1985-86 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

50 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Heart of Midlothian

12.37 points above expected

50 points · 37.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Clydebank

6.35 points below expected

20 points · 26.35 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic 36 20 10 6 50 67 38 +29 45.97 +4.03
2 Heart of Midlothian 36 20 10 6 50 59 33 +26 37.63 +12.37
3 Dundee United 36 18 11 7 47 59 31 +28 45.72 +1.28
4 Aberdeen 36 16 12 8 44 62 31 +31 49.89 -5.89
5 Rangers 36 13 9 14 35 53 45 +8 38.44 -3.44
6 Dundee 36 14 7 15 35 45 51 -6 31.45 +3.55
7 St. Mirren 36 13 5 18 31 42 63 -21 31.30 -0.30
8 Hibernian 36 11 6 19 28 49 63 -14 29.67 -1.67
9 Motherwell 36 7 6 23 20 33 66 -33 23.59 -3.59
10 Clydebank 36 6 8 22 20 29 77 -48 26.35 -6.35

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1921 50 45.97 +4.03 84.5% 28 38 43 46 49 53 62
Aberdeen 1878 44 49.89 -5.89 11.0% 29 43 47 50 53 57 65
Heart of Midlothian 1870 50 37.63 +12.37 99.7% 20 30 35 38 41 45 54
Dundee United 1838 47 45.72 +1.28 64.9% 30 38 43 46 49 53 62
Rangers 1698 35 38.44 -3.44 26.4% 22 31 35 38 42 46 57
Dundee 1696 35 31.45 +3.55 80.6% 14 24 28 31 35 39 50
Hibernian 1634 28 29.67 -1.67 40.5% 13 22 27 30 33 38 48
St. Mirren 1587 31 31.30 -0.30 51.9% 14 24 28 31 34 39 50
Motherwell 1532 20 23.59 -3.59 24.8% 7 16 21 24 27 31 40
Clydebank 1450 20 26.35 -6.35 9.5% 11 19 23 26 29 34 43

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL CLY DUN DU HOM HIB MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen
1-1-2
6.25
3-0-1
9.12
2-2-0
8.19
1-1-2
6.53
1-1-2
7.14
3-1-0
8.51
2-2-0
9.13
2-2-0
7.25
1-2-1
8.62
Celtic
2-1-1
4.77
4-0-0
8.06
4-0-0
7.65
0-1-3
5.36
0-3-1
6.97
2-2-0
7.85
4-0-0
8.95
1-2-1
6.66
3-1-0
8.33
Clydebank
1-0-3
1.99
0-0-4
3.01
1-1-2
4.71
0-1-3
2.49
1-1-2
3.72
1-0-3
5.31
0-3-1
5.92
1-1-2
3.60
1-1-2
4.65
Dundee
0-2-2
2.88
0-0-4
3.40
2-1-1
6.32
0-1-3
3.53
1-2-1
4.08
2-0-2
5.88
3-1-0
6.83
3-0-1
4.58
3-0-1
5.38
Dundee United
2-1-1
4.50
3-1-0
5.67
3-1-0
8.59
3-1-0
7.51
0-2-2
6.91
3-1-0
8.01
3-0-1
8.61
0-3-1
6.64
1-1-2
7.84
Heart of Midlothian
2-1-1
3.92
1-3-0
4.08
2-1-1
7.38
1-2-1
6.96
2-2-0
4.12
3-1-0
6.66
3-0-1
7.69
3-0-1
5.33
3-0-1
5.95
Hibernian
0-1-3
2.56
0-2-2
3.20
3-0-1
5.72
2-0-2
5.15
0-1-3
3.05
0-1-3
4.37
2-0-2
6.62
1-1-2
4.36
3-0-1
5.12
Motherwell
0-2-2
1.99
0-0-4
2.15
1-3-0
5.10
0-1-3
4.20
1-0-3
2.48
1-0-3
3.38
2-0-2
4.40
1-0-3
3.15
1-0-3
4.28
Rangers
0-2-2
3.80
1-2-1
4.37
2-1-1
7.45
1-0-3
6.44
1-3-0
4.39
1-0-3
5.70
2-1-1
6.68
3-0-1
7.90
2-0-2
6.58
St. Mirren
1-2-1
2.46
0-1-3
2.74
2-1-1
6.37
1-0-3
5.64
2-1-1
3.24
1-0-3
5.09
1-0-3
5.90
3-0-1
6.75
2-0-2
4.44

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.88 +8.5
Allowed 0.89 -6.5
Differential 0.92 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.89%7.50%6.11%4.72%2.22%1.94%26.39%
17.50%17.22%6.39%5.28%1.39%37.78%
26.11%6.39%1.67%1.67%0.83%0.28%16.94%
34.72%5.28%1.67%11.67%
42.22%1.39%0.83%0.56%5.00%
5+1.94%0.28%2.22%
Total26.39%37.78%16.94%11.67%5.00%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 2.06
CV 0.92 0.92
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%19.44%
18.33%27.78%8.33%44.44%
2
38.33%8.33%5.56%22.22%
42.78%8.33%11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total27.78%58.33%13.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.86 +0.86
SD 1.52 0.64 1.73
CV 0.88 0.74
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
12.78%22.22%2.78%27.78%
225.00%13.89%2.78%2.78%44.44%
32.78%2.78%5.56%
42.78%2.78%
5+8.33%8.33%
Total36.11%44.44%5.56%5.56%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.06 +0.81
SD 1.29 1.19 1.94
CV 0.69 1.13
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%13.89%5.56%5.56%8.33%47.22%
12.78%13.89%5.56%5.56%5.56%33.33%
22.78%5.56%5.56%13.89%
32.78%2.78%
42.78%2.78%
5+
Total16.67%25.00%22.22%11.11%16.67%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 2.14 -1.33
SD 0.98 1.64 2.10
CV 1.22 0.77
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%36.11%
15.56%5.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%27.78%
25.56%8.33%2.78%16.67%
311.11%2.78%13.89%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%33.33%19.44%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.42 -0.17
SD 1.25 1.32 2.06
CV 1.00 0.93
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%16.67%
113.89%25.00%2.78%41.67%
22.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%19.44%
38.33%8.33%
48.33%2.78%11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total38.89%41.67%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.86 +0.78
SD 1.33 0.87 1.82
CV 0.81 1.01
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%11.11%
113.89%25.00%2.78%2.78%44.44%
28.33%5.56%2.78%16.67%
313.89%11.11%25.00%
42.78%2.78%
5+
Total38.89%47.22%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.92 +0.72
SD 1.07 1.18 1.73
CV 0.65 1.29
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%27.78%
15.56%8.33%8.33%13.89%36.11%
