1963 Main League Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Brann

24 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Brann

3.25 points above expected

24 points · 20.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Valerenga

5.59 points below expected

16 points · 21.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Brann	18	10	4	4	24	46	27	+19	20.8	+3.25
2	Lyn Oslo	18	10	3	5	23	38	28	+10	20.4	+2.65
3	Skeid	18	9	2	7	20	41	26	+15	19.7	+0.29
4	Fredrikstad	18	7	6	5	20	32	25	+7	18.9	+1.10
5	Frigg Oslo	18	6	6	6	18	31	40	-9	15.6	+2.41
6	Sarpsborg	18	6	5	7	17	26	35	-9	15.2	+1.84
7	Viking	18	6	5	7	17	26	37	-11	15.7	+1.31
8	Valerenga	18	7	2	9	16	44	37	+7	21.6	-5.59
9	Steinkjer	18	5	4	9	14	23	34	-11	18.1	-4.14
10	Gjovik-Lyn	18	5	1	12	11	29	47	-18	14.1	-3.13

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Brann	1383	24	20.75	+3.25	85.9%	7	15	18	21	23	26	34
Skeid	1359	20	19.71	+0.29	59.0%	7	14	17	20	22	25	33
Fredrikstad	1330	20	18.90	+1.10	67.3%	7	13	16	19	21	25	32
Lyn Oslo	1321	23	20.35	+2.65	82.2%	9	15	18	20	23	26	32
Valerenga	1310	16	21.59	-5.59	7.1%	7	16	19	22	24	27	33
Frigg Oslo	1242	18	15.59	+2.41	79.6%	4	10	13	16	18	22	29
Viking	1213	17	15.69	+1.31	69.7%	2	10	13	16	18	21	28
Steinkjer	1210	14	18.14	-4.14	14.7%	5	12	16	18	21	24	33
Sarpsborg	1201	17	15.16	+1.84	74.7%	2	9	13	15	18	21	28
Gjovik-Lyn	1138	11	14.13	-3.13	22.6%	2	9	12	14	16	20	27

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRA	FRE	FO	GJO	LO	SAR	SKE	STE	VAL	VIK
Brann	—	0-2-0 3.16	1-0-1 3.61	1-0-1 3.66	1-0-1 2.83	1-1-0 3.70	1-0-1 2.77	2-0-0 3.04	2-0-0 2.74	1-1-0 3.47
Fredrikstad	0-2-0 2.35	—	1-1-0 3.14	0-1-1 3.62	1-0-1 2.20	0-1-1 3.38	2-0-0 2.69	2-0-0 3.07	0-1-1 2.32	1-0-1 3.32
Frigg Oslo	1-0-1 1.92	0-1-1 2.38	—	2-0-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.19	0-1-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.26	1-1-0 2.22	1-0-1 1.98	1-1-0 2.68
Gjovik-Lyn	1-0-1 1.87	1-1-0 1.91	0-0-2 2.68	—	1-0-1 1.66	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-2 2.10	0-0-2 2.23	0-0-2 1.66	1-0-1 2.52
Lyn Oslo	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 3.32	1-1-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.89	—	1-0-1 3.63	1-1-0 2.88	1-1-0 2.90	2-0-0 2.42	1-0-1 3.30
Sarpsborg	0-1-1 1.83	1-1-0 2.14	1-1-0 2.70	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 1.90	—	0-0-2 2.20	1-1-0 2.32	1-0-1 1.79	0-1-1 2.63
Skeid	1-0-1 2.75	0-0-2 2.83	1-1-0 3.27	2-0-0 3.43	0-1-1 2.65	2-0-0 3.32	—	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 3.43
Steinkjer	0-0-2 2.49	0-0-2 2.45	0-1-1 3.29	2-0-0 3.29	0-1-1 2.61	0-1-1 3.20	1-0-1 2.18	—	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 3.11
Valerenga	0-0-2 2.78	1-1-0 3.20	1-0-1 3.56	2-0-0 3.88	0-0-2 3.10	1-0-1 3.74	1-0-1 3.10	1-0-1 3.10	—	0-1-1 3.76
Viking	0-1-1 2.06	1-0-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.23	1-1-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.09	0-1-1 2.41	1-1-0 1.78	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.11%	4.44%	3.33%	3.33%	1.11%	2.78%	16.11%
1	4.44%	10.00%	8.33%	5.56%	2.22%	2.78%	33.33%
2	3.33%	8.33%	6.67%	2.22%	1.67%	0.56%	22.78%
3	3.33%	5.56%	2.22%	3.33%	1.11%	—	15.56%
