2012 Tippeligaen Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Molde

62 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Molde

12.66 points above expected

62 points · 49.34 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stabaek

12.89 points below expected

17 points · 29.89 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Molde	30	19	5	6	62	51	31	+20	49.3	+12.66
2	Stromsgodset	30	17	7	6	58	62	40	+22	45.8	+12.20
3	Rosenborg	30	15	10	5	55	53	26	+27	53.6	+1.40
4	Tromso	30	14	7	9	49	45	32	+13	48.4	+0.62
5	Viking	30	14	7	9	49	41	36	+5	40.8	+8.24
6	Brann	30	13	3	14	42	57	50	+7	43.7	-1.74
7	Haugesund	30	11	9	10	42	46	40	+6	47.0	-4.98
8	Valerenga	30	12	5	13	41	42	44	-2	45.0	-4.04
9	Odd Grenland	30	11	7	12	40	40	43	-3	39.4	+0.60
10	Lillestrom	30	9	12	9	39	46	47	-1	37.0	+1.95
11	Aalesund	30	9	11	10	38	40	41	-1	41.4	-3.42
12	Sogndal	30	8	10	12	34	29	37	-8	38.2	-4.21
13	Honefoss	30	7	12	11	33	30	42	-12	37.0	-3.98
14	Sandnes Ulf	30	8	8	14	32	44	56	-12	31.1	+0.87
15	Fredrikstad	30	9	3	18	30	42	59	-17	36.7	-6.68
16	Stabaek	30	5	2	23	17	25	69	-44	29.9	-12.89

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1611	55	53.60	+1.40	60.3%	29	42	49	54	58	65	81
Molde	1586	62	49.34	+12.66	97.4%	25	38	45	49	54	61	76
Stromsgodset	1550	58	45.80	+12.20	96.3%	23	34	41	46	50	57	70
Tromso	1540	49	48.38	+0.62	56.0%	21	37	44	48	53	60	73
Haugesund	1518	42	46.98	-4.98	26.4%	20	36	42	47	52	58	72
Viking	1497	49	40.76	+8.24	89.4%	15	29	36	41	46	52	66
Valerenga	1495	41	45.04	-4.04	30.9%	18	33	40	45	50	57	70
Brann	1492	42	43.74	-1.74	43.5%	17	32	39	44	48	55	69
Odd Grenland	1486	40	39.40	+0.60	50.8%	14	28	35	39	44	51	67
Aalesund	1472	38	41.42	-3.42	33.5%	17	30	37	41	46	53	65
Lillestrom	1456	39	37.05	+1.95	64.0%	14	26	32	37	42	48	62
Sogndal	1433	34	38.21	-4.21	30.5%	16	27	33	38	43	50	70
Sandnes Ulf	1424	32	31.13	+0.87	59.0%	8	20	27	31	36	42	57
Honefoss	1410	33	36.98	-3.98	31.2%	13	26	32	37	42	48	65
Fredrikstad	1406	30	36.68	-6.68	18.3%	8	26	32	37	41	48	63
Stabaek	1318	17	29.89	-12.89	2.5%	7	19	25	30	34	41	56

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BRA	FRE	HAU	HON	LIL	MOL	OG	ROS	SU	SOG	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	1-0-1 2.71	2-0-0 3.08	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 3.00	0-1-1 3.11	0-0-2 2.34	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.07	1-1-0 3.30	0-2-0 3.08	1-1-0 3.27	1-0-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.32	1-1-0 2.53	0-2-0 2.90
Brann	1-0-1 2.81	—	2-0-0 3.32	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.16	1-1-0 3.66	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.63	0-0-2 2.75	0-0-2 2.53	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.87
Fredrikstad	0-0-2 2.43	0-0-2 2.20	—	0-1-1 2.14	0-1-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.82	0-0-2 1.85	1-1-0 2.44	1-0-1 1.86	0-0-2 3.20	2-0-0 2.73	2-0-0 3.06	0-0-2 2.22	1-0-1 2.09	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 2.54
Haugesund	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 3.03	1-1-0 3.42	—	0-1-1 3.43	0-2-0 3.34	1-0-1 2.62	0-0-2 3.29	0-0-2 2.38	2-0-0 3.87	0-2-0 3.24	2-0-0 4.02	0-1-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.81	2-0-0 3.01
Honefoss	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.35	1-1-0 2.62	1-1-0 2.13	—	0-2-0 2.77	0-1-1 1.90	0-0-2 2.59	1-0-1 1.65	0-1-1 3.13	0-2-0 2.70	1-1-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.21	0-1-1 2.22	1-0-1 2.30	0-1-1 2.68
Lillestrom	1-1-0 2.43	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 2.74	0-2-0 2.22	0-2-0 2.74	—	0-1-1 2.04	0-1-1 2.60	0-2-0 1.89	1-0-1 3.10	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 3.42	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 1.95	1-1-0 2.25	1-1-0 2.42
Molde	2-0-0 3.19	1-0-1 3.10	2-0-0 3.71	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 3.69	1-1-0 3.50	—	1-1-0 3.39	1-0-1 2.47	2-0-0 3.93	1-0-1 3.24	2-0-0 3.93	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 2.88	2-0-0 3.10	0-0-2 3.37
Odd Grenland	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 3.07	2-0-0 2.25	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.15	—	0-1-1 1.91	0-2-0 3.45	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 2.43	1-1-0 2.33	0-0-2 2.55	0-0-2 2.84
Rosenborg	1-1-0 3.48	1-0-1 3.38	1-0-1 3.76	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.95	0-2-0 3.70	1-0-1 3.04	1-1-0 3.65	—	1-1-0 4.22	1-1-0 3.66	2-0-0 4.33	0-1-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.04	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.67
Sandnes Ulf	0-1-1 2.24	0-1-1 1.89	2-0-0 2.34	0-0-2 1.74	1-1-0 2.40	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 1.69	0-2-0 2.10	0-1-1 1.45	—	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 1.74	1-0-1 1.65	0-0-2 2.01	0-1-1 2.33
Sogndal	0-2-0 2.44	1-0-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.79	0-2-0 2.32	0-2-0 2.84	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.34	1-0-1 2.51	0-1-1 1.89	0-1-1 3.18	—	1-0-1 3.44	0-1-1 2.32	1-1-0 1.89	2-0-0 2.24	0-0-2 2.66
Stabaek	0-1-1 2.31	0-0-2 1.93	0-0-2 2.45	0-0-2 1.60	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.14	0-0-2 1.71	1-0-1 2.17	0-0-2 1.34	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.10	—	0-0-2 1.58	0-0-2 1.66	1-0-1 1.84	0-0-2 1.89
Stromsgodset	1-0-1 3.01	2-0-0 2.78	2-0-0 3.34	1-1-0 2.69	1-1-0 3.33	1-1-0 3.25	0-1-1 2.54	1-0-1 3.09	1-1-0 2.34	1-0-1 3.86	1-1-0 3.18	2-0-0 4.06	—	1-0-1 2.70	1-1-0 2.65	1-0-1 3.01
Tromso	1-1-0 3.22	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 3.45	1-1-0 2.82	1-1-0 3.32	1-0-1 3.62	0-1-1 2.64	0-1-1 3.21	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 3.96	0-1-1 3.67	2-0-0 3.92	1-0-1 2.80	—	1-0-1 3.01	2-0-0 3.20
Valerenga	0-1-1 2.99	1-1-0 2.98	2-0-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 3.23	0-1-1 3.28	0-0-2 2.43	2-0-0 2.98	0-1-1 2.25	2-0-0 3.56	0-0-2 3.28	1-0-1 3.74	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.50	—	1-0-1 2.95
Viking	0-2-0 2.65	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 3.00	0-0-2 2.51	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 3.10	2-0-0 2.20	2-0-0 2.70	0-1-1 1.91	1-1-0 3.20	2-0-0 2.89	2-0-0 3.67	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.34	1-0-1 2.59	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	7.50%	5.62%	2.08%	1.46%	1.04%	26.04%
1	7.50%	10.83%	8.12%	3.96%	1.46%	1.04%	32.92%
2	5.62%	8.12%	3.75%	3.12%	0.83%	0.42%	21.88%
3	2.08%	3.96%	3.12%	1.67%	1.04%	—	11.88%
4	1.46%	1.46%	0.83%	1.04%	—	—	4.79%
5+	1.04%	1.04%	0.42%	—	—	—	2.50%
Total	26.04%	32.92%	21.88%	11.88%	4.79%	2.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.89
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.023
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	—	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	40.00%	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.123
