1986-87 Premier Division Season

264 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rangers

14.09 points above expected

69 points · 54.91 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Falkirk

8.09 points below expected

26 points · 34.09 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 44 31 7 6 69 85 23 +62 54.91 +14.09
2 Celtic 44 27 9 8 63 90 41 +49 62.41 +0.59
3 Dundee United 44 24 12 8 60 66 36 +30 56.99 +3.01
4 Aberdeen 44 21 16 7 58 63 29 +34 58.26 -0.26
5 Heart of Midlothian 44 21 14 9 56 64 43 +21 55.62 +0.38
6 Dundee 44 18 12 14 48 74 57 +17 46.58 +1.42
7 St. Mirren 44 12 12 20 36 36 51 -15 37.30 -1.30
8 Motherwell 44 11 12 21 34 43 64 -21 33.34 +0.66
9 Hibernian 44 10 13 21 33 44 70 -26 34.87 -1.87
10 Falkirk 44 8 10 26 26 31 70 -39 34.09 -8.09
11 Clydebank 44 6 12 26 24 35 93 -58 25.68 -1.68
12 Hamilton Academical 44 6 9 29 21 39 93 -54 27.95 -6.95

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1984 69 54.91 +14.09 99.9% 37 47 52 55 58 63 73
Celtic 1919 63 62.41 +0.59 58.4% 41 55 59 62 66 70 80
Aberdeen 1905 58 58.26 -0.26 51.1% 41 50 55 58 62 66 74
Dundee United 1861 60 56.99 +3.01 75.8% 36 49 54 57 60 65 76
Heart of Midlothian 1835 56 55.62 +0.38 56.0% 37 47 52 56 59 64 73
Dundee 1800 48 46.58 +1.42 65.2% 26 38 43 47 50 55 67
St. Mirren 1645 36 37.30 -1.30 43.3% 21 29 34 37 41 46 58
Motherwell 1634 34 33.34 +0.66 59.5% 17 25 30 33 37 42 52
Hibernian 1623 33 34.87 -1.87 39.8% 14 27 31 35 38 43 57
Falkirk 1565 26 34.09 -8.09 6.3% 15 26 31 34 37 42 53
Hamilton Academical 1539 21 27.95 -6.95 8.7% 13 20 25 28 31 36 50
Clydebank 1488 24 25.68 -1.68 41.2% 10 18 22 26 29 34 44

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL CLY DUN DU FAL HA HOM HIB MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen
1-3-0
4.76
3-1-0
9.32
3-1-0
7.10
1-1-2
5.67
3-1-0
8.65
3-1-0
9.11
1-1-2
5.88
2-2-0
8.39
3-1-0
8.65
1-2-1
5.71
0-2-2
8.59
Celtic
0-3-1
6.14
3-1-0
9.52
3-0-1
7.78
1-2-1
6.42
3-0-1
8.97
4-0-0
9.42
1-1-2
6.77
4-0-0
8.99
3-1-0
8.97
1-1-2
6.55
4-0-0
8.72
Clydebank
0-1-3
1.80
0-1-3
1.63
0-2-2
2.69
0-2-2
2.02
1-1-2
4.20
2-1-1
4.89
0-1-3
2.02
0-1-3
4.04
1-1-2
4.06
0-0-4
1.99
2-1-1
3.68
Dundee
0-1-3
3.83
1-0-3
3.18
2-2-0
8.32
1-2-1
3.83
3-1-0
7.39
2-2-0
8.24
1-1-2
4.07
3-1-0
7.06
1-2-1
7.34
1-0-3
4.04
3-0-1
6.81
Dundee United
2-1-1
5.22
1-2-1
4.49
2-2-0
9.07
1-2-1
7.10
3-0-1
8.55
3-1-0
9.04
2-2-0
5.52
3-1-0
8.53
3-0-1
8.49
1-1-2
5.74
3-0-1
8.11
Falkirk
0-1-3
2.39
1-0-3
2.11
2-1-1
6.71
0-1-3
3.55
1-0-3
2.47
2-1-1
6.36
1-1-2
2.58
0-1-3
5.59
1-2-1
5.81
0-0-4
3.07
0-2-2
4.75
Hamilton Academical
0-1-3
1.97
0-0-4
1.71
1-1-2
6.02
0-2-2
2.75
0-1-3
2.04
1-1-2
4.55
0-0-4
2.21
1-1-2
4.41
1-1-2
4.60
0-0-4
2.54
2-1-1
3.65
Heart of Midlothian
2-1-1
5.01
2-1-1
4.14
3-1-0
9.06
2-1-1
6.84
0-2-2
5.37
2-1-1
8.41
4-0-0
8.83
2-2-0
8.27
3-1-0
8.30
0-1-3
5.43
1-3-0
7.98
Hibernian
0-2-2
2.61
0-0-4
2.07
3-1-0
6.88
0-1-3
3.87
0-1-3
2.48
3-1-0
5.32
2-1-1
6.50
0-2-2
2.72
0-1-3
5.79
1-2-1
3.33
1-1-2
4.91
Motherwell
0-1-3
2.38
0-1-3
2.09
2-1-1
6.85
1-2-1
3.59
1-0-3
2.53
1-2-1
5.10
2-1-1
6.31
0-1-3
2.69
3-1-0
5.11
1-0-3
2.80
0-2-2
4.85
Rangers
1-2-1
5.19
2-1-1
4.37
4-0-0
9.09
3-0-1
6.89
2-1-1
5.16
4-0-0
7.90
4-0-0
8.53
3-1-0
5.49
1-2-1
7.66
3-0-1
8.22
4-0-0
8.18
St. Mirren
2-2-0
2.43
0-0-4
2.31
1-1-2
7.24
1-0-3
4.10
1-0-3
2.86
2-2-0
6.15
1-1-2
7.27
0-3-1
2.99
2-1-1
6.00
2-2-0
6.05
0-0-4
2.82

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.84 +7.6
Allowed 0.87 -6.9
Differential 0.98 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%10.98%5.87%3.60%1.70%0.95%31.44%
110.98%14.39%5.68%3.03%1.89%0.57%36.55%
25.87%5.68%2.27%1.52%0.38%0.19%15.91%
33.60%3.03%1.52%1.14%0.57%9.85%
41.70%1.89%0.38%3.98%
5+0.95%0.57%0.19%0.57%2.27%
Total31.44%36.55%15.91%9.85%3.98%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.91
CV 1.03 1.03
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 264

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%2.27%20.45%
115.91%22.73%4.55%43.18%
213.64%4.55%2.27%20.45%
32.27%4.55%2.27%9.09%
42.27%2.27%
5+4.55%4.55%
Total47.73%40.91%9.09%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.66 +0.77
SD 1.25 0.75 1.52
CV 0.87 1.13
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%2.27%11.36%
115.91%18.18%2.27%2.27%38.64%
26.82%4.55%2.27%2.27%15.91%
36.82%9.09%2.27%18.18%
42.27%4.55%2.27%9.09%
5+2.27%2.27%2.27%6.82%
Total34.09%47.73%11.36%4.55%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 0.93 +1.11
SD 1.68 0.93 1.83
CV 0.82 0.99
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.36%4.55%4.55%9.09%2.27%9.09%40.91%
16.82%13.64%9.09%4.55%6.82%40.91%
26.82%9.09%15.91%
32.27%2.27%
4
5+
Total18.18%25.00%13.64%25.00%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 2.11 -1.32
SD 0.79 1.62 1.84
CV 1.00 0.77
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%4.55%13.64%2.27%2.27%29.55%
16.82%13.64%4.55%2.27%2.27%29.55%
24.55%2.27%2.27%9.09%
311.36%2.27%4.55%18.18%
42.27%6.82%9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%
Total31.82%29.55%20.45%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.30 +0.39
SD 1.71 1.19 2.09
CV 1.02 0.92
Max 7 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.82%4.55%2.27%22.73%
19.09%13.64%4.55%27.27%
215.91%13.64%4.55%34.09%
34.55%2.27%4.55%11.36%
42.27%2.27%
5+2.27%2.27%
Total40.91%38.64%18.18%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.82 +0.68
SD 1.17 0.81 1.49
CV 0.78 1.00
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.36%20.45%6.82%4.55%6.82%50.00%
16.82%6.82%11.36%4.55%2.27%31.82%
22.27%9.09%2.27%2.27%15.91%
32.27%2.27%
4
5+
Total20.45%36.36%20.45%11.36%9.09%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.59 -0.89
SD 0.82 1.32 1.50
CV 1.17 0.83
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%11.36%9.09%2.27%45.45%
14.55%9.09%13.64%2.27%4.55%2.27%36.36%
22.27%2.27%4.55%
32.27%2.27%2.27%4.55%11.36%
42.27%2.27%
5+
Total15.91%25.00%29.55%15.91%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 2.11 -1.23
SD 1.08 1.86 1.84
CV 1.22 0.88
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.36%2.27%4.55%4.55%22.73%
120.45%15.91%2.27%4.55%43.18%
26.82%4.55%2.27%13.64%
34.55%6.82%2.27%13.64%
44.55%4.55%
5+2.27%2.27%
Total43.18%31.82%13.64%9.09%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.98 +0.48
SD 1.41 1.15 1.92
CV 0.97 1.18
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%13.64%4.55%6.82%2.27%34.09%
16.82%18.18%6.82%6.82%4.55%2.27%45.45%
22.27%4.55%4.55%11.36%
32.27%2.27%4.55%
44.55%4.55%
5+
Total15.91%43.18%18.18%13.64%6.82%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.59 -0.59
SD 1.03 1.24 1.69
CV 1.03 0.78
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%18.18%9.09%6.82%40.91%
19.09%15.91%2.27%4.55%2.27%34.09%
22.27%2.27%4.55%2.27%2.27%13.64%
34.55%4.55%9.09%
42.27%2.27%
5+
Total22.73%38.64%20.45%6.82%11.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.98 1.45 -0.48
SD 1.07 1.25 1.69
CV 1.09 0.86
