1955 NFL Season

72 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Cleveland Browns (1st)

3rd Title

Last Title: 1954

Runner-Up

Los Angeles Rams

5th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1951

Biggest Overachiever

Washington Redskins

2.05 wins above expected

8 wins · 5.95 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Detroit Lions

2.29 wins below expected

3 wins · 5.29 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st) Division	9	2	1	.792	-	349	218	+131	8.09	+1.41
2	Washington Redskins	8	4	0	.667	1.5	246	222	+24	5.95	+2.05
3	New York Giants	6	5	1	.542	3	267	223	+44	5.62	+0.88
4	Philadelphia Eagles	4	7	1	.375	5	248	231	+17	6.03	-1.53
5	Chicago Cardinals	4	7	1	.375	5	224	252	-28	4.98	-0.48
6	Pittsburgh Steelers	4	8	0	.333	5.5	195	285	-90	5.37	-1.37

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Rams Division	8	3	1	.708	-	260	231	+29	7.10	+1.40
2	Chicago Bears	8	4	0	.667	0.5	294	251	+43	6.74	+1.26
3	Green Bay Packers	6	6	0	.500	2.5	258	276	-18	5.70	+0.30
4	Baltimore Colts	5	6	1	.458	3	214	239	-25	5.62	-0.12
5	San Francisco 49ers	4	8	0	.333	4.5	216	298	-82	5.50	-1.50
6	Detroit Lions	3	9	0	.250	5.5	230	275	-45	5.29	-2.29

Playoff Bracket

NFL Championship Game

Cleveland Browns (1st) 38

Los Angeles Rams 14

Dec 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1687	9.5	8.09	+1.41	84.96%	1	5	7	8	9	10	12
New York Giants	East	1593	6.5	5.62	+0.88	75.09%	0	3	4	5	6	8	12
Los Angeles Rams	West	1585	8.5	7.10	+1.40	84.36%	0	4	6	7	8	9	12
Chicago Bears	West	1575	8	6.74	+1.26	89.14%	0	4	5	7	8	9	12
Washington Redskins	East	1546	8	5.95	+2.05	95.84%	0	3	5	6	7	8	12
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1514	4.5	6.03	-1.53	21.53%	0	3	5	6	7	8	12
Green Bay Packers	West	1486	6	5.70	+0.30	73.47%	0	3	4	5	7	8	12
Chicago Cardinals	East	1437	4.5	4.98	-0.48	44.41%	0	2	4	5	6	7	12
Detroit Lions	West	1435	3	5.29	-2.29	17.03%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
Baltimore Colts	West	1400	5.5	5.62	-0.12	52.90%	0	3	4	5	7	8	12
San Francisco 49ers	West	1371	4	5.50	-1.50	32.09%	0	3	4	5	6	8	12
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1370	4	5.37	-1.37	34.37%	0	3	4	5	6	8	12

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-0-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Chicago Cardinals	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-
Cleveland Browns (1st)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
New York Giants	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-
Philadelphia Eagles	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	-	-	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-
Washington Redskins	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)

Within West

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Baltimore Colts	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Chicago Bears	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Baltimore Colts	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Chicago Bears	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-
Detroit Lions	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	-
Green Bay Packers	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	-	-
Los Angeles Rams	-	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-
San Francisco 49ers	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.39%	—	2.78%	0.69%	0.69%	—	5.56%
7–13	1.39%	1.39%	4.17%	2.78%	2.78%	2.08%	—	14.58%
14–20	—	4.17%	6.94%	11.81%	4.17%	0.69%	0.69%	28.47%
21–27	2.78%	2.78%	11.81%	6.94%	2.08%	2.08%	—	28.47%
28–34	0.69%	2.78%	4.17%	2.08%	4.17%	—	0.69%	14.58%
35–41	0.69%	2.08%	0.69%	2.08%	—	1.39%	—	6.94%
42+	—	—	0.69%	—	0.69%	—	—	1.39%
Total	5.56%	14.58%	28.47%	28.47%	14.58%	6.94%	1.39%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.84	20.84	+0.00
SD	9.90	9.90	14.82
CV	0.48	0.48	—
Max	53	53	+39
Min	0	0	-39

Games Played: 72

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	16.67%	—	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	25.00%	—	—	8.33%	—	33.33%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	16.67%	58.33%	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.83	19.92	-2.08
SD	6.87	8.60	11.78
CV	0.39	0.43	—
Max	28	38	+15
Min	7	10	-28

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	33.33%
21–27	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
42+	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
Total	8.33%	16.67%	33.33%	25.00%	8.33%	—	8.33%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.50	20.92	+3.58
SD	12.79	12.65	18.84
CV	0.52	0.60	—
Max	52	53	+28
Min	3	3	-39

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	33.33%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	—	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

Chicago Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.67	21.00	-2.33
SD	15.14	8.97	19.31
CV	0.81	0.43	—
Max	53	35	+39
Min	0	10	-31

