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1986-87 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Napoli

42 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Udinese

15 pts

Atalanta · 21 pts

Brescia · 22 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Napoli

6.20 points above expected

42 points · 35.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Atalanta

7.08 points below expected

21 points · 28.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Napoli Champion 30 15 12 3 42 41 21 +20 35.80 +6.20
2 Juventus 30 14 11 5 39 42 27 +15 35.67 +3.33
3 Inter Milan 30 15 8 7 38 32 17 +15 32.92 +5.08
4 Hellas Verona 30 12 12 6 36 36 25 +11 30.19 +5.81
5 Sampdoria 30 13 9 8 35 37 21 +16 31.25 +3.75
6 AC Milan 30 13 9 8 35 31 21 +10 32.08 +2.92
7 Roma 30 12 9 9 33 37 31 +6 35.38 -2.38
8 Avellino 30 9 12 9 30 31 38 -7 28.46 +1.54
9 Como 30 5 16 9 26 16 20 -4 29.92 -3.92
10 Fiorentina 30 8 10 12 26 30 35 -5 29.72 -3.72
11 Torino 30 8 10 12 26 26 32 -6 29.13 -3.13
12 Ascoli 30 7 10 13 24 18 33 -15 24.71 -0.71
13 Empoli 30 8 7 15 23 13 33 -20 25.03 -2.03
14 Brescia Relegated 30 7 8 15 22 25 35 -10 24.60 -2.60
15 Atalanta Relegated 30 7 7 16 21 22 32 -10 28.08 -7.08
16 Udinese* Relegated 30 6 12 12 15 25 41 -16 18.07 -3.07

* Point deductions: Udinese (-9 pts)

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Juventus 1960 39 35.67 +3.33 83.5% 19 29 33 36 38 42 50
Napoli 1958 42 35.80 +6.20 96.2% 22 29 33 36 38 42 52
Sampdoria 1941 35 31.25 +3.75 85.8% 17 25 29 31 34 38 45
Inter Milan 1904 38 32.92 +5.08 92.4% 19 26 30 33 36 39 50
Roma 1889 33 35.38 -2.38 31.0% 21 29 33 35 38 42 49
AC Milan 1887 35 32.08 +2.92 80.5% 19 25 29 32 35 39 48
Hellas Verona 1886 36 30.19 +5.81 94.5% 14 24 27 30 33 37 43
Avellino 1826 30 28.46 +1.54 69.9% 15 22 26 28 31 35 45
Fiorentina 1821 26 29.72 -3.72 21.1% 16 23 27 30 32 36 43
Torino 1810 26 29.13 -3.13 25.4% 15 23 26 29 32 36 44
Como 1808 26 29.92 -3.92 19.1% 16 23 27 30 33 36 45
Atalanta 1791 21 28.08 -7.08 4.8% 14 22 25 28 31 35 43
Ascoli 1751 24 24.71 -0.71 48.2% 11 18 22 25 27 31 41
Udinese 1751 15 18.07 -3.07 25.9% 2 12 15 18 21 25 32
Brescia 1748 22 24.60 -2.60 29.8% 11 18 22 25 27 31 38
Empoli 1733 23 25.03 -2.03 35.3% 12 19 22 25 28 32 39

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ASC ATA AVE BRE COM EMP FIO HV IM JUV NAP ROM SAM TOR UDI
AC Milan —
0-0-2
3.37
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
3.52
1-1-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.51
0-2-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.30
2-0-0
2.30
0-0-2
2.83
1-1-0
2.92
0-2-0
3.30
Ascoli
2-0-0
1.95
 —
1-1-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.57
0-2-0
2.21
0-0-2
2.68
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
1.69
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
1.58
0-2-0
1.55
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.17
1-0-1
2.56
Atalanta
0-0-2
2.43
0-1-1
2.93
 —
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
1.87
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.76
Avellino
1-0-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.73
 —
0-1-1
3.08
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
1.93
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.76
Brescia
1-0-1
1.83
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.25
 —
1-0-1
2.10
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.06
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
1.63
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
1.58
0-0-2
2.11
1-1-0
2.16
1-0-1
2.35
Como
0-1-1
2.43
0-2-0
3.12
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
3.24
 —
0-1-1
3.20
1-1-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.01
0-2-0
2.20
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.97
Empoli
0-0-2
2.24
2-0-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.13
 —
1-1-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.42
Fiorentina
0-1-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
3.18
 —
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
1.99
1-1-0
2.08
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.94
Hellas Verona
1-0-1
2.56
2-0-0
3.17
1-0-1
2.89
0-2-0
2.81
1-1-0
3.21
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
2.69
 —
1-1-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.16
0-2-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.85
Inter Milan
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.67
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.88
 —
1-1-0
2.29
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.10
Juventus
0-2-0
3.04
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.76
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.21
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
3.05
 —
0-0-2
2.75
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.23
Napoli
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.81
1-1-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.31
1-1-0
3.92
0-1-1
3.36
0-1-1
3.27
0-1-1
2.98
2-0-0
2.59
 —
1-1-0
2.65
1-1-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.21
1-1-0
3.30
Roma
0-0-2
3.02
0-2-0
3.85
2-0-0
3.13
1-0-1
3.15
1-1-0
3.79
0-2-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.68
0-1-1
3.27
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.67
 —
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.73
Sampdoria
2-0-0
2.48
2-0-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
3.03
2-0-0
3.23
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.71
0-2-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.39
 —
1-0-1
3.01
0-2-0
3.11
Torino
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
3.15
1-1-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.10
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.33
 —
1-1-0
2.84
Udinese
0-2-0
2.02
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
2.03
1-0-1
1.62
0-2-0
2.24
0-1-1
2.48
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +6.9
Allowed 0.55 -7.8
Differential 0.88 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%13.12%3.96%3.75%0.62%0.21%40.42%
113.12%11.67%7.29%2.08%1.04%—35.21%
23.96%7.29%3.33%0.21%0.42%0.21%15.42%
33.75%2.08%0.21%—0.21%—6.25%
40.62%1.04%0.42%0.21%——2.29%
5+0.21%—0.21%———0.42%
Total40.42%35.21%15.42%6.25%2.29%0.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 0.96 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.05 1.47
CV 1.09 1.09 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%——43.33%
113.33%3.33%6.67%———23.33%
26.67%13.33%3.33%———23.33%
