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2014 First Division Season

240 games · 5 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Mjondalen

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sandefjord

17.04 points above expected

69 points · 51.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hamarkameratene

22.67 points below expected

7 points · 29.67 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sandefjord 30 20 9 1 69 62 24 +38 51.96 +17.04
2 Tromso 30 18 5 7 59 67 27 +40 58.21 +0.79
3 Mjondalen 30 14 9 7 51 57 36 +21 46.35 +4.65
4 Kristiansund 30 13 10 7 49 53 39 +14 44.31 +4.69
5 Baerum 30 15 4 11 49 51 52 -1 35.67 +13.33
6 Fredrikstad 30 14 6 10 48 35 26 +9 47.00 +1.00
7 Ranheim 30 13 7 10 46 45 34 +11 48.48 -2.48
8 Hodd 30 12 7 11 43 48 49 -1 40.86 +2.14
9 Bryne 30 13 3 14 42 48 55 -7 38.25 +3.75
10 Strommen 30 11 8 11 41 59 54 +5 38.87 +2.13
11 Honefoss 30 12 4 14 40 39 55 -16 40.29 -0.29
12 Nest-Sotra 30 10 7 13 37 49 51 -2 44.87 -7.87
13 Alta 30 9 7 14 34 33 51 -18 33.00 +1.00
14 Tromsdalen 30 8 7 15 31 44 56 -12 32.28 -1.28
15 Ullensaker Kisa 30 6 5 19 23 26 51 -25 33.66 -10.66
16 Hamarkameratene 30 1 4 25 7 22 78 -56 29.67 -22.67

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Mjondalen 4
Baerum 1

Sim: 1.0%

Mjondalen 2
Fredrikstad 0

Sim: 3.0%

Semifinals

Brann 1
Mjondalen 1

Finals

Mjondalen 3
Brann 0

Sim: 1.0%

Baerum 2
Kristiansund 0

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sandefjord 1507 69 51.96 +17.04 99.6% 26 40 47 52 57 63 81
Tromso 1504 59 58.21 +0.79 57.2% 34 47 54 58 63 69 84
Mjondalen 1452 51 46.35 +4.65 77.1% 22 35 42 46 51 58 76
Fredrikstad 1353 48 47.00 +1.00 58.2% 21 36 42 47 52 59 72
Ranheim 1345 46 48.48 -2.48 38.6% 20 37 44 49 53 60 75
Kristiansund 1339 49 44.31 +4.69 77.4% 15 33 39 44 49 56 71
Strommen 1329 41 38.87 +2.13 65.0% 13 28 34 39 43 50 66
Hodd 1324 43 40.86 +2.14 65.3% 15 30 36 41 45 53 66
Baerum 1321 49 35.67 +13.33 97.7% 11 25 31 36 40 47 62
Nest-Sotra 1306 37 44.87 -7.87 14.6% 16 34 40 45 50 57 73
Bryne 1296 42 38.25 +3.75 73.2% 15 27 33 38 43 50 67
Honefoss 1285 40 40.29 -0.29 51.0% 16 29 36 40 45 52 65
Tromsdalen 1248 31 32.28 -1.28 45.5% 9 22 28 32 37 43 59
Ullensaker Kisa 1221 23 33.66 -10.66 6.1% 11 23 29 33 38 45 56
Alta 1209 34 33.00 +1.00 59.8% 10 22 28 33 38 44 61
Hamarkameratene 1061 7 29.67 -22.67 0.0% 8 19 25 30 34 41 54

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALT BAE BRY FRE HAM HOD HON KRI MJO NES RAN SAN STR TRO TRO UK
Alta —
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
1.98
2-0-0
3.21
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
1.70
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
1.66
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
1.26
1-1-0
2.81
Baerum
1-0-1
3.23
 —
2-0-0
2.40
1-0-1
1.92
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
2.01
2-0-0
2.01
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.77
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
1.38
2-0-0
3.01
Bryne
1-1-0
2.93
0-0-2
3.11
 —
0-0-2
2.25
2-0-0
3.31
1-1-0
2.26
2-0-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
2.34
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
1.38
1-0-1
2.99
Fredrikstad
0-1-1
3.57
1-0-1
3.60
2-0-0
3.27
 —
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.00
0-2-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
3.36
0-2-0
3.85
0-0-2
2.08
1-1-0
3.58
Hamarkameratene
0-0-2
2.30
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
1.55
 —
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-2
1.89
0-2-0
2.00
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
1.90
0-0-2
1.25
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-2
1.07
0-0-2
2.73
Hodd
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
3.32
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.18
2-0-0
3.02
 —
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
1.72
0-1-1
2.91
1-1-0
3.37
0-0-2
1.57
1-1-0
3.25
Honefoss
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
3.12
0-0-2
3.01
0-0-2
2.15
2-0-0
3.63
0-1-1
2.70
 —
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
1.81
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
1.89
2-0-0
3.21
Kristiansund
1-0-1
3.50
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.52
0-2-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
2.93
 —
0-2-0
2.77
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.58
0-2-0
2.11
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
1.81
2-0-0
3.45
Mjondalen
1-0-1
3.83
1-1-0
3.52
2-0-0
3.06
0-2-0
2.93
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.90
0-2-0
2.74
 —
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
3.26
0-0-2
3.92
1-1-0
1.98
2-0-0
3.51
Nest-Sotra
1-1-0
3.38
0-0-2
3.52
0-0-2
3.17
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.66
 —
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.50
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.52
1-0-1
2.00
0-2-0
3.51
Ranheim
1-0-1
3.88
1-1-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
2.94
1-1-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.90
 —
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
3.15
2-0-0
3.82
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
3.86
Sandefjord
1-1-0
3.85
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.36
2-0-0
4.33
1-1-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.50
0-2-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.86
 —
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
4.10
1-1-0
2.50
2-0-0
3.44
Strommen
2-0-0
3.01
0-2-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.17
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
2.37
0-1-1
1.89
 —
0-1-1
3.08
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
3.06
Tromsdalen
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
2.34
0-2-0
1.69
2-0-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.57
0-1-1
2.08
2-0-0
1.65
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
1.46
1-1-0
2.44
 —
0-1-1
1.36
1-0-1
2.56
Tromso
2-0-0
4.33
1-0-1
4.19
0-0-2
4.20
2-0-0
3.45
2-0-0
4.55
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.72
0-1-1
3.54
1-0-1
3.55
1-1-0
3.47
0-1-1
3.02
2-0-0
3.82
1-1-0
4.23
 —
2-0-0
4.37
Ullensaker Kisa
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
1.94
2-0-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
2.02
0-2-0
2.03
1-0-1
1.70
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.95
0-0-2
1.24
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +9.3
Allowed 0.73 -8.6
Differential 0.91 +5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.42%7.71%3.96%3.12%2.71%1.88%24.79%
17.71%10.00%7.92%3.96%2.71%0.62%32.92%
23.96%7.92%5.00%2.50%1.04%0.62%21.04%
33.12%3.96%2.50%0.42%0.42%0.21%10.62%
42.71%2.71%1.04%0.42%0.42%—7.29%
5+1.88%0.62%0.62%0.21%——3.33%
Total24.79%32.92%21.04%10.62%7.29%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.54 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 2.12
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%6.67%10.00%—3.33%36.67%
16.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
26.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%——23.33%
36.67%—————6.67%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%20.00%23.33%16.67%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.70 -0.60
SD 1.09 1.66 2.18
CV 0.99 0.98 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%—6.67%—3.33%20.00%
110.00%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
23.33%16.67%3.33%——3.33%26.67%
3—3.33%6.67%—3.33%—13.33%
43.33%——3.33%——6.67%
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total20.00%33.33%20.00%13.33%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.73 -0.03
SD 1.42 1.46 2.04
CV 0.83 0.84 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%—3.33%—6.67%16.67%
13.33%6.67%13.33%10.00%6.67%—40.00%
26.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
36.67%3.33%10.00%———20.00%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total16.67%30.00%26.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.83 -0.23
SD 1.30 1.42 2.31
CV 0.81 0.77 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%6.67%———36.67%
113.33%3.33%6.67%—3.33%—26.67%
26.67%16.67%3.33%———26.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total40.00%40.00%16.67%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.87 +0.30
SD 1.21 0.94 1.62
CV 1.03 1.08 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%13.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%46.67%
1—6.67%6.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%36.67%
2——3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total6.67%20.00%23.33%23.33%16.67%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 2.60 -1.87
SD 0.83 1.57 1.68
CV 1.13 0.60 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
110.00%16.67%6.67%—10.00%—43.33%
23.33%—3.33%——3.33%10.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
410.00%3.33%3.33%———16.67%
5+———————
Total30.00%26.67%20.00%3.33%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.63 -0.03
SD 1.38 1.61 2.46
CV 0.86 0.98 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%3.33%—3.33%6.67%26.67%
116.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%10.00%—40.00%
23.33%6.67%—6.67%——16.67%
3——6.67%—3.33%—10.00%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total30.00%23.33%13.33%10.00%16.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.83 -0.53
SD 1.18 1.76 2.26
CV 0.91 0.96 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%—6.67%3.33%—20.00%
110.00%13.33%6.67%3.33%——33.33%
2—10.00%10.00%———20.00%
33.33%3.33%—3.33%——10.00%
43.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total26.67%36.67%20.00%13.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.30 +0.47
SD 1.52 1.12 2.10
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
13.33%16.67%10.00%6.67%——36.67%
2—10.00%6.67%———16.67%
3—13.33%3.33%———16.67%
46.67%6.67%————13.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total20.00%50.00%20.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 1.20 +0.70
SD 1.40 0.89 1.88
CV 0.74 0.74 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%3.33%—3.33%—13.33%
13.33%10.00%13.33%3.33%——30.00%
23.33%16.67%13.33%10.00%3.33%—46.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total10.00%36.67%33.33%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.70 -0.07
SD 1.10 1.06 1.62
CV 0.67 0.62 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%——23.33%
110.00%16.67%6.67%———33.33%
210.00%6.67%3.33%—6.67%—26.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total30.00%43.33%16.67%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.13 +0.37
SD 1.31 1.11 1.85
CV 0.87 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%————13.33%
113.33%13.33%————26.67%
23.33%10.00%6.67%———20.00%
36.67%6.67%10.00%———23.33%
46.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total43.33%36.67%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 0.80 +1.27
SD 1.39 0.85 1.44
CV 0.67 1.06 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%6.67%6.67%10.00%—30.00%
1—13.33%3.33%———16.67%
26.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%——20.00%
33.33%3.33%—3.33%——10.00%
4—6.67%3.33%—3.33%—13.33%
5+3.33%3.33%—3.33%——10.00%
Total13.33%36.67%20.00%16.67%13.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.80 +0.17
SD 1.87 1.27 2.53
CV 0.95 0.71 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%6.67%—6.67%—30.00%
1—6.67%10.00%——3.33%20.00%
2—13.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%—33.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
43.33%3.33%——3.33%—10.00%
5+———————
Total10.00%40.00%23.33%10.00%13.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.87 -0.40
SD 1.28 1.33 1.87
CV 0.87 0.71 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%————10.00%
110.00%10.00%13.33%3.33%——36.67%
26.67%——3.33%——10.00%
310.00%10.00%————20.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+6.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
Total43.33%30.00%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 0.90 +1.33
SD 1.61 0.96 1.95
CV 0.72 1.07 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%16.67%6.67%—6.67%3.33%40.00%
113.33%6.67%13.33%13.33%——46.67%
23.33%—3.33%———6.67%
3—————3.33%3.33%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total26.67%23.33%23.33%13.33%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.70 -0.83
SD 1.07 1.51 1.91
CV 1.24 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sandefjord 69 51.96 +17.04
2 Baerum 49 35.67 +13.33
3 Kristiansund 49 44.31 +4.69
4 Mjondalen 51 46.35 +4.65
5 Bryne 42 38.25 +3.75

