Home / Leagues / NWSL / 2021
‹ ›

2021 NWSL Season

120 regular-season games · 6 playoff teams

Final

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

North Carolina Courage

19.70% chance to win NWSL Championship

Biggest Overachiever

Orlando Pride

6.16 points above expected

28 points · 21.84 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

North Carolina Courage

6.92 points below expected

33 points · 39.92 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Portland Thorns Conference 13 6 5 44 .611 33 17 +16 38.07 +5.93
2 Seattle Reign Playoffs 13 8 3 42 .583 37 24 +13 36.78 +5.22
3 Washington Spirit Playoffs 11 7 6 39 .542 29 26 +3 35.64 +3.36
4 Chicago Red Stars Playoffs 11 8 5 38 .528 28 28 0 37.32 +0.68
5 NY/NJ Gotham FC Playoffs 8 5 11 35 .486 29 21 +8 35.54 -0.54
6 North Carolina Courage Playoffs 9 9 6 33 .458 28 23 +5 39.92 -6.92
7 Houston Dash 9 10 5 32 .444 31 31 0 36.34 -4.34
8 Orlando Pride 7 10 7 28 .389 27 32 -5 21.84 +6.16
9 Racing Louisville 5 12 7 22 .306 21 40 -19 23.81 -1.81
10 Kansas City Current 3 14 7 16 .222 15 36 -21 22.57 -6.57

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Orlando Pride 28 21.84 +6.16
2 Portland Thorns 44 38.07 +5.93
3 Seattle Reign 42 36.78 +5.22
4 Washington Spirit 39 35.64 +3.36
5 Chicago Red Stars 38 37.32 +0.68

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 North Carolina Courage 33 39.92 -6.92
2 Kansas City Current 16 22.57 -6.57
3 Houston Dash 32 36.34 -4.34
4 Racing Louisville 22 23.81 -1.81
5 NY/NJ Gotham FC 35 35.54 -0.54

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orlando Pride 3 May 23 – May 31 1 in 85
2 Washington Spirit 4 Oct 10 – Oct 31 1 in 64
3 Portland Thorns 4 Jul 19 – Aug 8 1 in 27
4 Houston Dash 3 Sep 26 – Oct 11 1 in 22
5 North Carolina Courage 4 Jun 19 – Jul 5 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kansas City Current 6 May 27 – Jun 27 1 in 143
2 North Carolina Courage 3 Oct 11 – Oct 17 1 in 45
3 Houston Dash 3 Oct 14 – Oct 31 1 in 32
4 NY/NJ Gotham FC 3 Aug 22 – Aug 29 1 in 30
5 Orlando Pride 5 Sep 27 – Oct 30 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orlando Pride 7 May 17 – Jun 23 1 in 168
2 NY/NJ Gotham FC 8 Jun 6 – Aug 2 1 in 36
3 Seattle Reign 8 Aug 22 – Oct 14 1 in 22
4 Washington Spirit 6 Sep 26 – Oct 31 1 in 13
5 Portland Thorns 8 Jul 4 – Aug 26 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 NY/NJ Gotham FC 7 Aug 2 – Sep 5 1 in 46
2 Kansas City Current 13 May 15 – Aug 8 1 in 35
3 North Carolina Courage 4 Jul 11 – Aug 1 1 in 18
4 Portland Thorns 4 Sep 26 – Oct 14 1 in 10
5 Racing Louisville 9 Aug 15 – Oct 10 1 in 9

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Chicago Red Stars 1
NY/NJ Gotham FC 0

Nov 7

Washington Spirit 1
North Carolina Courage 0

Nov 7

Second Round

Washington Spirit 2
Seattle Reign 1

Nov 14

Chicago Red Stars 2
Portland Thorns 0

Nov 14

Semifinals

Washington Spirit 1
Chicago Red Stars 0

1 games · Nov 20–Nov 20

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team Stars Dash Current FC Courage Pride Thorns Louisville Reign Spirit
Chicago Red Stars —
4
(3.9 exp.)
9
(5.9 exp.)
2
(4.0 exp.)
3
(2.5 exp.)
6
(6.1 exp.)
3
(2.7 exp.)
1
(3.8 exp.)
3
(3.8 exp.)
7
(4.5 exp.)
Houston Dash
4
(4.2 exp.)
 —
4
(5.5 exp.)
1
(2.8 exp.)
6
(2.5 exp.)
4
(3.8 exp.)
3
(4.1 exp.)
6
(5.4 exp.)
3
(4.2 exp.)
1
(3.9 exp.)
Kansas City Current
0
(2.4 exp.)
4
(2.8 exp.)
 —
2
(1.8 exp.)
2
(2.4 exp.)
0
(2.8 exp.)
1
(2.3 exp.)
4
(3.8 exp.)
3
(2.7 exp.)
0
(1.8 exp.)
NY/NJ Gotham FC
5
(4.1 exp.)
4
(2.7 exp.)
2
(3.7 exp.)
 —
6
(3.9 exp.)
4
(5.5 exp.)
1
(3.6 exp.)
3
(5.8 exp.)
6
(3.6 exp.)
4
(2.7 exp.)
North Carolina Courage
3
(2.9 exp.)
0
(3.0 exp.)
5
(5.8 exp.)
3
(4.3 exp.)
 —
4
(6.3 exp.)
4
(4.4 exp.)
9
(6.1 exp.)
4
(2.9 exp.)
1
(4.3 exp.)
Orlando Pride
3
(2.2 exp.)
1
(1.7 exp.)
6
(2.6 exp.)
4
(2.7 exp.)
4
(2.1 exp.)
 —
4
(2.5 exp.)
4
(4.1 exp.)
0
(1.6 exp.)
2
(2.3 exp.)
Portland Thorns
3
(2.8 exp.)
6
(4.0 exp.)
7
(6.0 exp.)
7
(4.6 exp.)
4
(3.7 exp.)
4
(5.8 exp.)
 —
6
(3.8 exp.)
1
(4.4 exp.)
6
(2.9 exp.)
Racing Louisville
4
(1.7 exp.)
3
(2.8 exp.)
4
(4.4 exp.)
3
(2.5 exp.)
0
(2.2 exp.)
4
(4.0 exp.)
0
(1.7 exp.)
 —
1
(1.7 exp.)
3
(2.9 exp.)
Seattle Reign
6
(4.3 exp.)
6
(3.9 exp.)
6
(5.6 exp.)
3
(4.5 exp.)
1
(2.5 exp.)
6
(3.9 exp.)
7
(3.7 exp.)
4
(3.8 exp.)
 —
3
(4.5 exp.)
Washington Spirit
1
(3.7 exp.)
7
(4.2 exp.)
6
(3.7 exp.)
1
(2.7 exp.)
7
(3.8 exp.)
5
(5.9 exp.)
0
(2.5 exp.)
6
(5.4 exp.)
6
(3.6 exp.)
 —

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.17%9.58%6.67%4.58%0.83%0.83%31.67%
19.58%15.00%8.33%3.33%0.42%0.42%37.08%
26.67%8.33%1.67%2.08%——18.75%
34.58%3.33%2.08%———10.00%
40.83%0.42%————1.25%
5+0.83%0.42%————1.25%
Total31.67%37.08%18.75%10.00%1.25%1.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.16 +0.00
SD 1.09 1.09 1.71
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 120

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%4.17%8.33%4.17%—4.17%29.17%
116.67%12.50%8.33%———37.50%
24.17%12.50%—4.17%——20.83%
34.17%8.33%————12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%37.50%16.67%8.33%—4.17%100%

Chicago Red Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.01 1.24 1.79
CV 0.86 1.06 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—25.00%—4.17%——29.17%
18.33%12.50%8.33%——4.17%33.33%
24.17%12.50%8.33%———25.00%
3——4.17%———4.17%
44.17%4.17%————8.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%54.17%20.83%4.17%—4.17%100%

Houston Dash — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.08 1.72
CV 0.93 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%12.50%12.50%8.33%4.17%—54.17%
14.17%8.33%12.50%8.33%——33.33%
2—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
34.17%—————4.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%25.00%29.17%16.67%4.17%—100%

Kansas City Current — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.50 -0.88
SD 0.82 1.18 1.51
CV 1.32 0.79 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%12.50%————29.17%
18.33%29.17%4.17%———41.67%
2—4.17%—4.17%——8.33%
38.33%4.17%8.33%———20.83%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%50.00%12.50%4.17%——100%

NY/NJ Gotham FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.88 +0.33
SD 1.10 0.80 1.13
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.83%8.33%4.17%4.17%——37.50%
18.33%4.17%12.50%4.17%4.17%—33.33%
212.50%4.17%————16.67%
3—4.17%————4.17%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+4.17%—————4.17%
Total50.00%20.83%16.67%8.33%4.17%—100%

North Carolina Courage — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.96 +0.21
SD 1.34 1.20 1.98
CV 1.15 1.25 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%8.33%4.17%——20.83%
18.33%29.17%12.50%4.17%——54.17%
24.17%8.33%—4.17%——16.67%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%54.17%20.83%12.50%——100%

Orlando Pride — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.33 -0.21
SD 0.85 0.87 1.35
CV 0.76 0.65 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%—4.17%———16.67%
125.00%8.33%16.67%———50.00%
28.33%8.33%—4.17%——20.83%
38.33%—————8.33%
4———————
5+4.17%—————4.17%
Total58.33%16.67%20.83%4.17%——100%

Portland Thorns — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 0.71 +0.67
SD 1.13 0.95 1.58
CV 0.83 1.35 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%16.67%8.33%4.17%4.17%41.67%
14.17%25.00%4.17%8.33%——41.67%
24.17%—————4.17%
34.17%8.33%————12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%37.50%20.83%16.67%4.17%4.17%100%

