2008-09 Liga Portugal 2 Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Olhanense

15.05 points above expected

58 points · 42.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Boavista

12.02 points below expected

32 points · 44.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Olhanense	30	18	4	8	58	52	32	+20	43.0	+15.05
2	Uniao Leiria	30	15	9	6	54	46	29	+17	45.2	+8.77
3	Santa Clara	30	15	7	8	52	45	32	+13	41.0	+11.05
4	Estoril	30	12	8	10	44	41	37	+4	41.9	+2.08
5	Feirense	30	11	9	10	42	37	34	+3	40.5	+1.46
6	Freamunde	30	11	8	11	41	32	35	-3	37.8	+3.24
7	Sporting Covilha	30	10	10	10	40	42	42	0	42.6	-2.65
8	Varzim	30	11	6	13	39	29	35	-6	38.7	+0.26
9	Gil Vicente	30	8	14	8	38	36	37	-1	43.9	-5.93
10	Vizela	30	7	16	7	37	28	33	-5	38.3	-1.29
11	Aves	30	9	9	12	36	30	36	-6	39.2	-3.20
12	Beira-Mar	30	8	11	11	35	32	32	0	39.0	-4.02
13	Portimonense	30	7	14	9	35	29	35	-6	37.4	-2.36
14	Oliveirense	30	7	11	12	32	25	33	-8	40.7	-8.72
15	Boavista	30	9	5	16	32	28	44	-16	44.0	-12.02
16	Gondomar	30	7	9	14	30	29	35	-6	35.7	-5.68

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Uniao Leiria	1661	54	45.23	+8.77	87.0%	27	34	40	44	50	60	66
Olhanense	1637	58	42.95	+15.05	100.0%	28	33	39	43	47	53	57
Estoril	1572	44	41.92	+2.08	61.0%	22	29	37	43	47	53	58
Santa Clara	1572	52	40.95	+11.05	95.0%	23	28	36	41	46	51	63
Sporting Covilha	1568	40	42.65	-2.65	39.0%	29	32	37	42	48	53	61
Gil Vicente	1556	38	43.93	-5.93	18.0%	26	31	40	44	48	54	64
Oliveirense	1552	32	40.72	-8.72	9.0%	24	30	36	41	45	52	57
Vizela	1546	37	38.29	-1.29	45.0%	20	26	33	39	43	50	58
Feirense	1539	42	40.54	+1.46	63.0%	24	29	36	41	45	52	56
Freamunde	1537	41	37.76	+3.24	75.0%	25	28	33	38	41	47	55
Beira-Mar	1534	35	39.02	-4.02	30.0%	21	29	35	39	44	48	57
Gondomar	1525	30	35.68	-5.68	22.0%	21	25	31	35	39	47	52
Portimonense	1522	35	37.36	-2.36	37.0%	22	24	33	38	41	47	55
Aves	1520	36	39.20	-3.20	33.0%	24	28	35	39	43	50	56
Boavista	1517	32	44.02	-12.02	6.0%	28	32	38	44	49	57	63
Varzim	1505	39	38.74	+0.26	57.0%	24	26	34	39	43	49	55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AVE	BEI	BOA	EST	FEI	FRE	GV	GON	OLH	OLI	POR	SC	SC	UL	VAR	VIZ
Aves	—	1-0-1 2.66	1-1-0 2.31	0-0-2 2.52	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.71	0-0-2 2.59	0-2-0 2.50	0-1-1 3.01	0-2-0 2.38	2-0-0 2.32	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.77
Beira-Mar	1-0-1 2.74	—	2-0-0 2.46	1-0-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.85	0-2-0 2.36	1-1-0 2.82	0-1-1 2.40	1-1-0 2.57	0-2-0 2.93	0-1-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.37	0-0-2 2.16	0-1-1 2.61	1-1-0 2.59
Boavista	0-1-1 3.12	0-0-2 3.00	—	2-0-0 2.59	0-1-1 2.98	1-0-1 3.07	0-0-2 2.67	0-1-1 3.01	0-1-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 3.33	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 2.68	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 3.25	1-1-0 3.16
Estoril	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.86	0-0-2 2.85	—	0-1-1 2.77	2-0-0 2.89	1-1-0 2.59	0-1-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.46	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.57	2-0-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.99
Feirense	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 2.42	1-1-0 2.63	—	0-1-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.49	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.44	0-0-2 2.73	1-1-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.54	1-1-0 2.54	0-1-1 2.34	0-0-2 2.82	0-2-0 2.81
Freamunde	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.33	0-0-2 2.52	1-1-0 2.31	—	1-1-0 2.31	2-0-0 2.70	0-0-2 2.25	1-0-1 2.30	0-2-0 2.78	1-0-1 2.51	0-2-0 2.20	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.45	0-2-0 2.63
Gil Vicente	0-1-1 3.06	0-2-0 3.05	2-0-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.93	0-1-1 3.11	—	0-1-1 3.44	1-0-1 2.32	0-2-0 2.71	0-1-1 3.20	2-0-0 2.83	1-1-0 2.64	0-2-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.85	0-2-0 3.04
Gondomar	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.60	1-1-0 2.43	1-1-0 2.23	0-0-2 2.58	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 2.03	—	0-0-2 2.07	0-2-0 2.45	0-2-0 2.43	0-0-2 2.23	1-1-0 2.22	0-0-2 2.17	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.67
Olhanense	2-0-0 2.84	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 2.37	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.97	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 3.11	2-0-0 3.37	—	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 3.08	2-0-0 2.94	0-0-2 2.65	0-1-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.79
Oliveirense	0-2-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.69	1-0-1 3.11	0-2-0 2.72	0-2-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.53	—	0-1-1 3.00	0-0-2 2.72	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 2.28	1-1-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.95
Portimonense	1-1-0 2.40	0-2-0 2.48	1-0-1 2.11	0-1-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.51	0-2-0 2.62	1-1-0 2.21	0-2-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.38	1-1-0 2.41	—	0-1-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.58	0-2-0 2.61
Santa Clara	0-2-0 3.04	1-1-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.58	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.59	2-0-0 3.17	0-0-2 2.48	2-0-0 2.69	1-1-0 2.84	—	1-1-0 2.49	1-1-0 2.36	1-0-1 2.91	2-0-0 2.88
Sporting Covilha	0-0-2 3.09	2-0-0 3.03	2-0-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.89	0-2-0 3.23	0-1-1 2.78	0-1-1 3.21	2-0-0 2.79	2-0-0 2.77	1-0-1 3.05	0-1-1 2.95	—	0-1-1 2.69	0-2-0 2.95	0-1-1 3.02
Uniao Leiria	1-1-0 3.22	2-0-0 3.26	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 2.83	1-1-0 3.14	1-0-1 3.22	0-2-0 2.78	2-0-0 3.28	1-1-0 2.65	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 3.21	0-1-1 3.07	1-1-0 2.71	—	2-0-0 2.98	0-1-1 3.17
Varzim	1-1-0 2.63	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.16	0-0-2 2.64	2-0-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.52	0-2-0 2.47	0-0-2 2.42	—	0-1-1 2.72
Vizela	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.27	1-1-0 2.42	0-2-0 2.58	0-2-0 2.79	0-2-0 2.38	1-0-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.61	1-1-0 2.44	0-2-0 2.79	0-0-2 2.52	1-1-0 2.40	1-1-0 2.26	1-1-0 2.68	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.25%	9.58%	6.04%	2.08%	0.42%	0.21%	29.58%
1	9.58%	15.00%	9.17%	2.92%	0.62%	0.62%	37.92%
2	6.04%	9.17%	4.58%	1.88%	0.42%	0.21%	22.29%
3	2.08%	2.92%	1.88%	0.42%	0.21%	—	7.50%
4	0.42%	0.62%	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	1.67%
5+	0.21%	0.62%	0.21%	—	—	—	1.04%
