2013 NWSL Season

88 regular-season games · 4 playoff teams

Final

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Western New York Flash

20.33% chance to win NWSL Championship

Biggest Overachiever

FC Kansas City

5.64 points above expected

38 points · 32.36 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Washington Spirit

10.54 points below expected

14 points · 24.54 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	FC Kansas City Conference	11	6	5	38	.576	34	22	+12	32.36	+5.64
2	Portland Thorns Playoffs	11	6	5	38	.576	32	25	+7	32.68	+5.32
3	Western New York Flash Playoffs	10	4	8	38	.576	36	20	+16	33.04	+4.96
4	Sky Blue FC Playoffs	10	6	6	36	.545	31	26	+5	33.44	+2.56
5	Boston Breakers	8	8	6	30	.455	35	34	+1	29.18	+0.82
6	Chicago Red Stars	8	8	6	30	.455	32	36	-4	28.47	+1.53
7	Seattle Reign	5	14	3	18	.273	22	36	-14	25.22	-7.22
8	Washington Spirit	3	14	5	14	.212	16	39	-23	24.54	-10.54

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	FC Kansas City	38	32.36	+5.64
2	Portland Thorns	38	32.68	+5.32
3	Western New York Flash	38	33.04	+4.96
4	Sky Blue FC	36	33.44	+2.56
5	Chicago Red Stars	30	28.47	+1.53

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Washington Spirit	14	24.54	-10.54
2	Seattle Reign	18	25.22	-7.22
3	Boston Breakers	30	29.18	+0.82
4	Chicago Red Stars	30	28.47	+1.53
5	Sky Blue FC	36	33.44	+2.56

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sky Blue FC	5	May 12 – Jun 2	1 in 137
2	Portland Thorns	4	Apr 21 – May 12	1 in 63
3	FC Kansas City	4	Jul 21 – Aug 5	1 in 38
4	Western New York Flash	3	May 2 – May 25	1 in 15
5	Seattle Reign	2	Jun 27 – Jun 30	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Seattle Reign	9	Apr 21 – Jun 16	1 in 2,521
2	Washington Spirit	7	Jul 7 – Aug 4	1 in 129
3	Boston Breakers	3	Jun 9 – Jun 27	1 in 37
4	Sky Blue FC	3	Jul 21 – Aug 1	1 in 19
5	Portland Thorns	2	Jun 30 – Jul 7	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FC Kansas City	10	Jun 23 – Aug 5	1 in 50
2	Western New York Flash	9	May 2 – Jun 29	1 in 35
3	Seattle Reign	6	Jun 23 – Jul 15	1 in 32
4	Sky Blue FC	6	May 9 – Jun 2	1 in 10
5	Portland Thorns	5	Apr 14 – May 12	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Seattle Reign	11	Apr 14 – Jun 23	1 in 38
2	Washington Spirit	13	May 19 – Aug 4	1 in 38
3	Boston Breakers	5	Jun 2 – Jun 27	1 in 11
4	Chicago Red Stars	6	Apr 14 – May 25	1 in 10
5	Portland Thorns	4	Jun 23 – Jul 14	1 in 7

Playoff Bracket

NHL Playoffs

Semifinals

Portland Thorns 1

FC Kansas City 0

1 games · Aug 24–Aug 24

Western New York Flash 1

Sky Blue FC 0

1 games · Aug 25–Aug 25

Stanley Cup Final

Portland Thorns 1

Western New York Flash 0

1 games · Sep 1–Sep 1

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	Breakers	Stars	City	Thorns	Reign	FC	Spirit	Flash
Boston Breakers	—	3 (3.0 exp.)	3 (3.4 exp.)	6 (3.9 exp.)	1 (3.2 exp.)	4 (4.6 exp.)	8 (6.1 exp.)	5 (5.1 exp.)
Chicago Red Stars	3 (2.4 exp.)	—	7 (4.6 exp.)	4 (4.6 exp.)	4 (6.0 exp.)	2 (2.4 exp.)	6 (4.9 exp.)	4 (3.5 exp.)
FC Kansas City	6 (4.7 exp.)	4 (6.3 exp.)	—	7 (5.3 exp.)	12 (6.2 exp.)	4 (3.7 exp.)	4 (3.3 exp.)	1 (2.8 exp.)
Portland Thorns	3 (4.2 exp.)	7 (6.3 exp.)	4 (5.5 exp.)	—	12 (6.7 exp.)	4 (4.4 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)	2 (2.5 exp.)
Seattle Reign	4 (2.2 exp.)	7 (4.8 exp.)	0 (4.6 exp.)	0 (4.2 exp.)	—	0 (2.2 exp.)	3 (4.6 exp.)	4 (2.6 exp.)
Sky Blue FC	7 (6.3 exp.)	2 (3.0 exp.)	4 (4.4 exp.)	4 (3.8 exp.)	6 (3.2 exp.)	—	10 (6.8 exp.)	3 (5.9 exp.)
Washington Spirit	2 (4.8 exp.)	3 (3.2 exp.)	1 (2.1 exp.)	0 (2.4 exp.)	6 (3.6 exp.)	1 (4.1 exp.)	—	1 (4.4 exp.)
Western New York Flash	5 (5.8 exp.)	4 (4.6 exp.)	4 (2.6 exp.)	2 (2.9 exp.)	4 (5.6 exp.)	9 (4.9 exp.)	10 (6.6 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	8.52%	3.41%	0.57%	—	26.14%
1	9.09%	12.50%	7.95%	2.27%	1.14%	0.57%	33.52%
2	8.52%	7.95%	4.55%	2.27%	0.57%	0.57%	24.43%
3	3.41%	2.27%	2.27%	3.41%	0.57%	—	11.93%
4	0.57%	1.14%	0.57%	0.57%	—	—	2.84%
5+	—	0.57%	0.57%	—	—	—	1.14%
Total	26.14%	33.52%	24.43%	11.93%	2.84%	1.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.35	1.35	+0.00
SD	1.14	1.14	1.61
CV	0.84	0.84	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 88

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	36.36%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	31.82%	36.36%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Boston Breakers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.55	+0.05
SD	1.30	1.18	1.81
CV	0.82	0.77	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	40.91%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	—	13.64%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	27.27%	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	—	100%

Chicago Red Stars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.64	-0.18
SD	1.06	1.29	1.62
CV	0.73	0.79	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	27.27%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	18.18%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

FC Kansas City — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.00	+0.55
SD	0.96	1.23	1.37
CV	0.62	1.23	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	18.18%	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	36.36%	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Portland Thorns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.14	+0.32
SD	1.14	1.04	1.36
CV	0.79	0.91	—
Max	4	3	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
1	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	54.55%	31.82%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Seattle Reign — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.64	-0.64
SD	1.20	0.85	1.50
CV	1.20	0.52	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	1	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	40.91%	22.73%	13.64%	22.73%	—	—	100%

Sky Blue FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.18	+0.23
SD	1.26	1.22	1.69
CV	0.89	1.03	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	45.45%
1	9.09%	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	—	45.45%
2	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	36.36%	36.36%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Washington Spirit — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.73	1.77	-1.05
SD	0.94	1.19	1.50
CV	1.29	0.67	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
3	13.64%	—	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	40.91%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Western New York Flash — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.91	+0.73
SD	1.09	0.87	1.45
CV	0.67	0.95	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.82	+12.2
Allowed	0.77	-11.3
Differential	0.94	+7.0

