2011 Tippeligaen Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Molde

58 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Molde

12.62 points above expected

58 points · 45.38 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sarpsborg 08

12.41 points below expected

21 points · 33.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Molde 30 17 7 6 58 54 38 +16 45.38 +12.62
2 Tromso 30 15 8 7 53 56 34 +22 44.51 +8.49
3 Rosenborg 30 14 7 9 49 69 44 +25 55.30 -6.30
4 Brann 30 14 6 10 48 51 49 +2 42.39 +5.61
5 Odd Grenland 30 14 6 10 48 44 44 0 42.94 +5.06
6 Haugesund 30 14 5 11 47 55 43 +12 45.11 +1.89
7 Valerenga 30 14 5 11 47 42 33 +9 48.47 -1.47
8 Stromsgodset 30 12 9 9 45 44 43 +1 38.76 +6.24
9 Aalesund 30 12 7 11 43 36 38 -2 41.15 +1.85
10 Stabaek 30 11 6 13 39 44 50 -6 37.94 +1.06
11 Viking 30 9 10 11 37 33 40 -7 38.47 -1.47
12 Fredrikstad 30 10 6 14 36 38 41 -3 38.82 -2.82
13 Lillestrom 30 9 7 14 34 46 52 -6 41.84 -7.84
14 Sogndal 30 8 10 12 34 24 31 -7 34.67 -0.67
15 Start 30 7 5 18 26 39 61 -22 37.02 -11.02
16 Sarpsborg 08 30 5 6 19 21 31 65 -34 33.41 -12.41

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rosenborg 1633 49 55.30 -6.30 20.0% 28 44 51 55 60 67 78
Valerenga 1578 47 48.47 -1.47 44.6% 22 37 44 49 53 60 74
Molde 1574 58 45.38 +12.62 96.7% 20 34 41 45 50 57 76
Tromso 1569 53 44.51 +8.49 89.7% 20 33 40 44 49 56 70
Haugesund 1566 47 45.11 +1.89 63.2% 21 34 40 45 50 57 71
Odd Grenland 1535 48 42.94 +5.06 79.1% 17 32 38 43 48 54 73
Brann 1514 48 42.39 +5.61 81.1% 17 31 38 42 47 54 72
Aalesund 1504 43 41.15 +1.85 63.7% 17 30 36 41 46 53 70
Stromsgodset 1494 45 38.76 +6.24 83.9% 14 28 34 39 43 50 71
Viking 1485 37 38.47 -1.47 44.9% 15 28 34 38 43 50 68
Fredrikstad 1478 36 38.82 -2.82 37.5% 12 28 34 39 43 50 65
Lillestrom 1459 34 41.84 -7.84 14.7% 16 30 37 42 47 54 69
Stabaek 1458 39 37.94 +1.06 59.8% 12 27 33 38 43 49 68
Sogndal 1457 34 34.67 -0.67 49.3% 11 24 30 35 39 46 65
Start 1416 26 37.02 -11.02 5.7% 14 26 32 37 42 49 63
Sarpsborg 08 1363 21 33.41 -12.41 3.1% 11 23 29 33 38 45 59

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL BRA FRE HAU LIL MOL OG ROS S0 SOG STA STA STR TRO VAL VIK
Aalesund
1-1-0
2.73
0-0-2
3.00
1-0-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.88
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
3.25
1-1-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.98
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
3.07
Brann
0-1-1
2.80
0-0-2
3.06
1-1-0
2.59
2-0-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.75
2-0-0
1.89
2-0-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.27
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.11
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
3.11
Fredrikstad
2-0-0
2.54
2-0-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
1.83
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.89
0-1-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-0
2.18
0-0-2
2.83
Haugesund
1-0-1
3.09
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.19
2-0-0
3.24
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.14
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
3.25
Lillestrom
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.72
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
2.82
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
1.82
2-0-0
3.21
0-0-2
3.38
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.90
Molde
2-0-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.73
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.31
2-0-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.84
2-0-0
2.60
0-2-0
3.08
Odd Grenland
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
2.79
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.36
1-1-0
3.02
Rosenborg
1-1-0
3.59
0-0-2
3.69
1-0-1
3.77
0-1-1
3.37
1-1-0
3.74
2-0-0
3.31
1-1-0
3.49
2-0-0
4.14
1-1-0
4.09
0-0-2
3.89
1-1-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.88
1-0-1
3.40
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.79
Sarpsborg 08
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.47
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.99
0-2-0
2.19
Sogndal
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.09
2-0-0
2.17
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.59
0-2-0
2.21
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.55
Stabaek
0-0-2
2.57
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
1.70
1-1-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.88
Start
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.78
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
2.07
1-1-0
2.65
Stromsgodset
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
1.70
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.23
1-1-0
2.83
Tromso
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.15
1-1-0
3.58
0-2-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.17
Valerenga
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
3.17
0-0-2
3.39
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
2.95
0-1-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.62
2-0-0
3.51
0-1-1
3.32
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.36
Viking
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.65
0-2-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
1.79
0-2-0
3.34
1-1-0
2.99
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.20

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.48 +6.1
Allowed 0.41 -6.7
Differential 0.83 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.58%8.75%8.12%1.67%0.83%1.04%25.00%
18.75%11.25%5.62%5.00%1.67%0.83%33.12%
28.12%5.62%5.42%2.29%1.46%0.62%23.54%
31.67%5.00%2.29%1.25%0.21%0.42%10.83%
40.83%1.67%1.46%0.21%0.42%4.58%
5+1.04%0.83%0.62%0.42%2.92%
Total25.00%33.12%23.54%10.83%4.58%2.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.31 1.31 1.90
CV 0.89 0.89
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%6.67%26.67%
113.33%6.67%3.33%10.00%33.33%
210.00%10.00%10.00%3.33%33.33%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
4
5+
Total30.00%33.33%23.33%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.27 -0.07
SD 0.92 1.20 1.41
CV 0.77 0.95
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%20.00%
16.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%30.00%
