1957-58 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

6.16 points above expected

43 points · 36.84 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Oriental de Lisboa

6.26 points below expected

13 points · 19.26 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	19	5	2	43	79	21	+58	36.8	+6.16
2	Porto	26	21	1	4	43	64	25	+39	39.1	+3.86
3	Benfica	26	17	2	7	36	59	23	+36	37.0	-0.96
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	12	4	10	28	54	42	+12	31.0	-3.00
5	Braga	26	9	7	10	25	51	52	-1	20.6	+4.41
6	Academica de Coimbra	26	10	4	12	24	45	40	+5	28.8	-4.77
7	Lusitano de Evora	26	10	4	12	24	37	36	+1	26.0	-2.04
8	Barreirense	26	10	4	12	24	42	52	-10	22.8	+1.16
9	Uniao Torreense	26	11	2	13	24	30	46	-16	23.8	+0.20
10	Caldas	26	9	5	12	23	30	46	-16	20.0	+2.98
11	Vitoria Setubal	26	9	4	13	22	37	59	-22	20.9	+1.08
12	Fabril	26	8	3	15	19	40	59	-19	21.5	-2.53
13	Salgueiros	26	7	2	17	16	45	65	-20	16.3	-0.29
14	Oriental de Lisboa	26	4	5	17	13	21	68	-47	19.3	-6.26

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Porto	1724	43	39.14	+3.86	86.0%	25	32	37	39	41	46	48
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1706	43	36.84	+6.16	99.0%	27	31	35	37	39	42	45
Benfica	1652	36	36.96	-0.96	45.0%	29	32	34	37	40	43	46
Os Belenenses (1st)	1482	28	31.00	-3.00	27.0%	20	23	28	32	34	38	40
Academica de Coimbra	1442	24	28.77	-4.77	15.0%	20	23	26	29	31	35	38
Barreirense	1380	24	22.84	+1.16	63.0%	16	17	20	23	25	29	33
Lusitano de Evora	1374	24	26.04	-2.04	41.0%	17	19	23	26	30	32	33
Braga	1335	25	20.59	+4.41	91.0%	12	14	18	21	24	27	30
Uniao Torreense	1332	24	23.80	+0.20	53.0%	15	17	21	24	27	30	32
Caldas	1325	23	20.02	+2.98	80.0%	12	15	17	20	22	27	30
Vitoria Setubal	1324	22	20.92	+1.08	67.0%	12	15	18	21	24	27	31
Fabril	1289	19	21.53	-2.53	30.0%	12	14	19	22	24	28	30
Salgueiros	1259	16	16.29	-0.29	55.0%	7	9	13	16	19	24	27
Oriental de Lisboa	1187	13	19.26	-6.26	8.0%	10	13	16	19	22	26	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	BAR	BEN	BRA	CAL	FAB	LDE	ODL	OB(	POR	SAL	SCDP	UT	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-0-1 3.53	0-0-2 1.99	1-1-0 3.54	0-1-1 3.91	2-0-0 3.53	0-0-2 3.25	2-0-0 4.02	0-1-1 2.69	0-0-2 1.58	2-0-0 4.29	0-1-1 2.08	1-0-1 3.47	1-0-1 3.93
Barreirense	1-0-1 2.21	—	0-0-2 1.26	1-1-0 3.21	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 3.19	0-1-1 2.60	0-1-1 3.33	1-0-1 2.02	1-0-1 1.02	2-0-0 3.59	0-0-2 1.11	1-1-0 2.78	1-0-1 3.24
Benfica	2-0-0 3.76	2-0-0 4.49	—	1-1-0 4.63	1-0-1 4.76	2-0-0 4.53	1-0-1 4.22	1-1-0 4.79	0-0-2 3.59	0-0-2 2.58	2-0-0 4.78	1-0-1 2.40	2-0-0 4.31	2-0-0 4.45
Braga	0-1-1 2.21	0-1-1 2.53	0-1-1 1.12	—	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.71	1-0-1 2.08	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 1.70	1-0-1 0.88	1-1-0 3.22	0-0-2 1.31	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 3.08
Caldas	1-1-0 1.84	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 1.00	0-1-1 2.81	—	0-1-1 2.74	2-0-0 1.96	1-1-0 2.93	2-0-0 1.76	0-0-2 0.84	0-1-1 3.39	0-0-2 0.89	1-0-1 2.43	0-0-2 2.83
Fabril	0-0-2 2.22	1-0-1 2.55	0-0-2 1.22	0-1-1 3.03	1-1-0 3.00	—	1-0-1 2.18	2-0-0 3.25	0-0-2 1.84	1-0-1 0.90	1-0-1 3.17	0-1-1 1.00	0-0-2 2.58	1-0-1 2.75
Lusitano de Evora	2-0-0 2.50	1-1-0 3.14	1-0-1 1.53	1-0-1 3.67	0-0-2 3.79	1-0-1 3.57	—	1-0-1 3.93	1-1-0 2.43	0-0-2 1.46	1-0-1 4.12	0-1-1 1.63	1-0-1 3.23	0-1-1 3.45
Oriental de Lisboa	0-0-2 1.73	1-1-0 2.42	0-1-1 0.97	0-1-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.81	0-0-2 2.49	1-0-1 1.82	—	0-0-2 1.38	0-0-2 0.86	1-0-1 3.36	0-0-2 0.85	0-0-2 2.30	1-1-0 2.73
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-1-0 3.06	1-0-1 3.72	2-0-0 2.15	1-0-1 4.05	0-0-2 3.98	2-0-0 3.90	0-1-1 3.31	2-0-0 4.37	—	0-0-2 1.69	1-0-1 4.52	0-1-1 2.23	1-0-1 3.65	1-1-0 3.96
Porto	2-0-0 4.17	1-0-1 4.73	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 4.88	2-0-0 4.92	1-0-1 4.86	2-0-0 4.29	2-0-0 4.91	2-0-0 4.05	—	2-0-0 5.08	1-0-1 3.33	1-1-0 4.43	2-0-0 4.63
Salgueiros	0-0-2 1.46	0-0-2 2.15	0-0-2 0.98	0-1-1 2.52	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 1.63	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 1.23	0-0-2 0.69	—	0-0-2 0.77	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.63
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-1-0 3.67	2-0-0 4.64	1-0-1 3.34	2-0-0 4.45	2-0-0 4.88	1-1-0 4.76	1-1-0 4.11	2-0-0 4.92	1-1-0 3.52	1-0-1 2.41	2-0-0 4.99	—	2-0-0 4.37	1-1-0 4.68
Uniao Torreense	1-0-1 2.27	0-1-1 2.96	0-0-2 1.44	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.51	2-0-0 3.44	1-0-1 2.09	0-1-1 1.32	1-0-1 3.41	0-0-2 1.39	—	1-0-1 3.11
Vitoria Setubal	1-0-1 1.81	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 1.31	1-0-1 2.66	2-0-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 2.29	0-1-1 3.01	0-1-1 1.79	0-0-2 1.13	1-0-1 3.11	0-1-1 1.08	1-0-1 2.63	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.40%	9.34%	2.75%	2.20%	2.47%	3.30%	24.45%
1	9.34%	4.40%	6.04%	6.32%	1.65%	2.47%	30.22%
2	2.75%	6.04%	3.85%	3.30%	1.37%	0.82%	18.13%
3	2.20%	6.32%	3.30%	1.10%	0.27%	0.55%	13.74%
4	2.47%	1.65%	1.37%	0.27%	0.55%	—	6.32%
5+	3.30%	2.47%	0.82%	0.55%	—	—	7.14%
Total	24.45%	30.22%	18.13%	13.74%	6.32%	7.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.74
Mean allowed	1.74
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.65
Mean total goals/game	3.48
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.086
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	23.08%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
3	—	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	50.00%	23.08%	3.85%	11.54%	—	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.081
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	—	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	23.08%
2	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	30.77%	23.08%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.232
