1964-65 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Academica de Coimbra

6.55 points above expected

34 points · 27.45 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Uniao Torreense

6.29 points below expected

7 points · 13.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	19	5	2	43	88	21	+67	41.8	+1.22
2	Porto	26	17	3	6	37	47	27	+20	34.9	+2.09
3	Fabril	26	15	5	6	35	49	29	+20	31.3	+3.71
4	Academica de Coimbra	26	16	2	8	34	58	40	+18	27.4	+6.55
5	Vitoria Setubal	26	15	2	9	32	61	30	+31	28.9	+3.05
6	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	12	8	6	32	39	35	+4	30.5	+1.53
7	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	12	5	9	29	44	36	+8	30.8	-1.75
8	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	12	2	12	26	39	40	-1	26.6	-0.64
9	Leixoes	26	8	5	13	21	50	51	-1	24.3	-3.29
10	Braga	26	8	4	14	20	36	51	-15	19.9	+0.07
11	Varzim	26	8	4	14	20	39	55	-16	21.4	-1.42
12	Lusitano de Evora	26	9	2	15	20	30	51	-21	18.8	+1.18
13	Seixal	26	3	2	21	8	16	84	-68	14.0	-6.01
14	Uniao Torreense	26	3	1	22	7	18	64	-46	13.3	-6.29

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	2053	43	41.78	+1.22	74.0%	33	37	40	42	44	48	50
Porto	1894	37	34.91	+2.09	77.0%	24	28	33	35	37	41	43
Fabril	1840	35	31.29	+3.71	85.0%	19	24	28	31	34	37	41
Vitoria Setubal	1800	32	28.95	+3.05	81.0%	17	21	26	29	32	36	40
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1797	32	30.47	+1.53	70.0%	21	24	28	31	33	37	40
Vitoria Guimaraes	1782	29	30.75	-1.75	38.0%	21	24	28	31	33	38	40
Academica de Coimbra	1764	34	27.45	+6.55	97.0%	17	21	24	28	31	33	38
Os Belenenses (1st)	1727	26	26.64	-0.64	49.0%	16	20	24	27	30	33	35
Leixoes	1694	21	24.29	-3.29	27.0%	14	17	21	24	27	32	35
Varzim	1625	20	21.42	-1.42	38.0%	9	14	18	22	24	27	31
Braga	1586	20	19.93	+0.07	52.0%	9	12	17	20	23	27	28
Lusitano de Evora	1569	20	18.82	+1.18	64.0%	8	12	16	19	22	26	30
Uniao Torreense	1434	7	13.29	-6.29	4.0%	5	8	11	14	16	18	21
Seixal	1391	8	14.01	-6.01	8.0%	6	8	12	14	17	20	26

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	BEN	BRA	FAB	LEI	LDE	OB(	POR	SEI	SCDP	UT	VAR	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	0-1-1 1.10	2-0-0 3.59	0-0-2 2.49	1-0-1 3.60	2-0-0 3.75	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.00	2-0-0 4.59	2-0-0 2.58	2-0-0 4.38	2-0-0 3.34	0-0-2 2.53	1-1-0 2.62
Benfica	1-1-0 4.62	—	2-0-0 5.10	0-1-1 4.35	1-1-0 4.59	1-1-0 5.11	2-0-0 4.33	1-0-1 3.90	2-0-0 5.30	1-1-0 4.32	2-0-0 5.35	2-0-0 5.02	2-0-0 4.42	2-0-0 4.43
Braga	0-0-2 2.12	0-0-2 0.64	—	1-0-1 1.82	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.95	0-0-2 2.01	1-1-0 1.28	1-0-1 3.79	0-0-2 1.88	1-0-1 3.87	0-2-0 2.62	2-0-0 1.51	1-0-1 1.92
Fabril	2-0-0 3.22	1-1-0 1.37	1-0-1 3.90	—	1-1-0 3.66	0-0-2 4.44	1-1-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.29	1-1-0 4.69	0-1-1 3.04	2-0-0 4.86	2-0-0 3.78	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.10
Leixoes	1-0-1 2.11	0-1-1 1.15	1-1-0 3.34	0-1-1 2.06	—	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 1.82	2-0-0 4.04	0-1-1 2.16	1-0-1 4.40	1-0-1 3.15	0-1-1 2.02	0-0-2 2.27
Lusitano de Evora	0-0-2 1.96	0-1-1 0.64	1-0-1 2.76	2-0-0 1.29	1-0-1 2.24	—	0-0-2 2.16	0-0-2 1.19	2-0-0 3.18	0-1-1 1.46	2-0-0 3.69	1-0-1 2.40	0-0-2 1.46	0-0-2 1.78
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 2.85	0-0-2 1.40	2-0-0 3.71	0-1-1 2.42	1-0-1 3.10	2-0-0 3.56	—	0-0-2 1.78	2-0-0 4.42	0-0-2 2.51	2-0-0 4.22	2-0-0 3.36	0-1-1 2.25	0-0-2 2.47
Porto	1-0-1 3.72	1-0-1 1.83	0-1-1 4.45	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 3.90	2-0-0 4.54	2-0-0 3.94	—	2-0-0 5.08	0-1-1 3.33	2-0-0 5.06	1-0-1 4.55	1-1-0 3.31	2-0-0 3.44
Seixal	0-0-2 1.13	0-0-2 0.48	1-0-1 1.93	0-1-1 1.05	0-0-2 1.68	0-0-2 2.54	0-0-2 1.30	0-0-2 0.66	—	0-1-1 1.10	2-0-0 3.25	0-0-2 2.30	0-0-2 1.32	0-0-2 1.50
Sporting Clube de Portugal	0-0-2 3.14	0-1-1 1.40	2-0-0 3.84	1-1-0 2.68	1-1-0 3.56	1-1-0 4.26	2-0-0 3.21	1-1-0 2.38	1-1-0 4.63	—	1-0-1 4.91	1-0-1 4.00	0-1-1 2.86	1-1-0 3.09
Uniao Torreense	0-0-2 1.35	0-0-2 0.42	1-0-1 1.86	0-0-2 0.87	1-0-1 1.32	0-0-2 2.03	0-0-2 1.51	0-0-2 0.68	0-0-2 2.47	1-0-1 0.83	—	0-1-1 1.94	0-0-2 0.94	0-0-2 1.48
Varzim	0-0-2 2.37	0-0-2 0.73	0-2-0 3.10	0-0-2 1.94	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 3.31	0-0-2 2.36	1-0-1 1.18	2-0-0 3.41	1-0-1 1.73	1-1-0 3.78	—	0-1-1 1.88	1-0-1 1.99
Vitoria Guimaraes	2-0-0 3.19	0-0-2 1.31	0-0-2 4.21	0-0-2 2.91	1-1-0 3.70	2-0-0 4.26	1-1-0 3.47	0-1-1 2.41	2-0-0 4.41	1-1-0 2.86	2-0-0 4.79	1-1-0 3.84	—	0-0-2 3.30
Vitoria Setubal	0-1-1 3.10	0-0-2 1.30	1-0-1 3.81	1-0-1 2.61	2-0-0 3.45	2-0-0 3.95	2-0-0 3.24	0-0-2 2.28	2-0-0 4.22	0-1-1 2.63	2-0-0 4.25	1-0-1 3.73	2-0-0 2.41	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	6.59%	4.67%	4.12%	2.47%	4.12%	25.82%
1	6.59%	6.04%	9.34%	3.85%	1.92%	2.20%	29.95%
2	4.67%	9.34%	2.75%	2.47%	0.55%	0.27%	20.05%
3	4.12%	3.85%	2.47%	1.10%	—	0.55%	12.09%
4	2.47%	1.92%	0.55%	—	—	—	4.95%
5+	4.12%	2.20%	0.27%	0.55%	—	—	7.14%
Total	25.82%	29.95%	20.05%	12.09%	4.95%	7.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	3.37
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.260
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	11.54%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
2	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	23.08%	34.62%	19.23%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.383
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
2	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	23.08%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
Total	46.15%	30.77%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.38
Mean allowed	0.81
StdDev scored	2.45
StdDev allowed	0.90
Mean total goals/game	4.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.056
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	19.23%