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	—	3.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
5+	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	13.33%	23.33%	46.67%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.067
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	33.33%
1	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	26.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%	—	16.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	16.67%	26.67%	23.33%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	3.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.010
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	33.33%
3	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	30.00%	23.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Haugesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.356
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	36.67%
1	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	33.33%	16.67%	6.67%	13.33%	—	100%

Honefoss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.108
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	36.67%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	33.33%	20.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.247
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	40.00%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.067
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	23.33%
1	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	26.67%	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Odd Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.013
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	36.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.147
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	30.00%
1	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	30.00%
2	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	10.00%	33.33%	26.67%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Sandnes Ulf — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.102
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	33.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	46.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	26.67%	20.00%	13.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Sogndal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.189
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	46.67%
1	—	—	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	33.33%
2	—	13.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.67%	30.00%	23.33%	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	2.30
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.51
Mean total goals/game	3.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.078
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	26.67%
4	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	30.00%	20.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.07
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	3.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.190
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	33.33%
2	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	40.00%	36.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.094
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	—	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	33.33%	30.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.017
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	33.33%
2	—	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	46.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.121
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Molde	62	49.3	+12.66
2	Stromsgodset	58	45.8	+12.20
3	Viking	49	40.8	+8.24
4	Lillestrom	39	37.0	+1.95
5	Rosenborg	55	53.6	+1.40

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Stabaek	17	29.9	-12.89
2	Fredrikstad	30	36.7	-6.68
3	Haugesund	42	47.0	-4.98
4	Sogndal	34	38.2	-4.21
5	Valerenga	41	45.0	-4.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Viking	5	Jul 15 – Aug 12	1 in 167
2	Stromsgodset	4	Apr 15 – May 6	1 in 48
3	Lillestrom	3	Oct 29 – Nov 11	1 in 41
4	Molde	5	May 6 – May 24	1 in 32
5	Tromso	4	Aug 12 – Sep 17	1 in 29

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stabaek	9	Apr 1 – May 23	1 in 942
2	Fredrikstad	4	Jul 9 – Jul 27	1 in 50
3	Rosenborg	3	Oct 28 – Nov 11	1 in 49
4	Sandnes Ulf	5	Jul 8 – Aug 12	1 in 46
5	Brann	4	Apr 9 – Apr 29	1 in 41

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lillestrom	7	Jul 9 – Aug 25	1 in 137
2	Viking	7	Jul 8 – Aug 26	1 in 97
3	Haugesund	12	Apr 1 – Jun 30	1 in 81
4	Rosenborg	13	May 20 – Sep 16	1 in 63
5	Sogndal	6	Mar 25 – Apr 28	1 in 34

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Honefoss	13	Aug 4 – Nov 18	1 in 378
2	Rosenborg	5	May 13 – Jun 24	1 in 51
3	Stabaek	10	Mar 25 – May 23	1 in 45
4	Fredrikstad	9	Apr 9 – May 23	1 in 42
5	Sogndal	8	May 6 – Jul 7	1 in 41

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Molde	16.47%	17.07%	13.70%	11.61%	9.85%	7.93%	6.06%	5.08%	3.67%	2.94%	2.00%	1.47%	1.04%	0.65%	0.38%	0.08%
Stromsgodset	7.24%	10.14%	10.72%	10.46%	10.23%	9.96%	8.73%	7.48%	6.46%	5.42%	4.06%	3.36%	2.56%	1.78%	0.94%	0.46%
Rosenborg	38.50%	20.22%	13.36%	8.12%	6.01%	4.44%	3.28%	2.18%	1.40%	1.01%	0.60%	0.43%	0.26%	0.13%	0.05%	0.01%
Tromso	13.34%	13.97%	13.78%	11.83%	9.97%	8.39%	7.07%	5.63%	4.72%	3.77%	2.91%	1.78%	1.26%	0.86%	0.56%	0.16%
Viking	1.64%	3.26%	4.33%	5.95%	6.87%	7.34%	8.04%	8.52%	8.99%	9.24%	8.75%	7.93%	6.80%	5.82%	4.21%	2.31%
Brann	3.94%	6.57%	7.38%	8.76%	9.69%	8.94%	9.19%	8.38%	8.23%	7.26%	6.48%	5.17%	4.29%	2.81%	2.01%	0.90%
Haugesund	9.00%	11.38%	11.86%	11.89%	10.02%	9.50%	7.70%	7.14%	5.92%	4.80%	3.69%	2.94%	2.00%	1.19%	0.64%	0.33%
Valerenga	5.29%	7.64%	9.46%	9.81%	10.10%	9.01%	9.49%	8.02%	7.51%	6.55%	5.34%	4.32%	3.23%	2.09%	1.54%	0.60%
Odd Grenland	0.93%	2.01%	2.95%	4.47%	5.05%	6.45%	7.34%	8.26%	8.94%	9.18%	9.22%	9.29%	8.60%	7.77%	6.04%	3.50%
Lillestrom	0.50%	1.00%	1.74%	2.53%	3.38%	4.32%	5.54%	6.91%	7.59%	9.08%	9.58%	10.38%	11.34%	10.53%	9.08%	6.50%
Aalesund	1.58%	3.62%	5.11%	6.02%	7.37%	8.38%	8.26%	9.00%	8.96%	8.66%	8.02%	7.22%	6.70%	5.12%	3.90%	2.08%
Sogndal	0.69%	1.28%	2.25%	3.39%	4.18%	5.43%	6.56%	7.48%	8.08%	8.66%	9.55%	10.15%	9.75%	9.55%	7.85%	5.15%
Honefoss	0.49%	0.86%	1.56%	2.31%	3.22%	4.03%	5.40%	6.46%	7.19%	8.21%	9.61%	10.46%	11.55%	11.57%	9.98%	7.10%
Sandnes Ulf	0.03%	0.11%	0.16%	0.51%	0.68%	0.97%	1.69%	1.93%	3.20%	3.85%	6.18%	7.66%	10.52%	14.55%	21.42%	26.54%
Fredrikstad	0.35%	0.79%	1.50%	2.15%	2.91%	4.15%	4.55%	6.11%	6.78%	8.34%	9.44%	10.75%	11.38%	12.32%	11.21%	7.27%
Stabaek	0.01%	0.08%	0.14%	0.19%	0.47%	0.76%	1.10%	1.42%	2.36%	3.03%	4.57%	6.69%	8.72%	13.26%	20.19%	37.01%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	99.8%	0.1%	<0.1%	0.1%
Molde	98.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.5%
Tromso	98.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.7%
