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1964-65 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Benfica

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Academica de Coimbra

7.19 points above expected

34 points · 26.81 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Seixal

7.13 points below expected

8 points · 15.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Benfica 26 19 5 2 43 88 21 +67 41.49 +1.51
2 Porto 26 17 3 6 37 47 27 +20 35.07 +1.93
3 Fabril 26 15 5 6 35 49 29 +20 30.37 +4.63
4 Academica de Coimbra 26 16 2 8 34 58 40 +18 26.81 +7.19
5 Vitoria Setubal 26 15 2 9 32 61 30 +31 28.09 +3.91
6 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 12 8 6 32 39 35 +4 31.00 +1.00
7 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 12 5 9 29 44 36 +8 30.99 -1.99
8 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 12 2 12 26 39 40 -1 27.03 -1.03
9 Leixoes 26 8 5 13 21 50 51 -1 24.70 -3.70
10 Braga 26 8 4 14 20 36 51 -15 20.72 -0.72
11 Varzim 26 8 4 14 20 39 55 -16 21.42 -1.42
12 Lusitano de Evora 26 9 2 15 20 30 51 -21 18.30 +1.70
13 Seixal 26 3 2 21 8 16 84 -68 15.13 -7.13
14 Uniao Torreense 26 3 1 22 7 18 64 -46 12.88 -5.88

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Benfica 2043 43 41.49 +1.51 71.3% 27 36 39 42 44 47 52
Porto 1891 37 35.07 +1.93 73.2% 20 29 32 35 38 41 49
Fabril 1826 35 30.37 +4.63 89.4% 14 24 28 30 33 37 46
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1801 32 31.00 +1.00 63.5% 15 24 28 31 34 38 47
Vitoria Guimaraes 1785 29 30.99 -1.99 36.0% 15 24 28 31 34 38 45
Vitoria Setubal 1785 32 28.09 +3.91 85.5% 12 21 25 28 31 35 44
Academica de Coimbra 1753 34 26.81 +7.19 96.9% 13 20 24 27 30 34 41
Os Belenenses (1st) 1729 26 27.03 -1.03 44.9% 11 20 24 27 30 34 42
Leixoes 1694 21 24.70 -3.70 23.0% 7 18 22 25 28 32 40
Varzim 1625 20 21.42 -1.42 42.0% 7 15 19 21 24 28 37
Braga 1594 20 20.72 -0.72 48.7% 6 14 18 21 24 28 38
Lusitano de Evora 1569 20 18.30 +1.70 71.2% 4 12 16 18 21 25 34
Uniao Torreense 1440 7 12.88 -5.88 6.8% 0 7 10 13 15 19 30
Seixal 1418 8 15.13 -7.13 4.1% 3 9 12 15 18 22 30

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC BEN BRA FAB LEI LDE OB( POR SEI SCDP UT VAR VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
0-1-1
1.07
2-0-0
3.46
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
3.40
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
1.90
2-0-0
4.44
2-0-0
2.43
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
3.29
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
2.60
Benfica
1-1-0
4.65
 —
2-0-0
5.05
0-1-1
4.35
1-1-0
4.57
1-1-0
5.09
2-0-0
4.33
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
5.24
1-1-0
4.25
2-0-0
5.31
2-0-0
4.97
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.45
Braga
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
0.68
 —
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
3.06
0-0-2
2.01
1-1-0
1.28
1-0-1
3.72
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
3.90
0-2-0
2.68
2-0-0
1.57
1-0-1
1.99
Fabril
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
1.37
1-0-1
3.84
 —
1-1-0
3.57
0-0-2
4.38
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.20
1-1-0
4.59
0-1-1
2.90
2-0-0
4.82
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.11
Leixoes
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.15
1-1-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.15
 —
1-0-1
3.56
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.80
2-0-0
4.02
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
4.41
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.39
Lusitano de Evora
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
0.64
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
1.34
1-0-1
2.16
 —
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.13
2-0-0
3.11
0-1-1
1.39
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.43
0-0-2
1.77
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-2
1.39
2-0-0
3.70
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.66
 —
0-0-2
1.82
2-0-0
4.38
0-0-2
2.48
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.42
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.61
Porto
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
4.45
1-0-1
3.51
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.59
2-0-0
3.89
 —
2-0-0
5.03
0-1-1
3.31
2-0-0
5.04
1-0-1
4.51
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.55
Seixal
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
0.51
1-0-1
1.99
0-1-1
1.14
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
0.71
 —
0-1-1
1.11
2-0-0
3.30
0-0-2
2.31
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
1.55
Sporting Clube de Portugal
0-0-2
3.28
0-1-1
1.47
2-0-0
3.89
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
4.61
 —
1-0-1
4.90
1-0-1
4.04
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.21
Uniao Torreense
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
0.44
1-0-1
1.82
0-0-2
0.91
1-0-1
1.31
0-0-2
2.08
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
0.69
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
0.83
 —
0-1-1
1.89
0-0-2
0.94
0-0-2
1.44
Varzim
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-2
0.76
0-2-0
3.03
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
1.21
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
1.68
1-1-0
3.82
 —
0-1-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.04
Vitoria Guimaraes
2-0-0
3.28
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
4.15
0-0-2
2.96
1-1-0
3.64
2-0-0
4.29
1-1-0
3.40
0-1-1
2.37
2-0-0
4.40
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
4.79
1-1-0
3.88
 —
0-0-2
3.34
Vitoria Setubal
0-1-1
3.11
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.17
2-0-0
4.16
0-1-1
2.50
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
2.37
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +5.0
Allowed 0.90 -6.0
Differential 0.90 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%6.59%4.67%4.12%2.47%4.12%25.82%