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamarkameratene 7 29.67 -22.67
2 Ullensaker Kisa 23 33.66 -10.66
3 Nest-Sotra 37 44.87 -7.87
4 Ranheim 46 48.48 -2.48
5 Tromsdalen 31 32.28 -1.28

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Baerum 6 Jul 27 – Aug 24 1 in 1,755
2 Ranheim 8 May 11 – Jun 15 1 in 351
3 Sandefjord 8 Aug 17 – Oct 20 1 in 76
4 Bryne 4 Sep 14 – Oct 6 1 in 48
5 Honefoss 3 Jun 22 – Jul 27 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamarkameratene 7 Aug 14 – Sep 28 1 in 57
2 Ranheim 3 Sep 29 – Oct 19 1 in 53
3 Nest-Sotra 3 Jul 21 – Aug 3 1 in 46
4 Honefoss 3 May 1 – May 11 1 in 27
5 Tromsdalen 5 Aug 10 – Aug 31 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sandefjord 28 Apr 21 – Nov 2 1 in 7,703
2 Ranheim 10 May 1 – Jun 15 1 in 49
3 Baerum 6 Jul 27 – Aug 24 1 in 44
4 Kristiansund 9 Aug 13 – Oct 19 1 in 41
5 Fredrikstad 10 Jun 15 – Aug 31 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamarkameratene 20 May 29 – Nov 2 1 in 147
2 Nest-Sotra 6 Jun 15 – Aug 10 1 in 37
3 Ranheim 5 Sep 29 – Nov 2 1 in 25
4 Mjondalen 6 May 20 – Jun 15 1 in 20
5 Alta 7 Jun 1 – Aug 3 1 in 18

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Sandefjord17.83%24.24%17.22%12.62%8.97%6.08%4.27%3.17%2.24%1.43%0.82%0.52%0.29%0.22%0.08%—
Tromso57.23%20.35%9.51%5.30%3.44%1.59%1.21%0.68%0.35%0.24%0.06%0.01%0.01%0.02%——
Mjondalen4.26%9.67%12.66%12.39%11.69%10.67%9.43%8.00%6.48%5.31%3.32%2.66%1.52%0.95%0.77%0.22%
Kristiansund2.71%6.20%8.58%10.03%11.10%11.03%10.89%8.66%7.60%6.61%5.72%4.28%2.91%2.13%0.99%0.56%
Baerum0.11%0.37%1.10%1.82%2.76%3.96%4.95%6.72%7.86%8.75%10.41%11.44%11.41%11.11%9.81%7.42%
Fredrikstad5.29%10.57%12.68%13.24%11.91%10.70%8.59%7.49%6.16%4.66%3.19%2.49%1.28%1.01%0.54%0.20%
Ranheim7.40%14.21%15.53%13.44%12.08%9.61%7.52%5.86%4.60%3.35%2.44%1.82%1.08%0.54%0.37%0.15%
Hodd0.88%2.63%4.29%5.61%6.69%8.58%9.26%10.15%9.91%9.56%8.94%7.32%6.34%4.88%3.31%1.65%
Bryne0.37%1.11%2.16%3.38%4.42%5.81%7.12%8.36%9.61%9.93%10.31%10.46%9.43%7.75%6.16%3.62%
Strommen0.45%1.42%2.55%3.97%5.43%7.10%8.01%8.69%9.49%10.35%10.03%9.28%8.33%6.83%4.87%3.20%
Honefoss0.53%1.87%3.34%5.22%6.52%7.62%8.86%9.43%10.60%9.39%9.43%8.17%7.24%5.08%4.31%2.39%
Nest-Sotra2.88%6.83%8.90%10.34%10.88%10.79%10.51%9.35%7.47%6.42%5.35%4.00%2.98%1.69%1.08%0.53%
Alta0.03%0.15%0.52%0.70%1.20%1.85%2.89%3.92%5.21%6.75%8.63%10.58%11.84%14.36%16.01%15.36%
Tromsdalen—0.13%0.27%0.66%0.93%1.72%2.27%3.44%4.28%6.54%7.86%10.02%12.58%15.14%17.46%16.70%
Ullensaker Kisa0.03%0.20%0.54%0.99%1.61%2.15%3.14%4.37%5.44%7.17%8.61%10.10%12.71%14.39%14.74%13.81%
Hamarkameratene—0.05%0.15%0.29%0.37%0.74%1.08%1.71%2.70%3.54%4.88%6.85%10.05%13.90%19.50%34.19%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.42%
Clear Edge
47.08%21.25%31.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
144 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
053.99400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.44 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
18%
Sandefjord, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.33/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.47 * Some Luck: 5.47 to 8.2 * Lucky: 8.2 to 10.94 * Wild Swing: 10.94 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.03 * Close: 2.03 to 3.05 * Off: 3.05 to 4.06 * Way Off: 4.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.78 points
Lucky
06.8417
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.12
Close
02.546
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.61%
Sandefjord
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
0.00%
Hamarkameratene
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.74
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
93%
Dominant
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Very Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.72
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.28
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.91
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1090.25

