1983-84 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Aberdeen

57 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Heart of Midlothian

13.13 points above expected

36 points · 22.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Motherwell

9.30 points below expected

15 points · 24.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Aberdeen	36	25	7	4	57	78	21	+57	55.12	+1.88
2	Celtic	36	21	8	7	50	80	41	+39	51.08	-1.08
3	Dundee United	36	18	11	7	47	67	39	+28	47.98	-0.98
4	Rangers	36	15	12	9	42	53	41	+12	40.65	+1.35
5	Heart of Midlothian	36	10	16	10	36	38	47	-9	22.87	+13.13
6	St. Mirren	36	9	14	13	32	55	59	-4	37.09	-5.09
7	Hibernian	36	12	7	17	31	45	55	-10	32.52	-1.52
8	Dundee	36	11	5	20	27	50	74	-24	29.30	-2.30
9	St. Johnstone	36	10	3	23	23	36	81	-45	19.08	+3.92
10	Motherwell	36	4	7	25	15	31	75	-44	24.30	-9.30

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Aberdeen	2064	57	55.12	+1.88	71.7%	36	48	52	55	58	62	70
Celtic	1982	50	51.08	-1.08	44.2%	35	44	48	51	54	58	66
Dundee United	1919	47	47.98	-0.98	44.8%	32	41	45	48	51	55	63
Rangers	1868	42	40.65	+1.35	65.5%	19	33	38	41	44	48	57
St. Mirren	1783	32	37.09	-5.09	16.0%	17	30	34	37	40	45	54
Hibernian	1726	31	32.52	-1.52	41.3%	16	25	29	33	36	40	51
Dundee	1664	27	29.30	-2.30	34.5%	14	22	26	29	32	37	47
Heart of Midlothian	1633	36	22.87	+13.13	99.8%	8	16	20	23	26	30	40
St. Johnstone	1570	23	19.08	+3.92	85.7%	3	12	16	19	22	26	37
Motherwell	1555	15	24.30	-9.30	2.0%	7	17	21	24	27	32	42

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ABE	CEL	DUN	DU	HOM	HIB	MOT	RAN	SJ	SM
Aberdeen	—	2-1-1 6.53	4-0-0 9.29	2-1-1 7.12	3-1-0 9.81	2-1-1 9.10	3-1-0 9.71	2-2-0 8.27	4-0-0 10.12	3-0-1 8.71
Celtic	1-1-2 4.42	—	3-0-1 8.96	0-2-2 6.34	2-2-0 9.52	4-0-0 8.46	3-1-0 9.34	3-0-1 7.52	3-1-0 9.86	2-1-1 8.13
Dundee	0-0-4 1.85	1-0-3 2.13	—	1-1-2 2.43	2-1-1 6.64	0-0-4 5.11	4-0-0 6.35	1-1-2 3.48	2-0-2 7.44	0-2-2 4.04
Dundee United	1-1-2 3.85	2-2-0 4.61	2-1-1 8.62	—	2-2-0 9.20	3-0-1 8.05	3-1-0 9.04	0-2-2 7.17	4-0-0 9.62	1-2-1 7.49
Heart of Midlothian	0-1-3 1.42	0-2-2 1.65	1-1-2 4.32	0-2-2 1.92	—	1-3-0 3.54	2-2-0 5.50	1-2-1 2.56	3-1-0 6.07	2-2-0 2.83
Hibernian	1-1-2 2.01	0-0-4 2.59	4-0-0 5.83	1-0-3 2.96	0-3-1 7.43	—	3-0-1 6.87	0-2-2 4.05	2-0-2 8.09	1-1-2 4.50
Motherwell	0-1-3 1.52	0-1-3 1.81	0-0-4 4.61	0-1-3 2.06	0-2-2 5.44	1-0-3 4.09	—	1-0-3 2.78	1-0-3 6.50	1-2-1 3.32
Rangers	0-2-2 2.76	1-0-3 3.46	2-1-1 7.50	2-2-0 3.81	1-2-1 8.48	2-2-0 6.91	3-0-1 8.25	—	4-0-0 8.88	0-3-1 6.39
St. Johnstone	0-0-4 1.18	0-1-3 1.38	2-0-2 3.54	0-0-4 1.57	0-1-3 4.88	2-0-2 2.92	3-0-1 4.46	0-0-4 2.20	—	3-1-0 2.39
St. Mirren	1-0-3 2.36	1-1-2 2.89	2-2-0 6.92	1-2-1 3.50	0-2-2 8.19	2-1-1 6.45	1-2-1 7.68	1-3-0 4.55	0-1-3 8.68	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.81	+6.9
Allowed	0.89	-6.4
Differential	0.96	+3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.78%	6.39%	5.28%	3.89%	1.39%	1.39%	26.11%
1	6.39%	11.11%	7.50%	4.44%	1.39%	0.56%	31.39%
2	5.28%	7.50%	6.11%	1.94%	1.39%	1.67%	23.89%
3	3.89%	4.44%	1.94%	—	—	0.28%	10.56%
4	1.39%	1.39%	1.39%	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	1.39%	0.56%	1.67%	0.28%	—	—	3.89%
Total	26.11%	31.39%	23.89%	10.56%	4.17%	3.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.48	+0.00
SD	1.34	1.34	2.00
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
3	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
Total	58.33%	27.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.17	0.58	+1.58
SD	1.50	0.81	1.71
CV	0.69	1.38	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	22.22%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.22	1.14	+1.08
SD	1.61	1.07	1.78
CV	0.72	0.94	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%	25.00%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	2.06	-0.67
SD	1.15	1.60	1.97
CV	0.83	0.78	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
1	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	16.67%
2	8.33%	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	33.33%	38.89%	22.22%	—	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.08	+0.78
SD	1.66	1.13	2.19
CV	0.89	1.04	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	22.22%	—	8.33%	5.56%	—	44.44%
2	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	41.67%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.31	-0.25
SD	0.86	1.14	1.34
CV	0.81	0.87	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	2.78%	33.33%
1	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	27.78%
2	—	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	38.89%	30.56%	8.33%	—	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.53	-0.28
SD	1.16	1.21	1.80
CV	0.92	0.79	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	8.33%	19.44%	13.89%	—	—	47.22%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	19.44%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	22.22%	27.78%	25.00%	13.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	2.08	-1.22
SD	0.72	1.23	1.40
CV	0.84	0.59	—
Max	2	4	+1
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	—	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	38.89%	25.00%	19.44%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.14	+0.33
SD	1.32	1.13	1.71
CV	0.90	0.99	—
Max	6	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	—	8.33%	44.44%
1	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%	13.89%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	11.11%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	25.00%	30.56%	8.33%	5.56%	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	2.25	-1.25
SD	1.15	1.81	2.14
CV	1.15	0.80	—
Max	4	7	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	25.00%
1	—	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	13.89%	36.11%	33.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.64	-0.11
SD	1.34	1.17	1.88
CV	0.88	0.72	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Heart of Midlothian	36	22.87	+13.13
2	St. Johnstone	23	19.08	+3.92
3	Aberdeen	57	55.12	+1.88
4	Rangers	42	40.65	+1.35
5	Dundee United	47	47.98	-0.98

