1942 Primeira Divisão Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Benfica

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

8.39 points above expected

38 points · 29.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Leca

6.24 points below expected

11 points · 17.24 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	22	19	0	3	38	74	34	+40	29.61	+8.39
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	22	17	0	5	34	93	31	+62	32.13	+1.87
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	22	12	6	4	30	66	32	+34	29.97	+0.03
4	Porto	22	13	2	7	28	77	48	+29	28.27	-0.27
5	Academica de Coimbra	22	13	0	9	26	77	51	+26	23.64	+2.36
6	Barreirense	22	11	3	8	25	58	55	+3	18.53	+6.47
7	Unidos de Lisboa	22	7	4	11	18	53	49	+4	20.09	-2.09
8	Carcavelinhos	22	5	4	13	14	35	73	-38	12.76	+1.24
9	Olhanense	22	6	2	14	14	42	83	-41	17.33	-3.33
10	Academico do Porto	22	6	1	15	13	48	81	-33	15.57	-2.57
11	Vitoria Guimaraes	22	6	1	15	13	43	76	-33	18.86	-5.86
12	Leca	22	5	1	16	11	29	82	-53	17.24	-6.24

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Os Belenenses (1st)	1804	30	29.97	+0.03	55.4%	17	24	28	30	32	36	44
Benfica	1793	38	29.61	+8.39	99.6%	14	23	27	30	32	35	42
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1784	34	32.13	+1.87	75.5%	19	26	30	32	34	38	44
Porto	1712	28	28.27	-0.27	51.8%	15	22	26	28	31	34	40
Academica de Coimbra	1566	26	23.64	+2.36	77.1%	9	17	21	24	26	30	37
Unidos de Lisboa	1524	18	20.09	-2.09	33.4%	6	14	18	20	22	26	33
Barreirense	1508	25	18.53	+6.47	97.0%	5	12	16	19	21	25	34
Academico do Porto	1404	13	15.57	-2.57	29.5%	3	9	13	16	18	22	30
Vitoria Guimaraes	1348	13	18.86	-5.86	7.4%	7	13	16	19	21	25	32
Olhanense	1333	14	17.33	-3.33	21.1%	5	12	15	17	20	23	34
Carcavelinhos	1311	14	12.76	+1.24	70.3%	2	7	10	13	15	18	27
Leca	1301	11	17.24	-6.24	5.8%	5	11	15	17	20	23	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ADP	BAR	BEN	CAR	LEC	OLH	OB(	POR	SCDP	UDL	VG
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-0-1 4.36	1-0-1 3.38	1-0-1 2.15	2-0-0 3.98	2-0-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.88	1-0-1 1.98	1-0-1 2.27	0-0-2 1.88	2-0-0 3.29	1-0-1 4.21
Academico do Porto	1-0-1 1.44	—	1-0-1 2.25	0-0-2 1.19	0-1-1 3.53	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 1.49	0-0-2 1.61	0-0-2 1.24	1-0-1 2.02	1-0-1 1.84
Barreirense	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 3.56	—	0-0-2 1.39	1-1-0 4.01	1-0-1 3.23	2-0-0 2.57	1-1-0 1.20	1-0-1 1.76	0-0-2 1.46	2-0-0 2.44	1-1-0 2.76
Benfica	1-0-1 3.66	2-0-0 4.62	2-0-0 4.42	—	2-0-0 4.44	2-0-0 5.08	2-0-0 4.44	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.91	2-0-0 2.44	2-0-0 3.82	2-0-0 4.81
Carcavelinhos	0-0-2 1.83	1-1-0 2.28	0-1-1 1.80	0-0-2 1.37	—	2-0-0 2.33	0-0-2 2.13	0-1-1 0.67	0-1-1 0.88	0-0-2 0.46	1-0-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.17
Leca	0-0-2 2.79	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.58	0-0-2 0.73	0-0-2 3.48	—	1-0-1 2.95	0-1-1 1.71	0-0-2 1.36	0-0-2 0.86	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.75
Olhanense	1-0-1 1.93	1-0-1 3.18	0-0-2 3.24	0-0-2 1.37	2-0-0 3.68	1-0-1 2.86	—	0-1-1 0.78	0-0-2 1.63	0-0-2 0.83	0-1-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.70
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 3.82	2-0-0 4.32	0-1-1 4.61	1-0-1 3.15	1-1-0 5.14	1-1-0 4.10	1-1-0 5.03	—	2-0-0 3.04	2-0-0 2.68	0-2-0 4.31	1-0-1 3.80
Porto	1-0-1 3.54	2-0-0 4.20	1-0-1 4.04	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 4.93	2-0-0 4.45	2-0-0 4.18	0-0-2 2.76	—	1-0-1 2.21	0-1-1 4.09	2-0-0 4.03
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 3.92	2-0-0 4.57	2-0-0 4.35	0-0-2 3.37	2-0-0 5.35	2-0-0 4.95	2-0-0 4.99	0-0-2 3.13	1-0-1 3.59	—	2-0-0 4.48	2-0-0 4.44
Unidos de Lisboa	0-0-2 2.52	1-0-1 3.79	0-0-2 3.37	0-0-2 1.99	1-0-1 3.70	1-0-1 2.86	1-1-0 3.05	0-2-0 1.50	1-1-0 1.72	0-0-2 1.33	—	2-0-0 3.16
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-0-1 1.60	1-0-1 3.96	0-1-1 3.05	0-0-2 1.00	1-0-1 3.63	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.01	0-0-2 1.77	0-0-2 1.37	0-0-2 2.65	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.81	+4.3
Allowed	0.87	-4.3
Differential	0.90	+2.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	1.52%	3.03%	3.03%	2.65%	2.65%	12.88%
1	1.52%	4.55%	3.41%	4.17%	4.17%	6.06%	23.86%
2	3.03%	3.41%	2.27%	4.55%	3.41%	4.55%	21.21%
3	3.03%	4.17%	4.55%	1.52%	1.52%	0.76%	15.53%
4	2.65%	4.17%	3.41%	1.52%	0.76%	—	12.50%
5+	2.65%	6.06%	4.55%	0.76%	—	—	14.02%
Total	12.88%	23.86%	21.21%	15.53%	12.50%	14.02%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.63	2.63	+0.00
SD	2.35	2.35	3.89
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	14	14	+14
Min	0	0	-14