Total	29.58%	37.92%	22.29%	7.50%	1.67%	1.04%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.34
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.082
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	30.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	30.00%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Aves — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	0.79
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.000
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	43.33%
1	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	46.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Beira-Mar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.029
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	23.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
1	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	36.67%
2	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	33.33%	33.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	0.87
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.254
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	26.67%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.072
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
1	10.00%	3.33%	20.00%	—	—	3.33%	36.67%
2	10.00%	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	30.00%	33.33%	—	—	3.33%	100%

Feirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.90
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.141
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	30.00%
1	16.67%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	36.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	100%

Freamunde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.168
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
1	3.33%	26.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	40.00%	26.67%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Gil Vicente — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.096
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	43.33%
1	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	40.00%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Gondomar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.040
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	40.00%
2	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	46.67%	23.33%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Olhanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.090
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
1	6.67%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Oliveirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.79
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.250
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	40.00%
1	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	26.67%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Portimonense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.222
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	13.33%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	53.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Santa Clara — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.000
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	26.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	46.67%
2	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	53.33%	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.236
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	13.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	40.00%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Uniao Leiria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.179
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	13.33%	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	20.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	50.00%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.76
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.153
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	26.67%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	46.67%
2	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.67%	23.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Vizela — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.87
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.184
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Olhanense	58	43.0	+15.05
2	Santa Clara	52	41.0	+11.05
3	Uniao Leiria	54	45.2	+8.77
4	Freamunde	41	37.8	+3.24
5	Estoril	44	41.9	+2.08

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Boavista	32	44.0	-12.02
2	Oliveirense	32	40.7	-8.72
3	Gil Vicente	38	43.9	-5.93
4	Gondomar	30	35.7	-5.68
5	Beira-Mar	35	39.0	-4.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gondomar	3	Apr 5 – Apr 19	1 in 39
2	Freamunde	3	Feb 8 – Feb 22	1 in 31
3	Uniao Leiria	4	Apr 11 – May 3	1 in 31
4	Olhanense	4	Feb 22 – Mar 15	1 in 26
5	Estoril	3	Jan 25 – Feb 8	1 in 21

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Boavista	4	Feb 15 – Mar 8	1 in 114
2	Gondomar	5	Feb 1 – Mar 1	1 in 99
3	Estoril	3	Mar 8 – Apr 5	1 in 28
4	Olhanense	3	Jan 25 – Feb 8	1 in 27
5	Varzim	3	Dec 7 – Jan 4	1 in 22

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vizela	14	Nov 30 – Apr 4	1 in 1,052
2	Oliveirense	8	Feb 22 – Apr 26	1 in 30
3	Estoril	8	Sep 28 – Dec 7	1 in 24
4	Gondomar	5	Mar 8 – Apr 19	1 in 23
5	Uniao Leiria	9	Feb 22 – May 3	1 in 22

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vizela	10	Feb 15 – May 3	1 in 57
2	Gondomar	10	Jan 4 – Mar 15	1 in 36
3	Gil Vicente	6	Mar 15 – May 2	1 in 29
4	Sporting Covilha	6	Oct 26 – Dec 7	1 in 26
5	Oliveirense	8	Jan 4 – Mar 1	1 in 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Olhanense	11.00%	14.00%	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—
Uniao Leiria	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%	9.00%	2.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	—	2.00%
Santa Clara	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	9.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	8.00%
Estoril	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%
Feirense	2.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Freamunde	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	3.00%	15.00%	5.00%	14.00%	7.00%
Sporting Covilha	14.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	9.00%	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Varzim	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	3.00%	3.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%