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Tromso 77.58% 19.84% 2.55% 0.03%
Sandefjord 42.07% 44.89% 12.45% 0.59%
Ranheim 21.61% 50.66% 25.59% 2.14%
Nest-Sotra 9.71% 40.91% 43.10% 6.28%
Baerum — 100% — —
Fredrikstad — 100% — —
Kristiansund — 100% — —
Mjondalen — 100% — —
Hodd 3.51% 25.17% 55.14% 16.18%
Honefoss 2.40% 22.70% 55.88% 19.02%
Strommen 1.87% 19.05% 55.85% 23.23%
Bryne 1.48% 15.77% 55.79% 26.96%
Ullensaker Kisa 0.23% 5.29% 38.83% 55.65%
Alta 0.18% 4.27% 37.98% 57.57%
Tromsdalen 0.13% 3.58% 34.41% 61.88%
Hamarkameratene 0.05% 1.55% 20.76% 77.64%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AltaBaerumBodo GlimtBrannBryneFredrikstadHamarkamerateneHaugesundHoddHonefossKristiansundLillestromMjondalenNest-SotraOddsRanheimSandefjordSandnes UlfSarpsborg 08SogndalStabaekStartStrommenTromsoUllensaker KisaValerenga
Alta100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Baerum0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%3.00%
Bodo Glimt
Brann
Bryne0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%3.00%
Fredrikstad100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%3.00%50.0%6.00%57.1%7.00%50.0%10.00%71.4%7.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Hamarkameratene100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Haugesund
Hodd100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%4.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Honefoss0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Kristiansund0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%60.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%44.4%9.00%20.0%5.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%
Lillestrom
Mjondalen100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%6.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%80.0%5.00%50.0%6.00%37.5%8.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%4.00%
Nest-Sotra33.3%3.00%0.0%2.00%42.9%7.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%
Odds
Ranheim100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%10.00%60.0%5.00%75.0%4.00%55.6%9.00%50.0%6.00%0.0%3.00%14.3%7.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Sandefjord100.0%3.00%100.0%3.00%28.6%7.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%80.0%5.00%62.5%8.00%100.0%4.00%85.7%7.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Sandnes Ulf
Sarpsborg 08
Sogndal
Stabaek
Start
Strommen100.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%75.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Tromso100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Ullensaker Kisa100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Valerenga
Loser →
↓ Winner
AltaBaerumBodo GlimtBrannBryneFredrikstadHamarkamerateneHaugesundHoddHonefossKristiansundLillestromMjondalenNest-SotraOddsRanheimSandefjordSandnes UlfSarpsborg 08SogndalStabaekStartStrommenTromsoUllensaker KisaValerenga
Alta0.0%2.00%
Baerum0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Bodo Glimt
Brann
Bryne100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
Fredrikstad100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%71.4%7.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%
Hamarkameratene0.0%2.00%
Haugesund
Hodd100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%
Honefoss100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%
Kristiansund0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Lillestrom
Mjondalen50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%50.0%4.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Nest-Sotra0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%
Odds
Ranheim100.0%1.00%28.6%7.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%
Sandefjord50.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%4.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%
Sandnes Ulf
Sarpsborg 08
Sogndal
Stabaek
Start
Strommen100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Tromso100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%
Ullensaker Kisa100.0%1.00%
Valerenga
Loser →
↓ Winner
AltaBaerumBodo GlimtBrannBryneFredrikstadHamarkamerateneHaugesundHoddHonefossKristiansundLillestromMjondalenNest-SotraOddsRanheimSandefjordSandnes UlfSarpsborg 08SogndalStabaekStartStrommenTromsoUllensaker KisaValerengaViking
Alta
Baerum0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Bodo Glimt100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Brann100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Bryne0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Fredrikstad40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Hamarkameratene
Haugesund100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Hodd0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Honefoss100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Kristiansund0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Lillestrom100.0%1.00%
Mjondalen100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Nest-Sotra0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Odds0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Ranheim100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Sandefjord100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%80.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Sandnes Ulf100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Sarpsborg 08100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Sogndal0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Stabaek0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%3.00%
Start0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Strommen0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Tromso0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Ullensaker Kisa0.0%1.00%
Valerenga100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Viking0.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
Brann — — 61.65%
Mjondalen 64.43% 42.73% 17.83%
Kristiansund 64.82% 23.90% 8.84%
Fredrikstad 35.57% 21.99% 8.31%
Baerum 35.18% 11.38% 3.37%
Loser →
↓ Winner
BaerumBrannFredrikstadKristiansundMjondalen
Baerum35.2%100.00%
Brann
Fredrikstad35.6%100.00%
Kristiansund64.8%100.00%
Mjondalen64.4%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
BaerumBrannFredrikstadKristiansundMjondalen
Baerum34.9%12.51%30.9%22.67%
Brann
Fredrikstad65.1%12.51%60.1%23.06%
Kristiansund39.9%23.06%35.2%41.76%
Mjondalen69.1%22.67%64.8%41.76%
Loser →
↓ Winner
BaerumBrannFredrikstadKristiansundMjondalen
Baerum29.6%11.38%
Brann70.4%11.38%62.2%21.99%63.0%23.90%58.3%42.73%
Fredrikstad37.8%21.99%
Kristiansund37.0%23.90%
Mjondalen41.7%42.73%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2014-04-06 Bryne W 3-1 1313 1306 47.9% 24.3% 27.8% +11.3 3
2014-04-06 @ Mjondalen L 1-3 1306 1313 27.8% 24.3% 47.9% -11.3 0
2014-04-06 Honefoss W 4-3 1261 1381 30.5% 24.5% 45.0% +8.8 3
2014-04-06 @ Baerum L 3-4 1381 1261 45.0% 24.5% 30.5% -8.8 0
2014-04-06 Kristiansund W 3-0 1224 1326 32.8% 24.6% 42.6% +26.4 3
2014-04-06 @ Alta L 0-3 1326 1224 42.6% 24.6% 32.8% -26.4 0
2014-04-06 Nest-Sotra L 1-2 1341 1360 44.3% 24.6% 31.1% -9.4 0
2014-04-06 @ Ranheim W 2-1 1360 1341 31.1% 24.6% 44.3% +9.4 3
2014-04-06 Sandefjord L 0-2 1312 1322 45.6% 24.5% 30.0% -19.2 0
2014-04-06 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 2-0 1322 1312 30.0% 24.5% 45.6% +19.2 3
2014-04-06 Strommen W 2-1 1260 1284 43.7% 24.6% 31.7% +7.2 3
2014-04-06 @ Tromsdalen L 1-2 1284 1260 31.7% 24.6% 43.7% -7.2 0
2014-04-06 Tromso L 0-2 1337 1411 36.7% 24.7% 38.6% -16.2 0
2014-04-06 @ Fredrikstad W 2-0 1411 1337 38.6% 24.7% 36.7% +16.2 3
2014-04-07 Hodd L 0-1 1324 1314 48.3% 24.3% 27.5% -10.7 0
2014-04-07 @ Hamarkameratene W 1-0 1314 1324 27.5% 24.3% 48.3% +10.7 3
2014-04-13 Alta W 1-0 1427 1250 66.3% 20.4% 13.2% +3.5 6