Racing Louisville — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.67 -0.79
SD 0.99 1.31 2.00
CV 1.13 0.78 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%12.50%8.33%4.17%——29.17%
14.17%8.33%4.17%4.17%——20.83%
216.67%8.33%————25.00%
312.50%—8.33%———20.83%
4———————
5+—4.17%————4.17%
Total37.50%33.33%20.83%8.33%——100%

Seattle Reign — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.00 +0.54
SD 1.35 0.98 1.89
CV 0.88 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%4.17%8.33%——29.17%
18.33%12.50%—4.17%——25.00%
212.50%20.83%4.17%4.17%——41.67%
34.17%—————4.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%41.67%8.33%16.67%——100%

Washington Spirit — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.08 +0.12
SD 0.93 1.06 1.57
CV 0.77 0.98 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +13.2
Allowed 0.71 -10.6
Differential 0.89 +6.8

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Points Avg. Pts. Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
North Carolina Courage 1565 33 39.92 -6.92 14.86% 16 30 36 40 44 50 64
Portland Thorns 1559 44 38.07 +5.93 85.13% 13 28 34 38 42 48 63
Seattle Reign 1551 42 36.78 +5.22 82.27% 12 27 33 37 41 47 62
Chicago Red Stars 1549 38 37.32 +0.68 57.81% 12 27 33 37 41 47 62
Houston Dash 1536 32 36.34 -4.34 27.01% 10 26 32 36 41 47 63
Washington Spirit 1534 39 35.64 +3.36 73.59% 8 26 31 36 40 46 61
NY/NJ Gotham FC 1533 35 35.54 -0.54 49.71% 9 26 31 36 40 46 62
Racing Louisville 1397 22 23.81 -1.81 42.22% 2 15 20 24 28 34 50
Kansas City Current 1393 16 22.57 -6.57 14.48% 3 13 19 22 26 32 47
Orlando Pride 1382 28 21.84 +6.16 88.05% 2 13 18 22 26 31 48

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team12345678910
North Carolina Courage25.79%19.30%15.44%12.76%10.37%7.92%5.47%2.08%0.70%0.17%
Portland Thorns17.27%16.18%15.08%14.02%12.78%11.22%8.26%3.54%1.30%0.34%
Chicago Red Stars14.06%14.63%14.85%14.45%13.54%12.22%9.76%4.43%1.62%0.45%
Seattle Reign12.61%13.83%14.10%14.29%13.83%12.90%10.90%5.05%1.97%0.51%
Houston Dash11.46%12.83%13.74%13.82%13.97%13.69%11.72%5.70%2.35%0.72%
Washington Spirit9.41%11.18%12.70%13.69%14.74%14.68%13.34%6.77%2.63%0.85%
NY/NJ Gotham FC9.11%11.33%12.46%13.68%14.44%14.93%13.58%6.84%2.79%0.85%
Racing Louisville0.15%0.34%0.78%1.52%2.74%5.34%11.01%25.17%27.23%25.71%
Kansas City Current0.07%0.24%0.50%1.03%1.98%3.91%8.60%21.27%29.96%32.45%
Orlando Pride0.05%0.15%0.36%0.74%1.61%3.19%7.36%19.16%29.45%37.95%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 SeedMissed Playoffs
North Carolina Courage25.79%19.30%15.44%12.76%10.37%7.92%8.42%
Portland Thorns17.27%16.18%15.08%14.02%12.78%11.22%13.45%
Chicago Red Stars14.06%14.63%14.85%14.45%13.54%12.22%16.26%
Seattle Reign12.61%13.83%14.10%14.29%13.83%12.90%18.43%
Houston Dash11.46%12.83%13.74%13.82%13.97%13.69%20.49%
Washington Spirit9.41%11.18%12.70%13.69%14.74%14.68%23.59%
NY/NJ Gotham FC9.11%11.33%12.46%13.68%14.44%14.93%24.06%
Racing Louisville0.15%0.34%0.78%1.52%2.74%5.34%89.13%
Kansas City Current0.07%0.24%0.50%1.03%1.98%3.91%92.27%
Orlando Pride0.05%0.15%0.36%0.74%1.61%3.19%93.91%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.83%
Fortress
45.00%25.83%29.17%
Elo Value
Home Edge
194 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
055.48500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Lean Home
-2+0.29+2

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 4.82 · As Expected: 4.82 to 6.62 · Elevated: 6.62 to 9.03 · High Variance: 9.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.52 · Close: 1.52 to 2.05 · Off Target: 2.05 to 2.68 · Well Off Target: 2.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 10 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 10 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.5 · As Expected: 0.5 to 1.2 · Several Outliers: 1.2 to 2.2 · Many Outliers: 2.2 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.75 · As Expected: 0.75 to 1.26 · More Than Expected: 1.26 to 2.01 · Far More Than Expected: 2.01 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.75 points
Subdued
06.0215
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
01.784
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
88.05%
Orlando Pride
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
14.48%
Kansas City Current
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected
1 of 6
As Expected
01.06