213.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%30.00%
36.67%3.33%10.00%
43.33%3.33%
5+6.67%6.67%
Total23.33%33.33%10.00%23.33%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.63 +0.07
SD 1.47 1.35 1.84
CV 0.86 0.83
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%10.00%26.67%
110.00%13.33%10.00%6.67%40.00%
23.33%6.67%3.33%6.67%20.00%
36.67%6.67%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+
Total16.67%43.33%26.67%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.37 -0.10
SD 1.14 0.93 1.42
CV 0.90 0.68
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
110.00%10.00%10.00%30.00%
26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%
Total26.67%36.67%13.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.43 +0.40
SD 1.51 1.33 2.16
CV 0.82 0.93
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%13.33%10.00%40.00%
116.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
26.67%3.33%10.00%
36.67%3.33%10.00%
46.67%3.33%10.00%
5+6.67%6.67%
Total10.00%43.33%23.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.73 -0.20
SD 1.83 1.23 2.35
CV 1.20 0.71
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
110.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
26.67%13.33%13.33%33.33%
33.33%13.33%3.33%20.00%
4
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%
Total26.67%36.67%26.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.27 +0.53
SD 1.35 1.14 1.87
CV 0.75 0.90
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%3.33%16.67%
126.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%46.67%
23.33%3.33%10.00%16.67%
310.00%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+
Total30.00%26.67%23.33%16.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.50 1.89
CV 0.77 1.02
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%
16.67%10.00%6.67%23.33%
213.33%3.33%6.67%23.33%
310.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+6.67%3.33%10.00%
Total26.67%30.00%26.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.30 1.47 +0.83
SD 1.74 1.38 2.31
CV 0.76 0.94
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%40.00%
13.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%26.67%
26.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%23.33%
33.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
4
5+
Total13.33%26.67%26.67%10.00%13.33%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 2.17 -1.13
SD 1.03 1.62 1.89
CV 1.00 0.75
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%10.00%3.33%46.67%
110.00%13.33%6.67%3.33%33.33%
26.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
4
5+
Total36.67%36.67%20.00%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.03 -0.23
SD 0.92 1.10 1.52
CV 1.16 1.06
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%26.67%
13.33%13.33%10.00%3.33%30.00%
26.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%23.33%
33.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+
Total13.33%43.33%23.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.67 -0.20
SD 1.28 1.42 1.88
CV 0.87 0.85
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%13.33%3.33%23.33%
13.33%13.33%13.33%3.33%10.00%6.67%50.00%
23.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total16.67%23.33%30.00%10.00%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 2.03 -0.73
SD 1.24 1.56 2.21
CV 0.95 0.77
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%10.00%20.00%
113.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%36.67%
23.33%6.67%13.33%3.33%26.67%
33.33%10.00%13.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total23.33%36.67%30.00%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.43 +0.03
SD 1.17 1.33 1.77
CV 0.80 0.93
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%6.67%16.67%
16.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%26.67%
216.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%30.00%
310.00%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total33.33%33.33%20.00%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 1.13 +0.73
SD 1.43 1.04 1.78
CV 0.77 0.92
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%13.33%
110.00%13.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%46.67%
223.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total36.67%26.67%30.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.10 +0.30
SD 0.93 1.06 1.62
CV 0.67 0.97
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%30.00%
113.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%33.33%
210.00%3.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%33.33%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total36.67%20.00%23.33%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.33 -0.23
SD 0.88 1.30 1.59
CV 0.80 0.97
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Molde 58 45.38 +12.62
2 Tromso 53 44.51 +8.49
3 Stromsgodset 45 38.76 +6.24
4 Brann 48 42.39 +5.61
5 Odd Grenland 48 42.94 +5.06

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sarpsborg 08 21 33.41 -12.41
2 Start 26 37.02 -11.02
3 Lillestrom 34 41.84 -7.84
4 Rosenborg 49 55.30 -6.30
5 Fredrikstad 36 38.82 -2.82

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odd Grenland 5 Sep 11 – Oct 2 1 in 138
2 Molde 5 Jun 29 – Aug 4 1 in 82
3 Stabaek 4 Jul 17 – Aug 13 1 in 47
4 Valerenga 4 Sep 18 – Oct 14 1 in 41
5 Stromsgodset 3 Apr 10 – Apr 25 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lillestrom 6 Aug 22 – Sep 30 1 in 298
2 Sarpsborg 08 7 Jul 3 – Sep 12 1 in 110
3 Odd Grenland 4 Jun 30 – Jul 31 1 in 56
4 Start 5 Jul 17 – Aug 21 1 in 44
5 Stabaek 4 Aug 28 – Sep 24 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odd Grenland 9 Sep 11 – Nov 20 1 in 81
2 Tromso 10 Mar 20 – Jun 16 1 in 50
3 Molde 10 Aug 22 – Nov 20 1 in 31
4 Brann 7 Jul 31 – Sep 16 1 in 30
5 Aalesund 6 Sep 29 – Oct 30 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sarpsborg 08 21 May 28 – Nov 20 1 in 1,459
2 Lillestrom 11 Aug 22 – Nov 27 1 in 221
3 Start 9 Jun 19 – Aug 21 1 in 35
4 Valerenga 6 Apr 8 – May 19 1 in 28
5 Viking 8 Apr 11 – Jun 13 1 in 28

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Molde6.98%11.33%11.49%10.86%9.63%8.79%7.46%6.86%6.06%5.03%4.38%3.34%3.10%2.29%1.47%0.93%
Tromso6.10%10.18%10.15%9.95%9.41%8.56%8.21%6.60%6.57%5.40%5.05%4.15%3.61%2.76%2.04%1.26%
