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2015 First Division Season

240 games · 5 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Start

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sogndal

7.05 points above expected

62 points · 54.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Asane

7.15 points below expected

35 points · 42.15 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sogndal 30 18 8 4 62 59 31 +28 54.95 +7.05
2 Brann 30 14 11 5 53 46 35 +11 49.02 +3.98
3 Kristiansund 30 14 7 9 49 37 30 +7 44.59 +4.41
4 Hodd 30 14 6 10 48 43 40 +3 42.02 +5.98
5 Jerv 30 12 11 7 47 47 28 +19 48.35 -1.35
6 Ranheim 30 13 8 9 47 48 36 +12 42.37 +4.63
7 Sandnes Ulf 30 13 8 9 47 49 40 +9 46.81 +0.19
8 Strommen 30 10 7 13 37 33 39 -6 40.13 -3.13
9 Levanger 30 10 6 14 36 48 53 -5 39.47 -3.47
10 Bryne 30 10 6 14 36 43 50 -7 37.76 -1.76
11 Asane 30 8 11 11 35 46 46 0 42.15 -7.15
12 Fredrikstad 30 8 11 11 35 41 61 -20 35.79 -0.79
13 Follo 30 8 9 13 33 42 43 -1 39.15 -6.15
14 Nest-Sotra 30 8 7 15 31 41 51 -10 35.32 -4.32
15 Baerum 30 8 7 15 31 44 67 -23 35.49 -4.49
16 Honefoss 30 7 7 16 28 35 52 -17 31.93 -3.93

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Jerv 2
Kristiansund 0

Sim: 5.0%

Kristiansund 1
Ranheim 0

Sim: 2.0%

Semifinals

Jerv 1
Start 1

Finals

Start 3
Jerv 1

Sim: 1.0%

Jerv 6
Hodd 5

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sogndal 1445 62 54.95 +7.05 85.9% 28 43 50 55 60 67 79
Jerv 1405 47 48.35 -1.35 45.1% 22 37 43 48 53 60 79
Brann 1384 53 49.02 +3.98 73.4% 22 37 44 49 54 61 76
Ranheim 1349 47 42.37 +4.63 76.8% 15 31 38 42 47 54 72
Kristiansund 1324 49 44.59 +4.41 75.5% 19 33 40 45 49 56 70
Sandnes Ulf 1323 47 46.81 +0.19 53.7% 22 35 42 47 52 59 74
Asane 1304 35 42.15 -7.15 17.2% 17 31 37 42 47 54 68
Levanger 1296 36 39.47 -3.47 34.6% 13 28 35 39 44 51 66
Hodd 1286 48 42.02 +5.98 81.8% 15 31 37 42 47 54 67
Follo 1262 33 39.15 -6.15 21.0% 14 28 34 39 44 51 65
Nest-Sotra 1258 31 35.32 -4.32 29.5% 11 24 31 35 40 47 63
Strommen 1248 37 40.13 -3.13 35.9% 14 29 35 40 45 52 66
Bryne 1242 36 37.76 -1.76 43.9% 10 26 33 38 43 49 63
Fredrikstad 1219 35 35.79 -0.79 48.9% 12 24 31 36 40 47 64
Honefoss 1209 28 31.93 -3.93 31.3% 9 21 27 32 36 43 61
Baerum 1172 31 35.49 -4.49 28.8% 12 24 31 35 40 47 62

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ASA BAE BRA BRY FOL FRE HOD HON JER KRI LEV NES RAN SU SOG STR
Asane —
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.15
0-2-0
3.04
0-0-2
3.15
0-2-0
3.52
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
3.27
0-2-0
2.12
2-0-0
2.72
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
2.42
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.74
Baerum
1-0-1
2.50
 —
0-2-0
2.02
0-0-2
2.83
0-2-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
1.97
1-0-1
1.90
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
2.47
Brann
1-1-0
3.39
0-2-0
3.55
 —
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
3.47
0-0-2
3.51
1-1-0
3.91
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
3.87
1-1-0
3.28
0-2-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.24
2-0-0
3.30
Bryne
0-2-0
2.51
2-0-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.02
 —
2-0-0
2.47
0-0-2
3.17
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-0
3.23
0-0-2
2.08
1-1-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.93
0-2-0
2.75
Follo
2-0-0
2.39
0-2-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
3.07
 —
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
2.15
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.88
0-2-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.77
1-1-0
2.54
Fredrikstad
0-2-0
2.03
1-1-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.08
2-0-0
2.37
1-1-0
2.31
 —
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
3.27
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.11
0-1-1
1.52
1-1-0
2.15
Hodd
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
2.04
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
2.92
 —
1-0-1
3.27
1-1-0
2.37
0-0-2
2.90
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.20
0-1-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
1.61
1-1-0
2.93
Honefoss
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.27
 —
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
1.96
2-0-0
2.10
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
2.28
Jerv
0-2-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.57
0-1-1
2.61
2-0-0
3.46
0-1-1
3.41
1-0-1
3.43
0-1-1
3.17
1-0-1
3.89
 —
0-1-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-1
3.75
2-0-0
3.22
0-2-0
2.70
0-2-0
2.32
1-1-0
3.25
Kristiansund
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
3.65
0-0-2
2.75
0-1-1
3.19
1-1-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
2.64
1-1-0
3.59
1-1-0
2.57
 —
2-0-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
3.31
Levanger
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
2.66
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
3.45
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
2.56
 —
0-1-1
3.16
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.28
2-0-0
1.69
0-0-2
2.87
Nest-Sotra
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.95
1-1-0
1.69
1-0-1
2.53
0-2-0
2.49
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
1.80
0-1-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.38
 —
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
2.39
Ranheim
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
3.19
0-0-2
3.07
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.46
1-1-0
3.24
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.16
2-0-0
2.99
 —
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
1.92
2-0-0
3.07
Sandnes Ulf
0-1-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.61
0-2-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
3.43
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.74
0-2-0
2.83
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.15
1-1-0
2.60
 —
0-0-2
2.19
2-0-0
3.13
Sogndal
1-1-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.79
1-1-0
4.05
0-1-1
3.95
2-0-0
4.07
0-2-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.33
0-0-2
3.87
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
3.37
 —
1-1-0
3.90
Strommen
2-0-0
2.81
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.24
0-2-0
2.79
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
3.40
0-1-1
2.61
2-0-0
3.26
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.23
2-0-0
2.66
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
2.41
0-1-1
1.67
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.38 +9.5
Allowed 0.61 -6.7
Differential 0.79 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.08%7.71%3.96%2.71%2.08%0.83%24.38%
17.71%11.67%7.50%2.92%2.71%0.42%32.92%
23.96%7.50%7.08%4.38%0.62%0.42%23.96%
32.71%2.92%4.38%1.25%0.21%—11.46%
42.08%2.71%0.62%0.21%——5.62%
5+0.83%0.42%0.42%———1.67%
Total24.38%32.92%23.96%11.46%5.62%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.46 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.82
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%—30.00%
13.33%13.33%3.33%———20.00%
26.67%3.33%10.00%10.00%——30.00%
3—3.33%3.33%6.67%——13.33%
4———————
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total23.33%30.00%20.00%23.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.20 1.95
CV 0.92 0.78 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%——3.33%10.00%23.33%
16.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%—33.33%
23.33%3.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%—26.67%
3——6.67%3.33%——10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total16.67%16.67%26.67%16.67%13.33%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 2.23 -0.77
SD 1.25 1.57 2.22
CV 0.85 0.70 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%——3.33%3.33%—20.00%
113.33%10.00%6.67%—3.33%—33.33%
26.67%10.00%13.33%———30.00%
33.33%—6.67%———10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total36.67%26.67%26.67%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.17 +0.37
SD 1.22 1.18 1.69
CV 0.80 1.01 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%13.33%3.33%——30.00%
1—3.33%6.67%3.33%6.67%—20.00%
26.67%13.33%10.00%6.67%——36.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4—10.00%————10.00%
5+———————
Total13.33%33.33%33.33%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.67 -0.23
SD 1.25 1.09 1.77
CV 0.87 0.66 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
16.67%13.33%20.00%3.33%3.33%—46.67%
23.33%6.67%13.33%6.67%——30.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total23.33%26.67%36.67%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.43 -0.03
SD 0.93 1.07 1.54
CV 0.67 0.75 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%6.67%—6.67%—23.33%
13.33%20.00%3.33%—6.67%6.67%40.00%
23.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
3—3.33%13.33%6.67%——23.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%33.33%30.00%6.67%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 2.03 -0.67
SD 1.10 1.50 1.88
CV 0.80 0.74 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%—26.67%
110.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
26.67%10.00%—3.33%——20.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+———————
Total30.00%36.67%13.33%10.00%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.33 +0.10
SD 1.28 1.30 2.02
CV 0.89 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%16.67%—3.33%6.67%—30.00%
16.67%6.67%13.33%6.67%——33.33%
23.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%—3.33%26.67%
33.33%3.33%—3.33%——10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%23.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.73 -0.57
SD 0.99 1.31 1.65
CV 0.84 0.76 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%3.33%—3.33%—30.00%
16.67%13.33%6.67%———26.67%
23.33%6.67%10.00%———20.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
46.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total40.00%33.33%23.33%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 0.93 +0.63
SD 1.50 0.98 1.94
CV 0.96 1.05 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%6.67%———23.33%
120.00%20.00%6.67%———46.67%
23.33%13.33%————16.67%
3—3.33%3.33%—3.33%—10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total26.67%53.33%16.67%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.00 +0.23
SD 1.04 0.87 1.19
CV 0.84 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%—3.33%30.00%
13.33%6.67%6.67%—6.67%—23.33%
2—3.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%—20.00%
3—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
43.33%13.33%————16.67%
5+———————
Total13.33%40.00%20.00%13.33%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.77 -0.17
SD 1.45 1.33 2.18
CV 0.91 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%—10.00%——16.67%
16.67%13.33%16.67%6.67%——43.33%
26.67%3.33%6.67%10.00%—3.33%30.00%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total23.33%20.00%26.67%26.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.70 -0.33
SD 0.96 1.29 1.73
CV 0.71 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
13.33%10.00%—3.33%3.33%—20.00%
23.33%6.67%6.67%———16.67%
33.33%—10.00%———13.33%
46.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%40.00%23.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.20 +0.40
SD 1.50 1.03 1.85
CV 0.94 0.86 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%—6.67%———20.00%
110.00%6.67%10.00%6.67%——33.33%
2—6.67%6.67%6.67%——20.00%
33.33%10.00%10.00%———23.33%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total26.67%26.67%33.33%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.33 +0.30
SD 1.35 1.03 1.58
CV 0.83 0.77 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%————10.00%
16.67%20.00%—3.33%3.33%—33.33%
26.67%16.67%—3.33%——26.67%
36.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
43.33%——3.33%——6.67%
5+3.33%—3.33%———6.67%
Total33.33%46.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.03 +0.93
SD 1.35 1.07 1.68
CV 0.69 1.03 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%10.00%3.33%——30.00%
116.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%——40.00%
2—6.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%—20.00%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%30.00%23.33%13.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.30 -0.20
SD 0.96 1.15 1.42
CV 0.87 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sogndal 62 54.95 +7.05
2 Hodd 48 42.02 +5.98
3 Ranheim 47 42.37 +4.63
4 Kristiansund 49 44.59 +4.41
5 Brann 53 49.02 +3.98