Haugesund	97.8%	0.9%	0.3%	1.0%
Stromsgodset	96.8%	1.4%	0.4%	1.4%
Valerenga	95.8%	1.5%	0.6%	2.1%
Brann	94.3%	1.9%	0.9%	2.9%
Aalesund	88.9%	3.4%	1.7%	6.0%
Viking	87.7%	4.1%	1.8%	6.5%
Odd Grenland	82.7%	5.3%	2.4%	9.5%
Sogndal	77.5%	6.0%	3.5%	13.0%
Lillestrom	73.9%	7.0%	3.5%	15.6%
Honefoss	71.4%	6.4%	5.2%	17.1%
Fredrikstad	69.2%	7.0%	5.3%	18.5%
Sandnes Ulf	37.5%	8.6%	6.0%	48.0%
Stabaek	29.5%	6.0%	7.2%	57.2%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2012-03-23	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1519	1476	55.4%	22.1%	22.5%	+3.5	3
2012-03-23	@ Molde	L 1-2	1476	1519	22.5%	22.1%	55.4%	-3.5	0
2012-03-24	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1434	1449	47.4%	24.5%	28.1%	-0.7	1
2012-03-24	@ Honefoss	D 0-0	1449	1434	28.1%	24.5%	47.4%	+0.7	1
2012-03-25	Sogndal	L 0-4	1493	1448	55.7%	22.0%	22.3%	-27.8	0
2012-03-25	@ Odd Grenland	W 4-0	1448	1493	22.3%	22.0%	55.7%	+27.8	3
2012-03-25	Brann	W 3-1	1552	1483	58.8%	20.7%	20.5%	+5.4	3
2012-03-25	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1483	1552	20.5%	20.7%	58.8%	-5.4	0
2012-03-25	Aalesund	D 0-0	1452	1476	46.3%	24.7%	29.0%	-0.6	1
2012-03-25	@ Stabaek	D 0-0	1476	1452	29.0%	24.7%	46.3%	+0.6	1
2012-03-25	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1525	1458	58.6%	20.8%	20.6%	+3.3	3
2012-03-25	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1458	1525	20.6%	20.8%	58.6%	-3.3	0
2012-03-25	Haugesund	W 2-1	1520	1513	50.6%	23.7%	25.7%	+4.0	3
2012-03-25	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1513	1520	25.7%	23.7%	50.6%	-4.0	0
2012-03-26	Viking	D 2-2	1401	1469	39.9%	25.5%	34.6%	-0.1	1
2012-03-26	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 2-2	1469	1401	34.6%	25.5%	39.9%	+0.1	1
2012-03-30	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-1	1478	1401	60.0%	20.2%	19.8%	+5.2	3
2012-03-30	@ Brann	L 1-3	1401	1478	19.8%	20.2%	60.0%	-5.2	1
2012-03-31	Valerenga	W 3-2	1473	1524	42.4%	25.3%	32.3%	+4.6	3
2012-03-31	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-3	1524	1473	32.3%	25.3%	42.4%	-4.6	3
2012-04-01	Stabaek	W 5-1	1455	1452	50.1%	23.8%	26.1%	+12.7	3
2012-04-01	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-5	1452	1455	26.1%	23.8%	50.1%	-12.7	1
2012-04-01	Molde	W 2-0	1509	1522	47.7%	24.4%	27.9%	+8.5	3
2012-04-01	@ Haugesund	L 0-2	1522	1509	27.9%	24.4%	47.7%	-8.5	3
2012-04-01	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1450	1557	34.4%	25.5%	40.0%	+0.1	2
2012-04-01	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1557	1450	40.0%	25.5%	34.4%	-0.1	4
2012-04-01	Honefoss	D 0-0	1476	1433	55.5%	22.1%	22.5%	-1.2	4
2012-04-01	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1433	1476	22.5%	22.1%	55.5%	+1.2	2
2012-04-01	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1469	1465	50.1%	23.8%	26.1%	+4.2	4
2012-04-01	@ Viking	L 0-1	1465	1469	26.1%	23.8%	50.1%	-4.2	0
2012-04-02	Tromso	D 0-0	1477	1529	42.2%	25.3%	32.4%	-0.3	2
2012-04-02	@ Aalesund	D 0-0	1529	1477	32.4%	25.3%	42.2%	+0.3	4
2012-04-09	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1434	1468	44.9%	25.0%	30.1%	-0.5	3
2012-04-09	@ Honefoss	D 1-1	1468	1434	30.1%	25.0%	44.9%	+0.5	4
2012-04-09	Brann	W 2-1	1514	1483	53.8%	22.7%	23.6%	+3.6	6
2012-04-09	@ Molde	L 1-2	1483	1514	23.6%	22.7%	53.8%	-3.6	3
2012-04-09	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1461	1450	51.1%	23.5%	25.4%	+7.8	3
2012-04-09	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1450	1461	25.4%	23.5%	51.1%	-7.8	2
2012-04-09	Sogndal	D 0-0	1557	1475	60.6%	19.9%	19.5%	-1.5	5
2012-04-09	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1475	1557	19.5%	19.9%	60.6%	+1.5	5
2012-04-09	Aalesund	D 1-1	1395	1476	38.1%	25.6%	36.3%	-0.1	2
2012-04-09	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1476	1395	36.3%	25.6%	38.1%	+0.0	3
2012-04-09	Haugesund	D 3-3	1477	1517	44.0%	25.1%	30.9%	-0.2	4
2012-04-09	@ Stromsgodset	D 3-3	1517	1477	30.9%	25.1%	44.0%	+0.2	4
2012-04-09	Stabaek	W 3-0	1529	1439	61.7%	19.4%	18.9%	+8.3	7
2012-04-09	@ Tromso	L 0-3	1439	1529	18.9%	19.4%	61.7%	-8.3	1
2012-04-10	Viking	W 1-0	1519	1474	55.8%	21.9%	22.3%	+3.6	6
2012-04-10	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1474	1519	22.3%	21.9%	55.8%	-3.6	4
2012-04-13	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1468	1555	37.2%	25.6%	37.2%	-5.4	4
2012-04-13	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1555	1468	37.2%	25.6%	37.2%	+5.4	8
2012-04-15	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1476	1469	50.6%	23.7%	25.7%	+4.0	6
2012-04-15	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1469	1476	25.7%	23.7%	50.6%	-4.0	3
2012-04-15	Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1480	1477	50.0%	23.8%	26.2%	-6.7	3
2012-04-15	@ Brann	W 2-1	1477	1480	26.2%	23.8%	50.0%	+6.8	7
2012-04-15	Valerenga	D 1-1	1442	1523	38.2%	25.6%	36.2%	-0.1	3
2012-04-15	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1523	1442	36.2%	25.6%	38.2%	+0.1	7
2012-04-15	Haugesund	D 1-1	1476	1517	43.8%	25.1%	31.0%	-0.4	6
2012-04-15	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1517	1476	31.0%	25.1%	43.8%	+0.4	5
2012-04-15	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-1	1537	1395	68.1%	16.1%	15.8%	+3.9	10
2012-04-15	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1395	1537	15.8%	16.1%	68.1%	-3.9	2
2012-04-16	Honefoss	L 0-2	1431	1434	49.2%	24.1%	26.8%	-13.3	1
2012-04-16	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1434	1431	26.8%	24.1%	49.2%	+13.3	6
2012-04-16	Molde	W 1-0	1470	1517	42.9%	25.3%	31.8%	+5.0	7
2012-04-16	@ Viking	L 0-1	1517	1470	31.8%	25.3%	42.9%	-5.1	6
2012-04-20	Sogndal	L 0-2	1523	1476	56.0%	21.9%	22.2%	-14.7	7
2012-04-20	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	1476	1523	22.2%	21.9%	56.0%	+14.7	9
2012-04-21	Brann	W 2-1	1518	1473	55.7%	21.9%	22.3%	+3.4	8
2012-04-21	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1473	1518	22.3%	21.9%	55.7%	-3.4	3
2012-04-22	Aalesund	W 3-1	1447	1480	44.9%	25.0%	30.1%	+7.9	9
2012-04-22	@ Honefoss	L 1-3	1480	1447	30.1%	25.0%	44.9%	-7.9	6
2012-04-22	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1465	1463	49.9%	23.9%	26.2%	-0.7	4
2012-04-22	@ Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1463	1465	26.2%	23.9%	49.9%	+0.7	5
2012-04-22	Tromso	W 3-0	1561	1541	52.3%	23.2%	24.5%	+11.0	11
2012-04-22	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1541	1561	24.5%	23.2%	52.3%	-11.0	10
2012-04-22	Stabaek	W 2-1	1392	1417	46.0%	24.8%	29.2%	+4.4	5
2012-04-22	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-2	1417	1392	29.2%	24.8%	46.0%	-4.4	1
2012-04-22	Viking	W 1-0	1484	1475	50.8%	23.6%	25.6%	+4.2	10
2012-04-22	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1475	1484	25.6%	23.6%	50.8%	-4.2	7
2012-04-23	Lillestrom	W 3-2	1512	1442	59.0%	20.6%	20.4%	+2.9	9
2012-04-23	@ Molde	L 2-3	1442	1512	20.4%	20.6%	59.0%	-2.9	3
2012-04-27	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1472	1572	35.5%	25.6%	39.0%	+0.1	7
