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1987-88 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

AC Milan

45 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 1978-79

Relegated

Empoli

20 pts

Avellino · 23 pts

Biggest Overachiever

AC Milan

10.40 points above expected

45 points · 34.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hellas Verona

6.09 points below expected

25 points · 31.09 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 AC Milan Champion 30 17 11 2 45 43 14 +29 34.60 +10.40
2 Napoli 30 18 6 6 42 55 27 +28 37.40 +4.60
3 Roma 30 15 8 7 38 39 26 +13 33.98 +4.02
4 Sampdoria 30 13 11 6 37 41 30 +11 34.52 +2.48
5 Inter Milan 30 11 10 9 32 42 35 +7 32.11 -0.11
6 Juventus 30 11 9 10 31 35 30 +5 32.69 -1.69
7 Torino 30 8 15 7 31 33 30 +3 29.96 +1.04
8 Fiorentina 30 9 10 11 28 29 33 -4 29.80 -1.80
9 Cesena 30 7 12 11 26 23 32 -9 25.56 +0.44
10 Hellas Verona 30 7 11 12 25 23 30 -7 31.09 -6.09
11 Como 30 6 13 11 25 22 37 -15 27.39 -2.39
12 Ascoli 30 6 12 12 24 30 37 -7 27.56 -3.56
13 Pisa 30 6 12 12 24 23 30 -7 26.16 -2.16
14 Pescara 30 8 8 14 24 27 44 -17 23.57 +0.43
15 Avellino Relegated 30 5 13 12 23 19 39 -20 27.31 -4.31
16 Empoli* Relegated 30 6 13 11 20 20 30 -10 21.30 -1.30

* Point deductions: Empoli (-5 pts)

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
AC Milan 1963 45 34.60 +10.40 99.9% 20 28 32 35 37 41 48
Napoli 1935 42 37.40 +4.60 91.2% 24 31 35 37 40 44 51
Sampdoria 1908 37 34.52 +2.48 78.3% 21 28 32 35 37 41 48
Roma 1870 38 33.98 +4.02 88.4% 18 28 31 34 37 40 47
Inter Milan 1862 32 32.11 -0.11 53.9% 15 26 30 32 35 38 46
Juventus 1850 31 32.69 -1.69 37.8% 17 26 30 33 35 39 46
Torino 1828 31 29.96 +1.04 65.7% 16 24 27 30 33 36 46
Fiorentina 1801 28 29.80 -1.80 36.8% 12 23 27 30 32 36 43
Hellas Verona 1760 25 31.09 -6.09 7.3% 16 25 29 31 34 37 45
Como 1757 25 27.39 -2.39 31.0% 13 21 25 27 30 34 42
Ascoli 1750 24 27.56 -3.56 21.9% 14 21 25 28 30 34 42
Empoli 1744 20 21.30 -1.30 41.7% 7 15 19 21 24 28 36
Pisa 1743 24 26.16 -2.16 33.2% 12 20 24 26 29 32 40
Avellino 1740 23 27.31 -4.31 15.8% 12 21 25 27 30 34 42
Cesena 1731 26 25.56 +0.44 59.7% 10 19 23 26 28 32 41
Pescara 1699 24 23.57 +0.43 60.4% 11 17 21 24 26 30 40

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ASC AVE CES COM EMP FIO HV IM JUV NAP PES PIS ROM SAM TOR
AC Milan —
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.46
0-1-1
3.12
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
2.38
2-0-0
3.64
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.60
0-2-0
3.09
Ascoli
0-1-1
1.98
 —
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
1.77
1-1-0
2.96
0-2-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.42
Avellino
0-1-1
1.81
0-1-1
2.53
 —
0-2-0
2.86
0-2-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.60
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.13
0-0-2
1.93
0-1-1
2.95
1-1-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.24
0-0-2
2.04
1-1-0
2.52
Cesena
0-1-1
1.89
1-1-0
2.46
0-2-0
2.44
 —
1-0-1
2.52
0-2-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.03
2-0-0
2.11
0-1-1
2.04
1-1-0
2.01
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
2.73
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
1.77
0-2-0
2.13
Como
0-1-1
1.69
1-1-0
2.62
0-2-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.73
 —
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.34
0-0-2
2.35
0-1-1
2.15
0-1-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.98
0-2-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
2.14
0-2-0
2.42
Empoli
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.66
0-2-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.58
 —
0-2-0
2.30
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.00
0-1-1
1.52
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
1.91
0-1-1
1.90
1-1-0
2.22
Fiorentina
1-1-0
2.15
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.96
 —
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.48
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
1.82
1-1-0
3.17
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.65
Hellas Verona
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.99
0-0-2
3.16
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.80
 —
0-2-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.51
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
3.35
0-2-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.81
Inter Milan
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
3.11
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
3.24
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.80
0-2-0
2.65
 —
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.89
Juventus
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
3.30
0-1-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.69
 —
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.88
Napoli
0-0-2
2.87
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.21
 —
2-0-0
4.04
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.35
Pescara
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.31
2-0-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
1.97
1-1-0
1.71
1-0-1
1.69
0-0-2
1.34
 —
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
1.66
0-1-1
2.00
Pisa
0-0-2
2.12
0-2-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.59
0-2-0
2.46
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.22
0-2-0
2.31
1-0-1
2.08
0-0-2
1.98
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
2.88
 —
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.19
Roma
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.08
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.29
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.47
 —
0-1-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.96
Sampdoria
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
2.92
0-2-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.64
 —
0-1-1
3.10
Torino
0-2-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
2.77
0-2-0
3.15
0-2-0
2.88
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.46
1-1-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
1.95
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.19
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +6.5
Allowed 0.52 -8.0
Differential 0.91 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.00%9.58%6.88%2.29%0.83%0.42%35.00%
19.58%17.50%6.46%2.71%1.04%0.21%37.50%
26.88%6.46%3.75%1.25%0.21%—18.54%
32.29%2.71%1.25%———6.25%
40.83%1.04%0.21%———2.08%
5+0.42%0.21%————0.62%
Total35.00%37.50%18.54%6.25%2.08%0.62%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.05 +0.00
SD 1.04 1.04 1.52
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%—6.67%———26.67%
116.67%16.67%————33.33%
216.67%3.33%————20.00%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total63.33%26.67%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.47 +0.97
SD 1.30 0.68 1.47
CV 0.91 1.46 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%10.00%3.33%——33.33%
1—23.33%10.00%6.67%——40.00%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%40.00%26.67%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.23 -0.23
SD 0.91 0.94 1.45
CV 0.91 0.76 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%3.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%—43.33%
113.33%23.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—50.00%
2—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%30.00%16.67%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 1.30 -0.67
SD 0.61 1.26 1.37
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%13.33%3.33%——46.67%
113.33%13.33%—3.33%3.33%—33.33%
26.67%—10.00%———16.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%26.67%23.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.07 -0.30
SD 0.86 1.11 1.44
CV 1.12 1.04 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%3.33%10.00%—3.33%46.67%
16.67%26.67%3.33%3.33%——40.00%
23.33%3.33%————6.67%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%46.67%10.00%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.23 -0.50
SD 0.87 1.19 1.55
CV 1.18 0.97 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%16.67%10.00%—3.33%—56.67%
110.00%10.00%3.33%———23.33%
23.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%——16.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%30.00%23.33%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.00 -0.33
SD 0.88 1.05 1.18
CV 1.33 1.05 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%—6.67%3.33%—36.67%
110.00%20.00%13.33%———43.33%
23.33%6.67%————10.00%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%43.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.10 -0.13
SD 1.03 1.03 1.57
CV 1.07 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%26.67%3.33%3.33%——50.00%
16.67%20.00%—3.33%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%6.67%————10.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total26.67%60.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.00 -0.23
SD 1.01 0.95 1.36
CV 1.31 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.33%6.67%———20.00%
13.33%26.67%6.67%———36.67%
26.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total13.33%60.00%23.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.17 +0.23
SD 1.04 0.70 1.28
CV 0.74 0.60 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%10.00%———30.00%
113.33%13.33%13.33%———40.00%
2—10.00%6.67%———16.67%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%40.00%30.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.00 +0.17
SD 1.09 0.79 1.42
CV 0.93 0.79 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—————10.00%
116.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%—40.00%
26.67%13.33%—6.67%——26.67%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
46.67%3.33%————10.00%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total46.67%33.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 0.90 +0.93
SD 1.37 1.12 1.87
CV 0.75 1.25 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%16.67%—3.33%3.33%40.00%
16.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%—3.33%33.33%
213.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%16.67%30.00%6.67%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.47 -0.57
SD 0.88 1.57 1.99
CV 0.98 1.07 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%3.33%———40.00%
16.67%13.33%16.67%6.67%——43.33%
26.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%33.33%23.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.00 -0.23
SD 0.73 0.95 1.04
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%10.00%———30.00%
116.67%13.33%3.33%———33.33%
210.00%6.67%——3.33%—20.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total43.33%33.33%20.00%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.87 +0.43
SD 1.24 0.97 1.48
CV 0.95 1.12 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%3.33%———16.67%
110.00%20.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%—43.33%
213.33%10.00%6.67%———30.00%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total36.67%40.00%13.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.00 +0.37
SD 0.96 1.05 1.47
CV 0.71 1.05 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
13.33%20.00%6.67%3.33%——33.33%
210.00%6.67%10.00%———26.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.00 +0.10
SD 1.03 0.91 1.30
CV 0.94 0.91 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AC Milan 45 34.60 +10.40
2 Napoli 42 37.40 +4.60
3 Roma 38 33.98 +4.02
4 Sampdoria 37 34.52 +2.48
5 Torino 31 29.96 +1.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hellas Verona 25 31.09 -6.09
2 Avellino 23 27.31 -4.31
3 Ascoli 24 27.56 -3.56
4 Como 25 27.39 -2.39
5 Pisa 24 26.16 -2.16