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%6.82%13.64%
115.91%9.09%2.27%2.27%29.55%
220.45%6.82%2.27%29.55%
39.09%2.27%11.36%
46.82%2.27%9.09%
5+2.27%2.27%2.27%6.82%
Total61.36%29.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 0.52 +1.41
SD 1.40 0.79 1.63
CV 0.73 1.52
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 44

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.36%22.73%6.82%4.55%45.45%
113.64%15.91%4.55%4.55%38.64%
26.82%6.82%
34.55%2.27%6.82%
42.27%2.27%
5+
Total25.00%52.27%11.36%9.09%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.16 -0.34
SD 0.99 1.14 1.36
CV 1.22 0.98
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 44

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 69 54.91 +14.09
2 Dundee United 60 56.99 +3.01
3 Dundee 48 46.58 +1.42
4 Motherwell 34 33.34 +0.66
5 Celtic 63 62.41 +0.59

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Falkirk 26 34.09 -8.09
2 Hamilton Academical 21 27.95 -6.95
3 Hibernian 33 34.87 -1.87
4 Clydebank 24 25.68 -1.68
5 St. Mirren 36 37.30 -1.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 6 Jan 6 – Feb 28 1 in 70
2 Rangers 7 Dec 13 – Jan 17 1 in 39
3 Celtic 7 Sep 20 – Oct 29 1 in 29
4 Heart of Midlothian 4 Aug 30 – Sep 20 1 in 18
5 St. Mirren 3 Sep 13 – Sep 27 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Falkirk 11 Dec 13 – Mar 7 1 in 3,815
2 Hamilton Academical 7 Sep 20 – Oct 25 1 in 83
3 Celtic 2 May 2 – May 9 1 in 77
4 St. Mirren 3 Jan 6 – Jan 24 1 in 32
5 Aberdeen 2 Feb 25 – Feb 28 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Clydebank 4 Mar 24 – Apr 11 1 in 50
2 Rangers 19 Nov 29 – Mar 28 1 in 48
3 Aberdeen 15 Nov 19 – Feb 21 1 in 42
4 Hibernian 5 Feb 7 – Mar 21 1 in 32
5 Hamilton Academical 4 Nov 22 – Dec 6 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 7 Mar 7 – Apr 18 1 in 217
2 Hamilton Academical 19 Aug 9 – Nov 22 1 in 133
3 Falkirk 16 Dec 13 – Apr 14 1 in 111
4 Dundee 6 Nov 15 – Dec 6 1 in 46
5 Aberdeen 4 Mar 28 – Apr 18 1 in 36

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Rangers7.20%15.01%20.28%22.57%25.84%8.22%0.74%0.14%
Celtic55.53%22.08%12.43%6.69%2.91%0.35%0.01%
Dundee United11.86%20.66%23.08%22.02%17.33%4.68%0.33%0.02%0.02%
Aberdeen18.15%26.34%22.07%17.67%12.53%3.10%0.13%0.01%
Heart of Midlothian7.16%15.17%19.71%25.32%24.74%7.29%0.58%0.03%
Dundee0.10%0.74%2.39%5.43%15.17%59.91%11.20%3.46%1.21%0.36%0.03%
St. Mirren0.04%0.13%0.94%8.02%35.93%23.93%15.85%9.82%4.19%1.15%
Motherwell0.05%0.14%2.17%13.50%20.01%23.81%21.64%13.12%5.56%
Hibernian0.10%0.20%3.72%19.44%24.51%21.84%17.62%9.07%3.50%
Falkirk0.02%0.19%2.38%15.58%21.07%22.92%21.35%12.03%4.46%
Clydebank0.04%0.63%2.07%5.17%11.06%26.78%54.25%
Hamilton Academical0.01%0.12%1.93%4.75%9.18%18.15%34.78%31.08%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.77%
Slight Edge
44.32%26.14%29.55%
Elo Value
Home Edge
188 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
051.70500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
7%
Rangers, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.97 * Some Luck: 3.97 to 5.95 * Lucky: 5.95 to 7.94 * Wild Swing: 7.94 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.87 * Close: 0.87 to 1.3 * Off: 1.3 to 1.74 * Way Off: 1.74 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.26 points
Some Luck
04.9612
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Close
01.092.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.87%
Rangers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.32%
Falkirk
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.55
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.11
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.82
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.88
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.050
Well Within Noise
00.1020.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Rangers 100%
Dundee 99.97% 0.03%
St. Mirren 94.66% 5.34%
Hibernian 87.43% 12.57%
Falkirk 83.51% 16.49%
Motherwell 81.32% 18.68%
Hamilton Academical 34.14% 65.86%
Clydebank 18.97% 81.03%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1986-08-09 Dundee W 1-0 1881 1735 61.3% 25.8% 12.8% +3.8 2
1986-08-09 @ Celtic L 0-1 1735 1881 12.8% 25.8% 61.3% -3.8 0
1986-08-09 Aberdeen W 2-1 1831 1862 42.5% 27.7% 29.8% +7.3 2
1986-08-09 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1862 1831 29.8% 27.7% 42.5% -7.3 0
1986-08-09 Motherwell D 1-1 1690 1631 53.3% 27.1% 19.6% -1.7 1
1986-08-09 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1631 1690 19.6% 27.1% 53.3% +1.7 1
1986-08-09 Clydebank L 0-1 1658 1569 56.2% 26.8% 17.0% -12.8 0
1986-08-09 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1569 1658 17.0% 26.8% 56.2% +12.8 2
1986-08-09 Rangers W 2-1 1696 1738 41.1% 27.7% 31.1% +7.5 2
1986-08-09 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1738 1696 31.1% 27.7% 41.1% -7.5 0
1986-08-09 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1660 1849 22.4% 26.8% 50.8% +1.6 1
1986-08-09 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1849 1660 50.8% 26.8% 22.4% -1.6 1
1986-08-13 Hibernian W 4-0 1855 1704 61.7% 25.7% 12.6% +13.5 2
1986-08-13 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1704 1855 12.6% 25.7% 61.7% -13.5 2
1986-08-13 Dundee United D 0-0 1582 1838 16.3% 25.7% 58.0% +2.4 3
1986-08-13 @ Clydebank D 0-0 1838 1582 58.0% 25.7% 16.3% -2.4 3
1986-08-13 St. Mirren W 2-1 1731 1662 54.3% 27.0% 18.7% +5.0 2
1986-08-13 @ Dundee L 1-2 1662 1731 18.7% 27.0% 54.3% -5.0 1
1986-08-13 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1847 1645 65.5% 24.7% 9.8% +3.0 3
1986-08-13 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1645 1847 9.8% 24.7% 65.5% -3.0 0
1986-08-13 Celtic L 0-4 1632 1885 16.6% 25.8% 57.6% -17.0 1
1986-08-13 @ Motherwell W 4-0 1885 1632 57.6% 25.8% 16.6% +17.0 4
1986-08-13 Falkirk W 1-0 1731 1688 51.4% 27.3% 21.3% +5.9 2
1986-08-13 @ Rangers L 0-1 1688 1731 21.3% 27.3% 51.4% -5.9 1
1986-08-16 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1868 1642 67.1% 24.1% 8.7% +5.0 4
1986-08-16 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1642 1868 8.7% 24.1% 67.1% -5.0 0
1986-08-16 Celtic L 0-1 1584 1902 12.2% 24.4% 63.4% -3.6 3
1986-08-16 @ Clydebank W 1-0 1902 1584 63.4% 24.4% 12.2% +3.5 6
1986-08-16 Hibernian W 3-0 1736 1690 51.8% 27.3% 20.9% +16.0 4
1986-08-16 @ Dundee L 0-3 1690 1736 20.9% 27.3% 51.8% -16.0 2
1986-08-16 Falkirk W 1-0 1850 1683 63.0% 25.4% 11.6% +3.5 5
1986-08-16 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1683 1850 11.6% 25.4% 63.0% -3.5 1
1986-08-16 St. Mirren D 1-1 1615 1656 41.2% 27.7% 31.1% -0.5 2
1986-08-16 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1656 1615 31.1% 27.7% 41.2% +0.5 2
1986-08-16 Dundee United L 2-3 1737 1836 33.1% 27.6% 39.2% -7.4 2
1986-08-16 @ Rangers W 3-2 1836 1737 39.2% 27.6% 33.1% +7.4 5
1986-08-23 Aberdeen D 1-1 1906 1873 50.4% 27.4% 22.3% -1.4 7
