1952 NFL Season

72 regular-season games · 3 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Detroit Lions

2nd Title

Last Title: 1935

Runner-Up

Cleveland Browns (1st)

3rd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1951

Biggest Overachiever

Detroit Lions

1.66 wins above expected

9 wins · 7.34 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Texans (1st)

1.90 wins below expected

1 wins · 2.90 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st) Division	8	4	.667	—	310	213	+97	8.63	-0.63
2	New York Giants	7	5	.583	1	234	231	+3	7.89	-0.89
3	Philadelphia Eagles	7	5	.583	1	252	271	-19	6.31	+0.69
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	7	.417	3	300	273	+27	4.69	+0.31
5	Chicago Cardinals	4	8	.333	4	172	221	-49	4.82	-0.82
6	Washington Redskins	4	8	.333	4	240	287	-47	4.31	-0.31

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Detroit Lions Division	9	3	.750	—	344	192	+152	7.34	+1.66
2	Los Angeles Rams Playoffs	9	3	.750	—	349	234	+115	7.62	+1.38
3	San Francisco 49ers	7	5	.583	2	285	221	+64	7.37	-0.37
4	Green Bay Packers	6	6	.500	3	295	312	-17	4.45	+1.55
5	Chicago Bears	5	7	.417	4	245	326	-81	5.67	-0.67
6	Dallas Texans (1st)	1	11	.083	8	182	427	-245	2.90	-1.90

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

Division Playoff

Detroit Lions 31

Los Angeles Rams 21

Dec 21

NFL Championship Game

Detroit Lions 17

Cleveland Browns (1st) 7

Dec 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Los Angeles Rams	West	1676	9	7.62	+1.38	89.10%	1	5	7	8	9	10	12
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1644	8	8.63	-0.63	46.57%	2	6	8	9	10	11	12
Detroit Lions	West	1637	9	7.34	+1.66	91.98%	2	5	6	7	8	10	12
San Francisco 49ers	West	1540	7	7.37	-0.37	53.90%	1	5	6	7	8	10	12
New York Giants	East	1538	7	7.89	-0.89	41.19%	1	5	7	8	9	10	12
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1519	5	4.69	+0.31	70.51%	0	2	4	5	6	7	11
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1506	7	6.31	+0.69	77.60%	1	4	5	6	7	9	12
Green Bay Packers	West	1423	6	4.45	+1.55	90.07%	0	2	3	4	5	7	10
Washington Redskins	East	1418	4	4.31	-0.31	57.28%	0	2	3	4	5	7	11
Chicago Bears	West	1415	5	5.67	-0.67	47.88%	0	3	5	6	7	8	11
Chicago Cardinals	East	1415	4	4.82	-0.82	44.31%	0	2	4	5	6	7	11
Dallas Texans (1st)	West	1268	1	2.90	-1.90	17.39%	0	1	2	3	4	5	10

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bears	(1st)	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Chicago Cardinals	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—
New York Giants	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	—	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	—	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins	—	—	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)

Within West

Team	Bears	(1st)	Lions	Packers	Rams	49ers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Dallas Texans (1st)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Bears	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—
Dallas Texans (1st)	—	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	—
Detroit Lions	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—
Green Bay Packers	—	—	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—
San Francisco 49ers	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Filter by team:

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	—
Mean allowed	—
StdDev scored	—
StdDev allowed	—
Correlation (home vs away score)	—
Sample size (games)	—

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Detroit Lions	9	7.34	+1.66
2	Green Bay Packers	6	4.45	+1.55
3	Los Angeles Rams	9	7.62	+1.38
4	Philadelphia Eagles	7	6.31	+0.69
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	4.69	+0.31

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Texans (1st)	1	2.90	-1.90
2	New York Giants	7	7.89	-0.89
3	Chicago Cardinals	4	4.82	-0.82
4	Chicago Bears	5	5.67	-0.67
5	Cleveland Browns (1st)	8	8.63	-0.63