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cesena 4 Nov 8 – Dec 13 1 in 356
2 AC Milan 5 Dec 20 – Jan 24 1 in 321
3 Napoli 7 Jan 10 – Feb 28 1 in 225
4 Roma 4 Feb 28 – Mar 20 1 in 102
5 Pescara 2 Sep 13 – Sep 20 1 in 42

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Napoli 3 May 1 – May 15 1 in 303
2 Hellas Verona 3 Mar 20 – Apr 10 1 in 286
3 Roma 3 Mar 27 – Apr 17 1 in 168
4 Avellino 4 Sep 20 – Oct 11 1 in 93
5 Pisa 4 Sep 13 – Oct 4 1 in 66

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Milan 19 Dec 20 – May 15 1 in 286
2 Torino 9 Dec 20 – Feb 28 1 in 50
3 Sampdoria 12 Sep 27 – Jan 10 1 in 34
4 Juventus 7 Mar 20 – May 8 1 in 26
5 Como 7 Mar 27 – May 15 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Avellino 15 Sep 20 – Jan 24 1 in 189
2 Hellas Verona 8 Mar 20 – May 15 1 in 31
3 Pisa 10 Feb 7 – Apr 24 1 in 18
4 Torino 8 Nov 1 – Jan 10 1 in 15
5 Empoli 8 Dec 20 – Feb 14 1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
AC Milan15.91%18.46%15.51%12.87%10.00%8.24%6.19%4.59%2.93%2.18%1.49%0.80%0.48%0.25%0.08%0.02%
Napoli43.23%21.06%12.39%8.33%5.53%3.48%2.24%1.68%1.03%0.38%0.35%0.20%0.06%0.04%——
Roma10.67%14.37%15.69%13.47%11.21%9.42%7.68%5.70%4.02%2.99%2.24%1.39%0.70%0.29%0.13%0.03%
Sampdoria13.44%16.45%15.31%13.45%11.44%8.91%6.73%4.96%3.44%2.38%1.51%0.96%0.59%0.25%0.13%0.05%
Inter Milan4.59%7.35%9.78%10.78%11.62%11.42%10.79%9.12%7.15%5.66%4.55%3.09%2.00%1.35%0.62%0.13%
Juventus6.00%9.01%11.09%12.04%12.01%11.51%9.37%8.09%6.43%5.24%3.26%2.83%1.57%0.97%0.46%0.12%
Torino1.28%2.90%4.80%6.28%8.33%8.88%10.51%10.82%10.81%9.26%8.29%6.56%5.26%3.31%1.92%0.79%
Fiorentina1.38%2.74%3.96%5.93%7.69%8.21%9.24%10.87%10.04%10.07%8.26%7.67%5.65%4.57%2.54%1.18%
Cesena0.09%0.28%0.41%1.04%1.48%2.01%3.37%4.48%6.24%7.84%10.10%11.03%14.17%14.30%13.89%9.27%
Hellas Verona2.49%4.73%6.47%7.75%8.88%10.55%10.95%10.45%9.78%8.04%6.79%5.08%3.81%2.28%1.41%0.54%
Como0.33%0.76%1.28%2.02%3.07%4.17%5.68%7.06%8.96%9.95%10.95%11.44%11.17%10.30%8.07%4.79%
Ascoli0.25%0.97%1.43%2.55%3.42%4.88%6.47%7.46%9.24%10.46%11.14%11.09%10.52%9.10%7.21%3.81%
Pisa0.10%0.37%0.63%1.19%1.89%2.93%4.02%5.37%7.43%9.55%10.76%12.37%12.70%13.20%10.66%6.83%
Pescara0.02%0.02%0.07%0.31%0.56%0.77%1.10%1.89%3.29%4.48%5.90%8.22%11.34%16.08%22.68%23.27%
Avellino0.22%0.52%1.16%1.94%2.78%4.39%5.27%6.62%8.02%9.73%11.07%11.94%11.76%10.69%8.97%4.92%
Empoli—0.01%0.02%0.05%0.09%0.23%0.39%0.84%1.19%1.79%3.34%5.33%8.22%13.02%21.23%44.25%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+32.08%
Strong Edge
47.92%36.25%15.83%
Elo Value
Home Edge
198 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0115.55500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.65 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.58+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
16%
AC Milan, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.05 * Some Luck: 3.05 to 4.58 * Lucky: 4.58 to 6.1 * Wild Swing: 6.1 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.99 * Close: 1.99 to 2.98 * Off: 2.98 to 3.98 * Way Off: 3.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.89 * A Surprise: 0.89 to 1.42 * Several Surprises: 1.42 to 1.95 * Many Surprises: 1.95 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.87 points
Some Luck
03.8110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.38
Pinpoint
02.495
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.86%
AC Milan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
7.29%
Hellas Verona
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.34
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Strong Edge
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%67%100%
Blowouts
Expected 10%
10%
Occasional
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.04
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.73
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.03
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.82
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.0930.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Napoli 100% —
AC Milan 99.90% 0.10%
Roma 99.84% 0.16%
Sampdoria 99.82% 0.18%
Juventus 99.42% 0.58%
Inter Milan 99.25% 0.75%
Hellas Verona 98.05% 1.95%
Torino 97.29% 2.71%
Fiorentina 96.28% 3.72%
Ascoli 88.98% 11.02%
Como 87.14% 12.86%
Avellino 86.11% 13.89%
Pisa 82.51% 17.49%
Cesena 76.84% 23.16%
Pescara 54.05% 45.95%
Empoli 34.52% 65.48%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1987-09-13 Roma D 1-1 1768 1849 42.9% 38.3% 18.8% -1.2 1
1987-09-13 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1849 1768 18.8% 38.3% 42.9% +1.2 1
1987-09-13 Torino W 2-1 1812 1803 51.8% 36.5% 11.7% +4.3 2
1987-09-13 @ Avellino L 1-2 1803 1812 11.7% 36.5% 51.8% -4.3 0
1987-09-13 Napoli L 0-1 1703 1886 30.1% 37.9% 32.0% -8.7 0
1987-09-13 @ Cesena W 1-0 1886 1703 32.0% 37.9% 30.1% +8.7 2
1987-09-13 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1810 1847 47.5% 37.6% 14.8% -2.0 1
1987-09-13 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1847 1810 14.8% 37.6% 47.5% +2.0 1
1987-09-13 Pescara L 0-2 1858 1662 66.5% 28.3% 5.2% -29.9 0
1987-09-13 @ Inter Milan W 2-0 1662 1858 5.2% 28.3% 66.5% +29.9 2
1987-09-13 Como W 1-0 1887 1802 58.1% 33.7% 8.1% +3.2 2
1987-09-13 @ Juventus L 0-1 1802 1887 8.1% 33.7% 58.1% -3.2 0
1987-09-13 AC Milan L 1-3 1765 1849 42.6% 38.3% 19.1% -18.2 0
1987-09-13 @ Pisa W 3-1 1849 1765 19.1% 38.3% 42.6% +18.2 2
1987-09-13 Empoli W 2-0 1883 1755 61.4% 31.8% 6.8% +4.9 2
1987-09-13 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1755 1883 6.8% 31.8% 61.4% -4.9 0
1987-09-20 Fiorentina L 0-2 1867 1808 56.0% 34.8% 9.2% -26.5 2
1987-09-20 @ AC Milan W 2-0 1808 1867 9.2% 34.8% 56.0% +26.5 3
1987-09-20 Inter Milan L 1-2 1799 1829 48.2% 37.5% 14.3% -11.7 0