Rosenborg52.74%19.45%9.97%6.36%3.94%2.69%1.77%1.13%0.77%0.54%0.26%0.21%0.14%0.01%0.02%
Brann2.78%5.88%7.02%7.62%8.27%8.53%8.19%7.91%7.51%7.58%6.57%6.24%5.58%4.46%3.34%2.52%
Odd Grenland3.24%5.89%7.93%8.51%8.76%8.39%8.08%8.60%7.87%7.00%5.74%5.80%4.76%4.02%3.18%2.23%
Haugesund6.14%10.38%11.50%10.81%9.67%8.71%7.88%7.37%5.77%5.37%4.32%3.96%3.14%2.36%1.66%0.96%
Valerenga13.37%17.93%14.32%11.55%8.95%7.60%6.24%5.13%4.08%2.90%2.56%2.08%1.35%1.04%0.51%0.39%
Stromsgodset0.84%2.40%3.41%3.98%4.89%6.38%6.39%6.90%7.77%8.64%8.43%8.51%8.61%8.86%7.57%6.42%
Aalesund1.92%3.95%5.55%6.39%7.25%7.31%8.07%8.17%8.26%7.87%7.64%7.21%6.42%5.87%4.86%3.26%
Stabaek0.75%1.61%2.71%3.49%4.47%4.80%6.13%6.39%7.09%7.34%8.83%9.06%9.55%9.86%9.08%8.84%
Viking0.79%1.71%2.75%4.23%4.63%5.72%6.27%6.78%7.74%7.59%8.50%8.60%9.14%9.34%8.53%7.68%
Fredrikstad0.96%2.33%3.32%4.11%4.69%6.17%6.78%6.99%7.05%8.30%8.30%9.00%8.68%8.58%8.23%6.51%
Lillestrom2.56%4.53%6.13%6.99%8.03%7.88%7.90%8.05%7.79%7.48%7.12%6.63%5.81%5.35%4.73%3.02%
Sogndal0.22%0.57%1.01%1.37%2.29%2.55%3.29%4.47%5.06%6.30%8.25%8.56%10.51%12.37%15.21%17.97%
Start0.54%1.46%2.12%2.60%3.55%4.05%4.75%5.72%6.50%7.31%7.75%9.22%10.15%10.85%12.01%11.42%
Sarpsborg 080.07%0.40%0.62%1.18%1.57%1.87%2.59%2.93%4.11%5.35%6.30%7.43%9.45%11.99%17.57%26.57%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.75%
Strong Edge
52.92%22.92%24.17%
Elo Value
Home Edge
184 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0102.78500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.51 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.56+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
7%
Molde, 3rd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.51 * Some Luck: 5.51 to 8.27 * Lucky: 8.27 to 11.03 * Wild Swing: 11.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.62 * Close: 2.62 to 3.92 * Off: 3.92 to 5.23 * Way Off: 5.23 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.73 points
Some Luck
06.8917
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.12
Pinpoint
03.278
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
96.71%
Molde
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
3.11%
Sarpsborg 08
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.20
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Strong Edge
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Occasional
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.96
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.72
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.039
Well Within Noise
00.1000.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Rosenborg 99.97% 0.03%
Valerenga 99.10% 0.90%
Molde 97.60% 2.40%
Haugesund 97.38% 2.62%
Tromso 96.70% 3.30%
Odd Grenland 94.59% 5.41%
Brann 94.14% 5.86%
Lillestrom 92.25% 7.75%
Aalesund 91.88% 8.12%
Stromsgodset 86.01% 13.99%
Fredrikstad 85.26% 14.74%
Viking 83.79% 16.21%
Stabaek 82.08% 17.92%
Start 76.57% 23.43%
Sogndal 66.82% 33.18%
Sarpsborg 08 55.86% 44.14%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2011-03-18 Molde W 3-0 1456 1514 44.3% 24.0% 31.7% +12.4 3
2011-03-18 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-3 1514 1456 31.7% 24.0% 44.3% -12.4 0
2011-03-19 Valerenga L 0-2 1491 1567 41.8% 24.2% 34.0% -10.6 0
2011-03-19 @ Viking W 2-0 1567 1491 34.0% 24.2% 41.8% +10.6 3
2011-03-20 Haugesund W 2-0 1493 1537 46.1% 23.9% 30.0% +8.2 3
2011-03-20 @ Tromso L 0-2 1537 1493 30.0% 23.9% 46.1% -8.2 0
2011-03-20 Lillestrom L 0-7 1488 1495 51.0% 23.2% 25.8% -40.0 0
2011-03-20 @ Stabaek W 7-0 1495 1488 25.8% 23.2% 51.0% +40.0 3
2011-03-20 Rosenborg W 2-1 1502 1618 36.0% 24.3% 39.7% +5.1 3
2011-03-20 @ Brann L 1-2 1618 1502 39.7% 24.3% 36.0% -5.1 0
2011-03-20 Sogndal W 2-1 1469 1451 54.2% 22.5% 23.3% +3.3 3
2011-03-20 @ Stromsgodset L 1-2 1451 1469 23.3% 22.5% 54.2% -3.3 0
2011-03-20 Start L 0-2 1527 1484 57.3% 21.7% 21.0% -13.7 0
2011-03-20 @ Odd Grenland W 2-0 1484 1527 21.0% 21.7% 57.3% +13.7 3
2011-03-21 Fredrikstad L 1-2 1512 1480 55.9% 22.1% 22.0% -6.7 0
2011-03-21 @ Aalesund W 2-1 1480 1512 22.0% 22.1% 55.9% +6.7 3
2011-04-01 Aalesund W 2-0 1577 1505 60.7% 20.7% 18.6% +5.2 6
2011-04-01 @ Valerenga L 0-2 1505 1577 18.6% 20.7% 60.7% -5.2 0
2011-04-02 Viking L 0-1 1486 1481 52.7% 22.8% 24.5% -6.8 3
2011-04-02 @ Fredrikstad W 1-0 1481 1486 24.5% 22.8% 52.7% +6.8 3
2011-04-03 Odd Grenland L 1-4 1448 1514 43.1% 24.1% 32.8% -13.3 0
2011-04-03 @ Sogndal W 4-1 1514 1448 32.8% 24.1% 43.1% +13.3 3
2011-04-03 Sarpsborg 08 W 4-2 1529 1469 59.2% 21.1% 19.6% +4.3 3
2011-04-03 @ Haugesund L 2-4 1469 1529 19.6% 21.1% 59.2% -4.3 3
2011-04-03 Stabaek L 1-2 1613 1448 70.4% 16.9% 12.7% -8.1 0
2011-04-03 @ Rosenborg W 2-1 1448 1613 12.7% 16.9% 70.4% +8.1 3
2011-04-03 Stromsgodset W 5-1 1498 1472 55.1% 22.3% 22.6% +10.0 6
2011-04-03 @ Start L 1-5 1472 1498 22.6% 22.3% 55.1% -10.0 3
2011-04-03 Tromso D 2-2 1501 1501 51.9% 23.0% 25.1% -0.6 1
2011-04-03 @ Molde D 2-2 1501 1501 25.1% 23.0% 51.9% +0.6 4
2011-04-04 Brann L 1-4 1535 1507 55.4% 22.2% 22.4% -16.3 3
2011-04-04 @ Lillestrom W 4-1 1507 1535 22.4% 22.2% 55.4% +16.3 6
2011-04-08 Valerenga W 1-0 1456 1582 34.6% 24.2% 41.2% +5.5 6
2011-04-08 @ Stabaek L 0-1 1582 1456 41.2% 24.2% 34.6% -5.6 6
2011-04-09 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1524 1480 57.4% 21.7% 20.9% -7.3 6
2011-04-09 @ Brann W 1-0 1480 1524 20.9% 21.7% 57.4% +7.3 6
2011-04-10 Haugesund W 1-0 1500 1533 47.6% 23.7% 28.7% +4.2 3
2011-04-10 @ Aalesund L 0-1 1533 1500 28.7% 23.7% 47.6% -4.2 3
2011-04-10 Lillestrom D 4-4 1605 1519 62.2% 20.2% 17.6% -0.7 1
2011-04-10 @ Rosenborg D 4-4 1519 1605 17.6% 20.2% 62.2% +0.7 4
2011-04-10 Odd Grenland W 2-0 1462 1527 43.2% 24.1% 32.6% +8.8 6
2011-04-10 @ Stromsgodset L 0-2 1527 1462 32.6% 24.1% 43.2% -8.8 3
2011-04-10 Sogndal W 1-0 1465 1435 55.7% 22.1% 22.2% +3.3 6
2011-04-10 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1435 1465 22.2% 22.1% 55.7% -3.3 0
2011-04-10 Start W 2-0 1502 1508 51.2% 23.1% 25.7% +7.1 7
2011-04-10 @ Tromso L 0-2 1508 1502 25.7% 23.1% 51.2% -7.1 6
2011-04-11 Molde D 2-2 1487 1501 50.2% 23.3% 26.5% -0.5 4
2011-04-11 @ Viking D 2-2 1501 1487 26.5% 23.3% 50.2% +0.5 2
2011-04-15 Brann D 3-3 1529 1516 53.5% 22.7% 23.8% -0.5 4
2011-04-15 @ Haugesund D 3-3 1516 1529 23.8% 22.7% 53.5% +0.5 7
2011-04-16 Viking W 4-0 1500 1487 53.7% 22.6% 23.7% +12.6 9
2011-04-16 @ Start L 0-4 1487 1500 23.7% 22.6% 53.7% -12.6 4
