1935 Campeonato da Liga Season

56 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Porto

22 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Porto

7.48 points above expected

22 points · 14.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Academica de Coimbra

10.33 points below expected

3 points · 13.33 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Porto	14	10	2	2	22	43	19	+24	14.5	+7.48
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	14	8	4	2	20	39	20	+19	14.5	+5.47
3	Benfica	14	8	3	3	19	41	23	+18	14.6	+4.40
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	14	8	2	4	18	45	20	+25	14.0	+4.03
5	Vitoria Setubal	14	7	2	5	16	26	24	+2	14.1	+1.87
6	Uniao Lisboa	14	3	2	9	8	30	49	-19	13.5	-5.47
7	Academico do Porto	14	2	2	10	6	20	54	-34	13.4	-7.45
8	Academica de Coimbra	14	1	1	12	3	14	49	-35	13.3	-10.33

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Os Belenenses (1st)	1709	18	13.97	+4.03	94.0%	7	8	11	14	17	19	22
Porto	1707	22	14.52	+7.48	100.0%	6	9	12	14	17	19	22
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1706	20	14.53	+5.47	98.0%	6	9	12	15	16	20	22
Benfica	1701	19	14.60	+4.40	91.0%	7	9	12	14	17	20	22
Vitoria Setubal	1688	16	14.13	+1.87	81.0%	6	9	12	14	16	19	21
Uniao Lisboa	1667	8	13.47	-5.47	3.0%	6	9	12	13	15	19	22
Academico do Porto	1654	6	13.45	-7.45	0.0%	7	9	12	13	15	18	20
Academica de Coimbra	1646	3	13.33	-10.33	0.0%	6	8	11	13	16	18	18

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ADP	BEN	OB(	POR	SCDP	UL	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.63	0-0-2 2.64	0-0-2 2.65	0-0-2 2.73	0-0-2 2.74	0-0-2 2.63
Academico do Porto	1-0-1 2.98	—	0-0-2 2.69	1-0-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.70	0-0-2 2.72	0-1-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.82
Benfica	1-1-0 3.06	2-0-0 2.99	—	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.90	2-0-0 2.85
Os Belenenses (1st)	2-0-0 3.06	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.94	—	0-1-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.82	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.96
Porto	2-0-0 3.03	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.81	—	1-1-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 2.92
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 2.97	2-0-0 2.96	1-1-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.88	0-1-1 2.84	—	2-0-0 3.03	1-1-0 2.92
Uniao Lisboa	2-0-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.80	0-0-2 2.70	0-0-2 2.72	0-0-2 2.66	—	0-0-2 2.82
Vitoria Setubal	2-0-0 3.06	1-1-0 2.87	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.77	2-0-0 2.87	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.79%	4.46%	0.89%	3.57%	0.89%	4.46%	16.07%
1	4.46%	7.14%	4.46%	4.46%	2.68%	1.79%	25.00%
2	0.89%	4.46%	5.36%	4.46%	1.79%	3.57%	20.54%
3	3.57%	4.46%	4.46%	1.79%	—	2.68%	16.96%
4	0.89%	2.68%	1.79%	—	—	1.79%	7.14%
5+	4.46%	1.79%	3.57%	2.68%	1.79%	—	14.29%
Total	16.07%	25.00%	20.54%	16.96%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.30
Mean allowed	2.30
StdDev scored	1.90
StdDev allowed	1.90
Mean total goals/game	4.61
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.112
Sample size (games)	56

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	35.71%
1	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	28.57%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	35.71%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	21.43%	7.14%	21.43%	21.43%	28.57%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	3.50
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.87
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.188
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%	35.71%
1	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
2	—	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	21.43%
3	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	28.57%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	—	21.43%	28.57%	7.14%	35.71%	100%