1	3.85%	11.54%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	50.00%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	19.23%	30.77%	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.78
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.468
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	50.00%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.12
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.063
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	30.77%
2	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	11.54%
3	15.38%	—	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	26.92%	7.69%	26.92%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.60
StdDev allowed	1.66
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.423
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	42.31%
1	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	26.92%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.99
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.356
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	11.54%	3.85%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	38.46%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.280
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	38.46%	30.77%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	1.60
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.158
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	23.08%	61.54%
1	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	23.08%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	30.77%	100%

Seixal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.62
Mean allowed	3.23
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	2.75
Mean total goals/game	3.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.051
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	—	11.54%	—	—	23.08%
1	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	23.08%	19.23%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.040
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	61.54%
1	—	—	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	11.54%	26.92%	19.23%	19.23%	7.69%	100%

Uniao Torreense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.69
Mean allowed	2.46
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.492
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	34.62%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	15.38%	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.58
StdDev allowed	2.05
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.266
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	38.46%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	34.62%	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	—	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	3.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.159
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	34.62%	34.62%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.35
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	2.33
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.317
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Academica de Coimbra	34	27.4	+6.55
2	Fabril	35	31.3	+3.71
3	Vitoria Setubal	32	28.9	+3.05
4	Porto	37	34.9	+2.09
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	32	30.5	+1.53

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Uniao Torreense	7	13.3	-6.29
2	Seixal	8	14.0	-6.01
3	Leixoes	21	24.3	-3.29
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	29	30.8	-1.75
5	Varzim	20	21.4	-1.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Academica de Coimbra	4	Nov 22 – Dec 13	1 in 124
2	Fabril	5	Jan 10 – Feb 14	1 in 52
3	Braga	3	Mar 28 – May 2	1 in 34
4	Lusitano de Evora	2	Mar 21 – Mar 28	1 in 24
5	Vitoria Guimaraes	5	Nov 1 – Dec 6	1 in 20

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	3	Nov 8 – Nov 29	1 in 85
2	Seixal	10	Feb 14 – May 9	1 in 47
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	Jan 17 – Feb 14	1 in 23
4	Vitoria Setubal	3	Nov 29 – Dec 13	1 in 20
5	Fabril	2	Dec 20 – Dec 27	1 in 18

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	12	Jan 10 – Apr 4	1 in 640
2	Vitoria Setubal	10	Jan 17 – Mar 28	1 in 89
3	Academica de Coimbra	5	Nov 8 – Dec 13	1 in 58
4	Fabril	7	Oct 25 – Dec 13	1 in 46
5	Varzim	4	Oct 11 – Nov 1	1 in 16

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	Nov 22 – Dec 13	1 in 57
2	Braga	11	Jan 3 – Mar 21	1 in 53
3	Benfica	3	Oct 25 – Nov 8	1 in 34
4	Varzim	8	Nov 8 – Jan 3	1 in 19
5	Porto	3	Nov 8 – Nov 29	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	85.00%	13.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	10.00%	43.00%	29.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Fabril	3.00%	11.00%	22.00%	18.00%	19.00%	10.00%	8.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Academica de Coimbra	—	3.00%	5.00%	16.00%	11.00%	15.00%	14.00%	17.00%	13.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—
Vitoria Setubal	—	7.00%	12.00%	14.00%	15.00%	19.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1.00%	10.00%	10.00%	23.00%	18.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	1.00%	9.00%	18.00%	14.00%	17.00%	13.00%	13.00%	5.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	—	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	9.00%	15.00%	19.00%	21.00%	8.00%	12.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—
Leixoes	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	16.00%	14.00%	10.00%	21.00%	14.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—
Braga	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	7.00%	15.00%	18.00%	25.00%	15.00%	9.00%	9.00%