2014-04-13 @ Tromso L 0-1 1250 1427 13.2% 20.4% 66.3% -3.5 3
2014-04-13 Baerum L 1-2 1295 1269 50.2% 24.1% 25.7% -10.4 0
2014-04-13 @ Bryne W 2-1 1269 1295 25.7% 24.1% 50.2% +10.4 6
2014-04-13 Hamarkameratene W 3-1 1370 1313 53.9% 23.5% 22.5% +9.4 6
2014-04-13 @ Nest-Sotra L 1-3 1313 1370 22.5% 23.5% 53.9% -9.4 0
2014-04-13 Mjondalen D 1-1 1372 1325 52.9% 23.7% 23.4% -1.4 1
2014-04-13 @ Honefoss D 1-1 1325 1372 23.4% 23.7% 52.9% +1.4 4
2014-04-13 Ranheim W 2-0 1277 1331 39.5% 24.7% 35.8% +15.9 3
2014-04-13 @ Strommen L 0-2 1331 1277 35.8% 24.7% 39.5% -15.9 0
2014-04-13 Tromsdalen D 1-1 1325 1267 54.1% 23.5% 22.4% -1.6 4
2014-04-13 @ Hodd D 1-1 1267 1325 22.4% 23.5% 54.1% +1.6 4
2014-04-13 Ullensaker Kisa W 1-0 1300 1293 47.9% 24.3% 27.8% +6.9 3
2014-04-13 @ Kristiansund L 0-1 1293 1300 27.8% 24.3% 47.9% -6.9 0
2014-04-14 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1342 1321 49.7% 24.1% 26.2% -11.0 3
2014-04-14 @ Sandefjord W 1-0 1321 1342 26.2% 24.1% 49.7% +11.0 3
2014-04-21 Bryne D 1-1 1315 1285 50.9% 24.0% 25.2% -1.2 1
2014-04-21 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1285 1315 25.2% 24.0% 50.9% +1.2 1
2014-04-21 Hodd W 2-1 1332 1323 48.0% 24.3% 27.7% +6.5 6
2014-04-21 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1323 1332 27.7% 24.3% 48.0% -6.5 4
2014-04-21 Kristiansund D 0-0 1304 1307 46.6% 24.4% 29.0% -0.9 1
2014-04-21 @ Hamarkameratene D 0-0 1307 1304 29.0% 24.4% 46.6% +0.9 4
2014-04-21 Nest-Sotra W 2-1 1280 1379 33.2% 24.7% 42.1% +9.0 9
2014-04-21 @ Baerum L 1-2 1379 1280 42.1% 24.7% 33.2% -9.0 6
2014-04-21 Sandefjord D 2-2 1247 1331 35.3% 24.7% 40.0% +0.2 4
2014-04-21 @ Alta D 2-2 1331 1247 40.0% 24.7% 35.3% -0.2 4
2014-04-21 Strommen W 4-0 1326 1293 51.2% 23.9% 24.9% +22.5 7
2014-04-21 @ Mjondalen L 0-4 1293 1326 24.9% 23.9% 51.2% -22.5 3
2014-04-21 Tromso L 1-3 1370 1430 38.7% 24.7% 36.6% -14.6 1
2014-04-21 @ Honefoss W 3-1 1430 1370 36.6% 24.7% 38.7% +14.6 9
2014-04-21 Ullensaker Kisa W 3-1 1269 1286 44.7% 24.5% 30.8% +12.2 7
2014-04-21 @ Tromsdalen L 1-3 1286 1269 30.8% 24.5% 44.7% -12.2 0
2014-04-27 Alta W 3-0 1317 1247 55.5% 23.3% 21.3% +15.0 7
2014-04-27 @ Hodd L 0-3 1247 1317 21.3% 23.3% 55.5% -15.0 4
2014-04-27 Baerum D 2-2 1270 1289 44.5% 24.6% 31.0% -0.5 4
2014-04-27 @ Strommen D 2-2 1289 1270 31.0% 24.6% 44.5% +0.5 10
2014-04-27 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1308 1338 42.9% 24.6% 32.5% +7.8 7
2014-04-27 @ Kristiansund L 0-1 1338 1308 32.5% 24.6% 42.9% -7.8 6
2014-04-27 Hamarkameratene W 1-0 1445 1303 63.1% 21.5% 15.4% +4.0 12
2014-04-27 @ Tromso L 0-1 1303 1445 15.4% 21.5% 63.1% -4.0 1
2014-04-27 Honefoss L 0-1 1274 1356 35.5% 24.7% 39.8% -8.4 0
2014-04-27 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 1-0 1356 1274 39.8% 24.7% 35.5% +8.4 4
2014-04-27 Mjondalen L 1-2 1370 1349 49.7% 24.1% 26.2% -10.3 6
2014-04-27 @ Nest-Sotra W 2-1 1349 1370 26.2% 24.1% 49.7% +10.3 10
2014-04-27 Ranheim W 1-0 1330 1314 49.1% 24.2% 26.8% +6.7 7
2014-04-27 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1314 1330 26.8% 24.2% 49.1% -6.7 1
2014-04-27 Tromsdalen W 2-0 1286 1281 47.6% 24.3% 28.1% +13.1 4
2014-04-27 @ Bryne L 0-2 1281 1286 28.1% 24.3% 47.6% -13.1 7
2014-05-01 Alta L 0-3 1289 1232 54.1% 23.5% 22.4% -32.3 10
2014-05-01 @ Baerum W 3-0 1232 1289 22.4% 23.5% 54.1% +32.3 7
2014-05-01 Hamarkameratene W 2-0 1307 1299 48.0% 24.3% 27.7% +13.0 4
2014-05-01 @ Ranheim L 0-2 1299 1307 27.7% 24.3% 48.0% -13.0 1
2014-05-01 Hodd L 1-3 1359 1332 50.5% 24.0% 25.5% -18.1 10
2014-05-01 @ Mjondalen W 3-1 1332 1359 25.5% 24.0% 50.5% +18.1 10
2014-05-01 Kristiansund D 3-3 1270 1316 40.7% 24.7% 34.6% -0.2 5
2014-05-01 @ Strommen D 3-3 1316 1270 34.6% 24.7% 40.7% +0.2 8
2014-05-01 Nest-Sotra L 0-1 1364 1360 47.5% 24.3% 28.1% -10.6 4
2014-05-01 @ Honefoss W 1-0 1360 1364 28.1% 24.3% 47.5% +10.6 9
2014-05-01 Sandefjord L 1-3 1299 1337 41.8% 24.7% 33.5% -15.5 4
2014-05-01 @ Bryne W 3-1 1337 1299 33.5% 24.7% 41.8% +15.5 10
2014-05-01 Tromso D 0-0 1268 1449 23.5% 23.7% 52.8% +1.6 8
2014-05-01 @ Tromsdalen D 0-0 1449 1268 52.8% 23.7% 23.5% -1.6 13
2014-05-01 Ullensaker Kisa D 0-0 1330 1265 55.0% 23.4% 21.7% -1.8 7
2014-05-01 @ Fredrikstad D 0-0 1265 1330 21.7% 23.4% 55.0% +1.8 1
2014-05-04 Baerum W 1-0 1353 1257 58.4% 22.7% 18.9% +4.9 13
2014-05-04 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1257 1353 18.9% 22.7% 58.4% -4.9 10
2014-05-04 Bryne L 0-2 1286 1284 47.3% 24.3% 28.4% -19.8 1
2014-05-04 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-0 1284 1286 28.4% 24.3% 47.3% +19.8 7
2014-05-04 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1264 1328 38.1% 24.8% 37.1% +8.7 10
2014-05-04 @ Alta L 0-1 1328 1264 37.1% 24.8% 38.1% -8.7 7
2014-05-04 Honefoss W 4-1 1316 1354 41.8% 24.7% 33.5% +18.5 11
2014-05-04 @ Kristiansund L 1-4 1354 1316 33.5% 24.7% 41.8% -18.5 4
2014-05-04 Mjondalen L 0-1 1267 1341 36.7% 24.7% 38.6% -8.6 1
2014-05-04 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 1-0 1341 1267 38.6% 24.7% 36.7% +8.6 13
2014-05-04 Ranheim D 1-1 1447 1320 61.6% 21.9% 16.5% -2.3 14
2014-05-04 @ Tromso D 1-1 1320 1447 16.5% 21.9% 61.6% +2.3 5
2014-05-04 Strommen D 1-1 1350 1270 56.7% 23.0% 20.3% -1.8 11
2014-05-04 @ Hodd D 1-1 1270 1350 20.3% 23.0% 56.7% +1.8 6
2014-05-04 Tromsdalen W 4-0 1370 1270 58.9% 22.6% 18.5% +17.3 12
2014-05-04 @ Nest-Sotra L 0-4 1270 1370 18.5% 22.6% 58.9% -17.3 8
2014-05-11 Alta W 4-1 1350 1273 56.3% 23.1% 20.6% +12.3 16
2014-05-11 @ Mjondalen L 1-4 1273 1350 20.6% 23.1% 56.3% -12.3 10
2014-05-11 Fredrikstad W 4-1 1323 1320 47.3% 24.3% 28.3% +16.2 8
2014-05-11 @ Ranheim L 1-4 1320 1323 28.3% 24.3% 47.3% -16.2 7
2014-05-11 Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1252 1266 45.1% 24.5% 30.4% +7.0 11
2014-05-11 @ Tromsdalen L 1-2 1266 1252 30.4% 24.5% 45.1% -7.0 1
2014-05-11 Hodd D 2-2 1303 1348 40.9% 24.7% 34.4% -0.2 8
2014-05-11 @ Bryne D 2-2 1348 1303 34.4% 24.7% 40.9% +0.2 12
2014-05-11 Kristiansund W 2-1 1252 1334 35.5% 24.7% 39.7% +8.6 13
2014-05-11 @ Baerum L 1-2 1334 1252 39.7% 24.7% 35.5% -8.6 11
2014-05-11 Sandefjord L 2-3 1335 1358 43.9% 24.6% 31.5% -8.8 4
2014-05-11 @ Honefoss W 3-2 1358 1335 31.5% 24.6% 43.9% +8.8 16
2014-05-11 Tromso W 2-1 1388 1445 39.0% 24.7% 36.2% +8.0 15
2014-05-11 @ Nest-Sotra L 1-2 1445 1388 36.2% 24.7% 39.0% -8.0 14
2014-05-11 Ullensaker Kisa W 5-3 1271 1258 48.6% 24.2% 27.1% +9.4 9
2014-05-11 @ Strommen L 3-5 1258 1271 27.1% 24.2% 48.6% -9.3 1
2014-05-16 Baerum W 5-2 1437 1261 66.3% 20.4% 13.2% +6.9 17
2014-05-16 @ Tromso L 2-5 1261 1437 13.2% 20.4% 66.3% -6.9 13
2014-05-16 Bryne W 1-0 1249 1303 39.5% 24.7% 35.7% +8.4 4
2014-05-16 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 0-1 1303 1249 35.7% 24.7% 39.5% -8.4 8
2014-05-16 Honefoss D 0-0 1348 1326 49.8% 24.1% 26.1% -1.3 13
2014-05-16 @ Hodd D 0-0 1326 1348 26.1% 24.1% 49.8% +1.3 5
2014-05-16 Mjondalen L 1-2 1259 1362 32.8% 24.6% 42.6% -7.4 1
2014-05-16 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1362 1259 42.6% 24.6% 32.8% +7.4 19
2014-05-16 Nest-Sotra W 2-0 1303 1396 34.2% 24.7% 41.1% +17.7 10
2014-05-16 @ Fredrikstad L 0-2 1396 1303 41.1% 24.7% 34.2% -17.7 15
2014-05-16 Ranheim L 0-3 1326 1339 45.2% 24.5% 30.3% -27.7 11
2014-05-16 @ Kristiansund W 3-0 1339 1326 30.3% 24.5% 45.2% +27.7 11
2014-05-16 Strommen L 0-2 1261 1281 44.3% 24.6% 31.2% -18.8 10
2014-05-16 @ Alta W 2-0 1281 1261 31.2% 24.6% 44.3% +18.8 12
2014-05-16 Tromsdalen W 2-1 1366 1259 59.6% 22.4% 18.0% +4.4 19
2014-05-16 @ Sandefjord L 1-2 1259 1366 18.0% 22.4% 59.6% -4.4 11
2014-05-19 Tromso L 0-3 1300 1444 27.5% 24.3% 48.2% -18.8 12
2014-05-19 @ Strommen W 3-0 1444 1300 48.2% 24.3% 27.5% +18.8 20
2014-05-20 Alta D 0-0 1255 1242 48.6% 24.2% 27.2% -1.2 12
2014-05-20 @ Tromsdalen D 0-0 1242 1255 27.2% 24.2% 48.6% +1.1 11