4	1.11%	2.22%	1.67%	1.11%	—	—	6.11%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	0.56%	—	—	—	6.11%
Total	16.11%	33.33%	22.78%	15.56%	6.11%	6.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	1.55
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.293
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
1	—	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	5.56%	—	33.33%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	11.11%	61.11%	16.67%	—	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.56
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	2.15
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	4.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.288
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	16.67%	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	61.11%
2	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	22.22%	33.33%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	1.39
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.021
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	27.78%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	27.78%
2	—	—	11.11%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	22.22%	—	11.11%	100%

Frigg Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.72
Mean allowed	2.22
StdDev scored	1.60
StdDev allowed	2.18
Mean total goals/game	3.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.267
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	22.22%
1	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	38.89%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	5.56%	27.78%	16.67%	22.22%	16.67%	11.11%	100%

Gjovik-Lyn — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.61
Mean allowed	2.61
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.75
Mean total goals/game	4.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.331
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	—	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	22.22%	27.78%	27.78%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.11
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	1.60
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.584
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
1	11.11%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	50.00%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	1.94
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.89
Mean total goals/game	3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.255
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	22.22%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
4	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	5.56%	55.56%	27.78%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.28
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.87
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	3.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.031
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	33.33%
3	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	38.89%	11.11%	27.78%	11.11%	—	100%

Steinkjer — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	1.89
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.111