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.20
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
67%
Tilted
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
74%
Clear Edge
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Nail-Biters
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Occasional
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Wide Gaps
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.63
Tighter Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.67
Strong Alignment
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalk Held
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Favorites Held
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 · Within Noise: 0.07 to 0.13 · Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.27 · Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.67
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.00
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.057
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Quarterfinals Advanced to Semifinals Won Semifinals
North Carolina Courage 35.56% 23.25% 35.56% 19.70%
Portland Thorns 31.14% 26.55% 31.14% 16.34%
Chicago Red Stars 28.70% 27.53% 28.70% 14.42%
Seattle Reign 27.67% 27.57% 27.67% 13.99%
Houston Dash 27.61% 27.61% 25.87% 12.48%
Washington Spirit 27.91% 27.91% 23.81% 11.19%
NY/NJ Gotham FC 27.75% 27.75% 23.67% 11.02%
Racing Louisville 5.19% 5.19% 1.62% 0.40%
Kansas City Current 3.71% 3.71% 1.15% 0.27%
Orlando Pride 2.95% 2.95% 0.81% 0.20%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago Red StarsHouston DashKansas City CurrentNY/NJ Gotham FCNorth Carolina CourageOrlando PridePortland ThornsRacing LouisvilleSeattle ReignWashington Spirit
Chicago Red Stars51.5%1.98%66.7%0.04%53.3%1.74%47.2%3.58%79.3%0.03%48.2%2.87%71.7%0.06%50.4%2.32%52.9%1.80%
Houston Dash48.5%1.98%65.5%0.03%51.6%1.53%44.4%3.05%66.1%0.03%45.5%2.36%70.8%0.04%47.0%1.97%50.5%1.49%
Kansas City Current33.3%0.04%34.5%0.03%22.4%0.03%23.5%0.06%100.0%<0.01%23.9%0.05%0.0%<0.01%28.8%0.04%27.1%0.03%
NY/NJ Gotham FC46.7%1.74%48.4%1.53%77.6%0.03%44.9%2.58%64.5%0.02%46.5%2.03%70.0%0.04%48.2%1.73%50.3%1.31%
North Carolina Courage52.8%3.58%55.6%3.05%76.5%0.06%55.1%2.58%79.5%0.04%52.9%4.15%74.9%0.09%53.3%3.48%55.8%2.65%
Orlando Pride20.7%0.03%33.9%0.03%0.0%<0.01%35.5%0.02%20.5%0.04%18.5%0.03%50.0%<0.01%27.5%0.03%14.3%0.02%
Portland Thorns51.8%2.87%54.5%2.36%76.1%0.05%53.5%2.03%47.1%4.15%81.5%0.03%70.7%0.07%51.9%2.64%54.6%2.13%
Racing Louisville28.3%0.06%29.2%0.04%100.0%<0.01%30.0%0.04%25.1%0.09%50.0%<0.01%29.3%0.07%27.0%0.06%36.8%0.04%
Seattle Reign49.6%2.32%53.0%1.97%71.2%0.04%51.8%1.73%46.7%3.48%72.5%0.03%48.1%2.64%73.0%0.06%51.9%1.72%
Washington Spirit47.1%1.80%49.5%1.49%72.9%0.03%49.7%1.31%44.2%2.65%85.7%0.02%45.4%2.13%63.2%0.04%48.1%1.72%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago Red StarsHouston DashKansas City CurrentNY/NJ Gotham FCNorth Carolina CourageOrlando PridePortland ThornsRacing LouisvilleSeattle ReignWashington Spirit
Chicago Red Stars52.3%4.43%74.8%0.53%52.5%4.58%46.8%3.51%76.2%0.44%48.4%4.27%74.3%0.79%49.2%4.45%53.3%4.52%
Houston Dash47.7%4.43%71.9%0.51%50.8%4.47%44.9%3.65%75.9%0.43%45.8%4.31%73.4%0.71%48.1%4.52%51.0%4.58%
Kansas City Current25.2%0.53%28.1%0.51%26.1%0.50%25.7%0.53%52.5%0.03%24.2%0.55%54.9%0.05%28.0%0.52%26.1%0.48%
NY/NJ Gotham FC47.5%4.58%49.2%4.47%73.9%0.50%43.7%3.77%72.8%0.39%44.6%4.40%72.0%0.66%46.8%4.46%49.7%4.52%
North Carolina Courage53.2%3.51%55.1%3.65%74.3%0.53%56.3%3.77%79.4%0.41%52.1%3.31%77.5%0.73%53.3%3.53%55.9%3.82%
Orlando Pride23.8%0.44%24.1%0.43%47.5%0.03%27.2%0.39%20.6%0.41%23.2%0.42%41.8%0.03%21.9%0.42%25.0%0.36%
Portland Thorns51.6%4.27%54.2%4.31%75.8%0.55%55.4%4.40%47.9%3.31%76.8%0.42%75.3%0.73%51.6%4.26%54.9%4.30%
Racing Louisville25.7%0.79%26.6%0.71%45.1%0.05%28.0%0.66%22.5%0.73%58.2%0.03%24.7%0.73%26.0%0.78%29.0%0.70%
Seattle Reign50.8%4.45%51.9%4.52%72.0%0.52%53.2%4.46%46.7%3.53%78.1%0.42%48.4%4.26%74.0%0.78%53.7%4.62%
Washington Spirit46.7%4.52%49.0%4.58%73.9%0.48%50.3%4.52%44.1%3.82%75.0%0.36%45.1%4.30%71.0%0.70%46.3%4.62%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago Red StarsHouston DashKansas City CurrentNY/NJ Gotham FCNorth Carolina CourageOrlando PridePortland ThornsRacing LouisvilleSeattle ReignWashington Spirit
Chicago Red Stars52.3%4.33%73.1%0.16%53.3%3.83%46.0%6.22%77.3%0.11%47.8%5.30%76.8%0.24%49.1%4.64%53.0%3.87%
Houston Dash47.7%4.33%74.5%0.13%52.1%3.37%44.0%5.54%74.9%0.09%46.6%4.73%72.7%0.20%48.0%4.08%51.3%3.39%
Kansas City Current26.9%0.16%25.5%0.13%28.9%0.12%22.5%0.26%57.1%<0.01%20.7%0.18%20.0%<0.01%21.3%0.17%23.0%0.13%
NY/NJ Gotham FC46.7%3.83%47.9%3.37%71.1%0.12%43.1%5.12%67.3%0.08%44.9%4.38%72.0%0.17%47.4%3.60%49.2%3.01%
North Carolina Courage54.0%6.22%56.0%5.54%77.5%0.26%56.9%5.12%78.5%0.18%52.9%6.68%76.6%0.35%53.8%6.01%56.5%5.20%
Orlando Pride22.7%0.11%25.1%0.09%42.9%<0.01%32.7%0.08%21.5%0.18%22.1%0.13%20.0%<0.01%24.5%0.12%27.3%0.09%
Portland Thorns52.2%5.30%53.4%4.73%79.3%0.18%55.1%4.38%47.1%6.68%77.9%0.13%75.2%0.29%51.5%5.15%55.3%4.30%
Racing Louisville23.2%0.24%27.3%0.20%80.0%<0.01%28.0%0.17%23.4%0.35%80.0%<0.01%24.8%0.29%20.6%0.21%30.4%0.15%
Seattle Reign50.9%4.64%52.0%4.08%78.7%0.17%52.6%3.60%46.2%6.01%75.5%0.12%48.5%5.15%79.4%0.21%52.7%3.69%
Washington Spirit47.0%3.87%48.7%3.39%77.0%0.13%50.8%3.01%43.5%5.20%72.7%0.09%44.7%4.30%69.6%0.15%47.3%3.69%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Quarterfinals Advanced to Semifinals Won Semifinals Actual Outcome
Chicago Red Stars 50.00% 30.36% 12.28% Eliminated in Semifinals
Washington Spirit 50.00% 26.99% 10.64% Won Semifinals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago Red StarsNY/NJ Gotham FCNorth Carolina CouragePortland ThornsSeattle ReignWashington Spirit
Chicago Red Stars56.3%2.46%41.4%7.18%43.1%2.64%
NY/NJ Gotham FC54.4%1.48%39.0%4.40%41.9%1.59%
North Carolina Courage43.7%2.46%45.6%1.48%42.5%6.07%
Portland Thorns57.5%6.07%59.5%17.77%61.1%6.40%
Seattle Reign58.6%7.18%61.0%4.40%40.5%17.77%
Washington Spirit56.9%2.64%58.1%1.59%38.9%6.40%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago Red StarsNY/NJ Gotham FCNorth Carolina CourageWashington Spirit
