2009 Tippeligaen Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rosenborg

17.33 points above expected

69 points · 51.67 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lyn Oslo

22.52 points below expected

16 points · 38.52 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	30	20	9	1	69	60	22	+38	51.7	+17.33
2	Molde	30	17	5	8	56	62	35	+27	44.1	+11.90
3	Stabaek	30	15	8	7	53	52	34	+18	48.1	+4.88
4	Odd Grenland	30	12	10	8	46	53	44	+9	41.6	+4.36
5	Brann	30	12	8	10	44	51	49	+2	43.0	+1.03
6	Tromso	30	10	10	10	40	35	36	-1	42.8	-2.84
7	Valerenga	30	12	4	14	40	47	50	-3	41.5	-1.45
8	Sandefjord	30	10	10	10	40	39	44	-5	36.5	+3.46
9	Start	30	10	10	10	40	46	52	-6	38.6	+1.42
10	Viking	30	9	11	10	38	38	40	-2	41.4	-3.44
11	Lillestrom	30	9	10	11	37	43	50	-7	38.7	-1.69
12	Stromsgodset	30	10	6	14	36	40	42	-2	36.7	-0.67
13	Aalesund	30	9	9	12	36	34	43	-9	36.9	-0.87
14	Fredrikstad	30	10	4	16	34	39	44	-5	40.0	-5.96
15	Bodo Glimt	30	6	10	14	28	29	53	-24	35.0	-6.97
16	Lyn Oslo	30	2	10	18	16	29	59	-30	38.5	-22.52

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1746	69	51.67	+17.33	99.7%	28	40	47	52	56	63	76
Stabaek	1687	53	48.12	+4.88	77.7%	22	37	43	48	53	59	73
Molde	1672	56	44.10	+11.90	96.2%	19	33	39	44	49	56	68
Brann	1609	44	42.97	+1.03	58.8%	20	32	38	43	48	54	71
Odd Grenland	1601	46	41.64	+4.36	75.8%	14	30	37	42	46	53	67
Tromso	1600	40	42.84	-2.84	37.3%	20	32	38	43	47	54	69
Viking	1588	38	41.44	-3.44	33.5%	18	30	37	41	46	53	68
Valerenga	1584	40	41.45	-1.45	45.0%	19	30	37	41	46	53	69
Stromsgodset	1583	36	36.67	-0.67	49.2%	15	26	32	37	41	48	66
Lillestrom	1575	37	38.69	-1.69	43.7%	14	28	34	39	43	50	65
Fredrikstad	1574	34	39.96	-5.96	21.4%	17	29	35	40	45	51	66
Aalesund	1565	36	36.87	-0.87	48.0%	14	26	32	37	41	48	63
Sandefjord	1560	40	36.54	+3.46	72.5%	15	26	32	36	41	48	61
Start	1559	40	38.58	+1.42	61.7%	13	28	34	38	43	50	67
Bodo Glimt	1504	28	34.97	-6.97	16.9%	14	24	30	35	39	46	61
Lyn Oslo	1477	16	38.52	-22.52	0.0%	15	27	34	38	43	50	68

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BG	BRA	FRE	LIL	LO	MOL	OG	ROS	SAN	STA	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	0-1-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.22	1-1-0 2.52	1-1-0 2.60	2-0-0 2.51	0-0-2 2.29	0-0-2 2.47	0-0-2 1.78	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.06	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.45	1-1-0 2.36	0-1-1 2.57
Bodo Glimt	1-1-0 2.66	—	0-0-2 2.38	0-2-0 2.44	0-2-0 2.37	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 2.27	0-1-1 2.16	0-0-2 1.83	1-1-0 2.65	1-0-1 1.94	0-1-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.63	0-2-0 2.21	0-0-2 2.24	1-0-1 2.18
Brann	1-0-1 3.25	2-0-0 3.12	—	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.82	0-2-0 2.04	0-0-2 3.19	0-1-1 2.41	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.85	0-2-0 2.91
Fredrikstad	0-1-1 2.93	0-2-0 3.03	0-0-2 2.66	—	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 2.94	0-0-2 2.33	1-0-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.03	0-1-1 3.10	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.72	2-0-0 2.56
Lillestrom	0-1-1 2.84	0-2-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.69	—	1-1-0 2.84	0-0-2 2.36	1-1-0 2.45	0-0-2 2.08	1-1-0 2.74	0-1-1 2.12	1-0-1 2.60	2-0-0 2.77	0-2-0 2.40	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.52
Lyn Oslo	0-0-2 2.93	1-0-1 2.97	0-1-1 2.35	0-0-2 2.48	0-1-1 2.64	—	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.07	0-0-2 2.94	0-2-0 2.19	1-1-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.72	0-0-2 2.36	0-1-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.56
Molde	2-0-0 3.23	2-0-0 3.15	1-0-1 2.74	2-0-0 3.09	2-0-0 3.12	2-0-0 2.78	—	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.19	0-2-0 3.31	2-0-0 2.37	1-1-0 2.89	2-0-0 3.19	0-1-1 2.94	0-0-2 3.26	0-0-2 2.97
Odd Grenland	2-0-0 2.94	1-1-0 3.29	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 3.01	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 2.56	—	0-2-0 2.14	2-0-0 2.90	0-1-1 2.22	0-1-1 2.78	1-0-1 3.23	1-1-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.60
Rosenborg	2-0-0 3.78	2-0-0 3.74	0-2-0 3.42	2-0-0 3.43	2-0-0 3.45	1-1-0 3.49	1-1-0 3.26	0-2-0 3.32	—	1-1-0 3.63	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 3.65	2-0-0 3.75	1-1-0 3.25	2-0-0 3.03	1-1-0 3.50
Sandefjord	0-1-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.77	2-0-0 2.29	1-1-0 2.35	0-1-1 2.69	2-0-0 2.53	0-2-0 2.15	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 1.92	—	0-0-2 2.11	1-0-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.73	1-1-0 2.36	1-0-1 2.35	1-1-0 2.38
Stabaek	1-0-1 3.45	1-0-1 3.61	1-1-0 3.04	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.33	0-2-0 3.25	0-0-2 3.08	1-1-0 3.26	0-0-2 2.44	2-0-0 3.35	—	1-1-0 3.20	1-0-1 3.52	1-1-0 3.09	2-0-0 3.17	1-1-0 3.04
Start	0-1-1 2.67	1-1-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.58	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-1 1.93	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 2.25	—	0-2-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.33	2-0-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.39
Stromsgodset	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.68	1-1-0 2.68	0-0-2 2.31	1-0-1 2.22	0-0-2 1.77	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.00	0-2-0 2.66	—	1-0-1 2.34	1-0-1 2.37	1-1-0 2.53
Tromso	1-1-0 2.99	0-2-0 3.24	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.91	0-2-0 3.05	2-0-0 3.07	1-1-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.30	0-1-1 3.08	0-1-1 2.34	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 3.12	—	2-0-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.80
Valerenga	0-1-1 3.07	2-0-0 3.26	1-1-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 2.86	2-0-0 2.19	0-1-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.40	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-2 2.35	0-0-2 2.92	1-0-1 3.08	0-0-2 2.73	—	2-0-0 2.69
Viking	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 3.28	0-2-0 2.54	0-0-2 2.87	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.90	2-0-0 2.45	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 1.97	0-1-1 3.06	0-1-1 2.42	0-1-1 3.08	0-1-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.63	0-0-2 2.74	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.50%	7.08%	5.21%	3.33%	1.25%	0.42%	19.79%
1	7.08%	17.92%	9.17%	3.33%	1.46%	0.21%	39.17%
2	5.21%	9.17%	6.25%	1.88%	2.29%	0.42%	25.21%
3	3.33%	3.33%	1.88%	0.83%	—	—	9.38%
4	1.25%	1.46%	2.29%	—	0.42%	—	5.42%
5+	0.42%	0.21%	0.42%	—	—	—	1.04%
Total	19.79%	39.17%	25.21%	9.38%	5.42%	1.04%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.45
Mean allowed	1.45
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.90
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.066
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	30.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	56.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	40.00%	20.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.317