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
1	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
2	—	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
Total	4.55%	31.82%	18.18%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.50	2.32	+1.18
SD	2.67	1.43	3.49
CV	0.76	0.62	—
Max	10	6	+9
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
1	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	22.73%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%	9.09%	27.27%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	22.73%	27.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	3.68	-1.50
SD	2.11	3.08	4.35
CV	0.97	0.84	—
Max	9	11	+9
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	22.73%
2	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
5+	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.64	2.50	+0.14
SD	2.66	2.65	4.25
CV	1.01	1.06	—
Max	11	10	+10
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
1	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	27.27%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.36	1.55	+1.82
SD	1.79	1.18	2.48
CV	0.53	0.77	—
Max	8	4	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	22.73%
1	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	13.64%	18.18%	22.73%	18.18%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	3.32	-1.73
SD	1.44	2.77	3.60
CV	0.90	0.83	—
Max	6	12	+6
Min	0	0	-11

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	31.82%
1	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%	31.82%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	18.18%	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	36.36%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	3.73	-2.41
SD	1.17	3.22	3.89
CV	0.89	0.87	—
Max	4	14	+3
Min	0	0	-14

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	36.36%
2	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%
3	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	—	9.09%	36.36%	18.18%	9.09%	27.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	3.77	-1.86
SD	1.87	2.54	3.75
CV	0.98	0.67	—
Max	6	9	+4
Min	0	1	-9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
5+	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	36.36%	4.55%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.00	1.45	+1.55
SD	2.31	1.14	2.58
CV	0.77	0.79	—
Max	9	5	+9
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
1	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%
2	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
4	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
Total	9.09%	36.36%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.50	2.18	+1.32
SD	2.84	1.76	3.81
CV	0.81	0.81	—
Max	12	7	+11
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
1	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	13.64%
2	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
4	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
Total	27.27%	40.91%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	4.23	1.41	+2.82
SD	3.41	1.37	4.14
CV	0.81	0.97	—
Max	14	4	+14
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	—	40.91%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	9.09%	27.27%	13.64%	31.82%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.41	2.23	+0.18
SD	2.06	1.31	2.84
CV	0.86	0.59	—
Max	10	4	+9
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	—	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	40.91%
2	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	—	22.73%	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	3.45	-1.50
SD	1.36	2.63	3.22
CV	0.70	0.76	—
Max	4	11	+4
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Benfica	38	29.61	+8.39
2	Barreirense	25	18.53	+6.47
3	Academica de Coimbra	26	23.64	+2.36
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	34	32.13	+1.87
5	Carcavelinhos	14	12.76	+1.24

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Leca	11	17.24	-6.24
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	13	18.86	-5.86
3	Olhanense	14	17.33	-3.33
4	Academico do Porto	13	15.57	-2.57
5	Unidos de Lisboa	18	20.09	-2.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	11	Mar 1 – May 10	1 in 960
2	Barreirense	4	Jan 18 – Feb 8	1 in 641
3	Academica de Coimbra	6	Jan 25 – Mar 1	1 in 67
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	Mar 22 – Apr 12	1 in 45
5	Carcavelinhos	2	Mar 22 – Mar 29	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Leca	11	Mar 8 – May 17	1 in 541
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	5	Mar 15 – Apr 12	1 in 25
3	Olhanense	3	Jan 18 – Feb 1	1 in 21
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	Feb 8 – Feb 8	1 in 18
5	Unidos de Lisboa	3	Jan 18 – Feb 1	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	11	Mar 1 – May 10	1 in 96
2	Barreirense	4	Jan 18 – Feb 8	1 in 84
3	Unidos de Lisboa	3	Feb 22 – Mar 8	1 in 44
4	Academica de Coimbra	6	Jan 25 – Mar 1	1 in 22
5	Carcavelinhos	3	Mar 15 – Mar 29	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Leca	11	Mar 8 – May 17	1 in 62
2	Unidos de Lisboa	7	Apr 19 – May 31	1 in 42
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	6	Jan 25 – Mar 1	1 in 37
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Mar 1 – Mar 15	1 in 17
5	Porto	3	May 10 – May 24	1 in 12

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Benfica	18.49%	26.56%	25.45%	19.30%	7.11%	1.94%	0.71%	0.26%	0.13%	0.04%	0.01%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	50.43%	25.86%	14.10%	6.81%	2.15%	0.52%	0.12%	—	0.01%	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	19.69%	26.67%	26.44%	18.13%	6.53%	1.70%	0.55%	0.19%	0.08%	0.02%	—	—
Porto	10.26%	16.99%	24.26%	28.35%	13.10%	4.22%	1.89%	0.56%	0.22%	0.13%	0.02%	—
Academica de Coimbra	0.98%	3.14%	7.01%	16.61%	33.32%	17.76%	9.79%	5.43%	3.17%	1.97%	0.66%	0.16%
Barreirense	0.02%	0.14%	0.47%	1.97%	7.47%	15.97%	16.80%	16.96%	14.80%	12.08%	8.83%	4.49%
Unidos de Lisboa	0.06%	0.34%	1.12%	4.17%	13.34%	21.29%	19.67%	15.43%	10.97%	7.62%	4.50%	1.49%
Carcavelinhos	—	—	0.01%	0.03%	0.14%	0.84%	1.89%	3.63%	6.89%	13.02%	24.29%	49.26%
Olhanense	0.01%	0.07%	0.12%	0.90%	3.70%	8.56%	11.64%	15.40%	17.98%	17.14%	14.80%	9.68%
Academico do Porto	—	0.03%	0.10%	0.41%	1.82%	4.89%	7.92%	11.47%	14.23%	18.53%	21.82%	18.78%
Vitoria Guimaraes	0.06%	0.16%	0.74%	2.40%	7.43%	14.37%	17.57%	16.65%	15.27%	12.22%	8.50%	4.63%
Leca	—	0.04%	0.18%	0.92%	3.89%	7.94%	11.45%	14.02%	16.25%	17.23%	16.57%	11.51%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+34.85%