16.59%6.04%9.34%3.85%1.92%2.20%29.95%
24.67%9.34%2.75%2.47%0.55%0.27%20.05%
34.12%3.85%2.47%1.10%—0.55%12.09%
42.47%1.92%0.55%———4.95%
5+4.12%2.20%0.27%0.55%——7.14%
Total25.82%29.95%20.05%12.09%4.95%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.69 +0.00
SD 1.68 1.68 2.72
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 11 11 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
1—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
27.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
311.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
Total23.08%34.62%19.23%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.54 +0.69
SD 1.50 1.33 2.36
CV 0.67 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
1—7.69%————7.69%
2—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
37.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
411.54%3.85%————15.38%
5+23.08%——3.85%——26.92%
Total46.15%30.77%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.38 0.81 +2.58
SD 2.45 0.90 2.66
CV 0.72 1.11 —
Max 11 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%3.85%—7.69%19.23%
13.85%11.54%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%50.00%
27.69%7.69%—3.85%——19.23%
3——3.85%———3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%19.23%30.77%11.54%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.96 -0.58
SD 1.33 1.78 2.67
CV 0.96 0.91 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
27.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
37.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%50.00%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.12 +0.77
SD 1.21 0.86 1.53
CV 0.64 0.77 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
1—11.54%7.69%7.69%—3.85%30.77%
2—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
315.38%——7.69%—3.85%26.92%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total23.08%26.92%7.69%26.92%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.96 -0.04
SD 1.60 1.66 2.75
CV 0.83 0.85 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%7.69%42.31%
17.69%3.85%11.54%——3.85%26.92%
27.69%7.69%———3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%26.92%26.92%3.85%3.85%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.96 -0.81
SD 1.46 1.99 2.86
CV 1.27 1.01 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%3.85%—3.85%23.08%
111.54%3.85%15.38%—3.85%—34.62%
23.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total19.23%38.46%26.92%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.54 -0.04
SD 1.36 1.36 2.18
CV 0.91 0.89 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—11.54%—3.85%—19.23%
119.23%7.69%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
211.54%7.69%————19.23%
3—11.54%————11.54%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total38.46%30.77%23.08%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.04 +0.77
SD 1.60 1.08 2.07
CV 0.89 1.04 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%3.85%7.69%3.85%23.08%61.54%
13.85%—7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
33.85%————3.85%7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%23.08%15.38%11.54%7.69%30.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 3.23 -2.62
SD 0.94 2.75 2.86
CV 1.53 0.85 —
Max 3 11 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%——11.54%——23.08%
115.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
23.85%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—23.08%
3—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%23.08%19.23%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.35 +0.15
SD 1.17 1.26 1.69
CV 0.78 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%15.38%7.69%15.38%7.69%61.54%
1——11.54%11.54%3.85%—26.92%
2———————
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total15.38%11.54%26.92%19.23%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 2.46 -1.77
SD 1.23 1.68 2.52
CV 1.77 0.68 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%11.54%38.46%
23.85%3.85%—7.69%——15.38%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total19.23%34.62%11.54%15.38%3.85%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.12 -0.62
SD 1.58 2.05 2.90
CV 1.05 0.97 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
111.54%7.69%11.54%7.69%——38.46%
27.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%34.62%19.23%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.38 +0.31
SD 1.41 1.24 2.02
CV 0.83 0.89 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
111.54%3.85%11.54%—3.85%—30.77%
23.85%15.38%—7.69%——26.92%
3——3.85%———3.85%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+7.69%7.69%————15.38%
Total34.62%34.62%15.38%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 1.15 +1.19
SD 2.33 1.16 2.91
CV 0.99 1.00 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Academica de Coimbra 34 26.81 +7.19
2 Fabril 35 30.37 +4.63
3 Vitoria Setubal 32 28.09 +3.91
4 Porto 37 35.07 +1.93
5 Lusitano de Evora 20 18.30 +1.70

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Seixal 8 15.13 -7.13
2 Uniao Torreense 7 12.88 -5.88
3 Leixoes 21 24.70 -3.70
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 29 30.99 -1.99
5 Varzim 20 21.42 -1.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Academica de Coimbra 4 Nov 22 – Dec 13 1 in 133
2 Fabril 5 Jan 10 – Feb 14 1 in 55
3 Braga 3 Mar 28 – May 2 1 in 30
4 Lusitano de Evora 2 Mar 21 – Mar 28 1 in 24
5 Vitoria Guimaraes 5 Nov 1 – Dec 6 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Porto 3 Nov 8 – Nov 29 1 in 94
2 Seixal 10 Feb 14 – May 9 1 in 59
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 Jan 17 – Feb 14 1 in 26
4 Vitoria Setubal 3 Nov 29 – Dec 13 1 in 19
5 Uniao Torreense 9 Feb 21 – May 9 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 12 Jan 10 – Apr 4 1 in 501
2 Vitoria Setubal 10 Jan 17 – Mar 28 1 in 100
3 Academica de Coimbra 5 Nov 8 – Dec 13 1 in 59
4 Fabril 7 Oct 25 – Dec 13 1 in 47