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	16.67%
1	—	—	16.67%	5.56%	—	5.56%	27.78%
2	—	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	22.22%	16.67%	27.78%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.44
Mean allowed	2.06
StdDev scored	2.20
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.639
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	50.00%
2	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	2.06
StdDev scored	0.70
StdDev allowed	1.63
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.125
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Brann	24	20.8	+3.25
2	Lyn Oslo	23	20.4	+2.65
3	Frigg Oslo	18	15.6	+2.41
4	Sarpsborg	17	15.2	+1.84
5	Viking	17	15.7	+1.31

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Valerenga	16	21.6	-5.59
2	Steinkjer	14	18.1	-4.14
3	Gjovik-Lyn	11	14.1	-3.13
4	Skeid	20	19.7	+0.29
5	Fredrikstad	20	18.9	+1.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Frigg Oslo	3	Aug 6 – Aug 22	1 in 112
2	Lyn Oslo	4	May 23 – Jun 15	1 in 86
3	Brann	4	Jun 9 – Jul 28	1 in 57
4	Valerenga	3	May 26 – Jun 14	1 in 13
5	Skeid	4	May 19 – May 30	1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gjovik-Lyn	8	Jun 8 – Aug 21	1 in 345
2	Skeid	6	Jun 9 – Aug 18	1 in 280
3	Lyn Oslo	3	Sep 7 – Oct 6	1 in 100
4	Valerenga	3	Apr 28 – May 12	1 in 39
5	Fredrikstad	3	May 23 – Jun 8	1 in 27

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lyn Oslo	10	Apr 26 – Jul 26	1 in 86
2	Frigg Oslo	7	Aug 6 – Oct 6	1 in 70
3	Fredrikstad	9	Jul 28 – Oct 13	1 in 46
4	Viking	6	Jun 22 – Aug 21	1 in 33
5	Sarpsborg	4	Aug 2 – Aug 25	1 in 13

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gjovik-Lyn	10	Jun 8 – Sep 22	1 in 25
2	Skeid	6	Jun 9 – Aug 18	1 in 15
3	Sarpsborg	7	Aug 18 – Oct 13	1 in 14
4	Steinkjer	7	Aug 17 – Oct 12	1 in 12
5	Fredrikstad	5	May 12 – Jun 8	1 in 11

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Brann	22.52%	19.58%	15.78%	12.73%	9.90%	7.62%	5.26%	3.61%	2.10%	0.90%
Lyn Oslo	17.18%	17.03%	16.81%	13.82%	11.90%	8.65%	7.12%	3.92%	2.38%	1.19%
Skeid	13.90%	16.03%	14.57%	14.64%	12.11%	11.04%	7.76%	5.05%	3.29%	1.61%
Fredrikstad	8.97%	11.32%	13.21%	14.16%	13.50%	12.92%	9.93%	7.72%	5.31%	2.96%
Frigg Oslo	1.40%	2.78%	4.23%	5.83%	8.87%	10.80%	14.33%	16.73%	17.82%	17.21%
Sarpsborg	1.03%	2.11%	3.29%	5.41%	7.39%	10.13%	13.94%	17.33%	19.35%	20.02%
Viking	1.31%	2.56%	4.59%	6.14%	8.77%	11.41%	14.00%	16.68%	17.62%	16.92%
Valerenga	27.78%	20.04%	15.62%	12.39%	9.10%	6.47%	4.52%	2.36%	1.21%	0.51%
Steinkjer	5.48%	7.31%	9.88%	11.54%	13.48%	13.85%	12.85%	11.62%	8.82%	5.17%
Gjovik-Lyn	0.43%	1.24%	2.02%	3.34%	4.98%	7.11%	10.29%	14.98%	22.10%	33.51%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Valerenga	98.3%	1.7%
Brann	97.0%	3.0%
Lyn Oslo	96.4%	3.6%
Skeid	95.1%	4.9%
Fredrikstad	91.7%	8.3%
Steinkjer	86.0%	14.0%
Viking	65.5%	34.5%
Frigg Oslo	65.0%	35.0%
Sarpsborg	60.6%	39.4%
Gjovik-Lyn	44.4%	55.6%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1963-04-26	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1295	1264	52.6%	24.0%	23.3%	-1.4	1
1963-04-26	@ Skeid	D 1-1	1264	1295	23.3%	24.0%	52.6%	+1.4	1
1963-04-28	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1255	1295	43.6%	24.4%	31.9%	-0.5	1