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Points	Avg. Pts.	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Western New York Flash	1569	38	33.04	+4.96	82.04%	7	23	29	33	37	43	58
FC Kansas City	1554	38	32.36	+5.64	84.80%	7	23	28	32	36	42	58
Portland Thorns	1531	38	32.68	+5.32	83.58%	8	23	29	33	37	43	57
Sky Blue FC	1517	36	33.44	+2.56	69.45%	9	24	29	33	37	43	62
Boston Breakers	1511	30	29.18	+0.82	59.16%	4	20	25	29	33	39	55
Chicago Red Stars	1497	30	28.47	+1.53	64.06%	4	19	24	28	32	38	55
Seattle Reign	1426	18	25.22	-7.22	12.10%	4	16	21	25	29	35	54
Washington Spirit	1395	14	24.54	-10.54	3.46%	3	15	21	24	28	34	50

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Sky Blue FC	23.39%	18.95%	16.12%	13.43%	10.86%	8.31%	5.73%	3.21%
Western New York Flash	20.68%	18.57%	16.34%	14.18%	11.42%	9.04%	6.22%	3.55%
Portland Thorns	19.47%	17.84%	16.13%	14.08%	11.91%	9.49%	7.02%	4.06%
FC Kansas City	17.96%	17.52%	15.86%	14.42%	12.29%	9.96%	7.55%	4.43%
Boston Breakers	8.01%	10.55%	12.62%	13.80%	15.01%	15.21%	14.05%	10.75%
Chicago Red Stars	6.38%	9.04%	11.24%	13.42%	15.26%	16.16%	15.58%	12.91%
Seattle Reign	2.30%	4.08%	6.35%	8.80%	12.07%	16.38%	21.88%	28.13%
Washington Spirit	1.81%	3.45%	5.34%	7.85%	11.18%	15.46%	21.96%	32.95%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Sky Blue FC	23.39%	18.95%	16.12%	13.43%	28.11%
Western New York Flash	20.68%	18.57%	16.34%	14.18%	30.23%
Portland Thorns	19.47%	17.84%	16.13%	14.08%	32.48%
FC Kansas City	17.96%	17.52%	15.86%	14.42%	34.24%
Boston Breakers	8.01%	10.55%	12.62%	13.80%	55.02%
Chicago Red Stars	6.38%	9.04%	11.24%	13.42%	59.92%
Seattle Reign	2.30%	4.08%	6.35%	8.80%	78.46%
Washington Spirit	1.81%	3.45%	5.34%	7.85%	81.54%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.64%

Fortress

44.32%25.00%30.68%

Elo Value

Home Edge

160 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

047.67400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.30 goals

Lean Home

-2+0.30+2

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 4.7 · As Expected: 4.7 to 6.46 · Elevated: 6.46 to 8.81 · High Variance: 8.81 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.52 · Close: 1.52 to 2.06 · Off Target: 2.06 to 2.69 · Well Off Target: 2.69 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 8 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 8 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.4 · As Expected: 0.4 to 0.96 · Several Outliers: 0.96 to 1.76 · Many Outliers: 1.76 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.94 · As Expected: 0.94 to 1.56 · More Than Expected: 1.56 to 2.5 · Far More Than Expected: 2.5 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.66 points

As Expected

05.8715

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.88

Pinpoint

01.794

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 93.75%

84.80%

FC Kansas City

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected

3.46%

Washington Spirit

06.25%50

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 8

Several Outliers

00.88

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

0 of 4

Fewer Than Expected

01.34

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.35

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

58%

Competitive

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

73%

Clear Edge

50%74%100%

Close Games

Expected

65%

Nail-Biters

0%65%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Occasional

0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.642

Matchup Imbalance

0.22

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

N/A

No prior ratings

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

30%

Chalk Held

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Favorites Held

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 · Within Noise: 0.09 to 0.17 · Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.34 · Well Above Noise: 0.34 and up.

Probability calibration

0.42

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.94

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.093

Within Noise

00.1710.4

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Won Semifinals
Western New York Flash	34.88%	34.88%	20.33%
FC Kansas City	32.88%	32.88%	18.35%
Sky Blue FC	35.95%	35.95%	18.11%
Portland Thorns	33.76%	33.76%	17.61%
Boston Breakers	22.49%	22.49%	10.49%
Chicago Red Stars	20.04%	20.04%	8.84%
Seattle Reign	10.77%	10.77%	3.57%
Washington Spirit	9.23%	9.23%	2.71%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Boston Breakers	Chicago Red Stars	FC Kansas City	Portland Thorns	Seattle Reign	Sky Blue FC	Washington Spirit	Western New York Flash
Boston Breakers		52.0%0.99%	43.5%2.24%	46.3%2.10%	62.8%0.41%	47.0%2.10%	65.4%0.26%	40.7%2.38%
Chicago Red Stars	48.0%0.99%		40.7%1.75%	43.6%1.64%	63.1%0.27%	45.2%1.81%	67.0%0.22%	38.4%2.15%
FC Kansas City	56.5%2.24%	59.3%1.75%		52.6%3.96%	69.1%0.64%	55.0%4.26%	72.4%0.56%	46.9%4.93%
Portland Thorns	53.7%2.10%	56.4%1.64%	47.4%3.96%		66.1%0.63%	51.7%4.03%	70.7%0.52%	43.9%4.74%
Seattle Reign	37.2%0.41%	36.9%0.27%	30.9%0.64%	33.9%0.63%		32.4%0.72%	63.4%0.07%	28.3%0.83%
Sky Blue FC	53.0%2.10%	54.8%1.81%	45.0%4.26%	48.3%4.03%	67.6%0.72%		68.9%0.49%	42.7%4.70%
Washington Spirit	34.6%0.26%	33.0%0.22%	27.6%0.56%	29.3%0.52%	36.6%0.07%	31.1%0.49%		23.7%0.59%
Western New York Flash	59.3%2.38%	61.6%2.15%	53.1%4.93%	56.1%4.74%	71.7%0.83%	57.3%4.70%	76.3%0.59%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Boston Breakers	Chicago Red Stars	FC Kansas City	Portland Thorns	Seattle Reign	Sky Blue FC	Washington Spirit	Western New York Flash
Boston Breakers		52.1%2.37%	41.9%4.24%	46.3%4.47%	65.4%1.16%	46.3%4.74%	65.9%0.85%	40.6%4.66%
Chicago Red Stars	47.9%2.37%		39.1%3.70%	42.8%3.92%	60.7%0.84%	45.4%4.38%	68.0%0.74%	38.7%4.08%
FC Kansas City	58.1%4.24%	60.9%3.70%		53.2%6.91%	68.8%1.88%	54.6%7.38%	74.0%1.75%	47.6%7.03%
Portland Thorns	53.7%4.47%	57.2%3.92%	46.8%6.91%		66.8%2.01%	51.9%7.38%	70.4%1.80%	45.2%7.28%
Seattle Reign	34.6%1.16%	39.3%0.84%	31.2%1.88%	33.2%2.01%		33.8%2.32%	53.7%0.34%	27.7%2.22%
Sky Blue FC	53.7%4.74%	54.6%4.38%	45.4%7.38%	48.1%7.38%	66.2%2.32%		69.8%1.94%	43.4%7.81%
Washington Spirit	34.1%0.85%	32.0%0.74%	26.0%1.75%	29.6%1.80%	46.3%0.34%	30.2%1.94%		24.7%1.81%
Western New York Flash	59.4%4.66%	61.3%4.08%	52.4%7.03%	54.8%7.28%	72.3%2.22%	56.6%7.81%	75.3%1.81%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Won Semifinals	Actual Outcome
Western New York Flash	50.00%	31.95%	Won Semifinals
FC Kansas City	50.00%	29.99%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Portland Thorns	50.00%	20.01%	Won Semifinals
Sky Blue FC	50.00%	18.05%	Eliminated in Semifinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	FC Kansas City	Portland Thorns	Sky Blue FC	Western New York Flash
FC Kansas City			61.5%10.82%	47.7%19.17%
Portland Thorns			58.1%7.23%	45.6%12.78%
Sky Blue FC	38.5%10.82%	41.9%7.23%
Western New York Flash	52.3%19.17%	54.4%12.78%

