-06 Motherwell L 1-2 1456 1572 29.2% 21.4% 49.3% -4.8 12
2019-02-06 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1572 1456 49.3% 21.4% 29.2% +4.8 33
2019-02-06 Rangers L 2-4 1715 1770 37.0% 21.8% 41.1% -9.0 46
2019-02-06 @ Aberdeen W 4-2 1770 1715 41.1% 21.8% 37.0% +9.0 51
2019-02-06 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1427 1602 22.8% 20.5% 56.6% +8.3 18
2019-02-06 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1602 1427 56.6% 20.5% 22.8% -8.2 37
2019-02-16 Dundee L 1-2 1554 1449 58.2% 20.3% 21.5% -8.5 31
2019-02-16 @ Livingston W 2-1 1449 1554 21.5% 20.3% 58.2% +8.5 18
2019-02-16 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1671 1436 71.0% 16.9% 12.1% +4.1 35
2019-02-16 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1436 1671 12.1% 16.9% 71.0% -4.1 18
2019-02-16 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1779 1594 66.5% 18.3% 15.2% -2.1 52
2019-02-16 @ Rangers D 0-0 1594 1779 15.2% 18.3% 66.5% +2.1 38
2019-02-16 St. Mirren D 2-2 1706 1452 72.5% 16.3% 11.2% -1.7 47
2019-02-16 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1452 1706 11.2% 16.3% 72.5% +1.7 13
2019-02-17 Celtic L 0-1 1682 1869 21.7% 20.3% 58.0% -3.9 46
2019-02-17 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1869 1682 58.0% 20.3% 21.7% +3.9 60
2019-02-17 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1577 1628 37.6% 21.9% 40.6% +6.2 36
2019-02-17 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1628 1577 40.6% 21.9% 37.6% -6.2 43
2019-02-22 Hibernian L 2-4 1457 1675 18.9% 19.6% 61.5% -5.0 18
2019-02-22 @ Dundee W 4-2 1675 1457 61.5% 19.6% 18.9% +5.0 38
2019-02-23 Aberdeen L 0-2 1596 1704 30.1% 21.5% 48.4% -9.8 38
2019-02-23 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1704 1596 48.4% 21.5% 30.1% +9.8 50
2019-02-23 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1546 1679 27.3% 21.2% 51.5% +8.0 34
2019-02-23 @ Livingston L 0-1 1679 1546 51.5% 21.2% 27.3% -8.0 46
2019-02-23 St. Mirren D 1-1 1622 1453 64.9% 18.8% 16.3% -1.8 44
2019-02-23 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1453 1622 16.3% 18.8% 64.9% +1.8 14
2019-02-24 Motherwell W 4-1 1872 1583 75.3% 15.2% 9.5% +3.8 63
2019-02-24 @ Celtic L 1-4 1583 1872 9.5% 15.2% 75.3% -3.8 36
2019-02-24 Rangers L 0-5 1431 1777 10.8% 16.0% 73.2% -8.4 18
2019-02-24 @ Hamilton Academical W 5-0 1777 1431 73.2% 16.0% 10.8% +8.4 55
2019-02-27 Celtic L 1-2 1620 1876 16.0% 18.6% 65.3% -2.7 44
2019-02-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1876 1620 65.3% 18.6% 16.0% +2.7 66
2019-02-27 Dundee W 4-0 1785 1452 78.4% 13.8% 7.8% +4.8 58
2019-02-27 @ Rangers L 0-4 1452 1785 7.8% 13.8% 78.4% -4.8 18
2019-02-27 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1714 1423 75.4% 15.1% 9.5% -21.1 50
2019-02-27 @ Aberdeen W 2-0 1423 1714 9.5% 15.1% 75.4% +21.1 21
2019-02-27 Hibernian L 1-2 1586 1680 31.8% 21.6% 46.5% -5.1 38
2019-02-27 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1680 1586 46.5% 21.6% 31.8% +5.1 41
2019-03-02 Livingston W 1-0 1455 1554 31.3% 21.6% 47.1% +7.5 17
2019-03-02 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1554 1455 47.1% 21.6% 31.3% -7.5 34
2019-03-02 Motherwell D 0-0 1670 1579 56.6% 20.5% 22.9% -1.3 47
2019-03-02 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1579 1670 22.9% 20.5% 56.6% +1.3 37