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	19.23%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	46.15%	34.62%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	0.88
StdDev scored	2.32
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.112
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
1	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
2	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	23.08%	15.38%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.95
StdDev allowed	2.08
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.049
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	53.85%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	23.08%	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Caldas — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	2.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.167
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	11.54%	—	11.54%	3.85%	38.46%
1	—	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
2	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	30.77%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	3.85%	34.62%	26.92%	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.73
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.239
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	38.46%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
3	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	38.46%	34.62%	3.85%	—	3.85%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.55
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.240
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%	46.15%
1	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	19.23%	15.38%	19.23%	7.69%	23.08%	100%

Oriental de Lisboa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.81
Mean allowed	2.62
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.94
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.108
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	30.77%
3	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	23.08%	26.92%	23.08%	3.85%	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	2.02
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.177
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
1	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	38.46%	34.62%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.46
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.128
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%	19.23%
1	—	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	38.46%
2	3.85%	—	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	19.23%	15.38%	23.08%	3.85%	19.23%	100%

Salgueiros — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	2.20
Mean total goals/game	4.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.373
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	53.85%	19.23%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.04
Mean allowed	0.81
StdDev scored	1.80
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	3.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.170
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
1	19.23%	3.85%	—	15.38%	—	3.85%	42.31%
2	—	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	42.31%	—	23.08%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Uniao Torreense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.84
Mean total goals/game	2.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.047
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	23.08%
1	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	15.38%	15.38%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	2.09
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.279
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	43	36.8	+6.16
2	Braga	25	20.6	+4.41
3	Porto	43	39.1	+3.86
4	Caldas	23	20.0	+2.98
5	Barreirense	24	22.8	+1.16

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Oriental de Lisboa	13	19.3	-6.26
2	Academica de Coimbra	24	28.8	-4.77
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	28	31.0	-3.00
4	Fabril	19	21.5	-2.53
5	Lusitano de Evora	24	26.0	-2.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	13	Sep 15 – Dec 8	1 in 80
2	Caldas	3	Mar 2 – Mar 16	1 in 39
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	9	Oct 6 – Dec 1	1 in 27
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Oct 27 – Nov 10	1 in 15
5	Vitoria Setubal	3	Mar 2 – Mar 16	1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fabril	8	Sep 15 – Nov 3	1 in 125
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Nov 17 – Dec 1	1 in 39
3	Benfica	3	Oct 27 – Nov 10	1 in 36
4	Lusitano de Evora	3	Jan 19 – Feb 2	1 in 30
5	Oriental de Lisboa	7	Jan 26 – Mar 23	1 in 28

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Setubal	7	Jan 19 – Mar 16	1 in 615
2	Braga	4	Sep 8 – Sep 29	1 in 57
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	13	Sep 8 – Dec 1	1 in 56
4	Caldas	3	Nov 10 – Nov 24	1 in 49
5	Fabril	4	Nov 24 – Dec 15	1 in 48

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	Nov 17 – Dec 15	1 in 39
2	Oriental de Lisboa	11	Dec 29 – Mar 23	1 in 34
3	Vitoria Setubal	8	Oct 6 – Nov 24	1 in 27
4	Porto	2	Dec 15 – Dec 29	1 in 23
5	Fabril	8	Sep 15 – Nov 3	1 in 21

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Sporting Clube de Portugal	26.00%	29.00%	35.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	47.00%	34.00%	13.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Benfica	24.00%	29.00%	30.00%	13.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	3.00%	6.00%	16.00%	35.00%	20.00%	12.00%	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Braga	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	8.00%	11.00%	7.00%	13.00%	13.00%	16.00%	11.00%	11.00%	8.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	2.00%	5.00%	22.00%	30.00%	17.00%	9.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	—	—