5 Varzim 4 Oct 11 – Nov 1 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Braga 11 Jan 3 – Mar 21 1 in 61
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 Nov 22 – Dec 13 1 in 59
3 Benfica 3 Oct 25 – Nov 8 1 in 34
4 Varzim 8 Nov 8 – Jan 3 1 in 18
5 Porto 3 Nov 8 – Nov 29 1 in 18

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Benfica85.31%11.38%2.37%0.65%0.21%0.06%0.02%———————
Porto9.53%43.38%20.98%11.57%7.14%4.04%1.89%0.98%0.32%0.13%0.03%0.01%——
Fabril1.13%11.29%17.26%16.98%15.44%12.80%10.52%6.97%4.40%2.18%0.77%0.18%0.08%—
Academica de Coimbra0.16%2.23%5.78%9.11%11.38%14.02%15.64%14.59%12.61%7.84%4.17%1.91%0.53%0.03%
Vitoria Setubal0.37%5.51%9.64%12.44%14.11%14.92%14.42%11.46%8.65%5.06%2.33%0.88%0.16%0.05%
Sporting Clube de Portugal1.54%11.42%17.87%18.12%15.64%12.66%9.43%6.60%4.01%1.82%0.57%0.28%0.03%0.01%
Vitoria Guimaraes1.79%11.65%18.36%17.77%15.79%12.84%9.41%6.36%3.52%1.66%0.67%0.14%0.04%—
Os Belenenses (1st)0.12%2.15%5.23%8.20%11.08%13.69%15.65%15.91%12.86%8.81%4.23%1.65%0.36%0.06%
Leixoes0.05%0.84%1.93%3.79%6.12%9.09%12.17%16.56%18.35%14.91%9.46%4.63%1.66%0.44%
Braga—0.07%0.18%0.50%1.19%2.41%3.66%7.32%12.83%19.30%23.67%17.44%8.80%2.63%
Varzim—0.08%0.34%0.72%1.54%2.75%5.58%9.15%14.32%20.94%21.10%14.64%6.89%1.95%
Lusitano de Evora——0.05%0.13%0.34%0.64%1.31%3.44%6.06%12.21%21.02%28.33%18.45%8.02%
Seixal——0.01%0.02%0.01%0.06%0.29%0.60%1.61%3.76%8.39%18.99%34.59%31.67%
Uniao Torreense————0.01%0.02%0.01%0.06%0.46%1.38%3.59%10.92%28.41%55.14%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.73%
Clear Edge
55.49%13.74%30.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge
134 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
087.72400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.05 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.66+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
85%
Benfica, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Tight Race
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.23 * Some Luck: 3.23 to 4.84 * Lucky: 4.84 to 6.46 * Wild Swing: 6.46 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.18 * Close: 1.18 to 1.77 * Off: 1.77 to 2.36 * Way Off: 2.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.83 points
Some Luck
04.0410
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.14
Pinpoint
01.473
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.92%
Academica de Coimbra
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
4.09%
Seixal
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.07
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Very Frequent
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
31%
Very Frequent
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.47
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.92
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.87
Near-Lock
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.11
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1090.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Porto 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 99.96% 0.04%
Vitoria Guimaraes 99.96% 0.04%
Fabril 99.92% 0.08%
Vitoria Setubal 99.79% 0.21%
Os Belenenses (1st) 99.58% 0.42%
Academica de Coimbra 99.44% 0.56%
Leixoes 97.90% 2.10%
Varzim 91.16% 8.84%
Braga 88.57% 11.43%
Lusitano de Evora 73.53% 26.47%
Seixal 33.74% 66.26%
Uniao Torreense 16.45% 83.55%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1964-10-11 Lusitano de Evora W 5-0 1971 1574 83.6% 12.9% 3.4% +3.5 2
1964-10-11 @ Benfica L 0-5 1574 1971 3.4% 12.9% 83.6% -3.5 0
1964-10-11 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1758 1660 69.4% 14.3% 16.3% +5.9 2
1964-10-11 @ Fabril L 1-3 1660 1758 16.3% 14.3% 69.4% -5.9 0
1964-10-11 Braga W 2-1 1712 1629 68.2% 14.3% 17.5% +3.7 2
1964-10-11 @ Leixoes L 1-2 1629 1712 17.5% 14.3% 68.2% -3.7 0
1964-10-11 Varzim L 1-2 1570 1629 52.7% 14.6% 32.7% -9.8 0
1964-10-11 @ Seixal W 2-1 1629 1570 32.7% 14.6% 52.7% +9.8 2
1964-10-11 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1837 1753 68.3% 14.3% 17.4% +3.9 2
1964-10-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1753 1837 17.4% 14.3% 68.3% -3.9 0
1964-10-11 Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1478 1703 30.2% 14.4% 55.4% -22.8 0
1964-10-11 @ Uniao Torreense W 4-0 1703 1478 55.4% 14.4% 30.2% +22.8 2
1964-10-11 Porto D 0-0 1797 1884 49.0% 14.6% 36.4% -0.6 1
1964-10-11 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1884 1797 36.4% 14.6% 49.0% +0.6 1
1964-10-18 Uniao Torreense W 2-0 1654 1456 76.2% 14.0% 9.8% +4.2 2
1964-10-18 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1456 1654 9.8% 14.0% 76.2% -4.2 0
1964-10-18 Leixoes W 3-2 1749 1715 63.5% 14.5% 22.1% +4.3 2
1964-10-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1715 1749 22.1% 14.5% 63.5% -4.3 2
1964-10-18 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1974 1841 72.1% 14.2% 13.7% +8.4 4
1964-10-18 @ Benfica L 0-3 1841 1974 13.7% 14.2% 72.1% -8.5 2
1964-10-18 Fabril W 2-1 1625 1764 41.7% 14.5% 43.8% +8.3 2
1964-10-18 @ Braga L 1-2 1764 1625 43.8% 14.5% 41.7% -8.3 2
1964-10-18 Lusitano de Evora W 1-0 1885 1571 81.2% 13.4% 5.4% +1.2 3
1964-10-18 @ Porto L 0-1 1571 1885 5.4% 13.4% 81.2% -1.2 0
1964-10-18 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1638 1797 38.9% 14.5% 46.5% +0.3 3
1964-10-18 @ Varzim D 1-1 1797 1638 46.5% 14.5% 38.9% -0.3 2
1964-10-18 Seixal W 8-0 1726 1560 74.3% 14.1% 11.6% +18.1 4
1964-10-18 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-8 1560 1726 11.6% 14.1% 74.3% -18.1 0
1964-10-25 Braga W 2-1 1659 1633 62.6% 14.5% 22.9% +4.7 4
1964-10-25 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1633 1659 22.9% 14.5% 62.6% -4.7 2
1964-10-25 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1756 1753 60.2% 14.5% 25.3% -1.6 3
1964-10-25 @ Fabril D 1-1 1753 1756 25.3% 14.5% 60.2% +1.6 3
1964-10-25 Benfica D 1-1 1711 1983 24.8% 14.3% 60.9% +1.7 3
1964-10-25 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1983 1711 60.9% 14.3% 24.8% -1.7 5
