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1982-83 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Dundee United

56 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundee United

8.48 points above expected

56 points · 47.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Greenock Morton

5.32 points below expected

20 points · 25.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dundee United 36 24 8 4 56 90 35 +55 47.52 +8.48
2 Celtic 36 25 5 6 55 90 36 +54 51.80 +3.20
3 Aberdeen 36 25 5 6 55 76 24 +52 53.08 +1.92
4 Rangers 36 13 12 11 38 52 41 +11 40.80 -2.80
5 St. Mirren 36 11 12 13 34 47 51 -4 34.41 -0.41
6 Dundee 36 9 11 16 29 42 53 -11 29.91 -0.91
7 Hibernian 36 7 15 14 29 35 51 -16 31.89 -2.89
8 Motherwell 36 11 5 20 27 39 73 -34 23.49 +3.51
9 Greenock Morton 36 6 8 22 20 30 74 -44 25.32 -5.32
10 Kilmarnock 36 3 11 22 17 28 91 -63 21.77 -4.77

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aberdeen 2040 55 53.08 +1.92 71.3% 35 46 50 53 56 60 67
Celtic 2009 55 51.80 +3.20 80.8% 35 45 49 52 55 59 67
Dundee United 1975 56 47.52 +8.48 98.2% 33 40 45 48 51 55 63
Rangers 1837 38 40.80 -2.80 31.0% 23 33 38 41 44 48 58
St. Mirren 1772 34 34.41 -0.41 51.1% 18 27 31 34 38 42 50
Hibernian 1695 29 31.89 -2.89 30.4% 12 24 29 32 35 39 50
Dundee 1665 29 29.91 -0.91 45.9% 13 22 27 30 33 37 46
Motherwell 1633 27 23.49 +3.51 81.8% 8 16 20 23 26 31 40
Greenock Morton 1545 20 25.32 -5.32 13.9% 10 18 22 25 28 33 43
Kilmarnock 1530 17 21.77 -4.77 16.3% 8 15 19 22 25 29 40

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU GM HIB KIL MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen —
3-0-1
5.61
4-0-0
9.02
2-0-2
6.66
3-1-0
9.59
2-2-0
8.91
4-0-0
9.75
4-0-0
9.55
2-0-2
7.77
1-2-1
8.51
Celtic
1-0-3
5.32
 —
2-1-1
8.83
1-2-1
6.38
4-0-0
9.33
4-0-0
8.66
4-0-0
9.62
3-0-1
9.46
3-1-0
7.55
3-1-0
8.25
Dundee
0-0-4
2.07
1-1-2
2.24
 —
0-0-4
2.48
2-1-1
6.23
1-2-1
5.19
1-2-1
7.03
2-1-1
6.66
2-2-0
3.54
0-2-2
4.87
Dundee United
2-0-2
4.28
1-2-1
4.55
4-0-0
8.55
 —
3-1-0
9.01
1-3-0
7.86
3-1-0
9.11
4-0-0
9.08
2-1-1
6.73
4-0-0
7.62
Greenock Morton
0-1-3
1.57
0-0-4
1.82
1-1-2
4.69
0-1-3
2.07
 —
1-1-2
4.27
1-1-2
6.39
1-0-3
5.94
0-2-2
3.13
2-1-1
3.64
Hibernian
0-2-2
2.18
0-0-4
2.38
1-2-1
5.73
0-3-1
3.14
2-1-1
6.66
 —
2-2-0
7.12
2-1-1
6.96
0-2-2
3.84
0-2-2
5.18
Kilmarnock
0-0-4
1.47
0-0-4
1.56
1-2-1
3.91
0-1-3
2.01
2-1-1
4.54
0-2-2
3.83
 —
0-1-3
5.05
0-2-2
2.66
0-2-2
3.36
Motherwell
0-0-4
1.61
1-0-3
1.69
1-1-2
4.28
0-0-4
2.03
3-0-1
5.00
1-1-2
3.99
3-1-0
5.88
 —
1-1-2
2.66
1-1-2
3.63
Rangers
2-0-2
3.22
0-1-3
3.42
0-2-2
7.42
1-1-2
4.22
2-2-0
7.87
2-2-0
7.11
2-2-0
8.36
2-1-1
8.36
 —
2-1-1
6.74
St. Mirren
1-2-1
2.53
0-1-3
2.76
2-2-0
6.06
0-0-4
3.35
1-1-2
7.32
2-2-0
5.74
2-2-0
7.61
2-1-1
7.33
1-1-2
4.20
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.95 +6.0
Allowed 0.82 -6.4
Differential 0.98 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%5.00%7.50%3.33%2.78%3.06%30.56%
15.00%11.67%6.39%3.06%1.39%1.11%28.61%
27.50%6.39%3.89%2.22%0.56%0.56%21.11%
33.33%3.06%2.22%1.11%—0.28%10.00%
42.78%1.39%0.56%———4.72%
5+3.06%1.11%0.56%0.28%——5.00%
Total30.56%28.61%21.11%10.00%4.72%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.47 2.33
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
18.33%11.11%11.11%———30.56%
222.22%8.33%————30.56%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%————11.11%
Total47.22%38.89%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 0.67 +1.44
SD 1.43 0.72 1.76
CV 0.68 1.08 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%————5.56%
12.78%5.56%5.56%5.56%——19.44%
211.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
38.33%2.78%8.33%———19.44%
45.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
5+8.33%2.78%————11.11%
Total38.89%30.56%22.22%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.00 +1.50
SD 1.52 0.99 2.05
CV 0.61 0.99 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%13.89%———38.89%
12.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
22.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%—2.78%22.22%
3—5.56%—2.78%—2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total16.67%44.44%25.00%8.33%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.47 -0.31
SD 1.23 1.21 1.39
CV 1.05 0.82 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%—2.78%2.78%——13.89%
12.78%8.33%2.78%——2.78%16.67%
211.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
35.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
48.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
5+11.11%——2.78%——13.89%
Total47.22%25.00%16.67%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.97 +1.53
SD 1.78 1.21 2.34
CV 0.71 1.24 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%16.67%2.78%5.56%5.56%44.44%
12.78%11.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%38.89%
22.78%2.78%————5.56%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%22.22%30.56%11.11%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 2.06 -1.22
SD 0.97 1.57 2.00