1986-08-23 @ Celtic D 1-1 1873 1906 22.3% 27.4% 50.4% +1.4 5
1986-08-23 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1843 1854 45.2% 27.6% 27.2% +7.2 7
1986-08-23 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1854 1843 27.2% 27.6% 45.2% -7.2 5
1986-08-23 Dundee L 0-1 1679 1752 36.8% 27.7% 35.5% -9.0 1
1986-08-23 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1752 1679 35.5% 27.7% 36.8% +9.0 6
1986-08-23 Rangers L 1-2 1637 1729 34.1% 27.6% 38.3% -8.0 0
1986-08-23 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1729 1637 38.3% 27.6% 34.1% +8.0 4
1986-08-23 Motherwell D 0-0 1674 1615 53.3% 27.1% 19.6% -1.9 3
1986-08-23 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1615 1674 19.6% 27.1% 53.3% +1.9 3
1986-08-23 Clydebank L 0-1 1657 1580 55.0% 26.9% 18.1% -12.6 2
1986-08-23 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1580 1657 18.1% 26.9% 55.0% +12.6 5
1986-08-30 Dundee W 2-0 1875 1761 58.5% 26.4% 15.1% +8.4 7
1986-08-30 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1761 1875 15.1% 26.4% 58.5% -8.4 6
1986-08-30 Falkirk L 1-2 1593 1670 36.2% 27.7% 36.1% -8.4 5
1986-08-30 @ Clydebank W 2-1 1670 1593 36.1% 27.7% 36.2% +8.4 3
1986-08-30 St. Mirren W 3-0 1850 1644 65.8% 24.6% 9.6% +8.0 9
1986-08-30 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1644 1850 9.6% 24.6% 65.8% -8.0 2
1986-08-30 Motherwell L 0-3 1629 1617 48.0% 27.5% 24.5% -30.5 0
1986-08-30 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1617 1629 24.5% 27.5% 48.0% +30.5 5
1986-08-30 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1673 1846 24.0% 27.0% 49.0% -10.6 3
1986-08-30 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1846 1673 49.0% 27.0% 24.0% +10.6 7
1986-08-31 Celtic W 1-0 1737 1904 24.7% 27.1% 48.2% +11.1 6
1986-08-31 @ Rangers L 0-1 1904 1737 48.2% 27.1% 24.7% -11.1 7
1986-09-06 Hamilton Academical W 4-1 1893 1598 71.3% 22.4% 6.3% +4.3 9
1986-09-06 @ Celtic L 1-4 1598 1893 6.3% 22.4% 71.3% -4.3 0
1986-09-06 Dundee United L 0-2 1753 1858 32.3% 27.6% 40.1% -15.4 6
1986-09-06 @ Dundee W 2-0 1858 1753 40.1% 27.6% 32.3% +15.4 11
1986-09-06 Hibernian D 1-1 1678 1662 48.5% 27.5% 24.0% -1.2 4
1986-09-06 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1662 1678 24.0% 27.5% 48.5% +1.2 4
1986-09-06 Clydebank W 2-1 1857 1585 70.0% 23.0% 7.0% +2.0 9
1986-09-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1585 1857 7.0% 23.0% 70.0% -2.0 5
1986-09-06 Rangers L 0-2 1647 1748 32.9% 27.6% 39.5% -15.6 5
1986-09-06 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1748 1647 39.5% 27.6% 32.9% +15.6 8
1986-09-06 Aberdeen D 1-1 1636 1883 17.1% 25.9% 57.0% +2.1 3
1986-09-06 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1883 1636 57.0% 25.9% 17.1% -2.1 8
1986-09-13 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1881 1859 49.1% 27.5% 23.4% -11.4 8
1986-09-13 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1859 1881 23.4% 27.5% 49.1% +11.3 11
1986-09-13 Celtic D 2-2 1874 1898 43.5% 27.7% 28.8% -0.5 12
1986-09-13 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1898 1874 28.8% 27.7% 43.5% +0.5 10
1986-09-13 Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1677 1594 55.7% 26.8% 17.5% -2.2 5
1986-09-13 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1594 1677 17.5% 26.8% 55.7% +2.2 1
1986-09-13 St. Mirren L 0-1 1663 1638 49.5% 27.4% 23.1% -11.4 4
1986-09-13 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1638 1663 23.1% 27.4% 49.5% +11.4 5
1986-09-13 Dundee D 0-0 1632 1737 32.2% 27.6% 40.2% +0.4 6
1986-09-13 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1737 1632 40.2% 27.6% 32.2% -0.4 7
1986-09-13 Clydebank W 4-0 1764 1583 64.0% 25.1% 10.8% +11.7 10
1986-09-13 @ Rangers L 0-4 1583 1764 10.8% 25.1% 64.0% -11.7 5
1986-09-20 Hibernian W 5-1 1898 1652 68.4% 23.7% 7.9% +7.1 12
1986-09-20 @ Celtic L 1-5 1652 1898 7.9% 23.7% 68.4% -7.1 4
1986-09-20 Aberdeen L 1-3 1571 1870 13.4% 24.9% 61.8% -6.3 5
1986-09-20 @ Clydebank W 3-1 1870 1571 61.8% 24.9% 13.4% +6.3 10
1986-09-20 Rangers W 1-0 1737 1776 41.5% 27.7% 30.7% +7.9 9
1986-09-20 @ Dundee L 0-1 1776 1737 30.7% 27.7% 41.5% -7.9 10
1986-09-20 Dundee United L 1-5 1596 1873 14.8% 25.3% 59.9% -12.8 1
1986-09-20 @ Hamilton Academical W 5-1 1873 1596 59.9% 25.3% 14.8% +12.8 14
1986-09-20 Motherwell W 4-0 1870 1632 67.9% 23.9% 8.2% +8.9 13
1986-09-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1632 1870 8.2% 23.9% 67.9% -8.9 6
1986-09-20 Falkirk W 1-0 1650 1675 43.3% 27.7% 29.0% +7.5 7
1986-09-20 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1675 1650 29.0% 27.7% 43.3% -7.5 5
1986-09-27 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1745 1879 28.6% 27.4% 44.1% +0.8 10
1986-09-27 @ Dundee D 0-0 1879 1745 44.1% 27.4% 28.6% -0.8 14
1986-09-27 Celtic L 0-1 1667 1905 17.9% 26.0% 56.1% -5.1 5
1986-09-27 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1905 1667 56.1% 26.0% 17.9% +5.0 14
1986-09-27 Dundee United D 1-1 1645 1886 17.6% 26.0% 56.5% +2.0 5
1986-09-27 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1886 1645 56.5% 26.0% 17.6% -2.0 15
1986-09-27 Clydebank L 0-1 1623 1565 53.2% 27.1% 19.7% -12.2 6
1986-09-27 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1565 1623 19.7% 27.1% 53.2% +12.2 7
1986-09-27 Aberdeen W 2-0 1768 1876 31.9% 27.6% 40.5% +18.2 12
1986-09-27 @ Rangers L 0-2 1876 1768 40.5% 27.6% 31.9% -18.2 10
1986-09-27 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1657 1583 54.8% 26.9% 18.3% +4.9 9
1986-09-27 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1583 1657 18.3% 26.9% 54.8% -4.9 1
1986-10-04 Motherwell D 2-2 1858 1611 68.4% 23.7% 7.9% -2.5 11
1986-10-04 @ Aberdeen D 2-2 1611 1858 7.9% 23.7% 68.4% +2.5 7
1986-10-04 St. Mirren W 2-0 1910 1662 68.5% 23.6% 7.9% +4.5 16
1986-10-04 @ Celtic L 0-2 1662 1910 7.9% 23.6% 68.5% -4.5 9
1986-10-04 Dundee L 0-2 1577 1746 24.5% 27.0% 48.4% -12.4 7
1986-10-04 @ Clydebank W 2-0 1746 1577 48.4% 27.0% 24.5% +12.4 12
1986-10-04 Falkirk W 2-0 1884 1662 66.8% 24.3% 8.9% +5.1 17
1986-10-04 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1662 1884 8.9% 24.3% 66.8% -5.1 5
1986-10-04 Hibernian L 1-4 1579 1647 37.5% 27.7% 34.8% -21.1 1
1986-10-04 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-1 1647 1579 34.8% 27.7% 37.5% +21.1 7
1986-10-04 Rangers D 1-1 1878 1786 56.6% 26.7% 16.7% -2.1 15
1986-10-04 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1786 1878 16.7% 26.7% 56.6% +2.1 13
1986-10-08 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1915 1876 51.0% 27.3% 21.7% +11.4 18
1986-10-08 @ Celtic L 0-2 1876 1915 21.7% 27.3% 51.0% -11.3 15
1986-10-08 Motherwell W 4-0 1889 1613 70.2% 22.9% 6.9% +7.4 19
1986-10-08 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1613 1889 6.9% 22.9% 70.2% -7.4 7
1986-10-08 Aberdeen D 3-3 1657 1855 21.5% 26.7% 51.8% +1.0 6
1986-10-08 @ Falkirk D 3-3 1855 1657 51.8% 26.7% 21.5% -0.9 12
1986-10-08 Dundee L 0-3 1557 1758 21.2% 26.6% 52.1% -16.0 1