Loser → ↓ Winner	FC Kansas City	Portland Thorns	Sky Blue FC	Western New York Flash
FC Kansas City		60.0%50.00%
Portland Thorns	40.0%50.00%
Sky Blue FC				36.1%50.00%
Western New York Flash			63.9%50.00%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Western New York Flash 31.95% chance to win

Finals

vs. FC Kansas City

Matchup

59.02%

Win Prob

52.27%

→

Semifinals

vs. Sky Blue FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

63.90%

FC Kansas City 29.99% chance to win

Finals

vs. Western New York Flash

Matchup

57.90%

Win Prob

47.73%

→

Semifinals

vs. Portland Thorns

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.99%

Portland Thorns 20.01% chance to win

Finals

vs. Western New York Flash

Matchup

58.09%

Win Prob

45.55%

→

Semifinals

vs. FC Kansas City

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.01%

Sky Blue FC 18.05% chance to win

Finals

vs. FC Kansas City

Matchup

57.96%

Win Prob

38.55%

→

Semifinals

vs. Western New York Flash

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

36.10%

Filter by Team:

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2013-04-15	Washington Spirit	T 1-1	62.3	1500.00	1500.00	41.94%	29.22%	28.85%	+0.30	-0.69	1
2013-04-28	@ Western New York Flash	W 2-1	58.5	1499.31	1492.07	29.73%	29.35%	40.92%	-0.25	+11.31	4
2013-05-05	Chicago Red Stars	W 4-1	46.7	1510.62	1483.43	45.71%	28.52%	25.77%	+0.47	+13.84	7
2013-05-12	@ Washington Spirit	T 1-1	62.3	1524.46	1478.14	34.95%	29.70%	35.34%	-0.01	+0.02	8
2013-05-19	@ FC Kansas City	L 0-2	46.8	1524.48	1512.34	30.34%	29.43%	40.23%	-0.22	-12.88	8
2013-05-26	Washington Spirit	W 3-0	41.5	1511.60	1482.95	45.91%	28.48%	25.62%	+0.48	+13.77	11
2013-06-02	@ Sky Blue FC	L 1-5	48.7	1525.37	1558.40	25.16%	28.34%	46.50%	-0.50	-15.66	11
2013-06-06	Western New York Flash	T 2-2	68.9	1509.71	1507.86	42.20%	29.18%	28.62%	+0.31	-0.71	12
2013-06-09	@ Chicago Red Stars	L 0-1	50.3	1509.00	1469.97	33.92%	29.69%	36.39%	-0.05	-9.89	12
2013-06-17	Sky Blue FC	L 2-3	64.1	1499.11	1550.96	34.55%	29.70%	35.75%	-0.03	-10.02	12
2013-06-27	Seattle Reign	L 1-2	57.8	1489.09	1405.44	53.21%	26.26%	20.54%	+0.82	-13.80	12
2013-07-01	Sky Blue FC	W 3-2	65.2	1475.29	1558.91	30.29%	29.43%	40.29%	-0.22	+11.19	15
2013-07-04	@ Seattle Reign	T 1-1	59.3	1486.48	1434.29	35.80%	29.70%	34.50%	+0.03	-0.07	16
2013-07-07	@ Portland Thorns	W 2-0	51.5	1486.41	1538.36	23.30%	27.65%	49.05%	-0.62	+18.34	19
2013-07-14	@ Sky Blue FC	T 0-0	60.2	1504.75	1553.46	23.60%	27.78%	48.62%	-0.60	+1.37	20
2013-07-21	Portland Thorns	L 1-2	59.6	1506.12	1519.50	40.05%	29.45%	30.50%	+0.21	-11.13	20
2013-07-25	@ FC Kansas City	L 0-3	42.3	1494.99	1544.21	23.55%	27.76%	48.69%	-0.61	-12.79	20
2013-07-28	@ Washington Spirit	W 5-2	47.0	1482.20	1399.69	40.13%	29.44%	30.43%	+0.22	+15.81	23
2013-08-04	Western New York Flash	T 2-2	70.2	1498.01	1556.95	33.56%	29.68%	36.77%	-0.07	+0.16	24
2013-08-08	Portland Thorns	W 2-1	57.6	1498.17	1530.73	37.32%	29.66%	33.03%	+0.09	+9.70	27
2013-08-11	FC Kansas City	W 1-0	55.5	1507.87	1578.67	31.95%	29.59%	38.46%	-0.14	+10.81	30
2013-08-18	@ Western New York Flash	L 1-2	56.3	1518.68	1561.45	24.18%	28.00%	47.82%	-0.57	-7.55	30
2013-04-14	Seattle Reign	T 1-1	62.3	1500.00	1500.00	41.94%	29.22%	28.85%	+0.30	-0.69	1
2013-04-28	Portland Thorns	L 0-2	48.8	1499.31	1509.45	40.51%	29.40%	30.09%	+0.23	-15.88	1
2013-05-05	@ Boston Breakers	L 1-4	46.7	1483.43	1510.62	25.77%	28.52%	45.71%	-0.47	-13.84	1
2013-05-09	@ Sky Blue FC	T 1-1	61.9	1469.59	1510.13	24.40%	28.08%	47.52%	-0.55	+1.26	2
2013-05-12	Portland Thorns	L 0-2	46.5	1470.85	1535.79	32.73%	29.64%	37.63%	-0.11	-13.63	2
2013-05-25	@ Western New York Flash	L 1-2	51.8	1457.22	1500.31	24.15%	27.99%	47.87%	-0.57	-7.55	2
2013-06-02	@ Portland Thorns	W 2-0	52.1	1449.67	1555.77	18.83%	25.11%	56.06%	-0.96	+20.30	5
2013-06-09	Boston Breakers	W 1-0	50.3	1469.97	1509.00	36.39%	29.69%	33.92%	+0.05	+9.89	8
2013-06-14	FC Kansas City	L 0-2	47.3	1479.86	1515.19	36.92%	29.67%	33.41%	+0.08	-14.85	8
2013-06-16	@ FC Kansas City	W 3-1	56.7	1465.01	1530.04	22.10%	27.11%	50.78%	-0.70	+18.84	11
2013-06-20	Western New York Flash	T 2-2	69.2	1483.85	1545.40	33.20%	29.66%	37.14%	-0.09	+0.20	12
2013-06-30	@ Seattle Reign	L 1-3	50.2	1484.05	1419.24	37.61%	29.64%	32.75%	+0.11	-15.05	12
2013-07-04	Western New York Flash	W 1-0	53.9	1469.00	1554.94	30.00%	29.39%	40.61%	-0.24	+11.26	15