22.78%5.56%5.56%5.56%19.44%
32.78%5.56%8.33%
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total19.44%27.78%22.22%22.22%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.75 -0.39
SD 1.29 1.32 2.18
CV 0.95 0.75
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%8.33%8.33%8.33%41.67%
12.78%11.11%8.33%8.33%2.78%33.33%
25.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%16.67%
32.78%5.56%8.33%
4
5+
Total13.89%33.33%19.44%22.22%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.83 -0.92
SD 0.97 1.25 1.81
CV 1.06 0.68
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%5.56%22.22%
18.33%19.44%13.89%2.78%44.44%
25.56%2.78%8.33%
38.33%8.33%16.67%
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total27.78%36.11%22.22%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.25 +0.22
SD 1.32 1.08 1.82
CV 0.90 0.86
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%11.11%5.56%30.56%
111.11%13.89%8.33%11.11%44.44%
22.78%11.11%13.89%
32.78%2.78%5.56%
42.78%2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%
Total16.67%30.56%25.00%22.22%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.75 -0.58
SD 1.28 1.30 2.12
CV 1.09 0.74
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Heart of Midlothian 50 37.63 +12.37
2 Celtic 50 45.97 +4.03
3 Dundee 35 31.45 +3.55
4 Dundee United 47 45.72 +1.28
5 St. Mirren 31 31.30 -0.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Clydebank 20 26.35 -6.35
2 Aberdeen 44 49.89 -5.89
3 Motherwell 20 23.59 -3.59
4 Rangers 35 38.44 -3.44
5 Hibernian 28 29.67 -1.67

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Mirren 3 Apr 12 – Apr 26 1 in 178
2 Celtic 8 Mar 29 – May 3 1 in 164
3 Hibernian 3 Oct 19 – Nov 2 1 in 88
4 Dundee 3 Sep 7 – Sep 21 1 in 45
5 Heart of Midlothian 5 Mar 15 – Apr 12 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 6 Aug 10 – Sep 14 1 in 57
2 Celtic 3 Oct 26 – Nov 9 1 in 35
3 Aberdeen 2 Nov 23 – Dec 10 1 in 34
4 Clydebank 5 Feb 8 – Mar 29 1 in 30
5 Rangers 3 Mar 29 – Apr 19 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 27 Oct 5 – Apr 26 1 in 124,261
2 Hibernian 10 Sep 28 – Nov 23 1 in 1,125
3 Dundee United 16 Oct 26 – Feb 26 1 in 91
4 Celtic 16 Jan 11 – May 3 1 in 90
5 Dundee 6 Nov 23 – Jan 1 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Clydebank 10 Oct 1 – Nov 30 1 in 42
2 Aberdeen 4 Apr 12 – Apr 26 1 in 21
3 Dundee United 5 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 20
4 Celtic 4 Feb 8 – Mar 22 1 in 19
5 Hibernian 7 Nov 23 – Jan 18 1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Celtic20.39%33.69%30.24%11.07%3.51%0.86%0.17%0.07%
Heart of Midlothian0.92%3.68%11.18%28.60%29.74%14.59%7.39%2.78%0.98%0.14%
Dundee United18.52%32.65%31.50%12.03%4.26%0.74%0.25%0.05%
Aberdeen59.10%24.82%12.10%3.27%0.55%0.12%0.03%0.01%
Rangers1.05%4.73%12.44%31.50%28.66%12.46%5.98%2.28%0.74%0.16%
Dundee0.01%0.23%1.13%5.31%12.33%24.50%23.83%18.02%10.10%4.54%
St. Mirren0.01%0.11%0.80%4.77%11.01%22.27%24.22%20.20%12.25%4.36%
Hibernian0.09%0.55%2.74%7.29%16.43%21.50%24.95%17.44%9.01%
Motherwell0.14%0.71%2.34%5.36%11.60%26.95%52.90%
Clydebank0.06%0.57%1.94%5.69%11.27%20.04%31.54%28.89%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.44%
Clear Edge
50.56%23.33%26.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge
186 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
086.68500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
Celtic, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.65 * Some Luck: 3.65 to 5.48 * Lucky: 5.48 to 7.3 * Wild Swing: 7.3 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.81 * Close: 0.81 to 1.22 * Off: 1.22 to 1.62 * Way Off: 1.62 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.35 points
Some Luck
04.5711
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.022.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.72%
Heart of Midlothian
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
9.53%
Clydebank
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.91
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Very Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.38
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.91
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.082
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Clydebank 100%
Dundee 100%
Dundee United 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Motherwell 100%
Rangers 100%
St. Mirren 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1985-08-10 Hibernian W 3-0 1876 1624 72.0% 21.9% 6.0% +6.6 2
1985-08-10 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1624 1876 6.0% 21.9% 72.0% -6.6 0
1985-08-10 St. Mirren W 2-1 1691 1701 53.0% 24.6% 22.4% +7.6 2
1985-08-10 @ Dundee L 1-2 1701 1691 22.4% 24.6% 53.0% -7.6 0
1985-08-10 Celtic D 1-1 1630 1821 29.4% 24.5% 46.1% +1.1 1
1985-08-10 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1821 1630 46.1% 24.5% 29.4% -1.1 1
1985-08-10 Clydebank D 0-0 1590 1665 45.1% 24.8% 30.2% -1.1 1