1963-04-28	@ Frigg Oslo	D 1-1	1295	1255	31.9%	24.4%	43.6%	+0.5	1
1963-04-28	Brann	W 2-0	1210	1328	33.0%	24.2%	42.8%	+18.2	3
1963-04-28	@ Gjovik-Lyn	L 0-2	1328	1210	42.8%	24.2%	33.0%	-18.2	0
1963-04-28	Valerenga	W 1-0	1200	1335	30.8%	24.1%	45.1%	+10.1	3
1963-04-28	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-1	1335	1200	45.1%	24.1%	30.8%	-10.1	0
1963-04-28	Steinkjer	L 1-3	1242	1283	43.6%	24.4%	32.0%	-16.0	0
1963-04-28	@ Viking	W 3-1	1283	1242	32.0%	24.4%	43.6%	+16.0	3
1963-05-03	Sarpsborg	W 2-0	1265	1210	55.2%	23.8%	21.0%	+10.3	4
1963-05-03	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1210	1265	21.0%	23.8%	55.2%	-10.3	3
1963-05-04	Frigg Oslo	W 8-1	1310	1254	55.3%	23.8%	20.9%	+27.2	3
1963-05-04	@ Brann	L 1-8	1254	1310	20.9%	23.8%	55.3%	-27.2	1
1963-05-04	Skeid	W 1-0	1296	1294	49.1%	24.3%	26.6%	+6.7	4
1963-05-04	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1294	1296	26.6%	24.3%	49.1%	-6.7	1
1963-05-05	Gjovik-Lyn	W 2-0	1299	1228	56.9%	23.6%	19.5%	+9.7	6
1963-05-05	@ Steinkjer	L 0-2	1228	1299	19.5%	23.6%	56.9%	-9.7	3
1963-05-05	Viking	L 1-2	1325	1226	59.8%	23.1%	17.1%	-12.2	0
1963-05-05	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1226	1325	17.1%	23.1%	59.8%	+12.2	3
1963-05-12	Gjovik-Lyn	W 1-0	1227	1219	49.9%	24.2%	25.9%	+6.5	4
1963-05-12	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1219	1227	25.9%	24.2%	49.9%	-6.5	3
1963-05-12	Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1200	1303	35.0%	24.3%	40.7%	+15.1	6
1963-05-12	@ Sarpsborg	L 1-3	1303	1200	40.7%	24.3%	35.0%	-15.1	4
1963-05-12	Valerenga	W 2-1	1309	1312	48.4%	24.3%	27.3%	+6.4	9
1963-05-12	@ Steinkjer	L 1-2	1312	1309	27.3%	24.3%	48.4%	-6.4	0
1963-05-12	Lyn Oslo	L 2-3	1238	1276	44.0%	24.4%	31.6%	-8.9	3
1963-05-12	@ Viking	W 3-2	1276	1238	31.6%	24.4%	44.0%	+8.9	7
1963-05-19	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1337	1288	54.7%	23.8%	21.5%	-1.6	4
1963-05-19	@ Brann	D 1-1	1288	1337	21.5%	23.8%	54.7%	+1.6	5
1963-05-19	Valerenga	L 0-7	1234	1306	39.3%	24.4%	36.3%	-54.7	4
1963-05-19	@ Frigg Oslo	W 7-0	1306	1234	36.3%	24.4%	39.3%	+54.7	3
1963-05-19	Skeid	L 1-4	1212	1287	38.9%	24.4%	36.7%	-20.7	3
1963-05-19	@ Gjovik-Lyn	W 4-1	1287	1212	36.7%	24.4%	38.9%	+20.7	4
1963-05-19	Steinkjer	D 3-3	1284	1315	45.0%	24.4%	30.6%	-0.4	8
1963-05-19	@ Lyn Oslo	D 3-3	1315	1284	30.6%	24.4%	45.0%	+0.4	10
1963-05-19	Viking	L 1-2	1215	1229	47.1%	24.3%	28.5%	-9.9	6
1963-05-19	@ Sarpsborg	W 2-1	1229	1215	28.5%	24.3%	47.1%	+9.9	6
1963-05-22	Frigg Oslo	W 3-0	1308	1179	62.5%	22.6%	14.9%	+11.0	7
1963-05-22	@ Skeid	L 0-3	1179	1308	14.9%	22.6%	62.5%	-11.0	4
1963-05-22	Brann	D 1-1	1239	1336	35.9%	24.3%	39.8%	+0.2	7
1963-05-22	@ Viking	D 1-1	1336	1239	39.8%	24.3%	35.9%	-0.2	5
1963-05-23	Gjovik-Lyn	L 1-2	1289	1192	59.6%	23.2%	17.2%	-12.2	5
1963-05-23	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1192	1289	17.2%	23.2%	59.6%	+12.2	6
1963-05-23	Sarpsborg	L 0-1	1315	1205	60.8%	22.9%	16.2%	-13.2	10
1963-05-23	@ Steinkjer	W 1-0	1205	1315	16.2%	22.9%	60.8%	+13.2	9
1963-05-23	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1361	1284	57.6%	23.5%	19.0%	-11.8	3
1963-05-23	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1284	1361	19.0%	23.5%	57.6%	+11.8	11