1987-09-20 @ Como W 2-1 1829 1799 14.3% 37.5% 48.2% +11.7 2
1987-09-20 Juventus W 1-0 1750 1890 35.8% 38.4% 25.8% +7.9 2
1987-09-20 @ Empoli L 0-1 1890 1750 25.8% 38.4% 35.8% -7.9 2
1987-09-20 Avellino W 4-1 1849 1817 53.8% 35.8% 10.4% +9.5 3
1987-09-20 @ Hellas Verona L 1-4 1817 1849 10.4% 35.8% 53.8% -9.5 2
1987-09-20 Ascoli W 2-1 1895 1767 61.5% 31.8% 6.8% +2.4 4
1987-09-20 @ Napoli L 1-2 1767 1895 6.8% 31.8% 61.5% -2.5 1
1987-09-20 Pisa W 2-1 1692 1747 45.7% 37.9% 16.3% +5.5 4
1987-09-20 @ Pescara L 1-2 1747 1692 16.3% 37.9% 45.7% -5.5 0
1987-09-20 Cesena W 2-0 1850 1694 63.5% 30.4% 6.0% +4.3 3
1987-09-20 @ Roma L 0-2 1694 1850 6.0% 30.4% 63.5% -4.3 0
1987-09-20 Sampdoria W 4-1 1799 1888 42.0% 38.3% 19.7% +15.4 2
1987-09-20 @ Torino L 1-4 1888 1799 19.7% 38.3% 42.0% -15.4 2
1987-09-27 Torino W 3-0 1764 1814 46.2% 37.9% 16.0% +15.8 3
1987-09-27 @ Ascoli L 0-3 1814 1764 16.0% 37.9% 46.2% -15.8 2
1987-09-27 Roma L 2-3 1807 1854 46.5% 37.8% 15.7% -10.7 2
1987-09-27 @ Avellino W 3-2 1854 1807 15.7% 37.8% 46.5% +10.7 5
1987-09-27 AC Milan D 0-0 1690 1840 34.5% 38.3% 27.2% -0.4 1
1987-09-27 @ Cesena D 0-0 1840 1690 27.2% 38.3% 34.5% +0.4 3
1987-09-27 Como D 1-1 1835 1787 55.1% 35.2% 9.7% -2.6 4
1987-09-27 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1787 1835 9.7% 35.2% 55.1% +2.6 1
1987-09-27 Empoli W 2-0 1840 1758 57.9% 33.9% 8.2% +6.1 4
1987-09-27 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1758 1840 8.2% 33.9% 57.9% -6.1 2
1987-09-27 Pescara W 3-1 1882 1698 65.6% 29.0% 5.4% +3.2 4
1987-09-27 @ Juventus L 1-3 1698 1882 5.4% 29.0% 65.6% -3.2 4
1987-09-27 Napoli L 0-2 1741 1898 33.7% 38.2% 28.0% -17.7 0
1987-09-27 @ Pisa W 2-0 1898 1741 28.0% 38.2% 33.7% +17.7 6
1987-09-27 Hellas Verona W 3-1 1873 1858 52.3% 36.3% 11.4% +7.2 4
1987-09-27 @ Sampdoria L 1-3 1858 1873 11.4% 36.3% 52.3% -7.2 3
1987-10-04 Ascoli W 2-0 1841 1780 56.2% 34.7% 9.1% +6.8 5
1987-10-04 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1780 1841 9.1% 34.7% 56.2% -6.8 3
1987-10-04 Napoli L 0-1 1796 1915 38.5% 38.4% 23.1% -10.3 2
1987-10-04 @ Avellino W 1-0 1915 1796 23.1% 38.4% 38.5% +10.3 8
1987-10-04 Sampdoria L 0-1 1790 1880 41.9% 38.3% 19.8% -11.0 1
1987-10-04 @ Como W 1-0 1880 1790 19.8% 38.3% 41.9% +11.0 6
1987-10-04 Fiorentina D 0-0 1752 1832 43.0% 38.3% 18.7% -1.4 3
1987-10-04 @ Empoli D 0-0 1832 1752 18.7% 38.3% 43.0% +1.4 5
1987-10-04 Juventus W 2-1 1851 1885 47.8% 37.6% 14.6% +5.1 5
1987-10-04 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1885 1851 14.6% 37.6% 47.8% -5.1 4
1987-10-04 Cesena W 1-0 1694 1690 51.4% 36.6% 11.9% +4.6 6
1987-10-04 @ Pescara L 0-1 1690 1694 11.9% 36.6% 51.4% -4.6 1
1987-10-04 Pisa W 1-0 1865 1724 62.4% 31.1% 6.4% +2.4 7
1987-10-04 @ Roma L 0-1 1724 1865 6.4% 31.1% 62.4% -2.5 0
1987-10-04 Inter Milan D 1-1 1799 1846 46.4% 37.8% 15.7% -1.6 3
1987-10-04 @ Torino D 1-1 1846 1799 15.7% 37.8% 46.4% +1.6 5
1987-10-11 Empoli W 2-0 1773 1751 53.0% 36.1% 10.9% +8.1 5
1987-10-11 @ Ascoli L 0-2 1751 1773 10.9% 36.1% 53.0% -8.0 3
1987-10-11 Torino D 0-0 1685 1797 39.3% 38.4% 22.2% -0.9 2
1987-10-11 @ Cesena D 0-0 1797 1685 22.2% 38.4% 39.3% +0.9 4
1987-10-11 Avellino W 2-1 1833 1786 55.1% 35.2% 9.7% +3.6 7
1987-10-11 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1786 1833 9.7% 35.2% 55.1% -3.6 2
1987-10-11 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1848 1856 50.3% 37.0% 12.8% -2.0 6
1987-10-11 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1856 1848 12.8% 37.0% 50.3% +2.1 6
1987-10-11 Roma W 1-0 1880 1867 52.2% 36.4% 11.5% +4.5 6
1987-10-11 @ Juventus L 0-1 1867 1880 11.5% 36.4% 52.2% -4.4 7
1987-10-11 Pescara W 6-0 1926 1699 68.7% 26.8% 4.6% +8.3 10
1987-10-11 @ Napoli L 0-6 1699 1926 4.6% 26.8% 68.7% -8.3 6
1987-10-11 Como D 1-1 1721 1779 45.4% 38.0% 16.6% -1.5 1
1987-10-11 @ Pisa D 1-1 1779 1721 16.6% 38.0% 45.4% +1.5 2
1987-10-11 AC Milan D 1-1 1891 1847 54.8% 35.4% 9.9% -2.6 7
1987-10-11 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1847 1891 9.9% 35.4% 54.8% +2.6 6
1987-10-25 Cesena D 1-1 1783 1684 59.2% 33.1% 7.7% -3.0 3
1987-10-25 @ Avellino D 1-1 1684 1783 7.7% 33.1% 59.2% +3.0 3
1987-10-25 Ascoli W 3-1 1780 1781 50.9% 36.8% 12.3% +7.7 4
1987-10-25 @ Como L 1-3 1781 1780 12.3% 36.8% 50.9% -7.7 5
1987-10-25 Pisa L 0-1 1743 1720 53.0% 36.1% 10.9% -13.4 3
1987-10-25 @ Empoli W 1-0 1720 1743 10.9% 36.1% 53.0% +13.4 3
1987-10-25 AC Milan L 0-1 1858 1850 51.7% 36.5% 11.7% -13.2 6
1987-10-25 @ Hellas Verona W 1-0 1850 1858 11.7% 36.5% 51.7% +13.2 8
1987-10-25 Juventus W 2-1 1846 1885 47.3% 37.7% 15.0% +5.2 8
1987-10-25 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1885 1846 15.0% 37.7% 47.3% -5.2 6
1987-10-25 Sampdoria D 0-0 1691 1888 28.2% 37.6% 34.1% +0.3 7
1987-10-25 @ Pescara D 0-0 1888 1691 34.1% 37.6% 28.2% -0.3 8
1987-10-25 Napoli D 1-1 1863 1934 44.0% 38.2% 17.8% -1.4 8
1987-10-25 @ Roma D 1-1 1934 1863 17.8% 38.2% 44.0% +1.4 11
1987-10-25 Fiorentina W 2-1 1798 1837 47.3% 37.7% 15.0% +5.2 6
1987-10-25 @ Torino L 1-2 1837 1798 15.0% 37.7% 47.3% -5.2 7
1987-11-01 Torino D 0-0 1863 1803 56.1% 34.8% 9.1% -3.0 9
1987-11-01 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1803 1863 9.1% 34.8% 56.1% +3.0 7
1987-11-01 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1773 1845 43.9% 38.2% 17.9% -1.3 6
1987-11-01 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1845 1773 17.9% 38.2% 43.9% +1.3 7
1987-11-01 Pescara W 4-0 1832 1691 62.4% 31.2% 6.4% +8.8 9
1987-11-01 @ Fiorentina L 0-4 1691 1832 6.4% 31.2% 62.4% -8.8 7
1987-11-01 Avellino W 3-0 1880 1780 59.3% 33.1% 7.6% +8.2 8
1987-11-01 @ Juventus L 0-3 1780 1880 7.6% 33.1% 59.3% -8.2 3
1987-11-01 Empoli W 2-1 1935 1729 67.2% 27.8% 5.0% +1.7 13