Academico do Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	3.86
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	2.21
Mean total goals/game	5.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.058
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
2	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	21.43%
3	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
5+	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
Total	7.14%	35.71%	42.86%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.93
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	1.86
StdDev allowed	0.84
Mean total goals/game	4.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.032
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
1	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
2	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
3	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
Total	28.57%	35.71%	14.29%	14.29%	—	7.14%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.21
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	2.29
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	4.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.030
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
1	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
2	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
3	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
5+	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
Total	28.57%	28.57%	28.57%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.07
Mean allowed	1.36
StdDev scored	2.46
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	4.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.145
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	7.14%	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
2	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
3	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
Total	28.57%	35.71%	14.29%	7.14%	14.29%	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.79
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.81
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	4.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.113
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
1	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	28.57%
2	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
3	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	21.43%
4	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%	14.29%
5+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	7.14%	7.14%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	35.71%	100%

Uniao Lisboa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.14
Mean allowed	3.50
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	2.21
Mean total goals/game	5.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.245
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
1	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
2	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	21.43%
3	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	35.71%	7.14%	28.57%	—	7.14%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.86
Mean allowed	1.71
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.49
Mean total goals/game	3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.255
Games played	14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Porto	22	14.5	+7.48
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	20	14.5	+5.47
3	Benfica	19	14.6	+4.40
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	18	14.0	+4.03
5	Vitoria Setubal	16	14.1	+1.87

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Academica de Coimbra	3	13.3	-10.33
2	Academico do Porto	6	13.4	-7.45
3	Uniao Lisboa	8	13.5	-5.47
4	Vitoria Setubal	16	14.1	+1.87
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	18	14.0	+4.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	4	Feb 17 – Mar 17	1 in 93
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	Mar 24 – Apr 14	1 in 85
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Jan 27 – Feb 10	1 in 27
4	Benfica	4	Mar 3 – Mar 24	1 in 18
5	Vitoria Setubal	2	Feb 3 – Feb 10	1 in 7

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Academico do Porto	9	Feb 24 – May 12	1 in 2,355
2	Uniao Lisboa	5	Mar 17 – Apr 14	1 in 54
3	Academica de Coimbra	5	Feb 24 – Mar 24	1 in 50
4	Vitoria Setubal	2	Mar 3 – Mar 10	1 in 7
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Apr 10 – May 12	1 in 5