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Motherwell	15	24.30	-9.30
2	St. Mirren	32	37.09	-5.09
3	Dundee	27	29.30	-2.30
4	Hibernian	31	32.52	-1.52
5	Celtic	50	51.08	-1.08

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	5	Aug 20 – Sep 24	1 in 5,529
2	St. Johnstone	3	Dec 10 – Dec 27	1 in 424
3	St. Mirren	3	Nov 12 – Nov 22	1 in 43
4	Rangers	5	Nov 26 – Dec 27	1 in 26
5	Aberdeen	7	Oct 22 – Dec 3	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rangers	5	Oct 15 – Nov 12	1 in 242
2	Dundee	4	Dec 10 – Dec 31	1 in 69
3	Motherwell	6	Nov 12 – Dec 17	1 in 48
4	St. Johnstone	7	Aug 20 – Oct 8	1 in 48
5	St. Mirren	2	Sep 17 – Sep 24	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Heart of Midlothian	7	Mar 17 – Apr 28	1 in 834
2	Rangers	15	Nov 19 – Mar 31	1 in 66
3	St. Mirren	7	Oct 29 – Dec 3	1 in 26
4	St. Johnstone	3	Dec 10 – Dec 27	1 in 17
5	Dundee United	11	Dec 3 – Apr 2	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St. Mirren	8	Aug 20 – Oct 22	1 in 89
2	Aberdeen	4	May 5 – May 12	1 in 65
3	Celtic	4	Oct 1 – Oct 22	1 in 26
4	Motherwell	14	Oct 29 – Feb 11	1 in 22
5	Hibernian	8	Dec 17 – Feb 25	1 in 18

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Aberdeen	70.43%	22.89%	6.10%	0.54%	0.03%	0.01%	—	—	—	—
Celtic	21.65%	49.14%	24.39%	4.17%	0.59%	0.06%	—	—	—	—
Dundee United	7.51%	25.04%	53.45%	11.51%	2.23%	0.26%	—	—	—	—
Rangers	0.35%	2.36%	11.98%	53.08%	23.60%	6.83%	1.52%	0.22%	0.04%	0.02%
Heart of Midlothian	—	—	—	0.09%	0.75%	3.52%	12.84%	28.48%	34.24%	20.08%
St. Mirren	0.04%	0.54%	3.48%	23.41%	44.50%	20.26%	5.82%	1.58%	0.32%	0.05%
Hibernian	0.01%	0.03%	0.49%	5.71%	19.54%	41.16%	22.58%	7.23%	2.71%	0.54%
Dundee	0.01%	—	0.11%	1.39%	7.64%	22.28%	39.92%	18.46%	8.08%	2.11%
St. Johnstone	—	—	—	—	0.07%	0.40%	2.38%	9.86%	24.98%	62.31%
Motherwell	—	—	—	0.10%	1.05%	5.22%	14.94%	34.17%	29.63%	14.89%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.78%

Slight Edge

43.89%25.00%31.11%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 44.64 Elo pts.

216 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.33 goals

Neutral

-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.8

One-Team Race

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

70%

Aberdeen, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.19/gm

Tight Race

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.53 * Some Luck: 3.53 to 5.29 * Lucky: 5.29 to 7.06 * Wild Swing: 7.06 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.53 * Close: 0.53 to 0.8 * Off: 0.8 to 1.06 * Way Off: 1.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.61 points