Gil Vicente	8.00%	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	10.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Vizela	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%	11.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%
Aves	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%
Beira-Mar	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	7.00%
Portimonense	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	7.00%	12.00%
Oliveirense	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	12.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Boavista	16.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	9.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Gondomar	—	5.00%	3.00%	—	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	10.00%	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	13.00%	19.00%	13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Uniao Leiria	30.0%	68.0%	2.0%
Olhanense	25.0%	71.0%	4.0%
Boavista	24.0%	70.0%	6.0%
Gil Vicente	20.0%	75.0%	5.0%
Sporting Covilha	22.0%	71.0%	7.0%
Estoril	16.0%	76.0%	8.0%
Santa Clara	13.0%	77.0%	10.0%
Feirense	10.0%	81.0%	9.0%
Oliveirense	9.0%	79.0%	12.0%
Beira-Mar	6.0%	81.0%	13.0%
Aves	6.0%	80.0%	14.0%
Varzim	2.0%	83.0%	15.0%
Portimonense	3.0%	78.0%	19.0%
Vizela	6.0%	71.0%	23.0%
Freamunde	3.0%	76.0%	21.0%
Gondomar	5.0%	63.0%	32.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2008-08-24	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1536	1593	34.7%	30.7%	34.6%	+13.7	3
2008-08-24	@ Aves	L 0-2	1593	1536	34.6%	30.7%	34.7%	-13.7	0
2008-08-24	Santa Clara	D 0-0	1525	1502	46.2%	28.8%	25.0%	-1.0	1
2008-08-24	@ Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1502	1525	25.0%	28.8%	46.2%	+1.0	1
2008-08-24	Vizela	W 2-1	1636	1567	52.8%	26.2%	21.1%	+4.5	3
2008-08-24	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1567	1636	21.1%	26.2%	52.8%	-4.5	0
2008-08-24	Gondomar	W 2-0	1520	1540	40.2%	30.2%	29.6%	+12.2	3
2008-08-24	@ Feirense	L 0-2	1540	1520	29.6%	30.2%	40.2%	-12.2	0
2008-08-24	Uniao Leiria	W 1-0	1518	1589	32.7%	30.6%	36.7%	+7.6	3
2008-08-24	@ Freamunde	L 0-1	1589	1518	36.7%	30.6%	32.7%	-7.6	0
2008-08-24	Estoril	W 3-2	1534	1548	41.0%	30.1%	28.9%	+5.7	3
2008-08-24	@ Olhanense	L 2-3	1548	1534	28.9%	30.1%	41.0%	-5.7	0
2008-08-24	Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1609	1572	48.2%	28.1%	23.7%	-1.0	1
2008-08-24	@ Oliveirense	D 1-1	1572	1609	23.7%	28.1%	48.2%	+1.0	1
2008-08-24	Varzim	W 2-1	1534	1540	42.0%	29.9%	28.1%	+5.9	3
2008-08-24	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1540	1534	28.1%	29.9%	42.0%	-5.8	0
2008-08-30	Portimonense	L 0-1	1582	1540	48.9%	27.8%	23.3%	-9.3	0
2008-08-30	@ Uniao Leiria	W 1-0	1540	1582	23.3%	27.8%	48.9%	+9.3	6
2008-08-31	Oliveirense	D 0-0	1542	1608	33.5%	30.6%	35.9%	+0.1	1
2008-08-31	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1608	1542	35.9%	30.6%	33.5%	-0.1	2
2008-08-31	Feirense	W 2-1	1573	1533	48.7%	27.9%	23.4%	+5.0	4
2008-08-31	@ Gil Vicente	L 1-2	1533	1573	23.4%	27.9%	48.7%	-5.0	3
2008-08-31	Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1527	1524	43.3%	29.6%	27.1%	-0.7	1
2008-08-31	@ Gondomar	D 0-0	1524	1527	27.1%	29.6%	43.3%	+0.7	2
2008-08-31	Freamunde	W 1-0	1503	1525	39.7%	30.3%	30.0%	+6.5	4
2008-08-31	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1525	1503	30.0%	30.3%	39.7%	-6.5	3
2008-08-31	Olhanense	W 4-3	1579	1540	48.5%	28.0%	23.5%	+4.6	3
2008-08-31	@ Sporting Covilha	L 3-4	1540	1579	23.5%	28.0%	48.5%	-4.6	3
2008-08-31	Boavista	W 2-0	1534	1641	28.3%	29.9%	41.8%	+15.6	3
2008-08-31	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1641	1534	41.8%	29.9%	28.3%	-15.6	3
2008-08-31	Aves	L 0-2	1562	1550	44.8%	29.2%	26.0%	-16.4	0
2008-08-31	@ Vizela	W 2-0	1550	1562	26.0%	29.2%	44.8%	+16.4	6
2008-09-20	Gondomar	W 2-0	1519	1527	41.8%	29.9%	28.3%	+11.8	6
2008-09-20	@ Freamunde	L 0-2	1527	1519	28.3%	29.9%	41.8%	-11.8	1
2008-09-20	Vizela	W 1-0	1536	1546	41.4%	30.0%	28.6%	+6.3	6
2008-09-20	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1546	1536	28.6%	30.0%	41.4%	-6.3	0
2008-09-21	Varzim	D 0-0	1566	1550	45.2%	29.1%	25.7%	-0.9	7
2008-09-21	@ Aves	D 0-0	1550	1566	25.7%	29.1%	45.2%	+0.9	4
2008-09-21	Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1525	1578	35.4%	30.7%	34.0%	-0.1	3
2008-09-21	@ Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1578	1525	34.0%	30.7%	35.4%	+0.1	5
2008-09-21	Estoril	W 1-0	1528	1542	40.8%	30.1%	29.1%	+6.4	6
2008-09-21	@ Feirense	L 0-1	1542	1528	29.1%	30.1%	40.8%	-6.4	1
2008-09-21	Boavista	L 0-1	1549	1625	32.1%	30.6%	37.4%	-6.9	6
2008-09-21	@ Portimonense	W 1-0	1625	1549	37.4%	30.6%	32.1%	+6.9	6
2008-09-21	Santa Clara	D 1-1	1573	1510	51.9%	26.6%	21.6%	-1.2	1
2008-09-21	@ Uniao Leiria	D 1-1	1510	1573	21.6%	26.6%	51.9%	+1.2	5
2008-09-28	Aves	D 1-1	1632	1565	52.4%	26.3%	21.3%	-1.3	7
2008-09-28	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1565	1632	21.3%	26.3%	52.4%	+1.3	8
2008-09-28	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1536	1525	44.4%	29.3%	26.3%	+11.1	4
2008-09-28	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1525	1536	26.3%	29.3%	44.4%	-11.1	3
2008-09-28	Freamunde	D 0-0	1578	1531	49.6%	27.5%	22.8%	-1.2	6
2008-09-28	@ Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1531	1578	22.8%	27.5%	49.6%	+1.2	7
2008-09-28	Uniao Leiria	L 0-1	1515	1571	34.8%	30.7%	34.6%	-7.3	1
2008-09-28	@ Gondomar	W 1-0	1571	1515	34.6%	30.7%	34.8%	+7.3	4
2008-09-28	Portimonense	W 3-0	1511	1542	38.4%	30.5%	31.1%	+18.4	8
2008-09-28	@ Santa Clara	L 0-3	1542	1511	31.1%	30.5%	38.4%	-18.4	6
2008-09-28	Feirense	D 0-0	1584	1534	50.0%	27.4%	22.6%	-1.2	4
2008-09-28	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1534	1584	22.6%	27.4%	50.0%	+1.2	7
2008-09-28	Olhanense	W 2-1	1551	1542	44.2%	29.4%	26.4%	+5.6	7
2008-09-28	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1542	1551	26.4%	29.4%	44.2%	-5.6	6
2008-09-28	Oliveirense	W 2-1	1540	1608	33.2%	30.6%	36.2%	+7.1	3
2008-09-28	@ Vizela	L 1-2	1608	1540	36.2%	30.6%	33.2%	-7.1	2
2008-10-05	Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1514	1582	33.1%	30.6%	36.3%	-7.0	3
2008-10-05	@ Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1582	1514	36.3%	30.6%	33.1%	+7.0	7
2008-10-05	Vizela	D 0-0	1535	1547	41.2%	30.0%	28.7%	-0.5	8
2008-10-05	@ Feirense	D 0-0	1547	1535	28.7%	30.0%	41.2%	+0.5	4
2008-10-05	Estoril	L 0-1	1532	1547	40.8%	30.1%	29.1%	-8.2	7
2008-10-05	@ Freamunde	W 1-0	1547	1532	29.1%	30.1%	40.8%	+8.2	7
2008-10-05	Boavista	D 1-1	1536	1631	29.7%	30.2%	40.0%	+0.4	7
2008-10-05	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1631	1536	40.0%	30.2%	29.7%	-0.4	8
2008-10-05	Varzim	W 2-1	1601	1556	49.2%	27.7%	23.1%	+4.9	5
2008-10-05	@ Oliveirense	L 1-2	1556	1601	23.1%	27.7%	49.2%	-4.9	7