CV 1.17 0.76 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%—8.33%11.11%—2.78%41.67%
111.11%16.67%8.33%—2.78%—38.89%
25.56%—2.78%5.56%——13.89%
3———2.78%——2.78%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total36.11%19.44%19.44%19.44%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.42 -0.44
SD 1.44 1.38 2.01
CV 1.49 0.97 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%13.89%2.78%8.33%13.89%52.78%
1—11.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%25.00%
22.78%—8.33%2.78%—2.78%16.67%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%16.67%27.78%8.33%11.11%19.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 2.53 -1.75
SD 1.02 2.04 2.48
CV 1.31 0.81 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%8.33%8.33%5.56%38.89%
15.56%8.33%2.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%33.33%
28.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%30.56%11.11%19.44%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 2.03 -0.94
SD 1.18 1.73 2.51
CV 1.09 0.85 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
18.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
22.78%11.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%—27.78%
3——2.78%———2.78%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total36.11%33.33%16.67%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.14 +0.31
SD 1.38 1.17 1.86
CV 0.96 1.03 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%33.33%
15.56%16.67%5.56%———27.78%
25.56%2.78%8.33%5.56%——22.22%
38.33%—2.78%———11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total30.56%25.00%27.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.42 -0.11
SD 1.28 1.32 2.05
CV 0.98 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 56 47.52 +8.48
2 Motherwell 27 23.49 +3.51
3 Celtic 55 51.80 +3.20
4 Aberdeen 55 53.08 +1.92
5 St. Mirren 34 34.41 -0.41

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Greenock Morton 20 25.32 -5.32
2 Kilmarnock 17 21.77 -4.77
3 Hibernian 29 31.89 -2.89
4 Rangers 38 40.80 -2.80
5 Dundee 29 29.91 -0.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 11 Oct 16 – Jan 1 1 in 409
2 Dundee United 7 Nov 13 – Jan 1 1 in 35
3 Motherwell 2 Jan 1 – Jan 3 1 in 24
4 Rangers 3 Apr 9 – Apr 30 1 in 13
5 Aberdeen 5 Dec 18 – Jan 8 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aberdeen 2 Apr 2 – Apr 9 1 in 78
2 Kilmarnock 6 Dec 11 – Jan 8 1 in 47
3 Greenock Morton 6 Apr 9 – May 14 1 in 23
4 Hibernian 3 Sep 25 – Oct 9 1 in 18
5 Rangers 2 Jan 1 – Jan 3 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 8 Sep 4 – Oct 23 1 in 13
2 Dundee United 10 Jan 15 – Apr 4 1 in 10
3 Celtic 13 Oct 16 – Jan 8 1 in 10
4 Dundee 5 Sep 11 – Oct 9 1 in 9
5 Kilmarnock 3 Nov 6 – Nov 20 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 6 Dec 27 – Feb 5 1 in 49
2 Celtic 3 Mar 19 – Mar 26 1 in 25
3 Greenock Morton 11 Oct 9 – Dec 27 1 in 19
4 Hibernian 8 Oct 23 – Dec 11 1 in 16
5 Kilmarnock 11 Nov 13 – Jan 15 1 in 12

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Dundee United10.64%23.58%51.55%12.39%1.61%0.20%0.03%———
Celtic37.65%39.69%19.67%2.79%0.17%0.03%————
Aberdeen51.08%33.93%13.24%1.65%0.08%0.02%————
Rangers0.62%2.65%13.35%60.96%16.21%4.51%1.34%0.31%0.05%—
St. Mirren0.01%0.13%1.51%13.55%41.22%24.66%12.26%4.69%1.54%0.43%
Dundee—0.01%0.14%2.57%14.16%26.15%30.32%16.08%7.77%2.80%
Hibernian—0.01%0.54%5.63%22.75%31.23%23.35%10.63%4.53%1.33%
Motherwell———0.11%1.22%4.00%10.53%23.55%32.15%28.44%
Greenock Morton———0.33%2.16%7.21%16.39%29.57%27.25%17.09%
Kilmarnock———0.02%0.42%1.99%5.78%15.17%26.71%49.91%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.78%
Clear Edge
46.11%25.56%28.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
154 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
062.43400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.41+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
11%
Dundee United, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.54 * Some Luck: 3.54 to 5.32 * Lucky: 5.32 to 7.09 * Wild Swing: 7.09 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.64 * Close: 0.64 to 0.95 * Off: 0.95 to 1.27 * Way Off: 1.27 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.08 points
Some Luck
04.4311
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Close
00.792
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
98.24%
Dundee United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
13.87%
Greenock Morton
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.44
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
85%
Wide Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Very Frequent
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Very Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.86
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.92
Near-Lock
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.56
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.048
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aberdeen 100% —
Celtic 100% —
