2008 Tippeligaen Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Stabaek

54 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Bodo Glimt

10.74 points above expected

42 points · 31.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hamarkameratene

9.12 points below expected

21 points · 30.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Stabaek	26	16	6	4	54	58	24	+34	44.1	+9.92
2	Fredrikstad	26	14	6	6	48	38	28	+10	37.4	+10.56
3	Tromso	26	12	8	6	44	36	23	+13	38.7	+5.30
4	Bodo Glimt	26	12	6	8	42	37	38	-1	31.3	+10.74
5	Rosenborg	26	11	6	9	39	40	34	+6	40.4	-1.42
6	Viking	26	11	6	9	39	38	32	+6	37.6	+1.38
7	Lyn Oslo	26	11	5	10	38	38	34	+4	36.8	+1.17
8	Brann	26	8	9	9	33	36	36	0	38.5	-5.49
9	Molde	26	7	10	9	31	39	43	-4	32.3	-1.26
10	Valerenga	26	8	6	12	30	31	37	-6	37.6	-7.62
11	Stromsgodset	26	8	5	13	29	33	44	-11	31.4	-2.40
12	Lillestrom	26	7	7	12	28	30	40	-10	36.5	-8.45
13	Aalesund	26	7	4	15	25	29	42	-13	30.9	-5.85
14	Hamarkameratene	26	5	6	15	21	22	50	-28	30.1	-9.12

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Stabaek	1745	54	44.08	+9.92	94.6%	20	33	40	44	49	55	67
Tromso	1679	44	38.70	+5.30	81.3%	17	28	34	39	43	49	63
Rosenborg	1671	39	40.42	-1.42	44.8%	19	30	36	40	45	51	64
Viking	1667	39	37.62	+1.38	62.1%	14	27	33	38	42	48	59
Fredrikstad	1658	48	37.44	+10.56	95.3%	13	27	33	37	42	48	61
Brann	1651	33	38.49	-5.49	22.0%	13	28	34	39	43	49	62
Lyn Oslo	1647	38	36.83	+1.17	60.3%	16	26	32	37	41	48	64
Valerenga	1631	30	37.62	-7.62	13.8%	14	27	33	38	42	48	65
Lillestrom	1623	28	36.45	-8.45	10.9%	11	26	32	36	41	47	63
Bodo Glimt	1604	42	31.26	+10.74	95.8%	8	21	27	31	36	42	56
Molde	1596	31	32.26	-1.26	45.5%	10	22	28	32	37	43	56
Aalesund	1588	25	30.85	-5.85	21.0%	10	20	26	31	35	42	55
Stromsgodset	1576	29	31.40	-2.40	39.1%	9	21	27	31	36	42	56
Hamarkameratene	1548	21	30.12	-9.12	8.7%	9	20	26	30	34	41	55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BG	BRA	FRE	HAM	LIL	LO	MOL	ROS	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 2.20	0-1-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.33	0-0-2 2.53	0-2-0 2.63	0-0-2 1.99	0-0-2 1.80	2-0-0 2.63	0-0-2 2.13	0-1-1 2.32	0-0-2 2.36
Bodo Glimt	1-0-1 2.66	—	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.35	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.30	1-1-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.14	0-1-1 1.99	2-0-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.24	0-1-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.30
Brann	0-0-2 3.36	1-0-1 3.28	—	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 3.40	1-1-0 2.85	1-1-0 2.83	0-0-2 3.27	0-2-0 2.65	0-0-2 2.36	0-1-1 3.29	0-2-0 2.68	2-0-0 2.78	1-1-0 2.79
Fredrikstad	1-1-0 3.26	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.57	—	1-1-0 3.33	2-0-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.89	2-0-0 3.11	1-1-0 2.56	0-0-2 2.36	1-0-1 3.23	2-0-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.69	1-1-0 2.72
Hamarkameratene	1-0-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.20	—	0-1-1 2.39	1-0-1 2.39	0-0-2 2.56	1-0-1 2.00	0-0-2 1.92	1-1-0 2.57	0-0-2 2.02	0-1-1 2.18	1-0-1 2.28
Lillestrom	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.03	0-1-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.64	1-1-0 3.14	—	0-0-2 2.68	0-2-0 3.11	1-0-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.36	1-0-1 3.05	1-1-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.80	1-1-0 2.64
Lyn Oslo	2-0-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.22	0-1-1 2.69	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 3.12	2-0-0 2.84	—	1-0-1 3.17	0-0-2 2.44	0-1-1 2.34	1-0-1 3.15	0-1-1 2.65	2-0-0 2.70	0-1-1 2.78
Molde	0-2-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.85	2-0-0 2.27	0-0-2 2.40	2-0-0 2.95	0-2-0 2.42	1-0-1 2.37	—	0-0-2 2.26	0-1-1 2.09	0-1-1 2.84	0-2-0 2.30	2-0-0 2.26	0-1-1 2.38
Rosenborg	2-0-0 3.57	0-1-1 3.41	0-2-0 2.87	0-1-1 2.98	1-0-1 3.56	1-0-1 3.01	2-0-0 3.08	2-0-0 3.27	—	0-0-2 2.44	0-1-1 3.49	0-0-2 2.90	1-1-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.95
Stabaek	2-0-0 3.79	1-1-0 3.60	2-0-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.17	2-0-0 3.69	1-1-0 3.14	1-1-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.49	2-0-0 3.08	—	1-1-0 3.71	0-0-2 3.34	1-0-1 3.34	0-1-1 3.33
Stromsgodset	0-0-2 2.89	0-0-2 2.79	1-1-0 2.25	1-0-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.39	1-1-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.08	0-1-1 1.88	—	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.17
Tromso	2-0-0 3.44	0-1-1 3.31	0-2-0 2.83	0-0-2 2.92	2-0-0 3.53	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.85	0-2-0 3.25	2-0-0 2.63	2-0-0 2.21	2-0-0 3.30	—	1-1-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.78
Valerenga	1-1-0 3.20	1-1-0 3.12	0-0-2 2.74	0-1-1 2.83	1-1-0 3.35	2-0-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.81	0-0-2 3.28	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 3.19	0-1-1 2.75	—	1-0-1 2.68
Viking	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 3.22	0-1-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 3.30	0-1-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 3.16	0-0-2 2.57	1-1-0 2.21	1-0-1 3.37	2-0-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.83	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.34%	6.32%	4.95%	2.75%	1.92%	0.82%	26.10%
1	6.32%	12.64%	11.26%	3.30%	1.10%	0.55%	35.16%
2	4.95%	11.26%	1.10%	2.75%	1.37%	0.27%	21.70%
3	2.75%	3.30%	2.75%	1.10%	0.27%	—	10.16%
4	1.92%	1.10%	1.37%	0.27%	0.55%	—	5.22%
5+	0.82%	0.55%	0.27%	—	—	—	1.65%
Total	26.10%	35.16%	21.70%	10.16%	5.22%	1.65%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	1.39