2014-05-20 Fredrikstad D 0-0 1369 1321 53.0% 23.7% 23.3% -1.6 20
2014-05-20 @ Mjondalen D 0-0 1321 1369 23.3% 23.7% 53.0% +1.6 11
2014-05-20 Hamarkameratene W 2-0 1328 1252 56.2% 23.1% 20.7% +10.1 8
2014-05-20 @ Honefoss L 0-2 1252 1328 20.7% 23.1% 56.2% -10.1 1
2014-05-20 Hodd W 1-0 1367 1347 49.5% 24.1% 26.4% +6.6 14
2014-05-20 @ Ranheim L 0-1 1347 1367 26.4% 24.1% 49.5% -6.6 13
2014-05-20 Kristiansund L 1-3 1295 1298 46.5% 24.4% 29.1% -16.9 8
2014-05-20 @ Bryne W 3-1 1298 1295 29.1% 24.4% 46.5% +16.9 14
2014-05-20 Sandefjord L 0-4 1378 1371 47.9% 24.3% 27.9% -38.0 15
2014-05-20 @ Nest-Sotra W 4-0 1371 1378 27.9% 24.3% 47.9% +38.0 22
2014-05-20 Ullensaker Kisa W 3-1 1254 1257 46.5% 24.4% 29.1% +11.7 16
2014-05-20 @ Baerum L 1-3 1257 1254 29.1% 24.4% 46.5% -11.7 4
2014-05-25 Baerum W 3-0 1242 1266 43.8% 24.6% 31.6% +21.0 4
2014-05-25 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-3 1266 1242 31.6% 24.6% 43.8% -21.0 16
2014-05-25 Bryne W 2-1 1323 1278 52.6% 23.7% 23.7% +5.7 14
2014-05-25 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1278 1323 23.7% 23.7% 52.6% -5.7 8
2014-05-25 Honefoss W 2-0 1243 1338 33.8% 24.7% 41.5% +17.8 14
2014-05-25 @ Alta L 0-2 1338 1243 41.5% 24.7% 33.8% -17.8 8
2014-05-25 Nest-Sotra L 2-5 1340 1340 47.0% 24.4% 28.6% -20.9 13
2014-05-25 @ Hodd W 5-2 1340 1340 28.6% 24.4% 47.0% +20.9 18
2014-05-25 Ranheim L 1-2 1246 1373 29.6% 24.4% 46.0% -6.9 4
2014-05-25 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 2-1 1373 1246 46.0% 24.4% 29.6% +6.8 17
2014-05-25 Strommen W 1-0 1409 1281 61.7% 21.9% 16.4% +4.3 25
2014-05-25 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1281 1409 16.4% 21.9% 61.7% -4.3 12
2014-05-25 Tromsdalen W 4-2 1315 1254 54.5% 23.4% 22.1% +8.3 17
2014-05-25 @ Kristiansund L 2-4 1254 1315 22.1% 23.4% 54.5% -8.3 12
2014-05-26 Mjondalen D 1-1 1463 1368 58.3% 22.7% 19.0% -2.0 21
2014-05-26 @ Tromso D 1-1 1368 1463 19.0% 22.7% 58.3% +2.0 21
2014-05-29 Bryne L 1-2 1320 1272 52.9% 23.7% 23.4% -10.9 8
2014-05-29 @ Honefoss W 2-1 1272 1320 23.4% 23.7% 52.9% +10.9 11
2014-05-29 Fredrikstad L 0-2 1276 1328 39.8% 24.7% 35.4% -17.3 12
2014-05-29 @ Strommen W 2-0 1328 1276 35.4% 24.7% 39.8% +17.3 17
2014-05-29 Hamarkameratene W 2-0 1261 1263 46.7% 24.4% 28.9% +13.5 17
2014-05-29 @ Alta L 0-2 1263 1261 28.9% 24.4% 46.7% -13.5 4
2014-05-29 Hodd L 0-1 1245 1319 36.6% 24.7% 38.7% -8.6 16
2014-05-29 @ Baerum W 1-0 1319 1245 38.7% 24.7% 36.6% +8.6 16
2014-05-29 Kristiansund W 3-1 1461 1323 62.7% 21.6% 15.7% +6.7 24
2014-05-29 @ Tromso L 1-3 1323 1461 15.7% 21.6% 62.7% -6.7 17
2014-05-29 Sandefjord D 2-2 1370 1413 41.0% 24.7% 34.3% -0.2 22
2014-05-29 @ Mjondalen D 2-2 1413 1370 34.3% 24.7% 41.0% +0.2 26
2014-05-29 Tromsdalen W 1-0 1380 1245 62.4% 21.7% 15.9% +4.2 20
2014-05-29 @ Ranheim L 0-1 1245 1380 15.9% 21.7% 62.4% -4.2 12
2014-05-29 Ullensaker Kisa D 1-1 1361 1239 61.1% 22.0% 16.9% -2.2 19
2014-05-29 @ Nest-Sotra D 1-1 1239 1361 16.9% 22.0% 61.1% +2.2 5
2014-06-01 Alta D 0-0 1241 1274 42.5% 24.6% 32.9% -0.5 6
2014-06-01 @ Ullensaker Kisa D 0-0 1274 1241 32.9% 24.6% 42.5% +0.5 18
2014-06-01 Baerum W 5-0 1384 1236 63.7% 21.3% 15.0% +17.3 23
2014-06-01 @ Ranheim L 0-5 1236 1384 15.0% 21.3% 63.7% -17.3 16
2014-06-01 Honefoss W 5-0 1346 1309 51.6% 23.9% 24.5% +27.4 20
2014-06-01 @ Fredrikstad L 0-5 1309 1346 24.5% 23.9% 51.6% -27.4 8
2014-06-01 Mjondalen W 3-1 1241 1369 29.5% 24.4% 46.1% +16.8 15
2014-06-01 @ Tromsdalen L 1-3 1369 1241 46.1% 24.4% 29.5% -16.8 22
2014-06-01 Nest-Sotra W 2-1 1316 1359 41.2% 24.7% 34.1% +7.7 20
2014-06-01 @ Kristiansund L 1-2 1359 1316 34.1% 24.7% 41.2% -7.7 19
2014-06-01 Strommen L 1-4 1283 1259 50.0% 24.1% 25.9% -25.5 11
2014-06-01 @ Bryne W 4-1 1259 1283 25.9% 24.1% 50.0% +25.4 15
2014-06-01 Tromso L 0-2 1328 1468 28.1% 24.3% 47.6% -13.1 16
2014-06-01 @ Hodd W 2-0 1468 1328 47.6% 24.3% 28.1% +13.1 27
2014-06-02 Hamarkameratene W 3-0 1413 1249 65.2% 20.8% 14.0% +10.0 29
2014-06-02 @ Sandefjord L 0-3 1249 1413 14.0% 20.8% 65.2% -10.0 4
2014-06-09 Bryne D 1-1 1275 1258 49.2% 24.2% 26.7% -1.1 19
2014-06-09 @ Alta D 1-1 1258 1275 26.7% 24.2% 49.2% +1.1 12
2014-06-09 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1219 1373 26.4% 24.1% 49.5% +10.9 19
2014-06-09 @ Baerum L 0-1 1373 1219 49.5% 24.1% 26.4% -10.9 20
2014-06-09 Ranheim L 0-1 1353 1402 40.2% 24.7% 35.0% -9.2 22
2014-06-09 @ Mjondalen W 1-0 1402 1353 35.0% 24.7% 40.2% +9.2 26
2014-06-09 Sandefjord D 0-0 1481 1423 54.1% 23.5% 22.4% -1.7 28
2014-06-09 @ Tromso D 0-0 1423 1481 22.4% 23.5% 54.1% +1.8 30
2014-06-09 Strommen W 2-0 1351 1285 55.1% 23.3% 21.6% +10.5 22
2014-06-09 @ Nest-Sotra L 0-2 1285 1351 21.6% 23.3% 55.1% -10.5 15
2014-06-09 Tromsdalen W 4-0 1281 1258 50.0% 24.1% 26.0% +23.4 11
2014-06-09 @ Honefoss L 0-4 1258 1281 26.0% 24.1% 50.0% -23.4 15
2014-06-09 Ullensaker Kisa L 0-1 1239 1241 46.8% 24.4% 28.8% -10.4 4
2014-06-09 @ Hamarkameratene W 1-0 1241 1239 28.8% 24.4% 46.8% +10.4 9
2014-06-10 Kristiansund L 1-2 1315 1324 45.7% 24.5% 29.8% -9.6 16
2014-06-10 @ Hodd W 2-1 1324 1315 29.8% 24.5% 45.7% +9.6 23
2014-06-12 Bryne L 2-3 1479 1259 70.1% 19.0% 10.9% -13.2 28
2014-06-12 @ Tromso W 3-2 1259 1479 10.9% 19.0% 70.1% +13.2 15
2014-06-15 Alta W 2-0 1411 1274 62.6% 21.6% 15.8% +7.8 29
2014-06-15 @ Ranheim L 0-2 1274 1411 15.8% 21.6% 62.6% -7.8 19
2014-06-15 Baerum L 2-3 1235 1230 47.6% 24.3% 28.1% -9.5 15
2014-06-15 @ Tromsdalen W 3-2 1230 1235 28.1% 24.3% 47.6% +9.5 22
2014-06-15 Hamarkameratene W 3-0 1362 1229 62.3% 21.7% 16.0% +11.5 23
2014-06-15 @ Fredrikstad L 0-3 1229 1362 16.0% 21.7% 62.3% -11.5 4
2014-06-15 Hodd D 1-1 1425 1305 60.9% 22.1% 17.0% -2.2 31
2014-06-15 @ Sandefjord D 1-1 1305 1425 17.0% 22.1% 60.9% +2.2 17
2014-06-15 Honefoss W 6-0 1274 1305 42.8% 24.6% 32.6% +41.1 18
2014-06-15 @ Strommen L 0-6 1305 1274 32.6% 24.6% 42.8% -41.1 11
2014-06-15 Mjondalen D 1-1 1334 1343 45.7% 24.5% 29.8% -0.7 24
2014-06-15 @ Kristiansund D 1-1 1343 1334 29.8% 24.5% 45.7% +0.8 23
2014-06-15 Nest-Sotra W 3-1 1272 1361 34.5% 24.7% 40.8% +15.2 18
2014-06-15 @ Bryne L 1-3 1361 1272 40.8% 24.7% 34.5% -15.2 22
2014-06-15 Tromso L 1-3 1251 1466 20.3% 23.1% 56.6% -8.6 9
2014-06-15 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 3-1 1466 1251 56.6% 23.1% 20.3% +8.6 31
2014-06-22 Kristiansund D 0-0 1423 1333 57.8% 22.8% 19.4% -2.2 32
2014-06-22 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1333 1423 19.4% 22.8% 57.8% +2.2 25
2014-06-22 Mjondalen L 1-3 1239 1344 32.4% 24.6% 42.9% -12.8 22
2014-06-22 @ Baerum W 3-1 1344 1239 42.9% 24.6% 32.4% +12.8 26
2014-06-22 Nest-Sotra D 2-2 1266 1346 35.8% 24.7% 39.4% +0.1 20
2014-06-22 @ Alta D 2-2 1346 1266 39.4% 24.7% 35.8% -0.1 23
2014-06-22 Ranheim W 2-1 1264 1419 26.3% 24.1% 49.5% +10.3 14
2014-06-22 @ Honefoss L 1-2 1419 1264 49.5% 24.1% 26.3% -10.3 29
2014-06-22 Strommen D 1-1 1217 1315 33.4% 24.7% 41.9% +0.4 5
2014-06-22 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1315 1217 41.9% 24.7% 33.4% -0.4 19
2014-06-22 Tromsdalen D 2-2 1374 1225 63.7% 21.3% 15.0% -1.9 24
2014-06-22 @ Fredrikstad D 2-2 1225 1374 15.0% 21.3% 63.7% +1.9 16
2014-06-22 Ullensaker Kisa W 4-0 1307 1242 54.9% 23.4% 21.7% +20.0 20
2014-06-22 @ Hodd L 0-4 1242 1307 21.7% 23.4% 54.9% -20.0 9
2014-07-19 Hamarkameratene W 5-0 1222 1218 47.6% 24.3% 28.1% +30.8 12
2014-07-19 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 0-5 1218 1222 28.1% 24.3% 47.6% -30.8 5
2014-07-20 Baerum W 4-1 1335 1226 59.8% 22.4% 17.9% +10.8 28
2014-07-20 @ Kristiansund L 1-4 1226 1335 17.9% 22.4% 59.8% -10.8 22
2014-07-20 Fredrikstad L 1-2 1287 1372 35.2% 24.7% 40.1% -7.9 18
2014-07-20 @ Bryne W 2-1 1372 1287 40.1% 24.7% 35.2% +7.9 27
2014-07-20 Hodd L 2-3 1227 1327 33.1% 24.7% 42.2% -7.1 16
2014-07-20 @ Tromsdalen W 3-2 1327 1227 42.2% 24.7% 33.1% +7.1 23