Lucky

04.4111

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Off

00.661.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

99.82%

Heart of Midlothian

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

2.05%

Motherwell

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

2.17

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

82%

Wide Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 97%

95%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

57%

Very Frequent

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.542

Matchup Imbalance

0.54

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.61

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.81

Strong Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Chalky

0%17%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

As Expected

0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.31

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.76

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.110

Well Within Noise

00.1170.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Aberdeen	100%	—
Celtic	100%	—
Dundee United	100%	—
Rangers	99.94%	0.06%
St. Mirren	99.63%	0.37%
Hibernian	96.75%	3.25%
Dundee	89.81%	10.19%
Motherwell	55.48%	44.52%
Heart of Midlothian	45.68%	54.32%
St. Johnstone	12.71%	87.29%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1983-08-20	Dundee	W 3-0	1988	1715	70.3%	22.2%	7.6%	+5.5	2
1983-08-20	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	1715	1988	7.6%	22.2%	70.3%	-5.5	0
1983-08-20	Motherwell	W 4-0	1935	1688	68.7%	22.8%	8.6%	+8.1	2
1983-08-20	@ Dundee United	L 0-4	1688	1935	8.6%	22.8%	68.7%	-8.1	0
1983-08-20	Celtic	L 0-2	1735	1960	18.4%	25.0%	56.6%	-8.8	0
1983-08-20	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	1960	1735	56.6%	25.0%	18.4%	+8.8	2
1983-08-20	St. Mirren	D 1-1	1840	1792	51.6%	26.1%	22.3%	-1.3	1
1983-08-20	@ Rangers	D 1-1	1792	1840	22.3%	26.1%	51.6%	+1.3	1
1983-08-20	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	1563	1547	47.8%	26.3%	25.9%	-10.0	0
1983-08-20	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1547	1563	25.9%	26.3%	47.8%	+10.0	2
1983-09-03	St. Johnstone	W 5-0	1994	1553	78.9%	17.7%	3.4%	+3.6	4
1983-09-03	@ Aberdeen	L 0-5	1553	1994	3.4%	17.7%	78.9%	-3.6	0
1983-09-03	Rangers	W 2-1	1969	1839	59.8%	25.1%	15.1%	+3.7	4
1983-09-03	@ Celtic	L 1-2	1839	1969	15.1%	25.1%	59.8%	-3.7	1
1983-09-03	Dundee United	L 1-4	1710	1943	17.8%	24.9%	57.4%	-10.4	0
1983-09-03	@ Dundee	W 4-1	1943	1710	57.4%	24.9%	17.8%	+10.4	4
1983-09-03	Hibernian	W 3-2	1557	1726	23.9%	25.8%	50.4%	+9.3	4
1983-09-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	1726	1557	50.4%	25.8%	23.9%	-9.3	0
1983-09-03	Motherwell	D 1-1	1793	1680	58.3%	25.3%	16.4%	-2.0	2
1983-09-03	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1680	1793	16.4%	25.3%	58.3%	+2.0	1
1983-09-10	St. Johnstone	W 5-2	1973	1549	78.1%	18.2%	3.7%	+1.8	6
1983-09-10	@ Celtic	L 2-5	1549	1973	3.7%	18.2%	78.1%	-1.8	0
1983-09-10	Hibernian	W 5-0	1954	1717	68.0%	23.0%	9.0%	+10.6	6
1983-09-10	@ Dundee United	L 0-5	1717	1954	9.0%	23.0%	68.0%	-10.6	0
1983-09-10	Rangers	W 3-1	1566	1835	15.0%	24.2%	60.7%	+20.1	6
1983-09-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	1835	1566	60.7%	24.2%	15.0%	-20.1	1
1983-09-10	Aberdeen	D 1-1	1682	1997	12.0%	23.2%	64.7%	+2.6	2
1983-09-10	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	1997	1682	64.7%	23.2%	12.0%	-2.6	5
1983-09-10	Dundee	D 0-0	1791	1700	56.2%	25.6%	18.2%	-2.0	3
1983-09-10	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	1700	1791	18.2%	25.6%	56.2%	+2.0	1
1983-09-17	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1702	1586	58.5%	25.3%	16.2%	-11.3	1
1983-09-17	@ Dundee	W 2-1	1586	1702	16.2%	25.3%	58.5%	+11.3	8
1983-09-17	St. Mirren	W 3-1	1706	1789	34.5%	26.4%	39.0%	+13.8	2
1983-09-17	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	1789	1706	39.0%	26.4%	34.5%	-13.8	3
1983-09-17	Celtic	L 0-3	1684	1975	13.6%	23.8%	62.6%	-9.6	2
1983-09-17	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	1975	1684	62.6%	23.8%	13.6%	+9.6	8
1983-09-17	Aberdeen	L 0-2	1815	1995	22.7%	25.6%	51.6%	-10.5	1
1983-09-17	@ Rangers	W 2-0	1995	1815	51.6%	25.6%	22.7%	+10.5	7
1983-09-17	Dundee United	L 1-2	1547	1964	7.4%	20.8%	71.8%	-1.8	0
1983-09-17	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	1964	1547	71.8%	20.8%	7.4%	+1.8	8
1983-09-24	Dundee United	L 1-2	2005	1966	50.6%	26.2%	23.2%	-9.9	7
1983-09-24	@ Aberdeen	W 2-1	1966	2005	23.2%	26.2%	50.6%	+9.9	10
1983-09-24	Celtic	L 2-6	1690	1984	13.4%	23.7%	62.9%	-8.7	1
1983-09-24	@ Dundee	W 6-2	1984	1690	62.9%	23.7%	13.4%	+8.7	10
1983-09-24	Motherwell	W 2-1	1720	1675	51.3%	26.1%	22.6%	+5.2	4
1983-09-24	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	1675	1720	22.6%	26.1%	51.3%	-5.2	2
1983-09-24	St. Johnstone	W 6-3	1804	1546	69.4%	22.5%	8.1%	+4.0	3
1983-09-24	@ Rangers	L 3-6	1546	1804	8.1%	22.5%	69.4%	-4.0	0
1983-09-24	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	1775	1598	63.7%	24.2%	12.0%	-13.0	3
1983-09-24	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	1598	1775	12.0%	24.2%	63.7%	+13.0	10
1983-10-01	St. Mirren	D 1-1	1993	1762	67.6%	23.1%	9.3%	-2.9	11
1983-10-01	@ Celtic	D 1-1	1762	1993	9.3%	23.1%	67.6%	+2.9	4