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Green Bay Packers	4	Nov 2 – Nov 23	1 in 56
2	Los Angeles Rams	8	Oct 26 – Dec 14	1 in 29
3	Detroit Lions	5	Oct 19 – Nov 16	1 in 21
4	Chicago Cardinals	3	Oct 5 – Oct 19	1 in 19
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	Nov 23 – Dec 7	1 in 19

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dallas Texans (1st)	9	Sep 28 – Nov 23	1 in 16
2	Chicago Cardinals	5	Oct 26 – Nov 23	1 in 15
3	New York Giants	2	Oct 19 – Oct 26	1 in 14
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	4	Sep 28 – Oct 19	1 in 10
5	San Francisco 49ers	3	Nov 23 – Dec 7	1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Cleveland Browns (1st)	50.12%	30.08%	13.05%	4.53%	1.74%	0.48%
New York Giants	36.73%	35.75%	16.75%	6.99%	2.92%	0.86%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.85%	19.58%	31.49%	20.79%	12.51%	6.78%
Chicago Cardinals	1.87%	5.67%	14.05%	24.39%	27.37%	26.65%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.53%	5.35%	14.52%	23.66%	27.26%	27.68%
Washington Redskins	0.90%	3.57%	10.14%	19.64%	28.20%	37.55%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Los Angeles Rams	32.81%	28.00%	21.30%	12.31%	4.54%	1.04%
San Francisco 49ers	33.08%	26.74%	21.46%	12.67%	5.16%	0.89%
Detroit Lions	25.72%	27.36%	24.21%	15.30%	6.29%	1.12%
Chicago Bears	6.34%	12.49%	20.47%	31.93%	21.90%	6.87%
Green Bay Packers	1.91%	4.87%	10.26%	21.04%	39.64%	22.28%
Dallas Texans (1st)	0.14%	0.54%	2.30%	6.75%	22.47%	67.80%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Cleveland Browns (1st)	34.07%	20.24%	16.21%	10.70%	7.56%	4.81%	2.98%	1.60%	0.93%	0.65%	0.21%	0.04%
New York Giants	20.81%	17.91%	17.28%	15.66%	8.89%	8.20%	4.78%	2.97%	1.80%	1.10%	0.47%	0.13%
Los Angeles Rams	13.97%	17.69%	15.83%	13.34%	12.08%	9.86%	7.04%	4.89%	2.70%	1.48%	0.69%	0.43%
San Francisco 49ers	13.06%	16.56%	14.58%	13.95%	11.85%	10.55%	6.82%	6.03%	3.35%	2.17%	0.72%	0.36%
Detroit Lions	10.91%	13.87%	13.46%	15.35%	13.29%	11.33%	8.73%	6.16%	3.41%	2.21%	0.90%	0.38%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.94%	5.56%	8.91%	10.86%	14.10%	15.44%	11.97%	10.04%	7.72%	5.45%	4.05%	1.96%
Chicago Bears	1.45%	3.85%	5.57%	7.61%	10.25%	11.28%	15.10%	14.87%	11.23%	9.79%	5.51%	3.49%
Chicago Cardinals	0.65%	1.18%	2.21%	3.91%	6.10%	8.06%	11.53%	12.95%	15.33%	14.18%	15.08%	8.82%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.65%	1.16%	2.43%	2.96%	6.50%	7.49%	10.92%	12.61%	15.76%	14.34%	15.36%	9.82%
Green Bay Packers	0.29%	1.20%	1.95%	3.11%	4.55%	6.02%	8.77%	11.99%	14.85%	20.30%	13.39%	13.58%
Washington Redskins	0.19%	0.69%	1.40%	2.20%	4.14%	5.56%	8.98%	11.50%	15.58%	15.11%	20.55%	14.10%
Dallas Texans (1st)	0.01%	0.09%	0.17%	0.35%	0.69%	1.40%	2.38%	4.39%	7.34%	13.22%	23.07%	46.89%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)	50.12%	49.88%
New York Giants	36.73%	63.27%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.85%	91.15%
Chicago Cardinals	1.87%	98.13%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.53%	98.47%
Washington Redskins	0.90%	99.10%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
San Francisco 49ers	33.08%	66.92%
Los Angeles Rams	32.81%	67.19%
Detroit Lions	25.72%	74.28%
Chicago Bears	6.34%	93.66%
Green Bay Packers	1.91%	98.09%
Dallas Texans (1st)	0.14%	99.86%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	50.12%	28.37%
Los Angeles Rams	32.81%	20.62%
New York Giants	36.73%	15.35%
Detroit Lions	25.72%	14.35%
San Francisco 49ers	33.08%	14.19%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.85%	3.36%
Chicago Bears	6.34%	1.88%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.53%	0.62%
Chicago Cardinals	1.87%	0.53%
Green Bay Packers	1.91%	0.49%
Washington Redskins	0.90%	0.21%
Dallas Texans (1st)	0.14%	0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Chicago Cardinals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Texans (1st)	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Chicago Bears		0.02%	0.82%					0.74%	0.22%	0.05%		0.03%
Chicago Cardinals	0.01%				0.17%	0.02%	0.12%				0.21%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2.56%			0.10%	6.26%	0.92%	6.99%				11.54%
Dallas Texans (1st)			0.03%
Detroit Lions		0.36%	5.77%					6.02%	1.76%	0.26%		0.18%
Green Bay Packers		0.01%	0.22%					0.19%	0.06%	0.01%
Los Angeles Rams		0.52%	8.45%					9.11%	1.99%	0.26%		0.29%
New York Giants	1.48%			0.01%	3.75%	0.44%	4.22%				5.45%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.34%				0.93%	0.02%	0.67%				1.40%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.05%				0.19%	0.02%	0.11%				0.25%
San Francisco 49ers		0.43%	6.46%					5.32%	1.46%	0.33%		0.19%
Washington Redskins	0.02%				0.07%		0.08%				0.04%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	50.33%
Detroit Lions	49.67%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Detroit Lions
Cleveland Browns (1st)		50.33%
Detroit Lions	49.67%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Cleveland Browns (1st) 50.33% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.33%