Chicago Red Stars60.7%50.00%
NY/NJ Gotham FC39.3%50.00%
North Carolina Courage46.0%50.00%
Washington Spirit54.0%50.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago Red StarsNY/NJ Gotham FCNorth Carolina CouragePortland ThornsSeattle ReignWashington Spirit
Chicago Red Stars40.4%30.36%
NY/NJ Gotham FC38.1%19.64%
North Carolina Courage43.5%23.01%
Portland Thorns59.6%30.36%61.9%19.64%
Seattle Reign56.5%23.01%60.6%26.99%
Washington Spirit39.4%26.99%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Portland Thorns 30.25% chance to win
Finals
vs. Seattle Reign
Matchup
58.82%
Win Prob
59.53%
→
Semifinals
vs. Chicago Red Stars
Matchup
59.78%
Win Prob
59.55%
Seattle Reign 29.35% chance to win
Finals
vs. Portland Thorns
Matchup
51.07%
Win Prob
40.47%
→
Semifinals
vs. Washington Spirit
Matchup
55.72%
Win Prob
60.58%
Chicago Red Stars 12.28% chance to win
Finals
vs. Seattle Reign
Matchup
54.14%
Win Prob
41.45%
→
Quarterfinals
vs. NY/NJ Gotham FC
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
60.72%
→
Semifinals
vs. Portland Thorns
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
40.45%
Washington Spirit 10.64% chance to win
Finals
vs. Portland Thorns
Matchup
50.65%
Win Prob
38.92%
→
Quarterfinals
vs. North Carolina Courage
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
53.98%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Reign
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
39.42%
North Carolina Courage 10.02% chance to win
Finals
vs. Portland Thorns
Matchup
59.59%
Win Prob
42.47%
→
Quarterfinals
vs. Washington Spirit
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
46.02%
→
Semifinals
vs. Seattle Reign
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
43.52%
NY/NJ Gotham FC 7.47% chance to win
Finals
vs. Seattle Reign
Matchup
53.74%
Win Prob
38.96%
→
Quarterfinals
vs. Chicago Red Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
39.28%
→
Semifinals
vs. Portland Thorns
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
38.05%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Excitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-05-17 @ Portland Thorns L 0-5 49.2 1550.98 1552.96 27.38% 28.74% 43.88%-0.30 -1.96 0
2021-05-23 NY/NJ Gotham FC T 0-0 60.2 1549.02 1529.42 46.30% 28.24% 25.46%+0.39 -0.12 1
2021-05-27 @ Kansas City Current W 2-0 43.0 1548.90 1400.36 47.80% 27.86% 24.34%+0.48 +1.12 4
2021-05-30 @ Houston Dash L 1-2 60.0 1550.02 1537.15 29.12% 29.08% 41.80%-0.22 -0.92 4
2021-06-05 North Carolina Courage W 1-0 54.3 1549.10 1569.69 40.71% 29.21% 30.07%+0.18 +0.94 7
2021-06-20 Washington Spirit T 1-1 66.1 1550.04 1532.77 45.98% 28.31% 25.71%+0.37 -0.11 8
2021-06-23 @ Seattle Reign L 0-2 49.8 1549.93 1545.90 28.07% 28.89% 43.04%-0.27 -1.27 8
2021-06-26 Racing Louisville L 0-3 51.3 1548.66 1400.13 62.67% 21.89% 15.44%+1.05 -2.81 8
2021-07-03 @ Washington Spirit W 1-0 56.6 1545.85 1533.71 29.03% 29.06% 41.91%-0.22 +1.20 11
2021-07-12 Houston Dash W 2-1 59.1 1547.05 1539.35 44.67% 28.59% 26.74%+0.33 +0.86 14
2021-07-19 Seattle Reign W 3-1 56.0 1547.91 1544.35 44.09% 28.70% 27.20%+0.30 +1.23 17
2021-07-25 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC L 1-2 59.9 1549.14 1532.51 29.58% 29.15% 41.27%-0.20 -0.93 17
2021-08-02 Washington Spirit W 3-1 55.2 1548.21 1533.87 45.58% 28.40% 26.02%+0.36 +1.19 20
2021-08-09 Orlando Pride L 0-2 52.4 1549.40 1381.15 64.95% 20.70% 14.35%+1.15 -2.36 20
2021-08-16 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-1 52.5 1547.04 1570.63 25.05% 28.11% 46.84%-0.41 -0.82 20
2021-08-19 @ Racing Louisville T 1-1 61.2 1546.22 1401.47 47.28% 28.00% 24.72%+0.46 -0.13 21
2021-08-29 Kansas City Current W 3-0 36.7 1546.09 1393.63 63.13% 21.66% 15.21%+1.07 +0.84 24
2021-09-05 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC T 0-0 59.8 1546.93 1528.87 29.76% 29.17% 41.07%-0.19 +0.07 25
2021-09-11 @ Houston Dash T 1-1 65.9 1547.00 1535.88 28.91% 29.04% 42.05%-0.23 +0.07 26
2021-09-26 Portland Thorns W 2-1 60.6 1547.07 1560.40 41.74% 29.08% 29.18%+0.22 +0.92 29
2021-10-11 @ Seattle Reign L 2-3 64.8 1547.99 1550.97 27.27% 28.72% 44.01%-0.30 -0.87 29
2021-10-14 Orlando Pride W 1-0 40.6 1547.12 1384.66 64.29% 21.05% 14.66%+1.12 +0.46 32
2021-10-17 Kansas City Current W 2-1 48.3 1547.58 1394.90 63.16% 21.64% 15.20%+1.07 +0.48 35
2021-10-30 @ Orlando Pride W 1-0 44.9 1548.06 1383.00 50.00% 27.23% 22.77%+0.56 +0.75 38
2021-05-16 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC L 0-1 52.2 1539.24 1528.51 28.86% 29.03% 42.10%-0.23 -0.91 0
2021-05-24 Kansas City Current T 2-2 69.2 1538.33 1400.09 61.46% 22.51% 16.04%+1.00 -0.28 1
2021-05-27 @ Washington Spirit L 1-2 59.1 1538.05 1530.87 28.44% 28.96% 42.60%-0.25 -0.90 1
2021-05-30 Chicago Red Stars W 2-1 60.0 1537.15 1550.02 41.80% 29.08% 29.12%+0.22 +0.92 4
2021-06-06 @ Kansas City Current W 1-0 46.1 1538.07 1398.30 46.61% 28.16% 25.23%+0.43 +0.82 7
2021-06-20 @ Racing Louisville L 0-1 52.5 1538.89 1399.87 46.51% 28.19% 25.31%+0.43 -1.30 7
2021-06-27 Orlando Pride W 2-1 47.5 1537.59 1383.85 63.28% 21.58% 15.14%+1.08 +0.48 10
2021-07-03 Seattle Reign W 2-0 49.4 1538.07 1544.93 42.65% 28.95% 28.40%+0.25 +1.28 13
2021-07-12 @ Chicago Red Stars L 1-2 59.1 1539.35 1547.05 26.74% 28.59% 44.67%-0.33 -0.86 13
2021-07-18 @ North Carolina Courage W 2-1 66.0 1538.49 1571.33 24.12% 27.78% 48.09%-0.46 +1.33 16
2021-07-25 Portland Thorns L 0-1 57.0 1539.82 1554.99 41.48% 29.12% 29.40%+0.21 -1.19 16
2021-08-02 NY/NJ Gotham FC T 1-1 65.6 1538.63 1533.44 44.32% 28.66% 27.02%+0.31 -0.10 17
2021-08-08 @ Seattle Reign L 1-5 50.9 1538.53 1544.90 26.89% 28.63% 44.48%-0.32 -1.72 17
2021-08-14 Washington Spirit T 2-2 72.1 1536.81 1531.52 44.33% 28.66% 27.01%+0.31 -0.10 18
2021-08-30 Racing Louisville W 1-0 41.7 1536.71 1400.69 61.19% 22.64% 16.17%+0.99 +0.52 21
2021-09-02 Seattle Reign L 0-1 56.8 1537.23 1547.04 42.23% 29.01% 28.75%+0.24 -1.21 21
2021-09-05 @ Orlando Pride T 1-1 60.3 1536.02 1384.81 48.16% 27.77% 24.08%+0.49 -0.14 22
2021-09-11 Chicago Red Stars T 1-1 65.9 1535.88 1547.00 42.05% 29.04% 28.91%+0.23 -0.07 23