Varzim	—	—	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	4.00%	12.00%	22.00%	16.00%	19.00%	15.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Lusitano de Evora	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	—	2.00%	7.00%	20.00%	23.00%	25.00%	14.00%	6.00%
Seixal	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	22.00%	30.00%	39.00%
Uniao Torreense	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	12.00%	39.00%	45.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Academica de Coimbra	100%	—
Benfica	100%	—
Fabril	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	100%	—
Vitoria Setubal	100%	—
Leixoes	99.0%	1.0%
Varzim	92.0%	8.0%
Braga	82.0%	18.0%
Lusitano de Evora	80.0%	20.0%
Seixal	31.0%	69.0%
Uniao Torreense	16.0%	84.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1964-10-11	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-0	1963	1582	83.8%	12.4%	3.8%	+4.8	3
1964-10-11	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1582	1963	3.8%	12.4%	83.8%	-4.8	0
1964-10-11	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1759	1663	69.4%	14.0%	16.6%	+7.6	3
1964-10-11	@ Fabril	L 1-3	1663	1759	16.6%	14.0%	69.4%	-7.6	0
1964-10-11	Braga	W 2-1	1710	1626	68.4%	14.0%	17.5%	+4.6	3
1964-10-11	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1626	1710	17.5%	14.0%	68.4%	-4.6	0
1964-10-11	Varzim	L 1-2	1573	1630	53.1%	14.3%	32.6%	-12.5	0
1964-10-11	@ Seixal	W 2-1	1630	1573	32.6%	14.3%	53.1%	+12.4	3
1964-10-11	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1836	1750	68.6%	14.0%	17.4%	+4.8	3
1964-10-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1750	1836	17.4%	14.0%	68.6%	-4.8	0
1964-10-11	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1486	1703	31.2%	14.1%	54.7%	-29.5	0
1964-10-11	@ Uniao Torreense	W 4-0	1703	1486	54.7%	14.1%	31.2%	+29.5	3
1964-10-11	Porto	D 0-0	1795	1879	49.5%	14.3%	36.2%	-0.9	1
1964-10-11	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1879	1795	36.2%	14.3%	49.5%	+0.8	1
1964-10-18	Uniao Torreense	W 2-0	1656	1456	76.6%	13.6%	9.9%	+5.3	3
1964-10-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1456	1656	9.9%	13.6%	76.6%	-5.3	0
1964-10-18	Leixoes	W 3-2	1745	1715	63.3%	14.2%	22.5%	+5.5	3
1964-10-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1715	1745	22.5%	14.2%	63.3%	-5.5	3
1964-10-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1968	1841	71.9%	13.9%	14.3%	+11.0	6
1964-10-18	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1841	1968	14.3%	13.9%	71.9%	-11.0	3
1964-10-18	Fabril	W 2-1	1621	1767	40.9%	14.3%	44.9%	+10.7	3
1964-10-18	@ Braga	L 1-2	1767	1621	44.9%	14.3%	40.9%	-10.7	3
1964-10-18	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1880	1577	81.3%	13.0%	5.8%	+1.7	4
1964-10-18	@ Porto	L 0-1	1577	1880	5.8%	13.0%	81.3%	-1.7	0
1964-10-18	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1642	1794	40.0%	14.3%	45.8%	+0.3	4
1964-10-18	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1794	1642	45.8%	14.3%	40.0%	-0.3	2
1964-10-18	Seixal	W 8-0	1733	1560	75.0%	13.7%	11.3%	+22.2	6
1964-10-18	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-8	1560	1733	11.3%	13.7%	75.0%	-22.2	0
1964-10-25	Braga	W 2-1	1661	1632	63.2%	14.2%	22.6%	+5.8	6
1964-10-25	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1632	1661	22.6%	14.2%	63.2%	-5.8	3
1964-10-25	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1756	1750	60.7%	14.2%	25.1%	-2.1	4
1964-10-25	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1750	1756	25.1%	14.2%	60.7%	+2.1	4
1964-10-25	Benfica	D 1-1	1709	1979	25.1%	14.0%	60.9%	+2.1	4
1964-10-25	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1979	1709	60.9%	14.0%	25.1%	-2.1	7
1964-10-25	Varzim	L 0-1	1575	1643	51.7%	14.3%	34.0%	-12.9	0
1964-10-25	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1643	1575	34.0%	14.3%	51.7%	+12.9	7
1964-10-25	Porto	D 1-1	1830	1882	53.8%	14.3%	31.9%	-1.3	4
1964-10-25	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1882	1830	31.9%	14.3%	53.8%	+1.3	5
1964-10-25	Seixal	L 0-1	1451	1538	49.1%	14.3%	36.6%	-12.3	0
1964-10-25	@ Uniao Torreense	W 1-0	1538	1451	36.6%	14.3%	49.1%	+12.3	3
1964-10-25	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1794	1755	64.2%	14.1%	21.6%	-15.0	2
1964-10-25	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1755	1794	21.6%	14.1%	64.2%	+15.0	9
1964-11-01	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1753	1667	68.6%	14.0%	17.4%	+13.3	7
1964-11-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1667	1753	17.4%	14.0%	68.6%	-13.3	6
1964-11-01	Fabril	D 1-1	1977	1754	77.8%	13.4%	8.8%	-4.3	8
1964-11-01	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1754	1977	8.8%	13.4%	77.8%	+4.3	5
1964-11-01	Uniao Torreense	W 4-0	1626	1438	75.9%	13.6%	10.5%	+10.7	6
1964-11-01	@ Braga	L 0-4	1438	1626	10.5%	13.6%	75.9%	-10.7	0
1964-11-01	Leixoes	W 3-1	1883	1711	74.9%	13.7%	11.4%	+5.3	8
1964-11-01	@ Porto	L 1-3	1711	1883	11.4%	13.7%	74.9%	-5.3	4
1964-11-01	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1550	1779	29.8%	14.1%	56.1%	-7.9	3
1964-11-01	@ Seixal	W 1-0	1779	1550	56.1%	14.1%	29.8%	+7.9	5
1964-11-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1656	1829	37.1%	14.2%	48.7%	+19.9	10
1964-11-01	@ Varzim	L 1-3	1829	1656	48.7%	14.2%	37.1%	-19.9	4
1964-11-01	Lusitano de Evora	W 8-0	1770	1562	77.0%	13.5%	9.5%	+18.6	12
1964-11-01	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-8	1562	1770	9.5%	13.5%	77.0%	-18.6	0
1964-11-08	Benfica	D 2-2	1654	1972	20.2%	13.8%	66.0%	+2.1	7
1964-11-08	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1972	1654	66.0%	13.8%	20.2%	-2.1	9
1964-11-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1637	1766	43.2%	14.3%	42.5%	-10.4	6
1964-11-08	@ Braga	W 2-1	1766	1637	42.5%	14.3%	43.2%	+10.4	10
1964-11-08	Porto	W 2-0	1758	1888	43.1%	14.3%	42.6%	+20.5	8
1964-11-08	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1888	1758	42.6%	14.3%	43.1%	-20.5	8