2019-03-08 Rangers D 1-1 1686 1790 30.6% 21.6% 47.9% +0.6 42
2019-03-08 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1790 1686 47.9% 21.6% 30.6% -0.6 59
2019-03-09 Aberdeen D 0-0 1879 1693 66.6% 18.3% 15.1% -2.1 67
2019-03-09 @ Celtic D 0-0 1693 1879 15.1% 18.3% 66.6% +2.1 51
2019-03-09 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1580 1444 61.6% 19.6% 18.9% +9.3 40
2019-03-09 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1444 1580 18.9% 19.6% 61.6% -9.3 21
2019-03-09 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1448 1618 23.3% 20.6% 56.1% -4.1 18
2019-03-09 @ Dundee W 1-0 1618 1448 56.1% 20.6% 23.3% +4.1 47
2019-03-09 St. Johnstone W 3-1 1547 1581 40.1% 21.9% 38.1% +10.2 37
2019-03-09 @ Livingston L 1-3 1581 1547 38.1% 21.9% 40.1% -10.2 38
2019-03-11 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1463 1669 19.9% 19.9% 60.3% -3.6 17
2019-03-11 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1669 1463 60.3% 19.9% 19.9% +3.6 50
2019-03-16 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1435 1622 21.6% 20.3% 58.1% +8.9 24
2019-03-16 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1622 1435 58.1% 20.3% 21.6% -9.0 47
2019-03-16 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1790 1673 59.5% 20.0% 20.5% -1.4 60
2019-03-16 @ Rangers D 1-1 1673 1790 20.5% 20.0% 59.5% +1.4 51
2019-03-16 Livingston D 1-1 1695 1557 61.8% 19.6% 18.7% -1.6 52
2019-03-16 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1557 1695 18.7% 19.6% 61.8% +1.6 38
2019-03-16 Motherwell W 2-0 1686 1590 57.2% 20.4% 22.4% +7.5 45
2019-03-16 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1590 1686 22.4% 20.4% 57.2% -7.5 40
2019-03-17 Celtic L 0-1 1443 1877 7.2% 13.2% 79.5% -1.2 18
2019-03-17 @ Dundee W 1-0 1877 1443 79.5% 13.2% 7.2% +1.2 70
2019-03-27 St. Mirren W 1-0 1571 1459 58.9% 20.1% 21.0% +3.8 41
2019-03-27 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1459 1571 21.0% 20.1% 58.9% -3.8 17
2019-03-29 Hibernian L 1-2 1558 1694 27.0% 21.2% 51.9% -4.5 38
2019-03-29 @ Livingston W 2-1 1694 1558 51.9% 21.2% 27.0% +4.4 48
2019-03-30 Aberdeen W 2-1 1613 1693 33.7% 21.7% 44.6% +6.7 50
2019-03-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1693 1613 44.6% 21.7% 33.7% -6.7 52
2019-03-30 Dundee W 2-1 1455 1442 46.7% 21.6% 31.7% +5.1 20
2019-03-30 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1442 1455 31.7% 21.6% 46.7% -5.1 18
2019-03-30 Hamilton Academical W 5-0 1674 1444 70.5% 17.0% 12.4% +9.8 54
2019-03-30 @ Kilmarnock L 0-5 1444 1674 12.4% 17.0% 70.5% -9.8 24
2019-03-30 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1582 1574 46.0% 21.7% 32.4% +15.1 43
2019-03-30 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1574 1582 32.4% 21.7% 46.0% -15.1 41
2019-03-31 Rangers W 2-1 1878 1788 56.4% 20.6% 23.0% +3.9 73
2019-03-31 @ Celtic L 1-2 1788 1878 23.0% 20.6% 56.4% -3.9 60
2019-04-03 Celtic L 0-2 1460 1882 7.6% 13.6% 78.8% -2.4 20
2019-04-03 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1882 1460 78.8% 13.6% 7.6% +2.4 76
2019-04-03 Dundee W 2-0 1559 1437 60.1% 19.9% 20.0% +6.8 44
2019-04-03 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1437 1559 20.0% 19.9% 60.1% -6.8 18
2019-04-03 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1554 1434 59.8% 20.0% 20.2% +6.8 41