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
21–27	—	—	33.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	41.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	16.67%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.08	18.17	+10.92
SD	8.81	9.97	15.79
CV	0.30	0.55	—
Max	41	35	+35
Min	17	3	-16

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	25.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	33.33%
28–34	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.33%	25.00%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.17	22.92	-3.75
SD	6.07	7.34	9.36
CV	0.32	0.32	—
Max	31	38	+14
Min	10	10	-17

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	33.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	8.33%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	23.00	-1.50
SD	8.27	13.86	16.57
CV	0.38	0.60	—
Max	31	52	+21
Min	10	3	-31

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	8.33%	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	8.33%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	41.67%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	16.67%	41.67%	25.00%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.67	19.25	+2.42
SD	7.33	7.02	10.24
CV	0.34	0.36	—
Max	31	31	+14
Min	3	10	-21

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
21–27	—	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
35–41	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%	—	16.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.25	18.58	+3.67
SD	8.29	11.03	12.96
CV	0.37	0.59	—
Max	35	35	+28
Min	10	0	-11

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
21–27	16.67%	—	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	8.33%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.67	19.25	+1.42
SD	8.75	10.54	14.57
CV	0.42	0.55	—
Max	33	34	+24
Min	7	0	-24

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
7–13	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	41.67%
21–27	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
28–34	—	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	16.67%	8.33%	41.67%	25.00%	8.33%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.25	23.75	-7.50
SD	8.61	9.71	12.45
CV	0.53	0.41	—
Max	30	41	+7
Min	0	7	-27

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%	—	16.67%
7–13	—	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
14–20	—	—	8.33%	25.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
21–27	—	—	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	8.33%	8.33%	58.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.00	24.83	-6.83
SD	11.78	7.69	13.90
CV	0.65	0.31	—
Max	38	38	+17
Min	0	7	-35

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	8.33%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
28–34	8.33%	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	8.33%	25.00%	33.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.50	18.50	+2.00
SD	9.85	10.80	15.27
CV	0.48	0.58	—
Max	34	35	+31
Min	7	0	-28

Games Played: 12

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.61	+0.4
Allowed	0.39	-0.5
Differential	0.65	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Washington Redskins	8	5.95	+2.05
2	Cleveland Browns (1st)	9.5	8.09	+1.41
3	Los Angeles Rams	8.5	7.10	+1.40
4	Chicago Bears	8	6.74	+1.26
5	New York Giants	6.5	5.62	+0.88

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Detroit Lions	3	5.29	-2.29
2	Philadelphia Eagles	4.5	6.03	-1.53
3	San Francisco 49ers	4	5.50	-1.50
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	4	5.37	-1.37
5	Chicago Cardinals	4.5	4.98	-0.48

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chicago Bears	6	Oct 16 – Nov 20	1 in 86
2	Cleveland Browns (1st)	6	Oct 2 – Nov 6	1 in 21
3	Washington Redskins	4	Nov 6 – Nov 27	1 in 20
4	Baltimore Colts	3	Sep 25 – Oct 8	1 in 13
5	San Francisco 49ers	2	Oct 9 – Oct 16	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Detroit Lions	6	Sep 25 – Oct 30	1 in 57
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	7	Oct 30 – Dec 11	1 in 51
3	San Francisco 49ers	5	Nov 6 – Dec 4	1 in 11
4	Chicago Bears	3	Sep 25 – Oct 9	1 in 9
5	Philadelphia Eagles	3	Oct 1 – Oct 15	1 in 8