1987-11-01 @ Napoli L 1-2 1729 1935 5.0% 27.8% 67.2% -1.7 3
1987-11-01 Inter Milan W 2-1 1733 1851 38.6% 38.4% 23.0% +6.9 5
1987-11-01 @ Pisa L 1-2 1851 1733 23.0% 38.4% 38.6% -7.0 8
1987-11-01 Como W 3-1 1862 1788 57.2% 34.2% 8.6% +5.5 10
1987-11-01 @ Roma L 1-3 1788 1862 8.6% 34.2% 57.2% -5.5 4
1987-11-01 Cesena W 4-1 1888 1687 66.8% 28.1% 5.1% +4.2 10
1987-11-01 @ Sampdoria L 1-4 1687 1888 5.1% 28.1% 66.8% -4.2 3
1987-11-08 Sampdoria L 1-2 1771 1892 38.3% 38.4% 23.3% -9.7 3
1987-11-08 @ Avellino W 2-1 1892 1771 23.3% 38.4% 38.3% +9.7 12
1987-11-08 Fiorentina W 1-0 1683 1841 33.6% 38.2% 28.2% +8.4 5
1987-11-08 @ Cesena L 0-1 1841 1683 28.2% 38.2% 33.6% -8.4 9
1987-11-08 Napoli D 0-0 1783 1937 34.0% 38.3% 27.8% -0.3 5
1987-11-08 @ Como D 0-0 1937 1783 27.8% 38.3% 34.0% +0.3 14
1987-11-08 Roma W 2-1 1727 1867 35.9% 38.4% 25.7% +7.5 5
1987-11-08 @ Empoli L 1-2 1867 1727 25.7% 38.4% 35.9% -7.5 10
1987-11-08 Ascoli D 2-2 1844 1772 57.1% 34.3% 8.6% -2.1 9
1987-11-08 @ Inter Milan D 2-2 1772 1844 8.6% 34.3% 57.1% +2.1 7
1987-11-08 AC Milan L 0-2 1682 1860 30.8% 38.0% 31.2% -16.6 7
1987-11-08 @ Pescara W 2-0 1860 1682 31.2% 38.0% 30.8% +16.6 11
1987-11-08 Juventus L 1-2 1740 1888 34.8% 38.3% 26.8% -9.0 5
1987-11-08 @ Pisa W 2-1 1888 1740 26.8% 38.3% 34.8% +9.0 10
1987-11-08 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1806 1846 47.2% 37.7% 15.1% -1.7 8
1987-11-08 @ Torino D 1-1 1846 1806 15.1% 37.7% 47.2% +1.7 8
1987-11-22 Avellino W 3-0 1877 1762 60.5% 32.4% 7.1% +7.6 13
1987-11-22 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1762 1877 7.1% 32.4% 60.5% -7.6 3
1987-11-22 Pisa D 2-2 1774 1731 54.8% 35.4% 9.9% -1.9 8
1987-11-22 @ Ascoli D 2-2 1731 1774 9.9% 35.4% 54.8% +1.9 6
1987-11-22 Empoli W 3-2 1782 1735 55.1% 35.2% 9.7% +3.4 7
1987-11-22 @ Como L 2-3 1735 1782 9.7% 35.2% 55.1% -3.4 5
1987-11-22 Sampdoria D 1-1 1832 1902 44.2% 38.1% 17.7% -1.4 10
1987-11-22 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1902 1832 17.7% 38.1% 44.2% +1.4 13
1987-11-22 Pescara W 2-0 1848 1666 65.5% 29.1% 5.4% +3.8 10
1987-11-22 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1666 1848 5.4% 29.1% 65.5% -3.8 7
1987-11-22 Cesena L 0-2 1897 1691 67.2% 27.9% 5.0% -30.0 10
1987-11-22 @ Juventus W 2-0 1691 1897 5.0% 27.9% 67.2% +30.0 7
1987-11-22 Torino W 3-1 1937 1804 61.8% 31.6% 6.6% +4.2 16
1987-11-22 @ Napoli L 1-3 1804 1937 6.6% 31.6% 61.8% -4.2 8
1987-11-22 Inter Milan W 3-2 1860 1842 52.6% 36.2% 11.2% +3.9 12
1987-11-22 @ Roma L 2-3 1842 1860 11.2% 36.2% 52.6% -3.9 9
1987-11-29 Como D 1-1 1754 1786 48.0% 37.5% 14.4% -1.8 4
1987-11-29 @ Avellino D 1-1 1786 1754 14.4% 37.5% 48.0% +1.8 8
1987-11-29 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1721 1852 37.1% 38.4% 24.5% +7.7 9
1987-11-29 @ Cesena L 0-1 1852 1721 24.5% 38.4% 37.1% -7.7 10
1987-11-29 AC Milan D 0-0 1731 1884 34.2% 38.3% 27.6% -0.4 6
1987-11-29 @ Empoli D 0-0 1884 1731 27.6% 38.3% 34.2% +0.4 14
1987-11-29 Napoli D 1-1 1838 1941 40.4% 38.4% 21.2% -1.0 10
1987-11-29 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1941 1838 21.2% 38.4% 40.4% +1.0 17
1987-11-29 Ascoli W 1-0 1867 1772 58.9% 33.3% 7.8% +3.1 12
1987-11-29 @ Juventus L 0-1 1772 1867 7.8% 33.3% 58.9% -3.1 8
1987-11-29 Torino D 2-2 1662 1800 36.0% 38.4% 25.6% -0.4 8
1987-11-29 @ Pescara D 2-2 1800 1662 25.6% 38.4% 36.0% +0.4 9
1987-11-29 Fiorentina W 2-1 1733 1831 41.0% 38.4% 20.6% +6.5 8
1987-11-29 @ Pisa L 1-2 1831 1733 20.6% 38.4% 41.0% -6.5 10
1987-11-29 Roma D 0-0 1903 1864 54.5% 35.5% 10.0% -2.8 14
1987-11-29 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1864 1903 10.0% 35.5% 54.5% +2.8 13
1987-12-13 Roma L 0-2 1885 1866 52.6% 36.2% 11.1% -25.2 14
1987-12-13 @ AC Milan W 2-0 1866 1885 11.1% 36.2% 52.6% +25.2 15
1987-12-13 Como W 3-0 1729 1787 45.3% 38.0% 16.7% +16.3 11
1987-12-13 @ Cesena L 0-3 1787 1729 16.7% 38.0% 45.3% -16.3 8
1987-12-13 Inter Milan L 1-2 1824 1837 49.8% 37.1% 13.1% -12.0 10
1987-12-13 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1837 1824 13.1% 37.1% 49.8% +12.0 12
1987-12-13 Pisa D 0-0 1844 1739 59.7% 32.9% 7.5% -3.4 11
1987-12-13 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1739 1844 7.5% 32.9% 59.7% +3.4 9
1987-12-13 Juventus W 2-1 1942 1870 57.1% 34.2% 8.6% +3.2 19
1987-12-13 @ Napoli L 1-2 1870 1942 8.6% 34.2% 57.1% -3.2 12
1987-12-13 Avellino W 2-0 1662 1752 41.8% 38.3% 19.8% +12.6 10
1987-12-13 @ Pescara L 0-2 1752 1662 19.8% 38.3% 41.8% -12.7 4
1987-12-13 Ascoli W 2-0 1900 1769 61.7% 31.6% 6.7% +4.9 16
1987-12-13 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1769 1900 6.7% 31.6% 61.7% -4.9 8
1987-12-13 Empoli L 0-1 1801 1731 56.9% 34.4% 8.7% -14.2 9
1987-12-13 @ Torino W 1-0 1731 1801 8.7% 34.4% 56.9% +14.2 8
1987-12-20 Fiorentina W 3-0 1764 1812 46.4% 37.8% 15.8% +15.7 10
1987-12-20 @ Ascoli L 0-3 1812 1764 15.8% 37.8% 46.4% -15.7 10
1987-12-20 Torino D 0-0 1771 1786 49.6% 37.1% 13.2% -2.2 9
1987-12-20 @ Como D 0-0 1786 1771 13.2% 37.1% 49.6% +2.2 10
1987-12-20 Cesena D 2-2 1745 1745 51.0% 36.8% 12.2% -1.6 9
1987-12-20 @ Empoli D 2-2 1745 1745 12.2% 36.8% 51.0% +1.6 12
1987-12-20 AC Milan L 0-1 1849 1860 50.1% 37.0% 12.9% -12.8 12
1987-12-20 @ Inter Milan W 1-0 1860 1849 12.9% 37.0% 50.1% +12.8 16
1987-12-20 Sampdoria D 1-1 1867 1905 47.4% 37.7% 15.0% -1.7 13
1987-12-20 @ Juventus D 1-1 1905 1867 15.0% 37.7% 47.4% +1.7 17
1987-12-20 Hellas Verona W 4-1 1946 1841 59.7% 32.9% 7.5% +6.8 21
1987-12-20 @ Napoli L 1-4 1841 1946 7.5% 32.9% 59.7% -6.8 11
1987-12-20 Avellino D 0-0 1743 1740 51.3% 36.7% 12.0% -2.4 10
1987-12-20 @ Pisa D 0-0 1740 1743 12.0% 36.7% 51.3% +2.4 5
1987-12-20 Pescara W 5-1 1892 1674 68.0% 27.2% 4.8% +5.0 17
1987-12-20 @ Roma L 1-5 1674 1892 4.8% 27.2% 68.0% -5.0 10