1986-10-08 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1758 1557 52.1% 26.6% 21.2% +16.1 14
1986-10-08 Clydebank W 3-2 1668 1564 57.6% 26.5% 15.8% +4.1 9
1986-10-08 @ Hibernian L 2-3 1564 1668 15.8% 26.5% 57.6% -4.2 7
1986-10-08 Rangers L 0-1 1658 1788 29.1% 27.4% 43.5% -7.5 9
1986-10-08 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1788 1658 43.5% 27.4% 29.1% +7.5 15
1986-10-11 Dundee United W 2-0 1854 1896 41.1% 27.7% 31.2% +15.0 14
1986-10-11 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1896 1854 31.2% 27.7% 41.1% -15.0 19
1986-10-11 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1560 1541 48.8% 27.5% 23.8% +6.1 9
1986-10-11 @ Clydebank L 1-2 1541 1560 23.8% 27.5% 48.8% -6.1 1
1986-10-11 Celtic L 0-3 1774 1926 26.5% 27.2% 46.3% -19.2 14
1986-10-11 @ Dundee W 3-0 1926 1774 46.3% 27.2% 26.5% +19.2 20
1986-10-11 St. Mirren D 0-0 1865 1650 66.3% 24.4% 9.2% -3.5 16
1986-10-11 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1650 1865 9.2% 24.4% 66.3% +3.5 10
1986-10-11 Falkirk D 2-2 1606 1658 39.7% 27.7% 32.6% -0.2 8
1986-10-11 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1658 1606 32.6% 27.7% 39.7% +0.2 7
1986-10-11 Hibernian W 3-0 1796 1672 59.4% 26.2% 14.4% +11.6 17
1986-10-11 @ Rangers L 0-3 1672 1796 14.4% 26.2% 59.4% -11.6 9
1986-10-18 Motherwell W 3-1 1945 1606 73.7% 21.2% 5.1% +2.4 22
1986-10-18 @ Celtic L 1-3 1606 1945 5.1% 21.2% 73.7% -2.4 8
1986-10-18 Clydebank W 2-0 1881 1566 72.4% 21.9% 5.7% +3.2 21
1986-10-18 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1566 1881 5.7% 21.9% 72.4% -3.2 9
1986-10-18 Rangers L 1-5 1659 1807 26.8% 27.3% 45.9% -21.1 7
1986-10-18 @ Falkirk W 5-1 1807 1659 45.9% 27.3% 26.8% +21.1 19
1986-10-18 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1535 1861 11.8% 24.2% 64.0% -5.6 1
1986-10-18 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1861 1535 64.0% 24.2% 11.8% +5.6 18
1986-10-18 Aberdeen D 1-1 1660 1869 20.4% 26.5% 53.1% +1.7 10
1986-10-18 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1869 1660 53.1% 26.5% 20.4% -1.7 15
1986-10-18 Dundee W 4-1 1654 1755 32.9% 27.6% 39.5% +21.9 12
1986-10-18 @ St. Mirren L 1-4 1755 1654 39.5% 27.6% 32.9% -21.9 14
1986-10-25 St. Mirren D 1-1 1563 1676 31.3% 27.5% 41.1% +0.5 10
1986-10-25 @ Clydebank D 1-1 1676 1563 41.1% 27.5% 31.3% -0.5 13
1986-10-25 Falkirk W 3-0 1733 1637 56.9% 26.7% 16.5% +13.1 16
1986-10-25 @ Dundee L 0-3 1637 1733 16.5% 26.7% 56.9% -13.1 7
1986-10-25 Dundee United D 2-2 1867 1884 44.3% 27.7% 28.0% -0.6 19
1986-10-25 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1884 1867 28.0% 27.7% 44.3% +0.6 22
1986-10-25 Hibernian W 4-1 1603 1662 38.8% 27.7% 33.4% +19.4 10
1986-10-25 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1662 1603 33.4% 27.7% 38.8% -19.4 10
1986-10-25 Aberdeen L 0-1 1530 1868 11.1% 24.0% 64.9% -3.2 1
1986-10-25 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1868 1530 64.9% 24.0% 11.1% +3.2 17
1986-10-29 Clydebank W 6-0 1948 1564 75.9% 20.0% 4.1% +6.1 24
1986-10-29 @ Celtic L 0-6 1564 1948 4.1% 20.0% 75.9% -6.1 10
1986-10-29 Rangers D 0-0 1885 1828 53.0% 27.1% 19.9% -1.9 23
1986-10-29 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1828 1885 19.9% 27.1% 53.0% +1.9 20
1986-10-29 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1624 1866 17.5% 26.0% 56.5% +24.1 9
1986-10-29 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1866 1624 56.5% 26.0% 17.5% -24.1 19
1986-10-29 Dundee L 0-3 1643 1746 32.5% 27.6% 39.9% -22.5 10
1986-10-29 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1746 1643 39.9% 27.6% 32.5% +22.5 18
1986-10-29 Motherwell W 1-0 1675 1623 52.6% 27.2% 20.3% +5.7 15
1986-10-29 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1623 1675 20.3% 27.2% 52.6% -5.7 10
1986-11-01 Rangers D 1-1 1954 1830 59.4% 26.2% 14.4% -2.4 25
1986-11-01 @ Celtic D 1-1 1830 1954 14.4% 26.2% 59.4% +2.4 21
1986-11-01 Aberdeen L 0-2 1769 1871 32.7% 27.6% 39.7% -15.6 18
1986-11-01 @ Dundee W 2-0 1871 1769 39.7% 27.6% 32.7% +15.6 19
1986-11-01 Clydebank W 1-0 1648 1558 56.4% 26.7% 16.8% +4.9 11
1986-11-01 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1558 1648 16.8% 26.7% 56.4% -4.9 10
1986-11-01 Hibernian D 1-1 1842 1620 66.9% 24.2% 8.9% -3.2 20
1986-11-01 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1620 1842 8.9% 24.2% 66.9% +3.2 11
1986-11-01 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1617 1526 56.4% 26.7% 16.9% -2.1 11
1986-11-01 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1526 1617 16.9% 26.7% 56.4% +2.1 2
1986-11-01 Dundee United L 0-1 1681 1883 21.1% 26.6% 52.3% -5.8 15
1986-11-01 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1883 1681 52.3% 26.6% 21.1% +5.8 25
1986-11-08 St. Mirren D 0-0 1886 1675 66.1% 24.5% 9.4% -3.5 20
1986-11-08 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1675 1886 9.4% 24.5% 66.1% +3.5 16
1986-11-08 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1553 1839 14.2% 25.1% 60.7% -11.2 10
1986-11-08 @ Clydebank W 3-0 1839 1553 60.7% 25.1% 14.2% +11.2 22
1986-11-08 Dundee L 0-3 1889 1753 60.5% 26.0% 13.5% -37.6 25
1986-11-08 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1753 1889 13.5% 26.0% 60.5% +37.6 20
1986-11-08 Celtic L 1-2 1529 1951 7.4% 21.8% 70.8% -2.0 2
1986-11-08 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1951 1529 70.8% 21.8% 7.4% +2.0 27
1986-11-08 Falkirk W 1-0 1623 1653 42.7% 27.7% 29.6% +7.7 13
1986-11-08 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1653 1623 29.6% 27.7% 42.7% -7.7 11
1986-11-08 Motherwell L 0-1 1833 1615 66.5% 24.3% 9.1% -15.0 21
1986-11-08 @ Rangers W 1-0 1615 1833 9.1% 24.3% 66.5% +15.0 13
1986-11-15 Dundee United W 1-0 1953 1851 57.5% 26.6% 16.0% +4.7 29
1986-11-15 @ Celtic L 0-1 1851 1953 16.0% 26.6% 57.5% -4.7 25
1986-11-15 Rangers L 1-4 1541 1818 14.9% 25.3% 59.8% -9.9 10
1986-11-15 @ Clydebank W 4-1 1818 1541 59.8% 25.3% 14.9% +9.9 23
1986-11-15 Motherwell D 1-1 1791 1630 62.5% 25.6% 12.0% -2.7 21
1986-11-15 @ Dundee D 1-1 1630 1791 12.0% 25.6% 62.5% +2.7 14
1986-11-15 Falkirk L 1-2 1527 1646 30.5% 27.5% 42.0% -7.4 2
1986-11-15 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1646 1527 42.0% 27.5% 30.5% +7.4 13
1986-11-15 Aberdeen W 2-1 1850 1883 42.4% 27.7% 29.9% +7.3 24
1986-11-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1883 1850 29.9% 27.7% 42.4% -7.3 20
1986-11-15 Hibernian W 3-1 1679 1631 52.0% 27.2% 20.7% +9.5 18
1986-11-15 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1631 1679 20.7% 27.2% 52.0% -9.5 13
1986-11-19 Clydebank W 5-0 1876 1532 73.9% 21.1% 5.0% +6.3 22
1986-11-19 @ Aberdeen L 0-5 1532 1876 5.0% 21.1% 73.9% -6.3 10
1986-11-19 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1847 1519 73.1% 21.6% 5.4% +4.3 27
1986-11-19 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1519 1847 5.4% 21.6% 73.1% -4.3 2
1986-11-19 St. Mirren D 1-1 1653 1688 42.0% 27.7% 30.3% -0.5 14