1985-08-10 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1665 1590 30.2% 24.8% 45.1% +1.1 1
1985-08-10 Dundee United W 1-0 1716 1790 45.3% 24.7% 30.0% +10.2 2
1985-08-10 @ Rangers L 0-1 1790 1716 30.0% 24.7% 45.3% -10.2 0
1985-08-17 Motherwell W 2-1 1820 1589 71.0% 22.3% 6.7% +2.5 3
1985-08-17 @ Celtic L 1-2 1589 1820 6.7% 22.3% 71.0% -2.6 1
1985-08-17 Dundee W 4-0 1666 1699 50.4% 24.7% 24.9% +31.6 3
1985-08-17 @ Clydebank L 0-4 1699 1666 24.9% 24.7% 50.4% -31.6 2
1985-08-17 Aberdeen D 1-1 1780 1883 41.4% 24.7% 33.9% -0.5 1
1985-08-17 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1883 1780 33.9% 24.7% 41.4% +0.5 3
1985-08-17 Rangers L 1-3 1618 1726 40.7% 24.7% 34.6% -21.1 0
1985-08-17 @ Hibernian W 3-1 1726 1618 34.6% 24.7% 40.7% +21.1 4
1985-08-17 Heart of Midlothian W 6-2 1693 1631 60.0% 24.2% 15.8% +15.3 2
1985-08-17 @ St. Mirren L 2-6 1631 1693 15.8% 24.2% 60.0% -15.3 1
1985-08-24 Motherwell D 1-1 1884 1586 74.0% 21.2% 4.8% -5.3 4
1985-08-24 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1586 1884 4.8% 21.2% 74.0% +5.3 2
1985-08-24 Celtic L 0-2 1698 1823 38.4% 24.7% 36.9% -23.3 3
1985-08-24 @ Clydebank W 2-0 1823 1698 36.9% 24.7% 38.4% +23.3 5
1985-08-24 Dundee W 2-0 1779 1667 63.9% 23.7% 12.3% +9.1 3
1985-08-24 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1667 1779 12.3% 23.7% 63.9% -9.1 2
1985-08-24 St. Mirren L 2-3 1596 1708 40.2% 24.7% 35.1% -11.4 0
1985-08-24 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1708 1596 35.1% 24.7% 40.2% +11.4 4
1985-08-24 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1747 1616 65.3% 23.5% 11.2% +7.2 6
1985-08-24 @ Rangers L 1-3 1616 1747 11.2% 23.5% 65.3% -7.2 1
1985-08-31 Rangers D 1-1 1846 1754 62.4% 23.9% 13.7% -3.5 6
1985-08-31 @ Celtic D 1-1 1754 1846 13.7% 23.9% 62.4% +3.5 7
1985-08-31 Aberdeen L 1-3 1658 1878 26.0% 24.3% 49.7% -14.8 2
1985-08-31 @ Dundee W 3-1 1878 1658 49.7% 24.3% 26.0% +14.8 6
1985-08-31 Hibernian W 2-1 1608 1585 56.4% 24.4% 19.1% +6.7 3
1985-08-31 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1585 1608 19.1% 24.4% 56.4% -6.7 0
1985-08-31 Dundee United L 0-1 1591 1788 28.7% 24.4% 46.9% -9.8 2
1985-08-31 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1788 1591 46.9% 24.4% 28.7% +9.8 5
1985-08-31 Clydebank L 0-2 1720 1675 58.5% 24.3% 17.2% -33.6 4
1985-08-31 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1675 1720 17.2% 24.3% 58.5% +33.6 5
1985-09-07 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1893 1615 73.2% 21.6% 5.3% +5.8 8
1985-09-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1615 1893 5.3% 21.6% 73.2% -5.8 3
1985-09-07 Clydebank W 2-1 1798 1708 62.3% 23.9% 13.8% +5.0 7
1985-09-07 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1708 1798 13.8% 23.9% 62.3% -5.0 5
1985-09-07 Celtic L 0-5 1578 1842 21.3% 23.9% 54.8% -33.9 0
1985-09-07 @ Hibernian W 5-0 1842 1578 54.8% 23.9% 21.3% +33.9 8
1985-09-07 Dundee L 1-3 1582 1643 46.8% 24.7% 28.4% -23.7 2
1985-09-07 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1643 1582 28.4% 24.7% 46.8% +23.7 4
1985-09-07 St. Mirren W 3-0 1758 1686 60.8% 24.1% 15.1% +15.9 9
1985-09-07 @ Rangers L 0-3 1686 1758 15.1% 24.1% 60.8% -15.9 4
1985-09-14 Aberdeen W 2-1 1876 1899 51.5% 24.6% 23.8% +8.0 10
1985-09-14 @ Celtic L 1-2 1899 1876 23.8% 24.6% 51.5% -8.0 8
1985-09-14 Rangers L 0-1 1703 1774 45.8% 24.7% 29.5% -14.2 5
1985-09-14 @ Clydebank W 1-0 1774 1703 29.5% 24.7% 45.8% +14.2 11
1985-09-14 Hibernian W 1-0 1667 1544 64.7% 23.6% 11.7% +4.6 6
1985-09-14 @ Dundee L 0-1 1544 1667 11.7% 23.6% 64.7% -4.6 0
1985-09-14 Dundee United W 2-0 1609 1803 29.1% 24.4% 46.5% +27.1 5
1985-09-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1803 1609 46.5% 24.4% 29.1% -27.1 7
1985-09-14 Motherwell W 4-1 1670 1558 64.0% 23.7% 12.3% +11.1 6
1985-09-14 @ St. Mirren L 1-4 1558 1670 12.3% 23.7% 64.0% -11.1 2
1985-09-21 St. Mirren D 1-1 1891 1682 69.9% 22.6% 7.5% -4.7 9
1985-09-21 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1682 1891 7.5% 22.6% 69.9% +4.7 7
1985-09-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1547 1636 43.2% 24.8% 32.0% +10.1 4
1985-09-21 @ Motherwell L 1-2 1636 1547 32.0% 24.8% 43.2% -10.1 5
1985-09-21 Dundee L 0-1 1788 1672 64.2% 23.7% 12.1% -19.6 11
1985-09-21 @ Rangers W 1-0 1672 1788 12.1% 23.7% 64.2% +19.6 8
1985-09-28 Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1689 1626 60.1% 24.2% 15.8% +6.0 7
1985-09-28 @ Clydebank L 0-1 1626 1689 15.8% 24.2% 60.1% -6.0 5
1985-09-28 Celtic L 0-2 1691 1884 29.2% 24.4% 46.3% -18.8 8
1985-09-28 @ Dundee W 2-0 1884 1691 46.3% 24.4% 29.2% +18.8 12
1985-09-28 Motherwell W 1-0 1540 1557 52.2% 24.6% 23.2% +8.3 2
1985-09-28 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1557 1540 23.2% 24.6% 52.2% -8.3 4
1985-09-28 Aberdeen L 0-3 1768 1886 39.4% 24.7% 35.9% -34.4 11
1985-09-28 @ Rangers W 3-0 1886 1768 35.9% 24.7% 39.4% +34.4 11
1985-09-28 Dundee United W 1-0 1686 1776 43.2% 24.8% 32.0% +10.8 9
1985-09-28 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1776 1686 32.0% 24.8% 43.2% -10.8 7