Lusitano de Evora	—	—	1.00%	15.00%	20.00%	14.00%	14.00%	12.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Barreirense	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	12.00%	15.00%	14.00%	14.00%	13.00%	11.00%	5.00%	9.00%	1.00%
Uniao Torreense	—	—	—	2.00%	8.00%	13.00%	19.00%	17.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Caldas	—	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	4.00%	10.00%	15.00%	16.00%	17.00%	15.00%	9.00%
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	—	—	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	15.00%	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%	14.00%	15.00%	8.00%
Fabril	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	14.00%	14.00%	14.00%	12.00%	12.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Salgueiros	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	9.00%	18.00%	49.00%
Oriental de Lisboa	—	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	14.00%	11.00%	11.00%	20.00%	18.00%	16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Academica de Coimbra	100%	—
Benfica	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Lusitano de Evora	99.0%	1.0%
Uniao Torreense	94.0%	6.0%
Barreirense	90.0%	10.0%
Fabril	84.0%	16.0%
Braga	81.0%	19.0%
Vitoria Setubal	77.0%	23.0%
Caldas	76.0%	24.0%
Oriental de Lisboa	66.0%	34.0%
Salgueiros	33.0%	67.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1957-09-08	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1523	1468	72.2%	12.8%	15.0%	+7.8	3
1957-09-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1468	1523	15.0%	12.8%	72.2%	-7.8	0
1957-09-08	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1292	1428	52.2%	13.0%	34.8%	+9.0	3
1957-09-08	@ Braga	L 0-1	1428	1292	34.8%	13.0%	52.2%	-9.0	0
1957-09-08	Caldas	W 3-1	1334	1303	70.3%	12.8%	16.8%	+7.5	3
1957-09-08	@ Fabril	L 1-3	1303	1334	16.8%	12.8%	70.3%	-7.5	0
1957-09-08	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-1	1171	1323	50.0%	13.0%	36.9%	+21.8	3
1957-09-08	@ Salgueiros	L 1-4	1323	1171	36.9%	13.0%	50.0%	-21.8	0
1957-09-08	Porto	W 3-0	1547	1678	52.8%	13.0%	34.1%	+24.2	3
1957-09-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1678	1547	34.1%	13.0%	52.8%	-24.2	0
1957-09-08	Barreirense	D 0-0	1394	1358	70.8%	12.8%	16.4%	-3.7	1
1957-09-08	@ Uniao Torreense	D 0-0	1358	1394	16.4%	12.8%	70.8%	+3.7	1
1957-09-08	Benfica	L 1-6	1356	1635	32.4%	12.9%	54.7%	-30.7	0
1957-09-08	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 6-1	1635	1356	54.7%	12.9%	32.4%	+30.7	3
1957-09-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1460	1571	55.3%	13.0%	31.6%	-13.6	0
1957-09-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1571	1460	31.6%	13.0%	55.3%	+13.6	6
1957-09-15	Salgueiros	W 3-2	1362	1193	79.2%	12.4%	8.4%	+2.1	4
1957-09-15	@ Barreirense	L 2-3	1193	1362	8.4%	12.4%	79.2%	-2.1	3
1957-09-15	Braga	D 0-0	1666	1301	85.6%	11.4%	2.9%	-5.8	4
1957-09-15	@ Benfica	D 0-0	1301	1666	2.9%	11.4%	85.6%	+5.8	4
1957-09-15	Uniao Torreense	W 1-0	1296	1391	57.4%	13.0%	29.6%	+7.8	3
1957-09-15	@ Caldas	L 0-1	1391	1296	29.6%	13.0%	57.4%	-7.8	1
1957-09-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1419	1531	55.2%	13.0%	31.8%	+7.4	3
1957-09-15	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-3	1531	1419	31.8%	13.0%	55.2%	-7.4	3
1957-09-15	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1301	1325	65.2%	13.0%	21.8%	-2.9	1
1957-09-15	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 0-0	1325	1301	21.8%	13.0%	65.2%	+2.9	1
1957-09-15	Fabril	W 4-0	1654	1342	84.4%	11.7%	3.9%	+3.9	3
1957-09-15	@ Porto	L 0-4	1342	1654	3.9%	11.7%	84.4%	-3.9	3
1957-09-22	Oriental de Lisboa	W 7-0	1660	1298	85.6%	11.5%	3.0%	+5.1	7
1957-09-22	@ Benfica	L 0-7	1298	1660	3.0%	11.5%	85.6%	-5.1	1
1957-09-22	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1307	1524	40.9%	13.0%	46.1%	+10.3	7
1957-09-22	@ Braga	L 2-3	1524	1307	46.1%	13.0%	40.9%	-10.3	3
1957-09-22	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-4	1338	1447	55.6%	13.0%	31.4%	-19.9	3
1957-09-22	@ Fabril	W 4-2	1447	1338	31.4%	13.0%	55.6%	+19.9	3
1957-09-22	Caldas	W 5-2	1191	1303	55.2%	13.0%	31.8%	+16.6	6
1957-09-22	@ Salgueiros	L 2-5	1303	1191	31.8%	13.0%	55.2%	-16.5	3
1957-09-22	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-0	1585	1426	78.7%	12.5%	8.8%	+6.8	9
1957-09-22	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1426	1585	8.8%	12.5%	78.7%	-6.8	3
1957-09-22	Porto	L 0-1	1383	1658	33.0%	12.9%	54.1%	-8.5	1
1957-09-22	@ Uniao Torreense	W 1-0	1658	1383	54.1%	12.9%	33.0%	+8.5	6
1957-09-22	Barreirense	W 3-1	1328	1364	64.1%	13.0%	22.9%	+10.0	4
1957-09-22	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1364	1328	22.9%	13.0%	64.1%	-10.0	4
1957-09-29	Uniao Torreense	W 1-0	1467	1374	74.9%	12.7%	12.4%	+3.4	6
1957-09-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1374	1467	12.4%	12.7%	74.9%	-3.5	1
1957-09-29	Benfica	L 1-2	1354	1665	28.5%	12.8%	58.7%	-7.1	4
1957-09-29	@ Barreirense	W 2-1	1665	1354	58.7%	12.8%	28.5%	+7.0	10
1957-09-29	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1513	1592	59.3%	13.0%	27.7%	-1.2	4
1957-09-29	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 3-3	1592	1513	27.7%	13.0%	59.3%	+1.2	10
1957-09-29	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1287	1338	62.4%	13.0%	24.6%	-14.4	3
1957-09-29	@ Caldas	W 2-1	1338	1287	24.6%	13.0%	62.4%	+14.4	7
1957-09-29	Fabril	W 4-2	1419	1318	75.5%	12.7%	11.9%	+4.8	6
1957-09-29	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-4	1318	1419	11.9%	12.7%	75.5%	-4.8	3
1957-09-29	Braga	D 1-1	1293	1318	65.2%	13.0%	21.8%	-2.6	2
1957-09-29	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1318	1293	21.8%	13.0%	65.2%	+2.6	8
1957-09-29	Salgueiros	W 5-1	1666	1208	87.4%	10.8%	1.8%	+1.5	9
1957-09-29	@ Porto	L 1-5	1208	1666	1.8%	10.8%	87.4%	-1.5	6