2012-04-27	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1572	1472	39.0%	25.6%	35.5%	-0.1	12
2012-04-28	Sandnes Ulf	L 3-4	1464	1396	58.8%	20.7%	20.5%	-7.1	5
2012-04-28	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-3	1396	1464	20.5%	20.7%	58.8%	+7.1	8
2012-04-28	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1439	1488	42.8%	25.3%	31.9%	-6.3	3
2012-04-28	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1488	1439	31.9%	25.3%	42.8%	+6.3	13
2012-04-28	Molde	W 2-1	1491	1515	46.2%	24.7%	29.1%	+4.4	12
2012-04-28	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1515	1491	29.1%	24.7%	46.2%	-4.4	9
2012-04-28	Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1413	1464	42.3%	25.3%	32.3%	-11.9	1
2012-04-28	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1464	1413	32.3%	25.3%	42.3%	+11.9	7
2012-04-28	Honefoss	D 0-0	1530	1455	59.7%	20.3%	20.0%	-1.4	11
2012-04-28	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1455	1530	20.0%	20.3%	59.7%	+1.4	10
2012-04-28	Haugesund	L 0-2	1471	1521	42.5%	25.3%	32.2%	-11.9	7
2012-04-28	@ Viking	W 2-0	1521	1471	32.2%	25.3%	42.5%	+11.9	11
2012-04-29	Valerenga	L 1-2	1469	1508	44.1%	25.1%	30.8%	-6.1	3
2012-04-29	@ Brann	W 2-1	1508	1469	30.8%	25.1%	44.1%	+6.1	10
2012-05-04	Stabaek	W 3-1	1572	1401	71.6%	14.2%	14.2%	+3.4	15
2012-05-04	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1401	1572	14.2%	14.2%	71.6%	-3.4	1
2012-05-05	Tromso	D 2-2	1476	1529	42.2%	25.4%	32.5%	-0.2	8
2012-05-05	@ Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1529	1476	32.5%	25.4%	42.2%	+0.2	12
2012-05-06	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1533	1433	62.9%	18.8%	18.3%	-1.5	12
2012-05-06	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1433	1533	18.3%	18.8%	62.9%	+1.5	4
2012-05-06	Aalesund	W 2-1	1511	1472	54.8%	22.3%	22.9%	+3.5	12
2012-05-06	@ Molde	L 1-2	1472	1511	22.9%	22.3%	54.8%	-3.5	7
2012-05-06	Honefoss	W 1-0	1403	1456	42.0%	25.4%	32.6%	+5.2	11
2012-05-06	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 0-1	1456	1403	32.6%	25.4%	42.0%	-5.2	10
2012-05-06	Sogndal	W 3-0	1494	1495	49.4%	24.0%	26.6%	+11.8	16
2012-05-06	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-3	1495	1494	26.6%	24.0%	49.4%	-11.8	12
2012-05-06	Fredrikstad	W 3-2	1514	1457	57.4%	21.3%	21.3%	+3.1	13
2012-05-06	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1457	1514	21.3%	21.3%	57.4%	-3.1	5
2012-05-07	Viking	D 0-0	1463	1459	50.2%	23.8%	26.0%	-0.8	4
2012-05-07	@ Brann	D 0-0	1459	1463	26.0%	23.8%	50.2%	+0.8	8
2012-05-12	Molde	L 0-5	1398	1514	33.2%	25.4%	41.4%	-23.0	1
2012-05-12	@ Stabaek	W 5-0	1514	1398	41.4%	25.4%	33.2%	+23.0	15
2012-05-12	Valerenga	W 3-1	1529	1517	51.2%	23.5%	25.3%	+6.7	15
2012-05-12	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1517	1529	25.3%	23.5%	51.2%	-6.7	13
2012-05-13	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1469	1506	44.4%	25.1%	30.6%	+8.0	10
2012-05-13	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1506	1469	30.6%	25.1%	44.4%	-8.0	16
2012-05-13	Haugesund	D 0-0	1453	1532	38.5%	25.6%	35.9%	-0.1	6
2012-05-13	@ Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1532	1453	35.9%	25.6%	38.5%	+0.1	13
2012-05-13	Odd Grenland	L 1-4	1451	1476	46.1%	24.8%	29.1%	-15.5	10
2012-05-13	@ Honefoss	W 4-1	1476	1451	29.1%	24.8%	46.1%	+15.5	11
2012-05-13	Brann	L 3-4	1435	1462	45.7%	24.8%	29.5%	-5.8	4
2012-05-13	@ Lillestrom	W 4-3	1462	1435	29.5%	24.8%	45.7%	+5.8	7
2012-05-13	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1408	1575	27.2%	24.2%	48.6%	+0.7	12
2012-05-13	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1575	1408	48.6%	24.2%	27.2%	-0.7	16
2012-05-13	Viking	L 1-2	1483	1460	52.8%	23.0%	24.2%	-7.0	12
2012-05-13	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	1460	1483	24.2%	23.0%	52.8%	+7.0	11
2012-05-16	Sogndal	W 5-0	1468	1476	48.5%	24.2%	27.3%	+19.5	10
2012-05-16	@ Brann	L 0-5	1476	1468	27.3%	24.2%	48.5%	-19.5	12
2012-05-16	Aalesund	W 4-2	1532	1477	57.1%	21.4%	21.5%	+5.1	16
2012-05-16	@ Haugesund	L 2-4	1477	1532	21.5%	21.4%	57.1%	-5.1	10
2012-05-16	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1537	1453	60.9%	19.8%	19.4%	+5.9	18
2012-05-16	@ Molde	L 0-2	1453	1537	19.4%	19.8%	60.9%	-5.9	6
2012-05-16	Sandnes Ulf	D 2-2	1491	1409	60.7%	19.9%	19.4%	-1.0	12
2012-05-16	@ Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1409	1491	19.4%	19.9%	60.7%	+1.0	13
2012-05-16	Honefoss	L 0-1	1574	1436	67.8%	16.3%	15.9%	-9.0	16
2012-05-16	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1436	1574	15.9%	16.3%	67.8%	+9.0	13
2012-05-16	Tromso	W 2-0	1498	1536	44.3%	25.1%	30.6%	+9.2	19
2012-05-16	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1536	1498	30.6%	25.1%	44.3%	-9.2	15
2012-05-16	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1467	1429	54.8%	22.3%	22.9%	-7.2	11
2012-05-16	@ Viking	W 2-1	1429	1467	22.9%	22.3%	54.8%	+7.2	7
2012-05-19	Stromsgodset	L 2-3	1448	1507	41.1%	25.4%	33.4%	-5.5	6
2012-05-19	@ Fredrikstad	W 3-2	1507	1448	33.4%	25.4%	41.1%	+5.5	22
2012-05-19	Valerenga	W 1-0	1445	1511	40.2%	25.5%	34.2%	+5.3	16
2012-05-19	@ Honefoss	L 0-1	1511	1445	34.2%	25.5%	40.2%	-5.4	13
2012-05-20	Brann	W 2-0	1472	1488	47.4%	24.5%	28.1%	+8.6	13
2012-05-20	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1488	1472	28.1%	24.5%	47.4%	-8.6	10
2012-05-20	Sogndal	W 1-0	1436	1457	46.7%	24.6%	28.7%	+4.6	10
2012-05-20	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1457	1436	28.7%	24.6%	46.7%	-4.6	12
2012-05-20	Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1566	1490	59.7%	20.3%	20.0%	-1.4	17
2012-05-20	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1490	1566	20.0%	20.3%	59.7%	+1.4	13
2012-05-20	Molde	L 0-2	1410	1543	31.1%	25.1%	43.8%	-9.3	13
2012-05-20	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 2-0	1543	1410	43.8%	25.1%	31.1%	+9.3	21
2012-05-20	Haugesund	L 0-2	1375	1537	27.7%	24.4%	47.9%	-8.5	1
2012-05-20	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1537	1375	47.9%	24.4%	27.7%	+8.5	19
2012-05-20	Viking	W 5-1	1526	1460	58.6%	20.8%	20.6%	+9.9	18
2012-05-20	@ Tromso	L 1-5	1460	1526	20.6%	20.8%	58.6%	-9.9	11
2012-05-23	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1479	1442	54.7%	22.3%	23.0%	+7.1	13
2012-05-23	@ Brann	L 0-2	1442	1479	23.0%	22.3%	54.7%	-7.1	6
2012-05-23	Sandnes Ulf	D 0-0	1452	1400	56.6%	21.6%	21.8%	-1.2	13
2012-05-23	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1400	1452	21.8%	21.6%	56.6%	+1.2	14
2012-05-23	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1513	1492	52.5%	23.1%	24.4%	+4.0	25
2012-05-23	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1492	1513	24.4%	23.1%	52.5%	-4.0	13
2012-05-23	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1505	1564	41.3%	25.4%	33.3%	-0.3	14
2012-05-23	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1564	1505	33.3%	25.4%	41.3%	+0.3	18
2012-05-23	Stabaek	W 1-0	1450	1366	60.8%	19.8%	19.4%	+3.1	14