Detroit Lions 49.67% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.67%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1952-09-28	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-14	1498.70	1370.38	67.12%	31.90%	+12.72	1-0
1952-10-05	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 10-21	1511.42	1426.64	61.45%	37.57%	-25.56	1-1
1952-10-12	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 38-20	1485.86	1366.69	65.96%	33.06%	+17.67	2-1
1952-10-19	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-40	1503.53	1599.11	36.13%	62.89%	-22.29	2-2
1952-10-26	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-31	1481.24	1532.46	42.20%	56.82%	-26.01	2-3
1952-11-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-17	1455.23	1631.64	26.21%	72.81%	+15.81	3-3
1952-11-09	Green Bay Packers	L 28-41	1471.04	1388.07	61.20%	37.82%	-27.68	3-4
1952-11-16	Los Angeles Rams	L 24-40	1443.36	1580.70	30.78%	68.24%	-15.53	3-5
1952-11-23	Detroit Lions	W 24-23	1427.83	1601.99	26.46%	72.56%	+9.10	4-5
1952-11-27	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	L 23-27	1436.93	1269.78	71.77%	27.25%	-18.00	4-6
1952-12-07	@ Detroit Lions	L 21-45	1418.93	1613.11	24.28%	74.74%	-15.02	4-7
1952-12-14	Chicago Cardinals	W 10-7	1403.91	1426.67	46.24%	52.78%	+11.48	5-7
1952-09-29	Washington Redskins	L 7-23	1452.86	1434.20	52.19%	46.83%	-26.22	0-1
1952-10-05	Chicago Bears	W 21-10	1426.64	1511.42	37.57%	61.45%	+25.57	1-1
1952-10-12	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-6	1452.21	1429.40	52.78%	46.23%	+19.27	2-1
1952-10-19	@ New York Giants	W 24-23	1471.48	1646.94	26.31%	72.70%	+9.12	3-1
1952-10-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 28-34	1480.60	1424.91	57.44%	41.57%	-17.65	3-2
1952-11-02	New York Giants	L 6-28	1462.95	1619.93	28.43%	70.59%	-16.83	3-3
1952-11-09	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 13-28	1446.12	1649.49	23.32%	75.70%	-11.40	3-4
1952-11-16	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-10	1434.72	1502.34	39.92%	59.10%	-8.70	3-5
1952-11-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-17	1426.02	1425.21	49.63%	49.39%	-10.80	3-6
1952-11-30	Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-22	1415.22	1535.90	32.86%	66.16%	+20.32	4-6
1952-12-07	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-10	1435.54	1649.82	22.21%	76.80%	-8.87	4-7
1952-12-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-10	1426.67	1403.91	52.78%	46.24%	-11.48	4-8
1952-09-28	Los Angeles Rams	W 37-7	1636.49	1589.51	56.22%	42.80%	+29.49	1-0
1952-10-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-20	1665.98	1453.69	76.61%	22.41%	+2.83	2-0
1952-10-12	New York Giants	L 9-17	1668.81	1627.25	55.46%	43.56%	-19.69	2-1
1952-10-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 49-7	1649.12	1498.68	69.82%	29.20%	+23.87	3-1
1952-10-26	Washington Redskins	W 19-15	1672.99	1423.57	80.10%	18.91%	+4.79	4-1
1952-11-02	@ Detroit Lions	L 6-17	1677.78	1542.46	67.99%	31.03%	-28.29	4-2
1952-11-09	Chicago Cardinals	W 28-13	1649.49	1446.12	75.70%	23.32%	+11.41	5-2
1952-11-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 29-28	1660.90	1427.79	78.62%	20.40%	+2.58	6-2
1952-11-23	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-28	1663.48	1511.05	70.06%	28.96%	-24.85	6-3
1952-11-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 48-24	1638.63	1379.43	80.95%	18.07%	+11.19	7-3