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	16.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	26.67%	26.67%	10.00%	16.67%	—	100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	0.85
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.216
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
1	3.33%	23.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	46.67%
2	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	13.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	40.00%	26.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.044
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	10.00%	10.00%	16.67%	—	6.67%	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	33.33%	30.00%	—	13.33%	—	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.220
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
1	3.33%	23.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	46.67%
2	—	13.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
3	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.33%	46.67%	33.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.013
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	36.67%
1	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	10.00%	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	36.67%	30.00%	—	16.67%	6.67%	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.178
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	26.67%	33.33%	36.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.07
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.72
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.214
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
1	3.33%	23.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	43.33%	20.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Odd Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.231
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
1	13.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
3	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	43.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.112
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
1	10.00%	23.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	50.00%
2	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	46.67%	26.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	0.79
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.217
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	40.00%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.051
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
1	6.67%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	40.00%	23.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.125
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	6.67%	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	43.33%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.157
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	40.00%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.142
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	23.33%
1	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
2	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	40.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	36.67%	16.67%	23.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.155
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
2	—	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	36.67%	33.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.162
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	69	51.7	+17.33
2	Molde	56	44.1	+11.90
3	Stabaek	53	48.1	+4.88
4	Odd Grenland	46	41.6	+4.36
5	Sandefjord	40	36.5	+3.46

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lyn Oslo	16	38.5	-22.52
2	Bodo Glimt	28	35.0	-6.97
3	Fredrikstad	34	40.0	-5.96
4	Viking	38	41.4	-3.44
5	Tromso	40	42.8	-2.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	8	May 24 – Jul 26	1 in 387
2	Molde	5	Jun 21 – Jul 12	1 in 76
3	Valerenga	4	Sep 20 – Oct 18	1 in 62
4	Sandefjord	3	Apr 26 – May 6	1 in 25
5	Start	3	Apr 26 – May 6	1 in 22

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valerenga	7	Jun 28 – Aug 23	1 in 1,420
2	Lyn Oslo	8	Aug 31 – Nov 1	1 in 1,013
3	Odd Grenland	4	Aug 30 – Sep 28	1 in 92
4	Aalesund	4	Jun 14 – Jun 28	1 in 32
5	Fredrikstad	3	May 16 – May 24	1 in 21

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	26	Mar 15 – Sep 27	1 in 4,367
2	Odd Grenland	10	Mar 22 – May 24	1 in 197
3	Molde	9	Jun 1 – Aug 1	1 in 27
4	Start	7	Apr 19 – May 24	1 in 24
5	Aalesund	6	Aug 30 – Oct 18	1 in 21

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lyn Oslo	18	Apr 13 – Aug 16	1 in 2,959
2	Lillestrom	9	Mar 14 – May 16	1 in 36
3	Viking	8	Aug 23 – Oct 25	1 in 31
4	Sandefjord	9	May 16 – Jul 4	1 in 27
5	Tromso	6	Apr 18 – May 21	1 in 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Rosenborg	40.79%	19.34%	12.17%	7.60%	5.37%	4.27%	3.11%	2.12%	1.72%	1.13%	0.81%	0.62%	0.42%	0.29%	0.17%	0.07%
Molde	8.58%	10.43%	10.52%	9.98%	8.84%	8.25%	7.29%	6.99%	5.79%	5.22%	4.42%	4.16%	3.39%	2.60%	2.08%	1.46%
Stabaek	19.49%	18.22%	13.24%	10.76%	8.78%	6.59%	5.31%	4.27%	3.56%	2.79%	2.22%	1.43%	1.42%	1.00%	0.60%	0.32%
Odd Grenland	4.01%	6.45%	7.82%	7.62%	8.08%	7.95%	7.29%	7.89%	6.68%	6.88%	6.05%	5.98%	5.06%	5.07%	4.17%	3.00%
Brann	5.75%	7.92%	8.92%	9.02%	8.64%	8.01%	8.01%	7.11%	6.77%	6.36%	5.70%	4.66%	4.41%	3.33%	3.04%	2.35%
Tromso	5.21%	7.81%	8.57%	9.09%	8.35%	8.25%	7.54%	7.12%	7.11%	6.14%	5.75%	5.28%	4.56%	4.26%	2.70%	2.26%
Valerenga	3.39%	6.11%	6.76%	7.37%	7.71%	7.66%	7.73%	7.31%	7.13%	6.89%	7.39%	6.20%	5.63%	4.80%	4.65%	3.27%
Sandefjord	0.56%	1.54%	2.58%	3.04%	4.12%	4.28%	5.05%	5.47%	6.58%	7.07%	7.88%	8.50%	9.11%	10.25%	11.77%	12.20%
Start	1.58%	2.94%	3.40%	4.74%	5.24%	6.12%	6.48%	6.83%	6.98%	7.85%	7.72%	8.36%	8.30%	7.76%	7.82%	7.88%
Viking	3.41%	5.94%	6.56%	7.52%	7.77%	7.96%	7.41%	7.33%	7.74%	7.37%	6.45%	6.08%	5.68%	5.38%	4.14%	3.26%
Lillestrom	1.62%	2.82%	4.05%	4.88%	5.47%	5.97%	6.39%	7.05%	6.66%	7.24%	8.07%	7.60%	8.30%	8.25%	8.03%	7.60%
Stromsgodset	0.74%	1.69%	2.41%	3.19%	3.63%	4.30%	5.66%	6.37%	6.57%	7.52%	7.94%	8.43%	8.91%	10.11%	10.57%	11.96%
Aalesund	0.82%	1.73%	2.41%	3.09%	3.68%	4.52%	5.39%	5.78%	6.95%	7.38%	7.64%	8.84%	9.73%	9.99%	10.80%	11.25%
Fredrikstad	2.31%	3.71%	5.22%	5.85%	6.67%	7.32%	7.09%	7.36%	7.18%	7.62%	7.38%	7.24%	6.86%	6.93%	6.33%	4.93%
Bodo Glimt	0.36%	0.88%	1.41%	1.97%	2.66%	2.92%	3.95%	4.64%	5.64%	5.41%	6.62%	8.48%	9.70%	11.47%	14.17%	19.72%
Lyn Oslo	1.38%	2.47%	3.96%	4.28%	4.99%	5.63%	6.30%	6.36%	6.94%	7.13%	7.96%	8.14%	8.52%	8.51%	8.96%	8.47%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	99.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%
Stabaek	98.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.9%
Molde	93.9%	1.8%	0.8%	3.5%
Tromso	90.8%	2.5%	1.8%	5.0%
Brann	91.3%	1.9%	1.4%	5.4%
Odd Grenland	87.8%	2.7%	2.3%	7.2%
Viking	87.2%	3.2%	2.2%	7.4%
Valerenga	87.3%	2.5%	2.3%	7.9%
Fredrikstad	81.8%	4.0%	3.0%	11.3%