1985-10-01 Clydebank W 5-0 1548 1695 35.3% 24.6% 40.1% +56.2 4
1985-10-01 @ Hibernian L 0-5 1695 1548 40.1% 24.6% 35.3% -56.2 7
1985-10-05 Clydebank W 3-1 1921 1639 73.3% 21.5% 5.2% +3.4 13
1985-10-05 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1639 1921 5.2% 21.5% 73.3% -3.4 7
1985-10-05 St. Mirren W 2-0 1903 1697 69.7% 22.6% 7.6% +5.8 14
1985-10-05 @ Celtic L 0-2 1697 1903 7.6% 22.6% 69.7% -5.8 9
1985-10-05 Hibernian D 2-2 1765 1604 67.2% 23.2% 9.6% -3.2 8
1985-10-05 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1604 1765 9.6% 23.2% 67.2% +3.2 5
1985-10-05 Dundee D 1-1 1620 1673 48.0% 24.7% 27.2% -1.4 6
1985-10-05 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1673 1620 27.2% 24.7% 48.0% +1.4 9
1985-10-05 Rangers L 0-3 1549 1734 30.2% 24.5% 45.3% -28.0 4
1985-10-05 @ Motherwell W 3-0 1734 1549 45.3% 24.5% 30.2% +28.0 13
1985-10-12 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1909 1619 73.7% 21.4% 5.0% -22.3 14
1985-10-12 @ Celtic W 1-0 1619 1909 5.0% 21.4% 73.7% +22.3 8
1985-10-12 Motherwell D 1-1 1636 1521 64.2% 23.7% 12.1% -3.8 8
1985-10-12 @ Clydebank D 1-1 1521 1636 12.1% 23.7% 64.2% +3.8 5
1985-10-12 Rangers D 1-1 1762 1762 54.1% 24.6% 21.4% -2.2 9
1985-10-12 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1762 1762 21.4% 24.6% 54.1% +2.2 14
1985-10-12 Aberdeen D 1-1 1608 1924 16.6% 23.4% 60.0% +3.1 6
1985-10-12 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1924 1608 60.0% 23.4% 16.6% -3.1 14
1985-10-12 Dundee W 1-0 1691 1674 55.8% 24.5% 19.7% +7.3 11
1985-10-12 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1674 1691 19.7% 24.5% 55.8% -7.3 9
1985-10-19 Dundee United W 3-2 1921 1760 67.2% 23.2% 9.6% +3.4 16
1985-10-19 @ Aberdeen L 2-3 1760 1921 9.6% 23.2% 67.2% -3.4 9
1985-10-19 Clydebank W 2-0 1667 1632 57.5% 24.4% 18.1% +12.8 11
1985-10-19 @ Dundee L 0-2 1632 1667 18.1% 24.4% 57.5% -12.8 8
1985-10-19 St. Mirren W 3-0 1641 1699 47.4% 24.7% 27.9% +26.4 10
1985-10-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1699 1641 27.9% 24.7% 47.4% -26.4 11
1985-10-19 Celtic L 1-2 1524 1886 13.3% 22.9% 63.9% -4.8 5
1985-10-19 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1886 1524 63.9% 22.9% 13.3% +4.8 16
1985-10-19 Hibernian L 1-2 1764 1611 66.7% 23.3% 10.0% -19.2 14
1985-10-19 @ Rangers W 2-1 1611 1764 10.0% 23.3% 66.7% +19.2 8
1985-10-26 Motherwell W 3-1 1679 1520 67.1% 23.2% 9.7% +6.3 13
1985-10-26 @ Dundee L 1-3 1520 1679 9.7% 23.2% 67.1% -6.3 5
1985-10-26 Rangers W 2-1 1672 1745 45.5% 24.7% 29.8% +9.6 13
1985-10-26 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1745 1672 29.8% 24.7% 45.5% -9.6 14
1985-10-26 Dundee United L 0-3 1891 1756 65.5% 23.5% 11.0% -54.6 16
1985-10-26 @ Celtic W 3-0 1756 1891 11.0% 23.5% 65.5% +54.6 11
1985-10-30 Aberdeen W 1-0 1668 1924 22.0% 24.0% 54.0% +16.4 12
1985-10-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1924 1668 54.0% 24.0% 22.0% -16.4 16
1985-10-30 Hibernian L 2-4 1619 1630 52.9% 24.6% 22.5% -23.6 8
1985-10-30 @ Clydebank W 4-2 1630 1619 22.5% 24.6% 52.9% +23.6 10
1985-11-02 Celtic W 4-1 1908 1837 60.8% 24.1% 15.1% +13.4 18
1985-11-02 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1837 1908 15.1% 24.1% 60.8% -13.4 16
1985-11-02 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1811 1684 65.0% 23.6% 11.4% -3.9 12
1985-11-02 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1684 1811 11.4% 23.6% 65.0% +3.9 13
1985-11-02 Dundee W 2-1 1653 1686 50.4% 24.7% 24.9% +8.3 12
1985-11-02 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1686 1653 24.9% 24.7% 50.4% -8.3 13
1985-11-02 St. Mirren W 3-1 1513 1682 32.4% 24.6% 43.1% +22.0 7
1985-11-02 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1682 1513 43.1% 24.6% 32.4% -22.0 13
1985-11-02 Clydebank D 0-0 1735 1595 65.9% 23.4% 10.7% -4.6 15
1985-11-02 @ Rangers D 0-0 1595 1735 10.7% 23.4% 65.9% +4.6 9
1985-11-09 Dundee W 4-1 1921 1677 71.6% 22.1% 6.3% +5.8 20
1985-11-09 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1677 1921 6.3% 22.1% 71.6% -5.8 13
1985-11-09 Motherwell W 3-0 1807 1535 72.9% 21.6% 5.5% +6.0 14
1985-11-09 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1535 1807 5.5% 21.6% 72.9% -6.0 7
1985-11-09 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1662 1688 51.1% 24.6% 24.2% -2.0 13
1985-11-09 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1688 1662 24.2% 24.6% 51.1% +2.0 14
1985-11-09 Celtic W 3-0 1731 1823 42.9% 24.8% 32.4% +29.7 17
1985-11-09 @ Rangers L 0-3 1823 1731 32.4% 24.8% 42.9% -29.7 16
1985-11-13 St. Mirren D 1-1 1600 1660 47.1% 24.7% 28.1% -1.2 10
1985-11-13 @ Clydebank D 1-1 1660 1600 28.1% 24.7% 47.1% +1.2 14
1985-11-16 Clydebank W 2-0 1794 1599 69.1% 22.8% 8.1% +6.1 18
1985-11-16 @ Celtic L 0-2 1599 1794 8.1% 22.8% 69.1% -6.1 10
1985-11-16 Dundee United L 0-3 1672 1813 36.0% 24.7% 39.3% -32.2 13
1985-11-16 @ Dundee W 3-0 1813 1672 39.3% 24.7% 36.0% +32.2 16
1985-11-16 Rangers W 3-0 1690 1760 45.8% 24.7% 29.5% +27.6 16