Dundee United 100% —
Rangers 99.95% 0.05%
St. Mirren 98.03% 1.97%
Hibernian 94.14% 5.86%
Dundee 89.43% 10.57%
Greenock Morton 55.66% 44.34%
Motherwell 39.41% 60.59%
Kilmarnock 23.38% 76.62%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1982-09-04 Dundee W 2-0 1938 1691 69.7% 22.9% 7.4% +4.0 2
1982-09-04 @ Celtic L 0-2 1691 1938 7.4% 22.9% 69.7% -4.0 0
1982-09-04 Aberdeen W 2-0 1851 1965 33.6% 27.0% 39.5% +17.3 2
1982-09-04 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1965 1851 39.5% 27.0% 33.6% -17.3 0
1982-09-04 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1679 1639 53.2% 26.6% 20.2% -1.8 1
1982-09-04 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1639 1679 20.2% 26.6% 53.2% +1.8 1
1982-09-04 St. Mirren D 0-0 1742 1779 44.3% 27.1% 28.6% -0.8 1
1982-09-04 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1779 1742 28.6% 27.1% 44.3% +0.8 1
1982-09-04 Rangers D 2-2 1586 1831 18.9% 25.6% 55.5% +1.4 1
1982-09-04 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1831 1586 55.5% 25.6% 18.9% -1.4 1
1982-09-11 Greenock Morton W 4-1 1948 1678 71.0% 22.4% 6.6% +4.4 2
1982-09-11 @ Aberdeen L 1-4 1678 1948 6.6% 22.4% 71.0% -4.4 1
1982-09-11 Motherwell W 3-1 1687 1588 59.0% 25.9% 15.1% +7.0 2
1982-09-11 @ Dundee L 1-3 1588 1687 15.1% 25.9% 59.0% -7.0 1
1982-09-11 Hibernian D 1-1 1641 1742 35.5% 27.0% 37.5% +0.1 2
1982-09-11 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1742 1641 37.5% 27.0% 35.5% -0.1 2
1982-09-11 Dundee United D 0-0 1829 1868 44.0% 27.1% 28.9% -0.8 2
1982-09-11 @ Rangers D 0-0 1868 1829 28.9% 27.1% 44.0% +0.8 3
1982-09-11 Celtic L 1-2 1780 1942 27.5% 26.6% 45.9% -6.6 1
1982-09-11 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1942 1780 45.9% 26.6% 27.5% +6.6 4
1982-09-18 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1694 1673 51.2% 26.8% 22.0% +11.1 4
1982-09-18 @ Dundee L 0-2 1673 1694 22.0% 26.8% 51.2% -11.1 1
1982-09-18 Dundee United D 0-0 1742 1869 31.9% 26.9% 41.2% +0.5 3
1982-09-18 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1869 1742 41.2% 26.9% 31.9% -0.5 4
1982-09-18 Celtic L 0-7 1581 1948 10.6% 23.0% 66.4% -17.9 1
1982-09-18 @ Motherwell W 7-0 1948 1581 66.4% 23.0% 10.6% +18.0 6
1982-09-18 Kilmarnock W 5-0 1829 1641 65.9% 24.3% 9.9% +12.6 4
1982-09-18 @ Rangers L 0-5 1641 1829 9.9% 24.3% 65.9% -12.6 2
1982-09-18 Aberdeen D 1-1 1773 1952 25.5% 26.5% 48.1% +1.1 2
1982-09-18 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1952 1773 48.1% 26.5% 25.5% -1.1 3
1982-09-25 Rangers L 1-2 1951 1841 59.9% 25.7% 14.3% -12.5 3
1982-09-25 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1841 1951 14.3% 25.7% 59.9% +12.5 6
1982-09-25 Hibernian W 2-0 1966 1742 68.3% 23.5% 8.2% +4.5 8
1982-09-25 @ Celtic L 0-2 1742 1966 8.2% 23.5% 68.3% -4.5 3
1982-09-25 St. Mirren W 3-0 1868 1774 58.5% 25.9% 15.5% +12.0 6
1982-09-25 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1774 1868 15.5% 25.9% 58.5% -12.0 2
1982-09-25 Motherwell W 3-1 1662 1563 59.0% 25.9% 15.1% +7.0 3
1982-09-25 @ Greenock Morton L 1-3 1563 1662 15.1% 25.9% 59.0% -7.0 1
1982-09-25 Dundee D 0-0 1629 1705 38.9% 27.1% 34.0% -0.2 3
1982-09-25 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1705 1629 34.0% 27.1% 38.9% +0.2 5
1982-10-02 Motherwell W 2-1 1939 1556 76.8% 19.4% 3.8% +1.0 5
1982-10-02 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1556 1939 3.8% 19.4% 76.8% -1.0 1
1982-10-02 Celtic D 2-2 1880 1971 36.9% 27.1% 36.0% -0.0 7
1982-10-02 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1971 1880 36.0% 27.1% 36.9% +0.0 9
1982-10-02 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1738 1669 56.1% 26.3% 17.6% -11.7 3
1982-10-02 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1669 1738 17.6% 26.3% 56.1% +11.7 5
1982-10-02 Dundee D 1-1 1854 1706 63.0% 25.1% 11.9% -2.7 7
1982-10-02 @ Rangers D 1-1 1706 1854 11.9% 25.1% 63.0% +2.7 6
1982-10-02 Kilmarnock W 3-2 1762 1629 61.9% 25.3% 12.8% +3.3 4
1982-10-02 @ St. Mirren L 2-3 1629 1762 12.8% 25.3% 61.9% -3.3 3
1982-10-09 Aberdeen L 1-3 1971 1940 52.3% 26.7% 21.0% -19.0 9
1982-10-09 @ Celtic W 3-1 1940 1971 21.0% 26.7% 52.3% +19.0 7
1982-10-09 Hibernian W 2-1 1708 1726 46.7% 27.0% 26.3% +6.4 8
1982-10-09 @ Dundee L 1-2 1726 1708 26.3% 27.0% 46.7% -6.4 3
1982-10-09 Rangers D 0-0 1681 1851 26.5% 26.6% 46.9% +1.1 6
1982-10-09 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1851 1681 46.9% 26.6% 26.5% -1.1 8
1982-10-09 Dundee United D 1-1 1625 1880 18.0% 25.4% 56.6% +1.9 4
1982-10-09 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1880 1625 56.6% 25.4% 18.0% -1.9 8
1982-10-09 St. Mirren W 2-0 1555 1765 22.1% 26.1% 51.8% +21.6 3
1982-10-09 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1765 1555 51.8% 26.1% 22.1% -21.6 4
1982-10-16 Dundee W 1-0 1959 1715 69.5% 23.0% 7.5% +2.2 9
1982-10-16 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1715 1959 7.5% 23.0% 69.5% -2.2 8
1982-10-16 Kilmarnock W 2-1 1952 1627 74.0% 20.9% 5.1% +1.3 11
1982-10-16 @ Celtic L 1-2 1627 1952 5.1% 20.9% 74.0% -1.4 4