36.67%—————6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total50.00%33.33%13.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.70 +0.33
SD 1.13 0.84 1.42
CV 1.09 1.20 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%23.33%—10.00%—3.33%53.33%
113.33%13.33%6.67%———33.33%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%43.33%10.00%10.00%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 1.10 -0.50
SD 0.72 1.18 1.48
CV 1.21 1.08 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%23.33%6.67%———46.67%
116.67%3.33%20.00%———40.00%
23.33%—3.33%—3.33%—10.00%
3———————
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total36.67%26.67%33.33%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.07 -0.33
SD 0.91 1.01 1.09
CV 1.24 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%10.00%10.00%——43.33%
16.67%16.67%——3.33%—26.67%
2—16.67%6.67%———23.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total23.33%43.33%20.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.27 -0.23
SD 1.30 1.05 1.61
CV 1.26 0.83 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%20.00%6.67%—3.33%—46.67%
110.00%6.67%10.00%—3.33%—30.00%
210.00%—3.33%3.33%——16.67%
33.33%———3.33%—6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%26.67%20.00%3.33%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.17 -0.33
SD 0.95 1.29 1.49
CV 1.14 1.10 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
036.67%20.00%3.33%———60.00%
16.67%16.67%6.67%———30.00%
2—6.67%————6.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%46.67%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 0.67 -0.13
SD 0.78 0.66 0.82
CV 1.46 0.99 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%20.00%—16.67%3.33%—60.00%
123.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%——36.67%
23.33%—————3.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%23.33%6.67%20.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.43 1.10 -0.67
SD 0.57 1.30 1.56
CV 1.31 1.18 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%20.00%3.33%3.33%——36.67%
16.67%16.67%10.00%3.33%——36.67%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———3.33%——3.33%
5+———————
Total23.33%46.67%20.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.17 -0.17
SD 1.02 0.91 1.21
CV 1.02 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%————26.67%
116.67%16.67%6.67%———40.00%
2—13.33%10.00%———23.33%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%50.00%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.83 +0.37
SD 1.03 0.70 1.07
CV 0.86 0.84 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%————33.33%
126.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%——43.33%
23.33%10.00%————13.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total56.67%33.33%6.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 0.57 +0.50
SD 1.11 0.77 1.33
CV 1.04 1.37 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%——3.33%——16.67%
113.33%20.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%—46.67%
210.00%10.00%3.33%———23.33%
36.67%—3.33%———10.00%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total46.67%30.00%13.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 0.90 +0.50
SD 1.10 1.09 1.66
CV 0.79 1.22 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%3.33%—3.33%——26.67%
113.33%16.67%—3.33%——33.33%
2—16.67%3.33%———20.00%
310.00%6.67%————16.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total46.67%43.33%3.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 0.70 +0.67
SD 1.16 0.84 1.45
CV 0.85 1.20 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
113.33%13.33%13.33%—6.67%—46.67%
23.33%6.67%————10.00%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
43.33%—3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total43.33%26.67%20.00%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.03 +0.20
SD 1.17 1.19 1.73
CV 0.94 1.15 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%6.67%———36.67%
113.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
26.67%—3.33%———10.00%
313.33%6.67%————20.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total53.33%26.67%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.70 +0.53
SD 1.25 0.88 1.59
CV 1.01 1.25 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%13.33%3.33%——46.67%
16.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
26.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%40.00%23.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.07 -0.20
SD 1.04 0.91 1.42
CV 1.20 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—43.33%
110.00%13.33%3.33%10.00%——36.67%
2—3.33%3.33%—3.33%3.33%13.33%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%23.33%13.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.37 -0.53
SD 0.91 1.56 1.68
CV 1.10 1.14 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Napoli 42 35.80 +6.20
2 Hellas Verona 36 30.19 +5.81
3 Inter Milan 38 32.92 +5.08
4 Sampdoria 35 31.25 +3.75
5 Juventus 39 35.67 +3.33

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Atalanta 21 28.08 -7.08
2 Como 26 29.92 -3.92
3 Fiorentina 26 29.72 -3.72
4 Torino 26 29.13 -3.13
5 Udinese 15 18.07 -3.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Napoli 5 Jan 11 – Feb 22 1 in 43
2 Ascoli 2 May 3 – May 10 1 in 28
3 Juventus 3 Sep 14 – Sep 28 1 in 25
4 Avellino 3 May 3 – May 17 1 in 20
5 Hellas Verona 3 Mar 29 – Apr 12 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Empoli 6 Sep 28 – Nov 2 1 in 342
2 Roma 3 May 3 – May 17 1 in 42
3 Avellino 3 Jan 4 – Jan 18 1 in 33
4 Inter Milan 3 Feb 22 – Mar 8 1 in 29
5 Fiorentina 3 Nov 30 – Dec 21 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Milan 13 Sep 21 – Jan 4 1 in 157
2 Napoli 13 Sep 14 – Dec 21 1 in 93
3 Como 11 Sep 14 – Nov 30 1 in 82
4 Sampdoria 11 Feb 1 – Apr 26 1 in 55
5 Ascoli 6 Feb 8 – Mar 22 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Roma 7 Mar 29 – May 17 1 in 61
2 Torino 11 Feb 8 – May 3 1 in 59
3 Ascoli 12 Oct 5 – Jan 11 1 in 46
4 Como 9 Dec 14 – Mar 1 1 in 39
5 Avellino 7 Oct 12 – Nov 30 1 in 17

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Napoli27.38%20.24%15.40%10.76%8.17%5.57%4.39%2.79%2.12%1.40%0.85%0.55%0.26%0.11%0.01%—
Juventus25.35%19.44%15.39%11.46%8.26%6.15%4.38%3.40%2.33%1.62%0.83%0.64%0.44%0.21%0.07%0.03%
Inter Milan8.81%11.41%12.23%11.67%11.91%10.06%8.32%6.67%5.88%4.34%3.45%2.44%1.58%0.84%0.37%0.02%
Hellas Verona2.26%4.34%5.48%7.36%8.48%9.40%9.96%9.99%9.62%8.43%7.85%6.58%4.96%3.32%1.66%0.31%
Sampdoria4.39%6.51%8.67%9.66%9.54%10.45%9.84%8.91%8.16%7.03%5.53%4.67%3.28%2.20%0.93%0.23%