1985-11-16 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1760 1690 29.5% 24.7% 45.8% -27.6 17
1985-11-16 Aberdeen D 1-1 1529 1927 11.1% 22.4% 66.5% +4.1 8
1985-11-16 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1927 1529 66.5% 22.4% 11.1% -4.1 21
1985-11-16 Hibernian L 1-3 1661 1660 54.2% 24.6% 21.3% -27.0 14
1985-11-16 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1660 1661 21.3% 24.6% 54.2% +27.0 15
1985-11-23 Hibernian D 1-1 1800 1687 64.0% 23.7% 12.3% -3.8 19
1985-11-23 @ Celtic D 1-1 1687 1800 12.3% 23.7% 64.0% +3.8 16
1985-11-23 Dundee United L 1-2 1593 1845 22.4% 24.0% 53.6% -7.6 10
1985-11-23 @ Clydebank W 2-1 1845 1593 53.6% 24.0% 22.4% +7.6 18
1985-11-23 Rangers W 3-2 1639 1733 42.7% 24.8% 32.5% +9.7 15
1985-11-23 @ Dundee L 2-3 1733 1639 32.5% 24.8% 42.7% -9.7 17
1985-11-23 Motherwell W 3-0 1718 1533 68.6% 22.9% 8.5% +9.4 18
1985-11-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1533 1718 8.5% 22.9% 68.6% -9.4 8
1985-11-23 Aberdeen W 1-0 1634 1923 18.9% 23.7% 57.4% +17.3 16
1985-11-23 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1923 1634 57.4% 23.7% 18.9% -17.3 21
1985-11-30 Clydebank W 4-1 1727 1585 66.0% 23.4% 10.6% +9.7 20
1985-11-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1585 1727 10.6% 23.4% 66.0% -9.7 10
1985-12-07 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1649 1737 43.5% 24.8% 31.7% -0.8 16
1985-12-07 @ Dundee D 1-1 1737 1649 31.7% 24.8% 43.5% +0.8 21
1985-12-07 Motherwell W 1-0 1723 1524 69.4% 22.7% 7.9% +3.2 19
1985-12-07 @ Rangers L 0-1 1524 1723 7.9% 22.7% 69.4% -3.2 8
1985-12-10 Aberdeen W 2-1 1575 1906 15.5% 23.2% 61.3% +17.4 12
1985-12-10 @ Clydebank L 1-2 1906 1575 61.3% 23.2% 15.5% -17.4 21
1985-12-14 Hibernian W 4-0 1888 1690 69.3% 22.7% 8.0% +11.4 23
1985-12-14 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1690 1888 8.0% 22.7% 69.3% -11.4 16
1985-12-14 St. Mirren W 3-1 1648 1651 53.7% 24.6% 21.7% +12.9 18
1985-12-14 @ Dundee L 1-3 1651 1648 21.7% 24.6% 53.7% -12.9 16
1985-12-14 Celtic D 1-1 1737 1796 47.3% 24.7% 28.0% -1.3 22
1985-12-14 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1796 1737 28.0% 24.7% 47.3% +1.3 20
1985-12-14 Clydebank W 3-0 1521 1593 45.6% 24.7% 29.7% +27.8 10
1985-12-14 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1593 1521 29.7% 24.7% 45.6% -27.8 12
1985-12-14 Dundee United D 1-1 1726 1853 38.1% 24.7% 37.2% -0.1 20
1985-12-14 @ Rangers D 1-1 1853 1726 37.2% 24.7% 38.1% +0.1 19
1985-12-21 Aberdeen W 2-1 1853 1900 48.7% 24.7% 26.6% +8.8 21
1985-12-21 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1900 1853 26.6% 24.7% 48.7% -8.8 23
1985-12-21 Rangers D 1-1 1679 1726 48.7% 24.7% 26.6% -1.5 17
1985-12-21 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1726 1679 26.6% 24.7% 48.7% +1.5 21
1985-12-21 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1638 1736 42.1% 24.8% 33.1% -13.3 16
1985-12-21 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1736 1638 33.1% 24.8% 42.1% +13.3 24
1985-12-23 Celtic W 1-0 1862 1797 60.2% 24.1% 15.6% +6.0 23
1985-12-23 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1797 1862 15.6% 24.1% 60.2% -6.0 20
1985-12-23 Dundee D 0-0 1565 1661 42.4% 24.8% 32.9% -0.7 13
1985-12-23 @ Clydebank D 0-0 1661 1565 32.9% 24.8% 42.4% +0.7 19
1985-12-29 Clydebank W 2-0 1791 1564 70.8% 22.3% 6.9% +5.2 22
1985-12-29 @ Celtic L 0-2 1564 1791 6.9% 22.3% 70.8% -5.2 13
1985-12-29 Dundee D 0-0 1868 1662 69.7% 22.6% 7.6% -5.2 24
1985-12-29 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1662 1868 7.6% 22.6% 69.7% +5.2 20
1985-12-29 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1728 1749 51.7% 24.6% 23.7% -29.8 21
1985-12-29 @ Rangers W 2-0 1749 1728 23.7% 24.6% 51.7% +29.8 26
1986-01-01 Rangers W 2-0 1796 1698 62.9% 23.9% 13.2% +9.7 24
1986-01-01 @ Celtic L 0-2 1698 1796 13.2% 23.9% 62.9% -9.7 21
1986-01-01 Aberdeen D 0-0 1667 1891 25.5% 24.3% 50.2% +1.8 21
1986-01-01 @ Dundee D 0-0 1891 1667 50.2% 24.3% 25.5% -1.8 24
1986-01-01 Hibernian W 3-1 1779 1678 63.2% 23.8% 13.0% +8.3 28
1986-01-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1678 1779 13.0% 23.8% 63.2% -8.3 17
1986-01-01 Clydebank W 3-0 1625 1559 60.3% 24.1% 15.5% +16.3 18
1986-01-01 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1559 1625 15.5% 24.1% 60.3% -16.3 13
1986-01-04 St. Mirren W 3-1 1889 1641 71.8% 22.0% 6.2% +4.0 26
1986-01-04 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1641 1889 6.2% 22.0% 71.8% -4.1 18
1986-01-04 Celtic W 4-2 1862 1806 59.5% 24.2% 16.3% +9.0 26
1986-01-04 @ Dundee United L 2-4 1806 1862 16.3% 24.2% 59.5% -9.0 24
1986-01-04 Clydebank L 2-3 1669 1543 65.0% 23.6% 11.5% -17.7 17
1986-01-04 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1543 1669 11.5% 23.6% 65.0% +17.7 15
1986-01-04 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1549 1788 23.9% 24.1% 52.0% -13.8 10
1986-01-04 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1788 1549 52.0% 24.1% 23.9% +13.8 30