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Cleveland Browns (1st)	57.88%	21.56%	10.68%	5.72%	2.94%	1.22%
Philadelphia Eagles	12.08%	20.21%	19.70%	18.40%	16.30%	13.32%
Washington Redskins	11.24%	19.18%	20.06%	19.10%	16.77%	13.66%
New York Giants	8.84%	16.09%	18.85%	19.26%	19.01%	17.96%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.89%	13.36%	17.08%	19.75%	21.84%	22.08%
Chicago Cardinals	4.07%	9.61%	13.64%	17.77%	23.15%	31.76%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Los Angeles Rams	34.30%	23.99%	16.98%	12.11%	8.14%	4.48%
Chicago Bears	28.20%	23.28%	17.97%	13.87%	10.12%	6.57%
Green Bay Packers	10.47%	14.44%	17.34%	18.74%	19.51%	19.49%
Baltimore Colts	10.43%	14.03%	17.09%	18.55%	19.62%	20.28%
San Francisco 49ers	9.09%	13.11%	16.00%	18.77%	20.76%	22.27%
Detroit Lions	7.51%	11.15%	14.62%	17.97%	21.84%	26.91%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Cleveland Browns (1st)	37.91%	20.87%	12.41%	8.83%	5.98%	4.53%	3.27%	2.38%	1.65%	1.13%	0.68%	0.37%
Los Angeles Rams	15.85%	17.36%	13.42%	11.64%	9.62%	7.88%	6.87%	5.36%	4.45%	3.54%	2.50%	1.51%
Chicago Bears	11.99%	14.78%	12.85%	11.35%	9.75%	8.86%	7.41%	6.60%	5.59%	4.57%	3.70%	2.54%
Philadelphia Eagles	6.55%	7.08%	9.46%	9.40%	9.66%	9.43%	9.22%	9.17%	8.47%	8.05%	7.27%	6.23%
Washington Redskins	5.51%	6.69%	8.72%	9.52%	9.66%	9.84%	9.45%	9.47%	8.71%	8.25%	7.46%	6.73%
Green Bay Packers	3.94%	6.12%	7.00%	8.03%	8.64%	9.24%	9.50%	9.41%	9.70%	9.71%	9.64%	9.08%
New York Giants	4.11%	5.22%	7.33%	8.01%	8.70%	9.45%	9.38%	9.60%	9.57%	9.55%	9.43%	9.65%
Baltimore Colts	3.70%	6.02%	7.04%	7.77%	8.55%	8.81%	9.21%	9.40%	9.70%	9.96%	9.98%	9.86%
San Francisco 49ers	3.48%	5.02%	6.48%	7.05%	8.08%	8.36%	9.23%	9.82%	10.26%	10.70%	10.84%	10.68%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.71%	3.79%	5.73%	6.81%	7.99%	8.63%	9.45%	10.08%	10.57%	11.26%	11.44%	11.52%
Detroit Lions	2.47%	4.49%	5.41%	6.45%	7.07%	7.86%	8.85%	9.40%	10.44%	11.12%	12.50%	13.95%
Chicago Cardinals	1.79%	2.58%	4.14%	5.12%	6.30%	7.12%	8.15%	9.32%	10.90%	12.15%	14.56%	17.88%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)	57.88%	42.12%
Philadelphia Eagles	12.08%	87.92%
Washington Redskins	11.24%	88.76%
New York Giants	8.84%	91.16%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.89%	94.11%
Chicago Cardinals	4.07%	95.93%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Los Angeles Rams	34.30%	65.70%
Chicago Bears	28.20%	71.80%
Green Bay Packers	10.47%	89.53%
Baltimore Colts	10.43%	89.57%
San Francisco 49ers	9.09%	90.91%
Detroit Lions	7.51%	92.49%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+29.17%

Fortress

62.50%4.17%33.33%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 104.37 Elo pts.

26 Elo

0.038 points per Elo point

080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+5.12 points

Home-Tilted

-8+3.95+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 25% · Tough Road: 25% to 50% · Favored: 50% to 100% · Heavy Favorite: 100% and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.2

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

33%

Cleveland Browns (1st), 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

49.6%

Tough Road

050.00%100%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.3 · As Expected: 1.3 to 1.79 · Elevated: 1.79 to 2.44 · High Variance: 2.44 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 2.47 · Close: 2.47 to 3.35 · Off Target: 3.35 to 4.36 · Well Off Target: 4.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.81 · As Expected: 0.81 to 1.35 · More Than Expected: 1.35 to 2.16 · Far More Than Expected: 2.16 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.37 wins

As Expected

01.634

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

Pinpoint

02.916

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.84%

Washington Redskins

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

17.03%

Detroit Lions

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

As Expected

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

0 of 2

Fewer Than Expected

01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.51

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

71%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Lopsided

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

19%

Mostly Decisive

0%19%100%

Blowouts

Expected

24%

Frequent

0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.73

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

-0.01

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

32%

As Expected

0%34%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

34%

Shaky Favorites

0%29%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 · Within Noise: 0.08 to 0.17 · Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.33 · Well Above Noise: 0.33 and up.