2014-07-20 Sandefjord D 1-1 1408 1421 45.3% 24.5% 30.2% -0.7 30
2014-07-20 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1421 1408 30.2% 24.5% 45.3% +0.7 33
2014-07-21 Honefoss L 0-1 1346 1274 55.8% 23.2% 21.0% -12.1 23
2014-07-21 @ Nest-Sotra W 1-0 1274 1346 21.0% 23.2% 55.8% +12.1 17
2014-07-23 Alta W 3-1 1315 1266 53.0% 23.7% 23.3% +9.7 22
2014-07-23 @ Strommen L 1-3 1266 1315 23.3% 23.7% 53.0% -9.7 20
2014-07-27 Bryne W 1-0 1215 1279 38.2% 24.8% 37.1% +8.7 25
2014-07-27 @ Baerum L 0-1 1279 1215 37.1% 24.8% 38.2% -8.7 18
2014-07-27 Mjondalen L 1-4 1334 1357 43.9% 24.6% 31.5% -22.9 23
2014-07-27 @ Hodd W 4-1 1357 1334 31.5% 24.6% 43.9% +22.9 29
2014-07-27 Nest-Sotra W 3-2 1422 1334 57.5% 22.9% 19.6% +4.6 36
2014-07-27 @ Sandefjord L 2-3 1334 1422 19.6% 22.9% 57.5% -4.6 23
2014-07-27 Ranheim L 1-3 1187 1408 19.8% 22.9% 57.3% -8.4 5
2014-07-27 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-1 1408 1187 57.3% 22.9% 19.8% +8.4 33
2014-07-27 Strommen W 4-0 1474 1325 63.8% 21.2% 14.9% +14.0 34
2014-07-27 @ Tromso L 0-4 1325 1474 14.9% 21.2% 63.8% -14.0 22
2014-07-27 Tromsdalen L 1-2 1256 1220 51.6% 23.9% 24.6% -10.7 20
2014-07-27 @ Alta W 2-1 1220 1256 24.6% 23.9% 51.6% +10.7 19
2014-07-27 Ullensaker Kisa W 1-0 1286 1253 51.1% 23.9% 24.9% +6.3 20
2014-07-27 @ Honefoss L 0-1 1253 1286 24.9% 23.9% 51.1% -6.3 12
2014-07-28 Kristiansund W 2-1 1380 1346 51.2% 23.9% 24.8% +5.9 30
2014-07-28 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1346 1380 24.8% 23.9% 51.2% -5.9 28
2014-08-03 Alta W 6-0 1340 1246 58.2% 22.7% 19.1% +26.0 31
2014-08-03 @ Kristiansund L 0-6 1246 1340 19.1% 22.7% 58.2% -26.0 20
2014-08-03 Baerum L 1-2 1329 1224 59.4% 22.4% 18.2% -12.1 23
2014-08-03 @ Nest-Sotra W 2-1 1224 1329 18.2% 22.4% 59.4% +12.1 28
2014-08-03 Fredrikstad D 1-1 1231 1386 26.3% 24.1% 49.5% +1.1 20
2014-08-03 @ Tromsdalen D 1-1 1386 1231 49.5% 24.1% 26.3% -1.1 31
2014-08-03 Hamarkameratene W 3-1 1380 1179 68.5% 19.7% 11.9% +5.0 32
2014-08-03 @ Mjondalen L 1-3 1179 1380 11.9% 19.7% 68.5% -5.0 5
2014-08-03 Hodd D 1-1 1247 1312 38.0% 24.8% 37.2% -0.0 13
2014-08-03 @ Ullensaker Kisa D 1-1 1312 1247 37.2% 24.8% 38.0% +0.0 24
2014-08-03 Honefoss W 3-2 1271 1292 44.0% 24.6% 31.4% +6.8 21
2014-08-03 @ Bryne L 2-3 1292 1271 31.4% 24.6% 44.0% -6.8 20
2014-08-03 Sandefjord D 1-1 1311 1426 31.1% 24.6% 44.4% +0.6 23
2014-08-03 @ Strommen D 1-1 1426 1311 44.4% 24.6% 31.1% -0.6 37
2014-08-04 Tromso L 0-3 1416 1488 36.9% 24.8% 38.3% -23.7 33
2014-08-04 @ Ranheim W 3-0 1488 1416 38.3% 24.8% 36.9% +23.7 37
2014-08-08 Bryne W 5-0 1425 1277 63.7% 21.3% 15.0% +17.3 40
2014-08-08 @ Sandefjord L 0-5 1277 1425 15.0% 21.3% 63.7% -17.3 21
2014-08-10 Baerum L 0-4 1312 1236 56.1% 23.2% 20.7% -43.6 24
2014-08-10 @ Hodd W 4-0 1236 1312 20.7% 23.2% 56.1% +43.6 31
2014-08-10 Kristiansund W 1-0 1286 1366 35.8% 24.7% 39.5% +9.1 23
2014-08-10 @ Honefoss L 0-1 1366 1286 39.5% 24.7% 35.8% -9.1 31
2014-08-10 Nest-Sotra D 1-1 1174 1317 27.6% 24.3% 48.1% +1.0 6
2014-08-10 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1317 1174 48.1% 24.3% 27.6% -1.0 24
2014-08-10 Ranheim W 1-0 1220 1392 24.4% 23.9% 51.7% +11.4 23
2014-08-10 @ Alta L 0-1 1392 1220 51.7% 23.9% 24.4% -11.3 33
2014-08-10 Strommen W 1-0 1247 1311 38.1% 24.8% 37.2% +8.7 16
2014-08-10 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 0-1 1311 1247 37.2% 24.8% 38.1% -8.7 23
2014-08-10 Tromsdalen W 5-1 1512 1232 74.7% 17.0% 8.3% +6.2 40
2014-08-10 @ Tromso L 1-5 1232 1512 8.3% 17.0% 74.7% -6.2 20
2014-08-11 Mjondalen D 0-0 1384 1385 46.9% 24.4% 28.7% -1.0 32
2014-08-11 @ Fredrikstad D 0-0 1385 1384 28.7% 24.4% 46.9% +1.0 33
2014-08-13 Alta W 2-1 1316 1231 57.2% 22.9% 19.8% +4.9 27
2014-08-13 @ Nest-Sotra L 1-2 1231 1316 19.8% 22.9% 57.2% -4.9 23
2014-08-13 Hodd W 4-1 1303 1268 51.3% 23.9% 24.8% +14.5 26
2014-08-13 @ Strommen L 1-4 1268 1303 24.8% 23.9% 51.3% -14.5 24
2014-08-13 Ranheim L 0-2 1226 1381 26.3% 24.1% 49.6% -12.4 20
2014-08-13 @ Tromsdalen W 2-0 1381 1226 49.6% 24.1% 26.3% +12.4 36
2014-08-13 Sandefjord D 1-1 1357 1443 35.0% 24.7% 40.3% +0.2 32
2014-08-13 @ Kristiansund D 1-1 1443 1357 40.3% 24.7% 35.0% -0.2 41
2014-08-13 Ullensaker Kisa W 2-1 1260 1256 47.5% 24.3% 28.1% +6.6 24
2014-08-13 @ Bryne L 1-2 1256 1260 28.1% 24.3% 47.5% -6.6 16
2014-08-14 Fredrikstad L 1-3 1175 1384 20.8% 23.2% 56.0% -8.8 6
2014-08-14 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-1 1384 1175 56.0% 23.2% 20.8% +8.8 35
2014-08-14 Honefoss W 4-0 1386 1295 57.9% 22.8% 19.3% +18.0 36
2014-08-14 @ Mjondalen L 0-4 1295 1386 19.3% 22.8% 57.9% -18.0 23
2014-08-14 Tromso W 2-1 1280 1518 18.3% 22.5% 59.2% +12.0 34
2014-08-14 @ Baerum L 1-2 1518 1280 59.2% 22.5% 18.3% -12.0 40
2014-08-17 Baerum L 2-3 1226 1292 37.9% 24.8% 37.4% -7.9 23
2014-08-17 @ Alta W 3-2 1292 1226 37.4% 24.8% 37.9% +7.9 37
2014-08-17 Bryne L 0-3 1317 1267 53.2% 23.6% 23.1% -31.9 26
2014-08-17 @ Strommen W 3-0 1267 1317 23.1% 23.6% 53.2% +31.9 27
2014-08-17 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1277 1392 31.1% 24.6% 44.4% -7.6 23
2014-08-17 @ Honefoss W 1-0 1392 1277 44.4% 24.6% 31.1% +7.6 38
2014-08-17 Hamarkameratene W 4-0 1254 1166 57.5% 22.9% 19.6% +18.2 27
2014-08-17 @ Hodd L 0-4 1166 1254 19.6% 22.9% 57.5% -18.2 6
2014-08-17 Kristiansund D 1-1 1393 1357 51.6% 23.9% 24.6% -1.3 37
2014-08-17 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1357 1393 24.6% 23.9% 51.6% +1.3 33
2014-08-17 Mjondalen W 2-1 1443 1404 51.9% 23.8% 24.3% +5.8 44
2014-08-17 @ Sandefjord L 1-2 1404 1443 24.3% 23.8% 51.9% -5.8 36
2014-08-17 Tromsdalen W 1-0 1249 1213 51.5% 23.9% 24.6% +6.2 19
2014-08-17 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 0-1 1213 1249 24.6% 23.9% 51.5% -6.2 20
2014-08-18 Nest-Sotra W 4-2 1506 1321 67.1% 20.2% 12.8% +4.8 43
2014-08-18 @ Tromso L 2-4 1321 1506 12.8% 20.2% 67.1% -4.9 27
2014-08-24 Alta D 0-0 1400 1218 66.8% 20.3% 13.0% -3.1 39
2014-08-24 @ Fredrikstad D 0-0 1218 1400 13.0% 20.3% 66.8% +3.1 24
2014-08-24 Hodd L 0-1 1316 1272 52.5% 23.8% 23.7% -11.5 27
2014-08-24 @ Nest-Sotra W 1-0 1272 1316 23.7% 23.8% 52.5% +11.5 30
2014-08-24 Ranheim L 1-2 1298 1392 34.0% 24.7% 41.3% -7.7 27
2014-08-24 @ Bryne W 2-1 1392 1298 41.3% 24.7% 34.0% +7.7 40
2014-08-24 Sandefjord L 2-3 1148 1448 13.9% 20.8% 65.4% -3.2 6
2014-08-24 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-2 1448 1148 65.4% 20.8% 13.9% +3.2 47
2014-08-24 Strommen W 4-0 1358 1285 55.9% 23.2% 20.9% +19.3 36
2014-08-24 @ Kristiansund L 0-4 1285 1358 20.9% 23.2% 55.9% -19.3 26
2014-08-24 Tromsdalen W 1-0 1300 1207 58.1% 22.8% 19.2% +5.0 40
2014-08-24 @ Baerum L 0-1 1207 1300 19.2% 22.8% 58.1% -5.0 20
2014-08-24 Ullensaker Kisa W 3-1 1398 1255 63.2% 21.4% 15.4% +6.6 39
2014-08-24 @ Mjondalen L 1-3 1255 1398 15.4% 21.4% 63.2% -6.6 19
2014-08-25 Honefoss D 1-1 1511 1269 71.8% 18.3% 9.9% -3.2 44
2014-08-25 @ Tromso D 1-1 1269 1511 9.9% 18.3% 71.8% +3.2 24
2014-08-31 Baerum W 2-1 1272 1305 42.6% 24.6% 32.8% +7.4 27
2014-08-31 @ Honefoss L 1-2 1305 1272 32.8% 24.6% 42.6% -7.4 40
2014-08-31 Bryne W 3-0 1378 1291 57.4% 22.9% 19.7% +14.0 39
2014-08-31 @ Kristiansund L 0-3 1291 1378 19.7% 22.9% 57.4% -14.0 27
2014-08-31 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1249 1397 27.1% 24.2% 48.7% -6.8 19
2014-08-31 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 1-0 1397 1249 48.7% 24.2% 27.1% +6.8 42
2014-08-31 Hamarkameratene W 6-1 1266 1144 61.1% 22.0% 16.9% +16.1 29
2014-08-31 @ Strommen L 1-6 1144 1266 16.9% 22.0% 61.1% -16.1 6
2014-08-31 Nest-Sotra L 1-2 1202 1305 32.7% 24.6% 42.6% -7.4 20
2014-08-31 @ Tromsdalen W 2-1 1305 1202 42.6% 24.6% 32.7% +7.4 30
2014-08-31 Sandefjord L 1-4 1283 1452 24.9% 23.9% 51.2% -14.5 30
2014-08-31 @ Hodd W 4-1 1452 1283 51.2% 23.9% 24.9% +14.5 50