Lillestrom	76.1%	4.3%	4.0%	15.6%
Start	76.5%	3.7%	4.0%	15.7%
Lyn Oslo	74.1%	3.4%	5.1%	17.4%
Stromsgodset	67.4%	6.0%	4.1%	22.5%
Aalesund	68.0%	5.3%	4.7%	22.1%
Sandefjord	65.8%	5.2%	5.1%	24.0%
Bodo Glimt	54.6%	4.8%	6.6%	33.9%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2009-03-14	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1644	1594	53.5%	24.8%	21.6%	-1.1	1
2009-03-14	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1594	1644	21.6%	24.8%	53.5%	+1.1	1
2009-03-15	Tromso	D 1-1	1580	1618	40.6%	29.5%	29.8%	-0.3	1
2009-03-15	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1618	1580	29.8%	29.5%	40.6%	+0.3	1
2009-03-15	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1586	1606	43.2%	28.9%	27.9%	-0.5	1
2009-03-15	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1606	1586	27.9%	28.9%	43.2%	+0.5	1
2009-03-15	Molde	L 0-1	1604	1583	49.3%	26.8%	23.9%	-7.4	0
2009-03-15	@ Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1583	1604	23.9%	26.8%	49.3%	+7.4	3
2009-03-15	Valerenga	W 3-0	1614	1597	48.6%	27.1%	24.3%	+11.8	3
2009-03-15	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1597	1614	24.3%	27.1%	48.6%	-11.8	0
2009-03-15	Start	D 3-3	1575	1562	48.2%	27.3%	24.5%	-0.5	1
2009-03-15	@ Stromsgodset	D 3-3	1562	1575	24.5%	27.3%	48.2%	+0.5	1
2009-03-15	Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1612	1565	53.2%	25.0%	21.8%	+10.5	3
2009-03-15	@ Viking	L 0-3	1565	1612	21.8%	25.0%	53.2%	-10.5	0
2009-03-16	Brann	W 3-1	1556	1606	38.9%	29.8%	31.3%	+8.8	3
2009-03-16	@ Sandefjord	L 1-3	1606	1556	31.3%	29.8%	38.9%	-8.8	0
2009-03-21	Aalesund	D 1-1	1586	1580	47.1%	27.7%	25.2%	-0.7	1
2009-03-21	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1580	1586	25.2%	27.7%	47.1%	+0.7	2
2009-03-22	Stabaek	D 1-1	1598	1643	39.6%	29.7%	30.7%	-0.3	1
2009-03-22	@ Brann	D 1-1	1643	1598	30.7%	29.7%	39.6%	+0.3	2
2009-03-22	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1607	1575	50.9%	26.1%	23.0%	+7.7	4
2009-03-22	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1575	1607	23.0%	26.1%	50.9%	-7.7	1
2009-03-22	Viking	D 1-1	1595	1623	42.1%	29.2%	28.7%	-0.4	2
2009-03-22	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1623	1595	28.7%	29.2%	42.1%	+0.4	4
2009-03-22	Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	1590	1585	46.9%	27.8%	25.3%	+7.3	6
2009-03-22	@ Molde	L 1-3	1585	1590	25.3%	27.8%	46.9%	-7.3	1
2009-03-22	Sandefjord	W 2-0	1554	1565	44.6%	28.5%	26.9%	+9.0	3
2009-03-22	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1565	1554	26.9%	28.5%	44.6%	-9.0	3
2009-03-22	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1562	1596	41.2%	29.4%	29.4%	-0.4	2
2009-03-22	@ Start	D 1-1	1596	1562	29.4%	29.4%	41.2%	+0.4	1
2009-03-23	Rosenborg	L 2-4	1618	1625	45.1%	28.4%	26.5%	-10.2	1
2009-03-23	@ Tromso	W 4-2	1625	1618	26.5%	28.4%	45.1%	+10.2	6
2009-04-04	Start	L 0-1	1623	1562	55.2%	23.9%	20.8%	-8.0	4
2009-04-04	@ Viking	W 1-0	1562	1623	20.8%	23.9%	55.2%	+8.0	5
2009-04-05	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1580	1594	44.1%	28.7%	27.2%	+7.8	5
2009-04-05	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1594	1580	27.2%	28.7%	44.1%	-7.8	2
2009-04-05	Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1578	1597	43.4%	28.9%	27.7%	-12.8	1
2009-04-05	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1597	1578	27.7%	28.9%	43.4%	+12.8	4
2009-04-05	Brann	D 1-1	1636	1597	51.8%	25.7%	22.5%	-1.0	7
2009-04-05	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1597	1636	22.5%	25.7%	51.8%	+1.0	2
2009-04-05	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1556	1614	37.7%	29.9%	32.4%	-0.2	4
2009-04-05	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1614	1556	32.4%	29.9%	37.7%	+0.2	5
2009-04-05	Odd Grenland	D 3-3	1643	1563	57.9%	22.4%	19.6%	-0.8	3
2009-04-05	@ Stabaek	D 3-3	1563	1643	19.6%	22.4%	57.9%	+0.8	4
2009-04-05	Molde	L 0-2	1567	1598	41.7%	29.3%	29.0%	-12.5	1
2009-04-05	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1598	1567	29.0%	29.3%	41.7%	+12.5	9
2009-04-06	Tromso	L 2-4	1585	1608	42.8%	29.0%	28.1%	-9.9	1
2009-04-06	@ Valerenga	W 4-2	1608	1585	28.1%	29.0%	42.8%	+9.8	4
2009-04-08	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1570	1635	36.7%	30.0%	33.3%	-5.7	5
2009-04-08	@ Start	W 2-1	1635	1570	33.3%	30.0%	36.7%	+5.7	10
2009-04-13	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1565	1555	47.7%	27.5%	24.8%	+4.4	4
2009-04-13	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1555	1565	24.8%	27.5%	47.7%	-4.4	1
2009-04-13	Tromso	L 2-4	1598	1618	43.3%	28.9%	27.8%	-9.9	2
2009-04-13	@ Brann	W 4-2	1618	1598	27.8%	28.9%	43.3%	+9.9	7
2009-04-13	Valerenga	L 1-2	1587	1575	47.9%	27.4%	24.7%	-6.9	2
2009-04-13	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1575	1587	24.7%	27.4%	47.9%	+6.9	4
2009-04-13	Viking	D 0-0	1609	1615	45.4%	28.3%	26.3%	-0.7	5
2009-04-13	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1615	1609	26.3%	28.3%	45.4%	+0.7	5
2009-04-13	Sandefjord	D 1-1	1610	1556	54.1%	24.5%	21.3%	-1.1	10
2009-04-13	@ Molde	D 1-1	1556	1610	21.3%	24.5%	54.1%	+1.1	5
2009-04-13	Aalesund	W 4-2	1564	1588	42.6%	29.1%	28.3%	+7.2	7
2009-04-13	@ Odd Grenland	L 2-4	1588	1564	28.3%	29.1%	42.6%	-7.2	5
2009-04-14	Stabaek	L 0-1	1614	1642	42.1%	29.2%	28.7%	-6.7	5
2009-04-14	@ Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1642	1614	28.7%	29.2%	42.1%	+6.7	6
2009-04-18	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1628	1580	53.2%	25.0%	21.8%	-1.0	8
2009-04-18	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1580	1628	21.8%	25.0%	53.2%	+1.0	3
2009-04-19	Start	D 1-1	1581	1564	48.7%	27.1%	24.2%	-0.8	6
2009-04-19	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1564	1581	24.2%	27.1%	48.7%	+0.8	6
2009-04-19	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1640	1571	56.4%	23.3%	20.3%	-1.2	11
2009-04-19	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1571	1640	20.3%	23.3%	56.4%	+1.2	8
2009-04-19	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1557	1569	44.4%	28.6%	27.0%	-0.6	6
2009-04-19	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1569	1557	27.0%	28.6%	44.4%	+0.6	5
2009-04-19	Molde	L 2-3	1649	1609	52.1%	25.6%	22.4%	-6.9	6
2009-04-19	@ Stabaek	W 3-2	1609	1649	22.4%	25.6%	52.1%	+6.9	13
2009-04-19	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1550	1609	37.6%	29.9%	32.4%	-0.2	2
2009-04-19	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1609	1550	32.4%	29.9%	37.6%	+0.2	6
2009-04-19	Brann	D 1-1	1582	1588	45.3%	28.3%	26.4%	-0.6	5
2009-04-19	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1588	1582	26.4%	28.3%	45.3%	+0.6	3
2009-04-20	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1616	1608	47.4%	27.6%	25.0%	-6.8	5
2009-04-20	@ Viking	W 2-1	1608	1616	25.0%	27.6%	47.4%	+6.8	8
2009-04-25	Viking	L 1-2	1616	1609	47.2%	27.7%	25.1%	-6.8	13
2009-04-25	@ Molde	W 2-1	1609	1616	25.1%	27.7%	47.2%	+6.8	8
2009-04-26	Aalesund	L 0-1	1615	1580	51.3%	25.9%	22.8%	-7.6	8
2009-04-26	@ Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1580	1615	22.8%	25.9%	51.3%	+7.6	9