Probability calibration

0.62

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.80

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.107

Within Noise

00.1660.4

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	57.88%	33.38%
Los Angeles Rams	34.30%	20.34%
Chicago Bears	28.20%	16.52%
Green Bay Packers	10.47%	5.00%
Philadelphia Eagles	12.08%	4.35%
Washington Redskins	11.24%	4.30%
New York Giants	8.84%	3.97%
Baltimore Colts	10.43%	3.68%
San Francisco 49ers	9.09%	3.10%
Detroit Lions	7.51%	3.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.89%	1.18%
Chicago Cardinals	4.07%	1.10%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	Chicago Cardinals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	Washington Redskins
Chicago Cardinals	42.1%0.48%	20.9%0.91%	32.1%0.32%	29.9%0.36%	19.5%1.53%	41.5%0.47%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	74.6%6.17%	50.7%16.77%	69.3%4.41%	64.2%5.48%	49.6%20.32%	76.8%4.73%
New York Giants	61.7%0.74%	37.1%2.51%	55.5%0.52%	50.1%1.06%	36.2%3.08%	69.6%0.92%
Philadelphia Eagles	51.1%1.45%	27.5%3.00%	44.8%1.03%	38.6%1.48%	27.1%3.72%	53.6%1.39%
Pittsburgh Steelers	33.8%0.66%	13.2%1.78%	26.0%0.38%	21.6%0.71%	14.6%1.70%	33.4%0.66%
Washington Redskins	57.0%0.92%	31.0%3.23%	49.2%0.85%	42.2%1.37%	30.8%3.94%	61.2%0.92%
Baltimore Colts							57.9%0.48%	25.4%6.17%	38.3%0.74%	48.9%1.45%	66.2%0.66%	43.0%0.92%
Chicago Bears							79.1%0.91%	49.3%16.77%	62.9%2.51%	72.5%3.00%	86.8%1.78%	69.0%3.23%
Detroit Lions							67.9%0.32%	30.7%4.41%	44.5%0.52%	55.2%1.03%	74.0%0.38%	50.8%0.85%
Green Bay Packers							70.1%0.36%	35.8%5.48%	49.9%1.06%	61.4%1.48%	78.4%0.71%	57.8%1.37%
Los Angeles Rams							80.5%1.53%	50.4%20.32%	63.8%3.08%	72.9%3.72%	85.4%1.70%	69.2%3.94%
San Francisco 49ers							58.5%0.47%	23.2%4.73%	30.4%0.92%	46.4%1.39%	66.6%0.66%	38.8%0.92%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Won Super Bowl
Los Angeles Rams	50.36%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	49.65%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Los Angeles Rams	Cleveland Browns (1st)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	49.6%100.00%
Los Angeles Rams		50.4%100.00%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Los Angeles Rams 50.36% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.36%