AC Milan5.59%8.35%9.79%10.92%11.37%10.55%9.28%8.63%6.98%5.93%4.35%3.42%2.48%1.56%0.69%0.11%
Roma20.32%18.92%15.39%12.18%9.07%7.41%5.50%4.01%2.80%1.87%1.18%0.69%0.45%0.14%0.07%—
Avellino0.69%1.34%2.44%3.65%4.91%6.21%7.41%9.09%9.83%10.01%11.30%10.82%9.14%7.24%4.72%1.20%
Como1.92%2.96%4.47%6.25%7.62%8.60%9.31%9.60%10.01%10.03%9.01%7.19%6.05%4.14%2.34%0.50%
Fiorentina1.43%2.81%4.04%6.12%7.40%8.29%9.17%10.15%9.74%9.12%9.35%7.85%6.44%5.09%2.44%0.56%
Torino1.06%2.12%3.58%4.82%5.83%7.07%8.88%9.08%9.52%10.68%10.41%9.24%7.43%5.90%3.61%0.77%
Ascoli0.05%0.12%0.35%0.69%1.03%1.19%1.84%3.37%4.31%5.94%8.07%11.01%15.34%18.57%20.50%7.62%
Empoli0.06%0.10%0.39%0.75%1.20%1.63%2.51%3.42%4.62%6.61%8.23%11.02%13.92%17.63%20.37%7.54%
Brescia0.04%0.19%0.30%0.61%0.99%1.55%2.55%3.13%4.60%6.31%8.07%10.76%14.42%18.11%20.15%8.22%
Atalanta0.65%1.15%2.08%3.09%4.22%5.83%6.57%7.61%9.28%10.38%10.83%11.66%10.56%8.64%5.94%1.51%
Udinese———0.01%—0.04%0.09%0.15%0.20%0.30%0.69%1.46%3.25%6.30%16.13%71.38%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+30.42%
Strong Edge
48.33%33.75%17.92%
Elo Value
Home Edge
225 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0109.13600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.49+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.1
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
Napoli, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.14 * Some Luck: 3.14 to 4.71 * Lucky: 4.71 to 6.28 * Wild Swing: 6.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.05 * Close: 2.05 to 3.07 * Off: 3.07 to 4.09 * Way Off: 4.09 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.13 * A Surprise: 1.13 to 1.81 * Several Surprises: 1.81 to 2.49 * Many Surprises: 2.49 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.95 points
Some Luck
03.9210
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.38
Pinpoint
02.566
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
96.23%
Napoli
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
4.79%
Atalanta
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.13

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.40
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Clear Edge
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
75%
Very Frequent
0%69%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Occasional
0%9%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.01
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.61
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.10
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.0930.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Napoli 99.88% 0.12%
Roma 99.79% 0.21%
Juventus 99.69% 0.31%
Inter Milan 98.77% 1.23%
AC Milan 97.64% 2.36%
Sampdoria 96.64% 3.36%
Hellas Verona 94.71% 5.29%
Como 93.02% 6.98%
Fiorentina 91.91% 8.09%
Torino 89.72% 10.28%
Avellino 86.84% 13.16%
Atalanta 83.91% 16.09%
Empoli 54.46% 45.54%
Brescia 53.52% 46.48%
Ascoli 53.31% 46.69%
Udinese 6.19% 93.81%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1986-09-14 Ascoli L 0-1 1847 1789 56.5% 32.8% 10.7% -13.1 0
1986-09-14 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1789 1847 10.7% 32.8% 56.5% +13.1 2
1986-09-14 Fiorentina W 2-1 1819 1859 47.4% 35.3% 17.3% +5.2 2
1986-09-14 @ Avellino L 1-2 1859 1819 17.3% 35.3% 47.4% -5.2 0
1986-09-14 Napoli L 0-1 1752 1884 36.6% 35.8% 27.7% -9.2 0
1986-09-14 @ Brescia W 1-0 1884 1752 27.7% 35.8% 36.6% +9.2 2
1986-09-14 Inter Milan W 1-0 1786 1855 44.2% 35.6% 20.2% +6.2 2
1986-09-14 @ Empoli L 0-1 1855 1786 20.2% 35.6% 44.2% -6.2 0
1986-09-14 Como D 0-0 1917 1843 58.0% 32.2% 9.8% -2.9 1
1986-09-14 @ Roma D 0-0 1843 1917 9.8% 32.2% 58.0% +2.9 1
1986-09-14 Atalanta W 1-0 1852 1853 51.3% 34.5% 14.2% +4.7 2
1986-09-14 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1853 1852 14.2% 34.5% 51.3% -4.7 0
1986-09-14 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1851 1825 53.8% 33.8% 12.4% +4.0 2
1986-09-14 @ Torino L 1-2 1825 1851 12.4% 33.8% 53.8% -4.0 0
1986-09-14 Juventus L 0-2 1818 1914 41.1% 35.8% 23.1% -18.9 0
1986-09-14 @ Udinese W 2-0 1914 1818 23.1% 35.8% 41.1% +18.9 2
1986-09-21 Empoli L 0-1 1802 1792 52.4% 34.2% 13.4% -12.3 2
1986-09-21 @ Ascoli W 1-0 1792 1802 13.4% 34.2% 52.4% +12.3 4
1986-09-21 Roma L 0-1 1848 1915 44.5% 35.6% 19.9% -10.7 0
1986-09-21 @ Atalanta W 1-0 1915 1848 19.9% 35.6% 44.5% +10.7 3
1986-09-21 Torino D 1-1 1845 1855 50.5% 34.7% 14.8% -1.8 2
1986-09-21 @ Como D 1-1 1855 1845 14.8% 34.7% 50.5% +1.8 3
1986-09-21 Sampdoria W 2-0 1854 1857 51.1% 34.5% 14.4% +9.0 2
1986-09-21 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1857 1854 14.4% 34.5% 51.1% -9.0 2
1986-09-21 AC Milan W 1-0 1821 1833 50.2% 34.8% 15.0% +5.0 2
1986-09-21 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1833 1821 15.0% 34.8% 50.2% -5.0 0
1986-09-21 Brescia W 4-0 1849 1743 60.5% 31.0% 8.6% +10.5 2
1986-09-21 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1743 1849 8.6% 31.0% 60.5% -10.5 0
1986-09-21 Avellino W 3-0 1932 1824 60.7% 30.9% 8.5% +8.0 4
1986-09-21 @ Juventus L 0-3 1824 1932 8.5% 30.9% 60.7% -8.0 2
1986-09-21 Udinese D 1-1 1893 1799 59.6% 31.4% 9.0% -2.7 3
1986-09-21 @ Napoli D 1-1 1799 1893 9.0% 31.4% 59.6% +2.7 1
1986-09-28 Atalanta W 2-1 1829 1838 50.5% 34.7% 14.8% +4.6 2
1986-09-28 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1838 1829 14.8% 34.7% 50.5% -4.6 0
1986-09-28 Napoli D 0-0 1816 1890 43.7% 35.7% 20.7% -1.2 3
1986-09-28 @ Avellino D 0-0 1890 1816 20.7% 35.7% 43.7% +1.2 4
1986-09-28 Fiorentina D 0-0 1733 1863 36.8% 35.8% 27.5% -0.5 1
1986-09-28 @ Brescia D 0-0 1863 1733 27.5% 35.8% 36.8% +0.5 3
1986-09-28 Juventus L 0-1 1804 1940 35.9% 35.7% 28.3% -9.1 4
1986-09-28 @ Empoli W 1-0 1940 1804 28.3% 35.7% 35.9% +9.1 6
1986-09-28 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1925 1826 60.0% 31.2% 8.8% -3.1 4
1986-09-28 @ Roma D 0-0 1826 1925 8.8% 31.2% 60.0% +3.1 3
1986-09-28 Como L 0-1 1848 1844 51.8% 34.4% 13.8% -12.2 2
1986-09-28 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1844 1848 13.8% 34.4% 51.8% +12.2 4
1986-09-28 Ascoli L 0-2 1857 1790 57.3% 32.5% 10.2% -25.0 3
1986-09-28 @ Torino W 2-0 1790 1857 10.2% 32.5% 57.3% +25.0 4
1986-09-28 Inter Milan D 0-0 1801 1860 45.5% 35.5% 19.0% -1.4 2
1986-09-28 @ Udinese D 0-0 1860 1801 19.0% 35.5% 45.5% +1.4 3
1986-10-05 Avellino L 0-1 1815 1815 51.4% 34.5% 14.1% -12.1 4
1986-10-05 @ Ascoli W 1-0 1815 1815 14.1% 34.5% 51.4% +12.1 5
1986-10-05 Empoli W 1-0 1833 1795 54.9% 33.4% 11.7% +4.0 2
1986-10-05 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1795 1833 11.7% 33.4% 54.9% -4.0 4