1964-10-25 Varzim L 0-1 1569 1639 51.3% 14.6% 34.1% -10.2 0
1964-10-25 @ Lusitano de Evora W 1-0 1639 1569 34.1% 14.6% 51.3% +10.2 5
1964-10-25 Porto D 1-1 1833 1886 53.4% 14.6% 32.0% -1.0 3
1964-10-25 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1886 1833 32.0% 14.6% 53.4% +1.0 4
1964-10-25 Seixal L 0-1 1451 1542 48.5% 14.6% 36.9% -9.6 0
1964-10-25 @ Uniao Torreense W 1-0 1542 1451 36.9% 14.6% 48.5% +9.7 2
1964-10-25 Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1796 1744 65.3% 14.4% 20.2% -12.1 2
1964-10-25 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1744 1796 20.2% 14.4% 65.3% +12.1 6
1964-11-01 Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1755 1663 68.8% 14.3% 16.8% +10.2 5
1964-11-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1663 1755 16.8% 14.3% 68.8% -10.2 4
1964-11-01 Fabril D 1-1 1981 1754 77.7% 13.8% 8.5% -3.5 6
1964-11-01 @ Benfica D 1-1 1754 1981 8.5% 13.8% 77.7% +3.4 4
1964-11-01 Uniao Torreense W 4-0 1629 1442 75.5% 14.0% 10.5% +8.5 4
1964-11-01 @ Braga L 0-4 1442 1629 10.5% 14.0% 75.5% -8.5 0
1964-11-01 Leixoes W 3-1 1887 1713 74.8% 14.1% 11.2% +4.1 6
1964-11-01 @ Porto L 1-3 1713 1887 11.2% 14.1% 74.8% -4.1 3
1964-11-01 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1551 1784 29.2% 14.4% 56.4% -6.2 2
1964-11-01 @ Seixal W 1-0 1784 1551 56.4% 14.4% 29.2% +6.2 4
1964-11-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1649 1832 35.6% 14.5% 49.9% +16.2 7
1964-11-01 @ Varzim L 1-3 1832 1649 49.9% 14.5% 35.6% -16.2 3
1964-11-01 Lusitano de Evora W 8-0 1756 1559 76.1% 14.0% 9.9% +15.6 8
1964-11-01 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-8 1559 1756 9.9% 14.0% 76.1% -15.6 0
1964-11-08 Benfica D 2-2 1653 1978 19.5% 14.1% 66.4% +1.7 5
1964-11-08 @ Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1978 1653 66.4% 14.1% 19.5% -1.7 7
1964-11-08 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1637 1765 43.2% 14.6% 42.2% -8.2 4
1964-11-08 @ Braga W 2-1 1765 1637 42.2% 14.6% 43.2% +8.2 7
1964-11-08 Porto W 2-0 1757 1891 42.4% 14.5% 43.0% +16.4 6
1964-11-08 @ Fabril L 0-2 1891 1757 43.0% 14.5% 42.4% -16.4 6
1964-11-08 Varzim W 3-0 1709 1665 64.5% 14.4% 21.1% +12.6 5
1964-11-08 @ Leixoes L 0-3 1665 1709 21.1% 14.4% 64.5% -12.6 7
1964-11-08 Seixal W 4-1 1544 1545 59.7% 14.5% 25.8% +12.8 2
1964-11-08 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-4 1545 1544 25.8% 14.5% 59.7% -12.8 2
1964-11-08 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1816 1772 64.5% 14.4% 21.0% +4.1 5
1964-11-08 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1772 1816 21.0% 14.4% 64.5% -4.1 8
1964-11-08 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1433 1791 16.7% 14.0% 69.3% -6.0 0
1964-11-08 @ Uniao Torreense W 3-1 1791 1433 69.3% 14.0% 16.7% +6.0 6
1964-11-22 Uniao Torreense W 1-0 1773 1427 82.2% 13.2% 4.5% +1.0 9
1964-11-22 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1427 1773 4.5% 13.2% 82.2% -1.0 0
1964-11-22 Braga W 7-0 1976 1629 82.3% 13.2% 4.5% +6.2 9
1964-11-22 @ Benfica L 0-7 1629 1976 4.5% 13.2% 82.3% -6.2 4
1964-11-22 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1875 1655 77.3% 13.9% 8.8% -14.4 6
1964-11-22 @ Porto W 2-1 1655 1875 8.8% 13.9% 77.3% +14.4 7
1964-11-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1532 1820 23.1% 14.3% 62.6% +2.1 3
1964-11-22 @ Seixal D 0-0 1820 1532 62.6% 14.3% 23.1% -2.1 6
1964-11-22 Fabril L 2-3 1652 1774 44.2% 14.6% 41.2% -8.0 7
1964-11-22 @ Varzim W 3-2 1774 1652 41.2% 14.6% 44.2% +7.9 8
1964-11-22 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1797 1556 78.3% 13.8% 7.9% +3.4 8
1964-11-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1556 1797 7.9% 13.8% 78.3% -3.4 2
1964-11-22 Leixoes W 1-0 1768 1721 64.7% 14.4% 20.8% +4.6 10
1964-11-22 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1721 1768 20.8% 14.4% 64.7% -4.6 5
1964-11-29 Varzim W 5-1 1669 1644 62.5% 14.5% 23.0% +14.9 9
1964-11-29 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-5 1644 1669 23.0% 14.5% 62.5% -14.9 7
1964-11-29 Benfica L 0-6 1774 1982 32.3% 14.5% 53.2% -35.4 9
1964-11-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 6-0 1982 1774 53.2% 14.5% 32.3% +35.4 11
1964-11-29 Porto W 2-0 1623 1860 28.6% 14.4% 57.0% +21.1 6
1964-11-29 @ Braga L 0-2 1860 1623 57.0% 14.4% 28.6% -21.1 6
1964-11-29 Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1782 1772 60.9% 14.5% 24.6% +14.5 10
1964-11-29 @ Fabril L 0-3 1772 1782 24.6% 14.5% 60.9% -14.5 10
1964-11-29 Seixal W 6-0 1717 1534 75.3% 14.0% 10.7% +12.7 7
1964-11-29 @ Leixoes L 0-6 1534 1717 10.7% 14.0% 75.3% -12.7 3
1964-11-29 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1818 1800 61.8% 14.5% 23.7% -11.4 6
1964-11-29 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1800 1818 23.7% 14.5% 61.8% +11.4 10
1964-11-29 Lusitano de Evora L 1-2 1426 1553 43.4% 14.6% 42.0% -8.2 0
1964-11-29 @ Uniao Torreense W 2-1 1553 1426 42.0% 14.6% 43.4% +8.2 4
1964-12-06 Uniao Torreense W 6-0 2018 1418 87.4% 11.5% 1.1% +1.3 13
1964-12-06 @ Benfica L 0-6 1418 2018 1.1% 11.5% 87.4% -1.3 0
1964-12-06 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1561 1806 27.8% 14.4% 57.8% +1.4 5
1964-12-06 @ Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1806 1561 57.8% 14.4% 27.8% -1.4 7
1964-12-06 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1839 1739 69.6% 14.3% 16.1% +6.8 8
1964-12-06 @ Porto L 0-2 1739 1839 16.1% 14.3% 69.6% -6.8 9
1964-12-06 Fabril D 2-2 1522 1796 24.4% 14.3% 61.3% +1.3 4
1964-12-06 @ Seixal D 2-2 1796 1522 61.3% 14.3% 24.4% -1.3 11
1964-12-06 Braga D 0-0 1630 1644 58.3% 14.5% 27.2% -1.6 8
1964-12-06 @ Varzim D 0-0 1644 1630 27.2% 14.5% 58.3% +1.6 7
1964-12-06 Leixoes W 4-0 1811 1730 68.0% 14.3% 17.6% +14.0 12
1964-12-06 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-4 1730 1811 17.6% 14.3% 68.0% -14.0 7
1964-12-06 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1758 1684 67.3% 14.4% 18.3% -12.5 10