2019-04-03 @ Livingston L 0-2 1434 1554 20.2% 20.0% 59.8% -6.8 24
2019-04-03 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1784 1620 64.5% 18.9% 16.6% +8.2 63
2019-04-03 @ Rangers L 0-3 1620 1784 16.6% 18.9% 64.5% -8.2 50
2019-04-03 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1698 1684 46.8% 21.6% 31.5% -0.6 49
2019-04-03 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1684 1698 31.5% 21.6% 46.8% +0.6 55
2019-04-03 Motherwell W 3-1 1687 1597 56.4% 20.6% 23.1% +6.7 55
2019-04-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1597 1687 23.1% 20.6% 56.4% -6.7 43
2019-04-06 Aberdeen L 0-2 1430 1693 15.5% 18.5% 66.0% -5.3 18
2019-04-06 @ Dundee W 2-0 1693 1430 66.0% 18.5% 15.5% +5.3 58
2019-04-06 Hibernian L 1-2 1611 1698 32.9% 21.7% 45.4% -5.3 50
2019-04-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1698 1611 45.4% 21.7% 32.9% +5.3 52
2019-04-06 Livingston D 0-0 1884 1561 77.7% 14.1% 8.2% -2.9 77
2019-04-06 @ Celtic D 0-0 1561 1884 8.2% 14.1% 77.7% +2.9 42
2019-04-06 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1684 1566 59.7% 20.0% 20.3% +6.9 58
2019-04-06 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1566 1684 20.3% 20.0% 59.7% -6.9 44
2019-04-06 St. Mirren D 1-1 1427 1458 40.6% 21.9% 37.5% -0.1 25
2019-04-06 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1458 1427 37.5% 21.9% 40.6% +0.1 21
2019-04-07 Rangers L 0-3 1590 1793 20.3% 20.0% 59.8% -10.0 43
2019-04-07 @ Motherwell W 3-0 1793 1590 59.8% 20.0% 20.3% +10.0 66

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2019-04-20 Aberdeen L 0-1 1691 1699 43.9% 21.8% 34.3% -7.0 0
2019-04-20 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1699 1691 34.3% 21.8% 43.9% +7.0 3
2019-04-20 Dundee W 2-0 1559 1425 61.3% 19.6% 19.0% +6.5 3
2019-04-20 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1425 1559 19.0% 19.6% 61.3% -6.5 0
2019-04-20 Motherwell D 1-1 1427 1580 25.0% 20.9% 54.1% +1.0 1
2019-04-20 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1580 1427 54.1% 20.9% 25.0% -1.0 1
2019-04-20 Rangers L 1-3 1606 1803 20.8% 20.1% 59.1% -6.1 0
2019-04-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1803 1606 59.1% 20.1% 20.8% +6.1 3
2019-04-20 St. Mirren L 1-3 1564 1458 58.2% 20.3% 21.5% -14.7 0
2019-04-20 @ Livingston W 3-1 1458 1564 21.5% 20.3% 58.2% +14.7 3
2019-04-21 Celtic D 0-0 1703 1881 22.4% 20.5% 57.1% +1.4 1
2019-04-21 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1881 1703 57.1% 20.5% 22.4% -1.4 1
2019-04-27 Dundee W 4-3 1579 1419 64.1% 19.0% 16.9% +2.7 4
2019-04-27 @ Motherwell L 3-4 1419 1579 16.9% 19.0% 64.1% -2.7 0
2019-04-27 Kilmarnock W 1-0 1880 1684 67.5% 18.0% 14.5% +2.6 4
2019-04-27 @ Celtic L 0-1 1684 1880 14.5% 18.0% 67.5% -2.6 0
2019-04-27 Livingston D 3-3 1428 1549 28.6% 21.4% 50.0% +0.5 2
2019-04-27 @ Hamilton Academical D 3-3 1549 1428 50.0% 21.4% 28.6% -0.5 1
2019-04-27 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1473 1566 32.0% 21.6% 46.3% +0.5 4
2019-04-27 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1566 1473 46.3% 21.6% 32.0% -0.5 4
2019-04-28 Aberdeen W 2-0 1809 1706 57.9% 20.3% 21.8% +7.3 6
2019-04-28 @ Rangers L 0-2 1706 1809 21.8% 20.3% 57.9% -7.3 3
2019-04-28 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1704 1600 58.1% 20.3% 21.6% -1.3 2