1986-10-05 Brescia W 1-0 1856 1732 61.9% 30.2% 7.9% +2.7 6
1986-10-05 @ Como L 0-1 1732 1856 7.9% 30.2% 61.9% -2.7 1
1986-10-05 Udinese L 0-1 1863 1800 57.0% 32.6% 10.4% -13.2 3
1986-10-05 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1800 1863 10.4% 32.6% 57.0% +13.2 4
1986-10-05 Sampdoria D 1-1 1829 1836 50.8% 34.6% 14.6% -1.8 4
1986-10-05 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1836 1829 14.6% 34.6% 50.8% +1.8 3
1986-10-05 Roma W 4-1 1861 1922 45.1% 35.5% 19.4% +13.8 5
1986-10-05 @ Inter Milan L 1-4 1922 1861 19.4% 35.5% 45.1% -13.8 4
1986-10-05 AC Milan D 0-0 1949 1833 61.3% 30.5% 8.2% -3.2 7
1986-10-05 @ Juventus D 0-0 1833 1949 8.2% 30.5% 61.3% +3.2 3
1986-10-05 Torino W 3-1 1892 1832 56.7% 32.7% 10.5% +5.9 6
1986-10-05 @ Napoli L 1-3 1832 1892 10.5% 32.7% 56.7% -5.9 3
1986-10-12 Inter Milan D 0-0 1836 1875 47.6% 35.2% 17.2% -1.7 4
1986-10-12 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1875 1836 17.2% 35.2% 47.6% +1.7 6
1986-10-12 Ascoli D 0-0 1837 1803 54.5% 33.5% 11.9% -2.5 3
1986-10-12 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1803 1837 11.9% 33.5% 54.5% +2.5 5
1986-10-12 Como D 1-1 1827 1859 48.3% 35.1% 16.6% -1.6 6
1986-10-12 @ Avellino D 1-1 1859 1827 16.6% 35.1% 48.3% +1.6 7
1986-10-12 Juventus D 1-1 1850 1946 41.0% 35.8% 23.2% -0.8 4
1986-10-12 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1946 1850 23.2% 35.8% 41.0% +0.8 8
1986-10-12 Brescia W 2-1 1908 1729 66.0% 27.7% 6.3% +1.9 6
1986-10-12 @ Roma L 1-2 1729 1908 6.3% 27.7% 66.0% -1.9 1
1986-10-12 Napoli L 1-2 1838 1898 45.2% 35.5% 19.2% -10.2 3
1986-10-12 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1898 1838 19.2% 35.5% 45.2% +10.2 8
1986-10-12 Empoli W 1-0 1826 1791 54.6% 33.5% 11.9% +4.1 5
1986-10-12 @ Torino L 0-1 1791 1826 11.9% 33.5% 54.6% -4.1 4
1986-10-12 Hellas Verona D 2-2 1813 1828 50.0% 34.8% 15.2% -1.3 5
1986-10-12 @ Udinese D 2-2 1828 1813 15.2% 34.8% 50.0% +1.3 5
1986-10-19 Juventus L 0-5 1806 1947 35.3% 35.7% 29.0% -39.4 5
1986-10-19 @ Ascoli W 5-0 1947 1806 29.0% 35.7% 35.3% +39.4 10
1986-10-19 Udinese W 1-0 1727 1812 42.4% 35.7% 21.8% +6.5 3
1986-10-19 @ Brescia L 0-1 1812 1727 21.8% 35.7% 42.4% -6.5 5
1986-10-19 Fiorentina D 0-0 1860 1849 52.4% 34.2% 13.4% -2.2 8
1986-10-19 @ Como D 0-0 1849 1860 13.4% 34.2% 52.4% +2.2 5
1986-10-19 AC Milan L 0-3 1787 1835 46.6% 35.4% 18.1% -30.4 4
1986-10-19 @ Empoli W 3-0 1835 1787 18.1% 35.4% 46.6% +30.4 6
1986-10-19 Avellino D 2-2 1829 1826 51.7% 34.4% 13.9% -1.4 6
1986-10-19 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1826 1829 13.9% 34.4% 51.7% +1.4 7
1986-10-19 Sampdoria W 1-0 1876 1827 55.8% 33.1% 11.1% +3.8 8
1986-10-19 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1827 1876 11.1% 33.1% 55.8% -3.8 3
1986-10-19 Atalanta D 2-2 1908 1835 57.9% 32.2% 9.9% -1.9 9
1986-10-19 @ Napoli D 2-2 1835 1908 9.9% 32.2% 57.9% +1.9 4
1986-10-19 Roma L 0-2 1830 1910 42.9% 35.7% 21.4% -19.6 5
1986-10-19 @ Torino W 2-0 1910 1830 21.4% 35.7% 42.9% +19.6 8
1986-10-26 Brescia W 2-0 1865 1734 62.5% 29.9% 7.7% +4.9 8
1986-10-26 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1734 1865 7.7% 29.9% 62.5% -4.9 3
1986-10-26 Como D 0-0 1766 1858 41.6% 35.8% 22.6% -1.0 6
1986-10-26 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1858 1766 22.6% 35.8% 41.6% +1.0 9
1986-10-26 Torino L 0-2 1837 1810 53.8% 33.8% 12.4% -23.7 4
1986-10-26 @ Atalanta W 2-0 1810 1837 12.4% 33.8% 53.8% +23.7 7
1986-10-26 Udinese D 1-1 1827 1805 53.4% 33.9% 12.7% -2.1 8
1986-10-26 @ Avellino D 1-1 1805 1827 12.7% 33.9% 53.4% +2.1 6
1986-10-26 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1851 1827 53.6% 33.8% 12.5% -12.5 5
1986-10-26 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1827 1851 12.5% 33.8% 53.6% +12.5 8
1986-10-26 Inter Milan D 1-1 1986 1880 60.5% 30.9% 8.5% -2.8 11
1986-10-26 @ Juventus D 1-1 1880 1986 8.5% 30.9% 60.5% +2.8 9
1986-10-26 Napoli L 0-1 1930 1906 53.6% 33.8% 12.5% -12.5 8
1986-10-26 @ Roma W 1-0 1906 1930 12.5% 33.8% 53.6% +12.5 11
1986-10-26 Empoli W 3-0 1824 1757 57.4% 32.5% 10.2% +9.6 5
1986-10-26 @ Sampdoria L 0-3 1757 1824 10.2% 32.5% 57.4% -9.6 4
1986-11-02 Fiorentina W 3-0 1870 1839 54.3% 33.6% 12.1% +11.3 10
1986-11-02 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1839 1870 12.1% 33.6% 54.3% -11.3 5
1986-11-02 Sampdoria L 0-1 1729 1833 40.1% 35.8% 24.1% -9.8 3
1986-11-02 @ Brescia W 1-0 1833 1729 24.1% 35.8% 40.1% +9.8 7
1986-11-02 Juventus D 0-0 1859 1984 37.5% 35.8% 26.8% -0.5 10
1986-11-02 @ Como D 0-0 1984 1859 26.8% 35.8% 37.5% +0.5 12
1986-11-02 Roma L 1-3 1747 1917 31.4% 35.4% 33.3% -13.4 4
1986-11-02 @ Empoli W 3-1 1917 1747 33.3% 35.4% 31.4% +13.4 10
1986-11-02 Atalanta W 2-1 1840 1813 53.9% 33.8% 12.3% +4.0 10
1986-11-02 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1813 1840 12.3% 33.8% 53.9% -4.0 4
1986-11-02 Inter Milan D 0-0 1918 1883 54.6% 33.5% 11.9% -2.5 12
1986-11-02 @ Napoli D 0-0 1883 1918 11.9% 33.5% 54.6% +2.5 10
1986-11-02 Avellino W 4-1 1834 1825 52.2% 34.2% 13.5% +10.5 9
1986-11-02 @ Torino L 1-4 1825 1834 13.5% 34.2% 52.2% -10.5 8
1986-11-02 Ascoli W 3-0 1808 1765 55.2% 33.3% 11.5% +10.8 8
1986-11-02 @ Udinese L 0-3 1765 1808 11.5% 33.3% 55.2% -10.8 6
1986-11-09 Fiorentina L 0-1 1754 1828 43.8% 35.7% 20.6% -10.5 6
1986-11-09 @ Ascoli W 1-0 1828 1754 20.6% 35.7% 43.8% +10.5 7
1986-11-09 Como D 0-0 1809 1858 46.4% 35.4% 18.2% -1.5 5
1986-11-09 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1858 1809 18.2% 35.4% 46.4% +1.5 11
1986-11-09 Brescia D 0-0 1815 1719 59.7% 31.4% 9.0% -3.1 9
1986-11-09 @ Avellino D 0-0 1719 1815 9.0% 31.4% 59.7% +3.1 4
1986-11-09 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1733 1844 39.3% 35.8% 24.9% +7.1 6
1986-11-09 @ Empoli L 0-1 1844 1733 24.9% 35.8% 39.3% -7.1 10
1986-11-09 Torino W 2-1 1886 1845 55.1% 33.3% 11.5% +3.7 12
1986-11-09 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1845 1886 11.5% 33.3% 55.1% -3.7 9
1986-11-09 Napoli L 1-3 1984 1916 57.5% 32.4% 10.1% -21.7 12
1986-11-09 @ Juventus W 3-1 1916 1984 10.1% 32.4% 57.5% +21.7 14
1986-11-09 Udinese W 4-0 1931 1818 61.0% 30.7% 8.3% +10.2 12
1986-11-09 @ Roma L 0-4 1818 1931 8.3% 30.7% 61.0% -10.2 8
1986-11-09 AC Milan W 3-0 1843 1881 47.6% 35.2% 17.2% +15.0 9
1986-11-09 @ Sampdoria L 0-3 1881 1843 17.2% 35.2% 47.6% -15.0 10
1986-11-23 Avellino W 2-0 1866 1812 56.3% 32.9% 10.8% +7.0 12
1986-11-23 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1812 1866 10.8% 32.9% 56.3% -7.0 9
1986-11-23 Torino W 2-0 1722 1841 38.3% 35.8% 25.9% +13.8 6
1986-11-23 @ Brescia L 0-2 1841 1722 25.9% 35.8% 38.3% -13.8 9