1957-10-06	Caldas	W 5-1	1672	1273	86.4%	11.2%	2.4%	+2.0	13
1957-10-06	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1273	1672	2.4%	11.2%	86.4%	-2.0	3
1957-10-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1320	1593	33.2%	12.9%	53.9%	-37.9	8
1957-10-06	@ Braga	W 5-0	1593	1320	53.9%	12.9%	33.2%	+37.9	13
1957-10-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1313	1512	43.3%	13.0%	43.7%	-10.2	3
1957-10-06	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1512	1313	43.7%	13.0%	43.3%	+10.2	7
1957-10-06	Barreirense	W 2-1	1290	1347	61.9%	13.0%	25.1%	+6.3	5
1957-10-06	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	1347	1290	25.1%	13.0%	61.9%	-6.3	4
1957-10-06	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1206	1470	34.4%	12.9%	52.7%	-7.9	6
1957-10-06	@ Salgueiros	W 3-2	1470	1206	52.7%	12.9%	34.4%	+7.9	9
1957-10-06	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1371	1424	62.2%	13.0%	24.8%	+6.2	4
1957-10-06	@ Uniao Torreense	L 1-2	1424	1371	24.8%	13.0%	62.2%	-6.2	6
1957-10-06	Porto	L 0-1	1352	1668	28.0%	12.8%	59.2%	-7.4	7
1957-10-06	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1668	1352	59.2%	12.8%	28.0%	+7.4	12
1957-10-13	Vitoria Setubal	W 6-1	1478	1345	77.3%	12.6%	10.1%	+10.3	12
1957-10-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-6	1345	1478	10.1%	12.6%	77.3%	-10.3	7
1957-10-13	Braga	W 3-1	1340	1282	72.5%	12.8%	14.8%	+6.6	7
1957-10-13	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1282	1340	14.8%	12.8%	72.5%	-6.6	8
1957-10-13	Uniao Torreense	W 3-2	1522	1377	78.0%	12.5%	9.5%	+2.4	10
1957-10-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1377	1522	9.5%	12.5%	78.0%	-2.4	4
1957-10-13	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-0	1271	1297	65.1%	13.0%	22.0%	+16.2	6
1957-10-13	@ Caldas	L 0-3	1297	1271	22.0%	13.0%	65.1%	-16.2	5
1957-10-13	Salgueiros	W 5-0	1418	1198	81.4%	12.2%	6.4%	+8.0	9
1957-10-13	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-5	1198	1418	6.4%	12.2%	81.4%	-8.0	6
1957-10-13	Benfica	W 1-0	1675	1674	67.7%	12.9%	19.4%	+5.3	15
1957-10-13	@ Porto	L 0-1	1674	1675	19.4%	12.9%	67.7%	-5.3	13
1957-10-13	Fabril	W 5-0	1631	1303	84.8%	11.6%	3.6%	+4.4	16
1957-10-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1303	1631	3.6%	11.6%	84.8%	-4.4	3
1957-10-20	Caldas	W 4-1	1347	1287	72.6%	12.8%	14.6%	+9.3	10
1957-10-20	@ Barreirense	L 1-4	1287	1347	14.6%	12.8%	72.6%	-9.3	6
1957-10-20	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1669	1488	79.7%	12.4%	7.9%	+3.6	16
1957-10-20	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1488	1669	7.9%	12.4%	79.7%	-3.6	12
1957-10-20	Fabril	W 5-1	1276	1298	65.4%	13.0%	21.6%	+17.4	11
1957-10-20	@ Braga	L 1-5	1298	1276	21.6%	13.0%	65.4%	-17.4	3
1957-10-20	Porto	L 1-2	1280	1680	19.3%	12.5%	68.2%	-4.9	5
1957-10-20	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-1	1680	1280	68.2%	12.5%	19.3%	+4.9	18
1957-10-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1190	1525	25.8%	12.8%	61.4%	+28.3	9
1957-10-20	@ Salgueiros	L 0-2	1525	1190	61.4%	12.8%	25.8%	-28.3	10
1957-10-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1375	1635	34.8%	12.9%	52.3%	-24.6	4
1957-10-20	@ Uniao Torreense	W 3-0	1635	1375	52.3%	12.9%	34.8%	+24.6	19
1957-10-20	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1335	1426	57.8%	13.0%	29.1%	-1.7	8
1957-10-20	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1426	1335	29.1%	13.0%	57.8%	+1.7	10
1957-10-27	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1485	1276	81.0%	12.2%	6.8%	+3.1	15
1957-10-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1276	1485	6.8%	12.2%	81.0%	-3.1	5
1957-10-27	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1497	1333	78.9%	12.4%	8.6%	+2.3	13
1957-10-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1333	1497	8.6%	12.4%	78.9%	-2.3	8
1957-10-27	Braga	D 0-0	1277	1293	66.1%	12.9%	20.9%	-3.0	7
1957-10-27	@ Caldas	D 0-0	1293	1277	20.9%	12.9%	66.1%	+3.0	12
1957-10-27	Uniao Torreense	L 1-2	1281	1350	60.4%	13.0%	26.6%	-13.9	3
1957-10-27	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1350	1281	26.6%	13.0%	60.4%	+13.9	7
1957-10-27	Benfica	W 4-0	1428	1672	37.0%	13.0%	50.1%	+44.3	13
1957-10-27	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-4	1672	1428	50.1%	13.0%	37.0%	-44.3	16
1957-10-27	Barreirense	W 3-0	1685	1356	84.8%	11.6%	3.6%	+2.8	21
1957-10-27	@ Porto	L 0-3	1356	1685	3.6%	11.6%	84.8%	-2.8	10
1957-10-27	Salgueiros	W 5-0	1660	1219	87.1%	10.9%	1.9%	+2.4	22
1957-10-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1219	1660	1.9%	10.9%	87.1%	-2.4	9
1957-11-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1354	1488	52.3%	13.0%	34.6%	+20.6	13
1957-11-03	@ Barreirense	L 1-4	1488	1354	34.6%	13.0%	52.3%	-20.6	15
1957-11-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1628	1499	77.1%	12.6%	10.3%	-18.9	16
1957-11-03	@ Benfica	W 1-0	1499	1628	10.3%	12.6%	77.1%	+18.9	16
1957-11-03	Uniao Torreense	W 7-0	1296	1364	60.6%	13.0%	26.5%	+42.5	15
1957-11-03	@ Braga	L 0-7	1364	1296	26.5%	13.0%	60.6%	-42.5	7
1957-11-03	Porto	L 1-3	1274	1688	18.1%	12.5%	69.4%	-8.0	7
1957-11-03	@ Caldas	W 3-1	1688	1274	69.4%	12.5%	18.1%	+8.0	24
1957-11-03	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1272	1472	43.3%	13.0%	43.7%	+10.3	8
1957-11-03	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	1472	1272	43.7%	13.0%	43.3%	-10.3	13
1957-11-03	Fabril	W 4-0	1216	1267	62.5%	13.0%	24.6%	+23.4	12
1957-11-03	@ Salgueiros	L 0-4	1267	1216	24.6%	13.0%	62.5%	-23.4	3
1957-11-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1331	1662	26.2%	12.8%	61.1%	-10.1	8
1957-11-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 4-2	1662	1331	61.1%	12.8%	26.2%	+10.1	25
1957-11-10	Caldas	D 1-1	1467	1266	80.6%	12.3%	7.1%	-4.6	16
1957-11-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1266	1467	7.1%	12.3%	80.6%	+4.6	8
1957-11-10	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-0	1518	1283	82.0%	12.1%	5.9%	+6.0	19