2019-04-28 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1600 1704 21.6% 20.3% 58.1% +1.3 1
2019-05-04 Celtic L 0-3 1698 1883 21.9% 20.3% 57.8% -10.7 3
2019-05-04 @ Aberdeen W 3-0 1883 1698 57.8% 20.3% 21.9% +10.7 7
2019-05-04 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1416 1429 43.1% 21.8% 35.1% -6.9 0
2019-05-04 @ Dundee W 1-0 1429 1416 35.1% 21.8% 43.1% +6.9 5
2019-05-04 Kilmarnock L 0-1 1601 1682 33.7% 21.7% 44.6% -5.7 1
2019-05-04 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1682 1601 44.6% 21.7% 33.7% +5.7 3
2019-05-04 Livingston D 1-1 1565 1549 47.1% 21.6% 31.2% -0.5 5
2019-05-04 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1549 1565 31.2% 21.6% 47.1% +0.5 2
2019-05-04 St. Mirren D 1-1 1582 1473 58.6% 20.2% 21.2% -1.3 5
2019-05-04 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1473 1582 21.2% 20.2% 58.6% +1.4 5
2019-05-05 Hibernian W 1-0 1816 1703 59.1% 20.1% 20.8% +3.7 9
2019-05-05 @ Rangers L 0-1 1703 1816 20.8% 20.1% 59.1% -3.7 2
2019-05-10 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1688 1596 56.6% 20.5% 22.8% +3.8 6
2019-05-10 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1596 1688 22.8% 20.5% 56.6% -3.8 1
2019-05-11 Dundee L 0-1 1549 1409 62.0% 19.5% 18.5% -9.5 2
2019-05-11 @ Livingston W 1-0 1409 1549 18.5% 19.5% 62.0% +9.5 3
2019-05-11 Hibernian W 1-0 1687 1699 43.3% 21.8% 34.9% +5.9 6
2019-05-11 @ Kilmarnock L 0-1 1699 1687 34.9% 21.8% 43.3% -5.9 2
2019-05-11 Motherwell W 2-0 1565 1581 42.6% 21.8% 35.5% +11.2 8
2019-05-11 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1581 1565 35.5% 21.8% 42.6% -11.2 5
2019-05-12 Celtic W 2-0 1820 1893 34.6% 21.8% 43.7% +13.2 12
2019-05-12 @ Rangers L 0-2 1893 1820 43.7% 21.8% 34.6% -13.2 7
2019-05-13 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1474 1436 50.1% 21.4% 28.5% +9.3 8
2019-05-13 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1436 1474 28.5% 21.4% 50.1% -9.3 5
2019-05-18 Livingston W 3-2 1570 1540 48.9% 21.5% 29.6% +4.6 8
2019-05-18 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1540 1570 29.6% 21.5% 48.9% -4.6 2
2019-05-18 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1426 1576 25.4% 21.0% 53.6% +15.7 8
2019-05-18 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1576 1426 53.6% 21.0% 25.4% -15.7 8
2019-05-18 St. Mirren L 2-3 1418 1484 35.7% 21.8% 42.5% -5.3 3
2019-05-18 @ Dundee W 3-2 1484 1418 42.5% 21.8% 35.7% +5.3 11
2019-05-19 Aberdeen L 1-2 1693 1691 45.2% 21.7% 33.1% -6.8 2
2019-05-19 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1691 1693 33.1% 21.7% 45.2% +6.8 9
2019-05-19 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1880 1592 75.2% 15.2% 9.6% +1.6 10
2019-05-19 @ Celtic L 1-2 1592 1880 9.6% 15.2% 75.2% -1.6 1
2019-05-19 Rangers W 2-1 1693 1833 26.5% 21.1% 52.4% +7.7 9
2019-05-19 @ Kilmarnock L 1-2 1833 1693 52.4% 21.1% 26.5% -7.7 12

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-02-27 9.49% Hamilton Academical 1423 2 @ Aberdeen 1714 0
2 2019-01-23 15.78% Dundee 1443 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1620 1
3 2019-05-11 18.52% Dundee 1409 1 @ Livingston 1549 0
4 2018-11-03 19.14% St. Johnstone 1577 1 @ Hibernian 1709 0
5 2018-11-24 21.47% @ St. Mirren 1475 2 Heart of Midlothian 1663 0
6 2019-04-20 21.50% St. Mirren 1458 3 @ Livingston 1564 1
