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1972-73 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Juventus

45 points · 15th Title

Last Title: 1971-72

Relegated

Ternana

16 pts

Palermo · 17 pts

Atalanta · 24 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Lazio Roma

10.96 points above expected

43 points · 32.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ternana

8.76 points below expected

16 points · 24.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Juventus Champion 30 18 9 3 45 45 22 +23 39.20 +5.80
2 AC Milan 30 18 8 4 44 65 33 +32 39.02 +4.98
3 Lazio Roma 30 16 11 3 43 33 16 +17 32.04 +10.96
4 Fiorentina 30 16 5 9 37 39 26 +13 32.96 +4.04
5 Inter Milan 30 15 7 8 37 32 23 +9 36.90 +0.10
6 Torino 30 11 9 10 31 33 21 +12 34.70 -3.70
7 Bologna 30 11 9 10 31 33 31 +2 27.71 +3.29
8 Cagliari 30 9 11 10 29 26 28 -2 31.18 -2.18
9 Napoli 30 7 14 9 28 18 20 -2 28.65 -0.65
10 Hellas Verona 30 5 16 9 26 28 34 -6 25.73 +0.27
11 Roma 30 6 12 12 24 23 28 -5 30.61 -6.61
12 Sampdoria 30 5 14 11 24 16 25 -9 25.84 -1.84
13 Lanerossi Vicenza 30 7 10 13 24 15 31 -16 22.83 +1.17
14 Atalanta Relegated 30 5 14 11 24 16 33 -17 25.99 -1.99
15 Palermo Relegated 30 3 11 16 17 13 41 -28 21.87 -4.87
16 Ternana Relegated 30 3 10 17 16 14 37 -23 24.76 -8.76

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Juventus 2003 45 39.20 +5.80 95.4% 25 33 37 39 42 45 53
AC Milan 2002 44 39.02 +4.98 92.7% 25 33 36 39 42 45 52
Lazio Roma 1913 43 32.04 +10.96 99.8% 16 26 29 32 35 38 46
Torino 1878 31 34.70 -3.70 20.6% 18 28 32 35 37 41 50
Fiorentina 1877 37 32.96 +4.04 87.3% 18 26 30 33 36 39 47
Inter Milan 1858 37 36.90 +0.10 56.3% 22 30 34 37 40 43 51
Bologna 1821 31 27.71 +3.29 83.1% 14 21 25 28 30 34 43
Cagliari 1801 29 31.18 -2.18 33.5% 17 25 29 31 34 38 46
Napoli 1789 28 28.65 -0.65 48.3% 13 22 26 29 31 35 43
Hellas Verona 1747 26 25.73 +0.27 58.0% 11 19 23 26 28 32 42
Sampdoria 1747 24 25.84 -1.84 37.1% 12 19 23 26 28 32 40
Roma 1731 24 30.61 -6.61 6.1% 14 24 28 31 33 37 46
Lanerossi Vicenza 1677 24 22.83 +1.17 67.0% 8 17 20 23 25 29 36
Atalanta 1664 24 25.99 -1.99 35.1% 10 19 23 26 29 32 40
Ternana 1592 16 24.76 -8.76 1.8% 10 18 22 25 27 31 39
Palermo 1578 17 21.87 -4.87 12.7% 6 16 19 22 24 28 38

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ATA BOL CAG FIO HV IM JUV LV LR NAP PAL ROM SAM TER TOR
AC Milan —
1-1-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.79
1-1-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
4.14
2-0-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.51
2-0-0
4.12
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.99
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.97
1-1-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.21
Atalanta
0-1-1
1.49
 —
1-0-1
2.28
0-2-0
2.11
0-1-1
1.95
0-1-1
2.64
0-2-0
1.57
0-1-1
1.36
0-1-1
3.08
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.50
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.69
0-2-0
2.89
1-0-1
1.68
Bologna
1-0-1
1.53
1-0-1
2.97
 —
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
1.62
0-0-2
1.74
0-2-0
3.13
0-2-0
2.05
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.21
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
1.84
Cagliari
0-1-1
1.82
0-2-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.79
 —
0-1-1
2.72
0-2-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
3.58
0-0-2
2.33
1-1-0
2.77
2-0-0
3.62
0-2-0
2.76
2-0-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.13
Fiorentina
1-0-1
1.88
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
2.54
 —
2-0-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
1.94
2-0-0
3.62
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.76
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.84
0-1-1
2.64
Hellas Verona
1-0-1
1.20
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.46
0-2-0
2.14
0-0-2
2.17
 —
0-0-2
1.68
0-2-0
1.40
0-2-0
3.06
0-1-1
1.97
0-2-0
2.32
0-2-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.14
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
1.61
Inter Milan
0-0-2
2.42
0-2-0
3.72
0-1-1
3.68
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.62
 —
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
3.86
0-2-0
3.50
1-0-1
3.55
2-0-0
4.20
1-1-0
3.08
1-1-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
2.70
Juventus
0-2-0
2.74
1-1-0
3.97
2-0-0
3.58
2-0-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.33
0-2-0
3.91
2-0-0
2.81
 —
2-0-0
4.14
1-1-0
3.54
0-2-0
3.26
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
3.89
1-1-0
3.78
2-0-0
4.25
0-0-2
3.09
Lanerossi Vicenza
0-0-2
1.23
1-1-0
2.18
0-2-0
2.16
1-0-1
1.71
0-0-2
1.68
0-2-0
2.20
1-0-1
1.50
0-0-2
1.22
 —
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
2.10
1-1-0
2.68
0-2-0
1.69
0-2-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
1.59
Lazio Roma
1-0-1
1.94
1-1-0
3.31
0-2-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.33
0-2-0
1.78
0-1-1
1.75
2-0-0
3.19
 —
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
2.65
1-1-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.23
0-2-0
2.57
Napoli
0-1-1
1.63
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.37
0-2-0
2.95
1-0-1
1.73
0-2-0
2.03
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
1.94
 —
0-1-1
3.55
1-0-1
2.40
0-2-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.77
0-2-0
1.97
Palermo
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
2.14
0-1-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.67
1-0-1
1.57
0-2-0
2.24
0-0-2
1.16
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
1.55
1-1-0
1.74
 —
0-2-0
1.69
0-2-0
2.41
0-2-0
2.45
1-0-1
1.69
Roma
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.05
0-2-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
3.14
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
1.42
0-2-0
3.59
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
2.87
0-2-0
3.61
 —
1-1-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.04
Sampdoria
0-0-2
1.35
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.29
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
1.70
0-1-1
1.53
0-2-0
3.06
0-1-1
1.92
0-2-0
2.31
0-2-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.14
 —
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
1.79
Ternana
0-1-1
1.68
0-2-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.04
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
1.11
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.49
 —
0-1-1
2.02
Torino
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.44
0-1-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.68
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
2.20
1-0-1
3.71
0-2-0
2.69
0-2-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.60
1-0-1
3.22
0-0-2
3.51
1-1-0
3.25
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +5.6
Allowed 0.38 -8.2
Differential 0.92 +5.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%12.71%6.88%2.29%0.83%—42.71%
112.71%12.50%4.79%2.08%0.83%—32.92%
26.88%4.79%2.92%1.25%0.21%—16.04%
32.29%2.08%1.25%——0.42%6.04%
40.83%0.83%0.21%———1.88%
5+———0.42%——0.42%
Total42.71%32.92%16.04%6.04%1.88%0.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 0.94 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.08 1.45
CV 1.15 1.15 —
Max 9 9 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—————10.00%
113.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
210.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%——26.67%
33.33%16.67%3.33%——3.33%26.67%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———3.33%——3.33%
Total40.00%30.00%16.67%10.00%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 1.10 +1.07
SD 1.70 1.24 1.70
CV 0.79 1.13 —
Max 9 5 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%13.33%10.00%—3.33%—56.67%
113.33%16.67%6.67%———36.67%
2—3.33%————3.33%
3—————3.33%3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%33.33%16.67%—3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 1.10 -0.57
SD 0.73 1.77 1.50
CV 1.37 1.61 —
Max 3 9 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%——36.67%
113.33%13.33%3.33%10.00%——40.00%
26.67%—————6.67%
36.67%—3.33%———10.00%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total43.33%23.33%20.00%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.03 +0.07
SD 1.21 1.10 1.66
CV 1.10 1.06 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%——36.67%
123.33%16.67%3.33%———43.33%
23.33%—6.67%3.33%3.33%—16.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%33.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.93 -0.07
SD 0.82 1.08 1.23
CV 0.95 1.16 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%6.67%6.67%——30.00%
116.67%6.67%6.67%———30.00%
26.67%13.33%3.33%———23.33%
310.00%3.33%————13.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total43.33%33.33%16.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.87 +0.43
SD 1.15 0.94 1.76
CV 0.88 1.08 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%3.33%———30.00%
113.33%26.67%13.33%—3.33%—56.67%
2——6.67%3.33%——10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———3.33%——3.33%
Total33.33%33.33%23.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.13 -0.20
SD 0.98 1.07 0.96
CV 1.05 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%3.33%10.00%—3.33%—36.67%
123.33%3.33%6.67%———33.33%
213.33%3.33%—3.33%——20.00%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total60.00%13.33%20.00%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 0.77 +0.30
SD 1.08 1.10 1.60
CV 1.01 1.44 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—3.33%———13.33%
116.67%13.33%6.67%———36.67%
223.33%10.00%6.67%———40.00%
3——6.67%———6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total50.00%26.67%23.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.73 +0.77
SD 0.94 0.83 1.10
CV 0.63 1.13 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%13.33%10.00%——60.00%
120.00%6.67%3.33%———30.00%
2—3.33%3.33%3.33%——10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%23.33%20.00%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 1.03 -0.53
SD 0.68 1.10 1.28
CV 1.36 1.06 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%————26.67%
120.00%16.67%—3.33%——40.00%
210.00%20.00%————30.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total53.33%43.33%—3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 0.53 +0.57
SD 0.84 0.68 1.01
CV 0.77 1.28 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%20.00%6.67%3.33%——53.33%
113.33%23.33%————36.67%
26.67%—————6.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%43.33%6.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 0.67 -0.07
SD 0.77 0.76 1.23
CV 1.28 1.14 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%—60.00%
16.67%20.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
2—3.33%————3.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%40.00%20.00%10.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.43 1.37 -0.93
SD 0.57 1.16 1.31
CV 1.31 0.85 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%20.00%10.00%———56.67%
16.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%——23.33%
23.33%—6.67%———10.00%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total36.67%36.67%23.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 0.93 -0.17
SD 1.10 0.87 1.26
CV 1.44 0.93 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
033.33%23.33%3.33%———60.00%
13.33%13.33%—6.67%3.33%—26.67%
26.67%6.67%————13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%43.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 0.83 -0.30
SD 0.73 1.02 1.12
CV 1.37 1.22 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%23.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%—66.67%
1—6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—20.00%
26.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%16.67%10.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.47 1.23 -0.77
SD 0.73 1.22 1.33
CV 1.56 0.99 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%23.33%3.33%———50.00%
1—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
213.33%6.67%3.33%———23.33%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total46.67%36.67%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 0.70 +0.40
SD 1.27 0.75 1.50
CV 1.15 1.07 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lazio Roma 43 32.04 +10.96
2 Juventus 45 39.20 +5.80
3 AC Milan 44 39.02 +4.98
4 Fiorentina 37 32.96 +4.04
5 Bologna 31 27.71 +3.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ternana 16 24.76 -8.76
2 Roma 24 30.61 -6.61
3 Palermo 17 21.87 -4.87
4 Torino 31 34.70 -3.70
5 Cagliari 29 31.18 -2.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lazio Roma 8 Feb 18 – Apr 22 1 in 698
2 Lanerossi Vicenza 2 Jan 28 – Jan 31 1 in 131
3 Bologna 3 Feb 4 – Feb 18 1 in 57
4 Torino 3 Feb 18 – Mar 11 1 in 52
5 AC Milan 5 Mar 4 – Apr 8 1 in 43