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Asane 35 42.15 -7.15
2 Follo 33 39.15 -6.15
3 Baerum 31 35.49 -4.49
4 Nest-Sotra 31 35.32 -4.32
5 Honefoss 28 31.93 -3.93

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sogndal 7 May 10 – Jun 21 1 in 252
2 Levanger 4 Oct 11 – Nov 1 1 in 189
3 Kristiansund 6 Aug 9 – Sep 13 1 in 127
4 Fredrikstad 3 Jun 21 – Jul 5 1 in 53
5 Sandnes Ulf 5 Jun 7 – Jul 26 1 in 39

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Asane 6 May 10 – Jun 7 1 in 526
2 Sandnes Ulf 4 Aug 17 – Sep 13 1 in 207
3 Levanger 4 Aug 23 – Sep 20 1 in 72
4 Strommen 5 Sep 20 – Oct 18 1 in 60
5 Baerum 5 Jul 5 – Aug 12 1 in 45

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brann 15 Jun 29 – Oct 19 1 in 404
2 Sandnes Ulf 9 Apr 6 – May 16 1 in 79
3 Sogndal 11 May 3 – Jul 5 1 in 47
4 Ranheim 7 May 31 – Aug 3 1 in 30
5 Kristiansund 8 Aug 9 – Sep 27 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Asane 10 Apr 26 – Jun 21 1 in 301
2 Baerum 13 Jun 7 – Sep 20 1 in 115
3 Sogndal 4 Jun 24 – Aug 3 1 in 26
4 Jerv 6 Apr 6 – May 3 1 in 25
5 Ranheim 7 Apr 6 – May 10 1 in 23

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Sogndal46.52%20.53%12.01%6.74%5.04%2.90%2.04%1.33%1.20%0.60%0.44%0.27%0.19%0.09%0.08%0.02%
Brann14.48%16.84%15.08%11.83%9.70%7.86%6.28%4.61%3.93%2.97%2.23%1.53%1.16%0.81%0.50%0.19%
Kristiansund4.89%8.21%9.49%10.14%9.71%9.37%9.25%8.01%6.62%5.92%5.62%4.33%3.22%2.78%1.56%0.88%
Hodd2.65%4.74%6.04%7.57%7.79%8.88%8.60%8.51%8.02%7.59%7.05%6.26%5.55%4.80%3.51%2.44%
Jerv13.12%16.32%14.83%11.14%9.69%7.52%6.36%5.53%4.18%3.40%2.72%1.95%1.31%1.07%0.58%0.28%
Ranheim3.09%5.50%6.71%8.08%8.31%8.85%8.55%8.42%8.05%7.73%6.72%5.79%5.25%3.94%3.22%1.79%
Sandnes Ulf8.32%12.23%12.84%12.29%10.37%9.16%7.32%6.51%5.43%4.16%3.65%2.78%2.06%1.49%0.94%0.45%
Strommen1.19%2.81%3.96%5.27%6.36%7.44%7.83%7.98%8.23%8.73%7.98%7.95%7.57%6.97%5.86%3.87%
Levanger0.97%2.46%3.57%4.73%6.12%6.62%7.68%7.64%7.96%8.02%8.24%8.37%8.48%7.40%7.08%4.66%
Bryne0.52%1.41%2.33%3.39%4.14%5.30%5.81%6.95%8.02%8.11%8.69%9.33%9.62%9.64%9.15%7.59%
Asane2.45%4.63%5.98%7.54%8.33%8.38%8.60%8.49%8.35%8.22%7.13%6.35%5.57%4.51%3.40%2.07%
Fredrikstad0.32%0.76%1.39%1.91%2.81%3.59%4.55%4.85%6.03%7.37%8.84%9.47%10.34%11.32%12.69%13.76%
Follo1.01%2.13%3.06%4.75%5.64%6.29%6.75%8.36%8.50%8.21%8.75%8.59%8.35%7.71%6.62%5.28%
Nest-Sotra0.23%0.62%1.04%1.96%2.46%3.05%4.19%5.28%6.04%7.03%8.33%9.68%10.97%12.29%13.49%13.34%
Baerum0.15%0.67%1.28%1.89%2.51%3.22%4.06%5.08%5.65%7.36%7.98%9.66%10.49%12.30%13.59%14.11%
Honefoss0.09%0.14%0.39%0.77%1.02%1.57%2.13%2.45%3.79%4.58%5.63%7.69%9.87%12.88%17.73%29.27%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.25%
Clear Edge
44.58%27.08%28.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 56.96 Elo pts.
211 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
47%
Sogndal, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.30/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.62 * Some Luck: 5.62 to 8.43 * Lucky: 8.43 to 11.24 * Wild Swing: 11.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.46 * Close: 2.46 to 3.68 * Off: 3.68 to 4.91 * Way Off: 4.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.37 points
As Expected
07.0218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
03.078
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
85.89%
Sogndal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
17.17%
Asane
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.17
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Strong Edge
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.40
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
29%
As Expected
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.69
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Well Within Noise
00.1040.25