2008-10-05	Aves	W 5-2	1524	1566	36.8%	30.6%	32.6%	+13.9	9
2008-10-05	@ Portimonense	L 2-5	1566	1524	32.6%	30.6%	36.8%	-13.9	8
2008-10-05	Gondomar	W 2-1	1529	1508	46.1%	28.8%	25.1%	+5.3	11
2008-10-05	@ Santa Clara	L 1-2	1508	1529	25.1%	28.8%	46.1%	-5.3	1
2008-10-05	Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1579	1576	43.2%	29.6%	27.2%	-0.6	5
2008-10-05	@ Uniao Leiria	D 1-1	1576	1579	27.2%	29.6%	43.2%	+0.6	7
2008-10-12	Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1605	1589	45.2%	29.1%	25.7%	-8.3	5
2008-10-12	@ Oliveirense	W 2-1	1589	1605	25.7%	29.1%	45.2%	+8.3	10
2008-10-25	Santa Clara	W 3-2	1577	1535	49.0%	27.8%	23.2%	+4.7	10
2008-10-25	@ Gil Vicente	L 2-3	1535	1577	23.2%	27.8%	49.0%	-4.7	11
2008-10-25	Portimonense	D 0-0	1502	1538	37.8%	30.5%	31.7%	-0.3	2
2008-10-25	@ Gondomar	D 0-0	1538	1502	31.7%	30.5%	37.8%	+0.3	10
2008-10-26	Olhanense	L 1-2	1552	1537	45.2%	29.1%	25.7%	-8.3	8
2008-10-26	@ Aves	W 2-1	1537	1552	25.7%	29.1%	45.2%	+8.3	10
2008-10-26	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1630	1597	47.7%	28.3%	24.1%	+5.4	11
2008-10-26	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1597	1630	24.1%	28.3%	47.7%	-5.4	5
2008-10-26	Uniao Leiria	D 2-2	1555	1578	39.6%	30.3%	30.1%	-0.3	8
2008-10-26	@ Estoril	D 2-2	1578	1555	30.1%	30.3%	39.6%	+0.3	6
2008-10-26	Freamunde	D 1-1	1598	1524	53.4%	25.8%	20.7%	-1.4	11
2008-10-26	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1524	1598	20.7%	25.8%	53.4%	+1.3	8
2008-10-26	Feirense	W 2-1	1551	1535	45.3%	29.0%	25.6%	+5.4	10
2008-10-26	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1535	1551	25.6%	29.0%	45.3%	-5.4	8
2008-10-26	Beira-Mar	L 0-3	1547	1507	48.7%	27.9%	23.4%	-25.3	4
2008-10-26	@ Vizela	W 3-0	1507	1547	23.4%	27.9%	48.7%	+25.4	6
2008-11-01	Olhanense	L 2-3	1538	1545	41.9%	29.9%	28.2%	-7.4	10
2008-11-01	@ Portimonense	W 3-2	1545	1538	28.2%	29.9%	41.9%	+7.4	13
2008-11-02	Varzim	D 1-1	1532	1557	39.4%	30.3%	30.3%	-0.4	7
2008-11-02	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1557	1532	30.3%	30.3%	39.4%	+0.4	11
2008-11-02	Boavista	W 2-0	1529	1636	28.3%	29.9%	41.8%	+15.6	11
2008-11-02	@ Feirense	L 0-2	1636	1529	41.8%	29.9%	28.3%	-15.6	11
2008-11-02	Vizela	D 1-1	1525	1522	43.4%	29.6%	27.1%	-0.6	9
2008-11-02	@ Freamunde	D 1-1	1522	1525	27.1%	29.6%	43.4%	+0.7	5
2008-11-02	Gil Vicente	W 3-0	1502	1582	31.6%	30.5%	37.9%	+21.2	5
2008-11-02	@ Gondomar	L 0-3	1582	1502	37.9%	30.5%	31.6%	-21.2	10
2008-11-02	Aves	D 0-0	1592	1544	49.7%	27.5%	22.8%	-1.2	6
2008-11-02	@ Oliveirense	D 0-0	1544	1592	22.8%	27.5%	49.7%	+1.2	9
2008-11-02	Estoril	D 1-1	1530	1555	39.4%	30.3%	30.3%	-0.3	12
2008-11-02	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1555	1530	30.3%	30.3%	39.4%	+0.3	9
2008-11-02	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1578	1596	40.3%	30.2%	29.5%	-0.4	7
2008-11-02	@ Uniao Leiria	D 1-1	1596	1578	29.5%	30.2%	40.3%	+0.4	12
2008-11-16	Feirense	W 1-0	1545	1545	43.0%	29.7%	27.3%	+6.1	12
2008-11-16	@ Aves	L 0-1	1545	1545	27.3%	29.7%	43.0%	-6.1	11
2008-11-16	Beira-Mar	L 1-2	1620	1532	55.4%	24.9%	19.8%	-9.6	11
2008-11-16	@ Boavista	W 2-1	1532	1620	19.8%	24.9%	55.4%	+9.6	10
2008-11-16	Gondomar	D 0-0	1555	1523	47.5%	28.3%	24.2%	-1.0	10
2008-11-16	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1523	1555	24.2%	28.3%	47.5%	+1.0	6
2008-11-16	Portimonense	D 0-0	1561	1531	47.2%	28.4%	24.4%	-1.0	11
2008-11-16	@ Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1531	1561	24.4%	28.4%	47.2%	+1.0	11
2008-11-16	Oliveirense	W 3-0	1552	1591	37.4%	30.6%	32.0%	+18.8	16
2008-11-16	@ Olhanense	L 0-3	1591	1552	32.0%	30.6%	37.4%	-18.8	6
2008-11-16	Santa Clara	L 2-4	1597	1530	52.5%	26.3%	21.2%	-14.3	12
2008-11-16	@ Sporting Covilha	W 4-2	1530	1597	21.2%	26.3%	52.5%	+14.3	15
2008-11-16	Freamunde	W 2-1	1557	1524	47.6%	28.3%	24.1%	+5.1	14
2008-11-16	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1524	1557	24.1%	28.3%	47.6%	-5.1	9
2008-11-16	Uniao Leiria	W 3-2	1523	1578	35.0%	30.7%	34.4%	+6.5	8
2008-11-16	@ Vizela	L 2-3	1578	1523	34.4%	30.7%	35.0%	-6.5	7
2008-11-23	Aves	W 4-0	1542	1551	41.5%	30.0%	28.5%	+22.5	13
2008-11-23	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-4	1551	1542	28.5%	30.0%	41.5%	-22.5	12
2008-11-23	Olhanense	W 3-1	1539	1571	38.2%	30.5%	31.3%	+11.0	14
2008-11-23	@ Feirense	L 1-3	1571	1539	31.3%	30.5%	38.2%	-11.0	16
2008-11-23	Boavista	W 2-0	1519	1610	30.1%	30.3%	39.6%	+15.0	12
2008-11-23	@ Freamunde	L 0-2	1610	1519	39.6%	30.3%	30.1%	-15.0	11
2008-11-23	Estoril	D 2-2	1560	1554	43.7%	29.5%	26.8%	-0.5	12
2008-11-23	@ Gil Vicente	D 2-2	1554	1560	26.8%	29.5%	43.7%	+0.5	11
2008-11-23	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1524	1582	34.5%	30.7%	34.8%	+0.0	7
2008-11-23	@ Gondomar	D 1-1	1582	1524	34.8%	30.7%	34.5%	-0.0	13
2008-11-23	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1532	1572	37.1%	30.6%	32.3%	+6.9	14
2008-11-23	@ Portimonense	L 0-1	1572	1532	32.3%	30.6%	37.1%	-6.9	6
2008-11-23	Vizela	W 5-1	1544	1529	45.1%	29.1%	25.8%	+17.2	18
2008-11-23	@ Santa Clara	L 1-5	1529	1544	25.8%	29.1%	45.1%	-17.2	8
2008-11-23	Varzim	W 1-0	1571	1562	44.2%	29.3%	26.4%	+5.9	10
2008-11-23	@ Uniao Leiria	L 0-1	1562	1571	26.4%	29.3%	44.2%	-5.9	14
2008-11-30	Freamunde	L 0-1	1529	1534	42.1%	29.8%	28.0%	-8.3	12
2008-11-30	@ Aves	W 1-0	1534	1529	28.0%	29.8%	42.1%	+8.4	15
2008-11-30	Uniao Leiria	W 2-0	1595	1577	45.5%	29.0%	25.5%	+10.8	14
2008-11-30	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1577	1595	25.5%	29.0%	45.5%	-10.8	10
2008-11-30	Portimonense	D 0-0	1554	1539	45.2%	29.1%	25.7%	-0.9	12
2008-11-30	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1539	1554	25.7%	29.1%	45.2%	+0.9	15
2008-11-30	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1560	1564	42.4%	29.8%	27.8%	+11.6	19
2008-11-30	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1564	1560	27.8%	29.8%	42.4%	-11.6	13
2008-11-30	Feirense	W 2-1	1565	1550	45.1%	29.1%	25.8%	+5.5	9
2008-11-30	@ Oliveirense	L 1-2	1550	1565	25.8%	29.1%	45.1%	-5.5	14
2008-11-30	Gil Vicente	L 1-2	1582	1559	46.3%	28.7%	25.0%	-8.4	13
2008-11-30	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1559	1582	25.0%	28.7%	46.3%	+8.4	15
2008-11-30	Santa Clara	W 2-1	1556	1561	42.2%	29.8%	27.9%	+5.8	17
2008-11-30	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1561	1556	27.9%	29.8%	42.2%	-5.8	18
2008-11-30	Gondomar	W 1-0	1512	1524	41.1%	30.1%	28.8%	+6.3	11
2008-11-30	@ Vizela	L 0-1	1524	1512	28.8%	30.1%	41.1%	-6.3	7
2008-12-07	Oliveirense	W 2-1	1552	1570	40.4%	30.2%	29.4%	+6.1	16
2008-12-07	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-2	1570	1552	29.4%	30.2%	40.4%	-6.1	9
2008-12-07	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1554	1574	40.0%	30.2%	29.8%	+10.6	15