1957-11-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1283	1518	5.9%	12.1%	82.0%	-6.0	8
1957-11-10	Vitoria Setubal	W 7-1	1244	1321	59.5%	13.0%	27.5%	+31.4	6
1957-11-10	@ Fabril	L 1-7	1321	1244	27.5%	13.0%	59.5%	-31.4	8
1957-11-10	Barreirense	W 3-1	1462	1374	74.5%	12.7%	12.8%	+5.8	16
1957-11-10	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1374	1462	12.8%	12.7%	74.5%	-5.8	13
1957-11-10	Braga	W 4-2	1696	1338	85.5%	11.5%	3.1%	+1.3	27
1957-11-10	@ Porto	L 2-4	1338	1696	3.1%	11.5%	85.5%	-1.2	15
1957-11-10	Benfica	W 2-0	1672	1609	72.8%	12.8%	14.4%	+7.5	28
1957-11-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1609	1672	14.4%	12.8%	72.8%	-7.5	16
1957-11-10	Salgueiros	W 1-0	1322	1240	74.2%	12.7%	13.1%	+3.6	10
1957-11-10	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-1	1240	1322	13.1%	12.7%	74.2%	-3.6	12
1957-11-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1368	1524	49.5%	13.0%	37.5%	+18.1	16
1957-11-17	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1524	1368	37.5%	13.0%	49.5%	-18.1	19
1957-11-17	Fabril	W 1-0	1602	1275	84.7%	11.7%	3.6%	+1.0	19
1957-11-17	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1275	1602	3.6%	11.7%	84.7%	-1.0	6
1957-11-17	Salgueiros	W 4-1	1337	1236	75.4%	12.7%	11.9%	+7.6	18
1957-11-17	@ Braga	L 1-4	1236	1337	11.9%	12.7%	75.4%	-7.6	12
1957-11-17	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1271	1467	43.7%	13.0%	43.2%	+10.9	11
1957-11-17	@ Caldas	L 0-1	1467	1271	43.2%	13.0%	43.7%	-10.9	16
1957-11-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1277	1680	19.0%	12.5%	68.5%	-22.6	8
1957-11-17	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-0	1680	1277	68.5%	12.5%	19.0%	+22.6	31
1957-11-17	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-2	1697	1463	81.9%	12.1%	5.9%	+2.4	30
1957-11-17	@ Porto	L 2-4	1463	1697	5.9%	12.1%	81.9%	-2.4	16
1957-11-17	Uniao Torreense	L 1-3	1289	1325	64.1%	13.0%	23.0%	-25.6	8
1957-11-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1325	1289	23.0%	13.0%	64.1%	+25.6	13
1957-11-24	Caldas	L 0-1	1506	1282	81.5%	12.2%	6.3%	-20.1	19
1957-11-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1282	1506	6.3%	12.2%	81.5%	+20.1	14
1957-11-24	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1345	1460	54.8%	13.0%	32.2%	-22.0	18
1957-11-24	@ Braga	W 3-1	1460	1345	32.2%	13.0%	54.8%	+22.0	19
1957-11-24	Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-3	1274	1254	69.4%	12.9%	17.8%	+6.7	9
1957-11-24	@ Fabril	L 3-5	1254	1274	17.8%	12.9%	69.4%	-6.7	8
1957-11-24	Porto	L 0-2	1456	1700	37.2%	13.0%	49.9%	-17.9	16
1957-11-24	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1700	1456	49.9%	13.0%	37.2%	+17.9	33
1957-11-24	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-0	1228	1264	64.1%	13.0%	22.9%	+22.0	15
1957-11-24	@ Salgueiros	L 0-4	1264	1228	22.9%	13.0%	64.1%	-22.0	8
1957-11-24	Barreirense	W 7-1	1702	1386	84.5%	11.7%	3.8%	+4.6	34
1957-11-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-7	1386	1702	3.8%	11.7%	84.5%	-4.7	16
1957-11-24	Benfica	L 1-3	1351	1603	36.0%	12.9%	51.1%	-15.1	13
1957-11-24	@ Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1603	1351	51.1%	12.9%	36.0%	+15.1	22
1957-12-01	Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1482	1439	71.4%	12.8%	15.8%	-17.5	19
1957-12-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1439	1482	15.8%	12.8%	71.4%	+17.5	19
1957-12-01	Fabril	L 1-3	1382	1281	75.4%	12.7%	11.9%	-30.2	16
1957-12-01	@ Barreirense	W 3-1	1281	1382	11.9%	12.7%	75.4%	+30.2	12
1957-12-01	Salgueiros	W 9-1	1618	1250	85.7%	11.4%	2.9%	+4.6	25
1957-12-01	@ Benfica	L 1-9	1250	1618	2.9%	11.4%	85.7%	-4.6	15
1957-12-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1302	1707	18.8%	12.5%	68.7%	-8.3	14
1957-12-01	@ Caldas	W 3-1	1707	1302	68.7%	12.5%	18.8%	+8.3	37
1957-12-01	Uniao Torreense	L 0-1	1247	1336	58.2%	13.0%	28.8%	-14.2	8
1957-12-01	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 1-0	1336	1247	28.8%	13.0%	58.2%	+14.2	16
1957-12-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-1	1718	1486	81.8%	12.2%	6.0%	+3.9	36
1957-12-01	@ Porto	L 1-4	1486	1718	6.0%	12.2%	81.8%	-3.9	19
1957-12-01	Braga	W 4-0	1242	1323	59.0%	13.0%	28.0%	+26.4	11
1957-12-01	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1323	1242	28.0%	13.0%	59.0%	-26.4	18
1957-12-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1465	1482	66.0%	12.9%	21.1%	-2.0	20
1957-12-08	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1482	1465	21.1%	12.9%	66.0%	+2.0	20
1957-12-08	Uniao Torreense	W 4-3	1352	1350	67.7%	12.9%	19.4%	+4.6	19
1957-12-08	@ Barreirense	L 3-4	1350	1352	19.4%	12.9%	67.7%	-4.6	16
1957-12-08	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-0	1622	1268	85.4%	11.5%	3.1%	+3.1	28
1957-12-08	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1268	1622	3.1%	11.5%	85.4%	-3.1	11
1957-12-08	Benfica	L 0-1	1297	1625	26.4%	12.8%	60.8%	-7.0	18
1957-12-08	@ Braga	W 1-0	1625	1297	60.8%	12.8%	26.4%	+7.0	31
1957-12-08	Fabril	D 2-2	1294	1311	65.9%	12.9%	21.1%	-2.0	15
1957-12-08	@ Caldas	D 2-2	1311	1294	21.1%	12.9%	65.9%	+2.0	13
1957-12-08	Braga	W 3-2	1456	1290	79.1%	12.4%	8.5%	+2.1	22
1957-12-08	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-3	1290	1456	8.5%	12.4%	79.1%	-2.1	18
1957-12-08	Salgueiros	W 3-2	1233	1246	66.4%	12.9%	20.7%	+5.0	11
1957-12-08	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 2-3	1246	1233	20.7%	12.9%	66.4%	-5.0	15
1957-12-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1721	1715	68.2%	12.9%	18.9%	+4.8	39
1957-12-08	@ Porto	L 1-2	1715	1721	18.9%	12.9%	68.2%	-4.9	37
1957-12-15	Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1484	1458	69.9%	12.9%	17.3%	-3.6	21
1957-12-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1458	1484	17.3%	12.9%	69.9%	+3.6	23
1957-12-15	Porto	W 2-1	1313	1726	18.1%	12.5%	69.4%	+16.0	16