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Sogndal 67.05% 26.69% 5.88% 0.38%
Brann 31.32% 44.47% 21.55% 2.66%
Sandnes Ulf 20.55% 44.66% 29.85% 4.94%
Hodd — 100% — —
Jerv — 100% — —
Kristiansund — 100% — —
Ranheim — 100% — —
Asane 7.08% 30.23% 47.14% 15.55%
Strommen 4.00% 23.03% 48.70% 24.27%
Levanger 3.43% 21.04% 47.91% 27.62%
Follo 3.14% 19.74% 49.16% 27.96%
Bryne 1.93% 15.16% 46.91% 36.00%
Fredrikstad 1.08% 9.70% 41.11% 48.11%
Nest-Sotra 0.85% 8.51% 40.55% 50.09%
Baerum 0.82% 8.90% 39.79% 50.49%
Honefoss 0.23% 3.75% 26.27% 69.75%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AalesundAsaneBaerumBodo GlimtBrannBryneFolloFredrikstadHaugesundHoddHonefossJervKristiansundLevangerLillestromMjondalenNest-SotraRanheimSandefjordSandnes UlfSarpsborg 08SogndalStartStrommenStromsgodsetTromsoValerenga
Aalesund
Asane100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%11.1%9.00%0.0%3.00%60.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Baerum0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Bodo Glimt
Brann50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%4.00%60.0%5.00%25.0%4.00%75.0%4.00%
Bryne0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Follo100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Fredrikstad50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Haugesund
Hodd50.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Honefoss100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Jerv50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%6.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%55.6%9.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%8.00%100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%
Kristiansund88.9%9.00%60.0%5.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%44.4%9.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%71.4%7.00%50.0%2.00%
Levanger100.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%
Lillestrom
Mjondalen
Nest-Sotra100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%3.00%
Ranheim40.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%5.00%100.0%3.00%
Sandefjord
Sandnes Ulf100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%8.00%28.6%7.00%66.7%3.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%
Sarpsborg 08
Sogndal100.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Start
Strommen0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Stromsgodset
Tromso
Valerenga
Loser →
↓ Winner
AalesundAsaneBaerumBodo GlimtBrannBryneFolloFredrikstadHaugesundHoddHonefossJervKristiansundLevangerLillestromMjondalenNest-SotraRanheimSandefjordSandnes UlfSarpsborg 08SogndalStartStrommenStromsgodsetTromsoValerenga
Aalesund
Asane100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Baerum0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Bodo Glimt
Brann100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%44.4%9.00%100.0%3.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%
Bryne0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Follo100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Fredrikstad0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Haugesund
Hodd0.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%
Honefoss0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Jerv60.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Kristiansund100.0%1.00%55.6%9.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%4.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%
Levanger0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Lillestrom
Mjondalen
Nest-Sotra100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Ranheim0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Sandefjord
Sandnes Ulf100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Sarpsborg 08
Sogndal0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Start
Strommen100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Stromsgodset
Tromso
Valerenga
Loser →
↓ Winner
AalesundAsaneBaerumBodo GlimtBrannBryneFolloFredrikstadHaugesundHoddHonefossJervKristiansundLevangerLillestromMjondalenNest-SotraRanheimSandefjordSandnes UlfSarpsborg 08SogndalStartStrommenStromsgodsetTromsoValerenga
Aalesund100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%
Asane100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Baerum0.0%1.00%
Bodo Glimt100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Brann100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Bryne0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Follo100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Fredrikstad
Haugesund0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%83.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Hodd66.7%3.00%
Honefoss
Jerv0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Kristiansund16.7%6.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Levanger0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Lillestrom0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Mjondalen50.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Nest-Sotra100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Ranheim0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Sandefjord100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Sandnes Ulf100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%
Sarpsborg 08100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%
Sogndal50.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Start0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Strommen100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Stromsgodset100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Tromso0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Valerenga100.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
Start — — 40.16%
Jerv 56.23% 28.01% 18.77%
Kristiansund 54.04% 29.62% 17.32%
Ranheim 45.96% 26.93% 15.93%
Hodd 43.77% 15.44% 7.82%
Loser →
↓ Winner
HoddJervKristiansundRanheimStart
Hodd43.8%100.00%
Jerv56.2%100.00%
Kristiansund54.0%100.00%
Ranheim46.0%100.00%
Start
Loser →
↓ Winner
HoddJervKristiansundRanheimStart
Hodd36.9%23.78%33.3%19.99%
Jerv51.7%30.26%47.6%25.97%
Kristiansund63.1%23.78%48.3%30.26%
Ranheim66.7%19.99%52.4%25.97%
Start
Loser →
↓ Winner
HoddJervKristiansundRanheimStart
Hodd50.6%15.44%
Jerv67.0%28.01%
Kristiansund58.5%29.62%
Ranheim59.2%26.93%
Start49.4%15.44%33.0%28.01%41.5%29.62%40.8%26.93%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2015-04-06 Baerum W 3-1 1331 1277 53.0% 22.7% 24.3% +11.1 3
2015-04-06 @ Sogndal L 1-3 1277 1331 24.3% 22.7% 53.0% -11.1 0
2015-04-06 Brann D 1-1 1297 1361 37.2% 23.4% 39.4% +0.1 1
2015-04-06 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1361 1297 39.4% 23.4% 37.2% -0.1 1
2015-04-06 Hodd L 0-1 1282 1279 46.6% 23.2% 30.2% -11.5 0
2015-04-06 @ Strommen W 1-0 1279 1282 30.2% 23.2% 46.6% +11.5 3
2015-04-06 Honefoss W 4-0 1258 1254 46.7% 23.2% 30.1% +29.0 3
2015-04-06 @ Follo L 0-4 1254 1258 30.1% 23.2% 46.7% -29.0 0
2015-04-06 Jerv D 2-2 1307 1331 43.0% 23.4% 33.7% -0.4 1
2015-04-06 @ Sandnes Ulf D 2-2 1331 1307 33.7% 23.4% 43.0% +0.4 1
2015-04-06 Levanger W 5-0 1331 1331 46.2% 23.2% 30.6% +36.2 3
2015-04-06 @ Asane L 0-5 1331 1331 30.6% 23.2% 46.2% -36.2 0
2015-04-06 Nest-Sotra W 2-1 1261 1267 45.3% 23.3% 31.4% +7.9 3
2015-04-06 @ Bryne L 1-2 1267 1261 31.4% 23.3% 45.3% -7.9 0
2015-04-06 Ranheim D 0-0 1288 1291 45.7% 23.2% 31.0% -0.9 1