2014-08-31 Tromso L 0-3 1222 1508 14.8% 21.2% 64.0% -10.6 24
2014-08-31 @ Alta W 3-0 1508 1222 64.0% 21.2% 14.8% +10.6 47
2014-09-01 Mjondalen D 1-1 1400 1404 46.3% 24.4% 29.2% -0.8 41
2014-09-01 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1404 1400 29.2% 24.4% 46.3% +0.8 40
2014-09-05 Tromso W 2-1 1405 1518 31.4% 24.6% 44.0% +9.4 43
2014-09-05 @ Mjondalen L 1-2 1518 1405 44.0% 24.6% 31.4% -9.4 47
2014-09-14 Alta W 6-1 1277 1211 55.1% 23.3% 21.6% +20.3 30
2014-09-14 @ Bryne L 1-6 1211 1277 21.6% 23.3% 55.1% -20.3 24
2014-09-14 Honefoss L 1-4 1128 1280 26.7% 24.2% 49.1% -15.4 6
2014-09-14 @ Hamarkameratene W 4-1 1280 1128 49.1% 24.2% 26.7% +15.4 30
2014-09-14 Kristiansund D 1-1 1312 1392 35.9% 24.7% 39.4% +0.2 31
2014-09-14 @ Nest-Sotra D 1-1 1392 1312 39.4% 24.7% 35.9% -0.2 40
2014-09-14 Ranheim D 0-0 1297 1399 32.9% 24.6% 42.5% +0.5 41
2014-09-14 @ Baerum D 0-0 1399 1297 42.5% 24.6% 32.9% -0.5 42
2014-09-14 Strommen L 1-2 1404 1282 61.1% 22.0% 16.9% -12.4 42
2014-09-14 @ Fredrikstad W 2-1 1282 1404 16.9% 22.0% 61.1% +12.4 32
2014-09-14 Tromsdalen L 1-2 1415 1195 70.0% 19.0% 10.9% -13.9 43
2014-09-14 @ Mjondalen W 2-1 1195 1415 10.9% 19.0% 70.0% +13.9 23
2014-09-14 Ullensaker Kisa W 4-0 1466 1242 70.4% 18.9% 10.7% +9.9 53
2014-09-14 @ Sandefjord L 0-4 1242 1466 10.7% 18.9% 70.4% -9.9 19
2014-09-15 Hodd W 5-0 1509 1269 71.7% 18.4% 10.0% +11.2 50
2014-09-15 @ Tromso L 0-5 1269 1509 10.0% 18.4% 71.7% -11.2 30
2014-09-21 Baerum L 0-2 1232 1298 37.9% 24.8% 37.4% -16.6 19
2014-09-21 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 2-0 1298 1232 37.4% 24.8% 37.9% +16.6 44
2014-09-21 Fredrikstad W 2-0 1257 1391 28.8% 24.4% 46.8% +19.7 33
2014-09-21 @ Hodd L 0-2 1391 1257 46.8% 24.4% 28.8% -19.7 42
2014-09-21 Hamarkameratene W 1-0 1297 1113 67.0% 20.2% 12.8% +3.3 33
2014-09-21 @ Bryne L 0-1 1113 1297 12.8% 20.2% 67.0% -3.3 6
2014-09-21 Honefoss W 4-1 1398 1295 59.2% 22.5% 18.3% +11.0 45
2014-09-21 @ Ranheim L 1-4 1295 1398 18.3% 22.5% 59.2% -11.0 30
2014-09-21 Mjondalen W 2-1 1191 1401 20.7% 23.2% 56.1% +11.5 27
2014-09-21 @ Alta L 1-2 1401 1191 56.1% 23.2% 20.7% -11.5 43
2014-09-21 Nest-Sotra D 2-2 1294 1312 44.5% 24.6% 30.9% -0.5 33
2014-09-21 @ Strommen D 2-2 1312 1294 30.9% 24.6% 44.5% +0.5 32
2014-09-21 Sandefjord L 1-2 1208 1476 16.1% 21.7% 62.2% -4.0 23
2014-09-21 @ Tromsdalen W 2-1 1476 1208 62.2% 21.7% 16.1% +4.0 56
2014-09-21 Tromso W 1-0 1392 1520 29.4% 24.4% 46.1% +10.3 43
2014-09-21 @ Kristiansund L 0-1 1520 1392 46.1% 24.4% 29.4% -10.3 50
2014-09-28 Alta W 3-0 1480 1202 74.5% 17.1% 8.4% +5.8 59
2014-09-28 @ Sandefjord L 0-3 1202 1480 8.4% 17.1% 74.5% -5.8 27
2014-09-28 Bryne L 2-3 1313 1300 48.6% 24.2% 27.2% -9.6 32
2014-09-28 @ Nest-Sotra W 3-2 1300 1313 27.2% 24.2% 48.6% +9.6 36
2014-09-28 Hodd L 1-4 1284 1277 47.9% 24.3% 27.8% -24.5 30
2014-09-28 @ Honefoss W 4-1 1277 1284 27.8% 24.3% 47.9% +24.5 36
2014-09-28 Kristiansund D 2-2 1389 1402 45.3% 24.5% 30.2% -0.5 44
2014-09-28 @ Mjondalen D 2-2 1402 1389 30.2% 24.5% 45.3% +0.5 44
2014-09-28 Strommen D 1-1 1314 1294 49.6% 24.1% 26.3% -1.1 45
2014-09-28 @ Baerum D 1-1 1294 1314 26.3% 24.1% 49.6% +1.1 34
2014-09-28 Tromsdalen L 0-4 1109 1204 33.8% 24.7% 41.5% -28.9 6
2014-09-28 @ Hamarkameratene W 4-0 1204 1109 41.5% 24.7% 33.8% +28.9 26
2014-09-28 Ullensaker Kisa W 5-0 1510 1215 75.7% 16.5% 7.8% +8.5 53
2014-09-28 @ Tromso L 0-5 1215 1510 7.8% 16.5% 75.7% -8.6 19
2014-09-29 Ranheim W 1-0 1372 1410 41.8% 24.7% 33.5% +8.0 45
2014-09-29 @ Fredrikstad L 0-1 1410 1372 33.5% 24.7% 41.8% -8.0 45
2014-10-05 Fredrikstad W 2-1 1303 1380 36.4% 24.7% 38.9% +8.5 35
2014-10-05 @ Nest-Sotra L 1-2 1380 1303 38.9% 24.7% 36.4% -8.5 45
2014-10-05 Hamarkameratene D 2-2 1402 1081 77.5% 15.5% 6.9% -2.7 45
2014-10-05 @ Kristiansund D 2-2 1081 1402 6.9% 15.5% 77.5% +2.7 7
2014-10-05 Hodd D 1-1 1196 1302 32.4% 24.6% 43.0% +0.5 28
2014-10-05 @ Alta D 1-1 1302 1196 43.0% 24.6% 32.4% -0.5 37
2014-10-05 Honefoss L 2-3 1233 1260 43.4% 24.6% 32.0% -8.8 26
2014-10-05 @ Tromsdalen W 3-2 1260 1233 32.0% 24.6% 43.4% +8.8 33
2014-10-05 Mjondalen W 3-0 1295 1389 33.9% 24.7% 41.4% +25.8 37
2014-10-05 @ Strommen L 0-3 1389 1295 41.4% 24.7% 33.9% -25.8 44
2014-10-05 Sandefjord L 3-4 1313 1486 24.4% 23.9% 51.7% -5.4 45
2014-10-05 @ Baerum W 4-3 1486 1313 51.7% 23.9% 24.4% +5.4 62
2014-10-05 Ullensaker Kisa L 0-2 1401 1207 67.9% 19.9% 12.2% -27.1 45
2014-10-05 @ Ranheim W 2-0 1207 1401 12.2% 19.9% 67.9% +27.1 22
2014-10-06 Tromso W 2-1 1310 1519 20.9% 23.2% 56.0% +11.5 39
2014-10-06 @ Bryne L 1-2 1519 1310 56.0% 23.2% 20.9% -11.4 53
2014-10-19 Alta L 2-4 1083 1197 31.3% 24.6% 44.1% -11.1 7
2014-10-19 @ Hamarkameratene W 4-2 1197 1083 44.1% 24.6% 31.3% +11.1 31
2014-10-19 Baerum W 2-1 1371 1308 54.8% 23.4% 21.9% +5.3 48
2014-10-19 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1308 1371 21.9% 23.4% 54.8% -5.3 45
2014-10-19 Bryne W 4-1 1225 1322 33.5% 24.7% 41.8% +22.0 29
2014-10-19 @ Tromsdalen L 1-4 1322 1225 41.8% 24.7% 33.5% -22.0 39
2014-10-19 Kristiansund L 1-2 1234 1400 25.1% 24.0% 50.9% -6.0 22
2014-10-19 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 2-1 1400 1234 50.9% 24.0% 25.1% +6.0 48
2014-10-19 Nest-Sotra W 3-2 1363 1312 53.3% 23.6% 23.0% +5.3 47
2014-10-19 @ Mjondalen L 2-3 1312 1363 23.0% 23.6% 53.3% -5.3 35
2014-10-19 Ranheim W 4-2 1301 1374 36.8% 24.8% 38.5% +13.0 40
2014-10-19 @ Hodd L 2-4 1374 1301 38.5% 24.8% 36.8% -13.0 45
2014-10-19 Strommen W 3-2 1268 1321 39.8% 24.7% 35.5% +7.5 36
2014-10-19 @ Honefoss L 2-3 1321 1268 35.5% 24.7% 39.8% -7.5 37
2014-10-20 Tromso W 3-1 1491 1507 44.8% 24.5% 30.6% +12.2 65
2014-10-20 @ Sandefjord L 1-3 1507 1491 30.6% 24.5% 44.8% -12.2 53
2014-10-26 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1495 1376 60.8% 22.1% 17.1% +4.5 56
2014-10-26 @ Tromso L 0-1 1376 1495 17.1% 22.1% 60.8% -4.5 48
2014-10-26 Hamarkameratene W 6-2 1303 1072 70.9% 18.7% 10.4% +6.8 48
2014-10-26 @ Baerum L 2-6 1072 1303 10.4% 18.7% 70.9% -6.8 7
2014-10-26 Hodd L 0-4 1406 1314 57.9% 22.8% 19.3% -44.8 48
2014-10-26 @ Kristiansund W 4-0 1314 1406 19.3% 22.8% 57.9% +44.8 43
2014-10-26 Honefoss D 0-0 1503 1276 70.7% 18.8% 10.6% -3.5 66
2014-10-26 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1276 1503 10.6% 18.8% 70.7% +3.5 37
2014-10-26 Mjondalen L 0-5 1300 1368 37.5% 24.8% 37.8% -38.5 39
2014-10-26 @ Bryne W 5-0 1368 1300 37.8% 24.8% 37.5% +38.5 50
2014-10-26 Ranheim D 2-2 1306 1361 39.4% 24.7% 35.9% -0.1 36
2014-10-26 @ Nest-Sotra D 2-2 1361 1306 35.9% 24.7% 39.4% +0.1 46
2014-10-26 Tromsdalen D 4-4 1313 1247 55.2% 23.3% 21.5% -0.9 38
2014-10-26 @ Strommen D 4-4 1247 1313 21.5% 23.3% 55.2% +0.9 30
2014-10-26 Ullensaker Kisa W 2-1 1208 1228 44.3% 24.6% 31.2% +7.1 34
2014-10-26 @ Alta L 1-2 1228 1208 31.2% 24.6% 44.3% -7.2 22
2014-11-02 Alta W 1-0 1279 1215 54.9% 23.4% 21.7% +5.6 40
2014-11-02 @ Honefoss L 0-1 1215 1279 21.7% 23.4% 54.9% -5.6 34
2014-11-02 Baerum D 1-1 1407 1309 58.6% 22.7% 18.8% -2.0 51
2014-11-02 @ Mjondalen D 1-1 1309 1407 18.8% 22.7% 58.6% +2.0 49
2014-11-02 Bryne L 0-3 1359 1261 58.6% 22.6% 18.8% -34.7 43
2014-11-02 @ Hodd W 3-0 1261 1359 18.8% 22.6% 58.6% +34.7 42
2014-11-02 Kristiansund D 2-2 1247 1361 31.3% 24.6% 44.1% +0.4 31
2014-11-02 @ Tromsdalen D 2-2 1361 1247 44.1% 24.6% 31.3% -0.4 49
2014-11-02 Nest-Sotra D 2-2 1221 1306 35.1% 24.7% 40.2% +0.2 23
2014-11-02 @ Ullensaker Kisa D 2-2 1306 1221 40.2% 24.7% 35.1% -0.2 37
2014-11-02 Sandefjord L 0-1 1372 1500 29.5% 24.4% 46.0% -7.2 48
2014-11-02 @ Fredrikstad W 1-0 1500 1372 46.0% 24.4% 29.5% +7.2 69
2014-11-02 Strommen L 2-4 1361 1312 53.1% 23.7% 23.2% -17.0 46
2014-11-02 @ Ranheim W 4-2 1312 1361 23.2% 23.7% 53.1% +16.9 41
2014-11-02 Tromso L 1-4 1065 1499 7.7% 16.3% 76.0% -4.4 7
2014-11-02 @ Hamarkameratene W 4-1 1499 1065 76.0% 16.3% 7.7% +4.4 59