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	Mar 10 – May 12	1 in 71
2	Vitoria Setubal	5	Jan 27 – Feb 24	1 in 15
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	6	Feb 24 – Apr 7	1 in 8
4	Porto	5	Apr 7 – May 12	1 in 7
5	Benfica	4	Mar 3 – Mar 24	1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Academica de Coimbra	10	Jan 20 – Mar 24	1 in 261
2	Academico do Porto	9	Feb 24 – May 12	1 in 119
3	Uniao Lisboa	6	Jan 20 – Feb 24	1 in 35
4	Benfica	5	Jan 27 – Feb 24	1 in 8
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	Feb 10 – Feb 17	1 in 3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Porto	19.00%	15.00%	13.00%	10.00%	10.00%	15.00%	10.00%	8.00%
Sporting Clube de Portugal	20.00%	16.00%	10.00%	13.00%	17.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%
Benfica	16.00%	15.00%	15.00%	9.00%	11.00%	13.00%	14.00%	7.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	15.00%	15.00%	9.00%	17.00%	8.00%	12.00%	11.00%	13.00%
Vitoria Setubal	9.00%	15.00%	12.00%	21.00%	7.00%	15.00%	8.00%	13.00%
Uniao Lisboa	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	20.00%	15.00%	19.00%	11.00%
Academico do Porto	3.00%	10.00%	12.00%	15.00%	12.00%	16.00%	19.00%	13.00%
Academica de Coimbra	6.00%	8.00%	23.00%	4.00%	15.00%	7.00%	12.00%	25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
Academica de Coimbra	100%
Academico do Porto	100%
Benfica	100%
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%
Porto	100%
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%
Uniao Lisboa	100%
Vitoria Setubal	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1935-01-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1685	1685	60.6%	15.4%	24.0%	-10.7	0
1935-01-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 6-0	1685	1685	24.0%	15.4%	60.6%	+10.6	3
1935-01-20	Uniao Lisboa	D 3-3	1685	1685	60.6%	15.4%	24.0%	-0.2	1
1935-01-20	@ Academico do Porto	D 3-3	1685	1685	24.0%	15.4%	60.6%	+0.2	1
1935-01-20	Porto	D 1-1	1685	1685	60.6%	15.4%	24.0%	-0.3	1
1935-01-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1685	1685	24.0%	15.4%	60.6%	+0.3	1
1935-01-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1685	1685	60.6%	15.4%	24.0%	+1.5	3
1935-01-20	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1685	1685	24.0%	15.4%	60.6%	-1.5	0
1935-01-27	Benfica	D 2-2	1685	1686	60.5%	15.4%	24.1%	-0.2	2
1935-01-27	@ Uniao Lisboa	D 2-2	1686	1685	24.1%	15.4%	60.5%	+0.2	4
1935-01-27	Academica de Coimbra	W 7-1	1685	1674	61.9%	15.2%	22.9%	+3.7	4
1935-01-27	@ Porto	L 1-7	1674	1685	22.9%	15.2%	61.9%	-3.7	0
1935-01-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1695	1684	61.9%	15.2%	22.9%	-3.4	3
1935-01-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1684	1695	22.9%	15.2%	61.9%	+3.4	4
1935-01-27	Academico do Porto	D 0-0	1683	1685	60.5%	15.4%	24.1%	-0.3	1
1935-01-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1685	1683	24.1%	15.4%	60.5%	+0.3	2
1935-02-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-5	1670	1688	58.5%	15.7%	25.8%	-8.7	0
1935-02-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 5-0	1688	1670	25.8%	15.7%	58.5%	+8.7	7
1935-02-03	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1685	1683	60.8%	15.4%	23.8%	-3.3	2
1935-02-03	@ Uniao Lisboa	W 3-1	1683	1685	23.8%	15.4%	60.8%	+3.3	4
1935-02-03	Benfica	W 2-1	1689	1686	60.9%	15.4%	23.7%	+0.8	7
1935-02-03	@ Porto	L 1-2	1686	1689	23.7%	15.4%	60.9%	-0.8	4
1935-02-03	Academico do Porto	W 3-0	1692	1685	61.5%	15.3%	23.3%	+2.4	6
1935-02-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1685	1692	23.3%	15.3%	61.5%	-2.4	2
1935-02-10	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1682	1662	63.0%	15.0%	22.0%	+0.7	5
1935-02-10	@ Academico do Porto	L 2-3	1662	1682	22.0%	15.0%	63.0%	-0.7	0