1963-05-26	Lyn Oslo	L 0-6	1335	1296	53.6%	23.9%	22.5%	-61.4	5
1963-05-26	@ Brann	W 6-0	1296	1335	22.5%	23.9%	53.6%	+61.4	14
1963-05-26	Valerenga	L 1-3	1277	1349	39.3%	24.4%	36.2%	-14.8	5
1963-05-26	@ Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1349	1277	36.2%	24.4%	39.3%	+14.8	6
1963-05-26	Steinkjer	D 1-1	1168	1302	30.9%	24.1%	45.1%	+0.7	5
1963-05-26	@ Frigg Oslo	D 1-1	1302	1168	45.1%	24.1%	30.9%	-0.7	11
1963-05-26	Viking	W 5-1	1204	1239	44.3%	24.4%	31.2%	+22.6	9
1963-05-26	@ Gjovik-Lyn	L 1-5	1239	1204	31.2%	24.4%	44.3%	-22.6	7
1963-05-27	Sarpsborg	W 4-2	1319	1219	59.9%	23.1%	17.0%	+6.6	10
1963-05-27	@ Skeid	L 2-4	1219	1319	17.0%	23.1%	59.9%	-6.6	9
1963-05-30	Brann	W 2-1	1325	1274	54.9%	23.8%	21.3%	+5.2	13
1963-05-30	@ Skeid	L 1-2	1274	1325	21.3%	23.8%	54.9%	-5.2	5
1963-06-08	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1357	1262	59.4%	23.2%	17.4%	+4.4	17
1963-06-08	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1262	1357	17.4%	23.2%	59.4%	-4.4	5
1963-06-08	Gjovik-Lyn	W 4-3	1364	1226	63.3%	22.4%	14.3%	+3.4	9
1963-06-08	@ Valerenga	L 3-4	1226	1364	14.3%	22.4%	63.3%	-3.4	9
1963-06-09	Frigg Oslo	W 2-1	1212	1169	54.0%	23.9%	22.1%	+5.4	12
1963-06-09	@ Sarpsborg	L 1-2	1169	1212	22.1%	23.9%	54.0%	-5.4	5
1963-06-09	Brann	L 0-3	1302	1269	52.8%	24.0%	23.2%	-31.7	11
1963-06-09	@ Steinkjer	W 3-0	1269	1302	23.2%	24.0%	52.8%	+31.7	8
1963-06-09	Skeid	W 1-0	1216	1331	33.5%	24.2%	42.3%	+9.6	10
1963-06-09	@ Viking	L 0-1	1331	1216	42.3%	24.2%	33.5%	-9.6	13
1963-06-14	Valerenga	L 1-3	1321	1367	42.9%	24.4%	32.6%	-15.8	13
1963-06-14	@ Skeid	W 3-1	1367	1321	32.6%	24.4%	42.9%	+15.8	12
1963-06-15	Sarpsborg	W 7-1	1300	1217	58.2%	23.4%	18.4%	+21.1	11
1963-06-15	@ Brann	L 1-7	1217	1300	18.4%	23.4%	58.2%	-21.1	12
1963-06-15	Lyn Oslo	L 2-3	1223	1362	30.3%	24.1%	45.7%	-6.6	9
1963-06-15	@ Gjovik-Lyn	W 3-2	1362	1223	45.7%	24.1%	30.3%	+6.6	20
1963-06-16	Steinkjer	W 4-2	1258	1270	47.4%	24.3%	28.3%	+10.2	8
1963-06-16	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-4	1270	1258	28.3%	24.3%	47.4%	-10.2	11
1963-06-16	Viking	W 5-1	1163	1226	40.6%	24.4%	35.0%	+24.7	8
1963-06-16	@ Frigg Oslo	L 1-5	1226	1163	35.0%	24.4%	40.6%	-24.7	10
1963-06-22	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1201	1268	40.1%	24.4%	35.5%	+7.9	13
1963-06-22	@ Viking	L 1-2	1268	1201	35.5%	24.4%	40.1%	-7.9	8
1963-06-23	Frigg Oslo	D 2-2	1368	1188	66.8%	21.5%	11.7%	-2.2	21
1963-06-23	@ Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1188	1368	11.7%	21.5%	66.8%	+2.1	9
1963-06-23	Gjovik-Lyn	W 3-0	1196	1216	46.3%	24.4%	29.3%	+19.7	15
1963-06-23	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-3	1216	1196	29.3%	24.4%	46.3%	-19.7	9
1963-06-23	Skeid	W 1-0	1260	1305	42.9%	24.4%	32.6%	+7.8	14
1963-06-23	@ Steinkjer	L 0-1	1305	1260	32.6%	24.4%	42.9%	-7.8	13
1963-06-24	Brann	L 2-4	1383	1321	56.0%	23.7%	20.4%	-17.8	12
1963-06-24	@ Valerenga	W 4-2	1321	1383	20.4%	23.7%	56.0%	+17.8	14
1963-07-26	Skeid	W 2-1	1366	1297	56.7%	23.6%	19.7%	+4.9	24
1963-07-26	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1297	1366	19.7%	23.6%	56.7%	-4.9	13
1963-07-28	Gjovik-Lyn	W 3-1	1339	1197	63.7%	22.3%	13.9%	+6.2	17