1988-01-03 Napoli W 4-1 1872 1952 43.0% 38.3% 18.7% +14.9 18
1988-01-03 @ AC Milan L 1-4 1952 1872 18.7% 38.3% 43.0% -14.9 21
1988-01-03 Ascoli D 1-1 1742 1780 47.4% 37.6% 14.9% -1.7 6
1988-01-03 @ Avellino D 1-1 1780 1742 14.9% 37.6% 47.4% +1.7 11
1988-01-03 Pisa D 1-1 1747 1740 51.6% 36.6% 11.8% -2.2 13
1988-01-03 @ Cesena D 1-1 1740 1747 11.8% 36.6% 51.6% +2.2 11
1988-01-03 Roma W 1-0 1797 1896 40.8% 38.4% 20.8% +6.9 12
1988-01-03 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1896 1797 20.8% 38.4% 40.8% -6.9 17
1988-01-03 Empoli W 1-0 1834 1744 58.5% 33.5% 8.0% +3.1 13
1988-01-03 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1744 1834 8.0% 33.5% 58.5% -3.1 9
1988-01-03 Como W 2-0 1669 1769 40.8% 38.4% 20.8% +13.0 12
1988-01-03 @ Pescara L 0-2 1769 1669 20.8% 38.4% 40.8% -13.0 9
1988-01-03 Inter Milan D 1-1 1907 1837 57.0% 34.3% 8.7% -2.8 18
1988-01-03 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1837 1907 8.7% 34.3% 57.0% +2.8 13
1988-01-03 Juventus D 2-2 1789 1865 43.4% 38.2% 18.4% -1.0 11
1988-01-03 @ Torino D 2-2 1865 1789 18.4% 38.2% 43.4% +0.9 14
1988-01-10 Pescara W 2-1 1782 1682 59.3% 33.1% 7.6% +2.8 13
1988-01-10 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1682 1782 7.6% 33.1% 59.3% -2.8 12
1988-01-10 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1756 1837 42.9% 38.3% 18.9% -1.2 10
1988-01-10 @ Como D 1-1 1837 1756 18.9% 38.3% 42.9% +1.2 14
1988-01-10 Avellino D 0-0 1741 1740 51.0% 36.8% 12.2% -2.4 10
1988-01-10 @ Empoli D 0-0 1740 1741 12.2% 36.8% 51.0% +2.4 7
1988-01-10 Cesena W 2-0 1839 1745 58.9% 33.3% 7.8% +5.8 15
1988-01-10 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1745 1839 7.8% 33.3% 58.9% -5.8 13
1988-01-10 AC Milan L 0-1 1866 1887 49.0% 37.3% 13.7% -12.5 14
1988-01-10 @ Juventus W 1-0 1887 1866 13.7% 37.3% 49.0% +12.6 20
1988-01-10 Fiorentina W 4-0 1937 1804 61.9% 31.5% 6.6% +9.1 23
1988-01-10 @ Napoli L 0-4 1804 1937 6.6% 31.5% 61.9% -9.1 12
1988-01-10 Sampdoria L 0-1 1743 1904 33.0% 38.2% 28.8% -9.2 11
1988-01-10 @ Pisa W 1-0 1904 1743 28.8% 38.2% 33.0% +9.2 20
1988-01-10 Torino D 1-1 1890 1788 59.5% 33.0% 7.5% -3.0 18
1988-01-10 @ Roma D 1-1 1788 1890 7.5% 33.0% 59.5% +3.0 12
1988-01-17 Como W 5-0 1900 1755 62.7% 31.0% 6.3% +10.6 22
1988-01-17 @ AC Milan L 0-5 1755 1900 6.3% 31.0% 62.7% -10.6 10
1988-01-17 Inter Milan L 1-3 1743 1845 40.5% 38.4% 21.1% -17.5 7
1988-01-17 @ Avellino W 3-1 1845 1743 21.1% 38.4% 40.5% +17.5 17
1988-01-17 Ascoli W 1-0 1739 1785 46.7% 37.8% 15.6% +5.7 15
1988-01-17 @ Cesena L 0-1 1785 1739 15.6% 37.8% 46.7% -5.7 13
1988-01-17 Juventus D 1-1 1795 1853 45.3% 38.0% 16.7% -1.5 13
1988-01-17 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1853 1795 16.7% 38.0% 45.3% +1.5 15
1988-01-17 Roma L 0-1 1838 1887 46.4% 37.8% 15.8% -12.0 14
1988-01-17 @ Hellas Verona W 1-0 1887 1838 15.8% 37.8% 46.4% +12.0 20
1988-01-17 Empoli D 0-0 1679 1738 45.3% 38.0% 16.7% -1.7 13
1988-01-17 @ Pescara D 0-0 1738 1679 16.7% 38.0% 45.3% +1.7 11
1988-01-17 Napoli L 0-1 1913 1946 47.9% 37.6% 14.5% -12.3 20
1988-01-17 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1946 1913 14.5% 37.6% 47.9% +12.3 25
1988-01-17 Pisa W 3-1 1791 1733 55.9% 34.8% 9.2% +6.0 14
1988-01-17 @ Torino L 1-3 1733 1791 9.2% 34.8% 55.9% -6.0 11
1988-01-24 Pisa W 1-0 1910 1727 65.5% 29.0% 5.4% +2.0 24
1988-01-24 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1727 1910 5.4% 29.0% 65.5% -2.0 11
1988-01-24 Juventus D 1-1 1744 1855 39.5% 38.4% 22.1% -0.8 11
1988-01-24 @ Como D 1-1 1855 1744 22.1% 38.4% 39.5% +0.9 16
1988-01-24 Sampdoria D 2-2 1740 1901 33.1% 38.2% 28.7% -0.2 12
1988-01-24 @ Empoli D 2-2 1901 1740 28.7% 38.2% 33.1% +0.2 21
1988-01-24 Fiorentina W 1-0 1826 1793 53.9% 35.7% 10.3% +4.1 16
1988-01-24 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1793 1826 10.3% 35.7% 53.9% -4.1 13
1988-01-24 Cesena W 2-0 1959 1745 67.8% 27.4% 4.8% +3.2 27
1988-01-24 @ Napoli L 0-2 1745 1959 4.8% 27.4% 67.8% -3.2 15
1988-01-24 Inter Milan D 1-1 1678 1863 29.9% 37.9% 32.2% +0.1 14
1988-01-24 @ Pescara D 1-1 1863 1678 32.2% 37.9% 29.9% -0.1 18
1988-01-24 Ascoli W 3-0 1898 1779 60.8% 32.2% 7.0% +7.5 22
1988-01-24 @ Roma L 0-3 1779 1898 7.0% 32.2% 60.8% -7.5 13
1988-01-24 Avellino D 0-0 1797 1725 57.1% 34.3% 8.6% -3.1 15
1988-01-24 @ Torino D 0-0 1725 1797 8.6% 34.3% 57.1% +3.1 8
1988-01-31 Napoli L 1-3 1771 1962 29.1% 37.8% 33.1% -13.9 13
1988-01-31 @ Ascoli W 3-1 1962 1771 33.1% 37.8% 29.1% +13.9 29
1988-01-31 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1728 1830 40.5% 38.4% 21.1% +7.0 10
1988-01-31 @ Avellino L 0-1 1830 1728 21.1% 38.4% 40.5% -7.0 16
1988-01-31 Roma D 0-0 1741 1906 32.6% 38.2% 29.2% -0.2 16
1988-01-31 @ Cesena D 0-0 1906 1741 29.2% 38.2% 32.6% +0.2 23
1988-01-31 AC Milan D 1-1 1789 1912 37.9% 38.4% 23.6% -0.7 14
1988-01-31 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1912 1789 23.6% 38.4% 37.9% +0.7 25
1988-01-31 Como W 1-0 1862 1743 60.8% 32.2% 7.0% +2.7 20
1988-01-31 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1743 1862 7.0% 32.2% 60.8% -2.7 11
1988-01-31 Empoli W 4-0 1856 1740 60.5% 32.4% 7.1% +9.9 18
1988-01-31 @ Juventus L 0-4 1740 1856 7.1% 32.4% 60.5% -9.9 12
1988-01-31 Pescara W 2-0 1725 1678 55.1% 35.2% 9.7% +7.2 13
1988-01-31 @ Pisa L 0-2 1678 1725 9.7% 35.2% 55.1% -7.2 14
1988-01-31 Torino D 1-1 1901 1794 59.9% 32.7% 7.4% -3.1 22
1988-01-31 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1794 1901 7.4% 32.7% 59.9% +3.1 16
1988-02-07 Cesena W 3-0 1913 1741 64.7% 29.6% 5.7% +5.8 27
1988-02-07 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1741 1913 5.7% 29.6% 64.7% -5.8 16
1988-02-07 Fiorentina W 1-0 1741 1788 46.4% 37.8% 15.7% +5.7 13
1988-02-07 @ Como L 0-1 1788 1741 15.7% 37.8% 46.4% -5.7 14