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.006
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
1	7.69%	3.85%	26.92%	7.69%	—	—	46.15%
2	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	19.23%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.290
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	34.62%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	38.46%	26.92%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.105
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	7.69%	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	42.31%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	—	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.246
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	7.69%	26.92%	—	—	3.85%	—	38.46%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	46.15%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	2.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.214
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	46.15%
1	—	11.54%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	30.77%	38.46%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Hamarkameratene — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.85
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.183
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	19.23%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	34.62%	19.23%	11.54%	11.54%	—	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.251
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	15.38%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	26.92%	34.62%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.204
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	26.92%	23.08%	15.38%	11.54%	—	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.266
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	19.23%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	19.23%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	53.85%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.268
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	11.54%	—	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	42.31%	38.46%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.75
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.009
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	—	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	30.77%	23.08%	23.08%	—	3.85%	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.135
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	34.62%
1	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.15%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	0.88
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.354
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	11.54%	19.23%	—	—	3.85%	38.46%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
3	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	38.46%	30.77%	—	—	7.69%	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.048
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
1	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	11.54%	—	15.38%	—	—	34.62%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	34.62%	15.38%	19.23%	—	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.237
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Bodo Glimt	42	31.3	+10.74
2	Fredrikstad	48	37.4	+10.56
3	Stabaek	54	44.1	+9.92
4	Tromso	44	38.7	+5.30
5	Viking	39	37.6	+1.38

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hamarkameratene	21	30.1	-9.12
2	Lillestrom	28	36.5	-8.45
3	Valerenga	30	37.6	-7.62
4	Aalesund	25	30.9	-5.85
5	Brann	33	38.5	-5.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stabaek	6	Apr 19 – Jun 1	1 in 139
2	Tromso	4	Jun 28 – Jul 20	1 in 39
3	Fredrikstad	4	Sep 28 – Oct 26	1 in 35
4	Bodo Glimt	3	Apr 27 – May 16	1 in 24
5	Viking	3	Sep 21 – Oct 5	1 in 20

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stromsgodset	5	Aug 31 – Oct 5	1 in 117
2	Lyn Oslo	4	Sep 21 – Oct 19	1 in 77
3	Valerenga	3	Aug 25 – Sep 15	1 in 31
4	Aalesund	4	Apr 27 – May 26	1 in 23
5	Hamarkameratene	4	Apr 13 – May 4	1 in 19

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stabaek	10	Mar 30 – Jun 7	1 in 50
2	Bodo Glimt	6	Aug 10 – Sep 28	1 in 34
3	Tromso	7	Jun 28 – Aug 6	1 in 26
4	Rosenborg	8	Aug 10 – Oct 19	1 in 23
5	Lillestrom	5	Aug 24 – Sep 27	1 in 19

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valerenga	9	Jul 19 – Sep 28	1 in 156
2	Hamarkameratene	9	Apr 13 – Jul 6	1 in 25
3	Aalesund	8	Jul 27 – Sep 28	1 in 19
4	Stromsgodset	7	Aug 31 – Oct 26	1 in 18
5	Lillestrom	5	Mar 30 – Apr 27	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Stabaek	33.80%	18.32%	12.39%	9.05%	6.72%	5.38%	4.21%	3.13%	2.24%	1.98%	1.29%	0.67%	0.55%	0.27%
Fredrikstad	6.73%	8.50%	9.34%	9.23%	9.00%	9.37%	8.72%	7.96%	7.33%	6.32%	6.10%	5.11%	3.96%	2.33%
Tromso	9.49%	10.74%	10.87%	10.12%	9.76%	8.93%	8.29%	7.22%	6.53%	5.51%	4.66%	3.64%	2.54%	1.70%
Bodo Glimt	0.90%	1.54%	2.45%	3.27%	4.21%	5.05%	5.92%	6.94%	8.30%	10.33%	10.58%	12.50%	13.90%	14.11%
Rosenborg	14.00%	14.03%	11.73%	10.78%	9.56%	8.61%	7.11%	6.15%	5.51%	4.24%	3.28%	2.43%	1.67%	0.90%
Viking	6.80%	8.85%	9.14%	9.41%	9.23%	8.89%	8.62%	8.78%	7.21%	6.54%	5.70%	4.97%	3.26%	2.60%
Lyn Oslo	5.71%	7.09%	8.09%	8.52%	8.89%	8.84%	8.89%	8.60%	8.27%	7.17%	6.61%	5.67%	4.57%	3.08%
Brann	8.04%	9.67%	10.29%	10.09%	9.97%	9.49%	8.21%	7.23%	6.70%	5.92%	5.49%	3.86%	3.38%	1.66%
Molde	1.24%	2.28%	3.24%	4.05%	4.58%	5.79%	7.09%	7.54%	8.66%	9.84%	10.75%	11.69%	11.47%	11.78%
Valerenga	6.35%	8.12%	8.84%	9.15%	8.77%	9.32%	8.59%	8.32%	7.70%	6.68%	6.05%	5.47%	4.10%	2.54%