1963-07-28	@ Brann	L 1-3	1197	1339	13.9%	22.3%	63.7%	-6.2	9
1963-07-28	Frigg Oslo	W 2-0	1260	1190	56.9%	23.6%	19.6%	+9.7	11
1963-07-28	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1190	1260	19.6%	23.6%	56.9%	-9.7	9
1963-07-28	Viking	D 2-2	1267	1209	55.6%	23.7%	20.7%	-1.3	15
1963-07-28	@ Steinkjer	D 2-2	1209	1267	20.7%	23.7%	55.6%	+1.3	14
1963-07-29	Sarpsborg	W 5-0	1365	1216	64.3%	22.2%	13.5%	+16.1	15
1963-07-29	@ Valerenga	L 0-5	1216	1365	13.5%	22.2%	64.3%	-16.1	15
1963-08-02	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1200	1371	26.4%	23.7%	49.9%	+20.7	18
1963-08-02	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-2	1371	1200	49.9%	23.7%	26.4%	-20.7	24
1963-08-04	Steinkjer	L 1-2	1190	1266	38.8%	24.4%	36.8%	-8.4	9
1963-08-04	@ Gjovik-Lyn	W 2-1	1266	1190	36.8%	24.4%	38.8%	+8.4	18
1963-08-04	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1293	1270	51.6%	24.1%	24.3%	-11.3	13
1963-08-04	@ Skeid	W 1-0	1270	1293	24.3%	24.1%	51.6%	+11.3	14
1963-08-04	Valerenga	D 2-2	1211	1381	26.5%	23.7%	49.8%	+0.8	15
1963-08-04	@ Viking	D 2-2	1381	1211	49.8%	23.7%	26.5%	-0.8	16
1963-08-06	Brann	W 4-3	1180	1345	27.1%	23.8%	49.1%	+9.4	12
1963-08-06	@ Frigg Oslo	L 3-4	1345	1180	49.1%	23.8%	27.1%	-9.4	17
1963-08-07	Gjovik-Lyn	W 3-2	1211	1182	52.4%	24.0%	23.6%	+5.4	18
1963-08-07	@ Viking	L 2-3	1182	1211	23.6%	24.0%	52.4%	-5.4	9
1963-08-17	Steinkjer	W 4-0	1380	1275	60.4%	23.0%	16.6%	+15.9	19
1963-08-17	@ Valerenga	L 0-4	1275	1380	16.6%	23.0%	60.4%	-15.8	18
1963-08-18	Skeid	W 2-1	1336	1281	55.2%	23.8%	21.0%	+5.2	20
1963-08-18	@ Brann	L 1-2	1281	1336	21.0%	23.8%	55.2%	-5.2	13
1963-08-18	Sarpsborg	D 3-3	1281	1220	55.9%	23.7%	20.4%	-1.1	15
1963-08-18	@ Fredrikstad	D 3-3	1220	1281	20.4%	23.7%	55.9%	+1.1	19
1963-08-18	Frigg Oslo	L 1-4	1177	1190	47.2%	24.3%	28.4%	-24.2	9
1963-08-18	@ Gjovik-Lyn	W 4-1	1190	1177	28.4%	24.3%	47.2%	+24.2	15
1963-08-18	Viking	L 0-2	1350	1217	62.9%	22.5%	14.6%	-25.7	24
1963-08-18	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1217	1350	14.6%	22.5%	62.9%	+25.7	21
1963-08-21	Brann	D 1-1	1280	1341	40.8%	24.4%	34.7%	-0.3	16
1963-08-21	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1341	1280	34.7%	24.4%	40.8%	+0.3	21
1963-08-21	Gjovik-Lyn	W 5-2	1276	1152	62.1%	22.7%	15.2%	+8.2	16
1963-08-21	@ Skeid	L 2-5	1152	1276	15.2%	22.7%	62.1%	-8.2	9
1963-08-21	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1259	1325	40.2%	24.4%	35.4%	-8.7	18
1963-08-21	@ Steinkjer	W 2-1	1325	1259	35.4%	24.4%	40.2%	+8.7	27
1963-08-21	Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1242	1222	51.4%	24.1%	24.5%	-1.3	22
1963-08-21	@ Viking	D 1-1	1222	1242	24.5%	24.1%	51.4%	+1.3	20
1963-08-22	Frigg Oslo	L 0-3	1396	1214	67.0%	21.4%	11.6%	-39.4	19
1963-08-22	@ Valerenga	W 3-0	1214	1396	11.6%	21.4%	67.0%	+39.5	18
1963-08-24	Viking	W 2-1	1341	1241	59.9%	23.1%	17.0%	+4.3	24
1963-08-24	@ Brann	L 1-2	1241	1341	17.0%	23.1%	59.9%	-4.3	22
1963-08-25	Skeid	D 3-3	1253	1284	44.9%	24.4%	30.6%	-0.4	19
1963-08-25	@ Frigg Oslo	D 3-3	1284	1253	30.6%	24.4%	44.9%	+0.4	17
1963-08-25	Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1144	1280	30.7%	24.1%	45.2%	+0.5	10
1963-08-25	@ Gjovik-Lyn	D 2-2	1280	1144	45.2%	24.1%	30.7%	-0.5	17