2015-04-06 @ Kristiansund D 0-0 1291 1288 31.0% 23.2% 45.7% +0.9 1
2015-04-12 Asane L 2-3 1259 1367 31.3% 23.3% 45.4% -7.5 0
2015-04-12 @ Nest-Sotra W 3-2 1367 1259 45.4% 23.3% 31.3% +7.5 6
2015-04-12 Bryne L 1-2 1225 1269 40.2% 23.4% 36.4% -9.6 0
2015-04-12 @ Honefoss W 2-1 1269 1225 36.4% 23.4% 40.2% +9.6 6
2015-04-12 Follo D 1-1 1266 1287 43.3% 23.4% 33.4% -0.5 1
2015-04-12 @ Baerum D 1-1 1287 1266 33.4% 23.4% 43.3% +0.5 4
2015-04-12 Kristiansund L 0-2 1295 1287 47.3% 23.2% 29.5% -21.9 0
2015-04-12 @ Levanger W 2-0 1287 1295 29.5% 23.2% 47.3% +21.9 4
2015-04-12 Sandnes Ulf D 1-1 1292 1307 44.2% 23.3% 32.5% -0.6 2
2015-04-12 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1307 1292 32.5% 23.3% 44.2% +0.6 2
2015-04-12 Sogndal D 0-0 1332 1342 44.9% 23.3% 31.8% -0.8 2
2015-04-12 @ Jerv D 0-0 1342 1332 31.8% 23.3% 44.9% +0.8 4
2015-04-13 Fredrikstad D 1-1 1290 1297 45.3% 23.3% 31.4% -0.7 4
2015-04-13 @ Hodd D 1-1 1297 1290 31.4% 23.3% 45.3% +0.7 2
2015-04-13 Strommen W 2-0 1361 1270 57.2% 22.1% 20.7% +11.1 4
2015-04-13 @ Brann L 0-2 1270 1361 20.7% 22.1% 57.2% -11.1 0
2015-04-19 Asane L 0-1 1309 1375 36.9% 23.4% 39.6% -9.5 4
2015-04-19 @ Kristiansund W 1-0 1375 1309 39.6% 23.4% 36.9% +9.5 9
2015-04-19 Baerum W 3-1 1259 1265 45.4% 23.3% 31.3% +13.7 3
2015-04-19 @ Strommen L 1-3 1265 1259 31.3% 23.3% 45.4% -13.7 1
2015-04-19 Honefoss W 2-1 1342 1216 61.0% 21.4% 17.6% +4.8 7
2015-04-19 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1216 1342 17.6% 21.4% 61.0% -4.8 0
2015-04-19 Jerv W 2-1 1288 1331 40.3% 23.4% 36.3% +8.9 7
2015-04-19 @ Follo L 1-2 1331 1288 36.3% 23.4% 40.3% -8.9 2
2015-04-19 Nest-Sotra W 3-1 1308 1252 53.2% 22.7% 24.1% +11.0 5
2015-04-19 @ Sandnes Ulf L 1-3 1252 1308 24.1% 22.7% 53.2% -11.0 0
2015-04-19 Ranheim D 2-2 1278 1292 44.4% 23.3% 32.3% -0.5 7
2015-04-19 @ Bryne D 2-2 1292 1278 32.3% 23.3% 44.4% +0.5 3
2015-04-20 Brann W 3-0 1289 1372 34.7% 23.4% 41.9% +28.8 7
2015-04-20 @ Hodd L 0-3 1372 1289 41.9% 23.4% 34.7% -28.8 4
2015-04-20 Levanger D 2-2 1297 1273 49.4% 23.0% 27.6% -0.9 3
2015-04-20 @ Fredrikstad D 2-2 1273 1297 27.6% 23.0% 49.4% +0.9 1
2015-04-26 Bryne D 2-2 1384 1278 58.9% 21.8% 19.2% -1.7 10
2015-04-26 @ Asane D 2-2 1278 1384 19.2% 21.8% 58.9% +1.7 8
2015-04-26 Follo L 0-1 1292 1297 45.6% 23.3% 31.2% -11.3 3
2015-04-26 @ Ranheim W 1-0 1297 1292 31.2% 23.3% 45.6% +11.3 10
2015-04-26 Hodd W 4-0 1252 1318 36.9% 23.4% 39.7% +36.0 4
2015-04-26 @ Baerum L 0-4 1318 1252 39.7% 23.4% 36.9% -36.0 7
2015-04-26 Sandnes Ulf D 0-0 1274 1319 40.1% 23.4% 36.5% -0.2 2
2015-04-26 @ Levanger D 0-0 1319 1274 36.5% 23.4% 40.1% +0.2 6
2015-04-26 Sogndal L 1-2 1241 1347 31.6% 23.3% 45.2% -7.9 0
2015-04-26 @ Nest-Sotra W 2-1 1347 1241 45.2% 23.3% 31.6% +7.9 10
2015-04-26 Strommen W 2-1 1299 1273 49.6% 23.0% 27.4% +7.1 7
2015-04-26 @ Kristiansund L 1-2 1273 1299 27.4% 23.0% 49.6% -7.1 3
2015-04-27 Brann D 2-2 1322 1343 43.3% 23.4% 33.3% -0.4 3
2015-04-27 @ Jerv D 2-2 1343 1322 33.3% 23.4% 43.3% +0.4 5
2015-04-27 Fredrikstad W 2-0 1211 1297 34.3% 23.4% 42.3% +20.0 3
2015-04-27 @ Honefoss L 0-2 1297 1211 42.3% 23.4% 34.3% -20.0 3
2015-04-30 Asane D 1-1 1277 1383 31.5% 23.3% 45.2% +0.7 4
2015-04-30 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1383 1277 45.2% 23.3% 31.5% -0.7 11
2015-04-30 Bryne D 2-2 1266 1280 44.4% 23.3% 32.3% -0.5 4
2015-04-30 @ Strommen D 2-2 1280 1266 32.3% 23.3% 44.4% +0.5 9
2015-04-30 Honefoss W 1-0 1288 1231 53.3% 22.6% 24.0% +6.7 7
2015-04-30 @ Baerum L 0-1 1231 1288 24.0% 22.6% 53.3% -6.7 3
2015-04-30 Jerv D 0-0 1282 1322 40.8% 23.4% 35.8% -0.3 8
2015-04-30 @ Hodd D 0-0 1322 1282 35.8% 23.4% 40.8% +0.3 4
2015-04-30 Kristiansund W 2-1 1319 1306 47.9% 23.1% 29.0% +7.4 9
2015-04-30 @ Sandnes Ulf L 1-2 1306 1319 29.0% 23.1% 47.9% -7.4 7
2015-04-30 Levanger L 1-3 1355 1274 56.2% 22.3% 21.6% -22.0 10
2015-04-30 @ Sogndal W 3-1 1274 1355 21.6% 22.3% 56.2% +22.0 5
2015-04-30 Nest-Sotra D 1-1 1308 1233 55.5% 22.4% 22.2% -1.8 11
2015-04-30 @ Follo D 1-1 1233 1308 22.2% 22.4% 55.5% +1.8 1
2015-04-30 Ranheim W 4-1 1344 1281 54.1% 22.6% 23.4% +15.1 8
2015-04-30 @ Brann L 1-4 1281 1344 23.4% 22.6% 54.1% -15.1 3
2015-05-03 Baerum D 0-0 1266 1294 42.3% 23.4% 34.3% -0.5 4
2015-05-03 @ Ranheim D 0-0 1294 1266 34.3% 23.4% 42.3% +0.5 8
2015-05-03 Brann L 0-1 1280 1359 35.2% 23.4% 41.4% -9.2 9
2015-05-03 @ Bryne W 1-0 1359 1280 41.4% 23.4% 35.2% +9.2 11
2015-05-03 Follo W 3-1 1296 1306 44.9% 23.3% 31.9% +13.8 8
2015-05-03 @ Levanger L 1-3 1306 1296 31.9% 23.3% 44.9% -13.8 11
2015-05-03 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1235 1277 40.4% 23.4% 36.2% +9.4 4
2015-05-03 @ Nest-Sotra L 0-1 1277 1235 36.2% 23.4% 40.4% -9.4 4
2015-05-03 Hodd L 1-3 1224 1282 38.2% 23.4% 38.4% -16.0 3
2015-05-03 @ Honefoss W 3-1 1282 1224 38.4% 23.4% 38.2% +16.0 11
2015-05-03 Sandnes Ulf D 0-0 1382 1326 53.2% 22.7% 24.1% -1.8 12
2015-05-03 @ Asane D 0-0 1326 1382 24.1% 22.7% 53.2% +1.8 10
2015-05-03 Sogndal D 1-1 1299 1333 41.5% 23.4% 35.1% -0.3 8
2015-05-03 @ Kristiansund D 1-1 1333 1299 35.1% 23.4% 41.5% +0.3 11
2015-05-03 Strommen D 0-0 1322 1265 53.3% 22.6% 24.0% -1.8 5
2015-05-03 @ Jerv D 0-0 1265 1322 24.0% 22.6% 53.3% +1.8 5
2015-05-09 Honefoss W 1-0 1267 1208 53.6% 22.6% 23.8% +6.6 8
2015-05-09 @ Strommen L 0-1 1208 1267 23.8% 22.6% 53.6% -6.6 3
2015-05-09 Sandnes Ulf D 0-0 1368 1328 51.3% 22.9% 25.8% -1.5 12
2015-05-09 @ Brann D 0-0 1328 1368 25.8% 22.9% 51.3% +1.5 11
2015-05-10 Asane W 3-0 1333 1380 39.7% 23.4% 36.9% +26.1 14
2015-05-10 @ Sogndal L 0-3 1380 1333 36.9% 23.4% 39.7% -26.0 12
2015-05-10 Bryne W 3-0 1320 1271 52.5% 22.7% 24.8% +18.8 8
2015-05-10 @ Jerv L 0-3 1271 1320 24.8% 22.7% 52.5% -18.9 9
2015-05-10 Kristiansund L 2-3 1292 1298 45.4% 23.3% 31.4% -10.0 11
2015-05-10 @ Follo W 3-2 1298 1292 31.4% 23.3% 45.4% +10.0 11
2015-05-10 Levanger W 3-2 1295 1310 44.2% 23.3% 32.5% +7.7 11
2015-05-10 @ Baerum L 2-3 1310 1295 32.5% 23.3% 44.2% -7.7 8
2015-05-10 Nest-Sotra W 3-2 1298 1244 53.0% 22.7% 24.3% +6.1 14
2015-05-10 @ Hodd L 2-3 1244 1298 24.3% 22.7% 53.0% -6.1 4
2015-05-10 Ranheim W 3-1 1268 1265 46.6% 23.2% 30.2% +13.3 7
2015-05-10 @ Fredrikstad L 1-3 1265 1268 30.2% 23.2% 46.6% -13.3 4
2015-05-12 Brann D 0-0 1202 1366 24.6% 22.7% 52.7% +1.7 4
2015-05-12 @ Honefoss D 0-0 1366 1202 52.7% 22.7% 24.6% -1.7 13
2015-05-13 Baerum L 1-2 1238 1302 37.3% 23.4% 39.3% -9.0 4
2015-05-13 @ Nest-Sotra W 2-1 1302 1238 39.3% 23.4% 37.3% +9.0 14
2015-05-13 Follo L 0-1 1354 1282 55.1% 22.4% 22.4% -13.3 12
2015-05-13 @ Asane W 1-0 1282 1354 22.4% 22.4% 55.1% +13.3 14
2015-05-13 Fredrikstad W 6-1 1330 1281 52.4% 22.8% 24.9% +25.2 14
2015-05-13 @ Sandnes Ulf L 1-6 1281 1330 24.9% 22.8% 52.4% -25.2 7
2015-05-13 Hodd D 0-0 1302 1304 46.0% 23.2% 30.8% -0.9 9
2015-05-13 @ Levanger D 0-0 1304 1302 30.8% 23.2% 46.0% +0.9 15
2015-05-13 Jerv D 1-1 1308 1339 42.0% 23.4% 34.6% -0.4 12
2015-05-13 @ Kristiansund D 1-1 1339 1308 34.6% 23.4% 42.0% +0.4 9
2015-05-13 Sogndal L 0-2 1252 1359 31.4% 23.3% 45.3% -15.8 9
2015-05-13 @ Bryne W 2-0 1359 1252 45.3% 23.3% 31.4% +15.8 17
2015-05-13 Strommen W 2-0 1252 1274 43.2% 23.4% 33.4% +16.6 7
2015-05-13 @ Ranheim L 0-2 1274 1252 33.4% 23.4% 43.2% -16.6 8
2015-05-16 Asane W 4-0 1305 1341 41.2% 23.4% 35.4% +32.9 18
2015-05-16 @ Hodd L 0-4 1341 1305 35.4% 23.4% 41.2% -32.9 12
2015-05-16 Bryne L 1-4 1311 1236 55.5% 22.4% 22.1% -30.8 14
2015-05-16 @ Baerum W 4-1 1236 1311 22.1% 22.4% 55.5% +30.8 12