2021-09-26 @ Racing Louisville W 4-0 41.7 1535.81 1398.99 46.21% 28.26% 25.53%+0.42 +1.65 26
2021-10-07 @ Portland Thorns W 3-2 70.4 1537.46 1559.47 25.21% 28.16% 46.63%-0.40 +1.31 29
2021-10-11 North Carolina Courage W 4-1 55.0 1538.77 1570.09 39.19% 29.37% 31.44%+0.12 +1.69 32
2021-10-14 @ Kansas City Current L 0-3 48.0 1540.46 1392.61 47.70% 27.89% 24.41%+0.48 -2.30 32
2021-10-18 Portland Thorns L 0-1 56.8 1538.16 1557.92 40.83% 29.20% 29.97%+0.18 -1.18 32
2021-10-31 @ Washington Spirit L 0-1 52.0 1536.98 1533.34 28.03% 28.88% 43.09%-0.27 -0.89 32
2021-05-15 @ Racing Louisville T 0-0 50.8 1400.00 1400.00 27.61% 28.79% 43.60%-0.29 +0.09 1
2021-05-24 @ Houston Dash T 2-2 69.2 1400.09 1538.33 16.04% 22.51% 61.46%-1.00 +0.27 2
2021-05-27 Chicago Red Stars L 0-2 43.0 1400.36 1548.90 24.34% 27.86% 47.80%-0.48 -1.12 2
2021-05-31 @ Orlando Pride L 0-1 43.3 1399.24 1380.68 29.82% 29.18% 41.00%-0.19 -0.94 2
2021-06-06 Houston Dash L 0-1 46.1 1398.30 1538.07 25.23% 28.16% 46.61%-0.43 -0.81 2
2021-06-20 @ Portland Thorns L 0-1 41.5 1397.49 1554.27 14.97% 21.39% 63.63%-1.09 -0.48 2
2021-06-23 Orlando Pride L 1-3 51.3 1397.01 1382.03 45.67% 28.38% 25.95%+0.36 -1.81 2
2021-06-27 Washington Spirit L 1-2 52.8 1395.20 1532.89 25.44% 28.23% 46.32%-0.42 -0.83 2
2021-07-03 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC T 1-1 62.1 1394.37 1531.41 16.11% 22.58% 61.31%-0.99 +0.27 3
2021-07-12 @ Seattle Reign L 0-2 38.1 1394.64 1543.65 15.41% 21.86% 62.73%-1.05 -0.69 3
2021-07-24 North Carolina Courage T 0-0 56.4 1393.95 1570.00 21.79% 26.76% 51.45%-0.62 +0.17 4
2021-08-01 @ Portland Thorns L 0-2 38.1 1394.12 1556.18 14.68% 21.07% 64.25%-1.12 -0.66 4
2021-08-08 @ Racing Louisville L 1-3 46.0 1393.46 1399.99 26.87% 28.62% 44.50%-0.32 -1.22 4
2021-08-15 Seattle Reign W 1-0 53.0 1392.24 1546.62 23.77% 27.65% 48.58%-0.51 +1.35 7
2021-08-22 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-4 36.9 1393.59 1571.45 13.85% 20.11% 66.04%-1.20 -0.87 7
2021-08-26 Racing Louisville W 2-1 50.2 1392.72 1401.60 42.36% 29.00% 28.64%+0.24 +0.91 10
2021-08-29 @ Chicago Red Stars L 0-3 36.7 1393.63 1546.09 15.21% 21.66% 63.13%-1.07 -0.84 10
2021-09-06 North Carolina Courage T 0-0 56.5 1392.79 1572.34 21.49% 26.60% 51.91%-0.64 +0.18 11
2021-09-26 @ Washington Spirit L 1-2 48.1 1392.97 1528.63 16.19% 22.66% 61.15%-0.99 -0.52 11
2021-10-10 Portland Thorns T 0-0 55.8 1392.45 1558.17 22.71% 27.20% 50.09%-0.57 +0.16 12
2021-10-14 Houston Dash W 3-0 48.0 1392.61 1540.46 24.41% 27.89% 47.70%-0.48 +2.29 15
2021-10-17 @ Chicago Red Stars L 1-2 48.3 1394.90 1547.58 15.20% 21.64% 63.16%-1.07 -0.48 15
2021-10-23 NY/NJ Gotham FC T 1-1 60.5 1394.42 1533.28 25.32% 28.19% 46.48%-0.43 +0.12 16
2021-10-31 Seattle Reign L 0-3 41.2 1394.54 1550.10 23.66% 27.60% 48.74%-0.52 -1.34 16
2021-05-16 Houston Dash W 1-0 52.2 1528.51 1539.24 42.10% 29.03% 28.86%+0.23 +0.91 3
2021-05-23 @ Chicago Red Stars T 0-0 60.2 1529.42 1549.02 25.46% 28.24% 46.30%-0.39 +0.12 4
2021-05-30 Portland Thorns L 0-1 56.3 1529.54 1552.26 40.41% 29.25% 30.34%+0.17 -1.17 4
2021-06-06 Seattle Reign W 1-0 52.9 1528.37 1547.65 40.90% 29.19% 29.91%+0.19 +0.94 7
2021-06-21 @ Orlando Pride T 1-1 60.0 1529.31 1381.90 47.64% 27.90% 24.45%+0.47 -0.13 8
2021-06-26 @ Seattle Reign W 3-0 52.9 1529.18 1547.16 25.63% 28.29% 46.08%-0.38 +2.23 11
2021-07-03 Kansas City Current T 1-1 62.1 1531.41 1394.37 61.31% 22.58% 16.11%+0.99 -0.27 12
2021-07-11 @ Portland Thorns T 0-0 60.5 1531.14 1554.67 25.06% 28.11% 46.83%-0.41 +0.12 13
2021-07-18 @ Washington Spirit W 3-2 68.6 1531.26 1533.93 27.30% 28.73% 43.97%-0.30 +1.25 16
2021-07-25 Chicago Red Stars W 2-1 59.9 1532.51 1549.14 41.27% 29.15% 29.58%+0.20 +0.93 19
2021-08-02 @ Houston Dash T 1-1 65.6 1533.44 1538.63 27.02% 28.66% 44.32%-0.31 +0.10 20
2021-08-08 North Carolina Courage L 0-1 56.4 1533.54 1569.50 38.53% 29.42% 32.05%+0.10 -1.13 20
2021-08-15 Racing Louisville T 1-1 62.3 1532.41 1401.21 60.61% 22.92% 16.46%+0.96 -0.27 21
2021-08-22 @ Seattle Reign L 2-3 63.6 1532.14 1545.28 26.15% 28.44% 45.41%-0.35 -0.84 21
2021-08-26 @ Portland Thorns L 1-2 58.4 1531.30 1557.84 24.75% 28.01% 47.24%-0.42 -0.80 21
2021-08-29 Orlando Pride L 0-1 54.6 1530.50 1383.19 62.53% 21.97% 15.51%+1.05 -1.63 21
2021-09-05 Chicago Red Stars T 0-0 59.8 1528.87 1546.93 41.07% 29.17% 29.76%+0.19 -0.06 22
2021-09-25 North Carolina Courage W 3-1 58.2 1528.81 1570.89 37.66% 29.47% 32.87%+0.07 +1.43 25
2021-10-07 Washington Spirit T 0-0 59.4 1530.24 1529.15 43.75% 28.77% 27.48%+0.29 -0.09 26
2021-10-10 @ Orlando Pride W 3-2 57.2 1530.15 1385.47 47.27% 28.00% 24.73%+0.46 +0.80 29
2021-10-17 @ North Carolina Courage W 3-0 54.2 1530.95 1567.05 23.81% 27.66% 48.53%-0.47 +2.33 32
2021-10-23 @ Kansas City Current T 1-1 60.5 1533.28 1394.42 46.48% 28.19% 25.32%+0.43 -0.12 33
2021-10-29 @ Racing Louisville T 1-1 60.5 1533.16 1397.00 46.12% 28.28% 25.60%+0.42 -0.12 34
2021-10-31 Racing Louisville T 1-1 62.2 1533.04 1397.11 61.18% 22.64% 16.17%+0.99 -0.27 35
2021-05-16 @ Seattle Reign T 0-0 61.2 1570.34 1547.74 30.32% 29.25% 40.43%-0.17 +0.05 1
2021-05-23 Orlando Pride L 1-2 63.5 1570.39 1377.56 67.71% 19.19% 13.10%+1.28 -1.71 1
2021-05-29 Racing Louisville W 5-0 38.1 1568.68 1401.72 64.81% 20.77% 14.42%+1.15 +1.01 4
2021-06-05 @ Chicago Red Stars L 0-1 54.3 1569.69 1549.10 30.07% 29.21% 40.71%-0.18 -0.94 4
2021-06-19 Seattle Reign W 2-1 59.4 1568.75 1546.71 46.63% 28.16% 25.21%+0.40 +0.81 7
2021-06-24 @ Racing Louisville W 2-0 43.0 1569.56 1401.17 50.44% 27.09% 22.47%+0.58 +1.05 10
2021-06-27 Portland Thorns W 2-0 49.9 1570.61 1554.74 45.79% 28.35% 25.86%+0.37 +1.18 13
2021-07-05 @ Orlando Pride W 2-0 41.6 1571.79 1383.37 53.06% 26.19% 20.75%+0.69 +0.96 16
2021-07-11 @ Washington Spirit L 0-2 51.6 1572.75 1532.51 32.63% 29.45% 37.92%-0.08 -1.42 16
2021-07-18 Houston Dash L 1-2 66.0 1571.33 1538.49 48.09% 27.78% 24.12%+0.46 -1.33 16
2021-07-24 @ Kansas City Current T 0-0 56.4 1570.00 1393.95 51.45% 26.76% 21.79%+0.62 -0.17 17
2021-08-01 Orlando Pride T 1-1 63.9 1569.83 1380.83 67.29% 19.42% 13.29%+1.26 -0.33 18
2021-08-08 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC W 1-0 56.4 1569.50 1533.54 32.05% 29.42% 38.53%-0.10 +1.13 21