1963-08-25	Valerenga	W 5-0	1333	1357	45.9%	24.4%	29.7%	+32.1	30
1963-08-25	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-5	1357	1333	29.7%	24.4%	45.9%	-32.1	19
1963-08-25	Steinkjer	D 1-1	1223	1250	45.4%	24.4%	30.2%	-0.7	21
1963-08-25	@ Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1250	1223	30.2%	24.4%	45.4%	+0.7	19
1963-09-07	Brann	L 1-3	1365	1346	51.3%	24.1%	24.6%	-18.4	30
1963-09-07	@ Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1346	1365	24.6%	24.1%	51.3%	+18.4	27
1963-09-07	Skeid	L 1-3	1222	1285	40.6%	24.4%	34.9%	-15.2	21
1963-09-07	@ Sarpsborg	W 3-1	1285	1222	34.9%	24.4%	40.6%	+15.1	20
1963-09-07	Frigg Oslo	L 1-3	1251	1253	48.6%	24.3%	27.1%	-17.6	19
1963-09-07	@ Steinkjer	W 3-1	1253	1251	27.1%	24.3%	48.6%	+17.6	22
1963-09-08	Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1325	1279	54.2%	23.9%	21.9%	-1.2	20
1963-09-08	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1279	1325	21.9%	23.9%	54.2%	+1.2	18
1963-09-20	Sarpsborg	D 2-2	1271	1207	56.2%	23.7%	20.2%	-1.3	23
1963-09-20	@ Frigg Oslo	D 2-2	1207	1271	20.2%	23.7%	56.2%	+1.4	22
1963-09-22	Steinkjer	W 3-0	1364	1233	62.7%	22.6%	14.7%	+10.9	30
1963-09-22	@ Brann	L 0-3	1233	1364	14.7%	22.6%	62.7%	-10.9	19
1963-09-22	Lyn Oslo	W 4-0	1281	1347	40.1%	24.4%	35.5%	+29.9	21
1963-09-22	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1347	1281	35.5%	24.4%	40.1%	-29.9	30
1963-09-22	Valerenga	L 0-7	1145	1323	25.6%	23.6%	50.8%	-38.8	10
1963-09-22	@ Gjovik-Lyn	W 7-0	1323	1145	50.8%	23.6%	25.6%	+38.8	23
1963-09-22	Viking	W 4-1	1300	1237	56.1%	23.7%	20.2%	+12.2	23
1963-09-22	@ Skeid	L 1-4	1237	1300	20.2%	23.7%	56.1%	-12.2	22
1963-10-04	Skeid	L 1-6	1362	1312	54.7%	23.8%	21.4%	-43.7	23
1963-10-04	@ Valerenga	W 6-1	1312	1362	21.4%	23.8%	54.7%	+43.7	26
1963-10-06	Gjovik-Lyn	L 1-3	1317	1106	69.2%	20.7%	10.1%	-24.2	30
1963-10-06	@ Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1106	1317	10.1%	20.7%	69.2%	+24.2	13
1963-10-06	Brann	D 1-1	1208	1375	26.9%	23.8%	49.3%	+1.1	23
1963-10-06	@ Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1375	1208	49.3%	23.8%	26.9%	-1.1	31
1963-10-06	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1222	1310	37.0%	24.4%	38.6%	-8.6	19
1963-10-06	@ Steinkjer	W 1-0	1310	1222	38.6%	24.4%	37.0%	+8.6	24
1963-10-06	Frigg Oslo	D 0-0	1225	1269	43.1%	24.4%	32.5%	-0.5	23
1963-10-06	@ Viking	D 0-0	1269	1225	32.5%	24.4%	43.1%	+0.5	24
1963-10-12	Steinkjer	W 3-2	1356	1214	63.7%	22.3%	14.0%	+3.4	29
1963-10-12	@ Skeid	L 2-3	1214	1356	14.0%	22.3%	63.7%	-3.4	19
1963-10-13	Valerenga	W 3-1	1374	1319	55.3%	23.8%	20.9%	+8.9	34
1963-10-13	@ Brann	L 1-3	1319	1374	20.9%	23.8%	55.3%	-8.9	23
1963-10-13	Viking	W 4-1	1319	1224	59.4%	23.2%	17.4%	+10.7	27
1963-10-13	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-4	1224	1319	17.4%	23.2%	59.4%	-10.7	23
1963-10-13	Lyn Oslo	L 0-3	1270	1293	46.0%	24.4%	29.7%	-28.1	24
1963-10-13	@ Frigg Oslo	W 3-0	1293	1270	29.7%	24.4%	46.0%	+28.1	33
1963-10-13	Sarpsborg	W 2-1	1130	1209	38.3%	24.4%	37.3%	+8.2	16
1963-10-13	@ Gjovik-Lyn	L 1-2	1209	1130	37.3%	24.4%	38.3%	-8.2	23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1963-10-06	10.11%	Gjovik-Lyn	1106	3	@ Lyn Oslo	1317	1
2	1963-08-22	11.59%	Frigg Oslo	1214	3	@ Valerenga	1396	0