Stromsgodset	1.00%	1.77%	2.45%	3.23%	4.17%	4.52%	5.66%	7.23%	7.88%	9.39%	10.94%	12.73%	13.51%	15.52%
Lillestrom	4.49%	6.44%	7.30%	8.08%	8.30%	7.89%	8.75%	8.52%	9.00%	7.99%	7.61%	6.16%	5.39%	4.08%
Aalesund	0.83%	1.52%	2.07%	2.76%	3.72%	4.44%	5.33%	6.74%	7.84%	9.10%	10.59%	12.61%	15.16%	17.29%
Hamarkameratene	0.62%	1.13%	1.80%	2.26%	3.12%	3.48%	4.61%	5.64%	6.83%	8.99%	10.35%	12.49%	16.54%	22.14%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Stabaek	99.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.3%
Rosenborg	97.4%	1.3%	0.4%	0.9%
Tromso	95.8%	2.0%	0.5%	1.7%
Brann	95.0%	2.6%	0.8%	1.7%
Fredrikstad	93.7%	3.0%	0.9%	2.3%
Viking	94.1%	2.5%	0.7%	2.6%
Valerenga	93.4%	3.0%	1.1%	2.5%
Lyn Oslo	92.3%	3.5%	1.1%	3.1%
Lillestrom	90.5%	4.0%	1.4%	4.1%
Molde	76.8%	7.7%	3.7%	11.8%
Bodo Glimt	72.0%	9.8%	4.1%	14.1%
Stromsgodset	71.0%	8.7%	4.8%	15.5%
Aalesund	67.5%	9.8%	5.4%	17.3%
Hamarkameratene	61.3%	10.0%	6.6%	22.1%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2008-03-29	Aalesund	W 1-0	1651	1607	55.4%	21.7%	23.0%	+3.0	3
2008-03-29	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1607	1651	23.0%	21.7%	55.4%	-3.0	0
2008-03-30	Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	1578	1620	43.0%	25.6%	31.4%	+7.6	3
2008-03-30	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1620	1578	31.4%	25.6%	43.0%	-7.6	0
2008-03-30	Fredrikstad	W 4-2	1666	1625	55.0%	21.8%	23.1%	+4.4	3
2008-03-30	@ Brann	L 2-4	1625	1666	23.1%	21.8%	55.0%	-4.4	0
2008-03-30	Tromso	D 1-1	1666	1640	52.9%	22.7%	24.4%	-0.7	1
2008-03-30	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1640	1666	24.4%	22.7%	52.9%	+0.7	1
2008-03-30	Stabaek	D 0-0	1598	1670	38.6%	26.0%	35.4%	-0.1	1
2008-03-30	@ Molde	D 0-0	1670	1598	35.4%	26.0%	38.6%	+0.1	1
2008-03-30	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1652	1595	57.4%	20.8%	21.9%	+2.8	3
2008-03-30	@ Viking	L 0-1	1595	1652	21.9%	20.8%	57.4%	-2.8	0
2008-03-31	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1671	1632	54.7%	22.0%	23.4%	+2.9	3
2008-03-31	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1632	1671	23.4%	22.0%	54.7%	-2.9	0
2008-04-05	Brann	W 4-2	1604	1671	39.5%	26.0%	34.5%	+6.4	3
2008-04-05	@ Aalesund	L 2-4	1671	1604	34.5%	26.0%	39.5%	-6.4	3
2008-04-06	Molde	W 2-1	1620	1597	52.4%	22.9%	24.7%	+3.0	3
2008-04-06	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1597	1620	24.7%	22.9%	52.4%	-3.0	1
2008-04-06	Viking	W 3-2	1612	1655	42.9%	25.6%	31.6%	+3.6	3
2008-04-06	@ Hamarkameratene	L 2-3	1655	1612	31.6%	25.6%	42.9%	-3.6	3
2008-04-06	Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	1629	1585	55.4%	21.6%	22.9%	+4.9	3
2008-04-06	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1585	1629	22.9%	21.6%	55.4%	-4.9	3
2008-04-06	Lillestrom	W 4-2	1670	1665	49.8%	23.8%	26.4%	+5.0	4
2008-04-06	@ Stabaek	L 2-4	1665	1670	26.4%	23.8%	49.8%	-5.0	1
2008-04-06	Valerenga	W 2-0	1641	1654	47.2%	24.6%	28.2%	+6.9	4
2008-04-06	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1654	1641	28.2%	24.6%	47.2%	-6.9	3
2008-04-07	Rosenborg	W 3-2	1592	1674	37.3%	26.1%	36.7%	+4.1	3
2008-04-07	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-3	1674	1592	36.7%	26.1%	37.3%	-4.1	3
2008-04-12	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1669	1623	55.7%	21.5%	22.8%	-5.9	3
2008-04-12	@ Rosenborg	W 2-1	1623	1669	22.8%	21.5%	55.7%	+5.9	6
2008-04-13	Stabaek	D 1-1	1581	1675	35.5%	26.0%	38.5%	+0.1	4
2008-04-13	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1675	1581	38.5%	26.0%	35.5%	-0.1	5
2008-04-13	Valerenga	L 0-3	1660	1647	51.0%	23.4%	25.6%	-16.0	1
2008-04-13	@ Lillestrom	W 3-0	1647	1660	25.6%	23.4%	51.0%	+16.0	6
2008-04-13	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1634	1616	51.8%	23.1%	25.1%	+3.1	6
2008-04-13	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1616	1634	25.1%	23.1%	51.8%	-3.1	3
2008-04-13	Tromso	D 0-0	1594	1648	41.4%	25.8%	32.9%	-0.2	2
2008-04-13	@ Molde	D 0-0	1648	1594	32.9%	25.8%	41.4%	+0.2	5
2008-04-13	Aalesund	W 2-1	1652	1611	55.0%	21.8%	23.2%	+2.8	6
2008-04-13	@ Viking	L 1-2	1611	1652	23.2%	21.8%	55.0%	-2.8	3
2008-04-14	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1664	1596	58.8%	20.1%	21.1%	-1.0	4
2008-04-14	@ Brann	D 1-1	1596	1664	21.1%	20.1%	58.8%	+1.0	4
2008-04-19	Brann	W 3-0	1675	1663	50.8%	23.5%	25.7%	+9.2	8
2008-04-19	@ Stabaek	L 0-3	1663	1675	25.7%	23.5%	50.8%	-9.2	4
2008-04-20	Hamarkameratene	W 5-0	1608	1613	48.4%	24.3%	27.3%	+15.7	6
2008-04-20	@ Aalesund	L 0-5	1613	1608	27.3%	24.3%	48.4%	-15.7	3
2008-04-20	Molde	D 1-1	1644	1594	56.3%	21.2%	22.4%	-0.9	2
2008-04-20	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1594	1644	22.4%	21.2%	56.3%	+0.9	3
2008-04-20	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1597	1637	43.3%	25.5%	31.2%	+3.8	7
2008-04-20	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1637	1597	31.2%	25.5%	43.3%	-3.8	6
2008-04-20	Viking	L 0-1	1648	1654	48.2%	24.3%	27.5%	-5.6	5
2008-04-20	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1654	1648	27.5%	24.3%	48.2%	+5.6	9
2008-04-20	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1663	1664	49.0%	24.1%	26.9%	-0.5	7
2008-04-20	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1664	1663	26.9%	24.1%	49.0%	+0.6	4
2008-04-21	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1629	1581	56.1%	21.3%	22.6%	+5.5	9
2008-04-21	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1581	1629	22.6%	21.3%	56.1%	-5.5	4
2008-04-26	Tromso	L 0-1	1664	1642	52.2%	23.0%	24.8%	-5.9	4
2008-04-26	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1642	1664	24.8%	23.0%	52.2%	+5.9	8
2008-04-27	Aalesund	W 2-1	1575	1624	42.1%	25.7%	32.2%	+3.9	7