2011-04-17 Aalesund D 2-2 1518 1504 53.8% 22.6% 23.6% -0.7 4
2011-04-17 @ Odd Grenland D 2-2 1504 1518 23.6% 22.6% 53.8% +0.6 4
2011-04-17 Lillestrom D 1-1 1577 1520 58.9% 21.2% 19.8% -1.2 7
2011-04-17 @ Valerenga D 1-1 1520 1577 19.8% 21.2% 58.9% +1.2 5
2011-04-17 Sarpsborg 08 W 5-2 1471 1468 52.3% 22.9% 24.8% +7.3 9
2011-04-17 @ Stromsgodset L 2-5 1468 1471 24.8% 22.9% 52.3% -7.3 6
2011-04-17 Stabaek W 3-2 1501 1462 56.8% 21.8% 21.3% +2.8 5
2011-04-17 @ Molde L 2-3 1462 1501 21.3% 21.8% 56.8% -2.8 6
2011-04-17 Tromso D 0-0 1431 1509 41.4% 24.2% 34.3% -0.2 1
2011-04-17 @ Sogndal D 0-0 1509 1431 34.3% 24.2% 41.4% +0.2 8
2011-04-18 Rosenborg W 2-0 1487 1604 35.8% 24.3% 39.9% +10.2 9
2011-04-18 @ Fredrikstad L 0-2 1604 1487 39.9% 24.3% 35.8% -10.2 1
2011-04-25 Fredrikstad W 3-1 1459 1497 46.9% 23.8% 29.3% +6.9 9
2011-04-25 @ Stabaek L 1-3 1497 1459 29.3% 23.8% 46.9% -6.9 9
2011-04-25 Haugesund W 5-0 1521 1528 51.0% 23.2% 25.9% +16.8 8
2011-04-25 @ Lillestrom L 0-5 1528 1521 25.9% 23.2% 51.0% -16.8 4
2011-04-25 Molde L 1-3 1517 1504 53.6% 22.6% 23.8% -11.2 7
2011-04-25 @ Brann W 3-1 1504 1517 23.8% 22.6% 53.6% +11.2 8
2011-04-25 Odd Grenland W 2-1 1509 1518 50.8% 23.2% 26.0% +3.6 11
2011-04-25 @ Tromso L 1-2 1518 1509 26.0% 23.2% 50.8% -3.6 4
2011-04-25 Sogndal W 1-0 1505 1431 60.8% 20.6% 18.5% +2.8 7
2011-04-25 @ Aalesund L 0-1 1431 1505 18.5% 20.6% 60.8% -2.8 1
2011-04-25 Start W 2-0 1461 1513 44.9% 24.0% 31.1% +8.4 9
2011-04-25 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1513 1461 31.1% 24.0% 44.9% -8.4 9
2011-04-25 Stromsgodset L 0-1 1474 1478 51.4% 23.1% 25.5% -6.7 4
2011-04-25 @ Viking W 1-0 1478 1474 25.5% 23.1% 51.4% +6.6 12
2011-04-25 Valerenga W 2-0 1594 1576 54.2% 22.5% 23.3% +6.5 4
2011-04-25 @ Rosenborg L 0-2 1576 1594 23.3% 22.5% 54.2% -6.5 7
2011-05-06 Lillestrom D 1-1 1490 1538 45.6% 23.9% 30.4% -0.4 10
2011-05-06 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1538 1490 30.4% 23.9% 45.6% +0.4 9
2011-05-07 Brann L 0-2 1569 1506 59.7% 21.0% 19.3% -14.2 7
2011-05-07 @ Valerenga W 2-0 1506 1569 19.3% 21.0% 59.7% +14.2 10
2011-05-08 Aalesund L 2-3 1505 1507 51.6% 23.0% 25.4% -6.0 9
2011-05-08 @ Start W 3-2 1507 1505 25.4% 23.0% 51.6% +6.0 10
2011-05-08 Rosenborg L 0-2 1515 1600 40.4% 24.3% 35.4% -10.3 8
2011-05-08 @ Molde W 2-0 1600 1515 35.4% 24.3% 40.4% +10.3 7
2011-05-08 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1514 1469 57.5% 21.7% 20.8% +3.1 7
2011-05-08 @ Odd Grenland L 0-1 1469 1514 20.8% 21.7% 57.5% -3.1 9
2011-05-08 Stabaek L 3-4 1512 1466 57.6% 21.6% 20.8% -6.4 4
2011-05-08 @ Haugesund W 4-3 1466 1512 20.8% 21.6% 57.6% +6.4 12
2011-05-08 Tromso D 1-1 1485 1513 48.3% 23.6% 28.1% -0.6 13
2011-05-08 @ Stromsgodset D 1-1 1513 1485 28.1% 23.6% 48.3% +0.6 12
2011-05-09 Viking D 0-0 1428 1468 46.8% 23.8% 29.5% -0.5 2
2011-05-09 @ Sogndal D 0-0 1468 1428 29.5% 23.8% 46.8% +0.5 5
2011-05-16 Haugesund L 0-1 1611 1505 64.3% 19.4% 16.2% -8.0 7
2011-05-16 @ Rosenborg W 1-0 1505 1611 16.2% 19.4% 64.3% +8.0 7
2011-05-16 Molde L 0-3 1538 1505 56.1% 22.0% 21.9% -19.6 9
2011-05-16 @ Lillestrom W 3-0 1505 1538 21.9% 22.0% 56.1% +19.6 11
2011-05-16 Odd Grenland D 1-1 1468 1517 45.4% 23.9% 30.6% -0.4 6
2011-05-16 @ Viking D 1-1 1517 1468 30.6% 23.9% 45.4% +0.4 8
2011-05-16 Sarpsborg 08 D 2-2 1513 1466 57.8% 21.6% 20.6% -0.8 13
2011-05-16 @ Tromso D 2-2 1466 1513 20.6% 21.6% 57.8% +0.8 10
2011-05-16 Sogndal L 0-1 1472 1428 57.4% 21.7% 20.9% -7.3 12
2011-05-16 @ Stabaek W 1-0 1428 1472 20.9% 21.7% 57.4% +7.3 5
2011-05-16 Start W 2-1 1520 1499 54.6% 22.4% 23.0% +3.2 13
2011-05-16 @ Brann L 1-2 1499 1520 23.0% 22.4% 54.6% -3.2 9
2011-05-16 Stromsgodset W 2-1 1513 1484 55.6% 22.2% 22.3% +3.1 13
2011-05-16 @ Aalesund L 1-2 1484 1513 22.3% 22.2% 55.6% -3.1 13
2011-05-16 Valerenga W 3-1 1490 1555 43.2% 24.1% 32.7% +7.6 13
2011-05-16 @ Fredrikstad L 1-3 1555 1490 32.7% 24.1% 43.2% -7.6 7
2011-05-19 Aalesund W 2-0 1467 1516 45.3% 23.9% 30.7% +8.3 13
2011-05-19 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1516 1467 30.7% 23.9% 45.3% -8.3 13
2011-05-19 Brann W 1-0 1481 1523 46.4% 23.8% 29.8% +4.3 16
2011-05-19 @ Stromsgodset L 0-1 1523 1481 29.8% 23.8% 46.4% -4.3 13
2011-05-19 Fredrikstad W 2-1 1524 1497 55.3% 22.2% 22.4% +3.2 14
2011-05-19 @ Molde L 1-2 1497 1524 22.4% 22.2% 55.3% -3.2 13
2011-05-19 Lillestrom W 2-0 1435 1519 40.6% 24.3% 35.1% +9.3 8
2011-05-19 @ Sogndal L 0-2 1519 1435 35.1% 24.3% 40.6% -9.3 9
2011-05-19 Rosenborg D 1-1 1495 1603 37.2% 24.3% 38.5% +0.0 10
2011-05-19 @ Start D 1-1 1603 1495 38.5% 24.3% 37.2% -0.0 8
2011-05-19 Stabaek L 2-3 1518 1465 58.4% 21.4% 20.2% -6.6 8
2011-05-19 @ Odd Grenland W 3-2 1465 1518 20.2% 21.4% 58.4% +6.6 15
2011-05-19 Valerenga D 1-1 1513 1547 47.4% 23.7% 28.9% -0.5 8
2011-05-19 @ Haugesund D 1-1 1547 1513 28.9% 23.7% 47.4% +0.5 8
2011-05-19 Viking W 3-1 1512 1468 57.5% 21.7% 20.9% +5.1 16
2011-05-19 @ Tromso L 1-3 1468 1512 20.9% 21.7% 57.5% -5.1 6
2011-05-28 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1485 1494 50.8% 23.2% 26.0% +3.8 19
2011-05-28 @ Stromsgodset L 0-1 1494 1485 26.0% 23.2% 50.8% -3.8 13
2011-05-28 Lillestrom L 2-4 1475 1509 47.4% 23.7% 28.9% -9.1 13
2011-05-28 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 4-2 1509 1475 28.9% 23.7% 47.4% +9.1 12
2011-05-29 Brann W 4-0 1517 1519 51.8% 23.0% 25.2% +13.3 19
2011-05-29 @ Tromso L 0-4 1519 1517 25.2% 23.0% 51.8% -13.3 13
2011-05-29 Molde W 5-0 1513 1528 50.0% 23.3% 26.7% +17.3 11
2011-05-29 @ Haugesund L 0-5 1528 1513 26.7% 23.3% 50.0% -17.3 14
2011-05-29 Stabaek L 2-4 1496 1472 54.9% 22.3% 22.7% -10.3 10
2011-05-29 @ Start W 4-2 1472 1496 22.7% 22.3% 54.9% +10.3 18
2011-05-29 Valerenga L 0-1 1444 1548 37.7% 24.3% 38.0% -5.2 8
2011-05-29 @ Sogndal W 1-0 1548 1444 38.0% 24.3% 37.7% +5.2 11
2011-05-29 Viking W 2-0 1508 1463 57.6% 21.6% 20.8% +5.9 16
2011-05-29 @ Aalesund L 0-2 1463 1508 20.8% 21.6% 57.6% -5.9 6
2011-05-30 Rosenborg D 3-3 1511 1603 39.4% 24.3% 36.3% -0.1 9
2011-05-30 @ Odd Grenland D 3-3 1603 1511 36.3% 24.3% 39.4% +0.0 9
2011-06-10 Sogndal W 2-0 1505 1439 60.0% 20.9% 19.1% +5.4 16
2011-06-10 @ Brann L 0-2 1439 1505 19.1% 20.9% 60.0% -5.4 8
2011-06-13 Aalesund L 1-2 1482 1514 47.7% 23.7% 28.6% -5.9 18
2011-06-13 @ Stabaek W 2-1 1514 1482 28.6% 23.7% 47.7% +5.9 19