1983-10-01	Rangers	L 0-2	1976	1808	63.0%	24.4%	12.6%	-24.2	10
1983-10-01	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	1808	1976	12.6%	24.4%	63.0%	+24.2	5
1983-10-01	Aberdeen	L 0-2	1611	1995	8.7%	21.6%	69.7%	-4.2	10
1983-10-01	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	1995	1611	69.7%	21.6%	8.7%	+4.2	9
1983-10-01	Dundee	L 1-3	1669	1682	44.3%	26.5%	29.3%	-15.3	2
1983-10-01	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	1682	1669	29.3%	26.5%	44.3%	+15.3	3
1983-10-01	Hibernian	L 0-3	1542	1725	22.3%	25.6%	52.1%	-15.0	0
1983-10-01	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	1725	1542	52.1%	25.6%	22.3%	+15.0	6
1983-10-08	St. Mirren	W 5-0	2000	1765	67.8%	23.1%	9.1%	+10.7	11
1983-10-08	@ Aberdeen	L 0-5	1765	2000	9.1%	23.1%	67.8%	-10.7	4
1983-10-08	Celtic	W 2-1	1952	1990	40.8%	26.5%	32.7%	+7.0	12
1983-10-08	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	1990	1952	32.7%	26.5%	40.8%	-7.0	11
1983-10-08	Motherwell	D 0-0	1606	1654	39.5%	26.5%	34.0%	-0.3	11
1983-10-08	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1654	1606	34.0%	26.5%	39.5%	+0.3	3
1983-10-08	Hibernian	W 1-0	1833	1740	56.3%	25.6%	18.1%	+4.6	7
1983-10-08	@ Rangers	L 0-1	1740	1833	18.1%	25.6%	56.3%	-4.6	6
1983-10-08	Dundee	L 0-2	1527	1697	23.8%	25.8%	50.5%	-10.8	0
1983-10-08	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	1697	1527	50.5%	25.8%	23.8%	+10.9	5
1983-10-15	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1983	1606	75.9%	19.5%	4.6%	-3.6	12
1983-10-15	@ Celtic	D 1-1	1606	1983	4.6%	19.5%	75.9%	+3.6	12
1983-10-15	Rangers	W 3-2	1708	1837	28.4%	26.2%	45.4%	+8.5	7
1983-10-15	@ Dundee	L 2-3	1837	1708	45.4%	26.2%	28.4%	-8.5	7
1983-10-15	Aberdeen	W 2-1	1736	2010	14.6%	24.1%	61.3%	+11.7	8
1983-10-15	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	2010	1736	61.3%	24.1%	14.6%	-11.7	11
1983-10-15	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1654	1516	60.6%	24.9%	14.5%	-12.4	3
1983-10-15	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	1516	1654	14.5%	24.9%	60.6%	+12.4	2
1983-10-22	Celtic	W 3-1	1999	1979	48.2%	26.3%	25.5%	+10.0	13
1983-10-22	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	1979	1999	25.5%	26.3%	48.2%	-10.0	12
1983-10-22	Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	1959	1610	74.5%	20.2%	5.3%	+1.4	14
1983-10-22	@ Dundee United	L 0-1	1610	1959	5.3%	20.2%	74.5%	-1.4	12
1983-10-22	Dundee	W 2-1	1747	1716	49.7%	26.2%	24.1%	+5.5	10
1983-10-22	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	1716	1747	24.1%	26.2%	49.7%	-5.5	7
1983-10-22	Motherwell	L 1-2	1829	1642	64.5%	24.1%	11.5%	-12.4	7
1983-10-22	@ Rangers	W 2-1	1642	1829	11.5%	24.1%	64.5%	+12.4	5
1983-10-22	St. Mirren	W 3-2	1528	1754	18.4%	25.0%	56.7%	+10.4	4
1983-10-22	@ St. Johnstone	L 2-3	1754	1528	56.7%	25.0%	18.4%	-10.3	4
1983-10-29	Hibernian	W 5-1	1969	1753	66.6%	23.5%	10.0%	+7.9	14
1983-10-29	@ Celtic	L 1-5	1753	1969	10.0%	23.5%	66.6%	-7.9	10
1983-10-29	Aberdeen	L 1-3	1711	2009	13.1%	23.6%	63.3%	-5.5	7
1983-10-29	@ Dundee	W 3-1	2009	1711	63.3%	23.6%	13.1%	+5.5	15
1983-10-29	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	1608	1538	54.0%	25.9%	20.1%	+9.5	14
1983-10-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1538	1608	20.1%	25.9%	54.0%	-9.5	4
1983-10-29	Dundee United	D 2-2	1654	1960	12.6%	23.4%	63.9%	+1.9	6
1983-10-29	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	1960	1654	63.9%	23.4%	12.6%	-1.9	15
1983-10-29	Rangers	W 3-0	1744	1816	36.0%	26.5%	37.5%	+22.5	6
1983-10-29	@ St. Mirren	L 0-3	1816	1744	37.5%	26.5%	36.0%	-22.5	7
1983-11-05	Dundee	L 0-1	1958	1705	69.0%	22.6%	8.3%	-14.0	15
1983-11-05	@ Dundee United	W 1-0	1705	1958	8.3%	22.6%	69.0%	+14.0	9
1983-11-05	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1745	1618	59.6%	25.1%	15.3%	-2.1	11
1983-11-05	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	1618	1745	15.3%	25.1%	59.6%	+2.1	15
1983-11-05	St. Mirren	D 0-0	1656	1767	30.8%	26.3%	42.9%	+0.6	7
1983-11-05	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	1767	1656	42.9%	26.3%	30.8%	-0.6	7
1983-11-05	Celtic	L 1-2	1794	1977	22.4%	25.6%	52.0%	-5.2	7
1983-11-05	@ Rangers	W 2-1	1977	1794	52.0%	25.6%	22.4%	+5.2	16
1983-11-05	Aberdeen	L 0-5	1529	2014	5.4%	18.9%	75.7%	-5.9	4
1983-11-05	@ St. Johnstone	W 5-0	2014	1529	75.7%	18.9%	5.4%	+5.9	17
1983-11-12	Rangers	W 3-0	2020	1789	67.6%	23.1%	9.2%	+6.8	19
1983-11-12	@ Aberdeen	L 0-3	1789	2020	9.2%	23.1%	67.6%	-6.8	7
1983-11-12	Motherwell	W 4-0	1982	1657	73.3%	20.8%	5.9%	+5.5	18
1983-11-12	@ Celtic	L 0-4	1657	1982	5.9%	20.8%	73.3%	-5.5	7
1983-11-12	St. Johnstone	W 7-0	1944	1523	78.0%	18.2%	3.7%	+5.6	17
1983-11-12	@ Dundee United	L 0-7	1523	1944	3.7%	18.2%	78.0%	-5.6	4
1983-11-12	Hibernian	W 2-1	1766	1743	48.7%	26.3%	25.0%	+5.7	9
1983-11-12	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	1743	1766	25.0%	26.3%	48.7%	-5.7	11
1983-11-13	Dundee	L 1-3	1620	1719	32.3%	26.4%	41.3%	-12.0	15
1983-11-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	1719	1620	41.3%	26.4%	32.3%	+12.0	11
1983-11-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-0	2027	1608	77.9%	18.3%	3.8%	+1.8	21
1983-11-19	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	1608	2027	3.8%	18.3%	77.9%	-1.8	15
1983-11-19	Motherwell	W 2-0	1731	1651	55.0%	25.8%	19.2%	+9.2	13