1952-12-07	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 10-0	1649.82	1435.54	76.80%	22.21%	+8.87	8-3
1952-12-14	@ New York Giants	L 34-37	1658.69	1523.72	67.94%	31.07%	-14.76	8-4
1952-09-28	New York Giants	L 6-24	1395.78	1592.16	24.05%	74.97%	-12.88	0-1
1952-10-05	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-37	1382.90	1554.18	26.78%	72.24%	-16.21	0-2
1952-10-12	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-38	1366.69	1485.86	33.06%	65.96%	-17.68	0-3
1952-10-18	Green Bay Packers	L 14-24	1349.01	1383.65	44.55%	54.47%	-17.71	0-4
1952-10-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-48	1331.30	1621.40	15.58%	83.44%	-10.24	0-5
1952-11-02	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 20-42	1321.06	1558.47	20.00%	79.02%	-11.86	0-6
1952-11-09	Los Angeles Rams	L 6-27	1309.20	1570.32	17.90%	81.11%	-10.37	0-7
1952-11-16	@ Detroit Lions	L 13-43	1298.83	1591.32	15.40%	83.62%	-10.67	0-8
1952-11-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-42	1288.16	1452.89	27.53%	71.49%	-18.38	0-9
1952-11-27	Chicago Bears	W 27-23	1269.78	1436.93	27.25%	71.77%	+18.00	1-9
1952-12-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-38	1287.78	1515.57	20.90%	78.12%	-10.89	1-10
1952-12-13	@ Detroit Lions	L 6-41	1276.89	1628.13	11.49%	87.53%	-8.60	1-11
1952-09-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-17	1537.39	1530.44	50.51%	48.51%	-23.74	0-1
1952-10-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 17-14	1513.65	1560.02	42.88%	56.13%	+12.20	1-1
1952-10-12	San Francisco 49ers	L 0-28	1525.85	1570.39	43.14%	55.88%	-28.71	1-2
1952-10-19	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-16	1497.14	1552.85	41.57%	57.45%	+20.39	2-2
1952-10-26	@ Green Bay Packers	W 52-17	1517.53	1401.37	65.58%	33.44%	+24.93	3-2
1952-11-02	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-6	1542.46	1677.78	31.03%	67.99%	+28.28	4-2
1952-11-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-6	1570.74	1448.36	66.37%	32.65%	+20.58	5-2
1952-11-16	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 43-13	1591.32	1298.83	83.62%	15.40%	+10.67	6-2
1952-11-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 23-24	1601.99	1427.83	72.56%	26.46%	-9.10	6-3
1952-11-27	Green Bay Packers	W 48-24	1592.89	1471.27	66.27%	32.74%	+20.22	7-3
1952-12-07	Chicago Bears	W 45-21	1613.11	1418.93	74.74%	24.28%	+15.02	8-3
1952-12-13	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 41-6	1628.13	1276.89	87.53%	11.49%	+8.60	9-3
1952-09-28	Chicago Bears	L 14-24	1370.38	1498.70	31.90%	67.12%	-12.72	0-1
1952-10-05	Washington Redskins	W 35-20	1357.66	1460.41	35.18%	63.84%	+31.02	1-1
1952-10-12	Los Angeles Rams	L 28-30	1388.68	1547.82	28.17%	70.84%	-5.03	1-2
1952-10-18	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	W 24-14	1383.65	1349.01	54.47%	44.55%	+17.72	2-2
1952-10-26	Detroit Lions	L 17-52	1401.37	1517.53	33.44%	65.58%	-24.94	2-3
1952-11-02	Philadelphia Eagles	W 12-10	1376.43	1492.69	33.43%	65.59%	+11.64	3-3
1952-11-09	@ Chicago Bears	W 41-28	1388.07	1471.04	37.82%	61.20%	+27.68	4-3
1952-11-16	@ New York Giants	W 17-3	1415.75	1654.29	19.89%	79.12%	+37.14	5-3
1952-11-23	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 42-14	1452.89	1288.16	71.49%	27.53%	+18.38	6-3
1952-11-27	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-48	1471.27	1592.89	32.74%	66.27%	-20.22	6-4