2011-06-13 Odd Grenland D 1-1 1518 1511 52.9% 22.8% 24.3% -0.8 13
2011-06-13 @ Lillestrom D 1-1 1511 1518 24.3% 22.8% 52.9% +0.8 10
2011-06-13 Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1490 1466 55.0% 22.3% 22.7% -0.9 14
2011-06-13 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1466 1490 22.7% 22.3% 55.0% +1.0 14
2011-06-13 Start W 5-1 1510 1485 55.1% 22.3% 22.6% +10.1 17
2011-06-13 @ Molde L 1-5 1485 1510 22.6% 22.3% 55.1% -10.0 10
2011-06-13 Viking W 2-0 1530 1457 60.8% 20.7% 18.6% +5.2 14
2011-06-13 @ Haugesund L 0-2 1457 1530 18.6% 20.7% 60.8% -5.2 6
2011-06-16 Brann W 3-0 1452 1511 44.0% 24.1% 31.9% +12.5 9
2011-06-16 @ Viking L 0-3 1511 1452 31.9% 24.1% 44.0% -12.5 16
2011-06-16 Fredrikstad W 3-2 1475 1489 50.1% 23.3% 26.6% +3.5 13
2011-06-16 @ Start L 2-3 1489 1475 26.6% 23.3% 50.1% -3.5 14
2011-06-16 Haugesund W 3-1 1434 1535 38.0% 24.3% 37.6% +8.5 11
2011-06-16 @ Sogndal L 1-3 1535 1434 37.6% 24.3% 38.0% -8.5 14
2011-06-16 Lillestrom W 1-0 1531 1518 53.6% 22.6% 23.8% +3.5 22
2011-06-16 @ Tromso L 0-1 1518 1531 23.8% 22.6% 53.6% -3.5 13
2011-06-16 Molde L 0-1 1489 1520 47.8% 23.6% 28.5% -6.3 19
2011-06-16 @ Stromsgodset W 1-0 1520 1489 28.5% 23.6% 47.8% +6.3 20
2011-06-16 Rosenborg L 1-3 1520 1603 40.7% 24.3% 35.0% -9.0 19
2011-06-16 @ Aalesund W 3-1 1603 1520 35.0% 24.3% 40.7% +9.0 12
2011-06-16 Stabaek D 1-1 1467 1476 50.8% 23.2% 26.1% -0.7 15
2011-06-16 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1476 1467 26.1% 23.2% 50.8% +0.7 19
2011-06-19 Aalesund D 1-1 1498 1511 50.3% 23.3% 26.4% -0.7 17
2011-06-19 @ Brann D 1-1 1511 1498 26.4% 23.3% 50.3% +0.7 20
2011-06-19 Odd Grenland L 0-1 1486 1512 48.6% 23.5% 27.9% -6.3 14
2011-06-19 @ Fredrikstad W 1-0 1512 1486 27.9% 23.5% 48.6% +6.3 13
2011-06-19 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-0 1553 1466 62.3% 20.1% 17.5% +4.9 14
2011-06-19 @ Valerenga L 0-2 1466 1553 17.5% 20.1% 62.3% -4.9 15
2011-06-19 Sogndal W 2-0 1527 1442 62.0% 20.2% 17.7% +5.0 23
2011-06-19 @ Molde L 0-2 1442 1527 17.7% 20.2% 62.0% -5.0 11
2011-06-19 Start W 1-0 1527 1479 57.9% 21.6% 20.6% +3.1 17
2011-06-19 @ Haugesund L 0-1 1479 1527 20.6% 21.6% 57.9% -3.1 13
2011-06-19 Stromsgodset W 4-2 1514 1483 55.8% 22.1% 22.1% +4.8 16
2011-06-19 @ Lillestrom L 2-4 1483 1514 22.1% 22.1% 55.8% -4.8 19
2011-06-19 Tromso W 3-1 1612 1534 61.3% 20.5% 18.2% +4.5 15
2011-06-19 @ Rosenborg L 1-3 1534 1612 18.2% 20.5% 61.3% -4.4 22
2011-06-19 Viking L 0-1 1477 1464 53.5% 22.6% 23.8% -6.9 19
2011-06-19 @ Stabaek W 1-0 1464 1477 23.8% 22.6% 53.5% +6.9 12
2011-06-25 Lillestrom W 1-0 1512 1519 51.0% 23.2% 25.9% +3.8 23
2011-06-25 @ Aalesund L 0-1 1519 1512 25.9% 23.2% 51.0% -3.8 16
2011-06-26 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1437 1480 46.3% 23.8% 29.8% -6.1 11
2011-06-26 @ Sogndal W 1-0 1480 1437 29.8% 23.8% 46.3% +6.1 17
2011-06-26 Haugesund W 3-1 1478 1530 45.1% 24.0% 31.0% +7.2 22
2011-06-26 @ Stromsgodset L 1-3 1530 1478 31.0% 24.0% 45.1% -7.2 17
2011-06-26 Molde W 1-0 1518 1532 50.2% 23.3% 26.5% +3.9 16
2011-06-26 @ Odd Grenland L 0-1 1532 1518 26.5% 23.3% 50.2% -3.9 23
2011-06-26 Rosenborg D 0-0 1471 1616 32.0% 24.1% 43.9% +0.4 13
2011-06-26 @ Viking D 0-0 1616 1471 43.9% 24.1% 32.0% -0.4 16
2011-06-26 Stabaek D 3-3 1530 1470 59.3% 21.1% 19.6% -0.7 23
2011-06-26 @ Tromso D 3-3 1470 1530 19.6% 21.1% 59.3% +0.7 20
2011-06-26 Valerenga L 0-2 1476 1558 40.8% 24.3% 35.0% -10.4 13
2011-06-26 @ Start W 2-0 1558 1476 35.0% 24.3% 40.8% +10.4 17
2011-06-27 Brann L 3-5 1461 1498 47.1% 23.7% 29.1% -8.5 15
2011-06-27 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 5-3 1498 1461 29.1% 23.7% 47.1% +8.5 20
2011-06-29 Haugesund W 1-0 1486 1522 47.1% 23.8% 29.2% +4.2 20
2011-06-29 @ Fredrikstad L 0-1 1522 1486 29.2% 23.8% 47.1% -4.2 17
2011-06-29 Molde L 1-2 1568 1528 57.0% 21.8% 21.2% -6.8 17
2011-06-29 @ Valerenga W 2-1 1528 1568 21.2% 21.8% 57.0% +6.8 26
2011-06-29 Start W 2-1 1515 1465 58.1% 21.5% 20.4% +2.9 19
2011-06-29 @ Lillestrom L 1-2 1465 1515 20.4% 21.5% 58.1% -2.9 13
2011-06-30 Odd Grenland W 2-0 1506 1522 49.9% 23.3% 26.8% +7.4 23
2011-06-30 @ Brann L 0-2 1522 1506 26.8% 23.3% 49.9% -7.4 16
2011-06-30 Sarpsborg 08 D 2-2 1471 1453 54.3% 22.5% 23.2% -0.7 14
2011-06-30 @ Viking D 2-2 1453 1471 23.2% 22.5% 54.3% +0.7 16
2011-07-02 Stromsgodset D 2-2 1562 1485 61.1% 20.5% 18.3% -0.9 18
2011-07-02 @ Valerenga D 2-2 1485 1562 18.3% 20.5% 61.1% +0.9 23
2011-07-03 Aalesund W 5-2 1535 1515 54.4% 22.5% 23.2% +6.9 29
2011-07-03 @ Molde L 2-5 1515 1535 23.2% 22.5% 54.4% -6.9 23
2011-07-03 Odd Grenland W 2-1 1518 1514 52.4% 22.9% 24.7% +3.5 20
2011-07-03 @ Haugesund L 1-2 1514 1518 24.7% 22.9% 52.4% -3.5 16
2011-07-03 Sarpsborg 08 W 4-0 1616 1453 70.1% 17.0% 12.9% +6.6 19
2011-07-03 @ Rosenborg L 0-4 1453 1616 12.9% 17.0% 70.1% -6.6 16
2011-07-03 Sogndal D 1-1 1462 1431 55.8% 22.1% 22.1% -1.0 14
2011-07-03 @ Start D 1-1 1431 1462 22.1% 22.1% 55.8% +1.0 12
2011-07-03 Stabaek W 2-1 1514 1471 57.3% 21.7% 21.0% +3.0 26
2011-07-03 @ Brann L 1-2 1471 1514 21.0% 21.7% 57.3% -3.0 20
2011-07-03 Viking W 2-1 1518 1471 57.8% 21.6% 20.6% +2.9 22
2011-07-03 @ Lillestrom L 1-2 1471 1518 20.6% 21.6% 57.8% -2.9 14
2011-07-04 Tromso L 0-2 1490 1529 46.8% 23.8% 29.5% -11.6 20
2011-07-04 @ Fredrikstad W 2-0 1529 1490 29.5% 23.8% 46.8% +11.6 26
2011-07-09 Stromsgodset W 2-0 1622 1486 67.5% 18.1% 14.3% +4.0 22
2011-07-09 @ Rosenborg L 0-2 1486 1622 14.3% 18.1% 67.5% -4.0 23
2011-07-10 Tromso W 2-0 1561 1541 54.4% 22.4% 23.1% +6.5 21
2011-07-10 @ Valerenga L 0-2 1541 1561 23.1% 22.4% 54.4% -6.5 26
2011-07-15 Lillestrom L 1-3 1511 1521 50.7% 23.2% 26.1% -10.7 16
2011-07-15 @ Odd Grenland W 3-1 1521 1511 26.1% 23.2% 50.7% +10.7 25
2011-07-17 Aalesund W 1-0 1468 1508 46.6% 23.8% 29.6% +4.3 17
2011-07-17 @ Viking L 0-1 1508 1468 29.6% 23.8% 46.6% -4.3 23
2011-07-17 Haugesund W 3-1 1541 1522 54.4% 22.4% 23.1% +5.6 32
2011-07-17 @ Molde L 1-3 1522 1541 23.1% 22.4% 54.4% -5.6 20
2011-07-17 Rosenborg W 2-1 1468 1626 30.3% 23.9% 45.7% +5.7 23
2011-07-17 @ Stabaek L 1-2 1626 1468 45.7% 23.9% 30.3% -5.7 22
2011-07-17 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1432 1447 50.0% 23.3% 26.6% +3.9 15
2011-07-17 @ Sogndal L 0-1 1447 1432 26.6% 23.3% 50.0% -3.9 16
2011-07-17 Start W 3-0 1482 1461 54.6% 22.4% 23.0% +9.4 26
2011-07-17 @ Stromsgodset L 0-3 1461 1482 23.0% 22.4% 54.6% -9.4 14