1986-11-19 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1688 1653 30.3% 27.7% 42.0% +0.6 19
1986-11-19 Celtic L 0-1 1621 1958 11.2% 24.0% 64.8% -3.3 13
1986-11-19 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1958 1621 64.8% 24.0% 11.2% +3.3 31
1986-11-19 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1633 1858 19.0% 26.3% 54.8% -4.8 14
1986-11-19 @ Motherwell W 3-2 1858 1633 54.8% 26.3% 19.0% +4.8 26
1986-11-19 Dundee W 2-1 1827 1788 51.1% 27.3% 21.6% +5.6 25
1986-11-19 @ Rangers L 1-2 1788 1827 21.6% 27.3% 51.1% -5.7 21
1986-11-22 Rangers W 1-0 1882 1833 52.2% 27.2% 20.6% +5.8 24
1986-11-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1833 1882 20.6% 27.2% 52.2% -5.8 25
1986-11-22 Falkirk W 4-2 1961 1652 72.1% 22.1% 5.9% +2.5 33
1986-11-22 @ Celtic L 2-4 1652 1961 5.9% 22.1% 72.1% -2.5 14
1986-11-22 Motherwell L 2-3 1525 1628 32.6% 27.6% 39.8% -7.4 10
1986-11-22 @ Clydebank W 3-2 1628 1525 39.8% 27.6% 32.6% +7.4 16
1986-11-22 Hibernian W 1-0 1851 1618 67.6% 24.0% 8.5% +2.5 29
1986-11-22 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1618 1851 8.5% 24.0% 67.6% -2.6 13
1986-11-22 St. Mirren D 1-1 1515 1689 24.0% 27.0% 49.0% +1.2 3
1986-11-22 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1689 1515 49.0% 27.0% 24.0% -1.2 20
1986-11-22 Dundee W 3-1 1862 1782 55.4% 26.9% 17.8% +8.3 28
1986-11-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1782 1862 17.8% 26.9% 55.4% -8.3 21
1986-11-26 Celtic D 1-1 1888 1964 36.4% 27.7% 35.9% -0.0 25
1986-11-26 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1964 1888 35.9% 27.7% 36.4% +0.0 34
1986-11-29 Clydebank D 3-3 1774 1518 69.0% 23.4% 7.5% -2.1 22
1986-11-29 @ Dundee D 3-3 1518 1774 7.5% 23.4% 69.0% +2.1 11
1986-11-29 Dundee United W 2-1 1650 1854 20.9% 26.6% 52.5% +11.3 16
1986-11-29 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1854 1650 52.5% 26.6% 20.9% -11.3 29
1986-11-29 Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1616 1516 57.2% 26.6% 16.2% -21.3 13
1986-11-29 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1516 1616 16.2% 26.6% 57.2% +21.3 5
1986-11-29 Aberdeen L 0-1 1635 1888 16.7% 25.8% 57.6% -4.8 16
1986-11-29 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1888 1635 57.6% 25.8% 16.7% +4.8 27
1986-11-29 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1827 1871 40.9% 27.7% 31.4% +21.9 27
1986-11-29 @ Rangers L 0-3 1871 1827 31.4% 27.7% 40.9% -21.9 28
1986-11-29 Celtic L 0-1 1688 1964 14.9% 25.3% 59.8% -4.3 20
1986-11-29 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1964 1688 59.8% 25.3% 14.9% +4.3 36
1986-12-03 Falkirk W 1-0 1892 1661 67.5% 24.0% 8.5% +2.6 29
1986-12-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1661 1892 8.5% 24.0% 67.5% -2.6 16
1986-12-03 Hibernian D 0-0 1520 1594 36.6% 27.7% 35.7% -0.0 12
1986-12-03 @ Clydebank D 0-0 1594 1520 35.7% 27.7% 36.6% +0.0 14
1986-12-03 Hamilton Academical D 3-3 1772 1537 67.7% 24.0% 8.4% -2.0 23
1986-12-03 @ Dundee D 3-3 1537 1772 8.4% 24.0% 67.7% +2.0 6
1986-12-03 Celtic W 1-0 1849 1968 30.5% 27.5% 42.0% +9.9 30
1986-12-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1968 1849 42.0% 27.5% 30.5% -9.9 36
1986-12-03 Dundee United L 0-2 1631 1842 20.2% 26.5% 53.4% -10.6 16
1986-12-03 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1842 1631 53.4% 26.5% 20.2% +10.6 31
1986-12-03 St. Mirren W 2-0 1849 1683 62.9% 25.4% 11.7% +6.6 29
1986-12-03 @ Rangers L 0-2 1683 1849 11.7% 25.4% 62.9% -6.6 20
1986-12-06 Dundee W 2-0 1958 1770 64.5% 25.0% 10.5% +6.0 38
1986-12-06 @ Celtic L 0-2 1770 1958 10.5% 25.0% 64.5% -6.0 23
1986-12-06 Aberdeen D 0-0 1853 1895 41.1% 27.7% 31.2% -0.5 32
1986-12-06 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1895 1853 31.2% 27.7% 41.1% +0.5 30
1986-12-06 Motherwell W 1-0 1659 1620 51.0% 27.3% 21.6% +6.0 18
1986-12-06 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1620 1659 21.6% 27.3% 51.0% -6.0 16
1986-12-06 Clydebank D 0-0 1539 1520 48.9% 27.5% 23.7% -1.4 7
1986-12-06 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1520 1539 23.7% 27.5% 48.9% +1.4 13
1986-12-06 Rangers D 0-0 1594 1856 16.0% 25.6% 58.4% +2.5 15
1986-12-06 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1856 1594 58.4% 25.6% 16.0% -2.5 30
1986-12-06 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1677 1859 23.1% 26.9% 50.0% +1.5 21
1986-12-06 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1859 1677 50.0% 26.9% 23.1% -1.5 31
1986-12-13 Hibernian W 1-0 1896 1597 71.5% 22.3% 6.2% +1.8 32
1986-12-13 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1597 1896 6.2% 22.3% 71.5% -1.8 15
1986-12-13 Dundee United L 1-2 1521 1852 11.5% 24.1% 64.4% -3.2 13
1986-12-13 @ Clydebank W 2-1 1852 1521 64.4% 24.1% 11.5% +3.2 34
1986-12-13 St. Mirren W 6-3 1764 1678 56.0% 26.8% 17.3% +9.2 25
1986-12-13 @ Dundee L 3-6 1678 1764 17.3% 26.8% 56.0% -9.2 21
1986-12-13 Hamilton Academical W 7-0 1857 1538 72.6% 21.8% 5.6% +10.0 33
1986-12-13 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-7 1538 1857 5.6% 21.8% 72.6% -10.0 7
1986-12-13 Celtic D 1-1 1614 1964 10.5% 23.7% 65.8% +3.0 17
1986-12-13 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1964 1614 65.8% 23.7% 10.5% -3.0 39
1986-12-13 Falkirk W 4-0 1853 1665 64.5% 25.0% 10.5% +11.3 32
1986-12-13 @ Rangers L 0-4 1665 1853 10.5% 25.0% 64.5% -11.3 18
1986-12-20 Aberdeen D 1-1 1961 1897 53.7% 27.1% 19.2% -1.8 40
1986-12-20 @ Celtic D 1-1 1897 1961 19.2% 27.1% 53.7% +1.8 33
1986-12-20 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1855 1867 45.1% 27.6% 27.3% +11.8 36
1986-12-20 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1867 1855 27.3% 27.6% 45.1% -11.8 33
1986-12-20 Rangers L 0-2 1528 1865 11.2% 24.0% 64.8% -6.2 7
1986-12-20 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1865 1528 64.8% 24.0% 11.2% +6.1 34
1986-12-20 Motherwell L 0-1 1595 1617 43.7% 27.7% 28.6% -10.3 15
1986-12-20 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1617 1595 28.6% 27.7% 43.7% +10.3 19
1986-12-20 Clydebank W 3-1 1669 1518 61.7% 25.8% 12.6% +6.1 23
1986-12-20 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1518 1669 12.6% 25.8% 61.7% -6.1 13
1986-12-27 Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1899 1522 75.6% 20.2% 4.2% -4.4 34
1986-12-27 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1522 1899 4.2% 20.2% 75.6% +4.4 8
1986-12-27 Celtic D 1-1 1512 1959 6.6% 21.1% 72.3% +3.6 14
1986-12-27 @ Clydebank D 1-1 1959 1512 72.3% 21.1% 6.6% -3.6 41
1986-12-27 Hibernian W 2-0 1773 1585 64.5% 25.0% 10.5% +5.9 27
1986-12-27 @ Dundee L 0-2 1585 1773 10.5% 25.0% 64.5% -6.0 15
1986-12-27 Falkirk W 4-0 1855 1653 65.5% 24.7% 9.8% +10.6 35
1986-12-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1653 1855 9.8% 24.7% 65.5% -10.6 18
1986-12-27 St. Mirren L 1-2 1627 1675 40.3% 27.7% 31.9% -9.1 19
1986-12-27 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1675 1627 31.9% 27.7% 40.3% +9.1 25