2013-07-11	@ Washington Spirit	W 2-0	43.5	1480.26	1428.06	35.80%	29.70%	34.50%	+0.03	+14.15	18
2013-07-14	FC Kansas City	T 3-3	73.1	1494.41	1534.84	36.19%	29.69%	34.12%	+0.05	-0.11	19
2013-07-21	Washington Spirit	W 1-0	42.3	1494.30	1406.06	53.80%	26.03%	20.17%	+0.85	+6.37	22
2013-07-26	@ Seattle Reign	L 1-4	48.4	1500.67	1444.87	36.32%	29.69%	33.99%	+0.05	-17.98	22
2013-07-28	@ Portland Thorns	T 3-3	73.1	1482.69	1530.64	23.68%	27.81%	48.52%	-0.60	+1.36	23
2013-08-04	Seattle Reign	W 3-1	48.1	1484.05	1462.84	44.89%	28.70%	26.42%	+0.43	+11.54	26
2013-08-08	@ Washington Spirit	L 0-1	49.7	1495.59	1370.70	46.03%	28.45%	25.52%	+0.48	-12.36	26
2013-08-11	Sky Blue FC	T 3-3	72.1	1483.23	1518.04	36.99%	29.67%	33.34%	+0.08	-0.19	27
2013-08-18	@ FC Kansas City	W 2-1	63.5	1483.04	1567.86	20.44%	26.20%	53.36%	-0.83	+13.83	30
2013-04-14	Portland Thorns	T 1-1	62.3	1500.00	1500.00	41.94%	29.22%	28.85%	+0.30	-0.69	1
2013-04-27	Seattle Reign	W 2-0	44.3	1499.31	1491.93	42.97%	29.06%	27.97%	+0.34	+12.09	4
2013-05-05	@ Seattle Reign	W 1-0	51.8	1511.40	1479.85	32.89%	29.65%	37.46%	-0.10	+10.61	7
2013-05-12	@ Western New York Flash	L 1-2	57.0	1522.01	1490.65	32.86%	29.65%	37.49%	-0.10	-9.67	7
2013-05-19	Boston Breakers	W 2-0	46.8	1512.34	1524.48	40.23%	29.43%	30.34%	+0.22	+12.88	10
2013-05-26	Sky Blue FC	L 0-1	55.2	1525.22	1547.52	38.78%	29.57%	31.65%	+0.16	-10.88	10
2013-06-07	@ Portland Thorns	L 3-4	63.9	1514.34	1535.47	26.42%	28.70%	44.87%	-0.43	-8.16	10
2013-06-10	@ Seattle Reign	W 1-0	47.1	1506.18	1419.40	40.73%	29.38%	29.89%	+0.24	+9.01	13
2013-06-14	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 2-0	47.3	1515.19	1479.86	33.41%	29.67%	36.92%	-0.08	+14.85	16
2013-06-16	Chicago Red Stars	L 1-3	56.7	1530.04	1465.01	50.78%	27.11%	22.10%	+0.70	-18.84	16
2013-06-23	Washington Spirit	W 2-0	41.4	1511.20	1455.45	49.56%	27.50%	22.94%	+0.65	+10.19	19
2013-06-27	@ Sky Blue FC	T 2-2	71.6	1521.39	1560.15	24.58%	28.14%	47.28%	-0.54	+1.24	20
2013-06-30	Portland Thorns	W 2-0	48.9	1522.63	1551.94	37.78%	29.63%	32.59%	+0.11	+13.58	23
2013-07-04	@ Washington Spirit	T 1-1	61.2	1536.21	1432.99	43.04%	29.05%	27.91%	+0.35	-0.80	24
2013-07-07	Western New York Flash	T 0-0	60.4	1535.41	1543.69	40.77%	29.37%	29.86%	+0.25	-0.57	25
2013-07-14	@ Chicago Red Stars	T 3-3	73.1	1534.84	1494.41	34.12%	29.69%	36.19%	-0.05	+0.10	26
2013-07-21	Seattle Reign	W 2-0	41.3	1534.94	1454.14	52.84%	26.39%	20.77%	+0.80	+9.27	29
2013-07-25	Boston Breakers	W 3-0	42.3	1544.21	1494.99	48.69%	27.76%	23.55%	+0.61	+12.79	32
2013-07-29	@ Sky Blue FC	W 1-0	55.9	1557.00	1535.96	31.48%	29.55%	38.96%	-0.17	+10.91	35
2013-08-05	@ Portland Thorns	W 3-2	67.2	1567.91	1541.49	32.20%	29.61%	38.20%	-0.13	+10.76	38
2013-08-11	@ Boston Breakers	L 0-1	55.5	1578.67	1507.87	38.46%	29.59%	31.95%	+0.14	-10.81	38
2013-08-18	Chicago Red Stars	L 1-2	63.5	1567.86	1483.04	53.36%	26.20%	20.44%	+0.83	-13.83	38
2013-04-14	@ FC Kansas City	T 1-1	62.3	1500.00	1500.00	28.85%	29.22%	41.94%	-0.30	+0.69	1
2013-04-21	Seattle Reign	W 2-1	55.2	1500.69	1500.69	41.94%	29.22%	28.85%	+0.30	+8.76	4
2013-04-28	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 2-0	48.8	1509.45	1499.31	30.09%	29.40%	40.51%	-0.23	+15.88	7
2013-05-05	@ Washington Spirit	W 2-1	58.2	1525.33	1488.60	33.60%	29.68%	36.72%	-0.07	+10.46	10
2013-05-12	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 2-0	46.5	1535.79	1470.85	37.63%	29.64%	32.73%	+0.11	+13.63	13
2013-05-17	Sky Blue FC	L 0-1	56.9	1549.42	1519.68	46.05%	28.44%	25.50%	+0.48	-12.36	13
2013-05-19	Washington Spirit	W 2-0	44.3	1537.06	1493.61	47.91%	27.97%	24.11%	+0.57	+10.66	16
2013-05-26	@ Seattle Reign	W 1-0	47.4	1547.72	1427.46	45.40%	28.59%	26.01%	+0.45	+8.05	19
2013-06-02	Chicago Red Stars	L 0-2	52.1	1555.77	1449.67	56.06%	25.11%	18.83%	+0.96	-20.30	19
2013-06-07	FC Kansas City	W 4-3	63.9	1535.47	1514.34	44.87%	28.70%	26.42%	+0.43	+8.16	22
2013-06-16	Seattle Reign	W 2-0	38.0	1543.63	1410.40	59.41%	23.60%	16.99%	+1.13	+7.48	25
2013-06-23	@ Sky Blue FC	T 0-0	61.6	1551.11	1560.98	27.69%	29.00%	43.32%	-0.36	+0.83	26
2013-06-30	@ FC Kansas City	L 0-2	48.9	1551.94	1522.63	32.59%	29.63%	37.78%	-0.11	-13.58	26
2013-07-07	Boston Breakers	L 0-2	51.5	1538.36	1486.41	49.05%	27.65%	23.30%	+0.62	-18.34	26
2013-07-14	Western New York Flash	T 1-1	64.2	1520.02	1532.32	40.20%	29.44%	30.36%	+0.22	-0.52	27
2013-07-21	@ Boston Breakers	W 2-1	59.6	1519.50	1506.12	30.50%	29.45%	40.05%	-0.21	+11.14	30