2008-12-07	@ Estoril	L 1-3	1574	1554	29.8%	30.2%	40.0%	-10.6	13
2008-12-07	Olhanense	L 1-3	1543	1572	38.7%	30.4%	30.9%	-12.8	15
2008-12-07	@ Freamunde	W 3-1	1572	1543	30.9%	30.4%	38.7%	+12.8	22
2008-12-07	Vizela	D 1-1	1567	1518	50.0%	27.4%	22.7%	-1.1	16
2008-12-07	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1518	1567	22.7%	27.4%	50.0%	+1.1	12
2008-12-07	Varzim	W 2-1	1518	1562	36.5%	30.6%	32.9%	+6.6	10
2008-12-07	@ Gondomar	L 1-2	1562	1518	32.9%	30.6%	36.5%	-6.6	17
2008-12-07	Feirense	L 1-3	1539	1544	42.2%	29.8%	27.9%	-13.7	15
2008-12-07	@ Portimonense	W 3-1	1544	1539	27.9%	29.8%	42.2%	+13.7	17
2008-12-07	Boavista	W 3-1	1555	1606	35.6%	30.6%	33.8%	+11.6	21
2008-12-07	@ Santa Clara	L 1-3	1606	1555	33.8%	30.6%	35.6%	-11.7	14
2008-12-07	Aves	D 1-1	1566	1521	49.5%	27.6%	22.9%	-1.1	11
2008-12-07	@ Uniao Leiria	D 1-1	1521	1566	22.9%	27.6%	49.5%	+1.1	13
2008-12-20	Estoril	W 1-0	1519	1564	36.4%	30.6%	32.9%	+7.0	15
2008-12-20	@ Vizela	L 0-1	1564	1519	32.9%	30.6%	36.4%	-7.0	15
2008-12-21	Santa Clara	D 1-1	1522	1567	36.4%	30.6%	33.0%	-0.1	14
2008-12-21	@ Aves	D 1-1	1567	1522	33.0%	30.6%	36.4%	+0.1	22
2008-12-21	Gondomar	L 1-2	1595	1525	52.9%	26.1%	21.0%	-9.3	14
2008-12-21	@ Boavista	W 2-1	1525	1595	21.0%	26.1%	52.9%	+9.2	13
2008-12-21	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1558	1559	42.8%	29.7%	27.5%	+11.5	20
2008-12-21	@ Feirense	L 0-2	1559	1558	27.5%	29.7%	42.8%	-11.5	16
2008-12-21	Uniao Leiria	D 0-0	1585	1565	45.7%	28.9%	25.4%	-0.9	23
2008-12-21	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1565	1585	25.4%	28.9%	45.7%	+0.9	12
2008-12-21	Freamunde	W 2-1	1564	1530	47.8%	28.2%	24.0%	+5.1	12
2008-12-21	@ Oliveirense	L 1-2	1530	1564	24.0%	28.2%	47.8%	-5.1	15
2008-12-21	Portimonense	W 4-1	1563	1526	48.3%	28.0%	23.6%	+12.3	16
2008-12-21	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-4	1526	1563	23.6%	28.0%	48.3%	-12.3	15
2008-12-21	Gil Vicente	L 2-3	1556	1566	41.4%	30.0%	28.6%	-7.4	17
2008-12-21	@ Varzim	W 3-2	1566	1556	28.6%	30.0%	41.4%	+7.4	19
2009-01-04	Varzim	W 1-0	1557	1548	44.2%	29.4%	26.4%	+5.9	18
2009-01-04	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1548	1557	26.4%	29.4%	44.2%	-5.9	17
2009-01-04	Feirense	D 2-2	1525	1569	36.5%	30.6%	32.9%	-0.1	16
2009-01-04	@ Freamunde	D 2-2	1569	1525	32.9%	30.6%	36.5%	+0.1	21
2009-01-04	Boavista	W 2-0	1574	1585	41.2%	30.0%	28.7%	+11.9	22
2009-01-04	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-2	1585	1574	28.7%	30.0%	41.2%	-11.9	14
2009-01-04	Aves	L 0-1	1534	1522	44.7%	29.2%	26.1%	-8.7	13
2009-01-04	@ Gondomar	W 1-0	1522	1534	26.1%	29.2%	44.7%	+8.7	17
2009-01-04	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1513	1547	38.1%	30.5%	31.4%	-0.3	16
2009-01-04	@ Portimonense	D 1-1	1547	1513	31.4%	30.5%	38.1%	+0.3	17
2009-01-04	Olhanense	L 0-2	1567	1584	40.5%	30.2%	29.3%	-15.3	22
2009-01-04	@ Santa Clara	W 2-0	1584	1567	29.3%	30.2%	40.5%	+15.3	26
2009-01-04	Vizela	D 1-1	1576	1526	50.0%	27.4%	22.6%	-1.1	17
2009-01-04	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1526	1576	22.6%	27.4%	50.0%	+1.1	16
2009-01-04	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1566	1569	42.5%	29.8%	27.7%	+6.1	15
2009-01-04	@ Uniao Leiria	L 0-1	1569	1566	27.7%	29.8%	42.5%	-6.1	12
2009-01-11	Gil Vicente	W 2-0	1530	1586	34.9%	30.7%	34.4%	+13.6	20
2009-01-11	@ Aves	L 0-2	1586	1530	34.4%	30.7%	34.9%	-13.6	22
2009-01-11	Freamunde	W 1-0	1547	1525	46.2%	28.8%	25.1%	+5.6	20
2009-01-11	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1525	1547	25.1%	28.8%	46.2%	-5.6	16
2009-01-11	Estoril	W 2-0	1573	1563	44.4%	29.3%	26.3%	+11.1	17
2009-01-11	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1563	1573	26.3%	29.3%	44.4%	-11.1	18
2009-01-11	Uniao Leiria	D 0-0	1570	1572	42.5%	29.8%	27.7%	-0.6	22
2009-01-11	@ Feirense	D 0-0	1572	1570	27.7%	29.8%	42.5%	+0.6	16
2009-01-11	Gondomar	W 2-0	1599	1525	53.4%	25.8%	20.7%	+8.8	29
2009-01-11	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1525	1599	20.7%	25.8%	53.4%	-8.8	13
2009-01-11	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1563	1552	44.5%	29.3%	26.2%	-8.2	12
2009-01-11	@ Oliveirense	W 2-1	1552	1563	26.2%	29.3%	44.5%	+8.2	25
2009-01-11	Vizela	D 2-2	1513	1527	40.9%	30.1%	29.0%	-0.3	17
2009-01-11	@ Portimonense	D 2-2	1527	1513	29.0%	30.1%	40.9%	+0.3	17
2009-01-11	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1542	1575	38.3%	30.5%	31.3%	-0.3	18
2009-01-11	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1575	1542	31.3%	30.5%	38.3%	+0.3	18
2009-01-25	Aves	W 3-2	1552	1544	44.1%	29.4%	26.5%	+5.3	21
2009-01-25	@ Estoril	L 2-3	1544	1552	26.5%	29.4%	44.1%	-5.3	20
2009-01-25	Portimonense	D 0-0	1519	1513	43.8%	29.5%	26.7%	-0.8	17
2009-01-25	@ Freamunde	D 0-0	1513	1519	26.7%	29.5%	43.8%	+0.8	18
2009-01-25	Olhanense	W 3-0	1572	1608	37.8%	30.5%	31.7%	+18.7	25
2009-01-25	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-3	1608	1572	31.7%	30.5%	37.8%	-18.7	29
2009-01-25	Oliveirense	D 0-0	1516	1555	37.4%	30.6%	32.1%	-0.2	14
2009-01-25	@ Gondomar	D 0-0	1555	1516	32.1%	30.6%	37.4%	+0.2	13
2009-01-25	Feirense	W 1-0	1560	1569	41.6%	30.0%	28.4%	+6.3	28
2009-01-25	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1569	1560	28.4%	30.0%	41.6%	-6.3	22
2009-01-25	Boavista	W 1-0	1575	1584	41.5%	30.0%	28.5%	+6.3	21
2009-01-25	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1584	1575	28.5%	30.0%	41.5%	-6.3	17
2009-01-25	Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1573	1553	45.8%	28.9%	25.3%	+5.4	19
2009-01-25	@ Uniao Leiria	L 1-2	1553	1573	25.3%	28.9%	45.8%	-5.4	20
2009-01-25	Varzim	D 1-1	1528	1542	40.9%	30.1%	29.0%	-0.5	18
2009-01-25	@ Vizela	D 1-1	1542	1528	29.0%	30.1%	40.9%	+0.5	19
2009-02-01	Olhanense	W 2-1	1557	1589	38.3%	30.5%	31.2%	+6.4	24
2009-02-01	@ Estoril	L 1-2	1589	1557	31.2%	30.5%	38.3%	-6.3	29
2009-02-01	Oliveirense	D 1-1	1591	1555	48.0%	28.1%	23.8%	-1.0	26
2009-02-01	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1555	1591	23.8%	28.1%	48.0%	+1.0	14
2009-02-01	Feirense	L 0-1	1516	1563	36.2%	30.6%	33.2%	-7.5	14
2009-02-01	@ Gondomar	W 1-0	1563	1516	33.2%	30.6%	36.2%	+7.5	25
2009-02-01	Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1566	1548	45.6%	28.9%	25.4%	+5.7	31
2009-02-01	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1548	1566	25.4%	28.9%	45.6%	-5.7	20
2009-02-01	Aves	L 0-2	1581	1539	49.0%	27.8%	23.2%	-17.5	21
2009-02-01	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1539	1581	23.2%	27.8%	49.0%	+17.5	23
2009-02-01	Freamunde	W 3-0	1578	1518	51.5%	26.7%	21.8%	+13.4	22
2009-02-01	@ Uniao Leiria	L 0-3	1518	1578	21.8%	26.7%	51.5%	-13.4	17
2009-02-01	Portimonense	W 1-0	1543	1514	47.1%	28.5%	24.4%	+5.5	22