1986-12-27 Dundee United W 2-0 1871 1867 47.0% 27.6% 25.5% +12.9 36
1986-12-27 @ Rangers L 0-2 1867 1871 25.5% 27.6% 47.0% -12.9 36
1987-01-01 Dundee W 2-1 1895 1779 58.7% 26.4% 14.9% +4.1 36
1987-01-01 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1779 1895 14.9% 26.4% 58.7% -4.1 27
1987-01-01 Falkirk W 2-1 1516 1643 29.5% 27.4% 43.1% +9.6 16
1987-01-01 @ Clydebank L 1-2 1643 1516 43.1% 27.4% 29.5% -9.6 18
1987-01-01 Motherwell W 4-2 1526 1618 34.1% 27.6% 38.2% +13.5 10
1987-01-01 @ Hamilton Academical L 2-4 1618 1526 38.2% 27.6% 34.1% -13.5 19
1987-01-01 Celtic W 2-0 1884 1956 36.9% 27.7% 35.4% +16.5 38
1987-01-01 @ Rangers L 0-2 1956 1884 35.4% 27.7% 36.9% -16.5 41
1987-01-03 Hamilton Academical W 8-3 1939 1540 76.7% 19.5% 3.8% +3.0 43
1987-01-03 @ Celtic L 3-8 1540 1939 3.8% 19.5% 76.7% -3.0 10
1987-01-03 Hibernian L 1-3 1633 1579 52.8% 27.2% 20.1% -19.8 18
1987-01-03 @ Falkirk W 3-1 1579 1633 20.1% 27.2% 52.8% +19.8 17
1987-01-03 Clydebank W 3-0 1866 1525 73.8% 21.2% 5.1% +4.0 37
1987-01-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1525 1866 5.1% 21.2% 73.8% -4.0 16
1987-01-06 Rangers L 0-1 1605 1900 13.6% 24.9% 61.5% -3.9 19
1987-01-06 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1900 1605 61.5% 24.9% 13.6% +3.9 40
1987-01-06 St. Mirren W 2-0 1854 1684 63.2% 25.4% 11.4% +6.5 38
1987-01-06 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1684 1854 11.4% 25.4% 63.2% -6.5 25
1987-01-06 Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1599 1870 15.2% 25.4% 59.4% +1.7 18
1987-01-06 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1870 1599 59.4% 25.4% 15.2% -1.7 38
1987-01-10 Celtic W 3-2 1861 1942 35.6% 27.7% 36.7% +8.0 40
1987-01-10 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1942 1861 36.7% 27.7% 35.6% -8.0 43
1987-01-10 St. Mirren W 1-0 1600 1678 36.2% 27.7% 36.1% +8.9 20
1987-01-10 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1678 1600 36.1% 27.7% 36.2% -8.9 25
1987-01-10 Clydebank W 5-0 1904 1521 75.9% 20.0% 4.1% +5.2 42
1987-01-10 @ Rangers L 0-5 1521 1904 4.1% 20.0% 75.9% -5.2 16
1987-01-17 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1909 1537 75.4% 20.3% 4.3% +2.3 44
1987-01-17 @ Rangers L 0-2 1537 1909 4.3% 20.3% 75.4% -2.3 10
1987-01-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1899 1868 50.1% 27.4% 22.5% +5.8 38
1987-01-21 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1868 1899 22.5% 27.4% 50.1% -5.8 38
1987-01-21 Hibernian W 1-0 1934 1609 73.0% 21.6% 5.4% +1.6 45
1987-01-21 @ Celtic L 0-1 1609 1934 5.4% 21.6% 73.0% -1.6 20
1987-01-24 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1775 1862 34.8% 27.7% 37.6% -8.6 27
1987-01-24 @ Dundee W 1-0 1862 1775 37.6% 27.7% 34.8% +8.6 40
1987-01-24 Celtic L 1-2 1613 1936 12.0% 24.3% 63.7% -3.3 18
1987-01-24 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1936 1613 63.7% 24.3% 12.0% +3.3 47
1987-01-24 Dundee United L 0-2 1608 1869 16.0% 25.6% 58.4% -8.6 20
1987-01-24 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1869 1608 58.4% 25.6% 16.0% +8.6 42
1987-01-24 Clydebank W 3-2 1601 1516 55.9% 26.8% 17.3% +4.5 21
1987-01-24 @ Motherwell L 2-3 1516 1601 17.3% 26.8% 55.9% -4.5 16
1987-01-24 Aberdeen D 0-0 1912 1905 47.4% 27.6% 25.1% -1.2 45
1987-01-24 @ Rangers D 0-0 1905 1912 25.1% 27.6% 47.4% +1.2 39
1987-01-24 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1669 1535 60.3% 26.0% 13.6% -13.7 25
1987-01-24 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1535 1669 13.6% 26.0% 60.3% +13.7 12
1987-01-27 Dundee W 2-0 1605 1766 25.4% 27.1% 47.5% +20.7 23
1987-01-27 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1766 1605 47.5% 27.1% 25.4% -20.7 27
1987-01-27 Aberdeen L 0-5 1511 1906 8.5% 22.5% 69.0% -10.9 16
1987-01-27 @ Clydebank W 5-0 1906 1511 69.0% 22.5% 8.5% +10.9 41
1987-01-27 Falkirk W 1-0 1655 1610 51.7% 27.3% 21.0% +5.9 27
1987-01-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1610 1655 21.0% 27.3% 51.7% -5.9 18
1987-02-07 Motherwell W 1-0 1917 1626 71.1% 22.5% 6.4% +1.9 43
1987-02-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1626 1917 6.4% 22.5% 71.1% -1.9 23
1987-02-07 St. Mirren W 3-0 1939 1661 70.3% 22.9% 6.8% +5.6 49
1987-02-07 @ Celtic L 0-3 1661 1939 6.8% 22.9% 70.3% -5.6 27
1987-02-07 Dundee D 1-1 1501 1746 17.2% 25.9% 56.8% +2.1 17
1987-02-07 @ Clydebank D 1-1 1746 1501 56.8% 25.9% 17.2% -2.0 28
1987-02-07 Falkirk W 2-1 1878 1604 70.0% 23.0% 7.0% +2.0 44
1987-02-07 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1604 1878 7.0% 23.0% 70.0% -2.0 18
1987-02-07 Hibernian L 0-1 1548 1599 39.9% 27.7% 32.4% -9.6 12
1987-02-07 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1599 1548 32.4% 27.7% 39.9% +9.6 22
1987-02-07 Rangers L 2-5 1871 1910 41.4% 27.7% 30.8% -19.7 40
1987-02-07 @ Heart of Midlothian W 5-2 1910 1871 30.8% 27.7% 41.4% +19.7 47
1987-02-14 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1945 1851 56.7% 26.7% 16.7% -2.1 50
1987-02-14 @ Celtic D 1-1 1851 1945 16.7% 26.7% 56.7% +2.1 41
1987-02-14 Motherwell W 2-0 1879 1624 69.0% 23.4% 7.6% +4.3 46
1987-02-14 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1624 1879 7.6% 23.4% 69.0% -4.3 23
1987-02-14 Dundee D 1-1 1539 1744 20.8% 26.6% 52.6% +1.6 13
1987-02-14 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1744 1539 52.6% 26.6% 20.8% -1.6 29
1987-02-14 Clydebank W 4-1 1608 1503 57.8% 26.5% 15.7% +10.6 24
1987-02-14 @ Hibernian L 1-4 1503 1608 15.7% 26.5% 57.8% -10.6 17
1987-02-14 Rangers L 1-3 1655 1930 15.0% 25.4% 59.7% -7.0 27
1987-02-14 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1930 1655 59.7% 25.4% 15.0% +7.0 49
1987-02-21 Aberdeen L 0-3 1602 1919 12.3% 24.5% 63.2% -9.8 18
1987-02-21 @ Falkirk W 3-0 1919 1602 63.2% 24.5% 12.3% +9.8 45
1987-02-25 Aberdeen W 1-0 1648 1929 14.6% 25.2% 60.2% +13.5 29
1987-02-25 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1929 1648 60.2% 25.2% 14.6% -13.5 45
1987-02-25 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1593 1540 52.5% 27.2% 20.3% -22.7 18
1987-02-25 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1540 1593 20.3% 27.2% 52.5% +22.7 15
1987-02-25 Motherwell D 1-1 1853 1620 67.6% 24.0% 8.4% -3.3 42
1987-02-25 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1620 1853 8.4% 24.0% 67.6% +3.3 24
1987-02-28 Dundee United L 0-1 1915 1884 50.2% 27.4% 22.4% -11.6 45
1987-02-28 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1884 1915 22.4% 27.4% 50.2% +11.6 48
1987-02-28 Hamilton Academical L 2-3 1492 1563 37.1% 27.7% 35.2% -8.1 17
1987-02-28 @ Clydebank W 3-2 1563 1492 35.2% 27.7% 37.1% +8.1 17
1987-02-28 Celtic W 4-1 1742 1943 21.2% 26.6% 52.1% +27.5 31
1987-02-28 @ Dundee L 1-4 1943 1742 52.1% 26.6% 21.2% -27.5 50
1987-02-28 St. Mirren W 1-0 1850 1662 64.5% 25.0% 10.5% +3.2 44
1987-02-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1662 1850 10.5% 25.0% 64.5% -3.2 29
1987-02-28 Falkirk W 1-0 1623 1570 52.6% 27.2% 20.2% +5.7 26