1952-12-07	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 27-45	1451.05	1647.63	24.02%	74.99%	-12.87	6-5
1952-12-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-24	1438.18	1524.79	37.33%	61.69%	-14.87	6-6
1952-09-28	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-37	1589.51	1636.49	42.80%	56.22%	-29.49	0-1
1952-10-03	Detroit Lions	L 14-17	1560.02	1513.65	56.13%	42.88%	-12.20	0-2
1952-10-12	@ Green Bay Packers	W 30-28	1547.82	1388.68	70.84%	28.17%	+5.03	1-2
1952-10-19	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-24	1552.85	1497.14	57.45%	41.57%	-20.39	1-3
1952-10-26	Chicago Bears	W 31-7	1532.46	1481.24	56.82%	42.20%	+26.01	2-3
1952-11-02	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 42-20	1558.47	1321.06	79.02%	20.00%	+11.85	3-3
1952-11-09	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	W 27-6	1570.32	1309.20	81.11%	17.90%	+10.38	4-3
1952-11-16	@ Chicago Bears	W 40-24	1580.70	1443.36	68.24%	30.78%	+15.53	5-3
1952-11-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 35-9	1596.23	1605.40	48.19%	50.83%	+32.55	6-3
1952-11-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-21	1628.78	1572.85	57.48%	41.54%	+18.85	7-3
1952-12-07	Green Bay Packers	W 45-27	1647.63	1451.05	74.99%	24.02%	+12.87	8-3
1952-12-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-14	1660.50	1534.58	66.82%	32.20%	+15.19	9-3
1952-09-28	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	W 24-6	1592.16	1395.78	74.97%	24.05%	+12.88	1-0
1952-10-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-7	1605.04	1508.39	63.03%	35.98%	+22.21	2-0
1952-10-12	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-9	1627.25	1668.81	43.56%	55.46%	+19.69	3-0
1952-10-19	Chicago Cardinals	L 23-24	1646.94	1471.48	72.70%	26.31%	-9.12	3-1
1952-10-26	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-14	1637.82	1474.81	71.29%	27.73%	-17.89	3-2
1952-11-02	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 28-6	1619.93	1462.95	70.59%	28.43%	+16.83	4-2
1952-11-09	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-14	1636.76	1615.83	52.52%	46.50%	+17.53	5-2
1952-11-16	Green Bay Packers	L 3-17	1654.29	1415.75	79.12%	19.89%	-37.14	5-3
1952-11-23	@ Washington Redskins	W 14-10	1617.15	1384.60	78.57%	20.45%	+5.17	6-3
1952-11-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-63	1622.32	1436.01	73.90%	25.12%	-69.36	6-4
1952-12-07	Washington Redskins	L 17-27	1552.96	1368.24	73.73%	25.29%	-29.24	6-5
1952-12-14	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 37-34	1523.72	1658.69	31.07%	67.94%	+14.76	7-5
1952-09-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-25	1494.32	1467.76	53.32%	45.70%	+14.07	1-0
1952-10-04	New York Giants	L 7-31	1508.39	1605.04	35.98%	63.03%	-22.21	1-1
1952-10-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-21	1486.18	1450.86	54.57%	44.45%	+12.50	2-1
1952-10-19	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-49	1498.68	1649.12	29.20%	69.82%	-23.87	2-2
1952-10-26	@ New York Giants	W 14-10	1474.81	1637.82	27.73%	71.29%	+17.88	3-2
1952-11-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-12	1492.69	1376.43	65.59%	33.43%	-11.63	3-3
1952-11-09	Washington Redskins	W 38-20	1481.06	1412.99	59.16%	39.86%	+21.28	4-3
1952-11-16	Chicago Cardinals	W 10-7	1502.34	1434.72	59.10%	39.92%	+8.71	5-3