Strong Edge

62.88%9.09%28.03%

Elo Value

Home Edge

113 Elo

0.009 goals per Elo point

0126.37300

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.77 goals

Strong Home

-2+1.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.0

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

18%

Benfica, 3rd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.18/gm

Tight Race

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.9 * Some Luck: 2.9 to 4.35 * Lucky: 4.35 to 5.8 * Wild Swing: 5.8 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.28 * Way Off: 2.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.26 points

Some Luck

03.639

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

01.433

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.63%

Benfica

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

5.83%

Leca

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.98

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

90%

Wide Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

95%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

31%

Some Drama

0%30%100%

Blowouts

Expected

48%

Very Frequent

0%52%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.43

Highly Predictable

00.432

Matchup Imbalance

0.54

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.35

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.28

Weak Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

As Expected

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.11

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.84

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.111

Well Within Noise

00.1200.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
Academica de Coimbra	100%
Academico do Porto	100%
Barreirense	100%
Benfica	100%
Carcavelinhos	100%
Leca	100%
Olhanense	100%
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%
Porto	100%
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%
Unidos de Lisboa	100%
Vitoria Guimaraes	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1942-01-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1453	1681	39.7%	9.6%	50.6%	-29.5	0
1942-01-18	@ Academico do Porto	W 2-0	1681	1453	50.6%	9.6%	39.7%	+29.5	2
1942-01-18	Benfica	L 1-4	1297	1560	35.0%	9.6%	55.3%	-32.2	0
1942-01-18	@ Carcavelinhos	W 4-1	1560	1297	55.3%	9.6%	35.0%	+32.2	2
1942-01-18	Academica de Coimbra	W 6-2	1376	1426	63.6%	9.6%	26.7%	+27.4	2
1942-01-18	@ Barreirense	L 2-6	1426	1376	26.7%	9.6%	63.6%	-27.5	0
1942-01-18	Unidos de Lisboa	W 4-1	1606	1435	81.2%	9.6%	9.2%	+9.0	2
1942-01-18	@ Leca	L 1-4	1435	1606	9.2%	9.6%	81.2%	-9.0	0
1942-01-18	Porto	W 5-0	1682	1659	71.0%	9.6%	19.4%	+35.3	2
1942-01-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1659	1682	19.4%	9.6%	71.0%	-35.3	0
1942-01-18	Olhanense	W 4-0	1606	1606	68.9%	9.6%	21.5%	+31.6	2
1942-01-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-4	1606	1606	21.5%	9.6%	68.9%	-31.6	0
1942-01-25	Leca	W 6-2	1398	1615	41.3%	9.6%	49.1%	+48.0	2
1942-01-25	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-6	1615	1398	49.1%	9.6%	41.3%	-48.0	2
1942-01-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1711	1717	68.3%	9.6%	22.1%	+14.8	4
1942-01-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1717	1711	22.1%	9.6%	68.3%	-14.8	2
1942-01-25	Academico do Porto	W 4-1	1592	1424	81.0%	9.6%	9.4%	+9.2	4
1942-01-25	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1424	1592	9.4%	9.6%	81.0%	-9.2	0
1942-01-25	Barreirense	L 0-2	1574	1404	81.2%	9.6%	9.3%	-58.9	0
1942-01-25	@ Olhanense	W 2-0	1404	1574	9.3%	9.6%	81.2%	+58.9	4
1942-01-25	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1623	1638	67.4%	9.6%	22.9%	+8.4	2
1942-01-25	@ Porto	L 2-3	1638	1623	22.9%	9.6%	67.4%	-8.4	2
1942-01-25	Carcavelinhos	L 2-3	1426	1265	80.7%	9.6%	9.8%	-27.8	0
1942-01-25	@ Unidos de Lisboa	W 3-2	1265	1426	9.8%	9.6%	80.7%	+27.8	2
1942-02-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1415	1702	31.8%	9.6%	58.5%	-35.0	0
1942-02-01	@ Academico do Porto	W 3-0	1702	1415	58.5%	9.6%	31.8%	+35.0	4
1942-02-01	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1293	1446	50.3%	9.6%	40.1%	-31.7	2
1942-02-01	@ Carcavelinhos	W 3-1	1446	1293	40.1%	9.6%	50.3%	+31.7	4
1942-02-01	Porto	W 3-1	1463	1632	48.1%	9.6%	42.3%	+27.0	6
1942-02-01	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1632	1463	42.3%	9.6%	48.1%	-27.0	2
1942-02-01	Unidos de Lisboa	W 2-0	1601	1398	82.7%	9.5%	7.8%	+6.2	6
1942-02-01	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1398	1601	7.8%	9.5%	82.7%	-6.3	0
1942-02-01	Olhanense	W 3-0	1567	1516	73.5%	9.6%	16.9%	+19.2	4