Cleveland Browns (1st) 49.65% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.65%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1955-09-25	Chicago Bears	W 23-17	1419.47	1493.71	52.26%	43.64%	+20.82	1-0
1955-10-01	Detroit Lions	W 28-13	1440.29	1528.66	50.24%	45.65%	+34.38	2-0
1955-10-08	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-20	1474.67	1512.68	29.07%	67.36%	+25.84	3-0
1955-10-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-38	1500.51	1431.62	42.89%	53.03%	-44.23	3-1
1955-10-23	Washington Redskins	L 13-14	1456.28	1447.53	63.66%	32.58%	-12.23	3-2
1955-10-29	Green Bay Packers	W 14-10	1444.05	1478.98	57.80%	38.23%	+14.94	4-2
1955-11-05	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-24	1458.99	1406.34	40.64%	55.32%	-25.08	4-3
1955-11-13	@ New York Giants	L 7-17	1433.91	1482.50	27.86%	68.65%	-17.25	4-4
1955-11-20	Los Angeles Rams	T 17-17	1416.66	1539.93	45.24%	50.66%	+0.26	4-4
1955-11-27	San Francisco 49ers	W 26-14	1416.92	1410.93	63.30%	32.92%	+22.32	5-4
1955-12-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-20	1439.24	1555.87	20.88%	76.18%	-9.98	5-5
1955-12-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-35	1429.26	1341.75	45.53%	50.36%	-29.36	5-6
1955-09-25	@ Baltimore Colts	L 17-23	1493.71	1419.47	43.64%	52.26%	-20.83	0-1
1955-10-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-24	1472.88	1483.68	32.33%	63.93%	-29.00	0-2
1955-10-09	San Francisco 49ers	L 19-20	1443.88	1433.90	63.82%	32.43%	-12.26	0-3
1955-10-16	Baltimore Colts	W 38-10	1431.62	1500.51	53.03%	42.89%	+44.23	1-3
1955-10-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-23	1475.85	1467.89	34.69%	61.46%	+39.21	2-3
1955-10-30	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-20	1515.06	1598.73	24.09%	72.70%	+46.10	3-3
1955-11-06	Green Bay Packers	W 52-31	1561.16	1464.04	74.16%	22.74%	+20.36	4-3
1955-11-13	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-3	1581.52	1568.71	64.19%	32.08%	+28.78	5-3
1955-11-20	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-14	1610.30	1454.04	55.35%	40.61%	+25.06	6-3
1955-11-27	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 14-53	1635.36	1393.68	66.74%	29.66%	-79.95	6-4
1955-12-04	Detroit Lions	W 21-20	1555.41	1459.36	74.04%	22.85%	+4.47	7-4
1955-12-11	Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-10	1559.88	1529.82	66.38%	30.00%	+15.54	8-4
1955-09-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-14	1443.56	1482.40	28.97%	67.47%	-15.01	0-1
1955-10-02	New York Giants	W 28-17	1428.55	1488.78	54.25%	41.69%	+26.96	1-1
1955-10-09	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-10	1455.51	1525.97	25.47%	71.21%	+50.99	2-1
1955-10-16	@ New York Giants	L 0-10	1506.50	1446.31	41.68%	54.26%	-25.70	2-2
1955-10-23	Philadelphia Eagles	T 24-24	1480.80	1510.96	58.45%	37.59%	-0.98	2-2
1955-10-30	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 20-26	1479.82	1651.57	38.50%	57.51%	-18.43	2-3
1955-11-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-13	1461.39	1504.64	56.64%	39.35%	+28.76	3-3
1955-11-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-31	1490.15	1443.69	39.79%	56.19%	-32.03	3-4
1955-11-20	Washington Redskins	L 0-31	1458.12	1476.08	60.12%	35.98%	-64.44	3-5
1955-11-27	Chicago Bears	W 53-14	1393.68	1635.36	29.66%	66.74%	+79.95	4-5
1955-12-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-27	1473.63	1500.71	30.36%	66.01%	-29.11	4-6
1955-12-11	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-35	1444.52	1679.11	12.02%	86.03%	-7.68	4-7
1955-09-25	Washington Redskins	L 17-27	1569.34	1467.97	74.61%	22.33%	-45.06	0-1
1955-10-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 38-3	1524.28	1501.67	36.59%	59.49%	+67.77	1-1
1955-10-09	Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-17	1592.05	1539.06	69.18%	27.37%	+10.71	2-1
1955-10-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-14	1602.76	1474.98	51.30%	44.59%	+27.45	3-1
1955-10-23	Green Bay Packers	W 41-10	1630.21	1500.34	77.49%	19.69%	+21.36	4-1
1955-10-30	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 26-20	1651.57	1479.82	57.51%	38.50%	+18.42	5-1
1955-11-06	New York Giants	W 24-14	1669.99	1492.18	81.79%	15.80%	+9.69	6-1
1955-11-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-33	1679.68	1512.35	56.90%	39.10%	-43.89	6-2
1955-11-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-14	1635.79	1453.26	82.17%	15.45%	+15.56	7-2
1955-11-27	@ New York Giants	T 35-35	1651.35	1539.09	49.08%	46.81%	-0.11	7-2
1955-12-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-7	1651.24	1409.66	66.73%	29.67%	+27.87	8-2