1982-10-16 Greenock Morton W 6-0 1878 1682 66.5% 24.1% 9.4% +14.4 10
1982-10-16 @ Dundee United L 0-6 1682 1878 9.4% 24.1% 66.5% -14.4 6
1982-10-16 Motherwell W 1-0 1719 1576 62.6% 25.1% 12.2% +3.5 5
1982-10-16 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1576 1719 12.2% 25.1% 62.6% -3.5 3
1982-10-16 Rangers D 2-2 1744 1850 34.7% 27.0% 38.3% +0.1 5
1982-10-16 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1850 1744 38.3% 27.0% 34.7% -0.1 9
1982-10-23 St. Mirren D 1-1 1713 1744 44.9% 27.1% 28.0% -0.8 9
1982-10-23 @ Dundee D 1-1 1744 1713 28.0% 27.1% 44.9% +0.8 6
1982-10-23 Celtic L 1-2 1668 1953 15.6% 24.8% 59.6% -4.1 6
1982-10-23 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1953 1668 59.6% 24.8% 15.6% +4.1 13
1982-10-23 Aberdeen L 0-2 1626 1961 12.3% 23.8% 63.9% -6.5 4
1982-10-23 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1961 1626 63.9% 23.8% 12.3% +6.5 11
1982-10-23 Dundee United L 0-2 1573 1893 13.3% 24.1% 62.6% -7.0 3
1982-10-23 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1893 1573 62.6% 24.1% 13.3% +7.0 12
1982-10-23 Hibernian W 3-2 1850 1723 61.3% 25.4% 13.2% +3.4 11
1982-10-23 @ Rangers L 2-3 1723 1850 13.2% 25.4% 61.3% -3.4 5
1982-10-30 Rangers W 3-2 1957 1853 59.4% 25.8% 14.8% +3.8 15
1982-10-30 @ Celtic L 2-3 1853 1957 14.8% 25.8% 59.4% -3.8 11
1982-10-30 Dundee W 1-0 1900 1712 65.9% 24.3% 9.8% +2.9 14
1982-10-30 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1712 1900 9.8% 24.3% 65.9% -2.9 9
1982-10-30 Aberdeen D 1-1 1720 1967 18.6% 25.5% 55.9% +1.9 6
1982-10-30 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1967 1720 55.9% 25.5% 18.6% -1.9 12
1982-10-30 Kilmarnock W 4-1 1566 1619 42.0% 27.1% 30.9% +17.7 5
1982-10-30 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1619 1566 30.9% 27.1% 42.0% -17.7 4
1982-10-30 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1745 1664 57.4% 26.1% 16.5% -2.1 7
1982-10-30 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1664 1745 16.5% 26.1% 57.4% +2.1 7
1982-11-06 Dundee United W 5-1 1966 1902 55.6% 26.4% 18.0% +14.9 14
1982-11-06 @ Aberdeen L 1-5 1902 1966 18.0% 26.4% 55.6% -14.9 14
1982-11-06 Celtic L 2-3 1709 1961 18.3% 25.4% 56.3% -4.4 9
1982-11-06 @ Dundee W 3-2 1961 1709 56.3% 25.4% 18.3% +4.4 17
1982-11-06 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1602 1666 40.6% 27.1% 32.3% +12.9 6
1982-11-06 @ Kilmarnock L 1-3 1666 1602 32.3% 27.1% 40.6% -12.9 7
1982-11-06 Motherwell W 4-0 1849 1583 70.8% 22.5% 6.7% +6.9 13
1982-11-06 @ Rangers L 0-4 1583 1849 6.7% 22.5% 70.8% -6.9 5
1982-11-06 Hibernian W 3-0 1743 1721 51.2% 26.8% 22.0% +16.1 9
1982-11-06 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1721 1743 22.0% 26.8% 51.2% -16.1 6
1982-11-13 St. Mirren W 5-0 1965 1759 67.2% 23.9% 9.0% +11.5 19
1982-11-13 @ Celtic L 0-5 1759 1965 9.0% 23.9% 67.2% -11.5 9
1982-11-13 Rangers W 4-2 1888 1856 52.3% 26.7% 21.0% +8.3 16
1982-11-13 @ Dundee United L 2-4 1856 1888 21.0% 26.7% 52.3% -8.3 13
1982-11-13 Kilmarnock D 2-2 1705 1615 58.2% 26.0% 15.8% -1.6 7
1982-11-13 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1615 1705 15.8% 26.0% 58.2% +1.6 7
1982-11-13 Dundee W 1-0 1577 1704 31.8% 26.9% 41.3% +9.5 7
1982-11-13 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1704 1577 41.3% 26.9% 31.8% -9.5 9
1982-11-20 St. Mirren W 4-0 1980 1747 68.9% 23.3% 7.9% +8.2 16
1982-11-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-4 1747 1980 7.9% 23.3% 68.9% -8.2 9
1982-11-20 Motherwell W 3-1 1977 1586 77.1% 19.1% 3.7% +1.6 21
1982-11-20 @ Celtic L 1-3 1586 1977 3.7% 19.1% 77.1% -1.6 7
1982-11-20 Hibernian W 3-0 1896 1704 66.2% 24.2% 9.6% +7.7 18
1982-11-20 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1704 1896 9.6% 24.2% 66.2% -7.7 7
1982-11-20 Dundee L 1-2 1653 1695 43.5% 27.1% 29.4% -9.4 7
1982-11-20 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1695 1653 29.4% 27.1% 43.5% +9.3 11
1982-11-20 Rangers D 0-0 1616 1848 20.1% 25.8% 54.2% +1.9 8
1982-11-20 @ Kilmarnock D 0-0 1848 1616 54.2% 25.8% 20.1% -1.9 14
1982-11-27 Kilmarnock W 5-2 1704 1618 57.8% 26.1% 16.1% +9.1 13
1982-11-27 @ Dundee L 2-5 1618 1704 16.1% 26.1% 57.8% -9.1 8
1982-11-27 Celtic L 2-3 1696 1978 15.8% 24.9% 59.3% -3.9 7
1982-11-27 @ Hibernian W 3-2 1978 1696 59.3% 24.9% 15.8% +3.9 23
1982-11-27 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1584 1643 41.3% 27.1% 31.6% +12.7 9
1982-11-27 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1643 1584 31.6% 27.1% 41.3% -12.7 7
1982-11-27 Aberdeen L 0-1 1846 1989 29.9% 26.8% 43.3% -7.4 14
1982-11-27 @ Rangers W 1-0 1989 1846 43.3% 26.8% 29.9% +7.4 18
1982-11-27 Dundee United L 0-2 1739 1904 27.2% 26.6% 46.2% -13.0 9
1982-11-27 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1904 1739 46.2% 26.6% 27.2% +13.0 20
1982-12-04 Hibernian D 0-0 1631 1692 40.9% 27.1% 32.0% -0.5 8
1982-12-04 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1692 1631 32.0% 27.1% 40.9% +0.5 8
1982-12-04 St. Mirren D 2-2 1609 1726 33.2% 27.0% 39.8% +0.2 9