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ternana 5 Feb 18 – Mar 25 1 in 69
2 Palermo 5 Apr 8 – May 6 1 in 62
3 Inter Milan 3 Mar 11 – Mar 25 1 in 35
4 Atalanta 3 May 6 – May 20 1 in 27
5 Sampdoria 3 Sep 24 – Oct 15 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lazio Roma 13 Sep 24 – Jan 7 1 in 150
2 Juventus 14 Nov 12 – Feb 18 1 in 19
3 Atalanta 6 Dec 17 – Jan 28 1 in 16
4 Napoli 6 Mar 11 – Apr 22 1 in 15
5 Sampdoria 5 Oct 29 – Nov 26 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Roma 11 Dec 17 – Mar 11 1 in 124
2 Ternana 16 Jan 21 – May 20 1 in 50
3 Palermo 19 Dec 23 – May 20 1 in 45
4 Napoli 11 Nov 12 – Jan 28 1 in 43
5 Inter Milan 4 Jan 28 – Feb 11 1 in 34

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Juventus36.26%27.13%16.06%9.57%5.01%2.84%1.64%0.70%0.38%0.24%0.10%0.04%0.02%0.01%——
AC Milan37.37%25.70%16.25%9.43%5.10%2.95%1.54%0.85%0.41%0.19%0.11%0.07%0.03%———
Lazio Roma1.77%4.32%7.90%11.37%14.33%13.84%12.66%9.84%7.85%5.89%4.20%2.72%1.55%1.13%0.51%0.12%
Fiorentina2.72%6.45%10.13%13.88%14.70%13.49%11.46%8.73%6.26%4.65%3.21%2.15%1.01%0.67%0.35%0.14%
Inter Milan14.28%19.46%20.96%16.05%11.75%6.92%4.82%2.73%1.51%0.65%0.49%0.24%0.10%0.02%0.02%—
Torino5.74%11.38%16.21%17.46%14.38%11.57%8.34%5.72%3.62%2.47%1.47%0.82%0.46%0.21%0.12%0.03%
Bologna0.07%0.37%1.00%2.25%3.82%6.34%7.69%10.20%11.71%12.27%11.09%9.64%9.13%7.35%4.64%2.43%
Cagliari0.96%2.43%4.87%7.93%11.00%12.67%13.34%11.94%10.16%8.21%6.13%4.22%2.97%1.78%0.90%0.49%
Napoli0.12%0.60%1.56%3.17%5.05%7.87%9.50%12.18%12.58%11.28%10.55%8.79%6.64%5.26%3.41%1.44%
Hellas Verona0.01%0.11%0.32%0.74%1.44%2.65%3.92%5.97%8.25%10.67%11.49%12.71%13.09%11.67%9.83%7.13%
Roma0.64%1.83%3.91%6.10%8.90%11.61%13.16%12.93%11.06%8.94%7.40%5.39%3.88%2.57%1.13%0.55%
Sampdoria0.03%0.10%0.29%0.75%1.65%2.68%4.07%5.67%8.28%9.41%11.85%13.13%12.85%12.37%10.11%6.76%
Lanerossi Vicenza——0.05%0.15%0.29%0.37%0.99%1.87%2.70%4.32%6.55%8.92%12.49%16.26%21.67%23.37%
Atalanta0.03%0.09%0.33%0.85%1.54%2.40%3.83%5.88%7.90%10.31%11.83%12.41%13.19%11.75%10.52%7.14%
Palermo—0.01%0.03%0.05%0.13%0.29%0.59%1.11%1.81%2.83%4.35%6.80%9.22%13.57%21.69%37.52%
Ternana—0.02%0.13%0.25%0.91%1.51%2.45%3.68%5.52%7.67%9.18%11.95%13.37%15.38%15.10%12.88%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.58%
Clear Edge
44.58%35.42%20.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
217 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
087.20600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Juventus, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.12 * Some Luck: 3.12 to 4.68 * Lucky: 4.68 to 6.24 * Wild Swing: 6.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.73 * Close: 1.73 to 2.59 * Off: 2.59 to 3.46 * Way Off: 3.46 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.23 * A Surprise: 1.23 to 1.96 * Several Surprises: 1.96 to 2.7 * Many Surprises: 2.7 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.86 points
Lucky
03.9010
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.62
Pinpoint
02.165
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.83%
Lazio Roma
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
1.78%
Ternana
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.23