1957-12-15	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1726	1313	69.4%	12.5%	18.1%	-16.0	39
1957-12-15	Barreirense	L 1-2	1241	1356	54.8%	13.0%	32.2%	-12.7	15
1957-12-15	@ Salgueiros	W 2-1	1356	1241	32.2%	13.0%	54.8%	+12.7	22
1957-12-15	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1711	1463	82.4%	12.1%	5.5%	-4.8	38
1957-12-15	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1463	1711	5.5%	12.1%	82.4%	+4.8	21
1957-12-15	Caldas	W 1-0	1345	1292	72.1%	12.8%	15.1%	+4.2	19
1957-12-15	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-1	1292	1345	15.1%	12.8%	72.1%	-4.1	15
1957-12-15	Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1265	1238	70.0%	12.9%	17.2%	-17.1	11
1957-12-15	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1238	1265	17.2%	12.9%	70.0%	+17.1	14
1957-12-29	Fabril	W 1-0	1468	1329	77.6%	12.5%	9.8%	+2.8	24
1957-12-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1329	1468	9.8%	12.5%	77.6%	-2.8	16
1957-12-29	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1369	1248	76.6%	12.6%	10.8%	+2.8	25
1957-12-29	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1248	1369	10.8%	12.6%	76.6%	-2.8	11
1957-12-29	Braga	W 9-3	1480	1287	80.3%	12.3%	7.4%	+6.7	24
1957-12-29	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-9	1287	1480	7.4%	12.3%	80.3%	-6.7	18
1957-12-29	Salgueiros	D 1-1	1287	1228	72.6%	12.8%	14.7%	-3.5	16
1957-12-29	@ Caldas	D 1-1	1228	1287	14.7%	12.8%	72.6%	+3.5	16
1957-12-29	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1462	1706	37.1%	13.0%	50.0%	+0.7	24
1957-12-29	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1706	1462	50.0%	13.0%	37.1%	-0.7	39
1957-12-29	Benfica	D 0-0	1255	1632	21.4%	12.6%	66.0%	+3.0	15
1957-12-29	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 0-0	1632	1255	66.0%	12.6%	21.4%	-3.0	32
1957-12-29	Uniao Torreense	D 1-1	1710	1349	85.5%	11.5%	3.0%	-5.2	40
1957-12-29	@ Porto	D 1-1	1349	1710	3.0%	11.5%	85.5%	+5.2	20
1958-01-05	Barreirense	W 3-0	1629	1372	82.7%	12.0%	5.2%	+4.0	35
1958-01-05	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1372	1629	5.2%	12.0%	82.7%	-4.0	25
1958-01-05	Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-0	1281	1258	69.6%	12.9%	17.5%	+21.1	21
1958-01-05	@ Braga	L 0-5	1258	1281	17.5%	12.9%	69.6%	-21.1	15
1958-01-05	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1326	1462	52.1%	13.0%	34.9%	+17.0	19
1958-01-05	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1462	1326	34.9%	13.0%	52.1%	-17.0	24
1958-01-05	Porto	L 1-2	1232	1705	13.5%	12.2%	74.2%	-3.5	16
1958-01-05	@ Salgueiros	W 2-1	1705	1232	74.2%	12.2%	13.5%	+3.5	43
1958-01-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1705	1487	81.3%	12.2%	6.5%	+1.6	42
1958-01-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1487	1705	6.5%	12.2%	81.3%	-1.6	24
1958-01-05	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1355	1470	54.8%	13.0%	32.2%	+7.9	23
1958-01-05	@ Uniao Torreense	L 1-2	1470	1355	32.2%	13.0%	54.8%	-7.9	24
1958-01-05	Caldas	W 5-2	1245	1284	63.7%	13.0%	23.3%	+12.5	14
1958-01-05	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-5	1284	1245	23.3%	13.0%	63.7%	-12.5	16
1958-01-12	Salgueiros	W 3-1	1462	1228	81.9%	12.1%	5.9%	+2.7	27
1958-01-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1228	1462	5.9%	12.1%	81.9%	-2.7	16
1958-01-12	Oriental de Lisboa	D 2-2	1368	1237	77.2%	12.6%	10.3%	-3.1	26
1958-01-12	@ Barreirense	D 2-2	1237	1368	10.3%	12.6%	77.2%	+3.1	16
1958-01-12	Fabril	W 4-0	1485	1343	77.8%	12.5%	9.7%	+9.7	27
1958-01-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1343	1485	9.7%	12.5%	77.8%	-9.6	19
1958-01-12	Benfica	W 3-2	1271	1634	22.9%	12.7%	64.4%	+14.0	19
1958-01-12	@ Caldas	L 2-3	1634	1271	64.4%	12.7%	22.9%	-14.0	35
1958-01-12	Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1445	1363	74.2%	12.7%	13.1%	+5.9	27
1958-01-12	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1363	1445	13.1%	12.7%	74.2%	-5.9	23
1958-01-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-0	1709	1258	87.3%	10.9%	1.8%	+2.2	46
1958-01-12	@ Porto	L 0-5	1258	1709	1.8%	10.9%	87.3%	-2.2	14
1958-01-12	Braga	W 3-0	1707	1302	86.5%	11.2%	2.4%	+1.8	45
1958-01-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1302	1707	2.4%	11.2%	86.5%	-1.8	21
1958-01-19	Porto	L 2-3	1619	1711	57.8%	13.0%	29.2%	-12.7	35
1958-01-19	@ Benfica	W 3-2	1711	1619	29.2%	13.0%	57.8%	+12.7	49
1958-01-19	Barreirense	D 2-2	1300	1365	61.0%	13.0%	26.1%	-1.5	22
1958-01-19	@ Braga	D 2-2	1365	1300	26.1%	13.0%	61.0%	+1.5	27
1958-01-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1333	1708	21.6%	12.6%	65.8%	+1.6	20
1958-01-19	@ Fabril	D 3-3	1708	1333	65.8%	12.6%	21.6%	-1.6	46
1958-01-19	Caldas	D 0-0	1240	1285	63.1%	13.0%	23.9%	-2.6	17
1958-01-19	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 0-0	1285	1240	23.9%	13.0%	63.1%	+2.6	20
1958-01-19	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-0	1225	1451	39.5%	13.0%	47.5%	+52.0	19
1958-01-19	@ Salgueiros	L 0-5	1451	1225	47.5%	13.0%	39.5%	-52.0	27
1958-01-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1357	1495	51.8%	13.0%	35.1%	+8.5	26
1958-01-19	@ Uniao Torreense	L 1-2	1495	1357	35.1%	13.0%	51.8%	-8.5	27
1958-01-19	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1255	1465	41.8%	13.0%	45.2%	+11.3	17
1958-01-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1465	1255	45.2%	13.0%	41.8%	-11.3	27
1958-01-26	Benfica	L 0-1	1454	1607	49.8%	13.0%	37.1%	-12.3	27
1958-01-26	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1607	1454	37.1%	13.0%	49.8%	+12.3	38
1958-01-26	Salgueiros	W 6-2	1486	1277	80.9%	12.2%	6.8%	+4.8	30
1958-01-26	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-6	1277	1486	6.8%	12.2%	80.9%	-4.8	19
1958-01-26	Barreirense	W 1-0	1288	1366	59.4%	13.0%	27.6%	+7.3	23
1958-01-26	@ Caldas	L 0-1	1366	1288	27.6%	13.0%	59.4%	-7.3	27
1958-01-26	Braga	D 2-2	1335	1298	70.8%	12.8%	16.4%	-2.5	21