2011-07-17 Valerenga W 4-1 1534 1567 47.6% 23.7% 28.7% +9.6 29
2011-07-17 @ Tromso L 1-4 1567 1534 28.7% 23.7% 47.6% -9.6 21
2011-07-18 Brann W 4-2 1478 1517 46.9% 23.8% 29.3% +6.2 23
2011-07-18 @ Fredrikstad L 2-4 1517 1478 29.3% 23.8% 46.9% -6.2 26
2011-07-30 Rosenborg D 1-1 1436 1621 27.3% 23.4% 49.2% +0.6 16
2011-07-30 @ Sogndal D 1-1 1621 1436 49.2% 23.4% 27.3% -0.6 23
2011-07-30 Valerenga W 2-1 1547 1558 50.6% 23.2% 26.2% +3.6 35
2011-07-30 @ Molde L 1-2 1558 1547 26.2% 23.2% 50.6% -3.6 21
2011-07-31 Aalesund W 1-0 1544 1504 56.9% 21.8% 21.3% +3.2 32
2011-07-31 @ Tromso L 0-1 1504 1544 21.3% 21.8% 56.9% -3.2 23
2011-07-31 Brann L 2-3 1500 1510 50.6% 23.2% 26.1% -5.9 16
2011-07-31 @ Odd Grenland W 3-2 1510 1500 26.1% 23.2% 50.6% +5.9 29
2011-07-31 Fredrikstad W 2-0 1472 1485 50.3% 23.3% 26.4% +7.3 20
2011-07-31 @ Viking L 0-2 1485 1472 26.4% 23.3% 50.3% -7.3 23
2011-07-31 Haugesund L 0-3 1443 1516 42.0% 24.2% 33.8% -15.5 16
2011-07-31 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 3-0 1516 1443 33.8% 24.2% 42.0% +15.5 23
2011-07-31 Lillestrom W 3-1 1492 1532 46.7% 23.8% 29.5% +7.0 29
2011-07-31 @ Stromsgodset L 1-3 1532 1492 29.5% 23.8% 46.7% -7.0 25
2011-07-31 Start W 4-1 1473 1452 54.6% 22.4% 23.0% +7.9 26
2011-07-31 @ Stabaek L 1-4 1452 1473 23.0% 22.4% 54.6% -7.9 14
2011-08-03 Sogndal W 4-0 1532 1437 63.2% 19.8% 17.0% +9.0 26
2011-08-03 @ Haugesund L 0-4 1437 1532 17.0% 19.8% 63.2% -9.0 16
2011-08-03 Tromso W 3-2 1525 1547 49.0% 23.5% 27.5% +3.6 28
2011-08-03 @ Lillestrom L 2-3 1547 1525 27.5% 23.5% 49.0% -3.6 32
2011-08-03 Viking W 3-2 1516 1479 56.5% 21.9% 21.6% +2.9 32
2011-08-03 @ Brann L 2-3 1479 1516 21.6% 21.9% 56.5% -2.9 20
2011-08-04 Molde L 1-2 1444 1551 37.3% 24.3% 38.4% -4.8 14
2011-08-04 @ Start W 2-1 1551 1444 38.4% 24.3% 37.3% +4.8 38
2011-08-05 Stabaek L 1-2 1477 1481 51.4% 23.1% 25.5% -6.3 23
2011-08-05 @ Fredrikstad W 2-1 1481 1477 25.5% 23.1% 51.4% +6.3 29
2011-08-07 Molde W 3-1 1620 1556 59.8% 21.0% 19.2% +4.7 26
2011-08-07 @ Rosenborg L 1-3 1556 1620 19.2% 21.0% 59.8% -4.7 38
2011-08-07 Odd Grenland L 0-1 1501 1494 52.8% 22.8% 24.4% -6.8 23
2011-08-07 @ Aalesund W 1-0 1494 1501 24.4% 22.8% 52.8% +6.8 19
2011-08-07 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-1 1528 1427 63.8% 19.6% 16.6% +4.0 31
2011-08-07 @ Lillestrom L 1-3 1427 1528 16.6% 19.6% 63.8% -4.0 16
2011-08-07 Sogndal D 1-1 1554 1428 66.5% 18.6% 14.9% -1.6 22
2011-08-07 @ Valerenga D 1-1 1428 1554 14.9% 18.6% 66.5% +1.6 17
2011-08-07 Stromsgodset D 0-0 1519 1499 54.5% 22.4% 23.1% -1.0 33
2011-08-07 @ Brann D 0-0 1499 1519 23.1% 22.4% 54.5% +1.0 30
2011-08-07 Tromso W 2-1 1476 1544 42.9% 24.1% 32.9% +4.4 23
2011-08-07 @ Viking L 1-2 1544 1476 32.9% 24.1% 42.9% -4.4 32
2011-08-08 Haugesund L 1-4 1439 1541 38.0% 24.3% 37.6% -12.1 14
2011-08-08 @ Start W 4-1 1541 1439 37.6% 24.3% 38.0% +12.1 29
2011-08-12 Valerenga D 1-1 1501 1552 45.1% 24.0% 30.9% -0.4 20
2011-08-12 @ Odd Grenland D 1-1 1552 1501 30.9% 24.0% 45.1% +0.4 23
2011-08-13 Stromsgodset W 2-0 1487 1500 50.3% 23.3% 26.4% +7.3 32
2011-08-13 @ Stabaek L 0-2 1500 1487 26.4% 23.3% 50.3% -7.3 30
2011-08-19 Viking W 4-2 1501 1481 54.5% 22.4% 23.1% +5.0 23
2011-08-19 @ Odd Grenland L 2-4 1481 1501 23.1% 22.4% 54.5% -5.0 23
2011-08-20 Valerenga L 0-2 1423 1553 34.1% 24.2% 41.6% -9.1 16
2011-08-20 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 2-0 1553 1423 41.6% 24.2% 34.1% +9.1 26
2011-08-21 Aalesund D 2-2 1492 1494 51.7% 23.0% 25.3% -0.6 31
2011-08-21 @ Stromsgodset D 2-2 1494 1492 25.3% 23.0% 51.7% +0.6 24
2011-08-21 Brann D 1-1 1495 1518 48.9% 23.5% 27.6% -0.6 33
2011-08-21 @ Stabaek D 1-1 1518 1495 27.6% 23.5% 48.9% +0.6 34
2011-08-21 Fredrikstad W 3-1 1539 1471 60.2% 20.8% 18.9% +4.6 35
2011-08-21 @ Tromso L 1-3 1471 1539 18.9% 20.8% 60.2% -4.6 23
2011-08-21 Rosenborg D 2-2 1553 1625 42.2% 24.2% 33.6% -0.2 30
2011-08-21 @ Haugesund D 2-2 1625 1553 33.6% 24.2% 42.2% +0.2 27
2011-08-21 Start W 2-0 1429 1427 52.2% 22.9% 24.9% +6.9 20
2011-08-21 @ Sogndal L 0-2 1427 1429 24.9% 22.9% 52.2% -6.9 14
2011-08-22 Lillestrom W 1-0 1551 1532 54.3% 22.5% 23.2% +3.4 41
2011-08-22 @ Molde L 0-1 1532 1551 23.2% 22.5% 54.3% -3.5 31
2011-08-26 Tromso D 1-1 1519 1544 48.7% 23.5% 27.8% -0.6 35
2011-08-26 @ Brann D 1-1 1544 1519 27.8% 23.5% 48.7% +0.6 36
2011-08-27 Haugesund W 3-2 1562 1552 53.1% 22.7% 24.1% +3.2 29
2011-08-27 @ Valerenga L 2-3 1552 1562 24.1% 22.7% 53.1% -3.2 30
2011-08-28 Molde L 1-3 1495 1554 44.0% 24.1% 32.0% -9.5 24
2011-08-28 @ Aalesund W 3-1 1554 1495 32.0% 24.1% 44.0% +9.6 44
2011-08-28 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1420 1414 52.7% 22.8% 24.5% +3.6 17
2011-08-28 @ Start L 0-1 1414 1420 24.5% 22.8% 52.7% -3.6 16
2011-08-28 Sogndal L 0-3 1529 1436 62.9% 19.9% 17.1% -21.5 31
2011-08-28 @ Lillestrom W 3-0 1436 1529 17.1% 19.9% 62.9% +21.5 23
2011-08-28 Stabaek W 1-0 1476 1494 49.5% 23.4% 27.1% +4.0 26
2011-08-28 @ Viking L 0-1 1494 1476 27.1% 23.4% 49.5% -4.0 33
2011-08-28 Stromsgodset D 1-1 1466 1492 48.6% 23.5% 27.9% -0.6 24
2011-08-28 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1492 1466 27.9% 23.5% 48.6% +0.6 32
2011-08-29 Odd Grenland W 7-0 1625 1506 65.8% 18.9% 15.4% +13.8 30
2011-08-29 @ Rosenborg L 0-7 1506 1625 15.4% 18.9% 65.8% -13.8 23
2011-09-09 Tromso L 2-4 1490 1544 44.7% 24.0% 31.3% -8.7 33
2011-09-09 @ Stabaek W 4-2 1544 1490 31.3% 24.0% 44.7% +8.7 39
2011-09-10 Viking D 2-2 1492 1480 53.5% 22.6% 23.8% -0.6 33
2011-09-10 @ Stromsgodset D 2-2 1480 1492 23.8% 22.6% 53.5% +0.6 27
2011-09-11 Aalesund D 0-0 1458 1485 48.3% 23.6% 28.1% -0.6 24
2011-09-11 @ Sogndal D 0-0 1485 1458 28.1% 23.6% 48.3% +0.6 25
2011-09-11 Brann D 2-2 1564 1518 57.6% 21.6% 20.8% -0.8 45
2011-09-11 @ Molde D 2-2 1518 1564 20.8% 21.6% 57.6% +0.8 36
2011-09-11 Fredrikstad W 2-1 1492 1466 55.2% 22.2% 22.5% +3.2 26
2011-09-11 @ Odd Grenland L 1-2 1466 1492 22.5% 22.2% 55.2% -3.2 24
2011-09-11 Lillestrom W 2-0 1549 1507 57.1% 21.8% 21.1% +5.9 33
2011-09-11 @ Haugesund L 0-2 1507 1549 21.1% 21.8% 57.1% -5.9 31
2011-09-11 Start W 2-1 1565 1424 68.0% 17.9% 14.0% +1.9 32
2011-09-11 @ Valerenga L 1-2 1424 1565 14.0% 17.9% 68.0% -1.9 17
2011-09-12 Rosenborg L 0-6 1411 1639 22.9% 22.4% 54.8% -17.8 16
2011-09-12 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 6-0 1639 1411 54.8% 22.4% 22.9% +17.8 33