2009-04-26	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1581	1639	37.6%	29.9%	32.4%	-5.8	3
2009-04-26	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1639	1581	32.4%	29.9%	37.6%	+5.8	14
2009-04-26	Sandefjord	L 1-2	1609	1557	53.9%	24.6%	21.5%	-7.5	6
2009-04-26	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1557	1609	21.5%	24.6%	53.9%	+7.5	9
2009-04-26	Valerenga	D 2-2	1572	1581	44.9%	28.5%	26.7%	-0.4	9
2009-04-26	@ Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1581	1572	26.7%	28.5%	44.9%	+0.4	6
2009-04-26	Tromso	W 3-1	1565	1627	37.1%	30.0%	32.9%	+9.1	9
2009-04-26	@ Start	L 1-3	1627	1565	32.9%	30.0%	37.1%	-9.1	8
2009-04-26	Stabaek	W 1-0	1550	1642	32.9%	30.0%	37.1%	+6.1	5
2009-04-26	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1642	1550	37.1%	30.0%	32.9%	-6.1	6
2009-04-27	Brann	L 0-2	1570	1589	43.4%	28.9%	27.7%	-12.8	5
2009-04-27	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1589	1570	27.7%	28.9%	43.4%	+12.8	6
2009-04-30	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1602	1575	50.1%	26.5%	23.4%	+6.8	9
2009-04-30	@ Brann	L 1-3	1575	1602	23.4%	26.5%	50.1%	-6.8	3
2009-05-02	Molde	L 0-2	1588	1609	43.1%	29.0%	27.9%	-12.8	9
2009-05-02	@ Aalesund	W 2-0	1609	1588	27.9%	29.0%	43.1%	+12.8	16
2009-05-03	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1645	1607	51.8%	25.7%	22.5%	+4.0	17
2009-05-03	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1607	1645	22.5%	25.7%	51.8%	-4.0	8
2009-05-03	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1564	1556	47.3%	27.6%	25.0%	+4.5	12
2009-05-03	@ Sandefjord	L 0-1	1556	1564	25.0%	27.6%	47.3%	-4.4	5
2009-05-03	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1636	1601	51.3%	25.9%	22.8%	-1.0	7
2009-05-03	@ Stabaek	D 0-0	1601	1636	22.8%	25.9%	51.3%	+1.0	7
2009-05-03	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1618	1572	52.9%	25.1%	21.9%	-1.0	9
2009-05-03	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1572	1618	21.9%	25.1%	52.9%	+1.0	10
2009-05-03	Start	L 2-3	1582	1574	47.4%	27.6%	25.0%	-6.5	6
2009-05-03	@ Valerenga	W 3-2	1574	1582	25.0%	27.6%	47.4%	+6.5	12
2009-05-03	Bodo Glimt	W 3-2	1616	1557	54.8%	24.2%	21.0%	+3.3	11
2009-05-03	@ Viking	L 2-3	1557	1616	21.0%	24.2%	54.8%	-3.3	5
2009-05-06	Stabaek	W 2-1	1554	1635	34.4%	30.1%	35.6%	+5.6	8
2009-05-06	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1635	1554	35.6%	30.1%	34.4%	-5.6	7
2009-05-06	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1602	1649	39.4%	29.7%	30.9%	-0.3	8
2009-05-06	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1649	1602	30.9%	29.7%	39.4%	+0.3	18
2009-05-06	Valerenga	L 0-3	1622	1575	53.0%	25.1%	21.9%	-21.5	16
2009-05-06	@ Molde	W 3-0	1575	1622	21.9%	25.1%	53.0%	+21.5	9
2009-05-06	Viking	W 3-1	1568	1619	38.8%	29.8%	31.4%	+8.8	15
2009-05-06	@ Sandefjord	L 1-3	1619	1568	31.4%	29.8%	38.8%	-8.8	11
2009-05-06	Lillestrom	W 3-0	1580	1568	48.0%	27.4%	24.6%	+12.0	15
2009-05-06	@ Start	L 0-3	1568	1580	24.6%	27.4%	48.0%	-12.0	3
2009-05-06	Aalesund	W 2-0	1552	1575	42.8%	29.0%	28.2%	+9.3	8
2009-05-06	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1575	1552	28.2%	29.0%	42.8%	-9.3	9
2009-05-07	Tromso	W 3-0	1603	1617	44.2%	28.7%	27.1%	+13.1	11
2009-05-07	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1617	1603	27.1%	28.7%	44.2%	-13.1	9
2009-05-09	Brann	W 3-1	1573	1609	41.0%	29.5%	29.6%	+8.4	13
2009-05-09	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-3	1609	1573	29.6%	29.5%	41.0%	-8.4	9
2009-05-16	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1566	1602	40.8%	29.5%	29.7%	+9.7	12
2009-05-16	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1602	1566	29.7%	29.5%	40.8%	-9.8	8
2009-05-16	Start	D 1-1	1600	1592	47.3%	27.6%	25.1%	-0.7	10
2009-05-16	@ Brann	D 1-1	1592	1600	25.1%	27.6%	47.3%	+0.7	16
2009-05-16	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1556	1581	42.5%	29.1%	28.4%	-0.5	4
2009-05-16	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1581	1556	28.4%	29.1%	42.5%	+0.4	14
2009-05-16	Molde	D 2-2	1649	1600	53.4%	24.9%	21.7%	-0.8	19
2009-05-16	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1600	1649	21.7%	24.9%	53.4%	+0.8	17
2009-05-16	Sandefjord	W 4-1	1629	1577	53.8%	24.7%	21.5%	+8.7	10
2009-05-16	@ Stabaek	L 1-4	1577	1629	21.5%	24.7%	53.8%	-8.7	15
2009-05-16	Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1603	1559	52.7%	25.3%	22.1%	-1.1	10
2009-05-16	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1559	1603	22.1%	25.3%	52.7%	+1.1	9
2009-05-16	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1597	1616	43.4%	28.9%	27.7%	+4.6	12
2009-05-16	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1616	1597	27.7%	28.9%	43.4%	-4.6	11
2009-05-16	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1610	1561	53.4%	24.9%	21.7%	-1.1	12
2009-05-16	@ Viking	D 1-1	1561	1610	21.7%	24.9%	53.4%	+1.1	9
2009-05-19	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1569	1648	34.5%	30.1%	35.4%	+0.0	16
2009-05-19	@ Sandefjord	D 2-2	1648	1569	35.4%	30.1%	34.5%	-0.0	20
2009-05-21	Aalesund	W 3-0	1560	1575	44.0%	28.7%	27.3%	+13.2	12
2009-05-21	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-3	1575	1560	27.3%	28.7%	44.0%	-13.2	12
2009-05-21	Brann	L 2-4	1611	1599	48.0%	27.4%	24.7%	-10.7	11
2009-05-21	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-2	1599	1611	24.7%	27.4%	48.0%	+10.7	13
2009-05-21	Valerenga	D 4-4	1592	1601	44.9%	28.5%	26.7%	-0.3	9
2009-05-21	@ Lyn Oslo	D 4-4	1601	1592	26.7%	28.5%	44.9%	+0.3	13
2009-05-21	Tromso	D 1-1	1601	1602	46.0%	28.1%	25.9%	-0.7	18
2009-05-21	@ Molde	D 1-1	1602	1601	25.9%	28.1%	46.0%	+0.7	11
2009-05-21	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1593	1582	47.9%	27.4%	24.7%	-0.8	17
2009-05-21	@ Start	D 1-1	1582	1593	24.7%	27.4%	47.9%	+0.7	15
2009-05-21	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1562	1556	47.1%	27.7%	25.2%	-6.8	9
2009-05-21	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1556	1562	25.2%	27.7%	47.1%	+6.8	7
2009-05-21	Stabaek	D 2-2	1609	1638	41.9%	29.2%	28.8%	-0.3	13
2009-05-21	@ Viking	D 2-2	1638	1609	28.8%	29.2%	41.9%	+0.3	11
2009-05-24	Sandefjord	W 2-1	1563	1569	45.3%	28.3%	26.4%	+4.4	10
2009-05-24	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1569	1563	26.4%	28.3%	45.3%	-4.4	16
2009-05-24	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1583	1601	43.5%	28.9%	27.6%	+9.2	18
2009-05-24	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1601	1583	27.6%	28.9%	43.5%	-9.2	11
2009-05-24	Viking	W 1-0	1648	1609	52.0%	25.6%	22.4%	+4.0	23
2009-05-24	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1609	1648	22.4%	25.6%	52.0%	-4.0	13
2009-05-24	Bodo Glimt	W 4-0	1592	1574	49.0%	27.0%	24.1%	+15.3	20
2009-05-24	@ Start	L 0-4	1574	1592	24.1%	27.0%	49.0%	-15.3	12
2009-05-24	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1603	1592	47.8%	27.4%	24.8%	+4.4	14
2009-05-24	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1592	1603	24.8%	27.4%	47.8%	-4.4	9
2009-05-24	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1602	1555	53.0%	25.1%	21.9%	+3.8	16