2015-05-16 Honefoss W 2-1 1339 1203 61.9% 21.2% 16.9% +4.6 12
2015-05-16 @ Jerv L 1-2 1203 1339 16.9% 21.2% 61.9% -4.6 4
2015-05-16 Kristiansund L 1-4 1256 1308 39.0% 23.4% 37.6% -22.9 7
2015-05-16 @ Fredrikstad W 4-1 1308 1256 37.6% 23.4% 39.0% +22.9 15
2015-05-16 Levanger W 2-1 1257 1301 40.1% 23.4% 36.4% +8.9 11
2015-05-16 @ Strommen L 1-2 1301 1257 36.4% 23.4% 40.1% -8.9 9
2015-05-16 Nest-Sotra D 2-2 1365 1229 61.9% 21.3% 16.9% -1.9 14
2015-05-16 @ Brann D 2-2 1229 1365 16.9% 21.3% 61.9% +1.9 5
2015-05-16 Ranheim W 1-0 1375 1268 58.9% 21.8% 19.2% +5.5 20
2015-05-16 @ Sogndal L 0-1 1268 1375 19.2% 21.8% 58.9% -5.5 7
2015-05-16 Sandnes Ulf D 2-2 1295 1355 37.9% 23.4% 38.6% +0.0 15
2015-05-16 @ Follo D 2-2 1355 1295 38.6% 23.4% 37.9% -0.0 15
2015-05-25 Baerum L 0-1 1331 1281 52.6% 22.7% 24.7% -12.7 15
2015-05-25 @ Kristiansund W 1-0 1281 1331 24.7% 22.7% 52.6% +12.7 17
2015-05-25 Follo D 2-2 1233 1295 37.5% 23.4% 39.1% +0.1 8
2015-05-25 @ Fredrikstad D 2-2 1295 1233 39.1% 23.4% 37.5% -0.1 16
2015-05-25 Hodd L 1-4 1267 1338 36.3% 23.4% 40.3% -21.7 12
2015-05-25 @ Bryne W 4-1 1338 1267 40.3% 23.4% 36.3% +21.7 21
2015-05-25 Honefoss L 1-3 1231 1199 50.4% 22.9% 26.7% -20.0 5
2015-05-25 @ Nest-Sotra W 3-1 1199 1231 26.7% 22.9% 50.4% +20.0 7
2015-05-25 Jerv L 0-1 1263 1344 34.9% 23.4% 41.7% -9.1 7
2015-05-25 @ Ranheim W 1-0 1344 1263 41.7% 23.4% 34.9% +9.1 15
2015-05-25 Sogndal L 1-2 1355 1381 42.7% 23.4% 34.0% -10.1 15
2015-05-25 @ Sandnes Ulf W 2-1 1381 1355 34.0% 23.4% 42.7% +10.1 23
2015-05-25 Strommen L 0-3 1308 1266 51.6% 22.8% 25.6% -34.2 12
2015-05-25 @ Asane W 3-0 1266 1308 25.6% 22.8% 51.6% +34.2 14
2015-05-26 Brann W 4-1 1292 1363 36.4% 23.4% 40.2% +23.5 12
2015-05-26 @ Levanger L 1-4 1363 1292 40.2% 23.4% 36.4% -23.5 14
2015-05-31 Asane W 3-2 1293 1274 48.8% 23.1% 28.2% +6.9 20
2015-05-31 @ Baerum L 2-3 1274 1293 28.2% 23.1% 48.8% -6.9 12
2015-05-31 Fredrikstad W 2-0 1391 1233 64.0% 20.8% 15.3% +8.3 26
2015-05-31 @ Sogndal L 0-2 1233 1391 15.3% 20.8% 64.0% -8.3 8
2015-05-31 Kristiansund L 0-1 1359 1318 51.5% 22.8% 25.7% -12.5 21
2015-05-31 @ Hodd W 1-0 1318 1359 25.7% 22.8% 51.5% +12.5 18
2015-05-31 Levanger W 4-2 1353 1316 51.0% 22.9% 26.1% +10.5 18
2015-05-31 @ Jerv L 2-4 1316 1353 26.1% 22.9% 51.0% -10.5 12
2015-05-31 Nest-Sotra W 2-1 1300 1211 57.1% 22.1% 20.8% +5.6 17
2015-05-31 @ Strommen L 1-2 1211 1300 20.8% 22.1% 57.1% -5.6 5
2015-05-31 Ranheim D 2-2 1219 1254 41.4% 23.4% 35.2% -0.2 8
2015-05-31 @ Honefoss D 2-2 1254 1219 35.2% 23.4% 41.4% +0.2 8
2015-05-31 Sandnes Ulf W 2-1 1245 1345 32.4% 23.3% 44.3% +10.4 15
2015-05-31 @ Bryne L 1-2 1345 1245 44.3% 23.3% 32.4% -10.3 15
2015-06-01 Follo W 2-1 1339 1295 51.8% 22.8% 25.4% +6.6 17
2015-06-01 @ Brann L 1-2 1295 1339 25.4% 22.8% 51.8% -6.6 16
2015-06-07 Baerum W 3-2 1334 1300 50.6% 22.9% 26.5% +6.5 18
2015-06-07 @ Sandnes Ulf L 2-3 1300 1334 26.5% 22.9% 50.6% -6.5 20
2015-06-07 Brann L 2-3 1267 1346 35.2% 23.4% 41.4% -8.2 12
2015-06-07 @ Asane W 3-2 1346 1267 41.4% 23.4% 35.2% +8.2 20
2015-06-07 Bryne D 1-1 1331 1256 55.5% 22.4% 22.1% -1.8 19
2015-06-07 @ Kristiansund D 1-1 1256 1331 22.1% 22.4% 55.5% +1.8 16
2015-06-07 Hodd W 4-1 1254 1347 33.3% 23.4% 43.4% +24.9 11
2015-06-07 @ Ranheim L 1-4 1347 1254 43.4% 23.4% 33.3% -24.9 21
2015-06-07 Honefoss L 0-1 1305 1219 56.8% 22.2% 21.0% -13.6 12
2015-06-07 @ Levanger W 1-0 1219 1305 21.0% 22.2% 56.8% +13.6 11
2015-06-07 Jerv W 4-0 1206 1364 25.4% 22.8% 51.8% +45.0 8
2015-06-07 @ Nest-Sotra L 0-4 1364 1206 51.8% 22.8% 25.4% -44.9 18
2015-06-07 Sogndal L 0-1 1289 1399 31.0% 23.2% 45.7% -8.3 16
2015-06-07 @ Follo W 1-0 1399 1289 45.7% 23.2% 31.0% +8.3 29
2015-06-07 Strommen D 0-0 1225 1306 34.9% 23.4% 41.7% +0.4 9
2015-06-07 @ Fredrikstad D 0-0 1306 1225 41.7% 23.4% 34.9% -0.4 18
2015-06-21 Asane D 1-1 1319 1259 53.7% 22.6% 23.7% -1.6 19
2015-06-21 @ Jerv D 1-1 1259 1319 23.7% 22.6% 53.7% +1.6 13
2015-06-21 Follo L 1-2 1306 1280 49.5% 23.0% 27.5% -11.4 18
2015-06-21 @ Strommen W 2-1 1280 1306 27.5% 23.0% 49.5% +11.4 19
2015-06-21 Fredrikstad L 2-3 1294 1225 54.7% 22.5% 22.8% -11.8 20
2015-06-21 @ Baerum W 3-2 1225 1294 22.8% 22.5% 54.7% +11.8 12
2015-06-21 Kristiansund D 1-1 1232 1329 32.8% 23.3% 43.9% +0.6 12
2015-06-21 @ Honefoss D 1-1 1329 1232 43.9% 23.3% 32.8% -0.6 20
2015-06-21 Levanger W 4-1 1257 1292 41.5% 23.4% 35.1% +21.1 19
2015-06-21 @ Bryne L 1-4 1292 1257 35.1% 23.4% 41.5% -21.1 12
2015-06-21 Nest-Sotra W 3-0 1279 1250 49.9% 23.0% 27.1% +20.3 14
2015-06-21 @ Ranheim L 0-3 1250 1279 27.1% 23.0% 49.9% -20.3 8
2015-06-21 Sandnes Ulf L 1-3 1322 1341 43.7% 23.3% 33.0% -17.7 21
2015-06-21 @ Hodd W 3-1 1341 1322 33.0% 23.3% 43.7% +17.7 21
2015-06-21 Sogndal L 0-4 1354 1407 38.8% 23.4% 37.7% -35.4 20
2015-06-21 @ Brann W 4-0 1407 1354 37.7% 23.4% 38.8% +35.4 32
2015-06-24 Jerv D 1-1 1443 1317 60.9% 21.5% 17.6% -2.4 33
2015-06-24 @ Sogndal D 1-1 1317 1443 17.6% 21.5% 60.9% +2.4 20
2015-06-27 Hodd D 1-1 1440 1304 61.9% 21.2% 16.9% -2.5 34
2015-06-27 @ Sogndal D 1-1 1304 1440 16.9% 21.2% 61.9% +2.6 22
2015-06-28 Bryne L 1-4 1292 1279 47.9% 23.1% 28.9% -27.1 19
2015-06-28 @ Follo W 4-1 1279 1292 28.9% 23.1% 47.9% +27.1 22
2015-06-28 Honefoss W 2-1 1260 1233 49.8% 23.0% 27.2% +7.0 16
2015-06-28 @ Asane L 1-2 1233 1260 27.2% 23.0% 49.8% -7.0 12
2015-06-28 Nest-Sotra D 1-1 1328 1230 58.0% 22.0% 20.0% -2.1 21
2015-06-28 @ Kristiansund D 1-1 1230 1328 20.0% 22.0% 58.0% +2.1 9
2015-06-28 Ranheim D 1-1 1271 1299 42.3% 23.4% 34.4% -0.4 13
2015-06-28 @ Levanger D 1-1 1299 1271 34.4% 23.4% 42.3% +0.4 15
2015-06-28 Strommen W 3-1 1359 1294 54.3% 22.5% 23.2% +10.6 24
2015-06-28 @ Sandnes Ulf L 1-3 1294 1359 23.2% 22.5% 54.3% -10.6 18
2015-06-29 Brann D 1-1 1282 1319 41.1% 23.4% 35.4% -0.3 21
2015-06-29 @ Baerum D 1-1 1319 1282 35.4% 23.4% 41.1% +0.3 21
2015-06-29 Jerv W 1-0 1237 1319 34.7% 23.4% 41.9% +10.5 15
2015-06-29 @ Fredrikstad L 0-1 1319 1237 41.9% 23.4% 34.7% -10.5 20
2015-07-05 Asane W 3-2 1300 1267 50.4% 22.9% 26.7% +6.5 18
2015-07-05 @ Ranheim L 2-3 1267 1300 26.7% 22.9% 50.4% -6.6 16
2015-07-05 Baerum W 5-0 1309 1282 49.8% 23.0% 27.3% +32.9 23
2015-07-05 @ Jerv L 0-5 1282 1309 27.3% 23.0% 49.8% -32.9 21
2015-07-05 Follo W 2-1 1307 1265 51.6% 22.8% 25.6% +6.7 25
2015-07-05 @ Hodd L 1-2 1265 1307 25.6% 22.8% 51.6% -6.7 19
2015-07-05 Fredrikstad L 2-3 1306 1247 53.5% 22.6% 23.8% -11.6 22
2015-07-05 @ Bryne W 3-2 1247 1306 23.8% 22.6% 53.5% +11.6 18
2015-07-05 Levanger D 1-1 1232 1270 41.0% 23.4% 35.6% -0.3 10
2015-07-05 @ Nest-Sotra D 1-1 1270 1232 35.6% 23.4% 41.0% +0.3 14
2015-07-05 Sogndal D 1-1 1284 1438 25.8% 22.9% 51.4% +1.4 19
2015-07-05 @ Strommen D 1-1 1438 1284 51.4% 22.9% 25.8% -1.4 35
2015-07-06 Kristiansund W 2-1 1319 1326 45.2% 23.3% 31.5% +7.9 24
2015-07-06 @ Brann L 1-2 1326 1319 31.5% 23.3% 45.2% -7.9 21
2015-07-06 Sandnes Ulf L 0-1 1226 1369 27.0% 23.0% 50.0% -7.4 12
2015-07-06 @ Honefoss W 1-0 1369 1226 50.0% 23.0% 27.0% +7.4 27
2015-07-26 Bryne W 3-2 1377 1294 56.3% 22.2% 21.4% +5.4 30
2015-07-26 @ Sandnes Ulf L 2-3 1294 1377 21.4% 22.2% 56.3% -5.4 22
2015-07-26 Fredrikstad W 4-1 1270 1259 47.7% 23.1% 29.2% +18.2 17
2015-07-26 @ Levanger L 1-4 1259 1270 29.2% 23.1% 47.7% -18.2 18
2015-07-26 Hodd W 2-1 1318 1314 46.8% 23.2% 30.0% +7.6 24
2015-07-26 @ Kristiansund L 1-2 1314 1318 30.0% 23.2% 46.8% -7.6 25
2015-07-26 Nest-Sotra L 0-1 1261 1232 50.0% 23.0% 27.1% -12.2 16