1958-01-26	@ Fabril	D 2-2	1298	1335	16.4%	12.8%	70.8%	+2.5	23
1958-01-26	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1399	1267	77.3%	12.6%	10.1%	-19.0	27
1958-01-26	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1267	1399	10.1%	12.6%	77.3%	+19.0	20
1958-01-26	Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-0	1724	1238	87.8%	10.6%	1.5%	+1.9	52
1958-01-26	@ Porto	L 0-5	1238	1724	1.5%	10.6%	87.8%	-1.8	17
1958-01-26	Uniao Torreense	W 6-1	1707	1365	85.1%	11.6%	3.3%	+3.4	49
1958-01-26	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1365	1707	3.3%	11.6%	85.1%	-3.4	26
1958-02-02	Porto	W 2-1	1359	1725	22.4%	12.7%	64.9%	+14.9	30
1958-02-02	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1725	1359	64.9%	12.7%	22.4%	-14.9	52
1958-02-02	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1619	1380	82.1%	12.1%	5.8%	+1.6	41
1958-02-02	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1380	1619	5.8%	12.1%	82.1%	-1.6	27
1958-02-02	Caldas	W 1-0	1301	1295	68.1%	12.9%	19.0%	+5.2	26
1958-02-02	@ Braga	L 0-1	1295	1301	19.0%	12.9%	68.1%	-5.2	23
1958-02-02	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1236	1442	42.4%	13.0%	44.6%	-17.4	17
1958-02-02	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1442	1236	44.6%	13.0%	42.4%	+17.4	30
1958-02-02	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1273	1710	16.1%	12.4%	71.5%	-4.4	19
1958-02-02	@ Salgueiros	W 1-0	1710	1273	71.5%	12.4%	16.1%	+4.4	52
1958-02-02	Fabril	W 1-0	1362	1333	70.2%	12.8%	17.0%	+4.6	29
1958-02-02	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-1	1333	1362	17.0%	12.8%	70.2%	-4.6	21
1958-02-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1286	1491	42.4%	13.0%	44.6%	+0.1	21
1958-02-02	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1491	1286	44.6%	13.0%	42.4%	-0.1	31
1958-02-23	Barreirense	W 4-0	1459	1374	74.4%	12.7%	12.9%	+12.8	33
1958-02-23	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-4	1374	1459	12.9%	12.7%	74.4%	-12.8	30
1958-02-23	Benfica	W 2-1	1491	1621	52.9%	13.0%	34.0%	+8.3	34
1958-02-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1621	1491	34.0%	13.0%	52.9%	-8.3	41
1958-02-23	Salgueiros	W 2-1	1328	1268	72.6%	12.8%	14.6%	+3.8	24
1958-02-23	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1268	1328	14.6%	12.8%	72.6%	-3.8	19
1958-02-23	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1379	1218	78.8%	12.4%	8.8%	+4.0	30
1958-02-23	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1218	1379	8.8%	12.4%	78.8%	-4.0	17
1958-02-23	Caldas	W 3-1	1710	1290	86.8%	11.1%	2.2%	+1.0	55
1958-02-23	@ Porto	L 1-3	1290	1710	2.2%	11.1%	86.8%	-1.0	23
1958-02-23	Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1715	1286	86.9%	11.0%	2.1%	-4.0	53
1958-02-23	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1286	1715	2.1%	11.0%	86.9%	+4.0	22
1958-02-23	Braga	W 1-0	1366	1306	72.6%	12.8%	14.6%	+4.0	32
1958-02-23	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-1	1306	1366	14.6%	12.8%	72.6%	-4.0	26
1958-03-02	Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1361	1383	65.5%	13.0%	21.6%	-2.0	31
1958-03-02	@ Barreirense	D 2-2	1383	1361	21.6%	13.0%	65.5%	+2.0	31
1958-03-02	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1612	1711	57.0%	13.0%	30.0%	+14.8	44
1958-03-02	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1711	1612	30.0%	13.0%	57.0%	-14.8	53
1958-03-02	Porto	W 3-2	1302	1711	18.4%	12.5%	69.0%	+15.1	29
1958-03-02	@ Braga	L 2-3	1711	1302	69.0%	12.5%	18.4%	-15.1	55
1958-03-02	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1289	1472	45.7%	13.0%	41.3%	+9.8	26
1958-03-02	@ Caldas	L 1-2	1472	1289	41.3%	13.0%	45.7%	-9.8	33
1958-03-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1214	1499	31.7%	12.9%	55.4%	-8.2	17
1958-03-02	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 1-0	1499	1214	55.4%	12.9%	31.7%	+8.2	37
1958-03-02	Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1264	1370	56.0%	13.0%	31.0%	+13.2	22
1958-03-02	@ Salgueiros	L 1-3	1370	1264	31.0%	13.0%	56.0%	-13.2	32
1958-03-02	Fabril	W 2-0	1290	1332	63.4%	13.0%	23.6%	+11.9	25
1958-03-02	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1332	1290	23.6%	13.0%	63.4%	-11.9	24
1958-03-09	Porto	L 0-1	1462	1696	38.4%	13.0%	48.7%	-9.8	33
1958-03-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1696	1462	48.7%	13.0%	38.4%	+9.8	58
1958-03-09	Barreirense	W 3-2	1508	1359	78.2%	12.5%	9.3%	+2.3	40
1958-03-09	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1359	1508	9.3%	12.5%	78.2%	-2.3	31
1958-03-09	Benfica	L 0-2	1320	1627	28.9%	12.8%	58.2%	-14.3	24
1958-03-09	@ Fabril	W 2-0	1627	1320	58.2%	12.8%	28.9%	+14.3	47
1958-03-09	Caldas	L 1-2	1385	1299	74.4%	12.7%	12.9%	-17.2	31
1958-03-09	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1299	1385	12.9%	12.7%	74.4%	+17.2	29
1958-03-09	Braga	D 0-0	1278	1317	63.7%	13.0%	23.4%	-2.7	23
1958-03-09	@ Salgueiros	D 0-0	1317	1278	23.4%	13.0%	63.7%	+2.7	30
1958-03-09	Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-0	1696	1206	87.9%	10.6%	1.5%	+1.8	56
1958-03-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1206	1696	1.5%	10.6%	87.9%	-1.8	17
1958-03-09	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1357	1302	72.3%	12.8%	14.9%	-28.9	32
1958-03-09	@ Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1302	1357	14.9%	12.8%	72.3%	+28.9	28
1958-03-16	Braga	D 4-4	1452	1320	77.3%	12.6%	10.2%	-2.3	34
1958-03-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 4-4	1320	1452	10.2%	12.6%	77.3%	+2.3	31
1958-03-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1357	1698	25.1%	12.7%	62.2%	-6.7	31
1958-03-16	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1698	1357	62.2%	12.7%	25.1%	+6.7	59
1958-03-16	Uniao Torreense	W 1-0	1642	1328	84.4%	11.7%	3.9%	+1.1	50
1958-03-16	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1328	1642	3.9%	11.7%	84.4%	-1.1	32