1982-12-04 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1726 1609 39.8% 27.0% 33.2% -0.2 10
1982-12-04 Aberdeen L 0-2 1597 1996 9.1% 22.3% 68.6% -4.8 9
1982-12-04 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1996 1597 68.6% 22.3% 9.1% +4.8 20
1982-12-11 Celtic L 1-2 2001 1982 50.9% 26.8% 22.3% -10.7 20
1982-12-11 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1982 2001 22.3% 26.8% 50.9% +10.7 25
1982-12-11 Kilmarnock W 7-0 1917 1609 73.1% 21.4% 5.5% +9.5 22
1982-12-11 @ Dundee United L 0-7 1609 1917 5.5% 21.4% 73.1% -9.5 9
1982-12-11 Dundee D 1-1 1693 1713 46.2% 27.0% 26.7% -0.9 9
1982-12-11 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1713 1693 26.7% 27.0% 46.2% +0.9 14
1982-12-11 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1839 1630 67.3% 23.8% 8.9% -3.1 15
1982-12-11 @ Rangers D 1-1 1630 1839 8.9% 23.8% 67.3% +3.1 9
1982-12-11 Motherwell W 3-0 1726 1592 61.9% 25.3% 12.8% +10.1 12
1982-12-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1592 1726 12.8% 25.3% 61.9% -10.1 9
1982-12-18 Aberdeen L 0-2 1714 1990 16.3% 25.0% 58.7% -8.5 14
1982-12-18 @ Dundee W 2-0 1990 1714 58.7% 25.0% 16.3% +8.5 22
1982-12-18 Dundee United L 1-2 1633 1926 15.1% 24.7% 60.2% -3.9 9
1982-12-18 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1926 1633 60.2% 24.7% 15.1% +3.9 24
1982-12-18 Celtic L 0-4 1600 1993 9.4% 22.4% 68.2% -9.4 9
1982-12-18 @ Kilmarnock W 4-0 1993 1600 68.2% 22.4% 9.4% +9.4 27
1982-12-18 Hibernian L 0-1 1582 1692 34.3% 27.0% 38.8% -8.3 9
1982-12-18 @ Motherwell W 1-0 1692 1582 38.8% 27.0% 34.3% +8.3 11
1982-12-18 St. Mirren W 1-0 1836 1736 59.0% 25.9% 15.1% +4.3 17
1982-12-18 @ Rangers L 0-1 1736 1836 15.1% 25.9% 59.0% -4.3 12
1982-12-27 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1999 1590 77.9% 18.6% 3.4% +1.7 24
1982-12-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1590 1999 3.4% 18.6% 77.9% -1.7 9
1982-12-27 Greenock Morton W 5-1 2002 1629 76.3% 19.6% 4.0% +3.3 29
1982-12-27 @ Celtic L 1-5 1629 2002 4.0% 19.6% 76.3% -3.3 9
1982-12-27 Motherwell W 5-0 1930 1574 75.5% 20.1% 4.4% +5.3 26
1982-12-27 @ Dundee United L 0-5 1574 1930 4.4% 20.1% 75.5% -5.3 9
1982-12-27 Rangers D 0-0 1700 1840 30.2% 26.8% 43.0% +0.7 12
1982-12-27 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1840 1700 43.0% 26.8% 30.2% -0.7 18
1982-12-27 Dundee D 0-0 1732 1706 51.7% 26.7% 21.6% -1.7 13
1982-12-27 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1706 1732 21.6% 26.7% 51.7% +1.7 15
1983-01-01 Hibernian W 2-0 2000 1701 72.7% 21.6% 5.7% +3.1 26
1983-01-01 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1701 2000 5.7% 21.6% 72.7% -3.1 12
1983-01-01 Dundee United L 0-2 1708 1935 20.4% 25.8% 53.7% -10.3 15
1983-01-01 @ Dundee W 2-0 1935 1708 53.7% 25.8% 20.4% +10.3 28
1983-01-01 St. Mirren W 2-0 1626 1730 35.0% 27.0% 38.0% +16.8 11
1983-01-01 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1730 1626 38.0% 27.0% 35.0% -16.8 13
1983-01-01 Motherwell L 0-2 1589 1569 51.1% 26.8% 22.1% -21.5 9
1983-01-01 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1569 1589 22.1% 26.8% 51.1% +21.5 11
1983-01-01 Celtic L 1-2 1839 2006 26.9% 26.6% 46.5% -6.5 18
1983-01-01 @ Rangers W 2-1 2006 1839 46.5% 26.6% 26.9% +6.5 31
1983-01-03 Dundee D 2-2 2012 1697 73.5% 21.2% 5.3% -2.8 32
1983-01-03 @ Celtic D 2-2 1697 2012 5.3% 21.2% 73.5% +2.8 16
1983-01-03 Aberdeen L 0-3 1946 2003 41.4% 27.1% 31.5% -26.1 28
1983-01-03 @ Dundee United W 3-0 2003 1946 31.5% 27.1% 41.4% +26.1 28
1983-01-03 Kilmarnock W 3-0 1643 1567 56.8% 26.2% 17.0% +13.0 13
1983-01-03 @ Greenock Morton L 0-3 1567 1643 17.0% 26.2% 56.8% -13.0 9
1983-01-03 St. Mirren D 1-1 1698 1713 46.9% 27.0% 26.1% -1.0 13
1983-01-03 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1713 1698 26.1% 27.0% 46.9% +1.0 14
1983-01-03 Rangers W 3-0 1590 1833 19.1% 25.6% 55.3% +33.2 13
1983-01-03 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1833 1590 55.3% 25.6% 19.1% -33.2 18
1983-01-08 Greenock Morton W 2-0 2030 1656 76.4% 19.6% 4.0% +2.1 30
1983-01-08 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1656 2030 4.0% 19.6% 76.4% -2.1 13
1983-01-08 Motherwell W 3-1 1700 1623 56.9% 26.2% 16.9% +7.7 18
1983-01-08 @ Dundee L 1-3 1623 1700 16.9% 26.2% 56.9% -7.7 13
1983-01-08 Hibernian L 0-2 1554 1697 29.9% 26.8% 43.3% -14.0 9
1983-01-08 @ Kilmarnock W 2-0 1697 1554 43.3% 26.8% 29.9% +14.0 15
1983-01-08 Celtic L 0-1 1714 2009 14.9% 24.6% 60.5% -4.1 14
1983-01-08 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 2009 1714 60.5% 24.6% 14.9% +4.1 34
1983-01-15 Greenock Morton D 3-3 1708 1654 54.7% 26.5% 18.9% -1.1 19
1983-01-15 @ Dundee D 3-3 1654 1708 18.9% 26.5% 54.7% +1.1 14
1983-01-15 Dundee United D 0-0 1711 1919 22.3% 26.1% 51.6% +1.6 16
1983-01-15 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1919 1711 51.6% 26.1% 22.3% -1.6 29
1983-01-15 Celtic W 2-1 1616 2014 9.2% 22.3% 68.5% +13.9 15
1983-01-15 @ Motherwell L 1-2 2014 1616 68.5% 22.3% 9.2% -13.9 34
1983-01-15 Kilmarnock D 1-1 1799 1540 70.4% 22.6% 7.0% -3.4 19