2013-07-28	Chicago Red Stars	T 3-3	73.1	1530.64	1482.69	48.52%	27.81%	23.68%	+0.60	-1.36	31
2013-08-01	Sky Blue FC	W 3-1	52.8	1529.28	1525.05	42.53%	29.13%	28.34%	+0.32	+12.21	34
2013-08-05	FC Kansas City	L 2-3	67.2	1541.49	1567.91	38.20%	29.61%	32.20%	+0.13	-10.76	34
2013-08-08	@ Boston Breakers	L 1-2	57.6	1530.73	1498.17	33.03%	29.66%	37.32%	-0.09	-9.70	34
2013-08-11	@ Western New York Flash	T 0-0	61.0	1521.03	1562.72	24.29%	28.04%	47.68%	-0.56	+1.28	35
2013-08-18	@ Seattle Reign	W 2-1	53.9	1522.31	1434.80	40.83%	29.36%	29.80%	+0.25	+8.98	38
2013-04-14	@ Chicago Red Stars	T 1-1	62.3	1500.00	1500.00	28.85%	29.22%	41.94%	-0.30	+0.69	1
2013-04-21	@ Portland Thorns	L 1-2	55.2	1500.69	1500.69	28.85%	29.22%	41.94%	-0.30	-8.76	1
2013-04-27	@ FC Kansas City	L 0-2	44.3	1491.93	1499.31	27.97%	29.06%	42.97%	-0.34	-12.08	1
2013-05-05	FC Kansas City	L 0-1	51.8	1479.85	1511.40	37.46%	29.65%	32.89%	+0.10	-10.61	1
2013-05-12	@ Sky Blue FC	L 0-2	42.5	1469.24	1508.87	24.49%	28.11%	47.40%	-0.55	-10.81	1
2013-05-17	Washington Spirit	L 2-4	55.7	1458.43	1478.12	39.15%	29.54%	31.31%	+0.18	-15.50	1
2013-05-20	Sky Blue FC	L 0-3	42.2	1442.93	1532.04	29.60%	29.34%	41.06%	-0.26	-15.47	1
2013-05-26	Portland Thorns	L 0-1	47.4	1427.46	1547.72	26.01%	28.59%	45.40%	-0.45	-8.06	1
2013-06-10	FC Kansas City	L 0-1	47.1	1419.40	1506.18	29.89%	29.38%	40.73%	-0.24	-9.00	1
2013-06-16	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-2	38.0	1410.40	1543.63	16.99%	23.60%	59.41%	-1.13	-7.48	1
2013-06-23	@ Western New York Flash	T 1-1	62.2	1402.92	1545.20	16.42%	23.07%	60.51%	-1.19	+2.52	2
2013-06-27	@ Boston Breakers	W 2-1	57.8	1405.44	1489.09	20.54%	26.26%	53.21%	-0.82	+13.80	5
2013-06-30	Chicago Red Stars	W 3-1	50.2	1419.24	1484.05	32.75%	29.64%	37.61%	-0.11	+15.05	8
2013-07-04	Boston Breakers	T 1-1	59.3	1434.29	1486.48	34.50%	29.70%	35.80%	-0.03	+0.07	9
2013-07-12	Western New York Flash	W 3-2	64.0	1434.36	1544.26	27.15%	28.88%	43.97%	-0.39	+11.93	12
2013-07-15	Washington Spirit	W 2-1	49.0	1446.29	1413.90	46.42%	28.36%	25.23%	+0.50	+7.85	15
2013-07-21	@ FC Kansas City	L 0-2	41.3	1454.14	1534.94	20.77%	26.39%	52.84%	-0.80	-9.27	15
2013-07-26	Chicago Red Stars	W 4-1	48.4	1444.87	1500.67	33.99%	29.69%	36.32%	-0.05	+17.97	18
2013-08-04	@ Chicago Red Stars	L 1-3	48.1	1462.84	1484.05	26.42%	28.70%	44.89%	-0.43	-11.53	18
2013-08-08	@ Western New York Flash	L 0-1	45.5	1451.31	1556.78	18.87%	25.15%	55.98%	-0.96	-5.94	18
2013-08-11	@ Washington Spirit	L 0-1	46.4	1445.37	1383.06	37.25%	29.66%	33.09%	+0.09	-10.57	18
2013-08-18	Portland Thorns	L 1-2	53.9	1434.80	1522.31	29.80%	29.36%	40.83%	-0.25	-8.98	18
2013-04-15	Western New York Flash	W 1-0	49.4	1500.00	1500.00	41.94%	29.22%	28.85%	+0.30	+8.76	3
2013-04-28	@ Washington Spirit	W 2-1	59.1	1508.76	1499.87	29.93%	29.38%	40.69%	-0.24	+11.26	6
2013-05-02	@ Western New York Flash	L 1-2	56.9	1520.02	1480.75	33.96%	29.69%	36.35%	-0.05	-9.89	6
2013-05-09	Chicago Red Stars	T 1-1	61.9	1510.13	1469.59	47.52%	28.08%	24.40%	+0.55	-1.26	7
2013-05-12	Seattle Reign	W 2-0	42.5	1508.87	1469.24	47.40%	28.11%	24.49%	+0.55	+10.81	10
2013-05-17	@ Portland Thorns	W 1-0	56.9	1519.68	1549.42	25.50%	28.44%	46.05%	-0.48	+12.36	13
2013-05-20	@ Seattle Reign	W 3-0	42.2	1532.04	1442.93	41.06%	29.34%	29.60%	+0.26	+15.48	16
2013-05-26	@ FC Kansas City	W 1-0	55.2	1547.52	1525.22	31.65%	29.57%	38.78%	-0.16	+10.88	19
2013-06-02	Boston Breakers	W 5-1	48.7	1558.40	1525.37	46.50%	28.34%	25.16%	+0.50	+15.65	22
2013-06-09	Western New York Flash	L 0-3	51.8	1574.05	1508.58	50.84%	27.09%	22.06%	+0.71	-23.09	22
2013-06-17	@ Boston Breakers	W 3-2	64.1	1550.96	1499.11	35.75%	29.70%	34.55%	+0.03	+10.02	25
2013-06-23	Portland Thorns	T 0-0	61.6	1560.98	1551.11	43.32%	29.00%	27.69%	+0.36	-0.83	26
2013-06-27	FC Kansas City	T 2-2	71.6	1560.15	1521.39	47.28%	28.14%	24.58%	+0.54	-1.24	27
2013-07-01	@ Boston Breakers	L 2-3	65.2	1558.91	1475.29	40.29%	29.43%	30.29%	+0.22	-11.18	27
2013-07-07	Washington Spirit	W 1-0	44.2	1547.73	1433.79	57.04%	24.69%	18.27%	+1.01	+5.73	30
2013-07-14	Boston Breakers	T 0-0	60.2	1553.46	1504.75	48.62%	27.78%	23.60%	+0.60	-1.37	31
2013-07-21	@ Western New York Flash	L 0-3	46.8	1552.09	1532.84	31.25%	29.53%	39.22%	-0.18	-16.13	31
2013-07-29	FC Kansas City	L 0-1	55.9	1535.96	1557.00	38.96%	29.55%	31.48%	+0.17	-10.91	31
2013-08-01	@ Portland Thorns	L 1-3	52.8	1525.05	1529.28	28.34%	29.13%	42.53%	-0.32	-12.22	31