2011-09-14 Odd Grenland L 0-1 1567 1495 60.6% 20.7% 18.7% -7.6 32
2011-09-14 @ Valerenga W 1-0 1495 1567 18.7% 20.7% 60.6% +7.6 29
2011-09-15 Stromsgodset D 1-1 1393 1492 38.4% 24.3% 37.3% -0.0 17
2011-09-15 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1492 1393 37.3% 24.3% 38.4% +0.0 34
2011-09-16 Haugesund W 1-0 1519 1555 47.2% 23.7% 29.1% +4.2 39
2011-09-16 @ Brann L 0-1 1555 1519 29.1% 23.7% 47.2% -4.2 33
2011-09-17 Molde L 0-1 1463 1563 38.2% 24.3% 37.5% -5.2 24
2011-09-17 @ Fredrikstad W 1-0 1563 1463 37.5% 24.3% 38.2% +5.2 48
2011-09-18 Odd Grenland L 1-3 1482 1503 49.1% 23.5% 27.4% -10.5 33
2011-09-18 @ Stabaek W 3-1 1503 1482 27.4% 23.5% 49.1% +10.4 32
2011-09-18 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-0 1486 1393 63.0% 19.9% 17.1% +4.8 28
2011-09-18 @ Aalesund L 0-2 1393 1486 17.1% 19.9% 63.0% -4.8 17
2011-09-18 Sogndal W 2-0 1480 1457 54.9% 22.3% 22.8% +6.4 30
2011-09-18 @ Viking L 0-2 1457 1480 22.8% 22.3% 54.9% -6.4 24
2011-09-18 Stromsgodset W 2-0 1553 1492 59.4% 21.1% 19.5% +5.5 42
2011-09-18 @ Tromso L 0-2 1492 1553 19.5% 21.1% 59.4% -5.5 34
2011-09-18 Valerenga L 0-1 1501 1559 44.2% 24.1% 31.8% -5.9 31
2011-09-18 @ Lillestrom W 1-0 1559 1501 31.8% 24.1% 44.2% +5.9 35
2011-09-19 Start W 4-1 1657 1422 76.6% 13.9% 9.5% +3.0 36
2011-09-19 @ Rosenborg L 1-4 1422 1657 9.5% 13.9% 76.6% -3.0 17
2011-09-22 Sogndal W 2-1 1660 1451 74.4% 15.0% 10.6% +1.4 39
2011-09-22 @ Rosenborg L 1-2 1451 1660 10.6% 15.0% 74.4% -1.4 24
2011-09-23 Viking D 0-0 1568 1487 61.7% 20.3% 17.9% -1.5 49
2011-09-23 @ Molde D 0-0 1487 1568 17.9% 20.3% 61.7% +1.5 31
2011-09-24 Stabaek W 1-0 1486 1471 53.9% 22.6% 23.6% +3.5 37
2011-09-24 @ Stromsgodset L 0-1 1471 1486 23.6% 22.6% 53.9% -3.5 33
2011-09-25 Aalesund W 1-0 1551 1491 59.3% 21.1% 19.6% +2.9 36
2011-09-25 @ Haugesund L 0-1 1491 1551 19.6% 21.1% 59.3% -2.9 28
2011-09-25 Brann W 1-0 1449 1523 41.9% 24.2% 33.9% +4.8 27
2011-09-25 @ Sogndal L 0-1 1523 1449 33.9% 24.2% 41.9% -4.8 39
2011-09-25 Lillestrom W 3-0 1419 1495 41.6% 24.2% 34.2% +13.2 20
2011-09-25 @ Start L 0-3 1495 1419 34.2% 24.2% 41.6% -13.2 31
2011-09-25 Rosenborg W 1-0 1565 1661 38.9% 24.3% 36.9% +5.1 38
2011-09-25 @ Valerenga L 0-1 1661 1565 36.9% 24.3% 38.9% -5.1 39
2011-09-25 Tromso W 3-1 1513 1558 46.0% 23.9% 30.2% +7.1 35
2011-09-25 @ Odd Grenland L 1-3 1558 1513 30.2% 23.9% 46.0% -7.1 42
2011-09-26 Fredrikstad L 1-4 1388 1457 42.6% 24.2% 33.2% -13.2 17
2011-09-26 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 4-1 1457 1388 33.2% 24.2% 42.6% +13.2 27
2011-09-29 Tromso W 1-0 1488 1551 43.4% 24.1% 32.5% +4.6 31
2011-09-29 @ Aalesund L 0-1 1551 1488 32.5% 24.1% 43.4% -4.6 42
2011-09-30 Rosenborg L 2-5 1482 1656 28.6% 23.7% 47.8% -8.3 31
2011-09-30 @ Lillestrom W 5-2 1656 1482 47.8% 23.7% 28.6% +8.3 42
2011-10-01 Haugesund D 1-1 1488 1554 43.1% 24.1% 32.8% -0.3 32
2011-10-01 @ Viking D 1-1 1554 1488 32.8% 24.1% 43.1% +0.3 37
2011-10-02 Molde L 0-2 1547 1567 49.3% 23.4% 27.3% -12.1 42
2011-10-02 @ Tromso W 2-0 1567 1547 27.3% 23.4% 49.3% +12.1 52
2011-10-02 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-0 1468 1375 63.0% 19.9% 17.1% +4.8 36
2011-10-02 @ Stabaek L 0-2 1375 1468 17.1% 19.9% 63.0% -4.8 17
2011-10-02 Sogndal D 2-2 1470 1454 54.0% 22.5% 23.4% -0.7 28
2011-10-02 @ Fredrikstad D 2-2 1454 1470 23.4% 22.5% 54.0% +0.7 28
2011-10-02 Stromsgodset W 1-0 1520 1490 55.8% 22.1% 22.1% +3.3 38
2011-10-02 @ Odd Grenland L 0-1 1490 1520 22.1% 22.1% 55.8% -3.3 37
2011-10-02 Valerenga L 1-4 1518 1570 45.0% 24.0% 31.0% -13.8 39
2011-10-02 @ Brann W 4-1 1570 1518 31.0% 24.0% 45.0% +13.8 41
2011-10-03 Start D 0-0 1492 1432 59.3% 21.1% 19.6% -1.3 32
2011-10-03 @ Aalesund D 0-0 1432 1492 19.6% 21.1% 59.3% +1.3 21
2011-10-14 Viking W 3-0 1584 1488 63.3% 19.8% 16.9% +6.9 44
2011-10-14 @ Valerenga L 0-3 1488 1584 16.9% 19.8% 63.3% -6.9 32
2011-10-15 Stabaek D 1-1 1474 1472 52.1% 22.9% 24.9% -0.8 32
2011-10-15 @ Lillestrom D 1-1 1472 1474 24.9% 22.9% 52.1% +0.8 37
2011-10-16 Aalesund D 2-2 1664 1491 71.2% 16.5% 12.3% -1.3 43
2011-10-16 @ Rosenborg D 2-2 1491 1664 12.3% 16.5% 71.2% +1.3 33
2011-10-16 Fredrikstad W 3-2 1554 1470 62.0% 20.2% 17.7% +2.4 40
2011-10-16 @ Haugesund L 2-3 1470 1554 17.7% 20.2% 62.0% -2.4 28
2011-10-16 Odd Grenland D 0-0 1579 1524 58.7% 21.3% 20.0% -1.3 53
2011-10-16 @ Molde D 0-0 1524 1579 20.0% 21.3% 58.7% +1.3 39
2011-10-16 Stromsgodset D 1-1 1455 1487 47.7% 23.7% 28.6% -0.5 29
2011-10-16 @ Sogndal D 1-1 1487 1455 28.6% 23.7% 47.7% +0.5 38
2011-10-16 Tromso L 0-2 1370 1535 29.6% 23.8% 46.5% -8.1 17
2011-10-16 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 2-0 1535 1370 46.5% 23.8% 29.6% +8.1 45
2011-10-17 Brann W 3-1 1433 1505 42.3% 24.2% 33.5% +7.7 24
2011-10-17 @ Start L 1-3 1505 1433 33.5% 24.2% 42.3% -7.7 39
2011-10-21 Molde D 1-1 1473 1578 37.6% 24.3% 38.1% +0.0 38
2011-10-21 @ Stabaek D 1-1 1578 1473 38.1% 24.3% 37.6% -0.0 54
2011-10-23 Haugesund W 1-0 1525 1557 47.8% 23.7% 28.5% +4.2 42
2011-10-23 @ Odd Grenland L 0-1 1557 1525 28.5% 23.7% 47.8% -4.1 40
2011-10-23 Lillestrom W 2-0 1481 1473 53.0% 22.8% 24.3% +6.8 35
2011-10-23 @ Viking L 0-2 1473 1481 24.3% 22.8% 53.0% -6.8 32
2011-10-23 Rosenborg W 3-1 1487 1663 28.3% 23.6% 48.0% +10.3 41
2011-10-23 @ Stromsgodset L 1-3 1663 1487 48.0% 23.6% 28.3% -10.3 43
2011-10-23 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1497 1362 67.4% 18.2% 14.4% +2.1 42
2011-10-23 @ Brann L 0-1 1362 1497 14.4% 18.2% 67.4% -2.1 17
2011-10-23 Sogndal D 0-0 1543 1454 62.5% 20.1% 17.4% -1.5 46
2011-10-23 @ Tromso D 0-0 1454 1543 17.4% 20.1% 62.5% +1.5 30
2011-10-24 Valerenga W 2-1 1492 1591 38.5% 24.3% 37.2% +4.8 36
2011-10-24 @ Aalesund L 1-2 1591 1492 37.2% 24.3% 38.5% -4.9 44
2011-10-26 Fredrikstad W 2-0 1653 1467 72.3% 16.0% 11.7% +3.1 46
2011-10-26 @ Rosenborg L 0-2 1467 1653 11.7% 16.0% 72.3% -3.1 28
2011-10-27 Stabaek W 2-0 1497 1473 55.0% 22.3% 22.7% +6.4 39
2011-10-27 @ Aalesund L 0-2 1473 1497 22.7% 22.3% 55.0% -6.4 38
2011-10-28 Tromso D 1-1 1552 1541 53.4% 22.7% 24.0% -0.9 41
2011-10-28 @ Haugesund D 1-1 1541 1552 24.0% 22.7% 53.4% +0.8 47
2011-10-30 Aalesund D 1-1 1466 1504 47.0% 23.8% 29.2% -0.5 33
2011-10-30 @ Lillestrom D 1-1 1504 1466 29.2% 23.8% 47.0% +0.5 40
2011-10-30 Brann L 3-6 1656 1499 69.6% 17.2% 13.2% -15.7 46
2011-10-30 @ Rosenborg W 6-3 1499 1656 13.2% 17.2% 69.6% +15.7 45