1986-01-04 Dundee W 5-0 1688 1669 56.0% 24.5% 19.5% +31.9 23
1986-01-04 @ Rangers L 0-5 1669 1688 19.5% 24.5% 56.0% -31.9 21
1986-01-11 Aberdeen D 1-1 1797 1893 42.4% 24.8% 32.9% -0.6 25
1986-01-11 @ Celtic D 1-1 1893 1797 32.9% 24.8% 42.4% +0.6 27
1986-01-11 Hibernian W 3-1 1637 1652 52.5% 24.6% 22.9% +13.5 23
1986-01-11 @ Dundee L 1-3 1652 1637 22.9% 24.6% 52.5% -13.5 17
1986-01-11 Dundee United D 1-1 1801 1872 45.8% 24.7% 29.5% -1.1 31
1986-01-11 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1872 1801 29.5% 24.7% 45.8% +1.1 27
1986-01-11 Clydebank W 4-2 1720 1560 67.1% 23.2% 9.7% +5.6 25
1986-01-11 @ Rangers L 2-4 1560 1720 9.7% 23.2% 67.1% -5.6 15
1986-01-11 Motherwell W 1-0 1637 1535 63.2% 23.8% 12.9% +5.1 20
1986-01-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1535 1637 12.9% 23.8% 63.2% -5.0 10
1986-01-15 Motherwell W 3-2 1796 1530 72.7% 21.7% 5.6% +2.0 27
1986-01-15 @ Celtic L 2-3 1530 1796 5.6% 21.7% 72.7% -2.0 10
1986-01-18 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1894 1800 62.6% 23.9% 13.5% -19.0 27
1986-01-18 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1800 1894 13.5% 23.9% 62.6% +19.0 33
1986-01-18 Clydebank W 4-0 1873 1555 74.8% 20.9% 4.3% +6.1 29
1986-01-18 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1555 1873 4.3% 20.9% 74.8% -6.1 15
1986-01-18 Celtic D 2-2 1638 1798 33.5% 24.6% 41.9% +0.4 18
1986-01-18 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1798 1638 41.9% 24.6% 33.5% -0.4 28
1986-01-18 Dundee D 2-2 1528 1651 38.7% 24.7% 36.6% -0.1 11
1986-01-18 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1651 1528 36.6% 24.7% 38.7% +0.1 24
1986-01-18 St. Mirren W 2-0 1726 1642 61.8% 24.0% 14.2% +10.4 27
1986-01-18 @ Rangers L 0-2 1642 1726 14.2% 24.0% 61.8% -10.4 20
1986-02-01 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1549 1819 20.6% 23.9% 55.5% +2.4 16
1986-02-01 @ Clydebank D 1-1 1819 1549 55.5% 23.9% 20.6% -2.4 34
1986-02-01 Celtic L 1-3 1651 1798 35.2% 24.6% 40.1% -18.9 24
1986-02-01 @ Dundee W 3-1 1798 1651 40.1% 24.6% 35.2% +18.9 30
1986-02-01 Motherwell W 4-0 1639 1528 63.9% 23.8% 12.4% +17.4 20
1986-02-01 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1528 1639 12.4% 23.8% 63.9% -17.4 11
1986-02-01 Aberdeen D 1-1 1736 1875 36.4% 24.7% 38.9% +0.2 28
1986-02-01 @ Rangers D 1-1 1875 1736 38.9% 24.7% 36.4% -0.2 28
1986-02-01 Dundee United D 1-1 1632 1879 23.0% 24.1% 52.9% +2.0 21
1986-02-01 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1879 1632 52.9% 24.1% 23.0% -2.0 30
1986-02-08 Clydebank W 4-1 1875 1551 75.0% 20.8% 4.2% +3.9 30
1986-02-08 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1551 1875 4.2% 20.8% 75.0% -3.8 16
1986-02-08 St. Mirren D 1-1 1817 1634 68.5% 22.9% 8.6% -4.5 31
1986-02-08 @ Celtic D 1-1 1634 1817 8.6% 22.9% 68.5% +4.5 22
1986-02-08 Hibernian W 4-0 1877 1656 70.5% 22.4% 7.1% +10.2 32
1986-02-08 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1656 1877 7.1% 22.4% 70.5% -10.2 20
1986-02-08 Dundee W 3-1 1817 1632 68.6% 22.9% 8.5% +5.6 36
1986-02-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1632 1817 8.5% 22.9% 68.6% -5.6 24
1986-02-08 Rangers W 1-0 1510 1736 25.3% 24.2% 50.5% +15.4 13
1986-02-08 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1736 1510 50.5% 24.2% 25.3% -15.4 28
1986-02-19 Rangers W 1-0 1878 1721 67.0% 23.2% 9.8% +3.9 32
1986-02-19 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1721 1878 9.8% 23.2% 67.0% -3.9 28
1986-02-22 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1812 1822 52.9% 24.6% 22.5% -2.1 32
1986-02-22 @ Celtic D 1-1 1822 1812 22.5% 24.6% 52.9% +2.1 37
1986-02-22 Rangers D 1-1 1887 1717 67.7% 23.1% 9.2% -4.4 33
1986-02-22 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1717 1887 9.2% 23.1% 67.7% +4.4 29
1986-02-22 Aberdeen L 0-1 1646 1882 24.1% 24.2% 51.7% -8.5 20
1986-02-22 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1882 1646 51.7% 24.2% 24.1% +8.5 34
1986-02-22 Dundee L 1-2 1639 1626 55.3% 24.5% 20.2% -15.9 22
1986-02-22 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1626 1639 20.2% 24.5% 55.3% +15.9 26
1986-02-26 Dundee United L 0-1 1637 1882 23.2% 24.1% 52.7% -8.3 20
1986-02-26 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1882 1637 52.7% 24.1% 23.2% +8.3 35
1986-03-01 Clydebank W 4-0 1642 1547 62.7% 23.9% 13.4% +18.7 28
1986-03-01 @ Dundee L 0-4 1547 1642 13.4% 23.9% 62.7% -18.7 16
1986-03-01 Hibernian W 3-1 1721 1629 62.5% 23.9% 13.6% +8.6 31
1986-03-01 @ Rangers L 1-3 1629 1721 13.6% 23.9% 62.5% -8.6 20
1986-03-12 St. Mirren W 3-0 1620 1623 53.8% 24.6% 21.6% +21.6 22
1986-03-12 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1623 1620 21.6% 24.6% 53.8% -21.6 22
1986-03-12 Dundee United W 2-0 1526 1891 13.1% 22.8% 64.1% +36.4 15
1986-03-12 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1891 1526 64.1% 22.8% 13.1% -36.4 35
1986-03-15 Dundee United D 1-1 1810 1854 49.0% 24.7% 26.2% -1.5 33
1986-03-15 @ Celtic D 1-1 1854 1810 26.2% 24.7% 49.0% +1.5 36