1983-01-15 @ Rangers D 1-1 1540 1799 7.0% 22.6% 70.4% +3.4 10
1983-01-15 Aberdeen D 1-1 1710 2032 13.2% 24.1% 62.7% +2.6 15
1983-01-15 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 2032 1710 62.7% 24.1% 13.2% -2.6 31
1983-01-22 Rangers W 2-0 2029 1796 68.8% 23.3% 7.9% +4.3 33
1983-01-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1796 2029 7.9% 23.3% 68.8% -4.3 19
1983-01-22 Hibernian W 4-1 2000 1712 72.0% 21.9% 6.1% +4.0 36
1983-01-22 @ Celtic L 1-4 1712 2000 6.1% 21.9% 72.0% -4.0 16
1983-01-22 St. Mirren W 3-2 1918 1713 67.1% 23.9% 9.0% +2.3 31
1983-01-22 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1713 1918 9.0% 23.9% 67.1% -2.3 15
1983-01-22 Motherwell L 0-1 1655 1630 51.7% 26.7% 21.6% -11.5 14
1983-01-22 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1630 1655 21.6% 26.7% 51.7% +11.5 17
1983-01-22 Dundee W 2-0 1544 1707 27.4% 26.6% 46.0% +19.5 12
1983-01-22 @ Kilmarnock L 0-2 1707 1544 46.0% 26.6% 27.4% -19.5 19
1983-02-05 Celtic D 1-1 1920 2004 37.9% 27.1% 35.0% -0.1 32
1983-02-05 @ Dundee United D 1-1 2004 1920 35.0% 27.1% 37.9% +0.1 37
1983-02-05 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1708 1643 55.8% 26.3% 17.9% +9.3 18
1983-02-05 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1643 1708 17.9% 26.3% 55.8% -9.3 14
1983-02-05 Dundee D 1-1 1792 1687 59.5% 25.8% 14.7% -2.3 20
1983-02-05 @ Rangers D 1-1 1687 1792 14.7% 25.8% 59.5% +2.3 20
1983-02-05 Kilmarnock W 2-0 1710 1563 62.9% 25.1% 12.0% +6.5 17
1983-02-05 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1563 1710 12.0% 25.1% 62.9% -6.5 12
1983-02-08 Motherwell W 5-1 2033 1641 77.2% 19.1% 3.7% +3.0 35
1983-02-08 @ Aberdeen L 1-5 1641 2033 3.7% 19.1% 77.2% -3.0 17
1983-02-12 Aberdeen L 1-3 2004 2036 44.8% 27.1% 28.2% -16.6 37
1983-02-12 @ Celtic W 3-1 2036 2004 28.2% 27.1% 44.8% +16.6 37
1983-02-12 Rangers L 0-5 1634 1789 28.3% 26.7% 45.0% -31.4 14
1983-02-12 @ Greenock Morton W 5-0 1789 1634 45.0% 26.7% 28.3% +31.4 22
1983-02-12 Dundee United L 0-5 1557 1920 10.8% 23.1% 66.1% -13.3 12
1983-02-12 @ Kilmarnock W 5-0 1920 1557 66.1% 23.1% 10.8% +13.3 34
1983-02-22 Hibernian L 0-1 1689 1718 45.3% 27.1% 27.6% -10.3 20
1983-02-22 @ Dundee W 1-0 1718 1689 27.6% 27.1% 45.3% +10.2 20
1983-02-25 Dundee W 3-1 2053 1679 76.4% 19.6% 4.0% +1.8 39
1983-02-25 @ Aberdeen L 1-3 1679 2053 4.0% 19.6% 76.4% -1.8 20
1983-02-26 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1987 1543 79.5% 17.7% 2.9% +2.7 39
1983-02-26 @ Celtic L 0-4 1543 1987 2.9% 17.7% 79.5% -2.7 12
1983-02-26 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1933 1603 74.3% 20.8% 4.9% -3.8 35
1983-02-26 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1603 1933 4.9% 20.8% 74.3% +3.8 15
1983-02-26 Motherwell D 1-1 1728 1638 58.1% 26.0% 15.9% -2.2 21
1983-02-26 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1638 1728 15.9% 26.0% 58.1% +2.2 18
1983-02-26 Rangers W 1-0 1717 1821 35.0% 27.0% 38.0% +8.9 19
1983-02-26 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1821 1717 38.0% 27.0% 35.0% -8.9 22
1983-03-01 St. Mirren D 0-0 1640 1726 37.6% 27.1% 35.3% -0.1 19
1983-03-01 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1726 1640 35.3% 27.1% 37.6% +0.1 20
1983-03-02 Rangers W 1-0 1677 1812 30.9% 26.9% 42.3% +9.7 22
1983-03-02 @ Dundee L 0-1 1812 1677 42.3% 26.9% 30.9% -9.7 22
1983-03-05 St. Mirren L 2-5 1687 1726 44.0% 27.1% 29.0% -20.0 22
1983-03-05 @ Dundee W 5-2 1726 1687 29.0% 27.1% 44.0% +20.0 22
1983-03-05 Celtic L 0-3 1606 1990 9.8% 22.7% 67.5% -7.5 15
1983-03-05 @ Greenock Morton W 3-0 1990 1606 67.5% 22.7% 9.8% +7.5 41
1983-03-05 Aberdeen L 1-2 1541 2055 5.3% 19.2% 75.5% -1.3 12
1983-03-05 @ Kilmarnock W 2-1 2055 1541 75.5% 19.2% 5.3% +1.3 41
1983-03-05 Dundee United L 1-4 1640 1930 15.3% 24.7% 59.9% -9.8 19
1983-03-05 @ Motherwell W 4-1 1930 1640 59.9% 24.7% 15.3% +9.8 37
1983-03-05 Hibernian D 1-1 1802 1726 56.9% 26.2% 16.9% -2.0 23
1983-03-05 @ Rangers D 1-1 1726 1802 16.9% 26.2% 56.9% +2.0 22
1983-03-12 Dundee W 5-3 1939 1667 71.2% 22.3% 6.5% +2.6 39
1983-03-12 @ Dundee United L 3-5 1667 1939 6.5% 22.3% 71.2% -2.6 22
1983-03-12 Kilmarnock W 3-1 1630 1539 58.3% 26.0% 15.8% +7.2 21
1983-03-12 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1539 1630 15.8% 26.0% 58.3% -7.2 12
1983-03-13 Aberdeen D 1-1 1599 2056 6.9% 20.7% 72.3% +3.5 16
1983-03-13 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 2056 1599 72.3% 20.7% 6.9% -3.5 42
1983-03-16 Greenock Morton L 2-3 1746 1602 62.7% 25.1% 12.2% -12.3 22
1983-03-16 @ St. Mirren W 3-2 1602 1746 12.2% 25.1% 62.7% +12.3 18
1983-03-19 Dundee United L 1-2 2053 1942 60.0% 25.7% 14.3% -12.5 42
1983-03-19 @ Aberdeen W 2-1 1942 2053 14.3% 25.7% 60.0% +12.5 41
1983-03-19 Celtic W 2-1 1664 1997 12.5% 23.8% 63.7% +13.0 24
1983-03-19 @ Dundee L 1-2 1997 1664 63.7% 23.8% 12.5% -13.0 41
1983-03-19 Greenock Morton W 4-0 1532 1615 38.0% 27.1% 34.9% +30.0 14
1983-03-19 @ Kilmarnock L 0-4 1615 1532 34.9% 27.1% 38.0% -30.0 18