1964-11-08	Varzim	W 3-0	1706	1676	63.3%	14.2%	22.5%	+16.9	7
1964-11-08	@ Leixoes	L 0-3	1676	1706	22.5%	14.2%	63.3%	-16.9	10
1964-11-08	Seixal	W 4-1	1544	1542	60.2%	14.2%	25.6%	+16.0	3
1964-11-08	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-4	1542	1544	25.6%	14.2%	60.2%	-16.0	3
1964-11-08	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1809	1789	62.2%	14.2%	23.6%	+5.8	7
1964-11-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1789	1809	23.6%	14.2%	62.2%	-5.8	12
1964-11-08	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1428	1787	16.7%	13.6%	69.7%	-7.6	0
1964-11-08	@ Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1787	1428	69.7%	13.6%	16.7%	+7.6	8
1964-11-22	Uniao Torreense	W 1-0	1776	1420	83.1%	12.6%	4.3%	+1.2	13
1964-11-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1420	1776	4.3%	12.6%	83.1%	-1.2	0
1964-11-22	Braga	W 7-0	1970	1626	82.7%	12.7%	4.6%	+8.1	12
1964-11-22	@ Benfica	L 0-7	1626	1970	4.6%	12.7%	82.7%	-8.0	6
1964-11-22	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1868	1656	77.2%	13.5%	9.3%	-18.1	8
1964-11-22	@ Porto	W 2-1	1656	1868	9.3%	13.5%	77.2%	+18.1	10
1964-11-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1526	1814	23.2%	13.9%	62.9%	+2.7	4
1964-11-22	@ Seixal	D 0-0	1814	1526	62.9%	13.9%	23.2%	-2.7	8
1964-11-22	Fabril	L 2-3	1659	1779	44.5%	14.3%	41.2%	-10.1	10
1964-11-22	@ Varzim	W 3-2	1779	1659	41.2%	14.3%	44.5%	+10.1	11
1964-11-22	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1795	1560	78.4%	13.4%	8.2%	+4.5	11
1964-11-22	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1560	1795	8.2%	13.4%	78.4%	-4.5	3
1964-11-22	Leixoes	W 1-0	1783	1723	66.3%	14.1%	19.6%	+5.4	15
1964-11-22	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1723	1783	19.6%	14.1%	66.3%	-5.4	7
1964-11-29	Varzim	W 5-1	1674	1649	62.8%	14.2%	23.0%	+18.8	13
1964-11-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1649	1674	23.0%	14.2%	62.8%	-18.8	10
1964-11-29	Benfica	L 0-6	1777	1978	33.4%	14.2%	52.5%	-45.9	13
1964-11-29	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 6-0	1978	1777	52.5%	14.2%	33.4%	+45.9	15
1964-11-29	Porto	W 2-0	1618	1850	29.5%	14.1%	56.4%	+26.3	9
1964-11-29	@ Braga	L 0-2	1850	1618	56.4%	14.1%	29.5%	-26.3	8
1964-11-29	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1789	1788	60.1%	14.2%	25.7%	+19.1	14
1964-11-29	@ Fabril	L 0-3	1788	1789	25.7%	14.2%	60.1%	-19.0	15
1964-11-29	Seixal	W 6-0	1717	1529	75.9%	13.6%	10.5%	+15.6	10
1964-11-29	@ Leixoes	L 0-6	1529	1717	10.5%	13.6%	75.9%	-15.6	4
1964-11-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1812	1799	61.5%	14.2%	24.3%	-14.3	8
1964-11-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1799	1812	24.3%	14.2%	61.5%	+14.3	14
1964-11-29	Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1419	1555	42.2%	14.3%	43.5%	-10.2	0
1964-11-29	@ Uniao Torreense	W 2-1	1555	1419	43.5%	14.3%	42.2%	+10.2	6
1964-12-06	Uniao Torreense	W 6-0	2024	1409	88.5%	10.4%	1.1%	+1.5	18
1964-12-06	@ Benfica	L 0-6	1409	2024	1.1%	10.4%	88.5%	-1.5	0
1964-12-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1565	1797	29.4%	14.1%	56.5%	+1.6	7
1964-12-06	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1797	1565	56.5%	14.1%	29.4%	-1.6	9
1964-12-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1823	1732	69.1%	14.0%	16.9%	+8.9	11
1964-12-06	@ Porto	L 0-2	1732	1823	16.9%	14.0%	69.1%	-8.9	13
1964-12-06	Fabril	D 2-2	1513	1808	22.5%	13.9%	63.6%	+1.8	5
1964-12-06	@ Seixal	D 2-2	1808	1513	63.6%	13.9%	22.5%	-1.8	15
1964-12-06	Braga	D 0-0	1630	1645	58.3%	14.2%	27.4%	-2.0	11
1964-12-06	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1645	1630	27.4%	14.2%	58.3%	+2.0	10
1964-12-06	Leixoes	W 4-0	1813	1733	68.1%	14.0%	17.9%	+17.8	17
1964-12-06	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-4	1733	1813	17.9%	14.0%	68.1%	-17.8	10
1964-12-06	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1769	1693	67.8%	14.1%	18.2%	-15.8	15
1964-12-06	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1693	1769	18.2%	14.1%	67.8%	+15.8	16
1964-12-13	Seixal	W 5-0	1708	1515	76.2%	13.6%	10.2%	+12.8	19
1964-12-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-5	1515	1708	10.2%	13.6%	76.2%	-12.9	5
1964-12-13	Varzim	W 2-1	1723	1628	69.3%	14.0%	16.7%	+4.4	16
1964-12-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1628	1723	16.7%	14.0%	69.3%	-4.4	11
1964-12-13	Porto	W 4-0	2026	1832	76.2%	13.6%	10.2%	+10.4	21
1964-12-13	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1832	2026	10.2%	13.6%	76.2%	-10.4	11
1964-12-13	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1647	1754	46.4%	14.3%	39.3%	+9.5	13
1964-12-13	@ Braga	L 1-2	1754	1647	39.3%	14.3%	46.4%	-9.6	15
1964-12-13	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1806	1831	57.1%	14.3%	28.6%	+12.5	18
1964-12-13	@ Fabril	L 1-3	1831	1806	28.6%	14.3%	57.1%	-12.5	17
1964-12-13	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-0	1715	1567	73.4%	13.8%	12.8%	+13.0	13
1964-12-13	@ Leixoes	L 0-4	1567	1715	12.8%	13.8%	73.4%	-13.0	7
1964-12-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1407	1796	14.5%	13.5%	72.0%	+48.7	3
1964-12-13	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-3	1796	1407	72.0%	13.5%	14.5%	-48.7	9
1964-12-20	Fabril	W 3-1	1554	1819	25.7%	14.0%	60.3%	+24.3	10
1964-12-20	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1819	1554	60.3%	14.0%	25.7%	-24.3	18
1964-12-20	Uniao Torreense	W 2-0	1822	1456	83.4%	12.5%	4.1%	+2.2	14
1964-12-20	@ Porto	L 0-2	1456	1822	4.1%	12.5%	83.4%	-2.2	3
1964-12-20	Braga	W 3-0	1502	1656	39.7%	14.2%	46.1%	+31.8	8
1964-12-20	@ Seixal	L 0-3	1656	1502	46.1%	14.2%	39.7%	-31.8	13
1964-12-20	Leixoes	W 1-0	1747	1728	62.1%	14.2%	23.7%	+6.5	12
1964-12-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1728	1747	23.7%	14.2%	62.1%	-6.5	13
1964-12-20	Benfica	L 1-4	1623	2036	12.8%	13.4%	73.8%	-8.3	11