3	1963-08-18	14.56%	Viking	1217	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1350	0
4	1963-05-23	16.25%	Sarpsborg	1205	1	@ Steinkjer	1315	0
5	1963-05-05	17.11%	Viking	1226	2	@ Valerenga	1325	1
6	1963-05-23	17.21%	Gjovik-Lyn	1192	2	@ Fredrikstad	1289	1
7	1963-05-23	18.97%	Lyn Oslo	1284	2	@ Valerenga	1361	1
8	1963-06-24	20.36%	Brann	1321	4	@ Valerenga	1383	2
9	1963-10-04	21.44%	Skeid	1312	6	@ Valerenga	1362	1
10	1963-05-26	22.50%	Lyn Oslo	1296	6	@ Brann	1335	0
11	1963-06-09	23.19%	Brann	1269	3	@ Steinkjer	1302	0
12	1963-08-04	24.28%	Fredrikstad	1270	1	@ Skeid	1293	0
13	1963-09-07	24.60%	Brann	1346	3	@ Lyn Oslo	1365	1
14	1963-08-02	26.43%	@ Sarpsborg	1200	2	Lyn Oslo	1371	0
15	1963-08-06	27.12%	@ Frigg Oslo	1180	4	Brann	1345	3
16	1963-09-07	27.12%	Frigg Oslo	1253	3	@ Steinkjer	1251	1
17	1963-08-18	28.43%	Frigg Oslo	1190	4	@ Gjovik-Lyn	1177	1
18	1963-05-19	28.51%	Viking	1229	2	@ Sarpsborg	1215	1
19	1963-10-13	29.66%	Lyn Oslo	1293	3	@ Frigg Oslo	1270	0
20	1963-04-28	30.83%	@ Sarpsborg	1200	1	Valerenga	1335	0
21	1963-05-12	31.55%	Lyn Oslo	1276	3	@ Viking	1238	2
22	1963-04-28	32.00%	Steinkjer	1283	3	@ Viking	1242	1
23	1963-06-14	32.65%	Valerenga	1367	3	@ Skeid	1321	1
24	1963-04-28	32.96%	@ Gjovik-Lyn	1210	2	Brann	1328	0
25	1963-06-09	33.46%	@ Viking	1216	1	Skeid	1331	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1963-05-26	61.44	Lyn Oslo	6	1296	22.50%	@ Brann	0	1335	53.56%
2	1963-05-19	54.74	Valerenga	7	1306	36.30%	@ Frigg Oslo	0	1234	39.27%
3	1963-10-04	43.70	Skeid	6	1312	21.44%	@ Valerenga	1	1362	54.74%
4	1963-08-22	39.45	Frigg Oslo	3	1214	11.59%	@ Valerenga	0	1396	66.97%
5	1963-09-22	38.84	Valerenga	7	1323	50.82%	@ Gjovik-Lyn	0	1145	25.59%
6	1963-08-25	32.14	@ Lyn Oslo	5	1333	45.90%	Valerenga	0	1357	29.71%
7	1963-06-09	31.72	Brann	3	1269	23.19%	@ Steinkjer	0	1302	52.80%
8	1963-09-22	29.91	@ Fredrikstad	4	1281	40.09%	Lyn Oslo	0	1347	35.47%
9	1963-10-13	28.09	Lyn Oslo	3	1293	29.66%	@ Frigg Oslo	0	1270	45.95%
10	1963-05-04	27.21	@ Brann	8	1310	55.33%	Frigg Oslo	1	1254	20.91%
11	1963-08-18	25.67	Viking	2	1217	14.56%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1350	62.94%
12	1963-06-16	24.66	@ Frigg Oslo	5	1163	40.59%	Viking	1	1226	34.97%
13	1963-08-18	24.25	Frigg Oslo	4	1190	28.43%	@ Gjovik-Lyn	1	1177	47.23%
14	1963-10-06	24.19	Gjovik-Lyn	3	1106	10.11%	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1317	69.17%
15	1963-05-26	22.61	@ Gjovik-Lyn	5	1204	44.33%	Viking	1	1239	31.25%
16	1963-06-15	21.07	@ Brann	7	1300	58.20%	Sarpsborg	1	1217	18.42%
17	1963-05-19	20.71	Skeid	4	1287	36.68%	@ Gjovik-Lyn	1	1212	38.90%
18	1963-08-02	20.65	@ Sarpsborg	2	1200	26.43%	Lyn Oslo	0	1371	49.88%
19	1963-06-23	19.74	@ Sarpsborg	3	1196	46.33%	Gjovik-Lyn	0	1216	29.30%
20	1963-09-07	18.42	Brann	3	1346	24.60%	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1365	51.27%
21	1963-04-28	18.21	@ Gjovik-Lyn	2	1210	32.96%	Brann	0	1328	42.82%
22	1963-06-24	17.84	Brann	4	1321	20.36%	@ Valerenga	2	1383	55.96%
23	1963-09-07	17.57	Frigg Oslo	3	1253	27.12%	@ Steinkjer	1	1251	48.59%
24	1963-07-29	16.13	@ Valerenga	5	1365	64.29%	Sarpsborg	0	1216	13.53%
25	1963-04-28	16.02	Steinkjer	3	1283	32.00%	@ Viking	1	1242	43.56%