2013-08-04	Washington Spirit	W 1-0	40.1	1512.83	1375.91	59.86%	23.39%	16.75%	+1.15	+5.21	34
2013-08-11	@ Chicago Red Stars	T 3-3	72.1	1518.04	1483.23	33.34%	29.67%	36.99%	-0.08	+0.19	35
2013-08-18	@ Washington Spirit	T 1-1	59.3	1518.23	1393.63	45.99%	28.46%	25.55%	+0.48	-1.11	36
2013-04-15	@ Boston Breakers	T 1-1	62.3	1500.00	1500.00	28.85%	29.22%	41.94%	-0.30	+0.69	1
2013-04-21	Western New York Flash	T 1-1	62.1	1500.69	1491.24	43.26%	29.01%	27.73%	+0.36	-0.82	2
2013-04-28	Sky Blue FC	L 1-2	59.1	1499.87	1508.76	40.69%	29.38%	29.93%	+0.24	-11.27	2
2013-05-05	Portland Thorns	L 1-2	58.2	1488.60	1525.33	36.72%	29.68%	33.60%	+0.07	-10.46	2
2013-05-12	Boston Breakers	T 1-1	62.3	1478.14	1524.46	35.34%	29.70%	34.95%	+0.01	-0.02	3
2013-05-17	@ Seattle Reign	W 4-2	55.7	1478.12	1458.43	31.31%	29.54%	39.15%	-0.18	+15.49	6
2013-05-19	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-2	44.3	1493.61	1537.06	24.11%	27.97%	47.91%	-0.57	-10.66	6
2013-05-26	@ Boston Breakers	L 0-3	41.5	1482.95	1511.60	25.62%	28.48%	45.91%	-0.48	-13.77	6
2013-06-16	Western New York Flash	L 0-2	46.4	1469.18	1531.67	33.07%	29.66%	37.28%	-0.09	-13.73	6
2013-06-23	@ FC Kansas City	L 0-2	41.4	1455.45	1511.20	22.94%	27.50%	49.56%	-0.65	-10.19	6
2013-06-29	@ Western New York Flash	L 0-4	38.7	1445.26	1542.67	19.46%	25.57%	54.97%	-0.91	-12.27	6
2013-07-04	FC Kansas City	T 1-1	61.2	1432.99	1536.21	27.91%	29.05%	43.04%	-0.35	+0.80	7
2013-07-07	@ Sky Blue FC	L 0-1	44.2	1433.79	1547.73	18.27%	24.69%	57.04%	-1.01	-5.73	7
2013-07-11	Chicago Red Stars	L 0-2	43.5	1428.06	1480.26	34.50%	29.70%	35.80%	-0.03	-14.16	7
2013-07-15	@ Seattle Reign	L 1-2	49.0	1413.90	1446.29	25.23%	28.36%	46.42%	-0.50	-7.84	7
2013-07-21	@ Chicago Red Stars	L 0-1	42.3	1406.06	1494.30	20.17%	26.03%	53.80%	-0.85	-6.37	7
2013-07-28	Boston Breakers	L 2-5	47.0	1399.69	1482.20	30.43%	29.44%	40.13%	-0.22	-15.80	7
2013-08-01	@ Western New York Flash	L 0-3	34.0	1383.89	1548.97	15.09%	21.70%	63.21%	-1.33	-7.98	7
2013-08-04	@ Sky Blue FC	L 0-1	40.1	1375.91	1512.83	16.75%	23.39%	59.86%	-1.15	-5.21	7
2013-08-08	Chicago Red Stars	W 1-0	49.7	1370.70	1495.59	25.52%	28.45%	46.03%	-0.48	+12.36	10
2013-08-11	Seattle Reign	W 1-0	46.4	1383.06	1445.37	33.09%	29.66%	37.25%	-0.09	+10.57	13
2013-08-18	Sky Blue FC	T 1-1	59.3	1393.63	1518.23	25.55%	28.46%	45.99%	-0.48	+1.10	14
2013-04-15	@ Sky Blue FC	L 0-1	49.4	1500.00	1500.00	28.85%	29.22%	41.94%	-0.30	-8.76	0
2013-04-21	@ Washington Spirit	T 1-1	62.1	1491.24	1500.69	27.73%	29.01%	43.26%	-0.36	+0.83	1
2013-04-28	Boston Breakers	L 1-2	58.5	1492.07	1499.31	40.92%	29.35%	29.73%	+0.25	-11.32	1
2013-05-02	Sky Blue FC	W 2-1	56.9	1480.75	1520.02	36.35%	29.69%	33.96%	+0.05	+9.90	4
2013-05-12	FC Kansas City	W 2-1	57.0	1490.65	1522.01	37.49%	29.65%	32.86%	+0.10	+9.66	7
2013-05-25	Chicago Red Stars	W 2-1	51.8	1500.31	1457.22	47.87%	27.99%	24.15%	+0.57	+7.55	10
2013-06-06	@ Boston Breakers	T 2-2	68.9	1507.86	1509.71	28.62%	29.18%	42.20%	-0.31	+0.72	11
2013-06-09	@ Sky Blue FC	W 3-0	51.8	1508.58	1574.05	22.06%	27.09%	50.84%	-0.71	+23.09	14
2013-06-16	@ Washington Spirit	W 2-0	46.4	1531.67	1469.18	37.28%	29.66%	33.07%	+0.09	+13.73	17
2013-06-20	@ Chicago Red Stars	T 2-2	69.2	1545.40	1483.85	37.14%	29.66%	33.20%	+0.09	-0.20	18
2013-06-23	Seattle Reign	T 1-1	62.2	1545.20	1402.92	60.51%	23.07%	16.42%	+1.19	-2.53	19
2013-06-29	Washington Spirit	W 4-0	38.7	1542.67	1445.26	54.97%	25.57%	19.46%	+0.91	+12.27	22
2013-07-04	@ Chicago Red Stars	L 0-1	53.9	1554.94	1469.00	40.61%	29.39%	30.00%	+0.24	-11.25	22
2013-07-07	@ FC Kansas City	T 0-0	60.4	1543.69	1535.41	29.86%	29.37%	40.77%	-0.25	+0.57	23
2013-07-12	@ Seattle Reign	L 2-3	64.0	1544.26	1434.36	43.97%	28.88%	27.15%	+0.39	-11.94	23
2013-07-14	@ Portland Thorns	T 1-1	64.2	1532.32	1520.02	30.36%	29.44%	40.20%	-0.22	+0.52	24
2013-07-21	Sky Blue FC	W 3-0	46.8	1532.84	1552.09	39.22%	29.53%	31.25%	+0.18	+16.13	27
2013-08-01	Washington Spirit	W 3-0	34.0	1548.97	1383.89	63.21%	21.70%	15.09%	+1.33	+7.98	30
2013-08-04	@ Boston Breakers	T 2-2	70.2	1556.95	1498.01	36.77%	29.68%	33.56%	+0.07	-0.17	31
2013-08-08	Seattle Reign	W 1-0	45.5	1556.78	1451.31	55.98%	25.15%	18.87%	+0.96	+5.94	34
2013-08-11	Portland Thorns	T 0-0	61.0	1562.72	1521.03	47.68%	28.04%	24.29%	+0.56	-1.27	35
2013-08-18	Boston Breakers	W 2-1	56.3	1561.45	1518.68	47.82%	28.00%	24.18%	+0.57	+7.55	38