1964-12-06 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1684 1758 18.3% 14.4% 67.3% +12.5 11
1964-12-13 Seixal W 5-0 1696 1523 74.7% 14.1% 11.2% +11.2 13
1964-12-13 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-5 1523 1696 11.2% 14.1% 74.7% -11.2 4
1964-12-13 Varzim W 2-1 1732 1628 69.9% 14.3% 15.8% +3.3 11
1964-12-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1628 1732 15.8% 14.3% 69.9% -3.3 8
1964-12-13 Porto W 4-0 2019 1846 74.7% 14.1% 11.2% +9.1 15
1964-12-13 @ Benfica L 0-4 1846 2019 11.2% 14.1% 74.7% -9.1 8
1964-12-13 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1645 1745 47.2% 14.6% 38.2% +7.4 9
1964-12-13 @ Braga L 1-2 1745 1645 38.2% 14.6% 47.2% -7.4 10
1964-12-13 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-1 1795 1825 56.3% 14.5% 29.2% +10.1 13
1964-12-13 @ Fabril L 1-3 1825 1795 29.2% 14.5% 56.3% -10.1 12
1964-12-13 Lusitano de Evora W 4-0 1716 1563 73.4% 14.1% 12.4% +10.0 9
1964-12-13 @ Leixoes L 0-4 1563 1716 12.4% 14.1% 73.4% -10.1 5
1964-12-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1417 1805 14.4% 13.9% 71.7% +38.5 2
1964-12-13 @ Uniao Torreense L 0-3 1805 1417 71.7% 13.9% 14.4% -38.5 7
1964-12-20 Fabril W 3-1 1553 1805 26.9% 14.4% 58.7% +18.8 7
1964-12-20 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-3 1805 1553 58.7% 14.4% 26.9% -18.8 13
1964-12-20 Uniao Torreense W 2-0 1837 1455 83.3% 13.0% 3.7% +1.6 10
1964-12-20 @ Porto L 0-2 1455 1837 3.7% 13.0% 83.3% -1.6 2
1964-12-20 Braga W 3-0 1512 1653 41.4% 14.5% 44.1% +24.3 6
1964-12-20 @ Seixal L 0-3 1653 1512 44.1% 14.5% 41.4% -24.3 9
1964-12-20 Leixoes W 1-0 1766 1726 64.2% 14.4% 21.4% +4.7 9
1964-12-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1726 1766 21.4% 14.4% 64.2% -4.7 9
1964-12-20 Benfica L 1-4 1625 2028 13.3% 13.8% 72.8% -6.9 8
1964-12-20 @ Varzim W 4-1 2028 1625 72.8% 13.8% 13.3% +6.9 17
1964-12-20 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1815 1708 70.2% 14.3% 15.6% +3.5 14
1964-12-20 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1708 1815 15.6% 14.3% 70.2% -3.5 13
1964-12-20 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1738 1735 60.1% 14.5% 25.4% +5.5 12
1964-12-20 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1735 1738 25.4% 14.5% 60.1% -5.5 11
1964-12-27 Lusitano de Evora W 3-0 1704 1571 72.0% 14.2% 13.7% +8.5 15
1964-12-27 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1571 1704 13.7% 14.2% 72.0% -8.5 7
1964-12-27 Seixal W 5-1 1730 1536 75.9% 14.0% 10.1% +6.8 13
1964-12-27 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-5 1536 1730 10.1% 14.0% 75.9% -6.8 6
1964-12-27 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 2035 1743 80.4% 13.5% 6.0% +1.2 19
1964-12-27 @ Benfica L 2-3 1743 2035 6.0% 13.5% 80.4% -1.2 12
1964-12-27 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1628 1819 34.6% 14.5% 50.9% +10.1 11
1964-12-27 @ Braga L 0-1 1819 1628 50.9% 14.5% 34.6% -10.1 14
1964-12-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1786 1771 61.6% 14.5% 23.9% -12.1 13
1964-12-27 @ Fabril W 1-0 1771 1786 23.9% 14.5% 61.6% +12.1 11
1964-12-27 Varzim W 3-1 1839 1618 77.4% 13.9% 8.8% +3.3 12
1964-12-27 @ Porto L 1-3 1618 1839 8.8% 13.9% 77.4% -3.3 8
1964-12-27 Leixoes W 3-0 1453 1721 25.2% 14.3% 60.5% +32.4 4
1964-12-27 @ Uniao Torreense L 0-3 1721 1453 60.5% 14.3% 25.2% -32.4 9
1965-01-03 Fabril D 3-3 1688 1774 49.2% 14.6% 36.3% -0.4 10
1965-01-03 @ Leixoes D 3-3 1774 1688 36.3% 14.6% 49.2% +0.4 14
1965-01-03 Braga W 2-0 1563 1638 50.5% 14.6% 34.9% +13.7 9
1965-01-03 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-2 1638 1563 34.9% 14.6% 50.5% -13.7 11
1965-01-03 Benfica L 0-4 1529 2036 7.9% 13.3% 78.8% -6.4 6
1965-01-03 @ Seixal W 4-0 2036 1529 78.8% 13.3% 7.9% +6.4 21
1965-01-03 Academica de Coimbra L 2-4 1783 1713 67.0% 14.4% 18.6% -19.2 11
1965-01-03 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 4-2 1713 1783 18.6% 14.4% 67.0% +19.2 17
1965-01-03 Varzim D 0-0 1486 1614 43.1% 14.6% 42.3% -0.0 5
1965-01-03 @ Uniao Torreense D 0-0 1614 1486 42.3% 14.6% 43.1% +0.0 9
1965-01-03 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1809 1737 67.2% 14.4% 18.5% +3.8 16
1965-01-03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1737 1809 18.5% 14.4% 67.2% -3.8 13
1965-01-03 Porto L 0-1 1742 1842 47.2% 14.6% 38.2% -9.4 12
1965-01-03 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1842 1742 38.2% 14.6% 47.2% +9.4 14
1965-01-10 Leixoes W 5-3 1732 1688 64.5% 14.4% 21.1% +6.4 19
1965-01-10 @ Academica de Coimbra L 3-5 1688 1732 21.1% 14.4% 64.5% -6.4 10
1965-01-10 Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1733 1577 73.7% 14.1% 12.2% +2.6 15
1965-01-10 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1577 1733 12.2% 14.1% 73.7% -2.6 9
1965-01-10 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 2043 1813 77.8% 13.8% 8.4% +6.8 23
1965-01-10 @ Benfica L 0-4 1813 2043 8.4% 13.8% 77.8% -6.8 16
1965-01-10 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1625 1764 41.7% 14.5% 43.8% -8.0 11
1965-01-10 @ Braga W 2-1 1764 1625 43.8% 14.5% 41.7% +8.0 13
1965-01-10 Uniao Torreense W 4-1 1774 1486 80.3% 13.6% 6.1% +3.2 16
1965-01-10 @ Fabril L 1-4 1486 1774 6.1% 13.6% 80.3% -3.2 5
1965-01-10 Seixal W 6-0 1851 1523 81.7% 13.3% 5.0% +6.0 16
1965-01-10 @ Porto L 0-6 1523 1851 5.0% 13.3% 81.7% -6.0 6
1965-01-10 Vitoria Setubal W 4-1 1615 1733 44.7% 14.6% 40.8% +19.2 11
1965-01-10 @ Varzim L 1-4 1733 1615 40.8% 14.6% 44.7% -19.2 12
1965-01-17 Fabril L 1-2 1738 1778 55.2% 14.5% 30.3% -10.2 19
1965-01-17 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1778 1738 30.3% 14.5% 55.2% +10.2 18
1965-01-17 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1736 1772 55.6% 14.5% 29.9% -10.3 15
1965-01-17 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1772 1736 29.9% 14.5% 55.6% +10.3 15
1965-01-17 Leixoes D 1-1 1617 1682 51.9% 14.6% 33.5% -0.8 12
1965-01-17 @ Braga D 1-1 1682 1617 33.5% 14.6% 51.9% +0.8 11
1965-01-17 Benfica D 0-0 1574 2049 9.3% 13.5% 77.2% +3.8 10