2012-05-23	@ Viking	L 0-1	1366	1450	19.4%	19.8%	60.8%	-3.1	1
2012-05-24	Honefoss	D 1-1	1545	1450	62.3%	19.1%	18.6%	-1.4	20
2012-05-24	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1450	1545	18.6%	19.1%	62.3%	+1.4	17
2012-05-24	Aalesund	D 0-0	1441	1480	44.0%	25.1%	30.9%	-0.5	11
2012-05-24	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1480	1441	30.9%	25.1%	44.0%	+0.4	14
2012-05-24	Tromso	W 3-2	1552	1536	51.8%	23.3%	24.9%	+3.6	24
2012-05-24	@ Molde	L 2-3	1536	1552	24.9%	23.3%	51.8%	-3.6	18
2012-05-28	Molde	D 1-1	1451	1556	34.8%	25.6%	39.7%	+0.2	18
2012-05-28	@ Honefoss	D 1-1	1556	1451	39.7%	25.6%	34.8%	-0.1	25
2012-05-28	Haugesund	L 0-2	1402	1544	30.0%	24.9%	45.1%	-9.1	14
2012-05-28	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 2-0	1544	1402	45.1%	24.9%	30.0%	+9.1	23
2012-05-28	Lillestrom	W 4-1	1363	1440	38.6%	25.6%	35.8%	+12.8	4
2012-05-28	@ Stabaek	L 1-4	1440	1363	35.8%	25.6%	38.6%	-12.8	11
2012-05-28	Brann	W 2-0	1533	1486	55.9%	21.9%	22.2%	+6.8	21
2012-05-28	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1486	1533	22.2%	21.9%	55.9%	-6.8	13
2012-05-29	Viking	W 3-0	1435	1453	47.1%	24.6%	28.3%	+12.5	9
2012-05-29	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1453	1435	28.3%	24.6%	47.1%	-12.5	14
2012-06-24	Stabaek	L 1-2	1505	1376	66.6%	16.9%	16.5%	-8.4	14
2012-06-24	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1376	1505	16.5%	16.9%	66.6%	+8.4	7
2012-06-24	Sogndal	D 2-2	1481	1451	53.7%	22.7%	23.6%	-0.7	15
2012-06-24	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1451	1481	23.6%	22.7%	53.7%	+0.7	14
2012-06-24	Stromsgodset	D 3-3	1564	1517	56.1%	21.8%	22.1%	-0.7	19
2012-06-24	@ Rosenborg	D 3-3	1517	1564	22.1%	21.8%	56.1%	+0.7	26
2012-06-29	Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1452	1448	50.2%	23.8%	26.0%	-11.7	14
2012-06-29	@ Sogndal	W 3-1	1448	1452	26.0%	23.8%	50.2%	+11.7	12
2012-06-30	Stabaek	W 2-1	1479	1384	62.3%	19.1%	18.6%	+2.8	16
2012-06-30	@ Brann	L 1-2	1384	1479	18.6%	19.1%	62.3%	-2.8	7
2012-06-30	Tromso	D 1-1	1553	1540	51.5%	23.4%	25.1%	-0.8	24
2012-06-30	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1540	1553	25.1%	23.4%	51.5%	+0.8	22
2012-06-30	Sandnes Ulf	L 1-3	1427	1393	54.3%	22.5%	23.2%	-12.5	11
2012-06-30	@ Lillestrom	W 3-1	1393	1427	23.2%	22.5%	54.3%	+12.5	17
2012-06-30	Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1556	1488	58.8%	20.7%	20.5%	+5.4	28
2012-06-30	@ Molde	L 1-3	1488	1556	20.5%	20.7%	58.8%	-5.4	13
2012-06-30	Honefoss	W 4-0	1517	1452	58.5%	20.8%	20.7%	+12.0	29
2012-06-30	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-4	1452	1517	20.7%	20.8%	58.5%	-12.0	18
2012-06-30	Rosenborg	L 1-4	1440	1564	32.3%	25.3%	42.4%	-11.8	14
2012-06-30	@ Viking	W 4-1	1564	1440	42.4%	25.3%	32.3%	+11.8	22
2012-07-02	Aalesund	D 0-0	1497	1480	51.9%	23.3%	24.8%	-1.0	15
2012-07-02	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1480	1497	24.8%	23.3%	51.9%	+0.9	16
2012-07-07	Brann	W 2-1	1440	1482	43.6%	25.2%	31.2%	+4.7	21
2012-07-07	@ Honefoss	L 1-2	1482	1440	31.2%	25.2%	43.6%	-4.7	16
2012-07-07	Sogndal	D 1-1	1540	1440	63.0%	18.8%	18.2%	-1.5	23
2012-07-07	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1440	1540	18.2%	18.8%	63.0%	+1.5	15
2012-07-08	Viking	D 1-1	1481	1428	56.8%	21.6%	21.7%	-1.1	17
2012-07-08	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1428	1481	21.7%	21.6%	56.8%	+1.1	15
2012-07-08	Haugesund	W 2-1	1482	1552	39.7%	25.6%	34.8%	+5.1	16
2012-07-08	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1552	1482	34.8%	25.6%	39.7%	-5.1	24
2012-07-08	Molde	W 1-0	1575	1561	51.5%	23.4%	25.1%	+4.1	25
2012-07-08	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1561	1575	25.1%	23.4%	51.5%	-4.1	28
2012-07-08	Valerenga	L 0-2	1405	1496	36.7%	25.6%	37.7%	-10.7	17
2012-07-08	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 2-0	1496	1405	37.7%	25.6%	36.7%	+10.7	18
2012-07-08	Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1381	1529	29.3%	24.8%	45.9%	-4.4	7
2012-07-08	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1529	1381	45.9%	24.8%	29.3%	+4.4	32
2012-07-09	Lillestrom	L 3-4	1459	1415	55.6%	22.0%	22.4%	-6.8	12
2012-07-09	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-3	1415	1459	22.4%	22.0%	55.6%	+6.8	14
2012-07-11	Valerenga	L 2-3	1488	1506	47.0%	24.6%	28.5%	-6.1	16
2012-07-11	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-2	1506	1488	28.5%	24.6%	47.0%	+6.1	21
2012-07-13	Tromso	W 4-2	1422	1539	33.1%	25.4%	41.5%	+9.0	17
2012-07-13	@ Lillestrom	L 2-4	1539	1422	41.5%	25.4%	33.1%	-9.1	23
2012-07-14	Molde	L 1-2	1512	1557	43.3%	25.2%	31.5%	-6.0	21
2012-07-14	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1557	1512	31.5%	25.2%	43.3%	+6.0	31
2012-07-15	Fredrikstad	W 3-0	1480	1452	53.4%	22.8%	23.8%	+10.6	20
2012-07-15	@ Aalesund	L 0-3	1452	1480	23.8%	22.8%	53.4%	-10.7	12
2012-07-15	Odd Grenland	W 6-2	1478	1481	49.0%	24.1%	26.9%	+11.0	19
2012-07-15	@ Brann	L 2-6	1481	1478	26.9%	24.1%	49.0%	-11.0	16
2012-07-15	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1547	1580	45.0%	24.9%	30.0%	-6.6	24
2012-07-15	@ Haugesund	W 1-0	1580	1547	30.0%	24.9%	45.0%	+6.6	28
2012-07-15	Stabaek	W 3-1	1441	1377	58.3%	20.9%	20.8%	+5.5	18
2012-07-15	@ Sogndal	L 1-3	1377	1441	20.8%	20.9%	58.3%	-5.5	7
2012-07-15	Honefoss	W 2-1	1430	1444	47.5%	24.5%	28.0%	+4.3	18
2012-07-15	@ Viking	L 1-2	1444	1430	28.0%	24.5%	47.5%	-4.3	21
2012-07-16	Sandnes Ulf	W 2-1	1534	1394	67.8%	16.3%	15.9%	+2.3	35
2012-07-16	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1394	1534	15.9%	16.3%	67.8%	-2.3	17
2012-07-20	Sogndal	D 0-0	1541	1447	62.1%	19.2%	18.7%	-1.6	25
2012-07-20	@ Haugesund	D 0-0	1447	1541	18.7%	19.2%	62.1%	+1.6	19
2012-07-21	Viking	L 1-2	1563	1434	66.6%	16.9%	16.5%	-8.4	31
2012-07-21	@ Molde	W 2-1	1434	1563	16.5%	16.9%	66.6%	+8.4	21
2012-07-22	Aalesund	W 2-1	1489	1491	49.3%	24.0%	26.7%	+4.1	22
2012-07-22	@ Brann	L 1-2	1491	1489	26.7%	24.0%	49.3%	-4.1	20
2012-07-22	Honefoss	L 0-2	1442	1440	49.8%	23.9%	26.3%	-13.5	12
2012-07-22	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1440	1442	26.3%	23.9%	49.8%	+13.5	24
2012-07-22	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1470	1536	40.3%	25.5%	34.2%	+5.0	19
2012-07-22	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1536	1470	34.2%	25.5%	40.3%	-5.0	35
2012-07-22	Valerenga	L 1-3	1371	1506	30.8%	25.1%	44.0%	-8.0	7
2012-07-22	@ Stabaek	W 3-1	1506	1371	44.0%	25.1%	30.8%	+8.0	24
2012-07-23	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1586	1431	69.8%	15.2%	15.0%	-1.8	29
2012-07-23	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1431	1586	15.0%	15.2%	69.8%	+1.8	18
2012-07-27	Fredrikstad	W 5-0	1531	1428	63.3%	18.6%	18.1%	+12.6	38
2012-07-27	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-5	1428	1531	18.1%	18.6%	63.3%	-12.6	12
2012-07-28	Molde	D 1-1	1432	1555	32.4%	25.3%	42.2%	+0.3	19
2012-07-28	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1555	1432	42.2%	25.3%	32.4%	-0.3	32