7 2019-02-16 21.51% Dundee 1449 2 @ Livingston 1554 1
8 2019-03-16 21.64% @ Hamilton Academical 1435 1 Heart of Midlothian 1622 0
9 2018-12-16 21.93% @ Hibernian 1677 2 Celtic 1861 0
10 2018-12-08 22.47% St. Johnstone 1600 2 @ Aberdeen 1695 0
11 2018-09-23 22.49% @ Kilmarnock 1636 2 Celtic 1814 1
12 2018-09-30 22.59% @ Livingston 1546 1 Rangers 1723 0
13 2018-11-24 22.73% @ Motherwell 1536 3 Aberdeen 1711 0
14 2019-02-06 22.82% @ Hamilton Academical 1427 2 St. Johnstone 1602 1
15 2018-08-11 23.00% @ Heart of Midlothian 1647 1 Celtic 1820 0
16 2018-09-01 23.48% Kilmarnock 1625 2 @ Aberdeen 1710 0
17 2018-12-29 23.76% Heart of Midlothian 1611 1 @ Hibernian 1694 0
18 2018-12-22 24.01% St. Mirren 1470 1 @ Motherwell 1550 0
19 2018-09-01 24.24% @ Livingston 1531 2 Hibernian 1692 1
20 2018-12-05 24.92% Aberdeen 1687 1 @ Rangers 1758 0
21 2018-12-15 25.06% Motherwell 1547 2 @ St. Johnstone 1617 1
22 2019-02-01 25.06% Heart of Midlothian 1622 2 @ Kilmarnock 1692 1
23 2019-05-18 25.38% @ Hamilton Academical 1426 2 St. Johnstone 1576 0
24 2019-01-23 26.05% @ Motherwell 1542 1 Hibernian 1685 0
25 2019-05-19 26.46% @ Kilmarnock 1693 2 Rangers 1833 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-12-14 31.99 @ Livingston 5 1558 32.76% Heart of Midlothian 0 1646 45.54% 21.70%
2 2018-11-24 24.02 @ Motherwell 3 1536 22.73% Aberdeen 0 1711 56.74% 20.53%
3 2018-12-05 22.51 @ Dundee 4 1439 40.01% Hamilton Academical 0 1474 38.14% 21.86%
4 2019-02-27 21.07 Hamilton Academical 2 1423 9.49% @ Aberdeen 0 1714 75.37% 15.14%
5 2018-09-22 17.39 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1495 39.55% St. Mirren 0 1533 38.59% 21.86%
6 2018-12-01 17.14 @ Kilmarnock 3 1660 40.29% Hibernian 0 1693 37.86% 21.85%
7 2018-11-24 16.93 @ St. Mirren 2 1475 21.47% Heart of Midlothian 0 1663 58.27% 20.26%
8 2018-12-16 16.79 @ Hibernian 2 1677 21.93% Celtic 0 1861 57.71% 20.36%
9 2018-12-08 16.62 St. Johnstone 2 1600 22.47% @ Aberdeen 0 1695 57.06% 20.47%
10 2018-09-01 16.31 Kilmarnock 2 1625 23.48% @ Aberdeen 0 1710 55.85% 20.67%
11 2018-10-07 16.25 Celtic 6 1810 63.73% @ St. Johnstone 0 1570 17.20% 19.08%
12 2019-02-02 16.17 @ Motherwell 3 1556 42.98% Livingston 0 1569 35.22% 21.80%
13 2019-05-18 15.74 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1426 25.38% St. Johnstone 0 1576 53.65% 20.98%
14 2018-09-29 15.23 Dundee 2 1462 27.13% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1513 51.66% 21.21%
15 2018-10-20 15.12 @ Livingston 4 1555 55.48% Dundee 0 1473 23.80% 20.72%
16 2019-03-30 15.09 @ Motherwell 3 1582 45.96% St. Johnstone 0 1574 32.36% 21.67%
17 2018-08-25 14.79 Livingston 2 1516 28.68% @ St. Mirren 0 1554 49.94% 21.39%
18 2019-04-20 14.66 St. Mirren 3 1458 21.50% @ Livingston 1 1564 58.23% 20.27%
19 2018-11-03 13.89 @ Celtic 5 1839 63.39% Heart of Midlothian 0 1685 17.45% 19.16%
20 2018-11-10 13.73 @ St. Johnstone 4 1586 58.31% Hamilton Academical 0 1480 21.44% 20.25%
21 2019-05-12 13.22 @ Rangers 2 1820 34.56% Celtic 0 1893 43.66% 21.78%
22 2018-10-06 13.16 @ Hibernian 6 1701 68.22% Hamilton Academical 0 1497 13.98% 17.79%
23 2018-12-01 12.59 Hamilton Academical 3 1462 29.57% @ St. Mirren 1 1492 48.96% 21.47%
24 2018-10-31 12.18 Motherwell 2 1531 38.70% @ St. Mirren 0 1493 39.44% 21.86%
25 2018-11-11 11.74 @ Rangers 7 1734 66.63% Motherwell 1 1547 15.09% 18.28%