1935-02-10	Uniao Lisboa	W 7-3	1696	1681	62.4%	15.1%	22.5%	+1.9	10
1935-02-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-7	1681	1696	22.5%	15.1%	62.4%	-1.9	2
1935-02-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1686	1694	59.6%	15.6%	24.9%	-0.3	5
1935-02-10	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1694	1686	24.9%	15.6%	59.6%	+0.3	7
1935-02-10	Porto	W 1-0	1686	1690	60.2%	15.5%	24.3%	+0.9	7
1935-02-10	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1690	1686	24.3%	15.5%	60.2%	-0.9	7
1935-02-17	Benfica	D 2-2	1661	1685	57.7%	15.8%	26.5%	-0.2	1
1935-02-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1685	1661	26.5%	15.8%	57.7%	+0.2	6
1935-02-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1683	1698	58.8%	15.7%	25.5%	+0.8	8
1935-02-17	@ Academico do Porto	L 2-3	1698	1683	25.5%	15.7%	58.8%	-0.9	10
1935-02-17	Porto	L 0-2	1679	1689	59.5%	15.6%	24.9%	-3.8	2
1935-02-17	@ Uniao Lisboa	W 2-0	1689	1679	24.9%	15.6%	59.5%	+3.8	10
1935-02-17	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1695	1687	61.5%	15.3%	23.2%	-0.3	8
1935-02-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1687	1695	23.2%	15.3%	61.5%	+0.3	8
1935-02-24	Porto	L 0-3	1684	1692	59.6%	15.6%	24.8%	-5.5	8
1935-02-24	@ Academico do Porto	W 3-0	1692	1684	24.8%	15.6%	59.6%	+5.5	13
1935-02-24	Benfica	W 2-1	1698	1685	62.0%	15.2%	22.8%	+0.8	13
1935-02-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1685	1698	22.8%	15.2%	62.0%	-0.8	6
1935-02-24	Uniao Lisboa	W 5-0	1694	1676	62.8%	15.0%	22.2%	+3.6	11
1935-02-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1676	1694	22.2%	15.0%	62.8%	-3.7	2
1935-02-24	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1687	1661	63.7%	14.9%	21.4%	+0.7	11
1935-02-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1661	1687	21.4%	14.9%	63.7%	-0.7	1
1935-03-03	Uniao Lisboa	L 1-3	1660	1672	59.2%	15.6%	25.2%	-3.2	1
1935-03-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1672	1660	25.2%	15.6%	59.2%	+3.2	5
1935-03-03	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1698	1688	61.8%	15.2%	23.0%	+2.3	16
1935-03-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1688	1698	23.0%	15.2%	61.8%	-2.4	11
1935-03-03	Academico do Porto	W 7-2	1685	1679	61.3%	15.3%	23.4%	+2.7	9
1935-03-03	@ Benfica	L 2-7	1679	1685	23.4%	15.3%	61.3%	-2.7	8
1935-03-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1698	1698	60.6%	15.4%	24.0%	+1.3	16
1935-03-03	@ Porto	L 2-4	1698	1698	24.0%	15.4%	60.6%	-1.3	11
1935-03-10	Academico do Porto	W 5-2	1675	1676	60.5%	15.4%	24.0%	+1.8	8
1935-03-10	@ Uniao Lisboa	L 2-5	1676	1675	24.0%	15.4%	60.5%	-1.8	8
1935-03-10	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1697	1657	65.2%	14.6%	20.3%	+2.3	14
1935-03-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1657	1697	20.3%	14.6%	65.2%	-2.3	1
1935-03-10	Benfica	L 2-5	1686	1687	60.4%	15.4%	24.1%	-4.1	11
1935-03-10	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 5-2	1687	1686	24.1%	15.4%	60.4%	+4.1	12
1935-03-17	Porto	L 2-4	1655	1699	55.1%	16.1%	28.8%	-2.7	1
1935-03-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 4-2	1699	1655	28.8%	16.1%	55.1%	+2.7	19
1935-03-17	Vitoria Setubal	L 3-6	1674	1682	59.7%	15.6%	24.7%	-3.7	8
1935-03-17	@ Academico do Porto	W 6-3	1682	1674	24.7%	15.6%	59.7%	+3.7	14
1935-03-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1701	1699	60.8%	15.4%	23.8%	-0.3	17
1935-03-17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1699	1701	23.8%	15.4%	60.8%	+0.3	15
1935-03-17	Uniao Lisboa	W 2-1	1691	1677	62.3%	15.1%	22.6%	+0.8	15
1935-03-17	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1677	1691	22.6%	15.1%	62.3%	-0.8	8
1935-03-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1670	1699	57.1%	15.9%	27.0%	-1.7	8