1988-02-07 Inter Milan D 1-1 1730 1865 36.4% 38.4% 25.2% -0.5 13
1988-02-07 @ Empoli D 1-1 1865 1730 25.2% 38.4% 36.4% +0.5 21
1988-02-07 Sampdoria W 3-1 1823 1898 43.6% 38.2% 18.2% +10.3 18
1988-02-07 @ Hellas Verona L 1-3 1898 1823 18.2% 38.2% 43.6% -10.3 22
1988-02-07 Pisa W 2-1 1976 1733 69.8% 25.9% 4.3% +1.4 31
1988-02-07 @ Napoli L 1-2 1733 1976 4.3% 25.9% 69.8% -1.4 13
1988-02-07 Juventus W 2-0 1671 1866 28.6% 37.7% 33.7% +17.6 16
1988-02-07 @ Pescara L 0-2 1866 1671 33.7% 37.7% 28.6% -17.6 18
1988-02-07 Avellino D 0-0 1906 1735 64.6% 29.7% 5.7% -3.9 24
1988-02-07 @ Roma D 0-0 1735 1906 5.7% 29.7% 64.6% +3.9 11
1988-02-07 Ascoli W 2-1 1797 1758 54.4% 35.5% 10.1% +3.7 18
1988-02-07 @ Torino L 1-2 1758 1797 10.1% 35.5% 54.4% -3.7 13
1988-02-14 AC Milan D 1-1 1754 1919 32.6% 38.2% 29.3% -0.2 14
1988-02-14 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1919 1754 29.3% 38.2% 32.6% +0.2 28
1988-02-14 Pescara L 0-1 1736 1688 55.1% 35.2% 9.7% -13.9 16
1988-02-14 @ Cesena W 1-0 1688 1736 9.7% 35.2% 55.1% +13.9 18
1988-02-14 Empoli D 0-0 1783 1729 55.6% 35.0% 9.4% -3.0 15
1988-02-14 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1729 1783 9.4% 35.0% 55.6% +3.0 14
1988-02-14 Torino L 0-1 1866 1800 56.6% 34.5% 8.9% -14.2 21
1988-02-14 @ Inter Milan W 1-0 1800 1866 8.9% 34.5% 56.6% +14.2 20
1988-02-14 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1848 1834 52.3% 36.3% 11.4% -2.6 19
1988-02-14 @ Juventus D 0-0 1834 1848 11.4% 36.3% 52.3% +2.5 19
1988-02-14 Avellino W 4-0 1977 1739 69.5% 26.1% 4.4% +5.3 33
1988-02-14 @ Napoli L 0-4 1739 1977 4.4% 26.1% 69.5% -5.3 11
1988-02-14 Roma D 1-1 1731 1902 31.8% 38.1% 30.2% -0.1 14
1988-02-14 @ Pisa D 1-1 1902 1731 30.2% 38.1% 31.8% +0.1 25
1988-02-14 Como W 3-0 1888 1746 62.5% 31.1% 6.4% +6.7 24
1988-02-14 @ Sampdoria L 0-3 1746 1888 6.4% 31.1% 62.5% -6.7 13
1988-02-28 Sampdoria W 2-1 1919 1894 53.2% 36.0% 10.8% +4.0 30
1988-02-28 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1894 1919 10.8% 36.0% 53.2% -4.0 24
1988-02-28 Fiorentina D 1-1 1734 1780 46.6% 37.8% 15.6% -1.6 12
1988-02-28 @ Avellino D 1-1 1780 1734 15.6% 37.8% 46.6% +1.6 16
1988-02-28 Pisa D 0-0 1740 1731 51.8% 36.5% 11.7% -2.5 14
1988-02-28 @ Como D 0-0 1731 1740 11.7% 36.5% 51.8% +2.5 15
1988-02-28 Ascoli W 2-0 1732 1754 49.0% 37.3% 13.7% +9.7 16
1988-02-28 @ Empoli L 0-2 1754 1732 13.7% 37.3% 49.0% -9.7 14
1988-02-28 Inter Milan D 1-1 1836 1852 49.6% 37.1% 13.2% -2.0 20
1988-02-28 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1852 1836 13.2% 37.1% 49.6% +2.0 22
1988-02-28 Napoli L 0-1 1702 1983 19.3% 35.3% 45.4% -6.3 18
1988-02-28 @ Pescara W 1-0 1983 1702 45.4% 35.3% 19.3% +6.3 35
1988-02-28 Juventus W 2-0 1902 1845 55.9% 34.9% 9.2% +6.9 27
1988-02-28 @ Roma L 0-2 1845 1902 9.2% 34.9% 55.9% -6.9 19
1988-02-28 Cesena D 2-2 1815 1722 58.8% 33.4% 7.9% -2.2 21
1988-02-28 @ Torino D 2-2 1722 1815 7.9% 33.4% 58.8% +2.2 17
1988-03-06 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1923 1834 58.4% 33.6% 8.0% -3.3 31
1988-03-06 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1834 1923 8.0% 33.6% 58.4% +3.3 21
1988-03-06 Como D 0-0 1744 1737 51.6% 36.6% 11.8% -2.5 15
1988-03-06 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1737 1744 11.8% 36.6% 51.6% +2.5 15
1988-03-06 Avellino D 1-1 1724 1732 50.2% 37.0% 12.8% -2.1 18
1988-03-06 @ Cesena D 1-1 1732 1724 12.8% 37.0% 50.2% +2.0 13
1988-03-06 Torino W 1-0 1781 1812 48.1% 37.5% 14.4% +5.3 18
1988-03-06 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1812 1781 14.4% 37.5% 48.1% -5.3 21
1988-03-06 Inter Milan W 1-0 1839 1854 49.6% 37.1% 13.2% +5.0 21
1988-03-06 @ Juventus L 0-1 1854 1839 13.2% 37.1% 49.6% -5.0 22
1988-03-06 Roma L 1-2 1989 1909 57.7% 34.0% 8.3% -13.6 35
1988-03-06 @ Napoli W 2-1 1909 1989 8.3% 34.0% 57.7% +13.6 29
1988-03-06 Empoli D 0-0 1734 1742 50.3% 37.0% 12.8% -2.3 16
1988-03-06 @ Pisa D 0-0 1742 1734 12.8% 37.0% 50.3% +2.3 17
1988-03-06 Pescara W 2-1 1890 1696 66.4% 28.4% 5.2% +1.8 26
1988-03-06 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1696 1890 5.2% 28.4% 66.4% -1.8 18
1988-03-13 Juventus W 1-0 1734 1844 39.6% 38.4% 21.9% +7.2 15
1988-03-13 @ Avellino L 0-1 1844 1734 21.9% 38.4% 39.6% -7.2 21
1988-03-13 Sampdoria W 2-0 1722 1892 31.8% 38.1% 30.1% +16.4 20
1988-03-13 @ Cesena L 0-2 1892 1722 30.1% 38.1% 31.8% -16.4 26
1988-03-13 Roma L 0-1 1740 1923 30.1% 37.9% 32.0% -8.7 15
1988-03-13 @ Como W 1-0 1923 1740 32.0% 37.9% 30.1% +8.7 31
1988-03-13 Napoli D 0-0 1744 1975 24.2% 36.9% 38.9% +0.8 18
1988-03-13 @ Empoli D 0-0 1975 1744 38.9% 36.9% 24.2% -0.8 36
1988-03-13 Ascoli W 2-1 1838 1742 59.0% 33.2% 7.8% +2.9 23
1988-03-13 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1742 1838 7.8% 33.2% 59.0% -2.9 15
1988-03-13 Pisa W 2-1 1849 1731 60.6% 32.3% 7.1% +2.6 24
1988-03-13 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1731 1849 7.1% 32.3% 60.6% -2.6 16
1988-03-13 Fiorentina D 1-1 1694 1787 41.6% 38.4% 20.0% -1.1 19
1988-03-13 @ Pescara D 1-1 1787 1694 20.0% 38.4% 41.6% +1.1 19
1988-03-13 AC Milan D 1-1 1807 1920 39.2% 38.4% 22.3% -0.8 22
1988-03-13 @ Torino D 1-1 1920 1807 22.3% 38.4% 39.2% +0.8 32
1988-03-20 Pescara W 2-0 1920 1693 68.7% 26.7% 4.6% +3.0 34
1988-03-20 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1693 1920 4.6% 26.7% 68.7% -3.0 19
1988-03-20 Inter Milan W 2-1 1739 1851 39.3% 38.4% 22.3% +6.8 17
1988-03-20 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1851 1739 22.3% 38.4% 39.3% -6.8 24
1988-03-20 Cesena W 3-1 1788 1738 55.3% 35.1% 9.6% +6.2 21
1988-03-20 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1738 1788 9.6% 35.1% 55.3% -6.2 20
1988-03-20 Torino L 0-2 1840 1806 54.0% 35.7% 10.3% -25.7 23