1986-11-23 Inter Milan D 1-1 1860 1889 48.5% 35.1% 16.4% -1.6 12
1986-11-23 @ Como D 1-1 1889 1860 16.4% 35.1% 48.5% +1.6 13
1986-11-23 Roma W 2-1 1838 1941 40.2% 35.8% 24.0% +6.5 9
1986-11-23 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1941 1838 24.0% 35.8% 40.2% -6.5 12
1986-11-23 Ascoli W 2-1 1837 1744 59.5% 31.5% 9.1% +3.0 12
1986-11-23 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1744 1837 9.1% 31.5% 59.5% -2.9 6
1986-11-23 Atalanta W 2-0 1962 1807 64.3% 28.8% 6.9% +4.4 14
1986-11-23 @ Juventus L 0-2 1807 1962 6.9% 28.8% 64.3% -4.4 5
1986-11-23 Empoli W 4-0 1938 1741 67.3% 26.9% 5.8% +6.7 16
1986-11-23 @ Napoli L 0-4 1741 1938 5.8% 26.9% 67.3% -6.7 6
1986-11-23 Sampdoria D 0-0 1808 1858 46.3% 35.4% 18.3% -1.5 9
1986-11-23 @ Udinese D 0-0 1858 1808 18.3% 35.4% 46.3% +1.5 10
1986-11-30 Brescia W 1-0 1803 1736 57.3% 32.5% 10.2% +3.5 7
1986-11-30 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1736 1803 10.2% 32.5% 57.3% -3.5 6
1986-11-30 Udinese W 3-1 1858 1807 56.0% 33.0% 11.0% +6.2 14
1986-11-30 @ Como L 1-3 1807 1858 11.0% 33.0% 56.0% -6.1 9
1986-11-30 Fiorentina W 1-0 1734 1845 39.2% 35.8% 24.9% +7.1 8
1986-11-30 @ Empoli L 0-1 1845 1734 24.9% 35.8% 39.2% -7.1 9
1986-11-30 Avellino D 0-0 1891 1805 58.9% 31.7% 9.3% -3.0 14
1986-11-30 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1805 1891 9.3% 31.7% 58.9% +3.0 10
1986-11-30 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1944 1840 60.4% 31.0% 8.6% -3.1 17
1986-11-30 @ Napoli D 0-0 1840 1944 8.6% 31.0% 60.4% +3.1 13
1986-11-30 Juventus W 3-0 1934 1967 48.2% 35.1% 16.7% +14.7 14
1986-11-30 @ Roma L 0-3 1967 1934 16.7% 35.1% 48.2% -14.7 14
1986-11-30 Ascoli W 1-0 1860 1741 61.5% 30.4% 8.1% +2.8 12
1986-11-30 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1741 1860 8.1% 30.4% 61.5% -2.8 6
1986-11-30 AC Milan D 0-0 1827 1873 46.7% 35.4% 17.9% -1.6 10
1986-11-30 @ Torino D 0-0 1873 1827 17.9% 35.4% 46.7% +1.6 13
1986-12-14 Napoli D 0-0 1875 1941 44.5% 35.6% 19.9% -1.3 14
1986-12-14 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1941 1875 19.9% 35.6% 44.5% +1.3 18
1986-12-14 Roma D 1-1 1738 1949 26.2% 34.6% 39.1% +0.6 7
1986-12-14 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1949 1738 39.1% 34.6% 26.2% -0.6 15
1986-12-14 Sampdoria W 3-1 1808 1862 45.8% 35.5% 18.7% +9.5 12
1986-12-14 @ Avellino L 1-3 1862 1808 18.7% 35.5% 45.8% -9.6 12
1986-12-14 Empoli W 3-0 1733 1741 50.6% 34.7% 14.8% +13.4 8
1986-12-14 @ Brescia L 0-3 1741 1733 14.8% 34.7% 50.6% -13.3 8
1986-12-14 Inter Milan L 0-1 1837 1888 46.3% 35.4% 18.3% -11.0 9
1986-12-14 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1888 1837 18.3% 35.4% 46.3% +11.0 16
1986-12-14 Como W 1-0 1843 1864 49.3% 34.9% 15.8% +5.1 15
1986-12-14 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1864 1843 15.8% 34.9% 49.3% -5.1 14
1986-12-14 Torino W 1-0 1952 1825 62.1% 30.1% 7.8% +2.7 16
1986-12-14 @ Juventus L 0-1 1825 1952 7.8% 30.1% 62.1% -2.7 10
1986-12-14 Atalanta W 1-0 1800 1806 50.8% 34.6% 14.6% +4.8 11
1986-12-14 @ Udinese L 0-1 1806 1800 14.6% 34.6% 50.8% -4.8 7
1986-12-21 Avellino D 1-1 1802 1817 49.9% 34.8% 15.3% -1.7 8
1986-12-21 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1817 1802 15.3% 34.8% 49.9% +1.7 13
1986-12-21 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1746 1848 40.3% 35.8% 23.9% -0.8 9
1986-12-21 @ Brescia D 1-1 1848 1746 23.9% 35.8% 40.3% +0.8 16
1986-12-21 Udinese D 0-0 1728 1805 43.2% 35.7% 21.1% -1.2 9
1986-12-21 @ Empoli D 0-0 1805 1728 21.1% 35.7% 43.2% +1.2 12
1986-12-21 Ascoli W 3-0 1899 1739 64.6% 28.6% 6.8% +6.2 18
1986-12-21 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1739 1899 6.8% 28.6% 64.6% -6.2 7
1986-12-21 Como W 2-1 1942 1859 58.7% 31.9% 9.5% +3.1 20
1986-12-21 @ Napoli L 1-2 1859 1942 9.5% 31.9% 58.7% -3.1 14
1986-12-21 AC Milan L 1-2 1948 1874 58.0% 32.2% 9.8% -12.6 15
1986-12-21 @ Roma W 2-1 1874 1948 9.8% 32.2% 58.0% +12.6 16
1986-12-21 Juventus W 4-1 1853 1955 40.3% 35.8% 23.8% +16.0 14
1986-12-21 @ Sampdoria L 1-4 1955 1853 23.8% 35.8% 40.3% -16.0 16
1986-12-21 Fiorentina W 2-1 1823 1826 51.0% 34.6% 14.4% +4.5 12
1986-12-21 @ Torino L 1-2 1826 1823 14.4% 34.6% 51.0% -4.5 9
1987-01-04 Brescia D 0-0 1733 1745 50.2% 34.8% 15.1% -2.0 8
1987-01-04 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1745 1733 15.1% 34.8% 50.2% +2.0 10
1987-01-04 Empoli L 0-1 1819 1726 59.4% 31.5% 9.1% -13.7 13
1987-01-04 @ Avellino W 1-0 1726 1819 9.1% 31.5% 59.4% +13.7 11
1987-01-04 AC Milan L 0-1 1856 1886 48.4% 35.1% 16.5% -11.5 14
1987-01-04 @ Como W 1-0 1886 1856 16.5% 35.1% 48.4% +11.5 18
1987-01-04 Napoli W 3-1 1822 1946 37.6% 35.8% 26.6% +12.1 11
1987-01-04 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1946 1822 26.6% 35.8% 37.6% -12.1 20
1987-01-04 Atalanta W 1-0 1905 1800 60.4% 31.0% 8.6% +3.0 20
1987-01-04 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1800 1905 8.6% 31.0% 60.4% -3.0 8
1987-01-04 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1939 1849 59.2% 31.6% 9.2% +3.0 18
1987-01-04 @ Juventus L 1-2 1849 1939 9.2% 31.6% 59.2% -3.0 16
1987-01-04 Roma D 0-0 1869 1936 44.5% 35.6% 19.9% -1.3 15
1987-01-04 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1936 1869 19.9% 35.6% 44.5% +1.3 16
1987-01-04 Torino D 1-1 1806 1827 49.4% 34.9% 15.7% -1.7 13
1987-01-04 @ Udinese D 1-1 1827 1806 15.7% 34.9% 49.4% +1.7 13
1987-01-11 Udinese D 0-0 1898 1805 59.5% 31.5% 9.1% -3.0 19
1987-01-11 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1805 1898 9.1% 31.5% 59.5% +3.0 14
1987-01-11 Fiorentina W 2-0 1797 1834 47.7% 35.2% 17.1% +10.3 10
1987-01-11 @ Atalanta L 0-2 1834 1797 17.1% 35.2% 47.7% -10.3 11
1987-01-11 Juventus D 0-0 1747 1942 28.2% 35.0% 36.8% +0.4 11
1987-01-11 @ Brescia D 0-0 1942 1747 36.8% 35.0% 28.2% -0.4 19
1987-01-11 Como D 0-0 1740 1845 40.0% 35.8% 24.2% -0.8 12
1987-01-11 @ Empoli D 0-0 1845 1740 24.2% 35.8% 40.0% +0.8 15
1987-01-11 Inter Milan W 2-1 1846 1908 45.0% 35.6% 19.5% +5.7 18
1987-01-11 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1908 1846 19.5% 35.6% 45.0% -5.7 20
1987-01-11 Ascoli W 3-0 1933 1731 67.7% 26.6% 5.7% +5.0 22
1987-01-11 @ Napoli L 0-3 1731 1933 5.7% 26.6% 67.7% -5.0 8
1987-01-11 Avellino W 3-0 1937 1805 62.5% 29.8% 7.6% +7.1 18
1987-01-11 @ Roma L 0-3 1805 1937 7.6% 29.8% 62.5% -7.1 13
1987-01-11 Sampdoria W 2-0 1829 1868 47.5% 35.2% 17.2% +10.4 15
1987-01-11 @ Torino L 0-2 1868 1829 17.2% 35.2% 47.5% -10.4 15
1987-01-18 AC Milan W 1-0 1726 1895 31.6% 35.4% 33.1% +8.5 10