2008-04-27	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1624	1575	32.2%	25.7%	42.1%	-3.9	6
2008-04-27	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1654	1644	50.6%	23.6%	25.8%	+3.2	7
2008-04-27	@ Brann	L 1-2	1644	1654	25.8%	23.6%	50.6%	-3.2	2
2008-04-27	Stabaek	L 0-2	1597	1684	36.5%	26.1%	37.5%	-8.6	3
2008-04-27	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	1684	1597	37.5%	26.1%	36.5%	+8.6	11
2008-04-27	Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1633	1635	48.9%	24.1%	27.0%	-0.6	7
2008-04-27	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1635	1633	27.0%	24.1%	48.9%	+0.6	10
2008-04-27	Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1595	1601	48.3%	24.3%	27.4%	-0.6	4
2008-04-27	@ Molde	D 0-0	1601	1595	27.4%	24.3%	48.3%	+0.6	8
2008-04-28	Valerenga	L 2-3	1660	1662	48.8%	24.2%	27.1%	-5.0	9
2008-04-28	@ Viking	W 3-2	1662	1660	27.1%	24.2%	48.8%	+5.0	10
2008-05-03	Brann	D 0-0	1648	1657	47.8%	24.4%	27.7%	-0.6	9
2008-05-03	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1657	1648	27.7%	24.4%	47.8%	+0.6	8
2008-05-04	Lyn Oslo	L 0-4	1620	1633	47.2%	24.6%	28.2%	-19.7	6
2008-05-04	@ Aalesund	W 4-0	1633	1620	28.2%	24.6%	47.2%	+19.7	10
2008-05-04	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1635	1588	55.9%	21.4%	22.7%	+2.8	13
2008-05-04	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1588	1635	22.7%	21.4%	55.9%	-2.8	3
2008-05-04	Rosenborg	W 1-0	1693	1658	54.1%	22.2%	23.7%	+3.1	14
2008-05-04	@ Stabaek	L 0-1	1658	1693	23.7%	22.2%	54.1%	-3.1	4
2008-05-04	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1601	1579	52.3%	22.9%	24.7%	-5.6	8
2008-05-04	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1579	1601	24.7%	22.9%	52.3%	+5.6	10
2008-05-04	Molde	L 1-2	1667	1594	59.5%	19.7%	20.8%	-6.2	10
2008-05-04	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1594	1667	20.8%	19.7%	59.5%	+6.1	7
2008-05-05	Viking	W 2-0	1640	1655	47.0%	24.7%	28.3%	+7.0	5
2008-05-05	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1655	1640	28.3%	24.7%	47.0%	-7.0	9
2008-05-16	Tromso	W 2-0	1585	1648	39.9%	25.9%	34.1%	+8.1	13
2008-05-16	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1648	1585	34.1%	25.9%	39.9%	-8.1	9
2008-05-16	Valerenga	W 1-0	1658	1661	48.6%	24.2%	27.2%	+3.5	11
2008-05-16	@ Brann	L 0-1	1661	1658	27.2%	24.2%	48.6%	-3.5	10
2008-05-16	Aalesund	W 5-0	1638	1600	54.6%	22.0%	23.4%	+13.4	16
2008-05-16	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-5	1600	1638	23.4%	22.0%	54.6%	-13.4	6
2008-05-16	Stabaek	L 0-2	1652	1696	42.8%	25.6%	31.6%	-9.7	10
2008-05-16	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1696	1652	31.6%	25.6%	42.8%	+9.6	17
2008-05-16	Viking	L 2-3	1601	1648	42.2%	25.7%	32.1%	-4.5	7
2008-05-16	@ Molde	W 3-2	1648	1601	32.1%	25.7%	42.2%	+4.5	12
2008-05-16	Lillestrom	W 4-0	1655	1647	50.2%	23.7%	26.1%	+12.2	7
2008-05-16	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	1647	1655	26.1%	23.7%	50.2%	-12.2	5
2008-05-19	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1586	1596	47.6%	24.5%	27.9%	-0.5	4
2008-05-19	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1596	1586	27.9%	24.5%	47.6%	+0.5	9
2008-05-24	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1596	1667	38.8%	26.0%	35.2%	-4.5	7
2008-05-24	@ Molde	W 2-1	1667	1596	35.2%	26.0%	38.8%	+4.5	10
2008-05-25	Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1635	1585	56.3%	21.3%	22.5%	-1.0	6
2008-05-25	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1585	1635	22.5%	21.3%	56.3%	+1.0	5
2008-05-25	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1596	1652	41.1%	25.8%	33.1%	+4.2	12
2008-05-25	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1652	1596	33.1%	25.8%	41.1%	-4.2	16
2008-05-25	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1640	1643	48.6%	24.2%	27.1%	+6.7	12
2008-05-25	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1643	1640	27.1%	24.2%	48.6%	-6.7	10
2008-05-25	Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1658	1593	58.4%	20.2%	21.3%	-1.1	11
2008-05-25	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1593	1658	21.3%	20.2%	58.4%	+1.1	14
2008-05-25	Brann	L 1-2	1653	1661	47.9%	24.4%	27.7%	-5.2	12
2008-05-25	@ Viking	W 2-1	1661	1653	27.7%	24.4%	47.9%	+5.2	14
2008-05-26	Aalesund	W 2-1	1705	1587	65.8%	16.3%	17.8%	+2.1	20
2008-05-26	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1587	1705	17.8%	16.3%	65.8%	-2.1	6
2008-05-31	Molde	L 3-4	1667	1592	59.8%	19.6%	20.6%	-5.7	14
2008-05-31	@ Brann	W 4-3	1592	1667	20.6%	19.6%	59.8%	+5.7	10
2008-06-01	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1585	1601	46.8%	24.7%	28.5%	+6.0	9
2008-06-01	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1601	1585	28.5%	24.7%	46.8%	-6.0	12
2008-06-01	Stabaek	L 0-3	1647	1707	40.4%	25.9%	33.7%	-13.4	16
2008-06-01	@ Fredrikstad	W 3-0	1707	1647	33.7%	25.9%	40.4%	+13.4	23
2008-06-01	Valerenga	W 2-0	1636	1657	46.1%	24.9%	29.0%	+7.1	13
2008-06-01	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1657	1636	29.0%	24.9%	46.1%	-7.1	11
2008-06-01	Viking	W 2-0	1672	1647	52.6%	22.8%	24.6%	+6.0	13
2008-06-01	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1647	1672	24.6%	22.8%	52.6%	-6.0	12
2008-06-02	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1594	1634	43.2%	25.5%	31.2%	+4.0	17
2008-06-02	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1634	1594	31.2%	25.5%	43.2%	-4.0	6
2008-06-04	Brann	D 1-1	1678	1661	51.6%	23.2%	25.2%	-0.7	14
2008-06-04	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1661	1678	25.2%	23.2%	51.6%	+0.7	15
2008-06-05	Hamarkameratene	W 3-0	1650	1586	58.2%	20.4%	21.4%	+7.5	14
2008-06-05	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1586	1650	21.4%	20.4%	58.2%	-7.5	5