2009-05-24	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1555	1602	21.9%	25.1%	53.0%	-3.8	9
2009-05-25	Stabaek	W 1-0	1562	1638	35.1%	30.1%	34.9%	+5.8	15
2009-05-25	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1638	1562	34.9%	30.1%	35.1%	-5.8	11
2009-05-28	Molde	W 2-0	1610	1600	47.6%	27.5%	24.9%	+8.3	16
2009-05-28	@ Brann	L 0-2	1600	1610	24.9%	27.5%	47.6%	-8.3	18
2009-06-01	Rosenborg	L 0-4	1558	1652	32.6%	30.0%	37.5%	-19.9	12
2009-06-01	@ Bodo Glimt	W 4-0	1652	1558	37.5%	30.0%	32.6%	+19.9	26
2009-06-01	Start	W 1-0	1592	1608	43.8%	28.8%	27.4%	+4.8	14
2009-06-01	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1608	1592	27.4%	28.8%	43.8%	-4.8	20
2009-06-01	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1588	1567	49.3%	26.8%	23.9%	-0.8	10
2009-06-01	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1567	1588	23.9%	26.8%	49.3%	+0.8	11
2009-06-01	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1592	1592	46.3%	28.0%	25.7%	+4.3	21
2009-06-01	@ Molde	L 1-2	1592	1592	25.7%	28.0%	46.3%	-4.3	18
2009-06-01	Aalesund	L 1-2	1564	1568	45.6%	28.2%	26.2%	-6.7	16
2009-06-01	@ Sandefjord	W 2-1	1568	1564	26.2%	28.2%	45.6%	+6.7	18
2009-06-01	Tromso	W 2-0	1633	1607	49.9%	26.6%	23.5%	+7.9	14
2009-06-01	@ Stabaek	L 0-2	1607	1633	23.5%	26.6%	49.9%	-7.9	14
2009-06-01	Valerenga	L 0-3	1605	1606	46.1%	28.1%	25.8%	-19.4	13
2009-06-01	@ Viking	W 3-0	1606	1605	25.8%	28.1%	46.1%	+19.5	19
2009-06-02	Brann	W 2-1	1552	1618	36.4%	30.0%	33.6%	+5.3	12
2009-06-02	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1618	1552	33.6%	30.0%	36.4%	-5.4	16
2009-06-13	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1672	1557	63.0%	19.4%	17.6%	+8.0	29
2009-06-13	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1557	1672	17.6%	19.4%	63.0%	-7.9	12
2009-06-14	Viking	L 0-1	1575	1585	44.6%	28.5%	26.8%	-6.9	18
2009-06-14	@ Aalesund	W 1-0	1585	1575	26.8%	28.5%	44.6%	+6.9	16
2009-06-14	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1613	1587	50.0%	26.5%	23.4%	+3.9	19
2009-06-14	@ Brann	L 1-2	1587	1613	23.4%	26.5%	50.0%	-3.9	10
2009-06-14	Fredrikstad	W 4-2	1568	1596	42.0%	29.2%	28.8%	+7.4	14
2009-06-14	@ Lillestrom	L 2-4	1596	1568	28.8%	29.2%	42.0%	-7.4	14
2009-06-14	Bodo Glimt	W 4-0	1587	1539	53.4%	24.9%	21.7%	+13.6	21
2009-06-14	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-4	1539	1587	21.7%	24.9%	53.4%	-13.7	12
2009-06-14	Sandefjord	D 1-1	1599	1558	52.4%	25.4%	22.2%	-1.0	15
2009-06-14	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1558	1599	22.2%	25.4%	52.4%	+1.0	17
2009-06-14	Stabaek	L 0-1	1625	1640	43.9%	28.7%	27.3%	-6.9	19
2009-06-14	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1640	1625	27.3%	28.7%	43.9%	+6.9	17
2009-06-15	Molde	D 2-2	1603	1596	47.1%	27.7%	25.2%	-0.5	21
2009-06-15	@ Start	D 2-2	1596	1603	25.2%	27.7%	47.1%	+0.5	22
2009-06-20	Rosenborg	L 0-3	1568	1680	30.2%	29.6%	40.1%	-14.4	18
2009-06-20	@ Aalesund	W 3-0	1680	1568	40.1%	29.6%	30.2%	+14.4	32
2009-06-20	Valerenga	L 0-2	1559	1618	37.5%	30.0%	32.6%	-11.6	17
2009-06-20	@ Sandefjord	W 2-0	1618	1559	32.6%	30.0%	37.5%	+11.6	22
2009-06-21	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1525	1575	38.8%	29.8%	31.4%	-0.2	13
2009-06-21	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1575	1525	31.4%	29.8%	38.8%	+0.2	15
2009-06-21	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1583	1601	43.5%	28.8%	27.6%	-0.5	11
2009-06-21	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1601	1583	27.6%	28.8%	43.5%	+0.5	22
2009-06-21	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1597	1589	47.4%	27.6%	25.0%	+8.4	25
2009-06-21	@ Molde	L 0-2	1589	1597	25.0%	27.6%	47.4%	-8.4	14
2009-06-21	Start	W 5-0	1647	1602	52.8%	25.2%	22.0%	+17.1	20
2009-06-21	@ Stabaek	L 0-5	1602	1647	22.0%	25.2%	52.8%	-17.1	21
2009-06-21	Tromso	W 2-1	1549	1598	38.9%	29.8%	31.3%	+5.1	15
2009-06-21	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1598	1549	31.3%	29.8%	38.9%	-5.1	15
2009-06-21	Brann	D 1-1	1592	1617	42.6%	29.1%	28.3%	-0.4	17
2009-06-21	@ Viking	D 1-1	1617	1592	28.3%	29.1%	42.6%	+0.5	20
2009-06-24	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1581	1583	45.9%	28.1%	25.9%	+4.3	17
2009-06-24	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1583	1581	25.9%	28.1%	45.9%	-4.3	11
2009-06-24	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1602	1554	53.2%	25.0%	21.8%	+3.6	25
2009-06-24	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1554	1602	21.8%	25.0%	53.2%	-3.6	15
2009-06-24	Stabaek	W 1-0	1695	1664	50.6%	26.2%	23.1%	+4.1	35
2009-06-24	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1664	1695	23.1%	26.2%	50.6%	-4.1	20
2009-06-24	Sandefjord	W 3-2	1585	1547	51.8%	25.7%	22.5%	+3.5	24
2009-06-24	@ Start	L 2-3	1547	1585	22.5%	25.7%	51.8%	-3.5	17
2009-06-24	Viking	L 0-1	1593	1592	46.4%	28.0%	25.6%	-7.1	15
2009-06-24	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1592	1593	25.6%	28.0%	46.4%	+7.1	20
2009-06-24	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1630	1525	61.5%	20.3%	18.2%	+2.9	25
2009-06-24	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1525	1630	18.2%	20.3%	61.5%	-2.9	13
2009-06-25	Aalesund	W 2-1	1617	1553	55.6%	23.7%	20.7%	+3.4	23
2009-06-25	@ Brann	L 1-2	1553	1617	20.7%	23.7%	55.6%	-3.4	18
2009-06-25	Molde	L 0-1	1575	1605	41.8%	29.3%	28.9%	-6.6	15
2009-06-25	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1605	1575	28.9%	29.3%	41.8%	+6.6	28
2009-06-28	Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1585	1522	55.5%	23.8%	20.7%	-0.9	18
2009-06-28	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1522	1585	20.7%	23.8%	55.5%	+0.9	14
2009-06-28	Lyn Oslo	W 4-0	1612	1578	51.2%	26.0%	22.8%	+14.5	31
2009-06-28	@ Molde	L 0-4	1578	1612	22.8%	26.0%	51.2%	-14.5	11
2009-06-28	Viking	D 2-2	1605	1599	47.1%	27.7%	25.2%	-0.5	26
2009-06-28	@ Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1599	1605	25.2%	27.7%	47.1%	+0.5	21
2009-06-28	Sandefjord	D 1-1	1550	1543	47.2%	27.7%	25.1%	-0.7	16
2009-06-28	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1543	1550	25.1%	27.7%	47.2%	+0.7	18
2009-06-28	Aalesund	W 3-1	1586	1550	51.5%	25.8%	22.7%	+6.5	18
2009-06-28	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1550	1586	22.7%	25.8%	51.5%	-6.5	18
2009-06-28	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1633	1699	36.5%	30.0%	33.5%	-5.7	25
2009-06-28	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1699	1633	33.5%	30.0%	36.5%	+5.7	38
2009-06-29	Brann	W 2-1	1660	1621	52.0%	25.6%	22.4%	+3.7	23
2009-06-29	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1621	1660	22.4%	25.6%	52.0%	-3.7	23
2009-07-01	Start	W 3-2	1569	1589	43.3%	28.9%	27.8%	+4.4	18
2009-07-01	@ Lillestrom	L 2-3	1589	1569	27.8%	28.9%	43.3%	-4.4	24
2009-07-04	Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1544	1605	37.3%	30.0%	32.7%	-5.8	18
2009-07-04	@ Sandefjord	W 2-1	1605	1544	32.7%	30.0%	37.3%	+5.8	29
2009-07-05	Valerenga	W 3-2	1544	1627	34.0%	30.0%	35.9%	+5.3	21
2009-07-05	@ Aalesund	L 2-3	1627	1544	35.9%	30.0%	34.0%	-5.3	25