1983-03-19 Motherwell W 1-0 1800 1638 64.1% 24.8% 11.1% +3.2 25
1983-03-19 @ Rangers L 0-1 1638 1800 11.1% 24.8% 64.1% -3.2 21
1983-03-19 Hibernian W 3-0 1733 1728 49.5% 26.9% 23.7% +17.1 24
1983-03-19 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1728 1733 23.7% 26.9% 49.5% -17.1 22
1983-03-23 Rangers D 0-0 1984 1803 65.4% 24.4% 10.2% -3.3 42
1983-03-23 @ Celtic D 0-0 1803 1984 10.2% 24.4% 65.4% +3.3 26
1983-03-26 St. Mirren D 1-1 1981 1751 68.7% 23.3% 8.0% -3.3 43
1983-03-26 @ Celtic D 1-1 1751 1981 8.0% 23.3% 68.7% +3.3 25
1983-03-26 Hibernian D 3-3 1954 1711 69.5% 23.0% 7.5% -2.1 42
1983-03-26 @ Dundee United D 3-3 1711 1954 7.5% 23.0% 69.5% +2.1 23
1983-03-26 Aberdeen L 1-2 1585 2040 7.0% 20.8% 72.2% -1.8 18
1983-03-26 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 2040 1585 72.2% 20.8% 7.0% +1.8 44
1983-03-26 Rangers L 0-1 1562 1807 18.9% 25.6% 55.6% -5.1 14
1983-03-26 @ Kilmarnock W 1-0 1807 1562 55.6% 25.6% 18.9% +5.1 28
1983-03-26 Dundee D 1-1 1634 1677 43.4% 27.1% 29.5% -0.7 22
1983-03-26 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1677 1634 29.5% 27.1% 43.4% +0.6 25
1983-04-02 St. Mirren L 0-1 2042 1754 72.0% 21.9% 6.1% -15.6 44
1983-04-02 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1754 2042 6.1% 21.9% 72.0% +15.6 27
1983-04-02 Motherwell W 3-0 1978 1634 74.9% 20.4% 4.6% +3.5 45
1983-04-02 @ Celtic L 0-3 1634 1978 4.6% 20.4% 74.9% -3.5 22
1983-04-02 Kilmarnock W 8-1 1713 1557 63.6% 24.9% 11.5% +16.6 25
1983-04-02 @ Hibernian L 1-8 1557 1713 11.5% 24.9% 63.6% -16.6 14
1983-04-04 Rangers W 3-1 1952 1812 62.4% 25.2% 12.4% +5.8 44
1983-04-04 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1812 1952 12.4% 25.2% 62.4% -5.8 28
1983-04-06 Dundee United W 2-0 1981 1958 51.4% 26.8% 21.8% +11.0 47
1983-04-06 @ Celtic L 0-2 1958 1981 21.8% 26.8% 51.4% -11.0 44
1983-04-07 Dundee W 1-0 1583 1678 36.3% 27.1% 36.7% +8.7 20
1983-04-07 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1678 1583 36.7% 27.1% 36.3% -8.7 25
1983-04-09 Kilmarnock D 0-0 1669 1540 61.5% 25.4% 13.1% -2.8 26
1983-04-09 @ Dundee D 0-0 1540 1669 13.1% 25.4% 61.5% +2.8 15
1983-04-09 Celtic L 0-3 1729 1992 17.3% 25.2% 57.4% -13.0 25
1983-04-09 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1992 1729 57.4% 25.2% 17.3% +13.0 49
1983-04-09 Greenock Morton W 4-1 1630 1592 53.1% 26.6% 20.3% +12.7 24
1983-04-09 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1592 1630 20.3% 26.6% 53.1% -12.7 20
1983-04-09 Aberdeen W 2-1 1806 2026 21.2% 25.9% 52.9% +11.0 30
1983-04-09 @ Rangers L 1-2 2026 1806 52.9% 25.9% 21.2% -11.0 44
1983-04-09 Dundee United L 1-2 1769 1947 25.6% 26.5% 47.9% -6.2 27
1983-04-09 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1947 1769 47.9% 26.5% 25.6% +6.2 46
1983-04-16 Hibernian L 0-1 1579 1716 30.5% 26.8% 42.6% -7.6 20
1983-04-16 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1716 1579 42.6% 26.8% 30.5% +7.6 27
1983-04-20 Dundee United L 2-3 2005 1953 54.5% 26.5% 19.0% -10.8 49
1983-04-20 @ Celtic W 3-2 1953 2005 19.0% 26.5% 54.5% +10.8 48
1983-04-23 Celtic W 1-0 2015 1995 51.2% 26.8% 22.1% +5.9 46
1983-04-23 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1995 2015 22.1% 26.8% 51.2% -5.9 49
1983-04-23 Kilmarnock W 4-0 1964 1543 78.5% 18.3% 3.2% +3.0 50
1983-04-23 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1543 1964 3.2% 18.3% 78.5% -3.0 15
1983-04-23 Dundee D 0-0 1724 1667 55.0% 26.4% 18.6% -2.0 28
1983-04-23 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1667 1724 18.6% 26.4% 55.0% +2.0 27
1983-04-23 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1817 1571 69.6% 23.0% 7.4% +4.0 32
1983-04-23 @ Rangers L 0-2 1571 1817 7.4% 23.0% 69.6% -4.0 20
1983-04-23 Motherwell W 4-0 1763 1643 60.8% 25.5% 13.7% +14.0 29
1983-04-23 @ St. Mirren L 0-4 1643 1763 13.7% 25.5% 60.8% -14.0 24
1983-04-27 St. Mirren D 2-2 1540 1777 19.6% 25.7% 54.8% +1.3 16
1983-04-27 @ Kilmarnock D 2-2 1777 1540 54.8% 25.7% 19.6% -1.3 30
1983-04-27 Aberdeen L 0-3 1629 2021 9.4% 22.4% 68.2% -7.2 24
1983-04-27 @ Motherwell W 3-0 2021 1629 68.2% 22.4% 9.4% +7.2 48
1983-04-30 Aberdeen L 0-2 1669 2028 11.0% 23.2% 65.8% -5.8 27
1983-04-30 @ Dundee W 2-0 2028 1669 65.8% 23.2% 11.0% +5.8 50
1983-04-30 Dundee United L 0-4 1567 1967 9.1% 22.2% 68.7% -9.0 20
1983-04-30 @ Greenock Morton W 4-0 1967 1567 68.7% 22.2% 9.1% +9.1 52
1983-04-30 Celtic L 0-5 1541 1989 7.3% 21.0% 71.7% -8.8 16
1983-04-30 @ Kilmarnock W 5-0 1989 1541 71.7% 21.0% 7.3% +8.8 51
1983-04-30 Hibernian W 2-0 1622 1722 35.6% 27.0% 37.4% +16.6 26
1983-04-30 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1722 1622 37.4% 27.0% 35.6% -16.6 28
1983-04-30 St. Mirren W 4-0 1821 1776 53.8% 26.6% 19.7% +19.2 34
1983-04-30 @ Rangers L 0-4 1776 1821 19.7% 26.6% 53.8% -19.2 30
1983-05-02 Aberdeen D 0-0 1705 2034 12.7% 23.9% 63.4% +2.9 29
1983-05-02 @ Hibernian D 0-0 2034 1705 63.4% 23.9% 12.7% -3.0 51
1983-05-03 Rangers W 2-1 1663 1840 25.7% 26.5% 47.9% +10.1 29
1983-05-03 @ Dundee L 1-2 1840 1663 47.9% 26.5% 25.7% -10.1 34