1965-01-17 @ Lusitano de Evora D 0-0 2049 1574 77.2% 13.5% 9.3% -3.8 24
1965-01-17 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-2 1857 1806 65.3% 14.4% 20.3% +6.5 18
1965-01-17 @ Porto L 2-4 1806 1857 20.3% 14.4% 65.3% -6.5 16
1965-01-17 Seixal W 6-0 1634 1517 70.9% 14.3% 14.9% +17.4 13
1965-01-17 @ Varzim L 0-6 1517 1634 14.9% 14.3% 70.9% -17.5 6
1965-01-17 Uniao Torreense W 4-0 1713 1483 77.8% 13.8% 8.3% +6.8 14
1965-01-17 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1483 1713 8.3% 13.8% 77.8% -6.8 5
1965-01-31 Braga W 4-1 1788 1616 74.7% 14.1% 11.3% +5.9 20
1965-01-31 @ Fabril L 1-4 1616 1788 11.3% 14.1% 74.7% -5.9 12
1965-01-31 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-0 1683 1725 54.8% 14.6% 30.6% +17.7 13
1965-01-31 @ Leixoes L 0-3 1725 1683 30.6% 14.6% 54.8% -17.7 15
1965-01-31 Porto L 2-5 1578 1864 23.2% 14.3% 62.5% -10.1 10
1965-01-31 @ Lusitano de Evora W 5-2 1864 1578 62.5% 14.3% 23.2% +10.1 20
1965-01-31 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1499 1720 30.7% 14.4% 54.9% -6.5 6
1965-01-31 @ Seixal W 1-0 1720 1499 54.9% 14.4% 30.7% +6.5 16
1965-01-31 Benfica D 2-2 1782 2046 25.6% 14.3% 60.0% +1.2 16
1965-01-31 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 2046 1782 60.0% 14.3% 25.6% -1.2 25
1965-01-31 Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1476 1728 26.9% 14.4% 58.7% -15.7 5
1965-01-31 @ Uniao Torreense W 3-0 1728 1476 58.7% 14.4% 26.9% +15.7 21
1965-01-31 Varzim W 7-1 1799 1651 73.1% 14.2% 12.7% +12.4 18
1965-01-31 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-7 1651 1799 12.7% 14.2% 73.1% -12.4 13
1965-02-07 Fabril L 1-2 1708 1794 49.1% 14.6% 36.4% -9.2 15
1965-02-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1794 1708 36.4% 14.6% 49.1% +9.2 22
1965-02-07 Leixoes W 5-0 2044 1700 82.2% 13.2% 4.6% +4.6 27
1965-02-07 @ Benfica L 0-5 1700 2044 4.6% 13.2% 82.2% -4.6 13
1965-02-07 Academica de Coimbra L 2-3 1610 1744 42.4% 14.5% 43.0% -7.7 12
1965-02-07 @ Braga W 3-2 1744 1610 43.0% 14.5% 42.4% +7.7 23
1965-02-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1874 1783 68.8% 14.3% 16.9% -22.0 20
1965-02-07 @ Porto W 3-1 1783 1874 16.9% 14.3% 68.8% +22.0 18
1965-02-07 Uniao Torreense W 2-1 1493 1460 63.4% 14.5% 22.1% +4.5 8
1965-02-07 @ Seixal L 1-2 1460 1493 22.1% 14.5% 63.4% -4.5 5
1965-02-07 Lusitano de Evora L 0-1 1639 1568 67.1% 14.4% 18.6% -13.2 13
1965-02-07 @ Varzim W 1-0 1568 1639 18.6% 14.4% 67.1% +13.2 12
1965-02-07 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1727 1812 49.2% 14.6% 36.2% +7.0 18
1965-02-07 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1812 1727 36.2% 14.6% 49.2% -7.0 18
1965-02-14 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-1 1751 1698 65.4% 14.4% 20.2% +10.2 25
1965-02-14 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-4 1698 1751 20.2% 14.4% 65.4% -10.2 15
1965-02-14 Benfica W 2-0 1803 2049 27.6% 14.4% 58.0% +21.5 24
1965-02-14 @ Fabril L 0-2 2049 1803 58.0% 14.4% 27.6% -21.4 27
1965-02-14 Porto L 1-3 1696 1852 39.2% 14.5% 46.2% -13.1 13
1965-02-14 @ Leixoes W 3-1 1852 1696 46.2% 14.5% 39.2% +13.1 22
1965-02-14 Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1581 1734 39.7% 14.5% 45.8% -15.3 12
1965-02-14 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1734 1581 45.8% 14.5% 39.7% +15.3 20
1965-02-14 Varzim W 3-2 1805 1626 75.1% 14.0% 10.8% +2.2 20
1965-02-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1626 1805 10.8% 14.0% 75.1% -2.2 13
1965-02-14 Braga W 5-0 1455 1602 40.5% 14.5% 44.9% +39.7 7
1965-02-14 @ Uniao Torreense L 0-5 1602 1455 44.9% 14.5% 40.5% -39.7 12
1965-02-14 Seixal W 1-0 1805 1497 81.0% 13.5% 5.6% +1.3 20
1965-02-14 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1497 1805 5.6% 13.5% 81.0% -1.3 8
1965-02-21 Braga W 2-1 1688 1563 71.5% 14.2% 14.2% +3.0 17
1965-02-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1563 1688 14.2% 14.2% 71.5% -3.0 12
1965-02-21 Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 2028 1762 79.4% 13.7% 6.9% +4.3 29
1965-02-21 @ Benfica L 0-3 1762 2028 6.9% 13.7% 79.4% -4.3 25
1965-02-21 Fabril W 2-0 1865 1825 64.2% 14.4% 21.4% +8.8 24
1965-02-21 @ Porto L 0-2 1825 1865 21.4% 14.4% 64.2% -8.8 24
1965-02-21 Lusitano de Evora L 0-2 1496 1566 51.3% 14.6% 34.1% -19.2 8
1965-02-21 @ Seixal W 2-0 1566 1496 34.1% 14.6% 51.3% +19.2 14
1965-02-21 Leixoes W 5-1 1623 1683 52.7% 14.6% 32.8% +20.4 15
1965-02-21 @ Varzim L 1-5 1683 1623 32.8% 14.6% 52.7% -20.4 13
1965-02-21 Uniao Torreense W 2-0 1806 1495 81.1% 13.4% 5.5% +2.4 22
1965-02-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1495 1806 5.5% 13.4% 81.1% -2.4 7
1965-02-21 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1749 1808 52.8% 14.6% 32.7% -1.0 21
1965-02-21 @ Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1808 1749 32.7% 14.6% 52.8% +1.0 21
1965-02-28 Porto L 1-4 1757 1874 44.9% 14.6% 40.6% -20.8 25
1965-02-28 @ Academica de Coimbra W 4-1 1874 1757 40.6% 14.6% 44.9% +20.8 26
1965-02-28 Benfica L 1-2 1560 2032 9.4% 13.5% 77.1% -2.0 12
1965-02-28 @ Braga W 2-1 2032 1560 77.1% 13.5% 9.4% +2.0 31
1965-02-28 Varzim W 2-1 1816 1644 74.7% 14.1% 11.3% +2.4 26
1965-02-28 @ Fabril L 1-2 1644 1816 11.3% 14.1% 74.7% -2.4 15
1965-02-28 Vitoria Setubal L 2-3 1662 1748 49.1% 14.6% 36.3% -8.7 13
1965-02-28 @ Leixoes W 3-2 1748 1662 36.3% 14.6% 49.1% +8.7 23
1965-02-28 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1585 1808 30.3% 14.4% 55.2% -6.0 14
1965-02-28 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1808 1585 55.2% 14.4% 30.3% +6.0 24
1965-02-28 Seixal W 1-0 1809 1477 81.8% 13.3% 4.9% +1.1 23
1965-02-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1477 1809 4.9% 13.3% 81.8% -1.1 8
1965-02-28 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1493 1691 33.5% 14.5% 52.0% -13.2 7
1965-02-28 @ Uniao Torreense W 2-0 1691 1493 52.0% 14.5% 33.5% +13.2 19
1965-03-07 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-2 2034 1704 81.7% 13.3% 4.9% +1.0 33