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2013-08-24	Portland Thorns	L 2-3	64.1	1554.03	1531.29	60.00%	0.00%	40.00%	+0.44	-12.17	0-1
2013-08-24	@ FC Kansas City	W 3-2	64.1	1531.29	1554.03	40.00%	0.00%	60.00%	-0.44	+12.17	1-0
2013-09-01	@ Western New York Flash	W 2-0	50.4	1543.46	1579.34	38.20%	0.00%	61.80%	-0.52	+17.72	2-0
2013-08-25	@ Western New York Flash	L 0-2	41.5	1517.12	1569.00	36.05%	0.00%	63.95%	-0.62	-10.34	0-1
2013-08-25	Sky Blue FC	W 2-0	41.5	1569.00	1517.12	63.95%	0.00%	36.05%	+0.62	+10.34	1-0
2013-09-01	Portland Thorns	L 0-2	50.4	1579.34	1543.46	61.80%	0.00%	38.20%	+0.52	-17.72	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2013-06-02	18.83%	Chicago Red Stars	1449.67	2	@ Portland Thorns	1555.77	0
2	2013-08-18	20.44%	Chicago Red Stars	1483.04	2	@ FC Kansas City	1567.86	1
3	2013-06-27	20.54%	Seattle Reign	1405.44	2	@ Boston Breakers	1489.09	1
4	2013-06-09	22.06%	Western New York Flash	1508.58	3	@ Sky Blue FC	1574.05	0
5	2013-06-16	22.10%	Chicago Red Stars	1465.01	3	@ FC Kansas City	1530.04	1
6	2013-07-07	23.30%	Boston Breakers	1486.41	2	@ Portland Thorns	1538.36	0
7	2013-05-17	25.50%	Sky Blue FC	1519.68	1	@ Portland Thorns	1549.42	0
8	2013-08-08	25.52%	@ Washington Spirit	1370.70	1	Chicago Red Stars	1495.59	0
9	2013-07-12	27.15%	@ Seattle Reign	1434.36	3	Western New York Flash	1544.26	2
10	2013-04-28	29.73%	Boston Breakers	1499.31	2	@ Western New York Flash	1492.07	1
11	2013-04-28	29.93%	Sky Blue FC	1508.76	2	@ Washington Spirit	1499.87	1
12	2013-07-04	30.00%	@ Chicago Red Stars	1469.00	1	Western New York Flash	1554.94	0
13	2013-04-28	30.09%	Portland Thorns	1509.45	2	@ Chicago Red Stars	1499.31	0
14	2013-07-01	30.29%	@ Boston Breakers	1475.29	3	Sky Blue FC	1558.91	2
15	2013-07-21	30.50%	Portland Thorns	1519.50	2	@ Boston Breakers	1506.12	1
16	2013-05-17	31.31%	Washington Spirit	1478.12	4	@ Seattle Reign	1458.43	2
17	2013-07-29	31.48%	FC Kansas City	1557.00	1	@ Sky Blue FC	1535.96	0
18	2013-05-26	31.65%	Sky Blue FC	1547.52	1	@ FC Kansas City	1525.22	0
19	2013-08-11	31.95%	@ Boston Breakers	1507.87	1	FC Kansas City	1578.67	0
20	2013-08-05	32.20%	FC Kansas City	1567.91	3	@ Portland Thorns	1541.49	2
21	2013-06-30	32.75%	@ Seattle Reign	1419.24	3	Chicago Red Stars	1484.05	1
22	2013-05-05	32.89%	FC Kansas City	1511.40	1	@ Seattle Reign	1479.85	0
23	2013-08-11	33.09%	@ Washington Spirit	1383.06	1	Seattle Reign	1445.37	0
24	2013-06-14	33.41%	FC Kansas City	1515.19	2	@ Chicago Red Stars	1479.86	0
25	2013-05-05	33.60%	Portland Thorns	1525.33	2	@ Washington Spirit	1488.60	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-06-09	23.09	Western New York Flash	3	1508.58	22.06%	@ Sky Blue FC	0	1574.05	50.84%	27.09%
2	2013-06-02	20.30	Chicago Red Stars	2	1449.67	18.83%	@ Portland Thorns	0	1555.77	56.06%	25.11%
3	2013-06-16	18.84	Chicago Red Stars	3	1465.01	22.10%	@ FC Kansas City	1	1530.04	50.78%	27.11%
4	2013-07-07	18.34	Boston Breakers	2	1486.41	23.30%	@ Portland Thorns	0	1538.36	49.05%	27.65%
5	2013-07-26	17.98	@ Seattle Reign	4	1444.87	33.99%	Chicago Red Stars	1	1500.67	36.32%	29.69%
6	2013-09-01 *	17.72	Portland Thorns	2	1543.46	38.20%	@ Western New York Flash	0	1579.34	61.80%	0.00%
7	2013-07-21	16.13	@ Western New York Flash	3	1532.84	39.22%	Sky Blue FC	0	1552.09	31.25%	29.53%
8	2013-04-28	15.88	Portland Thorns	2	1509.45	30.09%	@ Chicago Red Stars	0	1499.31	40.51%	29.40%
9	2013-07-28	15.81	Boston Breakers	5	1482.20	40.13%	@ Washington Spirit	2	1399.69	30.43%	29.44%
10	2013-06-02	15.66	@ Sky Blue FC	5	1558.40	46.50%	Boston Breakers	1	1525.37	25.16%	28.34%
11	2013-05-17	15.50	Washington Spirit	4	1478.12	31.31%	@ Seattle Reign	2	1458.43	39.15%	29.54%
12	2013-05-20	15.48	Sky Blue FC	3	1532.04	41.06%	@ Seattle Reign	0	1442.93	29.60%	29.34%
13	2013-06-30	15.05	@ Seattle Reign	3	1419.24	32.75%	Chicago Red Stars	1	1484.05	37.61%	29.64%
14	2013-06-14	14.85	FC Kansas City	2	1515.19	33.41%	@ Chicago Red Stars	0	1479.86	36.92%	29.67%
15	2013-07-11	14.16	Chicago Red Stars	2	1480.26	35.80%	@ Washington Spirit	0	1428.06	34.50%	29.70%
16	2013-05-05	13.84	@ Boston Breakers	4	1510.62	45.71%	Chicago Red Stars	1	1483.43	25.77%	28.52%
17	2013-08-18	13.83	Chicago Red Stars	2	1483.04	20.44%	@ FC Kansas City	1	1567.86	53.36%	26.20%
18	2013-06-27	13.80	Seattle Reign	2	1405.44	20.54%	@ Boston Breakers	1	1489.09	53.21%	26.26%
19	2013-05-26	13.77	@ Boston Breakers	3	1511.60	45.91%	Washington Spirit	0	1482.95	25.62%	28.48%
20	2013-06-16	13.73	Western New York Flash	2	1531.67	37.28%	@ Washington Spirit	0	1469.18	33.07%	29.66%
21	2013-05-12	13.63	Portland Thorns	2	1535.79	37.63%	@ Chicago Red Stars	0	1470.85	32.73%	29.64%
22	2013-06-30	13.58	@ FC Kansas City	2	1522.63	37.78%	Portland Thorns	0	1551.94	32.59%	29.63%
23	2013-05-19	12.88	@ FC Kansas City	2	1512.34	40.23%	Boston Breakers	0	1524.48	30.34%	29.43%
24	2013-07-25	12.79	@ FC Kansas City	3	1544.21	48.69%	Boston Breakers	0	1494.99	23.55%	27.76%