1942-02-01	@ Leca	L 0-3	1516	1567	16.9%	9.6%	73.5%	-19.2	0
1942-02-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-4	1629	1726	57.9%	9.6%	32.4%	-32.4	2
1942-02-01	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-2	1726	1629	32.4%	9.6%	57.9%	+32.4	6
1942-02-08	Benfica	W 3-1	1478	1607	53.6%	9.6%	36.8%	+23.8	6
1942-02-08	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1607	1478	36.8%	9.6%	53.6%	-23.8	6
1942-02-08	Barreirense	L 0-1	1758	1490	85.0%	9.5%	5.5%	-32.8	6
1942-02-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1490	1758	5.5%	9.5%	85.0%	+32.8	8
1942-02-08	Carcavelinhos	W 5-1	1496	1261	83.9%	9.5%	6.6%	+8.4	2
1942-02-08	@ Olhanense	L 1-5	1261	1496	6.6%	9.5%	83.9%	-8.4	2
1942-02-08	Leca	W 6-1	1605	1586	70.6%	9.6%	19.8%	+29.8	4
1942-02-08	@ Porto	L 1-6	1586	1605	19.8%	9.6%	70.6%	-29.8	4
1942-02-08	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 9-1	1737	1597	79.6%	9.6%	10.9%	+25.9	6
1942-02-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-9	1597	1737	10.9%	9.6%	79.6%	-25.9	2
1942-02-08	Academico do Porto	W 10-1	1392	1380	70.0%	9.6%	20.4%	+53.1	2
1942-02-08	@ Unidos de Lisboa	L 1-10	1380	1392	20.4%	9.6%	70.0%	-53.1	0
1942-02-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1327	1571	37.5%	9.6%	52.9%	+38.3	2
1942-02-15	@ Academico do Porto	L 0-2	1571	1327	52.9%	9.6%	37.5%	-38.3	2
1942-02-15	Porto	D 3-3	1253	1635	21.3%	9.6%	69.2%	+2.8	3
1942-02-15	@ Carcavelinhos	D 3-3	1635	1253	69.2%	9.6%	21.3%	-2.8	5
1942-02-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1522	1763	38.0%	9.6%	52.3%	-53.8	8
1942-02-15	@ Barreirense	W 4-0	1763	1522	52.3%	9.6%	38.0%	+53.8	8
1942-02-15	Olhanense	W 8-1	1584	1505	75.6%	9.6%	14.8%	+30.8	8
1942-02-15	@ Benfica	L 1-8	1505	1584	14.8%	9.6%	75.6%	-30.8	2
1942-02-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1557	1725	48.2%	9.6%	42.2%	-0.5	5
1942-02-15	@ Leca	D 1-1	1725	1557	42.2%	9.6%	48.2%	+0.5	7
1942-02-15	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1445	1502	62.7%	9.6%	27.6%	-21.5	2
1942-02-15	@ Unidos de Lisboa	W 3-2	1502	1445	27.6%	9.6%	62.7%	+21.4	8
1942-02-22	Academico do Porto	W 6-3	1523	1365	80.5%	9.6%	9.9%	+7.8	10
1942-02-22	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 3-6	1365	1523	9.9%	9.6%	80.5%	-7.8	2
1942-02-22	Carcavelinhos	W 5-2	1726	1255	88.9%	9.3%	1.8%	+1.5	9
1942-02-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-5	1255	1726	1.8%	9.3%	88.9%	-1.5	3
1942-02-22	Unidos de Lisboa	L 1-2	1474	1423	73.4%	9.6%	17.0%	-26.5	2
1942-02-22	@ Olhanense	W 2-1	1423	1474	17.0%	9.6%	73.4%	+26.5	4
1942-02-22	Benfica	W 4-1	1632	1614	70.5%	9.6%	19.9%	+18.9	7
1942-02-22	@ Porto	L 1-4	1614	1632	19.9%	9.6%	70.5%	-18.9	8
1942-02-22	Leca	W 14-0	1817	1556	84.8%	9.5%	5.7%	+28.9	10
1942-02-22	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-14	1556	1817	5.7%	9.5%	84.8%	-28.9	5
1942-02-22	Barreirense	D 4-4	1533	1469	74.5%	9.6%	15.9%	-3.1	3
1942-02-22	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 4-4	1469	1533	15.9%	9.6%	74.5%	+3.1	9
1942-03-01	Olhanense	W 7-1	1531	1447	75.9%	9.6%	14.5%	+26.1	12
1942-03-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-7	1447	1531	14.5%	9.6%	75.9%	-26.1	2
1942-03-01	Barreirense	W 6-0	1357	1472	55.6%	9.6%	34.8%	+72.5	4
1942-03-01	@ Academico do Porto	L 0-6	1472	1357	34.8%	9.6%	55.6%	-72.5	9
1942-03-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1254	1846	7.4%	9.4%	83.1%	-8.7	3
1942-03-01	@ Carcavelinhos	W 3-0	1846	1254	83.1%	9.4%	7.4%	+8.7	12
1942-03-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1595	1727	53.3%	9.6%	37.1%	+13.8	10
1942-03-01	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1727	1595	37.1%	9.6%	53.3%	-13.9	9
1942-03-01	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1527	1530	68.6%	9.6%	21.8%	+14.6	7
1942-03-01	@ Leca	L 1-3	1530	1527	21.8%	9.6%	68.6%	-14.6	3
1942-03-01	Porto	W 4-2	1450	1651	43.5%	9.6%	46.8%	+26.5	6
1942-03-01	@ Unidos de Lisboa	L 2-4	1651	1450	46.8%	9.6%	43.5%	-26.5	7
1942-03-08	Leca	W 2-0	1399	1542	51.8%	9.6%	38.5%	+28.7	11
1942-03-08	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1542	1399	38.5%	9.6%	51.8%	-28.7	7
1942-03-08	Unidos de Lisboa	D 1-1	1714	1476	84.0%	9.5%	6.5%	-7.6	10
1942-03-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1476	1714	6.5%	9.5%	84.0%	+7.6	7
1942-03-08	Academico do Porto	W 5-2	1421	1430	68.0%	9.6%	22.4%	+18.3	4
1942-03-08	@ Olhanense	L 2-5	1430	1421	22.4%	9.6%	68.0%	-18.3	4
1942-03-08	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1624	1557	74.7%	9.6%	15.7%	+5.8	9
1942-03-08	@ Porto	L 2-3	1557	1624	15.7%	9.6%	74.7%	-5.8	12