1987-02-28 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1570 1623 20.2% 27.2% 52.6% -5.7 18
1987-02-28 Hibernian D 1-1 1937 1619 72.6% 21.8% 5.6% -3.7 50
1987-02-28 @ Rangers D 1-1 1619 1937 5.6% 21.8% 72.6% +3.7 25
1987-03-07 Motherwell W 3-1 1915 1629 70.8% 22.7% 6.5% +3.2 52
1987-03-07 @ Celtic L 1-3 1629 1915 6.5% 22.7% 70.8% -3.2 26
1987-03-07 Clydebank D 1-1 1895 1484 77.2% 19.2% 3.6% -4.1 49
1987-03-07 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1484 1895 3.6% 19.2% 77.2% +4.1 18
1987-03-07 Rangers L 1-2 1564 1933 9.6% 23.2% 67.2% -2.6 18
1987-03-07 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1933 1564 67.2% 23.2% 9.6% +2.6 52
1987-03-07 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1571 1853 14.5% 25.2% 60.3% -4.2 17
1987-03-07 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1853 1571 60.3% 25.2% 14.5% +4.2 46
1987-03-07 Aberdeen D 1-1 1623 1903 14.6% 25.2% 60.2% +2.4 26
1987-03-07 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1903 1623 60.2% 25.2% 14.6% -2.4 46
1987-03-07 Dundee L 0-1 1659 1769 31.6% 27.6% 40.9% -8.0 29
1987-03-07 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1769 1659 40.9% 27.6% 31.6% +8.0 33
1987-03-10 Dundee United D 1-1 1777 1891 31.2% 27.5% 41.3% +0.5 34
1987-03-10 @ Dundee D 1-1 1891 1777 41.3% 27.5% 31.2% -0.5 50
1987-03-14 Celtic W 1-0 1901 1918 44.4% 27.7% 28.0% +7.4 48
1987-03-14 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1918 1901 28.0% 27.7% 44.4% -7.3 52
1987-03-14 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1936 1567 75.2% 20.4% 4.4% +2.4 54
1987-03-14 @ Rangers L 0-2 1567 1936 4.4% 20.4% 75.2% -2.4 17
1987-03-17 Rangers L 0-4 1778 1938 25.5% 27.1% 47.4% -24.3 34
1987-03-17 @ Dundee W 4-0 1938 1778 47.4% 27.1% 25.5% +24.3 56
1987-03-21 Clydebank W 3-0 1911 1488 77.7% 18.8% 3.4% +2.6 54
1987-03-21 @ Celtic L 0-3 1488 1911 3.4% 18.8% 77.7% -2.6 18
1987-03-21 Rangers L 0-1 1891 1963 37.0% 27.7% 35.4% -9.0 50
1987-03-21 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1963 1891 35.4% 27.7% 37.0% +9.0 58
1987-03-21 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1561 1858 13.6% 24.9% 61.5% +2.8 19
1987-03-21 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1858 1561 61.5% 24.9% 13.6% -2.8 47
1987-03-21 Aberdeen L 0-2 1565 1908 10.8% 23.8% 65.4% -5.9 17
1987-03-21 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1908 1565 65.4% 23.8% 10.8% +5.9 50
1987-03-21 Dundee D 2-2 1625 1754 29.3% 27.4% 43.3% +0.5 27
1987-03-21 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1754 1625 43.3% 27.4% 29.3% -0.5 35
1987-03-21 Motherwell D 1-1 1651 1626 49.5% 27.4% 23.1% -1.3 30
1987-03-21 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1626 1651 23.1% 27.4% 49.5% +1.3 27
1987-03-24 St. Mirren W 2-1 1485 1649 25.1% 27.1% 47.8% +10.4 20
1987-03-24 @ Clydebank L 1-2 1649 1485 47.8% 27.1% 25.1% -10.4 30
1987-03-24 Hibernian W 2-1 1627 1626 46.7% 27.6% 25.8% +6.5 29
1987-03-24 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1626 1627 25.8% 27.6% 46.7% -6.5 27
1987-03-25 Falkirk W 4-0 1753 1564 64.6% 25.0% 10.5% +11.3 37
1987-03-25 @ Dundee L 0-4 1564 1753 10.5% 25.0% 64.6% -11.3 19
1987-03-28 St. Mirren L 0-1 1914 1639 70.2% 22.9% 6.9% -15.7 50
1987-03-28 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1639 1914 6.9% 22.9% 70.2% +15.7 32
1987-03-28 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1496 1855 10.1% 23.4% 66.5% +3.1 21
1987-03-28 @ Clydebank D 1-1 1855 1496 66.5% 23.4% 10.1% -3.1 48
1987-03-28 Dundee D 1-1 1882 1764 58.9% 26.3% 14.8% -2.3 51
1987-03-28 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1764 1882 14.8% 26.3% 58.9% +2.3 38
1987-03-28 Celtic L 2-3 1559 1913 10.2% 23.5% 66.2% -2.7 17
1987-03-28 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-2 1913 1559 66.2% 23.5% 10.2% +2.7 56
1987-03-28 Falkirk W 2-0 1619 1553 54.0% 27.0% 19.0% +10.2 29
1987-03-28 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1553 1619 19.0% 27.0% 54.0% -10.2 19
1987-03-28 Motherwell W 1-0 1972 1633 73.7% 21.2% 5.1% +1.5 60
1987-03-28 @ Rangers L 0-1 1633 1972 5.1% 21.2% 73.7% -1.5 29
1987-04-04 Rangers W 3-1 1916 1973 39.0% 27.7% 33.2% +13.6 58
1987-04-04 @ Celtic L 1-3 1973 1916 33.2% 27.7% 39.0% -13.6 60
1987-04-04 Aberdeen D 1-1 1767 1899 28.9% 27.4% 43.7% +0.7 39
1987-04-04 @ Dundee D 1-1 1899 1767 43.7% 27.4% 28.9% -0.7 51
1987-04-04 Clydebank D 0-0 1543 1499 51.6% 27.3% 21.1% -1.7 20
1987-04-04 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1499 1543 21.1% 27.3% 51.6% +1.7 22
1987-04-04 Hibernian W 2-1 1852 1629 66.9% 24.2% 8.9% +2.5 50
1987-04-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1629 1852 8.9% 24.2% 66.9% -2.5 29
1987-04-04 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1632 1556 55.0% 26.9% 18.1% +14.2 31
1987-04-04 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1556 1632 18.1% 26.9% 55.0% -14.2 17
1987-04-04 Dundee United W 2-1 1655 1879 19.0% 26.3% 54.8% +11.7 34
1987-04-04 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1879 1655 54.8% 26.3% 19.0% -11.7 51
1987-04-11 Clydebank D 1-1 1898 1501 76.6% 19.6% 3.9% -4.0 52
1987-04-11 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1501 1898 3.9% 19.6% 76.6% +4.0 23
1987-04-11 Celtic L 1-4 1627 1930 13.1% 24.8% 62.1% -8.8 29
1987-04-11 @ Hibernian W 4-1 1930 1627 62.1% 24.8% 13.1% +8.8 60
1987-04-14 Dundee United D 0-0 1542 1868 11.8% 24.2% 64.0% +3.2 18
1987-04-14 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1868 1542 64.0% 24.2% 11.8% -3.1 52
1987-04-14 St. Mirren D 0-0 1541 1666 29.7% 27.5% 42.8% +0.7 21
1987-04-14 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1666 1541 42.8% 27.5% 29.7% -0.7 35
1987-04-14 Dundee W 2-0 1960 1767 64.8% 24.9% 10.3% +5.8 62
1987-04-14 @ Rangers L 0-2 1767 1960 10.3% 24.9% 64.8% -5.9 39
1987-04-15 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1646 1854 20.5% 26.5% 53.0% -5.7 31
1987-04-15 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1854 1646 53.0% 26.5% 20.5% +5.7 52
1987-04-18 Dundee United D 1-1 1939 1865 54.8% 26.9% 18.3% -1.9 61
1987-04-18 @ Celtic D 1-1 1865 1939 18.3% 26.9% 54.8% +1.9 53
1987-04-18 Rangers L 0-3 1505 1965 6.2% 20.7% 73.1% -4.8 23
1987-04-18 @ Clydebank W 3-0 1965 1505 73.1% 20.7% 6.2% +4.8 64
1987-04-18 Motherwell W 4-1 1762 1640 59.2% 26.3% 14.5% +9.9 41
1987-04-18 @ Dundee L 1-4 1640 1762 14.5% 26.3% 59.2% -9.9 31
1987-04-18 Falkirk L 0-1 1545 1542 46.9% 27.6% 25.5% -10.9 18
1987-04-18 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1542 1545 25.5% 27.6% 46.9% +10.9 23
1987-04-18 Aberdeen D 1-1 1860 1894 42.1% 27.7% 30.1% -0.6 53
1987-04-18 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1894 1860 30.1% 27.7% 42.1% +0.6 53
1987-04-18 Hibernian D 1-1 1666 1618 52.0% 27.2% 20.7% -1.6 36
1987-04-18 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1618 1666 20.7% 27.2% 52.0% +1.6 30
1987-04-21 Dundee D 0-0 1553 1772 19.5% 26.4% 54.1% +2.0 24