1987-01-18 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1895 1726 33.1% 35.4% 31.6% -8.5 19
1987-01-18 Sampdoria W 1-0 1807 1857 46.3% 35.4% 18.2% +5.7 12
1987-01-18 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1857 1807 18.2% 35.4% 46.3% -5.7 15
1987-01-18 Roma D 0-0 1846 1944 40.7% 35.8% 23.5% -0.9 16
1987-01-18 @ Como D 0-0 1944 1846 23.5% 35.8% 40.7% +0.9 19
1987-01-18 Avellino W 2-0 1824 1798 53.8% 33.8% 12.4% +8.0 13
1987-01-18 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1798 1824 12.4% 33.8% 53.8% -8.0 13
1987-01-18 Torino W 2-1 1851 1839 52.5% 34.2% 13.3% +4.2 20
1987-01-18 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1839 1851 13.3% 34.2% 52.5% -4.2 15
1987-01-18 Empoli W 2-1 1902 1739 64.8% 28.4% 6.7% +2.1 22
1987-01-18 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1739 1902 6.7% 28.4% 64.8% -2.1 12
1987-01-18 Udinese W 2-1 1941 1808 62.6% 29.8% 7.6% +2.4 21
1987-01-18 @ Juventus L 1-2 1808 1941 7.6% 29.8% 62.6% -2.4 14
1987-01-18 Brescia W 2-1 1938 1748 66.9% 27.2% 6.0% +1.8 24
1987-01-18 @ Napoli L 1-2 1748 1938 6.0% 27.2% 66.9% -1.8 11
1987-02-01 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1886 1856 54.2% 33.7% 12.2% +4.1 21
1987-02-01 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1856 1886 12.2% 33.7% 54.2% -4.1 20
1987-02-01 Juventus D 1-1 1790 1944 33.6% 35.6% 30.8% -0.1 14
1987-02-01 @ Avellino D 1-1 1944 1790 30.8% 35.6% 33.6% +0.1 22
1987-02-01 Inter Milan L 0-1 1746 1904 32.9% 35.5% 31.5% -8.5 11
1987-02-01 @ Brescia W 1-0 1904 1746 31.5% 35.5% 32.9% +8.5 24
1987-02-01 Ascoli W 1-0 1737 1734 51.7% 34.4% 13.9% +4.6 14
1987-02-01 @ Empoli L 0-1 1734 1737 13.9% 34.4% 51.7% -4.7 10
1987-02-01 Atalanta W 4-2 1945 1813 62.5% 29.8% 7.6% +3.8 21
1987-02-01 @ Roma L 2-4 1813 1945 7.6% 29.8% 62.5% -3.8 12
1987-02-01 Fiorentina W 3-1 1851 1832 53.2% 34.0% 12.8% +7.1 17
1987-02-01 @ Sampdoria L 1-3 1832 1851 12.8% 34.0% 53.2% -7.1 13
1987-02-01 Como W 1-0 1835 1845 50.5% 34.7% 14.8% +4.9 17
1987-02-01 @ Torino L 0-1 1845 1835 14.8% 34.7% 50.5% -4.9 16
1987-02-01 Napoli L 0-3 1805 1940 36.2% 35.7% 28.1% -24.9 14
1987-02-01 @ Udinese W 3-0 1940 1805 28.1% 35.7% 36.2% +24.9 26
1987-02-08 Torino D 1-1 1730 1840 39.3% 35.8% 24.9% -0.7 11
1987-02-08 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1840 1730 24.9% 35.8% 39.3% +0.7 18
1987-02-08 AC Milan L 1-2 1809 1890 42.9% 35.7% 21.4% -9.8 12
1987-02-08 @ Atalanta W 2-1 1890 1809 21.4% 35.7% 42.9% +9.8 23
1987-02-08 Sampdoria D 0-0 1840 1858 49.6% 34.9% 15.5% -1.9 17
1987-02-08 @ Como D 0-0 1858 1840 15.5% 34.9% 49.6% +1.9 18
1987-02-08 Brescia W 4-3 1825 1737 59.0% 31.7% 9.3% +2.8 15
1987-02-08 @ Fiorentina L 3-4 1737 1825 9.3% 31.7% 59.0% -2.8 11
1987-02-08 Roma L 0-1 1852 1949 40.9% 35.8% 23.3% -10.0 20
1987-02-08 @ Hellas Verona W 1-0 1949 1852 23.3% 35.8% 40.9% +10.0 23
1987-02-08 Udinese W 2-0 1913 1780 62.6% 29.8% 7.6% +4.9 26
1987-02-08 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1780 1913 7.6% 29.8% 62.6% -4.9 14
1987-02-08 Empoli W 3-0 1944 1742 67.7% 26.6% 5.7% +5.0 24
1987-02-08 @ Juventus L 0-3 1742 1944 5.7% 26.6% 67.7% -5.0 14
1987-02-08 Avellino W 3-0 1965 1790 65.7% 27.9% 6.4% +5.7 28
1987-02-08 @ Napoli L 0-3 1790 1965 6.4% 27.9% 65.7% -5.7 14
1987-02-22 Juventus D 1-1 1900 1949 46.4% 35.4% 18.2% -1.4 24
1987-02-22 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1949 1900 18.2% 35.4% 46.4% +1.4 25
1987-02-22 Ascoli D 0-0 1784 1729 56.4% 32.9% 10.8% -2.7 15
1987-02-22 @ Avellino D 0-0 1729 1784 10.8% 32.9% 56.4% +2.7 12
1987-02-22 Como W 2-0 1734 1838 40.2% 35.8% 24.0% +13.1 13
1987-02-22 @ Brescia L 0-2 1838 1734 24.0% 35.8% 40.2% -13.1 17
1987-02-22 Atalanta D 0-0 1737 1799 45.0% 35.6% 19.5% -1.4 15
1987-02-22 @ Empoli D 0-0 1799 1737 19.5% 35.6% 45.0% +1.4 13
1987-02-22 Inter Milan W 1-0 1959 1918 55.1% 33.3% 11.5% +4.0 25
1987-02-22 @ Roma L 0-1 1918 1959 11.5% 33.3% 55.1% -4.0 26
1987-02-22 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1860 1842 53.2% 34.0% 12.9% -2.3 19
1987-02-22 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1842 1860 12.9% 34.0% 53.2% +2.3 21
1987-02-22 Napoli L 0-1 1841 1971 36.8% 35.8% 27.5% -9.2 18
1987-02-22 @ Torino W 1-0 1971 1841 27.5% 35.8% 36.8% +9.2 30
1987-02-22 Fiorentina D 1-1 1776 1827 46.1% 35.4% 18.4% -1.3 15
1987-02-22 @ Udinese D 1-1 1827 1776 18.4% 35.4% 46.1% +1.3 16
1987-03-01 Atalanta W 2-1 1732 1801 44.2% 35.6% 20.2% +5.8 14
1987-03-01 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1801 1732 20.2% 35.6% 44.2% -5.8 13
1987-03-01 Roma D 1-1 1748 1963 25.7% 34.5% 39.7% +0.6 14
1987-03-01 @ Brescia D 1-1 1963 1748 39.7% 34.5% 25.7% -0.6 26
1987-03-01 Avellino L 1-2 1825 1782 55.3% 33.3% 11.4% -12.1 17
1987-03-01 @ Como W 2-1 1782 1825 11.4% 33.3% 55.3% +12.1 17
1987-03-01 Torino W 2-0 1736 1831 41.1% 35.8% 23.1% +12.8 17
1987-03-01 @ Empoli L 0-2 1831 1736 23.1% 35.8% 41.1% -12.8 18
1987-03-01 Udinese W 3-1 1844 1774 57.6% 32.4% 10.1% +5.7 23
1987-03-01 @ Hellas Verona L 1-3 1774 1844 10.1% 32.4% 57.6% -5.7 15
1987-03-01 AC Milan L 1-2 1914 1899 52.8% 34.1% 13.1% -11.7 26
1987-03-01 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1899 1914 13.1% 34.1% 52.8% +11.7 26
1987-03-01 Fiorentina W 1-0 1950 1829 61.7% 30.3% 8.0% +2.7 27
1987-03-01 @ Juventus L 0-1 1829 1950 8.0% 30.3% 61.7% -2.7 16
1987-03-01 Sampdoria D 1-1 1980 1858 61.7% 30.3% 8.0% -2.9 31
1987-03-01 @ Napoli D 1-1 1858 1980 8.0% 30.3% 61.7% +2.9 20
1987-03-08 Empoli W 1-0 1910 1748 64.8% 28.5% 6.7% +2.2 28
1987-03-08 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1748 1910 6.7% 28.5% 64.8% -2.2 17
1987-03-08 Napoli L 0-1 1795 1977 29.8% 35.2% 35.0% -8.0 13
1987-03-08 @ Atalanta W 1-0 1977 1795 35.0% 35.2% 29.8% +8.0 33
1987-03-08 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1794 1850 45.7% 35.5% 18.8% -1.3 18
1987-03-08 @ Avellino D 1-1 1850 1794 18.8% 35.5% 45.7% +1.3 24
1987-03-08 Como L 1-2 1826 1813 52.7% 34.1% 13.2% -11.6 16
1987-03-08 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1813 1826 13.2% 34.1% 52.7% +11.6 19
1987-03-08 Ascoli D 2-2 1953 1737 68.7% 25.9% 5.4% -2.6 28
1987-03-08 @ Juventus D 2-2 1737 1953 5.4% 25.9% 68.7% +2.6 15
1987-03-08 Torino W 1-0 1962 1819 63.4% 29.3% 7.3% +2.4 28
1987-03-08 @ Roma L 0-1 1819 1962 7.3% 29.3% 63.4% -2.4 18
1987-03-08 Inter Milan W 3-1 1861 1902 47.3% 35.3% 17.5% +9.1 22
1987-03-08 @ Sampdoria L 1-3 1902 1861 17.5% 35.3% 47.3% -9.1 26
1987-03-08 Brescia W 1-0 1769 1748 53.3% 33.9% 12.8% +4.3 17
1987-03-08 @ Udinese L 0-1 1748 1769 12.8% 33.9% 53.3% -4.3 14
1987-03-15 AC Milan W 1-0 1744 1912 31.6% 35.4% 33.0% +8.5 16