1965-03-07 @ Benfica L 2-3 1704 2034 4.9% 13.3% 81.7% -1.0 19
1965-03-07 Uniao Torreense W 6-0 1579 1480 69.5% 14.3% 16.2% +18.9 16
1965-03-07 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-6 1480 1579 16.2% 14.3% 69.5% -18.9 7
1965-03-07 Braga D 1-1 1894 1558 82.0% 13.3% 4.8% -3.9 27
1965-03-07 @ Porto D 1-1 1558 1894 4.8% 13.3% 82.0% +3.9 13
1965-03-07 Leixoes L 0-3 1476 1653 36.3% 14.5% 49.2% -20.5 8
1965-03-07 @ Seixal W 3-0 1653 1476 49.2% 14.5% 36.3% +20.5 15
1965-03-07 Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1641 1736 47.9% 14.6% 37.6% -18.0 15
1965-03-07 @ Varzim W 2-0 1736 1641 37.6% 14.6% 47.9% +18.0 27
1965-03-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1814 1810 60.4% 14.5% 25.1% -1.2 25
1965-03-07 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1810 1814 25.1% 14.5% 60.4% +1.2 24
1965-03-07 Fabril W 2-1 1757 1818 52.4% 14.6% 33.1% +6.5 25
1965-03-07 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1818 1757 33.1% 14.6% 52.4% -6.5 26
1965-03-14 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1754 1763 58.9% 14.5% 26.6% -1.5 28
1965-03-14 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1763 1754 26.6% 14.5% 58.9% +1.5 26
1965-03-14 Porto L 0-1 1703 1891 35.0% 14.5% 50.5% -7.3 19
1965-03-14 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1891 1703 50.5% 14.5% 35.0% +7.2 29
1965-03-14 Varzim D 1-1 1562 1623 52.3% 14.6% 33.1% -0.9 14
1965-03-14 @ Braga D 1-1 1623 1562 33.1% 14.6% 52.3% +0.9 16
1965-03-14 Seixal W 3-0 1812 1455 82.5% 13.2% 4.3% +2.7 28
1965-03-14 @ Fabril L 0-3 1455 1812 4.3% 13.2% 82.5% -2.7 8
1965-03-14 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1674 1813 41.6% 14.5% 43.8% +0.1 16
1965-03-14 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1813 1674 43.8% 14.5% 41.6% -0.1 26
1965-03-14 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1811 1598 77.0% 13.9% 9.1% +3.9 26
1965-03-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1598 1811 9.1% 13.9% 77.0% -3.9 16
1965-03-14 Benfica L 1-3 1461 2035 5.5% 12.9% 81.6% -2.0 7
1965-03-14 @ Uniao Torreense W 3-1 2035 1461 81.6% 12.9% 5.5% +2.0 35
1965-03-21 Leixoes W 2-1 1594 1674 49.9% 14.6% 35.5% +6.9 18
1965-03-21 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-2 1674 1594 35.5% 14.6% 49.9% -7.0 16
1965-03-21 Benfica W 1-0 1898 2037 41.6% 14.5% 43.8% +8.8 31
1965-03-21 @ Porto L 0-1 2037 1898 43.8% 14.5% 41.6% -8.8 35
1965-03-21 Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1453 1753 21.8% 14.2% 64.0% -7.7 8
1965-03-21 @ Seixal W 3-1 1753 1453 64.0% 14.2% 21.8% +7.7 30
1965-03-21 Uniao Torreense W 4-0 1815 1459 82.5% 13.2% 4.3% +3.5 28
1965-03-21 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1459 1815 4.3% 13.2% 82.5% -3.5 7
1965-03-21 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1624 1696 51.0% 14.6% 34.4% -10.1 16
1965-03-21 @ Varzim W 1-0 1696 1624 34.4% 14.6% 51.0% +10.1 21
1965-03-21 Fabril L 1-3 1813 1814 59.7% 14.5% 25.8% -19.1 26
1965-03-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-1 1814 1813 25.8% 14.5% 59.7% +19.1 30
1965-03-21 Braga W 5-1 1765 1561 76.5% 13.9% 9.6% +6.5 28
1965-03-21 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-5 1561 1765 9.6% 13.9% 76.5% -6.5 14
1965-03-28 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1761 1794 56.0% 14.5% 29.5% -10.4 30
1965-03-28 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1794 1761 29.5% 14.5% 56.0% +10.4 28
1965-03-28 Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1706 1771 51.9% 14.6% 33.5% -9.7 21
1965-03-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1771 1706 33.5% 14.6% 51.9% +9.7 30
1965-03-28 Varzim W 5-0 2028 1614 84.0% 12.8% 3.1% +3.2 37
1965-03-28 @ Benfica L 0-5 1614 2028 3.1% 12.8% 84.0% -3.2 16
1965-03-28 Seixal W 6-0 1554 1445 70.3% 14.3% 15.4% +18.1 16
1965-03-28 @ Braga L 0-6 1445 1554 15.4% 14.3% 70.3% -18.1 8
1965-03-28 Lusitano de Evora L 0-1 1833 1601 77.9% 13.8% 8.2% -15.4 30
1965-03-28 @ Fabril W 1-0 1601 1833 8.2% 13.8% 77.9% +15.4 20
1965-03-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1667 1818 39.9% 14.5% 45.5% +0.2 17
1965-03-28 @ Leixoes D 3-3 1818 1667 45.5% 14.5% 39.9% -0.1 29
1965-03-28 Porto L 1-2 1455 1907 10.5% 13.6% 75.9% -2.2 7
1965-03-28 @ Uniao Torreense W 2-1 1907 1455 75.9% 13.6% 10.5% +2.2 33
1965-04-04 Uniao Torreense W 3-0 1667 1453 77.0% 13.9% 9.1% +5.7 19
1965-04-04 @ Leixoes L 0-3 1453 1667 9.1% 13.9% 77.0% -5.7 7
1965-04-04 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1616 1750 42.3% 14.5% 43.1% -8.1 20
1965-04-04 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1750 1616 43.1% 14.5% 42.3% +8.1 32
1965-04-04 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1427 1696 25.0% 14.3% 60.7% -5.4 8
1965-04-04 @ Seixal W 1-0 1696 1427 60.7% 14.3% 25.0% +5.4 23
1965-04-04 Fabril D 0-0 1818 1818 59.9% 14.5% 25.6% -1.8 30
1965-04-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1818 1818 25.6% 14.5% 59.9% +1.8 31
1965-04-04 Porto W 2-0 1611 1909 22.0% 14.2% 63.7% +23.5 18
1965-04-04 @ Varzim L 0-2 1909 1611 63.7% 14.2% 22.0% -23.5 33
1965-04-04 Braga L 2-3 1804 1572 77.9% 13.8% 8.3% -13.7 28
1965-04-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1572 1804 8.3% 13.8% 77.9% +13.7 18
1965-04-04 Benfica L 1-2 1781 2031 27.1% 14.4% 58.5% -5.5 30
1965-04-04 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 2031 1781 58.5% 14.4% 27.1% +5.4 39
1965-05-02 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1758 1816 52.8% 14.6% 32.6% +18.7 34
1965-05-02 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1816 1758 32.6% 14.6% 52.8% -18.7 30
1965-05-02 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1702 1790 48.8% 14.6% 36.7% -0.4 24
1965-05-02 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1790 1702 36.7% 14.6% 48.8% +0.4 29
1965-05-02 Seixal W 11-3 2037 1421 87.6% 11.4% 1.0% +1.0 41
1965-05-02 @ Benfica L 3-11 1421 2037 1.0% 11.4% 87.6% -0.9 8
1965-05-02 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1586 1608 57.3% 14.5% 28.1% +11.3 20