1942-03-08	Benfica	L 1-4	1854	1609	84.3%	9.5%	6.2%	-75.0	12
1942-03-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1609	1854	6.2%	9.5%	84.3%	+75.0	12
1942-03-08	Carcavelinhos	W 3-0	1515	1245	85.1%	9.5%	5.5%	+6.4	5
1942-03-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1245	1515	5.5%	9.5%	85.1%	-6.4	3
1942-03-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 5-2	1551	1706	50.1%	9.6%	40.2%	+31.6	14
1942-03-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-5	1706	1551	40.2%	9.6%	50.1%	-31.7	10
1942-03-15	Leca	W 4-0	1411	1513	57.3%	9.6%	33.1%	+47.3	6
1942-03-15	@ Academico do Porto	L 0-4	1513	1411	33.1%	9.6%	57.3%	-47.3	7
1942-03-15	Barreirense	D 2-2	1239	1428	45.2%	9.6%	45.1%	-0.0	4
1942-03-15	@ Carcavelinhos	D 2-2	1428	1239	45.1%	9.6%	45.2%	+0.0	12
1942-03-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-2	1684	1521	80.8%	9.6%	9.7%	+6.0	14
1942-03-15	@ Benfica	L 2-4	1521	1684	9.7%	9.6%	80.8%	-6.0	5
1942-03-15	Porto	L 0-2	1440	1630	45.1%	9.6%	45.3%	-33.1	4
1942-03-15	@ Olhanense	W 2-0	1630	1440	45.3%	9.6%	45.1%	+33.1	11
1942-03-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1484	1779	30.9%	9.6%	59.5%	-20.2	7
1942-03-15	@ Unidos de Lisboa	W 3-1	1779	1484	59.5%	9.6%	30.9%	+20.2	14
1942-03-22	Porto	L 2-4	1459	1663	43.1%	9.6%	47.3%	-24.6	6
1942-03-22	@ Academico do Porto	W 4-2	1663	1459	47.3%	9.6%	43.1%	+24.6	13
1942-03-22	Benfica	L 0-1	1428	1690	35.1%	9.6%	55.3%	-14.0	12
1942-03-22	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1690	1428	55.3%	9.6%	35.1%	+14.0	16
1942-03-22	Olhanense	W 6-2	1674	1406	85.0%	9.5%	5.5%	+6.0	12
1942-03-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-6	1406	1674	5.5%	9.5%	85.0%	-6.0	4
1942-03-22	Carcavelinhos	L 0-3	1466	1239	83.6%	9.5%	6.9%	-88.3	7
1942-03-22	@ Leca	W 3-0	1239	1466	6.9%	9.5%	83.6%	+88.3	6
1942-03-22	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1799	1583	83.2%	9.5%	7.3%	+5.1	16
1942-03-22	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1583	1799	7.3%	9.5%	83.2%	-5.0	14
1942-03-22	Unidos de Lisboa	L 0-3	1515	1464	73.5%	9.6%	16.9%	-77.1	5
1942-03-22	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1464	1515	16.9%	9.6%	73.5%	+77.1	9
1942-03-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-3	1578	1438	79.5%	9.6%	10.9%	+4.0	16
1942-03-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 3-4	1438	1578	10.9%	9.6%	79.5%	-4.0	5
1942-03-29	Academico do Porto	W 6-0	1327	1434	56.6%	9.6%	33.8%	+70.6	8
1942-03-29	@ Carcavelinhos	L 0-6	1434	1327	33.8%	9.6%	56.6%	-70.6	6
1942-03-29	Leca	W 5-0	1704	1377	86.6%	9.4%	4.0%	+7.5	18
1942-03-29	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1377	1704	4.0%	9.4%	86.6%	-7.5	7
1942-03-29	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1401	1804	19.2%	9.6%	71.2%	-29.0	4
1942-03-29	@ Olhanense	W 6-1	1804	1401	71.2%	9.6%	19.2%	+28.9	18
1942-03-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1688	1680	69.6%	9.6%	20.8%	-23.8	13
1942-03-29	@ Porto	W 3-2	1680	1688	20.8%	9.6%	69.6%	+23.8	14
1942-03-29	Barreirense	L 2-3	1541	1414	78.8%	9.6%	11.6%	-27.1	9
1942-03-29	@ Unidos de Lisboa	W 3-2	1414	1541	11.6%	9.6%	78.8%	+27.1	14
1942-04-05	Barreirense	W 10-1	1582	1441	79.6%	9.6%	10.8%	+28.9	18
1942-04-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-10	1441	1582	10.8%	9.6%	79.6%	-28.9	14
1942-04-05	Academico do Porto	W 4-2	1704	1364	86.9%	9.4%	3.7%	+2.3	16
1942-04-05	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-4	1364	1704	3.7%	9.4%	86.9%	-2.3	6
1942-04-05	Carcavelinhos	W 4-0	1712	1398	86.3%	9.4%	4.3%	+6.6	20
1942-04-05	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1398	1712	4.3%	9.4%	86.3%	-6.6	8
1942-04-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 6-2	1372	1434	62.1%	9.6%	28.3%	+28.9	6
1942-04-05	@ Olhanense	L 2-6	1434	1372	28.3%	9.6%	62.1%	-28.9	5
1942-04-05	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1664	1833	48.0%	9.6%	42.3%	+45.4	15
1942-04-05	@ Porto	L 0-3	1833	1664	42.3%	9.6%	48.0%	-45.4	18
1942-04-05	Leca	W 2-1	1514	1370	79.8%	9.6%	10.7%	+4.2	11
1942-04-05	@ Unidos de Lisboa	L 1-2	1370	1514	10.7%	9.6%	79.8%	-4.2	7
1942-04-12	Benfica	L 2-4	1361	1718	23.8%	9.6%	66.7%	-14.2	6
1942-04-12	@ Academico do Porto	W 4-2	1718	1361	66.7%	9.6%	23.8%	+14.2	22
1942-04-12	Unidos de Lisboa	L 0-4	1391	1518	54.0%	9.6%	36.4%	-74.2	8
1942-04-12	@ Carcavelinhos	W 4-0	1518	1391	36.4%	9.6%	54.0%	+74.1	13
1942-04-12	Olhanense	W 3-1	1412	1400	70.0%	9.6%	20.4%	+13.7	16
1942-04-12	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1400	1412	20.4%	9.6%	70.0%	-13.7	6
1942-04-12	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1366	1611	37.4%	9.6%	53.0%	-14.0	7