1987-04-21 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1772 1553 54.1% 26.4% 19.5% -2.0 42
1987-04-25 Clydebank W 4-1 1770 1500 69.8% 23.1% 7.1% +4.9 44
1987-04-25 @ Dundee L 1-4 1500 1770 7.1% 23.1% 69.8% -4.9 23
1987-04-25 Dundee United L 1-2 1555 1866 12.6% 24.6% 62.9% -3.5 24
1987-04-25 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1866 1555 62.9% 24.6% 12.6% +3.5 55
1987-04-25 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1620 1534 55.9% 26.8% 17.3% -2.0 31
1987-04-25 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1534 1620 17.3% 26.8% 55.9% +2.0 19
1987-04-25 Aberdeen L 0-2 1631 1894 15.8% 25.6% 58.7% -8.5 31
1987-04-25 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1894 1631 58.7% 25.6% 15.8% +8.5 55
1987-04-25 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1970 1859 58.3% 26.4% 15.3% +12.3 66
1987-04-25 @ Rangers L 0-3 1859 1970 15.3% 26.4% 58.3% -12.3 53
1987-04-25 Celtic L 1-3 1664 1937 15.1% 25.4% 59.5% -7.1 36
1987-04-25 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1937 1664 59.5% 25.4% 15.1% +7.1 63
1987-04-28 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1870 1536 73.4% 21.4% 5.2% +1.4 57
1987-04-28 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1536 1870 5.2% 21.4% 73.4% -1.4 19
1987-05-02 Rangers D 1-1 1903 1983 35.9% 27.7% 36.4% +0.0 56
1987-05-02 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1983 1903 36.4% 27.7% 35.9% -0.0 67
1987-05-02 Falkirk L 1-2 1944 1551 76.3% 19.7% 4.0% -15.7 63
1987-05-02 @ Celtic W 2-1 1551 1944 4.0% 19.7% 76.3% +15.7 26
1987-05-02 Motherwell D 0-0 1495 1622 29.5% 27.4% 43.1% +0.7 24
1987-05-02 @ Clydebank D 0-0 1622 1495 43.1% 27.4% 29.5% -0.7 32
1987-05-02 Hibernian W 2-1 1871 1618 68.9% 23.5% 7.6% +2.2 59
1987-05-02 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1618 1871 7.6% 23.5% 68.9% -2.2 31
1987-05-02 St. Mirren W 1-0 1535 1657 30.1% 27.5% 42.5% +10.0 21
1987-05-02 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1657 1535 42.5% 27.5% 30.1% -10.0 36
1987-05-02 Dundee L 1-3 1847 1774 54.6% 27.0% 18.4% -20.4 53
1987-05-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1774 1847 18.4% 27.0% 54.6% +20.4 46
1987-05-09 Falkirk W 3-1 1903 1567 73.5% 21.3% 5.2% +2.5 58
1987-05-09 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1567 1903 5.2% 21.3% 73.5% -2.5 26
1987-05-09 Hibernian L 1-2 1496 1615 30.4% 27.5% 42.1% -7.4 24
1987-05-09 @ Clydebank W 2-1 1615 1496 42.1% 27.5% 30.4% +7.4 33
1987-05-09 Hamilton Academical W 7-3 1795 1545 68.7% 23.6% 7.8% +5.4 48
1987-05-09 @ Dundee L 3-7 1545 1795 7.8% 23.6% 68.7% -5.4 21
1987-05-09 Celtic W 1-0 1827 1928 32.8% 27.6% 39.6% +9.5 55
1987-05-09 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1928 1827 39.6% 27.6% 32.8% -9.5 63
1987-05-09 Dundee United W 1-0 1621 1874 16.7% 25.8% 57.6% +13.0 34
1987-05-09 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1874 1621 57.6% 25.8% 16.7% -13.0 59
1987-05-09 St. Mirren W 1-0 1983 1647 73.5% 21.3% 5.2% +1.5 69
1987-05-09 @ Rangers L 0-1 1647 1983 5.2% 21.3% 73.5% -1.5 36
1987-05-11 Dundee United D 1-1 1836 1860 43.4% 27.7% 28.9% -0.7 56
1987-05-11 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1860 1836 28.9% 27.7% 43.4% +0.7 60

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1987-05-02 3.95% Falkirk 1551 2 @ Celtic 1944 1
2 1987-03-28 6.89% St. Mirren 1639 1 @ Aberdeen 1914 0
3 1986-11-08 9.10% Motherwell 1615 1 @ Rangers 1833 0
4 1986-11-08 13.53% Dundee 1753 3 @ Dundee United 1889 0
5 1987-01-24 13.64% Hamilton Academical 1535 1 @ St. Mirren 1669 0
6 1987-02-25 14.60% @ St. Mirren 1648 1 Aberdeen 1929 0
7 1986-11-29 16.15% Hamilton Academical 1516 3 @ Hibernian 1616 1
8 1987-05-09 16.67% @ Motherwell 1621 1 Dundee United 1874 0
9 1986-08-09 17.01% Clydebank 1569 1 @ Hamilton Academical 1658 0
10 1986-10-29 17.49% @ Falkirk 1624 2 Heart of Midlothian 1866 0
11 1986-08-23 18.06% Clydebank 1580 1 @ St. Mirren 1657 0
12 1987-05-02 18.41% Dundee 1774 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1847 1
13 1987-04-04 18.96% @ St. Mirren 1655 2 Dundee United 1879 1
14 1986-09-27 19.69% Clydebank 1565 1 @ Motherwell 1623 0
15 1987-01-03 20.07% Hibernian 1579 3 @ Falkirk 1633 1
16 1987-02-25 20.29% Hamilton Academical 1540 2 @ Falkirk 1593 0
17 1986-11-29 20.93% @ Falkirk 1650 2 Dundee United 1854 1
18 1987-02-28 21.22% @ Dundee 1742 4 Celtic 1943 1
19 1987-02-28 22.41% Dundee United 1884 1 @ Aberdeen 1915 0
20 1986-09-13 23.11% St. Mirren 1638 1 @ Hibernian 1663 0
21 1986-09-13 23.40% Heart of Midlothian 1859 1 @ Aberdeen 1881 0
22 1986-08-30 24.50% Motherwell 1617 3 @ Hamilton Academical 1629 0
23 1986-08-31 24.71% @ Rangers 1737 1 Celtic 1904 0
24 1987-03-24 25.08% @ Clydebank 1485 2 St. Mirren 1649 1
25 1987-01-27 25.40% @ Motherwell 1605 2 Dundee 1766 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-11-08 37.62 Dundee 3 1753 13.53% @ Dundee United 0 1889 60.46% 26.01%
2 1986-08-30 30.45 Motherwell 3 1617 24.50% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1629 47.98% 27.52%
3 1987-02-28 27.48 @ Dundee 4 1742 21.22% Celtic 1 1943 52.15% 26.63%
4 1987-03-17 24.32 Rangers 4 1938 47.41% @ Dundee 0 1778 25.46% 27.13%
5 1986-10-29 24.13 @ Falkirk 2 1624 17.49% Heart of Midlothian 0 1866 56.55% 25.96%
6 1987-02-25 22.72 Hamilton Academical 2 1540 20.29% @ Falkirk 0 1593 52.53% 27.18%
7 1986-10-29 22.50 Dundee 3 1746 39.88% @ Hibernian 0 1643 32.54% 27.59%
8 1986-11-29 21.93 @ Rangers 3 1827 40.91% Heart of Midlothian 0 1871 31.37% 27.72%
9 1986-10-18 21.89 @ St. Mirren 4 1654 32.89% Dundee 1 1755 39.51% 27.60%
10 1986-11-29 21.31 Hamilton Academical 3 1516 16.15% @ Hibernian 1 1616 57.25% 26.60%
11 1986-10-18 21.13 Rangers 5 1807 45.90% @ Falkirk 1 1659 26.84% 27.25%
12 1986-10-04 21.07 Hibernian 4 1647 34.80% @ Hamilton Academical 1 1579 37.49% 27.71%
13 1987-01-27 20.69 @ Motherwell 2 1605 25.40% Dundee 0 1766 47.47% 27.13%
14 1987-05-02 20.40 Dundee 3 1774 18.41% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1847 54.64% 26.96%
15 1987-01-03 19.76 Hibernian 3 1579 20.07% @ Falkirk 1 1633 52.77% 27.16%
16 1987-02-07 19.70 Rangers 5 1910 30.83% @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1871 41.45% 27.72%
17 1986-10-25 19.38 @ Motherwell 4 1603 38.84% Hibernian 1 1662 33.44% 27.72%
18 1986-10-11 19.19 Celtic 3 1926 46.32% @ Dundee 0 1774 26.46% 27.22%
19 1986-09-27 18.22 @ Rangers 2 1768 31.92% Aberdeen 0 1876 40.51% 27.56%
20 1986-08-13 16.97 Celtic 4 1885 57.62% @ Motherwell 0 1632 16.62% 25.77%
21 1987-01-01 16.48 @ Rangers 2 1884 36.94% Celtic 0 1956 35.36% 27.70%
22 1986-10-08 16.05 Dundee 3 1758 52.15% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1557 21.22% 26.63%
23 1986-08-16 16.04 @ Dundee 3 1736 51.81% Hibernian 0 1690 20.94% 27.25%
24 1987-03-28 15.70 St. Mirren 1 1639 6.89% @ Aberdeen 0 1914 70.17% 22.94%
25 1987-05-02 15.69 Falkirk 2 1551 3.95% @ Celtic 1 1944 76.34% 19.72%