2009-02-01	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1514	1543	24.4%	28.5%	47.1%	-5.5	18
2009-02-01	Boavista	D 0-0	1527	1578	35.6%	30.6%	33.8%	-0.1	19
2009-02-01	@ Vizela	D 0-0	1578	1527	33.8%	30.6%	35.6%	+0.1	18
2009-02-08	Vizela	L 1-3	1556	1527	47.1%	28.5%	24.4%	-14.8	23
2009-02-08	@ Aves	W 3-1	1527	1556	24.4%	28.5%	47.1%	+14.8	22
2009-02-08	Gondomar	W 2-1	1542	1509	47.7%	28.3%	24.1%	+5.1	23
2009-02-08	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-2	1509	1542	24.1%	28.3%	47.7%	-5.1	14
2009-02-08	Varzim	W 2-0	1578	1548	47.2%	28.4%	24.3%	+10.3	21
2009-02-08	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1548	1578	24.3%	28.4%	47.2%	-10.3	22
2009-02-08	Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1570	1590	40.1%	30.2%	29.7%	+6.1	28
2009-02-08	@ Feirense	L 1-2	1590	1570	29.7%	30.2%	40.1%	-6.1	26
2009-02-08	Santa Clara	W 2-1	1505	1572	33.3%	30.6%	36.1%	+7.0	20
2009-02-08	@ Freamunde	L 1-2	1572	1505	36.1%	30.6%	33.3%	-7.0	31
2009-02-08	Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1583	1564	45.7%	28.9%	25.4%	-8.3	29
2009-02-08	@ Olhanense	W 2-1	1564	1583	25.4%	28.9%	45.7%	+8.3	24
2009-02-08	Estoril	L 0-2	1556	1564	41.8%	29.9%	28.2%	-15.6	14
2009-02-08	@ Oliveirense	W 2-0	1564	1556	28.2%	29.9%	41.8%	+15.6	27
2009-02-08	Uniao Leiria	L 0-1	1508	1592	31.1%	30.4%	38.5%	-6.7	18
2009-02-08	@ Portimonense	W 1-0	1592	1508	38.5%	30.4%	31.1%	+6.7	25
2009-02-15	Portimonense	L 0-1	1589	1501	55.3%	24.9%	19.8%	-10.1	21
2009-02-15	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1501	1589	19.8%	24.9%	55.3%	+10.1	21
2009-02-15	Feirense	D 2-2	1579	1576	43.4%	29.6%	27.1%	-0.5	28
2009-02-15	@ Estoril	D 2-2	1576	1579	27.1%	29.6%	43.4%	+0.5	29
2009-02-15	Beira-Mar	D 2-2	1584	1547	48.2%	28.1%	23.8%	-0.7	27
2009-02-15	@ Gil Vicente	D 2-2	1547	1584	23.8%	28.1%	48.2%	+0.7	24
2009-02-15	Freamunde	L 1-3	1503	1512	41.7%	29.9%	28.3%	-13.5	14
2009-02-15	@ Gondomar	W 3-1	1512	1503	28.3%	29.9%	41.7%	+13.5	23
2009-02-15	Uniao Leiria	W 2-0	1565	1599	38.1%	30.5%	31.4%	+12.8	34
2009-02-15	@ Santa Clara	L 0-2	1599	1565	31.4%	30.5%	38.1%	-12.8	25
2009-02-15	Oliveirense	W 3-2	1572	1540	47.4%	28.3%	24.2%	+4.9	27
2009-02-15	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1540	1572	24.2%	28.3%	47.4%	-4.9	14
2009-02-15	Aves	W 1-0	1538	1541	42.4%	29.8%	27.8%	+6.2	25
2009-02-15	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1541	1538	27.8%	29.8%	42.4%	-6.2	23
2009-02-15	Olhanense	D 0-0	1542	1574	38.2%	30.5%	31.3%	-0.3	23
2009-02-15	@ Vizela	D 0-0	1574	1542	31.3%	30.5%	38.2%	+0.3	30
2009-02-22	Boavista	W 2-0	1535	1578	36.7%	30.6%	32.7%	+13.2	26
2009-02-22	@ Aves	L 0-2	1578	1535	32.7%	30.6%	36.7%	-13.2	21
2009-02-22	Estoril	W 3-1	1548	1579	38.4%	30.5%	31.1%	+11.0	27
2009-02-22	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-3	1579	1548	31.1%	30.5%	38.4%	-11.0	28
2009-02-22	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1577	1577	42.9%	29.7%	27.4%	+5.7	32
2009-02-22	@ Feirense	L 1-2	1577	1577	27.4%	29.7%	42.9%	-5.7	27
2009-02-22	Gil Vicente	W 1-0	1525	1583	34.6%	30.7%	34.7%	+7.3	26
2009-02-22	@ Freamunde	L 0-1	1583	1525	34.7%	30.7%	34.6%	-7.3	27
2009-02-22	Varzim	W 1-0	1575	1544	47.3%	28.4%	24.3%	+5.5	33
2009-02-22	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1544	1575	24.3%	28.4%	47.3%	-5.5	25
2009-02-22	Vizela	D 0-0	1536	1542	42.0%	29.9%	28.1%	-0.6	15
2009-02-22	@ Oliveirense	D 0-0	1542	1536	28.1%	29.9%	42.0%	+0.6	24
2009-02-22	Santa Clara	D 1-1	1512	1578	33.4%	30.6%	36.0%	+0.1	22
2009-02-22	@ Portimonense	D 1-1	1578	1512	36.0%	30.6%	33.4%	-0.1	35
2009-02-22	Gondomar	W 3-1	1586	1490	56.5%	24.3%	19.2%	+7.0	28
2009-02-22	@ Uniao Leiria	L 1-3	1490	1586	19.2%	24.3%	56.5%	-7.0	14
2009-03-01	Portimonense	D 0-0	1548	1512	48.2%	28.1%	23.7%	-1.1	27
2009-03-01	@ Aves	D 0-0	1512	1548	23.7%	28.1%	48.2%	+1.1	23
2009-03-01	Olhanense	L 1-4	1565	1580	40.8%	30.1%	29.1%	-18.8	21
2009-03-01	@ Boavista	W 4-1	1580	1565	29.1%	30.1%	40.8%	+18.8	36
2009-03-01	Freamunde	W 3-0	1568	1533	47.9%	28.2%	23.9%	+14.7	31
2009-03-01	@ Estoril	L 0-3	1533	1568	23.9%	28.2%	47.9%	-14.7	26
2009-03-01	Uniao Leiria	D 1-1	1576	1593	40.4%	30.2%	29.4%	-0.4	28
2009-03-01	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1593	1576	29.4%	30.2%	40.4%	+0.4	29
2009-03-01	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1483	1578	29.7%	30.2%	40.1%	-6.1	14
2009-03-01	@ Gondomar	W 2-1	1578	1483	40.1%	30.2%	29.7%	+6.1	38
2009-03-01	Beira-Mar	W 3-1	1571	1559	44.7%	29.2%	26.1%	+9.5	30
2009-03-01	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1559	1571	26.1%	29.2%	44.7%	-9.5	27
2009-03-01	Oliveirense	D 1-1	1538	1535	43.4%	29.6%	27.0%	-0.7	26
2009-03-01	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1535	1538	27.0%	29.6%	43.4%	+0.7	16
2009-03-01	Feirense	D 0-0	1542	1582	37.1%	30.6%	32.3%	-0.2	25
2009-03-01	@ Vizela	D 0-0	1582	1542	32.3%	30.6%	37.1%	+0.2	33
2009-03-08	Vizela	D 1-1	1549	1542	43.9%	29.4%	26.6%	-0.7	28
2009-03-08	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1542	1549	26.6%	29.4%	43.9%	+0.7	26
2009-03-08	Varzim	L 1-2	1583	1538	49.3%	27.6%	23.0%	-8.8	33
2009-03-08	@ Feirense	W 2-1	1538	1583	23.0%	27.6%	49.3%	+8.8	29
2009-03-08	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1518	1581	33.9%	30.7%	35.4%	+0.1	27
2009-03-08	@ Freamunde	D 0-0	1581	1518	35.4%	30.7%	33.9%	-0.1	31
2009-03-08	Aves	W 2-0	1599	1547	50.3%	27.3%	22.4%	+9.5	39
2009-03-08	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1547	1599	22.4%	27.3%	50.3%	-9.5	27
2009-03-08	Boavista	W 2-0	1536	1546	41.4%	30.0%	28.6%	+11.9	19
2009-03-08	@ Oliveirense	L 0-2	1546	1536	28.6%	30.0%	41.4%	-11.9	21
2009-03-08	Gondomar	D 2-2	1513	1477	48.0%	28.1%	23.8%	-0.7	24
2009-03-08	@ Portimonense	D 2-2	1477	1513	23.8%	28.1%	48.0%	+0.7	15
2009-03-08	Gil Vicente	L 0-2	1584	1575	44.2%	29.4%	26.5%	-16.3	38
2009-03-08	@ Santa Clara	W 2-0	1575	1584	26.5%	29.4%	44.2%	+16.3	31
2009-03-08	Estoril	W 4-2	1593	1583	44.5%	29.3%	26.3%	+8.6	32
2009-03-08	@ Uniao Leiria	L 2-4	1583	1593	26.3%	29.3%	44.5%	-8.6	31
2009-03-15	Oliveirense	D 2-2	1538	1548	41.5%	30.0%	28.5%	-0.4	28
2009-03-15	@ Aves	D 2-2	1548	1538	28.5%	30.0%	41.5%	+0.4	20
2009-03-15	Feirense	D 2-2	1535	1574	37.2%	30.6%	32.2%	-0.1	22
2009-03-15	@ Boavista	D 2-2	1574	1535	32.2%	30.6%	37.2%	+0.1	34
2009-03-15	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1574	1568	43.9%	29.4%	26.7%	-8.1	31
2009-03-15	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1568	1574	26.7%	29.4%	43.9%	+8.1	41
2009-03-15	Gondomar	D 3-3	1591	1478	59.0%	22.9%	18.1%	-1.1	32
2009-03-15	@ Gil Vicente	D 3-3	1478	1591	18.1%	22.9%	59.0%	+1.1	16