1983-11-19	@ Dundee	L 0-2	1651	1731	19.2%	25.8%	55.0%	-9.2	7
1983-11-19	St. Johnstone	W 4-1	1737	1517	66.8%	23.4%	9.8%	+6.0	13
1983-11-19	@ Hibernian	L 1-4	1517	1737	9.8%	23.4%	66.8%	-6.0	4
1983-11-19	Dundee United	D 0-0	1782	1950	24.0%	25.8%	50.2%	+1.3	8
1983-11-19	@ Rangers	D 0-0	1950	1782	50.2%	25.8%	24.0%	-1.3	18
1983-11-19	Celtic	W 4-2	1772	1988	19.2%	25.1%	55.6%	+16.6	11
1983-11-19	@ St. Mirren	L 2-4	1988	1772	55.6%	25.1%	19.2%	-16.6	18
1983-11-22	Dundee United	W 4-0	1788	1949	24.8%	25.9%	49.3%	+36.6	13
1983-11-22	@ St. Mirren	L 0-4	1949	1788	49.3%	25.9%	24.8%	-36.6	18
1983-11-26	Dundee	W 1-0	1971	1740	67.6%	23.1%	9.3%	+2.5	20
1983-11-26	@ Celtic	L 0-1	1740	1971	9.3%	23.1%	67.6%	-2.5	13
1983-11-26	Aberdeen	L 0-2	1912	2029	30.0%	26.3%	43.7%	-13.1	18
1983-11-26	@ Dundee United	W 2-0	2029	1912	43.7%	26.3%	30.0%	+13.1	23
1983-11-26	St. Mirren	D 2-2	1606	1825	19.0%	25.1%	55.9%	+1.3	16
1983-11-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	1825	1606	55.9%	25.1%	19.0%	-1.3	14
1983-11-26	Hibernian	L 1-2	1642	1743	32.0%	26.4%	41.6%	-6.9	7
1983-11-26	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	1743	1642	41.6%	26.4%	32.0%	+6.9	15
1983-11-26	Rangers	L 0-1	1511	1783	14.8%	24.1%	61.0%	-3.8	4
1983-11-26	@ St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1783	1511	61.0%	24.1%	14.8%	+3.8	10
1983-12-03	Motherwell	W 3-1	2042	1635	77.3%	18.6%	4.0%	+1.6	25
1983-12-03	@ Aberdeen	L 1-3	1635	2042	4.0%	18.6%	77.3%	-1.6	7
1983-12-03	St. Mirren	D 2-2	1738	1824	34.1%	26.4%	39.5%	+0.2	14
1983-12-03	@ Dundee	D 2-2	1824	1738	39.5%	26.4%	34.1%	-0.2	15
1983-12-03	Dundee United	L 0-2	1750	1899	26.2%	26.0%	47.9%	-11.7	15
1983-12-03	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	1899	1750	47.9%	26.0%	26.2%	+11.7	20
1983-12-03	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	1787	1608	63.9%	24.2%	11.9%	+8.7	12
1983-12-03	@ Rangers	L 0-3	1608	1787	11.9%	24.2%	63.9%	-8.6	16
1983-12-03	Celtic	L 0-3	1508	1974	5.9%	19.5%	74.6%	-4.0	4
1983-12-03	@ St. Johnstone	W 3-0	1974	1508	74.6%	19.5%	5.9%	+4.0	22
1983-12-10	Aberdeen	D 0-0	1978	2043	37.0%	26.5%	36.5%	-0.0	23
1983-12-10	@ Celtic	D 0-0	2043	1978	36.5%	26.5%	37.0%	+0.0	26
1983-12-10	Hibernian	L 0-3	1738	1738	45.8%	26.4%	27.8%	-26.4	14
1983-12-10	@ Dundee	W 3-0	1738	1738	27.8%	26.4%	45.8%	+26.4	17
1983-12-10	Dundee United	D 0-0	1599	1911	12.3%	23.3%	64.4%	+2.8	17
1983-12-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1911	1599	64.4%	23.3%	12.3%	-2.8	21
1983-12-10	Rangers	L 0-3	1634	1796	24.6%	25.9%	49.5%	-16.2	7
1983-12-10	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	1796	1634	49.5%	25.9%	24.6%	+16.2	14
1983-12-10	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	1823	1504	73.0%	21.0%	6.0%	-13.8	15
1983-12-10	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1504	1823	6.0%	21.0%	73.0%	+13.8	6
1983-12-17	Hibernian	W 2-1	2043	1765	70.6%	22.0%	7.4%	+1.8	28
1983-12-17	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	1765	2043	7.4%	22.0%	70.6%	-1.8	17
1983-12-17	Celtic	L 1-3	1602	1978	9.0%	21.8%	69.1%	-3.8	17
1983-12-17	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	1978	1602	69.1%	21.8%	9.0%	+3.8	25
1983-12-17	Dundee	W 2-1	1812	1712	57.0%	25.5%	17.4%	+4.2	16
1983-12-17	@ Rangers	L 1-2	1712	1812	17.4%	25.5%	57.0%	-4.2	14
1983-12-17	Motherwell	W 3-1	1517	1617	32.2%	26.4%	41.4%	+14.5	8
1983-12-17	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-3	1617	1517	41.4%	26.4%	32.2%	-14.5	7
1983-12-24	Aberdeen	L 0-3	1810	2045	17.6%	24.8%	57.6%	-12.2	15
1983-12-24	@ St. Mirren	W 3-0	2045	1810	57.6%	24.8%	17.6%	+12.2	30
1983-12-26	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1603	1598	46.5%	26.4%	27.2%	-0.9	8
1983-12-26	@ Motherwell	D 1-1	1598	1603	27.2%	26.4%	46.5%	+0.9	18
1983-12-27	Dundee United	D 1-1	1982	1908	54.4%	25.8%	19.8%	-1.6	26
1983-12-27	@ Celtic	D 1-1	1908	1982	19.8%	25.8%	54.4%	+1.6	22
1983-12-27	St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1707	1532	63.6%	24.3%	12.1%	-13.0	14
1983-12-27	@ Dundee	W 1-0	1532	1707	12.1%	24.3%	63.6%	+13.0	10
1983-12-27	Rangers	L 0-2	1763	1816	38.7%	26.5%	34.8%	-15.9	17
1983-12-27	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	1816	1763	34.8%	26.5%	38.7%	+15.9	18
1983-12-31	Dundee	W 5-2	2057	1694	75.2%	19.8%	4.9%	+2.5	32
1983-12-31	@ Aberdeen	L 2-5	1694	2057	4.9%	19.8%	75.2%	-2.5	14
1983-12-31	Motherwell	W 2-1	1909	1602	72.3%	21.3%	6.4%	+1.6	24
1983-12-31	@ Dundee United	L 1-2	1602	1909	6.4%	21.3%	72.3%	-1.6	8
1983-12-31	Celtic	L 0-1	1747	1980	17.8%	24.9%	57.3%	-4.5	17
1983-12-31	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	1980	1747	57.3%	24.9%	17.8%	+4.5	28
1983-12-31	St. Mirren	D 1-1	1832	1797	50.0%	26.2%	23.8%	-1.2	19
1983-12-31	@ Rangers	D 1-1	1797	1832	23.8%	26.2%	50.0%	+1.2	16
1983-12-31	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1545	1599	38.6%	26.5%	34.9%	-7.9	10
1983-12-31	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	1599	1545	34.9%	26.5%	38.6%	+7.9	20
1984-01-02	Hibernian	D 1-1	1607	1743	27.7%	26.1%	46.2%	+0.8	21
1984-01-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1743	1607	46.2%	26.1%	27.7%	-0.8	18
1984-01-03	Motherwell	W 2-1	1799	1600	65.3%	23.8%	10.9%	+2.7	18
1984-01-03	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	1600	1799	10.9%	23.8%	65.3%	-2.7	8