2021-08-16 Chicago Red Stars W 1-0 52.5 1570.63 1547.04 46.84% 28.11% 25.05%+0.41 +0.82 24
2021-08-22 Kansas City Current W 4-0 36.9 1571.45 1393.59 66.04% 20.11% 13.85%+1.20 +0.86 27
2021-08-29 @ Washington Spirit T 0-0 60.7 1572.31 1532.11 32.62% 29.45% 37.93%-0.08 +0.03 28
2021-09-06 @ Kansas City Current T 0-0 56.5 1572.34 1392.79 51.91% 26.60% 21.49%+0.64 -0.18 29
2021-09-12 Portland Thorns L 0-1 59.1 1572.16 1559.12 45.40% 28.44% 26.16%+0.35 -1.27 29
2021-09-25 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC L 1-3 58.2 1570.89 1528.81 32.87% 29.47% 37.66%-0.07 -1.43 29
2021-10-07 Racing Louisville W 3-1 45.0 1569.46 1397.34 65.40% 20.46% 14.15%+1.17 +0.63 32
2021-10-11 @ Houston Dash L 1-4 55.0 1570.09 1538.77 31.44% 29.37% 39.19%-0.12 -1.69 32
2021-10-14 Washington Spirit L 1-2 65.8 1568.40 1530.16 48.82% 27.58% 23.60%+0.48 -1.35 32
2021-10-17 NY/NJ Gotham FC L 0-3 54.2 1567.05 1530.95 48.53% 27.66% 23.81%+0.47 -2.33 32
2021-10-31 @ Portland Thorns T 0-0 61.5 1564.72 1559.09 28.26% 28.92% 42.82%-0.26 +0.08 33
2021-05-17 Washington Spirit T 1-1 60.0 1377.42 1532.82 23.67% 27.61% 48.72%-0.52 +0.14 1
2021-05-23 @ North Carolina Courage W 2-1 63.5 1377.56 1570.39 13.10% 19.19% 67.71%-1.28 +1.72 4
2021-05-27 Portland Thorns W 2-1 60.3 1379.28 1553.66 21.94% 26.83% 51.23%-0.61 +1.40 7
2021-05-31 Kansas City Current W 1-0 43.3 1380.68 1399.24 41.00% 29.18% 29.82%+0.19 +0.94 10
2021-06-06 @ Washington Spirit T 1-1 62.0 1381.62 1533.06 15.27% 21.72% 63.01%-1.07 +0.28 11
2021-06-21 NY/NJ Gotham FC T 1-1 60.0 1381.90 1529.31 24.45% 27.90% 47.64%-0.47 +0.13 12
2021-06-23 @ Kansas City Current W 3-1 51.3 1382.03 1397.01 25.95% 28.38% 45.67%-0.36 +1.82 15
2021-06-27 @ Houston Dash L 1-2 47.5 1383.85 1537.59 15.14% 21.58% 63.28%-1.08 -0.48 15
2021-07-05 North Carolina Courage L 0-2 41.6 1383.37 1571.79 20.75% 26.19% 53.06%-0.69 -0.97 15
2021-07-10 Racing Louisville T 1-1 56.1 1382.40 1401.83 40.88% 29.20% 29.93%+0.19 -0.06 16
2021-07-19 @ Portland Thorns L 1-2 47.4 1382.34 1554.55 14.14% 20.45% 65.41%-1.17 -0.44 16
2021-07-25 Seattle Reign L 0-2 41.6 1381.90 1543.11 23.12% 27.38% 49.49%-0.54 -1.07 16
2021-08-01 @ North Carolina Courage T 1-1 63.9 1380.83 1569.83 13.29% 19.42% 67.29%-1.26 +0.32 17
2021-08-09 @ Chicago Red Stars W 2-0 52.4 1381.15 1549.40 14.35% 20.70% 64.95%-1.15 +2.36 20
2021-08-15 Portland Thorns T 1-1 61.4 1383.51 1558.01 21.93% 26.83% 51.25%-0.61 +0.17 21
2021-08-22 @ Washington Spirit L 1-2 47.5 1383.68 1531.62 15.47% 21.93% 62.60%-1.05 -0.49 21
2021-08-29 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC W 1-0 54.6 1383.19 1530.50 15.51% 21.97% 62.53%-1.05 +1.62 24
2021-09-05 Houston Dash T 1-1 60.3 1384.81 1536.02 24.08% 27.77% 48.16%-0.49 +0.14 25
2021-09-12 Racing Louisville W 3-1 46.8 1384.95 1400.31 41.45% 29.12% 29.42%+0.21 +1.31 28
2021-09-27 @ Seattle Reign L 0-3 36.2 1386.26 1550.17 14.58% 20.96% 64.46%-1.13 -0.79 28
2021-10-10 NY/NJ Gotham FC L 2-3 57.2 1385.47 1530.15 24.73% 28.00% 47.27%-0.46 -0.81 28
2021-10-14 @ Chicago Red Stars L 0-1 40.6 1384.66 1547.12 14.66% 21.05% 64.29%-1.12 -0.46 28
2021-10-17 @ Racing Louisville L 1-3 45.5 1384.20 1395.80 26.32% 28.48% 45.20%-0.35 -1.20 28
2021-10-30 Chicago Red Stars L 0-1 44.9 1383.00 1548.06 22.77% 27.23% 50.00%-0.56 -0.75 28
2021-05-17 Chicago Red Stars W 5-0 49.2 1552.96 1550.98 43.88% 28.74% 27.38%+0.30 +1.96 3
2021-05-24 Seattle Reign L 1-2 65.0 1554.92 1547.68 44.60% 28.60% 26.79%+0.32 -1.26 3
2021-05-27 @ Orlando Pride L 1-2 60.3 1553.66 1379.28 51.23% 26.83% 21.94%+0.61 -1.40 3
2021-05-30 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC W 1-0 56.3 1552.26 1529.54 30.34% 29.25% 40.41%-0.17 +1.17 6
2021-06-06 Racing Louisville W 3-0 37.2 1553.43 1400.71 63.16% 21.64% 15.20%+1.07 +0.84 9
2021-06-20 Kansas City Current W 1-0 41.5 1554.27 1397.49 63.63% 21.39% 14.97%+1.09 +0.47 12
2021-06-27 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-2 49.9 1554.74 1570.61 25.86% 28.35% 45.79%-0.37 -1.18 12
2021-07-04 @ Racing Louisville W 2-0 43.2 1553.56 1402.95 48.08% 27.79% 24.14%+0.49 +1.11 15
2021-07-11 NY/NJ Gotham FC T 0-0 60.5 1554.67 1531.14 46.83% 28.11% 25.06%+0.41 -0.12 16
2021-07-19 Orlando Pride W 2-1 47.4 1554.55 1382.34 65.41% 20.45% 14.14%+1.17 +0.44 19
2021-07-25 @ Houston Dash W 1-0 57.0 1554.99 1539.82 29.40% 29.12% 41.48%-0.21 +1.19 22
2021-08-01 Kansas City Current W 2-0 38.1 1556.18 1394.12 64.25% 21.07% 14.68%+1.12 +0.66 25
2021-08-08 @ Washington Spirit W 1-0 56.5 1556.84 1532.69 30.52% 29.27% 40.21%-0.16 +1.17 28
2021-08-15 @ Orlando Pride T 1-1 61.4 1558.01 1383.51 51.25% 26.83% 21.93%+0.61 -0.17 29
2021-08-26 NY/NJ Gotham FC W 2-1 58.4 1557.84 1531.30 47.24% 28.01% 24.75%+0.42 +0.80 32
2021-08-30 @ Seattle Reign L 1-2 60.5 1558.64 1546.12 29.08% 29.07% 41.85%-0.22 -0.92 32
2021-09-05 Washington Spirit W 3-0 46.9 1557.72 1532.08 47.12% 28.04% 24.84%+0.42 +1.40 35
2021-09-12 @ North Carolina Courage W 1-0 59.1 1559.12 1572.16 26.16% 28.44% 45.40%-0.35 +1.28 38
2021-09-26 @ Chicago Red Stars L 1-2 60.6 1560.40 1547.07 29.18% 29.08% 41.74%-0.22 -0.93 38
2021-10-07 Houston Dash L 2-3 70.4 1559.47 1537.46 46.63% 28.16% 25.21%+0.40 -1.30 38
2021-10-10 @ Kansas City Current T 0-0 55.8 1558.17 1392.45 50.09% 27.20% 22.71%+0.57 -0.16 39
2021-10-14 Seattle Reign T 1-1 66.9 1558.01 1551.84 44.46% 28.63% 26.91%+0.32 -0.09 40
2021-10-18 @ Houston Dash W 1-0 56.8 1557.92 1538.16 29.97% 29.20% 40.83%-0.18 +1.17 43
2021-10-31 North Carolina Courage T 0-0 61.5 1559.09 1564.72 42.82% 28.92% 28.26%+0.26 -0.08 44
2021-05-15 Kansas City Current T 0-0 50.8 1400.00 1400.00 43.60% 28.79% 27.61%+0.29 -0.09 1
2021-05-22 Washington Spirit W 2-0 49.0 1399.91 1532.68 25.96% 28.38% 45.65%-0.40 +1.81 4
2021-05-29 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-5 38.1 1401.72 1568.68 14.42% 20.77% 64.81%-1.15 -1.01 4
2021-06-06 @ Portland Thorns L 0-3 37.2 1400.71 1553.43 15.20% 21.64% 63.16%-1.07 -0.84 4
2021-06-20 Houston Dash W 1-0 52.5 1399.87 1538.89 25.31% 28.19% 46.51%-0.43 +1.30 7
2021-06-24 North Carolina Courage L 0-2 43.0 1401.17 1569.56 22.47% 27.09% 50.44%-0.58 -1.04 7