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.65
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
92%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
73%
Very Frequent
0%70%100%
Blowouts
Expected 9%
8%
Occasional
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.55
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.05
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.00
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.081
Well Within Noise
00.1060.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AC Milan 100% —
Juventus 99.99% 0.01%
Inter Milan 99.96% 0.04%
Torino 99.64% 0.36%
Fiorentina 98.84% 1.16%
Lazio Roma 98.24% 1.76%
Cagliari 96.83% 3.17%
Roma 95.75% 4.25%
Napoli 89.89% 10.11%
Bologna 85.58% 14.42%
Hellas Verona 71.37% 28.63%
Sampdoria 70.76% 29.24%
Atalanta 70.59% 29.41%
Ternana 56.64% 43.36%
Lanerossi Vicenza 38.70% 61.30%
Palermo 27.22% 72.78%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1972-09-24 Palermo W 4-0 1888 1710 60.9% 32.8% 6.3% +15.7 2
1972-09-24 @ AC Milan L 0-4 1710 1888 6.3% 32.8% 60.9% -15.7 0
1972-09-24 Juventus L 0-2 1751 1889 30.3% 37.4% 32.3% -28.2 0
1972-09-24 @ Bologna W 2-0 1889 1751 32.3% 37.4% 30.3% +28.2 2
1972-09-24 Atalanta D 0-0 1854 1750 55.9% 35.0% 9.1% -5.2 1
1972-09-24 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1750 1854 9.1% 35.0% 55.9% +5.2 1
1972-09-24 Roma D 2-2 1730 1816 37.2% 37.6% 25.2% -0.7 1
1972-09-24 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1816 1730 25.2% 37.6% 37.2% +0.7 1
1972-09-24 Inter Milan D 0-0 1731 1887 27.9% 37.2% 34.9% +0.6 1
1972-09-24 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1887 1731 34.9% 37.2% 27.9% -0.6 1
1972-09-24 Ternana W 1-0 1782 1764 48.8% 36.8% 14.4% +9.1 2
1972-09-24 @ Napoli L 0-1 1764 1782 14.4% 36.8% 48.8% -9.1 0
1972-09-24 Fiorentina L 0-1 1758 1821 40.1% 37.5% 22.4% -18.2 0
1972-09-24 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1821 1758 22.4% 37.5% 40.1% +18.2 2
1972-09-24 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-0 1854 1694 59.7% 33.4% 6.9% +13.2 2
1972-09-24 @ Torino L 0-3 1694 1854 6.9% 33.4% 59.7% -13.2 0
1972-10-01 Napoli D 0-0 1755 1791 43.3% 37.4% 19.3% -2.4 2
1972-10-01 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1791 1755 19.3% 37.4% 43.3% +2.4 3
1972-10-01 Lazio Roma L 0-1 1840 1731 56.2% 34.9% 8.9% -24.4 2
1972-10-01 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1731 1840 8.9% 34.9% 56.2% +24.4 3
1972-10-01 Bologna D 0-0 1886 1723 59.9% 33.3% 6.8% -6.1 2
1972-10-01 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1723 1886 6.8% 33.3% 59.9% +6.1 1
1972-10-01 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1917 1729 61.5% 32.5% 6.0% -5.7 3
1972-10-01 @ Juventus D 1-1 1729 1917 6.0% 32.5% 61.5% +5.7 2
1972-10-01 Torino W 2-1 1694 1867 25.7% 37.0% 37.3% +16.1 2
1972-10-01 @ Palermo L 1-2 1867 1694 37.3% 37.0% 25.7% -16.1 2
1972-10-01 Sampdoria W 3-1 1817 1740 53.9% 35.6% 10.5% +11.5 3
1972-10-01 @ Roma L 1-3 1740 1817 10.5% 35.6% 53.9% -11.5 0
1972-10-01 AC Milan D 0-0 1755 1904 28.8% 37.3% 34.0% +0.5 1
1972-10-01 @ Ternana D 0-0 1904 1755 34.0% 37.3% 28.8% -0.5 3
1972-10-01 Cagliari W 1-0 1681 1849 26.3% 37.1% 36.6% +16.9 2
1972-10-01 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1849 1681 36.6% 37.1% 26.3% -16.9 1
1972-10-15 Atalanta W 9-3 1904 1753 59.1% 33.7% 7.2% +16.2 5
1972-10-15 @ AC Milan L 3-9 1753 1904 7.2% 33.7% 59.1% -16.1 2
1972-10-15 Roma L 1-3 1729 1829 35.5% 37.5% 26.9% -27.2 1
1972-10-15 @ Bologna W 3-1 1829 1729 26.9% 37.5% 35.5% +27.2 5
1972-10-15 Palermo W 2-0 1832 1710 57.1% 34.5% 8.3% +10.9 3
1972-10-15 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1710 1832 8.3% 34.5% 57.1% -10.9 2
1972-10-15 Fiorentina L 1-2 1735 1815 38.0% 37.6% 24.4% -16.5 2
1972-10-15 @ Hellas Verona W 2-1 1815 1735 24.4% 37.6% 38.0% +16.5 4
1972-10-15 Juventus D 1-1 1756 1911 27.9% 37.2% 34.9% +0.6 4
1972-10-15 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1911 1756 34.9% 37.2% 27.9% -0.6 4
1972-10-15 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-0 1793 1698 55.2% 35.2% 9.5% +12.3 5
1972-10-15 @ Napoli L 0-2 1698 1793 9.5% 35.2% 55.2% -12.3 2
1972-10-15 Inter Milan L 0-1 1728 1880 28.4% 37.3% 34.4% -14.3 0
1972-10-15 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1880 1728 34.4% 37.3% 28.4% +14.3 4
1972-10-15 Ternana W 2-0 1851 1755 55.2% 35.2% 9.5% +12.3 4
1972-10-15 @ Torino L 0-2 1755 1851 9.5% 35.2% 55.2% -12.3 1
1972-10-29 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1737 1718 48.9% 36.8% 14.4% -21.4 2
1972-10-29 @ Atalanta W 1-0 1718 1737 14.4% 36.8% 48.9% +21.4 4
1972-10-29 Torino D 0-0 1832 1863 43.8% 37.3% 18.9% -2.4 5
1972-10-29 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1863 1832 18.9% 37.3% 43.8% +2.5 5
1972-10-29 Cagliari W 1-0 1895 1843 51.8% 36.2% 12.0% +7.9 6
1972-10-29 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1843 1895 12.0% 36.2% 51.8% -7.9 3
1972-10-29 AC Milan D 2-2 1911 1920 46.2% 37.1% 16.7% -2.0 5
1972-10-29 @ Juventus D 2-2 1920 1911 16.7% 37.1% 46.2% +2.0 6
1972-10-29 Sampdoria D 0-0 1699 1714 45.6% 37.2% 17.2% -2.8 3
1972-10-29 @ Palermo D 0-0 1714 1699 17.2% 37.2% 45.6% +2.8 1
1972-10-29 Napoli W 1-0 1856 1806 51.7% 36.2% 12.1% +8.0 7
1972-10-29 @ Roma L 0-1 1806 1856 12.1% 36.2% 51.7% -8.0 5
1972-10-29 Bologna W 2-0 1743 1702 50.9% 36.4% 12.7% +15.6 3
1972-10-29 @ Ternana L 0-2 1702 1743 12.7% 36.4% 50.9% -15.6 1
1972-10-29 Lazio Roma L 1-2 1686 1756 39.2% 37.5% 23.2% -16.8 2
1972-10-29 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1756 1686 23.2% 37.5% 39.2% +16.9 6
1972-11-05 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-0 1922 1669 65.3% 30.2% 4.5% +5.7 8
1972-11-05 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1669 1922 4.5% 30.2% 65.3% -5.7 2
1972-11-05 Palermo W 3-0 1686 1696 46.1% 37.1% 16.8% +27.8 3
1972-11-05 @ Bologna L 0-3 1696 1686 16.8% 37.1% 46.1% -27.8 3
1972-11-05 Roma D 2-2 1835 1864 44.1% 37.3% 18.6% -1.7 4
1972-11-05 @ Cagliari D 2-2 1864 1835 18.6% 37.3% 44.1% +1.7 8
1972-11-05 Inter Milan L 0-1 1740 1902 27.0% 37.1% 35.9% -13.9 4
1972-11-05 @ Hellas Verona W 1-0 1902 1740 35.9% 37.1% 27.0% +13.8 8
1972-11-05 Ternana W 2-1 1773 1759 48.5% 36.8% 14.7% +8.7 8
1972-11-05 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1759 1773 14.7% 36.8% 48.5% -8.7 3
1972-11-05 Fiorentina W 3-0 1798 1829 43.8% 37.3% 18.9% +30.2 7
1972-11-05 @ Napoli L 0-3 1829 1798 18.9% 37.3% 43.8% -30.2 5
1972-11-05 Atalanta D 0-0 1717 1715 47.2% 37.0% 15.8% -3.2 2
1972-11-05 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1715 1717 15.8% 37.0% 47.2% +3.2 3