2015-07-26 @ Asane W 1-0 1232 1261 27.1% 23.0% 50.0% +12.2 13
2015-07-26 Ranheim L 0-1 1249 1306 38.2% 23.4% 38.4% -9.8 21
2015-07-26 @ Baerum W 1-0 1306 1249 38.4% 23.4% 38.2% +9.8 21
2015-07-26 Strommen L 1-3 1218 1285 36.9% 23.4% 39.7% -15.5 12
2015-07-26 @ Honefoss W 3-1 1285 1218 39.7% 23.4% 36.9% +15.5 22
2015-07-28 Brann L 0-1 1258 1327 36.6% 23.4% 40.0% -9.5 19
2015-07-28 @ Follo W 1-0 1327 1258 40.0% 23.4% 36.6% +9.5 27
2015-08-02 Asane W 1-0 1300 1249 52.8% 22.7% 24.5% +6.8 25
2015-08-02 @ Strommen L 0-1 1249 1300 24.5% 22.7% 52.8% -6.8 16
2015-08-02 Baerum W 4-2 1306 1239 54.5% 22.5% 22.9% +9.4 28
2015-08-02 @ Hodd L 2-4 1239 1306 22.9% 22.5% 54.5% -9.4 21
2015-08-02 Follo D 0-0 1244 1249 45.6% 23.2% 31.1% -0.8 14
2015-08-02 @ Nest-Sotra D 0-0 1249 1244 31.1% 23.2% 45.6% +0.9 20
2015-08-02 Honefoss D 1-1 1241 1203 51.1% 22.9% 26.0% -1.3 19
2015-08-02 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1203 1241 26.0% 22.9% 51.1% +1.3 13
2015-08-02 Kristiansund W 2-0 1289 1326 41.1% 23.4% 35.5% +17.4 25
2015-08-02 @ Bryne L 0-2 1326 1289 35.5% 23.4% 41.1% -17.4 24
2015-08-02 Sandnes Ulf D 0-0 1342 1382 40.7% 23.4% 35.9% -0.3 24
2015-08-02 @ Jerv D 0-0 1382 1342 35.9% 23.4% 40.7% +0.3 31
2015-08-03 Levanger W 1-0 1336 1289 52.3% 22.8% 25.0% +6.9 30
2015-08-03 @ Brann L 0-1 1289 1336 25.0% 22.8% 52.3% -6.9 17
2015-08-03 Sogndal W 3-2 1316 1436 29.8% 23.2% 47.0% +10.3 24
2015-08-03 @ Ranheim L 2-3 1436 1316 47.0% 23.2% 29.8% -10.3 35
2015-08-08 Brann D 1-1 1382 1343 51.2% 22.9% 25.9% -1.4 32
2015-08-08 @ Sandnes Ulf D 1-1 1343 1382 25.9% 22.9% 51.2% +1.4 31
2015-08-09 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1308 1239 54.8% 22.5% 22.8% +6.4 27
2015-08-09 @ Kristiansund L 0-1 1239 1308 22.8% 22.5% 54.8% -6.4 19
2015-08-09 Hodd W 2-0 1242 1315 35.9% 23.4% 40.6% +19.3 19
2015-08-09 @ Asane L 0-2 1315 1242 40.6% 23.4% 35.9% -19.3 28
2015-08-09 Jerv L 1-4 1282 1342 37.9% 23.4% 38.7% -22.4 17
2015-08-09 @ Levanger W 4-1 1342 1282 38.7% 23.4% 37.9% +22.4 27
2015-08-09 Nest-Sotra D 2-2 1204 1243 40.8% 23.4% 35.8% -0.2 14
2015-08-09 @ Honefoss D 2-2 1243 1204 35.8% 23.4% 40.8% +0.2 15
2015-08-09 Ranheim W 3-0 1249 1326 35.4% 23.4% 41.1% +28.4 23
2015-08-09 @ Follo L 0-3 1326 1249 41.1% 23.4% 35.4% -28.4 24
2015-08-09 Strommen L 0-1 1230 1307 35.4% 23.4% 41.2% -9.2 21
2015-08-09 @ Baerum W 1-0 1307 1230 41.2% 23.4% 35.4% +9.2 28
2015-08-10 Bryne W 3-1 1426 1306 60.3% 21.6% 18.1% +8.5 38
2015-08-10 @ Sogndal L 1-3 1306 1426 18.1% 21.6% 60.3% -8.5 25
2015-08-12 Asane D 2-2 1345 1261 56.4% 22.2% 21.3% -1.5 32
2015-08-12 @ Brann D 2-2 1261 1345 21.3% 22.2% 56.4% +1.4 20
2015-08-12 Baerum W 4-1 1259 1220 51.2% 22.9% 25.9% +16.5 20
2015-08-12 @ Levanger L 1-4 1220 1259 25.9% 22.9% 51.2% -16.5 21
2015-08-12 Follo W 2-1 1381 1278 58.6% 21.9% 19.5% +5.3 35
2015-08-12 @ Sandnes Ulf L 1-2 1278 1381 19.5% 21.9% 58.6% -5.2 23
2015-08-12 Hodd L 0-1 1364 1296 54.7% 22.5% 22.9% -13.2 27
2015-08-12 @ Jerv W 1-0 1296 1364 22.9% 22.5% 54.7% +13.2 31
2015-08-12 Honefoss W 4-0 1298 1204 57.6% 22.1% 20.3% +20.7 27
2015-08-12 @ Ranheim L 0-4 1204 1298 20.3% 22.1% 57.6% -20.7 14
2015-08-12 Kristiansund L 0-1 1243 1315 36.2% 23.4% 40.4% -9.4 15
2015-08-12 @ Nest-Sotra W 1-0 1315 1243 40.4% 23.4% 36.2% +9.4 30
2015-08-13 Sogndal D 1-1 1233 1435 20.9% 22.2% 56.9% +2.0 20
2015-08-13 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1435 1233 56.9% 22.2% 20.9% -2.0 39
2015-08-13 Strommen D 0-0 1298 1316 43.7% 23.3% 33.0% -0.6 26
2015-08-13 @ Bryne D 0-0 1316 1298 33.0% 23.3% 43.7% +0.6 29
2015-08-16 Baerum D 2-2 1273 1204 54.8% 22.5% 22.8% -1.3 24
2015-08-16 @ Follo D 2-2 1204 1273 22.8% 22.5% 54.8% +1.3 22
2015-08-16 Bryne W 2-0 1234 1297 37.4% 23.4% 39.1% +18.8 18
2015-08-16 @ Nest-Sotra L 0-2 1297 1234 39.1% 23.4% 37.4% -18.8 26
2015-08-16 Fredrikstad L 1-2 1317 1235 56.3% 22.3% 21.5% -12.7 29
2015-08-16 @ Strommen W 2-1 1235 1317 21.5% 22.3% 56.3% +12.7 23
2015-08-16 Jerv W 2-1 1183 1351 24.3% 22.7% 53.0% +12.1 17
2015-08-16 @ Honefoss L 1-2 1351 1183 53.0% 22.7% 24.3% -12.1 27
2015-08-16 Levanger L 0-4 1309 1276 50.5% 22.9% 26.6% -43.9 31
2015-08-16 @ Hodd W 4-0 1276 1309 26.6% 22.9% 50.5% +43.9 23
2015-08-16 Ranheim L 1-2 1263 1319 38.4% 23.4% 38.2% -9.2 20
2015-08-16 @ Asane W 2-1 1319 1263 38.2% 23.4% 38.4% +9.3 30
2015-08-17 Brann D 0-0 1433 1343 57.1% 22.1% 20.8% -2.2 40
2015-08-17 @ Sogndal D 0-0 1343 1433 20.8% 22.1% 57.1% +2.2 33
2015-08-17 Sandnes Ulf W 3-1 1324 1386 37.6% 23.4% 39.0% +16.2 33
2015-08-17 @ Kristiansund L 1-3 1386 1324 39.0% 23.4% 37.6% -16.2 35
2015-08-23 Asane D 0-0 1278 1253 49.4% 23.0% 27.6% -1.3 27
2015-08-23 @ Bryne D 0-0 1253 1278 27.6% 23.0% 49.4% +1.3 21
2015-08-23 Fredrikstad W 4-0 1339 1248 57.2% 22.1% 20.6% +21.0 30
2015-08-23 @ Jerv L 0-4 1248 1339 20.6% 22.1% 57.2% -21.0 23
2015-08-23 Honefoss W 3-0 1346 1195 63.3% 20.9% 15.8% +12.5 36
2015-08-23 @ Brann L 0-3 1195 1346 15.8% 20.9% 63.3% -12.5 17
2015-08-23 Kristiansund L 0-1 1328 1340 44.5% 23.3% 32.2% -11.0 30
2015-08-23 @ Ranheim W 1-0 1340 1328 32.2% 23.3% 44.5% +11.0 36
2015-08-23 Nest-Sotra L 0-3 1320 1253 54.5% 22.5% 23.0% -36.0 23
2015-08-23 @ Levanger W 3-0 1253 1320 23.0% 22.5% 54.5% +36.0 21
2015-08-23 Sogndal L 0-5 1205 1430 18.8% 21.8% 59.4% -23.8 22
2015-08-23 @ Baerum W 5-0 1430 1205 59.4% 21.8% 18.8% +23.8 43
2015-08-24 Hodd L 0-2 1370 1265 58.7% 21.9% 19.4% -26.5 35
2015-08-24 @ Sandnes Ulf W 2-0 1265 1370 19.4% 21.9% 58.7% +26.5 34
2015-08-24 Strommen D 1-1 1271 1304 41.7% 23.4% 34.9% -0.3 25
2015-08-24 @ Follo D 1-1 1304 1271 34.9% 23.4% 41.7% +0.3 30
2015-08-30 Baerum D 2-2 1183 1181 46.4% 23.2% 30.4% -0.6 18
2015-08-30 @ Honefoss D 2-2 1181 1183 30.4% 23.2% 46.4% +0.6 23
2015-08-30 Brann L 2-3 1305 1358 38.8% 23.4% 37.8% -8.9 30
2015-08-30 @ Strommen W 3-2 1358 1305 37.8% 23.4% 38.8% +8.8 39
2015-08-30 Bryne W 2-0 1292 1277 48.1% 23.1% 28.7% +14.7 37
2015-08-30 @ Hodd L 0-2 1277 1292 28.7% 23.1% 48.1% -14.7 27
2015-08-30 Follo W 2-1 1454 1271 66.2% 20.2% 13.6% +3.7 46
2015-08-30 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1271 1454 13.6% 20.2% 66.2% -3.7 25
2015-08-30 Jerv D 1-1 1255 1360 31.7% 23.3% 45.0% +0.7 22
2015-08-30 @ Asane D 1-1 1360 1255 45.0% 23.3% 31.7% -0.7 31
2015-08-30 Levanger W 2-1 1351 1284 54.6% 22.5% 22.9% +6.1 39
2015-08-30 @ Kristiansund L 1-2 1284 1351 22.9% 22.5% 54.6% -6.0 23
2015-08-30 Ranheim L 1-2 1289 1317 42.4% 23.4% 34.3% -10.0 21
2015-08-30 @ Nest-Sotra W 2-1 1317 1289 34.3% 23.4% 42.4% +10.0 33
2015-08-30 Sandnes Ulf W 3-2 1227 1344 30.2% 23.2% 46.6% +10.2 26
2015-08-30 @ Fredrikstad L 2-3 1344 1227 46.6% 23.2% 30.2% -10.2 35
2015-09-13 Asane L 1-3 1333 1255 55.8% 22.3% 21.9% -21.9 35
2015-09-13 @ Sandnes Ulf W 3-1 1255 1333 21.9% 22.3% 55.8% +21.9 25
2015-09-13 Hodd W 3-0 1267 1306 40.8% 23.4% 35.8% +25.5 28
2015-09-13 @ Follo L 0-3 1306 1267 35.8% 23.4% 40.8% -25.4 37
2015-09-13 Honefoss W 3-2 1262 1182 56.0% 22.3% 21.7% +5.5 30
2015-09-13 @ Bryne L 2-3 1182 1262 21.7% 22.3% 56.0% -5.5 18
2015-09-13 Kristiansund L 1-2 1182 1358 23.5% 22.6% 53.9% -6.2 23
2015-09-13 @ Baerum W 2-1 1358 1182 53.9% 22.6% 23.5% +6.2 42
2015-09-13 Ranheim W 2-0 1359 1327 50.3% 22.9% 26.7% +13.8 34
2015-09-13 @ Jerv L 0-2 1327 1359 26.7% 22.9% 50.3% -13.8 33
2015-09-13 Strommen L 0-1 1278 1296 43.8% 23.3% 32.9% -10.9 23
2015-09-13 @ Levanger W 1-0 1296 1278 32.9% 23.3% 43.8% +10.9 33