1984-01-07	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	1692	1608	55.5%	25.7%	18.8%	+11.0	16
1984-01-07	@ Dundee	L 1-4	1608	1692	18.8%	25.7%	55.5%	-11.0	21
1984-01-07	St. Mirren	D 1-1	1742	1801	37.8%	26.5%	35.7%	-0.1	19
1984-01-07	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	1801	1742	35.7%	26.5%	37.8%	+0.1	19
1984-01-07	Celtic	D 2-2	1598	1984	8.6%	21.6%	69.8%	+2.3	9
1984-01-07	@ Motherwell	D 2-2	1984	1598	69.8%	21.6%	8.6%	-2.3	29
1984-01-07	Aberdeen	D 1-1	1831	2060	18.1%	24.9%	57.0%	+1.8	20
1984-01-07	@ Rangers	D 1-1	2060	1831	57.0%	24.9%	18.1%	-1.8	33
1984-01-07	Dundee United	L 1-2	1537	1911	9.1%	21.9%	69.0%	-2.2	10
1984-01-07	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-1	1911	1537	69.0%	21.9%	9.1%	+2.2	26
1984-01-21	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	1833	1535	71.8%	21.5%	6.7%	+3.3	22
1984-01-21	@ Rangers	L 0-2	1535	1833	6.7%	21.5%	71.8%	-3.3	10
1984-02-04	Celtic	W 1-0	2058	1982	54.6%	25.8%	19.6%	+4.9	35
1984-02-04	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	1982	2058	19.6%	25.8%	54.6%	-4.9	29
1984-02-04	Motherwell	W 2-1	1836	1600	67.9%	23.0%	9.0%	+2.3	24
1984-02-04	@ Rangers	L 1-2	1600	1836	9.0%	23.0%	67.9%	-2.3	9
1984-02-04	St. Johnstone	D 1-1	1801	1531	70.1%	22.2%	7.7%	-3.1	20
1984-02-04	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1531	1801	7.7%	22.2%	70.1%	+3.1	11
1984-02-11	St. Johnstone	W 5-2	1977	1534	79.0%	17.6%	3.4%	+1.6	31
1984-02-11	@ Celtic	L 2-5	1534	1977	3.4%	17.6%	79.0%	-1.6	11
1984-02-11	Hibernian	W 2-0	1913	1742	63.3%	24.4%	12.4%	+6.2	28
1984-02-11	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	1742	1913	12.4%	24.4%	63.3%	-6.2	19
1984-02-11	Rangers	D 2-2	1597	1838	17.1%	24.7%	58.2%	+1.5	22
1984-02-11	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	1838	1597	58.2%	24.7%	17.1%	-1.5	25
1984-02-11	Aberdeen	L 0-4	1598	2063	5.9%	19.5%	74.6%	-5.3	9
1984-02-11	@ Motherwell	W 4-0	2063	1598	74.6%	19.5%	5.9%	+5.3	37
1984-02-11	Dundee	W 4-0	1798	1703	56.6%	25.6%	17.8%	+16.3	22
1984-02-11	@ St. Mirren	L 0-4	1703	1798	17.8%	25.6%	56.6%	-16.3	16
1984-02-14	St. Mirren	W 2-0	1979	1815	62.7%	24.5%	12.8%	+6.4	33
1984-02-14	@ Celtic	L 0-2	1815	1979	12.8%	24.5%	62.7%	-6.4	22
1984-02-18	Hibernian	W 1-0	1533	1736	20.5%	25.3%	54.2%	+11.1	13
1984-02-18	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1736	1533	54.2%	25.3%	20.5%	-11.1	19
1984-02-25	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-1	1985	1598	76.4%	19.2%	4.4%	+2.5	35
1984-02-25	@ Celtic	L 1-4	1598	1985	4.4%	19.2%	76.4%	-2.5	22
1984-02-25	Rangers	L 1-3	1687	1837	26.0%	26.0%	48.0%	-10.1	16
1984-02-25	@ Dundee	W 3-1	1837	1687	48.0%	26.0%	26.0%	+10.1	27
1984-02-25	Aberdeen	L 0-2	1724	2068	10.5%	22.6%	66.9%	-5.2	19
1984-02-25	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	2068	1724	66.9%	22.6%	10.5%	+5.2	39
1984-02-25	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	1592	1544	51.6%	26.1%	22.3%	+5.5	11
1984-02-25	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1544	1592	22.3%	26.1%	51.6%	-5.5	13
1984-02-25	Dundee United	D 2-2	1808	1919	30.7%	26.3%	43.0%	+0.4	23
1984-02-25	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	1919	1808	43.0%	26.3%	30.7%	-0.4	29
1984-02-29	Dundee	W 3-1	1719	1676	51.0%	26.1%	22.9%	+9.2	21
1984-02-29	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	1676	1719	22.9%	26.1%	51.0%	-9.2	16
1984-03-03	St. Mirren	W 2-0	2073	1809	69.8%	22.4%	7.9%	+3.9	41
1984-03-03	@ Aberdeen	L 0-2	1809	2073	7.9%	22.4%	69.8%	-3.9	23
1984-03-03	Celtic	W 3-1	1919	1988	36.5%	26.5%	37.0%	+13.3	31
1984-03-03	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	1988	1919	37.0%	26.5%	36.5%	-13.3	35
1984-03-03	Motherwell	W 2-1	1595	1598	45.5%	26.4%	28.1%	+6.2	24
1984-03-03	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1598	1595	28.1%	26.4%	45.5%	-6.2	11
1984-03-03	Hibernian	D 0-0	1847	1728	58.8%	25.3%	16.0%	-2.3	28
1984-03-03	@ Rangers	D 0-0	1728	1847	16.0%	25.3%	58.8%	+2.3	22
1984-03-03	Dundee	W 1-0	1538	1667	28.5%	26.2%	45.3%	+9.5	15
1984-03-03	@ St. Johnstone	L 0-1	1667	1538	45.3%	26.2%	28.5%	-9.5	16
1984-03-06	Rangers	L 1-4	1548	1845	13.2%	23.6%	63.2%	-7.9	15
1984-03-06	@ St. Johnstone	W 4-1	1845	1548	63.2%	23.6%	13.2%	+7.9	30
1984-03-10	Motherwell	L 1-2	1731	1592	60.6%	24.9%	14.5%	-11.7	22
1984-03-10	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	1592	1731	14.5%	24.9%	60.6%	+11.7	13
1984-03-11	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	1932	1602	73.6%	20.7%	5.8%	+2.4	33
1984-03-11	@ Dundee United	L 1-3	1602	1932	5.8%	20.7%	73.6%	-2.4	24
1984-03-17	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1805	1599	65.8%	23.7%	10.5%	-2.7	24
1984-03-17	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1599	1805	10.5%	23.7%	65.8%	+2.7	25
1984-03-18	St. Johnstone	L 1-2	1719	1540	63.9%	24.2%	11.9%	-12.3	22
1984-03-18	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	1540	1719	11.9%	24.2%	63.9%	+12.3	17
1984-03-20	Celtic	W 3-2	1658	1975	12.0%	23.2%	64.8%	+11.7	18
1984-03-20	@ Dundee	L 2-3	1975	1658	64.8%	23.2%	12.0%	-11.7	35
1984-03-21	Hibernian	W 3-1	1802	1707	56.6%	25.6%	17.8%	+7.5	26
1984-03-21	@ St. Mirren	L 1-3	1707	1802	17.8%	25.6%	56.6%	-7.5	22
1984-03-24	St. Mirren	W 2-1	1602	1809	20.0%	25.3%	54.7%	+10.6	27