1986-03-15 Hibernian L 1-3 1529 1642 40.0% 24.7% 35.3% -20.8 16
1986-03-15 @ Clydebank W 3-1 1642 1529 35.3% 24.7% 40.0% +20.8 24
1986-03-15 Rangers W 2-1 1661 1730 45.9% 24.7% 29.3% +9.5 30
1986-03-15 @ Dundee L 1-2 1730 1661 29.3% 24.7% 45.9% -9.5 31
1986-03-15 Motherwell W 2-0 1825 1562 72.5% 21.8% 5.7% +4.3 39
1986-03-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1562 1825 5.7% 21.8% 72.5% -4.3 15
1986-03-15 Aberdeen D 1-1 1601 1891 18.8% 23.7% 57.5% +2.7 23
1986-03-15 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1891 1601 57.5% 23.7% 18.8% -2.7 35
1986-03-18 Hibernian W 2-0 1558 1663 41.2% 24.7% 34.1% +21.3 17
1986-03-18 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1663 1558 34.1% 24.7% 41.2% -21.3 24
1986-03-22 Dundee D 0-0 1888 1670 70.3% 22.5% 7.2% -5.4 36
1986-03-22 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1670 1888 7.2% 22.5% 70.3% +5.4 31
1986-03-22 St. Mirren L 0-2 1508 1604 42.4% 24.8% 32.9% -25.1 16
1986-03-22 @ Clydebank W 2-0 1604 1508 32.9% 24.8% 42.4% +25.2 25
1986-03-22 Motherwell W 4-0 1856 1579 73.1% 21.6% 5.3% +7.6 38
1986-03-22 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1579 1856 5.3% 21.6% 73.1% -7.6 17
1986-03-22 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1641 1829 29.9% 24.5% 45.6% -9.6 24
1986-03-22 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1829 1641 45.6% 24.5% 29.9% +9.6 41
1986-03-22 Celtic D 4-4 1720 1809 43.4% 24.8% 31.8% -0.4 32
1986-03-22 @ Rangers D 4-4 1809 1720 31.8% 24.8% 43.4% +0.4 34
1986-03-25 St. Mirren W 3-0 1838 1629 69.9% 22.6% 7.5% +8.2 43
1986-03-25 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1629 1838 7.5% 22.6% 69.9% -8.3 25
1986-03-29 Celtic L 0-5 1483 1809 15.8% 23.3% 60.9% -26.1 16
1986-03-29 @ Clydebank W 5-0 1809 1483 60.9% 23.3% 15.8% +26.1 36
1986-03-29 Dundee United L 0-1 1676 1863 29.8% 24.5% 45.7% -10.2 31
1986-03-29 @ Dundee W 1-0 1863 1676 45.7% 24.5% 29.8% +10.2 40
1986-03-29 Rangers W 3-1 1847 1720 65.0% 23.6% 11.4% +7.4 45
1986-03-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1720 1847 11.4% 23.6% 65.0% -7.4 32
1986-03-29 Aberdeen L 0-1 1571 1883 17.0% 23.5% 59.5% -6.3 17
1986-03-29 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1883 1571 59.5% 23.5% 17.0% +6.3 38
1986-03-29 Hibernian L 0-2 1621 1632 52.8% 24.6% 22.6% -30.5 25
1986-03-29 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1632 1621 22.6% 24.6% 52.8% +30.5 26
1986-04-02 Dundee W 2-1 1835 1666 67.7% 23.1% 9.2% +3.5 38
1986-04-02 @ Celtic L 1-2 1666 1835 9.2% 23.1% 67.7% -3.5 31
1986-04-05 Celtic L 1-2 1590 1839 22.8% 24.1% 53.1% -7.7 25
1986-04-05 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1839 1590 53.1% 24.1% 22.8% +7.7 40
1986-04-05 Motherwell D 1-1 1456 1565 40.7% 24.7% 34.6% -0.4 17
1986-04-05 @ Clydebank D 1-1 1565 1456 34.6% 24.7% 40.7% +0.4 18
1986-04-08 St. Mirren W 5-0 1874 1583 73.7% 21.3% 5.0% +8.7 42
1986-04-08 @ Dundee United L 0-5 1583 1874 5.0% 21.3% 73.7% -8.7 25
1986-04-09 Motherwell W 3-2 1889 1565 75.0% 20.8% 4.2% +1.5 40
1986-04-09 @ Aberdeen L 2-3 1565 1889 4.2% 20.8% 75.0% -1.5 18
1986-04-12 Celtic L 0-1 1891 1846 58.4% 24.3% 17.3% -17.8 40
1986-04-12 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1846 1891 17.3% 24.3% 58.4% +17.8 42
1986-04-12 Rangers W 2-1 1456 1713 22.0% 24.0% 54.0% +15.5 19
1986-04-12 @ Clydebank L 1-2 1713 1456 54.0% 24.0% 22.0% -15.5 32
1986-04-12 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1882 1854 56.9% 24.4% 18.7% -47.5 42
1986-04-12 @ Dundee United W 3-0 1854 1882 18.7% 24.4% 56.9% +47.5 47
1986-04-12 Dundee W 1-0 1662 1662 54.1% 24.6% 21.4% +7.8 28
1986-04-12 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1662 1662 21.4% 24.6% 54.1% -7.8 31
1986-04-12 St. Mirren L 1-2 1564 1574 53.0% 24.6% 22.4% -15.3 18
1986-04-12 @ Motherwell W 2-1 1574 1564 22.4% 24.6% 53.0% +15.3 27
1986-04-16 Dundee United L 0-1 1873 1835 57.8% 24.3% 17.8% -17.6 40
1986-04-16 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1835 1873 17.8% 24.3% 57.8% +17.6 44
1986-04-19 Hibernian W 2-0 1864 1670 69.1% 22.8% 8.1% +6.1 44
1986-04-19 @ Celtic L 0-2 1670 1864 8.1% 22.8% 69.1% -6.1 28
1986-04-19 Dundee United D 1-1 1472 1852 12.1% 22.6% 65.3% +3.9 20
1986-04-19 @ Clydebank D 1-1 1852 1472 65.3% 22.6% 12.1% -3.9 45
1986-04-19 Motherwell W 4-0 1654 1549 63.5% 23.8% 12.7% +17.8 33
1986-04-19 @ Dundee L 0-4 1549 1654 12.7% 23.8% 63.5% -17.8 18
1986-04-19 Rangers W 2-1 1589 1697 40.7% 24.7% 34.5% +10.7 29
1986-04-19 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1697 1589 34.5% 24.7% 40.7% -10.7 32
1986-04-20 Aberdeen D 1-1 1902 1855 58.6% 24.3% 17.1% -2.9 48
1986-04-20 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1855 1902 17.1% 24.3% 58.6% +2.9 41
1986-04-26 Rangers D 1-1 1858 1686 67.8% 23.1% 9.1% -4.4 42
1986-04-26 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1686 1858 9.1% 23.1% 67.8% +4.4 33
1986-04-26 Dundee W 2-0 1870 1672 69.3% 22.7% 7.9% +6.0 46
1986-04-26 @ Celtic L 0-2 1672 1870 7.9% 22.7% 69.3% -6.0 33