2015-09-14 Fredrikstad W 5-1 1367 1237 61.3% 21.4% 17.3% +14.9 42
2015-09-14 @ Brann L 1-5 1237 1367 17.3% 21.4% 61.3% -14.9 26
2015-09-14 Nest-Sotra W 3-0 1458 1279 65.9% 20.3% 13.9% +11.0 49
2015-09-14 @ Sogndal L 0-3 1279 1458 13.9% 20.3% 65.9% -11.0 21
2015-09-20 Baerum W 5-0 1277 1176 58.4% 21.9% 19.7% +24.7 28
2015-09-20 @ Asane L 0-5 1176 1277 19.7% 21.9% 58.4% -24.7 23
2015-09-20 Bryne W 2-0 1222 1268 39.9% 23.4% 36.7% +17.9 29
2015-09-20 @ Fredrikstad L 0-2 1268 1222 36.7% 23.4% 39.9% -17.9 30
2015-09-20 Follo D 1-1 1364 1293 55.0% 22.4% 22.5% -1.8 43
2015-09-20 @ Kristiansund D 1-1 1293 1364 22.5% 22.4% 55.0% +1.8 29
2015-09-20 Jerv L 0-1 1307 1373 37.0% 23.4% 39.6% -9.5 33
2015-09-20 @ Strommen W 1-0 1373 1307 39.6% 23.4% 37.0% +9.5 37
2015-09-20 Levanger W 3-0 1177 1267 33.7% 23.4% 43.0% +29.4 21
2015-09-20 @ Honefoss L 0-3 1267 1177 43.0% 23.4% 33.7% -29.4 23
2015-09-20 Sandnes Ulf L 2-3 1268 1311 40.2% 23.4% 36.4% -9.1 21
2015-09-20 @ Nest-Sotra W 3-2 1311 1268 36.4% 23.4% 40.2% +9.1 38
2015-09-21 Brann D 0-0 1313 1382 36.6% 23.4% 39.9% +0.2 34
2015-09-21 @ Ranheim D 0-0 1382 1313 39.9% 23.4% 36.6% -0.2 43
2015-09-21 Sogndal W 1-0 1281 1469 22.3% 22.4% 55.3% +13.3 40
2015-09-21 @ Hodd L 0-1 1469 1281 55.3% 22.4% 22.3% -13.3 49
2015-09-27 Asane D 2-2 1237 1302 37.2% 23.4% 39.4% +0.1 24
2015-09-27 @ Levanger D 2-2 1302 1237 39.4% 23.4% 37.2% -0.1 29
2015-09-27 Fredrikstad L 2-3 1294 1240 53.1% 22.7% 24.3% -11.5 29
2015-09-27 @ Follo W 3-2 1240 1294 24.3% 22.7% 53.1% +11.5 32
2015-09-27 Honefoss W 1-0 1320 1206 59.7% 21.7% 18.6% +5.3 41
2015-09-27 @ Sandnes Ulf L 0-1 1206 1320 18.6% 21.7% 59.7% -5.3 21
2015-09-27 Kristiansund L 0-1 1382 1362 48.9% 23.1% 28.1% -11.9 37
2015-09-27 @ Jerv W 1-0 1362 1382 28.1% 23.1% 48.9% +11.9 46
2015-09-27 Nest-Sotra W 5-2 1151 1259 31.4% 23.3% 45.4% +22.4 26
2015-09-27 @ Baerum L 2-5 1259 1151 45.4% 23.3% 31.4% -22.4 21
2015-09-27 Ranheim D 1-1 1294 1313 43.6% 23.3% 33.0% -0.5 41
2015-09-27 @ Hodd D 1-1 1313 1294 33.0% 23.3% 43.6% +0.6 35
2015-09-28 Bryne W 2-1 1382 1250 61.5% 21.3% 17.2% +4.7 46
2015-09-28 @ Brann L 1-2 1250 1382 17.2% 21.3% 61.5% -4.7 30
2015-09-28 Strommen W 3-2 1455 1297 64.0% 20.8% 15.2% +3.9 52
2015-09-28 @ Sogndal L 2-3 1297 1455 15.2% 20.8% 64.0% -3.9 33
2015-10-04 Brann L 0-1 1374 1386 44.5% 23.3% 32.1% -11.1 46
2015-10-04 @ Kristiansund W 1-0 1386 1374 32.1% 23.3% 44.5% +11.0 49
2015-10-04 Follo W 2-1 1201 1283 34.7% 23.4% 41.9% +9.9 24
2015-10-04 @ Honefoss L 1-2 1283 1201 41.9% 23.4% 34.7% -9.9 29
2015-10-04 Hodd W 3-2 1236 1294 38.2% 23.4% 38.4% +8.8 24
2015-10-04 @ Nest-Sotra L 2-3 1294 1236 38.4% 23.4% 38.2% -8.8 41
2015-10-04 Jerv L 1-2 1245 1370 29.2% 23.1% 47.7% -7.4 30
2015-10-04 @ Bryne W 2-1 1370 1245 47.7% 23.1% 29.2% +7.4 40
2015-10-04 Levanger W 3-2 1314 1238 55.6% 22.4% 22.0% +5.5 38
2015-10-04 @ Ranheim L 2-3 1238 1314 22.0% 22.4% 55.6% -5.5 24
2015-10-04 Sandnes Ulf L 0-3 1293 1326 41.8% 23.4% 34.8% -28.7 33
2015-10-04 @ Strommen W 3-0 1326 1293 34.8% 23.4% 41.8% +28.7 44
2015-10-04 Sogndal D 1-1 1302 1459 25.4% 22.8% 51.8% +1.4 30
2015-10-04 @ Asane D 1-1 1459 1302 51.8% 22.8% 25.4% -1.4 53
2015-10-05 Baerum D 3-3 1252 1173 55.8% 22.3% 21.9% -1.2 33
2015-10-05 @ Fredrikstad D 3-3 1173 1252 21.9% 22.3% 55.8% +1.2 27
2015-10-11 Asane W 2-0 1273 1303 42.1% 23.4% 34.5% +17.0 32
2015-10-11 @ Follo L 0-2 1303 1273 34.5% 23.4% 42.1% -17.1 30
2015-10-11 Bryne W 1-0 1232 1238 45.4% 23.3% 31.3% +8.4 27
2015-10-11 @ Levanger L 0-1 1238 1232 31.3% 23.3% 45.4% -8.4 30
2015-10-11 Sandnes Ulf W 2-0 1175 1354 23.1% 22.5% 54.4% +24.7 30
2015-10-11 @ Baerum L 0-2 1354 1175 54.4% 22.5% 23.1% -24.7 44
2015-10-11 Strommen W 2-0 1245 1265 43.6% 23.3% 33.1% +16.5 27
2015-10-11 @ Nest-Sotra L 0-2 1265 1245 33.1% 23.3% 43.6% -16.5 33
2015-10-14 Fredrikstad W 4-0 1319 1250 54.8% 22.5% 22.7% +22.9 41
2015-10-14 @ Ranheim L 0-4 1250 1319 22.7% 22.5% 54.8% -22.8 33
2015-10-14 Honefoss L 0-1 1285 1211 55.4% 22.4% 22.2% -13.3 41
2015-10-14 @ Hodd W 1-0 1211 1285 22.2% 22.4% 55.4% +13.3 27
2015-10-14 Jerv W 2-0 1397 1378 48.7% 23.1% 28.2% +14.5 52
2015-10-14 @ Brann L 0-2 1378 1397 28.2% 23.1% 48.7% -14.5 40
2015-10-18 Follo W 2-0 1229 1290 37.8% 23.4% 38.8% +18.7 33
2015-10-18 @ Bryne L 0-2 1290 1229 38.8% 23.4% 37.8% -18.7 32
2015-10-18 Hodd L 1-2 1228 1272 40.1% 23.4% 36.5% -9.6 33
2015-10-18 @ Fredrikstad W 2-1 1272 1228 36.5% 23.4% 40.1% +9.6 44
2015-10-18 Kristiansund W 2-0 1286 1363 35.5% 23.4% 41.1% +19.5 33
2015-10-18 @ Asane L 0-2 1363 1286 41.1% 23.4% 35.5% -19.5 46
2015-10-18 Levanger L 2-3 1330 1240 57.1% 22.1% 20.8% -12.2 44
2015-10-18 @ Sandnes Ulf W 3-2 1240 1330 20.8% 22.1% 57.1% +12.2 30
2015-10-18 Nest-Sotra W 3-0 1363 1262 58.4% 21.9% 19.7% +15.3 43
2015-10-18 @ Jerv L 0-3 1262 1363 19.7% 21.9% 58.4% -15.3 27
2015-10-18 Ranheim L 2-4 1248 1342 33.1% 23.3% 43.5% -12.8 33
2015-10-18 @ Strommen W 4-2 1342 1248 43.5% 23.3% 33.1% +12.8 44
2015-10-18 Sogndal L 2-5 1224 1458 18.1% 21.6% 60.3% -10.4 27
2015-10-18 @ Honefoss W 5-2 1458 1224 60.3% 21.6% 18.1% +10.4 56
2015-10-19 Baerum D 2-2 1412 1199 68.7% 19.4% 11.9% -2.5 53
2015-10-19 @ Brann D 2-2 1199 1412 11.9% 19.4% 68.7% +2.5 31
2015-10-21 Kristiansund W 4-3 1468 1343 60.8% 21.5% 17.7% +4.4 59
2015-10-21 @ Sogndal L 3-4 1343 1468 17.7% 21.5% 60.8% -4.4 46
2015-10-25 Brann W 2-1 1246 1409 24.8% 22.7% 52.4% +12.0 30
2015-10-25 @ Nest-Sotra L 1-2 1409 1246 52.4% 22.7% 24.8% -12.0 53
2015-10-25 Bryne W 4-1 1355 1248 59.0% 21.8% 19.2% +12.7 47
2015-10-25 @ Ranheim L 1-4 1248 1355 19.2% 21.8% 59.0% -12.7 33
2015-10-25 Fredrikstad D 3-3 1306 1218 56.9% 22.2% 20.9% -1.2 34
2015-10-25 @ Asane D 3-3 1218 1306 20.9% 22.2% 56.9% +1.2 34
2015-10-25 Honefoss W 1-0 1339 1214 60.8% 21.5% 17.7% +5.1 49
2015-10-25 @ Kristiansund L 0-1 1214 1339 17.7% 21.5% 60.8% -5.1 27
2015-10-25 Jerv L 0-4 1202 1379 23.4% 22.6% 54.1% -23.4 31
2015-10-25 @ Baerum W 4-0 1379 1202 54.1% 22.6% 23.4% +23.4 46
2015-10-25 Levanger L 1-2 1271 1253 48.7% 23.1% 28.2% -11.2 32
2015-10-25 @ Follo W 2-1 1253 1271 28.2% 23.1% 48.7% +11.2 33
2015-10-25 Sandnes Ulf W 2-1 1473 1318 63.7% 20.8% 15.4% +4.2 62
2015-10-25 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1318 1473 15.4% 20.8% 63.7% -4.2 44
2015-10-25 Strommen D 1-1 1281 1235 52.0% 22.8% 25.2% -1.5 45
2015-10-25 @ Hodd D 1-1 1235 1281 25.2% 22.8% 52.0% +1.5 34
2015-11-01 Asane D 3-3 1209 1305 32.9% 23.3% 43.8% +0.3 28
2015-11-01 @ Honefoss D 3-3 1305 1209 43.8% 23.3% 32.9% -0.3 35
2015-11-01 Baerum W 2-1 1235 1178 53.4% 22.6% 24.0% +6.3 36
2015-11-01 @ Bryne L 1-2 1178 1235 24.0% 22.6% 53.4% -6.3 31
2015-11-01 Follo D 2-2 1402 1260 62.5% 21.1% 16.4% -2.0 47
2015-11-01 @ Jerv D 2-2 1260 1402 16.4% 21.1% 62.5% +2.0 33
2015-11-01 Hodd L 1-2 1397 1280 60.1% 21.6% 18.3% -13.5 53
2015-11-01 @ Brann W 2-1 1280 1397 18.3% 21.6% 60.1% +13.5 48
2015-11-01 Kristiansund W 1-0 1237 1344 31.4% 23.3% 45.3% +11.2 37
2015-11-01 @ Strommen L 0-1 1344 1237 45.3% 23.3% 31.4% -11.2 49
2015-11-01 Nest-Sotra D 1-1 1219 1258 40.8% 23.4% 35.8% -0.3 35
2015-11-01 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1258 1219 35.8% 23.4% 40.8% +0.3 31
2015-11-01 Ranheim W 1-0 1313 1368 38.6% 23.4% 37.9% +9.7 47
2015-11-01 @ Sandnes Ulf L 0-1 1368 1313 37.9% 23.4% 38.6% -9.7 47
2015-11-01 Sogndal W 4-1 1264 1477 19.9% 22.0% 58.1% +32.2 36
2015-11-01 @ Levanger L 1-4 1477 1264 58.1% 22.0% 19.9% -32.2 62