1942-04-12	@ Leca	W 2-1	1611	1366	53.0%	9.6%	37.4%	+13.9	20
1942-04-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1788	1706	75.8%	9.6%	14.6%	-67.1	18
1942-04-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1706	1788	14.6%	9.6%	75.8%	+67.1	18
1942-04-12	Porto	L 1-4	1405	1709	29.8%	9.6%	60.6%	-27.7	5
1942-04-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1709	1405	60.6%	9.6%	29.8%	+27.7	17
1942-04-19	Carcavelinhos	W 9-1	1625	1317	86.1%	9.4%	4.4%	+10.8	22
1942-04-19	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-9	1317	1625	4.4%	9.4%	86.1%	-10.8	8
1942-04-19	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1773	1378	87.9%	9.4%	2.7%	-34.0	18
1942-04-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1378	1773	2.7%	9.4%	87.9%	+34.0	7
1942-04-19	Leca	W 5-2	1387	1352	72.1%	9.6%	18.3%	+15.1	8
1942-04-19	@ Olhanense	L 2-5	1352	1387	18.3%	9.6%	72.1%	-15.1	7
1942-04-19	Barreirense	W 6-2	1737	1426	86.2%	9.4%	4.4%	+4.7	19
1942-04-19	@ Porto	L 2-6	1426	1737	4.4%	9.4%	86.2%	-4.7	16
1942-04-19	Academico do Porto	W 11-2	1721	1347	87.5%	9.4%	3.1%	+6.8	20
1942-04-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-11	1347	1721	3.1%	9.4%	87.5%	-6.8	6
1942-04-19	Benfica	L 2-4	1592	1733	52.1%	9.6%	38.3%	-29.3	13
1942-04-19	@ Unidos de Lisboa	W 4-2	1733	1592	38.3%	9.6%	52.1%	+29.3	24
1942-04-26	Unidos de Lisboa	W 3-2	1340	1563	40.5%	9.6%	49.9%	+17.2	8
1942-04-26	@ Academico do Porto	L 2-3	1563	1340	49.9%	9.6%	40.5%	-17.2	13
1942-04-26	Olhanense	L 2-3	1306	1402	58.0%	9.6%	32.3%	-19.9	8
1942-04-26	@ Carcavelinhos	W 3-2	1402	1306	32.3%	9.6%	58.0%	+19.9	10
1942-04-26	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1421	1739	28.1%	9.6%	62.3%	+3.2	17
1942-04-26	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1739	1421	62.3%	9.6%	28.1%	-3.2	19
1942-04-26	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1762	1635	78.8%	9.6%	11.7%	+11.3	26
1942-04-26	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1635	1762	11.7%	9.6%	78.8%	-11.3	22
1942-04-26	Porto	L 2-5	1337	1742	19.1%	9.6%	71.3%	-15.8	7
1942-04-26	@ Leca	W 5-2	1742	1337	71.3%	9.6%	19.1%	+15.8	21
1942-04-26	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1412	1728	28.3%	9.6%	62.1%	-10.8	7
1942-04-26	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1728	1412	62.1%	9.6%	28.3%	+10.8	22
1942-05-03	Unidos de Lisboa	W 4-1	1624	1546	75.6%	9.6%	14.8%	+14.3	24
1942-05-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1546	1624	14.8%	9.6%	75.6%	-14.3	13
1942-05-03	Leca	W 9-0	1736	1321	88.2%	9.3%	2.4%	+8.1	21
1942-05-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-9	1321	1736	2.4%	9.3%	88.2%	-8.1	7
1942-05-03	Benfica	L 2-3	1422	1773	24.4%	9.6%	66.0%	-8.9	10
1942-05-03	@ Olhanense	W 3-2	1773	1422	66.0%	9.6%	24.4%	+8.9	28
1942-05-03	Carcavelinhos	W 12-1	1757	1286	88.9%	9.3%	1.8%	+5.9	23
1942-05-03	@ Porto	L 1-12	1286	1757	1.8%	9.3%	88.9%	-5.9	8
1942-05-03	Barreirense	W 7-1	1738	1424	86.3%	9.4%	4.3%	+7.9	24
1942-05-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-7	1424	1738	4.3%	9.4%	86.3%	-7.9	17
1942-05-03	Academico do Porto	W 4-3	1401	1357	72.8%	9.6%	17.6%	+6.4	9
1942-05-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 3-4	1357	1401	17.6%	9.6%	72.8%	-6.4	8
1942-05-10	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1351	1638	31.9%	9.6%	58.5%	+20.0	10
1942-05-10	@ Academico do Porto	L 2-3	1638	1351	58.5%	9.6%	31.9%	-20.0	24
1942-05-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1281	1744	14.4%	9.5%	76.1%	+4.5	9
1942-05-10	@ Carcavelinhos	D 2-2	1744	1281	76.1%	9.5%	14.4%	-4.5	22
1942-05-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 11-1	1416	1407	69.8%	9.6%	20.6%	+59.4	19
1942-05-10	@ Barreirense	L 1-11	1407	1416	20.6%	9.6%	69.8%	-59.4	9
1942-05-10	Porto	W 5-1	1782	1763	70.6%	9.6%	19.7%	+24.3	30
1942-05-10	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1763	1782	19.7%	9.6%	70.6%	-24.3	23
1942-05-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1313	1746	16.7%	9.5%	73.8%	-19.0	7
1942-05-10	@ Leca	W 3-0	1746	1313	73.8%	9.5%	16.7%	+19.0	26
1942-05-10	Olhanense	D 3-3	1531	1413	78.3%	9.6%	12.1%	-4.0	14
1942-05-10	@ Unidos de Lisboa	D 3-3	1413	1531	12.1%	9.6%	78.3%	+4.0	11
1942-05-17	Academico do Porto	W 8-1	1476	1371	77.4%	9.6%	13.0%	+27.2	21
1942-05-17	@ Barreirense	L 1-8	1371	1476	13.0%	9.6%	77.4%	-27.2	10
1942-05-17	Benfica	W 4-0	1740	1806	61.6%	9.6%	28.7%	+41.5	24
1942-05-17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1806	1740	28.7%	9.6%	61.6%	-41.5	30
1942-05-17	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1417	1618	43.5%	9.6%	46.9%	+16.3	13