1987-03-15 @ Brescia L 0-1 1912 1744 33.0% 35.4% 31.6% -8.5 28
1987-03-15 Ascoli D 0-0 1824 1740 58.8% 31.8% 9.4% -3.0 20
1987-03-15 @ Como D 0-0 1740 1824 9.4% 31.8% 58.8% +3.0 16
1987-03-15 Sampdoria D 0-0 1746 1870 37.6% 35.8% 26.7% -0.6 18
1987-03-15 @ Empoli D 0-0 1870 1746 26.7% 35.8% 37.6% +0.5 23
1987-03-15 Fiorentina D 2-2 1851 1814 54.7% 33.5% 11.8% -1.7 25
1987-03-15 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1814 1851 11.8% 33.5% 54.7% +1.7 17
1987-03-15 Juventus W 2-1 1893 1950 45.5% 35.5% 19.0% +5.6 28
1987-03-15 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1950 1893 19.0% 35.5% 45.5% -5.6 28
1987-03-15 Roma D 0-0 1985 1965 53.3% 33.9% 12.8% -2.3 34
1987-03-15 @ Napoli D 0-0 1965 1985 12.8% 33.9% 53.3% +2.4 29
1987-03-15 Atalanta D 0-0 1816 1787 54.1% 33.7% 12.2% -2.5 19
1987-03-15 @ Torino D 0-0 1787 1816 12.2% 33.7% 54.1% +2.5 14
1987-03-15 Avellino L 2-6 1773 1792 49.5% 34.9% 15.6% -29.6 17
1987-03-15 @ Udinese W 6-2 1792 1773 15.6% 34.9% 49.5% +29.6 20
1987-03-22 Udinese W 1-0 1743 1743 51.4% 34.5% 14.2% +4.7 18
1987-03-22 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1743 1743 14.2% 34.5% 51.4% -4.7 17
1987-03-22 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1790 1849 45.3% 35.5% 19.2% +6.0 16
1987-03-22 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1849 1790 19.2% 35.5% 45.3% -6.0 25
1987-03-22 Torino D 0-0 1822 1814 52.2% 34.3% 13.6% -2.2 21
1987-03-22 @ Avellino D 0-0 1814 1822 13.6% 34.3% 52.2% +2.2 20
1987-03-22 AC Milan D 2-2 1816 1904 42.0% 35.8% 22.2% -0.7 18
1987-03-22 @ Fiorentina D 2-2 1904 1816 22.2% 35.8% 42.0% +0.7 29
1987-03-22 Napoli W 1-0 1899 1983 42.5% 35.7% 21.8% +6.5 30
1987-03-22 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1983 1899 21.8% 35.7% 42.5% -6.5 34
1987-03-22 Como W 1-0 1945 1821 61.9% 30.2% 7.9% +2.7 30
1987-03-22 @ Juventus L 0-1 1821 1945 7.9% 30.2% 61.9% -2.7 20
1987-03-22 Empoli W 2-1 1967 1745 69.1% 25.7% 5.3% +1.5 31
1987-03-22 @ Roma L 1-2 1745 1967 5.3% 25.7% 69.1% -1.5 18
1987-03-22 Brescia W 2-0 1871 1752 61.5% 30.4% 8.1% +5.2 25
1987-03-22 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1752 1871 8.1% 30.4% 61.5% -5.2 16
1987-03-29 Sampdoria L 0-2 1905 1876 54.1% 33.7% 12.2% -23.8 29
1987-03-29 @ AC Milan W 2-0 1876 1905 12.2% 33.7% 54.1% +23.8 27
1987-03-29 Avellino W 2-0 1747 1820 43.8% 35.7% 20.5% +11.8 18
1987-03-29 @ Brescia L 0-2 1820 1747 20.5% 35.7% 43.8% -11.8 21
1987-03-29 Atalanta W 2-1 1819 1795 53.5% 33.9% 12.6% +4.0 22
1987-03-29 @ Como L 1-2 1795 1819 12.6% 33.9% 53.5% -4.0 16
1987-03-29 Ascoli W 2-1 1815 1748 57.4% 32.4% 10.2% +3.3 20
1987-03-29 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1748 1815 10.2% 32.4% 57.4% -3.3 18
1987-03-29 Empoli W 1-0 1843 1744 60.0% 31.2% 8.8% +3.0 27
1987-03-29 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1744 1843 8.8% 31.2% 60.0% -3.0 18
1987-03-29 Juventus W 2-1 1976 1948 54.0% 33.7% 12.2% +3.9 36
1987-03-29 @ Napoli L 1-2 1948 1976 12.2% 33.7% 54.0% -3.9 30
1987-03-29 Inter Milan D 0-0 1816 1905 41.9% 35.8% 22.4% -1.0 21
1987-03-29 @ Torino D 0-0 1905 1816 22.4% 35.8% 41.9% +1.0 31
1987-03-29 Roma W 2-1 1739 1969 24.1% 34.2% 41.7% +9.4 19
1987-03-29 @ Udinese L 1-2 1969 1739 41.7% 34.2% 24.1% -9.4 31
1987-04-05 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1744 1846 40.3% 35.8% 23.8% -9.9 18
1987-04-05 @ Ascoli W 1-0 1846 1744 23.8% 35.8% 40.3% +9.9 29
1987-04-05 Juventus D 0-0 1791 1944 33.8% 35.6% 30.6% -0.2 17
1987-04-05 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1944 1791 30.6% 35.6% 33.8% +0.2 31
1987-04-05 AC Milan W 2-1 1808 1881 43.8% 35.7% 20.6% +5.9 23
1987-04-05 @ Avellino L 1-2 1881 1808 20.6% 35.7% 43.8% -5.9 29
1987-04-05 Napoli D 0-0 1741 1980 23.1% 33.9% 43.0% +1.0 19
1987-04-05 @ Empoli D 0-0 1980 1741 43.0% 33.9% 23.1% -1.0 37
1987-04-05 Como W 1-0 1906 1823 58.7% 31.8% 9.4% +3.3 33
1987-04-05 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1823 1906 9.4% 31.8% 58.7% -3.3 22
1987-04-05 Fiorentina D 1-1 1959 1819 63.2% 29.5% 7.4% -3.1 32
1987-04-05 @ Roma D 1-1 1819 1959 7.4% 29.5% 63.2% +3.0 21
1987-04-05 Udinese D 0-0 1900 1748 64.0% 29.0% 7.0% -3.5 28
1987-04-05 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1748 1900 7.0% 29.0% 64.0% +3.5 20
1987-04-05 Brescia D 2-2 1815 1759 56.4% 32.8% 10.7% -1.8 22
1987-04-05 @ Torino D 2-2 1759 1815 10.7% 32.8% 56.4% +1.8 19
1987-04-12 Torino W 1-0 1875 1813 56.9% 32.6% 10.4% +3.6 31
1987-04-12 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1813 1875 10.4% 32.6% 56.9% -3.6 22
1987-04-12 Sampdoria L 0-1 1734 1896 32.5% 35.5% 32.0% -8.4 18
1987-04-12 @ Ascoli W 1-0 1896 1734 32.0% 35.5% 32.5% +8.4 30
1987-04-12 Inter Milan L 0-1 1814 1910 41.1% 35.8% 23.1% -10.0 23
1987-04-12 @ Avellino W 1-0 1910 1814 23.1% 35.8% 41.1% +10.0 35
1987-04-12 Atalanta W 1-0 1761 1791 48.4% 35.1% 16.5% +5.3 21
1987-04-12 @ Brescia L 0-1 1791 1761 16.5% 35.1% 48.4% -5.3 17
1987-04-12 Empoli D 1-1 1822 1742 58.4% 32.0% 9.6% -2.6 22
1987-04-12 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1742 1822 9.6% 32.0% 58.4% +2.6 20
1987-04-12 Napoli W 3-0 1856 1979 37.7% 35.8% 26.5% +20.3 31
1987-04-12 @ Hellas Verona L 0-3 1979 1856 26.5% 35.8% 37.7% -20.3 37
1987-04-12 Roma W 2-0 1944 1956 50.2% 34.8% 15.0% +9.3 33
1987-04-12 @ Juventus L 0-2 1956 1944 15.0% 34.8% 50.2% -9.3 32
1987-04-12 Como D 0-0 1751 1819 44.4% 35.6% 20.0% -1.3 21
1987-04-12 @ Udinese D 0-0 1819 1751 20.0% 35.6% 44.4% +1.3 23
1987-04-26 Udinese W 4-2 1786 1750 54.7% 33.5% 11.8% +5.9 19
1987-04-26 @ Atalanta L 2-4 1750 1786 11.8% 33.5% 54.7% -5.9 21
1987-04-26 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1821 1876 45.7% 35.5% 18.8% -1.3 24
1987-04-26 @ Como D 1-1 1876 1821 18.8% 35.5% 45.7% +1.3 32
1987-04-26 Brescia D 0-0 1745 1766 49.3% 34.9% 15.8% -1.9 21
1987-04-26 @ Empoli D 0-0 1766 1745 15.8% 34.9% 49.3% +1.9 22
1987-04-26 Fiorentina W 1-0 1920 1819 60.1% 31.2% 8.8% +3.0 37
1987-04-26 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1819 1920 8.8% 31.2% 60.1% -3.0 22
1987-04-26 AC Milan W 2-1 1959 1879 58.4% 32.0% 9.6% +3.1 39
1987-04-26 @ Napoli L 1-2 1879 1959 9.6% 32.0% 58.4% -3.1 31
1987-04-26 Ascoli D 1-1 1947 1726 69.0% 25.7% 5.3% -3.5 33
1987-04-26 @ Roma D 1-1 1726 1947 5.3% 25.7% 69.0% +3.5 19
1987-04-26 Avellino D 2-2 1905 1804 60.1% 31.2% 8.8% -2.1 31
1987-04-26 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1804 1905 8.8% 31.2% 60.1% +2.1 24
1987-04-26 Juventus D 1-1 1810 1953 35.0% 35.7% 29.3% -0.2 23
1987-04-26 @ Torino D 1-1 1953 1810 29.3% 35.7% 35.0% +0.2 34