2012-07-29	Stabaek	W 3-1	1487	1363	65.9%	17.3%	16.8%	+4.3	23
2012-07-29	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1363	1487	16.8%	17.3%	65.9%	-4.3	7
2012-07-29	Haugesund	W 3-2	1454	1539	37.5%	25.6%	36.9%	+5.1	27
2012-07-29	@ Honefoss	L 2-3	1539	1454	36.9%	25.6%	37.5%	-5.1	25
2012-07-29	Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1448	1475	45.8%	24.8%	29.4%	-6.7	19
2012-07-29	@ Sogndal	W 1-0	1475	1448	29.4%	24.8%	45.8%	+6.7	22
2012-07-29	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1530	1584	41.9%	25.4%	32.7%	-0.3	24
2012-07-29	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1584	1530	32.7%	25.4%	41.9%	+0.3	30
2012-07-29	Sandnes Ulf	W 5-0	1442	1392	56.4%	21.7%	21.9%	+15.7	24
2012-07-29	@ Viking	L 0-5	1392	1442	21.9%	21.7%	56.4%	-15.7	17
2012-07-30	Brann	D 1-1	1514	1493	52.6%	23.1%	24.3%	-0.9	25
2012-07-30	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1493	1514	24.3%	23.1%	52.6%	+0.9	23
2012-08-03	Valerenga	W 4-2	1534	1514	52.4%	23.1%	24.5%	+5.8	28
2012-08-03	@ Haugesund	L 2-4	1514	1534	24.5%	23.1%	52.4%	-5.8	25
2012-08-04	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1459	1544	37.5%	25.6%	36.9%	-0.0	28
2012-08-04	@ Honefoss	D 1-1	1544	1459	36.9%	25.6%	37.5%	+0.0	39
2012-08-04	Sogndal	W 2-1	1555	1442	64.6%	18.0%	17.5%	+2.6	35
2012-08-04	@ Molde	L 1-2	1442	1555	17.5%	18.0%	64.6%	-2.6	19
2012-08-05	Tromso	W 2-0	1416	1530	33.5%	25.5%	41.0%	+11.6	15
2012-08-05	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1530	1416	41.0%	25.5%	33.5%	-11.6	24
2012-08-05	Viking	L 1-4	1482	1458	52.9%	22.9%	24.1%	-17.3	22
2012-08-05	@ Odd Grenland	W 4-1	1458	1482	24.1%	22.9%	52.9%	+17.3	27
2012-08-05	Aalesund	W 3-0	1585	1491	62.2%	19.2%	18.7%	+8.1	33
2012-08-05	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1491	1585	18.7%	19.2%	62.2%	-8.1	23
2012-08-05	Lillestrom	L 0-1	1376	1433	41.6%	25.4%	33.0%	-6.2	17
2012-08-05	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 1-0	1433	1376	33.0%	25.4%	41.6%	+6.2	22
2012-08-06	Brann	L 0-4	1359	1494	30.9%	25.1%	44.0%	-17.7	7
2012-08-06	@ Stabaek	W 4-0	1494	1359	44.0%	25.1%	30.9%	+17.7	26
2012-08-10	Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1508	1465	55.5%	22.1%	22.5%	+6.0	28
2012-08-10	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1465	1508	22.5%	22.1%	55.5%	-6.0	22
2012-08-11	Haugesund	W 3-2	1511	1540	45.6%	24.9%	29.5%	+4.2	29
2012-08-11	@ Brann	L 2-3	1540	1511	29.5%	24.9%	45.6%	-4.2	28
2012-08-12	Molde	L 0-1	1483	1557	39.0%	25.6%	35.4%	-5.9	23
2012-08-12	@ Aalesund	W 1-0	1557	1483	35.4%	25.6%	39.0%	+5.9	38
2012-08-12	Honefoss	D 2-2	1439	1459	46.9%	24.6%	28.5%	-0.4	23
2012-08-12	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1459	1439	28.5%	24.6%	46.9%	+0.4	29
2012-08-12	Rosenborg	L 0-3	1439	1593	28.7%	24.6%	46.7%	-12.7	19
2012-08-12	@ Sogndal	W 3-0	1593	1439	46.7%	24.6%	28.7%	+12.7	36
2012-08-12	Sandnes Ulf	W 2-1	1341	1370	45.6%	24.9%	29.6%	+4.5	10
2012-08-12	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1370	1341	29.6%	24.9%	45.6%	-4.5	17
2012-08-12	Stromsgodset	W 4-0	1518	1544	46.0%	24.8%	29.2%	+16.8	27
2012-08-12	@ Tromso	L 0-4	1544	1518	29.2%	24.8%	46.0%	-16.8	39
2012-08-12	Fredrikstad	W 3-0	1475	1427	56.1%	21.8%	22.1%	+9.8	30
2012-08-12	@ Viking	L 0-3	1427	1475	22.1%	21.8%	56.1%	-9.8	15
2012-08-24	Brann	W 1-0	1459	1515	41.6%	25.4%	33.0%	+5.2	25
2012-08-24	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1515	1459	33.0%	25.4%	41.6%	-5.2	29
2012-08-25	Lillestrom	D 3-3	1527	1439	61.4%	19.5%	19.1%	-0.9	40
2012-08-25	@ Stromsgodset	D 3-3	1439	1527	19.1%	19.5%	61.4%	+0.9	24
2012-08-26	Stabaek	W 4-1	1535	1346	73.8%	13.0%	13.2%	+4.5	31
2012-08-26	@ Haugesund	L 1-4	1346	1535	13.2%	13.0%	73.8%	-4.5	10
2012-08-26	Tromso	L 0-1	1459	1535	38.8%	25.6%	35.6%	-5.9	29
2012-08-26	@ Honefoss	W 1-0	1535	1459	35.6%	25.6%	38.8%	+5.9	30
2012-08-26	Valerenga	W 2-0	1563	1514	56.3%	21.7%	22.0%	+6.7	41
2012-08-26	@ Molde	L 0-2	1514	1563	22.0%	21.7%	56.3%	-6.7	28
2012-08-26	Viking	D 1-1	1605	1485	65.5%	17.5%	17.0%	-1.6	37
2012-08-26	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1485	1605	17.0%	17.5%	65.5%	+1.6	31
2012-08-26	Sogndal	W 3-1	1366	1426	41.0%	25.5%	33.5%	+8.6	20
2012-08-26	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-3	1426	1366	33.5%	25.5%	41.0%	-8.6	19
2012-08-27	Aalesund	L 1-3	1417	1477	41.2%	25.4%	33.4%	-10.1	15
2012-08-27	@ Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1477	1417	33.4%	25.4%	41.2%	+10.1	26
2012-08-31	Sandnes Ulf	W 4-0	1507	1374	67.0%	16.7%	16.3%	+9.0	31
2012-08-31	@ Valerenga	L 0-4	1374	1507	16.3%	16.7%	67.0%	-9.0	20
2012-09-01	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1439	1407	54.0%	22.6%	23.4%	-7.2	24
2012-09-01	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1407	1439	23.4%	22.6%	54.0%	+7.2	18
2012-09-02	Honefoss	W 2-0	1487	1453	54.2%	22.5%	23.3%	+7.2	29
2012-09-02	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1453	1487	23.3%	22.5%	54.2%	-7.2	29
2012-09-02	Molde	W 4-1	1510	1570	41.2%	25.4%	33.4%	+12.1	32
2012-09-02	@ Brann	L 1-4	1570	1510	33.4%	25.4%	41.2%	-12.1	41
2012-09-02	Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1540	1464	59.8%	20.2%	19.9%	-8.2	31
2012-09-02	@ Haugesund	W 1-0	1464	1540	19.9%	20.2%	59.8%	+8.2	28
2012-09-02	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1418	1526	34.3%	25.5%	40.2%	+0.2	20
2012-09-02	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1526	1418	40.2%	25.5%	34.3%	-0.2	41
2012-09-02	Tromso	L 0-1	1487	1541	41.9%	25.4%	32.7%	-6.2	31
2012-09-02	@ Viking	W 1-0	1541	1487	32.7%	25.4%	41.9%	+6.2	33
2012-09-03	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1341	1604	19.1%	19.5%	61.4%	-5.8	10
2012-09-03	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1604	1341	61.4%	19.5%	19.1%	+5.8	40
2012-09-14	Aalesund	W 4-0	1526	1494	54.0%	22.6%	23.4%	+13.7	44
2012-09-14	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-4	1494	1526	23.4%	22.6%	54.0%	-13.7	29
2012-09-15	Haugesund	W 1-0	1558	1532	53.2%	22.9%	24.0%	+3.9	44
2012-09-15	@ Molde	L 0-1	1532	1558	24.0%	22.9%	53.2%	-3.9	31
2012-09-16	Sogndal	W 2-1	1415	1418	49.1%	24.1%	26.8%	+4.1	21
2012-09-16	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1418	1415	26.8%	24.1%	49.1%	-4.1	20
2012-09-16	Viking	D 2-2	1446	1480	44.8%	25.0%	30.2%	-0.3	30
2012-09-16	@ Honefoss	D 2-2	1480	1446	30.2%	25.0%	44.8%	+0.3	32
2012-09-16	Stabaek	L 1-2	1472	1336	67.5%	16.4%	16.0%	-8.4	28
2012-09-16	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1336	1472	16.0%	16.4%	67.5%	+8.4	13
2012-09-16	Valerenga	W 3-0	1610	1516	62.1%	19.2%	18.7%	+8.1	43
2012-09-16	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1516	1610	18.7%	19.2%	62.1%	-8.2	31
2012-09-16	Brann	D 3-3	1365	1522	28.3%	24.5%	47.2%	+0.4	21
2012-09-16	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 3-3	1522	1365	47.2%	24.5%	28.3%	-0.4	33
2012-09-17	Lillestrom	W 5-1	1547	1432	64.8%	17.9%	17.3%	+8.1	36