1942-05-17	@ Olhanense	L 2-3	1618	1417	46.9%	9.6%	43.5%	-16.3	24
1942-05-17	Unidos de Lisboa	D 1-1	1739	1527	83.0%	9.5%	7.5%	-7.4	24
1942-05-17	@ Porto	D 1-1	1527	1739	7.5%	9.5%	83.0%	+7.4	15
1942-05-17	Carcavelinhos	W 4-1	1765	1285	89.0%	9.3%	1.7%	+1.7	28
1942-05-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1285	1765	1.7%	9.3%	89.0%	-1.7	9
1942-05-17	Leca	W 4-2	1348	1294	73.7%	9.6%	16.7%	+10.1	11
1942-05-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-4	1294	1348	16.7%	9.6%	73.7%	-10.1	7
1942-05-24	Porto	W 1-0	1602	1732	53.6%	9.6%	36.8%	+14.6	26
1942-05-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1732	1602	36.8%	9.6%	53.6%	-14.6	24
1942-05-24	Olhanense	W 9-0	1344	1433	58.8%	9.6%	31.5%	+97.4	12
1942-05-24	@ Academico do Porto	L 0-9	1433	1344	31.5%	9.6%	58.8%	-97.4	13
1942-05-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1283	1358	60.6%	9.6%	29.7%	+11.3	11
1942-05-24	@ Carcavelinhos	L 1-2	1358	1283	29.7%	9.6%	60.6%	-11.3	11
1942-05-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1765	1767	68.6%	9.6%	21.7%	+7.8	32
1942-05-24	@ Benfica	L 3-4	1767	1765	21.7%	9.6%	68.6%	-7.8	28
1942-05-24	Barreirense	W 2-1	1284	1503	40.9%	9.6%	49.4%	+18.0	9
1942-05-24	@ Leca	L 1-2	1503	1284	49.4%	9.6%	40.9%	-18.0	21
1942-05-24	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1535	1781	37.2%	9.6%	53.2%	+1.1	16
1942-05-24	@ Unidos de Lisboa	D 2-2	1781	1535	53.2%	9.6%	37.2%	-1.1	25
1942-05-31	Carcavelinhos	W 2-0	1485	1295	82.1%	9.5%	8.4%	+6.7	23
1942-05-31	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1295	1485	8.4%	9.5%	82.1%	-6.7	11
1942-05-31	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1780	1617	80.8%	9.6%	9.6%	+14.6	27
1942-05-31	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1617	1780	9.6%	9.6%	80.8%	-14.6	26
1942-05-31	Academico do Porto	W 2-0	1302	1441	52.2%	9.6%	38.2%	+28.4	11
1942-05-31	@ Leca	L 0-2	1441	1302	38.2%	9.6%	52.2%	-28.4	12
1942-05-31	Olhanense	W 9-1	1717	1336	87.7%	9.4%	2.9%	+7.2	26
1942-05-31	@ Porto	L 1-9	1336	1717	2.9%	9.4%	87.7%	-7.2	13
1942-05-31	Unidos de Lisboa	W 4-2	1759	1536	83.5%	9.5%	7.0%	+4.4	30
1942-05-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1536	1759	7.0%	9.5%	83.5%	-4.4	16
1942-05-31	Benfica	L 1-2	1347	1773	17.3%	9.6%	73.1%	-6.8	11
1942-05-31	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1773	1347	73.1%	9.6%	17.3%	+6.8	34
1942-06-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1602	1764	49.2%	9.6%	41.2%	-17.9	26
1942-06-07	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1764	1602	41.2%	9.6%	49.2%	+17.9	32
1942-06-07	Leca	W 3-1	1288	1330	64.4%	9.6%	25.9%	+17.2	13
1942-06-07	@ Carcavelinhos	L 1-3	1330	1288	25.9%	9.6%	64.4%	-17.2	11
1942-06-07	Barreirense	W 3-2	1779	1492	85.6%	9.5%	5.0%	+1.9	36
1942-06-07	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1492	1779	5.0%	9.5%	85.6%	-1.9	23
1942-06-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1329	1795	14.2%	9.5%	76.3%	+6.0	14
1942-06-07	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1795	1329	76.3%	9.5%	14.2%	-6.0	28
1942-06-07	Academico do Porto	W 3-1	1724	1413	86.2%	9.4%	4.3%	+3.0	28
1942-06-07	@ Porto	L 1-3	1413	1724	4.3%	9.4%	86.2%	-3.0	12
1942-06-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-1	1531	1340	82.2%	9.5%	8.3%	+10.5	18
1942-06-07	@ Unidos de Lisboa	L 1-5	1340	1531	8.3%	9.5%	82.2%	-10.5	11
1942-06-14	Carcavelinhos	D 1-1	1410	1305	77.4%	9.6%	13.0%	-6.3	13
1942-06-14	@ Academico do Porto	D 1-1	1305	1410	13.0%	9.6%	77.4%	+6.3	14
1942-06-14	Unidos de Lisboa	W 3-1	1490	1542	63.3%	9.6%	27.1%	+17.9	25
1942-06-14	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1542	1490	27.1%	9.6%	63.3%	-17.9	18
1942-06-14	Porto	W 7-3	1789	1727	74.3%	9.6%	16.1%	+15.5	30
1942-06-14	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-7	1727	1789	16.1%	9.6%	74.3%	-15.5	28
1942-06-14	Benfica	L 2-5	1313	1781	14.1%	9.5%	76.4%	-11.8	11
1942-06-14	@ Leca	W 5-2	1781	1313	76.4%	9.5%	14.1%	+11.8	38
1942-06-14	Olhanense	W 4-1	1782	1335	88.7%	9.3%	2.1%	+2.0	34
1942-06-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1335	1782	2.1%	9.3%	88.7%	-2.0	14
1942-06-14	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-3	1329	1584	36.1%	9.6%	54.3%	+18.2	13
1942-06-14	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 3-4	1584	1329	54.3%	9.6%	36.1%	-18.2	26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1942-04-19	2.72%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1378	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1773	0
2	1942-02-08	5.50%	Barreirense	1490	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1758	0