1984-03-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1809	1602	54.7%	25.3%	20.0%	-10.6	26
1984-03-24	Hibernian	L 2-3	1603	1699	32.7%	26.4%	40.9%	-6.6	13
1984-03-24	@ Motherwell	W 3-2	1699	1603	40.9%	26.4%	32.7%	+6.6	24
1984-03-28	Dundee	L 2-4	1597	1670	35.9%	26.5%	37.6%	-11.6	13
1984-03-28	@ Motherwell	W 4-2	1670	1597	37.6%	26.5%	35.9%	+11.6	20
1984-03-30	St. Johnstone	W 1-0	2077	1552	82.4%	15.4%	2.2%	+0.5	43
1984-03-30	@ Aberdeen	L 0-1	1552	2077	2.2%	15.4%	82.4%	-0.5	17
1984-03-31	Aberdeen	W 1-0	1963	2078	30.2%	26.3%	43.5%	+9.2	37
1984-03-31	@ Celtic	L 0-1	2078	1963	43.5%	26.3%	30.2%	-9.2	43
1984-03-31	Hibernian	L 1-2	1681	1706	42.6%	26.5%	30.9%	-8.6	20
1984-03-31	@ Dundee	W 2-1	1706	1681	30.9%	26.5%	42.6%	+8.5	26
1984-03-31	Dundee United	D 0-0	1613	1935	11.7%	23.1%	65.2%	+2.9	28
1984-03-31	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1935	1613	65.2%	23.1%	11.7%	-2.9	34
1984-03-31	Rangers	L 0-3	1585	1852	15.2%	24.2%	60.6%	-10.6	13
1984-03-31	@ Motherwell	W 3-0	1852	1585	60.6%	24.2%	15.2%	+10.6	32
1984-03-31	St. Mirren	W 4-2	1552	1799	16.7%	24.6%	58.7%	+17.5	19
1984-03-31	@ St. Johnstone	L 2-4	1799	1552	58.7%	24.6%	16.7%	-17.5	26
1984-04-02	Rangers	W 3-0	1972	1863	57.9%	25.4%	16.7%	+11.8	39
1984-04-02	@ Celtic	L 0-3	1863	1972	16.7%	25.4%	57.9%	-11.8	32
1984-04-02	Dundee United	L 2-5	1673	1932	15.7%	24.4%	59.9%	-8.0	20
1984-04-02	@ Dundee	W 5-2	1932	1673	59.9%	24.4%	15.7%	+8.0	36
1984-04-02	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	2069	1615	79.5%	17.4%	3.2%	-3.8	44
1984-04-02	@ Aberdeen	D 1-1	1615	2069	3.2%	17.4%	79.5%	+3.8	29
1984-04-07	Motherwell	W 2-1	2065	1574	81.0%	16.3%	2.7%	+0.6	46
1984-04-07	@ Aberdeen	L 1-2	1574	2065	2.7%	16.3%	81.0%	-0.6	13
1984-04-07	St. Mirren	L 2-5	1665	1781	30.0%	26.3%	43.7%	-13.9	20
1984-04-07	@ Dundee	W 5-2	1781	1665	43.7%	26.3%	30.0%	+13.9	28
1984-04-07	Dundee United	W 1-0	1714	1940	18.4%	25.0%	56.6%	+11.5	28
1984-04-07	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	1940	1714	56.6%	25.0%	18.4%	-11.5	36
1984-04-07	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1851	1619	67.7%	23.1%	9.2%	-3.3	33
1984-04-07	@ Rangers	D 0-0	1619	1851	9.2%	23.1%	67.7%	+3.3	30
1984-04-07	Celtic	D 0-0	1569	1984	7.5%	20.8%	71.6%	+3.6	20
1984-04-07	@ St. Johnstone	D 0-0	1984	1569	71.6%	20.8%	7.5%	-3.6	40
1984-04-10	Motherwell	W 4-2	1980	1574	77.4%	18.6%	4.0%	+1.5	42
1984-04-10	@ Celtic	L 2-4	1574	1980	4.0%	18.6%	77.4%	-1.5	13
1984-04-14	St. Johnstone	W 3-0	1928	1573	74.9%	20.0%	5.1%	+3.6	38
1984-04-14	@ Dundee United	L 0-3	1573	1928	5.1%	20.0%	74.9%	-3.6	20
1984-04-18	Dundee United	W 5-1	2066	1932	60.1%	25.0%	14.8%	+11.6	48
1984-04-18	@ Aberdeen	L 1-5	1932	2066	14.8%	25.0%	60.1%	-11.6	38
1984-04-18	Motherwell	W 1-0	1651	1572	54.9%	25.8%	19.4%	+4.9	22
1984-04-18	@ Dundee	L 0-1	1572	1651	19.4%	25.8%	54.9%	-4.9	13
1984-04-18	Celtic	L 2-4	1795	1982	22.1%	25.6%	52.4%	-7.9	28
1984-04-18	@ St. Mirren	W 4-2	1982	1795	52.4%	25.6%	22.1%	+7.9	44
1984-04-21	Dundee	D 1-1	1920	1656	69.8%	22.4%	7.9%	-3.1	39
1984-04-21	@ Dundee United	D 1-1	1656	1920	7.9%	22.4%	69.8%	+3.1	23
1984-04-21	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1726	1622	57.4%	25.5%	17.2%	-2.1	29
1984-04-21	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	1622	1726	17.2%	25.5%	57.4%	+2.1	31
1984-04-21	St. Mirren	W 1-0	1568	1787	18.9%	25.1%	56.0%	+11.5	15
1984-04-21	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1787	1568	56.0%	25.1%	18.9%	-11.5	28
1984-04-21	Celtic	W 1-0	1848	1990	27.0%	26.1%	47.0%	+9.8	35
1984-04-21	@ Rangers	L 0-1	1990	1848	47.0%	26.1%	27.0%	-9.8	44
1984-04-21	Aberdeen	L 0-2	1569	2077	4.8%	18.3%	76.8%	-2.2	20
1984-04-21	@ St. Johnstone	W 2-0	2077	1569	76.8%	18.3%	4.8%	+2.2	50
1984-04-24	Dundee	W 3-0	1980	1659	73.0%	20.9%	6.0%	+4.3	46
1984-04-24	@ Celtic	L 0-3	1659	1980	6.0%	20.9%	73.0%	-4.3	23
1984-04-28	Hibernian	W 3-2	1984	1724	69.5%	22.5%	8.1%	+1.9	48
1984-04-28	@ Celtic	L 2-3	1724	1984	8.1%	22.5%	69.5%	-1.9	29
1984-04-28	Aberdeen	L 0-1	1654	2079	7.2%	20.6%	72.3%	-1.8	23
1984-04-28	@ Dundee	W 1-0	2079	1654	72.3%	20.6%	7.2%	+1.8	52
1984-04-28	St. Johnstone	D 2-2	1625	1567	52.6%	26.0%	21.3%	-1.1	32
1984-04-28	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	1567	1625	21.3%	26.0%	52.6%	+1.1	21
1984-04-28	Dundee United	L 1-3	1579	1917	10.8%	22.7%	66.5%	-4.6	15
1984-04-28	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	1917	1579	66.5%	22.7%	10.8%	+4.6	41
1984-04-28	Rangers	D 1-1	1776	1858	34.7%	26.4%	38.9%	+0.2	29
1984-04-28	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	1858	1776	38.9%	26.4%	34.7%	-0.2	36
1984-04-30	St. Mirren	W 2-0	1922	1776	61.2%	24.8%	14.0%	+6.9	43
1984-04-30	@ Dundee United	L 0-2	1776	1922	14.0%	24.8%	61.2%	-6.9	29
1984-05-02	Aberdeen	L 0-1	1624	2081	6.2%	19.7%	74.2%	-1.5	32
1984-05-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 1-0	2081	1624	74.2%	19.7%	6.2%	+1.5	54
1984-05-02	Dundee United	D 2-2	1858	1929	36.2%	26.5%	37.4%	+0.0	37
1984-05-02	@ Rangers	D 2-2	1929	1858	37.4%	26.5%	36.2%	-0.0	44
1984-05-05	Hibernian	D 2-2	2083	1722	75.1%	19.9%	5.0%	-2.6	55
1984-05-05	@ Aberdeen	D 2-2	1722	2083	5.0%	19.9%	75.1%	+2.6	30
1984-05-05	St. Mirren	D 2-2	1929	1769	62.3%	24.6%	13.1%	-1.8	45
1984-05-05	@ Dundee United	D 2-2	1769	1929	13.1%	24.6%	62.3%	+1.8	30
1984-05-05	Celtic	D 1-1	1622	1986	9.6%	22.1%	68.3%	+2.9	33