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2015-11-08 Jerv L 5-6 1293 1400 31.5% 23.3% 45.3% -7.2 0-1
2015-11-08 @ Hodd W 6-5 1400 1293 45.3% 23.3% 31.5% +7.2 1-0
2015-11-08 Ranheim W 1-0 1333 1358 42.8% 23.4% 33.9% +8.9 1-0
2015-11-08 @ Kristiansund L 0-1 1358 1333 33.9% 23.4% 42.8% -8.9 0-1
2015-11-15 Jerv L 0-2 1342 1407 37.0% 23.4% 39.5% -18.0 1-1
2015-11-15 @ Kristiansund W 2-0 1407 1342 39.5% 23.4% 37.0% +18.0 2-0
2015-11-21 Start D 1-1 1425 1314 59.5% 21.7% 18.8% -2.3 2-0-1
2015-11-21 @ Jerv D 1-1 1314 1425 18.8% 21.7% 59.5% +2.3 0-0-1
2015-11-25 Jerv W 3-1 1316 1423 31.4% 23.3% 45.3% +18.3 1-0-1
2015-11-25 @ Start L 1-3 1423 1316 45.3% 23.3% 31.4% -18.3 2-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-11-01 18.32% Hodd 1280 2 @ Brann 1397 1
2 2015-08-24 19.40% Hodd 1265 2 @ Sandnes Ulf 1370 0
3 2015-11-01 19.89% @ Levanger 1264 4 Sogndal 1477 1
4 2015-10-18 20.78% Levanger 1240 3 @ Sandnes Ulf 1330 2
5 2015-06-07 21.03% Honefoss 1219 1 @ Levanger 1305 0
6 2015-08-16 21.47% Fredrikstad 1235 2 @ Strommen 1317 1
7 2015-04-30 21.56% Levanger 1274 3 @ Sogndal 1355 1
8 2015-09-13 21.88% Asane 1255 3 @ Sandnes Ulf 1333 1
9 2015-05-16 22.13% Bryne 1236 4 @ Baerum 1311 1
10 2015-10-14 22.23% Honefoss 1211 1 @ Hodd 1285 0
11 2015-09-21 22.27% @ Hodd 1281 1 Sogndal 1469 0
12 2015-05-13 22.44% Follo 1282 1 @ Asane 1354 0
13 2015-06-21 22.80% Fredrikstad 1225 3 @ Baerum 1294 2
14 2015-08-12 22.85% Hodd 1296 1 @ Jerv 1364 0
15 2015-08-23 22.97% Nest-Sotra 1253 3 @ Levanger 1320 0
16 2015-10-11 23.06% @ Baerum 1175 2 Sandnes Ulf 1354 0
17 2015-07-05 23.85% Fredrikstad 1247 3 @ Bryne 1306 2
18 2015-09-27 24.26% Fredrikstad 1240 3 @ Follo 1294 2
19 2015-08-16 24.33% @ Honefoss 1183 2 Jerv 1351 1
20 2015-05-25 24.69% Baerum 1281 1 @ Kristiansund 1331 0
21 2015-10-25 24.82% @ Nest-Sotra 1246 2 Brann 1409 1
22 2015-06-07 25.36% @ Nest-Sotra 1206 4 Jerv 1364 0
23 2015-05-25 25.60% Strommen 1266 3 @ Asane 1308 0
24 2015-05-31 25.68% Kristiansund 1318 1 @ Hodd 1359 0
25 2015-08-16 26.56% Levanger 1276 4 @ Hodd 1309 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-06-07 44.95 @ Nest-Sotra 4 1206 25.36% Jerv 0 1364 51.84% 22.80%
2 2015-08-16 43.94 Levanger 4 1276 26.56% @ Hodd 0 1309 50.51% 22.92%
3 2015-04-06 36.16 @ Asane 5 1331 46.21% Levanger 0 1331 30.57% 23.22%
4 2015-04-26 36.01 @ Baerum 4 1252 36.90% Hodd 0 1318 39.68% 23.42%
5 2015-08-23 35.99 Nest-Sotra 3 1253 22.97% @ Levanger 0 1320 54.54% 22.50%
6 2015-06-21 35.42 Sogndal 4 1407 37.74% @ Brann 0 1354 38.83% 23.42%
7 2015-05-25 34.25 Strommen 3 1266 25.60% @ Asane 0 1308 51.57% 22.83%
8 2015-05-16 32.94 @ Hodd 4 1305 41.24% Asane 0 1341 35.36% 23.40%
9 2015-07-05 32.90 @ Jerv 5 1309 49.75% Baerum 0 1282 27.26% 22.99%
10 2015-11-01 32.15 @ Levanger 4 1264 19.89% Sogndal 1 1477 58.14% 21.97%
11 2015-05-16 30.83 Bryne 4 1236 22.13% @ Baerum 1 1311 55.50% 22.37%
12 2015-09-20 29.36 @ Honefoss 3 1177 33.67% Levanger 0 1267 42.97% 23.36%
13 2015-04-06 28.95 @ Follo 4 1258 46.74% Honefoss 0 1254 30.06% 23.20%
14 2015-04-20 28.80 @ Hodd 3 1289 34.67% Brann 0 1372 41.94% 23.38%
15 2015-10-04 28.70 Sandnes Ulf 3 1326 34.85% @ Strommen 0 1293 41.76% 23.39%
16 2015-08-09 28.36 @ Follo 3 1249 35.45% Ranheim 0 1326 41.15% 23.40%
17 2015-06-28 27.12 Bryne 4 1279 28.93% @ Follo 1 1292 47.95% 23.12%
18 2015-08-24 26.49 Hodd 2 1265 19.40% @ Sandnes Ulf 0 1370 58.73% 21.87%
19 2015-05-10 26.05 @ Sogndal 3 1333 39.71% Asane 0 1380 36.87% 23.42%
20 2015-09-13 25.45 @ Follo 3 1267 40.82% Hodd 0 1306 35.78% 23.41%
21 2015-05-13 25.23 @ Sandnes Ulf 6 1330 52.36% Fredrikstad 1 1281 24.89% 22.75%
22 2015-06-07 24.94 @ Ranheim 4 1254 33.30% Hodd 1 1347 43.35% 23.35%
23 2015-09-20 24.74 @ Asane 5 1277 58.39% Baerum 0 1176 19.69% 21.93%
24 2015-10-11 24.73 @ Baerum 2 1175 23.06% Sandnes Ulf 0 1354 54.43% 22.51%
25 2015-08-23 23.76 Sogndal 5 1430 59.41% @ Baerum 0 1205 18.84% 21.75%