2008-06-07	Stabaek	D 0-0	1594	1721	31.3%	25.5%	43.1%	+0.3	13
2008-06-07	@ Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1721	1594	43.1%	25.5%	31.3%	-0.3	24
2008-06-08	Aalesund	W 3-0	1630	1591	54.8%	21.9%	23.3%	+8.3	9
2008-06-08	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1591	1630	23.3%	21.9%	54.8%	-8.3	9
2008-06-08	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1597	1643	42.4%	25.6%	31.9%	-5.1	10
2008-06-08	@ Molde	W 1-0	1643	1597	31.9%	25.6%	42.4%	+5.1	16
2008-06-08	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1646	1634	50.9%	23.5%	25.7%	-5.8	12
2008-06-08	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1634	1646	25.7%	23.5%	50.9%	+5.8	19
2008-06-08	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1641	1598	55.4%	21.7%	23.0%	+5.6	15
2008-06-08	@ Viking	L 0-2	1598	1641	23.0%	21.7%	55.4%	-5.6	17
2008-06-27	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1592	1677	36.8%	26.1%	37.1%	+0.0	18
2008-06-27	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1677	1592	37.1%	26.1%	36.8%	-0.0	15
2008-06-28	Molde	D 1-1	1582	1592	47.7%	24.5%	27.8%	-0.5	10
2008-06-28	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1592	1582	27.8%	24.5%	47.7%	+0.5	11
2008-06-28	Brann	D 0-0	1579	1661	37.1%	26.1%	36.9%	+0.0	6
2008-06-28	@ Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1661	1579	36.9%	26.1%	37.1%	+0.0	16
2008-06-28	Viking	D 1-1	1648	1647	49.3%	24.0%	26.7%	-0.6	17
2008-06-28	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1647	1648	26.7%	24.0%	49.3%	+0.6	16
2008-06-28	Tromso	L 2-4	1720	1640	60.5%	19.2%	20.3%	-9.6	24
2008-06-28	@ Stabaek	W 4-2	1640	1720	20.3%	19.2%	60.5%	+9.6	15
2008-06-28	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1595	1638	42.8%	25.6%	31.6%	+3.8	16
2008-06-28	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1638	1595	31.6%	25.6%	42.8%	-3.8	9
2008-06-30	Valerenga	W 2-1	1640	1657	46.6%	24.8%	28.6%	+3.5	22
2008-06-30	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1657	1640	28.6%	24.8%	46.6%	-3.5	14
2008-07-02	Aalesund	W 3-1	1677	1582	62.6%	18.1%	19.3%	+3.9	18
2008-07-02	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1582	1677	19.3%	18.1%	62.6%	-3.9	10
2008-07-05	Bodo Glimt	W 4-1	1661	1592	59.0%	20.0%	21.0%	+6.2	19
2008-07-05	@ Brann	L 1-4	1592	1661	21.0%	20.0%	59.0%	-6.2	18
2008-07-06	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1635	1648	47.2%	24.6%	28.2%	-5.2	9
2008-07-06	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1648	1635	28.2%	24.6%	47.2%	+5.2	20
2008-07-06	Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	1593	1579	51.2%	23.4%	25.5%	+6.3	14
2008-07-06	@ Molde	L 0-2	1579	1593	25.5%	23.4%	51.2%	-6.3	6
2008-07-06	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1650	1599	56.5%	21.2%	22.4%	+5.4	18
2008-07-06	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1599	1650	22.4%	21.2%	56.5%	-5.4	16
2008-07-06	Stabaek	W 2-1	1654	1711	40.8%	25.9%	33.3%	+4.0	17
2008-07-06	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1711	1654	33.3%	25.9%	40.8%	-4.0	24
2008-07-07	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1647	1643	49.7%	23.9%	26.4%	-0.6	17
2008-07-07	@ Viking	D 1-1	1643	1647	26.4%	23.9%	49.7%	+0.6	23
2008-07-09	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1572	1681	33.5%	25.9%	40.6%	+4.6	9
2008-07-09	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-2	1681	1572	40.6%	25.9%	33.5%	-4.6	18
2008-07-12	Tromso	L 1-3	1578	1656	37.8%	26.1%	36.1%	-7.6	10
2008-07-12	@ Aalesund	W 3-1	1656	1578	36.1%	26.1%	37.8%	+7.6	21
2008-07-13	Molde	D 2-2	1586	1599	47.2%	24.6%	28.2%	-0.3	19
2008-07-13	@ Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1599	1586	28.2%	24.6%	47.2%	+0.4	15
2008-07-13	Lillestrom	W 4-0	1644	1629	51.2%	23.4%	25.4%	+11.9	26
2008-07-13	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1629	1644	25.4%	23.4%	51.2%	-11.9	9
2008-07-13	Viking	D 0-0	1707	1647	57.7%	20.6%	21.7%	-1.0	25
2008-07-13	@ Stabaek	D 0-0	1647	1707	21.7%	20.6%	57.7%	+1.0	18
2008-07-13	Valerenga	L 1-3	1593	1658	39.8%	25.9%	34.3%	-7.9	16
2008-07-13	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1658	1593	34.3%	25.9%	39.8%	+7.9	20
2008-07-14	Brann	D 1-1	1653	1668	47.0%	24.7%	28.3%	-0.5	21
2008-07-14	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1668	1653	28.3%	24.7%	47.0%	+0.5	20
2008-07-19	Valerenga	W 5-1	1599	1666	39.5%	26.0%	34.5%	+13.0	18
2008-07-19	@ Molde	L 1-5	1666	1599	34.5%	26.0%	39.5%	-13.0	20
2008-07-20	Aalesund	L 1-2	1668	1570	63.0%	17.9%	19.1%	-6.4	20
2008-07-20	@ Brann	W 2-1	1570	1668	19.1%	17.9%	63.0%	+6.4	13
2008-07-20	Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1618	1586	53.7%	22.4%	23.9%	+8.5	12
2008-07-20	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1586	1618	23.9%	22.4%	53.7%	-8.5	19
2008-07-20	Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1652	1585	58.7%	20.1%	21.2%	+2.4	24
2008-07-20	@ Lyn Oslo	L 2-3	1585	1652	21.2%	20.1%	58.7%	-2.4	16
2008-07-20	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1663	1577	61.4%	18.8%	19.9%	+2.4	24
2008-07-20	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1577	1663	19.9%	18.8%	61.4%	-2.4	9
2008-07-21	Fredrikstad	W 5-1	1706	1656	56.3%	21.3%	22.5%	+8.7	28
2008-07-21	@ Stabaek	L 1-5	1656	1706	22.5%	21.3%	56.3%	-8.7	26
2008-07-23	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1648	1676	45.0%	25.2%	29.9%	-5.3	18
2008-07-23	@ Viking	W 1-0	1676	1648	29.9%	25.2%	45.0%	+5.3	21
2008-07-26	Brann	W 1-0	1647	1662	47.0%	24.7%	28.3%	+3.7	29
2008-07-26	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1662	1647	28.3%	24.7%	47.0%	-3.7	20
2008-07-27	Viking	L 1-2	1577	1643	39.5%	26.0%	34.5%	-4.5	13