1952-11-23	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 28-20	1511.05	1663.48	28.96%	70.06%	+24.85	6-3
1952-11-30	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 22-28	1535.90	1415.22	66.16%	32.86%	-20.33	6-4
1952-12-07	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 38-21	1515.57	1287.78	78.12%	20.90%	+10.89	7-4
1952-12-14	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-27	1526.46	1397.48	67.20%	31.82%	-20.64	7-5
1952-09-28	Philadelphia Eagles	L 25-31	1467.76	1494.32	45.70%	53.32%	-14.07	0-1
1952-10-04	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 20-21	1453.69	1665.98	22.41%	76.61%	-2.83	0-2
1952-10-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-26	1450.86	1486.18	44.45%	54.57%	-12.50	0-3
1952-10-19	Washington Redskins	L 24-28	1438.36	1410.12	53.56%	45.46%	-13.45	0-4
1952-10-26	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 34-28	1424.91	1480.60	41.57%	57.44%	+17.66	1-4
1952-11-02	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-23	1442.57	1418.79	52.92%	46.09%	+5.79	2-4
1952-11-09	Detroit Lions	L 6-31	1448.36	1570.74	32.65%	66.37%	-20.57	2-5
1952-11-16	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 28-29	1427.79	1660.90	20.40%	78.62%	-2.58	2-6
1952-11-23	Chicago Cardinals	W 17-14	1425.21	1426.02	49.39%	49.63%	+10.80	3-6
1952-11-30	New York Giants	W 63-7	1436.01	1622.32	25.12%	73.90%	+69.36	4-6
1952-12-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 24-7	1505.37	1554.00	42.57%	56.45%	+29.21	5-6
1952-12-14	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-28	1534.58	1660.50	32.20%	66.82%	-15.19	5-7
1952-09-28	Detroit Lions	W 17-3	1530.44	1537.39	48.51%	50.51%	+23.74	1-0
1952-10-05	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	W 37-14	1554.18	1382.90	72.24%	26.78%	+16.21	2-0
1952-10-12	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-0	1570.39	1525.85	55.88%	43.14%	+28.72	3-0
1952-10-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 40-16	1599.11	1503.53	62.89%	36.13%	+22.29	4-0
1952-10-26	Dallas Texans (1st)	W 48-21	1621.40	1331.30	83.44%	15.58%	+10.24	5-0
1952-11-02	Chicago Bears	L 17-20	1631.64	1455.23	72.81%	26.21%	-15.81	5-1
1952-11-09	@ New York Giants	L 14-23	1615.83	1636.76	46.50%	52.52%	-17.54	5-2
1952-11-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 23-17	1598.29	1391.71	76.03%	22.99%	+7.11	6-2
1952-11-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 9-35	1605.40	1596.23	50.83%	48.19%	-32.55	6-3
1952-11-30	Los Angeles Rams	L 21-34	1572.85	1628.78	41.54%	57.48%	-18.85	6-4
1952-12-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-24	1554.00	1505.37	56.45%	42.57%	-29.21	6-5
1952-12-14	Green Bay Packers	W 24-14	1524.79	1438.18	61.69%	37.33%	+14.86	7-5
1952-09-29	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 23-7	1434.20	1452.86	46.83%	52.19%	+26.21	1-0
1952-10-05	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-35	1460.41	1357.66	63.84%	35.18%	-31.01	1-1
1952-10-12	Chicago Cardinals	L 6-17	1429.40	1452.21	46.23%	52.78%	-19.28	1-2
1952-10-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-24	1410.12	1438.36	45.46%	53.56%	+13.45	2-2
1952-10-26	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 15-19	1423.57	1672.99	18.91%	80.10%	-4.78	2-3
1952-11-02	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 23-24	1418.79	1442.57	46.09%	52.92%	-5.80	2-4