1935-03-24	@ Academico do Porto	W 3-2	1699	1670	27.0%	15.9%	57.1%	+1.7	18
1935-03-24	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1700	1652	66.1%	14.3%	19.5%	+2.6	20
1935-03-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1652	1700	19.5%	14.3%	66.1%	-2.6	1
1935-03-24	Porto	W 3-0	1692	1702	59.5%	15.6%	24.9%	+2.5	18
1935-03-24	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1702	1692	24.9%	15.6%	59.5%	-2.5	19
1935-03-24	Uniao Lisboa	W 4-1	1686	1676	61.7%	15.2%	23.1%	+2.0	17
1935-03-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1676	1686	23.1%	15.2%	61.7%	-2.0	8
1935-03-31	Academico do Porto	W 2-1	1649	1669	58.3%	15.8%	26.0%	+0.9	4
1935-03-31	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1669	1649	26.0%	15.8%	58.3%	-0.9	8
1935-03-31	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-6	1674	1703	57.1%	15.9%	27.0%	-4.9	8
1935-03-31	@ Uniao Lisboa	W 6-2	1703	1674	27.0%	15.9%	57.1%	+4.9	23
1935-03-31	Benfica	W 3-1	1701	1695	61.4%	15.3%	23.4%	+1.4	21
1935-03-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1695	1701	23.4%	15.3%	61.4%	-1.4	18
1935-04-07	Academico do Porto	W 7-0	1708	1668	65.2%	14.6%	20.2%	+4.6	26
1935-04-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-7	1668	1708	20.2%	14.6%	65.2%	-4.6	8
1935-04-07	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1693	1650	65.5%	14.5%	20.0%	+1.7	21
1935-04-07	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1650	1693	20.0%	14.5%	65.5%	-1.7	4
1935-04-07	Uniao Lisboa	W 7-4	1699	1669	64.1%	14.8%	21.1%	+1.4	22
1935-04-07	@ Porto	L 4-7	1669	1699	21.1%	14.8%	64.1%	-1.4	8
1935-04-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1687	1702	58.8%	15.7%	25.5%	-2.0	17
1935-04-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1702	1687	25.5%	15.7%	58.8%	+2.0	24
1935-04-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1701	1712	59.2%	15.6%	25.1%	+0.9	25
1935-04-10	@ Porto	L 0-1	1712	1701	25.1%	15.6%	59.2%	-0.9	26
1935-04-14	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1648	1686	56.1%	16.0%	27.9%	-1.9	4
1935-04-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1686	1648	27.9%	16.0%	56.1%	+1.9	20
1935-04-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 4-5	1668	1704	56.2%	16.0%	27.8%	-1.6	8
1935-04-14	@ Uniao Lisboa	W 5-4	1704	1668	27.8%	16.0%	56.2%	+1.6	27
1935-04-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 5-3	1695	1712	58.6%	15.7%	25.7%	+1.3	24
1935-04-14	@ Benfica	L 3-5	1712	1695	25.7%	15.7%	58.6%	-1.3	26
1935-04-14	Academico do Porto	W 7-0	1702	1663	65.0%	14.6%	20.4%	+4.6	28
1935-04-14	@ Porto	L 0-7	1663	1702	20.4%	14.6%	65.0%	-4.6	8
1935-04-21	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1706	1687	62.8%	15.0%	22.1%	+0.7	31
1935-04-21	@ Porto	L 2-3	1687	1706	22.1%	15.0%	62.8%	-0.7	20
1935-05-12	Benfica	L 1-4	1659	1696	56.0%	16.0%	28.0%	-4.4	8
1935-05-12	@ Academico do Porto	W 4-1	1696	1659	28.0%	16.0%	56.0%	+4.4	27
1935-05-12	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1666	1646	62.9%	15.0%	22.1%	+0.8	11
1935-05-12	@ Uniao Lisboa	L 0-1	1646	1666	22.1%	15.0%	62.9%	-0.8	4
1935-05-12	Porto	D 2-2	1706	1707	60.5%	15.4%	24.1%	-0.2	28
1935-05-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1707	1706	24.1%	15.4%	60.5%	+0.2	32
1935-05-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1687	1710	57.8%	15.8%	26.4%	+0.9	23
1935-05-12	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1710	1687	26.4%	15.8%	57.8%	-0.9	26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1935-01-27	22.89%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1684	3	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1695	1
2	1935-02-03	23.79%	Vitoria Setubal	1683	3	@ Uniao Lisboa	1685	1
3	1935-01-20	23.96%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1685	6	@ Academica de Coimbra	1685	0