2008-07-27	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1643	1577	34.5%	26.0%	39.5%	+4.5	21
2008-07-27	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1577	1655	37.8%	26.1%	36.1%	+4.2	22
2008-07-27	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1655	1577	36.1%	26.1%	37.8%	-4.3	24
2008-07-27	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1575	1626	41.6%	25.8%	32.6%	-4.7	9
2008-07-27	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1626	1575	32.6%	25.8%	41.6%	+4.7	15
2008-07-27	Molde	W 4-0	1583	1612	44.8%	25.2%	30.0%	+13.9	19
2008-07-27	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-4	1612	1583	30.0%	25.2%	44.8%	-13.9	18
2008-07-28	Tromso	D 0-0	1653	1666	47.2%	24.6%	28.1%	-0.5	21
2008-07-28	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1666	1653	28.1%	24.6%	47.2%	+0.5	25
2008-08-02	Hamarkameratene	W 4-1	1658	1570	61.7%	18.6%	19.8%	+5.7	23
2008-08-02	@ Brann	L 1-4	1570	1658	19.8%	18.6%	61.7%	-5.7	9
2008-08-02	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1652	1651	49.3%	24.0%	26.7%	-0.6	22
2008-08-02	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1651	1652	26.7%	24.0%	49.3%	+0.6	30
2008-08-03	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1631	1597	54.0%	22.2%	23.7%	+5.0	18
2008-08-03	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1597	1631	23.7%	22.2%	54.0%	-5.0	19
2008-08-03	Bodo Glimt	W 4-1	1714	1581	67.7%	15.3%	17.0%	+4.7	31
2008-08-03	@ Stabaek	L 1-4	1581	1714	17.0%	15.3%	67.7%	-4.7	22
2008-08-03	Rosenborg	W 4-0	1666	1682	46.8%	24.7%	28.4%	+13.2	28
2008-08-03	@ Tromso	L 0-4	1682	1666	28.4%	24.7%	46.8%	-13.2	21
2008-08-03	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1647	1651	48.6%	24.2%	27.2%	+6.7	24
2008-08-03	@ Viking	L 0-2	1651	1647	27.2%	24.2%	48.6%	-6.7	24
2008-08-04	Aalesund	D 0-0	1598	1572	52.9%	22.7%	24.4%	-0.8	19
2008-08-04	@ Molde	D 0-0	1572	1598	24.4%	22.7%	52.9%	+0.8	14
2008-08-06	Tromso	L 0-1	1564	1679	32.7%	25.8%	41.5%	-4.2	9
2008-08-06	@ Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	1679	1564	41.5%	25.8%	32.7%	+4.2	31
2008-08-06	Stabaek	L 1-2	1668	1719	41.8%	25.7%	32.5%	-4.7	21
2008-08-06	@ Rosenborg	W 2-1	1719	1668	32.5%	25.7%	41.8%	+4.7	34
2008-08-09	Brann	W 2-0	1592	1664	38.6%	26.0%	35.3%	+8.4	22
2008-08-09	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1664	1592	35.3%	26.0%	38.6%	-8.4	23
2008-08-10	Stabaek	L 1-2	1573	1724	28.5%	24.8%	46.7%	-3.5	14
2008-08-10	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1724	1573	46.7%	24.8%	28.5%	+3.5	37
2008-08-10	Viking	W 3-2	1577	1654	37.9%	26.1%	36.0%	+4.0	25
2008-08-10	@ Bodo Glimt	L 2-3	1654	1577	36.0%	26.1%	37.9%	-4.0	24
2008-08-10	Valerenga	D 1-1	1560	1651	35.9%	26.0%	38.1%	+0.1	10
2008-08-10	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1651	1560	38.1%	26.0%	35.9%	-0.0	23
2008-08-10	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1644	1636	50.3%	23.7%	26.0%	+3.4	27
2008-08-10	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1636	1644	26.0%	23.7%	50.3%	-3.4	18
2008-08-10	Molde	W 3-1	1664	1598	58.6%	20.2%	21.3%	+4.5	24
2008-08-10	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1598	1664	21.3%	20.2%	58.6%	-4.4	19
2008-08-11	Tromso	W 2-0	1651	1683	44.5%	25.3%	30.3%	+7.4	33
2008-08-11	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1683	1651	30.3%	25.3%	44.5%	-7.4	31
2008-08-23	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1727	1647	60.5%	19.2%	20.3%	-1.0	38
2008-08-23	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1647	1727	20.3%	19.2%	60.5%	+1.0	28
2008-08-24	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1655	1668	47.3%	24.6%	28.1%	-0.5	24
2008-08-24	@ Brann	D 0-0	1668	1655	28.1%	24.6%	47.3%	+0.5	25
2008-08-24	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1560	1659	34.8%	26.0%	39.2%	+0.1	11
2008-08-24	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1659	1560	39.2%	26.0%	34.8%	-0.1	34
2008-08-24	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1593	1581	50.9%	23.4%	25.6%	-5.5	19
2008-08-24	@ Molde	W 2-1	1581	1593	25.6%	23.4%	50.9%	+5.5	28
2008-08-24	Aalesund	W 1-0	1676	1569	64.2%	17.2%	18.6%	+2.3	34
2008-08-24	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1569	1676	18.6%	17.2%	64.2%	-2.3	14
2008-08-24	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1650	1632	51.6%	23.2%	25.2%	-0.8	25
2008-08-24	@ Viking	D 0-0	1632	1650	25.2%	23.2%	51.6%	+0.8	19
2008-08-25	Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1651	1600	56.5%	21.2%	22.4%	-5.9	23
2008-08-25	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1600	1651	22.4%	21.2%	56.5%	+5.9	25
2008-08-30	Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1567	1659	35.9%	26.0%	38.1%	+0.1	15
2008-08-30	@ Aalesund	D 0-0	1659	1567	38.1%	26.0%	35.9%	-0.1	35
2008-08-31	Brann	W 3-1	1586	1655	39.1%	26.0%	34.9%	+7.2	31
2008-08-31	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1655	1586	34.9%	26.0%	39.1%	-7.2	24
2008-08-31	Tromso	D 3-3	1648	1678	44.8%	25.2%	30.0%	-0.2	29
2008-08-31	@ Lyn Oslo	D 3-3	1678	1648	30.0%	25.2%	44.8%	+0.2	35
2008-08-31	Valerenga	W 2-1	1669	1645	52.5%	22.9%	24.7%	+3.0	28
2008-08-31	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1645	1669	24.7%	22.9%	52.5%	-3.0	23
2008-08-31	Hamarkameratene	L 1-2	1606	1560	55.7%	21.5%	22.8%	-5.9	25
2008-08-31	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1560	1606	22.8%	21.5%	55.7%	+5.9	14
2008-08-31	Molde	D 3-3	1649	1588	57.9%	20.5%	21.6%	-0.6	26
2008-08-31	@ Viking	D 3-3	1588	1649	21.6%	20.5%	57.9%	+0.6	20
2008-09-01	Stabaek	D 1-1	1633	1726	35.6%	26.0%	38.4%	+0.1	20
2008-09-01	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1726	1633	38.4%	26.0%	35.6%	-0.1	39