2009-07-05	Molde	L 2-4	1523	1626	31.3%	29.8%	38.9%	-7.9	14
2009-07-05	@ Bodo Glimt	W 4-2	1626	1523	38.9%	29.8%	31.3%	+7.9	34
2009-07-05	Stabaek	D 2-2	1564	1664	31.8%	29.9%	38.4%	+0.1	12
2009-07-05	@ Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1664	1564	38.4%	29.9%	31.8%	-0.2	24
2009-07-05	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1584	1550	51.3%	25.9%	22.8%	-0.7	25
2009-07-05	@ Start	D 2-2	1550	1584	22.8%	25.9%	51.3%	+0.7	17
2009-07-05	Lillestrom	W 4-2	1600	1573	50.1%	26.5%	23.4%	+6.1	24
2009-07-05	@ Viking	L 2-4	1573	1600	23.4%	26.5%	50.1%	-6.1	18
2009-07-06	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1617	1584	51.0%	26.1%	22.9%	+3.8	26
2009-07-06	@ Brann	L 1-2	1584	1617	22.9%	26.1%	51.0%	-3.8	18
2009-07-11	Viking	W 2-0	1664	1606	54.8%	24.2%	21.1%	+6.9	27
2009-07-11	@ Stabaek	L 0-2	1606	1664	21.1%	24.2%	54.8%	-6.9	24
2009-07-12	Sandefjord	L 1-2	1580	1538	52.4%	25.4%	22.2%	-7.3	18
2009-07-12	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1538	1580	22.2%	25.4%	52.4%	+7.3	21
2009-07-12	Aalesund	D 1-1	1567	1549	48.9%	27.0%	24.1%	-0.8	19
2009-07-12	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1549	1567	24.1%	27.0%	48.9%	+0.8	22
2009-07-12	Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1564	1515	53.4%	24.9%	21.7%	-7.9	12
2009-07-12	@ Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1515	1564	21.7%	24.9%	53.4%	+7.9	17
2009-07-12	Brann	W 5-2	1634	1621	48.2%	27.3%	24.5%	+8.7	37
2009-07-12	@ Molde	L 2-5	1621	1634	24.5%	27.3%	48.2%	-8.7	26
2009-07-12	Start	L 1-2	1610	1584	50.1%	26.5%	23.4%	-7.1	29
2009-07-12	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1584	1610	23.4%	26.5%	50.1%	+7.1	28
2009-07-12	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1550	1704	25.7%	28.0%	46.3%	-4.6	17
2009-07-12	@ Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1704	1550	46.3%	28.0%	25.7%	+4.6	41
2009-07-13	Valerenga	W 2-0	1593	1622	42.0%	29.2%	28.8%	+9.5	21
2009-07-13	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1622	1593	28.8%	29.2%	42.0%	-9.5	25
2009-07-25	Stabaek	D 2-2	1591	1671	34.5%	30.1%	35.4%	+0.0	29
2009-07-25	@ Start	D 2-2	1671	1591	35.4%	30.1%	34.5%	-0.0	28
2009-07-26	Bodo Glimt	W 4-2	1612	1523	59.3%	21.6%	19.1%	+4.7	29
2009-07-26	@ Brann	L 2-4	1523	1612	19.1%	21.6%	59.3%	-4.7	17
2009-07-26	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1709	1566	66.8%	17.0%	16.2%	+2.4	44
2009-07-26	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1566	1709	16.2%	17.0%	66.8%	-2.4	19
2009-07-26	Molde	D 1-1	1546	1643	32.1%	29.9%	37.9%	+0.2	22
2009-07-26	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1643	1546	37.9%	29.9%	32.1%	-0.2	38
2009-07-26	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1602	1546	54.5%	24.3%	21.2%	+3.5	24
2009-07-26	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1546	1602	21.2%	24.3%	54.5%	-3.5	17
2009-07-26	Odd Grenland	L 0-3	1612	1603	47.5%	27.6%	25.0%	-19.9	25
2009-07-26	@ Valerenga	W 3-0	1603	1612	25.0%	27.6%	47.5%	+19.9	32
2009-07-26	Lyn Oslo	W 5-2	1599	1556	52.5%	25.4%	22.2%	+7.8	27
2009-07-26	@ Viking	L 2-5	1556	1599	22.2%	25.4%	52.5%	-7.8	12
2009-07-27	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1550	1573	42.8%	29.1%	28.2%	-0.5	23
2009-07-27	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1573	1550	28.2%	29.1%	42.8%	+0.5	19
2009-08-01	Start	W 8-1	1643	1591	53.8%	24.7%	21.5%	+18.8	41
2009-08-01	@ Molde	L 1-8	1591	1643	21.5%	24.7%	53.8%	-18.8	29
2009-08-02	Sandefjord	W 1-0	1518	1546	42.1%	29.2%	28.7%	+5.0	20
2009-08-02	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1546	1518	28.7%	29.2%	42.1%	-5.0	22
2009-08-02	Viking	W 1-0	1573	1606	41.3%	29.4%	29.3%	+5.1	22
2009-08-02	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1606	1573	29.3%	29.4%	41.3%	-5.1	27
2009-08-02	Tromso	D 2-2	1564	1606	40.0%	29.6%	30.3%	-0.2	20
2009-08-02	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1606	1564	30.3%	29.6%	40.0%	+0.2	25
2009-08-02	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1623	1711	33.4%	30.0%	36.6%	+0.1	33
2009-08-02	@ Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1711	1623	36.6%	30.0%	33.4%	-0.1	45
2009-08-02	Aalesund	W 3-0	1671	1549	63.9%	18.8%	17.3%	+7.7	31
2009-08-02	@ Stabaek	L 0-3	1549	1671	17.3%	18.8%	63.9%	-7.8	23
2009-08-02	Valerenga	W 3-0	1542	1592	38.9%	29.8%	31.3%	+14.8	20
2009-08-02	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-3	1592	1542	31.3%	29.8%	38.9%	-14.8	25
2009-08-03	Brann	D 2-2	1548	1617	36.1%	30.0%	33.8%	-0.0	13
2009-08-03	@ Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1617	1548	33.8%	30.0%	36.1%	+0.0	30
2009-08-15	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1711	1523	73.0%	13.0%	14.0%	+3.9	48
2009-08-15	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1523	1711	14.0%	13.0%	73.0%	-3.9	20
2009-08-15	Stabaek	D 0-0	1606	1678	35.6%	30.1%	34.3%	-0.0	26
2009-08-15	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1678	1606	34.3%	30.1%	35.6%	+0.0	32
2009-08-16	Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1541	1623	34.2%	30.0%	35.7%	-5.4	23
2009-08-16	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1623	1541	35.7%	30.0%	34.2%	+5.4	36
2009-08-16	Stromsgodset	W 4-2	1617	1557	55.0%	24.1%	20.9%	+5.3	33
2009-08-16	@ Brann	L 2-4	1557	1617	20.9%	24.1%	55.0%	-5.3	20
2009-08-16	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1541	1548	45.1%	28.4%	26.5%	+4.4	25
2009-08-16	@ Sandefjord	L 1-2	1548	1541	26.5%	28.4%	45.1%	-4.4	13
2009-08-16	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1572	1579	45.2%	28.3%	26.4%	+4.7	32
2009-08-16	@ Start	L 0-1	1579	1572	26.4%	28.3%	45.2%	-4.7	22
2009-08-16	Lillestrom	L 0-1	1577	1564	48.2%	27.3%	24.5%	-7.3	25
2009-08-16	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1564	1577	24.5%	27.3%	48.2%	+7.3	23
2009-08-17	Molde	W 2-1	1601	1662	37.4%	30.0%	32.7%	+5.2	30
2009-08-17	@ Viking	L 1-2	1662	1601	32.7%	30.0%	37.4%	-5.2	41
2009-08-21	Rosenborg	L 1-4	1574	1715	27.0%	28.6%	44.4%	-11.0	22
2009-08-21	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-1	1715	1574	44.4%	28.6%	27.0%	+11.0	51
2009-08-22	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1571	1552	49.0%	26.9%	24.0%	+4.0	26
2009-08-22	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1552	1571	24.0%	26.9%	49.0%	-4.0	20
2009-08-22	Aalesund	W 3-1	1656	1536	63.7%	18.9%	17.3%	+4.6	44
2009-08-22	@ Molde	L 1-3	1536	1656	17.3%	18.9%	63.7%	-4.6	23
2009-08-23	Viking	W 2-0	1519	1607	33.5%	30.0%	36.5%	+11.4	23
2009-08-23	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1607	1519	36.5%	30.0%	33.5%	-11.4	30
2009-08-23	Start	W 4-1	1544	1577	41.3%	29.4%	29.3%	+11.8	16
2009-08-23	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-4	1577	1544	29.3%	29.4%	41.3%	-11.8	32
2009-08-23	Tromso	W 1-0	1629	1606	49.5%	26.7%	23.7%	+4.2	39
2009-08-23	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1606	1629	23.7%	26.7%	49.5%	-4.2	26
2009-08-23	Valerenga	W 3-2	1679	1570	62.0%	20.0%	18.0%	+2.7	35
2009-08-23	@ Stabaek	L 2-3	1570	1679	18.0%	20.0%	62.0%	-2.7	25