1987-05-03 Roma W 4-1 1875 1943 44.4% 35.6% 20.0% +14.2 33
1987-05-03 @ AC Milan L 1-4 1943 1875 20.0% 35.6% 44.4% -14.2 33
1987-05-03 Inter Milan W 1-0 1730 1923 28.4% 35.0% 36.6% +9.1 21
1987-05-03 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1923 1730 36.6% 35.0% 28.4% -9.1 37
1987-05-03 Atalanta W 2-1 1806 1792 52.7% 34.1% 13.2% +4.2 26
1987-05-03 @ Avellino L 1-2 1792 1806 13.2% 34.1% 52.7% -4.2 19
1987-05-03 Napoli D 1-1 1819 1962 35.1% 35.7% 29.2% -0.3 25
1987-05-03 @ Como D 1-1 1962 1819 29.2% 35.7% 35.1% +0.3 40
1987-05-03 Torino D 0-0 1816 1809 52.0% 34.3% 13.7% -2.2 23
1987-05-03 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1809 1816 13.7% 34.3% 52.0% +2.2 24
1987-05-03 Brescia W 4-1 1878 1768 60.8% 30.8% 8.4% +6.6 34
1987-05-03 @ Hellas Verona L 1-4 1768 1878 8.4% 30.8% 60.8% -6.7 22
1987-05-03 Sampdoria W 2-1 1953 1903 56.0% 33.0% 11.0% +3.6 36
1987-05-03 @ Juventus L 1-2 1903 1953 11.0% 33.0% 56.0% -3.6 31
1987-05-03 Empoli W 3-0 1744 1743 51.5% 34.4% 14.0% +12.8 23
1987-05-03 @ Udinese L 0-3 1743 1744 14.0% 34.4% 51.5% -12.8 21
1987-05-10 Como D 0-0 1890 1819 57.6% 32.3% 10.0% -2.8 34
1987-05-10 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1819 1890 10.0% 32.3% 57.6% +2.9 26
1987-05-10 Inter Milan W 1-0 1788 1913 37.3% 35.8% 26.9% +7.5 21
1987-05-10 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1913 1788 26.9% 35.8% 37.3% -7.5 37
1987-05-10 Ascoli L 1-2 1761 1739 53.5% 33.9% 12.6% -11.8 22
1987-05-10 @ Brescia W 2-1 1739 1761 12.6% 33.9% 53.5% +11.8 23
1987-05-10 Avellino L 0-1 1730 1810 42.9% 35.7% 21.3% -10.4 21
1987-05-10 @ Empoli W 1-0 1810 1730 21.3% 35.7% 42.9% +10.4 28
1987-05-10 Juventus D 1-1 1884 1957 43.8% 35.7% 20.5% -1.1 35
1987-05-10 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1957 1884 20.5% 35.7% 43.8% +1.1 37
1987-05-10 Fiorentina D 1-1 1962 1814 63.7% 29.1% 7.1% -3.1 41
1987-05-10 @ Napoli D 1-1 1814 1962 7.1% 29.1% 63.7% +3.1 24
1987-05-10 Sampdoria L 0-3 1929 1899 54.2% 33.7% 12.2% -34.6 33
1987-05-10 @ Roma W 3-0 1899 1929 12.2% 33.7% 54.2% +34.6 33
1987-05-10 Udinese W 3-1 1812 1757 56.3% 32.9% 10.8% +6.1 26
1987-05-10 @ Torino L 1-3 1757 1812 10.8% 32.9% 56.3% -6.1 23
1987-05-17 Napoli D 1-1 1750 1959 26.5% 34.7% 38.8% +0.6 24
1987-05-17 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1959 1750 38.8% 34.7% 26.5% -0.6 42
1987-05-17 Roma W 2-1 1820 1894 43.6% 35.7% 20.7% +5.9 30
1987-05-17 @ Avellino L 1-2 1894 1820 20.7% 35.7% 43.6% -5.9 33
1987-05-17 Empoli L 0-1 1822 1720 60.2% 31.1% 8.7% -13.8 26
1987-05-17 @ Como W 1-0 1720 1822 8.7% 31.1% 60.2% +13.8 23
1987-05-17 Atalanta W 1-0 1817 1795 53.4% 33.9% 12.7% +4.3 26
1987-05-17 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1795 1817 12.7% 33.9% 53.4% -4.3 21
1987-05-17 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1906 1883 53.5% 33.9% 12.6% -2.4 38
1987-05-17 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1883 1906 12.6% 33.9% 53.5% +2.4 36
1987-05-17 Brescia W 3-2 1958 1750 68.2% 26.3% 5.6% +1.6 39
1987-05-17 @ Juventus L 2-3 1750 1958 5.6% 26.3% 68.2% -1.6 22
1987-05-17 Torino W 3-0 1934 1818 61.3% 30.5% 8.2% +7.7 35
1987-05-17 @ Sampdoria L 0-3 1818 1934 8.2% 30.5% 61.3% -7.7 26
1987-05-17 AC Milan D 0-0 1751 1887 36.0% 35.7% 28.2% -0.4 24
1987-05-17 @ Udinese D 0-0 1887 1751 28.2% 35.7% 36.0% +0.4 35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1987-05-17 8.68% Empoli 1720 1 @ Como 1822 0
2 1987-01-04 9.08% Empoli 1726 1 @ Avellino 1819 0
3 1986-12-21 9.83% AC Milan 1874 2 @ Roma 1948 1
4 1986-11-09 10.14% Napoli 1916 3 @ Juventus 1984 1
5 1986-09-28 10.22% Ascoli 1790 2 @ Torino 1857 0
6 1986-10-05 10.39% Udinese 1800 1 @ Fiorentina 1863 0
7 1986-09-14 10.68% Ascoli 1789 1 @ AC Milan 1847 0
8 1987-03-01 11.42% Avellino 1782 2 @ Como 1825 1
9 1987-05-10 12.16% Sampdoria 1899 3 @ Roma 1929 0
10 1987-03-29 12.24% Sampdoria 1876 2 @ AC Milan 1905 0
11 1986-10-26 12.40% Torino 1810 2 @ Atalanta 1837 0
12 1986-10-26 12.54% Hellas Verona 1827 1 @ Fiorentina 1851 0
13 1986-10-26 12.54% Napoli 1906 1 @ Roma 1930 0
14 1987-05-10 12.62% Ascoli 1739 2 @ Brescia 1761 1
15 1987-03-01 13.09% AC Milan 1899 2 @ Inter Milan 1914 1
16 1987-03-08 13.21% Como 1813 2 @ Fiorentina 1826 1
17 1986-09-21 13.39% Empoli 1792 1 @ Ascoli 1802 0
18 1986-09-28 13.83% Como 1844 1 @ Sampdoria 1848 0
19 1986-10-05 14.14% Avellino 1815 1 @ Ascoli 1815 0
20 1987-03-15 15.60% Avellino 1792 6 @ Udinese 1773 2
21 1987-01-04 16.47% AC Milan 1886 1 @ Como 1856 0
22 1986-10-19 18.05% AC Milan 1835 3 @ Empoli 1787 0
23 1986-12-14 18.30% Inter Milan 1888 1 @ Fiorentina 1837 0
24 1986-10-12 19.22% Napoli 1898 2 @ Sampdoria 1838 1
25 1986-09-21 19.85% Roma 1915 1 @ Atalanta 1848 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-10-19 39.38 Juventus 5 1947 29.04% @ Ascoli 0 1806 35.27% 35.69%
2 1987-05-10 34.64 Sampdoria 3 1899 12.16% @ Roma 0 1929 54.18% 33.66%
3 1986-10-19 30.39 AC Milan 3 1835 18.05% @ Empoli 0 1787 46.57% 35.38%
4 1987-03-15 29.59 Avellino 6 1792 15.60% @ Udinese 2 1773 49.50% 34.90%
5 1986-09-28 25.02 Ascoli 2 1790 10.22% @ Torino 0 1857 57.32% 32.47%
6 1987-02-01 24.90 Napoli 3 1940 28.11% @ Udinese 0 1805 36.16% 35.74%
7 1987-03-29 23.80 Sampdoria 2 1876 12.24% @ AC Milan 0 1905 54.06% 33.70%
8 1986-10-26 23.71 Torino 2 1810 12.40% @ Atalanta 0 1837 53.82% 33.78%
9 1986-11-09 21.71 Napoli 3 1916 10.14% @ Juventus 1 1984 57.45% 32.41%
10 1987-04-12 20.31 @ Hellas Verona 3 1856 37.70% Napoli 0 1979 26.51% 35.79%
11 1986-10-19 19.56 Roma 2 1910 21.36% @ Torino 0 1830 42.92% 35.72%
12 1986-09-14 18.88 Juventus 2 1914 23.14% @ Udinese 0 1818 41.07% 35.79%
13 1986-12-21 15.98 @ Sampdoria 4 1853 40.34% Juventus 1 1955 23.85% 35.81%
14 1986-11-09 15.03 @ Sampdoria 3 1843 47.58% AC Milan 0 1881 17.18% 35.24%
15 1986-11-30 14.70 @ Roma 3 1934 48.18% Juventus 0 1967 16.68% 35.14%
16 1987-05-03 14.17 @ AC Milan 4 1875 44.36% Roma 1 1943 20.03% 35.62%
17 1986-10-05 13.83 @ Inter Milan 4 1861 45.10% Roma 1 1922 19.35% 35.55%
18 1987-05-17 13.81 Empoli 1 1720 8.68% @ Como 0 1822 60.21% 31.10%
19 1986-11-23 13.78 @ Brescia 2 1722 38.27% Torino 0 1841 25.93% 35.80%
20 1987-01-04 13.66 Empoli 1 1726 9.08% @ Avellino 0 1819 59.41% 31.50%
21 1986-11-02 13.44 Roma 3 1917 33.27% @ Empoli 1 1747 31.35% 35.38%
22 1986-12-14 13.35 @ Brescia 3 1733 50.59% Empoli 0 1741 14.75% 34.67%
23 1986-10-05 13.21 Udinese 1 1800 10.39% @ Fiorentina 0 1863 57.02% 32.59%
24 1986-09-14 13.12 Ascoli 1 1789 10.68% @ AC Milan 0 1847 56.53% 32.79%
25 1987-02-22 13.11 @ Brescia 2 1734 40.16% Como 0 1838 24.03% 35.81%