1972-11-05 Juventus W 2-1 1866 1909 42.5% 37.4% 20.1% +10.8 7
1972-11-05 @ Torino L 1-2 1909 1866 20.1% 37.4% 42.5% -10.8 5
1972-11-12 Torino W 1-0 1718 1877 27.6% 37.2% 35.2% +16.5 5
1972-11-12 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1877 1718 35.2% 37.2% 27.6% -16.5 7
1972-11-12 AC Milan W 3-1 1799 1928 31.6% 37.4% 30.9% +24.8 7
1972-11-12 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1928 1799 30.9% 37.4% 31.6% -24.8 8
1972-11-12 Napoli W 2-0 1916 1828 54.7% 35.4% 9.9% +12.7 10
1972-11-12 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1828 1916 9.9% 35.4% 54.7% -12.7 7
1972-11-12 Sampdoria D 1-1 1898 1713 61.2% 32.6% 6.1% -5.7 6
1972-11-12 @ Juventus D 1-1 1713 1898 6.1% 32.6% 61.2% +5.7 3
1972-11-12 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1669 1726 40.9% 37.5% 21.6% -1.8 4
1972-11-12 @ Palermo D 0-0 1726 1669 21.6% 37.5% 40.9% +1.8 5
1972-11-12 Lazio Roma L 0-1 1865 1782 54.3% 35.5% 10.2% -23.6 8
1972-11-12 @ Roma W 1-0 1782 1865 10.2% 35.5% 54.3% +23.6 10
1972-11-12 Cagliari D 1-1 1750 1833 37.7% 37.6% 24.8% -1.1 4
1972-11-12 @ Ternana D 1-1 1833 1750 24.8% 37.6% 37.7% +1.1 5
1972-11-12 Bologna D 0-0 1663 1714 41.6% 37.5% 20.9% -2.0 3
1972-11-12 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1714 1663 20.9% 37.5% 41.6% +2.0 4
1972-11-19 Inter Milan W 3-2 1903 1929 44.4% 37.3% 18.3% +9.7 10
1972-11-19 @ AC Milan L 2-3 1929 1903 18.3% 37.3% 44.4% -9.7 10
1972-11-19 Atalanta W 1-0 1716 1735 45.2% 37.2% 17.6% +10.5 6
1972-11-19 @ Bologna L 0-1 1735 1716 17.6% 37.2% 45.2% -10.5 5
1972-11-19 Fiorentina D 2-2 1834 1824 48.1% 36.9% 15.0% -2.3 6
1972-11-19 @ Cagliari D 2-2 1824 1834 15.0% 36.9% 48.1% +2.3 8
1972-11-19 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1728 1661 53.0% 35.9% 11.1% -4.5 6
1972-11-19 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1661 1728 11.1% 35.9% 53.0% +4.5 4
1972-11-19 Palermo W 2-0 1806 1667 58.3% 34.1% 7.7% +10.1 12
1972-11-19 @ Lazio Roma L 0-2 1667 1806 7.7% 34.1% 58.3% -10.1 4
1972-11-19 Juventus D 1-1 1815 1892 38.4% 37.6% 24.0% -1.2 8
1972-11-19 @ Napoli D 1-1 1892 1815 24.0% 37.6% 38.4% +1.2 7
1972-11-19 Ternana D 0-0 1719 1749 44.0% 37.3% 18.7% -2.5 4
1972-11-19 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1749 1719 18.7% 37.3% 44.0% +2.5 5
1972-11-19 Roma W 2-0 1860 1842 48.9% 36.8% 14.4% +17.1 9
1972-11-19 @ Torino L 0-2 1842 1860 14.4% 36.8% 48.9% -17.1 8
1972-11-26 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1724 1816 36.6% 37.6% 25.8% -0.9 6
1972-11-26 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1816 1724 25.8% 37.6% 36.6% +0.9 13
1972-11-26 Bologna W 3-0 1826 1727 55.5% 35.1% 9.3% +17.5 10
1972-11-26 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1727 1826 9.3% 35.1% 55.5% -17.5 6
1972-11-26 Torino W 2-0 1919 1877 51.0% 36.4% 12.7% +15.5 12
1972-11-26 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1877 1919 12.7% 36.4% 51.0% -15.5 9
1972-11-26 Cagliari W 2-0 1894 1832 52.6% 36.0% 11.4% +14.3 9
1972-11-26 @ Juventus L 0-2 1832 1894 11.4% 36.0% 52.6% -14.3 6
1972-11-26 Napoli W 1-0 1657 1814 27.7% 37.2% 35.1% +16.4 6
1972-11-26 @ Palermo L 0-1 1814 1657 35.1% 37.2% 27.7% -16.4 8
1972-11-26 AC Milan D 0-0 1825 1912 37.1% 37.6% 25.4% -1.1 9
1972-11-26 @ Roma D 0-0 1912 1825 25.4% 37.6% 37.1% +1.1 11
1972-11-26 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1751 1723 49.8% 36.6% 13.6% +8.2 7
1972-11-26 @ Ternana L 1-2 1723 1751 13.6% 36.6% 49.8% -8.2 6
1972-11-26 Sampdoria D 0-0 1666 1717 41.6% 37.5% 20.9% -2.0 5
1972-11-26 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1717 1666 20.9% 37.5% 41.6% +2.0 5
1972-12-03 Sampdoria W 3-1 1914 1719 61.9% 32.3% 5.9% +6.6 13
1972-12-03 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1719 1914 5.9% 32.3% 61.9% -6.6 5
1972-12-03 Inter Milan D 0-0 1723 1935 21.3% 36.5% 42.2% +2.0 7
1972-12-03 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1935 1723 42.2% 36.5% 21.3% -2.0 13
1972-12-03 Torino W 1-0 1709 1862 28.3% 37.2% 34.4% +16.2 8
1972-12-03 @ Bologna L 0-1 1862 1709 34.4% 37.2% 28.3% -16.2 9
1972-12-03 Fiorentina W 2-1 1908 1844 52.8% 35.9% 11.2% +7.1 11
1972-12-03 @ Juventus L 1-2 1844 1908 11.2% 35.9% 52.8% -7.1 10
1972-12-03 Cagliari W 2-1 1816 1818 46.9% 37.0% 16.0% +9.3 15
1972-12-03 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1818 1816 16.0% 37.0% 46.9% -9.3 6
1972-12-03 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1798 1715 54.3% 35.5% 10.2% -4.3 9
1972-12-03 @ Napoli D 1-1 1715 1798 10.2% 35.5% 54.3% +4.3 7
1972-12-03 Roma L 1-4 1760 1824 40.1% 37.5% 22.4% -42.0 7
1972-12-03 @ Ternana W 4-1 1824 1760 22.4% 37.5% 40.1% +42.0 11
1972-12-03 Palermo D 1-1 1664 1673 46.1% 37.1% 16.8% -2.6 6
1972-12-03 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1673 1664 16.8% 37.1% 46.1% +2.6 7
1972-12-10 AC Milan L 0-1 1809 1920 34.0% 37.5% 28.5% -16.1 6
1972-12-10 @ Cagliari W 1-0 1920 1809 28.5% 37.5% 34.0% +16.1 15
1972-12-10 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1836 1661 60.7% 32.9% 6.4% +4.5 12
1972-12-10 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1661 1836 6.4% 32.9% 60.7% -4.5 6
1972-12-10 Bologna D 0-0 1719 1725 46.5% 37.1% 16.4% -3.0 8
1972-12-10 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1725 1719 16.4% 37.1% 46.5% +3.0 9
1972-12-10 Ternana W 4-0 1933 1718 63.1% 31.6% 5.3% +13.1 15
1972-12-10 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1718 1933 5.3% 31.6% 63.1% -13.1 7
1972-12-10 Juventus L 0-1 1676 1915 18.6% 35.9% 45.5% -10.6 7
1972-12-10 @ Palermo W 1-0 1915 1676 45.5% 35.9% 18.6% +10.6 13
1972-12-10 Atalanta W 2-0 1865 1725 58.4% 34.0% 7.6% +10.0 13
1972-12-10 @ Roma L 0-2 1725 1865 7.6% 34.0% 58.4% -10.0 7
1972-12-10 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1712 1826 33.6% 37.5% 28.8% -0.4 6
1972-12-10 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1826 1712 28.8% 37.5% 33.6% +0.4 16
1972-12-10 Napoli D 0-0 1846 1793 51.8% 36.2% 12.0% -4.3 10
1972-12-10 @ Torino D 0-0 1793 1846 12.0% 36.2% 51.8% +4.2 10
1972-12-17 Napoli W 2-0 1728 1798 39.4% 37.5% 23.0% +23.7 11
1972-12-17 @ Bologna L 0-2 1798 1728 23.0% 37.5% 39.4% -23.7 10
1972-12-17 Sampdoria W 1-0 1792 1712 54.1% 35.6% 10.3% +7.0 8
1972-12-17 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1712 1792 10.3% 35.6% 54.1% -7.0 6
1972-12-17 Fiorentina W 1-0 1665 1841 25.4% 37.0% 37.6% +17.2 9
1972-12-17 @ Palermo L 0-1 1841 1665 37.6% 37.0% 25.4% -17.2 12
1972-12-17 Inter Milan L 0-2 1875 1946 39.3% 37.5% 23.2% -33.7 13
1972-12-17 @ Roma W 2-0 1946 1875 23.2% 37.5% 39.3% +33.7 17
1972-12-17 Atalanta D 0-0 1705 1715 46.0% 37.1% 16.9% -2.9 8
1972-12-17 @ Ternana D 0-0 1715 1705 16.9% 37.1% 46.0% +2.9 8