2008-09-13	Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1679	1593	61.2%	18.8%	19.9%	-1.2	36
2008-09-13	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1593	1679	19.9%	18.8%	61.2%	+1.2	32
2008-09-14	Viking	D 1-1	1648	1648	49.0%	24.1%	26.9%	-0.5	25
2008-09-14	@ Brann	D 1-1	1648	1648	26.9%	24.1%	49.0%	+0.5	27
2008-09-14	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1659	1672	47.2%	24.6%	28.2%	-0.5	36
2008-09-14	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1672	1659	28.2%	24.6%	47.2%	+0.5	29
2008-09-14	Aalesund	W 2-1	1566	1567	48.9%	24.1%	27.0%	+3.3	17
2008-09-14	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-2	1567	1566	27.0%	24.1%	48.9%	-3.3	15
2008-09-14	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1588	1633	42.6%	25.6%	31.8%	-0.3	21
2008-09-14	@ Molde	D 1-1	1633	1588	31.8%	25.6%	42.6%	+0.3	21
2008-09-14	Stromsgodset	W 6-0	1726	1600	66.8%	15.8%	17.4%	+11.0	42
2008-09-14	@ Stabaek	L 0-6	1600	1726	17.4%	15.8%	66.8%	-11.0	25
2008-09-15	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1642	1648	48.3%	24.3%	27.4%	-5.3	23
2008-09-15	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1648	1642	27.4%	24.3%	48.3%	+5.3	32
2008-09-20	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1595	1658	39.9%	25.9%	34.2%	+4.1	35
2008-09-20	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1658	1595	34.2%	25.9%	39.9%	-4.1	36
2008-09-21	Valerenga	D 0-0	1564	1637	38.5%	26.0%	35.5%	-0.1	16
2008-09-21	@ Aalesund	D 0-0	1637	1564	35.5%	26.0%	38.5%	+0.1	24
2008-09-21	Molde	L 1-3	1653	1588	58.5%	20.2%	21.3%	-10.5	32
2008-09-21	@ Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1588	1653	21.3%	20.2%	58.5%	+10.5	24
2008-09-21	Hamarkameratene	W 4-0	1672	1569	63.7%	17.5%	18.8%	+8.4	32
2008-09-21	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	1569	1672	18.8%	17.5%	63.7%	-8.4	17
2008-09-21	Tromso	L 1-3	1589	1677	36.3%	26.1%	37.6%	-7.4	25
2008-09-21	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1677	1589	37.6%	26.1%	36.3%	+7.4	39
2008-09-21	Stabaek	W 4-1	1649	1737	36.3%	26.1%	37.6%	+10.7	30
2008-09-21	@ Viking	L 1-4	1737	1649	37.6%	26.1%	36.3%	-10.7	42
2008-09-22	Brann	D 1-1	1633	1647	47.1%	24.6%	28.2%	-0.5	22
2008-09-22	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1647	1633	28.2%	24.6%	47.1%	+0.5	26
2008-09-27	Lillestrom	L 0-1	1685	1633	56.5%	21.1%	22.3%	-6.3	39
2008-09-27	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1633	1685	22.3%	21.1%	56.5%	+6.3	25
2008-09-28	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1564	1681	32.5%	25.7%	41.8%	-3.9	16
2008-09-28	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1681	1564	41.8%	25.7%	32.5%	+3.9	35
2008-09-28	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1648	1643	49.8%	23.8%	26.4%	+6.5	29
2008-09-28	@ Brann	L 0-2	1643	1648	26.4%	23.8%	49.8%	-6.5	32
2008-09-28	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1654	1582	59.4%	19.8%	20.8%	+2.5	39
2008-09-28	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1582	1654	20.8%	19.8%	59.4%	-2.5	25
2008-09-28	Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1561	1599	43.6%	25.4%	30.9%	-0.2	18
2008-09-28	@ Hamarkameratene	D 2-2	1599	1561	30.9%	25.4%	43.6%	+0.2	36
2008-09-28	Viking	L 0-1	1637	1660	45.9%	25.0%	29.2%	-5.4	24
2008-09-28	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1660	1637	29.2%	25.0%	45.9%	+5.4	33
2008-09-29	Molde	W 4-0	1727	1599	67.0%	15.6%	17.3%	+7.5	45
2008-09-29	@ Stabaek	L 0-4	1599	1727	17.3%	15.6%	67.0%	-7.5	24
2008-10-04	Hamarkameratene	W 3-0	1734	1561	72.9%	12.3%	14.8%	+4.7	48
2008-10-04	@ Stabaek	L 0-3	1561	1734	14.8%	12.3%	72.9%	-4.7	18
2008-10-05	Valerenga	L 1-2	1599	1632	44.3%	25.3%	30.4%	-5.0	36
2008-10-05	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1632	1599	30.4%	25.3%	44.3%	+5.0	27
2008-10-05	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1639	1657	46.6%	24.8%	28.6%	-5.1	25
2008-10-05	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1657	1639	28.6%	24.8%	46.6%	+5.1	42
2008-10-05	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1636	1685	42.1%	25.7%	32.2%	-4.8	32
2008-10-05	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1685	1636	32.2%	25.7%	42.1%	+4.8	38
2008-10-05	Aalesund	L 0-1	1579	1560	51.9%	23.1%	25.0%	-5.9	25
2008-10-05	@ Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1560	1579	25.0%	23.1%	51.9%	+5.9	19
2008-10-05	Tromso	W 2-1	1665	1679	47.2%	24.6%	28.2%	+3.5	36
2008-10-05	@ Viking	L 1-2	1679	1665	28.2%	24.6%	47.2%	-3.5	39
2008-10-06	Brann	W 3-2	1591	1654	40.0%	25.9%	34.1%	+3.9	27
2008-10-06	@ Molde	L 2-3	1654	1591	34.1%	25.9%	40.0%	-3.9	29
2008-10-18	Molde	D 4-4	1675	1595	60.5%	19.2%	20.3%	-0.6	40
2008-10-18	@ Tromso	D 4-4	1595	1675	20.3%	19.2%	60.5%	+0.6	28
2008-10-19	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1566	1594	45.0%	25.2%	29.8%	+3.9	22
2008-10-19	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1594	1566	29.8%	25.2%	45.0%	-3.9	36
2008-10-19	Stabaek	L 1-2	1650	1739	36.3%	26.1%	37.7%	-4.3	29
2008-10-19	@ Brann	W 2-1	1739	1650	37.7%	26.1%	36.3%	+4.3	51
2008-10-19	Viking	W 1-0	1662	1669	48.1%	24.4%	27.5%	+3.6	45
2008-10-19	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1669	1662	27.5%	24.4%	48.1%	-3.6	36
2008-10-19	Lyn Oslo	W 3-2	1556	1632	38.1%	26.0%	35.8%	+4.0	21
2008-10-19	@ Hamarkameratene	L 2-3	1632	1556	35.8%	26.0%	38.1%	-4.0	32
2008-10-19	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1689	1573	65.4%	16.5%	18.0%	-1.2	39
2008-10-19	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1573	1689	18.0%	16.5%	65.4%	+1.2	26
2008-10-20	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1637	1634	49.5%	23.9%	26.6%	+5.7	30