1958-03-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1316	1510	44.1%	13.0%	42.9%	+10.8	32
1958-03-16	@ Caldas	L 0-1	1510	1316	42.9%	13.0%	44.1%	-10.8	40
1958-03-16	Fabril	L 1-2	1204	1306	56.6%	13.0%	30.4%	-13.1	17
1958-03-16	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-1	1306	1204	30.4%	13.0%	56.6%	+13.1	27
1958-03-16	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1706	1368	85.0%	11.6%	3.4%	+0.9	61
1958-03-16	@ Porto	L 0-1	1368	1706	3.4%	11.6%	85.0%	-1.0	31
1958-03-16	Salgueiros	W 3-1	1331	1275	72.3%	12.8%	14.9%	+6.7	31
1958-03-16	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1275	1331	14.9%	12.8%	72.3%	-6.7	23
1958-03-23	Porto	L 1-3	1499	1707	42.1%	13.0%	44.9%	-17.3	40
1958-03-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1707	1499	44.9%	13.0%	42.1%	+17.3	64
1958-03-23	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1322	1337	66.1%	12.9%	20.9%	+13.0	34
1958-03-23	@ Braga	L 1-4	1337	1322	20.9%	12.9%	66.1%	-13.0	31
1958-03-23	Barreirense	L 0-2	1319	1350	64.5%	13.0%	22.5%	-29.8	27
1958-03-23	@ Fabril	W 2-0	1350	1319	22.5%	13.0%	64.5%	+29.8	34
1958-03-23	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1367	1450	58.8%	13.0%	28.2%	+7.4	34
1958-03-23	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1450	1367	28.2%	13.0%	58.8%	-7.4	34
1958-03-23	Benfica	L 1-3	1268	1643	21.6%	12.6%	65.7%	-9.5	23
1958-03-23	@ Salgueiros	W 3-1	1643	1268	65.7%	12.6%	21.6%	+9.5	53
1958-03-23	Caldas	W 3-0	1704	1327	85.9%	11.3%	2.8%	+2.1	62
1958-03-23	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1327	1704	2.8%	11.3%	85.9%	-2.1	32
1958-03-23	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1327	1191	77.5%	12.5%	10.0%	+4.5	35
1958-03-23	@ Uniao Torreense	L 1-3	1191	1327	10.0%	12.5%	77.5%	-4.5	17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1957-11-24	6.29%	Caldas	1282	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1506	0
2	1958-01-26	10.13%	Vitoria Setubal	1267	1	@ Lusitano de Evora	1399	0
3	1957-11-03	10.32%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1499	1	@ Benfica	1628	0
4	1957-12-01	11.90%	Fabril	1281	3	@ Barreirense	1382	1
5	1958-03-09	12.87%	Caldas	1299	2	@ Lusitano de Evora	1385	1
6	1958-03-09	14.93%	Vitoria Setubal	1302	3	@ Uniao Torreense	1357	1
7	1957-12-01	15.83%	Lusitano de Evora	1439	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1482	0
8	1957-12-15	17.17%	Oriental de Lisboa	1238	1	@ Vitoria Setubal	1265	0
9	1957-12-15	18.09%	@ Fabril	1313	2	Porto	1726	1
10	1958-03-02	18.44%	@ Braga	1302	3	Porto	1711	2
11	1958-02-02	22.43%	@ Barreirense	1359	2	Porto	1725	1
12	1958-03-23	22.51%	Barreirense	1350	2	@ Fabril	1319	0
13	1958-01-12	22.89%	@ Caldas	1271	3	Benfica	1634	2
14	1957-11-17	22.96%	Uniao Torreense	1325	3	@ Vitoria Setubal	1289	1
15	1957-09-29	24.58%	Vitoria Setubal	1338	2	@ Caldas	1287	1
16	1957-10-20	25.81%	@ Salgueiros	1190	2	Os Belenenses (1st)	1525	0
17	1957-10-27	26.57%	Uniao Torreense	1350	2	@ Fabril	1281	1
18	1957-12-01	28.80%	Uniao Torreense	1336	1	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1247	0
19	1958-01-19	29.19%	Porto	1711	3	@ Benfica	1619	2
20	1958-03-16	30.38%	Fabril	1306	2	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1204	1
21	1957-09-22	31.35%	Academica de Coimbra	1447	4	@ Fabril	1338	2
22	1957-09-15	31.63%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1571	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1460	0
23	1957-11-24	32.16%	Academica de Coimbra	1460	3	@ Braga	1345	1
24	1957-12-15	32.17%	Barreirense	1356	2	@ Salgueiros	1241	1
25	1957-10-27	36.95%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1428	4	Benfica	1672	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1958-01-19	51.99	@ Salgueiros	5	1225	39.54%	Lusitano de Evora	0	1451	47.49%
2	1957-10-27	44.27	@ Lusitano de Evora	4	1428	36.95%	Benfica	0	1672	50.11%
3	1957-11-03	42.50	@ Braga	7	1296	60.55%	Uniao Torreense	0	1364	26.45%
4	1957-10-06	37.91	Sporting Clube de Portugal	5	1593	53.87%	@ Braga	0	1320	33.23%
5	1957-11-10	31.38	@ Fabril	7	1244	59.49%	Vitoria Setubal	1	1321	27.50%
6	1957-09-08	30.70	Benfica	6	1635	54.69%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1	1356	32.43%
7	1957-12-01	30.24	Fabril	3	1281	11.90%	@ Barreirense	1	1382	75.43%
8	1958-03-23	29.75	Barreirense	2	1350	22.51%	@ Fabril	0	1319	64.53%
9	1958-03-09	28.92	Vitoria Setubal	3	1302	14.93%	@ Uniao Torreense	1	1357	72.28%
10	1957-10-20	28.28	@ Salgueiros	2	1190	25.81%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1525	61.43%
11	1957-12-01	26.38	@ Vitoria Setubal	4	1242	59.02%	Braga	0	1323	27.96%
12	1957-11-17	25.59	Uniao Torreense	3	1325	22.96%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1	1289	64.07%
13	1957-10-20	24.55	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1635	52.26%	@ Uniao Torreense	0	1375	34.82%
14	1957-09-08	24.16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1547	52.83%	Porto	0	1678	34.14%
15	1957-11-03	23.43	@ Salgueiros	4	1216	62.46%	Fabril	0	1267	24.55%
16	1957-11-17	22.61	Sporting Clube de Portugal	5	1680	68.48%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	0	1277	18.99%
17	1957-11-24	22.00	@ Salgueiros	4	1228	64.10%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1264	22.93%
18	1957-11-24	21.98	Academica de Coimbra	3	1460	32.16%	@ Braga	1	1345	54.81%
19	1957-09-08	21.84	@ Salgueiros	4	1171	50.04%	Oriental de Lisboa	1	1323	36.93%
20	1958-01-05	21.13	@ Braga	5	1281	69.59%	Oriental de Lisboa	0	1258	17.54%
21	1957-11-03	20.64	@ Barreirense	4	1354	52.33%	Academica de Coimbra	1	1488	34.64%
22	1957-11-24	20.06	Caldas	1	1282	6.29%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1506	81.53%
23	1957-09-22	19.94	Academica de Coimbra	4	1447	31.35%	@ Fabril	2	1338	55.62%
24	1958-01-26	19.00	Vitoria Setubal	1	1267	10.13%	@ Lusitano de Evora	0	1399	77.31%
25	1957-11-03	18.95	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1499	10.32%	@ Benfica	0	1628	77.12%