1955-12-11	Chicago Cardinals	W 35-24	1679.11	1444.52	86.03%	12.02%	+7.68	9-2
1955-09-25	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-20	1543.39	1468.95	43.67%	52.24%	-14.73	0-1
1955-10-01	@ Baltimore Colts	L 13-28	1528.66	1440.29	45.65%	50.24%	-34.38	0-2
1955-10-09	Los Angeles Rams	L 10-17	1494.28	1573.73	51.52%	44.38%	-26.38	0-3
1955-10-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-27	1467.90	1446.16	65.33%	30.99%	-21.72	0-4
1955-10-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 13-24	1446.18	1586.61	18.77%	78.49%	-12.12	0-5
1955-10-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-38	1434.06	1428.68	34.36%	61.81%	-27.72	0-6
1955-11-05	Baltimore Colts	W 24-14	1406.34	1458.99	55.32%	40.64%	+25.07	1-6
1955-11-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-28	1431.41	1475.88	28.33%	68.15%	+22.63	2-6
1955-11-20	Chicago Bears	L 14-24	1454.04	1610.30	40.61%	55.35%	-25.06	2-7
1955-11-24	Green Bay Packers	W 24-10	1428.98	1488.91	54.30%	41.64%	+30.38	3-7
1955-12-04	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-21	1459.36	1555.41	22.85%	74.04%	-4.46	3-8
1955-12-11	New York Giants	L 19-24	1454.90	1572.85	45.99%	49.89%	-19.99	3-9
1955-09-25	Detroit Lions	W 20-17	1468.95	1543.39	52.24%	43.67%	+14.73	1-0
1955-10-02	Chicago Bears	W 24-3	1483.68	1472.88	63.93%	32.33%	+29.00	2-0
1955-10-08	Baltimore Colts	L 20-24	1512.68	1474.67	67.36%	29.07%	-25.84	2-1
1955-10-16	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-28	1486.84	1600.11	46.66%	49.22%	+13.50	3-1
1955-10-23	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-41	1500.34	1630.21	19.69%	77.49%	-21.36	3-2
1955-10-29	@ Baltimore Colts	L 10-14	1478.98	1444.05	38.23%	57.80%	-14.94	3-3
1955-11-06	@ Chicago Bears	L 31-52	1464.04	1561.16	22.74%	74.16%	-20.35	3-4
1955-11-13	Chicago Cardinals	W 31-14	1443.69	1490.15	56.19%	39.79%	+32.03	4-4
1955-11-20	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-21	1475.72	1424.13	69.01%	27.53%	+13.19	5-4
1955-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-24	1488.91	1428.98	41.64%	54.30%	-30.38	5-5
1955-12-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 28-7	1458.53	1388.60	43.04%	52.88%	+46.85	6-5
1955-12-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-31	1505.38	1565.85	26.54%	70.06%	-19.43	6-6
1955-09-25	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-14	1532.28	1538.16	32.94%	63.29%	+36.49	1-0
1955-10-02	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-26	1568.77	1497.41	71.32%	25.37%	+4.96	2-0
1955-10-09	@ Detroit Lions	W 17-10	1573.73	1494.28	44.38%	51.52%	+26.38	3-0
1955-10-16	@ Green Bay Packers	L 28-30	1600.11	1486.84	49.22%	46.66%	-13.50	3-1
1955-10-23	Detroit Lions	W 24-13	1586.61	1446.18	78.49%	18.77%	+12.12	4-1
1955-10-30	Chicago Bears	L 20-31	1598.73	1515.06	72.70%	24.09%	-46.10	4-2
1955-11-06	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-14	1552.63	1456.40	74.06%	22.83%	+16.08	5-2
1955-11-13	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-24	1568.71	1581.52	32.08%	64.19%	-28.78	5-3
1955-11-20	@ Baltimore Colts	T 17-17	1539.93	1416.66	50.66%	45.24%	-0.26	5-3
1955-11-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-21	1539.67	1516.90	36.61%	59.46%	+16.20	6-3
1955-12-04	Baltimore Colts	W 20-14	1555.87	1439.24	76.18%	20.88%	+9.98	7-3
1955-12-11	Green Bay Packers	W 31-17	1565.85	1505.38	70.06%	26.54%	+19.43	8-3
1955-09-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-27	1507.70	1533.08	30.56%	65.79%	-18.92	0-1
1955-10-02	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 17-28	1488.78	1428.55	41.69%	54.25%	-26.96	0-2
1955-10-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 23-30	1461.82	1492.45	29.93%	66.45%	-15.51	0-3
1955-10-16	Chicago Cardinals	W 10-0	1446.31	1506.50	54.26%	41.68%	+25.71	1-3
1955-10-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-19	1472.02	1525.34	55.23%	40.73%	-15.08	1-4
1955-10-30	Washington Redskins	W 35-7	1456.94	1459.77	62.15%	34.03%	+35.24	2-4
1955-11-06	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-24	1492.18	1669.99	15.80%	81.79%	-9.68	2-5
1955-11-13	Baltimore Colts	W 17-7	1482.50	1433.91	68.65%	27.86%	+17.24	3-5
1955-11-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-7	1499.74	1556.24	54.78%	41.17%	+39.35	4-5
1955-11-27	Cleveland Browns (1st)	T 35-35	1539.09	1651.35	46.81%	49.08%	+0.10	4-5
1955-12-04	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-20	1539.19	1568.55	30.08%	66.29%	+33.66	5-5
1955-12-11	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-19	1572.85	1454.90	49.89%	45.99%	+19.99	6-5