2012-09-17	@ Tromso	L 1-5	1432	1547	17.3%	17.9%	64.8%	-8.1	24
2012-09-21	Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1481	1540	41.3%	25.4%	33.3%	+4.7	35
2012-09-21	@ Viking	L 2-3	1540	1481	33.3%	25.4%	41.3%	-4.7	44
2012-09-22	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1480	1424	57.2%	21.4%	21.4%	-7.5	29
2012-09-22	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1424	1480	21.4%	21.4%	57.2%	+7.5	27
2012-09-23	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1522	1618	36.0%	25.6%	38.4%	+5.5	36
2012-09-23	@ Brann	L 1-2	1618	1522	38.4%	25.6%	36.0%	-5.5	43
2012-09-23	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-2	1528	1366	70.6%	14.8%	14.6%	+2.0	34
2012-09-23	@ Haugesund	L 2-3	1366	1528	14.6%	14.8%	70.6%	-2.0	21
2012-09-23	Molde	D 0-0	1464	1562	35.7%	25.6%	38.7%	+0.1	29
2012-09-23	@ Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1562	1464	38.7%	25.6%	35.7%	-0.1	45
2012-09-23	Tromso	W 1-0	1414	1555	30.1%	25.0%	44.9%	+6.6	23
2012-09-23	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	1555	1414	44.9%	25.0%	30.1%	-6.6	36
2012-09-23	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1344	1419	39.0%	25.6%	35.4%	-5.9	13
2012-09-23	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1419	1344	35.4%	25.6%	39.0%	+5.9	24
2012-09-24	Honefoss	W 3-2	1508	1446	58.0%	21.0%	20.9%	+3.0	34
2012-09-24	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1446	1508	20.9%	21.0%	58.0%	-3.0	30
2012-09-28	Haugesund	W 5-2	1612	1530	60.7%	19.9%	19.5%	+6.2	46
2012-09-28	@ Rosenborg	L 2-5	1530	1612	19.5%	19.9%	60.7%	-6.2	34
2012-09-29	Viking	D 0-0	1432	1485	42.0%	25.4%	32.6%	-0.3	28
2012-09-29	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1485	1432	32.6%	25.4%	42.0%	+0.3	36
2012-09-30	Sogndal	D 0-0	1443	1421	52.6%	23.1%	24.3%	-1.0	31
2012-09-30	@ Honefoss	D 0-0	1421	1443	24.3%	23.1%	52.6%	+1.0	24
2012-09-30	Stabaek	W 4-3	1561	1338	77.4%	10.9%	11.7%	+1.4	48
2012-09-30	@ Molde	L 3-4	1338	1561	11.7%	10.9%	77.4%	-1.4	13
2012-09-30	Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1364	1464	35.4%	25.6%	39.1%	+0.1	22
2012-09-30	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 0-0	1464	1364	39.1%	25.6%	35.4%	-0.1	30
2012-09-30	Brann	W 2-0	1535	1528	50.6%	23.7%	25.7%	+7.9	47
2012-09-30	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1528	1535	25.7%	23.7%	50.6%	-7.9	36
2012-09-30	Aalesund	W 1-0	1549	1473	59.8%	20.3%	19.9%	+3.2	39
2012-09-30	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1473	1549	19.9%	20.3%	59.8%	-3.2	29
2012-10-01	Valerenga	L 1-2	1425	1511	37.3%	25.6%	37.1%	-5.4	24
2012-10-01	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1511	1425	37.1%	25.6%	37.3%	+5.4	37
2012-10-05	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1516	1543	45.9%	24.8%	29.3%	-0.5	38
2012-10-05	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1543	1516	29.3%	24.8%	45.9%	+0.5	48
2012-10-06	Aalesund	D 1-1	1486	1470	51.8%	23.3%	24.9%	-0.9	37
2012-10-06	@ Viking	D 1-1	1470	1486	24.9%	23.3%	51.8%	+0.9	30
2012-10-07	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1524	1419	63.5%	18.5%	18.0%	+2.8	37
2012-10-07	@ Haugesund	L 0-1	1419	1524	18.0%	18.5%	63.5%	-2.9	24
2012-10-07	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-2	1563	1364	74.8%	12.4%	12.8%	+1.6	51
2012-10-07	@ Molde	L 2-3	1364	1563	12.8%	12.4%	74.8%	-1.7	22
2012-10-07	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1464	1619	28.5%	24.6%	46.8%	-4.6	30
2012-10-07	@ Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1619	1464	46.8%	24.6%	28.5%	+4.6	49
2012-10-07	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1422	1431	48.2%	24.3%	27.5%	+4.5	27
2012-10-07	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	1431	1422	27.5%	24.3%	48.2%	-4.5	28
2012-10-07	Tromso	L 0-1	1337	1552	22.7%	22.2%	55.1%	-3.7	13
2012-10-07	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1552	1337	55.1%	22.2%	22.7%	+3.7	42
2012-10-08	Honefoss	W 3-2	1520	1442	60.1%	20.1%	19.8%	+2.8	39
2012-10-08	@ Brann	L 2-3	1442	1520	19.8%	20.1%	60.1%	-2.8	31
2012-10-19	Sandnes Ulf	W 2-0	1623	1362	81.2%	8.8%	10.0%	+2.6	52
2012-10-19	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1362	1623	10.0%	8.8%	81.2%	-2.6	22
2012-10-20	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1427	1459	45.0%	24.9%	30.0%	-0.5	29
2012-10-20	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1459	1427	30.0%	24.9%	45.0%	+0.5	31
2012-10-21	Valerenga	W 3-1	1470	1516	43.2%	25.2%	31.6%	+8.2	33
2012-10-21	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1516	1470	31.6%	25.2%	43.2%	-8.2	38
2012-10-21	Stabaek	D 0-0	1439	1333	63.7%	18.4%	17.9%	-1.7	32
2012-10-21	@ Honefoss	D 0-0	1333	1439	17.9%	18.4%	63.7%	+1.7	14
2012-10-21	Molde	D 1-1	1543	1565	46.6%	24.7%	28.7%	-0.5	49
2012-10-21	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1565	1543	28.7%	24.7%	46.6%	+0.5	52
2012-10-21	Haugesund	W 2-0	1555	1526	53.6%	22.7%	23.7%	+7.3	45
2012-10-21	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1526	1555	23.7%	22.7%	53.6%	-7.3	37
2012-10-21	Sogndal	W 2-1	1485	1426	57.6%	21.2%	21.2%	+3.2	40
2012-10-21	@ Viking	L 1-2	1426	1485	21.2%	21.2%	57.6%	-3.2	27
2012-10-22	Brann	L 3-4	1416	1522	34.5%	25.5%	39.9%	-4.7	24
2012-10-22	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-3	1522	1416	39.9%	25.5%	34.5%	+4.7	42
2012-10-26	Stromsgodset	L 2-3	1519	1543	46.3%	24.7%	29.0%	-6.0	37
2012-10-26	@ Haugesund	W 3-2	1543	1519	29.0%	24.7%	46.3%	+6.0	52
2012-10-27	Fredrikstad	W 5-1	1360	1412	42.3%	25.3%	32.4%	+15.3	25
2012-10-27	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-5	1412	1360	32.4%	25.3%	42.3%	-15.3	24
2012-10-28	Rosenborg	W 2-0	1565	1626	41.0%	25.5%	33.5%	+9.9	55
2012-10-28	@ Molde	L 0-2	1626	1565	33.5%	25.5%	41.0%	-9.9	52
2012-10-28	Honefoss	W 4-0	1460	1437	52.7%	23.0%	24.3%	+14.2	34
2012-10-28	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-4	1437	1460	24.3%	23.0%	52.7%	-14.2	32
2012-10-28	Aalesund	D 1-1	1423	1479	41.7%	25.4%	32.9%	-0.3	28
2012-10-28	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1479	1423	32.9%	25.4%	41.7%	+0.3	34
2012-10-28	Viking	L 0-1	1335	1488	28.7%	24.6%	46.6%	-4.6	14
2012-10-28	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1488	1335	46.6%	24.6%	28.7%	+4.6	43
2012-10-28	Tromso	W 1-0	1508	1563	41.8%	25.4%	32.8%	+5.2	41
2012-10-28	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1563	1508	32.8%	25.4%	41.8%	-5.2	45
2012-10-29	Lillestrom	L 2-3	1527	1426	63.0%	18.7%	18.2%	-7.6	42
2012-10-29	@ Brann	W 3-2	1426	1527	18.2%	18.7%	63.0%	+7.6	32
2012-11-02	Odd Grenland	W 4-2	1396	1474	38.6%	25.6%	35.8%	+8.1	27
2012-11-02	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-4	1474	1396	35.8%	25.6%	38.6%	-8.1	34
2012-11-03	Molde	D 1-1	1558	1575	47.1%	24.5%	28.3%	-0.6	46
2012-11-03	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1575	1558	28.3%	24.5%	47.1%	+0.6	56
2012-11-04	Haugesund	D 2-2	1479	1513	44.8%	25.0%	30.2%	-0.3	35