1972-12-17 Hellas Verona W 3-2 1841 1716 57.4% 34.4% 8.2% +5.1 12
1972-12-17 @ Torino L 2-3 1716 1841 8.2% 34.4% 57.4% -5.1 8
1972-12-17 Juventus L 0-2 1656 1926 16.0% 35.2% 48.8% -17.9 6
1972-12-17 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-0 1926 1656 48.8% 35.2% 16.0% +17.9 15
1972-12-23 Palermo W 1-0 1718 1682 50.4% 36.5% 13.1% +8.4 10
1972-12-23 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1682 1718 13.1% 36.5% 50.4% -8.4 9
1972-12-23 Roma W 2-1 1824 1842 45.2% 37.2% 17.5% +9.9 14
1972-12-23 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1842 1824 17.5% 37.2% 45.2% -9.9 13
1972-12-23 Cagliari D 1-1 1711 1799 37.0% 37.6% 25.4% -1.0 9
1972-12-23 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1799 1711 25.4% 37.6% 37.0% +1.0 9
1972-12-23 Ternana W 2-0 1943 1702 64.6% 30.6% 4.7% +6.0 17
1972-12-23 @ Juventus L 0-2 1702 1943 4.7% 30.6% 64.6% -6.0 8
1972-12-23 Torino D 0-0 1826 1846 45.0% 37.2% 17.7% -2.7 17
1972-12-23 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1846 1826 17.7% 37.2% 45.0% +2.7 13
1972-12-23 AC Milan D 0-0 1774 1936 27.0% 37.1% 35.8% +0.8 11
1972-12-23 @ Napoli D 0-0 1936 1774 35.8% 37.1% 27.0% -0.8 16
1972-12-23 Bologna W 2-1 1705 1752 42.0% 37.5% 20.5% +11.0 8
1972-12-23 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1752 1705 20.5% 37.5% 42.0% -11.0 11
1972-12-30 Torino W 1-0 1935 1849 54.6% 35.4% 10.0% +6.8 18
1972-12-30 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1849 1935 10.0% 35.4% 54.6% -6.8 13
1972-12-30 Napoli W 1-0 1800 1775 49.5% 36.6% 13.8% +8.8 11
1972-12-30 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1775 1800 13.8% 36.6% 49.5% -8.8 11
1972-12-30 Ternana W 2-1 1834 1696 58.2% 34.1% 7.7% +5.1 16
1972-12-30 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1696 1834 7.7% 34.1% 58.2% -5.1 8
1972-12-30 Atalanta D 0-0 1950 1727 63.5% 31.3% 5.2% -6.8 18
1972-12-30 @ Juventus D 0-0 1727 1950 5.2% 31.3% 63.5% +6.8 11
1972-12-30 Bologna D 0-0 1823 1741 54.3% 35.5% 10.2% -4.8 18
1972-12-30 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1741 1823 10.2% 35.5% 54.3% +4.8 12
1972-12-30 Inter Milan L 0-2 1674 1980 13.3% 34.3% 52.4% -15.4 9
1972-12-30 @ Palermo W 2-0 1980 1674 52.4% 34.3% 13.3% +15.4 19
1972-12-30 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1716 1710 47.6% 36.9% 15.4% -21.0 8
1972-12-30 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1710 1716 15.4% 36.9% 47.6% +21.0 11
1972-12-30 Roma D 0-0 1639 1832 23.3% 36.8% 39.9% +1.6 7
1972-12-30 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1832 1639 39.9% 36.8% 23.3% -1.6 14
1973-01-07 Fiorentina D 1-1 1734 1839 34.8% 37.5% 27.6% -0.6 12
1973-01-07 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1839 1734 27.6% 37.5% 34.8% +0.6 17
1973-01-07 AC Milan W 3-2 1746 1942 22.9% 36.7% 40.3% +16.2 14
1973-01-07 @ Bologna L 2-3 1942 1746 40.3% 36.7% 22.9% -16.2 18
1973-01-07 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1731 1819 37.1% 37.6% 25.3% -1.0 12
1973-01-07 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1819 1731 25.3% 37.6% 37.1% +1.0 19
1973-01-07 Juventus L 0-2 1995 1943 51.8% 36.2% 12.0% -42.7 19
1973-01-07 @ Inter Milan W 2-0 1943 1995 12.0% 36.2% 51.8% +42.7 20
1973-01-07 Sampdoria D 0-0 1766 1695 53.4% 35.8% 10.8% -4.6 12
1973-01-07 @ Napoli D 0-0 1695 1766 10.8% 35.8% 53.4% +4.6 9
1973-01-07 Palermo D 0-0 1830 1658 60.4% 33.0% 6.5% -6.2 15
1973-01-07 @ Roma D 0-0 1658 1830 6.5% 33.0% 60.4% +6.2 10
1973-01-07 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-0 1691 1640 51.7% 36.2% 12.1% +15.0 10
1973-01-07 @ Ternana L 0-2 1640 1691 12.1% 36.2% 51.7% -15.0 7
1973-01-07 Cagliari D 0-0 1842 1809 50.2% 36.5% 13.3% -3.9 14
1973-01-07 @ Torino D 0-0 1809 1842 13.3% 36.5% 50.2% +3.9 12
1973-01-17 Lazio Roma W 3-1 1926 1820 56.0% 34.9% 9.0% +10.1 20
1973-01-17 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1820 1926 9.0% 34.9% 56.0% -10.1 19
1973-01-21 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1936 1730 62.5% 31.9% 5.6% +3.6 22
1973-01-21 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1730 1936 5.6% 31.9% 62.5% -3.6 12
1973-01-21 Bologna W 1-0 1813 1762 51.7% 36.2% 12.1% +7.9 14
1973-01-21 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1762 1813 12.1% 36.2% 51.7% -7.9 14
1973-01-21 Inter Milan L 1-2 1839 1952 33.7% 37.5% 28.8% -15.1 17
1973-01-21 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1952 1839 28.8% 37.5% 33.7% +15.1 21
1973-01-21 Roma W 1-0 1985 1824 59.8% 33.4% 6.9% +4.8 22
1973-01-21 @ Juventus L 0-1 1824 1985 6.9% 33.4% 59.8% -4.8 15
1973-01-21 Napoli W 3-0 1809 1761 51.5% 36.2% 12.2% +22.0 21
1973-01-21 @ Lazio Roma L 0-3 1761 1809 12.2% 36.2% 51.5% -22.0 12
1973-01-21 Ternana D 1-1 1665 1706 42.8% 37.4% 19.8% -2.0 11
1973-01-21 @ Palermo D 1-1 1706 1665 19.8% 37.4% 42.8% +2.0 11
1973-01-21 Torino W 2-1 1699 1838 30.1% 37.4% 32.5% +14.7 11
1973-01-21 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1838 1699 32.5% 37.4% 30.1% -14.7 14
1973-01-21 Atalanta D 1-1 1625 1733 34.4% 37.5% 28.0% -0.5 8
1973-01-21 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1733 1625 28.0% 37.5% 34.4% +0.5 13
1973-01-28 Cagliari D 0-0 1734 1821 37.1% 37.6% 25.3% -1.1 14
1973-01-28 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1821 1734 25.3% 37.6% 37.1% +1.1 15
1973-01-28 Sampdoria W 2-0 1824 1714 56.3% 34.8% 8.8% +11.5 19
1973-01-28 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1714 1824 8.8% 34.8% 56.3% -11.5 11
1973-01-28 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1968 1831 58.1% 34.1% 7.8% -5.1 22
1973-01-28 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1831 1968 7.8% 34.1% 58.1% +5.1 22
1973-01-28 Bologna W 2-0 1990 1754 64.3% 30.8% 4.9% +6.2 24
1973-01-28 @ Juventus L 0-2 1754 1990 4.9% 30.8% 64.3% -6.2 14
1973-01-28 AC Milan L 0-1 1663 1940 15.4% 35.0% 49.6% -9.2 11
1973-01-28 @ Palermo W 1-0 1940 1663 49.6% 35.0% 15.4% +9.2 24
1973-01-28 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1819 1726 55.0% 35.3% 9.7% -23.9 15
1973-01-28 @ Roma W 1-0 1726 1819 9.7% 35.3% 55.0% +23.9 14
1973-01-28 Napoli D 0-0 1708 1739 43.8% 37.3% 18.9% -2.4 12
1973-01-28 @ Ternana D 0-0 1739 1708 18.9% 37.3% 43.8% +2.4 13
1973-01-28 Torino W 1-0 1625 1824 22.7% 36.7% 40.7% +18.2 10
1973-01-28 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1824 1625 40.7% 36.7% 22.7% -18.2 14
1973-01-31 Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-2 1962 1643 69.0% 27.6% 3.4% -26.8 22
1973-01-31 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1643 1962 3.4% 27.6% 69.0% +26.8 12
1973-02-04 Ternana W 3-1 1949 1705 64.8% 30.6% 4.7% +5.2 26