1988-03-20 @ Hellas Verona W 2-0 1806 1840 10.3% 35.7% 54.0% +25.7 24
1988-03-20 Pisa W 2-1 1836 1729 59.9% 32.7% 7.4% +2.7 23
1988-03-20 @ Juventus L 1-2 1729 1836 7.4% 32.7% 59.9% -2.7 16
1988-03-20 Como W 3-0 1974 1731 69.9% 25.8% 4.3% +4.0 38
1988-03-20 @ Napoli L 0-3 1731 1974 4.3% 25.8% 69.9% -4.0 15
1988-03-20 Empoli W 1-0 1931 1745 65.8% 28.9% 5.4% +2.0 33
1988-03-20 @ Roma L 0-1 1745 1931 5.4% 28.9% 65.8% -2.0 18
1988-03-20 Avellino W 2-0 1876 1741 61.9% 31.5% 6.6% +4.8 28
1988-03-20 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1741 1876 6.6% 31.5% 61.9% -4.8 15
1988-03-27 AC Milan D 0-0 1737 1923 29.6% 37.8% 32.5% +0.1 16
1988-03-27 @ Avellino D 0-0 1923 1737 32.5% 37.8% 29.6% -0.2 35
1988-03-27 Juventus D 0-0 1732 1839 39.9% 38.4% 21.7% -1.0 21
1988-03-27 @ Cesena D 0-0 1839 1732 21.7% 38.4% 39.9% +1.0 24
1988-03-27 Como D 1-1 1743 1727 52.4% 36.3% 11.3% -2.3 19
1988-03-27 @ Empoli D 1-1 1727 1743 11.3% 36.3% 52.4% +2.3 16
1988-03-27 Roma W 4-2 1844 1933 42.0% 38.3% 19.7% +9.7 26
1988-03-27 @ Inter Milan L 2-4 1933 1844 19.7% 38.3% 42.0% -9.7 33
1988-03-27 Hellas Verona W 3-0 1690 1815 37.8% 38.4% 23.8% +20.6 21
1988-03-27 @ Pescara L 0-3 1815 1690 23.8% 38.4% 37.8% -20.6 23
1988-03-27 Ascoli D 1-1 1726 1745 49.2% 37.2% 13.5% -1.9 17
1988-03-27 @ Pisa D 1-1 1745 1726 13.5% 37.2% 49.2% +1.9 18
1988-03-27 Fiorentina W 1-0 1881 1794 58.3% 33.7% 8.1% +3.2 30
1988-03-27 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1794 1881 8.1% 33.7% 58.3% -3.2 21
1988-03-27 Napoli D 0-0 1832 1978 35.0% 38.3% 26.7% -0.4 25
1988-03-27 @ Torino D 0-0 1978 1832 26.7% 38.3% 35.0% +0.4 39
1988-04-10 Empoli W 1-0 1923 1741 65.5% 29.1% 5.4% +2.0 37
1988-04-10 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1741 1923 5.4% 29.1% 65.5% -2.0 19
1988-04-10 Juventus D 1-1 1747 1840 41.6% 38.4% 20.1% -1.1 19
1988-04-10 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1840 1747 20.1% 38.4% 41.6% +1.1 25
1988-04-10 Avellino D 0-0 1729 1737 50.3% 37.0% 12.7% -2.3 17
1988-04-10 @ Como D 0-0 1737 1729 12.7% 37.0% 50.3% +2.3 17
1988-04-10 Pisa D 0-0 1791 1724 56.7% 34.5% 8.8% -3.1 22
1988-04-10 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1724 1791 8.8% 34.5% 56.7% +3.1 18
1988-04-10 Cesena L 0-1 1794 1731 56.4% 34.6% 9.0% -14.1 23
1988-04-10 @ Hellas Verona W 1-0 1731 1794 9.0% 34.6% 56.4% +14.1 23
1988-04-10 Inter Milan W 1-0 1979 1854 61.2% 31.9% 6.9% +2.7 41
1988-04-10 @ Napoli L 0-1 1854 1979 6.9% 31.9% 61.2% -2.7 26
1988-04-10 Sampdoria L 0-2 1924 1884 54.5% 35.5% 10.0% -25.9 33
1988-04-10 @ Roma W 2-0 1884 1924 10.0% 35.5% 54.5% +25.9 32
1988-04-10 Pescara W 2-0 1831 1711 60.9% 32.1% 7.0% +5.1 27
1988-04-10 @ Torino L 0-2 1711 1831 7.0% 32.1% 60.9% -5.1 21
1988-04-17 Sampdoria D 1-1 1746 1910 32.8% 38.2% 29.0% -0.2 20
1988-04-17 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1910 1746 29.0% 38.2% 32.8% +0.2 33
1988-04-17 Pescara D 1-1 1739 1706 53.9% 35.7% 10.3% -2.5 18
1988-04-17 @ Avellino D 1-1 1706 1739 10.3% 35.7% 53.9% +2.5 22
1988-04-17 Cesena W 2-0 1727 1745 49.3% 37.2% 13.5% +9.6 19
1988-04-17 @ Como L 0-2 1745 1727 13.5% 37.2% 49.3% -9.6 23
1988-04-17 Torino D 0-0 1739 1837 41.0% 38.4% 20.6% -1.1 20
1988-04-17 @ Empoli D 0-0 1837 1739 20.6% 38.4% 41.0% +1.1 28
1988-04-17 Fiorentina W 3-0 1851 1788 56.4% 34.6% 8.9% +9.7 28
1988-04-17 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1788 1851 8.9% 34.6% 56.4% -9.7 22
1988-04-17 Napoli W 3-1 1841 1982 35.8% 38.4% 25.8% +13.0 27
1988-04-17 @ Juventus L 1-3 1982 1841 25.8% 38.4% 35.8% -13.0 41
1988-04-17 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1727 1780 45.9% 37.9% 16.2% -1.8 19
1988-04-17 @ Pisa D 0-0 1780 1727 16.2% 37.9% 45.9% +1.8 24
1988-04-17 AC Milan L 0-2 1898 1925 48.4% 37.4% 14.1% -23.4 33
1988-04-17 @ Roma W 2-0 1925 1898 14.1% 37.4% 48.4% +23.4 39
1988-04-24 Inter Milan W 2-0 1949 1861 58.3% 33.6% 8.0% +6.0 41
1988-04-24 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1861 1949 8.0% 33.6% 58.3% -6.0 28
1988-04-24 Pisa W 1-0 1737 1726 52.0% 36.4% 11.6% +4.5 20
1988-04-24 @ Avellino L 0-1 1726 1737 11.6% 36.4% 52.0% -4.5 19
1988-04-24 Empoli D 1-1 1736 1738 50.8% 36.8% 12.4% -2.1 24
1988-04-24 @ Cesena D 1-1 1738 1736 12.4% 36.8% 50.8% +2.1 21
1988-04-24 Ascoli W 1-0 1778 1746 53.8% 35.8% 10.4% +4.1 24
1988-04-24 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1746 1778 10.4% 35.8% 53.8% -4.1 20
1988-04-24 Napoli D 1-1 1782 1969 29.6% 37.8% 32.5% +0.1 25
1988-04-24 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1969 1782 32.5% 37.8% 29.6% -0.1 42
1988-04-24 Roma D 0-0 1708 1874 32.4% 38.1% 29.5% -0.1 23
1988-04-24 @ Pescara D 0-0 1874 1708 29.5% 38.1% 32.4% +0.2 34
1988-04-24 Juventus D 2-2 1910 1854 55.8% 34.9% 9.3% -2.0 34
1988-04-24 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1854 1910 9.3% 34.9% 55.8% +2.0 28
1988-04-24 Como D 1-1 1838 1736 59.4% 33.0% 7.6% -3.0 29
1988-04-24 @ Torino D 1-1 1736 1838 7.6% 33.0% 59.4% +3.0 20
1988-05-01 Avellino W 2-0 1742 1741 51.1% 36.7% 12.2% +8.8 22
1988-05-01 @ Ascoli L 0-2 1741 1742 12.2% 36.7% 51.1% -8.8 20
1988-05-01 Pescara W 2-1 1739 1708 53.8% 35.8% 10.4% +3.9 22
1988-05-01 @ Como L 1-2 1708 1739 10.4% 35.8% 53.8% -3.9 23
1988-05-01 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1740 1782 47.0% 37.7% 15.3% +5.6 23
1988-05-01 @ Empoli L 0-1 1782 1740 15.3% 37.7% 47.0% -5.6 25
1988-05-01 Sampdoria W 3-1 1855 1908 45.9% 37.9% 16.2% +9.5 30
1988-05-01 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1908 1855 16.2% 37.9% 45.9% -9.5 34
1988-05-01 Torino W 2-1 1856 1835 52.9% 36.1% 11.0% +4.0 30
1988-05-01 @ Juventus L 1-2 1835 1856 11.0% 36.1% 52.9% -4.0 29
1988-05-01 AC Milan L 2-3 1968 1955 52.2% 36.4% 11.4% -11.9 42
1988-05-01 @ Napoli W 3-2 1955 1968 11.4% 36.4% 52.2% +11.9 43