1964-12-20	@ Varzim	W 4-1	2036	1623	73.8%	13.4%	12.8%	+8.3	24
1964-12-20	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1819	1721	69.6%	14.0%	16.5%	+4.6	20
1964-12-20	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1721	1819	16.5%	14.0%	69.6%	-4.6	19
1964-12-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1744	1727	61.9%	14.2%	23.9%	+6.5	18
1964-12-20	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1727	1744	23.9%	14.2%	61.9%	-6.5	16
1964-12-27	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-0	1717	1578	72.7%	13.8%	13.5%	+10.4	22
1964-12-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1578	1717	13.5%	13.8%	72.7%	-10.4	10
1964-12-27	Seixal	W 5-1	1721	1534	75.8%	13.6%	10.6%	+9.0	19
1964-12-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1534	1721	10.6%	13.6%	75.8%	-9.0	8
1964-12-27	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	2044	1751	80.9%	13.0%	6.0%	+1.6	27
1964-12-27	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1751	2044	6.0%	13.0%	80.9%	-1.5	18
1964-12-27	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1624	1823	33.6%	14.2%	52.2%	+13.0	16
1964-12-27	@ Braga	L 0-1	1823	1624	52.2%	14.2%	33.6%	-13.0	20
1964-12-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1794	1754	64.4%	14.1%	21.5%	-15.9	18
1964-12-27	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1754	1794	21.5%	14.1%	64.4%	+15.9	15
1964-12-27	Varzim	W 3-1	1824	1615	77.1%	13.5%	9.4%	+4.4	17
1964-12-27	@ Porto	L 1-3	1615	1824	9.4%	13.5%	77.1%	-4.4	11
1964-12-27	Leixoes	W 3-0	1454	1722	25.3%	14.0%	60.7%	+41.1	6
1964-12-27	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-3	1722	1454	60.7%	14.0%	25.3%	-41.1	13
1965-01-03	Fabril	D 3-3	1681	1778	47.7%	14.3%	38.0%	-0.3	14
1965-01-03	@ Leixoes	D 3-3	1778	1681	38.0%	14.3%	47.7%	+0.3	19
1965-01-03	Braga	W 2-0	1568	1637	51.5%	14.3%	34.2%	+16.9	13
1965-01-03	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-2	1637	1568	34.2%	14.3%	51.5%	-17.0	16
1965-01-03	Benfica	L 0-4	1525	2046	7.4%	12.7%	79.9%	-7.5	8
1965-01-03	@ Seixal	W 4-0	2046	1525	79.9%	12.7%	7.4%	+7.5	30
1965-01-03	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-4	1769	1727	64.5%	14.1%	21.3%	-23.3	15
1965-01-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1727	1769	21.3%	14.1%	64.5%	+23.3	25
1965-01-03	Varzim	D 0-0	1495	1611	45.1%	14.3%	40.6%	-0.3	7
1965-01-03	@ Uniao Torreense	D 0-0	1611	1495	40.6%	14.3%	45.1%	+0.3	12
1965-01-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1810	1730	68.1%	14.0%	17.8%	+4.7	23
1965-01-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1730	1810	17.8%	14.0%	68.1%	-4.7	19
1965-01-03	Porto	L 0-1	1749	1828	50.1%	14.3%	35.6%	-12.5	18
1965-01-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1828	1749	35.6%	14.3%	50.1%	+12.5	20
1965-01-10	Leixoes	W 5-3	1750	1680	67.2%	14.1%	18.7%	+7.2	28
1965-01-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 3-5	1680	1750	18.7%	14.1%	67.2%	-7.2	14
1965-01-10	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1725	1585	72.8%	13.8%	13.4%	+3.6	22
1965-01-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1585	1725	13.4%	13.8%	72.8%	-3.6	13
1965-01-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-0	2053	1815	78.6%	13.4%	8.1%	+8.3	33
1965-01-10	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1815	2053	8.1%	13.4%	78.6%	-8.3	23
1965-01-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1621	1746	43.7%	14.3%	42.0%	-10.5	16
1965-01-10	@ Braga	W 2-1	1746	1621	42.0%	14.3%	43.7%	+10.5	18
1965-01-10	Uniao Torreense	W 4-1	1779	1494	80.6%	13.1%	6.4%	+4.2	22
1965-01-10	@ Fabril	L 1-4	1494	1779	6.4%	13.1%	80.6%	-4.2	7
1965-01-10	Seixal	W 6-0	1841	1518	82.0%	12.8%	5.2%	+7.8	23
1965-01-10	@ Porto	L 0-6	1518	1841	5.2%	12.8%	82.0%	-7.8	8
1965-01-10	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1611	1736	43.7%	14.3%	42.0%	+24.8	15
1965-01-10	@ Varzim	L 1-4	1736	1611	42.0%	14.3%	43.7%	-24.8	18
1965-01-17	Fabril	L 1-2	1758	1783	57.1%	14.3%	28.7%	-13.3	28
1965-01-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1783	1758	28.7%	14.3%	57.1%	+13.3	25
1965-01-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1728	1757	56.7%	14.3%	29.0%	-13.3	22
1965-01-17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1757	1728	29.0%	14.3%	56.7%	+13.3	21
1965-01-17	Leixoes	D 1-1	1610	1673	52.3%	14.3%	33.4%	-1.1	17
1965-01-17	@ Braga	D 1-1	1673	1610	33.4%	14.3%	52.3%	+1.1	15
1965-01-17	Benfica	D 0-0	1581	2062	9.1%	13.0%	77.9%	+4.8	14
1965-01-17	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	2062	1581	77.9%	13.0%	9.1%	-4.8	34
1965-01-17	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-2	1849	1807	64.5%	14.1%	21.3%	+8.6	26
1965-01-17	@ Porto	L 2-4	1807	1849	21.3%	14.1%	64.5%	-8.6	23
1965-01-17	Seixal	W 6-0	1636	1510	71.8%	13.9%	14.3%	+21.2	18
1965-01-17	@ Varzim	L 0-6	1510	1636	14.3%	13.9%	71.8%	-21.2	8
1965-01-17	Uniao Torreense	W 4-0	1712	1490	77.7%	13.5%	8.8%	+9.0	21
1965-01-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1490	1712	8.8%	13.5%	77.7%	-9.0	7
1965-01-31	Braga	W 4-1	1796	1609	75.8%	13.6%	10.5%	+6.9	28
1965-01-31	@ Fabril	L 1-4	1609	1796	10.5%	13.6%	75.8%	-6.9	17
1965-01-31	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1674	1715	55.2%	14.3%	30.6%	+22.2	18
1965-01-31	@ Leixoes	L 0-3	1715	1674	30.6%	14.3%	55.2%	-22.3	22
1965-01-31	Porto	L 2-5	1586	1857	24.9%	14.0%	61.1%	-13.5	14
1965-01-31	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 5-2	1857	1586	61.1%	14.0%	24.9%	+13.5	29
1965-01-31	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1489	1721	29.4%	14.1%	56.5%	-7.8	8
1965-01-31	@ Seixal	W 1-0	1721	1489	56.5%	14.1%	29.4%	+7.8	24
1965-01-31	Benfica	D 2-2	1770	2057	23.3%	13.9%	62.8%	+1.8	22
1965-01-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	2057	1770	62.8%	13.9%	23.3%	-1.8	35