1973-02-04 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1705 1949 4.7% 30.6% 64.8% -5.2 12
1973-02-04 Inter Milan W 1-0 1748 1936 23.9% 36.8% 39.2% +17.7 16
1973-02-04 @ Bologna L 0-1 1936 1748 39.2% 36.8% 23.9% -17.7 22
1973-02-04 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-0 1822 1670 59.2% 33.7% 7.2% +13.7 17
1973-02-04 @ Cagliari L 0-3 1670 1822 7.2% 33.7% 59.2% -13.7 12
1973-02-04 Juventus D 0-0 1750 1996 17.9% 35.8% 46.3% +2.8 15
1973-02-04 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1996 1750 46.3% 35.8% 17.9% -2.8 25
1973-02-04 Fiorentina D 0-0 1837 1836 47.2% 37.0% 15.8% -3.2 23
1973-02-04 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1836 1837 15.8% 37.0% 47.2% +3.2 20
1973-02-04 Atalanta W 1-0 1742 1732 48.0% 36.9% 15.1% +9.4 15
1973-02-04 @ Napoli L 0-1 1732 1742 15.1% 36.9% 48.0% -9.4 14
1973-02-04 Roma D 0-0 1702 1795 36.4% 37.6% 26.0% -1.0 12
1973-02-04 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1795 1702 26.0% 37.6% 36.4% +1.0 16
1973-02-04 Palermo W 2-0 1805 1653 59.2% 33.7% 7.2% +9.4 16
1973-02-04 @ Torino L 0-2 1653 1805 7.2% 33.7% 59.2% -9.5 11
1973-02-11 AC Milan D 1-1 1723 1954 19.3% 36.1% 44.6% +2.2 15
1973-02-11 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1954 1723 44.6% 36.1% 19.3% -2.2 27
1973-02-11 Hellas Verona W 2-0 1839 1753 54.5% 35.5% 10.0% +12.9 22
1973-02-11 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1753 1839 10.0% 35.5% 54.5% -12.9 15
1973-02-11 Sampdoria D 0-0 1918 1701 63.2% 31.5% 5.3% -6.7 23
1973-02-11 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1701 1918 5.3% 31.5% 63.2% +6.7 13
1973-02-11 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1994 1833 59.7% 33.4% 6.9% +4.8 27
1973-02-11 @ Juventus L 0-1 1833 1994 6.9% 33.4% 59.7% -4.8 23
1973-02-11 Cagliari L 0-1 1644 1836 23.5% 36.8% 39.7% -12.6 11
1973-02-11 @ Palermo W 1-0 1836 1644 39.7% 36.8% 23.5% +12.6 19
1973-02-11 Bologna L 0-1 1796 1766 50.0% 36.6% 13.5% -21.9 16
1973-02-11 @ Roma W 1-0 1766 1796 13.5% 36.6% 50.0% +21.9 18
1973-02-11 Torino D 0-0 1700 1815 33.5% 37.5% 29.0% -0.4 13
1973-02-11 @ Ternana D 0-0 1815 1700 29.0% 37.5% 33.5% +0.4 17
1973-02-11 Napoli W 1-0 1656 1751 36.1% 37.6% 26.3% +13.7 14
1973-02-11 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1751 1656 26.3% 37.6% 36.1% -13.7 15
1973-02-18 Juventus D 2-2 1952 1998 42.1% 37.4% 20.4% -1.4 28
1973-02-18 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1998 1952 20.4% 37.4% 42.1% +1.4 28
1973-02-18 Ternana W 3-0 1787 1700 54.7% 35.4% 9.9% +18.5 20
1973-02-18 @ Bologna L 0-3 1700 1787 9.9% 35.4% 54.7% -18.5 13
1973-02-18 Inter Milan L 2-3 1848 1911 40.2% 37.5% 22.3% -16.3 19
1973-02-18 @ Cagliari W 3-2 1911 1848 22.3% 37.5% 40.2% +16.3 25
1973-02-18 Atalanta D 1-1 1740 1725 48.5% 36.8% 14.6% -3.1 16
1973-02-18 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1725 1740 14.6% 36.8% 48.5% +3.1 16
1973-02-18 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1829 1670 59.6% 33.5% 6.9% +4.8 25
1973-02-18 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1670 1829 6.9% 33.5% 59.6% -4.8 14
1973-02-18 Roma W 1-0 1737 1774 43.2% 37.4% 19.4% +11.2 17
1973-02-18 @ Napoli L 0-1 1774 1737 19.4% 37.4% 43.2% -11.2 16
1973-02-18 Palermo D 0-0 1708 1631 53.8% 35.7% 10.5% -4.7 14
1973-02-18 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1631 1708 10.5% 35.7% 53.8% +4.7 12
1973-02-18 Fiorentina W 3-0 1815 1852 43.3% 37.4% 19.4% +30.7 19
1973-02-18 @ Torino L 0-3 1852 1815 19.4% 37.4% 43.3% -30.7 22
1973-03-04 Sampdoria L 0-2 1728 1703 49.5% 36.7% 13.9% -40.9 16
1973-03-04 @ Atalanta W 2-0 1703 1728 13.9% 36.7% 49.5% +40.9 16
1973-03-04 Napoli W 1-0 1821 1749 53.5% 35.8% 10.8% +7.2 24
1973-03-04 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1749 1821 10.8% 35.8% 53.5% -7.2 17
1973-03-04 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1928 1737 61.6% 32.4% 6.0% +4.2 27
1973-03-04 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1737 1928 6.0% 32.4% 61.6% -4.2 16
1973-03-04 Torino L 0-2 2000 1846 59.3% 33.6% 7.1% -48.2 28
1973-03-04 @ Juventus W 2-0 1846 2000 7.1% 33.6% 59.3% +48.2 21
1973-03-04 Bologna D 1-1 1636 1806 26.1% 37.1% 36.8% +0.9 13
1973-03-04 @ Palermo D 1-1 1806 1636 36.8% 37.1% 26.1% -0.9 21
1973-03-04 Cagliari D 0-0 1763 1832 39.5% 37.5% 23.0% -1.6 17
1973-03-04 @ Roma D 0-0 1832 1763 23.0% 37.5% 39.5% +1.6 20
1973-03-04 Lazio Roma L 0-1 1681 1833 28.3% 37.3% 34.4% -14.3 13
1973-03-04 @ Ternana W 1-0 1833 1681 34.4% 37.3% 28.3% +14.3 27
1973-03-04 AC Milan L 0-3 1665 1951 14.7% 34.8% 50.5% -24.3 14
1973-03-04 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-0 1951 1665 50.5% 34.8% 14.7% +24.3 30
1973-03-11 Fiorentina W 2-0 1975 1828 58.8% 33.8% 7.4% +9.7 32
1973-03-11 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1828 1975 7.4% 33.8% 58.8% -9.7 24
1973-03-11 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1805 1641 60.0% 33.3% 6.8% -6.1 22
1973-03-11 @ Bologna D 0-0 1641 1805 6.8% 33.3% 60.0% +6.1 15
1973-03-11 Ternana W 1-0 1834 1667 60.1% 33.2% 6.7% +4.7 22
1973-03-11 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1667 1834 6.7% 33.2% 60.1% -4.7 13
1973-03-11 Palermo D 1-1 1733 1637 55.3% 35.2% 9.5% -4.5 17
1973-03-11 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1637 1733 9.5% 35.2% 55.3% +4.5 14
1973-03-11 Roma W 2-0 1848 1762 54.5% 35.4% 10.0% +12.8 29
1973-03-11 @ Lazio Roma L 0-2 1762 1848 10.0% 35.4% 54.5% -12.8 17
1973-03-11 Inter Milan W 2-0 1741 1932 23.6% 36.8% 39.6% +33.7 19
1973-03-11 @ Napoli L 0-2 1932 1741 39.6% 36.8% 23.6% -33.7 27
1973-03-11 Juventus L 0-1 1744 1952 21.8% 36.5% 41.7% -12.0 16
1973-03-11 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1952 1744 41.7% 36.5% 21.8% +12.0 30
1973-03-11 Atalanta W 2-1 1894 1688 62.6% 31.9% 5.5% +3.6 23
1973-03-11 @ Torino L 1-2 1688 1894 5.5% 31.9% 62.6% -3.6 16
1973-03-18 Bologna W 1-0 1684 1799 33.5% 37.5% 29.0% +14.6 18
1973-03-18 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1799 1684 29.0% 37.5% 33.5% -14.6 22
1973-03-18 Cagliari W 3-0 1819 1838 45.1% 37.2% 17.7% +28.9 26
1973-03-18 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1838 1819 17.7% 37.2% 45.1% -28.9 22
1973-03-18 AC Milan L 0-2 1898 1985 37.2% 37.6% 25.2% -32.4 27
1973-03-18 @ Inter Milan W 2-0 1985 1898 25.2% 37.6% 37.2% +32.4 34
1973-03-18 Napoli D 0-0 1964 1775 61.5% 32.5% 6.0% -6.4 31
1973-03-18 @ Juventus D 0-0 1775 1964 6.0% 32.5% 61.5% +6.4 20
1973-03-18 Lazio Roma L 0-2 1642 1861 20.5% 36.3% 43.1% -21.6 14
1973-03-18 @ Palermo W 2-0 1861 1642 43.1% 36.3% 20.5% +21.6 31
1973-03-18 Torino W 1-0 1749 1898 28.8% 37.3% 33.9% +16.1 19