2008-10-20	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1634	1637	26.6%	23.9%	49.5%	-5.7	25
2008-10-26	Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1590	1574	51.3%	23.3%	25.4%	+3.0	39
2008-10-26	@ Bodo Glimt	L 2-3	1574	1590	25.4%	23.3%	51.3%	-3.0	26
2008-10-26	Tromso	D 1-1	1646	1675	45.0%	25.2%	29.8%	-0.4	30
2008-10-26	@ Brann	D 1-1	1675	1646	29.8%	25.2%	45.0%	+0.4	41
2008-10-26	Rosenborg	W 4-2	1628	1688	40.5%	25.9%	33.7%	+6.2	28
2008-10-26	@ Lillestrom	L 2-4	1688	1628	33.7%	25.9%	40.5%	-6.2	39
2008-10-26	Aalesund	W 3-0	1628	1570	57.4%	20.7%	21.9%	+7.7	35
2008-10-26	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-3	1570	1628	21.9%	20.7%	57.4%	-7.7	22
2008-10-26	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1596	1665	39.0%	26.0%	35.0%	-4.5	28
2008-10-26	@ Molde	W 2-1	1665	1596	35.0%	26.0%	39.0%	+4.5	48
2008-10-26	Valerenga	W 6-2	1743	1642	63.3%	17.7%	19.0%	+6.0	54
2008-10-26	@ Stabaek	L 2-6	1642	1743	19.0%	17.7%	63.3%	-6.0	30
2008-10-26	Hamarkameratene	W 3-0	1665	1560	63.9%	17.4%	18.7%	+6.3	39
2008-10-26	@ Viking	L 0-3	1560	1665	18.7%	17.4%	63.9%	-6.3	21
2008-11-02	Lillestrom	W 3-0	1562	1635	38.5%	26.0%	35.4%	+12.2	25
2008-11-02	@ Aalesund	L 0-3	1635	1562	35.4%	26.0%	38.5%	-12.2	28
2008-11-02	Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1670	1635	54.1%	22.2%	23.7%	-11.5	48
2008-11-02	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1635	1670	23.7%	22.2%	54.1%	+11.5	38
2008-11-02	Molde	L 0-1	1554	1591	43.7%	25.4%	30.9%	-5.2	21
2008-11-02	@ Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	1591	1554	30.9%	25.4%	43.7%	+5.2	31
2008-11-02	Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1682	1593	61.7%	18.6%	19.7%	-10.9	39
2008-11-02	@ Rosenborg	W 3-1	1593	1682	19.7%	18.6%	61.7%	+10.9	42
2008-11-02	Viking	W 3-2	1572	1671	34.7%	26.0%	39.3%	+4.3	29
2008-11-02	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-3	1671	1572	39.3%	26.0%	34.7%	-4.3	39
2008-11-02	Stabaek	W 1-0	1675	1749	38.4%	26.0%	35.6%	+4.5	44
2008-11-02	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1749	1675	35.6%	26.0%	38.4%	-4.5	54
2008-11-02	Brann	L 0-1	1637	1646	47.8%	24.5%	27.8%	-5.5	30
2008-11-02	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1646	1637	27.8%	24.5%	47.8%	+5.6	33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2008-07-20	19.12%	Aalesund	1570	2	@ Brann	1668	1
2	2008-11-02	19.71%	Bodo Glimt	1593	3	@ Rosenborg	1682	1
3	2008-06-28	20.30%	Tromso	1640	4	@ Stabaek	1720	2
4	2008-05-31	20.64%	Molde	1592	4	@ Brann	1667	3
5	2008-05-04	20.77%	Molde	1594	2	@ Valerenga	1667	1
6	2008-09-21	21.31%	Molde	1588	3	@ Lyn Oslo	1653	1
7	2008-09-27	22.32%	Lillestrom	1633	1	@ Tromso	1685	0
8	2008-08-25	22.36%	Stromsgodset	1600	2	@ Valerenga	1651	1
9	2008-04-12	22.77%	Fredrikstad	1623	2	@ Rosenborg	1669	1
10	2008-08-31	22.78%	Hamarkameratene	1560	2	@ Stromsgodset	1606	1
11	2008-11-02	23.71%	Lyn Oslo	1635	2	@ Fredrikstad	1670	0
12	2008-05-04	24.73%	Bodo Glimt	1579	2	@ Stromsgodset	1601	1
13	2008-04-26	24.80%	Tromso	1642	1	@ Rosenborg	1664	0
14	2008-10-05	25.01%	Aalesund	1560	1	@ Stromsgodset	1579	0
15	2008-04-13	25.55%	Valerenga	1647	3	@ Lillestrom	1660	0
16	2008-08-24	25.63%	Bodo Glimt	1581	2	@ Molde	1593	1
17	2008-06-08	25.65%	Fredrikstad	1634	1	@ Tromso	1646	0
18	2008-04-28	27.07%	Valerenga	1662	3	@ Viking	1660	2
19	2008-09-15	27.40%	Lyn Oslo	1648	2	@ Valerenga	1642	1
20	2008-04-20	27.47%	Viking	1654	1	@ Tromso	1648	0
21	2008-05-25	27.71%	Brann	1661	2	@ Viking	1653	1
22	2008-11-02	27.75%	Brann	1646	1	@ Valerenga	1637	0
23	2008-05-04	28.16%	Lyn Oslo	1633	4	@ Aalesund	1620	0
24	2008-07-06	28.17%	Lyn Oslo	1648	2	@ Lillestrom	1635	1
25	2008-10-05	28.61%	Fredrikstad	1657	2	@ Lillestrom	1639	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2008-05-04	19.70	Lyn Oslo	4	1633	28.16%	@ Aalesund	0	1620	47.22%
2	2008-04-13	15.98	Valerenga	3	1647	25.55%	@ Lillestrom	0	1660	51.04%
3	2008-04-20	15.71	@ Aalesund	5	1608	48.42%	Hamarkameratene	0	1613	27.30%
4	2008-07-27	13.87	@ Stromsgodset	4	1583	44.83%	Molde	0	1612	29.97%
5	2008-06-01	13.42	Stabaek	3	1707	33.71%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1647	40.40%
6	2008-05-16	13.41	@ Fredrikstad	5	1638	54.61%	Aalesund	0	1600	23.39%
7	2008-08-03	13.24	@ Tromso	4	1666	46.84%	Rosenborg	0	1682	28.44%
8	2008-07-19	12.99	@ Molde	5	1599	39.50%	Valerenga	1	1666	34.54%
9	2008-05-16	12.19	@ Rosenborg	4	1655	50.24%	Lillestrom	0	1647	26.07%
10	2008-11-02	12.17	@ Aalesund	3	1562	38.54%	Lillestrom	0	1635	35.44%
11	2008-07-13	11.89	@ Fredrikstad	4	1644	51.21%	Lillestrom	0	1629	25.45%
12	2008-11-02	11.48	Lyn Oslo	2	1635	23.71%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1670	54.06%
13	2008-09-14	11.05	@ Stabaek	6	1726	66.80%	Stromsgodset	0	1600	17.42%
14	2008-11-02	10.93	Bodo Glimt	3	1593	19.71%	@ Rosenborg	1	1682	61.73%
15	2008-09-21	10.74	@ Viking	4	1649	36.31%	Stabaek	1	1737	37.64%
16	2008-09-21	10.52	Molde	3	1588	21.31%	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1653	58.46%
17	2008-05-16	9.66	Stabaek	2	1696	31.58%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1652	42.84%
18	2008-06-28	9.64	Tromso	4	1640	20.30%	@ Stabaek	2	1720	60.49%
19	2008-04-19	9.20	@ Stabaek	3	1675	50.79%	Brann	0	1663	25.71%
20	2008-07-21	8.66	@ Stabaek	5	1706	56.28%	Fredrikstad	1	1656	22.46%
21	2008-04-27	8.56	Stabaek	2	1684	37.46%	@ Hamarkameratene	0	1597	36.48%
22	2008-07-20	8.53	@ Lillestrom	3	1618	53.70%	Bodo Glimt	0	1586	23.92%
23	2008-08-09	8.36	@ Stromsgodset	2	1592	38.64%	Brann	0	1664	35.34%
24	2008-09-21	8.36	@ Rosenborg	4	1672	63.68%	Hamarkameratene	0	1569	18.80%
25	2008-06-08	8.28	@ Lillestrom	3	1630	54.80%	Aalesund	0	1591	23.29%