2021-06-26 @ Chicago Red Stars W 3-0 51.3 1400.13 1548.66 15.44% 21.89% 62.67%-1.05 +2.82 10
2021-07-04 Portland Thorns L 0-2 43.2 1402.95 1553.56 24.14% 27.79% 48.08%-0.49 -1.12 10
2021-07-10 @ Orlando Pride T 1-1 56.1 1401.83 1382.40 29.93% 29.20% 40.88%-0.19 +0.06 11
2021-07-26 Washington Spirit L 0-2 43.2 1401.89 1532.68 26.18% 28.44% 45.38%-0.39 -1.19 11
2021-08-01 @ Seattle Reign L 0-2 38.6 1400.70 1544.18 15.73% 22.20% 62.08%-1.03 -0.71 11
2021-08-08 Kansas City Current W 3-1 46.0 1399.99 1393.46 44.50% 28.62% 26.87%+0.32 +1.22 14
2021-08-15 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC T 1-1 62.3 1401.21 1532.41 16.46% 22.92% 60.61%-0.96 +0.26 15
2021-08-19 Chicago Red Stars T 1-1 61.2 1401.47 1546.22 24.72% 28.00% 47.28%-0.46 +0.13 16
2021-08-26 @ Kansas City Current L 1-2 50.2 1401.60 1392.72 28.64% 29.00% 42.36%-0.24 -0.91 16
2021-08-30 @ Houston Dash L 0-1 41.7 1400.69 1536.71 16.17% 22.64% 61.19%-0.99 -0.52 16
2021-09-05 Seattle Reign T 1-1 61.3 1400.17 1548.25 24.39% 27.88% 47.73%-0.48 +0.14 17
2021-09-12 @ Orlando Pride L 1-3 46.8 1400.31 1384.95 29.42% 29.12% 41.45%-0.21 -1.32 17
2021-09-26 Houston Dash L 0-4 41.7 1398.99 1535.81 25.53% 28.26% 46.21%-0.42 -1.65 17
2021-10-07 @ North Carolina Courage L 1-3 45.0 1397.34 1569.46 14.15% 20.46% 65.40%-1.17 -0.63 17
2021-10-10 @ Washington Spirit L 0-3 36.9 1396.71 1529.24 16.38% 22.84% 60.77%-0.97 -0.91 17
2021-10-17 Orlando Pride W 3-1 45.5 1395.80 1384.20 45.20% 28.48% 26.32%+0.35 +1.20 20
2021-10-29 NY/NJ Gotham FC T 1-1 60.5 1397.00 1533.16 25.60% 28.28% 46.12%-0.42 +0.11 21
2021-10-31 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC T 1-1 62.2 1397.11 1533.04 16.17% 22.64% 61.18%-0.99 +0.27 22
2021-05-16 North Carolina Courage T 0-0 61.2 1547.74 1570.34 40.43% 29.25% 30.32%+0.17 -0.06 1
2021-05-24 @ Portland Thorns W 2-1 65.0 1547.68 1554.92 26.79% 28.60% 44.60%-0.32 +1.26 4
2021-05-31 Washington Spirit L 0-1 57.6 1548.94 1531.77 45.97% 28.31% 25.72%+0.37 -1.29 4
2021-06-06 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC L 0-1 52.9 1547.65 1528.37 29.91% 29.19% 40.90%-0.19 -0.94 4
2021-06-19 @ North Carolina Courage L 1-2 59.4 1546.71 1568.75 25.21% 28.16% 46.63%-0.40 -0.81 4
2021-06-23 Chicago Red Stars W 2-0 49.8 1545.90 1549.93 43.04% 28.89% 28.07%+0.27 +1.26 7
2021-06-26 NY/NJ Gotham FC L 0-3 52.9 1547.16 1529.18 46.08% 28.29% 25.63%+0.38 -2.23 7
2021-07-03 @ Houston Dash L 0-2 49.4 1544.93 1538.07 28.40% 28.95% 42.65%-0.25 -1.28 7
2021-07-12 Kansas City Current W 2-0 38.1 1543.65 1394.64 62.73% 21.86% 15.41%+1.05 +0.70 10
2021-07-19 @ Chicago Red Stars L 1-3 56.0 1544.35 1547.91 27.20% 28.70% 44.09%-0.30 -1.24 10
2021-07-25 @ Orlando Pride W 2-0 41.6 1543.11 1381.90 49.49% 27.38% 23.12%+0.54 +1.07 13
2021-08-01 Racing Louisville W 2-0 38.6 1544.18 1400.70 62.08% 22.20% 15.73%+1.03 +0.72 16
2021-08-08 Houston Dash W 5-1 50.9 1544.90 1538.53 44.48% 28.63% 26.89%+0.32 +1.72 19
2021-08-15 @ Kansas City Current L 0-1 53.0 1546.62 1392.24 48.58% 27.65% 23.77%+0.51 -1.34 19
2021-08-22 NY/NJ Gotham FC W 3-2 63.6 1545.28 1532.14 45.41% 28.44% 26.15%+0.35 +0.84 22
2021-08-30 Portland Thorns W 2-1 60.5 1546.12 1558.64 41.85% 29.07% 29.08%+0.22 +0.92 25
2021-09-02 @ Houston Dash W 1-0 56.8 1547.04 1537.23 28.75% 29.01% 42.23%-0.24 +1.21 28
2021-09-05 @ Racing Louisville T 1-1 61.3 1548.25 1400.17 47.73% 27.88% 24.39%+0.48 -0.13 29
2021-09-12 @ Washington Spirit W 3-0 51.8 1548.12 1530.69 29.68% 29.16% 41.16%-0.20 +2.05 32
2021-09-27 Orlando Pride W 3-0 36.2 1550.17 1386.26 64.46% 20.96% 14.58%+1.13 +0.80 35
2021-10-11 Chicago Red Stars W 3-2 64.8 1550.97 1547.99 44.01% 28.72% 27.27%+0.30 +0.87 38
2021-10-14 @ Portland Thorns T 1-1 66.9 1551.84 1558.01 26.91% 28.63% 44.46%-0.32 +0.10 39
2021-10-17 Washington Spirit L 0-2 54.6 1551.94 1531.51 46.41% 28.21% 25.38%+0.39 -1.84 39
2021-10-31 @ Kansas City Current W 3-0 41.2 1550.10 1394.54 48.74% 27.60% 23.66%+0.52 +1.34 42
2021-05-17 @ Orlando Pride T 1-1 60.0 1532.82 1377.42 48.72% 27.61% 23.67%+0.52 -0.14 1
2021-05-22 @ Racing Louisville L 0-2 49.0 1532.68 1399.91 45.65% 28.38% 25.96%+0.40 -1.81 1
2021-05-27 Houston Dash W 2-1 59.1 1530.87 1538.05 42.60% 28.96% 28.44%+0.25 +0.90 4
2021-05-31 @ Seattle Reign W 1-0 57.6 1531.77 1548.94 25.72% 28.31% 45.97%-0.37 +1.29 7
2021-06-06 Orlando Pride T 1-1 62.0 1533.06 1381.62 63.01% 21.72% 15.27%+1.07 -0.29 8
2021-06-20 @ Chicago Red Stars T 1-1 66.1 1532.77 1550.04 25.71% 28.31% 45.98%-0.37 +0.12 9
2021-06-27 @ Kansas City Current W 2-1 52.8 1532.89 1395.20 46.32% 28.23% 25.44%+0.42 +0.82 12
2021-07-03 Chicago Red Stars L 0-1 56.6 1533.71 1545.85 41.91% 29.06% 29.03%+0.22 -1.20 12
2021-07-11 North Carolina Courage W 2-0 51.6 1532.51 1572.75 37.92% 29.45% 32.63%+0.08 +1.42 15
2021-07-18 NY/NJ Gotham FC L 2-3 68.6 1533.93 1531.26 43.97% 28.73% 27.30%+0.30 -1.25 15
2021-07-26 @ Racing Louisville W 2-0 43.2 1532.68 1401.89 45.38% 28.44% 26.18%+0.39 +1.19 18
2021-08-02 @ Chicago Red Stars L 1-3 55.2 1533.87 1548.21 26.02% 28.40% 45.58%-0.36 -1.18 18
2021-08-08 Portland Thorns L 0-1 56.5 1532.69 1556.84 40.21% 29.27% 30.52%+0.16 -1.17 18
2021-08-14 @ Houston Dash T 2-2 72.1 1531.52 1536.81 27.01% 28.66% 44.33%-0.31 +0.10 19
2021-08-22 Orlando Pride W 2-1 47.5 1531.62 1383.68 62.60% 21.93% 15.47%+1.05 +0.49 22
2021-08-29 North Carolina Courage T 0-0 60.7 1532.11 1572.31 37.93% 29.45% 32.62%+0.08 -0.03 23
2021-09-05 @ Portland Thorns L 0-3 46.9 1532.08 1557.72 24.84% 28.04% 47.12%-0.42 -1.39 23
2021-09-12 Seattle Reign L 0-3 51.8 1530.69 1548.12 41.16% 29.16% 29.68%+0.20 -2.06 23
2021-09-26 Kansas City Current W 2-1 48.1 1528.63 1392.97 61.15% 22.66% 16.19%+0.99 +0.52 26
2021-10-07 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC T 0-0 59.4 1529.15 1530.24 27.48% 28.77% 43.75%-0.29 +0.09 27
2021-10-10 Racing Louisville W 3-0 36.9 1529.24 1396.71 60.77% 22.84% 16.38%+0.97 +0.92 30
2021-10-14 @ North Carolina Courage W 2-1 65.8 1530.16 1568.40 23.60% 27.58% 48.82%-0.48 +1.35 33
2021-10-17 @ Seattle Reign W 2-0 54.6 1531.51 1551.94 25.38% 28.21% 46.41%-0.39 +1.83 36
2021-10-31 Houston Dash W 1-0 52.0 1533.34 1536.98 43.09% 28.88% 28.03%+0.27 +0.90 39