1965-01-31	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1481	1744	25.8%	14.0%	60.1%	-19.1	7
1965-01-31	@ Uniao Torreense	W 3-0	1744	1481	60.1%	14.0%	25.8%	+19.1	31
1965-01-31	Varzim	W 7-1	1798	1657	72.9%	13.8%	13.3%	+16.2	26
1965-01-31	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-7	1657	1798	13.3%	13.8%	72.9%	-16.2	18
1965-02-07	Fabril	L 1-2	1693	1803	45.9%	14.3%	39.8%	-10.9	22
1965-02-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1803	1693	39.8%	14.3%	45.9%	+10.9	31
1965-02-07	Leixoes	W 5-0	2055	1697	83.1%	12.6%	4.3%	+5.4	38
1965-02-07	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1697	2055	4.3%	12.6%	83.1%	-5.4	18
1965-02-07	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1602	1763	38.7%	14.2%	47.1%	-8.9	17
1965-02-07	@ Braga	W 3-2	1763	1602	47.1%	14.2%	38.7%	+8.9	34
1965-02-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1871	1772	69.7%	14.0%	16.3%	-28.2	29
1965-02-07	@ Porto	W 3-1	1772	1871	16.3%	14.0%	69.7%	+28.2	25
1965-02-07	Uniao Torreense	W 2-1	1481	1462	62.1%	14.2%	23.7%	+6.1	11
1965-02-07	@ Seixal	L 1-2	1462	1481	23.7%	14.2%	62.1%	-6.1	7
1965-02-07	Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1641	1573	67.0%	14.1%	18.9%	-16.6	18
1965-02-07	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1573	1641	18.9%	14.1%	67.0%	+16.6	17
1965-02-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1729	1814	49.3%	14.3%	36.4%	+8.9	27
1965-02-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1814	1729	36.4%	14.3%	49.3%	-8.9	26
1965-02-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-1	1772	1682	69.0%	14.0%	17.0%	+11.0	37
1965-02-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1682	1772	17.0%	14.0%	69.0%	-11.0	22
1965-02-14	Benfica	W 2-0	1814	2061	27.7%	14.1%	58.2%	+27.1	34
1965-02-14	@ Fabril	L 0-2	2061	1814	58.2%	14.1%	27.7%	-27.1	38
1965-02-14	Porto	L 1-3	1691	1843	40.0%	14.3%	45.7%	-16.8	18
1965-02-14	@ Leixoes	W 3-1	1843	1691	45.7%	14.3%	40.0%	+16.8	32
1965-02-14	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1589	1738	40.5%	14.3%	45.3%	-19.6	17
1965-02-14	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1738	1589	45.3%	14.3%	40.5%	+19.6	30
1965-02-14	Varzim	W 3-2	1800	1624	75.2%	13.7%	11.2%	+2.8	28
1965-02-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1624	1800	11.2%	13.7%	75.2%	-2.8	18
1965-02-14	Braga	W 5-0	1456	1593	42.1%	14.3%	43.7%	+48.9	10
1965-02-14	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-5	1593	1456	43.7%	14.3%	42.1%	-48.9	17
1965-02-14	Seixal	W 1-0	1805	1487	81.8%	12.9%	5.3%	+1.5	29
1965-02-14	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1487	1805	5.3%	12.9%	81.8%	-1.5	11
1965-02-21	Braga	W 2-1	1671	1544	71.9%	13.9%	14.3%	+3.8	25
1965-02-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1544	1671	14.3%	13.9%	71.9%	-3.8	17
1965-02-21	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	2033	1783	79.1%	13.3%	7.6%	+6.0	41
1965-02-21	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1783	2033	7.6%	13.3%	79.1%	-6.0	37
1965-02-21	Fabril	W 2-0	1859	1841	62.1%	14.2%	23.8%	+12.2	35
1965-02-21	@ Porto	L 0-2	1841	1859	23.8%	14.2%	62.1%	-12.2	34
1965-02-21	Lusitano de Evora	L 0-2	1485	1570	49.5%	14.3%	36.2%	-23.4	11
1965-02-21	@ Seixal	W 2-0	1570	1485	36.2%	14.3%	49.5%	+23.4	20
1965-02-21	Leixoes	W 5-1	1621	1674	53.6%	14.3%	32.1%	+25.3	21
1965-02-21	@ Varzim	L 1-5	1674	1621	32.1%	14.3%	53.6%	-25.3	18
1965-02-21	Uniao Torreense	W 2-0	1807	1505	81.2%	13.0%	5.8%	+3.1	32
1965-02-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1505	1807	5.8%	13.0%	81.2%	-3.1	10
1965-02-21	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1757	1803	54.6%	14.3%	31.1%	-1.5	31
1965-02-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1803	1757	31.1%	14.3%	54.6%	+1.5	29
1965-02-28	Porto	L 1-4	1777	1872	48.1%	14.3%	37.6%	-27.9	37
1965-02-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1872	1777	37.6%	14.3%	48.1%	+27.9	38
1965-02-28	Benfica	L 1-2	1540	2039	8.3%	12.8%	78.9%	-2.2	17
1965-02-28	@ Braga	W 2-1	2039	1540	78.9%	12.8%	8.3%	+2.2	44
1965-02-28	Varzim	W 2-1	1829	1647	75.6%	13.6%	10.8%	+2.9	37
1965-02-28	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1647	1829	10.8%	13.6%	75.6%	-2.9	21
1965-02-28	Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1649	1756	46.4%	14.3%	39.3%	-10.5	18
1965-02-28	@ Leixoes	W 3-2	1756	1649	39.3%	14.3%	46.4%	+10.5	34
1965-02-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1593	1810	31.3%	14.1%	54.6%	-7.8	20
1965-02-28	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1810	1593	54.6%	14.1%	31.3%	+7.8	35
1965-02-28	Seixal	W 1-0	1804	1462	82.6%	12.7%	4.7%	+1.3	32
1965-02-28	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1462	1804	4.7%	12.7%	82.6%	-1.3	11
1965-02-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1502	1675	37.0%	14.2%	48.7%	-18.1	10
1965-02-28	@ Uniao Torreense	W 2-0	1675	1502	48.7%	14.2%	37.0%	+18.1	28
1965-03-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	2042	1693	82.8%	12.7%	4.5%	+1.1	47
1965-03-07	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1693	2042	4.5%	12.7%	82.8%	-1.2	28
1965-03-07	Uniao Torreense	W 6-0	1585	1484	69.9%	14.0%	16.1%	+23.7	23
1965-03-07	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-6	1484	1585	16.1%	14.0%	69.9%	-23.7	10
1965-03-07	Braga	D 1-1	1900	1538	83.2%	12.6%	4.2%	-5.0	39
1965-03-07	@ Porto	D 1-1	1538	1900	4.2%	12.6%	83.2%	+5.0	18
1965-03-07	Leixoes	L 0-3	1461	1639	36.4%	14.2%	49.4%	-25.9	11
1965-03-07	@ Seixal	W 3-0	1639	1461	49.4%	14.2%	36.4%	+25.9	21
1965-03-07	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1644	1749	46.5%	14.3%	39.2%	-22.1	21
1965-03-07	@ Varzim	W 2-0	1749	1644	39.2%	14.3%	46.5%	+22.1	40
1965-03-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1818	1806	61.4%	14.2%	24.4%	-1.6	36