2009-03-15	Portimonense	W 4-0	1609	1512	56.6%	24.2%	19.2%	+15.2	42
2009-03-15	@ Olhanense	L 0-4	1512	1609	19.2%	24.2%	56.6%	-15.2	24
2009-03-15	Uniao Leiria	L 2-3	1581	1602	39.9%	30.3%	29.9%	-7.2	31
2009-03-15	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1602	1581	29.9%	30.3%	39.9%	+7.2	35
2009-03-15	Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1547	1548	42.6%	29.7%	27.6%	+6.1	32
2009-03-15	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1548	1547	27.6%	29.7%	42.6%	-6.1	28
2009-03-15	Freamunde	D 1-1	1543	1518	46.5%	28.7%	24.9%	-0.9	27
2009-03-15	@ Vizela	D 1-1	1518	1543	24.9%	28.7%	46.5%	+0.9	28
2009-04-04	Vizela	D 1-1	1609	1542	52.5%	26.3%	21.2%	-1.3	36
2009-04-04	@ Uniao Leiria	D 1-1	1542	1609	21.2%	26.3%	52.5%	+1.3	28
2009-04-05	Boavista	W 3-1	1542	1534	44.1%	29.4%	26.5%	+9.7	31
2009-04-05	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-3	1534	1542	26.5%	29.4%	44.1%	-9.7	22
2009-04-05	Aves	W 2-1	1574	1537	48.2%	28.1%	23.7%	+5.0	37
2009-04-05	@ Feirense	L 1-2	1537	1574	23.7%	28.1%	48.2%	-5.1	28
2009-04-05	Varzim	W 2-1	1519	1553	38.0%	30.5%	31.5%	+6.4	31
2009-04-05	@ Freamunde	L 1-2	1553	1519	31.5%	30.5%	38.0%	-6.4	32
2009-04-05	Estoril	W 3-0	1479	1566	30.6%	30.4%	39.0%	+21.6	19
2009-04-05	@ Gondomar	L 0-3	1566	1479	39.0%	30.4%	30.6%	-21.6	31
2009-04-05	Olhanense	W 1-0	1548	1624	32.1%	30.6%	37.4%	+7.6	23
2009-04-05	@ Oliveirense	L 0-1	1624	1548	37.4%	30.6%	32.1%	-7.7	42
2009-04-05	Gil Vicente	W 3-0	1497	1590	29.8%	30.3%	39.9%	+22.0	27
2009-04-05	@ Portimonense	L 0-3	1590	1497	39.9%	30.3%	29.8%	-22.0	32
2009-04-05	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1576	1573	43.2%	29.6%	27.2%	-0.6	42
2009-04-05	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1573	1576	27.2%	29.6%	43.2%	+0.6	32
2009-04-10	Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1532	1552	40.1%	30.2%	29.7%	+6.5	31
2009-04-10	@ Aves	L 0-1	1552	1532	29.7%	30.2%	40.1%	-6.5	31
2009-04-11	Freamunde	W 2-1	1525	1525	42.9%	29.7%	27.5%	+5.7	25
2009-04-11	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1525	1525	27.5%	29.7%	42.9%	-5.8	31
2009-04-11	Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1544	1568	39.5%	30.3%	30.2%	+6.2	34
2009-04-11	@ Estoril	L 1-2	1568	1544	30.2%	30.3%	39.5%	-6.2	32
2009-04-11	Feirense	W 2-1	1616	1579	48.2%	28.1%	23.7%	+5.0	45
2009-04-11	@ Olhanense	L 1-2	1579	1616	23.7%	28.1%	48.2%	-5.0	37
2009-04-11	Portimonense	D 0-0	1556	1519	48.2%	28.1%	23.7%	-1.1	24
2009-04-11	@ Oliveirense	D 0-0	1519	1556	23.7%	28.1%	48.2%	+1.1	28
2009-04-11	Gondomar	L 1-3	1574	1500	53.4%	25.9%	20.8%	-16.1	32
2009-04-11	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1500	1574	20.8%	25.9%	53.4%	+16.2	22
2009-04-11	Uniao Leiria	L 0-2	1546	1608	34.1%	30.7%	35.3%	-13.5	32
2009-04-11	@ Varzim	W 2-0	1608	1546	35.3%	30.7%	34.1%	+13.5	39
2009-04-11	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1543	1575	38.3%	30.5%	31.2%	-7.3	28
2009-04-11	@ Vizela	W 2-1	1575	1543	31.2%	30.5%	38.3%	+7.4	45
2009-04-19	Olhanense	D 1-1	1546	1621	32.1%	30.6%	37.3%	+0.2	32
2009-04-19	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1621	1546	37.3%	30.6%	32.1%	-0.2	46
2009-04-19	Oliveirense	L 0-1	1574	1554	45.7%	28.9%	25.4%	-8.8	37
2009-04-19	@ Feirense	W 1-0	1554	1574	25.4%	28.9%	45.7%	+8.8	27
2009-04-19	Aves	L 1-2	1520	1539	40.2%	30.2%	29.6%	-7.6	31
2009-04-19	@ Freamunde	W 2-1	1539	1520	29.6%	30.2%	40.2%	+7.6	34
2009-04-19	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1562	1558	43.5%	29.5%	26.9%	-0.7	33
2009-04-19	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1558	1562	26.9%	29.5%	43.5%	+0.7	33
2009-04-19	Vizela	W 2-0	1516	1536	40.1%	30.2%	29.6%	+12.2	25
2009-04-19	@ Gondomar	L 0-2	1536	1516	29.6%	30.2%	40.1%	-12.2	28
2009-04-19	Estoril	L 1-2	1520	1551	38.5%	30.4%	31.0%	-7.4	28
2009-04-19	@ Portimonense	W 2-1	1551	1520	31.0%	30.4%	38.5%	+7.4	37
2009-04-19	Varzim	W 1-0	1582	1533	50.0%	27.4%	22.6%	+5.1	48
2009-04-19	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1533	1582	22.6%	27.4%	50.0%	-5.1	32
2009-04-19	Boavista	W 2-0	1621	1531	55.8%	24.7%	19.6%	+8.2	42
2009-04-19	@ Uniao Leiria	L 0-2	1531	1621	19.6%	24.7%	55.8%	-8.2	25
2009-04-25	Santa Clara	W 3-1	1522	1587	33.6%	30.6%	35.8%	+12.1	28
2009-04-25	@ Boavista	L 1-3	1587	1522	35.8%	30.6%	33.6%	-12.1	48
2009-04-26	Uniao Leiria	L 0-2	1546	1629	31.1%	30.5%	38.4%	-12.7	34
2009-04-26	@ Aves	W 2-0	1629	1546	38.4%	30.5%	31.1%	+12.7	45
2009-04-26	Portimonense	D 1-1	1565	1513	50.4%	27.2%	22.4%	-1.2	38
2009-04-26	@ Feirense	D 1-1	1513	1565	22.4%	27.2%	50.4%	+1.2	29
2009-04-26	Freamunde	W 5-0	1621	1512	58.3%	23.3%	18.4%	+17.8	49
2009-04-26	@ Olhanense	L 0-5	1512	1621	18.4%	23.3%	58.3%	-17.8	31
2009-04-26	Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1563	1546	45.4%	29.0%	25.6%	-0.9	28
2009-04-26	@ Oliveirense	D 0-0	1546	1563	25.6%	29.0%	45.4%	+0.9	33
2009-04-26	Estoril	W 2-1	1559	1558	43.0%	29.7%	27.3%	+5.7	36
2009-04-26	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1558	1559	27.3%	29.7%	43.0%	-5.7	37
2009-04-26	Gondomar	W 1-0	1528	1529	42.8%	29.7%	27.5%	+6.1	35
2009-04-26	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1529	1528	27.5%	29.7%	42.8%	-6.1	25
2009-04-26	Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1524	1562	37.5%	30.6%	32.0%	-0.2	29
2009-04-26	@ Vizela	D 1-1	1562	1524	32.0%	30.6%	37.5%	+0.2	34
2009-05-02	Varzim	L 1-2	1562	1534	46.9%	28.5%	24.6%	-8.5	34
2009-05-02	@ Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1534	1562	24.6%	28.5%	46.9%	+8.5	38
2009-05-03	Feirense	D 2-2	1547	1564	40.4%	30.2%	29.4%	-0.3	34
2009-05-03	@ Beira-Mar	D 2-2	1564	1547	29.4%	30.2%	40.4%	+0.3	39
2009-05-03	Vizela	D 0-0	1552	1523	47.0%	28.5%	24.5%	-1.0	38
2009-05-03	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1523	1552	24.5%	28.5%	47.0%	+1.0	30
2009-05-03	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1494	1562	33.1%	30.6%	36.3%	+7.5	34
2009-05-03	@ Freamunde	L 0-1	1562	1494	36.3%	30.6%	33.1%	-7.5	28
2009-05-03	Boavista	D 1-1	1523	1534	41.2%	30.0%	28.7%	-0.5	26
2009-05-03	@ Gondomar	D 1-1	1534	1523	28.7%	30.0%	41.2%	+0.5	29
2009-05-03	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1514	1564	35.6%	30.6%	33.7%	+7.1	32
2009-05-03	@ Portimonense	L 0-1	1564	1514	33.7%	30.6%	35.6%	-7.1	36
2009-05-03	Aves	D 1-1	1575	1534	48.9%	27.8%	23.3%	-1.0	49
2009-05-03	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1534	1575	23.3%	27.8%	48.9%	+1.0	35
2009-05-03	Olhanense	W 5-1	1642	1639	43.4%	29.6%	27.0%	+17.9	48
2009-05-03	@ Uniao Leiria	L 1-5	1639	1642	27.0%	29.6%	43.4%	-17.9	49
2009-05-10	Gondomar	L 0-1	1535	1522	44.8%	29.2%	26.1%	-8.7	35
2009-05-10	@ Aves	W 1-0	1522	1535	26.1%	29.2%	44.8%	+8.7	29