1984-05-05	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1986	1622	68.3%	22.1%	9.6%	-2.9	49
1984-05-05	Dundee	D 2-2	1858	1653	65.8%	23.7%	10.5%	-2.0	38
1984-05-05	@ Rangers	D 2-2	1653	1858	10.5%	23.7%	65.8%	+2.0	24
1984-05-05	Motherwell	W 3-1	1568	1574	45.0%	26.4%	28.5%	+10.9	23
1984-05-05	@ St. Johnstone	L 1-3	1574	1568	28.5%	26.4%	45.0%	-10.9	15
1984-05-07	Aberdeen	D 0-0	1927	2080	25.6%	25.9%	48.4%	+1.1	46
1984-05-07	@ Dundee United	D 0-0	2080	1927	48.4%	25.9%	25.6%	-1.1	56
1984-05-09	Rangers	D 0-0	2079	1856	67.1%	23.3%	9.6%	-3.2	57
1984-05-09	@ Aberdeen	D 0-0	1856	2079	9.6%	23.3%	67.1%	+3.2	39
1984-05-09	Dundee	D 1-1	1625	1655	41.9%	26.5%	31.6%	-0.4	34
1984-05-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1655	1625	31.6%	26.5%	41.9%	+0.4	25
1984-05-12	Dundee United	D 1-1	1983	1928	52.4%	26.0%	21.6%	-1.4	50
1984-05-12	@ Celtic	D 1-1	1928	1983	21.6%	26.0%	52.4%	+1.4	47
1984-05-12	St. Johnstone	W 2-0	1655	1579	54.6%	25.8%	19.6%	+9.3	27
1984-05-12	@ Dundee	L 0-2	1579	1655	19.6%	25.8%	54.6%	-9.3	23
1984-05-12	Rangers	D 0-0	1725	1859	27.9%	26.1%	46.0%	+0.9	31
1984-05-12	@ Hibernian	D 0-0	1859	1725	46.0%	26.1%	27.9%	-0.9	40
1984-05-12	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	1563	1624	37.6%	26.5%	35.9%	-8.2	15
1984-05-12	@ Motherwell	W 1-0	1624	1563	35.9%	26.5%	37.6%	+8.2	36
1984-05-12	Aberdeen	W 3-2	1771	2076	12.7%	23.5%	63.8%	+11.5	32
1984-05-12	@ St. Mirren	L 2-3	2076	1771	63.8%	23.5%	12.7%	-11.5	57
1984-05-14	Rangers	L 1-2	1929	1858	54.1%	25.9%	20.0%	-10.5	47
1984-05-14	@ Dundee United	W 2-1	1858	1929	20.0%	25.9%	54.1%	+10.5	42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1983-12-10	6.05%	St. Johnstone	1504	2	@ St. Mirren	1823	1
2	1983-11-05	8.33%	Dundee	1705	1	@ Dundee United	1958	0
3	1983-10-22	11.48%	Motherwell	1642	2	@ Rangers	1829	1
4	1984-03-18	11.92%	St. Johnstone	1540	2	@ Hibernian	1719	1
5	1984-03-20	11.99%	@ Dundee	1658	3	Celtic	1975	2
6	1983-09-24	12.00%	Heart of Midlothian	1598	1	@ St. Mirren	1775	0
7	1983-12-27	12.12%	St. Johnstone	1532	1	@ Dundee	1707	0
8	1983-10-01	12.59%	Rangers	1808	2	@ Dundee United	1976	0
9	1984-05-12	12.69%	@ St. Mirren	1771	3	Aberdeen	2076	2
10	1984-03-10	14.46%	Motherwell	1592	2	@ Hibernian	1731	1
11	1983-10-15	14.49%	St. Johnstone	1516	1	@ Motherwell	1654	0
12	1983-10-15	14.64%	@ Hibernian	1736	2	Aberdeen	2010	1
13	1983-09-10	15.05%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1566	3	Rangers	1835	1
14	1983-09-17	16.23%	Heart of Midlothian	1586	2	@ Dundee	1702	1
15	1984-03-31	16.67%	@ St. Johnstone	1552	4	St. Mirren	1799	2
16	1983-10-22	18.37%	@ St. Johnstone	1528	3	St. Mirren	1754	2
17	1984-04-07	18.45%	@ Hibernian	1714	1	Dundee United	1940	0
18	1984-04-21	18.92%	@ Motherwell	1568	1	St. Mirren	1787	0
19	1983-11-19	19.25%	@ St. Mirren	1772	4	Celtic	1988	2
20	1984-05-14	19.99%	Rangers	1858	2	@ Dundee United	1929	1
21	1984-03-24	20.04%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1602	2	St. Mirren	1809	1
22	1984-02-18	20.49%	@ St. Johnstone	1533	1	Hibernian	1736	0
23	1983-09-24	23.24%	Dundee United	1966	2	@ Aberdeen	2005	1
24	1983-09-03	23.86%	@ Heart of Midlothian	1557	3	Hibernian	1726	2
25	1983-11-22	24.84%	@ St. Mirren	1788	4	Dundee United	1949	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1983-11-22	36.56	@ St. Mirren	4	1788	24.84%	Dundee United	0	1949	49.29%	25.87%
2	1983-12-10	26.37	Hibernian	3	1738	27.81%	@ Dundee	0	1738	45.78%	26.41%
3	1983-10-01	24.25	Rangers	2	1808	12.59%	@ Dundee United	0	1976	62.98%	24.43%
4	1983-10-29	22.51	@ St. Mirren	3	1744	36.01%	Rangers	0	1816	37.52%	26.47%
5	1983-09-10	20.14	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1566	15.05%	Rangers	1	1835	60.74%	24.21%
6	1984-03-31	17.46	@ St. Johnstone	4	1552	16.67%	St. Mirren	2	1799	58.72%	24.61%
7	1983-11-19	16.61	@ St. Mirren	4	1772	19.25%	Celtic	2	1988	55.62%	25.13%
8	1984-02-11	16.34	@ St. Mirren	4	1798	56.58%	Dundee	0	1703	17.84%	25.58%
9	1983-12-10	16.25	Rangers	3	1796	49.50%	@ Motherwell	0	1634	24.65%	25.85%
10	1983-12-27	15.88	Rangers	2	1816	34.78%	@ Hibernian	0	1763	38.71%	26.50%
11	1983-10-01	15.29	Dundee	3	1682	29.28%	@ Motherwell	1	1669	44.27%	26.46%
12	1983-10-01	14.99	Hibernian	3	1725	52.07%	@ St. Johnstone	0	1542	22.34%	25.59%
13	1983-12-17	14.48	@ St. Johnstone	3	1517	32.20%	Motherwell	1	1617	41.44%	26.36%
14	1983-11-05	13.98	Dundee	1	1705	8.33%	@ Dundee United	0	1958	69.04%	22.63%
15	1984-04-07	13.88	St. Mirren	5	1781	43.74%	@ Dundee	2	1665	30.00%	26.26%
16	1983-09-17	13.82	@ Hibernian	3	1706	34.54%	St. Mirren	1	1789	39.02%	26.44%
17	1983-12-10	13.77	St. Johnstone	2	1504	6.05%	@ St. Mirren	1	1823	72.97%	20.97%
18	1984-03-03	13.29	@ Dundee United	3	1919	36.48%	Celtic	1	1988	37.04%	26.48%
19	1983-11-26	13.10	Aberdeen	2	2029	43.70%	@ Dundee United	0	1912	30.04%	26.26%
20	1983-09-24	13.01	Heart of Midlothian	1	1598	12.00%	@ St. Mirren	0	1775	63.75%	24.25%
21	1983-12-27	12.98	St. Johnstone	1	1532	12.12%	@ Dundee	0	1707	63.60%	24.28%
22	1983-10-22	12.39	Motherwell	2	1642	11.48%	@ Rangers	1	1829	64.45%	24.07%
23	1983-10-15	12.39	St. Johnstone	1	1516	14.49%	@ Motherwell	0	1654	60.57%	24.94%
24	1984-03-18	12.28	St. Johnstone	2	1540	11.92%	@ Hibernian	1	1719	63.86%	24.22%
25	1983-12-24	12.19	Aberdeen	3	2045	57.59%	@ St. Mirren	0	1810	17.59%	24.81%