1988-05-01 Cesena W 1-0 1721 1733 49.9% 37.1% 13.1% +5.0 21
1988-05-01 @ Pisa L 0-1 1733 1721 13.1% 37.1% 49.9% -5.0 24
1988-05-01 Fiorentina W 2-1 1874 1782 58.7% 33.4% 7.9% +2.9 36
1988-05-01 @ Roma L 1-2 1782 1874 7.9% 33.4% 58.7% -2.9 24
1988-05-08 Juventus D 0-0 1967 1860 59.8% 32.8% 7.4% -3.4 44
1988-05-08 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1860 1967 7.4% 32.8% 59.8% +3.4 31
1988-05-08 Empoli W 1-0 1732 1745 49.8% 37.1% 13.1% +5.0 22
1988-05-08 @ Avellino L 0-1 1745 1732 13.1% 37.1% 49.8% -5.0 23
1988-05-08 Inter Milan D 2-2 1729 1865 36.3% 38.4% 25.3% -0.4 25
1988-05-08 @ Cesena D 2-2 1865 1729 25.3% 38.4% 36.3% +0.4 31
1988-05-08 Napoli W 3-2 1779 1957 30.9% 38.0% 31.1% +7.9 26
1988-05-08 @ Fiorentina L 2-3 1957 1779 31.1% 38.0% 30.9% -7.9 42
1988-05-08 Como L 0-1 1776 1743 53.9% 35.7% 10.4% -13.6 25
1988-05-08 @ Hellas Verona W 1-0 1743 1776 10.4% 35.7% 53.9% +13.6 24
1988-05-08 Ascoli D 0-0 1704 1751 46.5% 37.8% 15.7% -1.8 24
1988-05-08 @ Pescara D 0-0 1751 1704 15.7% 37.8% 46.5% +1.8 23
1988-05-08 Pisa D 0-0 1898 1726 64.8% 29.6% 5.7% -3.9 35
1988-05-08 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1726 1898 5.7% 29.6% 64.8% +3.9 22
1988-05-08 Roma W 2-0 1831 1877 46.5% 37.8% 15.7% +10.7 31
1988-05-08 @ Torino L 0-2 1877 1831 15.7% 37.8% 46.5% -10.7 36
1988-05-15 Cesena D 0-0 1753 1728 53.2% 36.0% 10.8% -2.7 24
1988-05-15 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1728 1753 10.8% 36.0% 53.2% +2.7 26
1988-05-15 AC Milan D 1-1 1757 1963 27.1% 37.5% 35.4% +0.4 25
1988-05-15 @ Como D 1-1 1963 1757 35.4% 37.5% 27.1% -0.4 45
1988-05-15 Pescara W 3-2 1740 1702 54.3% 35.6% 10.1% +3.6 25
1988-05-15 @ Empoli L 2-3 1702 1740 10.1% 35.6% 54.3% -3.6 24
1988-05-15 Avellino D 1-1 1865 1737 61.4% 31.8% 6.8% -3.2 32
1988-05-15 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1737 1865 6.8% 31.8% 61.4% +3.2 23
1988-05-15 Fiorentina L 1-2 1864 1787 57.5% 34.1% 8.5% -13.5 31
1988-05-15 @ Juventus W 2-1 1787 1864 8.5% 34.1% 57.5% +13.5 28
1988-05-15 Sampdoria L 1-2 1949 1894 55.7% 35.0% 9.4% -13.2 42
1988-05-15 @ Napoli W 2-1 1894 1949 9.4% 35.0% 55.7% +13.2 37
1988-05-15 Torino W 2-0 1730 1841 39.4% 38.4% 22.2% +13.6 24
1988-05-15 @ Pisa L 0-2 1841 1730 22.2% 38.4% 39.4% -13.6 31
1988-05-15 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1867 1763 59.6% 32.9% 7.5% +2.9 38
1988-05-15 @ Roma L 0-1 1763 1867 7.5% 32.9% 59.6% -2.9 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1987-11-22 4.98% Cesena 1691 2 @ Juventus 1897 0
2 1987-09-13 5.16% Pescara 1662 2 @ Inter Milan 1858 0
3 1988-03-06 8.33% Roma 1909 2 @ Napoli 1989 1
4 1988-05-15 8.45% Fiorentina 1787 2 @ Juventus 1864 1
5 1987-12-13 8.72% Empoli 1731 1 @ Torino 1801 0
6 1988-02-14 8.89% Torino 1800 1 @ Inter Milan 1866 0
7 1988-04-10 8.98% Cesena 1731 1 @ Hellas Verona 1794 0
8 1987-09-20 9.17% Fiorentina 1808 2 @ AC Milan 1867 0
9 1988-05-15 9.37% Sampdoria 1894 2 @ Napoli 1949 1
10 1988-02-14 9.68% Pescara 1688 1 @ Cesena 1736 0
11 1988-04-10 10.03% Sampdoria 1884 2 @ Roma 1924 0
12 1988-03-20 10.30% Torino 1806 2 @ Hellas Verona 1840 0
13 1988-05-08 10.37% Como 1743 1 @ Hellas Verona 1776 0
14 1987-10-25 10.90% Pisa 1720 1 @ Empoli 1743 0
15 1987-12-13 11.14% Roma 1866 2 @ AC Milan 1885 0
16 1988-05-01 11.41% AC Milan 1955 3 @ Napoli 1968 2
17 1987-10-25 11.73% AC Milan 1850 1 @ Hellas Verona 1858 0
18 1987-12-20 12.90% AC Milan 1860 1 @ Inter Milan 1849 0
19 1987-12-13 13.08% Inter Milan 1837 2 @ Fiorentina 1824 1
20 1988-01-10 13.67% AC Milan 1887 1 @ Juventus 1866 0
21 1988-04-17 14.12% AC Milan 1925 2 @ Roma 1898 0
22 1987-09-20 14.28% Inter Milan 1829 2 @ Como 1799 1
23 1988-01-17 14.55% Napoli 1946 1 @ Sampdoria 1913 0
24 1987-09-27 15.67% Roma 1854 3 @ Avellino 1807 2
25 1988-01-17 15.77% Roma 1887 1 @ Hellas Verona 1838 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-11-22 30.04 Cesena 2 1691 4.98% @ Juventus 0 1897 67.15% 27.87%
2 1987-09-13 29.88 Pescara 2 1662 5.16% @ Inter Milan 0 1858 66.49% 28.35%
3 1987-09-20 26.52 Fiorentina 2 1808 9.17% @ AC Milan 0 1867 56.03% 34.80%
4 1988-04-10 25.91 Sampdoria 2 1884 10.03% @ Roma 0 1924 54.48% 35.49%
5 1988-03-20 25.73 Torino 2 1806 10.30% @ Hellas Verona 0 1840 54.01% 35.69%
6 1987-12-13 25.17 Roma 2 1866 11.14% @ AC Milan 0 1885 52.64% 36.21%
7 1988-04-17 23.43 AC Milan 2 1925 14.12% @ Roma 0 1898 48.44% 37.44%
8 1988-03-27 20.64 @ Pescara 3 1690 37.77% Hellas Verona 0 1815 23.80% 38.43%
9 1987-09-13 18.23 AC Milan 3 1849 19.08% @ Pisa 1 1765 42.63% 38.29%
10 1987-09-27 17.66 Napoli 2 1898 28.03% @ Pisa 0 1741 33.73% 38.25%
11 1988-02-07 17.56 @ Pescara 2 1671 28.57% Juventus 0 1866 33.73% 37.70%
12 1988-01-17 17.49 Inter Milan 3 1845 21.14% @ Avellino 1 1743 40.46% 38.40%
13 1987-11-08 16.63 AC Milan 2 1860 31.19% @ Pescara 0 1682 30.83% 37.99%
14 1988-03-13 16.39 @ Cesena 2 1722 31.83% Sampdoria 0 1892 30.08% 38.09%
15 1987-12-13 16.29 @ Cesena 3 1729 45.34% Como 0 1787 16.66% 38.00%
16 1987-09-27 15.80 @ Ascoli 3 1764 46.17% Torino 0 1814 15.96% 37.87%
17 1987-12-20 15.66 @ Ascoli 3 1764 46.41% Fiorentina 0 1812 15.76% 37.83%
18 1987-09-20 15.39 @ Torino 4 1799 42.02% Sampdoria 1 1888 19.65% 38.33%
19 1988-01-03 14.90 @ AC Milan 4 1872 43.02% Napoli 1 1952 18.72% 38.26%
20 1987-12-13 14.25 Empoli 1 1731 8.72% @ Torino 0 1801 56.91% 34.37%
21 1988-02-14 14.17 Torino 1 1800 8.89% @ Inter Milan 0 1866 56.57% 34.54%
22 1988-04-10 14.14 Cesena 1 1731 8.98% @ Hellas Verona 0 1794 56.39% 34.63%
23 1988-02-14 13.88 Pescara 1 1688 9.68% @ Cesena 0 1736 55.09% 35.23%
24 1988-01-31 13.87 Napoli 3 1962 33.09% @ Ascoli 1 1771 29.13% 37.78%
25 1988-05-08 13.62 Como 1 1743 10.37% @ Hellas Verona 0 1776 53.89% 35.74%