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Excitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2021-11-07 NY/NJ Gotham FC W 1-0 47.2 1548.81 1532.77 60.63% 0.00% 39.37%+0.37 +0.83 1-0
2021-11-14 @ Portland Thorns W 2-0 51.0 1549.64 1559.01 40.29% 0.00% 59.71%-0.33 +1.79 2-0
2021-11-20 @ Washington Spirit L 1-2 55.6 1551.43 1536.50 43.70% 0.00% 56.30%-0.21 -0.92 2-1
2021-11-07 @ Chicago Red Stars L 0-1 47.2 1532.77 1548.81 39.37% 0.00% 60.63%-0.37 -0.83 0-1
2021-11-07 @ Washington Spirit L 0-1 49.7 1564.80 1534.24 45.92% 0.00% 54.08%-0.13 -0.97 0-1
2021-11-14 Chicago Red Stars L 0-2 51.0 1559.01 1549.64 59.71% 0.00% 40.29%+0.33 -1.79 0-1
2021-11-14 Washington Spirit L 1-2 60.7 1551.44 1535.21 60.65% 0.00% 39.35%+0.37 -1.28 0-1
2021-11-07 North Carolina Courage W 1-0 49.7 1534.24 1564.80 54.08% 0.00% 45.92%+0.13 +0.97 1-0
2021-11-14 @ Seattle Reign W 2-1 60.7 1535.21 1551.44 39.35% 0.00% 60.65%-0.37 +1.29 2-0
2021-11-20 Chicago Red Stars W 2-1 55.6 1536.50 1551.43 56.30% 0.00% 43.70%+0.21 +0.92 3-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-05-23 13.10% Orlando Pride 1377.56 2 @ North Carolina Courage 1570.39 1
2 2021-08-09 14.35% Orlando Pride 1381.15 2 @ Chicago Red Stars 1549.40 0
3 2021-06-26 15.44% Racing Louisville 1400.13 3 @ Chicago Red Stars 1548.66 0
4 2021-08-29 15.51% Orlando Pride 1383.19 1 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC 1530.50 0
5 2021-05-27 21.94% @ Orlando Pride 1379.28 2 Portland Thorns 1553.66 1
6 2021-10-14 23.60% Washington Spirit 1530.16 2 @ North Carolina Courage 1568.40 1
7 2021-08-15 23.77% @ Kansas City Current 1392.24 1 Seattle Reign 1546.62 0
8 2021-10-17 23.81% NY/NJ Gotham FC 1530.95 3 @ North Carolina Courage 1567.05 0
9 2021-07-18 24.12% Houston Dash 1538.49 2 @ North Carolina Courage 1571.33 1
10 2021-10-14 24.41% @ Kansas City Current 1392.61 3 Houston Dash 1540.46 0
11 2021-10-07 25.21% Houston Dash 1537.46 3 @ Portland Thorns 1559.47 2
12 2021-06-20 25.31% @ Racing Louisville 1399.87 1 Houston Dash 1538.89 0
13 2021-10-17 25.38% Washington Spirit 1531.51 2 @ Seattle Reign 1551.94 0
14 2021-06-26 25.63% NY/NJ Gotham FC 1529.18 3 @ Seattle Reign 1547.16 0
15 2021-05-31 25.72% Washington Spirit 1531.77 1 @ Seattle Reign 1548.94 0
16 2021-06-23 25.95% Orlando Pride 1382.03 3 @ Kansas City Current 1397.01 1
17 2021-05-22 25.96% @ Racing Louisville 1399.91 2 Washington Spirit 1532.68 0
18 2021-09-12 26.16% Portland Thorns 1559.12 1 @ North Carolina Courage 1572.16 0
19 2021-05-24 26.79% Seattle Reign 1547.68 2 @ Portland Thorns 1554.92 1
20 2021-07-18 27.30% NY/NJ Gotham FC 1531.26 3 @ Washington Spirit 1533.93 2
21 2021-09-02 28.75% Seattle Reign 1547.04 1 @ Houston Dash 1537.23 0
22 2021-07-03 29.03% Chicago Red Stars 1545.85 1 @ Washington Spirit 1533.71 0
23 2021-07-25 29.40% Portland Thorns 1554.99 1 @ Houston Dash 1539.82 0
24 2021-09-12 29.68% Seattle Reign 1548.12 3 @ Washington Spirit 1530.69 0
25 2021-10-18 29.97% Portland Thorns 1557.92 1 @ Houston Dash 1538.16 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-06-26 2.82 Racing Louisville 3 1400.13 15.44% @ Chicago Red Stars 0 1548.66 62.67% 21.89%
2 2021-08-09 2.36 Orlando Pride 2 1381.15 14.35% @ Chicago Red Stars 0 1549.40 64.95% 20.70%
3 2021-10-17 2.33 NY/NJ Gotham FC 3 1530.95 23.81% @ North Carolina Courage 0 1567.05 48.53% 27.66%
4 2021-10-14 2.30 @ Kansas City Current 3 1392.61 24.41% Houston Dash 0 1540.46 47.70% 27.89%
5 2021-06-26 2.23 NY/NJ Gotham FC 3 1529.18 25.63% @ Seattle Reign 0 1547.16 46.08% 28.29%
6 2021-09-12 2.06 Seattle Reign 3 1548.12 29.68% @ Washington Spirit 0 1530.69 41.16% 29.16%
7 2021-05-17 1.96 @ Portland Thorns 5 1552.96 43.88% Chicago Red Stars 0 1550.98 27.38% 28.74%
8 2021-10-17 1.84 Washington Spirit 2 1531.51 25.38% @ Seattle Reign 0 1551.94 46.41% 28.21%
9 2021-06-23 1.82 Orlando Pride 3 1382.03 25.95% @ Kansas City Current 1 1397.01 45.67% 28.38%
10 2021-05-22 1.81 @ Racing Louisville 2 1399.91 25.96% Washington Spirit 0 1532.68 45.65% 28.38%
11 2021-11-14 * 1.79 Chicago Red Stars 2 1549.64 40.29% @ Portland Thorns 0 1559.01 59.71% 0.00%
12 2021-05-23 1.72 Orlando Pride 2 1377.56 13.10% @ North Carolina Courage 1 1570.39 67.71% 19.19%
13 2021-08-08 1.72 @ Seattle Reign 5 1544.90 44.48% Houston Dash 1 1538.53 26.89% 28.63%
14 2021-10-11 1.69 @ Houston Dash 4 1538.77 39.19% North Carolina Courage 1 1570.09 31.44% 29.37%
15 2021-09-26 1.65 Houston Dash 4 1535.81 46.21% @ Racing Louisville 0 1398.99 25.53% 28.26%
16 2021-08-29 1.63 Orlando Pride 1 1383.19 15.51% @ NY/NJ Gotham FC 0 1530.50 62.53% 21.97%
17 2021-09-25 1.43 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC 3 1528.81 37.66% North Carolina Courage 1 1570.89 32.87% 29.47%
18 2021-07-11 1.42 @ Washington Spirit 2 1532.51 37.92% North Carolina Courage 0 1572.75 32.63% 29.45%
19 2021-05-27 1.40 @ Orlando Pride 2 1379.28 21.94% Portland Thorns 1 1553.66 51.23% 26.83%
20 2021-09-05 1.40 @ Portland Thorns 3 1557.72 47.12% Washington Spirit 0 1532.08 24.84% 28.04%
21 2021-10-14 1.35 Washington Spirit 2 1530.16 23.60% @ North Carolina Courage 1 1568.40 48.82% 27.58%
22 2021-08-15 1.35 @ Kansas City Current 1 1392.24 23.77% Seattle Reign 0 1546.62 48.58% 27.65%
23 2021-10-31 1.34 Seattle Reign 3 1550.10 48.74% @ Kansas City Current 0 1394.54 23.66% 27.60%
24 2021-07-18 1.33 Houston Dash 2 1538.49 24.12% @ North Carolina Courage 1 1571.33 48.09% 27.78%
25 2021-09-12 1.32 @ Orlando Pride 3 1384.95 41.45% Racing Louisville 1 1400.31 29.42% 29.12%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season's games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-08-14 72.1 @ Houston Dash 2 1536.81 44.33% Washington Spirit 2 1531.52 27.01% 28.66%
2 2021-10-07 70.4 Houston Dash 3 1537.46 25.21% @ Portland Thorns 2 1559.47 46.63% 28.16%
3 2021-05-24 69.2 @ Houston Dash 2 1538.33 61.46% Kansas City Current 2 1400.09 16.04% 22.51%
4 2021-07-18 68.6 NY/NJ Gotham FC 3 1531.26 27.30% @ Washington Spirit 2 1533.93 43.97% 28.73%
5 2021-10-14 66.9 @ Portland Thorns 1 1558.01 44.46% Seattle Reign 1 1551.84 26.91% 28.63%
6 2021-06-20 66.1 @ Chicago Red Stars 1 1550.04 45.98% Washington Spirit 1 1532.77 25.71% 28.31%
7 2021-07-18 66.0 Houston Dash 2 1538.49 24.12% @ North Carolina Courage 1 1571.33 48.09% 27.78%
8 2021-09-11 65.9 @ Houston Dash 1 1535.88 42.05% Chicago Red Stars 1 1547.00 28.91% 29.04%
9 2021-10-14 65.8 Washington Spirit 2 1530.16 23.60% @ North Carolina Courage 1 1568.40 48.82% 27.58%
10 2021-08-02 65.6 @ Houston Dash 1 1538.63 44.32% NY/NJ Gotham FC 1 1533.44 27.02% 28.66%
11 2021-05-24 65.0 Seattle Reign 2 1547.68 26.79% @ Portland Thorns 1 1554.92 44.60% 28.60%
12 2021-10-11 64.8 @ Seattle Reign 3 1550.97 44.01% Chicago Red Stars 2 1547.99 27.27% 28.72%
13 2021-08-01 63.9 @ North Carolina Courage 1 1569.83 67.29% Orlando Pride 1 1380.83 13.29% 19.42%
14 2021-08-22 63.6 @ Seattle Reign 3 1545.28 45.41% NY/NJ Gotham FC 2 1532.14 26.15% 28.44%
15 2021-05-23 63.5 Orlando Pride 2 1377.56 13.10% @ North Carolina Courage 1 1570.39 67.71% 19.19%
16 2021-08-15 62.3 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC 1 1532.41 60.61% Racing Louisville 1 1401.21 16.46% 22.92%
17 2021-10-31 62.2 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC 1 1533.04 61.18% Racing Louisville 1 1397.11 16.17% 22.64%
18 2021-07-03 62.1 @ NY/NJ Gotham FC 1 1531.41 61.31% Kansas City Current 1 1394.37 16.11% 22.58%
19 2021-06-06 62.0 @ Washington Spirit 1 1533.06 63.01% Orlando Pride 1 1381.62 15.27% 21.72%
20 2021-10-31 61.5 @ Portland Thorns 0 1559.09 42.82% North Carolina Courage 0 1564.72 28.26% 28.92%
21 2021-08-15 61.4 @ Orlando Pride 1 1383.51 21.93% Portland Thorns 1 1558.01 51.25% 26.83%
22 2021-09-05 61.3 @ Racing Louisville 1 1400.17 24.39% Seattle Reign 1 1548.25 47.73% 27.88%
23 2021-05-16 61.2 @ Seattle Reign 0 1547.74 40.43% North Carolina Courage 0 1570.34 30.32% 29.25%
24 2021-08-19 61.2 @ Racing Louisville 1 1401.47 24.72% Chicago Red Stars 1 1546.22 47.28% 28.00%
25 2021-08-29 60.7 @ Washington Spirit 0 1532.11 37.93% North Carolina Courage 0 1572.31 32.62% 29.45%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-09-27 36.2 @ Seattle Reign 3 1550.17 64.46% Orlando Pride 0 1386.26 14.58% 20.96%
2 2021-08-29 36.7 @ Chicago Red Stars 3 1546.09 63.13% Kansas City Current 0 1393.63 15.21% 21.66%
3 2021-08-22 36.9 @ North Carolina Courage 4 1571.45 66.04% Kansas City Current 0 1393.59 13.85% 20.11%
4 2021-10-10 36.9 @ Washington Spirit 3 1529.24 60.77% Racing Louisville 0 1396.71 16.38% 22.84%
5 2021-06-06 37.2 @ Portland Thorns 3 1553.43 63.16% Racing Louisville 0 1400.71 15.20% 21.64%
6 2021-05-29 38.1 @ North Carolina Courage 5 1568.68 64.81% Racing Louisville 0 1401.72 14.42% 20.77%
7 2021-07-12 38.1 @ Seattle Reign 2 1543.65 62.73% Kansas City Current 0 1394.64 15.41% 21.86%
8 2021-08-01 38.1 @ Portland Thorns 2 1556.18 64.25% Kansas City Current 0 1394.12 14.68% 21.07%
9 2021-08-01 38.6 @ Seattle Reign 2 1544.18 62.08% Racing Louisville 0 1400.70 15.73% 22.20%
10 2021-10-14 40.6 @ Chicago Red Stars 1 1547.12 64.29% Orlando Pride 0 1384.66 14.66% 21.05%
11 2021-10-31 41.2 Seattle Reign 3 1550.10 48.74% @ Kansas City Current 0 1394.54 23.66% 27.60%
12 2021-06-20 41.5 @ Portland Thorns 1 1554.27 63.63% Kansas City Current 0 1397.49 14.97% 21.39%
13 2021-07-05 41.6 North Carolina Courage 2 1571.79 53.06% @ Orlando Pride 0 1383.37 20.75% 26.19%
14 2021-07-25 41.6 Seattle Reign 2 1543.11 49.49% @ Orlando Pride 0 1381.90 23.12% 27.38%
15 2021-08-30 41.7 @ Houston Dash 1 1536.71 61.19% Racing Louisville 0 1400.69 16.17% 22.64%
16 2021-09-26 41.7 Houston Dash 4 1535.81 46.21% @ Racing Louisville 0 1398.99 25.53% 28.26%
17 2021-05-27 43.0 Chicago Red Stars 2 1548.90 47.80% @ Kansas City Current 0 1400.36 24.34% 27.86%
18 2021-06-24 43.0 North Carolina Courage 2 1569.56 50.44% @ Racing Louisville 0 1401.17 22.47% 27.09%
19 2021-07-04 43.2 Portland Thorns 2 1553.56 48.08% @ Racing Louisville 0 1402.95 24.14% 27.79%
20 2021-07-26 43.2 Washington Spirit 2 1532.68 45.38% @ Racing Louisville 0 1401.89 26.18% 28.44%
21 2021-05-31 43.3 @ Orlando Pride 1 1380.68 41.00% Kansas City Current 0 1399.24 29.82% 29.18%
22 2021-10-30 44.9 Chicago Red Stars 1 1548.06 50.00% @ Orlando Pride 0 1383.00 22.77% 27.23%
23 2021-10-07 45.0 @ North Carolina Courage 3 1569.46 65.40% Racing Louisville 1 1397.34 14.15% 20.46%
24 2021-10-17 45.5 @ Racing Louisville 3 1395.80 45.20% Orlando Pride 1 1384.20 26.32% 28.48%
25 2021-08-08 46.0 @ Racing Louisville 3 1399.99 44.50% Kansas City Current 1 1393.46 26.87% 28.62%