1952-11-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-38	1412.99	1481.06	39.86%	59.16%	-21.28	2-5
1952-11-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-23	1391.71	1598.29	22.99%	76.03%	-7.11	2-6
1952-11-23	New York Giants	L 10-14	1384.60	1617.15	20.45%	78.57%	-5.17	2-7
1952-11-30	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-48	1379.43	1638.63	18.07%	80.95%	-11.19	2-8
1952-12-07	@ New York Giants	W 27-17	1368.24	1552.96	25.29%	73.73%	+29.24	3-8
1952-12-14	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-21	1397.48	1526.46	31.82%	67.20%	+20.65	4-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1952-12-28	Detroit Lions	L 7-17	1643.93	1658.60	47.89%	52.11%	-18.84	0-1
1952-12-21	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-21	1636.73	1675.69	44.42%	55.58%	+21.87	1-0
1952-12-28	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-7	1658.60	1643.93	52.11%	47.89%	+18.84	2-0
1952-12-21	@ Detroit Lions	L 21-31	1675.69	1636.73	55.58%	44.42%	-21.87	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1952-11-16	19.89%	Green Bay Packers	1415.75	17	@ New York Giants	1654.29	3
2	1952-11-30	25.12%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1436.01	63	New York Giants	1622.32	7
3	1952-12-07	25.29%	Washington Redskins	1368.24	27	@ New York Giants	1552.96	17
4	1952-11-02	26.21%	Chicago Bears	1455.23	20	@ San Francisco 49ers	1631.64	17
5	1952-10-19	26.31%	Chicago Cardinals	1471.48	24	@ New York Giants	1646.94	23
6	1952-11-23	26.46%	@ Chicago Bears	1427.83	24	Detroit Lions	1601.99	23
7	1952-11-27	27.25%	@ Dallas Texans (1st)	1269.78	27	Chicago Bears	1436.93	23
8	1952-10-26	27.73%	Philadelphia Eagles	1474.81	14	@ New York Giants	1637.82	10
9	1952-11-23	28.96%	Philadelphia Eagles	1511.05	28	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1663.48	20
10	1952-11-02	31.03%	@ Detroit Lions	1542.46	17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1677.78	6
11	1952-12-14	31.07%	@ New York Giants	1523.72	37	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1658.69	34
12	1952-12-14	31.82%	@ Washington Redskins	1397.48	27	Philadelphia Eagles	1526.46	21
13	1952-11-30	32.86%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1415.22	28	Philadelphia Eagles	1535.90	22
14	1952-11-02	33.43%	@ Green Bay Packers	1376.43	12	Philadelphia Eagles	1492.69	10
15	1952-10-05	35.18%	@ Green Bay Packers	1357.66	35	Washington Redskins	1460.41	20
16	1952-10-05	37.57%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1426.64	21	Chicago Bears	1511.42	10
17	1952-11-09	37.82%	Green Bay Packers	1388.07	41	@ Chicago Bears	1471.04	28
18	1952-10-19	41.57%	@ Detroit Lions	1497.14	24	Los Angeles Rams	1552.85	16
19	1952-10-26	41.57%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1424.91	34	@ Chicago Cardinals	1480.60	28
20	1952-12-07	42.57%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1505.37	24	@ San Francisco 49ers	1554.00	7
21	1952-10-03	42.88%	Detroit Lions	1513.65	17	@ Los Angeles Rams	1560.02	14
22	1952-10-12	43.56%	New York Giants	1627.25	17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1668.81	9
23	1952-12-21 *	44.42%	@ Detroit Lions	1636.73	31	Los Angeles Rams	1675.69	21
24	1952-10-19	45.46%	Washington Redskins	1410.12	28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1438.36	24
25	1952-12-14	46.24%	@ Chicago Bears	1403.91	10	Chicago Cardinals	1426.67	7