1986-04-26 St. Mirren L 1-2 1849 1600 71.9% 22.0% 6.1% -20.6 45
1986-04-26 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1600 1849 6.1% 22.0% 71.9% +20.6 31
1986-04-26 Clydebank W 1-0 1899 1475 78.5% 19.0% 2.5% +1.0 50
1986-04-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1475 1899 2.5% 19.0% 78.5% -1.0 20
1986-04-26 Hibernian W 3-1 1531 1664 37.2% 24.7% 38.1% +20.0 20
1986-04-26 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1664 1531 38.1% 24.7% 37.2% -20.0 28
1986-04-30 Celtic L 0-2 1551 1876 15.9% 23.3% 60.8% -11.2 20
1986-04-30 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1876 1551 60.8% 23.3% 15.9% +11.2 48
1986-05-03 Aberdeen L 0-6 1474 1854 12.2% 22.6% 65.2% -24.5 20
1986-05-03 @ Clydebank W 6-0 1854 1474 65.2% 22.6% 12.2% +24.5 44
1986-05-03 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1666 1900 24.4% 24.2% 51.4% +29.5 35
1986-05-03 @ Dundee L 0-2 1900 1666 51.4% 24.2% 24.4% -29.5 50
1986-05-03 Dundee United L 1-2 1644 1828 30.3% 24.5% 45.2% -9.7 28
1986-05-03 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1828 1644 45.2% 24.5% 30.3% +9.7 47
1986-05-03 Motherwell W 2-0 1691 1540 66.6% 23.3% 10.1% +7.6 35
1986-05-03 @ Rangers L 0-2 1540 1691 10.1% 23.3% 66.6% -7.6 20
1986-05-03 Celtic L 0-5 1620 1888 20.9% 23.9% 55.1% -33.5 31
1986-05-03 @ St. Mirren W 5-0 1888 1620 55.1% 23.9% 20.9% +33.5 50

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1985-10-12 4.98% Heart of Midlothian 1619 1 @ Celtic 1909 0
2 1986-04-26 6.14% St. Mirren 1600 2 @ Dundee United 1849 1
3 1985-10-19 9.98% Hibernian 1611 2 @ Rangers 1764 1
4 1985-10-26 10.98% Dundee United 1756 3 @ Celtic 1891 0
5 1986-01-04 11.45% Clydebank 1543 3 @ Hibernian 1669 2
6 1985-09-21 12.08% Dundee 1672 1 @ Rangers 1788 0
7 1986-03-12 13.09% @ Motherwell 1526 2 Dundee United 1891 0
8 1986-01-18 13.53% Heart of Midlothian 1800 1 @ Aberdeen 1894 0
9 1985-12-10 15.50% @ Clydebank 1575 2 Aberdeen 1906 1
10 1985-08-31 17.22% Clydebank 1675 2 @ St. Mirren 1720 0
11 1986-04-12 17.29% Celtic 1846 1 @ Aberdeen 1891 0
12 1986-04-16 17.83% Dundee United 1835 1 @ Aberdeen 1873 0
13 1986-04-12 18.70% Heart of Midlothian 1854 3 @ Dundee United 1882 0
14 1985-11-23 18.90% @ St. Mirren 1634 1 Aberdeen 1923 0
15 1986-02-22 20.19% Dundee 1626 2 @ St. Mirren 1639 1
16 1985-11-16 21.28% Hibernian 1660 3 @ St. Mirren 1661 1
17 1985-10-30 22.00% @ Heart of Midlothian 1668 1 Aberdeen 1924 0
18 1986-04-12 22.01% @ Clydebank 1456 2 Rangers 1713 1
19 1986-04-12 22.43% St. Mirren 1574 2 @ Motherwell 1564 1
20 1985-10-30 22.53% Hibernian 1630 4 @ Clydebank 1619 2
21 1986-03-29 22.57% Hibernian 1632 2 @ St. Mirren 1621 0
22 1985-12-29 23.71% Heart of Midlothian 1749 2 @ Rangers 1728 0
23 1986-05-03 24.45% @ Dundee 1666 2 Heart of Midlothian 1900 0
24 1986-02-08 25.29% @ Motherwell 1510 1 Rangers 1736 0
25 1985-09-07 28.42% Dundee 1643 3 @ Motherwell 1582 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-10-01 56.19 @ Hibernian 5 1548 35.26% Clydebank 0 1695 40.08% 24.65%
2 1985-10-26 54.64 Dundee United 3 1756 10.98% @ Celtic 0 1891 65.52% 23.50%
3 1986-04-12 47.47 Heart of Midlothian 3 1854 18.70% @ Dundee United 0 1882 56.90% 24.40%
4 1986-03-12 36.41 @ Motherwell 2 1526 13.09% Dundee United 0 1891 64.10% 22.81%
5 1985-09-28 34.44 Aberdeen 3 1886 35.90% @ Rangers 0 1768 39.37% 24.72%
6 1985-09-07 33.89 Celtic 5 1842 54.79% @ Hibernian 0 1578 21.27% 23.94%
7 1985-08-31 33.57 Clydebank 2 1675 17.22% @ St. Mirren 0 1720 58.49% 24.30%
8 1986-05-03 33.46 Celtic 5 1888 55.14% @ St. Mirren 0 1620 20.95% 23.91%
9 1985-11-16 32.17 Dundee United 3 1813 39.32% @ Dundee 0 1672 36.01% 24.67%
10 1986-01-04 31.88 @ Rangers 5 1688 56.01% Dundee 0 1669 19.53% 24.46%
11 1985-08-17 31.58 @ Clydebank 4 1666 50.42% Dundee 0 1699 24.91% 24.67%
12 1986-03-29 30.45 Hibernian 2 1632 22.57% @ St. Mirren 0 1621 52.84% 24.60%
13 1985-12-29 29.83 Heart of Midlothian 2 1749 23.71% @ Rangers 0 1728 51.66% 24.64%
14 1985-11-09 29.68 @ Rangers 3 1731 42.88% Celtic 0 1823 32.38% 24.75%
15 1986-05-03 29.54 @ Dundee 2 1666 24.45% Heart of Midlothian 0 1900 51.36% 24.19%
16 1985-10-05 28.03 Rangers 3 1734 45.34% @ Motherwell 0 1549 30.17% 24.49%
17 1985-12-14 27.76 @ Motherwell 3 1521 45.58% Clydebank 0 1593 29.68% 24.74%
18 1985-11-16 27.63 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1690 45.76% Rangers 0 1760 29.50% 24.74%
19 1985-09-14 27.07 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1609 29.10% Dundee United 0 1803 46.45% 24.45%
20 1985-11-16 27.00 Hibernian 3 1660 21.28% @ St. Mirren 1 1661 54.17% 24.55%
21 1985-10-19 26.41 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1641 47.42% St. Mirren 0 1699 27.85% 24.73%
22 1986-03-29 26.14 Celtic 5 1809 60.90% @ Clydebank 0 1483 15.80% 23.29%
23 1986-03-22 25.15 St. Mirren 2 1604 32.86% @ Clydebank 0 1508 42.39% 24.75%
24 1986-05-03 24.48 Aberdeen 6 1854 65.17% @ Clydebank 0 1474 12.20% 22.62%
25 1985-09-07 23.68 Dundee 3 1643 28.42% @ Motherwell 1 1582 46.84% 24.73%