2009-08-24	Sandefjord	L 0-1	1622	1545	57.5%	22.7%	19.8%	-8.3	33
2009-08-24	@ Brann	W 1-0	1545	1622	19.8%	22.7%	57.5%	+8.3	28
2009-08-29	Molde	W 2-1	1567	1661	32.6%	30.0%	37.4%	+5.8	28
2009-08-29	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1661	1567	37.4%	30.0%	32.6%	-5.8	44
2009-08-30	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1531	1530	46.4%	28.0%	25.7%	-0.7	24
2009-08-30	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1530	1531	25.7%	28.0%	46.4%	+0.7	24
2009-08-30	Brann	L 0-1	1565	1614	39.0%	29.8%	31.2%	-6.3	32
2009-08-30	@ Start	W 1-0	1614	1565	31.2%	29.8%	39.0%	+6.3	36
2009-08-30	Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1548	1633	33.8%	30.0%	36.2%	+9.8	23
2009-08-30	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1633	1548	36.2%	30.0%	33.8%	-9.8	39
2009-08-30	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1602	1563	51.9%	25.6%	22.4%	+7.5	29
2009-08-30	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1563	1602	22.4%	25.6%	51.9%	-7.5	22
2009-08-30	Sandefjord	D 2-2	1595	1554	52.3%	25.4%	22.2%	-0.7	31
2009-08-30	@ Viking	D 2-2	1554	1595	22.2%	25.4%	52.3%	+0.7	29
2009-08-31	Stabaek	L 1-2	1575	1681	31.0%	29.8%	39.2%	-5.0	26
2009-08-31	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1681	1575	39.2%	29.8%	31.0%	+5.0	38
2009-08-31	Lyn Oslo	W 4-1	1726	1556	70.6%	14.5%	14.9%	+5.2	54
2009-08-31	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1556	1726	14.9%	14.5%	70.6%	-5.2	16
2009-09-12	Valerenga	W 3-1	1555	1573	43.6%	28.8%	27.6%	+7.9	25
2009-09-12	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1573	1555	27.6%	28.8%	43.6%	-7.9	28
2009-09-13	Start	D 1-1	1531	1559	42.1%	29.2%	28.6%	-0.4	25
2009-09-13	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1559	1531	28.6%	29.2%	42.1%	+0.4	33
2009-09-13	Aalesund	L 0-2	1550	1531	49.1%	26.9%	24.0%	-14.0	16
2009-09-13	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1531	1550	24.0%	26.9%	49.1%	+14.0	27
2009-09-13	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1655	1557	60.5%	20.9%	18.6%	+3.0	47
2009-09-13	@ Molde	L 1-2	1557	1655	18.6%	20.9%	60.5%	-3.0	23
2009-09-13	Lillestrom	L 2-3	1623	1570	54.0%	24.6%	21.4%	-7.1	39
2009-09-13	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-2	1570	1623	21.4%	24.6%	54.0%	+7.1	29
2009-09-13	Tromso	W 2-0	1554	1609	38.1%	29.9%	32.0%	+10.3	32
2009-09-13	@ Sandefjord	L 0-2	1609	1554	32.0%	29.9%	38.1%	-10.3	29
2009-09-13	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1686	1731	39.6%	29.7%	30.7%	-6.0	38
2009-09-13	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1731	1686	30.7%	29.7%	39.6%	+6.0	57
2009-09-14	Viking	D 1-1	1620	1595	50.0%	26.5%	23.5%	-0.9	37
2009-09-14	@ Brann	D 1-1	1595	1620	23.5%	26.5%	50.0%	+0.9	32
2009-09-19	Brann	W 3-0	1545	1619	35.3%	30.1%	34.7%	+15.9	30
2009-09-19	@ Aalesund	L 0-3	1619	1545	34.7%	30.1%	35.3%	-15.9	37
2009-09-19	Stabaek	L 1-2	1616	1680	36.8%	30.0%	33.2%	-5.7	39
2009-09-19	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1680	1616	33.2%	30.0%	36.8%	+5.7	41
2009-09-20	Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1577	1531	53.0%	25.1%	21.9%	-0.8	30
2009-09-20	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1531	1577	21.9%	25.1%	53.0%	+0.8	26
2009-09-20	Sandefjord	W 4-0	1737	1565	70.9%	14.3%	14.8%	+8.0	60
2009-09-20	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	1565	1737	14.8%	14.3%	70.9%	-8.0	32
2009-09-20	Fredrikstad	W 4-1	1555	1563	44.9%	28.4%	26.6%	+10.9	26
2009-09-20	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-4	1563	1555	26.6%	28.4%	44.9%	-10.9	25
2009-09-20	Molde	W 1-0	1599	1658	37.5%	29.9%	32.5%	+5.5	32
2009-09-20	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1658	1599	32.5%	29.9%	37.5%	-5.5	47
2009-09-20	Lyn Oslo	W 4-1	1565	1536	50.5%	26.3%	23.2%	+9.5	31
2009-09-20	@ Valerenga	L 1-4	1536	1565	23.2%	26.3%	50.5%	-9.5	16
2009-09-21	Viking	D 1-1	1559	1595	40.9%	29.5%	29.7%	-0.3	34
2009-09-21	@ Start	D 1-1	1595	1559	29.7%	29.5%	40.9%	+0.3	33
2009-09-23	Tromso	D 0-0	1745	1604	66.6%	17.1%	16.3%	-1.9	61
2009-09-23	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1604	1745	16.3%	17.1%	66.6%	+1.9	33
2009-09-26	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1552	1576	42.7%	29.1%	28.2%	+5.0	28
2009-09-26	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1576	1552	28.2%	29.1%	42.7%	-5.0	30
2009-09-27	Valerenga	L 0-2	1531	1575	39.8%	29.7%	30.5%	-12.1	26
2009-09-27	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1575	1531	30.5%	29.7%	39.8%	+12.1	34
2009-09-27	Tromso	L 0-1	1527	1606	34.6%	30.1%	35.4%	-5.8	16
2009-09-27	@ Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1606	1527	35.4%	30.1%	34.6%	+5.8	36
2009-09-27	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1653	1744	33.0%	30.0%	37.0%	-10.6	47
2009-09-27	@ Molde	W 2-0	1744	1653	37.0%	30.0%	33.0%	+10.6	64
2009-09-27	Start	W 1-0	1557	1559	45.9%	28.1%	26.0%	+4.6	35
2009-09-27	@ Sandefjord	L 0-1	1559	1557	26.0%	28.1%	45.9%	-4.6	34
2009-09-27	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1686	1565	63.7%	18.9%	17.3%	+4.6	44
2009-09-27	@ Stabaek	L 1-3	1565	1686	17.3%	18.9%	63.7%	-4.6	26
2009-09-27	Aalesund	D 1-1	1596	1561	51.4%	25.9%	22.7%	-0.9	34
2009-09-27	@ Viking	D 1-1	1561	1596	22.7%	25.9%	51.4%	+0.9	31
2009-09-28	Odd Grenland	W 4-2	1604	1610	45.2%	28.4%	26.4%	+6.8	40
2009-09-28	@ Brann	L 2-4	1610	1604	26.4%	28.4%	45.2%	-6.8	39
2009-10-03	Molde	W 2-1	1604	1642	40.5%	29.5%	29.9%	+4.9	42
2009-10-03	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1642	1604	29.9%	29.5%	40.5%	-4.9	47
2009-10-03	Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1561	1519	52.3%	25.4%	22.2%	+10.8	29
2009-10-03	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-3	1519	1561	22.2%	25.4%	52.3%	-10.8	26
2009-10-04	Sandefjord	D 1-1	1562	1561	46.3%	28.0%	25.7%	-0.7	32
2009-10-04	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1561	1562	25.7%	28.0%	46.3%	+0.7	36
2009-10-04	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1571	1521	53.6%	24.8%	21.6%	+3.6	33
2009-10-04	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1521	1571	21.6%	24.8%	53.6%	-3.6	16
2009-10-04	Start	L 2-3	1754	1554	74.4%	12.1%	13.5%	-8.7	64
2009-10-04	@ Rosenborg	W 3-2	1554	1754	13.5%	12.1%	74.4%	+8.7	37
2009-10-04	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1691	1557	65.5%	17.8%	16.7%	+2.5	47
2009-10-04	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1557	1691	16.7%	17.8%	65.5%	-2.5	28
2009-10-04	Brann	L 0-2	1612	1610	46.5%	27.9%	25.6%	-13.5	36
2009-10-04	@ Tromso	W 2-0	1610	1612	25.6%	27.9%	46.5%	+13.5	43
2009-10-05	Viking	W 3-1	1587	1595	45.0%	28.4%	26.6%	+7.7	37
2009-10-05	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1595	1587	26.6%	28.4%	45.0%	-7.7	34
2009-10-17	Stabaek	W 4-0	1637	1693	38.0%	29.9%	32.1%	+19.6	50
2009-10-17	@ Molde	L 0-4	1693	1637	32.1%	29.9%	38.0%	-19.6	47
2009-10-18	Tromso	D 1-1	1509	1599	33.1%	30.0%	36.9%	+0.1	27
2009-10-18	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1599	1509	36.9%	30.0%	33.1%	-0.1	37