2012-11-04	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1513	1479	30.2%	25.0%	44.8%	+0.3	38
2012-11-04	Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1423	1375	56.1%	21.8%	22.1%	-1.1	33
2012-11-04	@ Honefoss	D 1-1	1375	1423	22.1%	21.8%	56.1%	+1.1	26
2012-11-04	Stabaek	W 6-0	1434	1330	63.4%	18.5%	18.0%	+14.9	35
2012-11-04	@ Lillestrom	L 0-6	1330	1434	18.0%	18.5%	63.4%	-14.9	14
2012-11-04	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1549	1616	40.1%	25.5%	34.4%	+5.1	55
2012-11-04	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1616	1549	34.4%	25.5%	40.1%	-5.1	52
2012-11-04	Brann	W 2-1	1493	1520	45.8%	24.8%	29.4%	+4.5	46
2012-11-04	@ Viking	L 1-2	1520	1493	29.4%	24.8%	45.8%	-4.5	42
2012-11-05	Valerenga	W 1-0	1422	1513	36.8%	25.6%	37.6%	+5.8	31
2012-11-05	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	1513	1422	37.6%	25.6%	36.8%	-5.8	41
2012-11-07	Tromso	W 5-1	1376	1557	25.8%	23.7%	50.5%	+21.5	29
2012-11-07	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-5	1557	1376	50.5%	23.7%	25.8%	-21.5	46
2012-11-11	Tromso	L 0-2	1515	1535	46.8%	24.6%	28.6%	-12.8	42
2012-11-11	@ Brann	W 2-0	1535	1515	28.6%	24.6%	46.8%	+12.8	49
2012-11-11	Viking	W 1-0	1513	1497	51.8%	23.3%	24.9%	+4.1	41
2012-11-11	@ Haugesund	L 0-1	1497	1513	24.9%	23.3%	51.8%	-4.1	46
2012-11-11	Honefoss	W 1-0	1576	1422	69.6%	15.3%	15.1%	+2.3	59
2012-11-11	@ Molde	L 0-1	1422	1576	15.1%	15.3%	69.6%	-2.3	33
2012-11-11	Aalesund	W 3-0	1466	1479	47.8%	24.4%	27.8%	+12.3	37
2012-11-11	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-3	1479	1466	27.8%	24.4%	47.8%	-12.3	35
2012-11-11	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1611	1404	75.6%	11.9%	12.4%	-9.6	52
2012-11-11	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1404	1611	12.4%	11.9%	75.6%	+9.6	30
2012-11-11	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1398	1554	28.4%	24.6%	47.0%	+6.4	32
2012-11-11	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-2	1554	1398	47.0%	24.6%	28.4%	-6.4	55
2012-11-11	Sogndal	W 2-1	1315	1428	33.6%	25.5%	40.9%	+5.8	17
2012-11-11	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1428	1315	40.9%	25.5%	33.6%	-5.8	31
2012-11-11	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1507	1449	57.5%	21.3%	21.3%	-7.5	41
2012-11-11	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1449	1507	21.3%	21.3%	57.5%	+7.5	38
2012-11-18	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-1	1466	1404	58.0%	21.0%	20.9%	+5.5	38
2012-11-18	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1404	1466	20.9%	21.0%	58.0%	-5.5	32
2012-11-18	Molde	L 0-2	1414	1578	27.6%	24.3%	48.1%	-8.4	30
2012-11-18	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1578	1414	48.1%	24.3%	27.6%	+8.4	62
2012-11-18	Rosenborg	L 1-4	1420	1601	25.7%	23.7%	50.6%	-9.7	33
2012-11-18	@ Honefoss	W 4-1	1601	1420	50.6%	23.7%	25.7%	+9.7	55
2012-11-18	Haugesund	D 0-0	1456	1517	41.0%	25.5%	33.6%	-0.2	39
2012-11-18	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1517	1456	33.6%	25.5%	41.0%	+0.2	42
2012-11-18	Brann	W 2-0	1422	1502	38.2%	25.6%	36.1%	+10.5	34
2012-11-18	@ Sogndal	L 0-2	1502	1422	36.1%	25.6%	38.2%	-10.5	42
2012-11-18	Stabaek	W 3-1	1547	1321	77.8%	10.7%	11.5%	+2.6	58
2012-11-18	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1321	1547	11.5%	10.7%	77.8%	-2.6	17
2012-11-18	Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1548	1478	59.1%	20.6%	20.3%	-8.1	49
2012-11-18	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1478	1548	20.3%	20.6%	59.1%	+8.1	40
2012-11-18	Valerenga	W 2-1	1493	1499	48.7%	24.2%	27.1%	+4.2	49
2012-11-18	@ Viking	L 1-2	1499	1493	27.1%	24.2%	48.7%	-4.2	41

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2012-11-11	12.44%	Fredrikstad	1404	1	@ Rosenborg	1611	0
2	2012-05-16	15.92%	Honefoss	1436	1	@ Rosenborg	1574	0
3	2012-09-16	16.04%	Stabaek	1336	2	@ Odd Grenland	1472	1
4	2012-07-21	16.46%	Viking	1434	2	@ Molde	1563	1
5	2012-06-24	16.47%	Stabaek	1376	2	@ Valerenga	1505	1
6	2012-10-29	18.22%	Lillestrom	1426	3	@ Brann	1527	2
7	2012-09-02	19.94%	Odd Grenland	1464	1	@ Haugesund	1540	0
8	2012-11-18	20.35%	Odd Grenland	1478	1	@ Tromso	1548	0
9	2012-04-28	20.53%	Sandnes Ulf	1396	4	@ Fredrikstad	1464	3
10	2012-11-11	21.27%	Lillestrom	1449	2	@ Valerenga	1507	1
11	2012-09-22	21.42%	Lillestrom	1424	2	@ Aalesund	1480	1
12	2012-04-20	22.16%	Sogndal	1476	2	@ Valerenga	1523	0
13	2012-03-25	22.33%	Sogndal	1448	4	@ Odd Grenland	1493	0
14	2012-07-09	22.37%	Lillestrom	1415	4	@ Fredrikstad	1459	3
15	2012-05-16	22.89%	Lillestrom	1429	2	@ Viking	1467	1
16	2012-06-30	23.19%	Sandnes Ulf	1393	3	@ Lillestrom	1427	1
17	2012-09-01	23.42%	Fredrikstad	1407	2	@ Lillestrom	1439	1
18	2012-08-05	24.12%	Viking	1458	4	@ Odd Grenland	1482	1
19	2012-05-13	24.18%	Viking	1460	2	@ Sogndal	1483	1
20	2012-11-07	25.81%	@ Sandnes Ulf	1376	5	Tromso	1557	1
21	2012-06-29	26.04%	Fredrikstad	1448	3	@ Sogndal	1452	1
22	2012-04-15	26.18%	Stromsgodset	1477	2	@ Brann	1480	1
23	2012-07-22	26.28%	Honefoss	1440	2	@ Fredrikstad	1442	0
24	2012-04-16	26.78%	Honefoss	1434	2	@ Stabaek	1431	0
25	2012-11-11	28.38%	@ Sandnes Ulf	1398	2	Stromsgodset	1554	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-03-25	27.83	Sogndal	4	1448	22.33%	@ Odd Grenland	0	1493	55.71%
2	2012-05-12	23.05	Molde	5	1514	41.41%	@ Stabaek	0	1398	33.16%
3	2012-11-07	21.50	@ Sandnes Ulf	5	1376	25.81%	Tromso	1	1557	50.49%
4	2012-05-16	19.54	@ Brann	5	1468	48.47%	Sogndal	0	1476	27.29%
5	2012-08-06	17.66	Brann	4	1494	43.98%	@ Stabaek	0	1359	30.90%
6	2012-08-05	17.27	Viking	4	1458	24.12%	@ Odd Grenland	1	1482	52.93%
7	2012-08-12	16.84	@ Tromso	4	1518	45.99%	Stromsgodset	0	1544	29.23%
8	2012-07-29	15.71	@ Viking	5	1442	56.41%	Sandnes Ulf	0	1392	21.91%
9	2012-05-13	15.53	Odd Grenland	4	1476	29.11%	@ Honefoss	1	1451	46.14%
10	2012-10-27	15.30	@ Sandnes Ulf	5	1360	42.26%	Fredrikstad	1	1412	32.40%
11	2012-11-04	14.93	@ Lillestrom	6	1434	63.43%	Stabaek	0	1330	18.02%
12	2012-04-20	14.72	Sogndal	2	1476	22.16%	@ Valerenga	0	1523	55.98%
13	2012-10-28	14.17	@ Odd Grenland	4	1460	52.70%	Honefoss	0	1437	24.27%
14	2012-09-14	13.68	@ Stromsgodset	4	1526	53.97%	Aalesund	0	1494	23.43%
15	2012-07-22	13.46	Honefoss	2	1440	26.28%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1442	49.83%
16	2012-04-16	13.32	Honefoss	2	1434	26.78%	@ Stabaek	0	1431	49.16%
17	2012-11-11	12.81	Tromso	2	1535	28.62%	@ Brann	0	1515	46.75%
18	2012-05-28	12.80	@ Stabaek	4	1363	38.63%	Lillestrom	1	1440	35.77%
19	2012-08-12	12.67	Rosenborg	3	1593	46.69%	@ Sogndal	0	1439	28.67%
20	2012-04-01	12.67	@ Fredrikstad	5	1455	50.09%	Stabaek	1	1452	26.09%
21	2012-07-27	12.64	@ Stromsgodset	5	1531	63.28%	Fredrikstad	0	1428	18.10%
22	2012-05-29	12.55	@ Fredrikstad	3	1435	47.10%	Viking	0	1453	28.34%
23	2012-06-30	12.47	Sandnes Ulf	3	1393	23.19%	@ Lillestrom	1	1427	54.34%
24	2012-11-11	12.33	@ Odd Grenland	3	1466	47.80%	Aalesund	0	1479	27.80%
25	2012-09-02	12.13	@ Brann	4	1510	41.17%	Molde	1	1570	33.38%