4	1935-03-10	24.11%	Benfica	1687	5	@ Vitoria Setubal	1686	2
5	1935-03-17	24.73%	Vitoria Setubal	1682	6	@ Academico do Porto	1674	3
6	1935-02-24	24.80%	Porto	1692	3	@ Academico do Porto	1684	0
7	1935-02-17	24.89%	Porto	1689	2	@ Uniao Lisboa	1679	0
8	1935-03-03	25.18%	Uniao Lisboa	1672	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1660	1
9	1935-04-07	25.48%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1702	1	@ Vitoria Setubal	1687	0
10	1935-02-03	25.75%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1688	5	@ Academica de Coimbra	1670	0
11	1935-03-31	26.98%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1703	6	@ Uniao Lisboa	1674	2
12	1935-03-24	26.99%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1699	3	@ Academico do Porto	1670	2
13	1935-04-14	27.83%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1704	5	@ Uniao Lisboa	1668	4
14	1935-04-14	27.92%	Vitoria Setubal	1686	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1648	0
15	1935-05-12	27.99%	Benfica	1696	4	@ Academico do Porto	1659	1
16	1935-03-17	28.78%	Porto	1699	4	@ Academica de Coimbra	1655	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1935-01-20	10.65	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	1685	23.96%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1685	60.62%
2	1935-02-03	8.70	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1688	25.75%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1670	58.53%
3	1935-02-24	5.49	Porto	3	1692	24.80%	@ Academico do Porto	0	1684	59.63%
4	1935-03-31	4.88	Os Belenenses (1st)	6	1703	26.98%	@ Uniao Lisboa	2	1674	57.14%
5	1935-04-14	4.62	@ Porto	7	1702	65.01%	Academico do Porto	0	1663	20.39%
6	1935-04-07	4.58	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	7	1708	65.19%	Academico do Porto	0	1668	20.25%
7	1935-05-12	4.37	Benfica	4	1696	27.99%	@ Academico do Porto	1	1659	56.02%
8	1935-03-10	4.06	Benfica	5	1687	24.11%	@ Vitoria Setubal	2	1686	60.44%
9	1935-02-17	3.78	Porto	2	1689	24.89%	@ Uniao Lisboa	0	1679	59.52%
10	1935-03-17	3.72	Vitoria Setubal	6	1682	24.73%	@ Academico do Porto	3	1674	59.71%
11	1935-01-27	3.69	@ Porto	7	1685	61.89%	Academica de Coimbra	1	1674	22.89%
12	1935-02-24	3.65	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	5	1694	62.79%	Uniao Lisboa	0	1676	22.16%
13	1935-01-27	3.38	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1684	22.89%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1695	61.89%
14	1935-02-03	3.33	Vitoria Setubal	3	1683	23.79%	@ Uniao Lisboa	1	1685	60.82%
15	1935-03-03	3.25	Uniao Lisboa	3	1672	25.18%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1660	59.19%
16	1935-03-17	2.73	Porto	4	1699	28.78%	@ Academica de Coimbra	2	1655	55.15%
17	1935-03-03	2.66	@ Benfica	7	1685	61.33%	Academico do Porto	2	1679	23.36%
18	1935-03-24	2.61	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1700	66.11%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1652	19.54%
19	1935-03-24	2.54	@ Benfica	3	1692	59.46%	Porto	0	1702	24.95%
20	1935-02-03	2.38	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1692	61.45%	Academico do Porto	0	1685	23.26%
21	1935-03-03	2.35	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1698	61.81%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1688	22.96%
22	1935-03-10	2.26	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	5	1697	65.16%	Academica de Coimbra	1	1657	20.28%
23	1935-03-24	1.99	@ Vitoria Setubal	4	1686	61.70%	Uniao Lisboa	1	1676	23.05%
24	1935-04-07	1.98	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1702	25.48%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1687	58.84%
25	1935-02-10	1.94	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	7	1696	62.38%	Uniao Lisboa	3	1681	22.49%