1973-03-18 @ Roma L 0-1 1898 1749 33.9% 37.3% 28.8% -16.1 23
1973-03-18 Sampdoria L 0-2 1662 1732 39.3% 37.5% 23.2% -33.7 13
1973-03-18 @ Ternana W 2-0 1732 1662 23.2% 37.5% 39.3% +33.7 18
1973-03-18 Hellas Verona D 2-2 1647 1729 37.8% 37.6% 24.6% -0.8 16
1973-03-18 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 2-2 1729 1647 24.6% 37.6% 37.8% +0.8 18
1973-03-25 Roma W 3-1 2017 1765 65.2% 30.2% 4.5% +5.0 36
1973-03-25 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1765 2017 4.5% 30.2% 65.2% -5.0 19
1973-03-25 Fiorentina W 2-0 1784 1847 40.2% 37.5% 22.3% +23.2 24
1973-03-25 @ Bologna L 0-2 1847 1784 22.3% 37.5% 40.2% -23.2 26
1973-03-25 Juventus L 0-1 1809 1957 29.0% 37.3% 33.7% -14.5 22
1973-03-25 @ Cagliari W 1-0 1957 1809 33.7% 37.3% 29.0% +14.5 33
1973-03-25 Ternana W 1-0 1729 1628 55.6% 35.1% 9.3% +6.4 20
1973-03-25 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1628 1729 9.3% 35.1% 55.6% -6.4 13
1973-03-25 Atalanta W 2-1 1882 1698 61.2% 32.7% 6.2% +4.0 33
1973-03-25 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1698 1882 6.2% 32.7% 61.2% -4.0 18
1973-03-25 Palermo D 1-1 1781 1620 59.8% 33.4% 6.9% -5.4 21
1973-03-25 @ Napoli D 1-1 1620 1781 6.9% 33.4% 59.8% +5.4 15
1973-03-25 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1766 1646 57.0% 34.6% 8.4% -5.5 19
1973-03-25 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1646 1766 8.4% 34.6% 57.0% +5.5 17
1973-03-25 Inter Milan W 4-0 1882 1866 48.6% 36.8% 14.6% +32.8 25
1973-03-25 @ Torino L 0-4 1866 1882 14.6% 36.8% 48.6% -32.8 27
1973-04-08 Lazio Roma L 0-1 1795 1886 36.6% 37.6% 25.8% -17.0 22
1973-04-08 @ Cagliari W 1-0 1886 1795 25.8% 37.6% 36.6% +17.0 35
1973-04-08 Juventus W 2-1 1824 1972 29.0% 37.3% 33.7% +15.1 28
1973-04-08 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1972 1824 33.7% 37.3% 29.0% -15.1 33
1973-04-08 Napoli D 0-0 1736 1776 42.8% 37.4% 19.8% -2.2 21
1973-04-08 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1776 1736 19.8% 37.4% 42.8% +2.2 22
1973-04-08 Atalanta D 0-0 1833 1694 58.3% 34.1% 7.7% -5.7 28
1973-04-08 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1694 1833 7.7% 34.1% 58.3% +5.7 19
1973-04-08 Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1625 1651 44.4% 37.3% 18.3% -19.7 15
1973-04-08 @ Palermo W 1-0 1651 1625 18.3% 37.3% 44.4% +19.7 19
1973-04-08 Ternana D 0-0 1760 1622 58.2% 34.1% 7.7% -5.7 20
1973-04-08 @ Roma D 0-0 1622 1760 7.7% 34.1% 58.2% +5.7 14
1973-04-08 AC Milan L 1-4 1761 2022 16.6% 35.4% 47.9% -22.6 19
1973-04-08 @ Sampdoria W 4-1 2022 1761 47.9% 35.4% 16.6% +22.6 38
1973-04-08 Bologna W 3-1 1915 1808 56.1% 34.9% 9.0% +10.1 27
1973-04-08 @ Torino L 1-3 1808 1915 9.0% 34.9% 56.1% -10.1 24
1973-04-15 Cagliari D 1-1 2044 1778 66.0% 29.7% 4.2% -6.4 39
1973-04-15 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1778 2044 4.2% 29.7% 66.0% +6.4 23
1973-04-15 Roma W 1-0 1700 1754 41.2% 37.5% 21.3% +11.9 21
1973-04-15 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1754 1700 21.3% 37.5% 41.2% -11.9 20
1973-04-15 Hellas Verona W 4-1 1798 1733 52.8% 35.9% 11.2% +17.3 26
1973-04-15 @ Bologna L 1-4 1733 1798 11.2% 35.9% 52.8% -17.3 21
1973-04-15 Palermo W 4-1 1957 1606 70.7% 26.4% 3.0% +4.2 35
1973-04-15 @ Juventus L 1-4 1606 1957 3.0% 26.4% 70.7% -4.1 15
1973-04-15 Sampdoria W 1-0 1903 1738 60.0% 33.3% 6.7% +4.7 37
1973-04-15 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1738 1903 6.7% 33.3% 60.0% -4.7 19
1973-04-15 Torino D 1-1 1778 1925 29.1% 37.3% 33.6% +0.3 23
1973-04-15 @ Napoli D 1-1 1925 1778 33.6% 37.3% 29.1% -0.4 28
1973-04-15 Inter Milan L 0-1 1628 1827 22.6% 36.7% 40.7% -12.3 14
1973-04-15 @ Ternana W 1-0 1827 1628 40.7% 36.7% 22.6% +12.3 30
1973-04-15 Fiorentina L 0-1 1671 1839 26.3% 37.1% 36.6% -13.6 19
1973-04-15 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1839 1671 36.6% 37.1% 26.3% +13.6 30
1973-04-22 Ternana D 0-0 1712 1615 55.3% 35.2% 9.5% -5.1 22
1973-04-22 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1615 1712 9.5% 35.2% 55.3% +5.1 15
1973-04-22 Palermo W 3-0 1853 1601 65.2% 30.3% 4.5% +8.3 32
1973-04-22 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1601 1853 4.5% 30.3% 65.2% -8.3 15
1973-04-22 Torino D 0-0 1716 1924 21.7% 36.5% 41.8% +1.9 22
1973-04-22 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1924 1716 41.8% 36.5% 21.7% -1.9 29
1973-04-22 Roma D 0-0 1839 1742 55.4% 35.2% 9.5% -5.1 31
1973-04-22 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1742 1839 9.5% 35.2% 55.4% +5.1 21
1973-04-22 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-2 1961 1657 68.1% 28.3% 3.6% +2.1 37
1973-04-22 @ Juventus L 2-3 1657 1961 3.6% 28.3% 68.1% -2.1 19
1973-04-22 AC Milan W 2-1 1908 2038 31.4% 37.4% 31.2% +14.4 39
1973-04-22 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 2038 1908 31.2% 37.4% 31.4% -14.4 39
1973-04-22 Bologna D 1-1 1779 1815 43.3% 37.4% 19.4% -2.1 24
1973-04-22 @ Napoli D 1-1 1815 1779 19.4% 37.4% 43.3% +2.1 27
1973-04-22 Cagliari L 0-1 1733 1784 41.6% 37.5% 20.9% -18.7 19
1973-04-22 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1784 1733 20.9% 37.5% 41.6% +18.7 25
1973-04-29 Napoli W 1-0 2024 1777 65.0% 30.4% 4.6% +3.1 41
1973-04-29 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1777 2024 4.6% 30.4% 65.0% -3.1 24
1973-04-29 Sampdoria D 1-1 1817 1715 55.7% 35.0% 9.2% -4.6 28
1973-04-29 @ Bologna D 1-1 1715 1817 9.2% 35.0% 55.7% +4.6 20
1973-04-29 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1803 1718 54.5% 35.5% 10.1% -4.3 26
1973-04-29 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1718 1803 10.1% 35.5% 54.5% +4.3 23
1973-04-29 Atalanta L 1-2 1593 1707 33.6% 37.5% 28.9% -15.1 15
1973-04-29 @ Palermo W 2-1 1707 1593 28.9% 37.5% 33.6% +15.1 24
1973-04-29 Fiorentina D 1-1 1747 1861 33.6% 37.5% 28.8% -0.4 22
1973-04-29 @ Roma D 1-1 1861 1747 28.8% 37.5% 33.6% +0.4 33
1973-04-29 Juventus L 2-3 1620 1963 11.2% 33.2% 55.7% -6.2 15
1973-04-29 @ Ternana W 3-2 1963 1620 55.7% 33.2% 11.2% +6.2 39
1973-04-29 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1922 1922 47.1% 37.0% 15.9% -3.2 30
1973-04-29 @ Torino D 0-0 1922 1922 15.9% 37.0% 47.1% +3.2 40
1973-04-29 Inter Milan L 0-1 1655 1834 25.0% 37.0% 38.1% -13.2 19
1973-04-29 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1834 1655 38.1% 37.0% 25.0% +13.2 33
1973-05-06 Juventus L 0-2 1722 1969 17.9% 35.8% 46.4% -19.5 24
1973-05-06 @ Atalanta W 2-0 1969 1722 46.4% 35.8% 17.9% +19.5 41
1973-05-06 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1812 1925 33.7% 37.5% 28.7% -0.4 29
1973-05-06 @ Bologna D 1-1 1925 1812 28.7% 37.5% 33.7% +0.4 41
1973-05-06 Sampdoria D 1-1 1722 1719 47.4% 37.0% 15.6% -2.9 24