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1952-11-30	69.36	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	63	1436.01	25.12%	New York Giants	7	1622.32	73.90%
2	1952-11-16	37.14	Green Bay Packers	17	1415.75	19.89%	@ New York Giants	3	1654.29	79.12%
3	1952-11-23	32.55	@ Los Angeles Rams	35	1596.23	48.19%	San Francisco 49ers	9	1605.40	50.83%
4	1952-10-05	31.02	@ Green Bay Packers	35	1357.66	35.18%	Washington Redskins	20	1460.41	63.84%
5	1952-09-28	29.49	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	37	1636.49	56.22%	Los Angeles Rams	7	1589.51	42.80%
6	1952-12-07	29.24	Washington Redskins	27	1368.24	25.29%	@ New York Giants	17	1552.96	73.73%
7	1952-12-07	29.21	Pittsburgh Steelers	24	1505.37	42.57%	@ San Francisco 49ers	7	1554.00	56.45%
8	1952-10-12	28.72	San Francisco 49ers	28	1570.39	55.88%	@ Detroit Lions	0	1525.85	43.14%
9	1952-11-02	28.29	@ Detroit Lions	17	1542.46	31.03%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	6	1677.78	67.99%
10	1952-11-09	27.68	Green Bay Packers	41	1388.07	37.82%	@ Chicago Bears	28	1471.04	61.20%
11	1952-09-29	26.22	Washington Redskins	23	1434.20	46.83%	@ Chicago Cardinals	7	1452.86	52.19%
12	1952-10-26	26.01	@ Los Angeles Rams	31	1532.46	56.82%	Chicago Bears	7	1481.24	42.20%
13	1952-10-05	25.57	@ Chicago Cardinals	21	1426.64	37.57%	Chicago Bears	10	1511.42	61.45%
14	1952-10-26	24.94	Detroit Lions	52	1517.53	65.58%	@ Green Bay Packers	17	1401.37	33.44%
15	1952-11-23	24.85	Philadelphia Eagles	28	1511.05	28.96%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	20	1663.48	70.06%
16	1952-10-19	23.87	Cleveland Browns (1st)	49	1649.12	69.82%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	7	1498.68	29.20%
17	1952-09-28	23.74	@ San Francisco 49ers	17	1530.44	48.51%	Detroit Lions	3	1537.39	50.51%
18	1952-10-19	22.29	San Francisco 49ers	40	1599.11	62.89%	@ Chicago Bears	16	1503.53	36.13%
19	1952-10-04	22.21	New York Giants	31	1605.04	63.03%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	7	1508.39	35.98%
20	1952-12-21 *	21.87	@ Detroit Lions	31	1636.73	44.42%	Los Angeles Rams	21	1675.69	55.58%
21	1952-11-09	21.28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	38	1481.06	59.16%	Washington Redskins	20	1412.99	39.86%
22	1952-12-14	20.65	@ Washington Redskins	27	1397.48	31.82%	Philadelphia Eagles	21	1526.46	67.20%
23	1952-11-09	20.58	Detroit Lions	31	1570.74	66.37%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	6	1448.36	32.65%
24	1952-10-19	20.39	@ Detroit Lions	24	1497.14	41.57%	Los Angeles Rams	16	1552.85	57.45%
25	1952-11-30	20.33	@ Chicago Cardinals	28	1415.22	32.86%	Philadelphia Eagles	22	1535.90	66.16%