1965-03-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1806	1818	24.4%	14.2%	61.4%	+1.7	33
1965-03-07	Fabril	W 2-1	1766	1832	51.9%	14.3%	33.8%	+8.4	37
1965-03-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1832	1766	33.8%	14.3%	51.9%	-8.4	37
1965-03-14	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1772	1774	59.7%	14.2%	26.1%	-2.0	41
1965-03-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1774	1772	26.1%	14.2%	59.7%	+2.0	38
1965-03-14	Porto	L 0-1	1692	1895	33.1%	14.2%	52.7%	-8.7	28
1965-03-14	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1895	1692	52.7%	14.2%	33.1%	+8.7	42
1965-03-14	Varzim	D 1-1	1543	1622	50.3%	14.3%	35.4%	-0.9	19
1965-03-14	@ Braga	D 1-1	1622	1543	35.4%	14.3%	50.3%	+0.9	22
1965-03-14	Seixal	W 3-0	1824	1435	84.0%	12.4%	3.6%	+2.9	40
1965-03-14	@ Fabril	L 0-3	1435	1824	3.6%	12.4%	84.0%	-2.8	11
1965-03-14	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1664	1816	40.0%	14.3%	45.7%	+0.3	22
1965-03-14	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1816	1664	45.7%	14.3%	40.0%	-0.3	37
1965-03-14	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1807	1609	76.5%	13.6%	10.0%	+5.4	36
1965-03-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1609	1807	10.0%	13.6%	76.5%	-5.4	23
1965-03-14	Benfica	L 1-3	1460	2043	5.3%	12.2%	82.4%	-2.5	10
1965-03-14	@ Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	2043	1460	82.4%	12.2%	5.3%	+2.5	50
1965-03-21	Leixoes	W 2-1	1603	1665	52.5%	14.3%	33.2%	+8.2	26
1965-03-21	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1665	1603	33.2%	14.3%	52.5%	-8.2	22
1965-03-21	Benfica	W 1-0	1903	2045	41.4%	14.3%	44.4%	+11.2	45
1965-03-21	@ Porto	L 0-1	2045	1903	44.4%	14.3%	41.4%	-11.2	50
1965-03-21	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1432	1770	18.5%	13.7%	67.8%	-8.3	11
1965-03-21	@ Seixal	W 3-1	1770	1432	67.8%	13.7%	18.5%	+8.3	44
1965-03-21	Uniao Torreense	W 4-0	1813	1457	83.0%	12.6%	4.4%	+4.5	39
1965-03-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1457	1813	4.4%	12.6%	83.0%	-4.5	10
1965-03-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1622	1683	52.6%	14.3%	33.1%	-13.1	22
1965-03-21	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1683	1622	33.1%	14.3%	52.6%	+13.1	31
1965-03-21	Fabril	L 1-3	1816	1826	58.8%	14.2%	26.9%	-23.8	37
1965-03-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1826	1816	26.9%	14.2%	58.8%	+23.8	43
1965-03-21	Braga	W 5-1	1776	1542	78.3%	13.4%	8.3%	+7.1	41
1965-03-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-5	1542	1776	8.3%	13.4%	78.3%	-7.1	19
1965-03-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1778	1792	58.4%	14.2%	27.4%	-13.6	44
1965-03-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1792	1778	27.4%	14.2%	58.4%	+13.6	40
1965-03-28	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1696	1783	49.1%	14.3%	36.6%	-11.6	31
1965-03-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1783	1696	36.6%	14.3%	49.1%	+11.6	44
1965-03-28	Varzim	W 5-0	2034	1609	84.9%	12.1%	3.0%	+3.8	53
1965-03-28	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1609	2034	3.0%	12.1%	84.9%	-3.8	22
1965-03-28	Seixal	W 6-0	1535	1424	70.7%	13.9%	15.3%	+22.6	22
1965-03-28	@ Braga	L 0-6	1424	1535	15.3%	13.9%	70.7%	-22.6	11
1965-03-28	Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1850	1612	78.6%	13.4%	8.1%	-19.5	43
1965-03-28	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1612	1850	8.1%	13.4%	78.6%	+19.5	29
1965-03-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1657	1817	38.8%	14.2%	47.0%	+0.3	23
1965-03-28	@ Leixoes	D 3-3	1817	1657	47.0%	14.2%	38.8%	-0.3	40
1965-03-28	Porto	L 1-2	1453	1915	10.1%	13.1%	76.9%	-2.7	10
1965-03-28	@ Uniao Torreense	W 2-1	1915	1453	76.9%	13.1%	10.1%	+2.7	48
1965-04-04	Uniao Torreense	W 3-0	1657	1450	76.9%	13.5%	9.5%	+7.5	26
1965-04-04	@ Leixoes	L 0-3	1450	1657	9.5%	13.5%	76.9%	-7.5	10
1965-04-04	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1631	1764	42.7%	14.3%	43.1%	-10.2	29
1965-04-04	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1764	1631	43.1%	14.3%	42.7%	+10.2	47
1965-04-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1401	1685	23.6%	14.0%	62.4%	-6.4	11
1965-04-04	@ Seixal	W 1-0	1685	1401	62.4%	14.0%	23.6%	+6.4	34
1965-04-04	Fabril	D 0-0	1817	1831	58.4%	14.2%	27.3%	-2.1	41
1965-04-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1831	1817	27.3%	14.2%	58.4%	+2.1	44
1965-04-04	Porto	W 2-0	1606	1917	20.8%	13.8%	65.3%	+30.4	25
1965-04-04	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1917	1606	65.3%	13.8%	20.8%	-30.4	48
1965-04-04	Braga	L 2-3	1806	1558	79.0%	13.3%	7.7%	-17.5	40
1965-04-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1558	1806	7.7%	13.3%	79.0%	+17.5	25
1965-04-04	Benfica	L 1-2	1795	2038	28.2%	14.1%	57.8%	-7.1	44
1965-04-04	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	2038	1795	57.8%	14.1%	28.2%	+7.1	56
1965-05-02	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1774	1815	55.2%	14.3%	30.5%	+22.2	50
1965-05-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1815	1774	30.5%	14.3%	55.2%	-22.2	41
1965-05-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1691	1788	47.7%	14.3%	38.0%	-0.4	35
1965-05-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1788	1691	38.0%	14.3%	47.7%	+0.4	41
1965-05-02	Seixal	W 11-3	2045	1395	89.0%	10.1%	0.9%	+1.0	59
1965-05-02	@ Benfica	L 3-11	1395	2045	0.9%	10.1%	89.0%	-1.0	11
1965-05-02	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1575	1621	54.6%	14.3%	31.1%	+15.6	28
1965-05-02	@ Braga	L 0-2	1621	1575	31.1%	14.3%	54.6%	-15.6	29
1965-05-02	Leixoes	W 2-1	1833	1664	74.7%	13.7%	11.6%	+3.1	47
1965-05-02	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1664	1833	11.6%	13.7%	74.7%	-3.1	26
1965-05-02	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1887	1788	69.7%	14.0%	16.3%	+4.6	51