3	1942-03-08	6.25%	Benfica	1609	4	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1854	1
4	1942-03-22	6.89%	Carcavelinhos	1239	3	@ Leca	1466	0
5	1942-01-25	9.27%	Barreirense	1404	2	@ Olhanense	1574	0
6	1942-01-25	9.77%	Carcavelinhos	1265	3	@ Unidos de Lisboa	1426	2
7	1942-03-29	11.64%	Barreirense	1414	3	@ Unidos de Lisboa	1541	2
8	1942-04-12	14.59%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1706	4	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1788	1
9	1942-03-22	16.89%	Unidos de Lisboa	1464	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1515	0
10	1942-02-22	16.98%	Unidos de Lisboa	1423	2	@ Olhanense	1474	1
11	1942-03-29	20.80%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1680	3	@ Porto	1688	2
12	1942-02-15	27.62%	Academica de Coimbra	1502	3	@ Unidos de Lisboa	1445	2
13	1942-05-10	31.85%	@ Academico do Porto	1351	3	Academica de Coimbra	1638	2
14	1942-04-26	32.32%	Olhanense	1402	3	@ Carcavelinhos	1306	2
15	1942-02-01	32.42%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1726	4	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1629	2
16	1942-06-14	36.08%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1329	4	Academica de Coimbra	1584	3
17	1942-04-12	36.39%	Unidos de Lisboa	1518	4	@ Carcavelinhos	1391	0
18	1942-02-15	37.48%	@ Academico do Porto	1327	2	Vitoria Guimaraes	1571	0
19	1942-04-19	38.26%	Benfica	1733	4	@ Unidos de Lisboa	1592	2
20	1942-02-01	40.06%	Academica de Coimbra	1446	3	@ Carcavelinhos	1293	1
21	1942-04-26	40.49%	@ Academico do Porto	1340	3	Unidos de Lisboa	1563	2
22	1942-05-24	40.92%	@ Leca	1284	2	Barreirense	1503	1
23	1942-06-07	41.19%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1764	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1602	1
24	1942-01-25	41.29%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1398	6	Leca	1615	2
25	1942-05-17	43.48%	@ Olhanense	1417	3	Academica de Coimbra	1618	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1942-05-24	97.44	@ Academico do Porto	9	1344	58.84%	Olhanense	0	1433	31.52%	9.64%
2	1942-03-22	88.27	Carcavelinhos	3	1239	6.89%	@ Leca	0	1466	83.60%	9.51%
3	1942-03-22	77.08	Unidos de Lisboa	3	1464	16.89%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1515	73.50%	9.61%
4	1942-03-08	75.05	Benfica	4	1609	6.25%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1854	84.26%	9.50%
5	1942-04-12	74.15	Unidos de Lisboa	4	1518	36.39%	@ Carcavelinhos	0	1391	53.97%	9.64%
6	1942-03-01	72.52	@ Academico do Porto	6	1357	55.58%	Barreirense	0	1472	34.77%	9.64%
7	1942-03-29	70.59	@ Carcavelinhos	6	1327	56.58%	Academico do Porto	0	1434	33.77%	9.64%
8	1942-04-12	67.12	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1706	14.59%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1788	75.81%	9.60%
9	1942-05-10	59.38	@ Barreirense	11	1416	69.75%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1407	20.63%	9.62%
10	1942-01-25	58.90	Barreirense	2	1404	9.27%	@ Olhanense	0	1574	81.18%	9.55%
11	1942-02-15	53.76	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1763	52.34%	@ Barreirense	0	1522	38.03%	9.63%
12	1942-02-08	53.09	@ Unidos de Lisboa	10	1392	70.00%	Academico do Porto	1	1380	20.38%	9.62%
13	1942-01-25	47.97	@ Academica de Coimbra	6	1398	41.29%	Leca	2	1615	49.08%	9.63%
14	1942-03-15	47.32	@ Academico do Porto	4	1411	57.27%	Leca	0	1513	33.09%	9.64%
15	1942-04-05	45.38	@ Porto	3	1664	48.04%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1833	42.32%	9.64%
16	1942-05-17	41.51	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1740	61.63%	Benfica	0	1806	28.73%	9.64%
17	1942-02-15	38.34	@ Academico do Porto	2	1327	37.48%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1571	52.89%	9.63%
18	1942-01-18	35.28	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	5	1682	71.01%	Porto	0	1659	19.37%	9.62%
19	1942-02-01	34.95	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1702	58.54%	@ Academico do Porto	0	1415	31.84%	9.62%
20	1942-04-19	33.99	Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1378	2.72%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1773	87.92%	9.36%
21	1942-03-15	33.06	Porto	2	1630	45.31%	@ Olhanense	0	1440	45.05%	9.64%
22	1942-02-08	32.81	Barreirense	1	1490	5.50%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1758	85.02%	9.48%
23	1942-02-01	32.40	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1726	32.42%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1629	57.94%	9.64%
24	1942-01-18	32.19	Benfica	4	1560	55.34%	@ Carcavelinhos	1	1297	35.04%	9.62%
25	1942-02-01	31.68	Academica de Coimbra	3	1446	40.06%	@ Carcavelinhos	1	1293	50.30%	9.64%