2011-10-30 Odd Grenland L 1-3 1441 1529 40.0% 24.3% 35.8% -8.9 24
2011-10-30 @ Start W 3-1 1529 1441 35.8% 24.3% 40.0% +8.9 45
2011-10-30 Stabaek D 0-0 1456 1467 50.5% 23.2% 26.3% -0.8 31
2011-10-30 @ Sogndal D 0-0 1467 1456 26.3% 23.2% 50.5% +0.8 39
2011-10-30 Stromsgodset D 2-2 1578 1497 61.6% 20.4% 18.0% -1.0 55
2011-10-30 @ Molde D 2-2 1497 1578 18.0% 20.4% 61.6% +1.0 42
2011-10-30 Viking D 1-1 1360 1488 34.3% 24.2% 41.5% +0.2 18
2011-10-30 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1488 1360 41.5% 24.2% 34.3% -0.2 36
2011-10-31 Fredrikstad L 1-2 1586 1464 66.1% 18.7% 15.2% -7.7 44
2011-10-31 @ Valerenga W 2-1 1464 1586 15.2% 18.7% 66.1% +7.7 31
2011-11-05 Start D 1-1 1472 1432 56.9% 21.8% 21.3% -1.0 32
2011-11-05 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1432 1472 21.3% 21.8% 56.9% +1.0 25
2011-11-20 Aalesund W 3-1 1471 1504 47.6% 23.7% 28.7% +6.8 35
2011-11-20 @ Fredrikstad L 1-3 1504 1471 28.7% 23.7% 47.6% -6.8 40
2011-11-20 Haugesund L 1-2 1468 1552 40.5% 24.3% 35.2% -5.2 39
2011-11-20 @ Stabaek W 2-1 1552 1468 35.2% 24.3% 40.5% +5.2 44
2011-11-20 Lillestrom W 2-0 1515 1466 58.0% 21.5% 20.5% +5.8 48
2011-11-20 @ Brann L 0-2 1466 1515 20.5% 21.5% 58.0% -5.8 33
2011-11-20 Rosenborg W 3-1 1542 1640 38.5% 24.3% 37.1% +8.4 50
2011-11-20 @ Tromso L 1-3 1640 1542 37.1% 24.3% 38.5% -8.4 46
2011-11-20 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-1 1577 1360 75.1% 14.6% 10.2% +2.3 58
2011-11-20 @ Molde L 1-3 1360 1577 10.2% 14.6% 75.1% -2.3 18
2011-11-20 Sogndal W 1-0 1538 1455 61.9% 20.3% 17.8% +2.7 48
2011-11-20 @ Odd Grenland L 0-1 1455 1538 17.8% 20.3% 61.9% -2.6 31
2011-11-20 Start D 1-1 1488 1433 58.6% 21.3% 20.1% -1.1 37
2011-11-20 @ Viking D 1-1 1433 1488 20.1% 21.3% 58.6% +1.1 26
2011-11-20 Valerenga W 2-1 1498 1578 41.1% 24.2% 34.7% +4.6 45
2011-11-20 @ Stromsgodset L 1-2 1578 1498 34.7% 24.2% 41.1% -4.6 44
2011-11-27 Brann W 3-1 1497 1521 48.9% 23.5% 27.6% +6.6 43
2011-11-27 @ Aalesund L 1-3 1521 1497 27.6% 23.5% 48.9% -6.6 48
2011-11-27 Fredrikstad D 0-0 1460 1478 49.6% 23.4% 27.0% -0.7 34
2011-11-27 @ Lillestrom D 0-0 1478 1460 27.0% 23.4% 49.6% +0.7 36
2011-11-27 Molde W 2-1 1452 1579 34.5% 24.2% 41.3% +5.2 34
2011-11-27 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1579 1452 41.3% 24.2% 34.5% -5.2 58
2011-11-27 Odd Grenland W 3-2 1358 1541 27.5% 23.5% 49.0% +5.7 21
2011-11-27 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 2-3 1541 1358 49.0% 23.5% 27.5% -5.7 48
2011-11-27 Stabaek W 2-0 1574 1462 65.0% 19.2% 15.9% +4.4 47
2011-11-27 @ Valerenga L 0-2 1462 1574 15.9% 19.2% 65.0% -4.4 39
2011-11-27 Stromsgodset W 5-1 1557 1503 58.5% 21.4% 20.1% +9.0 47
2011-11-27 @ Haugesund L 1-5 1503 1557 20.1% 21.4% 58.5% -9.0 45
2011-11-27 Tromso L 1-6 1434 1550 36.0% 24.3% 39.7% -18.3 26
2011-11-27 @ Start W 6-1 1550 1434 39.7% 24.3% 36.0% +18.3 53
2011-11-27 Viking W 3-2 1632 1487 68.4% 17.8% 13.8% +1.8 49
2011-11-27 @ Rosenborg L 2-3 1487 1632 13.8% 17.8% 68.4% -1.8 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-04-03 12.74% Stabaek 1448 2 @ Rosenborg 1613 1
2 2011-10-30 13.17% Brann 1499 6 @ Rosenborg 1656 3
3 2011-10-31 15.21% Fredrikstad 1464 2 @ Valerenga 1586 1
4 2011-05-16 16.25% Haugesund 1505 1 @ Rosenborg 1611 0
5 2011-08-28 17.14% Sogndal 1436 3 @ Lillestrom 1529 0
6 2011-09-14 18.68% Odd Grenland 1495 1 @ Valerenga 1567 0
7 2011-05-07 19.32% Brann 1506 2 @ Valerenga 1569 0
8 2011-05-19 20.21% Stabaek 1465 3 @ Odd Grenland 1518 2
9 2011-05-08 20.79% Stabaek 1466 4 @ Haugesund 1512 3
10 2011-05-16 20.88% Sogndal 1428 1 @ Stabaek 1472 0
11 2011-04-09 20.92% Fredrikstad 1480 1 @ Brann 1524 0
12 2011-03-20 20.97% Start 1484 2 @ Odd Grenland 1527 0
13 2011-06-29 21.22% Molde 1528 2 @ Valerenga 1568 1
14 2011-05-16 21.89% Molde 1505 3 @ Lillestrom 1538 0
15 2011-03-21 21.99% Fredrikstad 1480 2 @ Aalesund 1512 1
16 2011-04-04 22.36% Brann 1507 4 @ Lillestrom 1535 1
17 2011-05-29 22.74% Stabaek 1472 4 @ Start 1496 2
18 2011-04-25 23.79% Molde 1504 3 @ Brann 1517 1
19 2011-06-19 23.81% Viking 1464 1 @ Stabaek 1477 0
20 2011-08-07 24.42% Odd Grenland 1494 1 @ Aalesund 1501 0
21 2011-04-02 24.50% Viking 1481 1 @ Fredrikstad 1486 0
22 2011-05-08 25.36% Aalesund 1507 3 @ Start 1505 2
23 2011-04-25 25.49% Stromsgodset 1478 1 @ Viking 1474 0
24 2011-08-05 25.50% Stabaek 1481 2 @ Fredrikstad 1477 1
25 2011-03-20 25.83% Lillestrom 1495 7 @ Stabaek 1488 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-03-20 40.03 Lillestrom 7 1495 25.83% @ Stabaek 0 1488 51.03% 23.15%
2 2011-08-28 21.52 Sogndal 3 1436 17.14% @ Lillestrom 0 1529 62.94% 19.92%
3 2011-05-16 19.57 Molde 3 1505 21.89% @ Lillestrom 0 1538 56.07% 22.04%
4 2011-11-27 18.28 Tromso 6 1550 39.74% @ Start 1 1434 35.97% 24.29%
5 2011-09-12 17.83 Rosenborg 6 1639 54.78% @ Sarpsborg 08 0 1411 22.86% 22.36%
6 2011-05-29 17.27 @ Haugesund 5 1513 49.99% Molde 0 1528 26.68% 23.33%
7 2011-04-25 16.81 @ Lillestrom 5 1521 50.97% Haugesund 0 1528 25.87% 23.16%
8 2011-04-04 16.34 Brann 4 1507 22.36% @ Lillestrom 1 1535 55.44% 22.20%
9 2011-10-30 15.74 Brann 6 1499 13.17% @ Rosenborg 3 1656 69.59% 17.25%
10 2011-07-31 15.46 Haugesund 3 1516 33.76% @ Sarpsborg 08 0 1443 42.04% 24.20%
11 2011-05-07 14.19 Brann 2 1506 19.32% @ Valerenga 0 1569 59.66% 21.02%
12 2011-10-02 13.77 Valerenga 4 1570 31.00% @ Brann 1 1518 45.03% 23.97%
13 2011-08-29 13.76 @ Rosenborg 7 1625 65.78% Odd Grenland 0 1506 15.37% 18.85%
14 2011-03-20 13.72 Start 2 1484 20.97% @ Odd Grenland 0 1527 57.32% 21.71%
15 2011-05-29 13.34 @ Tromso 4 1517 51.77% Brann 0 1519 25.22% 23.01%
16 2011-04-03 13.29 Odd Grenland 4 1514 32.77% @ Sogndal 1 1448 43.10% 24.13%
17 2011-09-26 13.18 Fredrikstad 4 1457 33.24% @ Sarpsborg 08 1 1388 42.60% 24.17%
18 2011-09-25 13.18 @ Start 3 1419 41.60% Lillestrom 0 1495 34.18% 24.22%
19 2011-04-16 12.61 @ Start 4 1500 53.66% Viking 0 1487 23.72% 22.62%
20 2011-06-16 12.48 @ Viking 3 1452 44.00% Brann 0 1511 31.93% 24.06%
21 2011-03-18 12.40 @ Sarpsborg 08 3 1456 44.30% Molde 0 1514 31.66% 24.04%
22 2011-10-02 12.11 Molde 2 1567 27.25% @ Tromso 0 1547 49.32% 23.44%
23 2011-08-08 12.07 Haugesund 4 1541 37.64% @ Start 1 1439 38.05% 24.31%
24 2011-07-04 11.59 Tromso 2 1529 29.46% @ Fredrikstad 0 1490 46.75% 23.79%
25 2011-04-25 11.23 Molde 3 1504 23.79% @ Brann 1 1517 53.58% 22.64%