1955-09-24	New York Giants	W 27-17	1533.08	1507.70	65.79%	30.56%	+18.92	1-0
1955-10-01	Washington Redskins	L 30-31	1552.00	1513.03	67.48%	28.96%	-12.94	1-1
1955-10-09	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-21	1539.06	1592.05	27.37%	69.18%	-10.72	1-2
1955-10-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-13	1528.34	1507.95	36.30%	59.79%	-17.38	1-3
1955-10-23	@ Chicago Cardinals	T 24-24	1510.96	1480.80	37.59%	58.45%	+0.97	1-3
1955-10-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-0	1511.93	1540.42	58.68%	37.37%	+35.79	2-3
1955-11-06	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-34	1547.72	1424.52	50.65%	45.25%	-35.37	2-4
1955-11-13	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 33-17	1512.35	1679.68	39.10%	56.90%	+43.89	3-4
1955-11-20	@ New York Giants	L 7-31	1556.24	1499.74	41.17%	54.78%	-39.34	3-5
1955-11-27	Los Angeles Rams	L 21-23	1516.90	1539.67	59.46%	36.61%	-16.19	3-6
1955-12-04	Chicago Cardinals	W 27-3	1500.71	1473.63	66.01%	30.36%	+29.11	4-6
1955-12-11	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-17	1529.82	1559.88	30.00%	66.38%	-15.54	4-7
1955-09-26	Chicago Cardinals	W 14-7	1482.40	1443.56	67.47%	28.97%	+15.01	1-0
1955-10-02	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 26-27	1497.41	1568.77	25.37%	71.32%	-4.96	1-1
1955-10-09	New York Giants	W 30-23	1492.45	1461.82	66.45%	29.93%	+15.50	2-1
1955-10-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-7	1507.95	1528.34	59.79%	36.30%	+17.39	3-1
1955-10-23	@ New York Giants	W 19-17	1525.34	1472.02	40.73%	55.23%	+15.08	4-1
1955-10-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-24	1540.42	1511.93	37.37%	58.68%	-35.78	4-2
1955-11-05	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 13-27	1504.64	1461.39	39.35%	56.64%	-28.76	4-3
1955-11-13	Detroit Lions	L 28-31	1475.88	1431.41	68.15%	28.33%	-22.62	4-4
1955-11-20	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-41	1453.26	1635.79	15.45%	82.17%	-15.56	4-5
1955-11-27	Washington Redskins	L 14-23	1437.70	1540.51	48.16%	47.72%	-28.04	4-6
1955-12-04	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-30	1409.66	1651.24	29.67%	66.73%	-27.87	4-7
1955-12-11	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-28	1381.79	1534.90	17.72%	79.66%	-11.42	4-8
1955-09-25	Los Angeles Rams	L 14-23	1538.16	1532.28	63.29%	32.94%	-36.49	0-1
1955-10-02	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 3-38	1501.67	1524.28	59.49%	36.59%	-67.77	0-2
1955-10-09	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-19	1433.90	1443.88	32.43%	63.82%	+12.26	1-2
1955-10-16	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1446.16	1467.90	30.99%	65.33%	+21.73	2-2
1955-10-23	Chicago Bears	L 23-34	1467.89	1475.85	61.46%	34.69%	-39.21	2-3
1955-10-30	Detroit Lions	W 38-21	1428.68	1434.06	61.81%	34.36%	+27.72	3-3
1955-11-06	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-27	1456.40	1552.63	22.83%	74.06%	-16.08	3-4
1955-11-13	@ Washington Redskins	L 0-7	1440.32	1459.89	31.26%	65.06%	-16.19	3-5
1955-11-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-27	1424.13	1475.72	27.53%	69.01%	-13.20	3-6
1955-11-27	@ Baltimore Colts	L 14-26	1410.93	1416.92	32.92%	63.30%	-22.33	3-7
1955-12-04	Green Bay Packers	L 7-28	1388.60	1458.53	52.88%	43.04%	-46.85	3-8
1955-12-11	Baltimore Colts	W 35-24	1341.75	1429.26	50.36%	45.53%	+29.36	4-8
1955-09-25	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 27-17	1467.97	1569.34	22.33%	74.61%	+45.06	1-0
1955-10-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-30	1513.03	1552.00	28.96%	67.48%	+12.94	2-0
1955-10-09	Chicago Cardinals	L 10-24	1525.97	1455.51	71.21%	25.47%	-50.99	2-1
1955-10-16	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-24	1474.98	1602.76	44.59%	51.30%	-27.45	2-2
1955-10-23	@ Baltimore Colts	W 14-13	1447.53	1456.28	32.58%	63.66%	+12.24	3-2
1955-10-30	@ New York Giants	L 7-35	1459.77	1456.94	34.03%	62.15%	-35.25	3-3
1955-11-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-21	1424.52	1547.72	45.25%	50.65%	+35.37	4-3
1955-11-13	San Francisco 49ers	W 7-0	1459.89	1440.32	65.06%	31.26%	+16.19	5-3
1955-11-20	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 31-0	1476.08	1458.12	35.98%	60.12%	+64.43	6-3
1955-11-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-14	1540.51	1437.70	47.72%	48.16%	+28.04	7-3
1955-12-04	New York Giants	L 20-27	1568.55	1539.19	66.29%	30.08%	-33.65	7-4
1955-12-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-17	1534.90	1381.79	79.66%	17.72%	+11.42	8-4