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2014-11-09 Baerum L 0-2 1360 1311 53.1% 23.7% 23.2% -21.9 0-1
2014-11-09 @ Kristiansund W 2-0 1311 1360 23.2% 23.7% 53.1% +21.9 1-0
2014-11-09 Fredrikstad W 2-0 1405 1365 52.0% 23.8% 24.2% +11.6 1-0
2014-11-09 @ Mjondalen L 0-2 1365 1405 24.2% 23.8% 52.0% -11.6 0-1
2014-11-15 Baerum W 4-1 1416 1333 57.0% 23.0% 20.0% +12.0 2-0
2014-11-15 @ Mjondalen L 1-4 1333 1416 20.0% 23.0% 57.0% -12.0 1-1
2014-11-23 Mjondalen D 1-1 1472 1428 52.4% 23.8% 23.8% -1.4 0-0-1
2014-11-23 @ Brann D 1-1 1428 1472 23.8% 23.8% 52.4% +1.4 2-0-1
2014-11-26 Brann W 3-0 1430 1470 41.4% 24.7% 33.9% +22.2 3-0-1
2014-11-26 @ Mjondalen L 0-3 1470 1430 33.9% 24.7% 41.4% -22.2 0-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-06-12 10.90% Bryne 1259 3 @ Tromso 1479 2
2 2014-09-14 10.91% Tromsdalen 1195 2 @ Mjondalen 1415 1
3 2014-10-05 12.22% Ullensaker Kisa 1207 2 @ Ranheim 1401 0
4 2014-09-14 16.89% Strommen 1282 2 @ Fredrikstad 1404 1
5 2014-08-03 18.16% Baerum 1224 2 @ Nest-Sotra 1329 1
6 2014-08-14 18.29% @ Baerum 1280 2 Tromso 1518 1
7 2014-11-02 18.75% Bryne 1261 3 @ Hodd 1359 0
8 2014-10-26 19.30% Hodd 1314 4 @ Kristiansund 1406 0
9 2014-08-10 20.72% Baerum 1236 4 @ Hodd 1312 0
10 2014-09-21 20.72% @ Alta 1191 2 Mjondalen 1401 1
11 2014-10-06 20.87% @ Bryne 1310 2 Tromso 1519 1
12 2014-07-21 21.03% Honefoss 1274 1 @ Nest-Sotra 1346 0
13 2014-05-01 22.42% Alta 1232 3 @ Baerum 1289 0
14 2014-08-17 23.10% Bryne 1267 3 @ Strommen 1317 0
15 2014-11-02 23.24% Strommen 1312 4 @ Ranheim 1361 2
16 2014-11-09 * 23.24% Baerum 1311 2 @ Kristiansund 1360 0
17 2014-05-29 23.38% Bryne 1272 2 @ Honefoss 1320 1
18 2014-08-24 23.70% Hodd 1272 1 @ Nest-Sotra 1316 0
19 2014-08-10 24.41% @ Alta 1220 1 Ranheim 1392 0
20 2014-07-27 24.55% Tromsdalen 1220 2 @ Alta 1256 1
21 2014-05-01 25.51% Hodd 1332 3 @ Mjondalen 1359 1
22 2014-04-13 25.71% Baerum 1269 2 @ Bryne 1295 1
23 2014-06-01 25.91% Strommen 1259 4 @ Bryne 1283 1
24 2014-04-27 26.19% Mjondalen 1349 2 @ Nest-Sotra 1370 1
25 2014-04-14 26.22% Fredrikstad 1321 1 @ Sandefjord 1342 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-10-26 44.80 Hodd 4 1314 19.30% @ Kristiansund 0 1406 57.92% 22.79%
2 2014-08-10 43.59 Baerum 4 1236 20.72% @ Hodd 0 1312 56.14% 23.15%
3 2014-06-15 41.09 @ Strommen 6 1274 42.81% Honefoss 0 1305 32.55% 24.64%
4 2014-10-26 38.54 Mjondalen 5 1368 37.80% @ Bryne 0 1300 37.45% 24.75%
5 2014-05-20 37.98 Sandefjord 4 1371 27.85% @ Nest-Sotra 0 1378 47.85% 24.30%
6 2014-11-02 34.65 Bryne 3 1261 18.75% @ Hodd 0 1359 58.62% 22.63%
7 2014-05-01 32.28 Alta 3 1232 22.42% @ Baerum 0 1289 54.06% 23.51%
8 2014-08-17 31.87 Bryne 3 1267 23.10% @ Strommen 0 1317 53.25% 23.64%
9 2014-07-19 30.76 @ Ullensaker Kisa 5 1222 47.56% Hamarkameratene 0 1218 28.11% 24.33%
10 2014-09-28 28.89 Tromsdalen 4 1204 41.54% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1109 33.77% 24.69%
11 2014-05-16 27.73 Ranheim 3 1339 30.30% @ Kristiansund 0 1326 45.19% 24.51%
12 2014-06-01 27.40 @ Fredrikstad 5 1346 51.62% Honefoss 0 1309 24.51% 23.88%
13 2014-10-05 27.08 Ullensaker Kisa 2 1207 12.22% @ Ranheim 0 1401 67.91% 19.87%
14 2014-04-06 26.42 @ Alta 3 1224 32.79% Kristiansund 0 1326 42.56% 24.65%
15 2014-08-03 25.98 @ Kristiansund 6 1340 58.22% Alta 0 1246 19.06% 22.72%
16 2014-10-05 25.83 @ Strommen 3 1295 33.94% Mjondalen 0 1389 41.37% 24.69%
17 2014-06-01 25.45 Strommen 4 1259 25.91% @ Bryne 1 1283 50.01% 24.08%
18 2014-09-28 24.53 Hodd 4 1277 27.83% @ Honefoss 1 1284 47.88% 24.30%
19 2014-08-04 23.67 Tromso 3 1488 38.33% @ Ranheim 0 1416 36.92% 24.75%
20 2014-06-09 23.36 @ Honefoss 4 1281 49.95% Tromsdalen 0 1258 25.97% 24.08%
21 2014-07-27 22.86 Mjondalen 4 1357 31.48% @ Hodd 1 1334 43.94% 24.58%
22 2014-04-21 22.51 @ Mjondalen 4 1326 51.21% Strommen 0 1293 24.86% 23.93%
23 2014-11-26 * 22.16 @ Mjondalen 3 1430 41.45% Brann 0 1470 33.86% 24.69%
24 2014-10-19 21.97 @ Tromsdalen 4 1225 33.51% Bryne 1 1322 41.81% 24.68%
25 2014-11-09 * 21.88 Baerum 2 1311 23.24% @ Kristiansund 0 1360 53.10% 23.67%