2009-05-10	Portimonense	D 0-0	1546	1521	46.6%	28.6%	24.8%	-1.0	35
2009-05-10	@ Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1521	1546	24.8%	28.6%	46.6%	+1.0	33
2009-05-10	Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1535	1553	40.3%	30.2%	29.5%	-8.1	29
2009-05-10	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1553	1535	29.5%	30.2%	40.3%	+8.1	37
2009-05-10	Freamunde	L 1-5	1564	1502	51.8%	26.6%	21.6%	-28.9	39
2009-05-10	@ Feirense	W 5-1	1502	1564	21.6%	26.6%	51.8%	+28.9	37
2009-05-10	Santa Clara	W 1-0	1621	1574	49.6%	27.6%	22.9%	+5.2	52
2009-05-10	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1574	1621	22.9%	27.6%	49.6%	-5.2	49
2009-05-10	Uniao Leiria	W 2-1	1555	1660	28.4%	30.0%	41.6%	+7.8	31
2009-05-10	@ Oliveirense	L 1-2	1660	1555	41.6%	30.0%	28.4%	-7.8	48
2009-05-10	Estoril	L 0-3	1542	1551	41.6%	30.0%	28.4%	-22.7	38
2009-05-10	@ Varzim	W 3-0	1551	1542	28.4%	30.0%	41.6%	+22.7	41
2009-05-10	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1524	1557	38.2%	30.5%	31.3%	+6.8	33
2009-05-10	@ Vizela	L 0-1	1557	1524	31.3%	30.5%	38.2%	-6.8	36
2009-05-17	Boavista	L 1-2	1574	1527	49.6%	27.5%	22.9%	-8.8	41
2009-05-17	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1527	1574	22.9%	27.5%	49.6%	+8.9	32
2009-05-17	Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1531	1545	40.8%	30.1%	29.1%	+6.4	40
2009-05-17	@ Freamunde	L 0-1	1545	1531	29.1%	30.1%	40.8%	-6.4	35
2009-05-17	Aves	D 1-1	1561	1526	48.0%	28.2%	23.9%	-1.0	38
2009-05-17	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1526	1561	23.9%	28.2%	48.0%	+1.0	36
2009-05-17	Olhanense	L 0-1	1531	1626	29.6%	30.2%	40.2%	-6.5	29
2009-05-17	@ Gondomar	W 1-0	1626	1531	40.2%	30.2%	29.6%	+6.5	55
2009-05-17	Oliveirense	W 3-1	1569	1563	43.8%	29.4%	26.7%	+9.7	52
2009-05-17	@ Santa Clara	L 1-3	1563	1569	26.7%	29.4%	43.8%	-9.7	31
2009-05-17	Varzim	D 1-1	1550	1520	47.3%	28.4%	24.3%	-0.9	37
2009-05-17	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1520	1550	24.3%	28.4%	47.3%	+0.9	39
2009-05-17	Feirense	W 2-1	1652	1535	59.4%	22.7%	17.9%	+3.7	51
2009-05-17	@ Uniao Leiria	L 1-2	1535	1652	17.9%	22.7%	59.4%	-3.7	39
2009-05-17	Portimonense	D 2-2	1531	1522	44.3%	29.3%	26.4%	-0.5	34
2009-05-17	@ Vizela	D 2-2	1522	1531	26.4%	29.3%	44.3%	+0.5	34
2009-05-24	Estoril	L 1-2	1527	1565	37.5%	30.6%	32.0%	-7.2	36
2009-05-24	@ Aves	W 2-1	1565	1527	32.0%	30.6%	37.5%	+7.2	44
2009-05-24	Uniao Leiria	L 2-3	1539	1656	27.1%	29.6%	43.3%	-5.4	35
2009-05-24	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-2	1656	1539	43.3%	29.6%	27.1%	+5.4	54
2009-05-24	Sporting Covilha	L 1-4	1536	1549	40.9%	30.1%	29.0%	-18.9	32
2009-05-24	@ Boavista	W 4-1	1549	1536	29.0%	30.1%	40.9%	+18.9	40
2009-05-24	Santa Clara	W 1-0	1532	1579	36.1%	30.6%	33.2%	+7.1	42
2009-05-24	@ Feirense	L 0-1	1579	1532	33.2%	30.6%	36.1%	-7.0	52
2009-05-24	Gil Vicente	W 1-0	1632	1560	53.2%	26.0%	20.9%	+4.7	58
2009-05-24	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1560	1632	20.9%	26.0%	53.2%	-4.7	38
2009-05-24	Gondomar	D 1-1	1553	1524	47.0%	28.5%	24.5%	-0.9	32
2009-05-24	@ Oliveirense	D 1-1	1524	1553	24.5%	28.5%	47.0%	+0.9	30
2009-05-24	Freamunde	D 1-1	1522	1537	40.8%	30.1%	29.1%	-0.5	35
2009-05-24	@ Portimonense	D 1-1	1537	1522	29.1%	30.1%	40.8%	+0.5	41
2009-05-24	Vizela	L 0-2	1521	1531	41.5%	30.0%	28.5%	-15.5	39
2009-05-24	@ Varzim	W 2-0	1531	1521	28.5%	30.0%	41.5%	+15.5	37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2008-11-16	19.75%	Beira-Mar	1532	2	@ Boavista	1620	1
2	2009-02-15	19.81%	Portimonense	1501	1	@ Boavista	1589	0
3	2009-04-11	20.75%	Gondomar	1500	3	@ Sporting Covilha	1574	1
4	2008-12-21	21.02%	Gondomar	1525	2	@ Boavista	1595	1
5	2008-11-16	21.25%	Santa Clara	1530	4	@ Sporting Covilha	1597	2
6	2009-05-10	21.58%	Freamunde	1502	5	@ Feirense	1564	1
7	2009-05-17	22.85%	Boavista	1527	2	@ Estoril	1574	1
8	2009-03-08	23.02%	Varzim	1538	2	@ Feirense	1583	1
9	2009-02-01	23.22%	Aves	1539	2	@ Sporting Covilha	1581	0
10	2008-08-30	23.27%	Portimonense	1540	1	@ Uniao Leiria	1582	0
11	2008-10-26	23.42%	Beira-Mar	1507	3	@ Vizela	1547	0
12	2009-02-08	24.45%	Vizela	1527	3	@ Aves	1556	1
13	2009-05-02	24.55%	Varzim	1534	2	@ Gil Vicente	1562	1
14	2008-11-30	24.97%	Gil Vicente	1559	2	@ Sporting Covilha	1582	1
15	2009-04-19	25.35%	Oliveirense	1554	1	@ Feirense	1574	0
16	2009-02-08	25.40%	Sporting Covilha	1564	2	@ Olhanense	1583	1
17	2008-10-12	25.71%	Sporting Covilha	1589	2	@ Oliveirense	1605	1
18	2008-10-26	25.73%	Olhanense	1537	2	@ Aves	1552	1
19	2008-08-31	26.02%	Aves	1550	2	@ Vizela	1562	0
20	2009-05-10	26.05%	Gondomar	1522	1	@ Aves	1535	0
21	2009-01-04	26.10%	Aves	1522	1	@ Gondomar	1534	0
22	2009-01-11	26.20%	Santa Clara	1552	2	@ Oliveirense	1563	1
23	2009-03-08	26.46%	Gil Vicente	1575	2	@ Santa Clara	1584	0
24	2009-03-15	26.69%	Santa Clara	1568	2	@ Estoril	1574	1
25	2008-12-07	27.94%	Feirense	1544	3	@ Portimonense	1539	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-05-10	28.87	Freamunde	5	1502	21.58%	@ Feirense	1	1564	51.85%
2	2008-10-26	25.35	Beira-Mar	3	1507	23.42%	@ Vizela	0	1547	48.69%
3	2009-05-10	22.66	Estoril	3	1551	28.40%	@ Varzim	0	1542	41.65%
4	2008-11-23	22.48	@ Beira-Mar	4	1542	41.50%	Aves	0	1551	28.51%
5	2009-04-05	21.98	@ Portimonense	3	1497	29.83%	Gil Vicente	0	1590	39.91%
6	2009-04-05	21.63	@ Gondomar	3	1479	30.60%	Estoril	0	1566	39.01%
7	2008-11-02	21.20	@ Gondomar	3	1502	31.57%	Gil Vicente	0	1582	37.92%
8	2009-05-24	18.88	Sporting Covilha	4	1549	28.96%	@ Boavista	1	1536	40.94%
9	2008-11-16	18.82	@ Olhanense	3	1552	37.42%	Oliveirense	0	1591	32.03%
10	2009-03-01	18.82	Olhanense	4	1580	29.10%	@ Boavista	1	1565	40.78%
11	2009-01-25	18.68	@ Gil Vicente	3	1572	37.76%	Olhanense	0	1608	31.72%
12	2008-09-28	18.42	@ Santa Clara	3	1511	38.41%	Portimonense	0	1542	31.13%
13	2009-05-03	17.93	@ Uniao Leiria	5	1642	43.41%	Olhanense	1	1639	27.02%
14	2009-04-26	17.80	@ Olhanense	5	1621	58.29%	Freamunde	0	1512	18.42%
15	2009-02-01	17.54	Aves	2	1539	23.22%	@ Sporting Covilha	0	1581	49.00%
16	2008-11-23	17.24	@ Santa Clara	5	1544	45.06%	Vizela	1	1529	25.82%
17	2008-08-31	16.44	Aves	2	1550	26.02%	@ Vizela	0	1562	44.79%
18	2009-03-08	16.28	Gil Vicente	2	1575	26.46%	@ Santa Clara	0	1584	44.17%
19	2009-04-11	16.15	Gondomar	3	1500	20.75%	@ Sporting Covilha	1	1574	53.40%
20	2009-02-08	15.65	Estoril	2	1564	28.24%	@ Oliveirense	0	1556	41.84%
21	2008-08-31	15.64	@ Varzim	2	1534	28.30%	Boavista	0	1641	41.77%
22	2008-11-02	15.64	@ Feirense	2	1529	28.29%	Boavista	0	1636	41.78%
23	2009-05-24	15.55	Vizela	2	1531	28.54%	@ Varzim	0	1521	41.46%
24	2009-01-04	15.31	Olhanense	2	1584	29.29%	@ Santa Clara	0	1567	40.54%
25	2009-03-15	15.20	@ Olhanense	4	1609	56.57%	Portimonense	0	1512	19.19%