1973-05-06 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1719 1722 15.6% 37.0% 47.4% +2.9 21
1973-05-06 Palermo W 3-1 1847 1578 66.2% 29.6% 4.2% +4.5 35
1973-05-06 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1578 1847 4.2% 29.6% 66.2% -4.5 15
1973-05-06 Cagliari D 1-1 1773 1799 44.5% 37.3% 18.2% -2.3 25
1973-05-06 @ Napoli D 1-1 1799 1773 18.2% 37.3% 44.5% +2.3 27
1973-05-06 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1747 1642 55.9% 35.0% 9.1% -5.2 23
1973-05-06 @ Roma D 0-0 1642 1747 9.1% 35.0% 55.9% +5.2 20
1973-05-06 Fiorentina L 0-1 1614 1862 17.8% 35.8% 46.4% -10.3 15
1973-05-06 @ Ternana W 1-0 1862 1614 46.4% 35.8% 17.8% +10.3 35
1973-05-06 AC Milan D 2-2 1919 2027 34.5% 37.5% 28.0% -0.4 31
1973-05-06 @ Torino D 2-2 2027 1919 28.0% 37.5% 34.5% +0.4 42
1973-05-13 Bologna W 3-1 2027 1812 63.1% 31.6% 5.3% +6.0 44
1973-05-13 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1812 2027 5.3% 31.6% 63.1% -6.0 29
1973-05-13 Torino W 1-0 1801 1919 33.1% 37.5% 29.4% +14.7 29
1973-05-13 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1919 1801 29.4% 37.5% 33.1% -14.7 31
1973-05-13 Atalanta W 4-0 1872 1703 60.3% 33.1% 6.6% +16.5 37
1973-05-13 @ Fiorentina L 0-4 1703 1872 6.6% 33.1% 60.3% -16.5 24
1973-05-13 Inter Milan W 2-1 1989 1852 58.1% 34.1% 7.7% +5.1 43
1973-05-13 @ Juventus L 1-2 1852 1989 7.7% 34.1% 58.1% -5.1 35
1973-05-13 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1926 1720 62.5% 31.9% 5.5% +3.6 43
1973-05-13 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1720 1926 5.5% 31.9% 62.5% -3.6 24
1973-05-13 Roma D 1-1 1574 1742 26.3% 37.1% 36.6% +0.8 16
1973-05-13 @ Palermo D 1-1 1742 1574 36.6% 37.1% 26.3% -0.8 24
1973-05-13 Napoli D 1-1 1722 1771 41.8% 37.5% 20.7% -1.8 22
1973-05-13 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1771 1722 20.7% 37.5% 41.8% +1.8 26
1973-05-13 Ternana W 1-0 1647 1604 51.1% 36.3% 12.6% +8.2 22
1973-05-13 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1604 1647 12.6% 36.3% 51.1% -8.2 15
1973-05-20 Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1686 1656 50.0% 36.6% 13.5% -21.9 24
1973-05-20 @ Atalanta W 1-0 1656 1686 13.5% 36.6% 50.0% +21.9 24
1973-05-20 Cagliari W 4-2 1806 1816 46.1% 37.1% 16.8% +14.8 31
1973-05-20 @ Bologna L 2-4 1816 1806 16.8% 37.1% 46.1% -14.8 29
1973-05-20 AC Milan W 5-3 1716 2033 12.6% 33.9% 53.5% +31.4 26
1973-05-20 @ Hellas Verona L 3-5 2033 1716 53.5% 33.9% 12.6% -31.4 44
1973-05-20 Fiorentina W 1-0 1847 1888 42.7% 37.4% 19.9% +11.4 37
1973-05-20 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1888 1847 19.9% 37.4% 42.7% -11.4 37
1973-05-20 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1773 1929 27.8% 37.2% 35.0% +16.4 28
1973-05-20 @ Napoli L 0-1 1929 1773 35.0% 37.2% 27.8% -16.4 43
1973-05-20 Juventus L 1-2 1741 1994 17.3% 35.6% 47.0% -9.5 24
1973-05-20 @ Roma W 2-1 1994 1741 47.0% 35.6% 17.3% +9.5 45
1973-05-20 Palermo D 0-0 1596 1574 49.1% 36.7% 14.2% -3.6 16
1973-05-20 @ Ternana D 0-0 1574 1596 14.2% 36.7% 49.1% +3.6 17
1973-05-20 Sampdoria L 0-1 1904 1720 61.2% 32.7% 6.2% -26.2 31
1973-05-20 @ Torino W 1-0 1720 1904 6.2% 32.7% 61.2% +26.2 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1973-01-31 3.38% Lanerossi Vicenza 1643 2 @ Inter Milan 1962 1
2 1973-05-20 6.17% Sampdoria 1720 1 @ Torino 1904 0
3 1973-03-04 7.11% Torino 1846 2 @ Juventus 2000 0
4 1972-10-01 8.94% Lazio Roma 1731 1 @ Fiorentina 1840 0
5 1973-01-28 9.66% Hellas Verona 1726 1 @ Roma 1819 0
6 1972-11-12 10.15% Lazio Roma 1782 1 @ Roma 1865 0
7 1973-01-07 11.98% Juventus 1943 2 @ Inter Milan 1995 0
8 1973-05-20 12.59% @ Hellas Verona 1716 5 AC Milan 2033 3
9 1973-02-11 13.46% Bologna 1766 1 @ Roma 1796 0
10 1973-05-20 13.47% Lanerossi Vicenza 1656 1 @ Atalanta 1686 0
11 1973-03-04 13.89% Sampdoria 1703 2 @ Atalanta 1728 0
12 1972-10-29 14.38% Hellas Verona 1718 1 @ Atalanta 1737 0
13 1972-12-30 15.44% Hellas Verona 1710 1 @ Sampdoria 1716 0
14 1973-04-08 18.30% Lanerossi Vicenza 1651 1 @ Palermo 1625 0
15 1973-04-22 20.93% Cagliari 1784 1 @ Sampdoria 1733 0
16 1973-02-18 22.28% Inter Milan 1911 3 @ Cagliari 1848 2
17 1972-09-24 22.36% Fiorentina 1821 1 @ Sampdoria 1758 0
18 1972-12-03 22.40% Roma 1824 4 @ Ternana 1760 1
19 1973-01-28 22.67% @ Lanerossi Vicenza 1625 1 Torino 1824 0
20 1973-01-07 22.95% @ Bologna 1746 3 AC Milan 1942 2
21 1973-03-18 23.16% Sampdoria 1732 2 @ Ternana 1662 0
22 1972-12-17 23.19% Inter Milan 1946 2 @ Roma 1875 0
23 1972-10-29 23.22% Lazio Roma 1756 2 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 1686 1
24 1973-03-11 23.65% @ Napoli 1741 2 Inter Milan 1932 0
25 1973-02-04 23.94% @ Bologna 1748 1 Inter Milan 1936 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1973-03-04 48.19 Torino 2 1846 7.11% @ Juventus 0 2000 59.28% 33.61%
2 1973-01-07 42.68 Juventus 2 1943 11.98% @ Inter Milan 0 1995 51.85% 36.17%
3 1972-12-03 41.95 Roma 4 1824 22.40% @ Ternana 1 1760 40.08% 37.53%
4 1973-03-04 40.88 Sampdoria 2 1703 13.89% @ Atalanta 0 1728 49.45% 36.66%
5 1973-03-18 33.74 Sampdoria 2 1732 23.16% @ Ternana 0 1662 39.29% 37.54%
6 1972-12-17 33.72 Inter Milan 2 1946 23.19% @ Roma 0 1875 39.26% 37.54%
7 1973-03-11 33.66 @ Napoli 2 1741 23.65% Inter Milan 0 1932 39.55% 36.80%
8 1973-03-25 32.79 @ Torino 4 1882 48.64% Inter Milan 0 1866 14.57% 36.79%
9 1973-03-18 32.43 AC Milan 2 1985 25.18% @ Inter Milan 0 1898 37.25% 37.57%
10 1973-05-20 31.40 @ Hellas Verona 5 1716 12.59% AC Milan 3 2033 53.48% 33.94%
11 1973-02-18 30.71 @ Torino 3 1815 43.26% Fiorentina 0 1852 19.36% 37.38%
12 1972-11-05 30.16 @ Napoli 3 1798 43.81% Fiorentina 0 1829 18.85% 37.34%
13 1973-03-18 28.88 @ Fiorentina 3 1819 45.06% Cagliari 0 1838 17.71% 37.23%
14 1972-09-24 28.19 Juventus 2 1889 32.32% @ Bologna 0 1751 30.30% 37.38%
15 1972-11-05 27.84 @ Bologna 3 1686 46.05% Palermo 0 1696 16.81% 37.13%
16 1972-10-15 27.15 Roma 3 1829 26.90% @ Bologna 1 1729 35.54% 37.55%
17 1973-01-31 26.78 Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1643 3.38% @ Inter Milan 1 1962 68.98% 27.63%
18 1973-05-20 26.23 Sampdoria 1 1720 6.17% @ Torino 0 1904 61.18% 32.66%
19 1972-11-12 24.75 @ Fiorentina 3 1799 31.61% AC Milan 1 1928 30.95% 37.44%
20 1972-10-01 24.36 Lazio Roma 1 1731 8.94% @ Fiorentina 0 1840 56.16% 34.90%
21 1973-03-04 24.30 AC Milan 3 1951 50.47% @ Lanerossi Vicenza 0 1665 14.71% 34.82%
22 1973-01-28 23.93 Hellas Verona 1 1726 9.66% @ Roma 0 1819 55.05% 35.28%
23 1972-12-17 23.73 @ Bologna 2 1728 39.42% Napoli 0 1798 23.04% 37.54%
24 1972-11-12 23.64 Lazio Roma 1 1782 10.15% @ Roma 0 1865 54.34% 35.51%
25 1973-03-25 23.23 @ Bologna 2 1784 40.18% Fiorentina 0 1847 22.30% 37.52%