2009-10-18	Valerenga	L 1-2	1624	1595	50.5%	26.3%	23.2%	-7.2	43
2009-10-18	@ Brann	W 2-1	1595	1624	23.2%	26.3%	50.5%	+7.1	40
2009-10-18	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1517	1572	38.3%	29.9%	31.9%	-6.2	16
2009-10-18	@ Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1572	1517	31.9%	29.9%	38.3%	+6.2	32
2009-10-18	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1562	1575	44.3%	28.6%	27.1%	-0.4	37
2009-10-18	@ Sandefjord	D 2-2	1575	1562	27.1%	28.6%	44.3%	+0.4	34
2009-10-18	Aalesund	L 0-1	1563	1561	46.5%	27.9%	25.6%	-7.1	37
2009-10-18	@ Start	W 1-0	1561	1563	25.6%	27.9%	46.5%	+7.1	35
2009-10-18	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1587	1745	25.3%	27.8%	46.9%	+0.8	35
2009-10-18	@ Viking	D 0-0	1745	1587	46.9%	27.8%	25.3%	-0.8	65
2009-10-19	Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1555	1608	38.3%	29.9%	31.8%	+14.9	31
2009-10-19	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1608	1555	31.8%	29.9%	38.3%	-14.9	42
2009-10-25	Molde	L 1-2	1570	1657	33.5%	30.0%	36.4%	-5.3	31
2009-10-25	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1657	1570	36.4%	30.0%	33.5%	+5.4	53
2009-10-25	Brann	W 3-1	1575	1617	40.1%	29.6%	30.3%	+8.6	37
2009-10-25	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1617	1575	30.3%	29.6%	40.1%	-8.6	43
2009-10-25	Lyn Oslo	W 4-1	1594	1511	58.3%	22.2%	19.5%	+7.7	45
2009-10-25	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-4	1511	1594	19.5%	22.2%	58.3%	-7.7	16
2009-10-25	Aalesund	W 2-1	1745	1568	71.4%	14.0%	14.6%	+2.1	68
2009-10-25	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1568	1745	14.6%	14.0%	71.4%	-2.1	35
2009-10-25	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1673	1509	69.9%	15.0%	15.1%	+4.4	50
2009-10-25	@ Stabaek	L 0-2	1509	1673	15.1%	15.0%	69.9%	-4.4	27
2009-10-25	Viking	W 2-1	1578	1588	44.7%	28.5%	26.8%	+4.5	35
2009-10-25	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1588	1578	26.8%	28.5%	44.7%	-4.5	35
2009-10-25	Start	W 3-1	1599	1556	52.5%	25.3%	22.1%	+6.4	40
2009-10-25	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1556	1599	22.1%	25.3%	52.5%	-6.4	37
2009-10-25	Sandefjord	L 1-2	1602	1561	52.1%	25.5%	22.3%	-7.3	40
2009-10-25	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1561	1602	22.3%	25.5%	52.1%	+7.3	40
2009-11-01	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1566	1582	43.8%	28.8%	27.4%	-0.5	36
2009-11-01	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1582	1566	27.4%	28.8%	43.8%	+0.5	36
2009-11-01	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1504	1601	32.2%	29.9%	37.9%	+0.2	28
2009-11-01	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1601	1504	37.9%	29.9%	32.2%	-0.2	46
2009-11-01	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1608	1747	27.3%	28.7%	44.0%	+0.5	44
2009-11-01	@ Brann	D 1-1	1747	1608	44.0%	28.7%	27.3%	-0.5	69
2009-11-01	Fredrikstad	L 0-5	1503	1564	37.2%	30.0%	32.8%	-26.9	16
2009-11-01	@ Lyn Oslo	W 5-0	1564	1503	32.8%	30.0%	37.2%	+26.9	34
2009-11-01	Lillestrom	W 3-0	1662	1584	57.7%	22.6%	19.7%	+9.3	56
2009-11-01	@ Molde	L 0-3	1584	1662	19.7%	22.6%	57.7%	-9.3	37
2009-11-01	Stabaek	L 1-3	1569	1678	30.6%	29.7%	39.7%	-8.7	40
2009-11-01	@ Sandefjord	W 3-1	1678	1569	39.7%	29.7%	30.6%	+8.7	53
2009-11-01	Valerenga	W 2-0	1549	1594	39.6%	29.7%	30.7%	+10.0	40
2009-11-01	@ Start	L 0-2	1594	1549	30.7%	29.7%	39.6%	-10.0	40
2009-11-01	Tromso	W 1-0	1583	1605	43.0%	29.0%	28.0%	+4.9	38
2009-11-01	@ Viking	L 0-1	1605	1583	28.0%	29.0%	43.0%	-4.9	40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2009-10-04	13.50%	Start	1554	3	@ Rosenborg	1754	2
2	2009-08-24	19.82%	Sandefjord	1545	1	@ Brann	1622	0
3	2009-04-04	20.84%	Start	1562	1	@ Viking	1623	0
4	2009-09-13	21.39%	Lillestrom	1570	3	@ Odd Grenland	1623	2
5	2009-04-26	21.46%	Sandefjord	1557	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1609	1
6	2009-07-12	21.69%	Bodo Glimt	1515	1	@ Lyn Oslo	1564	0
7	2009-05-06	21.88%	Valerenga	1575	3	@ Molde	1622	0
8	2009-07-12	22.21%	Sandefjord	1538	2	@ Fredrikstad	1580	1
9	2009-10-25	22.34%	Sandefjord	1561	2	@ Valerenga	1602	1
10	2009-04-19	22.36%	Molde	1609	3	@ Stabaek	1649	2
11	2009-04-26	22.79%	Aalesund	1580	1	@ Fredrikstad	1615	0
12	2009-10-18	23.19%	Valerenga	1595	2	@ Brann	1624	1
13	2009-07-12	23.40%	Start	1584	2	@ Odd Grenland	1610	1
14	2009-03-15	23.89%	Molde	1583	1	@ Lyn Oslo	1604	0
15	2009-09-13	24.00%	Aalesund	1531	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1550	0
16	2009-08-16	24.50%	Lillestrom	1564	1	@ Valerenga	1577	0
17	2009-05-21	24.66%	Brann	1599	4	@ Fredrikstad	1611	2
18	2009-04-13	24.70%	Valerenga	1575	2	@ Lillestrom	1587	1
19	2009-07-26	24.96%	Odd Grenland	1603	3	@ Valerenga	1612	0
20	2009-04-20	25.03%	Fredrikstad	1608	2	@ Viking	1616	1
21	2009-05-03	25.04%	Start	1574	3	@ Valerenga	1582	2
22	2009-04-25	25.12%	Viking	1609	2	@ Molde	1616	1
23	2009-05-21	25.17%	Lillestrom	1556	2	@ Stromsgodset	1562	1
24	2009-10-18	25.59%	Aalesund	1561	1	@ Start	1563	0
25	2009-10-04	25.61%	Brann	1610	2	@ Tromso	1612	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-11-01	26.93	Fredrikstad	5	1564	32.77%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1503	37.25%
2	2009-05-06	21.45	Valerenga	3	1575	21.88%	@ Molde	0	1622	53.03%
3	2009-06-01	19.87	Rosenborg	4	1652	37.46%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1558	32.59%
4	2009-07-26	19.86	Odd Grenland	3	1603	24.96%	@ Valerenga	0	1612	47.49%
5	2009-10-17	19.64	@ Molde	4	1637	38.00%	Stabaek	0	1693	32.09%
6	2009-06-01	19.45	Valerenga	3	1606	25.84%	@ Viking	0	1605	46.10%
7	2009-08-01	18.81	@ Molde	8	1643	53.85%	Start	1	1591	21.48%
8	2009-06-21	17.09	@ Stabaek	5	1647	52.81%	Start	0	1602	21.99%
9	2009-09-19	15.91	@ Aalesund	3	1545	35.26%	Brann	0	1619	34.67%
10	2009-05-24	15.29	@ Start	4	1592	48.96%	Bodo Glimt	0	1574	24.07%
11	2009-10-19	14.93	@ Fredrikstad	3	1555	38.34%	Odd Grenland	0	1608	31.79%
12	2009-08-02	14.76	@ Stromsgodset	3	1542	38.87%	Valerenga	0	1592	31.32%
13	2009-06-28	14.46	@ Molde	4	1612	51.18%	Lyn Oslo	0	1578	22.84%
14	2009-06-20	14.37	Rosenborg	3	1680	40.14%	@ Aalesund	0	1568	30.25%
15	2009-09-13	14.00	Aalesund	2	1531	24.00%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1550	49.08%
16	2009-06-14	13.65	@ Odd Grenland	4	1587	53.40%	Bodo Glimt	0	1539	21.70%
17	2009-10-04	13.47	Brann	2	1610	25.61%	@ Tromso	0	1612	46.46%
18	2009-05-21	13.18	@ Bodo Glimt	3	1560	44.00%	Aalesund	0	1575	27.28%
19	2009-05-07	13.12	@ Fredrikstad	3	1603	44.20%	Tromso	0	1617	27.13%
20	2009-04-05	12.84	Lyn Oslo	2	1597	27.68%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1578	43.43%
21	2009-04-27	12.83	Brann	2	1589	27.70%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1570	43.40%
22	2009-05-02	12.77	Molde	2	1609	27.94%	@ Aalesund	0	1588	43.08%
23	2009-04-05	12.48	Molde	2	1598	28.96%	@ Stromsgodset	0	1567	41.74%
24	2009-09-27	12.08	Valerenga	2	1575	30.51%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1531	39.82%
25	2009-05-06	11.99	@ Start	3	1580	48.00%	Lillestrom	0	1568	24.64%