1965-05-02	@ Porto	L 0-1	1788	1887	16.3%	14.0%	69.7%	-4.6	44
1965-05-02	Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1636	1443	76.2%	13.6%	10.2%	+4.8	28
1965-05-02	@ Varzim	L 1-3	1443	1636	10.2%	13.6%	76.2%	-4.8	10
1965-05-09	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1661	1797	42.3%	14.3%	43.4%	+32.9	29
1965-05-09	@ Leixoes	L 1-5	1797	1661	43.4%	14.3%	42.3%	-32.9	50
1965-05-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1605	1691	49.4%	14.3%	36.3%	-36.9	29
1965-05-09	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 5-1	1691	1605	36.3%	14.3%	49.4%	+36.9	38
1965-05-09	Porto	L 1-2	1394	1891	8.3%	12.8%	78.8%	-2.2	11
1965-05-09	@ Seixal	W 2-1	1891	1394	78.8%	12.8%	8.3%	+2.2	54
1965-05-09	Braga	W 3-1	1792	1591	76.7%	13.6%	9.8%	+4.6	44
1965-05-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1591	1792	9.8%	13.6%	76.7%	-4.6	28
1965-05-09	Fabril	L 0-1	1438	1836	13.8%	13.4%	72.7%	-3.9	10
1965-05-09	@ Uniao Torreense	W 1-0	1836	1438	72.7%	13.4%	13.8%	+3.9	50
1965-05-09	Benfica	L 1-2	1789	2046	26.5%	14.0%	59.5%	-6.7	41
1965-05-09	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	2046	1789	59.5%	14.0%	26.5%	+6.7	62
1965-05-09	Varzim	W 7-1	1783	1641	73.0%	13.8%	13.2%	+16.1	47
1965-05-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-7	1641	1783	13.2%	13.8%	73.0%	-16.1	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1965-04-04	7.70%	Braga	1558	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1806	2
2	1965-03-28	8.08%	Lusitano de Evora	1612	1	@ Fabril	1850	0
3	1964-11-22	9.27%	Academica de Coimbra	1656	2	@ Porto	1868	1
4	1964-12-13	14.48%	@ Uniao Torreense	1407	3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1796	0
5	1965-02-07	16.31%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1772	3	@ Porto	1871	1
6	1964-12-06	18.16%	Academica de Coimbra	1693	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1769	1
7	1965-02-07	18.92%	Lusitano de Evora	1573	1	@ Varzim	1641	0
8	1965-04-04	20.83%	@ Varzim	1606	2	Porto	1917	0
9	1965-01-03	21.31%	Academica de Coimbra	1727	4	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1769	2
10	1964-12-27	21.48%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1754	1	@ Fabril	1794	0
11	1964-10-25	21.65%	Vitoria Setubal	1755	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1794	1
12	1964-11-29	24.35%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1799	2	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1812	1
13	1964-12-27	25.29%	@ Uniao Torreense	1454	3	Leixoes	1722	0
14	1964-12-20	25.67%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1554	3	Fabril	1819	1
15	1965-03-21	26.93%	Fabril	1826	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1816	1
16	1965-03-28	27.36%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1792	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1778	1
17	1965-02-14	27.72%	@ Fabril	1814	2	Benfica	2061	0
18	1965-01-17	28.66%	Fabril	1783	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1758	1
19	1965-01-17	29.02%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1757	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1728	1
20	1964-11-29	29.52%	@ Braga	1618	2	Porto	1850	0
21	1964-10-11	32.65%	Varzim	1630	2	@ Seixal	1573	1
22	1965-03-21	33.08%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1683	1	@ Varzim	1622	0
23	1964-12-27	33.62%	@ Braga	1624	1	Vitoria Guimaraes	1823	0
24	1964-10-25	33.96%	Varzim	1643	1	@ Lusitano de Evora	1575	0
25	1965-01-03	35.57%	Porto	1828	1	@ Vitoria Setubal	1749	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1965-02-14	48.89	@ Uniao Torreense	5	1456	42.07%	Braga	0	1593	43.66%
2	1964-12-13	48.68	@ Uniao Torreense	3	1407	14.48%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1796	72.03%
3	1964-11-29	45.93	Benfica	6	1978	52.46%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1777	33.36%
4	1964-12-27	41.06	@ Uniao Torreense	3	1454	25.29%	Leixoes	0	1722	60.71%
5	1965-05-09	36.86	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1691	36.34%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1	1605	49.36%
6	1965-05-09	32.89	@ Leixoes	5	1661	42.31%	Academica de Coimbra	1	1797	43.42%
7	1964-12-20	31.81	@ Seixal	3	1502	39.68%	Braga	0	1656	46.07%
8	1965-04-04	30.38	@ Varzim	2	1606	20.83%	Porto	0	1917	65.33%
9	1964-10-11	29.55	Vitoria Setubal	4	1703	54.68%	@ Uniao Torreense	0	1486	31.18%
10	1965-02-07	28.18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1772	16.31%	@ Porto	1	1871	69.71%
11	1965-02-28	27.89	Porto	4	1872	37.61%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1777	48.10%
12	1965-02-14	27.14	@ Fabril	2	1814	27.72%	Benfica	0	2061	58.21%
13	1964-11-29	26.33	@ Braga	2	1618	29.52%	Porto	0	1850	56.37%
14	1965-03-07	25.93	Leixoes	3	1639	49.39%	@ Seixal	0	1461	36.39%
15	1965-02-21	25.31	@ Varzim	5	1621	53.61%	Leixoes	1	1674	32.11%
16	1965-01-10	24.77	@ Varzim	4	1611	43.72%	Vitoria Setubal	1	1736	42.00%
17	1964-12-20	24.33	@ Lusitano de Evora	3	1554	25.67%	Fabril	1	1819	60.32%
18	1965-03-21	23.79	Fabril	3	1826	26.93%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1816	58.83%
19	1965-03-07	23.69	@ Lusitano de Evora	6	1585	69.90%	Uniao Torreense	0	1484	16.13%
20	1965-02-21	23.37	Lusitano de Evora	2	1570	36.20%	@ Seixal	0	1485	49.50%
21	1965-01-03	23.32	Academica de Coimbra	4	1727	21.31%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1769	64.55%
22	1965-03-28	22.60	@ Braga	6	1535	70.71%	Seixal	0	1424	15.35%
23	1965-01-31	22.26	@ Leixoes	3	1674	55.17%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1715	30.56%
24	1964-10-18	22.20	@ Vitoria Setubal	8	1733	74.99%	Seixal	0	1560	11.33%
25	1965-05-02	22.20	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1774	55.24%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1815	30.48%