1983-05-04 Kilmarnock W 5-0 2031 1533 81.7% 16.1% 2.2% +2.4 53
1983-05-04 @ Aberdeen L 0-5 1533 2031 2.2% 16.1% 81.7% -2.4 16
1983-05-07 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1997 1558 79.3% 17.8% 2.9% +1.5 53
1983-05-07 @ Celtic L 0-2 1558 1997 2.9% 17.8% 79.3% -1.5 20
1983-05-07 Motherwell W 4-0 1976 1638 74.6% 20.6% 4.8% +4.8 54
1983-05-07 @ Dundee United L 0-4 1638 1976 4.8% 20.6% 74.6% -4.8 26
1983-05-07 Rangers L 1-2 1708 1830 32.5% 26.9% 40.5% -7.5 29
1983-05-07 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1830 1708 40.5% 26.9% 32.5% +7.5 36
1983-05-09 Dundee W 2-1 1757 1673 57.6% 26.1% 16.3% +4.3 32
1983-05-09 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1673 1757 16.3% 26.1% 57.6% -4.3 29
1983-05-14 Hibernian W 5-0 2034 1701 74.4% 20.7% 4.9% +6.0 55
1983-05-14 @ Aberdeen L 0-5 1701 2034 4.9% 20.7% 74.4% -6.0 29
1983-05-14 Dundee United L 1-2 1669 1981 13.7% 24.3% 62.0% -3.6 29
1983-05-14 @ Dundee W 2-1 1981 1669 62.0% 24.3% 13.7% +3.6 56
1983-05-14 St. Mirren L 0-2 1557 1761 22.8% 26.2% 51.1% -11.3 20
1983-05-14 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1761 1557 51.1% 26.2% 22.8% +11.3 34
1983-05-14 Motherwell D 1-1 1530 1634 35.1% 27.0% 37.9% +0.1 17
1983-05-14 @ Kilmarnock D 1-1 1634 1530 37.9% 27.0% 35.1% -0.1 27
1983-05-14 Celtic L 2-4 1838 1999 27.6% 26.6% 45.8% -10.2 36
1983-05-14 @ Rangers W 4-2 1999 1838 45.8% 26.6% 27.6% +10.2 55
1983-05-14 Dundee United W 2-1 1827 1985 28.1% 26.7% 45.3% +9.6 38
1983-05-14 @ Rangers L 1-2 1985 1827 45.3% 26.7% 28.1% -9.6 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1983-04-02 6.06% St. Mirren 1754 1 @ Aberdeen 2042 0
2 1983-01-15 9.17% @ Motherwell 1616 2 Celtic 2014 1
3 1983-03-16 12.19% Greenock Morton 1602 3 @ St. Mirren 1746 2
4 1983-03-19 12.47% @ Dundee 1664 2 Celtic 1997 1
5 1983-03-19 14.33% Dundee United 1942 2 @ Aberdeen 2053 1
6 1982-09-25 14.35% Rangers 1841 2 @ Aberdeen 1951 1
7 1982-10-02 17.58% Greenock Morton 1669 2 @ Hibernian 1738 1
8 1983-04-20 19.04% Dundee United 1953 3 @ Celtic 2005 2
9 1983-01-03 19.08% @ Motherwell 1590 3 Rangers 1833 0
10 1982-10-09 21.04% Aberdeen 1940 3 @ Celtic 1971 1
11 1983-04-09 21.16% @ Rangers 1806 2 Aberdeen 2026 1
12 1983-01-22 21.61% Motherwell 1630 1 @ Greenock Morton 1655 0
13 1982-10-09 22.11% @ Motherwell 1555 2 St. Mirren 1765 0
14 1983-01-01 22.15% Motherwell 1569 2 @ Kilmarnock 1589 0
15 1982-12-11 22.31% Celtic 1982 2 @ Aberdeen 2001 1
16 1983-05-03 25.67% @ Dundee 1663 2 Rangers 1840 1
17 1983-01-22 27.37% @ Kilmarnock 1544 2 Dundee 1707 0
18 1983-02-22 27.63% Hibernian 1718 1 @ Dundee 1689 0
19 1983-05-14 28.06% @ Rangers 1827 2 Dundee United 1985 1
20 1983-02-12 28.18% Aberdeen 2036 3 @ Celtic 2004 1
21 1983-03-05 28.97% St. Mirren 1726 5 @ Dundee 1687 2
22 1982-11-20 29.42% Dundee 1695 2 @ Greenock Morton 1653 1
23 1983-03-02 30.89% @ Dundee 1677 1 Rangers 1812 0
24 1983-01-03 31.46% Aberdeen 2003 3 @ Dundee United 1946 0
25 1982-11-13 31.76% @ Motherwell 1577 1 Dundee 1704 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-01-03 33.25 @ Motherwell 3 1590 19.08% Rangers 0 1833 55.33% 25.58%
2 1983-02-12 31.42 Rangers 5 1789 45.04% @ Greenock Morton 0 1634 28.28% 26.69%
3 1983-03-19 29.95 @ Kilmarnock 4 1532 38.03% Greenock Morton 0 1615 34.88% 27.08%
4 1983-01-03 26.12 Aberdeen 3 2003 31.46% @ Dundee United 0 1946 41.44% 27.10%
5 1982-10-09 21.60 @ Motherwell 2 1555 22.11% St. Mirren 0 1765 51.83% 26.06%
6 1983-01-01 21.46 Motherwell 2 1569 22.15% @ Kilmarnock 0 1589 51.07% 26.77%
7 1983-03-05 20.00 St. Mirren 5 1726 28.97% @ Dundee 2 1687 43.95% 27.08%
8 1983-01-22 19.51 @ Kilmarnock 2 1544 27.37% Dundee 0 1707 46.02% 26.62%
9 1983-04-30 19.19 @ Rangers 4 1821 53.80% St. Mirren 0 1776 19.66% 26.55%
10 1982-10-09 18.98 Aberdeen 3 1940 21.04% @ Celtic 1 1971 52.27% 26.68%
11 1982-09-18 17.95 Celtic 7 1948 66.38% @ Motherwell 0 1581 10.58% 23.04%
12 1982-10-30 17.68 @ Motherwell 4 1566 42.02% Kilmarnock 1 1619 30.88% 27.10%
13 1982-09-04 17.29 @ Dundee United 2 1851 33.55% Aberdeen 0 1965 39.48% 26.97%
14 1983-03-19 17.08 @ St. Mirren 3 1733 49.46% Hibernian 0 1728 23.67% 26.88%
15 1983-01-01 16.79 @ Greenock Morton 2 1626 35.03% St. Mirren 0 1730 37.95% 27.02%
16 1983-04-30 16.61 @ Motherwell 2 1622 35.57% Hibernian 0 1722 37.40% 27.03%
17 1983-04-02 16.59 @ Hibernian 8 1713 63.60% Kilmarnock 1 1557 11.49% 24.91%
18 1983-02-12 16.58 Aberdeen 3 2036 28.18% @ Celtic 1 2004 44.77% 27.06%
19 1982-11-06 16.13 @ St. Mirren 3 1743 51.20% Hibernian 0 1721 22.03% 26.77%
20 1983-04-02 15.57 St. Mirren 1 1754 6.06% @ Aberdeen 0 2042 72.03% 21.91%
21 1982-11-06 14.88 @ Aberdeen 5 1966 55.61% Dundee United 1 1902 18.04% 26.35%
22 1982-10-16 14.36 @ Dundee United 6 1878 66.48% Greenock Morton 0 1682 9.42% 24.09%
23 1983-01-08 14.04 Hibernian 2 1697 43.30% @ Kilmarnock 0 1554 29.90% 26.79%
24 1983-04-23 13.98 @ St. Mirren 4 1763 60.80% Motherwell 0 1643 13.66% 25.54%
25 1983-01-15 13.89 @ Motherwell 2 1616 9.17% Celtic 1 2014 68.54% 22.29%