25	2013-05-17	12.36	Sky Blue FC	1	1519.68	25.50%	@ Portland Thorns	0	1549.42	46.05%	28.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season's games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-07-14	73.1	@ Chicago Red Stars	3	1494.41	36.19%	FC Kansas City	3	1534.84	34.12%	29.69%
2	2013-07-28	73.1	@ Portland Thorns	3	1530.64	48.52%	Chicago Red Stars	3	1482.69	23.68%	27.81%
3	2013-08-11	72.1	@ Chicago Red Stars	3	1483.23	36.99%	Sky Blue FC	3	1518.04	33.34%	29.67%
4	2013-06-27	71.6	@ Sky Blue FC	2	1560.15	47.28%	FC Kansas City	2	1521.39	24.58%	28.14%
5	2013-08-04	70.2	@ Boston Breakers	2	1498.01	33.56%	Western New York Flash	2	1556.95	36.77%	29.68%
6	2013-06-20	69.2	@ Chicago Red Stars	2	1483.85	33.20%	Western New York Flash	2	1545.40	37.14%	29.66%
7	2013-06-06	68.9	@ Boston Breakers	2	1509.71	42.20%	Western New York Flash	2	1507.86	28.62%	29.18%
8	2013-08-05	67.2	FC Kansas City	3	1567.91	32.20%	@ Portland Thorns	2	1541.49	38.20%	29.61%
9	2013-07-01	65.2	@ Boston Breakers	3	1475.29	30.29%	Sky Blue FC	2	1558.91	40.29%	29.43%
10	2013-07-14	64.2	@ Portland Thorns	1	1520.02	40.20%	Western New York Flash	1	1532.32	30.36%	29.44%
11	2013-06-17	64.1	Sky Blue FC	3	1550.96	35.75%	@ Boston Breakers	2	1499.11	34.55%	29.70%
12	2013-08-24 *	64.1	Portland Thorns	3	1531.29	40.00%	@ FC Kansas City	2	1554.03	60.00%	0.00%
13	2013-07-12	64.0	@ Seattle Reign	3	1434.36	27.15%	Western New York Flash	2	1544.26	43.97%	28.88%
14	2013-06-07	63.9	@ Portland Thorns	4	1535.47	44.87%	FC Kansas City	3	1514.34	26.42%	28.70%
15	2013-08-18	63.5	Chicago Red Stars	2	1483.04	20.44%	@ FC Kansas City	1	1567.86	53.36%	26.20%
16	2013-04-14	62.3	@ FC Kansas City	1	1500.00	41.94%	Portland Thorns	1	1500.00	28.85%	29.22%
17	2013-04-14	62.3	@ Chicago Red Stars	1	1500.00	41.94%	Seattle Reign	1	1500.00	28.85%	29.22%
18	2013-04-15	62.3	@ Boston Breakers	1	1500.00	41.94%	Washington Spirit	1	1500.00	28.85%	29.22%
19	2013-05-12	62.3	@ Washington Spirit	1	1478.14	35.34%	Boston Breakers	1	1524.46	34.95%	29.70%
20	2013-06-23	62.2	@ Western New York Flash	1	1545.20	60.51%	Seattle Reign	1	1402.92	16.42%	23.07%
21	2013-04-21	62.1	@ Washington Spirit	1	1500.69	43.26%	Western New York Flash	1	1491.24	27.73%	29.01%
22	2013-05-09	61.9	@ Sky Blue FC	1	1510.13	47.52%	Chicago Red Stars	1	1469.59	24.40%	28.08%
23	2013-06-23	61.6	@ Sky Blue FC	0	1560.98	43.32%	Portland Thorns	0	1551.11	27.69%	29.00%
24	2013-07-04	61.2	@ Washington Spirit	1	1432.99	27.91%	FC Kansas City	1	1536.21	43.04%	29.05%
25	2013-08-11	61.0	@ Western New York Flash	0	1562.72	47.68%	Portland Thorns	0	1521.03	24.29%	28.04%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-08-01	34.0	@ Western New York Flash	3	1548.97	63.21%	Washington Spirit	0	1383.89	15.09%	21.70%
2	2013-06-16	38.0	@ Portland Thorns	2	1543.63	59.41%	Seattle Reign	0	1410.40	16.99%	23.60%
3	2013-06-29	38.7	@ Western New York Flash	4	1542.67	54.97%	Washington Spirit	0	1445.26	19.46%	25.57%
4	2013-08-04	40.1	@ Sky Blue FC	1	1512.83	59.86%	Washington Spirit	0	1375.91	16.75%	23.39%
5	2013-07-21	41.3	@ FC Kansas City	2	1534.94	52.84%	Seattle Reign	0	1454.14	20.77%	26.39%
6	2013-06-23	41.4	@ FC Kansas City	2	1511.20	49.56%	Washington Spirit	0	1455.45	22.94%	27.50%
7	2013-05-26	41.5	@ Boston Breakers	3	1511.60	45.91%	Washington Spirit	0	1482.95	25.62%	28.48%
8	2013-08-25 *	41.5	@ Western New York Flash	2	1569.00	63.95%	Sky Blue FC	0	1517.12	36.05%	0.00%
9	2013-05-20	42.2	Sky Blue FC	3	1532.04	41.06%	@ Seattle Reign	0	1442.93	29.60%	29.34%
10	2013-07-21	42.3	@ Chicago Red Stars	1	1494.30	53.80%	Washington Spirit	0	1406.06	20.17%	26.03%
11	2013-07-25	42.3	@ FC Kansas City	3	1544.21	48.69%	Boston Breakers	0	1494.99	23.55%	27.76%
12	2013-05-12	42.5	@ Sky Blue FC	2	1508.87	47.40%	Seattle Reign	0	1469.24	24.49%	28.11%
13	2013-07-11	43.5	Chicago Red Stars	2	1480.26	35.80%	@ Washington Spirit	0	1428.06	34.50%	29.70%
14	2013-07-07	44.2	@ Sky Blue FC	1	1547.73	57.04%	Washington Spirit	0	1433.79	18.27%	24.69%
15	2013-04-27	44.3	@ FC Kansas City	2	1499.31	42.97%	Seattle Reign	0	1491.93	27.97%	29.06%
16	2013-05-19	44.3	@ Portland Thorns	2	1537.06	47.91%	Washington Spirit	0	1493.61	24.11%	27.97%
17	2013-08-08	45.5	@ Western New York Flash	1	1556.78	55.98%	Seattle Reign	0	1451.31	18.87%	25.15%
18	2013-06-16	46.4	Western New York Flash	2	1531.67	37.28%	@ Washington Spirit	0	1469.18	33.07%	29.66%
19	2013-08-11	46.4	@ Washington Spirit	1	1383.06	33.09%	Seattle Reign	0	1445.37	37.25%	29.66%
20	2013-05-12	46.5	Portland Thorns	2	1535.79	37.63%	@ Chicago Red Stars	0	1470.85	32.73%	29.64%
21	2013-05-05	46.7	@ Boston Breakers	4	1510.62	45.71%	Chicago Red Stars	1	1483.43	25.77%	28.52%
22	2013-05-19	46.8	@ FC Kansas City	2	1512.34	40.23%	Boston Breakers	0	1524.48	30.34%	29.43%
23	2013-07-21	46.8	@ Western New York Flash	3	1532.84	39.22%	Sky Blue FC	0	1552.09	31.25%	29.53%
24	2013-07-28	47.0	Boston Breakers	5	1482.20	40.13%	@ Washington Spirit	2	1399.69	30.43%	29.44%
25	2013-06-10	47.1	FC Kansas City	1	1506.18	40.73%	@ Seattle Reign	0	1419.40	29.89%	29.38%