1965-05-02 @ Braga L 0-2 1608 1586 28.1% 14.5% 57.3% -11.3 20
1965-05-02 Leixoes W 2-1 1820 1673 73.0% 14.2% 12.8% +2.7 33
1965-05-02 @ Fabril L 1-2 1673 1820 12.8% 14.2% 73.0% -2.7 19
1965-05-02 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1885 1775 70.3% 14.3% 15.4% +3.4 35
1965-05-02 @ Porto L 0-1 1775 1885 15.4% 14.3% 70.3% -3.4 30
1965-05-02 Uniao Torreense W 3-1 1635 1447 75.5% 14.0% 10.4% +3.9 20
1965-05-02 @ Varzim L 1-3 1447 1635 10.4% 14.0% 75.5% -3.9 7
1965-05-09 Academica de Coimbra W 5-1 1670 1777 46.2% 14.6% 39.2% +23.9 21
1965-05-09 @ Leixoes L 1-5 1777 1670 39.2% 14.6% 46.2% -23.9 34
1965-05-09 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-5 1597 1701 46.5% 14.6% 38.9% -27.7 20
1965-05-09 @ Lusitano de Evora W 5-1 1701 1597 38.9% 14.6% 46.5% +27.7 26
1965-05-09 Porto L 1-2 1421 1889 9.6% 13.5% 76.9% -2.0 8
1965-05-09 @ Seixal W 2-1 1889 1421 76.9% 13.5% 9.6% +2.0 37
1965-05-09 Braga W 3-1 1798 1597 76.3% 14.0% 9.8% +3.6 32
1965-05-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1597 1798 9.8% 14.0% 76.3% -3.6 20
1965-05-09 Fabril L 0-1 1443 1823 15.0% 14.0% 71.0% -3.3 7
1965-05-09 @ Uniao Torreense W 1-0 1823 1443 71.0% 14.0% 15.0% +3.3 35
1965-05-09 Benfica L 1-2 1791 2038 27.5% 14.4% 58.1% -5.5 29
1965-05-09 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 2038 1791 58.1% 14.4% 27.5% +5.5 43
1965-05-09 Varzim W 7-1 1772 1638 72.1% 14.2% 13.7% +13.3 32
1965-05-09 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-7 1638 1772 13.7% 14.2% 72.1% -13.3 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1965-03-28 8.24% Lusitano de Evora 1601 1 @ Fabril 1833 0
2 1965-04-04 8.28% Braga 1572 3 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1804 2
3 1964-11-22 8.81% Academica de Coimbra 1655 2 @ Porto 1875 1
4 1964-12-13 14.38% @ Uniao Torreense 1417 3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1805 0
5 1965-02-07 16.90% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1783 3 @ Porto 1874 1
6 1964-12-06 18.32% Academica de Coimbra 1684 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1758 1
7 1965-02-07 18.55% Lusitano de Evora 1568 1 @ Varzim 1639 0
8 1965-01-03 18.60% Academica de Coimbra 1713 4 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1783 2
9 1964-10-25 20.22% Vitoria Setubal 1744 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1796 1
10 1965-04-04 22.03% @ Varzim 1611 2 Porto 1909 0
11 1964-11-29 23.71% Vitoria Guimaraes 1800 2 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1818 1
12 1964-12-27 23.95% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1771 1 @ Fabril 1786 0
13 1964-12-27 25.21% @ Uniao Torreense 1453 3 Leixoes 1721 0
14 1965-03-21 25.77% Fabril 1814 3 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1813 1
15 1964-12-20 26.90% @ Lusitano de Evora 1553 3 Fabril 1805 1
16 1965-02-14 27.64% @ Fabril 1803 2 Benfica 2049 0
17 1964-11-29 28.60% @ Braga 1623 2 Porto 1860 0
18 1965-03-28 29.48% Vitoria Guimaraes 1794 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1761 1
19 1965-01-17 29.86% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1772 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1736 1
20 1965-01-17 30.27% Fabril 1778 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1738 1
21 1964-10-11 32.74% Varzim 1629 2 @ Seixal 1570 1
22 1965-03-28 33.52% Vitoria Setubal 1771 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1706 1
23 1964-10-25 34.08% Varzim 1639 1 @ Lusitano de Evora 1569 0
24 1965-02-21 34.10% Lusitano de Evora 1566 2 @ Seixal 1496 0
25 1965-03-21 34.40% Os Belenenses (1st) 1696 1 @ Varzim 1624 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1965-02-14 39.73 @ Uniao Torreense 5 1455 40.53% Braga 0 1602 44.93% 14.54%
2 1964-12-13 38.48 @ Uniao Torreense 3 1417 14.38% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1805 71.72% 13.91%
3 1964-11-29 35.41 Benfica 6 1982 53.25% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1774 32.29% 14.46%
4 1964-12-27 32.43 @ Uniao Torreense 3 1453 25.21% Leixoes 0 1721 60.46% 14.33%
5 1965-05-09 27.71 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 1701 38.91% @ Lusitano de Evora 1 1597 46.53% 14.57%
6 1964-12-20 24.26 @ Seixal 3 1512 41.38% Braga 0 1653 44.07% 14.55%
7 1965-05-09 23.90 @ Leixoes 5 1670 46.23% Academica de Coimbra 1 1777 39.20% 14.57%
8 1965-04-04 23.51 @ Varzim 2 1611 22.03% Porto 0 1909 63.73% 14.24%
9 1964-10-11 22.80 Vitoria Setubal 4 1703 55.37% @ Uniao Torreense 0 1478 30.20% 14.43%
10 1965-02-07 22.05 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1783 16.90% @ Porto 1 1874 68.77% 14.33%
11 1965-02-14 21.45 @ Fabril 2 1803 27.64% Benfica 0 2049 57.98% 14.38%
12 1964-11-29 21.10 @ Braga 2 1623 28.60% Porto 0 1860 57.00% 14.40%
13 1965-02-28 20.80 Porto 4 1874 40.56% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1757 44.88% 14.56%
14 1965-03-07 20.52 Leixoes 3 1653 49.20% @ Seixal 0 1476 36.30% 14.51%
15 1965-02-21 20.44 @ Varzim 5 1623 52.67% Leixoes 1 1683 32.77% 14.56%
16 1965-01-03 19.20 Academica de Coimbra 4 1713 18.60% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1783 67.02% 14.38%
17 1965-01-10 19.15 @ Varzim 4 1615 44.66% Vitoria Setubal 1 1733 40.78% 14.56%
18 1965-02-21 19.15 Lusitano de Evora 2 1566 34.10% @ Seixal 0 1496 51.33% 14.57%
19 1965-03-21 19.14 Fabril 3 1814 25.77% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1813 59.72% 14.51%
20 1965-03-07 18.94 @ Lusitano de Evora 6 1579 69.48% Uniao Torreense 0 1480 16.21% 14.31%
21 1964-12-20 18.81 @ Lusitano de Evora 3 1553 26.90% Fabril 1 1805 58.73% 14.37%
22 1965-05-02 18.70 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1758 52.83% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1816 32.61% 14.56%
23 1964-10-18 18.14 @ Vitoria Setubal 8 1726 74.28% Seixal 0 1560 11.62% 14.09%
24 1965-03-28 18.08 @ Braga 6 1554 70.29% Seixal 0 1445 15.43% 14.28%
25 1965-03-07 17.97 Academica de Coimbra 2 1736 37.56% @ Varzim 0 1641 47.87% 14.57%