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1955-12-26	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 38-14	1686.79	1585.28	49.59%	50.41%	+45.96	1-0
1955-12-26	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-38	1585.28	1686.79	50.41%	49.59%	-45.96	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1955-09-25	22.33%	Washington Redskins	1467.97	27	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1569.34	17
2	1955-10-30	24.09%	Chicago Bears	1515.06	31	@ Los Angeles Rams	1598.73	20
3	1955-10-09	25.47%	Chicago Cardinals	1455.51	24	@ Washington Redskins	1525.97	10
4	1955-11-13	28.33%	Detroit Lions	1431.41	31	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1475.88	28
5	1955-10-01	28.96%	Washington Redskins	1513.03	31	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1552.00	30
6	1955-10-08	29.07%	Baltimore Colts	1474.67	24	@ Green Bay Packers	1512.68	20
7	1955-11-27	29.66%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1393.68	53	Chicago Bears	1635.36	14
8	1955-12-04	30.08%	New York Giants	1539.19	27	@ Washington Redskins	1568.55	20
9	1955-10-16	30.99%	San Francisco 49ers	1446.16	27	@ Detroit Lions	1467.90	24
10	1955-10-09	32.43%	San Francisco 49ers	1433.90	20	@ Chicago Bears	1443.88	19
11	1955-10-23	32.58%	Washington Redskins	1447.53	14	@ Baltimore Colts	1456.28	13
12	1955-09-25	32.94%	Los Angeles Rams	1532.28	23	@ San Francisco 49ers	1538.16	14
13	1955-10-23	34.69%	Chicago Bears	1475.85	34	@ San Francisco 49ers	1467.89	23
14	1955-11-20	35.98%	Washington Redskins	1476.08	31	@ Chicago Cardinals	1458.12	0
15	1955-10-02	36.59%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1524.28	38	@ San Francisco 49ers	1501.67	3
16	1955-11-27	36.61%	Los Angeles Rams	1539.67	23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1516.90	21
17	1955-11-13	39.10%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1512.35	33	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1679.68	17
18	1955-10-23	40.73%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1525.34	19	@ New York Giants	1472.02	17
19	1955-12-04	43.04%	Green Bay Packers	1458.53	28	@ San Francisco 49ers	1388.60	7
20	1955-10-09	44.38%	Los Angeles Rams	1573.73	17	@ Detroit Lions	1494.28	10
21	1955-11-06	45.25%	@ Washington Redskins	1424.52	34	Philadelphia Eagles	1547.72	21
22	1955-10-16	46.66%	@ Green Bay Packers	1486.84	30	Los Angeles Rams	1600.11	28
23	1955-11-27	47.72%	Washington Redskins	1540.51	23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1437.70	14
24	1955-12-26 *	49.59%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1686.79	38	@ Los Angeles Rams	1585.28	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1955-11-27	79.95	@ Chicago Cardinals	53	1393.68	29.66%	Chicago Bears	14	1635.36	66.74%
2	1955-10-02	67.77	Cleveland Browns (1st)	38	1524.28	36.59%	@ San Francisco 49ers	3	1501.67	59.49%
3	1955-11-20	64.44	Washington Redskins	31	1476.08	35.98%	@ Chicago Cardinals	0	1458.12	60.12%
4	1955-10-09	50.99	Chicago Cardinals	24	1455.51	25.47%	@ Washington Redskins	10	1525.97	71.21%
5	1955-12-04	46.85	Green Bay Packers	28	1458.53	43.04%	@ San Francisco 49ers	7	1388.60	52.88%
6	1955-10-30	46.10	Chicago Bears	31	1515.06	24.09%	@ Los Angeles Rams	20	1598.73	72.70%
7	1955-12-26 *	45.96	Cleveland Browns (1st)	38	1686.79	49.59%	@ Los Angeles Rams	14	1585.28	50.41%
8	1955-09-25	45.06	Washington Redskins	27	1467.97	22.33%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	17	1569.34	74.61%
9	1955-10-16	44.23	@ Chicago Bears	38	1431.62	53.03%	Baltimore Colts	10	1500.51	42.89%
10	1955-11-13	43.89	@ Philadelphia Eagles	33	1512.35	39.10%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	17	1679.68	56.90%
11	1955-11-20	39.35	@ New York Giants	31	1499.74	54.78%	Philadelphia Eagles	7	1556.24	41.17%
12	1955-10-23	39.21	Chicago Bears	34	1475.85	34.69%	@ San Francisco 49ers	23	1467.89	61.46%
13	1955-09-25	36.49	Los Angeles Rams	23	1532.28	32.94%	@ San Francisco 49ers	14	1538.16	63.29%
14	1955-10-30	35.79	@ Philadelphia Eagles	24	1511.93	58.68%	Pittsburgh Steelers	0	1540.42	37.37%
15	1955-11-06	35.37	@ Washington Redskins	34	1424.52	45.25%	Philadelphia Eagles	21	1547.72	50.65%
16	1955-10-30	35.25	@ New York Giants	35	1456.94	62.15%	Washington Redskins	7	1459.77	34.03%
17	1955-10-01	34.38	@ Baltimore Colts	28	1440.29	50.24%	Detroit Lions	13	1528.66	45.65%
18	1955-12-04	33.66	New York Giants	27	1539.19	30.08%	@ Washington Redskins	20	1568.55	66.29%
19	1955-11-13	32.03	@ Green Bay Packers	31	1443.69	56.19%	Chicago Cardinals	14	1490.15	39.79%
20	1955-11-24	30.38	@ Detroit Lions	24	1428.98	54.30%	Green Bay Packers	10	1488.91	41.64%
21	1955-12-11	29.36	@ San Francisco 49ers	35	1341.75	50.36%	Baltimore Colts	24	1429.26	45.53%
22	1955-12-04	29.11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	27	1500.71	66.01%	Chicago Cardinals	3	1473.63	30.36%
23	1955-10-02	29.00	@ Green Bay Packers	24	1483.68	63.93%	Chicago Bears	3	1472.88	32.33%
24	1955-11-13	28.78	@ Chicago Bears	24	1581.52	64.19%	Los Angeles Rams	3	1568.71	32.08%
25	1955-11-05	28.76	@ Chicago Cardinals	27	1461.39	56.64%	Pittsburgh Steelers	13	1504.64	39.35%